NogoodIn 2017 my Website was migrated to
the clouds and reduced in size.
Hence some links below are broken.
One thing to try if a “www” link is broken is to substitute “faculty” for “www”
For example a broken link
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Pictures.htm
can be changed to corrected link
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Pictures.htm
However in some cases files had to be removed to reduce the size of my Website
Contact me atrjensen@trinity.eduif
you really need to file that is missing
Bob Jensen's threads on GAAP comparisons (with
particular stress upon derivative financial
instruments accounting rules) are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/caseans/canada.htm
The above site also links to more general GAAP comparison guides between
nations.
Page 206
Like scientists today in medical and economic and other
sizeless sciences, Pearson mistook a large sample size for the definite,
substantive significance---evidence s Hayek put it, of "wholes." But it was
as Hayek said "just an illusion." Pearson's columns of sparkling asterisks,
though quantitative in appearance and as appealing a is the simple truth of
the sky, signified nothing.
Jensen Comment
Here are some added positives and negatives to consider, especially if you are
currently a practicing accountant considering becoming a professor.
Accounting History Blast from the Past
Demski, J. S. 1973. The general impossibility of normative
accounting standards. The Accounting Review (October):
718-723. (JSTOR link).
Cushing, B. E. 1977. On the possibility of optimal accounting
principles. The Accounting Review (April): 308-321. (JSTOR
link).
Abstract
Several authors have examined the issue of choice among
financial reporting standards and principles using the framework
of rational choice theory. Their results have been almost
uniformly pessimistic in terms of the possibilities for
favorable resolution of this issue. Upon further analysis, these
results are revealed to be an artifact of the way in which the
issue is initially formulated. Several possible methods of
reformulating of this issue within the rational choice framework
are proposed and explored in this paper. The results here
support a much more optimistic conclusion and suggest numerous
avenues of further research which could provide considerable
insight into the conditions under which optimal accounting
principles are possible.
Accounting History Blast from the Past
Demski, J. S. 1973. The general impossibility of normative
accounting standards. The Accounting Review (October):
718-723. (JSTOR link).
Cushing, B. E. 1977. On the possibility of optimal accounting
principles. The Accounting Review (April): 308-321. (JSTOR
link).
Abstract
Several authors have examined the issue of choice among
financial reporting standards and principles using the framework
of rational choice theory. Their results have been almost
uniformly pessimistic in terms of the possibilities for
favorable resolution of this issue. Upon further analysis, these
results are revealed to be an artifact of the way in which the
issue is initially formulated. Several possible methods of
reformulating of this issue within the rational choice framework
are proposed and explored in this paper. The results here
support a much more optimistic conclusion and suggest numerous
avenues of further research which could provide considerable
insight into the conditions under which optimal accounting
principles are possible.
I think leading academic
researchers avoid applied research for the profession because making
seminal and creative discoveries that practitioners have not already
discovered is enormously difficult.
Accounting academe is
threatened by the twin dangers of fossilization and scholasticism
(of three types: tedium, high tech, and radical chic)
From
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/395wpTAR/Web/TAR395wp.htm
“Knowledge and competence
increasingly developed out of the internal dynamics of esoteric
disciplines rather than within the context of shared perceptions
of public needs,” writes Bender. “This is not to say that
professionalized disciplines or the modern service professions
that imitated them became socially irresponsible. But their
contributions to society began to flow from their own
self-definitions rather than from a reciprocal engagement with
general public discourse.”
Now, there is a definite note of sadness in Bender’s narrative –
as there always tends to be in accounts
of theshift from Gemeinschaft
to Gesellschaft.Yet it
is also clear that the transformation from civic to disciplinary
professionalism was necessary.
“The new disciplines offered relatively precise subject matter
and procedures,” Bender concedes, “at a time when both were
greatly confused. The new professionalism also promised
guarantees of competence — certification — in an era when
criteria of intellectual authority were vague and professional
performance was unreliable.”
But in the epilogue to Intellect and Public Life,
Bender suggests that the process eventually went too far. “The
risk now is precisely the opposite,” he writes. “Academe is
threatened by the twin dangers of fossilization and
scholasticism (of three types: tedium, high tech, and radical
chic).
The agenda for the next decade, at least as I see it, ought to
be the opening up of the disciplines, the ventilating of
professional communities that have come to share too much and
that have become too self-referential.”
Accountics is the mathematical science of values.
Charles Sprague [1887] as quoted by McMillan [1998, p. 1][NH1]
Question
Do you really understand the SEC's Rule 144a?
What is it and why do accountants hate it?
And here's the real beauty of it: Companies that issue
stock under Rule 144a can access America's deep pools of capital without
submitting to public-company accounting rules or to the tender mercies of
Sarbanes-Oxley. In exchange, however, they must strictly limit the number of
qualified U.S. investors in their company -- to 500 total for U.S.-based firms
and 300 for foreign-based. They are also barred from offering comparable
securities for sale in the public market. The 144a market is also for the most
part nontransparent, often illiquid and thus in some ways riskier. But
increasingly, this is a trade that institutional investors and companies seeking
capital are willing to make.
"A Capital Idea," The Wall Street Journal, April 26, 2007; Page A18
---
Click Here
That America's public capital markets have lost
some of their allure is no longer much disputed. Eminences as unlikely as
Chuck Schumer and Eliot Spitzer have taken to bemoaning the fact and calling
for some sort of fix, albeit without doing much.
Tort reform -- to reduce jackpot justice in
securities class-action suits -- would certainly help. So would easing the
compliance costs and regulatory burden placed on publicly traded companies
by Sarbanes-Oxley, Regulation FD and the like. (See Robert Grady nearby.)
The good news is that, as usual, private-sector innovation is finding a way
around these government obstacles through the rapid growth of something
known as the Rule 144a market.
First, a little capital-markets background: Most
Americans are familiar with the "public markets," which consist of the New
York Stock Exchange, the Nasdaq and other stock markets. These are open to
investors of every stripe and are where the stocks of most of the world's
best-known companies are traded. Nearly anyone can invest, and these
exchanges are comprehensively regulated by the Securities and Exchange
Commission.
Less well understood is another, more restricted
market known after SEC Rule 144a that governs participation in it. As on
stock exchanges, this market allows for the buying and selling of the stock
of companies that offer their shares for sale. But participation is strictly
limited. To be what is called a "qualified buyer" in this market, you must
be a financial institution with at least $100 million in investable assets.
If you meet these criteria, you are free to buy stocks of both U.S. and
foreign companies that have never offered their shares to the investing
public.
And here's the real beauty of it: Companies that
issue stock under Rule 144a can access America's deep pools of capital
without submitting to public-company accounting rules or to the tender
mercies of Sarbanes-Oxley. In exchange, however, they must strictly limit
the number of qualified U.S. investors in their company -- to 500 total for
U.S.-based firms and 300 for foreign-based. They are also barred from
offering comparable securities for sale in the public market. The 144a
market is also for the most part nontransparent, often illiquid and thus in
some ways riskier. But increasingly, this is a trade that institutional
investors and companies seeking capital are willing to make.
There are estimated to be about 1,000 companies
whose stocks trade in the 144a market. And last year, for perhaps the first
time, more capital was raised in the U.S. by issuing these so-called
unregistered securities than through IPOs on all the major stock exchanges
combined. Even more telling is that the large institutional investors
eligible to buy these unregistered securities are more than happy to oblige.
There is no selling without buying, and for the 144a market to overtake the
giant stock exchanges, institutional investors who control trillions of
dollars in capital must see better opportunities outside the regulations
built by Congress and the SEC.
In a sign of these times, none other than Nasdaq is
now stepping in to bring some greater order, liquidity and transparency to
the Rule 144a market. Any day now, the SEC is expected to propose giving the
green light to a Nasdaq project called Portal. Portal aims to be a central
clearing house for buyers and sellers of Section 144a securities. You will
still need to be a "qualified institutional buyer" to purchase 144a
securities. And the companies whose stocks change hands on Portal will still
need to meet the limitations on numbers of investors to offer their stock
there.
So Portal will not bring unregistered securities to
the masses -- at least not directly. It is forbidden to do so because the
entire U.S. regulatory system is designed to protect individual investors
from such things. What Portal will do, if it operates as intended, is make
the trading of Rule 144a securities easier and less costly. And this could,
in turn, further increase their attractiveness to issuers and investors
alike. Average investors will at least be able to participate indirectly via
mutual and pension funds, most of which meet the standards for "qualified
institutional buyers."
Given the limitations on eligibility for Rule 144a
assets, they will never replace our public markets. But their growth is one
more sign that investors, far from valuing current regulation, are seeking
ways to avoid its costs and complications. Nasdaq's participation is
especially notable given its stake as an established public exchange. Nasdaq
seems to have concluded that there is a new market opportunity created by
overregulation, so it is following the money.
This leaves our politicians with two choices. They
can move to meddle with and diminish this second securities market -- which
will only drive more business away from U.S. shores. Or they can address the
overregulation that is hurting public markets and prompting both investors
and companies to seek alternatives.
With all
of the bad weather here in the East, this aging number cruncher has had his
hands full with scraping and shoveling. But I just had to take a break and
comment on Twitter’s recent Form 8-K (February 5, 2014), particularly given
the Company CEO’s comments last Fall on the importance of transparency to
being a good leader.
According to
Kurt Wagner of Mashable, CEO Dick Costolo said the
following about transparency at a TechCrunch Disrupt event last September:
The way you build trust
with your people is by being forthright and clear with them from day
one. You may think people are fooled when you tell them what they want
to hear. They are not fooled. As a leader, people are always looking at
you. Don't lose their trust by failing to provide transparency in your
decisions and critiques.
Well, when you go “on the record” about one
of my favorite themes, I just had to give Twitter’s 8-K a look. And what did
I find? Apparently, Twitter’s CFO does not share the same
transparency philosophy as his boss.
But before I
begin, I thought it useful to report on the accuracy of some predictions
that I made about Twitter’s financial performance before the Company’s IPO.
In “What
Will Twitter’s Financials Really Tell Us?”,
I took a shot at forecasting the Company’s post-IPO balance sheet using a
comp group consisting of Facebook, Sina Corp, Yelp Inc., and Meetme Inc. And
while the average revenue to assets percentage for this comp group (46.84%)
yielded total assets of only $1.3 billion instead of $3.4 billion, the
forecasted balance sheet category percentages were quite close as
illustrated in the following table:
Continued in article
Moral Hazard: Hedge Fund Shorts
Hi
Dean,
Thank you for the kind words.
Hedge fund shorts are often used in expectations to re-buy. You might take a
look at the following:
"Subprime crisis: the lay-out of a puzzle: An empirical investigation into the
worldwide financial consequences of the U.S. subprime crisis" ---
http://oaithesis.eur.nl/ir/repub/asset/5163/0509ma281597wm.pdf
. . .
Market neutral strategy: This strategy focusses on
profits made either by arbitrage in a market neutral investment or by
arbitrage over time, for instance investing in futures and shorting the
underlying. This strategy was obtained by the Long-Term Capital Management
fund of Nobel Prize laureates Myron Scholes and Robert C. Merton.
Short selling strategy: The hedge fund shorts
securities in expectation of a rebuy at a lower price at a future date. This
lower price is a result of overconfidence of the other party, who thought
they had bought an undervalued asset.
Special situations: A popular and probably the most
well-known strategy is the behaviour of hedge fund in special situations
like mergers, hostile takeovers, reorganisations or leveraged buy-outs.
Hedge funds often buy stocks from the distressed company, thereby trying to
profit from a difference in the initial offering price and the price that
ultimately has to be paid for the stock of the company.
Timing strategy: The manager of the hedge fund tries
to time his entrance to or exit from a market as good as possible. High
returns can be generated when investing at the start of a bull market or
exiting at the start of a bear market.
All eyes are on the CEO, who has gone without sleep
for several days while desperately scrambling to pull a rabbit out of an
empty hat. Staffers, lawyers, advisors, accountants, and consultants scurry
around the company headquarters with news and rumors: the stock price fell
20 percent in the last hour, another of the private equity firms considering
a bid has pulled out, stock traders are passing on obscene jokes about the
company's impending death, the sovereign wealth fund that agreed to put in
$1 billion last fall is screaming at the CFO, hedge fund shorts are
whispering that the commercial paper dealers won't renew the debt tomorrow,
the Treasury and the Fed aren't returning the CEO's calls about bailout
money, six satellite trucks—no, seven now—are parked in front of the
building, and reporters with camera crews are ambushing any passing employee
for sound bites about the prospects of losing their jobs.
Chaos.
In the midst of this, the board of directors—the
supposedly well-informed, responsible, experienced, accountable group of
leaders elected by the shareholders, who are legally and ethically required
to protect the thousands of people who own the company—are . . . where? You
would expect to them to be at the center of the action, but they are merely
spectators with great seats. Some huddle together over a computer screen in
a corner of the boardroom, watching cable news feeds and stock market
reports that amplify the company's death rattles around the world; others
sit beside a speakerphone, giving updates to board colleagues who couldn't
make it in person. Meetings are scheduled, canceled, and rescheduled as the
directors wait, hoping for good news but anticipating the worst.
The atmosphere is a little like that of a family
waiting room outside an intensive care unit—a quiet, intense churning of
dread and resignation. There will be some reminiscing about how well things
seemed to be going not so long ago, some private recriminations about
questions never asked or risks poorly understood, a general feeling of
helplessness, a touch of anger at the senior executives for letting it come
to this, and anticipation of the embarrassment they'll feel when people
whisper about them at the club. Surprisingly, though, there's not a lot of
fear. Few of the directors are likely to have a significant part of their
wealth tied up in the company; legal precedents and insurance policies
insulate them from personal liability. Between 1980 and 2006, there were
only thirteen cases in which outside directors—almost all, other than Enron
and WorldCom, for tiny companies—had to settle shareholder lawsuits with
their own money. (Ten of the Enron outside directors who settled—without
admitting wrongdoing—paid only 10 percent of their prior net gains from
selling Enron stock; eight other directors paid nothing. A number of them
have remained on other boards.) More significant, the CEO who over shadowed
the board will hardly hurt at all, and will probably leave with the tens or
even hundreds of millions of dollars that the directors guaranteed in an
employment contract.
So they sit and wait—the board of directors of this
giant company, who were charged with steering it along the road to profit
and prosperity. In the middle of the biggest crisis in the life of the
company, they are essentially backseat passengers. The controls, which they
never truly used, are of no help as the company hurtles over a cliff, taking
with it the directors' reputations and the shareholders' money. What they
are waiting for is the dull thud signaling the end: a final meeting with the
lawyers and investment bankers, and at last, the formality of signing the
corporate death certificate—a bankruptcy filing, a forced sale for cents on
the dollar, or a government takeover that wipes out the shareholders. The
CEO and the lawyers, as usual, will tell the directors what they must do.
THIS IS NOT JUST A GLOOMY, hypothetical fable about
how an American business might possibly fail, with investors unprotected,
company value squandered, and the governance of enormous and important
companies breaking down. This is, unfortunately, a real scenario that has
been repeated time and again during the recent economic meltdown, as
companies have exploded like a string of one-inch firecrackers. When the
spark runs up the spine of the tangled, interconnected fuses, they blow up
one by one.
Something is wrong here. As Warren Buffett observed
in his 2008 letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders, "You only learn who
has been swimming naked when the tide goes out—and what we are witnessing at
some of our largest financial institutions is an ugly sight."
Just look at some of the uglier sights. Merrill
Lynch, General Motors, and Lehman Brothers, three stalwart American
companies, are only a few examples of corporate collapses in which
shareholders were burned. The sleepy complicity and carelessness of their
boards have been especially devastating. Yet almost all the public attention
has focused on the greed or recklessness or incompetence of the CEOs rather
than the negligence of the directors who were supposed to protect the
shareholders and who ought to be held equally, if not more, accountable
because the CEOs theoretically work for them.
Why have boards of directors escaped blame?
Probably because boards are opaque entities to most people, even to many
corporate executives and institutional investors. Individual shareholders,
who might have small positions in a number of companies, know very little
about who these board members are and what they are supposed to be doing.
Their names appear on the generic, straight-to-the-wastebasket proxy forms
that shareholders receive; beyond that, they're ciphers. Directors rarely
talk in public, maintaining a code of silence and confidentiality;
communications with shareholders and journalists are invariably delegated to
corporate PR or investor relations departments. They are protected by a vast
array of lawyers, auditors, investment bankers, and other professional
services gatekeepers who keep them out of trouble for a price. At most,
shareholders might catch a glimpse of the nonexecutive board members if they
bother to attend the annual meeting. Boards work behind closed doors, leave
few footprints, and maintain an aura of power and prestige symbolized by the
grand and imposing boardrooms found in most large companies. Much of this
lack of transparency is deliberate because it reduces accountability and
permits a kind of Wizard of Oz "pay no attention to the man behind the
curtain" effect. (It is very likely to be a man. Only 15.2 percent of the
directors of our five hundred largest companies are women.) The opacity also
serves to hide a key problem: despite many directors being intelligent,
experienced, well-qualified, and decent people who are tough in other
aspects of their professional lives, too many of them become meek, collegial
cheerleaders when they enter the boardroom. They fail to represent
shareholders' interests because they are beholden to the CEOs who brought
them aboard. It's a dangerous arrangement.
On behalf of the shareholders who actually own the
company and are risking their money in anticipation of a commensurate return
on their investments, boards are elected to monitor, advise, and direct the
managers hired to run the company. They have a fiduciary duty to protect the
interests of shareholders. Yet, too often, boards have become enabling
lapdogs rather than trust-worthy watchdogs and guides.
There are, unfortunately, dozens of cases to choose
from to illustrate the seriousness of the situation. Merrill, GM, and Lehman
are instructive because they were companies no one could imagine failing,
although, in truth, they fostered such dysfunctional and conflicted
corporate leadership that their collapses should have been foretold. As you
read their obituaries, viewer discretion is advised. You should think of the
money paid to the executives and directors, as well as the losses in stock
value, not as the company's money, as it is so often portrayed in news
accounts, but as your money—because it is, in fact, coming from your
mutual funds, your 401(k)s, your insurance premiums, your savings account
interest, your mortgage rates, your paychecks, and your costs for goods and
services. Also, think of the impact on ordinary people losing their
retirement savings, their jobs, their homes, or even just the bank or
factory or car dealership in their towns. Then add the trillions of
taxpayers' dollars spent to prop up some of the companies' remains and,
finally, consider the legacy of debt we're leaving for the next generation.
———
DURING MOST OF HIS nearly six years at the top of
Merrill Lynch, Stanley O'Neal simultaneously held the titles of chairman,
CEO, and president. He required such a high degree of loyalty that insiders
referred to his senior staff as the Taliban. O'Neal had hand-picked eight of
the firm's ten outside board members. One of them, John Finnegan, had been a
friend of O'Neal's for more than twenty years and had worked with him in the
General Motors treasury department; he headed Merrill's compensation
committee, which set O'Neal's pay. Another director on the committee was
Alberto Cribiore, a private equity executive who had once tried to hire
O'Neal.
Executives who worked closely with O'Neal say that
he was ruthless in silencing opposition within Merrill and singleminded in
seeking to beat Goldman Sachs in its profitability and Lehman Brothers in
the risky business of packaging and selling mortgage-backed securities. "The
board had absolutely no idea how much of this risky stuff was actually on
the books; it multiplied so fast," one O'Neal colleague said. The colleague
also noted that the directors, despite having impressive rÉsumÉs, were
chosen in part because they had little financial services experience and
were kept under tight control. O'Neal "clearly didn't want anybody asking
questions."
For a while, the arrangement seemed to work. In a
triumphal letter to shareholders in the annual report issued in February
2007, titled "The Real Measure of Success." O'Neal proclaimed 2006 "the most
successful year in [the company's] history—financially, operationally and
strategically," while pointing out that "a lot of this comes down to
leadership." The cocky message ended on a note of pure hubris: "[W]e can and
will continue to grow our business, lead this incredible force of global
capitalism and validate the tremendous confidence that you, our
shareholders, have placed in this organization and each of us."
The board paid O'Neal $48 million in salary and
bonuses for 2006—one of the highest compensation packages in corporate
America. But only ten months later, after suffering a third-quarter loss of
$2.3 billion and an $8.4 billion writedown on failed investments—the largest
loss in the company's ninety-three-year history, exceeding the net earnings
for all of 2006—the board began to understand the real measure of failure.
The directors discovered, seemingly for the first time, just how much risk
Merrill had undertaken in becoming the industry leader in subprime mortgage
bonds and how overleveraged it had become to achieve its targets. They also
caught O'Neal initiating merger talks without their knowledge with Wachovia
Bank, a deal that would have resulted in a personal payout of as much as
$274 million for O'Neal if he had left after its completion—part of his
board-approved employment agreement. During August and September 2007, as
Merrill was losing more than $100 million a day, O'Neal managed to play at
least twenty rounds of golf and lowered his handicap from 10.2 to 9.1.
Apparently due to sheer embarrassment as the
company's failures made headlines, the board finally ousted O'Neal in
October but allowed him to "retire" with an exit package worth $161.5
million on top of the $70 million he'd received during his time as CEO and
chairman. The board then began a frantic search for a new CEO, because, as
one insider confirmed to us, it "had done absolutely no succession planning"
and O'Neal had gotten rid of anyone among the 64,000 employees who might
have been a credible candidate. For the first time since the company's
founding, the board had to look outside for a CEO. In spite of having shown
a disregard for shareholders and a distaste for balanced governance, O'Neal
was back in a boardroom within three months, this time as a director of
Alcoa, serving on the audit committee and charged with overseeing the
aluminum company's risk management and financial disclosure.
At the Merrill Lynch annual meeting in April 2008,
Ann Reese, the head of the board's audit committee, fielded a question from
a shareholder about how the board could have missed the massive risks
Merrill was undertaking in the subprime mortgage-backed securities and
collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) that had ballooned from $1 billion to
$40 billion in exposure for the firm in just eighteen months. Amazingly,
since it is almost unheard of for a director of a company to answer
questions in public, Reese was willing to talk. This was refreshing and
might have provided some insight for shareholders, except that what she said
was curiously detached and unabashed. "The CDO position did not come to the
board's attention until late in the process," she said, adding that
initially the board hadn't been aware that the most troublesome securities
were, in fact, backed by mortgages.
Merrill's new CEO and chairman, John Thain, jumped
in after Reese, saying that the board shouldn't be criticized based on
"20/20 hindsight" even though he had earlier admitted in an interview with
the Wall Street Journal that "Merrill had a risk committee. It just
didn't function." As it happens, Reese, over a cup of English tea, had
helped recruit Thain, who lived near her in Rye, New York. Thain had
received a $15 million signing bonus upon joining Merrill and by the time of
the shareholders' meeting was just completing the $1.2 million refurnishing
of his office suite that was revealed after the company was sold.
Lynn Turner, who served as the SEC's chief
accountant from 1998 to 2001 and later as a board member for several large
public companies, recalled that he spoke about this period to a friend who
was a director at Merrill Lynch in August 2008. "This is a very well-known,
intelligent person," Turner said, "and they tell me, 'You know, Lynn, I've
gone back through all this stuff and I can't think of one thing I'd have
done differently.' My God, I can guarantee you that person wasn't qualified
to be a director! They don't press on the issues. They get into the
boardroom—and I've been in these boardrooms—and they're all too chummy and
no one likes to create confrontation. So they get together five times a year
or so, break bread, all have a good conversation for a day and a half, and
then go home. How in the hell could you be a director at Merrill Lynch and
not know that you had a gargantuan portfolio of toxic assets? If people on
the outside could see the problem, then why couldn't the directors?"
The board was so disconnected from the company that
when Merrill shareholders met in December 2008 to approve the company's sale
to Bank of America after five straight quarterly losses totaling $24 billion
and a near-brush with bankruptcy, not a single one of the nine nonexecutive
directors even attended the meeting. Finance committee chair and former IRS
commissioner Charles Rossotti, reached at home in Virginia by a reporter,
wouldn't say why he wasn't there: "I'm just a director, and I think any
questions you want to have, you should direct to the company." The board
missed an emotional statement by Winthrop Smith, Jr., a former Merrill
banker and the son of a company founder. In a speech that used the word
shame some fourteen times, he said, "Today is not the result of the
subprime mess or synthetic CDOs. They are the symptoms. This is the story of
failed leadership and the failure of a board of directors to understand what
was happening to this great company, and its failure to take action soon
enough . . . Shame on them for not resigning."
When Merrill Lynch first opened its doors in 1914,
Charles E. Merrill announced its credo: "I have no fear of failure, provided
I use my heart and head, hands and feet—and work like hell." The firm died
as an independent company five days short of its ninety-fifth birthday. The
Merrill Lynch shareholders, represented by the board, lost more than $60
billion.
AT A JUNE 6, 2000, stockholders annual meeting,
General Motors wheeled out its newly appointed CEO, Richard Wagoner, who
kicked off the proceedings with an upbeat speech. "I'm pleased to report
that the state of the business at General Motors Corporation is strong," he
proclaimed. "And as suggested by the baby on the cover of our 1999 annual
report, we believe our company's future opportunities are virtually
unlimited." Nine years later, the GM baby wasn't feeling so well, as the
disastrous labor and health care costs and SUV-heavy product strategy caught
up with the company in the midst of skyrocketing gasoline prices and a
recession. GM's stock price fell some 95 percent during Wagoner's tenure;
the company last earned a profit in 2004 and lost more than $85 billion
while he was CEO. Nevertheless, the GM board consistently praised and
rewarded Wagoner's performance. In 2003, it elected him to also chair the
board, and in 2007—a year the company had lost $38.7 billion—it increased
his compensation by 64 percent to $15.7 million.
GM's lead independent director was George M. C.
Fisher, who himself presided over major strategic miscues as CEO and
chairman at Motorola, where the Iridium satellite phone project he initiated
was subsequently written off with a $2.6 billion loss, and later at Kodak,
where he was blamed for botching the shift to digital photography. Fisher
clearly had little use for shareholders. He once told an interviewer
regarding criticism of his tenure at Kodak that "I wish I could get
investors to sit down and ask good questions, but some people are just too
stupid." More than half the GM board was composed of current or retired
CEOs, including Stan O'Neal, who left in 2006, citing time constraints and
concerns over potential conflicts with his role at Merrill that had somehow
not been an issue during the previous five years.
Upon GM's announcement in August 2008 of another
staggering quarterly loss—this time of $15.5 billion—Fisher told a reporter
that "Rick has the unified support of the entire board to a person. We are
absolutely convinced we have the right team under Rick Wagoner's leadership
to get us through these difficult times and to a brighter future." Earlier
that year, Fisher had repeatedly endorsed Wagoner's strategy and said that
GM's stock price was not a major concern of the board. Given that all
thirteen of GM's outside directors together owned less than six
one-hundredths of one percent of the company's stock, that perhaps shouldn't
have been much of a surprise.
Wagoner relished his carte blanche relationship
with GM's directors: "I get good support from the board," he told a
reporter. "We say, 'Here's what we're going to do and here's the time
frame,' and they say, 'Let us know how it comes out.' They're not making the
calls about what to do next. If they do that, they don't need me." What GM's
leaders were doing with the shareholders' dwindling money was doubling their
bet on gas-guzzling SUVs because they provided GM's highest profit margins
at the time. As GM vice chairman Robert Lutz told the New York Times
in 2005: "Everybody thinks high gas prices hurt sport utility sales. In fact
they don't . . . Rich people don't care."
But what seemed good for GM no longer was good for
the country—or for GM's shareholders.
Ironically, GM had been widely praised in the early
1990s for creating a model set of corporate governance reforms in the wake
of major strategic blunders and failed leadership that had resulted in
unprecedented earnings losses. In 1992, the board fired the CEO, appointed a
nonexecutive chairman, and issued twenty-eight structural guidelines for
insuring board independence from management and increasing oversight of
long-term strategy. BusinessWeek hailed the GM document as a "Magna
Carta for Directors" and the company's financial performance improved for a
time. The reform initiatives, however, lasted about as long as the tailfin
designs on a Cadillac. Within a few years, despite checking most of the good
governance structural boxes, the CEO was once again also the board chairman,
the directors had backslid fully to a subservient "let us know how it comes
out" role, and the executives were back behind the wheel.
In November 2005, when GM's stock price was still
in the mid-20s, Ric Marshall, the chief analyst of the Corporate Library, a
governance rating service that focuses on board culture and CEO-board
dynamics, wrote: "Despite its compliance with most of the best practices
believed to comprise 'good governance,' the current General Motors board
epitomizes the sad truth that compliance alone has very little to do with
actual board effectiveness. The GM board has failed repeatedly to address
the key strategic questions facing this onetime industrial giant, exposing
the firm not only to a number of legal and regulatory worries but the very
real threat of outright business failure. Is GM, like Chrysler some years
ago, simply too big to fail? We're not sure, but it seems increasingly
likely that GM shareholders will soon find out."
By the time Wagoner was fired in March 2009, at the
instigation of the federal officials overseeing the massive bailout of the
company, the stock had dropped to the $2 range and GM had already run
through $13.4 billion in taxpayers' money. In spite of this, some directors
still couldn't wean themselves from Wagoner, and were reportedly furious
that his dismissal occurred without their consent. Others were mortified by
what had happened to the company. One prominent director, who had diligently
tried to help the company change course before it was too late, had
eventually quit the board out of frustration with the "ridiculous
bureaucracy and a thumb-sucking board that led to GM making cars that no one
wanted to buy." Another director who left the board recalled asking Wagoner
and his executive team in 2006 for a five-year plan and projections. "They
said they didn't have that. And most of the guys in the room didn't seem to
care."
The GM shareholders, represented by the board, lost
more than $52 billion.
IN A COMPANY as large and complex as Lehman
Brothers, you would expect the board to be seasoned, astute, dynamic, and
up-to-date on risks it was undertaking with the shareholders' money. Yet the
only nonexecutive director, out of ten, with any recent banking experience
was Jerry Grundhofer, the retired head of U.S. Bancorp, who had joined the
board exactly five months before Lehman's spectacular collapse into
bankruptcy. Nine of the independent directors were retired, including five
who were in their seventies and eighties. Their backgrounds hardly seemed
suited to overseeing a sophisticated and complicated financial entity: the
members included a theatrical producer, the former CEO of a Spanish-language
television company, a retired art-auction company executive, a retired CEO
of Halliburton, a former rear admiral who had headed the Girl Scouts and
served on the board of Weight Watchers International, and, until two years
before Lehman's downfall, the eighty-three-year-old actress and socialite
Dina Merrill, who sat on the board for eighteen years and served on the
compensation committee, which approved CEO Richard Fuld's $484 million in
salary, stock, options, and bonuses from 2000 to 2007. Whatever their
qualifications, the directors were well compensated, too. In 2007, each was
paid between $325,038 and $397,538 for attending a total of eight full board
meetings.
The average age of the Lehman board's risk
committee was just under seventy. The committee was chaired by the
eighty-one-year-old economist Henry Kaufman, who had last worked at a Wall
Street investment bank some twenty years in the past and then started a
consulting firm. He is exactly the type of director found on many boards—a
person whose prestigious credentials are meant to reassure shareholders and
regulators that the company is being well monitored and advised. Then they
are ignored.
Kaufman had been on the Lehman board for thirteen
years. Even in 2006 and 2007, as Lehman's borrowing skyrocketed and the firm
was vastly increasing its holdings of very risky securities and commercial
real estate, the risk committee met only twice each year. Kaufman was known
as "Dr. Doom" back in the 1980s because of his consistently pessimistic
forecasts as Salomon Brothers' chief economist, but he seems not to have
been very persuasive with Lehman's executives in getting them to limit the
massive borrowing and risks they were taking on as the mortgage bubble
continued to over-inflate.
In an April 2008 interview, Kaufman offered an
insight that might have been more timely and helpful a few years earlier in
both the Lehman boardroom and Washington, D.C.: "If we don't improve the
supervision and oversight over financial institutions, in another seven,
eight, nine, or ten years, we may have a crisis that's bigger than the one
we have today. . . . Usually what's happened is that financial markets move
to the competitive edge of risk-taking unless there is some constraint."
With little to no internal supervision, oversight, or constraint having been
provided by its board, the bigger crisis for Lehman came sooner rather than
later, and it collapsed just four and a half months later.
After Lehman's demise, Kaufman has continued to
offer advice to others. Without a trace of irony or guilt, he said to
another interviewer in July 2009, "If you want to take risks, you've got to
have the capital to do it. But, you can't do it with other people's money
where the other people are not well informed about the risk taking of that
institution." In his recent book on financial system reform (which largely
blames the Federal Reserve for the financial meltdown and has an entire
section listing his own "prophetic" warnings about the economy), Kaufman
neglects to mention either his role at Lehman or his missing the warning
signs when he personally invested and lost millions in Bernie Madoff's Ponzi
scheme. He does, however, note that "The shabby events of the recent past
demonstrate that people in finance cannot and should not escape public
scrutiny."
Dr. Doom did heed his own economic advice, while
providing an instructive case of exquisite timing—as well as of having your
cake, eating it too, and then patting yourself on the back for warning
others of the caloric dangers of cake. Lehman securities filings show that
about ten months before Lehman stock went to zero, Kaufman cashed in more
than half of the remaining stock options that had been given to him for
protecting shareholders' interests. He made nearly $2 million in profits.
"The Lehman board was a joke and a disgrace," said
a former senior investment banker who now serves as a director for several
S&P 500 companies. "Asleep at the switch doesn't begin to describe it." The
autocratic Richard Fuld, whose nickname at the firm was "the Gorilla," had
joined Lehman in 1969 when his air force career ended after he had a
fistfight with a commanding officer. He served since 1994 as both CEO and
chairman of the board, an inherent conflict in roles that still occurs at 61
percent of the largest U.S. companies.
A lawsuit filed in early 2009 by the New Jersey
Department of Investment alleges that $118 million in losses to the state
pension fund resulted from fraud and misrepresentation by Lehman's
executives and the board. The role of the board is described in scathing
terms:
The supine Board that defendant Fuld handpicked provided no backstop to
Lehman's executives' zealous approach to the Company's risk profile, real
estate portfolio, and their own compensation. The Director Defendants were
considered inattentive, elderly, and woefully short on relevant structured
finance background. The composition of the Board according to a recent
filing in the Lehman bankruptcy allowed defendant "Fuld to marginalize the
Directors, who tolerated an absence of checks and balances at Lehman." Due
to his long tenure and ubiquity at Lehman, defendant Fuld has been able to
consolidate his power to a remarkable degree. Defendant Fuld was both the
Chairman of the Board and the CEO . . . The Director Defendants acted as a
rubber stamp for the actions of Lehman's senior management. There was little
turnover on the Board. By the date of Lehman's collapse, more than half of
the Director Defendants had served for twelve or more years."
John Helyar is one of the authors of Barbarians
at the Gate, which documents the fall of RJR Nabisco in the 1980s. He
also cowrote a five-part series for Bloomberg.com on Lehman Brothers'
collapse. Helyar was a keen observer of those companies' boards when they
folded. "The few people on the Lehman board who actually had relevant
experience were kind of like an all-star team from the 1980s back for an
old-timers' game in which they weren't even up on the new rules and
equipment," Helyar told us. "Fuld selected them because he didn't want to be
challenged by anyone. Most of the top executives didn't understand the risks
they were taking, so can you imagine a septuagenarian sitting in the
boardroom getting a PowerPoint presentation on synthetic CDOs and credit
default swaps?"
In a conference call announcing the firm's 2008
third-quarter loss of $3.9 billion, Fuld told analysts, "I must say the
board's been wonderfully supportive." Four days later the 159-year-old
company declared the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history. The Lehman
shareholders, represented by the board, lost more than $45 billion.
THE DISASTERS at Merrill Lynch, GM, and Lehman were
not isolated instances of hubris, incompetence, and negligence. Similar
stories of boards and CEOs failing to do their jobs on behalf of the
companies' owners can be told about Countrywide, Citigroup, AIG, Fannie Mae,
Bank of America, Washington Mutual, Wachovia, Sovereign Bank, Bear Stearns,
and most of the other companies directly involved in the recent financial
meltdown, as well as many nonfinancial businesses whose governance-related
troubles came to light in the resulting recession. In the short term, the
result has been the loss of hundreds of billions of dollars for
shareholders, and economic devastation for employees and others caught in
the wake. In the long term, a growing crisis of confidence among investors
could cripple our economy, as capital is diverted away from American
corporate debt and equity markets and companies suffocate from lack of
funding.
Investor mistrust takes hold fast and punishes
instantly in the modern economy. Enron, once America's seventh-largest
corporation, crashed in a mere three weeks once the scope of its failures
and corruption was exposed and its investors and creditors began to withdraw
their funds. Today's collapses can happen even faster. Because the companies
are larger, their operations more interconnected, and their financing so
complex and subject to hair-trigger reactions from institutional investors
with enormous trading positions, the impacts are greatly magnified and
reverberate globally. Bear Stearns went from its CEO claiming on CNBC that
"our liquidity position has not changed at all" to being insolvent two days
later.
Of the world's two hundred largest economies, more
than half are corporations. They have more influence on our lives than any
other institution—not just profound economic clout, but also enormous
political, environmental, and civic power. As they have grown in influence,
they have also become more concentrated: In 1950, the 100 largest industrial
companies owned approximately 40 percent of total U.S. industrial assets; by
the 1990s, they controlled 75 percent. Global corporations have assumed the
authority and impact that formerly belonged to governments and churches.
Boards of directors are supposed to be the most important element of
corporate leadership—the ultimate power in this economic universe—and while
some companies have made progress during the past decade in improving
corporate governance, the recurring waves of scandals and the blatant
victimization of shareholders that appear in the wake of economic crashes
prove that our approach to leading corporations is badly in need of
fundamental reform.
Ideally, a board of directors is informed, active,
and advisory, and maintains an open but challenging relationship with the
company's CEO. In reality, this rarely happens. In most cases, board members
are beholden to CEOs for their very presence on the board, for their
renominations, their compensation, their perquisites, their committee
assignments, their agendas, and virtually all their information. Even
well-intentioned directors find themselves hopelessly compromised, badly
conflicted, and essentially powerless. Not that all blame can be put on
bullying, manipulative CEOs; many boards simply fail to do their jobs. They
allow themselves to be fooled by fraudulent accounting; they look away
during the squandering of company resources; they miss obvious strategic
shifts in the marketplace; they are blind to massive risks their firms
assume; they approve excessive executive pay; they neglect to prepare for
crises; they ignore blatant conflicts of interest; they condone a lax
ethical tone. The head of one of the world's largest and most successful
private equity firms told us that he considers the current model of
corporate boards "fundamentally broken."
Continued in article
Hope this helps,
Bob Jensen
Question
Why do sales (cash) discounts have such high annual percentage rates?
Hi Pat and Tom,
In theory there may be justification for not treating the entire
sales discount as interest revenue. When setting the amount of a sales
discount, a vendor may be factoring in considerations other than time value
of money.
Note the last paragraph and the wording “about the same.”
There’s another consideration that I’ve not seen raised anywhere.
If sales discounts are recorded net and the “Discount Not Taken” account is
considered interest revenue, some discounts are so great that they might be
a violation of usury law in many states of the United States.
This begs the question of why sales discounts have such high APR
amounts. The reason I think is that there are factors other than time value
of money built into sales discounts. One such factor is that sales discounts
may reduce the probabilities of bad debts. If a customer is on the edge and
has to ration payoffs of accounts payable, the vendors with the highest
sales discounts are likely to be paid off much faster than vendors with no
sales discounts. It would be stupid for a customer to miss a sales discount
and then ration payments of all accounts due at the end of the month.
Or put it in another way. Bad debt expense in reality is factored
into the gross price of goods sold by vendors on account. Vendors that offer
sales discounts are really rewarding customers who won’t become bad debts.
And there is another factor in setting a high APR for sales
discounts. Vendors may be trying to buy customer loyalty and goodwill among
their best customers who keep coming back in part because of the high sales
discounts (without reasoning that the vendor might treat them even better
with a lower gross price). This is what I would call a Dan Ariely argument
---
http://web.mit.edu/ariely/www/MIT/
Here’s the traditional basic accounting way “gross” sales
discounts have been taught for maybe 100 years or more.
It’s harder to find a video on the net method, possibly because
basic accounting instructors often only teach the gross method so as not to
complicate accounting instruction at the very earliest stages.
Bob Jensen
New Accounting Rule Lays Bare A Firm's Liability if
Transaction Is Later Disallowed by the IRS
CPA auditors have always considered their primary role as attesting to
full and fair corporate disclosures to investors and creditors under Generally
Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP). Now it turns out that this extends,
perhaps unexpectedly, to the government as well.
The probe, by the Senate's Permanent Subcommittee
on Investigations, appears to have been sparked by an accounting rule known
as FIN 48, which took effect in January. The rule for the first time
requires companies to disclose how much they have set aside to pay tax
authorities if certain tax-cutting transactions are successfully challenged
by the government. The disclosures require companies to attach a dollar
figure to tax-savings arrangements they think could be vulnerable.
Although intended to inform investors, the
disclosures also serve as a kind of road map for government authorities,
guiding them to companies that may have taken an aggressive stance on
tax-related arrangements.
The probe, by the Senate's Permanent Subcommittee
on Investigations, appears to have been sparked by an accounting rule known
as FIN 48, which took effect in January. The rule for the first time
requires companies to disclose how much they have set aside to pay tax
authorities if certain tax-cutting transactions are successfully challenged
by the government. The disclosures require companies to attach a dollar
figure to tax-savings arrangements they think could be vulnerable.
Although intended to inform investors, the
disclosures also serve as a kind of road map for government authorities,
guiding them to companies that may have taken an aggressive stance on
tax-related arrangements.
The FIN 48 disclosures generally reveal how much a
company has set aside in an accounting reserve called "unrecognized tax
benefits." The reserve represents the portion of the tax benefits realized
on a company's tax return that also hasn't been recognized in its financial
reporting.
In the letters, sent Aug. 23, Senate investigators
seek to obtain more details about the underlying transactions in the FIN 48
disclosures. One letter viewed by The Wall Street Journal asks the companies
to "describe any United States tax position or group of similar tax
positions that represents five percent or more of your total [unrecognized
tax benefit] for the period, including in the description of each whether
the tax position involved foreign entities or jurisdictions."
The subcommittee, led by Sen. Carl Levin (D.,
Mich.), has held numerous hearings on tax shelters, tax avoidance, and the
law firms and accounting firms that set up such structures.
The Senate's inquiry also includes questions about
other tax-cutting arrangements. For tax-cutting transactions on which
companies spent at least $1 million for legal fees or other costs, Senate
investigators are asking companies to identify the amount of the tax
benefit, as well as "the tax professional(s) who planned or designed the
transaction or structure and the law firm(s) that authored the tax opinion
or advice."
FASB Interpretation no. 48 (FIN 48), Accounting for
Uncertainty in Income Taxes, sets the threshold for recognizing the benefits
of tax return positions in financial statements as “more likely than not”
(greater than 50%) to be sustained by a taxing authority. The effect is most
pronounced where the uncertainty arises in the timing, amount or validity of
a deduction.
Thresholds applicable to tax practitioners have
been revised from a “realistic possibility” to “more likely than not” that a
tax position will be sustained, as set forth in the U.S. Troop Readiness,
Veterans’ Care, Katrina Recovery, and Iraq Accountability Appropriations Act
of 2007 that was signed into law in May.
A third threshold, that a tax position possesses a
“reasonable basis” in tax law, has been regarded as reflecting 25%
certainty. In addition, taxpayers are subject to penalties if an
understatement of liability is caused by a position that lacks “substantial
authority,” a threshold for which no percentage of certainty has been
established but has been regarded as between the reasonable-basis and
more-likely-than-not standards.
Being familiar with the different thresholds for
the reporting of uncertain tax positions can help CPAs effectively advocate
for their clients’ tax positions and be impartial in financial reporting.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review
on June 1, 2007
SUMMARY: FIN
48, entitled Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes--An
Interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109, was issued in June 2006
with an effective date of fiscal years beginning after December 15,
2006. As stated on the FASB's web site, "This Interpretation
prescribes a recognition threshold and measurement attribute for the
financial statement recognition and measurement of a tax position
taken or expected to be taken in a tax return. This Interpretation
also provides guidance on derecognition, classification, interest
and penalties, accounting in interim periods, disclosure, and
transition." See the summary of this interpretation at
http://www.fasb.org/st/summary/finsum48.shtml As noted in this
article, "in the past, companies had to reveal little information
about transactions that could face some risk in an audit by the IRS
or other government entities." Further, some concern about use of
deferred tax liability accounts to create so-called "cookie jar
reserves" useful in smoothing income contributed to development of
this interpretation's recognition, timing and disclosure
requirements. The article highlights an analysis of 361 companies by
Credit Suisse Group to identify those with the largest recorded
liabilities as an indicator of risk of future settlement with the
IRS over disputed amounts. One example given in this article is
Merck's $2.3 billion settlement with the IRS in February 2007 over a
Bermuda tax shelter; another is the same company's current dispute
with Canadian taxing authorities over transfer pricing. Financial
statement analysis procedures to compare the size of the uncertain
tax liability to other financial statement components and follow up
discussions with the companies showing the highest uncertain tax
positions also is described.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Summarize the requirements of Financial Interpretation No. 48,
Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes--An Interpretation of
FASB Statement No. 109 (FIN 48).
2.) In describing the FIN 48 requirements, the author of this
article states that "until now, there was generally no way to know
about" the accounting for reserves for uncertain tax positions. Why
is that the case?
3.) Some firms may develop "FIN 48 opinions" every time a tax
position is taken that could be questioned by the IRS or other tax
governing authority. Why might companies naturally want to avoid
having to document these positions very clearly in their own
records?
4.) Credit Suisse analysts note that the new FIN 48 disclosures
about unrecognized tax benefits provide investors with information
about risks companies are undertaking. Explain how this information
can be used for this purpose.
5.) How are the absolute amounts of unrecognized tax benefits
compared to other financial statement categories to provide a better
frame of reference for analysis? In your answer, propose a financial
statement ratio you feel is useful in assessing the risk described
in answer to question 4, and support your reasons for calculating
this amount.
6.) The amount of reserves recorded by Merck for unrecognized tax
benefits, tops the list from the analysis done by Credit Suisse and
the one done by Professors Blouin, Gleason, Mills and Sikes. Based
only on the descriptions given in the article, how did the two
analyses differ in their measurements? What do you infer from the
fact that Merck is at the top of both lists?
7.) Why are transfer prices among international operations likely to
develop into uncertain tax positions?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
IRS Commissioner Doug Shulman spoke at a conference
of the National Association of Corporate Directors that I attended earlier
this week. He covered the income tax risk issues that directors should be
concerned about. I thought this was a very good summary of both what
auditors and tax accountants should be interested in and I refer interested
parties to his posted remarks at:
http://media-newswire.com/release_1103133.html
SUMMARY: "Sony Corp.
warned it expects to post an annual loss of $3.2 billion, reversing a
previous prediction of a return to profitability as the Japanese electronics
giant struggles to recover from the March 11 earthquake and tsunami. Sony
said it would take a $4.4 billion write-off on a certain portion of deferred
tax assets in Japan, in what would be the company's third straight year of
red ink....Sony said that under U.S. accounting standards, a third straight
year of losses from the part of the company's operations based in Japan-due
partly to the yen's strength-raised questions over the validity of its
deferred tax assets in Japan."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is excellent for class use to cover deferred tax asset valuation
allowances but it also touches on supply chain issues. The article is as
well useful to discuss management forecasts (guidance), interim and annual
reporting practices in Japan, foreign private issuers' filings on Form 20-F,
and Sony's use of U.S. GAAP. One question also asks the students to consider
whether the effects of the Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami should be
expected to be treated as extraordinary under U.S. GAAP. By the time
students answer this last question, the company should have made its filing
on Form 20-F which will allow for verification of the assessment.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize your understanding of the announcement
that Sony has made and that is reported in this article. For what time
period is the company reporting? In your answer, comment on the usual fiscal
year-end date for Japanese companies.
2. (Introductory) What is a deferred tax asset? What is a deferred
tax asset valuation allowance?
3. (Introductory) For what reasons did Sony Corp. record deferred
tax assets? Why must the company now write them down by establishing
valuation allowances? In what reporting period will the company show the
charge for this write down as a deduction in determining net income?
4. (Advanced) Why does this deferred tax asset write-down become an
"admission that the March disaster has shattered its [Sony's] expectations
for a robust current fiscal year"?
5. (Advanced) Access the Filing on Form 6-K which describes the
investor briefing regarding the revision of management's forecast of
consolidated results that is reported on in thie article. The filing is
available at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/313838/000115752311003320/a6733820.htm
Explain your understanding of the importance of the taxable income shown by
"Sony Corporation as an unconsolidated unit and its consolidated tax filing
group companies in Japan" to the loss that will be reported by Sony.
6. (Advanced) Why does Sony focus on the impact of the Japanese
taxable income on accounting under U.S. GAAP? In your answer, comment on the
financial reporting requirements for companies traded on U.S. stock
exchanges.
7. (Introductory) What was the impact of the "Great East Japan
Earthquake" on sales and operating profits in the last fiscal year? In the
current year?
8. (Advanced) Do you think that the impact of the earthquake and
tsunami described above will be give extraordinary item treatment under U.S.
GAAP? Support your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Sony Corp. on Monday said it expects to post a $3.2
billion net loss for the just-ended fiscal year, blaming a $4.4 billion
write-off on a certain portion of deferred tax assets in Japan, in what
would be the company's third straight year of red ink.
The write-off is an admission from the
entertainment and electronics conglomerate that the March 11 earthquake and
tsunami has shattered its expectations for a robust current fiscal year.
While the disaster's direct impact on the company's operating profit wasn't
large, the post-quake outlook put Sony in a position where it had to set
aside reserves of 360 billion yen on certain deferred tax assets in its
fiscal fourth quarter.
Sony lowered its net outlook for the fiscal year
that ended in March to a loss of 260 billion yen from the profit of 70
billion yen it forecast in February. In the previous fiscal year, the
company racked up a loss of 40.8 billion yen.
The company, however, said it predicts a return to
profitability for the current business year through March 2012.
Sony said that under U.S. accounting standards, a
third straight year of losses from the part of the company's operations
based in Japan—due partly to the yen's strength—raised questions over the
validity of its deferred tax assets in Japan. But until March, Sony saw no
need to write off the assets.
"Until the quake hit, we had been counting on a
considerable recovery in earnings," in the current fiscal year, Sony Chief
Financial Office Masaru Kato said at a news briefing.
But conditions have changed drastically since the
earthquake and tsunami. In the wake of the disaster, Sony temporarily shut
10 plants in and around the quake-hit region. All but one of those plants
have since resumed operations, at least partially.
Sony said the disaster siphoned off 22 billion yen
from the company's sales and 17 billion yen from its operating profit in the
just-ended business year.
The company left its forecast for operating profit
unchanged at 200 billion yen, but lowered its revenue outlook to 7.18
trillion yen from 7.2 trillion yen.
Sony didn't disclose what it expects for the fiscal
fourth quarter, but according to a Dow Jones Newswires calculation, it is
estimated to have posted a net loss of 389.2 billion yen for the
January-March quarter. That compares with a loss of 56.57 billion yen a year
earlier.
Like other Japanese auto and electronics makers,
Sony continues to face uncertainties because its recovery prospects are
partially dependent on parts and materials suppliers, many of which have
also been affected by the quake.
"The supply-chain situation should recover
significantly in the second half of this fiscal year," Mr. Kato said.
In the current fiscal year, Sony estimates that the
quake is likely to have a negative impact of about 440 billion yen on sales
and 150 billion yen on operating profit, mainly through supply-chain
disruptions.
Despite the quake's expected impact, Sony said it
expects that its revenue will increase this fiscal year, and that its
operating profit will be about the same as the previous fiscal year.
Jensen Comment
I don't always agree with the the Grumps, especially on lease accounting where
they never really address really, really big issue of operating leases --- the
issue of lease renewals. In the case of deferred taxes I'm inclined to agree but
for a different reason. Deferred taxes constitute Reason 1,638,211 on how the
accounting standard setters relegated the concept of earnings to a black hole in
the universe.
SUMMARY: FIN 48, entitled Accounting for Uncertainty in
Income Taxes--An Interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109, was issued in
June 2006 with an effective date of fiscal years beginning after December
15, 2006. As stated on the FASB's web site, "This Interpretation prescribes
a recognition threshold and measurement attribute for the financial
statement recognition and measurement of a tax position taken or expected to
be taken in a tax return. This Interpretation also provides guidance on
derecognition, classification, interest and penalties, accounting in interim
periods, disclosure, and transition." See the summary of this interpretation
at
http://www.fasb.org/st/summary/finsum48.shtml As noted in this article,
"in the past, companies had to reveal little information about transactions
that could face some risk in an audit by the IRS or other government
entities." Further, some concern about use of deferred tax liability
accounts to create so-called "cookie jar reserves" useful in smoothing
income contributed to development of this interpretation's recognition,
timing and disclosure requirements. The article highlights an analysis of
361 companies by Credit Suisse Group to identify those with the largest
recorded liabilities as an indicator of risk of future settlement with the
IRS over disputed amounts. One example given in this article is Merck's $2.3
billion settlement with the IRS in February 2007 over a Bermuda tax shelter;
another is the same company's current dispute with Canadian taxing
authorities over transfer pricing. Financial statement analysis procedures
to compare the size of the uncertain tax liability to other financial
statement components and follow up discussions with the companies showing
the highest uncertain tax positions also is described.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Summarize the requirements of Financial Interpretation No. 48,
Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes--An Interpretation of FASB
Statement No. 109 (FIN 48).
2.) In describing the FIN 48 requirements, the author of this article states
that "until now, there was generally no way to know about" the accounting
for reserves for uncertain tax positions. Why is that the case?
3.) Some firms may develop "FIN 48 opinions" every time a tax position is
taken that could be questioned by the IRS or other tax governing authority.
Why might companies naturally want to avoid having to document these
positions very clearly in their own records?
4.) Credit Suisse analysts note that the new FIN 48 disclosures about
unrecognized tax benefits provide investors with information about risks
companies are undertaking. Explain how this information can be used for this
purpose.
5.) How are the absolute amounts of unrecognized tax benefits compared to
other financial statement categories to provide a better frame of reference
for analysis? In your answer, propose a financial statement ratio you feel
is useful in assessing the risk described in answer to question 4, and
support your reasons for calculating this amount.
6.) The amount of reserves recorded by Merck for unrecognized tax benefits,
tops the list from the analysis done by Credit Suisse and the one done by
Professors Blouin, Gleason, Mills and Sikes. Based only on the descriptions
given in the article, how did the two analyses differ in their measurements?
What do you infer from the fact that Merck is at the top of both lists?
7.) Why are transfer prices among international operations likely to develop
into uncertain tax positions?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 27,
2011
SUMMARY: "Sony
Corp. warned it expects to post an annual loss of $3.2 billion, reversing a
previous prediction of a return to profitability as the Japanese electronics
giant struggles to recover from the March 11 earthquake and tsunami. Sony
said it would take a $4.4 billion write-off on a certain portion of deferred
tax assets in Japan, in what would be the company's third straight year of
red ink....Sony said that under U.S. accounting standards, a third straight
year of losses from the part of the company's operations based in Japan-due
partly to the yen's strength-raised questions over the validity of its
deferred tax assets in Japan."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is excellent for class use to cover deferred tax asset valuation
allowances but it also touches on supply chain issues. The article is as
well useful to discuss management forecasts (guidance), interim and annual
reporting practices in Japan, foreign private issuers' filings on Form 20-F,
and Sony's use of U.S. GAAP. One question also asks the students to consider
whether the effects of the Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami should be
expected to be treated as extraordinary under U.S. GAAP. By the time
students answer this last question, the company should have made its filing
on Form 20-F which will allow for verification of the assessment.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize your understanding of the announcement
that Sony has made and that is reported in this article. For what time
period is the company reporting? In your answer, comment on the usual fiscal
year-end date for Japanese companies.
2. (Introductory) What is a deferred tax asset? What is a deferred
tax asset valuation allowance?
3. (Introductory) For what reasons did Sony Corp. record deferred
tax assets? Why must the company now write them down by establishing
valuation allowances? In what reporting period will the company show the
charge for this write down as a deduction in determining net income?
4. (Advanced) Why does this deferred tax asset write-down become an
"admission that the March disaster has shattered its [Sony's] expectations
for a robust current fiscal year"?
5. (Advanced) Access the Filing on Form 6-K which describes the
investor briefing regarding the revision of management's forecast of
consolidated results that is reported on in thie article. The filing is
available at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/313838/000115752311003320/a6733820.htm
Explain your understanding of the importance of the taxable income shown by
"Sony Corporation as an unconsolidated unit and its consolidated tax filing
group companies in Japan" to the loss that will be reported by Sony.
6. (Advanced) Why does Sony focus on the impact of the Japanese
taxable income on accounting under U.S. GAAP? In your answer, comment on the
financial reporting requirements for companies traded on U.S. stock
exchanges.
7. (Introductory) What was the impact of the "Great East Japan
Earthquake" on sales and operating profits in the last fiscal year? In the
current year?
8. (Advanced) Do you think that the impact of the earthquake and
tsunami described above will be give extraordinary item treatment under U.S.
GAAP? Support your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Sony Corp. on Monday said it expects to post
a $3.2 billion net loss for the just-ended fiscal year, blaming a $4.4
billion write-off on a certain portion of deferred tax assets in Japan, in
what would be the company's third straight year of red ink.
The write-off is an admission from the
entertainment and electronics conglomerate that the March 11 earthquake and
tsunami has shattered its expectations for a robust current fiscal year.
While the disaster's direct impact on the company's operating profit wasn't
large, the post-quake outlook put Sony in a position where it had to set
aside reserves of 360 billion yen on certain deferred tax assets in its
fiscal fourth quarter.
Sony lowered its net outlook for the fiscal
year that ended in March to a loss of 260 billion yen from the profit of 70
billion yen it forecast in February. In the previous fiscal year, the
company racked up a loss of 40.8 billion yen.
The company, however, said it predicts a
return to profitability for the current business year through March 2012.
Sony said that under U.S. accounting
standards, a third straight year of losses from the part of the company's
operations based in Japan—due partly to the yen's strength—raised questions
over the validity of its deferred tax assets in Japan. But until March, Sony
saw no need to write off the assets.
"Until the quake hit, we had been counting
on a considerable recovery in earnings," in the current fiscal year, Sony
Chief Financial Office Masaru Kato said at a news briefing.
But conditions have changed drastically
since the earthquake and tsunami. In the wake of the disaster, Sony
temporarily shut 10 plants in and around the quake-hit region. All but one
of those plants have since resumed operations, at least partially.
Sony said the disaster siphoned off 22
billion yen from the company's sales and 17 billion yen from its operating
profit in the just-ended business year.
The company left its forecast for operating
profit unchanged at 200 billion yen, but lowered its revenue outlook to 7.18
trillion yen from 7.2 trillion yen.
Sony didn't disclose what it expects for the
fiscal fourth quarter, but according to a Dow Jones Newswires calculation,
it is estimated to have posted a net loss of 389.2 billion yen for the
January-March quarter. That compares with a loss of 56.57 billion yen a year
earlier.
Like other Japanese auto and electronics
makers, Sony continues to face uncertainties because its recovery prospects
are partially dependent on parts and materials suppliers, many of which have
also been affected by the quake.
"The supply-chain situation should recover
significantly in the second half of this fiscal year," Mr. Kato said.
In the current fiscal year, Sony estimates
that the quake is likely to have a negative impact of about 440 billion yen
on sales and 150 billion yen on operating profit, mainly through
supply-chain disruptions.
Despite the quake's expected impact, Sony
said it expects that its revenue will increase this fiscal year, and that
its operating profit will be about the same as the previous fiscal year.
SUMMARY: In filing its prospectus for its initial public offering
(IPO), Groupon has removed from its documents "...an unconventional
accounting measurement that had attracted scrutiny from securities
regulators [adjusted consolidated segment operating income]. The unusual
measure, which the e-commerce had invented, paints a more robust picture of
its performance. Removal of the measure was in response to pressure from the
Securities and Exchange Commission...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce segment
reporting and the weaknesses of the required management reporting approach.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is Groupon's business model? How does it
generate revenues? What are its costs? Hint, to answer this question you may
access the Groupon, Inc. Form S-1 Registration Statement filed on June 2,
011 available on the SEC web site at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000104746911005613/a2203913zs-1.htm
2. (Advanced) Summarize the reporting that must be provided for any
business's operating segments. In your answer, provide a reference to
authoritative accounting literature.
3. (Advanced) Why must the amounts disclosed by operating segments
be reconciled to consolidated totals shown on the primary financial
statements for an entire company?
4. (Advanced) Access the Groupon, Inc. Form S-1 Registration
Statement filed on June 2, 011 and proceed to the company's financial
statements, available on the SEC web site at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000104746911005613/a2203913zs-1.htm#dm79801_selected_consolidated_financial_and_other_data
Alternatively, proceed from the registration statement, then click on Table
of Contents, then Selected Consolidated Financial and Other Data. Explain
what Groupon calls "adjusted consolidated segment operating income" (ACSOI).
What operating segments does Groupon, Inc., show?
5. (Introductory) Why is Groupon's "ACSOI" considered to be a
"non-GAAP financial measure"?
6. (Advanced) How is it possible that this measure of operating
performance could be considered to comply with U.S. GAAP requirements? Base
your answer on your understanding of the need to reconcile amounts disclosed
by operating segments to the company's consolidated totals. If it is
accessible to you, the second related article in CFO Journal may help answer
this question.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Groupon Inc. removed from its initial public
offering documents an unconventional accounting measurement that had
attracted scrutiny from securities regulators.
The unusual measure, which the e-commerce had
invented, paints a more robust picture of its performance. Removal of the
measure was in response to pressure from the Securities and Exchange
Commission, a person familiar with the matter said.
In revised documents filed Wednesday with the SEC,
the company removed the controversial measure, which had been highlighted in
the first three pages of its previous filing. But Groupon's chief executive
defended the term Wednesday. [GROUPON] Getty Images
Groupon, headquarters above, expects to raise about
$750 million.
Groupon had highlighted something it called
"adjusted consolidated segment operating income", or ACSOI. The measurement,
which doesn't include subscriber-acquisitions expenses such as marketing
costs, doesn't conform to generally accepted accounting principles.
Investors and analysts have said ACSOI draws
attention away from Groupon's marketing spending, which is causing big net
losses.
The company also disclosed Wednesday that its loss
more than doubled in the second quarter from a year ago, even as revenue
increased more than ten times.
By leaving ACSOI out of its income statements, the
company hopes to avoid further scrutiny from the SEC, the person familiar
with the matter said. The commission declined comment.
Groupon in June reported ACSOI of $60.6 million for
last year and $81.6 million for the first quarter of 2011. Under generally
accepted accounting principles, the company generated operating losses of
$420.3 million and $117.1 million during those periods.
Wednesday's filing included a letter from Groupon
Chief Executive Andrew Mason defending ACSOI. The company excludes marketing
expenses related to subscriber acquisition because "they are an up-front
investment to acquire new subscribers that we expect to end when this period
of rapid expansion in our subscriber base concludes and we determine that
the returns on such investment are no longer attractive," the letter said.
There was no mention of when that expansion will
end, but the person familiar with the matter said the company reevaluates
the figures weekly.
Groupon said it spent $345.1 million on online
marketing initiatives to acquire subscribers in the first half and that it
expects "to continue to expend significant amounts to acquire additional
subscribers."
The latest SEC filing also contains new financial
data. Groupon on Wednesday reported second-quarter revenue of $878 million,
up 36% from the first quarter. While the company's growth is still rapid,
the pace has slowed. Groupon's revenue jumped 63% in the first quarter from
the fourth.
The company's second-quarter loss was $102.7
million, flat sequentially and wider than the year-earlier loss of $35.9
million.
Groupon expects to raise about $750 million in a
mid-September IPO that could value the company at $20 billion.
The path to going public hasn't been easy. The
company had to file an amendment to its original SEC filing after a Groupon
executive told Bloomberg News the company would be "wildly profitable" just
three days after its IPO filing. Speaking publicly about the financial
projections of a company that has filed to go public is barred by SEC
regulations. Groupon said the comments weren't intended for publication.
Continued in article
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on September 30,
2011
SUMMARY: This article presents financial reporting and auditing
issues stemming from the Groupon planned IPO. Groupon originally filed for
an initial public offering in June 2011. At the time, the filing contained a
measure Adjusted Consolidated Segment Operating Income that is a non-GAAP
measure of performance. The SEC at the time required the company to change
its filing to use GAAP-based measures of performance. The SEC has continued
to scrutinize the Groupon financial statements and has required the company
to report revenue based only on the net receipts to the company from sales
of its coupons after sharing proceeds with the businesses for which it makes
the coupon offers.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful in financial
accounting and auditing classes. Instructors of financial accounting classes
may use the article to discuss reporting of the change in measuring revenues
and related costs. Instructors of auditing classes may use the article to
discuss non-standard audit reports. Links to SEC filings are included in the
questions. The video is long; discussion of Groupon's issues stops at 5:30.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) According to the article, what accounting and
disclosure issues have delayed the initial public offering of shares of
Groupon, Inc.? What overall economic and financial factors are also
affecting this timing?
2. (Introductory) What was the problem with Groupon CEO Andrew
Mason's letter to Groupon employees? Do you think Mr. Mason intended for
this letter to be made public outside of Groupon? Should he have reasonably
expected that to happen?
3. (Advanced) What accounting change forced restatement of the
financial statements included in the Groupon IPO filing documents? You may
access information about this restatement directly at the live link included
in the online version of the article.
http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/grouponrestatement20110923.pdf
4. (Introductory) According to the article, by how much was revenue
reduced due to this accounting change?
5. (Introductory) Access the full filing of the IPO documents on
the SEC's web site at
http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000104746911008207/a2205238zs-1a.htm
Proceed to the Consolidated Statements of Operations on page F-5. How are
these comparative statements presented to alert readers about the revenue
measurement issue?
6. (Advanced) Move back to examine the consolidated balance sheets
on page F-4. Do you think this accounting change for revenue measurement
affected net income as previously reported? Support your answer.
7. (Advanced) Proceed to footnote 2 on p. F-8. Does the disclosure
confirm your answer? Summarize the overall impact of these accounting
changes as described in this footnote.
8. (Advanced) What type of audit report has been issued on the
Groupon financial statements in this IPO filing? Explain the wording and
dating of the report that is required to fulfill requirements resulting from
the circumstances of these financial statements.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
SUMMARY: This article focuses on financial statement analysis of
the Groupon IPO filing documents including some references to cost measures.
"Forget the snappy 'adjusted consolidated segment operating income.' That
profit measure...was rightly rejected by regulators. It is the complete
absence of details on subscriber churn that is more problematic. How often
are folks unsubscribing from Groupon's daily emails?...The issue is
important since...the cost of adding new subscribers has increased quickly."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a financial
statement analysis or managerial accounting class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the overall concern about Groupon's
business condition that is expressed in this article?
2. (Advanced) The author states that the cost of adding new
subscribers has increased. How was this cost determined? How does this
calculation make the cost assessment comparable from one period to the next?
3. (Advanced) What does Groupon CEO Andrew Mason say about the
company's cost of acquiring customers? What income statement expense item
shows this cost? How does the increasing unit cost discussed in answer to
question 2 above bring the CEO's assertion into question?
4. (Advanced) In general, how does the author of this assess the
quality of the filing by Groupon for its initial public offering? Why should
that assessment impact the thoughts of an investor considering buying the
Groupon stock when it is offered?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Any action from G20 leaders who have focused on tax
havens and are promising reforms would be welcomed, as many countries are
losing tax revenues that could be used to improve social infrastructure.
However, none have made any commitment to force companies to explain how
their profits are inflated by tax avoidance schemes. This has serious
consequences for managing the domestic economy and equity between corporate
stakeholders.
Tax avoidance has created a mirage of large
corporate profits, which has turned many a CEO into a media star and even
secured knighthoods and peerages for some. Yet the profits have been
manufactured by a sleight of hand. Let us get back to the basics. To
generate wealth, at the very least, three kinds of capital need to be
invested. Shareholders invest finance capital and expect to receive a
return. Markets exert pressure for this to be maximised. Employees invest
human capital and expect to receive a return in the shape of wages and
salaries. Society invests social capital (health, education, family,
security, legal system) and expects a return in the shape of taxes. Over the
years, corporate tax rates have been reduced, but the return on social
capital is under constant attack by tax avoidance schemes. The aim is to
transfer the return accruing to society to shareholders. Companies have
reported higher profits, not because they undertook higher economic activity
or produced more desirable goods and services, but simply by expropriating
the returns due to society. This can only be maintained as long as
governments and civil society remain docile.
Companies engaging in tax avoidance schemes publish
higher profits but do not explain the impact of tax avoidance schemes on
these profits. Consequently, markets cannot make assessment of the quality
of their earnings, ie how much of the profit is due to production of goods
and services and thus sustainable, and how much is due to expropriation of
wealth from society. In the absence of such information, markets cannot make
a rational assessment of future cashflows accruing to shareholders.
Inevitably, market assessment of risk is mispriced and resources are
misallocated. By concealing tax avoidance schemes, companies have
deliberately provided misleading information to markets. The subsequent
imposition of penalties for tax avoidance, if any, will reduce future
company profits. But the cost will be borne by the then shareholders rather
than by the earlier shareholders who benefited from the tax scams. Thus the
secrecy surrounding tax avoidance schemes causes involuntary wealth
transfers and must also undermine confidence in corporations because they
are not willing to come clean.
Governments collect data on corporate profits to
gauge the health of the economy and develop economic policies. However, this
barometer is misleading too because it does not distinguish between normal
commercial sustainable profits and profits inflated by tax avoidance.
Company executives are major beneficiaries of tax
avoidance because their remuneration is frequently linked to reported
profits. They can increase these through production of goods and services,
but many have deliberately chosen to raid the taxes accruing to society.
Company executives could provide honest information and explain how much of
their remuneration is derived from the use of tax avoidance schemes, but
none have done so. As a result, no shareholder or regulator can make an
objective assessment of company performance, executive performance or
remuneration. By the time the taxman catches up with the company and imposes
fines and penalties, many an executive has moved on to newer pastures and is
not required to return remuneration to meet any portion of those penalties.
Seemingly, there are no penalties for artificially inflating executive
remuneration.
Under the UK Companies Act 2006, company directors
have a duty to avoid conflicts of interests. They are required to promote
the success of the company for the benefit of its members, which is taken to
mean "long-term increase in value" and must also publish "true and fair"
accounts. It is difficult to see how such obligations can be discharged by
systematic misleading of markets, shareholders, governments and taxpayers.
Hopefully, stakeholders will bring test cases.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 23,
2012
SUMMARY: The article describes a significant loss in one segment of
Walt Disney Co.'s operations, Studio Entertainment, based on poor box office
results for the first 10 days of the movie's release. The earnings guidance
being offered by management in advance of fiscal third quarter earnings, the
quarter will end at approximately March 31, 2012 based on a 52-week fiscal
year ending around September 30. Questions ask students to access financial
statement filings on Form 10-K and 10-Q to confirm information in the
article.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: NOTE: Instructors will want to delete the
following information: the answer to question 5 can be found in the 10-Q
filing for the quarter ended April 2, 2011 and filed on May 5, 2011, and
available at
http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/viewer?action=view&cik=1001039&accession_number=0001193125-11-134405&xbrl_type=v.
Click on notes to financial statements, Segment Information, and see the $77
million segment operating income for the Studio Entertainment segment in the
second panel.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the impact of one movie, "John Carter,"
on the operations of Walt Disney Co.?
2. (Introductory) Is this impact on Disney's total operations or
something else? Explain.
3. (Advanced) Based on information given in the article, determine
Walt Disney Co.'s fiscal year end date. Why do you think this company has
such a year end date?
4. (Advanced) Access the most recent filing of Walt Disney
Company's annual financial statements by clicking on the live link to Walt
Disney Co. in the article, scrolling down the page, and clicking on SEC
Filings in the lower right hand corner. Search for filings on Form 10-K.
Find information on Disney's operating segments and confirm your answers to
questions 2 and 3, explaining how you do so.
5. (Advanced) Disney "rarely offers such advance financial
guidance" as it is giving in the information on which this article reports.
Why do you think the company is doing so now?
6. (Advanced) According to the article, the expected loss of
between $80 million and $120 million Disney has announced compares to "an
operating profit of $77 million during the same quarter last year." In what
financial statement filing can you find that information?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Walt Disney Co. DIS +0.05% expects to lose $200
million on its science-fiction epic "John Carter," the company said on
Monday, citing the costly movie's weak box-office performance.
As a result, Disney added, its movie studio is
expected to report an operating loss of between $80 million and $120 million
for its fiscal second quarter, ending March 31. Disney won't report its
earnings for the quarter until May, and rarely offers such advance financial
guidance.
Walt Disney Co. DIS +0.05% expects to lose $200
million on its science-fiction epic "John Carter," the company said on
Monday, citing the costly movie's weak box-office performance.
As a result, Disney added, its movie studio is
expected to report an operating loss of between $80 million and $120 million
for its fiscal second quarter, ending March 31. Disney won't report its
earnings for the quarter until May, and rarely offers such advance financial
guidance.
Continued in article
Tutorial: FIN 48 from different perspectives Financial Accounting Standards Board Interpretation
No. 48 (FIN 48), Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes, is intended to
substantially reduce uncertainty in accounting for income taxes. Its
implementation and infrastructure requirements, however, generate a great deal
of uncertainty. This feature provides an overview of FIN 48, addresses some of
its federal and international tax issues, as well as issues arising at the state
and local level. AccountingWeb, June 2007 ---
http://www.accountingweb.com/cgi-bin/item.cgi?id=103625
General Motors Corp. will take a $39 billion,
noncash charge to write down deferred-tax credits, a signal that it expects
to continue to struggle financially despite significant restructuring and
cost cutting in the past two years.
The deferred-tax assets stem from losses and could
be used to offset taxes on current or future profits for a certain number of
years.
In after-hours trading, GM fell 2.9% to $35.14.
Before the disclosure, its shares finished at $36.16, up 16 cents, or less
than 1%, in New York Stock Exchange composite trading.
GM, the world's largest auto maker in vehicle
sales, was to report third-quarter financial results today. The company,
which was stung by big losses in 2005 and 2006, said the write-down was
triggered by three main issues: a string of adjusted losses in core North
American operations and Germany over the past three years, weakness at its
GMAC Financial Services unit, and the long duration of tax-deferred assets.
GM had appeared to be making progress in stemming
its losses. Its global automotive operations were profitable in the first
half of the year. It recently signed a labor deal with the United Auto
Workers that allows it to establish an independent trust to absorb its
approximately $50 billion in hourly retiree health-care liabilities. The
move promises to significantly reduce GM's cash health-care expenses and
combine with other labor-cost cuts in creating a more profitable North
American arm.
If it returns to steady profits, GM could remove
the valuation allowance and reclaim some or all of the $39 billion in
deferred credits.
For now, the massive charge promises to devastate
GM's headline financial results for the third quarter, and for the year,
likely leading to the worst annual loss in its 99-year history. Although the
charge is an accounting loss that doesn't involve cash, it is still a
staggering sum. By comparison, the company reported a total of $34 billion
in net income from 1996 to 2004.
GM will partially offset the charge with a gain of
more than $5 billion related to the sale of its Allison Transmission unit.
The charge follows more than $12 billion in losses
since the beginning of 2005. GM has been scrambling to cut the size of its
U.S. operation amid shrinking market share, rising costs and a rapidly
globalizing auto industry. Its restructuring has been complicated by a
slowdown in U.S. demand for automobiles and losses at GMAC.
The lending giant lost $1.6 billion in the third
quarter, the biggest quarterly setback since at least the 1960s. It made
money on auto lending and insurance but was dragged down by a $1.8 billion
setback at ResCap, its residential-mortgage business and a big player in
subprime loans. GM's exposure is limited because it sold 51% of GMAC to
Cerberus Capital Management LP last year. In the past, GMAC delivered
dividends to GM, including more than $9 billion in the decade before the
GMAC sale.
The write-down isn't expected to affect GM's
liquidity position, which stood at $27.2 billion as of June 30. GM has been
selling noncore assets in recent years to pad its bank account. In addition,
GM Chief Financial Officer Frederick "Fritz" Henderson said the write-down
won't preclude it from using loss carry-forwards or other deferred-tax
assets in the future. It is unclear whether GM's plunge deeper into negative
shareholder-equity status will affect it's borrowing capabilities or credit
rating.
The latest disclosure underscores the challenge
Chief Executive Officer Richard Wagoner faces in seeking a full-scale
turnaround as GM hangs on to its No. 1 global-sales ranking over Toyota
Motor Corp. by a thread. Delphi Corp., GM's top supplier, has failed in
attempts to emerge from bankruptcy protection, so GM must wait indefinitely
on cost savings it hopes to gain from a reorganized Delphi. Also, U.S.
automobile demand has withered to the lowest point in a decade, and, as oil
futures continue to escalate, pressure on high-profit trucks and SUVs
remains firm.
Denny Beresford provided a link to another reference ---
Click Here
>So they think it is more likely than not that they
will receive zero tax benefit from their tax loss carryforwards!
Hmmmmm, I doubt that is what GM thinks. As the news
release stated, "In making such judgments, significant weight is given to
evidence that can be objectively verified. A company's current or previous
losses are given more weight than its future outlook, and a recent
three-year historical cumulative loss is considered a significant factor
that is difficult to overcome." FAS 109, P 23 states, "Forming a conclusion
that a valuation allowance is not needed is difficult when there is negative
evidence such as cumulative losses in recent years."
As an aside, the more-likely-than-not standard in
FAS 109 existed before FIN 48 adopted the standard. FIN 48 doesn't talk
about objective evidence wrt the MLTN standard.
FIN 48, 6, states, "An enterprise shall initially
recognize the financial statement effects of a tax position when it is more
likely than not, based on the technical merits, that the position will be
sustained upon examination. As used in this Interpretation, the term more
likely than not means a likelihood of more than 50 percent; the terms
examined and upon examination also include resolution of the related appeals
or litigation processes, if any. The more-likely than- not recognition
threshold is a positive assertion that an enterprise believes it is entitled
to the economic benefits associated with a tax position. The determination
of whether or not a tax position has met the more-likely-than-not
recognition threshold shall consider the facts, circumstances, and
information available at the reporting date.
FIN 48, 7, states, "In assessing the
more-likely-than-not criterion as required by paragraph 6 of this
Interpretation: a. It shall be presumed that the tax position will be
examined by the relevant taxing authority that has full knowledge of all
relevant information. b. Technical merits of a tax position derive from
sources of authorities in the tax law (legislation and statutes, legislative
intent, regulations, rulings, and case law) and their applicability to the
facts and circumstances of the tax position. When the past administrative
practices and precedents of the taxing authority in its dealings with the
enterprise or similar enterprises are widely understood, those practices and
precedents shall be taken into account. c. Each tax position must be
evaluated without consideration of the possibility of offset or aggregation
with other positions."
In an appendix, FIN 48, B46, states, "In
considering the subsequent recognition of tax positions that do not
initially meet the more-likely-than-not recognition threshold and the
subsequent measurement of tax positions, the Board initially considered
whether specific external events should be required to effect a change in
judgment about the recognition of a tax position or the measurement of a
recognized tax position. The Board concluded in the Exposure Draft that a
change in estimate is a judgment that requires evaluation of all available
facts and circumstances, not a specific triggering event. Some respondents
to the Exposure Draft stated that the evidence supporting a change in
judgment should be objectively verifiable and that a triggering event is
normally required to subsequently recognize a tax benefit."
Since this language wasn't put in the standard, I
wonder if one could argue that the two MLTN standards are different. It
would be interesting to be a fly on the wall as some of the debate goes on
about uncertain tax positions.
Amy Dunbar
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 9,
2007
TOPICS: Advanced
Financial Accounting, Income Taxes
SUMMARY: "General
Motors Corp. will take a $39 billion, noncash charge to
write down deferred tax assets, "...a signal that it expects
to continue to struggle financially despite significant
restructuring and cost cutting in the past two years."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Use to cover accounting for deferred tax
assets and a related valuation account.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Define the terms deferred tax assets, deferred tax
liabilities, net operating loss carryforwards, and deferred
tax credits.
2.) Which of the above three items has General Motors
recorded for a total of $39 billion? In your answer, comment
on the opening statement in the article that GM will
write-down its "deferred tax credits."
3.) What is a valuation allowance against deferred tax
assets? When must such an allowance be recorded under
generally accepted accounting standards? Use GM's situation
as an example in your answer.
4.) GM states that its $39 billion write down was impacted
by three factors. Explain how each of these factors bears on
the determination of a valuation allowance against deferred
tax assets. Be specific.
5.) The author writes, "If it returns to steady profits, GM
could remove the valuation allowance and reclaim some or all
of the $39 billion in deferred credits," and that the
write-down does not preclude GM from future use of its net
operating loss carryforwards and deferred tax assets.
Explain these statements, including the entries that will be
recorded if the deferred tax assets are used in the future.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Controversy Over FAS 2 versus IAS 38 on Research and Development
(R&D)
Introductory Note
India is scheduled to adopt IFRS accounting standards but as of yet is still
under domestic accounting standards.
Also not there is some difference between capitalization of R&D between FASB
standards in the USA versus international IFRS standards where the FASB requires
more expensing of R&D relative to IFRS and India's current accounting standards: "IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and
Differences" according to PwC (October 2013 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/en_US/us/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/assets/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences-2013.pdf
"Research and Development, Uncertainty, and Analysts’ Forecasts: The Case
of IAS 38," by Tami Dinh Thi, Brigitte Eierle, Wolfgang Schultze, and Leif
Steeger, SSRN, November 26, 2014 ---
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2531094
Abstract:
This paper analyzes the consequences of the capitalization of development
expenditures under IAS 38 on analysts’ earnings forecasts. We use unique
hand-collected data in a sample of highly research and development (R&D)
intensive German listed firms over the period 2000 to 2007. We find that the
capitalization of development costs is significantly associated with both
higher individual analysts’ forecast errors and forecast dispersion. This
suggests that the increasing complexity surrounding the capitalization of
development costs negatively impacts forecast accuracy. However, for firms
with high underlying environmental uncertainty, forecast errors are
negatively associated with capitalized development expenditures. This
indicates that the negative impact of increased complexity on forecast
accuracy can be outweighed by the information contained in the signals from
capitalized development costs when the underlying environmental uncertainty
is high. The findings contribute to the ongoing controversial debate on the
accounting for self-generated intangible assets. Our results provide useful
insights on the link between capitalization of development costs,
environmental uncertainty, and analysts’ forecasts for accounting academics
and practitioners alike.
Teaching Case on How It Pay's to Look Under the Hood of Indian Financial
Statements
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 21,
2013
TOPICS: Financial Accounting, Financial Ratios, Financial
Reporting, International Accounting
SUMMARY: Tata Motors is "India's largest auto company...[which]
leapt onto the world stage after buying JaguarLand Rover in 2008. Now that
the British luxury car maker makes up roughly 80% of Tata's revenue, this
Indian firm is competing with BMW, Mercedes-Benz and a host of American and
Japanese premium brands...Although its shares are up more than 20% so far
this year, the stock trades at 9.6 times estimated profit for the fiscal
year that ends next March...Yet Tata's valuation may be flattered by the way
it treats certain costs...At issue is how Tata treats research and
development costs...Indian accounting standards give Tata discretion in
accounting for such spending...Tata capitalized roughly 80% of R&D activity
last fiscal year."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article provides an excellent comparison
of U.S. GAAP, IFRS, and Indian local accounting for R&D costs.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What three accounting treatments for research and
development (R&D) activities are compared in this article?
2. (Advanced) Briefly summarize the accounting under each of these
systems in your own words.
3. (Advanced) Do you agree with the statement in the article that,
under IFRS, German auto makers can capitalize R&D? Explain your answer.
4. (Introductory) How does the author compare the amount of R&D
capitalization under these three accounting systems?
5. (Advanced) What is the implication of these differing accounting
treatments for the assessment of different auto manufacturers' financial
performance? Be specific about the financial ratios used in the article to
compare the companies' results, valuation, and stock price.
6. (Advanced) How does the author adjust the amounts reported by
these companies in order to make them comparable? Be specific in describing
what accounting treatment and income measures to which the author converts
the reported numbers.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
India's Tata Motors TTM -1.05% is in the big league
of global car makers. When it comes to accounting for certain costs, though,
it doesn't play exactly the same way as its peers.
India's largest auto company by market value leapt
onto the world stage after buying JaguarLand Rover in 2008. Now that the
British luxury car maker makes up roughly 80% of Tata's revenue, this Indian
firm is competing with BMW, BMW.XE +0.37% Mercedes-Benz and a host of
American and Japanese premium brands.
And when compared with some of these peers, Tata
looks to be a relative bargain. Although its shares are up more than 20% so
far this year, the stock trades at 9.6 times estimated profit for the fiscal
year that ends next March. That is at a discount to Daimler, DAI.XE +0.20%
which owns Mercedes, and BMW.
Yet Tata's valuation may be flattered by the way it
treats certain costs. This has the effect of boosting its profit—in the near
term, at least. Taking that into account, Tata is more expensive than it
initially appears.
At issue is how Tata treats research and
development costs. Tata's R&D program, at 6% of sales, is higher than the 4%
or 5% global car makers typically spend on new products and designs.
Indian accounting standards give Tata discretion in
accounting for such spending. The company can treat it as an immediate
expense that cuts into income. Or it can capitalize the spending,
recognizing it over a longer period of time. Tata capitalized roughly 80% of
R&D activity last fiscal year. In this, Tata is ahead of Indian
counterparts—Indian SUV-maker Mahindra & Mahindra 500520.BY +0.44%
capitalized 44% of its R&D last fiscal year.
Tata's practice also contrasts with global rivals.
American and Japanese car makers expense all their R&D spending, as local
accounting rules require. German auto makers, who report under international
accounting standards, can capitalize R&D, though this has averaged only a
third at BMW the last five years.
To be sure, Tata may need more R&D than BMW and
Mahindra. JLR sported outdated models and platforms before 2008, and Tata
says it's treating the British unit as a young company hungry for new
designs. The company says it has followed this practice for years, meaning
it isn't changing course.
Still, Tata's R&D accounting bolsters the bottom
line. If all R&D spending were expensed, Tata's net profit for this fiscal
year would fall by two-thirds, estimates Bernstein Research. Tuning the
numbers this way decreases earnings by 10% at Daimler. And at BMW, it
actually boosts earnings 1% since this car maker amortizes older R&D
spending and bears the expense on its income statement.
Jensen Comment
The "principles-based" IFRS allows for more subjectivity in capitalizing versus
expensing R&D relative to US GAAP having more bright lines
From
The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 12, 2009
3. (Advanced)
Focusing on accounting issues, state why cutting R&D operations quickly impact
any company's financial performance in a current accounting period. In you
answer, first address the question considering U.S. accounting standards.
4. (Advanced)
Does your answer to the question above change when considering reporting
practices under IFRS?
TOPICS: Consolidation,
GAAP, International Accounting, Mergers and Acquisitions, Research & Development
SUMMARY: "Pfizer
Inc., digesting its $68 billion takeover of rival Wyeth last month, said Monday
it will close six of its 20 research sites, in the latest round of cost cutting
by retrenching drug makers....Pfizer executives wanted to cut costs quickly so
the integration didn't stall research....'When we acquired Warner-Lambert, it
took us almost two years to get into the position we will be in 30 to 60 days'
after closing the Wyeth deal, Martin Mackay, one of Pfizer's two R&D chiefs,
said in an interview."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Questions
relate to understanding the immediate implications of reducing R&D expenditures
for current period profit under both U.S. GAAP and IFRS as well as to
understanding pharmaceutical industry consolidation and restructuring.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What are the business issues within the pharmaceuticals industry in particular
that are driving the need to reduce costs rapidly? In your answer, comment on
industry consolidations and restructuring, including definitions of each of
these terms.
2. (Introductory)
What business reasons specific to Pfizer did their executives offer as reasons
to cut R&D costs quickly?
3. (Advanced)
Focusing on accounting issues, state why cutting R&D operations quickly impact
any company's financial performance in a current accounting period. In you
answer, first address the question considering U.S. accounting standards.
4. (Advanced)
Does your answer to the question above change when considering reporting
practices under IFRS?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Pfizer Inc., digesting its $68 billion takeover of rival Wyeth last month, said
Monday it will close six of its 20 research sites, in the latest round of cost
cutting by retrenching drug makers.
Pfizer was expected to cut costs as part of its consolidation with Wyeth, and
research and development was considered a prime target because the two
companies' combined R&D budgets totaled $11 billion. In announcing the
laboratory shutdowns Monday, Pfizer didn't say how many R&D jobs it would cut or
how much it hoped to save from the shutdowns.
For much of this decade, pharmaceutical companies have been closing labs, laying
off researchers and outsourcing more work from their once-sacrosanct R&D units.
Pfizer previously closed several labs, including the Ann Arbor, Mich., facility
where its blockbuster cholesterol fighter Lipitor was developed. In January,
before the Wyeth deal was announced, Pfizer said it would lay off as many as 800
researchers.
But analysts say Pfizer Chief Executive Jeffrey Kindler and other industry
leaders haven't done enough. A major reason for the industry consolidation this
year is the opportunity to slash spending further.
Pfizer previously said it expects $4 billion in savings from its combination
with Wyeth. It plans to eliminate about 19,500 jobs, or 15% of the combined
company's total.
Merck & Co., which completed its $41.1 billion acquisition of Schering-Plough
last week, is expected to cut 15,930 jobs, or about 15% of its work force. In
September, Eli Lilly & Co. said it will eliminate 5,500 jobs, or nearly 14% of
its total. Johnson & Johnson said last week that it will pare as many as 8,200
jobs, or 7%.
Drug makers are restructuring in anticipation of losing tens of billions of
dollars in revenues as blockbuster products, such as Lipitor, start facing
competition from generic versions. Setbacks developing new treatments have made
the need to reduce spending all the more urgent, analysts say, and have reduced
resistance to closing labs. The economic slump has only worsened the
pharmaceutical industry's plight, pressuring sales.
The sites Pfizer is set to close include Wyeth's facility in Princeton, N.J.,
which has been working on promising therapies for Alzheimer's disease, including
one called bapineuzumab under development by several companies. The Alzheimer's
work will move to Pfizer's lab in Groton, Conn., which will be the combined
company's largest site. The consolidation of Alzheimer's work "allows us to
fully focus on that, rather than have to coordinate activities," said Mikael
Dolsten, a former Wyeth official and one of two R&D chiefs at the combined
company.
Besides Princeton, Pfizer said research also is scheduled to end at R&D sites in
Chazy, Rouses Point and Plattsburgh, N.Y.; Gosport, Slough and Taplow in the
U.K.; and Sanford and Research Triangle Park, N.C. Pfizer is counting as a
single site labs close to each other, such as the facilities in Rouses Point and
Plattsburgh, Slough and Taplow, and Sanford and Research Triangle Park. Along
with the Princeton facility, those in Chazy, Rouses Point and Sanford had
belonged to Wyeth.
The company is also planning to move work from its Collegeville, Pa.; Pearl
River, N.Y., and St. Louis sites to other locations.
Pfizer executives wanted to cut costs quickly after the Wyeth deal's completion
so the integration doesn't stall research. That was a problem with Pfizer's
acquisition of Warner-Lambert in 2000 and its merger with Pharmacia in 2003. As
a result, critics say the deals destroyed billions of dollars in shareholder
value. Pfizer says it has learned from its past acquisitions.
"When we acquired Warner-Lambert, it took us almost two years to get into the
position we will be in 30 to 60 days" after closing the Wyeth deal, Martin
Mackay, one of Pfizer's two R&D chiefs, said in an interview. Up next, he said,
the newly combined company will prioritize its R&D work and decide which
potential therapies to abandon.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
Question
Are these just dirty tricks to keep some generic drugs off the market?
Pharmaceutical makers go to great lengths to protect
their exclusive marketing rights to best-selling brand-name drugs. But a pair of
lawsuits and a government antitrust investigation involving a drug made by
Abbott Laboratories could help define how far those companies can legally go to
fend off copycat rivals. Shirley S. Wang
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on June 6, 2008
TOPICS: Financial
Accounting, Intangible Assets, Research & Development
SUMMARY: Aboott
Laboratories have been involved in lawsuits and a government
antitrust investigation in relation to its 33-year-old
cholesterol medication TriCor. This drug generated sales of $1.2
billion in 2007 but the patent on the original product--which
was developed in France--has now expired. When Abbott Labs
acquired the TriCor licensing rights in the late 1990s, the
company patented a new way to make the product. The antitrust
suit examines whether Abbot Labs "...violated antitrust laws in
its efforts to prevent an Israeli company from successfully
selling a generic version of the drug." The bases for the
arguments against Abbott Labs are that the company filed "...new
patents on questionable improvements to TriCor...[and] engaged
in a practice known as 'product switching'--retiring an existing
drug and replacing it with a modified version that is marketed
'new and improved,' preventing pharmacists from substituting a
generic for the branded drug when they fill prescriptions for
it." Though not against the law per se, these practices may have
violated antitrust laws if their sole purpose was to extend
Abbott's monopoly on sales of the product.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The article clearly illustrates issues in
accounting for R&D and intangible assets and is therefore useful
in intermediate financial accounting and MBA accounting courses.
In addition, an ethical question of the cost impact on medical
patients of these patent rights may be included in class
discussion of this article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize accounting in the two areas
of intangible assets and research and development (R&D)
expenditures. How are these two areas related?
2. (Introductory) Examine Abbott Laboratories' most
recent quarterly financial statement filing with the SEC,
available at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1800/000110465908029545/a08-11202_110q.htm
or by clicking on the live link to Abbot Laboratories in the
on-line version of the article, then SEC Filings under "Other
Resources" in the left-hand column of the web page, selecting
the 10-Q filing submitted 2008-05-02 and selecting the html
version of the entire document. How large are Abbott Labs
intangible assets and research and development expenditures? In
your answer, specifically consider how you can best answer this
question using some basis for assessment.
3. (Advanced) Refer to your answer to question 2. How
do the accounting practices for intangible assets and R&D
expenditures impact the way in which you assess the size of
these items relative to Abbott Labs operations?
4. (Introductory) "Drug companies typically have three
to ten years of exclusive patent rights remaining when their
products hit the market." Why is this the case? In your answer,
specifically state how these business conditions impact the
required time period over which the cost of patents may be
amortized.
5. (Advanced) Again examine Abbott Labs 10-Q filing
made on May 2, 2008, in particular the footnote disclosure
related to intangible assets. Note 11--Goodwill and Intangible
Assets. What accounting policy is consistent with the
description of patent rights' useful lives discussed in answer
to question 4 above?
6. (Introductory) What steps has Abbott Labs undertaken
to extend the life of its patent on TriCor? Are steps like these
a business necessity or merely a method of generating excessive
profits for pharmaceutical companies? In your answer,
specifically consider ethical issues related to profitability,
continued R&D for new pharmaceutical products, and the cost to
both medical patients and insurance companies of patented,
brand-name products versus generic equivalents.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Educators' Review on April 23,
2004
SUMMARY: Lahart reports on the growing instances of designing variations of
new
patent-protected products in an attempt to skirt the patent laws and offer
virtual clones of those products at lower prices.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is a patent? How does one appropriately account for a patent that has
been granted to a firm? How does a patent differ from other intangible assets?
How is it similar? How does a patent give a firm a competitive advantage? In
the Aeppel article, what happens to this advantage when a design-around is
introduced?
2.) Explain impairment of an intangible asset. How do the "design
arounds"
described in the Aeppel article impair the value of the patent? How do you
account for such an impairment?
3.) What effect is this issue having on research & development (R&D)
expenditures for firms developing new patented products? Are R&D costs
expensed
or capitalized? What about R&D costs that result in the granting of a
patent?
4.) Why are valid patent-holders designing around their own products?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
Nebraska rancher Gerald Gohl had a
bright idea: Create a remote-controlled spotlight, so he wouldn't have to roll
down the window of his pickup truck and stick out a hand-held beacon to look
for his cattle on cold nights.
By 1997, Mr. Gohl held a patent on the
RadioRay, a wireless version of his spotlight that could rotate 360 degrees
and was mounted using suction cups or brackets. Retail price: more than $200.
RadioRay started to catch on with ranchers, boaters, hunters and even police.
Wal-Mart
Stores Inc. liked it, too. Mr. Gohl says a buyer for Wal-Mart's Sam's Club
stores called to discuss carrying the RadioRay as a "wow" item, an
unusual product that might attract lots of attention and sales. Mr. Gohl said
no, worrying that selling to Sam's Club could drive the spotlight's price
lower and poison his relationships with distributors.
Before long, though, Sam's Club was
selling its own wireless, remote-controlled searchlight -- for about $60. It
looked nearly identical to the RadioRay, except for a small, plastic part
restricting the light's rotation to slightly less than 360 degrees. Golight
Inc., Mr. Gohl's McCook, Neb., company, sued Wal-Mart in 2000, alleging patent
infringement. The retailer countered that Mr. Gohl's invention was obvious and
that its light wasn't an exact copy of the RadioRay's design.
The legal battle between Mr. Gohl and
the world's largest retailer -- which Wal-Mart lost in a federal district
court and on appeal and is now considering taking to the Supreme Court --
reflects a growing trend in the high-stakes, persnickety world of patents and
product design. Patent attorneys say that companies increasingly are imitating
rivals' inventions, while trying to make their own versions just different
enough to avoid infringing on a patent. The near-copycat procedure, which
among other things helps companies avoid paying royalties to patent holders,
is called a "design-around."
"The thinking in engineering
offices more and more boils down to, 'Let's see what the patent says and see
if we can get around it and get something as good -- or almost as good --
without violating the patent,' " says Ken Kuffner, a patent attorney
in Houston who represents a U.S. maker of retail-display stands that designed
around the patent on plastic displays it used to buy from another company. He
declines to identify his client.
Design-arounds are nearly as old as the
patent system itself, underscoring the pressure that companies feel to keep
pace with the innovations of competitors. And U.S. courts have repeatedly
concluded that designing around -- and even copying products left unprotected
-- can be good for consumers by lowering prices and encouraging innovation.
The practice appears to be surging as
companies shift more manufacturing outside the U.S. in an effort to drive
costs lower. No one tracks overall design-around numbers, but "there's
really been a spike in this sort of activity in the last few years," says
Jack Barufka, a patent-attorney specializing in design-arounds at Pillsbury
Winthrop LLP in McLean, Va.
Mr. Barufka, a former physicist, has
handled design-arounds on exercise equipment, industrial parts, and factory
machinery. A client recently brought him a household appliance, which he won't
identify, to be dissected part-by-part so that his client can try to make a
similar product at a cheaper price, probably by using foreign suppliers.
"We design around competitor
patents on a regular basis," says James O'Shaughnessy, vice president and
chief intellectual property counsel at Rockwell Automation Inc. in Milwaukee,
a maker of industrial automation equipment. "Anybody who is really paying
attention to the patent system, who respects it, will still nevertheless try
to find ways -- either offshore production or a design-around -- to produce an
equivalent product that doesn't infringe."
Design-arounds are particularly common
in auto parts, semiconductors and other industries with enormous markets that
are attractive to newcomers looking for a way to break in. The practice also
happens in mature industries, where there are few big breakthroughs and
competitors rely on relatively small changes to gain a competitive advantage.
Patented products are attractive targets for an attempted end run because they
command premium prices, making them irresistible amid razor-thin profit
margins and expanding global competition.
Few companies will talk about their
design-around efforts, since the results often look like little more than
clones of someone else's idea. Even companies with patented products that are
designed-around usually keep quiet, sometimes because their own engineers are
looking for ways to make an end run on rivals.
The surge in design-arounds is pushing
research-and-development costs higher, since some companies feel forced to
protect their inventions from being copied by coming up with as many
alternative ways to achieve the same result -- and patenting those, too.
"A patent is basically worthless
if someone else can design around it easily and make a high-performing
component for less," says Morgan Chu, a patent attorney at Irell &
Manella LLP in Los Angeles.
Because successful design-arounds also
force prices lower, they make it harder for companies to recover their
investment in new products. Danfoss
AS, a Danish maker of air conditioning, heating and other industrial
equipment, discovered in the late 1990s that a customer in England had
switched to buying a designed-around part for a Danfoss agricultural machine
at a lower price from an English supplier. Danfoss eventually won back the
customer, but only after agreeing to a price concession, says Georg Nissen,
the Danish company's intellectual property manager, who notes they lowered
their price about 5%.
The main way for companies to fight
design-arounds is in court -- or the threat of it. Dutton-Lainson Co., a
Hastings, Neb., maker of marine, agricultural, and industrial products,
recently discovered that a rival was selling a tool used by ranchers to
tighten the barbed wire on fences that was identical to its own patented tool,
with an ergonomic handle shaped to fit the palm of a hand.
Continued in the article
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on
October 14, 2005
TITLE: In R&D, Brains Beat Spending in Boosting Profit
REPORTER: Gary McWilliams
DATE: Oct 11, 2005
PAGE: A2
LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB112898917962665021.html
TOPICS: Financial Accounting, Financial Analysis, Financial Statement Analysis,
Research & Development
SUMMARY: The article reports on a study by management consultants Booz Allen
Hamilton on firms� levels of R&D spending and related performance metrics.
QUESTIONS:
1.) How must U.S. firms account for Research and Development expenditures?
What is the major reasoning behind the FASB's requirement to treat these costs
in this way? In your answer, reference the authoritative accounting literature
promulgating this treatment and the FASB's supporting reasoning.
2.) How does the U.S. treatment differ from the treatment of R&D costs under
accounting standards in effect in most countries of the world?
3.) Describe the study undertake by Booz Allen Hamilton as reported in the
article. In your answer, define each of the terms for variables used in the
analysis. Why would a management consulting firm undertake such a study?
4.) What were the major findings of the study? How does this finding support
the FASB�s reasoning as described in answer to question 1 above?
5.) As far as you can glean from the description in the article, what are the
potential weaknesses to the study? Do these weaknesses have any bearing on your
opinion about the support that the results give to the current R&D accounting
requirements in the U.S.? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Booz Allen concluded that once a minimum level of
research and development spending is achieved, better oversight and culture
were more significant factors in determining financial results. The study
calculated the percentage of a company's revenue spent on R&D and compared
it with sales growth, gross profit, operating profit, market capitalization
and total shareholder result.
It found "no statistically significant difference"
when comparing the financial results of middle-of-the-pack companies with
those in the top 10% of their industry, said Barry Jaruzelski, Booz Allen's
vice president of Global Technology Practice. The result was the same when
viewed within 10 industry groups or across all industries evaluated.
"It is the culture, the skills and the process more
than the absolute amount of money available," he said. "It says tremendous
results can be achieved with relatively modest amounts" of spending.
He points to Toyota Motor Corp., which spent 4.1%
of revenue on R&D last year, but consistently has outperformed rivals such
as Ford Motor Co., which spent 4.3% of sales on research and development.
Toyota's success with hybrid, gasoline-electric cars resulted from better
spending, not more spending, Mr. Jaruzelski says.
The study rankles some. Allan C. Eberhart, a
professor of finance at Georgetown University, says the time period examined
is too short to catch companies whose results might have benefited from past
R&D spending. He co-authored a paper that found "economically significant"
increases in R&D spending did benefit operating profits. The paper, which
examined R&D spending at 8,000 companies over a 50-year period, found 1% to
2% increased operating profit at companies that increased R&D spending by 5%
or more in a single year.
Mr. Jaruzelski said less isn't always better. The
study found that companies that ranked among the bottom 10% of R&D spenders
performed worse than average or top spenders. The result suggests there is a
base level of research and development needed to remain healthy but that
spending above a certain level doesn't confer additional benefits.
R&D spending was positively associated with one
performance measure: gross margins. Median gross margins of the top half of
companies measured by R&D to sales spending were 40% higher than those in
the bottom half.
Question:
Where are the major differences between book income and taxable income that favor booked
income reported to the investing public?
Answer according to Justin Fox:
What the heck happened? The most
obvious explanations for the disconnect are disparities in accounting for stock options
and pension funds. When a company's employees exercise stock options, the gains are
treated for tax purposes as an expense to the company but are completely ignored in
reported earnings. And while investment gains made by a company's employee pension fund
are counted in reported earnings, they don't show up in tax profits.
Analysts at Standard & Poor's
are working to remove those two distortions by calculating a new "core earnings"
measure for S&P 500 companies that includes options costs and excludes pension fund
gains. When that exercise is completed in the coming weeks, most of the profit disconnect
may disappear. Then again, maybe not. In struggling to deliver the outsized profits to
which they and their investors had become accustomed in the mid-1990s, a lot more CEOs and
CFOs may have bent the rules than we know about. "There was some cheating around the
edges," says S&P chief economist David Wyss. "It's just not clear how big
the edges are."
While conservative accounting is
now back in vogue, it's impossible to say with certainty that reported earnings have
returned to reality: Comparing the earnings per share of the S&P 500 with the tax
profits of all American corporations, both public and private (which is what the Commerce
Department reports), is too much of an apples and oranges exercise. But over the long run
reported earnings and tax earnings do grow at about the same rate--just over 7% a year
since 1960, according to Prudential Securities chief economist Richard Rippe, Wall
Street's most devoted student of the Commerce Department profit numbers. So the fact that
Commerce says after-tax profits came in at an annualized rate of $615 billion in the first
quarter--a record-setting pace if it holds up for the full year--ought to be at least a
little reassuring to investors. "I do believe the hints of recovery that we're seeing
in tax profits will continue," Rippe says.
That does not mean we're
due for another profit boom. Declining interest rates were the biggest reason profits rose
so fast in the 1990s, says S&P's Wyss. Rates simply don't have that far to fall now.
So even when investors start believing again what companies say about their earnings, they
may still be shocked at how slowly those earnings are growing.
The pause that refreshes just got a bit more refreshing - Coca-Cola Co. announced
Sunday it will lead the corporate pack by treating future stock option grants as employee
compensation. http://www.accountingweb.com/item/86333
Question:
Where are the major differences between book income and economic income that understate
book income reported to the investing public?
Answer:
This question is too complex to even scratch the surface in a short paragraph. One
of the main bones of contention between the FASB and technology companies is FAS 2 that
requires the expensing of both research and development (R&D) even though it is
virtually certain that a great deal of the outlays for these items will have economic
benefit in future years. The FASB contends that the identification of which
projects, what future periods, and the amount of the estimated benefits per period are too
uncertain and subject to a high degree of accounting manipulation (book cooking) if such
current expenditures are allowed to be capitalized rather than expensed. Other bones
of contention concern expenditures for building up the goodwill, reputation, and training
"assets" of companies. The FASB requires that these be expensed rather
than capitalized except in the case of an acquisition of an entire company at a price that
exceeds the value of tangible assets less current market value of debt. In summary,
many firms have argued for "pro forma" earnings reporting such that companies
can make a case that huge expense reporting required by the FASB and GAAP can be adjusted
for better matching of future revenues with past expenditures.
You can read more about these problems in the
following two documents:
The "estate valuation" analogy over simplifies the real problem of asset
identification and valuation. For example, the estate of Steve Jobs most
likely was a piece of cake compared to preparing a 10-K for Apple
Corporation plus identifying and valuing Apple's intangible assets ---
patents, copyrights, reputation, and human resources.
When valuing Apple Corporation shares owned by estate of Steve Jobs as of a
given date we need only look up a table in the pages of the WSJ.
When providing accounting information to investors who make the daily market
for Apple Corporation shares, the task is much more daunting.
Estate valuation is a "market taking" task. Corporate accounting is a
"market making" task. This is where Baruch Lev stumbled when trying to value
intangibles. He relied upon share prices to value intangibles when in fact
the purpose of financial accounting is to help investors set those
transaction prices. Baruch put the cart full of intangibles in front of the
horse ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#TheoryDisputes
Respectfully,
Bob Jensen
Hard Assets Versus Intangible Assets
Intangible assets are difficult to define because there are so many types and
circumstances. For example some have contractual or statutory lives (e.g.,
copyrights, patents and human resources) whereas others have indefinite lives (e.g.,
goodwill and intellectual capital). Baruch Lev classifies intangibles as follows in
"Accounting for Intangibles: The New Frontier" --- http://www.nyssa.org/abstract/acct_intangibles.html
:
Spillover knowledge that creates new products and enhances
value—patents, drugs, chemicals, software, etc. (i.e., Merck, Cisco, Microsoft, IBM).
Human Resources.
Brands/Franchises.
Structural capital, such as processes, and systems of doing
things. This is the fastest-growing group of intangibles.
He does not flesh in these groupings. I flesh in some examples below of unbooked
(unrecorded) intangible assets that may have value far in excess of all the booked assets
of a company.
Spillover Knowledge
Millions or billions expensed on R&D having good prospects for future economic
benefit
Databases (e.g., prospective customer lists , knowledge bases, and AMR
Sabre System)
Customer relationships including CRM software
Operational software such as Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) installations and human
resource software
Financial relationships such as credit reputation and international banking
contacts.
Production backlog
Human Resources.
Highly skilled and experienced executives, staff, and labor (e.g., Steve Jobs, Bill
Gates, Warren Buffet, technicians, pilots, doctors, lawyers, accountants, etc.)
Employee dedication and loyalty
Mix of discipline and creative opportunity employment structure
Brands/Franchises.
Tradenames and logos
Patents
Copyrights
Protections from many kinds of lawsuits (e.g., road builders are not sued for every
accident on roads they built and out of court settlements affording protections from
future lawsuits)
Structural Capital, Processes, and Systems
Machine and worker efficiencies and labor relations
Risk management system and ethics environment
Financial and operating leverage
TQM
Supply chain management AND marketing systems (the history of Dell Corporation)
Political power (e.g., defense contractors, agricultural giants, and multinational oil
companies)
Monopoly power (e.g., Microsoft corporation is worth more because there is so little
competition remaining in PC operating systems and MS Office products like Excel, Word, and
Powerpoint).
Baruch Lev's Value Chain Scorecard
Discovery/Learning
Internal Renewal
· Research and Development
· IT Development
· Employee Training
· Communities of Practice
· Customer Acquisition Costs
Acquired Knowledge
· Technology Purchase
· Reverse Engineering
-Spillovers
· IT Acquisition
The knowledge
capital estimates that Lev and Bothwell came up with during their run last fall of some 90
leading companies (see accompanying table) were absolutely huge. Microsoft,
for example, boasted a number of $211 billion, while Intel,
General
Electric and Merck
weighed in with $170 billion, $112 billion and $110 billion, respectively.
It is seldom, if ever mentioned, but Microsoft's
overwhelming huge asset is its customer lock-in to the Windows Operating System combined
with the enormous dominance of MS Office (Word, Excel, Outlook, etc) and MS Access.
The cost of shifting most any organization over to some other operating system and suite
software comparable to MS Office is virtually prohibitive. This
is the main asset of Microsoft, but measuring its value and variability is virtually
impossible.
Intellectual property
Trademarks, patents, copyrights
In-process R&D
Unrecorded goodwill
Ways of doing business and adapting to technology
changes and shifts in consumer tastes
For example,
my (Baruch Lev's) recent computations show that Microsoft has
knowledge assets worth $211 billion -- by far the most of any company. Intel has knowledge
assets worth $170 billion, and Merck has knowledge assets worth $110 billion. Now, compare
those figures with DuPont's assets. DuPont has more employees than all of those companies
combined. And yet, DuPont's knowledge assets total only $41 billion -- there isn't much
extra profitability there.
University logos of prestigious universities
(Stanford, Columbia, Carnegie-Mellon, Duke, etc.) are worth billions when discounting
their value in distance education of the future--- http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/000aaa/0000start.htm
Mergers, Acquisitions, and Purchase Versus Pooling: The Never Ending
Debate
SUMMARY: 'AT&T and Deutsche Telekom insisted they weren't throwing
in the towel" on their proposed transaction for AT&T to acquire T-Mobile,
Deutsche Telekom's U.S. cellular phone operation. However, AT&T announced it
would take a charge in the fourth quarter's financial statements for a $4
billion break-up fee it agreed to in negotiations.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Accounting for contingent liabilities and
the link to information being signaled to the market is the focus of this
review.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What accounting entry has AT&T made in relation
to its proposed acquisition of T-Mobile USA? When will this entry impact
AT&T's reported results?
2. (Advanced) What accounting standard requires making this entry?
4. (Advanced) How does the accounting for this $4 billion become a
signal that the AT&T planned acquisition of T-Mobile "is more likely to fail
than to succeed"?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
AT&T Inc. signaled for the first time that its
planned $39 billion acquisition of T-Mobile USA is more likely to fail than
to succeed, saying Thursday it would set aside $4 billion in this year's
final quarter to cover the potential cost of the deal falling apart.
The move came after Federal Communications
Commission Chairman Julius Genachowski said this week he would seek a rare,
trial-like hearing on the merger, which would add months of arguments and
another big hurdle for the controversial deal.
AT&T and T-Mobile parent Deutsche Telekom AG
responded Thursday morning by pulling their application for merger approval
at the FCC in order to focus on their fight with the Justice Department,
which has sued to block the acquisition.
The federal agencies say a deal combining the No. 2
and No. 4 wireless carriers would damage competition and potentially raise
prices, with little offsetting benefit. AT&T needs both agencies to sign off
to get the merger through.
The moves, disclosed in the early hours of
Thanksgiving morning in the U.S. and just ahead of the market's opening in
Germany, reflect a changed internal calculus at AT&T about the deal's
chances to succeed.
AT&T and Deutsche Telekom insisted they weren't
throwing in the towel. Their strategy is to try to strike a settlement with
the Justice Department or to beat the agency in a trial that begins Feb. 13,
then reapply with the FCC for merger approval.
But it was clear that the odds have lengthened
significantly for a deal that would have created the country's largest
wireless operator. "There's a degree of giving up," said Bernstein Research
analyst Robin Bienenstock. "If you believed you could litigate your way out
of it or do something else, you wouldn't take the charge."
The developments could mean many more months of
uncertainty for the wireless industry and for consumers, particularly
T-Mobile's 33.7 million customers. T-Mobile has lost 850,000 contract
customers this year, and it failed to land the most sought-after device,
Apple Inc.'s iPhone. If the AT&T deal falls through, analysts and investors
expect Deutsche Telekom to try to find another way to exit the U.S. market.
A broken deal would send AT&T back to the drawing
board for a strategy to shore up its network and compete with larger rival
Verizon Wireless. AT&T has said it needs to buy T-Mobile to gain much-needed
rights to the airwaves. It also sees the deal as an expeditious way to shore
up its network, which has come under strain from the demands of millions of
iPhones and other devices, hurting call quality and prompting customer
complaints.
Justice Department officials were taking stock of
the developments but expected to continue preparing for trial, a person
familiar with the matter said. AT&T's move has increased the certainty felt
by many department officials that the company is unlikely to prevail in
court, this person said. A Justice Department spokesperson couldn't be
reached for comment.
For AT&T Chief Executive Officer Randall
Stephenson, the merger with T-Mobile represents the biggest gamble in a
four-year tenure that has been devoid of blockbuster deals, which were a
hallmark of his predecessor, Ed Whitacre. Mr. Whitacre created today's AT&T
over more than a decade of deal-making that pieced together fragments of Ma
Bell and rolled up several wireless companies.
Analysts had generally considered AT&T to be too
big to pull off any more mergers in the U.S. In order to persuade Deutsche
Telekom to go along, AT&T agreed to pay $3 billion in cash, and to turn over
valuable spectrum if the merger fell through, an unusually large breakup
fee.
For AT&T, the benefits of the deal are potentially
huge. T-Mobile, which uses the same network technology as AT&T, seemed to be
the answer to network constraints. Heavy overlap meant cost savings could be
huge. The deal would vault AT&T ahead of rival Verizon Wireless.
AT&T, which announced the deal on March 20, said
buying T-Mobile would allow it to extend its high-speed mobile network into
more of rural America, striking a chord in Washington. AT&T lined up
supporters among governors, members of Congress and interest groups.
Yet AT&T apparently failed to anticipate antitrust
officials' concerns about growing market concentration in the wireless
industry, already dominated by Verizon Wireless and AT&T.
On the morning of Aug. 31, Mr. Stephenson touted
the deal on CNBC. Later that day, the Justice Department filed suit to block
it on antitrust grounds.
Continued in article
Teaching Case from The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on
October 5, 2012
TOPICS: Antitrust, business combinations, Mergers and Acquisitions
SUMMARY: In 2011, Deutsche Telekom had planned to stop investing in
its U.S. cellular operation, T-Mobile USA, and sell the company to AT&T.
However, that combination was stopped by the Justice Department for
anti-trust reasons. Deutsche Telekom now has announced a plan for T-Mobile
USA to merge with MetroPCS.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce the
process of business combinations in advance of teaching the accounting for
these transactions. The related article describes the accounting entry made
by AT&T to record a charge for the break-up fee associated with its
attempted combination with T-Mobile, clearly indicating likely failure of
the transaction.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the competitive and strategic reasons
that form the "...many ways it actually makes sense for T-Mobile's parent,
Deutsche Telekom, to bulk up in the U.S. with the deal"?
2. (Advanced) What are the historical reasons to indicate that this
deal may face trouble amounting to "continuing to dig when you're in a
hole"? Refer to the related article to assist in your answer.
3. (Advanced) What form of business combination and "currency" for
the business combination does the author think is likely? What financing
reasons lead to this conclusion?
4. (Advanced) What is a "reverse merger"? How would that result in
Deutsche Telekom having a U.S. stock listing?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
RELATED ARTICLES:
AT&T's T-Mobile Deal Teeters by Anton Troianovski, Greg Bensinger and Amy Schatz
Nov 25, 2011
Page: A1
When you are in a hole, you usually stop digging.
And yet struggling T-Mobile USA, after failing to sell itself to
AT&T,
T+0.44%
may be about to dig even deeper into the U.S. market:
It is in talks to purchase prepaid mobile carrier
MetroPCSPCS+3.55%
.
In many ways, it actually makes sense for
T-Mobile's parent,
Deutsche Telekom,
DTE.XE+1.49%
to bulk up in the U.S. with the deal. It would
eliminate a low-cost competitor and give the combined companies 29.5% of the
prepaid market, according to Sanford C. Bernstein. Total subscribers would
be 42.5 million, against 56 million for
Sprint,
S-2.16%
111 million for
Verizon WirelessVZ+2.07%
and 105 million for AT&T, as of the second quarter.
If T-Mobile were to structure the deal as a reverse
merger, as some analysts have suggested, it would give the company a U.S.
stock listing. That would allow it to finance itself separately and let
Deutsche Telekom sell down its exposure over time. MetroPCS's spectrum
holdings are geographically complementary with T-Mobile's. And a deal would
significantly bolster the latter's presence in the top 100 markets, as well
as giving it crucial bandwidth to build a next-generation LTE network.
Given future calls on T-Mobile's cash—from
integration expenses, network investment and the possible introduction of
the iPhone on its network—any deal is likely to be in stock. MetroPCS
shareholders would potentially own about one-quarter of the combined
company.
One key opportunity is for T-Mobile to move
subscribers off MetroPCS's network, which uses a different technology, and
eventually to turn it off. That would both free up spectrum and allow the
combined company to save money by merging cell sites, among other things.
But it can be a painful process as evidenced by
Sprint's ongoing shutdown of the Nextel network, which it bought in 2005.
Running both networks for so long has squeezed Sprint's margins. Sprint
expects the transition—which includes the cost of lost subscribers, in
addition to other expenses related to shutting down the network—to reduce
profit by $800 million in 2012 and by another $100 million in 2013.
T-Mobile will also be able to build a single LTE
network, although it will still have to spend billions that it would have
saved if the sale to AT&T hadn't been blocked by regulators on competition
grounds. The deal probably has little impact on T-Mobile's decision on
whether or not to offer the iPhone to better compete against AT&T and
Verizon Wireless. But UBS expects it to begin carrying the iPhone next year,
meaning hefty subsidy costs, particularly for postpaid subscribers who pick
the device.
If the deal goes through, the most obvious loser is
Sprint, which was widely seen as the most likely buyer for MetroPCS or
T-Mobile. In addition to being a sign that T-Mobile is prepared to invest in
its business, at least for now, the deal could make regulators less likely
to welcome any Sprint-T-Mobile tie-up in the future.
Continued in article
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on December 10,
2010
TOPICS: Investments, Mergers and Acquisitions
SUMMARY: "Coty Inc. is nearing a deal to buy Chinese skin-care company TJOY...in
what would cap a three-week acquisition binge led by CEO Bernd Beetz at the
closely held fragrance giant." Coty also recently "...agreed to buy
skin-care brand Philosophy Inc. [for a value of about]...$1 billion" and in
November announced "...a planned purchase of nail-polish maker OPI Products
Inc. in a deal people familiar with the matter [also] valued near $1
billion."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce corporate
strategies executed through business combinations particularly for an
advanced financial accounting class on consolidations. The product should be
of interest to students (at least approximately half of them!) and it is
useful to show M&A activity by a closely-held corporation.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) List all of the acquisitions Coty has made in the past
several weeks. Why is the company able to make so many purchases now?
2. (Introductory) What overall corporate strategy is the company executing
with these purchases?
3. (Advanced) How would you classify these acquisitions: vertical
integration, horizontal merger/acquisition, or conglomerate?
4. (Advanced) What specific synergies does Coty expect to obtain from the
acquisition of Chinese skin-care company TJOY?
5. (Introductory) How is Coty paying for its acquisition of TJOY?
6. (Advanced) "As with all such deals, this one could still fall apart."
Why?
7. (Advanced) Coty is a privately held firm. How is the WSJ able to obtain
information about its acquisition? Why are WSJ readers interested in this
information if they cannot become investors in Coty?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Coty Inc. is nearing a deal to buy Chinese
skin-care company TJOY, people familiar with the matter said, in what would
cap a three-week acquisition binge led by CEO Bernd Beetz at the closely
held fragrance giant.
Mr. Beetz is trying to remake one of the world's
biggest fragrance makers into a diversified beauty company. In November, it
announced three major deals, most recently a planned purchase of nail-polish
maker OPI Products Inc. in a deal people familiar with the matter valued
near $1 billion.
It also agreed to buy skin-care brand Philosophy
Inc., which people close to the deal also valued around $1 billion, and
disclosed plans to buy German beauty firm Dr. Scheller Cosmetics AG for an
undisclosed sum.
Coty is planning to announce the TJOY deal Sunday
or Monday, according to the people familiar. The cash-and-stock deal values
the closely held Chinese company at about $400 million. As with all such
deals, this one could still fall apart.
Buying TJOY, which offers men's and women's skin
care products, would give Coty access to an array of well-known brands and
distribution in the fast-growing Chinese market. Although the deal is small
by Western standards, it will be a relatively large deal in China, which has
proven challenging for many Western companies to penetrate.
Mr. Beetz, a 60-year-old German native who has led
Coty since 2001, is rapidly expanding into skin care and makeup as the
fragrance industry continues to struggle. Last year, global sales of premium
fragrances totaled $20.3 billion, down 6.5% from the year before, according
to market-research firm Euromonitor International Inc.
Heading into the crucial holiday season, when the
majority of fragrance sales happen each year, Mr. Beetz is betting that an
emphasis on new celebrity fragrances and some classics will win over
hesitant shoppers.
Coty, which makes fragrances under celebrity names
including Jennifer Lopez and David Beckham and designer labels such as
Calvin Klein, as well as Sally Hansen nail polish and N.Y.C. New York Color
cosmetics, posted sales of $3.6 billion in its fiscal year that ended June
30. Mr. Beetz recently spoke with The Wall Street Journal.
Excerpts:
WSJ: You've been a busy deal-maker. What's
motivating your shopping spree?
Mr. Beetz: We're doing very well right now, so I
think it's a good time to use the momentum to further execute our strategy.
We always said we wanted three pillars: fragrances, color cosmetics and skin
care.
WSJ: Rumors of Coty doing an IPO have circled for
years. Do you want to go public?
Mr. Beetz: We have no immediate plans but we'd
never exclude that.
WSJ: What's your strategy for navigating the
holiday season?
Mr. Beetz: I sense less uncertainty. I expect
shoppers to buy at least what they did last year, though I think it's going
to be better.
WSJ: How has the mindset of the luxury consumer
changed during the recession?
Mr. Beetz: I don't think the basic mindset has
changed. There is a certain compromising during the crisis, so there is some
trading down or pausing with purchases, but the basic attitude hasn't
changed. This consumer wants to indulge themselves and reward themselves
with a piece of luxury. It can be a handbag or a nice lipstick or a perfume.
We benefit from it right now.
WSJ: In recent years fragrance has been among the
worst performing categories in beauty. Can manufacturers do something
differently to boost the business?
Mr. Beetz: Not fundamentally. I think it is a
business very much driven by trends, so you have to be even closer than ever
before to the marketplace. It's also helpful to have bigger projects with a
bigger focus and fewer launches. Big blockbusters also help the business.
You have to keep entertaining the consumer.
WSJ: You had mapped 2010 to be the year you hit $5
billion in sales. That didn't happen. What's your outlook now?
Mr. Beetz: We would have been there without the big
global crisis. Overall, we have a big sense of accomplishment, because all
the key measurements we put in place worked out.
We have a new roadmap to 2015. We have grown in the
last nine years, with average revenue growth of 15%. It's true that the
crisis was a bit of a pause, but we overcame that and are back on track.
WSJ: Where do you see sales potential for Coty?
Mr. Beetz: We see growth opportunities in
established markets and in emerging markets. There are still major
opportunities in developed markets, for example central Europe is doing very
well right now. Eastern Europe is back. We have major upside in Asia. We
also see major growth opportunities in the U.S. in department stores,
especially with our prestige fragrance portfolio. I think we can gain even
more market share there.
WSJ: Naysayers say the popularity of celebrity
fragrances is waning. What do you think?
Mr. Beetz: I never shared this point of view. Right
now I am particularly encouraged with the success we are having with Beyoncé
and Halle Berry, and I think we'll have a major success with Lady Gaga next
year. The category is very much alive with the right project.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
SUMMARY: "Microsoft made an
unsolicited bid for the Internet company last month and clinched its deal
late Monday...." The price, including taking responsibility for Skype's
outstanding debt, totals $8.4 billion.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful for introducing business combinations but also includes
discussion of EBITDA and operating profit versus net income as well as the
fact that the cash Microsoft will use otherwise might stay overseas and be
unavailable for investment. Microsoft has most of its huge cash balance held
in overseas locations and would be subject to repatriated earnings tax in
order to get access to it.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What was the Microsoft stock price reaction to
this announcement that it will buy Skype?
2. (Introductory) What are two questions about the value of this
investment to Microsoft? In your answer, address the question of how
Microsoft can justify a purchase price of $8.5 billion when the company is
not making a profit.
3. (Advanced) Skype is "EBITDA positive but doesn't have net
income," says Nick Wingfield, a WSJ Reporter, on the related video. What
does this statement mean?
4. (Advanced) Why might Skype have operating profit but not net
income? In your answer, define these two financial terms.
5. (Advanced) Skype's previous owner, EBay Inc., "...bought Skype
in 2005 for around $3.1 billion but took a $1.4 billion charge for the
transaction in 2007 after it failed to produce hoped-for synergies." What
type of a write down do you think this was? Why does this write down have
implications for the current Microsoft purchase?
6. (Introductory) Where is the cash that Microsoft will use to make
this purchase? Why is the cash not available to Microsoft in the U.S.? How
might the tax implication of using that cash impact the price Microsoft
would be willing to pay for Skype?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Microsoft Corp. racked up a whopping $8.5 billion
phone bill to buy Skype SARL even though there were no signs of other
serious bidders for the provider of free online video and voice chats, as
the software giant moved aggressively to ramp up its growth.
Microsoft made an unsolicited bid for the Internet
company last month and clinched its deal late Monday, nixing a planned Skype
public offering and short-circuiting any talks with competitors such as
Google Inc. and Facebook Inc.
Steve Ballmer, Microsoft's chief executive,
defended the price in an interview, saying the deal—the biggest in his
company's 36-year history—will let Microsoft "be more ambitious, do more
things."
While Facebook, Google and Cisco Systems Inc. had
shown interest in Skype, Microsoft was by far the most determined buyer,
people familiar with the matter said.
The price tag—three times what Skype fetched 18
months ago—is a sign of just how hungry Microsoft is for growth
opportunities—especially in the mobile-phone and Internet markets. Those
missed opportunities are increasingly worrisome to Microsoft investors as
traditional profit engines, like its Windows software, are showing signs of
slowing.
The Skype deal is a gamble by Mr. Ballmer that he
can succeed where those that have gone before him have failed: using the
phone-and-video-calling service to make money. Microsoft's ambitious goal is
to integrate Skype into everything from its Xbox videogame console to its
Office software suite for businesses.
Microsoft also hopes Skype can jump-start its
effort to turn around its fortunes in the mobile-phone market, an area where
it has lagged far behind Apple Inc. and Google. Phones running Microsoft
software were just 7.5% of the smartphone market last quarter, according to
Comscore Inc.
he Skype purchase comes as the technology
industry's momentum is increasingly being fueled by consumers, with the
explosive rise of social network Facebook, now at more than 600 million
global members, and devices such as Apple's iPad and iPhone reshaping the
cellphone and computer markets.
That has pushed many big tech companies that had
largely relied on businesses for growth—from Dell Inc. to Cisco—to seek ways
into consumer technologies.
Some of those moves haven't paid off, however.
Cisco, for example, recently shut down the division that made its Flip video
cameras, just two years after acquiring the business.
Whether Microsoft can make a Skype acquisition
work—especially at such a rich price—is a question mark. EBay Inc. bought
Skype in 2005 for around $3.1 billion but took a $1.4 billion charge for the
transaction in 2007 after it failed to produce hoped-for synergies.
EBay decided to shed the business, and sold a 70%
stake in Skype to a group of investors led by private-equity firm Silver
Lake Partners about 18 months ago. The deal valued all of Skype at a $2.75
billion.
Mr. Ballmer said Microsoft and Skype have far more
in common than Skype had with eBay since both companies are in the
"communications business." He said communications technologies have been
"the backbone" of Microsoft's growth in recent years and that Skype has
"built a real business," with more than $860 million in 2010 revenue.
"I think our case for why to bring this together
comes from a very different place," he said.
Overall, Skype has more than 170 million active
users and 207 billion minutes of voice and video conservations flowing
through its service. But despite its widespread use, it has been slow to
convert users into paying customers and generate meaningful profits. It had
a net loss of $7 million last year.
TOPICS: Mergers and Acquisitions, Stock Price Effects
SUMMARY: Worldwide mergers & acquisition activity totals $338 billion so
far in 2011, "...a rate 25% higher than in the same period last year.
And in the U.S., deal volume is more than double last year's rate, which
makes 2011 the most active since 2008." M&A deals this year also are
larger--with 12 deals worldwide, 8 in the U.S., above $5 billion-and are
focused on consolidation "mostly in coal-mining, utilities and exchange
companies." One unusual factor this year: not only are target firm share
prices reacting positively to the transactions, but so are acquiring
firms' share prices. Acquirers usually see their share prices fall as
shareholders expect virtually all of the gains from business
combinations to be paid out to target firm shareholders.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce general topics related
to mergers and acquisitions, typically done in an Advanced Accounting
class prior to teaching consolidation accounting.The general tone of the
article also makes it useful for an MBA class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize the current state of mergers and
acquisitions activity in 2011 compared to recent years.
2. (Introductory) What does this M&A activity indicate about
corporate CEO confidence in the overall U.S./North American economy?
Hint: you may also refer to discussion in the related video to answer
this question.
3. (Advanced) "...The deals have had little sizzle, serving to
consolidate mostly coal-mining, utilities and exchange companies." What
does the term "consolidate" mean in this context?
4. (Advanced) How to acquiring firm and target firm share
prices typically react to merger and acquisition announcements? How is
that reaction measured? What is different about shareholder reaction to
2011 M&A activity?
5. (Advanced) How do "low interest rates" lead companies "back
in the M&A game"?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
SUMMARY: On
Wednesday, February 17, 2011, Sanofi-Aventis and Genzyme announced that
they had reached a deal for acquisition of Genzyme. The companies'
boards agreed to a cash deal of about $19 billion plus contingent
payments, leading the total to over $20 billion. "Now comes the hard
part: making the marriage work."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The primary and related articles list factors to be
considered that may inhibit success of an acquisition useful in
introducing business combinations in an advanced financial accounting
class or an MBA class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize this acquisition transaction. What
is the strategic purpose behind the transaction? What is the
consideration being paid, and to whom is it being paid?
2. (Advanced) Describe the process of negotiations culminating
in the deal announcement described in this article. In your answer,
define the phrase hostile takeover.
3. (Advanced) Categorize this acquisition as either vertical,
horizontal, or conglomerate. Support your assessment.
4. (Introductory) What pitfalls have beset acquisitions in the
pharmaceutical industry? What factors indicate whether or not this
business combination might face similar difficulties?
5. (Introductory) What are contingent payments in an
acquisition? What purpose do they serve in this deal for Sanofi-Aventis
to acquire Genzyme?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The big takeover deal has come back, reflecting
increased corporate confidence and economic recovery. What should hearten
prospective deal makers is how the stock market has reacted to the
transactions: It has loved them.
Across the globe, deal volume stands at $338
billion so far this year, a rate 25% higher than in the same period last
year. And in the U.S., deal volume is more than double last year's rate,
which makes 2011 the most active since 2008.
The deals are getting bigger, too. In 2011, there
have been 12 deals valued above $5 billion, eight of them in the U.S.,
according to Dealogic. There were only two such deals in the U.S. at the
same time last year.
For all their size, the deals have had little
sizzle, serving to consolidate mostly coal-mining, utilities and exchange
companies. There was Alpha Natural Resources Inc.'s $7.1 billion deal to buy
Massey Energy Co., a $13.7 billion merger of utility companies Duke Energy
Corp. and Progress Energy Inc., and this week, the planned deal between
London Stock Exchange Group PLC and Canada's TMX Group Inc., the company
that owns the Toronto and Montreal exchanges.
One of the big differences from past merger
run-ups: Investors are sending the acquirers' stock prices up, not down,
after the deals are made public.
Shares of iron-ore producer Cliffs Natural
Resources Inc. rose nearly 3% on Jan. 11 after it announced a deal for rival
iron-ore producer Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines Ltd. for about $5
billion.
On Monday, Danaher Corp. agreed to pay $5.87
billion for Beckman Coulter Inc., which makes diagnostic equipment used in
medical testing. Danaher is paying a 45% premium on Beckman shares, usually
a sum that sparks acquiring-company shareholders to fear the company is
spending too much. But Danaher stock rose on the news, as investors cheered
the industrial conglomerate's move into a new, high-growth sector of life
sciences. Swelling middle-class populations in emerging markets such as
China and India are expected to drive demand for preventive medical care, of
which clinical testing is a central feature.
Deutsche Bank analyst Nigel Coe called the deal
"strategically coherent" and said the low cost of financing the deal, given
the state of credit markets right now, will add more to Danaher's earnings.
Wall Street has welcomed these deals because many
of these industries were ripe for consolidation before the recession, but
deal-making was put on hold as the debt markets shut down and companies
preferred to hold on to their cash.
For instance, Deutsche Börse AG and NYSE Euronext
talked seriously about a deal in 2008 and 2009, but the fragile global
economy discouraged a cross-border merger. The two are now close to a tie-up
to form a company with a putative market value of $25 billion, and a deal
could be sealed next week. The Big Board's stock shot up as much as 18% on
news of the latest talks, which followed Tuesday's merger news between the
owners of the London and Toronto exchanges. Shares of those companies
climbed 9% and 4%, respectively.
"We saw a time period in 2009 and even in early
2010 when CEOs were primarily focused on tactical opportunities, but today
they're focused more on strategic opportunities," said Jack MacDonald,
co-head of Americas M&A at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Danaher, for instance, has had its eye on
diagnostics companies for years. It was a confluence of factors, including
the improving economy, with "headwinds dissipating, tailwinds getting
stronger," that helped it seal a deal for Beckman, Danaher Chief Executive
Lawrence Culp said in an interview Monday.
Low interest rates, strong corporate performance in
2010 and a sense that the global economy is moving forward have put
companies "back in the M&A game," he added.
Sanofi-Aventis SA is expected to acquire Genzyme
Corp. for about $19 billion in cash, plus possible additional payments in
the future, in a deal that could be announced as soon as Wednesday, people
familiar with the matter said.
After Sanofi initially considered trying to obtain
a slightly lower price, the parties largely agreed to the broad terms that
they originally negotiated when Sanofi was given access to Genzyme's
financial books on Jan. 31, these people said.
Talks are continuing and final details are still
being worked out, these people added. The boards of both companies were
meeting Tuesday and an announcement could come in the morning European time,
ahead of Genzyme's earnings announcement.
As part of that broad agreement, Sanofi agreed to
raise its offer from $69 a share to about $74 a share in cash, or about $19
billion, people familiar with the matter said.
Genzyme investors also would receive a so-called
contingent value right, or CVR, that would entitle them to additional
payments if the company meets certain sales goals. The CVR, which investors
would be able to trade on a stock exchange, would have an initial trading
value of at least $2 a share, people familiar with the matter said.
After Sanofi finished its due diligence on Genzyme,
Sanofi executives pushed to change some of the original terms, and therefore
some of the criteria for the CVR have been adjusted, these people added.
Details of the terms of the CVR are still being finalized, they said.
The CVR would have an eventual value of between $5
and $6 a share if Genzyme meets sales targets for a drug used to treat
leukemia, which is also being tested against multiple sclerosis. The future
payments could be worth as much as $14 a share over the long term in the
best-case scenario for sales of the drug to multiple-sclerosis patients,
according to people familiar with the matter.
Sanofi didn't find any major issues in its
examination of Genzyme's financial books and manufacturing facilities. There
was a risk for Genzyme that Sanofi could discover some problems, given that
the Cambridge, Mass., biotechnology firm is still recovering from
manufacturing issues that temporarily shut down a Genzyme production
facility in 2009.
A CVR is often used when parties can't agree on
price. One of the issues between Sanofi and Genzyme is their differing
predictions on the sale of the multiple-sclerosis drug. Genzyme has
predicted those sales could reach $3.5 billion in 2017, a projection Sanofi
has said is too optimistic.
Sanofi has been pursuing Genzyme for months, but
the biotechnology firm had refused to talk to Sanofi because of its $69 a
share offer, which Genzyme said was too low. In August, Sanofi made an
unsolicited bid for Genzyme, and went hostile with its offer in October.
Some of Sanofi's biggest products, including the
cancer drug Taxotere and the blood-thinner Lovenox, have lost sales to
generic rivals, while another big drug, the blood thinner Plavix, is
expected to confront generic competition in 2012. Plavix accounted for about
9% of Sanofi's $40 billion sales last year. Sanofi also suffered a research
setback last month, when a breast-cancer drug it was testing didn't work as
expected in a late-stage study.
An accounting rule that governs how banks book
acquired loans is making it possible for banks that purchased bad loans to
reap billions.
Applying this regulation — known as the purchase
accounting rule — to mortgages and commercial loans that lost value during
the credit crisis gives acquiring banks an incentive to mark down loans they
acquire as aggressively as possible, says RBC Capital Markets analyst Gerard
Cassidy.
"One of the beauties of purchase accounting is
after you mark down your assets, you accrete them back in," Cassidy told
Bloomberg. "Those transactions should be favorable over the long run."
Here’s how it works: When JPMorgan bought WaMu out
of receivership last September, it used the purchase accounting rule to
record impaired loans at fair value, marking down $118.2 billion of assets
by 25 percent.
Now, JPMorgan says that first-quarter gains from
the WaMu loans resulted in $1.26 billion in interest income and left the
bank with an accretable-yield balance that could result in additional income
of $29.1 billion.
So JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, and PNC
Financial Services all stand to make big bucks on bad loans they bought from
Washington Mutual, Wachovia, Countrywide and National City.
Their combined deals provide a $56 billion in
accretable yields, which is the difference between the value of the loans on
the banks’ balance sheets and the cash flow they’re expected to produce.
However, it’s tough to tell how much the yield will
increase the acquiring banks’ total revenues because banks don’t disclose
all their expenses and book the additional revenues over the lives of the
loans.
Thanks for providing fodder for what I hope will be
a "fun" blog post. Under APB 16, you had to evaluate the adequacy of the
allowance for bad debts in an acquisition. With the objective of curbing
this particular abuse, the SEC issued a Staff Accounting Bulletin (SAB
Codification Topic 2.B.5) that constrained the acquiror from changing the
allowance for bad debts, unless the plans for collection was fundamentally
different.
The new problem arises, because when the loans were
held by the acquiree, they were measured at contractual amount less the
allowance for bad debts. Upon acquisition, they now have to be measured at
fair value. If the acquirer wants to maximize future profits, it will
maximize the difference between the old and new carrying value, subject to
the following considerations: (1) auditor and/or SEC push back; (2) future
goodwill impairment charges, and (3) capital adequacy regulations.
As to Denny's comment about ultimate collectibility,
current managers may not care if the loans go further south some years from
now. This generation will be compensated based on accounting profits over
the next 2-3 years -- and will be long gone before the proverbial stuff hits
the fan.
The more things change, the more they remain the
same. I think that the biggest lesson here, Bob, and something I expect you
will react to, is that multi-attribute accounting standards don't work.
Best,
Tom
May 29, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Tom,
When I first learned about how
business firms were exploiting derivative financial instruments contracts in
large measure to avoid accounting rules, and before FAS 119/133 issuance, I
attended a workshop in Orlando back in the 1980s conducted by Deloitte's
derivatives accounting expert John Smith (who later did a lot of IAS 39 work
for the IASB).
John told us about a Deloitte client
in L.A. that was behaving so strangely that the auditor in charge brought it
to John's attention (John was the top research partner in Deloitte at the
time). Bank X was repeatedly taking reversing positions on an interest rate
swap in a manner such that each time a reversing position was taken there
was an ultimate cash flow loss. It seemed that Bank X was making a terrible
mistake. John Smith posed this problem as a case to us derivatives
accounting neophyte professors in the audience in Orlando.
I recall that the first professor to
shout out the answer from the audience was Hugo Nurnberg. Hugo was the first
among us neophytes to recognize that, prior to FAS 133 rules, Bank X was
making harmful economic decisions just to "frontload income" as Hugo put it.
By frontloading income, the CEO got bigger bonuses in what was a bit like
Ponzi damage to shareholders. Each year frontloaded income in similar
contracting grows by enough to cover tailing cash flow losses. Bonuses and
share prices accordingly grow and grow until, dah, frontloaded income is no
longer sufficient to cover the tailing cash flow losses. I wonder if a
California relative of Bernie Madoff was running Bank X. By the time
the Ponzi exploded the Bank X CEO was probably living in luxury in Hawaii.
This was one of the first times I
became aware of how executives are willing to maximize personal gains at the
ultimate expense of the shareholders for whom they are acting as agents.
Since the roaring derivatives fraud days of the 1990s such behavior became
the rule rather than the exception, which is why we're in such a dire
economic crisis today. Alan Greenspan and Chris Cox belatedly admitted that
they "made mistakes" by assuming bankers would put shareholder interests
above their own personal greed ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#SEC
I wonder if this current TARP poison
plan is a bit of a Ponzi scheme to inflate banking share prices in what will
once again be a royal screwing of investors?
From a MoneyNews.com
story published this Wednesday headlined "Banks
Stand to Reap Billions from Purchased Bad Loans,"
came an account of a jaw-dropping transaction. It was spawned by FAS 141(R),
the latest and greatest standard on accounting for business combinations:
"When
JPMorgan bought WaMu out of receivership last September, it used the
purchase accounting rule [FAS 141(R)] to record impaired loans at fair
value, marking down 118.2 billion of assets by 25 percent.
Now,
JPMorgan says its first-quarter gains from the WaMu loans resulted in $1.26
billion in interest income and left the bank within an accretable-yield
balance that could result in additional income of $29.1 billion."
Business
combination accounting has forever been fertile ground for earnings and
balance sheet management for one simple reason: the opportunity to tweak the
amounts reported for the assets acquired and liabilities assumed, with the
ultimate objective of brightening post-acquisition earnings reports. But, as
tiresome as that old game might be, the kind of maneuver that JPMorgan's
management has engineered is a novel twist on an old loophole that had once
been closed pretty tightly by the SEC.
The
Closed Loophole that Would Be Re-Opened by the FASB
Once the
"pooling of interests" method of business combination accounting of APB 16
was abolished with the advent of FAS 141 (not to be confused with FAS
141(R)),
the most basic surviving principle of business combination accounting became
thus: the acquisition of a business should always be reflected on the
financial statements of the acquiror by assigning a new carrying amount to
each of the acquired company's assets and liabilities. This new carrying
amount would be updated, based on current assumptions and estimates
regarding the future role of the acquired assets and liabilities in the
combined entity. The implementation of this principle had long been known as
the "purchase accounting" method for business combinations.
With
certain important exceptions, SFAS 141 mandated that new carrying amounts
for assets acquired in a business combinations would be based on their fair
values. The exception that is germane to the JPMorgan story pertains to
loans (i.e., trade receivables, interest-bearing loans and marketable debt
securities classified as held-to-maturity). The measurement bases for these
items were carried forward from APB 16's version of the purchase accounting
method: a gross amount reduced by an appropriate allowance for uncollectible
accounts. This exception to loan measurement was important, because it also
meant that a 1986 SEC staff position would still be applicable to purchase
accounting.
At that
time, the SEC saw fit to put a stop to unwarranted increases in the
allowance for loan losses as part of the business combination transaction.
Increases to loan loss allowances would mathematically transfer future loan
losses to goodwill, where they would be deferred indefinitely, with the
effect of reporting inflated earnings in future periods as the loans were
eventually settled for more than their understated carrying amounts. Staff
Accounting Bulletin 61 (Topic 2-A(5)) states that the SEC would not permit
any adjustments of the acquiree's estimate
of loan loss reserves, unless the acquiror's plans for ultimate recovery of
the loans were demonstrably different from the plans that had served as the
basis for the acquiree's estimates of the loss reserves.
FASB
Amnesia?
FAS
141(R) did away with the "purchase method" and established the "acquisition
method" of accounting for business combinations. It apparently did so out of
a belief that measurements of assets and liabilities that are based on the
most current information available are usually, if not always, preferable to
valuations based on less-current information. The JPMorgan case glaringly
points to a significant flaw in that belief: inconsistent
application of fair value could be more harmful than consistent
application of a less desirable attribute. As to the case at hand:
§WaMu, as is quite common, accounted for its loans based on a
held-to-maturity model. That is, except for recognizing declines in
creditworthiness, the loan carrying amount is based on the original
contractual terms; interest is accrued by multiplying the net carrying
amount by the yield to maturity as of the date the loan was
originated/acquired.
§Even though the market value of these loans had declined
significantly as they turned toxic, WaMu apparently was not required to
record losses to bring the loans down to their fair values.
§JPMorgan, when acquiring WaMu, was required by FAS 141(R) to mark the
loans to market. Subsequent accounting by JPMorgan will continue the
WaMu the held-to-maturity model.
It would
be a pretty safe bet that JPMorgan was very 'conservative' in their
estimates of fair value for the loans; that's because the lower the fair
value, the higher the yield to maturity, and the higher the amount of
reported future earnings. Of course, there are some limits to JPMorgan's
estimate of fair value: auditor pushback, SEC review, increased risk of
goodwill impairment charges, and capital adequacy regulations. But, at least
in this case, it is possible to become rich without being greedy.
Where is
the SEC!?
Maybe
there has been more coverage of this issue, but I haven't seen it; kudos to
its author, Julie Crawshaw of Newsmax. If we are concerned that bank
executives are being overcompensated, especially on the taxpayers' dime,
here is a prime example of where insufficient oversight has spawned a new
source of moral hazard.
For
starters, the SEC should put a stop to this obvious and blatant abuse,
immediately.
They should issue another SAB, carving out the offending provision of FAS
141(R) and restoring the long-established and functioning status quo. Every
company that benefitted from the ill-conceived accounting rule should be
forced to retroactively restate their earnings – especially any financial
institution on the government dole.
Perhaps
the lack of permanent leadership in the Commission's Office of the Chief
Accountant is contributing to a lack of attention to this obvious problem,
but it is in no way an excuse. Also, this is a problem created by the FASB.
Let's be charitable and call it an unintended consequence, but whatever the
cause, the FASB should move to fix it forthwith. I'm suggesting that the SEC
should act first, solely because they have the demonstrated capability of
being able to move the fastest. That's because a SAB doesn't have to be
exposed for comment before it can be issued.
But,
lacking any actions by either the FASB or SEC to put the cat back in the
bag, auditors (perhaps via the PCAOB), and boards should be put on notice of
a new potential scheme to inflate executive compensation in the absence of
actual value creation for stakeholders. If a single dime of executive
compensation comes out of accreted excess earnings from these business
combination games, I hope that private securities lawyers will round up the
proxies and the lawsuits, settling for nothing less than "a pound of flesh."
A larger
lesson is important to briefly discuss in order to understand how this kind
of loophole can occur: in accounting for financial assets, the only workable
system is comprehensive mark-to-market, all of the time. The current
situation is a consequence (intended or otherwise) of the piecemeal approach
pursued by the FASB (and IASB) towards fair value accounting.
This teaching case should be of special interest to Tom Selling and other
advocates of fair value accounting for all bank loan assets and debt.
The case deals with the traditional and now renewed issue of whether a company
can avoid short-term fair value adjustments by declaring a financial instrument
asset or debt to be a long-term (e.g. loan investments to be held-to-maturity
rather than being held as available-for-sale). With great reluctance the IASB
caved in EU banker political pressures to allow historical cost accounting for
long-term financial instruments. Similarly, the FASB changed loan impairment
accounting for long-term receivables.
Personally I never have liked short-term fair value adjustments to very
long-term financial instruments (asset and debt financial instruments). The
reason is that I place primary importance on accounting for the bottom line (net
earnings) that becomes too volatile by the fictional unrealized gains and losses
of fair value accounting for very long-term financial instruments like mortgages
payable or mortgage loans receivable. Until political pressures were applied,
the IASB and FASB placed primary emphasis on balance sheet values even though
fair value adjustment fictions of long-term financial assets and debt made it
impossible to define net earnings ---
http://www.fasri.net/index.php/2009/10/the-asset-liability-approach-primacy-does-not-mean-priority/
Most long-term receivables will be settled for contracted maturity value and
are not doubtful accountants. However, at any point where it appears that full
collection of maturity value is in doubt (such as defaulted monthly payments on
a mortgage loan), the the Allowance for Doubtful Accounts must be adjusted for
the best possible estimate of ultimate loan losses just as Sears and other big
companies adjust the Allowance for Doubtful Accounts for estimated receivables
bad debt losses. Often estimations of such losses for bank loans are more
complicated when loan collateral is involved as in the case of mortgage loans
where new government regulations make foreclosure litigation more complicated
and costly.
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on November 8,
2013
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used to introduce fair value accounting for investments versus
historical cost accounting for loans receivable. Questions also ask students to
understand the CFO's personal responsibility for integrity in financial
statement filings and systems of internal control.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Of what wrongdoing has the SEC accused Fifth Third Bancorp of Cincinnati?
2. (Advanced)
What is the importance of classifying loans as held for sale rather than
classifying them as long-term receivables?
3. (Advanced)
Chief Financial Officer Daniel Poston certainly wasn't the only one directly
responsible for the bank's accounting in the third quarter of 2008. Why then is
he the one who is losing his position and facing a one-year ban practicing
before the SEC?
4. (Advanced)
Do you think that Mr. Poston will return to his position as CFO after his one
year ban on practicing in front of the SEC is completed? Explain your answer
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Fifth Third Bancorp FITB
-0.24% has moved its finance chief to a different post in connection with a
tentative agreement it reached with the staff of the Securities and Exchange
Commission regarding the lender's accounting.
The Cincinnati bank said
Daniel Poston will vacate the chief financial officer's and become chief
strategy and administrative officer. Fifth Third appointed Tayfun Tuzun, its
treasurer, to the role of finance chief.
The SEC is seeking a
one-year ban on Mr. Poston's ability to practice before the agency under
separate negotiations with the executive, the bank said.
Fifth Third said its
agreement in principle stems from an investigation into how Fifth Third
accounted for a portion of its commercial-real-estate portfolio in a regulatory
filing for the third quarter of 2008. The dispute focuses on whether the bank
should have classified certain loans as being "held for sale" in the third
quarter of that year rather than in the fourth quarter.
Fifth Third said it will
agree to an SEC order finding that the company failed to properly account for a
portion of the portfolio but will not admit or deny wrongdoing. The bank will
also pay a civil penalty under the agreement, the amount of which wasn't
disclosed.
The agreement requires
the approval of the SEC commissioners.
A spokeswoman for the SEC
and a spokesman for Fifth Third declined to comment.
Mr. Poston, who was
serving as Fifth Third's interim finance chief at the time of the activities, is
in separate settlement discussions with the SEC under which he would agree to
similar charges, a civil penalty and the one-year ban the agency is seeking, the
bank said.
Just as early reactions
to FAS 142 seemed to have overlooked the complexities in reviewing and testing
goodwill for impairment, so too have reactions to complying with the Financial
Accounting Standards Board's Statement No. 141 – Business Combinations.
Adopted and issued at the same time as Statement No. 142 in the summer of
2001, the headline news about FAS 141 was the elimination of the Pooling-of-Interest
accounting method in mergers and acquisitions. Going forward from June 30,
2001, all acquisitions are to be accounted for using one method only – Purchase
Accounting.
This change is significant and one particular aspect of it – the
identification and measurement ofintangible assets outside of goodwill
– seems to be somewhat under-appreciated.
Stephen C. Gerard, Managing Director at Standard & Poor's Corporate Value
Consulting, says that there is "general conceptual understanding of
Statement 141 by corporate management and finance teams. But the real impact
will not be felt until the next deal is done." And that deal in FAS 141
parlance will be a "purchase" since "poolings" are no
longer recognized.
Consistent M&A Accounting
The FASB, in issuing Statement No. 141, concluded that "virtually all
business combinations are acquisitions and, thus, all business combinations
should be accounted for in the same way that other asset acquisitions are
accounted for – based on the values exchanged."
In defining how business combinations are to be accounted for, FAS 141
supersedes parts of APB Opinion No. 16. That Opinion allowed companies
involved in a merger or acquisition to use either pooling-of-interest
or purchase accounting. The choice hinged on whether the deal met 12 specified
criteria. If so, pooling-of-interest was required.
Over time, "pooling" became the accounting method of choice,
especially in "mega-deal" transactions. That, in the words of the
FASB, resulted in "…similar business combinations being accounted for
using different methods that produced dramatically different financial
statement results."
FAS 141 seeks to level that playing field and improve M&A financial
reporting by:
Better
reflecting the investment made in an acquired entity based on the values
exchanged.
Improving the
comparability of reported financial information on an apples-to-apples
basis.
Providing more
complete financial information about the assets acquired and liabilities
assumed in business combinations.
Requiring
disclosure of information on the business strategy and reasons for the
acquisition.
When announcing FAS 141, the FASB wrote: "This Statement requires those
(intangible assets) be recognized as assets apart from goodwill if they meet
one of two criteria – the contractual-legal criterion or the separability
criterion."
Unchanged by the new rule are the fundamentals of purchase accounting and the
purchase price allocation methodology for measuring goodwill: that is,
goodwill represents the amount remaining after allocating the purchase price
to the fair market values of the acquired assets, including recognized
intangibles, and assumed liabilities at the date of the acquisition.
"What has changed," says Steve Gerard, "is the rigor companies
must apply in determining what assets to break out of goodwill and separately
recognize and amortize."
Thus, in an unheralded way, FAS 141 introduces a process of identifying and
placing value on intangible assets that could prove to be a new experience for
many in corporate finance, as well as a costly and time-consuming exercise.
Nonetheless, an exercise critical to compliance with the new rule.
TOPICS: Disclosure,
Disclosure Requirements, Mergers and Acquisitions, SEC, Securities and
Exchange Commission
SUMMARY: The
article discusses the SEC's investigation into when Berkshire Hathaway
disclosed its intentions regarding the railroad Burlington Northern. In
question 2, a direct link is provided to the merger press release on Form
8-K made on November 3, 2009.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful for introducing required disclosures, negotiation and
potential bidding wars in business combinations. It also highlights the
issue of timeliness in defining information usefulness.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
According to the article, when did Berkshire Hathaway first announce its
intention to buy the railroad company Burlington Northern Sante Fe Corp.?
2. (Advanced)
Access the SEC filing on Form 8-K made on November 3, 2009 containing the
M&A agreement and joint press release by Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp.
(BNSF) and Berkshire Hathaway, Inc. available at (note that the filing is
located with BNSF filings):
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/934612/000095015709000805/form8k.htm
To whom is this notice given-other shareholders or someone else? Given that
both companies made this join press release, at what stage of negotiations
was this announcement made?
3. (Introductory)
What is the question with the timing of the disclosure made by Berkshire
Hathaway?
4. (Advanced)
Define the concept of timeliness in the conceptual framework for financial
reporting, citing either the source of the definition in U.S. GAAP or IFRS.
How does this concept interact with the primary qualities of financial
information? In your answer, define these primary qualities as well.
5. (Introductory)
Why does early disclosure "help company officers by limiting shareholders'
ability to make a surprise takeover offer"?
6. (Introductory)
How does early disclosure lead to potential problems in merger and
acquisition negotiations? According to the article, how does it work against
Warren Buffett's style of acquisition in particular?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The Securities and Exchange Commission is examining
the disclosures Berkshire Hathaway Inc. made about its $26 billion purchase
of Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp. railroad, said people familiar with
the matter.
For a number of weeks, the SEC has been looking at
how Berkshire, helmed by billionaire investor Warren Buffett, informed other
Burlington shareholders about its offer to buy the company in late October
2009, these people said.
At the time, Berkshire was already a 22.6% holder
of Burlington stock. Under a section of securities law generally known as
"13D," large holders must promptly alert other stockholders of any "plans or
proposals" to control a company. Technically the disclosure, which must be
filed with the SEC, should happen within a few business days after an offer,
say some securities lawyers. But the matter has long been open to
interpretation.
Mr. Buffett declined to comment. The SEC also
declined to comment.
Mr. Buffett amended his securities holdings on Nov.
3, 2009, the day the acquisition was announced. Securities filings show that
he first indicated he could pay $100 for each Burlington share to company
chief executive Matthew K. Rose on the evening of Oct. 23.
The transaction was a highlight of Mr. Buffett's
career, and represented his largest-ever deal. Mr. Buffett saw rail
transportation as a growing industry over a coming period of higher energy
costs. Mr. Buffett declared it an "all-in wager on the economic future of
the United States."
The reporting law is intended to help company
officers by limiting shareholders' ability to make a surprise takeover
offer. But the adherence to and enforcement of this standard has long fallen
in a gray area. Potential buyers are loath to disclose a potential deal,
fearing that it could upset their ability to complete the transaction. The
SEC, meanwhile, has shown only spotty attention to this area of the law over
the years, say securities attorneys.
The SEC's corporation-finance division is handling
the matter, and is so far just examining the facts of the transaction. The
results of that analysis will determine whether SEC's enforcement unit would
open an inquiry. Even if the SEC did decide to take action against
Berkshire, the penalties would likely be minor, experts say.
Still, the agency has shown a new focus on the law.
It recently published some loose guidelines about when potential acquirers
are expected to report their interest. At last month's Tulane University
Corporate Law Institute, the SEC's mergers and acquisitions chief, Michele
Anderson, made remarks about the topic. Acquirers that already hold big
stakes are expected to report "not necessarily as late as when they enter a
merger agreement," Ms. Anderson said. "The more it becomes probable from the
merely possible, there is a need to disclose."
The SEC's move highlights Mr. Buffett's style of
deal-making, which has stood apart from other corporate buyers. Eschewing
bankers and drawn-out negotiations, Mr. Buffett has instead used a personal
appeal, directly building relationships with top company managers and
directors, while often signing deals in a matter of days.
This has given him an advantage in buying
companies, helping lock out any potential rivals from lobbing in competing
bids.
To avoid losing a company to a competitor or
driving up the target stock price, deal lawyers say, buyers often interpret
the early-reporting requirements broadly, saying that offers aren't
"proposals" until they have guaranteed financing, for instance.
"Normally public disclosure of such transactions is
made once the parties reach agreement," said Doron Lipschitz, a partner at
O'Melveny & Myers LLP, speaking generally about the rule. "The target
company and investor usually make their announcement in filing at the same
time."
Other lawyers take a harder view, including Stephen
Bainbridge, a professor at the UCLA School of Law. "Once the large
shareholder decides that it plans to make an offer, that is a material
change," said Mr. Bainbridge. "You have a duty to amend your 13D filing
promptly. There is no real dispute on this."
One recent legal case touched, at least partially,
on the timing of disclosure of merger talks. In a shareholder lawsuit
involving the 2004 takeover of Sears Roebuck by Kmart to form Sears
Holdings, a U.S. District Court in Chicago found that the companies didn't
have to release any information ahead of their transaction, despite
shareholder claims that the information should have been disclosed earlier.
A Little Like Dirty Pooling Accounting Tyco Undervalues Acquired Assets and Overvalues Acquired Liabilities:
Tyco International Ltd. said Monday it has agreed to
pay the Securities and Exchange Commission $50 million to settle charges related
to allegations of accounting fraud by the high-tech conglomerate's prior
management. The regulatory agency had accused Tyco of inflating operating
earnings, undervaluing acquired assets, overvaluing acquired liabilities and
using improper accounting rules, company spokeswoman Sheri Woodruff said. 'The
accounting practices violated federal securities laws,'' she said. "Tyco to Pay S.E.C. $50 Million on Accounting Charges," The New York Times,
April 17, 2006 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/business/AP-Tyco-SEC-Fine.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
April 17, 2006 reply from Saeed Roohani
Bob,
Assuming improper accounting practices by Tyco
negatively impacted investors and creditors in the capital markets, why
SEC gets the $50 M? Shouldn't SEC give at least some of it back to the
people potentially hurt by such practices? Or damage to investors should
only come from auditors' pocket?
Saeed Roohani
April 18, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Saeed,
In a case like this it is difficult to identify particular victims
and the extent of the damage of this one small set of accounting
misdeeds in the complex and interactive multivariate world of
information.
The damage is also highly dispersed even if you confine the scope to
just existing shareholders in Tyco at the particular time of the
financial reports.
One has to look at motives. I'm guessing that one motive was to
provide overstated future ROIs from acquisitions in order to justify the
huge compensation packages that the CEO (Kozlowski) and the CFO
(Schwarz) were requesting from Tyco's Board of Directors for superior
acquisition performance. Suppose that they got $125 million extra in
compensation. The amount of damage for to each shareholder for each
share of stock is rather minor since there were so many shares
outstanding.
Also, in spite of the illegal accounting, Kozlowski's acquisitions
were and still are darn profitable for Tyco. I have a close friend (and
neighbor) in New Hampshire, a former NH State Trooper, who became
Koslowski's personal body guard. To this day my friend, Jack, swears
that Kozlowski did a great job for Tyco in spite of possibly "stealing"
some of Tyco's money. Many shareholders wish Kozlowski was still in
command even if he did steal a small portion of the huge amount he made
for Tyco. He had a skill at negotiating some great acquisition deals in
spite of trying to take a bit more credit for the future ROIs than was
justified under purchase accounting instead of virtual pooling
accounting.
I actually think Dennis Kozlowski was simply trying to get a bit
larger commission (than authorized by the Board) for some of his good
acquisition deals.
Would you rather have a smart crook or an unimaginative bean counter
managing your company? (Just kidding)
<<But Briloff says what's particularly egregious is
the fact that Tyco did not file with the SEC disclosure forms (known as 8K
filings), which would have carried the exhibits setting forth the balance
sheets and income statements of the acquired companies.
"This is an even worse situation than under the old
pooling accounting, " Briloff says, "because under that now vestigial
method, investors and analysts could dig out the historical balance sheet
and income statement for the acquired companies." >>
Ah yes, the good old days, when accountants
understood what mattered.
Gregg
April 18, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Interesting but still does not mean Abe wanted to pool those statements.
Abe fought poolings like a tiger. He never said that accounting information
before an acquisition is totally useless. He did say it could be misleading
when pooled, especially in relation to terms of the acquisition.
I worked on Wall Street during the other tech mania
(late 60's) which included the conglomerate craze. I know
pooling-of-interest accounting was kind of tarred and feathered in the
ensuing meltdown, but I was never too clear why that was so. I am still
wondering why bogus goodwill is preferable to retaining the financial track
record of the combined companies. Are you aware of what the actual
objections to p-o-i are?
Gregg Wilson
March 29, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Some investors are impressed by high ROI or ROE
numbers. Keeping the denominator low with old historical cost numbers and
the numerator high with future earnings numbers "inflated" ROI and ROE and
made the mergers appear more successful than was actually the case.
There are other problems with "dirty pooling."
One of the best-known articles (from Barrons) was
written by Professor Abe Briloff about "Dirty Pooling at McDonalds."
McDonald's shares plummeted significantly the day that Briloff exposed dirty
pooling by McDonald's ---
http://www.jstor.org/view/00014826/ap010167/01a00060/0
Actually, one of the arguments in favor of purchase
accounting rather than pooling of interests is that in an arm's length
transaction goodwill can actually be measured, unlike the pie-in-the sky
valuations in a hypothetical world.
Well I wasn't able to find a site where I could access Abe's article.
The "old numbers" are worth a lot to this user of financial statements,
and I would much rather have the combined track record of the two companies
than its obliteration. I am not sure why accountants feel that there is a
problem revealing what the past and current combined ROE has been. The
pooling-of-interest doesn't create that number, it only preserves it for
those who want to use it.
If you mean that the value of the exchanged stock is an actual
measurement of goodwill then I would take very serious issue. There is no
economic meaning to that number. Companies negotiate an exchange ratio. The
relative value of the two stocks may matter, but the value of the exchanged
stock has no relevance to the negotiation, so how could it be a measure of
anything economic? All you have to do is look at the real cases of stock
acquisitions that were made during the market boom to see how true that is
and how spurious the numbers became. I always assumed that the amortization
rules were changed because of the charade of company after company being
forced to report pro forma earnings due to the ludicrous mountains of
mythical goodwill.
But even if the goodwill number were determinable why would you want to
use it. The point isn't to have accurate values on the balance sheet. The
point is retaining the historical relationships of the earnings model.
Deferred costs are not assets that you want to value but the merely costs
that are going to be expensed and the historical relationship of those costs
to the resulting earnings is what tells you what the capital efficiency of
the company is. I want that information. Why obliterate it?
Gregg Wilson
March 29, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Generally there are market values of the stocks at the date of the
acquisition. These give some evidence of value at the time of the merger,
although there are blockage factor considerations.
In any case there is a long history of abuses of pooling to mislead
investors. In some cases that was the main purpose such that without being
able to use pooling accounting, acquisitions did not take place. In other
words the main purpose was to deceive.
The standard itself discusses a lot of both theory and abuses. In
general, academics fought against pooling. About the only parties in favor
of pooling were the corporations themselves.
Read the standard itself and you will learn a lot.
Well I would call that entire FAS 141 a lot of
sophistries. Apples and oranges indeed. This is a case of trying to make an
apple into an orange and getting a rotten banana.
In the above example, if a company bought another
company for more than its net worth, the excess price paid was attributable
to goodwill and would have to be written off over a period of years. The
problem is that the writing off goodwill creates an expense that lowers
earnings. To get around this, companies use an accounting technique called
pooling of interest. This practice allows the acquiring company to buy other
companies at inflated prices and keep the goodwill charges off the company's
books. This strategy has resulted in merger mania. It enables a corporation
to buy another company at an inflated price using its own highly priced
stock as currency. In honest times, this process would create huge amounts
of goodwill that normally would have to be written off against future
earnings. Today, companies avoid this detriment to their bottom line by
pooling. The Merger Wave
These accounting abuses can be credited to what is
behind the current merger wave on Wall Street. Companies are using their
inflated stock prices to buy other companies. The result of buying more
companies brings in more sales and more profits, which Wall Street loves.
Using the pooling method of accounting, companies can acquire other
companies at high prices without the consequences of depressing future
earnings through the amortization of goodwill.
I was trying to find example of the abuses you were
talking about. I thought this was a terrific one. What fantastic
misinformation!
The thing that's so laughable about these arguments
is that they take investors for fools. In a stock acquisition not a nickel
of cash has been expended, so everyone understands that the purchase
goodwill is just a little paper farce that the accountants make us go
through. The amortization thing doesn't effect the price of the stock
because it has no e ffect whatsoever on the company's actual profitability
or cash flow. Have you read about the efficient market? I was really struck
in this last go around at the willingness of companies to take on billions
of dollars in goodwill that literally dwarfed everything else on their
balance sheets and caused their GAP earnings to be huge losses. They
reported their pro forma earnings and everyone understood that they hadn't
really paid 10 billion dollars for a company that was worth 100 million. I
looked at a couple of the deals and the share exchange ratios were really
very fair relative to the fundamentals (not the share prices). They were
good solid deals, between smallish tech companies that were very profitable
in the capex bubble and so were richly priced as one would expect. So the
accountants caved and changed the rule, and this little pint sized company
took some astounding goodwill writeoff the next year and the stock did
nothing. Did the guy who wrote 141 really think that phony made up good will
is the same thing as actual paid for with cash good will? I always get the
feeling that the companies relented on this one so they could fight their
battles on the ones that really matter. An orange is an orange, and an apple
is an apple.
I think accountants have really misunderstood the
whole abuse issue. I worked on Wall Street during the conglomerate fad and
spent hours analyzing stock acquisitions. There were some accounting abuses
but they were really not about pooling-of-interest. The people that really
got hurt were not the investors so much as the entrepreneurs who sold their
companies. Textron started the whole conglomerate thing and the business
schools wet their pants over the idea and pretty soon you could call
yourself a congolmerate and get a high stock price. I can't tell you how
tired I got of hearing the word "synergy". What was basically happening was
that the companies were making really good deals and getting a lot of value
for the stock they were giving up, partly because of the whole aura of the
thing. When you get a really good share exchange it makes your earnings
higher than they would be otherwise. Of course there is nothing abusive
about this. It's just the reality of doing a good deal. The real earnings
and cash flow are indeed and in fact actually higher per share for the
acquiring company. But of course that meant it took on the qualities of a
self-fullfilling prophecy. Investors were not fools then and they're not
fools now. They understood perfectly what was going on and hopped on for the
ride. It was the entrepreneurs that were selling their companies that were
duped. They were the ones that ended up with most of the stock when the
bubble burst.
I remember going out to talk to Henry Singleton at
Teledyne. What a brilliant man. He was telling me a story about a guy who
was peddling his company and wanted a certain price which he was evaluating
purely in terms of the value of the stock he was going to receive in the
exchange. Henry said that he sent him off to one of the schlock companies
that he knew would "pay" him what he wanted. We had our little moment of
bemusement, because even though it was early in the melt down stage, the guy
was obviously going to come up short. He just wasn't willing to look at what
he was getting a whole bunch of shares in, and he wasn't going to be able to
sell it for a while. So what do you think? Is it the accountants job to
protect that guy from his own greed?
By the way, Henry was playing his own games, and
they weren't really about pooling of interest. He was making literally
hundreds of stock acquisitions most of which were not really growth
companies but good solid little cash cows, and then he would slip in a nice
medium sized cash acquisitions once a quarter to make his "internal growth"
target. He would say that he was doing 15% external growth (the deal value
factor) and 15% internal growth. The thing about pooling was that you could
really see what the year-to-year growth of the combined companies was, so
Henry had to do his fix. Then after the stock tanked with the other
congomerates he was in great shape with all his cash flow so he started
doing debt swaps for the depressed stock. I was really sad when I heard he
had died prematurely. It would have been fun to see what his next move would
have been. The company languished without him.
Anyway I think the whole thing got interpreted as a
pooling-of-interest abuse, but as far as I'm concerned it really didn't have
anything to do with the accounting treatment. It's not the accountants
business to police the markets. In a stock deal the goodwill is all funny
money anyways, so the way I see it we are mucking up the balance sheet for
no good reason. You can amortize til you're blue in the face but it's not
really going to have any affect on anything real. It's not cash and it never
was. But you can pretend.
Gregg Wilson
March 30, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
FASB rules now require writing off goodwill only to the extent it is deemed impaired.
If you want to publish on such issues you have to provide something other
than off the top-of-your-head evidence. Do you have any evidence that
companies tend to buy other companies at inflated prices above what
companies are actually worth in terms of synergy and possibly oligopoly
benefits (such as when AT&T bought Bell South). You need to define "inflated
prices." About the only good examples I found of this on a large scale was
during the S&L bubble of the 1980s and the technology bubble of the 1990s
when almost everything was inflated in value. But at the time, who could've
predicted if and when the bubble would burst? It's always easier to assess
value in hindsight.
In general, it's very hard to define "inflated value" since the worth of
Company B to Company A may be far different than the worth of Company B to
Company C. You can always make an assumption that CEOs acquiring companies
are all stupid and/or crooks, but this assumption is just plain idiotic.
Many acquisitions pay off very nicely such as when Tyco bought most of its
acquisitions. Even crooks like Dennis Koswalski often make good acquisitions
for their companies. Koswalski simply thought he should get a bigger piece
of the action from his good deals.
Of course there are obvious isolated cases such as when Time Warner
bought AOL, but in this case AOL used fraudulent accounting that was not
detected.
I'm a little curious about what you would recommend for a balance sheet
of the merged AB Company when Company A buys Company B having the following
balance sheets:
Company A
Cash $200
Land $100 having a current exit value of $200
Equity ($300)
Company B
Land $10 having a current exit value of $100
Equity ($10)
Company A buys all Company B shares for $120 million in cash and merges
the accounts. Company A and B business operations are all merged such that
maintaining Company B as a subsidiary makes no sense. Employees of Company B
are highly skilled real estate investors who now work for Company AB. The
extra $20 million paid above the land current values of Company B was paid
mainly to acquire the highly skilled employees of Company B.
Company AB
Cash $ 80
Land ?
Equity ($ ?)
Why would a pooling be better than purchase accounting in the above
instance? I think not.
I certainly didn't mean to imply that cash
acquisitions should be treated as pooling-of-interest. On the contrary I was
trying to make the point that they are totally different situations, and
can't be treated effectively by the same accounting rule. The cash is the
whole point.
Gregg Wilson
March 30, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
I guess I still don't see a convincing argument why pooling is better for
non-cash deals since you still have the same problem as with cash deals.
That problem is badly out of date historical cost accounts on the books that
are totally meaningless in the acquisition negotiations. If they are totally
meaningless in negotiations, why should historical costs be pooled into the
acquiring firm's book instead of more relevant numbers reflecting the fair
values of the tangible assets at the time of the acquisition?
Of course there are many issues that your raise below, but I don't think
they argue for pooling.
Because historical costs are the historical record
of the company's capital efficiency. As my old accounting teacher pointed
out, the earnings model is a gross approximation at best, but if persued
with consistency and conservativeness it can be a good indicator of the
capital efficiency of the firm and it's ability to generate a stream of
future cash returns. For me the killer argument in that regard is this. The
reality of a company is the stream of cash returns itself, dividends if you
will, and that's what the stock is worth. It makes no difference whether the
company has liberal accounting policies or conservative accounting policies.
If applied consistently then that rate of return on equity will define the
stream of future cash returns. It can be liberal accounting with a low ROE
and high E and a high reinvestment rate, or conservative accounting with a
high ROE and low E and a low reinvestment rate, but the resulting stream of
dividends is the same. The historical deferred costs and historical ROE are
the evidence of value, but they depend on consistent application of some
kind of accounting standards and rules whether they be liberal or
conservative (conservative has its advantages). I would rather have that
evidence than know what the current "fair value" of the assets is. Those
values don't help me determine the value of the stock. Pooling of interest
is terrific, because it recreates that earnings model history for the
combined companies. The historical costs are not meaningless to the
negotiations but rather are the basis for the negotiations, for they are the
evidence that the companies are using to determine the share exchange ratio
that they will accept. A low ROE company will have less to bargain with than
a high ROE company, all else being equal. There are potentials for abuse in
the differing accounting standards of the two entities, but if major changes
in the accounting standards of one of the companies occur, then the
accountants should disclose that material fact.
Gregg Wilson
March 30, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hardly a measure of capital efficiency. I have the 1981 U.S. Steel Annual
Report back when FAS 33 was still in force. U.S. Steel had to report under
both historical cost and current cost bases.
Under historical cost, U.S. Steel reported over $1 billion in net
earnings. On a current cost basis, all earnings disappeared and a net loss
of over $300 million was reported.
I consider the $1 billion net income reported under historical cost to be
a misleading figure of capital efficiency.
The law views this in reverse. Equity is a residual claim on assets under
securities laws. But the claim itself has no bearing on the historical
(deferred) cost amount since, in liquidation, the historical cost is
irrelevant. And in negotiating acquisition deals historical cost is
irrelevant. I have trouble imagining acquisitions where it would be relevant
since asset appraisals are essential in acquisitions.
Deferred cost such as book value of buildings and equipment is also
rendered meaningless by entirely arbitrary accumulated depreciation contra
accounts. Your argument does not convince me that pooling is better than
purchase accounting in acquisitions.
Since you feel so strongly about this, I suggest that you expose your
theories to the academic accounting world. Consider subscribing (free) to
the AECM at
http://pacioli.loyola.edu/aecm/ (Don't be mislead by the
technology description of this listserv. It has become the discussion forum
for all matters of accounting theory.)
Then carefully summarize your argument for pooling and see how accounting
professors respond to your arguments.
See if you can convince some accounting professors. You've not yet
convinced me that pooling is better.
I have been having an e-mail discussion with Bob
Jensen about accounting of stock acquisitions, and he kindly suggested that
I post my thoughts on the matter in this forum. I am not an academic and I
am here only because, as a user of financial statements, I find purchase
accounting of stock acquisitions puzzling.
(1) To me, the value of the exchanged shares is not
an economically relevant amount and is certainly not a purchase price. The
price of a stock acquisition is the share exchange ratio and what is
negotiated is the equity participation of the two groups of stockholders in
the combined companies. In the latest boom period purchase accounting often
produced extreme purchase prices many times what any cash buyer would have
paid and, when amortization was employed, large losses for the acquiror
which prompted pro forma reporting. If there was any economic reality to the
accounting treatment, why did those managements not lose their jobs? They
didn't "pay" the value of the exchanged shares. On the contrary, the share
exchange ratio that they negotiated was perfectly reasonable and beneficial.
(2) The exchanged stock value as purchase price is
a non-cash paper value which, regardless of the amortization or impairment
treatment, is ignored by this investor and, from what I have seen, investors
in general. It has no relevance to determining the discounted value of the
future cash returns, simply because the acquisition was in fact a
combination of equity interests and not a cash purchase and there was never
an economically relevant cash cost.
(3) Pooling-of-interest is good because it
preserves the historical profitability history of the combined companies and
accurately reflects the merger of equity interests which has in fact taken
place.
(4) There is nothing deceptive or abusive about
pooling accounting. If the ROE is higher it's because that's the right ROE.
It will result in a more accurate, and not a less accurate, projection of
future cash returns.
If company A and company B are very similar
fundamentally and both stocks are selling at 20 and they are negotiating a
share for share exchange and interest rates drop suddenly and both stocks go
to 25, then A isn't going to think oh-my-gosh we are "paying" 25% more for B
and drop out of the negotiations. On the contrary they will take the market
action as validation of the negotiated exchange ratio which is the price.
The stocks could go to 90 and it still wouldn't change anything except the
size of the goodwill on the balance sheet of the combined companies that I
have to back out of my analysis.
--- Gregg Wilson wrote: I have been having an
e-mail discussion with Bob Jensen about accounting of stock acquisitions,
and he kindly suggested that I post my thoughts on the matter in this forum.
(snip) --- end of quote ---
Consider the following two sets of transactions:
1. P Corporation (P is for purchaser) raises $100
by issuing ten new shares to the capital market. It uses the $100 cash to
purchase 100% of the outstanding stock of T (as in Target) Corporation.
2. P issues ten new shares to the stockholders of T
in exchange for 100% of the outstanding stock of T.
Questions:
1. Should the accounting for the assets of T in the
consolidated financial statements of P differ between these two
transactions?
2. The crux of your critique of purchase accounting
seems to your assertion: "To me, the value of the exchanged shares is not an
economically relevant amount and is certainly not a purchase price."
a. Is the $100 cash raised by P in transaction #1
above an economically relevant amount?
b. Is the $100 cash transferred by P to the
shareholders of T in transaction #1 above a purchase price?
Richard C. Sansing
Associate Professor of Business Administration
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth
100 Tuck Hall Hanover, NH 03755
I would say the two transactions are not
equivalent.
In 1. the stockholders of T end out with $100. In
2. the stockholders of T end out with shares of stock in P.
1. is still a cash purchase and
2. is still an exchange of shares.
Say that P has 100 shares outstanding. In 2. what P
and T have negotiated is that in combining the two companies the
shareholders of T will end up with 10 shares in the combined companies and P
will end up with 100. That is obviously based on an assessment that the
value of P is 10 times the value of T based on their relative fundamentals
and ability to produce future cash returns. The price at which P can sell
it's stock to some third party is not relevant.
I would say the two transactions are not
equivalent.
In 1. the stockholders of T end out with $100. In
2. the stockholders of T end out with shares of stock in P.
1. is still a cash purchase and 2. is still an
exchange of shares.
--- end of quote ---
That the former shareholders of T wind up with
different assets in the two settings is not in dispute. Let's try this once
more.
In response to your original post, I posed three
questions. They were:
1. Should the accounting for the assets of T in the
consolidated financial statements of P differ between these two
transactions?
2. a. Is the $100 cash raised by P in transaction
#1 above an economically relevant amount?
b. Is the $100 cash transferred by P to the
shareholders of T in transaction #1 above a purchase price?
You answered none of them. You did remark:
"The price at which P can sell it's stock to some
third party is not relevant."
but I did not pose a question to which that is a
plausible answer. I have stipulated a transaction, that P sells--not could
sell, did sell--ten new shares of P stock in exchange for $100 cash as part
of transaction #1. Question 2a is a simple one. Is the $100 cash that P
received for its stock in the stipulated transaction an economically
relevant amount? If later in the discussion you want to dispute a premise in
an argument I advance, you are of course free to do so. But I have not yet
advanced an argument. I have simply posed some questions.
You have chosen to enter a community in which
abstract reasoning involving hypothetical examples the norm. You can
participate in this community, or not. If you answer the three questions, we
can proceed, because then I think I can understand what it is about the
purchase method of accounting that you find objectionable. But right now I
am unsure how you are thinking about the problem.
Richard C. Sansing
Associate Professor of Business Administration
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth
100 Tuck Hall Hanover, NH 03755
Maybe I should qualify my "Yes" answer. Answers 2
and 3 are yes to the extent they are economically relevant within
transaction set 1. They are not economically relevant to transaction set 2.
Maybe I should qualify that. Answers 2 and 3 are
yes to the extent they are economically relevant within transaction set 1.
They are not economically relevant to transaction set 2.
--- end of quote ---
Okay, that helps. Given your answers, I think I can
put forward the case for purchase accounting. Transaction set #1 is recorded
in the following manner.
Sale of new equity for cash:
Cash 100
Stockholder equity 100
Purchase of T's assets for cash:
Assets 100
Cash 100
When the smoke clears, P has recorded assets with a
book value of 100 and stockholder equity of 100.
Purchase accounting takes the view that P's
acquisition of T's assets for stock essentially collapses these two
transactions into one, recording the value of the T assets at the market
price of the P stock. In contrast, if T's assets had a book value of 60,
pooling of interest would record assets of 60 and equity of 60.
The issue is whether this "collapsing" is
appropriate. P and T certainly wind up in the same position under both
transactions. Whether the shareholders of P and T are in the same position
depends on their portfolio choices.
Suppose first that I behave in accordance with the
principles of Capital Markets 101, in which I hold the market portfolio plus
the risk-free asset. Before either transaction #1 or #2, I hold (say) 10 P
shares (out of 100 outstanding) and 1 T share (out of 10 outstanding).
After either transaction, I own 11 P shares (out of
110
outstanding.) If all shareholders behave as I do,
then every party associated with the transaction is in the same position
under both sets of transactions. The burden seems to be on those advocating
the pooling method to explain why the accounting should differ when the
results to every party are the same.
Now suppose instead that shareholders, for whatever
reason, do not behave in this manner, and the two transactions lead to
substantive differences at the shareholder level (but not at the corporate
level). Should differences between the two transactions at the shareholder
level dictate different accounting treatments at the corporate level? Why?
Finally, let's consider the assertions you made in
your original post.
"To me, the value of the exchanged shares is not an
economically relevant amount and is certainly not a purchase price. (snip)
In the latest boom period purchase accounting often produced extreme
purchase prices many times what any cash buyer would have paid..."
When the stock was issued for cash, you considered
the cash price paid economically relevant (my question 2a); and when the
assets were sold for cash, you considered it a purchase price (my question
2b.) Yet when the transaction is collapsed, you
consider the market value of shares an not economically relevant amount and
not a purchase price. So if transaction were arranged as a stock deal, are
you arguing that P would issue more than ten shares to the shareholders of T
in exchange for their T stock? Why?
I was going to followup this morning, and noticed
that you had already responded.
On the details of your case... What I didn't
understand was the equivalence of the subscribers to the P stock, and the T
shareholders. Why would we presume that they are one in the same? The
hypothetical subscribers to the P stock obviously would view the price of P
as economically relevant. But the T shareholders are only interested in the
shares of P that they end up with. From their point of view the collapsible
transaction could be executed at any price and it would still bear the same
result for them. It's a wash with regard to price. That is why I qualified
my response to question 2 by indicating that it was not economically
relevant to transaction 2. The price of P is an economic reality, but not
one which consititutes a purchase price of T.
I wouldn't say that pooling looks to the book value
as a value of the combined companies, any more than book value is the value
of any other company. What pooling does is reflect the merging of the two
historical earnings and financial records of the two companies to reflect
that the nature of the transaction as a merging of equity interests with an
indeterminate "purchase price".
I had never thought about the compensation issue.
I'll get back to you if I can figure something out.
---Gregg Wilson wrote:
P and T have negotiated that P should issue ten shares in exchange for T
stock. That is the economic reality. (snip) And there is no economic reason
that we should pick the one that happens to coincide with the actual current
price of P's stock, because that was not an input of determining the
exchange ratio. The problem is that there is no determinant value for a
share exchange acquisition. Using the current P stock price is merely an
arbitrary convention (snip)
--- end of quote ---
The current market price of P is part of the
economic reality, as is the current book value of T. Purchase accounting
looks to the former to record the assets of T on the books of P; pooling
looks to the latter.
Okay, time for a new thought experiment. The CEO of
P corporation receives a salary of $400K plus 1,000 shares of P stock on
July 1. These are shares, not options, and they are not restricted. On July
1, when the shares were delivered to the CEO, the stock had a market value
of $60 per share, a book value of $40 per share, and a par value of $1 per
share. Note that the amount of shares delivered is not a function of the
stock price.
Record the entry for compensation expense for the
year. The accounts are provided below.
Compensation expense
Cash Stockholder's equity
Richard C. Sansing
Associate Professor of Business Administration
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth
100 Tuck Hall Hanover, NH 03755
I was going to follow up this morning, and noticed
that you had already responded.
On the details of your case... What I didn't
understand was the equivalence of the subscribers to the P stock, and the T
shareholders. Why would we presume that they are one in the same? The
hypothetical subscribers to the P stock obviously would view the price of P
as economically relevant. But the T shareholders are only interested in the
shares of P that they end up with. From their point of view the collapsible
transaction could be executed at any price and it would still bear the same
result for them. It's a wash with regard to price. That is why I qualified
my response to question 2 by indicating that it was not economically
relevant to transaction 2. The price of P is an economic reality, but not
one which consititutes a purchase price of T.
I wouldn't say that pooling looks to the book value
as a value of the combined companies, any more than book value is the value
of any other company. What pooling does is reflect the merging of the two
historical earnings and financial records of the two companies to reflect
that the nature of the transaction as a merging of equity interests with an
indeterminate "purchase price".
I had never thought about the compensation issue.
I'll get back to you if I can figure something out.
On the details of your case... What I didn't
understand was the equivalence of the subscribers to the P stock, and the T
shareholders. Why would we presume that they are one in the same? The
hypothetical subscribers to the P stock obviously would view the price of P
as economically relevant. But the T shareholders are only interested in the
shares of P that they end up with. From their point of view the collapsible
transaction could be executed at any price and it would still bear the same
result for them. (snip)
I had never thought about the compensation issue.
I'll get back to you if I can figure something out.
--- end of quote ---
The setting in which P and T shareholders are the
same is an interesting special case in which the distinction you regard as
crucial--the difference in what the T shareholders hold after transaction #1
and transaction #2--vanishes. And it is not a unreasonable case to consider,
as it is consistent with finance portfolio theory in which all investors
hold the market portfolio.
Let me restate what I hear you saying to see if I
understand. Investors that receive P stock for cash care about the price of
P stock. Investors that receive P stock in a merger care only about the
number of shares they receive, but do not care about the price of those
shares. Do I have that right?
Your answer to the compensation question will, I
think, help me understand how you are framing these issues.
I am afraid I am not well-versed in the
compensation/option issues though I probably should do better. So without
the benefit of prior knowledge...
I guess if there is a compensation expense, it is
not necessarily one that is determinable. If there were 100,000 shares
outstanding, then from the owners point of view they expect that the
incremental net cash returns produced by the extra efforts of the CEO
motivated by the stock grant can be valued at a minimum of 1/100 of the
value of the company's future cash returns without the CEO's extra effort.
But relative values aren't costs and it's unclear to me whether the owners
care what the current price of the stock is. Maybe not since the grant is
not a function of the stock price. That's as far as I've gotten. I need to
get some other things done. I'll keep thinking on it, but I seem to be
stumped for now.
I think I am starting to understand your
perspective, but I need a little more input from you. First, here are some
excerpts from your recent contributions to this thread.
---Gregg Wilson wrote: I guess if there is a
compensation expense, it is not necessarily one that is determinable. (Note:
The compensation consisted of $400K cash and 1,000 shares of stock with a
market price of $60 per share--RS)
...it's unclear to me whether the owners care what
the current price of the stock is.
And there is no economic reason that we should pick
the one that happens to coincide with the actual current price of P's stock.
Using the current P stock price is merely an
arbitrary convention.
The price at which P can sell it's stock to some
third party is not relevant.
The price of P is relevant not as an absolute
number, but only in terms of its ratio to the real or imputed price of T.
---end of quotations
In the compensation issue that I posed, I
stipulated that the market value of the stock was $60 per share. Tell me
what that number means to you. At the most fundamental level, why do you
think the price might be $60 instead of $6 or $600? I'm not looking for a
"because that's where the market cleared that day" answer, but something
that gets at the most primitive, fundamental reasons stock prices are what
they are. And when they change, why do they change?
That's easy. I subcribe to the
dividend-discount-model view of stock prices. Stock prices are basically a
function of interest rates and expected sustainable future profitability
(ROE; the best estimator we have (with reinvestment rate) for those future
cash returns).
In fact I use my own DDM to convert stock prices to
expectational ROEs. Such a DDM is a complete model of stock valuation, and
can fully explain stock price levels from the 10-12% ROE low reinvestment
low interest rate period of the late 30s, to the 12-15% ROE high interest
rate period of the 70s, to the 25% cap-weighted ROE and low interest rates
of the capex peak in 2000. Stock prices are extremely volatile because they
are a point-in-time market consensus of the future sustainable profitability
of the company. A decline in profitabliity expectations will typically
produce a price change of two or three times the magnitude, while a change
in discount rate will have a more subdued impact.
--- Gregg Wilson wrote: I subscribe to the
dividend-discount-model view of stock prices. (snip) --- end of quote ---
Understood. The theme that has emerged in this
thread is that you are uncomfortable in situations in which GAAP would use
the current market price of the firm's stock as an input when determining an
accounting entry.
Let's put aside the purchase/pooling dispute to
look at the compensation question. Under the set of facts that I stipulated,
I don't think there is any controversy regarding the appropriate accounting
treatment. It would be:
Compensation expense $460K Cash $400K Equity $60K
A rationale for this treatment is to decompose the
equity transfer into two components. First, suppose the firm sells 1,000
shares of new equity to the CEO at the market price of $60 per share (debit
cash, credit equity); second, suppose the firm pays the CEO a cash salary of
$460K (credit cash, debit compensation expense.) Collapsing these two
transactions into one (transfer of $400K cash plus equity worth $60K in
exchange for services) doesn't change the accounting treatment.
Now change some of the numbers and labels around
and let the firm issue new P equity to T in exchange for all of its equity.
The purchase method uses the value of the P stock issued to record the
assets and liabilities of T.
Which brings us full circle to your original post.
You wrote:
"To me, the value of the exchanged shares is not an
economically relevant amount and is certainly not a purchase price."
I argue that the value of P stock is relevant and
is a purchase price, in both the compensation case and P's acquisition of T.
I trust you are having a pleasant weekend. Before
tackling the compensation case etc, can you tell me how we account for open
market share repurchases.
--- You wrote: Before tackling the compensation
case etc, can you tell me how we account for open market share repurchases.
--- end of quote ---
Credit cash, debit equity; details can vary
depending on whether the repurchase is a major retirement or acquiring the
shares to distribute as part of compensation. If the latter, the debit is to
Treasury Stock.
Well I'm still in the same place. It seems to me
that when a company pays an employee $60,000 in cash they are compensating
them for services rendered in that value. When a company grants stock to an
employee they are diluting the interests of the current equity participants
in the expectation that the employee will be motivated to more than
compensate them by an improved stream of cash returns in the future; the
point of making the employee an equity participant in the first place,
rather than an immediately richer individual. So I don't see the relevance
of the price of the shares to the trans 2 again. Except in this case the use
of the market share price seems even more suspect in the collapsible
transaction, since the company and the CEO could execute the wash
transactions between themselves at any price. Also the dilution is the cost,
so adding an additional phantom non-cash cost seems to me to be a double
counting. It also has the same characteristics as the pooling transaction
where very bizarre results could be possible. If a company had a 50 PE then
a 2% dilution would erase the company's entire earnings for the period while
if the company had a 10 PE a 2% dilution would erase 20% of the earnings.
It's the same 2% dilution.
So is that it Richard? Am I a hopeless dolt? I'm
sorry but I can't get there on the collapsible transaction. Nor do I
understand why the lack of rational result doesn't matter to anyone. I don't
want to go look up the data again, but I know when JDS Uniphase bought E-tek
the share exchange was quite reasonable but the value of the exchanged stock
was in the multi billions and was probably like 500 times the eanrings of E-tek.
So when this pipsqueek company goes to raise billions of dollars at their
current market price, it's not just whether they could sell that much stock,
but rather how they would justify it to the buyers. "Use of Proceeds: we are
going to go out and make a cash acquisition of a company called E-tek and we
are going to pay billions of dollars and 500 times E-teks's earnings and
many many multiples of book value and sales." So what would their real
chances be of getting away with that, and why doesn't that seem like a
phoney number to anyone? Why doesn't it seem funny that the "prices" of
stock purchase acquisitions are basically randomly distributed from the
reasonable to the ludicrous to the sublime? Isn't that evidence that the
price is uneconomic? Is this really the basic justification for the economic
relevance of the purchase number, or is there something more?
It seems to me that when a company pays an employee
$60,000 in cash they are compensating them for services rendered in that
value. When a company grants stock to an employee they are diluting the
interests of the current equity participants in the expectation that the
employee will be motivated to more than compensate them by an improved
stream of cash returns in the future; the point of making the employee an
equity participant in the first place, rather than an immediately richer
individual. (snip) Why doesn't it seem funny that the "prices" of stock
purchase acquisitions are basically randomly distributed from the reasonable
to the ludicrous to the sublime? Isn't that evidence that the price is
uneconomic?
--- end of quote ---
I did not stipulate an assumption that the employee
had to hold the 1,000 shares granted.
The interests of the current stockholders are not
diluted in the specified transaction ($400K cash plus stock worth $60K)
relative to an alternative cash compensation arrangement of equal value
($460K cash.)
You had earlier indicated a belief that stock
prices are best explain by a dividend discount model. Now you suggest that
they are random. If you think they are random, of course, I quite understand
your discomfort using stock price as an input to the accounting system; but
GAAP can use stock price as an input in many transactions, and it is that,
not the purchase method per se, that appears to trouble you.
Anecdotes regarding one firm "over-paying" for
another in a stock deal don't add much to our understanding, and in any case
the issues involving merger premiums and acquisition method may be unrelated
to the financial accounting treatment of the acquisition. There is a large
and growing literature on this topic; see for example:
Shleifer, A., and R. Vishny. 2003. Stock market
driven acquisitions. Journal of Financial Economics 70 (December): 295-311.
<<> The interests of the current stockholders are
not diluted in the specified > transaction ($400K cash plus stock worth
$60K) relative to an > alternative cash compensation arrangement of equal
value ($460K > cash.)>>
I'm confused. Aren't there 1,000 more shares
outstanding?
--- end of quote ---
Yes. Suppose before any compensation is paid, 100K
shares are outstanding and the firm is worth $6,460,000. After we pay $460K
compensation, the firm is worth $6,000,000, or $60 per share.
If instead we compensate the CEO with $400K and
1,000 shares, after compensating the CEO the firm is worth $6,460,000 -
$400,000 =$6,060,000 and 101K shares are outstanding, still with a value of
$60 per share (because $6,060,000/101,000 = $60).
With regard to the rest of the thread, I think we
are going around in circles. Purchase accounting uses the price of P shares
to record the assets of T on P's financial statements. If that price is
meaningful, goodwill is meaningful; if the price is random, goodwill is too.
If I spend $460,000 I certainly hope that my
company isn't worth $460,000 less or I certainly wouldn't spend the money.
Hopefully the present value of the impact of the $460,000 on future net cash
returns will at least exceed the cash expenditure. The same could be said
for the 1,000 shares, although they are not a book cost but merely a
redistribution of equity participation.
But by your logic I should point out that the
company was worth $60.60 per share after the $400,000 total loss
expenditure. Now by issuing 1,000 shares the company is only worth $60.00
per share. Dilution?
Well it has certainly been an interesting
conversation, and I do thank you for your time and interest. I have learned
a great deal. I would agree that we are at an impasse. All my best to you
and yours.
Sorry for the confusion. I was referring to the
value of the exchanged shares of stock in the purchase acquisitions, the
"price" that purchase accounting puts on the deal which becomes in fact
random because it bears no relationship to the economic basis of the
negotiation.
<<> The interests of the current stockholders are
not diluted in the specified > transaction ($400K cash plus stock worth
$60K) relative to an > alternative cash compensation arrangement of equal
value ($460K > cash.)>>
I'm confused. Aren't there 1,000 more shares
outstanding?
> Anecdotes regarding one firm "over-paying" for
another in a stock > deal don't add much to our understanding,>>
Apparently not, but it should. We should be asking
why any of those managements still have a job. The point is they didn't
overpay. The share exchange ratio in the JDS/E-tek deal was quite reasonable
and resulting in a fair allocation of equity ownership between the two
groups of shareholders. It just had nothing to do with the market value of
the JDS stock that was exchanged. The monstrocity of the goodwill is a tip
off that something is wrong about the treatment, not that the buyer
overpaid.
<<> merger premiums and acquisition method may be
unrelated to the financial > accounting treatment of the acquisition.>>
I think that's right. Management has caught on that
the market doesn't care about the phony goodwill and they just do what's
right for the company. There's always pro forma reporting if the GAAP
reporting gets too messed up.
Gregg Wilson
April 12, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Gregg,
You wrote: "There's always pro forma reporting if
the GAAP reporting gets too messed up." End Quote
I think you misunderstand my point. I am surely not
defending pro forma reporting. I would assume that one reason goodwill
amortization was suspended was that it left companies with no other option.
Management rightly assumes that investors want to know what the company is
actually earning. If goodwill amortization was suspended for some other
reason, what might it have been?
Hi Richard Sansing and anyone who would care to
reply.
We have come to an impasse on purchase accounting,
but I did have a question on pooling that I wanted to ask you about.
I am old enough to have been hanging around Wall
Street research departments in my misspent youth, and was there for the
conglomerate craze in the late sixties, and these are the things I remember.
After the Harvard B School did there endorsement of Textron, all you had to
do was call yourself a conglomerate and talk about synergy and you'd have an
immediate following for your stock. Not only that, but you seemed to be able
to make share exchange acquisitions on favorable terms which were accretive
to your earnings, and pretty soon you had a kind of self-fullfilling
prophecy going on. I did some work on Teledyne and even went out to
California and met Henry Singleton. He used to talk about 15% internal
growth, and 15% external growth. The external part was the accretion to
earnings from stock acquisitions. Well we know that the whole thing ended
badly, although Henry was nobody's fool and had been buying little cash-cow
companies all along despite the sales pitch, so he was in far better shape
than some.
Now for years afterwards you keep hearing this idea
that pooling is abusive because companies can use their "high priced" stock
to make acquisitions, especially in periods of market enthusiasm like the
late sixties. I guess what is really being said is that companies stand a
better chance of making accretive acquisitions when times are good and the
stock is selling at a high price, and the whole thing is in danger of
becoming another ponzi scheme like the conglomerate fad all over again,
because the accretion to earnings will then reinforce the high price of the
stock. There is a perception that the price of the stock matters and because
it matters we have to somehow account for that mattering in the accounting
treatment of the acquisition.
My biggest concern with this conclusion is that the
problem is not the accounting treatment. If a company makes a favorable
share exchange acquisition which is accretive to earnings, then that is what
has happened. That is an accurate portrayal of economic reality. There is no
denying that the company made a GOOD DEAL. They ended up with a share of the
combined companies that is quite favorable to their interests. The second
problem is that in many circumstances the value of the exchanged shares is
much less of a factor than we fear. If the acquired company has publically
traded shares, then the price of those shares will be reflecting the current
market expectations as well. There is little motivation on the part of the
seller to consider the deal in terms of the putative purchase value of the
exchanged shares, because they can already cash in at a "high price". It is
the relative values of the two share prices that will be the consideration.
JDS Uniphase negotiates a share exchange acquisition with E-tek. The share
exchange ratio is pretty fair to both companies, and is not really
particularly accretive or advantageous to JDS, despite the fact that the
value of the exchanged shares is in the multi billions of dollars and many
many times what any reasonable cash buyer would pay. E-tek has a "high
price" stock already. They don't need JDS to cash in on the market's current
enthusiasm for net stocks. Would there be anything abusive or deceptive
about accounting for this deal as a pooling-of-interest?
Now I won't deny the fact that the price of the
acquirors stock can influence the deal. Henry himself told me a story about
a seller that came to him and was looking for a certain "price" expressed in
terms of the value of the exchanged shares that he expected to get. The
seller was a private company owned by a single entrepreneur, not untypical
of the sellers at that time. Henry couldn't give him that many shares for
his company because it wouldn't have met his accretion requirments, but he
sent him to another conglomerator who he knew would, because that company's
stock was flying high relative to it's underlying profitability which didn't
compare to Teledyne's. The seller got his deal, but by the time the sellers
shares came out of lockup that company was almost bankrupt. Though we think
of the crash in conglomerate stocks in terms of the poor investors, it was
really the sellers who were the biggest victims of the conglomerate fad,
because they were left holding a much bigger proportion of the bag. And the
investors weren't really investors. They were speculators and knew perfetly
well they were playing a musical chairs game. There are two points (1) the
sellers may consider the deal in terms of the value of the exchanged shares,
particularly if they are non-publically-traded sellers, but they would
probably be well advised to also consider that the shares they receive
represent an equity interest in the combined companies, and (2) whatever the
seller's motivation, the buyer will always be looking at the deal in terms
of their equity share of the combined companies and whether the deal will be
accretive or dilutive to their interests.
When we say that pooling is abusive and deceptive
what are we really talking about? Is it pooling itself, or is it the fear
that rollup companies can make those self-fullfilling accretive acquisitions
because of the desire of sellers to cash in on the market value of that
stock, and that is somehow an evil thing? Is it really our responsibility as
accountants to police the market and try to keep that from happening? Is an
accretive acquistion really deceptive? Didn't the company actually make a
good deal? Whom are we really protecting from whom?
Hi Richard Sansing and anyone who would care to
reply.
When we say that pooling is abusive and deceptive
what are we really talking about?
--- end of quote ---
I will pass on continuing this thread, except to
reiterate that your unhappiness with GAAP extends well beyond the purchase
method. If we can't agree that the transfer of $60K of a publicly traded
company's own stock, unrestricted, to an employee in exchanges for services
should be accounted for as an expense of $60K, I doubt we can come to
agreement on accounting for more complicated transactions that involve the
transfer of a company's stock for anything other than cash.
Interesting argument. Sort of a combination of all
or none and falling back on good authority. Well you did better than Bob
Jensen's suggested reading approach, and for that I am grateful. My wife
once opined that we should be happy to have heretics for they help us test
the veracity of our faith. Still I better leave before I get burned at the
stake.
GAAP espouses the economic entity assumption. In
what way does transferring stock to an employee represent a cost to the
company? Is there any tangible evidence that the company is worse off? Does
it have less cash, dimmer prospects, damaged intangible assets? It is a cost
to the shareholders. According to GAAP they are distinct from the company.
Regards,
Gregg Wilson
April 15, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Gregg,
Following your logic to its conclusion, firms need not pay employees in
anything other than paper. Why bother giving them assets? Just print stock
certificates and have them toil for 60 years for 100 shares of stock per
week.
This is tantamount to what the Germans did after World War I. Rather than
have the banks create marks, the German government just printed millions of
marks that soon became worth less than the paper they were printed on. It
eventually took a wheel barrow full of marks to buy a slice of bread
(literally).
Suppose a firm pays $120 in cash to an employee and the employee pays $20
in income taxes and invests $40 in the open market for 40 shares of his
employer's common shares. What is different about this if the company pays
him $80 in cash and issues him 40 shares of treasury stock? The employee
ends up in the same situation under either alternative. And he or she owes
$20 in taxes in either case. Stock must often be issued from the treasury of
shares purchased by the company on the open market since new shares have
pre-emptive rights that make it difficult to pay employees in new shares.
If employees instead are given stock options or restricted stock, the
situation is more complicated but the principle is the same. The stock or
the options must be valued and taxes must eventually be paid on the value
received for his or her services.
As far as what is wrong with pooling, I told you before your exchanges
with Professor Sansing that the main problem with pooling is the reason
firms want pooling. They like to keep acquired net assets on the books at
very old and outdated historical costs so that future revenues divided by
outdated book values show high rates of return (ROIs) and make managers who
acquired the old assets look brilliant.
Other abuses are described in the paper by Abe Briloff on "Dirty Pooling"
that I sent to you --- Briloff, AJ 1967. Dirty pooling. The Accounting
Review (July): 489-496 ---
http://www.jstor.org/view/00014826/ap010167/01a00060/0
I hope you will read Abe's paper carefully before continuing this thread.
These issues are covered Statement of Financial
Accounting Standards No. 123, which you can find on the FASB website,
http://www.fasb.org .
The excerpt that follows states the general rule.
This Statement requires a public entity to measure
the cost of employee services received in exchange for an award of equity
instruments based on the grant-date fair value of the award.
I am not arguing from the employee's point of view.
What I am arguing is that the company can pay the employee cash, but if the
employee is being paid stock it is not the company but the shareholders who
are doing the paying, so it cannot be a cost to the company. The employee is
being paid something that belongs to the shareholders, and does not belong
to the company. The ownership interest is distinct from the company
according to the economic entity assumption.
<<As far as what is wrong with pooling, I told
you before your exchanges with Professor Sansing that the main problem
with pooling is the reason firms want pooling. They like to keep
acquired net assets on the books at very old and outdated historical
costs so that future revenues divided by outdated book values show high
rates of return (ROIs) and make managers who acquired the old assets
look brilliant.>>
I would argue that the costs of the acquired firm
are no more old and outdated than any other company that follows GAAP
accounting procedures. There is no such thing as an "outdated" book value.
The earnings model matches costs and revenues consistently and
conservatively over time and that is what makes the return on equity number
meaningful. Adjusting those costs to some other random value at a random
point in time makes the return on equity number NOT meaningful. The return
on equity of the combined companies under pooling is not an inflated return
on equity that is meant to make the management look brilliant. It is merely
the correct return on equity, and the correct measure of the capital
efficiency of the combined companies. It is the return on equity that should
be used to project future cash returns in order to determine the value of
the company as an ongoing enterprise.
Suppose there are two companies that are both
highly profitable and both have 30% ROEs. Is there something misleading
about a pooling acquisition where the combined ROE of the two companies is
pro forma'ed at a 30% ROE? Is it more meaningul to write up the assets of
the acquired company by some phoney goodwill amount so that the combined
number will now be 15% ROE? Which number is going to produce a more accurate
assessment of the value of the combined companies going forward? For a cash
acquisition there has been an additional economic cash cost and the ROE is
rightfully lower. But there is no such cost, cash or otherwise, when the
equity interests are combined through a share exchange.
Gregg Wilson
April 15, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Sorry Greg,
You show no evidence of countering Abe Briloff’s real contention that
pooling is likely to be “dirty.” It has little to do with stock valuation
since the same “cost” has been incurred for an acquisition irrespective of
whether the bean counters book it as a purchase or a pooling. The pooling
alternative has everything to do with manipulation of accounting numbers to
make managers look like they increased the ROI because of their clever
acquisition even if the acquisition is a bad deal in terms of underlying
economics.
Briloff, AJ 1967. Dirty pooling. The Accounting Review (July):
489-496 ---
http://www.jstor.org/view/00014826/ap010167/01a00060/0
I doubt that you’ve convinced a single professor around the world that
pooling provides better information to investors. Pooling was banned years
ago because of widespread opinion that pooling has a greater potential of
misleading investors than purchase accounting. If the historical cost net
book value of the acquired firm is only half of the current value relevant
to the acquisition price, there is no way that future ROIs under pooling and
purchasing can be the same. You’ve set up a straw man.
Please don’t bring stock dividends into this debate. Stock dividends and
stock splits only confuse the issue. Stock dividends must be distributed to
all shareholders and are merely a means, like stock splits, of lowering
share prices without changing the value of any shareholder’s investment.
Certainly stock dividends cannot be issued selectively to employees and not
outside investors. The main argument for large stock dividends/splits is to
lower share prices to attract smaller investors into buying blocks of shares
without having to pay odd-lot commissions in the market. The only argument
for small stock dividends is to mislead shareholders into thinking they are
getting something when they are not getting anything at all. Studies show
the market is very efficient in adjusting prices to stock dividends and
splits.
Certainly not a single professor around the world has come to your
defense. It’s time to come up with a new argument Gregg. You must counter
Abe’s arguments to convince us otherwise. The only valid argument for
pooling is that markets are perfectly efficient irrespective of bean counter
reporting. That argument holds some water but it is a leaky bucket according
to many studies in recent years. If that argument was really true,
management and shareholders would not care what bean counters do. Managers
are in reality very concerned about bean counting rules. Corporations
actually fought tooth and nail for pooling, but their arguments were not
convincing from the standpoint for shareholder interests.
If ABC Company is contemplating buying anything for $40 cash (wheat,
corn, Microsoft Shares, or ABC treasury shares) and making this part of a
future compensation payment in kind, it’s irrelevant how that $40 is paid to
an employee because the net cost to ABC Company is $40 in cash. As the
proportionate share of ABC Company has not been changed for remaining
shareholders whether the payment is salary cash or in treasury shares (which
need not be purchased if the salary is to be $40 in cash), the cash cost is
the same for the employment services as far as shareholders and the ABC
Company are concerned.
ABC Company might feel that payment in ABC’s treasury shares increases
the employee’s motivation level. The employee, however, may not view the two
alternatives as equivalent since he or she must incur an added transactions
cost to convert most any in-kind item into cash.
Your argument would make a little more sense if ABC Company could issue
new shares instead of paying $40 in cash. But in most states this is not
allowed without shareholder approval due to preemptive anti-dilution
protections for existing shareholders that prevent companies from acting
like the German government in the wake of World War I (when Germany started
printing Deutsch marks that weren’t worth the cost of the paper they were
printed on).
It’s very risky to buy shares of corporations that do not have preemptive
rights. I think you’ve ignored preemptive rights from get go on this thread.
Maybe you could produce an example of how pooling
is "dirty in practice", OTHER THAN the fact that it produces a higher ROI.
Gregg Wilson
April 18, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Gregg,
High ROIs are the main reason pooling becomes dirty. It is “dirty” because
it is intended to deceive the public and distort future performance measures
relative to the underlying economics of the acquisition.
As
to other examples, I think Abe gives you ample illustrations of how
management tries to take credit (“feathers in their cap” on Page 494) for
“something shareholders are paying dearly for.” Also note his Case II where
“A Piddle Makes a Pool.” Briloff, AJ 1967. "Dirty pooling." The
Accounting Review (July): 489-496 ---
http://www.jstor.org/view/00014826/ap010167/01a00060/0
Additional examples have been provided over the years by Abe. The
following is Table 1 from a paper entitled "Briloff and the Capital Markets"
by George Foster, Journal of Accounting Research, Volume 17, Spring
1979 ---
http://www.jstor.org/view/00218456/di008014/00p0266h/0
As George Foster points out, what makes Briloff unique in academe are the
detailed real-world examples he provides. Briloff became so important that
stock prices reacted instantly to his publications, particularly those in
Barron's. George formally studied market reactions to Briloff articles.
Companies Professor Briloff criticized for misleading accounting reports
experienced an average drop in share prices of 8%.
TABLE 1 Articles of Briloff Examined
Article
Journal/Publication Date
Companies Cited That Are Examined
in This Note
1.
"Dirty Pooling"
Barron's (July 15, 1968)
Gulf and Wesern: Ling-Temco-Vought (LTV)
2.
"All a Fandangle?"
Barron's (December 2, 1968)
Leasco Data Processing: Levin-Townsend
3.
"Much-Abused Goodwill"
Barron's (April 28, 1969)
Levin-Townsend; National General Corp.
4.
"Out of Focus"
Barron's (July 28, 1969)
Perfect Film & Chemical Corp.
5.
"Castles of Sand?"
Barron's (February 2, 1970)
Amrep Corp.; Canaveral International; Deltona Corp.;
General Development Corp.; Great Southwest Corp.; Great Western
United, Major Realty; Penn Central
6.
"Tomorrow's Profits?"
Barron's (May 11, 1970)
Telex
7.
"Six Flags at Half-Mast?"
Barron's (January 11, 1971)
Great Southwest Corp.; Penn Central
8.
"Gimme Shelter"
Barron's (October 25, 1971)
Kaufman & Broad Inc.; U.S. Home Corp.; U.S.
Financial Inc.
9.
"SEC Questions Accounting"
Commercial and Financial Chronicle (November
2, 1972)
Penn Central
10.
"$200 Million Question"
Barron's (December 18, 1972)
Leasco Corp.
11.
"Sunrise, Sunset"
Barron's (May 14, 1973)
Kaufman & Broad
12.
"Kaufman & Broad--More Questions?
Commercial and Financial Chronicle (July 12,
1973)
Kaufman & Broad
13.
"You Deserve a Break..."
Barron's (July 8, 1974)
McDonald's
14.
"The Bottom Line: What's Going on at I.T.T."
(Interview with Briloff)
New York Magazine (August 12, 1974)
I.T.T.
15.
"Whose Deep Pocket?"
Barron's (July 19, 1976)
Reliance Group Inc.
Not all of the above illustrations are focused on pooling accounting,
but some of them provide real-world examples that you are looking for,
particularly dirty pooling at McDonalds Corporation.
It would would help your case if you followed Briloff’s example by
getting out of hypothetical (nonexistent?) examples and give us some real
world examples from your consulting. I don’t buy into any illustrations that
merely criticize goodwill accounting. What you need to demonstrate how
accounting for goodwill under purchase accounting was more misleading than
pooling accounting for at least one real-world acquisition. I realize,
however, that this may be difficult since the SEC will sue companies who use
pooling accounting illegally these days. Did you ever wonder why the SEC
made pooling illegal?
Perhaps for your clients you have prepared statements contrasting
purchase versus pooling in acquisitions. It would be nice if you could share
those (with names disguised).
Gregg:
Please let me use a slightly different example to look at your views in the
purchase/pooling debate, and invite anyone else to contribute or to improve
the example.
Let's say you own and run several bed-and-breakfast
inns. About 20 years ago, you received as a gift an authentic Normal
Rockwell painting, which you put behind a false wall in your house to
protect your investment. You recently brought it back out, and several
reputable appraisers have put its value at $255,000.
You want to invest in an inn, and its lot, that the
current owner is selling. The current owner bought the inn and lot many
years ago for $100,000; the inn's $60,000 gross book value is fully
depreciated, while the lot (as land) is still recorded on current owner's
books at $40,000. You and another party agree to jointly purchase the inn
from the current owner; you exchange your Normal Rockwell painting for 51%
ownership in the inn/lot, and the other party pays $245,000 in cash for his
or her 49% ownership. You and the other party have rights and
responsibilities proportional to your ownership percentages in all aspects
under the joint ownership agreement.
To simplify matters, at my own risk, I'll say
"ignore tax treatments for now."
My questions to you are:
(1) For performance evaluation purposes, when you
and the other party are computing the returns on your respective investments
in this inn, what are your relevant investment amounts?
(2) (I'm wandering out on a limb here, so I'll
invite anyone who wants to improve or correct this to do so...)
Now let's say that all the other facts are the
same, except that:
- The other party pays $122,500 for 49% ownership
of the inn/lot;
- You get 51% ownership in the inn/lot in exchange
for giving the current owner a 50% transferable ownership interest in your
Norman Rockwell.
What are your relevant investment amounts in this
case?
So what's the point? Your example is clearly a cash
acquisition. Pooling is appropriate only in the case of a share exchange
acquisition, and I would say pooling should only be used in the case of two
ongoing enterprise. The point is that a share exchange acquisition is a
combining of equity interests and there is no purchase price beyond the
exchange ratio. Say you had two inns and both are ongoing businesses so they
not only have real estate assets but furniture and equipment and supplies
and payables and receivables etc. Lets say they each have book assets of
$40,000 and they decide to combine their two enterprises on a share for
share basis. The owner of each inn ends up with half the equity in the
combined enterprise. Has a new value been placed on the assets by the share
exchange? Would the owners want to restate the assets to some different
value just because they have merged? Or would they prefer to retain the
combined financial statements as they are? Doesn't the meaningfulness of the
earnings model depend on following consistent rules of matching costs and
revenues over a period of time, and wouldn't revaluing those costs merely
represent an obliteration of the earnings model and the information it
imparts? Is not a share exchange acquisition a totally different animal from
a cash purchase, and shouldn't it be recorded in the financial statements in
a way that reflects that economic reality?
Gregg Wilson
April 19, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Sorry Gregg,
You’re too hung up on cash basis accounting. You only think transactions
can be valued if and when they are paid in cash. This is clearly absurd
since there are many purchase transactions that are not cash deals and
require value estimation on the part of both the buyer and the seller. We
use value estimates in countless transactions, and accounting would really
revert to the dark ages if we were forced to trace value of each item back
to some ancient surrogate cash transaction value years ago. Cash accounting
can badly mislead investors about risk, such as when interest rate swaps
were not even disclosed on financial statements until cash flowed. Our
estimates of current values and obligations may be imperfect, but they beat
non-estimation.
With respect to business combinations/acquisitions, GAAP requires that
the accounting come as close as possible to the value estimations upon which
the deal was actually transacted. I don’t know how many times we have to
tell you that the valuation estimation process is not perfect, but trying to
come as close to economic reality at the time of the current transaction is
our goal, not pulling values from transactions from olden times and ancient
history circumstances.
Be careful what you declare on this forum, because some students are also
in the forum and they may believe such declaratives as “Pooling is
appropriate only in the case of a share exchange acquisition.” Pooling is
not only a violation of FASB standards, it is against SEC law. Please do not
encourage students to break the law.
And there are good reasons for bans on pooling. You’ve not been able to
convince a single professor in this forum that pooling is better accounting
for stock trades. You’ve ranted against estimates of value and how these
estimates may become impaired shortly after deals go down, but GAAP says to
do the best job possible in booking the values that were in effect at the
time the deals actually went down. If values become impaired later on, GAAP
says to adjust the values.
You’ve not convinced a single one of us who watched pooling accounting
become dirty time and time again when it was legal. We don’t want to revert
to those days of allowing managers to repeatedly report inflated ROIs on
acquired companies.
I
think Richard Sansing is right. You’re beating a dead horse. Future
communications that only repeat prior rants are becoming time wasters in
this forum.
Let's put it this way. If we want to value the
acquisition at a non-cost current value, then we should use a fair appraisal
like something akin to what a cash buyer would be willing to pay, and not
the phoney share exchange value. Then we could actually have goodwill
numbers that made some sense and would avoid all those embarassing
impairment writedowns a year after the acquisition. I prefer pooling, but if
you insist on revaluing, then use an economic value. The value of the
exchanged shares is not, I repeat, not an economic value.
Gregg
April 20, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Sorry Gregg,
GAAP states that all tangible assets should be valued at what cash
purchasers would pay for them, so we have no argument.
Intangibles such as knowledge capital are more difficult to value, but
the ideal is to value them for what cash purchasers would pay for such
things as a skilled work force, customers, name recognition, etc.
The problem with using a cash price surrogate lies in situations where
there is really valuable synergy that is unique to the acquiring company.
For example, there is probably considerable synergy value (actually
monopoly) value when SBC acquired AT&T that probably made it much more
valuable to SBC than to any other buyer whether the deal would be done in
cash or stock.
Auditors are supposed to attest to the value at the time the acquisition
deal goes down. Not long afterwards it may be found that the best estimate
at the time the deal went down was either in error or it was reasonable at
the time but the value changed afterwards, possible because of the market
impact of the “new” company operating after the acquisition. For example,
when Time Warner acquired AOL it appears that Time Warner and its auditors
gave up way to much value to AOL in the deal, in part due to accounting
fraud in AOL.
Problems of valuation in purchase accounting should not, and cannot under
current law, be used as an excuse to use historical cost values that
typically have far greater deviation from accurate values at the time the
acquisition deal is consummated.
You have masterfully skirted the issue as usual. Do
you believe that the value of the exchanged shares is either a "fair value"
and/or an "economic value"? If we are attesting to the value at the time of
the deal as the share exchange value then I would say we are attesting
badly. Use whatever fair value you want. The value of the exchanged shares
isn't one.
By the way. AOL purchased Time Warner, not the
other way around. From the 10K:
April 20, 2006 Reply from Bob Jensen
Sorry Gregg
I think you're wasting our time and embarrassing yourself until you can
back your wild claims with convincing research. Your wild speculations
appear to run counter to serious research.
If you are really convinced of evidence to the contrary, please go out
and conduct some rigorous research testing your hypotheses. Please don't
continue making wild claims in an academic forum until you've got some
convincing evidence.
Or as Richard Sansing would say, we seldom accept anecdotal evidence that
can be selectively cherry picked to show most any wild speculation.
If you bothered to do research rather than wildly speculate, you would
find that serious academic research points to the conclusions opposite to
your wild
speculations about revaluations and goodwill write-offs.
First consider the Steven L. Henning, Wayne H. Shaw, and Toby Stock
(2004) study:
This paper investigates criticisms that U.S.
GAAP had given firms too much discretion in determining the amount and
timing of goodwill write-offs. Using 1,576 U.S. and 563 U.K.
acquisitions, we find little evidence that U.S. firms managed the amount
of goodwill write-off or that U.K. firms managed the amount of
revaluations (write-ups of intangible assets). However, our results are
consistent with U.S. firms delaying goodwill write-offs and U.K. firms
timing revaluations strategically to avoid shareholder approval linked
to certain financial ratios.
Steven L. Henning, Wayne H. Shaw, and Toby Stock, "The Amount and Timing
of Goodwill Write-Offs and Revaluations: Evidence from U.S. and U.K.
Firms," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Volume 23,
Number 2, September 2004 Pages: 99 - 121
Also consider the Ayers, Lefanowicz, and Robinson (2002a) conclusions
below:
We investigate two related questions. What
factors influence firms' use of acquisition accounting method, and are
firms willing to pay higher acquisition premiums to use the
pooling-of-interests accounting method? We analyze a comprehensive
sample of nontaxable corporate stock-for-stock acquisitions from 1990
through 1996. We use a two-stage, instrumental variables estimation
method that explicitly allows for simultaneity in the choice of
accounting method and acquisition premiums. After controlling for
economic differences across pooling and purchase transactions, our
evidence indicates that financial reporting incentives influence how
acquiring firms structure stock-for-stock acquisitions.
In addition, our two-stage analysis indicates that
higher acquisition premiums are associated with the pooling method. In
sum, our evidence suggests that acquiring firms structure acquisitions
and expend significant resources to secure preferential accounting
treatment in stock-for-stock acquisitions.
Benjamin C. Ayers , Craig E. Lefanowicz and John R. Robinson, "Do
Firms Purchase the Pooling Method?" Review of Accounting Studies
Volume 7, Number 1, March 2002 Pages: 5 - 32.
You apparently have evidence to contradict the Ayers, Lefanowicz, and
Robinson (2002a) study. Would you please enlighten us with some convincing
evidence.
Consider the Patrick E. Hopkins, Richard W. Houston, and Michael F.
Peters (2000) research:
We provide evidence that analysts' stock-price
judgments depend on (1) the method of accounting for a business
combination and (2) the number of years that have elapsed since the
business combination. Consistent with business-press reports of
managers' concerns, analysts' stock-price judgments are lowest when a
company applies the purchase method of accounting and ratably amortizes
the acquisition premium. The number of years since the business
combination affects analysts' price estimates only when the company
applies the purchase method and ratably amortizes goodwill—analysts'
price estimates are lower when the business-combination transaction is
further in the past. However, this joint effect of accounting method and
timing is mitigated by the Financial Accounting Standards Board's
proposed income-statement format requiring companies to report separate
line items for after-tax income before goodwill charges and net-of-tax
goodwill charges. When a company uses the purchase method of accounting
and writes off the acquisition premium as in-process research and
development, analysts' stock price judgments are not statistically
different from their judgments when a company applies
pooling-of-interest accounting.
Patrick E. Hopkins, Richard W. Houston, and Michael F. Peters,
"Purchase, Pooling, and Equity Analysts' Valuation Judgments," The
Accounting Review, Vol. 75, 2000, 257-281.
You seem to think that acquisition goodwill is based upon wild
speculation. Research studies discover rather sophisticated valuation
approaches that distinguish core from synergy goodwill components. See
Henning, Lewis, and Shaw, "Valuation of Components of Purchased Goodwill,"
The Journal of Accounting Research, Vol. 38, Autumn 2000.
Also consider the Ayers, Lefanowicz, and Robinson (2002b) study:
Accounting standard setters have become
increasingly concerned with the perceived manipulation of financial
statements afforded by the pooling-of-interests (pooling) method of
accounting for corporate acquisitions. While different restrictions have
been discussed, in September 1999 the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (FASB) issued an Exposure Draft to eliminate the pooling method.
This study provides a basis for evaluating restrictions on the pooling
method by analyzing the financial statement effects on pooling
acquisitions made by public corporations over the period 1992 through
1997. Using these acquisitions we (1) quantify the scope of the pooling
problem, (2) estimate the financial statement repercussions of
eliminating the pooling method, and (3) examine the effects of
restricting pooling accounting to business combinations meeting various
merger of equals restrictions.
While our analysis does not address whether
restrictions on the pooling method will influence the nature or level of
acquisition activity, the results indicate that the pooling method
generates enormous amounts of unrecognized assets, across individual
acquisitions, and in aggregate. In addition, our results suggest that
recording and amortizing these assets generate significant balance sheet
and income statement effects that vary with industry. Regarding
restrictions on the pooling method, our analysis indicates that size
restrictions would significantly reduce the number and value of pooling
acquisitions and unrecognized assets generated by these acquisitions.
. . .
Accounting standard setters have become
increasingly concerned with the perceived manipulation of financial
statements and the lack of comparability across firms financial
statements that have resulted from having two acquisition accounting
methods. Consistent with these concerns, the FASB issued an Exposure
Draft in September 1999 to eliminate the pooling-of-interests method.
Using a comprehensive set of pooling acquisitions by public corporations
over the period 1992 through 1997, this study analyzes the financial
statement effects of eliminating or severely restricting the pooling
method of accounting for business combinations. Although we make no
assumptions regarding the effects of pooling restrictions on either
acquisition activity or acquisition price, this study provides a useful
starting point for assessing the effects of different pooling
restrictions. Our evidence suggests that firms avoid recognition of
significant amounts of target firms purchase prices, both in aggregate
and per acquisition, via the pooling method. Further, we document that
these unrecognized assets are significant relative to the bidders book
value and that the quantity and dollar magnitude of pooling acquisitions
have increased dramatically in recent years. With respect to
industry-specific analyses, we find that the financial services industry
accounts for approximately one-third of all pooling acquisitions in
number and value.
The effects on bidder financial-reporting
ratios of precluding use of the pooling method for a typical acquisition
are substantial, though varying widely across industries. Decreases in
return on equity, assuming a ten-year amortization period for
unrecognized assets, range from a 65 percent decline for the hotel and
services industry to a13 percent decline for the financial services
industry.15For earnings per share, the effects are more moderate than
are those on return on equity. Decreases, assuming a ten-year
amortization period, range from a 42 percent decrease for the food,
textile, and chemicals industry to an 8 percent decrease for the
financial services industry. For market-to-book ratios, four industries
(the metal and mining industry; the food, textile, and chemicals
industry; the hotel and other services industry; and the health and
engineering industry) have decreases in bidder market-to-book ratio in
excess of 30 percent, whereas the financial services industry has only a
6 percent decrease. The relatively small effects for the financial
services industry suggests that the industry�s opposition to eliminating
the pooling method may be more driven by the quantity and aggregate
magnitude of pooling acquisitions than per-acquisition effects. Overall,
we find that eliminating the pooling method affects firm profitability
and capitalization ratios in all industries, but there is a wide
dispersion of the magnitude of these effects across industry.
Finally, we document that restricting pooling
treatment via a relative size criterion significantly decreases the
number and value of pooling acquisitions as well as the unrecognized
assets generated by these acquisitions. Nevertheless, we find that a
size restriction, depending on its exact implementation, can
simultaneously allow a number of acquisitions to be accounted for under
the pooling method. Regardless of the type of restriction, the magnitude
of past pooling transactions, both in total dollars and relative to the
individual bidder's financial condition, lends credibility to the
contention that the imposition of pooling restrictions has the potential
to seriously impact firm financial statements and related
financial-reporting ratios. These effects, of course, decrease with a
longer amortization period for unrecognized assets.
Benjamin C. Ayers , Craig E. Lefanowicz and John R. Robinson,
"The Financial Statement Effects of Eliminating the Pooling-of-Interests
Method of Acquisition," Accounting Horizons, Vol 14, March 2000.
There are many, many more such studies. If you are really convinced of
evidence to the contrary, please go out and conduct some rigorous research
testing your hypotheses. Please don't continue this until you've got some
convincing evidence.
Or as Richard Sansing would say, we seldom accept anecdotal evidence that
can be selectively cherry picked to show most any wild conclusion.
Nobody argues that the present system of accounting for acquisitions and
goodwill is perfect. Various alternatives have been proposed in the research
literature. But none to my knowledge support your advocacy of a return to
pooling-of-interests accounting.
Bob Jensen
PS
You are correct about the AOL purchase of Time Warner. I forgot this since
Time Warner runs the household. Later on it was Time Warner that tried to sell AOL (to Google). It's a
little like husband buys wife and later on wife puts husband for sale.
I was really trying to go one step at a time, and
establish that the value of the exchanged shares is not an economic value or
a "fair appraisal" of the value of the acquired company. I am certainly not
a researcher, and as you know I do not have access to the fine studies that
you have referenced. I am not even sure what would qualify as evidence of
the point.
I was thinking one could send the following
questionnaire to companies that had made share exchange acquistions....
""""""""""" You recently made a share exchange for
XYZ company. After you determined the value of the target company to you,
[Target value], which of the following do you feel best describes the
decision process by which you arrived at the number of shares to offer the
target company:
(1) [Target value] / [Price of your stock]
(2) [Your shares outstanding] * ([Target value] /
[Your value]) where [Your value] is the value of your own company arrived at
by a similar valuation standard as [Target value].
(3) Some combination of the above, or other
decision process. Please explain________________________________.
""""""""""""""""
If the response came back overwhelmingly (2), then
would that be conclusive evidence that the value of the exchanged shares is
not an economic value or the price paid? I really wouldn't want to go to the
trouble, if the result wouldn't demonstrate what I am trying to demonstrate.
Gregg Wilson
April 23, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Sorry Gregg,
If you want
to communicate with the academy you must play by the academy’s rules. The
number one rule is that a hypothesis must be supported by irrefutable
(normative) arguments or convincing empirical evidence. We do accept idle
speculation but only for purposes of forming interesting hypotheses to be
tested later on.
In my
communications with you regarding pooling-of-interests accounting, I've
always focused on what I will term your Pooling-Preferred Hypothesis or PP
Hypothesis for short. Your hypothesis may be implied from a collection of
your earlier quotations from
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen//theory/00overview/theory01.htm#Pooling
Well I would call that entire FAS
141 a lot of sophistries. This is a case of trying to make an apple into
an orange and getting a rotten banana. Gregg Wilson, March 30, 2006
I certainly didn't mean to
imply that cash acquisitions should be treated as pooling-of-interest.
On the contrary I was trying to make the point that they are totally
different situations, and can't be treated effectively by the same
accounting rule. The cash is the whole
point. Gregg Wilson, March 30, 2006
Pooling of interest is
terrific, because it recreates that earnings model history for the
combined companies. The historical costs are not meaningless to the
negotiations but rather are the basis for the negotiations, for they are
the evidence that the companies are using to determine the share
exchange ratio that they will accept. Gregg Wilson, March
30, 2006
Pooling is appropriate
only in the case of a share exchange acquisition, and I would say
pooling should only be used in the case of two ongoing enterprise(s).
Gregg Wilson, March
30, 2006
There's a bit of inconsistency in your quotations,
because in one case you say pooling is "terrific" for combined companies and
in the other quotation you claim pooling should only when the acquired
company carries on by itself. I will state your Pooling-Preferred (PP)
Hypothesis as follows:
Pooling-Preferred (PP) Hypothesis
FAS 141 is based upon sophistry.
Pooling-of--interest accounting is the best accounting approach when a
company is acquired in a stock-for-stock (non-cash) acquisition.
Purchase accounting required under FAS 141 is a
"case of trying to make an apple
into an orange and getting a rotten banana. "
What I've
tried to point out all along is that FAS 141 is not based upon sophistry. It
rests on the foundation of countless normative and empirical studies that
refute your PP Hypothesis.
Your only
support of the PP Hypothesis is another hypothesis that is stated by you
over and over ad nausea for two months as follows:
Exchanged Shares Non-Value (ESNV) Hypothesis The
value of the exchanged shares is not an economic value or a "fair
appraisal" of the value of the acquired company. Gregg Wilson,
April 22, 2006
In the academy we cannot accept an
untested hypothesis as a legitimate test of another hypothesis. Even if we
speculate that the ESNV Hypothesis is true, it does not support your PP
Hypothesis because it is totally disconnected to the real reason that
standard setters and the academic academy no longer want pooling accounting.
The "real reason" is that corporations are motivated to want pooling
accounting so they can inflate future ROIs and make most all acquisitions
look like great deals even though some of them are bad deals from an
economic perspective (to say nothing about wanting inflated ROIs to support
larger bonuses and sweetened future compensation plans for executives).
The preponderance of academic research
refutes the PP Hypothesis. One of the highlight studies in fact shows that
managers may enter into worse deals (in the past when it was legal) just to
get pooling accounting.
Some of the Ayers, Lefanowicz, and Robinson (2002a) conclusions are as
follows:
We investigate two related questions. What
factors influence firms' use of acquisition accounting method, and are
firms willing to pay higher acquisition premiums to use the
pooling-of-interests accounting method? We analyze a comprehensive
sample of nontaxable corporate stock-for-stock acquisitions from 1990
through 1996. We use a two-stage, instrumental variables estimation
method that explicitly allows for simultaneity in the choice of
accounting method and acquisition premiums. After controlling for
economic differences across pooling and purchase transactions, our
evidence indicates that financial reporting incentives influence how
acquiring firms structure stock-for-stock acquisitions.
In addition, our two-stage analysis indicates that
higher acquisition premiums are associated with the pooling method. In
sum, our evidence suggests that acquiring firms structure acquisitions
and expend significant resources to secure preferential accounting
treatment in stock-for-stock acquisitions.
Benjamin C. Ayers , Craig E. Lefanowicz and John R. Robinson, "Do
Firms Purchase the Pooling Method?" Review of Accounting Studies
Volume 7, Number 1, March 2002 Pages: 5 - 32.
In fact the above study suggests that
pooling accounting creates a worse situation that you speculate in your ESNV
Hypothesis. My conclusion is that if we accept your ESNV hypothesis we most
certainly would not want pooling accounting due to the above findings of
Ayers, Lefanowicz, and Robinson.
Your alleged
support of the PP Hypothesis is your
untested ESNV Hypothesis. As
mentioned above, you cannot support a hypothesis with an untested
hypothesis. Certainly the academy to date has not accepted your ESNV
Hypothesis. And even if it did, this hypothesis alone is disconnected to the
academic research pointing to why pooling accounting deceives investors.
Your only support of the ESNV
Hypothesis lies in conclusions drawn based upon your own anecdotal
experiences. Anecdotal experience is not an acceptable means of hypothesis
testing in the academy. Anecdotal evidence can be cherry picked to support
most any wild speculation.
As a result, I recommend the
following"
Admit that you do not have
sufficient evidence to support your PP Hypothesis. You must otherwise
refute a mountain of prior academic evidence that runs counter to the PP
Hypothesis.
Admit that you do not have
sufficient evidence in the academic world to support your ESNV
hypothesis. Certainly you've not convinced, to my knowledge, any members
of this academic (AECM) forum that virtually all managers are so
ignorant of values when putting together stock-for-stock acquisitions.
You have been very gentle with Gregg Wilson … I
would suggest that we send him to Singapore and subject him to the cane that
is so liberally used there to the recalcitrant. He has ‘convinced’ not one
it seems. Many of us ‘old timers’ agree with you … perhaps Wilson just
doesn’t get it … or perhaps it’s his Warhol’s 15 minutes of fame (or infamy
in this case).
One comment that has always struck me as relevant
in business combinations … well perhaps 2 … (1) why would we revalue only
the acquired company’s assets to FMV in the combination and (2) why would we
bother to recognize ‘goodwill’ at all? In the recognition it seems as though
we’ve just ‘paid’ too much for the FMV of the assets … why wouldn’t we just
reduce the ‘retained earnings’ of the combination?
Just my old management accountant’s rant I suppose.
Over the years with my approach to the share markets, I’ve found ‘income
statements’ and ‘balance sheets’ somewhat less than useful … seems to me
that particularly in high risk companies, like pink sheet things being
offered / touted on certain websites and through phishing mails, one can
obtain both historical and pro-forma I/S and B/S, but seldom any real or
projected cash flow information.
With regards from the land down under …
Enjoy retirement, I’ve found it very rewarding …
thanks for all you’ve done for the profession …
In my communications with you (Gregg Wilson)
regarding pooling-of-interests accounting, I've always focused on what I
will term your Pooling-Preferred Hypothesis or PP Hypothesis for short.
---
My exchanges with Gregg Wilson suggests that his
discomfort with GAAP goes well beyond the pooling vs. purchase debate. He
does not care for the GAAP treatment of simple transactions such as the
transfer of shares to employees in lieu of cash compensation. Why argue
about (relatively) complicated transactions with someone who does not
understand simple ones?
Richard Sansing
Strange as it may seem a losing company may have more value to someone
else than itself
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on April 27,
2006
TITLE: Alcatel Stands to Reap Tax Benefit on Merger
REPORTER: Jesse Drucker and Sara Silver
DATE: Apr 26, 2006
PAGE: C3
LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114601908332236130.html
TOPICS: Accounting, International Accounting, Net Operating Losses, Taxation
SUMMARY: "Lucent's operating losses in [the] wake of [the] tech bubble may
allow big deductions" for the merged firm's U.S. operations.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is the purpose of allowing net operating losses (NOLs) to be deducted
against other years' income amounts?
2.) Summarize the U.S. tax law provisions regarding NOLs. Why has Lucent been
unable to use up all of its NOL carryforwards since the tech bubble burst in
2000-2001?
3.) Define the term deferred tax assets. Describe how NOLs fit the definition
you provide. What other types of deferred tax assets do you think that Lucent
has available and wants to take advantage of?
4.) How is it possible that the "federal, state and local deductions" from
the deferred tax assets described in answer to question #3 "will nearly double
the U.S. net income that the combined company [of Alcatel and Lucent
Technologies] will be able to report"?
5.) How does the availability of NOL carryforwards, and the expected timing
of their deductions based on an acquirer's earnings or the recent tax law change
referred to in the article, impact the price an acquirer is willing to pay in a
merger or acquisition transaction?
6.) How did the availability of deferred tax asset deductions drive Alcatel's
choice of its location for its headquarters? What other factors do you think
drive such a choice?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on April 7, 2006
SUMMARY: The article offers an excellent description of the process
undertaken by VNU's Board of Directors in deciding to put the company "on the
auction block", consider alternative strategies, and finally accept an offer
price.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Describe the transaction agreed to by the Board of VNU NV and its acquirer,
AlpInvest Partners.
2.) What does the current stock price of VNU imply about the takeover
transaction? Why do you think that VNU is distributing the 210 page document
explaining the transaction and the Board's decision process?
3.) Connect to the press release dated March 8 through the on-line version of
the article. Scroll down to the section covering the "background of the offer."
Draw a timeline of the events, using abbreviations that are succinct but
understandable.
4.) What other alternatives did the VNU Board consider rather than selling
the company? Why did they decide against each of these alternatives?
5.) Based on the information in the article and the press releases, do you
think the acquirers will obtain value from the investment they are making?
Support your answer, including refuting possible arguments against your
position.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A group of private-equity funds is beginning a $9
billion takeover of Dutch media giant VNU NV with the release of documents
that explain for the first time how VNU's board determined the purchase
price was high enough.
In the four weeks since VNU announced it would
recommend the private-equity group's offer, many shareholders have accused
the company of rushing to sell itself after being forced by investors to
abandon a big acquisition last year.
These critics said that the sale process was
halfhearted and that the agreed-upon price too low. Some have said they
preferred VNU to break itself up and separately sell the pieces.
At least two VNU shareholders, including
mutual-fund giant Fidelity Investments, have said publicly they are unlikely
to support the takeover; many others have said so privately.
VNU shares have traded far below the agreed
per-share offer price of €28.75 ($34.85) since the deal was announced,
suggesting the market expects the takeover bid to fail.
VNU – based in Haarlem, Netherlands, and the
world's largest market-research firm by sales – addresses these concerns in
the 210-page offer document to be sent to shareholders and outlines in
detail the steps it took to ensure the highest value.
Materials include two fairness opinions written by
VNU's financial advisers, one by Credit Suisse Group and the other by NM
Rothschild & Sons, evaluating the offer and concluding the price is
attractive for shareholders.
"This was a fully open auction," said Roger Altman,
chairman of Evercore Partners, another VNU financial adviser. The company's
board fully vetted all options, including a breakup of the business,
restructuring opportunities or proceeding with the status quo, he said.
"None provided a value as high as €28.75 [a share]. None of them."
Mr. Altman said that after being contacted by
private-equity funds interested in buying VNU after its failed attempt last
year to acquire IMS Health Inc., of Fairfield, Conn., VNU auctioned itself,
including seeking other strategic or private-equity bidders.
A second group of private-equity funds explored a
possible bid but dropped out when it concluded it couldn't pay as much as
the first group said it was prepared to offer. Another potential bidder, a
company, withdrew after refusing to sign a confidentiality agreement, VNU's
offer document says.
The initial group, which submitted the only firm
bid, consists of AlpInvest Partners of the Netherlands, and Blackstone
Group, Carlyle Group, Hellman & Friedman, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. and
Thomas H. Lee Partners, all of the U.S. The group formed Valcon Acquisition
BV to make the bid.
Some of the calculations provided in the offer
document suggest the company might be valued higher than the Valcon bid
price in certain circumstances. The Credit Suisse letter indicates the
company could be valued at as much as €29.60 a share based on prices paid
for businesses similar to VNU's in the past. It says a "sum of the parts
breakup analysis" indicates a range of €25.90 to €29.35.
The Rothschild letter also shows certain methods of
valuing the company reaching as high as €35.80 a share. But both advisers
said that when weighed against the many risks in VNU's future, the cash
payment being offered now by the Valcon group is the most attractive option
for shareholders.
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on April 7, 2006
TITLE: Sign of the Times: A Deal for GMAC by Investor Group
REPORTER: Dennis K. Berman and Monica Langley
DATE: Apr 04, 2006
PAGE: A1 LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114406446238015171.html
TOPICS: Accounting, Advanced Financial Accounting, Banking, Bankruptcy, Board of
Directors, Financial Accounting, Investments, Mergers and Acquisitions, Spinoffs
SUMMARY: Cerberus Capital Management LP has led the group who will acquire
control of General Motors Acceptance Corp. (GMAC) from GM for $7.4 billion (plus
an additional payment from GMAC to GM of $2.7 billion). GM had expected to
receive offers for GMAC from big banks. Instead, they received offers from
private-equity and hedge funds, like the one from Cerberus. This article follows
up on last week's coverage of this topic; the related article identifies how CEO
Rick Wagoner is working with his Board to extend time for evaluating his own
performance there.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Describe the transaction GM is undertaking to sell control in GMAC.
Specifically, who owns the 51% ownership of GMAC that is being sold? What will
happen to the 49% ownership in GMAC following this transaction? To answer the
question, you may also refer to the GM statement available through the on-line
article link at
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114406559238215183.html
2.) Again refer to the GM statement on the GMAC deal. In addition to the
purchase price, what other cash flows will accrue to GM from this transaction?
How do you think these items relate to the fact that GM is selling a 51%
interest in GMAC?
3.) What is the nature of GMAC's business? Specifically describe its
"portfolio of loans and lease receivables."
4.) Why do you think GM expected "...be courted by big banks..." to negotiate
a purchase of GMAC? Why do you think that expectation proved wrong, that other
entities ended up bidding for GMAC? To answer, consider the point made in the
article that even Citigroup, GM's primary bank and a significant player in the
ultimate deal, had decided that it couldn't structure a deal that GM wanted from
big banks.
5.) What are the risks associated with the acquisition of GMAC? In
particular, comment on the risk associated with GM's possible bankruptcy and its
relation to GMAC's business operations.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
--- RELATED ARTICLES ---
TITLE: GM's Wagoner Gains Some Time for Turnaround
REPORTER: Lee Hawkins, Jr., Monica Langley, and Joseph B. White
PAGE: A1
ISSUE: Apr 04, 2006
LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114411090537615994.html
Advanced
Accounting
How should a 34% equity interest be reported?
TOPICS: Advanced
Financial Accounting, Consolidations, Investments, Mergers and Acquisitions
SUMMARY: "In
a strategic about-face driven by big changes in consumer tastes, Coca-Cola Co.
was nearing a deal late Wednesday to buy the bulk of its largest bottler,
according to people familiar with the matter." The companies reached agreement
on the transaction and by Friday the WSJ reported a fall in Coke share prices
and a gain on the share values of its bottler, Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE).
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The
article is useful to discuss corporate strategy leading to equity method
investments versus ownership and control.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What was the reasoning that Coca-Cola's strategic
organization for decades was based on "setting up large, independent bottlers
run separately from Atlanta-based Coke itself"? What does Coke itself now sell?
2. (Advanced) How did Coke resolve concerns about losing control over its
bottling companies even as it kept "the bottlers' assets off its books"? Why is
this desirable for Coke?
3. (Advanced)
How do you think that Coke accounts for its "34% stake as of the end of last
year" in its largest bottler, Coca-Cola Enterprises (CCE)?
4. (Advanced)
What are the strategic reasons that Coke is now reacquiring its North American
bottling operations? How is the transaction being structured?
5. (Introductory)
Refer to the related article. How did markets react to the closure of this deal?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
SUMMARY: The
article assesses the situation of two companies associated with financial
difficulties: Crown Media, 67% owned by Hallmark Cards, and Clear Channel
Outdoor, 89% owned by Clear Channel Media. In the latter case, the entity in
financial difficulty is the owner company. Questions ask students to look at
a quarterly filing by Crown Media, to consider the situation facing
noncontrolling interest shareholders, and to understand the use of earnings
multiplier analysis for pricing a security.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is good for introducing the interrelationships between affiliated
entities when covering consolidations. It also covers alternative
calculations of, and analytical use of, a P/E ratio.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Access the Crown Media 10-Q filing for the quarter ended March 31, 2009 at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1103837/000110383709000008/mainform5709.htm
Alternatively, click on the live link to Crown Media in the WSJ article,
click on SEC Filings in the left hand column, then choose the 10-Q filing
made on May 7, 2009. Describe the company's financial position and results
of operations.
2. (Advanced)
Crown Media's majority shareholder is Hallmark Cards "which also happens to
be its primary lender to the tune of a billion dollars...." Where is this
debt shown in the balance sheet? How is it described in the footnotes? When
is it coming due?
3. (Advanced)
What has Hallmark Cards proposed to do about the debt owed by Crown Media?
What impact will this transaction have on the minority Crown Shareholders?
4. (Advanced)
Do you think the noncontrolling interest shareholders in Crown Media can do
anything to stop Hallmark Cards from unilaterally implementing whatever
changes it desires? Support your answer.
5. (Introductory)
Refer to the description of Clear Channel Outdoor. How is the company's
share price assessed? In your answer, define the term "price-earnings ratio"
or P/E ratio and explain the two ways in which this is measured.
6. (Advanced)
What does the author mean when he writes that "anyone buying Outdoor stock
should remember that" the existence of a majority shareholder with
significant debt holdings also could pose problems for an investment?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Investing in a company controlled by its primary
lender can be hazardous. Just ask shareholders in Crown Media.
Owner of the Hallmark TV channel, Crown is
67%-owned by Hallmark Cards, which also happens to be its primary lender to
the tune of a billion dollars. With the debt due next year, Hallmark on May
28 proposed swapping about half of its debt for equity, which would
massively dilute the public shareholders. Crown's stock, long supported by
hope that the channel would get scooped up by a big media company, is down
36% since then.
Helping feed outrage among some shareholders was
the fact that the swap proposal comes as the Hallmark Channel was making
inroads with advertisers. Profits were on the horizon.
Clear Channel Outdoor holds parallels. The
billboard company owes $2.5 billion to Clear Channel Media, its 89%
shareholder, a fraught situation for Outdoor's public holders.
In this case, of course, the parent is in financial
distress. Hence the significance of Outdoor's contemplation of refinancing
options, which could lead to the loan being repaid. The hope among some
investors is that events conspire to prevent that, forcing the parent into
bankruptcy and putting Outdoor up for auction.
That could bail out shareholders. At $6.36 a share
at Friday's close, Outdoor's enterprise value is roughly 9.8 times projected
2009 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, below
Lamar Advertising's 10.9 times multiple. Using 2010 projections and an
equivalent multiple implies a share price above $10.
But as Crown showed, the interests of a majority
shareholder who doubles as a lender don't necessarily coincide with minority
holders. Anyone buying Outdoor stock should remember that.
SUMMARY: "Companies and the analysts who cover them typically set
the [earnings expectations] bar low enough that a 'beat' has to be
substantial, and not marred by unpleasant news about the outlook, to really
have an impact." The article shows that the 20 year average proportion of
firms beating the consensus of analysts' estimates is 58% each quarter,
while the proportion for firms reporting their calendar first quarter of
2012 is 70%. From 1993 through 2001, about half of companies had positive
earnings surprises, "which seems natural."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce earnings
forecasts in any financial accounting class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What does it mean to say that a company may "meet or
beat" earning expectations? In your answer, define who sets these
expectations.
2. (Introductory) What was the average proportion of firms who met
or beat the consensus forecasts of analysts following their firms for the
first calendar quarter of 2012?
3. (Advanced) What was the percentage of firms who beat earnings
forecasts from 1993 to 2001? Why should that result "seem natural"?
4. (Advanced) What is the overall pattern of analysts' estimates?
Why do you think this pattern emerges? How does it lead to the conclusion
that "the important statistic is actual corporate profits"?
5. (Introductory) What is the SEC's Regulation Fair Disclosure?
(Hint; you may search on the SEC's web site at
www.sec.gov to investigate
this question.) According to the article, how does the implementation of
Regulation FD impact the earnings forecasting process?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Gomer Pyle might have been about as competent an
equity strategist as he was a marine. While the knee-jerk reaction to a
positive earnings surprise is often, well, positive, gains can be fleeting.
The reason is that companies and the analysts who cover them typically set
the bar low enough that a "beat" has to be substantial, and not marred by
unpleasant news about the outlook, to really have an impact.
Take the current earnings season. Now that a little
over four-fifths of S&P 500 companies by market value have reported, Brown
Brothers Harriman says 70% of those have beaten estimates. But since
Alcoa Inc. informally kicked off the current
reporting season April 10, the S&P 500 is down slightly.
While this "positive surprise ratio" of 70% is
above the 20 year average of 58% and also higher than last quarter's tally,
it is just middling since the current bull market began in 2009. In the past
decade, the ratio only dipped below 60% during the financial crisis. Look
before 2002, though, and 70% would have been literally off the chart. From
1993 through 2001, about half of companies had positive surprises, which
seems natural.
What changed? One potential reason is the
tightening of rules governing analyst contacts with management. Analysts now
must rely on publicly available guidance or, gasp, figure things out by
themselves. That puts companies, with an incentive to set the bar low so
that earnings are received positively, in the driver's seat. While that
makes managers look good short-term, there is no lasting benefit for
buy-and-hold investors. In fact, an October study by CXO Advisory Group
found that the average weekly index return during earnings season has been
slightly negative since 2000, while it has been positive for the rest of the
year.
The important statistic is actual corporate
profits. BBH estimates the S&P 500 recorded operating earnings of $25.31 a
share last quarter. That is about $1.50 higher than analyst consensus
estimates a month ago but around $1.00 below last July's estimate. That is a
typical pattern as expectations start out too optimistic and, by the time
actual earnings approach, are too low. When the ink is dry, though, actual
profits rarely make it to where expectations first began.
As Gomer would exclaim: "Well gaw-lee."
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 3,
2010
SUMMARY: "While
U.S. companies announced record profits during the second quarter, and beat
forecasts by a comfortable 10% margin, on average, the stock market has
dropped 5%. Based on trailing 12-month earnings, the average price earnings
(P/E) ratio in the overall market is about 14.9 compared to 23.1 in
September 2009; "based on profit expectations over the next 12 months, the
P/E ratio has fallen to 12.2 from about 14.5 in May, 2010." The reason for
this divergence is, of course, economic uncertainty that is not evident in
the (average) point estimates of earnings nor in the relatively good
earnings numbers of both the first and second calendar quarters of 2010. The
related article is a WSJ graphic of earnings per share actual compared to
average analyst estimates, by industry and by week.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful to show the need for understanding context of ratios in
undertaking financial statement analysis. It also demonstrates that ratios
can be measured in more than one way, such as the use of past earnings or
analysts' average forecasts. The related article can be used to introduce
students to analysts' earnings forecasts.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Define the price earnings ratio (P/E) and explain its meaning.
2. (Introductory)
What two methods of measuring P/E are described in the article? Why do you
think both are used?
3. (Introductory)
Refer to the related article. How are analysts' estimates used in this WSJ
graphic analysis? In your answer, also describe who are the analysts
producing these estimates.
4. (Advanced)
How did companies perform relative to analysts' estimates in the second
calendar quarter of 2010?
5. (Advanced)
What has happened to the P/E ratio? Why does the author say the P/E has
fallen in relevance? Do you agree with that assessment?
6. (Introductory)
What other evidence in the article corroborates the issues in the recent
fall in the average P/E ratio?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
As investors fixate on the global forces whipsawing
the markets, one fundamental measure of stock-market value, the
price/earnings ratio, is shrinking in size and importance.
And the diminution might not stop for a while.
The P/E ratio, thrust into prominence during the
1930s by value investors Benjamin Graham and David Dodd, measures the amount
of money investors are paying for a company's earnings. Typically, companies
that post strong earnings growth enjoy richer stock prices and fatter P/E
ratios than those that don't.
But while U.S. companies announced record profits
during the second quarter, and beat forecasts by a comfortable 10% margin,
on average, the stock market has dropped 5% this month.
The stock market's average price/earnings ratio,
meanwhile, is in free fall, having plunged about 36% during the past year,
the largest 12-month decline since 2003. It now stands at about 14.9,
compared with 23.1 last September, based on trailing 12-month earnings
results. Based on profit expectations over the next 12 months, the P/E ratio
has fallen to 12.2 from about 14.5 in May.
So what explains the contraction? In short,
economic uncertainty. A steady procession of bad news, from the European
financial crisis to fears of deflation in the U.S., has prompted analysts to
cut profit forecasts for 2011.
"The market is worrying not just about a slowdown,
but worse," said Tobias Levkovich, chief U.S. equity strategist at Citigroup
Global Markets in New York. "People want clarity before they make a decision
with their money."
Three months ago, analysts expected the companies
in the Standard & Poor's 500-stock index to boost profits 18% in 2011. Now,
they predict 15%. Mutual-fund, hedge-fund and other money managers put the
increase at closer to 9%, according to a recent Citigroup survey, while Mr.
Levkovich's estimate is for 7% growth.
"The sustainability of earnings is in doubt," said
Howard Silverblatt, an index analyst at S&P in New York. "Estimates are
still optimistic."
Equally troublesome, analysts' forecasts are
becoming scattered. In May, the range between the highest and lowest analyst
forecasts of S&P 500 earnings per share in 2011 was $12. Morgan Stanley
predicted $85 per share, while UBS predicted $97 per share. Now, the spread
is $15. Barclays said $80 per share; Deutsche Bank predicts $95.
When profit forecasts are tightly clustered, it
signals to investors that there is consensus among prognosticators; when
they diverge wildly, it shows a lack of clarity. The P/E ratio tends to fall
as uncertainty rises, and vice versa.
"A stock is worth its future earnings, but that
involves uncertainty," said Jeremy Siegel, professor of finance at the
University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School. "The more uncertainty there is,
the lower the P/E will be."
Not only is the P/E ratio dropping, it also is in
danger of losing some of its prominence as a market gauge.
That is because, with profit and economic forecasts
becoming less reliable, investors are focusing more on global economic
events as they make trading decisions, parsing everything from Japanese
government-debt statistics to shipping patterns in the Baltic region.
To some extent this is in keeping with historical
patterns. P/E ratios often shrink in size and significance during periods of
uncertainty as investors focus on broader economic themes.
P/E ratios fell sharply during the Depression of
the 1930s and again after World War II, bottoming at 5.90 in 1949. They
plunged again during the 1970s, touching 6.97 in 1974 and 6.68 in 1980.
During those periods, global events sometimes took precedence over
company-specific valuation considerations in the minds of investors.
There have been periods when the P/E ratio was much
more in vogue. A century ago, the buying and selling of stocks was widely
considered to be a form of gambling. P/E ratios came about as a way to
quantify the true value of a company's shares. The creation of the
Securities and Exchange Commission during the 1930s made financial
information more available to investors, and P/E ratios gained widespread
acceptance in the decades that followed.
But thanks to the recent shift toward rapid-fire
stock trading, the P/E ratio may be losing its relevance. The emergence of
exchange-traded funds in the past 10 years has allowed investors to make
broad bets on entire baskets of stocks. And the ascendance of
computer-driven trading is making macroeconomic data and trading patterns
more important drivers of market action than fundamental analysis of
individual companies, even during periods of relative calm.
So where is the P/E ratio headed in the short term?
A few optimists think it could rise from here. If corporate borrowing costs
remain at record lows and stock prices remain depressed, companies will
start issuing debt to buy back shares, said David Bianco, chief U.S. equity
strategist for Bank of America Merrill Lynch. As a result, earnings per
share would increase, he said, even if profit growth remains sluggish, and
P/E ratios could jump with them.
But today's economic uncertainty argues against
that scenario. Consider that while P/E ratios dropped during the
inflationary 1970s, they also fell during the deflationary 1930s. The one
common thread tying those two eras of falling P/E ratios: unpredictable
economic performance.
"We're looking at a more volatile U.S. economy than
we experienced in the last 30 years," said Doug Cliggott, U.S. equity
strategist at Credit Suisse in Boston. "The pressure on multiples may be
with us for quite some time."
I saw this
article and didn't quite "get" it...the title at least.
Of course the P/E
ratio is still relevant.
My favorite site for this is
www.multpl.com, where a guy provides a daily look
at the Shiller ("Irrational Exuberance") 10-year P/E...10 years of data
instead of 1. It's currently 20. It used to be 45. Indeed, 45 was a
bubble.
Right now, you
would think 16 would be appropriate, but extremely low interest rates argue
for higher (in comparison to investing in bonds), but economic uncertainly
argues for lower.
So I'd make the
case that this metric should be around 16 right now...20 indicates to me
that stocks are slightly overvalued.
The only time the
P/E ratio really was ignored was in 2000, it seems to me. I'm glad I had no
money then.
SUMMARY: This is the third of three articles in the WSJ's Section
on Leadership in Corporate Finance published on Monday, February 27, 2012.
This article is useful to introduce the economic reasoning behind treasury
stock purchases prior to presenting the accounting for these transactions.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in any financial
accounting class covering treasury stock purchases.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What is a stock buyback? What term do we use in
accounting for this transaction?
2. (Advanced) Summarize the accounting for stock buybacks.
3. (Introductory) What reason does Mr. Milano give for his opinion
that "buybacks are...often a bad idea"?
4. (Introductory) What evidence does Mr. Milano give to support his
view?
5. (Advanced) One of the reasons Mr. Tilson acknowledges that
buybacks are often poorly considered by the managements who conduct them is
that they focus on "propping up share price." Mr. Milano notes that stock
buybacks increase earnings per share. How do stock buybacks have these
effects? Do the share price effects stem from increasing earnings per share?
Support your answer.
6. (Advanced) List the other two of Mr. Tilson three examples of
"the wrong reasons" to conduct a stock buyback and explain how buybacks
produce these two effects.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
As share buybacks climb toward record, prerecession
levels, the debate over the tactic is heating up.
Companies sitting on piles of cash are under
increasing pressure to return that value to shareholders, but are buybacks
the best way to do that? Or should companies raise dividends, use the money
for acquisitions or invest it in their business instead?
We invited two Wall Street personalities with
strong views on the issue to participate in an email discussion of the
merits and drawbacks of stock buybacks.
Whitney R. Tilson is the founder and managing
partner of T2 Partners LLC, a New York hedge fund, and an outspoken
proponent of share repurchases.
Gregory V. Milano is the co-founder and chief
executive of Fortuna Advisors LLC, a corporate-finance consulting firm based
in New York, who rarely encounters a buyback he considers the best use of a
company's cash.
Here are edited excerpts of their discussion.
Crowding Out
WSJ: Mr. Milano, why you do think buybacks are so
often a bad idea?
MR. MILANO: Though some are successful with share
repurchases, the evidence overwhelmingly shows that heavy buyback companies
usually create less value for shareholders over time.
Many managements have become so infatuated with how
buybacks increase earnings per share that these distributions are crowding
out sound business investments that create more value over time.
In one study, those that reinvested a higher
percentage of their cash generation into capital expenditures, research and
development, cash acquisitions and working capital delivered substantially
higher total shareholder return than those that reinvested less.
The problem with buybacks is considerably
compounded by poor timing: the propensity to buy when the price is high and
not when it's low. A measure called buyback effectiveness compares the
buyback return on investment to total shareholder return, and indicates
whether the company buys low or high relative to the share price trend. From
2008 through mid 2011, nearly two out of three companies in the S&P 500 had
negative buyback effectiveness.
Most academic research shows that share prices
typically increase when buybacks are announced, which benefits short-term
owners. For those interested in long-term value creation, which should be
the focus of managements and boards, the evidence convincingly shows that
buybacks usually do not help.
WSJ: Mr. Tilson, what makes buybacks work for
investors, rather than against them?
MR. TILSON: I agree with Greg that most companies
do not think or act sensibly regarding share repurchases and therefore end
up destroying value.
It never ceases to amaze me—and, when a company we
own does the wrong thing, infuriate me—how few companies think sensibly
about this topic and thus buy back stock for all the wrong reasons: to prop
up the price, signal "confidence," offset options dilution, etc.
But the same could be said of acquisitions, and
does anyone believe that all acquisitions are bad? Share repurchases, like
acquisitions, can create enormous long-term shareholder value if done
properly.
Warren Buffett, in his 1999 letter to Berkshire
Hathaway shareholders, perfectly captures the key elements of a smart share
repurchase program:
"There is only one combination of facts that makes
it advisable for a company to repurchase its shares: First, the company has
available funds—cash plus sensible borrowing capacity—beyond the near-term
needs of the business and, second, finds its stock selling in the market
below its intrinsic value, conservatively calculated."
In other words, once a business has a strong
balance sheet, then it should first take its excess cash/cash flow and
reinvest in its own business—if (and only if) it can generate high rates of
return on such investment.
Then, if it still has cash/cash flow left over, it
should return it to shareholders, who are, after all, the owners of the
business—it's their cash. But this raises the question of whether cash
should be returned via dividends or share repurchases.
That depends on the price of the stock versus its
intrinsic value.
My rule of thumb is that if the stock is trading
within 20% of fair value, then the company should use dividends; if it's
trading at greater than a 20% discount, buybacks. If it's trading at a big
premium to fair value, then the company should issue stock, via compensation
to employees, a secondary offering and/or as an acquisition currency.
Getting It Wrong
MR. MILANO: I agree with the Warren Buffett quote
completely, and Whitney's view on how often managements get it wrong is
really one of my main principles.
As an investment banker at Credit Suisse in 2007 I
visited scores of companies to explain that their share prices were so high
that the expectations they needed to achieve just to justify their price,
let alone grow it, were unrealistic in a world where we experience the ups
and downs of business cycles. I suggested they use convertible-debt
financing to fund their growth.
Continued in article
Question
There are various reasons for buying back common shares (e.g., to have shares
available for employee compensation). How many of you also teach that one
purpose may be to buy back your company's earnings growth?
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal's Accounting Weekly Review on September 20,
2013
TOPICS: Dividends, Earnings Per Share, Financial Analysis
SUMMARY: The article clearly shows the impact of stock repurchases
on EPS growth for large technology firms that have matured: Cisco,
Microsoft, IBM, and Oracle.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used when covering
stockholders' equity in a financial accounting class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What has Microsoft announced about its stock
repurchases?
2. (Introductory) Provide the journal entry to record a stock
repurchase transaction.
3. (Advanced) What did Microsoft also announce at the same time as
the share repurchase announcement? How do both of these actions mean that
Microsoft will "keep kicking cash" to shareholders?
4. (Advanced) Explain the contents of the graphic entitled "Backstory."
Specifically explain how earnings-per-share growth absent the stock buybacks
is calculated.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
It's good news for Microsoft MSFT +0.05%
shareholders that the company will keep kicking back cash their way. It will
also help the software giant juice earnings growth, like so many of its big
tech brethren.
Microsoft's new $40 billion share-repurchase plan
doesn't mark a sea change. The company is essentially replacing its last,
almost-exhausted $40 billion buyback plan launched in 2008. Boosting the
dividend 22%, which implies a yield of 3.4%, may have a bigger impact as it
makes shares notably more attractive to income-hungry investors.
But buying back shares at such a rapid clip has led
to a big decline in shares outstanding and, consequently, a sizable increase
in earnings per share. In total, Microsoft has repurchased $110 billion of
its own shares over its past nine fiscal years, says CapitalIQ, reducing its
share count 22%. Thanks to such buybacks, the company's average annual
earnings growth rate of 11% was 46% higher than it would have been holding
the share count constant.
he company is hardly alone. International Business
Machines IBM +0.69% has bought back $100 billion of stock over its past nine
fiscal years, reducing its share count by a third and boosting its average
earnings growth rate 53%, to 16%. Cisco Systems CSCO -1.26% has purchased
$63 billion of stock, reducing its share count 19% and increasing average
earnings growth 40%, to 10%.
Oracle ORCL -0.56% stands out not just for faster
earnings growth but for far less reliance on buybacks. Earnings-per-share
growth has averaged 19% a year the past nine fiscal years, just slightly
higher than the 18% growth rate had its share count been unchanged. That
said, even Oracle has significantly increased its share repurchases the past
two years.
Higher earnings-growth rates are good news for
shareholders. Still, the way tech giants manufacture that growth is a
reminder that they are more about past glory than future promise.
A form of financing in which large capital
expenditures are kept off of a company's balance sheet through various
classification methods. Companies will often use off-balance-sheet financing
to keep their debt to equity (D/E) and leverage ratios low, especially if
the inclusion of a large expenditure would break negative debt covenants.
Contrast to loans, debt and equity, which do appear
on the balance sheet. Examples of off-balance-sheet financing include joint
ventures, research and development partnerships, and operating leases
(rather than purchases of capital equipment).
Operating leases are one of the most common forms
of off-balance-sheet financing. In these cases, the asset itself is kept on
the lessor's balance sheet, and the lessee reports only the required rental
expense for use of the asset. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles in
the U.S. have set numerous rules for companies to follow in determining
whether a lease should be capitalized (included on the balance sheet) or
expensed.
This term came into popular use during the Enron
bankruptcy. Many of the energy traders' problems stemmed from setting up
inappropriate off-balance-sheet entities.
For budget nerds, tonight's
State of the Union speech is a prelude to the
president's budget, which will be introduced a little over a month from now.
The State of the Union usually presents a broad vision of goals and
priorities, but the budget gives us details about where the administration
would direct dollars to see those priorities implemented.
But even when we see the president's budget next
month, we still won't have a true picture of where we stand financially and
where we are going because we use a set of accounting principles that makes
it hard to get a clear picture of what our obligations are. That is because
the United States Government uses a cash based accounting system instead of
accrual accounting, the standard accounting practice for large, complex
entities.
What is the difference and why does it matter? The
short version is this: Cash accounting simply tracks money in and money out,
while accrual accounting takes into account all outstanding obligations.
This difference matters because, under cash accounting, it is possible to
ignore or underplay outstanding obligations the government must pay under
existing contracts and laws. Moreover, cash accounting makes it more
difficult to plan and budget for infrastructure upgrades and other major
investments.
For decades, accounting professionals, presidential
commissions and the Congressional Budget Office alike have
recommended changing to accrual accounting as a
means to make the federal budget more transparent and to encourage fiscal
responsibility. The Securities and Exchange Commission requires that
publically traded companies use accrual accounting and otherwise follow the
so-called Generally Accepted Accounting Practices. The reason accrual
accounting is favored is simple: It encourages large entities to reflect and
plan for long-term fiscal health rather than simply looking at today's cash
flow, which is the accounting principle version of living
paycheck-to-paycheck.
Moving all federal budgeting and accounting to
accrual standards seems like an obvious step. It will increase our
understanding of our true deficits and debts and improve transparency and
accountability across the government. So why, despite recommendations to
make this change, starting as far back as the first Hoover Commission in
1949, hasn't the U.S. adopted this standard? The short answer is that making
this change requires political will. And as we have seen for decades,
politicians love to skew numbers to support their own positions instead of
relying on vetted, neutral numbers.
Lawmakers are able to game the Congressional Budget
Office scoring rules to hide long-term costs outside the 10-year budget
window. Shifting to accrual accounting would shift debates about the
long-term liabilities and benefits of different government actions out of
the realm of political arguments and into the realm of agreed upon facts.
Continued in article
Over 75% Off-Balance-Sheet Financing by Federal and State Governments
"Hiding the Financial State of the Union -- and the States," State
Data Lab, January 24, 2014 --- http://www.statedatalab.org/
Next Tuesday, President Barack Obama will give the
annual “State of the Union” address. One of the most important issues is the
Financial State of the Union. But what about the Financial State of the
States?
Truth in Accounting has found that the lack of
truth and transparency in governmental budgeting and financial reporting
enables our federal and state governments to not tell us what they really
owe. Obscure accounting rules allow governments to hide trillions of dollars
of debt from citizens and legislators.
The President and many governmental officials tell
us the national debt is $17 trillion, but that does not include more than
$58 trillion of retirement benefits that have been promised to our veterans
and seniors. In addition, state officials do not report more than $948
billion of retirement liabilities.
The charts above show 77% of the federal
government's true debt is hidden and 75% of state government debt is hidden.
Total hidden federal and state debt amounts to more than $59 trillion, or
roughly $625,000 per U.S. taxpayer.
The five states with the greatest hidden debt
include Texas ($66 billion), Michigan ($67 billion), New York ($75 billion),
Illinois ($106 billion), and California ($112 billion).
Truth in Accounting promotes truthful, transparent
and timely financial information from our governments, because citizens
deserve to know the amount of debt they and their children will be
responsible for paying in the future.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
It sounds like a simple question. How big is that
bank?
But it is not.
Under American accounting rules, banks that trade a
lot of derivatives can keep literally trillions of dollars in assets and
liabilities off their balance sheets. Since 2009, they have at least been
required to make disclosures about how large those amounts are, but the
disclosures leave out some things and — amazingly enough — in some cases do
not seem to add up.
The international accounting rules are different.
They also allow some assets to vanish, but not nearly as many. As a result,
it is virtually impossible to confidently declare how a particular European
bank compares in size with an American bank.
Much of that will change when first-quarter
financial statements start coming off the printing presses in a few weeks.
For the first time, European and American banks are supposed to have
comparable disclosures regarding assets. Their balance sheets will still be
radically different, but for those who care, the comparison will be
possible.
This comes to mind because these days it seems that
big banks do not much want to be thought of that way. A rather angry
argument has broken out regarding whether “too big to fail” institutions get
what amounts to a subsidy from investor confidence that no matter what else
happens, they would not be allowed to fail. The banks deny it all. Subsidy?
Penalty is more like it, they say.
We’ll get back to that argument in a moment. But
first, there is some evidence that the big American banks may have scaled
back their derivatives positions last year. At five of six major financial
institutions, the amount of assets kept off the balance sheet appears to be
lower at the end of 2012 than it was a year earlier.
Still, the numbers are big. JPMorgan Chase, the
biggest American institution, had $2.4 trillion in assets on its balance
sheet at the end of 2012. But it has derivatives with a market value of an
additional $1.5 trillion that it does not show on its balance sheet, down
from $1.7 trillion a year earlier.
So is JPMorgan getting bigger? Measured by assets
on the balance sheet, the answer is yes. That total was up $93 billion from
2011. But after adjusting for the hidden assets, the bank appears to have
shrunk by $109 billion last year. If the bank used international accounting
rules, it appears it would be getting smaller.
Not having those assets on the balance sheet makes
the bank look less leveraged than it might otherwise appear to be. If you
simply compare the book value of the bank with its assets, it appears it has
$11.56 in assets for every dollar in equity. Add in those derivatives, and
the figure leaps to $18.95.
It is not as if those assets are not real, or that
they are perfectly offset by liabilities also kept off the balance sheet.
There is a similar amount of liabilities that are not shown, but there is no
way to know just how they match up with the assets in terms of riskiness.
The nature of derivatives makes it hard to assess aggregate totals.
If a bank has a $1 million loan to someone, that is
an asset that would go on the balance sheet at $1 million. Presumably the
worst that could happen is that the bank would lose the entire amount. But a
large derivative position might currently have a market value of $1 million,
and thus would be shown as being worth the same amount, whether on or off
the balance sheet. But if the market moves sharply, the profit or loss could
be many multiples of that figure.
Under American accounting rules, banks that deal in
derivatives can net out most of their exposure by offsetting the assets
against the liabilities. They do this based not on the nature of the asset
or liability, but on the identity of the institution on the other side of
the trade — the counterparty, in market lingo.
The logic of this has to do with what would happen
in a bankruptcy. What are called “netting agreements” allow only the net
value to be claimed in case of a failure. So the bank shows the sum of those
net positions with each party.
But those positions are not offsetting in terms of
risk, or at least there is no way to know if they are. The figures shown in
the financial statements and footnotes simply describe market values on the
day of the balance sheet. If prices move the wrong way, as asset can turn
into a liability, or a liability can become much larger. And both can happen
at the same time. The asset might be an interest rate swap, while the
liability is a wheat future. Obviously, they are not particularly likely to
move in tandem.
To return to JPMorgan, on its balance sheet are
derivative assets of $75 billion, and derivative liabilities of $71 billion.
Neither number is very large relative to the size of the bank, and you might
think that swings in values would be unlikely to be very large.
But those numbers are $1.5 trillion smaller than
the actual totals. Obviously, the swings on a portfolio of that size could
be much larger.
A few years ago, the accounting rule makers set out
to get rid of the netting, and make balance sheets more accurate. But there
were complaints from banks and others, and the American rule makers at the
Financial Accounting Standards Board concluded that was not a good idea. So
there is still netting in the United States. Some of it, involving repos and
reverse repos, is not disclosed at all now, but will be when the new rules
kick in.
The sort-of invisible derivative assets and
liabilities are only part of the reason that it is so hard to really get a
handle on just how risky any given bank is.
Continued in article
I never could understand the reasons for this amendment to FAS 133 that
originally did not allow such offsetting. At the time I blamed it on the zeal
for convergence with the IASB and political pressures that seemed to be even
greater in Europe than the U.S. Perhaps I was wrong in this.
I'm beginning to think that when something smells fishy there probably are
some rancid fish hiding somewhere
Why Is the FASB Issuing
This Accounting Standards Update (Update) ? The main objective in developing
this Update is to address implementation issues about the scope of
Accounting Standards Update No. 2011 - 11, Balance Sheet (Topic 210) :
Disclosures about Offsetting Assets and Liabilities . Stakeholders have told
the Board that because the scope in Update 2011 - 11 is unclear, diversity
in practice may result . Recent feedback from stakeholders is that standard
commercial provisions of many contracts would equate to a master netting
arrangement . Stakeholders questioned whether it was the Board’s intent to
require disclosures for such a broad scope, which would significantly
increase the cost of compliance . The objective of this Update is to clarify
the scope of the offsetting disclosures and address any unintended
consequences.
What Are the Main Provisions?
The amendments clarify that the scope of Update 2011 - 11 applies to
derivatives accounted for in accordance with Topic 815, Derivatives and
Hedging, including bifurcated embedded derivatives , repurchase agreements
and reverse repurchase agreements, and securities borrowing and securities
lending transactions that are either offset in accordance with Section 210 -
20 - 45 or Section 815 - 10 - 45 or subject to an enforceable master netting
arrangement or similar agreement .
Who Is Affected by the Amendments in This
Update?
The amendments in this Update affect entities that have derivatives
accounted for in accordance with Topic 815, including bifurcated embedded
derivatives , repurchase agreements and reverse repurchase agreements, and
securities borrowing and securities lending transactions that are either
offset in accordance with Section 210 - 20 - 45 or Section 815 - 10 - 45 or
subject to an enforceable master netting arrangement or similar agreement .
Entities with other types of financial a ssets and financial liabilities
subject to a master netting arrangement or similar agreement also are
affected because these amendments make them no longer subject to the
disclosure requirements in Update 2011 - 11.
How Do the Main Provisions?
Differ from Cur rent U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ( GAAP )
and Why Would They Be an Improvement? The amendments clarify the intended
scope of the disclosures required by Section 210 - 20 - 50 . The Board
concluded that the clarified scope will reduce significant ly the
operability concerns expressed by preparers while still providing decision -
useful information about certain transactions involving master netting
arrangements . The amendments provide a user of financial statements with
comparable information as it r elates to certain reconciling differences
between financial statements prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP and those
financial statements prepared in accordance with International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS).
When W ill the Amendments Be Effective?
An entity is required to apply the amendments for fiscal years beginning on
or after January 1, 2013, and interim periods within those annual periods .
An entity should provide the required disclosures retrospectively for all
comparative periods presented . The effective date is the same as the
effective date of Update 2011 - 11.
How Do the Provisions Compare with International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)?
The disclosures required by the amendments in Update 2011 - 11 are the
result of a joint project between the FASB and the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB), which was intended to provide comparable information
about balance sheet offsetting between those entities that prepare their
financial statements on the basis of U.S. GAAP and those entities that
prepare their financial statements on the basis of IFRS . The amendments in
this Update clarify that the scope of the disclosures under U.S. GAAP is
limited to include derivatives accounted for in accordance with Topic 815 ,
including bifurcated embedded derivatives, repurchase agreements and reverse
repurchase agreements, and securities borrowing and securities lending
transactions that are either offset in accordance with Section 210 - 20 - 45
or Section 815 - 10 - 45 or subject to a n enforceable master netting
arrangement or similar agreement.
Continued in article
I personally was more concerned about how banks changed income smoothing
practices.
"The Impact of SFAS 133 on Income Smoothing by Banks through Loan Loss
Provisions," by Emre Kilic Gerald J. Lobo, Tharindra Ranasinghe, and K.
Sivaramakrishnan Rice University, The Accounting Review, Vol. 88, No. 1,
2013, pp. 233-260 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.2308/accr-50264
We examine the impact of SFAS 133, Accounting for
Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities , on the reporting behavior of
commercial banks and the informativeness of their financial statements. We
argue that, because mandatory recognition of hedge ineffectiveness under
SFAS 133 reduced banks’ ability to smooth income through derivatives, banks
that are more affected by SFAS 133 rely more on loan loss provisions to
smooth income. We find evidence consistent with this argument. We also find
that the increased reliance on loan loss provisions for smoothing income has
impaired the informativeness of loan loss provisions for future loan
defaults and bank stock returns.
Executory Contracts: The Root of Most
Off-Balance-Sheet-Financing Evils
Here's another Onion post from Tom.
In FAS 133 there's a big deal distinction between forecasted transactions (no
signed executory contracts) versus firm commitments (signed executory
contracts). Both types of "commitments" are are frequently hedged such that the
"big deal" is not so much whether a contract has been signed as it is the type
of hedge accounting that's called for such as a cash flow hedge versus a fair
value hedge versus a FX hedge.
Since we're virtually certain that Southwest Airlines is going to need to
purchase jet fuel over the next five years, it hardly matters much in theory
whether there is an unsigned forecasted transaction or a signed executory
contract other than if one of the counterparties breaches the contract the
signed contract may lead to some damage settlement.
When you drill down to the issue of whether an executory contract should be
booked as a liability, one issue is the estimation of damages if the contract is
breached. One reason we do not book long-term purchase contracts is that the
damages from breach of contract are often a miniscule portion of the notionals
times the underlyings.
My favorite example is a contract many years back signed by Dow Jones to buy
newsprint (reels of paper) from St. Regis Paper Company for something like 50
years worth of paper upon which such things as The Wall Street Journal
would be printed. Some of the trees needed for that paper had not even been
planted yet in the timberlands when the contract was signed.
The present value of executory contract is massive in terms of discounted cash
flow liability for the entire purchase. But if one of the counterparties to the
contract breaks the contract the estimated damages most likely are only be a
miniscule portion of the "gross" present value of the liability.
Hence booking such long-term purchase contracts at "gross" present values can be
more misleading than not booking them at all. And estimation of the "damages"
at any point in time is extremely difficult and probably should not be attested
to by auditors.
With that introduction I will turn the floor over to Tom. I don't think the
issue has so much to do with "politics" as it has to do with economic realism in
many instances.
By the way, I've been told by several business law professors that the term "executory
contract" is probably overused by accountants since the "executory" adjective is
not considered such an important term in law schools. However, I've never really
looked into this matter.
Banks will have to disclose in detail ‘window
dressing’ tricks such as Lehman Brothers’ infamous “Repo 105” deals under
new international accounting rules.
The International Accounting Standards Board on
Thursday published final rules that also require greater disclosure of
off-balance sheet entities where the bank or company still has some ties,
such as the buyer having a right to sell them back, or the bank itself
having a right to repurchase the assets.
Window dressing became a contentious issue this
year when it emerged that Lehman Brothers had shifted up to $49bn off its
books at the end of each quarter to reduce closely watched financial
leverage ratios. The trades were specifically designed to flatter the
reported accounts and had no economic rationale.
The bank used short-term repurchase, or “repo”,
deals and provided extra collateral – at least 105 per cent of the value of
the loan – to allow it to account for the deal, under US rules, as a true
sale, which removed the asset from its books until the trade was unwound
after the reporting period had ended.
While international rules would not have allowed
Repo 105s to be taken off the books (because they are based on a different
concept to the US standards), the new rules will force banks to disclose any
“disproportionate amount of transfer transactions”, such as other repo
deals, that are undertaken around the end of a reporting period.
More than 100 countries follow, or are adopting,
international accounting standards, including all European Union members,
Japan, Canada, Australia and South Korea.
Sir David Tweedie, chairman of the IASB, said the
new rules were important.
“They will help investors to better understand
off-balance sheet risks, and to alert them to the possibility of so-called
window dressing transactions occurring at the end of a reporting period,” he
added.
It also backed immediate guidance to make clear
that regardless of the letter of the rules, it did not consider any company
was allowed to use deals, such as Repo 105s, that were designed to mask its
reported financial condition.
Although the IASB has stopped short of requiring
banks to produce the disclosures in a specified format, it will require them
to be in one place, rather than scatter through the accounts. It has also
suggested various formats. This is still a step-up in the prescriptiveness
of its standards, which it had been trying to base around broad principles
to avoid it having to follow the US where rulemakers tend to draft detailed
rules to cover each separate situation.
"Balance Sheets Are Busting Out All Over: About $1.2 trillion in
off-balance-sheet assets could end up on the balance sheets of banks that have
yet to claim them, or "on no one's balance sheet," a new report claims," by
Marie Leone, CFO.com, April 23, 2010 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14492562/c_14492952?f=home_todayinfinance
New accounting rules governing off-balance-sheet
transactions went into effect for most companies in January. As a result, 53
large companies have already estimated that they will have put back an
aggregate $515 billion in assets to their balance sheets during the first
quarter, according to a new study of S&P 500 companies released by Credit
Suisse.
But the future state of the companies' balance
sheets remains unclear, since they only consolidated 9% of the $5.7 trillion
in off-balance sheet assets they reported in the fourth quarter of last
year. About $4 trillion of the remaining assets will be taken up on the
balance sheets of mortgage companies Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which
guaranteed many of the subprime residential mortgages. The rest of the
assets — about $1.2 trillion worth — could find their way to the balance
sheets of companies that have yet to claim them, or "on no one's balance
sheet," assert report authors David Zion, Amit Varshney, and Christopher
Cornett.
Because some assets are lingering in accounting
limbo or hidden by murky disclosures, gauging their final effect on company
financials could be akin to hitting "a moving target," says the report.
Indeed, Credit Suisse notes that it's unclear whether all reported estimates
issued during the first quarter included deferred taxes, loan loss
provisioning, and such off-balance-sheets assets as mortgage-servicing
rights. (Selling mortgage servicing rights is a multi-billion dollar
industry.)
The rules that force companies to put such assets
back on their balance sheets were issued in 2008 and went into effect at the
beginning of this year. They are Topic 860 (formerly FAS 166), which deals
with transfers and servicing of financial assets and liabilities, and Topic
810 (formerly FAS 167), the rule governing the consolidation of
off-balance-sheet entities in their controlling companies' financial
reports.
In reviewing the results and disclosures as of
March 11, the study's authors found that only 183 companies in the S&P 500
reported the balance-sheet effects of FAS 166 in their financial results,
with 24 providing an estimated impact and 117 reporting either no impact or
an immaterial one. Forty-two companies are still evaluating the effects of
the new rules, while 317 made no mention of the rules at all. In contrast,
342 companies disclosed the effects of FAS 167, with 29 providing estimates
and 214 registering no impact or an immaterial one. That leaves 99 companies
still evaluating the FAS 167 impact, and 158 making no mention of the
financial statement effects.
Predictably, most of the asset increases belong to
companies in the financial sector, where off-balance-sheet transactions like
securitization, factoring, and repurchase agreements are popular. As of Q4
2009, financial services companies in the S&P 500 had stashed $5.5 trillion,
and $1.6 trillion, respectively, in variable-interest entities (VIEs) and
the now-defunct qualified special-purporse entities (QSPEs). That left a
mere $110 billion in assets spread among the QSPEs and VIEs associated with
companies in nine other industries.
Assets are returning to balance sheets for several
reasons, most notably the Financial Accounting Standards Board's elimination
if QSPEs, or "Qs," in 2008, when it became apparent that the structures were
being abused. Indeed, Qs were permitted to remain off bank balance sheets if
they took a "passive" role in managing the structures' finances. But when
the subprime crisis hit, and the mortgages being held in Qs began to fail,
banks — with the blessing of regulators — took a more active role, reworking
the terms of the entities' mortgage investments. At the time, FASB Chairman
Robert Herz called Qs "ticking time bombs" that started to "explode" during
the credit crunch.
VIEs, on the other hand, are still used. These
vehicles are thinly capitalized business structures in which investors can
hold controlling interests without having to hold voting majorities. As of
the fourth quarter last year, S&P 500 companies parked $1.7 trillion worth
of assets in VIEs.
The revised standards were supposed to wreak havoc
on bank balance sheets because, among other things, the rules for keeping
loan-related assets off the books would be rewritten. At the time, bankers
expected the rewrite would force them to consolidate big swaths of assets
that were being held in VIEs and QSPEs. And consolidating the assets from
the entities would have required them to increase the amount of regulatory
capital they kept on hand — a charge to cash — and thereby reduce the amount
of lending they could do. Dampening lending during a credit crisis, argued
bankers, would hurt the recovery.
Since their enactment, the accounting rules have
affected their industry big-time. Of the companies reporting an impact, nine
purely financial-sector outfits plus General Electric account for 96% of the
$515 billion being consolidated during the first quarter, says Credit
Suisse. Of that group, which includes Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase, and
Capital One, Citigroup tops the list with an estimated $129 billion in
assets being brought back on the books in the first quarter — which
represents 7% of its existing total assets. The newly-consolidated assets
come in all shapes and sizes, says the report: $86.3 billion in credit card
loans, $28.3 billion in asset-backed commercial paper, $13.6 billion in
student loans, and $4.4 billion in consumer mortgages, for example. ($5
trillion or the $ $5.7 trillion held in VIEs and QSPEs are mortgage
related.) Citigroup also disclosed a $13.4 billion charge for setting up
additional loan loss reserves and eliminating interest lost from
consolidating the assets.
Of the companies that disclosed the
financial-statement impact, only eight estimated the increase to be more
than 5% of total assets, says Credit Suisse. Invesco was the hardest hit,
reporting the highest percentage at 55%, bringing back $6 billion worth of
assets during the first quarter. Invesco's assets are parked in
collateralized loan obligations and collateralized debt obligations.
Non-financial companies, like Harley-Davidson and
Marriott International also reported relatively big percentage jumps
compared to existing assets. Harley's additional assets represent 18% of
existing assets, or $1.6 billion. Meanwhile, Marriott's consolidation
represents 13% of its assets, or $1 billion.
Jensen Comment
It's about time. Bank financial statements have been "fiction" for way to long.
But the accounting and auditing rules have a long way to go for banks. A huge
problem is the way auditing firms have allowed banks to underestimate loan loss
reserves. A more recent problem with FAS 140 was uncovered by Lehman's use of
Repo 105 contracts for debt masking.
Fighting the Battle Against Off-Balance-Sheet Financing" Winning a Battle
Does Not Mean Winning a War
But it's better than losing the battle
Frank Partnoy and Lynn Turner contend that Wall Street bank accounting is an
exercise in writing fiction:
Watch the video! (a bit slow loading)
Lynn Turner is Partnoy's co-author of the white paper."Make Markets Be Markets"
"Bring Transparency to Off-Balance Sheet Accounting," by Frank Partnoy,
Roosevelt Institute, March 2010 ---
http://www.rooseveltinstitute.org/policy-and-ideas/ideas-database/bring-transparency-balance-sheet-accounting
Watch the video!
More Than Half of Bank America's Book Value is Bogus
Ask anyone what the most immediate threats to the
global financial system are, and the obvious answers would be the European
sovereign-debt crisis and the off chance that the U.S. won’t raise its debt
ceiling in time to avoid a default. Here’s one to add to the list: the
frightening plunge in
Bank of America Corp. (BAC)’s stock price.
At $9.85 a share, down 26 percent this year, Bank
of America finished yesterday with a market capitalization of $99.8 billion.
That’s an astonishingly low 49 percent of the company’s $205.6 billion book
value, or common shareholder equity, as of June 30. As far as the market is
concerned, more than half of the company’s book value is bogus, due to
overstated assets, understated liabilities, or some combination of the two.
That perception presents a dangerous situation for
the world at large, not just the company’s direct stakeholders. The risk is
that with the stock price this low, a further decline could feed on itself
and spread contagion to other companies, regardless of the bank’s statement
this week that it is “creating a fortress balance sheet.”
It isn’t only the company’s intangible assets, such
as goodwill, that investors are discounting. (Goodwill is the ledger entry a
company records when it pays a premium to buy another.) Consider Bank of
America’s
calculations of tangible common equity, a
bare-bones capital measure showing its ability to absorb future losses. The
company said it ended the second quarter with tangible common equity of
$128.2 billion, or 5.87 percent of tangible assets.
Investor Doubts
That’s about $28 billion more than the
Charlotte, North Carolina-based company’s market
cap. Put another way, investors doubt Bank of America’s loan values and
other numbers, too, not just its intangibles, the vast majority of which the
company doesn’t count toward regulatory capital or tangible common equity
anyway.
So here we have the largest
U.S. bank by assets, fresh off an $8.8 billion
quarterly loss, which was its biggest ever. And
the people in charge of running it have a monstrous credibility gap, largely
of their own making. Once again, we’re all on the hook.
As recently as late 2010, Bank of America still
clung to the position that none of the $4.4 billion of goodwill from its
2008 purchase of Countrywide Financial Corp. had lost a dollar of value.
Chief Executive Officer Brian Moynihan also was telling investors the bank
would boost its penny-a-share quarterly dividend “as fast as we can” and
that he didn’t “see anything that would stop us.” Both notions proved to be
nonsense.
Acquisition Disaster
The goodwill from Countrywide, one of the most
disastrous corporate acquisitions in U.S. history, now has been written off
entirely, via impairment
charges that were
long overdue. And, thankfully, Bank of America’s regulators in March
rejected the company’s dividend plans, in an outburst of common sense.
Last fall, Bank of America also was telling
investors it probably would incur $4.4 billion of costs from repurchasing
defective mortgages that were sold to investors, though it did say more were
possible. Since then the company has recognized an additional $19.2 billion
of such expenses, with
no end in sight.
The crucial question today is whether Bank of
America needs fresh capital to strengthen its balance sheet. Moynihan
emphatically says it doesn’t, pointing to regulatory-capital measures that
would have us believe it’s doing fine. The market is screaming otherwise,
judging by the mammoth discount to book value. Then again, for all we know,
the equity markets might not be receptive to a massive offering of new
shares anyway, even if the bank’s executives were inclined to try for one.
No Worries
We can only hope Bank of America’s regulators are
tracking the market’s fears closely, and have contingency plans in place
should matters get worse. Yet to believe Moynihan, there’s nary a worry from
them. When asked by one analyst during the company’s earnings conference
call this week whether there was any “pressure to raise capital from a
regulatory side of things,” Moynihan replied, simply, “no.”
Continued in artocle
Jensen Comment
This reminds me of the great, great video of Frank Portnoy's explanation of how
CitiBank's financial statements were bogus before the Government had to bail out
Citi.
Abusive off-balance sheet accounting was a major
cause of the financial crisis. These abuses triggered a daisy chain of
dysfunctional decision-making by removing transparency from investors,
markets, and regulators. Off-balance sheet accounting facilitating the
spread of the bad loans, securitizations, and derivative transactions that
brought the financial system to the brink of collapse.
As in the 1920s, the balance sheets of major
corporations recently failed to provide a clear picture of the financial
health of those entities. Banks in particular have become predisposed to
narrow the size of their balance sheets, because investors and regulators
use the balance sheet as an anchor in their assessment of risk. Banks use
financial engineering to make it appear that they are better capitalized and
less risky than they really are. Most people and businesses include all of
their assets and liabilities on their balance sheets. But large financial
institutions do not.
Lynn Turner has the unique
perspective of having been the Chief Accountant of the Securities and
Exchange Commission, a member of boards of public companies, a trustee of a
mutual fund and a public pension fund, a professor of accounting, a partner
in one of the major international auditing firms, the managing director of a
research firm and a chief financial officers and an executive in industry.
In 2007, Treasury Secretary Paulson appointed him to the Treasury Committee
on the Auditing Profession. He currently serves as a senior advisor to LECG,
an international forensics and economic consulting firm.
The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not
necessarily reflect the positions of the Roosevelt Institute, its officers,
or its directors.
With all
of the bad weather here in the East, this aging number cruncher has had his
hands full with scraping and shoveling. But I just had to take a break and
comment on Twitter’s recent Form 8-K (February 5, 2014), particularly given
the Company CEO’s comments last Fall on the importance of transparency to
being a good leader.
According to
Kurt Wagner of Mashable, CEO Dick Costolo said the
following about transparency at a TechCrunch Disrupt event last September:
The way you build trust
with your people is by being forthright and clear with them from day
one. You may think people are fooled when you tell them what they want
to hear. They are not fooled. As a leader, people are always looking at
you. Don't lose their trust by failing to provide transparency in your
decisions and critiques.
Well, when you go “on the record” about one
of my favorite themes, I just had to give Twitter’s 8-K a look. And what did
I find? Apparently, Twitter’s CFO does not share the same
transparency philosophy as his boss.
But before I
begin, I thought it useful to report on the accuracy of some predictions
that I made about Twitter’s financial performance before the Company’s IPO.
In “What
Will Twitter’s Financials Really Tell Us?”,
I took a shot at forecasting the Company’s post-IPO balance sheet using a
comp group consisting of Facebook, Sina Corp, Yelp Inc., and Meetme Inc. And
while the average revenue to assets percentage for this comp group (46.84%)
yielded total assets of only $1.3 billion instead of $3.4 billion, the
forecasted balance sheet category percentages were quite close as
illustrated in the following table:
SUMMARY: The point of this opinion page piece by the former
chairman of the FDIC is that "capital-ratio rules...[lead to the view that]
fully collateralized loans are considered riskier than derivatives
positions.... The recent Senate report on the J.P. Morgan Chase 'London
Whale' trading debacle revealed emails, telephone conversations and other
evidence of how Chase managers manipulated their internal risk models to
boost the bank's regulatory capital ratios.... [B]ecause regulators allow
banks to use a process called 'risk weighting,' [banks] raise their capital
ratios by characterizing the assets they hold as 'low risk.'" Ms. Bair goes
on to describe the process of asset measurement by comparing risk-weighted
to "accounting-based" assets.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a class when
introducing fair value disclosures, accounting for derivatives, financial
statement analysis for banking, or just the various asset valuation methods
that may be used as identified in the U.S. FASB's or IASB's Conceptual
Framework.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Who is Sheila Bair? What is Ms. Bair's concern
with bank regulation and banks' capital ratios? In your answer, define the
latter term.
2. (Advanced) Define the contents of a bank's balance sheet:
identify major assets, major liabilities, and the types of capital, or
shareholders' equity you expect to see on a bank balance sheet.
3. (Advanced) "On average, the three big universal banking
companies (J.P. Morgan Chase, Bank of America and Citigroup) risk-weight
their assets at only 55% of their total assets. For every trillion dollars
in accounting assets, these megabanks calculate their capital ratio as if
the assets represented only $550 billion of risk." How is it possible that
total assets as reported in a bank balance sheet only contain risk
representing a little more than half of their reported amounts?
4. (Advanced) What are the different valuation methods that may be
used for a bank's assets-in fact, for any company's assets? Cite
authoritative literature from a conceptual framework discussing the use of
these valuation methods and the types of assets for which they should be
used.
5. (Advanced) What are the three levels of determining fair values
for which accounting standards require different types of disclosure? For
which of these categories of assets is Ms. Bair concerned about bank's risk
assessment? (Note that the bank regulatory capital requirements are
different from the accounting disclosure requirements for assets reported at
fair values.)
6. (Advanced) Refer to the related article. Who was the London
Whale and how did his and his manager's actions show that valuation models
can be manipulated?
7. (Advanced) Refer again to the London Whale. How do "capital
regulations create incentives for even legitimate models to be manipulated,"
as stated by Ms. Bair?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The recent Senate report on the J.P. Morgan Chase
JPM +0.21% "London Whale" trading debacle revealed emails, telephone
conversations and other evidence of how Chase managers manipulated their
internal risk models to boost the bank's regulatory capital ratios. Risk
models are common and certainly not illegal. Nevertheless, their use in
bolstering a bank's capital ratios can give the public a false sense of
security about the stability of the nation's largest financial institutions.
Capital ratios (also called capital adequacy
ratios) reflect the percentage of a bank's assets that are funded with
equity and are a key barometer of the institution's financial strength—they
measure the bank's ability to absorb losses and still remain solvent. This
should be a simple measure, but it isn't. That's because regulators allow
banks to use a process called "risk weighting," which allows them to raise
their capital ratios by characterizing the assets they hold as "low risk."
For instance, as part of the Federal Reserve's
recent stress test, the Bank of America BAC +0.33% reported to the Federal
Reserve that its capital ratio is 11.4%. But that was a measure of the
bank's common equity as a percentage of the assets it holds as weighted by
their risk—which is much less than the value of these assets according to
accounting rules. Take out the risk-weighting adjustment, and its capital
ratio falls to 7.8%.
On average, the three big universal banking
companies (J.P. Morgan Chase, Bank of America and Citigroup C +0.75% )
risk-weight their assets at only 55% of their total assets. For every
trillion dollars in accounting assets, these megabanks calculate their
capital ratio as if the assets represented only $550 billion of risk.
As we learned during the 2008 financial crisis,
financial models can be unreliable. Their assumptions about the risk of
steep declines in housing prices were fatally flawed, causing catastrophic
drops in the value of mortgage-backed securities. And now the London Whale
episode has shown how capital regulations create incentives for even
legitimate models to be manipulated.
According to the evidence compiled by the Senate
Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, the Chase staff was able to
magically cut the risks of the Whale's trades in half. Of course, they also
camouflaged the true dangers in those trades.
The ease with which models can be manipulated
results in wildly divergent risk-weightings among banks with similar
portfolios. Ironically, the government permits a bank to use its own
internal models to help determine the riskiness of assets, such as
securities and derivatives, which are held for trading—but not to determine
the riskiness of good old-fashioned loans. The risk weights of loans are
determined by regulation and generally subject to tougher capital treatment.
As a result, financial institutions with large trading books can have less
capital and still report higher capital ratios than traditional banks whose
portfolios consist primarily of loans.
Compare, for instance, the risk-based ratios of
Morgan Stanley, MS 0.00% an investment bank that has struggled since the
crisis, and U.S. Bancorp, USB 0.00% a traditional commercial lender that has
been one of the industry's best performers. According to the Fed's latest
stress test, Morgan Stanley reported a risk-based capital ratio of nearly
14%; take out the risk weighting and its ratio drops to 7%. USB has a
risk-based ratio of about 9%, virtually the same as its ratio on a non-risk
weighted basis.
In the U.S. and most other countries, banks can
also load up on their own country's government-backed debt and treat it as
having zero risk. Many banks in distressed European nations have
aggressively purchased their country's government debt to enhance their
risk-based capital ratios.
In addition, if a bank buys the debt of another
bank, it only needs to include 20% of the accounting value of those holdings
for determining its capital requirements—but it must include 100% of the
value of bonds of a commercial issuer. The rules governing capital ratios
treat Citibank's debt as having one-fifth the risk of IBM IBM -0.05% 's. In
a financial system that is already far too interconnected, it defies reason
that regulators give banks such strong capital incentives to invest in each
other.
Regulators need to use a simple, effective ratio as
the main determinant of a bank's capital strength and go back to the drawing
board on risk-weighting assets. It does make sense to look at the riskiness
of banks' assets in determining the adequacy of its capital. But the current
rules are upside down, providing more generous treatment of derivatives
trading than fully collateralized small-business lending.
The main argument megabanks advance against a tough
capital ratio is that it would force them to raise more capital and hurt the
economic recovery. But the megabanks aren't doing much new lending. Since
the crisis, they have piled up excess reserves and expanded their securities
and derivatives positions—where they get a capital break—while loans, which
are subject to tougher capital rules, have remained nearly flat.
Goldman Sachs,
Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan
Chase, Bank of America and
Citigroup are the big names among
18 banks revealed by data from the Federal Reserve
Bank of New York to be hiding their risk levels in
the past five quarters by lowering the amount of
leverage on the balance sheet before making it
available to the public, The Wall Street Journal
reported.
The Federal
Reserve’s data shows that, in the middle of
successive quarters, when debt levels are not in the
public domain, that banks would acknowledge debt
levels higher by an average of 42 percent, The
Journal says.
“You want your leverage to
look better at quarter-end than it actually was
during the quarter, to suggest that you’re taking
less risk,” William Tanona, a former Goldman analyst
and head of financial research in the United States
at Collins Stewart, told The
Journal.
The newspaper suggests this
practice is a symptom of the 2008 crisis in which
banks were harmed by their high levels of debt and
risk. The worry is that a bank displaying too much
risk might see its stocks and credit ratings suffer.
There is nothing illegal
about the practice, though it means that much of the
time investors can have little idea of the risks the
any bank is really taking.
Lehman/Ernst Teaching Case on the Largest Bankruptcy in History
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 19, 2010
SUMMARY: "A
federal judge released a scathing report on the collapse of Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc. that singles out senior executives, auditor Ernst & Young and
other investment banks for serious lapses that led to the largest bankruptcy
in U.S. history...." The report focuses on the use of "repos" to improve the
appearance of Lehman's financial condition as it worsened with the market
declines beginning in 2007. "Mr Valukus, chairman of law firm Jenner &
Block, devotes more than 300 pages alone to balance sheet manipulation..."
through repo transactions. As explained more fully in the related articles,
repurchase agreements are transactions in which assets are sold under the
agreement that they will be repurchased within days. Yet, when Lehman
exchanged assets with a value greater than 105% of the cash received for
them, the company would report it as an outright sale of the asset, not a
loan, thus reducing the firms apparent leverage. These transactions were
based on a legal opinion of the propriety of this treatment made for their
European operations, but the company never received such an opinion letter
in the U.S., so Lehman transferred assets to Europe in order to execute the
trades. The second related article clarifies these issues. Of course, this
was but one significant problem; other forces helped to "tip Leham over the
brink" into bankruptcy including J.P. Morgan Chases' "demands for collateral
and modifications to agreements...that hurt Lehman's liquidity...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
questions ask students to understand repurchase agreements and cases in
which financing (borrowing) transactions might alternatively be treated as
sales. The role of the auditor, in this case Ernst & Young, also is
highlighted in the article and in the questions in this review.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What report was issued in March 2010 regarding Lehman Brothers? Summarize
some main points about the report.
2. (Advanced)
Based on the discussion in the main and first related articles, describe the
"repo market'. What is the business purpose of these transactions?
3. (Advanced)
How did Lehman Brothers use repo transactions to improve its balance sheet?
Note: be sure to refer to the related articles as some points in the main
article emphasize the impact of removing the assets that are subject to the
repo agreements from the balance sheet. The main point of your discussion
should focus on what else might have been credited in the entries to record
these transactions.
4. (Introductory)
Refer to the second related article. What was the role of Lehman's auditor
in assessing the repo transactions? What questions have been asked of this
firm and how has E&Y responded?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A scathing report by a U.S. bankruptcy-court
examiner investigating the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. blames
senior executives and auditor Ernst & Young for serious lapses that led to
the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history and the worst financial crisis since
the Great Depression.
In the works for more than a year, and costing more
than $30 million, the report by court-appointed examiner Anton Valukas
paints the most complete picture yet of the free-wheeling culture inside the
158 year-old firm, whose chief executive Richard S. Fuld Jr. prided himself
on his ability to manage market risk.
The document runs thousands of pages and contains
fresh allegations. In particular, it alleges that Lehman executives
manipulated its balance sheet, withheld information from the board, and
inflated the value of toxic real estate assets.
Lehman chose to "disregard or overrule the firm's
risk controls on a regular basis,'' even as the credit and real-estate
markets were showing signs of strain, the report said.
In one instance from May 2008, a Lehman senior vice
president alerted management to potential accounting irregularities, a
warning the report says was ignored by Lehman auditors Ernst & Young and
never raised with the firm's board.
The allegations of accounting manipulation and
risk-control abuses potentially could influence pending criminal and civil
investigations into Lehman and its executives. The Manhattan and Brooklyn
U.S. attorney's offices are investigating, among other things, whether
former Lehman executives misled investors about the firm's financial picture
before it filed for bankruptcy protection, and whether Lehman improperly
valued its real-estate assets, people familiar with the matter have said.
The examiner said in the report that throughout the
investigation it conducted regular weekly calls with the Securities and
Exchange Commission and Department of Justice. There have been no
prosecutions of Lehman executives to date.
Several factors helped to tip Lehman over the brink
in its final days, Mr. Valukas wrote. Investment banks, including J.P.
Morgan Chase & Co., made demands for collateral and modified agreements with
Lehman that hurt Lehman's liquidity and pushed it into bankruptcy.
Lehman's own global financial controller, Martin
Kelly, told the examiner that "the only purpose or motive for the
transactions was reduction in balance sheet" and "there was no substance to
the transactions." Mr. Kelly said he warned former Lehman finance chiefs
Erin Callan and Ian Lowitt about the maneuver, saying the transactions posed
"reputational risk" to Lehman if their use became publicly known.
In an interview with the examiner, senior Lehman
Chief Operating Officer Bart McDade said he had detailed discussions with
Mr. Fuld about the transactions and that Mr. Fuld knew about the accounting
treatment.
In an April 2008 email, Mr. McDade called such
accounting maneuvers "another drug we r on." Mr. McDade, then Lehman's
equities chief, says he sought to limit such maneuvers, according to the
report. Mr. McDade couldn't be reached to comment.
In a November 2009 interview with the examiner, Mr.
Fuld said he had no recollection of Lehman's use of Repo 105 transactions
but that if he had known about them he would have been concerned, according
to the report.
Mr. Valukas's report is among the largest
undertaking of its kind. Those singled out in the report won't face
immediate repercussions. Rather, the report provides a type of road map for
Lehman's bankruptcy estate, creditors and other authorities to pursue
possible actions against former Lehman executives, the bank's auditors and
others involved in the financial titan's collapse.
One party singled out in the report is Lehman's
audit firm, Ernst & Young, which allegedly didn't raise concerns with
Lehman's board about the frequent use of the repo transactions. E&Y met with
Lehman's Board Audit Committee on June 13, one day after Lehman senior vice
president Matthew Lee raised questions about the frequent use of the
transactions.
"Ernst & Young took no steps to question or
challenge the nondisclosure by Lehman of its use of $50 billion of
temporary, off-balance sheet transactions," Mr. Valukas wrote.
In a statement, Mr. Fuld's lawyer, Patricia Hynes,
said, "Mr. Fuld did not know what those transactions were—he didn't
structure or negotiate them, nor was he aware of their accounting
treatment."
An Ernst & Young statement Thursday said Lehman's
collapse was caused by "a series of unprecedented adverse events in the
financial markets." It said Lehman's leverage ratios "were the
responsibility of management, not the auditor."
Ms. Callan didn't respond to a request for comment.
An attorney for Mr. Lowitt said any suggestion he breached his duties was
"baseless." Mr. Kelly couldn't be reached Thursday evening.
As Lehman began to unravel in mid-2008, investors
began to focus their attention on the billions of dollars in commercial real
estate and private-equity loans on Lehman's books.
The report said that while Lehman was required to
report its inventory "at fair value," a price it would receive if the asset
were hypothetically sold, Lehman "progressively relied on its judgment to
determine the fair value of such assets."
Between December 2006 and December 2007, Lehman
tripled its firmwide risk appetite.
But its risk exposure was even larger, according to
the report, considering that Lehman omitted "some of its largest risks from
its risk usage calculations" including the $2.3 billion bridge equity loan
it provided for Tishman Speyer's $22.2 billion take over of apartment
company Archstone Smith Trust. The late 2007 deal, which occurred as the
commercial-property market was cresting, led to big losses for Lehman.
Lehman eventually added the Archstone loan to its
risk usage profile. But rather than reducing its balance sheet to compensate
for the additional risk, it simply raised its risk limit again, the report
said.
SUMMARY: Federal
regulators are poised to propose new disclosure rules targeting "window
dressing...." The SEC "...is expected to issue proposal for public comment.
The action follows a Wall Street Journal investigation...of financial data
fro 18 large banks...[which] showed that, as a group, they have consistently
lowered debt at the end of each of the past six quarters, reducing it on
average by 42% from quarterly peaks."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article can be used to discuss window dressing beyond the banking sector, to
discuss current reactions to the financial crisis, and to discuss leverage
and debt levels.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced)
Define window dressing, going beyond what is offered in this article. Is
this issue found in other industries beyond banking?
2. (Advanced)
What has been the nature of the window dressing issue in the banking
industry? Include in your answer an explanation of the chart "Masking Risk"
associated with the article.
3. (Introductory)
According to the article, what prompted banks to undertake these window
dressing activities?
4. (Introductory)
How have banks reacted to this WSJ report on window dressing?
5. (Introductory)
What is the SEC proposing to do to improve financial reporting in order to
address this issue?
6. (Advanced)
Do you think the SEC's plan is adequate to address this issue? In your
answer, comment on the nature of items included on the face of the balance
sheet versus those disclosed in the financial statement footnotes.
7. (Advanced)
Describe a transaction that will help "window dress" financial statements
for quarter end or year end reporting.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Federal regulators are poised to propose new
disclosure rules targeting "window dressing," a practice undertaken by some
large banks to temporarily lower their debt levels before reporting finances
to the public.
The Securities and Exchange Commission is scheduled
to take up the matter at a meeting Friday and is expected to issue proposals
for public comment. The action follows a Wall Street Journal investigation
into the practice, which isn't illegal but masks banks' true levels of
borrowing and risk-taking.
A Journal analysis of financial data from 18 large
banks known as primary dealers showed that as a group, they have
consistently lowered debt at the end of each of the past six quarters,
reducing it on average by 42% from quarterly peaks.
The practice suggests the banks are carrying more
risk than is apparent to their investors or customers, who only see the
levels recorded on the companies' quarterly balance sheets.
The SEC focus comes two years after the peak of the
financial panic, which was exacerbated by high levels of borrowing by the
nation's banks.
Since then, heightened scrutiny from regulators and
investors has prompted banks to be more sensitive about showing high debt
levels.
The SEC is expected to propose rules requiring
greater disclosure from banks and other companies about their short-term
borrowings.
The agency's staff has been considering whether
banks should be required to provide more frequent disclosure of their
average borrowings, which would give a better picture of their debt
throughout a quarterly period than do period-end figures.
An SEC spokesman declined to comment.
Short-term borrowing pumps up risk-taking by banks,
allowing them to make bigger trading bets.
Currently, banks are required to disclose their
average borrowings only annually, and nonfinancial companies aren't required
to disclose their average borrowings at all.
Last month, Sen. Robert Menendez, a New Jersey
Democrat, and five other senators urged the agency to require more
disclosure so the public could see if a company tried to dress up its
quarterly borrowings.
"Rather than relying on carefully staged quarterly
and annual snapshots, investors and creditors should have access to a
complete real-life picture of a company's financial situation," the senators
wrote to SEC Chairman Mary Schapiro, citing the Journal articles, among
other things.
Ms. Schapiro, through a spokesman, declined to
comment. Mr. Menendez's office didn't return a call.
Some large banks, including Bank of America Corp.
and Citigroup Inc., frequently have lowered their levels of repurchase
agreements, a key type of short-term borrowing, at the ends of fiscal
quarters, then boosted those "repo" levels again after the next quarter
began.
The banks have said they are doing nothing wrong,
and that the fluctuations in their balance sheets reflect the needs of their
clients and market conditions.
But the practices suggest the banks are more
leveraged and carry more risk during periods when that information isn't
disclosed to the public.
At Friday's meeting, the SEC also will consider
additional guidance for companies about what they should disclose about
borrowing practices in the "Management's Discussion and Analysis" sections
of their securities filings.
In the wake of the financial crisis, the SEC's
staff has been taking a fresh look at companies' disclosures in these "MD&A"
sections about liquidity and capital resources.
In the SEC staff's view, balance-sheet fluctuations
can happen for legitimate reasons, and the important thing is disclosing
them to investors when they are material.
Concern about hidden risk-taking by banks was
heightened after a March report about the collapse of Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc.
A bankruptcy-court examiner said Lehman had used a
repo-accounting strategy dubbed "Repo 105" to take $50 billion in assets off
its balance sheet and make its finances look healthier than they were.
The SEC later asked major banks for data about
their repo accounting. SEC Chief Accountant James Kroeker said in May that
the commission's effort hadn't uncovered widespread inappropriate practices.
Still, both Bank of America and Citigroup found
errors in their repo accounting that amounted to billions of dollars, though
these were relatively small in the context of their giant balance sheets.
An investigation by the SEC's enforcement division
into Lehman's collapse is zeroing in on this Repo 105 accounting maneuver,
according to people familiar with the situation.
In an April congressional hearing, Rep. Gregory W.
Meeks, a New York Democrat, asked Ms. Schapiro about the Journal's findings
regarding banks' end-of-quarter debt reductions.
"It appears investment banks are temporarily
lowering risk when they have to report results, [then] they're leveraging up
with additional risk right after," Mr. Meeks said. "So my question is: Is
that still being tolerated today by regulators, especially in light of what
took place with reference to Lehman?"
Ms. Schapiro said the commission is gathering
detailed information from large banks, "so that we don't just have them
dress up the balance sheet for quarter end and then have dramatic increases
during the course of the quarter."
Jensen Comment
One of my heroes is former Coopers partner and SEC Chief Accountant Lynn Turner.
My two heroes, Turner and Partnoy, write about how bank financial statements
should be classified under "Fiction."
Frank
Partnoy and Lynn Turner contend that bank accounting is an exercise in writing
fiction:
Watch the video! (a bit slow loading)
Lynn Turner is Partnoy's co-author of the white paper "Make Markets Be Markets"
"Bring Transparency to Off-Balance Sheet Accounting," by Frank Partnoy,
Roosevelt Institute, March 2010 --- http://www.rooseveltinstitute.org/policy-and-ideas/ideas-database/bring-transparency-balance-sheet-accounting
Watch the great video!
Lehman/Ernst Teaching Case on the Largest Bankruptcy in History
March 18, 2010 reply from Bob Jensen
Dear Jim,
The Repo 105 issue was more like having a poisoned CDO bond worth $1 that
you sell for $1,000 with a guaranteed buyback in a week for $1,005. That way
you report a sale for $1,000, an asset of $0 in the balance sheet for a
“sold investment,” and $0 for the liability to buy it back. Sounds like a
bad economic deal and a great OBSF ploy. Of course it’s not necessarily
boosting earnings if you paid more than $1,000 for the CDO cookie crumbles
in the first place in the first place.
But it sure beats writing investments down from $1,000 to a $1.
Ernst and Young claims using these contracts to keep billions of dollars
of poison investments and unbooked debt out of the financial statements
result fairly present the financial status of sales and liabilities in the
financial statements.
Do our Accounting 101 and Auditing 101 students concur?
God help this profession if our students side with Ernst & Young!
Frank Partnoy and Lynn Turner contend that Wall Street bank accounting is
an exercise in writing fiction:
Watch the video! (a bit slow loading)
Lynn Turner is Partnoy's co-author of the white paper."Make Markets Be Markets"
"Bring Transparency to Off-Balance Sheet Accounting," by Frank Partnoy,
Roosevelt Institute, March 2010 ---
http://www.rooseveltinstitute.org/policy-and-ideas/ideas-database/bring-transparency-balance-sheet-accounting
Watch the video!
Bob Jensen
Lehman/Ernst Teaching Case on the Largest Bankruptcy in History
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 19, 2010
SUMMARY: "A
federal judge released a scathing report on the collapse of Lehman Brothers
Holdings Inc. that singles out senior executives, auditor Ernst & Young and
other investment banks for serious lapses that led to the largest bankruptcy
in U.S. history...." The report focuses on the use of "repos" to improve the
appearance of Lehman's financial condition as it worsened with the market
declines beginning in 2007. "Mr Valukus, chairman of law firm Jenner &
Block, devotes more than 300 pages alone to balance sheet manipulation..."
through repo transactions. As explained more fully in the related articles,
repurchase agreements are transactions in which assets are sold under the
agreement that they will be repurchased within days. Yet, when Lehman
exchanged assets with a value greater than 105% of the cash received for
them, the company would report it as an outright sale of the asset, not a
loan, thus reducing the firms apparent leverage. These transactions were
based on a legal opinion of the propriety of this treatment made for their
European operations, but the company never received such an opinion letter
in the U.S., so Lehman transferred assets to Europe in order to execute the
trades. The second related article clarifies these issues. Of course, this
was but one significant problem; other forces helped to "tip Leham over the
brink" into bankruptcy including J.P. Morgan Chases' "demands for collateral
and modifications to agreements...that hurt Lehman's liquidity...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
questions ask students to understand repurchase agreements and cases in
which financing (borrowing) transactions might alternatively be treated as
sales. The role of the auditor, in this case Ernst & Young, also is
highlighted in the article and in the questions in this review.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What report was issued in March 2010 regarding Lehman Brothers? Summarize
some main points about the report.
2. (Advanced)
Based on the discussion in the main and first related articles, describe the
"repo market'. What is the business purpose of these transactions?
3. (Advanced)
How did Lehman Brothers use repo transactions to improve its balance sheet?
Note: be sure to refer to the related articles as some points in the main
article emphasize the impact of removing the assets that are subject to the
repo agreements from the balance sheet. The main point of your discussion
should focus on what else might have been credited in the entries to record
these transactions.
4. (Introductory)
Refer to the second related article. What was the role of Lehman's auditor
in assessing the repo transactions? What questions have been asked of this
firm and how has E&Y responded?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A scathing report by a U.S. bankruptcy-court
examiner investigating the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. blames
senior executives and auditor Ernst & Young for serious lapses that led to
the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history and the worst financial crisis since
the Great Depression.
In the works for more than a year, and costing more
than $30 million, the report by court-appointed examiner Anton Valukas
paints the most complete picture yet of the free-wheeling culture inside the
158 year-old firm, whose chief executive Richard S. Fuld Jr. prided himself
on his ability to manage market risk.
The document runs thousands of pages and contains
fresh allegations. In particular, it alleges that Lehman executives
manipulated its balance sheet, withheld information from the board, and
inflated the value of toxic real estate assets.
Lehman chose to "disregard or overrule the firm's
risk controls on a regular basis,'' even as the credit and real-estate
markets were showing signs of strain, the report said.
In one instance from May 2008, a Lehman senior vice
president alerted management to potential accounting irregularities, a
warning the report says was ignored by Lehman auditors Ernst & Young and
never raised with the firm's board.
The allegations of accounting manipulation and
risk-control abuses potentially could influence pending criminal and civil
investigations into Lehman and its executives. The Manhattan and Brooklyn
U.S. attorney's offices are investigating, among other things, whether
former Lehman executives misled investors about the firm's financial picture
before it filed for bankruptcy protection, and whether Lehman improperly
valued its real-estate assets, people familiar with the matter have said.
The examiner said in the report that throughout the
investigation it conducted regular weekly calls with the Securities and
Exchange Commission and Department of Justice. There have been no
prosecutions of Lehman executives to date.
Several factors helped to tip Lehman over the brink
in its final days, Mr. Valukas wrote. Investment banks, including J.P.
Morgan Chase & Co., made demands for collateral and modified agreements with
Lehman that hurt Lehman's liquidity and pushed it into bankruptcy.
Lehman's own global financial controller, Martin
Kelly, told the examiner that "the only purpose or motive for the
transactions was reduction in balance sheet" and "there was no substance to
the transactions." Mr. Kelly said he warned former Lehman finance chiefs
Erin Callan and Ian Lowitt about the maneuver, saying the transactions posed
"reputational risk" to Lehman if their use became publicly known.
In an interview with the examiner, senior Lehman
Chief Operating Officer Bart McDade said he had detailed discussions with
Mr. Fuld about the transactions and that Mr. Fuld knew about the accounting
treatment.
In an April 2008 email, Mr. McDade called such
accounting maneuvers "another drug we r on." Mr. McDade, then Lehman's
equities chief, says he sought to limit such maneuvers, according to the
report. Mr. McDade couldn't be reached to comment.
In a November 2009 interview with the examiner, Mr.
Fuld said he had no recollection of Lehman's use of Repo 105 transactions
but that if he had known about them he would have been concerned, according
to the report.
Mr. Valukas's report is among the largest
undertaking of its kind. Those singled out in the report won't face
immediate repercussions. Rather, the report provides a type of road map for
Lehman's bankruptcy estate, creditors and other authorities to pursue
possible actions against former Lehman executives, the bank's auditors and
others involved in the financial titan's collapse.
One party singled out in the report is Lehman's
audit firm, Ernst & Young, which allegedly didn't raise concerns with
Lehman's board about the frequent use of the repo transactions. E&Y met with
Lehman's Board Audit Committee on June 13, one day after Lehman senior vice
president Matthew Lee raised questions about the frequent use of the
transactions.
"Ernst & Young took no steps to question or
challenge the nondisclosure by Lehman of its use of $50 billion of
temporary, off-balance sheet transactions," Mr. Valukas wrote.
In a statement, Mr. Fuld's lawyer, Patricia Hynes,
said, "Mr. Fuld did not know what those transactions were—he didn't
structure or negotiate them, nor was he aware of their accounting
treatment."
An Ernst & Young statement Thursday said Lehman's
collapse was caused by "a series of unprecedented adverse events in the
financial markets." It said Lehman's leverage ratios "were the
responsibility of management, not the auditor."
Ms. Callan didn't respond to a request for comment.
An attorney for Mr. Lowitt said any suggestion he breached his duties was
"baseless." Mr. Kelly couldn't be reached Thursday evening.
As Lehman began to unravel in mid-2008, investors
began to focus their attention on the billions of dollars in commercial real
estate and private-equity loans on Lehman's books.
The report said that while Lehman was required to
report its inventory "at fair value," a price it would receive if the asset
were hypothetically sold, Lehman "progressively relied on its judgment to
determine the fair value of such assets."
Between December 2006 and December 2007, Lehman
tripled its firmwide risk appetite.
But its risk exposure was even larger, according to
the report, considering that Lehman omitted "some of its largest risks from
its risk usage calculations" including the $2.3 billion bridge equity loan
it provided for Tishman Speyer's $22.2 billion take over of apartment
company Archstone Smith Trust. The late 2007 deal, which occurred as the
commercial-property market was cresting, led to big losses for Lehman.
Lehman eventually added the Archstone loan to its
risk usage profile. But rather than reducing its balance sheet to compensate
for the additional risk, it simply raised its risk limit again, the report
said.
SUMMARY: This article
focuses on the issues facing Arthur Andersen now that their work on
the Enron audit has become the subject of an SEC investigation. The
on-line version of the article provides three questions that are
attributed to "some accounting professors." The questions in this
review expand on those three provided in the article.
QUESTIONS:
1.) The first question the SEC might ask of Enron's auditors is
"were financial statement disclosures regarding Enron's transactions
too opaque to understand?" Are financial statement disclosures
required to be understandable? To whom? Who is responsible for
ensuring a certain level of understandability?
2.) Another question that
the SEC could consider is whether Andersen auditors were aware that
certain off-balance-sheet partnerships should have been consolidated
into Enron's balance sheet, as they were in the company's recent
restatement. How could the auditors have been "unaware" that certain
entities should have been consolidated? What is the SEC's concern
with whether or not the auditors were aware of the need for
consolidation?
3.) A third question that
the SEC could ask is, "Did Andersen auditors knowingly sign off on
some 'immaterial' accounting violations, ignoring that they
collectively distorted Enron's results?" Again, what is the SEC's
concern with whether Andersen was aware of the collective impact of
the accounting errors? Should Andersen have been aware of the
collective amount of impact of these errors? What steps would you
suggest in order to assess this issue?
4.) The article finishes
with a discussion of expected Congressional hearings into Enron's
accounting practices and into the accounting and auditing standards
setting process in general. What concern is there that the FASB "has
been working on a project for more than a decade to tighten the
rules governing when companies must consolidate certain off-balance
sheet 'special purpose entities'"?
5.) In general, how
stringent are accounting and auditing requirements in the U.S.
relative to other countries' standards? Are accounting standards in
other countries set in the same way as in the U.S.? If not, who
establishes standards? What incentives would the U.S. Congress have
to establish a law-based system if they become convinced that our
private sector standards setting practices are inadequate? Are you
concerned about having accounting and reporting standards
established by law?
6.) The article describes
revenue recognition practices at Enron that were based on "noncash
unrealized gains." What standard allows, even requires, this
practice? Why does the author state, "to date, the accounting
standards board has given energy traders almost boundless latitude
to value their energy contracts as they see fit"?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman,
University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
From the Free
Wall Street Journal Educators' Reviews for December 20, 2001
TITLE: Enron Debacle Spurs
Calls for Controls
REPORTER: Michael Schroeder
DATE: Dec 14, 2001
PAGE: A4
LINK:
http://interactive.wsj.com/archive/retrieve.cgi?id=SB1008282666768929080.djm
TOPICS: Accounting Fraud, Accounting, Accounting Irregularities,
Auditing, Auditing Services, Disclosure, Disclosure Requirements,
Fraudulent Financial Reporting, Securities and Exchange Commission
SUMMARY: In light of
Enron's financial reporting irregularities and subsequent bankruptcy
filing, Capitol Hill and the SEC are considering new measures aimed
at improving financial reporting and oversight of accounting firms.
Related articles discuss additional regulation that is being
considered as a result of this reporting debacle.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Briefly describe Enron's questionable accounting practices. What
accounting changes are being proposed in light of the Enron case?
Certainly this is not the first incidence of questionable financial
reporting. Why is the reaction to the Enron case so extreme?
2.) Discuss Representative
Paul Kanjorski's view of regulation of the accounting profession.
What system of accounting regulation is currently in place? Discuss
the advantages and disadvantages of both private-sector and
public-sector regulation.
3.) What changes are
proposed in the related article, "The Enron Debacle Spotlights Huge
Void in Financial Regulation?" Do these changes strictly relate to
financial reporting issues? Are operational decisions or financial
reporting decisions responsible for Enron's current financial
position?
4.) In the related article,
"Enron May Spur Attention to Accounting at Funds," it is argued that
fund managers will "start taking a more skeptical view of annual
reports or footnotes . . . they don't understand." Are you surprised
by this comment? Do you blame accounting for producing confusing
financial reports or the fund managers for investing in companies
with confusing financial reports?
SUMMARY: In addition to
auditing Enron's financial statements, Arthur Andersen LLP also
provided internal-auditing and consulting services to Enron.
Providing additional services to Enron raises questions about
Andersen's independence.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is independence-in-fact? What is
independence-in-appearance? Did Andersen violate either
independence-in-fact or independence-in-appearance? Why or why not?
2.) If Enron had made good
business decisions and had continued reporting positive financial
results, would we be discussing Andersen's independence with respect
to Enron? Why do we wait until something bad happens to become
concerned?
3.) Do you think providing
internal auditing and consulting services gave Andersen a better
understanding of Enron's business and operations? Should additional
understanding of the business and operations enable Andersen to
provide a "better" audit? What was wrong with Andersen providing
consulting and internal-audit services to Enron?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman,
University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
Abusive off-balance sheet accounting was a major
cause of the financial crisis. These abuses triggered a daisy chain of
dysfunctional decision-making by removing transparency from investors,
markets, and regulators. Off-balance sheet accounting facilitating the
spread of the bad loans, securitizations, and derivative transactions that
brought the financial system to the brink of collapse.
As in the 1920s, the balance sheets of major
corporations recently failed to provide a clear picture of the financial
health of those entities. Banks in particular have become predisposed to
narrow the size of their balance sheets, because investors and regulators
use the balance sheet as an anchor in their assessment of risk. Banks use
financial engineering to make it appear that they are better capitalized and
less risky than they really are. Most people and businesses include all of
their assets and liabilities on their balance sheets. But large financial
institutions do not.
Lynn Turner has the unique
perspective of having been the Chief Accountant of the Securities and
Exchange Commission, a member of boards of public companies, a trustee of a
mutual fund and a public pension fund, a professor of accounting, a partner
in one of the major international auditing firms, the managing director of a
research firm and a chief financial officers and an executive in industry.
In 2007, Treasury Secretary Paulson appointed him to the Treasury Committee
on the Auditing Profession. He currently serves as a senior advisor to LECG,
an international forensics and economic consulting firm.
The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not
necessarily reflect the positions of the Roosevelt Institute, its officers,
or its directors.
The buzz on the Lehman
bankruptcy examiner’s report has focused on Repo 105, for good reason. That
scheme is one powerful example of how the balance sheets of major Wall Street
banks are fiction. It also shows why Congress must include real accounting
reform in its financial legislation, or risk another collapse. (If you have 8
minutes to kill, here is my
recent talk on the off-balance sheet problem,
from the Roosevelt Institute financial conference.)
But an even more troubling section of the Lehman report is not
Volume 3 on Repo 105. It is Volume 2, on
Valuation. The Valuation section is 500 pages of utterly terrifying reading. It
shows that, even eighteen months after Lehman’s collapse, no one – not the
bankruptcy examiner, not Lehman’s internal valuation experts, not Ernst and
Young, and certainly not the regulators – could figure out what many of Lehman’s
assets and liabilities were worth. It shows Lehman was too complex to do
anything but fail.
The report cites
extensive evidence of valuation problems. Check out page 577, where the report
concludes that Lehman’s high credit default swap valuations were reasonable
because Citigroup’s marks were ONLY 8% lower than Lehman’s. 8%? And since when
are Citigroup’s valuations the objective benchmark?
Or page 547, where the
report describes how Lehman’s so-called “Product Control Group” acted like
Keystone Kops: the group used third-party prices for only 10% of Lehman’s CDO
positions, and deferred to the traders’ models, saying “We’re not quants.” Here
are two money quotes:
While the function of the
Product Control Group was to serve as a check on the
desk marks set by Lehman’s traders, the CDO product controllers were hampered in
two respects. First, the Product Control Group did not appear to have sufficient
resources to price test Lehman’s CDO positions comprehensively. Second, while
the
CDO product controllers were able to effectively verify the prices of many
positions
using trade data and third‐party prices, they did not have
the same level of quantitative sophistication as many of the desk personnel who
developed models to price CDOs. (page 547)
Or this one:
However, approximately a
quarter of Lehman’s CDO positions were not affirmatively priced by the Product
Control Group, but simply noted as ‘OK’ because the desk had already written
down the position significantly. (page 548)
My favorite section
describes the valuation of Ceago, Lehman’s largest CDO position. My corporate
finance students at the University of San Diego School of Law understand that
you should use higher discount rates for riskier projects. But the Valuation
section of the report found that with respect to Ceago, Lehman used LOWER
discount rates for the riskier tranches than for the safer ones:
The discount rates used
by Lehman’s Product Controllers were significantly understated. As stated, swap
rates were used for the discount rate on the Ceago subordinate tranches.
However, the resulting rates (approximately 3% to 4%) were significantly lower
than the approximately 9% discount rate used to value the more senior S tranche.
It is inappropriate to use a discount rate on a subordinate tranche that is
lower than the rate used on a senior tranche. (page 556)
It’s one thing to have
product controllers who aren’t “quants”; it’s quite another to have people in
crucial risk management roles who don’t understand present value.
When the examiner
compared Lehman’s marks on these lower tranches to more reliable valuation
estimates, it found that “the prices estimated for the C and D tranches of Ceago
securities are approximately one‐thirtieth of the price reported
by Lehman. (pages 560-61) One thirtieth? These valuations weren’t even close.
Ultimately, the examiner
concluded that these problems related to only a small portion of Lehman’s
overall portfolio. But that conclusion was due in part to the fact that the
examiner did not have the time or resources to examine many of Lehman’s
positions in detail (Lehman had 900,000 derivative positions in 2008, and the
examiner did not even try to value Lehman’s numerous corporate debt and equity
holdings).
The bankruptcy examiner
didn’t see enough to bring lawsuits. But the valuation section of the report
raises some hot-button issues for private parties and prosecutors. As the report
put it, there are issues that “may warrant further review by parties in
interest.”
For example, parties in
interest might want to look at the report’s section on Archstone, a publicly
traded REIT Lehman acquired in October 2007. Much ink has been spilled
criticizing the valuation of Archstone. Here is the Report’s finding (at page
361):
… there is sufficient
evidence to support a finding that Lehman’s valuations for its Archstone equity
positions were unreasonable beginning as of the end of the first quarter of
2008, and continuing through the end of the third quarter of 2008.
And Archstone is just one
of many examples.
The Repo 105 section of
the Lehman report shows that Lehman’s balance sheet was fiction. That was bad.
The Valuation section shows that Lehman’s approach to valuing assets and
liabilities was seriously flawed. That is worse. For a levered trading firm, to
not understand your economic position is to sign your own death warrant.
Selected works of FRANK
PARTNOY
Bob Jensen at Trinity University
1. Who is Frank Partnoy?
Cheryl Dunn requested that I do a review of my favorites
among the “books that have influenced [my] work.”
Immediately the succession of FIASCO books by
Frank Partnoy came to mind. These particular books are
not the best among related books by Wall Street whistle
blowers such as Liar's Poker: Playing the Money
Markets by Michael Lewis in 1999 and Monkey Business:
Swinging Through the Wall Street Jungle by John
Rolfe and Peter Troob in 2002. But in1997. Frank
Partnoy was the first writer to open my eyes to the
enormous gap between our assumed efficient and fair
capital markets versus the “infectious greed” (Alan
Greenspan’s term) that had overtaken these markets.
Partnoy’s succession of FIASCO books, like those
of Lewis and Rolfe/Troob are reality books written from
the perspective of inside whistle blowers. They are
somewhat repetitive and anecdotal mainly from the
perspective of what each author saw and interpreted.
My
favorite among the capital market fraud books is Frank
Partnoy’s latest book Infectious Greed: How Deceit
and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets (Henry Holt
& Company, Incorporated, 2003, ISBN: 080507510-0- 477
pages). This is the most scholarly of the books
available on business and gatekeeper degeneracy. Rather
than relying mostly upon his own experiences, this book
drawn from Partnoy’s interviews of over 150 capital
markets insiders of one type or another. It is more
scholarly because it demonstrates Partnoy’s evolution of
learning about extremely complex structured financing
packages that were the instruments of crime by banks,
investment banks, brokers, and securities dealers in the
most venerable firms in the U.S. and other parts of the
world. The book is brilliant and has a detailed and
helpful index.
What
did I learn most from Partnoy?
I
learned about the failures and complicity of what he
terms “gatekeepers” whose fiduciary responsibility was
to inoculate against “infectious greed.” These
gatekeepers instead manipulated their professions and
their governments to aid and abet the criminals. On
Page 173 of Infectious Greed, he writes the
following:
Page #173
When
Republicans captured the House of Representatives in
November 1994--for the first time since the Eisenhower
era--securities-litigation reform was assured. In a
January 1995 speech, Levitt outlined the limits on
securities regulation that Congress later would support:
limiting the statute-of-limitations period for filing
lawsuits, restricting legal fees paid to lead
plaintiffs, eliminating punitive-damages provisions from
securities lawsuits, requiring plaintiffs to allege more
clearly that a defendant acted with reckless intent, and
exempting "forward looking statements"--essentially,
projections about a company's future--from legal
liability.
The Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 passed easily,
and Congress even overrode the veto of President
Clinton, who either had a fleeting change of heart about
financial markets or decided that trial lawyers were an
even more important constituency than Wall Street. In
any event, Clinton and Levitt disagreed about the issue,
although it wasn't fatal to Levitt, who would remain SEC
chair for another five years.
He
later introduces Chapter 7 of Infectious Greed as
follows:
Pages
187-188
The
regulatory changes of 1994-95 sent three messages to
corporate CEOs. First, you are not likely to be
punished for "massaging" your firm's accounting
numbers. Prosecutors rarely go after financial fraud
and, even when they do, the typical punishment is a
small fine; almost no one goes to prison. Moreover,
even a fraudulent scheme could be recast as mere
earnings management--the practice of smoothing a
company's earnings--which most executives did, and
regarded as perfectly legal.
Second, you
should use new financial instruments--including options,
swaps, and other derivatives--to increase your own pay
and to avoid costly regulation. If complex derivatives
are too much for you to handle--as they were for many
CEOs during the years immediately following the 1994
losses--you should at least pay yourself in stock
options, which don't need to be disclosed as an expense
and have a greater upside than cash bonuses or stock.
Third, you
don't need to worry about whether accountants or
securities analysts will tell investors about any hidden
losses or excessive options pay. Now that Congress and
the Supreme Court have insulated accounting firms and
investment banks from liability--with the Central Bank
decision and the Private Securities Litigation Reform
Act--they will be much more willing to look the other
way. If you pay them enough in fees, they might even be
willing to help.
Of course,
not every corporate executive heeded these messages.
For example, Warren Buffett argued that managers should
ensure that their companies' share prices were accurate,
not try to inflate prices artificially, and he
criticized the use of stock options as compensation.
Having been a major shareholder of Salomon Brothers,
Buffett also criticized accounting and securities firms
for conflicts of interest.
But for
every Warren Buffett, there were many less scrupulous
CEOs. This chapter considers four of them: Walter
Forbes of CUC International, Dean Buntrock of Waste
Management, Al Dunlap of Sunbeam, and Martin Grass of
Rite Aid. They are not all well-known among investors,
but their stories capture the changes in CEO behavior
during the mid-1990s. Unlike the "rocket scientists" at
Bankers Trust, First Boston, and Salomon Brothers, these
four had undistinguished backgrounds and little training
in mathematics or finance. Instead, they were
hardworking, hard-driving men who ran companies that met
basic consumer needs: they sold clothes, barbecue
grills, and prescription medicine, and cleaned up
garbage. They certainly didn't buy swaps linked to
LIBOR-squared.
The
book Infectious Greed has chapters on other
capital markets and corporate scandals. It is the best
account that I’ve ever read about Bankers Trust the
Bankers Trust scandals, including how one trader named
Andy Krieger almost destroyed the entire money supply of
New Zealand. Chapter 10 is devoted to Enron and follows
up on Frank Partnoy’s invited testimony before the
United States Senate Committee on Governmental Affairs,
January 24, 2002 ---
http://www.senate.gov/~gov_affairs/012402partnoy.htm
The
controversial writings of Frank Partnoy have had an
enormous impact on my teaching and my research.
Although subsequent writers wrote somewhat more
entertaining exposes, he was the one who first opened my
eyes to what goes on behind the scenes in capital
markets and investment banking. Through his early
writings, I discovered that there is an enormous gap
between the efficient financial world that we assume in
agency theory worshipped in academe versus the dark side
of modern reality where you find the cleverest crooks
out to steal money from widows and orphans in
sophisticated ways where it is virtually impossible to
get caught. Because I read his 1997 book early on, the
ensuing succession of enormous scandals in finance,
accounting, and corporate governance weren’t really much
of a surprise to me.
From
his insider perspective he reveals a world where our
most respected firms in banking, market exchanges, and
related financial institutions no longer care anything
about fiduciary responsibility and professionalism in
disgusting contrast to the honorable founders of those
same firms motivated to serve rather than steal.
Young men and women from top universities of the world
abandoned almost all ethical principles while working in
investment banks and other financial institutions in
order to become not only rich but filthy rich at the
expense of countless pension holders and small
investors. Partnoy opened my eyes to how easy it is to
get around auditors and corporate boards by creating
structured financial contracts that are incomprehensible
and serve virtually no purpose other than to steal
billions upon billions of dollars.
Most
importantly, Frank Partnoy opened my eyes to the
psychology of greed. Greed is rooted in opportunity and
cultural relativism. He graduated from college with a
high sense of right and wrong. But his standards and
values sank to the criminal level of those when he
entered the criminal world of investment banking. The
only difference between him and the crooks he worked
with is that he could not quell his conscience while
stealing from widows and orphans.
Frank Partnoy has a rare combination of scholarship and
experience in law, investment banking, and accounting.
He is sometimes criticized for not really understanding
the complexities of some of the deals he described, but
he rather freely admits that he was new to the game of
complex deceptions in international structured financing
crime.
3. What are some of Frank Partnoy’s best-known works?
Frank Partnoy, FIASCO: Blood in the Water on Wall
Street (W. W. Norton & Company, 1997, ISBN
0393046222, 252 pages).
This is the first of a
somewhat repetitive succession of Partnoy’s “FIASCO”
books that influenced my life. The most important
revelation from his insider’s perspective is that the
most trusted firms on Wall Street and financial centers
in other major cities in the U.S., that were once highly
professional and trustworthy, excoriated the guts of
integrity leaving a façade behind which crooks less
violent than the Mafia but far more greedy took control
in the roaring 1990s.
After selling a
succession of phony derivatives deals while at Morgan
Stanley, Partnoy blew the whistle in this book about a
number of his employer’s shady and outright fraudulent
deals sold in rigged markets using bait and switch
tactics. Customers, many of them pension fund investors
for schools and municipal employees, were duped into
complex and enormously risky deals that were billed as
safe as the U.S. Treasury.
His books have received
mixed reviews, but I question some of the integrity of
the reviewers from the investment banking industry who
in some instances tried to whitewash some of the deals
described by Partnoy. His books have received a bit
less praise than the book Liars Poker by Michael
Lewis, but critics of Partnoy fail to give credit that
Partnoy’s exposes preceded those of Lewis.
Frank Partnoy, FIASCO: Guns, Booze and Bloodlust: the
Truth About High Finance (Profile Books, 1998, 305
Pages)
Like his earlier books,
some investment bankers and literary dilettantes who
reviewed this book were critical of Partnoy and claimed
that he misrepresented some legitimate structured
financings. However, my reading of the reviewers is
that they were trying to lend credence to highly
questionable offshore deals documented by Partnoy. Be
that as it may, it would have helped if Partnoy had been
a bit more explicit in some of his illustrations.
Frank Partnoy, FIASCO: The Inside Story of a Wall
Street Trader (Penguin, 1999, ISBN 0140278796, 283
pages).
This
is a blistering indictment of the unregulated OTC market
for derivative financial instruments and the million and
billion dollar deals conceived in investment banking.
Among other things, Partnoy describes Morgan Stanley’s
annual drunken skeet-shooting competition organized by a
“gun-toting strip-joint connoisseur” former combat
officer (fanatic) who loved the motto: “When
derivatives are outlawed only outlaws will have
derivatives.” At that event, derivatives salesmen were
forced to shoot entrapped bunnies between the eyes on
the pretense that the bunnies were just like
“defenseless animals” that were Morgan Stanley’s
customers to be shot down even if they might eventually
“lose a billion dollars on derivatives.”
This book has one of the best accounts of the “fiasco”
caused almost entirely by the duping of Orange County ’s
Treasurer (Robert Citron) by the unscrupulous Merrill
Lynch derivatives salesman named Michael
Stamenson. Orange County
eventually lost over a billion dollars and was forced
into bankruptcy. Much of this was later recovered in
court from Merrill Lynch. Partnoy
calls Citron and Stamenson
“The Odd Couple,” which is also the title of Chapter 8
in the book.Frank Partnoy, Infectious Greed: How
Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets
(Henry Holt & Company, Incorporated, 2003, ISBN:
080507510-0, 477 pages)Frank Partnoy, Infectious
Greed: How Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial
Markets (Henry Holt & Company, Incorporated, 2003,
ISBN: 080507510-0, 477 pages)
Partnoy shows how
corporations gradually increased financial risk and lost
control over overly complex structured financing deals
that obscured the losses and disguised frauds pushed
corporate officers and their boards into successive and
ingenious deceptions." Major corporations such as Enron,
Global Crossing, and WorldCom entered into enormous
illegal corporate finance and accounting. Partnoy
documents the spread of this epidemic stage and provides
some suggestions for restraining the disease.
"The
Siskel and Ebert of Financial Matters: Two Thumbs Down
for the Credit Reporting Agencies" by Frank Partnoy,
Washington University Law Quarterly, Volume 77, No. 3,
1999 ---
http://ls.wustl.edu/WULQ/
4. What are examples of related books that are somewhat
more entertaining than Partnoy’s early books?
Michael Lewis, Liar's Poker: Playing the Money
Markets (Coronet, 1999, ISBN 0340767006)
Lewis writes in Partnoy’s
earlier whistleblower style with somewhat more intense
and comic portrayals of the major players in describing
the double dealing and break down of integrity on the
trading floor of Salomon Brothers.
John
Rolfe and Peter Troob, Monkey Business: Swinging
Through the Wall Street Jungle (Warner Books,
Incorporated, 2002, ISBN: 0446676950, 288 Pages)
This is a hilarious
tongue-in-cheek account by Wharton and Harvard MBAs who
thought they were starting out as stock brokers for
$200,000 a year until they realized that they were on
the phones in a bucket shop selling sleazy IPOs to
unsuspecting institutional investors who in turn passed
them along to widows and orphans. They write. "It took
us another six months after that to realize that
we were, in fact, selling crappy public offerings to
investors."
There are other books
along a similar vein that may be more revealing and
entertaining than the early books of Frank Partnoy, but
he was one of the first, if not the first, in the
roaring 1990s to reveal the high crime taking place
behind the concrete and glass of Wall Street. He was
the first to anticipate many of the scandals that soon
followed. And his testimony before the U.S. Senate is
the best concise account of the crime that transpired at
Enron. He lays the blame clearly at the feet of
government officials (read that Wendy Gramm) who sold
the farm when they deregulated the energy markets and
opened the doors to unregulated OTC derivatives trading
in energy. That is when Enron really began bilking the
public.
Liars Poker II is called "The End"
The Not-Funny Punch Line is Not Until Page 9 of This Tongue in Cheek Explanation
of the Meltdown on Wall Street!
Now I asked
Gutfreund about his biggest decision.
“Yes,” he said. “They—the heads of the other Wall Street firms—all said what an
awful thing it was to go public (beg for a
government bailout) and how could you do
such a thing. But when the temptation arose, they all gave in to it.” He agreed
that the main effect of turning a partnership into a corporation was to transfer
the financial risk to the shareholders. “When things go wrong, it’s their
problem,” he said—and obviously not theirs alone. When a Wall Street investment
bank screwed up badly enough, its risks became the problem of the U.S.
government. “It’s laissez-faire until you get in deep shit,” he said, with a
half chuckle. He was out of the game.
To this day, the
willingness of a Wall Street investment bank to pay me hundreds of thousands of
dollars to dispense investment advice to grownups remains a mystery to me. I was
24 years old, with no experience of, or particular interest in, guessing which
stocks and bonds would rise and which would fall. The essential function of Wall
Street is to allocate capital—to decide who should get it and who should not.
Believe me when I tell you that I hadn’t the first clue.
I’d never taken an
accounting course, never run a business, never even had savings of my own to
manage. I stumbled into a job at Salomon Brothers in 1985 and stumbled out much
richer three years later, and even though I wrote a book about the experience,
the whole thing still strikes me as preposterous—which is one of the reasons the
money was so easy to walk away from. I figured the situation was unsustainable.
Sooner rather than later, someone was going to identify me, along with a lot of
people more or less like me, as a fraud. Sooner rather than later, there would
come a Great Reckoning when Wall Street would wake up and hundreds if not
thousands of young people like me, who had no business making huge bets with
other people’s money, would be expelled from finance.
When I sat down to write
my account of the experience in 1989—Liar’s Poker, it was called—it was in the
spirit of a young man who thought he was getting out while the getting was good.
I was merely scribbling down a message on my way out and stuffing it into a
bottle for those who would pass through these parts in the far distant future.
Unless some insider got
all of this down on paper, I figured, no future human would believe that it
happened.
I thought I was writing a
period piece about the 1980s in America. Not for a moment did I suspect that the
financial 1980s would last two full decades longer or that the difference in
degree between Wall Street and ordinary life would swell into a difference in
kind. I expected readers of the future to be outraged that back in 1986, the
C.E.O. of Salomon Brothers, John Gutfreund, was paid $3.1 million; I expected
them to gape in horror when I reported that one of our traders, Howie Rubin, had
moved to Merrill Lynch, where he lost $250 million; I assumed they’d be shocked
to learn that a Wall Street C.E.O. had only the vaguest idea of the risks his
traders were running. What I didn’t expect was that any future reader would look
on my experience and say, “How quaint.”
I had no great agenda,
apart from telling what I took to be a remarkable tale, but if you got a few
drinks in me and then asked what effect I thought my book would have on the
world, I might have said something like, “I hope that college students trying to
figure out what to do with their lives will read it and decide that it’s silly
to phony it up and abandon their passions to become financiers.” I hoped that
some bright kid at, say, Ohio State University who really wanted to be an
oceanographer would read my book, spurn the offer from Morgan Stanley, and set
out to sea.
Somehow that message
failed to come across. Six months after Liar’s Poker was published, I was
knee-deep in letters from students at Ohio State who wanted to know if I had any
other secrets to share about Wall Street. They’d read my book as a how-to
manual.
In the two decades since
then, I had been waiting for the end of Wall Street. The outrageous bonuses, the
slender returns to shareholders, the never-ending scandals, the bursting of the
internet bubble, the crisis following the collapse of Long-Term Capital
Management: Over and over again, the big Wall Street investment banks would be,
in some narrow way, discredited. Yet they just kept on growing, along with the
sums of money that they doled out to 26-year-olds to perform tasks of no obvious
social utility. The rebellion by American youth against the money culture never
happened. Why bother to overturn your parents’ world when you can buy it, slice
it up into tranches, and sell off the pieces?
At some point, I gave up
waiting for the end. There was no scandal or reversal, I assumed, that could
sink the system.
The New Order The crash
did more than wipe out money. It also reordered the power on Wall Street. What a
Swell Party A pictorial timeline of some Wall Street highs and lows from 1985 to
2007. Worst of Times Most economists predict a recovery late next year. Don’t
bet on it. Then came Meredith Whitney with news. Whitney was an obscure analyst
of financial firms for Oppenheimer Securities who, on October 31, 2007, ceased
to be obscure. On that day, she predicted that Citigroup had so mismanaged its
affairs that it would need to slash its dividend or go bust. It’s never entirely
clear on any given day what causes what in the stock market, but it was pretty
obvious that on October 31, Meredith Whitney caused the market in financial
stocks to crash. By the end of the trading day, a woman whom basically no one
had ever heard of had shaved $369 billion off the value of financial firms in
the market. Four days later, Citigroup’s C.E.O., Chuck Prince, resigned. In
January, Citigroup slashed its dividend.
From that moment, Whitney
became E.F. Hutton: When she spoke, people listened. Her message was clear. If
you want to know what these Wall Street firms are really worth, take a hard look
at the crappy assets they bought with huge sums of borrowed money, and imagine
what they’d fetch in a fire sale. The vast assemblages of highly paid people
inside the firms were essentially worth nothing. For better than a year now,
Whitney has responded to the claims by bankers and brokers that they had put
their problems behind them with this write-down or that capital raise with a
claim of her own: You’re wrong. You’re still not facing up to how badly you have
mismanaged your business.
Rivals accused Whitney of
being overrated; bloggers accused her of being lucky. What she was, mainly, was
right. But it’s true that she was, in part, guessing. There was no way she could
have known what was going to happen to these Wall Street firms. The C.E.O.’s
themselves didn’t know.
Now, obviously, Meredith
Whitney didn’t sink Wall Street. She just expressed most clearly and loudly a
view that was, in retrospect, far more seditious to the financial order than,
say, Eliot Spitzer’s campaign against Wall Street corruption. If mere scandal
could have destroyed the big Wall Street investment banks, they’d have vanished
long ago. This woman wasn’t saying that Wall Street bankers were corrupt. She
was saying they were stupid. These people whose job it was to allocate capital
apparently didn’t even know how to manage their own.
At some point, I could no
longer contain myself: I called Whitney. This was back in March, when Wall
Street’s fate still hung in the balance. I thought, If she’s right, then this
really could be the end of Wall Street as we’ve known it. I was curious to see
if she made sense but also to know where this young woman who was crashing the
stock market with her every utterance had come from.
It turned out that she
made a great deal of sense and that she’d arrived on Wall Street in 1993, from
the Brown University history department. “I got to New York, and I didn’t even
know research existed,” she says. She’d wound up at Oppenheimer and had the most
incredible piece of luck: to be trained by a man who helped her establish not
merely a career but a worldview. His name, she says, was Steve Eisman.
Eisman had moved on, but
they kept in touch. “After I made the Citi call,” she says, “one of the best
things that happened was when Steve called and told me how proud he was of me.”
Having never heard of
Eisman, I didn’t think anything of this. But a few months later, I called
Whitney again and asked her, as I was asking others, whom she knew who had
anticipated the cataclysm and set themselves up to make a fortune from it.
There’s a long list of people who now say they saw it coming all along but a far
shorter one of people who actually did. Of those, even fewer had the nerve to
bet on their vision. It’s not easy to stand apart from mass hysteria—to believe
that most of what’s in the financial news is wrong or distorted, to believe that
most important financial people are either lying or deluded—without actually
being insane. A handful of people had been inside the black box, understood how
it worked, and bet on it blowing up. Whitney rattled off a list with a
half-dozen names on it. At the top was Steve Eisman.
Steve Eisman entered
finance about the time I exited it. He’d grown up in New York City and gone to a
Jewish day school, the University of Pennsylvania, and Harvard Law School. In
1991, he was a 30-year-old corporate lawyer. “I hated it,” he says. “I hated
being a lawyer. My parents worked as brokers at Oppenheimer. They managed to
finagle me a job. It’s not pretty, but that’s what happened.”
He was hired as a junior
equity analyst, a helpmate who didn’t actually offer his opinions. That changed
in December 1991, less than a year into his new job, when a subprime mortgage
lender called Ames Financial went public and no one at Oppenheimer particularly
cared to express an opinion about it. One of Oppenheimer’s investment bankers
stomped around the research department looking for anyone who knew anything
about the mortgage business. Recalls Eisman: “I’m a junior analyst and just
trying to figure out which end is up, but I told him that as a lawyer I’d worked
on a deal for the Money Store.” He was promptly appointed the lead analyst for
Ames Financial. “What I didn’t tell him was that my job had been to proofread
the documents and that I hadn’t understood a word of the fucking things.”
Ames Financial belonged
to a category of firms known as nonbank financial institutions. The category
didn’t include J.P. Morgan, but it did encompass many little-known companies
that one way or another were involved in the early-1990s boom in subprime
mortgage lending—the lower class of American finance.
The second company for
which Eisman was given sole responsibility was Lomas Financial, which had just
emerged from bankruptcy. “I put a sell rating on the thing because it was a
piece of shit,” Eisman says. “I didn’t know that you weren’t supposed to put a
sell rating on companies. I thought there were three boxes—buy, hold, sell—and
you could pick the one you thought you should.” He was pressured generally to be
a bit more upbeat, but upbeat wasn’t Steve Eisman’s style. Upbeat and Eisman
didn’t occupy the same planet. A hedge fund manager who counts Eisman as a
friend set out to explain him to me but quit a minute into it. After describing
how Eisman exposed various important people as either liars or idiots, the hedge
fund manager started to laugh. “He’s sort of a prick in a way, but he’s smart
and honest and fearless.”
“A lot of people don’t
get Steve,” Whitney says. “But the people who get him love him.” Eisman stuck to
his sell rating on Lomas Financial, even after the company announced that
investors needn’t worry about its financial condition, as it had hedged its
market risk. “The single greatest line I ever wrote as an analyst,” says Eisman,
“was after Lomas said they were hedged.” He recited the line from memory: “‘The
Lomas Financial Corp. is a perfectly hedged financial institution: It loses
money in every conceivable interest-rate environment.’ I enjoyed writing that
sentence more than any sentence I ever wrote.” A few months after he’d delivered
that line in his report, Lomas Financial returned to bankruptcy.
Continued in article
Michael Lewis, Liar's Poker: Playing the Money Markets (Coronet, 1999, ISBN
0340767006)
Lewis writes in Partnoy’s
earlier whistleblower style with somewhat more intense and comic portrayals of
the major players in describing the double dealing and break down of integrity
on the trading floor of Salomon Brothers.
Here's a dilemma: You manage a public employee
pension plan and your actuary tells you it is significantly underfunded. You
don't want to raise contributions. Cutting benefits is out of the question.
To be honest, you'd really rather not even admit there's a problem, lest
taxpayers get upset.
What to do? For the administrators of two Montana
pension plans, the answer is obvious: Get a new actuary. Or at least that's
the essence of the managers' recent solicitations for actuarial services,
which warn that actuaries who favor reporting the full market value of
pension liabilities probably shouldn't bother applying.
Public employee pension plans are plagued by
overgenerous benefits, chronic underfunding, and now trillion dollar
stock-market losses. Based on their preferred accounting methods -- which
discount future liabilities based on high but uncertain returns projected
for investments -- these plans are underfunded nationally by around $310
billion.
The numbers are worse using market valuation
methods (the methods private-sector plans must use), which discount benefit
liabilities at lower interest rates to reflect the chance that the expected
returns won't be realized. Using that method, University of Chicago
economists Robert Novy-Marx and Joshua Rauh calculate that, even prior to
the market collapse, public pensions were actually short by nearly $2
trillion. That's nearly $87,000 per plan participant. With employee benefits
guaranteed by law and sometimes even by state constitutions, it's likely
these gargantuan shortfalls will have to be borne by unsuspecting taxpayers.
Some public pension administrators have a strategy,
though: Keep taxpayers unsuspecting. The Montana Public Employees'
Retirement Board and the Montana Teachers' Retirement System declare in a
recent solicitation for actuarial services that "If the Primary Actuary or
the Actuarial Firm supports [market valuation] for public pension plans,
their proposal may be disqualified from further consideration."
Scott Miller, legal counsel of the Montana Public
Employees Board, was more straightforward: "The point is we aren't
interested in bringing in an actuary to pressure the board to adopt market
value of liabilities theory."
While corporate pension funds are required by law
to use low, risk-adjusted discount rates to calculate the market value of
their liabilities, public employee pensions are not. However, financial
economists are united in believing that market-based techniques for valuing
private sector investments should also be applied to public pensions.
Because the power of compound interest is so
strong, discounting future benefit costs using a pension plan's high
expected return rather than a low riskless return can significantly reduce
the plan's measured funding shortfall. But it does so only by ignoring risk.
The expected return implies only the "expectation" -- meaning, at least a
50% chance, not a guarantee -- that the plan's assets will be sufficient to
meet its liabilities. But when future benefits are considered to be riskless
by plan participants and have been ruled to be so by state courts, a 51%
chance that the returns will actually be there when they are needed hardly
constitutes full funding.
Public pension administrators argue that government
plans fundamentally differ from private sector pensions, since the
government cannot go out of business. Even so, the only true advantage
public pensions have over private plans is the ability to raise taxes. But
as the Congressional Budget Office has pointed out in 2004, "The government
does not have a capacity to bear risk on its own" -- rather, government
merely redistributes risk between taxpayers and beneficiaries, present and
future.
Market valuation makes the costs of these potential
tax increases explicit, while the public pension administrators' approach,
which obscures the possibility that the investment returns won't achieve
their goals, leaves taxpayers in the dark.
For these reasons, the Public Interest Committee of
the American Academy of Actuaries recently stated, "it is in the public
interest for retirement plans to disclose consistent measures of the
economic value of plan assets and liabilities in order to provide the
benefits promised by plan sponsors."
Nevertheless, the National Association of State
Retirement Administrators, an umbrella group representing government
employee pension funds, effectively wants other public plans to take the
same low road that the two Montana plans want to take. It argues against
reporting the market valuation of pension shortfalls. But the association's
objections seem less against market valuation itself than against the fact
that higher reported underfunding "could encourage public sector plan
sponsors to abandon their traditional pension plans in lieu of defined
contribution plans."
The Government Accounting Standards Board, which
sets guidelines for public pension reporting, does not currently call for
reporting the market value of public pension liabilities. The board
announced last year a review of its position regarding market valuation but
says the review may not be completed until 2013.
This is too long for state taxpayers to wait to
find out how many trillions they owe.
A Sickening Lobbying Effort for Off-Balance-Sheet Financing in IFRS The International Accounting Standards Board is working
quickly to produce some updated and clarified guidance on how to account for
financial assets and liabilities. The financial meltdown renewed attention on
this matter, as well as the use of special-purpose entities to hold financial
assets, a device that generally gets them off balance sheets. There is still
disagreement on how big of a role off-balance-sheet accounting played in
starting the financial crisis, but banks appear to be against changes that would
bring about greater disclosure of assets and liabilities. Peter Williams, "Peter Williams Accounting: Off balance – the future of
off-balance sheet transactions," Personal Computer World, July 3, 2009
---
http://www.pcw.co.uk/financial-director/comment/2245360/balance-4729409
Today the financial world is up in arms over "toxic
assets," the bad loans and securities that have wreaked so much havoc on
bank balance sheets. But few investors understand the true magnitude of the
threat that toxic liabilities — environmental liabilities, that is — pose to
the financial health of some U.S. businesses. In large part that's because
accounting rules enable companies to conceal the full extent of these costs,
encouraging minimal disclosure — even when management knows the total bill
will be far higher.
It's no secret that many companies have expensive
toxic liabilities — asbestos, heavy-metal pollution, oil and gas leaks,
contaminated groundwater, and more. Since the 1970s, Superfund and other
laws have required companies to clean up their environmental liabilities and
undo the damage they caused. Nor is the primary accounting guidance for
toxic liabilities new. FAS 5, the accounting standard governing so-called
contingent liabilities, such as pending litigation and environmental
hazards, went into effect in 1975; Statement of Position 96-1, which tells
firms how to apply FAS 5 to mandated environmental remediation, was issued
in 1996. In brief, companies with toxic liabilities must take a one-time
charge to earnings and create a reserve of funds devoted to environmental
remediation. As a cleanup progresses, the reserve should shrink.
Yet companies are regularly topping up their
environmental reserves with new accruals. Some reserves are even growing. In
a recent study of 24 oil, gas, and chemical companies, the vast majority
reduced their reserves less than 50 cents for each dollar spent on cleanup,
says environmental attorney Greg Rogers, a CPA and president of consulting
firm Advanced Environmental Dimensions. (See "The Truth about Reserves" at
the end of this article.)
As a result, investors are left in the dark about
the full extent of toxic liabilities. Rogers compares environmental reserves
to a bathtub full of water: once the environmental problems are resolved,
the tub should be drained. But by adding new accruals each year, companies
are effectively leaving the faucet on. "What we don't know is the true
capacity of the tub, the cost to fully resolve these liabilities," says
Rogers, whose study attempts to estimate those costs using publicly
available data.
Whatever a never-ending cleanup bill implies about
actual damage done to the environment, such recurring drains on cash flow
certainly hurt investors. "Unlike nearly every other income-statement line
item, there is very little if any visibility into the annual charge for
'probable and reasonably estimable environmental liabilities,'" complained
JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa, who downgraded Honeywell for this reason in
2006.
"It's Scandalous." Companies typically cite three
reasons why their legacy cleanup reserves never drain: the difficulty of
estimating cleanup costs, new discoveries of contamination, or new costs
acquired through mergers. At some companies, however, those claims are
belied by the steady rate at which they funnel money into environmental
reserves, suggesting, critics say, that managerial discretion plays a large
part in reserve calculations. (One company, ConAgra, paid $45 million in
2007 to settle Securities and Exchange Commission charges that it used
environmental reserves as a "cookie jar.") At best, the explanations mean
that companies are themselves blind to a major internal drain on cash.
Despite what companies say, it isn't difficult to
accurately estimate the future cost of environmental liabilities, asserts
Gayle Koch, a principal with The Brattle Group in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
Koch says her firm regularly does so for both corporate and government
clients. "Companies estimate liabilities all the time for insurance
recovery, to get insurance, for mergers and acquisitions, and in
divestitures," she says. "Transactions go forward based on those estimates."
The problem isn't the estimates, she says, but the disclosure.
"I've been in court cases where I've seen detailed
cost recovery with very detailed distributions of costs," says Koch. "And
those same companies will disclose in their annual reports [only] the known
minimum cost."
Sanford Lewis, an attorney with the Investor
Environmental Health Network (IEHN), an advocacy group, agrees that
companies can and do produce accurate estimates of environmental costs — for
internal use. A company that tells investors that it expects liabilities of
$200 million during the next 5 years may advise its insurer to expect
liability claims of $2 billion over a 50-year period, wrote Lewis in a
recent report. "It is happening, it's scandalous, and investors should be
outraged," Lewis told CFO.
Increasingly, lawsuits, bankruptcy proceedings,
regulatory investigations, and independent research are revealing that
companies often know far more about the cost of their environmental
liabilities than they tell investors. For example, New York Attorney General
Andrew Cuomo is currently investigating whether Chevron misled investors —
including New York State's pension plan — about the extent of its liability
in a $27 billion lawsuit tied to "massive oil seepage" in Ecuador. Chevron
is widely expected to lose the case in Ecuador but fight payment in the
United States, and Cuomo has demanded that the company disclose estimates of
potential damages and its cash reserves.
In this post, I'll be reviewing two comment letters
submitted to the FASB in response to its Discussion Paper (DP) on lease
accounting* by the Investors Technical Advisory Committee (ITAC)
of the FASB, and the CFA Institute Centre for Financial Market Integrity
(CFA).
My original comments are
here.
The lease accounting project is a strong test of
the proposition that accounting standards are capable of cutting through the
camouflage of legal form to get at the underlying economics of an
arrangement. In that respect, FAS 13 has been a dismal failure, with untold
amounts of shareholder value being destroyed by management machinations
aiming to exploit complex accounting loopholes and bright line rules lacking
no conceptual basis.
Almost any new standard will be a significant
improvement over FAS 13, so one of the dangers we face is setting the bar
too low. For example, since FAS 13 was promulgated over 30 years ago, the
field of financial management has progressed well beyond the point where
precise measurement of lease value drivers is on the frontier of our
knowledge. I'm not just talking about academic theorizing, either. According
to the book,
Real Options: A Practitioner's Guide,
economic valuation of complex lease terms was first undertaken by executives
at Airbus, who needed to know the true cost of the flexibility they were
writing into their leases to accommodate their customers' risk preferences.
That was over twenty years ago! I'm certainly don't consider myself to be at
the cutting edge of financial modeling, but give me about a week, and I
should be able to write a spreadsheet to value leased assets and lease
obligations that can capture 100% of a lease's complexity for more than 90%
of the leases out there.
So, given the state of the art of leasing and
finance, we should be expecting a lot more from the FASB than the usual
medley of incremental piecemeal improvements they are proposing. We should
not just expect that: (1) the assets and liabilities arising from leasing
arrangements are appropriately measured on the balance sheet; but (2) that
they should also be appropriately measured. As I will be describing, below,
ITAC and CFA are pressing for (1), but are aiming far too low on (2).
Ironically, given the prominence and reputation for integrity of ITAC and
CFA groups, one thing that you can take to the bank is that their positions
will be regarded as the upper bound on the concessions to investors that
will come out of the final standard. Thus, the most to be had is recognition
of leases on the balance sheet; but they will be reported as arbitrary
numbers based on calculations that hearken back to the relative stone ages
of financial management.
I'll now discuss some of the specific issues
starting with the ones I have the least qualms about, and ending with the
stuff that gets my goat.
Overall Approach to Lease Accounting
The DP proposes to eliminate operating lease
accounting, with the exception of "non-core" and short-term leases. While
both ITAC and CFA strongly support the elimination of operating lease
accounting, they are both against the notion of a "non-core leases"
category. Nobody would ever expect that lease capitalization would have to
be applied to immaterial items; but whatever "non-core" is supposed to mean,
it doesn't always correspond to "immaterial." It's a ridiculously silly
notion, but I'll nonetheless award points to both groups for pointing that
out—much more tactfully than I would be capable of doing.
ITAC further adds that exempting short-term leases
would be an open invitation to gaming, which surely must have been obvious
to the FASB but somebody needed to mention it.
Scope of a Forthcoming Standard
Without calling out the FASB for the real reason
that lessor accounting issues were deferred, CFA reluctantly accepts the
FASB's decision to defer consideration of lessor accounting. The real reason
for the limited scope goes something like this: 'We're already taking too
much heat from financial institutions on loan accounting, so let's not mess
with them any more than we have to.' ITAC, for my tastes, is being too
conciliatory (perhaps trying to rebuild the bridges it has burned on IFRS
and fair value?) when they state that they are content for now to focus on
lessee accounting.
My own two cents — If there is any area in which
balance sheet accounting standards can (and should be) symmetrical, leasing
is it. If the FASB is serious about its commitment to an asset/liability
view of recognition and measurement, then the only real revenue recognition
issue in leasing is nothing more than how to present changes in
lease-related assets and liabilities on the income statement. I would not
object to deferral of income statement presentation issues from the scope of
the next major accounting standard on leases, but I'm disappointed that ITAC
and CFA are not exhorting the FASB to get everyone's balance sheet right.
Let the big boy lessors present their income statement any old way they
want; and let's require detailed roll-forward disclosures of the changes in
the balance sheet amounts.
Measurement
Everything I have written to this point has been
little more than caviling, compared to my consternation on the groups'
positions regarding measurement. CFA states that discounting at the
incremental borrowing rate would yield a reasonable approximation of fair
value, even when there is "significant uncertainty." That's the great
unsupported statement of their comment letter—probably because no support is
possible.
In the years since FAS 13, alternatives to
discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis have been sought and developed because
one eventually had to acknowledge a truth that is exactly the opposite of
what CFA claims to believe: the truth is that picking the discount rate to
value contingent cash flows, and coming up with a reliable measure of the
fair value** of those cash flows, is nothing more than a guessing game.
Ad hoc adaptations of discounted cash flow DCF modeling to option-ladened
arrangements is so yesterday. That the FASB proposes to go back to the stone
ages of financial theory is less surprising to me than learning that
both CFA and ITAC are cool with their doing it.
Here's a much more robust way to think about lease
valuation. There are three categories of cash flows in leasing arrangements:
(1) the unconditional rental payments to be made, (2) required payments
whose amount is determined by reference to uncertain future events, and (3)
optional payments. We should require that a preparer document and
disaggregate the fair value of their leases by each of these components.
This can only mean that options must be valued using option pricing
models—i.e., nails should be driven with a hammer. Yes, not all of the cash
flow elements of a lease are mutually exclusive, but modern valuation models
take care of that. Disaggregation in disclosure of interrelated items is
challenging, but reasonable assumptions can be made and disclosed.
As to separate measurement of options, the FASB
suggests, and both CFA and ITAC don't object to, a version of DCF that
truncates the expected cash flows at the "most likely lease term." Given the
financial technology nearly everyone has at their disposal, it's a ludicrous
suggestion. Therefore, I expect it will be embraced universally by issuers.
That alone should cause CFA and ITAC to question their judgment in this
regard.
ITAC supports the most likely lease term rule of
thumb (incredibly, they elevate it to "principle" status in their comments),
because it seems that everybody should be able to do it. So, not only are
they proposing to pound nails with rocks instead of hammers, they don't
think it's worth the effort to drive the nail flush. Who are we writing
standards for? FASB ought to be thinking first of the Fortune 500, because
that's the bulk of the U.S. economy. Simplistic models to accommodate
smaller companies no longer make sense from a cost-benefit perspective.
CFA states that one reason they support the
expected lease term approach is out of expediency: "…an acceptable
alternative in the interim until the use of fair value for non-financial
assets is addressed by standard setters." And when will fair value for
non-financial assets be addressed by standard setters? Given the glacial
pace of standard setting, and the priorities that standard setters seem to
have set for themselves, I'm giving even money that we won't have a general
standard on that for at least another 20 years; and 2:1 odds that it won't
happen before hell freezes over. Is that really how long the CFA is willing
to wait.
The bottom line on the measurement issue is that if
the FASB requires some ad hoc discounted cash flow model for measuring
leases on financial statements, then one of two things are going to happen:
either companies will have to measure leases twice – the approach they use
for internal decision-making, and again with the FASB's stone age approach –
or companies will throw out the approach they use for internal decision
making and base their decision entirely on how a lease will be portrayed in
the financial statements. Neither alternative should be acceptable to CFA or
ITAC.
And that brings me to my bottom line on the CFA and
ITAC comment letters. Both groups are legitimately concerned about the
quality of information that investors will get from a new lease accounting
standard, and they evidently believe that getting leases on the balance
sheet at any number is as much as they dare hope for without
rocking the boat too much. However, both groups virtually ignore the
potentially huge value that investors will realize if the new leasing
standard leads to better decision making by managers. Assets that should be
leased will be leased, and assets that should be bought will be bought. That
can only be fully realized if lease accounting gets both recognition and
measurement as right as it can be. CFA and ITAC need to hold the
FASB's feet to the fire, because nobody will do it for them.
Finally, here's my message for the FASB.
Elimination of operating lease accounting is a good thing; it will certainly
cut into the book of business of financial engineers and lawyers who
accomplish little else than meeting management's financial reporting
objectives by skirting the edges of the bright lines. But, if you choose to
catapult lease measurement back to the stone ages, all you will accomplish
is inviting those same advisors to adapt to a new game at shareholders'
expense. You will not be pleased to eventually discover that, once again and
forevermore, you will find yourself chasing your own tail to issue fresh
interpretations of unprincipled rules to stop some of more egregious ploys;
and worse, you will be pressured to issue new interpretations to widen some
of the inherent loopholes in stone age valuation. In the process, your
policy choices will surely destroy value for shareholders (although you will
strenuously deny it).
Alternatively, you can craft a principled and
perforce simple standard requiring economic valuation of leases. There will
be some work to do in specifying the objectives of the measurement process,
but you will actually be able to afford flexibility in the choice of models
and parameter selection. If you do that, some managers will pay consultants,
but it will be for honest advice from valuation experts; they could
also eschew professional advice and negotiate less complex lease terms that
they can understand and value straightforwardly. Honest advice is geared
toward discovering the underlying economics of an arrangement, and it will
cost a small fraction of the FAS 13-style advice. In the process of all
this, your policy choices will create value for shareholders.
But, don't just take my word for this. Credit
Suisse analysts recently issued a report entitled, What if All Financial
Instruments Were at Fair Value?" [I can't find it on the web, so I
don't dare post a link to my own electronic copy] In it, I discovered a
refreshing message that I hope ITAC, CFA and FASB will take to heart:
"With companies paying
more attention to the fair values of their financial instruments, behavior
could change. The controls that would need to be put in place and the due
diligence involved could force companies to better understand their assets
and liabilities. If that were to result in better management, companies
could be rewarded with a lower cost of capital." [emphasis supplied]
Shalom, and L'shana Tovah (Happy New Year!)
-------------------------------
*The IASB also has a DP out on the topic that is
about 90% similar to the FASB's. So for simplicity, I just refer to the
FASB's version from here on out.
**I am an ardent supporter of replacement cost
measurements, especially for leases. For example, I haven't the
slightest idea how the FASB is going to come up with an exit price concept
for non-transferable leases. But, to avoid distractions from other points, I
am going to presume solely for the sake of sidestepping this issue that all
leases are transferable. It doesn't cause replacement cost and fair value to
converge, but it gets us close enough for my purposes in this post.
It’s foolish not to book and maintain derivatives at fair value since in the
1980s and early 1990s derivatives were becoming the primary means of
off-balance-sheet financing with enormous risks unreported financial risks,
especially interest rate swaps and forward contracts and written options.
Purchased options were less of a problem since risk was capped.
Tom’s argument for maintaining derivatives at fair value even if they are hedges
is not a problem if the hedged items are booked and maintained at fair value
such as when a company enters into a forward contracts to hedge its inventories
of precious metals.
But Tom and I part company when the hedged item is not even booked, which is the
case for the majority of hedging contracts. Accounting tradition for the most
part does not hedge forecasted transactions such as plans to purchase a million
gallons of jet fuel in 18 months or plans to sell $10 million notionals in bonds
three months from now. Hedged items cannot be carried on the balance sheet at
fair value if they are not even booked. And there is good reason why we do not
want purchase contracts and forecasted transactions booked. Reason number 1 is
that we do not want to book executory contracts and forecasted transactions that
are easily broken for zero or at most a nominal penalties relative to the
notionals involved. For example, when Dow Jones contracted to buy newsprint
(paper) from St Regis Paper Company for the next 20 years, some trees to be used
for the paper were not yet planted. If Dow Jones should break the contract, the
penalty damages might be less than one percent of the value of a completed
transaction.
Now suppose Southwest Airlines has a forecasted transaction (not even a
contract) to purchase a million gallons of jet fuel in 18 months. Since it has
cash flow risk, it enters into a derivative contract (usually purchased option
in the case of Southwest) to hedge the unknown fuel price of this forecasted
transaction. FAS 133 and IAS 39 require the booking of the derivative as a cash
flow hedge and maintaining it at fair value. The hedged item is not booked.
Hence, the impact on earnings for changes in the value would be asymmetrical
unless the changes in value of the derivative were “deferred” in OCI as
permitted as “hedge accounting” under FAS 133 and IAS 39.
If there were no “hedge accounting,” Southwest Airlines would be greatly
punished for hedging cash flow by having to report possibly huge variations in
earnings at least quarterly when in fact there is no cash flow risk because of
the hedge. Reported interim earnings would be much more stable if Southwest did
not hedge cash flow risk. But not hedging cash flow risk due to financial
reporting penalties is highly problematic. Economic and accounting hit head on
for no good reason, and this collision was avoided by FAS 133 and IAS 39.
Since the majority of hedging transactions are designed to hedge cash flow or
fair value risk, it makes no sense to me to punish companies for hedging and
encouraging them to instead speculate in forecasted transactions and firm
commitments (unbooked purchase contracts at fixed prices).
The FASB originally, when the FAS 133 project was commenced, wanted to book all
derivative contracts and maintain them at fair value with no alternatives for
hedge accounting. FAS 133 would’ve been about 20 pages long and simple to
implement. But companies that hedge voiced huge and very well-reasoned
objections. The forced FAS 133 and its amending standards to be over 2,000 pages
and hellishly complicated.
But this is one instance where hellish complications are essential in my
viewpoint. We should not make the mistake of tossing out hedge accounting
because the standards are complicated. There are some ways to simplify the
standards, but hedge accounting standards cannot be as simple as most other
standards. The reason is that there are thousands of different types of hedging
contracts, and a simple baby formula for nutrition just will not suffice in the
case of all these types of hedging contracts.
First, I picked my OilCo example because it was
also accounted for as a ‘hedge’ of an anticipated transaction—just like your
Southwest example. I hope you agree that OilCo was speculating. As to
Southwest, you say that Southwest was hedging, but I say they were
speculating. If fuel prices had gone south instead of north, Southwest would
have been at a severe cost disadvantage against the airlines that did not
buy their fuel forward (and they would have become a case study of failure
instead of success). In essence, the forward contracts leveraged their
profits and cash flows. That’s not hedging, it’s speculating.
FAS 133 has been an abject failure, as have all
other ‘special hedge accounting’ solutions that came before it. There will
always be some sort of mismatch between accounting and underlying economics,
but ‘special hedge accounting’ is not the way to mitigate that. You say that
some companies would have been unfairly penalized by entering into hedges
without hedge accounting. I say, with current events providing evidence,
that much more value was destroyed because special hedge accounting provided
cover for inappropriate speculation. To managers, it has been all about
keeping risks off the balance sheet and earnings stable; reducing
(transferring) economic risks that shareholders may be exposed to is an
afterthought. And, besides, most of the time shareholders can reduce their
risks by diversification. As we have seen the hard way, transaction risk
reduction (what FAS 133 requires) can be more than offset by increases in
enterprise risk. On a global scale, FAS 133 (and IAS 39) has done much more
to enable managers to use derivatives as instruments of mass economic
destruction than help them manage economic risks. And of course, instead of
2000 pages of guidance (and the huge costs that go along with it), we’d have
20 pages.
Although I did not mention it in my blog post, I
could be reluctantly persuaded to allow hedge accounting for foreign
currency forwards, but that’s as far as I would go.
Best,
Tom
June 30, 2009 reply from
Bob Jensen
Hi Tom,
Southwest Airlines was hedging and not speculating when
they purchased options to hedge jet fuel prices. If prices went down, all
they lost was the relatively small price of the options (actually there were
a few times when the options prices became too high and Southwest instead
elected to speculate). If prices went up, Southwest could buy fuel at the
strike price rather than the higher fuel prices. If Southwest had instead
hedged with futures, forward, or swap derivative contracts, it is a bit more
like speculation in that if prices decline Southwest takes an opportunity
loss on the price declines, but opportunity losses do not entail writing
checks from the bank account quite the same as real losses from unhedged
price increases.
In any case, Southwest's only possible loss was the
premium paid for the purchase options and did not quite have the same
unbounded opportunity losses as with futures, forwards, and swaps. In
reality, companies that manage risks with futures, forwards, and swaps
generally do not have unbounded risk due to other hedging positions.
What you are really arguing is that accounting for most
derivatives should not distinguish “asymmetric-booking” hedging
derivative contracts from speculation derivative contracts. I
argue that failure to distinguish between hedging and speculation is very,
very, very, very misleading to investors. I do not think FAS 133 is an
"abject failure." Quite to the contrary (except in the case of credit
derivatives)!
I have to say I disagree entirely about “derivatives”
being the cause of misleading financial reporting. The current economic
crisis was heavily caused by AIG’s credit derivatives that were essentially
undercapitalized insurance contracts. Credit derivatives should’ve been
regulated like insurance contracts and not FAS 133 derivatives. Credit
derivatives should never have been scoped into FAS 133.
The issue in your post concerns derivatives apart from
credit derivatives, derivatives that are so very popular in managing
financial risk, especially commodity price risk and interest rate
fluctuation risk. Before FAS 119 and FAS 133 it was the wild west of
off-balance sheet financing with undisclosed swaps and forward contracts,
although we did have better accounting for futures contracts because they
clear for cash each day. Scandals were soaring, in large measure, due to
failure of the FASB to monitor the explosion in derivatives frauds. Arthur
Levitt once told the Chairman of the FASB that the FASB’s three biggest
problems, before FAS 133, were 1-derivatives, 2-derivatives, and
3-derivatives ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#DerivativesFrauds
When you respond to my post please take up the issue of
purchase contracts and non-contracted forecasted transactions since these
account for the overwhelming majority of “asymmetric-booking” derivatives
contracts hedges being reported today. Then show me how booking changes in
value of a hedging contract as current earnings makes sense when the changes
in value of the hedged item are not, and should not, be booked.
Then show me how this asymmetric-booking reporting of
changes in value of a hedging contract not offset in current earnings by
changes in the value of the item it hedges provides meaningful information
to investors, especially since the majority of such hedging contracts are
carried to maturity and all the interim changes in their value are never
realized in cash.
Show me why this asymmetric-booking of changes in value
of hedging contracts versus non-reporting of offsetting changes in the value
of the unbooked hedged item benefits investors. Show me how the failure to
distinguish earnings changes from derivative contract speculations from
earnings changes from derivative hedging benefits investors.
What you are really arguing is that accounting for such
derivatives should not distinguish hedging derivative contracts from
speculation derivative contracts. I argue that failure to distinguish
between hedging and speculation is very, very, very, very misleading to
investors.
Derivative contracts are now the most popular vehicles
for managing risk. They are extremely important for managing risk. I think
FAS 133 and IAS 39 can be improved, but failure to distinguish hedging
derivative contracts from speculations in terms of the booking of value
changes of these derivatives will be an enormous loss to users of financial
statements.
The biggest complaint I get from academe is that
professors mostly just don’t understand FAS 133 and IAS 39. I think this
says more about professors than it does about the accounting. In fairness,
to understand these two standards accounting professors have to learn a lot
more about finance than they ever wanted to know. For example, they have to
learn about contango swaps and other forms of relatively complex hedging
contracts used in financial risk management.
Finance professors, in turn, have to learn a whole lot
more about accounting than they ever wanted to know. For example, they have
to learn the rationale behind not booking purchase contracts and the issue
of damage settlements that may run close to 100% of notionals for executed
contracts and less than 1% of notionals for executory purchase contracts.
And hedged forecasted transactions that are not even written into contracts
are other unbooked balls of wax that can be hedged.
There may be a better way to distinguish earnings
changes arising from speculation derivative contracts versus hedging
derivative contracts, but the FAS 133 approach at the moment is the best I
can think of until you have that “aha” moment that will render FAS 133 hedge
accounting meaningless.
I anxiously await your “aha” moment Tom as long as you
distinguish booked from unbooked hedged items.
Bob Jensen
June 30 and July 31, 2009 replies by Tom Selling and BOB JENSEN
Hi, Bob:
All of my responses you
will be in italics, below.
Tom Selling
Bob Jensen
What you are really arguing is that accounting for most derivatives should
not distinguish “asymmetric-booking” hedging derivative contracts
from speculation derivative contracts. I argue that failure to
distinguish between hedging and speculation is very, very, very, very
misleading to investors. I do not think FAS 133 is an “abject failure.”
Quite to the contrary (except in the case of credit derivatives).
Tom Selling
What is your evidence that failure to distinguish between hedging and
speculation is misleading to investors? My own anecdotal evidence is that
investors reverse engineer the effect of hedge accounting, to the extent
they can, on reported income by transferring hedging gains and losses from
OCI to net income. That's because investors believe that management is
hedging its bonuses and not shareholder value.
Bob Jensen
My evidence is that millions of sole proprietorships extensively hedge
prices and interest rates, including a huge proportion of farmers in the
United States. Sole proprietors constitute the depth of derivatives markets.
a sole proprietor has no disconnect between shareholder value and his/her
compensation. and yet sole proprietors hedge all the time. many often
speculate as well, but there is a huge difference in the financial risk
between hedging and speculating (USING
THE FINANCE DEFINITION OF HEDGING RATHER THAN TOM SELLING'S AMBIGUOUS
DEFINITION).
a sole proprietor has access to all accounting records of the business.
investors do not have access and rely on accountants and auditors to keep
them informed according to gaap.
and what’s to say that there’s always a disconnect between matching
compensation versus shareholder value? sure there are lots of instances
where managers have taken advantage of agency powers, but if this were true
of virtually all corporations there would no longer be outside passive
investors in corporations. you can fool some of the people some of the time,
but not all the investors all of the time.
if managers are willing to cheat on hedging AT THE EXPENSE OF SHAREHOLDERS,
they’re most likely WANTING to cheat on every other opportunity, thereby
making accounting standard setting as futile for many other standards other
than hedge accounting in fas 133.
I AM NOT SO CYNICAL ABOUT MOST MANAGERS. IF YOU’RE CORRECT, FINANCIAL
MARKETS WILL COLLAPSE.
Fas 133 is wonderful in that it allows the balance sheet to carry
derivatives and current fair value and keeps the changes in value out of
current earnings if changes in hedged item booked value cannot be used to
offset the one-sided, ASYMMETRICAL changes in derivative value caused by not
booking the hedged items.
YOU SEEM TO AVOID THE FOLLOWING WEAKNESS IN YOUR ARGUMENT:
your argument has a huge inconsistency. there is no change in current
earnings for effective hedges of booked items MAINTAINED AT FAIR VALUE. but
if the hedged items are not booked, the change in current earnings can be
enormous simply because the perfectly offsetting change in value of the
hedged item is not booked. somehow this inconsistency does not seem to
bother you.
IN FACT, WHEN ACCOUNTING FOR HISTORICAL COST INVENTORIES THAT HAVE A FAIR
VALUE HEDGE, FAS 133 REQUIRES THAT, DURING THE HEDGING PERIOD, WE DEPART
FROM HISTORICAL COST ACCOUNTING SO THAT FAIR VALUE CHANGES OF THE INVENTORY
CAN OFFSET FAIR VALUE CHANGES IN THE HEDGING DERIVATIVE. THIS IS NOT
POSSIBLE, HOWEVER, WHEN THE HEDGED ITEMS ARE NOT BOOKED SUCH AS IN THE CASE
OF FORECASTED TRANSACTIONS THAT ARE HEDGED ITEMS.
some of your claims that hedging is speculation would make finance
professors shake their heads BECAUSE THEY HAVE A MORE PRECISE DEFINITION OF
SPECULATION VERSUS HEDGING. Please examine the spreadsheet that i use in my
hedge accounting workshops. the spreadsheet is called “hedges” in the
graphing.xls workbook at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Calgary/CD/
Tom Selling
As for symmetric versus asymmetric booking, the FAS 133 solution (fair value
hedging) is to completely screw up the balance sheet by recording
inconsistent amounts based on ridiculous hypotheticals. I am a balance
sheet guy: get the balance sheet as right as possible at a reasonable cost;
derive accounting income from selected changes in assets and liabilities.
bob jensen
i don’t understand your argument. all derivatives scoped into fas 133 are
carried on the balance sheet at fair value whether or not the hedged items
are booked.
nOTHING IS being
“screwed up” on the balance sheet!
the debate between
us concerns the income statement impacts of hedging versus speculating.
Bob Jensen
I have to say I disagree entirely about “derivatives” being the cause of
misleading financial reporting. The current economic crisis was heavily
caused by AIG’s credit derivatives that were essentially undercapitalized
insurance contracts. Credit derivatives should’ve been regulated like
insurance contracts and not FAS 133 derivatives. Credit derivatives should
never have been scoped into FAS 133.
Tom Selling
You will never end up with a coherent set of accounting rules that are based
on distinctions such as hedging versus speculation, or even hedging versus
insurance. Getting back to the example of Southwest Airlines, the fact that
they used options to manage their future fuel costs when they thought that
options were "cheap" enough just reinforces my view that they were
speculating, and they happened to end up being a winner. Perhaps, in
contrast to other airlines, Southwest had some free cash flow that they
could use to speculate because they were able to engineer for themselves a
lower cost structure than their competitor. But, that doesn't change my
view they were speculating. Try this example: if I were to incessantly
fiddle with the amount of flood insurance on my house based on long-range
weather forecasts, that, too, would be speculating-- notwithstanding the
fact that the contract I am doing it with is nominally an 'insurance
contract.'
Bob Jensen
i would not accept this argument from a sophomore tom. the issue of hedging
is often to lock in a price today rather than speculate on what the price
will be in the future. that’s “hedging” of cash flow! IT IS NOT SPECULATION
as defined in finance textbooks (USING
THE FINANCE DEFINITION OF HEDGING RATHER THAN TOM SELLING'S AMBIGUOUS
DEFINITION).
you are trying to
CONFUSE the definition of cash flow “speculation.” cash flow speculation
in derivatives means that by definition you have unknown cash flows due to
FUTURE price or rate changes.
in contrast, cash
flow hedging means locking in a price or rate. you are not
distinguishing between locking in a contracted price versus speculating on a
future priceS.
if you have no cash
flow risk you MUST have value risk. such is life!
fas 133 makes it very clear that if you have no cash flow risk, you MUST
LIVE WITH value risk. and if you have no value risk, you have cash flow
risk. rules for hedge accounting exist for both types of hedging in fas 133.
I KNOW YOU LIKE TO
THINK THAT A LOCKED IN PRICE DUE TO A HEDGE IS A TYPE OF "SPECULATION," BUT
THIS IS NOT HOW "SPECULATION" IS DEFINED IN FINANCE. I DOUBT THAT HAVING
DEFINITIONS FOR "LOCKED-IN PRICE SPECULATION" VERSUS "FUTURES PRICE
SPECULATION" WILL ADD MUCH TO THE EFFICIENCY OF OUR ARGUMENT BASED IN THE
FINANCE DEFINITIONS OF A CASH FLOW "HEDGE" VERSUS "SPECULATION,"
i think what you are
really confusing in your argument is the distinction between cash flow risk
and value risk. These two financial risks are more certain than love and
marriage. you must have one (type of risk) without the other (type of risk).
and the fas 133 rules are different for hedges of value versus hedges of
cash flow.
Tom Selling
In short, where you see derivatives and insurance contracts, I only see
contracts whose ultimate consequences are contingent on uncertain future
events. They should all be fair value with changes going to earnings.
Bob Jensen
there’s a huge difference between hedging and insurance.
insurance companies charge to spread risk. for example, SUPPOSE an insurance
company sells hail insurance in iowa, it’s ACTUARILY "certain" that all
crops in iowa will not be destRoyed by hail in one summer. but we can’t be
certain what small pockets of iowa farmers will have their crops destroyed
BY HAIL. hence most iowa farmers buy hail insurance, thereby spreading the
risk among those who will and those who won’t have hail damage TO CROPS IN
IOWA. insurance companies are required by law to have sufficient capital to
pay all claims under actuarial probabilities OF HAIL LOSSES.
however, when an
iowa farmer buys an option in april that locks in the price of his corn crop
in THE october HARVEST, this is not spreading the risk among all iowa
farmers. perhaps he buys the option directly from his neighbor who decides
to speculate on the price of october corn and get an option premium to boot.
this is a cash flow risk transfer but is not the same as spreading the risk
of hail damage among all iowa farmers
there’s a huge
difference between insurance and hedging contracts in that virtually all
insurance contracts rely on actuarial science. life expectancy, hail, fire,
wind, floods can be estimated with much greater scientific precision than
the price of oil 18 months into the future. actuarial estimation is not
without error, but actuaries won’t touch commodity pricing and interest
rate pricing where historical extrapolations are virtually impossible.
One reason private
insurance companies CAN sell hail insurance and not flood insurance to iowa
farmers is that highland farmers are almost assured of not having floods but
no farmer in iowa is assured of not having hail damage.
without
forcing all iowa farmers to buy flood insurance. the government had to put
taxpayer money into flood coverage of lowlanders. this was not the case of
FOR hail, FIRE, AND WIND DAMAGE risk.
one reason private
insurance companies would not sell earthquake insurance is that actuary
science for earthquakes is lousy. we can predict where earthquakes are
likely to hit, but science is extremely unreliable when it comes to
predicting what century.
fas 133 does
recognize that there are many similarities between insurance and hedging in
some context. these are discussed in paragraph 283 of fas 133. BUT THE
DEFINITIONS OF INSURANCE VERSUS HEDGING ARE QUITE different IN FAS 133.
ONE PLACE THE FASB
SCREWED UP in fas 133 IS IN NOT RECOGNIZING THAT CREDIT DERIVATIVES ARE MORE
LIKE INSURANCE THAN commodity HEDGING. not making aig have capital reserves
for credit derivatives was a huge, huge mistake. those cash reserves most
likely would not have covered the subprime mortgage implosion that destroyed
value of almost all cdo bonds, but at least there would have been some
capital backing and some regulation of wild west credit derivatives of aig.
Bob Jensen
The issue in your post concerns derivatives apart from credit derivatives,
derivatives that are so very popular in managing financial risk, especially
commodity price risk and interest rate fluctuation risk. Before FAS 119 and
FAS 133 it was the wild west of off-balance sheet financing with undisclosed
swaps and forward contracts, although we did have better accounting for
futures contracts because they clear for cash each day. Scandals were
soaring, in large measure, due to failure of the FASB to monitor the
explosion in derivatives frauds. Arthur Levitt once told the Chairman of the
FASB that the FASB’s three biggest problems, before FAS 133, were
1-derivatives, 2-derivatives, and 3-derivatives ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#DerivativesFrauds
Tom Selling
The way I see the basic problem that FAS 133 did fix was to require fair
value for all contracts within its scope. Prior to that, a $10 billion
interest rate swap could stay off the balance sheet no matter how far
interest rates strayed. As you pointed out in a previous e-mail, the hedge
accounting provisions in FAS 133 were a concession to special interests. I
could be wrong, but I don't recall a single investor group pounding the
table and insisting that there be 2000 pages of rules to permit managers to
smooth their income.
Bob Jensen
ACTUALLY THE FASB INITIALLY DID NOT WANT TO MAKE ANY EARNINGS IMPACT
CONCESSIONS FOR HEDGE ACCOUNTING. THE ORIGINAL FASB THOUGHT WAS TO DO JUST
AS YOU SAY AND BOOK ALL DERIVATIVES AT FAIR VALUE WITHOUT 2,000 PAGES OF
ADDED HEDGE ACCOUNTING RULES.
THE HEDGE ACCOUNTING
RULES CAME ABOUT BECAUSE COMPANIES JUMPED ON THE FASB FOR “PUNISHING”
HEDGING COMPANIES BY CREATING ENORMOUS UNREALIZED EARNINGS VOLATILITY IN
INTERIM PERIODS THAT WOULD NEVER BE REALIZED WHEN HEDGES WERE SETTLED AT
MATURITY DATES.
WITHOUT HEDGE
ACCOUNTING, COMPANIES GO PUNISHED FOR HEDGING AS IF THEY WERE SPECULATING
WHEN THEY ARE HEDGING (USING THE FINANCE DEFINITION OF HEDGING RATHER THAN
TOM SELLING'S AMBIGUOUS DEFINITION). I KNOW YOU LIKE TO THINK THAT A LOCKED
IN PRICE DUE TO A HEDGE IS A TYPE OF "SPECULATION," BUT THIS IS NOT HOW
"SPECULATION" IS DEFINED IN FINANCE. I DOUBT THAT HAVING DEFINITIONS FOR
"LOCKED-IN PRICE SPECULATION" VERSUS "FUTURES PRICE SPECULATION" WILL ADD
MUCH TO THE EFFICIENCY OF OUR ARGUMENT BASED IN THE FINANCE DEFINITIONS OF A
CASH FLOW "HEDGE" VERSUS "SPECULATION,"
IT’S UNFAIR TO EQUATE
CONCESSIONS TO SPECIAL INTEREST GROUPS TO HEDGE ACCOUNTING RULES IN FAS 133.
I FIND THE ARGUMENTS FOR HEDGE ACCOUNTING VERY COMPELLING SINCE IN MOST
INSTANCES OF HEDGING THE FLUCTUATIONS IN UNREALIZED VALUE CHANGES WASH OUT
FOR HEDGE CONTRACTS THAT ARE SETTLED AT MATURITY DATES. IT WAS THE ARGUMENTS
THAT WERE COMPELLING RATHER THAN POLITICAL CONCESSIONS TO SPECIAL INTEREST
GROUPS. THE SIMPLE ARGUMENT WAS THAT BY LOCKING IN PRICES OR PROFITS
COMPANIES WERE BEING PUNISHED AS IF THEY WERE SPECULATING (I DISCUSS YOUR
CONFUSED DEFINITION OF “SPECULATION” ELSEWHERE IN THIS MESSAGE.)
prior to fas 133,
companies were learning that it was very easy to keep debt off the balance
sheet with interest rate swaps. there is ample evidence of the explosion of
this as companies shifted from managing risk with treasury bills to managing
risk with swaps.
Bob Jensen
When you respond to my post please take up the issue of purchase contracts
and non-contracted forecasted transactions since these account for the
overwhelming majority of “asymmetric-booking” derivatives contracts hedges
being reported today. Then show me how booking changes in value of a hedging
contract as current earnings makes sense when the changes in value of the
hedged item are not, and should not, be booked.
Tom Selling
I already took up that question. One of the points I was trying to make in
the OilCo case is that hedge accounting, while designed to reduce the
volatility of reported earnings, often increases the volatility of economic
earnings. That's why OilCo's stock price went down as oil prices went up.
Let me try state it in terms of a manufacturer of a commodity product that
contains a significant amount of copper. Changes in market prices of the
end product can be expected to be highly correlated with changes in the
price of copper. Therefore, a natural hedge is already in place for the
risk that copper prices will rise in the future. If you add a forward
contract to purchase copper to the firm's investment portfolio, then you are
actually adding to economic volatility instead of subtracting from it. (I
trust you don't need a numerical example, but I could provide one if you
want it.) If you add an at-the-money option to purchase copper, you are
destroying value by paying a premium for what is essentially an insurance
contract on a long run risk that doesn't exist.
I think the fundamental
difference between our positions, Bob, is that you believe that management
is acting to maximize (long-run) shareholder value, and I (and perhaps the
like Leslie Kren), more cynically believe that management is acting to
lock-in their short-run, earnings-based compensation. The 'special hedge
accounting' provisions of FAS 133 is just one tool that they have for doing
so. And as icing on the cake because of its incredible complexity, it lines
the pockets of 'advisors', financial intermediaries, auditors, and even
educators like you and me.
Bob Jensen
OPTION VALUE = INTRINSIC VALUE + TIME VALUE YOU ARE
INSULTING THE INTELLIGENCE OF FINANCE PROFESSORS WHO WOULD SHAKE THEIR HEADS
WHEN READING: “ If you add an
at-the-money option to purchase copper, you are destroying value by paying a
premium for what is essentially an insurance contract on a long run risk
that doesn't exist.”
THERE IS LONG RUN RISK
THAT THE FUTURE PRICE WILL GO UP OR DOWN. WHEN YOU BUY AN OPTION AT THE
MONEY, THERE IS NO INTRINSIC VALUE BY DEFINITION. BUT THE REASON THE
PRICE(PREMIUM) OF THE OPTION IS NOT ZERO IS THAT IT HAS TIME VALUE
DUE TO THAT CONTRACTED INTERVAL OF TIME IT HAS TO GO INTO THE MONEY. CASH
FLOW HEDGING WITH AN OPTION IS NOT “INSURANCE CONTRACTING” AS DEFINED IN FAS
133. THIS IS A HEDGE THAT LOCKS IN A PURCHASE OR SALES PRICE AT THE STRIKE
PRICE SUCH THAT IT IS NOT NECESSARY IN THE FUTURE TO GAMBLE ON AN UNKNOWN
FUTURE PRICE.
if managers are willing to cheat on hedging AT THE EXPENSE OF SHAREHOLDERS,
they’re most likely WILLING to cheat on every other opportunity, thereby
making accounting standard setting as futile for many other standards other
than hedge accounting in fas 133.
Bob Jensen
Then show me how this asymmetric-booking reporting of changes in value of a
hedging contract not offset in current earnings by changes in the value of
the item it hedges provides meaningful information to investors, especially
since the majority of such hedging contracts are carried to maturity and all
the interim changes in their value are never realized in cash.
Tom Selling
Just because it may not be recognized in cash, that doesn't mean
changes in value are not relevant to investors. I suppose that's an
empirical question. But I should also add that by your comment, may I infer
that you are also in favor of maintaining a held-to-maturity category for
marketable debt securities? If so, then we have a lot more important things
to talk about than just hedge accounting! Him him him him him him him
Bob Jensen
I AM A STRONG ADVOCATE OF HTM ACCOUNTING SIMPLY TO KEEP PERFORMANCE FICTION
OUT OF THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS. THIS IS ESPECIALLY THE CASE WHERE THERE ARE
PROHIBITIVE TRANSACTIONS COSTS FROM EARLY SETTLEMENTS. MY ARGUMENTS HERE ARE
MY CRITICISMS OF EXIT VALUE AT
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue
THE IASB IMPOSES
GREATER PENALTIES FOR VIOLATORS OF HTM DECLARATIONS THAN DOES THE FASB, BUT
AUDITORS ARE WARNED TO HOLD CLIENTS TO HTM DECLARATIONS.
Bob Jensen
Show me why this asymmetric-booking of changes in value of hedging contracts
versus non-reporting of offsetting changes in the value of the unbooked
hedged item benefits investors. Show me how the failure to distinguish
earnings changes from derivative contract speculations from earnings changes
from derivative hedging benefits investors.
Tom Selling
Hedging and speculation is a question of intent, and I don't believe they
can be reliably separated. To this I would add that transaction
hedging in FAS 133 is really not economic hedging. In order to make the
distinction between hedging and speculation auditable, FAS 133 prohibits
macro hedges. Thus, managers claim that the hedges that actually enter into
in order to get the income smoothing they need are actually less efficient
(i.e., riskier) than if they were permitted to have hedge accounting for
macro hedges.
Bob Jensen
once again you are confusing cash flow hedging from value hedging. i covered
this above.
Bob Jensen
What you are really arguing is that accounting for such derivatives should
not distinguish hedging derivative contracts from speculation derivative
contracts. I argue that failure to distinguish between hedging and
speculation is very, very, very, very misleading to investors.
Derivative contracts are
now the most popular vehicles for managing risk. They are extremely
important for managing risk. I think FAS 133 and IAS 39 can be improved, but
failure to distinguish hedging derivative contracts from speculations in
terms of the booking of value changes of these derivatives will be an
enormous loss to users of financial statements.
Tom Selling
Empirical question. See above.
Bob Jensen
The biggest complaint I get from academe is that professors mostly just
don’t understand FAS 133 and IAS 39. I think this says more about professors
than it does about the accounting. In fairness, to understand these two
standards accounting professors have to learn a lot more about finance than
they ever wanted to know. For example, they have to learn about contango
swaps and other forms of relatively complex hedging contracts used in
financial risk management.
Tom Selling
I can't speak for other accounting professors who may choose to remain
ignorant of the details of FAS 133. I think it's a question of incentives.
But, I think I know FAS 133 pretty well (although surely not as well as
you), and certainly well enough to have an informed opinion. I don't think
FAS 133 stinks because it is too difficult to learn. It stinks because,
contrary to what you believe, I think that managers game the system and in
the process are destroying shareholder value, and even our economy.
Bob Jensen Finance professors, in turn, have to
learn a whole lot more about accounting than they ever wanted to know. For
example, they have to learn the rationale behind not booking purchase
contracts and the issue of damage settlements that may run close to 100% of
notionals for executed contracts and less than 1% of notionals for executory
purchase contracts. And hedged forecasted transactions that are not even
written into contracts are other unbooked balls of wax that can be hedged.
Tom Selling
I can't speak for finance professors either, but my very loose impression is
that they will make the simplifying assumption that accounting doesn't
matter. In other words, the contract between shareholders and management is
efficient in the sense that managers cannot gain by gaming the accounting
rules. Ha Ha Ha.
Bob Jensen
IF WHAT YOU SAY IS TRUE THAT VIRTUALLY ALL MANAGERS OUR OUT TO SCREW
INVESTORS, THEN CAPITALISM AS WE KNOW IT IS DOOMED. IT IS SERIOUSLY
CHALLENGED AT THE MOMENT, AND MAYBE WE WILL TURN ALL OF OUR LARGE
CORPORATIONS OVER TO THE GOVERNMENT THAT NEVER SCREWS ANYBODY. WHY DIDN’T WE
THINK OF THIS BEFORE. THE SOVIET UNION HAD IT RIGHT ALL ALONG.
if managers are willing to cheat on hedging AT THE EXPENSE OF SHAREHOLDERS,
they’re most likely WantING to cheat on every other opportunity, thereby
making accounting standard setting as futile for many other standards other
than hedge accounting in fas 133. I AM NOT SO CYNICAL ABOUT MOST MANAGERS.
IF YOU’RE CORRECT, FINANCIAL MARKETS WILL COLLAPSE.
“Accounting Doesn’t
Matter”
once again this is a sophomore statement. although i’m often critical that
individual financial reporting events studies are not replicated, the
thousands of such studies combined point to the importance of events,
especially earnings announcements, on investor behavior. only sophomores in
finance would make a claim that “accounting does not matter.”
There may be a better way
to distinguish earnings changes arising from speculation derivative
contracts versus hedging derivative contracts, but the FAS 133 approach at
the moment is the best I can think of until you have that “aha” moment that
will render FAS 133 hedge accounting meaningless.
Bob Jensen
I anxiously await your “aha” moment Tom as long as you distinguish booked
from unbooked hedged items.
Tom Selling
I like FAS 159 as a temporary measure, despite the inconsistencies it
creates—they are no worse than FAS 133’s inconsistencies.
Offsetting changes in
the value of unbooked hedged items are to the totality of our grossly
inadequate accounting standards as a flea is to Seabiscuit's rear end.
Here's the best I can do: change the name of the balance sheet to "statement
of recognized assets and liabilities"; change the name of the income
statement to "statement of recognized revenues, expenses, gains and
losses." At least that way, readers will have a better idea of what
accountants are feeding them.
Bob Jensen
fas 159 says absolutely nothing about a fair value option for unbooked
contracts and forecasted transactions other than it does not allow fair
value booking for these anticipated (often contracted) transactions
And I certainly
would not make fair value accounting for derivatives an option under fasb
standards.
hence fas 159 is of
no help at all in accounting for hedging contracts of hedged items that are
not booked.
Bob, I’m sorry that you misunderstood some of my
arguments. Perhaps I was not clear. I will conclude with a couple of general
points, and you should feel free to have the last word.
First, your arguments are largely premised on the
assumption that everyone accepts your definition of “hedging.” FAS 133
defines a derivative for the purpose of applying FAS 133, but notably, it
does not define hedging. That’s because, even more than “derivatives,” it
defies a principles-based definition that can be applied without 2000 pages
of rules. Moreover, your definition entails locking in a price or rate of a
transaction. My own conceptualization involves reduction of enterprise risk.
One of my points is that reduction in transaction risk can increase
enterprise risk. I thought my OilCo example was crystal clear on that point,
and would expect every sophomore to understand it.
Second, when I stated that FAS 133 screws up the
balance sheet, I was referring to the inconsistent measurements of hedged
items--not hedging instruments. I stand by my earlier statement: hedge
accounting screws up the measurement of assets and liabilities in order to
get a desired income statement result. You may accept that tradeoff, but I
don’t.
Finally, sole proprietor farmers don’t hold
diversified portfolios, which explains why they use forward contracts to
hedge. And, if they used more costly options, I’d call it either insurance
or speculation. I certainly wouldn’t call it hedging.
Best, Tom
July 1, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Tom,
Whenever you finish your proposal for changing FAS 133
and IAS 39, I think you should run it by finance experts to see if it makes
sense in terms of what they call hedging. I think they will not especially
like new definition of a hedge that locks in price in a cash flow hedge a
"locked-in price speculation," They're more apt to think of a speculation as
one in which the price is not locked in by a hedge.
Finance professors will be especially confused by your
calling futures contracts hedging contracts and opions contracts
speculations.When I consulted on hedging with an association of ethanol
producers and farmers who supplied the corn, they were much more into
purchased options than futures contracts for what they called “hedging
purposes.” Note the finance definition of hedging below stresses options
(and short sales).
Purchased options are very popular for hedging purposes
since the financial risk is capped (at the price paid for the options).
Futures, forwards, and swaps have a lot of risk unless users take
sophisticated offsetting positions. In any case options are very popular in
hedging.
One last point, but a very important point, that I
forgot to mention. I’ve done some consulting for the Pilots Association of
Southwest Airlines. One thing they were initially worried about was the
possibility that Southwest could, in theory, manipulate earnings with FAS
133. It turns out that in both contract negotiations and bonus calculations,
Southwest excludes hedge accounting and unrealized derivatives gains and
losses.
I think this is also the case for a lot of major
companies in terms of executive compensation. Hence the premise that
executives manipulate hedge accounting for their own compensation is pretty
weak.
Also FAS 133 disclosures make it possible, usually, to
exclude unrealized derivatives gains and losses from financial analysis. Of
course, it takes some sophistication to deal with AOCI versus changes in RE,
but then again so does the new FSP FAS
115-2
and FAS 124-2, Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary
Impairments ("FSP FAS 115-2") ---
http://www.fasb.org/pdf/fsp_fas115-2andfas124-2.pdf
FSP FAS 115-a, 124-a, and EITF 99-20-b,
the proposal that softens the blow of recognizing other-than-temporary
impairments, was essentially unchanged from the original proposal. It
remains a chancre on the body of accounting literature. The credit portion
of an other-than-impairment loss will be recognized in earnings, with all
other attributed loss being recorded in "other comprehensive income," to be
amortized into earnings over the life of the associated security. That's
assuming the other-than-temporary impairment is recognized at all, because
the determination will still be largely driven by the intent of the
reporting entity and whether it's more likely than not that it will have to
sell the security before recovery. This is a huge mulligan for banks with
junky securities.
FASB's FSP Decisions: Bigger than Basketball?"
Seeking Alpha, April 2, 2009 ---
http://seekingalpha.com/article/129189-fasb-s-fsp-decisions-bigger-than-basketball
Bob Jensen
"The New Role of Risk Management: Rebuilding the Model," Interview with Wharton
professors Dick Herring and Francis Diebold, and also with John Drzik, who is
president and chief executive officer of Oliver Wyman Group, Knowledge@wharton,
June 25, 2009 ---
http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=2268
Even though the neutrality-believing FASB is in a state
of denial about the impact of FSB 115-4 on decision making in the real world,
financial analysts and the Director of Corporate Governance at the Harvard Law
School are in no such state of denial,
"The Fall of the Toxic-Assets Plan," The Wall Street Journal, July 9, 2009 ---
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2009/07/09/guest-contribution-the-fall-of-the-toxic-assets-plan/
The government
announced plans to move forward with its
Public-Private Investment Program yesterday. Lucian Bebchuk,
professor of law, economics, and finance and director of the corporate
governance program at Harvard Law School, says that the
program, which has been curtailed significantly, hasn’t made the problem go
away.
The plan for buying troubled assets — which was
earlier announced as the central element of the administration’s financial
stability plan — has been recently curtailed drastically. The Treasury and
the FDIC have attributed this development to banks’ new ability to raise
capital through stock sales without having to sell toxic assets.
But the program’s inability to take off is in large
part due to decisions by banking regulators and accounting officials to
allow banks to pretend that toxic assets haven’t declined in value as long
as they avoid selling them.
The toxic assets clogging banks’ balance sheets
have long been viewed — by both the Bush and the Obama administrations — as
being at the heart of the financial crisis. Secretary Geithner put forward
in March a “public-private investment program” (PPIP) to provide up to $1
trillion to investment funds run by private managers and dedicated to
purchasing troubled assets. The plan aimed at “cleansing” banks’ books of
toxic assets and producing prices that would enable valuing toxic assets
still remaining on these books.
The program naturally attracted much attention, and
the Treasury and the FDIC have begun implementing it. Recently, however, one
half of the program, focused on buying toxic loans from banks, was shelved.
The other half, focused on buying toxic securities from both banks and other
financial institutions, is expected to begin operating shortly but on a much
more modest scale than initially planned.
What happened? Banks’ balance sheets do remain
clogged with toxic assets, which are still difficult to value. But the
willingness of banks to sell toxic assets to investment funds has been
killed by decisions of accounting authorities and banking regulators.
Earlier in the crisis, banks’ reluctance to sell
toxic assets could have been attributed to inability to get prices
reflecting fair value due to the drying up of liquidity. If the PIPP program
began operating on a large scale, however, that would no longer been the
case.
Armed with ample government funding, the private
managers running funds set under the program would be expected to offer fair
value for banks’ assets. Indeed, because the government’s funding would come
in the form of non-recourse financing, many have expressed worries that such
fund managers would have incentives to pay even more than fair value for
banks’ assets. The problem, however, is that banks now have strong
incentives to avoid selling toxic assets at any price below face value even
when the price fully reflects fair value.
A month after the PPIP program was announced, under
pressure from banks and Congress, the U.S. Financial Accounting Standards
Board watered down accounting rules and made it easier for banks not to mark
down the value of toxic assets. For many toxic assets whose fundamental
value fell below face value, banks may avoid recognizing the loss as long as
they don’t sell the assets.
Even if banks can avoid recognizing economic losses
on many toxic assets, it remained possible that bank regulators will take
such losses into account (as they should) in assessing whether banks are
adequately capitalized. In another blow to banks’ potential willingness to
sell toxic assets, however, bank supervisors conducting stress tests decided
to avoid assessing banks’ economic losses on toxic assets that mature after
2010.
The stress tests focused on whether, by the end of
2010, the accounting losses that a bank will have to recognize will leave it
with sufficient capital on its financial statements. The bank supervisors
explicitly didn’t take into account the decline in the economic value of
toxic loans and securities that mature after 2010 and that the banks won’t
have to recognize in financial statements until then.
Together, the policies adopted by accounting and
banking authorities strongly discourage banks from selling any toxic assets
maturing after 2010 at prices that fairly reflect their lowered value. As
long as banks don’t sell, the policies enable them to pretend, and operate
as if, their toxic assets maturing after 2010 haven’t fallen in value at
all.
By contrast, selling would require recognizing
losses and might result in the regulators’ requiring the bank to raise
additional capital; such raising of additional capital would provide
depositors (and the government as their guarantor) with an extra cushion but
would dilute the value of shareholders’ and executives’ equity. Thus, as
long as the above policies are in place, we can expect banks having any
choice in the matter to hold on to toxic assets that mature after 2010 and
avoid selling them at any price, however fair, that falls below face value.
While the market for banks’ toxic assets will
remain largely shut down, we are going to get a sense of their value when
the FDIC auctions off later this summer the toxic assets held by failed
banks taken over by the FDIC. If these auctions produce substantial
discounts to face value, they should ring the alarm bells. In such a case,
authorities should reconsider the policies that allow banks to pretend that
toxic assets haven’t fallen in value. In the meantime, it must be recognized
that the curtailing of the PIPP program doesn’t imply that the toxic assets
problem has largely gone away; it has been merely swept under the carpet.
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on November 8,
2013
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used to introduce fair value accounting for investments versus
historical cost accounting for loans receivable. Questions also ask students to
understand the CFO's personal responsibility for integrity in financial
statement filings and systems of internal control.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Of what wrongdoing has the SEC accused Fifth Third Bancorp of Cincinnati?
2. (Advanced)
What is the importance of classifying loans as held for sale rather than
classifying them as long-term receivables?
3. (Advanced)
Chief Financial Officer Daniel Poston certainly wasn't the only one directly
responsible for the bank's accounting in the third quarter of 2008. Why then is
he the one who is losing his position and facing a one-year ban practicing
before the SEC?
4. (Advanced)
Do you think that Mr. Poston will return to his position as CFO after his one
year ban on practicing in front of the SEC is completed? Explain your answer
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Fifth Third Bancorp FITB
-0.24% has moved its finance chief to a different post in connection with a
tentative agreement it reached with the staff of the Securities and Exchange
Commission regarding the lender's accounting.
The Cincinnati bank said
Daniel Poston will vacate the chief financial officer's and become chief
strategy and administrative officer. Fifth Third appointed Tayfun Tuzun, its
treasurer, to the role of finance chief.
The SEC is seeking a
one-year ban on Mr. Poston's ability to practice before the agency under
separate negotiations with the executive, the bank said.
Fifth Third said its
agreement in principle stems from an investigation into how Fifth Third
accounted for a portion of its commercial-real-estate portfolio in a regulatory
filing for the third quarter of 2008. The dispute focuses on whether the bank
should have classified certain loans as being "held for sale" in the third
quarter of that year rather than in the fourth quarter.
Fifth Third said it will
agree to an SEC order finding that the company failed to properly account for a
portion of the portfolio but will not admit or deny wrongdoing. The bank will
also pay a civil penalty under the agreement, the amount of which wasn't
disclosed.
The agreement requires
the approval of the SEC commissioners.
A spokeswoman for the SEC
and a spokesman for Fifth Third declined to comment.
Mr. Poston, who was
serving as Fifth Third's interim finance chief at the time of the activities, is
in separate settlement discussions with the SEC under which he would agree to
similar charges, a civil penalty and the one-year ban the agency is seeking, the
bank said.
Accounting for the Shadow Economy
Property is much more than a body of norms. It is also a huge information system
that processes raw data until it is transformed into facts that can be tested
for truth, and thereby destroys the main catalysts of recessions and panics --
ambiguity and opacity.
See below
There are trillions of dollars of off balance sheet
obligations that cannot be easily accounted for.
Hernando de Soto
The Obama administration has finally come
up with a plan to deal with the real cause of the credit crunch: the
infamous "toxic assets" on bank balance sheets that have scared off
investors and borrowers, clogging credit markets around the world. But if
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner hopes to prevent a repeat of this global
economic crisis, his rescue plan must recognize that the real problem is not
the bad loans, but the debasement of the paper they are printed on.
Today's global crisis -- a loss on paper
of more than $50 trillion in stocks, real estate, commodities and
operational earnings within 15 months -- cannot be explained only by the
default on a meager 7% of subprime mortgages (worth probably no more than $1
trillion) that triggered it. The real villain is the lack of trust in the
paper on which they -- and all other assets -- are printed. If we don't
restore trust in paper, the next default -- on credit cards or student loans
-- will trigger another collapse in paper and bring the world economy to its
knees.
If you think about it, everything of
value we own travels on property paper.
At the beginning of the decade there was
about $100 trillion worth of property paper representing tangible goods such
as land, buildings, and patents world-wide, and some $170 trillion
representing ownership over such semiliquid assets as mortgages, stocks and
bonds. Since then, however, aggressive financiers have manufactured what the
Bank for International Settlements estimates to be $1 quadrillion worth of
new derivatives (mortgage-backed securities, collateralized debt
obligations, and credit default swaps) that have flooded the market.
These derivatives are the root of the
credit crunch. Why? Unlike all other property paper, derivatives are not
required by law to be recorded, continually tracked and tied to the assets
they represent. Nobody knows precisely how many there are, where they are,
and who is finally accountable for them. Thus, there is widespread fear that
potential borrowers and recipients of capital with too many nonperforming
derivatives will be unable to repay their loans. As trust in property paper
breaks down it sets off a chain reaction, paralyzing credit and investment,
which shrinks transactions and leads to a catastrophic drop in employment
and in the value of everyone's property.
Ever since humans started trading, lending
and investing beyond the confines of the family and the tribe, we have
depended on legally authenticated written statements to get the facts about
things of value. Over the past 200 years, that legal authority has matured
into a global consensus on the procedures, standards and principles required
to document facts in a way that everyone can easily understand and trust.
The result is a formidable property system
with rules and recording mechanisms that fix on paper the facts that allow
us to hold, transfer, transform and use everything we own, from stocks to
screenplays. The only paper representing an asset that is not centrally
recorded, standardized and easily tracked are derivatives.
Property is much more than a body of
norms. It is also a huge information system that processes raw data until it
is transformed into facts that can be tested for truth, and thereby destroys
the main catalysts of recessions and panics -- ambiguity and opacity.
To bring derivatives under the rule of law,
governments should ensure that they conform to six longstanding procedures
that guarantee the value and legitimacy of any kind of paper purporting to
represent an asset:
- All documents and the assets and
transactions they represent or are derived from must be recorded in
publicly accessible registries. It is only by recording and continually
updating such factual knowledge that we can detect the kind of overly
creative financial and contractual instruments that plunged us into this
recession.
- The law has to take into account the
"externalities" or side effects of all financial transactions according
to the legal principle of erga omnes ("toward all"), which was
originally developed to protect third parties from the negative
consequences of secret deals carried out by aristocracies accountable to
no one but themselves.
- Every financial deal must be firmly
tethered to the real performance of the asset from which it originated.
By aligning debts to assets, we can create simple and understandable
benchmarks for quickly detecting whether a financial transaction has
been created to help production or to bet on the performance of distant
"underlying assets."
- Governments should never forget that
production always takes priority over finance. As Adam Smith and Karl
Marx both recognized, finance supports wealth creation, but in itself
creates no value.
- Governments can encourage assets to
be leveraged, transformed, combined, recombined and repackaged into any
number of tranches, provided the process intends to improve the value of
the original asset. This has been the rule for awarding property since
the beginning of time.
- Governments can no longer tolerate
the use of opaque and confusing language in drafting financial
instruments. Clarity and precision are indispensable for the creation of
credit and capital through paper. Western politicians must not forget
what their greatest thinkers have been saying for centuries: All
obligations and commitments that stick are derived from words recorded
on paper with great precision.
Above all, governments should stop
clinging to the hope that the existing market will eventually sort things
out. "Let the market do its work" has come to mean, "let the shadow economy
do its work." But modern markets only work if the paper is reliable.
Off Balance Sheet Vehicles
The Mother of All Ponzi Schemes According to Top Liberal (Progressive)
Economists
The Latest Bailout Plan’s a Disaster According to
Paul Krugman and
James K. Galbraith And yet American policy-makers appear convinced
that more debt can rescue an economy already drowning in it. If we can just keep
the leverage party going, all will be well. $787 billion to fund “stimulus,”
another $9 trillion committed to guarantee bad debts, 0% interest rates and
quantitative easing to drive more lending, new
off balance sheet vehicles
to hide from the public the toxic assets they’ve absorbed. All of it to be
funded with debt, most of it the responsibility of taxpayers. If I may offer
just one reason this will all fail: rising interest rates. Interest rates need
only revert to their historical median in order to hammer asset values, and
balance sheets, into oblivion. "Added Debt Won't Rescue the Great American Ponzi
Scheme," Seeking Alpha, March 23, 2009 ---
http://seekingalpha.com/article/127261-added-debt-won-t-rescue-the-great-american-ponzi-scheme?source=article_sb_picks
The defining moments of our financial crisis are
now familiar. Last September, Lehman collapsed and AIG was teetering.
Because an AIG collapse was viewed as posing unacceptable systemic risks,
the Federal Reserve provided the company with an emergency $85 billion loan
on Sept. 16.
But a curious incident that fateful day raises
significant public policy issues. Goldman Sachs reported that its exposure
to AIG was "not material." Yet on March 15 of this year, AIG disclosed that
it paid $7 billion of its government loan last fall to satisfy obligations
to Goldman. A "not material" statement and a $7 billion payout appear to be
at odds.
Why didn't Goldman bark that September day? One
explanation is that Goldman was, to use a term that I coined a few years
ago, largely an "empty creditor" of AIG. More generally, the empty-creditor
phenomenon helps explain otherwise-puzzling creditor behavior toward
troubled debtors. Addressing the phenomenon can help us cope with its impact
on individual debtors and the overall financial system.
What is an empty creditor? Consider that debt
ownership conveys a package of economic rights (to receive principal and
interest), contractual control rights (to enforce the terms of the
agreement), and other legal rights (to participate in bankruptcy
proceedings). Traditionally, law and business practice assume these
components are bundled together. Another foundational assumption: Creditors
generally want to keep solvent firms out of bankruptcy and to maximize their
value.
These assumptions can no longer be relied on.
Credit default swaps and other products now permit a creditor to avoid any
actual exposure to financial risk from a shaky debt -- while still
maintaining his formal contractual control rights to enforce the terms of
the debt agreement, and his legal rights under bankruptcy and other laws.
Thus the "empty creditor": someone (or institution)
who may have the contractual control but, by simultaneously holding credit
default swaps, little or no economic exposure if the debt goes bad. Indeed,
if a creditor holds enough credit default swaps, he may simultaneously have
control rights and incentives to cause the debtor firm's value to fall. And
if bankruptcy occurs, the empty creditor may undermine proper
reorganization, especially if his interests (or non-interests) are not fully
disclosed to the bankruptcy court.
Goldman Sachs was apparently an empty creditor of
AIG. On March 20, David Viniar, Goldman's chief financial officer, indicated
that the company had bought credit default swaps from "large financial
institutions" that would pay off if AIG defaulted on its debt. A Bloomberg
News story on that day quotes Mr. Viniar as saying that "[n]et-net I would
think we had a gain over time" with respect to the credit default swap
contracts.
Goldman asserted its contractual rights to require
AIG to provide collateral on transactions between the two, notwithstanding
the impact of such collateral calls on AIG. This behavior was
understandable: Goldman had responsibilities to its own shareholders and, in
Mr. Viniar's words, was "fully protected and didn't have to take a loss."
Nothing in the law prevents any creditor from
decoupling his actual economic exposure from his debt. And I do not suggest
any inappropriate behavior on the part of Goldman or any other party from
such "debt decoupling." But none of the existing regulatory efforts
involving credit derivatives are directed at the empty-creditor issue. Empty
creditors have weaker incentives to cooperate with troubled corporations to
avoid collapse and, if collapse occurs, can cause substantive and disclosure
complexities in bankruptcy.
An initial, incremental, and low-cost step lies in
the area of a real-time informational clearinghouse for credit default swaps
and other over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives transactions and other crucial
derivatives-related information. Creditors are not generally required to
disclose the "emptiness" of their status, or how they achieved it. More
generally, OTC derivatives contracts are individually negotiated and not
required to be disclosed to any regulator, much less to the public
generally. No one regulator, nor the capital markets generally, know on a
real-time basis the entity-specific exposures, the ultimate resting places
of the credit, market, and other risks associated with OTC derivatives.
With such a clearinghouse, the interconnectedness
of market participants' exposures would have been clearer, governmental
decisions about bailing out Lehman and AIG would have been better informed,
and the market's disciplining forces could have played larger roles. Most
important, a clearinghouse could have helped financial institutions to avoid
misunderstanding their own products, and modeling and risk assessment
systems -- misunderstandings that contributed to the global economic crisis.
Henry Hu is a professor at the University of Texas Law School.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 14, 2009
Getting Your Due by Simona
Covel
The Wall Street Journal
May 11, 2009
(Print Edition Only: Not available online)
TOPICS: Advances,
Factoring, Financial Accounting
SUMMARY: "Borrowing
against receivables isn't new. For hundreds of years, cash-strapped
companies have hired...factors to advance them funds based on money owed by
customers....A few companies are [offering]...products and services designed
to make the process of borrowing against customer invoices cheaper and more
transparent." One example of a company using these services is Data Drive
Thru, Inc., a young start up that has made it to selling to big box stores
such as Staples,. CFO Brad Oldham says, "Retailers may not be real fast
paying, but they do pay." Data Drive Thru posts its invoices on Receivables
Exchange LLC, which can be thought of as "eBay for receivables...Lenders
then peruse the site, searching for receivables against which they are
willing to lend. Lenders bid on those invoices, with the majority electing a
fixed buyout price similar to eBay's 'buy it now' feature." Factoring can be
expensive though less so on this facility than traditional past practices.
Further, other companies have joined the market to provide verification
services for the receivables being factored.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Covering
the unusual topic of factoring can be brought to "cyber" life with this
article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What is factoring of receivables? What journal entries are recorded when
factoring receivables?
2. (Advanced)
How expensive is it to factor receivables? In your answer, quote one rate
given in the article and express the rate as an annual interest rate.
3. (Introductory)
Why do companies undertake factoring as a means of obtaining cash if it is
so expensive?
4. (Advanced)
What is "transparency" in the process of factoring receivables?
Specifically, cite examples in the article of activities that help provide
this quality in these financing transactions.
5. (Advanced)
Refer to the chart showing the average number of days it takes private
companies to collect money owed by customers. How is this statistic
calculated? Be specific, including the source of the financial data for the
calculation.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Videos About Off-Balance-Sheet Financing to an Unimaginable
Degree
The history of financial reporting is replete
with ploys to keep debt from being disclosed in financial statements. If
standard setters require disclosures, the history of financial reporting is
replete with ploys to keep the disclosed obligations from being booked under the
liabilities section of the balance sheet.
Examples of OBSF ploys in the past and some that still remain as
viable means of keeping debt off the balance sheets.
Underfunded Pensions, Post-Retirement
Obligations, and Other Debt
Probably the largest form of OBSF is booked debt that is badly
understated. Particularly problematic is variable debt that is badly
underestimated. For example, a company or a government unit (e.g., city or
county) may be obligated to pay medical bills or insurance premiums for
retired employees and their families. Until FAS 106 companies did not report
these obligations at all. Governmental agencies (not the Federal government)
are just not becoming obligated to report such obligations under GASB 45.
Accounting rules have been so lax that many of these obligations were never
disclosed or disclosed at absurdly low amounts relative to the explosion in
the costs of medical care and medical insurance. Pensions had to be booked,
but the rules allowed companies to greatly understate the amount of the
unfunded debt.
Forward contracts, swaps, and some other
derivative financial instruments.
Until FAS 119 in 1995, many derivative contracts did not even have to
disclose many derivative financial instruments contracts, some of which had
enormous obligations. FAS 119 was issued as a stop gap disclosure standard
after some enormous scandals in undisclosed derivative obligations. See
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#DerivativesFrauds
In the Year 2000, FAS 133 kicked in as a complex standard requiring not only
disclosure but booking of derivative financial instruments in balance sheet
accounts and maintenance at fair values at all reporting dates. For
tutorials on this complex standard see
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/caseans/000index.htm
Capital leases and leasing subsidiaries
Until FAS 13, leases did not have to be booked. Companies entered into
complex leasing arrangements to avoid showing debt on balance sheet. For
example, Safeway borrowed heavily to build hundreds of grocery stores across
the United States and then transferred the stores and their mortgages to a
leasing subsidiary. The stores were then leased from Safeway's leasing
subsidiary. The leasing subsidiary was not consolidated in Safeway's
financial statements. Hence all the debt on all Safeway stores was hidden on
Safeway balance sheets. Safeway was not unique. This ploy was used by
hundreds of companies to keep millions in debt off balance sheets. FAS 94
put an end to much of this type of OBSF by requiring consolidation of
financing subsidiary corporations ---
http://www.nysscpa.org/cpajournal/old/07551314.htm
The Financial Accounting Standards Board has
implemented Statement of Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) 94, requiring
consolidated financial statements for all majority-owned subsidiaries with
their parent firms, in order to eliminate off balance sheet financing. The
manufacturing sector of the economy is expected to be heavily affected, with
highly leveraged subsidiaries causing an increase in total debt and the debt
to equity ratio after consolidation. The likely effects of SFAS 94 on extant
debt and management contracting agreements include increased operating costs
due to the: negative effects in the securities markets; increased costs
inherent in the recontracting of debt covenant restrictions in light of
likely violations; and the renegotiation of dividend restrictions,
management compensation agreements, and loan agreements.
FAS 13 put an end to much OBSF by setting up bright lines distinguishing
capital leases from operating leases. Capital leases that are essentially a
form of financing capital assets are required to be booked as debt on the
balance sheet ---
http://ez13.com/rules.htm
Operating Leases
In theory an operating lease is a lease without any intention of ever owning
the leased asset. For example, a company that rents a store in a shopping
mall signs an operating lease but can never become an owner of that rented
space in the mall. Many offices are rented in office buildings under similar
"operating leases." FAS 13 created some bright line tests of whether a lease
is an operating lease or a capital lease that is simply a means of financing
eventual ownership. The problem is that FAS 13 bright line tests allow many
companies to declare leases operating leases that are really capital leases
in disguise. For example, airline companies typically declare leases on
aircraft to be operating leases that meet the bright line tests in theory
but not in substance. Hence operating leases remain as one of the main ploys
of keeping debt off the balance sheet.
Unconsolidated ventures and financing
companies
FAS 94 did not put an end to all OBSF from unconsolidated subsidiares. For
example, the FASB still allows OBSF with Variable Interest Entities (VIEs
that were formerly called SPEs). FIN 46 dictates when OFSF is still allowed
with the key rule that the value of the VIE's assets should exceed the value
of the obligations and the requirement that an independent outside investor
place at least 10% interest in the VIE at risk. See
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen//theory/00overview/speOverview.htm
Securitizations are popular forms of VIEs that keep debt off the
balance sheet. For example, a VIE (formerly called SPE) might be
formed to hold real estate and the issuance of debt carried by the VIE to
finance that real estate. The concept, however, is a bit more subtle as
explained at
http://www.securitization.net/knowledge/transactions/introduction.asp
The Nature of Securitization
Most attempts to define securitization
make the same mistake; they focus on the process of securitization instead
of on the substance, or meaning, of securitization. Hence, the most common
definition of securitization is that it consists of the pooling of assets
and the issuance of securities to finance the carrying of the pooled assets.
Yet, surely, this reveals no more about securitization than seeing one's
image reflected in a mirror reveals about one's inner character. In Lord
Kelvin's terms, it is knowledge of "a meager and unsatisfactory kind."
A better definition of securitization is
that it consists of the use of superior knowledge about the expected
financial behavior of particular assets, as opposed to knowledge about the
expected financial behavior of the originator of the chosen assets, with the
help of structure to more efficiently finance the assets. This definition is
superior because it better explains the need for the most essential aspects
of any securitization any where in the world under any legal system, and it
better defines the place of securitization within several of the broader
financial trends that have occurred at the end of our century.
The first trend has been the break down of
individual, segregated and protected, capital markets into one, increasingly
world-wide, capital market. The result of this trend has been a drive to
find ever more efficient forms of raising capital, particularly in the form
of debt financings. The more efficient forms will, by definition, in capital
markets that are not segregated or protected from other competing markets,
replace the less efficient forms.
Securitization, in the correct
circumstances, is one of the very most efficient forms of financing. This is
because of two additional trends. The first is the increasing importance of
the use of information to create wealth. The second is the increasing
sophistication of computers and their uses. Securitization is made possible
by the combination of these two trends. Computers enable one to store and
retrieve extensive data about the historical behavior of pools of assets.
This historical data in turn enables one to predict, under the right
circumstances, the behavior of pools of such assets subsequently originated
by the applicable originator. Because our knowledge about such behavior may
be so precise and reliable, when structured correctly, a securitization may
entail less risk than a financing of the entity that originated the
securitized assets. Again in Lord Kelvin's terms, our knowledge about the
likely behavior of pools of assets is "measurable" and we "express it in
numbers." It is a superior sort of knowledge from the perspective of the
world of finance. Accordingly, such a securitization may be fairly labeled
to be more efficient and indeed may require less over-all capital than
competing forms of financing.
The preferred definition of securitization
with which this essay began thus reveals why securitization often is
preferable to other forms of financing. It also explains most of the
structural requirements of securitization. For, to take advantage of
superior information of the expected behavior of a pool of assets, the
ability of the investor to rely on those assets for payment must not be
materially impaired by the financial behavior of the related originator or
any of its affiliates. In most legal systems, this is not practicable
without the isolation of those assets legally from the financial fortunes of
the originator. Isolation, in turn, is almost always accomplished by the
legal transfer of the assets to another entity, often a special purpose
entity ("SPE") that has no businesses other than holding, servicing,
financing and liquidating the assets in order to insure that the only
relevant event to the financial success of the investors' investment in the
assets is the behavior of such assets. Finally, almost all of the structural
complexities that securitization entails are required either to create such
isolation or to deal with the indirect effects of the creation of such
isolation. For example, the (i) attempt to cause such transfers to be "true
sales" in order to eliminate the ability of the originator to call on such
assets in its own bankruptcy, (ii) "perfection" of the purchaser's interest
in the transferred assets, (iii) protections built into the form of the SPE,
its administration and its capital structure all in order to render it
"bankruptcy remote", and (iv) limitation on the liabilities that an SPE may
otherwise incur are each attributes of the structure of a securitization
designed to insure that the isolation of the transferred assets is not only
theoretical but also real.
Similarly, attempts to (i) limit taxes on
the income of the SPE or the movement across borders of the interest accrued
by transferred receivables, (ii) comply with the various securities or
investment laws that apply to the securities issued by the various SPEs in
order to finance their purchases of the assets, or (iii) comply with the
bank regulatory restrictions that arise in connection with such transfers,
the creation of SPEs and the other various roles played by banks in
connection with sponsoring such transactions each constitute a reaction to
indirect problems caused by the structuring of the above described transfer
and the SPE to receive the transferred assets.
Synthetic leasing is motivated by the corporate tax code that allows
a company to a transaction to be booked as an OBSF VIE from an accounting
standpoint and as a loan from a tax standpoint. The end results are an
off-balance sheet account of the financing and the tax benefits, such as
depreciation, that accompany the financed asset.
There are many other ploys for hiding debt with unconsolidated "ventures."
One ploy is called a diamond structure. A diamond structure arises
when three or more companies form a financing venture in which all companies
own less than 50% of the venture. The venture can sometimes borrow millions
or billions of dollars because of business contracts between the venture and
its "owners." For example, pipeline ventures may be diamond structured
ventures where three or more major oil companies sign "throughput" contracts
to ship huge amounts of fuel through the venture's pipeline. Since these
major oil companies have very solid financial reputations (e.g., companies
like Exxon and Shell), the venture can borrow billions to build the
pipeline. That huge amount of debt never appears on the financial statements
of the companies who sign the throughput contracts. The throughput contracts
must be disclosed, but these are like purchase contracts that do not have to
be booked in advance.
Unconsolidated Suppliers and Customers Whereas diamond structures are typically VIEs formed by "equity"
holders (the VIE may not actually issue equity shares per se) in the
venture, it is possible that long-term purchase contracts with suppliers or
long-term sales contracts with customers are sufficient for those customers
and suppliers to borrow huge amounts of debt. For example, suppose a paper
company needs an enormous supply of paper pulp. The company could borrow
money and invest in its own timber lands and pulp mills. But that might
entail putting an enormous amount of debt on the paper company's balance
sheet. Instead the company could sign a long-term purchase contract with a
relatively unknown pulp producer. The purchase contract alone might enable
the pulp producer to borrow enough for huge tracts of timberland and pulp
producing mill construction. The debt appears on the pulp producer's books
but never on the paper company's books. The paper company may be indirectly
obligated for an enormous amount of this debt, however, because if the
company should renege on its long-term purchase contracts it will be liable
for damages under the unbooked purchase contract (purchase contracts are not
booked like debt contracts).
Similar arrangements might be made with customers. Instead of borrowing to
finance retail stores, a company might sell franchises that, in turn, can
borrow money to build stores because of the franchise reputation such as a
McDonald's Restaurant franchise. The franchiser (e.g., McDonalds
Corporation) may have huge unbooked obligations for damages if it reneges on
the franchise contract. Sales contracts are not booked like debt is booked.
In-Substance Defeasance In-substance defeasance used to be a ploy to take debt off the balance
sheet. It was invented by Exxon in 1982 as a means of capturing the millions
in a gain on debt (bonds) that had gone up significantly in value due to
rising interest rates. The debt itself was permanently "parked" with an
independent trustee as if it had been cancelled by risk free government
bonds also placed with the trustee in a manner that the risk free assets
would be sufficient to pay off the parked debt at maturity. The defeased
(parked) $515 million in debt was taken off of Exxon's balance sheet and the
$132 million gain of the debt was booked into current earnings ---
http://www.bsu.edu/majb/resource/pdf/vol04num2.pdf
Defeasance was thus looked upon as an alternative to outright extinguishment
of debt until the FASB passed FAS 125 that ended the ability of companies to
use in-substance defeasance to remove debt from the balance sheet. Prior to FAS
125, defeasance became enormously popular as an OBSF ploy.
In-Substance Real Estate
From Ernst & Young on December 1, 2011
30 November
2011 FASB meeting
Insurance Contracts - The Board discussed the
measurement of cash flows of insurance contracts that depend on the
performance of the insurer or specific assets and liabilities of the
insurer (i.e., the underlying items). To eliminate accounting
mismatches, the Board decided that the liability for performance-linked
participating features should be adjusted to reflect timing differences
between the current liability (i.e., the obligation incurred to date)
and the measurement of the underlying items in the statement of
financial position. The Board also decided that any changes in the
liability for the performance-linked participating feature would be
reported in the same way as the changes in the underlying items within
the statement of comprehensive income (i.e., either in net income or OCI).
EITF Consensuses - The Board ratified the final
consensus reached on Issue 10-E, "Derecognition of In-Substance Real
Estate." The FASB Chairman subsequently announced the addition of a
research project to the Board's agenda to address the question of
whether a nonfinancial asset that has been placed in a legal entity
should be subject to recognition and derecognition rules applicable to
the asset or the consolidation literature. She also clarified that the
accounting described in the final consensus is not required for lenders.
The Board also ratified the consensus-for-exposure reached on Issue
11-A, "Parent's Accounting for the Cumulative Translation Adjustment
(CTA) upon the Sale or Transfer of a Group of Assets that is a Nonprofit
Activity or a Business within a Consolidated Foreign Entity." The
consensus-for-exposure will be exposed for a period of 60 days.
If the bonds are marketable (a very small “if”),
then it should matter very little if there is one less potential buyer in
the market. Let me try explain the windfall angle in two different ways.
First, before the defeasance, the bonds were unsecured; the trust
essentially provides security on the bond principal (and also the interest).
Second, and relatedly, the market’s discount rate on the bond’s future
contractual cash flows should decrease, which will of course drive up the
price of the bonds on the market; therefore, bondholders get an immediate
realizable gain. The gain doesn’t arise out of thin air – it is a transfer
of value from shareholders to bondholders.
Perhaps we differ on this, because you may think
that Exxon bonds were already priced as if they were risk-free. Even if
that’s the case, it certainly doesn’t hold generally.
Best,
Tom
September 1, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Tom,
What I sort of lost track of is how popular defeasance is in spite of not
being able to remove debt from the balance sheet with in-substance
defeasance ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Defeasance
It is especially popular with commercial mortgages and municipal bonds
(which commonly have embedded defeasance options).
You make a good point in terms of AFS investors in bonds that are
not AAA, especially if there are no embedded defeasance options. However, I
think a majority of bonds being defeased (especially municipal bonds) are
sold with embedded defeasance options such that defeasance is factored into
fair value of bonds. The impact, however, can be confusing.
Bonds are unique and have several
distinguishing characteristics, particularly covenants that make them
different from the CDS contract in terms of credit risk. In this
section, we look at how the characteristics of these covenants affect
their basis. The full list of these covenants, along with their
definitions and the expected signs of the coefficients, is given in
Appendix A. The results reported in table 8, represent the coefficients
of the dummy variables associated with each covenant in a pooled
regression, controlling for the bond specific, firm-specific, and CDS
market variables included above. Note that the coefficients reported in
table 8 are obtained using a regression where the dependent variable is
the basis and not the yield spread of the bond itself - that is, credit
risk as measured by the CDS price for the same issuer has already been
controlled for.
We find that credit-sensitive bonds have a
higher basis (are more expensive) by almost ten basis points, on
average, compared to other bonds,
although this effect is not statistically significant.
Bonds that have an option to be defeased
have a lower basis by up to eight basis points.
Defeasance is the process whereby the issuer of the security sets aside
cash in order to redeem the security. Defeasance thus serves to decrease
the credit risk of a bond, and in doing so, acts as a signal to
investors in the bond. A defeasance option allows the issuer of a bond
to set-aside cash for the purpose of buying back the bond, when it is
advantageous for the issuer to do so. One would normally expect defeased
bonds to be more expensive relative to other bonds. We find the
opposite, and puzzling result. This seems to indicate that a defeasance
option serves as a signal that the issuer of the bond is of higher risk.
In other words, if firms that are more likely to default have a higher
likelihood of having defeasance options, investors would see that as a
negative signal, and this would make the bonds cheaper relative to other
bonds. We confirm this by looking at the types of firms that have
defeasance as an option, and find that these are indeed primarily high
leverage, poor credit rating firms.
Continued in article
There is also the possibility of raising bond prices with partial
defeasance to cover catastrophic losses.
"Stock Market Reactions to the Issue of Cat Bonds," by Philippe Mueller,
June 2002 ---
http://www.hec.unil.ch/cms_mbf/master_thesis/0025.pdf
The basic structure can also be varied by
creating different tranches within the issue. This allows creating
securities with different credit ratings, which is needed to attract
different classes of investors. A cat bond could for example be offered
in a principal-at-risk and a principal-protected (defeased)
tranche. In the case of the principal-protected tranche, only a part of
the capital is put at risk. The remainder is held in a separate account
and is used to buy zero-coupon treasury bonds in case of a catastrophe
event. This assures repayment of the full principal at a later date than
planned. Principal-protected tranches can carry a rating up to triple-A
with respect to principal repayment and are offered to have
institutional investors with restrictions on the amount available for
noninvestment grade securities subscribe to newly issued cat bond. The
principal-at-risk tranche is usually rated B or BB. Historically, most
successful cat bonds had at least one tranche rated investment grade.
More recently, the trend has been towards lower rated securities with
sometimes not even the most senior tranche reaching investment grade. As
expected, the investor base accordingly also changed from mostly money
managers, mutual funds and pension plans to hedge funds and insurance
companies.
Investor gains in general due to risk lowering due to defeasance may not
be as great as you think in some instances. However, I have not conducted a
search for test cases that may well have emerged in the latest economic
crisis.
"Is In-Substance Defeasance of Debt Too Good To Be True?" by Barbara
Apostolou and Raymond Jefferds, Mid-American Journal of Business,
Fall 1989, pp. 15-20 ---
http://www.bsu.edu/web/majb/resource/pdf/vol04num2.pdf#page=14
A potentially serious problem arises if a
defeased corporation subsequently files for bankruptcy. The major
unresolved problem in accounting for defeased debt concerns the
possibility that trust assets of a bankrupt firm could be used to settle
claims of general creditors. The question of what circumstances would
allow invasion of a defeasance trust are not yet known. Until this
question is tested in court, corporate managers cannot be assured that
defeasance eliminates all the risk in the repayment of a debt issue. It
remains unclear whether the courts would uphold the irrevocable nature
of the trust or set it aside under the Bankruptcy Act. This problem
cannot be addressed until or unless a test case arises.
Another potential risk concerns the failure of
the trustee to fulfill the obligations of the defeasance trust
agreement. Suppose, for example, that the trustee experiences financial
difficulty or misappropriates trust assets. The possibility of trustee
negligence or malfeasance must be weighted against the fact that the
defeasing corporation remains legally liable for defeased debt until
full repayment is made. Is the legal liability for defeased debt clearly
communicated to readers of the financial statements? What would be the
likely legal consequences of a suit to recover bondholder losses in the
event of bankruptcy on the part of either the trustee or the defeased
corporation? These questions remain unanswered, although management can
guard against this risk by choosing a trustee with both an excellent
reputation for integrity and strong financial roots.
Continued in article
In the current economic crisis the bond ratings were impacted by
suspected fraud among credit rating agencies such that without being
defeased the bonds could continue to carry credit ratings that were too high
---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Sleaze
JMR Chalmers
Charles H. Lundquist College of Business,
1208 University of Oregon, Eugene, OR 97403, USA
e-mail:
jchalmer@oregon.uoregon.edu
Abstract
Fama (1977) and Miller (1977) predict that one
minus the corporatetax rate will equate after tax
yields from comparable taxableand tax-exempt bonds.
Empirical evidence shows that long-termtax-exempt
yields are higher than theory predicts. Two popular
explanations for this empirical puzzle are that, relative totaxable bonds, municipal bonds bear more default risk and
includecostly call options. I study U.S. government
secured municipalbond yields which are effectively
default-free and noncallable.These municipal yields
display the same tendency to be too high.I conclude
that differential default risk and call options do
not explain the municipal bond puzzle.
Question
How does fair IFRS value accounting differ for financial instruments versus
derivative financial instruments?
The IASB is proposing an amendment to IAS 39 that will give the option to
maintain financial instrument liabilities at fair value with gains and losses
going to AOCI instead of current earnings. However, this does not make the fair
value accounting totally consistent with fair value accounting for derivative
financial instruments where changes in fair value go to current earnings except
in qualified hedging transactions.
Whereas firms are increasingly pressured by the FASB and the IASB to maintain
financial assets at fair value, maintaining financial liabilities at fair values
is much more controversial since the future cash flows of fixed-rate debt may
depart greatly from current fair value. For cash flows of a fixed rate mortgage
are well defined whereas the fair value of those cash flows may fluctuate
day-to-day with interest rates. Fair value adjustments of debt that the firm
either cannot or does not intend to liquidate may be quite misleading regarding
financial risk.
The same cannot be said for derivative financial instruments where FAS 133
and IAS 39 require maintaining the current reported balances at fair value.
However, the FASB is proposing an amendment to IAS 39 that will give the
option to maintain financial instrument liabilities at fair value with gains and
losses going to AOCI instead of current earnings. However, this does not make
the fair value accounting totally consistent with fair value accounting for
derivative financial instruments where changes in fair value go to current
earnings except in qualified hedging transactions.
The IASB has published for public comment an
exposure draft (ED) of proposing to amend the way the fair value option in
IAS 39 Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement is applied with
respect to financial liabilities. Many investors and others have said that
volatility in profit or loss resulting from changes in an entity's own
credit risk is counter-intuitive and does not provide useful information –
except for value changes relating to derivatives and liabilities held for
trading (such as short sales). The IASB is proposing, therefore, that all
gains and losses resulting from changes in 'own credit' for those financial
liabilities that an entity chooses to measure at fair value should be
recognised as a component of 'other comprehensive income', not in profit or
loss. The ED does not propose any other changes for financial liabilities.
Consequently, the proposals will affect only those entities that elect to
apply the fair value option to their financial liabilities. Importantly,
those who prefer to bifurcate financial liabilities when relevant may
continue to do so. That is consistent with the widespread view that the
existing requirements for financial liabilities work well, other than the
'own credit' issue that these proposals cover.
Accounting rule makers are on the verge of rolling
back a widely assailed provision that counterintuitively adds to U.S. banks'
profits when their debt looks riskier to investors and penalizes them when
it looks safer.
The provision—known as the debt or debit value
adjustment, or DVA—has come under increasing fire as major banks posted
quarterly results whipsawed by big gains one quarter and big losses the next
as the market value of their own debt fluctuated.
Major banks and securities firms have posted almost
$4 billion in cumulative DVA gains over the past year, but big DVA losses
are expected in the third quarter, including an anticipated $1.9 billion at
Bank of America Corp., disclosed Friday.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board, which
sets U.S. accounting standards, tentatively agreed in June to strip the
changes out of net-income calculations, which would prevent the DVA swings
from affecting banks' marquee earnings numbers any longer. The board is
expected to formally propose the move by the end of the year— none too soon,
in the view of some banking observers.
"They cannot get rid of this rule fast enough in my
opinion," said Chris Kotowski, an analyst with Oppenheimer & Co.
J.P. Morgan Chase. Chief Executive
James Dimon last year called the rule "one of the
more ridiculous concepts that's ever been invented in accounting."
Any change is unlikely to come before 2014, so it
won't help banks during their third-quarter earnings season, which begins
Oct. 12 with J.P. Morgan's results.
But ultimately it may help banks' earnings be a
little simpler and cleaner—and relieve banks of what has become a quarterly
chore of explaining away an item that has distorted their bottom-line
performance.
The change "provides more clarity in financial
results, and what we have now muddies the waters," said Robert Willens, a
tax and accounting expert who heads his own firm, Robert Willens LLC.
The peculiar gains and losses stem from a rule the
FASB issued in 2007, allowing banks to value some of their liabilities at
"fair value"—market value or the closest approximation—instead of original
cost.
Under current rules, banks must record losses when
the value rises on some of their debt, and post profits when the debt's
value declines.
The rationale is that lower market prices make it
cheaper for banks to repurchase their own debt.
The banks choose which debt receives this treatment
and often apply it to so-called structured notes, in which the payout to the
holder is tied to changes in some other instrument. (Banks report DVA
numbers slightly differently, so the numbers aren't always directly
comparable.)
That means that improving perceptions of a bank's
creditworthiness hurt its earnings, and worsening perceptions of
creditworthiness help earnings. That feeds big swings in earnings at banks
like
Morgan Stanley, which went from a $216 million DVA
gain in the fourth quarter of 2011 to a $2 billion loss in the first quarter
of 2012 to a $350 million gain in the second quarter.
Sometimes the DVA gains and losses make a big
difference in banks' bottom lines. In the first quarter of 2012, for
instance, Morgan Stanley had a $78 million loss from continuing operations
applicable to the company. Excluding its big DVA loss for the quarter,
however, it had income from continuing operations of $1.4 billion.
Under the tentative agreement the FASB reached in
June, DVA gains and losses will go into "other comprehensive income," a
separately reported form of earnings that includes a variety of items that
don't stem from a company's operations, such as foreign-exchange effects and
changes in the value of pension assets.
The move is "a definite improvement" on the FASB's
part, Mr. Willens said. "I guess they've seen the error of their ways."
The change is expected to be part of a broader
proposal revamping the accounting for financial assets and liabilities that
the FASB expects to issue by year's end. That proposal is subject to public
comment and possible changes before it would be implemented.
The changes will give investors "greater
information," said FASB member Russell Golden.
Continued in article
Unlike FAS 133, IAS 39 no longer requires bifurcation of embedded derivatives
that are not "clearly and closely related" to the host instrument.
The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)
today published for public comment its proposed changes to the
accounting for financial liabilities.
This proposal follows
work already completed on the classification and measurement of
financial assets (IFRS 9 Financial Instruments).
The IASB is proposing
limited changes to the accounting for liabilities, with changes to
the fair value option. The proposals respond to the view expressed
by many investors and others in the extensive consultations that the
IASB has undertaken—that volatility in profit or loss resulting from
changes in the credit risk of liabilities that an entity chooses to
measure at fair value is counter-intuitive and does not provide
useful information to investors.
When the IASB
introduced IFRS 9 many stakeholders around the world advised the
IASB that the existing requirements for financial liabilities work
well, except for the effects of changes in the credit risk of a
financial liability (‘own credit’) that an entity chooses to measure
at fair value.
Building on that global
consultation on IFRS 9, the IASB sought the views of investors,
preparers, audit firms, regulators and others on the ‘own credit’
issue. The views received were consistent with the earlier
consultations—that volatility in profit or loss resulting from
changes in ‘own credit’ does not provide useful information except
for derivatives and liabilities that are held for trading.
The IASB is therefore
proposing that all gains and losses resulting from changes in ‘own
credit’ for financial liabilities that an entity chooses to measure
at fair value should be transferred to ‘other comprehensive
income’. Changes in ‘own credit’ will therefore not affect reported
profit or loss.
No other changes are
proposed for financial liabilities. Therefore, the proposals will
affect only those entities that choose to apply the fair value
option to their financial liabilities. Importantly, those who
prefer to bifurcate financial liabilities when relevant may continue
to do so. That is consistent with the widespread view that the
existing requirements for financial liabilities work well, other
than the ‘own credit’ issue that these proposals cover.
Commenting on the
proposals, Sir David Tweedie, Chairman of the IASB, said:
Whilst there are
theoretical arguments for treating financial assets and
liabilities in the same way it is hard to defend the accounting
as providing useful information when a company suffering
deterioration in credit quality is able to book a corresponding
large profit, especially when investors tell us that such
information is often excluded from their financial models.
An IASB
‘Snapshot’, a high level summary of the proposals, is available to
download free of charge from the IASB website at
http://go.iasb.org/financial+liabilities.
The exposure
draft Fair Value Option for Financial Liabilities is open for
comment until 16 July 2010. It can be accessed via the ‘Comment on
a proposal’ section on
www.iasb.org
from today.
Jensen Comment
What the IASB has not done is eliminate the enormous inconsistency in fair value
accounting for financial assets versus financial liabilities.
This proposed
IAS 39 amendment allowing for an option to carry debt at fair value is still in
exposure draft form.
The worst part
of all this is that students, let’s call them classic sophomores, are willing to
jump to conclusions like the following:
1.Historical cost accounting, even when
price-level adjusted, leads to ancient balances of assets and liabilities that
are seriously out of date with current market values whether markets are entry
or exit value markets.
2.Therefore, to the extent possible assets and
liabilities should be carried at fair values (exit or entry) with changes in
fair values reported in current earnings.
What these
sophomores do not understand that fair value adjustments create utter fiction
for held-to-maturity or other “locked-in” items. Adjusting some assets and
liabilities to fair values is utter fiction if there is no option or intent for
fair value transactions to transpire before some shock such as contractual
maturity or abandonment of a manufacturing operation (that makes factory real
estate finally available for sale). The classic example is fixed-rate debt for
which there is no embedded option to pay off the debt prematurely or purchase it
back in an open market. If the cash flow stream is thus set in stone until
maturity, any adjustments to fair value are accounting fictions. Temporal
changes in current earnings for fictional accounting value changes are more
misleading than helpful.
Creditors might
propose deals for early retirement, but they do so when it is not particularly
advantageous for the debtor. Conversely, debtors may propose deals for early
retirement, but they will do so when it is not particularly advantageous for the
creditors. Hence such debt is usually retired early only when either the debtor
or the creditor is willing to negotiate a heavy penalty. Without a willingness
to incur heavy penalties, changes in earnings for accounting fictions are highly
misleading in terms of fictional earnings volatility.
When we have
contracts that provide debtors more embedded options for premature settlements,
then we might begin to think more seriously about adjusting the debt to fair
value. Many debt contracts have embedded options for the debtor to pay the debt
off before retirement (often at some contracted penalty such as bond call back
prices). In the case of financial assets, we now have the classifications
“Hold-to-Maturity” versus “Available-for-Sale” that we apply to financial
assets.
It seems that under the proposed IAS
39 amendment, providing an option to carry debt at fair value, we could allow
debtors to similarly classify debt as “Hold-to-Maturity” versus
“Available-for-Buy-Back” where the debtor declares an intent to buy the debt
back if the fair value of the debt in the market fair value becomes attractive.
This often happens for fixed-rate marketable bonds when interest rates rise and
market values of the bonds decline. In fact, Exxon invented “in-substance
defeasance” to simulate debt buy backs when the transactional cost penalties for
actual buy backs were too high. Until FAS 125 no longer allowed removing
defeased debt from the balance sheet, this was a means by which Exxon could
report realized gains on debt value reduction and remove debt from the balance
sheet without truly abandoning payoff obligations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm
In-Substance Defeasance
In-substance defeasance used to be a ploy to take debt off the balance sheet. It
was invented by Exxon in 1982 as a means of capturing the millions in a gain on
debt (bonds) that had gone up significantly in value due to rising interest
rates. The debt itself was permanently "parked" with an independent trustee as
if it had been cancelled by risk free government bonds also placed with the
trustee in a manner that the risk free assets would be sufficient to pay off the
parked debt at maturity. The defeased (parked) $515 million in debt was taken
off of Exxon's balance sheet and the $132 million gain of the debt was booked
into current earnings --- http://www.bsu.edu/majb/resource/pdf/vol04num2.pdf
Defeasance was thus looked upon as an alternative to outright extinguishment of
debt until the FASB passed FAS 125 that ended the ability of companies to use
in-substance defeasance to remove debt from the balance sheet. Prior to FAS 125,
defeasance became enormously popular as an OBSF ploy.
Since companies
now have the option of classifying financial assets as HTM versus AFS, it seems
symmetrical in the proposed IAS 39 amendment to allow financial liabilities to
be classified as HTM versus AVBB (available-for-buy-back). However, in both the
AFS and the AVBB classifications, the unrealized changes in fair values should
be charged to AOCI rather than current earnings. This keeps accounting fictions
out of current earnings, at least with respect to financial asset and liability
value change fictions.
One thing I
propose for the proposed IAS 39 amendment is that the mandatory value changes
for AFS financial assets not be declared optional for AVBB debt.(Although still
mandatory in FASB standards, Pat Walters tells me that IAS 9 revisions make
assigning value changes to AOCI optional). The changes should be mandatory (not
optional) for AVBB liabilities just as they should still be mandatory for AFS
assets. In both instances, however, changes in value should not impact current
earnings until the changes in value are realized. I don't like optional choices
regarding whether or not to charge fair value changes to AOCI or current
earnings. This can only lead to inconsistencies in financial reporting for
identical circumstances.
Of course the
AFS and AVBB classifications are built upon management declarations of intent.
But the IASB imposes heavy penalties on companies that renege on their HTM
classifications (that allow retention of historical cost accounting). Companies
that renege on HTM classifications may long regret not staying true to their
declared intent --- at bit like the penalty Tiger Woods is now paying for not
staying true to marriage vows.
In IFRS 9 (eff 2013), the term "held to maturity"
is gone. The classification "amortized cost" is effectively HTM, but the
criteria is more specific than "intent and ability to hold to maturity" in
IAS 39. IFRS 9 criteria are:
A financial asset shall be measured at
amortised cost if both of the following conditions are met: (a) the
asset is held within a business model whose objective is to hold assets
in order to collect contractual cash flows. (b) the contractual terms of
the financial asset give rise on specified dates to cash flows that are
solely payments of principal and interest on the principal amount
outstanding.
Pat
May 16, 2010 reply from Bob Jensen
A rose by any other name is still HTM and is, I assume, still subjected
to heavy IASB penalties for reneging on “amortized cost.”
You just restored my faith in IASB sensibility regarding fact over
fiction.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used to introduce fair value accounting for investments versus
historical cost accounting for loans receivable. Questions also ask students to
understand the CFO's personal responsibility for integrity in financial
statement filings and systems of internal control.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Of what wrongdoing has the SEC accused Fifth Third Bancorp of Cincinnati?
2. (Advanced)
What is the importance of classifying loans as held for sale rather than
classifying them as long-term receivables?
3. (Advanced)
Chief Financial Officer Daniel Poston certainly wasn't the only one directly
responsible for the bank's accounting in the third quarter of 2008. Why then is
he the one who is losing his position and facing a one-year ban practicing
before the SEC?
4. (Advanced)
Do you think that Mr. Poston will return to his position as CFO after his one
year ban on practicing in front of the SEC is completed? Explain your answer
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Fifth Third Bancorp FITB
-0.24% has moved its finance chief to a different post in connection with a
tentative agreement it reached with the staff of the Securities and Exchange
Commission regarding the lender's accounting.
The Cincinnati bank said
Daniel Poston will vacate the chief financial officer's and become chief
strategy and administrative officer. Fifth Third appointed Tayfun Tuzun, its
treasurer, to the role of finance chief.
The SEC is seeking a
one-year ban on Mr. Poston's ability to practice before the agency under
separate negotiations with the executive, the bank said.
Fifth Third said its
agreement in principle stems from an investigation into how Fifth Third
accounted for a portion of its commercial-real-estate portfolio in a regulatory
filing for the third quarter of 2008. The dispute focuses on whether the bank
should have classified certain loans as being "held for sale" in the third
quarter of that year rather than in the fourth quarter.
Fifth Third said it will
agree to an SEC order finding that the company failed to properly account for a
portion of the portfolio but will not admit or deny wrongdoing. The bank will
also pay a civil penalty under the agreement, the amount of which wasn't
disclosed.
The agreement requires
the approval of the SEC commissioners.
A spokeswoman for the SEC
and a spokesman for Fifth Third declined to comment.
Mr. Poston, who was
serving as Fifth Third's interim finance chief at the time of the activities, is
in separate settlement discussions with the SEC under which he would agree to
similar charges, a civil penalty and the one-year ban the agency is seeking, the
bank said.
Any action from G20 leaders who have focused on tax
havens and are promising reforms would be welcomed, as many countries are
losing tax revenues that could be used to improve social infrastructure.
However, none have made any commitment to force companies to explain how
their profits are inflated by tax avoidance schemes. This has serious
consequences for managing the domestic economy and equity between corporate
stakeholders.
Tax avoidance has created a mirage of large
corporate profits, which has turned many a CEO into a media star and even
secured knighthoods and peerages for some. Yet the profits have been
manufactured by a sleight of hand. Let us get back to the basics. To
generate wealth, at the very least, three kinds of capital need to be
invested. Shareholders invest finance capital and expect to receive a
return. Markets exert pressure for this to be maximised. Employees invest
human capital and expect to receive a return in the shape of wages and
salaries. Society invests social capital (health, education, family,
security, legal system) and expects a return in the shape of taxes. Over the
years, corporate tax rates have been reduced, but the return on social
capital is under constant attack by tax avoidance schemes. The aim is to
transfer the return accruing to society to shareholders. Companies have
reported higher profits, not because they undertook higher economic activity
or produced more desirable goods and services, but simply by expropriating
the returns due to society. This can only be maintained as long as
governments and civil society remain docile.
Companies engaging in tax avoidance schemes publish
higher profits but do not explain the impact of tax avoidance schemes on
these profits. Consequently, markets cannot make assessment of the quality
of their earnings, ie how much of the profit is due to production of goods
and services and thus sustainable, and how much is due to expropriation of
wealth from society. In the absence of such information, markets cannot make
a rational assessment of future cashflows accruing to shareholders.
Inevitably, market assessment of risk is mispriced and resources are
misallocated. By concealing tax avoidance schemes, companies have
deliberately provided misleading information to markets. The subsequent
imposition of penalties for tax avoidance, if any, will reduce future
company profits. But the cost will be borne by the then shareholders rather
than by the earlier shareholders who benefited from the tax scams. Thus the
secrecy surrounding tax avoidance schemes causes involuntary wealth
transfers and must also undermine confidence in corporations because they
are not willing to come clean.
Governments collect data on corporate profits to
gauge the health of the economy and develop economic policies. However, this
barometer is misleading too because it does not distinguish between normal
commercial sustainable profits and profits inflated by tax avoidance.
Company executives are major beneficiaries of tax
avoidance because their remuneration is frequently linked to reported
profits. They can increase these through production of goods and services,
but many have deliberately chosen to raid the taxes accruing to society.
Company executives could provide honest information and explain how much of
their remuneration is derived from the use of tax avoidance schemes, but
none have done so. As a result, no shareholder or regulator can make an
objective assessment of company performance, executive performance or
remuneration. By the time the taxman catches up with the company and imposes
fines and penalties, many an executive has moved on to newer pastures and is
not required to return remuneration to meet any portion of those penalties.
Seemingly, there are no penalties for artificially inflating executive
remuneration.
Under the UK Companies Act 2006, company directors
have a duty to avoid conflicts of interests. They are required to promote
the success of the company for the benefit of its members, which is taken to
mean "long-term increase in value" and must also publish "true and fair"
accounts. It is difficult to see how such obligations can be discharged by
systematic misleading of markets, shareholders, governments and taxpayers.
Hopefully, stakeholders will bring test cases.
RBI releases guidelines for Off-Balance Sheet Financing (OBSF) exposures
Draft Guidelines on Prudential Norms
for Off-balance Sheet Exposures of Banks – Capital
Adequacy, Exposure,
Asset Classification and Provisioning
Norms
At present, paragraphs 2.4.3 and 2.4.4
of the ‘Master Circular on Prudential Norms on Capital Adequacy’,
DBOD.No.BP.BC.4/21.01.002/2007-08 dated July 2, 2007, stipulate the
applicable credit conversion factors (CCF) for the foreign exchange and
interest-rate related contracts under Basel-I framework. Likewise, paragraph
5.15.4 of our circular on ‘Guidelines for Implementation of the New Capital
Adequacy Framework’ DBOD.No.BP.BC. 90/20.06.0001/2006-07 dated April 27,
2007, prescribes the CCFs for these contracts under the Basel-II framework.
Further, in terms of paragraph 2.3.2 of the ‘Master Circular on Exposure
Norms’, DBOD.No.Dir.BC.11/ 13.03.000/2007-08 dated July 2, 2007, the banks
have the option of measuring the credit exposure of derivative products
either through the ‘Original Exposure Method’ or ‘Current Exposure Method’.
2. In accordance with the proposal
contained in the paragraph 165 (reproduced in
Annex 1) of the Annual
Policy Statement for the year 2008-09, released on April 29, 2008, it is
proposed to
effect the following modifications to the existing instructions on the
above aspects:
2.1 Credit Exposure – Method of
computing the credit exposure
For the purpose of exposure norms, banks shall compute their credit
exposures, arising on account of the interest rate & foreign exchange
derivative transactions and gold, using the ‘Current Exposure Method’,
as detailed in Annex 2.
2.2 Capital Adequacy –
Computation of the credit equivalent amount For the purpose of capital adequacy also, all banks, both under
Basel-I as well as under Basel-II
framework, shall use the ‘Current Exposure Method’, as detailed in
Annex 2, to compute the credit
equivalent amount of the interest rate & foreign exchange derivative
transactions and gold.
2.3 Provisioning requirements
for derivative exposures Credit exposures computed as per the ‘current exposure method’,
arising on account of the interest rate &
foreign exchange derivative transactions, and gold, shall also attract
provisioning requirement as
applicable to the loan assets in the ‘standard’ category, of the
concerned counterparties. All conditions
applicable for treatment of the provisions for standard assets would
also apply to the aforesaid provisions
for derivative and gold exposures.
2.4 Asset Classification of the
receivables under the derivatives transactions It is reiterated that, in respect of derivative transactions, any
amount receivable by the bank, which
remains unpaid for a period of 90 days from the specified due date for
payment, will be classified as nonperforming
assets as per the ‘Prudential Norms on Income Recognition, Asset
Classification and Provisioning pertaining to the Advances Portfolio’,
contained in our Master Circular DBOD. No. BP.BC.12/ 21.04.048/2007-08
dated July 2, 2007.
2.5 Cash settlement of
derivatives contracts Any restructuring of the derivatives contracts, including the
foreign exchange contracts, shall be carried out only on cash settlement
basis.
3. The foregoing modifications
will come into effect from the financial year 2008-09. The banks will,
however, have the option of complying with the additional capital and
provisioning requirements, arising from these modifications, in a phased
manner, over a period of four quarters, ending March 31, 2009.
Infectious Greed: How Deceit
and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets (Henry Holt and
Company, 2003, Page 351, ISBN 0-8050-7510-0)
The range of
financial malfeasance and manipulation was fast. Energy companies, such as
Dynegy, El Paso, and Williams, did the same complex financial deals
(particularly using
SPEs) Andy Fastow engineered at Enron. Telecommunication s firms, such
as
Global Crossing and WorldCom,
fell into bankruptcy after it became clear they, too, had been cooking their
books. Financial firms were victims as well as aiders-and-abettors.
PNC Financial, a major bank, settled SEC charges that it abused
off-balance-sheet deals and recklessly overstated its 2001 earnings by more
than half. A rogue trader at
Allfirst Financial, a large Irish bank, lost $750 million in a flurry of
derivatives trading that put Nick Leeson of Barings to shame. And so on, and
so on.
. . .
As with the prior
financial scandals, substantial losses were related to over-the-counter
derivatives. There were prepaid swaps, in which a company received an up-rong
payment resembling a loan from a bank, but did not record its future
obligations to repay the bank as a liability. There were swaps of
Indefeasible Rights of Use, or IRUs, long-term rights to use bandwidth
on a telecommunications company's fiber-optic network, which were similar to
the long-term energy derivatives Enron traded --- and just as ripe for
abuse. And there were more
Soecial Purpose Entities, created by Wall Street banks.
"FSP 140-3: Plugging a Hole in GAAP, or Another Off-Balance Sheet
Financing Gimmick?" by Tom Selling, The Accounting Onion, March 4, 2008 ---
http://accountingonion.typepad.com/
I subscribe to a listserv for professors of
accounting (
http://pacioli.loyola.edu/aecm/ ) to discuss
emerging technologies, pedagogy, and pretty much anything else. One of the
recent topics of discussion on the listserv had to do with the impact of
accounting complexity on preparing students to become auditors. One
participant in the conversation offered up the following quotation from a
masters student's paper on the bogus reinsurance transactions between AIG
and General Re:
"When companies are involved in these complicated
transactions, auditors often don't have the time, training, or knowledge to
spot questionable items. When I audited a financial services company during
my internship, I didn't really understand their business let alone the
documentation that I was reviewing to ensure that controls were operating
properly. So much of the work we conducted was based on mimicking the prior
year's work papers that even after levels of review I believe fraud could
have easily slipped by." [italics supplied]
Coincidentally, FASB Staff Position (FSP) FAS140-3,
Accounting for Transfers of Financial Assets and Repurchase Financing
Transactions, has been recently finalized; this student's lament came to my
mind while I was attempting to decipher the new accounting rule.
In order to begin to explain the FSP, you need to
know that FAS 140, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of Financial
Assets and Extinguishment of Liabilities, contains criteria that restrict
"sale accounting" on transferred financial assets when there is a concurrent
purchase agreement. Consequently, “repurchase agreements” (repos) may be
subject to "loan accounting" instead of sale accounting. The difference in
accounting treatments is as follows: under sale accounting, the asset comes
off the balance sheet and is replaced by the proceeds from sale; under loan
accounting, the asset stays on the balance sheet, so the credit offset to
recognition of the proceeds is to debt. So most significantly, sale
accounting is off-balance sheeting financing, and loan accounting is
on-balance sheet financing.
To the financial engineer attempting to defeat the
best efforts of investors and/or regulators of financial institutions, loan
accounting is a bad thing, and sale accounting is good. So one important for
them is how to fabricate an 'arrangement' that gets under FAS 140's fence to
permit sale accounting. Thus appears to have been invented by a mortgage
REIT a variation on the repo (essentially a round trip for the asset)
whereby the financial instrument now makes one more trip back to the
original transferee. If you're confused, this picture may help:
Questions
Are GE's Recent Restatements Part of Jack Welch's Legacy?
In this post-Enron and S-OX 404 environment, would a CEO today would so
openly express such a blatant disregard for reporting to investors?
The WSJ article also mentions that in addition to
the firing of some division managers (perhaps one or more of the same cookie
sharers), the SEC probe lead to the resignation of Phil Ameen, long-time VP and
comptroller -- and prime specimen of the accounting equivalent of a wolf in
sheep's clothing let loose in the barnyard. (Whew, that was a long way to go for
a metaphor!) Believe it or not, Ameen was a member of the FASB's Emerging Issues
Task Force (EITF) during much of the 1990s. He was also an active and
influential FASB lobbyist. Separately, out of one side of this mouth came
exhortations to
simplify accounting, and
out of the other side, to
ditch simple solutionsthat might have impaired
GE's ability to manage its earnings and reported debt . . .
Tom Selling, The Accounting Onion, February 18, 2008 ---
http://accountingonion.typepad.com/
Shocking Impact of GASB 45
Underfunded Pensions, Post-Retirement
Obligations, and Other Debt
Probably the largest form of OBSF is booked debt that is badly
understated. Particularly problematic is variable debt that is badly
underestimated. For example, a company or a government unit (e.g., city or
county) may be obligated to pay medical bills or insurance premiums for retired
employees and their families. Until FAS 106 companies did not report these
obligations at all. Governmental agencies (not the Federal government) are just
not becoming obligated to report such obligations under GASB 45. Accounting
rules have been so lax that many of these obligations were never disclosed or
disclosed at absurdly low amounts relative to the explosion in the costs of
medical care and medical insurance. Pensions had to be booked, but the rules
allowed companies to greatly understate the amount of the unfunded debt.
State and local governments are
amassing huge obligations in the form of unfunded retirement benefits for
their workers. Aside from underfunded pension plans, governments have also
run up large obligations from their retiree health plans. While a new
Governmental Accounting Standards Board rule will kick in next year and
reveal exactly how large this problem is, we estimate that retiree health
benefits are a $1.4 trillion fiscal time bomb.
The new GASB regulations will require
accrual accounting of state and local retiree health benefits, thus
revealing to taxpayers the true costs of the large bureaucracies that they
fund. We reviewed unfunded health costs across 16 states and 11 local
governments that have made actuarial estimates, and found an average accrued
liability per covered worker of $135,000. Multiplying that by the number of
covered state and local employees in the country yields a total unfunded
obligation of $1.4 trillion -- twice the reported underfunding in state and
local pension plans at $700 billion.
To put these costs in context,
consider the explicit net debt of state and local governments. According to
the Federal Reserve Board, state and local credit market debt has risen
rapidly in recent years, from $313 billion in 2001 to $568 billion in 2005.
But unfunded obligations from state and local pension and retiree health
plans -- about $2 trillion -- are still more than three times this net debt
amount.
The key problem is that the great
majority of state and local governments finance their retiree health
benefits on a pay-as-you-go basis. In coming years that will create pressure
to raise taxes as Baby Boomers age and government employees retire in
droves. New Jersey's accrued unfunded obligations in its retiree health plan
now stand at $20 billion, and the overall costs of its employee health plan
are expected to grow at 18% annually for the next four years.
To compound the problem,
defined-benefit pension and retirement health plans are much more common and
generous in the public sector than the private sector. Out of 15.9 million
state and local workers, about 65% are covered under retirement health
plans, compared to just 24% of workers in large firms in the private sector.
The prospect of funding $2 trillion
of obligations with higher taxes is frightening, especially when you
consider that state politicians would be imposing them on the same income
base as federal politicians trying to finance massive shortfalls in Social
Security and Medicare. Hopefully, most state policy makers appreciate that
hiking taxes in today's highly competitive global economy is a losing
proposition.
The only good options are to cut
benefits and move state and local retirement plans to a pre-funded basis
with personal savings plans. Two states, Alaska and Michigan, have moved to
savings-based (defined-contribution) pension plans for their new employees.
Alaska has also implemented a health-care plan for new state employees,
which includes high-deductible insurance and a Health Savings Account.
Expect to see more states following Alaska's lead.
State and local governments also need
to cut retirement benefits, which were greatly expanded during the 1990s
boom. From a fairness perspective, cutting benefits especially of younger
workers is reasonable given the generosity of state and local plans. Federal
data shows that state and local governments spend an average of $3.91 per
hour worked on employee health benefits, compared to $1.72 in the private
sector.
Underfunded -- or more accurately,
over-promised -- retirement plans for state and local workers have created a
$2 trillion fiscal hole. Every year that policy makers put off the tough
decisions, the hole gets bigger. Hopefully, the new GASB rules will prompt
them to enact the reforms needed to avert job-destroying tax increases on
the next generation.
Mr. Edwards is tax policy director at the Cato
Institute. Mr. Gokhale is a senior fellow at Cato and a former senior
economic adviser to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Question
What is the new European accounting ploy (termed the 2007 Accounting Miracle) to
hide debt until the instant it becomes due?
The latest murky accounting ploy has received the
European Union's stamp of approval. As of 2007, Italy will be able to reduce
its official budget deficit with the cash proceeds of new liabilities. The
new debt will remain hidden until it comes due. If this is how the EU's
revised Stability and Growth Pact will work, it would be wiser to scrap the
budget rules altogether. At least then national capitals would not be so
tempted to artificially reduce their budget deficits, and citizens would be
better informed about the true state of public finances.
Here's how the new gimmick works. Under current
Italian law, employees must set aside a tax-exempt fraction of their gross
wages, nearly 7%, into a severance scheme called TFR. Instead of creating
personal accounts for their employees, each company collects the money in
one large fund. When an employee leaves the firm, he receives the money he
paid into the fund plus interest, currently about 3%. The TFR is thus debt
that companies owe to their employees. That's why firms list it as
liabilities in their financial statements.
Under the new Italian budget law, though, part of
the contributions to this severance scheme will be collected and held by
Italy's social security administration to finance public expenditures. When
the employee leaves his job or has health problems, the government, rather
than the employer, will disburse his severance payments. The bottom line is
that, by receiving the contributions for this new, implicit debt, the
Italian government expects to reduce its yearly budget deficit by almost
0.5% of GDP. A debt instrument has miraculously become a surplus.
This bookkeeping equivalent of turning water into
wine is possible because EU accounting rules for government finances are
much looser than the rules that the same governments apply to private firms.
The bloc's statistics service, Eurostat, does not consider the future
obligations implicit in public pensions as part of government liabilities.
Hence, the transfer of the TFR to the Italian social security system is
treated like the creation of a new pay-as-you go system.
The Stability Pact's 2005 reform, though,
specifically encourages Brussels to pay special attention to fiscal
sustainability in the long run, and in particular to the future liabilities
implicit in the pension systems. The Commission, however, has paid lip
service to the principle of long-run sustainability, while in practice is
giving its blessing to the Italian accounting miracle. In so doing, it has
shown that the reform of the Stability and Growth Pact will not be enforced.
This creates a dangerous precedent that other
member states might be tempted to follow. Germany, for instance, has a "book
reserve" system similar to the Italian TFR that automatically applies to a
significant portion of its work force. The contributions to the German
system are even more attractive as a potential source of government finance
since, unlike the TFR, they can only be claimed by the workers upon
retirement. Many other Europeans countries have sizable occupational pension
plans. The EU is implicitly saying that the proceeds from nationalizing
these plans can be used to meet its budget deficit targets. Firms in
financial difficulties with occupational pension plans are always tempted to
transfer to the state their pension liabilities, together with the annual
contributions to the fund. Now myopic governments will have an additional
incentive to meet these requests for "state aid." Public revenues increase
immediately, while the debt disappears once it is transferred to the public
sector.
Europe's public finances can ill afford these kinds
of miracles.
Messrs. Boeri and Tabellini are economics professors at Bocconi
University in Milan.
This could make a good case study for an accounting theory course
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on December 8, 2006
SUMMARY: The Department of Transportation (DOT) has undertaken audit
procedures on airlines to review how they are "living up to their 1999 'Customer
Service Commitment.'" This document was written when "airlines were under
pressure from Congress and consumers for lousy service and long delays" in order
to "stave off new legislation regulating their business." The airlines also
report little about the frequent flier mile plans they offer, and particularly
focus only on the financial aspects of these plans in their annual reports and
SEC filings, rather than, say, information about ease of redeeming miles in
which customers may be particularly interested.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What information do airlines provide about frequent flier mileage offerings
and redemptions in their annual reports and SEC filings?
2.) Why is this information important for financial statement users? In your
answer, describe your understanding of the business model and accounting for
frequent flier miles, based on the description in the article.
3.) Why did the Department of Transportation (DOT) undertake a review of
airline practices? What type of audit would you say that the DOT performed?
4.) What audit procedures did the airlines abandon due to financial
exigencies? What was the result of abandoning these audit procedures? In your
answer, describe the incentives provided by the act of undertaking audit
procedures on operational efficiencies and effectiveness.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Which airline is the most accommodating when it
comes to letting consumers cash in frequent-flier mileage awards? It's hard
to know, a new government report says, because airlines disclose so little
information.
One thing is clear: Over the past four years, the
percentage of travelers cashing in frequent-flier award tickets has declined
at four of the five biggest airlines, even though miles accumulated by
consumers have increased.
The Department of Transportation's inspector
general went back and checked how airlines were living up to their 1999
"Customer Service Commitment." Back then, airlines were under pressure from
Congress and consumers for lousy service and long delays, and they promised
reform to stave off new legislation regulating their business.
Seven years later, Inspector General Calvin L.
Scovel III found that under financial pressure, many airlines quit auditing
or quality control checks on their own customer service, leading to service
deterioration. Airlines don't provide enough training for employees who
assist passengers with disabilities, the investigation found, and don't
always follow rules when handling passengers who get bumped from flights.
And as travelers have long complained, government
auditors studying 15 carriers at 17 airports found airline employees often
don't provide timely and accurate information on flight delays and their
causes, and don't give consumers straightforward information about
frequent-flier award redemptions.
"They can do better and must do better, and if they
don't do better, Congress has authority to wield a big stick," said U.S. Rep
John Mica, the outgoing chairman of the House Aviation Subcommittee who
requested the inspector general's customer-service investigation. He said
he's eager to hear the airline industry's response before making final
judgments, but the report card gives airlines only "average to poor grades
in a range of areas that need improvement."
Since airlines are returning to profitability and
aggressively raising fares, there's more attention being paid to
customer-service issues. Delays have increased; baggage handling worsened.
As traffic has rebounded, airlines still under financial pressure because of
high oil prices may not have adequate staff to live up to the promises they
made on customer service.
The report called on the DOT to "strengthen its
oversight and enforcement of air-traveler consumer-protection rules" and
urged airlines to get back on the stick for customer service. The inspector
general also reminded consumers that since airlines incorporated the
customer-service commitment into their "contract of carriage" -- the legal
rules governing tickets -- carriers can be sued for not living up to their
customer-service commitment.
The industry says it is paying attention. The
inspector general's Nov. 21 report "is a good report card for reminding us
where we need to improve," said David Castelveter, a spokesman for the Air
Transport Association, the industry's lobbying group, which coordinated the
"Customer Service Commitment." Airlines will "react accordingly," he said.
One of the stickiest areas is frequent-flier
redemptions because airlines are loath to release detailed information about
their programs, considering it crucial competitive information.
Frequent-flier programs have become big money-makers for airlines since they
sell so many miles in advance to credit-card companies, merchants, charities
and others. That allows them to pocket cash years in advance of a ticket,
then incur very little expense when consumers eventually redeem the miles,
if they ever do.
In 1999, airlines pledged to publish "annual
reports" on frequent-flier redemptions. But at most carriers, the disclosure
didn't change at all. Today, as then, carriers typically bury numbers deep
in filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission and report only the
number of awards issued, the estimated liability they have for the cost of
awards earned but not yet redeemed and the number of awards as a percentage
either of passengers or passenger miles traveled.
The inspector general said the hard-to-find
information has only "marginal value to the consumer for purposes of
determining which frequent-flier program best meets their need."
What you'd really want to know is which airline
makes it easiest to get an award, particularly the cheapest domestic coach
ticket, typically 25,000 miles, which is the most popular award. But
airlines don't disclose how many awards are at the lowest level, and how
many consumers have to pay double miles or so for a premium award of an
"unrestricted" coach ticket.
The award market follows ticket prices and
availability, so recent years have seen an increase in the price people have
to pay to get the awards they want, and less availability of award seats,
particularly at the cheapest level, because some airlines have cut capacity
and demand for travel has been strong. Add in the flood of miles airlines
are issuing, and the value of a frequent-flier mile has declined sharply.
The inspector general's report compares
award-redemption rates at big airlines over the past four years and found a
relatively steady drop at four carriers: UAL Corp.'s United Airlines,
Continental Airlines Inc., AMR Corp.'s American Airlines and Northwest
Airlines Corp. US Airways Group Inc. actually saw higher rates of redemption
in 2005 than in 2002, and Delta Air Lines Inc. was unchanged. Both Delta and
US Airways had higher redemption rates than competitors.
to claim short-trip tickets, adding more seats to
award inventory this fall and offering a new credit card with easier
redemption features. Northwest said its numbers have remained relatively
consistent -- roughly one in every 12 seats is a reward seat.
Other airlines said declining redemption rates
result from factors including an increase in paying customers, fuller planes
and shifts in airline capacity. American says the number of awards it has
issued has remained fairly constant, and while the number of passengers it
carries has climbed, its seat capacity hasn't. In addition, several airlines
said customer preferences like using miles for first-class upgrades or
hoarding miles longer to land big international trips can affect the
redemption rate. "Reward traffic does not spool up and absorb capacity
increases as fast as revenue traffic does," said a Continental spokesman.
Those numbers don't include awards that their
customers redeem on partner airlines, so some of the decline could be
attributable to an increase in consumers' opting to grab award seats on
foreign airlines or other partners, says frequent-flier expert Randy
Petersen. American, for example, does disclose more redemption data on its
Web site and showed that last year, it issued more than 955,000 awards for
travel on its partners, compared with the 2.6 million used on American and
American Eagle flights.
"The data can be misleading," said Mr. Petersen,
founder of InsideFlyer.com. He'd like to see more data, including numbers on
how many customers made requests but couldn't find seats.
But further disclosure is unlikely to happen unless
the government forces it. "Left to their own devices," said Tim Winship,
publisher of FrequentFlier.com, "I see no reason to expect airlines to step
up and disclose more."
Frequent-flier award accountancy is something akin to voo doo and crystal
ball estimation.
Investors have failed
to appreciate how crucial these programs are to airline profitability amid
the stability consolidation brought, said Joseph DeNardi, a senior airline
analyst with Stifel Financial Corp. in Baltimore. Since August, he’s
issued a steady stream of client notes arguing that the market has
undervalued the five largest airlines.
DeNardi has
repeatedly explained that investors have little insight into the billions of
dollars large banks pay for these affiliations. At each airline investor
call or conference, DeNardi has steadfastly prodded executives for greater
reporting detail.
In many ways, the Big
Three U.S. airlines have organized themselves into two distinct businesses.
There’s the traditional activity—the one with jets—which involves pricing
seats for as much as possible, collecting a bag fee, and selling some food
and drinks while keeping a close eye on costs. The other business is the
sale of miles—mostly to the big banks, but also to companies that range from
car rental firms to hotels to magazine peddlers.
The latter has
expanded so much that it accounts for more than half of all profits for some
airlines, including American Airlines Group Inc., the world’s largest.
Jensen Comment
Accounting for "sales of miles" has always been problematic due to time
differences between award dates and when customers book flights and
uncertainties whether the awards will expire without being used by customers.
This entails something akin to voo doo and crystal ball
estimation.
This is an excellent illustration how accounting is more than counting beans
and how specialized airline accountants and auditors must become in extremely
technical issues.
Insurance: A Scheme for Hiding Debt That
Won't Go Away
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on June 21, 2013
Insurance-accounting overhaul moves toward final phase The IASB just issued its latest draft of proposed new rules for
accounting for insurance contracts,
Emily Chasan
reports. The proposal
this week revises a 2010 exposure draft to reduce the impact of artificial,
noneconomic volatility in insurance accounting and would change the way
companies present insurance-contract revenue in their financial statements.
New rules on insurance accounting are expected to make fundamental changes
to the way companies account for insurance contracts, and add more
principle-based rules to one of the most industry-specific areas of
accounting. Read
the exposure draft here (PDF).
"Insurers Inflating Books, New York Regulator Says," by Mary Williams
Walsh, The New York Times, June 11, 2013 ---
New York State regulators are calling for a
nationwide moratorium on transactions that life insurers are using to alter
their books by billions of dollars, saying that the deals put policyholders
at risk and could lead to another taxpayer bailout.
Insurers’ use of the secretive transactions has
become widespread, nearly doubling over the last five years. The deals now
affect life insurance policies worth trillions of dollars, according to an
analysis done for The New York Times by SNL Financial, a research and data
firm.
These complex private deals allow the companies to
describe themselves as richer and stronger than they otherwise could in
their communications with regulators, stockholders, the ratings agencies and
customers, who often rely on ratings to buy insurance.
Benjamin M. Lawsky, New York’s superintendent of
financial services, said that life insurers based in New York had alone
burnished their books by $48 billion, using what he called “shadow
insurance,” according to an investigation conducted by his department. He
issued a report about the investigation late Tuesday.
The transactions are so opaque that Mr. Lawsky said
it took his team of investigators nearly a year to follow the paper trail,
even though they had the power to subpoena documents.
Insurance is regulated by the states, and Mr.
Lawsky said his investigators found that life insurers in New York were
seeking out states with looser regulations and setting up shell companies
there for the deals. They then used those states’ tight secrecy laws to
avoid scrutiny by the New York State regulators.
Insurance regulation is based squarely on the
concept of solvency — the idea that future claims can be predicted fairly
accurately and that each insurer should track them and keep enough reserves
on hand to pay all of them. The states have detailed rules for what types of
assets reserves can be invested in. Companies are also expected to keep a
little more than they really expect to need — called their surplus — as a
buffer against unexpected events. State regulators monitor the reserves and
surpluses of companies and make sure none fall short.
Mr. Lawsky said that because the transactions made
companies look richer than they otherwise would, some were diverting
reserves to other uses, like executive compensation or stockholder
dividends.
The most frequent use, he said, was to artificially
increase companies’ risk-based capital ratios, an important measurement of
solvency that was instituted after a series of life-insurance failures and
near misses in the 1980s.
Mr. Lawsky said he was struck by similarities
between what the life insurers were doing now and the issuing of structured
mortgage securities in the run-up to the financial crisis of 2008.
“Those practices were used to water down capital
buffers, as well as temporarily boost quarterly profits and stock prices,”
Mr. Lawsky said. “And ultimately, those practices left those very same
companies on the hook for hundreds of billions of dollars in losses from
risks hidden in the shadows, and led to a multitrillion-dollar taxpayer
bailout.”
The transactions at issue are modeled after
reinsurance, a business in which an insurance company pays another company,
a reinsurer, to take over some of its obligations to pay claims. Reinsurance
is widely used and is considered beneficial because it allows insurers to
spread their risks and remain stable as they grow. Conventional reinsurance
deals are negotiated at arm’s length by independent companies; both sides
understand the risk and can agree on a fair price for covering it. The
obligations drop off the original insurer’s books because the reinsurer has
picked them up.
Mr. Lawsky’s investigators found, though, that life
insurance groups, including some of the best known, were creating their own
shell companies in other states or countries — outside the regulators’ view
— and saying that these so-called captives were selling them reinsurance.
The value of policies reinsured through all affiliates, including captives,
rose to $5.46 trillion in 2012, from $2.82 trillion in 2007.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
Cross-cutting issues involving other accounting
rules appear to be impeding the Financial Accounting Standards Board and the
International Accounting Standards Board from wrapping up discussions on how
acquisition costs will be accounted for under an insurance contracts
standard.
The accounting of acquisition costs is important to insurers because they
incur costs in acquiring and originating insurance contracts and these costs
can be very high at contract inception.
The boards May 24 redeliberated on the issue of how an insurer should
account for the cash flows relating to the recovery of acquisition costs in
the building block approach, including the presentation of information about
those cash flows but did not conclude discussions on the topic which will
continue in July. Suggestions included:
Record it as an asset and amortize it over
time;
Include it as part of the margin but only then
recognize that net margin in the income statements;
Gross up the income statements; expense the
amortized cost;
Recognize it as one amount in the balance
sheet (no differentiation) and recognize premium in the income statement
for the amount of asset point in time when the costs are actually
incurred; and
Include it all as one balance sheet item but
don't recognize it when the costs are incurred but rather recognize it
in some other fashion.
Among issues that prevented the boards from moving
forward in deliberations included current revenue recognition standard being
developed, according to comments made by board members. Specifically, the
implication that acquisition costs meet the criteria for an asset—one that
raises issues of inconsistency within the insurance contracts discussions.
Some board members said that acquisition costs should be dealt with
consistently among accounting standards—pointing out that it was on the
table for review. "I don't think we can answer the expense of an asset until
we talk about revenue recognition," said FABB member Russell Golden. "…..it
seems like if we're going to go down the [asset] route we ought to decide if
it's an asset for all or an expense [but we] cannot decide today. Today we
can decide do you want these in the margin or do you want these out of the
margin," he said.
Resolve Premiums.
There are other issues, including guidance under U.S. GAAP to be considered
to ensure consistency—that are also cross-cutting. Within the insurance
industry direct acquisition costs (DAC) were always accounted for as an
asset (basically allowing certain costs to acquire the business to be
accounted for an asset). In the U.S. however—effective this year—there was a
change in what could be included in that asset and what would be required to
be expensed.
The guidance, ASU No. 2010-26, Accounting for Costs Associated With
Originating or Renewing Service Contracts, amends the guidance for insurance
entities that apply the industry-specific guidance in ASC 944-30. It narrows
the types of acquisition costs that can be deferred by insurers.
Another issue stems from the accounting guidance under FASB Statement No.
91, Accounting for Nonrefundable Fees and Costs Associated with Originating
or Acquiring Loans and Initial Direct Costs of Leases. This indicates that
an entity's origination costs of a loan is the same as its acquisition cost
(when it looks at what can be included in its origination cost).
Those issues aside, some IASB members said the boards' first need to resolve
issues surrounding premiums within the insurance contracts discussions
before deciding on acquisition costs.
The issue was all about presentation and is therefore linked very closely
with premiums, said IASB member Stephen Cooper.
"We haven't taken a decision yet about premiums," said Cooper. "Strikes me
that the answer depends upon that decision; how can we make a decision on
this before we can make a decision about premiums. It seems to me the only
other question we can answer is whether you want an asset or not—can't
answer any of the other questions," he said.
Proposed Alternatives.
The staff paper included the following as potential approaches (as written
in the board handout) for the boards to consider:
Alternative A: an approach which recognizes
the right to recover acquisition costs as an asset.
Alternative B: an approach which includes
acquisition costs in the cash flows used to determine the margin and
which would require an insurer to recognize a reduction in the margin
when the acquisition costs are incurred, with no effect in the statement
of comprehensive income. The acquisition costs would be shown net
against the residual/single margin and allocated to profit or loss in
the same way as the single/residual margin. Changes in the insurance
contract liability arising from acquisition costs would be shown with
the release of margin and not as changes in the cash flows. This is a
variant of FASB's view in developing the 2010 discussion paper.
Alternative C: an approach which includes
acquisition costs in the cash flows used to determine the margin and
would require an insurer to expense the acquisition costs and recognize
income equal to, and offsetting, those costs when the acquisition costs
are incurred. Changes in the insurance contract liability arising from
acquisition costs would be shown in the same way as change in the cash
flows. This alternative is consistent with the IASB's view in developing
its 2010 exposure draft.
The IASB completely ruled out ever voting for
Alternative A and the FASB completely ruled out ever voting for Alternative
C.
Potential Solution.
In fact, all three alternatives were potentially problematic. "If we have
premiums written I think C is the only way to do it B doesn't make any
sense, said Cooper. "If we're going to have premiums earned neither of them
make any sense," he said.
He stated moreover that the problem with "C" is that "you have day revenue
when you've done nothing—that doesn't make any sense…problem with B is your
revenue is less than the premiums you actually receive—and you have no
expense."
Summary:
The FASB has issued a discussion paper seeking comments on its preliminary
views on accounting for insurance contracts that would fundamentally change
the accounting by insurers and other entities that issue contracts with
insurance risk. The discussion paper is an outgrowth of the IASB and FASB’s
joint efforts to develop a single converged insurance standard. The FASB's
release of the discussion paper follows the IASB's late-July issuance of an
exposure draft containing its proposals on the same topic. Both documents
address recognition, measurement, presentation, and disclosure for insurance
contracts. The discussion paper compares the IASB's proposal to the FASB's
preliminary views to date and to current US GAAP. The FASB is asking
constituents to consider whether the FASB should ultimately adopt some
version of the IASB's proposal or whether targeted changes to existing US
GAAP would be sufficient. There is greater urgency for the IASB to adopt
some version of its exposure draft as a final standard since comprehensive
guidance on insurance accounting does not currently exist under IFRS; a
final IASB standard is expected in mid-2011. Given the potential impact of
the changes being considered, management should consider assessing the
implications of the possible changes on existing contracts and its current
business practices and commenting on both documents. The comment letter
period on the FASB discussion paper ends on December 15, 2010 (or November
30, 2010 for roundtable participants). The comment period for the IASB's
exposure draft ends on November 30, 2010. This DataLine discusses both
documents and offers the firm's insights on the proposals.
The SEC and Eliot Spitzer (before resigning) have launched probes into sales by insurance
firms of products that help customers burnish results. Industry
executives say companies can reap distinct accounting
benefits by obtaining loans dressed up as insurance products. Under
U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, companies are allowed to use
insurance recoveries to offset losses on their income statements -- often
without disclosing them. To qualify as insurance under the accounting rules,
financial contracts must involve a significant transfer of risk from one party
to another.
The Securities and Exchange
Commission and New York Attorney General Eliot Spitzer each have launched
investigations into sales by insurance companies of questionable financial
products that help customers burnish their financial statements, according
to people familiar with the matter.
The SEC's enforcement division is
conducting an industrywide investigation into whether a variety of insurance
companies may have helped customers improperly smooth their earnings by
selling them financial-engineering products that were designed to look like
insurance but in some cases were little more than loans in disguise, people
familiar with the matter say. The agency is focusing on a universe of
products that are intended to achieve desired accounting results for
customers' financial statements, as opposed to traditional insurance, whose
primary goal is transferring risk of losses from a policyholder to the
insurer selling the coverage.
Meanwhile, New York state
investigators are preparing to issue subpoenas as soon as this week to
several large insurance companies. After months of combing through industry
documents in its continuing probe of insurance-broker compensation, Mr.
Spitzer's office has grown increasingly concerned about insurance-industry
products, detailed in The Wall Street Journal last month, that customers can
use to manipulate their income statements and balance sheets.
Although Mr. Spitzer's office and the
SEC began looking into the issue separately, they have discussed sharing
information and resources, according to a person familiar with the probes.
Normally, an insurer is paid a specific amount of
premiums to take on a risk of uncertain size and timing. In the
"insurance" at issue, the risk of loss to the insurer selling the
policy is limited and sometimes even eliminated -- partly because, in these
policies' simplest form, the premiums are so high; other times, the loss
already has occurred.
Industry executives say companies can reap distinct
accounting benefits by obtaining loans dressed up as insurance products.
Under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles, companies are allowed
to use insurance recoveries to offset losses on their income statements --
often without disclosing them. To qualify as insurance under the accounting
rules, financial contracts must involve a significant transfer of risk from
one party to another.
The Good
Off-balance-sheet companies were created to help finance new ventures.
Theoretically, these separate companies were used to transfer the risk
of the new venture from the parent to the separate company. This way,
the parent could finance the new venture without diluting existing
shareholders or adding to the parent's debt burden. These separate legal
entities could be privately held partnerships or publicly traded
spin-offs.
Sometimes the separate companies were created
to pursue a business project that was a part of the parent's main line
of business. For example, oil-drilling companies established
off-balance-sheet subsidiaries as a way to finance oil exploration
projects. These subsidiaries were jointly funded by the parent and
outside investors who were willing to take the exploration risk. The
parent company could have sold shares or borrowed the money directly,
but the accounting and tax laws were designed to allow the project
funding come from investors who were interested in investing in specific
explorations rather than investing in the parent company.
Other times these separate companies were
created to house businesses that were decidedly different from the
parent's line of work (in order to unlock "value"). For example,
Williams Co's, created Williams Communications to pursue the
communications business. Williams Companies spun off Williams
Communications, but the bankers required the parent to guarantee the
debt of Williams Communications. Because Williams Communications was a
new company, this is not an unusual request.
This use of off-balance-sheet entities is good
in that it transfers risk from the parent's shareholders to others that
were willing to take the business risk. Investors in Williams Companies
(an energy resource company) may not have wanted to invest in a
communications company, so management created a separate entity to house
that business. Likewise, oil companies used off-balance-sheet entities
to remove the exploration risk from their business to share it with
others that wanted a bigger piece of the potential return from
exploration.
The Bad
While GAAP and tax laws allow off-balance-sheet entities for valid
reasons noted above, bad things happen when economic reality differs
significantly from the assumptions that were used to justify the
off-balance-sheet entity. Problems also occur when egos get too big.
In Williams's case, the decision to spin off
the communications business was reasonable at the time. The parent had
the infrastructure on which to build a communications network, but it
was an energy company. By spinning off the subsidiary, it was not
forcing its investors to take on the risk of a communications company,
and it was able to take advantage of the market's demand for
communication stocks. At the same time, the need to guarantee the debt
of a new subsidiary is a reasonable request that bankers make in this
type of transaction.
What went "wrong" was that economic reality
differed from the assumptions that were used to justify the spin off.
Dotcom mania resulted in over-capacity, causing problems for all
telecommunications companies. The loan guarantee, which is never
expected to be triggered, is now an issue for the company because of the
recession and the slump in the telecommunications sector.
Enron exemplifies how ego can be the basis for
the misuse of off-balance-sheet items. Here, off-balance-sheet vehicles
appear to have been used to pump up financial results rather than for
legitimate business purposes. What started as a plan to legitimately use
off-balance-sheet vehicles morphed into ways to manufacture earnings as
trades went bad. While one could argue that this is also a case of
economic reality differing from expectations, the way management reacted
to the situation allows us to classify it as an ego thing.
This financial engineering is usually fueled by
the need to reach certain operating targets established by Wall Street
or compensation plans. Once management succumbs to this "Dark Side",
more time is spent on trying to game the system than trying to manage
the core business. It is then only a matter of time before the house of
cards falls.
The Ugly
It gets ugly when the markets start to punish a stock just because it
has an off-balance-sheet item. Granted, it is not always easy to read a
company's SEC filings, let alone dig into the footnotes and figure out
how the off-balance-sheet items might impact results. But the companies
that provide full disclosure will probably be the better investments.
Conclusion The loss of faith in accounting's
ability to provide full disclosure could have a bigger impact on the
stock market than the events of September 11th. The attacks were an
exogenous factor and we bounced back nicely. The loss of confidence in
financial statements is an attack on one of the core elements of
investment decision making. To quote Johnny Cochran, "If the statements
aren't true, what will we do?"
However, the focus on off-balance-sheet
accounting will have two major benefits. First, it will result in new
regulations that will hopefully prevent future Enrons. Some of these
changes will likely be the following:
Prevention of officers of the parent from being
officers of the off-balance-sheet subsidiary
Increasing the percentage ownership by outside
and non-affiliated companies
Enforcing disclosure rules so that investors
can clearly understand the risk (if any) posed by off-balance-sheet
companies Second, market over-reaction creates a buying opportunity.
Markets always overreact, causing panic in the Street. Uncertainty
created by the loss of faith in financial disclosures could even cause
more damage to the market than extreme events like September 11th.
Uncovering Hidden Debt - Understand how financing through operating
leases, synthetic leases, and securitizations affects companies' image of
performance.
Is the company whose stock you own carrying
more debt than the balance sheet is showing? Most of the information
about debt can be found on the balance sheet--but many debt obligations
are not disclosed there. Here is a review of some off-balance-sheet
transactions and what they mean for investors.
The term "off-balance-sheet" debt has recently
come under the spotlight. The reason, of course, is Enron, which used
underhanded techniques to shift debt off its balance sheet, making the
company's fundamentals look far stronger than they were. That said, not
all off–balance-sheet finance is shady. In fact, it can be a useful tool
that all sorts of companies can use for a variety of legitimate
purposes--such as tapping into extra sources of financing and reducing
liability risk that could hurt earnings.
As an investor, it's your job to understand the
differences between various off-balance-sheet transactions. Has the
company really reduced its risk by shifting the burden of debt to
another company, or has it simply come up with a devious way of
eliminating a liability from its balance sheet?
Operating Leases
A lot of investors don't know that there are two kinds of leases:
capital leases, which show up on the balance sheet, and operating
leases, which do not.
Under accounting rules, a capital lease is
treated like a purchase. Let's say an airline company buying an airplane
sets up a long-term payment lease plan and pays for the airplane over
time. Since the airline will ultimately own the plane, it shows up on
its books as an asset, and the lease obligations show up as liabilities.
If the airline sets up an operating lease, the
leasing group retains ownership of the plane; therefore, the transaction
does not appear on the airline's balance sheet. The lease payments
appear as operating expenses instead. Operating leases, which are
popular in industries that use expensive equipment, are disclosed in the
footnotes of the company's published financial statements.
Consider Federal Express Corp. In its 2004
annual report, the balance sheet shows liabilities totaling $11.1
billion. But dig deeper, and you will notice in the footnotes that
Federal Express discloses $XX worth of non-cancelable operating leases.
So, the company's total debt is clearly much higher than what's listed
on the balance sheet. Since operating leases keep substantial
liabilities away from plain sight, they have the added benefit of
boosting--artificially, critics say--key performance measures such as
return-on-assets and debt-to-capital ratios.
The accounting differences between capital and
operating leases impact the cash flow statement as well as the balance
sheet. Payments for operating leases show up as cash outflows from
operations. Capital lease payments, by contrast, are divided between
operating activities and financing activities. Therefore, firms that use
capital leases will typically report higher cash flows from operations
than those that rely on operating leases.
Synthetic Leases
Building or buying an office building can load up a company's debt on
the balance sheet. A lot of businesses therefore avoid the liability by
using synthetic leases to finance their property: a bank or other third
party purchases the property and rents it to the company. For accounting
purposes, the company is treated like a tenant in a traditional
operating lease. So, neither the building asset nor the lease liability
appears on the firm's balance sheet. However, a synthetic lease, unlike
a traditional lease, gives the company some benefits of ownership,
including the right to deduct interest payments and the depreciation of
the property from its tax bill.
Details about synthetic leases normally appear
in the footnotes of financial statements, where investors can determine
their impact on debt. Synthetic leases can become a big worry for
investors when the footnotes reveal that the company is responsible for
not only making lease payments but also guaranteeing property values. If
property prices fall, those guarantees represent a big source of
liability risk.
Securitizations
Banks and other financial organizations often hold assets--like credit
card receivables--that third parties might be willing to buy. To
distinguish the assets it sells from the ones it keeps, the company
creates a special purpose entity (SPE). The SPE purchases the credit
card receivables from the company with the proceeds from a bond offering
backed by the receivables themselves. The SPE then uses the money
received from cardholders to repay the bond investors. Since much of the
credit risk gets offloaded along with the assets, these liabilities are
taken off the company's balance sheet.
Capital One is just one of many credit card
issuers that securitize loans. In its 2004 first quarter report, the
bank highlights results of its credit card operations on a so-called
managed basis, which includes $38.4 billion worth of off-balance-sheet
securitized loans. The performance of Capital One's entire portfolio,
including the securitized loans, is an important indicator of how well
or poorly the overall business is being run.
Conclusion
Companies argue that off-balance-sheet techniques benefit investors
because they allow management to tap extra sources of financing and
reduce liability risk that could hurt earnings. That's true, but
off-balance-sheet finance also has the power to make companies and their
management teams look better than they are. Although most examples of
off-balance sheet debt are far removed from the shadowy world of Enron's
books, there are nonetheless billions of dollars worth of real financial
liabilities that are not immediately apparent in companies' financial
reports. It's important for investors to get the full story on company
liabilities.
Ask investors what kind of financial
information they want companies to publish and you'll probably hear two
words: more and better. Quality financial reports allow for effective,
informative fundamental analysis.
But let's face it, the financial statements of
some firms are designed to hide rather than reveal information.
Investors should steer clear of companies that lack transparency in
their business operations, financial statements or strategies. Companies
with inscrutable financials and complex business structures are riskier
and less valuable investments.
Transparency Is Assurance The word
"transparent" can be used to describe high-quality financial statements.
The term has quickly become a part of business vocabulary. Dictionaries
offer many definitions for the word, but those synonyms relevant to
financial reporting are "easily understood", "very clear", "frank", and
"candid".
Consider two companies with the same market
capitalization, same overall market-risk exposure, and the same
financial leverage. Assume that both also have the same earnings,
earnings growth rate and similar returns on capital. The difference is
that Company A is a single-business company with easy-to-understand
financial statements. Company B, by contrast, has numerous businesses
and subsidiaries with complex financials.
Which one will have more value? Odds are good
the market will value Company A more highly. Because of its complex and
opaque financial statements, Company B's value will be discounted.
The reason is simple: less information means
less certainty for investors. When financial statements are not
transparent, investors can never be sure about a company's real
fundamentals and true risk. For instance, a firm's growth prospects are
related to how it invests. It's difficult if not impossible to evaluate
a company's investment performance if its investments are funneled
through holding companies, making them hidden from view. Lack of
transparency may also obscure the company's level of debt. If a company
hides its debt, investors can't estimate their exposure to bankruptcy
risk.
High-profile cases of financial shenanigans,
such as those at Enron and Tyco, showed everyone that managers employ
fuzzy financials and complex business structures to hide unpleasant
news. Lack of transparency can mean nasty surprises to come.
Blurry Vision The reasons for inaccurate
financial reporting are varied: a small but dangerous minority of
companies actively intends to defraud investors; other companies may
release information that is misleading but technically conforms to legal
standards.
The rise of stock option compensation has
increased the incentives for companies to misreport key information.
Companies have increased their reliance on pro forma earnings and
similar techniques, which can include hypothetical transactions. Then
again, many companies just find it difficult to present financial
information that complies with fuzzy and evolving accounting standards.
Furthermore, some firms are simply more complex
than others. Many operate in multiple businesses that often have little
in common. For example, analyzing General Electric - an enormous
conglomerate with dozens of businesses, from GE Plastics to NBC - is
more challenging than examining the financials of a firm like Amazon.com,
a pure play online retailer.
When firms enter new markets or businesses, the
way they structure these new businesses can result in greater complexity
and less transparency. For instance, a firm that keeps each business
separate will be easier to value than one that squeezes all the
businesses into a single entity. Meanwhile, the increasing use of
derivatives, forward sales, off-balance-sheet financing, complex
contractual arrangements and new tax vehicles can befuddle investors.
The cause of poor transparency, however, is
less important than its effect on a company's ability to give investors
the critical information they need to value their investments. If
investors neither believe nor understand financial statements, the
performance and fundamental value of that company remains either
irrelevant or distorted.
Transparency Pays
Mounting evidence suggests that the market gives a higher value to firms
that are upfront with investors and analysts. Transparency pays,
according to Robert Eccles, author of "Building Public Trust – The Value
Reporting Revolution". Eccles shows that companies with fuller
disclosure win more trust from investors. Relevant and reliable
information means less risk to investors and thus a lower cost of
capital, which naturally translates into higher valuations. The key
finding is that companies that share the key metrics and performance
indicators that investors consider important are more valuable than
those companies that keep information to themselves.
Of course, there are two ways to interpret this
evidence. One is that the market rewards more transparent companies with
higher valuations because the risk of unpleasant surprises is believed
to be lower. The other interpretation is that companies with good
results usually release their earnings earlier. Companies that are doing
well have nothing to hide and are eager to publicize their good
performance as widely as possible. It is in their interest to be
transparent and forthcoming with information, so that the market can
upgrade their fair value.
Further evidence suggests that the tendency
among investors to mark down complexity explains the conglomerate
discount. Relative to single-market or pure play firms, conglomerates
are discounted by as much as 20%. The positive reaction associated with
spin-offs and divestment can be viewed as evidence that the market
rewards transparency.
Naturally, there could be other reasons for the
conglomerate discount. It could be the lack of focus of these companies
and the inefficiencies that follow. Or it could be that the absence of
market prices for the separate businesses makes it harder for investors
to assess value.
It's worth noting that, even if a company's
financial statements are totally transparent, investors may still not
understand them. If biotech specialist Amgen and semiconductor maker
Intel were totally forthcoming about their R&D spending, investors might
still lack the knowledge to properly value these companies.
Conclusion
Investors should seek disclosure and simplicity. The more companies say
about where they are making money and how they are spending their
resources, the more confident investors can be about the companies'
fundamentals.
It's even better when financial reports provide
a line-of-sight view into the company's growth drivers. Transparency
makes analysis easier and thus lowers an investor's risk when investing
in stocks. That way you, the investor, are less likely to face
unpleasant surprises.
Last week The Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB) issued FASB Statement No. 163, Accounting for Financial Guarantee
Insurance Contracts. The new standard clarifies how FASB Statement No. 60,
Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises, applies to financial
guarantee insurance contracts issued by insurance enterprises, including the
recognition and measurement of premium revenue and claim liabilities. It
also requires expanded disclosures about financial guarantee insurance
contracts. The Statement is effective for financial statements issued for
fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2008, and all interim periods
within those fiscal years, except for disclosures about the insurance
enterprise's risk-management activities. Disclosures about the insurance
enterprise's risk-management activities are effective the first period
beginning after issuance of the Statement. "By issuing Statement 163, the
FASB has taken a major step toward ending inconsistencies in practice that
have made it difficult for investors to receive comparable information about
an insurance enterprise's claim liabilities," stated FASB Project Manager
Mark Trench. "Its issuance is particularly timely in light of recent
concerns about the financial health of financial guarantee insurers, and
will help bring about much needed transparency and comparability to
financial statements."
The accounting and disclosure requirements of
Statement 163 are intended to improve the comparability and quality of
information provided to users of financial statements by creating
consistency, for example, in the measurement and recognition of claim
liabilities. Statement 163 requires that an insurance enterprise recognize a
claim liability prior to an event of default (insured event) when there is
evidence that credit deterioration has occurred in an insured financial
obligation. It also requires disclosure about (a) the risk-management
activities used by an insurance enterprise to evaluate credit deterioration
in its insured financial obligations and (b) the insurance enterprise's
surveillance or watch list.
Warranty Accounting
Teaching Case on Warranty Accounting
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on February 6, 2015
SUMMARY: Beazer Homes USA Inc.'s loss widened
in its December 2012 quarter as home closings fell and the company was hit
by unexpected warranty costs that eroded profitability. Chief Executive
Allan Merrill said that the quarter's results were weighed by a low backlog
conversion rate and an unexpected $13.6 million charge stemming from stucco
installation issues in some of its Florida homes that resulted in water
intrusion. Shares were down 2.3% at $16.85 in premarket trading.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article could be
used when discussing financial reporting related to warranty expenses.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What facts did the article report regarding
Beazer Homes December quarter's results? What impact have warranty costs had
on Beazer Homes?
2. (Advanced) How are warranty expenses usually booked? When are
those expenses accrued? What accounts are increased or decreased?
3. (Advanced) What should a company do if it unexpectedly
experiences an unusually large number of warranty claims or a large dollar
amount? How would that be recorded in journal entries? How would it affect
the financial statements?
4. (Advanced) What has been the impact of the warranty expense
information on the market price of the company's shares? Why did that
happen?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Beazer Homes USA Inc. ’s loss widened in its
December quarter as home closings fell and the company was hit by unexpected
warranty costs that eroded profitability.
Chief Executive Allan Merrill said Friday that the
quarter’s results were weighed by a low backlog conversion rate and an
unexpected $13.6 million charge stemming from stucco installation issues in
some of its Florida homes that resulted in water intrusion.
Shares were down 2.3% at $16.85 in premarket
trading.
Mr. Merrill said Friday that an improving sales
environment and a higher backlog should help boost the company’s future
performance.
At the end of the quarter ended Dec. 31, Beazer’s
backlog was up 1.2% to 1,771 homes, with a sales value of $560.5 million.
Overall, Beazer reported a loss of $22.3 million,
or 84 cents a share, compared with a loss of $5.14 million, or 21 cents a
share, a year earlier.
Revenue fell 9.3% to $265.8 million.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected a
per-share loss of 12 cents on revenue of $296.4 million.
Total home closings fell 14.7% in the quarter, as
the average sales price from closings grew 5.8%.
The home-building gross margin, excluding
impairments and abandonments, and interest, fell to 16.6% from 21.2%.
Excluding the aforementioned items and the Florida warranty costs, margins
would have edged up to 21.8% from 21.2%.
If profits matter going forward, so does earnings
quality. And according to Gradient Analytics, the earnings quality gets a
grade of 'F."
What stands out the most?
"So many things," says Gradient research director
Donn Vickrey. "By declaring themselves profitable, I said there is just no
way. How can this be at this point in the cycle? It has to be purely a paper
profit and at that some elements of the paper may be lower quality than
usual."
Paper or not, Vickrey believes whatever Tesla's
profitability, it isn't sustainable.
Rather than go through all of his points, let's
focus on just one: warranty accruals. This is the amount the company puts
aside for expected warranty expenses — a non-cash charge that hits earnings
as a cost of goods sold. The lower the provision, the less of a hit to
earnings.
It's highly subjective, and Tesla current reserves
at a rate, relative to sales, in-line with Ford and General Motors. But its
warranty is longer than mainstream auto companies and "its product is based
on new technology with unproven reliability," according to Gradient's report
on Tesla." Of particular concern: The firm's eight-year, 100,000 mile
battery warranty could prove to be extremely costly."
But what if the company is so new it simply doesn't
know — so uses existing auto companies as a benchmark?
Under accounting rules, Vickrey says, if you don't
know what they'll be "they should be higher, not lower."
How do we account for “lifetime warranties” that are not backed by the
Federal government?
How do we account for “lifetime warranties” that are backed by the Federal
government?
But there’s still a question of how to estimate warranty reserves for
“lifetime warranties?” Do auditors now have to factor in actuarial life
expectancies of buyers of new Chrysler vehicles?
July 9, 2009 message from XXXXX
Bob,
One issue that was brought up earlier was the risk
of not being able to collect on a warranty for a new car purchased from GM
or Chrysler. I'm looking at new cars. Do you have any idea whether GM will
deliver on warranty repairs for a car purchased now?
July 9, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi
XXXXX,
The
thing to do is read the fine print in the Federal government's so-called
guarantee to make good on Chrysler and GM warranties if the companies
default.
On Monday morning, President Obama
announced that the Treasury Department would back the warranties of new
General Motors and Chrysler vehicles.
“If you buy a car from Chrysler or
General Motors, you will be able to get your car serviced and repaired,
just like always,” President Obama said during a speech from the White
House. “Your warranty will be safe. In fact, it will be safer than it’s
ever been, because starting today, the United States government will
stand behind your warranty.”
The administration’s plan to stand
behind new-car warranties for G.M. and Chrysler is intended to reassure
consumers worried about buying domestic vehicles. And to a large extent,
the plan should do exactly that. But people who already own a G.M. or
Chrysler vehicle are not covered by this program and it also does not
cover safety recalls, which can occur years after the warranty expires.
In a nutshell: The Obama warranty
commitment program sets up special warranty accounts that will be used
only if the automaker runs out of money. If that happens, the government
will “appoint a program administrator who, together with the U.S.
Government, will identify an auto service provider to supply warranty
services.” Those accounts will be funded with 125 percent of the
expected warranty cost. The automaker will contribute 15 percent and the
government 110 percent. The federal funds will come from the Troubled
Asset Relief Program.
That could be a lot of money (except,
perhaps, by the government’s current standards). For example, G.M. paid
$4.5 billion worldwide in 2007 on warranties and $3.9 billion during the
first nine months of last year, according to a filing with the
Securities and Exchange Commission.
A Treasury spokesman said the
warranties would cover all vehicles, even those sold overseas. And
although the program does not cover safety recalls, he said even an
automaker in Chapter 11 bankruptcy would be required to pay for them.
In the case of a defect, an automaker
is typically on the hook for a safety recall for a decade. A major
recall could easily cost an automaker $50 million or more, said Clarence
Ditlow, the executive director of the Center for Auto Safety.
General Motors has promised it will
stand behind its warranty, although it is not clear how that would
happen should it simply lack the funds. Chrysler’s statement –- issued
last month and not revised — simply says: “We are committed to serving
our customers.”
The government backing should reassure
consumers, but there are plenty of questions, said Jon Linkov, managing
editor of the automobile section at Consumer Reports magazine.
For example, he said, if an automaker
goes out of business, how well and how quickly would the new-vehicle
warranty program work and who would do more sophisticated repairs? “I
guess there are more questions out there than answers,” Mr. Linkov said.
Jeremy Anwyl, the chief executive of
Edmunds.com, said he didn’t think there was much risk over the warranty
anyway. “This statement from the government makes the risk even less,”
he said. “There is probably more risk for consumers around resale
value.”
One
risk is that if GM or Chrysler should fail, parts will become harder and
harder to find for cars, especially models that may only have been available
for a short time so that there are very few used cars to cannibalize for
parts. If both your Chrysler company and your Chrysler transmission (with
that dubious "life-time" Chrysler power train warranty) should fail, what
happens if there are no longer any needed transmission parts? Ask the dealer
to explain this scenario before you buy a Chrysler or a GM car!
It's
also not clear whether the Government's warranty backup plan will cover
Fiats when Chrysler begins to sell Fiats. Wouldn't that be a kick in the
butt when our Federal government backs up Italian car warranties but not
Ford Motor Company warranties?
Bob
Jensen
A15. Lifetime means lifetime
This is put in writing by Chrysler at
http://www.chrysler.com/en/lifetime_powertrain_warranty/faq.html
Jensen Comment
I'm not certain President Obama really understands that he is now backing up
each new Chrylser's powertrain for a "lifetime" which attorneys can claim
provides coverage until the buyer dies. Do you want to buy each of your newborns
a new Chrysler? What a bummer if this also includes Fiats.
How anxiously are you awaiting a FIAT with a Chrysler boilerplate?
When FIAT entered the U.S. market and failed in the 1970s it was called "Fix It
Again, Tony"
Why does the Second Italian Navy use glass bottom boats? To look for the first
Italian Navy.
Who put the seven bullets into
Benito
Mussolini? Three hundred Italian marksmen.
Among the 38 automobile models tested for reliability in 2008 ---
http://www.which.co.uk/reviews/cars-and-motoring/index.jsp Honda and Toyota at the top of the 2008 reliability
list, followed closely by Daihatsu, Lexus, Mazda, and Subaru. This largely
mirrors the latest Consumer Reports predicted reliability ranking, though there
Scion was at the top and Mazda placed 12th with Consumer Reports due to a
different model line-up. Fiat ranked 35th
(out of 38), followed by Renault, Land Rover, and
Chrysler/Dodge. Jeep is the highest-rated brand
from Chrysler, with its 29th place just barely keeping it in the “Poor”
category. Fiat, Chrysler, and Dodge are
categorized as “Very poor.” In total, Fiat,
Chrysler, and Dodge provide similar reliability, and it isn’t good. Consumer Reports, May 5, 2009 ---
http://blogs.consumerreports.org/cars/2009/05/chrysler-and-fiat-reliability-merger-of-equals.html Consumer Reports online subscribers
can see
how brands compare.---
Click Here
Jensen Comment
My 1989 Cadillac is ten times more reliable than my 1999 Jeep Cherokee. I don't
plan to shift gears into a FIAT. My next car up in these mountains will probably
be a Subaru station wagon (with all-wheel drive).
Answer to a question from Pat Walters
I’m curious if cars die
for reasons other than powertrain failures or being totaled in collisions?
It would seem that most
anything on a car that declines due to wear and tear can be replaced. It’s
the powertrain replacements that usually make it not worthwhile to make
repairs (due to the cost of making powertrain repairs).
There’s also a Catch 22 in
Chrysler’s lifetime powertrain warranty. The car has to be taken regularly
to a Chrysler dealer for powertrain inspection and maintenance. What if
Chrysler fails and there are no more Chrysler dealers to do the powertrain
inspections and maintenance? Does this get Obama’s powertrain backup off the
hook?
If
Maxwell had a lifetime powertrain warranty on the car that Jack Benny
purchased, he undoubtedly would have driven that Maxwell right up to the day
he died --- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U-z7t5Fkg3o
In the 1970s, K-Mart
offered an insane warranty that would replace a battery with no replacement
cost for as long as you owned the car. Little did K-Mart realize that people
like me drive cars for 20 or 30 years. I think I had eight totally free
battery replacements. Once I even wore a Jack Benny nametag into the K-mart
service center. They did seem to appreciate my humor.
If Plymouth had a given me
a lifetime powertrain warranty on by 1970 stationwagon, I would still be
driving a 1970 Plymouth stationwagon with new fenders, doors, seats,
radiator, muffler, exhaust pipes, and of course a new battery from K-Mart
(those lifetime battery warranties are still good).
Alas, in 1998 my Plymouth
stationwagon transmission failed (the car would only go in reverse). At that
time I decided that replacing this component of the powertrain did not meet
the benefit-cost test without having a lifetime powertrain warranty from
Plymouth. The saddest part was having to give up the lifetime battery
replacement from K-Mart.
Kipp, the former CFO, was fired
in 2012 as part of the probe, Swisher said. According to the federal
indictment, Kipp, Viard, Pierrard and other employees who haven’t been
charged used a variety of tricks to juice the company’s earnings in order to
hit predetermined target numbers.
For example, the company
allegedly used “cookie jar” accounting, inflating reserves of other
companies it acquired and then drawing those reserves down to inflate
earnings. Prosecutors say the company also took expenses that should have
been booked on the profit-and-loss sheet and moved them to Swisher’s balance
sheet, fraudulently reducing its reported expenses.
According to prosecutors, Kipp
emailed Viard on Oct. 15, 2011, and said “I need to get about $300k in
expense reductions.”
Viard responded with ideas of
accounting items they could adjust, prosecutors said, and wrote back that “As
long as the changes aren’t material, I wouldn’t need to disclose.”
They reduced an accounting charge by $500,000, prosecutors charge, inflating
earnings by the same amount.
Later that same day, Kipp
emailed Viard again, prosecutors said, to tell her they would be able to
make their earnings target.
“Here is the sum of my handy
work for the day. I think if we can make all these stick, we can make it to
the forecast of $3.5 million,” prosecutors say Kipp wrote.
SUMMARY: Finance
chiefs are preparing for changes in one of their most fundamental tasks:
figuring out what's important enough to tell shareholders. Regulators in the
U.S. and abroad are tinkering with the concept of "materiality," or how to
determine what information is necessary for companies to disclose publicly.
For companies, the sorting process is costly and complex, partly because
what's considered "material" varies from regulator to regulator. Congress
and the Supreme Court also have their own ideas.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This
article offers an excellent look at the different definitions of materiality
and the challenges associated with determining what is material.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is materiality? What are some examples of
situations in which materiality would apply?
2. (Advanced) Why is materiality important in accounting? How does it
help accountants? How does it affect users of the financial statements?
3. (Advanced) Why are companies so challenged in determining what is
material? What parties or organizations have determined a definition of
materiality and what are the various definitions in each of those cases? How
do the definitions differ?
4. (Advanced) Why have so many parties defined materiality? Why do
those definitions vary?
5. (Advanced) What could be done to create more consistency between
the materiality definitions? What party or parties could work to unify the
definition?
6. (Advanced) What is the IASB? What is its area of responsibility?
What is FASB? What is its purpose? What are its areas of authority? Why are
these parties involved in the defining materiality?
7. (Advanced) How has preparation of financial statements changed in
recent years? How has the use of financial statements by outside parties
changed? How does this affect materiality?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Finance chiefs are preparing for changes in one of
their most fundamental tasks: figuring out what’s important enough to tell
shareholders.
Regulators in the U.S. and abroad are tinkering
with the concept of “materiality,” or how to determine what information is
necessary for companies to disclose publicly.
For companies, the sorting process is costly and
complex, partly because what’s considered “material” varies from regulator
to regulator. Congress and the Supreme Court also have their own ideas.
“A lot of [companies] find it difficult to work
with the concept of materiality,” said Hans Hoogervorst, chairman of the
London-based International Accounting Standards Board. Last week the board
proposed allowing corporate executives to exercise more of their own
judgment on what’s crucial to include in public filings.
At least a half-dozen standard setters, including
accounting rule makers, the Securities and Exchange Commission and various
stock exchanges, have guidelines on the subject. Some of them want companies
to sharpen their focus to avoid overwhelming investors with useless
information.
The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board
announced plans in September to do away with its own standard and instead
defer to one set by the U.S. Supreme Court in 1976. The board said it wanted
to clarify that “materiality is a legal concept.” The SEC is also working on
its own project to improve the usefulness of corporate disclosures and is
seeking input from the public through the end of November.
Business groups including the U.S. Chamber of
Commerce say they plan to press the issue this year because of the growing
complexity of deciding what information is crucial to keeping shareholders
in the loop.
“Disclosure may be straying from its core purpose,”
said John Hayes, chief executive of packaging company Ball Corp, who heads
the Business Roundtable’s corporate governance group. “If we thought these
things were material to having our investors make informed decisions, we’d
be talking about them already. But it actually gets in the way.”
Continued in article
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on October 1, 2015
Jensen Comment
Materiality might be less relevant here than in financial reporting. For
example, inadvertently capitalizing $1 million of transactions that should have
been expensed for a company having $60 billion in net earnings is not material
in terms of earnings reporting. Nor is a foreign bribe that impacts the bottom
line by $1 million material in terms of earnings. However, the same bribe in a
small company having less than $2 million in earnings is material in terms of
earnings. The issue in these two cases, however, is the
issue of being inadvertent versus deliberate.
Should deliberate violations of regulations be treated differently in large
versus small companies? Perhaps we should add criteria regarding deliberate
intent to materiality considerations.
The FASB has issued a proposed standard indicating
that the omission of disclosures about immaterial information in the notes
is not an accounting error. Additionally, the board noted that materiality
is a legal concept that shall be applied to assess quantitative and
qualitative disclosures individually and in the aggregate in the context of
the financial statements taken as a whole. Currently, failure to provide
required disclosures on the basis of materiality concerns is considered an
accounting error.
That is a value-added link. But I think it still is somewhat vague. Consider
the following quotation:
Court then articulated the standard for materiality that
is still widely used today:
“An omitted fact is material if there is a substantial likelihood that a
reasonable shareholder would consider it important in deciding how to
vote… . It does not require proof of a substantial likelihood that
disclosure of the omitted fact would have caused the reasonable investor
to change his vote. What the standard does contemplate is a showing of a
substantial likelihood that, under all the circumstances, the omitted
fact would have assumed actual significance in the deliberations of the
reasonable shareholder. Put another way , there must be a substantial
likelihood that the disclosure of the
omitted fact would have been viewed by the reasonable investor as having
significantly altered the ‘total mix’ of information available.
”
Jensen Comment
There are really two types of omitted facts that arise in this situation and
in nearly every situation where a parent learns about something bad done by
a teenage child. Firstly, there's the fact that concerning the deed and how
bad the deed is from a materiality standpoint no matter who did the deed.
For example, if $5 in merchandise is shoplifted the materiality can be
judged on the value of the amount stolen.
Then there's the fact that your child felt an need or an urge to shoplift at
all, thereby violating your trust in the child.
Thus we have two possibly omitted facts that were learned. One is that
$5-value fact. The other is that it was your child.
Some investors may not be concerned about small-valued improprieties per se.
But they may be concerned that management would commit the impropriety
irrespective of the value involved.
My
point is that some investors may overlook improprieties that are not
material in value. Other investors, perhaps more religious investors, may
find it hard to forgive no matter what the materiality of the sin involved.
Thus my point is that materiality alone does not determine how an investor
will react.
We
encounter similar situations with faculty or student cheating all the time.
On the Trinity University campus officials are finding that a scheduled
lecture for the largest auditorium by Jane Goodall is the becoming one of
the most wildly popular lectures ever scheduled on campus (and a wealthy
school like Trinity pays hundreds of thousands of dollars to a number of
outside speakers every year). But a few in the audience will find it hard to
forget than Jane once confessed to plagiarizing from Wikipedia. To most
this one-time cheating is immaterial.
To a few, however, the mere fact that she confessed to ever plagiarizing
says something "material" about her character.
What is a "reasonable investor" versus an "unreasonable investor" with
respect to materiality?
This is a very nice posting that you entitled
Camfferman and Zeff on the IASB. I've not yet delved
into these additions to our historical literature
and thus do not feel qualified to add to your
comments.
I do not agree with you that the FASB "the
FASB has never needed the concept of materiality to
promulgate its standards." The FASB makes
statements that provisions of a standard generally
do not apply if they do not meet the FASB concept on
"immaterial items." For example, Paragraph 56 of the
original SFAS 133 in part reads as follows:
. . .
The provisions of
this Statement (SFAS 133) need not be applied to immaterial items.
This Statement was adopted by the unanimous
vote of the seven members of the Financial Accounting Standards
Board:
Thus the FASB needs a concept or standard for
preparers and auditors to rely upon for determining
when items in financial statements are "immaterial,"
but beyond that the issue of materiality is based
upon judgment regarding materiality. To my knowledge
there are no white lines to apply in this regard in
either the FASB or IASB standards.
Materiality is more of an issue in auditing
standards. Financial statement auditors historically
emphasize over and over that they are not
responsible for fraud detect6ion unless that fraud
materially affects the financial statements. There
are numerous instances of audit failures in this
regard where fraud materially affected the financial
statements ranging all the way from
McKesson & Robbins
Allied Crude Vegetable Oil Refining
ZZZZ Best
Crazy Eddie
Phar-Mor
Foundation for New Era Philanthropy
Waste Management
Enron
Worldcom
Sunbeam
Toshiba
ETC ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Fraud001.htm
The Koss Case is Becoming a
Classic Example
The problem these days is that users of financial
statements and the courts are thinking that
financial statement auditors should do more in the
area of detection of management fraudsters even when
their frauds are in the gray zone of lesser impact
on the financial statements.
Koss hired one of the best
accounting firms in the world, Grant
Thornton, and should have been able
to rely on Thornton’s audits to
uncover wrongdoing, Avenatti said.
The suit against the auditing firm
says auditors assigned to Koss were
not properly trained.
The lawsuit lists hundreds of checks
that Sachdeva ordered drawn on
company accounts to pay for her
personal expenses. She disguised the
recipients — upscale retailers such
as Neiman Marcus, Saks Fifth Avenue
and Marshall Fields — by using just
the initials. But the suit says
Grant Thornton could have
ascertained the true identity of the
recipients by inspecting the reverse
side of the checks, which showed the
full name.
Koss Corp. receives $8.5M in
settlement with former auditor Koss
Corporation announced it has settled
the claims between Koss and its
former auditor, Grant Thornton, in
the lawsuit pending in the Circuit
Court of Cook County, Illinois. As
part of the settlement, the parties
provided mutual releases that
resolved all claims involved in the
litigation between Koss and its
directors against Grant Thornton.
Pursuant to the settlement, Koss
received gross proceeds of $8.5M on
July 3.
Jensen
Comment
Grant Thornton failed to detect former
Koss Corp. executive's $34 million
embezzlement. Normally external auditors
rested easy when such frauds did not
materially affect the financial
statements or they had strong cases that
they were deceived by the client in a
way that they were not responsible to
detect such fraud in a financial
statement audit.
Both the
SEC and the PCAOB are beginning to make
waves about having audit firms more
responsible for detecting major frauds
like the SAC fraud. If one of the Big
Four had been the auditor of the Madoff
Fund I think the audit firm probably
would not have gotten off with zero
liability for negligence. Times are
changing since Andy Fastow pilfered
around $60 million from his employer
(Enron).
Audits are not designed to
uncover fraud and Koss did not pay
for a separate opinion on internal
controls because they are exempt
from that Sarbanes-Oxley
requirement.
But punching
holes in that Swiss-cheese defense
is like shooting fish in a barrel.
Leading that horse to water is like
feeding him candy taken from a baby.
The reasons why someone other than
American Express should have caught
this sooner are as numerous as the
acorns you can
steal from a blind pig…
Ok, you get the gist.
Listing
standards for the NYSE require an
internal audit function. NASDAQ,
where Koss was listed, does not.
Back in 2003, the
Institute of Internal Auditors (IIA)
made recommendations
post-
Sarbanes-Oxley that were adopted for
the most part by NYSE, but not
completely by NASDAQ. And both the
NYSE and NASD left a few key
recommendations hanging.
In addition,
the IIA has never mandated, under
its own standards for the internal
audit profession, a
direct reporting
of the
internal audit function to the
independent Audit Committee. The
SEC
did not adopt this requirement in
their final rules, either.
However, Generally Accepted Auditing
Standards (GAAS), the standards an
external auditor such as Grant
Thornton operates under when
preparing an opinion on a company’s
financial statements – whether a
public company or not, listed on
NYSE or NASDAQ, whether exempt or
not from Sarbanes-Oxley – do require
the assessment of the internal audit
function when planning an audit.
Grant Thornton
was required to adjust their
substantive testing given the number
of
risk factors
presented by Koss, based on
SAS 109 (AU 314),
Understanding the Entity and Its Environment
and Assessing the Risks of Material
Misstatement. If they had
understood the entity and assessed
the risk of material misstatement
fully, they would have been all over
those transactions like _______.
(Fill in the blank)
If they had
performed a proper
SAS 99 review (AU 316),
Consideration of Fraud in a
Financial Statement Audit, it
would have hit’em smack in the face
like a _______ . (Fill in the
blank.) Management oversight of the
financial reporting process is
severely limited by Mr. Koss Jr.’s
lack of interest, aptitude, and
appreciation for accounting and
finance. Koss Jr., the CEO and son
of the founder,
held the titles of COO and CFO, also.
Ms. Sachdeva,
the Vice President of Finance and
Corporate Secretary who is accused
of the fraud, has been in the
same job since
1992
and during one ten year period
worked remotely from Houston!
When they
finished their review according to
SAS 65 (AU 322),The
Auditor’s Consideration of the
Internal Audit Function in an Audit
of Financial Statements, it
should have dawned on them: There is
no internal audit function and the
flunky-filled Audit Committee is a
sham. I can see it now. The Grant
Thornton Milwaukee OMP smacks head
with open palm in a “I could have
had a V-8,” moment but more like,
“Holy cheesehead, we’re indigestible
gristle-laden, greasy bratwurst
here! We’ll never be able issue an
opinion on these financial
statements unless we take these
journal entries apart, one-by-one,
and re-verify every stinkin’ last
number.”
But I dug in and did some additional
research – at first I was just
working the “no internal auditors”
line – and I found a few more
interesting things. And now I have
no sympathy for Koss management and,
therefore, its largest shareholder,
the Koss family. Granted there is
plenty of basis, in my opinion, for
any and all enforcement actions
against Grant Thornton and its audit
partners. And depending on how far
back the acts of deliciously
deceptive defalcation go,
PricewaterhouseCoopers may also be
dragged through the mud.
Yes.
I can not make
this stuff up and have it come out
more music to my ears.
PricewaterhouseCoopers was Koss’s
auditor prior to Grant Thornton. In
March of 2004,
the
Milwaukee Business Journal
reported, “Koss
Corp.
has fired the
certified public accounting firm of
PricewaterhouseCoopers L.L.P. as its
independent auditors March 15 and
retained Grant Thornton L.L.P. in
its place.”
The article was short with the
standard disclaimer of no disputes
about accounting policies and
practices. But it pointedly pointed
out that PwC’s fees for the audit
had increased by almost 50% from
2001 to 2003, to $90,000 and the
selection of the new auditor was
made after a competitive bidding
process.
PwC had been Koss’s auditor since
1992!
The focus on
audit fees by Koss’s CEO should have
been no surprise to PwC.
Post-Sarbanes-Oxley, Michael J. Koss
the son of the founder, was quoted
extensively as part of the very
vocal cadre of CEOs who complained
vociferously about paying their
auditors one more red cent. Koss Jr.
minced no words regarding PwC in the
Wall Street Journal in August 2002,
a month after the law was passed:
“…Sure, analysts had
predicted a modest fee increase
from the smaller pool of
accounting firms left after
Arthur Andersen LLP’s collapse
following its June conviction on
a criminal-obstruction charge.
But a range of other factors are
helping to drive auditing fees
higher — to as much as 25% —
with smaller companies bearing
the brunt of the rise.
“The auditors are
making money hand over fist,”
says Koss Corp. Chief Executive
Officer Michael Koss. “It’s
going to cost shareholders in
the long run.”
He should know. Auditing
fees are up nearly 10% in the
past two years at his
Milwaukee-based maker of
headphones. The increase has
come primarily from auditors
spending more time combing over
financial statements as part of
compliance with new disclosure
requirements by the Securities
and Exchange Commission. Koss’s
accounting firm,
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, now
shows up at corporate offices
for “mini audits” every quarter,
rather than just once at
year-end.”
A year later,
still irate, Mr. Koss Jr. was quoted
in
USA Today:
“Jeffrey Sonnenfeld,
associate dean of the Yale
School of Management, said he
recently spoke to six CEO
conferences over 10 days. When
he asked for a show of hands,
80% said they thought the law
was bad for the U.S. economy.
When pressed individually,
CEOs don’t object to the law or
its intentions, such as forcing
executives to refund ill-gotten
gains. But confusion over what
the law requires has left
companies vulnerable to experts
and consultants, who “frighten
boards and managers” into
spending unnecessarily,
Sonnenfeld says.
Michael Koss, CEO of
stereo headphones maker Koss,
says it’s all but impossible to
know what the law requires, so
it has become a black hole where
frightened companies throw
endless amounts of money.
Companies are spending way
too much to comply, but the cost is due to
“bad advice,
not a bad law,” Sonnenfeld
says.”
It’s
interesting that Koss Jr. has
such minimal appreciation for the
work of the external auditor or an
internal audit function. By virtue,
I suppose, of his esteemed status as
CEO, COO and CFO of Koss and
notwithstanding an undergraduate
degree in anthropology,
according to
Business Week,
Mr. Koss Jr.
has twice served other Boards as
their “financial expert” and
Chairman of their Audit Committees.
At
Genius
Products,
founded by the Baby Genius DVDs
creator, Mr. Koss served in this
capacity from 2004 to 2005. Mr. Koss
Jr. has also been a Director,
Chairman of Audit Committee, Member
of Compensation Committee and Member
of Nominating & Corporate Governance
Committee at
Strattec Security Corp.
since 1995.
If I were the
SEC, I might take a look at those
two companies…Because
I warned you
about the CEOs
and CFOs who are pushing back on
Sarbanes-Oxley and every other
regulation intended to shine a light
on them as public company
executives.
No good will come of this.
I don’t want
you to shed crocodile tears or pity
poor PwC for their long-term, close
relationship with
another blockbuster Indian
fraudster.
Nor should you pat them on the back
for not being the auditor now. PwC
never really left Koss after they
were “fired” as auditor in 2004.
They continued until today to be the
trusted “Tax and All Other” advisor,
making good money
filing Koss’s now totally bogus tax
returns.
Jensen Comment
You may want to compare Francine's above
discussion of audit fees with the
following analytical research study:
In most instances the defense of
underlying assumptions is based upon
assumptions passed down from
previous analytical studies rather
than empirical or even case study
evidence. An example is the
following conclusion:
We find
that audit quality and audit
fees both increase with the
auditor’s expected litigation
losses from audit failures.
However, when considering the
auditor’s acceptance decision,
we show that it is important to
carefully identify the component
of the litigation environment
that is being investigated. We
decompose the liability
environment into three
components: (1) the strictness
of the legal regime, defined as
the probability that the auditor
is sued and found liable in case
of an audit failure, (2)
potential damage payments from
the auditor to investors and (3)
other litigation costs incurred
by the auditor, labeled
litigation frictions, such as
attorneys’ fees or loss of
reputation. We show that,
in equilibrium,
an increase in the potential
damage payment actually leads to
a reduction in the client
rejection rate. This effect
arises because the resulting
higher audit quality increases
the value of the entrepreneur’s
investment opportunity, which
makes it optimal for the
entrepreneur to increase the
audit fee by an amount that is
larger than the increase in the
auditor’s expected damage
payment. However, for this
result to hold, it is crucial
that damage payments be fully
recovered by the investors. We
show that an increase in
litigation frictions leads to
the opposite result—client
rejection rates increase.
Finally, since a shift in the
strength of the legal regime
affects both the expected damage
payments to investors as well as
litigation frictions, the
relationship between the legal
regime and rejection rates is
nonmonotonic. Specifically, we
show that the relationship is
U-shaped, which implies that for
both weak and strong legal
liability regimes, rejection
rates are higher than those
characterizing more moderate
legal liability regimes.
Volker Laux and D. Paul Newman,
"Auditor Liability and Client
Acceptance Decisions," The
Accounting Review, Vol. 85,
No. 1, 2010 pp. 261–285
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/TheoryTAR.htm#Analytics
Added Jensen Comment
I'm inclined to agree with you, Tom, on the
following:
Why wouldn’t the FASB
simply remind these respondents that there is
nothing in current GAAP, the PCAOB’s auditing
standards or the securities laws, that bars an
issuer from omitting immaterial disclosures.
Perhaps the FASB is bothered by the need for more
disclosures in the gray zone of immaterial fraud
that is nevertheless management fraud.
As to reconciliations and roll forwards what I
would really like to see are new rules from somebody
requiring roll forwards on the change in retained
earnings that provides details regarding components
of net earnings for the year.
Thanks,
Bob
October 12, 2015 reply from Tom Selling
Bob, my point is that even though there are
some words in CON 8, they do not constitute a genuine definition of
materiality. Since financial reporting and standard setting has
functioned without one, evidently one is not needed.
I should have
been more clear on this in my post, and may follow up later: What is
driving the FASB’s proposal is the requirement in the PCAOB’s AS14
for auditors to accumulate errors , unless clearly trivial (an
amount well below immaterial) and evaluate the accumulated errors
(whether an B/S or P&L amount, or a disclosure) and to share the
schedule of unadjusted differences with management and the audit
committee. The FASB proposal would take the audit committee out of
the equation in evaluating aggregated immaterial disclosures if they
are specifically designated as
not accounting errors because they are
immaterial. For
the life of me, I have no idea why the FASB is sticking its nose in
this. Surely, GAAP is clearly that If an
item is not material, then a company can do what it wants. But, if
a fix is needed (which I question), it is a matter for the PCAOB to
discuss.
Jagdish, you stated:
“all promulgated accounting standards are
fair except that one can violate one standard if in following
another standard such violation does not make financial
standards misleading”
This presumes that all accounting standards
are “fair” as written. Did you intend to imply that if something is
GAAP, it is by definition “fair”? Prior to the Codification, that
was indeed the definition of “fair” in the AICPA’s auditing
standards.
As one example of many, but one that I think
is close to the problem of materiality being solely a legal
standard, the SEC used to have the position that revenue could not
be recognized on the sale of goods until legal title has
transferred. Since some non-US jurisdictions kept legal title with
the seller until payment occurred, this was seen to be unfair, and
the SEC modified its position. So, what was “fair” yesterday became
foul the next day.
If “fair” is defined as following the rules,
and materiality is specified as a legal concept, then the standard
auditor report should read “…complies with applicable laws” instead
of “is fairly presented.”
SUMMARY: Over the past
18 months, the SEC and accounting standard setters have frequently
questioned whether registrants are using the "right recipe" for effective
disclosures - that is, whether their compliance with disclosure requirements
and their disclosures of material and relevant information are optimally
balanced. To help registrants refine their recipes, the SEC has embarked on
a disclosure effectiveness project. While the SEC seeks to reduce or
eliminate outdated, redundant, and overlapping disclosures, reducing the
volume of disclosure is not the objective - the SEC wants to put better
disclosure into the hands of investors. Although it believe that these
efforts can reduce the costs and burdens on companies, updating the
requirements may very well result in additional disclosures.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
article updates students on the current SEC rules regarding disclosure
requirements.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the SEC? What is its area of authority?
2. (Introductory) What set of rules is the SEC updating? Why does
the SEC have concerns? What areas is the SEC addressing? What is the current
status of the project?
3. (Advanced) What is materiality? How is it determined? Why is it
important in accounting? How is materiality reported in SEC disclosures?
Why?
4. (Advanced) What are redundant disclosures? What are the
potential problems caused by redundant disclosures? What guidance does the
SEC offer on this topic?
5. (Advanced) What is a "boilerplate" disclosure? Why is the SEC
concerned about it? Why would corporations use them? What guidance is the
SEC offering?
6. (Advanced) What is "relevance" in financial reporting? Why is it
important? What is ongoing relevance? What is the SEC guidance regarding
ongoing relevance?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Over the past 18 months, the SEC and accounting standard
setters have frequently questioned whether registrants are using the “right
recipe” for effective disclosures—that is, whether their compliance with
disclosure requirements and their disclosures of material and relevant
information are optimally balanced.
To help registrants refine their recipes, the SEC has
embarked on a disclosure effectiveness project.¹ While the SEC seeks to
reduce or eliminate outdated, redundant, and overlapping disclosures, Keith
Higgins, director of the Division of Corporation Finance, recently
emphasized that “reducing the volume of disclosure is not our objective—we
want to put better disclosure into the hands of investors. Although we
believe that these efforts can reduce the costs and burdens on companies,
updating the requirements may very well result in additional disclosures.”²
The project is in its initial stages,
and amendments to rules may ultimately be required. However, the SEC staff
has emphasized that rather than waiting for changes in rules or interpretive
guidance, registrants can take steps now to improve the effectiveness of
their disclosures. For example, in his April 2014 “call
to action,” Mr. Higgins informed registrants that
“[t]here is a lot that you . . . can do to improve the focus and
navigability of disclosure documents in the absence of rule changes. You can
step up your game right now.”
This Heads
Up discusses the SEC staff’s views and recommendations about steps
registrants can take today to improve their disclosures.
The appendix outlines various types of disclosures and the SEC’s suggestions
for improving them.
Elements of Effective Disclosure
The SEC staff has stated that effective disclosures are those
that are clear and concise and focus on matters that are both material and
specific to the registrant. Appropriate emphasis is also critical. Effective
disclosures emphasize matters the registrant believes to be the most
relevant and material, and they deemphasize—or exclude entirely—matters that
are not. Consequently, registrants are encouraged to continually reevaluate
their disclosures and modify them when the nature or relevance of
information has changed.
Mr. Higgins suggested that in their reevaluation of current
disclosures, registrants focus on:
Materiality.
Eliminating or reducing redundant
disclosures.
Tailoring disclosures.
The ongoing relevance of disclosures.
Materiality
In recent speeches, SEC staff members
have questioned whether registrants are truly concentrating on disclosing
material matters. Acknowledging that “materiality is not an easily applied
litmus test,” Mr. Higgins stated in his April 2014 speech, “If there are any
gray areas . . . the company is likely to include the disclosure in its
filing” and asked whether registrants are therefore including “too many
items in the obviously immaterial category.” In an October 2013 speech,
SEC Chair Mary Jo White reminded registrants that the Supreme Court
addressed the problem of disclosure overload and materiality approximately
35 years ago. She noted that the Court rejected the notion that “a fact is
‘material’ if an investor ‘might’ find it important” and instead “held that
a fact is ‘material’ if ‘there is a substantial likelihood that a reasonable
shareholder would consider it important in deciding how to vote.’”
Eliminating or Reducing Redundant Disclosures
The SEC staff is also encouraging registrants to improve the
quality and overall effectiveness of their disclosures by reducing or
eliminating redundancies in their filings. For example, in his April 2014
speech, Mr. Higgins noted that registrants often repeat the significant
accounting policy disclosures from their financial statement footnotes
verbatim in their MD&A discussions of critical accounting estimates. He
stated that “if there were ever a place in a report that cried out for a
cross reference — and there are likely plenty of them — this is near the top
of the list.” While the SEC’s call to action does not relieve registrants
from complying with disclosure requirements under U.S. GAAP and SEC rules
and regulations (e.g., Regulations S-K and S-X), Mr. Higgins encourages them
to “[t]hink twice before repeating something.”
Tailoring Disclosures
The SEC staff often objects to “boilerplate” or general
disclosures that could apply to any registrant. Disclosures about risk
factors are a prime example. Whether the result of Congressional actions or,
as Ms. White noted in her October 2013 speech, the “safe harbors [that]
encouraged companies to share more ‘soft’ information with investors,” there
has been a marked increase in the amount of non-registrant-specific
risk-factor disclosures, which often span several pages in registrants’
filings. Mr. Higgins suggested that rather than viewing risk-factor
disclosures as “insurance policies,” registrants could work to limit such
disclosures to those that are the most relevant to their operations and be
specific in detailing how the risk factors “would affect the company if they
came to pass.”
Ongoing Relevance
Effective disclosures are not static but change over time.
Registrants are encouraged to continually reevaluate their facts and
circumstances to determine whether the information they are disclosing is
material and relevant, including information originally disclosed as a
result of an SEC staff comment. For example, a registrant may no longer need
to disclose a material risk or an uncertainty related to a contingency that
was subsequently resolved or became immaterial. Conversely, a registrant
would need to disclose any additional information it has gained about a
material contingency.
Editor’s
Note: In speeches, Mr. Higgins and other
SEC staff members have asked registrants to carefully consider whether their
decisions to disclose information are based solely on industry-specific or
other SEC comment trends that are identified as “hot button” issues.
Moreover, an SEC comment letter can be viewed as the “beginning of . . . a
dialogue” rather than as an indication that the staff has “concluded the
requested information is material” and should therefore be disclosed. Mr.
Higgins reminded registrants to consider relevance, applicability, and
materiality before adding (or agreeing to add) disclosures to their filings.
Next
Steps
Instead of waiting for the SEC’s comprehensive list of
ingredients for effective disclosures, registrants are encouraged to start
testing their own recipes. In his October 3, 2014, speech, Mr. Higgins noted
that the SEC staff wants “to encourage companies to . . . experiment with
the presentation [in their periodic reports], reduce duplication and
eliminate stale information that is both outdated and not required.” He
stated that if “companies have ideas to improve their disclosures and want
to talk with us about them, although we won’t pre-clear specific disclosures
we are certainly happy to discuss potential changes.”
Teaching Case on Going Concern
Accounting
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 5, 2014
SUMMARY: Corporate managers will have to make more uniform
disclosures when there is substantial doubt about their business' ability to
survive, according to the Financial Accounting Standards Board. The FASB
updated U.S. accounting rules, effective by the end of 2016, to define
management's responsibility to evaluate whether their business will be able
to continue operating as a "going concern," and make relevant disclosures in
financial statement footnotes. Previously, there were no specific rules
under U.S. Generally Accepted Accounting Principles and disclosures were
largely up to auditors. Corporate executives had the option to make any
voluntary disclosures they felt relevant.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This is a good article to discuss going
concern, notes to the financial statements, and FASB, as well as
management's responsibility in financial reporting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is FASB? What is its function? What is GAAP?
Why is GAAP used in accounting?
2. (Advanced) What does the concept "going concern" mean? Why is it
important? What kind of disclosures is FASB requiring? Who is required to
make the disclosures? Why are these parties included in the requirement?
3. (Advanced) In general, what is included in the notes to
financial statements? Why are notes required? Who uses the notes and how are
they used? Please give some examples of information regularly included in
the notes.
4. (Advanced) What is the benefit of this new rule? How can this
information be used? Are there other ways besides a note that someone could
access this information?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Corporate managers will have to make more uniform
disclosures when there is substantial doubt about their business’ ability to
survive, the Financial Accounting Standards Board said Wednesday.
The FASB updated U.S. accounting rules, effective
by the end of 2016, to define management’s responsibility to evaluate
whether their business will be able to continue operating as a “going
concern,” and make relevant disclosures in financial statement footnotes.
Previously, there were no specific rules under U.S. Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles and disclosures were largely up to auditors. Corporate
executives had the option to make any voluntary disclosures they felt
relevant.
The FASB first issued a proposal at the peak of the
financial crisis in 2008, but debate and revisions delayed the final
standard, which didn’t go up for a vote until May.
Supporters of the changes have argued that
corporate managers have better information about a company’s ability to
continue financing their operations than auditors. The
updated rule will force executives to disclose serious risks even if
management has a credible plan to alleviate them, for example.
Information currently disclosed by companies can
vary significantly. Only about 40% of companies that filed for bankruptcy in
the past two decades have explicitly disclosed the possibility that they
could cease to operate before running into trouble,
according to a study this month from Duke
University’s Fuqua School of Business.
Teaching Case on Analysis of
Financial Statements
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 12, 2014
SUMMARY: Regulators have been concerned that the volume of
disclosures required of public companies has made their financial reports so
lengthy it's become harder for investors to find the most relevant
information. To address that problem, a committee of the Association of the
Bar of the City of New York is proposing yet another required disclosure for
companies: A short, plain-English overview, at the start of a company's
annual report, that would describe what happened at the company over the
past year and management's expectations and concerns for the year to come.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This is a good article to share with
students as we discuss annual reports and required disclosures.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is an annual report? What are its
components? What is the purpose of an annual report?
2. (Advanced) Who are the users of the annual report? How is this
information used? Why is accurate information and full disclosure important?
3. (Advanced) What has a group of lawyers proposed regarding the
requirements for annual reports? What is the reasoning behind this proposal?
What are the benefits of this proposal? Are there any drawbacks?
4. (Advanced) Should this proposal be implemented? Why or why not?
SMALL GROUP ASSIGNMENT:
Find the annual report for a large public company (either a physical copy or
online). Do you find that the critiques detailed in the article apply to the
financial information you are reviewing? Is information organized well? Are
the disclosures easy to find, read, and understand? Would the proposal
presented in the article be an improvement for the annual report you are
reviewing? Do you have other ideas for improvements to presentation?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
A prominent lawyers’ group has an idea for how companies can improve
annual reports: write a letter explaining the results in plain English, as
Warren Buffett
often does it.
Regulators have been concerned that the volume of
disclosures required of public companies has made their financial reports so
lengthy it’s become harder for investors to find the most relevant
information.
To address that problem, a committee of the
Association of the Bar of
the City of New York is proposing yet another
required disclosure for companies: A short, plain-English overview, at the
start of a company’s annual report, that would describe what happened at the
company over the past year and management’s expectations and concerns for
the year to come.
“Business disclosure should not be akin to a game
of ‘Where’s Waldo’ in which a reader is left suspecting that critical
information is buried somewhere in the document but good luck finding it,”
Michael R. Young, who chairs the bar association’s financial-reporting
committee, wrote in a letter last week to Keith Higgins, the Securities and
Exchange Commission’s director of corporation finance. “Rather, the most
important information is best volunteered, up front, by management in a way
that is both understandable and provides context.”
The committee plans to announce its proposal
Monday. In an interview, Mr. Young called the proposal “a rule to cut
through the rules” and said it wouldn’t replace any of the existing,
more-detailed disclosures that the SEC requires of public companies. “The
goal is to encourage companies and executives to report on what’s going on
[to investors] much as they would to the board of directors,” he said.
The model, Mr. Young said, is the widely read,
plain-spoken
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
shareholder letter that Mr. Buffett writes each
year. That “was sort of looked to as the platonic ideal” in developing the
new proposal, he said.
The SEC would be the agency to ultimately decide
whether to propose and implement such a move. The SEC’s Mr. Higgins said he
didn’t have any reaction to the committee’s proposal itself, but he likes
the idea in principle. “We encourage companies to make it easier to
understand what management thought for the prior year and what’s up for the
future,” he said.
According to 2012 research from accounting firm
Ernst & Young LLP, the average number of pages in annual reports devoted to
footnotes and management’s discussion and analysis has quadrupled over the
last two decades. In recent months, SEC officials have said they will look
at possible steps to make disclosure more effective, such as weeding out
outdated and redundant disclosure requirements.
“As the number of pages in annual reports has
steadily increased, it may become more difficult for investors to find the
most salient information,” Mr. Higgins said in an April speech to business
lawyers, in which he invited their suggestions.
Mr. Young says he “appreciates the irony” of
fighting disclosure overload by proposing another disclosure requirement.
But enacting such requirements is “the main tool regulators have to work
with” in solving the problem, he said.
Jensen Comment
The accounting rule is controversial in that net earnings and portfolio values
are subject to short-term transitory variations in security prices that may have
little to do with long-term earnings and value. For example, Tesla share prices
are subject to huge day-by-day volatility caused news events that usually do not
reflect changes future cash flows of the company.
Reporting of a portfolio's value becomes highly dependent upon what day the
reporting takes place.
Also there's a difference in value based upon such factors as control. For
example, if Buffett's firm only owns a few shares of Company X the price of $100
per share means something different than if his firm owns 51% of the voting
shares. That $100 per share represents the liquidity value of one share of
stock. It does not reflect the possibly enormous value of having control of the
management of the company.
The
same rule could be a stock market and real estate disaster for any tax (think a
wealth or income tax) that forces investors to liquidate portfolios to pay
the tax. At the moment tax accounting rules do not generally require liquidation
for value appreciation alone.
It's a little like reporting the number of birds to be served for dinner while
they are still in the bush and can fly away before dinner time.
"FASB proposes a bevy of new disclosure provisions aimed at financing
receivables: Will companies balk at the rules, despite already having most of
the information on hand? by Robert Willens, CFO.com, July 20, 2009
---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14070524/c_2984368/?f=archives
The Financial Accounting Standards Board has issued
an ambitious new plan that will dramatically increase the volume and quality
of the disclosures creditors will be asked to provide with respect
"financing receivables." The plan takes the form of a rule exposure draft,
and according to the proposal creditors will have to disclose their
allowance for credit losses associated with the financing receivables. These
rules are scheduled to become effective with respect to interim and annual
periods ending after December 15, 2009.
The proposed rule is entitled Disclosures about
the Credit Quality of Financing Receivables and the Allowance for Credit
Losses. It applies to all financing receivables held by creditors, both
public and private, that prepare financial statements in accordance with
generally accepted accounting principles.
For the purpose of the draft statement, financing
receivables include "loans" defined as a contractual right to receive money
either on demand or on fixed or determinable dates, and that are recognized
as an asset regardless of whether the receivable was originated by the
creditor or acquired by the creditor. The term loan, however, excludes
accounts receivable with contractual maturities of one year or less that
arise from the sale of goods or services. Further, there is an exception for
credit card receivables, as well, and the draft rule also excludes debt
securities as defined in FAS No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in
Debt and Equity Securities.
The proposal contains several other key terms worth
noting. For example, a portfolio segment is the level at which a creditor
develops and documents a systematic methodology to determine its allowance
for credit losses. For disclosure purposes, portfolio segments are
disaggregated in the following way: (1) financing receivables within a
portfolio segment that are evaluated collectively for impairment, and (2)
financing receivables within a portfolio segment that are evaluated
individually for such impairment.
Another term defined in the drat rule is, class of
financing receivable, described as a level of information that enables users
of financial statements to understand the nature and extent of exposure to
credit risk arising from financing receivables. Finally, a credit quality
indicator is a statistic about the credit quality of a portfolio of
financing receivables.
Types of Disclosures The proposal also suggests a
variety of disclosures that affected creditors will be called upon to
provide. For instance, a creditor is required to disclose four key pieces of
information related to the financing receivable: (1) a description, by
portfolio segment, of the accounting policies and methodology used to
estimate the allowance for credit losses; (2) a description, once again by
portfolio segment, of management's policy for charging off uncollectible
financing receivables; (3) the activity in the total allowance for credit
losses by portfolio segment; and (4) the activity in the financing
receivables related to the allowance for credit losses by portfolio segment.
Moreover, a creditor will be expected to disclose
information by portfolio segment that enables users of its financial
statements to assess the fair value of loans at the end of the reporting
period.
There is still more work for creditors, in that
they must again disclose management's policy for determining past-due or
delinquency status, this time by class of financing receivable. For
financing receivables carried at "amortized cost" that are neither past-due
nor impaired, creditors will be asked to disclose quantitative and
qualitative information about the credit quality of financing receivables.
That includes a description of the credit quality indicator and the carrying
amount of the financing receivables by credit quality indicator.
For financing receivables carried at a measurement
other than amortized cost, that are neither past-due nor impaired, a
creditor will have to provide quantitative information about credit quality
at the end of the reporting period.
With respect to financing receivables that are
past-due, but not impaired, the creditor will be asked to provide an
analysis of the age of the carrying amount of the financing receivables at
the end of the reporting period. The creditor will also have to disclose the
carrying amount — again at the end of the reporting period — of financing
receivables which are 90 days or more past-due, but not impaired, for which
interest is still accruing. Moreover, disclosures will be required with
respect to the carrying amount of financing receivables at the end of the
reporting period that are now considered "current," but have been modified
in the current year subsequent to being past-due.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board has issued
an ambitious new plan that will dramatically increase the volume and quality
of the disclosures creditors will be asked to provide with respect
"financing receivables." The plan takes the form of a rule exposure draft,
and according to the proposal creditors will have to disclose their
allowance for credit losses associated with the financing receivables. These
rules are scheduled to become effective with respect to interim and annual
periods ending after December 15, 2009.
The proposed rule is entitled Disclosures about
the Credit Quality of Financing Receivables and the Allowance for Credit
Losses. It applies to all financing receivables held by creditors, both
public and private, that prepare financial statements in accordance with
generally accepted accounting principles.
For the purpose of the draft statement, financing
receivables include "loans" defined as a contractual right to receive money
either on demand or on fixed or determinable dates, and that are recognized
as an asset regardless of whether the receivable was originated by the
creditor or acquired by the creditor. The term loan, however, excludes
accounts receivable with contractual maturities of one year or less that
arise from the sale of goods or services. Further, there is an exception for
credit card receivables, as well, and the draft rule also excludes debt
securities as defined in FAS No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in
Debt and Equity Securities.
The proposal contains several other key terms worth
noting. For example, a portfolio segment is the level at which a creditor
develops and documents a systematic methodology to determine its allowance
for credit losses. For disclosure purposes, portfolio segments are
disaggregated in the following way: (1) financing receivables within a
portfolio segment that are evaluated collectively for impairment, and (2)
financing receivables within a portfolio segment that are evaluated
individually for such impairment.
Another term defined in the drat rule is, class of
financing receivable, described as a level of information that enables users
of financial statements to understand the nature and extent of exposure to
credit risk arising from financing receivables. Finally, a credit quality
indicator is a statistic about the credit quality of a portfolio of
financing receivables.
Types of Disclosures The proposal also suggests a
variety of disclosures that affected creditors will be called upon to
provide. For instance, a creditor is required to disclose four key pieces of
information related to the financing receivable: (1) a description, by
portfolio segment, of the accounting policies and methodology used to
estimate the allowance for credit losses; (2) a description, once again by
portfolio segment, of management's policy for charging off uncollectible
financing receivables; (3) the activity in the total allowance for credit
losses by portfolio segment; and (4) the activity in the financing
receivables related to the allowance for credit losses by portfolio segment.
Moreover, a creditor will be expected to disclose
information by portfolio segment that enables users of its financial
statements to assess the fair value of loans at the end of the reporting
period.
There is still more work for creditors, in that
they must again disclose management's policy for determining past-due or
delinquency status, this time by class of financing receivable. For
financing receivables carried at "amortized cost" that are neither past-due
nor impaired, creditors will be asked to disclose quantitative and
qualitative information about the credit quality of financing receivables.
That includes a description of the credit quality indicator and the carrying
amount of the financing receivables by credit quality indicator.
For financing receivables carried at a measurement
other than amortized cost, that are neither past-due nor impaired, a
creditor will have to provide quantitative information about credit quality
at the end of the reporting period.
With respect to financing receivables that are
past-due, but not impaired, the creditor will be asked to provide an
analysis of the age of the carrying amount of the financing receivables at
the end of the reporting period. The creditor will also have to disclose the
carrying amount — again at the end of the reporting period — of financing
receivables which are 90 days or more past-due, but not impaired, for which
interest is still accruing. Moreover, disclosures will be required with
respect to the carrying amount of financing receivables at the end of the
reporting period that are now considered "current," but have been modified
in the current year subsequent to being past-due.
Continued in article
"FASB proposes a bevy of new disclosure provisions aimed at financing
receivables: Will companies balk at the rules, despite already having most of
the information on hand? by Robert Willens, CFO.com, July 20, 2009
---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14070524/c_2984368/?f=archives
The Financial Accounting Standards Board has issued
an ambitious new plan that will dramatically increase the volume and quality
of the disclosures creditors will be asked to provide with respect
"financing receivables." The plan takes the form of a rule exposure draft,
and according to the proposal creditors will have to disclose their
allowance for credit losses associated with the financing receivables. These
rules are scheduled to become effective with respect to interim and annual
periods ending after December 15, 2009.
The proposed rule is entitled Disclosures about
the Credit Quality of Financing Receivables and the Allowance for Credit
Losses. It applies to all financing receivables held by creditors, both
public and private, that prepare financial statements in accordance with
generally accepted accounting principles.
For the purpose of the draft statement, financing
receivables include "loans" defined as a contractual right to receive money
either on demand or on fixed or determinable dates, and that are recognized
as an asset regardless of whether the receivable was originated by the
creditor or acquired by the creditor. The term loan, however, excludes
accounts receivable with contractual maturities of one year or less that
arise from the sale of goods or services. Further, there is an exception for
credit card receivables, as well, and the draft rule also excludes debt
securities as defined in FAS No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in
Debt and Equity Securities.
The proposal contains several other key terms worth
noting. For example, a portfolio segment is the level at which a creditor
develops and documents a systematic methodology to determine its allowance
for credit losses. For disclosure purposes, portfolio segments are
disaggregated in the following way: (1) financing receivables within a
portfolio segment that are evaluated collectively for impairment, and (2)
financing receivables within a portfolio segment that are evaluated
individually for such impairment.
Another term defined in the drat rule is, class of
financing receivable, described as a level of information that enables users
of financial statements to understand the nature and extent of exposure to
credit risk arising from financing receivables. Finally, a credit quality
indicator is a statistic about the credit quality of a portfolio of
financing receivables.
Types of Disclosures The proposal also suggests a
variety of disclosures that affected creditors will be called upon to
provide. For instance, a creditor is required to disclose four key pieces of
information related to the financing receivable: (1) a description, by
portfolio segment, of the accounting policies and methodology used to
estimate the allowance for credit losses; (2) a description, once again by
portfolio segment, of management's policy for charging off uncollectible
financing receivables; (3) the activity in the total allowance for credit
losses by portfolio segment; and (4) the activity in the financing
receivables related to the allowance for credit losses by portfolio segment.
Moreover, a creditor will be expected to disclose
information by portfolio segment that enables users of its financial
statements to assess the fair value of loans at the end of the reporting
period.
There is still more work for creditors, in that
they must again disclose management's policy for determining past-due or
delinquency status, this time by class of financing receivable. For
financing receivables carried at "amortized cost" that are neither past-due
nor impaired, creditors will be asked to disclose quantitative and
qualitative information about the credit quality of financing receivables.
That includes a description of the credit quality indicator and the carrying
amount of the financing receivables by credit quality indicator.
For financing receivables carried at a measurement
other than amortized cost, that are neither past-due nor impaired, a
creditor will have to provide quantitative information about credit quality
at the end of the reporting period.
With respect to financing receivables that are
past-due, but not impaired, the creditor will be asked to provide an
analysis of the age of the carrying amount of the financing receivables at
the end of the reporting period. The creditor will also have to disclose the
carrying amount — again at the end of the reporting period — of financing
receivables which are 90 days or more past-due, but not impaired, for which
interest is still accruing. Moreover, disclosures will be required with
respect to the carrying amount of financing receivables at the end of the
reporting period that are now considered "current," but have been modified
in the current year subsequent to being past-due.
The analogy would be proposing to your sweetheart in June without revealing
your previous marital record until the day of the wedding in
December. Why should your new bride know early on that you had five previous
wives and eight children about to be released from reform school? The same goes
for your own secret prison record for two statutory rapes.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on September 13, 2013
The NYT’s Steven M. Davidoff says that the situation
with Twitter is exactly the kind of thing
opponents of the JOBS Act had warned about: A prominent company, known
around the world, has filed for what will most likely be the most
anticipated stock offering since Facebook—and we know precious little about
its business. “No selected financial data, no information about
capitalization or operations, no ‘risk factors’” or anything else you
typically find in a company’s S-1. Under the Act, companies don’t have to
make their public filing until 21 days before they launch a “roadshow,” and
the filing doesn’t obligate Twitter to set a timeline for selling its
shares, the Journal notes.
Twitter is already valued at more than $9 billion, as
judged by private sales by employees of their stock to BlackRock earlier
this year, people familiar with that transaction tell the WSJ. And if it
goes public soon, it could reap rewards from a buoyant market and a hot
period for IPOs.
Questions
Why might Perry Corp. want to avoid filing a Form 13-D?
Why should individual investors want to know the information provided on such a
form?
SUMMARY: "Perry
Corp., a well-known hedge fund, will pay $150,000 to settle allegations
brought by the Securities and Exchange Commission that it improperly
withheld details about a large investment in an effort to profit."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article can be used in covering investments or business combinations to help
students understand the financial reporting and SEC filings associated with
these activities-and the possibilities that some will try to avoid
disclosure and transparency.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What is the purpose of a SEC filing on Form 13-D? (Hint: You may investigate
this question at
www.sec.gov under "Description of SEC Forms" Look for Table 3-4.)
2. (Introductory)
What is the SEC's accusation, brought as a civil suit against Perry Corp.
about its trading activities in 2004?
3. (Advanced)
Why might Perry Corp. want to avoid filing a Form 13-D? Why should
individual investors want to know the information provided on such a form?
4. (Introductory)
The Perry case highlights continuing tensions over how much transparency
private funds provide to the public. What is transparency? According to the
author of the article, how do hedge funds profit in part by avoiding
transparency?
5. (Advanced)
The SEC "has been revamping its enforcement division, in part, by trying to
ensure that deep-pocketed investors make mandatory public disclosures" How
do these disclosures help with the SEC's monitoring efforts?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Federal securities regulators are taking a shot at
a high-profile trading strategy that triggered controversy on Wall Street a
few years back.
Perry Corp., a well-known hedge fund, will pay
$150,000 to settle allegations brought by the Securities and Exchange
Commission that it improperly withheld details about a large investment in
an effort to profit.
The move followed a nearly four-year investigation
by the SEC into trades during 2004 that involved merger discussions between
two pharmaceutical companies, the regulatory agency said on Tuesday.
Perry neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing. The
firm, run by former Goldman Sachs Group Inc. trader Richard Perry and which
at its peak controlled $15 billion, called the settlement a "satisfactory
conclusion."
At issue is the broad requirement that investors
fully disclose their large stakes in companies in a timely fashion. The SEC
accused Perry of failing to file a regulatory document known as a 13(d) that
would alert the market it had built up a stake of more than 5% in a public
company, according to the agency's administrative proceeding.
The $150,000 settlement amount is small, given the
stakes at play in the hedge-fund world. At the same time, not many SEC
actions are solely focused on the failure to file a 13(d).
"This case shows that institutional investors need
to take very seriously their disclosure obligations," said David Rosenfeld,
associate director of the SEC's New York regional office, who oversaw the
case. The case "hopefully will deter others from engaging in this type of
conduct."
Perry was represented in the case by securities
lawyer William McLucas, who ran the SEC's enforcement division for eight
years before leaving the agency in 1998.
The case centered on a series of trades Perry made
beginning in 2004 involving Mylan Inc. and King Pharmaceuticals Inc. The SEC
said Perry should have disclosed publicly that it had amassed a nearly 10%
stake in Mylan as the two companies were contemplating a merger.
Perry maintained that the stock purchases fell
under the category of investments made "in the ordinary course of business"
and weren't done to exert control over the company, and therefore Perry
didn't have to make the filing by a certain time.
The SEC disagreed, saying Perry's Mylan stake was
linked to its desire to gain shareholder clout so Mylan would go through
with the merger, and therefore the filing needed to be made within 10 days
of the acquisition of the securities.
Ultimately, the merger fell through, diminishing
the profit Perry hoped to make. At the time, Perry and billionaire investor
Carl Icahn, who opposed the deal, became embroiled in a legal battle that
brought the merger bid further attention.
The Perry case highlights continuing tensions over
how much transparency private funds provide to the public. Hedge funds
generally try to gain and retain an information edge wherever they can, in
part by keeping as much of their holdings as veiled from outsiders as
possible.
Hedge funds are currently fighting government
efforts on several fronts to require deeper disclosure of their positions in
public companies, exotic derivatives and other holdings.
The SEC lately has been revamping its enforcement
division amid a rash of big frauds. As part of that effort, the agency is
trying to ensure that deep-pocketed investors make mandatory public
disclosures designed to prevent unfair profits at the expense of smaller
investors.
Mr. Perry, 54 years old, and his firm now oversee
$6.6 billion in assets. The firm lost about 28% on investment declines in
2008 and, like many hedge funds, has experienced client withdrawals,
according to investor documents. During 2004, the firm notched a gain of
20%, a return that helped it become one of the biggest U.S. hedge funds.
Teaching Case from The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on
April 27, 2012
SUMMARY: "MetLife Inc. posted a first-quarter shortfall on steeper
derivatives losses...Operating earnings...climbed in the period and topped
estimates, though operating revenue...grew more slowly than expected." The
operating results were disclosed two weeks earlier than MetLife had intended
because the company "...inadvertently post[ed] some of the data on its
website....The technological foul-up stemmed from an effort by the insurer
to get revamped historical data into investors' hands in advance of
MetLife's previously planned May 2 earnings release date..." because the
company reorganized its segments into six units within 3 broad geographic
regions.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article covers basic quarterly reporting
and market reactions to earnings releases, segment reporting and the effect
of a business reorganization on that reporting, and Regulation Fair
Disclosure (Reg FD). Under this regulation, the company had to release first
quarter earnings information to all parties once the inadvertent disclosure
to some analysts was discovered.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Define operating revenues and operating earnings
and highlight what generates the difference between the two. How did MetLife
perform on each of these measures in the first quarter of 2012?
2. (Introductory) How did the market react to these results? What
information in the article do you think generated that market reaction, the
operating revenues, the operating earnings, the "snafu" in posting earnings,
or something else?
3. (Advanced) Access the announcement about these first quarter
results in the SEC filing of Form 8-K on April 24, 2012, available at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1099219/000119312512168620/0001193125-12-168620-index.htm,
by clicking on the link to the Form 8-K document. What business
organizational change did the company undertake? In your answer, include an
explanation of how the company's business was organized before the
organizational change.
4. (Advanced) What authoritative accounting guidance requires
companies to provide information according to how the business is organized?
Provide specific reference to promulgated accounting standards.
5. (Advanced) Refer again to the MetLife SEC filing. Click on the
link to the "Historical Results Financial Supplement" below the Form 8-K
filing link. Summarize how the information is presented and what benefit
MetLife hoped to provide its investors and other financial statement users.
6. (Introductory) What is Regulation Fair Disclosure? Search on the
SEC web site to find this answer and provide a reference to your source.
7. (Advanced) Refer again to the MetLife SEC filing of Form 8-K.
Why does the Metlife filing indicate in item 7.01 that the company is
complying with Regulation FD by providing the earnings release covering
results of operations and financial condition?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
MetLife Inc. MET +1.39% posted a first-quarter
shortfall on steeper derivatives losses, in results the life insurer
released two weeks ahead of schedule after inadvertently posting some of the
data on its website.
Operating earnings, which exclude investment gains
and losses, climbed in the period and topped estimates, though operating
revenue, which also strips out some investment effects, grew more slowly
than expected.
MetLife, the biggest U.S. life insurer, reported
its results earlier than planned after the company had learned that
historical data posted Wednesday on the investor-relations section of its
website "could be accessed in ways to make visible" the preliminary
quarterly results. It discovered the snafu on Thursday.
The company's shares fell 1.2% to $34.96 Friday.
They have climbed 12% this year.
MetLife posted a loss of $64 million, compared with
a year-earlier profit of $877 million. On a per-share basis, which reflects
the payment of preferred dividends, the company posted a loss of 9 cents,
versus a profit of 66 cents. Operating earnings rose to $1.37 a share from
$1.23. Operating revenue climbed 6.9% to $16.69 billion.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters were looking for
operating earnings of $1.25 a share and operating revenue of $16.72 billion.
The better-than-expected operating results were aided by the stock market's
strong showing, which lifted products such as variable annuities, said
Morgan Stanley analyst Nigel Dally. International earnings were at "the
upper-end" of the prior guidance range provided by the company, he said,
mostly attributable to MetLife's Asian operations.
Like its fellow insurers, MetLife uses derivatives
to hedge a number of risks, including changes in interest rates and
fluctuations in foreign currencies. Certain derivatives tend to produce
losses in quarters when shares of MetLife and the broader market are
rallying, and vice versa. In the most recent period, the company booked net
derivative losses of $1.98 billion compared with a year-earlier derivative
loss of $315 million.
Analysts also applauded a sharp drop in MetLife's
sales of variable annuities. While the investment products can be lucrative
to insurers, they can be costly to hedge when interest rates are low and
markets are volatile.
John Nadel, an analyst at Sterne Agee, said MetLife
seems to have its variable-annuity sales "under control."
MetLife executives, led by chief executive Steven
Kandarian, have said profits were likely to rise in 2012, as better results
at its U.S. retirement-products business and its international operations
offset the effects of sluggish economic growth.
I begin my remarks by echoing others and
commending the work of the team that has been working on this rule,
including Rolaine Bancroft, Hughes Bates, Michelle Stasny, Kayla Florio,
Heather Mackintosh, Silvia Pilkerton, Robert Errett, Max Rumyantsev, and
Kathy Hsu.
Heather and Sylvia have been working on
the data tagging and preparing EDGAR to accept this new data. This is no
small endeavor.
I want to give a special thank you to
Paula Dubberly, who retired last year from the SEC and is in the audience
today. She has been a champion for investors through her leadership on
asset-backed securities regulation from the development of the initial Reg
AB proposal through the rules that are being considered today.
This rule is an important step
forward in completing the mandated Dodd-Frank Act rulemakings.[1]
The financial crisis revealed investors’ inability to actually assess pools
of loans that had been sliced and diced, sometimes multiple times, by being
securitized, re-securitized, or combined in a dizzying array of complex
financial instruments. The securitization market was at the center of the
financial crisis. While securitization structures provided liquidity to
nearly every sector in the U.S. economy, they also exposed investors to
significant and non-transparent risks due to poor lending practices and poor
disclosure practices.
As we now know, offering documents
failed to provide timely and complete information for investors to assess
the underlying risks of the pool of assets.[2]
Without sufficient and accurate loan level details, analysts and investors
could not gauge the quality of the loans – and without an ability to
distinguish the good from the bad, the secondary market collapsed.
Congress responded and required the
Commission to promulgate rules to address a number of weaknesses in the
securitization process.[3]
Six years after the financial crisis, the
securitization markets continue to recover. While certain asset classes
have rebounded, others continue to struggle.
The rule the Commission issues today
partially addresses the Congressional mandate. In effect, today’s rules
provide investors with better information on what is inside the
securitization package. The rules today do for investors what food and drug
labeling does for consumers – provide a list of ingredients.
This rule also addresses certain critical
flaws that became apparent in the securitization process, including a dearth
of quality information and insufficient time to make informed assessments of
the underlying investments. This rule is an important step toward providing
investors with tools and data to better understand the underlying risks and
appropriately price the securities.
There are several important and laudable
aspects of today’s rule that merit specific mentioning.
First, the rule requires the
underlying loan information to be standardized and available in a tagged XML
format to ensure maximum utility in analysis.[4]
As noted in the Commission’s 2010 Proxy Plumbing Release: “If issuers
provided reportable items in interactive data format, shareholders may be
able to more easily obtain information about issuers, compare information
across different issuers, and observe how issuer-specific information
changes over time as the same issuer continues to file in an interactive
format.”[5]
The same is true for underlying loan information. Investors can unlock the
value and efficiency that standardized, machine readable data allows.
Today’s rule also improves disclosures
regarding the initial offering of securities and significantly, for the
first time, requires periodic updating regarding the loans as they perform
over time. This information will provide a more nuanced and evolving
picture of the underlying assets in a portfolio to investors.
The rule also requires that the principal
executive officer of the ABS issuer certify that the information in the
prospectus or report is accurate. These kinds of certifications provide a
key control to help ensure more oversight and accountability.
As for the privacy concerns that prompted
a re-proposal, the staff has worked hard to balance investor needs for loan
level data with concerns that the data could lead to identification of
individual borrowers. I believe the rule achieves a workable balance
between these two competing needs, while still providing invaluable public
disclosure.
Finally, I believe that the new
disclosure rule will provide investors with the necessary tools to see what
is “under the hood” on auto loan securitizations. In its latest report on
consumer debt and credit, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York noted a
recent spike in subprime auto lending. As the report shows, although
consumer auto debt balances have risen across the board, the real growth has
been in riskier loans.[6]
The disclosure and reporting changes that the Commission is adopting today
will help investors see the quality of the loans in a portfolio and the
performance of those loans over time.
While today’s rules are an important step
forward, more work needs to be done regarding conflicts of interest. We
now know that many firms who were structuring securitizations before the
financial crisis were also betting against those same securitizations.
In April 2010, the Commission
charged the U.S broker-dealer of a large financial services firm for its
role in failing to disclose that it allowed a client to select assets for an
investment portfolio while betting that the portfolio would ultimately lose
its value. Investors in the portfolio lost more than $1 billion.[7]
In October 2011, the Commission sued the
U.S broker-dealer of a large financial services firm for among other things,
selling investment products tied to the housing market and then, for their
own trading, betting that those assets would lose money. In effect, the
firm bet against the very investors it had solicited. An experienced
collateral manager commented internally that a particular portfolio was
“horrible.” While investors lost virtually all of their investments in the
portfolio, the firm pocketed over $160 million from bets it made against the
securitization it created.[8]
The Dodd-Frank Act directed the
Commission to adopt rules prohibiting placement agents, underwriters, and
sponsors from engaging in a material conflict of interest for one year
following the closing of a securitization transaction. Those rules were
required to be issued by April 2011.[9]
The Commission initially proposed these rules in September 2011, and still
has not completed them.[10]
We need to complete these rules as soon as possible, hopefully, by the end
of this year. These rules will provide investors with additional confidence
that they are not being hoodwinked by those packaging and selling those
financial instruments.
Unfortunately, the Commission has put on
hold its work to provide investors with a software engine to aid in the
calculation of waterfall models. Although the final rule provides for a
preliminary prospectus at least three business days before the first sale,
this is reduced from the proposal, which provided for a five-day period.
With only three days to conduct due diligence and make an investment
determination, such a software engine could be an important and much needed
tool for investors to use in analyzing the flow of funds. Such waterfall
models can help investors assess the cash flows from the loan level data.
We should return to this important initiative to provide investors with the
mathematical logic that forms the basis for the narrative disclosure within
the prospectus.
The rule today impacts some significant
sectors of the securitization market, however, the Commission should
continue to work in making improvements that will provide investors with the
disclosures they need regarding other asset classes, such as student loans,
equipment loans and leases, and others as appropriate.
Finally, it is vitally important that the
Commission continue to work with our fellow regulators to establish
important provisions for risk retention, also required by the Dodd-Frank
Act.
In conclusion, I appreciate the staff’s
hard work both with me and my staff over these past several months. But
much work remains to be done. I am committed to working with the staff and
my fellow Commissioners to continue to move forward with Dodd-Frank
rulemakings and specifically rulemakings to improve the strength and
resiliency of securitization markets.
A stable securitization market efficiently
brings investors and issuers together. Thus far, the return of capital to
securitization markets has been disappointing, and I am hopeful that this
rule and others that will follow will provide incentives for both issuers
and investors to return with confidence to this once vibrant marketplace.
The new tools and protections provided in
today’s rule should help restore trust in a market that was at the heart of
the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. But removing this
black cloud is going to require continuing focus and effort from all of us.
Thank you. I
[1] The
Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L.
No. 111-203, 124 Stat. 1376 (July 21, 2010).
[2]See
Sheila Bair, Bull by The Horns: Fighting to Save Main Street From
Wall Street and Wall Street From Itself at 52 (2012) (investors
in asset-backed securities lacked detailed loan level information
and adequate time to analyze the information before making an
investment decision).
[3] The
Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act imposed
new requirements on the ABS process and required the Commission to
promulgate rules in a number of areas. Section 621 prohibits an
underwriter, placement agent, initial purchaser, sponsor, or any
affiliate or subsidiary of any such entity, of an asset-backed
security from engaging in any transaction that would involve or
result in any material conflict of interest with respect to any
investor in a transaction arising out of such activity for a period
of one year after the date of the first closing of the sale of the
asset-backed security. Section 941 requires the Commission, the
Federal banking agencies, and, with respect residential mortgages,
the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and the Federal
Housing Finance Agency to prescribe rules to require that a
securitizer retain an economic interest in a material portion of the
credit risk for any asset that it transfers, sells, or conveys to a
third party. The chairperson of the Financial Stability Oversight
Council is tasked with coordinating this regulatory effort. Section
942 contains disclosure and Exchange Act reporting requirements for
ABS issuers. Section 943 requires the Commission to prescribe
regulations on the use of representations and warranties in the ABS
market. Section 945 requires the Commission to issue rules
requiring an asset-backed issuer in a Securities Act registered
transaction to perform a review of the assets underlying the ABS,
and disclose the nature of such review. Seealso
H.R. Rep. No. 4173 (2010) (Dodd-Frank Conference Report)
[9] Dodd-Frank
Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. 111-203, §
621, 124 Stat. 1376, 1632 (2010).
[10]See
SEC Release No. 34-65355, Prohibition against Conflicts of
Interest in Certain Securitizations, September 19, 2011; SEC
Release No. 34-65545, October 12, 2011 (extending the comment period
from December 19, 2011 to January 13, 2012); and SEC Release No.
34-66058, October 12, 2011 (extending the comment period end date
from January 13, 2012 to February 13, 2012).
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. agreed to the largest
regulatory penalty in its history, resolving U.S. and state claims stemming
from the Wall Street firm’s sale of mortgage bonds heading into the
financial crisis.
In settling with the Justice Department and a
collection of other state and federal entities for more than $5 billion,
Goldman will join a list of other big banks in moving past one of the
biggest, and most costly, legal headaches of the crisis era.
Goldman said litigation legal expenses stemming
from the accord would trim its fourth-quarter earnings by about $1.5
billion, after taxes. The firm is scheduled to report results Wednesday.
“We are pleased to have reached an agreement in
principle to resolve these matters,” Lloyd Blankfein, Goldman’s chief
executive, said in a statement.
Government officials previously won
multibillion-dollar settlements from J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., Bank of
America Corp. and Citigroup Inc. The probes examined how Wall Street sold
bonds tied to residential mortgages, and whether banks deceived investors by
misrepresenting the quality of underlying loans.
The government’s inquiry into Goldman related to
mortgage-backed securities the firm packaged and sold between 2005 and 2007,
the years when the housing market was soaring and investor demand for
related bonds was still strong.
Structured bonds are
often viewed as complex and opaque, and participants in the
securitization and structured finance markets have traditionally had a
narrow focus on a specific part of the securitization value chain.
However, in the post credit crunch environment, the market is more
regulated, standardized, transparent, and better structured with
closer-aligned and more balanced incentives for all participants, more
focus on investors and improved comprehension of these bond instruments.
In order for the market to succeed, it is vital that all participants
take a broader view and understand every part of the transaction
lifecycle.
In Securitization and
Structured Finance Post Credit Crunch: A Best Practice Deal Lifecycle
Guide, Markus Krebsz draws on his years of experience in the global
finance markets to provide a jargon-free guide to the entire lifecycle
of securitization and structured finance deals. The book:
Introduces much
needed sound practice principles, based on lessons learnt post
credit crisis
Takes the reader
through a generic deal's typical lifecycle stages
Discusses each
stage of the deal in detail, from 'Pre-Close' (strategic aims,
feasibility studies, deal economic analysis and transaction
documentation) through 'Close' (credit ratings, investor
appetite/marketability, legal considerations) and 'Aftercare'
(reporting, surveillance and performance analysis, and ordinary and
extraordinary repayment)
Opens up the
author's personal 'tool box' and provides the reader with a
comprehensive selection of references, tables, a glossary and other
useful resources. Electronic versions of these tools are available
from the book's companion website at www.structuredfinanceguide.com
This unique,
holistic and pragmatic insight into all deal life cycle stages makes
Securitization and Structured Finance Post Credit Crunch an
invaluable reference for all market participants in their efforts to get
this important and - if used properly - hugely beneficial part of the
capital markets back up and running.
Jensen Comment
There's not much in this book regarding accounting rules or illustrations of
measurement and disclosures in financial statements. However, the book us
up-to-date in lending insight into the types of contracts that must bye
accounted for in structured financing and securitization.
Summary
Why Is the FASB Issuing This Accounting Standards Update (Update)? In recent
years, the rate of default on loans collateralized by residential real
estate properties resulting from general economic conditions, including
weakness in the housing market, has affected the rate of residential real
estate foreclosures and the levels of foreclosed real estate owned by banks
or similar lenders (creditors). U.S. generally accepted ac counting
principles on troubled debt restructurings include guidance on situations in
which a creditor obtains one or more collateral assets in satisfaction of
all or part of the receivable. That guidance indicates that a creditor
should reclassify a collateralized mortgage loan such that the loan should
be derecognized and the collateral asset recognized when it determines that
there has been in substance a repossession or foreclosure by the creditor,
that is, the creditor receives physical possession of the debtor’s assets
regardless of whether formal foreclosure proceedings take place . However,
the terms in substance a repossession or foreclosure and physical possession
are not defined in the accounting literature and there is diversity about
when a creditor should derecognize the loan receivable and recognize the
real estate property. That diversity has been highlighted by recent extended
foreclosure timelines and processes related to residential real estate
properties.
The objective of the amendments in this Update
is to reduce diversity by clarifying when an in substance repossession or
foreclosure occurs, that is, when a creditor should be considered to have
received physical possession of residential real estate property
collateralizing a consumer mortgage loan such that the loan receivable
should be derecognized and the real estate property recognized.
Who Is Affected by the Amendments in This
Update?
The amendments in this Update apply to all creditors who obtain physical
possession (resulting from an in substance repossession or foreclosure) of
residential real estate property collateralizing a consumer mortgage loan in
satisfaction of a receivable.
What Are the Main Provisions?
The amendments in this Update clarify that an in substance repossession or
foreclosure occurs, and a creditor is considered to have received physical
properties existing as of the beginning of the annual period for which the
amendments are effective. Assets reclassified from real estate to loans as a
result of adopting the amendments in th is Update should be measured at the
carrying value of the real estate at the date of adoption. Assets
reclassified from loans to real estate as a result of adopting the
amendments in this Update should be measured at the lower of the net amount
of loan receivable or the real estate’s fair value less costs to sell at the
time of adoption. For prospective transition, an entity should apply the
amendments in this Update to all instances of an entity receiving physical
possession of residential real estate property collateralized by consumer
mortgage loans that occur after the date of adoption. Early adoption is
permitted.
How Do the Provisions Compare with
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)?
IFRS does not contain any guidance specific to the reclassification of
collateralized mortgage loans to foreclosed residential real estate
property.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
To the Point:
Repo
accounting amendments finalized
The Financial
Accounting Standards Board (FASB)
today amended its guidance on accounting for repurchase
agreements. The amendments simplify the accounting by
eliminating the requirement that the
transferor demonstrate it has adequate collateral to fund
substantially all the cost of purchasing replacement assets. As
a result, more arrangements could be accounted for as secured
borrowings rather than sales.
The attached To the Point summarizes what you need to
know about the new guidance. It is
also available online.
There are dozens of books on the financial crisis: I
have read many of them and the Kindle samples for just about all of them.
There are only two I would recommend: those are Bethany McLean and Joe
Nocera’s excellent
All the Devils are Here and the much more
specifically detailed
Fatal Risk from
Roddy Boyd. Roddy's book is solely concerned with the failure of AIG.
Both books start without any strong ideological preconceptions and let the
facts woven into a good story do the talking - and both wind up ambivalent
about many of the major players - with many players having human weaknesses
(gullibility, delusion, arrogance etc) but committing nothing that looks
like a strong case for criminal prosecution. Reading these you can see why
there are so few criminal prosecutions from the crisis. And you will also
see just how extreme the human failings that caused the crisis are.
Innovate or die. The phrase, popularized in Silicon
Valley in the nineteen-nineties, has since become a mantra throughout the
business world, and nowhere has it been more popular than on Wall Street,
which in recent years has churned out a seemingly endless stream of new ways
to manage capital and slice and dice risk. But, while Silicon Valley’s
innovations have brought enormous benefits to society, the value of Wall
Street’s innovations seems a lot less clear. (The former Fed chair Paul
Volcker has said, for instance, that the last valuable new product in
banking was the A.T.M.) The Valley gave us the microprocessor, Google, and
the iPod. The Street gave us the C.D.O., the A.B.S., and the C.D.S.—not to
mention the kind of computerized trading that enabled last week’s
stock-market nosedive. Not surprisingly, then, the whole notion of
“financial innovation” is being looked at with a gimlet eye, and Congress is
now considering various ways to rein in the banking industry’s excesses.
Given the tumult of the past few years, the barter system is starting to
look good.
Not all of Wall Street’s concoctions have been
pointless or destructive, of course. Take junk bonds, whose use Michael
Milken pioneered in the nineteen-eighties. They got a bad name when Milken
went to prison for securities fraud. But his insight that high-yield bonds
could be a good investment—that, historically, the rewards outweighed the
risks—allowed new companies, including eventual giants like Turner
Broadcasting and M.C.I., as well as countless smaller businesses, to raise
billions in capital that previously would have been out of their reach.
Today, almost two hundred billion dollars’ worth of junk bonds is sold every
year; they’re an integral part of the way Wall Street does what it’s
supposed to do: channel money from investors to productive enterprises.
There are plenty of comparable examples, as Robert
Litan, a scholar at the Brookings Institution, showed in a recent essay.
Currency and interest-rate swaps, for instance, allow global corporations to
focus on their businesses without having to worry about wild swings in
currency values. Index funds have given individual investors a low-cost way
of putting their money to work. Venture capital provides startups with
access to tens of billions of dollars every year. Raghuram Rajan, a former
chief economist at the I.M.F. and a finance professor at the University of
Chicago, says, “There’s a lot of stuff that does a lot of good that we take
for granted, because it’s just become part of our everyday financial lives.”
Unfortunately, the benefits of good financial
innovations have, of late, been swamped by the costs of the ones that went
bad. Things like “structured investment vehicles,” for instance, were
designed to evade regulations and make bank balance sheets look safer than
they were. Subprime loans, which offered lower-income Americans a rare
chance to accumulate wealth, ended up inflating the housing bubble and
leaving these same people with debts they couldn’t pay. Credit-default
swaps, which are a useful way for investors to protect themselves against
unavoidable risks, became a way for institutions like A.I.G. to make easy
money in the short term while piling up billions of dollars in potential
obligations that taxpayers ended up paying for. And securitization—the
packaging of many loans into a single complex financial product—led
investors to neglect the quality of the actual loans that were being made.
Some of these ideas, as it happens, were reasonable
ones, within limits. But limits aren’t something that Wall Street knows much
about: in recent years, it has shown an uncanny knack for taking reasonable
ideas to unreasonable extremes. The economists Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei
Shleifer, and Robert Vishny argue in a recent paper that financial
innovation often leads to financial instability: investors get interested in
a new product that seems to offer high returns, and, precisely because it’s
new, underestimate the chance that this product will eventually blow up.
They pour more and more money into the market, until things start to go
wrong, at which point they panic en masse. The complex financial engineering
that went into creating products like C.D.O.s exacerbated the problem by
making the risks of those investments opaque. If investors had known the
risks they were taking in the pursuit of greater returns, they would have
been more prepared for failure—and would presumably have put less money into
the housing market. Instead, they thought that financial wizardry had
engineered all the danger out of the system. As Rajan argued in a prescient
2005 paper, financial development, which was supposed to make the system
safer, could in fact make it riskier. The fundamental problem with
innovation was that it made investors and executives forget the need to
think for themselves.
2001
Infectious Greed: How Deceit
and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets (Henry Holt and
Company, 2003, Pages 385 &389, ISBN 0-8050-7510-0)
The second type of
credit derivative --- the
Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO) --- posed even greater
dangers to the global economy. In a standard CDO, a financial institution
sold debt (loans or bonds) to a
Special Purpose Entity, which then split the debt into p9ces by issuing
new securities linked to each piece. Some of the pieces were of higher
quality; some were of lower quality. The credit-rating agencies gave
investment-grade ratings to all except the lowest-quality piece. By 2002,
there were more than a half a trillion dollars of CDOs.
. . .
.No one had paid
much attention to the first warning that CDOs threatened the health of the
global economy. In July 2001 --- two months before Jeff Slilling had
resigned from Enron, and long before investors learned about the accounting
problems at Global Crossing and WorldCom --- American Express, the U.S.
financial services conglomerate had calmly announced that it would take an
$825 million pretax charge to write down the value of investments in
high-yield bonds and Collateralized Debt Obligations. It all sounded much
too esoteric to matter to average investors. The media brushed off the
details by focusing on the junk bonds involved in the various deals, and
commentators seem to agree that theese losses were just a minor consequence
of the explosion of financial innovation.
. . .
Then there was the
stunning public admission by the chairman of American Express, Kenneth
Cheault, that his firm "did not comprehend the risk" of these investments.
What?
Question
What are CDOs?
Should they be booked?
Why were they particularly troublesome in the Year 2007?
Why were CDOs particularly troublesome in the Year 2007?
The accounting standards are not resolved on whether or not CDOs should be
booked.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review
on November 30, 2007
SUMMARY: Does
Citigroup need to bring $41 billion in potentially shaky
securities onto its balance sheet? Opinions are divided,
reflecting a wider debate over how to interpret accounting
rules on off-balance-sheet treatment for some financing
vehicles.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This article offers a good basis for
discussion of CDOs, possible consolidation of CDOs, and the
balance sheet presentation of CDOs based on the rules
related to "reconsideration events."
QUESTIONS:
1.) What are CDOs? What are the recent problems connected
with CDOs? What is the cause of these problems? In general,
why are they especially a concern for Citigroup?
2.) What is the specific issue facing Citigroup, as detailed
in the article?
3.) What are the accounting rules regarding consolidation of
CDOs? How do banks avoid having to consolidate?
4.) Why is there controversy over the how the losses should
be booked by the bank? What is the potentially vague part of
the rules?
5.) What position does Citigroup take? What position are
some accounting experts taking? Is either side getting
support from other parties? If so, from whom?
6.) With what position do you agree? How did you reach this
conclusion? Please offer support from your answer.
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University
Southeast
A $41 billion question mark is hanging over
Citigroup Inc.
That is the amount, in a worst-case scenario, of
potentially shaky securities the bank would need to bring onto its balance
sheet. Citi has already taken billions of dollars of such securities onto
its balance sheet and expects to take big write-downs on those holdings.
The fate of the $41 billion rests on the outcome of
a debate going on in accounting circles over what constitutes a
"reconsideration event." Those who say Citi needs to put these securities,
known as collateralized debt obligations, onto its balance sheet argue that
because Citi acted over the summer to backstop some of them, its
relationship with them changed, prompting a reconsideration event.
At the moment, it seems unlikely Citigroup will be
forced to bring the assets onto its books. The bank doesn't believe such a
reconsideration event is in order. A spokeswoman says Citigroup is confident
its "financial statements fully comply with all applicable rules and
regulations."
But the division of opinion reflects debate within
accounting circles over just how to interpret rules that govern
off-balance-sheet treatment for some financing vehicles. That, in turn,
underscores what many consider to be a failure of these rules to ensure that
investors in the companies that create these vehicles are adequately
informed of the risks posed by them.
In recent months, investors have been shocked to
learn that many banks were exposed to big losses because of their
involvement with vehicles that issued commercial paper and purchased risky
assets such as mortgage securities. The troubles facing one kind of
off-balance-sheet entity, known as structured investment vehicles, have even
prompted Citigroup and other major banks to organize a rescue fund.
But CDO vehicles created by Citigroup have proved
to be a more immediate threat. The bank's announcement this month that it
expects to take $8 billion to $11 billion in write-downs in the fourth
quarter largely stems from its exposure to CDO assets. Citigroup was one of
the biggest arrangers of CDOs -- products that pool debt, often mortgage
securities, and then sell slices with varying degrees of risk.
If Citigroup had to include an additional $41
billion in CDO assets on its books, that could potentially spur a further $8
billion in write-downs, above and beyond those already signaled, according
to a report earlier this month by Howard Mason, an analyst at Sanford C.
Bernstein. Such losses could further weaken Citigroup's capital position,
threatening its dividend or forcing the bank to raise money.
The issue for Citigroup is when, and if, it has to
reconsider consolidation of the CDO vehicles it sponsors.
Like other banks, Citigroup structured these
vehicles so they wouldn't be included on its books. The vehicles are created
as corporate zombies that ostensibly aren't owned or controlled by anyone.
In that case, accounting rules say consolidation of such vehicles is
determined by who holds the majority of risks and rewards connected to them.
To deal with that, banks sell off the riskiest
pieces of the vehicles. This ensures they don't shoulder a majority of the
risk and so don't have to consolidate the vehicles. The assessment of who
absorbs the majority of losses is made when the vehicles are created.
Over time, though, rising losses within a vehicle
can lead a sponsor to shoulder more risk, or even a majority of it. That can
also happen if a sponsor takes on additional interests in the vehicle by
buying up the short-term IOUs it issues.
That is what happened to Citigroup. Over the
summer, the bank was forced to buy $25 billion in commercial paper issued by
its CDO vehicles because investors were no longer interested in the paper.
Citigroup already had an $18 billion exposure to these vehicles through
other funding it had provided.
This combined $43 billion exposure means that if
CDO losses climb high enough, the bank could be exposed to more than half
the losses, according to Bernstein's Mr. Mason. That would seem to argue for
Citigroup's consolidating all $84 billion of its CDO assets originally held
in off-balance-sheet vehicles.
But the accounting rules don't say that sponsors of
these vehicles have to reassess on any regular basis the question of who
bears the majority of risk of loss. Such "reconsideration events" occur when
there is a change in the "governing documents or contractual arrangements"
related to these vehicles, the rules say.
Citigroup believes that because it hasn't changed
the documents or contracts related to the vehicles, it shouldn't have to
reconsider its relationship to them, according to people familiar with the
bank's thinking.
But some accounting experts point out that the rule
also says a reconsideration event occurs when an institution acquires
additional interests in the vehicle. "If a bank is being forced to step in
and be a bigger holder of the commercial paper, to me that's pretty black
and white that it's a reconsideration event," says Ed Trott, a retired
member of the Financial Accounting Standards Board, the body that wrote the
accounting rule.
An influential accounting-industry group, the
Center for Audit Quality, also seems to lean toward this view. In a paper
issued last month, the center said the purchase of commercial paper is an
example of a change in the contractual arrangements governing these
vehicles. This "may also result in a reconsideration event," the paper said.
But Citigroup believes its purchase of the CDO
vehicles' commercial paper is different, because it had taken on the
obligation to provide such assistance when the vehicles were created. This
means the bank was acting within the contractual arrangements governing the
vehicles, not changing them, according to the people familiar with
Citigroup's thinking.
Some accounting experts agree. "If all that's
happening is one set of [paper holders] is going out and another is coming
in, that's not a reconsideration event," says Stephen Ryan, an accounting
professor at New York University. "I don't think you reconsider moment by
moment; an event is not just bad luck happening."
Question
To what extent should the FASB and the IASB modify accounting standards for new
theories of structured finance and securitization?
"The Economics of Structured Finance," by Joshua D. Coval, Jakub
Jurek, and Erik Stafford, Working Paper 09-060, Harvard Business School,
2008 ---
http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/09-060.pdf
The essence of structured finance
activities is the pooling of economic assets (e.g. loans, bonds, mortgages)
and subsequent issuance of a prioritized capital structure of claims, known
as tranches, against these collateral pools. As a result of the
prioritization scheme used in structuring claims, many of the manufactured
tranches are far safer than the average asset in the underlying pool. This
ability of structured finance to repackage risks and create “safe” assets
from otherwise risky collateral led to a dramatic expansion in the issuance
of structured securities, most of which were viewed by investors to be
virtually risk-free and certified as such by the rating agencies. At the
core of the recent financial market crisis has been the discovery that these
securities are actually far riskier than originally advertised.
We examine how the process of
securitization allowed trillions of dollars of risky assets to be
transformed into securities that were widely considered to be safe, and
argue that two key features of the structured finance machinery fueled its
spectacular growth. First, we show that most securities could only have
received high credit ratings if the rating agencies were extraordinarily
confident about their ability to estimate the underlying securities’ default
risks, and how likely defaults were to be correlated. Using the prototypical
structured finance security – the
collateralized debt
obligation (CDO) – as an example, we illustrate that issuing a capital
structure amplifies errors in evaluating the risk of the underlying
securities. In particular, we show how modest imprecision in the parameter
estimates can lead to variation in the default risk of the structured
finance securities which is sufficient, for example, to cause a security
rated AAA to default with reasonable likelihood.
A second,
equally neglected feature of the securitization process is that it
substitutes risks that are largely diversifiable for risks that are highly
systematic. As a result, securities produced by structured finance
activities have far less chance of surviving a severe economic downturn than
traditional corporate securities of equal rating. Moreover, because the
default risk of senior tranches is concentrated in systematically adverse
economic states, investors should demand far larger risk premia for holding
structured claims than for holding comparably rated corporate bonds. We
argue that both of these features of structured finance products – the
extreme fragility of their ratings to modest imprecision in evaluating
underlying risks and their exposure to systematic risks – go a long way in
explaining the spectacular rise and fall of structured finance.
For over a century, agencies such as
Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch have gathered and analyzed a wide
range of financial, industry, and economic information to arrive at
independent assessments on the creditworthiness of various entities, giving
rise to the now widely popular rating scales (AAA, AA, A, BBB and so on).
Until recently, the agencies focused the majority of their business on
single-name corporate finance—that is, issues of creditworthiness of
financial instruments that can be clearly ascribed to a single company. In
recent years, the business model of credit rating agencies has expanded
beyond their historical role to include the nascent field of structured
finance.
From its beginnings, the market for
structured securities evolved as a “rated” market, in which the risk of
tranches was assessed by credit rating agencies. Issuers of structured
finance products were eager to have their new products rated on the same
scale as bonds so that investors subject to ratings-based constraints would
be able to purchase the securities. By having these new securities rated,
the issuers created an illusion of comparability with existing “single-name”
securities. This provided access to a large pool of potential buyers for
what otherwise would have been perceived as very complex derivative
securities.
During the past decade, risks of all
kinds have been repackaged to create vast quantities of triple-A rated
securities with competitive yields. By mid-2007, there were 37,000
structured finance issues in the U.S. alone with the top rating (Scholtes
and Beales, 2007). According to Fitch Ratings (2007), roughly 60 percent of
all global structured products were AAA-rated, in contrast to less than 1
percent of the corporate issues. By offering AAA-ratings along with
attractive yields during a period of relatively low interest rates, these
products were eagerly bought up by investors around the world. In turn,
structured finance activities grew to represent a large fraction of Wall
Street and rating agency revenues in a relatively short period of time. By
2006, structured finance issuance led Wall Street to record revenue and
compensation levels. The same year, Moody’s Corporation reported that 44
percent of its revenues came from rating structured finance products,
surpassing the 32 percent of revenues from their traditional business of
rating corporate bonds.
By 2008, everything had changed.
Global issuance of collateralized debt obligations slowed to a crawl. Wall
Street banks were forced to incur massive write-downs. Rating agency
revenues from rating structured finance products disappeared virtually
overnight and the stock prices of these companies fell by 50 percent,
suggesting the market viewed the revenue declines as permanent. A huge
fraction of existing products saw their ratings downgraded, with the
downgrades being particularly widespread among what are called “asset-backed
security” collateralized debt obligations—which are comprised of pools of
mortgage, credit card, and auto loan securities. For example, 27 of the 30
tranches of asset-backed collateralized debt obligations underwritten by
Merrill Lynch in 2007, saw their triple-A ratings downgraded to “junk”
(Craig, Smith, and Ng, 2008). Overall, in 2007, Moody’s downgraded 31
percent of all tranches for asset-backed collateralized debt obligations it
had rated and 14 percent of those nitially rated AAA (Bank of International
Settlements, 2008). By mid-2008, structured finance activity was effectively
shut down, and the president of Standard & Poor’s, Deven Sharma, expected it
to remain so for “years” (“S&P President,” 2008).
This paper investigates the
spectacular rise and fall of structured finance. We begin by examining how
the structured finance machinery works. We construct some simple examples of
collateralized debt obligations that show how pooling and tranching a
collection of assets permits credit enhancement of the senior claims. We
then explore the challenge faced by rating agencies, examining, in
particular, the parameter and modeling assumptions that are required to
arrive at accurate ratings of structured finance products. We then conclude
with an assessment of what went wrong and the relative importance of rating
agency errors, investor credulity, and perverse incentives and suspect
behavior on the part of issuers, rating agencies, and borrowers.
Manufacturing AAA-rated Securities
Manufacturing securities of a given
credit rating requires tailoring the cash-flow risk of these securities – as
measured by the likelihood of default and the magnitude of loss incurred in
the event of a default – to satisfy the guidelines set forth by the credit
rating agencies. Structured finance allows originators to accomplish this
goal by means of a two-step procedure involving pooling and tranching.
In the first step, a large collection
of credit sensitive assets is assembled in a portfolio, which is typically
referred to as a special purpose vehicle. The special purpose vehicle is
separate from the originator’s balance sheet to isolate the credit risk of
its liabilities – the tranches – from the balance sheet of the originator.
If the special purpose vehicle issued claims that were not prioritized and
were simply fractional claims to the payoff on the underlying portfolio, the
structure would be known as a pass-through securitization. At this stage,
since the expected portfolio loss is equal to the mean expected loss on the
underlying securities, the portfolio’s credit rating would be given by the
average rating of the securities in the underlying pool. The pass-through
securitization claims would inherit this rating, thus achieving no credit
enhancement.
By contrast, to manufacture a range of
securities with different cash flow risks, structured finance issues a
capital structure of prioritized claims, known as tranches, against
the underlying collateral pool. The tranches are prioritized in how they
absorb losses from the underlying portfolio. For example, senior tranches
only absorb losses after the junior claims have been exhausted, which allows
senior tranches to obtain credit ratings in excess of the average rating on
the average for the collateral pool as a whole. The degree of protection
offered by the junior claims, or overcollateralization, plays a crucial role
in determining the credit rating for a more senior tranche, because it
determines the largest portfolio loss that can be sustained before the
senior claim is impaired.
The concern was focused on
potential exposure from the credit default swaps portfolio they inherited
from Wachovia. In WFC's annual report the Buiness Insider saw limited
discussion of this risk and no details of the reserves for it.
There are two possible ways
to account for the lack of discussion of Collateral Call Risk. Either
Wachovia wrote its derivative contracts in ways that don’t permit buyers to
demand more collateral or Wells Fargo is not disclosing this risk. (A third
possibility—that they don't even seem aware that they have this risk — seems
remote after AIG.)
When I read that, I saw eerie parallels with New
Century, all the more so because of the auditor connection – both Wells
Fargo and Wachovia and New Century (now in Chapter 11) are audited by KPMG.
New Century was not too transparent either and, as a result, many people,
including
some very sophisticated investors
were caught with their pants down. KPMG is accused in a $1 billion dollar
lawsuit of not just being incompetent, but of aiding, abetting, and covering
up New Century’s fraudulent loan loss reserve calculations just so they
could keep their lucrative client happy and viable.
KPMG’s audit and review failures concerning New Century’s reserves
highlights KPMG’s gross negligence, and its calamitous effect — including
the bankruptcy of New Century. New Century engaged in admittedly high risk
lending. Its public filings contained pages of risk factors…New Century’s
calculations for required reserves were wrong and violated GAAP. For
example, if New Century sold a mortgage loan that did not meet certain
conditions, New Century was required to repurchase that loan. New Century’s
loan repurchase reserve calculation assumed that all such repurchases occur
within 90 days of when New Century sold the loan, when in fact that
assumption was false.
In 2005 New Century informed KPMG that the total outstanding loan repurchase
requests were $188 million. If KPMG only considered the loans sold within
the prior 90 days, the potential liability shrank to $70 million. Despite
the fact that KPMG knew the 90 day look-back period excluded over $100
million in repurchase requests, KPMG nonetheless still accepted the flawed
$70 million measure used by New Century to calculate the repurchase
reserve. The obvious result was that New Century significantly under
reserved for its risks.
How does the New Century situation and KPMG’s role in
it remind me of Wells Fargo now? Well, in both cases, there’s no disclosure
of the quantity and quality of the repurchase risk to the organization. Back
in
March of 2007, I wrote about the lack of
disclosure of this repurchase risk in New Century’s 2005 annual report:
There are 17 pages of discussion of general and REIT specific risk
associated with this company, but no mention of the specific risk of the
potential for their banks to accelerate the repurchase of mortgage loans
financed under their significant number of lending arrangements….it does not
seem that reserves or capital/liquidity requirements were sufficient to
cover the possibility that one of or more lenders could for some reason
decide to call the loans. Did the lenders have the right to call the loans
unilaterally? It does say that if one called the loans it is likely that all
would. Didn’t someone think that this would be a very big number (US 8.4
billion) if that happened.
Even if a lender sells most of the loans it originates, and, theoretically,
passes the risk of default on to the buyer of the loan, there remains an
elephant lurking in the room: the risk posed to mortgage bankers from the
representations and warranties made by them when they sell loans in the
secondary market… in bad times, the holders of the loans have been known to
require a second "scrubbing" of the loan files, looking for breaches of
representations and warranties that will justify requiring the originator to
repurchase the loan. …A "pure" mortgage banker, who holds and services few
loans, may think he's passed on the risk (absent outright fraud).
Sophisticated originators know better…When the cycle turns (as it always
does) and defaults rise, those originating lenders who sacrificed sound
underwriting in return for fee income will find the grim reaper knocking at
their door once again, whether or not they own the loan.
But earlier, on page 114,
there is a footnote to a chart representing loans in their balance sheet
that have been securitized--including residential mortgages and
securitzations sold to FNMA and FHLMC--where servicing is their only form of
continuing involvement.
Delinquent loans and net charge-offs exclude loans sold to FNMA and FHLMC.
We continue to service the loans and would only experience a loss if
required to repurchasea delinquent loan due to a breach in original
representations and warranties associated with our underwriting standards.
So where are those numbers?
Where is the number that correlates to the $8.4 billion dollar exposure that
brought down New Century? Wells Fargo saw an almost 300% increase from 2007
to 2008 in delinquencies and 200% increase in charge offs from commercial
loans and a 300% increase in delinquencies and 350% increase in charge offs
on residential loans they still hold. Can anyone say with certainty that we
won’t see FNMA and FHLMC come back and force some repurchases on Wells Fargo
for lax underwriting standards?
This is all we get from
Wells Fargo in the 2008 Annual Report:
The lack of disclosure of this issue here mirrors the
lack of disclosure in New Century and perhaps in other KPMG clients such at
Citigroup, Countrywide ( now inside Bank of America) and others. How do I
know there could be a pattern? Because
the inspections of KPMG by the PCAOB, their
regulator, tell us they have been called on auditing deficiencies just like
this. Do we have to wait for a post-failure lawsuit to bring some sense,
and some sunshine, to the system?
Question
Securitization entails lending with collateral that, in the subprime crisis, was
highly (and often fraudulently) overstated in value to outside investors in that
collateralized debt. What can be done to save securitization in capital markets?
For generations, the strength of the U.S. housing
market was due, in part, to securitization of mortgages with guarantees from
the government-sponsored companies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Following
the savings and loan debacle of the late 1980s, securitization -- which has
been defined as "pooling and repackaging of cash-flow producing financial
assets into securities that are then sold to investors" -- helped bring
capital back to battered real estate markets.
Today, securitization of subprime real estate loans
is blamed for the global liquidity crisis, but Wharton faculty say
securitization itself is not at fault. Poor underwriting and other
weaknesses in the market for mortgage-backed securities led to the current
problems. Securitization, they say, will remain an important part of the way
real estate is funded, although it is likely to undergo significant change.
"Securitization, in the long run, is a good thing,"
says Wharton finance professor Franklin Allen. "We didn't have much
experience with falling real estate prices in recent years. The mechanisms
weren't designed for that." He explains that economists were concerned about
the incentives and accounting that shaped the private mortgage
securitization market in recent years, but as long as real estate prices
kept rising, the weaknesses in the system did not become clear. Now, after
credit markets seized up and prices have declined sharply, those problems
have been exposed.
Allen believes financial markets will get back into
the business of securitizing mortgage debt, but only after making some major
changes. One new feature of future securitization deals, he says, could be a
requirement that loan originators hold at least part of the loans they write
on their books. Before the current crisis, loans were bundled into complex
tranches that were passed through the financial system and onto buyers with
little ability to assess the real value of the individual assets.
"The way the collateralized debt obligations (CDOs)
and other vehicles are structured will change. They are too complicated,"
says Allen. "I'm sure the industry will figure out how to do it. There will
be a lot of industry-generated reform and the industry will prosper. This is
not, in my view, something that should be regulated."
Privatizing Securitization
According to Wharton finance professor Richard J.
Herring, for decades, mortgage securitization was backed by government
guarantees through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and it worked well. Of
course, these agencies were regulated and bound by less-risky underwriting
standards than those that ultimately prevailed in the subprime market which
was also, potentially, more profitable. Indeed, default rates were so low in
the mortgage-based securities market that banks and other private financial
institutions were eager to take a piece of the residential business.
At first, the transition to private securitization
worked, because investors were willing to rely on three substitutes for the
government guarantees. These included ratings agencies, new business models
and monoline insurance designed to guarantee specialized mortgage-backed
bonds. "Positive experience with private securitization led to an alphabet
soup of innovations that sliced and diced the cash flows from pools of
mortgages in increasingly complex ways," says Herring.
Now, the subprime crisis has undermined confidence
in all three pillars of private securitization. Ratings proved unreliable as
even highly rated tranches experienced sudden, multiple-notch downgrades
that were unknown in corporate bonds. Models developed by the most
sophisticated firms selling mortgage-backed securities, including Bear
Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Citigroup and UBS, failed. Monoline insurers, it
turned out, were not adequately capitalized.
"There has been a highly rational flight to
simplicity," says Herring. Over time, he believes, the real estate
securitization market will reemerge as investors regain confidence in the
ratings agencies, new models evolve, and monoline insurers are able to
increase their capital. "But I think that it will be a long time before the
market will be willing to accept the complex, opaque structures that
failed," continues Herring. He adds that recovery will be delayed until
investors are confident that the fall in house prices has reached the
bottom.
Wharton real estate professor Susan M. Wachter
points out that many recent -- and historic -- international financial
problems originated in real estate. The nature of real estate finance and
incentive structures is more to blame than securitization this time around.
"The most recent crisis is coming through the securitization market, but
this isn't the only real estate crisis," Wachter notes, adding that the
fundamental problem in real estate finance is that there is no way to bet
against the industry. Real estate is essentially priced by optimists, and
rising prices themselves justify even higher values as assets are marked to
market, creating new incentives for investors to overpay.
Wachter points to real estate investment trusts
(REITS), publicly traded bundles of real estate assets, as an example of how
securitization can help provide liquidity, but also a chance for
short-sellers to correct against overly optimistic pricing. Research
indicates that REIT prices may not have increased as much as other sectors
of real estate finance because the industry has at least 200 analysts
looking at the underlying assets in each REIT with the ability to point out
faulty pricing to investors. "REITS have performed fluidly relative to the
overall market, and that is a good thing," says Wachter.
Fee-driven Lending
Another problem was that much of the subprime
lending was fee-driven, giving banks incentives to write loans to earn the
fees because they could then pass the risky assets along to securitized
bondholders. And even bank shareholders had no way to limit their real
estate exposure because banks invest in various kinds of economic activity
and not just in real estate. Biased pricing and bubbles also arise because
the supply of real estate is not elastic. By the time the market recognizes
supply has outstripped demand, construction has already begun on many more
projects that will continue to be built out; this tends to exacerbate
oversupply and create downward pressure on prices for years.
In a research paper titled, "Incentives for
Mortgage Lending in Asia," Wachter and her co-authors write: "With [the]
forbearance of regulatory authorities and the intervention of governments,
banks may be bailed out, mitigating the consequences for shareholders.
Nonetheless, the fundamental factor which explains why episodes of bank
under-pricing of risk are likely to occur is the inability of banking
shareholders to identify these episodes promptly and incentivize correct
pricing."
Wharton real estate professor Joseph Gyourko notes
that significant differences exist in the performance of commercial and
residential real estate securities. "Securitized commercial property debt
will come back once the market calms down," he says, adding that there has
been very little default in commercial real estate finance. "You'll be able
to pool mortgages and securitize them, but almost certainly won't be able to
leverage them as much as you did in the past."
The residential side, where there is significant
default, is more problematic. Gyourko believes the residential market will
go back to what it was in the mid-1990s and most borrowers will have to put
down at least 10% of the sales price. "We will get rid of the exotic, highly
leveraged loans," he says. "That will lead to lower homeownership, but it
should. We put a lot of people into homeownership that we shouldn't have."
Wharton emeritus finance professor Jack Guttentag,
who runs a web site called mtgprofessor.com, says the short-term future for
residential real estate is "bleak."
"Secured bondholders have been badly burned. They
discovered to their dismay that all kinds of problems are connected to
mortgage-backed securities, which they hadn't anticipated." Guttentag also
points to the failure of ratings agencies, which are already being revamped.
The methodologies used to determine ratings were flawed, he says. "They used
historic performance over a period that simply wasn't representative."
"CDOs are Doomed"
In the future, ratings agencies will need to
operate on the assumption that a security rated AAA should be able to
withstand a shock as great as the current crisis.
"That will mean that under the best of
circumstances, it will be harder to get a triple-A rating, which will reduce
the profitability of securities," Guttentag says. Some forms of securities
will die. CDOs are doomed, he adds, because the market has seen they are
extremely difficult to value. "In the short term, the prospects are dismal.
The market will recover, but I don't think we'll ever see CDOs again and the
standards will be tougher, so the comeback will be gradual."
Gyourko notes that the crisis is playing out in a
presidential election year, complicating the response. "I think this is the
worst time to have this happen. It's never a good time, but in an election
year, you're more likely to get a bad policy response," he says. According
to Guttentag, while Republican presidential candidate John McCain is taking
a laissez-faire stance, the Democratic presidential candidates have focused
on using the Federal Housing Administration (FHA) to refinance loans that
are in default. The idea is similar to what happened during the Great
Depression of the 1930s with another agency called the Home Owners' Loan
Corp. which was created specifically for that purpose.
The problem, says Guttentag, is that FHA is not
designed as a bailout agency. "The FHA's core mission is predicated on it
being a solvent operation, actuarially sound, charging an insurance premium
large enough only to cover losses. How they would reconcile that is not
clear."
Guttentag says attempts may be made to create a
separate bailout agency within the FHA with different accountability. "But
the devil is in the details," he warns, "and the details have to do with
exactly who is going to be helped, what the requirements are, what the
nature of the assistance is going to be, and myriad other factors that have
to be worked out." The Bush administration has taken some steps to ease the
crisis, including encouraging lenders to modify contracts to avoid
foreclosure. A strong case can be made for these measures, Guttentag adds.
"The cost of foreclosure is often greater than the cost of modifying the
contract and keeping the borrower in the house." One downside is that once
some loans are modified for those truly on the brink of foreclosure, other
borrowers who could somehow manage to avoid foreclosure may demand the same
modifications, shortchanging investors.
In testimony before the U.S. House of
Representatives' Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, Wachter laid
out a proposal developed with the Center for American Progress to resolve
the current crisis. Under the so-called SAFE loan plan, the U.S. treasury
and the Federal Reserve would run auctions, in which FHA originators, as
well as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and their servicers, would purchase
mortgages from current investors at a discount determined at the auction.
Investors would take a reduction in asset value and
yield in exchange for liquidity and certainty and the auction process would
price pools and bring transparency back to the market. The FHA, Fannie Mae,
and Freddie Mac could then arrange for restructuring of loans.
Meanwhile, Allen notes the Federal Reserve has
taken some dramatic steps with interest rate policy to resolve the current
economic crisis, but that could lead to tension with Europe and Japan over
currency valuations. As the dollar continues to fall, U.S. companies are
increasingly more competitive overseas. "The Fed cut the rate at the
beginning, and that was fine, but now things are getting way out of line,"
he says.
Furthermore, it is not clear that cutting rates is
going to solve the basic problem. As rates continues to drop, foreigners may
begin withdrawing their money from dollar-denominated investments, driving
rates up. "What the Fed is doing is unprecedented," says Allen. "It is
laudable that it is trying to stop a recession, but how many risks should
you take to do that? We're now moving into an area where the Fed is probably
taking too many risks. If inflation picks up and long-term rates go up,
we'll be in a situation where we have to raise short-term rates as we go
into recession, which is not a happy thing to."
Vulture Capital
The private sector has begun to show signs of
willingness to get back into the fray. A number of vulture funds have begun
to form to take advantage of distressed real estate prices. BlackRock and
Highfields Capital Management have announced they will raise $2 billion to
buy delinquent residential mortgages. The companies have hired Sanford
Kurland, the former president of Countrywide Financial, to run the new
venture called Private National Mortgage Acceptance, or PennyMac. "Many
distressed funds will come in to discover prices," says Gyourko.
Wharton real estate professor Peter Linneman offers
an intriguing prescription to bring prices down to the point where the
industry can start to rebuild. He suggests that the government tell banks
that if they want to maintain their federal insurance, they should fire
their CEO by the end of the day, and the government will pay the CEO $10
million in severance. Ousting the former CEOs gives the new bank CEOs an
incentive to write down all the bad assets immediately, so that any
improvement will make them look good going forward. That would speed the
painful process of gradual price declines.
"There's plenty of money out there waiting for
these assets to be written down to bargain prices," says Linneman. In
another quarter or two, the lenders would have new cash and be ready to lend
again. Meanwhile, he says, the government should tell bankers it will keep
interest rates down but raise them after the end of the year. "That says,
'Get your house in order in the next nine months because the subsidy ends at
the end of the year.'" Linneman figures that 1,000 CEOs are accountable for
about 80% of the current lending mess. If the government were to spend $10
billion to restore liquidity to the market in nine months with only 1,000
people losing their jobs, it would be the best investment it could make to
restore the economy. "I'm only half-kidding," he quips.
Linneman also argues that concerns about moral
hazard -- or the tendency to take greater risks because of the presence of a
safety net -- because of a bailout are not valid. Those concerns, he says,
already exist and have been in place since the U.S. government agreed to
insure bank deposits. "The minute you say to somebody, 'No matter what you
do I'll give your people their money back,' you've created moral hazard," he
says. "Now it's only a matter of how often and how much they will have to
spend to settle up. If you go through our history, every eight years to 15
years we have had an episode."
Continued in article
Fighting the Battle Against Off-Balance-Sheet
Financing" Winning a Battle Does Not Mean Winning a War
But it's better than losing the battle
The FASB has published
Financial Accounting Statements No. 166, Accounting for Transfers of
Financial Assets, and No. 167, Amendments to FASB Interpretation No. 46(R),
which change the way entities account for securitizations and
special-purpose entities.
The new standards
will impact financial institution balance sheets beginning in 2010. The
impact of both new standards has been taken into account by regulators in
the recent “stress tests.”
These
projects were initiated at the request of investors, the SEC, and The
President’s Working Group on Financial Markets. Copies of the new standards
are available at the
FASB’s website, along with a concise
briefing document.
Statement 166 is a
revision to Statement No. 140, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of
Financial Assets and Extinguishments of Liabilities, and will require more
information about transfers of financial assets, including securitization
transactions, and where companies have continuing exposure to the risks
related to transferred financial assets. It eliminates the concept of a
“qualifying special-purpose entity,” changes the requirements for
derecognizing financial assets, and requires additional disclosures.
Statement 167 is a
revision to FASB Interpretation No. 46(R), Consolidation of Variable
Interest Entities, and changes how a company determines when an entity that
is insufficiently capitalized or is not controlled through voting (or
similar rights) should be consolidated. The determination of whether a
company is required to consolidate an entity is based on, among other
things, an entity’s purpose and design and a company’s ability to direct the
activities of the entity that most significantly impact the entity’s
economic performance.
Robert Herz,
chairman of the FASB, said:
“These changes were
proposed and considered to improve existing standards and to address
concerns about companies who were stretching the use of off-balance sheet
entities to the detriment of investors. The new standards eliminate existing
exceptions, strengthen the standards relating to securitizations and
special-purpose entities, and enhance disclosure requirements. They’ll
provide better transparency for investors about a company’s activities and
risks in these areas.”
Both new standards
will require a number of new disclosures. Statement 167 will require a
company to provide additional disclosures about its involvement with
variable interest entities and any significant changes in risk exposure due
to that involvement. A company will be required to disclose how its
involvement with a variable interest entity affects the company’s financial
statements. Statement 166 enhances information reported to users of
financial statements by providing greater transparency about transfers of
financial assets and a company’s continuing involvement in transferred
financial assets.
Both Statements 166
and 167 will be effective at the start of a company’s first fiscal year
beginning after November 15, 2009, or January 1, 2010 for companies
reporting earnings on a calendar-year basis.
Hiding
Debt in VIEs (read that QSPEs) No Longer So Simple "FASB Tightens
Off-Balance-Sheet Loan Rule," SmartPros, May 18, 2009 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x66572.xml
The board that sets U.S. accounting standards on
Monday moved to end companies' use of a device that allowed them to park
hundreds of billions of dollars in loans off their balance sheets without
capital cushions and has been blamed for helping stoke banks' losses in the
housing boom.
The change will tighten the use of so-called
"qualifying special purpose entities" by requiring companies to report to
regulators the loans contained in them and to increase their capital
reserves in proportion as a cushion against potential losses.
It was the lack of disclosure and absence of
capital supporting ballooning subprime mortgage loans in these special
entities that aggravated the massive losses sustained by banks, regulators
say.
The change by the Financial Accounting Standards
Board could result in about $900 billion in assets being brought onto the
balance sheets of the nation's 19 largest banks, according to federal
regulators. The information was provided by Citigroup Inc., JPMorgan Chase &
Co. and 17 other institutions during the government's recent "stress tests,"
an analysis designed to determine which banks would need more capital if the
economy worsened.
In its quarterly regulatory filing earlier this
month, Citigroup said the rule change could have "a significant impact" on
its financial statements. Citigroup estimated it would result in the
recognition of $165.8 billion in additional assets, including $90.5 billion
in credit card loans.
JPMorgan estimated in its quarterly filing that the
impact of consolidation of the bank's qualifying special purpose entities
and variable interest entities could be up to $145 billion.
In general, companies transfer assets from balance
sheets to special purpose entities to insulate themselves from risk or to
finance a large project. Under the change by the FASB, many qualifying
special purpose entities will have to be moved back to a company's main
balance sheet.
Outside investors often take interests in those
entities, for example, making an investment in a bank's holdings of mortgage
loans in exchange for payments from borrowers. Under the new standard,
companies must bring back any entity in which they hold an interest that
gives them "control over the most significant activities," according to
FASB. Companies must perform analyses to determine that.
In cases where companies have "continuing
involvements" with off-balance-sheet entities, they will have to provide new
disclosures.
"That's a step in the right direction," said Edward
Ketz, an associate professor of accounting at Pennsylvania State University.
He cited estimates that U.S. banks will need to report up to $1 trillion in
loans due to the rule change.
The FASB said the rule change was intended "to
improve consistency and transparency in financial reporting." The FASB voted
5-0 to adopt it at a public meeting of its board at its headquarters in
Norwalk, Conn. A revised proposal had been opened to a public comment period
that ended in November.
The rule change, which applies both to public and
privately held companies, takes effect for companies' annual reporting
periods starting after Nov. 15.
"It's great to see that they didn't defer it," said
Jack Ciesielski, a Baltimore-based accounting expert who writes a financial
newsletter. Investors finally "will get an idea of how leveraged these
things really are," he said.
The change by FASB cuts in the opposite direction
of its move last month - surrounded by controversy and with some dissension
by board members - giving companies more leeway in valuing assets and
reporting losses. That revision in the so-called "mark-to-market" accounting
rules was expected to help boost battered banks' balance sheets, while the
new rule change likely will result in financial institutions recognizing on
their books billions in high-risk loans that may default.
FASB acted on the mark-to-market rules amid intense
pressure from Congress, which threatened legislation. The board received
hundreds of comment letters opposing the move from mutual funds, accounting
firms and others contending that it would damage honest financial reckoning
by masking the deficiencies and risks lurking within the system.
Question
Would you like to see (AIG) Special Purpose Vehicles pull away from the loading
($25 billion) dock?
"AIG
Sells Shares to Fed: Papa's Little Dividend? The New York Fed has agreed to get
involved in the life insurance business by investing $25 billion in two
special-purpose vehicles," by David M. Katz, CFO.com, June 25, 2009 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/13932672/c_2984368/?f=archives
In a move aimed at cutting American International
Group's $40 billion debt to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York by $25
billion and setting up two AIG life insurance giants as initial public
offerings, the N.Y. Fed has agreed to a debt-for-equity swap done via
special-purpose vehicles.
Under the agreement announced today, AIG will place
the equity of American International Assurance Company and American Life
Insurance Company in separate SPVs in exchange for preferred and common
shares of the vehicles. The New York Fed will get all the preferred shares
in the two SPVs, amounting to $16 billion in the AIA unit and $9 billion in
the ALICO vehicle.
The New York Fed will be paid a 5 percent dividend
on its shares, which it will get at a fairly hefty discount, until September
2013. For shares that aren't redeemed by that date, the SPVs would start
paying a 9 percent dividend.
The face value of the preferred shares represents a
percentage of the estimated fair-market value of AIA and ALICO. With the
IPOs looming, the parties aren't saying what that value is. But the New York
Fed, which will hold all the preferred shares, will get a majority stake in
the economic value of the companies.
For its part, AIG will hold all the common equity
in the two SPVs and "will benefit from the fair market value of AIA and
ALICO in excess of the value of the preferred interests as the SPVs monetize
their stakes in these companies in the future," AIG said in a release issued
today.
The dates of the closing of the deal and the IPOs
aren't tied to each other. The AIG-New York Fed transaction is expected to
close late in the third quarter of this year. AIA, which has already
launched its IPO process, is expected to start the offering in 2010. While
ALICO hasn't started the process of its offering just yet, it has announced
its attention to do so.
As for the SPVs, they will structured as
limited-liability companies in Delaware. Until they're spun off, AIA and
ALICO will remain wholly owned subsidiaries of AIG, consolidated in the
company's reported financial statements.
"Placing AIA and ALICO into SPVs represents a major
step toward repaying taxpayers and preserving the value of AIA and ALICO,
two terrific life insurance businesses with great futures," said Edward
Liddy, AIG's chairman and chief executive officer said in the release.
"Operating AIA's and ALICO's successful business models in the SPV format
will enhance the value of these franchises as we move forward with our
global restructuring."
Asked why the company chose to structure the
arrangement by means of the much stigmatized method of setting up SPVs, AIG
spokesperson Christina Pretto told CFO that since the vehicles were
on-balance-sheet entities they wouldn't be the target of disapproval.
AIA has one of the biggest books of life insurance
in Asia, and ALICO has a large presence in Japan. While both are profitable,
AIG has found it impossible to achieve its goal of selling the companies-at
least partly because they are so large.
"FASB Issues FSP Requiring Enhanced Disclosure for Credit
Derivative and Financial Guarantee Contracts," by Mark
Bolton and Shahid Shah, Deloitte Heads Up, September 18, 2008
Vol. 15, Issue 35 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/usa/headsup/headsup0809derivativesfsp.pdf
September 18, 2008
Vol. 15, Issue 35
The FASB recently issued FSP FAS
133-1 and FIN 45-4,1
which amends and enhances the disclosure requirements for
sellers of credit derivatives (including hybrid instruments
that have embedded credit derivatives) and financial
guarantees. The new disclosures must be provided for
reporting periods (annual or interim) ending after November
15, 2008, although earlier application is encouraged. The
FSP also clarifies the effective date of Statement 161.2
The FSP defines a credit derivative
as a "derivative instrument (a) in which one or more of its
underlyings are related to the credit risk of a specified
entity (or a group of entities) or an index based on the
credit risk of a group of entities and (b) that exposes the
seller to potential loss from credit-risk-related events
specified in the contract." In a typical credit derivative
contract, one party makes payments to the seller of the
derivative and receives a promise from the seller of a
payoff if a specified third party or parties default on a
specific obligation. Examples of credit derivatives include
credit default swaps, credit index products, and credit
spread options.
The popularity of these products,
coupled with the recent market downturn and the potential
liabilities that could arise from these conditions, prompted
the FASB to issue this FSP to improve the transparency of
disclosures provided by sellers of credit derivatives. Also,
because credit derivative contracts are similar to financial
guarantee contracts, the FASB decided to make certain
conforming amendments to the disclosure requirements for
financial guarantees within the scope of Interpretation 45.3
Credit Derivative Disclosures
The FSP amends Statement 1334
to
require a
seller of credit derivatives,
including credit derivatives embedded in hybrid instruments,
to provide certain disclosures for each credit derivative
(or group of similar credit derivatives) for each statement
of financial position presented. These disclosures must be
provided even if the likelihood of having to make payments
is remote. Required disclosures include:
In This Issue:
• Credit Derivative Disclosures
• Financial Guarantee
Disclosures
• Effective Date and Transition
• Effective Date of Statement
161
1 FASB Staff Position No. FAS
133-1 and FIN 45-4, "Disclosures About Credit
Derivatives and Certain Guarantees: An Amendment of FASB
Statement No. 133 and FASB Interpretation No. 45; and
Clarification of the Effective Date of FASB Statement
No. 161."
2 FASB Statement No. 161,
Disclosures About Derivative Instruments and Hedging
Activities.
3 FASB Interpretation No. 45,
Guarantor’s Accounting and Disclosure Requirements for
Guarantees, Including Indirect Guarantees of
Indebtedness of Others.
4 FASB Statement No. 133,
Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging
Activities.
• The nature of the credit
derivative, including:
o The approximate term of the
derivative.
o The reason(s) for entering
into the derivative.
o The events or circumstances
that would require the seller to perform under the
derivative.
o The status of the
payment/performance risk of the derivative as of the
reporting date. This can be based on a recently issued
external credit rating or an internal grouping used by
the entity to manage risk. (If an internal grouping is
used, the entity also must disclose the basis for the
grouping and how it is used to manage risk.)
• The maximum potential amount
of future payments (undiscounted) the seller could be
required to make under the credit derivative contract
(or the fact that there is no limit to the maximum
potential future payments). If a seller is unable to
estimate the maximum potential amount of future
payments, it also must disclose the reasons why.
• The fair value of the
derivative.
• The nature of any recourse
provisions and assets held as collateral or by third
parties that the seller can obtain and liquidate to
recover all or a portion of the amounts paid under the
credit derivative contract.
For hybrid instruments that have
embedded credit derivatives, the required disclosures should
be provided for the entire hybrid instrument, not just the
embedded credit derivative.
Financial Guarantee Disclosures
As noted previously, the FASB did not perceive
substantive differences between the risks and rewards of
sellers of credit derivatives and those of financial
guarantors. With one exception, the disclosures in
Interpretation 45 were consistent with the disclosures that
will now be required for credit derivatives. To make the
disclosures consistent, the FSP amends Interpretation 45 to
require guarantors to disclose "the current status of the
payment/performance risk of the guarantee."
Effective Date and Transition
Although it is effective for reporting periods ending
after November 15, 2008, the FSP requires comparative
disclosures only for periods presented that ended after the
effective date. Nevertheless, it encourages entities to
provide comparative disclosures for earlier periods
presented.
Effective Date of Statement 161
After the issuance of Statement 161, some questioned
whether its disclosures are required in the annual financial
statements for entities with noncalendar year-ends (e.g.,
March 31, 2009). To address this confusion, the FSP
clarifies that the disclosure requirements of Statement 161
are effective for quarterly periods beginning after November
15, 2008, and fiscal years that include those periods.
However, in the first fiscal year of adoption, an entity may
omit disclosures related to quarterly periods that began on
or before November 15, 2008. Early application is
encouraged.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting
Weekly Review on June 13, 2008
SUMMARY: The
SEC "...is investigating whether insure American International
Group Inc. overstated the value of contracts linked to subprime
mortgages....At issue is the way the company valued credit
default swaps, which are contracts that insure against default
of securities, including those backed by subprime mortgages. In
February, AIG said its auditor had found a 'material weakness'
in its accounting. Largely on swap-related write-downs...AIG has
recorded the two largest quarterly losses in its history."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Financial reporting for derivatives is at issue
in the article; related auditing issues of material weakness in
accounting for these contracts also is covered in the main
article and the related one.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are collateralized debt
obligations (CDOs)?
2. (Advanced) What are credit default swaps? How are
these contracts related to CDOs?
3. (Advanced) Summarize steps in establishing fair
values of CDOs and credit default swaps.
4. (Introductory) What is a material weakness in
internal control? Does reporting write-downs of such losses as
AIG has shown necessarily indicate that a material weakness in
internal control over financial reporting has occurred? Support
your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The Securities and Exchange
Commission is investigating whether insurer American International Group
Inc. overstated the value of contracts linked to subprime mortgages,
according to people familiar with the matter.
Criminal prosecutors from
the Justice Department in Washington and the department's U.S. attorney's
office in Brooklyn, New York, have told the SEC they want information the
agency is gathering in its AIG investigation, these people said. That means
a criminal investigation could follow.
In 2006, AIG, the world's
largest insurer, paid $1.6 billion to settle an accounting case. Its stock
has been battered because of losses linked to the mortgage market. The
earlier probe led to the departure of Chief Executive Officer Maurice R.
"Hank" Greenberg.
Officials for AIG, the SEC,
the Justice Department and the U.S. attorney's office declined to comment on
the new probe. A spokesman for AIG said the company will continue to
cooperate in regulatory and governmental reviews on all matters.
At issue is the way the
company valued credit default swaps, which are contracts that insure against
default of securities, including those backed by subprime mortgages. In
February, AIG said its auditor had found a "material weakness" in its
accounting.
Largely on swap-related
write-downs, which topped $20 billion through the first quarter, AIG has
recorded the two largest quarterly losses in its history. That has turned up
the heat on management, including CEO Martin Sullivan.
AIG sold credit default
swaps to holders of investments called collateralized-debt obligations, or
CDOs, backed in part by subprime mortgages. The buyers were protecting their
investments in the event of default on the underlying debt. In question is
how the CDOs were valued, which drives both the value of the credit default
swaps and the amount of collateral AIG must "post," or essentially hand
over, to the buyer of the swap to offset the buyer's credit risk.
AIG posted $9.7
billion in collateral related to its swaps, as of April 30, up from $5.3
billion about two months earlier.
The CDO imbroglio that has enveloped the financial
sector created quite a stir in 2007. Mortgage foreclosures have led to
losses for the banks, and investors in CDOs have been surprised by the
degree of their risk exposure. "Super seniors" have not been super or
senior.
Amid this disarray, a simple question has to be
asked: why are the activities and transactions of special purpose entities (SPEs),
legal entities that run collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and similar
financial vehicles, not displayed on the financial reports of corporate
America? These SPEs remain hidden from view and corporate disclosures about
them mist like a Chicago fog.
Recall that Enron's episodes were sprinkled with
many an SPE shenanigan. The old accounting rule said that if the SPE had at
least 3 percent of its total capital from some outside source, then the
business enterprise did not have to consolidate the SPE with its own
affairs. While EITF 90-15 originally applied to certain leasing activities,
business managers quickly applied it to all sorts of SPEs, and the Financial
Accounting Standards Board and the Securities and Exchange Commission
allowed them to do so. The threshold was so low that managers found it easy
to keep SPE debt off the balance sheet and to make few disclosures.
Because of Enron, FASB finally updated the rules to
require consolidation unless outsiders contributed at least 10 percent of
the capital to the SPE and this capital is at risk. Funny, FASB sat on its
collective backside for over a decade before it took action. It seems the
board members are incapable of taking proactive steps in any area.
One of the criticisms was that 3 percent equity
does not really put the equity at risk. While the 10 percent cutoff remains
arbitrary, it clarifies the situation -- until the board muddied this
clarity with some mystical, principles-based goobledy-gook. Many managers
complained because they perceived that billions of dollars would be added to
the corporate balance sheet. Apparently the appeals had some effect, for
FASB modified the final rule. Interpretation No. 46R now states:
9. An equity investment at risk of less than 10
percent of the entity's total assets shall not be considered sufficient to
permit the entity to finance its activities without subordinated financial
support in addition to the equity investment unless the equity investment
can be demonstrated to be sufficient. The demonstration that equity is
sufficient may be based on either qualitative analysis or quantitative
analysis or a combination of both. Qualitative assessments, including but
not limited to the qualitative assessments described in paragraphs 9(a) and
9(b), will in some cases be conclusive in determining that the entity's
equity at risk is sufficient. If, after diligent effort, a reasonable
conclusion about the sufficiency of the entity's equity at risk cannot be
reached based solely on qualitative considerations, the quantitative
analyses implied by paragraph 9(c) should be made. In instances in which
neither a qualitative assessment nor a quantitative assessment, taken alone,
is conclusive, the determination of whether the equity at risk is sufficient
shall be based on a combination of qualitative and quantitative analyses.
a. The entity has demonstrated that it can
finance its activities without additional subordinated financial
support.
b. The entity has at least as much equity invested as other entities
that hold only similar assets of similar quality in similar amounts and
operate with no additional subordinated financial support.
c. The amount of equity invested in the entity exceeds the estimate of
the entity's expected losses based on reasonable quantitative evidence.
Note that the 10 percent threshold can be ignored
under several scenarios using either quantitative or qualitative excuses. As
I said in 2003, this rule or standard is suspect and board members are
spineless. The debt of an SPE is similar to the debt of a subsidiary. If
FASB thinks that SPE debt does not have to be consolidated, it might as well
announce that parent companies no longer have to show the liabilities of
their subsidiaries.
We can forget substance over form. While we are at
it, we might as well toss out decision usefulness and relevance because FASB
really doesn't promote these ideals, despite the rhetoric in the so-called
conceptual framework.
Given the ethical failures of both managers and
auditors, I predicted in Hidden Financial Risk (2003) that many SPEs would
remain unconsolidated. Indeed the majority of SPEs not only remain
unconsolidated, but also the sponsoring organizations provide precious
little disclosures about them. With the help of investment bankers,
corporate managers have been highly creative in finding rhetoric that skirts
principled accounting. When the corporate executives are managers of the
investment banks, well, the creativity is off the charts.
Years ago FASB and the SEC should have required the
consolidation of SPEs. The last six months or so have clearly displayed the
need for improved corporate reporting. This directive applies to the
sponsors of CDOs including Citicorp and Merrill Lynch: they should
consolidate their special purpose vehicles.
How many more debacles in the market place will
occur before FASB and the SEC get it right? When will they have men and
women of courage?
Soon after Merrill Lynch disclosed its $8.4 billion write-down because of
problems with collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) and other financial
instruments relating to subprime mortgages, the credit rating agencies
started downgrading the securities. But, this is like the proverbial soldier
who watches a raging battle from afar; when the war is over, he proceeds to
bayonet the wounded.
Merrill Lynch and other banks got into the CDO
business several years ago. The CDOs received an imprimatur from agencies
such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch. Some CDOs were even evaluated
as investment grade securities. The analysts at Moody's, Standard & Poor's,
and Fitch apparently ignored the risks involved in the subprime mortgage
market as well as the risks in real estate prices.
This segment generated lots of money for Merrill
Lynch and the other banks. The CDO business brought in millions and millions
of revenues. This line of business was at least as profitable for the bond
rating agencies, too, as their ratings produced massive amounts of money.
Not surprisingly, problems developed because the
financial institutions were lending funds to marginal borrowers, those with
less-than-stellar credentials for loan applicants. When some of these
riskier borrowers defaulted on their mortgages, the CDOs started losing
value. The credit rating agencies did nothing; presumably, they felt that
the CDOs still had investment grade status.
With the losses by Merrill Lynch out in the open,
everybody knows not only that the CDOs have less fair value, but also that
the credit raters aren't earning their keep. Unfortunately, members of
Congress believe that they should hold investigations on the matter. I say
unfortunate because such a move would be a waste of time, energy, and money.
Recall the downfall of Enron and the high credit
ratings that Enron received from the credit rating agencies. These agencies
did not downgrade Enron's debt until after the 2001 third quarter results
became public and Enron's stock price started its nosedive. When Congress
passed the Sarbanes-Oxley Act in 2002, section 702(b) required the SEC to
conduct a study of credit rating agencies to determine why these credit
rating agencies did not act as useful watchdogs and warn the public about
Enron's true situation. It accomplished little at the time; if Congress
holds hearings now, nothing new will be learned. Until policy makers focus
on the institution of credit ratings and follow the cash, they waste their
time with investigations.
Moody's and the other agencies make money by
charging the business entities who are issuing debt. It doesn't take a
genius to see the conflict of interest. The credit agencies lean on the
issuer for more money or risk receiving a poor rating. Payment not only
entitles one to a good rating, but also it gives one the privilege of not
receiving a downgrade unless bad news becomes public.
The SEC barely mentions this institutional feature
in its "Report on the Roles and Function of Credit Rating Agencies in the
Operation of the Securities Markets."
This essay, written in January, 2003, practically
ignores the problem. On page 41, the SEC report states, "The practice of
issuers paying for their own ratings creates the potential for a conflict of
interest." The SEC goes on to review comments by the large rating agencies
themselves on how they manage this potential conflict of interest.
The comments are pathetic. First, the SEC and the
managers at credit rating agencies mangle the English language when they
refuse to identify conflicts of interest for what they are. My dictionary
defines conflict of interest as "the circumstance of a public officeholder,
corporate officer, etc., whose personal interests might benefit from his or
her official actions or influence." The term does not mean that they
actually do benefit, but calls attention to the possibility. Calling such
circumstances "potential conflicts of interests" merely attempts to push
ethics aside. I can understand this behavior by the managers, but I don't
comprehend the words of the SEC staff.
Second, the comments rely heavily on the assertions
of the credit rating agencies themselves. Managers of these agencies claim
there is no problem, and of course the SEC should listen to them and accept
every word as truth. Yeah, right!
Third, on page 42 of the report, the SEC promises
to explore whether these credit rating agencies "should implement procedures
to manage potential conflicts of interest that arise when issuers [pay] for
ratings." Either the SEC did not keep its promise or such actions are
inadequate. Clearly, the credit rating agencies have not responded any
differently to the CDO problem than they did with Enron's circumstances.
Policy makers can reduce the problems by reducing
the very real conflict of interests that perniciously raises its ugly head
from time to time. The solution is to prohibit credit rating agencies to
receive any funds from the issuers. If the ratings have any merit, then
investors will be willing to pay for them.
This essay reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the
opinion of The Pennsylvania State University.
Is it possible to teach this transaction from an IFRS perspective?
Denny Beresford made a helpful suggestion that one way to teach IFRS is to
first look at the transaction itself and then reason out how to account for it
under IFRS standards and interpretations. So here's a challenge for your
advanced-level accounting students: How would you account for this one
under IFRS?
What this illustrates is the type of thing that the IASB will have to tackle
all alone, without a FASB research staff, when the U.S. depends upon the IASB
for its accounting standards. I don't think the IASB fully understands what it
is getting into by so desperately wanting to set accounting standards for U.S.
companies.
From the financial rounds blog on December 29, 2008
How Do You Use Credit Default Swaps (CDS) To Create "Synthetic Debt"?
There's been a lot of talk in recent months about
"synthetic debt". I just read a pretty good explanation of synthetics in
Felix Salmon's column, so I thought I'd give a brief summary of what it is,
how it's used, and why.
First off, let's start with Credit Default Swaps (CDS). A CDS has a lot of
similarities to an insurance policy on a bond (it's different in that the
holder of the CDS needn't own the underlying bond or even suffer a loss if
the bond goes into default).
The buyer (holder) of a CDS will make yearly payments (called the
"premium"), which is stated in terms of basis points (a basis point is 1/100
of one percent of the notional amount of the underlying bond). The holder of
the CDS gets paid if the bond underlying the CDS goes into default or if
other stated events occur (like bankruptcy or a restructuring).
So, how do you use a CDS to create a synthetic bond? here's the example from
Salmon's column:
Let's assume that IBM 5-year bonds were yielding 150 basis points over
treasuries. In addition, Let' s assume an individual (or portfolio manager)
wanted to get exposure to these bonds, but didn't think it was a feasible to
buy the bonds in the open market (either there weren't any available, or the
market was so thin that he's have to pay too high a bid-ask spread). Here's
how he could use CDS to accomplish the same thing:
First, buy $100,000 of 5-year treasuries and
hold them as collateral
Next, write a 5-year, $100,000 CDS contract
he's receive the interest on the treasuries,
and would get a 150 basis point annual premium on the CDS
So, what does he get from the Treasury plus writing
the CDS? If there's no default, the coupons on the Treasury plus the CDS
premium will give him the same yearly amount as he would have gotten if he's
bought the 5-year IBM bond, And if the IBM bond goes into default, his
portfolio value would be the value of the Treasury
less what he would have to pay on
the CDS (this amount would be the default losses on the IBM bond). So in
either case (default or no default), his payoff from the portfolio would be
the same payments as if he owned the IBM bond.
So why go through all this trouble? One reason might be that there's not
enough liquidity in the market for the preferred security (and you'd get
beaten up on the bid-ask spread). Another is that there might not be any
bonds available in the maturity you want. The CDS market, on the other hand,
is very flexible and extremely liquid.
One thing that's interesting about CDS is that (as I mentioned above), you
don't have to hold the underlying asset to either buy or write a CDS. As a
result, the notional value of CDS written on a particular security can be
multiple times the actual amount of the security available.
I know of at least one hedge fund group that bought CDS as a way of betting
against housing-sector stocks (particularly home builders). From what i
know, they made a ton of money. But CDS can also be used to hedge default
risk on securities you already hold in a portfolio.
To read Salmon's column, click
here, and to read more about CDS, click
here
Credit Default Swap (CDS)
This is an insurance policy that essentially "guarantees" that if a CDO goes bad
due to having turds mixed in with the chocolates, the "counterparty" who
purchased the CDO will recover the value fraudulently invested in turds. On
September 30, 2008 Gretchen Morgenson of The New York Times aptly
explained that the huge CDO underwriter of CDOs was the insurance firm called
AIG. She also explained that the first $85 billion given in bailout money by
Hank Paulson to AIG was to pay the counterparties to CDS swaps. She also
explained that, unlike its casualty insurance operations, AIG had no capital
reserves for paying the counterparties for the turds they purchased from
Wall Street investment banks.
What Ms. Morgenson failed to explain, when Paulson eventually gave over $100
billion for AIG's obligations to counterparties in CDS contracts, was who were
the counterparties who received those bailout funds. It turns out that most of
them were wealthy Arabs and some Asians who we were getting bailed out while
Paulson was telling shareholders of WaMu, Lehman Brothers, and Merrill Lynch to
eat their turds.
Yuri Biondi French National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS)
Marion Boisseau Université Paris Dauphine
Abstract
Pension obligations constitute a critical issue for
public finances and budgets. This is especially true for the European Union
whose institutional mechanism aims to supervise Member States’ spending
through centralised budgetary rules based upon financial covenants. In this
context, accounting methods of recognition and measurement of pension
obligations become an integral and critical aspect of Europe’s transnational
budgetary and financial supervision. Drawing upon a comprehensive overview
of pension management and regulation, this article aims to analyse the
ongoing debate on accounting for pension obligations with a specific
attention to the harmonization of European Public Sector Accounting
Standards (EPSAS). While the European Commission has been favouring the
‘indisputable reference’ to the International Public Sector Accounting
Standards (IPSAS), European Member States’ practices and views remain
inconsistent with the normative solution imposed by the IPSAS 25, which
favours and facilitates Definite Contribution pension schemes. In this
context, we do summarise the IPSAS position mimicking the IFRS, review the
pension’s accounting in national statistics and EPSAS debate, and provide
some building blocks for a comprehensive model of accounting for pension
obligations that admits and enables several viable modes of pension
management.
An August 17 California
appeals court ruling rejected a public employee union's claim that its members
had a right to "pension spiking," which the court described as "various
stratagems and ploys to inflate their income and retirement benefits." Public
employees often will pad their final salary total with vacation leave, bonuses
and "special pay" categories to inflate the pension benefits they receive for
the rest of their lives.
https://reason.com/archives/2016/09/02/is-ruling-too-late-to-fix-californias-pe
But it's probably too late to do much good.
FASB issued two proposals Tuesday that are designed
to address financial reporting issues related to retirement benefits.
Proposed Accounting Standards Update (ASU),
Compensation—Retirement Benefits (Topic 715): Improving the Presentation of
Net Periodic Pension Cost and Net Periodic Postretirement Benefit Cost,
addresses a concern that the presentation of defined benefit cost on a net
basis combines elements with different predictive values. Users of financial
statements have told FASB that the service cost component of net benefit
cost is analyzed differently from other components.
Under the proposal, an employer would report the
service cost component in the same line item or items as other compensation
costs arising from services rendered by the affected employees during the
period. The other components of net benefit cost as defined in Paragraphs
715-30-35-4 and 715-60-35-9 would be presented in the income statement
separately from the service cost component and outside a subtotal of income
from operations, if one is presented.
The proposal states that if a separate line item or
items are used to present the other components of net benefit cost, that
line item or items must be appropriately described. In addition, the
proposal would allow only the service cost to be eligible for capitalization
when applicable (e.g., as a cost of internally manufactured inventory or a
self-constructed asset).
Amendments in the proposal would apply to all
employers, including not-for-profits, that offer defined benefit pension
plans, other post-retirement benefit plans, or other types of benefits
accounted for under Topic 715.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on May 31, 2016
Central States could torpedo PBGC.
One of the nation’s largest multiemployer pension
funds said that it is out of ideas for ways to save itself from an impending
failure. The Central States Pension Fund has little choice but to turn to a
federal insurance program that is supposed to offer a lifeline to troubled
pension funds, the Washington Post reports. But
the strain may be more than the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., which
insures private pensions, can bear. The
fund’s deterioration could pose a threat to the 10 million people in
multiemployer plans who could soon be left without a safety net for their
pensions.
Jensen Comment
On May 6, 2016, the U.S. Department of the Treasury
(Treasury) notified Central States Pension Fund that our proposed pension rescue
plan was denied. A copy of the communication from Treasury is available at http://www.cspensionrescue.com/
. . .
Central States Pension Fund remains in critical and
declining status, and is projected to run out of money in less than ten
years. In a letter to Congressional leaders, Secretary of the Treasury Jack
Lew reinforced the fact that Treasury’s denial in no way resolves the
serious threat to our participants’ pension benefits. The fact that the
federal government’s multiemployer pension insurance program, the Pension
Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC), is also running out of money means we
may see our pension benefits ultimately reduced to virtually nothing when
the Fund runs out of money. At this time, only government funding, either
directly to our Pension Fund or through the PBGC, will prevent Central
States participants from losing their benefits entirely.
A significant number of Members of Congress were
vocal in calling for Treasury to reject our pension rescue plan. It is now
time for those and others who suggested that there is a better way to fix
this critical problem to deliver on real solutions that will protect the
retirement benefits of Central States participants.
There is no time—or reason—to delay. With each
passing month, this crisis becomes more difficult—and costly—to solve. For
over ten years, we have fought to protect our participants’ hard-earned
retirement benefits. This included painful benefit reductions for active
members and mandatory employer contribution increases in 2004, legislative
campaigns to secure additional funding in 2009 and 2010, and most recently,
our pension rescue plan application under MPRA.
In the coming months, we will do everything in our
power to support a legislative solution that protects the pension benefits
of the more than 400,000 Central States participants and beneficiaries, who
should not have to bear the emotional trauma of waiting until the Fund is at
the doorstep of insolvency before Congress acts. The moment for action and
for doing the right thing is now.
We understand the uncertainty and anxiety that our
participants and beneficiaries may be experiencing as this process
continues. As always, our goal is to ensure that the Fund is able to
continue to pay future benefits.
We will continue to track progress and provide
updates on this website, through email for those who have registered on our
website to receive such communications, and/or by U.S. postal mail. You can
also call our dedicated hotline at 1-800-323-7640 to listen to a recorded
message with updated information.
One of the huge problems with the CSPF is the underfunding
of Teamster's Union pension obligations.
Teaching Case on How Longer Lives Hit Companies With Pension Plans Hard
SUMMARY: When General Motors Co.'s pension
plan took a big hit in February 2015, it joined hundreds of companies facing
growing pension shortfalls as Americans keep living longer. Longevity has a
downside for those paying the bills, and the higher costs now have to be
reflected on corporate balance sheets because of new mortality estimates
released in October 2014. The new estimates won't affect many U.S.
companies, which long ago shifted their employees to defined-contribution
plans like 401(k)s, which leave workers on their own after retirement. But
they are hitting other big companies with defined-benefit plans that have to
make payments to some former employees for as long as they live.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Use this when covering
pension accounting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the recent changes to life-expectancy
estimates? Why do those estimates affect accounting for pensions?
2. (Advanced) How does increased longevity affect a company's
income statement and balance sheet? How are those changes calculated? What
are the appropriate journal entries?
3. (Advanced) Which companies are most likely to be affected by
these changes? Why? What companies will not be affected by the change?
4. (Advanced) Do you think these changes will cause more companies
to change their retirement options for employees? Why or why not? How could
a company change the options to lessen the impact? What benefits would those
changes bring to employers?
5. (Advanced) How have the companies mentioned in the article dealt
with the changes in life expectancy? What announcements have they made? How
have some of these companies differed?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
When General Motors Co. ’s pension plan took a big
hit earlier this month, it joined hundreds of companies facing growing
pension shortfalls as Americans keep living longer.
Longevity has a downside for those paying the
bills, and the higher costs now have to be reflected on corporate balance
sheets because of new mortality estimates released in October.
In its first revision of mortality assumptions
since 2000, the Society of Actuaries estimated the average 65-year-old man
today will live 86.6 years, up from the 84.6 it estimated a decade and a
half ago. The average 65-year-old woman will live 88.8 years, up from 86.4.
The new estimates won’t affect many U.S. companies,
which long ago shifted their employees to defined-contribution plans like
401(k)s, which leave workers on their own after retirement. But they are
hitting other big companies with defined-benefit plans that have to make
payments to some former employees for as long as they live. The changes may
also prompt more companies to take steps to reduce the risks associated with
their pension plans, experts say.
When GM announced fourth-quarter earnings Feb. 4,
it said the mortality changes had caused the funding of its U.S. pension
plans to fall short by an additional $2.2 billion and contributed to
significant pension losses that will be filtered into its earnings over a
period of years.
Verizon Communications Inc. and AT&T Inc. recorded
big charges to earnings tied to their pension and retiree-benefit plans
partly as a result of the new estimates, and the changes could have a
significant impact across corporate America. Consulting firm Towers Watson
estimates the funding status of 400 large U.S. companies could weaken by a
total of $72 billion as a result.
The cost is another weight on pension-plan
operators already wrestling with the impact of declining interest rates.
Lower rates boost the current value of the future payments the plans have
promised to retirees because the value of future pension obligations isn’t
discounted back to the present as dramatically. That raises the current
value of pension obligations, making pension plans more underfunded.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
The biggest disaster of longevity will be on entitlement programs like Medicare
and Medicaid.
These programs are not sustainable.
Question
Can your students explain why outsourcing pension obligations improves balance
sheets?
Does this make sense in theory?
From the CFO Journal's
Morning Ledger on October 7, 2014
Some large companies have been shedding
their pension obligations by handing them off to insurers, a move
with obvious benefits for the firms’ balance sheets.Motorola
Solutions Inc. andBristol-Myers
Squibb Co. were the latest to make the move as their pension
obligations were taken over byPrudential
Financial Inc.,CFOJ’s
Vipal Monga reports.
Doing so doesn’t just rid them of the need to make
future contributions—it also relieves them of having to pay fees to the
government’s pension insurer.
Congress raised the mandatory insurance fees that companies
must pay thePension
Benefit Guaranty Corp.for
each employee, to $64 from $49. At those rates, Motorola would save over $5
million in total premium payments through 2016, and Bristol-Myers would save
almost $1.5 million.
The reduction in fees flowing to the PBGC is proving a drain
on the agency’s resources, but for companies making the move, the savings
are too hard to resist. Railroad operatorCSX
Corp. has started offering lump-sum buyouts to some former
employees, and Chief Financial Officer Fredrik Eliasson said the PBGC fee
increase was a factor in that choice.
Chicago's finances are staggering under the weight
of an unfunded pension liability that Moody's Investors Service has
estimated at $32 billion, eight times the city's operating revenue.
Chicago has a $300 million structural deficit. And
Illinois law requires the city to up its 2016 contributions to its police
and fire pension funds by $550 million.
"This is an unfortunate wake-up call for anyone
still asleep over the fiscal cliff facing the city of Chicago," said
Laurence Msall, president of the Chicago-based government finance watchdog,
the Civic Federation.
The steady financial decline of the nation's
third-largest city prompted us recently to say that Chicago was well on its
way to becoming the next Detroit.
In other words, it's another bankrupt monument to
the perils of Democratic governance: a one-party town in one of the bluest
states, whose mayor, former White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, learned
financial discipline at the feet of President Barack Obama.
A large part of Chicago's problem is that the game
of maintaining campaign armies by overpromising and underfunding pensions is
over. Emanuel can expect little help from Illinois' new Republican governor,
Bruce Rauner, who is trying to fix similar problems at the state level.
Chicago's pension funds are only 40% funded, and
prospects aren't good, as people — particularly high-income individuals and
businesses — flee the city's high taxes and stiff regulations.
Emanuel recently emerged from the Windy City's
mayoral primary with just 45% of the vote against four opponents, forcing
Chicago's first-ever mayoral runoff. A poll taken by local polling firm
Ogden & Fry on Feb. 28 showed Emanuel leading second-place primary finisher
Jesus "Chuy" Garcia, who serves on the Cook County Board of Commissioners,
by a slim 42.9% to 38.5% margin. Chicago natives are clearly restless.
As Aaron Renn has noted in City Journal, Chicago
lost 7.1% of its jobs in the first decade of this century. Its famous Loop,
the second-largest business district in the nation, lost 18.6% of its
private-sector positions.
Raising the city's minimum wage will not reverse
that trend. People are leaving in droves, voting the only way they can in a
one-party town — with their feet.
From 2000 to 2009, Chicago's population shrank by
200,000 — the only one of the nation's 15 largest cities to lose people. The
city now has 145,000 fewer school-age children than it had more than a
decade ago, according to district data, forcing the closure of about 100
schools since 2001.
Chicago may soon be forced to go to Washington for
a bailout similar to New York City's 1975 rescue. The prospect of Emanuel
begging his former boss, President Obama, for financial help would be ironic
indeed.
The man who once said that a crisis is a terrible
thing to waste now finds his city and President Obama's home town in fiscal
crisis and his own political future teetering on the brink.
While underfunded public-employee pensions capture
the headlines, health-insurance benefits for retired state and local workers
are also a huge problem. But a recent ruling by the Supreme Court may help
state and local governments scale back these benefits.
Unlike public pension plans, retiree health
benefits aren’t funded in advance; they are typically paid out of current
tax revenues, so they compete with other budget priorities like schools and
police. This competition will only grow more intense, as unfunded retiree
health benefits are close to $1 trillion, according to a recent
study in the Journal of Health Economics.
Several cities and states have tried to reduce the
scope of retiree health-care services, or to increase the portion of the
premiums paid by retired workers going forward. Public unions have
frequently sued, claiming the benefits are vested for life—roughly parallel
to the legal arguments the unions have made against efforts to curb future
pension costs.
In late January, however, the Supreme Court issued
an unanimous decision that will increase the chances of local governments
winning such lawsuits. While the case involved a private business and its
union, the principles should generally apply to public-sector agreements.
M&G Polymers vs. Tackett involved a
collective-bargaining agreement that provided certain retirees, along with
their surviving spouses and dependents, with a full company contribution
toward the cost of their health-care benefits “for the duration of [the]
Agreement.” The contract was subject to renegotiation after three years, but
the critical legal question was whether the retirement health-care benefits
continued even after the agreement expired—in effect whether the intent was
to vest these benefits for life.
The union argued that the contract did vest these
benefits for life and the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals agreed. The Supreme
Court reversed, noting that to prevail, the plaintiffs, in this case the
union, had to supply concrete evidence—“affirmative evidentiary
support”—that lifetime vesting of retiree health benefits was what both
parties to the agreement intended.
Normally, the explicit terms of a contract are
taken to reflect the parties’ intentions; only when a contract’s language is
ambiguous does a court look to the parties’ intent. Here the Supreme Court
followed a traditional rule of contract law: If a contract is ambiguous,
proof requires evidence of what the parties intended, not what a court—in
this case the appellate court—might infer from the ambiguous contract.
Two principles in Tackett should be
especially relevant to reductions in retiree health-care benefits where the
duration of these benefits is often unclear. The court, Justice
Clarence Thomas wrote, supported the “traditional
principle that courts should not construe ambiguous writings to create
lifetime promises.” Similarly, he wrote that the court endorsed the
traditional principle that “contractual obligations will cease, in the
ordinary course, upon termination of the bargaining agreement.”
This is where the Supreme Court’s decision is
particularly significant for the public sector. There must be explicit proof
that a collective-bargaining agreement intended long-term commitments to
bind a city or state long past the incumbency of the public officials who
signed the agreement.
Today elected officials trade generous retiree
benefits in the future for current wages. By doing so, they avoid having to
take responsibility for current cutbacks in state and municipal services
that would accompany wage increases.
The Supreme Court’s ruling in Tackett
means that lifetime benefits cannot be inferred but must be made explicit.
As a result, if public officials now attempt to revise the benefits in a
current or new collective agreement, unions will doubtless demand that any
long-term promises be made explicit. But public officials who make these
promises explicit send a strong signal that they are putting potentially
enormous burdens on future taxpayers and elected officials. This makes it
harder for current officials to make such promises. That is a step
forward—not just in interpreting contracts but also in enhancing political
accountability.
Mr. Pozen is a senior lecturer at Harvard Business School and a
senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Mr. Gilson is a professor of law
at Columbia and Stanford law schools.
While underfunded public-employee pensions capture
the headlines, health-insurance benefits for retired state and local workers
are also a huge problem. But a recent ruling by the Supreme Court may help
state and local governments scale back these benefits.
Unlike public pension plans, retiree health
benefits aren’t funded in advance; they are typically paid out of current
tax revenues, so they compete with other budget priorities like schools and
police. This competition will only grow more intense, as unfunded retiree
health benefits are close to $1 trillion, according to a recent
study in the Journal of Health Economics.
Several cities and states have tried to reduce the
scope of retiree health-care services, or to increase the portion of the
premiums paid by retired workers going forward. Public unions have
frequently sued, claiming the benefits are vested for life—roughly parallel
to the legal arguments the unions have made against efforts to curb future
pension costs.
In late January, however, the Supreme Court issued
an unanimous decision that will increase the chances of local governments
winning such lawsuits. While the case involved a private business and its
union, the principles should generally apply to public-sector agreements.
M&G Polymers vs. Tackett involved a
collective-bargaining agreement that provided certain retirees, along with
their surviving spouses and dependents, with a full company contribution
toward the cost of their health-care benefits “for the duration of [the]
Agreement.” The contract was subject to renegotiation after three years, but
the critical legal question was whether the retirement health-care benefits
continued even after the agreement expired—in effect whether the intent was
to vest these benefits for life.
The union argued that the contract did vest these
benefits for life and the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals agreed. The Supreme
Court reversed, noting that to prevail, the plaintiffs, in this case the
union, had to supply concrete evidence—“affirmative evidentiary
support”—that lifetime vesting of retiree health benefits was what both
parties to the agreement intended.
Normally, the explicit terms of a contract are
taken to reflect the parties’ intentions; only when a contract’s language is
ambiguous does a court look to the parties’ intent. Here the Supreme Court
followed a traditional rule of contract law: If a contract is ambiguous,
proof requires evidence of what the parties intended, not what a court—in
this case the appellate court—might infer from the ambiguous contract.
Two principles in Tackett should be
especially relevant to reductions in retiree health-care benefits where the
duration of these benefits is often unclear. The court, Justice
Clarence Thomas wrote, supported the “traditional
principle that courts should not construe ambiguous writings to create
lifetime promises.” Similarly, he wrote that the court endorsed the
traditional principle that “contractual obligations will cease, in the
ordinary course, upon termination of the bargaining agreement.”
This is where the Supreme Court’s decision is
particularly significant for the public sector. There must be explicit proof
that a collective-bargaining agreement intended long-term commitments to
bind a city or state long past the incumbency of the public officials who
signed the agreement.
Today elected officials trade generous retiree
benefits in the future for current wages. By doing so, they avoid having to
take responsibility for current cutbacks in state and municipal services
that would accompany wage increases.
The Supreme Court’s ruling in Tackett
means that lifetime benefits cannot be inferred but must be made explicit.
As a result, if public officials now attempt to revise the benefits in a
current or new collective agreement, unions will doubtless demand that any
long-term promises be made explicit. But public officials who make these
promises explicit send a strong signal that they are putting potentially
enormous burdens on future taxpayers and elected officials. This makes it
harder for current officials to make such promises. That is a step
forward—not just in interpreting contracts but also in enhancing political
accountability.
Mr. Pozen is a senior lecturer at Harvard Business School and a
senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. Mr. Gilson is a professor of law
at Columbia and Stanford law schools.
From the
CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on February 24, 2015
Longevity isn’t all it’s cracked up to be, especially if you’re trying to
balance the books for a defined benefit plan. The Society of Actuaries’
revised mortality assumptions, released in October, now have to be reflected
on corporate balance sheets, theWSJ’s Michael Rapoport reports.According to the new estimates, the average
65-year-old man today will live 86.6 years, up from 84.6 the Society of
Actuaries estimated a decade and a half ago. The average 65-year-old woman
will live 88.8 years, up from 86.4. Good news for humanity, but bad news for
recent earnings reports.
Teaching
Case on Pension Write Downs From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on January 23, 2015
SUMMARY: AT&T
Inc. said it would take a $7.9 billion charge for pension-related costs at least
partially because people are living longer. The telecommunications giant said
the losses were in part due to "updated mortality assumptions" in addition to a
decrease in the rate it uses to measure its pension obligations. AT&T, along
with about 30 other companies, in the past few years has switched to
mark-to-market pension accounting to make it easier for investors to gauge plan
performance. With the switch, pension gains and losses flow into earnings sooner
than under the old rules, which are still in effect and allow companies to
smooth out the impact over several years. Companies that switch to valuing
assets at up-to-date market prices may incur more volatility in their earnings,
but it offers a more current picture of a pension plan's health.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This
is a good article to use when covering accounting for pensions.
QUESTIONS: 1. (Introductory) What are the details of AT&T's announcement? What is
the reason for the changes?
2. (Advanced) Please explain how the changes will impact each of the
financial statements. Will those changes be material?
3. (Advanced) In general, what is mark-to-market? How does mark-to-market
affect pension accounting? What are the benefits of mark-to-market? What are
potential challenges?
4. (Advanced) How have AT&T pensions adjustments changed from
year-to-year? How does this impact financial statement analysis?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
AT&T Inc. on Friday said it would take a $7.9 billion charge for
pension-related costs at least partially because people are living longer.
The telecommunications giant said the losses were in part due to “updated
mortality assumptions” in addition to a decrease in the rate it uses to
measure its pension obligations.
The nonprofit Society of Actuaries recently updated its mortality tables for
the first time since 2000 to reflect the longer lifespans, estimating
today’s retirees will live about two years longer than in 2000. That means
companies will have to sock away more money to pay benefits for those added
years.
Mercer LLC estimates that corporate pension liabilities totaled about $2
trillion at the end of 2013. The increased life expectancy will add about 7%
to the pension obligations on balance sheets, according to consulting firm
Aon Hewitt. The increased costs may be enumerated in the coming weeks as
companies report earnings.
AT&T, along with about 30 other companies, in the past few years has
switched to mark-to-market pension accounting to make it easier for
investors to gauge plan performance.
With the switch, pension gains and losses flow into earnings sooner than
under the old rules, which are still in effect and allow companies to smooth
out the impact over several years.
Companies that switch to valuing assets at up-to-date market prices may
incur more volatility in their earnings, but it offers a more current
picture of a pension plan’s health.
A year ago, AT&T posted a $7.6 billion pretax gain tied to pension
accounting.
AT&T also said it would take a $2.1 billion noncash charge in the fourth
quarter after it determined that certain copper assets won’t be necessary to
support future network activity, because of lower demand for legacy voice
and data services and the move toward new technology. It said those copper
assets will be abandoned in place.
The $1+ trillion budget is
really a Nancy Pelosi budget in the sense that nobody, especially members of
Congress," will know what all is in it until after it is passed" --- which is
what Pelosi said about the ACA when it was passed in 2010.
What is the incentive to
manage pensions responsibly in Illinois or California?
Republican Bruce Rauner has his work cut out
rehabilitating Illinois from years of liberal-public union misrule, but now
he may also have to cope with a willful state judiciary. Consider a lower
court judge’s slipshod ruling last week striking down de minimis pension
reforms.
The fiscally delinquent state has accrued a $111
billion unfunded pension liability—a 75% increase from five years ago—in
addition to $56 billion in debt for retiree health benefits. Incredibly, the
state is spending more of its general fund on pensions than on K-12
education. One in four tax dollars pays for retirement benefits. Last year
the state had to defer $7 billion in bills to contractors. This is after
Democrats in 2011 raised income and corporate taxes by 67% and 30%,
respectively. Little wonder that Illinois has the nation’s worst credit
rating.
Democrats last year passed modest pension fixes
conceived with the fainthearted judiciary in mind. The retirement age for
younger workers increased on a graduated scale. Workers now in their 20s
could still retire with pensions approximating 75% of their salaries at age
60.
Salaries used for pension calculations were also
capped at an inflation-adjusted $110,600 with a gaping carve-out for workers
who collectively-bargained higher pay. Cost-of-living adjustments were tied
to years of service and inflation instead of annually compounding at 3%. As
a political salve, the state even cut worker pension contributions by 1%.
Yet Sangamon County Circuit Court Judge John Belz
last week rejected all pension trims as a violation of the state
Constitution, which holds that “[m]embership in any pension or retirement
system of the State, any unit of local government or school district, or any
agency or instrumentality thereof, shall be an enforceable contractual
relationship, the benefits of which shall not be diminished or impaired.”
According to Judge Belz, there is “no legally cognizable affirmative
defense” for impairing pensions benefit.
Except, well, 80 years of U.S. Supreme Court
precedent. Federal courts have established that states may invoke their
police powers to impair contracts. In the 1934 case Home Building & Loan
Association v. Blaisdell, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that emergencies “may
justify the exercise of [the State’s] continuing and dominant protective
power notwithstanding interference with contracts,” which the U.S.
Constitution otherwise prohibits.
The Supreme Court has since developed a balancing
test that allows states to impair contracts when it is reasonable and
necessary to serve an important public purpose. The level of legal scrutiny
increases with the severity of the impairment.
Yet Judge Belz refused even to consider the state’s
argument that it must tweak pensions to maintain vital public services
(e.g., police, schools). The court “need not and does not reach the issue of
whether the facts would justify the exercise of such a power if it existed,”
the judge asserted. If the police power existed?
Perhaps the judge assumes that the Illinois Supreme
Court, based on its 6-1 decision this summer that extended constitutional
protections to retiree health benefits, will strike down the pension
reforms. Judge Belz teed up the high court by quoting copiously from that
opinion.
Even if they lose at the Illinois Supreme Court,
Mr. Rauner and the legislature will still have options for fixing their
pension mess including moving new workers to defined-contribution plans and
putting a constitutional amendment before voters that affirms the ability to
prospectively modify retirement benefits. Option C would be to petition
Illinois’s more prudent neighbors for annexation.
The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) is
an independent agency of the United States government that was created by
the Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 (ERISA) to encourage the
continuation and maintenance of voluntary
private defined benefit pension plans,
provide timely and uninterrupted payment of pension benefits, and keep
pension insurance premiums at the lowest level necessary to carry out its
operations. Subject to other statutory limitations, the PBGC insurance
program pays pension benefits up to the maximum guaranteed benefit set by
law to participants who retire at age 65 ($54,000 a year as of 2011).[2] The
benefits payable to insured retirees who start their benefits at ages other
than 65, or who elect survivor coverage, are adjusted to be equivalent in
value.
During fiscal year 2010, the PBGC paid $5.6 billion
in benefits to participants of failed pension plans. That year, 147 pension
plans failed, and the PBGC's deficit increased 4.5 percent to $23 billion.
The PBGC has a total of $102.5 billion in obligations and $79.5 billion in
assets.
Jensen Comment
Private sector companies can pay premiums to insure employee pension benefits
will carry on when companies carrying this insurance go bankrupt. But at least
those benefits are capped. For example, here on Sunset Hill Road I have a friend
who is a retired United Airlines Captain. When United Airlines went bankrupt his
pension benefits were cut in half because the insured benefits are capped for
high-salaried employees. In terms of the public sector such caps are no longer
allowed unless this court ruling is overturned by a higher court.
Because of their skills, airline Captains
are understandably paid very well with large pension benefits tied to their high
salaries before retirement, pensions that they themselves contributed to out of
their salaries over the years. In the public sector, salaries are generally not
so high, and sometimes the high pension benefits are outright frauds such as the
$500,000 annual pension of the former City Manager of tiny
Bell,
California. Illinois public pension plans were similarly wracked with frauds
promising enormous pensions and early retirements.
One can argue that pension contracts should not be
broken, but pension contracts are commonly broken in the private sector.
Employees of companies that did not pay for PGBC insurance may lose all their
pensions depending upon the outcomes of the bankruptcy courts. Employees of
companies that are insured by PGBC may still lose part of their pensions like my
friend nearby lost half of his United Airlines pension. Then why is it that
public sector pension contracts cannot be broken somewhat similar to private
sector pensions?
The main problem with this ruling is that there is
moral hazard. It encourages fraud and mismanagement of pensions in the public
sector. The main problem with public sector pensions in Illinois that they were
enormously mismanaged and underfunded. What is the
incentive to manage pensions responsibly in Illinois?
Vernon's former
city manager, for example, was receiving more than $500,000 in annual pension
payments. Most public safety workers can retire as early as 50. And some public
employees had cashed out unused vacation and other perks to unjustly spike their
retirement pay.
"California pension funds are running dry," by Marc Lifsher, Los
Angeles Times, November 13, 2014 ---
http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-controller-pension-website-20141114-story.html
A decade ago, many of California's public pension
plans had plenty of money to pay for workers' retirements.
All that has changed, according to a far-reaching
package of data from the state controller. Taxpayers are now on the hook for
billions of dollars more to cover the future retirements of public workers,
with the bill widely varying depending on where they live.
The City of Los Angeles Fire and Police Pension
System, for instance, had more than enough funds in 2003 to cover its
estimated future bill for workers' retirement checks. A decade later, it is
short $3 billion.
The state's pension goliath, the California Public
Employees' Retirement System, had $281 billion to cover the benefits
promised to 1.3 million workers and retirees in 2013. Yet it needed an
additional $57 billion to meet future obligations.
The bill at the state teachers' pension fund is
even higher: It has an estimated shortfall of $70 billion.
The new data from a website created by state
Controller John Chiang come at a time of growing anger from taxpayers over
the skyrocketing cost of public workers' retirements.
Until now, the bill for those government pensions
was buried deep in the funds' financial reports. By making this data
available, Chiang is bound to stir debate about how taxpayers can afford to
make retirement more comfortable for public workers when private-sector
employees' own financial futures have become less secure. For most
non-government workers, fixed monthly pensions are increasingly rare.
lRelated Stockton bankruptcy ruling preserves city pensions
Business Stockton bankruptcy ruling preserves city
pensions
"Somebody, who is knowledgeable and interested, is
several clicks away from the ugly mess that will define California's
financial future," said Dan Pellissier, president of California Pension
Reform, a Sacramento-area group seeking to stem rising statewide retirement
costs.
Chiang has assembled reams of data from 130 public
pension plans run by the state, cities and other government agencies. It's
now accessible at his website, ByTheNumbers.sco.ca.gov.
In nearly eight years as controller, essentially
the state's paymaster, Chiang has made good on a commitment to make
government financial records more transparent and accessible.
. . .
The pension debate in recent years has been fueled
by controversy.
Vernon's former city manager, for example,
was receiving more than $500,000 in annual pension payments. Most public
safety workers can retire as early as 50. And some public employees had
cashed out unused vacation and other perks to unjustly spike their
retirement pay.
Meanwhile, cash-strapped cities are facing
escalating bills. Rising pension costs contributed to bankruptcies in
Stockton, San Bernardino and Vallejo.
Why should private-sector taxpayers give
California's public workers more money to retire than most of them will ever
make? jumped2 at 11:33 AM November 14, 2014
Critics contend that governments can no longer
afford to pay generous pensions to retirees that aren't available to most
private-sector workers. Unions, meanwhile, have vehemently defended the
status quo, saying these benefits were promised to workers for years of
serving the public.
"In the months ahead, California and its local
communities will continue to wrestle with how to responsibly manage the
unfunded liabilities associated with providing retirement security to
police, firefighters, teachers and other providers of public services,"
Chiang said.
"Those debates and the actions that flow from them
ought to be informed by reliable data that is free of political spin or
ideological bias," said Chiang.
"Measuring Pension Liabilities under GASB Statement No. 68," by John W.
Mortimer and Linda R. Henderson, Accounting Horizons, September 2014,
Vol. 28, No. 3, pp. 421-454 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/acch-50710
While
retired government employees clearly depend on public sector defined benefit
pension funds, these plans also contribute significantly to U.S. state and
national economies. Growing public concern about the funding adequacy of
these plans, hard hit by the great recession, raises questions about their
future viability. After several years of study, the Governmental Accounting
Standards Board (GASB) approved two new standards, GASB 67 and 68, with the
goal of substantially improving the accounting for and transparency of
financial reporting of state/municipal public employee defined benefit
pension plans. GASB 68, the focus of this paper, requires state/municipal
governments to calculate and report a net pension liability based on a
single discount rate that combines the rate of return on funded plan assets
with a low-risk index rate on the unfunded portion of the liability. This
paper illustrates the calculation of estimates for GASB 68 reportable net
pension liabilities, funded ratios, and single discount rates for 48 fiscal
year state employee defined benefit plans by using an innovative valuation
model and readily available data. The results show statistically significant
increases in reportable net pension liabilities and decreases in the
estimated hypothetical GASB 68 funded ratios and single discount rates. Our
sensitivity analyses examine the effect of changes in the low-risk rate and
time period on these results. We find that reported discount rates of weaker
plans approach the low-risk rate, resulting in higher pension liabilities
and creating policy incentives to increase risky assets in pension
portfolios.
• The GASB has proposed chang ing how state and
local governments calculate and report the costs and obligations
associated with defined benefit other postemployment benefit (OPEB)
plans .
• Government employers that fund their OPEB
plans through a trust that meets the specified criteria would have to
record a net OPEB liability in their accrual - basis financial
statements for defined benefit plans that would be based on the plan
fiduciary net position rath er than plan funding.
• The proposal would make a government’s
obligations more transparent, and m any governments would likely report
a much larger OPEB liability than they do today.
• The guidance would be effective for fiscal
years beginning after 15 December 2016 , and early application would be
encouraged.
• Comments are due by 29 August 2014 . Public
hearings are s et for September 2014.
Overview
The Governmental Accounting Standards Boa rd (GASB) has proposed
changing how state and local governments calculate and report the cost
of other postemployment benefits , which consist of retiree health
insurance and defined benefits other than pensions and termination
benefits that are provided to retirees .
By Michael Hicks, includes “This week marked the
full implementation of two new Government Accounting Standards Board
rules affecting the reporting of pension liabilities. These rules --
known in the bland vernacular of accountancy as Statements 67 and 68 --
require state and municipal governments to report their pensions in ways
more like that of private-sector pensions. …
One result of this is that governments with very
high levels of unfunded liabilities will see their bond ratings drop to
levels that will make borrowing impossible.
In some places, like Indianapolis or Columbus, Ohio, may have to
increase their pension contributions and perhaps make modest changes to
retirement plans, such as adding a year or two of work for younger
workers. Places like Chicago or Charleston, West Virginia, will be
effectively unable to borrow in traditional bond markets. Pension funds
in Chicago alone are underfunded by almost $15 billion. Under the new
GASB rules Chicago's liability could swell to almost $60 billion or
roughly $21,750 per resident. Retiree health care liabilities add
another $3.6 billion or $1,324 per resident, so that each Chicago
household will need to cough up $61,000 to fully fund their promises to
city employees. The promise will be broken. …”
“We found that Chicago’s leaders have
failed to address the structural problems weakening its financial system,
instead plugging the holes with short-term fixes,” said TIA founder and CEO
Sheila Weinberg. “When the bills come due, Chicago politicians are going to
face a lose-lose dilemma: reduce services and benefits, or fix the problem
on the backs of future taxpayers.”
Fiscal accountability in U.S. politics
often focuses on highly visible federal budgets or the national debt. Truth
in Accounting has repeatedly found that poor budgeting and accounting
practices at the city and state levels of government presents equally
alarming threats.
Sen. Maria Cantwell (D., Wash.) claimed at a recent
congressional hearing that 92% of Americans are unprepared for retirement.
Other senators noted studies claiming that 53% to 84% of Americans will have
inadequate income in old age. Progressives cite these statistics as grounds
for increasing Social Security benefits, and the New America Foundation
wants to curtail tax incentives for private retirement plans because it says
these plans have failed.
These statistics are vast overstatements, generated
by methods that range from flawed to bogus. Changing policy based on these
fanciful claims would threaten government budgets, not to mention the income
security of future American retirees.
Do Americans face a retirement crisis? One way to
answer is to look at other wealthy, developed countries. In a 2013 study the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development compared the incomes
of a country's retirees with the average income in that country. The results
are surprising. Despite a supposedly stingy Social Security program and
ineffective retirement-savings vehicles, the average U.S. retiree has an
income equal to 92% of the average American income, handily outpacing the
Scandinavian countries (81%), Germany (85%), Belgium (77%) and many others.
In dollar terms, America's retirement incomes are
53% above the OECD average, second highest in the world. If there's a crisis
in the U.S., the rest of the developed world must be a virtual retirement
hellhole. No one truly believes that.
The OECD's figures actually understate the adequacy
of Americans' retirement incomes. The more accurate measure of a retiree's
ability to maintain his standard of living is to compare retirement income
to that same individual's work earnings.
The Social Security Administration's Office of
Retirement and Disability Policy has done that with a sophisticated computer
model that simulates individuals' earnings, savings, pensions and Social
Security benefits. The model shows that in 2012 the income of the median
67-year-old exceeded his career-average earnings, adjusted for inflation.
Since the cost of living generally is lower in retirement, today's retirees
typically have a real standard of living higher than during their working
years.
This helps explain why most current retirees say
they are doing well. A 2004 study by two Rand Corp. economists using data
from the federally sponsored Health and Retirement Study found that 87% of
retirees said their retirement years were "better" or "as good as" the years
before they retired. Most current retirees, they noted, "seem to be
pleasantly surprised by their level of resources." Even following the Great
Recession, 75% of retirees told Gallup in June 2013 that they have enough
money to live comfortably.
Will this be true in the future? SSA estimates that
the typical Gen-X (born between 1966 and 1975) household will have a
retirement income equal to 110% of its real average earnings during its
working years. Depression-era birth cohorts, who supposedly enjoyed a golden
age of traditional pensions and generous Social Security benefits, had an
average income equal to 109% of their pre-retirement earnings. Yes, more
retirees will depend on IRAs and 401(k) plans while fewer will have
traditional pensions. But retirees care most about how much money they have;
interest groups care about where that money comes from.
OECD data also tell us higher government pension
benefits don't necessarily mean greater retirement income. U.S. Social
Security is less generous than the average public pension plan, though it is
on par with countries such as the U.K., Canada or New Zealand that more
closely follow our political and economic traditions. But the OECD data show
a strong negative relationship between the generosity of public pensions and
the income that retirees collect from work and private saving.
For each additional dollar of benefits paid by a
country's government pension, that country's retirees themselves generate 94
cents less income from personal savings or employment during retirement.
This metric is important since work and saving contribute to a growing
economy while government transfer programs almost certainly reduce economic
output.
The statistics claiming that vast majorities of
Americans are unprepared for retirement suffer from myriad methodological
flaws. Some errors are simple, such as assuming that every individual should
follow a precise but arbitrary schedule in determining how much to save for
retirement each year. Others are more technical, such as how to project
future earnings for individuals working today. Together, these factors cause
studies to overstate how much income Americans will need in retirement and
understate how much income they will have.
If U.S. Social Security benefits are increased, the
country will very likely experience lower employment and saving. This in
turn will undercut the economic strength upon which government entitlements
depend. Social Security does need reform, both to ensure solvency and to
better serve low-income retirees. And we should improve access to and the
use of private saving plans. But the retirement crisis narrative will lead
the country down the wrong policy path.
Mr. Biggs, a former principal deputy commissioner of the Social
Security Administration, is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise
Institute. Mr. Schieber, a former chairman of the Social Security Advisory
Board, is an independent pension consultant.
Jensen Comment
This article overlooks how badly underfunded state public retirement funds are
underfunded. It also overlook the entitlements disasters of promises made for
Social Security and Medicare payments that will one day only be paid off with
highly inflated dollars ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Entitlements.htm
Adding additional benefits to Social Security retirements will only make the
entitlements disasters worse.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on January 9, 2013
Companies switching to “mark-to-market” pension accounting could reap
benefits this earnings season
AT&T, Verizon
Communications and about 30 other companies have migrated to
mark-to-market,
the WSJ’s Michael Rapoport notes.
In 2011 and 2012, that change weighed on earnings,
largely because interest rates were falling. But 2013 is different, thanks
to surging interest rates and strong stock-market performance. “It’s going
to account for a huge rise in operating earnings” at the affected companies,
said Dan Mahoney, director of research at accounting-research firm CFRA.
Some
mark-to-market companies with fiscal years ended in September have already
reported pension gains. Chemical maker Ashland had a $498 million pretax
mark-to-market pension gain in its Q4, versus a $493 million pension loss in
its fiscal 2012 fourth quarter. That made up about 40% of the company’s
$1.24 billion in operating income for fiscal 2013.
Most
companies don’t use mark-to-market pension accounting. Instead, they filter
pension gains and losses into earnings gradually, and compute pension
performance using an estimated rate of return, not the actual return,
Rapoport says. That system is still acceptable under GAAP, but it has been
widely criticized as confusing, and accounting rule-makers recently
indicated they may consider revisions.
Jensen Comment
What I don't like about mark-to-market valuation of pensions is that the
deals new retirees negotiate might vary significantly (certainly not always)
whether they retire in May versus June. For example, a professor might have a
lower CREF savings balance in June relative to May if something very good or
very bad happens in the stock market between May and June.
I have mixed feelings about mark-to-market of unrealized value changes in
market\ values subject to frequent short-term transitory impacts that are often
washed out over longer periods such that the ups and downs of short term values
are more fiction than fact. For example, computer generated bid and ask
trading tends to over-react to media jolts like when the President proposes
legislation that has not even begun to to run the gauntlet through both
legislative branches where legislation proposals can and usually do become
greatly modified if the President's proposals even pass at all.
For example the Dow went down purportedly when President Obama proposed
legislation in 2014 for restoring long-term unemployment benefits. The ultimate
impact of such legislation on stock prices depends upon whether this proposal
ultimately passes both the House and Senate and how the spending is financed. If
the Democrats agree to budget cuts in other areas, the impact on stock prices
will be greatly affected by what cuts are used to fund the added
unemployment compensation.
While the President's proposal is tied up in the legislative process the
short-term pension fund mark-to-market values will move up and down in values
changes that are never realized until the proposed legislation either passes or
is rejected.
What is more worrisome are those events that really spike stock prices
temporarily such as reports of severe droughts or floods that greatly impact
crop production in one summer but have very little impact on over multiple
years.
I also hate the way unrealized value changes are mixed with recognized earned
revenue in the calculation of business net earnings. Some of the changes in
earnings thereby are fictional.
Includes “Illinois lawmakers thought they were
saving money five years ago by changing the way the cash-strapped state
counts its pension debts, but a report released Wednesday suggests the
effort may have landed taxpayers with billions of dollars in extra costs.
Auditor General William Holland reported the system-wide pension debt hit
$100.5 billion last summer. But the total would have been $3 billion less
had the Legislature not required "smoothing," an actuarial process that
considers gains and losses over a five-year span, not current market values.
If another state law switched back to counting current market value
instead of "smoothed" value, it could save taxpayers money in the amount the
state must put up as its annual pension contribution in the budget year that
begins in July, although the savings were not reported. Pension leaders
advise against that. "Market value is a snapshot, but is it the correct
snapshot, or should we be looking more over time?" asked Rep. Elaine Nekritz,
a Northbrook Democrat who was instrumental in landmark legislation signed
into law last month to deal with the huge pension debt. "Smoothing looks
more over time." Smoothing, Holland said in an interview, gives a more
realistic look at the numbers. But five years ago when the economy was in
the tank, it made them rosier. Now that the market has improved, assets
"smoothed" over the past five years makes the outcome gloomier than current
market value of the pension systems' assets. That calculation puts the debt
at $97.5 billion, according to Holland's audit. …”
Of all the state pension checks cashed in 2012,
none was bigger than John F. Veiga's.
The Coventry resident spent 37 years teaching
business at the University of Connecticut. In 2009, he accepted an early
retirement buyout offer from the state after contributing $222,128 to his
pension during his UConn career.
Now, at age 70, that pension pays him $276,364 a
year, the largest amount paid to a single state retiree in 2012, nearly nine
times the $31,666 average state employee pension.
According to calculations by the data analysis firm
VisiGov: Visible Government Online Inc. for The Day,Veiga
could collect another $4 million in his lifetime.
"I don't know what to tell you," Veiga said. "Is it
fair? It was what was offered. It seemed fair at the time."
Of the top 10 state pensions in 2012 - all six
figures - all but two were paid to former employees of UConn or the UConn
Health Center. Nine retired under the most generous retirement plan, called
Tier I.
Veiga left Kaiser Aluminum in 1968, earned his
doctorate in 1971 and became a professor at UConn after a brief stint
teaching at Northeastern University in Boston. He said his former boss
called him "crazy" to leave Kaiser, where he was earning $50,000 to $55,000
as a senior industrial engineer, for an assistant professor position at
UConn with a starting salary of $16,000.
But over the nearly 40 years that Veiga worked for
the state, that salary gap narrowed. Private companies cut back pension and
retiree health benefits, according to a 2012 Employee Benefit Research
Institute report. More and more, private companies came to rely on "defined
contribution plans" - 401(k)-type plans that have no guaranteed annual
benefit amount.
Veiga said the early retirement incentive package
offered in 2009 during Gov. M. Jodi Rell's administration was too good to
pass up. More than 4,700 state employees took advantage of the offer.
The buyout "made it very hard to say, 'Well, I am
going to keep working,' when I can earn as much on a pension as I can
working," Veiga said. It added three years to his to his term of service,
and the state let him add three more years because he had worked as a
residence hall director at Kent State University in Ohio, and another year
because he had been an assistant professor of management at Northeastern
University. That brought his credited years of service to 44.
His pension also comes with annual cost-of-living
adjustments, Medicare insurance and prescription drug coverage, and
supplemental health insurance and prescription coverage through the state.
He pays a co-payment at the doctor's office occasionally, he said, but
otherwise he does not pay for his health care.
State Comptroller Kevin Lembo said early retirement
incentive programs put a lot of stress on pension systems. While they reduce
payroll, they increase lifetime pensions because they add additional years
of service. To Lembo, "They are short-term thinking at best."
The tier system
Veiga served as chairman of the management department at the School of
Business for more than two decades and as the interim dean of the School of
Business in 1991 to 1992. He was named the Northeast Utilities endowed
chairman of business ethics in 2000, and a Board of Trustees Distinguished
Professor in 2001. His final average salary for pension calculation purposes
was $361,293 annually.
State retirees are classified according to a system
of "tiers." Tier I, the most generous, was closed to new employees in 1984.
As a Tier I retiree, Veiga's pension is determined by several factors,
including his credited years of service and the average of his three highest
salary years.
He also receives a cost-of-living adjustment
ranging from 2.5 to 6 percent.
Pension benefits have been reduced as each new
retirement tier was added. Under Tier II, retirees' benefits were based on a
smaller percentage of their annual salary. Tier IIA, which began in 1997,
required retirees to contribute to their retirements. With Tier III, which
began in 2011, the retirement age was increased.
The Tier I average annual pension benefit in 2012
was $36,404; for Tier II, $23,106; and for Tier IIA, $11,556. Data for Tier
III retirees is not yet available.
According to The Day's analysis, Veiga was one of
492 Tier I retires who, because of their high salaries, collected six-figure
pensions in 2012. That number represents just 1.6 percent of the 30,472 Tier
I retirees.
Although the Connecticut State Employees'
Retirement System is funded at only 42 percent, Veiga said that will change
when the economy rebounds in the next five to 10 years. People wouldn't even
be discussing whether retirees' benefits were too rich if the economy hadn't
gone downhill or if the state had managed its pensions better, he said.
"Every chance they get, where it is not obvious,
they use the money right now and don't fund it all," Veiga said. "Can you
imagine having money in a 401(k) somewhere and them saying, 'We will, for
the next five years, not give you any interest or earnings, we are not going
to do our part?' That is basically what they did."
From fiscal years 1996 through 2013, the state
rarely contributed the annual amount recommended by actuaries. If it had
done so, there would be $2 billion more in the State Employees' Retirement
System fund, according to the State Comptroller's Office.
Continued in article
The Underfunded Pension Mess in the USA
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on July 25, 2013
Companies are getting closer to bringing their pension
plans back to fully funded status this quarter,
says CFOJ’s Emily Chasan. Rising
interest rates and stock prices have narrowed the gap of underfunded pension
liabilities by 40% this year, and some companies—including
Alaska Air,
Cytec Industries
and VF Corp.— have
announced their pensions are nearly topped up. “A reduction in our pension
expense is right around the corner, which is important because most of our
competitors don’t have pension plans,” said VF Chief Financial Officer Bob
Shearer.
The vast majority of pension plans are still in the
red, but more than 208 S&P 500 companies with pension plans have improved
their funded status by over $100 million each since the end of last year.
Boeing,
Ford,
General Electric
and IBM are all
expected to improve their funding by more than $5 billion at the end of the
year.
Ford,
which reported a 19% jump in quarterly profit
yesterday, is seeing a marked improvement in its pension plan this year,
says CFO Bob Shanks. Ford chipped in $2 billion, but rising discount rates
were the big reason the company has closed its $9.7 billion funding gap by
about $4 billion this year. That would bring the funded status to about 85%,
up from 82% last year. “We’re very encouraged by the progress we’re seeing,”
Mr. Shanks said.
Jensen Comment
Government pensions, including teacher pensions, are in far worse shape. For
example, the Governor of Illinois is withholding pay of state legislators until
they come to agreement on how to my public pensions in Illinois sustainable. The
USA Postal Service cannot figure out how to meet its pension obligations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory02.htm#Pensions
Horrible (shell game) accounting rules for pension accounting Over the past three decades, we have allowed a system
of pension accounting to develop that is a shell game, misleading taxpayers and
investors about the true fiscal health of their cities and companies -- and
allowing management to make promises to workers that saddle future generations
with huge costs. The result: According to a recent estimate by Credit Suisse
First Boston, unfunded pension liabilities of companies in the S&P 500 could hit
$218 billion by the end of this year. Others estimate that public pensions --
the benefits promised by state and local governments -- could be in the red
upwards of $700 billion.
Arthur Levitt, Jr., "Pensions Unplugged," The Wall Street Journal,
November 10, 2005; Page A16 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB113159015994793200.html?mod=opinion&ojcontent=otep
The Illinois Retired Teachers Association filed
suit Friday challenging the constitutionality of the state’s historic but
controversial plan to deal with the nation’s most underfunded public
employee pension system.
The lawsuit is the first of what could be many
filed on behalf of state workers, university employees, lawmakers and
teachers outside Chicago. The legal challenge argues the law, which limits
cost-of-living increases, raises retirement ages for many current workers
and caps the amount of salaries eligible for retirement benefits, violates
the state Constitution.
The lawsuit, filed in Cook County Circuit Court on
behalf of eight non-union retirees, teachers and superintendents who are
members of the state’s Teacher Retirement System, contended the
constitutional “guarantee on which so many relied has been violated.”
“Countless careers, retirements, personal
investments and medical treatments have been planned in justifiable reliance
not only on the promises that were made in collective bargaining agreements
and the Illinois Pension Code, but also on the guarantee of the (state
constitution’s) Pension Protection Clause,” the lawsuit said.
But a spokeswoman for Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn,
who signed the pension changes into law this month after years of political
stalemate, said that just as a lawsuit had been expected, the administration
“(expects) this landmark reform will be upheld as constitutional.”
At issue is a provision of the 1970 Illinois
Constitution which states that public pensions represent“an enforceable
contractual relationship, the benefits of which shall not be diminished or
impaired.”
The new law, however, scales back what had been
annual 3 percent compounded cost-of-living increases to retirees. Instead,
retirees would get 3 percent, non-compounding yearly bumps based on a
formula that takes into account their years of service multiplied by $1,000.
The $1,000 factor would be increased by the rate of inflation each year.
The measure also requires many current workers to
skip up to five annual cost-of-living pension increases when they retire.
For current workers, it also would boost the retirement age by up to five
years, depending on how old they are.
In an attempt to make the new law constitutional by
offering workers and retirees some trade offs, under a legal theory known as
“consideration,” current workers would pay 1 percentage point less toward
their pensions. In addition, pension systems could sue to force the state to
pay its required employer share toward retirement and a limited number of
workers could join a 401(k)-style defined contribution plan.
But the lawsuit contended the constitutional
“guarantee, perhaps more so than anything else in the Illinois Constitution,
was used by countless families across Illinois to plan careers, retirements
and financial futures.”
It argues the state Supreme Court has consistently
struck down attempts to change the state’s pension laws when benefits are
diminished and that justices have warned that constitutional requirements
cannot be suspended for economic reasons. Illinois state government’s shaky
finances were the prime reason that after years of inaction, lawmakers this
month passed the law in an attempt to deal with a $100 billion unfunded
public pension liability. About 20 cents of every dollar paid in state taxes
goes to fund public pensions and the amount was increasingly taking money
away from education and other social services. Backers have said the new law
could save an estimated $160 billion over the next 30 years.
At the same time, Illinois government’s inability
to deal with the growing pension liability resulted in downgrades of the
state’s credit rating, which boosted taxpayers’ borrowing costs for public
works projects. Credit rating agencies heralded the new law, but also
recognized that it would be challenged in court.
“We believe the new law is as constitutionally
sound as it is urgently needed to resolve the state's pension crisis,” Quinn
spokeswoman Brooke Anderson said in a statement.
“This historic law squarely addresses the most
pressing fiscal crisis of our time by eliminating the state's unfunded
pension debt, a standard set by the governor two years ago. It will ensure
retirement security for those who have faithfully contributed to the pension
systems, end the squeeze on critical education and human services and
support economic growth,” she said.
Representatives of the “We Are One” coalition of
public employee unions, including the state’s two major teachers’ unions,
have said they expect to file suit after the New Year. Their lawsuit is
expected to be filed outside of Cook County — in part reflecting a concern
that powerful Democratic House Speaker Michael Madigan plays a powerful
political interest in determining judgeships in the Chicago area.
The threat that public-employee pensions pose to
state and local government finances is well known—witness the federal ruling
earlier this month that Detroit's pension obligations are not sacrosanct in
a municipal bankruptcy. Less well known is that pensions are larger and
their investments riskier than at any point since public employees began
unionizing in earnest nearly half a century ago.
Public pensions have long been advertised as
offering generous, guaranteed benefits for public employees while collecting
low and stable contributions from taxpayers. But with Detroit's bankruptcy
filing, citing $3.5 billion in unfunded pension liabilities, and with four
of the five largest municipal bankruptcies in U.S. history occurring in the
past two years, reality tells us otherwise.
How much riskier are public pensions now? According
to my research, public pensions pose roughly 10 times more risk to taxpayers
and government budgets than in 1975. And while elected officials—a few
Democratic mayors included—are now pushing for reforms, even they may not
realize the danger.
In 1975, state and local pension assets were equal
to 49% of annual government expenditures, according to my analysis of
Federal Reserve data. Pension assets have nearly tripled to 143% of
government outlays today. That's not because plans are better funded—today's
plans are no better funded than in 1980—but mostly because pension plans
have grown as public workforces have aged.
The ratio of active public employees to retirees
has fallen drastically, according to the State Budget Crisis Task Force.
Today it is 1.75 to 1; in 1950, it was 7 to 1. This means that a loss in
pension investments has three times the impact on state and local budgets
than 40 years ago. Enlarge Image
In a photo from Monday, Dec. 2, 2013, an empty
field in Brush Park, north of Detroit's downtown is shown with an abandoned
home. Associated Press
And pensions can expect to take losses more often
because of increased investment risk. Public plans have historically assumed
roughly an 8% rate of return. But thanks to falling yields on safe assets,
pensions must invest in riskier assets to have any hope of getting 8%
returns. A one-year Treasury bond in 1975 yielded a 5.9% return. In 1980, it
offered 14.8%, and in 1985 an investor could expect 6.5%. Today, the
Treasury yield hovers at 0.1%.
Meager yields leave America's enterprising
public-pension plan managers with a choice: Accept a lower return—forcing
higher taxpayer contributions—or take on more risk to keep 8% returns
flowing. My estimate, based on Treasury yields and analysis from economists
at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, is that a pension today
must build a portfolio with a standard deviation—how much returns vary from
year-to-year—of 14%. Such high volatility means that a fund would suffer
losses roughly one out of every four years.
By contrast, in 1975 a plan could achieve 8%
expected returns with a standard deviation of just 3.7%. Those portfolios
would lose money once every 65 years. This level of risk varied little
through the 1980s and 1990s: An 8% return portfolio in 1985 would require a
standard deviation of 2.7%, and 4.3% in 1995. Risk began inching upward
after 2000 and has increased rapidly since the recession as low-risk assets
continue to fall.
These figures aren't theoretical. They represent
public pensions' decades-long shift from safe bonds to risky stocks, along
with the recent growth of "alternative investments" such as hedge funds and
private equity. These alternatives are, according to Wilshire Consulting,
60% riskier than U.S. stocks and more than five times riskier than bonds.
Larger pensions and riskier investments combine to
increase risk to state and local budgets. The standard deviation of public
pension investments equaled 1.8% of state and local budgets in 1975. That
figure crept upward to 2.2% in 1985, and reached 5.8% in 1995. Today it
stands at 19.8%. Pension investment risk to budgets has risen roughly
tenfold over the past four decades.
As pension plan managers in Detroit, California and
elsewhere can attest, there aren't easy solutions. Mature pensions should
move their investments away from risky assets, but many plan managers are
doing the opposite in a double-or-nothing attempt to dig out of
multitrillion-dollar funding shortfalls. In most instances, significant
benefit cuts for current retirees who made the contributions asked of them
is difficult to justify and legally problematic.
The only real option, then, is to make structural
changes, including more modest benefits and increased risk-sharing between
plan sponsors and public employees. But that will only happen if elected
officials accept that they can't continue with business as usual without
accumulating tremendous risk.
Having paid off bond holders for one penny on the dollar, what fool would
loan it another dollar to pay its bloated unfunded pensions?
Before Detroit filed for bankruptcy, there was
Stockton.
Battered by a collapse in real estate prices, a
spike in pension and retiree health care costs, and unmanageable debt, this
struggling city in the Central Valley has labored for months to find a way
out of Chapter 9. Now having renegotiated its debt with most creditors,
cobbled together layoffs and service cuts and raised the sales tax to 9
percent from 8.25 percent, Stockton is nearly ready to leave court
protection.
But what Stockton, along with pretty much every
other city in California that has gone into bankruptcy in recent years,
has not done is address the skyrocketing public pensions that are at the
heart of many of these cases.
“No city wants to take on the state pension system
by itself,” said Stockton’s new mayor, Anthony Silva, referring to the
California Public Employees’ Retirement System, or Calpers. “Every city
thinks some other city will take care of it.”
While a federal bankruptcy judge ruled this week
that Detroit could reduce public pensions to help shed its debts, Stockton
has become an experiment of whether a municipality can successfully come out
of bankruptcy and stabilize its finances without touching pensions. It is an
effort that has come at great cost to city services and one that some
critics say will simply not work once the city starts trying to restore
services and hire 120 police officers it promised to get the sales-tax
increase passed.
“They wanted to get out of bankruptcy in the worst
possible way, and that’s just what they did,” said Dean Andal of the San
Joaquin County Taxpayers Association, which fought the sales-tax increase.
“If they go ahead and hire those new police officers, the city will be back
in insolvency in four years.”
Stockton declared fiscal emergencies in 2010 and
2011, giving it the power to renege on annual pay increases for city
workers. City services were slashed. Hundreds of municipal workers were laid
off. And many retirees who had been promised health coverage for life
learned that they would have to begin paying for it.
“That was the hardest part,” Councilman Elbert
Holman said, “looking people in the eye and telling them sorry, you are
losing your health care, but it’s absolutely necessary.”
By the time the judge found Stockton eligible for
Chapter 9 bankruptcy on April 1, the city had about $147 million in unfunded
pension obligations and about $250 million in debt from various bond issues.
The years of fiscal emergency and bankruptcy have
left their mark, including a skyrocketing crime rate, which city officials
and many residents attribute to staffing and service cuts in the Police
Department.
“I suddenly realized a few years ago that, just in
my tiny, two-block neighborhood, there had been 11 residential burglaries in
the previous nine months,” said Marci Walker, an emergency room nurse.
Cities go bankrupt for many reasons: a collapse in
real estate prices, a spike in pension and retiree health care costs, a
burden of debt from expensive city projects. Stockton has experienced all
three.
When real estate prices shot up in Silicon Valley
in the last decade, many commuters decided that Stockton’s cheaper housing
was worth the long commute to the Bay Area. That drove up local housing
prices, so when the bubble burst it had a bigger impact, giving Stockton one
of the nation’s highest foreclosure rates.
City leaders had also gone on a construction spree
during the flush years, building a new sports arena, a minor-league baseball
stadium and a marina. Citizens still bitterly mention the 2006 concert that
opened the arena, where Neil Diamond was paid $1 million to perform.
And through it all, the pension costs for city
workers — particularly for police officers and firefighters, who can retire
early and draw on those pensions for decades — kept going up.
No part of the city has been left unscathed. Ms.
Walker’s comfortable neighborhood near the University of the Pacific campus
was hit with rising crime almost immediately after the police layoffs. “When
the economy got bad and we lost police officers, it all started,” she said.
So she started the Regent Street Neighborhood
Watch, the first of more than 100 such organizations to sprout up in the
city in the last few years.
“We don’t confront anybody, we just let them know
that we know they’re there,” Ms. Walker said. She added, “Criminals do not
like eyeballs on them.”
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Off the cuff Governor Brown complained that California has to deal with a
trillion dollars in unfunded pensions (he may have exaggerated). The sad ttruth
is that many of these were fraudulent pensions with criminal amounts (e.g., the
pensions of Bell, California) and absurd early retirement provisions at age 50
or earlier.
A decade ago, many of California's public pension
plans had plenty of money to pay for workers' retirements.
All that has changed, according to a far-reaching
package of data from the state controller. Taxpayers are now on the hook for
billions of dollars more to cover the future retirements of public workers,
with the bill widely varying depending on where they live.
The City of Los Angeles Fire and Police Pension
System, for instance, had more than enough funds in 2003 to cover its
estimated future bill for workers' retirement checks. A decade later, it is
short $3 billion.
The state's pension goliath, the California Public
Employees' Retirement System, had $281 billion to cover the benefits
promised to 1.3 million workers and retirees in 2013. Yet it needed an
additional $57 billion to meet future obligations.
The bill at the state teachers' pension fund is
even higher: It has an estimated shortfall of $70 billion.
The new data from a website created by state
Controller John Chiang come at a time of growing anger from taxpayers over
the skyrocketing cost of public workers' retirements.
Until now, the bill for those government pensions
was buried deep in the funds' financial reports. By making this data
available, Chiang is bound to stir debate about how taxpayers can afford to
make retirement more comfortable for public workers when private-sector
employees' own financial futures have become less secure. For most
non-government workers, fixed monthly pensions are increasingly rare.
lRelated Stockton bankruptcy ruling preserves city pensions
Business Stockton bankruptcy ruling preserves city
pensions
"Somebody, who is knowledgeable and interested, is
several clicks away from the ugly mess that will define California's
financial future," said Dan Pellissier, president of California Pension
Reform, a Sacramento-area group seeking to stem rising statewide retirement
costs.
Chiang has assembled reams of data from 130 public
pension plans run by the state, cities and other government agencies. It's
now accessible at his website, ByTheNumbers.sco.ca.gov.
In nearly eight years as controller, essentially
the state's paymaster, Chiang has made good on a commitment to make
government financial records more transparent and accessible.
. . .
The pension debate in recent years has been fueled
by controversy.
Vernon's former city manager, for example,
was receiving more than $500,000 in annual pension payments. Most public
safety workers can retire as early as 50. And some public employees had
cashed out unused vacation and other perks to unjustly spike their
retirement pay.
Meanwhile, cash-strapped cities are facing
escalating bills. Rising pension costs contributed to bankruptcies in
Stockton, San Bernardino and Vallejo.
Why should private-sector taxpayers give
California's public workers more money to retire than most of them will ever
make? jumped2 at 11:33 AM November 14, 2014
Critics contend that governments can no longer
afford to pay generous pensions to retirees that aren't available to most
private-sector workers. Unions, meanwhile, have vehemently defended the
status quo, saying these benefits were promised to workers for years of
serving the public.
"In the months ahead, California and its local
communities will continue to wrestle with how to responsibly manage the
unfunded liabilities associated with providing retirement security to
police, firefighters, teachers and other providers of public services,"
Chiang said.
"Those debates and the actions that flow from them
ought to be informed by reliable data that is free of political spin or
ideological bias," said Chiang.
Detroit’s municipal pension fund made undisclosed
payments for decades to retirees, active workers and others above and beyond
normal benefits, costing the struggling city billions of dollars, according
to an outside actuary hired to examine the payments.
The payments included bonuses to retirees,
supplements to workers not yet retired and cash to the families of workers
who died too young to get a pension, according to a report by the outside
actuary and other sources.
How much each person received is not known because
payments were not disclosed in the annual reports of the fund.
Detroit has nearly 12,000 retired general workers,
who last year received pensions of $19,213 a year on average — hardly enough
to drive a great American city into bankruptcy. But the total excess
payments in some years ran to more than $100 million, a crushing expense for
a city in steep decline. In some years, the outside actuary found, Detroit
poured more than twice the amount into the pension fund that it would have
had to contribute had it only paid the specified pension benefits.
And even then, the city’s contributions were not
enough. So much money had been drained from the pension fund that by 2005,
Detroit could no longer replenish it from its dwindling tax revenues.
Instead, the city turned to the public bond markets, borrowed $1.44 billion
and used that to fill the hole.
Even that didn’t work. Last June, Detroit failed to
make a $39.7 million interest payment on that borrowing — the first default
of what was soon to become the biggest municipal bankruptcy case in American
history.
Detroit said that making the interest payment would
have consumed more than 90 percent of its available cash. And besides, the
hole in its pension fund was growing again, and it needed yet another $200
million for that.
When Detroit turned to the bond market in 2005, it
acknowledged that it needed cash for its pension fund but did not explain
its long history of paying out more than the plan’s legitimate benefits,
including the bonuses, known as “13th checks,” which were reported earlier
this month by The Detroit Free Press. Nor did the city describe the pension
fund’s distributions to active workers, or that a 1998 shift to a
401(k)-style plan had been blocked and turned instead into a death benefit.
In its most recent annual valuation of the fund, the plan’s actuary said it
was still trying to determine the “effect of future retroactive transfers to
the 1998 defined contribution plan,” without mentioning that it had not been
carried out.
All of these things eroded the financial health of
the pension system, but neither the magnitude of the harm, nor its effect on
the city’s own finances, were disclosed to investors. German banks were big
buyers of Detroit’s pension debt; now, they are complaining that they were
told it was sovereign debt.
Finally, in 2011, the city hired the outside
actuary to get a handle on where all the money was going. The pension
system’s regular actuaries, with the firm of Gabriel Roeder Smith, would not
provide the information because they worked for the plan trustees, not the
city.
The outside actuary, Joseph Esuchanko, concluded
that the various nonpension payments had cost the struggling city nearly $2
billion from 1985 to 2008 because the city had to constantly replenish the
money, with interest. The trustees began making the payments even before
1985, but it appears that Mr. Esuchanko could not get data for earlier
years.
His calculations included only the extra payments
by Detroit’s pension fund for general workers. Detroit has a second pension
fund, for police officers and firefighters, which also made excess payments
in the past. But Mr. Esuchanko could not get the data he needed to calculate
those, either.
When Mr. Esuchanko reported his findings, Detroit’s
city council voted to halt all payments except legitimate pensions, as
described in plan documents. The police and firefighters’ plan trustees
appear to have discontinued the practice earlier.
Detroit’s pension trustees, and their lawyers, were
unavailable on Wednesday to comment on the extra payments.
Joseph Harris, who served as Detroit’s independent
auditor general from 1995 to 2005, said the payments were approved by the
pension board of trustees, and it would have been useless for the city to
have tried to stop them during his term.
“It was like dandelions,” he said. “You just accept
them. They were there, something you’ve seen all your life.”
The Underfunded Pension Mess in the USA
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on July 25, 2013
Companies are getting closer to bringing their pension
plans back to fully funded status this quarter,
says CFOJ’s Emily Chasan. Rising
interest rates and stock prices have narrowed the gap of underfunded pension
liabilities by 40% this year, and some companies—including
Alaska Air,
Cytec Industries
and VF Corp.— have
announced their pensions are nearly topped up. “A reduction in our pension
expense is right around the corner, which is important because most of our
competitors don’t have pension plans,” said VF Chief Financial Officer Bob
Shearer.
The vast majority of pension plans are still in the
red, but more than 208 S&P 500 companies with pension plans have improved
their funded status by over $100 million each since the end of last year.
Boeing,
Ford,
General Electric
and IBM are all
expected to improve their funding by more than $5 billion at the end of the
year.
Ford,
which reported a 19% jump in quarterly profit
yesterday, is seeing a marked improvement in its pension plan this year,
says CFO Bob Shanks. Ford chipped in $2 billion, but rising discount rates
were the big reason the company has closed its $9.7 billion funding gap by
about $4 billion this year. That would bring the funded status to about 85%,
up from 82% last year. “We’re very encouraged by the progress we’re seeing,”
Mr. Shanks said.
Jensen Comment
Government pensions, including teacher pensions, are in far worse shape. For
example, the Governor of Illinois is withholding pay of state legislators until
they come to agreement on how to my public pensions in Illinois sustainable. The
USA Postal Service cannot figure out how to meet its pension obligations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory02.htm#Pensions
Teaching Case on Perpetual Preferred Stock
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 13,
2013
SUMMARY: Perpetual preferred shares offer high yields similar to
debt but have no maturity date. The shares may fluctuate in value in
opposition to changes in overall interest rates, as bonds do, making them a
risky investment for loss of principal value. The author, the CFO Journal
editor, emphasizes that investors should look to purchase perpetual
preferred shares from companies with "high, stable cash-flow" such as banks
and insurance companies, which have added security because of regulation,
and real-estate investment trusts.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used when discussing
accounting for stock issuances, particularly preferred stock, to demonstrate
to students the need to satisfy investor demand with the terms of a
company's stock.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is preferred stock? What are perpetual
preferred shares of stock?
2. (Advanced) Why does the issuance of perpetual preferred shares
avoid "...altering debt-to-equity ratios and credit ratings"?
3. (Advanced) How are perpetual preferred shares like debt in the
eyes of investors?
4. (Introductory) According to the author, what type of company is
most able to issue perpetual preferred shares to provide investors with a
secure investment?
5. (Advanced) How did AT&T use its own perpetual preferred shares?
Why do you think the company needs approval from the U.S. Labor Department
to take this step?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Rising interest rates this summer have dried up the
market for perpetual preferred shares, but some companies are finding novel
ways to squeeze out deals.
Perpetual preferred shares—a sort of hybrid between
debt and equity with no maturity date—offer companies a way to raise money
quickly without issuing debt or diluting the holdings of their current
common shareholders. That avoids altering debt-to-equity ratios and credit
ratings, but it risks saddling a company with high dividend payments.
For investors, however, the high yields come with
the risk that the shares could lose some of their principal value as rising
interest rates make them harder to sell.
"It's very long-term capital, which is a good match
for financing assets with very long lives," said James Jackson, chief
financial officer of BreitBurn Energy Partners LP. He has been considering
perpetual preferred shares as an alternative source of financing for his
company.
The shares are a relatively new form of financing
for companies structured like BreitBurn that are known as master limited
partnerships. One of BreitBurn's competitors, Vanguard Natural Resources
LLC, VNR +0.47% became the first such company to sell perpetual preferred
shares this summer, and its shares are trading above face value in the
secondary market because of strong demand.
In addition, AT&T Inc. T +1.18% got tentative
approval from the U.S. Labor Department last week to make a pension-fund
contribution of 320 million perpetual preferred shares in its mobility
business, at a value of up to $9.5 billion. The AT&T deal is expected to
bring the pension fund close to fully funded status and lower the company's
taxes.
Final approval could open the door for other
companies to use the same approach.
"It's a novel way to address some of these pension
issues, and if other companies have an asset like this they could review
it," said John Culver, an AT&T analyst at Fitch Ratings in Chicago.
Perpetual preferreds gained popularity during the
financial crisis in 2008 and 2009, when banks raised more than $400 billion
using them. But banks, while still the leading issuer this year, have been
pulling out of the market because of cheaper financing elsewhere and
concerns that some types of perpetual preferred shares can run afoul of
bank-capital requirements.
As banks have left the market, companies with
strong cash flows, including real-estate investment trusts, utilities and
energy firms, have filled the void.
"Companies definitely want to issue them. There's
been a bit of a hiatus due to the rate environment and the summer. Now that
the summer is over, new issuance will crank up again, but probably at higher
yields," said William Scapell, who oversees investments in preferred stock
funds at Cohen & Steers.
Companies have raised more than $27 billion from
perpetual preferred shares so far this year, according to data provider
Dealogic. Since May, however, when long-term interest rates started to
increase, the pace of deals has plummeted 62% compared with the same period
a year earlier.
Real-estate investment trusts completed some 30
perpetual preferred deals this year, the most of any nonfinancial sector,
but they have also pulled back since May.
"The market is not the right market today," said
Glenn Cohen, the chief financial officer of Kimco Realty Corp., KIM -1.17%
which raised $800 million in three perpetual preferred deals over the past
two years at yields as low as 5.5%. Today, he said, the company would be
better off raising cash with traditional 10-year bonds.
In June, Houston-based Vanguard Natural Resources
VNR +0.47% offered $61 million in preferred shares at a competitive 7.88%
yield. The company told investors it wouldn't seek to redeem the perpetual
preferred shares for at least 10 years, as opposed to a more typical
five-year wait.
It was the first such deal from a master limited
partnership. The company found a novel way to help investors simplify the
tax filings related to the shares.
"It puts another tool in our toolbox to go out
there and raise more capital," said Vanguard Treasurer Ryan Midgett. The
firm intends to fund acquisitions with the proceeds, he said.
The Economist has an interesting piece in
Buttonwood this week about how U.S. public
pensions do their accounting. Basically, they discount their liabilities
using the expected return on their assets.
It
results in some curious outcomes. For example, since holding cash typically
drags down return expectations, if a pension fund simply gave away its
cash (or burned it as The Economist posits) by raising its expected
return on assets (no longer burdened by the cash drag) they would reduce the
value of their liabilities. Their funded status might appear better even
with fewer assets.
This perverse accounting treatment got me thinking
about why pension funds continue to invest in hedge funds seeking 8%
returns, even though it’s been many years since hedge funds made 8% and it’s
not likely they will in the near future either. Certainly not with over $2
trillion competing for opportunities.
Based on the accounting, including an asset with an
8% return target helps reduce the value of their liabilities even if the 8%
return expectation is an unreasonable expectation. So the motivation for a
pension fund trustee could be to include hedge funds because of their
helpful impact on the discount rate on their liabilities even while their
continued failure to achieve that target doesn’t cause huge immediate
problems.
Far better than lowering the discount rate to a
more appropriate level and revealing the true shortfall with all its
political consequences.
This is how the $3 trillion underfunded position is
growing. Sometimes accountants can cause a lot of damage.
Thelosing New York Times wants to dump the losing Boston
Globe
From the CFO Morning Ledger on February 21, 2013
Pension liabilities loom as NYT puts Globe on the block. The
New York Times is
exploring a sale of the Boston Globe, its only remaining business outside
the core NYT media brand,
Bloomberg reports.
Times Co. tried to sell the Globe as recently as 2009, but pension
liabilities got in the way. At least one bid at the time reached about $33
million in cash, but fluctuating estimates on the Boston Globe’s pension
liability — ranging from $110 million to $240 million — scuttled any deal.
Bidders, who would assume the full pension liability, were unclear on the
total value of the pension.
Several years after from the financial crisis of 2008,
state pension funds continue to languish. According to data released this
week by Milliman, Inc. and by the Pew Center on the States, there was a $859
billion gap between the obligations of the country’s 100 largest public
pension plans and the
fundingof these pensions. Most of these are
state funds, and state legislatures have attempted to respond to this
growing crisis by making numerous reforms to try to combat this growing
deficit.
In 2010, only Wisconsin’s pension
fundswere fully funded. Nine states,
meanwhile, were 60% funded or less — this would mean that at least 40% of
the amount the state owes current and future retirees is not in the state’s
coffers. In Illinois, just 45% of the state’s pension liabilities were
funded. In some of these states, the gap between the outstanding liability
and the amount funded was in the tens of billions of dollars. California
alone had $113 billion in unfunded liability. Based on Pew’s report, “The
Widening Gap Update,” 24/7 Wall St. identified the nine states with sinking
pensions.
Each year, actuaries determine how much a state
should contribute to its pensions to keep them funded. Many states, for
various reasons, did not pay the full recommended contributions for 2010,
while others have been paying the recommended amount for years. In an
interview with 24/7 Wall St., Milliman Inc. principal and consulting actuary
Becky Sielman explained that despite states making the recommended payments,
many large individual public retirement funds are still underfunded.
Of the nine states with pensions that are
underfunded by 40% or more, three paid more than 90% of the recommended
contributions, and two, Rhode Island and New Hampshire, paid the full
amount. Despite this, pension contributions were still generally higher in
states that were better funded. Of the 16 states that were at least 80%
funded — a level experts consider to be fiscally responsible — 11
contributed at least 97% of the recommended amount.
In an interview with 24/7 Wall St., Pew Center on
the States senior researcher David Draine explained why, despite paying the
full amount, several states continued to be severely underfunded. He pointed
out that meeting contributions was important. He added that states that made
full contributions in 2010 were 84% funded on average, compared to those
that did not, which were only 72% funded.
To explain why several states that are making full
contributions are still underfunded, Draine said much of it has to do with
investment losses. “The 2000s have been a terrible period for pension
investmentsthat have fallen short of their
expectations … that’s a big part of the growth in the funding gap.”
Unfunded liability can also grow due to overly
optimistic assumptions about
investmentgrowth, pension payments that become
deferred, and an increase in benefits or an increase in the number of
beneficiaries without a corresponding increase in contributions, Draine
explained.
Based on the Pew Center for the States report, “The
Widening Gap Update,” 24/7 Wall St. identified the nine states with public
pensions that were 60% or less funded as of 2010. From the report, we
considered the total outstanding liability, the total amount funded, and the
proportion of the recommended contribution each state made in 2010. We also
reviewed the level of funding for the 100 largest pension funds in each
state, provided by Milliman’s Public Pension Fund Study, which covered a
period from June 30, 2009, to January 1, 2011.
TOPICS: Bonds, Business Ethics, GAAP, Governmental Accounting,
Pension Accounting
SUMMARY: "The Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday charged
Illinois with securities fraud.... [alleging] the state failed to adequately
disclose to investors the risks of its underfunded pensions systems." The
SEC concurrently announced a settlement in the case and the related video
clearly shows one WSJ editor thinks very little of that development. He also
refers to governmental financial reports in general as "fraudulent." A
related graphic shows that Illinois has some of the lowest levels of funding
in the nation for its retirement plans.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a governmental
accounting course when covering pension accounting or simply to emphasize
the importance of the comprehensive annual financial report and disclosures
by governmental entities. It may also be used in an ethics course covering
responsibility for clarity in financial reporting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What wrongful act does the Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC) accuse the state of Illinois?
2. (Introductory) What is the focus of the SEC's responsibilities
over the problem in Illinois?
3. (Advanced) Summarize the requirements in accounting for pension
liabilities that states and other governmental entities must follow. In your
answer, state the authoritative source for those requirements.
4. (Advanced) Access the State of Illinois Comprehensive Annual
Financial Report (CAFR) located on its web site at
http://www.ioc.state.il.us/index.cfm/linkservid/9BE62AD6-1CC1-DE6E-2F48A7172B174FA2/showMeta/0/
Refer to the report for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2010. Scroll down to
the Comptroller's transmittal letter beginning on page v, and further to her
discussion of Factors Affecting Financial Condition, beginning on page vii,
to Pensions discussed on page viii. How did the State of Illinois make its
legally required contribution to the pension fund in 2010? Does that funding
source concern you? Answer the question as if you were a citizen of the
State of Illinois and if you were an employee, such as a teacher or a
university professor, active in the state retirement system.
5. (Advanced) Scroll further down to the Management Discussion and
Analysis, to page 15 and the section entitled Retirement Systems. Besides
bond indebtedness, what is the largest liability facing the State of
Illinois? How do the amounts stated in this discussion compare to the
amounts reported in the WSJ article?
6. (Advanced) According to the WSJ article, a goal of defined
benefit retirement systems such as those in the State of Illinois is to be
90% funded. When does the State of Illinois expect to reach that goal?
7. (Advanced) According to the article, Elaine Greenberg of the SEC
said that the State of Illinois did not follow required governmental
accounting standards. Scroll back up to access the auditor's report for the
State of Illinois, just following the transmittal letter. Who conducts the
audit? Is there any indication that the state did not follow required
accounting standards? Support your answer.
8. (Introductory) Refer to the related video featuring one of the
WSJ Editors and to the related Opinion page article. What do the WSJ Editors
conclude about the SEC's actions in this case?
9. (Advanced) Based on the discussion in the articles, the related
video, and your knowledge of pension accounting requirements, what are the
areas of judgment that might mean the problem of underfunding in Illinois,
and elsewhere, could be even worse than currently estimated?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
RELATED ARTICLES:
SEC v Illinois by Review & Outlook Opinion Page Editors
Mar 13, 2013
Page: A14
For years, Illinois officials misled investors and
shortchanged the state pension system, leaving future generations of
taxpayers to foot the bill, U.S. securities regulators allege.
The Securities and Exchange Commission on Monday
charged Illinois with securities fraud, marking only the second time the
agency has filed civil-fraud charges against a state.
But the agency and the state also announced that a
settlement had already been reached in which Illinois won't pay a penalty or
admit wrongdoing.
The action was part of a broader push by the SEC to
bring greater transparency and accountability to the municipal-bond market,
as the agency alleged the state failed to adequately disclose to investors
the risks of its underfunded pensions systems.
The action also shows in detail how political
decisions left the state with only 40 cents of assets for every dollar of
pension liabilities—a financial hole Illinois officials are now scrambling
to fill.
Yet no matter how harmful the pension practices
were to the state's finances, SEC officials say they could only pursue
charges against Illinois for what it failed to tell bond investors, who
bought bonds worth $2.2 billion.
Most states comply with governmental accounting
standards, which "Illinois did not follow," Elaine Greenberg, head of the
SEC's municipal securities and public pensions unit, said in an interview.
"But the SEC cannot order a state to follow any particularly methodology."
Governor Pat Quinn's Office of Management and
Budget said the state has been working to enhance its disclosure practices
since 2009.
States and cities across the U.S. face high pension
costs. Rallying investment returns have helped make up the shortfalls at
some plans, but others have cut benefits to workers to fill the deficit.
Illinois has one of the most underfunded pension
systems in the U.S.
The SEC's 11-page, cease-and-desist order reveals
new details about the financial and legislative practices that led to the
state's current predicament.
The state's five public-employee pension plans
manage the retirement benefits for clerical workers, teachers, judges,
college professors and lawmakers. Collectively, their funding level stands
at 40%. Nationally, the average funding level is about 75%.
The SEC settlement comes as Mr. Quinn, a Democrat,
has pushed repeatedly to overhaul the state's pension system. Spiraling
pension costs threaten to crowd out spending on other state services and are
a major factor in Illinois's low credit rating. Standard & Poor's Ratings
Services cut Illinois's rating one notch to A- in January, making it the
lowest-rated U.S. state by S&P.
"This is one more weight on the scale," Illinois
State Senator Daniel Biss, a Democrat, said of the SEC order.
But an overhaul, which could result in deep cuts
for current workers and retirees, has remained elusive. Workers have argued
that they shouldn't bear the burden for past mistakes.
The problems date back to 1994, when Illinois
lawmakers passed a funding plan that would allow the state to amortize, or
spread the pension costs, over 50 years. Most pensions use a 30-year
amortization period. More
Heard: Muni Market Still in Need of a Minder
State officials also ignored the common practice of
calculating contributions to the plans based on what is known as the
"Actuarially Required Contribution."
Instead, Illinois left it to lawmakers to decide
how much to contribute to the funds each year.
In some years, the state took "pension holidays,"
lowering its planned pension contributions by about half.
By 2009, actuaries and a consultant hired by the
state began warning that the underfunding could lead to the system's
insolvency, according to the SEC order.
The consultant said in a document that the state's
pension system was so underfunded that it would likely "never be able to
afford the level of contributions" required to reach 90% funded.
Yet, these concerns weren't disclosed to investors
in bond-offering documents, the SEC said.
As it prepared its bond documents, the state made
little effort to collect "potentially pertinent" information from the
pension system's actuaries, the SEC said.
The state said it had worked to improve its
practices after the SEC cited New Jersey for pension-disclosure issues in
August 2010.
The SEC accused New Jersey of allegedly misleading
investors that the state was adequately funding two of its pension
systems—the agency's first securities-fraud case against a state. The SEC
said the state didn't disclose that it had abandoned a five-year plan to
fund the pension plans. New Jersey neither admitted nor denied wrongdoing
but said it would improve its disclosures.
When New Jersey settled with the SEC, it didn't pay
a fine, either. The SEC often doesn't fine governments because the costs are
ultimately borne by taxpayers, according to people familiar with the
agency's practices. In its Illinois order, the SEC noted that the state had
taken steps to improve its disclosures, including the creation of a special
"disclosure committee" that will sign off on bond-offering disclosures.
Illinois expects to sell approximately $500 million
in bonds in early April, a state official said Monday. The sale was put off
in January when S&P downgraded the state's credit rating.
SUMMARY: "Hostess Brands Inc. said it used wages that were supposed
to help fund employee pensions for the company's operations as it sank
toward bankruptcy....Hostess had 115 different collective-bargaining
agreements with employees represented by the bakers union. Each contract let
those workers choose an amount of wages to direct to the pension plan. For
example, John Jordan, a union official and former Hostess employee, said
workers at a Hostess factory in Biddeford, Maine, agreed to plow 28 cents of
their 30-cents-an-hour wage increase in November 2010 into the pension plan.
Hostess was supposed to take the additional 28 cents an hour and contribute
it to the workers' pension plan....[However, ] in the five months before
this past January's bankruptcy filing, the company missed payments to
the...pension fund totaling $22.1 million...After that, forgone pension
payments added up at a rate of $3 million to $4 million a month...As the
company's financial condition deteriorated, 'whatever cash it had was being
used to fund the business, to keep it afloat'...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used to discuss issues in
payroll accounting and cash flows.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Summarize the payroll accounting process, showing a
basic journal entry for a weekly payroll and describing the calculation that
supports the entry.
2. (Advanced) What is the difference between gross and net pay?
What must a company do with federal income taxes and other items withheld
from gross pay?
3. (Introductory) What was Hostess supposed to do with the amounts
withheld from employee wages for pension plan contributions? What did the
company do instead?
4. (Introductory) According to a letter from the former chief
executive officer (CEO) of Hostess, Brian Driscoll, why did Hostess
"temporarily suspend" its contributions to the employees' pension plans?
5. (Advanced) Now that Hostess has filed for bankruptcy, what do
you think is the status of the withheld wages that were not paid over to the
employees' pension funds?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Hostess Brands Inc. said it used wages that were
supposed to help fund employee pensions for the company's operations as it
sank toward bankruptcy.
It isn't clear how many of the Irving, Texas,
company's workers were affected by the move or how much money never wound up
in their pension plans as promised.
After the company said in August 2011 that it would
stop making pension contributions, the foregone wages weren't put toward the
pension. Nor were they restored.
The maker of Twinkies, Ho-Hos and Wonder Bread
filed for bankruptcy protection in January and shut down last month
following a strike by one of the unions representing Hostess workers. A
judge is overseeing the sale of company assets.
Gregory Rayburn, Hostess's chief executive officer,
said in an interview it is "terrible" that employee wages earmarked for the
pension were steered elsewhere by the company.
"I think it's like a lot of things in this case,"
he added. "It's not a good situation to have."
Mr. Rayburn became chief executive in March and
learned about the issue shortly before the company shut down, he said.
"Whatever the circumstances were, whatever those decisions were, I wasn't
there," he said.
A spokeswoman for Hostess's previous top executive,
Brian Driscoll, declined to comment.
Hostess hasn't previously acknowledged that the
foregone wages went toward its operations.
The maneuver probably doesn't violate federal law
because the money Hostess failed to put into the pension didn't come
directly from employees, experts said.
"It's what lawyers call betrayal without remedy,"
said James P. Baker, a partner at Baker & McKenzie LLP who specializes in
employee benefits and isn't involved in the Hostess case. "It's sad, but
that stuff does happen, unfortunately."
The decision to cease pension contributions angered
many employees. After the bankruptcy filing, Hostess tangled with the
International Brotherhood of Teamsters and the Bakery, Confectionery,
Tobacco and Grain Millers International Union to renegotiate labor
contracts.
While the Teamsters union agreed in September to a
compromise, resistance from the bakers union was fierce.
Halted pension contributions were a major factor in
the bakers union's refusal to make a deal with the company. After a U.S.
bankruptcy judge granted Hostess's request to impose a new contract, the
union's employees went on strike. Hostess then moved to liquidate the
company.
The bakers union represented about 5,600 of the
company's 18,500 employees.
"The company's cessation of making pension
contributions was a critical component of the bakers' decision" to walk off
the job, said Jeffrey Freund, a lawyer for the union.
"If they had continued to fund the pension, I think
we'd still be working there today," said Craig Davis, a 44-year-old forklift
operator who loaded trucks with Twinkies, cupcakes and sweet rolls at an
Emporia, Kan., bakery, for nearly 22 years.
Hostess's retirees receive payments mostly from
so-called multiemployer pension plans. Such pensions get contributions from
various companies in a particular industry. Hostess's pension plans still
are making payouts to retirees.
Most companies provide pensions through
single-employer plans that they fund themselves. When companies with these
plans file for bankruptcy protection, they sometimes terminate the plans,
leading the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp., the government agency that
insures corporate pensions, to take over the plans and make payouts to their
retirees.
With the multiemployer plans from which most
Hostess retirees receive benefits, the PBGC doesn't step in unless the plans
become insolvent. If that happened, the PBGC would send roughly $12,870 for
each employee with at least 30 years of service, according to an agency
spokesman.
The Bakery & Confectionary Union & Industry
International Pension Fund, the largest fund covering Hostess bakers, was
72% funded when Hostess stopped making contributions, the company said.
Teamster-represented employees at Hostess didn't
contribute a portion of their wages toward pensions, a union spokesman said.
But among workers in the bakers union, it was "standard practice," said Mr.
Rayburn, Hostess's CEO.
Hostess had 115 different collective-bargaining
agreements with employees represented by the bakers union. Each contract let
those workers choose an amount of wages to direct to the pension plan.
For example, John Jordan, a union official and
former Hostess employee, said workers at a Hostess factory in Biddeford,
Maine, agreed to plow 28 cents of their 30-cents-an-hour wage increase in
November 2010 into the pension plan.
Hostess was supposed to take the additional 28
cents an hour and contribute it to the workers' pension plan.
"This local was very aggressive about saving for
the future," he said.
Employees in Biddeford began directing wages toward
pensions in 1955, and the amount grew to $4.28 an hour per employee.
Amounts varied by location, and it isn't clear how
many unionized employee groups participated in the arrangement.
In five months before this past January's
bankruptcy filing, the company missed payments to the main baker pension
fund totaling $22.1 million, Mr. Freund said. After that, forgone pension
payments added up at a rate of $3 million to $4 million a month until
Hostess formally rejected its contracts with the union. The figures include
company contributions and employee wages that were earmarked for the
pension, according to Mr. Freund.
How much will the underfunded pension benefits of
government employees cost taxpayers? The answer is usually given in
trillions of dollars, and the implications of such figures are difficult for
most people to comprehend. These calculations also generally reflect only
legacy liabilities — what would be owed if pensions were frozen today. Yet
with each passing day, the problem grows as states fail to set aside
sufficient funds to cover the benefits public employees are earning.
In a recent paper, we bring the problem closer to
home. We studied how much additional money would have to be devoted annually
to state and local pension systems to achieve full funding in 30 years, a
standard period over which governments target fully funded pensions. Or, to
put a finer point on it, we researched: How much will your taxes have to
increase?
Robert Novy-Marx is an assistant professor of finance at the
University of Rochester’s Simon Graduate School of Business. Joshua Rauh is
a professor of finance at the Stanford Graduate School of Business and a
senior fellow at the Hoover Institution.
We calculate increases in contributions required to
achieve full funding of state and local pension systems in the U.S. over 30
years. Without policy changes, contributions would have to increase by 2.5
times, reaching 14.1% of the total own-revenue generated by state and local
governments. This represents a tax increase of $1,385 per household per
year, around half of which goes to pay down legacy liabilities while half
funds the cost of new promises. We examine sensitivity to asset return
assumptions, wage correlations, the treatment of workers not currently in
Social Security, and endogenous geographical shifts
The growing debt crisis in public sector pensions
-- governments face a $757 billion shortfall in funding their retirement
promises, according to one estimate -- is coming at a time when
unprecedented numbers of baby boomers are reaching retirement age. About
10,000 members of that generation are turning 65 every day, according to the
Pew Research Data Center.
In better-funded pension plans, the slew of
retirements is a blip on the radar, a demographic shift that was foreseen
decades earlier and properly funded. But in shakier systems, the retirements
are being met with cuts to benefits across the board -- for new employees,
current workers and retirees alike -- benefits that were once considered
cast in stone. A generation of workers is now wondering if their pensions
will still be able to pump out the funds they need to pay the bills in
retirement.
"That's a very common worry, and it's wholly
justified," says
Olivia
Mitchell, a professor of business economics and
public policy, and executive director of Wharton's
Pension Research Council. "I think the whole
prospect of retirement has grown much riskier than for those in previous
generations. Employer-provided retiree medical plans are being cut; Medicare
as we know it is facing insolvency. People hoped to retire on their little
bit of savings that now is paying no interest, and Social Security is in bad
shape. Homes aren't worth what people thought they would be, so nest eggs
are a lot tinier.... It's not a very pretty picture for a lot of people."
Distributing the Pain
In defined benefit pension plans, retirees are paid
a fixed monthly amount every month until they die. Often the payments are
subject to cost-of-living raises, and most plans include a survivor's
benefit if the employee's spouse outlives him or her.
A defined contribution plan, like a 401(k), shifts
the retirement risk to the employee. Employers allow workers to contribute a
percentage of their salaries to the plan, and often match the contributions
up to a certain threshold. The plans are more portable than pensions,
allowing workers to move their investments as they switch jobs, but it is up
to the workers to save, manage their investments and then make sure their
nest eggs are sufficient for their retirement years.
Defined benefit pensions are generally confined to
the government sector now, as most private sector employers long ago
abandoned them for defined contribution plans. But many state governments
are currently facing pension funding obligations that are forcing lawmakers
to consider making changes. The rule -- sometimes unwritten and at other
times constitutionally codified -- had been that pension plan changes are
limited to those who have not been hired yet, or to employees who are early
in their public sector tenures.
"You don't like to change the rules of the game for
those who don't really have the ability to adjust. It's particularly painful
to make changes to people who are in retirement already or approaching
retirement," says Alicia Munnell, professor of management sciences at Boston
College's Carroll School of Management and director of the school's Center
for Retirement Research. "It is a worrisome thing to do."
But that's exactly what happened in Rhode Island.
In 2011, the state created a defined contribution system similar to a 401(k)
plan and forced all its current employees to enter into a system that
blended the two plans together. Cost-of-living raises for retirees were also
suspended for five years.
In other states, retiree costs are being managed by
creating new, cheaper pension plans for new employees. In some cases,
premiums are being driven up for retiree health care, which is generally not
given the same protection as pensions.
But the Rhode Island reforms -- which are being
challenged in court -- are seen as a template for other cash-strapped states
to model, giving rise to more fears that pension systems may not be as
unshakable as once thought. "Any change will hurt," Munnell says. "If you
were counting on your pension and the value is reduced, it can be a painful
adjustment."
Munnell also notes that the math in Rhode Island
allowed for few options. By Pew Center estimates, the state had only 49
cents on hand for every dollar owed to its retirees in 2010. In some cities,
the shortfall was even deeper. "The funding situation was so serious that if
something wasn't done with pensions, all the money would go there," Munnell
notes. "You wouldn't be able to have things like libraries or buses. When it
gets that dire, you have to distribute the pain broadly. It's not fair in
some sense to take away existing benefits, but when you're really suffering,
you have to do things you wouldn't normally."
Worse than Enron?
The decisions that led to today's crossroads began
decades ago.
For most plans, a secure funding model with
relatively low risk was never adopted, according to
Kent Smetters,
professor of business economics and public policy at Wharton. Instead,
politicians allowed the funds to broaden their investment policies beyond
government-backed bonds and at first dabble, then fully immerse themselves
in, the stock market and progressively riskier investment vehicles.
That allowed the plans to expand their retirement
benefits while, at least on paper, requiring no more funding from the
governments whose workers they served.
Smetters argues that the most grievous pension
funding error over the years has been assuming an unrealistically high
discount rate, or the rate at which funds can discount their future
liabilities. Also referred to as a fund's annual rate of return on its
investments, most funds assume a 7.5% return on the low end and 8.5% on the
high end. Many economists argue the fund liabilities should be discounted at
a rate closer to 3% or 4%.
Those assumptions open the funds up to higher
levels of investment risk and dramatically understate the liabilities owed.
According to the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, public
pension plans have on hand about 76 cents for every dollar they owe
retirees. Under more conservative accounting standards proposed by the
Government Accounting Standards Board -- an independent, seven-member
nonprofit board that sets generally accepted accounting principles for the
public sector -- that figure could drop to 57 cents on the dollar.
"State and local pensions are not covered under any
reasonable accounting standards," Smetters says. "Their accounting makes
Enron look pretty good."
Illinois, the U.S. state with the worst-funded
pension system, had the rating on its general- obligation debt cut one level
by Standard & Poor’s and may face more downgrades.
The change to an A rating followed state lawmakers’
failure to agree to reduce retirement costs during a special session Aug.
17. The outlook for the state’s debt, which now has S&P’s sixth-highest
grade, is negative. California, with an A-ranking, one level below Illinois,
remains S&P’s lowest-rated state.
Illinois has an unfunded pension liability of at
least $83 billion, according to state figures. It had 45 percent of what it
needed to pay future retiree obligations as of 2010, the lowest among U.S.
states, data compiled by Bloomberg show.
“The downgrade reflects the state’s weak pension
funding levels and lack of action on reform measures intended to improve
funding levels and diminish cost pressures associated with annual
contributions,” said Robin Prunty, an S&P analyst, in a report today.
Governor Pat Quinn said today he is inviting
legislative leaders to meet in early September to work on pension changes.
Lawmakers have considered boosting employee contributions, passing some
costs to local school districts and forcing workers to choose between the
current system and receiving free retirement health care. No Surprise
Quinn, a Democrat, said the rating cut wasn’t a
surprise.
Erasing the fifth-most populous state’s unfunded
pension liability “is vital to getting our financial house in order,” Quinn
said in a statement. “Today’s action by Standard & Poor’ is more evidence
that we must act.”
Illinois had about $28 billion of
general-obligation debt as of May 8, according to bond documents. The state
of about 13 million people plans to sell $50 million of debt next month for
technology projects, John Sinsheimer, the state’s director of capital
markets, said in an interview.
Taxpayers will pay more to issue debt because of
the lower rating, state Treasurer Dan Rutherford said in a statement.
“I urge the legislature to act decisively towards
comprehensive, constitutional and fair pension reforms that will reverse
this situation,” he said.
Jensen Comment
Unlike California, Illinois significantly increased corporate tax rates to deal
with its deficit. But this turned into a sham when Gov. Quinn commenced to grant
tax waivers to business firms (like Caterpillar) that threatened to relocate in
other states.
In my opinion, however, Illinois stands a much better chance than California
--- which by most accounts is a basket case.
Let’s begin with a brief review of the FASB’s
pension rules in ASR 715. The firm reports pension assets and liabilities
in the balance sheet, netted. The entity’s pension assets can include cash,
investments, and any other assets that are in the pension plan, and these
are valued at fair value. The firm also measures its liability, the
projected benefit obligation (PBO), which equals the present value of the
estimated pension cash outflows to retirees, which these former employees
have already earned. The pension assets and liabilities are then netted
against each other, yielding what we actually see on the balance sheet. If
assets exceed liabilities, the net amount is displayed in the asset section
of the balance sheet. If the liabilities are greater, the net amount is
shown in corporate liabilities.
In the income statement, the firm reports pension
expense, a complex amalgam quite different from pension contributions. GAAP
pension expense is defined as the period service cost (increase in PBO),
plus the period’s interest on the PBO, minus the expected (not actual)
return on the plan assets, less any amortization of prior service cost, and
finally, plus or minus any amortization of pension gains and losses. And as
we would expect from our accounting standard-setters, some items bypass the
income statement: prior service costs and pension gains and losses.
These two items are shown in the shareholders’ equity section of the balance
sheet, in accumulated other comprehensive income (loss). Given the
complexity of the FASB’s rules, the financial statements are supplemented
with an ever increasing myriad of footnote disclosures that describe various
details and assumptions so the reader can “better” assess the company’s
pension position.
While one can do a lot of analysis when it comes to
pension expense, our focus is on the interest cost and the expected
return on pension assets components. These two items warrant particular
scrutiny given management’s considerable discretion in their measurement,
and because changes in their measurements can have major effects on the
bottom line and on reported liabilities.
As stated before, the PBO is the present value of
estimated future retiree cash outflows discounted at some appropriate rate,
and the interest cost component of pension expense is that same assumed rate
multiplied by the beginning-of-the-year value of the PBO. Both items depend
on the assumed rate that is used. Not surprisingly, higher rates will lower
the PBO liability, but increase the interest charge, and related pension
expense.
From
Weyerhaeuser’s 2011 10-K footnote 8, one sees that
the firm applies a discount rate of 4.5% and obtains a PBO of $5,841 (all
dollar amounts in millions). (The 4.5% rate is for U.S. plans, while the
rate for Canadian plans is 4.9%). In his study, Gibbons created a sample of
354 companies, analyzed their 2011 pension disclosures, and found a median
discount rate of 4.75%. So, given the proximity of Weyerhaeuser’s discount
rate to the median rate, we are somewhat comfortable with Weyerhaeuser’s
choice.
However, if one is uncomfortable with a company’s
assumed rate, or if one desires to do a sensitivity analysis, there is an
easy tack to employ. Given that pension payouts already earned extend
several decades into the future, one can assume the debt is a perpetuity,
a stream of cash payments that continues forever. Since the present value
interest factors get pretty small 20 years out, and further, the error
should be relatively small. Then the value of an “adjusted” PBO would equal
the reported PBO times the reported rate divided by the “adjusted”
rate believed to be more realistic.
For example, let’s say we question the
reasonableness of Weyerhaeuser’s rate…let’s say we think it really should be
3.5%. What happens? Well, the PBO soars by almost 28.6% to $7,510:
(($5,841 X 4.5%) ÷
3.5%) = $7,510
Conversely, if we believe that the “adjusted” rate
should be 5.5%, the PBO liability drops 18.2% to $4,779.
(($5,841
X 4.5%) ÷ 5.5%) = $4,779
And if the “adjusted” rate is assumed to be 4.75%
(to standardize everybody’s rate and increase comparability given Gibbons’
study), the PBO value is $5,533. A change of merely one quarter of one
percent decreases the liability by $308, a change of 5.3%.
(($5,841
X 4.5%) ÷ 4.75%) = $5,533
These examples demonstrate the impact of the
discount rate on the projected benefit obligation and on the pension
expense. Given how easily managers can manipulate reported pension
liabilities, such a sensitivity analysis is an important aspect of pension
analysis.
The second big assumption that managers may not be
able to resist “tinkering” with is the expected rate of return on
the pension assets. Allegedly, the FASB employs the expected rate of return
(rather than the actual rate of return) to try to supply a long-term
perspective and smooth the pension costs.
The Government Accounting Standards Board has
issued new rules that aim to crystallize government pension liabilities. It
failed on that count, but it did succeed, albeit inadvertently, in making
the case for defined-contribution plans.
GASB, as it's known in the trade, sets accounting
guidelines for local governments. Since the board is run mainly by former
public officials, its standards are often low. The board also usually takes
several years to finalize rules, so it's often behind the times. Their new
rules concerning how governments discount their pension liabilities are a
case in point.
Financial economists have recommended for decades
that governments calculate pension liabilities using so-called "risk-free"
rates pegged to high-grade municipal bonds or long-term Treasurys. The
argument goes that since pensioners are de facto secured creditors—even
bankruptcy judges have been reluctant to slash retirement benefits—pensions
are riskless and therefore the liabilities should be discounted at risk-free
rates.
GASB's private cousin, the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB), began requiring corporations to discount their
pension liabilities with high-quality fixed income assets in the 1980s.
However, GASB let governments stick with their desired, er, expected rate of
return, which is typically about 8%. Public pension funds have returned 5.7%
on average since 2000. Achieving much higher returns over the long run would
require markets to perform as well as they did in the 1980s and '90s. Would
that be true.
Governments have resisted climbing down from
Fantasyland because using lower discount rates would explode their
liabilities. When the Financial Accounting Standards Board introduced its
risk-free rate guidelines, many companies shifted workers to 401(k)s because
they didn't want to report larger liabilities. Such defined-contribution
plans are by definition 100% pre-funded.
Prodded by economists and investors, GASB began
considering modifying its discount rate rules a few years ago. Public
pension funds, lawmakers and unions, however, pushed back hard against
suggestions that governments use risk-free rates, which could more than
double their liabilities. No surprise, the government troika won.
GASB's new rules allow governments to continue
discounting their liabilities at their anticipated rate of return so long as
they project enough future assets to cover their obligations. At the time
they forecast they'll run out of assets, they must begin discounting their
liabilities with a high-grade municipal bond rate. The idea is that
governments would have to issue bonds to pay retirees when their pension
funds go broke.
But few pension funds project that they'll run dry
since they're hooked up to a taxpayer IV. Those in really bad shape like
Chicago's will likely rig their investment and actuarial assumptions to
circumvent the new rules. FASB rejected similar guidelines in the 1980s
because they were too easy to dodge. The point here is that it's impossible
to get governments to come clean about their pension debt, and not just
because the union allies controlling pension funds have a vested interest in
obfuscating the liabilities.
In reality, nobody knows how much taxpayers will
owe because so much depends on inscrutable actuarial and economic factors
like interest rates 30 years from now (not even the Federal Reserve purports
to be that omniscient). Slight discrepancies in assumptions can yield huge
variations in estimated liabilities. One advantage of defined-contribution
plans is that they don't require governments to calculate their liabilities.
There are none.
International Business Machines Corp., IBM +0.56% a
bellwether for employee benefits, is overhauling its retirement program to
contribute once a year to employee 401(k) accounts in a lump-sum payment.
Starting next year, IBM's contributions, which
generally range from 6% to 10% of pay, will take place Dec. 31. Workers who
leave the company before Dec. 15 won't qualify for the match, unless they
retire.
IBM's switch is the latest in a series of moves big
companies have been making to rein in retirement-plan expenses in recent
years—and the financial implications for employees could be significant.
Many U.S. companies cut their 401(k) match in 2009
during the economic slowdown, and some of them have only partially restored
it. In 2011, 7% of employers made no contributions at all to their plans, up
from 2% in 2001, according to benefits consultant Aon AON +0.28% Hewitt.
Benefits experts say IBM's shift could start a
trend among other large employers. Earlier this year Ford Motor Co. F -0.62%
said it would offer retirees a lump-sum payout to offset its pension
obligations. General Motors Co. GM -1.72% and about a dozen other companies
quickly followed suit, according to the Pension Rights Center, a Washington,
D.C., advocacy group.
For IBM, the latest move could help save millions
of dollars a year in compensation expenses, and keep valued workers who want
to ensure they receive the match more tethered to their jobs—at least until
the end of a given year.
In 2011, it paid $875 million in matching and
automatic contributions.
The change "reflects our continuing commitment to
invest in our employee 401(k) plans while maintaining business
competitiveness in a challenging economic environment," IBM spokesman
Douglas Shelton said in a statement.
Financial planners say the lump-sum contributions
undermine one big advantage of 401(k) plans: "dollar-cost averaging," in
which investors are buying stock and bonds at multiple prices over time,
leveling out risk and return. It is a particular concern for older workers
who are closer to retirement and have less time to make up for short-term
losses, said Jason Chepenik, a certified financial planner and
retirement-plan consultant in Winter Park, Fla.
Some IBM employees are unhappy.
"It's a huge change," said Andy Maher, a
59-year-old IBM customer engineer in Victorville, Calif. Mr. Maher, who
started at the company in 1976, was an early adopter in the company's
retirement offerings, eventually increasing his savings to 12% of pretax pay
while raising five children.
Now, he said, he is concerned that "you lose a
whole year's worth of interest on that money. And if they lay you off Dec.
1, you don't get anything. It adds a whole other level of unnecessary
uncertainty."
All told, about 9% of employers pay out their
401(k) match once a year, according to Aon Hewitt. But most of those
employers have older plans that never switched to regular matches, said
Alison Borland, vice president of retirement solutions and strategies at Aon
Hewitt.
What is more, annual matches frequently are tied to
a company's profits, with workers getting a larger percentage when a company
does well and less when business wanes, said Brigitte Madrian, a professor
of public policy and corporate management at Harvard University's Kennedy
School of Government.
Ms. Madrian added that Labor Department and U.S.
Treasury officials "could be very interested in [IBM's move] and if they're
concerned about it, they could say, 'You can't do that.' " She said the
agencies could devise rules precluding IBM and other companies from
depriving employees who leave before a set date of their matching
contributions.
For now, the risk for employees in 401(k) plans is
that other companies will follow IBM's lead.
IBM, of Armonk, N.Y., fully replaced its
traditional pension with its 401(k) program in 2008, and was praised for
designing a plan with low fees, access to financial planners and generous
company contributions.
When companies are looking for ways to cut the cost
of their benefits, shifting to an annual match is often an idea that
consultants suggest, though it is "unusual for a company to make this move,"
Ms. Borland said.
"When a large organization like IBM makes the
change, others are going to watch and see, and if they're struggling with
the same issues from a cost-pressure perspective, and they are, it wouldn't
surprise me if other companies followed suit," she added.
In focus groups, Charles Schwab Corp. SCHW +1.01%
has found that 401(k) participants view the match as the "canary in the coal
mine," said Dave Gray, Schwab's vice president of 401(k) client experience.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
Ed Ketz writes about those "idiots in California"
"Whither Berkeley? Whither California?" by J. Edward Ketz, SmartPros, November
2009 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x68185.xml
SUMMARY: The article describes the Teachers' Retirement System of
the State of Illinois as "bullish" given its continuing use of 8.5% for its
estimated return on plan assets. The plan's Executive Director, Dick Ingram,
"sent a confidential memo to the pension fund's board that later became
public, warning that the state's unfunded pension liability was 'practically
unmanageable'."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article brings to light the judgment
involved in establishing expected rates of return; further, it emphasizes
the human resource implications of those issues in pension accounting and
funded status.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) In the opening line of the article, how does the
author describe the Teachers' Retirement System of the State of Illinois?
2. (Introductory) Based on the description in the article, how much
judgment is involved in determining the expected rate of return on pension
plan assets?
3. (Introductory) Review the graphic entitled "Off Target?" and
summarize in one or two sentences what is shown.
4. (Advanced) In general, what is the impact of the expected rate
of return on pension plan calculations and accounting?
5. (Advanced) What will be the impact on the estimated financial
status of the Illinois Teachers' Retirement System from this change in
expected rate of return?
6. (Advanced) What are the human resource issues that come from the
concerns expressed about the Illinois Teachers' Retirement System?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
One of the most bullish state pension funds is
finally acknowledging that its expectations of earning consistently high
returns on its investments may be unrealistic.
In another sign of the grim realities gripping
pension funds around the U.S., the Teachers' Retirement System of the State
of Illinois may lower the rate of return it expects to earn every year on
its $37 billion portfolio, according to its chief.
The rate, which has been 8.5% for the past 25
years, is one of the highest among U.S. state pension funds.
However, Dick Ingram, executive director of the
fund, said in an interview that may soon change.
"My guess is that [the rate of return] comes down,"
he said. "We are not immune from financial reality. We are looking at the
same numbers as everyone else."
Lowering the assumed return rate could increase
liabilities at the fund serving 101,000 retired public-school employees by
billions of dollars. The Illinois Teachers' Retirement System was 46% funded
as of June 30, 2011.
That means its assets as of that date covered just
46% of its long-term liabilities.
State pension funds in Illinois are among the
lowest funded in the U.S.
Mr. Ingram said the challenging near-term outlook
for returns on the pension fund's investments, which include stocks, bonds,
hedge funds and private-equity funds, makes it possible that actuaries will
recommend a cut in the annual-return target.
The fund has returned on average 9.3% annually over
the past 30 years.
But over the past decade, it has failed to hit its
annual return assumptions on average.
"The question is whether that is a good number for
the next 30 years," he said. "That is what we are wrestling with right
now.''
The change could come as early as August when the
pension fund's board meets.
Many large public-pension funds have bowed to the
pressures of slow economic growth and volatile markets.
Some of Illinois's other pension funds have lowered
their return assumptions in recent years.
Earlier this month, New Jersey officials approved
lowering the assumed rates of return at the state's pension funds to 7.95%
from 8.25%.
Mr. Ingram, who took over the helm of the Illinois
teachers fund in January 2011, has been sounding the alarm about the fund's
long-term health in the past six months.
He has been talking to teachers across Illinois
about the possibility that under one scenario, the pension fund could run
out of money by 2030.
"My son is a 27-year-old teacher in New
Hampshire,'' said Mr. Ingram, who used to run the Granite State's retirement
system. "If he was a teacher in Illinois I couldn't tell him that he would
be guaranteed to receive the pension he's been promised," he said.
This "new reality,'' as Mr. Ingram called it,
represents a change in tune for the pension director.
During his first year on the job, Mr. Ingram and
other officials at the fund blasted critics in letters to Illinois and
national newspaper editors.
One letter accused a critic of scaring teachers
into thinking their pensions could be cut.
But last fall, Mr. Ingram said he had a change of
heart when he began studying the state's budget problems.
He became persuaded that it was highly likely that
the state at some point wouldn't be able to make its required payments to
the pension plan.
In February of this year, he sent a confidential
memo to the pension fund's board that later became public, warning that the
state's unfunded pension liability was "practically unmanageable."
"I know teachers who think Dick Ingram should be
fired,'' said Dan Montgomery, president of the Illinois Federation of
Teachers, one of state's two large teacher unions.
"There was a sense that he was singing a new tune
that was leading down the path toward benefit cuts."
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New accounting rules that will stop companies from
padding their earnings statements with anticipated pension fund returns that
may never materialise will slash hundreds of millions of euros from the
profits of many European companies next year, according to Citi, the
investment bank.
A tightening of the International Accounting
Standards Board’s IAS 19 directive from 2013 will bar companies from using
the so-called “corridor rule”, which allows them to keep actuarial losses
suffered by their final salary pension schemes off their balance sheets.
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Companies will also have to align the forecast rate
of return from their pension fund assets with the discount rate used to
value future liabilities in their profit and loss accounts.
These factors will cut the annual pre-tax profits
of companies such as Nestlé, Fiat, BT, Siemens, Philips, Credit Suisse,
National Grid, BAE Systems, Michelin and Akzo Nobel by more than €100m, said
Citi.
The US bank foresaw a hit of €780m at
Alcatel-Lucent, the French telecoms group, more than erasing consensus
forecasts for a pre-tax profit of €509m in 2013/14. In the UK, transport
companies exposed to the £20bn Railways Pension Scheme are among those seen
as likely to be worst hit, with the rule changes seen cutting earnings by
28.8 per cent at FirstGroup, 19.3 per cent at Go-Ahead Group and 12.2 per
cent at Stagecoach.
Many of these companies set the expected rate of
return on their pension fund assets 1-2 percentage points higher than their
discount rate, which is the yield on high-quality corporate bonds. For
Alcatel-Lucent and Fiat, which has a pension deficit larger than its market
capitalisation, the gap is 2.5 points.
“The current IAS 19 accounting requirement usually
flatters the earnings of companies with large pension schemes,” said Neil
Dawson, an analyst at Citi. “We do not think this accounting change has been
widely factored into earnings forecasts at this stage.”
Both KPMG and Aon Hewitt said the accounting change
was likely to wipe around £10bn from the annual profits of companies in the
UK, where pension funds’ equity holdings are a relatively high 40 per cent.
“There will be a handful of companies that are
heavily impacted because [their pension funds] are heavily invested in
equities. There may be a few surprises, in terms of how much of the profit
was coming from the pension scheme,” said Mike Smedley, partner at KPMG.
Eric Steedman, senior international consultant at
Towers Watson, added: “For the majority it will decrease earnings because
they will no longer be able to allow, in the P&L, for an assumed
outperformance of riskier assets,” although it will increase earnings for a
minority of companies that largely hold government bonds in their schemes,
he added.
As a result the changes may accelerate the pension
schemes’ ongoing switch out of equities and into lower risk assets.
“If you can no longer have access to a higher
expected return on assets because you have risk-seeking assets then you have
less incentive to take risk,” said Deborah Cooper, partner at Mercer.
However Ms Cooper believed the outlawing of the
corridor approach would have more impact on the continent, where the
technique is more prevalent.
“In continental Europe they are more likely to have
used a corridor approach. They will have to start to recognise immediately
the entire effect on their balance sheet and that will be an ongoing
volatility on their balance sheet that they did not have before.”
Continued in article
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 9, 2012
SUMMARY: "At some of the country's top [law] firms, younger lawyers
will foot the bill for deluxe pension plans that could drag down their own
earnings for years to come....Partners at some elite firms are often
entitled to between 20% to 30% of their peak pay after retirement-in many
cases, for life, according to partners and law firm consultants." These
defined benefit pension plans are usually unfunded, "instead, most law firms
with such plans pay the benefits as they go, using a portion of their
current profits." Yet "...the corporate legal industry is finding it harder
than ever to boost earnings....[and] firms are under mounting pressure to
lower their billing rates."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to encourage students
to think about pension plan obligations when those benefits are not funded,
leading into a useful discussion about presentation of a plan with a funded
status.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) As stated in the article, the issues facing
prestigious law firms "mirror the similar problems across the U.S." What has
happened to pension plans at many U.S. companies?
2. (Advanced) What does it mean to fund a pension plan and, in
contrast, to "pay as you go"?
3. (Introductory) "According to one estimate by law firm consultant
Peter Giuliani, the current pension liability at a typical large New York
firm with an unfunded plan could amount to $200 million, if the firm had to
make the total payout today." How is such an amount calculated?
4. (Advanced) Refer again to the estimate for law firms' obligation
to pay future pension benefits. If you could view these law firms' financial
statements, would this amount be included? If so, where? Explain your
reasoning.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Retirement should be a happy time for a generation
of baby boom-era lawyers near the end of their working lives. Less joy may
await the partners they'll leave behind.
At some of the country's top firms, younger lawyers
will foot the bill for deluxe pension plans that could drag down their own
earnings for years to come.
These pensions are largely unfunded: there is no
money saved to pay retirees. Instead, most law firms with such plans pay the
benefits as they go, using a portion of their current profits.
Partners at some elite firms are often entitled to
between 20% to 30% of their peak pay after retirement—in many cases, for
life, according to partners and law firm consultants. For the most
profitable firms, that could mean payments of $400,000 to $600,000 a year
per retired lawyer.
Many law firms have moved to phase out unfunded
pension plans. But those that haven't must pay them at a time when the
corporate legal industry is finding it harder than ever to boost earnings.
While law-firm profits are slowly improving after the recession, earnings
have lagged behind previous years. Firms are under mounting pressure to
lower their billing rates.
Given those conditions, "it creates a significant
burden on the younger partners," says Dan DiPietro, chairman of Citi Private
Bank's law-firm group.
The pension plans were devised decades earlier when
life expectancy was lower and firms had fewer partners. That was before tax
law changes in the 1980s made other retirement options more attractive for
lawyers and law firms. But these pensions are still offered by a core slice
of the most profitable law firms in the country, such as Gibson Dunn &
Crutcher LLP and Davis Polk & Wardwell LLP.
Few attorneys will complain as long as profits keep
up. The trouble starts if payments to retirees grow faster than profits.
"It's a real problem in this environment for a law
firm to pay 10 or 15 cents out of every dollar of revenue to partners who
have retired from the law firm," says a senior partner at one firm with a
generous pension plan.
Some managing partners at elite firms that still
offer generous pensions say that such plans help build loyalty and retain
top talent. "Partners take comfort in the fact that it is there. I think
it's an important part of our culture," said Kenneth Doran, managing partner
at Gibson Dunn & Crutcher.
The pensions often come on top of other retirement
programs, such as 401Ks, in which participants save for their retirement by
putting away a portion of their earnings on a tax-deferred basis (often with
a company match). Some firms also have profit-sharing plans.
In its own way, the future liabilities for some top
law firms mirror similar problems across the U.S. Benefits promised in more
stable economic times seem increasingly unsustainable today. From General
Motors Co. and AT&T Inc. to cash-strapped local governments employing public
workers, pension liability is becoming a growing concern as the retiree pool
swells.
"It's the same thing you had with pensions in the
private sector, where it was all defined benefits and companies were going
bankrupt," says James Jones, a former managing partner at Arnold & Porter
LLP who is now a senior fellow at Georgetown University's Center for the
Study of the Legal Profession.
Among law firms, hefty pension obligations also can
jettison potential mergers or compound financial woes. For instance, some
blamed the 2009 collapse of the Philadelphia firm Wolf, Block, Schorr &
Solis-Cohen LLP—which followed a failed merger attempt in 2008—in part on
its leadership's refusal to scale back their unfunded pension plan.
At Gibson Dunn, partners who serve there for 20
years get a retirement benefit at age 60 that pays out 20% of their top
compensation. At current profits, that could amount to $500,000 a year for
eight years or life—whichever is longer. Surviving spouses would get the
remaining benefit should a partner die before the eight years are up.
Gibson Dunn reported record earnings in 2011, with
gross revenue of $1.7 billion and average profit per partner at $2.47
million. Mr. Doran says his firm guards against burdening active partners
with "runaway obligations" by capping pension payments at 6% of the firm's
net income.
Just how large such obligations loom is difficult
to determine. U.S. law firms don't disclose financial details. Few lawyers
feel comfortable discussing the subject of partner retirement benefits.
Top firms with unfunded pensions include Cleary
Gottlieb Steen & Hamilton LLP; Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP; Debevoise &
Plimpton LLP; Fried, Frank, Harris, Shriver & Jacobson LLP; and Milbank,
Tweed, Hadley & McCloy LLP, according to data compiled by the American
Lawyer magazine. Those firms declined to comment.
According to one estimate by law firm consultant
Peter Giuliani, the current pension liability at a typical large New York
firm with an unfunded plan could amount to $200 million—if the firm had to
make the total payout today.
His calculations are based on a firm of 175
partners with an equity stake and average annual earnings of $2 million per
partner, with about 20% of the partners near retirement age. The pension
would pay out over two decades. That liability could be much higher at the
most profitable firms, according to several people with knowledge of
finances at some top law firms.
Continued in article
Fair Value Accounting Triples Pension Plan Deficits
The
hole in the pension plans of US labour unions now
stands at $369bn
Credit Suisse has calculated with the aid of new
reporting standards. This raises the prospect of higher pension
contributions for employers and deteriorating industrial relations.
Multi-employer pension schemes, managed by trade
unions on behalf of members working for many different employers, are now
just 52 per cent funded, the bank calculates with m ost of the burden to
close this gap likely to fall on small and midsize companies.
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S&P 500 companies’ share of this obligation is
estimated at just $43bn. However Credit Suisse identifies seven large
companies in the S&P, including Safeway and UPS, where the pension liability
is a significant proportion of their market capitalisation.
There is also a “last man standing” risk for
companies if other contributors to a fund fail. In 2007 it cost UPS $6.1bn
to withdraw entirely from the Central States Pension Fund, capping its
liability.
More than 10m people are covered by such
multi-employer schemes with contribution rates typically set by the
collective bargaining agreements that cover pay, benefits and working
conditions. Membership of these funds, and the businesses contributing to
them, tend to be concentrated in industries with highly unionised
workforces, such as construction, transport, retail and hospitality.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board, which
regulates reporting of US pensions, now requires companies to disclose more
details about their involvement with such plans in their annual regulatory
filings.
Credit Suisse combined these with separate filings
from over 1,350 multi-employer plans. “FASB provided the key to unlocking
the door”, said David Zion, head of accounting research for the bank.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis has announced that,
beginning in 2013, the National Income and Product Accounts of the United
States will calculate defined-benefit pension liabilities—and the income
flowing to employees in those plans—on an accrual basis that reflects the
value of benefits promised, regardless of the contributions made by
employers today.
The bureau's reasoning is a 2009 research paper
stating that "if the assets of a defined benefit plan are insufficient to
pay promised benefits, the plan sponsor must cover the shortfall. This
obligation represents an additional source of pension wealth for
participants in an underfunded plan." At current interest rates, this
adjustment would roughly double reported compensation paid through public
pensions.
The Congressional Budget Office endorsed a similar
approach last month in a new report on federal employee compensation. The
report—which congressional Democrats reportedly hoped would debunk our 2011
paper on federal pay—found that the federal retirement package of pensions
plus retiree health care was 3.5 times more generous than private-sector
plans, contributing to a 16% average federal compensation premium.
Even more recently, an analysis by two Bureau of
Labor Statistics economists, published in the winter 2012 Journal of
Economic Perspectives, concluded that the salary and current benefits of
state and local government employees nationwide are 10% and 21% higher,
respectively, than private-sector employees doing similar work. This study
didn't even factor in the market value of public-pension benefits, nor did
it include the value of retiree health coverage.
Basic fairness requires that public employees be
paid for their skills at the same market rates as the taxpayers who fund
their salaries and benefits. In some states accommodations have been struck,
but in others further confrontation remains likely.
Reformers will have more help in those battles
ahead. Academic economists, the Federal Reserve, the Bureau of Economic
Analysis, and the Congressional Budget Office have all thrown their weight
behind proper pension valuation. It will now be that much harder for
public-employee unions and their advocates to deny the obvious.
Business groups are urging Congress to let
employers put less money into their pension funds, saying that exceptionally
low interest rates are forcing them to set aside too much cash.
A provision attached to the Senate highway bill
would change the formula many large companies, including General Electric
Co., Boeing Co. and Lockheed Martin Corp., must use to calculate how much to
add to their pension funds, potentially shrinking their combined
contributions by billions of dollars a year.
Though its chances of becoming law aren't clear,
the measure holds appeal in Congress because it would increase the
government's near-term revenues, offsetting some of the costs of the highway
bill. Setting aside less for pensions would leave companies with smaller tax
deductions, requiring them to pay about $7.1 billion more in taxes over 10
years than under current law, according to Congress's Joint Committee on
Taxation. [PENSIONS]
The proposed change would apply to private-sector
defined-benefit pension plans, which promise a specified amount of
retirement pay. Though millions of Americans are covered by such plans,
their prevalence has declined in past decades as companies have shifted to
401(k)s and other retirement plans that don't guarantee payouts.
Labor unions are open to changing the contribution
formula, but say that Congress shouldn't allow companies to underfund their
pension plans, as has happened already in some cases.
Companies with defined-benefit plans are required
to use a "discount rate," based on a specific mix of corporate bond yields
over the past two years, to help determine how much to contribute to their
plans each year to meet their obligations. The rate varies by company.
Since companies use the discount rate to calculate
the present value of benefits it owes retired workers in the future, the
lower the rate, the more the company must contribute to its plans. GE said
in its annual report that its 2011 pension expenses rose by about $7.4
billion because its discount rate dropped to 4.2% at the end of 2011 from
5.3% at the end of 2010.
GE didn't comment beyond the annual report.
Business groups argue that the two-year window used
in the current discount-rate formula is too narrow, leaving companies
vulnerable to short-term swings in interest rates.
The provision in the highway bill would extend the
window, keeping the discount rate within 15% of an average of corporate bond
rates over the preceding 10 years. A coalition including the U.S. Chamber of
Commerce, National Association of Manufacturers, American Benefits Council
and the ERISA Industry Committee is pushing to calculate the discount rate
over a longer time period, keeping it within 10% of a 25-year average.
Continued in article
Question
What do American Airlines pensions have to do with funding of the Iraq war?
Answer
Plenty, but who knows why?
A pension measure tucked into last month’s Iraq war
spending bill is causing some leading members of Congress to complain that
American Airlines got a break worth almost $2 billion without proper scrutiny.
The measure will allow American to greatly reduce its payments into its pension
fund over the next 10 years. At the end of 2006, the fund had assets of $8.5
billion and needed an additional $2.5 billion to cover all its obligations. The
new provision will allow American to recalculate those numbers, so that the
shortfall disappears and the plan looks fully funded. Continental, along with a
small number of regional airlines and a caterer, will also be able to take
advantage of the provision. But American, the nation’s largest airline, is by
far the biggest beneficiary, according to government calculations. Some
lawmakers who would normally be involved in tax and pension measures say they
were shut out of the process.
Mary Williams Walsh, "Pension Relief for Airlines Faulted by Some Legislators,"
The New York Times, June 21, 2007 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/21/business/21pension.html?ref=business
Jensen Comment
This was not enough to save AMR. American Airlines eventually declared
bankruptcy in 2011.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 9, 2012
SUMMARY: This is the third in a series of articles this week on
pension plans. "AMR Corp., which told employees at its American Airlines
unit five weeks ago that it intended to terminate their four underfunded
pension plans, reversed course Wednesday and said it has found a solution
that would allow it to pursue a freeze of three of the plans." The article
describes the unfunded status of the plans and the Pension Benefit Guaranty
Corp. reaction to the company's plans.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article covers AMR Corp.'s unfunded
pension plans and the company's planned action as it proceeds through
bankruptcy court, again useful in covering pension accounting and reporting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What is AMR Corp.? What event is this company
currently going through?
2. (Introductory) What is the funded status of AMR Corp.'s pension
plans? Summarize this answer numerically, based on information in the
article.
3. (Introductory) How many pension plans does AMR Corp. have? What
difference among these plans is leading the company to treat them
differently?
4. (Advanced) What is the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. (PBGC)?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
AMR Corp., which last month told employees at its
American Airlines unit that it intended to terminate their four underfunded
pension plans, reversed course Wednesday, saying it had found a solution
that would let workers covered by three of the plans keep the benefits they
have accrued so far.
The company's decision to freeze, rather than
terminate, the three plans could help the carrier win cost-saving
concessions in negotiations with its unions, but it also will require AMR to
seek an unspecified amount of new capital during its bankruptcy proceedings.
The fourth pension plan, which covers American's
pilots, is more problematic, the company said in letters to employees
Wednesday. But AMR said it is committed to working with the pilots union,
the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. and other creditors to find alternatives
to terminating it.
AMR filed for bankruptcy protection in late
November and has identified $2 billion in annual cost-savings it says it
must achieve as part of its reorganization. Of that sum, it is targeting
$1.25 billion from employees. The new tack on pensions doesn't mean it will
raise its employee cost-savings target, AMR said, but it adds to the urgency
of winning those savings. without delay
Jeff Brundage, American's senior vice president of
human resources, said freezing the three plans would require AMR to seek out
new capital, as part of its plan of reorganization, to cover the cost of
funding the frozen plans and help reduce the pension liabilities it will
continue to have on its balance sheet. Freezing the plans means management
and nonunion employees, flight attendants and mechanics and ramp workers
would retain the full value of the benefits they accrued before the freeze
date.
Enlarge Image AMR AMR Bloomberg News
American's Jeff Brundage says the company's plan
calls for new capital.
Those defined-benefit plans, which promise a set
level of payments, would then been succeeded by 401(k) plans, with employees
managing their own investments and without guaranteed payouts.
The pilots pension plan poses a thornier problem
for the company because it allows pilots to elect a lump-sum pension payment
when they retire.
AMR is concerned that when it emerges from court
restructuring, a potential mass exodus of pilots seeking to receive lump
sums from a frozen plan would have "a severe, detrimental impact on our
operations, and (that) is a risk the company simply cannot afford to take,"
Mr. Brundage said.
More than half the carrier's 10,000 pilots are
currently eligible to retire. "Unless we are able to address the lump-sum
issue, a freeze scenario cannot even be considered." But the company will
continue to look for options that would allow it to freeze the pilot's plan
as well, he said.
The PBGC, a government insurer of private-sector
pension plans, has been urging AMR for the past three months to find a way
to retain its pension plans and not dump them on the agency, leaving some
workers and retirees to receive less than they would otherwise.
On Wednesday, Josh Gotbaum, the PBGC's director,
called American's new approach "great progress and good news." Bankruptcy
forces tough choices, he said, "but that doesn't mean pensions must be
sacrificed for companies to succeed." More
Air France Faces Turbulent Turnaround
The Middle Seat: The Cost of Leaving Devices on
American's four plans cover 130,000 workers and
retirees. The PBGC estimates the plans have assets of $8.3 billion to cover
about $18.5 billion in benefits. If AMR terminated the plans with the assent
of the bankruptcy judge, the PBGC would assume their assets and most of
their liabilities and be responsible for paying benefits to American
retirees. But the PBGC already has a record $26 billion deficit.
American is hoping to get concessions in new labor
contracts with its unions to achieve the targeted cost savings. Among the
givebacks the company is seeking are an end to retiree medical benefits, the
elimination of 13,000 jobs, closure of a maintenance base and increased
productivity from its workers through more hours flown per month and other
measures. The negotiations haven't gone well, leading to finger pointing on
both sides.
The Fort Worth, Texas, company has criticized its
unions for dawdling, and the unions have complained that the company isn't
negotiating in good faith. If they can't agree, American has said it will
make a case in bankruptcy court that its current labor agreements be
abrogated so the company can impose the new terms on its unionized workers.
Mr. Brundage said Wednesday that the change in the
pension strategy "would remove a major obstacle to reaching consensual
agreements and help to spark needed urgency at the bargaining table." He
said the company and the Transport Workers Union, which faces the potential
for 9,000 job cuts, already have reached tentative agreement on a pension
freeze. The executive said AMR hopes for a similar outcome with flight
attendants.
The TWU "drew a line in the sand" and said a
pension termination was "totally unacceptable," said James C. Little,
international president of the union. The TWU proposed a pension freeze
instead, and AMR agreed to drop its demand for an additional $600 million to
$800 million in concessions, he said, which the company claimed was the cost
of a pension-plan freeze.
Jensen Comment
Recall that it was FAS 106 that broke new ground in the booking of
post-unemployment benefits other than pensions. Before FAS 106, companies that
had made lifetime medical insurance coverage and other retirement promises to
employees and their spouses often did not even know internally what the
magnitude of the liabilities and, accordingly, did not book these liabilities on
the balance sheet or even disclose them in footnotes.
It was a real shock to management to discover the magnitude of these
obligations as well as a shock to Debt/Equity ratios when these obligations were
at last booked under FAS 106 mandates.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on April 9, 2010
SUMMARY: AT&T
changed its defined benefit pension plan to a cash balance plan in 1998. A
long-running case by 24,000 current and former employees seeks one of the
largest potential claims in pension litigation based on these plaintiffs'
argument that AT&T discriminated against older workers upon implementing
this change. The focus of the accounting question at hand now is not pension
accounting but disclosure of the contingent liability, or lack thereof, by
AT&T. "Last May, the Securities and Exchange Commission asked AT&T why it
hadn't disclosed its potential exposure in the pension case." Legal papers
filed Monday in federal court in Newark, N.J., include the first publicly
disclosed estimate for potential damages.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Accounting
and disclosure requirements for contingent liabilities, in this case a
lawsuit related to pension plan benefits, can be covered with this article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What is a defined benefit pension plan? What is a cash balance plan?
2. (Introductory)
According to the article, what improper action does the lawsuit claim that
AT&T committed against current and former employees when it changed to a
cash balance pension plan?
3. (Advanced)
Even if AT&T loses this case, the company "...would face no cash impact for
the $2.3 billion pension portion of the claim" according to the article.
Does this mean that there would be no financial statement impact from this
lawsuit? Explain.
4. (Introductory)
How did AT&T respond when the SEC "...asked why it hadn't disclosed its
potential exposure in the pension case"?
5. (Advanced)
What are the requirements in accounting for and disclosure of contingent
liabilities from lawsuits? What do you think must be the basis for AT&T's
response to the SEC? In your answer, comment on the fact that Monday's legal
filing included "the first publicly disclosed estimate for potential
damages."
6. (Advanced)
Access AT&T's annual report for 2009 filed with the SEC on 2/25/2010. The
interactive form of the filing is available at
http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/viewer?action=view&cik=732717&accession_number=0000732717-10-000013
Alternatively, click on the live link to AT&T in the online article, click
on SEC Filings on the left hand side of the page, scroll to the filing on
2/25/2010 (at least one page back) and click on the interactive data link.
Review the disclosures under Note 11 and Note 15. Does your review confirm
your answer to the question above? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
AT&T Inc. is seeking to dismiss a long-running
pension case alleging age discrimination that seeks $2.3 billion in damages,
according to documents filed this week in a federal court.
The suit alleges a 1998 pension change effectively
froze the pensions of 40,000 older management employees at AT&T, in some
cases for years, but not those of younger employees. AT&T said the pension
didn't discriminate against older workers.
"We believe the conversion to our cash balance plan
was appropriate and in accordance with all legal obligations," said AT&T
spokesman Mark Siegel. "We believe our filing speaks for itself in
explaining why we have no additional liabilities to these retirees."
The suit, filed in 1998, has received little
attention despite the number of plaintiffs—24,000 current and former
employees—and the size of the potential damages, one of the largest ever in
pension litigation. Legal papers filed Monday in federal court in Newark,
N.J., include the first publicly disclosed estimate for potential damages.
The $2.3 billion potential claim dwarfs the
well-publicized $1 billion noncash charge the company will take to reflect
the recent loss of its deductions for health-care subsidies it receives from
the government.
Last May, the Securities and Exchange Commission
asked AT&T why it hadn't disclosed its potential exposure in the pension
case. AT&T responded that it didn't think the case met the reporting
threshold for disclosure, SEC filings show.
Pension cases typically are decided by judges, and
there are no punitive damages. But because this case includes an
age-discrimination claim, under federal law the judge could send it to a
jury trial. If a jury found that the company willfully discriminated against
older workers, it could award punitive damages that would double the size of
the claim to $4.6 billion.
However, if the case went to trial and the company
lost, it would face no cash impact for the $2.3 billion pension portion of
the claim. That is because the additional benefits to current and former
management employees would be paid from the pension plan, which remains
well-funded. In its motion for dismissal, AT&T is asking the judge to throw
out the case without a jury trial.
AT&T was one of dozens of big companies including
International Business Machines Corp. and Xerox Corp. that changed their
traditional pensions to "cash-balance" plans in the 1990s. The change saved
companies money because instead of calculating benefits by multiplying years
of service and salary—which produces rapid pension growth in later years—the
companies converted the pension to a cash-out value. This "balance" would
then grow at a flat annual rate, say 4% of pay.
Among the plaintiffs in the case is Gerald Smit. In
1997, Mr. Smit was 47 and his pension was valued at $1,985 a month when he
reached age 55, according to papers filed in the case. He continued to work
at AT&T for eight more years, and when he retired in 2004, his pension was
still worth $1,985 a month, according to court documents.
Minutes of a 1997 meeting of AT&T's pension
consultants, included in court documents, noted that "employees in 40s could
lose, [and] have to wait 10 years for benefits." Company spreadsheets, which
were among the exhibits submitted by plaintiffs, found that many would wait
three to eight years to begin building a benefit. By contrast, the benefit
would build "immediately for younger employees," according to the meeting
minutes.
AT&T doesn't dispute there were long waiting
periods for benefits to build. But it said in court filings that the older
workers' pensions were affected because the former pension plan included a
formula that boosted benefit growth as employees approached age 55. AT&T
calls this subsidy a "disparity," according to papers filed in the case,
which "benefits older workers."
Many companies established opening "account
balances" for older employees that were lower than the cash-out amounts they
had earned. For example, a worker might have earned a pension that, if
converted to a lump sum, would be worth $150,000. But its opening account
balance would be set at $100,000. The balance would be effectively frozen
until the worker received enough annual credits over the years to restore it
to $150,000. Only then would the pension begin to increase again
The 2006 Pension Protection Act banned companies
from freezing the benefits of older employees when it changes the formula, a
practice called "wearaway." Not all cash-balance plans have wearaway; the
plan covering AT&T union workers is among those that do not.
Documents filed by the plaintiffs' experts estimate
that the average loss to people over age 45 was $65,000. SEC filings show
that under the 2004 severance plan for senior officers, the officers
retained the right to "participate and recover damages or other relief in
the case." The company spokesman declined to comment.
Most of the nation's largest pension plans kept
themselves out of trouble last year, according to a recent analysis of 10-K
filings by Towers Watson, but many still face substantial underfunding after
the 2008 market meltdown.
According to the analysis, aggregate pension
contributions for the 100 largest plans nearly doubled last year, from $15.6
billion in 2008 to $30.8 billion in 2009. Those contributions, combined with
an average 18% return on plan investments, helped push those plans to an
average funding ratio of 81% at the end of last year, compared with 75% at
year-end 2008. Only 17% of plan sponsors had funding ratios below 70%,
compared with 41% the year earlier.
"It looks like plan sponsors put in more than the
minimum contributions, probably enough to avoid the benefit restriction
provisions in the Pension Protection Act of 2006," notes Mark Ruloff,
director of asset allocation for Towers Watson. Under the PPA, companies
start to face restrictions on their funds, such as constraints on the
ability to offer retirees lump-sum payouts, if their funding level dips
below 80%. If their funding level falls below 60%, companies must stop
accruing new benefits for the participants until the level improves.
Liabilities also increased in 2009, due to lower
discount rates used to calculate them. (The average discount rate last year
was 5.92%, compared with 6.38% in 2008.) At year-end the largest plans had
an aggregate deficit of $183.5 billion, compared with a deficit of $209.6
billion in 2008.
Companies report that they expect to reduce their
pension contributions by about one-third in 2010, according to the Towers
Watson research, with a projected $19.6 billion earmarked for the plans.
However, PPA requirements that plans be 100% funded will likely mean much
higher cash outlays in 2011 and 2012.
"We're looking at a doubling, tripling, or even
quadrupling of contributions from already-high levels going into 2011 and
2012, absent something miraculous happening in the market," says Alan
Glickstein, senior consultant at Towers Watson.
Regulatory relief in the form of an extension to
the seven years that companies currently have to make up funding shortfalls
would also be a potential help. The Senate passed a bill earlier this month
that would allow employers two options along those lines, but the House of
Representatives has yet to act on it. Extending the time frame "would
probably still result in higher contributions than in the past, but they
would not rise as dramatically as they would otherwise," says Glickstein.
An analysis of the asset mix of the largest pension
sponsors showed only a slight shift away from equities, with the average
target equity allocation at 52.8% for 2010, down from 55.1% in 2009. That's
reflective of many large sponsors having already moved to a liability-driven
strategy, in which assets are more heavily focused on fixed-income vehicles.
Ruloff says he expects the trend away from equities
toward fixed income to continue, as more companies freeze or close their
plans and have less of a need for "excess returns to cover growing
accruals." He is also urging companies to take a proactive approach to
likely changes in pension-accounting rules that would increase the level of
equity-related volatility that needs to be reflected in plan valuations.
"The pace of change may be slower than what we've
seen in recent years," he says, "but the shift away from equities could move
at 5% a year for many years in the future."
Thirteen Canadian universities have seen their pension
deficits grow from $680 million to $3.2 billion in the last three years,
Financial Post reported. Some universities
have responded to these trends by increasing employee contributions or
changing retirement eligibility dates.
TOPICS: Accounting
Changes and Error Corrections, Pension Accounting, Post Retirement
Benefits
SUMMARY: AT&T Inc.,
Verizon Communications Inc. and Honeywell International Inc. recently
changed their longstanding pension accounting in which they smooth out
gains and losses on pension assets over time. These companies now
include all actuarial gains and losses in income (via pension expense
calculations) as they occur; the article states that they are including
all gains and losses on pension assets in income as they occur. The
change in accounting principle is being handled in accordance with
Accounting Standards Codification 250-10-05-2 which requires
retrospective application whenever practicable. Retrospective
application is defined in the codification glossary as the application
of a different accounting principle to one or more previously issued
financial statements, or to the statement of financial position at the
beginning of the current period, as if that principle had always been
used, or a change to financial statements of prior accounting periods to
present the financial statements of a new reporting entity as if it had
existed in those prior years. ASC 250-10-45-2(b) requires that a change
in accounting principle be adopted only if "the entity can justify the
use of an allowable alternative accounting principle on the basis that
it is preferable."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful when covering pension accounting and when covering
accounting changes, typically in advanced financial reporting or MBA
classes. **Note that answers to some questions are given in the summary
so that faculty using this review may want to edit before distributing
to students.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What is a defined benefit pension plan?
2. (Advanced) What are the objectives in accounting for this
type of pension plan? Cite your source for this answer from the
Accounting Standards Codification.
3. (Introductory) Summarize the accounting change for pension
plans described in the article. In your answer, summarize how pension
accounting "smoothes" large gains and losses generated by pension
assets.
4. (Advanced) Access the AT&T Form 10-K filing for 2010 made on
March 1, 2011 and available at
http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/viewer?action=view&cik=732717&accession_number=0000732717-11-000014&xbrl_type=v
Proceed to Pension and Post Retirement Benefits (Note 11) under Notes to
Financial Statements and read the third paragraph which begins "in
January 2011, we announced a change in our method of recognizing
actuarial gains and losses..." Are actuarial gains and losses the same
as gains and losses on plan assets? Do they impact pension calculations
similarly? Explain your answers.
5. (Introductory) How is this accounting change being reflected
in these companies' financial statements? Why will this accounting
change impact 2008 the most?
6. (Advanced) What accounting standard codification section
promulgates the requirements for the accounting described in this
article? What requirement must be met for any company to undertake any
change in accounting principle, including the pension change discussed
in this article?
7. (Advanced) Compare the statements in AT&T's pension footnote
to the objectives of pension accounting you identified in answer to
question 2. Clearly explain what you think is the basis for justifying
this change in accounting principle.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Some big companies are changing how they account
for their pension plans in a way that could make their earnings look better
in coming years.
AT&T Inc., Verizon Communications Inc. and
Honeywell International Inc. recently ended a longstanding practice in which
they "smooth" large gains and losses generated by pension assets into their
financial results over a period of years. From now on, these companies will
count all such gains and losses in the same year they are incurred.
While the moves might seem like arcane accounting
steps, they have important implications for investors. The companies say the
changes will make their earnings reporting more transparent, but they also
sweep away tens of billions in past pension losses the companies have yet to
smooth into—and hurt—their results. By charging them against their earnings
from 2008, when the losses were incurred, they are taking lumps for years
that many investors may no longer care about.
"They'll put the bad news behind them" said David
Zion, an accounting analyst with Credit Suisse.
Still, the accounting change will make it clearer
to investors how pension plans' performance affects the companies' income
statements, where it is factored into operating earnings. And the current
rock-bottom interest rates make it a good time to make such a change. Any
increases in rates could improve pension-plan performance, and clearing away
the old losses will heighten the impact that better performance has on the
companies' earnings.
Under current accounting rules, companies with
defined-benefit pension plans, which promise to pay specified amounts to
retirees, have the option to take several years to spread the cost of large
pension gains and losses into earnings. That means that when a plan's
investment results are much better or worse than expected—as with the 2008
market downturn—it can have a significant effect on earnings for years.
For that and other reasons, the system of
accounting for pension results in earnings long has been widely criticized.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board, the U.S. accounting rule maker,
has examined the issue before but hasn't made any changes, though they may
revisit it soon. AT&T, Verizon and Honeywell changed their accounting
methods on their own initiative. While the details differ, all three said
they would start recognizing some or all of their deferred losses in the
year they occur, through a "mark-to-market" adjustment to fourth-quarter
earnings to reflect their pension plan's returns for the year.
All three assessed the bulk of the change's impact
against 2008 earnings, the height of the market meltdown. AT&T, for example,
said its 2008 pension costs would increase by $24.9 billion because of the
change, compared to a $3 billion increase for 2010. The company reduced its
2008 earnings by $15.5 billion as a result, from a profit of $12.9 billion
to a loss of $2.6 billion.
An increase in interest rates could benefit the
companies' pension plans if, as expected, they move higher. That is because
pension obligations that may be paid out decades into the future are
discounted back to their present value. When rates are low, there's less
discounting, and the obligations stay relatively high. But when rates rise,
the future obligations will be discounted more aggressively, moving their
present value lower.
That means a lower base on which the company has to
pay interest costs, which could translate into lower pension costs, improved
pension performance and better earnings.
"Clearly the mark-to-market approach is preferable
accounting," said Kathleen Winters, Honeywell's controller. But she
acknowledged that "the low interest-rate environment made this a good time
to do this."
Continued in article
How much of the OBSF blame falls on the accounting profession?
We're so accustomed to misnamed legislation like
the Employee Free Choice Act (card check) that it's hard to believe that a
welcome proposal called the Public Employee Pension Transparency Act
describes what it actually purports to do. To wit, prohibit public pension
bailouts by the federal government and expose the $3.5 trillion of unfunded
public pension liabilities that local and state governments have obscured.
Most state and local governments currently use
their own estimated rate of return on their investments to discount their
liabilities. By projecting unrealistically high rates of return, states
minimize their unfunded liabilities, at least on paper. Lower unfunded
liabilities in turn allow them to reduce how much they and public employees
must contribute to their pension funds. Inflated investment assumptions are
one reason that public pension funds are unfunded to the tune of $3.5
trillion.
Public pensions typically assume an 8% annual
return on average, but over the past five years state pension funds with
more than $5 billion in assets have earned only 4.5%. Taxpayers must make up
the difference between what the funds earn and what they need to pay
retirees. For Californians that is roughly $5 billion this year.
Local taxpayers are already seeing their services
whacked and taxes raised to fill these pension holes. University of
California students will have to pony up 8% more next year for tuition to
offset an expected $500 million in state budget cuts. Illinois residents
will soon pay 67% more in income taxes, but taxpayers won't feel the full
brunt for another decade when the funds begin running out of money. When
Chicago's pension fund goes dry around 2019, over half of the city's revenue
will be dedicated to pensions.
In the 1950s and 1960s, many private employers
obscured their liabilities the way governments are doing today, though they
didn't have a public backstop. Many funds went broke. In 1974 Congress
established minimum funding requirements and penalized companies that
underfunded pensions. The law also required companies to report and discount
their liabilities using a more conservative rate of return.
These changes exploded liabilities and prompted
many companies to switch from defined-benefit plans to defined-contribution
plans like 401(k)s. While a majority of private workers now have
defined-contribution plans, defined-benefit plans remain the norm in
government.
Enter the Public Employee Pension Transparency Act,
which is sponsored by House Republicans Devin Nunes and Darrell Issa of
California and Wisconsin's Paul Ryan. Their bill would encourage governments
to switch to defined-contribution plans by revealing the true magnitude of
their unfunded liabilities. States and municipalities would have to report
their liabilities to the U.S. Treasury using their own rosy investment
forecasts as well as a more realistic Treasury bond rate (to be determined
by a formula).
This data would make clear how much taxpayers
potentially owe and increase pressure on lawmakers to fix their plans. For
instance, Illinois estimated in 2009 that it had a roughly $85 billion
unfunded liability. Using a Treasury discount rate, that unfunded liability
balloons to $167 billion.
Out of respect for state sovereignty, the federal
government shouldn't and can't tell local governments how to run or fund
their pensions. But the bill doesn't do so and it also doesn't force states
to fund their plans using a lower discount rate. States don't even have to
comply with the law, though they would forego their ability to sell
federally subsidized, tax-exempt bonds if they don't.
The bill may not persuade states like Illinois and
California to revamp their pensions, but it will reveal how broken they
are—and that's a start.
SUMMARY: As
Mr. Biggs, a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, puts it,
"public employee pension plans are plagued by overgenerous benefits, chronic
underfunding, and now trillion dollar stock-market losses. Based on their
preferred accounting methods...these plans are underfunded nationally by
around $310 billion. [But] the numbers are worse using market valuation
methods...which discount benefit liabilities at lower interest rates...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Introducing
the importance of interest rate assumptions, and the accounting itself, for
pension plans can be accomplished with this article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Summarize the accounting for pension plans, including the process for
determining pension liabilities, the funded status of a pension plan,
pension expense, the use of a discount rate, the use of an expected rate of
return. You may base your answer on the process used by corporations rather
than governmental entities.
2. (Advanced)
Based on the discussion in the article, what is the difference between
accounting for pension plans by U.S. corporations following FASB
requirements and governmental entities following GASB guidance?
3. (Introductory)
What did the administrators of the Montana Public Employees' Retirement
Board and the Montana Teachers' Retirement System include in their
advertisements to hire new actuaries?
4. (Advanced)
What is the concern with using the "expected return" on plan assets as the
rate to discount future benefits rather than using a low, risk free rate of
return for this calculation? In your answer, comment on the author's
statement that "future benefits are considered to be riskless" and the
impact that assessment should have on the choice of a discount rate.
5. (Advanced)
What is the response by public pension officers regarding differences
between their plans and those of corporate entities? How do they argue this
leads to differences in required accounting? Do you agree or disagree with
this position? Support your assessment.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Here's a dilemma: You manage a public employee
pension plan and your actuary tells you it is significantly underfunded. You
don't want to raise contributions. Cutting benefits is out of the question.
To be honest, you'd really rather not even admit there's a problem, lest
taxpayers get upset.
What to do? For the administrators of two Montana
pension plans, the answer is obvious: Get a new actuary. Or at least that's
the essence of the managers' recent solicitations for actuarial services,
which warn that actuaries who favor reporting the full market value of
pension liabilities probably shouldn't bother applying.
Public employee pension plans are plagued by
overgenerous benefits, chronic underfunding, and now trillion dollar
stock-market losses. Based on their preferred accounting methods -- which
discount future liabilities based on high but uncertain returns projected
for investments -- these plans are underfunded nationally by around $310
billion.
The numbers are worse using market valuation
methods (the methods private-sector plans must use), which discount benefit
liabilities at lower interest rates to reflect the chance that the expected
returns won't be realized. Using that method, University of Chicago
economists Robert Novy-Marx and Joshua Rauh calculate that, even prior to
the market collapse, public pensions were actually short by nearly $2
trillion. That's nearly $87,000 per plan participant. With employee benefits
guaranteed by law and sometimes even by state constitutions, it's likely
these gargantuan shortfalls will have to be borne by unsuspecting taxpayers.
Some public pension administrators have a strategy,
though: Keep taxpayers unsuspecting. The Montana Public Employees'
Retirement Board and the Montana Teachers' Retirement System declare in a
recent solicitation for actuarial services that "If the Primary Actuary or
the Actuarial Firm supports [market valuation] for public pension plans,
their proposal may be disqualified from further consideration."
Scott Miller, legal counsel of the Montana Public
Employees Board, was more straightforward: "The point is we aren't
interested in bringing in an actuary to pressure the board to adopt market
value of liabilities theory."
While corporate pension funds are required by law
to use low, risk-adjusted discount rates to calculate the market value of
their liabilities, public employee pensions are not. However, financial
economists are united in believing that market-based techniques for valuing
private sector investments should also be applied to public pensions.
Because the power of compound interest is so
strong, discounting future benefit costs using a pension plan's high
expected return rather than a low riskless return can significantly reduce
the plan's measured funding shortfall. But it does so only by ignoring risk.
The expected return implies only the "expectation" -- meaning, at least a
50% chance, not a guarantee -- that the plan's assets will be sufficient to
meet its liabilities. But when future benefits are considered to be riskless
by plan participants and have been ruled to be so by state courts, a 51%
chance that the returns will actually be there when they are needed hardly
constitutes full funding.
Public pension administrators argue that government
plans fundamentally differ from private sector pensions, since the
government cannot go out of business. Even so, the only true advantage
public pensions have over private plans is the ability to raise taxes. But
as the Congressional Budget Office has pointed out in 2004, "The government
does not have a capacity to bear risk on its own" -- rather, government
merely redistributes risk between taxpayers and beneficiaries, present and
future.
Market valuation makes the costs of these potential
tax increases explicit, while the public pension administrators' approach,
which obscures the possibility that the investment returns won't achieve
their goals, leaves taxpayers in the dark.
For these reasons, the Public Interest Committee of
the American Academy of Actuaries recently stated, "it is in the public
interest for retirement plans to disclose consistent measures of the
economic value of plan assets and liabilities in order to provide the
benefits promised by plan sponsors."
Nevertheless, the National Association of State
Retirement Administrators, an umbrella group representing government
employee pension funds, effectively wants other public plans to take the
same low road that the two Montana plans want to take. It argues against
reporting the market valuation of pension shortfalls. But the association's
objections seem less against market valuation itself than against the fact
that higher reported underfunding "could encourage public sector plan
sponsors to abandon their traditional pension plans in lieu of defined
contribution plans."
The Government Accounting Standards Board, which
sets guidelines for public pension reporting, does not currently call for
reporting the market value of public pension liabilities. The board
announced last year a review of its position regarding market valuation but
says the review may not be completed until 2013.
This is too long for state taxpayers to wait to
find out how many trillions they owe.
Question
What do American Airlines pensions have to do with funding of the Iraq war?
Answer
Plenty, but who knows why?
A pension measure tucked into last month’s Iraq war
spending bill is causing some leading members of Congress to complain that
American Airlines got a break worth almost $2 billion without proper scrutiny.
The measure will allow American to greatly reduce its payments into its pension
fund over the next 10 years. At the end of 2006, the fund had assets of $8.5
billion and needed an additional $2.5 billion to cover all its obligations. The
new provision will allow American to recalculate those numbers, so that the
shortfall disappears and the plan looks fully funded. Continental, along with a
small number of regional airlines and a caterer, will also be able to take
advantage of the provision. But American, the nation’s largest airline, is by
far the biggest beneficiary, according to government calculations. Some
lawmakers who would normally be involved in tax and pension measures say they
were shut out of the process.
Mary Williams Walsh, "Pension Relief for Airlines Faulted by Some Legislators,"
The New York Times, June 21, 2007 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/21/business/21pension.html?ref=business
Jensen Question
How should accountants factor in politics in disclosing and reporting pension
obligations, especially for airlines that do not declare bankruptcy?
Changed pension accounting rules are in the wind This week, the Financial Accounting Standards Board,
which writes the accounting rules for American business, will decide whether to
go ahead with plans to change the way pension accounting is done. The board's
current rule is 20 years old and has drawn fire from retirees and investors for
many of the same reasons that disturb Mr. Zydney, who has made his concerns
about his Lucent pension into something of a crusade. "Right now, the stuff
isn't transparent," Mr. Zydney said. "There's no accuracy. No consistency. And
everybody's trying to play some financial game to make things look better."
Mary Williams Walsh, "A Pension Rule, Sometimes Murky, Is Under Pressure,"
The New York Times, November 8, 2005 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/08/business/08pension.html?pagewanted=1
Off the government balance sheets - out of sight and
out of mind
This may be a helpful video to use when teaching
the new FAS 132(R) and the new FAS 158
"PBS Frontline: Can You Afford to Retire,"
Financial Page, November 8, 2006 --- Click Here
PBS Frontline has rebroadcast a critical
examination of the nation's retirement system. You can access the
interviews and written material for the program at
PBS Frontline: Can You Afford to Retire.
One can also view the program on-line, from the
referenced link.
The program highlights problems with both the Defined Benefit pension
system (rapidly becoming obsolete) and the rising Contributory Benefit
system, which brings with it a number of problems. The program
considers:
Low levels of worker participation in these
plans
Inadequate funding of these plans by workers
Poor investment results for most employees
The burden of self managing the plans
The program does not address the problem of high
intermediation costs in the Contributory Pension system, or the
preponderence of substandard investment vehicles (high cost annuities,
load funds, and high cost active funds) in many employer provided plans.
While the program explores the underfunding and closing of Corporate
Defined Benefit plans, it does not touch on underfunding in the
government pension system, nor does it address the fatal flaw of Defined
Benefit plans: the total lack of portability of these plans for the
employee.
FAS 158 improves financial reporting by
requiring an employer to recognize the overfunded or underfunded status of a
defined benefit postretirement plan (other than a multiemployer plan) as an
asset or liability in its statement of financial position and to recognize
changes in that funded status in the year in which the changes occur through
comprehensive income of a business entity or changes in unrestricted net assets
of a not-for-profit organization. This Statement also improves financial
reporting by requiring an employer to measure the funded status of a plan as of
the date of its year-end statement of financial position, with limited
exceptions.
FASB ---
http://www.fasb.org/st/summary/stsum158.shtml
The Financial Accounting Standards Board issued a
proposal on Friday that would require employers to recognize the overfunded
or underfunded positions of defined benefit postretirement plans, including
pension plans, in their balance sheets. The proposal would also require that
employers measure plan assets and obligations as of the date of their
financial statements.
According to the standards board, the proposed
changes would increase the transparency and completeness of financial
statements for shareholders, creditors, employees, retirees, donors, and
other users.
The exposure draft applies to plan sponsors that
are public and private companies and nongovernmental not-for-profit
organizations. It results from the first phase of a comprehensive project to
reconsider guidance in Statement No. 87, Employers' Accounting for Pensions,
and Statement No. 106, Employers' Accounting for Postretirement Benefits
Other Than Pensions. A second, broader phase will address remaining issues.
FASB expects to collaborate with the International Accounting Standards
Board on that phase.
In a statement released on Friday, FASB said the
current accounting standards do not provide complete information about
postretirement benefit obligations. For example, those standards allow an
employer to recognize an asset or liability in its balance sheet that almost
always differs from its overfunded or underfunded positions. Instead, they
require that information about the current funded status of such plans be
reported in the notes to financial statements. That incomplete reporting
results because existing standards allow delayed recognition of certain
changes in plan assets and obligations that affect the costs of providing
such benefits.
"Many constituents, including our advisory
councils, investors, creditors, and the SEC staff believe that the current
incomplete accounting makes it difficult to assess an employer's financial
position and its ability to carry out the obligations of its plans," said
George Batavick, FASB member. "We agree. Today's proposal, by requiring
sponsoring employers to reflect the current overfunded or underfunded
positions of postretirement benefit plans in the balance sheet, makes the
basic financial statements more complete, useful, and transparent. "
The proposed changes, other than the requirement to
measure plan assets and obligations as of the balance sheet date, would be
effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2006. Public companies
would be required to apply the proposed changes to the measurement date for
fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2006 and nonpublic entities,
including not-for-profit organizations, would become subject to that
requirement in fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2007.
FASB is seeking written comments on the proposal by
May 31, 2006. After the comment period, the board will hold a public
roundtable meeting on the proposal on June 27, 2006, in Norwalk,
Connecticut.
So Long Footnoted Liabilities
Pensions and other retiree benefits are graduating to the balance sheet; how far
should a company go to protect its compensation information?; choosing your
auditor wisely may help protect your stock price; and more.
Verizon, Ford, and ExxonMobil, pay attention. It
looks as though pensions and other retiree benefits are about to graduate
from the footnotes to the balance sheet. And companies that have previously
been able to hide underfunded retirement programs may have to count them as
liabilities — often multi-billion-dollar liabilities.
In November, the Financial Accounting Standards
Board voted to move toward a proposal that would require companies to report
the difference between the net present value of their pension- and other
retirement-benefit obligations and the amount the company has set aside to
meet those obligations. And although a final decision is a year or more
away, the numbers won't be pretty. (See "Will Washington Really Act?")
Standard & Poor's, in fact, estimates a
retirement-obligations shortfall of some $442 billion in the S&P 500 alone.
Indeed, it is difficult to understate the potential impact of the FASB plan,
which is expected to be only the first phase in a larger effort to overhaul
the accounting treatment of pensions and benefits. "We believe this FASB
project will have a significant impact on stock evaluations, income
statements, and balance sheets, and will become the major issue in financial
accounting over the next five years," S&P wrote in its December report.
The news was welcome to many in the accounting
business who have been concerned that current rules allow companies to hide
retiree obligations in the footnotes. John Hepp, a senior manager with Grant
Thornton LLP, praised the board's decision to move toward a "simplified
approach. We think this will be a big step forward."
But it won't be without pain for many companies
faced with adding a large negative number to their balance sheets, such as
telecom giant Verizon Communications Inc. Standard & Poor's reported in
December that Verizon has underfunded the nonpension portion of its
postretirement benefits by an estimated $22.5 billion. The company is
clearly trying to get a handle on retirement benefits and health-care costs,
announcing that same month that it will freeze the pension benefits of all
managers who currently receive them.
While the company refused to comment, Verizon is
far from alone. Ford and General Motors have underfunded their retirement
obligations by $44.7 billion and $69.0 billion, respectively, and other big
names facing a shortfall include ExxonMobil ($16.4 billion) and AT&T ($14.8
billion).
If any of these companies think the markets will
treat these obligations as a one-time problem, they had better think again,
says S&P equity market analyst Howard Silverblatt. "Moving this onto the
balance sheet is going to wake people up," he says. "The bottom line is that
shareholder equity [in the S&P 500] is going to be decreased by about 9
percent." And as companies begin to explore their legal options for limiting
the financial damage — including paring back benefits even further —
Silverblatt predicts that the issue will become more politicized and remain
in the public eye for years to come.
The SEC has announced that it has resolved its
pension-fund fraud case against San Diego, with the city agreeing not to
commit illegal shenanigans in the future and to hire an "independent
monitor" to help it avoid doing so. Although the SEC went easy on the
residents and taxpayers of San Diego in its settlement, it still has an
opportunity to make an example of the former officials who the SEC
determined committed the fraud. The feds should seize that chance to show
they're serious about policing a sector of the investment world that remains
vulnerable to similar fraud.
San Diego ran into legal trouble with its pension
fund because elected officials wanted to keep its municipal workers happy by
awarding them more generous pension and health-care benefits, but also
wanted to keep taxpayers happy by sticking to a lean budget. The two goals
were mathematically irreconcilable. So San Diego officials, with the
cooperation of the board members of the city employees' retirement system
(the majority of whom were also city officials), intentionally underfunded
the pension plan for years. They used the "savings" to award workers and
retirees more benefits, some retroactive. Because taxpayers couldn't see how
much retirement benefits for public employees eventually would cost them,
they couldn't protest against those high future costs. The fund also
violated sound investment principles by using "surplus" earnings in boom
years to pay extra benefits to retirees, including a "13th check" in some
years. Trustees should have put such "surpluses" aside for years in which
the market was down.
But the alleged escalated in 2002 and 2003, when
city officials brushed aside warnings from outside groups, as well as from
an analyst it had itself commissioned, about the fund's parlous financial
straits. Although figures clearly showed that the pension fund would face a
seven-fold increase in its deficit, to more than $2 billion, over less than
a decade, San Diego didn't disclose what, according to the SEC, it "knew or
was reckless in not knowing" was an inevitability, instead maintaining its
charade. City officials disclosed not a word of the fund's financial
troubles to potential investors or bond analysts as it raised nearly $300
million in new municipal securities during those two years.
The SEC elected to go easy on the city. The feds
won't levy a fine against it, reasoning that it would end up being the
taxpayers who would pay. This argument has merit, since these taxpayers are
already on the hook for the $1.5 billion deficit -- roughly equal to the
city's operating budget -- the pension-fund fraud had concealed. Taxpayers
could face fallout if wronged investors sue the city. But while SEC won't
punish taxpayers, it can't afford to go so easy on the officials it's still
investigating. (The SEC doesn't name the current and former officials under
its scrutiny, but former Mayor Dick Murphy, former city manager Michael
Uberuaga and former auditor Ed Ryan, as well as members of the City Council,
all had degrees of responsibility for and knowledge of the pension fund's
operations.) The SEC must demonstrate that it considers the fraud officials
committed against the city's bondholders to be just as grave as similar
frauds in the private sector.
People who invest in municipal bonds do so because
they feel that such investments are safer than investing in the common
stocks of corporations. That's why cities and states enjoy access to capital
at affordable interest rates. And, for tax reasons, municipal-bond investors
often invest in the bonds of the city in which they reside, so they face
double jeopardy. In the first place, if city officials are committing fraud,
their bonds will turn out not to be as sound (and thus not as valuable) as
they thought they were. The second risk is that they will have to pay higher
taxes, or suffer lower government services, to cover pension-funding
shortfalls in their city's budget if that is the case.
Continued in article
Questions
What is the importance of the Stanford University logo on a research study that
is a political bomb shell?
What do accountancy pension experts think of this study?
The time-bomb that is public-pension obligations
keeps ticking louder and louder. Eventually someone will have to notice.
This month, Stanford's Institute for Economic
Policy Research released a study suggesting a more than $500 billion
unfunded liability for California's three biggest pension funds—Calpers,
Calstrs and the University of California Retirement System. The shortfall is
about six times the size of this year's California state budget and seven
times more than the outstanding voter-approved general obligations bonds.
The pension funds responsible for the time bombs
denounced the report. Calstrs CEO Jack Ehnes declared at a board meeting
that "most people would give [this study] a letter grade of 'F' for quality"
but "since it bears the brand of Stanford, it clearly ripples out there
quite a bit." He called its assumptions "faulty," its research "shoddy" and
its conclusions "political." Calpers chief Joseph Dear wrote in the San
Francisco Chronicle that the study is "fundamentally flawed" because it
"uses a controversial method that is out of step with governmental
accounting standards."
Those standards bear some scrutiny.
The Stanford study uses what's called a "risk-free"
4.14% discount rate, which is tied to 10-year Treasury bonds. The Government
Accounting Standards Board requires corporate pensions to use a risk-free
rate, but it allows public pension funds to discount pension liabilities at
their expected rate of return, which the pension funds determine. Calstrs
assumes a rate of return of 8%, Calpers 7.75% and the UC fund 7.5%. But the
CEO of the global investment management firm BlackRock Inc., Laurence Fink,
says Calpers would be lucky to earn 6% on its portfolio. A 5% return is more
realistic.
Last year the accounting board proposed that the
public pensions play by the same rules as corporate pensions. But unions for
the public employees balked because the changed standard would likely
require employees and employers to contribute more to the pensions,
especially in times when interest rates are low. For now, it appears the
public employee unions will prevail with the status quo accounting method.
Using these higher return rates for their pension
portfolios, the pension giants calculate a much smaller, but still
significant, $55 billion shortfall. Discounting liabilities at these higher
rates, however, ignores the probability that actual returns will fall below
expected levels and allows pension funds to paper over the magnitude of
their problem.
Instead, the Stanford researchers choose to use a
risk-free rate to calculate the unfunded liability because financial
economics says that the risk of the investment portfolio should match the
risk of pension liabilities. But public pensions carry no liability. They're
riskless. That's because public employees will receive their defined benefit
pensions regardless of the market's performance or the funds' investment
returns. Under California law, public pensions are a vested, contractual
right. What this means is that taxpayers are on the hook if the economy
falters or the pension portfolios don't perform as well as expected.
As David Crane, California Governor Arnold
Schwarzenegger's adviser notes, this year's unfunded pension liability is
next year's budget cut—or tax hike. This year $5.5 billion was diverted from
other programs such as higher education and parks to cover the shortfall in
California's retiree pension and health-care benefits. The Governor's office
projects that, absent reform, this figure will balloon to over $15 billion
in the next 10 years.
What to do? The Stanford study suggests that at the
least the state needs to contribute to pensions at a steadier rate and not
shortchange the funds when markets are booming. It also recommends shifting
investments to more fixed-income assets to reduce risks.
But what the public-pension giants find "political"
and "controversial" is the study's recommendation to move away from a
defined benefits system to a 401(k)-style system for new hires. Public
employee unions oppose this because defined benefits plans are usually more
lavish, and someone else is on the hook to make up shortfalls. Calpers and
Calstrs are decrying the Stanford study because it has revealed exactly who
is on the hook for all of this unfunded obligation—California's taxpayers.
Every time one of these articles appears some
reporter is shocked, and they focus on pointing a finger at the accounting,
the actuarial science or the politics of pensions. But the story dies
because the issues are too complicated to present in a newspaper or
newscast. I'm not necessarily talking about corporate pensions. Yes, there
have probably been more than a couple of companies that have nudged the
expected rate of return to raise EPS and in turn the value of the executive
stock options, but public pensions are much more direct in how they are
abused.
Consider the three groups and their goals and you
begin to get the idea. The accountant wants all the number to flow together
in a neat package that can be explained in terms of cash flow, assets and
liabilities. The actuary wants a theoretical value based on assumptions, and
current investment conditions. But the politician wants only the power all
this money provides. Mention discount rates, duration of liabilities and
actuarial losses to confuse the real issue and focus on what is the defined
benefit from either plan and politically created public confusion takes over
any desire to understand in the masses. Add to that the localized nature of
the report, (Does anyone in Mississippi really care about paying for
California municipal pensions?) and that lack of desire becomes apathy.
Similar to the auto industry in the US, many public
pension plans have offered and provided more than the public ever
envisioned. In the public arena, pensions provide a license to steal on many
levels. The examples of these articles typically tell of a one term mayor
that receives a pension of 100% of salary as a pension, or the 20 year
municipal employee with a pension equal to 200% of their wages when they
retire at age 45. Need to settle a union dispute, bargain for more pension
benefits. Got a budget crunch - defer payment to the pension system. All of
the fuss about defined contributions comes from those that already have a
vested stake in the defined contribution system. Those are gross abuses of
the design to serve a political purpose rather than outright theft. But,
theft also does occur. My personal favorite is how the State of New Jersey
issued bonds to fund the pension, only to have the money stolen by the state
legislature. When problems becomes visible in the public pension arena,
those responsible have finished gorging at the trough, are not accountable,
and look back thanking the accounting rules, the actuarial standards and the
political control that made the theft legitimate.
Gee, sounds a lot like yesterday's Goldman Sachs
hearings...
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued
Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 158, Employers Accounting
for Defined Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans
last week, making it easier for users of financial
information to understand and assess an employer’s financial position and
its ability to fulfill benefit plan obligations. The new standard requires
that employers fully recognize those obligations associated with
single-employer defined benefit pension, retiree healthcare and other
postretirement plans in their financial statements. It amends Statements No.
87, 88, 106 and 132R.
“Previous standards
covering these benefits went a long way toward improving financial
reporting. However, the Board at that time acknowledged that future changes
would be needed, and now our constituents share this view,” said George
Batavick, FASB member, in the statement announcing the new standard.
“Accordingly, today’s standard represents a significant improvement in
financial reporting as it provides employees, retirees, investors and other
financial statement users with access to more complete information. This
information will help users make more informed assessments about a company’s
financial position and its ability to carry out the benefit promises made
through these plans.”
The new standard requires an employer to:
Recognize in its statement of financial
position an asset for a plan’s overfunded status or a liability for a
plan’s underfunded status.
Measure a plan’s assets and its obligations
that determine its funded status as of the end of the employer’s fiscal
year (with limited exceptions).
Recognize changes in the funded status of a
defined benefit postretirement plan in the year in which the changes
occur. Those changes will be reported in comprehensive income of
business entity and in changes in net assets of a not-for-profit
organization.
Statement No. 158 applies to plan sponsors that are
public and private companies and nongovernmental not-for-profit
organizations. The requirements recognize the funded status of a benefit
plan and disclosure requirements are effective as of the end of the fiscal
year ending after December 15, 2006, for employers with publicly traded
equity securities and the end of the fiscal year ending after June 15, 2007,
for all other entities. The requirement to measure plan assets and benefit
obligations as of the date of the employer’s fiscal year-end statement of
financial position is effective for fiscal years ending after December 15,
2008.
http://www.fasb.org/pdf/fas158.pdf Statement of
Financial Accounting Standards No. 158, Employers Accounting for Defined
Benefit Pension and Other Postretirement Plans was developed in direct
response to concerns expressed by many FASB constituents that past standards
of accounting for postretirement benefit plans needed to be revisited to
improve the transparency and usefulness of the information reported about
them. Among the Board’s constituents calling for change were many members of
the investment community, the Financial Accounting Standards Advisory
Council, the User Advisory Council, the Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) and others.
The issuing of Statement No. 158 completes the
first phase of the Board’s comprehensive project to improve the accounting
and reporting for defined benefit pension and other postretirement plans. A
second, broader phase of this project will comprehensively address remaining
issues. The Board expects to collaborate with the International Accounting
Standards Board on that phase.
Like Texas (which has a bill pending to hide pension and health care
liabilities for retired government workers and families) Connecticut has picked a fight with the independent
board that tells state and local governments how to report their financial
affairs. Mary Williams Walsh, "Connecticut Takes Up Fight Over Accounting
Rules," The New York Times, June 2, 2007 ---
Click Here
Jensen Comment
Funny thing is Andy Fastow said the same thing about accounting standards and
auditors. If you're going to sell your bonds in the public capital markets, it
seems that hiding debt from bond purchasers is not an especially good idea.
"Shocks Seen in New Math for Pensions," by Mary Williams Walsh, The
New York Times, March 31, 2006 ---
Click Here
The board that writes accounting rules for American
business is proposing a new method of reporting pension obligations that is
likely to show that many companies have a lot more debt than was obvious
before.
In some cases, particularly at old industrial
companies like automakers, the newly disclosed obligations are likely to be
so large that they will wipe out the net worth of the company.
The panel, the Financial Accounting Standards
Board, said the new method, which it plans to issue today for public
comment, would address a widespread complaint about the current pension
accounting method: that it exposes shareholders and employees to billions of
dollars in risks that they cannot easily see or evaluate. The new accounting
rule would also apply to retirees' health plans and other benefits.
A member of the accounting board, George Batavick,
said, "We took on this project because the current accounting standards just
don't provide complete information about these obligations."
The board is moving ahead with the proposed pension
changes even as Congress remains bogged down on much broader revisions of
the law that governs company pension plans. In fact, Representative John A.
Boehner, Republican of Ohio and the new House majority leader, who has been
a driving force behind pension changes in Congress, said yesterday that he
saw little chance of a finished bill before a deadline for corporate pension
contributions in mid-April.
Congress is trying to tighten the rules that govern
how much money companies are to set aside in advance to pay for benefits.
The accounting board is working with a different set of rules that govern
what companies tell investors about their retirement plans.
The new method proposed by the accounting board
would require companies to take certain pension values they now report deep
in the footnotes of their financial statements and move the information onto
their balance sheets — where all their assets and liabilities are reflected.
The pension values that now appear on corporate balance sheets are almost
universally derided as of little use in understanding the status of a
company's retirement plan.
Mr. Batavick of the accounting board said the new
rule would also require companies to measure their pension funds' values on
the same date they measure all their other corporate obligations. Companies
now have delays as long as three months between the time they calculate
their pension values and when they measure everything else. That can yield
misleading results as market fluctuations change the values.
"Old industrial, old economy companies with heavily
unionized work forces" would be affected most sharply by the new rule, said
Janet Pegg, an accounting analyst with Bear, Stearns. A recent report by Ms.
Pegg and other Bear, Stearns analysts found that the companies with the
biggest balance-sheet changes were likely to include General Motors, Ford,
Verizon, BellSouth and General Electric.
Using information in the footnotes of Ford's 2005
financial statements, Ms. Pegg said that if the new rule were already in
effect, Ford's balance sheet would reflect about $20 billion more in
obligations than it now does. The full recognition of health care promised
to Ford's retirees accounts for most of the difference. Ford now reports a
net worth of $14 billion. That would be wiped out under the new rule. Ford
officials said they had not evaluated the effect of the new accounting rule
and therefore could not comment.
Applying the same method to General Motors' balance
sheet suggests that if the accounting rule had been in effect at the end of
2005, there would be a swing of about $37 billion. At the end of 2005, the
company reported a net worth of $14.6 billion. A G.M. spokesman declined to
comment, noting that the new accounting rule had not yet been issued.
Many complaints about the way obligations are now
reported revolve around the practice of spreading pension figures over many
years. Calculating pensions involves making many assumptions about the
future, and at the end of every year there are differences between the
assumptions and what actually happened. Actuaries keep track of these
differences in a running balance, and incorporate them into pension
calculations slowly.
That practice means that many companies' pension
disclosures do not yet show the full impact of the bear market of 2000-3,
because they are easing the losses onto their books a little at a time. The
new accounting rule will force them to bring the pension values up to date
immediately, and use the adjusted numbers on their balance sheets.
Not all companies would be adversely affected by
the new rule. A small number might even see improvement in their balance
sheets. One appears to be Berkshire Hathaway. Even though its pension fund
has a shortfall of $501 million, adjusting the numbers on its balance sheet
means reducing an even larger shortfall of $528 million that the company
recognized at the end of 2005.
Berkshire Hathaway's pension plan differs from that
of many other companies because it is invested in assets that tend to be
less volatile. Its assumptions about investment returns are also lower, and
it will not have to make a big adjustment for earlier-year losses when the
accounting rule takes effect. Berkshire also looks less indebted than other
companies because it does not have retiree medical plans.
Mr. Batavick said he did not know what kind of
public comments to expect, but hoped to have a final standard completed by
the third quarter of the year. Companies would then be expected to use it
for their 2006 annual reports. The rule will also apply to nonprofit
institutions like universities and museums, as well as privately held
companies.
The rule would not have any effect on corporate
profits, only on the balance sheets. The accounting board plans to make
additional pension accounting changes after this one takes effect. Those are
expected to affect the bottom line and could easily be more contentious.
With state and local governments scrambling to meet
the Government Accounting Standards Board’s (GASB) amended rules for
reporting on postretirement benefits, and private and public companies
getting ready for compliance with the Financial Accounting Standards Board’s
(FASB) proposed statement on recording pension liabilities, a congressman
from Indiana has introduced legislation that would require the federal
government to meet a similar standard. The Truth in Accounting Act,
sponsored by Rep. Chris Chocola (R-Ind) and co-sponsored by Reps. Jim Cooper
(D-Tenn) and Mark Kirk (R – Ill), would require the federal government to
accurately report the nation’s unfunded long-term liabilities, including
Social Security and Medicare, a debt that amounts to $43 trillion dollars,
during the next 75 years, Chocola says, according to wndu.com.
The U.S. Treasury Department is not currently
required to file an annual report of these debts to Congress, wndu.com says.
“When I was in business, the federal government
required our company to account for long-term liabilities using generally
accepted accounting principles,” Chocola told the South Bend Tribune. “This
bill would require the federal government to follow the same laws they
require every public business in America to follow. If any company accounted
for its business the way the government accounts, the business would be
bankrupt and the executives would be thrown into jail.”
The legislation doesn’t propose solutions for the
burgeoning liabilities, but it takes a crucial first step, according to
Chocola, “by requiring the Treasury Department to begin reporting and
tracking those liabilities according to net present value calculations and
accrual accounting principles,” the Tribune reports.
“In order to solve our problems and prevent an
impending fiscal crisis,” Chocola said, “we have to first identify where and
how large the problem is.”
Chocola clearly sees a looming fiscal crisis.
“Congress is the Levee Commission and the flood is coming,” he told the
Tribune. “This [bill] is intended to sound the warning bell.”
To support his position, according to the Tribune,
Chocola referred to an article written by David Walker, a Clinton appointee
who serves as Comptroller General of the United States and head of the U.S.
Government Accountability Office (GAO). Walker wrote that the government was
on an “unsustainable path”.
Speaking to a British audience last month, Walker
said that the U.S. is headed for a financial crisis unless it changes its
course of racking up huge deficits, Reuters reported. Walker said some
combination of reforming Social Security and Medicare spending,
discretionary spending and possibly changes in tax policy would be required
to get the deficits under control.
“I think it’s going to take 20-plus years before we
are ultimately on a prudent and sustainable path,” Walker said, according to
Reuters, partly because so many American consumers follow the government’s
example. “Too many Americans are spending more than they take in and are
running up debt at record rates.”
With state and local
governments scrambling to meet the Government Accounting Standards Board’s (GASB)
amended rules for reporting on postretirement benefits, and private and public
companies getting ready for compliance with the Financial Accounting Standards
Board’s (FASB) proposed statement on recording pension liabilities, a
congressman from Indiana has introduced legislation that would require the
federal government to meet a similar standard. The Truth in Accounting Act,
sponsored by Rep. Chris Chocola (R-Ind) and co-sponsored by Reps. Jim Cooper (D-Tenn)
and Mark Kirk (R – Ill), would require the federal government to accurately
report the nation’s unfunded long-term liabilities, including Social Security
and Medicare, a debt that amounts to $43 trillion dollars, during the next 75
years, Chocola says, according to wndu.com.
The U.S. Treasury
Department is not currently required to file an annual report of these debts to
Congress, wndu.com says.
“When I was in business,
the federal government required our company to account for long-term liabilities
using generally accepted accounting principles,” Chocola told the South Bend
Tribune. “This bill would require the federal government to follow the same laws
they require every public business in America to follow. If any company
accounted for its business the way the government accounts, the business would
be bankrupt and the executives would be thrown into jail.”
The legislation doesn’t
propose solutions for the burgeoning liabilities, but it takes a crucial first
step, according to Chocola, “by requiring the Treasury Department to begin
reporting and tracking those liabilities according to net present value
calculations and accrual accounting principles,” the Tribune reports.
“In order to solve our
problems and prevent an impending fiscal crisis,” Chocola said, “we have to
first identify where and how large the problem is.”
Chocola clearly sees a
looming fiscal crisis. “Congress is the Levee Commission and the flood is
coming,” he told the Tribune. “This [bill] is intended to sound the warning
bell.”
To support his position,
according to the Tribune, Chocola referred to an article written by David
Walker, a Clinton appointee who serves as Comptroller General of the United
States and head of the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO). Walker wrote
that the government was on an “unsustainable path”.
Speaking to a British
audience last month, Walker said that the U.S. is headed for a financial crisis
unless it changes its course of racking up huge deficits, Reuters reported.
Walker said some combination of reforming Social Security and Medicare spending,
discretionary spending and possibly changes in tax policy would be required to
get the deficits under control.
“I think it’s going to
take 20-plus years before we are ultimately on a prudent and sustainable path,”
Walker said, according to Reuters, partly because so many American consumers
follow the government’s example. “Too many Americans are spending more than they
take in and are running up debt at record rates.”
SINCE 1983, the city of Duluth, Minn., has been
promising free lifetime health care to all of its retired workers, their
spouses and their children up to age 26. No one really knew how much it
would cost. Three years ago, the city decided to find out.
It took an actuary about three months to identify
all the past and current city workers who qualified for the benefits. She
tallied their data by age, sex, previous insurance claims and other factors.
Then she estimated how much it would cost to provide free lifetime care to
such a group.
The total came to about $178 million, or more than
double the city's operating budget. And the bill was growing.
"Then we knew we were looking down the barrel of a
pretty high-caliber weapon," said Gary Meier, Duluth's human resources
manager, who attended the meeting where the actuary presented her findings.
Mayor Herb Bergson was more direct. "We can't pay
for it," he said in a recent interview. "The city isn't going to function
because it's just going to be in the health care business."
Duluth's doleful discovery is about to be repeated
across the country. Thousands of government bodies, including states,
cities, towns, school districts and water authorities, are in for the same
kind of shock in the next year or so. For years, governments have been
promising generous medical benefits to millions of schoolteachers,
firefighters and other employees when they retire, yet experts say that
virtually none of these governments have kept track of the mounting price
tag. The usual practice is to budget for health care a year at a time, and
to leave the rest for the future.
Off the government balance sheets - out of sight
and out of mind - those obligations have been ballooning as health care
costs have spiraled and as the baby-boom generation has approached
retirement. And now the accounting rulemaker for the public sector, the
Governmental Accounting Standards Board, says it is time for every
government to do what Duluth has done: to come to grips with the total value
of its promises, and to report it to their taxpayers and bondholders.
Continued in article
NEWS RELEASE 11/10/05 FASB Adds Comprehensive
Project to Reconsider Accounting for Pensions and Other Postretirement
Benefits
Board Seeks to Improve Transparency and
Usefulness for Investors, Creditors, Employees, Retirees and Other Users
of Financial Information
Norwalk, CT, November 10, 2005—The Financial
Accounting Standards Board (FASB) voted today to add a project to its
agenda to reconsider guidance in Statement No. 87, Employers’ Accounting
for Pensions, and Statement No. 106, Employers’ Accounting for
Postretirement Benefits Other Than Pensions.
The Board’s objective in undertaking the
project is to improve the reporting of pensions and other postretirement
benefit plans in the financial statements by making information more
useful and transparent for investors, creditors, employees, retirees,
and other users. The agenda addition reflects the Board’s commitment to
ensure that its standards address current accounting issues and changing
business practices.
In making its decision, the Board considered
requests by various constituents, including members of the Financial
Accounting Standards Advisory Council (FASAC), the FASB’s User Advisory
Council (UAC), and the United States Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC).
Complex and Comprehensive
“We have heard many different views from our
constituents about how the current accounting model should be
reconsidered to improve transparency and usefulness. The breadth and
complexity of the issues involved and the views on how to address them
are deeply held. While the accounting and reporting issues do not appear
to lend themselves to a simple fix, the Board believes that immediate
improvements are necessary and will look for areas that can be improved
quickly,” said Robert Herz, Chairman of the Financial Accounting
Standards Board.
The accounting and reporting issues involved
touch on many fundamental areas of accounting, including measurement of
assets and liabilities, consolidation, and reporting of financial
performance. They are also impacted by complex funding and tax rules
that, while not directly associated with accounting standards, affect
the economics the accounting seeks to depict.
Comprehensive Approach with Initial
Improvements in 2006
Given these complexities, the Board believes
that a comprehensive project conducted in two phases is the most
effective way to address these issues. The first phase is expected to be
finalized by the end of 2006.
The first phase seeks to address the fact that
under current accounting standards, important information about the
financial status of a company’s plan is reported in the footnotes, but
not in the basic financial statements. Accordingly, this phase seeks to
improve financial reporting by requiring that the funded or unfunded
status of postretirement benefit plans, measured as the difference
between the fair value of plan assets and the benefit obligation - i.e.,
the projected benefit obligation (PBO) for pensions and the accumulated
postretirement benefit obligation (APBO) for other postretirement
benefits - be recognized on the balance sheet.
The second broader phase would comprehensively
address remaining issues, including:
How to best recognize and display in earnings
and other comprehensive income the various elements that affect the cost
of providing postretirement benefits
How to best measure the obligation, in
particular the obligations under plans with lump-sum settlement options
Whether more or different guidance should be
provided regarding measurement assumptions
Whether postretirement benefit trusts should be
consolidated by the plan sponsor
In conducting the project, the FASB will seek
the views of parties currently involved in other, independent reviews of
the pension system including the Department of Labor and the Pension
Benefit Guaranty Corporation. Furthermore, consistent with its effort
toward international convergence of accounting standards, the FASB
expects to work with the International Accounting Standards Board and
other standards setters.
An Ongoing Improvement Effort
The agenda addition represents the latest step
in the FASB’s effort to ensure that standards for pensions and other
postretirement benefits provide credible, comparable, conceptually sound
and usable information to the public.
In 1987, the Board issued Statement 87, which
made significant improvements in the way the costs of defined benefit
plans were measured and disclosed. It is important to note that at that
time, the Board acknowledged that pension accounting was still in a
transitional stage and that future changes might be warranted.
Accordingly, additional enhancements since that
time have included:
Statement No. 106 (1990)—which made similar
significant improvements to those made in Statement No. 87 but for
postretirement benefits other than pensions
Statement No. 132, Employers’ Disclosures about
Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefits, (1998)—which revised
employers’ disclosures about pension and other postretirement benefits
to enhance the information disclosed about changes in the benefit
obligation and fair value of plan assets
Statement No. 132R, Employers’ Disclosures
about Pensions and Other Postretirement Benefits (Revised 2003)—which
provided expanded disclosures in several areas, including plan assets,
benefit obligations, and cash flows.
"Huge Rise Looms for Health Care in City's Budget," by Mary Williams Walsh
and Milt Freudenheim, The New York
Times, December 26, 2005 ---
http://snipurl.com/NYT122605
But the cost of pensions may look paltry next to
that of another benefit soon to hit New York and most other states and
cities: the health care promised to retired teachers, judges, firefighters,
bus drivers and other former employees, which must be figured under a new
accounting formula.
The city currently provides free health insurance
to its retirees, their spouses and dependent children. The state is almost
as generous, promising to pay, depending on the date of hire, 90 to 100
percent of the cost for individual retirees, and 82 to 86 percent for
retiree families.
Those bills - $911 million this year for city
retirees and $859 million for state retirees out of a total city and state
budget of $156.6 billion - may seem affordable now. But the New York
governments, like most other public agencies across the country, have been
calculating the costs in a way that sharply understates their price tag over
time.
Although governments will not have to come up with
the cash immediately, failure to find a way to finance the yearly total will
eventually hurt their ability to borrow money affordably.
When the numbers are added up under new accounting
rules scheduled to go into effect at the end of 2006, New York City's annual
expense for retiree health care is expected to at least quintuple, experts
say, approaching and maybe surpassing $5 billion, for exactly the same
benefits the retirees get today. The number will grow because the city must
start including the value of all the benefits earned in a given year, even
those that will not be paid until future years.
Some actuaries say the new yearly amount could be
as high as $10 billion. The increases for the state could be equally
startling. Most other states and cities also offer health benefits to
retirees, and will also be affected by the accounting change.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
FAS 106 (effective December 15, 1992) prohibits keeping post-retirement benefits
such as medical benefits off private sector balance sheets of corporations
---
http://www.fasb.org/pdf/fas106.pdf . The equivalent for the public
sector is GASB 45, but the new rules do not go into effect until for cities as
large as Duluth and NYC until December 15, 2006 ---
http://www.gasb.org/pub/index.html
Effective Date:
The requirements of this Statement are
effective in three phases based on a government's total annual
revenues in the first fiscal year ending after June 15, 1999:
Governments that were phase 1
governments for the purpose of implementation of Statement
34—those with annual revenues of $100 million or more—are
required to implement this Statement in financial statements
for periods beginning after December 15, 2006.
Governments that were phase 2
governments for the purpose of implementation of Statement
34—those with total annual revenues of $10 million or more
but less than $100 million—are required to implement this
Statement in financial statements for periods beginning
after December 15, 2007.
Governments that were phase 3
governments for the purpose of implementation of Statement
34—those with total annual revenues of less than $10
million—are required to implement this Statement in
financial statements for periods beginning after December
15, 2008.
The new GASB 25 implementation dates may trigger defaults and "The Next
Retirement Time Bomb."
January 2, 2006 reply from Mac Wright in Australia
Dear Bob,
In considering the problems faced by these bodies,
one has to remember that the promise of these benefits was held out to the
then potential employees as an inducement to work in the system. Thus
attempts at cutbacks are a form of theft. It is no different that finding
that commercial paer accepted some time back is worthless because the
acceptor has disappeared with his ill gotten gains (Ponzi)!
Perhaps the message to government workers is
"demand cash up front and do not trust any promise of future benefits!"
Kind regards,
Mac Wright
January 2, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Mac,
I think theft is too strong a word. In a sense, all bankruptcies are a
form of theft, but theft is hardly an appropriate word since the victims
(e.g., creditors) often favor declaration of bankruptcy and restructuring in
an attempt to salvage some of the amounts owing them. Also, employees,
creditors, and investors are aware that they are taking on some risks of
default.
The United Auto Workers Union and its membership have overwhelmingly
elected to reduce GM's post-retirement benefits for retirees since over
$1,500 per vehicle sold today for such purposes will end GM and reduce those
benefits to zero. Is this theft? No! Is this bad management? Most certainly!
In my viewpoint all organizations should fully fund post-retirement benefits
of employees on a pay-as-you-go basis?
The problem is more complex for national social security and national
medical plans for citizens (not just government employees). Fully funding
these in advance is probably infeasible for the nation as a whole and/or
will stifle economic growth needed to sustain any types of benefits.
What will happen to Duluth and NYC if the retired employee benefits are
not reduced? Due to exploding medical costs, we can easily imagine taxes
becoming so oppressive that there is a mass exodus from those cities,
especially among yuppies and senior citizens having greater discretion on
where to live. One can easily imagine industry migrations out of high-tax
cities. Texas, Delaware, Florida, and New Hampshire cities look inviting for
a Wall Street move since there would no longer be oppressive NY state income
taxes added to all the extra NYC taxes. It is not too far fetched to imagine
that post-retirement benefits will collapse to almost zero if retirees
themselves do not accept some concessions to save the post-retirement udder
from going completely dry.
What is interesting to me is how an accounting rule change suddenly
awakens city managers (e.g., the Duluth managers) to the fact that they
should actually try to find out how much they owe former city employees and
the dependents of those employees. This is just another example of where an
accounting rule change instigates better financial management. We might call
city management in Duluth and other cities abnormally stupid if it were not
for the history of so many companies that were oblivious to their
post-retirement obligations until FAS 106 was about to be required. A whole
lot of executives and directors had no idea they were in such deep trouble
until being faced with
FAS 106 requirements to report these huge obligations arising from past
promises of bad managers (many of whom are now trying to collect on what
they promised themselves and their kids in the way of medical care).
In fact, it leads us to question conflicts of interest when managers vote
themselves generous post-retirement benefits. When you use the term "theft,"
Mac, you might question who is stealing from whom. Perhaps some of the
retirees slipped these generous benefits in because they thought they could
get away with something that would not be noticed until it became too late.
Dumb managers may have been "dumb like foxes."
An alternative to this discussion is the
realization is that the employee who accepts future "guarantee" of benefits
is in fact loaning the value of the expected benefits to the employer so has
a credit risk much the same as if they were sending in cash for bonds or
stock. There is a risk of bankruptcy or insolvency with any asset held by
another party. Anyone with a "guaranteed future benefit" is susceptible to
this risk.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on May 2, 2019
New international lease
accounting rules are prompting some finance chiefs to overhaul how they
benchmark corporate performance—a challenging move that could disenfranchise
investors married to metrics once used to compare performance to past
results, CFO Journal’s Nina Trentmann reports.
New
accounting, new math.
The changes will cause many companiesto report higher earnings before interest,
taxes, depreciation and amortization,
as well as higher free cash flow, a measure of cash earned from operations
after capital spending. Meanwhile, some credit metrics, such as leverage
ratios and earnings per share measures, will appear weaker in certain
instances.
Big risks.
Changes to the inputs of familiar benchmarks also could make it harder for
shareholders to compare past results to current performance or judge the
success of a company’s strategy. “There are a lot of adjustments to
financial metrics already,” said Mark Bentley, a director at the U.K.
Individual Shareholders Society, which represents retail shareholders in
Britain, “and the more we have, the more difficult it will be to assess the
underlying performance of the business.”
More money,
more problems?
Under the new standard, lease payments are split into two components, one of
which is considered when calculating free cash flow, resulting in a higher
figure. “Every company that adopts the new standard will get a boost in
reported free cash flows arising from the recategorization of operating
lease payments,” said Trevor Pijper, a vice president at Moody’s
Investor Service
Inc. “Investors could then ask, ‘What are you doing with all this free cash
Accounting
History Corner
"Leases: A Review of Contemporary Academic Literature Relating to Leases,"
by Angela Wheeler SpencerThomas Z. Webb, Accounting Horizons, Volume 29,
Issue 4
(December 2015) ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/acch-51239
Accounting for corporate leasing activities has
been examined and debated for more than 30 years. Currently both the
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) are developing standards to modify financial
reporting for operating leases, which are currently reported off-balance
sheet. In light of these proposals, we examine existing literature to better
anticipate possible effects of any changes. Namely, we review existing
studies to understand why firms engage in operating leases and how
information about these arrangements impacts users. First, we review studies
directly examining leases. As that review reports, some studies show that
companies engage in off-balance sheet leasing at least in part to manage
financial statement presentation. Other studies, however, suggest that firms
utilize operating leases to manage costs and preserve capital. In general,
the research reports that lenders, credit rating agencies, and other capital
market participants sufficiently understand off-balance sheet leases and
consider them in their decision making. Second, we provide commentary on one
of the current proposals' more debated areas and a current point of FASB and
IASB divergence: classification of expenses associated with operating
leases. While the IASB proposes disaggregating interest and amortization
elements, the FASB proposes reporting a single, combined lease expense.
However, very little research explicitly addresses expenses associated with
operating leases. Existing studies do, however, suggest that information
disaggregation, particularly with regard to operating and financing
activities, is important. Our review may be useful to regulators as the
reporting standards for operating leases are debated.
In May 2013, the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (FASB) and International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) jointly
issued a long-awaited Exposure Draft on accounting for leases. If enacted,
this proposed standard will fundamentally alter accounting for operating
leases, most notably, by eliminating current off-balance sheet treatment for
long-term leases and by requiring lessees to recognize a right-of-use (ROU)
asset and associated liability. Subsequent decisions, however, reflect
divergence between the IASB and FASB regarding income statement reporting
related to leases. While the IASB proposes treating all leases in a similar
manner and requiring segregation of interest and amortization components,
the FASB proposes to continue allowing the reporting of a single operating
lease (rent) expense on the income statement.
Proponents of the 2013 Exposure Draft maintain that
these changes will increase faithful representation, aligned with Concept
Statement No. 8 (FASB 2010a), thus improving the usefulness of financial
reporting. Detractors charge that these changes will distort the underlying
economics of some leases, obscure valuable information, and fail to increase
the quality and reliability of financial statements (e.g., Rapoport 2013;
Equipment Lease and Finance Association [ELFA] 2013). In light of this
ongoing debate, we review evidence relevant to the issue of lease
accounting, as it may prove informative in the continuing discussion and
research on this issue. We focus on recent findings related to why firms
lease, broadly speaking, and how information related to these structures may
be applied by users of the financial statements.
Long-standing concerns about accounting for leases
focus largely on the fact that a substantial portion of these structures are
kept off-balance sheet. Under U.S. GAAP, this treatment is made possible
through the application of bright-line tests prescribed by Statement of
Financial Accounting Standards (SFAS) No. 13, Accounting for Leases (FASB
1976) codified as ASC Topic 840, Leases. Currently, leases are classified
into two groups: (1) capital leases, which are effectively treated like
purchases, with required recognition of an associated asset and liability,
and (2) operating leases, for which only rent (lease) expense is recognized.
Because of the bright-line tests associated with this classification,
economically similar transactions sometimes receive dramatically different
accounting treatment, in some cases due to deliberate structuring of the
underlying arrangements (e.g., Weil 2004). Criticism of this standard began
almost immediately after SFAS No. 13 was adopted. In fact, in a March 1979
meeting a majority of the FASB agreed that if SFAS No. 13 were to be
reevaluated, then they would instead support “a property right approach in
which all leases are included as ‘rights to use property' and as ‘lease
obligations' in the lessee's balance sheet” (Dieter 1979, 19).
Concern about proper accounting for operating
leases is understandable, as their economic significance is large. For
instance, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in 2005 estimated
that while 22 percent of issuers report capital leases totaling
approximately $45 billion (undiscounted), 63 percent of issuers report
off-balance sheet operating leases totaling approximately $1.25 trillion
(undiscounted) (SEC 2005, 64). Cornaggia, Franzen, and Simin (2013) further
detail a dramatic 745 percent relative increase in the use of operating
leases since 1980.
Despite concerns about off-balance sheet treatment,
a substantial body of evidence indicates that users generally see through
the accounting associated with these structures and price the underlying
economics. Given this apparent market efficiency relating to lease
obligations, one might argue there is no need for regulators to act.
However, as the Group of Four Plus One (G4+1)1 proposal noted in 2000, “The
present accounting treatment of operating leases is not the most relevant of
the choices available” (Nailor and Lennard 2000, 5) and, as Lipe (2001, 302)
discusses:
This argument ignores the costs and inaccuracies
that result from numerous analysts performing their own computations. It
also ignores the fact that some contracts or regulations depend solely on
recognized amounts. The representational faithfulness of a coverage ratio
that ignores material amounts of operating leases is questionable given the
empirical results today.
Lipe (2001) summarizes key findings of the
literature related to leasing; however, the last decade has seen a number of
studies, which also examine the leasing question, providing greater insight
into why firms utilize leases as a financing mechanism and how users
interpret the information about these structures. As the FASB and IASB
revise the leasing model to a right-of-use framework, and thus require
recognition of nearly all leases, and as the boards consider the possible
economic consequences of this change in regulation, analysis of existing
evidence is vital. Consequently, this paper extends the work of Lipe (2001)
by summarizing certain studies he includes and discussing in greater detail
key work completed since publication of his paper. Specifically, after
summarizing the institutional background relating to leases, we synthesize
existing work to address questions likely to be of concern to regulators and
researchers as they anticipate the possible economic consequences associated
with a change in financial reporting for these structures. Specifically, we
seek to address the following two questions: (1) Why do firms engage in
off-book lease arrangements? (2) How do users assess information related to
these off-book structures?
Long-standing criticisms of operating leases charge
that the bright-line rules associated with these structures enable many
lessees to enter into these arrangements simply to achieve off-book
reporting. While some recent evidence does suggest that firms use certain
types of leases opportunistically (e.g., Zechman 2010; Collins, Pasewark,
and Riley 2012), other work indicates that firms use leases as a means of
efficient contracting and not simply to achieve off-book treatment (e.g.,
Beatty, Liao, and Weber 2010).2
Even if operating leases are entered into for the
purpose of minimizing costs rather than simply to achieve financial
reporting objectives, recognition of these structures may have substantial
contracting implications for affected firms. For example, while evidence
suggests that operating leases may be indirectly included in contract terms
(e.g., through the inclusion of debt ratings), the results of Ball, Bushman,
and Vasvari (2008) suggest that few debt covenant provisions appear to
directly constructively capitalize operating leases, and a Deloitte (2011)
survey reports that 44 percent of firms anticipate that recognition of
operating leases will affect existing debt covenants.
Further, while the bulk of the evidence supports
the conclusion that off-balance sheet leases are generally well understood
by users, some work suggests that less reliable and less transparent
disclosures may receive different treatment (e.g., Bratten, Choudhary, and
Schipper 2013). Consequently, recognition of these structures may in fact
result in observable shifts in market behavior (e.g., Callahan, Smith, and
Spencer 2013). Additionally, contrary to the proposed change requiring
uniform capitalization of most leases, other evidence suggests that users do
not necessarily consider all leases to have the same economic implications
(e.g., Altamuro, Johnston, Pandit, and Zhang 2014).
Finally, although scant work regarding the income
statement reporting for operating leases exists, this is perhaps the most
controversial of the proposal's unsettled issues. Users have mixed views (FASB
2013) and this issue is currently a point of divergence between the FASB and
IASB.3 To better understand the potential implications of reporting the
financing and operating components separately (the IASB's proposal) and of
reporting lease costs as a single combined amount (the FASB's proposal), we
extend our review to include literature on income statement disaggregation.
While some evidence suggests limited information content associated with
disaggregated earnings (e.g., Callen and Segal 2005), other work suggests
information about disaggregated earnings is useful to users (e.g., Lipe
1986), particularly with regard to information concerning operating and
financing activities (e.g., Lim 2014).
From our review we conclude that while some
negative contracting effects may be associated with recognition of operating
leases, given what appears to be a sophisticated understanding of these
structures, balance sheet recognition of these leases should have minimal
implications from a user perspective. If anything, recognition would appear
to aid users in understanding the value of the more opaque aspects of these
arrangements. However, considering that users appear to value these
arrangements differently in certain contexts, it seems imperative that
complete disclosures be provided about recognized amounts. Finally, although
users express different opinions on the proper income statement treatment
for operating lease arrangements (e.g., Financial Accounting Standards Board
[FASB] and International Financial Reporting Standards [IFRS] Foundation
2013), based on evidence to date, information on the operating and financing
components of these structures appears important.
We proceed by first examining the institutional
background of leases. Second, we review literature on why firms enter into
leases (broadly speaking) and operating leases (specifically). Finally, we
review literature on how users apply information about operating leases,
including potential use of operating and financing expense components. Table
1 summarizes a selection of the accounting studies cited.
General Electric's
cash problem will look better in 2019 after an accounting change takes
effect, an accounting professor says.
For reporting periods beginning after December 15, 2018, all public US
companies should apply a
new accounting standard
that requires them to recognize financing-lease assets and operating-lease
assets on their balance sheets. The previous accounting term only required
companies to recognized capital lease-assets.
With the financing-lease
assets and operating-lease assets now being counted as capital expenditures
(CAPEX), companies' free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capital
expenditure) will look different than they used to, Charles Mulford,
professor of accounting at Georgia Institute of Technology, told Markets
Insider. Companies that are not growing their fixed assets quickly, or are
reducing them, such as General Electric, will see a positive adjustment in
their free cash flow, and vice versa, he added.
According to Mulford, a
simple scenario for a capital lease is taking out a loan and spending that
money on new equipment. Under the previous accounting standard, the
equipment gained through this lease shows up as a CAPEX on the financial
statement.
In the case of using a
finance lease, companies negotiate terms with a bank, which wires the money
directly to the equipment lender. As companies didn't really touch the
money, though still purchased the equipment, the equipment was not reported
on the financial statement and only showed up in the footnote. But the new
accounting standard sees it as little different than a capital lease, and
thus requires it to be recognized as a CAPEX.
Operating leases do not
transfer ownership of the new equipment, and payments are made for usage of
the asset. A simple scenario is when leasing new equipment from a lender,
the lessee makes payments periodically for the right to use the equipment —
but does not gain equity in the equipment itself and will not own the
equipment at the end of the lease. This type of asset is now required to be
recognized on the balance sheet under the new accounting term.
Since companies' 2019 financial statements are not out yet, Mulford did the
math on his own.
Finance-lease assets, in
his eyes, can be viewed as non-cash CAPEX showed in the financial
statements' footnotes. Therefore, by adding the non-cash CAPEX to CAPEX,
companies that disclosed non-cash CAPEX, such as Amazon, would see their
free cash flow lower. General Electric didn't post any non-cash CAPEX in its
footnotes — at least from 2015 to 2017 — thus it was not affected at this
level of adjustment.
Operating-lease assets
should be recognized by their capitalized value, which represents what these
assets would cost if they were purchased for cash, according to Mulford. He
calculated the capitalized value of companies' operating-lease assets by
applying a multiple to their annualized rent expense changes. He also added
back the rent expense that year in the operating cash flow to avoid double
accounting — since rent expense was already subtracted in the previous term.
At this level, GE's free cash flow was adjusted higher because GE's rent
expenditure that he added back is higher than the increase in GE's
capitalized value of operating leases.
Companies like GE that
are limiting their fixed assets will see the same phenomenon, with the
adjustment being a positive one, raising adjusted free cash flow above the
reported amount, said Mulford. He added that his calculation is just for
reference, and when companies' 2019 financial results are reported later,
they are required to recognize the two lease assets on their balance sheets.
Based on GE's 2017 financial statement, its most recently disclosed annual
statement, Mulford sees GE's free cash flow improving by about 2.4% under
the new accounting term.
Recently, General Electric has sped up efforts to reduce debt and free up
cash. In June,
General Electric announced a massive reorganization,
saying it would spin-off its healthcare business and
split from the oil giant Baker Hughes. The conglomerate also said it would
reduce its debt by $25 billion in an effort to shore up its balance sheet.
Last October, GE announced it was taking a $23
billion write-down on its power business,
which it was also splitting in two, and slashing the company's dividend to a
penny.
And last Thursday, the company said
GE Capital sold off $8 billion of assets
in the fourth quarter and brought its debt load down by $21 billion. GE also
announced that it reached an agreement in principal for a $1.5 billion
settlement with the Department of Justice over WMC, its defunct subprime-mortgage
business.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on
January 22, 2019
Good day. Some
companies are finding
unexpected savingsas they comply with new
lease-accounting rules, reports CFO Journal's Nina Trentmann.
Silver-lining: The
arduous process has given finance chiefs a birds-eye view into their
companies' spending on leases. Firms listed in the U.S. and Europe this year
must report lease obligations on their balance sheets to comply with the new
rules, which aim to increase transparency for investors and lenders. The
rules are effective for 2019 financial reports.
New standards: Complying with the
standards requires companies to collect and disclose lease data on an
unprecedented scale. It has resulted in the time-consuming process of
chasing down lease agreements across offices, sometimes all over the world,
and scouring contracts for variations in terms and compiling the information
in one place.
Hidden savings: Public firms have
more than $3 trillion in off-balance-sheet leases, according to estimates
from the International Accounting Standards Board. Some companies could cut
lease expenses by 16% to 20%, said Michael Keeler, the chief executive of
LeaseAccelerator Inc., which
sells software to help companies comply with the new standard.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on November 11, 2015
Some of America’s best-known companies likely will
soon have to effectively boost the debt they report on their balance sheets
by tens of billions of dollars, the WSJ’s Michael Rapoport reports.
The total possible impact for all companies: as much
as $2 trillion. Within a few years, companies may have to add to their books
the cost of many leases for real estate, aircraft and other items that
aren’t already carried there.
U.S. rule makers are
set to vote
Wednesday
on whether to approve in principle long-awaited new rules requiring
companies to make that addition, though the move wouldn’t take effect until
at least 2018. Once the rules are finalized, companies are likely to get a
better handle on what their balance sheets might look like going forward.
Drugstores, large retailers, restaurants and supermarkets are likely to be
most affected under the rules because of significant real-estate leases. But
lease-accounting changes will also have a big impact on banks that lease
space for their retail branches, airlines that lease planes and shipping and
utilities companies that lease their vehicle fleets
SUMMARY: For hundreds of years companies have treated most lease
payments as operating expenses, like rent, and not put them on their balance
sheets. Under new accounting standards they would report the leases they
hold on their balance sheets as liabilities-equal to the net present value
of all future lease payments, which in some cases run for 20 or 30 years.
That little-known and seemingly benign change in accounting rules could cost
millions of jobs and billions in lost economic growth. Most business owners
and their employees have no idea what may be coming. The agencies that
establish accounting standards in the U.S., Europe and Asia have a proposal,
now gaining momentum, to change how companies present leased property and
equipment on their financial statements. If it is implemented, the effect
would be dramatic.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This opinion piece provides good information
regarding current and proposed accounting rules for leases, as well as the
problems that could result from the proposed changes.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the current accounting rules for leases?
What are the proposed changes to those rules?
2. (Advanced) What are the benefits of the proposed rules? What are
the potential problems associated with those changes?
3. (Advanced) Who is proposing the changes to lease accounting
rules? Why does this group have authority?
4. (Advanced) Who wrote this article? Is it a news story or an
opinion piece? How do these writers have knowledge to comment on this issue?
Do you respect or trust what they are saying?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Just as it seems the U.S. economy might be turning
a corner, a little-known and seemingly benign change in accounting rules
could cost millions of jobs and billions in lost economic growth. Most
business owners and their employees have no idea what may be coming.
The agencies that establish accounting standards in
the U.S., Europe and Asia have a proposal, now gaining momentum, to change
how companies present leased property and equipment on their financial
statements. If it is implemented, the effect would be dramatic.
For hundreds of years companies have treated most
lease payments as operating expenses, like rent, and not put them on their
balance sheets. Under new accounting standards they would report the leases
they hold on their balance sheets as liabilities—equal to the net present
value of all future lease payments, which in some cases run for 20 or 30
years.
IHS Global Insight has estimated that the new rule
would add $2 trillion to the liabilities on companies’ balance sheets, while
also adding $2 trillion in “assets” (the right to use the property or
equipment). The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) says this
will “provide users of financial statements with a complete and
understandable picture of an entity’s leasing activities.” That’s the
supposed benefit. But the costs are extraordinary.
An economic analysis by Chang and Adams Consulting
for several leading nonprofit and commercial organizations found that the
changes—first proposed in 2010 by the FASB and the London-based
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)—would raise the cost of
capital for lessees, in the process destroying 190,000 U.S. jobs and
shrinking the economy by $27.5 billion annually. And that was the best-case
scenario. At worst, the cost would be 3.3 million lost jobs and an economic
hit of over $400 billion a year, indefinitely.
Businesses of all sizes have long-term loans from
banks and other financial institutions. Those loans typically contain
covenants allowing the bank to demand immediate repayment when liabilities
grow unusually quickly, upsetting, for instance, the ratio of the company’s
debt-to-equity agreed upon at the time of the loan. Because the new
accounting rules would fabricate trillions in new debt, they would trigger
widespread violations of these covenants. Banks could then pull the loan,
demand higher interest, or require new collateral and guarantees.
Some have proposed a five-year transition to the
new rules. But this won’t solve the problem, because many business loans are
for much longer terms. Pushing the effective date of the rules into the
future merely delays the impact.
The additional burdens associated with constantly
tracking and remeasuring the “fair value” of leases of every kind, from a
business’s office space to the photocopier down the hall, will hit
businesses, and their employees and consumers, directly in the pocketbook.
According to some critics, the accounting-rule change would distort the
financial condition of businesses by accelerating expenses over a short
timeline rather than reflect expenses over the life of a lease.
Many private parties have sent public comment
letters to the FASB urging it and the IASB to conduct field tests to see how
much it would really cost lessees and tenants to do all the work the new
leasing rules would require. Congress has asked the FASB for a rigorous
cost-benefit analysis and field testing to objectively assess the risks of
the accounting changes. Neither has been undertaken. Yet all indications are
that the U.S. and international accounting-standards boards are going ahead
with only minor revisions to their proposal, which may be finalized next
year.
In 1973 the Securities and Exchange Commission
formally outsourced the job of writing accounting rules to the FASB. While
the SEC is authorized to seek help from private standard-setting bodies on
this issue, the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 explicitly reminded the SEC that
these quasi-government agencies can only “assist the Commission” in
fulfilling the SEC’s own responsibility to establish accounting standards
for publicly held companies.
Continued in article
Teaching Case on Pending Lease
Accounting Rule Changes
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 5, 2014
SUMMARY: U.S. and international accounting-rule makers are edging
closer to completing a decade-long effort to overhaul lease accounting
rules. The rules, which could be issued in 2015, threaten to bring roughly
$2 trillion of off-balance-sheet leases onto corporate books. But adding
assets and liabilities for store leases, airplanes and the like could force
companies to renegotiate the terms of their loans with lenders. Banks and
lenders often require companies to maintain covenants, such as a specific
debt-to-equity ratio, fixed-asset ratio or earnings metric, which could all
be thrown out of whack by such a significant accounting change.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This is an interesting article about the
changes to lease accounting because it highlights an important ripple
effect: calculations for debt covenants will be affected. This is important
to note for students that any change to accounting rules can change the
financial statements and any corresponding financial statement analysis
calculations. These ripple effects can cause problems for the firms and
should be anticipated and addressed.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What changes have been proposed for accounting
for leases? Why are rule-makers working on these changes?
2. (Advanced) What are some of the ripple effects resulting from
the changes to the lease rules? More specifically, what is the impact on
calculations for debt covenants?
3. (Advanced) How should lenders react? Should they adjust their
calculations? How should they approach enforcing existing contract
requirements?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Percentage of global companies with bank-debt
covenants potentially affected by lease accounting changes
U.S. and international accounting-rule makers are
edging closer to completing a decadelong effort to overhaul lease accounting
rules. The rules, which could be issued next year, threaten to bring roughly
$2 trillion of off-balance-sheet leases onto corporate books.
But adding assets and liabilities for store leases,
airplanes and the like could force companies to renegotiate the terms of
their loans with lenders. Banks and lenders often require companies to
maintain covenants, such as a specific debt-to-equity ratio, fixed-asset
ratio or earnings metric, which could all be thrown out of whack by such a
significant accounting change.
Some 50% of global companies have business loans
with debt covenants that could require them to repay a loan if they break
any covenants, according to a survey of more than 2,000 directors and
C-level executives by accounting firm Grant Thornton International Ltd. But
only about 8% of those companies currently believe that putting leases on
their balance sheet will affect their compliance with bank covenants.
"Many companies are in for a big surprise when this
comes out and they have to go to the bank," said Ed Nusbaum, chief executive
of Grant Thornton International. "They need to start talking to their
bankers."
In North America, about 75% of the executives
polled said their loans could be recalled if they break this type of
covenant, but less than 5% of executives thought the lease accounting change
would affect them.
The American Bankers Association has been pushing
rule makers to build a long transition period into the new rules, so that
they wouldn't take effect until at least 2018.
"There has to be a huge amount of education for
loan officers, who have to start figuring out what the right ratios are and
what they will have to adjust," said Michael Gullette, vice president of
accounting and financial management at the ABA.
• The FASB decided that repurchase options
exercisable at fair value would not preclude sale accounting for sale and
leaseback transaction s involving non - specialized underlying assets that
are readily available in the marketplace .
• The FASB decided that l essees that are not
public business entities could make an accounting policy election to use the
risk - free rate for the initial and subsequent measurement of lease
liabilities. This is consistent with the Board’s 2013 proposal.
• The Board affirmed its 2013 proposal to eliminate
today’s accounting model for leveraged leases but decided that leveraged
leases that exist at transition would be grandfathered.
• The Board also affirmed its 2013 proposal
for lessees and lessors to account for related party leases on the basis of
the legally enforceable terms and conditions of the lease .
Overview
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB
or Board ) continued to redeliberate its 2013 joint proposal 1 t o put
most leases on lessees’ balance sheets . At last week’s FASB - only
meeting, the Board made more decisions to clarify the proposed guidance
on the accounting for sale and leaseback transactions. The Board also
affirmed its 2013 proposed decisions about the discount rate for lessee
entities that are not public business entities (PBE) , the accounting
for leveraged leases and the accounting for related party leasing
transactions. The Board’s latest decisions, like all decisions to date,
are tentative. No. 201 4 - 333 September 2014 To the Point FASB —
proposed guidance
Two Teaching Cases Featuring Proposed Major Differences (FASB versus IASB)
in Lease Accounting
IASB Says the Tentative FASB Lease Accounting Model is Too Complicated
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on August 11, 2014
About $2 trillion in off-balance sheet leases needs to
be brought onto companies’ books, U.S. and international rule makers agree.
But that’s about where the agreement ends. When the final version of their
lease accounting overhaul arrives next year, it’s likely to involve
different models for lease expensing, creating a potential headache for
corporate financial staff in applying the divergent rules.
The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board plans to
stick with its proposed dual model for lease accounting, which treats some
leases as straight-line expenses and others as financings. But the
International Accounting Standards Board said last week that it has
tentatively decided to go with just one model for all lease expenses,
because it views the FASB’s plan as too
complicated,
CFOJ’s Emily Chasan reports.
But it’s also possible that the differences won’t be
too difficult to reconcile. “While it looks like we won’t have one complete
joint solution in the end, the actual impact of the differing models over
time may not be as dramatic as one might first think,” said Nigel
Sleigh-Johnson, head of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of England
and Wales’ financial reporting faculty.
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal's Weekly Accounting Review on March 21, 2014
SUMMARY: On
Tuesday and Wednesday, March 18 and 19, 2014, the U.S.
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and London-based International
Accounting Standards Board (IASB) met to further their "aim to issue a final
standard later this year that would move about $2 trillion dollars of lease
obligations onto corporate balance sheets." According to the article, their
differences have to do with the amortization of the lease cost into the
income statement: straight-line presentation of the rental cost in the
income statement or presentation as a long-term financing of an asset which
involves depreciation expense and interest expense on the lease obligation.
The former treatment is argued to be more appropriate for, say, storefront
rental leases. The latter system can show higher expenses in the early years
of a lease obligation.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is an excellent one to introduce
impending changes in lease accounting in financial accounting classes.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Summarize accounting by lessees under current
reporting requirements.
2. (Advanced) How do current requirements lead to lack of
comparability among financial reports? How do they result in financial
statements which often lack representational faithfulness? In your answer,
define the qualitative characteristics of comparability and representational
faithfulness.
3. (Introductory) Summarize the two proposed methods of accounting
for all leases as described in this article. Identify a timeline over which
these proposals have been made.
4. (Introductory) Summarize company reactions to these proposed
accounting changes.
5. (Advanced) Are company arguments and reactions based on
accounting theory? Support your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
U.S. and international rule makers remained divided
Tuesday in the first of two days of meetings aimed at resolving differences
on lease accounting.
The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board and
London-based International Accounting Standards Board aim to issue a final
standard later this year that would move about $2 trillion dollars of lease
obligations onto corporate balance sheets. But they are still split on the
fundamental model companies should use to measure those liabilities.
“We have been struggling with this standard for
many years,” Hans Hoogervorst, chairman of the IASB said at the meeting in
Norwalk, Conn. “There is no simple answer.”
The major difference is whether to restrict
companies to one method to account for leases, or to let them choose between
two. The debate will continue Wednesday.
Since 2005, the Securities and Exchange Commission
has recommended an overhaul of lease accounting because large off-the-books
lease obligations can obscure a company’s true finances.
Under current rules, lease accounting is based on
rigid categories that let companies keep operating leases for items such as
airplanes, retail stores, computers and photocopiers off the books,
mentioning them only in footnotes. In other cases, where the present value
of lease payments represents a very large portion of the asset’s value, they
are called capital leases and treated more like debt.
In their efforts to revamp the rules, accounting
standard setters have gone back to the drawing board several times. In 2010,
they proposed a method aimed at bringing leases on-the-books by categorizing
them as “right of use” assets, which would treat them like financings.
Companies pushed back, claiming it would be costly
to implement and could unnecessarily front-load lease expenses.
So the rule makers agreed to compromise in 2012 on
a two-method approach: The first would let companies treat some leases like
financings, such as when a company can purchase the asset at the end of a
lease. The second would treat other leases as straight-line expenses, such
as rental payments for retail storefronts.
That move also drew criticism from analysts, who
were concerned they wouldn’t get comparable financial information because
the choice would be left up to companies.
On Tuesday, some board members said they preferred
to return to the “right of use” approach because they think the compromise
is weak. Others were in favor of the two-method approach because it would be
easier to implement.
The dual method approach is the “more operational
one, at least initially,” said FASB Vice Chairman Jim Kroeker.
To speed a resolution, the boards also generally
agreed to eliminate potential changes to lessor accounting from the
proposal.
The boards had received feedback from investors and
analysts that the current lessor model works well and that changes could
result in more work.
Continued in article
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal's Weekly Accounting Review on August 15, 2014
SUMMARY: U.S. and international accounting rule makers are getting
closer to a final version of their long-awaited lease accounting overhaul,
but the two boards are unlikely to use the same lease expensing model in
their final rules. The London-based International Accounting Standards Board
published an update saying it has tentatively decided to propose a single
model for lease expenses, rejecting a 2013 compromise with the U.S.
Financial Accounting Standards Board for a dual model amid concerns that it
is too complex.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article is a good update regarding
accounting for leases.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is FASB? What is IASB? What do they have in
common? How do they differ?
2. (Advanced) What are the current rules regarding accounting for
leasing? Will this be changing? If so, how?
3. (Advanced) Why do some parties take issue with the current model
of accounting for leases? Do you agree that this is a problem? Why or why
not?
4. (Advanced) What is the reasoning behind the idea that there is
no real difference between the FASB and IASB methods? Do you agree?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
U.S. and international accounting rule makers are
getting closer to a final version of their long-awaited lease accounting
overhaul by next year, but the two boards are unlikely to use the same lease
expensing model in their final rules.
The London-based International Accounting Standards
Board this week published an update saying it has tentatively decided to
propose a single model for lease expenses, rejecting a 2013 compromise with
the U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board for a dual model amid concerns
that it is too complex.
FASB has tentatively decided to retain the dual
model, because it believes it better reflects the economics of different
types of leases, such as real estate and equipment leases. The models may
not result in significant financial differences, but it could have big
operational differences for corporate financial staff applying the
standards, industry analysts say.
The primary goal of the joint lease accounting
overhaul has long been to push companies to bring about $2 trillion in
off-balance sheet leases onto the books. Investors complain that today’s
off-balance sheet leases obscure a company’s true liabilities, and that they
often have to adjust calculations to include these expenses. Off-balance
sheet leases may be understating the long-term liabilities of companies by
20% in Europe, by 23% in North America, and by 46% in Asia, according to
IASB research.
But the overhaul has been delayed by disagreements
over how companies should measure leased assets and liabilities.
The IASB’s single model would treat all leases like
financings, requiring companies to recognize a so-called “right of use”
asset and amortize it over time. FASB’s dual model would treat some leases
like financings, such as when a company has the option to purchase equipment
at the end of a lease term, and treat other leases, such as store rental
payments, as straight-line expenses.
“While it looks like we won’t have one complete
joint solution in the end, the actual impact of the differing models over
time may not be as be dramatic as one might first think,” said Nigel
Sleigh-Johnson, head of the Instituted of Chartered Accountants of England
and Wales’ financial reporting faculty.
The real estate industry has primarily been
concerned that the single financing model for lease accounting would force
them to front-load lease expenses. But when companies include the additional
lease service components or tenant improvements into the straight-line
expensing model, the final result is often similar to the financing model,
according to a study of dozens of real-world leases earlier this year by
leasing firm LeaseCalcs LLC.
“In practice, the difference in the IASB and FASB
positions is expected to result in little difference,” the IASB said in its
update.
Jensen Comment
Neither the FASB nor the IASB will ever make headway with short-term lease
accounting rules until they factor in probabilities of lease renewals.
Two Teaching Cases Featuring Proposed Major Differences (FASB versus IASB)
in Lease Accounting
IASB Says the Tentative FASB Lease Accounting Model is Too Complicated
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on August 11, 2014
About $2 trillion in off-balance sheet leases needs to
be brought onto companies’ books, U.S. and international rule makers agree.
But that’s about where the agreement ends. When the final version of their
lease accounting overhaul arrives next year, it’s likely to involve
different models for lease expensing, creating a potential headache for
corporate financial staff in applying the divergent rules.
The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board plans to
stick with its proposed dual model for lease accounting, which treats some
leases as straight-line expenses and others as financings. But the
International Accounting Standards Board said last week that it has
tentatively decided to go with just one model for all lease expenses,
because it views the FASB’s plan as too
complicated,
CFOJ’s Emily Chasan reports.
But it’s also possible that the differences won’t be
too difficult to reconcile. “While it looks like we won’t have one complete
joint solution in the end, the actual impact of the differing models over
time may not be as dramatic as one might first think,” said Nigel
Sleigh-Johnson, head of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of England
and Wales’ financial reporting faculty.
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal's Weekly Accounting Review on March 21, 2014
SUMMARY: On
Tuesday and Wednesday, March 18 and 19, 2014, the U.S.
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and London-based International
Accounting Standards Board (IASB) met to further their "aim to issue a final
standard later this year that would move about $2 trillion dollars of lease
obligations onto corporate balance sheets." According to the article, their
differences have to do with the amortization of the lease cost into the
income statement: straight-line presentation of the rental cost in the
income statement or presentation as a long-term financing of an asset which
involves depreciation expense and interest expense on the lease obligation.
The former treatment is argued to be more appropriate for, say, storefront
rental leases. The latter system can show higher expenses in the early years
of a lease obligation.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is an excellent one to introduce
impending changes in lease accounting in financial accounting classes.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Summarize accounting by lessees under current
reporting requirements.
2. (Advanced) How do current requirements lead to lack of
comparability among financial reports? How do they result in financial
statements which often lack representational faithfulness? In your answer,
define the qualitative characteristics of comparability and representational
faithfulness.
3. (Introductory) Summarize the two proposed methods of accounting
for all leases as described in this article. Identify a timeline over which
these proposals have been made.
4. (Introductory) Summarize company reactions to these proposed
accounting changes.
5. (Advanced) Are company arguments and reactions based on
accounting theory? Support your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
U.S. and international rule makers remained divided
Tuesday in the first of two days of meetings aimed at resolving differences
on lease accounting.
The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board and
London-based International Accounting Standards Board aim to issue a final
standard later this year that would move about $2 trillion dollars of lease
obligations onto corporate balance sheets. But they are still split on the
fundamental model companies should use to measure those liabilities.
“We have been struggling with this standard for
many years,” Hans Hoogervorst, chairman of the IASB said at the meeting in
Norwalk, Conn. “There is no simple answer.”
The major difference is whether to restrict
companies to one method to account for leases, or to let them choose between
two. The debate will continue Wednesday.
Since 2005, the Securities and Exchange Commission
has recommended an overhaul of lease accounting because large off-the-books
lease obligations can obscure a company’s true finances.
Under current rules, lease accounting is based on
rigid categories that let companies keep operating leases for items such as
airplanes, retail stores, computers and photocopiers off the books,
mentioning them only in footnotes. In other cases, where the present value
of lease payments represents a very large portion of the asset’s value, they
are called capital leases and treated more like debt.
In their efforts to revamp the rules, accounting
standard setters have gone back to the drawing board several times. In 2010,
they proposed a method aimed at bringing leases on-the-books by categorizing
them as “right of use” assets, which would treat them like financings.
Companies pushed back, claiming it would be costly
to implement and could unnecessarily front-load lease expenses.
So the rule makers agreed to compromise in 2012 on
a two-method approach: The first would let companies treat some leases like
financings, such as when a company can purchase the asset at the end of a
lease. The second would treat other leases as straight-line expenses, such
as rental payments for retail storefronts.
That move also drew criticism from analysts, who
were concerned they wouldn’t get comparable financial information because
the choice would be left up to companies.
On Tuesday, some board members said they preferred
to return to the “right of use” approach because they think the compromise
is weak. Others were in favor of the two-method approach because it would be
easier to implement.
The dual method approach is the “more operational
one, at least initially,” said FASB Vice Chairman Jim Kroeker.
To speed a resolution, the boards also generally
agreed to eliminate potential changes to lessor accounting from the
proposal.
The boards had received feedback from investors and
analysts that the current lessor model works well and that changes could
result in more work.
Continued in article
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal's Weekly Accounting Review on August 15, 2014
SUMMARY: U.S. and international accounting rule makers are getting
closer to a final version of their long-awaited lease accounting overhaul,
but the two boards are unlikely to use the same lease expensing model in
their final rules. The London-based International Accounting Standards Board
published an update saying it has tentatively decided to propose a single
model for lease expenses, rejecting a 2013 compromise with the U.S.
Financial Accounting Standards Board for a dual model amid concerns that it
is too complex.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article is a good update regarding
accounting for leases.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is FASB? What is IASB? What do they have in
common? How do they differ?
2. (Advanced) What are the current rules regarding accounting for
leasing? Will this be changing? If so, how?
3. (Advanced) Why do some parties take issue with the current model
of accounting for leases? Do you agree that this is a problem? Why or why
not?
4. (Advanced) What is the reasoning behind the idea that there is
no real difference between the FASB and IASB methods? Do you agree?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
U.S. and international accounting rule makers are
getting closer to a final version of their long-awaited lease accounting
overhaul by next year, but the two boards are unlikely to use the same lease
expensing model in their final rules.
The London-based International Accounting Standards
Board this week published an update saying it has tentatively decided to
propose a single model for lease expenses, rejecting a 2013 compromise with
the U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board for a dual model amid concerns
that it is too complex.
FASB has tentatively decided to retain the dual
model, because it believes it better reflects the economics of different
types of leases, such as real estate and equipment leases. The models may
not result in significant financial differences, but it could have big
operational differences for corporate financial staff applying the
standards, industry analysts say.
The primary goal of the joint lease accounting
overhaul has long been to push companies to bring about $2 trillion in
off-balance sheet leases onto the books. Investors complain that today’s
off-balance sheet leases obscure a company’s true liabilities, and that they
often have to adjust calculations to include these expenses. Off-balance
sheet leases may be understating the long-term liabilities of companies by
20% in Europe, by 23% in North America, and by 46% in Asia, according to
IASB research.
But the overhaul has been delayed by disagreements
over how companies should measure leased assets and liabilities.
The IASB’s single model would treat all leases like
financings, requiring companies to recognize a so-called “right of use”
asset and amortize it over time. FASB’s dual model would treat some leases
like financings, such as when a company has the option to purchase equipment
at the end of a lease term, and treat other leases, such as store rental
payments, as straight-line expenses.
“While it looks like we won’t have one complete
joint solution in the end, the actual impact of the differing models over
time may not be as be dramatic as one might first think,” said Nigel
Sleigh-Johnson, head of the Instituted of Chartered Accountants of England
and Wales’ financial reporting faculty.
The real estate industry has primarily been
concerned that the single financing model for lease accounting would force
them to front-load lease expenses. But when companies include the additional
lease service components or tenant improvements into the straight-line
expensing model, the final result is often similar to the financing model,
according to a study of dozens of real-world leases earlier this year by
leasing firm LeaseCalcs LLC.
“In practice, the difference in the IASB and FASB
positions is expected to result in little difference,” the IASB said in its
update.
Jensen Comment
Neither the FASB nor the IASB will ever make headway with short-term lease
accounting rules until they factor in probabilities of lease renewals.
"Operating Leases Are Forward Contracts, Not Debt," by Dane Mott
Research, August 15, 2013 ---
http://www.danemott.com/leasecommentletter/
I thank Tom Selling for pointing this letter out to me.
Jensen Comment
This seems like a very sophisticated argument against reporting operating leases
as debt. But I have some questions about the analysis.
1. Mott makes a distinction between operating leases and capital leases
without defining operating leases for this particular analysis. There's not
always a clear distinction in some lease contracts, which is why FAS 13 drew
four highly controversial bright lines.
2. Mott's analysis is the same whether or not the operating lessee has a
series of renewal options. For example, Consider Mott's Example 2:
Example
1:
Assume Coffee Shop signed an operating lease in
2010 with an initial lease term of 10 years and four 5-year renewal
options. Coffee Shop has a weighted-average cost of capital (WACC) of 10%.
The initial annual rent in 2010 is $100,000 and is scheduled to grow at 3%
each year in the initial lease term and renewal option periods. The
risk-free rate yield curve and time value of money discount factors are
presented in the table that follows.
Jensen Comment
Mott's illustration calculations make no difference between an initial lease
of 30 years versus a lease of 10 years with four 5-year renewal options
versus a lease on one year with 30 1-year renewal options. There are
tremendous differences between these three operating lease contracts. An
academic can add lease renewal probabilities into the analysis, but the
lessee wants renewal options because of the difficulties of setting such
probabilities, especially for probabilities of renewals 20 or more years
into the unknown future.
More importantly, Mott assumes that the bundle of forward contracts
covers a fixed 30 year period. In fact, the embedded renewal options means
that, possibly at no cost, the lessee can opt out of future forward
contracts. What we have is a bundle of "possible forward contracts," and
that's a whole lot different than having a bundle of "actual forward
contracts." Mott makes no distinction between the "possible" forward
contracts versus the "actual" forward contracts in a lease "bundle" of
forward contracts. I would argue that this distinction is enormous.
3. Mott makes a belabored argument that the operating lease contract is a
"bundle of forward contracts" between the lessor and the lessee. Forward
contracts are indeed custom contracts not traded on exchanges, but beyond that
there are differences between forward contracts in the derivative financial
instruments literature and lease contracts.
Firstly, forward contracts generally assume spot prices are set by a deep
market for fungible items like corn, wheat, gold, stocks, and bonds. A
leased item like a coffee shop at 113 Main Street is highly unique and not a
fungible item relative to any other coffee shop like the one on 346 State
Street. And if Starbucks leases the both coffee shops with 1-year leases for
30 years there is no spot price set in a deep market of spot prices set by
potential lessees at the end of each year because potential lessees would
only bid on available leased property if Starbucks does not exercise its
renewal option. With the lessee having an option to renew each year the
property is not available until the current lessee declines the option.
Hence the market for a non-fungible, unique leased item is at best
hypothetical.
Secondly, in forward contracts it's generally assumed that all cash flows
of the forward contract flow between parties to the contract (e.g., lessors
and lessees) and that the party going long on the contract (the lessee) will
have a gain/loss equal to the party going short on the contract (the lessor)
for each forward contract in the "bundle" of contracts. In other bundles
like swap bundles of forward contracts, each contract is often net settled
for cash between the parties to each forward contract.
Suppose that at the end of 2019 in the above Example 1, the 113 Main
Street location has become a complete bummer due demolition of all nearby
office buildings (e.g., as in Detroit) and startup of a giant pig farm. The
lessee, Starbucks, decides not to renew and simply cancels all the remaining
four renewal contracts at virtually zero cost to the lessee. The lessor,
however, has a huge loss if the lessee cancels the future forward contracts
in the bundle, because the anticipated lease payments for the next 25 years
will be much smaller and even zero if there is no longer any demand for this
piece of poorly located property next to a stinking pig farm.
The lease contract actually has two sources of cash flow for the lessee.
Firstly there's the rent cash flow that's specified in the lease contract.
Secondly, there's the operating cash flow such as the revenue coming in from
sales of coffee and other items in a coffee shop. Unless the rents are
directly tied in some way to operating profits of the lessee, there can be
very low correlation between the cash flows of the lease contract and the
cash flows of the business using the leased property. This can lead to great
disparity between the value of the lease renewal options and the lease
contract cash flows. Mott does not factor in the value of the renewal
options into the bundle of lease forward contracts when in fact the lease
renewal options may be far more valuable then the forward contract cash
flows.
Hence, if Mott is going to carry through the forward contract accounting,
the lease renewal options should be bifurcated and valued separately.
However, there is no deep market for such options and they would be very
difficult to value. And they are not settled separately from the forward
contracts making the valuation even more difficult.
Jensen Conclusion
The main problem that neither the accounting standard setting boards nor Dane
Mott want to address is how to value renewal options. If lessees are hell-bent
to keep operating lease debt off the balance sheet under the FASB/IASB proposed
solution, lessees will simply write shorter leases with more renewal options.
Mott's proposed solution is no panacea because he offers no solution to how to
value renewal options since there is no forward contract cash flow tied to the
renewal options --- only the operating cash flows of the business using the
leased property. Valuing a renewal option 20 years out for a noin-fungible
unique asset boggles the mind in the real world.
The assumption of a known and fixed WACC across 30 years can be assumed to be
to simplify the illustration. But the real world estimation is extremely
complicated and enormously uncertain. Fortunately solutions are not so
sensitive to WACC errors 20 or more years into the future.
The converged proposal on financial
reporting for leases continues to face resistance with the deadline for
comment letters little more than one week away.
FASB’s
Investor Advisory Committee (IAC) last week
declined to support the
proposal, stating that the proposal is not an
improvement to current accounting. And the Equipment Leasing and Finance
Association (ELFA), a U.S. trade group, continued its campaign against the
proposal with a news release drawing attention to the advisory committee’s
dissent.
“This raises another key question,” ELFA
President and CEO William Sutton said Tuesday in a news release seizing upon
the IAC’s conclusion. “Is the cost-benefit analysis in the exposure draft
sound if key users and other stakeholders maintain that current GAAP gives
them better information than the proposed exposure draft and that the
proposed rules are too complex?”
Comments are due Sept. 13 on the
proposal at the websites of
FASB and the International Accounting Standards
Board (IASB).
The proposal calls for lessees to report a straight-line lease expense in
their income statement for most real estate leases. In most equipment and
vehicle leases, lessees would recognize leases as a nonfinancial asset
measured at cost, less amortization. This would result in a total lease
expense that generally would decrease over the lease term.
Former FASB Chairman Leslie Seidman said
when the proposal was released that it reflects investors’ views that leases
are liabilities that belong on the balance sheet.
During the IAC’s meeting with FASB on Aug.
27, IAC member David Trainer, CEO of investor research company New
Constructs, said it’s helpful to get more transparency on the liabilities
related to leases. But he said the complexities of leasing activity make it
almost impossible to create a one-size-fits-all solution that can be put on
the balance sheet.
The IAC recommended that the boards
increase disclosure requirements about leases rather than placing them on
the balance sheet.
“Having to unwind an accounting construct
put on the balance sheet and then having to do my own analysis is not very
desirable,” Trainer said. “I’d rather just have the data there, and let me
do with it what I think I ought to do with it.”
In the spring, Moody’s Investors
Service Managing Director Mark LaMonte
expressed
a similar view, saying the proposal would force
investors and analysts to deconstruct the information placed on the balance
sheet before performing their own calculations to determine lease
liabilities.
Jensen Comment
I think a case can be made for bringing leases onto balance sheets. But there's
a difference between that in general and the particular proposed rules being
advocated by the IASB and FASB.
FASB, IASB release 2013
converged financial-reporting standard for leases
"IASB chair: Lease changes unpopular, but necessary," by Ken Tysiac, Journal
of Accountancy, May 18, 2013 ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/News/20138001.htm
FASB decided Wednesday to move forward with a
re-proposal on financial reporting for leases that will be converged with
that of the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB).
FASB Chairman Leslie Seidman cast the deciding vote
in a 4–3 decision. Board members Tom Linsmeier, Marc Siegel, and R. Harold
Schroeder dissented.
The lease proposal, which is scheduled to be
released for public comment by FASB in May, would put all leases on the
balance sheet. It would require a dual expense-recognition approach for
lessees (excluding short-term leases), depending on whether significant
consumption occurs during the lease period.
So in general, equipment and vehicle leases that
tend to depreciate significantly during the life of a lease would be
accounted for differently from property leases, in which the asset usually
does not depreciate and sometimes increases in value over the lease period.
In some cases, the dividing line between the two
types of leases can be murky. And the very idea of having two models for
accounting for leases is troubling for some because it can create complexity
for users.
“Many people think that there should be one model
here,” Seidman said. “That is not universal. But they do not agree about
which model. So we’ve done our best to try and articulate a distinction that
reflects what some perceive as the economics of the difference between what
I’ll call ‘rentals’ and what I’ll call ‘finance-type leases.’ ”
During Wednesday’s meeting, FASB’s staff asked
board members to address the effects the proposal would have on financial
reporting complexity. Linsmeier said the proposal introduces significant
complexity for users because it divulges lease information in multiple
places in the financial statements without bringing it all together in one
footnote.
“If [users] are trying to bring all that
information that’s spread throughout the financial statements together to
understand what the rights and obligations are under a lease, and what the
related income statement and cash flows effects are, we did not provide them
sufficient information to do so,” Linsmeier said.
The leases project has been watched carefully by
various constituents because of its breadth, as many organizations are
parties to lease contracts. Because of the extent to which leases are used,
arriving at a converged standard could bring significant global
comparability to financial statements.
The IASB plans to release its exposure draft by
June 30.
“We have worked tirelessly with the IASB on this
proposal, and we are going out with a converged proposal, which I think is a
significant accomplishment,” Seidman said. “I would like to try to end up
with a converged improvement on the accounting for leases, and so on that
basis, I’d like to move forward with this exposure draft.”
From CFO.com Morning Ledger
on May 3, 2013
Lease-accounting proposal
still seen costing companies Despite significant changes,
companies and investors expect that a coming proposal aimed at overhauling
lease-accounting rules will be more costly in some areas than the current
standard,
Emily Chasan writes.
The FASB and IASB are preparing to shortly release a new lease-accounting
proposal for public comment, FASB Chairman Leslie Seidman said at a Baruch
College accounting conference in New York on Thursday. “It’s appropriate at
this point to re-expose that revised set of conclusions,” Ms. Seidman said.
Both versions of the proposal contemplate bringing trillions of dollars of
leasing obligations onto corporate balance sheets, but the new proposal
allows companies to record lease expenses in two ways, among other changes.
Some investors worry that the boards have made so many compromises that the
new rule won’t give them a clear picture of corporate leasing obligations.
“Ultimately, what’s going to end up back on the balance sheet as a result of
applying the standard really isn’t going to satisfy too many users of
financial statements,” Mark LaMonte, managing director at Moody’s.
From the CFO.com Morning
Ledger on May 16, 2013
The FASB and IASB just rolled out a revised proposal
to overhaul lease-accounting rules—a move that could effectively boost U.S.
companies’ reported debt by hundreds of billions of dollars,
the WSJ’s Michael Rapoport reports.
If adopted, the new proposal would require companies
to carry all but the shortest leases on real estate, construction equipment
and other items on their balance sheets as obligations akin to debt. The
current rules allow companies to keep many leases off their books, drawing
criticism from regulators that firms sometimes structure the terms of their
leases to keep them off the balance sheet.
The change could have a big effect on a wide range of
companies, from retailers and restaurant chains, which lease real estate at
hundreds or thousands of locations, to airlines and package-delivery
companies, which finance aircraft through leases.
The proposal also would change how some companies
reflect the costs from leases in calculating their earnings, Rapoport notes.
It would set up a two-track system in which the costs of leasing real estate
would be recognized evenly over the term of the lease, while the costs of
leasing other items would be more front-loaded—higher in the early years of
a lease, lower in the later years. We’ll have more updates on the new
proposal at CFOJ throughout the day, so stay tuned.
Jensen Question
So how do lessees minimize the balance sheet impact of booking operating leases
such as a sandwich shop in a Galleria Mall?
I would consider just shortening the operating lease period to a year or less in
the case where the former operating lease had a longer term. The FASB has never
really seriously taken up the issue of anticipated lease renewals of "operating
leases." Of course shortening a lease could alter the rental prices,
especially if the lessor is taking on more risk of non-renewal.
Of course the sandwich shop will
now have to post the contracted liabilities for monthly rent for 12 months or
less, but the shortened contract gets the shop out of having to post 60 months
of future rent obligation if the 60 months lease is no longer contracted with
the Mall. Both the Galleria and the sandwich shop of course expect to renew the
lease annually.
One problem with putting lease
renewal debt or assets on the balance sheet is deciding when the anybody's-guess number of
renewals should be terminated. For example, neither the Galleria or the sandwich
shop has any idea of how many times the lease will be renewed. The number or
future renewals is subject to all sorts of unknowable events of the future.
A huge difference between
renting space in a Galleria Mall versus renting a jumbo jet is that the Galleria
normally does not provide options to actually own leased apace in such a mall
that was not intended to be a condo mall.
FASB, IASB release 2013
converged financial-reporting standard for leases
"IASB chair: Lease changes unpopular, but necessary," by Ken Tysiac, Journal
of Accountancy, May 18, 2013 ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/News/20138001.htm
This email is being sent to you
because you are either a client, business associate or
colleague. Feel free to pass on the info in this email
and attached to the email.
Comment letters to the Leases ED are due
9/23/2013
so far 21 have been received with only 3 in full support
of the ED, 14 are totally negative and 4 have negative
comments but some positive comments
To help with your letter I attach
my comment letter,
some discussion points I put together to gather
thoughts for the ELFA comment letter,
an E&Y analysis of the ED
an announcement of a AAA study that shows that off
balance sheet info on op leases is processed effectively
by the capital markets and anlysts
some quotes from the AAA study - I cannot give you
the actual study as you would have to buy it
ELFA comment letter guidance from the ELFAonline
website
an AAA commentary on the G4+1 papers that gives
recommendations that are in line with my views
This message (including any attachments) contains
confidential information intended for a specific
individual and purpose, and is protected by law. If you
are not the intended recipient, you should delete this
message.
Also I should have attached the AAA g4+1 analysis - see attached - it os an
important document as it was advice given the FASB on the leases project -
much of the advice is in line wih my thinking but the FASB chose not to take
the advice
Sadly, the FASB loves (sort of in 4-3 voting) that controversial
dual-recognition model for lease accounting
"FASB lease proposal moves forward despite dissenting views," by Ken
Tysiac, Journal of Accountancy, April 10, 2013 ---
http://journalofaccountancy.com/News/20137752.htm
Jensen Comment
This is disappointing since I think many, many operating lease contracts will
simply be rewritten to circumvent the new standard:
“Outgoing FASB Chairman Leslie Seidman has had
plenty of time to tackle long-standing questions about whether
accounting principles are more desirable than specific accounting rules,
writes Emily Chasan. The debate over whether detailed rules and
bright-line exceptions are more or less useful than broad principles
that require management judgment has dominated her past 1o years on the
board. “I think it’s undeniable that we Americans like our
rules,” Ms. Seidman said… in her final
public speech as chairman of the U.S. accounting rule maker.” [emphasis
added]
I guess that settles it. Now we know for certain
why FASB standards have gone from bad worse.
Even if Ms. Seidman is correct, the FASB has come
up way short of the mark. The three super major projects she leaves for
others to complete when her second five-year term soon comes to an end are
the most direct evidence of the dysfunction: loan impairment, revenue
recognition and leases.
Focusing on lease accounting by lessees should be
enough to make the point; and I want to focus on that since I just finished
preparing my presentation on the most recent
ED for my upcoming update course in
Chicago. There may be some rules in that ED, but
all except for the requirement to recognize some modicum of a lease
liability on the balance sheet, are not near as consequential as the
smorgasbord of loopholes set out for managers to manipulate their earnings
without waking up their auditors or getting a call from an SEC investigator.
Some of these are carryovers from existing U.S.
GAAP, but If any of the rest were to make you think they were concocted in
the IASB’s central sausage factory, I wouldn’t argue with you:
The lease smoothie—For assets that meet
the definition of “property” (a judgment call all by itself),
subjective criteria will determine whether management can choose to
recognize lease expense straight-line — as opposed to a pattern
approximating the actual economics). The boards are leaving it to
management to determine if: the lease term is not for a “major” part of the
remaining “economic life” of the asset; or whether the present value of the
lease payments is not a “significant” part of the value of the asset; or
whether there is a “significant economic incentive” to exercise a purchase
option; or that land and/or building is the “primary asset” under contract.
Hide-the lease-payment trick #1—The lease
payments to be recognized as an asset and corresponding liability generally
are limited to the payments in the contract that are fixed. However,
judgment is required to determine if payments that are contingent on a
level of activity (e.g., retail sales in leased store space) are in fact
“disguised” as fixed lease payments. In other words, management is supposed
to say, “HA! I caught myself disguising fixed lease payments as variable
payments.” (Gimme a break.)
Hide-the-lease-payment trick #2—Judgment
(are we getting tired of that word yet?) is required to treat “expected”
(not defined—what a surprise) amounts to be paid under residual value
guarantees as lease payments to be capitalized.
Who said buy-borrow?—Options to purchase
the asset if they they are in-substance lease payments. (Another
“HA! I caught myself doing a bad thing.”)
Mix and match—Judgment is
required to determine if part of the cash flows are not actually lease
payments; and more judgment is required to estimate how much should
be accounted for according to some other standard. It could even get to the
point that a lessee would have to estimate the fair value—i.e., a
sales price—for services that it would never purchase separately and
arbitrarily carve them out of the cash.
My all-time favorite—When to take account
of renewal or termination options when estimating the lease term is
based on whether there is a “significant economic incentive.” For that, we
have the old IASB chestnut of “management intent” as one of the factors to
consider.
Don’t wake me from my dreams—Judgement
is required to determine that the factors originally used to account for a
lease have changed significantly enough to make reassessment appropriate.
There is still more, but that should be more than
enough to illustrate that the FASB’s latest gift to investors is far from a
compendium of “rules.” More than a decade ago, a much more attuned SEC
issued a clarion call to accounting standards setters, to finally end
operating lease treatment; for it was seen then as now as the most
pernicious form of off-balance sheet accounting. This ED is nothing more
than one last-ditch effort to take what was an extremely modest proposal for
lease capitalization off life support.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I'm not sure which managers love the ED. Finance executives absolutely hate the
ED.
Note that the above criticism was published before the latest ED from the
FASB. This begs the question of whether the items that made finance executives
unhappy were corrected in the 2013 ED. In my opinion the answer is generally no
to anticipated financial executives satisfaction.
The main concern seems to be the anticipated impact on earnings (especially
for Type A leases subject to accelerated expense booking) --- which is something
fair value accountants don't care much about since they are almost entirely
focused on the balance sheet.
June 27, 2012
Hi again Tom,
This exchange is interesting in that it begs the question of what is a
"derivative" financial instrument.
In the context of FAS 133, a "derivative" is mapped to a price/rate/credit
index such as a standardized grade corn price, LIBOR, or credit rating of an
investor's collateralized bond. FAS 133 scopes in derivative contracts in
commodity prices, interest rates, and credit ratings.
FAS 133 scopes out weather indexes such as average daily rainfall in Kossuth
County during July. We can certainly have a derivative financial instrument such
as a call option based upon a weather index, but these contracts are not scoped
into FAS 133.
The contracted index constitutes the "underlying" of a derivative financial
instruments contract. In virtually all derivative financial instruments
contracts the index measurement is verifiable and becomes the basis for ultimate
contract settlement. For example, when settling a call option on corn price, the
CBOE contracted strike price of corn is net settled against the
CBOE (
http://www.cboe.com/default.aspx )spot price (which is the
underlying). The CBOE defines "standard" contracts for this index in terms of
detailed chemical grading of corn (not any old puny corn qualifies for the CBOE
grading standard). Interestingly, the hedged item might be puny corn but the
farmer may net settle hedging CBOE corn derivative financial instruments
contracts on CBOE-quality corn he's unable to grow. From a FAS 133 standpoint,
this can lead to ineffectiveness of a hedge contract that is actually hedging
the farm yield of puny corn.
I think the definitional implication is that contracting parties are "takers"
and not "makers" as far as the underlying is concerned. Derivative financial
instruments are then "derived" from fluctuations in that underlying index
outside the control of the contracting parties in a derivative financial
instrument.
My main point is that a given farmer cannot control the CBOE spot price of
corn or the rainfall in Kossuth County in July that are used as an underlying in
a derivative financial instrument. He can control to some extent the price of
the corn he actually grows or what he's willing to pay to lease his crop land.
In my opinion, the contract is no longer a derivative financial instrument if
both the party and the counterparty totally or partially "make" the index. Hence
I assume that an option contract renew a lease is not a derivative financial
instrument contract if the contracting parties negotiate the rent rather than
use some rent index outside their control. I don't think a rent index exists for
most operating leases in the same sense that commodity price and interest rate
indexes exist in such places as the CBOE, CBOT, and CME markets.
The bottom line is that what we call lease renewal options and some other
types of options are not derivative financial instruments contracts that are
defined in FAS 133 or IAS 39 (soon to be IFRS 9). Hence, when we write that a
business firm has an "option" contract that contract is not necessarily a
derivative financial instrument. To be a derivative financial instrument it must
have an underlying that contracting parties take rather than make in the market.
Additionally, FAS 133 requires that to be eligible for hedge accounting there
must also be a net (cash) settlement provision based upon that index rather than
a requirement for physical delivery of the commodity in question.
Lease renewal contracts are more apt to be financial instruments rather
than derivative financial instruments.
As such, they are accounted for as other financial instruments. However, there
can be huge complications when attempting to carry lease renewal contracts at
fair value. The leased property is almost always highly unique and not a
fungible item.. The leased Gate 12 at the Manchester, NH airport is very
different from the leased Gate 57 in Baltimore. The CBOE has no standardized
contracts for airport gate rentals, building rentals, and equipment rentals like
it has for a chemical grade of corn in CBOE options contracts.
The main problem with lease renewals is that for operating leases these are
typically forecasted transactions that are not contracts. This is outside the
paradigm of an accounting Conceptual Framework built upon the paradigm of
contracts. I discuss this in greater detail at
When a corporation leases a building, is the
adjoining parking lot automatically included? Or should the lot be accounted
for separately? Does it make economic sense to count the lot as a separate
asset from the building, since in a typical suburban office complex one
generally doesn’t exist without the other?
Such questions are getting tougher and tougher to
answer for CFOs and other executives who account for lease expenses that
their companies incur – especially when you consider that the parties in the
debate can’t even agree on such a basic element as the definition of an
“asset.” In the example above, for instance, is the parking lot an asset
owned by the lessee, or is it simply a piece of rented property?
The confusion stems from a lease accounting
proposal jointly agreed upon by the Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB) and the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) in June that
requires lease expenses to be recorded on corporate balance sheets. The
boards decided that lessees should distinguish between equipment and
property leases, and that the distinction should be based on whether the
lessee acquires and/or uses up more than an “insignificant” portion of the
underlying asset. Along with other criteria, if a lessee buys or consumes
more than that amount, it would have to account for its cost on a
property-lease basis; if less, than the arrangement would be deemed an
equipment lease.
FASB and IASB further came to an agreement on
having property leases accounted for using a straight-line approach (in
which a single lease expense is recognized over the life of a lease) and
equipment leases accounted for in a front-loaded manner (in which larger
interest charges occur at the beginning of a lease than at the end).
Ralph Petta, chief operating officer at the
Equipment Leasing and Finance Association (ELFA), notes that the boards’
decision to make the equipment lease expense recognition front-loaded
creates a lot of problems. “It makes the accounting more complex than it
needs to be,” he says. Since equipment leases have not previously been
front-loaded, lessees would have to do a whole lot more calculating of asset
values if the plan goes through.
While ELFA supports having leases recorded on
lessees’ balance sheets and incorporating two types of leases for property
and equipment, the association’s leaders find fault with the way the boards
are addressing those issues now.
Critics of the proposal like Rod Hurd, CFO of
Bridgeway Capital Advisors and chair of ELFA’s financial committee, don’t
think the standard setters’ plan correctly addresses most lessees’
accounting needs.
For one thing, he notes the “economics” of the
FASB/IASB proposal don’t jibe with general accounting principles. In a
front-loaded lease on a balance sheet, as in the case of an equipment lease,
the asset appears to be worth less than its present economic value, notes
Hurd.
FASB and IASB’s front-loaded approach for equipment
leases considers all equipment leases as purchases, perhaps reasoning that,
in many cases, short-term lessees resemble owners more than renters. ELFA
and others, however, say that the concept doesn’t match reality.
Jensen Comment
In my opinion, standard setters, corporations, and financial analysts are
avoiding the most important and the most troublesome aspect of lease accounting
--- how to account for lease renewals. As long as lessees and can simply look at
one lease term for accounting purposes, the leases will be written for shorter
terms and thereby defeat the purpose of getting OBSF debt on the balance sheet.
The diversity in how analysts and investors look at
leases in practice appears to be making it much harder for the Financial
Accounting Standards Board and the International Accounting Standards Board
to achieve their objectives for the joint lease accounting project.
The boards have said that one of the key reasons
for addressing lease accounting was that current lease accounting standards
under both generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) and international
financial reporting standards (IFRSs) have been criticized as failing to
meet the needs of financial statement users and presents structuring
opportunities. The standards-setters have been redeliberating towards
issuing an exposure draft in the fourth quarter this year-their second
proposal.
In June the FASB and IASB decided upon an approach
in which some lease contracts would be accounted for using an approach
similar to that proposed in the 2010 leases Exposure Draft and some leases
would be accounted for using an approach that results in a straight-line
lease expense.
If financial statement users were unified in the
manner in which they looked at leases it would be much easier for the boards
to tailor the outcome to meet investors' needs. However, during a July 24
discussion with the FASB, members of its Investors Technical Advisory
Committee made it clear that given the divergent views among analysts, the
boards' solution is a compromise that misses the mark.
ITAC members held diverse views on how--in their
analysis--it is most useful to present leases, said Gary Buesser, Director
of Lazard Asset Management, LLC. ITAC's views fell among three categories:
all leases should be off the balance sheet as
rent expense
all leases should be on the balance sheet with
an amortization and interest approach
it is a derivative, that is, a series of
forwards on the entity's ability to extend its right to use the asset
(minority view).
Form of Financing.
The crux of the whole issue may be stemming from
the broad based belief among investors, financial statement users and
analysts that leases are a form of financing. A significant number of
analysts and investors who are using financial statements will make
adjustments to put an item back on the balance sheet for leases, according
to the ITAC discussion.
Some ITAC members said the boards may be in better
position if they left the accounting guidance as it is currently with some
minor improvements, including enhancements to disclosures that will further
improve the ability of analysts and financial statement users and investors
to make the adjustments they want to make to get to the numbers that they
want to look at.
"Though current lease accounting rules are not
ideal, the accounting today allows analysts to adjust in the way they want
to adjust," said Mark LaMonte, Managing Director, Chief Credit Officer of
Moody's Investors Service Financial Institutions Group.
"I think it's easier for me to adjust and get the
lease number I want on the balance sheet from the current accounting, than
it is to unwind a kind of half way there number and then have to adjust,"
said LaMonte.
"In our shop we believe leases belong on the
balance sheet, so if they're already on as capital leases we accept it, if
they're off balance sheet as operating leases, we're going to put them on,"
he said.
The Project.
Leasing is an important source of finance for many
companies who lease assets. A FASB summary states that it is therefore
important "that lease accounting provides users of financial statements with
a complete and understandable picture of an entity's leasing activities."
FASB member Lawrence Smith told the ITAC that
current GAAP has two different types of leases, but it is based upon the
approach that an entity would follow a whole asset approach, that is, that
it is either leasing an asset or effectively it is like it is buying the
asset.
"[This is] why we get the difference between
operating leases and capital leases," he explained. "In general does ITAC
have a view that perhaps the way we're accounting for it now, following the
whole asset is the appropriate way of doing it?" asked Smith.
With the level of diversity among analysts, even
among ITAC, it would be difficult to come up with a one sized fixed all
solution, the analysts said. "Maybe the best thing to do is to make sure
that the information is there so that people can adjust to what they want,"
LaMonte said. "Keep it as simple as possible and give information so that
people can make the adjustments they want to make," he said.
Dual Model Unanimously opposed.
One of the reasons the board decided to go down the
route of having a dual model is because the board became convinced during
outreach with constituents that there is more than one kind of lease
economically, and to properly reflect that a dual model was needed.
But ITAC members, who unanimously opposed the duel
model income statement approach, said they found it complex and confusing.
"We thought that if I leave real estate, I continue with today's current
accounting, if I moved toward leasing equipments, I go to a financing
arrangement and I have amortization plus interest expense, this could
require many adjustments in particular for companies that have both real
estate leases and equipment leases," said Buesser. "So we felt that there
was something about that--that supply," he said.
Summary:
The February 28-29 joint FASB/IASB board meetings on leases focused on the
continued objections from constituents to the 2010 exposure draft's proposed
"front-loaded" lessee expense recognition pattern. The boards discussed two
possible paths forward, but were unable to reach any tentative decisions and
requested that the staff perform further outreach. Read our In brief
article for an overview of the two approaches discussed at the meeting.
The Grumps Think Rite Aid Should Get a Going Concern Report from Deloitte
There are no academy awards in the offing for Rite
Aid’s version of the 1983 test pilot film classic. Recently,
the Company released its 10-K, and things are
still a mess. No rocket science here. Rite Aid cannot earn a profit and
cash flows are dwindling even with an extra week of operations included
(2011 was a 53 week fiscal year). And the balance sheet is disgraceful. The
Company just cannot seem to do anything “rite!” Maybe management would have
done better with a comedy like “Failure to Launch.”
Things have only worsened since we initially
visited the Company in
Rite Aid: Is Management Selling Drugs or Using Them?
It has not posted a positive earnings number since
2007. Sure, the net loss is less than it was for the past few years, but a
loss is still a loss, and remember, it had an extra week for this year’s
performance reports. It continues to bleed lease termination and impairment
charges, as well as losses on debt modifications and retirements. Yet,
managers continue to perpetuate a turnaround façade via “improving” adjusted
EBITDA numbers which suggest almost a $1 billion in “real” earnings.
Instead, the Company needs a dramatically new business model that emphasizes
operating effectiveness and efficiency. Only then will revenues rise, and
cost of sales and other operating costs decline, both requirements for the
Company’s delivering a profit. We understand that the Company has
implemented cost cutting initiatives, but when will see some believable and
meaningful results?
The balance sheet remains in shambles. Okay, there
are enough current assets to cover current liabilities, but that’s the end
of any good news in the balance sheet. Total assets are $7,364 (all
accounts are in millions of dollars), while total liabilities are $9,951,
thereby yielding a shareholders’ deficit of $(2,587). How this firm avoids
corporate bankruptcy we just don’t know!
Actually, the balance sheet condition is much worse
because the Company has humongous lease obligations that are carried
“off-balance sheet.” Using the data in financial statement note 10, we
estimate the present value of the Company’s lease liabilities to be $5,939.
This adjustment increases total liabilities to $15,890, causing the
stockholders’ deficit to worsen to $(8,526).
At least Rite Aid does not carry goodwill on its
books any more, having written off the last vestiges of this intangible
“asset” in 2009. The only remaining reported intangibles are for favorable
leases and for prescription files. Oh please…favorable leases for a Company
in this financial condition…we would be inclined to reduce the favorable
lease asset, but the amounts are just not big enough to fret over given the
“death watch” status of the Company.
However, to its credit, Rite Aid has not followed
the example of Citicorp and some other banks that pumped earnings up by
recognizing gains due to market value declines of debt due to problems in
its own creditworthiness. This practice is a sham even if condorsed
(condoned and endorsed) by the FASB.
Even though the cash flow statement does provide
some positive news, reported cash flows are a bit down (and again there was
that extra week in the fiscal period). Cash flows from operating activities
were $(325), $395, and $266 for 2009-2011, while free cash flows were
$(519), $209, and $16, respectively. So, Rite Aid is reporting a positive
free cash flow, albeit smaller than last year’s.
Ironically, if the Company would capitalize all of
its operating leases, the cash flow picture improves considerably! That’s
because rental expenditures under operating lease accounting are displayed
as operating activities; however, when leases are capitalized, the cash
flows are divided between interest payments and payments against the lease
obligation, the latter payments being properly categorized as financing cash
flows. Interest payments are still considered part of operating
activities. Thus, adjusted free cash flows paint a rosier picture for Rite
Aid: they are $(45), $691, and $545 for 2009-2011.
Given the Company’s precarious state, why doesn’t
the auditor, Deloitte & Touche, issue a going concern report? After all,
Rite Aid’s troubles make it a bankruptcy candidate.
Clearly, profits are negative for five years, and
there are significantly more liabilities than assets. Perhaps the auditor
also adjusts operating leases to obtain the healthier free cash flow numbers
that we have estimated, and deduces that the firm can survive. If so, then
the auditor should persuade, if not require, Rite Aid to capitalize all of
its leases.
Taking a long term perspective, most of the
troubles endured by Rite Aid over the last several years seem a result of
the failed Eckerd and Brooks business combination, which it bought from the
Jean Coutu Group. In short, Rite Aid paid too much for the business. When
the subsidiary did not generate enough cash flows, Rite Aid borrowed to the
hilt, and has been operating under a heavy debt burden ever since. (As a
side note the Jean Coutu Group recently sold a substantial number of its
Rite Aid shares, reducing its ownership to about 20 percent.)
Continued in article
The Grumps respond to their AECM critics on accounting for leasing at Rite
Aid. I forwarded the AECM messaging concerning whether the Grumps made a mistake
on their Rite Aid posting.
Last time we discussed
Rite Aid and claimed the balance sheet was in shambles.
Some fellow accounting professors objected to the
analysis, so we need to respond to them. We’ll answer the criticism and
point out the big point that they all missed.
You will recall that Rite Aid’s most recent balance
sheets has total assets of $7,364, total liabilities of $9,951, and
shareholders’ equity of $(2,587). As before, all amounts are in millions of
U.S. dollars. We then said our estimate of the present value of the
operating leases was $5,939, thereby increasing total debts to $15,890 and
causing shareholders’ equity to dip to $(8,526).
The criticism we received concerns the hit to
equity. They state that the entire amount should not go against equity but
that a sizable amount should be in assets.
The criticism is well taken—up to a point. Our
analysis indicated that the assets were over half depreciated, so only a
relatively small portion would be added to the left-hand side of the balance
sheet. Besides, as Rite Aid is a Pennsylvania corporation, we have been in
several of the stores, and we think that the fair value of the leases needs
to be written down. At that point we took a short cut and assumed none of
it would be there. It made the work a lot shorter and helped us to make our
point succinctly.
But, since our friends and associates want a
full-blown adjustment instead of this raw short cut, here goes. We adjust
the income statement by taking out rental expense and by adding in
depreciation, interest, and the differential income tax. We adjust the
assets in the balance sheet for the leased resources minus their accumulated
depreciation. We adjust the current debts for the present value of next
year’s lease payment. We adjust noncurrent debts for the present value of
the remaining lease payments and for deferred income taxes. Finally, we
adjust the stockholders’ equity for the cumulative effect of past year
differences in the firm’s net income.
What we find is the following:
Reported
Adjusted
Revenues
26,121
26,121
Expense
26,490
26,472
Net income
(368)
(351)
Current assets
4,504
4,504
Plant
2,860
5,177
Total assets
7,364
9,681
Current debts
2,570
3,547
Long-term debts
7,381
12,438
Total debts
9,951
15,985
Equity
(2,586)
(6,304)
Total
7,364
9,681
Yes, the total assets are larger by $2.3 billion,
but notice that the total debts are larger by $6 billion and the
shareholders’ equity is lower by $3.7 billion. (The liabilities are higher
than the $5.9 we previously mentioned because now we are including the
deferred income tax effect.)
So the criticism is correct inasmuch as the full
$5.9 billion does not decrease equity, only $3.7 billion. But given that we
originally just wanted a rough approximation, we still don’t think it was
off as badly as our colleagues thought. As they obviously are watching
carefully, we promise not to take this short cut again.
Having said that mea culpa, let’s observe that the
thrust of our previous work is correct. The balance sheet of Rite Aid
is in shambles and the losses are habitual. Operating cash
flows are higher than reported, as we explained in the previous column, but
that implies that financing cash outflows are correspondingly worse. Rite
Aid is in trouble.
Jensen Comment
I might note that to date the IASB and the FASB cannot agree on a new joint
standard on leasing. The joint project is now entering a new Plan D under
consideration. Until then, Rite Aid is subject to existing FASB rules on lease
capitalization and expensing.
Whole contract, or Approach D, is a fourth possible
approach for lease accounting that could be included in the second exposure
draft for the lease accounting convergence project. It was added to the list of
approaches after the International Accounting Standards Board and the Financial
Accounting Standards Board could not agree on the other approaches. Whole
contract "accrues the average rent as the reported lease cost ... and adjusts
the lease liability on each balance sheet date to be the present value of the
remaining lease payments," Erika Morphy writes in this article.
AICPA Newsletter
"IS A LEASE ACCOUNTING BREAKTHROUGH IN THE OFFING? WE ARE HOLDING OUR
BREATH," by Anthony H. Catanach Jr. and J. Edward Ketz, Grumpy Old Accountants
Blog, June 4, 2012 ---
http://blogs.smeal.psu.edu/grumpyoldaccountants/
When the IASB and the FASB Cannot Agree Try Plan D
Whole contract, or Approach D, is a fourth possible
approach for lease accounting that could be included in the second exposure
draft for the lease accounting convergence project. It was added to the list of
approaches after the International Accounting Standards Board and the Financial
Accounting Standards Board could not agree on the other approaches. Whole
contract "accrues the average rent as the reported lease cost ... and adjusts
the lease liability on each balance sheet date to be the present value of the
remaining lease payments," Erika Morphy writes in this article.
AICPA Newsletter When Introducing the Link Below
WASHINGTON, DC-A key concern of commercial real
estate companies is looming changes to how they account for leases. The
International Accounting Standards Board and the US Financial Standards
Board have worked—or rather, struggled—to converge their two respective
lease accounting standards, and so far the proposals have been less than
pleasing to the CRE industry.
Now, a new proposal has emerged that could be
satisfactory to real estate and other business users, Bill Bosco, a
consultant for the Washington, DC-based Equipment Leasing and Finance
Association and principal of Leasing 101, tells GlobeSt.com.
There are still some hurdles, namely IASB is
reportedly not yet on board, he says. “But this is the proposal we think
most of the stakeholders would agree is an acceptable method,” he states.
“Certainly real estate owners, concerned about what their lease costs will
look like, will accept this one as the best of all proposed methods.” He
estimates that 75 to 80% of the dollar volume of operating leases are real
estate leases.
This new proposal is called whole contract. It
accrues the average rent as the reported lease cost--much the same as
current GAAP--and adjusts the lease liability on each balance sheet date to
be the present value of the remaining lease payments. “It does not change
the P&L or the cash flow presentation for what used to be the operating
lease,” Bosco says.
Whole contract, or Approach D as it is also called,
was added as a fourth possibility after FASB and IASB could not come to an
agreement this February on the lessee cost pattern issue. This is deemed to
be the most significant unresolved issue that is holding up the issuance of
a new exposure draft for converged lease accounting project.
When the boards were unable to agree on any of the
three lessee accounting approaches presented at their meetings, their staff
was directed to conduct industry outreach to get preparer and user feedback.
Approach D is up for consideration to be included in the second exposure
draft.
In August of 2010, FASB and the IASB jointly proposed
completely new financial accounting rules for simple leases. Basically, the
proposal would treat all leases as involving both the use of the leased
property and a financing of that use. One consequence of this treatment is
more accelerated recognition of rent revenue and expense than currently.
This article reviews the proposal, considers how, as financial accounting,
the proposal would impact U.S. Federal, state, and local tax-related
matters, and then explores whether the proposal should be adopted as U.S.
income tax law. The proposal would improve U.S. tax law, including providing
the foundation for better rules for sourcing the income of multinational
businesses. Even if FASB and IASB do not implement their proposal, its
approach would provide the basis for valuable tax reform.
Jensen Comment
Reactions to the Dual Model Lease Proposal have been so overwhelmingly negative,
it's not yet what will new lease accounting rules will emerge. Personally, I
don't think anything will be resolved until standard setters invent a better way
for dealing with short-term lease renewal/cancellation options.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
I totally disagree.
There have been certain foundational paradigms of accounting standard setting
for centuries. The most permanent of these, until now, is that accounting assets
and liabilities are built upon contractual obligations, most of which carry some
penalties or benefits if they are broken --- this is the basis of bankruptcies
and most civil lawsuits.
The booking of forecasted transactions is what I view as a paradigm shift. Until
now I've mostly thought about this in terms of the booking of airline gate lease
renewals on the lessee's balance sheet or the booking of a forecasted
transaction of a lessee to buy jet fuel a year from now.
Suppose the Southwest Airlines books the estimated discounted cash flow lease
renewals for an airline gate --- this is a booked liability. What happens on
the books of the lessor? Presumably this becomes a booked asset. What happens to
the asset (to the lessor) and the liability (to the lessee) if the lessee simply
elects not to renew the lease?
In double entry accounting what are the entries for not renewing booked lease
renewals?
Please answer in terms of the books of both the lessee and the lessor.
For convenience I repeat part of an earlier message:
Suppose we define the event as the signing of a
18-month lease of Gate 12 at the Manchester, New Hampshire airport. The
lease contract calls for 12 monthly payments of $10,000 each. In addition,
the lease has a forecasted transaction of renewal on each year thereafter at
the discretion of Southwest Airlines for ten years at a monthly rate of
$10,000 per month plus or minus a rental premium or discount pegged to the
change in U.S Treasury Rates. For simplicity ignore cancellation fees,
leasehold improvement costs, and rental rate inflation adjustments. The
treasury rate adjustment is probably unrealistic, but for educational
purposes this does add a hedgeable component to the forecasted transaction
prices. I think it is common in lease renewals to have hedgeable components.
The future annual renewals are forecasted
transactions in the same sense as forecasted transactions of jet annual jet
fuel purchases of an airliner. The forecasted transactions of fuel expenses
cannot be booked under GAAP even if they are hedged items. I assume
that the forecasted transactions of gate lease renewals will be booked under
the new joinrt lease capitalization standard. Thus there's a question about
consistency in terms of the Conceptual Framework.
My question is whether capitalizing some
forecasted transactions (e.g., lease renewals) while not capitalizing most
other forecasted transactions (e.g., forecasted jet fuel purchases) are both
in formal logic conformance with the FASB's Conceptual Framework.
Another way of putting this question is whether
cherry picking what forecasted transactions are required to be booked under
new or revised standards is consistent with the Conceptual Framework. And
are there any Conceptual Framework guidelines for deciding whether a
forecasted transaction must be booked?
In double entry accounting what are the entries for not renewing booked
lease renewals?
Please answer in terms of the books of both the lessee and the lessor.
a transaction that is expected, with
high probability, to occur but as to which there has been no firm
commitment. Particularly important is the absence penalties for
breach of contract. Paragraph 540 on Page 245 of FAS 133 defines it
as follows:
A transaction that is expected to
occur for which there is no firm commitment. Because no
transaction or event has yet occurred and the transaction or
event when it occurs will be at the prevailing market price, a
forecasted transaction does not give an entity any present
rights to future benefits or a present obligation for future
sacrifices.
To my students I like to relate firm
commitments and forecasted transactions to purchase commitments or sales
contracts that call for future delivery. If the contract specifies an
exact quantity at a fixed (firm) price, the commitment is deemed a "firm
commitment." Cash flow is never in doubt with a firm (fixed-price)
commitments and, therefore, a firm commitment cannot be hedged by a cash
flow hedge. For example, suppose Company A enters into a purchase
contract to purchase 10,000 tons of a commodity for $600 per ton in
three months time. This a firm commitment without any doubt about the
cash flows. However, if the price is contracted at "spot price" in
three months, the commitment is no longer a "firm" commitment. The
clause "spot price" makes this a forecasted transaction for 10,000 at a
future price that can can move up or down from its current level. It is
possible to enter into a cash flow hedge with a derivative instrument
that will lock in price of a forecasted transaction. In the case of a
firm commitment there is no need for a cash flow hedge.
In the case of a firm commitment the cash
flow is fixed but the value can vary with spot prices. For example, in
three months time the firm commitment cash flow may be ($600)($10,000) =
$6,000,000. If the spot price moves to $500, the cash flow is more than
the value of the commodity at the time of purchase. It is possible,
however, to use a derivative financial instrument to hedge the value at
a given level (called a fair value hedge) such that if the spot rate
falls to $500, the hedge will pay ($600-$500)(10,000 tons) =
$1,000,000.
In the case of a forecasted transaction at
spot rates, the value stays fixed at ($ spot rate)(10,000 tons).
However, the cash flow accordingly varies. It is possible to enter into
a cash flow hedge using a derivative financial instrument, however, such
that the cash flow is fixed a desired level. In summary either cash
flows are fixed and values vary (i.e., a fixed commitment) or cash flows
vary and values are fixed (forecasted transaction). If hedging takes
place, firm commitments are only hedged with respect to value, whereas
forecasted transactions are only hedged as to cash flow.
Because no transaction or event has yet
occurred and the transaction or event when it occurs will be at the
prevailing market price, a forecasted transaction does not give an
entity any present rights to future benefits or obligations for future
sacrifices. Firm commitments differ from forecasted transactions in
terms of legal rights and obligations. A forecasted transaction has no
contractual rights and obligations. Forecasted transactions are referred
to at various points in FAS 133. For example, see FAS 133 Paragraphs
29-35, 93, 358, 463-465, 472-473, and 482-487. A forecasted transaction,
unlike a firm commitment, may need a cash flow hedge.
Paragraph 29b on Page 20 of FAS 133
requires that the forecasted transaction be probable. Important in
this criterion would be past sales and purchases transactions. An
on-going baking company, for example, must purchase flour. It does
not have to purchase materials for a plant renovation, however,
until management decisions to renovate are firmed up.
Paragraph 325 on Page 157 of FAS 133
states that even though forecasted transactions may be highly
probable, they lack the rights and obligations of a firm commitment,
including unrecognized firm commitments that are not booked as
assets and liabilities.
Forecasted transactions differ from
firm commitments in terms of enforcement rights and obligations.
They do not differ in terms of the need for a specific notional and
a specific underlying under Paragraph 440a on Page 195 of FAS 133.
Section a of that paragraph reads as follows:
a. The agreement specifies all
significant terms, including the quantity to be exchanged, the fixed
price, and the timing of the transaction. The fixed price may be
expressed as a specified amount of an entity's functional currency
or of a foreign
currency. It also may be expressed as a
specified interest rate or specified effective yield.
In Paragraph 29c on Page 20 of FAS 133,
the forecasted transaction cannot be with a related party such as a
subsidiary or parent company if it is to qualify as the hedged
transaction of a cash flow hedging derivative. An exception is made
in Paragraph 40 on Page 25 for forecasted intercompany foreign
currency-denominated transactions if the conditions on Page 26 are
satisfied. Also see Paragraphs 471 and 487. Paragraph 40 beginning
on Page 25 allows such cash flow hedging if the parent becomes a
party to the hedged item itself, which can be a contract between the
parent and its subsidiary under Paragraph 36b on Page 24 of FAS
133. However, a consolidated group may not apply cash flow hedge
accounting as stated in Paragraph 40d on Page 26.
Cash flow hedges must have the
possibility of affecting net earnings. For example, Paragraph 485
on Page 211 of FAS 133 bans foreign currency risk hedges of
forecasted dividends of foreign subsidiary. The reason is that
these dividends are a wash item and do not affect consolidated
earnings. For reasons and references, see equity method.
Suppose a company expects dividend
income to continue at a fixed rate over the two years in a foreign
currency. Suppose the investment is adjusted to fair market value
on each reporting date. Forecasted dividends may not be firm
commitments since there are not sufficient disincentives for failure
to declare a dividend. A cash flow hedge of the foreign currency
risk exposure can be entered into under Paragraph 4b on Page 2 of
FAS 133. Whether or not gains and losses are posted to other
comprehensive income, however, depends upon whether the securities
are classified under SFAS 115 as available-for-sale or as trading
securities. There is no held-to-maturity alternative for equity
securities.
One question that arises is whether a
hedged item and its hedge may have different maturity dates. Paragraph
18 beginning on Page 9 of FAS 133 rules out hedges such as interest rate
swaps from having a longer maturity than the hedged item such as a
variable rate loan or receivable. On the other hand, having a shorter
maturity is feasible according to KPMG's Example 13 beginning on Page
225 of the Derivatives and Hedging Handbook issued by KPMG Peat Marwick
LLP in July 1998) states the following. A portion of that example reads
as follows:
Although the criteria specified in
paragraph 28(a) of the Standard do not address whether a portion of
a single transaction may be identified as a hedged item, we believer
that the proportion principles discussed in fair value hedging model
also apply to forecasted transactions.
Paragraph 29d precludes forecasted
transactions from being the hedged items in cash flow hedges if those
items, when the transaction is completed, will be remeasured on each
reporting date at fair value with holding gains and losses taken
directly into current earnings (as opposed to comprehensive income).
Also see Paragraph 36 on Page 23 of FAS 133. Thus, a forecasted
purchase of raw material inventory maintained at cost can be a hedged
item, but the forecasted purchase of a trading security not subject to
APB 15 equity method accounting and as defined in SFAS 115, cannot be a
hedged item. That is because SFAS 115 requires that trading securities
be revalued with unrealized holding gains and losses being booked to
current earnings. Conversely, the forecasted purchase of an
available-for-sale security can be a hedged item, because
available-for-sale securities revalued under SFAS 115 have holding gains
and losses accounted for in comprehensive income rather than current
earnings.
Even more confusing is Paragraph 29e
that requires the cash flow hedge to be on prices rather than credit
worthiness. For example, a forecasted sale of a specific asset at a
specific price can be hedged for spot price changes under Paragraph
29e. The forecasted sale's cash flows may not be hedged for the
credit worthiness of the intended buyer or buyers. Example 24 in
Paragraph 190 on Page 99 of FAS 133 discusses a credit-sensitive
bond. Because the bond's coupon payments were indexed to credit
rating rather than interest rates, the embedded derivative could not
be isolated and accounted for as a cash flow hedge.
A forecasted transaction must meet the
stringent criteria for being defined as a derivative financial
instrument under FAS 133. This includes the tests for being
clearly-and-closely related. It also includes strict tests of
Paragraphs 21 beginning on Page 13 , 29 beginning on Page 20, and
Paragraph 56 on Page 33 of FAS 133 with respect to the host
contracts that are being hedged. Those tests state that if the
forecasted "transaction" is in reality a group or portfolio of
individual transactions, all transactions in the group must bear the
same risk exposure within a 10% range discussed in Paragraph 21.
Also see Footnote 9 on Page 13 of FAS 133. The grouping tests are
elaborated upon in the following Paragraphs:
Paragraph 21 on Page 13,
Paragraph 29 beginning on Page 20,
Paragraph 241 on Page 130,
Paragraph317 on Page 155,
Paragraphs 333-334 beginning on Page
159,
Paragraph 432 on Page 192,
Paragraph 435 on Page 193,
Paragraph 443-450 beginning on Page 196
Paragraph 462 on Page 202,
Paragraph 477 on Page 208.
For example, a group of variable rate notes
indexed in the same way upon LIBOR might qualify, whereas having
different indices such as LIBOR and U.S. Prime rate underlyings will not
qualify. Also, anticipated purchases cannot be combined with
anticipated sales in the same grouping designated as a forecasted
transaction even if they have the same underlying.Paragraph 477 on Page
208 of FAS 133 makes an exception for a portfolio of differing risk
exposures for financial instruments designated in foreign currencies so
not to conflict with Paragraph 20 of SFAS 52. It allows hedging under
"net investment" criteria under Paragraph 20 of SFAS 52. For more
detail see foreign currency hedge.
Merely meeting the tests of being a
forecasted transaction or a firm commitment does not automatically
qualify the item to be designated a hedge item in a hedging
transaction. For example, it cannot be a forecasted transaction
cannot be hedged for cash flows if it is remeasured at fair value on
reporting dates. For example, trading securities under SFAS 115 are
remeasured at fair value with unrealized gains and losses going
directly into earnings.
Paragraph 40 beginning on Page 25 bans
a forecasted transaction of a subsidiary company from being a hedged
item if the parent company wants to hedge the cash flow on the
subsidiary's behalf. However Paragraph 40a allows such cash flow
hedging if the parent becomes a party to the hedged item itself,
which can be a contract between the parent and its subsidiary under
Paragraph 36b on Page 24 of FAS 133. Also see Paragraphs 471 and
487.
Paragraph 21c on Page 14 and Paragraph
29f on Page 20 of FAS 133 prohibits forecasted cash flows from
minority interests in a consolidated subsidiary from being
designated as a hedged item in a cash flow hedge. Reasons are
given in Paragraph 472 beginning on Page 206 of FAS 133.
It seems to me that the ED does not properly account for the key advantage of
what was formerly an operating lease --- the “right” to get out of the lease in
a short period of time such as a year or less. This is a legal “right” that is
not properly addressed in the ED based upon my very hurried reading of the ED.
Sure a capital lease can be broken, but the penalties for doing so are usually
much more onerous.
The term “rights” is a very squishy term, much like the very squishy term
“control” that is now a popular basis for proposed asset and revenue recognition
accounting. The FASB and IASB need to present us with more precise definitions
of what is a “right” and what is “control.” I’m not impressed with a standard
that simply ignores the difference between a “right” to easily end an operating
lease versus the not-so-hot right to terminate a capital lease with an onerous
penalty payment.
There is also moral hazard here. A lessor or lessee might tip his/her hand by
disclosing in the April 2011 release of the 2010 financial statements an
increased probability of terminating operating leases in less than 12 months.
Therefore, in an effort to not tip the hand, the lessor or lessee is highly
tempted to lie by stating that “optional
renewal periods that are ‘more likely than not’ to be exercised’ when in fact it
may almost be certain that the operating lease will be terminated.
For example, the lessor may not want to tip his or her hand that secret
negotiations are underway to sell the 40-story building containing all those
operating leases. The buyer may intend to implode the building and erect an
80-story skyscraper. Up to now, it was taken for granted that operating leases
that were disclosed but not capitalized were subject to termination. Now the
IASB and FASB are telling us to capitalize future lease payments based upon
implied renewals when, in secret, such renewals are in jeopardy and the lessor/lessee
really does not want to tip his or her hand in advance of completed
negotiations.
For what we formerly called operating leases the ED is not properly accounting
for the value of the “right to terminate” an operating lease at zero penalty
cost. That right also has value, but it is a value that’s difficult to book in
the general ledger.
The
proposal effectively eliminates off-balance sheet accounting for most leases.
All assets currently leased under operating leases would be brought onto the
balance sheet, removing the distinction between capital and operating leases.
Other significant impacts include:
The
new asset — representing the right to use the leased item for the lease term —
and liability — representing the obligation to pay rentals — would be recognized
and carried at amortized cost, based on the present value of payments over the
term of the lease.
The
lease term would include optional renewal periods that are “more likely than
not” to be exercised – a significant departure from current accounting which
(absent a penalty) generally only included non-cancellable periods in the lease
term.
Lease payments used to measure the initial value of the asset and liability
would include ―contingen amounts, such as rents based on a percentage of sales
or rent increases linked to variables such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Today, contingent rents are generally excluded from minimum lease payments and
reflected in the period they arise.
Lease renewal and contingent rents would need to be continually reassessed, and
the related estimates adjusted as facts and circumstances change. Under current
accounting, absent a modification or binding exercise of an extension option,
there is no reassessment of lease term and contingent rentals.
Income statement ―geograph and the recognition pattern for lease expenses would
change. Straight-line rent expense would be replaced by amortization and
interest expense. This would result in an acceleration of expense recognition,
as interest on the obligation would be greater in the earlier years, similar to
a mortgage.
Lessor Accounting
After much debate, the boards are proposing a dual model for lessor accounting.
Depending on the economic characteristics of the lease, a lessor would apply
either a performance obligation approach or a derecognition approach.
The
performance obligation approach would be used for leases where the lessor
retains exposure to significant risks or benefits associated with the leased
asset either during the term of the contract or subsequent to the term of the
contract.
Under this approach, the lessor would recognize a lease receivable, representing
the right to receive rental payments from the lessee, with a corresponding
performance obligation, representing the obligation to permit the lessee to use
the leased asset.
Summary:
The February 28-29 joint FASB/IASB board meetings on leases focused on the
continued objections from constituents to the 2010 exposure draft's proposed
"front-loaded" lessee expense recognition pattern. The boards discussed two
possible paths forward, but were unable to reach any tentative decisions and
requested that the staff perform further outreach. Read our In brief
article for an overview of the two approaches discussed at the meeting.
On February 16, 2012, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce
(COC) issued a report that purportedly examined the economic impact of
capitalizing leases as outlined in a recent FASB exposure draft. The actual
research was conducted and published by Chang & Adams Consulting, but
presumably was funded by the COC and various affiliates. The study claims
dire consequences for the U.S. if the FASB continues on its course,
including the loss of millions of jobs and the destruction of between $27.5
and $478.6 billion in U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP). If this were true,
the Congress and the White House should declare the FASB a national villain,
strip it of its funding, dissolve its charter, and tar-and-feather the board
members and their advisers. Shame on the FASB!
These doomsday predictions border not only on the
ridiculous, but also the whimsical. The study is flawed and would be easily
rejected by all mainstream accounting and finance journals. Research rigor
is absent. The real shame rests with the economists who carried out this
awful “research.”
As an aside, we recently reviewed a similar study
conducted by the Equipment Leasing & Financing (ELF) Foundation (“Economic
Impacts of Capitalizing Leases: The ELF Study”).
This research about the impact of lease capitalization on financial
statements seemed reasonably good and consistent, as it replicated the
results of similar academic studies carried out over the past 30 years.
But, when ELF attempted to measure the induced economic impacts, the
research became flawed. What we find amazing is the timing and the
similarity of these studies. Did ELF coordinate its tactics with the COC?
Are these independent studies?
“… specifically looks at how the proposed standard
would negatively impact job creation, the health of the U.S. real estate
sector, and liabilities of U.S. publicly traded companies. The report
analyzes the current proposal and under a best case scenario estimated its
economic impacts as:
Increasing liabilities for U.S. public
companies by $1.5 trillion;
Increasing costs to U.S. public companies by
$10.2 billion annually;
Potentially reducing jobs by over 190,000;
Decreasing U.S. household earnings by $7.8
billion annually; and
Lowering U.S. GDP by $27.5 billion annually.
Continued in article
"A Perspective on the Joint IASB/FASB Exposure Draft on Accounting for
Leases," by the American Accounting Association's Financial Accounting
Standards Committee (AAA FASC): Yuri Biondi et al., Accounting Horizons,
December 2011, pp. 861-877
. . .
CONCLUSION
The committee members are in agreement about the
importance of lease accounting for users of financial statements. Overall,
we are pleased to see that this exposure draft introduces the “right-of-use”
model, rather than the ownership model, which has worked so poorly in
practice. Unfortunately, current lease accounting is plagued by loopholes,
transaction structuring, and other actions by management to circumvent the
intent of the standard. Preventing all transaction structuring is of course
a difficult endeavor. The ED makes a good effort at dealing with the current
problems of lease accounting, but some big loopholes (concerning especially
scope, SPE and intragroup operations, definition of lease term, discounting,
and executory contracts for services) remain that need to be closed off.
With regard to revaluation, we prefer the current FASB approach (impairment
testing), but are opposed to fair value assessments and reassessments that
create structuring opportunities.
The ED as currently specified is not ready for use
and needs significant modification. In response to comments from this
committee and others, the FASB/IASB have held a number of re-deliberation
meetings in 2011 and directed staff to re-examine several issues. Key focus
has been on the scope and definition of a lease, measurement of contingent
rentals, renewal options, revaluations, the discount rate to be used, lack
of consistency between the lessor and lessee accounting, and consistency
with current revenue recognition and financial statement presentation
projects.
As of March 27, 2011 (see
IASB 2011), the FASB/IASB have affirmed the scope
and definitions used in the lease ED, the need to distinguish a lease from a
service contract, the need to separate lease and non-lease components of a
contract, and to have two types of leases called finance leases (current
IASB terminology) and other than finance leases (like current operating
leases in U.S. GAAP). Additional clarification has been issued about the
discount rate to be used by the lessor and lessee (the rate charged by the
lessor to the lessee) though this is complicated because the lessor's rate
may not be known by the lessee. Additional guidance has also been issued to
count a renewal option in the lease term “when there is a significant
economic incentive for an entity to exercise an option to extend the lease.”
The need to align this standard with the revenue recognition, consolidation,
and financial statement presentation projects indicate that the board has
continued need for re-deliberation, and is struggling to construct a lease
standard that will achieve consistent and comparable financial reporting.
Yuri Biondi
(principle author), Robert J. Bloomfield,
Jonathan C. Glover, Karim Jamal, James A. Ohlson, Stephen H. Penman, Eiko
Tsujiyama, and T. Jeffrey Wilks
The Equipment Leasing & Financing (ELF) Foundation
issued a study on leases in December. We assume these elves were hoping
Santa would present them a gift of no amendments to lessee accounting.
After all, why report economic reality if you don’t have to?
Specifically, ELF issued “Economic
Impacts of the Proposed Changes to Lease Accounting Standard”
in an attempt to display the dysfunctional
consequences of the
FASB’s exposure draft on the topic. The
foundation empirically studied the impact of this proposal on more than
1,800 publicly traded companies. The results show deteriorations in
corporate balance sheets and income statements, so ELF concluded the new
lease accounting will be disastrous for the U.S. economy.
Before we lob grenades at the FASB for its lack of
support for capitalism, let’s take a closer look at the study and its
conclusions. When we do, we find biases and myths that render the report’s
conclusions worthless.
Let’s begin with the comment letters. The FASB
received about
800 letters on this leasing project; upon reading
them, one finds a number of concerns from the letter writers, including
ambiguities in the exposure draft, the need for more explanation, the
magnitude of implementation costs, and the problem of debt covenants. We
dismiss these concerns and the letters in general because corporate managers
acting in their self-interest have long orchestrated major campaigns to
smear the FASB whenever it attempted to improve financial reporting. The
number of letters doesn’t mean a thing; the source says it all.
While there are indeed some items that need
conceptual editing, and perhaps even some parts that could use more
explanations, these features too often are a smokescreen to force the FASB
to compromise its principles to better align with managerial objectives. As
to implementation costs, we think the argument silly for the necessary data
should already be collected if these firms have good internal control
systems, particularly in light of developing fair value disclosure
requirements. Any firm that does not currently assimilate these data is
admitting poor stewardship.
With respect to debt covenants, we thought that
corporate managers and general counsel would have figured out that one
should always include in these contracts a provision to hold accounting
methods constant. And surely, these highly compensated legal minds are
familiar with waivers and modifications of debt covenants, aren’t they? Any
firm foolish enough not to immunize itself contractually from accounting
changes deserves whatever consequences it faces.
With respect to the empirical analysis by ELF, for
the most part, it is well done and corresponds closely with academic
research over the last 30 years. In particular, ELF estimates the direct
and indirect impacts from the capitalization of leases. As other studies
have found, this research reports large increases to reported debt and some
decreases to net income because of the front-loading effect in capitalized
leases. Analysts (and our accounting students) have known this for
decades…there is no news here.
The report also points out that these effects vary
by industry and by firm. For example, the impacts are greatest for firms
such as CVS and Walgreen and for industries such as banking and airline.
The impact is smallest, of course, for those who do not employ leases.
For the U.S. economy, the study estimates the
addition of $2 trillion of reported debt, an 11 percent increase, and a
decrease in pre-tax income of 2.4 percent. ELF concludes that these effects
will have deleterious effects on the economy and thus recommends opposing
the FASB’s exposure draft. At this point, however, it confuses reported
items on the financial statements with real and fictional constructs. The
question the authors should be asking is whether the stuff currently omitted
from financial reports is real.
In particular, is the lease obligation that arises
in capital leases real? Of course. Does the non-capitalization of leases
change this? Of course not! Because the lessee has signed a contract with
a lessor that requires it to make certain future payments, the liability is
real whether or not the firm records it. That’s why sophisticated financial
analysts have been estimating lease obligations for at least two decades.
That’s why rating agencies have been estimating lease obligations for
several years. If you want to know the truth and the corporation does not
disclose the truth, sophisticated investors and their analysts will make
their own assessments and include them in their analyses.
Because of these changes in the reported numbers,
the ELF study group posits “induced impacts” and claims a variety of
dysfunctional consequences such as job losses and increased interest rates.
Unfortunately, because the researchers ignored the fact that many financial
analysts and investors already estimate the effects of leases and recast the
financial statements accordingly, these induced impacts are exaggerated and
thus misleading. Stock and debt markets already incorporate such
information into their models; therefore, the aggregate effects of
capitalizing leases are likely nil.
The authors mention the fact that capitalization
will make cash flow from operating activities higher, but they do not
emphasize it. We wonder whether this de-emphasis is because they don’t want
to report any positive effects from adopting this accounting proposal.
Further, if they continue to believe that markets are naïve in their
assimilation of financial information, they would have to conclude that
higher free cash flows imply higher stock prices.
Continued in article
Ernst & Young
To the Point: A
U-turn on straight-line lease expense
Today (May 19, 2011) , the FASB and the IASB reversed course on their tentative
decision to introduce lease classification and straight-line rent expense into
their new accounting model for lessees. The Boards have decided to go back to
their exposure draft approach of requiring lessees to recognize interest expense
using the interest method and separately amortize the right-of-use asset
(generally on a straight-line basis). This approach accelerates lease expense
for today's operating leases.
Our To
the Point publication summarizes what you need to know about these
developments.
To the Point: Key differences between IASB's new consolidation guidance and US
GAAP
Click Here
http://www.ey.com/global/assets.nsf/United%20Accounting/TothePoint_BB2134_Leases_19May2011/%24file/TothePoint_BB2134_Leases_19May2011.pdf
The IASB has issued new consolidation accounting guidance that establishes a
single consolidation model for all entities. The new guidance is more similar to
the guidance for the consolidation of variable interest entities (VIEs) in US
GAAP than the current IASB guidance, but it creates new differences between US
GAAP and IFRS in some areas. Some longstanding differences also remain. Our
To the
Point publication highlights some of the significant differences that exist
between current US GAAP and the IASB's new guidance.
In the future operating leases will be capitalized more and more under newer
accounting standards. Here's an investigation on what to expect in terms of
impact on cost of capital, although the study suggests that the impact will not
be as abrupt as some might expect given the increased attention on operating
leases in capital markets.
"The Impact of Operating Leases on Firm Financial and Operating Risk,"
by Dan Dhaliwal, Hye Seung (Grace) Lee, and Monica Neamtiu, Journal of
Accounting Auditing and Finance, 2011 ---
http://jaf.sagepub.com/content/26/2/151
Abstract
This study uses ex ante cost-of-equity capital measures based on accounting
valuation models to assess the risk relevance of off-balance sheet operating
leases. We investigate whether off-balance sheet operating leases have the
same risk-relevance for explaining ex ante measures of risk as a firm’s
on-balance sheet capital leases. We also investigate how investors’ risk
perception of operating leases has changed in recent years when off-balance
sheet transactions in general and operating leases in particular have been
facing increased regulatory and investor scrutiny. This study finds that a
firm’s ex ante cost-of-equity capital is positively associated with
adjustments in its financial leverage (financial risk) and operating
leverage (operating risk) resulting from capitalized off-balance sheet
operating leases and that the positive association between the ex ante cost
of capital and the impact of operating leases on a firm’s financial leverage
is weaker for the operating leases compared with the capital leases. This
study also finds that the positive association between the ex ante cost of
capital and the impact of operating leases on a firm’s financial leverage
has decreased considerably in recent years, since regulators issued
interpretation letters clarifying controversial lease accounting issues.
October 21, 2011 reply from Beryl Simonson
For your lease discussion
Beryl D. Simonson CPA
Partner, Assurance Services
McGladrey & Pullen, LLP
(267) 515-5144
From: NAREIT FirstBrief [mailto:FirstBrief@nareit.com]
Sent: Thursday, October 20, 2011 03:54 PM To: Simonson, Beryl Subject: FASB and IASB Tentatively Expand Scope Exception for
Proposed Leases Standard to All Investment Property
FASB and IASB Tentatively Expand Scope Exception for Proposed
Leases Standard to All Investment Property
On Oct. 19 - 20, NAREIT attended the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB) and International Accounting Standards
Board (IASB) (collectively, the Boards) joint meetings on the
proposed Leases standard in Norwalk, CT. The Boards tentatively
decided to expand the scope exception from the proposed Leases
standard to all investment property, whether measured at
fair value or cost. In order to be eligible for the scope
exception, investment property would need to be consistent with
the definition of investment property as defined in the proposed
FASB Investment Properties standard for U.S. companies and
International Accounting Standards No. 40 Investment Property
for companies reporting under IFRS. Based on this tentative
decision, all lessors would avoid reporting under the previously
proposed receivable and residual lessor accounting model. Those
lessors that qualify as an investment property entity under the
FASB's Investment Properties standard would be required to
report their investment properties at fair value and recognize
rental revenue on a contractual basis. All other investment
property lessors would report rental income as currently
required on a straight-line basis. Based on discussions with the
FASB staff, NAREIT expects the FASB to issue the Investment
Properties exposure draft in the next few days.
On Sept. 20, NAREIT met with the FASB and IASB staff to discuss
potential issues with applying the proposed receivable and
residual lessor accounting model to investment properties
reported at cost. NAREIT developed an illustration that served
as the basis for the meeting. The illustration indicated that
the proposed receivable and residual lessor accounting model was
not operational and yielded irrelevant financial reporting. The
FASB and IASB staff discussed NAREIT's concerns with the Boards
and recommended that all investment property be exempted from
the proposed receivable and residual lessor accounting model in
conjunction with the staff paper on Lessor Accounting that was
presented on Oct. 19. To read the staff paper on Lessor
Accounting, refer to
IASB Agenda Reference 2F/FASB Agenda Reference 210.
Previously, the Boards tentatively decided to include a scope
exception in the proposed leases standard for investment
property only if measured at fair value.
Contact
If you have any comments or questions, please contact
Christopher Drula, NAREIT's Senior Director, Financial
Standards, at
cdrula@nareit.com.
Wow! I have wondered for a few decades whether the
accounting profession ever would account for operating leases correctly.
Long-term operating leases, as opposed to rentals no longer than one year,
clearly convey property rights and encumber the business entity with debt
obligations. Not to require this accounting has served as a badge of
hypocrisy long enough.
The
FASB and the
IASB issued exposure drafts August 17, which
propose to make this change in the treatment of operating leases. They also
discuss some changes in the accounting for purchase options, conditionals,
leases with service contracts, and the accounting for lessors, including the
elimination of leveraged leases. I shall address these topics at a later
time; in this essay I wish to concentrate on the more fundamental issue of
lessee accounting.
Let’s review the history of accounting for
operating leases briefly. The board issued Statement No. 13 on lease
accounting in November 1976. (The Accounting Principles Board also had
pronouncements on lease accounting, but they were simply dreadful.) For
lessees, the statement created two categories, capital leases and operating
leases. The FASB concocted four criteria for the recognition of a lease as
a capital lease. If any one of the following criteria is met, then the
business enterprise must account for the lease as a capital lease. They
are: (a) if legal title passes to the lessee; (b) if the lease contains a
bargain purchase option; (c) if the lease term (the length of the lease)
equals or exceeds 75 percent of the asset’s life; and (d) if the present
value of the minimum lease payments equals or exceeds 90 percent of the fair
value of the leased property. If none of the four criteria is met, then the
business enterprise treats the lease as an operating lease.
Accounting for these leases differs greatly. In a capital lease, the firm
capitalizes the asset at its present value (not to exceed its fair value),
and it capitalizes the lease obligation at the present value of future cash
flows. On the income statement, the business enterprise shows the
depreciation of the capitalized asset and displays the interest expense on
the lease obligation. In an operating lease, the entity ignores its
property rights and it pretends that it has no debts, and on the income
statement, the organization acknowledges a rent expense. There is, however,
no economic justification for this differential treatment.
I think it amazing—maybe even revolutionary—for the
board finally to follow its own conceptual framework in the development of
lessee accounting standards. The FASB’s conceptual framework defines assets
as “probable future economic benefits obtained or controlled by a particular
entity as a result of past transactions or events.” Further, it defines
liabilities as “probable future sacrifices of economic benefits arising from
present obligations of a particular entity to transfer assets or provide
services to other entities in the future as a result of past transactions or
events.”
It doesn’t take an accounting professor, much less
Donald Trump, to figure out that leases confer to lessees probable future
economic benefits and probable future sacrifices. Present-day accounting
for operating leases contradicts this rational approach of reporting the
economics of these business transactions. If the board only applies its own
conceptual framework, as it appears ready to do, then it will achieve a much
better accounting.
Let’s also remind ourselves of the significant
consequences of these actions. Billions, maybe trillions, of dollars of
lease obligations have been off-balance sheet since time began. Here is a
small sample of firms, with my estimates (details on my estimation scheme in
“Hidden
Financial Risk”) of the present value of the cash
flows of the operating leases (numbers are millions of dollars except for
percentages).
Reported Debt
PV of Operating Lease Cash Flows
Percent Debt is Under-reported
CVS
25,873
26,913
104.02%
Walgreens
10,766
23,212
215.60%
McDonalds
16,191
7,996
49.39%
Target
29,186
2,155
7.38%
Home Depot
21,484
5,846
27.21%
Starbucks
2,532
3,685
145.54%
Clearly, the capitalization of essentially all
leases is an important step to knowing realistically what corporations owe.
Notice that this sample of only six firms has off-balance sheet lease debts
of almost $70 billion. As this amount is material to everybody (except for
members of Congress and the White House), business enterprises should supply
this information to investors and creditors so they can better understand
the firm’s financial leverage.
While this chapter of financial reporting is coming
to a close, the most remarkable event in the history of lease accounting
occurred in 1960. That year Arthur Andersen published the booklet “The
Postulate of Accounting” and averred that the only postulate of accounting
is fairness. “Financial statements cannot be so prepared as to favor the
interests of any one segment without doing injustice to others.” To add
flesh to this argument, Arthur Andersen then gave the example of leases,
contending that all leases should be capitalized. Unfortunately, the
AICPA’s Committee on Accounting Procedure and its Accounting Principles
Board ignored these comments.
Fifty years ago this once great firm, under the
leadership of Leonard Spacek, showed how a principled and courageous
analysis of the facts could lead one to the proper accounting. It shows
that principles-based accounting can work—as long as we have principled
leaders in the profession. But it also shows the dangers of
principles-based accounting when others are not blessed with logical
thinking or courage—when they are not principled.
P.S. The FASB really doesn’t have to apply an exception to short-term
leases, those under twelve months in duration. Every FASB statement is
stamped with the caveat, “The provisions of this Statement need not be
applied to immaterial items.” As I expect most short-term rentals to
provide income statement and balance sheet effects that are immaterially
different from their capitalization, there is already a basis for firms
not to worry about the accounting for such leases.
Jensen Comment
Something keeps nagging me that the "right to terminate" a lease in a year or
less has economic value to be factored into the concocted scheme to forecast
operating lease rentals ad infinitum. Until the IASB and FASB give us
implementation guidelines on how to value the right to terminate, I'm not as
solidly behind this revision to the standard as Professor Ketz.
Those professionals that are the most mobile and expectant of promotions and
relocations, like gifted accounting staff, are recognizing the "right to
terminate" values vis-a-vis having former houses in Phoenix and Las Vegas that
they just cannot unload for as much as their equity in those houses. If they
knew what they know now they would've rented throughout much of their careers
--- at least until they've finally settled in.. The same can be businesses
growing wildly or shrinking wildly that find facilities they own very hard to
unload.
The lease versus buy cases that we've taught for years were probably
incomplete --- I've never seen a case that values the "right to terminate" such
that instead of capital lease versus buy we probably should've include a third
alternative --- operating lease with an inherent right to terminate without
penalty.
August 23, 2010 message from Tom Selling
If you are looking for a principles-based approach
to lease accounting, you may be interested in reading these blog posts
(especially the first one listed)
Lease Accounting: Replacement Cost is the Only Hope
for a Principles-Based Solution
Reason #2 to Dump on the IASB/FASB Leasing Proposal
The Lease Accounting Proposal: What Investors Say
Bob, if you are looking for information on
cancellation options, I’ll bet you can find it in:
Copeland and Antikarov, Real Options, Revised
Edition: A Practitioner’s Guide. There is a chapter on how Airbus used
option valuation techniques for pricing and negotiating leases of
airplanes.
I should also say that I don’t see how the presence
of an option to cancel without penalty calls capital lease accounting into
question. Isn’t it the mirror image of a renewal option? The only additional
twist is that the option is “American style”, i.e., it may be exercised at
any time, as opposed to only the expiration date (“European style”).
Finally, I plan on writing another leasing post –
probably building on Ed’s (whom I had the pleasure of meeting for the first
time at the AAA). I expect the message in my post will be that lease
capitalization is fine as far as it goes, but the ED blithely continues the
tradition of plugging in made up numbers since nobody can bring themselves
to commit to some version of current value – and historic cost principles
are to leasing as a pea shooter is to an elephant.
I like to think of actual examples. There was a big east-side mall in San
Antonio that was a great mall suffering from a rapid decline in the
surrounding neighborhood. It became a beautiful indoor congregating point
for dope dealers and gangs and prostitutes. After a couple of murders in the
mall, customer traffic declined dramatically and within a few years this
great mall had to close. The three big department stores attached to the
mall probably had long-term leases such that they were forced to try to
operate on their own for a while even though the interior two-story mall
with nearly 50 stores and theatres was blocked off and empty. I suspect the
big department stores wanted out of their leases, but they could not do so
nearly as easy as the stores inside the mall that only had operating leases
with the right of termination in less than 12 months.
Also consider the surrounding stores and restaurants that built up around
the mall and depended upon the thousands of customers drawn weekly to the
mall when it was thriving. For example right next to the mall parking
Toys”R”Us built its own store financed with ownership or a capital lease.
Think of how much more valuable, in hindsight, it would have been for
Toy”R”Us to have an operating lease inside the mall where the “right to
terminate” became extremely valuable as the customers abandoned the mall in
droves. In retrospect Toys”R”Us was stuck with long-term financing
obligations that extended well beyond the profitability of the location. In
short, the building quickly became a liability rather than an asset.
An operating lease is extremely valuable in situations where future needs
for buildings and/or the equipment are extremely volatile and virtually
unpredictable due to nonstationarities that make mathematical forecasting
models virtually worthless. Mathematical valuation models like real
options models require greater statationarities.
Real options analysis was invented by one of my fellow students, Stu Meyers
(finance), in the doctoral program at Stanford. It's a brilliant
financial model, but like so many finance models, it does not deal well in
nonstatationarity environments. Stu did not invent the model until years
later when he was a professor at MIT. I think it would be a great danger to
an entrepreneur when assumed parameters are extremely tenuous.
Other more traditional capital budgeting models also fail in in
nonstationarity situations. But the problem is greatly reduced when there is
less fixed cost such as when an entrepreneur commits only to an operating
lease rather than a long-term mortgage or capital lease.
ROA is often contrasted with more standard
techniques of capital budgeting, such as net present value (NPV), where
only the most likely or representative outcomes are modelled, and the
"flexibility" available to management is thus "ignored"; see Valuing
flexibility under Corporate finance. The NPV framework therefore
(implicitly) assumes that management will be "passive" as regards their
Capital Investment once committed, whereas ROA assumes that they will be
"active" and may / can modify the project as necessary. The real options
value of a project is thus always higher than the NPV - the difference
is most marked in projects with major uncertainty (as for financial
options higher volatility of the underlying leads to higher value).
More formally, the treatment of uncertainty
inherent in investment projects differs as follows. Under ROA,
uncertainty inherent is usually accounted for by risk-adjusting
probabilities (a technique known as the equivalent martingale approach).
Cash flows can then be discounted at the risk-free rate. Under DCF
analysis, on the other hand, this uncertainty is accounted for by
adjusting the discount rate, (using e.g. the cost of capital) or the
cash flows (using certainty equivalents, or applying "haircuts" to the
forecast numbers). These methods normally do not properly account for
changes in risk over a project's lifecycle and fail to appropriately
adapt the risk adjustment.
In general, since ROA attempts to predict the
future, the quality of the output will only ever be as good as the
quality of the inputs, which by their nature are sketchy. This comment
also applies to net present value analysis, although NPV does not
require volatility information (see below).
Opinion is thus divided as to whether Real Options
Analysis provides genuinely useful information to real-world
practitioners. ROA is therefore
increasingly used as a discussion framework, as opposed to as a
valuation or modelling technique.
The above document quotes a great article by Wayne Upton when he was still
at the FASB. "Special Report: Business and Financial Reporting, Challenges from
the New Economy," by Wayne Upton, Financial Accounting Standards Board,
Document 219-A, April 2000 ---
http://accounting.rutgers.edu/raw/fasb/new_economy.html
Incidentally Wayne was the FASB's technical guru on FAS 133 and its very
technical revisions like FAS 138. Last I heard, Wayne changed to the IASB.
PS
I’ve not lived in San Antonio for nearly five years, but I think the failed
mall was eventually purchased by the School District for offices and maybe
some classrooms. I could be wrong about whether that proposal for the mall's
use came into being.. In any case, businesses lost a lot of money when the
mall failed, but those businesses with operating leases had an easier time
due to the value of the “Right to Terminate.”
Bob Jensen
Inconsistencies in Two Proposed IFRS Changes: The Ups and Downs of
International Accounting Standard "trigger events"
In the context of FAS 39, a "trigger event" is an event that changes the
likelihood of fully collecting or paying out a forecasted stream of future cash
flows. The forecasted cash flows could be contractual such as the contracted
stream of cash flows from a forward contract used as a speculation or a hedge.
The fair value of the future stream is said to have become "impaired" by the
"trigger event" that is material in nature. Auditors are required to test for
impairments in cash flow streams. The net impact on the balance sheet may vary
greatly when the contract is a speculation versus when the contract is a hedge
and the amount of impairment loss/gain is offset by the amount of impairment
gain/loss on a hedged item and vice versa.
For items carried at fair value, trigger events should be automatically
recognized in changes in fair value unless the trigger event itself makes it
impractical to measure fair value (such as a freezing or collapse in the market
used to measure fair value). If a receivable is carried at amortized cost,
trigger events are especially important and may signal the need to anticipate a
loss such as an estimated bad debt loss.
An example of a common trigger event is a hugely lowered credit score/rating
of a debtor.
For later reference, I might define a "wipeout trigger event" as one that
reduces the NPV of a future cash flow stream to zero or virtually zero. Although
such a trigger event might be analogous to when Madoff's arrest was announced, a
wipeout trigger event may also be perfectly legal such as when a lessee
announces in advance that a short-term lease will not be renewed.
It seems to me that in two current proposed changes to IFRS standards, one
proposal is reducing the role of explicitly defined trigger events whereas the
other is increasing the role of implicitly defined wipeout trigger events. The
two IASB proposed change documents are as follows:
Financial Instruments
IAS 39 to IFRS 9: "IFRS 9: Financial Instruments (replacement of IAS
39) ---
Click Here
The objective of this project is
to improve the decision usefulness for users of financial statements by
simplifying the classification and measurement requirements for
financial instruments. In November 2008 the IASB added this project to
their active agenda. The FASB also added this project to their agenda in
December 2008.
... the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) and the US Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB) published for public comment joint proposals to improve the
reporting of lease contracts. The proposals are one of the main projects
included in the boards’ Memorandum of Understanding. The proposals, if
adopted, will greatly improve the financial reporting information
available to investors about the financial effects of lease contracts.
The accounting under existing
requirements depends on the classification of a lease. Classification as
an operating lease results in the lessee not recording any assets or
liabilities in the statement of financial position under either
International Financial Reporting Standards or US standards (generally
accepted accounting principles). This results in many investors having
to adjust the financial statements (using disclosures and other
available information) to estimate the effects of lessees’ operating
leases for the purpose of investment analysis. The proposals would
result in a consistent approach to lease accounting for both lessees and
lessors—a ‘right-of-use’ approach. This approach would result in all
leases being included in the statement of financial position, thus
providing more complete and useful information to investors and other
users of financial statements.
Financial Instruments ED That Plays Down Trigger Events
IAS 39 to IFRS 9: "IFRS 9: Financial Instruments (replacement of IAS 39)
---
Click Here
This Financial Instruments Exposure Draft (ED), among other things
downplays, the role of trigger events in impairment tests. In IAS 39 an
anticipated loss may be delayed until a trigger event transpires to require
immediate write down of an asset such as a receivable. Presumably this will
not be the case in the new IFRS 9.
When IAS 39 is replaced by IAS 9, the ED proposes to recognize losses
(prior to trigger events) by earlier use of probability-weighted
estimates of the amounts to be collected in a future cash flow stream.
Presumably these probabilities must be subjective (Bayesian) since it is
difficult to imagine circumstances where the probability distribution can be
objectively estimated. Implicit in the ED is the estimation of probabilities
of future states of the domestic and/or world economy.
Auditors are no objecting to the replacement of trigger events with
probability-weighted estimates on the grounds that attesting to such
probability-weighted estimates before trigger events will not operational in
auditing.
Excerpt
We agree with the Board’s objective in this phase of the IASB project to
replace IAS 39 Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement (IAS
39) to address weaknesses of the incurred loss model in IAS 39 that were
highlighted during the global financial crisis. An impairment loss model
that focuses on an assessment of recoverable cash flows reflecting all
current information about the borrower’s ability to repay would be an
improvement on the current approach in IAS 39 which relies on
identification of trigger events and often leads to a delay in loss
recognition. However, we have concerns about the specific requirements
proposed by the IASB, in particular those to determine, and allocate,
the initial estimate of expected credit losses on a financial asset and
to use a probability-weighted outcome approach. We believe that this
approach will in many cases be unnecessarily complex. Further, the
incorporation of potential future economic environments in estimating
recoverable cash flows would be extremely complex, costly and burdensome
to apply by preparers.
The requirement in the ED to forecast future economic
environments and events without providing sufficient guidance with
respect to the level of objectivity, verifiability, or support for the
underpinnings of these inputs presents significant challenges to
internal auditors, external auditors, and regulators.
Overall, we believe that the measurement principle would not be
operational if the Board were to adopt the ED in its current form.
The most controversial and in most instances welcome proposed change is
the required capitalization of operating leases that were previously and
commonly used to hide debt in what was tantamount to off-balance sheet
financing.
And the most controversial of the controversial proposed changes is that
short term operating leases having renewal options are to assume (for
accounting purposes) renewals will take place even though they are not
contractually required. For example, a store in a mall may have a
year-to-year lease that was not booked on the lessee or lessor balance
sheets until the monthly rent is due. The ED requires assumption of renewals
that are not contractually required. Hence, the NPV of a year-to-year store
lease must be booked as an asset on the lessor's books and a liability on
the lessee's balance sheet for a rent cash flow stream across many years in
which it is estimated that the lease will be renewed.
However, the ED does allow for what are tantamount to wipeout trigger
events (not called as such in the ED). If it becomes known that the lessee
or lessor will not renew the year-to-year lease, then the lessor may no
longer record the NPV of future rentals that will not be received and the
lessee need not book the NPV of future rentals that will not be paid.
Jensen Comment
For these two exposure drafts to be consistent, it would seem that either
the probability-weighted requirement in the new IFRS 9 should be deleted or
that a probability-weighted requirement should be imposed on short-term
lease accounting. In the case of leases, probability weights would be
assigned to assumed lease renewals.
The probability-weighted short-term lease requirement would most likely
be objected to by auditors for the same reasons that auditors object to the
probability-weighted requirement proposed for the IFRS 9.
I can anticipate the Deloitte objection letter to be as follows if
auditing of lease renewal probability weightings were to
(hypothetically) be required::
Excerpt
We agree with the Board’s objective to book operating leases in a manner
consistent with how capital leases are booked. An impairment loss model
that focuses on an assessment of renewable lease cash flows reflecting
all current information about the lessee's intent to exercise a renewal
option would be an improvement on the current approach of keeping
operating leases entirely off the balance sheet. However, we have
concerns about the specific requirements proposed by the IASB, in
particular those to determine probability weightings of lease renewals.
We believe that this approach will in many cases be unnecessarily
complex. Further, the incorporation of potential future economic
environments in estimating lease renewal cash flows would be extremely
complex, costly and burdensome to apply by preparers.
The requirement in the ED to forecast future economic
environments and events without providing sufficient guidance with
respect to the level of objectivity, verifiability, or support for the
underpinnings of these inputs presents significant challenges to
internal auditors, external auditors, and regulators.
Overall, we believe that the measurement principle would not be
operational if the Board were to adopt the ED in its current form.
In general, use of probability-weighted impairment accounting before
trigger events transpire is probably an auditing nightmare in general.
Trigger event impairment tests are much more realistic for auditors.
However, at present the lease accounting ED does not take up the issue of
how to deal with trigger events that are not wipeout trigger events.
Increasingly we are adding subjectivity and hypothetical transactions to
financial statements. The biggest example is the transitioning to fair value
accounting where assets and liabilities are adjusted for transactions that
did not and might not ever transpire such as the interim changing of the
value of a forward contract used as a hedge when, at the maturity date, the
net cash flows are absolutely certain irrespective of the "hypothetical"
changes in fair value before the maturity date.
If we're going to be so subjective about hypothetical transactions, we
might as well impose subjective probability weights to short-term lease
renewals rather than assume they will always be renewed until a wipeout
trigger event transpires.
You Rent It, You Own It (at least while you're renting it) Not surprisingly, such companies are not overly
enthusiastic about the preliminary leanings of FASB and the International
Accounting Standards Board toward overhauling FAS 13. The rule update could,
by some predictions, move hundreds of billions of dollars in assets and
obligations onto their balance sheets. Many of them are hoping they can at
least convince the standard-setters that the rule doesn't have to encompass
all leases. Under the current rule, companies distinguish between capital
lease obligations, which appear on the balance sheet, and operating leases
(or rental contracts), which do not. Based on FASB's and IASB's discussion
paper on the topic, released earlier this year, the new rule will likely
require companies to also capitalize assets that have traditionally fallen
under the "operating lease" category, making them appear more highly
leveraged.
Sarah Johnson, "Companies: New Lease Rule Means Labor Pains," CFO.com, July
21, 2009 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14072875/c_2984368/?f=archives
Under the current rule, companies distinguish
between capital lease obligations, which appear on the balance sheet, and
operating leases (or rental contracts), which do not. Based on FASB's and
IASB's discussion paper on the topic, released earlier this year, the new
rule will likely require companies to also capitalize assets that have
traditionally fallen under the "operating lease" category, making them
appear more highly leveraged.
In addition, warns Ken Bentsen, president of the
Equipment Leasing and Financing Association, the proposed changes could lead
to higher costs for both capital and accounting. "Rather than simplifying [FAS
13], it ends up creating an extremely complex formula, which will put a
great burden, particularly on smaller, nonpublic companies, and does not
achieve what we believe is the ultimate goal of FASB and IASB, which is to
improve financial reporting," he told CFO.com.
Bentsen's trade association notes in a recent
comment letter (the deadline for comments was last Friday) that the proposed
changes will impose on smaller companies a disproportionate burden to apply
the new accounting to their leases "for immaterial but required
adjustments." According to ELFA, more than 90% of leases involve assets
worth less than $5 million and have terms of two to five years.
The 109-page discussion paper at least starts with
what seems like a new simplified concept for lease accounting: lessees must
account for their right to use a leased item as an asset and their
obligation to pay future rental installments for that item as a liability.
JCPenney claims it has been in that mindset all
along. "Historically, we have managed our capital structure internally as if
all real estate property leases were recognized on the balance sheet," wrote
Dennis Miller, controller for the retailer, adding that lease obligations
are considered long-term debt and have been disclosed in financial-statement
footnotes.
Dissidents to FASB's changing of lease accounting
rules have all along said that rating agencies and analysts have referenced
such disclosures in footnotes and made adjustments in their modeling to
account for a company's leased assets.
Still, as IASB chairman David Tweedie has noted,
the current rules, for example, allow airlines' balance sheets to appear as
if the companies don't have airplanes. One of the quibbles with the existing
standard is its bright lines, which have legally allowed companies to
restructure a leasing agreement so that it be considered an operating lease
and not have its assets and liabilities fall onto the balance sheet. In
2005, the Securities and Exchange Commission staff estimated that publicly
traded companies are in this way able to hide $1.25 trillion in future cash
obligations.
Critics of the rule-makers' discussion paper are
hoping that they'll at least replace the deleted bright lines with some new
ones, such as the exclusion of short-term leases. For instance, the Small
Business Administration suggested companies should be able to expense rather
than capitalize lease transactions of less than $250,000, and others said
leases that last less than one year should be expensed. However, the
discussion paper notes that such scenarios could give way to workarounds.
Other common issues raised by respondents to the
discussion paper: they want the standard-setters to also tackle lease
accounting by lessors. The rule-makers had deferred thinking about lessors
as the project continued to be delayed.
In addition, some respondents pushed back against
the suggestion that they should have to reassess each lease as "any new
facts and circumstances" come to light. Exxon Mobil's controller, Patrick
Mulva, said such reassessments — which would require a quarterly review —
would be "excessively onerous" for his company, which has more than 5,000
"significant" operating leases and thousands of "low level" leases. Mulva
called on the standard-setters to be more specific for when a reassessment
would be required.
At the FASB (Financial Accounting Standards
Board), Bob Herz says he thinks "lease accounting is probably an area
where people had good intentions way back when, but it evolved into a set of
rules that can result in form-over substance accounting." He
cautions that an overhaul wouldn't be easy: "Any attempts to change
the current accounting in an area where people have built their business
models around it become extremely controversial --- just like you see with
stock options."
Jonathan Weil, "How Leases Play A Shadowy Role In Accounting" (See
below)
By the phrase form over substance, Bob Herz is referring to the four bright
line tests of requiring leases to be booked on the balance sheet. Over
the past two decades corporations have been using these tests to skate on the
edge with leasing contracts that result in hundreds of billions of dollars of
debt being off balance sheets. The leasing industry has built an
enormously profitable business around financing contracts that just fall under
the wire of each bright line test, particularly the 90% rule that was far too
lenient in the first place. One might read Bob's statement that after
the political fight in the U.S. legislature over expensing of stock options,
the FASB is a bit weary and reluctant to take on the leasing industry. I
hope he did not mean this.
Jensen Comment
One of the big controversies is lease renewal of relatively short term leases
that under old standards were typically operating leases with no chance of ever
owning the leased property. For example, those tiny, tiny retail "benches" in
the middle of walkways in a Galleria mall may have leased 60 square feet of
space for six months. There is no hope that those tiny retailers like cell phone
vendors will ever be deeded ownership of 100 square feet of the walkway of a
Galleria mall. And the present value of six month lease is relatively small
relative to the plan of a retailer to renew the lease ad infinitum. Therein lies
a huge problem of deciding how far to extend the cash flow horizon. Retailers
are concerned over how lease renewal options will be accounted for, especially
those options that can be broken with relatively small penalty payments by the
Galleria management. The retailer may intend to stay in this walkway for over 20
years but the Galleria might renege on renewal options for a pittance.
FASB Okays Project to Overhaul Lease Accounting The Financial Accounting Standards Board voted
unanimously to formally add a project to its agenda to "comprehensively
reconsider" the current rules on lease accounting. Critics say those rules,
which haven't gotten a thorough revision in 30 years, make it too easy for
companies to keep their leases of real estate, equipment and other items off
their balance sheets. As such, FASB members said, they're concerned that
financial statements don't fully and clearly portray the impact of leasing
transactions under the current rules. "I think we have received a clear signal
from the investing community that current accounting standards are not providing
them with all the information they want," FASB member Leslie Seidman said before
the vote.
"FASB Okays Project to Overhaul Lease Accounting," SmartPros, July 20,
2006 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x53931.xml
July 21 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
I agree entirely with you and the new IASB/FASB standard that recognizes
that for assets that depreciate, the lessees were gaming the system under
either FAS 13 or IAS 17 so as to hide debt and reduce leverage. I’m all for
the changes in the standards for depreciable assets.
I have a bit more of a problem with such things as leased land or leased
air space for a store inside a mall. Compare a 20-year lease on an airliner
versus a 20-year lease on a shoe store in a Galleria. Even though the
airline’s lease was gamed so as not be a capital lease under FAS 13, for all
practical purposes the airline has used up much of the aircraft after 18
years. There’s not much difference between leasing and ownership in this
case.
But what has the shoe store used up after 18 years? A cube of air that
regenerates every second of every day. The shoe store can never own that air
space except in the unlikely event that the Galleria decides to sell all of
its rentals as condos. Then the condo terms would all have to be written
fresh anyway.
The big distinction in my mind is the expected amount that would be a
cash flow loss to the lessor if the lessee breaks the lease after 18 years.
In the case of the aircraft, the loss is very, very substantial. In the case
of the cube of air, the loss is minimal assuming the Galleria has equivalent
rental opportunities when the lease is broken.
Is there some type of distinction that should be made on the balance
sheet between leased airliners and leased cubes of air?
Probably no distinction should be made. The
shoestore has purchased the right to park their hat in a prime location. In
real estate it is location, location, location. The right to use an
exclusive location is certainly an asset and the future payments a
liability.
John
July 21, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi John,
One distinction arises if the shoe store can simply walk away from the
lease contract with a trivial penalty payment. The airline probably will
incur a non-trivial penalty for walking away from an aircraft lease before
the lease contract matures.
Perhaps this distinction is not important to modern accountants, but us
old geezers still think the distinction is important on the balance sheet
reporting of lease obligations. Interestingly, the exit value of the shoe
store lease may be nearly zero even though the present value of remaining
lease payments is sizeable. We may have to think differently about fair
value accounting for air space leases if we broaden fair value accounting
requirements.
Exit value surrogates for fair value accounting may work better for
aircraft than for air space. Or put another way, booking air space leases at
present value of remaining cash flow payments may not be consistent with
fair value accounting under FAS 157 where Level 1 estimation is the high God
relative to inferior Level 3 present value estimation of fair value.
If we book air space leases at exit values we may in effect be (gasp)
accounting for them as operating leases.
The FASB is slowly -- very slowly -- looking at the accounting for leases. It is
working with the IASB to improve accounting standards in this area. I am
thankful for the action, because the off-balance sheet accounting has undermined
good accounting for a long time.
The Board issued a Discussion Paper “Leases:
Preliminary Views” in
March. In this document the FASB finally begins to follow the definitions
specified in its own conceptual framework. Recall that assets are “probable
future economic benefits obtained or controlled by a particular entity as a
result of past transactions or events” and liabilities are “probable future
sacrifices of economic benefits arising from present obligations of a particular
entity to transfer assets or provide services to other entities in the future as
a result of past transactions or events.” As leases grant lessees probable
future economic benefits and generate probable future sacrifices, lessees have
assets and liabilities they need to account for.
Let us remind ourselves of how important this topic is by examining the case of
CVS Caremark. Like most retailers, this corporation leases many of its stores
throughout the country. The lease structures utilized by CVS Caremark allow it
to categorize most of its leases as operating leases and thereby not disclose a
significant amount of its liabilities.
While this accounting is permitted under current FASB and IASB rules, it
supplies not-so-little white lies to investors and creditors. It is time for
corporate America (and the rest of the world) to tell the truth about leased
assets and lease obligations. It would be a way of practicing ethics instead of
just preaching about them.
Employing the data disclosed in its last 10-K (2008), I recast the numbers as if
the entity employed capital lease accounting. Performing these adjustments
generates the following results for CVS Caremark (all numbers in millions of
dollars).
2008
Reported
Adjusted
Current assets
$16,256
$16,526
Long-term assets
44,434
53,703
Total assets
$60,960
$70,229
Current liabilities
$13,490
$15,135
Long-term liabilities
12,896
26,700
Stockholder’s equity
34,574
28,394
Total capital
$60,960
$70,229
The leased assets are included in the assets of the business enterprise, so
long-term assets and total assets increase by $9.269 billion. This amount is
clearly a significant amount of property rights not to include on the balance
sheet.
The current liabilities increase by $1.645 billion and the long-term liabilities
by $13.804 billion. That’s a lot of debt to conceal from shareholders,
creditors, and the general public.
The stockholders’ equity has gone down because depreciation costs and interest
expense replace rental charges. For this firm and this period, the cumulative
depreciation and interest would have exceeded rental fees.
In terms of some common ratios, the changes are also significant. The current
ratio for reported numbers is 1.21 and for adjusted numbers 1.09. The ratio
debt-to-capital is 43% for reported numbers, but jumps to 60% for adjusted
numbers. Long-term-debt-to-capital is 21% for reported numbers, but almost
doubles to 38% for adjusted numbers.
However you slice it, these are some huge assets and liabilities playing
hide-and-seek with the investment community.
I am happy to report that the FASB and the IASB are leaning toward requiring
business entities to report these assets and liabilities. I am not so happy with
the discussions pertaining to options, lease terms, contingencies, and
guaranteed and unguaranteed residual values. The FASB and the IASB should forget
all of the minutiae dealing with implicit interest rates versus incremental
borrowing rates, residual values, and contingencies. As they construct a new
standard for lessee accounting, the FASB and the IASB need to forget all of the
garbage in FAS 13 and IAS 17.
Let the standard be simple: measure the capitalized asset at its fair value and
measure the lease obligation at its present value. There is no need for the
other trivia; let the auditors sort out the details. And let plaintiffs’
attorneys monitor the auditors.
This approach would prove simple and rational. Companies would then supply
relevant and reliable financial information. And it really would be
principles-based.
Jensen
Comment
Golly Ned! It's getting harder and harder to hide debt and manage earnings. But
there's hope.
Got to
read deeper into that "onerous" provision in IAS 37.
Lessor (Nope) Versus Lessee (Yup) Accounting Rules
The Financial Accounting Standards Board has
decided to defer the development of a new accounting model for lessors,
saying the project will now only address lessee accounting.
FASB also agreed with taking an overall approach to
generally apply the finance lease model in International Accounting Standard
17, "Leases," adapted where necessary for all leases.
The move is the latest in a long-running project
for the board in setting standards for lease accounting. As FASB moves
toward convergence of U.S. generally accepted accounting principles with
International Financial Reporting Standards, it is also trying to make sure
any new standards it approves match up as much as possible with the
international ones.
In the new lessee standards, FASB has decided to
include options to extend or terminate the lease in the measurement of the
right-of-use asset and the lease obligation based on the best estimate of
the expected lease term. The board also agreed that contractual factors,
non-contractual factors and business factors should be considered when
determining the lease term.
The board decided to require lessees to include
contingent rentals in the measurement of the right-of-use asset and the
lease obligation based on their best estimate of expected lease payments.
FASB also decided that both the right-of-use asset
and the lease obligation should be initially measured at the present value
of the best estimate of expected lease payments for all leases. The board
decided to require the best estimate of expected lease payments to be
discounted using the lessee's secured incremental borrowing rate.
FASB members discussed the subsequent measurement
of both the right-of-use asset and the lease obligation, but the board was
not able to reach a decision. The board also discussed whether there should
be criteria to distinguish between leases that are in-substance purchases
and leases that are a right to use an asset, but it was not able to reach a
decision on that matter either.
More Reasons Why Tom and I Hate Principles-Based Accounting Standards
"Contingent Liabilities: A Troubling Signpost on the Winding Road to a Single
Global Accounting Standard," by Tom Selling, The Accounting Onion, May 26, 2008
---
Click Here
By the logic of others, which I can’t explain,
fuzzy lines in accounting standards have come to be exalted as
“principles-based” and bright lines are disparaged as “rules-based.” One of
my favorite examples (actually a pet peeve) of this phenomenon is the
difference in the accounting for leases between IFRS and U.S. GAAP. The
objective of the financial reporting game is to capture as much of the
economic benefits of an asset as possible, while keeping the contractual
liability for future lease payments off the balance sheet; a win is scored
an “operating lease,” and a loss is scored a “capital lease.” As in tennis,
If the present value of the minimum lease payments turns out to be even a
hair over the 90% line of the leased asset’s fair value, your shot is out
and you lose the point.
The counterpart to FAS 13 in IFRS is IAS 17, a
putative principles-based standard. It’s more a less a carbon copy of FAS 13
in its major provisions, except that bright lines are replaced with fuzzy
lines: if the present value of the minimum lease payments is a “substantial
portion” (whatever that means) of the leased asset’s fair value, you lose
operating lease accounting. If FAS 13 is tennis, then IAS 17 is
tennis-without-lines. Either way, the accounting game has another twist: the
players call the balls landing on their side of the net; and the only job of
the umpire—chosen and compensated by each player—is to opine on the
reasonableness of their player's call. So, one would confidently expect that
the players of tennis-without- lines have a much lower risk of being
overruled by their auditors… whoops, I meant umpires.
Although lease accounting is one example for which
GAAP is bright-lined and IFRS is the fuzzy one, the opposite is sometimes
the case, with accounting for contingencies under FAS 5 or IAS 37 being a
prime exaple. FAS 5 requires recognition of a contingent liability when it
is “probable” that a future event will result in the occurrence of a
liability. What does “probable” mean? According to FAS 5, it means “likely
to occur.” Wow, that sure clears things up. With a recognition threshold as
solid as Jell-o nailed to a tree and boilerplate footnote disclosures to
keep up appearances, there should be little problem persuading one’s
handpicked independent auditor of the “reasonableness” of any in or out
call.
IAS 37 has a similar recognition threshold for a
contingent liability (Note: I am adopting U.S. terminology throughout, even
though "contingent liabilities" are referred to as "provisions" in IAS 37).
But in refreshing contrast to FAS 5, IAS 37 unambiguously nails down the
definition of “probable” to be “more likely than not” —i.e., just a hair
north of 50%. Naively assuming that companies actually comply with the
letter and spirit of IAS 37, then more liabilities should find their way
onto the balance sheet under IFRS than GAAP. And, IAS 37 also has more
principled rules for measuring a liability, once recognized. But, I won’t
get into that here. Just please take my word for it that IAS 37 is to FAS 5
as steak is to chopped liver.
The Global Accounting Race to the Bottom
And so we have the IASB’s ineffable ongoing
six-year project to make a hairball out of IAS 37. If these two standards,
IAS 37 and FAS 5, are to be brought closer together as the ballyhooed
Memorandum of Understanding between IASB and FASB should portend, it would
make much more sense for the FASB to revise FAS 5 to make it more like IAS
37. After all, convergence isn’t supposed to take forever; even if you don’t
think IAS 37 is perfect, there are a lot more serious problems IASB could be
working harder on: leases, pensions, revenue recognition, securitizations,
related party transactions, just to name a few off the top of my head. But,
the stakeholders in IFRS are evidently telling the IASB that they get their
jollies from tennis without lines. And, the IASB, dependent on the big boys
for funding, is listening real close.
Basically, the IASB has concluded that all present
obligations – not just those that are more likely than not to result in an
outflow of assets – should be recognized. It sounds admirably principled and
ambitious, but there’s a catch. In place of the bright-line probability
threshold in IAS 37, there would be the fuzziest line criteria one could
possibly devise: the liability must be capable of “reliable” measurement. We
know that "probable" without further guidance must at least lie between 0
and 1, but what amount of measurement error is within range of “reliable”?
The answer, it seems, would be left to the whim of the issuer followed by
the inevitable wave-your-hands-in-the-air rubber stamp of the auditor.
It’s not as if the IASB doesn’t have history from
which to learn. Where the IASB is trying to go in revising IAS 37, we’ve
already been in the U.S. The result was all too often not a pretty sight as
unrecognized liabilities suddenly slammed into balance sheets like freight
trains. As I discussed in an earlier post, retiree health care liabilities
were kept off balance sheets until they were about to break unionized
industrial companies. Post-retirement benefits were doled out by earlier
generations of management, long departed with their generous termination
benefits, in order to persuade obstreperous unions to return to the assembly
lines. GM and Ford are now on the verge of settling faustian bargains of
their forbearers with huge cash outlays: yet for decades the amount
recognized on the balance sheet was precisely nil. The accounting for these
liabilities had been conveniently ignored, with only boilerplate disclosures
in their stead, out of supposed concern for reliable measurement. Yet,
everyone knew that zero as the answer was as far from correct as Detroit is
from Tokyo – where, as in most developed countries, health care costs of
retirees are the responsibility of government.
Holding the recognition of a liability hostage to
“reliable” measurement is bad accounting. There is just no other way I can
put it. If this is the way the IASB is going to spend its time as we are
supposed to be moving to a single global standard, then let the race to the
bottom begin.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) has
begun reviewing its guidance on one of the most complex areas of off-balance
sheet reporting, accounting for leases, Chairman Robert Herz told Forbes.
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had requested that FASB review
off-balance sheet arrangements, special purpose entities and related issues
in a staff report issued in June 2005. The most prominent topics for review
were pension disclosure and accounting for leases.
Having issued its Exposure Draft to Improve
Accounting of Pensions and other Postretirement Benefits, FASB is now
considering moving lease obligations from the current footnote disclosure to
the balance sheet. But the sheer number of rules and regulations that relate
to leases – hundreds, according to Business Week – offers experts plenty of
opportunities to keep disclosure off the books and presents FASB with an
enormous challenge.
Companies are currently required to record future
lease obligations in a footnote, but actual rent payments are deducted in
quarterly income statements. Approximately 10 percent of leases are already
disclosed on the balance sheet as liabilities because the company can
purchase the equipment at the end of the lease, and therefore the lease is
treated as a loan, or because lease payments add up to 90 percent of the
value of the leased property.
Robert Herz says, according to Business Week, that
“cookie-cutter templates” have been created to design leases so that they
don’t add up to more than 89 percent of the value of the property. And to
add to the complexity, the AP says, if the contract describes a more
temporary rental-type arrangement, it can be treated as an operating lease
and recorded in the footnote.
Leasing footnotes do not reveal the interest
portion of future payments and require the analyst or investor to make
assumptions about the number of years over which the debt needs to be paid,
the AP says, as well as the interest rate the company will be paying. David
Zion, an analyst from Credit Suisse told the AP that many professionals
interpret the footnotes by multiplying a company’s annual rental costs by
eight.
Thomas J. Linsmeier, recently named a member of the
FASB, said that the current rule for accounting for leases needed to be
changed because it sets such specific criteria. “It is a poster child for
bright-line tests,” he said, according to the New York Times.
The SEC requested the review it said in a press
release because “the current accounting for leases takes an “all or nothing”
approach to recognizing leases on the balance sheet. This results in a
clustering of lease arrangements such that their terms approach, but do not
cross, “the bright lines” in the accounting guidance that would require a
liability to be recognized. As a consequence, arrangements with similar
economic outcomes are accounted for very differently.”
Finding a way to define a lease for accounting
purposes presents additional problems. Some accountants argue that since the
lessor does not own the property and cannot sell it, the property should not
be viewed as an asset, Business Week says. Others say that the promise to
pay a rent is equal to any other liability.
Of 200 companies reviewed by SEC staffers in 2005,
77 percent had off-balance-sheet operating leases, totaling about $1.25
trillion, the Wall Street Journal reported.
Among the companies with the biggest lease
obligations are Walgreen Co. with $15.2 billion, CVS Corp with $11.1 billion
and Fedex Corp. with $10.5 billion, the AP reports. Walgreens owns less that
one-fifth of its store locations and leases the rest. Fedex leases
airplanes, land and facilities.
Robert Herz, in an editorial response in Forbes to
Harvey Pitt, former SEC chairman, acknowledged that FASB’s current projects,
including the review of lease accounting, could generate controversy. But he
says that the complexity and volume of standards impedes transparency, and
that the FASB is working jointly with the IASB to develop more principles
based standards.
“Complexity has impeded the overall usefulness of
financial statements and added to the costs of preparing and auditing
financial statements – particularly for small and private enterprises – and
it is also viewed as a contributory factor to the unacceptably high number
of restatements,” Herz writes in Forbes.
Herz does not expect the new rules to be completed
before 2008 or 2009, Business Week says.
Let me close by citing Harry
S. Truman who said, "I never give them hell; I just tell them the truth and they
think its hell!"
Great Speeches About the State of Accountancy
"20th Century Myths," by Lynn Turner when he was still Chief Accountant at the
SEC in 1999 ---
http://www.sec.gov/news/speech/speecharchive/1999/spch323.htm
It is
interesting to listen to people ask for simple, less complex
standards like in "the good old days." But I never hear them ask for
business to be like "the good old days," with smokestacks rather
than high technology, Glass-Steagall rather than Gramm-Leach, and
plain vanilla interest rate deals rather than swaps, collars, and
Tigers!! The bottom line is—things have changed. And so have people.
Today, we have enormous pressure on CEO’s and
CFO’s. It used to be that CEO’s would be in their positions for an
average of more than ten years. Today, the average is 3 to 4 years.
And Financial Executive Institute surveys show that the CEO and CFO
changes are often linked.
In such an environment, we in the auditing
and preparer community have created what I consider to be a
two-headed monster. The first head of this monster is what I call
the "show me" face. First, it is not uncommon to hear one say, "show
me where it says in an accounting book that I can’t do this?" This
approach to financial reporting unfortunately necessitates the level
of detail currently being developed by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board ("FASB"), the Emerging Issues Task Force, and the
AICPA’s Accounting Standards Executive Committee. Maybe this isn’t a
recent phenomenon. In 1961, Leonard Spacek, then managing partner at
Arthur Andersen, explained the motivation for less specificity in
accounting standards when he stated that "most industry
representatives and public accountants want what they call
‘flexibility’ in accounting principles. That term is never clearly
defined; but what is wanted is ‘flexibility’ that permits greater
latitude to both industry and accountants to do as they please." But
Mr. Spacek was not a defender of those who wanted to "do as they
please." He went on to say, "Public accountants are constantly
required to make a choice between obtaining or retaining a client
and standing firm for accounting principles. Where the choice
requires accepting a practice which will produce results that are
erroneous by a relatively material amount, we must decline the
engagement even though there is precedent for the practice desired
by the client."
We create the second head of our monster
when we ask for standards that absolutely do not reflect the
underlying economics of transactions. I offer two prime examples.
Leasing is first. We have accounting literature put out by the FASB
with follow-on interpretative guidance by the accounting
firms—hundreds of pages of lease accounting guidance that, I will be
the first to admit, is complex and difficult to decipher. But it is
due principally to people not being willing to call a horse a horse,
and a lease what it really is—a financing. The second example is
Statement 133 on derivatives. Some people absolutely howl about its
complexity. And yet we know that: (1) people were not complying with
the intent of the simpler Statements 52 and 80, and (2) despite the
fact that we manage risk in business by managing values rather than
notional amounts, people want to account only for notional amounts.
As a result, we ended up with a compromise position in Statement
133. To its credit, Statement 133 does advance the quality of
financial reporting. For that, I commend the FASB. But I believe
that we could have possibly achieved more, in a less complex
fashion, if people would have agreed to a standard that truly
reflects the underlying economics of the transactions in an unbiased
and representationally faithful fashion.
I certainly hope that we can find a way to
do just that with standards we develop in the future, both in the
U.S. and internationally. It will require a change in how we
approach standard setting and in how we apply those standards. It
will require a mantra based on the fact that transparent, high
quality financial reporting is what makes our capital markets the
most efficient, liquid, and deep in the world.
SUMMARY: Last winter, "the Big Four accounting firms...banded together to ask
the Security and Exchange Commission's chief accountant to clarify rules on
lease accounting...Now about 250 companies have announced restatements for lease
accounting issues..."
QUESTIONS:
1.) Why is it curious that so many companies are now restating previous
financial statements due to lease accounting problems? What does the fact that
companies must restate previous results imply about previous accounting for
these lease transactions?
2.) What industries in particular are cited for these issues in the article?
How do you think this industry uses leases?
3.) While one company, Emeritus Corp., disclosed significant impacts on
previously reported income amounts, companies are "...for the most part, not
materially affecting their earnings, analysts say..." Are you surprised by this
fact? What is the most significant impact of capitalizing a lease on a
corporation's financial statements? In your answer, define the terms
operating lease and capitalized lease.
4.) How do points made in the article show that the Sarbanes-Oxley Act is
accomplishing its intended effect?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
When it comes to bookkeeping snafus, lease
accounting may be the new revenue recognition.
It all started in November, when KPMG LLP told
fast-food chain CKE Restaurants Inc. that it had problems with the way CKE
recognized rent expenses and depreciated buildings. That led CKE to restate
its financials for 2002 as well as some prior years. CKE will also take a
charge in its upcoming annual filing for 2003 through its just-ended 2005
fiscal year.
By winter, the Big Four accounting firms had banded
together to ask the Securities and Exchange Commission's chief accountant to
clarify rules on lease accounting. Retail and restaurant trade groups began
battling rule makers about the merits of issuing such guidance.
Now, about 250 companies have announced
restatements for lease-accounting issues similar to CKE's, and the number
continues to rise daily.
"We'd be shocked if this isn't the biggest category
of restatements we've ever seen," says Jeff Szafran of Huron Consulting
Group LLC, which tracks restatements.
Given that so many publicly traded companies,
especially retailers and restaurant chains, hold leases, it perhaps isn't
surprising that lease restatements are snowballing. Accounting experts say
the restatements also demonstrate that violations of generally accepted
accounting principles still are widespread.
"The whole subject has been a curiosity to me,"
says Jack Ciesielski, editor of the Analyst's Accounting Observer newsletter
in Baltimore. "This was existing GAAP that hasn't changed, but I don't think
we've seen the end of these restatements."
Since many of the companies announcing restatements
so far report on a January-ending fiscal year, Mr. Ciesielski and other
accounting-industry watchers anticipate a slew of additional restatements in
coming weeks as more companies prepare their books.
Corporate-governance advocates say the volume of
lease-problem restatements shows the Sarbanes-Oxley Act is doing its job.
That 2002 law laid down guidelines for ensuring that companies had proper
internal controls, systems to prevent accounting mistakes and improprieties.
Indeed, many of the companies that have had to restate due to lease problems
also have reported weakness in their internal controls.
While Ernst & Young LLP clients Friendly Ice Cream
Corp., Whole Foods Market Inc. and Cingular Wireless, a joint venture
between SBC Communications Inc. and BellSouth Corp., all reported material
weaknesses in internal controls in their latest annual reports due partly to
lease issues, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP client J. Jill Group Inc. says its
lease-driven restatement didn't signal such significant internal-control
problems.
The main rule on lease accounting hasn't changed
much. Issued in 1976, Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 13 is,
in fact, one of the oldest rules written by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board, which sets guidelines for publicly traded companies. While
some parts of FAS 13 have been reinterpreted since then, auditors for the
most part hadn't raised any concerns about clients' lease accounting --
until now.
"Our industry has been accounting for leases using
the same methodology for 20 years at least and had gotten clean opinions,"
says Carleen Kohut, chief financial officer of the National Retail
Federation.
The changes in lease accounting are "not the result
of the discovery of new facts or information," reads a statement from
Emeritus Corp., an assisted-living company that announced a restatement for
lease accounting within a week of CKE.
Had Emeritus correctly applied lease-accounting
rules in 2003, it could have almost wiped out its profit. In a restated
annual report released in January, the company said lease expenses and other
adjustments lowered earnings to $204,000 for 2003 from the originally
reported $4.5 million -- and such adjustments widened past years' losses
even further.
Emeritus didn't return calls for comment.
Others companies such as home-furnishing store
Bombay Co. announced a lease restatement in March and then withdrew the
decision a week later, demonstrating lingering confusion over the matter.
The SEC's letter released in February clarified
three specific areas of lease accounting, focusing on leasehold improvement
amortization, rent-expense recognition and tenant incentives.
The bright side is that companies coming to grips
with faulty lease accounting are, for the most part, not materially
affecting their earnings, analysts say -- companies such as Emeritus being
an exception. Rather, they say, the change is just a reshuffling of dollars
across various line items.
In recent weeks, a number of public companies
have issued press releases announcing restatements of their
financial statements relating to lease accounting. You requested
that the Office of the Chief Accountant clarify the staff's
interpretation of certain accounting issues and their application
under generally accepted accounting principles relating to operating
leases. Of specific concern is the appropriate accounting for: (1)
the amortization of leasehold improvements by a lessee in an
operating lease with lease renewals, (2) the pattern of recognition
of rent when the lease term in an operating lease contains a period
where there are free or reduced rents (commonly referred to as "rent
holidays"), and (3) incentives related to leasehold improvements
provided by a landlord/lessor to a tenant/lessee in an operating
lease. It should be noted that the Commission has neither reviewed
this letter nor approved the staff's positions expressed herein. In
addition, the staff's positions may be affected or changed by
particular facts or conditions. Finally, this letter does not
purport to express any legal conclusion on the questions presented.
The staff's views on these issues are as
follows:
Amortization of Leasehold Improvements
- The staff believes that leasehold improvements in an operating
lease should be amortized by the lessee over the shorter of
their economic lives or the lease term, as defined in paragraph
5(f) of FASB Statement 13 ("SFAS 13"), Accounting for Leases, as
amended. The staff believes amortizing leasehold improvements
over a term that includes assumption of lease renewals is
appropriate only when the renewals have been determined to be
"reasonably assured," as that term is contemplated by SFAS 13.
Rent Holidays - The staff believes
that pursuant to the response in paragraph 2 of FASB Technical
Bulletin 85-3 ("FTB 85-3"), Accounting for Operating Leases with
Scheduled Rent Increases, rent holidays in an operating lease
should be recognized by the lessee on a straight-line basis over
the lease term (including any rent holiday period) unless
another systematic and rational allocation is more
representative of the time pattern in which leased property is
physically employed.
Landlord/Tenant Incentives - The staff
believes that: (a) leasehold improvements made by a lessee that
are funded by landlord incentives or allowances under an
operating lease should be recorded by the lessee as leasehold
improvement assets and amortized over a term consistent with the
guidance in item 1 above; (b) the incentives should be recorded
as deferred rent and amortized as reductions to lease expense
over the lease term in accordance with paragraph 15 of SFAS 13
and the response to Question 2 of FASB Technical Bulletin 88-1
("FTB 88-1"), Issues Relating to Accounting for Leases, and
therefore, the staff believes it is inappropriate to net the
deferred rent against the leasehold improvements; and (c) a
registrant's statement of cash flows should reflect cash
received from the lessor that is accounted for as a lease
incentive within operating activities and the acquisition of
leasehold improvements for cash within investing activities. The
staff recognizes that evaluating when improvements should be
recorded as assets of the lessor or assets of the lessee may
require significant judgment and factors in making that
evaluation are not the subject of this letter.
To the extent that SEC registrants have
deviated from the lease accounting standards and related
interpretations set forth by the FASB, those registrants, in
consultation with their independent auditors, should assess the
impact of the resulting errors on their financial statements to
determine whether restatement is required. The SEC staff believes
that the positions noted above are based upon existing accounting
literature and registrants who determine their prior accounting to
be in error should state that the restatement results from the
correction of errors or, if restatement was determined by management
to be unnecessary, state that the errors were immaterial to prior
periods.
Registrants should ensure that the
disclosures regarding both operating and capital leases clearly and
concisely address the material terms of and accounting for leases.
Registrants should provide basic descriptive information about
material leases, usual contract terms, and specific provisions in
leases relating to rent increases, rent holidays, contingent rents,
and leasehold incentives. The accounting for leases should be
clearly described in the notes to the financial statements and in
the discussion of critical accounting policies in MD&A if
appropriate. Known likely trends or uncertainties in future rent or
amortization expense that could materially affect operating results
or cash flows should be addressed in MD&A. The disclosures should
address the following:
Material lease agreements or
arrangements.
The essential provisions of material
leases, including the original term, renewal periods, reasonably
assured rent escalations, rent holidays, contingent rent, rent
concessions, leasehold improvement incentives, and unusual
provisions or conditions.
The accounting policies for leases,
including the treatment of each of the above components of lease
agreements.
The basis on which contingent rental
payments are determined with specificity, not generality.
The amortization period of material
leasehold improvements made either at the inception of the lease
or during the lease term, and how the amortization period
relates to the initial lease term.
As you know, the SEC staff is continuing to
consider these and related matters and may have further discussions
on lease accounting with registrants and their independent auditors.
We appreciate your inquiry and further
questions about these matters can be directed to Tony Lopez,
Associate Chief Accountant in the Office of the Chief Accountant
(202-942-7104) or Louise Dorsey, Associate Chief Accountant in the
Division of Corporation Finance (202-942-2960).
From the FASB: PROPOSED FASB STAFF POSITION No. FAS 157-a
"Application of FASB Statement No. 157 to FASB Statement No. 13 and Its Related
Interpretive Accounting Pronouncements That Address Leasing Transactions" ---
http://www.fasb.org/fasb_staff_positions/prop_fsp_fas157-a.pdf
Objective
1. This FASB Staff Position (FSP)
amends FASB Statement No. 157,
Fair Value Measurements, to exclude FASB Statement No. 13,
Accounting for Leases, and its related interpretive accounting
pronouncements that address leasing transactions.
Background
2. The Exposure Draft preceding
Statement 157 proposed a scope exception for Statement 13 and other
accounting pronouncements that require fair value measurements for leasing
transactions. At that time, the Board was concerned that applying the fair
value measurement objective in the Exposure Draft to leasing transactions
could have unintended consequences, requiring reconsideration of aspects of
lease accounting that were beyond the scope of the Exposure Draft.
3. However, respondents to the
Exposure Draft indicated that the fair value measurement objective for
leasing transactions was generally consistent with the fair value
measurement objective proposed by the Exposure Draft. Others in the leasing
industry subsequently affirmed that view. Based on that input, the Board
decided to include lease accounting pronouncements in the scope of Statement
157.
4. Subsequent to the issuance of
Statement 157, which changed in some respects from the Exposure Draft,
constituents have raised issues stemming from the interaction
Proposed FSP on Statement 157 (FSP
FAS 157-a) 1 FSP FAS 157-a
between the fair value measurement objective in Statement 13 and the fair
value measurement objective in Statement 157.
5. Constituents have noted that
paragraph 5(c)(ii) of Statement 13 provides an example of the determination
of fair value (an exit price) through the use of a transaction price (an
entry price). Constituents also have raised issues about the application of
the fair value measurement objective in Statement 157 to estimated residual
values of leased property. These issues, as well as other issues related to
the interaction between Statement 13 and Statement 157, would result in a
change in lease accounting that requires considerations of lease
classification criteria and measurements in leasing transactions that are
beyond the scope of Statement 157 (for example, a change in lease
classification for leases that would otherwise be accounted for as direct
financing leases).
6. The Board acknowledges that the
term
fair value will be left in
Statement 13 although it is defined differently than in Statement 157;
however, the Board believes that lease accounting provisions and the
longstanding valuation practices common within the leasing industry should
not be changed by Statement 157 without a comprehensive reconsideration of
the accounting for leasing transactions. The Board has on its agenda a
project to comprehensively reconsider the guidance in Statement 13 together
with its subsequent amendments and interpretations.
Despite the post-Enron drive to improve accounting
standards, U.S. companies are still allowed to keep off their balance sheets
billions of dollars of lease obligations that are just as real as financial
commitments originating from bank loans and other borrowings.
The practice spans the entire spectrum of American
business and industry, relegating a key gauge of corporate health to obscure
financial-statement footnotes, and leaving investors and analysts to do the
math themselves. The scale of these off-balance-sheet obligations --
stemming from leases on everything from aircraft to retail stores to factory
equipment -- can be huge:
• US Airways Group Inc., which recently filed
for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, showed only $3.15 billion in
long-term debt on its most recently audited balance sheet, for 2003, and
didn't include the $7.39 billion in operating-lease commitments it had on
its fleet of passenger jets.
• Drugstore chain Walgreen Co. shows no debt on
its balance sheet, but it is responsible for $19.3 billion of
operating-lease payments mainly on stores over the next 25 years.
• For the companies in the Standard &
Poor's 500-stock index, off-balance-sheet operating-lease commitments, as
revealed in the footnotes to their financial statements, total $482
billion.
Debt levels are among the most important measures
of a company's financial health. But the special accounting treatment for
many leases means that a big slice of corporate financing remains in the
shadows. For all the tough laws and regulations set up since Enron Corp.'s
2001 collapse, regulators have left lease accounting largely untouched.
Members of the Financial Accounting Standards Board say they are considering
adding the issue to their agenda next year.
"Leasing is one of the areas of accounting
standards that clearly merits review," says Donald Nicolaisen, the
Securities and Exchange Commission's chief accountant. The current guidance,
he says, depends on rigidly defined categories in which a slight variation
has a major effect and relies too much on "on-off switches for
determining whether a leased asset and the related payment obligations are
reflected on the balance sheet."
A case in point is the "90% test," part
of the FASB's 28-year-old rules for lease accounting. If the present value
of a company's minimum lease payments equals 90% or more of a property's
value, the transaction must be treated as a "capital lease," with
accounting treatment akin to that of debt. If the figure is slightly less,
say 89%, the deal is treated as an "operating lease," subject to
certain other conditions, meaning the lease doesn't count as debt. The lease
commitment appears not in the main body of the financial statements but in
footnotes, often obscurely written and of limited usefulness.
The $482 billion figure for the S&P 500 was
determined through a Wall Street Journal review of the companies' annual
reports. That's equivalent to 8% of the $6.25 trillion reported as debt on
the 500 companies' balance sheets, according to data provided by Reuters
Research. For many companies, off-balance-sheet lease obligations are many
times higher than their reported debt.
Given the choice between leasing and owning real
estate or equipment, many companies pick operating leases. Besides lowering
reported debt, operating leases boost returns on assets and often plump up
earnings through, among other things, lower depreciation expenses.
"It's nonsense," Trevor Harris, an
accounting analyst and managing director at Morgan Stanley, says of the 90%
rule. "What's the difference between 89.9% and 90%, and 85% and 90%, or
even 70% and 90%? It's the wrong starting point. You've purchased the right
to some resources as an asset. The essence of accounting is supposed to be
economic substance over legal form."
This summer, Union Pacific Corp. opened its new
19-story, $260 million headquarters in Omaha, Neb. The railroad operator is
the owner of the city's largest building, the Union Pacific Center, in
virtually every respect except its accounting.
Under an initial operating lease, Union Pacific
guaranteed 89.9% of all construction costs through the building's completion
date. After completing the building, the company signed a new operating
lease, which guarantees 85% of the building's costs. Unlike most operating
leases, both were "synthetic" leases, which allow the company to
take income-tax deductions for interest and depreciation while maintaining
complete operational control. A Union Pacific spokesman declined to comment.
Neither lease has appeared on the balance sheet.
Instead, they have stayed in the footnotes, resulting in lower reported
assets and liabilities. On its balance sheet, Union Pacific shows about $8
billion of debt, while its footnotes show about $3 billion of
operating-lease commitments, including for railroad engines and other
equipment.
The 90% test goes to the crux of investor
complaints that U.S. accounting standards remain driven by arbitrary rules,
around which companies can easily structure transactions to achieve desired
outcomes.
It means different companies entering nearly
identical transactions can account for them in very different ways,
depending on which side of the 90% test they reside. Meanwhile, as with
disclosures showing employee stock-option compensation expenses, most
investors and stock analysts tend to ignore the footnotes disclosing lease
obligations.
Three years ago, Enron's collapse revealed how
easily a company could hide debt. A big part of the energy company's scandal
centered on off-balance-sheet "special purpose entities." These
obscure partnerships could be kept off the books -- with no footnote
disclosures -- if an independent investor owned 3% of an entity's equity.
Responding to public outcry, FASB members eliminated that rule and promised
more "principles-based" standards, which spell out concise
objectives and emphasize economic substance over form, rather than a
"check the box" approach with rigid tests and exceptions that can
be exploited.
The accounting literature on leasing covers
hundreds of pages. The FASB's original 1976 pronouncement, called Financial
Accounting Standard No. 13, does state a broad principle: A lease that
transfers substantially all the benefits and risks of ownership should be
accounted for as such. But in practice, critics say, FAS 13 amounts to all
rules and no principles, making it easy to manipulate its strict exceptions
and criteria as needed. One key rule says a lease is a "capital
lease" if it covers 75% or more of the property's estimated useful
life. One day less, and it can stay off-balance-sheet, subject to other
tests.
Continued in the article
"Group (the IASB) to Alter Rules On Lease Accounting," The
Wall Street Journal, September 23, 2004, Page C4
BRUSSELS -- The International Accounting Standards
Board next week will unveil plans to overhaul the rules on accounting for
leased assets, the board's chairman said yesterday.
Critics long have contended that the rules for
determining whether leases should be included as assets and liabilities on a
company's balance sheet are easy to evade and encourage form-over-substance
accounting. "It's going to be a very big deal," Chairman Sir David
Tweedie told Dow Jones Newswires after testifying to the European
Parliament. International accounting rules on leasing exist already, but
they are useless, Mr. Tweedie said.
Airlines that lease their aircraft, for instance,
rarely include their planes on their balance sheets, he said. "So the
aircraft is just a figment of your imagination," Mr. Tweedie said. The
board will convene a meeting next week to discuss changes to current rules,
he said.
The Wall Street Journal yesterday reported (see
the above article) that the U.S. Financial Accounting
Standards Board is considering adding lease accounting to its agenda of
items for overhaul.
From The Wall Street Journal's The Weekly Review: Accounting on
September 24, 2004
TITLE: Lease Accounting Still Has an Impact
REPORTER: Jonathan Weil
DATE: Sep 22, 2004
PAGE: A1
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB109580870299124246,00.html
TOPICS: Financial Accounting, Financial Accounting Standards Board, Financial
Statement Analysis, Lease Accounting, off balance sheet financing
SUMMARY: The on-line version of this article is entitled "How Leases
Play a Shadowy Role in Accounting." The article highlights the typical
practical ways in which entities avoid capitalizing leases; reports on a WSJ
analysis of footnote disclosures to assess levels of off-balance sheet debt;
and comments on the difficulties the FASB may face in trying to amend
Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 13.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What accounting standard governs the accounting for lease transactions
under U.S. GAAP? When was that accounting standard written and first put into
effect?
2.) When is the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) considering
working on improvements to the accounting for lease transactions? Why is the
FASB likely to face challenges in any attempt to change accounting for leasing
transactions?
3.) What are the names of the two basic methods of accounting for leases by
lessees under current U.S. standards? Which of these methods is he referring
to when the author writes, "U.S. companies are...allowed to keep off
their balance sheets billions of dollars of lease obligations..."
4.) What are the required disclosures under each of the two methods of
accounting for leases? What are the problems with financial statement users
relying on footnote disclosures as opposed to including a caption and a
numerical amount on the face of the balance sheet?
5.) How do you think the Wall Street Journal identified the amounts of
lease commitments that are kept off of corporate balance sheets? Specifically
identify the steps you think would be required to measure obligations under
operating leases in a way that is comparable to the amounts shown for capital
leases recognized on the face of the balance sheet.
6.) What four tests must be made in determining the accounting for any
lease? Why do you think the author focuses on only one of these tests, the
"90% test"?
7.) What financial ratios are impacted by accounting for leases? List all
that you can identify in the article, and that you can think of, and explain
how they are affected by different accounting treatments for leases.
8.) What is a "special purpose entity"? When are these entities
used in leasing transactions?
9.) What is a "synthetic lease"? When are these leases
constructed?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Where were the auditors? That is the question being
asked as more than 60 companies face the prospect of restating their
earnings after apparently incorrectly dealing with their lease accounting,
Dow Jones reported.
Companies in the retail, restaurant and
wireless-tower industries are among those affected in what is being called
the most sweeping bookkeeping correction in such a short time period since
the late 1990s.
Among the companies on the list are Ann Taylor,
Target and Domino's Pizza. You can view a full listing of the affected
companies.
"It's always disturbing when our accounting is
not followed," Don Nicolaisen, chief accountant at the Securities and
Exchange Commission, said last week during an interview. He published a
letter on Feb. 7 urging companies to follow accounting standards that have
been on the books for many years, Dow Jones reported.
Based on the charges and restatement announcements
that have come in the wake of the SEC letter it seems companies have failed
for years to follow what regulators see as cut-and-dried lease-accounting
rules. The SEC has yet to go so far as to accuse companies of wrongdoing,
but it has led people to wonder why auditors hired to keep company books
clean could have missed so many instances of failure to comply with the
rule.
"Where were the auditors?" J. Edward
Ketz, an accounting professor at Pennsylvania State University, said to Dow
Jones. "Where were the people approving these things? This doesn't seem
like something that really requires new discussion. If we have to go back
and revisit every single rule because companies and their professional
advisers aren't going to follow the rules, then I think we're in very
serious trouble in this country."
Tom Fitzgerald, a spokesman for auditing firm KPMG,
declined to comment. Representatives for Deloitte & Touche LLP,
PricewaterhouseCoopers LLC, and Ernst & Young LLP, didn't return several
phone calls, Dow Jones reported.
The crux of the issue is that companies are
supposed to book these "leasehold improvements" as assets on their
balance sheets and then depreciate those assets, incurring an expense on
their income statements, over the duration of the lease. Instead, companies
such as Pep Boys-Manny Moe & Jack had been spreading those expenses out
over the projected useful life of the property, which is usually a longer
time period, Dow Jones reported.
As a result, expenses were deferred and income was
added to the current period. McDonald's Corp. took a charge of $139.1
million, or 8 cents a share, in its fourth quarter to correct a
lease-accounting strategy that it says had been in place for 25 years, Dow
Jones reported, adding that Pep Boys said it would book a charge of 80 cents
a share, or $52 million, for the nine months through Oct. 30, 2004.
ASC 480 is the starting point for determining
whether an instrument must be classified as a liability. SEC registrants and
non-SEC registrants that elect to apply the SEC’s guidance on redeemable
equity securities must also consider the classification within equity. The
relevant accounting guidance has existed for a number of years without
substantial recent changes. In addition, we are not aware of any plans of
the FASB or SEC to significantly change the guidance in the near future.
My father was a repo man. He did not look the part,
which made him all the more effective. He alternately wore a long mustache
or a shaggy beard and owned bell-bottoms in black, blue, and cherry red. His
imitation-silk shirts were festooned with city maps, cartoon characters, or
sailing ships. Dad sang in the car, at the top of his lungs, mostly obscure
show tunes. His white Dodge Dart had Mach 1 racing stripes that he had
lifted from a souped-up Ford Mustang. The "deadbeats" saw him coming, that's
for sure, but they did not understand his profession until he walked into
their homes and took away their televisions.
Dad worked for Woolco, a company that lent
appliances on an installment plan. When borrowers failed to pay, ignored the
letters and phone calls, my father would come by. He often posed as a meter
reader or someone with a broken-down car. If he saw a random object lying
abandoned in the yard, he would pick it up and bring it to the door as if he
were returning it. He was warm and funny, charming, but pushy. He did not
carry a gun, but he was fearless under pressure and impervious to verbal
abuse. If the door opened, he was inside; if he was inside, he shortly had
his hands on the appliance; the rest was bookkeeping.
. . .
In each case, lenders had created complex financial
instruments to protect themselves from defaulters like the ones I watched
from the car. And in each case, the very complexity of the chain of
institutions linking borrowers and lenders made it impossible for those
lenders to distinguish good loans from bad.
In 1837, for example, banks in the north of England
discovered that the unpaid "cotton bills of exchange" in their vaults made
them the indirect owners of slaves in Mississippi. In 2007, shareholders in
DBS, the largest bank in Singapore, found themselves part owners of homes
facing foreclosure in California, Florida, and Nevada. In both cases,
efficient foreclosure proved impossible.
In those crashes in America's past, perhaps a repo
man in a Dodge Dart with a million gallons of gas could have visited every
debtor, edged his way in, and decided who was good for it. (My dad did
accept cash or money orders for Woolco's goods.) But big lenders have
neither the time nor the capacity to act with the diligence of a repo man.
Instead, such lenders (let's agree to call them all banks) try to unload
debts, hide from their own creditors, go into bankruptcy, and call on state
and federal institutions for relief. Banks have also routinely overestimated
the collateral—the underlying asset—for the loans they hold. When those
debts go unpaid or appear unpayable, banks quickly withdraw lending; the
teller's window slams shut. A crisis on Wall Street becomes a crisis on Main
Street. Money is tight. Loans are impossible: Crash.
***
Scholarship on these financial downturns has its
own long and checkered past.
From the 1880s to the 1950s, scholars told the
history of the nation's economic downturns as the history of banks. Such an
approach was not entirely wrong, but it tended to focus on big personalities
like J.P. Morgan or New York institutions; it tended to ignore the farmers,
artisans, slaveholders, and shopkeepers whose borrowing had fed the booms
and busts.
Then, in the 1960s and 1970s, the so-called new
economic historians (or cliometricians) came along with a different story.
Using state and federal data, they tried to build mathematical models of the
nation's financial health. Moving beyond banks, they emphasized what they
termed the "real economy," by which they meant measurable indices of growth
and profit. Taking the nation's health like a simple temperature reading,
they used gross domestic product, gross income, or collective return on
investment. Of course, none of those figures had been measured directly
before the 1930s, and so the prognoses tended to vary widely.
Such economic models of financial health, however
scientific they looked, tended to be abstract representations of an economy
that was, in fact, more complex and more interconnected than they pictured.
The models, for example, often assumed that old banks were like modern
banks, sharing common accounting principles, or that because banks first
issued credit cards in the 1960s, they offered no consumer credit before
then. Drilling into historical documents for seemingly relevant numbers,
then plugging those numbers into a model of a world they understood rather
than the economy they sought to describe, the cliometricians often produced
ahistorical work. Hence, one economic historian assumed that American
barrels of flour sent to New Orleans were consumed in the South, though most
were bound for re-export to the Caribbean. Another calculated that railroads
played little role in America's economic booms by modeling a scenario in
which canals could have (somehow) crossed the arid plains into the Sierra
Nevada mountains.
Bear in mind, that same kind of intellectual hubris
about models of economic behavior had awful effects in the recent past.
Around 2000, Barclays Bank borrowed a simple diffusion model from physics
(called the "Gaussian copula function") to suggest that foreclosures would
have a relatively small effect on nearby property values. Economists tested
it with two years of foreclosure and price data and agreed. Billions of
investment in real-estate followed, often in indirect markets like
real-estate derivatives and collateralized debt obligations. By 2008 the
model proved shockingly inaccurate.
If some historians focused on the temperature of
the "real economy," economists were becoming obsessed with the money supply
as the single factor explaining most American panics. Again, a certain kind
of blindness to the history of debt and deadbeats ensued. The most important
book here was Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz's seminal A
Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960 (1963). It urged economists
to steer away from stories of speculation spun out by Keynesians like John
Kenneth Galbraith.
How, according to Friedman and Schwartz, can we
separate speculation and investment? All loans are risky. The riskier they
are, the higher the return. Some investments will fail. Markets need to
clear, and those buyers who come along to sweep up bargains are not ruthless
profiteers but simply maximizers who make markets work. Thus, the pair
steered economists away from problems of risk and toward the problems of
state intervention. They were the prophets of financial deregulation.
Their story about past financial panics had the
advantage of suggesting simple solutions: Use the Federal Reserve to inflate
or deflate the currency. For them, financial crises were mostly monetary.
Thus, the 1929 downturn started with a financial shock and then was
prolonged by an overly tight monetary policy. After A Monetary History
became gospel, economics textbooks dropped their numerous chapters on
financial panics because the policy solution became so clear; economists
trained after 1965 know little about financial downturns before the Great
Depression.
Yet a tripling of the money supply has still not
fully pulled the United States and the rest of the world out of our current
financial crisis—suggesting that our problems, and all the previous ones,
were not just monetary. My dad would have pointed out that economists have
misunderstood the problem. Crises are mostly about productive assets—the
promises in his trunk.
Social historians (and I count myself among them)
tell a very different story about financial panics, but we have our own
blind spots. Since the late 1960s, we have often discussed the American
economy as if farmers were coherent families of self-sufficient yeomen
surprised by the market economy. That story of a sudden revolution misses
the early and intimate relationship between Americans and credit. It
overlooks how American stores provided consumer credit to farmers,
plantations owners, and renters who settled the West.
Thus, American social historians have used the term
"market revolution" to describe the period after the 1819 panic. Accordingly
market forces rushed in as repo men like my dad became vanguards of a new
capitalist order. The financial jeremiads of Jacksonian Democrats of the
1820s and 30s against bankers and paper money became the natural outgrowth
of frontier farmers' anger at a capitalism they had never seen before. But
the store system of Andrew Jackson's day borrowed practices from the
colonial store system that goes back to the 17th century, if not earlier. It
was how the fur-trading and East and West India companies prospered. John
Jacob Astor and Andrew Jackson were cut from the same cloth. They made their
fortunes from their stores, and their store system made settlement possible.
Part of the reason we overlook the importance of
credit in American history is our continued attachment to Marx's divide
between precapitalist and capitalist forms of agriculture. That misses the
relationship between farming and credit for most of the people who settled
America. The more I study panics, the more I am persuaded that the pioneer
American institution of the 18th and early 19th centuries was not the
homestead or the trapper's shack but the store, an institution that sold
foreign goods to farmers on credit, taking payment in easily movable settler
products like furs, potash, barrel hoops, and butter.
Rather than imagining some golden age of
subsistence, scholars in the Marxist tradition should look more closely at
anticapitalist movements in the wake of panics. I include here not just the
utopian and religious communities like Quakers, Shakers, and Oneidans but
also the early Mormons, the Grangers, and the Populists. Those people
understood what it meant for banks, and then railroads, to extend credit
through stores. Often regarding capital as a collective inheritance, they
built their own associations to replace such institutions of credit (and the
railroad was an institution of credit) with locally managed cooperatives
that distributed agricultural benefits in a way that served the broader
community. The temple, the elevator, and the cooperative were attempts to
break the chain of debt without demonizing capital.
From the perspective of business history, Joseph A.
Schumpeter argued that business-cycle downturns came from periods of
"creative destruction" in which new technologies undermined old ones.
Outdated technologies, with millions invested in them, became instantly
obsolete, leading to financial failures that cascaded to other industries.
While Schumpeter, who died in 1950, once persuaded me, I think there is a
mechanistic fallacy in the argument. Railroads, for example, have taken the
blame for the 1857, 1873 and 1893 downturns. While there may be something
there, the whole account seems reductive and technologically determinist.
For example, canals, the Bessemer process, fractional distillation of oil,
and washing machines are all revolutionary technologies that flourished
during the American panics, not before them. They did sweep away older
technologies, but rather than causing panics those technologies benefited by
the uncertainty that panic created.
In a very different camp, neo-Marxists like
Giovanni Arrighi and David Harvey betray a similar kind of reductive
history, a latter-day Schumpeterianism. Their work posits a "spatial fix," a
center of capitalism that then organizes and draws tribute from the rest of
the world. For the late Arrighi, it was a kind of pump that sucked assets
from elsewhere as states were forming throughout the sweep of centuries. For
Harvey it is an investment in a capital city (Amsterdam, London, New York)
and a new communication technology (telegraph, telephone, the Internet) that
drew higher profits from everywhere else. Dutch and British hegemony became
American hegemony after World War II. That suggests that these scholars have
not really considered the tremendous influence of the U.S. Federal Reserve
in reorienting international trade between 1913 and the 1920s. Their story
seems more or less political to me: American empire comes when Americans
claim victory in World War II. The economic material seems to be used in the
service of a story about the rise and decline of empires.
If we follow the money, the American empire emerged
during World War I, when the international flow of debt changed drastically.
For Arrighi and Harvey, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank
are the pathbreakers of financial empire. But it is worth remembering that
those institutions were explicitly designed to restrain the dirty tricks of
financial empires of the 1920s and 1930s: No more American banks using
gunboat diplomacy in Peru; no more Germans sending tanks into Poland to
collect unpaid debts.
***
As a historian, I have learned the most about
financial disasters from long-dead historians whose work blended primary,
secondary, and quantitative material. Rosa Luxemburg, William Graham Sumner,
Frank W. Taussig, and Charles Kindleberger would never have agreed about
anything. Luxemburg, a renegade Marxist who read in five languages,
described how the dangerous mix of a hierarchical production process with
the anarchy of international trade could lead manufacturers to block free
trade and embrace higher prices for their raw materials in the wake of a
panic. Sumner, a laissez-faire Social Darwinist who argued that income
inequality benefited society, carefully explained how drastic economic
changes could follow from tiny changes in international trade deals. Put in
a room together, each would have retreated to a corner to begin throwing
furniture. But they and the others were storytellers who used a mixture of
sources. Telling a story by looking through the trunk of assets and watching
the damage afterward makes more sense to me than simple models of financial
contagion, money supply, technological watersheds, or global fixes.
My father died before I started writing about
financial panics, but my thoughts have grown out of our 30-year-long
argument about financial downturns. Not surprisingly, he disliked
"deadbeats," seeing them as the people whose false promises weakened our
country. He probably had a point, and no doubt the executives of Woolco
would agree. But I find much in them to admire, for defaulters are often
dreamers. Viewing America's financial panics through the lens of numerous
unfulfilled and forgotten debts that even the oldest banker cannot possibly
remember can afford a perspective my dad would have appreciated: with my
view from the Dodge Dart, the minute he rang the doorbell, when both debtor
and creditor prepared their stories.
Scott Reynolds Nelson is a professor of history at the College of
William and Mary. His book A Nation of Deadbeats: An Uncommon History of
America's Financial Disasters has just been published by Alfred A. Knopf.
The booked National
Debt in August 2012 went over $16 trillion ---
U.S. National Debt Clock ---
http://www.usdebtclock.org/
Also see
http://www.brillig.com/debt_clock/
The unbooked entitlements have a present value between $80 and $100 trillion.
But who's counting?
Coco bonds are
a type of debt with strings
attached. The coco in the name is
short for "contingent convertible,"
which means in some circumstances
the debt converts into equity —
rather than the bank owing you
money, you suddenly own a little bit
of the bank.
The contingent
part of the bonds depends on how
much cash the banks have. If a
bank's capital falls below a certain
level the switch is flipped and the
bonds turn into shares. Because of
this risk, coco bonds carry a higher
yield than normal bank bonds.
Coco bonds
were cooked up after the financial
crisis as a way to prevent banks
from needing any more state
bailouts. If banks were getting into
trouble and running low on cash, the
bonds would convert, solving two
problems — the bank's debt burden
lessens and its capital buffers are
boosted.
Lloyds is
the biggest coco-bond issuer in the
UK, with $14.5 billion (£10.7
billion) of the paper issued from
2009 to 2015,
according to
Moody's.
Why are
people worried?
Put simply,
investors are worried they won't get
their money back.
There are
growing fears that banks like
Deutsche Bank and Santander won't be
able to meet coupon payments —
interest on the debt.
A recent move
by the European Central Bank to
publish an obscure test of bank
risk, known as the Srep ratio, has
driven the recent upset in the
market. The results have stoked
fears in the minds of credit
analysts about whether recent market
shocks — ranging from low oil prices
to the slowdown in China — could
inadvertently cause banks to breach
rules which would prompt regulators
to stop them paying Coco coupons.
These same
capital breaches could also turn the
coco bonds into equity, which is
falling in price and not something
fixed-income investors want.
As a result
of these growing fears the price of
coco bonds has plummeted in recent
weeks. Meanwhile the price of
credit-default swaps — a sort of
insurance that pays out if banks
don't pay up on the bonds — has
jumped.
The Fuzzy Zone Between Debt and
Equity
From the CFO Journal's
Morning Ledger on October 6, 2014
U.S. companies including Tesla Motors Inc., Twitter
Inc. and Priceline Group Inc. are selling bonds that can later be converted
into stock shares at the fastest clip since 2008, the WSJ’s Mike Cherney
reports. Businesses like to sell them because it gives them access to
capital at lower rates, and the buyers like them because it provides the
possibility of a considerable profit if the company’s share value increases.
Violin Memory Inc., a data-storage firm in Santa
Clara, Calif., for instance, sold $105 million in convertible notes last
month. Chief Financial Officer Cory Sindelar said the company opted to sell
the bonds instead of stock because it wanted to minimize the impact on
existing shareholders, who would’ve seen their shares immediately diluted.
Meanwhile, a group of 12 banks is aiming to
streamline the process of buying corporate bonds by creating a one-stop-shop
for the debt instruments, the WSJ’s Katy Burne reports. The initiative,
called “Neptune,” won’t be for executing trades, but rather will link up
banks and investors in the market, just as a mall would bring together
several shops under one roof.
"An Update on the FASB’s and IASB’s Joint Project on Financial Instruments
With Characteristics of Equity," by Magnus Orrell and Ana Zelic,
Deloitte & Touche LLP Heads Up, April 15, 2010 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/usa/headsup/headsup1004liabequity.pdf
Entities have long struggled with the question of
whether instruments they issue to raise capital should be reported as
liabilities or equity when those instruments possess characteristics of both
debt and equity. The demand for a set of accounting principles that clearly
distinguishes between equity and nonequity instruments is greater than ever
in this era of increasing sophistication and rapid change in financial
markets. The current accounting requirements governing the classification of
financial instruments as liabilities or equity under both IFRSs and U.S.
GAAP have been criticized for lacking a clear and consistently applied set
of principles and for not distinguishing between equity and nonequity in a
manner that best reflects the economics of the transactions involving those
instruments.
Responding to these concerns, in February 2006, as
part of their Memorandum of Understanding, the IASB and FASB agreed to
undertake a joint project on financial instruments with characteristics of
equity to improve and simplify the financial reporting for financial
instruments considered to have one or more characteristics of equity.1 In
this project, the two boards have developed a new classification approach
(see the Decisions Reached to Date section below) that we expect will be
exposed for public comment in June 2010. The boards have agreed that the
exposure draft will have a 120-day comment period and hope to publish a
final standard in the first half of 2011; the effective date is yet to be
determined.
The classification approach contemplated by the two
boards would, if finalized, significantly affect the manner in which
entities determine whether to classify many financial instruments as
liabilities or equity and account for exercises of options and conversions
of debt into equity instruments. Entities are well-advised to begin
assessing the implications of, and planning for, these changes and their
effect on debt and equity, interest coverage, and other financial ratios;
earnings; and compliance with debt covenants.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
What if
the mezzanine has more square feet than the rest of the hotel?
Or put
another way, what if neither the investor in a bond nor the borrower has the
power to convert the debt into equity?
In other words, what if Big Brother holds the sledge hammer?
Prof. Robert Bloomfield of Cornell University posted an interesting
accounting question on the FASRI
(FASB Research Initiative) blog. I'm taking the liberty of repeating it
here in its entirety:
A policy proposalfloating
aroundthese days is to require banks to issue contingent
convertible debt:
My [Mankiw's] favorite proposal is to require banks, and perhaps a broad
class of financial institutions, to sell contingent debt that can be
converted to equity when a regulator deems that these institutions have
insufficient capital. This debt would be a form of preplanned
recapitalization in the event of a financial crisis, and the infusion of
capital would be with private, rather than taxpayer, funds. Think of it
as crisis insurance.
A lawyerasks
how these might be structured. This accountant asks: how would you
account for them? Note that unlike many contingent convertible
securities, the event on which conversion is contingent is a regulatory
action.
I am attracted to the accounting question because I think the policy
proposal itself is a brilliant idea; and because it dovetails nicely
with my last post on the FASB/IASB deliberations on liabilities/equity
classification. For the sake of the points I would like to make, I'm
going to make three questions out of Rob's single question:
1.
How would the contingent convertible debt (known in the trade as a
Co-Co) be accounted for under current GAAP?
2.
Would the answer change if current FASB proposals became final rules?
3.
How
should
the Co-Co be accounted for?
Current GAAP
I could not find specific GAAP for a Co-Co, but I can't be sure that
none exists -- in part because the FASB's Accounting Standards
Codification is so darn hard to read! There are many redeeming qualities
of the Codification; however, it seems to sacrifice readability for
systematic presentation. I used to think that some of the
pre-codification Original Pronouncements read like gibberish; but now,
alas, I pine for them.
So, here goes nothing. I surmise that GAAP does not make a distinction
between regulatory events and other events triggering conversion. Thus,
it would require that this particular Co-Co be accounted for as straight
debt until conversion actually occurred. That accounting actually seems
reasonable until we have a bank whose financial condition may actually
be getting to the point where the regulator would flip the switch to
convert the debt to equity. For simplicity, let's assume the debt was
issued at par. Upon conversion that entire amount would have to be
transferred to shareholders equity (probably through net income) in one
fell swoop as of the date of conversion.
A big one-time credit to equity smacks of a rule devoid of any intent to
provide timely information to investors. The economic value of the debt
would have been declining as conversion inexorably approached, and
current GAAP wouldn't have cared less. So, in the period that the
regulator flips the debt over to equity, the huge cumulative catch-up
adjustment to the debt could swamp the operating losses of the current
period, which surely must be occurring. If the debt had been marked to
market whie the bank was heading toward its nadir, the trends in the
earnings available to the pre-conversion equity holders would have been
reflected in a more timely and relevant fashion.
Future GAAP
Of the accounting that would occur if certain current FASB projects came
to fruition as planned, I am more certain. Starting with the fair value
project, the debt would be fair valued each period. That's a good thing,
but the Co-Co also exposes a yet another (see my previous post)
hole in the rules-based liability/equity project.
Let's take a bank that has the following components to its capital
structure: the Co-Co, call options on its common shares (which may only
be settled by issuing common shares), and common shares. According to
the FASB's current position,
the options will be classified as equity; but the Co-Co, which also
contains a conversion option) will be classified as debt unless
converted. Although the Co-Co would be fair valued each period, such
treatment will be inconsistent with the treatment of the call option,
the opening value of which will sit in the equity section of the balance
sheet like cream cheese on a bagel forevermore. The economic events that
could cause a change in both the fair value of the Co-Co and the option
would be ignored as to their impact on the option, but the impact on the
Co-Co would be recognized.
The accounting treatment for the option and the Co-Co would differ for
no good reason. Both would affect the economic position of the current
shareholders, but only the effect caused by the change in the value of
the Co-Co would be recognized. This is just one of many reasons why the
FASB should revert to its recently abandoned principled stance: it
should classify all financial instruments as either assets or
liabilities, except for common stock.
Accounting Onion GAAP
Rob Bloomfield correctly observes that lawyers would have to be
consulted to precisely specify the Co-Co that Mankiw and others have
envisaged. When considering current or future GAAP, I risked putting the
cart before the horse by not anticipating key terms of the arrangement.
That's because one of the huge problems with rules-based accounting
(especially for financial instruments) is that the standards
promulgators must ever be on the ready to publish new rules as those
pesky financial engineers devise clever ways to circumvent those already
in effect. But, as I will demonstrate, there is no danger that a new
financial instrument will threaten the sufficiency of truly
principles-based standards.
First, the Co-Co liability –and for that matter, all other financial
instruments other than common shares—would be measured at an investor's
replacement cost. (Thus, no inactive markets problem for determining the
exit price; even if there are no current buyers, there are always
sellers for the right price.)
Second, any changes in replacement cost are to be reported through net
income.
Third, upon conversion, I would derecognize the Co-Co, increase paid-in
capital for the market value of common stock immediately prior to the
conversion, and record any difference in these two amounts in equity
through net income. That's the amount that the holders of basic
ownership interests gained or lost when the government pulled the
trigger on its conversion option.
Any questions? I have one: when is the FASB going to get some
principles? Any and all changes that would make the Codification easier
to read would be much appreciated!
Off Topic -- Tom on the Hot Seat
I had the honor of responding to questions from participatns during a
recent hour-long FASRI Roundtable dubbed "Perspectives on Standard
Setting." You can listen/watch a Second Life recording of my being
grilled by some really smart folks slinging some really tough questionshere.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on March 3, 2014
Tesla convertible debt electrifies long-term investors Tesla Motors
is showing that it’s more than just a plaything for day traders and ardent
believers in electric cars,
write the WSJ’s Matt Jarzemsky and Telis Demos.
While the spotlight has focused on the
frantic trading driving up Tesla’s share price in the past year, less visible
have been the company’s efforts to tap big, sophisticated and long-term
investors for cash that it needs to expand. The company raised $2 billion in a
sale of convertible debt late last week, garnering an audience of big investors
such as mutual funds and hedge funds. “The classic growth companies are the kind
of thing the convert market loves,” said Eli Pars, who helps manage convertible
holdings at Calamos Investments. “If they slip up, the stock may get taken down,
but the convertible debt should hold up relatively well.”
Jensen Comment
This looks like a great example when teaching how to account for convertible
debt under FASB and IASB standards.
USA GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) differ with
respect to accounting for convertible debt? Under IFRS, convertible debt is
divided into its liability and equity elements. Under US GAAP, the entire issue
price is recorded as debt. Has this changed since I retired?
Debt Versus Equity: Dense Fog on the Mezzanine Level Deloitte has submitted a
Letter of Comment(PDF 277k) on the IASB's
Discussion Paper: Financial Instruments with Characteristics of Equity. We
strongly support development of a standard addressing how to distinguish
between liabilities and equity. We do not support any of the three
approaches outlined in the
Discussion Paper, but
we believe that the basic ownership approach is a suitable starting point.
Below is an excerpt from our letter. Past comment letters are Here. IASPlus, September 5, 2008 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
This peek into the work of the IASB illustrates much of what is happening
within the IFRS iceberg … where 6/7th's of the activity is under the
surface, or else seemingly ignored in the US press and perhaps intentionally
under-reported by US professional organizations.
The approach was prepared by staff of the Accounting Standards Committee of
Germany on behalf of the European Financial Reporting Advisory Group (EFRAG)
and the German Accounting Standards Board (GASB) under the Pro-active
Accounting Activities in Europe Initiative (PAAinE) of EFRAG and the
European National Standard Setters.
The staff pointed out that the basic principle for the classification of
equity and liability has been established but that all other components
still represent work-in-progress.
Also:
The staff asked the Board whether there was agreement on acknowledging in
the IASB's forthcoming discussion paper that the European Financial
Reporting Advisory Group (EFRAG) had also issued a discussion paper on the
distinction between equity and liabilities. Most Board Members disagreed
with the staff's proposed wording and emphasised that the IASB should make
it clear that it had not deliberated the final version of the EFRAG
document, had therefore reached no final position on its merits and that the
acknowledgement of the existence of the EFRAG paper should not be seen as
the IASB endorsing the positions taken therein. It was decided to take the
staff proposals offline to agree a suitable wording.
Also:
The FASB document describes three approaches to distinguish equity
instruments and non-equity instruments:
·
basic ownership,
·
ownership-settlement, and
·
reassessed expected outcomes.
The FASB has reached a preliminary view that the basic ownership approach is
the appropriate approach for determining which instruments should be
classified as equity. The IASB has not deliberated any of the three
approaches, or any other approaches, to distinguishing equity instruments
and non-equity, and does not have any preliminary view.
The IASB's DP describes some implications of the three approaches in the
FASB document for IFRSs. For instance:
·
Significantly fewer instruments would be classified as equity under the
basic ownership approach than under IAS 32.
·
The ownership-settlement approach would be broadly consistent with the
classifications achieved in IAS 32. However, under the ownership-settlement
approach, more instruments would be separated into components and fewer
derivative instruments would be classified as equity.
The goal of
the Discussion Paper is to solicit views on whether FASB's proposals are a
suitable starting point for the IASB's deliberations. If the project is
added to the IASB's active agenda, the IASB intends to undertake it jointly
with the FASB. The IASB requests responses to the DP by 5 September 2008.
Click for
Press ReleasePDF 52k).
My concerns are the following:
About a year ago I understood that in IFRS most Preferred Stock would be
classified as Debt, not Equity.
There was some question about Callable and Convertible Debt.
Today, going through the IASB’ abstract of all of their meetings on this
subject, I cannot determine if the Germans in ERFAG are arguing for
Preferred Stock to be classified as Equity or not. Logically their issue of
the Loss Absorbing nature of the Security should be the determining factor
for classifications and therefore classify Preferred Stock as Equity or not.
This is critical in areas like Boston where many of our VC backed companies
would be transformed into companies having little or no Equity under IFRS.
I have seen IFRS “experts” present on Route 128 in Boston and seemingly
being unaware of this difference between US GAAP and IFRS. Similarly,
Tweedie’s stand-by illustrative company from Scotland that he loves to use
is Johnnie Walker. This would indicate to me that maybe McGreevy should
introduce Tweedie to some of the Microsoft development now performed in
Ireland, unless Johnnie Walker is about to enter the Technology Business.
As has been the theme in some of my prior posts, after correctly bringing
the US position (FASB) into the discussions about a year ago, since then the
IASB seems to have its hands full dealing with the Contingencies from the
EU.
Clearly with 55 conventions in the EU, 2½ for each EU country, a key task
for the IASB is the de-Balkanization of the EU’s Accounting. During this
necessary period of consolidation within the EU, we should not be required
to mark time as the IASB planned during the EU conversion from 2005
throughout 2008. (The Credit Crunch and Financial Meltdown in September
2008 threw a monkey-wrench into these plans!)
As in their December 2008 Revenue Recognition “Discussion Paper” the IASB
seems to have their hands full now introducing these revolutionary new
concepts such as Equity Section Accounting and Revenue Recognition to their
subscribing countries. They are seemingly starting each exercise with a
blank sheet. Unfortunately this is no way conducive to their goal of
converging with us in the US. This methodology also will create excess
fatigue within the EU’s apparently limited and diffused technical resources.
Given that the IASB has been struggling with Equity Accounting since 2005
this also confirms my fear of future lack of responsiveness to newly arising
needs for new accounting regulations. We are now down to only the FASB in
this country. I shudder to consider a world with only the IASB. Could they
handle Cash in 3 months, or would this require further study?
They were quick with Derivatives in 2008 Q4 and in recent threats to us in
the US.
Apparently they can only be decisive in emotional moments of pique or fear!
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on March 3, 2014
Tesla convertible debt electrifies long-term investors Tesla Motors
is showing that it’s more than just a plaything for day traders and ardent
believers in electric cars,
write the WSJ’s Matt Jarzemsky and Telis Demos.
While the spotlight has focused on the
frantic trading driving up Tesla’s share price in the past year, less visible
have been the company’s efforts to tap big, sophisticated and long-term
investors for cash that it needs to expand. The company raised $2 billion in a
sale of convertible debt late last week, garnering an audience of big investors
such as mutual funds and hedge funds. “The classic growth companies are the kind
of thing the convert market loves,” said Eli Pars, who helps manage convertible
holdings at Calamos Investments. “If they slip up, the stock may get taken down,
but the convertible debt should hold up relatively well.”
Jensen Comment
This looks like a great example when teaching how to account for convertible
debt under FASB and IASB standards.
USA GAAP and International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) differ with
respect to accounting for convertible debt? Under IFRS, convertible debt is
divided into its liability and equity elements. Under US GAAP, the entire issue
price is recorded as debt. Has this changed since I retired?
The partition of debt versus equity is central to balance sheet theory
throughout corporate accounting history, although complicated financing
contracts have created problems in recent times, notably mezzanine debt that is
part debt and part equity, Now the GM bankruptcy may further complicate
accounting theory for debt versus equity.
It also brings into question some of the provisions for accounting for
pensions and post-employment benefits. I don't think accounting theorists and
standard setters have yet focused enough on the GM Bankruptcy aftermath.
If I were teaching the GM and Chrysler bankruptcy
cases at a law school in Chicago, I'd start off with something unexpected --
the famous case of Shlensky v. Wrigley. I'd hook the legal eagles with the
story of William Shlensky, who decided to take on the Cubs when he was a
27-year-old Chicago attorney who had owned two shares of Cubs stock since
age 14.
Over four decades ago, Shlensky sued the Wrigleys
and the other Cubs corporation board members to force them to install lights
at Wrigley Field. He argued that the Cubs needed night games at home to stem
years of operating losses. Wrigley allegedly resisted lighting the ballpark
because he considered baseball to be a "'daytime sport'" and received a
petition signed by 3,000 Wrigley Field neighbors who felt the lights would
lead to community deterioration.
The Illinois Appellate Court considered the
question of whether judges should step in when personal or societal concerns
drive business decisions. The Court ruled in favor of Wrigley, but did point
out that there were no allegations as to the profitability of the other
teams' night games. The Court also explained that concern for neighborhood
Cubs fans could have had a positive financial impact on revenues.
Presumably, the Court might have ruled differently if Wrigley's decision had
no financial merit, or was tainted by a lack of integrity or by bad faith.
A couple of recent articles in Harvard and University of Michigan
publications detail the legal issues concerning the social and political
motives for business decisions. I would have students look at those issues
in the GM and Chrysler cases, with particular focus on the GM opinion.
U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Robert E. Gerber approved
GM's restructuring plan and a generous UAW benefits package, veering little
from the path blazed a month earlier by Judge Arthur J. Gonzalez in the
Chrysler case. In a 95-page opinion, the Judge remarked that the "only truly
debatable issues" involved successor liability claims for pending tort
cases. He used the exigencies of the Detroit meltdown to join the Chrysler
Court in transforming the Obama Administration's politically-motivated
social decisions into judicially-protected business judgments.
As Judge Gerber acknowledged, "there must be some
articulated business justification, other than appeasement of major
creditors'" for fast-tracking a multi-billion dollar section 363(b)
bankruptcy deal in which thousands of investors, retirees, suppliers, tort
victims, and others face near-wipeouts. The unofficial bondholders'
committee argued that the U.S. Treasury's political decisions did not amount
to sound business judgment. They pointed out that especially with the
alleged lack of enabling legislation for the funding in the case, Treasury
was not driven and constrained by financial, investor, and regulatory
boundaries.
The taxpayer-funded bailout of the two companies
and the UAW was no ordinary commercial investment, but a very generous gift
from taxpayers, for which no private lender could find business
justification. According to Barron's, there is little prospect for taxpayers
"to come out whole" because "GM's equity value would have to approach $70
billion -- a very unlikely outcome" considering that "Ford . . . and BMW . .
. each have market values of $20 billion."
Judge Gerber agreed that the decision to rescue the
automakers was hardly motivated by the "economic merit" of the investment,
"but rather to address the underlying societal interests in preserving
"jobs", the "auto industry," "suppliers," "and the health of the
communities." Yet, like Judge Gonzalez, he still concluded that the
fast-tracked restructuring plan was a good business decision because GM
continued to deteriorate during the bankruptcy, without the TARP funds GM
would have had to liquidate, and the bondholders and other creditors would
have been worse off with liquidation. This analysis may go to the short-term
prospects for GM and the creditors, but ignores questions about GM's
continued viability, which is undermined by the plan's commercial weaknesses
and political priorities.
The Wall Street Journal reported that UAW President
Ron Gettelfinger actually "boasted" that the UAW "'put pressure on" the
Obama Administration and GM to "bar small-car imports from overseas." The
Journal also pointed out that that decision will undermine GM because it
will have to "retool its domestic plants" to make the green cars favored by
the Obama Administration and Congress, for which demand is uncertain.
As the Wall Street Journal also explained, the
Obama Administration's agreement to preserve the lion's share of the UAW's
health, retirement, and legacy pension benefits package was no "hard-nosed
business decision," but a shrewd political calculation that will continue to
threaten GM's long-term viability which "depends on making its cost
structure competitive."
Judge Gerber agreed with Judge Gonzalez that the
UAW provided "unprecedented modifications" to its collective bargaining
agreement. Judge Gonzalez pointed to changes in the UAW's previous deal,
including a six-year no-strike clause. A no-strike clause, however, is an
empty concession. As a new part-owner of the automakers, it would be against
UAW's interest to strike.
The UAW's other modifications were comparatively
minor, including the loss of cost-of-living raises for the term of the
agreement, performance bonuses for two years, one paid holiday for two
years, tuition assistance, and a reduction in retiree prescription drug
coverage and elimination of dental coverage.
As the Washington Post explained, the bankruptcy
plan was "not quite the radical change that a neutral bankruptcy judge might
have allowed." The Post went on to point out that "[o]ther union concessions
were ‘painful' only by the peculiar standards of Big Three labor relations."
The Post noted that "[c]umbersome UAW work rules have only been tweaked" and
the union retained health benefits and hourly wages "that are far better
than those received by many American families upon whose tax money GM jobs
now depend" although "according to the task force, GM's labor costs are now
within ‘shooting distance' of those at nonunion plants . . . ."
Even without many of the fringe benefits, Barron's
emphasized that the UAW "pulled off a coup . . . with 60 cents to 70 cents
on the dollar for its $20 billion claim for post-retirement health care for
its members" and it will receive "$9 billion of new debt and preferred
stock, plus a 17.5% equity stake."
Especially in the current job market, the UAW
should expect nothing more than market parity. As the Wall Street Journal
reasoned, arguments that the UAW "won't show up for work on Monday" without
their loaded benefits package and the legacy deals are "bluster" because
"the UAW needs GM as much as GM needs workers."
Treasury's failure to drive a harder bargain with
the UAW raised questions as to the Administration's integrity. Judge Gerber
found "no proof" of bad faith, and found evidence of "arms'-length"
transactions with the UAW and others. Also, he rejected the remedy of
equitable subordination because he found that the government did not act
inequitably and that it derived no "special benefit" from its transactions
with any of the parties.
The break-neck pace at which the Administration
pushed through its deal and the lack of transparency required under normal
chapter 11 proceedings made it unreasonably difficult for objectors to prove
their cases. After its original GM exchange offers expired on Tuesday, May
26th, the Treasury reported its revised deal to the SEC Thursday, May 28th.
Treasury gave investors until 5:00pm on Saturday, May 30th to indicate their
decision to support the plan. GM then filed for bankruptcy on Monday, June
1st. Objections to the plan were due eighteen days later. The three-day
hearing for the 850 objectors started eleven days after that. Late Sunday
night, July 5th, Judge Gerber entered his decision, only thirty-six days
after the case was filed.
As if that wasn't enough pressure, the Obama
Administration threatened to withdraw further funding for GM without a court
order validating the plan by July 10th. The bondholders argued that the July
10th deadline was "wholly fabricated" and "contrived." They cited public
statements by the White House and GM CEO Fritz Henderson on the day the case
was filed, that a 60-90 day timeline was expected.
Judge Gerber refused to call the Administration's
bluff, agreeing with GM's counsel that the Judge should not "play Russian
Roulette" because he "would have to gamble on the notion that the U.S.
Government didn't mean it when it said that it would not keep funding GM."
As an aside, there are some real inequities in having the UAW own some of
the companies it represents and no equity in other companies it represents. While acquiescing to the demands of its two major
shareholders -- Washington and Big Labor -- GM did get concessions of its own.
The UAW will allow the company to pay a majority of workers at Orion
(in Michigan) lower, "second-tier" wages of $14-$16 an
hour with no pension benefits. That will make Orion's wages competitive with the
non-union Kia plant in Georgia (which makes SUVs). Henry Payne, "Will Small Be Beautiful for GM? Michigan's
Orion plant has become a symbol of government run amok in the auto industry,"
The Wall Street Journal, July 18, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124786970963060453.html
Jensen Comment
But there will be no UAW wage and pension concessions for Ford Motor
Company because Ford did not screw its shareholders/creditors and turn its
ownership over to the UAW and the Federal Government.
What I found interesting is a quotation from Page 11 in a letter written to
the IASB by Deloitte on September 4, 2008 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/dttletr/0809liabequity.pdf
Deloitte was commenting upon an IASB exposure draft entitled "Financial
Instruments with Characteristics of Equity."
1.2 Classification Based on
Priority in Liquidation
In our view, another deficiency of the basic ownership approach in its
current design is that it classifies financial instruments as liabilities or
equity based on the assumption that the entity is being liquidated. We do
not support a classification approach that focuses on the priority of an
instrument in the event of liquidation. While disclosure of information
about the priority of various claims in liquidation may be useful to readers
of financial statements, when financial statements are prepared on the basis
of a going concern assumption. We believe priority of an instrument is an
important consideration but should not be a determinative factor in the
classification. Rather we believe classification should be based on the
economic characteristics and risks of an instrument considering the issuer
is a going concern unless the entity is a finite-life entity or a going
concern assumption is no longer appropriate.
We note that an instrument that
has priority to the assets of an issuer in the event of liquidation may not
necessarily provide its holder with payment or settlement rights that are
different from a common share absent liquidation.
It is important to note that GM itself was not liquidated and was never
intended to be liquidated under its bailout agreement with the Federal
Government in 2009. Bits and pieces were sold off, but GM continued as an
operating company before and after bankruptcy that wiped out common shareholders
and many creditors.
In particular, many creditors (not quite all) that had "priority in
liquidation claims in liquidation" ended up wiped out like common shareholders
when the UAW pension rights ended up receiving higher priority than most
creditors, including creditors that help mortgages on particular assets. This
seems to confirm Deloitte's point that classification of debt versus equity on
the basis of priority liquidation claims just is not a sufficient condition for
classifying debt versus equity on the balance sheet. Priority claims in
liquidation eventually had zero claims when liquidation was avoided. All the
prior years that such creditor instruments were classified as debt proved to be
misleading when Big Brother decided to screw many creditors in favor of the UAW
pension protection.
When GM managed to bury creditor priority claims, it
shook up the entire world of finance and business law. When GM managed to bury
creditor priority claims, I think it also should shake up accounting standard
setters trying to set criteria for separating debt versus equity on the balance
sheet.
What is debt? What is equity? What is a Trup?
Banks are going to create huge problems for accountants with newer hybrid
instruments
The Financial Times has a very cool article on
financial engineering and the development of securities that combine
debt and equity-like features.
FT.com / Home UK - Banks hope to cash in on
rush into hybrid securities: "Securities that straddle the debt and
equity worlds are not new. They combine features of debt such as regular
interest-like payments and equity-like characteristics such as long or
perpetual maturities and the ability to defer payments."
"About a decade ago, regulated financial
institutions started issuing so-called trust preferred securities, or
Trups, which are functionally similar to preferred stock but can be
structured to achieve extra benefits such as tax deductibility for the
issuing company. Other hybrid structures have also been tried.
But bankers were still searching for what
several called the “holy grail” – an instrument that looked like debt to
its issuer, the tax man and investors, but like equity to credit rating
agencies and regulators.
That goal came closer a year ago when Moody’s,
the credit rating agency, changed its previously conservative policies,
opening the door for it to treat structures with some debt-like features
more like equity."
SUMMARY: "In the
financial crisis, Warren Buffett loaned out his halo of respectability to
prop up sentiment about Goldman Sachs Group, Dow Chemical, General Electric
and other blue-chip companies." He invested nearly $3 billion in GE in
exchange for preferred stock and warrants issued together.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful to cover a live example of issuing preferred stock and
warrants, typically covered in a second semester intermediate financial
accounting course. Questions also ask students to access the GE financial
statements (2010 Form 10-K on its investor relations web site) to examine
the presentation of the stock and warrants in stockholders' equity and the
preferred stock dividends deducted in calculating earnings available for
common shareholders in the statement of earnings.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) According the news article, Warren Buffet's
Berkshire Hathaway invested $3 billion in GE during the height of the
financial crisies. What types of securities did GE issue to Berkshire
Hathaway? What are the terms of that issuance?
2. (Advanced) Summarize the accounting for the combined issuance of
preferred stock and warrants.
3. (Advanced) Access the GE 2010 annual report available through
GE's investor relations web site at
http://www.ge.com/investors/financial_reporting/index.html Click on
Form 10-K 2010, locate the balance sheet and Note 15. Shareowners' Equity.
Describe how the preferred stock and warrants issued to Berkshire Hathaway
are presented in the GE financial statements.
4. (Introductory) Return to the Statement of Earnings (Income
Statement) in the 10-K filing. How are the preferred dividends that are
described in the article presented in this statement?
5. (Advanced) Based on the discussion in the article, do you think
these dividends have been paid? Comment on the deduction of dividends to
determine "Net earnings attributable to GE common shareowners" given your
answer to question 3 above.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
In the financial crisis, Warren Buffett loaned out
his halo of respectability to prop up sentiment about Goldman Sachs Group,
Dow Chemical, General Electric and other blue-chip companies. Those bets
came with some heavy costs for the companies, and produced handsome profits
for the Oracle of Omaha.
GE reiterated today it plans to repay Buffett by
October for his $3 billion investment in the conglomerate, an agreement
struck in October 2008 when the financial world was coming apart at the
seams.
As in other reputation-bolstering investments
Buffett made during that stretch, GE agreed to pay the Oracle a 10% annual
dividend, or $300 million a year in GE’s case.
The numbers-loving Buffett carried around a coin
changer in his schoolboy days, and probably could tell you that his GE
dividend amounts to $9.51 a second. (That buys about 41% of a sirloin dinner
at Buffett hangout, Gorat’s Steak House.)
When GE pays Buffett back, they will owe him 10%
more than he paid, or $300 million on top of his $3 billion payback. Plus,
Buffett will have accumulated $900 million in cumulative dividends, assuming
GE repays the preferred-stock investment in October. All told, Buffett’s $3
billion investment will generate a total profit of $1.2 billion. Not too
shabby.
Now the bad news: Buffett’s investment also
entitled him to buy 134.8 million shares of GE common stock at an exercise
price of $22.25. With GE stock languishing below $20 a pop, those stock
warrants are worthless — for now. But fear not. The warrants were good for
five years, and GE shares can always move up and give Buffett an additional
windfall (or move down and permanently deny Buffett the cherry atop his
sundae of GE profit).
Buffett already has been repaid for other
investments he made during the financial crisis, including his purchase of
Swiss Reinsurance debt, and his $5 billion preferred investment in Goldman
Sachs. And Buffett, with a net worth of
$50
billion, has sounded downright downbeat about it.
“Goldman Sachs has the right to call our preferred
on 30 days notice, but has been held back by the Federal Reserve (bless
it!), which unfortunately will likely give Goldman the green light before
long,” Buffett wrote in February, in
his annual letter to Berkshire Hathaway investors.
Since then, Goldman has indeed repaid Buffett, who
can count roughly
$3.7 billion in profits on his investment,
including the value of his in-the-money warrants on Goldman stock. His Swiss
Re investment padded Buffett’s wallet by roughly
$1 billion.
Continued in article
Virtually every basic accounting course stresses the differences between
property (e.g., cash) dividends versus stock dividends versus stock splits.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 23,
2012
SUMMARY: "Apple on Monday bowed to mounting pressure to return some
of its roughly $100 billion in cash reserves to shareholders by saying it
would issue a dividend and buy back stock....The last time Apple paid a
dividend was in December 1995, a year before [Steve] Jobs returned....But
following [Tim] Cook's appointment as CEO last August and the death of Mr.
Jobs in October, Apple's approach changed...." The company will pay a $2.65
a share quarterly dividend beginning in July; "Apple's board also authorized
a $10 billion share repurchase program to begin in the quarter starting
Sept. 30...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The main article is useful to introduce
dividend policy and stock buyback decisions when introducing those topics in
financial accounting classes covering stockholders' equity. The related
article highlights tax issues in repatriating overseas cash faced by many
U.S. corporations.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Why is it so newsworthy that Apple will begin to
pay dividends to its shareholders?
2. (Introductory) Based on the discussion in the article, what are
Mr. Cook's reasons for paying a dividend? What were the late Mr. Jobs's
reasons for not doing so?
3. (Advanced) How are stock repurchases similar to dividends?
4. (Advanced) According to the article, what is the specific
purpose of starting a stock repurchase plan? In your answer, define the term
"dilution."
5. (Advanced) Refer to the related article. Where is most of
Apple's significant cash balance held?
6. (Advanced) Again refer to the related article. Why is Apple, as
are many U.S. based international companies, facing "significant tax
consequences" if it decides to "repatriate" bring back overseas cash
balances? How is Apple balancing this concern with its need for cash to
continue to grow?
7. (Advanced) How is Apple balancing its tax concern with its need
for cash to continue to grow?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Tim Cook is proving he's not simply the caretaker
of Apple Inc. AAPL -0.53% and the unyielding strategies set forth by his
predecessor, Steve Jobs.
Apple on Monday bowed to mounting pressure to
return some of its roughly $100 billion in cash reserves to shareholders by
saying it would issue a dividend and buy back stock, marking the technology
company's biggest break yet from Mr. Jobs's philosophy.
The last time Apple paid a dividend was in December
1995, a year before Mr. Jobs returned to Apple. Mr. Jobs largely resisted
returning cash to shareholders, whose clamoring for a cut of Apple's growing
cash stockpile increased in recent years, according to people familiar with
the matter.
Mr. Jobs had long argued that Apple's cash—which at
$97.6 billion as of Dec. 31 is the greatest of any nonfinancial U.S.
corporation—should be used to invest in areas such as Apple's supply chain,
retail stores, research and the rare acquisition. He spent little time with
shareholders and rarely discussed it at all.
Mr. Jobs was persuaded to do a buyback in the wake
of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks as the stock market fell, according
to a person familiar with the matter. After that, several executives thought
the company should continue to do buybacks because the stock price seemed
very cheap, this person said. Journal Community
Apple hired bankers to study the impact of a
buyback, according to this person, who said Mr. Jobs rejected the idea
before it went anywhere. He felt the company could use the money to expand
the business by more than the bump to per-share earnings a buyback would
provide, this person said.
But following Mr. Cook's appointment as CEO last
August and the death of Mr. Jobs in October, Apple's approach changed. At a
company event honoring Mr. Jobs last Oct. 19, Mr. Cook recounted a
conversation in which the co-founder told him to run Apple as he saw fit.
"Just do what's right," Mr. Cook said he was told.
WSJ's Spencer Ante and Jennifer Valentino discuss
Apple CEO Tim Cook's emphasis on innovation and future products as part of
the company's announcement of a stock dividend and buyback.
Barron's associate editor Michael Santoli stops by
Mean Street to discuss the impact of Apple's dividend and buyback
announcement on the broader market. Photo: Reuters.
Mr. Cook grew more forthcoming publicly on the cash
topic. In a rare appearance at an investor conference in February, Mr. Cook
acknowledged that the Apple board was actively discussing what to do with
the cash, since the company had more than it needed to run its business.
That led to Monday's conference call, in which the
Cupertino, Calif., company announced it would pay a $2.65 a share quarterly
dividend in its quarter beginning in July. That represents a 1.8% yield
based on Apple's closing stock price before the news, roughly in line with
the yield on the Standard & Poor's 500 index and in the middle of the pack
of what some other dividend-issuing tech companies pay.
Apple's board also authorized a $10 billion share
repurchase program to begin in the quarter starting Sept. 30, largely to
offset dilution from issuing new restricted-stock units to employees. Apple
said the dividend and buyback programs would cost the company $45 billion in
the first three years and that it would continue to evaluate it.
"Even with these investments, we can maintain a war
chest for strategic opportunities and have plenty of cash to run our
business," Mr. Cook said Monday. "We have thought very deeply and very
carefully about our cash balance."
The package marked the most significant move to
date by Mr. Cook in putting his own imprint on Apple and reflects how he has
been more forthcoming with shareholders, investors say.
While Mr. Jobs flouted usual business practices and
outside influence, Mr. Cook's shift on cash removes Apple as one of the few
dividend holdouts among large technology companies. Over the past decade,
other tech behemoths such as Microsoft Corp., MSFT +0.27% Oracle Corp. ORCL
-2.65% and Cisco Systems Inc. CSCO -0.59% had also begun payouts to
shareholders as the companies matured.
But unlike those companies—which were experiencing
slower growth rates and whose initiation of a dividend was regarded as a
sign that some of their fastest growth was behind them—Apple is still
expanding rapidly. In its last reported quarter, Apple more than doubled its
profits and increased revenue 73%, largely on the strength of sales of its
hit iPad and iPhone devices.
Some investors and analysts have said in interviews
they wonder how long Apple's growth streak can last, particularly once the
company has saturated some of its current growth engines, like smartphones.
But Mr. Cook stressed Apple remains in a growth phase on Monday's call,
saying "we don't see ceilings to our opportunities."
Apple's cash shift is unlikely to have major ripple
effects on Wall Street, however. Trading volumes for Apple's stock could
increase as funds that have been shut out from holding the shares because it
didn't issue a dividend now can now buy it, potentially boosting its price.
Still, analysts noted the stock is already widely held and others said
expectations for a dividend have been factored into the current stock price.
Question
How do you account for and bail out a company with over $1 trillion in assets
that has ownership contracting that the best experts cannot untangle? Did you ever think Osama Bin Laden may be in for some of these bailout
billions from our taxpayers?
Corporate contracting is becoming incomprehensible!
The terms of the government’s investment in the
American International Group were released last week. After reading these
terms, I have a multiple-choice question.
Who controls A.I.G.? Is it:
1) The Federal Reserve
2) The Department of the Treasury
3) The current shareholders of A.I.G. (but not the government)
4) All of the above collectively
5) No one knows
The best answer I can discern right now is number
5. The deal has become much more complicated than it was before, but the
control rights over A.I.G. appear to be as follows:
1. In exchange for its $40 billion preferred share
injection under the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act, the government is
getting a 10 percent dividend on these shares (plus A.I.G.’s agreement to
restrictions on lobbying), the same limitations on executive compensation as
in other preferred equity injections, a further limitation on annual bonus
pools for senior partners not to exceed 2007 and 2006 levels, and compliance
with an expense policy. As for control rights — the $40 billion preferred is
nonvoting except on certain major issues affecting the preferred. If A.I.G.
misses dividend payments for four consecutive quarters, the Treasury has the
right under the terms of this preferred stock to elect two directors and a
number of directors (rounded upward) equal to 20 percent of the total number
of directors after giving effect to such election.
2. In exchange for the new $60 billion Federal
Credit Facility (down from $85 billion), the Federal Reserve obtains the
general rights of a creditor including senior security over A.I.G.’s
unregulated subsidiaries, but no real governance rights except for some
negative covenants limiting A.I.G.’s operations and expenditures.
3. Finally, the government is receiving 100,000
Series C preferred shares convertible into 77.9 percent of A.I.G.’s
outstanding common stock. This second preferred stock has a vote equal to
77.9 percent of A.I.G.’s share capital and is entitled to 77.9 percent of
any dividends paid by A.I.G. on its common stock.
Thus, whoever controls these Series C preferred
shares controls A.I.G. These Series C shares, the stock that will vote and
control A.I.G., will be owned by is a trust for the benefit of the Treasury
Department. The trust is called the A.I.G. Credit Facility Trust. And who
are the trustees of this trust and the controllers of A.I.G.? I have no idea
nor have I seen any public disclosure on the issue except for news reports
in October that these trustees would be appointed by the Fed and that there
would be three of them. Moreover, under Section 5.11 of the original credit
agreement, a provision that appears to be unamended in the new deal, A.I.G.
“shall use all reasonable efforts to cause the composition of the board of
directors of [A.I.G.] to be … satisfactory to the Trust in its sole
discretion.”
So, why this oddity? I must admit, I am puzzled.
Perhaps it is related to accounting or some other legal requirement? But I
also suspect it may be political — the government does not want to control
A.I.G. directly. Rather, it is preserving some separation of ownership and
control to bar future administrations from political meddling (read the
Obama administration). This is probably a worthy goal — allowing A.I.G. to
operate on an economic basis protected from political meddling.
However, there should be adequate oversight of the
trust and some mechanisms to prevent the trustees from obtaining their own
private benefits from controlling A.I.G. and its $1 trillion in assets. In
addition, the trustees themselves should be chosen for their acumen and
ability to right the sinking A.I.G. ship. Here, the government could begin
by disclosing the terms of this trust once they are drafted.
Jensen Comment
What's even more comical is that accounting standards for various purposes, such
as when implementing securitization accounting under FAS 140, are heavily
dependent upon the "degree of control" irrespective of actual number of equity
shares owned. How do such standards get implemented when top experts have no
idea who controls what? Real life just is not as simple as what we teach in
Accounting 101.
I thought this was an interesting article because
it raises some very legitimate questions about consolidation accounting.
Perhaps those who teach Advanced Accounting or wherever consolidation policy
is covered can make a mini-case out of it.
I was told by a senior Treasury official that the
79.9% number for the common stock warrants was chosen to avoid having to
apply change in control push down accounting to AIG and the other entities
(Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac) where a similar approach was taken. If a higher
number of warrants was given to the government, AIG's financial statements
would have to be restated to full, fair value accounting, with even more
devastating results shown.
The government involvement at AIG is quite
different than Fannie and Freddie in that the latter organizations are under
a government operated Conservatorship and the most important governance
decisions will be made by the regulator, the Federal Housing Finance
Administration, rather than senior management or the corporate board. As I
understand AIG, senior management and the board still make those decisions.
While I suspect the company works closely with the government, as far as I
know there isn't any direct participation in management or on the board of
directors.
Control, for purposes of consolidation, has been an
elusive concept for as long as I've been in accounting (ARB 51 was issued at
just about when I graduated from college and it's still highly relevant
literature). The FASB has had this on its agenda for more than 25 years and
has made only modest "progress." It's current project to modify SFAS 140 on
securitizations and Interpretation 46R on consolidation of variable interest
entities introduce new guidelines that probably would lead to more entities
being included in consolidation but with very little if any in the way of
persuasive theory supporting the approach. As former SEC Chairman David
Ruder told me about 20 years ago, "The SEC has been trying to define control
since the beginning of the Commission and it hasn't succeeded yet."
The AIG and related cases show how hard this is and
how little progress has been made over many, many years!
Another One from That Ketz Guy
"Deferred Income Taxes (Accounting) Should be Put to Rest," by J. Edward
Ketz , AccountingWeb, March 2010 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x68912.xml
One of the silliest constructs in the world of
accounting happens to be deferred income taxes. I don't understand why we
bother with deferred tax liabilities and deferred tax assets because they
are neither liabilities nor assets. If the FASB and the IASB are serious
about principles-based accounting -- which I am becoming to believe is
rhetoric without referents -- then they would eliminate these bastard
accounts without delay.
Consider Procter & Gamble’s annual report for 2009,
for instance. They report deferred income tax assets (net) of $5.2 billion
and deferred income tax liabilities of $13.7 billion. But, are the former
really assets and the latter really debts?
The FASB defines liabilities as “probable future
sacrifices of economic benefits arising from present obligations of a
particular entity to transfer assets or provide services to other entities
in the future as a result of past transactions.” The IASB defines them
similarly as “a present obligation arising from a past event, the settlement
of which results in an outflow of resources embodying future economic
benefits.”
Suppose a business enterprise uses accelerated
depreciation for tax purposes and straight-line for financial reporting such
that depreciation for tax purposes amounts to $320,000 and for financial
purposes $200,000. There is a difference of $120,000 and, if we assume a tax
rate of 25%, this leads to an increase in deferred income taxes of $40,000.
But what is the nature of this $40,000?
This $40,000 is not a probable future sacrifice—the
sacrifice will be in the nature of future taxes paid to the U.S. and other
governments. At most, the $40,000 helps one better to predict future cash
flows for taxes. Yet that does not make this $40,000 a liability.
Even if it were a probable future sacrifice, there
is a bigger problem. This future sacrifice is not a present obligation of
the firm. The incremental tax becomes a “present obligation” only when the
next tax year rolls around. Taxes are statutory requirements that arise only
in the year they are imposed. Just because taxes are an unending penalty for
living in advanced societies doesn’t make any of them present obligations
today (the boulder pushed up the mountain by Sisyphus was actually his
income taxes).
Furthermore, these deferred income tax liabilities
are not a result of past transactions between the tax authority and the
taxpayer. We have the transaction when the taxpayer purchased the plant or
equipment and we have past tax transactions. But, it requires a lot of
imagination to think that any of these transactions give rise to some
present obligation.
If they were liabilities, one would expect them to
be discounted. All long-term obligations are measured at the present value
of their future cash flows, including mortgages and bonds and long-term
notes payable. I think the FASB does not require discounting of deferred tax
liabilities because it knows that fundamentally the numbers used in the
computation of deferred taxes are not cash flows. If they were, discounting
would be meaningful; as they aren’t cash flows, discounting only compounds
this monstrosity.
I view Procter & Gamble’s $13.7 billion of deferred
tax liabilities as not representing probable future sacrifices, nor present
obligations, and certainly not resulting from past transactions. Even if
they were, the number is vastly inflated because they are raw, undiscounted
numbers.
The FASB defines assets as “probable future
economic benefits obtained or controlled by a particular entity as a result
of past transactions or events.” The IASB’s definition is again quite
similar: an asset is “a resource controlled by the entity as a result of
past events and from which future economic benefits are expected to flow to
the entity.”
Suppose a firm has estimated warranty expense of $1
million but the tax expense is zero because nobody has filed a warranty
claim by year-end. The FASB asserts that there is a deferred tax asset of
$250,000 (assuming again the marginal tax rate is 25%) because these
represent future deductible amounts.
Note, however, they are not future economic
benefits yet if for no other reason, the government’s tax laws can change.
Even if they were, they are not the result of any past transactions or
event. Nobody has made a warranty claim; there has only been an adjusting
entry that the entity made within itself. It has not contracted or exchanged
anything involving these warranties. And not requiring any discounting is
again telling—there is no discounting because there is no event and no cash
flows.
A corporation must write down the supposed value of
the deferred tax asset if it is more likely than not that it will not
realize some of the asset. If this asset were real, where is the market
valuation (mark-to-model)? As firms cannot conduct such a valuation (even as
a Level 3 estimate per FAS 157), this valuation process is hollow.
I do not view Procter & Gamble’s deferred income
tax assets of $5.2 billion to be real. Just fluff and nonsense. And who
knows what P&G’s valuation allowance of $104 million means. It certainly
says nothing about valuation.
Probably the most illogical aspect of deferred
taxes occurs on the income statement. P&G determines for 2009 that earnings
from continuing operations before income taxes is $15.3 billion. Then it
records income tax expense of $4.0 billion. This close proximity gives the
reader the idea that there is a relationship between the two, but of course,
there is no association. The actual amounts owed to the IRS are computed on
taxable income, not on the financial reporting earnings before taxes.
Expenses are supposed to be sacrifices incurred
during the operating activities of the entity. Ok, the current portion of
the income tax expense is indeed a sacrifice. But, the deferred portion is
clearly not a sacrifice of any resources of the firm. That’s why firms
employ MACRS—they want to reduce their sacrifices to Uncle Sam.
P&G shows the current portion of income tax expense
in its tax footnote. The current portion is $3.4 billion and the deferred
portion is $0.6 billion.
I realize that academics have shown a statistical
association between market returns and deferred income taxes; however, they
usually overstate their conclusions. The correlation between market returns
and deferred income taxes merely indicates that market agents find the
disclosures useful in predicting future cash outflows to the IRS. This
statistical association doesn’t make these constructs assets or liabilities.
If the FASB wants to require these disclosures, it should require firms to
stick them in a footnote rather than contaminate the balance sheet with
their presence.
Analysts and researchers have an easy time dealing
with the problem of deferred income taxes, as the misinformation is in plain
view. We just eliminate the phony assets and liabilities from the balance
sheet and restate income tax expense to the current portion. Nevertheless,
the FASB and the IASB still should eliminate these deferred accounts and
clean up the balance sheet, especially if they are serious about
principles-based accounting. It makes the financial statements more
representationally faithful and thus more reliable.
This essay reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the
opinion of The Pennsylvania State University.
Teaching Case From
The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on June 1, 2007
SUMMARY: FIN
48, entitled Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes--An
Interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109, was issued in June
2006 with an effective date of fiscal years beginning after
December 15, 2006. As stated on the FASB's web site, "This
Interpretation prescribes a recognition threshold and
measurement attribute for the financial statement recognition
and measurement of a tax position taken or expected to be taken
in a tax return. This Interpretation also provides guidance on
derecognition, classification, interest and penalties,
accounting in interim periods, disclosure, and transition." See
the summary of this interpretation at
http://www.fasb.org/st/summary/finsum48.shtml As
noted in this article, "in the past, companies had to reveal
little information about transactions that could face some risk
in an audit by the IRS or other government entities." Further,
some concern about use of deferred tax liability accounts to
create so-called "cookie jar reserves" useful in smoothing
income contributed to development of this interpretation's
recognition, timing and disclosure requirements. The article
highlights an analysis of 361 companies by Credit Suisse Group
to identify those with the largest recorded liabilities as an
indicator of risk of future settlement with the IRS over
disputed amounts. One example given in this article is Merck's
$2.3 billion settlement with the IRS in February 2007 over a
Bermuda tax shelter; another is the same company's current
dispute with Canadian taxing authorities over transfer pricing.
Financial statement analysis procedures to compare the size of
the uncertain tax liability to other financial statement
components and follow up discussions with the companies showing
the highest uncertain tax positions also is described.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Summarize the requirements of Financial Interpretation No.
48, Accounting for Uncertainty in Income Taxes--An
Interpretation of FASB Statement No. 109 (FIN 48).
2.) In describing the FIN 48 requirements, the author of this
article states that "until now, there was generally no way to
know about" the accounting for reserves for uncertain tax
positions. Why is that the case?
3.) Some firms may develop "FIN 48 opinions" every time a tax
position is taken that could be questioned by the IRS or other
tax governing authority. Why might companies naturally want to
avoid having to document these positions very clearly in their
own records?
4.) Credit Suisse analysts note that the new FIN 48 disclosures
about unrecognized tax benefits provide investors with
information about risks companies are undertaking. Explain how
this information can be used for this purpose.
5.) How are the absolute amounts of unrecognized tax benefits
compared to other financial statement categories to provide a
better frame of reference for analysis? In your answer, propose
a financial statement ratio you feel is useful in assessing the
risk described in answer to question 4, and support your reasons
for calculating this amount.
6.) The amount of reserves recorded by Merck for unrecognized
tax benefits, tops the list from the analysis done by Credit
Suisse and the one done by Professors Blouin, Gleason, Mills and
Sikes. Based only on the descriptions given in the article, how
did the two analyses differ in their measurements? What do you
infer from the fact that Merck is at the top of both lists?
7.) Why are transfer prices among international operations
likely to develop into uncertain tax positions?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Teaching Case From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on
February 11, 2005
TITLE: Amazon's Net Is Curtailed by Costs
REPORTER: Mylene Mangalindan
DATE: Feb 03, 2005
PAGE: A3
LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB110735918865643669,00.html
TOPICS: Financial Accounting, Financial Statement Analysis, Income Taxes,
Managerial Accounting, Net Operating Losses
SUMMARY: Amazon "...had forecast that profit margins would rise in the
fourth quarter, while Wall Street analysts had expected margins to remain
about the same." The company's operating profits fell in the fourth quarter
from 7.9% of revenue to 7%. The company's stock price plunged "14% in
after-hours trading."
QUESTIONS:
1.) "Amazon said net income rose nearly fivefold, to $346.7 million, or 82
cents a share, from $73.2 million, or 17 cents a share a year earlier." Why
then did their stock price drop 14% after this announcement?
2.) Refer to the related article. How were some analysts' projections
borne out by the earnings Amazon announced?
3.) One analyst discussed in the related article, Ken Smith, disagrees
with the majority of analysts' views as discussed under #2 above. Do you
think that his viewpoint is supported by these results? Explain.
4.) Summarize the assessments made in answers to questions 2 and 3 with
the way in which Amazon's operating profits as a percentage of sales turned
out this quarter.
5.) Amazon's results "included a $244 million gain from tax benefits,
stemming from Amazon's heavy losses earlier in the decade." What does that
statement say about the accounting treatment of the deferred tax benefit for
operating loss carryforwards when those losses were experienced? Be specific
in describing exactly how these tax benefits were accounted for.
6.) Why does Amazon adjust out certain items, including the tax gain
described above, in assessing their earnings? In your answer, specifically
state which items are adjusted out of earnings and why that adjustment might
be made. What is a general term for announcing earnings in this fashion?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
SUMMARY: "Rock-bottom
interest rates and thawed credit markets are emboldening some companies to use
bond-sale proceeds...to pay out special dividends, buy back stock, or finance
acquisitions.... [In contrast,] most corporate-bond offerings during the
recession have been used to reduce debt or stockpile cash."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The
article can be used in covering bond issuances, ratio analysis particularly of
debt-to-equity and interest versus earnings, dividend payments, and corporate
acquisitions.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What was the effective interest rate for corporations
with high credit ratings who issued bonds in September 2009? How does that rate
compare to one year ago?
2. (Introductory) What reasons for that change are given in the article?
Do they have anything to do with changing creditworthiness of the borrowers?
3. (Introductory) Compare the actions of Intel Corporation and TransDigm
Group, Inc., with their debt issuance. How are they similar? How are they
different?
4. (Advanced) What is the impact on a corporate balance sheet of issuing
debt? Describe the impact ignoring use of the proceeds, in essence assuming the
company will "stockpile" the cash.
5. (Introductory) Define the financial statement ratios of debt-to-equity
and times interest earned.
6. (Advanced) Describe the change in impact of debt issuance on a balance
sheet equation and the two financial ratios if the proceeds are used to pay
dividends to shareholders.
7. (Advanced) Can a company issue bonds in order to "reduce debt" as the
author says was done in during the recession and credit crisis? Explain,
proposing a better term for such a transaction.
8. (Introductory) The author uses two benchmarks to make clear the impact
of TransDigm Group's debt issuance and dividend payment. What are these
benchmarks? How does using them increase clarity about the size of the $425
million bond offering and the $7.50 to $7.70 per share special dividend?
9. (Advanced) The author also includes use of bond proceed to finance
acquisitions as a risky action. How have debt analysts reacted to Kraft's offer
to buy Cadbury?
10. (Advanced) Describe the impact of a business combination financed by
debt on the total combined balance sheets of the firms entering into the
business combination. How does this impact compare to using bond proceeds to pay
dividends to shareholders? How does it differ?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Rock-bottom interest rates and thawed credit markets are emboldening some
companies to use bond-sale proceeds to go on the offensive, even if that means
rewarding shareholders at the expense of bondholders.
The nascent trend is controversial because corporate borrowers are sinking
themselves deeper into debt to pay out special dividends, buy back stock or
finance acquisitions. While such moves were all the rage during the credit boom,
most corporate-bond offerings during the recession have been used to reduce debt
or stockpile cash.
Eric Felder, global head of credit trading at Barclays Capital, says the lure of
low rates and companies' stables of cash increases "the risk of non-bondholder
friendly events."
Last week's sale of $425 million of bonds by aircraft-parts manufacturer
TransDigm Group Inc. is one of the back-to-the-past corporate-bond deals causing
concern among some analysts. More than $360 million of the proceeds will be used
to pay a special cash dividend to shareholders and management of the Cleveland
company.
The added debt increased TransDigm's borrowings to 4.3 times its earnings before
interest and taxes, compared with 3.1 times before last week's deal. The
expected dividend of $7.50 to $7.70 a share is equal to nearly all of the net
income that TransDigm reported since the end of fiscal 2003, according to
Moody's Investors Service.
Moody's said the dividend "illustrates the company's aggressive financial
policy." Moody's gave the new debt a junk rating of B3, even though the ratings
firm said TransDigm's "strong operating performance will enable the company to
service the increased debt level."
Sean Maroney, director of investor relations at TransDigm, says the "stability
of our business, high profit margins and consistent cash flow" give the company
"the ability to support this level of leverage."
Borrowing from bondholders to pay shareholder dividends is "a hallmark of an
earlier credit era," Jeffrey Rosenberg, head of credit strategy at Bank of
America Merrill Lynch, wrote in a report Friday. Such deals were popular in 2003
and 2004, the last time the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate
to historically low levels, keeping it at 1% for more than a year.
Companies like Dex Media Inc. took on debt to pay dividends to its
private-equity owners, including Carlyle Group and Welsh, Carson, Anderson &
Stowe, before taking the companies public. Dex Media filed for bankruptcy
earlier this year under a mountain of debt.
With the federal-funds rate at 0% for nine months now and confidence returning
to the stock and debt markets, investors have been driven to take on more risk.
That is flooding the corporate-bond market with cash. Investors poured $43
billion into investment-grade corporate-bond funds in the second quarter and
nearly $40 billion in the third quarter -- almost double previous peak quarters,
according to Lipper AMG Data Services.
The wave of buying drove down borrowing costs for the average highly rated
corporation to about 5%, according to Merrill, a level not seen since 2005. In
the heat of the crisis last October, such rates averaged 9%. Through the end of
September, more than 1,000 high-rated companies borrowed a record $860 billion,
according to Dealogic.
In July, Intel Corp. sold $1.75 billion of convertible bonds, planning to use
$1.5 billion of the proceeds to buy back shares. A spokesman for Intel declined
to comment.
The computer-chip giant has a strong credit rating of single-A, so it doesn't
carry a burdensome debt load. Still, the deal raised eyebrows among some
analysts and investors, who say floating debt to buy back stock could become
more common as companies regain confidence.
And as merger-and-acquisition activity revs up, the cheaper cost of debt
compared with equity is tempting companies to use bond sales as a deal-making
war chest.
Analysts are watching Kraft Foods Inc. in anticipation that the company would
finance its proposed purchase of U.K. chocolate, candy and chewing gum maker
Cadbury PLC by raising tons of debt. Last month's unsolicited bid by Kraft was
then valued at about $16.7 billion, but it could be weeks before Kraft submits a
formal offer.
Three major credit-ratings agencies have warned Kraft that they could slash the
company's debt ratings if the company reaches a deal agreement with Cadbury. At
the current offering price, Kraft would need to shell out at least $6 billion in
cash, much of it likely from the debt markets, according to corporate-bond
research firm Gimme Credit.
"Kraft is committed to maintaining an investment-grade rating," a Kraft
spokesman said, declining to comment further.
So far in 2009, returns to high-grade bond investors are 19%, according to
Merrill. "We've seen a feeding frenzy" because of low interest rates, says
Kathleen Gaffney, portfolio manager at Loomis, Sayles & Co. She sold some bonds
recently to take profits from the rally. Loomis Sayles wants to have cash on the
sidelines in case the Fed raises rates soon or Treasury bonds sell off.
Jensen
Comment
If you buy into the Modigliani and Miller Theorem of capital structure, how the
corporation is financed, including dividend payouts,
The Modigliani-Miller theorem
(of
Franco Modigliani,
Merton Miller)
forms the basis for modern thinking on
capital structure. The basic theorem
states that, under a certain market price process (the classicalrandom walk),
in the absence of
taxes,
bankruptcy
costs, and asymmetric information,
and in anefficient market,
the value of a firm is unaffected by how that firm is financed. It does not
matter if the firm's capital is raised by issuing
stock or selling debt.
It does not matter what the firm'sdividend
policy is.
Therefore, the Modigliani-Miller theorem is also often called the capital
structure irrelevance principle.
Miller was awarded the 1990 Nobel Prize in Economics, along with
Harry Markowitz and
William Sharpe, for their "work in the
theory of financial economics," with Miller specifically cited for "fundamental
contributions to the theory of corporate finance."
This Note identifies the failure of Congress to
address tax incentives for leverage as a principal cause of the recent
financial crisis and a fundamental flaw of recent financial reform
legislation. Specifically, the Internal Revenue Code provides substantially
disparate tax treatment for debt and equity financing by allowing firms to
deduct interest payments on indebtedness, but not providing an equivalent
deduction for equity funding. This “debt-equity distinction” artificially
reduces the cost of capital for debt financing relative to equity financing
and encourages firms to over-employ leverage in their capital structure.
This in turn increases financial distress costs and externalities to the
economy and increases the volatility of capital markets. Though some
scholars have proposed to allow firms a deduction for dividends paid, such a
scheme would create additional distortions and introduce the potential for
corporate managers to substantially manipulate their taxable income. This
Note offers an alternative solution by proposing: (1) that the deduction for
interest on business indebtedness be eliminated, and (2) that policymakers
return to the idea of the Cost-of-Capital-Allowance (COCA). A COCA deduction
better aligns the incentives of firms with those of capital markets and
economies writ large, and encourages managers to seek out the absolute
cheapest sources of capital while removing tax shelter considerations from
the decision-making process.
. . .
Encouraging debt over equity has consequences other
than increased volatility. The distinction also shifts investment capital
away from innovative, high-risk startup companies and towards relatively
safer and more stable firms in established industries.92 Michael Knoll,
Co-Director of the Center for Tax Law and Policy at the University of
Pennsylvania Law School,93 points out that high-risk startup firms have less
capacity for leverage in their capital structure because they do not have a
consistent earnings history or steady cash flow.94 More established
companies are in better positions to employ the interest deduction in
devising their capital structure, substantially lowering their cost of
capital.95 The overall cost of capital of a firm can act as a “hurdle rate”
for judging new ventures and projects; managers and investors will pursue
only those projects with an expected rate of return above the cost of
capital.96 The interest deduction thus encourages greater investment in
stable firms past their rapid growth period, increasing competition for
startups in acquiring capital.
Jensen Comment
This is more of an essay advocating elimination of interest deductions on
corporate tax returns than it is a realistic paper on elimination of debt
financial instruments. The author, for example, does not give adequate attention
to the important role played by collateral (e.g., real estate mortgages and
mortgages on jumbo jets) in debt financing. One of the reasons for lower cost of
debt is that quality of the collateral contracted in that debt.
Bondholders generally do better than shareholders in bankruptcy court. The
debt may be restructured by the courts, but the shareholders stand a much better
chance of getting nothing. This is one of the main reasons investors opt for
bonds rather than equity shares.
The author assumes that elimination of debt alternatives will ipso facto
lower the cost of capital for high risk startup ventures. I just do not buy into
his reasoning. Risk averse investors will avoid investing in the equity of risky
ventures whether or not they have bond markets to turn to in making their
portfolio selections.
The author also avoids the issue of how towns, counties, states, and the
federal government finance capital projects and developments with bonds. These
"debt" alternatives for investors will most likely still exist even if we ban
bond investing for business firms.
The author also avoids the issue of global markets. The U.S. Congress cannot
eliminate global bond markets. Eliminating bond markets in the U.S. will most
likely mean that risk averse investors will increasingly seek more and more
foreign bonds rather than plunge more money in risky equity investments.
My general conclusion is that this is a very superficial article that does
not tackle the toughest issues of debt versus equity.
Question
To what extent should the FASB and the IASB modify accounting standards for new
theories of structured finance and securitization?
"The Economics of Structured Finance," by Joshua D. Coval, Jakub
Jurek, and Erik Stafford, Working Paper 09-060, Harvard Business School,
2008 ---
http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/09-060.pdf
The essence of structured finance
activities is the pooling of economic assets (e.g. loans, bonds, mortgages)
and subsequent issuance of a prioritized capital structure of claims, known
as tranches, against these collateral pools. As a result of the
prioritization scheme used in structuring claims, many of the manufactured
tranches are far safer than the average asset in the underlying pool. This
ability of structured finance to repackage risks and create “safe” assets
from otherwise risky collateral led to a dramatic expansion in the issuance
of structured securities, most of which were viewed by investors to be
virtually risk-free and certified as such by the rating agencies. At the
core of the recent financial market crisis has been the discovery that these
securities are actually far riskier than originally advertised.
We examine how the process of
securitization allowed trillions of dollars of risky assets to be
transformed into securities that were widely considered to be safe, and
argue that two key features of the structured finance machinery fueled its
spectacular growth. First, we show that most securities could only have
received high credit ratings if the rating agencies were extraordinarily
confident about their ability to estimate the underlying securities’ default
risks, and how likely defaults were to be correlated. Using the prototypical
structured finance security – the
collateralized debt
obligation (CDO) – as an example, we illustrate that issuing a capital
structure amplifies errors in evaluating the risk of the underlying
securities. In particular, we show how modest imprecision in the parameter
estimates can lead to variation in the default risk of the structured
finance securities which is sufficient, for example, to cause a security
rated AAA to default with reasonable likelihood.
A second, equally neglected feature of
the securitization process is that it substitutes risks that are largely
diversifiable for risks that are highly systematic. As a result, securities
produced by structured finance activities have far less chance of surviving
a severe economic downturn than traditional corporate securities of equal
rating. Moreover, because the default risk of senior tranches is
concentrated in systematically adverse economic states, investors should
demand far larger risk premia for holding structured claims than for holding
comparably rated corporate bonds. We argue that both of these features of
structured finance products – the extreme fragility of their ratings to
modest imprecision in evaluating underlying risks and their exposure to
systematic risks – go a long way in explaining the spectacular rise and fall
of structured finance.
For over a century, agencies such as
Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch have gathered and analyzed a wide
range of financial, industry, and economic information to arrive at
independent assessments on the creditworthiness of various entities, giving
rise to the now widely popular rating scales (AAA, AA, A, BBB and so on).
Until recently, the agencies focused the majority of their business on
single-name corporate finance—that is, issues of creditworthiness of
financial instruments that can be clearly ascribed to a single company. In
recent years, the business model of credit rating agencies has expanded
beyond their historical role to include the nascent field of structured
finance.
From its beginnings, the market for
structured securities evolved as a “rated” market, in which the risk of
tranches was assessed by credit rating agencies. Issuers of structured
finance products were eager to have their new products rated on the same
scale as bonds so that investors subject to ratings-based constraints would
be able to purchase the securities. By having these new securities rated,
the issuers created an illusion of comparability with existing “single-name”
securities. This provided access to a large pool of potential buyers for
what otherwise would have been perceived as very complex derivative
securities.
During the past decade, risks of all
kinds have been repackaged to create vast quantities of triple-A rated
securities with competitive yields. By mid-2007, there were 37,000
structured finance issues in the U.S. alone with the top rating (Scholtes
and Beales, 2007). According to Fitch Ratings (2007), roughly 60 percent of
all global structured products were AAA-rated, in contrast to less than 1
percent of the corporate issues. By offering AAA-ratings along with
attractive yields during a period of relatively low interest rates, these
products were eagerly bought up by investors around the world. In turn,
structured finance activities grew to represent a large fraction of Wall
Street and rating agency revenues in a relatively short period of time. By
2006, structured finance issuance led Wall Street to record revenue and
compensation levels. The same year, Moody’s Corporation reported that 44
percent of its revenues came from rating structured finance products,
surpassing the 32 percent of revenues from their traditional business of
rating corporate bonds.
By 2008, everything had changed.
Global issuance of collateralized debt obligations slowed to a crawl. Wall
Street banks were forced to incur massive write-downs. Rating agency
revenues from rating structured finance products disappeared virtually
overnight and the stock prices of these companies fell by 50 percent,
suggesting the market viewed the revenue declines as permanent. A huge
fraction of existing products saw their ratings downgraded, with the
downgrades being particularly widespread among what are called “asset-backed
security” collateralized debt obligations—which are comprised of pools of
mortgage, credit card, and auto loan securities. For example, 27 of the 30
tranches of asset-backed collateralized debt obligations underwritten by
Merrill Lynch in 2007, saw their triple-A ratings downgraded to “junk”
(Craig, Smith, and Ng, 2008). Overall, in 2007, Moody’s downgraded 31
percent of all tranches for asset-backed collateralized debt obligations it
had rated and 14 percent of those nitially rated AAA (Bank of International
Settlements, 2008). By mid-2008, structured finance activity was effectively
shut down, and the president of Standard & Poor’s, Deven Sharma, expected it
to remain so for “years” (“S&P President,” 2008).
This paper investigates the
spectacular rise and fall of structured finance. We begin by examining how
the structured finance machinery works. We construct some simple examples of
collateralized debt obligations that show how pooling and tranching a
collection of assets permits credit enhancement of the senior claims. We
then explore the challenge faced by rating agencies, examining, in
particular, the parameter and modeling assumptions that are required to
arrive at accurate ratings of structured finance products. We then conclude
with an assessment of what went wrong and the relative importance of rating
agency errors, investor credulity, and perverse incentives and suspect
behavior on the part of issuers, rating agencies, and borrowers.
Manufacturing AAA-rated Securities
Manufacturing securities of a given
credit rating requires tailoring the cash-flow risk of these securities – as
measured by the likelihood of default and the magnitude of loss incurred in
the event of a default – to satisfy the guidelines set forth by the credit
rating agencies. Structured finance allows originators to accomplish this
goal by means of a two-step procedure involving pooling and tranching.
In the first step, a large collection
of credit sensitive assets is assembled in a portfolio, which is typically
referred to as a special purpose vehicle. The special purpose vehicle is
separate from the originator’s balance sheet to isolate the credit risk of
its liabilities – the tranches – from the balance sheet of the originator.
If the special purpose vehicle issued claims that were not prioritized and
were simply fractional claims to the payoff on the underlying portfolio, the
structure would be known as a pass-through securitization. At this stage,
since the expected portfolio loss is equal to the mean expected loss on the
underlying securities, the portfolio’s credit rating would be given by the
average rating of the securities in the underlying pool. The pass-through
securitization claims would inherit this rating, thus achieving no credit
enhancement.
By contrast, to manufacture a range of
securities with different cash flow risks, structured finance issues a
capital structure of prioritized claims, known as tranches, against
the underlying collateral pool. The tranches are prioritized in how they
absorb losses from the underlying portfolio. For example, senior tranches
only absorb losses after the junior claims have been exhausted, which allows
senior tranches to obtain credit ratings in excess of the average rating on
the average for the collateral pool as a whole. The degree of protection
offered by the junior claims, or overcollateralization, plays a crucial role
in determining the credit rating for a more senior tranche, because it
determines the largest portfolio loss that can be sustained before the
senior claim is impaired.
Spruce up your basic accounting courses with fresh illustrations of
accounting for preferred stock
Especially note the reasons for choosing preferred stock
SUMMARY: On
Monday, March 31, 2008, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc,
"...announced it plans to $3 billion of preferred shares....'I
think an issue of this size with the investors we have on board
will put the false rumors about our capital position to rest,'
said Lehman Chief Financial Officer Erin Callan."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Financial accounting for stock issuances,
particularly preferred stock can be covered with this article,
providing a background to understand reasoning behind these
transactions and the Chief Financial Officer's responsibility to
communicate to outsiders about this transaction.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the difference between
preferred stock and common stock?
2. (Introductory) What is "short selling?" How is it
having an impact on Lehman Brothers, Inc., common stock value?
3. (Advanced) What is the strategic reason for Lehman
Brothers to issue preferred stock? In your answer, comment on
the "capital position" mentioned by Lehman CFO Erin Callan and
the need to communicate the strategy to investors and other
interested parties.
4. (Advanced) Why do you think that Lehman chose to
issue preferred stock rather than, say, a rights offering for
additional shares of common stock?
5. (Advanced) Define the notion of "dilution." How does
the issuance of preferred stock dilute the interests of common
shareholders?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. has unveiled its
latest attempt to try to shake the shorts.
On Monday, the firm announced it plans to issue $3
billion of preferred shares, a move that will strengthen its balance sheet
and that it hopes will dispel speculation that it is facing a capital
crunch. The question now: Will it be enough? "I think an issue of this size
with the investors we have on board will put the false rumors about our
capital position to rest," said Lehman Chief Financial Officer Erin Callan.
Not everyone is on board. The Wall Street brokerage
has become a favorite target of short sellers, traders who make money by
betting that a stock's price will fall. The shorts now will likely ask: If
Lehman had enough capital, why did it need to do the new issue, which will
dilute the stakes of existing shareholders by potentially increasing shares
outstanding by about 5%?
Thursday, the stock fell almost 9%. Two weeks ago,
in the wake of the forced sale of Bear Stearns Cos. to J.P. Morgan Chase &
Co., Lehman's stock took another nasty tumble, falling 19% to a 4½-year low.
Some Lehman shareholders blamed the decline on heavy selling by short
sellers, who borrow shares and sell them, hoping to buy them back at a lower
price and lock in a profit.
Monday, Lehman's stock fell 23 cents to $37.64 in 4
p.m. New York Stock Exchange composite trading. But in after-hours trading,
the share price declined $1.12 to $36.52. Lehman maintains that the stock
will rebound once investors learn both the terms of the offering and the
fact that it has been "substantially" presold. Late last night, Lehman said
there was $11 billion in investor demand for its offering.
So far this year, Lehman's stock is down 43%,
compared with 16% for the Dow Jones Wilshire U.S. Financial Services Index
and 23% and 14%, respectively, for rivals Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and
Morgan Stanley. Lehman says that over the past few months it has been trying
to lower the amount of debt it takes on relative to its assets, both by
selling assets and now by raising capital -- so the new offering isn't
necessarily aimed at beating back the short sellers.
Still, as of March 12, there were 46.6 million
shares, 9.1% of Lehman's total float, sold short. That is up from 9.4
million shares at the beginning of the year, according to the NYSE.
Investors also are loading up on Lehman options, another way to bet on a
fall in the firm's stock.
The firm says it has enough cash on hand to weather
the current crisis, $31 billion in cash and cash equivalents and another $65
billion in assets it can easily borrow against. Furthermore, thanks to a
recent change in the rules, it now has access for the first time to Federal
Reserve funds, a move that gives Lehman access to an essentially unlimited
pool of money at the same rate as commercial banks.
Lehman is no stranger to the skeptics. The
brokerage and its chairman, Richard Fuld Jr., fought off rumors about a cash
crunch in 1998 that were triggered by the near-collapse of hedge fund Long
Term Capital Management. At that time, the firm hired a
private-investigation firm to get to the bottom of the speculation circling
the company. Since then, Mr. Fuld has won praise for diversifying Lehman,
long known as a bond house, into lucrative areas like stock trading and
investment banking.
This time around, the firm has publicly spoken out
against the shorts. It has met with the Securities and Exchange Commission,
and top management is actively trying to track down the source of rumors as
they arise.
The main concern: Lehman's still-sizable exposure
to the mortgage market makes it easy for critics to draw comparisons to
Bear. A recent Bank of America report notes that mortgages represent 29% of
total assets at Lehman, roughly in line with Bear, which had one-third of
its assets in mortgages, and much higher than Merrill Lynch & Co. and
Goldman Sachs, both at 12%, and 13% at Morgan Stanley. Ms. Callan estimates
Lehman's total real-estate exposure is closer to 20% and it is a skilled
operator in managing real-estate assets.
"Looking toward the remainder of 2008, Lehman
investors will be nervously waiting to see if the firm, with its balance
sheet loaded with $87 billion of troubled assets which are under pricing
pressure and which can't be easily sold, will be able to navigate the
continuing credit storm and the de-leveraging environment that we
anticipate," wrote Brad Hintz, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein & Co. and
a former chief financial officer at Lehman.
Nearly $31 billion of its holdings are
commercial-real-estate loans. Even as it cut way back on making home loans,
Lehman continued to lend to buyers of office buildings and other assets, and
analysts expect it will take a hit on these this year.
A big concern is Lehman's 2007 investment in
Archstone-Smith Trust, which it bought with Tishman Speyer Properties in May
2007, just as the real-estate market was beginning to melt. Lehman bought in
at $60.75 a share. Archstone is now private, but shares of its publicly
traded rivals are down substantially, suggesting Lehman's investment is
underwater.
During a conference call to discuss its
first-quarter earnings, Lehman said it currently holds $2.3 billion of
Archstone's non-investment-grade debt and $2.2 billion of equity, both of
which Ms. Callan said are being carried "materially below par." She said
Lehman is working to sell assets and improve Archstone's financial profile.
Lehman says it has taken write-downs on this investment, but the size of the
haircut isn't known because it doesn't release this data on individual
investments.
Continued in article
Accounting for Gains on Debt Restructuring
Ford turned a "profit" before the multi-billion Cash-For Clunkers welfare
program for automobile manufacturers and dealers.
By the way I cashed in my not-really-a-clunker (1989 Cad) for a new Subaru
Forrester four hours before the Government's Clunker Fund ran out of money (four
months early) for the first time on July 31, 2009. The salesman, Charlie, from
Manchester Subaru brought the papers up to our hotel room where Erika and I
somewhat reluctantly signed over our faithful Betsie Devella to the Clunker
Crusher.
From The Wall Street Journal's Accounting Weekly Review in July 30,
2009
SUMMARY: Ford
"...reported a profit of $2.3 billion [in the second quarter of 2009] though
that came mainly from gains it recorded as part of efforts to restructure its
debt...Excluding those gains, Ford would have reported a loss of $424
million...much better than Wall Street analysts were expecting."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
treatment of early debt extinguishment is the primary usefulness of this
article, though it also addresses Ford's geographic segment disclosures.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Summarize the main points described in this article regarding Ford Motor
Company's performance in the second quarter of 2009. How is that performance
attributed to the company's chief executive, Allan Mulally?
2. (Advanced)
What is a "cash burn rate"? How did Ford Motor improve this statistic? Is this
improvement the same as improvement in earnings/reduction of losses? Explain
your answer.
3. (Advanced)
Access the company's SEC filing for the second quarter of 2009 available at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/37996/000114036109016804/ex99.htm
Review the financial results summary on the first page. State which captions
correspond to performance as it is described in the WSJ article.
4. (Advanced)
Scroll to the details about the "special items" on pages 13-14 of the filing.
What were the major special items in 2008 versus 2009?
5. (Advanced)
Refer again to pages 13-14 of the SEC filing. How is the information on these
items organized? What accounting standard requires this disaggregation of
information? Where do you find the profit that came from gains on restructuring
debt, as it is described in the article?
6. (Advanced)
Describe the accounting for early debt extinguishments and debt restructurings.
How does that accounting generate the results achieved by Ford Motor Company in
the second quarter of 2009? Do you think that result is reflective of the chief
executive's performance as discussed in answer to question 1? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Ford
Motor Co. returned to profitability in the second quarter and showed signs of
stabilizing as the company continued to win customers from its Detroit
competitors.
The car
maker reported a profit of $2.3 billion, though that came mainly from gains it
recorded as part of efforts to restructure its debt during the quarter.
Excluding those gains, Ford would have reported a loss of $424 million, still
narrower than a comparable loss of $1.03 billion a year earlier and much better
than Wall Street analysts were expecting.
The
earnings suggest that the deep downturn in Detroit may have bottomed out and at
least one member of the Big Three has figured out how to stabilize its business
at a much lower sales volume.
The
results also underscore the assessment of Chief Executive Alan Mulally as a
rising star in an industry he entered only three years ago.
Ford
remains on track to break even or make money in 2011 and has sufficient
liquidity to fund its turnaround plan, Mr. Mulally, a former Boeing Co.
executive, said Thursday.
Once
seen as the industry's sickest company, Ford underwent a wrenching cost-cutting
period. It closed plants, shed brands and laid off more than 40,000 employees.
It also borrowed $23.5 billion from private lenders by mortgaging almost
everything of value at the company.
In the
last year, a leaner Ford was able to shun a government bailout and avoid
bankruptcy, recasting itself as a U.S.-based car maker with enough new products
and global reach to survive the auto-sales downturn.
"This
quarter's earnings show that Alan is emerging as one of the top CEOs in the
industry," said Mike Jackson, CEO of AutoNation Inc., the largest U.S. chain of
car dealerships and the largest Ford dealer by volume and locations.
Ford
shares rose 9.4% on the earnings news to $6.98 in 4 p.m. New York Stock Exchange
composite trading.
A key
indicator of Ford's relative success has been its increasing ability to manage
cash burn, the issue that caused General Motors Co. to stumble close to
insolvency. Ford used about $1 billion in cash during the second quarter, far
less than the $3.7 billion in the first quarter. That left the Dearborn, Mich.,
company with $21 billion in gross cash in its automotive operations.
Ford's
rate of cash use fell largely as a result of limited spending on buyer
incentives and increased production at its North American plants.
Ford has
seen an uptick in U.S. market share, due in part to new models, as GM's and
Chrysler's market shares have slipped. To be sure, Ford remains saddled by
massive debt and declining sales in one of the worst auto markets in recent
history. And Ford doesn't expect to repeat the one-time gains from debt
restructuring.
"Ford
delivered exactly what we wanted to see -- lower cash burn," Shelly Lombard, an
analyst at the Gimme Credit corporate bond research firm, wrote Thursday. "But
it's still too early to tell whether Ford has got its swagger back since some of
the improvement was due to market share and price gains that Ford probably
picked up at General Motors and Chrysler's expense while they were in
bankruptcy."
For the
recent quarter, Ford reported earnings of 69 cents a share, compared with a loss
of $8.67 billion, or $3.89 a share, a year earlier. Revenue fell to $27.2
billion from $38.6 billion a year earlier. Ford blamed the slump on the 33%
year-over-year drop in the annualized sales rate for the U.S. vehicle market.
Nonetheless, Ford executives predicted a rosier second half of the year, saying
for the first time that they expect to gain market share for 2009 in both the
U.S. and Europe. Cash outflow also is expected to abate for the second half.
Chief
Financial Officer Lewis Booth cautioned that a slower-than-expected economic
recovery or a disruption of the industry's parts supply could tamp down Ford's
optimistic outlook.
Alan
Mulally The company's debt at the end of the second quarter totaled $26.1
billion. Ford's decision to decline U.S. aid or file for bankruptcy protection
may have created consumer goodwill, but rival GM was able to eliminate about $40
billion in debt. Chrysler Group LLC similarly exited bankruptcy with lower
financial obligations.
But Mr.
Mulally said the bankruptcy reorganizations and debt reductions at Ford's rivals
haven't put his company at a disadvantage. Ford reduced its own debt by $10.1
billion in the second quarter while raising $1.6 billion through new stock. At
the same time, it reduced the cost of running its business by $1.8 billion.
"I think
it's great cars and a very strong business" that are drawing more people to
Ford, Mr. Mulally told analysts and journalists during a conference call.
On a
regional basis, Ford North America narrowed its pretax loss to $851 million from
a loss of $1.3 billion a year earlier, while Ford Europe -- traditionally its
strongest operation -- saw its pretax profit shrink to $138 million from $582
million a year earlier. For the first quarter, the North America unit had
reported an operating loss of $637 million while Ford Europe had a $550 million
loss.
The
results are Ford's first quarterly profit after posting four quarterly losses.
Still, analyst Himanshu Patel of J.P. Morgan wrote that "this was clearly not
the massive positive quarter some (including ourselves) were thinking was
possible."
According to Standard and Poor's, GM and Chrysler lost market share in the U.S.
through the first six months of 2009, while Ford's rose slightly to 15.9% from
15.3%. GM's share for the first six months was 19.8%, compared to 21.5% in the
same period in 2008. For Chrysler, the figure was 9.8%, down from 11.7%.
And for
the first time in about three years, Ford's internal data are showing that
consumer opinion about the brand is improving by a significant margin.
Many
U.S. consumers have refused to consider a Ford, believing its vehicles are
inferior to leading Japanese brands. But the company found that the number of
people who have a favorable opinion of Ford grew by 17% between January and
June. In addition, the number who said they would consider buying a Ford grew by
13%.
Question
What are shareholder "earn-out"contracts"?
(Another example of the increasing complexity of classifying debt versus
equity.)
How did eBay make a $1.43 dollar (or more) mistake?
EBay Inc. announced Monday that the co-founder and
chief executive of its Skype division was stepping down, and that the parent
company would take $1.43 billion in charges for the Internet phone service
division.
Of the charges to be taken in the current quarter,
$900 million will be a write-down in the value of Skype, eBay said. That
charge, for what accountants call impairment, essentially acknowledges that
San Jose-based eBay, one of the world's largest e-commerce companies,
drastically overvalued the $2.6 billion Skype acquisition, which was
completed in October 2005.
EBay also said Monday it paid certain
shareholders $530 million to settle future obligations.
In 2005, eBay wooed Skype investors by offering an
''earn-out agreement'' up to $1.7 billion if Skype hit specific
targets -- including a number of active users and a gross profit -- in 2008
and the first half of 2009. The Skype shareholders holding those agreements
received the $530 million in an early, one-time payout, eBay spokesman Hani
Durzy said.
EBay also announced that Skype CEO Niklas Zennstrom
will become non-executive chairman of Skype's board and likely spend more
time working on independent projects.
Durzy said the resignation of Zennstrom, a Swedish
entrepreneur who started Skype, was not related to the impairment charge or
Skype's performance.
''Niklas left of his own volition,'' Durzy said.
''He is an entrepreneur first and foremost, and he wanted to spend more time
on some of his new projects that he has been working on.''
Skype, which allows customers to place
long-distance calls using their computers, reported second-quarter revenue
of $89.13 million, up 102 percent from a year ago. It was the second
consecutive quarter of profitability for the newest eBay division.
Zennstrom is likely to work on developing Joost, an
Internet TV service he started in 2006 with Skype co-founder Janus Friis,
relying on peer-to-peer technology to distribute TV shows and other videos
over the Web.
Joost had at least 1 million beta testers in July
and will launch at the end of the year, Zennstrom said earlier this summer.
One of the pair's first collaborations was the
peer-to-peer file-sharing network KaZaA, which launched in March 2000 and is
used primarily to swap MP3 music files over the Internet. Zennstrom also
co-founded the peer-to-peer network Altnet and the venture capital firm
Atomico.
Continued in article
From The Wall Street Journal
Accounting Educators' Review on July 16, 2004
SUMMARY: The Emerging Issues Task Force is considering changing the
requirements for including in the EPS calculation the potentially dilutive
shares issuable from so-called CoCo bonds. These bonds have an interest-payment
coupon and are contingently convertible, typically depending upon a specified
percentage increase in the stock price.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Describe the terms of CoCo Bonds. What do you think the term "CoCo"
means? How do they differ from typical convertible bonds? Why do investors find
typical convertible bonds attractive? Why do companies find it attractive to
offer typical convertible bonds?
2.) What is the Emerging Issues Task Force (EITF)? How can the organization
of that task force help to resolve issues, such as the questions surrounding
CoCo bonds, more rapidly than the issues can be addressed by the FASB itself?
3.) In general, what is the accounting issue being addressed by the EITF?
What is the proposed change in accounting? Does any of this have to do with the
actual accounting for the bonds and their associated interest expense?
4.) Explain in detail the effect of these bonds on companies' earnings per
share (EPS) calculations. Will the amount of companies' net income change under
the proposed EITF resolution of this accounting issue? What will change? Is it
certain that the change in treatment of these bonds will have a dilutive effect
on EPS? Explain.
5.) Why might an EITF ruling require retroactive restatement of earnings by
companies issuing these bonds? How else could any change in treatment of these
bonds be presented in the financial statements?
6.) One investment analyst states that "the new accounting doesn't
change economics, but investors [are] still likely to care." Why is this
the case?
7.) Why does one analyst describe CoCo bonds as a gimmick? Why then would we
"probably be better off without it"?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
Coke: Gone Flat at the Bright Lines of Accounting Rules and Marketing
Ethics
The king of carbonated beverages is still a moneymaker, but its growth has
stalled and the stock has been backsliding since the late '90s. Now it
turns out that the company's glory days were as much a matter of accounting
maneuvers as of marketing magic. Guizuenta's most ingenious contribution to Coke, the
ingredient that added rocket fuel to the stock price, was a bit of creative
though perfectly legal balance-sheet rejeiggering that in some ways prefigured
the Enron Corp. machinations. Known inside the company as the "49%
solution," it was the brain child of then-Chief Financial Officer M.
Douglas Ivester. It worked like this: Coke spun off its U.S.
bottling operations in late 1986 into a new company known as Coca-Cola
Enterprises Inc., retaining a 49% state for itself. That was enough to
exert de facto control but a hair below the 50% threshold that requires
companies to consolidate results of subsidiaries in their financials. At
a stroke, Coke erased $2.4 billion of debt from its balance sheet.
Dean Foust, "Gone Flat," Business Week, December 20, 2004,
Page 77.
This is a Business Week cover story.
Coca Cola's outside independent auditor is Ernst & Young
Contingent convertible bonds get a tax-treatment
boost from a new IRS revenue ruling. But the window of opportunity may slam shut.
"Cuckoo for Coco Puffs?" Robert Willens, Lehman Brothers, CFO.com,
May 22, 2002 Now the FASB intends to shut the loop-hole. If
the proposed rule (Section 404) goes into effect, companies will have to
record an increase in shares outstanding on the day they issue a Co-Co
(Contingent Convertible Bond that can be converted only at threshold share
prices), thus reducing EPS. And the change would
be retroactive, a step the board generally reserves for particularly egregious
accounting practices, says Dennis Beresord, professor of accounting at the
University of Georgia and FASB's former chief. "Too Much of a Good Thing," CFO Magazine, September
4, 2004, Page 21.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on October 29,
2004
TITLE: First Marblehead: Brilliance or Grade Inflation?
REPORTER: Karen Richardson
DATE: Oct 25, 2004
PAGE: C3
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB109866115416054209,00.html
TOPICS: Advanced Financial Accounting, Allowance For Doubtful Accounts,
Financial Statement Analysis, Securitization, Valuations
SUMMARY: First Marblehead securitizes student loans and records assets
based on significant estimates. Investors have significantly increased short
selling on the stock because of concern over when the receivables recorded
through securitization will ultimately be collected.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Define the term securitization. What purpose does securitization serve?
2.) What does the author mean by "gain-on-sale" accounting? When
are gains recognized in securitization transactions?
3.) What standard governs the accounting requirements for securitization
transactions? Why does that standard focus on a question of discerning
liabilities from sales? Is that accounting question a point of difficulty in
the case described in this article? Explain.
4.) Why are critics arguing that "it will be at least five years
before any significant cash starts rolling in" on First Marblehead's
assets?
5.) According to what is listed in the article, how many factors must be
estimated to record the assets and revenues under First Marblehead's business
model? How uncertain do you think the company may be in its estimates of these
of these items?
6.) Why will it take time until "the company's massive earnings growth
can be verified"? What evidence will help to evaluate the validity of the
estimates made in First Marblehead's revenue recognition process?
7.) What is the process of short selling? Why is it telling that there has
been a significant increase in the number of short-sellers on First
Marblehead's stock?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
FERF Newsletter, April 20, 2004
Update on SFAS 150
Halsey Bullen, Senior Project Manager at the
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), gave an update on SFAS 150.
Bullen said that SFAS 150 was originally designed to
account for "ambiguous" instruments, such as convertible bonds,
puttable stock, Co-Co No-Nos (conditionally convertible, no coupon, no
interest instruments), and variable share forward sales contracts. Mandatorily
redeemable shares of ownership issued by private companies were then included
in the accounting for this class of instruments.
Bullen said that FSP 150-3 allowed private companies
to defer implementation of SFAS 150 until 2005 with respect to shares that
were redeemable on fixed dates for fixed or externally indexed amounts, and
indefinitely for other mandatorily redeemable shares. (We will assume
indefinite deferral for mandatorily redeemable ownership shares issued by
private companies.)
As an update, Bullen said that in Phase 2, the FASB
was considering several alternatives for "bifurcating" the ambiguous
instruments into equity and liability components: * Fundamental components
approach, * Narrow view of equity as common stock, * IASB 32 approach:
bifurcate convertibles and treat any other obligation that might require
transfer of assets as a liability for the full amount, * Minimum obligation
approach, and * Reassessed expected outcomes approach.
Bullen said that the FASB has encountered a number of
challenges in trying to account for these ambiguous instruments, not the least
of which are just basic conceptual definitions of shareholder equity and
liability. For example, should equity be defined as assets minus liabilities,
or should liabilities be first defined as assets minus shareholder equity?
One FEI member asked Bullen, "Where is the
concept of simplicity?" Bullen responded, "Simplicity is as
simplicity does." In other words, if the financial instrument is not
simple, how can its accounting be simple?
Bullen told the participants to expect an exposure
draft in late 2004 or early 2005.
The Controversy Between
OCI versus Current Earnings
FAS 130 created an equity account called Other Comprehensive Income (OCI) or
Accumulated OCI (AOCI) to serve as a means of keeping various types of
unrealized changes in asset and liability values from mixing in with current
earnings. For example, changes in the value of available-for-sale securities are
required in FAS 115 to be carried at fair value with offsets to changes in fair
value going to some equity account other than Retained Earnings. FAS 130 named
this account to be OCI. FAS 130 also requires a Statement of Comprehensive
Income that summarizes all changes in AOCI balances during each accounting
period.
Later when FAS 133 required carrying of derivatives at fair value, the OCI
account became the required offset to changes in derivative fair values if those
derivatives are cash flow or foreign exchange (FX) hedges. OCI cannot be used
for Fair Value hedges.
Comprehensive income is part of a larger initiative of both the FASB and the
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) to provide options for and
perhaps eventually require fair value accounting for all financial assets and
liabilities (but not necessarily non-financial items).
Ernst & YoungTechnical Line:
Changes in reporting comprehensive income (OCI)
Many companies will have to change how they present comprehensive income under
Accounting Standards Updates 2011-05 and 2011-12. The new guidance is effective
for public companies for fiscal years, and interim periods within those years,
beginning after 15 December 2011. This means the first quarter of 2012 for
calendar year-end public companies. For nonpublic companies, the amendments are
effective for fiscal years ending after 15 December 2012 and interim and annual
periods thereafter. Retrospective application is required. Early adoption is
permitted. Our
Technical Line publication describes the new requirements. ---
http://www.ey.com/Publication/vwLUAssetsAL/TechnicalLine_BB2310_ComprehensiveIncome_8March2012/$FILE/TechnicalLine_BB2310_ComprehensiveIncome_8March2012.pdf
The statement of comprehensive income, whether
displayed as a separate financial statement or in conjunction with the
income statement or as part of the statement of changes in shareholders'
equity, has served its purpose. It is time to scrap the concept and
incorporate these items where they actually belong -- in the income
statement.
Over the years the Financial Accounting Standards
Board created a problem by allowing a variety of items to bypass the income
statement, a result of te FASB's bias toward the balance sheet. In other
words, FASB focused on reporting assets and liabilities of the business
enterprise, but did not worry too much about the impact on the income
statement. Included within the comprehensive income statement were foreign
currency translation adjustments under the all-current method, holding gains
and losses for investments under the available-for-sale category, gains and
losses on derivatives if they are considered cash flow hedges, and losses if
necessary to establish a minimum pension liability. If these things make
sense to include on the balance sheet, surely their income statement effects
are meaningful as well.
The board sometimes justified this approach by
claiming that these items had less reliability than other events and
transactions included in the income statement. But, this argument loses
water in today's world. Surely if the fair value changes recently booked in
the accounts of financial institutions are reliable, then these other
measurements are equally reliable. This follows because the fair value
changes recently recognized are the result not of changes in market values
but in changes in model estimates.
Consider last year's 10-K for Merrill Lynch. The
firm did not have a particularly good year, as witnessed by its 7.7 billion
dollar loss. If the items in other comprehensive income are incorporated as
well, the loss grows to almost 9 billion dollars.
The foreign currently translation loss, net of
taxes, is a mere 11 million dollar loss. Nonetheless, it is a real economic
loss to shareholders and should be recognized as such.
Merrill Lynch had losses on its investment
securities considered available for sale of 2.5 billion dollars. Again, this
is net of income taxes. As these securities reflect certain real changes of
value, they too would be better displayed on the income statement.
Merrill Lynch also shows deferred net gains of 81
million dollars on its cash flow hedges. Similarly, it would be more
informative to users if they are reported in income.
Finally, Merrill Lynch shows 240 million dollars of
net actuarial gains and prior service costs. They too signify real economic
flows and, therefore, they belong part of earnings.
In 2007 we have reported losses of $7.7 billion
versus comprehensive losses of $8.9 billion. In 2006 the two measures are
the same, revealing an income of $7.5 billion. In 2005, however, the two
measures have some differences as in 2007: net income is $5.1 billion while
comprehensive net income is $4.7 billion.
So why doesn't FASB scrap the comprehensive income
statement? Surely the reliability of these items is as good as the
reliability of the mark-to-model numbers that have recently hit the
financials of corporate America. The more likely real reason for the
comprehensive income concept is that it is a bargaining chip when creating
new accounting policy. FASB gets what it wants, at least to some extent, on
the balance sheet; in return, the compromise allows reporting entities not
to announce lower incomes (or bigger losses) and it allows them to have less
volatility in their annual earnings.
Creditors and investors would be better served with
a more accurate income statement. Let's renounce the reliability argument
and show some political muscle. Scrap the notion of comprehensive income and
strengthen the income statement.
My response to Ed is that it is my understanding
that the new financial statements, on which the income statement will
include no bottom line, will include these CI items.
Is my understanding wrong?
MicroSoft has an interesting approach to reporting
Accumulated OCI on the income statement and the statement of changes in SHE:
it merges the two together. I've always thought that by so doing, MS was
casting its vote that the two should be comingled together on the income
statement.
David Albrecht
Bowling Green
June 22, 2008 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi David,
Count me
in as one who sees good things in OCI or something like OCI that
separates realized gains and losses from those that have a 99.9999%
chance never be realized if the company remains a viable going concern.
It’s important to show the unlikely risks on the balance sheet, but I
sure hate to see them be folded into earnings per share. In the case of
hedging, this becomes a penalty for entering into good economic hedges
that are certain to prevent losses. It’s a bad idea to penalize
companies making good hedges with earnings volatility due to those
hedges. That’s what companies pounded into the FASB when FAS 133 was
being contemplated. It’s also the reason that FAS 133 went from 50
paragraphs to 524 paragraphs, because to keep changes in derivative
contract fair values out of earnings the FASB had to invent what we now
call “hedge accounting” (read that relief from unrealized earnings
volatility due to hedging).
For
example, a cash sale is realized. A huge long-term gain in the value of
an investment in Google’s common shares since its IPO stands a good
chance of being realized but of course nothing is certain until the
stock is sold. But changes in the value of an interest rate swap that’s
a cash flow hedge is even more certain to never be realized.
I repeat
that the debits and credits to OCI from changes in the value of an
interest rate swap used as a hedge, most likely will never be realized.
Firstly, the swap is typically customized and unique for which there are
not likely any buyers unless huge incentives are made to get out of the
swap before it matures. Secondly, if the swap is held to maturity it’s
certain that the accumulated OCI debits and credits for changes in value
of the swap will sum up to zero. All debits and credits to OCI for a
cash flow hedge are not important in the grand sum of things for
derivatives held to maturity of the hedge and the hedged item.
The only
reason changes in value of a cash flow hedge are important on the
balance sheet is to signal that there there’s risk/return from an
unlikely premature settlement of a hedging derivative. Investors should
know about these potential risks and returns at interim points in time
since they truly exist in light of premature settlement. The signaling
is on the balance sheet such as when an interest rate swap has a
reported liability of $42,820,000 if the swap is terminated prematurely.
At the
same time, I would certainly hate to see the offsetting unrealized
“loss” of $42,820,000 be mixed in with the realized earnings, because
the probability of even a single dollar of this loss being ultimately
realized is very, very unlikely if the company is truly a going concern.
To
illustrate these points consider the table in Paragraph 137 that depicts
the journal entries of a cash flow hedge using an interest rate swap in
Example 5 of Appendix B of FAS 133. Below I’ve reproduced Paragraph 137
table that also appears in
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/133ex05.htm
it also appears with footnotes that explain the calculations in the
Excel workbook at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/133ex05a.xls
Note
especially how the debits and credits in the OCI column sum to zero.
This was certain at the commencement of the swap. I would certainly hate
to see debits like $42,820, $33,160, $21,850 and credits like ($24,850),
($73,800), ($85,910), and ($1,960) be folded in with realized components
of earnings each quarter.
Note how
the swap has a liability of $42,820 on June 30, 20X2. This is a good
estimate of what XYZ Company would owe if it breached its swap contract
and was faced with a court judgment when sued by swap’s counterparty.
But if XYZ Company does not breach the contract, it is known in advance
that the swap begins and ends with a value of $0. All the changes in
value at interim reset dates are transitory and will wash out unless the
contract is settled prematurely.
Hence we
most certainly need changes in value of interest rate swaps being booked
at fair values. We also need, in my viewpoint, something like OCI that
prevents highly unlikely unrealized gains and losses from having
volatile impacts on other more likely or realized gains and losses. Note
how the Swap and OCI columns sum to zero. This was certain in advance
unless the swap was breached prematurely.
.
Example 5 of
FAS 133 Appendix B Paragraph 137
Swap
OCI
Earnings
Cash
LIBOR
Debit (Credit)
Debit (Credit)
Debit (Credit)
Debit (Credit)
5.56%
7/1/X1
$ -
Interest accrued
$ -
Payment (Receipt)
(27,250)
27,250
Effect of change in rates
52,100
(52,100)
Reclassification to earnings
-
27,250
(27,250)
-
5.63%
9/30/X1
24,850
(24,850)
(27,250)
27,250
Interest accrued
$ 350
(350)
Payment (Receipt)
(25,500)
25,500
Effect of change in rates
74,100
(74,100)
Reclassification to earnings
-
25,500
(25,500)
-
5.56%
12/31/X1
73,800
(73,800)
(25,500)
25,500
Interest accrued
$ 1,026
(1,026)
Payment (Receipt)
(27,250)
27,250
Effect of change in rates
38,334
(38,334)
Reclassification to earnings
-
27,250
(27,250)
-
5.47%
3/31/X2
85,910
(85,910)
(27,250)
27,250
Interest accrued
$ 1,175
(1,175)
Payment (Receipt)
(29,500)
29,500
Effect of change in rates
(100,405)
100,405
Reclassification to earnings
-
29,500
(29,500)
-
6.75%
6/30/X2
(42,820)
42,820
(29,500)
29,500
Interest accrued
$ (723)
723
Payment (Receipt)
2,500
(2,500)
Effect of change in rates
7,883
(7,883)
Reclassification to earnings
-
(2,500)
2,500
-
6.86%
9/30/X2
(33,160)
33,160
2,500
(2,500)
Interest accrued
$ (569)
569
Payment (Receipt)
5,250
(5,250)
Effect of change in rates
6,629
(6,629)
Reclassification to earnings
-
(5,250)
5,250
-
6.97%
12/31/X2
(21,850)
21,850
5,250
(5,250)
Interest accrued
$ (381)
381
Payment (Receipt)
8,000
(8,000)
Effect of change in rates
16,191
(16,191)
Reclassification to earnings
-
(8,000)
8,000
-
6.57%
3/31/X3
1,960
(1,960)
8,000
(8,000)
Interest accrued
$ 32
(32)
Payment (Receipt)
(2,000)
2,000
Rounding error
8
(8)
Reclassification to earnings
-
2,000
(2,000)
-
6/30/X3
-
0
(2,000)
2,000
PS
The interest accruals in the above table differ from those in Paragraph
137 of FAS 133 because the FASB screwed up the calculations and failed
to correct them even though I did reported these calculation errors in
Example 5 to the FASB years ago. The FASB did compute the interest
accruals correctly for Example 2 in Paragraph 117, so the FASB batted
50% on their interest rate accrual calculations in FAS 133. However,
such accruals are only a minor part of this outstanding illustration.
I think
Example 5 is the most important illustration in all of FAS 133 and IAS
39. If you fully understand the 133ex05a.xls workbook calculations and
the Hubbard and Jensen explanation of how to value the Example 5
interest rate swap, I will give you a Certificate of FAS 133 Merit. Once
again the links to learn from are as follows:
My
accounting theory students inevitably despised this illustration until
they saw the light.
You would be surprised at how many former students contact me thanking
me for explaining how to value swaps, because nearly all auditors
encounter interest rate swaps on the job and don’t want to be fired from
the audit for the same reasons KPMG was fired by its client named Fannie
Mae.
Count me in as one who sees good things in OCI or something like OCI
that separates realized gains and losses from those that have a 99.9999%
chance never be realized if the company remains a viable going concern.
It’s important to show the unlikely risks on the balance sheet, but I
sure hate to see them be folded into earnings per share. In the case of
hedging, this becomes a penalty for entering into good economic hedges
that are certain to prevent losses. It’s a bad idea to penalize
companies making good hedges with earnings volatility due to those
hedges. That’s what companies pounded into the FASB when FAS 133 was
being contemplated. It’s also the reason that FAS 133 went from 50
paragraphs to 524 paragraphs, because to keep changes in derivative
contract fair values out of earnings the FASB had to invent what we now
call “hedge accounting” (read that relief from unrealized earnings
volatility due to hedging).
Bob,
I just don't think that in the evolution of GAAP/IFRS to fair market
valuation for the balance sheet, that there is any escape for stretching the
income statement all out of any semblance of understandability (eeeehhhhh,
I'm not sure the income statement has every been that understandable) and
doing away with items of Other Comprehensive Income (OCI) and finally being
all-inclusive.
In the context of fair value accounting, I'm pretty sure that realizability
is no longer relevant. I had a pretty interesting discussion in class last
week with some students about a classic pose from financial accounting:
conservatism. That is, accountants are quick to recognize losses/declines
and slow to recognize gains/increases. When combined with realization, it
means that a gain can be recognized when the earnings process is thought to
be complete, but not before. You even refer to realization (BTW,
realization has a very interesting etymology).
But in the rush to fair value accounting, conservatism and realizability
have become as socially acceptable as an old fart of an accountant or a
professor.
Ceteris paribus, I think that balance sheets can be thought of as naturally
hedged. For example, let's take a case where a company has a simple balance
sheet of CA 30, Investments 20, PPE of 50, CL of 25, LTL of 45 and SHE of
30. Such a balance sheet reflects an assumed capital structure of long-term
financing of 60% debt, and might be appropriate for a product/equipment
manufacturer. This balance sheet captures the essence of the company at a
time when neither times are good nor times are bad. Now, let's assume that
the economy slides into the downward part of an economic cycle. Two things
happen simultaneously--the resources/assets lose some current fair value
because of the downturn (perceived prospects have taken an economy-wide
collective hit), and debt financing becomes harder to get and is rationed by
higher interest rates. affecting all matters of debt financing. The fair
value of the assets go down (and there's a loss), the fair value of the
liabilities go down (and there's a gain). The balance sheet stays in
balance and the measure of company profitability (the new income statement)
stays in balance as the gains and losses cancel out. Perfect hedging.
If US GAAP was to have it right, then not only would the financial assets in
the investment category be marked to market, but so would PPE AND all the
liabilities. SHE would tag along. In the above example, CL becomes a
weightier part of the balance sheet right hand side.
A consistent problem with US GAAP is that the rule makers have only gone
part way (marking financial assets to market). Gains and losses can't be
included in the income statement because the income statement is
under-specified. Hence the decades-old need for OCI and its predecessor,
unrealized gains/losses.
Unfortunately, economic downturns don't hit all companies ceteris paribus,
and company-specific prospects can either improve or deteriorate as compared
to the economy as a whole.
Take the case of airlines (pick one, any one). In the current economic
downturn, the assets (gas-guzzling owned and leased assets) have lost value
at a much faster pace relative generic assets in the economy. In the
current world order, the jets are less valuable because of their low fuel
efficiency puts the airline's existence at risk, and the airline's cost of
capital has just gone sky-high because of this increased business risk. As
a result of oil futures and the attendant economic downturn, the airlines
have incurred a real impairment in asset value, and this should be reflected
in the financials, including the current income statement. At least this is
my opinion. On the other side, have an airline just try retiring some of
its long-term debt on the market. With higher interest rate valuations
applied, the debt has a lower market value and the company can realize real
gains if it were to retire the debt. Many airlines have effectively retired
the debt by choosing bankruptcy reorganization. And if they haven't yet
chosen bankruptcy, the threat is always there, hence the rationale for
decreasing the recorded value of liabilities. The gains and losses cancel,
but shouldn't the investor be informed in the financial statements?
Now, in the generic example, I can see some appeal to keeping gains and
losses off the income statement because they aren't ever going to be
realized, but in the airline example, I can see every reason for putting all
gains and losses on the income statement so that investors can see the good
and bad. The bad is that assets have lost value, and the good is that in a
case of financial reorganization, there will be a gain that will cancel out
all asset declines.
Bob, how does one separate the economy wide effects from the industry
effects or even the company effects? There is simply too much commingling.
As a result, why not put everything on the income statement? I think this
is Ed Ketz's basic position. Mine as well. Make the income statement line
a one-size fits all garment.
Unfortunately, there is no place on the income statement (as currently
constituted) or such gains and losses. That is why the FASB has made such a
historical push to revamp it and do away with the bottom line.
Now, one other issue to attend to: your underlying assumption that the
reporting company is a going concern, and as a result gains/losses will
reverse in the next economic upswing and nothing will ever be realized. The
world is a complex environment, and such an assumption as going concern may
no longer be relevant. Ask Bear Stearns. An auctioneer would say that its
going concern went going-going-gone.
In the current financial world, going concern takes on a whole new meaning.
Historically, auditors have never been effective in flagging going-concern
problems. I don't seen anything structural being done to audit markets that
would make auditors more effective in this area.
David Albrecht
June 22, 2008 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi David,
But you and Ed
miss my major point.
There are some
unrealized gains and losses that “may” reverse with economic swings such as
the unrealized gain or loss of that Google stock you bought five years ago.
You and Ed make good points about such items, although I think Section 3 of
the IASB’s exposure draft makes an excellent case on the other side of the
coin in favor of fair value reporting of financial items ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#UnderlyingBases
And this is
coming from a guy who has been skeptical of fair value accounting all along
---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#FairValue
I’m not so certain anymore as long as we don’t do dumb things with
unrealized gains and losses.
The point you
miss is that there are some gains and losses that are certain to reverse
contractually, and they are 99.99999% likely to be perfectly reversed
irrespective of market swings because these contracts in reality are not
likely to be breached or otherwise settled prematurely. A customized and
unique interest rate swap is this type of contract where unrealized gains
and losses are nearly always perfectly reversed at maturity.
We must show the
fair value of the swap at interim points in time because this is what the
courts will declare we owe or are owed in case of a contract breach. But we
should not show changes in these amounts in current earnings because the
likelihood of our breaching this contract is miniscule. OCI is a very good
vehicle for showing the changes in value of a cash flow hedging swap on the
balance sheet without showing the unlikely realization of these amounts on
the balance sheet.
My point with an
interest rate swap is that when the swap matures, the ultimate impact on
realized earnings will be zero no matter how the market swings during the
hedging period. Interim unrealized gains and losses on the swap should not
be posted to current earnings if they are certain to wash out.
I hope you
and Ed will carefully study the IASB’s Section 3 of http://snipurl.com/ias39simplification
Section 3 is making more of a believer out of me for financial instruments
(but not non-financial instruments).
I am primarily an investor and investor advocate
with respect to financial reporting issues. I have recently returned to
university teaching after 11 years with the CFA Institute. (That gives some
context to my remarks.)
As an investor, I want to see fair value
information in both the balance sheet and the income statement. I understand
this creates volatility and I'm willing to live with it to get a better
understanding of economic reality (if such exists at all in corporate
financial statements.) I also understand that this makes measurement more
difficult. If the measurement is truly "unreliable", rather than simply "not
the number management wants", then IFRS permits companies to make that claim
and avoid, in most instances, reporting that number in the income statement.
If you read any of the commentary that users of the financial statements
(those whose own money or that of their clients) is on the line when they
rely of financial statements to make investment and credit decisions, you
will see that they are by and large in favor of fair value (price)
accounting. The "academic accountants" are not the ones pushing for this.
(As an aside, if banks do not believe the "fair
value" of their loans is a reliable measure then why don't they feel the
same way about the fair value of the underlying real estate.)
I also am a firm believer in Comprehensive Income
and see no reason why this needs to be arbitrarily divided into NI and OCI.
In my view, transactions and events recorded in OCI are those that belong on
the Income Statement but company management managed to negotitate with the
standard-setting to hide them on the balance sheet. Simply, makes the
investor's job more difficult.
On Disclosure vs Reporting in the Financial
Statements: I might agree with the person who said he had no problem with
disclosure of certain information, just don't put it in the financial
statements. Unfortunately, my experience is that managements often do not
take disclosure information as seriously as recognized information. They
just aren't as concerned about measurement reliability. This was emphasized
to me in a presentation on this issue with respect to stock comp that I
attended. The presenter admitted that information in the footnote was relied
on and used by investors but that it just couldn't be moved to the income
statement because it wasn't reliable.
Unfortunately, in my view, the only way to improve
measurement reliability is to require the information to be recognized and
measured in the financial statements. Investors can make sense of this
information.
Regards, Patricia Walters, PhD, CFA
Fordham University
All of you have a wonderful opportunity to express
your views on the subject of relevance vs. reliability to the FASB and IASB.
The exposure draft on "The Objective of Financial Reporting and Qualitative
Characteristics and Constraints of Decision-Useful Financial Reporting
Information" is available at
http://www.fasb.org/draft/ed_conceptual_framework_for_fin_reporting.pdf
Comments are being solicited through September 29.
I commented on the Preliminary Views document that preceded this exposure
draft and probably will comment on this exposure draft too. This document is
a key building block for the future of financial reporting and I urge all of
you to consider participating formally in the debate.
According to
Merriam Webster, a black box is broadly defined as
“anything that has mysterious or unknown internal functions or mechanisms.”
How appropriate that
Jonathan Weil called our attention to an
“unconventional profitability metric” used by Black Box (the Company) to
report third quarter performance in its
January 29th press release (Form 8-K, Exhibit
99.1). As usual, Jon got right to the point, and suggested that using the
term “adjusted Ebitda (as adjusted)” was just another ploy to make “earnings
look better.” While I generally agree with Jon’s conclusion, I am
particularly stunned by the lack of creativity exhibited by the Company’s
accountants in naming their performance metrics. After all, even a bean
counter should be able to come up with something better. As a grumpy old
accountant, I'd recommend using Lynn Turner’s “everything
but bad stuff” EBS title (coined over a decade
ago)…now that might have been more appropriate! But why did Black Box’s
accountants just give up? Well, after a bit of digging, I think I know why.
I also discovered that this was just one of five non-GAAP measures used by
the Company in its press release, but not in its current 10-Q or 10-K. And
finally, Black Box omitted a very important income statement disclosure in
its press release that was included in its 10-Q and prior year 10-K. All of
this raises questions about the transparency of the Company’s most recent
financial disclosures, and what is prompting the recent move to non-GAAP
metrics.
But first, even
though I have little or no respect for most performance based non-GAAP
metrics, I must confess that Black Box’s “unconventional profitability
metric” appears to comply with the policies of the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC). The SEC outlines its rules for such measures in
its
Final
Rule on Non-GAAP Financial Measures, as well as
its
Compliance and Disclosure Interpretations on Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
In fact, the Company’s cumbersome EBITDA moniker is
likely due to SEC guidance to use the word “adjusted” when reconciling net
income to a non-standard definition of EBITDA. However, Black Box adopted
two separate non-GAAP EBITDA metrics: EBITDA as adjusted
and the hilarious “adjusted EBITDA (as adjusted)”
term, the two of which differed only by stock compensation expense. The
table below shows how these two non-GAAP measures relate to each other, as
well as to the more traditional notion of EBITDA. The first column reflects
income statement data for the Company’s nine months of operations for the
current fiscal year (3QYTD13) as reported in the January 29th press release
(8-K, Exhibit 99.1, page 10), while the other three columns reflect related
P&L data from prior Company 10-K’s.
. . .
In summary, the Company’s “adjusted Ebitda (as
adjusted)” metric appears to be the tip of a financial reporting iceberg.
Instead of improving financial reporting transparency, Black Box may really
be a Pandora’s Box of non-GAAP metrics that obfuscate “true” performance.
Continued in article
This is remotely related to OCI reporting where earnings are adjusted for
non-recurrent and unrealized value changes.
"Academic Research and Standard-Setting: The Case of Other Comprehensive
Income,"
by Lynn L. Rees and Philip B. Shane, Accounting Horizons,
December 2012, Vol. 26, No. 4, pp. 789-815. ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/acch-50237
This paper links academic accounting research on
comprehensive income reporting with the accounting standard-setting efforts
of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and the International
Accounting Standards Board (IASB). We begin by discussing the development of
reporting other comprehensive income, and we identify a significant weakness
in the FASB's Conceptual Framework, in the lack of a cohesive definition of
any subcategory of comprehensive income, including earnings. We identify
several attributes that could help allocate comprehensive income between net
income, other comprehensive income, and other subcategories. We then review
academic research related to remaining standard-setting issues, and identify
gaps in academic research where hypotheses could be developed and tested.
Our objectives are to (1) stimulate standard-setters to better conceptualize
what is meant by other comprehensive income and to distinguish it from
earnings, and (2) stimulate researchers to develop and test hypotheses that
might help in that process.
. . .
Potential Alternative Definitions of Earnings
Table 1 summarizes and categorizes various
standard-setting issues related to reporting comprehensive income, and
provides the organizing structure for our literature review later in the
paper. The most important of these issues is the definition of earnings, or
what makes up earnings and how it is distinguished from OCI. This is a
“cross-cutting” issue because it arises when the Boards deliberate on
various topics. The Boards cooperatively initiated the financial statement
presentation project intending, in part, to solve the comprehensive income
composition problem, but the project was subsequently delayed.
Table 2 presents a list of the specific
comprehensive income components under current U.S. GAAP that require
recognition as OCI. The second column presents the statement that provided
financial reporting guidance for the OCI component, along with its effective
date. The effective dates provide an indication as to how the OCI components
have expanded over time. Since the issuance of Statement No. 130, which
established formal reporting of OCI, new OCI-expanding requirements were
promulgated in Statement No. 133. Financial instruments, insurance, and
leases are three examples of topics currently on the FASB's agenda where OCI
has been discussed as an option to report various gains and losses. In all
these discussions, a framework is lacking that can guide standard-setter
decisions. The increased use of accumulated OCI to capture various changes
in net assets and the likely expansion of OCI items reinforce the notion
that standard-setters must eventually come to grips with the distinction
between OCI and earnings, or even whether the practice of reporting OCI with
recycling should be retained.7
Presumably, elements with similar informational
attributes should be classified together in financial statements. It is
unclear what attributes the items listed in Table 2 possess that result in
their being characterized differently from other components of income.
Notably, the basis for conclusions of the FASB standards gives little to no
economic reasoning for the decision to place these items in OCI. While not
exhaustive, Table 2 presents four attributes that standard-setters could
potentially use to distinguish between earnings and OCI: (1) the degree of
persistence of the item, (2) whether the item results from a firm's core
operations, (3) whether the item represents a change in net assets that is
reasonably within management's control, and (4) whether the item results
from remeasurement of an asset/liability. We discuss in turn the merits and
potential problems of using these attributes to form a reporting framework
for comprehensive income.
Degree of Persistence.
The degree of persistence of various comprehensive
income components has significant implications for firm value (e.g.,
Friedman 1957; Kormendi and Lipe 1987; Collins and Kothari 1989). Ohlson's
(1995, 1999) valuation model places a heavy emphasis on earnings
persistence, which suggests that a reporting format that facilitates
identifying the level of persistence across income components could be
useful to investors. Examples abound as to how the concept of income
persistence has been used in standard-setting, including separate
presentation in the income statement for one-time items, extraordinary
items, and discontinued operations. Standard-setters have justified several
footnote disclosures (segmental disclosures) and disaggregation requirements
(e.g., components of pension expense) on the basis of providing information
to financial statement users about the persistence of various income
statement components.
Thus, the persistence of revenue and expense items
potentially could serve as a distinguishing characteristic of earnings and
OCI. Table 2 shows that we regard all the items currently recognized in OCI
as having relatively low persistence. However, several other low-persistence
items are not recognized in OCI; for example, gains/losses on sale of
assets, impairments of assets, restructuring charges, and gains/losses from
litigation. To be consistent with this definition of OCI, the current
paradigm must change significantly, and the resulting total for OCI would
look substantially different from what it is now.
Using persistence of an item to distinguish
earnings from OCI would create significant problems for standard-setters.
Persistence can range from completely transitory (zero persistence) to
permanent (100 percent persistence). At what point along this range is an
item persistent enough to be recorded in earnings? While restructuring
charges are typically considered as having low persistence, if they occur
every two to three years, is this frequent enough to be classified with
other earnings components or infrequent enough to be classified with OCI?
Furthermore, the relative persistence of an item likely varies across
industries, and even across firms.
In spite of these inherent difficulties,
standard-setters could establish criteria related to persistence that they
might use to ultimately determine the classification of particular items. In
addition, standard-setters would not be restricted to classifying income
components in one of two categories. As an example, highly persistent
components could be classified as part of “recurring earnings,”
medium-persistence items could go to “other earnings,” and low-persistence
items to OCI (or some other nomenclature). Standard-setters could create
additional partitions as needed.
Core Operations.
Classifying income components as earnings or OCI
based on whether they are part of a firm's core operations is intuitively
appealing. This criterion is related to income persistence, as we would
expect core earnings to be more persistent than noncore income items.
Furthermore, classifying income based on whether it is part of core
operations has a long history in accounting.
In current practice, companies and investors place
primary importance on some variant of earnings. However, it is not clear
which variant of earnings is superior. Many companies report pro forma net
income, which presumably provides investors with a more representative
measure of the company's core income, but definitions of pro forma earnings
vary across firms. Similarly, analysts tend to forecast a company's core
earnings (Gu and Chen 2004). Evidence in prior research indicates that pro
forma earnings and actual earnings forecasted by analysts are more closely
associated with share prices than income from continuing operations based on
current U.S. GAAP (e.g., Bradshaw and Sloan 2002; Bhattacharya et al. 2003).
The problems inherent with this attribute are
similar to those of the earnings-persistence criterion. No generally
accepted definition of core operations exists. At what point along a
continuum does an activity become part of the core operations of a business?
As Table 2 indicates, classifying gains/losses from holding
available-for-sale securities as part of core earnings depends on whether
the firm operates in the financial sector. Different operating environments
across firms and industries could make it difficult for standard-setters to
determine whether an item belongs in core earnings or OCI.8 In addition,
differences in application across firms may give rise to concerns about
comparability and potential for abuse on the part of managers in exercising
their discretion (e.g., Barth et al. 2011).
The FASB's (2010) Staff Draft on Financial
Statement Presentation tries to address the definitional issue by using
interrelationships and synergies between assets and liabilities as a
criterion to distinguish operating (or core) activities from investing (or
noncore) activities. Specifically, the Staff Draft states:
An entity shall classify in the operating category:
Assets that are used as part of the entity's
day-to-day business and all changes in those assets Liabilities that arise
from the entity's day-to-day business and all changes in those liabilities.
Operating activities generate revenue through a
process that requires the interrelated use of the entity's resources. An
asset or a liability that an entity uses to generate a return and any change
in that asset or liability shall be classified in the investing category. No
significant synergies are created for the entity by combining an asset or a
liability classified in the investing category with other resources of the
entity. An asset or a liability classified in the investing category may
yield a return for the entity in the form of, for example, interest,
dividends, royalties, equity income, gains, or losses. (FASB 2010, paras.
72, 73, 81)
The above distinction between operating activities
and investing activities could similarly be used to distinguish between core
activities and noncore activities. Alternatively, standard-setters might
develop other definitions. Similar to the degree of persistence attribute,
standard-setters would not be restricted to a simple core versus noncore
dichotomy when using this definition.
Another possible solution is to allow management to
determine which items belong in core earnings. Companies exercise this
discretion today when they choose to disclose pro forma earnings.
Furthermore, the FASB established the precedent of the “management approach”
when it allowed management to determine how to report segment disclosures.
In several other areas of U.S. GAAP, management is responsible for
establishing boundaries that define its operating environment. FASB
Accounting Standards Codification Topic 320 (formerly Statement 115) permits
different measurements for identical investments based on management's
intent to sell or hold the instrument. Other examples where U.S. GAAP allows
for management discretion include determining the rate to discount pension
liabilities, defining reporting units, and determining whether an impairment
is other than temporary. However, the management approach accentuates the
concern about comparability and potential for abuse.
Management Control.
Given a premise that evaluating management's
stewardship is a primary role of financial statements, a possible rationale
for excluding certain items from earnings is that they do not provide a good
measure to evaluate management.9 Management can largely control the firm's
operating costs and can influence the level of revenues generated. However,
some decisions that affect comprehensive income can be established by
company policy or the company mission statement and, thus, be outside the
control of management. For example, a company policy might be to invest
excess cash in marketable securities with the objective of maximizing
returns. Once the board of directors establishes this policy, management has
little influence over how market-wide fluctuations in security prices affect
earnings, and hedging the gains/losses would be inconsistent with the
objective of maximizing returns. Similarly, a company's mission statement
might include expansion overseas, or prior management might have already
decided to establish a foreign subsidiary. The resulting gains/losses from
foreign currency fluctuations would seemingly be out of management's
control, and hedging these gains/losses would not make economic sense if the
subsidiary's functional currency is its local currency and the parent has no
intention of repatriating the subsidiary's cash flows.
Of course, determining what is and is not
ostensibly under management's control becomes highly subjective and would
probably differ across industries, and perhaps even across firms within
industries. For example, gains/losses from investment holdings might not be
relevant in evaluating management of some companies, but might be very
relevant for managers of holding companies. In addition, the time horizon
affects what is under management's control. That is, as the time horizon
lengthens, more things are under management's control.
In Table 2, we classify items as not under
management's control if they are based on fluctuations in stock prices or
exchange rates, which academic research shows to be largely random within
efficient markets. Using this classification model, most, but not all, of
the OCI items listed in Table 2 are classified as not under the management's
control. Some of the pension items currently recognized in OCI are within
the control of management, because management controls the decision to
revise a pension plan. While management has control over when to harvest
gains/losses on available-for-sale (AFS) securities by deciding when to sell
the securities, it cannot control market prices. Thus, under this criterion,
unrealized gains/losses on AFS securities are appropriately recognized in
OCI. However, gains/losses on trading securities and the effects of tax rate
changes are beyond management's control, and yet, these items are currently
included as part of earnings. Thus, “management control” does not
distinguish what is and is not included in earnings under current U.S. GAAP.
Remeasurements.
Barker (2004) explains how the measurement and
presentation of comprehensive income might rely on remeasurements. The
FASB's (2010) Staff Draft on Financial Statement Presentation defines
remeasurements as follows:
A remeasurement is an amount recognized in
comprehensive income that increases or decreases the net carrying amount of
an asset or a liability and that is the result of:
A change in (or realization of) a current price or
value A change in an estimate of a current price or value or A change in any
estimate or method used to measure the carrying amount of an asset or a
liability. (FASB 2010, para. 234)
Using this definition, examples of remeasurements
are impairments of land, unrealized gains/losses due to fair value changes
in securities, income tax expenses due to changes in statutory tax rates,
and unexpected gains/losses from holding pension assets. All of these items
represent a change in carrying value of an already existing asset or
liability due to changes in prices or estimates (land, investments, deferred
tax asset/liability, and pension asset/liability, respectively).
Table 3 reproduces a table from Barker (2004) that
illustrates how a firm's income statement might look using a “matrix format”
if standard-setters adopt the remeasurement approach to reporting
comprehensive income. Note that the presentation in Table 3 does not employ
earnings as a subtotal of comprehensive income; however, the approach could
be modified to define earnings as the sum of all items before remeasurements,
if considered useful. Tarca et al. (2008) conduct an experiment with
analysts, accountants, and M.B.A. students to assess whether the matrix
income statement format in Table 3 facilitates or hinders users' ability to
extract information. They find evidence suggesting that the matrix format
facilitates more accurate information extraction for users across all
sophistication levels relative to a typical format based on IAS 1.
Table 3: Illustration of Matrix Reporting Format
Employing remeasurements to distinguish between
earnings and other comprehensive income largely incorporates the criterion
of earnings persistence. Most remeasurements result from price changes,
where the current change has little or no association with future changes
and, therefore, these components of income are transitory. In contrast,
earnings components before remeasurements generally represent items that are
likely more persistent.
Perhaps the most significant advantage of the
remeasurement criterion is that it is less subjective than the other
criteria previously discussed. Most of the other criteria in Table 2 are
continuous in nature. Drawing a bright line to differentiate what belongs in
earnings from what belongs in OCI is challenging and will likely be
susceptible to income manipulation. In contrast, determining whether a
component of income arises from a remeasurement is more straightforward.
Yet another advantage of this approach is it allows
for a full fair value balance sheet that clearly discloses the effects of
fair value measurement on periodic comprehensive income, while also showing
earnings effects under a modified historical cost system (i.e., before
remeasurements). This approach could potentially provide better information
about probable future cash flows.
Other.
The attributes standard-setters could use to
classify income components into earnings or OCI are not limited to the list
in Table 2. Ketz (1999) suggests using the level of measurement uncertainty.
As an example, gains/losses from Level 1 fair value measurements might be
viewed as sufficiently certain to include in earnings, while Level 3 fair
value measurements might generate gains/losses that belong in OCI. Song et
al. (2010) provide some support for this partition in that they document the
value relevance of Level 1 and Level 2 fair values exceeds the value
relevance of Level 3 fair values.
Another potential attribute might be the horizon
over which unrealized gains/losses are ultimately realized. That is,
unrealized gains/losses from foreign currency fluctuations, term life
insurance contracts, or holding pension assets that will not be realized for
many years in the future might be disclosed as part of OCI, whereas
unrealized gains/losses from trading and available-for-sale securities could
be part of earnings.
As previously discussed, the attributes of
measurement uncertainty and timeliness create similar problems in
determining where to draw the line. Which items are sufficiently reliable
(or timely) to include in earnings, and will differences in implementation
across firms and industries impair comparability?
The overriding purpose of the discussion in this
subsection is to point out that several alternative attributes could
potentially guide standard-setters in establishing criteria to differentiate
earnings from OCI. Ultimately, the choice regarding whether/how to
distinguish net income from OCI is a matter of policy. However, academic
research can inform policy decisions, as described in the fourth and fifth
sections.
Summary
Reporting OCI is a relatively recent phenomenon
that presumes financial statement users are provided with better information
when specific comprehensive income components are excluded from
earnings-per-share (EPS), and recycled back into net income only after the
occurrence of a specified transaction or event. The number of income
components included in OCI has increased over time, and this expansion is
likely to continue as standard-setters address new agenda items (e.g.,
financial instruments and insurance contracts). The lack of a clear
definitional distinction between earnings and OCI in the FASB/IASB
Conceptual Frameworks has led to: (1) ad hoc decisions on the income
components classified in OCI, and (2) no conceptual basis for deciding
whether OCI should be excluded from earnings-per-share (EPS) in the current
period or recycled through EPS in subsequent periods. In this section, we
discussed alternative criteria that standard-setters could use to
distinguish earnings from OCI, along with the advantages and challenges of
each criterion. Further, due to the inherent difficulties in drawing bright
lines between earnings that are persistent versus transitory, core versus
noncore, under management control or not, and amenable to remeasurement or
not, standard-setters might consider eliminating OCI; that is, they might
decide to adopt an all-inclusive income statement approach, where
comprehensive income is reporte
. . .
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I like this paper. Table 3 could be improved by adding bottom line net earnings
before and after remeasurement.
The paper does not provide all the answers, but it is well written in terms
of history up to this point in time and alternative directions for
consideration.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on July 22, 2013
(Congratulations Tony)
The dark side of non-GAAP metrics Over
on the Grumpy Old Accountants blog, Villanova
University Prof. Anthony Catanach takes aim at the growing use of non-GAAP
metrics—noting
a recent article by CFOJ’s Emily Chasan
highlighting the trend. Prof. Catanach argues that in
most cases, companies using nontraditional metrics actually mask real
operating performance. “I am so hot about this that I’m calling out today’s
CFOs, as well as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to stop this
nonsense once and for all. I propose scrapping the SEC’s current Regulation
G, which governs the use of non-GAAP measures. Let’s replace it with a
requirement that companies disclose real operating data and metrics, not
just financial measures,” he writes.
It’s been over
a decade, 12 years to be exact, since Isaac C. Hunt, Jr. then Commissioner
of the SEC, delivered his seminal "Accountants
as Gatekeepers" speech. Those of you with gray
hair (or no hair) will recall this speech for Hunt’s attack on managed
earnings and “pro forma” financials.” In venting his frustration with non-GAAP
metrics (today’s descriptor for bad financial metrics), he reminded
securities issuers of their responsibilities to “make full and fair
disclosure of all material information.” Hunt’s speech is particularly
noteworthy as it points out that “federal securities laws, to a significant
extent, make accountants the ‘gatekeepers’ to the public securities markets.
Recently, several articles have appeared in the
popular press highlighting “new” ways that companies are reporting
performance. In one, “New
Benchmarks Crop Up in Companies Financial Reports,”
Emily Chasan discusses how some firms are
complementing financial reports with nontraditional performance benchmarks.
What’s my beef you ask? Well, my objections this time are consistent with
my recent rants about Black Box’s
new
metrics, and Citigroup’s
new performance measurement system. Simply put,
these supposedly innovative and insightful performance measures are neither!
In fact, in most cases, they are quite the opposite, and actually mask real operating performance.
My grumpiness on this “new” disclosure business has
reached the boiling point. I am so hot about this that I’m calling out
today’s CFOs, as well as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to
stop this nonsense once and for all. I propose scrapping the SEC’s current
Regulation G, which governs the use of non-GAAP
measures. Let’s replace it with a requirement that companies disclose real
operating data and metrics, not just financial measures. But there is one
hitch: none of the operating metrics I have in mind can use, or be based in
any way on any financial statement data, or any combination of numbers that
come from the general ledger system! Let me explain further.
As Ms. Chasan reports, some companies are beginning
to disclose relevant operating data, particularly as it relates to customers
(e.g., paid membership rates, active users, cumulative customers, etc.).
Unfortunately, many more CFOs continue to try to sell us the same old
“snake oil,” namely, “innovative” metrics that are nothing more than
repackaged financial statement-based illusions. You know them well,
EBITDA,
adjusted EBITDA, and the like. And this deception has continued unabated
for years…some of us even remember a wonderful piece by Jonathan Weil titled
“Companies
Pollute Earnings Reports, Leaving P/E Ratios Hard to Calculate.”
Nevertheless, the result is the same:
financially-based, non-GAAP performance measures that have less to do with
the nuts and bolts of daily operating processes, and more to do with today’s
troubled accounting “standards.”
Why do so many
CFOs promote the use of these non-GAAP metrics?
They maintain that these metrics are needed because financial statements
prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP),
particularly the income statement, don’t provide a complete and accurate
picture of a company’s performance. But are CFOs really being driven to more
non-GAAP metrics so as to present a clearer picture of the future direction
of a business as
recently suggested by Professors Paul Bahnson of
Boise State and Paul Miller of UC – Colorado Springs?
Continued in article
No Bottom Line
Question
Is a major overhaul of accounting standards on the way?
Hint
There may no longer be the tried and untrusted earnings per share number to
report! Comment
It would be interesting to see a documentation of the academic research, if any,
that the FASB relied upon to commence this blockbuster initiative. I recommend
that some astute researcher commence to probe into the thinking behind this
proposal.
Pretty soon the bottom line may not be, well, the
bottom line.
In coming months, accounting-rule makers are
planning to unveil a draft plan to rework financial statements, the bedrock
data that millions of investors use every day when deciding whether to buy
or sell stocks, bonds and other financial instruments. One possible result:
the elimination of what today is known as net income or net profit, the
bottom-line figure showing what is left after expenses have been met and
taxes paid.
It is the item many investors look to as a key
gauge of corporate performance and one measure used to determine executive
compensation. In its place, investors might find a number of profit figures
that correspond to different corporate activities such as business
operations, financing and investing.
Another possible radical change in the works:
assets and liabilities may no longer be separate categories on the balance
sheet, or fall to the left and right side in the classic format taught in
introductory accounting classes.
ACCOUNTING OVERHAUL
Get a glimpse of what new financial statements
could look like, according to an early draft recently provided by the
Financial Accounting Standards Board to one of its advisory groups. The
overhaul could mark one of the most drastic changes to accounting and
financial reporting since the start of the Industrial Revolution in the 19th
century, when companies began publishing financial information as they
sought outside capital. The move is being undertaken by accounting-rule
makers in the U.S. and internationally, and ultimately could affect
companies and investors around the world.
The project is aimed at providing investors with
more telling information and has come about as rule makers work to one day
come up with a common, global set of accounting standards. If adopted, the
changes will likely force every accounting textbook to be rewritten and
anyone who uses accounting -- from clerks to chief executives -- to relearn
how to compile and analyze information that shows what is happening in a
business.
This is likely to come as a shock, even if many
investors and executives acknowledge that net income has flaws. "If there
was no bottom line, I'd want to have a sense of what other indicators I
ought to be looking at to get a sense of the comprehensive health of the
company," says Katrina Presti, a part-time independent health-care
contractor and stay-at-home mom who is part of a 12-woman investment club in
Pueblo, Colo. "Net income might be a false indicator, but what would I look
at if it goes away?"
The effort to redo financial statements reflects
changes in who uses them and for what purposes. Financial statements were
originally crafted with bankers and lenders in mind. Their biggest question:
Is the business solvent and what's left if it fails? Stock investors care
more about a business's current and future profits, so the net-income line
takes on added significance for them.
Indeed, that single profit number, particularly
when it is divided by the number of shares outstanding, provides the most
popular measure of a company's valuation: the price-to-earnings ratio. A
company that trades at $10 a share, and which has net profit of $1 a share,
has a P/E of 10.
But giving that much power to one number has long
been a recipe for fraud and stock-market excesses. Many major accounting
scandals earlier this decade centered on manipulation of net income. The
stock-market bubble of the 1990s was largely based on investors' assumption
that net profit for stocks would grow rapidly for years to come. And the
game of beating a quarterly earnings number became a distraction or worse
for companies' managers and investors. Obviously it isn't known whether the
new format would cut down on attempts to game the numbers, but companies
would have to give a more detailed breakdown of what is going on.
The goal of the accounting-rule makers is to better
reflect how businesses are actually run and divert attention from the one
number. "I know the world likes single bottom-line numbers and all of that,
but complicated businesses are hard to translate into just one number," says
Robert Herz, chairman of the Financial Accounting Standards Board, the U.S.
rule-making body that is one of several groups working on the changes.
At the same time, public companies today are more
global than local, and as likely to be involved in services or lines of
business that involve intellectual property such as software rather than the
plants and equipment that defined the manufacturing age. "The income
statement today looks a lot like it did when I started out in this
profession," says William Parrett, the retiring CEO of accounting firm
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, who started as a junior accountant in 1967. "But
the kind of information that goes into it is completely different."
Along the way, figures such as net income have
become muddied. That is in part because more and more of the items used to
calculate net profit are based on management estimates, such as the value of
items that don't trade in active markets and the direction of interest
rates. Also, over the years rule makers agreed to corporate demands to
account for some things, such as day-to-day changes in the value of pension
plans or financial instruments used to protect against changes in interest
rates, in ways that keep them from causing swings in net income.
Rule makers hope reformatting financial statements
will address some of these issues, while giving investors more information
about what is happening in different parts of a business to better assess
its value. The project is being managed jointly by the FASB in the U.S. and
the London-based International Accounting Standards Board, and involves
accounting bodies in Japan, other parts of Asia and individual European
nations.
The entire process of adopting the revised approach
could take a few years to play out, so much could yet change. Plus, once
rule makers adopt the changes, they would have to be ratified by regulatory
authorities, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission in the U.S. and
the European Commission in Europe, before public companies would be required
to follow them.
As a first step, rule makers expect later this year
to publish a document outlining their preliminary views on what new form
financial statements might take. But already they have given hints of what's
in store. In March, the FASB provided draft, new financial statements at the
end of a 32-page handout for members of an advisory group. (See an example.)
Although likely to change, this preview showed an
income statement that has separate segments for the company's operating
business, its financing activities, investing activities and tax payments.
Each area has an income subtotal for that particular segment.
There is also a "total comprehensive income"
category that is wider ranging than net profit as it is known today, and so
wouldn't be directly comparable. That is because this total would likely
include gains and losses now kept in other parts of the financial
statements. These include some currency fluctuations and changes in the
value of financial instruments used to hedge against other items.
Comprehensive income could also eventually include
short-term changes in the value of corporate pension plans, which currently
are smoothed out over a number of years. As a result, comprehensive income
could be a lot more difficult to predict and could be volatile from quarter
to quarter or year to year.
As for the balance sheet, the new version would
group assets and liabilities together according to similar categories of
operating, investing and financing activities, although it does provide a
section for shareholders equity. Currently, a balance sheet is broken down
between assets and liabilities, rather than by operating categories.
Such drastic change isn't likely to happen without
a fight. Efforts to bring now-excluded figures into the income statement
could prompt battles with companies that fear their profit will be subject
to big swings. Companies may also balk at the expense involved.
"The cost of this change could be monumental," says
Gary John Previts, an accounting professor at Case Western Reserve
University in Cleveland. "All the textbooks are going to have to change,
every contract and every bank arrangement will have to change." Investors in
Europe and Asia, meanwhile, have opposed the idea of dropping net profit as
it appears today, David Tweedie, the IASB's chairman, said in an interview
earlier this year.
Analysts in the London office of UBS AG recently
published a report arguing this very point -- that even if net income is a
"simplistic measure," that doesn't mean it isn't a valid "starting point in
valuation" and that "its widespread use is justification enough for its
retention."
Such opposition doesn't surprise many accounting
experts. Net income is "the basis for bonuses and judgments about what a
company's stock is worth," says Stephen A. Zeff, an accounting professor at
Rice University. "I just don't know what the markets would do if companies
stopped reporting a bottom line somewhere." In the U.S., professional
investors and analysts have taken a more nuanced view, perhaps because the
manipulation of numbers was more pronounced in U.S. markets.
That said, net profit has been around for some
time. The income statement in use today, along with the balance sheet,
generally dates to the 1940s when the SEC laid out regulations on financial
disclosure. But many companies have included net profit in one form or
another since the 1800s.
In its fourth annual report, General Electric Co.
provided investors with a consolidated balance sheet and consolidated
profit-and-loss account for the year ended Jan. 31, 1896. The company, whose
board at the time included Thomas Edison, generated "profit of the year" --
what today would be called net income or net profit -- of $1,388,967.46.
For the moment, net profit will probably exist in
some form, although its days are likely numbered. "We've decided in the
interim to keep a net-income subtotal, but that's all up for discussion,"
the FASB's Mr. Herz says.
Question
What do CFO's think of Robert Herz's (Chairman of the FASB) radical proposed
format for financial statements that have more disaggregated financial
information and no aggregated bottom line?
As we moved to fair value accounting for
derivative financial instruments (FAS 133) and financial instruments (FAS 157
and 159) coupled with the expected new thrust for fair value reporting on the
international scene, we have filled the income statement and the retained
earnings statement with more and more instability due to fluctuating unrealized
gains and losses.
But if we must live with more and more fair
value reporting, the bottom line has to go. But CFOs are reluctant to give up
the bottom line even if it may distort investing decisions and compensation
contracts tied to bottom-line reporting.
Last summer, McCormick & Co. controller Ken Kelly sliced
and diced his financial statements in ways he had never
before imagined. For starters, he split the income
statement for the $2.7 billion international
spice-and-food company into the three categories of the
cash-flow statement: operating, financing, and
investing. He extracted discontinued operations and
income taxes and placed them in separate categories,
instead of peppering them throughout the other results.
He created a new form to distinguish which changes in
income were due to fair value and which to cash. One
traditional ingredient, meanwhile, was conspicuous by
its absence: net income.
Kelly wasn't just indulging a whim. Ahead of a public
release of a draft of the Financial Accounting Standards
Board's new format for financial statements in the
second quarter of 2008, the McCormick controller was
trying out the financial statements of the future, a
radical departure from current conventions. FASB's
so-called financial statement presentation project is
ostensibly concerned only with the form, or the "face,"
of financial statements, but it's quickly becoming clear
that it will change and expand their content as well.
"This is a complete redefinition of the financial
statements as we know them," says John Hepp, a former
FASB project manager and now senior manager at Grant
Thornton.
Some of the major changes under discussion:
reconfiguring the balance sheet and the income statement
to follow the three categories of the cash-flow
statement, requiring companies to report cash flows with
the little-used direct method; and introducing a new
reconciliation schedule that would highlight fair-value
changes. Companies will also likely have to report more
about their segments, possibly down to the same level of
detail as they currently report for the consolidated
statements. Meanwhile, net income is slated to disappear
completely from GAAP financial statements, with no
obvious replacement for such commonly used metrics as
earnings per share.
FASB, working with the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) and accounting standards boards
in the United Kingdom and Japan, continues to work out
the precise details of the new financial statements. "We
are trying to set the stage for what financial
statements will look like across the globe for decades
to come," says FASB chairman Robert Herz. (Examples of
the proposed new financial statements can be viewed at
FASB's Website.) If the standard-setters stay their
course, CFOs and controllers at every publicly traded
company in the world could be following Kelly's lead as
soon as 2010.
It's too early to predict with confidence which changes
will ultimately stick. But the mock-up exercise has made
Kelly wary. He considers the direct cash-flow statement
and reconciliation schedule among the "worst aspects" of
the forthcoming proposal, and expects they would require
"draconian exercises" from his finance staff, he says.
And he questions what would result from the additional
details: "If all of a sudden your income statement has
125 lines instead of 25, is that presentation more
clarifying, or more confusing?"
Other financial executives share Kelly's skepticism. In
a December CFO survey of more than 200 finance
executives, only 17 percent said the changes would offer
any benefits to their companies or investors (see "Keep
the Bottom Line" at the end of this article). Even some
who endorsed the basic aim of the project and like the
idea of standardizing categories across the three major
financial statements were only cautiously optimistic.
"It may be OK, or it may be excessive." says David
Rickard, CFO of CVS/Caremark. "The devil will be in the
details."
Net Loss From the outset, corporate financial officers
have been ambivalent about FASB's seven year-old
project, which was originally launched to address
concerns that net income was losing relevance amid a
proliferation of pro forma numbers. Back in 2001,
Financial Executives International "strongly opposed"
it, while executives at Philip Morris, Exxon Mobil,
Sears Roebuck, and Microsoft protested to FASB as well.
(Critics then and now point out that FASB will have
little control over pro forma reporting no matter what
it does. Indeed, nearly 60 percent of respondents to
CFO's survey said they would continue to report pro
forma numbers after the new format is introduced.)
Given the project's starting point, it's not surprising
that current drafts of the future income statement omit
net income. Right now that's by default, since income
taxes are recorded in a separate section. But there is a
big push among some board members to make a more
fundamental change to eliminate net income by design,
and promote business income (income from operations) as
the preferred basis for investment metrics.
"If net income stays, it would be a sign that we
failed," says Don Young, a FASB board member. In his
mind, the project is not merely about getting rid of net
income, but rather about capturing all income-related
information in a single line (including such volatile
items as gains and losses on cash-flow hedges,
available-for-sale securities, and foreign-exchange
translations) rather than footnoting them in other
comprehensive income (OCI) as they are now. "All changes
in net assets and liabilities should be included," says
Young. "Why should the income statement be incomplete?"
He predicts that the new subtotals, namely business
income, will present "a much clearer picture of what's
going on."
Board member Thomas Linsmeier agrees. "The rationale for
segregating those items [in OCI] is not necessarily
obvious, other than the fact that management doesn't
want to be held accountable for them in the current
period," he says.
Whether for self-serving or practical reasons, finance
chiefs are rallying behind net income. Nearly 70 percent
of those polled by CFO in December said it should stay.
"I understand their theories that it's not the be-all
and end-all measure that it's put up to be, but it is a
measure everyone is familiar with, and sophisticated
users can adjust from there," says Kelly. Adds Rickard:
"They're treating [net income] as if it's the scourge of
the earth, which to me is silly. I think the logical
conclusion is to make other things available, rather
than hiding the one thing people find most useful."
Jensen Comment
As we moved to fair value accounting for derivative
financial instruments (FAS 133) and financial instruments (FAS
157 and 159) coupled with the expected new thrust for fair
value reporting on the international scene, we have filled
the income statement and the retained earnings statement
with more and more instability due to fluctuating unrealized
gains and losses.
But if we must live with
more and more fair value reporting, the bottom line has to
go. But CFOs are reluctant to give up the bottom line even
if it may distort investing decisions and compensation
contracts tied to bottom-line reporting.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on July 22, 2013
(Congratulations Tony)
The dark side of non-GAAP metrics Over
on the Grumpy Old Accountants blog, Villanova
University Prof. Anthony Catanach takes aim at the growing use of non-GAAP
metrics—noting
a recent article by CFOJ’s Emily Chasan
highlighting the trend. Prof. Catanach argues that in
most cases, companies using nontraditional metrics actually mask real
operating performance. “I am so hot about this that I’m calling out today’s
CFOs, as well as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to stop this
nonsense once and for all. I propose scrapping the SEC’s current Regulation
G, which governs the use of non-GAAP measures. Let’s replace it with a
requirement that companies disclose real operating data and metrics, not
just financial measures,” he writes.
It’s been over
a decade, 12 years to be exact, since Isaac C. Hunt, Jr. then Commissioner
of the SEC, delivered his seminal "Accountants
as Gatekeepers" speech. Those of you with gray
hair (or no hair) will recall this speech for Hunt’s attack on managed
earnings and “pro forma” financials.” In venting his frustration with non-GAAP
metrics (today’s descriptor for bad financial metrics), he reminded
securities issuers of their responsibilities to “make full and fair
disclosure of all material information.” Hunt’s speech is particularly
noteworthy as it points out that “federal securities laws, to a significant
extent, make accountants the ‘gatekeepers’ to the public securities markets.
Recently, several articles have appeared in the
popular press highlighting “new” ways that companies are reporting
performance. In one, “New
Benchmarks Crop Up in Companies Financial Reports,”
Emily Chasan discusses how some firms are
complementing financial reports with nontraditional performance benchmarks.
What’s my beef you ask? Well, my objections this time are consistent with
my recent rants about Black Box’s
new
metrics, and Citigroup’s
new performance measurement system. Simply put,
these supposedly innovative and insightful performance measures are neither!
In fact, in most cases, they are quite the opposite, and actually mask real operating performance.
My grumpiness on this “new” disclosure business has
reached the boiling point. I am so hot about this that I’m calling out
today’s CFOs, as well as the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to
stop this nonsense once and for all. I propose scrapping the SEC’s current
Regulation G, which governs the use of non-GAAP
measures. Let’s replace it with a requirement that companies disclose real
operating data and metrics, not just financial measures. But there is one
hitch: none of the operating metrics I have in mind can use, or be based in
any way on any financial statement data, or any combination of numbers that
come from the general ledger system! Let me explain further.
As Ms. Chasan reports, some companies are beginning
to disclose relevant operating data, particularly as it relates to customers
(e.g., paid membership rates, active users, cumulative customers, etc.).
Unfortunately, many more CFOs continue to try to sell us the same old
“snake oil,” namely, “innovative” metrics that are nothing more than
repackaged financial statement-based illusions. You know them well,
EBITDA,
adjusted EBITDA, and the like. And this deception has continued unabated
for years…some of us even remember a wonderful piece by Jonathan Weil titled
“Companies
Pollute Earnings Reports, Leaving P/E Ratios Hard to Calculate.”
Nevertheless, the result is the same:
financially-based, non-GAAP performance measures that have less to do with
the nuts and bolts of daily operating processes, and more to do with today’s
troubled accounting “standards.”
Why do so many
CFOs promote the use of these non-GAAP metrics?
They maintain that these metrics are needed because financial statements
prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP),
particularly the income statement, don’t provide a complete and accurate
picture of a company’s performance. But are CFOs really being driven to more
non-GAAP metrics so as to present a clearer picture of the future direction
of a business as
recently suggested by Professors Paul Bahnson of
Boise State and Paul Miller of UC – Colorado Springs?
Continued in article
Accrual Accounting and Estimation
A Very Practical Application of 'Dollar-Value Lifo
Like Delphic oracles of antiquity, the Treasury
Department has a reputation for issuing statements veiled in ambiguity and
incomprehensibility to the uninitiated, keeping tax attorneys and tax
accountants—the high priestesses of the tax mysteries—gainfully employed.
And its regulation §1.472-8, “Dollar-Value Method of Pricing LIFO
Inventories,” was no different when it was first issued, specifically in
regard to the use of the inventory price index computation (IPIC) method,
wherein the taxpayer computes an inventory price index (IPI) based on the
consumer price indexes (CPI) or producer price indexes (PPI) published by
the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Therein one previously
found esoteric provisions, such as an arbitrary reduction of the inventory
price index by 20 percent, the requirement of the 10 percent categories, the
use of BLS weights to prioritize the categories, the use of a weighted
harmonic mean for computing the inventory price index instead of a weighted
arithmetic mean, ad infinitum ad nauseam. Adding to the confusion was the
use of terminology imprecisely, if not ambiguously, defined, leaving it to
the tax preparer to divine the technical meanings of and distinctions
between an inventory item, category, or pool: neither the Code nor the
regulations define what constitutes an item [see Wendle Ford Sales, Inc. v.
Commissioner, 72 T.C. 447 (1979)]; a category is categorically dismissed as
an accounting method, subject to approval after an IRS audit; and a pool is
nebulously defined as the inventory of a “natural” business unit.
Ultimately, public outcry over some of the
above-mentioned provisions caused the Treasury Department to issue Treasury
Decision 8976 on December 20 2001, simplifying the computation of the IPI
under the IPIC method by no longer requiring 10 percent categories and the
reduction of the inventory price index by 20 percent, as well as clarifying
other provisions of its regulation. In spite of this simplification on the
part of the Treasury Department, many companies still struggle over the
proper application of the IPIC method. Some of the errors typically made
include the improper calculation of the weighted harmonic average, the
failure to assign inventory items correctly to BLS categories, the use of a
very general, if not incorrect, index for the entire inventory, or the
incorrect set up of pools, among others. Because it is such an opportune
time to switch to LIFO from other inventory cost flow methods, with
commodity prices rising dramatically over the past year, and because the
IPIC method is probably the least costly method in terms of recordkeeping to
implement for so many companies, perhaps an expliquer of its
methodology—highlighting and illustrating its basic computational steps—is
warranted at this time.
According to Federal Regulation § 1.472-8, the IPI
computation involves four steps:
1. Selection of a BLS table and an appropriate
month
2. Assignment of items in a dollar-value pool to
BLS categories
3. Computation of category inflation indexes for
selected BLS categories
4. Computation of the IPI.
For most “small”, nonpublic companies, determining
LIFO pools is not a major problem, since most are within one product line
(or related product lines) or consist of one operating business unit: that
is, most have one pool. Furthermore, § 1.472-8 allows the company to use
multiple pooling; however, multiple pools increase the risk of erosion of
LIFO layers, and should be avoided at all cost. Of course, companies having
gross receipts less than $5,000,000 on average may use one pool. Likewise,
for most small, nonpublic companies, choosing an appropriate month is not
difficult. Usually at its year-end, when an inventory count is undertaken,
that is often the month of choice.
Similarly, the selection of a BLS table for
manufacturers, processors, wholesalers, jobbers, and distributors is not a
difficult choice: Table 6 is ordinarily required (retailers may select BLS
price indexes from Table 3).
And the assignment of inventory items should not be
an overtaxing matter, too. According to the regulation, “a taxpayer’s
selection of a BLS category for a specific item is a method of accounting.”
Given the various categories provided in table 6 for the various
commodities, the taxpayer would decompose its inventory items into the
provided categories in a logical and systematic manner; however, the
implicit constraint is that, once selected, the inventory items should be
categorized consistently in the same fashion from year to year.
The next step in the computation of an IPI for a
dollar-value pool—the computation of category inflation indexes for selected
BLS categories—is the step that has given small, nonpublic companies the
greatest difficulty. There are two methods of implementing the computation:
double-extension IPIC method; and link-chain IPIC method. The major
difference between the two methods is that the former employs a cumulative
index from the first year of LIFO use; while the latter uses an index based
on the index of the preceding year. More precisely, under the
double-extension method, the category inflation index for a BLS category is
the quotient of the BLS price index of the current year divided by that of
the base year; whereas, under the link-chain method, the category inflation
index for a BLS category is the quotient of the BLS price index of the
current year divided by that of the prior year.
Once a method is selected and the individual
inflation indexes of the categories are calculated, then the next step would
be to derive the IPI for a dollar-value pool by computing the “weighted
harmonic mean” of the category inflation indexes. The regulation provides
the following literal formula for its calculation:
“Sum of Weights/Sum of (Weight/Category Inflation
Index).” Although it may
appear somewhat imposing at first glance:, the
calculation of the weighted harmonic mean consists of four steps.
1. To compute the “Sum of Weights”, after assigning
all inventory items to categories, total all dollar values of inventory
items by category, and sum all of these dollar values of the categories. The
dollar values of each category comprise the “Weights” referred to in the
numerator or dividend of the above formula.
2. Next calculate the category inflation indexes
for each category by dividing either the base year’s index (double-extension
method) or the prior year’s index (link-chain method) into the current
year’s index.
3. Then divide each category’s total value by its
respective category inflation index. The quotient of this division is the
“Weight/Category Inflation Index” variable in the denominator of the above
formula. Simply add all of these quotients to arrive at the “Sum of
(Weight/Category Inflation Index)” value of the denominator.
4. Now divide the “Sum of Weights” computed in step
1 by the “Sum of (Weight/Category Inflation Index)” computed in step 3 to
yield the weighted harmonic mean.
For the double-extension method, the weighted
harmonic mean is also the IPI; however, because the link-chain method uses
the prior period’s category inflation indexes and not those of the base
year, its weighted harmonic mean needs to be multiplied by the prior year’s
IPI in order to reflect the cumulative inflation effect since the inception
of LIFO to arrive at the current year’s IPI.
"Lots of Trouble: U.S. automakers used a common accounting practice to
justify huge run-ups in inventories, but the downside risks offer lessons for
all manufacturers," by Marielle Segarra, CFO Magazine, March 2012, pp.
29-31 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14620031?f=search
It's no secret that in the years leading up to the
Great Recession, the Big Three automakers were producing vehicles in excess
of market demand, leading to large inventories on dealers' lots across the
country. Now, some researchers say they know why the automakers acted as
they did, and they are warning other manufacturers to avoid the same
temptation.
By coupling excess production with absorption
costing, managers at GM, Ford, and Chrysler were able to boost profits and
meet short-term incentives, according to professors at Michigan State
University and Maastricht University in the Netherlands. (Their study on the
topic was recognized in January for its contribution to management
accounting by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants and
other groups.) Ultimately, however, the practice hurt the automakers, in
part by driving up advertising and inventory holding costs and possibly
causing a decline in brand image, the researchers say.
From 2005 to 2006, long before GM and Chrysler
filed for bankruptcy and appealed for federal aid, the automakers had
abundant excess capacity. Then as now, they had enormous fixed costs, from
factories and machinery to workers whose contracts protected them from
layoffs when demand was low, says Karen Sedatole, associate professor of
accounting at Michigan State and a co-author of the study.
To "absorb" those massive costs, the automakers
churned out more cars while using absorption costing, a widely used system
that calculates the cost of making a product by dividing total manufacturing
costs, fixed and variable, by the number of products produced. The more
vehicles they made, the lower the cost per vehicle, and the higher the
profits on the income statement. In effect, the automakers shifted costs
from the income statement to the balance sheet, in the form of inventory.
Under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards
No. 151, companies can use absorption costing for "normal capacity" but must
treat "abnormal" excess capacity as a period cost, according to Sedatole.
But the standard doesn't clearly define what's normal, leaving room for
companies to overproduce in order to lower unit cost. Companies that do so
"are, in a way, managing earnings upward by trapping costs on the balance
sheet as inventory, so they won't hit the income statement," she says.
Eroding Brand Image But business leaders should
think twice before adopting this tactic, cautions Sedatole. Even though they
can make their companies appear more profitable in the short term by
concealing excess capacity costs on the balance sheet, holding so much
excess inventory can exact a price.
"When [the dealers] couldn't sell the cars, they
would sit on the lot," says Sedatole. "They'd have to go in and replace the
tires, and there were costs associated with that." The companies also had to
pay to advertise their cars, often at discounted prices. And by making their
cars cheaper and more readily available, they may have turned off potential
customers, she adds.
"If you see a $12,000 car in a TV ad is being
auctioned off for $6,000 at your local dealer, that affects your image of
that vehicle," says Sedatole. This effect on brand image is difficult to
quantify, but the researchers correlated 1% of rebate with a 2% decline in
appeal in the J.D. Power and Associates Automotive Performance Execution and
Layout Index.
Some might argue that it's good strategy for a
company already obligated to pay salaries to make products up to its
capacity. "An economist would say as long as I could sell the car for more
than its variable cost, I'm better off selling it," Sedatole says. But, she
adds, "that's a very, very short-term way of thinking" because it neglects
the costs that come with having a lot of excess inventory.
Lessons Learned Using absorption costing to monitor
efficiency can lead companies to make poor production decisions, says
Ranjani Krishnan, professor of accounting at Michigan State and a co-author
of the study (along with Alexander Brüggen, an associate professor at
Maastricht University). A company that does this could seem to be growing
less efficient when demand decreases. If a factory makes fewer cars this
year than last year, for instance, its cost per car will look higher, and it
may then overproduce in order to present itself more favorably to
shareholders, consumers, and analysts.
Instead, Krishnan suggests, companies should record
the cost of excess capacity as an expense on their internal income
statements, a practice that may help give them perspective.
Another way to avoid overproduction is to change
the way executives are paid. Like many companies, the automakers put their
managers under pressure to deliver in the short term by structuring
compensation incentives around metrics like labor hours per vehicle, which
the industry's Harbour Report uses to compare automaker productivity. With
fixed labor hours, the only way to look more efficient under this measure is
to produce more cars.
"A lot of this behavior was frankly driven by
greed," says Krishnan. "If you look at the type of managerial incentives
[the automakers] had during the time of our study, the executive-committee
deliberations, it was all about meeting short-term quarterly traffic numbers
or meeting analysts' forecasts so that they could get their bonuses."
SUMMARY: The
story details the activities of a grandmother who "oversees a team of 13 who
track every penny spent on the massive effort [to fight California's
wildfires], from a rolling medical center ($2,900 a day), to an outdoor bank
of 12 sinks ($2,600 a day). They also make sure every firefighter is paid.
The bean counters live and work alongside firefighters in sprawling fire
camps, sleeping, waking before dawn and showering in a tractor-trailer."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article highlights an unusual accounting position and can be used to help
students in introductory accounting classes to think about the ways that all
talents can be used in emergencies and volunteer service.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Why is an accounting function, or 'bean counter' to use the derogatory term,
needed in fighting California's wildfires?
2. (Introductory)
What expenditures are the accounting clerks controlling?
3. (Introductory)
What revenues are used to cover those expenditures?
4. (Advanced)
How do the accountants use the records maintained to determine which
revenues must be allocated to cover which costs?
5. (Advanced)
Do you think you would be able to volunteer services in this way? Why or why
not?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Hours before sunrise, Teresa Fork rolled out of her
tent, laced up her boots and got to work on the biggest fire in Los Angeles
County history.
There were glitches to fix in a new
expense-tracking computer program, two land-use contracts to renegotiate and
a colorful pie chart to review.
Mrs. Fork is in fire finance.
Since it erupted on Aug. 26, the Station fire --
named for the Angeles National Forest ranger station near where it started
-- has consumed 160,577 acres and $95.9 million. At the fire's peak, more
than 4,500 firefighters and support people from as far away as Tennessee
were working on it. As of Tuesday, the fire was 91% contained and
firefighters were hoping to extinguish it by Saturday.
Hundreds of firefighters hacked through the
wilderness to create firebreaks and beat back the blaze at its southern edge
in order to protect houses. Two firefighters were killed; thousands of homes
were evacuated. A menacing plume of white smoke hung over Los Angeles for
days, and flames created an ominous orange glow just beyond the city.
Back at fire base camp, Mrs. Fork's U.S. Forest
Service team calculated the laundry bill. On Sept. 5, 1,914 pounds of
clothes were washed, at a cost of $1 a pound, plus $2,150 a day for washers
and dryers.
Mrs. Fork oversees a team of 13 who track every
penny spent on the massive effort, from a rolling medical center ($2,900 a
day), to an outdoor bank of 12 sinks ($2,600 a day). They also make sure
every firefighter is paid. The bean counters live and work alongside
firefighters in sprawling fire camps, sleeping in tents, waking before dawn
and showering in a tractor-trailer.
"Long after the fire is out, you'll still be
dealing with the finance side," said Station fire commander Mike Dietrich.
"Bills have to be paid. And you have to figure out who's paying."
On the Station fire, finances are especially
complicated. A big map in a finance trailer shows green straight lines
outlining the boundary of the Angeles National Forest, which is the
responsibility of the U.S. Forest Service. A jagged black line shows the
fire, which has spilled outside the forest and into county, city and state
territories. Who pays often depends on where the fire is burning.
With dozens of crews from different agencies,
untangling the fire's cost requires some intricate accounting. Moreover,
local fire departments facing tight budgets are eager to collect for their
services. For example, Los Angeles sent an ambulance to the fire camp and
the U.S. Forest Service agreed to reimburse the city.
California has already burned through $123.7
million of its $182 million fire-suppression budget for the 2009-10 fiscal
year. It plans to get some of that money back through grants from the
federal government.
Mrs. Fork trudges through dusty, mostly male fire
camps wearing glasses and a gold heart pendant around her neck that says
"Nana" -- a gift from her 5-year-old grandson. One of her chores is getting
the exhausted, soot-covered firefighters to fill out time cards as they exit
a burning forest. Many are from federal "hotshot" crews -- firefighters
dropped into the hottest and most dangerous fire zones.
"These are our problem children," she says,
pointing to a white poster board with a list of names written in black
marker -- firefighters who have not filled out time cards, or whose
handwriting is difficult to read.
Nathan Stephens, captain of the Blue Ridge hotshot
crew based in Happy Jack, Ariz., stepped into the finance trailer fresh off
the fire line to fill out time cards for his crew. His face was coated with
ash from three days in the burning wilderness, where the crew slept in "the
black" -- burnt-out areas close to the active fire.
For many firefighters and private contractors, fire
season is an economic lifeline. "Our time and pay is pretty much the most
important thing for my crew," said Mr. Stephens. Federal firefighter
salaries range from around $12 an hour to more than $22. Many firefighters
work just part of the year. "We don't really make a whole lot of money so we
look forward to the overtime through the summer," he said.
Each firefighter on Mr. Stephens's crew of 22 made
125 hours of overtime fighting the Station fire, Mr. Stephens said.
"I wasn't thinking about cost or anything like that
when I was out there cutting a line and sleeping by the fire. You're hot,
you're sweaty, you're tired," said Kim Ann Parsons, who has fought forest
fires herself and now generates the daily pie chart breaking down costs. As
of Tuesday, $14.8 million, or 15% of the total budget, has been spent on
aircraft.
The finance team is at times exposed to hazards
when fire has roared close to their camps. In case they need to flee
quickly, they keep all the files in storage containers near the door. Like
the thousands of firefighters at the Station camp, the finance team sleeps
in tents crowded over the vast lawn of the Santa Fe Dam Recreation Area.
Ants have been a problem lately.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Without trying to throw a wet blanket over Grandma Fork's efforts, she does face
the daunting task of dealing with the systemic problems of accounting,
particularly joint and indirect costs ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudConclusion.htm#BadNews
Systemic Problem:
All Aggregations Are Arbitrary
Systemic Problem:
All Aggregations Combine Different Measurements With Varying
Accuracies
Systemic Problem:
All Aggregations Leave Out Important Components
Systemic Problem:
All Aggregations Ignore Complex & Synergistic Interactions
of Value and Risk
Systemic Problem:
Disaggregating of Value or Cost is Generally Arbitrary
Systemic Problem:
Systems Are Too Fragile
Systemic Problem:
More Rules Do Not Necessarily Make Accounting for
Performance More Transparent
Systemic Problem:
Economies of Scale vs. Consulting Red Herrings in Auditing
Systemic Problem:
Intangibles Are Intractable
Question
What are banks doing creatively to hide their non-performing loans in the 21st
Century?
SUMMARY: Banks
are revising internal accounting policies to mask their
troubles. The maneuvers are legal but could deepen suspicion
about the sector.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This article illustrates how a company can
change its policies and the resulting impact of those
changes on the company's accounting records. Sometimes those
actions violate GAAP, but in the situations presented in the
article, the changes are perfectly legal. The bad part of
these actions is that those changes can present a very
different picture of the banks' financial condition to the
users of the financial statements.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What did these companies change that
resulted in changes to their financial statements?
2. (Advanced) Why are these changes allowed, even
though they cause differences on the financial statements?
3. (Introductory) Do the policy changes result in a
permanent change over time on the financial statements? Why
or why not?
4. (Introductory) What is the regulatory impact of
moving some loans to a new subsidiary? What is the impact on
the financial statements? Why are these different?
5. (Advanced) What are the public relations issues
involved with these kinds of actions? Should the banks be
concerned? Why or why not?
6. (Advanced) What are the ethics of the actions of
the banks in this article? What would be the ethical way to
handle this reporting? If the reporting as stated is
acceptable, should the banks add any additional information
to the notes to the financial statement? If not, why not? If
so, what should be added?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University
Southeast
In January, Astoria Financial Corp. told investors
that its pile of nonperforming loans had grown to about $106 million as of
the end of last year. Three months later, the thrift holding company said
the number was just $68 million.
How did Astoria do it? By changing its internal
policy on when mortgages are classified on its books as troubled. The Lake
Success, N.Y., company now counts home loans as nonperforming when the
borrower misses at least three payments, instead of two.
Astoria says the change was made partly to make its
disclosures on shaky mortgages more consistent with those of other lenders.
An Astoria spokesman didn't respond to requests for comment. But the shift
shows one of the ways lenders increasingly are trying to make their
real-estate misery look not quite so bad.
From lengthening the time it takes to write off
troubled mortgages, to parking lousy loans in subsidiaries that don't count
toward regulatory capital levels, the creative maneuvers are perfectly
legal.
Yet they could deepen suspicion about financial
stocks, already suffering from dismal investor sentiment as loan
delinquencies balloon and capital levels shrivel with no end in sight.
"Spending all the time gaming the system rather
than addressing the problems doesn't reflect well on the institutions," said
David Fanger, chief credit officer in the financial-institutions group at
Moody's Investors Service, a unit of Moody's Corp. "What this really is
about is buying yourself time. ... At the end of the day, the losses are
likely to not be that different."
Still, as long as the environment continues to
worsen for big and small U.S. banks, more of them are likely to explore such
now-you-see-it, now-you-don't strategies to prop up profits and keep antsy
regulators off their backs, bankers and lawyers say.
At Wells Fargo & Co., the fourth-largest U.S. bank
by stock-market value, investors and analysts are jittery about its $83.6
billion portfolio of home-equity loans, which is showing signs of stress as
real-estate values tumble throughout much of the country.
Until recently, the San Francisco bank had written
off home-equity loans -- essentially taking a charge to earnings in
anticipation of borrowers' defaulting -- once borrowers fell 120 days behind
on payments. But on April 1, the bank started waiting for up to 180 days.
'Out of Character'
Some analysts note that the shift will postpone a
potentially bruising wave of losses, thereby boosting Wells Fargo's
second-quarter results when they are reported next month. "It is kind of out
of character for Wells," says Joe Morford, a banking analyst at RBC Capital
Markets. "They tend to use more conservative standards."
Wells Fargo spokeswoman Julia Tunis says the change
was meant to help borrowers. "The extra time helps avoid having loans
charged off when better solutions might be available for our customers," she
says. In a securities filing, Wells Fargo said that the 180-day charge-off
standard is "consistent with" federal regulatory guidelines.
BankAtlantic Bancorp Inc., which is based in Fort
Lauderdale, Fla., earlier this year transferred about $100 million of
troubled commercial-real-estate loans into a new subsidiary.
That essentially erased the loans from
BankAtlantic's retail-banking unit. Since that unit is federally regulated,
BankAtlantic eventually might have faced regulatory action if it didn't
substantially beef up the unit's capital and reserve levels to cover the bad
loans.
Because the BankAtlantic subsidiary that holds the
bad loans isn't regulated, it doesn't face the same capital requirements.
But the new structure won't insulate the parent company's profits -- or
shareholders -- from losses if borrowers default on the loans, analysts
said.
Alan Levan, BankAtlantic's chief executive,
declined to comment on how much the loan transfer bolstered the regulated
unit's capital levels. "The reason for doing it is to separate some of these
problem loans out of the bank so that they can get special focus in an
isolated subsidiary," he said.
Other lenders have been considering the use of
similar "bad-bank" structures as a way to cleanse their balance sheets of
shaky loans. In April, Peter Raskind, chairman and CEO of National City
Corp., said the Cleveland bank "could imagine...several different variations
of good-bank/bad-bank kinds of structures" to help shed problem assets.
Two banks that investors love to hate, Wachovia
Corp. and Washington Mutual Inc., troubled some analysts by using data from
the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight when they announced
first-quarter results. Other lenders rely on a data source that is more
pessimistic about the housing market.
Charter Switch
Another eyebrow raiser: switching bank charters so
that a lender is scrutinized by a different regulator.
Last week, Colonial BancGroup Inc., Montgomery,
Ala., announced that it changed its Colonial Bank unit from a nationally
chartered bank to a state-chartered bank, effective immediately.
That means the regional bank no longer will be
regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which has become
increasingly critical of banks such as Colonial with heavy concentrations of
loans to finance real-estate construction projects.
Instead, Colonial's primary regulators now are the
Alabama Banking Department, also based in Montgomery, and the Federal
Deposit Insurance Corp. The change probably "is meant to distance [Colonial]
from what is perceived as the more aggressive and onerous of the bank
regulators," said Kevin Fitzsimmons, a bank analyst at Sandler O'Neill &
Partners.
Colonial spokeswoman Merrie Tolbert denies that.
Being a state-chartered bank "gives us more flexibility" and will save the
company more than $1 million a year in regulatory fees, she said.
Trabo Reed, Alabama's deputy superintendent of
banking, said his examiners won't give Colonial a free pass. "There's not
going to be a significant amount of difference" between the OCC and state
regulators, he says.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 19, 2006
TITLE: With Special Effects the Star, Hollywood Faces New Reality
REPORTER: Merissa Marr and Kate Kelly
DATE: May 12, 2006
PAGE: A1
LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114739949943750995.html
TOPICS: Accounting, Budgeting, Cost-Volume-Profit Analysis, Managerial
Accounting
SUMMARY: Special effects are driving a lot of movies to become box office
hits. However, "in the area of special effects, technology can't deliver the
kind of efficiencies to Hollywood that it generally provides to other
industries...Amid the excitement, studios are beginning to realize that relying
on special effects is financially risky. Such big budget films tend to be
bonanzas or busts."
QUESTIONS:
1.) The author notes that studios are beginning to realize that films utilizing
a lot of special effects might tend to be "bonanzas or busts." In terms of
costs, why is this the case? In your answer, refer to the high level of costs
associated with special effects work.
2.) Why do special effects teams tend to amass significant costs? In your
answer, define the terms "cost management" and "costs of quality" and explain
how these cost concepts, that are typically associated with product
manufacturing, can be applied to movie production.
3.) Define the term "fixed cost." How does this concept relate to the
financial riskiness of movies with significant special effects and resultant
high cost? Also include in your answer a discussion of the formula for breaking
even under cost-volume-profit analysis.
4.) Define the term "variable cost." Cite some examples of variable costs you
expect are incurred by studios such as Sony Pictures, Universal Pictures, and
others.
5.) Now consider firms such as Industrial Light & Magic, "a company set up by
director George Lucas in 1975 to handle the special effects for his 'Star Wars'
movies." Based on the discussion in the article, describe what you think are
these firms' fixed and variable costs.
6.) What manager do you think is responsible for costs of quality and cost
control in producing movies? Suppose you are filling that role. What steps would
you undertake to ensure that your hoped-for blockbuster film will have the
greatest possible chance of financial success?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Casino Accounting: The All Events Test Versus The Economic
Performance Test
"FASB Hits the Jackpot: Question While casinos are only a small
percentage of U.S. business, an update to an accounting rule on jackpots
brings a welcome degree of uniform practice to accrual accounting," by
Robert Willens, CFO.com, May 10, 2010 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14497136/c_14497565?f=home_todayinfinance
There is apparently a
wide diversity in practice regarding the manner in which a casino operator
accounts for slot-machine and other jackpots. With the issuance of Accounting
Standards Update No. 2010-16, Accounting for Casino Jackpot Liabilities, the
Financial Accounting Standards Board has introduced a welcome degree of
uniformity to this issue.
The ASU provides that
an entity shall accrue a liability, and charge a jackpot, at the time the entity
has the obligation to pay the jackpot. Some slot machines, the ASU notes, may
contain "base" jackpots. An entity may be able to avoid the payment of a base
jackpot, for example, by removing the machine from play. Accordingly, no
liability associated with the base jackpot is recognized in such cases until the
entity has the obligation to pay the base jackpot. This is the case even if the
entity has no plan or intention of removing the machine from play and fully
expects the base jackpot to be won.
Some slot machines
include "progressive" jackpots. Those are machines in which the value of the
jackpot increases with every game played. Entities in many gaming jurisdictions
cannot avoid payment of the portion of the progressive jackpot that is
incremental to the base jackpot. That's because the gaming regulators consider
such incremental portions of prizes to be funded by customers, and therefore are
required to be paid out. In these cases, the incremental portion of the jackpot
should be accrued as a liability at the time of funding (that is, play) by its
customers.
These rules will be
operative with respect to fiscal years (and interim periods within such fiscal
years) beginning on or after December 15, 2010. Moreover, an entity shall apply
this guidance with a "cumulative effect" adjustment recorded in retained
earnings in the period of adoption of such guidance.
Tax Accounting for
Jackpots When does the jackpot liability accrue for tax purposes? This issue was
addressed by the Supreme Court in United States v. Hughes Properties, Inc., 476
US 593 (1986). There, the taxpayer owned and operated slot machines at its
casinos, including a number of progressive machines. A progressive machine pays
a fixed amount when certain symbol combinations appear on its reels. But a
progressive machine has an additional progressive jackpot which is won only when
a different combination of symbols appears. The casino initially sets these
jackpots at a minimal amount. The figure increases, progressively, as money is
gambled on the machine. The amount of the jackpot at any given time is
registered on a "payoff indicator" on the face of the machine.
At the conclusion of
each fiscal year, the taxpayer entered the total of the progressive-jackpot
amounts shown on the payoff indicators as an accrued liability. From that total,
it subtracted the corresponding figure for the preceding year to produce the
current year's increase in accrued liability. On its tax return, the taxpayer
asserted this net figure as a deduction. The Internal Revenue Service disallowed
the deduction. In its view, the taxpayer's obligation to pay a progressive
jackpot "matures" only upon a winning patron's "pull of the handle" in the
future. From the perspective of the IRS, until that event occurs, the taxpayer's
liability is merely contingent. However, both the Claims Court and the Court of
Appeals for the Federal Circuit ruled in favor of the taxpayer. The Supreme
Court sided with the taxpayer as well.
The All-Events Test
The high court noted that an accrual-method taxpayer is entitled to deduct an
expense in the year in which it is incurred. The standard for determining when
an expense is incurred is the so-called all-events test: all the events must
have occurred that establish the fact of the liability, and the amount must be
capable of being determined with "reasonable accuracy." So to satisfy the
all-events test, a liability must be "final and definite" in amount, "fixed and
absolute," and "unconditional."1
The IRS argued that the
taxpayer's liability for the progressive jackpots was not "fixed and certain"
and was not "unconditional or absolute" by the end of the fiscal year, for there
existed no person who could assert any claim over those funds. It took the
position that the indispensable event is the winning of the jackpot by a
gambler.2
The effect of the
Nevada Gaming Commission's regulations3 was to fix the taxpayer's liability. The
regulations forbade reducing the indicated payoff without paying the jackpot.
The taxpayer's liability — that is, its obligation to pay the indicated amount —
was not contingent. That an extremely remote and speculative possibility existed
that the jackpot might never be won does not change the fact that, as a matter
of state law, the taxpayer had a fixed liability for the jackpot that it could
not escape.
The IRS, the court concluded, misstates the need for identification of a winning
player. That is a matter "of no relevance" for the casino operator. The
obligation is there, and whether it turns out that the winner is one patron or
another makes no conceivable difference as to basic liability. In fact, the
court acknowledged that there is always the possibility that a casino may go out
of business with the result that the amount shown on the jackpot
indicators would never be won. However, this potential nonpayment of an incurred
liability exists for every business that uses an accrual method, and it does
not prevent accrual. "The existence of an absolute liability is necessary;
absolute certainty that it will be discharged by payment is not...." 4
The Economic Performance Test
However, under the law that exists today, a liability is not incurred until the
historical all-events test is satisfied and "economic performance" occurs
with respect to the liability. As a result, the all-events test cannot be met
with respect to an item any earlier than the time that economic performance
occurs with respect to the item.5
Accounting techniques like budgeting, sales
projections and financial reporting are supposed to help prevent business
failures by giving managers realistic plans to guide their actions and
feedback on their progress. In other words, they are supposed to leaven
entrepreneurial optimism with green-eye-shaded realism.
At least that's the theory. But when Gavin Cassar,
a Wharton accounting professor, tested this idea, he found something
troubling: Some accounting tools not only fail to help businesspeople, but
may actually lead them astray. In one of his recent studies, forthcoming in
Contemporary Accounting Research, Cassar showed that budgeting didn't help a
group of Australian firms accurately forecast their revenues. In a second
paper,he found that the preparation of financial projections added to
aspiring entrepreneurs' optimism, leading them to overestimate their
subsequent levels of sales and employment.
"It's been shown in many studies that people are
overly optimistic," Cassar says. "What's interesting here is that, when you
use the accounting tools, the optimism is even more extreme. This suggests
that using the tools, which a lot of academics and government agencies say
is good practice, can lead to even bigger mistakes."
He is not suggesting that anyone ignore accounting
activities and techniques. Investors and regulators expect firms to
implement robust accounting systems. And they should, he says, because
financial reports provide a detailed map of a business and its performance.
But Cassar believes that businesspeople -- especially entrepreneurs, who bet
both their reputations and personal wealth on their ventures -- should
understand the limitations of accounting estimates as well as how common
human tendencies, like optimism, can lead to their misinterpretation.
Cassar's first study, titled "Budgets, Financial
Reports and Manager Forecast Accuracy," set out to the test the usefulness
of some basic tools in the accounting kit. It sprang from his work
experience before he attended graduate school, when, as an accountant for a
builder in his native Australia, he watched the company's gradual decline
into bankruptcy. "My first job was as a financial and managerial accountant
for a civil construction firm," he says. "My second, 18 months later, was
working for the [bankruptcy] receiver of that same company."
On review, the firm's accountants had seemed to do
everything right. They had prepared budgets and put systems in place to get
timely performance reports that could then be factored into the company's
future budgets and plans. As two big highway jobs foundered, the losses
showed up promptly in the monthly reports. Even so, company executives
failed to take remedial action. "The project managers said that the losses
would turn around, but they didn't," Cassar says. "On both those jobs, they
went over budgeted costs by 50%. Those two jobs resulted in the demise of
that company."
But it wasn't the accounting systems that were the
problem. It was the users. "No one would take responsibility because the
cost of doing that was losing your job," Cassar says. "The irony is that, in
the end, everyone lost their jobs."
Cassar's study enabled him to assess whether
budgeting and internal reporting have helped other firms more than they did
his former employer. He examined a group of about 4,000 companies, all with
less than 200 employees, surveyed by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Managers of these firms were asked whether they prepared budgets and
internal reports and also were asked to provide revenue forecasts and in
future years were asked to provide subsequent performance. The agency
followed the firms over four years. Thus its data showed how close they came
to meeting their forecasts.
Cassar suspected that doing either budgets or
internal reports -- or, better yet, both -- might improve a company's
forecasts. "The presence in a firm of a budget preparation activity should
result in improved forecast accuracy because the systematic collection of a
broad range of information should allow for a more accurate assessment of
future performance," write Cassar and his co-author, Brian Gibson, an
accounting professor at Australia's University of New England. "However,
budgeting in itself may not improve forecasting accuracy, because budgeting
without internal reporting is a meaningless formal control system."
When Cassar and Gibson crunched the numbers, their
prediction was borne out: The impact of budgeting alone was trivial,
improving forecast accuracy by less than 2%. But internal reporting made a
real difference, improving accuracy by about 8.5%. And used together, the
two techniques improved forecast accuracy even more, by about 12%.
"Collectively these results suggest that internal accounting report
preparation improves forecast accuracy. In addition, although the accuracy
benefits from budget preparation appear limited, the improvement is greater
when both budget preparation and internal account reporting are used,"
Cassar and Gibson write.
What's more, the firms that saw the most
improvement in their forecasts were ones that operated in the most uncertain
environments, as measured by the variability of revenue. Arguably, these
firms most needed the guidance.
Cassar's second study, titled "Are Individuals
Entering Self-Employment Overly-Optimistic? An Empirical Test of Plans and
Projections on Nascent Entrepreneur Expectations," built on the findings of
his first one. Here, he wasn't interested in whether accounting tools merely
helped entrepreneurs; he wanted to know whether they could distort their
thinking.
His curiosity grew partly from his knowledge of the
field of behavioral economics, which marries the insights and methods of
psychology and economics. Behavioralists have documented a number of mental
shortcuts and biases that can lead people to depart from the logic that
traditional economic orthodoxy would suggest. One of the concepts, for
example, introduced by Nobel Laureate Daniel Kahneman and co-author Dan
Lovallo, is that "an inside view" can distort decision making. A person who
adopts an inside view becomes so focused on formulating his particular plan
that he neglects to consider critical outside information, like other
people's experiences in pursuing the same goal.
"Individuals form an inside view forecast by
focusing on the specifics of the case, the details of the plan that exists
and obstacles to its completion, and by constructing scenarios of future
progress," Cassar summarizes. "In contrast, an outside view is statistical
and comparative in nature and does not involve any attempt to divine the
future at any level of detail."
Doing financial projections for an entrepreneurial
venture, Cassar realized, entails the creation of an inside view. The
entrepreneur builds a storyline of success in her head and then plays it out
in her spreadsheet, showing rising sales year after year. "Humans are good
at storytelling and building causal links," Cassar notes. "They think, 'I'll
go to college, I'll write a business plan, I'll raise some capital and then
I'll go public or sell out to a big competitor.' There's a probability
attached to each of these steps, but they don't think about that. They put
all the links together and evaluate the likelihood of success at a much
higher probability than is realistic."
Consider the approximately 400 aspiring U.S.
entrepreneurs whom Cassar studied. On average, they believed that their
ideas had about an 80% likelihood of becoming viable ventures, though only
half actually ended up becoming businesses. Of the entrepreneurs who
realized their plans, about 62% overestimated their first-year sales, and
about 46% overestimated what their employment would be at the end of year
one. Employment, unlike sales, implies both costs and benefits, perhaps
explaining the lower jobs figure, Cassar notes. As a company grows it needs
more employees, but it also has to pay them.
So far, none of this seems radical. Yes,
entrepreneurs are optimistic. They have to be if they are undertaking the
risks of starting a business. But when Cassar started to sort through the
entrepreneurs' use of common accounting and planning techniques, he
uncovered surprises.
People who did financial projections were the most
likely to overestimate the future sales of their ventures. In other words,
"the same management activities that entrepreneurs rely on to cope with
uncertainty appear to be causing individuals to hold optimistic
expectations," he writes. Interestingly, writing a business plan also led to
optimism about the likelihood of success, but it didn't lead to overly
optimistic expectations because it's also "positively associated with the
likelihood that the nascent activity will become an operating venture," he
adds. Put another way, people who write plans are more likely to start
companies, thereby justifying their optimism.
One group turned out to be more realistic than the
others -- entrepreneurs who had received money from real sales. "This
demonstrates the benefit of actually making sales in improving the
rationality of financial sales expectations," Cassar notes.
Despite his findings, Cassar doesn't believe that
aspiring entrepreneurs should abandon financial projections. For one thing,
investors, particularly venture capitalists, wouldn't allow that; they
expect firms in which they invest to do projections, if only because it
demonstrates a command of the basics of budgets and accounting. For another,
Cassar believes that preparing projections helps entrepreneurs understand
the drivers of profitability in their businesses and the dynamics of their
industries.
But he says that entrepreneurs need to understand
the ways in which accounting tools may subvert their thinking.
"Acknowledging how management practices bias expectations may allow decision
makers to use organizational or decision making controls to reduce this
influence," he writes. "For example, generating reasons why the planned
outcome may not be achieved or consciously relating past experiences to the
forecasting task at hand are approaches individuals can take to reduce
overly optimistic or overconfident forecasts."
Cassar hasn't studied them, but he suspects that
venture capitalists might be better than entrepreneurs at viewing financial
projections with the appropriate skepticism. Because they see hundreds, even
thousands, of business plans a year, they tend to take an outside view.
"Very good VCs are good at picking winners because
they know what the risks are," he says. "A lot of VCs, when they go through
business plans, think, 'What are the drivers of value creation and what's
the scope of their upsides? And what are the fundamental threats that the
entrepreneur isn't focusing on because it's not in his interest to do so?'"
Based on his own experience, Cassar sees "many
benefits from managers and entrepreneurs using accounting techniques."
However, he adds, "it is important to recognize that financial projections
of success are merely projections based on beliefs, which are sometimes
based on overconfident or optimistic assumptions. Using these accounting
tools may actually exacerbate, rather than dampen, these tendencies."
Last week The Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB) issued FASB Statement No. 163, Accounting for Financial Guarantee
Insurance Contracts. The new standard clarifies how FASB Statement No. 60,
Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises, applies to financial
guarantee insurance contracts issued by insurance enterprises, including the
recognition and measurement of premium revenue and claim liabilities. It
also requires expanded disclosures about financial guarantee insurance
contracts. The Statement is effective for financial statements issued for
fiscal years beginning after December 15, 2008, and all interim periods
within those fiscal years, except for disclosures about the insurance
enterprise's risk-management activities. Disclosures about the insurance
enterprise's risk-management activities are effective the first period
beginning after issuance of the Statement. "By issuing Statement 163, the
FASB has taken a major step toward ending inconsistencies in practice that
have made it difficult for investors to receive comparable information about
an insurance enterprise's claim liabilities," stated FASB Project Manager
Mark Trench. "Its issuance is particularly timely in light of recent
concerns about the financial health of financial guarantee insurers, and
will help bring about much needed transparency and comparability to
financial statements."
The accounting and disclosure requirements of
Statement 163 are intended to improve the comparability and quality of
information provided to users of financial statements by creating
consistency, for example, in the measurement and recognition of claim
liabilities. Statement 163 requires that an insurance enterprise recognize a
claim liability prior to an event of default (insured event) when there is
evidence that credit deterioration has occurred in an insured financial
obligation. It also requires disclosure about (a) the risk-management
activities used by an insurance enterprise to evaluate credit deterioration
in its insured financial obligations and (b) the insurance enterprise's
surveillance or watch list.
Questions
Is there a problem with how GAAP covers one's Fannie?
Would fair value accounting help in this situation?
Fannie Mae executives on
Friday defended a change in the way the mortgage lender discloses losses on
home loans amid concern from analysts that it could mask the true impact of
the credit crisis on its bottom line.
The chief financial officer and other executives of
the government-sponsored company, which reported a $1.4 billion
third-quarter loss last week, held a conference call with Wall Street
analysts to explain the recent change.
Analysts peppered the executives with questions in
a skeptical tone. The way Fannie discloses its mortgage losses, addressed in
an article published online by Fortune, raises extra concern among analysts
given that Fannie Mae was racked by a $6.3 billion accounting scandal in
2004 that tarnished its reputation and brought government sanctions against
it.
Moreover, the skepticism from Wall Street comes as
Fannie seeks approval from the government to raise the cap of its investment
portfolio.
The chief financial officer, Stephen Swad, said in
the call that some of the $670 million in provisions for credit losses on
soured home loans that Fannie Mae wrote off in the third quarter likely
would be recovered.
"We book what we book under (generally accepted
accounting principles) and we provide this disclosure to help you understand
it," Swad said.
Shares of Fannie Mae fell $4.30, or 10 percent, to
$38.74 on Friday, following a 10 percent drop the day before.
Bob Jensen's threads on Fannie Mae's enormous problem
(the largest in history that led to the firing of KPMG from the audit and a
multiple-year effort to restate financial statemetns) with applying FAS 133 ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/caseans/000index.htm#FannieMae
SUMMARY: Honda
Motor. Co. "...obtained the world's first certification for
fuel-cell cars in the U.S. in 2002." Its president, Takeo Fukui,
"...said prices have to fall further for fuel-cell cars to reach
the mass market, even as the Japanese car maker unveiled the
latest generation of fuel-cell vehicle."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Management accounting and MBA course
instructors may use this article to discuss the impact of fixed
costs on pricing and product development. Most interestingly,
this article identifies interrelationships between lines of two
industries--automobile manufacturing and fueling stations--that
can be used to discuss strategic investments.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the difference between a
fuel-cell automobile and hybrid automobiles?
2. (Introductory) Why is Honda developing these
fuel-cell vehicles if it can't yet mass-market them? What
factors are limiting the ability to mass market the vehicles?
3. (Advanced) Why are fixed production costs higher if
a car maker cannot mass produce the vehicle? In your answer,
define the terms "fixed costs" and "barriers to entry".
4. (Introductory) What variable production costs,
identified in the article, are at issue in this case? What
strategies can be undertaken to reduce those costs?
5. (Advanced) Suppose you are Honda's president. What
strategic choices in investment would you make to advance this
line of Honda's business?
6. (Advanced) Refer to your answer to question 4. What
types of investments might you make? How might a financing
entity be used to help make those strategic investments?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
TOCHIGI, Japan -- Honda Motor Co. President Takeo
Fukui said prices have to fall further for fuel-cell cars to reach the mass
market, even as the Japanese car maker unveiled the latest generation of
fuel-cell vehicle.
Fuel-cell cars are considered the most promising
pollution-free vehicles, as they are powered through a chemical reaction
between hydrogen and oxygen, and emit only water as a byproduct.
But low-emission cars such as gasoline-electric
hybrids and diesel vehicles are more popular now. A lack of hydrogen service
stations, among other factors, is limiting demand for the cars, and
therefore car makers can't mass produce them, keeping production costs high.
Honda said Monday that it will begin leasing the
third generation of a fuel-cell model called FCX Clarity in the U.S. in
July. The company plans to lease the new zero-emission car in Japan this
autumn.
Mr. Fukui said the new fuel-cell car costs tens of
millions of yen, significantly less than the several hundred million yen it
cost to make previous models. The price would need to fall to below 10
million yen, or about $92,000, for fuel-cell cars to be a mass-market
product, he said.
"I think it wouldn't take 10 years" for his company
to slash the price of its fuel-cell car to this level, he said.
To cut the price, the company especially needs to
reduce the use of expensive precious metals and address the costliness of
the hydrogen fuel tank, he said.
Honda, Japan's second-biggest car maker by sales
volume, aims for combined lease sales of 200 vehicles of the latest
fuel-cell model for the U.S. and Japan within three years. The lease fee is
$600 a month in the U.S. The company hasn't disclosed the fee in Japan.
Honda, which obtained the world's first
certification for fuel-cell cars in the U.S. in 2002, is a leading maker of
such vehicles and has been competing in the development of the advanced car
with rivals such as Toyota Motor Corp. and General Motors Corp.
Question
When should warranty expenses be deducted all at once in a big bath rather than
deferred like bad debt expenses in an Allowance for Future Warranty Expenses
contra account?
First Consider Some Problems of Estimation
Speech by SEC Staff: Critical Accounting and Critical Disclosures
by Robert K. Herdman
Chief Accountant U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
Speech Presented to the Financial Executives International —
San Diego Chapter, Annual SEC Update
San Diego, California January 24, 2002
http://www.sec.gov/news/speech/spch537.htm
Product Warranty Example For balance, let me go
through an example of a manufacturer's warranty reserve. Consider a company
that manufactures and sells or leases equipment through a network of
dealerships. The equipment carries a warranty against manufacturer defects
for a specified period and amount of use. Provisions for estimated product
warranty expenses are made at the time of sale.
Significant estimates and assumptions are required
in determining the amount of warranty losses to initially accrue, and how
that amount should be subsequently adjusted. The manufacturer may have a
great deal of actual historical experience upon which to rely for existing
products, and that experience can provide a basis to build its estimate of
potential warranty claims for new models or products.
Necessarily, management must make certain
assumptions to adjust the historical experience to reflect the specific
uncertainties associated with the new model or product. These assumptions
about the expected warranty costs can have a significant impact on current
and future operating results and financial position.
In this example, investors may benefit from a clear
description of such items as the nature of the costs that are included in or
excluded from the liability measurement, how the estimation process differs
for new models/product lines versus existing or established models and
products, and the company's policies for continuously monitoring the
warranty liability to determine its adequacy.
In terms of sensitivity, investors would benefit
from understanding what types of historical events led to differences
between estimated and actual warranty claims or that resulted in a
significant revisions to the accrual. For example, an investor could benefit
from understanding if a new material or technique had recently been
introduced into the manufacturing of the equipment and historically such
changes have resulted in deviations of actual results from those previously
expected. Similarly, if warranty claims tend to exceed estimates, say, if
actual temperatures are higher or lower than assumed, that fact may also be
relevant to investors.
Obviously these examples don't address all of the
possible scenarios. While each company will have differing critical
accounting policies, the key points for everyone are to identify for
investors the 1) types of assumptions that underlie the most significant and
subjective estimates; 2) sensitivity of those estimates to deviations of
actual results from management's assumptions; and 3) circumstances that have
resulted in revised assumptions in the past. There is a great deal of
flexibility in providing this information and some may choose to disclose
ranges of possible outcomes.
Continued in article
Now Roll Ahead to Microsoft's Big Problem With Warranties in Year 2007
Microsoft's Billion Dollar Attempted Fix
Why isn't the need for this surprising from a company that almost always
releases products in need of fixing before they're out of the box?
In the face of staggering customer returns of the
Xbox 360 console, the software maker announces a charge of at least $1.05
billion to address the problem In the quest for supremacy in next-generation
gaming consoles, Microsoft (MSFT) had a big advantage by releasing the Xbox 360
a full year ahead of competing devices from Sony (SNE) and Nintendo (NTDOY). But
hardware failures on the device are forcing Microsoft to cede some of its
hard-won ground.
Cliff Edwards, "Microsoft's Billion-Dollar Fix," Business Week, July 6,
2007 ---
Click Here
Also see
http://www.technologyreview.com/Wire/19021/
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on July 13, 2007
SUMMARY: Microsoft Corp. said it will take a $1.05 billion to $1.15 billion
pretax charge to cover defects related to its Xbox 360 game console. Microsoft
executives declined to discuss the technical problems in detail, but a person
familiar with the matter said the problem related to too much heat being
generated by the components inside the Xbox 360s. An analyst in the
consumer-electronics industry, Richard Doherty, says the magnitude of the charge
Microsoft is taking, which represents nearly $100 for every Xbox 360 shipped to
retailers so far indicates Microsoft is concerned about widespread failures or
that the company is being extremely conservative in taking this estimated
charge. The charge will be taken in the quarter ended June 30, Microsoft's
fiscal year end.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Describe the accounting for warranty expenses. In general, why must
companies report warranty expenses ahead of the time in which defective units
are submitted for repair?
2.) Why must Microsoft record this charge of over $1 billion entirely in one
quarter, the last quarter of the company's fiscal year ended June 30, 2007?
Support your answer with references to authoritative literature.
3.) How are analysts using the disclosures about the warranty charge to
assess Microsoft's expectations for the repairs that will be required and for
the general success of this line of business at Microsoft?
4.) Consider the analyst Richard Doherty's statement that either a high
number of Xbox 360s will fail or the company is being overly conservative in its
warranty estimate. What will happen in the accounting for warranty expense if
the estimate of future repairs is overly conservative?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Misleading Financial Statements:
Bankers Refusing to Recognize and Shed "Zombie Loans" One worrying lesson for bankers and regulators
everywhere to bear in mind is post-bubble Japan. In the 1990s its leading
bankers not only hung onto their jobs; they also refused to recognise and shed
bad debts, in effect keeping “zombie” loans on their books. That is one reason
why the country's economy stagnated for so long. The quicker bankers are to
recognise their losses, to sell assets that they are hoarding in the vain hope
that prices will recover, and to make markets in such assets for their clients,
the quicker the banking system will get back on its feet. The Economist, as quoted in Jim Mahar's blog on November 10, 2007 ---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/
After the Collapse of Loan Markets Banks
are Belatedly Taking Enormous Write Downs BTW one of the important stories that are coming out is
the fact that this is affecting all tranches of the debt as even AAA rated debt
is being marked down (which is why the rating agencies are concerned). The
San Antonio Express News reminds us that conflicts of interest exist here
too.
Jime Mahar, November 10, 2007 ---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/
Jensen Comment
The FASB and the IASB are moving ever closer to fair value accounting for
financial instruments. FAS 159 made it an option in FAS 159. One of the main
reasons it's not required is the tremendous lobbying effort of the banking
industry. Although many excuses are given resisting fair value accounting for
financial instruments, I suspect that the main underlying reasons are those
"Zombie" loans that are overvalued at historical costs on current financial
statements.
Daniel Covitz and Paul Harrison of the
Federal Reserve Board found no evidence of credit agency conflicts of interest
problems of credit agencies, but thier study is dated in 2003 and may not apply
to the recent credit bubble and burst ---
http://www.federalreserve.gov/Pubs/feds/2003/200368/200368pap.pdf
SUMMARY: The article discusses a research study relating the extent of
accrual accounting estimates to subsequent firm performance and incidence of
shareholder litigation. The study was conducted by Criterion Research Group,
LLC, and the article notes that the research is of interest to insurers that
offer directors and officers policies.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Summarize the research study described in the article. Who performed the
research? What can you understand about the relationships examined in the
project? What was the motivation for the research?
2.) Define the term accrual accounting. Is it accurately compared to cash
basis accounting by the description given in the article? Why must accrual
accounting always involve estimates?
3.) What is the overall impression of accrual accounting that is created in
the article? In your answer, comment on the statement, "Accrual accounting
is common and kosher."
4.) Describe weaknesses of cash basis accounting as compared to the issues
with accrual basis accounting that are presented in the article. Which basis do
you think better presents information that is useful to financial statement
readers? Support your answer; you may cite relevant accounting literature to do
so.
5.) What basis of accounting is being described using the computer network
example in the article? What accounting standards prescribe this treatment? Name
at least one other industry besides computer software sales in which this
accounting treatment is required.
6.) Refer again to question #5 and your answer. What alternative method must
be used in this area if accrual accounting were to be avoided entirely? What are
the disadvantages of this approach?
7.) Why do you think some companies must record more extensive accruals and
estimates than other companies must? Do these factors themselves lead to greater
likelihood of shareholder litigation as is found in the article?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
Firms Booking Aggressively Are More Likely to Be Sued By Shareholders, Study
Says
Book now. Pay later.
Pay the lawyers, maybe. A study to be
released today suggests that companies that are most aggressive when booking
noncash earnings are four times as likely to be sued by shareholders as
less-aggressive peers.
At issue is so-called accrual
accounting, in which companies book revenue when they earn it and expenses
when they incur them rather than when they actually receive the cash or pay
out the expenses. Accrual accounting is common and kosher. Problems arise,
however, when companies miscalculate how much revenue they've really earned in
a given period or how much in related expenses it cost to get that money.
For example, say Company A agrees to
build a computer network for Company B over four years for $4 million, a job
that Company A estimates it'll have to spend $1 million to complete. Company A
works hard and estimates it ended up building half the computer network in the
first year on the job, so it books $2 million of revenue that year. By
accounting rules, it must accrue related costs in the same proportion as
revenues, so it also books $500,000 of expenses in the same first year. But
say it then turns out that Company A's costs to finish the network actually
run to $2 million. Company A has to address that by booking $1.5 million of
expenses in future years. In other words, Company A would end up increasing
earnings in the first year, but at a cost to future earnings.
Getting the numbers wrong isn't a
violation of generally accepted accounting principles (though intentionally
misestimating is). But companies have a lot of leeway, and those that make the
most aggressive assumptions when booking what the green-visor guys call
accruals can end up creating a misleading picture of their financial health in
any given year. When skeptics refer to a company's "revenue recognition
problems," this is often what they're talking about.
The new study, based on six years of
data, was conducted by Criterion Research Group LLC, an independent research
firm in New York that caters primarily to institutional investors. It shows
that companies that fall into what Criterion calls the highest accrual
category are more likely to end up getting sued by shareholders.
The study builds on earlier research by
Criterion that showed companies that use more accruals underperform companies
with fewer accruals. In that report, Criterion screened 3,500 nonfinancial
companies over 40 years and found that those using the most accruals had
poorer forward earnings and stock returns and also had more earnings
restatements and Securities and Exchange Commission enforcement actions.
None of this is to say that companies
that end up in shareholder litigation set out to mislead shareholders. Rather,
says Criterion Chairman Neil Baron, these companies simply run a higher risk
of making mistakes with their books.
"Accruals are estimates," Mr.
Baron says. "If you're a company and a much higher percentage of your
earnings come from accruals or estimates, it's much more likely that you're
going to be wrong more often."
Criterion screened companies involved
in class-action suits from 1996 to 2003 for its new study. In each case it
looked at a company's earnings for the year of the class start date, which is
the year in which the alleged misbehavior began. Criterion then assigned these
companies into one of 10 ranks, with those in the 10th group using the most
accruals and those in 1st using the fewest. There were four times as many
shareholder class-action suits among 10th group companies as there were among
1st group firms.
A number of companies in the two
highest accrual categories recently settled shareholder class actions related
to accounting issues, including Rite
Aid Corp., Waste
Management Inc., MicroStrategy Inc. and Gateway
Inc. Other companies still involved in ongoing shareholder class actions
involving accounting issues also turned up in the aggressive-accruals group.
Companies currently in Criterion's
highest-accrual category include Chiron
Corp., eBay
Inc., General
Motors Corp., Halliburton
Co. and Yahoo
Inc. -- none of which now face shareholder suits related to accounting --
among others.
EBay spokesman Hani Durzy says he
doesn't think his company belongs in the high-accruals gang, noting that the
company's profit-and-loss statement "closely mirrors our cash flow."
He adds: "We are essentially a cash business."
A GM spokesman says, "All of GM's
accounting policies and procedures are in full compliance with U.S. GAAP and
are reviewed by our outside auditor and the audit committee, and we have, to
the best of our knowledge, never had to restate earnings because of an
accounting issue."
An e-mail from Halliburton's
public-relations office notes that Halliburton follows GAAP and adds that
accruals "are universally required by GAAP."
Representatives from Chiron and Yahoo
said the companies had no comment.
A Criterion analyst pointed out that
accruals don't necessarily relate to everyday operations. For example, a
company estimating and booking tax benefits from employee stock options is
also using accruals. Estimates related to pension accounting are also
accruals.
Mr. Baron stresses that the vast
majority of companies that book a lot of accruals are unlikely to face
shareholder suits, restatements or SEC actions. Many may even outperform
low-accrual companies. But he says investors should be "more
scrutinizing" of financial statements from companies that make liberal
use of accruals, because, statistically, they are most likely to run into
these problems.
Sophisticated investors, such as fund
managers, might reckon they can spot bookkeeping alarms before the broad
investing public and get out of a stock before the lawyers start filing
briefs. But it's possible that companies with a lot of accruals can suffer
even without litigation: Mr. Baron says his firm has been contacted by
insurers that offer directors and officers policies, which large companies buy
to protect executives and directors against lawsuits. The insurers are asking
about Criterion's research as they weigh whether to charge D&O customers
higher premiums, he says.
SUMMARY: "Millions of people who can't afford to put down 10% or 20%
of a home's price are required by their mortgage lenders to buy policies from
mortgage insurers, which, by agreeing to shoulder some risk of missed loan
payments, can lower the buyer's down payment to as little as 3%."
However, as a result of a "quirk" in establishing Statement of
Financial Accounting Standards No. 60, "Accounting and Reporting by
Insurance Enterprises" in 1982, the FASB allowed an exclusion for
mortgage insurers from requirements to reserve for future losses. This
exclusion may lead to to delayed reporting of costs associated with the
mortgage lending and of exacerbation of losses if default rates increase due
to the type of borrowers taking advantage of this insurance in the hot real
estate market.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is the purpose of mortgage insurance for a home buyer?
2.) How do mortgage insurance providers, and insurance providers in
general, earn profits on their activities? How are insurance rates determined?
In general what costs are deducted against revenues determined from those
insurance rates?
3.) Access Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 60,
"Accounting and Reporting by Insurance Enterprises," via the FASB's
web site, located at http://www.fasb.org/pdf/fas60.pdf From the discussion in
the summary of the standard, state the general accounting requirements
contained in this statement.
4.) Based on the discussion in the article, what is the exemption allowed
for mortgage insurers from Statement No. 60's requirements? What is the
reasoning for that exemption? What is your opinion about this reason?
5.) Refer again to the FASB Statement No. 60 on the FASB's web site. Locate
the exemption described in question 4 and give its citation.
6.) Given this accounting requirement exemption, what are the concerns with
measuring profit in the mortgage insurance industry in general (regardless of
the issues with the current real estate market)? What is the technique used to
handle that issue in financial reports? In your answer, specifically refer to,
and define, the matching concept in accounting.
7.) How does the potential caliber of the real estate buyers using mortgage
insurance exacerbate the concerns raised in question 6?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
How would you answer this question from a student:
"I wonder if a company's Web site is considered a long-lived asset!"
Ganesh M. Pandit
Adelphi University
August 9, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Ganesh,
Accounting for Website investment is a classic
example of the issue of "matching" versus "value" accounting. From an income
statement perspective, matching requires the matching of current revenues
with the expenses of generating that revenue, including the "using up" of
fixed asset investments. But we don't depreciate investment in the site
value of land because land site value, unlike a building, is not used up due
to usage in generating revenue. Like land site value, a Website's "value"
probably increases in value over time. One might argue that a Website should
not be expensed since a successful Website, like land, is not used up when
generating revenue. However, Websites do require maintenance fees and
improvement outlays over time which makes it somewhat different than the
site investment in land that requires no such added outlays other than
property taxes that are expensed each year.
It seems to me that you can partition your Website
development and improvement outlays into various types of assets and
expenses. For example, computers used in development and maintenance of the
Website are accounted for like other computers. Software is accounted for
under software amortization accounting rules. Purchased goodwill is
accounted for like purchased goodwill under new impairment test rules. Labor
costs for Website maintenance versus improvements are more problematic.
Leased Website items are treated like leases,
although there are some complications if a Website is leased entirely. For
example, such a leased Website is not "used up" like airplanes that are
typically contracted as operating leases. Leased Website space may be
appropriately accounted for as an operating lease. But leasing an entire
Website is more like the capital lease of a land in that the asset does not
get "used up." My hunch is that most firms ignore this controversy and treat
Website leases as operating leases. It is pretty easy to bury custom
development costs into the "rental fee" for leased Website server space,
thereby burying the development costs and deferring them over the contracted
server space rental period. It would seem to me that rental fees for
Websites that are strictly used for advertising are written off as
advertising expenses. Of course many Websites are used for much more than
advertising.
Firms are taking rather rapid write-offs of
purchased Websites such as write-offs over three years. I'm not certain I
agree with this, but firms are "depreciating" these for tax purposes and you
can see them in filed SEC financial statements such as the one at Briton
International (under the Depreciation heading) ---
http://sec.edgar-online.com/2006/01/27/0001127855-06-000047/Section27.asp
It is more common in annual reports to see the term
Website Amortization instead of Website Depreciation. A few sites amortize
on the basis of Website traffic ---
http://www.nexusenergy.com/presentation6.aspx This makes no
sense to me since traffic does not use up a Website over time.
"Assessing the Allowance for Doubtful Accounts: Using historical data to
evaluate the estimation process," by Mark E. Riley and William R. Pasewark,
The Journal of Accountancy, September 2009 ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Issues/2009/Sep/20091539.htm
Jensen Comment
The biggest problem with estimating from historical data is identification of
shocks to the system that create non-stationarities that make extrapolation from
the past hazardous.
Messaging Between Malcom McLelland and Bob Jensen About Bad Debt
Estimation
-----Original Message-----
From: AECM, Accounting Education using Computers and Multimedia [mailto:AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU]
On Behalf Of Mc Lelland, Malcolm J
Sent: Sunday, August 23, 2009 11:35 PM
To: AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU
Subject: Re: Insurers Biggest Write downs May Be Yet to Come
Hi again Bob,
It is interesting to note that, once we begin to
get into any real depth (when discussing things like FAS 5), it seems to
become necessary to start talking about accountics. One gets the idea
accountics is useful in both understanding accounting and applying the
understanding in the real world.
Let's begin with bad debt estimation in large
companies like Sears or JC Penney that have their own charge cards. In
most instances your concern over >whether mean, median, or mode is used
is irrelevant because each risk pool assumes a uniform probability
distribution where mean, median, and mode >are identical numbers. The
typical first step in bad debt estimation is to partition outstanding
accounts into overdue classes of time. Then these are >sub-partitioned
as to overdue account balances. It is possible to further subdivide on
the basis of information in each customer's credit application form
>(residence location, age, income, marital status, credit score, etc.)
but I don't think this is common across all companies. A lot of that
information is >subject to change such as change in marital status.
Ok, but what does it mean to say "each risk pool
assumes a uniform probability distribution where mean, median, and mode
are identical numbers"? Also who does the assuming, and how do they
know the assumption is correct if we *know* such distributions are
non-stationary?
Let me try to make this concrete using
accountics. I'll represent receivables as A = A1 + A2 + ... + An, and
estimated uncollectibles as U = U1 + U2 + ... + Un, for n different
customer receivable accounts (so, total net AR = A - U). For each
account i, Ui = Li*Ai where Li is the proportion of the receivable
account estimated to be uncollectible. Now, Li is an accounting random
variable with an unknown probability distribution.
Is it appropriate to assume that Li (for any i =
1, 2, ..., n) is uniformly distributed? Assume with loss of further
generality that Li has only five potential outcomes; 0, .25, .5, .75,
1. Representing probabilities with p(.), the mean of the Li can be
written as ...
Notice: If one thinks about it, any loss
proportion between 0 and 1 is possible, so *if Li is uniformly
distributed, then the mean loss proportion is (always) .50*. This
suggests, at least to me, that the accounting random variable
"(allowance for) uncollectible accounts receivable" cannot be uniformly
distributed.
If not uniformly distributed, how is this
accounting random variable distributed and how would an accountant know?
I'll spare the argument for the time being, but
I can similarly show in a clear way that uncollectible receivables are
*positively*-skewed random variables. I can think of economic
conditions (like those we're in at present) where uncollectible
receivables are fairly highly positively-skewed, in which case mean,
median, and mode are all different; perhaps substantially different.
So ... I ask again: Under FAS 5, what is the
accountant's estimation objective; mean, median, mode, or some other
quantile? Should such an accounting standard specify the estimation
objective, or simply leave it to accountants' (ad hoc) judgments?
"Assessing the Allowance for Doubtful Accounts:
Using historical data to evaluate the estimation process," by Mark E.
Riley and William R. Pasewark, The Journal of Accountancy, September 2009
---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Issues/2009/Sep/20091539.htm
Jensen Comment
The biggest problem with estimating from historical data is identification
of shocks to the system that create non-stationarities that make
extrapolation from the past hazardous.
Now consider
receivables Pool D for accounts outstanding 31-60 days overdue and balances
due between $501-$1000. We assume that the bad debt probability distribution
in Pool D is a uniform probability distribution. We then look at the recent
history of Pool D and conclude that on average 10% of the total outstanding
balance in Pool D is ultimately written off as bad debt. For next month,
September 2009, the total balance due in Pool D is $64 million. We then
estimate that $6.4 million of Pool D accounts will ultimately be declared
bad debts.
In Pool D with n outstanding accounts, we assume
that each account has a 1/n probability of going bad in a uniform
distribution. We've assumed each account is a random variable with D dollars
outstanding. There is error in assuming that each account has D dollars, but
Kurtosis error decreases if we more finely partition Pool D into finer
partitions than $501-$1000, such as Pools D1, D2, D3, etc. We've also
assumed each customer's probability of becoming a bad debt is independent of
every other customer, which is probably a source of minor error in large
pools. But David Li's formula controversy hangs over our heads ---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/2009/03/recipe-for-disaster-formula-that-killed.html
Now if you really want to take out more of the error
in this bad debt estimation process of over a million companies, then be my
guest. I suggest that you persuade a large company to examine an actual pool
of aged accounts over a several years. Then you devise whatever means you
like (look at some of the previous Bayesian models for bad debt estimation
and the body of literature for alternative models of bad debt estimation). I
don't really think I can greatly improve upon what companies use in
practice.
"An Intuitive Explanation of Bayes': Theorem: Bayes' Theorem for the
curious and bewildered; an excruciatingly gentle introduction," by
Eliezer S., Yudkowsky, August 2009 ---
http://yudkowsky.net/rational/bayes
The reason companies are advised to know their
customers either personally (if possible) or in general (if there are many,
many customers) is that the more they know about their customers the more
they can adapt their bad debt estimation systems to non-stationarities
caused by such things as economic downturn (my WT Grant illustration I gave
you previously), regional problems (Hurricane Katrina), pending legislation
(Cap and Prayed carbon emissions), etc.
I don't think I have much more to add to this thread
other than if you feel strongly about your contentions then this provides a
great opportunity for you to conduct research and write up your own
findings. I eagerly look forward to the benefits and costs of what you
discover.
Once again, I cannot stress enough that you start
with all the basic theory monographs of Yuji Ijiri that are listed at
http://aaahq.org/market/display.cfm?catID=5
Especially note Studies 10 and 18. Unfortunately Study 10 is no longer
listed because it is out of print. It is available, however, in hundreds of
libraries. The title is "Theories of Accounting Measurement" as published by
the American Accounting Association as SAR #10 in 1975. This is the book
Yuji dedicated to his lovely wife Tomo.
Although I admire the creative thinking of my old
mentor, Yuji left much room for more research. My fantasy would be to come
back to Yuji’s research base, but I fear my concerns for engineering
practicality of accountancy corrupted the purity of my creative thinking.
At the same time I fear that we no longer have
accounting theorists of Yuji's caliber, albeit impractical as they might be.
Tom Selling is trying to become one, and I encourage him to truly live out
his fantasies. Seriously Tom Selling --- forget cynics like me and go for
it!
Thanks Malcomb
I enjoyed this thread, but I fear I’ve reached the limit to what I can
contribute.
In today’s business world,
accounting is defined as not only a tool for measuring financial
figures, but also a foolproof system that can measure and manage the value. This
has forced the companies to re-think on their internal processes so that the
process also meets the value definition of the customer. Lean
accounting can be the answer to all the expectations raised. It is
a principle-based operating system which can be expressed in terms of customer
value, value stream, flow and pull with minimum interruption, pursuit of
perfection, and empowered people. It is a systematic approach to eliminate waste
like overproduction, waiting, transportation, inventory, over-processing, etc.
through continuous improvement. The current cost
accounting system earns profit by full utilization of resources,
and is associated with large inventory, long lead time and poor delivery, while
lean system earns profit through ‘maximized flow’ on pull from customers and
elimination of waste, resulting in superior customer value, good quality, good
delivery and shorter lead time. This paper tries to explore the conceptual
issues of lean
accounting, i.e., its meaning, definition, evolution, need, and
also presents a comparison between lean
accounting and traditional
accounting which helps the readers to understand the term lean
accounting clearly.
This article provides a citation analysis for the
Journal of Management Accounting Research (JMAR) between 1989 and 2013.
During this study, citations to articles in JMAR were collected and used to
rank articles and authors. Citations collected were used to identify
individuals, articles, and methodologies that contributed the most towards
establishing JMAR as a premier accounting journal. Rankings were based on
(scaled and unscaled) citation count and citation rate. This article also
provides information on methodological trends in JMAR and highlights both
encouraging and cautionary insights for the future of JMAR.
Jensen Comment
Since fraud is also monumental in Medicaid and Medicare spending, I would also
like to see the formation of a M&M Accounting Standards Board that investigates,
among other things, both fraudulent billings by providers and fraudulent
benefits by patients such as when half the people on Medicaid in Illinois were
not even eligible for Medicaid. I also think there's way too much fraud in the
pilfering of estates by heirs so that that grandma or grandpa can get free
nursing home care paid for by Medicaid.
TEXTBOOK QUESTIONS AND CASES OFTEN ASK STUDENTS to use
differential analysis to evaluate one independent cost reduction action. But
businesses often have multiple cost reduction alternatives to evaluate
simultaneously. Furthermore, companies may consider these options
independently or through combinations of alternatives. The case is based on
an actual project to evaluate alternative cost reduction actions at a large
insurance company. For educational purposes, the scope of the project has
been significantly reduced to one function, the accounting department, to
provide students with a realistic situation in a manageable format. Students
are presented with three alternative cost reduction approaches and must
identify the relevant costs and calculate the estimated potential impacts of
each alternative. The cost reduction actions evaluated are outsourcing (“offshoring”),
greater automation, and an office relocation. Additionally, the students
must identify the risks and other nonfinancial considerations associated
with the potential cost reduction actions and make a recommendation.
Keywords: relevant costs, differential analysis, cost reductions,
outsourcing, relocation, automation.
THIS CASE, BASED ON A TRUE STORY, examines the
misappropriation of funds by an administrator in the Beaumont Independent
School District (BISD) in Beaumont, Texas. Patricia Adams Lambert diverted
more than $500,000 of funds while she was a BISD employee. Students are
asked to apply the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway
Commission (COSO) 2013 Internal Control–Integrated Framework to evaluate
internal controls; students will also evaluate an ethical dilemma. The case
is particularly unique because it is designed to be used in introductory
financial and managerial accounting classes as an example of internal
controls. The case can also be used in upper-level accounting classes as
appropriate.
THIS CASE PROVIDES A REALISTIC APPLICATION OF
inflation-adjusted capital budgeting in a university setting. The case is
designed for use in an upper-division cost accounting course or a graduate
level cost/managerial accounting class. Students are required to analyze the
costs of building and operating a student apartment complex, to determine a
reasonable rental rate for three types of apartments, and to make a
recommendation about the feasibility of the project. Critical thinking is
emphasized in the development and interpretation of the present value (PV)
model, identification and discussion of qualitative issues, and recognition
and inclusion of uncertainty
Jensen Comment
I'm still looking for an operational concept of the most important measurement
in all of accountancy (net earnings) from the IASB, FASB, or IMA. No luck.
Net earnings and EBITDA cannot be defined since
the FASB and IASB elected to give the balance sheet priority over the income
statement in financial reporting --- "The Asset-Liability Approach: Primacy does not mean Priority,"
by Robert Bloomfield, FASRI Financial Accounting Standards Research
Initiative, October 6, 2009 ---
http://www.fasri.net/index.php/2009/10/the-asset-liability-approach-primacy-does-not-mean-priority/
Abstract:
Since the 1970s, the decision-usefulness has taken center stage and our
attention has been concentrated on valuation of assets and liabilities
instead of income measurement. The concept of income, once considered the
gravitational center of accounting has lost its primacy and become a
byproduct of the balance sheet derived from the measurement of assets and
liabilities.
However, we have not been equipped with robust
conceptual foundation supporting theoretically reasoned accounting
measurement. It is not only theoretically but also practically important to
renew our seemingly waned interest in the concept of income because ongoing
reforms of accounting standards cannot be successfully implemented without a
sound understanding of the concept of income.
IMA to Endorse Universities Preparing Students for Careers in Management
Accounting: Pennsylvania State University and Washington State University
Vancouver Endorsed in Pilot Program ---
http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20130807005147/en
Jensen Criteria
I was disappointed that the criteria focused mostly on curriculum rather than
placement. I would recommend the addition of the proportion of corporate
accounting recruiters who visit a campus and the numbers of entry-level job
offers to newly-minted accounting graduates in the four-year and five-year
programs.
The IMA struggles to keep managerial accounting from dying in accounting
programs. But without more entry-level job offers in corporate accounting it;s
an uphill battle.
Sue Haka, former AAA President, commenced a thread on the AAA Commons entitled
"Saving Management Accounting in the Academy,"
---
http://commons.aaahq.org/posts/98949b972d
A succession of comments followed.
The latest comment (from James Gong) may be of special interest to some of
you.
Ken Merchant is a former faculty member from Harvard University who form many
years now has been on the faculty at the University of Southern California.
Here are my two cents. First, on the teaching side,
the management accounting textbooks fail to cover new topics or issues. For
instance, few textbooks cover real options based capital budgeting, product
life cycle management, risk management, and revenue driver analysis. While
other disciplines invade management accounting, we need to invade their
domains too. About five or six years ago, Ken Merchant had written a few
critical comments on Garrison/Noreen textbook for its lack of breadth. Ken's
comments are still valid. Second, on the research and publication side,
management accounting researchers have disadvantage in getting data and
publishing papers compared with financial peers. Again, Ken Merchant has an
excellent discussion on this topic at an AAA annual conference.
Jensen Comment
Worth and value can be defined in various ways depending a lot upon how
intangibles are valued relative to tangible assets and whether the valuation is
based upon aggregation of values of net assets versus stock market valuation of
equity shares. Certainly Walmart is worth a lot more than Amazon in terms of
tangible assets like stores, warehouses, and delivery trucks. Amazon is now
worth slightly more in terms of stock market valuation of equity shares that are
based on a whole lot of technology intangibles in the case of Amazon.
Walmart employs many more workers, and this carries with it a lot of unbooked
financial obligations for such things as future payroll and employee benefit
costs, especially medical insurance costs. Add to this the constant costs
of labor disputes and costs of fending off unions. Walmart also has much higher
inventory costs since Amazon tends to pass many inventory costs upstream
to suppliers. Amazon has more robotics and is positioned for replacement of
labor with even more robotics and other technologies.
Amazon is more vulnerable to risks of outsourcing such as the risks supplier
pricing disputes and labor disputes in UPS/USPS and price gouging by UPS or the
USPS. My point is that a whole lot of important
risks in Amazon's operations are outside the control of Amazon due to
outsourcing.
Our current managerial accounting courses and textbooks do a poor job of
analyzing financial risks when comparing companies like Amazon versus Walmart.
Teaching Case from Issues in Accounting Education, Volume 31, Issue 4
(November 2016)
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/iace-51189
In general, American Accounting Association journal articles are not free, but
they can be distributed for free in accounting education courses via controlled
distributions
There's a separate link to Teaching Notes for this case
Arizona Microbrewery, Inc.: An Instructional Case on Management Decision
Making
Authors
Janet A. Samuels --- Arizona State University
Kimberly M. Sawers --- Seattle Pacific University
Abstract
This case provides students with an opportunity to utilize cost volume
profit (CVP) analysis tools in a contextually rich environment of a
microbrewery. The case explores basic CVP concepts as well as decision
making for constrained resources, make versus buy, and new product
development. Further, the case requires quantitative analysis,
understanding, and exploration of contextual issues as well as assessment of
qualitative factors. While directed at graduate students (M.B.A. and E.M.B.A.)
in a managerial accounting course, this case may also be suitable for
undergraduate students with some minor modifications.
SUMMARY: United
Parcel Service Inc. reported strong earnings, delivered optimistic
rest-of-the-year guidance and outlined its plans for controlling costs
during 2015's peak holiday season. The delivery company said all three of
its major business segments contributed to a near tripling in profit to
$1.23 billion. The rise also reflected an after-tax charge of $665 million
in last year's second quarter that was related to employee health care. The
latest results led UPS executives to raise their full-year outlook to the
high range of their previous guidance of between 6% and 12% growth in
earnings per share.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
article offers a good, small case study of how UPS is reining in costs and
approaching its next holiday busy season.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What financial results did UPS recently report?
Were these results favorable or unfavorable?
2. (Advanced) What challenges has UPS faced in the past two holiday
seasons? What is UPS doing to manage those issues for future busy seasons?
3. (Advanced) What managerial accounting tools could UPS use to
manage the holiday volume more successfully? How could the company adjust
pricing to manage volume surges and maintain or increase profitability?
4. (Advanced) What changes has UPS made? Which of these changes
involve variable costs? Which involve fixed costs? How flexible are the
company's plans? Does the company need flexibility or are volumes steady?
Reviewed By:
Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Chief executive says shipping company looking at
reining in costs during holiday season.
United Parcel Service Inc. on Tuesday reported
strong earnings, delivered optimistic rest-of-the-year guidance and outlined
its plans for controlling costs during this year’s peak holiday season.
Despite a slight dip in second-quarter revenue, the
news sent UPS shares up 5.1% to $99.94 in 4 p.m. composite trading on the
New York Stock Exchange.
The delivery company said all three of its major
business segments contributed to a near tripling in profit to $1.23 billion.
The rise also reflected an after-tax charge of $665
million in last year’s second quarter that was related to employee health
care.
The latest results led UPS executives to raise
their full-year outlook to the high range of their previous guidance of
between 6% and 12% growth in earnings per share.
Executives said the stronger dollar has driven more
import traffic to the U.S., boosting the company’s international segment and
its bottom line.
Continued in article
New Idea for a Managerial Accounting Case or Other Type of Assignment
The rise in solar comes as the value of crops in
the Southeast -- with the exception of tobacco -- has dropped. Cotton prices
have fallen 71 percent in the last five years. Soybeans are down 33 percent
and peanuts have slipped 16 percent.
Solar companies, meanwhile, are paying top dollar,
offering annual rents of $300 to $700 an acre, according to the NC
Sustainable Energy Association. That’s more than triple the average rent for
crop and pasture land in the state, which ranges from $27 to $102 an acre,
according to the U.S. Agriculture Department.
The economic incentives spurring solar will be
discussed at a Bloomberg New Energy Finance conference in New York starting
April 4.
“Solar
developers want to find the cheapest land near substations where they can
connect,” said Brion Fitzpatrick, director of project development for Inman Solar Inc.
of Atlanta. “That’s often farmland.”
Developers have installed solar panels on about 7,000 acres of North
Carolina pasture and cropland since 2013, adding almost a gigawatt of
generating capacity, according to the NC Sustainable Energy
Association.
Georgia has added 200 megawatts on fields and cleared forests over the same
period, much of it farmland, according to the Southface Energy Institute of
Atlanta.
The number of megawatts developers can generate per acre of farmland varies,
based on weather patterns, size of the panels and contours of the land. On
Singletary’s farm, Strata Solar installed 21,600 panels, each about 6 feet
by 3 feet (1.8 meters by 914 centimeters). Combined, they can power as many
as 5,000 local homes.
Long-Term Contracts
Farmers typically lease a portion of their land, signing 15- to 20-year
contracts with developers who install the panels and sell the power to local
utilities. In rare cases, farmers have leased their entire property to solar
companies.
Singletary signed a 15-year lease in 2013, with two 10-year extension
options, and Chapel Hill, North Carolina-based Strata sells the power to
Duke Energy Corp. He declined to disclose financial terms.
Government incentives have played a key role in the spread of solar farms
built on real farms. North Carolina granted developers tax credits equal to
35 percent of their projects’ costs though a program that expired at the end
of 2015, helping make the state the third-biggest U.S. solar market. In
Georgia, the Public Service Commission passed a bill in 2013 requiring the
state’s largest utility, Southern Co.’s Georgia Power, to buy 525 megawatts
of solar by 2016. Both policies sent companies scouring for open space to
build.
Solar panels have buoyed tax bases in impoverished rural counties, said Tim
Echols, a member of the Georgia Public Service Commission. They also let
farmers diversify their income with revenue that’s not subject to markets or
unpredictable weather patterns.
‘Stable Income’
“Solar
and wind farms have become a new stable income stream for farmers -- and
they don’t fluctuate with commodity prices,” said Andy Olsen, who promotes
clean energy projects in rural areas for the Chicago-based Environmental Law &
Policy Center.
Not everyone is happy to see solar panels or wind turbines becoming more
common on farmland. In the U.K. lawmakers have pushed to limit large clean
energy projects on farms, saying they blight the landscape and squeeze out
local food production. Similar criticisms have surfaced in the U.S., where
local officials have pushed for zoning changes to restrict solar
developments to industrial properties.
Neighbor Complaints
“I get a lot of complaints from neighbors” said Tim Sheppard, who don’t like
the looks of the 1-megawatt solar system that takes up about 5 acres of his
135-acre cattle farm in Brasstown, North Carolina.
Continued in
article
Question for Cost Accounting Students
Every cost accounting student can explain why toilet seats purchased by the Navy
cost over $1 million each?
Times are changing with technology.
Are cost accounting courses and textbooks and professors keeping up with
changing times in defense contracting?
Hint:
Pictures of Midshipman Bob Jensen on a battleship ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Tidbits/Ocean/Set01/OceanSet01.htm When I was on a battleship salt water splashed underneath toilet seats over
a trough --- with salt water flowing under ten toilet seats in each row. Privacy
in the bathroom is was reserved only for officers' quarters above deck. Salt
water is corrosive such that ship builders had to guarantee that toilet seats
would not corrode from salt water splash in the trough.
But a guarantee against corrosion is only part of the cost of each toilet
seat. Every cost accounting student knows that the bulk of the cost of a $1
million toilet seat is overhead cost allocation for costs having nothing
remotely related to toilet seat manufacturing.
Here’s an anecdote that illustrates the problems
with U.S. defense acquisition: The Navy,
concerned about corrosion of equipment that spends its operating life
surrounded by salt water, began requiring
paperwork to certify that new systems would be corrosion free. But the rule
applies without exception, meaning Navy staff go through the motions to
certify the corrosion resistance of, say, new software programs they
acquire.
Rep. Mac Thornberry cited this example when rolling
out legislation in March that would overhaul Pentagon procurement. Mr.
Thornberry, who leads the House Armed Services Committee, wants to give
program managers more responsibility and eliminate dozens of reports
required by Congress or the Pentagon. “The system has just grown these
barnacles around it that’s made it so sluggish it’s a wonder anything comes
out the other end,” he told the Washington Post.
This is a worthwhile endeavor: For foes of
excessive bureaucracy and paperwork, the Pentagon is what one would call a
target-rich environment.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
It seems like it's time to rewrite some of those badly out-of-date cost
accounting textbooks.
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on July 17, 2015
SUMMARY: With
revenue growth ebbing, profit margins shrinking and shares flat, Google is
curbing hiring and seeking ways to run its sprawling empire more
efficiently. Google is a long way from cutting jobs and the company is still
growing. But the scrutiny on expenses is a significant change for a company
that long favored expansion and experimentation over bottom-line concerns.
Some employees cite examples of increased frugality, albeit at a workplace
that is luxurious compared with most others. Travel, supplies and events all
require more justification or approvals than in the past.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
article offers a good example of a company using managerial accounting tools
to manage costs in an attempt to maintain/increase profitability.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is Google's current financial condition? How
has the situation changed in recent years?
2. (Advanced) What is a company's most recent profit margin? How
has Google's profit margin changed? What is the reason for this? How should
Google management approach this issue?
3. (Advanced) How has Google's approach to hiring employees changed
in recent times? What other expense categories are being examined and
changed?
4. (Advanced) What is a fixed cost and what is a variable cost? How
do they differ? What different approaches should managers take when a
particular expense is in one of those categories or the other?
5. (Advanced) In general, is the expense of employing employees a
fixed expense or a variable expense? What information would you need to
decide accurately? Which type of expense would Google employees likely be?
Why? How would this affect how Google manages hiring and employee totals?
6. (Advanced) In what areas is Google slowing or restricting
hiring, and in what areas is hiring continuing? Why? Show how Google could
use managerial accounting tools - segmenting and others - to effectively
analyze hiring and employment priorities.
7. (Advanced) The article states travel, supplies and events all
require more justification or approvals than in the past. What managerial
accounting tools could help the company analyze these expenses, manage the
spending levels, and help to keep track of spending throughout the year and
in total?
Reviewed By:
Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
With revenue growth ebbing, profit margins
shrinking and shares flat, Google is curbing hiring and seeking ways to run
its sprawling empire more efficiently, according to recruiters, venture
capitalists and others familiar with the matter.
New Chief Financial Officer Ruth Porat, who joined
the company in late May, is active in the effort. Ms. Porat, who reduced
expenses and reallocated capital while CFO of Morgan Stanley, is involved in
an internal audit examining costs, revenue and accounting systems, according
to one of the people. She is looking to make her mark on what has become a
more stable but more complex company, another person said.
Google will offer an update on its expenses on
Thursday, when it reports second-quarter financial results after regular
trading hours and Ms. Porat is expected to speak during a conference call
with Google analysts for the first time. The company declined to comment for
this article.
The clearest sign of the new attitude: Google added
1,819 employees in the first quarter, bringing its total to 55,419. That was
the smallest increase since the final quarter of 2013; last year, Google
added an average of 2,435 employees per quarter.
For many years, Google teams assumed they could add
staff each year. Now, Google executives are selecting which groups can hire,
based on the company’s strategic priorities. Since late last year, many
Google teams have had to submit plans describing how additional employees
will produce specific business objectives, such as increased revenue or more
users.
Proceedings of the Research and Academic Conference
"Research and Technology – Step into the Future". Transport and
Telecommunication Institute, Riga, Latvia (2015)
Abstract: Research by Flanholtz and Randle (1998)
demonstrated striking results that successful companies from start-ups to
Fortune 100 could experience extreme difficulties (and even failure) after
sufficient growth including:
• People Express, which reached $1.8 billion in
revenue and then entered bankruptcy;
• MaxiCare, which reached $1.6 billion in revenue
and the entered bankruptcy;
• Compaq Computers which reached $40 billion in
revenue before it had to be sold to Hewlett-Packard to survive;
• Osborne Computer which reached $100 million in
revenue in two years, and went bankrupt in year 3;
• Eastman-Kodak which once dominated the field of
photography and now fights for survival;
• Sears which was once “where America Shops” and
now is fighting for survival.
Many of these companies are regarded as leaders and
even some of them were considered as “too big to fail”. In recent studies by
Flamholtz and Randle (2007) pointed out that the common reason for failure
was non-uniform development of organization, mainly delay in operation,
strategic management systems and corporate culture. This is caused as
management (especially of entrepreneurial type) of growing companies are not
focusing on the fact that “All organizations are perfectly designed to get
the result they get” and to get new higher results organizations need to be
carefully re-designed, including environmental analysis and selection the
proper configuration that corresponds strategy type of organization. In some
cases management would like to control everything and insisting on
functional configuration that suits for environment with limited scope of
predictable changes and feel uncomfortable for necessity to delegate
authority for matrix configuration that comply with highly unpredictable
environment. Organizations with functional configuration are profitable as
following effect of volume, but permitting very limited scope of changes
compared to matrix and could not be successful in high unpredictable
environment. Fact of inconvenience for changes is the reason that some
factors limiting organizational capacities to drive growing revenues into
profit were invisible for management as the hidden side of the Moon.
We know it from the nature that it is really
difficult to deal with something invisible. That is the reason for medical
diagnostics for humans. The same is for organizations. Traditional
management accounting excessively concentrated on revenue/profit oriented
marketing metrics has limited opportunities to discover organizational risks
experienced by businesses.
The organizational risks could have been detected
and eliminated early on if senior leaders had paid attention to the early
warning signs.
Comparative analysis for local organizations with
the similar is USA and other countries demonstrate differences in management
habits and corporate culture. And such differences helps companies to become
“best-in-the class” in high competitive markets and obtain sustainable
competitive advantage.
From the Global CPA Newsletter on September 24, 2014
Begin preparing for the CGMA exam with an online practice test
http://r.smartbrief.com/resp/geasBYbWhBCJtWdgCidKtxCicNnKyJ To
help CGMA designation candidates prepare for the upcoming CGMA exam, a
practice exam is now available. The practice exam illustrates the case study
exam's key features, demonstrates the questions' format and allows
candidates to gain familiarity of the exam's functionality. Visit CGMA.org
to learn more, anddownload both pre-seen materials and
exam answers.
Jensen Comment
This and related robotics articles have important implications for cost
accounting. Have cost accounting innovations kept pace with robotics
manufacturing innovations? I have my doubts.
"Discussing (Revenue) Variance Analysis with the Performance of a
Basketball Team," by William R. Strawser and Jeffrey W. Strawser, Issues
in Accounting Education, August 2014 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/iace-50671
This article is not a free download, but I think, like most AAA journal
articles, I think it can be distributed free to current students in accounting
courses.
ABSTRACT:
While current cost and managerial
accounting texts devote extensive coverage to comparisons of actual and
expected costs, relatively scant attention is devoted to analyzing
comparable differences in revenues. Methods commonly used to identify
differences between actual and expected revenues include the calculation of
variances such as the sales price (SPV), sales quantity (SQV), and the sales
mix (SMV) variances. We decided to approach the discussion of these
variances in an innovative setting by presenting the SQV and SMV in the
context of analyzing the performance of a basketball team, providing a
setting that is both appropriate and interesting for illustrating revenue
variances. Also, there are trade-offs in the choice between two of these
“revenue” sources, for example, should the shooter attempt a two- or a
three-point shot? Other relevant questions propel the decomposition of the
SQV into the market size (MSV) and market share (MShV) variances. Was the
game an offensive showdown, tallying numerous shots, or a defensive
lock-down with relatively few shots? How effective was the team in
controlling the ball and scoring a dominant proportion of shots? Feedback
from students indicates that this illustration provides an interesting and
comprehensive discussion of revenue variances. Using this and similar
settings, a better understanding of quantity and mix variances, and the
impact of these variances on improving performance, may be obtained.
PS
Except for the Strawser and Strawser article, the teaching cases in IAE for
August 14, 2014 are devoted to famous recent frauds ---
http://aaajournals.org/toc/iace/current
Satyam Fraud: A Case Study of India's Enron by
Veena L. Brown, Brian E. Daugherty and Julie S. Persellin
Grand Teton Candy Company: Connecting the Dots in a
Fraud Investigation by Carol Callaway Dee, Cindy Durtschi and Mary P. Mindak
Blurred Vision, Perilous Future: Management Fraud
at Olympus by Saurav K. Dutta, Dennis H. Caplan and David J. Marcinko
SUMMARY: Cloud computing can yield significant benefits, from
increasing speed to market and achieving better economies of scale to
improving organizational flexibility and trimming spending on technology
infrastructure and software licensing. As organizations increasingly migrate
to cloud computing, however, they could be putting their data at significant
risk. Positioning the internal audit (IA) function at the forefront of cloud
implementation and engaging IA in discussions with the business and IT early
on can help address potential risks.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article offers an example how the
internal audit function of a business operates, in this case specifically
with cloud computing.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the internal audit (IA) function of a
business? Why would a business use IA?
2. (Advanced) What is cloud computing? What is it value to a
business? What new issues might it bring to the business?
3. (Advanced) What value can the IA function bring to an
organization's adoption of cloud computing? What problems could occur if the
organization does not engage internal auditors in the process?
4. (Advanced) What are the various stages of the process in which
IA can help? In which stage do you see the greatest value added by IA? Why?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Cloud computing can yield significant benefits,
from increasing speed to market and achieving better economies of scale to
improving organizational flexibility and trimming spending on technology
infrastructure and software licensing. As organizations increasingly migrate
to cloud computing, however, they could be putting their data at significant
risk. Those risks include reduced levels of control as information
technology (IT) departments are bypassed, as some business owners opt to
obtain services more quickly and cheaply by creating their own “rogue”
technology environments via the cloud.
Positioning the internal audit (IA) function at the
forefront of cloud implementation and engaging IA in discussions with the
business and IT early on can help address potential risks. “Internal
auditors view the business through a risk lens,” says Michael Juergens, a
principal at Deloitte & Touche LLP. “With their deep understanding of risk
mitigation, internal auditors can work with the business and the IT function
to build a framework for assessing and mitigating the risks associated with
cloud computing.”
Broadly defined, cloud computing is a model for
enabling ubiquitous on-demand network access to a shared pool of
configurable computing resources and services, which can be rapidly
provisioned and released with minimal management effort or service provider
interaction. The IA function can provide assurance on the effectiveness of
risk mitigation efforts tied to cloud utilization, explains Mr. Juergens.
“Before entering into agreements with cloud vendors or potential customers,
a thorough assessment of the current vendor procurement process should be
conducted by IA to determine how to mitigate cloud risks the company may be
taking on,” he says. “And while an organization’s information security group
can build cloud monitoring capabilities, IA can assist and assess the
effectiveness of the control environment and prevent the IT department being
left out of the loop.”
A Steady Migration to the Cloud
Companies are migrating to the cloud in such
numbers because of significant advantages it can provide. Once the migration
to cloud functionality is complete, organizations no longer face the task of
creating and maintaining large data centers and developing proprietary
complex systems. The expense of software upgrades or application patches is
carried by the provider, which can allocate these costs across a wide
customer base. Freed from large up-front capital investments, time-consuming
installation and hefty maintenance costs, IT departments can focus on
value-added activities that promote the business. While not every
organization today has fully embraced cloud computing, chances are cloud
services will be the norm within the next decade.
The growing consumer use of social media and mobile
technologies has also added to the demand for cloud services, as businesses
seek better and faster ways to reach out to existing and potential
customers. Some companies go beyond using the cloud to provide customer
services. For instance, in an effort to focus its IT operations on business
services, an online video rental and streaming company moved its internal
applications to a cloud service provider and began using software as a
service (SaaS) applications. Even governments are getting in on the game: A
large metropolitan city equipped all its employees with an application for
both email and cloud-based collaboration.
The shift to cloud computing has essentially
extended the boundaries of the traditional computer processing environment
to include multiple service providers,” says Khalid Wasti, a director at
Deloitte & Touche LLP. “This brings a complex set of risks to an
organization’s data as it travels through the cloud.” When a company opts
for the speed and convenience of moving to the cloud, it must often
relinquish control not only of its own data, but that of its customers.
Confidentiality, security and service continuity become critical
considerations—as does regulatory compliance, which remains the
responsibility of the business,” Mr. Wasti adds.
How IA Can Help Assess Risks
As an initial step, an organization should work
with IA to create a Cloud Risk Framework Tool. “The tool can help the
organization get to the heart of risks by providing a view on the pervasive,
evolving and interconnected nature of risks associated with cloud
computing,” adds Mr. Wasti. These include governance, risk management and
compliance; delivery strategy and architecture; infrastructure security;
identity and access management; data management; business resiliency and
availability; and IT operations. Such a tool can also improve efficiency in
compliance and risk management efforts and be used to develop risk event
scenarios that require integrated responses.
To be more effective, the tool should be customized
to include regulatory, geographic, industry and other specific issues that
impact the organization. As IA modifies its organizational risk framework
and guides the risk conversation with IT and the business, the following
issues pertaining to infrastructure security, identity and access management
and data management should be taken into account.
1. Infrastructure Security—Companies
should verify that cloud providers have acceptable procedures in areas such
as key generation, exchange, storage and safeguarding, as flawed security
could result in the exposure of infrastructure or data.
Are there security vulnerabilities that might
have been introduced by other customers sharing the same environment?
Are security patches performed in a timely manner?
What is the risk that a denial-of-service
attack will occur, and how will the organization respond?
What security practices should be introduced
as part of the move to the cloud? Do conflicting customer priorities
have the potential to compromise cloud service security?
If the organization is unable to independently
test security, what are the implications?
Has the vendor developed an encryption and
key-management process?
Who should manage the keys?
2. Identity and Access Management—Organizations
should consider how their authorization and access models will integrate
with new cloud services and assess whether they are using appropriate
identity and authorization schemes.
Can internal and cloud-based identity
management components be securely integrated?
Has the organization conducted adequate due
diligence prior to assigning cloud management privileges?
Are there proper access controls for cloud
management interfaces?
Has the cloud provider implemented segregation
of duties for its staff?
3. Data Management—Because
organizations may have to relinquish control over their data to cloud
providers, it is crucial that they fully understand how data will be handled
in the cloud environment.
Will the complexity of multiple cloud data
stores compromise data retention?
What is the risk of unauthorized access to or
inappropriate use of sensitive data, and how will this be handled? How
will the cloud vendor notify the organization of a violation?
Will transfer of data between jurisdictions
violate any data privacy laws?
Will the organization be able to remove data
from multiple cloud data stores?
Moving Forward
Implementing a cloud strategy changes the risk
landscape in profound ways. As some risks are minimized, others spring up in
their place. “Recognizing and responding to this shifting organizational
risk profile is IA’s purview,” says Charlie Willis, a senior manager at
Deloitte & Touche LLP. “Because internal auditors understand the interplay
between business processes and risk, they can help business leaders to
articulate their appetite for risk and help develop strategies for
mitigating it,” he adds. As the organization adopts technology initiatives
that involve cloud computing, IA should consider taking proactive steps to:
Engage stakeholders—Encourage
IT and business executives to have an informed conversation about the
move to the cloud. Help stakeholders understand the potential for rogue
IT environments. Explore which applications and data are candidates for
transfer to a cloud environment and be prepared to discuss the risk
implications of the move.
Review the organizational risk
framework—Revise the company’s risk framework, minimizing risks
that are no longer a concern. This framework tool should measure the
organization’s cloud capability state across the different cloud risk
domains.
Evaluate potential cloud vendors—IT
will be most familiar with the range of vendors, and the business
leaders will be able to articulate the objectives of a move to the
cloud. But IA should also be engaged in risk discussions, along with the
organization’s security, risk and compliance groups, and help the
organization develop an assessment profile for vendors.
The government’s official statistic for
college-tuition inflation has become somewhat infamous. It appears
frequently in the news media, and policy makers lament what it shows.
No wonder: College tuition and fees have risen an
astounding 107 percent since 1992, even after adjusting for economywide
inflation, according to the measure. No other major household budget item
has increased in price nearly as much.
But it turns out the government’s measure is deeply
misleading.
For years,
that measure was based on the list prices that
colleges published in their brochures, rather than the actual amount
students and their families paid. The government ignored financial-aid
grants. Effectively, the measure tracked the price of college for rich
families, many of whom were not eligible for scholarships, but exaggerated
the price – and price increases – for everyone from the upper middle class
to the poor.
Here’s an animation that explains the difference
succintly. It shows the government’s estimate of how college costs have
changed since 1992 — and, for comparison, toggles between the changes in the
colleges' published prices and actual prices, according to the College
Board, the group that conducts the SAT.
But whereas the cost of a solar panel is easy to
calculate, the cost of electricity is harder to assess. It depends not only
on the fuel used, but also on the cost of capital (power plants take years
to build and last for decades), how much of the time a plant operates, and
whether it generates power at times of peak demand.
To take account
of all this, economists use "levelised costs"--the net present value of all
costs (capital and operating) of a generating unit over its life cycle,
divided by the number of megawatt-hours of electricity it is expected to
supply.
The trouble, as Paul Joskow of the Massachusetts
Institute of Technology has pointed out, is that levelised costs do not take
account of the costs of intermittency. Wind power is not generated on a calm
day, nor solar power at night, so conventional power plants must be kept on
standby--but are not included in the levelised cost of renewables.
Electricity demand also varies during the day in
ways that the supply from wind and solar generation may not match, so even
if renewable forms of energy have the same levelised cost as conventional
ones, the value of the power they produce may be lower. In short, levelised
costs are poor at comparing different forms of power generation.
To get around that problem Charles Frank of the
Brookings Institution, a think-tank, uses a cost-benefit analysis to rank
various forms of energy. The costs include those of building and running
power plants, and those associated with particular technologies, such as
balancing the electricity system when wind or solar plants go offline or
disposing of spent nuclear-fuel rods.
The benefits of renewable energy include the value
of the fuel that would have been used if coal- or gas-fired plants had
produced the same amount of electricity and the amount of carbon-dioxide
emissions that they avoid.
Mr Frank took four sorts of zero-carbon energy
(solar, wind, hydroelectric and nuclear), plus a low-carbon sort (an
especially efficient type of gas-burning plant), and compared them with
various sorts of conventional power. Obviously, low- and no-carbon power
plants do not avoid emissions when they are not working, though they do
incur some costs.
So nuclear-power plants, which run at about 90% of
capacity, avoid almost four times as much CO{-2} per unit of capacity as do
wind turbines, which run at about 25%; they avoid six times as much as solar
arrays do. If you assume a carbon price of $50 a tonne--way over most actual
prices--nuclear energy avoids over $400,000-worth of carbon emissions per
megawatt (MW) of capacity, compared with only $69,500 for solar and $107,000
for wind.
Nuclear power plants, however, are vastly
expensive. A new plant at Hinkley Point, in south-west England, for example,
is likely to cost at least $27 billion. They are also uninsurable
commercially. Yet the fact that they run around the clock makes them only
75% more expensive to build and run per MW of capacity than a solar-power
plant, Mr Frank reckons.
To determine the overall cost or benefit, though,
the cost of the fossil-fuel plants that have to be kept hanging around for
the times when solar and wind plants stand idle must also be factored in. Mr
Frank calls these "avoided capacity costs"--costs that would not have been
incurred had the green-energy plants not been built.
Thus a 1MW wind farm running at about 25% of
capacity can replace only about 0.23MW of a coal plant running at 90% of
capacity. Solar farms run at only about 15% of capacity, so they can replace
even less. Seven solar plants or four wind farms would thus be needed to
produce the same amount of electricity over time as a similar-sized
coal-fired plant. And all that extra solar and wind capacity is expensive.
A levelised playing field
If all the costs and benefits are totted up using
Mr Frank's calculation, solar power is by far the most expensive way of
reducing carbon emissions. It costs $189,000 to replace 1MW per year of
power from coal. Wind is the next most expensive. Hydropower provides a
modest net benefit.
But the most cost-effective zero-emission
technology is nuclear power. The pattern is similar if 1MW of gas-fired
capacity is displaced instead of coal. And all this assumes a carbon price
of $50 a tonne. Using actual carbon prices (below $10 in Europe) makes solar
and wind look even worse. The carbon price would have to rise to $185 a
tonne before solar power shows a net benefit.
There are, of course, all sorts of reasons to
choose one form of energy over another, including emissions of pollutants
other than CO{-2} and fear of nuclear accidents. Mr Frank does not look at
these. Still, his findings have profound policy implications. At the moment,
most rich countries and China subsidise solar and wind power to help stem
climate change.
Yet this is the most expensive way of reducing
greenhouse-gas emissions. Meanwhile Germany and Japan, among others, are
mothballing nuclear plants, which (in terms of carbon abatement) are
cheaper. The implication of Mr Frank's research is clear: governments should
target emissions reductions from any source rather than focus on boosting
certain kinds of renewable energy.
To continue with the theme of the previous post on
Elliott's Third wave breaks on the shores of accounting, see the following
for some background on the problems with traditional responsibility
accounting and recommended changes.
Jensen Comment
The big problems are the usual suspects in evaluation of managers, including
long-term versus short-term evaluations and activities where managers have
partial but not total control along with circumstantial events over which
managers have no control, e.g., weather and the economy. There are also
externalities that should be taken into account where decisions of a manager
have direct and indirect impacts upon external realms such as how opening or
closing of a plant affects the greater community outside the firm.
Jensen Comment
We generally teach good things about the cost advantages of economies of scale.
Perhaps we should had illustrations of some of the downers of economies of
scale.
“Many of the claims being made in connection with
biofuels in 2006 and 2007 were way too optimistic,” says MIT biotechnology
and chemical engineering professor
Gregory Stephanopoulos.
The trouble, says
James Collins, professor of biomedical engineering
at Boston University, is that while the science behind these companies was
promising, “in most cases, they were university lab demonstrations that
weren’t ready for industrialization.”
In addition to the challenge of designing effective
organisms, synthetic-biofuel companies struggle with the high capital cost
of getting into business. Because fuels are low-margin commodities, biofuel
companies need to produce at large volumes to make a profit. Commercial
plants can cost on the order of hundreds of millions of dollars. Some
advanced biofuel companies have been able to secure the money for
large-scale plants by going public, but now many investors have soured on
biofuels. “People want to see things validated a little further along and
take more technology risk off the table early. There’s little willingness
for investors to pay for proofs of concept,” Berry says.
Jay Keasling, cofounder of LS9 and the CEO of the
Department of Energy’s Joint BioEnergy Institute acknowledges that
synthetic-biology companies have moved more slowly than many investors had
hoped. He also cautions against expecting bioenergy to undercut petroleum
fuels on price any time soon. Making cost-competitive fuels with genetically
engineered microbes will require advances in both science and engineering,
he says. “We’re never going to have biofuels compete with $20-a-barrel
oil—period,” he says. “I’m hoping we have biofuels that compete with
$100-a-barrel oil.”
In theory, hydrocarbons that can power planes and
diesel engines are more valuable than ethanol, which has to be blended. But
the yield of converting sugars to hydrocarbons is lower than the yield for
ethanol because of the basic chemistry, Keasling says, so the economics
depend more heavily on the price of sugar. “[Getting] the yields up to make
them economically viable is very hard to do,” he says.
Keasling says new techniques are needed to speed up
the process of engineering fuel-producing organisms. If engineers could
isolate desired genetic traits quickly and predict how a combination of
metabolic pathway changes would affect a microörganism, then designing cells
would be much faster, he says. “We need to be as good at engineering biology
as we are at engineering microelectronics,” he says. Optimizing crops for
energy production and new techniques for making cheaper sugars could also
help bring down the cost.
After cofounding LS9, Berry cofounded another
biotech company called Joule that seeks to decouple fuel production from the
price of sugar. It has engineered strains of photosynthetic microörganisms
to produce fuels using sunlight, carbon dioxide, and nutrients, rather than
from sugar (see “Audi
Backs a Biofuel Startup” and “Demo
Plant Targets Ultra-High Ethanol Production”).
Given the challenges that have beset synthetic
biology companies so far, some new companies are deciding from the outset
not to make biofuels. Indeed, the
first company to be spun out of Keasling’s Joint
BioEnergy Institute—Lygos, based in Albany, California—has decided to make a
few high-value chemicals, rather than fuel.
In the runup to
this year’s State of the Union address, President Obama has been busy
trying to fulfill pledges from last year’s. He went to Raleigh, N.C., to
announce it would become a high-tech manufacturing hub to ensure that
the U.S. attracts “the good, high-tech manufacturing jobs that a growing
middle class requires.”
The president is one of
many politicians of both parties as well as pundits who think
manufacturing deserves special treatment. But this factory obsession is
based on flawed economics. As the Brookings Institute economist Justin
Wolfers asked recently, “What’s with the political fetish for
manufacturing? Are factories really so awesome?”
Not really—at least not
for the U.S. in 2014. Any attempt to draw lessons from the 1950s, when
many a high school-educated (white, male) person got a job in a factory
and joined the middle class, doesn’t account for the changes in the U.S.
and global economy since the middle of the last century. While it’s
smart to focus on creating more stable, remunerative jobs, few of them
are likely to come from manufacturing.
In 1953 manufacturing
accounted for 28 percent of U.S. gross domestic product, according to
the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. By 1980 that had dropped to
20 percent, and it reached 12 percent in 2012. Over that time, U.S. GDP
increased from $2.6 trillion to $15.5 trillion, which means that
absolute manufacturing output more than tripled in 60 years. Those goods
were produced by fewer people. According to the Bureau of Labor
Statistics, the number of employees in manufacturing was 16 million in
1953 (about a third of total nonfarm employment), 19 million in 1980
(about a fifth of nonfarm employment), and 12 million in 2012 (about a
tenth of nonfarm employment).
Service
industries—hotels, hospitals, media, and accounting—have taken up the
slack. Even much of the value generated by U.S. manufacturing involves
service work—about a third of the total. More than half of all people
still employed in the U.S. manufacturing sector work in such services as
management, technical support, and sales.
Over the past 30 years,
manufacturers have spent more on labor-saving machinery and hired fewer
but more skilled workers to run it. From 1980 to 2012 across the whole
economy, output per hour worked increased 85 percent. In manufacturing
output per hour climbed 189 percent. The proportion of manufacturing
workers with some college education has increased from one-fifth to
one-half since 1969.
Across richer countries,
growth has been accompanied by a decline in the number of manufacturing
jobs and the rise of service jobs. Some of the richer countries, such as
France, that have seen the slowest decline in manufacturing’s share of
employment have actually suffered some of the most sluggish growth. In
the U.S., Eric Fisher of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland suggests
that those states where the shift from manufacturing employment has been
the most rapid are those where wages have climbed the fastest.
Developing countries
have taken over much of the low-skilled, low-capital production once
done in the U.S.: Consider the garment industry or tire manufacturing.
Such low-tech work is even more mind-numbing and poorly paid than it was
when the work was done in the U.S. through the 1970s. Many of the
workers killed in the recent Rana Plaza garment factory collapse in
Bangladesh earned just $3 a day. Some politicians have regretted the
loss of similar jobs in the U.S. The question is: Do we want such jobs
here now?
Shutting the borders to
low-cost imports in the hope of reviving low-skilled manufacturing
employment at home would likely kill jobs, not save them. When Obama in
2009 slapped tariffs on Chinese tire imports that had flooded the U.S.
market, he temporarily preserved 1,200 jobs in the tire industry as
supplies tightened and U.S. tiremakers helped make up the difference.
But the impact on the U.S. labor force as a whole was negative. Gary
Hufbauer of the Peterson Institute estimates that the cost to U.S.
consumers was more than $1 billion. As tires got more expensive, tire
buyers had less money to spend on other goods. The effect of that drop
in demand on retail employment was a loss of 3,731 jobs, three times the
number preserved in the tire industry.
Champions of
reindustrialization often cite the cluster effect as a reason to back
manufacturing. If a company builds a factory, then other factories will
pop up in the same place to benefit from the industry knowledge and
experienced workforce found there. If that theory were strongly
supported by the facts, that might be a reason for governments to
subsidize early investors in building the first plant somewhere. But
work by economists Glenn Ellison of Massachusetts Institute of
Technology and Ed Glaeser of Harvard suggests that while “slight
concentration is widespread” among industries, “extreme concentration”
is the exception. High levels of concentration aren’t a particularly
common or unique feature of high-tech manufacturers (although high-tech
service industries cluster in Silicon Valley). In manufacturing, the two
economists suggest clustering is most evident in fur, wines, hosiery,
oil and gas, carpets and rugs, sawmills, and costume jewelry.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
In the meantime cost and managerial courses and textbooks should be making the
shift to accompany changing labor patters such as accounting for complicated
indirect costs and services such as medical services, food services, and online
selling.
SUMMARY: General
Motors pushed its repair-cost estimate for auto recalls this year to $2
billion as it disclosed plans to replace potentially faulty ignition keys on
3.37 million older model cars in North America. The filing is located on the
web at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1467858/000146785814000184/ex-99106162014.htm
In it, the company states, "GM expects to take a charge of up to
approximately $700 million in the second quarter for the cost of
recall-related repairs announced in the quarter. This amount includes a
previously disclosed $400 million charge for recalls announced
May 15 and May 20." These statements imply a
$1.3 billion charge in the first quarter of 2014. In the 10-Q for the
quarter ended March 31, 2014, under Notes Tables, Product Warranty and
Related Liabilities, $1,386 million is disclosed as "Warranties issued and
assumed in period - recall campaigns and courtesy transportation." Students
are asked to find this amount.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The article can be used to cover accounting for
estimated warranty liability with this current issue facing General Motors.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) In the article, the author writes that GM's
repair cost estimate for auto recalls this year now totals $2 billion.
Summarize the accounting for this estimate.
3. (Advanced) Explain the difference between the $2 billion
highlighted in the title to this article and the amount disclosed in the
press release. How much warranty costs do you think were estimated and
recorded in the first quarter of 2014?
General Motors Co. GM -0.21% on Monday pushed its
repair-cost estimate for auto recalls this year to $2 billion as it
disclosed plans to replace potentially faulty ignition keys on 3.37 million
older model cars in North America.
The move comes two days before Chief Executive Mary
Barra is set to testify before a House committee on the auto maker's
mishandling of an ignition switch recall involving Chevrolet Cobalts and
other older models.
The nation's largest auto maker is attempting to
"clear the decks" of any potential recall problems ahead of Ms. Barra's
testimony in a show of good faith to lawmakers currently investigating its
safety operations, according to people familiar with the matter.
Detroit-based GM said it would expand a second
quarter charge to earnings by $300 million, to $700 million, to cover the
costs for recalling older Buicks, Chevrolets and Cadillacs covered by the
latest recall. The charge is in addition to a $1.3 billion spent in the
first quarter.
It was the second major ignition switch-related
recall in less than a week. The auto maker on Friday recalled 500,000
newer-model Chevrolet Camaros with an ignition-switch that could turn off
when jarred. It plans to change the key in those cars.
In the latest action, GM would rework or replace
the keys on about 3.37 million 2000 to 2014 model year cars in the U.S.
because of a similar shift if the key is carrying extra weight and is jarred
or bumped. Regulators continue to probe car parts suppliers about switches
and air bag shut offs.
GM intends to turn the slot on the end of the key
head—used to hold a key ring—to a hole, alleviating the weight issue. The
auto maker cited eight crashes and six injuries related to the latest
recall.
Continued in article
Teaching Case: Managerial Accounting Courses Should Focus on Long-Term
and Short-Term Impacts of Poor Quality on Costs and Revenues
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on December 20, 2013
SUMMARY: "Lululemon Athletica Inc. said hits to its reputation and
continuing quality problems hurt sales of its yoga gear in November,
contributing to a weak outlook that sent the company's stock sliding
on Thursday."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article introduces the managerial topic
of cost of quality issues with a product likely of interest to at least the
female students in the class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What events have led to Lululemon facing
declining foot traffic in its stores? For further background, you may refer
also to the related article.
2. (Advanced) Define cost of quality and name four types of quality
costs.
3. (Advanced) Which types of cost of quality is Lululemon now
experiencing? Name all that you can find from the article and support your
answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Lululemon Athletica Inc. LULU -0.56% said hits to
its reputation and continuing quality problems hurt sales of its yoga gear
in November, contributing to a weak outlook that sent the company's stock
sliding on Thursday.
The company has long enjoyed a loyal following that
enabled it to command premium prices for its clothing.
But it suffered a string of self-inflicted wounds
this year, including the recall of popular yoga pants in March, the surprise
resignation of its CEO in June and comments in November by its chairman, who
appeared to say new quality problems were the fault of overweight customers.
Lululemon Chief Financial Officer John Currie said
on a conference call with analysts that all of those issues likely
contributed to an unexpected drop in store traffic in November.
"Any time there's negative PR for a company,
there's an impact on the business," Mr. Currie said.
That slowdown, along with quality-control problems
that led monitors at the company's distribution centers to reject some
product and left stores with inadequate supplies of some gear, prompted the
company to lower its outlook for the rest of the year. Shares closed down
12% at $60.39 on Thursday.
The weak outlook overshadowed growth in the
company's third quarter.
For the quarter ended Nov. 3, the Vancouver-based
company reported a profit of $66.1 million, up from $57.3 million. Revenue
grew 20% to $379.9 million.
The company's gross margin slipped to 53.9% from
55.4% as product costs jumped 24%.
Investors focused on the company's outlook for the
holiday quarter.
Teaching Case: Contingent Liability for Paint Companies Who Obey the
EPA Laws and Rules
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on December 20, 2013
SUMMARY: A California Superior Court judge in San Jose ordered
Sherwin Williams Co., NL Industries Inc., and Con Agra Grocery Products Co.
to fund $1.1 billion "to be used to clean up hazards from lead paint in
hundreds of thousands of homes in the state." Past litigation in the states
of Rhode Island, Missouri, Illinois, New Jersey and Wisconsin have failed to
produce such results. "The defendants argued that they couldn't have known
50 or more years ago the full risks of lead and that the use of lead paint
began declining after the 1920s as the knowledge of the hazards grew." Du
Pont Co. and Atlantic-Richfield Co. (owned by BP PLC) were dismissed from
the case.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is an excellent resource to
introduce accounting for contingent liabilities. Questions specifically
direct students to the Sherwin Williams Co. SEC filings since that is the
company most likely to be familiar to them.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Define the term contingent liability.
2. (Introductory) Summarize the circumstances surrounding the legal
case described in this article. Explain how these circumstances fit the
definition of contingent liabilities to Sherwin Williams Co., NL Industries
Inc., and Con Agra Grocery Products Co.
3. (Advanced) Access the Sherwin Williams Co. filing of Form 10-Q
for the 9 months ended September 30, 2013, available on the SEC web site at
http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/viewer?action=view&cik=89800&accession_number=0000089800-13-000094&xbrl_type=v#
Click on Notes to Financial Statements, then Litigation. Has the company
accrued a liability for this lead pigment and lead-based paint litigation?
What are its reasons for the accounting that has been done regarding these
matters? State your answer in terms of the accounting requirements for
contingent liabilities.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A California Superior Court judge in San Jose
ordered three current or former paint companies to pay $1.1 billion into a
fund to be used to clean up hazards from lead paint in hundreds of thousands
of homes in the state.
The decision of Judge James Kleinberg, handed down
Monday afternoon, requires payments by three defendants in the 13-year-old
case: Sherwin-Williams Co. SHW +0.13% , NL Industries Inc. NL -1.93% and
ConAgra Grocery Products Co. The judge dismissed two other defendants—
DuPont Co. DD +0.84% and Atlantic-Richfield Co., owned by BP BP.LN +0.60%
PLC—from the case. Under California law, the remaining defendants have 15
days to file objections to the decision, described as "proposed."
Bonnie J. Campbell, a spokeswoman for the three
remaining defendants, said they would appeal the decision unless the judge
agrees to hold a new trial or declare a mistrial. Ms. Campbell said the
ruling "violates the federal and state constitutions by penalizing
manufacturers for the truthful advertising of lawful products, done at a
time when government officials routinely specified those products for use in
residential buildings." She added: "The risks to children alleged today were
unknown and unknowable decades ago."
The lawsuit, filed by 10 city and county
governments in California, sought a court order requiring the
defendants—current or former makers or distributors of paint and pigments—to
pay to remove lead-paint hazards from homes in Los Angeles County, San
Franciso and other places whose local governments joined the legal action.
The judge ordered the creation of a fund to achieve those aims. It is to be
administered by California's existing state Childhood Lead Poisoning
Prevention Branch program.
Nancy Fineman, an attorney representing local
government bodies who filed the suit, said the decision would have a
"tremendous impact on the health and welfare of the children of California."
She said Sherwin-Williams, NL and ConAgra would have to decide among
themselves how to divide the $1.1 billion cost of the program.
The use of lead in residential paint has been
banned in the U.S. since 1978 but it lies below layers of other paint and
wall coverings in millions of homes. The cleanup plan doesn't require
removal of all lead paint from homes. It does, however, require work to
remove lead inside homes from such areas as window frames and doors where
friction may release lead dust.
Makers of cigarettes and products containing
asbestos have paid billions of dollars in damages to people hurt by those
items. Until this decision, however, paint companies managed to defeat
lawsuits blaming them for the health problems of people exposed to lead
since 1978. Such suits had failed in Rhode Island, Missouri, Illinois, New
Jersey and Wisconsin.
As a "bench trial," the California case didn't
involve a jury. Motley Rice, a law firm that has reaped large fees in
asbestos and tobacco litigation, advised the California plaintiffs on a
contingency-fee basis.
The suit said lead paint can "severely and
permanently" damage children's mental and physical development and alleges
that the defendants promoted the use of lead paint despite knowing about the
risks. The continuing presence of lead paint in and around houses has
created a "public nuisance" under California's civil code, the suit argues.
The defendants argued that they couldn't have known
50 or more years ago the full risks of lead and that the use of lead paint
began declining after the 1920s as knowledge of the hazards grew. In
addition, they noted, old paint isn't the only source of lead risk to
children; for example, gasoline containing lead, also now banned, left
residues in soil.
Christopher Connor, chief executive officer of
Sherwin-Williams, in July told analysts he was confident of defeating the
California suit. He added that Sherwin-Williams hadn't created a reserve to
pay for a possible court-ordered cleanup.
Jensen Comment
This case will hinge upon just how much the paint manufacturers knew about the
risks of lead in paint. There are not as many smoking guns as in the case of the
tobacco industries phony denials of health risks of smoking. There is also the
issue of adding tens of billions to clean up costs in the other 49 states, This
case could easily destroy the age-old paint companies.
Teaching Case on Cost Accounting in a Medical Revolution and Those 500%
Mark Ups
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 21,
2013
TOPICS: Cost Management, Cost-Basis Reporting, Health Care,
Managerial Accounting
SUMMARY: Brent C. James is "...Chief Quality Officer for
Intermountain Healthcare, a...network of 22 hospitals and 185 clinics in
Utah and Idaho. Dr. James has been using electronic records to improve care
and cut costs since the 1980s." In this interview-format article, he
discusses the medical field push to a cost-based system, away from a current
system of charging for services performed regardless of necessity of the
procedure. The article gives classic examples of establishing standard costs
for materials and labor such as management engineers "who go around and
stopwatch how much time it takes a technician to set up a lab test. They
measure how much glassware and reagent the test consumes to process...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a management
accounting class to introduce standard costs, particularly the process of
establishing standard costs.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Who is Brent C. James? What "medical revolution"
may he be starting?
2. (Advanced) Define the term "standard cost." What measurement
techniques are described I the article to establish standard costs for
hospital products and services?
3. (Introductory) What does Dr. James say is the reason has it
taken until now for hospitals to establish cost management systems?
4. (Advanced) What is "transparency"? How has Dr. James's hospital
network's management pledged to provide transparency?
5. (Advanced) Are patients at Dr. James's hospital network going to
seeing the cost data his team is compiling? Explain your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Brent C. James may be starting another medical
revolution.
As chief quality officer for Intermountain
Healthcare, a Salt Lake City-based network of 22 hospitals and 185 clinics
in Utah and Idaho, Dr. James has been using electronic records to improve
care and cut costs since the 1980s.
His data-driven clinical-management systems have
been emulated around the world. He estimates that they save at least $250
million and 1,000 lives a year at Intermountain alone.
Now, Intermountain is building an ambitious new
data system that will also be able to track the actual cost of every
procedure and piece of equipment used in its hospitals and clinics, a
function that is standard in many industries but not in health care.
Dr. James shared his vision and the challenges
ahead with The Wall Street Journal. Cost Clarity
WSJ: You've described your new data system as a
"cost master," in contrast to the "charge master" that many hospitals use to
set prices. What's the difference?
DR. JAMES: In a charge master, what you're seeing
is the old phenomenon called "mark it up to mark it down." Hospitals will
make an initial estimate of what something costs, and then they'll mark it
up—sometimes 400% to 500%. Insurance brokers measure success in the size of
the discount they get. That's how you end up with $17 pieces of gauze. It
loses all connection to reality.
In a cost-master system, you have empirical,
fact-based costs. We have eight management engineers, for example, who go
around and stopwatch how much time it takes a technician to set up a lab
test. They measure how much glassware and reagent the test consumes to
process, and how much time it takes on the analyzing machine. The engineers
load all that information into the cost master and they get the true cost of
running that lab test. They do similar cost measurements on every item
contained in our cost master.
We figure we have about 5,000 clinical terms and
upward of 25,000 total items in our cost master. Once I get those costs, I
can manage them the way I would if I were building an automobile or a
washing machine.
These are not new systems. They've been around for
a long time in other industries. All we're doing is shifting them over to
health care. Truth is, Intermountain has run this sort of activity-based
costing since 1983. It just wasn't integrated into clinical documentation
through an electronic medical record [EMR]. With a link to the EMR, maybe
we'll be able to move health care out of the dark ages.
WSJ: How will knowing what
everything costs change the way you deliver care?
DR. JAMES: If you know the true
cost of providing care, you can ask yourself whether doing one thing is
really more important than doing something else.
Our mission statement is: the best medical result
at the lowest necessary cost. We think there is enough waste in health care
that we can dramatically improve our costs. But to do that, I've got to be
able to measure and manage those costs.
A Money Loser?
WSJ: In fee-for-service
medicine, hospitals lose money when they cut costs and unnecessary care. How
do you get around that?
DR. JAMES: That's why
Intermountain made the decision several years ago to shift our business,
over time, to capitated care.
In the past, the way to make money was to do more.
Figure out how to do more surgeries, even if they're unnecessary. Add that
famous physician to try to attract more patients. It creates a medical arms
race. Imagine instead that I get a per-member, per-month payment for a
population of patients. I no longer have a strong financial incentive for
doing more. If I find a way to save money by taking out waste, all the
savings come back to me and my patients. At the same time, I make measures
of quality outcomes transparent. That way patients can know they are getting
good care, and know what it will cost them.
WSJ: What impact do you expect
this to have on the health-care industry?
DR. JAMES: The whole health-care
world is shifting to having the care provider take over the financial risk.
In that world, your survival depends on being able to manage your costs. We
happened, by luck and circumstance, to get going on it early on. Suddenly
this is becoming a race, with some very capable groups entering the fray—but
it's a race toward excellence.
Total Transparency
WSJ: Will patients be able to
see your actual costs?
DR. JAMES: We made a commitment
from senior management that we will be completely transparent.
We have already started to post prices for things
that many patients buy directly, such as lab tests and imaging exams [such
as X-rays]. We will soon add things like routine office visits and simple
procedures, like screening colonoscopy. Later we will add major treatments
like delivering a newborn, or surgery to implant an artificial knee joint.
While we will post prices on our website, probably
the most effective sharing of cost information will happen through our
insurance partners' websites. We believe that patients will mostly want to
know what their own out-of-pocket costs will be, given that they've already
paid for their health insurance. That's true even if your "insurance plan"
is the care delivery group.
Finally, remember that some care delivery is
impossible to price as a package deal in advance. For example, treatment of
major automobile trauma is so unique that it's impossible to predetermine a
standard price.
WSJ: How much will the new
system cost?
DR. JAMES: Several hundred million
dollars. But I could pay for it in one year, if I can use it to get
significantly more waste out.
SUMMARY: This article describes many financial accounting issues
related to Tesla Motors' quarterly filing for the three months ended
September 30, 2013. As of this writing only the Form 8-K filing for the
press release of these results has been made. Topics addressed include
overall description of financial performance, stock based compensation,
leasing revenues versus outright sales, and free cash flow. Managerial
topics of production constraints and investment in property, plant, and
equipment also are touched upon.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a financial
accounting class to cover the wide array of topics listed above and below.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize the Tesla Motors financial performance
reported in the article for the three months ended September 30, 2013
2. (Introductory) How did the stock market react to the company's
performance? What was the reason for this reaction?
3. (Advanced) The company has said it had "adjusted income" of $15
million after excluding the accounting for certain items. What are these
items? List the items and briefly explain the accounting for them.
4. (Advanced) What do you think is the rationale for excluding
"stock-based compensation costs" in describing the company as profitable
rather than losing money?
5. (Advanced) "Tesla began a leasing program this year...." How
many of Tesla's customers lease their vehicles rather than buy them? Do you
think that having a customer take a lease of a vehicle is as good as making
an outright sale? Explain your answer.
6. (Advanced) Why must some revenue be deferred when a customer
leases rather than buys a vehicle? Hint: To understand the leasing and other
programs offered to its customers, you may access the most recent Tesla
Motors filing on Form 10-Q with the SEC click on Notes to Financial
Statements, then Summary of Significant Accounting Policies, and scroll down
to Revenue Recognition.
7. (Advanced) Is it helpful to understand the company's operations
when Tesla Motors says that it would have had revenues of $602 million
rather than the $431 million reported in this quarter's income statement if
it had counted all revenue from auto leases as sales? Explain your answer.
8. (Advanced) What is free cash flow? What does it mean for the
company to forecast "break-even free cash flow"?
9. (Advanced) What is a production constraint? What constraint is
Tesla Motors currently facing?
10. (Advanced) What purchase of property, plant and equipment is
Tesla Motors' leader, Elon Musk, proposing? If this plan is undertaken, will
it impact the company's free cash flow? Explain your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Tesla Motors Inc. TSLA -7.53% reported a narrower
third quarter net loss on higher production but its shares fell sharply in
after-hours trading as investors worried the luxury electric car maker's
outlook for revenue and profit fell short.
The Palo Alto, Calif., company said it delivered
5,500 of its $70,000 and up Model S electric cars in the three months ended
Sept. 30, including 1,000 vehicles shipped to Europe. That was more than the
company had projected earlier but below the whisper number of as many as
7,000 cars.
Tesla's shares fell 12% in after hours trading on
Tuesday after the company told investors to expect fourth quarter adjusted
profit would be similar to the third quarter. Excluding stock-based
compensation costs and accounting for Model S leases and "noncash interest
expense," the company said it had adjusted income of $16 million, or 12
cents a share, in the quarter.
Shares gained $1.61 to $176.81 in 4 p.m. trading on
the Nasdaq Stock Market NDAQ -1.07% before the release of quarterly results.
Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk said the company
would continue to increase production over the next several quarters from
its current rate of about 550 cars a week. Tesla forecast production of
about 6,000 Model S sedans in the current quarter.
Mr. Musk said the company is production constrained
primarily because of a lack of battery cells for its battery-powered Model
S. He said he expects the company's battery supply to improve next year as a
result of a new agreement with Panasonic Corp. 6752.TO -2.55%
Tesla Motors Inc. reported a narrower third quarter
net loss on higher production but its shares fell sharply in after-hours
trading as investors worried the outlook for revenue and profit fell short.
Mike Ramsey reports. Photo: Jason Henry for The Wall Street Journal.
Mr. Musk said that when Tesla begins building in
late 2016 or 2017 its mass-market electric vehicle, current production
capacity for the lithium-ion batteries won't be adequate. The company is
exploring building a battery plant with partners, most likely in North
America, he said on a conference call.
"There will need to be incremental production
capacity that doesn't exist in the world today," Mr. Musk said. "There will
need to be some kind of giga factory build."
Mr. Musk described the proposed battery factory as
one that could take raw materials in at one end, and ship finished battery
packs from the other end, evoking a lithium-ion battery equivalent of Ford
Motor Co. F -2.13% 's Rouge complex that early in the 20th century took in
iron ore and rolled out finished Model Ts.
The company posted a net loss of $38 million, or 32
cents a share, down from a loss of $110 million, or $1.05 a share, a year
earlier. Revenue rose eightfold to $431 million from $50 million a year ago
when the Model S was just starting to be delivered. Compared with the second
quarter, Tesla's revenue was up 6%.
On an operating basis, Tesla lost $30.6 million.
Now Reporting
Track the performances of 150 companies as they
report and compare their results with analysts' estimates. Sort by date and
industry.
More photos and interactive graphics
Tesla's gross margin, the profit after product
costs, was 24%. The company aims to get to a 25% gross margin by year-end.
Tesla began a leasing program this year under which
some revenue is deferred. Tesla said that if it took credit for the total
revenue expected from each lease transaction, it would have had revenues of
$602 million in the last quarter. Customers leased about half of the Model S
sedans delivered in the period, the company said.
After years of rapid growth, economies in Brazil,
Russia, India, China and South Africa, known collectively as the BRICS, have
slowed considerably, International Monetary Fund data show. The economic
environment has also gotten more difficult in central and eastern Europe,
the Middle East and North Africa.
EY surveys found that many companies in these
countries are under increased pressure to meet targets of their investors
and owners. In countries where enforcement of anti-bribery and
anti-corruption laws is less rigorous, survey respondents perceived a rise
in unethical practices. The surveys involved 681 executives, senior managers
and other employees at companies in eight Asia-Pacific countries and more
than 3,000 board members, managers and their team members in 36 European,
African and Middle Eastern countries.
While regulatory efforts to tackle fraud and
corruption seem to be improving in China, where only 9% of respondents said
using bribery to win contracts is common practice in their industry, 79% of
respondents in Indonesia reported widespread bribery and corruption.
In South Korea, where investigations into alleged
bribery are underway at state-owned enterprises, 86% of respondents said
their companies have policies that are good in principle but do not work
well in practice.
In India, 74% of respondents reported increased
pressure to deliver good financial performance in the next 12 months, and
54% of respondents said their companies often make their financial
performance look better than reality.
Respondents in Spain and Russia reported the
highest incidence of misleading financial statements (61%).
About half of all respondents in Malaysia (54%)
said their companies are likely to take ethical short cuts to meet targets
when economic times are tough, or double the Asia-Pacific average (27%).
Local application is key
“The majority of businesses surveyed have created
or are in the process of creating policies and procedures to deal with
fraud, bribery and corruption,” Chris Fordham, an EY managing partner for
Asia-Pacific, observed in the introduction of one of the survey reports.
“However, too often we see a disconnect in the local application of these
policies and tools.”
The Asia-Pacific findings echo results of the
survey involving European, Middle Eastern, Indian and African companies,
Fordham said.
Big data technology.
Seventy-eight per cent of the Asia-Pacific respondents agreed that tapping
the large volumes of data companies generate and collect routinely to
examine all company transactions would result in better fraud detection and
more effective prevention of corruption, but only 53% do it. In several
Asia-Pacific countries, including Malaysia and Indonesia, IT investments are
still seen more as a burden than a tool.
Whistleblower programmes.
Eighty-one per cent of the Asia-Pacific respondents considered them useful,
mainly because whistleblower programmes are easy to access and employees are
willing to use them, but only 32% set them up. Concerns about potential
retribution and lack of legal protection and confidentiality prevent
implementation of whistleblower programmes. Thirty-four per cent of
respondents in Europe, Africa and the Middle East said their companies had
whistleblower programmes.
Codes of conduct. About
half of the respondents in Europe, Africa and the Middle East said their
companies had anti-bribery codes of conducts with clear penalties for
breaking them and that senior management was strongly committed to the codes
of conduct. Forty-eight per cent said certain unethical practices, such as
offering gifts or cash to win business or falsifying financial statements,
are justified to help a business survive an economic downturn. In
Asia-Pacific, 40% of respondents said their companies have anti-bribery
codes of conduct, but only 34% include clear penalties and senior management
at only 35% of companies were seen as strongly committed to compliance.
Jensen Questions
Why build that new GM plant in Arlington, Texas and not the historic Motor City,
Detroit?
Isn't Detroit centrally located for both the USA and Canadian vehicle markets?
Aren't there enough good auto workers left in Detroit? I hope so in Detroit and
other parts of Michigan!
Won't the UAW make concessions to save Detroit? I hope so for the sake of
Detroit and Michigan!
(Note that the UAW did make concessions on wages, pensions, and robotics when
both GM and Chrysler were in Bankruptcy courts.)
What's the continuing comparative advantage of Texas?
Teaching Case for Managerial Accounting
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on October 17, 2013
SUMMARY: General Motors Co. is opening a $200 million
metal-stamping plant next to its Arlington, TX, site. Hoods, fenders, and
doors going into Tahoe and Yukon sport-utility vehicles for years were made
in Ohio and Michigan, then shipped to Texas. The new plant reduces the
travel for these parts "...to about 20 feet from machine to welder.
Estimated savings: about $40 million a year in shipping costs." GM's CEO Dan
Akerson is focusing on reducing logistics costs "to close the company's
profit margin gap with rival Ford Motor Co."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a managerial
accounting class to introduce logistics and supply chain management. It also
includes managerial accounting uses of four financial accounting measures:
gross profit, operating margin, operating profit, and pre-tax profit.General
Motors
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Define the terms logistics and supply chain
management.
2. (Introductory) Summarize how GM is trying to improve
profitability by reducing costs of logistics.
3. (Advanced) Why do you think that consultant John Henke says
"auto makers who are just trying to cut costs and not working with the parts
makers will lose"?
4. (Introductory) GM's overriding reasons for making moves to cut
logistics costs have to do with comparisons to rival Ford Motor Co. What was
the average profitability per vehicle shipped for Ford in the quarter ended
June 30, 2013? For GM?
5. (Advanced) How do you think that Ford and GM determine average
profitability per vehicle?
6. (Advanced) What are the differences among operating margin,
operating profit, and pretax profit? In your answer, define each of these
terms.
7. (Introductory) How do GM and Ford compare on each of the metrics
discussed in question 6?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
For years, General Motors Co. GM +1.51% pounded out
hoods, fenders and doors for its Tahoe and Yukon sport-utility vehicles at
plants in Ohio and Michigan and shipped them to its assembly plant in
Arlington, Texas.
On Monday, the auto maker officially opens a $200
million metal-stamping plant adjacent to the Arlington factory that reduces
that travel to about 20 feet from machine to welder. Estimated savings:
about $40 million a year in shipping costs.
The new plant, is part of a broader rethinking of
logistics by GM Chief Executive Dan Akerson, who is anxious to close the
company's profit margin gap with rival Ford Motor Co. F +0.98%
His aim is to lift GM's North American margins to
10% from about 8% now, a feat that would generate hundreds of million of
dollars in new profit.
"We spend billions a year on logistics," Mr.
Akerson said. "Think about that, billions. Any savings I can get by cutting
my logistics bill goes right to my bottom line and makes us more
competitive. I've told our teams that we need to make this a priority to
look across the organization and take the steps to cut the costs."
Having cut labor costs and closed unprofitable
plants during the 2008/2009 recession, GM now sees logistics as representing
the biggest potential opportunity to squeeze new profit from operations.
For its second quarter ended June 30, crosstown
rival Ford earned $2,830 for each car it shipped in North America—$387 more
per vehicle than GM did during the same period. Ford's 10.4% operating
margin and $2.3 billion operating profit overshadowed GM's 8.4% operating
margin and $1.98 billion pretax profit in the region.
Co-locating parts-making and auto assembly promise
higher quality and greater profit. GM and other auto makers say they can no
longer put up with parts that arrive scratched or dented and have to be
repaired. Workers at the Arlington plant had to waste time trying to buff
out imperfections caused by travel, GM said.
"We as an industry chased labor costs for years
because that was the only thing we thought we could control," said Tim
Leuliette, CEO of parts maker Visteon Corp. VC +1.30% "Now, with the reset
of labor costs, especially in the U.S., more efficiency in the plants and
the importance of quality, we can finally evolve."
Mr. Leuliette points to his own company's plans,
which include building more production facilities in Russia to supply car
makers there. Last month the company's Halla Visteon Climate Control unit
opened its first plant in Togliatti, Russia, to build cooling, heating and
air conditioning units for local producers such as OAO AvtoVAZ.
"They have finally all wised up," said John Henke,
chief executive of consultants Planning Perspective Inc., which conducts an
annual survey of auto maker and supplier relationships. "But unless all of
them stick with it, the savings won't amount to peanuts. I can't tell you
how many times we see new people on the executive level come in and change
things."
Mr. Henke said the drive to co-locate factories
intensifies the cost pressures on the parts suppliers. "Those auto makers
who are just trying to cut costs and not working with the parts makers will
lose," Mr. Henke said. "They will lose out on the latest advancements and
financial savings. Then all the logistic changes in the world won't mean
much."
Continued in article
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on August 9, 2013
SUMMARY: The article describes a current dispute "..that has become
commonplace in pay TV, centering on how much more money Time Warner Cable
should pay to carry CBS on its cable lineup....[A]t the core of it, the
companies are squabbling over their share of pay-TV's spoils-money that, if
the newspaper and music industries are any guide, could disappear much
faster than anyone expects." The related video clearly describes the fees
being disputed by Jason Bellini in #TheShortAnswer.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used to discuss
revenue-related contracts and cost control with a focus on change, including
decline, and innovation.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) For what service does Time Warner Cable pay CBS?
2. (Introductory) What is the nature of the current dispute between
the two companies? (Hint: The related article and video both help in
answering this question.)
3. (Introductory) How have these contracts in dispute impacted
costs at cable operators?
4. (Introductory) Access the related video "The Short Answer: Why
Time Warner Cable and CBS are at War." List all alternatives available to
viewers for watching their favorite television shows.
5. (Advanced) How have changes in this sector of the entertainment
industry impacted the way each party views the value of this contract
between the cable operator and network television stations? How are these
changes comparable to the newspaper and music industries?
6. (Advanced) What do you think might happen to the primary sources
of revenue to television network stations given the changes describe in this
and the related article?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
If anyone in the media world should pay attention
to the Washington Post's WPO -0.64% sale, it's Time Warner Cable Inc. TWC
+0.78% CEO Glenn Britt and CBS Corp. CBS -0.13% chief Les Moonves.
It was a mere coincidence that news of the Post
sale broke right after Mr. Britt had sent his latest missive to Mr. Moonves
in a months-long squabble over money. But the timing highlighted the essence
of what another cable executive, Jim Dolan of Cablevision Systems Corp., CVC
+0.10% was quoted saying Monday: The pay-TV industry is in a bubble. And it
remains perilously out of touch.
The dispute is one that has become commonplace in
pay TV, centering on how much more money Time Warner Cable should pay to
carry CBS on its cable lineup. CBS says it wants to be "paid fairly" for its
programming, while Time Warner Cable says it is trying to protect its
customers. But at the core of it, the companies are squabbling over their
share of pay-TV's spoils—money that, if the newspaper and music industries
are any guide, could disappear much faster than anyone expects.
As Dish Network Corp. Chairman Charlie Ergen said
on Tuesday, "all the content revenue in the industry is probably at risk,"
adding that "I don't think the industry quite understands how the Internet
works."
The Washington Post's $250 million sale perfectly
captures how digital technology has sucked most of the value out of
newspapers as advertisers defect to the Web.
Newspaper print ads fell 55% between 2007 and 2012,
according to the Newspaper Association of America.
It isn't only the Post suffering. The Boston Globe
was sold for $70 million Saturday, a fire sale for New York Times Co., which
paid $1.1 billion for it 20 years ago. That's what is called value
destruction.
Other sectors of media haven't fared much better.
In music, thanks to both piracy and the digital dismantling of the album
system, album sales fell 54% between 2000 and 2012, according to Nielsen
SoundScan. There are now just three major music companies, when six existed
in the mid-1990s.
Newsweek has its third owner in three years.
Some other companies are responding to the digital
transition. On Madison Avenue, Publicis Groupe SA's proposed merger with
Omnicom Group Inc. is an attempt to get ahead of the curve, joining forces
to better compete with Silicon Valley ad giants.
In television though, it isn't about the future.
It's about protecting the past. The players are seeking to squeeze more
money from the existing ecosystem—an ecosystem in which U.S. households pay
an average of $84 a month, according to SNL Kagan, for hundreds of channels
they don't watch.
Cable networks' share of those fees is expected to
amount to $44 billion this year, SNL Kagan says. That is separate to the $24
billion in advertising that flowed to cable networks last year, estimates
Kantar Media.
These huge flows of cash have fueled profits of big
entertainment companies in recent years. Time Warner Inc., 21st Century Fox
(the now-separate former entertainment side of News Corp, which owns The
Wall Street Journal), Walt Disney Co. and Viacom Inc. each derive the
majority of their profits from cable networks. Broadcasters, long out of
that loop, are making up for lost time by seeking bigger cash fees, which
explains CBS's current battle with Time Warner Cable.
But as Messrs. Dolan and Ergen have acknowledged,
these arrangements aren't sustainable. Younger people watch what they want
online, making the idea of cable TV less appealing. The percentage of people
age 13 to 33 subscribing to pay TV fell to 76% this June from 85% in June
2010, a new study by research firm GfK found.
"Cord cutting used to be an urban myth. It isn't
any more," said cable analyst Craig Moffett in a report Tuesday.
Yet the entertainment companies seem blissfully
unaware. Yes, most make their cable programming available online, but only
to TV subscribers who remember passwords, itself a turnoff. Some shows are
separately licensed to online outlets, like Amazon.com Inc., Hulu or Netflix
Inc., but not every outlet has all seasons.
Abstract:
This study
uses For Official Use Only data on U.S. military operations to evaluate the
large-scale Army policies to replace relatively light Type 1 Tactical
Wheeled Vehicles (TWVs) with more heavily protected Type 2 variants and
later to replace Type 2s with more heavily protected Type 3s. We find that
Type 2 TWVs reduced fatalities at $1.1 million to $24.6 million per life
saved, with our preferred cost estimates falling below the $7.5 million
cost-effectiveness threshold, and did not reduce fatalities for
administrative and support units. We find that replacing Type 2 with Type 3
TWVs did not appreciably reduce fatalities and was not cost-effective.
Harvard Business Review Blog, September 10, 2013
In substituting heavily armored combat vehicles at
a cost of $170,000 each for lighter, $50,000 vehicles during the 2000s, the
U.S. Army reduced infantry deaths by 0.04-0.43 per month at an estimated
cost per life saved that is below the $7.5 million commonly accepted "value
of a statistical life," say Chris Rohlfs of Syracuse University and Ryan
Sullivan of the U.S. Naval Postgraduate School. However, the Army's
subsequent replacement of about 9,000 of those new vehicles with even more
heavily armored vehicles, costing $600,000 each, did not appreciably reduce
fatalities and was not cost-effective for less-active infantry units,
according to the researchers' analysis of Army data.
Jensen Comment
I'm not quite sure about how or why "$7.5 million (is)
a commonly accepted 'value of a statistical life.'"
In courts of law other factors are used in valuing human life, including age
where younger people are valued more highly. The value of us old has beens
declines rapidly. Most infantry soldiers are relatively young (certainly
compared to me).
Of course in courts of law settlements must be doubled or tripled for the
so-called value of the lawyers.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on June 6, 2013
Companies turn to 3-D printing to cut costs Thanks to cheaper equipment and better technology, 3-D printing is
moving into the mainstream of business faster than many people realize,
CIO Journal’s Clint Boulton reports.
GE‘s
Aviation unit prints fuel injectors and other components within the
combustion system of a jet engine. GE is also experimenting with 3-D
printing to produce a medical device, the ultrasound probe. Researchers at
GE say that 3-D printing could help cut the costs of manufacturing certain
parts of the probe by 30%.
Jensen Comment
This technology seems to be betting for an accounting research case study
in cost accounting.
There is a different legislative framework in the EU
and the US regarding internal controls in companies. In the US, regulation on an
audit of internal control on financial reporting is contained in the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act, and subsequently embodied in the PCAOB standards. In the EU,
internal control regulations are contained in Company Law of the member states.
As a consequence, legislative differences have a pervasive effect on our
analysis --- http://ec.europa.eu/internal_market/auditing/docs/ias/evalstudy2009/report_en.pdf
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on January 7, 2015
As of December 15, 2014, the new 2013
COSO framework superseded the 1992 version for companies applying and
referencing COSO's internal control framework for purposes of complying with
Section 404 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. For banks and capital markets
firms, which operate under a complex regulatory environment, the transition
to the new framework involves careful considerations.
A well-known framework for risk management
is scheduled for another update.
The Committee of Sponsoring Organizations
of the Treadway Commission (COSO) announced Tuesday that it is undertaking a
project to update its Enterprise Risk Management—Integrated Framework,
which debuted in 2004.
Organizations use the framework to help
them manage uncertainty, consider how much risk to accept, and improve
understanding of their opportunities to increase and preserve value.
The update is being undertaken to improve
the framework’s content and relevance in the context of an increasingly
complex business environment. The update is intended to:
Reflect the evolution of risk
management thinking and practices, as well as stakeholder expectations.
Develop tools to help management
report risk information, and review and assess the application of
enterprise risk management.
PwC has been engaged to update the framework under the direction of COSO’s
board. PwC will seek input and feedback on the project, and will conduct a
survey seeking opinions on the current framework and suggestions for
improvements.
COSO is a committee of five sponsoring
organizations, including the AICPA, that come together periodically to
provide thought leadership on enterprise risk management, internal control,
and fraud deterrence.
In 2013, COSO completed an update of its
internal control framework to reflect changes in technology and the business
environment that have taken place since that framework’s origination in
1992.
What's New with COSO?
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on September 24, 2014
To unlock the value that can be achieved by adopting COSO's
2013 Internal Control-Integrated Framework, management should take a step
back and evaluate how it is addressing the risks to its organization in
light of its size, complexity, global reach and risk profile. Learn about
leading internal control practices that may help address common challenges
related to implementing the 2013 Framework, as well as perspectives on
applying the framework for operational and regulatory compliance purposes.
2013 Internal
Control-Integrated Framework Released
COSO has issued the 2013 Internal Control–Integrated Framework
(Framework). The Framework published in 1992 is recognized as the
leading guidance for designing, implementing and conducting internal
control and assessing its effectiveness. The 2013 Framework is
expected to help organizations design and implement internal control in
light of many changes in business and operating environments since the
issuance of the original Framework, broaden the application of internal
control in addressing operations and reporting objectives, and clarify
the requirements for determining what constitutes effective internal
control.
COSO has also issued Illustrative Tools for Assessing
Effectiveness of a System of Internal Control and the Internal
Control over External Financial Reporting (ICEFR): A Compendium of
Approaches and Examples. The Illustrative Tools are
expected to assist users when assessing whether a system of internal
control meets the requirements set forth in the updated Framework.
The ICEFR Compendium is particularly relevant to those who
prepare financial statements for external purposes based upon
requirements set forth in the updated Framework.
Northeastern University has agreed to pay $2.7
million to cover nine years of mishandling federal research funds, in the
largest-ever civil settlement with the National Science Foundation.
The case stems from the management of NSF grant
money awarded to Northeastern for work at CERN, the European Organization
for Nuclear Research, from 2001 to 2010. The work was led by a professor of
physics, Stephen Reucroft.
Both the NSF and Northeastern declined to discuss
the matter in detail. But the university issued a written statement that put
the blame largely on Mr. Reucroft, who retired from Northeastern in 2010.
"The conduct in question related to accounting and
grant oversight," Northeastern said in a written statement. "The university
self-reported the discrepancies to the funding agency, the National Science
Foundation, as soon as they were discovered and fully cooperated with the
agency’s review."
But the terms of the $2.7-million settlement
suggested that Northeastern bore substantial responsibility. According to
the agreement, the university failed to provide necessary oversight, failed
to pay interest due, paid salaries without required documentation, and paid
expense money based on inadequate or fraudulent documentation submitted by
Mr. Reucroft.
Northeastern "continued to engage in these
practices when it knew or should have known in 2006, if not before, that
Professor Reucroft had violated NSF requirements when he submitted
fraudulent claims for personal expenses," said the
settlement, which was
signed by
lawyers for Northeastern and by Anita Johnson, an
assistant U.S. attorney in Boston.
Continued in article
One of the problems is that the first trait may make the organization
complacent about the other two traits. Exhibit A is Brigham Young University
that certainly gets an A+ on the "encouraging an ethical culture" trait. But
this made BYU complacent about skepticism and engaging employees in internal
controls. Who would have guessed that a financial officer at BYU would pilfer
hundreds of thousands of dollars (2002)?
http://www.deseretnews.com/article/948838/Ex-BYU-official-is-charged-with-stealing-fees.html?pg=all
PROVO — Prosecutors say that a former BYU finance
officer and his wife used a defunct corporation as a shell to steal hundreds
of thousands of dollars in collection fees from the university over several
years.
In a preliminary hearing Friday in 4th District
Court, deputy Utah County Attorney David Wayment charged that John Davis and
his wife, Carol, used an expired corporate name as a front to skim thousands
in inflated student fees that were supposed to go to collection agencies.
By the end of the four-hour hearing, Judge James
Taylor found probable cause to bind John Davis over on seven counts of theft
and one count of racketeering, all second-degree felonies. Taylor, however,
found the state lacked enough evidence to prove that Carol Davis knew that
potential criminal activity was going on, despite having her name on several
bank accounts related to the crime.
Taylor ordered that four counts of theft and one
count of racketeering be dropped against Carol Davis.
During the hearing, finance officials with Brigham
Young University testified finding strange financial activity involving John
Davis, who worked as BYU's supervisor of collections.
Mark Madsen, assistant treasurer over student
financial services at BYU, testified of finding several checks requested by
John Davis made payable to a company called RCM (Regional Credit
Management). Madsen assumed that the company was a collection agency
contracted with BYU to collect on outstanding debts from students who had
failed to pay their tuition, library fees or parking tickets.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Universities are notorious for relying upon trust without adequate internal
controls. Much of the problem lies in tight budgets and unwillingness to
allocate funds for better internal control systems.
TOPICS: Accounting For Investments, business combinations, Interim
Financial Statements
SUMMARY: The article begins with a review of the LVMH report for
the third quarter of 2013. Sales of leather goods and fashion are falling;
the Louis Vuitton brand accounts for half the company's overall operating
profit. The discussion then covers acquisition strategies for new designers
which includes initial steps of support for young designers and small
investments which could be discussed as equity investments.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article discusses a company whose brands
are likely of interest to many students. The first questions on quarterly
performance may be used in any financial reporting class. The later
questions may be used to introduce business investment strategies before
covering either accounting for investments or business combinations.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize the main problems, according to the
author, with the financial report just issued by LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis
Vuitton.
2. (Advanced) Where is the stock for this company traded? (Hint:
click on the live link in the article in the first mention of the company's
name.)
3. (Introductory) What brand is the primary source of the company's
profits? What other brands and products does the company sell?
4. (Introductory) Until recently, what was the company's brand
focus for making sales grow?
5. (Introductory) What is the concept of diversification? According
to the article, how does this concept apply to LVMH's strategy in acquiring
designer brands?
6. (Advanced) Refer to the related article. Describe the newest
strategy the company is undertaking to spur growth.
7. (Advanced) How does LVMH support younger designers? How does
this strategy help spur growth at LVMH?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
These days, investors in LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis
Vuitton MC.FR +1.52% could do with a little variety.
Shares of the French fashion house fell 4.3%
Wednesday after the company issued disappointing third-quarter revenue. The
culprit: a mere 3% rise in currency-adjusted sales from the key fashion and
leather-goods division, which makes almost all of its profit from the Louis
Vuitton brand. While LVMH has some other red-hot brands such as Celine, they
were unable to make up for a soft performance from Louis Vuitton, which
accounts for about half of operating profit overall.
Unfortunately, heavy reliance on Louis Vuitton
could be an issue for some time to come.
In China, for instance, the luxury market has
become considerably more challenging in recent years. In the past, luxury
consumers mainly shopped for a few brands such as Louis Vuitton, Gucci and
Hermès. These days, malls in major cities are loaded with options for
increasingly sophisticated shoppers, says Frank Yao of SmithStreetSolutions,
a consultancy.
Another problem: LVMH has been slow to win online
sales, which have surged at rival luxury labels such as Burberry. It is
understandable that LVMH wants to have close control over the in-store
luxury-shopping experience. But the Internet will increase the knowledge of
wealthy shoppers quickly and probably encourage them to expand beyond their
old favorites.
What can Louis Vuitton do in response? Its current
strategy seems to be protecting itself from competitors by becoming even
more exclusive. In recent quarters, the company has begun focusing more on
ultraexpensive soft leather to reduce its reliance on canvas bags emblazoned
with the "LV" logo.
Such a shift makes sense—in the long run. But those
canvas bags probably help Louis Vuitton maintain very high margins that it
would have to sacrifice. Indeed, Thomas Chauvet of Citigroup estimates the
brand has an operating margin of 42%, well above the industry average.
Ultimately, the real solution is for LVMH to
actually make its conglomerate model work by nurturing the various brands it
has acquired into big moneymakers.
I’ve long been puzzled by the almost complete
disconnect between real-world businesses and academic economics. After I
graduated from college, I
went to work as a management consultant. Almost
nothing I learned as an economics major proved helpful to me in that job.
Then, when I went back to get a Ph.D., I thought what I had learned in
consulting would help me in economics. I was wrong about that as well!
Ever since, I’ve felt that both business and
economics would benefit from a greater connection. Why don’t businesses set
prices the way economics textbooks say they should? Why are randomized
experiments so rare in business? Why do economists write down models of how
businesses behave without spending time watching how decisions are actually
made at businesses? The list goes on and on.
It’s taken a while, but the business/economics
connections are finally starting to happen with greater regularity.
John
List and I wrote
an
academic piece about field experiments in
businesses a few years back that focused on how partnering with businesses
could help academics with their research.
The benefits are also going the other way. The
Economist has
a nice article about how microeconomists are
adding value to businesses. (I’m sure the economists mentioned in the
article are delighted to be included; I’m almost as sure they will hate the
cartoon likenesses that accompany it!)
For what it’s worth, I’m trying to do my part to
improve philanthropy and business through a little firm called
The Greatest Good.
But, damn, it turns out to be a lot harder to make
things happen in the real world than it is in the ivory tower!
Jensen Comment
We could use more of this in managerial accounting, especially in such areas as
CVP Analysis and ABC Costing.
Management accounting continues
to be useful for business, and one of its tools is Activity-Based Costing (ABC).
This paper is a thematic research review on the ABC System, its development,
applications, challenges, and benefits. Several researchers claim that ABC is
efficient in product pricing, cost-cutting strategy, and customer and
profitability analysis. Meanwhile, Time-Driven ABC was introduced with the
advantages of firm-wide application and lower costs. Several academicians argue
that TDABC can be useful in the simulation of the optimal resource allocation,
benchmarking, Balanced Scorecard and Total Quality Management. For both American
and British companies, researchers attributed a highly significant correlation
between overall ABC success and the purpose ‘Activity Performance Measurement
and Improvement.’ According to practitioners, ABC adoption has an important
consequence, i.e. it reinstated the relevance of management
accounting. However, based on
adoption rates in the U.K. and the U.S.A., few companies adopt ABC. Challenges
faced by companies in the implementation are the possible reasons. Researchers
cited the huge costs and technical complexity as the system’s predominant
challenges. This paper synthesized the researchers’ conclusions into two
unifying hypotheses on factors correlated to ABC adoption and success.
Abstract:
In a competitive environment, accurate costing information is crucial for
every business including manufacturing and service firms, fishing and
farming enterprises, and educational institutions. The Activity-Based
Costing (ABC) system, argued to be superior to the traditional volume-based
costing system, has increasingly attracted the attention of practitioners
and researchers alike as one of the strategic tools to aid managers in
better decision making. The benefits of the ABC system and its impact on
corporate performance have motivated numerous empirical studies on ABC; it
is considered to be one of the most-researched management accounting areas
in developed countries. China, an emerging market with a growing rate of
manufacturing industries, is no exception, as ABC entered China as a choice
for an innovative accounting system. Previous research on ABC conducted in
China examined pertinent issues related to ABC implementation, such as the
levels of ABC adoption in various countries, the reasons for implementing
ABC, the problems related to ABC and the critical success factors
influencing ABC. In their case studies, several authors declared ABC
implementation to be successful, but many have been reluctant to support
this seemingly novel system for many reasons. This paper reviews 48 research
studies on ABC carried out within the past decade in China, both case
studies and questionnaire-based research, from 2000 to 2013. We found that
ABC has been adopted in most manufacturing firms, many of which claim
success in cost reduction and performance improvement since its
implementation; in some service corporations, especially in logistics and
hospitals; and in only a few firms in the construction sector. In our study,
it should be noted that large firms with more than 1,000 employees were the
dominant group (65.58 per cent) applying ABC. Even though many firms in
China supported ABC’s use, many factors hindered its implementation: 1)
difficulty in establishing activities and linkages to existing systems for
gathering information to enter into an ABC system; 2) lack of adequate IT
resources; 3) insufficient knowledge of ABC among employees, which leads to
the fourth reason; 4) lack of management support. Despite these obstacles,
our research review leads us to believe that the rate of ABC implementation
in an emerging market like China will continue to rise.
Jensen Comment
I'm not certain that
"accurate costing information" is
the main goal of ABC costing. Perhaps a better phrase is "comprehensive costing
information." For example, ABC costing declined in popularity in product costing
in the USA due to derivation costs and limitations of ABC costing for product
costing ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Activity-based_costing#Tracing_Costs
The value of ABC costing may come more from the process of
investigating activity costs than from the dubious inaccurate product costs
using ABC models. One problem is that the benefits from a quality ABC costing
effort often do not exceed the costs of the effort. The above Terdpaopong et al.
paper suggests this may also be the case in China.
Academics love ABC costing because it is relatively easy to teach and is one
of the great 20th Century innovations (developed initially by practitioners) in
cost accounting. But academics may pass over the decline in popularity in
real-world implementations in practice.
"Better Accounting Transforms Health Care Delivery. Accounting Horizons,"
by Robert S. Kaplan and Mary L. Witkowski, Accounting Horizons, June 2014, Vol.
28, No. 2, pp. 365-383 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/acch-50658 (Not Free)
SYNOPSIS:
The paper describes the theory and preliminary
results for an action research program that explores the implications from
better measurements of health care outcomes and costs. After summarizing
Porter's outcome taxonomy (Porter 2010), we illustrate how to use process
mapping and time-driven activity-based costing to measure the costs of
treating patients over a complete cycle of care for a specific medical
condition. With valid outcome and cost information, managers and clinicians
can standardize clinical and administrative processes, eliminate non-value
added and redundant steps, improve resource utilization, and redesign care
so that appropriate medical resources perform each process step. These
actions enable costs to be reduced while maintaining or improving medical
outcomes. Better measurements also allow payers to offer bundled payments,
based on the costs of using efficient processes and contingent on achieving
superior outcomes. The end result will be a more effective and more
productive health care sector. The paper concludes with suggestions for
accounting research opportunities in the sector.
Keywords: cost management, health care,
measurement, activity-based costing
Received: October 2013; Accepted: October 2013
;Published Online: June 2014
Robert S. Kaplan is Senior Fellow and Professor
Emeritus at Harvard University; Mary L. Witkowski is a Fellow and an MD
candidate at Harvard University. Corresponding author: Robert S. Kaplan.
Email: rkaplan@hbs.edu
This research has been motivated and greatly
enriched by collaborative work with our Harvard Business School colleague,
Professor Michael E. Porter. His health care value framework provided the
context for understanding how improved accounting can contribute to better
delivery of health care.
INTRODUCTION
Health care spending in the U.S. has increased from
7.2 percent of Gross Domestic Product in 1970, to 9.2 percent in 1980, 13.8
percent in 2000, and 17.9 percent in 2011 (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services [CMS] 2013). At the same time, U.S. citizens have higher morbidity
and mortality rates than citizens in countries that spend much less on their
health care system (Nolte and McKee 2012). Much of the higher U.S. spending
is caused by a fee-for-service reimbursement system that compensates
providers for the volume of procedures they perform and not for the outcomes
they deliver. Another cause is the extensive fragmentation of health care
delivery and reimbursement (Reinhardt, Hussey, and Anderson 2004) in which
patients are treated in diverse organizational units including independent
physician practices, primary care clinics, hospitals, and rehabilitation and
chronic care centers. These clinical organizational units are structured by
medical and surgical specialty, not by a patient's medical conditions. As a
result, patient treatment and its reimbursement are dispersed across
multiple functional units, with each unit doing only one component of a
patient's total care for a specific medical condition.
Few incentives currently exist for treating a
patient's complete medical situation, or for performing a more active role
in preventive behavior and wellness. The 2011 Affordable Care Act improves
residents' access to the U.S. health care system, but it includes only
modest attempts to reform the system itself (Wilensky 2012). Increasing
access to a poorly organized and inefficient system will likely eventually
lead to government-imposed spending and price cuts, followed by lower
quality of care, longer waits for patients, and the financial distress and
exit of providers.
Other countries, while spending a smaller
percentage of their GDP on health care, are also experiencing cost increases
comparable to those in the U.S. (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and
Development [OECD] 2011). No country has yet to solve the fundamental
problem of how to reimburse providers for providing health care to their
populations. The U.S. fee-for-service model clearly does not work, but the
capitated payments and global reimbursement mechanisms used in other
countries lead to rationing of care and queues (Lee, Beales, Kinross, Burns,
and Darzi 2013; Wilcox et al. 2007).
Many of these problems are the result of a huge
measurement gap: only a very few providers today—physicians, clinics, and
hospitals—have valid measures of the outcomes they achieve or the costs they
incur to treat individual patients for specific medical conditions. The lack
of valid outcome information is partly a consequence of the fragmented way
in which health care is delivered, with each provider entity responsible for
only a component of the patient's complete care experience. But health care
is a more complex setting for measuring outcomes than are manufacturing and
most other service industries, which may explain why providers default to
input and process metrics rather than patients' outcome metrics.
The lack of valid cost measures in health care
provider organizations might require accounting historians to explain.
Hospitals have evolved an idiosyncratic system that assigns expenses to
procedures and patients based on charges and allocation ratios known as
Relative Value Units (RVUs) and not on the actual costs they incur to treat
patients. Separately, physician's specialty societies determine, and
periodically revise, RVUs for their procedures, which then get embedded into
the list prices established through Medicare's Resource-Based Relative Value
Scale (RBRVS) (Hsiao, Braun, Dunn, and Becker 1988a; Hsiao, Yntema, Braun,
Dunn, and Spencer 1988b; Marciarille and DeLong 2011). Physician practices
then measure the cost of their procedures by calculating a ratio of their
practice costs to these list prices (ratio of costs-to-charges or RCC
method). Health care administrators, seemingly unaware of the huge
distortions and cross-subsidies embedded in their faulty cost systems, are
in the situation described by former U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld
as, “they know not what they do not know.”
To summarize, few health care providers in the U.S.
and rest of world have valid measures, by medical condition, on patient
outcomes and costs. If you believe that “you can't manage what you don't
measure,” then the current ineffectiveness and inefficiency of health care
systems should not be a surprise. The best providers, lacking adequate data,
have few ways to signal their superior capabilities to attract higher
volumes at prices greater than their costs. Conversely, ineffective and
inefficient providers remain in the system, delivering inadequate care at
high societal cost, and depriving effective and efficient providers from
delivering higher value to a larger population of patients (Birkmeyer et al.
2002; Birkmeyer et al. 2003). A poor industry structure with a dearth of
measurements is a rich environment for accounting scholarship to play an
important role through research and education on better ways to measure
costs and outcomes.
In the remainder of the paper, we describe the
framework and preliminary results from an action research program conducted
at multiple pilot sites in the U.S. and Europe. The program's goal is to
explore how to remedy the severe measurement gaps in health care. We
conclude by suggesting opportunities for accounting research in the sector.
THE VALUE FRAMEWORK
The over-arching goal for any health care system
should be to increase the value delivered to patients (Porter and Teisberg
2006; Porter and Lee 2013). At present, however, many goals are advocated
for health care delivery including quality, access, safety, and cost
reduction. While each of these is individually desirable, none is
comprehensive enough to serve as a unifying framework for health care
delivery. Porter's framework (Porter and Teisberg 2006) defines value by two
parameters: patient outcomes and cost. Value increases when outcomes improve
with no increase in costs, or costs are reduced while delivering the same or
better outcomes. Currently, however, health care systems have diverse
incentives among their various participants. A provider's performance is
measured with input and process metrics, such as certification of personnel
and facilities, efficiency, access, quality, safety, and compliance. While
these metrics are useful for internal cost and operational control, they are
not sufficient to motivate health care providers to deliver more
value—better outcomes and lower costs—to end-use customers.
. . .
RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES
The introduction of cost and outcome measures into
health care delivery has just started, so the opportunities for research are
immense. Every reader of this article is within walking, cycling, or a short
driving distance to a potential field site and source of data. Developing,
introducing, and implementing new measurements in this industry will require
answering numerous technical questions—both conceptual and empirical—that
can be informed by careful research. Our initial projects have focused on
clinical departments delivering care to patients. Additional opportunities
are to investigate cost assignments for important ancillary care departments
such as radiology, laboratory, pharmacy, and central sterilization, as well
as administrative support departments such as billing, laundry,
housekeeping, and dietary. Researchers can explore the costs associated with
medical mistakes, no-shows, administrative paperwork, inadequate
documentation, processes that protect against malpractice claims, and
end-of-life care.
Beyond accounting and measurement issues, field
studies of the leadership and change management issues from introducing new
outcome and cost measurements would be fascinating. We know from past
experience that introducing new measurement systems triggers individual and
organizational resistance (Argyris and Kaplan 1994). Researchers should be
able to study how health care leaders solve the behavioral issues arising
from introducing change and modifying power relationships within health care
providers. Behavioral researchers can also explore the informational
processing issues when clinicians and administrators use multi-dimensional
outcome and cost data to optimize medical processes.
We have described how outcome and cost measurement
allows for a new reimbursement mechanism to be introduced. What are the
incentive and informational issues associated with changing the basis for
reimbursement from fee-for-service, capitation, and global budgeting to
bundled payments? Accounting scholars can participate in bundled payment
experiments to study the tensions and conflicts as various players in the
health care system attempt to work together to increase the value they
deliver to patients, rather than to optimize within their own specialty and
discipline. The complexity of interactions calls out for analytic research
to sort out the informational and incentive issues among the various players
in the system including patients, multiple providers, suppliers, and payers.
Accounting historians can shed light on how health care systems, around the
world, adopted reimbursement systems that are not aligned to deliver the
best value to the end use customer, the patient. They can also explore how
such a huge industry developed with so little calculation and reporting of
outcomes and costs.
The rationale for the Affordable Care Act in the
U.S. is that costs will go down if more residents are insured and seek
primary care rather than get treated, as charitable cases, when they show up
in hospital emergency rooms. Is this true? How much additional resources do
hospitals deploy to treat such patients and how many resources will no
longer be needed when more patients are insured and seek care from primary
care clinicians?
Accounting scholars can participate in field
experiments to document the value changes, both costs and outcomes, from
introducing a new pharmaceutical or medical device into the treatment
protocol for a medical condition. They can participate in field studies that
document how innovative provider organizations restructure themselves to
deliver the right care, at the right place, with the right mix of clinical
and administrative personnel, and with high capacity utilization, to improve
the value they deliver. Expertise in auditing of “soft” measures can be
productively applied to the measurement and verification of the outcome
measures that will be developed for each medical condition, and upon which
future reimbursement and reorganization of the treatments will be based.
In these ways, accounting scholars and educators
can help to influence the future of one of the largest and most important
sectors of society. The challenges are huge, but we already possess the
tools that can be deployed to address the issues.
Abstract
This case provides an opportunity for you to make accounting allocation
choices, justify those choices, and subsequently consider the ramifications
of those choices. Two different scenarios – one in the academic setting and
one in the business setting – examine the incentives and reporting issues
faced by managers and accountants – the gatekeepers in these reporting
environments. For each scenario, you will read the case materials, related
tables, and then answer the Questions for Analysis. Each scenario presents
you with an allocation task. In the first scenario, you will need to assess
group members’ contributions to a project and allocate points across the
group. These point allocations contribute to the determination of individual
group members’ grades. The second scenario is also an allocation task but in
a business setting, specifically the segment reporting environment. Here the
task is to allocate common costs across reporting segments. For advanced
reading, you will want to consider Accounting Standards Codification (ASC)
topic 820 which addresses segment reporting, as this can help guide you in
the degree of flexibility, if any, allowed in determining how to allocate
costs.
"Management Accountant—What Ails Thee?" Editorial by Ranjani Krishnan,
Journal of Management Accounting Research: Spring 2015, Vol. 27, No. 1,
pp. 177-191 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/jmar-10461
INTRODUCTION
For decades management accountants have made
substantial contributions to the practice, research, and teaching of
business. Economists such as Holmstrom (1979), Holmstrom and Milgrom (1991),
and Jensen and Meckling (1976) identified agency problems that could exist
between the firm and its owners, discussed the informativeness of signals of
managerial effort, and the optimal use of these signals in contracting.
Management accountants calibrated the properties of the signals, identified
optimal weighting schemes for the signals, determined the relative values of
signals in contracts, and assessed the difficulty in designing goal
congruent systems using these signals (Banker and Datar 1989; Feltham and
Xie 1994; Datar, Kulp, and Lambert 2001). Terms such as “controllability,”
“congruence,” and “balance,” which form the bedrock of modern accounting and
control systems, were first discoursed in the management accounting
literature. It is practically impossible to think of a major corporation
that does not have a Balanced Scorecard (Kaplan and Norton 1992). Topics
such as Activity Based Costing (ABC), Time Driven ABC, Customer Lifetime
Value, Capacity Cost Allocation, Target Costing, and the Balanced Scorecard,
are the staples of undergraduate, master's, and M.B.A. curricula throughout
the world.
Privately however, management accountants appear to
have had two damaging hobbies—self-flagellation, and exchanging doomsday
predictions. The same people who will laugh when told that a Zombie
apocalypse is imminent have no trouble declaring (almost triumphantly) that
the end of management accounting is within sight. The result is that we
scare away the young, further damaging our dwindling numbers.
Little respect is accorded to a discipline that
insists on endless debates about its own theoretical and methodological
boundaries. We have no trouble teaching our undergraduate or graduate
students that management accounting “measures, analyzes, and reports
financial and nonfinancial information that helps managers make decisions to
fulfill the goals of an organization” (Horngren, Datar, and Rajan 2012, 4),
or that “A fundamental purpose of managerial accounting is to enhance firm
value by ensuring the effective and efficient use of scarce resources”
(Sprinkle and Williamson 2007, 415).
Continued in articl
Saving Management Accounting in the Academy (by Sue Haka, former AAA
President)
I am involved with five university faculty to author
a report for the American Accounting Association on reforms for university
accounting course curriculums to shift the emphasis of teaching topics from
financial to managerial accounting methods. It is a noble effort. What concerns
me is how sensitive my co-writers are to the resistance from accounting faculty
that this shift would be different from what accounting professors already
teach. We will never move finance and accounting professionals from “bean
counters to bean growers” if we continue with traditional practices.
See below
Many who just read "managerial accounting" in this
blog's title are not bothering to read this. Why? They do not care. They
only care about external financial reporting for regulatory agencies,
bankers, and investors. This frustrates me because I interpret this as their
not caring about managers and employees who need better internal managerial
accounting information for insights and foresight to make better decisions
compared to what they are currently provided by their CFO's function.
Should I laugh or cry?
Allow me to share
with you some examples of what frustrates me related to this topic.
In a recent discussion thread in the
website of the
Institute of
Management Accountants (IMA) there
was a post that described how to calculate product and standard service-line
costs. The writer meticulously listed the steps. In the final instruction
they wrote to “allocate” the indirect and shared support expenses one should
use broadly-averaged basis like the number of direct labor input hours,
headcount, or square feet. I did not know whether I should laugh or cry!
Where have they been the last few decades?
This primitive cost
allocation method totally violates the costing principle of a
cause-and-effect relationship between changes in the amount of workload and
the products and services that consume those expenses. Activity-based
costing (ABC) resolves this. ABC has been researched and promoted since the
1980s. (I was trained in 1988 by ABC’s lead promoter, Harvard Business
School’s Professor Robert S. Kaplan. I subsequently wrote several books on
ABC.) After implementing my first ABC system, the company was shocked by how
different the product costs and profit margins were compared to their
existing “cost peanut butter spreading” method. They were exact in total,
but not with the parts. I then thought the practice of ABC would take off
like a rocket. It hasn’t, but its acceptance continues with a slow but
increasing pace. Too slow for me.
But wait.
There is more!
This blog may now
appear to be like a television Ginza knives commercial. There is more!
I am involved with five university
faculty to author a report for the
American Accounting Association on reforms for
university accounting course curriculums to shift the emphasis of teaching
topics from financial to managerial accounting methods. It is a noble
effort. What concerns me is how sensitive my co-writers are to the
resistance from accounting faculty that this shift would be different from
what accounting professors already teach. We will never move finance and
accounting professionals from “bean
counters to bean growers”
if we continue with traditional practices.
Another example of
my frustration involves adversarial competition for managerial accounting
practices. Often driven by self-serving consultants, they advocate
managerial accounting methods that only serve their interest. The late
Theory of Constraints (TOC) guru Eli Goldratt proclaimed, “Cost accounting
is enemy number one of productivity.” He proposed the throughput accounting
method, which with investigation only applies under very special conditions
of a 24 / 7 / 365 existence of a physical bottleneck like a heat treat oven
in a foundry. Some lean accounting advocates slam ABC as being misguided.
Both of these methods, if exclusively used, deny strategic analysts
understanding of the profit margins of products, services, channels, and
customers.
Cutting
through the Clutter
I participated on a task force that
recently published a report for the IMA titled “The
Conceptual Framework for Managerial Accounting.”
It is an exposure draft that anyone interested in it can review and comment
on. Our task force’s mission was to determine key accounting principles to
reflect economic reality that any managerial accounting system should comply
with.
Many organization’s
existing practices would fail compliance with the report’s framework. With
financial accounting, if the CFO gets the numbers wrong, they can go to
jail! But when they get the managerial accounting information, they don’t go
to jail. Nor should they. But at least CFOs should feel embarrassed and
irresponsible that they are performing a disservice to their organization’s
workforce who increasingly needs much better management accounting
information from which to further apply business analytics.
Continued in article
"Management Accountant—What Ails Thee?" Editorial by Ranjani Krishnan,
Journal of Management Accounting Research: Spring 2015, Vol. 27, No. 1,
pp. 177-191 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/jmar-10461
INTRODUCTION
For decades management accountants have made
substantial contributions to the practice, research, and teaching of
business. Economists such as Holmstrom (1979), Holmstrom and Milgrom (1991),
and Jensen and Meckling (1976) identified agency problems that could exist
between the firm and its owners, discussed the informativeness of signals of
managerial effort, and the optimal use of these signals in contracting.
Management accountants calibrated the properties of the signals, identified
optimal weighting schemes for the signals, determined the relative values of
signals in contracts, and assessed the difficulty in designing goal
congruent systems using these signals (Banker and Datar 1989; Feltham and
Xie 1994; Datar, Kulp, and Lambert 2001). Terms such as “controllability,”
“congruence,” and “balance,” which form the bedrock of modern accounting and
control systems, were first discoursed in the management accounting
literature. It is practically impossible to think of a major corporation
that does not have a Balanced Scorecard (Kaplan and Norton 1992). Topics
such as Activity Based Costing (ABC), Time Driven ABC, Customer Lifetime
Value, Capacity Cost Allocation, Target Costing, and the Balanced Scorecard,
are the staples of undergraduate, master's, and M.B.A. curricula throughout
the world.
Privately however, management accountants appear to
have had two damaging hobbies—self-flagellation, and exchanging doomsday
predictions. The same people who will laugh when told that a Zombie
apocalypse is imminent have no trouble declaring (almost triumphantly) that
the end of management accounting is within sight. The result is that we
scare away the young, further damaging our dwindling numbers.
Little respect is accorded to a discipline that
insists on endless debates about its own theoretical and methodological
boundaries. We have no trouble teaching our undergraduate or graduate
students that management accounting “measures, analyzes, and reports
financial and nonfinancial information that helps managers make decisions to
fulfill the goals of an organization” (Horngren, Datar, and Rajan 2012, 4),
or that “A fundamental purpose of managerial accounting is to enhance firm
value by ensuring the effective and efficient use of scarce resources”
(Sprinkle and Williamson 2007, 415).
The long run place
of management accounting in the academy seems in peril for
several reasons. First, there is an ongoing migration of
accounting topics to other disciplines. Second, evidence
suggests that the diversity in management accounting research
seems to be dwindling. Third, the value of our content for MBA
programs is not apparent. Finally, our engagement with the
management accounting practitioner community is weak.
First-topic migration:
I don't know about your experiences, but at my institution I
must be ever vigilant about traditional management accounting
topics migrating into management, marketing, or supply chain
classes. While I am delighted that cost-volume-profit topics are
important to my marketing colleagues, unfortunately the students
that come to my management accounting class after having been
"taught" CVP by my marketing colleagues cannot distinguish
between fixed and variable costs! Other topics taught by my
colleagues include ABC in supply chain and balanced scorecard in
management. Making sure that students are required to take a
management accounting class prior to classes where discussions
about how ABC is important for supply chain decision making
requires constant vigilance. Years ago management accounting
virtually gave capital budgeting up to the finance
department...is fair value measurement next!
Second-research
diversity: I have often been among those who have
suggested that general accounting research is not sufficiently
diverse (i.e. an overabundance of financial archival focus). I
forgot my mother's phrase--when you point at others, three
fingers point back at you! Recent reviews of JMAR topical areas
suggest a lack of diversity within our discipline. These reviews
show an overwhelming focus on performance measurement--in 2008
(2007) 48% (50%) of submitted articles were focused on
performance measurement. Only one other category is over 12%. It
seems that management accounting research is fairly narrow.
Third-value in the MBA:
Management accounting should be a bedrock of MBA programs.
However, we have let financial accounting eclipse management
accounting. MBA programs have, over the last decade, decreased
accounting content and the majority of that reduction has come
out of management accounting. Yet most MBAs become managers and
management accounting should be highly value added for them.
Finally-practitioner
engagement: While our colleagues in auditing and
financial accounting have opportunities to serve as fellows at
the SEC or FASB or take a semester or year to work at one of the
big four firms, management accounting faculty have
few established programs allowing us to experience first hand
many of the issues that we teach and write about. I believe
creating these types of opportunities would help us diversify
our research and convince others of the value of management
accounting for MBAs and in the practicing communities.
I'm sure you
have other issues that imperil the discipline of management
accounting. Please add your comments and discussion.
Note the relatively large number of comments to this article
Jensen Comment
This article caught my eye, because years and years ago one of then-current
Danish doctoral students, Torbin Thomsen, and I published an article in The
Accounting Review on how to improve costing of direct and indirect
labor by work sampling of workers doing varied activities throughout each day.
The particular application was inspired by my wife's duties in the medical
laboratory of the huge VA hospital in Palo Alto (when I was still in graduate
school at Stanford). Medical labs were much less computerized in those days, and
lab techs performed a variety of daily tests of blood, urine, feces, and spinal
taps.
It was very difficult estimate the labor cost of individual types of tests
(say blood cross-matching) since technicians darted from activity to activity
throughout the work day and night. Torbin and I proposed a work sampling model
for estimation of the the labor costs of laboratory tests.
The problem with our approach was that it was too intrusive. When randomly
signaled a technician would have to top what she/he was doing and record the
activity and time. In 2013 we now have new tracking sensors that are both less
intrusive and/or take the need for work sampling out of the picture. It's now
possible to track each entire work day. Big Brother has arrived!
"Statistical Analysis in Cost Measurement and Control," (with Carl T.
Thomsen), The Accounting Review, Vol. XLIII, No. 1, January 1968
Initial sales of electric cars have been sluggish,
so the next generation of the vehicles will be crucial for the future of the
technology.
Charged up: The compact electric Chevrolet Spark is
due to hit dealerships in 2013.
The Chevrolet Spark EV isn’t General Motors’ first
pure electric vehicle—that would be the EV1, which was quashed in 2003. But
this time around, GM is more serious about these vehicles.
GM showed off the battery-powered car and let
journalists make test drives this week prior to its debut November 28 at the
Los Angeles Auto Show. Compact, powerful, and easy to maneuver, the Spark EV
looks like a good next step for GM into plug-in vehicles. However, its price
has yet to be revealed. That will be crucial, because there has been limited
demand for costly electric cars that can’t go long distances without being
recharged.
The Spark joins a list of all-electric cars that
includes the Nissan Leaf, the Ford Focus Electric, and Tesla’s Model S.
Sales of these plug-in electric vehicles, as well as electric-and-gas models
like the Chevy Volt, are important not only for the carmakers, but also to
establish markets for advanced battery technologies and battery charging
infrastructure.
By 2017, GM wants to build as many as 500,000 cars
a year with electrification technologies, said Mary Barra, senior vice
president for global product development. That’s not trivial, considering
that today GM sells nine million vehicles annually. In addition to the Spark
EV, which will begin with small production runs for limited U.S. and Korean
markets, GM plans to make plug-in hybrids like the Chevy Volt and cars with
“eAssist technology,” which is a form of hybrid technology. However, Barra
says, GM will focus mainly on developing plug-in technologies rather than
the traditional gasoline engine hybrids, where Toyota and Ford have made
larger investments.
Even as GM plans to send the Chevy Spark EV to
dealerships in the middle of next year, the company is still struggling with
the Volt, which, unlike the Spark, has a small gasoline tank to extend its
battery range. The Volt has had a slow start since its 2010 debut (see “As
GM Volt Sales Increase, That Doesn’t Mean It’s Successful”). GM won’t be
close to its goal of selling 60,000 Volts this year. Last month it sold
fewer than 3,000.
But the Spark could help justify GM’s earlier
investments. Its electric powertrain, which will be manufactured in
Maryland, borrows heavily from the Volt. GM engineers tinkered with the
design to achieve more horsepower and faster acceleration. For example, they
custom-shaped each square copper wire inside the motor’s coil. Their goal is
to broaden the car’s appeal by selling its “fun-to-drive factor.” I found
that getting the car from 0 to 45 miles an hour down a short stretch of road
required only a pleasantly light touch on the pedal.
. . .
In hopes of reducing “range anxiety,” or the worry
about running out of charge, GM is making the Spark the first car on the
market to use a new North American “fast-charging” standard, approved in
October. In special charging stations equipped with the technology, a driver
could power 80 percent of the battery in 20 minutes—compared to seven hours
for a full charge at home. None of these fast-charging stations are on the
road yet, but General Motors expects some will come online by the time the
Spark gets into dealerships.
Jensen Comment
The Spark may make an excellent commuting alternative for many persons, but for
distance travel there are serious drawbacks. The biggest worry is getting
stranded where there are no power outlets for miles and miles. Tow trucks of the
future may well have emergency charging technology, but it's still a pain
waiting a hour or more for a tow truck to bring you some juice. The Volt looks
like a better alternative except that the luxury-car price of a Volt, the
limited electric power range that drops to less than 30 miles in cold weather,
and the poor gas mileage have virtually eliminated the future of Volt production
and sales.
Cost savings are dubious for people who are single and now get by with only
one car. The only alternatives are to invest in two cars or use gasoline car
rental services when longer trips are planned.
The bottom line is that, at this point in time, the Spark might be more
trouble than it's worth for most car buyers except for commuters who already own
multiple cars for their families.
Possible Cost Accounting Student Projects
Cost accounting students in teams might be assigned the task of comparing the
Spark versus the Volt versus gasoline and diesel automobile alternatives under
various lifestyle scenarios. One uncertainty in this equation is how states will
adjust licensing fees for electric cars and serious hybrids that no longer
contribute toward road maintenance costs with each gallon of gas purchased.
Another complication is the varying cost of electric power across the 50
states. California, with its new carbon tax, will have very high electric
charging rates and gasoline prices. It will be hard to compare the cost of Spark
ownership in California with other states like Delaware. And then there are
states like Texas where there are miles and miles of open spaces having no
towns. It will take a very long time before Texas lines its highways with
emergency charging stations. The same can be said for many other states like New
Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, Montana, Alaska, etc.
Another complication is the varying cost of electric power across the 50
states. California, with its new carbon tax, will have very high electric
charging rates and gasoline prices. It will be hard to compare the cost of Spark
ownership in California with other states like Delaware. And then there are
states like Texas where there are miles and miles of open spaces having no
towns. It will take a very long time before Texas lines its highways with
emergency charging stations. The same can be said for many other states like New
Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, Utah, Montana, Alaska, etc.
Teaching Case in Cost and Managerial Accounting
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 29, 2013
SUMMARY: This is quite a long article covering the recent revival
of U.S. rail transportation as well as some of its up and down history.
"North America's major freight railroads are in the midst of a building boom
unlike anything since the industry's Gilded Age heyday in the 19th
century-this year pouring $14billion into rail yards, refueling stations,
additional track. With enhanced speed and efficiency, rail is fast becoming
a dominant player in the nation's commercial transport system and a vital
cog in its economic recovery." The investment boom is focused on making
"existing rail lines more efficient and able to haul more and different
types of freight."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article contains an excellent general
discussion of management accounting issues about capital spending, use of
technology, use of metrics, and measuring carbon footprint.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) The first graphic related to the article shows
"capital spending by the biggest freight railroads in the U.S." Define
capital spending in general, then describe the types of capital spending
that U.S. railroads have been doing over the last 8 to 10 years.
2. (Introductory) What types of goods are railroads shipping?
Against what other modes of transportation are railroads now effectively
competing?
3. (Advanced) Why is rail shipping "helping to make manufacturing
in North America cost effective again"? In your answer, specifically state
how transportation costs must be considered in the cost of, and therefore
pricing of, any product an American producer will sell.
4. (Advanced) What happened when the rail industry faced "a
near-death experience in the 1970s"? Include in your answer a comment on how
information technology and metrics can help change "how you run a railroad."
5. (Advanced) How did UPS use its influence over its supply chain
to further contribute to its railroad transportation suppliers' use of
"technology and strategy"? In your answer, provide a brief definition of a
supply chain.
6. (Advanced) Union Pacific Corp.'s chief executive is concerned
about "juggling capital investments with return to shareholders." Explain
that statement
7. (Advanced) The director of logistics and transportation at the
Container Store Inc. says that one benefit of using railroads has been to
cut his company's carbon footprint by 40%. What is a carbon footprint? In
what external report might that information be published by the company?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
EPPING, N.D.—On a recent subzero day at a rail
station here on the plains, a giant tank train stretches like a black belt
across the horizon—as far as the eye can see. Soon it will be filled to the
brim with light, sweet crude oil and headed to a refinery on Puget Sound.
Another mile-long train will pull in right behind it, and another after
that.
Containers are loaded onto a train at the BNSF
facility in Fort Worth.
Increasingly, scenes like this are being played
throughout the country. "Hot Trains" dedicated to high-priority customers
like United Parcel Service Inc. UPS +0.55% roar across the country to
deliver everything from microwaves to tennis shoes and Amazon.com AMZN
+0.45% packages. FedEx Corp., FDX +0.56% known for its huge fleet of
aircraft, is using more trains, too.
Welcome to the revival of the Railroad Age. North
America's major freight railroads are in the midst of a building boom unlike
anything since the industry's Gilded Age heyday in the 19th century—this
year pouring $14 billion into rail yards, refueling stations, additional
track. With enhanced speed and efficiency, rail is fast becoming a dominant
player in the nation's commercial transport system and a vital cog in its
economic recovery.
This time around, though, the expansion isn't so
much geographic—it is about a race to make existing rail lines more
efficient and able to haul more and different types of freight. Some of the
railroads are building massive new terminals that resemble inland ports.
They are turning their networks into double-lane steel freeways to capture
as much as they can get of U.S. freight demand that is projected to grow by
half, to $27.5 billion by 2040, according to the U.S. Department of
Transportation. In some cases, rail lines are increasing the heights of
mountain tunnels and raising bridges to accommodate stacked containers. All
told, 2013 stands to be the industry's third year in a row of record capital
spending—more than double the yearly outlays of $5.9 billion a decade ago.
And in a turnabout few could have imagined decades
ago, rail is stealing share from other types of commercial transport—most
notably the trucking business, which is waylaid by high fuel prices,
overloaded highways, driver shortages and regulations that are pushing up
costs.
Transport by rail is also relatively cheap. Though
rising, U.S. freight rail rates are nearly half what they were three decades
ago, according to the Association of American Railroads. And those bargains
are helping to make manufacturing in North America cost effective again.
Since 2007, more than $100 billion of foreign direct investments have been
made in Mexico, Robert Knight, Union Pacific UNP +1.12% Chief Financial
Officer, told analysts at a recent conference. He expects annual production
of 2.7 million vehicles in that country to increase by another million by
2015.
"We wouldn't have as many companies considering
moving back to the U.S. or near-shoring," if not for rail, says Yossi Sheffi,
Professor of Engineering Systems at MIT and director of its Center for
Transportation and Logistics. "Some of it is the cheaper energy. But we
could not be moving the oil around without rail. We could not have the huge
amount of imports without the rail."
A confluence of other factors is advancing the
trend. The energy boom, for instance, is reviving industries like steel and
chemicals. Higher labor and transportation costs in parts of Asia are
triggering a surge in sourcing from nearby.
"All those things have put the railroads into a
great sweet spot for what's next in this economy," says Matthew K. Rose,
chief executive officer of BNSF Railway. "Nobody wants to miss out."
BNSF, purchased by Warren Buffett's Berkshire
Hathaway Inc. BRKB +1.01% in 2010, is investing $4.1 billion on a list that
includes locomotives, freight cars, a giant terminal southwest of Kansas
City and new track and equipment for its oil-related business in the Bakken
shale region of North Dakota and Montana.
Union Pacific Corp. is spending $3.6 billion on a
giant terminal near Santa Teresa, N.M. It is designing a new $400
million-$500 million bridge over the Mississippi at Clinton, Iowa, to
replace an old drawbridge that routinely delays trains for hours at a time.
It will double some track in Louisiana and Texas and expand rail yards there
and in Arkansas to provide more capacity to chemical customers such as Dow
Chemical Co. DOW +0.19% and Exxon Mobil Corp. XOM -0.52%
CSX Corp. CSX +1.15% will spend $2.3 billion partly
to finish the first phase of a multiyear project, raising highway bridges,
enlarging mountain tunnels and clearing some 40-odd obstacles to make enough
space to accommodate double-decker containers all the way from the Midwest
to the mid-Atlantic ports.
Kansas City Southern Railway Co. will spend $515
million. "We're a growth railroad," David Starling, its chief executive,
told a securities analyst who questioned the expenditure in January. "The
worst thing this team wants to be accused of is having some service
deterioration because we didn't have the foresight to spend the money."
Passenger rail is undergoing something of a
renaissance, too. It was the passenger business that nearly killed the
freight business in the 1960s and 1970s. Part of the legislation designed to
save the railroads in the 1970s allowed them to shed the passenger business.
Lately, the Obama administration has invested nearly $12 billion in
passenger rail, according to the Department of Transportation, that has been
used to fund 152 projects in 32 states.
Trains may seem like relics of a bygone era. Not
so. Steeled by a near-death experience in the 1970s—when many railroads
filed for bankruptcy and braced for the threat of a government takeover—the
railroads instead were largely deregulated. The survivors fought hard. They
squeezed capacity, resolved labor issues, swallowed up weaker players and
rebuilt. By the time rail's prospects began to brighten a decade ago, the
executives were "a much younger, more IT, more metric-minded group," says
William Galligan, vice president of investor relations at Kansas City
Southern KSU +2.93% . "They had a whole new view toward how you run a
railroad."
Continued in article
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on April 5, 2013
SUMMARY: "As Warren Buffett noted in 2008, the airline industry
historically has typified the worst sort of business: 'one that grows
rapidly, requires significant capital to engender the growth, and then earns
little or no money.' Originally run by pilots, the art of managing to
provide sufficient capacity without giving oversupply that fells revenues
and increases costs has proven elusive for all who have filled its
management posts. "But after 29 bankruptcies in 30 years, and a string of
deals culminating in this year's merger between AMR's American Airlines and
US Airways Group, there is a growing belief that airlines have cut capacity
to the point where they can make money over the long haul."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Questions focus on managerial topics of
capacity and product cost management for fuel.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize the points in the article about the
airline industry's difficult operating history.
2. (Introductory) What are the factors pointing to a more positive
outlook for airlines' future than its past?
3. (Advanced) Define the term capacity. How have fuel prices
"forced a new discipline on airlines" with respect to capacity? Explain your
answer in terms of both the individual airline perspective and the overall
industry perspective.
4. (Advanced) "Increases in the cost of jet fuel" and "volatility
in fuel prices in recent years" are both credited as cost behaviors forcing
"discipline on airlines." What is the difference between these two cost
behaviors?
5. (Advanced) Suppose you are a manager responsible for securing
fuel for an airline. What two tactics will you consider to manage the two
fuel price issues discussed above?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
In Greek myth, Icarus flew too close to the sun
just once. Airlines have been doomed to do it over and over again.
But lately, amid speculation that the industry has
finally got its act together, investors have been flocking to it. The NYSE
Arca Airline index is up 43% in the past six months. This means that,
adjusted for inflation, the index would need to gain a mere 42% more…to
reach where it began trading in 1994.
Yes, the airline industry has been a miserable
investment over the long haul. More miserable, in fact, than the airline
index's record suggests since so many public airlines have gone
bankrupt—many of them repeat offenders like Trans World Airlines, which
filed for Chapter 11 for a third time before merging in 2001 with American
Airlines, which filed for bankruptcy itself a decade later. As Warren
Buffett noted in 2008, the airline industry historically has typified the
worst sort of business: "one that grows rapidly, requires significant
capital to engender the growth, and then earns little or no money."
But after 29 bankruptcies in 30 years, and a string
of deals culminating in this year's merger between AMR's AAMRQ +2.58%
American Airlines and US Airways Group, LCC -0.88% there is a growing belief
that airlines have cut capacity to the point where they can make money over
the long haul.
Increases in the cost of jet fuel, along with
volatility in fuel prices in recent years, have forced a new discipline on
airlines. Because older aircraft are less fuel-efficient, it is much more
difficult to simply lease some used aircraft, start a new airline, and
undercut competitors than it used to be. Existing airlines are also less
eager to expand capacity.
The hope—for investors, if not travelers—is that
with the persistent problem of excess capacity sorted, airlines will more
easily be able to improve profit margins by charging ever-higher airfares.
But CreditSights analyst Roger King notes that
while this is a story he believes in, so far it is just a theory. "You can
only charge people so much," he says. "But we don't know what that is."
Indeed, at least for a coach-class ticket, airlines
may face some real difficulty charging more. Witness the myriad fees for
luggage and legroom that they have been tacking on: Surely, these aren't the
ploys they would be stooping to if travelers had much stomach for paying
more.
Moreover, if the airlines really do manage to keep
raising ticket prices and fees, nobody knows whether they will be able to
stick with their capacity discipline for long. Higher prices have a funny
way of making companies more expansion-minded, as this industry's history
demonstrates only too well. And with fewer seats over which to spread their
overheads, the airlines need to squeeze as much revenue as possible out of
each one to generate profits.
The management system of the future will need to
adapt to a world that demands greater transparency, corporate
responsibility, better risk management and changing patterns of human
capital management, according to David Norton, co-founder of the most
popular performance management system, the Balanced Scorecard.
The Balanced Scorecard is claimed to be used by 70%
of companies across the world. The key to its longevity and popularity, says
Norton, has been its ability to adapt and provide solutions to changes in
the broader economy.
“The management system cannot lead change, it
adapts to these broader macroeconomic things,” he says.
“The question about [whether] the Balanced
Scorecard is obsolete – the answer is ‘yes’. Every day it becomes partially
more obsolete, as do the management systems in general that you are using.”
Norton was speaking at the CGMA event “Kaplan and
Norton: A contemporary performance” at the University of Edinburgh on
Monday. The event was one of several events happening this week featuring
Norton and his collaborator, professor Robert Kaplan, marking the 20th
anniversary of the Balanced Scorecard.
In a thought-provoking address, Norton laid out the
five major challenges performance management systems must overcome to remain
relevant in the next 10 to 20 years.
1. Managing human capital will
become a greater issue. Norton says this is due to what he describes as the
“stratification of knowledge work”, which could involve organisations
carrying out certain functions in countries where they can derive the most
value.
“What kind of knowledge work is best done here
versus there? In the US we have a certain level of unemployment even though
we have hundreds of thousands of jobs unfilled. Why? Because we don’t have
trained workers to step in those jobs, they haven’t readapted in the face of
the new economy.
“That’s going to be a big deal and is probably the
ultimate challenge for people who measure. How do I measure whether or not
my human capital is adequate?”
Norton believes part of the answer can be found in
the "cause and effect" logic that underpins the Balanced Scorecard approach.
Cause and effect describes how delivering performance on a perspective, such
as financial success, can only be achieved by delivering on another
perspective, such as customer satisfaction.
“A new mathematics is required here,” he adds. “In
the old world, I would measure something like employee turnover and I would
look at it in isolation. But what we’ve learned through strategy mapping in
the Balanced Scorecard is that performance comes from cause and effect
relationships.
"For example, if I want to increase revenue, I have
to increase customer confidence and participation. To do that I have to find
a critical process and improve it, and to do that I have to train people and
give them technology. It's a clear set of "cause and effect" relationships
that you find when you learn what a company's strategy is."
2. The networked economy describes
the growing interdependence companies have with internal and external
suppliers.
“Management systems of the last generation were
designed with idea of the legal boundaries of an organisation as being the
domain for which strategy and measurement was related,” Norton says. “With
outsourcing, you find the legal boundaries start to become meaningless. If
your IT department reports to you, it’s inside the legal boundaries. But if
it is outsourced, it reports to you in a different way.”
This also applies to a growing number of joint
ventures as organisations need to manage what the priority of the joint
venture is and whether it leans towards a specific partner or adopts a
strategy that is different from that of the parent organisations.
3. Transparency: A growing trend
is the need for non-profit and governmental organisations to become
transparent. Several governments have committed their governance systems to
the Balanced Scorecard, such as the governments of the United Arab Emirates,
the Philippines and Botswana.
Each country and city has its own priorities, such
as the creation of new businesses or to position itself as a leader in an
industry sector.
Norton says the challenge is to ensure performance
management systems adapt to evolving strategies.
4. A new role for corporations:
Norton points out that the role of corporations in society is changing to
recognise their impact on the environment and society, and management
systems of the future must be designed with this in mind.
“It’s not enough anymore to make money,” he says.
“If you broaden the responsibility of an executive, think about the
implications of that on the measurement system, instead of narrowly focusing
on one dimension as a success indicator.”
5. Risk: The management system of
the future must take into consideration that organisations are becoming
increasingly risk averse.
“Half of any strategy is what do I do if I succeed,
and the other half is what do I do if I fail. I think almost all of our
attention in the past decade has gone on the upside. Now, through a
combination of randomness and forces, we are seeing problems in the
financial system, rogue traders, hurricanes, problems in quality control of
health-care organisations – disasters all around us. That’s created an
awareness that more time has to be spent on dealing with risk and
particularly strategic risk.”
On reflection: In outlining
challenges for the future, Norton explains that in the past 20 years the
Balanced Scorecard has had to negotiate several hurdles, including the shift
from a products-based economy to a knowledge-based economy, exponential
improvements in the speed of processes and systems, the decentralisation of
the workforce and integration of governance systems across an enterprise.
Continued in article
Also Bob Kaplan Speaks
At
another event in the anniversary series, Balanced Scorecard co-founder
Robert Kaplan explained how poor cost measurement is plaguing the U.S. health
care system and what can be done to fix it.
CGMA Magazine (11/6)
SUMMARY: "Burger King, which had rested on a years-long strategy of
serving big burgers aimed at fast food's heavy users, faltered during the
economic downturn when its target market was hit by high unemployment. In
2010, 3G Capital Management LLC took Burger King private...[and added] a new
menu of snack wraps, salads and smoothies intended to appeal to a broader
group of customers...It is unclear whether the changes will be enough for
Burger King to reclaim [its position as]...the No. 2 burger chain behind
McDonald's by U.S. system-wide sales." The reference "system-wide" nods to
the fact that these chains are franchise-owned but each also operates some
stores from the corporate parent. "Many restaurant chains have been moving
away from owning their restaurants...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used when covering
revenue recognition for franchise sales.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Define the terms franchise, franchisor, and
franchisee.
2. (Introductory) According to the article, why are corporate
parents for restaurant chains such as McDonald's and Burger King moving away
from owning their restaurants? How do these entities earn revenues?
3. (Advanced) Refer to the related article. Why does the strategy
being undertaken by Burger King result in revenue falling "by half over just
two years"?
4. (Advanced) What costs do franchisors incur in earning their
revenues?
5. (Introductory) What unexpected cost factors impacted Burger
King's profitability in the quarter ended September 30, 2012? How do these
costs relate to the company's growth opportunities?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Burger King Worldwide Inc. BKW -2.88% said its
profit plunged in the latest quarter, but pointed to signs that its strategy
to broaden its appeal beyond hungry young men is starting to pay off.
For its first full quarter since a new ownership
group took it public, Burger King said its net profit fell 83%, mainly
because of restructuring costs and unfavorable changes in foreign-exchange
rates. But the burger chain said same-store sales rose 1.4%, beating
analysts' expectations.
Burger King, which had rested on a years-long
strategy of serving big burgers aimed at fast food's heavy users, faltered
during the economic downturn when its target market was hit by high
unemployment. In 2010, 3G Capital Management LLC took Burger King private,
ditched the King mascot and its irreverent ads, and started becoming more
like McDonald's Corp. MCD -0.83% with a new menu of snack wraps, salads and
smoothies intended to appeal to a broader group of customers.
"We saw more women and people over 50 come in to
our stores, which is good because they tend to have higher average checks
and trade up to more premium items," Chief Financial Officer Daniel Schwartz
said in an interview.
It is unclear whether the changes will be enough
for Burger King to reclaim the crown it lost earlier this year to Wendy's
Co. WEN -1.95% as the No. 2 burger chain behind McDonald's by U.S.
system-wide sales.
Burger King this summer became public once again in
a deal with hedge-fund manager William Ackman, whose U.K.-based Justice
Holdings Ltd. bought 29% of Burger King. 3G Capital remains Burger King's
principal shareholder with a 71% stake.
Mr. Ackman urged the company to sell its
corporate-owned restaurants to franchisees, to help insulate it from the
volatility that comes when commodity and labor costs increase. Many
restaurant chains have been moving away from owning their restaurants, so
they can focus on managing their brands while collecting steady royalty
fees.
Burger King said putting ownership of its
restaurants into franchisees' hands has encouraged franchise owners to
remodel dated stores. Burger King said it plans to sell nearly all of its
12,600 restaurants to franchisees by the end of the year.
The cost of converting those stores to franchise
owners, as well as shifts in currency values that Burger King didn't expect,
hit earnings in the latest quarter. Burger King reported a net profit of
$6.6 million, or 2 cents a share, down from $38.8 million, or 11 cents, a
year earlier. Revenue dropped 26% to $451.1 million. Analysts polled by
Thomson Reuters had most recently forecast earnings of 14 cents a share on
revenue of $440 million.
The soft economy has affected Burger King, just as
it did McDonald's, which earlier this month reported a 3.5% decline in
third-quarter earnings. Burger King said it experienced a slowdown in
customer visits from the second quarter, especially from those seeking value
meals at other chains.
Still, excluding business-combination expenses,
realignment project costs and other items, adjusted per-share earnings rose
to 17 cents from 16 cents a year ago.
Systemwide same-store sales rose 1.4%, edging out
the 1.2% growth estimate from analysts polled by Thomson Reuters.
Handling unexpected events, ranging from sudden
competitive shifts within an industry to economic and political volatility,
is never easy. But some companies seem better equipped to meet such
challenges than others. As CFOs have pushed deeper into broader strategic
roles for their organizations over the last decade, scenario-based planning
has become an important tool that can help organizations adapt quickly to
new threats and opportunities.
Going further than traditional forecasting,
scenario-based planning is not meant to predict the future, but to make
decisions today that take into account alternative ways the future could
turn out. At its best, scenario-based planning is a flexible tool that can
assist in the development of strategies for operating in any of several
contrasting business and economic environments that could lie ahead.
Scenarios can be used to develop a wide range of plans, from fundamental
changes in strategy caused by global paradigm shifts to tactical contingency
planning focused on possible near-term developments.
Business Uncertainties
The starting point is the premise that business
uncertainties should be highlighted rather than minimized when a company is
defining strategy. “At the corporate level, scenarios can help a company
establish an overall frame of reference for its strategic planning
processes,” says Dwight Allen, director, Strategy Development, Deloitte LLP.
“At the business-unit level, managers can use these scenarios to test and
refine their existing strategies. The corporate development group can use
the scenarios as input to make limited, expandable investments in assets
that would facilitate adaptation to developments that are different from
what business units are planning for but which are sufficiently plausible to
justify some advance preparation.”
. . .
Distinguishing between Shorter- and
Longer-term Initiatives
It can be helpful to group the different
applications of scenario-based planning into three tiers:
First Tier: Longer-term
macro-scenarios—These high level scenarios are developed to provide context
for corporate-level strategic planning. They are “broad brush” and
overarching scenarios. While these scenarios are at a higher level, they may
be the most important as their input sets the direction and tone for the
analysis and planning performed at the business-unit level. They also offer
guidance as to what developments the business units may be discounting as
they make their decisions on what market conditions to assume as they review
and refine their strategies.
Second Tier: Impact of
macro-scenarios on business units—After the longer-term scenarios have been
developed, the next step is to understand how each would impact the various
business segments (units/markets/industries/etc). Competitive strategy will
vary and should be tailored based on the intricacies of each business unit
and its market. Once the potential impacts of each scenario have been
identified and the appropriate strategic responses are defined, each
business unit determines what future market conditions it will assume and
what strategy it will adopt. In a company with many lines of business, the
array of strategies will be correspondingly diverse.
Third Tier: Ongoing, lower-level
analyses—Once business units have implemented their strategies, additional,
more tactical scenarios and analyses can be developed periodically as new
uncertainties emerge. These scenarios help to analyze the significance of
the new uncertainties and to experiment with different theories as to what
additional developments might be on the way. The idea is not to develop a
new strategy but to aid the business unit as it executes the strategy it has
adopted.
Leveraging Econometric Models Within
Scenario-based Planning
Econometric models can be used to flesh out
scenarios with financial data that make the descriptions of future worlds
less like science fiction and more grounded in the type of facts and figures
executives use when making business decisions. Rather than communicating the
characteristics of a scenario only through narrative descriptions,
econometric models make it possible to define the specifics of the business
environment—for example, stipulating GDP, inflation, IT investment, oil
prices and corporate profits. And there is the option of taking the next
step and modeling the impact of the scenario on a particular business,
showing how it would affect metrics such as revenues, expenses, pricing and
capital expenditures. For some management teams a scenario-based planning
exercise gains credibility only when the scenarios have been given this
quantitative dimension.
Econometric models can be used in a variety of
forward-thinking situations. “Models can be developed to illustrate how the
conditions prevailing within the longer-term, macro-scenarios used in
developing strategic plans would affect selected key market and business
indicators,” says Carl Steidtmann, chief economist at Deloitte Research and
a director with Deloitte Services LP. “This provides a more detailed,
quantitative understanding of a scenario’s impacts than is typically
possible when relying solely on a qualitative, narrative description,” he
adds. Models can also be developed for shorter-term scenarios when executing
the strategy a business has adopted.
Common Challenges When Using
Econometric Models
Statistical analysis is not immune to human
psychology. As with any process, there are places where error can be
introduced when creating and using econometric models using multiple
regression. While econometric modeling incorporates more quantitative
analysis into scenario-based planning, it is important that the underlying
risks being examined in a scenario-based planning model be both accurate and
relevant to the organization.
1. Misinterpreting Correlation
Multiple regression analysis is the cornerstone of
econometric modeling. One obstacle to using this technique is that it can be
difficult to interpret the relationship between each variable and the
resulting behavior. In a linear regression, the output is directly
correlated to a single input, but in a multiple regression, the correlation
of one input is dependent on all other inputs. For example, it would be
relatively easy to assess the direct relationship between, say, investment
in information technology (IT) services and a technology company’s revenue.
However, most real world econometric models and scenarios encompass multiple
leading economic and business indicators. In this more complex model, the
impact of IT investment may be very different depending upon the behavior of
the other variables, such as GDP or corporate profits. It is important to
assess the viability of each indicator within each modeling scenario.
2. Subjective Probability
When beginning the process of building a new model,
numerous variables should be considered to reach a best-fit design. The
challenge can lie in distinguishing between a model that looks sound
statistically, and a model that looks sound from a logical business
perspective. It helps to have a hypothesis about the variables in question.
Regardless of how strong the model appears to be using a given variable, the
model will not be reliable if there is not a strong business correlation.
Continuous Monitoring for Changes in
the Environment
Once an econometric model is built and the
financial impact of each scenario has been established, the business can
assess the strategic actions that can be taken. A robust scenario-based
planning effort using econometric analysis can enhance the competitive
advantage of a business by positioning it to be more nimble and able to
adapt to an ever-changing global environment.
Questions
Is corporate budgeting is a time waster and a poor measure of performance?
Do ERP systems help or hinder operating without a budget (not answered in the
article below)
In his book Winning, General Electric’s Jack Welch
famously griped: “It sucks the energy, time, fun, and big dreams out of an
organization. It hides opportunity and stunts growth. It brings out the most
unproductive behaviors in an organization, from sandbagging to settling for
mediocrity.”
“It” is the corporate budgeting process. This
much-hated annual exercise in setting targets, doling out resources, and
providing incentives for employees is the way nearly all companies run their
shops. Even organizations that have adopted monthly or quarterly rolling
forecasts as a more agile way of reacting to events still produce a budget,
for the most part.
Now, a few companies are doing what others
fantasize about: getting rid of the budget altogether, stomping out the
century-old process for good. Their guru is Steve Player, program director
at the Beyond Budgeting Round Table, a learning network with more than 50
corporate members. For years, Player has railed against budgeting, which he
excoriates as an expensive waste of time. A charismatic consultant and
speaker, Player has his converts. Among them is Statoil, the giant Norwegian
oil-and-gas company, with $90 billion in 2011 revenue and operations in 36
countries.
Statoil did away with traditional budgeting in
2005, and decided in 2010 to abolish the calendar year in its management
processes whenever possible. “Not only does a budget take too much time, it
is a bad yardstick for evaluating performance,” contends Bjarte Bogsnes,
Statoil vice president of performance management development.
He explains that a budget creates the opportunity
for “gaming” the system. “Managers are instructed to deliver on an
easy-to-achieve target, told what resources they have to get there, and then
are incentivized for hitting that number,” Bogsnes says. “It prevents
managers from seizing opportunities to create value.”
Statoil’s radical approach is shared by three other
companies profiled below: Elkay Manufacturing, Holt CAT, and Group Health
Cooperative. Kenneth Merchant, a professor of accounting at the University
of Southern California’s Marshall School of Business, has closely followed
the Beyond Budgeting phenomenon, and estimates that at least 100 companies
across the globe are on the same path. “A lot fall by the wayside or don’t
reach the end destination of no budget at all,” says Merchant, who is also
the school’s Deloitte & Touche LLP Chair of Accountancy. “Nevertheless,
there is definite value in doing away with the budget,” he adds. “Getting to
this point is the problem.”
Sensible but Unreliable Player doesn’t mince words
about his disdain for the “B” word. Budgets, he asserts, can foster
unethical behavior and conflicts of interest. “When companies tie incentive
compensation to reaching budget goals, they create a huge conflict of
interest,” he says. “Managers are incented to submit proposed budgets with
low goals. Instead of reaching for outstanding performance, the budget
process becomes a game of negotiating the lowest acceptable target, which is
often based on assumptions outside the managers’ control.” The process also
leads managers to hoard information, says Player, “since no one wants to
share information that can be used against them.”
Budgets are also based on assumptions that are
frequently wrong. They cost a ton of money, eat up platefuls of time, are
out of date by the time they’re produced, and tend to strip local managers
of their accountability, since their plans must be squeezed into the
company’s goals, Player says. As a method of cost control, budgets are
wanting, since managers tend to spend every cent they’ve been allocated,
fearing they won’t get the same allocation the following year.
“It’s a management process that can kill the
organization,” declares Player. “It’s part of the dumb stuff that finance
does and should stop doing.”
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Operating without a budget sounds like a bad idea to me. Generally the budgeting
process is where the major decisions are made
Performance Management Systems
August 17, 2012 message from Jim Martin
I am developing a new section on the MAAW web site
for Performance Management Systems. This topic provides a broader, more
holistic view, or extended framework of management control systems than
previously presented in the literature. Although some of the books and
articles with Performance Management in the title are focused on the human
resource function, the main focus of MAAW's new section is on the broader
view of performance management systems as a framework that can be used to
describe the overall management features of an organization. For example,
performance management systems include features such as mission, strategy,
organizational structure, performance measures, feedback systems, and
rewards.
A number of books and papers have been published on
this topic over the last ten years. From a research perspective, the best
paper I have found so far is as follows: Ferreira, A. and D. Otley. 2009.
The design and use of performance management systems: An extended framework
for analysis. Management Accounting Research (December): 263-282. For a
summary of that paper see
http://maaw.info/ArticleSummaries/ArtSumFerreiraOtley2009.htm
There are many papers and books that examine the
topic from a practice perspective. For example, the following author has
written a series of papers that have appeared in Strategic Finance: Paladino,
B. 2007. 5 key principles of corporate performance management: How do
Balanced Scorecard Hall of Fame, Malcolm Baldrige, Sterling, Fortune 100,
APQC, and Forbes award winners drive value? Strategic Finance (June): 39-45.
For a note about this paper see
http://maaw.info/ArticleSummaries/ArtSumPaladino2007a.htm
An Innovative Reference for a Cost/Managerial Accounting Course
Some wonderful symphony orchestras have suspended operations because of the
inability to manage costs
Every symphony in the world incurs an operating
deficit
"Financial Leadership Required to Fight Symphony Orchestra ‘Cost Disease’,"
by Stanford University's Robert J Flanagan, Stanford Graduate School of
Business, February 8, 2012 ---
http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/news/headlines/symphony-financial-leadership.html
What if you sat down in the concert hall one
evening to hear Haydn’s Symphony No. 44 in E Minor and found 5 robots
scattered among the human musicians? To get multiple audiences in and out of
the concert hall faster, the human musicians and robots are playing the
composition in double time.
Today’s orchestras have yet to go down this road.
However, their traditional ways of doing business, as economist Robert J.
Flanagan explains in his new book on symphony orchestra finances, locks them
into limited opportunities for productivity growth and ensures that costs
keep rising.
The symphonies’ financial problems are rooted in
what has come to be known as the “cost disease,” a term coined in 1966 by
two then-Princeton economics professors, William Baumol and William Bowen,
in a study of the economics of the performing arts. “The labor requirements
for the music are set by the composer. For the most part, you don’t toy
around with that,” Flanagan says. Furthermore, it takes 25 minutes to
perform a Haydn symphony. Speeding up the playing or substituting a robot or
digital device for one of the players doesn’t appear on any music director’s
solution list, at least not yet.
U.S. manufacturing companies offset higher labor
and materials costs through gains in productivity. They work to ensure that
output rises for each person employed. Automakers, for example, have added
hundreds of robots to their assembly lines. Productivity gains based on
computer technology have also occurred in many white- collar fields, but
performing arts groups haven’t found a way to do the same.
Flanagan, the Konosuke Matsushita Professor of
International Labor Economics and Policy Analysis, Emeritus, at the Graduate
School of Business, has firsthand experience with the economics of playing
music. He has played a clarinet and saxophone weekly for years in a 17-piece
amateur jazz orchestra. He began investigating the finances of American
symphony orchestras in 2006 and published a paper in 2008 that irritated
more than a few symphony board members, managers, and musicians’ union
officials, because it illuminated the fragile finances of orchestras, and
questioned some management practices. In the last 20 years more than a dozen
U.S. symphony orchestras declared bankruptcy.
The financial health of symphony orchestras in the
United States continues down a perilous path of an ever-widening gap between
operating revenues and expenses, he says, after studying the financial
experience of the 63 largest domestic symphony orchestras between the 1987
and 2005 concert seasons. “Even the most artistically accomplished
orchestras in the United States relentlessly have trouble balancing their
books,” he says.
Flanagan explores changes in operating revenues and
expenses, searching for ways to narrow operating deficits. The book covers
ticket pricing strategies, marketing activities, the rapid growth of
artistic pay, and competition with other performing arts organizations for
the time of potential patrons. He examines how tax policies, the economic
capacity of a community, and orchestra policies influence the trends and
determinants of nonperformance income, such as grants and donations from
private and public sources. Because there is no guarantee that
nonperformance income will exactly match operating deficits, the result is
an uncertain financial future.
Orchestras outside the United States face similar
economic challenges even though they benefit from millions of dollars in
direct government subsidies. “Every symphony in the world incurs an
operating deficit,” Flanagan says, and, if the cost disease cannot be
offset, “symphony orchestras will face increasing overall deficits.” For
example, performance revenues of U.S. orchestras have declined from 60% of
budgets in 1940 to 41% in the 2005-06 season.
Classical music lovers in the United States often
complain that U.S. governments should treat symphony orchestras as cultural
necessities and support them with larger grants. In other countries grants
often cover 50% and more of operating budgets. While direct federal
government grants in the U.S. have fallen to what he describes as “a
negligible level,” the value of federal government tax expenditures has
soared. Those tax expenditures, defined as foregone government tax revenues,
because individuals and corporations can deduct their donations from taxable
income, now account for 96% of all federal government support to U.S.
orchestras. Such tax expenditures are much less common abroad.
Continued in article
Human Resource Accounting for Financial Statements
The value of human resource employees in a business is currently not booked
and usually not even disclosed as an estimated amount in footnotes. In general a
"value" is booked into the ledger only when cash or explicit contractual
liabilities are transacted such as a bonus paid for a professional athlete or
other employee. James Martin provides an excellent bibliography on the academic
literature concerning human resource accounting ---
http://maaw.info/HumanResourceAccMain.htm
The Institute
of Management Accountants (IMA),
which has offered the Certified Management Accountant (CMA) credential
since 1972 and represents more than 60,000 accountants and financial
professionals in business worldwide, is facing "fierce competition" from
a new management accounting designation – Chartered Global Management
Accountant (CGMA) – that will be launched by the American Institute of
Certified Public Accountants (AICPA) and the Chartered Institute of
Management Accountants (CIMA) in January 2012, according to Jeffrey
Thomson, IMA President and Chief Executive Officer.
AICPA voting members will
be automatically eligible for the credential upon verifying three years
of qualifying experience. CPAs who are members of both the AICPA and
their state CPA society will receive a special discounted annual fee to
maintain the CGMA credential.
"While IMA welcomes these
organizations' recognition of the important role of management
accounting, we have some serious questions about the designation, and we
intend to stand up and be counted," Thomson told AccountingWeb in a
recent interview.
Thomson has questioned the
length of the grandfathering period and the fact that AICPA members
qualify without passing a test. He also objected to the automatic
enrollment. "It is our understanding that they must opt out of the
designation initially."
"Management accountants
need to be able to make more judgmental analyses," Thomson said. "They
need to pursue their credential and pass a rigorous, focused, relevant
exam." He pointed out that in addition to passing a two-part exam, CMA
candidates must fulfill both an education and experience requirement.
"At IMA, we are not just in
the business of increasing our membership, although we are expanding our
presence worldwide. We will continue to be focused on our mission, which
is to respond to the market and to the needs of organizations and
society."
"The market and
organizations have shown a need for accounting professionals working in
business to be prepared to analyze, plan, and budget, and to understand
their obligation to investors and their role in preventing fraud.
Studies have shown a talent management gap in forward-looking
activities among finance professionals. We have an obligation to fill
that gap."
"We expect finance and
accounting personnel will choose to follow a professional management
accounting path based on what the market and organizations have said
that they need," Thomson said. "Surveys and focus groups have found that
financial planners and individuals with knowledge of risk management,
performance management, and measurement top the list of people they are
looking to hire."
"Statistics show that a
high percentage of students who graduate with accounting degrees will go
into public accounting and perform audits, but after a few years they
move into finance departments of companies of all sizes where they are
responsible for planning and budgeting. They have learned to analyze
historic information, but many will have had only one course in
management accounting as part of their undergraduate degree in
accounting. Working in public accounting is a great way to start one's
career, but an accountant in business still needs to acquire management
accounting skill sets," Thomson said.
"Working from a strong
technical basis, the accountant working in finance needs to be able to
go from data to decisions, from information to insights, and sit across
the table as a trusted business advisor."
"To have a great career, a
young professional with an accounting degree needs to develop a
well-rounded set of skills, but those skills have value at any stage in
a career. I became a management accountant just two years ago after
working in telecommunications for over twenty years, ending in a CFO
role at AT&T. When I completed the 150 hours of required study for the
CMA and passed both parts of the exam, I felt more competent, more
rounded."
"An aspiring CMA needs to
possess the skills to perform:
financial planning
analysis,
strategic planning,
risk management,
mergers and
acquisitions,
strategic costing, and
performance management
and measurement."
Looking ahead, Thomson
concluded that "the market will determine the future of management
accountant credentials. But the market is not as rational as we would
like, and it is very forgiving. When an organization has credibility and
has reached a critical mass, people do not ask the tough questions,
often building in inefficiencies."
Jensen Comment
This may become less relevant when the prestigious accounting designations of
the future are Certified Cognitors and Condorsers. In accountics science a mere
PhD will no longer cut it. The prestigious accountics scientists will place
their proud CEW credentials beside their names --- Certified Equation Writers.
I think most of my wife's clothes were purchased from "Jauque Pennay".
She was really, really disappointed when this famous mail order company dropped
its mail order catalog
But we still get this company's daily advertising mailings for 1-800 number
orders from these mountains
I keep the company's Website a secret from her but that did not prevent
our having more clothes on poles in the basement than you will find in the
Concord NH department store
I remember a short while back when the company's new pricing policy was
announced with great fanfare
Now this policy is an illustration of policy failure that we can teach to
students.
Jensen Comment
This could probably be written up as a great CPV case in managerial accounting,
the purpose being to illustrate how important demand elasticity is to CPV
analysis.
That Arizona State U. can afford to offer such big discounts to employees of
the coffee company suggests just how much higher-education institutions earn
from distance learning.
Jensen Comment
Without mentioning it, Goldie has hit on what we teach in managerial accounting
as "Cost-Profit-Volume (CPV)" analysis. The contribution margin is price minus
variable costs. Such margins apply first to recovering fixed costs and then go
to operating profits. Higher volume (sales) means that it's possible to make
lower contribution margins profitable by lowering prices ceteris paribus.
Key to CPV analysis is management of variable and fixed costs. The Starbucks
plan is ingeniously designed to reduce costs. Firstly it applies only to the
continuance of the last two years of college education. This avoids much of the
cost associated with students in their first two years. Firstly, it avoids the
need for so much remedial work since students that pass the first two years are
less likely to need added remedial education. Secondly, such students are less
likely to waste resources by dropping out. Thirdly, most of them will have had
previous distance education such that they do not have to be initially trained
on how to take distance education courses.
Actually many universities are finding distance education courses more
profitable than onsite courses. One reason is the demand function. Onsite
courses often are quite sensitive to tuition pricing because students have to
consider other costs such as commuting costs, child care costs, and maybe even
boarding costs. Online students often avoid such costs and therefore are
somewhat less sensitive to slightly higher online pricing.
There are many other things that case writers could build into the "Starbucks
Case." These include such factors as operating leverage, sales mix analysis, and
demand elasticity analysis. Also increasing employee benefits sometimes means
that employees will work for lower cash wages.
In any case, I think it would make sense for managerial accounting teachers
to assign student teams to write up cases and solutions to the "Starbucks Case"
and other real-world instances of distance education.
Teaching Case on CPV Analysis
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on January 6,
2012
SUMMARY: Starbucks Corp. "said Tuesday it is raising prices an
average of about 1% in the Northeast and Sunbelt regions...." Price
increases will be posted for some but not all sizes of its brewed coffee
products; the company "...isn't raising prices for packaged coffee sold at
its cafes or at grocery stores." The article comments on pricing strategy,
cost control, and profit margins. The related video discusses the company's
purchase of a long term contract for coffee at high prices just before
coffee prices fell overall.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce
manufacturing cost components and cost behavior with a simple product with
which most students should be familiar.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Why is Starbucks raising the price of some of its
locations for some of its products?
2. (Introductory) On which products will Starbucks raise prices? In
which locations? Why will the company's pricing vary by product and region?
3. (Advanced) According to one statement in the article about
Starbucks products, "...coffee represents a bigger portion of the cost of
its packaged goods than of brewed coffee." What are the other cost
components for a cup of brewed coffee that are not present in a package of
whole coffee beans for sale in a grocery store?
4. (Advanced) What was the impact of a contract for coffee
purchases on Starbucks's costs for its product?
5. (Advanced) Based on the discussion in the related online video,
how does Starbucks expect coffee purchase costs to even out over the long
term?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Starbucks Corp. is raising brewed-coffee prices in
some regions to offset its higher costs.
The Seattle chain said Tuesday it is raising prices
an average of about 1% in the Northeast and Sunbelt regions, including such
cities as Boston, New York, Washington, Atlanta, Dallas and Albuquerque,
N.M.
Starbucks didn't give details on all the areas
where prices will increase but said most southern states are included.
Prices won't rise in California and Florida.
Starbucks has raised prices in its cafes annually
since the recession began, though the company said its increases have been
"far less" than those of its rivals.
Starbucks will face higher commodity costs than
some of its competitors in the coming months. The chain made contracts to
buy coffee for the fiscal year that began in October because prices were
rising and Starbucks wanted to eliminate the volatility of buying on the
spot market. But the market for coffee soon fell, and Starbucks was stuck
paying more than it would have otherwise.
Over the past couple of years, Starbucks has topped
the industry in sales and been able to manage commodity inflation, "not with
pricing, but with a more efficient cost structure and strong traffic
growth," Chief Financial Officer Troy Alstead said in November when the
company reported earnings.
Because the chain's high-end consumer base is less
sensitive to prices than that of some rivals, Starbucks has said it didn't
think increases would affect customer purchases, even in a struggling
economy. Some chains, especially fast-food restaurants that focus on low
prices, risk losing customers when prices rise.
Starbucks shares rose 43% last year. The stock fell
73 cents, or 1.6%, to $45.29 in 4 p.m. composite trading Tuesday on the
Nasdaq Stock Market.
The latest change, which was reported earlier by
Reuters news service, raises the cost of a "tall," or 12-ounce, coffee in
some New York City stores by 10 cents to $1.85. Not all sizes will see price
increases.
Starbucks isn't raising prices for packaged coffee
sold at its cafes or at grocery stores. That's where Starbucks faces the
greater pressure on profit margins, largely because coffee represents a
bigger portion of the cost of its packaged goods than of brewed coffee.
SUMMARY: "Lobsters are a $300-million-a-year industry in
Maine....Maine's thousand of independent lobstermen supply the vast majority
of the world's clawed lobsters....[However, h]arbors up and down the coast
of Maine are filled with idle fishing boats, as lobster haulers decide that
pulling in their lobster pots has become a fruitless pursuit. Prices at the
dock have fallen to as low as $1.25 a pound in some areas-roughly 70% below
normal and nearly a 30-year-low for this time of year, according to
fishermen, researchers and officials." The article describes the economic
and fisheries reasons for this current debacle.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a managerial
accounting class to identify fixed and variable costs considered in
decision-making for lobstermen to go out collecting a catch. It emphasizes
economic factors beyond the lobstermen's control in facing these decisions.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize the market conditions facing Maine
lobstermen that led to a recent decision by a group of them not to go out on
their boats to catch lobsters.
2. (Advanced) Describe the costs you think are incurred to catch
lobster. In your answer, identify which costs are variable costs and which
are fixed costs.
3. (Advanced) According to the head of the Massachusetts
Lobstermen's Association, at prices below $4/lb, lobstermen cannot make a
profit on their catch. Describe how you think profitability is measured to
make this assessment, identifying the costs you gave in your answer to
question 2 above.
4. (Advanced) Is the $4 price per pound discussed above a wholesale
price or a retail price? Support your answer.
5. (Advanced) If prices offered to lobstermen are low, will you see
a low price when you order lobster at a restaurant? Explain your answer
based on information in the article.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island"
Before sunrise last Monday, in a parking lot by the
water in Winter Harbor, Maine, a gathering of lobstermen came to a rare
consensus: prices were too low to go fishing.
"I've never seen them tie up [their boats] as a
group like this before," said Randy Johnson, manager of the Winter Harbor
Lobster Co-op. The 30 vessels in his co-operative have remained in port for
a week straight.
"I'm looking at all their boats as we speak," he
said Friday when reached at the co-op, which sits across the bay from Bar
Harbor "They all have a cut-off point [in price] where they can and can't
fish," he said. "It's an impossible situation."
Harbors up and down the coast of Maine are filled
with idle fishing boats, as lobster haulers decide that pulling in their
lobster pots has become a fruitless pursuit.
Prices at the dock have fallen to as low as $1.25 a
pound in some areas—roughly 70% below normal and a nearly 30-year-low for
this time of year, according to fishermen, researchers and officials. The
reason: an unseasonably warm winter created a supply glut throughout the
Atlantic lobster fishery.
Those prices have officials and lobstermen
concerned about the fate of one of the state's most vital industries. "For
some people it will be disaster, they are going to go bankrupt," said Bob
Bayer, director of the Lobster Institute at the University of Maine.
Retail lobster prices in Maine have started to fall
along with the glut, and Mr. Bayer said that some fishermen have begun
selling lobsters out of their trucks for as low as $4 a pound. But consumers
elsewhere in the U.S. aren't likely to see bargains. The Maine lobsters that
currently are in season can't be shipped long distances due to their soft
shells, and retailers have other fixed costs that limit big price drops.
"There could be a small effect, but I wouldn't
expect much," Mr. Bayer said.
Lobsters are a $300-million-a-year industry in
Maine, according to Halifax, Canada, consulting firm Gardner Pinfold. Along
with Canada, Maine's thousands of independent lobstermen supply the vast
majority of the world's clawed lobsters, which have seen a population boom
over the past three decades due to rising water temperatures and overfishing
of cod and haddock, their main predators.
Profit margins are low even in good years, but this
summer the problem has intensified. The wholesalers that buy directly from
lobstermen are paying less than it costs for many boats to turn a profit.
"Anything under $4 [a pound], lobstermen can't make
any money," said Bill Adler, head of the Massachusetts Lobstermen's
Association, which publishes a weekly report on lobster prices in the U.S.
and Canada.
Mr. Adler, a former lobsterman, said the warm
winter had two effects. It allowed Canadian lobstermen, who typically fish
in the early spring, to bring in large catches due to the mild temperatures.
And the lobsters that Maine fishermen catch in the summer months—the ones
that can't be shipped live due to their softer shells—arrived six weeks
earlier than normal.
"The month of June might have been a record in the
state of Maine for catch," said Peter Miller, a veteran lobsterman from
Tenants Harbor. His business is struggling despite traps that have brought
in hauls four times larger than normal.
Enlarge Image image image Matthew Healey for The
Wall Street Journal
Lobsterman Joe Hutchinson stacks traps.
The price slump has led some lobstermen to take
drastic action. Patrick Keliher, the Commissioner of the Maine Department of
Marine Resources, said his agency has investigated reports of lobstermen
coercing others not to go out fishing in an effort to lower supplies and
raise prices back to more normal levels.
"Frankly, there were some fisherman that were
trying to bully some people into not fishing. Most of it was veiled threats,
and as soon as we started hearing about it, I made sure patrol was aware,"
said Mr. Keliher.
On Monday, Mr. Keliher issued a statement warning
that threats to cut lobster traps loose or force lobstermen to stay in port
"will be met with targeted and swift enforcement." He added that any
attempts to impose a broader fishing halt "may be in violation of federal
antitrust laws."
A shutdown is already taking place though,
according to some Maine residents. In Knox County, which has several hundred
licensed lobstermen, boats have stayed tied to their moorings for over a
week, said Diane Cowan, executive director of the Lobster Conservancy in
Friendship, Maine.
"I don't know how they came to agree on this," said
Ms. Cowan. "The boats are all at their moorings and all the lobster traps
are all in the water."
Ms. Cowan has lived in Friendship for 14 years. The
town of about 1,200 residents has two churches and two lobster co-ops. Its
harbor, which typically is filled with the sound of diesel engines as
roughly 200 lobster boats motor in and out of the bay with their catches,
has gone silent.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Every summer in August we have Christmas in August with our Maine family and old
friends (I taught at the University of Maine for ten years). We meet on
Lincolnville Beach where the State of Maine Ferry departs for the Island of
Vinalhaven. Actually the Wikipedia entry is misleading by recommending the ferry
from Rockland when the ferry north of Camden at Lincolnville Beach gets you and
your vehicle to Vinalhaven much faster.
On Lincolnville Beach we stay at the Spouter Inn. In New England a "spouter"
is a flowing spring of fresh water. This is the only source of water at the
Spouter Inn. From the front deck we can look down at the best seafood restaurant
in New England. The restaurant is simply called the Lobster Pound. Although I'd
think I died and was in heaven with this restaurant's rich lobster stew and
fried clams, while I still on earth I generally order a more healthy dinner of
broiled Halibut. Actually, I lie. At least once on each trip I have lobster stew
teaming with butter and on another day a huge platter of fried clams.
We call our event Christmas in August because Erika and I got tired of
getting caught in mountain blizzards when driving to and from Maine in December.
It's a much safer drive when we celebrate Christmas in August on the coast of
Maine. Camden by the way is a beautiful shore town favored by many executives
(those 1% folks) who elected to retire on the coast of Maine ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camden,_Maine
Real estate is very expensive in the Camden Highlands.--- most certainly out of
my price bracket.
TOPICS: Accounting, Business Segments, Managerial Accounting,
Profit Margin, Segmented Income Statements
SUMMARY: Restaurant chains are in a pickle, caught between soaring
ingredient costs and fears that raising prices will turn off their
budget-conscious customers, who generally remain pessimistic about the
economy. Companies like McDonald's Corp., Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. and
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. are taking different approaches to the dilemma.
Some are trying to pass on rising costs to customers to avoid squeezing
their profit margins. Others are holding the line on prices or emphasizing
their existing low-cost menu items to keep consumers coming through the
door. Research has shown that diners are ordering more "value" items and
fewer premium-priced entrees and appetizers, indicating they are trying to
manage the size of their restaurant bills more than we've seen in a while.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article offers a nice bridge between
managerial and financial accounting. We can use this article to discuss how
management is using segmented income statements to manage profit margins in
this tight economy. The companies are also carefully managing fixed and
variable costs as raw material prices of food increase in the face of low
consumer confidence. This is a great opportunity to show how the information
and tools we teach in class directly relate to management decisions,
strategy, and profitability.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What challenges are restaurants facing? How are
they impacted both on the expense side and sales side?
2. (Advanced) How are fast food restaurants analyzing the situation
using segmented income statements to address these challenging times? How
does segmenting the business's product lines and customers help with the
company's overall profit margins?
3. (Advanced) What segment of the fast food business is most
successful? How is McDonald's management approaching each segment to make it
more profitable? How does a segmented income statement and budgeting aid in
this analysis?
4. (Advanced) In the restaurant business, which types of costs are
easiest to control? Which are more difficult? Are these costs more likely to
be fixed, variable, or mixed costs? How can management work with each of
these types of costs to survive and perhaps thrive in these kinds of
economic times?
5. (Advanced) How are different types of restaurants (fast food,
mid-range, fine dining) being affected differently under these conditions?
How can each type of restaurant use managerial accounting concepts to
improve profitability?
6. (Advanced) How would a contribution format income statement help
management to make these decisions?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Restaurant chains are in a pickle, caught between
soaring ingredient costs and fears that raising prices will turn off their
budget-conscious customers, who generally remain pessimistic about the
economy.
Companies like McDonald's Corp., MCD +0.89% Buffalo
Wild Wings Inc. BWLD -1.94% and Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. CMG -0.48% are
taking different approaches to the dilemma. Some are trying to pass on
rising costs to customers to avoid squeezing their profit margins. Others
are holding the line on prices or emphasizing their existing low-cost menu
items to keep consumers coming through the door.
The worst drought in decades has driven up prices
for foods including corn, chicken and beef this summer. Further complicating
matters for restaurants and other retailers, consumer confidence in August
fell to its lowest level since November 2011, the Conference Board said
Tuesday.
Earlier this month McDonald's attributed flat
global same-store sales in July to waning consumer sentiment, and
market-research firm NPD Group predicted that restaurant traffic would be
flat for the next two years, dialing back its previous forecast of a 1%
gain.
"Restaurant operators are in a position where they
don't have much of a choice but to raise prices because they operate on such
thin margins," said Darren Tristano, executive vice president of restaurant
consulting firm Technomic Inc.
The pressure is greater on some chains than others.
Fine and causal-dining restaurants can better stomach commodity-cost
increases because of their higher-priced menus and ability to adjust portion
sizes. "But when you're McDonald's, a lot of your products are priced to be
'value' offerings, so there's not a lot of room to absorb cost increases,"
Mr. Tristano added.
"I'd probably order more from the value menu if
prices go up," said 33-year-old Norma Rangel-Aponte, who was eating a
snack-size McFlurry ice-cream dessert at a Chicago McDonald's recently. To
save money, she said, she sometimes orders a side salad and tops it with the
chicken from a snack wrap, rather than ordering a more-expensive chicken
salad.
Restaurant chains were in similar straits a few
years ago. Food costs were high during parts of the recession because of
rising global protein demand. Some chains reacted by heavily discounting
their dishes to keep customers coming back, but their profit margins
suffered.
Others boosted prices modestly on inexpensive menu
items, hoping that consumers would swallow the increases without much
resistance. In January 2009 McDonald's raised the price of a double
cheeseburger, a fixture of its Dollar Menu, to $1.19 to help defray higher
beef and cheese costs. A spokeswoman said Tuesday that the double
cheeseburger remains on the regular McDonald's menu at a suggested retail
price of $1.19 to $1.29, depending on location.
RBC Capital Markets analyst Larry Miller said his
research has shown that diners are ordering more "value" items and fewer
premium-priced entrees and appetizers, indicating they are trying to manage
the size of their restaurant bills more "than we've seen in a while." The
potential for weak or flat sales growth combined with rising costs is
"downright scary to us," he added.
Some chains are once again stressing cheaper menu
items, offering promotions to help bring customers back more often and
testing the water with small price increases. McDonald's recently created an
"Extra Value Menu" featuring such items as a 20-piece Chicken McNuggets for
$4.99. Starbucks Corp. SBUX -0.20% reintroduced "treat receipts" that give
morning customers a discount if they return in the afternoon.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Meanwhile increases in food and fuel do not affect inflation indices since the
government now deceives us about the inflationary spiral for food and fuel
prices by ignoring prices increases in food and fuel when adjusting for
inflation.
From the University of Pennsylvania (Wharton): The U.S. Deficit is
Tremendously Understated
"A Proper Accounting: The Real Cost of Government Loans and Credit Guarantees,"
Knowledge@Wharton, December 5, 2012 ---
http://knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu/article.cfm?articleid=3126
In 2005, Procter & Gamble, eager to accelerate its
innovation, decided to try to institutionalize throughout the company the
new, fuzzy notion of design thinking. It turned to Roger Martin, dean of the
University of Toronto’s Rotman School of Management, one of the leading
exponents of integrative and design thinking. He in turn gathered help from
colleagues at Stanford University and the Illinois Institute of Technology.
Their efforts proved so successful that it led to
the creation of a DesignWorks studio at Rotman, led by executive director
Heather Fraser, where they refined their methodology while working with
companies such as Nestlé, Pfizer, Medtronic and Frito-Lay, as well as public
institutions and government teams.
Ms. Fraser now shares those ideas in Design Works,
which argues that business design brings out the creative side of
individuals in a workplace without compromising the rigour needed to have a
meaningful impact on the market.
“This approach has proven to get to bigger ideas
faster, by engaging more minds in a common ambition, with the buy-in and
traction required to make important things happen in a strategic and
productive manner,” she writes.
The approach revolves around three gears to get
your innovation motor running:
Gear 1: Empathy and understanding
To understand the opportunity that might exist, you
must start with empathy for others and an understanding of what matters to
people. Usually, we rely on market reports and surveys to get a handle on
potential customers. But she says that while that gives you a good measure
of the customer characteristics, habits, and values that you believe to be
important, it often does not contribute to a deeper understanding of their
underlying motivations and unmet needs.
“Understanding them more holistically entails
understanding them more completely as individuals apart from the direct
consumption or use of your current product or service,” she points out.
“Considering the wider activity surrounding your products and services
expands your perspective on opportunities to create value in new ways.”
Gear 2: Concept visualization
With that understanding, the hunt can begin in
earnest for the breakthrough idea. You now have licence and ambition to
explore new possibilities, including some that would have been considered
beyond your operating scope, rather than limiting yourself to the familiar
and obviously doable.
You will pick from a variety of tools to generate
ideas, design new and ideal experiences, develop multiple prototypes to test
your ideas, and create with your potential customers the best possible
offering.
It will be vital, however, to stay focused on the
user rather than becoming diverted at this stage by the organizational
impact.
Gear 3: Strategic business design
Now you can move on to consider the organizational
side of things, developing a strategy to deliver the vision. Ms. Fraser
warns that this will take the same rigour and ingenuity required to develop
your new breakthrough proposal. Often things can fall apart here, as
organizations find themselves with lots of promising ideas but don’t know
how to fit them with other ideas and programs into a formidable strategy.
“Gear 3 … calls for a healthy dose of both
creativity and analysis at appropriate points,” she notes. You’ll require
solid collaboration from your team, detailed prototyping, and a plan that
maps out some quick wins to keep enthusiasm high. She warns that this step
is often the missing link in many innovation projects and why the
initiatives fail to provide a solid return of investment.
Prototyping is increasingly important to
understanding whether ideas have possibilities. She urges you to keep the
first efforts low-cost, and reveals that the DesignWorks studio generally
limits itself in the early stages to $20, using cardboard, markers and
Popsicle sticks. The idea is to communicate intent, not to resemble the
final product. You’ll be less invested in it if you put the prototype
together quickly with little money; and the people who test it will be able
to give you more advice if they can use their imagination to fill in missing
pieces.
The first half of the book, about the three-gears
process, is somewhat stilted despite the case studies woven in; it’s
certainly not as absorbing as Designing for Growth, by Jeanne Liedtka and
Tim Ogilvie. (And the horrendous choice of typeface – pretty, but sans-serif
and very thin – added to my reading struggle, as it was physically hard to
focus on the words. The irony of poor design choices in a book about design
was not lost on me.)
But the book’s second half – essentially a series
of fast-paced, practical tips for implementing the ideas – was more
enjoyable, and would be valuable to anyone interested in the business design
path.
Continued in article
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review August 24, 2012
SUMMARY: "To look at the woeful earnings season that's wrapping up,
the days of capital expenditure bolstering the U.S. economy seem numbered.
But don't count it out yet....Spending on new equipment and software is
usually a function of demand: whatever direction earnings growth is going is
where capital spending will head within the next quarter or so."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce economic
reasoning behind fixed asset purchases and the related use of such financial
statement measures in predicting future economic activity. Since the
discussion includes computer software, it provides an up-to-date description
of what is considered capital spending. Another topic in the article is
Pepsi's foreign investment and sales generation which may be used to explain
the concept of functional currency. INSTRUCTORS SHOULD REMOVE THE FOLLOWING
ANSWER TO QUESTIONS 5 AND 6: In the discussion of Pepsi's foreign sales, if
the Indian operations are organized as a corporation that is consolidated,
then the functional currency of those operations is most likely the Indian
rupee. Students should draw that conclusion from the fact that the
operations are invested in India and the sales are generated there as well.
For consolidation, translation at current rates should be done for purposes
of consolidating international operations when a subsidiary's functional
currency is its local currency.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What are capital expenditures? What items are
included in the category of capital expenditures in this article?
2. (Advanced) How are capital expenditures accounted for in U.S.
company's books and records?
3. (Introductory) According to the article, what was the growth
rate in the second quarter of calendar 2012 in capital expenditures? From
where do you think the U.S. Commerce Department obtains the information
reported in the article?
4. (Introductory) How does the survey of U.S. chief financial
officers (CFOs) add to the understanding of the overall growth rate
discussed in question 3 above?
5. (Advanced) In the article, the author states "...The bulk of
foreign sales by U.S. companies come from the operations they have in place
overseas," and then describes Pepsi's operations in India. If these
operations are organized as a corporate subsidiary, what currency do you
think is likely to be considered the functional currency of this entity?
Explain your answer.
6. (Advanced) What is the implication of the functional currency
for consolidation of Pepsi's Indian operations?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
To look at the woeful earnings season that's
wrapping up, the days of capital expenditure bolstering the U.S. economy
seem numbered. But don't count it out yet.
S&P 500 earnings likely increased by just 0.9% in
the second quarter versus a year earlier, according to S&P Capital IQ's
latest estimates. For the third quarter, analysts are forecasting the first
outright decline in profits since 2009.
Spending on new equipment and software is usually a
function of demand: Whatever direction earnings growth is going is where
capital spending will head within the next quarter or so. Profits began to
seriously weaken in mid-2007, for example, and by early 2008 capital
spending had begun to shrink. So even though spending on equipment and
software grew at a healthy 7.2% inflation-adjusted annual rate in the second
quarter, according to the Commerce Department, its future pace is in doubt.
But Europe's downturn and Asia's slowdown explain
much of the weak growth in U.S. company earnings. So the dynamic isn't quite
the same as it was in the last recession.
In the second-quarter survey of chief financial
officers he conducted with CFO Magazine, Duke Fuqua School of Business
economist John Graham found stark differences in the capital-spending plans
of U.S. firms booking most of their sales overseas and those with more
domestic exposure.
CFOs at companies booking more than half their
sales in Europe, for example, expected spending to fall by about 5% over the
next year. Companies with less than half their sales in Europe expected
spending to increase by about 10%.
U.S. exports are substantial, but the bulk of
foreign sales by U.S. companies come from the operations they have in place
overseas. For example, the Pepsi sold in India is made in India. U.S. Trust
chief market strategist Joseph Quinlan estimates that such sales came to
more than $6 trillion last year. That compares with U.S. exports of just
over $2 trillion.
That matters because just as overall profits
dictate how much money companies spend, they tend to spend it in places
where they are doing well. The fact that General Motors' GM -0.63% European
operations are struggling, for instance, didn't stop it from renovating and
restarting production at its former Saturn assembly plant in Spring Hill,
Tenn.
The better picture for capital spending in the U.S.
doesn't shield big U.S. makers of equipment and software from the global
malaise. Almost to a company they, too, have substantial operations
overseas. But it does make things a little easier. And since many companies
have underinvested in the years since the recession, there is potential for
the U.S. to do some heavier lifting.
Fortunately, we can change this state of affairs.
And the remedy does not require medical science breakthroughs or top-down
governmental regulation. It simply requires a new way to accurately measure
costs and compare them with outcomes. Our approach makes patients and their
conditions—not departmental units, procedures, or services—the fundamental
unit of analysis for measuring costs and outcomes. The experiences of
several major institutions currently implementing the new approach—the Head
and Neck Center at MD Anderson Cancer Center in Houston, the Cleft Lip and
Palate Program at Children’s Hospital in Boston, and units performing knee
replacements at Schön Klinik in Germany and Brigham & Women’s Hospital in
Boston—confirm our belief that bringing accurate cost and value measurement
practices into health care delivery can have a transformative impact.
Continued in article (for a fee)
Jensen Comment
The article does not address all aspects of the cost of healthcare, including
the enormous cost of fraud in all aspects of healthcare from the funding of
unneeded medical procedures to phony medical equipment invoices to substandard
medications to medical services for people not eligible for funding of such
services such as undocumented aliens who enter this country for the purpose of
free obstetrics and other types of medical services.
There is also the cost of malpractice insurance which is often ten times what
it is in Canada because of differences between how malpractice claims are
processed in Canada versus the United States (where 80% of the world's lawyers
practice).
"Lots of Trouble: U.S. automakers used a common accounting practice to
justify huge run-ups in inventories, but the downside risks offer lessons for
all manufacturers," by Marielle Segarra, CFO Magazine, March 2012, pp.
29-31 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14620031?f=search
It's no secret that in the years leading up to the
Great Recession, the Big Three automakers were producing vehicles in excess
of market demand, leading to large inventories on dealers' lots across the
country. Now, some researchers say they know why the automakers acted as
they did, and they are warning other manufacturers to avoid the same
temptation.
By coupling excess production with absorption
costing, managers at GM, Ford, and Chrysler were able to boost profits and
meet short-term incentives, according to professors at Michigan State
University and Maastricht University in the Netherlands. (Their study on the
topic was recognized in January for its contribution to management
accounting by the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants and
other groups.) Ultimately, however, the practice hurt the automakers, in
part by driving up advertising and inventory holding costs and possibly
causing a decline in brand image, the researchers say.
From 2005 to 2006, long before GM and Chrysler
filed for bankruptcy and appealed for federal aid, the automakers had
abundant excess capacity. Then as now, they had enormous fixed costs, from
factories and machinery to workers whose contracts protected them from
layoffs when demand was low, says Karen Sedatole, associate professor of
accounting at Michigan State and a co-author of the study.
To "absorb" those massive costs, the automakers
churned out more cars while using absorption costing, a widely used system
that calculates the cost of making a product by dividing total manufacturing
costs, fixed and variable, by the number of products produced. The more
vehicles they made, the lower the cost per vehicle, and the higher the
profits on the income statement. In effect, the automakers shifted costs
from the income statement to the balance sheet, in the form of inventory.
Under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards
No. 151, companies can use absorption costing for "normal capacity" but must
treat "abnormal" excess capacity as a period cost, according to Sedatole.
But the standard doesn't clearly define what's normal, leaving room for
companies to overproduce in order to lower unit cost. Companies that do so
"are, in a way, managing earnings upward by trapping costs on the balance
sheet as inventory, so they won't hit the income statement," she says.
Eroding Brand Image But business leaders should
think twice before adopting this tactic, cautions Sedatole. Even though they
can make their companies appear more profitable in the short term by
concealing excess capacity costs on the balance sheet, holding so much
excess inventory can exact a price.
"When [the dealers] couldn't sell the cars, they
would sit on the lot," says Sedatole. "They'd have to go in and replace the
tires, and there were costs associated with that." The companies also had to
pay to advertise their cars, often at discounted prices. And by making their
cars cheaper and more readily available, they may have turned off potential
customers, she adds.
"If you see a $12,000 car in a TV ad is being
auctioned off for $6,000 at your local dealer, that affects your image of
that vehicle," says Sedatole. This effect on brand image is difficult to
quantify, but the researchers correlated 1% of rebate with a 2% decline in
appeal in the J.D. Power and Associates Automotive Performance Execution and
Layout Index.
Some might argue that it's good strategy for a
company already obligated to pay salaries to make products up to its
capacity. "An economist would say as long as I could sell the car for more
than its variable cost, I'm better off selling it," Sedatole says. But, she
adds, "that's a very, very short-term way of thinking" because it neglects
the costs that come with having a lot of excess inventory.
Lessons Learned Using absorption costing to monitor
efficiency can lead companies to make poor production decisions, says
Ranjani Krishnan, professor of accounting at Michigan State and a co-author
of the study (along with Alexander Brüggen, an associate professor at
Maastricht University). A company that does this could seem to be growing
less efficient when demand decreases. If a factory makes fewer cars this
year than last year, for instance, its cost per car will look higher, and it
may then overproduce in order to present itself more favorably to
shareholders, consumers, and analysts.
Instead, Krishnan suggests, companies should record
the cost of excess capacity as an expense on their internal income
statements, a practice that may help give them perspective.
Another way to avoid overproduction is to change
the way executives are paid. Like many companies, the automakers put their
managers under pressure to deliver in the short term by structuring
compensation incentives around metrics like labor hours per vehicle, which
the industry's Harbour Report uses to compare automaker productivity. With
fixed labor hours, the only way to look more efficient under this measure is
to produce more cars.
"A lot of this behavior was frankly driven by
greed," says Krishnan. "If you look at the type of managerial incentives
[the automakers] had during the time of our study, the executive-committee
deliberations, it was all about meeting short-term quarterly traffic numbers
or meeting analysts' forecasts so that they could get their bonuses."
The MAAW Website is a tremendous open sharing site from James Martin ---
http://maaw.info/
What's new on MAAW? Multiple Choice Questions for Management Accounting
James Martin added a summary page of links to multiple choice questions for 14
management accounting topics at
http://maaw.info/ManagementAccountingMCQuestions.htm
History of the CMA Examination and Revisions
October 30, 2010 message from James Martin
For an update and history of the CMA program see
VanZante, N. R. 2010. IMA's
professional certification program has changed. Management Accounting
Quarterly (Summer): 48-51.
The information provided in this paper is very similar
to the information
provided by Brausch and Whitney earlier this year. However, VanZante adds a
chronological history of the CMA program and explains why the CFM exam was
discontinued and merged into the new CMA exam.
Human Resource Accounting for Financial Statements
The value of human resource employees in a business is currently not booked
and usually not even disclosed as an estimated amount in footnotes. In general a
"value" is booked into the ledger only when cash or explicit contractual
liabilities are transacted such as a bonus paid for a professional athlete or
other employee. James Martin provides an excellent bibliography on the academic
literature concerning human resource accounting ---
http://maaw.info/HumanResourceAccMain.htm
What turned into a sick joke was the KPMG Twist applied to valuing the
executives of Worldcom who later went to prison:
KPMG’s “Unusual Twist”
While KPMG's strategy isn't uncommon among corporations with lots of units
in different states, the accounting firm offered an unusual twist: Under
KPMG's direction, WorldCom treated "foresight of top management" as an
intangible asset akin to patents or trademarks.
See http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudEnron.htm#WorldcomFraud
Punch Line
This "foresight of top management" led to a 25-year prison sentence for
Worldcom's CEO, five years for the CFO (which in his case was much to
lenient) and one year plus a day for the controller (who ended up having to
be in prison for only ten months.) Yes all that reported goodwill in the
balance sheet of Worldcom was an unusual twist.
Early experiments to book human resource values into the ledger usually were
abandoned after a brief experiment. Investors and analysts placed little, if any
faith, in human resource value estimates such as the R.G. Barry experiments
years ago.
There are many problems with assigning an estimated value to human resources.
Aside from being able to unattribute future cash flow streams to particular
employees, there's the enormous problem that employees are no longer slaves
that can be bought, sold, and traded without their permission. And employees
may simply resign at will outside the control of their employers, although in
some cases they do so by paying contractual penalties that they agreed to when
signing employment contracts.
Another problem is bifurcation of the value of a valuable employee from the
subset of other employees and circumstances such as group esprit de corps ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Esprit_de_corps_%28disambiguation%29
A great pitcher needs a great catcher and seven other players on the field that
can make great defensive plays. The President of the United States may be less
important than the staff surrounding that President. A bad staff can do a lot to
bring down a President. This had a lot to do with the downfall of President
Carter.
Another problems is that greatness of an employee may vary dramatically with
circumstances. Winston Churchill was a great leader and inspiration in the
darkest days of World War II. But his value should've been subject to very rapid
accelerated depreciation. He was a lousy leader after the end of the war,
including making some awful choices such as chemical weapons use on some tribes
in Iraq.
"Power From the People: Can human Capital Financial Statements Allow
Companies to Measure the Value of Their Employees?," by David McCann, CFO
Magazine, November 2011, pp. 52-59 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14604427?f=search
If a company's most important assets are indeed its
people, as corporate executives parrot endlessly, that's news to investors,
analysts, and even, as it turns out, many companies.
It is hardly a secret that the industrial economy
that prevailed for two centuries has evolved into a talent-driven,
knowledge-based economy. Still, extant accounting standards define "assets"
mostly in terms of cash, receivables, and hard goods like property,
equipment, and inventory, even though the value of many companies lies
chiefly in the experience and efforts of their employees.
Public companies are required to disclose virtually
nothing about their human capital other than the compensation packages of
top executives, and most are happy to report only that. The furthest most
companies will go in reporting on human capital within their public filings
is to mention "key-man" risks and executive succession plans.
More than two decades ago, Jac Fitz-enz and Wayne
Cascio separately pioneered the idea that metrics could shine a light on
human-capital value. From their work grew the notion that formal reporting
of such metrics could add value to financial statements. That discussion
simmered quietly for many years, but recently it has grown more bubbly, as
some of the best minds in human-capital management and workforce analytics
work hard to influence the acceptance of such reporting.
Some are crafting detailed structures for what they
generally refer to as human-capital financial statements or reports, which
would complement (but not replace) traditional financial reporting. Their
goal is to quantify a company's financial results as a return on
people-related expenditures, and express a company's value as a measure of
employee productivity.
To be sure, finance and human-resources executives
alike have long considered many important aspects of human-capital value to
be unquantifiable. That's why an effort by the Society for Human Resource
Management, less-granular than some similar efforts but very well organized,
shows promise to have a sizable impact. SHRM's Investor Metrics Workgroup,
in conjunction with American National Standards Institute (ANSI), is
developing recommendations for broad standards on human-capital reporting.
The group plans to release its recommendations for public comment early in
2012. Should ANSI certify the standards, the next phase would be a marketing
campaign aimed at investor groups and analysts, encouraging them to demand
that companies provide the information.
If demand for that data were to reach a critical
mass, then presumably accounting-standards setters would eventually look at
adopting some type of human-capital reporting, and the Securities and
Exchange Commission and other regulators would subsequently get involved. Of
course, that's a grand vision, and even its most optimistic proponents admit
that it will take at least a decade, and probably twice that long, to fully
materialize.
But the SHRM group's chair, Laurie Bassi, is
confident that the effort will succeed, however long it may take. "It's
going to serve as a catalyst for change," says Bassi, a labor economist and
human-capital-management consultant. "When investors start to demand this
information, it's going to be a wake-up call for many, many companies. For
some well-managed, well-run firms it won't be a stretch, but others will be
hard-pressed to produce the information in a meaningful way."
Bassi says that the driving forces behind the
effort boil down to two things: "supply and demand, or, you might say,
opportunity and necessity."
On the supply/opportunity side, advancing
technology and lower computing costs have greatly eased the collection and
crunching of people-related data, enabling companies to get their arms
around what's going on with their human capital in a much more analytic,
metrics-driven way than was possible a few years ago. The demand/necessity
side is that, driven by macroeconomic forces, human-capital management is
emerging as a core competency for employers, particularly those in
high-wage, developed nations.
Something for (Almost) Everyone Investors and
analysts aren't demanding human-capital reporting yet, but they might not
need much prodding. Upon hearing for the first time about SHRM's project,
Matt Orsagh, director of capital-markets policy for the CFA Institute, says
that "it sounds fabulous. I want all the transparency and inputs I can have.
Quantifying the worth of human capital would be fantastic, because right now
you have to take it on faith, and I don't know if I can trust it."
Predictably, some CFOs are less enthusiastic. "It's
a fair point that the balance sheet doesn't recognize the value of human
capital, and certainly not the full value of your intellectual property,"
says John Leahy, finance chief at iRobot, a publicly traded, $400 million
firm. "For a high-growth technology company like ours, there is significant
intrinsic value in the know-how and innovation of our people, which is why
we've traded over the last couple of years at a fairly attractive multiple.
SUMMARY: "Eastman Kodak Co. posted a wider loss and burned through
more than $300 million in cash in the second quarter as the traditional
camera business continued to deteriorate and raw-material costs weighed on
the bottom line."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful for covering both the
income statement and the statement of cash flows; the difference between the
two is emphasized by a statement that Kodak shifted a pension contribution
"from late last year to the latest quarter." Also covered are topics in
segment reporting and raw materials cost as is evident from the title.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the difference between Eastman Kodak
having "posted a wider loss" and having "burned through more than $300
million in cash"?
2. (Advanced) Access the Eastman Kodak quarterly financial
statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for the
quarter ended June 30, 2011, available at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/31235/000003123511000117/ekq22011_10q.htm
What was the company's loss in the current quarter versus one year ago? On
what financial statement is this information found?
3. (Advanced) What three business segments does Eastman Kodak
operate? From where in the financial statements do you obtain this
information?
4. (Advanced) Compare all three segments' performance for both the
six months and three months ended June 30, 2011 versus 2010. Which of the
three is profitable? What has happened to that profitability?
5. (Advanced) What accounting standards require the segment
information the author analyzed to write this article? How does the required
information help the author to analyze the company's results for this
article?
6. (Advanced) From what financial statements does the article's
author identify that Eastman Kodak "used $322 milion in cash to fund its
operations during the quarter"? (Hint: you may have to examine more than
just the current 10-Q to answer this question.)
7. (Advanced) "The company said...the comparison [of cash used in
the quarter] is skewed by...the shifting of a pension contribution..." How
would the shift described in this statement hurt this comparison? Does this
shifting also affect the company's profitability this quarter? Explain your
answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Eastman Kodak Co. posted a wider loss and burned
through more than $300 million in cash in the second quarter as the
company's traditional camera business continued to deteriorate and
raw-material costs weighed on the bottom line.
The results highlighted the challenges that remain
as the company seeks to refocus its operations around commercial and
consumer printing. Kodak suffered from expenses related to its turnaround
effort as well as from the high cost of silver and a lack of income from
intellectual-property settlements.
Chairman and Chief Executive Antonio Perez said the
Rochester, N.Y., company faces "the challenges typical in the creation of
new businesses." He reiterated that Kodak expects to be profitable by 2012.
The loss at the company's graphic-communication
segment widened to $45 million from $17 million a year earlier amid higher
raw-materials costs, as well as start-up expenses from expanding the
commercial inkjet-printer business. The broader loss occurred even though
revenue at the business rose.
The loss at the consumer digital-imaging segment
narrowed, reflecting higher printer-ink gross profits.
While Kodak is seeking to build its inkjet-printer
business, rival Lexmark International Inc. saw success paring its inkjet
offerings in favor of higher-end gear. Lexmark said Tuesday it benefited
from its increased focus on equipment, software and printing services for
businesses.
Meanwhile, at Kodak, the film, photofinishing and
entertainment group—the company's only profitable business—continued to
deteriorate. Earnings fell 94% to $2 million as sales dropped 14% on lower
volume and pricing pressure.
Kodak has struggled from the decline of traditional
photography and has ought to fund a revamp using patent litigation. It said
last week that it is exploring the sale of a valuable part of its U.S.
patent portfolio.
Overall, Kodak posted a loss of $179 million, or 67
cents a share, compared with a loss of $168 million, or 63 cents a share, a
year earlier. The most-recent quarter and the year-earlier period included
five cents and three cents a share, respectively, in items such as
restructuring and tax impacts. Sales fell 4.5% to $1.49 billion.
Silver is used in film manufacturing, and Kodak has
said its production costs rise $10 million to $12 million for every
one-dollar increase in the price of the metal. Silver rose to a record
$49.79 an ounce in April. It has fallen since then, but remains twice as
high as a year ago.
Continued in article
A great teaching case for students learning about capital budgeting and
rationing
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on June 24, 2011
TOPICS: Capital Budgeting, Capital Spending, Cost Management,
Product strategy, Revenue Forecast
SUMMARY: "Ford Motor Co. believes it can earn a 'competitive
return' in China and India even as it rolls out string of new cars in those
markets that will sell for much lower prices than the vehicles it sells in
North America and Europe."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is excellent for use in
managerial accounting classes to discuss planned production in support of
sales strategy and the particular need for target costing in this situation.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Why is Ford focusing on its planned auto sales in
Asia and India?
2. (Advanced) What is target costing? Why is that strategy
particularly important in Ford's growth strategy described in this article?
3. (Advanced) What other factors must the company consider as it
designs "from the ground up" models for China and India "to sell at low
prices"?
4. (Advanced) Summarize Ford's production capacity issues in the
Asia-Pacific region. How do these issues contribute to difficulties in
planning production and estimating product costs?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Ford Motor Co. believes it can earn a "competitive
return" in China and India even as it rolls out a string of new cars in
those markets that will sell for much lower prices than the vehicles it
sells in North America and Europe.
Over the next four years, Ford plans to expand to
15 from five the number of vehicles it sells in China. Some of the new cars
will sell for less than $14,500, Ford's Asia Pacific and Africa President
Joe Hinrichs said on Thursday. In India, Ford will sell eight models, up
from three, with some selling for under $8,500 like its Figo subcompact, he
said.
Auto makers often find it difficult to make money
on small, inexpensive cars because of it can cost hundreds of millions of
dollars to develop a new model from the ground up.
But Mr. Hinrichs said Ford is confident it can
profitably sell low-cost cars in China and India by sharing the basic
designs with other Ford units around the world, increasing the company's
economies of scale. "We are making money there now and we can continue to,"
Mr. Hinrichs said at Ford's Dearborn, Mich., headquarters. "It's all about
the scale and the cost base."
Ford last week set a goal of increasing its global
automotive sales by 50%, to eight million vehicles a year by 2020, with the
bulk of the gain coming from the Asia-Pacific region. During the same
period, the company also hopes to improve global automotive operating
margins to about 9% from 6.1% last year.
Mr. Hinrichs said Ford needs to develop new models
that sell at low prices to be able to expand rapidly in Asia. Vehicles with
sticker prices below $14,500 make up about 70% of the market in China, and
while those under $8,500 account for 70% of the Indian market, according to
Ford. Ford's best-selling vehicle in China today costs about $16,500; in
India, its top seller costs about $7,600.
Brian Johnson, an automotive analyst at Barclays
Capital, said it will be a challenge for Ford. "If Ford can leverage the
global engineering and the locally-tailored content to produce a cheap, but
reliable product, then there is room for them to succeed," he said.
Local Chinese and Indian auto makers "don't have
the global scale" that Ford can leverage, while some other western car
companies are not yet moving quickly into low-cost cars, he added. Tata
Motors made a splash in India in 2009 when it began selling its small Nano
car for about $2,500 although the vehicle ran into some problems when a
faulty switch led to fires in three cars.
Mr. Hinrichs took over Ford's Asia-Pacific region
in late 2009 and was given the additional duties as China chief executive
last year. Ford expects 45% of the global industry automotive sales to come
from Asia-Pacific by 2020, dwarfing the more mature Americas market's 25%.
Last year, Ford began building the $7,600 Figo at a
plant in Chennai, India. It developed the car by starting with an older
version of the Fiesta originally designed for the European market. Ford
modified the vehicle and stripped out about $1,000 in cost to sell it at a
much lower price in India, Mr. Hinrichs said.
Ford's forthcoming models for China and India will
be designed from the ground up to sell at low prices, Mr. Hinrichs said.
One hurdle facing Ford in Asia is production
capacity. Demand is outstripping supply despite $3.4 billion in plant
construction or expansions projects that Ford has announced in China, India,
Thailand and Africa.
Construction on one of those new investments, an
engine plant in Chongqing. China, began on Thursday. When open in 2013, the
$500 million plant will enable the Changan Ford Mazda Automobile joint
venture to double its output to 750,000 engines a year.
SUMMARY: So often it is said that, regardless of economic cycles,
accounting services are always needed. This article makes it clear that the
nature of those services may be changing: one small start up firm's founder,
Sam Rogoway of Near Networks, argues that "tasks that used to require extra
workers can now be done online. 'You don't need an IT person or an
accountant,' Mr. Rogoway says."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The questions focus students' thoughts on
the implications of the article for their professional development as
accountants if they want to work with small businesses or build a private
accounting practice.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What proportion of new job creation comes from
start-up firms in the U.S. economy? What has happened to the number of those
new jobs since 2008?
2. (Introductory) According to the author and sources for this
article, what types of jobs do small businesses now do without?
3. (Advanced) What are the implications of this article for the
services you can provide if you are an accountant wanting to work with small
businesses or to build a private accounting practice?
4. (Advanced) What are the implications of this article for the
skills you must develop and continually improve as a professional
accountant?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
New businesses are getting off the ground with nearly half as many workers as they did a decade ago, as the spread of online tools and other resources enables start-ups to do more with less.
The change, which began before the recession, may be permanent, according to some analysts.
"There's something long-term
at work here," says Dane Stangler, research director at Ewing Marion
Kauffman Foundation, a Kansas City, Mo., research group.
Start-ups are now being
launched with an average of 4.9 employees, down from 7.5 in the 1990s,
according to a recent Kauffman Foundation study. In 2009, new independent
businesses created a total of 2.3 million jobs, more than 700,000 fewer jobs
than the annual average through 2008, the study found.
Meanwhile, the overall
number of start-ups has "held steady or even edged up since the recession,"
according to the study.
Led by start-ups, small
employers have generated 65% of net new jobs over the past 17 years, says
the Small Business Administration. As such, steady declines in start-up
size, which stretch back more than a decade, could explain the slow labor
market recovery following the previous recession in 2001, as well as today,
according to Brian Headd, an economist at the SBA's Office of Advocacy.
"This is a significant
change and not necessarily tied to business cycles," says Mr. Headd.
Rather than purchasing the
tools and manpower needed to run their companies, more small firms are
renting, sharing or outsourcing resources, typically through online
services, according to Steve King, a partner at Emergent Research, a
research and consulting firm for small businesses.
By tapping into Web-based
business tools, Sam Rogoway earlier this month launched Near Networks, a
nationwide video production firm, with only four employees. An entrepreneur
based in Santa Monica, Calif., Mr. Rogoway says tasks that used to require
extra workers can now be done online.
"You don't need an IT person
or an accountant. It's become so streamlined and user-friendly," Mr. Rogoway
says. "We all wore different hats and collaborated on everything."
Last year, Gil Harel
launched BiteHunter, a search engine for restaurant discounts, with just
three employees. Based in New York, the site used shared screens and other
communications tools to work with developers in Russia, Uruguay and Israel.
"Just to build the
infrastructure to get a business off the ground used to take a lot of money
and people. But things that you couldn't do in the past, you can no w do on
your own," Mr. Harel says.
Most small companies now buy
supplies, pay bills and manage payroll on Web-based services, according to
the National Small Business Association, a Washington, D.C.-based lobbying
group.
A recent survey of more than
500 small firms by Zoomerang, an online polling firm based in San Francisco,
found a small but growing number are using shared, network-based
applications—or so-called cloud computing—for everything from data storage
and email, to customer service, mobile commerce, and finance and
administration.
Evan Saks, the founder of
online mattress maker Create-a-Mattress, says manufacturing technology that
ties orders to production—known as just-in-time manufacturing—and Web-based
tools have done away with the need for inventory managers or warehouse
staff, among other workers.
Continued in article
Teaching Case on Lean Accounting (accounting for lean manufacturing) The only things fat on a new Harley are the riders
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 28,
2012
SUMMARY: Harley-Davidson Inc. has implemented lean and flexible
manufacturing procedures. According to the related video, the company can
now produce as many vehicles as it always has with half the workforce it
once employed. Manufacturing improvements came from automation but also from
better organization and improved flexibility of worker abilities.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful in a managerial or
cost accounting course to cover lean manufacturing, fixed and variable
costs, C-V-P or breakeven analysis, and operating leverage.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Define the terms lean manufacturing, fixed costs,
variable costs, cost-volume-profit analysis, break-even analysis and
operating leverage.
2. (Advanced) By better organizing the Harley-Davidson operations
out of 41 buildings and into one location, do you think the company reduced
fixed costs, variable costs, or both? Explain.
3. (Introductory) Traditionally, companies requiring significant
investment in production costs, such as automobile and motorcycle
manufacturers, face deep plunges in profits when demand falls off, such as
it did during the 2009 recession. Why does this profit plunge occur?
Identify how the related graphic entitled "Higher on the Hog" shows this
phenomenon.
4. (Introductory) How have the improvements in production at Harley
made it more likely for the company "...to perform... and remain...
profitable no matter what the business environment is"?
5. (Advanced) Refer to your definitions in answer to question one.
How did the changes at Harley affect operating leverage and the company's
break-even point? Explain how operating leverage and cost-volume-profit
analysis can be used to assess the answers you gave to questions three and
four.
6. (Introductory) What is operating profit margin? How have the
company's improvements affected this measure?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
If the global economy slips into a deep slump,
American manufacturers including motorcycle maker Harley-Davidson Inc. that
have embraced flexible production face less risk of veering into a ditch.
Until recently, the company's sprawling factory
here had a lack of automation that made it an industrial museum. Now,
production that once was scattered among 41 buildings is consolidated into
one brightly lighted facility where robots do more heavy lifting. The number
of hourly workers, about 1,000, is half the level of three years ago and
more than 100 of those workers are "casual" employees who come and go as
needed.
This revamping has allowed Harley to quickly
increase or cut production in response to shifting demand. "This is a big
bang transformation," said Ed Magee, a Louisiana-born ex-Marine officer who
runs the York plant, one of the Milwaukee-based company's three big U.S.
production facilities.
The efficiency gains mean Harley should be able to
raise its operating profit margin for the motorcycle business [excluding
financing operations] to nearly 16% this year from 12.5% in 2009, said Craig
Kennison, an analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co. in Chicago. Harley no longer
needs peak production levels to achieve strong profits, he said.
Overall, U.S. manufacturers generally are in better
shape after slimming down and rethinking sloppy practices during the brutal
2008-09 recession. Total profits at domestic manufacturing companies, which
were running at an annual rate of $363 billion in this year's first quarter,
are up from $290 billion, five years ago, before the recession, according to
government data.
Companies often say they learned the lessons of the
past, only to get blindsided by some unexpected twist in the economic cycle.
But companies generally are in much stronger financial shape than they were
a few years ago. "There is a focus on performance and remaining profitable
no matter what the business environment is," said Daniel Meckstroth, chief
economist at the Manufacturers Alliance for Productivity and Innovation, an
economic research group in Arlington, Va.
Like Harley and others, Caterpillar Inc., a maker
of construction machinery, now relies more on "flexible" workers, including
part-timers and people working for outside contractors. Caterpillar
generally doesn't have to pay severance costs when it lets such workers go
during slow periods. Flexible workers accounted for about 16% of its global
workforce as of June 30, up from 11% at the end of 2009, when many of those
workers were cut because of slumping orders.
Harley got more serious about cutting costs when
Keith Wandell became chief executive in 2009 amid a severe slump in
motorcycle sales. On his first visit to the York plant, Mr. Magee recalled,
Mr. Wandell declared the layout and working methods unsustainable. Harley
began scouting sites for new plant to replace York and settled on
Shelbyville, Ky. The company notified the International Association of
Machinists and Aerospace Workers, or IAM, which represents York workers,
that the plant would close and move to Kentucky unless they approved a new
contract giving Harley more control over costs. Union members voted
overwhelmingly to make concessions, and Harley stayed in York.
Instead of 62 job classifications, the plant now
has five, meaning workers have a wider variety of skills and can go where
needed. A 136-page labor contract has been replaced by a 58-page document.
Kim Avila, 49 years old, who has worked here for
more than 17 years, said she saw the concessions as the only chance to
preserve jobs. The pace of work is faster now, but she said managers and
workers have more mutual respect and work together more smoothly. In the
paint department, where she works, people used to do the same chore all day
but now rotate through several tasks to avoid body strain and boredom. They
are encouraged to fix some minor flaws in the finish themselves rather than
kicking them to another department.
Some items formerly made in York, such as brackets
and screws, come from outside suppliers. Production fluctuates depending on
day-to-day sales, so the company doesn't have to stock up well ahead of the
spring peak-selling period and guess which models and colors will be
popular.
Similar changes are in the works at Harley plants
in Kansas City, Mo., and near Milwaukee, Wis. In all, the restructuring will
cut costs of doing business this year by at least $275 million, Harley
estimates. "They've done a phenomenal job in reducing costs," said James
Hardiman, an analyst at Longbow Research in Cleveland, who nonetheless has a
neutral rating on the stock, due partly to uncertain demand.
The transformation has been trying at times.
Harley's Mr. Magee likened it to having "open-heart surgery as we were
running the marathon" in that Harley had to maintain production in York as
it rebuilt the plant. New software installed recently to guide production
temporarily left the plant "constipated," one manager confided.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I think many managerial accounting instructors have been too slow in upgrading
their syllabi to include lean accounting beyond just JIT modules. A good
reference for lean accounting is provided by our AECM friend Jim Martin ---
http://maaw.info/JITMain.htm
As a teenager growing up in the Cleveland suburbs,
my first real job was at a Chick-fil-A restaurant in a local mall. I did
everything: manned the cash register, made sandwiches and cleaned up.
. . .
It’d be fun to report that that job taught me
important skills and precepts that followed me for the rest of my life, but
that’d be pushing it.
¶That job did teach me, however, one important
thing about the business world. My best friend, John, worked next door at a
watch shop. He told me he could get incredible discounts on the watches —
all I had to do was ask. I needed a watch, in fact, so I picked out a $200
model and asked what I’d have to pay. He said $60.
¶I was appalled. “You mean to tell me that your
shop pays $60 for that watch, and then jacks up the price to $200 for the
consumer? That’s outrageous! That’s practically robbery! You should be
ashamed to work there!”
¶John was amused, and he proceeded to teach me a
lesson. “Oh, really? That’s a big ripoff, huh? Well, let me ask you this:
How much do you think Chick-fil-A pays for each of the chicken breasts?”
¶I calculated that in the massive quantities this
chain purchased, it was maybe 40 cents.
¶“And the bun?” Maybe 4 cents. “The pickle?”
One-tenth of a cent. “O.K., and how much do you sell the sandwich for?”
$2.40.
¶Now, it’s been 30 years. All of the numbers in
this story are vague recollections — I don’t need e-mail from chicken-farm
vendors setting me straight. But I’m quite sure of the result: By the time
I’d done the math, John had made me realize that my sandwich shop was
marking up its product more than his watch shop. I was the one who should be
ashamed.
¶Right?
¶I think of this transaction every time somebody
does a “teardown analysis” of an iPhone, a Kindle Fire or some other hot new
product. These companies buy a unit, take it apart, photograph the
components and then calculate the price of each. Then they tally those
component costs and try to make you outraged that you’ve paid so much
markup.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I eat three or more (usually more) times per day. But I've not bought a new
Timex watch in the past ten years.
CVP analysis becomes more interesting when we extend it to multiple products,
operating leverage, and pricing (with demand functions). David Pogue adds
complications when the sum is not equal to the summation of its parts.
CVP: Sales Mix Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 16,
2011
SUMMARY: "Five years ago,...Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. was losing
money, feuding with its workers and struggling to compete with foreign
imports that undercut its prices at stores across the U.S....Rich Kramer,
who took over as chief executive in April 2010 after overseeing operations
and finance, says the key to its turnaround has been concentrating on fewer
but higher priced products targeted more toward consumers than auto makers."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Questions are focused on the management
accounting concepts of sales mix, contribution margin, fixed cost, reducing
unit costs in a high fixed cost environment through volume, and the
accounting for R&D activities. Questions are linked to the Goodyear 10-Q
filed on July 28 and available on the SEC's web site at
http://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0000042582
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Compare the operating results for the three and six
months periods ended in June 30, 2011, versus 2010. What financial statement
are you using to make this assessment? (Hint: you may access the Goodyear
financial statements for the quarter ended June 30, 2011 by clicking on the
live link to Goodyear Tire & Rubber in the online version of the article,
then click on the Financials tab, scroll down the page to see Related
Information at the bottom and click on SEC Filings at SEC.gov. Select the
Interactive Data tab for the 10-Q filing made on July 28, 2011.)
2. (Advanced) Compare the operating results for the three and six
months periods ended in June 30, 2011, versus 2010. What financial statement
are you using to make this assessment?
3. (Introductory) What amounts that you discussed above are
highlighted in the article to assess Goodyear's performance?
4. (Introductory) According to the article, what factors are
driving these dramatic changes? List all that you find.
5. (Advanced) What is sales mix? How does profitability improve
with improved sales mix? How does that focus on sales mix compare to the
strategy of "being 'a consumer products company and not just an auto
supplier company'"?
6. (Advanced) Why does 'running factories at high volume" offset
operating costs? How do these costs relate to the costs that are used to
analyze potential profit improvement through sales mix?
7. (Advanced) What activities described in the article are research
and development (R&D) activities? How are R&D expenditures accounted for
under U.S. GAAP? Given Goodyear's poor financial condition, how might
decisions about savings on R&D activities have impacted the company's
results?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Five years ago, the wheels had just about come off
Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. The 113-year-old tire maker was losing money,
feuding with its workers and struggling to compete with foreign imports that
undercut its prices at stores across the U.S.
Today, this industry icon appears to have regained
traction after a painful transformation. It downsized operations, found
common ground with union leaders and fought imports by using technology to
turn its tires into prized consumer products. Goodyear is now profitable
with a smaller, highly skilled work force and selling more premium-priced
tires.
In the first half of the year, Goodyear sold 89.7
million tires, just 2% more than the year-ago period, but revenue was up 25%
to $11 billion and income soared, to $143 million from a loss of $19
million.
Rich Kramer, who took over as chief executive in
April 2010 after overseeing operations and finance, says the key to its
turnaround has been concentrating on fewer but higher priced products
targeted more toward consumers than auto makers. Almost 75% of its tires now
sell for $130 and up. Four years ago, almost 40% of the tires it produced
were low-end tires retailing for about $60 apiece.
"Our strategy in the past was based on volume. Now
we look only to make the tire consumers want. It's easy to say but hard to
do," said Mr. Kramer, 47.
Its former strategy focused on running factories at
high volume to offset operating costs. Now, the company is focused on being
"a consumer products company and not just an auto supplier company," Mr.
Kramer said.
One key to Goodyear's turnaround has been better
relations with its union employees. In 2006, it locked horns with the United
Steelworkers union in a battle over retiree health care costs that led to a
bitter, two-month strike.
Eventually, the two sides reached an agreement that
offered Goodyear a two-tiered wage system and more flexible work rules in
exchange for putting $1 billion into a fund to cover the cost of health care
for retired workers. The company also reduced its U.S. plants to 16 from 29;
nine were part of a division that was sold.
Enlarge Image GOODYEAR GOODYEAR
Goodyear also committed to modernize its U.S.
plants to produce more advanced, higher-end tires. Since the strike, the
company has spent more than $900 million to upgrade its North American
plants and equipment.
"For us, it was the promise to invest in their
plants and getting the $1 billion needed to cover our retiree health care
costs that was the turning point," said USW vice president Tom Conway.
Goodyear recently has begun building on its success
with early consumer marketing efforts. Based on technology it developed to
reduce rolling resistance on commercial truck tires, Goodyear applied the
same materials to consumer tires in 2009, promising they could save as much
as 2,600 miles worth of gas over the life of the tires.
Other innovations include one of its early hot
sellers, the Assurance TripleTred tire, which came out in 2004. Each tread
embedded on the tire was designed to handle a certain road condition—water,
ice and dry pavement. The product clicked with consumers and since has
helped the Assurance brand sell more than 22 million tires in North America
alone.
"There has been some good progress in the last year
or so in such areas as rationalizing facilities, eliminating high cost
plants, lowering administrative costs and introducing some successful
products such as Fuel Max," said Saul Ludwig, managing director of
Cleveland-based stock analysts Northcoast Research. He said Goodyear is
poised to cut costs further and open its first new factory since 1990 in
China.
Continued in article
Online vendors of products like monthly unlimited downloads of movies from
Netflix and downloads of eBooks into an Amazon Kindle present interesting
challenges to CVP analysis where variable costs are minimal compared to fixed
costs. In comparison, however the rental movie disks from Netflix and the sale
of new hardcopy books from Amazon present more traditional CVP cases where
contribution margins are considerably lower than the price.
A Case on Relatively Large Fixed Costs in CVP Analysis
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on October 27, 2011
SUMMARY: Prices for hot-rolled steel dropped from about $900 a ton
in April to about $670 a ton during the week of October 17 to 21, 2011.
Columnist Kelly Evans compares the difficulty faced by two traditionally
organized steel companies with high fixed costs-U.S. Steel and AK Steel-to
Nucor which "operates smaller mills that it can more easily move on or
off-line as the market fluctuates", i.e. turning those fixed costs into a
step function, if not a true variable cost.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce cost
behaviors in managerial accounting courses.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Define the terms fixed cost and variable cost.
2. (Advanced) Author Kelly Evans writes that "the trouble for U.S.
Steel and AK Steel Holding...is that they have high fixed costs." Why do
certain industries such as steelmaking have high fixed costs while other
industries do not?
3. (Introductory) How significant was this year's price drop for
hot-rolled steel? How is the price for this product set?
4. (Advanced) Why do high fixed cost make it difficult to manage a
business during times of fluctuating prices for its end product?
5. (Introductory) Is the "trouble" from high fixed costs avoidable?
Explain the case of Nucor having "fared relatively better of late than U.S.
Steel and AK Steel."
6. (Introductory) Based on the description you've given above,
define the type of cost structure that Nucor Steel has used to produce its
steel end products.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The steel market is still awaiting its second-half
blastoff.
The U.S. has, for the moment, managed to cast off
recession fears, and Chinese manufacturing activity apparently rebounded in
October. Yet the price of steel—on whose skeleton these economies are
built—remains depressed. Benchmark hot-rolled steel had dropped in price
from about $900 a ton in April to about $670 a ton as of last week. On
Tuesday, earnings from a pair of American steelmakers may underscore the
market's duress.
The larger of the two, U.S. Steel, is expected to
post third-quarter earnings of about 52 cents a share, according to analysts
polled by Thomson Reuters. While an improvement from the company's loss a
year earlier, that is well below the $1.17 a share analysts were expecting
just three months ago. Moreover, the view among analysts may still be too
rosy: Steel Market Intelligence, a research firm, predicts the company will
post earnings of just 36 cents a share, and lower its fourth-quarter
earnings target, too.
The trouble for U.S. Steel, and AK Steel Holding,
which is expected to report a one-cent loss, is that they have high fixed
costs. That makes them especially vulnerable to steel-price declines. The
result has been a more-than-50% drop in the share prices of both companies
this year, as steel prices have sold off. By contrast, steelmaker Nucor
operates smaller mills that it can more easily move on- or off-line as the
market fluctuates. This has offered it and other "mini-mills" some cushion
as prices collapse.
Jensen Comment
This illustration (case?) offers quite a lot for class discussion or possibly
even a term paper on the topic of CPV Analysis in cost/managerial Accounting
courses. What should be the optimal price of a product that has a very high
fixed cost and almost no variable cost, as is the case for online video
downloads when the royalty costs are fixed?
Variable royalty costs are quite another matter, and I really do not know how
Netflix contracts with copyright holders.
Also movie disk rentals are quite another matter since there are variable
costs for postage, disk recording, disk purchase, disk handling, etc.
What is interesting is the implication for CPV analysis of most any online
product for which the variable cost is epsilon, including Kindle books,
eTextbooks, etc.
Remind students of what happens to pricing analysis and breakeven analysis
when the contribution margin (p-v) approaches p.
This Could Make an Interesting Managerial/Cost Accounting Case (CVP
Analysis in the Real World)
An ongoing battle between American Airlines and
online travel agents Orbitz and Expedia has played out for weeks with more
fervor, unlikely alliances and backstabbing than the last season of The
Apprentice. When American and Orbitz failed to reach terms on a new
distribution agreement, the airline ordered its schedule dropped from the
popular travel website on Dec. 21. Just a few days later, pre-empting its
own distribution dispute, Expedia hid American's listings from its search
results, making it difficult but not impossible to book an AA flight on the
website. Then, once Expedia's agreement with American ended Dec. 31, it
dropped the carrier from the site, calling the airline's strategy
"anti-consumer and anti-choice."
There's no question that part of American's
motivation is to cut costs, which George Hobica, founder of Airfare
Watchdog, says the airline is "desperate" to do. In bypassing the online
travel agents, American saves on distribution costs, but can also raise its
ticket prices more easily, since its fares won't be displayed directly
beside those of its competitors.
(See the top 10 travel moments of 2010.)
An ongoing battle between American Airlines and
online travel agents Orbitz and Expedia has played out for weeks with more
fervor, unlikely alliances and backstabbing than the last season of The
Apprentice. When American and Orbitz failed to reach terms on a new
distribution agreement, the airline ordered its schedule dropped from the
popular travel website on Dec. 21. Just a few days later, pre-empting its
own distribution dispute, Expedia hid American's listings from its search
results, making it difficult but not impossible to book an AA flight on the
website. Then, once Expedia's agreement with American ended Dec. 31, it
dropped the carrier from the site, calling the airline's strategy
"anti-consumer and anti-choice."
There's no question that part of American's
motivation is to cut costs, which George Hobica, founder of Airfare
Watchdog, says the airline is "desperate" to do. In bypassing the online
travel agents, American saves on distribution costs, but can also raise its
ticket prices more easily, since its fares won't be displayed directly
beside those of its competitors.
(See the top 10 travel moments of 2010.)
Continued in article
April 7, 2011 message from Francine McKenna
HuffingtonPost:
$817 an hour. Are professors worth what they're getting paid? http://huff.to/dXxZx6
I think the title put on this by Huffington Post is misleading. The
"worth" of somebody in a profession must focus as much or even more on the
worth of the benefits of that person vis-a-vis the cost. My wife had four
(soon to be five) very expensive surgeries from one of the outstanding spine
surgeons in the world. We can aggregate the cost of this Boston surgeon's
billings, but how in the world would we ever measure his benefit or worth?
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Erika2007.htm
Incidentally he's also one of the most important surgical residency teachers
in the shadows of the Harvard Medical School. How do we measure the value of
his contributions to the future surgeries performed by all the surgical
residents who've worked closely with this surgeon?
Similarly we can aggregate the cost of having Dennis Beresford for 14 years
at the University of Georgia. But how in the world would we ever measure his
"worth?" How do we measure the value of his contributions to all the
accounting students who've worked closely with this remarkable professor of
accountancy?.
Of course we could also argue that the benefit of 23-year old Ms. Kinder
teaching kindergarten in South Chicago is invaluable. About the only way we
have of comparing a unique Harvard spine surgeon with a kindergarten teacher
is how much it takes to replace them with professionals having comparable
skills. I would argue that Ms. Kinder can be replaced for a whole lot less
money than my wife's very uniquely qualified spine surgeon.
However, comparing their annual compensation is only a very, very rough way
to measure "worth" to society. Like you, I hesitate to conclude that the
"worth" of Stanley O'Neal was the $160 million it took to get him out the
door. Compensation is confounded by a whole lot of factors other than
societal "worth."
. "Stanley O'Neal who is leaving Merrill Lynch after
giving it a big fat gift of a $8 billion dollar write-off thanks to risky
investments. The board just can't help but feed this obesity epidemic.
They're giving him $160 million plus in severance for his troubles as he
heads for the door. At some point, the nation's corporations, or most
pointedly, their corporate boards, will realize throwing money at their CEOs
is probably not the best idea"
"Obesity Epidemic Among CEO Pay," The Huffington Post, November 1, 2007 ---
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/eve-tahmincioglu/obesity-epidemic-among-ce_b_70810.html
Here are my earlier threads on the controversial Texas A&M costing study
that focused more on comparing the cost of degrees awarded than the "worth"
of Aggie professors like Ed Swanson.or Tom Omer.
Texas A&M Case on Computing the Cost of Professors and Academic Programs
Jensen Comment
In an advanced Cost/Managerial Accounting course this assignment could have two
parts. First assign the case below. Then assign student teams to write a case on
how to compute the cost of a given course, graduate in a given program, or a
comparison of a the cost of a distance education section versus an onsite
section of a given course taught by a tenured faculty member teaching three
courses in general as well as conducting research, performing internal service,
and performing external service in his/her discipline.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 5,
2010
SUMMARY: The article describes a contribution margin review at Texas A&M
University drilled all the way down to the faculty member level. Also
described are review systems in place in California, Indiana, Minnesota,
Michigan, Ohio and other locations.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Managerial concepts of efficiency, contribution
margin, cost management, and the managerial dashboard in university settings
are discussed in this article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize the reporting on Texas A&M University's Academic
Financial Data Compilation. Would you describe this as putting a "price" on
professors or would you use some other wording? Explain.
2. (Introductory) What is the difference between operational efficiency and
"academic efficiency"?
3. (Advanced) Review the table entitled "Controversial Numbers: Cash Flow at
Texas A&M." Why do you think that Chemistry, History, and English
Departments are more likely to generate positive cash flows than are
Oceanography, Physics and Astronomy, and Aerospace Engineering?
4. (Introductory) What source of funding for academics is excluded from the
table review in answer to question 3 above? How do you think that funding
source might change the scenario shown in the table?
5. (Advanced) On what managerial accounting technique do you think
Minnesota's state college system has modeled its method of assessing
campuses' performance?
6. (Advanced) Refer to the related article. A large part of cost increases
in university education stem from dormitories, exercise facilities, and
other building amenities on campuses. What is your reaction to this parent's
statement that universities have "acquiesced to the kids' desire to go to
school at luxury resorts"?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Carol Johnson took the podium of a lecture hall one
recent morning to walk 79 students enrolled in an introductory biology
course through diffusion, osmosis and the phospholipid bilayer of cell
membranes.
A senior lecturer, Ms. Johnson has taught this
class for years. Only recently, though, have administrators sought to
quantify whether she is giving the taxpayers of Texas their money's worth.
A 265-page spreadsheet, released last month by the
chancellor of the Texas A&M University system, amounted to a profit-and-loss
statement for each faculty member, weighing annual salary against students
taught, tuition generated, and research grants obtained.
Ms. Johnson came out very much in the black; in the
period analyzed—fiscal year 2009—she netted the public university $279,617.
Some of her colleagues weren't nearly so profitable. Newly hired assistant
professor Charles Criscione, for instance, spent much of the year setting up
a lab to research parasite genetics and ended up $45,305 in the red.
The balance sheet sparked an immediate uproar from
faculty, who called it misleading, simplistic and crass—not to mention,
riddled with errors. But the move here comes amid a national drive, backed
by some on both the left and the right, to assess more rigorously what,
exactly, public universities are doing with their students—and their tax
dollars.
As budget pressures mount, legislators and
governors are increasingly demanding data proving that money given to
colleges is well spent. States spend about 11% of their general-fund budgets
subsidizing higher education. That totaled more than $78 billion in fiscal
year 2008, according to the National Association of State Budget Officers.
The movement is driven as well by dismal
educational statistics. Just over half of all freshmen entering four-year
public colleges will earn a degree from that institution within six years,
according to the U.S. Department of Education.
And among those with diplomas, just 31% could pass
the most recent national prose literacy test, given in 2003; that's down
from 40% a decade earlier, the department says.
"For years and years, universities got away with,
'Trust us—it'll be worth it,'" said F. King Alexander, president of
California State University at Long Beach.
But no more: "Every conversation we have with these
institutions now revolves around productivity," says Jason Bearce, associate
commissioner for higher education in Indiana. He tells administrators it's
not enough to find efficiencies in their operations; they must seek
"academic efficiency" as well, graduating more students more quickly and
with more demonstrable skills. The National Governors Association echoes
that mantra; it just formed a commission focused on improving productivity
in higher education.
This new emphasis has raised hackles in academia.
Some professors express deep concern that the focus on serving student
"customers" and delivering value to taxpayers will turn public colleges into
factories. They worry that it will upend the essential nature of a
university, where the Milton scholar who teaches a senior seminar to five
English majors is valued as much as the engineering professor who lands a
million-dollar research grant.
And they fear too much tinkering will destroy an
educational system that, despite its acknowledged flaws, remains the envy of
much of the world. "It's a reflection of a much more corporate model of
running a university, and it's getting away from the idea of the university
as public good," says John Curtis, research director for the American
Association of University Professors.
Efforts to remake higher education generally fall
into two categories. In some states, including Ohio and Indiana, public
officials have ordered a new approach to funding, based not on how many
students enroll but on what they accomplish.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
This case is one of the most difficult cases that managerial and cost
accountants will ever face. It deals with ugly problems where joint and indirect
costs are mind-boggling. For example, when producing mathematics graduates in
undergraduate and graduate programs, the mathematics department plays an even
bigger role in providing mathematics courses for other majors and minors on
campus. Furthermore, the mathematics faculty provides resources for internal
service to administration, external service to the mathematics profession and
the community, applied research, basic research, and on and on and on. Faculty
resources thus become joint product resources.
Furthermore costing faculty time is not exactly the same as costing the time
of a worker that adds a bumper to each car in an assembly line. While at home in
bed going to sleep or awakening in bed a mathematics professor might hit upon a
Eureka moment where time spent is more valuable than the whole previous lifetime
of that professor spent in working on campus. How do to factor in hours spent
in bed in CVP analysis and Cost-Benefit analysis? Work sampling and
time-motion studies used in factory systems just will not work well in academic
systems.
In Cost-Profit-Volume analysis the multi-product CPV model is
incomprehensible without making a totally unrealistic assumption that "sales
mix" parameters are constant for changing levels of volume. Without this
assumption for many "products" the solution to the CPV model blows our minds.
Another really complicating factor in CVP and C-B analysis are semi-fixed
costs that are constant over a certain time frame (such as a semester or a year
for adjunct employees) but variable over a longer horizon. Of course over
a very long horizon all fixed costs become variable, but this generally destroys
the benefit of a CVP analysis in the first place. One problem is that faculty
come in non-tenured adjunct, non-tenured tenure-track, and tenured varieties.
I could go on and on about why I would never attempt to do CVP or C-B
research for one of the largest universities of the world. But somebody at
Texas A&M has rushed in where angels fear to tread.
While universities routinely maintain that it costs
them more to educate students than what students pay, a new report says
exactly the opposite is true.
The report was released today by the Center for
College Affordability and Productivity, which is directed by Richard K.
Vedder, an economist who is also an adjunct scholar at the American
Enterprise Institute and a Chronicle
blogger. It says student tuition payments
actually subsidize university spending on things that are unrelated to
classroom instruction, like research, and that universities unfairly inflate
the stated cost of providing an education by counting unrelated spending
into the mix of what it costs them to educate students.
"The authors find that many colleges and
universities are paid more to provide an education than they spend providing
one," says a news release on the
report, "Who Subsidizes Whom?"
The report's authors used data from the U.S.
Education Department's Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, or
Ipeds, to conclude that more than half of students attend institutions that
take in more per student in tuition payments than what it actually costs
them to deliver an education.
The chief reason universities inflate the figures
on what they spend to educate students, says the report, is that
institutions include all of their spending—whether it is directly related to
instruction or not—when calculating what it costs them to provide an
education. In reality, says the report, depending on the type of
institution, it can cost universities much less to educate students than
what the institutions bring in through tuition charges.
"This study finds that education and related
spending is only a portion of many institutions' budgets," says a news
release on the study, "and that many schools spend large amounts on things
unrelated to educating students."
The report uses Dartmouth College as a poster child
to illustrate the gap between the actual costs of providing an education and
what an institution says it spends. On its Web site, the report says, the
Dartmouth College Fund maintained that while the institution charged
undergraduates about $50,000 each in academic 2009-10, the college actually
spent about $104,400 per student. While the center's report notes that
Dartmouth indeed spent more over all per student than what it took in
through tuition payments, "this does not mean that students are being
subsidized because not all of that spending is used toward specifically
educational purposes."
For example, says the report, Dartmouth said it
spent $37,000 per student on "academic support," $24,000 per student for
research, $15,000 for "institutional support," and $12,000 for "student
services." But, says the report, "very little of that $88,000 is properly
attributed to the cost of providing an education."
A spokesman for Dartmouth said it is legitimate for
institutions to count research expenditures as part of instruction.
Dartmouth faculty members are "renowned as teacher-scholars who involve
their students in their scholarship," said the spokesman. "Discovery of
knowledge is a key part of Dartmouth’s fundamental mission and a
liberal-arts education."
The report criticizes colleges for stating that
they subsidize their students' education, saying "conventional wisdom is
often wrong" in that regard.
From 1984 to 2009, “attendance was more than four
times more sensitive to beer prices than to winning or losing.” That
sensitivity is evident at the concession stand. A beer at Wrigley Field,
Scorecasting reports, costs just $5, cheaper than everywhere except at
Arizona Diamondbacks and Pittsburgh Pirates games.
Tickets to Cubs games, on the other hand, have
followed a different trajectory. Since 1990, prices have increased 67
percent (the league average is 44.7 percent). Only the New York Yankees
and the Boston Red Sox command more.
Yet people have continued to pay Wrigley
Field’s escalating cover charge, filling the stadium to 99 percent
capacity. Across town at US Cellular Field, ticket prices and attendance
rise and fall based on White Sox wins and losses, but the same beer will
run you a buck-fifty more than at Wrigley.
Continued in the article
Jensen Comment
This illustration might be used to illustrate the enormous gap between CPV
analysis in the real world versus the pathetic simplification assumptions we
make for CPV models in our cost and managerial accounting textbooks.
Firstly, the single product models where only one product bears the fixed
cost almost never arise in the real world except in maybe for farmers who only
grow one crop such as Kansas wheat or Idaho potatoes. But this leaves our
students unprepared for the real world where they rarely encounter
single-product firms.
Secondly, when we teach multiple-product CPV analysis we make the totally
unrealistic assumption that product/sales mix ratios are constant over the
relevant range. This leaves our students unprepared for the real world where
they rarely encounter fixed product/sales mix ratios even in a relatively narrow
relevant range.
The above Wrigley Field CPV problem from the real world illustrates a
situation where two products, beer and park seating tickets, share common fixed
costs but do so in a complicated way that makes the assumption of a fixed
product/sales mix ratio is totally inappropriate. Pricing is especially
complicated because at low seating prices we have more patrons who potentially
but not necessarily will buy more beer. But at low beer prices we will
apparently sell more seating tickets, but this becomes complicated by so many
other factors. Demand appears to be more elastic to beer pricing than to ticket
pricing according to findings in the above article. Add to this the park
attendance complications caused by Cubs rankings in the National League,
popularity of certain stars that emerge such a leading home run hitter, weather,
unemployment, traffic, parking, and other factors affecting park attendance and
beer drinking.
It might be of great value if some accounting professors collaborated to
write a case about Wrigley Field CPV analysis leading up to pricing decisions
and other variables that we commonly analyze in CPV analysis such as operating
leverage.
It might be of great value if readers would tell us how they go beyond the
textbooks to prepare students for real world complications of CPV analysis.
SUMMARY: "One widely
touted solution for current U.S. economic woes is for America to produce
more of the high-tech gadgets that the rest of the world craves. Yet two
academic researchers have found that Apple Inc.'s iPhone-one of the most
iconic U.S. technology products-actually added $1.9 billion to the U.S.
trade deficit with China last year. How is this possible? Though the iPhone
is entirely designed and owned by a U.S. company, and is made largely of
parts produced by other countries, it is physically assembled in China. Both
countries' trade statistics therefore consider the iPhone a Chinese export
to the U.S. So a U.S. consumer who buys what is often considered an American
product will add to the U.S. trade deficit with China."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful in a managerial accounting class or an MBA class.
Questions ask students to discuss the concepts of product cost, period cost,
value chains, and supply chains, then consider the impact of these
accounting concepts as they are used in discussing issues in the world
economy.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What are the three cost components of any product?
2. (Advanced) What other period costs also contribute to production
of any product such as the iPhone and the iPad discussed in this article?
3. (Introductory) What component of the iPhone and iPad product
costs and period costs are incurred in China? In the U.S.? In other parts of
the world?
4. (Advanced) What is a value chain? How do both product costs and
period costs reflect amounts in the value chain for a product?
5. (Advanced) What is a supply chain? How is the functioning of
today's global supply chain impacting the statistics traditionally used to
assess international trade?
6. (Introductory) How do the researchers cited in the article use
the components of a value chain to improve analysis of global supply chains?
One widely touted solution for current U.S.
economic woes is for America to come up with more of the high-tech gadgets
that the rest of the world craves.
Yet two academic researchers estimate that Apple
Inc.'s iPhone—one of the best-selling U.S. technology products—actually
added $1.9 billion to the U.S. trade deficit with China last year.
How is this possible? The researchers say
traditional ways of measuring global trade produce the number but fail to
reflect the complexities of global commerce where the design, manufacturing
and assembly of products often involve several countries.
"A distorted picture" is the result, they say, one
that exaggerates trade imbalances between nations.
Trade statistics in both countries consider the
iPhone a Chinese export to the U.S., even though it is entirely designed and
owned by a U.S. company, and is made largely of parts produced in several
Asian and European countries. China's contribution is the last
step—assembling and shipping the phones.
So the entire $178.96 estimated wholesale cost of
the shipped phone is credited to China, even though the value of the work
performed by the Chinese workers at Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. accounts
for just 3.6%, or $6.50, of the total, the researchers calculated in a
report published this month.
A spokeswoman for Apple said the company declined
to comment on the research.
The result is that according to official
statistics, "even high-tech products invented by U.S. companies will not
increase U.S. exports," write Yuqing Xing and Neal Detert, two researchers
at the Asian Development Bank Institute, a think tank in Tokyo, in their
report.
This isn't a problem with high-tech products, but
with how exports and imports are measured, they say.
The research adds to a growing debate about
traditional trade statistics that could have real-world consequences.
Conventional trade figures are the basis for political battles waging in
Washington and Brussels over what to do about China's currency policies and
its allegedly unfair trading practices.
"What we call 'Made in China' is indeed assembled
in China, but what makes up the commercial value of the product comes from
the numerous countries," Pascal Lamy, the director-general of the World
Trade Organization, said in a speech in October. "The concept of country of
origin for manufactured goods has gradually become obsolete."
Mr. Lamy said if trade statistics were adjusted to
reflect the actual value contributed to a product by different countries,
the size of the U.S. trade deficit with China—$226.88 billion, according to
U.S. figures—would be cut in half.
To correct for that bias is difficult because it
requires detailed knowledge of how products are put together.
Chris Deeley in Australia and I have been corresponding regarding an antique
learning curve paper that I published nearly 20 years ago. You can read some of
our correspondence at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theorylearningcurves.htm
In that correspondence I discuss the good and evil of the Wolfram Alpha
computational search engine.
Chris also sent me his latest working paper on an entirely different topic
(which I've not yet found time to delve into). I asked if I could serve up the
paper to my AECM friends and others. When I find time I would like to test some
of his formulas in Wolfram Alpha. Chris is skeptical.
September 23, 2010 message from
Bob
Yes, by all means post my working paper on general annuities on the AECM
website. I suspect that Wolfram Alpha may not be able to handle this sort of
thing. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if the application of standard maths
has created and entrenched the error. Chris
Chris Deeley
Senior Lecturer in Accounting & Finance
School of Accounting,
Faculty of Business
Charles Sturt University,
Locked Mail Bag 588
Wagga Wagga, NSW 2678
Ph: +612 69332694 Fax: +612 69332790
Email: cdeeley@csu.edu.au
Web:www.csu.edu.a u
I put his paper on one of my Web servers. I'm sure that Chris will appreciate
any comments that you have regarding this technical topic. It may be a good
exercise for accounting and finance students to study this paper.
Potentially a Great Case for Managerial Accounting Courses: How can
Harry Potter movies be financial losers?
"'Hollywood Accounting' Losing In The Courts: From the math-is-hard
dept," TechDirt ---
http://www.techdirt.com/articles/20100708/02510310122.shtml
If you follow the entertainment business at all,
you're probably well aware of "Hollywood accounting," whereby very, very,
very few entertainment products are technically "profitable," even as they
earn studios millions of dollars. A couple months ago, the Planet Money
folks did a great episode explaining how this works in very simple terms.
The really, really, really simplified version is that Hollywood sets up a
separate corporation for each movie with the intent that this corporation
will take on losses. The studio then charges the "film corporation" a huge
fee (which creates a large part of the "expense" that leads to the loss).
The end result is that the studio still rakes in the cash, but for
accounting purposes the film is a money "loser" -- which matters quite a bit
for anyone who is supposed to get a cut of any profits.
For example, a bunch of you sent in the example of
how Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix, under "Hollywood accounting,"
ended up with a $167 million "loss," despite taking in $938 million in
revenue. This isn't new or surprising, but it's getting attention because
the income statement for the movie was leaked online, showing just how
Warner Bros. pulled off the accounting trick:
In that statement, you'll notice the "distribution
fee" of $212 million dollars. That's basically Warner Bros. paying itself to
make sure the movie "loses money." There are some other fun tidbits in there
as well. The $130 million in "advertising and publicity"? Again, much of
that is actually Warner Bros. paying itself (or paying its own
"properties"). $57 million in "interest"? Also to itself for "financing" the
film. Even if we assume that only half of the "advertising and publicity"
money is Warner Bros. paying itself, we're still talking about $350 million
that Warner Bros. shifts around, which get taken out of the "bottom line" in
the movie accounting.
Now, that's all fascinating from a general business
perspective, but now it appears that Hollywood Accounting is coming under
attack in the courtroom... and losing. Not surprisingly, your average juror
is having trouble coming to grips with the idea that a movie or television
show can bring in hundreds of millions and still "lose" money. This week,
the big case involved a TV show, rather than a movie, with the famed
gameshow Who Wants To Be A Millionaire suddenly becoming "Who Wants To Hide
Millions In Profits." A jury found the whole "Hollywood Accounting"
discussion preposterous and awarded Celador $270 million in damages from
Disney, after the jury believed that Disney used these kinds of tricks to
cook the books and avoid having to pay Celador over the gameshow, as per
their agreement.
On the same day, actor Don Johnson won a similar
lawsuit in a battle over profits from the TV show Nash Bridges, and a jury
awarded him $23 million from the show's producer. Once again, the jury was
not at all impressed by Hollywood Accounting.
With these lawsuits exposing Hollywood's sneakier
accounting tricks, and finding them not very convincing, a number of
Hollywood studios may face a glut of upcoming lawsuits over similar deals on
properties that "lost" money while making millions. It's why many of the
studios are pretty worried about the rulings. Of course, these recent
rulings will be appealed, and a jury ruling might not really mean much in
the long run. Still, for now, it's a fun glimpse into yet another way that
Hollywood lies with numbers to avoid paying people what they owe (while at
the same sanctimoniously insisting in the press and to politicians that
they're all about getting content creators paid what they're due).
SUMMARY: The
article was written based on analysis and component price estimates by
research firm iSuppli after dismantling Blackberry's new Torch smartphone.
The product was assembled in Mexico from parts made by at least 7 companies
headquartered in the U.S., South Korea, the U.K., Germany, Japan, and
Switzerland. Questions ask students to identify manufacturing cost
components, determine gross profit, and consider what manufacturing costs
are not separately identified when a company buys completed components for
assembly.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is appropriate for an introductory level managerial accounting
class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What are the three components of cost for any manufactured product?
2. (Introductory)
What is the total cost of the components of the new BlackBerry Torch as
estimated by iSuppli?
3. (Advanced)
Assuming that the cost shown in the article comprises all of the cost
identified in your answer above, what is the gross profit earned on each
sale of the Torch? What is the gross profit rate on this product? In your
answer, define the difference between each of these amounts.
4. (Advanced)
What other costs might be included in the cost of selling this product
beyond the component costs shown in this article? What other costs will
Research in Motion (RIM) incur in selling this product that are never
included in product cost? In your answer, define the terms period cost and
product cost.
5. (Introductory)
View the video that is affiliated with this article. How many Torch
smartphones were sold on the opening weekend for this product? What is the
possible result of this sales level?
6. (Introductory)
According to the related video, what is the lowest price at which this new
phone is offered? Recalculate the answers you gave to question 4 above based
on this selling price.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Research In Motion Ltd.'s latest iPhone challenger,
the BlackBerry Torch 9800, hasn't yet made a killing where it matters the
most: at the cash register.
Analysts say retail spot checks show sales of the
Torch, which began in the U.S. at AT&T Inc. stores Thursday, have been
unimpressive—particularly in comparison with other recent smartphone debuts.
Analysts at RBC Capital Markets and Stifel Nicolaus
both put weekend sales at around 150,000 phones. In comparison, Apple Inc.
said it sold 1.7 million iPhone 4 units in the first three days. To be sure,
many Torch sales will likely go to RIM's core business clients, who can be
slower to adopt the latest models.
RIM declined comment; AT&T didn't respond to
requests for comment.
The plodding start isn't great news for RIM, which
is losing market share in the important North American market to snazzier
rivals like the iPhone. The Torch, RIM's first phone with a touchscreen and
slide-out keyboard, comes with revamped software and a faster Web browser,
which address some of the complaints against previous BlackBerry models.
But so far it's had a limited rollout: The Torch is
only available—at least for now—through AT&T for $199.99, with a two-year
service contract. RIM hasn't yet said when it will go on sale
internationally or through other carriers.
BlackBerry users could also be waiting to upgrade
current phones with the new operating system, rather buying an entirely new
phone, analysts say. The new software is set to roll out to existing devices
in the coming months and promises to make it easier for developers to offer
third-party applications. The platform also makes improvements in the way
BlackBerry users can tap into social networks like Facebook and media from
iTunes and Windows Media Player.
Like other high-profile smartphones, the Torch has
been disassembled by research firms to identify key components to help spot
trends in the electronics industry. Two research firms, iSuppli and UBM
TechInsights, concluded the new phone relies heavily on parts used in
earlier RIM products. ISuppli said it was assembled for RIM in Mexico,
though it didn't identify what company carried out that work.
Experience WSJ professionalEditors' Deep Dive:
Smartphone Rivals Face OffPC MAGAZINE Android Boosts Smartphone SalesThe
Toronto Star The Curse of SuccessDow Jones International News Nokia N8 to
Boost High-End CompetitivenessAccess thousands of business sources not
available on the free web. Learn MoreISuppli estimated the total cost of the
Torch's components at $171, plus $12 for manufacturing. The most expensive
single part of the Torch, iSuppli said, is the display and touchscreen
assembly, at an estimated cost of $34.85. The screen supplier was unknown.
Memory chips, supplied by South Korea's Samsung Electronics Co., accounted
for $34.25 of the Torch's component costs, the firm said.
The chip that serves as the electronic brains of
the Torch--and also provides so-called "baseband" functions to manage
communications--was supplied by Marvell Technology Group Ltd., a company in
Santa Clara, Calif., that primarily uses manufacturing services in Taiwan to
build chips it designs. ISuppli put the price of that chip at $15.
UBM TechInsights pointed out that the Marvell chip
operates at a speed of 624 megahertz, where some high-end phones have chips
that operate at 1 gigahertz--providing a substantial performance advantage.
SUMMARY: "A whopping 52,742 flights have been canceled at U.S. airports
since Dec. 1, 2010, or 4.98% of those scheduled....The cancellations came in
a period when travel demand is normally weaker anyway and airlines struggle
to reap profits....'Given that the first quarter is always a tough one even
in good years, a major storm that lasts several days and hits several hubs
could make or break the quarter,' said John Heimlich, chief economist at the
Air Transport Association...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to help students see the
impact of external shocks such as the weather on company profits and to
understand the disclosure process leading to analysis in the article. It may
be used in any level of accounting class covering revenue recognition, fixed
and variable costs, and quarterly reporting and disclosure.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Airline tickets are paid for in advance. Given
that passengers have paid their fares, why do canceled flights cause
revenues to decline?
2. (Introductory) "By flying fewer flights [due to weather-related
cancellations], carriers also lower their costs." What types of costs are
reduced in this way, fixed costs or variable costs? Define each of these
costs in your answer.
3. (Advanced) Why is the first quarter of the year always a "tough
one" for airlines to earn profits, even disregarding the effects of
snowstorms? In your answer, comment on the role of high fixed costs in times
of weak demand and revenues. Are costs reduced when this demand falls as
they are due to weather-related flight cancellations?
4. (Advanced) "...Many carriers don't disclose the financial impact
of storms until weeks later, if at all..." Consider requirements for
quarterly financial reporting. Why should an airline company disclose the
impact of a storm on its revenues and profits? How could a company
management justify not disclosing these effects?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
This week's winter storm is cutting into the
revenues of several U.S. airlines, which already were weighed down by rising
fuel prices.
A series of rugged winter weather events since
December already had slashed those airlines' revenues by tens of millions of
dollars, according to the companies involved and industry analysts.
Carriers canceled more than 5,000 flights, or
roughly 20% of those scheduled nationwide, for a second day in a row
Wednesday as the storm barreled across much of the country. Chicago was a
no-fly zone, more than 1,000 flights were canceled in New York and hundreds
more were scratched in Dallas.
A whopping 52,742 flights have been canceled at
U.S. airports since Dec. 1, 2010, or 4.98% of those scheduled, according to
FlightStats, a flight-tracking service. That represented the highest tally
in the past five winters over the same time period and a bit more than
double last winter's rate.
The cancellations came in a period when travel
demand is normally weaker anyway and airlines struggle to reap profits.
"Given that the first quarter is always a tough one
even in good years, a major storm that lasts several days and hits several
hubs could make or break the quarter," said John Heimlich, chief economist
at the Air Transport Association, an umbrella group for U.S. carriers.
Many Wall Street analysts expected most U.S.
airlines to post losses in the first quarter, but to still book a profit for
2011 as more travelers take to the skies and fares increase.
"I think at this point we're talking tens of
millions of dollars in lost revenue. I don't think we're talking hundreds of
millions,'' said Helane Becker, an analyst at Dahlman Rose, of the storms'
impact so far in 2011.
The U.S. airline industry rode a rebounding economy
to its first profit in three years in 2010. But the outlook has turned
cloudy as fuel expenses—which make up 25% or more of carriers' overall
costs—head higher. Each $1 increase in the price of a barrel of crude oil
adds an estimated $400 million to U.S. airline industry costs annually.
Weather has a more muted impact on airlines. By
flying fewer flights, carriers also lower their costs. Many passengers often
rebook on subsequent flights, making for fuller planes and helping further
cut costs.
U.S. airlines also managed to book their first
fourth-quarter profit in a decade in the most recent reporting period ended
Dec. 31, 2010—despite the major December storm that wreaked havoc on holiday
travel.
But many carriers don't disclose the financial
impact of storms until weeks later, if at all, creating uncertainty.
Airlines said Wednesday it was too early to estimate the effect of this
week's storm on their first-quarter financial performance. Some may provide
initial estimates in the coming weeks as they roll out their monthly traffic
reports.
Delta Air Lines Inc., the second-largest U.S.
carrier by traffic, recently estimated that storms in the first half of
January alone would drag down its first-quarter profit by $30 million. It
also disclosed that December storms slashed its fourth-quarter profit by $45
million.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Additional considerations when teaching this case include the possible factoring
in of global warming. I read where my wife and I can expect more and more snow
each winter up here in the White Mountains and that other parts of the world can
expect more and more snow, rain, and flooding. The reason is supposedly
increased moisture in the air caused by warmer ocean temperatures. In the past
industries like transportation, hotels, and agriculture factored in "normal"
weather losses in prices. When does abnormal commence to become normal?
And there are tradeoffs. Whereas snow storms in the heartland of the United
States greatly impacted the bottom line of hotels and airlines, here in the
mountains of New England the hotels and ski resorts flourished with increased
business due to the "best" snow depths in decades. Instead of flying to the
Rocky Mountains of the west to ski, many skiers in Boston, Hartford, NYC,
Philadelphia, etc. packed up their cars and headed for the deep snows of
Vermont, Maine, and New Hampshire. How the West was Lost become How the East was
Won.
A Two-Part Teaching Case: The Cost of Quality Versus the Cost of Poor Quality
Two decades ago, managerial and cost accounting textbooks and courses began to
run modules on the "cost of quality" or to be more accurate the cost of poor
quality. The following case fits into these types of modules.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 21, 2010
SUMMARY: On
April 30, 2010, Johnson & Johnson "...recalled a number of over-the-counter
medicines for children and infants after receiving complaints from consumers
and discovering manufacturing problems. The company also closed the plant in
Fort Washington, PA, that made the recalled products until it fixes the
issues and can assure quality production....The FDA conducted a routine
inspection of the Fort Washington plant last month. Agency inspectors found
that the J&J unit received 46 complaints from consumers between June 2009
and April 2010 regarding 'foreign materials, black or dark specks' in
certain medicines.'" The FDA has now widened its investigation and the J&J
McNeil Consumer Healthcare unit that makes these products is conducting a
comprehensive quality assessment over all its manufacturing operations.
"Some parents say the recall has weakened J&J's sterling reputation for
quality. The recall has also prompted a congressional investigation of the
company's handling of consumer complaints and the adequacy of the FDA's
inspections."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Questions
focus on concepts in the cost of quality.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
How crucial is the concept of quality to Johnson & Johnson operations and
profitability?
2. (Advanced)
Define the terms "cost of quality" or "quality cost" and related concepts of
'prevention costs" and "appraisal costs."
3. (Advanced)
Which of the categories of quality costs-prevention or appraisal-is about to
increase significantly at J&J? Explain your answer.
4. (Advanced)
Define the concepts of "internal failure costs" and "external failure
costs."
5. (Advanced)
The FDA and congress may investigate J&J's handling of consumer complaint.
Under what part of the quality control process does handling these
complaints fall under?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
"FDA Widens Probe of J&J's McNeil Unit," by: Jonathan D. Rockoff,
The Wall Street Journal, May 18, 2010
The Food and Drug Administration has widened its
investigation into the recent recall of certain Johnson & Johnson children's
medicines and is now inquiring into manufacturing across the company's
consumer health-care unit.
J&J's McNeil Consumer Healthcare makes a range of
products for adults and kids, notably Benadryl, St. Joseph aspirin, Motrin,
Tylenol and Zyrtec.
On April 30, the company recalled a number of
over-the-counter medicines for children and infants after receiving
complaints from consumers and discovering manufacturing problems. The
company also closed the plant in Fort Washington, Pa., that made the
recalled products until it fixes the issues and can assure quality
production.
The recall of the liquid children's medicines was
the third by the J&J unit since last September. An FDA spokeswoman said
there had been no specific complaints about products from other McNeil
facilities. But given the history of recent recalls, the FDA wanted to make
sure there weren't any similar manufacturing problems and to identify any
steps the agency must take to prevent the problems from recurring.
Besides Fort Washington, J&J's McNeil unit has
plants in Lancaster, Pa., and Las Piedras, Puerto Rico.
"We're doing our due diligence," said FDA
spokeswoman Elaine Gansz Bobo.
The J&J unit "is conducting a comprehensive quality
assessment across its manufacturing operations and continues to cooperate
with the FDA," a company spokeswoman said.
Some parents say the recall has weakened J&J's
reputation for quality. The recall has also prompted a congressional
investigation of the company's handling of consumer complaints and the
adequacy of the FDA's inspections. The House Committee on Oversight and
Government Reform has asked J&J Chief Executive William Weldon to testify at
a hearing on May 27.
The FDA and J&J have told the committee they will
cooperate and are in the process of answering its questions, and the
committee expects that Mr. Weldon will attend, said Kurt Bardella, a
spokesman for Rep. Darrell Issa (R., Calif.), the panel's ranking
Republican.
A J&J spokesman said the company is communicating
with the committee and will respond appropriately to the panel's request but
declined to say if Mr. Weldon will appear.
The recall last month involved more than 40
different Tylenol, Benadryl, Motrin and Zyrtec products for children and
infants. Some of the medicines had higher concentrations of active
ingredient than specified, and some products may contain tiny metallic
particles left as a residue from the manufacturing process, according to
J&J's McNeil unit.
The FDA conducted a routine inspection of the Fort
Washington plant last month. Agency inspectors found that the J&J unit
received 46 complaints from consumers between June 2009 and April 2010
regarding "foreign materials, black or dark specks" in certain medicines.
The FDA also said bacteria contaminated raw materials to be used to make
several lots of Tylenol products for children.
FDA has begun to review all complaints it has
received to determine whether the recalled products caused any serious side
effects. The agency has said the chances that the recalled products could
cause harm were remote, but warned parents not to use the products as a
precaution.
Update on June 3, 2010
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on June 3, 2010
SUMMARY: "A
Congressional probe of a Johnson & Johnson unit's manufacturing problems is
spreading beyond the company's recent recall of its children's medicines to
withdrawals of other over-the-counter products." The House Committee on
Oversight and Government Reform also contacted Blacksmith Brands about its
recall of PediaCare cough and cold medicines. The company purchased the
Pedia line from J&J's McNeil Consumer Healthcare unit in 2009 and those
products also were made in the same facility in which the other problem
products were made.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
review follows on initial coverage of this issue on 5/20/2010. Questions
focus on concepts in the cost of quality for management accounting classes
and on implications for financial accounting and reporting for product
recalls for financial accounting classes.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced)
Define the terms "cost of quality" or "quality cost" and related concepts of
'prevention costs" and "appraisal costs."
2. (Introductory)
Which of the categories of quality costs-prevention or appraisal-are
occurring at Johnson &Johnson's McNeil unit and at Blacksmith Brands, who
bought J&J's PediaCare medicines, in response to manufacturing defects in
over the counter medicines?
3. (Advanced)
Define the concepts of "internal failure costs" and "external failure
costs."
4. (Introductory)
The FDA and Congress also are investigating J&J's use of an outside
contractor "after discovering in late 2008 that some Motrin wasn't
dissolving correctly." Under what part of the quality control process does
the cost of using such a contractor fall? Specifically comment in light of
J&J's statements about the purpose of hiring the contractor.
5. (Advanced)
Summarize the financial accounting and reporting implications of a product
recall such the one that Blacksmith Brands has issued for PediaCare cough
and cold medicines.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A Congressional probe of a Johnson & Johnson unit's
manufacturing problems is spreading beyond the company's recent recall of
its children's medicines to withdrawals of other over-the-counter products.
The House Committee on Oversight and Government
Reform asked Blacksmith Brands on Tuesday for further information about its
recall last week of PediaCare cough and cold medicines. Those products were
made by J&J at the same Fort Washington, Pa., plant that produced children's
Tylenol and other recalled kids drugs.
J&J's McNeil Consumer Healthcare unit had recalled
certain Benadryl, Motrin, Tylenol and Zyrtec pain and cold medicines for
children on April 30 because of manufacturing problems including the
potential for metal particles in the products. J&J has temporarily shut the
plant.
A spokesman for Blacksmith Brands, of Tarrytown,
N.Y., called the committee's request standard in the event of recalls and
said the company would cooperate. Blacksmith Brands bought the four recalled
PediaCare products from J&J's McNeil unit last year, and had arranged prior
to the recall for other plants to make them starting in July.
The House committee sought information from WIS
International, a merchandising consultant, as part of its examination of
McNeil's handling of defective Motrin pain relief pills, according to a
person familiar with the investigation.
In 2008, J&J's McNeil unit discovered that some of
the pills weren't dissolving correctly. It hired a contractor to purchase
the product from store shelves, according to documents released at the
Congressional committee hearing last week.
The contractor advised its workers to buy up the
Motrin packages, and to act like customers, making no reference to this
being a recall, according to a memo released at the hearing.
In July 2009, McNeil issued a recall of the Motrin
product.
Colleen Goggins, who oversees J&J's consumer group,
told lawmakers last week that the company didn't have "any intent to mislead
or hide anything" and that it had told the FDA it had hired a contractor to
statistically sample the products. A J&J spokeswoman said it is looking into
the contractor's work and would report back to the committee.
She wouldn't comment on whether WIS International
was the contractor in the memo.
An entity called "WIS" is named in the contractor's
memo.
Officials at the company did not return messages
left Wednesday seeking comment. On Tuesday, Dave Haller, vice president of
sales, account management and marketing, said: "We don't comment on
activities for our clients, and Johnson & Johnson is not a client of ours."
He would not say whether J&J or one of its units had been a client in the
past.
WIS International, which has headquarters in San
Diego, Calif., and Mississauga, Ontario, counts inventory on behalf of
retailers, hospitals and other kinds of firms. It also helps manufacturers
recall tainted products from retail store shelves.
The company's website says it has "worked on
recalls and product purchases ranging from a few hundred stores to nearly
60,000."
May 21. 2010 reply from James R. Martin/University of South Florida
[jmartin@MAAW.INFO]
Bob,
Using these cases is a good
place to introduce and compare the various quality models including Juran's
Zero defects, Taguchi's Loss function, and Deming's Robust quality
philosophy.
From James R. Martin http://maaw.info
To CPAS-L show details 12:43 PM
The following article describes a lean assessment
technique referred to as the rapid plant assessment (RPA) process.
Goodson, R. E. 2002. Read a plant - fast.
Harvard Business Review (May): 105-113.
According to Goodson, using the RPA process during
a plant tour can indicate if a factory is truly lean in as little as 30
minutes. The process includes two assessment tools, the RPA rating sheet,
and the RPA questionnaire. The information provided by these tools can be
used to influence decisions related to benchmarking, continuous improvement,
competitor analysis, and acquisitions. It is also a very useful tool for
teaching students about lean enterprise concepts.
Around the turn of every year, bankers can think of
only one thing: the size of their bonuses.
Even beyond bonus season, they run different
scenarios and assumptions, trying to calculate their number.
This distracts them so much that the bigger the
bonus at stake, the worse the performance, according to behavioral economist
Dan Ariely, who lays out his theory in his new book "The Upside of
Irrationality" (HarperCollins, $27.99).
"For a long time we trained bankers to think they
are the masters of the universe, have unique skills and deserve to be paid
these amounts," said Ariely, who also wrote the New York Times bestseller
"Predictably Irrational."
"It is going to be hard to convince them that they
don't really have unique skills and that the amount they've been paid for
the past years is too much."
Ariely's findings come as regulators try to rein in
Wall Street's bonus culture after the 2008 financial collapse. The financial
industry argues it needs to pay large bonuses to attract and motivate its
top employees.
In an experiment in India, Ariely measured the
impact of different bonuses on how participants did in a number of tasks
that required creativity, concentration and problem-solving.
One of the tasks was Labyrinth, where the
participants had to move a small steel ball through a maze avoiding holes.
Ariely describes a man he identified as Anoopum, who stood to win the
biggest bonus, staring at the steel ball as if it were prey.
"This is very, very important," Anoopum mumbled to
himself. "I must succeed." But under the gun, Anoopum's hands trembled
uncontrollably, and he failed time after time.
A large bonus was equal to five months of their
regular pay, a medium-sized bonus was equivalent to about two weeks pay and
a small bonus was a day's pay.
There was little difference in the performance of
those receiving the small and medium-sized bonuses, while recipients of
large bonuses performed worst.
SHOCK TREATMENT
More than a century ago, an experiment with rats in
a maze rigged with electric shocks came to a similar conclusion. Every day,
the rats had to learn how to navigate a new maze safely.
When the electric shocks were low, the rats had
little incentive to avoid them. At medium intensity they learned their
environment more quickly.
But when the shock intensity was very high, it
seemed the rats could not focus on anything other than the fear of the
shock.
This may provide lessons for regulators who want to
change Wall Street's bonus culture, Ariely said. Paying no bonus or smaller
bonuses could help fix skewed incentives without loss of talent.
"The reality is, a lot of places are able to
attract great quality people without paying them what bankers are paid,"
Ariely said. "Do you think bankers are inherently smarter than other people?
I don't." (Reporting by Kristina Cooke; Editing by Daniel Trotta)
My interest in the irrationality of human behavior
started many years ago in hospital after I had been badly burned. If you
spend three years in a hospital with 70% of your body covered in burns, you
are bound to notice several irrationalities. The one that bothered me in
particular was the way my nurses would remove the bandage that wrapped my
body. Now, there are two ways to remove a bandage. You can rip it off
quickly, causing intense but short-term pain. Or you can remove it slowly,
causing less intense pain but for a longer time.
My nurses believed in the quick method. It was
incredibly painful, and I dreaded the moment of ripping with remarkable
intensity. I begged them to find a better way to do this, but they told me
that this was the best approach and that they knew the best way for removing
bandages. It was their intuition against mine, and they chose theirs.
Moreover, they thought it unnecessary to test what appeared (to them) to be
intuitively right.
After leaving the hospital, I started doing
experiments that simulated these two ripping methods. And I found that the
nurses were wrong: Quick ripping turned out to be more painful than slow
ripping. In my experiments, I discovered a collection of tricks that could
have been used to lessen the pain or manage it more effectively. For
instance, they could have started from the most painful part of the
treatment and moved to less painful areas to give me a sense of improvement;
they could have given me breaks in between to recover. There are great
lessons to be learned from such experiments, lessons that apply to
economics, markets, policymaking and even our personal lives.
Is there an idea you believe can change the world?
Describe it in the comments section at the bottom of this story, and Forbes
could publish your idea.
As it turns out, it is not that useful, and
sometime even costly, to base our decisions on our intuitions. Instead, we
need to inject some science in the way we go about everyday life because if
one merely keeps following his instincts, he will continue making the same
(preventable) mistakes.
Over the years, I have examined many topics related
to the mistakes we all make when we make decisions, and one topic that I
have explored in some depth is that of cheating behavior, and I would like
to describe this in a bit more depth.
Here’s Daniel Pink’s latest book. This time he presents theories on
motivation. This clever YouTube clip is a great animation explaining a point
made in the book.
Bill Ellis, CPA, MPAcc Furman University Accounting UES
864-908-4743
June 19, 2010
reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Bill,
What a great animation video that makes such good points about
compensation.
The Price
of Perfection: That Straw That Saved the 10 Millionth Camel's Back Contemplate the flip
side of my argument. A 100 percent safe car is impossible to build. As a
manufacturer approaches 100 percent safety, the manufacturing costs increase
exponentially. The real question is what is the customer (or society) willing to
pay for safety as it approaches 100 percent safe. Most consumers would be
willing to pay $20,000 for a car that is 99.8 percent safe but not $100,000 for
a car that is 99.9 percent safe. Are the customers wrong? How would they react
to Washington bureaucrats telling them they had to pay an additional $80,000 for
an incremental 1/10 of 1 percent of safety?
Armstrong Williams, "Toyota’s Deadly Secret." Townhall, March 2, 2010 ---
http://townhall.com/columnists/ArmstrongWilliams/2010/03/02/toyota%e2%80%99s_deadly_secret
Jensen Comment
I purchased a new Subaru in the Cash for Clunkers Program. I traded in
my father's 1989 Cadillac that looked and ran like the day it was new. It
accumulated 70,000 miles of absolutely trouble free driving. Now the Subaru cost
me $19,700 plus some extras for heated seats and the extended warranty.
Subaru is rated the
most safe car in its class, but would I have done this deal if the trade-in
price had been $87,000 for some added safety protection currently not available
on new vehicles? Probably not, even though the old Cad I traded in did not even
have air bags or various other safety features that are standard on a 2010
Subaru. Of course, up here we call it a rush hour traffic if we see two other
vehicles on I-93 at 8:00 a.m. or 6:00 p.m.
This begs the question of how much we
should be forced to pay for epsilon improvements in safety? Of course I'm not
talking about unsafe cars that lurch ahead uncontrollably or have defective
braking systems. But my old Cad was extremely tried and true with respect to not
having such severe safety hazards. In fact, the sheer complexity of my new
Subaru with all its computerized controls of almost everything make it more of a
risk in some ways as I drive to the village for milk and bread or a hair cut.
This also applies to costs of production
of goods and services. Some medical procedures now cost ten times more than in
1990 for safety benefits that may only save one life out of ten million people.
It certainly seems worth it if you're life is the one saved, but in the grand
scheme of things is this added protection really a luxury that society can no
longer afford? The same question might be raised about many of the current OSHA
requirements for working Americans. How many wannabe workers cannot find jobs
because of more stringent OSHA requirements?
Up here in the mountains, a small
construction company that does a lot of building repair work laid off all of its
full-time workers because of the cost of Workmen's Compensation Insurance. The
former workers became "independent contractors" who now negotiate their own fees
and no longer have benefits like employer-paid health insurance. Outsourced
workers are paid by the job rather than the hour such that they, in turn,
sometimes take more safety risks in their rush to finish jobs quickly.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 11. 2012
SUMMARY: "Buoyed by a five-fold surge in net income in the fiscal
fourth quarter and a return to full production capacity, an upbeat Toyota
Motor Corp. on Wednesday forecast a doubling of profits in the current
fiscal year through March 2013."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful in both financial and
managerial accounting classes, or an MBA class, to combine topics in these
two areas. Specific topics addressed are quarterly versus full year results,
management guidance and earnings forecasts, fixed costs in heavy industries
such as automobile manufacturing, and (for more advanced students) the
impact of foreign currency exchange rates on operating results.
2. (Introductory) Compare the discussion of annual results with the
description in the WSJ article. On what information does the author focus
analysis of results?
3. (Introductory) Describe how the graphic related to the article
summarizes the focus described in your answer above.
4. (Advanced) Refer again to the filing by Toyota Motor Corp. What
factors influenced output of automobiles in 2011 and 2012?
5. (Advanced) Consider the nature of automobile manufacturing,
typically described as heavy manufacturing. How does reduced output impact
companies in this industry? Why does returning output to "normal" provide
significant profit increases? In your answer, define the terms fixed and
variable costs.
6. (Introductory) Again refer to the Toyota Motor Corp. SEC filing.
What management guidance about future sales and profits does the company
provide?
7. (Advanced) Why does the company have to state that the
forecasted information is "...based on the assumption the dollar will
average ¥80 and the euro ¥105 during the period"? Specifically describe the
effect that different exchange rates might have on these expected results of
operations.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Buoyed by a five-fold surge in net income in the
fiscal fourth quarter and a return to full production capacity, an upbeat
Toyota Motor Corp. on Wedneday forecast a doubling of profits in the current
fiscal year through March 2013.
Japan’s largest car maker by volume recorded a net
profit of ¥121.0 billion ($1.51 billion) in the three months ended March, up
from ¥25.4 billion a year earlier, marking the first quarterly growth in six
quarters. The result beat analysts’ estimates for ¥112.9 billion net profit
in a poll compiled by data provider FactSet.
The company sees its net profit more than doubling
to ¥760 billion in the current fiscal year through March. In the just-ended
fiscal year, Toyota’s net profit dropped 30.5% to ¥283.56 billion. Sales for
this fiscal year are seen rising 18.4% to ¥22.000 trillion, while operating
profit is expected to nearly triple to ¥1.000 trillion.
The upbeat outlook comes after a series of
difficult challenges for Toyota over the last few years, including
high-profile quality-control issues and natural disasters at home and
abroad. The Japanese company ceded the title of world’s biggest auto maker
to General Motors Co. last year.
“In recent years, we have suffered periods of
hardship,” said Toyota President Akio Toyoda at a press conference. “This
year, I am determined to show tangible results of all our internal efforts,”
The outlook for the fiscal year is based on the
assumption the dollar will average ¥80 and the euro ¥105 during the period,
compared with ¥79 and ¥109 in the previous 12 months.
The marginally higher dollar rate for this fiscal
year will slightly ease the pressure of the strong yen on its bottom line.
But with the car maker in the midst of drive to
increase exports from Japan to make up for lost production last year, Toyota
Chief Financial Officer Satoshi Ozawa warned that sensitivity to any
fluctuations in the dollar will rise this fiscal year.
Each weakening of the dollar by one yen, will cut
the company’s operating profit by ¥35 billion this fiscal year, larger than
¥32 billion in the last fiscal year, he said.
Toyota joins Honda Motor Co. in projecting a
substantial turnaround in the current fiscal year, underscoring how Japan’s
auto industry aims to win back customers lost to U.S., German and South
Korean rivals.
Honda, Japan’s third biggest car maker by volume,
in late April reported a 61% jump in net profit and said it expects its net
profit to more than double to ¥470 billion for this fiscal year.
Analysts expect Nissan Motor Co. to join its two
major local rivals in forecasting a bright profit outlook when it releases
January-March results and its projection for the year on Friday.
When our 12-year-old minivan finally gave up the
ghost, it was time to go car shopping.
I didn’t want another minivan; driving around a
gas-guzzling seven-seater didn’t make much sense when 98 percent of my trips
involve one child and one driver. I definitely didn’t want an S.U.V.; in the
18 years I’ve lived in Connecticut, I have yet to encounter a flash flood or
a sudden mountain on the way to the grocery store. Yet I wanted something
roomier than my beloved Honda Fit. I love it, but two of my three children
are now teenagers, so it has become a tight Fit indeed.
I finally settled on the brand-new Prius V, which
is an enlarged Prius.
Toyota’s always been the leader in hybrid motors,
and I’ve always loved the regular Prius. The Prius V (pronounced “vee,” not
“five”) is something like a crossover Prius. To my children’s delight, it
has as much room as a small S.U.V.; the back seats offer 30 percent more
space than the regular Prius, and they even recline.
I think it’s a great-looking car, too; Toyota
finally eliminated the stupid support bar that used to block the back
window. And the ride is perfect.
Of course, you’re not going to go zero to 60 in
five seconds in this car. But it gets 44 miles a gallon and produces
one-tenth the pollution of a regular car, which makes me very happy.
Best of all (for a technophile like me), the Prius
V is the first Toyota to incorporate a new electronics system, Entune. The
concept is brilliant; the dashboard touch screen offers buttons for apps
like Bing, Traffic, Weather and Pandora radio that connect to the Internet
through your phone. It works with iPhone or Android phones, as long as
you’ve downloaded the necessary Entune phone app and signed up for a free
account.
For days, though, I couldn’t get the system to
work. I’d paired my iPhone with the car’s Bluetooth system in seconds, so I
could play music and make phone calls wirelessly with no problem at all. (A
nice touch: your Bluetooth music fades and pauses when you get a phone call,
even when you’re not sending the phone call through the car’s sound system.)
But whenever I tried to use one of the car’s apps, I got a message that said
something like, “No connection to the Internet.”
It took some Googling to unearth the bizarre
glitch. The Prius can see the Internet connection only when the iPhone is
wired to the dashboard’s USB jack. It can’t connect over Bluetooth. (Android
phones, on the other hand, work wirelessly.) Toyota indicates that it will
fix that iPhone-specific shortcoming shortly.
Once the problem was solved, though, I saw the
potential instantly. Once I entered my Pandora name and password, I could
tune in to any of my custom-made “radio stations” as I drove (with a
watchful eye on my monthly Verizon data limit, of course). I could see the
gas prices of nearby gas stations right on my dashboard, without having to
pull off the highway.
Wildest of all, Entune works with the car’s GPS
system. Whenever it’s guiding you to a destination, it uses your phone’s
Internet connection to download traffic data, and it spots coming traffic
jams before you do. Suddenly, the dashboard screen might say, “Traffic jam
in 2.1 miles, average speed 10 m.p.h.” You’re offered two buttons: Accept
and Detour. That’s right; with one tap on the screen, you can direct the
Prius to find its own way around the traffic jam.
Continued in article
Question
What are the two manufacturing models (old versus new) attributed to Japanese
creativity?
Hint
The older creative model is sometimes called the Kanban Model. Instead of having
a linear manufacturing model invented by Henry Ford, the "line" is really a
grouping of U-shaped work stations containing something where workers are
trained to take over for each other on any work station inside the U. Hence a
special feature is that there is less likely to be a major slow down at
bottlenecks in Henry Ford's original line. The U-Shaped stations are often
grouped in parallel lines to reduce the bottleneck risk even further.
The Japanese model also consisted of the concept of Just-In-Time inventory in
which the raw material needed for production arrives at the plant, in theory, at
the instant it is needed on the line. Hence huge cushions of raw material are no
longer needed ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Just-in-time_(business)
However, JIT does not always work as well in the U.S. as it does in Japan.
Firstly, the suppliers and buyers of raw materials are much more closely related
in Japan's virtual men's club of business systems. Secondly, Japan is much
smaller than the United States and has a much, much more efficient freight train
service that overcomes trucking road jams. Manufacturers have much greater trust
that raw materials really will arrive on schedule.
The JIT system, if successful, changes cost accounting as well as costs
themselves. The costs of carrying inventory (especially financing costs) are
almost eliminated.
The Kanban is also important because it led to innovations in cost accounting
and managerial accounting in general. Most importantly the Japanese were
innovative in accounting for the costs of poor quality or quality control
breakdowns.
The "new" Japanese manufacturing model is featured in the case below:
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review December 3, 2009
SUMMARY: In
Sakai city, Sharp has just opened, six months early, the most expensive
manufacturing site ever built in Japan. "Even Sharp...acknowledged that the
company only gave the green light to proceed during a boom period for
LCD-panel demand, and that a similar choice might not be made in today's
market." Two factors are expected to reduce costs of operations at the site:
One is the size of the glass used to make the LCDs. Sharp is using the
industry's biggest...which allow the company to produce 18 40-inch LCD
panels from a single substrate-more than double the eight 40-inch panels per
sheet it uses at its other LCD television panel-making factory. The other
factor: Sharp has [moved] suppliers on site [in] a kind of
hyper-"just-in-time" delivery system."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article can be used to cover just in time and other manufacturing cost
issues in management or cost accounting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What is the Japanese manufacturing model referred to in the headline?
2. (Advanced)
In general, how do just-in-time systems help to save costs in any
manufacturing facility?
3. (Introductory)
How has this model been changed by the factory built by Sharp? Why does the
author call it a "hyper-'just-in-time' delivery system?
4. (Advanced)
What savings from economies of scale, besides the just-in-time system, are
Sharp executives hoping to obtain from the new manufacturing plant?
5. (Advanced)
What risks are evident in Sharp's decision to invest in technology in Japan
rather than spend funds on labor elsewhere? In your answer, comment on the
risks of high fixed costs in economic downturns.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Sharp Corp.'s new production complex in
western Japan is massive by any measure: It cost $11 billion to build and
covers enough land to occupy 32 baseball stadiums. But it carries a meaning
as large as its physical size. It's a litmus test for the future of Japanese
high-tech manufacturing.
The facility, considered the most
expensive manufacturing site ever built in Japan, started churning out
liquid-crystal display panels last month, and Sharp's new flagship
televisions featuring the energy-efficient LCD panels go on sale in the U.S.
next month. Sharp moved forward the factory's planned opening by six months,
saying the new plant would help it be more competitive.
"When you look to the next 10 or 20 years,
the existing industrial model doesn't have a future," Toshihige Hamano,
Sharp's executive vice president in charge of the Sakai facility, said in an
interview. "We had to change the very concept of how to run a factory."
Located in Sakai city along Osaka
prefecture's waterfront, the complex represents Japanese industry's biggest
gamble in LCD panels to remain competitive with rivals from South Korea,
Taiwan, and China.
The factory's size accommodates two main
factors. One is the size of the glass used to make the LCDs. Sharp is using
the industry's biggest, or "10th generation," sheets, which allow the
company to produce 18 40-inch LCD panels from a single substrate—more than
double the eight 40-inch panels per sheet it uses at its other LCD
television panel-making factory.
The other factor: Sharp has decided to try
and cut costs by moving suppliers on site, a kind of hyper-"just-in-time"
delivery system.
The plant currently employs 2,000
people—roughly half from Sharp and half from its suppliers—although the work
force will ultimately reach 5,000 as it adds production of solar panels as
well.
It remains to be seen whether it makes
sense for Sharp to keep seeking ever more-sophisticated production in Japan,
or, as competitors have, to simply use less advanced production techniques
at lower costs in places like China.
CLSA research analyst Atul Goyal warned in
a report last month that the company is making a mistake by "chasing
technology" with the new factory.
In the past, such efforts by Japanese
electronics makers have resulted in costly capital investments, only to be
confronted with limited appetite for cutting-edge technology and then
eventually outflanked by a cheaper alternative.
Even Sharp's Mr. Hamano acknowledged that
the company only gave the green light to proceed during a boom period for
LCD-panel demand, and that a similar choice might not be made in today's
market.
Rival Samsung Electronics Co. has said it
is looking into building a new LCD-panel factory using even bigger glass
sheets than Sharp, while LG Display Co. has said it plans to build a new
factory in China using current glass size.
Sharp announced the Sakai project two
years ago when LCD demand was surging and the company had produced five
straight years of record profit. When consumer spending ground to a halt in
late 2008, Sharp didn't cut costs and curb production quickly enough.
Saddled with excess inventory, Sharp posted the first annual loss in nearly
60 years in the fiscal year ended March 31, 2009.
The experience taught Sharp a painful
lesson that its supply chain needed to be leaner and its production more
efficient, especially if the factory was going to be in Japan, where the
strong yen and expensive labor force put the company at a disadvantage to
its Asian competitors.
Sharp aims to streamline the costly
LCD-panel production process by moving 17 outside suppliers and service
providers inside its factory walls to work as "one virtual company."
In the past, Sharp kept suppliers within
driving distance. Now they are all within the same facility. Supplies are
sent not by truck from a nearby factory but by automated trolleys snaking
from one building to another.
The suppliers, which include Asahi Glass
Co. and Dai Nippon Printing Co., built and paid for their own facilities and
are renting the land from Sharp.
Despite their location inside the plant,
Sharp says its suppliers are permitted to sell their products to other
companies.
At Sakai, Sharp has also linked its
computer systems with suppliers so an order to the factory alerts suppliers
right away. In the past, Sharp would email or call suppliers and place
orders, creating a longer lag time.
Sharp wouldn't disclose how much, if any,
cost savings will result from manufacturing LCD panels at Sakai, but
analysts estimate a 5% to 10% savings.
Corning Inc. the world's largest maker of
LCD glass substrates, built a factory next to Sharp's Sakai plant. Corning
says the arrangement reduced total order cycle time from an average of one
to two weeks to a matter of hours. Corning also says the proximity reduced
the damage risk in transporting massive glass sheets on trucks.
While Sharp is a long-standing customer,
Corning said it was concerned initially that building a factory on site
would mean that it was "hitching its wagon" to Sharp since it's the only
customer for such large glass substrates. Ultimately, Corning decided to
proceed based on its faith in Sharp's Sakai plans.
"There's nothing like it anywhere,"
said James Clappin, president of Corning Display Technologies.
December 5, 2009 reply from James R. Martin/University of South Florida
[jmartin@MAAW.INFO]
I have been working on MAAW's
Japanese Management Section for about 15 years. For a considerable amount of
material on JIT, Kanban, etc. see:http://maaw.info/JapaneseMain.htm
Bibilography, articles
summaries, chapter on JIT,etc.
James R. Martin
CPV Teaching Case: Increases in Airline Capacity Stir Worries that Turnaround
Will Stall
That "Fixed Cost" that we seldom analyze properly in CPV teaching ases is far
more complicated in the real world than in academe
One complication arises when some prices/revenues rise much higher for some
"excess" capacity
Another complication arises where reductions in capacity may dynamically be more
expensive to replace later on
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on October 1,
2010
TOPICS: Cost Accounting, Cost Management, Managerial Accounting SUMMARY:
"A hedge-fund executive whose firm is an active airline investor said he
worries about three things [with respect to this industry]: a fuel spike, a
double-dip recession, and 'somebody messing up this capacity story.'" The
"capacity story" is that "U.S. airlines battled through some recent tough
years by dramatically contracting to put a floor under prices and steer
their way out of money-losing routes. [But] now that a turnaround is
underway, they [the airlines] are growing again." CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used in teaching managerial and cost accounting topics in
capacity and the theory of constraints. QUESTIONS: 1. (Introductory) Define
capacity in general, as the concept applies to any industry.
2. (Advanced) Define the following types of capacity: theoretical
capacity, practical capacity, capacity demand, used capacity, and excess
capacity.
3. (Advanced) "Carriers want full flights, but not so full that they have
to turn away high-yielding business travelers." Explain this statement using
the terms for capacity defined above.
4. (Introductory) How is capacity measured in the airline industry?
5. (Advanced) What was the capacity problem while the airlines were
losing "$58 billion in the past nine years"?
6. (Introductory) How are airlines monitoring each others' behavior in
terms of capacity?
7. (Advanced) Specifically explain what the author means when she writes
that airlines are "poring over investor guidance issued by their peers,"
including in your answer a definition of the term "investor guidance."
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
U.S. airlines battled through some recent tough
years by dramatically contracting to put a floor under prices and steer
their way out of money-losing routes.
Now that a turnaround is underway, they are growing
again. Airlines are taking deliveries of some new planes, flying their
existing aircraft more hours per day and even some, like Delta Air Lines
Inc., are bringing a few planes out of desert storage.
This has led some investors and rival carriers to
worry that the industry could drift back toward the problem that brought
bankruptcies and massive losses earlier this decade: too many seats in the
air.
The reduction of seats offered and miles flown in
the past couple of years erased a decade of industry growth and allowed
airlines to raise fares while packing their planes fuller than ever.
Passengers paid 14% more to fly a mile in August than they did a year
earlier, and industry passenger revenue rose 17%, boosted by fees for
services like checking bags that once were free.
Consumers, frustrated by rising prices, new fees
and packed planes, would welcome the return of the industry's old ways.
"Flying is almost the new Greyhound bus," said Linda Greenberg-Hanessian, an
anthropologist and jewelry designer in Hyde Park, Ill. "You're paying more
for less. I can't remember a plane with an empty middle seat."
But investors worry that carriers will quickly
forget the lessons of the recession and add more seats than demand warrants.
Carriers want full flights, but not so full that they have to turn away
high-yielding business travelers. And they don't want to cede market share
to rivals who are restoring growth more quickly than they are.
All the big U.S. airlines are expected to report
profits in the third quarter, amid rising ticket prices, moderate fuel costs
and lower expenses after several years of ruthless cost cutting. In one sign
that the industry is maintaining discipline, few new airplanes are on order,
a reversal of the past, when recovery often triggered large new orders.
Still, capacity, as measured by available
seat-miles, or the number of seats offered by the distance they fly, is
creeping back, with the smaller carriers leading the pack. The U.S. industry
added 0.7% in domestic capacity in the second quarter, after more than two
years of shrinkage, and an additional 3.4% in the current quarter, according
to data compiled from published schedules by Innovata LLC for the Air
Transport Association.
Schedules indicate that the industry will raise
domestic capacity by 2% in the fourth quarter, compared with a year earlier,
and 3.2% in the first three months of 2011, the trade association said.
International capacity by all airlines flying in and out of the U.S. is
expected to rise 9.2% in the fourth quarter and 10% in the first quarter of
next year.
These additions have investors on edge. A
hedge-fund executive whose firm is an active airline investor said he
worries about three things: a fuel spike, a double-dip recession and
"somebody messing up this capacity story."
As long as each airline continues to exercise
restraint, everybody benefits financially, said Douglas Runte, a managing
director at Piper Jaffray & Co. "A rogue airline adding a lot of capacity
individually benefits while diminishing results in aggregate," he said. "It
also potentially spurs a competitive response by other airlines."
Airlines habitually keep close tabs on each other,
but the pursuit has taken on new urgency lately. Carriers are watching for
signs that rivals are stepping up capacity in a way that could spoil
newfound pricing power in an industry that lost $58 billion in the past nine
years. They are plumbing public schedule data, poring over investor guidance
issued by their peers and monitoring aircraft deliveries and retirements.
Delta was the source of much consternation this
summer. In July, it said it expected to boost its overall capacity,
including that of its regional partners, by 5% to 7% in the fourth quarter.
That is a much more robust forecast than those of its largest rivals, which
caused Delta stock to swoon briefly. The company also took delivery of 15
new planes this year and is taking 10 of its aircraft out of temporary
storage and returning them to service, further fanning the worry.
Morgan Stanley airline analyst William Greene
estimates that Delta's overall capacity will grow by 8% in the fourth
quarter, based on its published schedule, he said in a recent research note.
By contrast, Mr. Greene sees UAL Corp.'s United
Airlines growing by 2% in the fourth quarter, and Continental Airlines Inc.,
AMR Corp.'s American Airlines and US Airways Group Inc. adding 4%.
Delta said it cut capacity in the 2009 fourth
quarter much more deeply than its rivals and is simply rectifying its
mistake. The Atlanta-based carrier, the world's largest by traffic, said it
expects its 2010 fourth-quarter capacity to be 2% to 4% lower than the same
quarter in 2008. And it intends to grow just 1% to 3% in all of 2011.
The company, which merged with Northwest Airlines
in 2008, still foresees ending 2010 with a net 91 fewer aircraft than it had
at the start and is planning to cull another 20 or 30 planes next year.
"The merger has allowed us to become more
efficient," Hank Halter, Delta's chief financial officer, said in an
interview. "We remain very diligent about capacity discipline."
United Airlines has been one of the most
conservative airlines on the capacity front. Still, some rivals griped when
it put a retired 747 back into service over the summer. But the big plane
served only as a spare and will be leased to another airline this fall to
fly outside of the U.S.
Our AECM friend Richard Sansing (Dartmouth) provides four of his own
managerial accounting cases free on the Web. I found them linked at the AAA
Commons at
http://commons.aaahq.org/posts/c989f70fc8
I commend Richard for open sharing, but I request that in the future that he
save these files as htm or pdf files instead of doc files. It makes many of us
nervous to download doc files to a Windows machine because of possible macro
viruses, although in this case I'm not at all worried.
Users might get especially high on the sour mash case.
SUMMARY: Nintendo
Co. said year-end holiday sales were "robust," suggesting that its Wii game
console had regained its footing after a slowdown in demand, though a strong
yen and price cuts continued to push down the company's profit. To cope with
slowing demand for the Wii, Nintendo cut prices by 20% to $200 ahead of the
holiday shopping season. Revenue also suffered from a strengthening of the
yen against the euro and U.S. dollar, resulting in lower overseas income
when converted into yen terms.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
example in this article offers a case study in the analysis of pricing,
volume, variable costs, and financial statement analysis. It also offers an
example of how foreign currency exchange rates can affect profitability.
Nintendo's decision to decrease pricing generated more volume, but
profitability decreased. Students will see how decision-making can come to
life with this real-life, current case study.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Please explain contribution margin analysis. How does it work, and what
value does it offer? What are the differences between a conventional income
statement and a contribution margin income statement?
2. (Introductory)
Use the contribution margin analysis and income statement to show what
happened with Nintendo's financial results. How were variable and fixed
costs affected in Nintendo's plan? What does the contribution margin income
statement illustrate that is not as evident in a regular income statement?
3. (Introductory)
What is cost-volume-profit analysis? What are some of the tools? What
valuable information can a manager gain from this type of analysis? Apply
CVP analysis tools to the Nintendo situation. What are some of your
observations?
4. (Advanced)
What financial statement analysis tools or ratios could Nintendo management
use to analyze the causes for the decrease in profitability? How could
management use these tools to make changes and forecasts for the future?
5. (Advanced)
What non-financial performance measures should management use to analyze
company performance? What competitive factors should they be considering?
What do you project for the future of the industry? How should your
projections be integrated into Nintendo's planning, forecasting, and
management?
6. (Advanced)
How is it that a firm can increase its sales volume, but experience a
decrease in profitability? What steps can managers take to insure that
increased profitability results increases in sales volume? Was there
anything Nintendo management should have done differently? What should they
do for the future?
7. (Advanced)
Why would management decide to cut the price of its product? What results
was management hoping to achieve? What other factors are at play that could
hinder that goal?
8. (Advanced)
What is the impact of the foreign currency exchange rates on Nintendo's
profitability? Under what conditions do exchange rates increase
profitability? In what ways could they hurt profitability? How could
international firms manage this risk?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Nintendo Co. said year-end holiday sales were
"robust," suggesting that its Wii game console had regained its footing
after a slowdown in demand, though a strong yen and price cuts continued to
push down the company's profit.
Nintendo said group net income was 192.6 billion
yen ($2.14 billion) for the nine months ended Dec. 31, down 9.4% from a
profit of 212.52 billion yen a year earlier. Revenue fell 23% to 1.182
trillion yen, while operating profit fell 41% to 296.66 billion yen.
To cope with slowing demand for the Wii, Nintendo
cut prices by 20% to $200 ahead of the holiday shopping season. Revenue also
suffered from a strengthening of the yen against the euro and U.S. dollar,
resulting in lower overseas income when converted into yen terms.
The Wii remains the top seller among the current
generation of game consoles, outpacing sales of Microsoft Corp.'s Xbox 360
and Sony Corp.'s PlayStation 3. However, demand started to slow last year
and competitors, especially Sony's PS3, are closing the gap.
Nintendo had a strong holiday quarter boosted by
the introduction of "New Super Mario Bros. Wii," which sold 10.6 million
units world-wide after its November release.
Hiroshi Kamide, analyst at KBC Securities, said
Nintendo can expect brighter prospects with the release of software such as
the new Mario Bros. game and coming sequels of game franchises such as
"Zelda" and "Metroid" later this year.
"It really demonstrates that once Nintendo puts out
its own software, its fortunes turn around pretty quickly," Mr. Kamide said.
For its fiscal year ending March 31, Nintendo said
it will keep its current forecast for a net profit of 230 billion yen on
revenue of 1.5 trillion yen. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters are
forecasting a full-year net profit of 226.52 billion yen.
Nintendo on Thursday didn't release figures for the
quarter ended Dec. 31, following the company's usual practice of not doing
so until the day after releasing year-to-date figures. Based on Nintendo's
results earlier in the fiscal year, its fiscal third-quarter results appear
to have fallen from the year-earlier period but surpassed expectations of a
profit of 120.5 billion yen from analysts polled by Thomson Reuters.
The company kept its console sales targets
unchanged for the year. It still aims for Wii sales of 20 million units. In
the previous fiscal year, Wii sales totaled 26 million units.
It expects Wii software sales to reach 192 million
units in the fiscal year, compared with a previous estimate of 180 million,
but Nintendo says the rise is the result of how it categorizes software it
sells bundled with hardware versus a substantive difference in its view of
the market.
Nintendo's sales projection for DS handheld
consoles is pegged at 30 million units, unchanged from the company's
previous forecast. The company continues to expect DS software-title sales
of 150 million units.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on
February 12, 2010
SUMMARY: Fourth-quarter
earnings for U.S. companies so far have rocked compared with a year ago. The
question for this year: How much more can earnings improve? Despite modest
sales growth, corporations have managed to craft their profit growth mainly
through massive cost cutting. For the trend to continue, companies will need
to drive the top line, and that looks to be a key challenge for an economy
where demand is depressed, with at least 10% of the work force unemployed
and another large swath underemployed. The S&P 500 companies are just
breaking a string of nine-straight quarters of profit declines. Many are
going to be reluctant to eat into that newfound earnings growth by ramping
up the work force, given that compensation is one of the largest costs for
any company.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
article discusses increased profitability currently occurring in many
businesses. Much of the gains in profitability have come from cost-cutting
measures. Even with an increase in profitability, many firms are reluctant
to hire as conditions improve because of continued uncertainty about the
economy. The reporters offer a considerable amount of data and discussion to
serve as a basis of a classroom discussion of financial statement analysis,
horizontal analysis, and operating leverage.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What are the current conditions for many companies in the U.S.? What seems
to be the main reason for increased profitability? What are some of the
signs that the companies are doing better?
2. (Advanced)
What are some potential problems with a company's strategy to grow
profitability through cost-cutting? What are the long-term prospects for
success using this strategy?
3. (Advanced)
What information in the article leads you to believe that the economy is
improving? What information indicates that the economy will be affected, at
least for a while?
4. (Introductory)
What is financial statement analysis? What is horizontal analysis? What
information provided in the article uses either of these two types of
analyses?
5. (Advanced)
What are fixed costs? What are variable costs? Is labor a fixed cost or a
variable cost? Why? In what situations could it be either or both? How can a
company structure its hiring to help the business in these types of economic
conditions?
6. (Introductory)
What is operating leverage? How is degree of operating leverage calculated?
How is degree of operating leverage used in management decision-making? How
are companies using it in the article?
7. (Advanced)
Why are companies reluctant to increase hiring? How does hiring figure into
business risk? What will have to happen before companies will feel confident
to hire freely again?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Fourth-quarter earnings for U.S. companies so far
have rocked compared with a year ago. The question for this year: How much
more can earnings improve?
Among those posting results thus far, the melody
has been sweet. Financial-services companies Visa Inc. and MasterCard Inc.,
for instance, reported profits rose 33% and 23%, respectively, over a year
ago. Earnings overall are running well ahead of last year's dreadful fourth
quarter.
Through Wednesday, with 280 members of the Standard
& Poor's 500 index reporting, operating earnings rising sharply, but the
year-ago quarter was the first time the group as a whole ever lost money.
Excluding financial companies, earnings are up about 47%. Sales gains are
more muted, up only 5.9% for S&P 500 companies thus far, and expected to
rise about 0.9% from the year-earlier quarter. That doesn't even match the
current inflation rate.
Perhaps most heartening about the quarter's results
is that sales are on track to break a string of four consecutive
double-digit-percentage declines. Still, the projected increase is well
below the average 3.95% gain since 1994, according to S&P.
Despite modest sales growth, corporations have
managed to craft their profit growth mainly through massive cost cutting.
For the beat to continue, companies will need to drive the top line, and
that looks to be a key challenge for an economy where demand is depressed,
with at least 10% of the work force unemployed and another large swath
underemployed.
"Until nonfinancials [corporations] see sustained
sales growth, they will not be hiring, and that is the whole ballgame," said
Howard Silverblatt, S&P's senior index analyst.
For 2009, S&P 500 members should see sales down
about $1.1 trillion, or 13% from the prior year. For the fourth quarter,
sales are expected to total about $2.05 trillion, which gets the group back
to the level of the first quarter of 2006. In other words, the intense
recession has set sales of the nation's 500-largest companies back nearly
four years.
The S&P 500 companies are just breaking a string of
nine-straight quarters of profit declines. Many are going to be reluctant to
eat into that newfound earnings growth by ramping up the work force, given
that compensation is one of the largest costs for any company. Automated
Data Processing Inc. said it is hiring new sales staff, even though it
expects that to be a drag on earnings for at least a year.
Cisco Systems Inc. came out with the boldest
outlook this earnings season, pegging sales growth around 25% and announcing
it will hire 2,000 to 3,000 new people to help it handle its growing
business. Not many companies have outlined such a bullish near-term view.
Unfortunately, more companies, including Verizon
Communications Inc., Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and Diebold Inc., continue to pare
workers. And Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. this week froze employee salaries
world-wide for 2010.
And beyond just the profit motive, questions remain
about the strength and durability of any recovery. It's telling that both
MasterCard and Visa are taking a guarded approach to 2010.
"We continue to be cautious about the health of the
consumer," MasterCard Chief Executive Robert Selander said on Thursday.
Agreed Visa Chief Executive Joseph Saunders: "Any recovery will take time
and we'll likely have a few bumps along the way," and added, "A complete
turnaround in the U.S. will arguably take even longer."
Imagine that several centuries ago there was a
navigator who served on a wooden sailing ship that regularly sailed through
dangerous waters. It was the navigator’s job to make sure the captain safely
and efficiently sailed the ship from one point to another. In the
performance of his duties, the navigator relied on a set of sophisticated
instruments. Without the effective functioning of these instruments, it
would be impossible for him to chart the ship’s safest and most efficient
course.
One day the navigator realized that one of his most
important instruments was calibrated incorrectly. As a result, he provided
the captain inaccurate navigational information. No one but the navigator
knew of this calibration problem, and the navigator decided not to inform
the captain. He was afraid that the captain would blame him for not
detecting the problem sooner and then require him to find a way to report
the measurements more accurately. That would require a lot of work.
As a result, the navigator always made sure he
slept near a lifeboat so that if the erroneous navigational information led
to a disaster, he wouldn’t go down with the ship. Eventually, the ship hit a
reef that the captain believed to be miles away. The ship was lost, the
cargo was lost, and many sailors lost their lives. The navigator, always in
close proximity to the lifeboats, survived the sinking and later became the
navigator on another ship.
Perils of poor managerial accounting
Can a similar story be told in today’s times?
Centuries later, there was a management accountant who worked for a company
in which a great deal of money was invested. It was this management
accountant’s job to provide information on how the company had performed,
its current financial position, and the likely consequences of decisions
being considered by the company’s president and managers. In the performance
of his duties, the management accountant relied on a managerial cost
accounting system that was believed to represent the economics of the
company. Without the effective functioning of the costing practices reported
from this system, it would be impossible for the accountant to provide the
president with the accurate and relevant cost and profit margin information
he needed to make economically sound decisions.
One day the management accountant realized that the
calculations and practices on which the cost system was based were
incorrect. It did not reflect the economic realities of the company. The
input data was correct, but the reported information was flawed. A broadly
averaged cost allocation factor was used with no causal relationship to the
outputs being costed. As a result, the current and forward-looking
information he provided to support the president’s decision making was
incorrect. No one but the management accountant knew this problem existed.
He decided not to inform the president. He was afraid that the president
would blame him for not detecting the problem sooner and then require him to
go through the agonizing effort of developing and implementing a new, more
accurate and relevant cost system using activity based costing (ABC)
principles. That would require a lot of work. Wouldn’t it?
Meanwhile, the management accountant always made
sure he kept his network with other professionals intact in case he had to
find another position. Not surprisingly, the president’s poorly informed
pricing, investment, and other decisions led the company into bankruptcy.
The company went out of business, the owners lost their investment,
creditors incurred financial losses, and many hard-working employees lost
their jobs. However, the management accountant easily found a job at another
company.
The accountant as a bad navigator
Why do so many accountants behave so irresponsibly?
The list of answers is long. Some believe the costing error is not that big.
Some think that extra administrative effort required to collect and
calculate the new information will not offset the benefits of better
decision making. Some think costs don’t matter because the focus should be
on sales growth. Whatever reasons are cited, accountants’ resistance to
change is based less on ignorance and more on misconceptions about what
determines and influences accurate costing.
Today commercial ABC software and their associated
analytics have dramatically reduced the effort to report good managerial
accounting information, and the benefits are widely heralded. Furthermore,
the preferred ABC implementation method is rapid prototyping with
iteratively scaled modeling, which has destroyed myths about implementing
ABC as being too complicated and lengthy. An ABC system can be implemented
in a few weeks, not months.
Reasonably accurate cost and profit information is
one of the pillars of performance management’s portfolio of integrated
methodologies. Accountants unwilling to adopt logical costing methods, and
managers who tolerate the perpetuation of flawed reporting, should change
their ways. Stay on the ship or get off the ship before real damage is done.
The Institute of Certified Management Accountants (ICMA),
the certification division of the Institute of Management Accountants (IMA),
today announced a significant reorganization of its renowned Certified
Management Accountant (CMA) curriculum and examination format.
The CMA exam, which continues to be a
career-enhancing credential valued and sought by employers, will be updated
next spring to align even more closely with the critical knowledge and
skills accountants and financial professionals use every day.
By focusing specifically on a body of advanced
accounting and financial knowledge, the program will now consist of two exam
parts rather than four. The updated exam’s subject matter places greater
emphasis on the issues most critical to accountants and financial
professionals in business, including financial planning, analysis, control
and decision support.
“The new CMA program will maintain the rigor and
relevance for which the CMA is highly regarded. At the same time, we have
made changes to the program to adapt to the changing profession and the
needs of today’s business professionals,” said ICMA Senior Vice President
Dennis Whitney.
With more than 30,000 CMA certificates awarded to
date, the CMA program continues to demonstrate its value to professionals.
In fact, according to IMA’s 2008 Annual Salary Survey, members holding the
CMA designation earned an average of 24 percent more in salary than their
non-certified peers.
“We are confident the enhancements to the CMA
program will ensure the credential’s continued relevance and value in
organizations around the world as the most appropriate designation for
accountants and financial professionals working in business,” said Joseph A.
Vincent, CMA, ICMA Board of Regents Chair.
In tandem with the introduction of the new CMA
program, the association also introduced new IMA and CMA brand logos.
Enrollment in the new CMA program will begin in
spring 2010. Candidates may take the new CMA examinations starting May 1,
2010. For more information about the CMA certification program, please visit
www.imanet.org/certification
I think CMA ceased to be the premier certification
in Management Accounting decases ago. Compare the CMA stuff with the
syllabus of CIMA, which I would guess, has been the premier certification
for quite a while.
IMA is probably more interested in being popular
and populous than in being the hallmark of quality.
They probably hold the exams inn Canada, but I am
not sure. They hold them probably in many commonwealth countries.
In the US, management accounting has been decimated
over the past 35 years or so, in my humble opinion, due to the privileging
of "descriptive" research and de-privileging of normative research. And over
the years, most normative tools have become foreign to management
accountants.
The fact that the flagship journal of CMAs is
called "Strategic Finance" tells it all.
Jagdish S. Gangolly Department of Informatics
College of Computing & Information State University of New York at Albany
Harriman Campus, Building 7A, Suite 220 Albany, NY 12222 Phone:
518-956-8251, Fax: 518-956-8247
December 16, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
I will be brief at this point and quibble mostly with respect to
terminology.
Much of the management accounting research, especially ABC and ABM
research, has been case method research for which Cooper and Kaplan are
probably best known in their Harvard cases. The seminal contributions (such
as the ABC idea at John Deere) were usually rooted in industry rather than
academe, but academe played a lot of kick-the-can forward with these ideas.
Case method research is generally more than normative research. When
applied to real world settings, case method is also a form of empiricism but
usually based on small samples (e.g., one application). Case method is a
curious combination of normative, empirical, field research, and anecdotal
methodology. It’s key advantage over large-sample studies lies in its
ability to deal with variables that are impossible or impractical to
quantify in mathematical/statistical models. The drawback of case method is
that it almost never casts off our doubts about being anecdotal.
Sometimes academics keep kicking a can too far. For example, ABC costing
lost a lot of its initial hype in industry but not in academe. It appears
that ABC costing just did not pass the benefit cost tests in many proposed
applications in the real world. Perhaps it was just a formalized and
expensive way of telling managers what they already knew in many such
instances.
Another example of an idea that just does not seem to pass the
benefit-cost test in practice is the idea of Real Options capital budgeting.
I was in Stanford’s doctoral program with a finance student, Stu Meyers, who
subsequently had the seminal ideal for Real Options capital budgeting.
The term "real options" can be attributed to the Stewart Myers
("Determinants of Capital Borrowing", Journal of Financial Economics,
Vol..5, 1977). The theory of real options extends the concept of financial
options (in particular call options) into the realm of capital budgeting
under uncertainty and valuation of corporate assets or entire corporations.
The real options approach is dynamic in the sense that includes the
effect of uncertainty along the time, and what/how/when the relevant real
options shall be exercised. Some argue that real options do little more than
can be done with dynamic programming of investment states under uncertainty,
real options add a rich economic theory to capital investing under
uncertainty.
The real options problem can be viewed as a problem of optimization under
uncertainty of a real asset (project, firm, land, etc.) given the available
options. Since I was once asked to teach a bit about real options theory
while I was lecturing years ago at Monterrey Tech, I thought I might share a
bit of my source material that I discovered on the Web.
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/realopt.htm
I think that in many possible applications in real world capital
budgeting situations, real options just do not pass the benefit-cost tests
or deep market tests. My work in the above document is very dated at this
point in time, and readers should note that I have not attempted to keep
this document up to date.
Academics want the CMA examination to be an academic examination even for
ideas that seemingly fail the benefits-costs test in practice. The IMA is
leaning, in my viewpoint, toward a more professional and less academic exam.
As for me, I’m too out of this loop to pass judgment on the changes being
made in the CMA examination. I think in the early days, the CMA was more of
an academic examination.
As the holder of CMA certificate number 2, let me
weigh in on this discussion.
In my view, the CMA has never caught on among
students and young professionals, because it does not convey an image of any
particular skill set or employment role, relative to other non-CPA
certifications. The Certified Internal Auditor (CIA), Certified Fraud
Examiner (CFE) and Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) all convey the image of
a particular set of skills and a fairly well defined job function. But I'd
find it hard to define the skill set suggested by the CMA. As to job
function, "management accountant" is not a common job title. Thus it's hard
for students to get any feel for this field.
The IMA has had the same problem of conveying an
image. They have toyed with "finance" as their image. They gave a
CMA-parallel exam -- the CFM, Certified in Financial Management -- for a
while, but eventually dropped it. The flagship journal, "Management
Accounting", was long ago renamed "Strategic Finance." But it's not clear
this has solved their image problem. Nor does it seem they are viewed
seriously as a finance organization.
Part of the problem is that there is an extremely
wide range of job functions under the notion of "management accounting," so
it is hard for a clear image to come through.
Until a sense of the implied skill set and the job
function(s) of the CMA can be developed, I don't think it's going to get
much traction among students.
Ron Huefner
Ronald J. Huefner
Distinguished Teaching Professor
University at Buffalo
posted 11:58am by James R. Martin
December 19, 2009 message from James Martin
Comment:
I placed a couple of the more convincing responses
to my comments about the CMA format change on
MAAW's Blog and
MAAW's Home Page. These responses are from two
members of the ICMA board who I know and respect. So, I recommend them
to those of you who are concerned about the change.
In response to Bob's comment above, I agree that the area of management
accounting is very broad. I include sections and bibliographies for over
100 topics on the MAAW web site and I believe they are all related to
management accounting. From my perspective, anyone who passed the old
CMA (Five 3.5-hour) exams showed that they had the ability and
background to learn how to perform just about anything corporate
accounting could require. They might need more traning and experience,
but they had the foundation. The old exams were available to those who
wanted to study for the CMA, to those of us who teach management
accounting, and to those who just wanted to evaluate the quality of the
exams.
After the ICMA changed the exam format to four exams (I think 13 hours)
and the old exams were no longer made available, I was never sure about
it's quality and value. I would like to get that old feeling back. So
now I am going to take a wait and see approach to the CMA format change.
Fraudulent Revenue Accounting
"Detecting Circular Cash Flow: Healthy doses of skepticism and due care
can help uncover schemes to inflate sales," by John F. Monhemius and Kevin
P. Durkin, Journal of Accountancy, December 2009 ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Issues/2009/Dec/20091793.htm
Following an initial customer confirmation request
with no response, a first-year auditor mails a second and third request, all
under the supervision of the auditor-in-charge assigned to the account.
Field work begins on the audit, but there is still no response from the
customer. Another auditor scanning the cash journal from the beginning of
the year through the current date notes that all outstanding invoices have
subsequently been paid from this customer during this period. Customer check
copies are provided, and remittances indicate that payment has been received
in settlement of all outstanding invoices at fiscal year-end for this
customer. But has the existence of accounts receivable from this customer at
fiscal year-end really been established?
Fraudsters have been creating increasingly complex
and sophisticated schemes designed to rely on potential weaknesses in the
execution of audit procedures surrounding key assertions such as existence.
A financial statement auditor can use his or her professional judgment while
carrying out audit procedures to detect such a scheme.
Given the difficult economic times of the past
year, special care should be given to consider fraud while performing audit
engagements. One fraud scheme that has been encountered with increasing
frequency involves the inflation of accounts receivable and sales through
the creation of a circular flow of cash through a company to give the
appearance of increasing revenue and existence of accounts receivable. This
article addresses this fraud technique when used to materially overstate
assets and inflate borrowing capacity under an asset-based revolving line of
credit. This article also points out red flags that may help uncover such a
scheme.
BACKGROUND
A typical asset-based revolving line of credit
allows a company to borrow funds for working capital. The borrowing limit is
based on a formula that takes into account various working capital assets
and related advance rates. A typical availability formula allows for loan
advances equal to a set percentage of asset balances.
This article focuses on an accounts receivable-
backed line of credit, an asset that is prone to manipulation in this
specific fraud scheme. Typical advances against accounts receivable range
from 75% to 85% of eligible accounts receivable. Items excluded from
eligible collateral would include invoices aged over 90 days, affiliate
receivables or any other invoice that would create a nonprime receivable
from the lender’s perspective. The loan agreement in an asset-based loan
facility requires management to submit an availability calculation
periodically. This allows the lender to monitor collateral levels and
exposure. A generic accounts receivable availability calculation is
illustrated in Exhibit 1.
Thank you for the heads up Francine!
"Fifteen Risk Factors for Poor Governance A self-diagnostic to identify risk
factors for poor governance and reporting," by Walter Smiechewicz (who at
one time worked for the scandalous Countrywide), Directorship, September
8, 2009 ---
http://www.directorship.com/fifteen-risk-factors-for-poor-governance/
Some of the best indicators of our overall physical
health come from blood tests. Unfortunately, too often we don’t begin to
watch and manage these numbers until later on in life. Of course, it’s never
too late to improve your diet and exercise, but we’re always left thinking,
“if only I’d paid attention to this earlier.”
With so many recent corporate crises, it is plain
it’s suffice to say that a great many corporate board members and executives
are experiencing similar regret right now. Perhaps this could have been
avoided if they too had practiced routine diagnostic check ups. Like an
individual blood test, board members need to know the risks their company is
facing, and as with any health risk, they also need to be able to mitigate
those exposures.
Sounds great, but the devils in the details, right?
Perhaps not.
As chief consultant for governance and risk at
Audit Integrity, I’ve examined the worst U.S. companies from an “integrity”
standpoint in order to help board members and general auditors see how their
company’s health stacks up. Audit Integrity’s metrics have shown which
companies are 10 times more likely to face SEC Actions; five times more
likely to face class action litigation; and four times more likely to face
bankruptcy.
Using Audit Integrity’s proprietary AGR
(Accounting, Governance, and Risk) score, 196 companies were identified as
laggards or high-risk companies. These companies have been proven to have
higher odds of SEC actions and class action litigation, loss of shareholder
value, and increased odds of material financial restatement and bankruptcy.
All are North American, non-financial, publicly traded companies with over
$2 billion in market capitalization with an average-to-weak financial
condition.
Next, I tested the 119 metrics that Audit Integrity
flags and discovered that 15 of those metrics appeared consistently as
identifiers of problematic companies; the first metric was prevalent in 65
percent of the 196 high-risk companies and the 11th evident in 40 percent.
The other 8,000 companies tested had low incidences of these same metrics. A
list – dubbed the Risky Business Catalogue – details the common metrics
within high-risk companies. Board members, the C-suite, and general auditors
should note if their company is a candidate for the RBC. The evidence is not
saying that significant issues are imminent if a company has one of the RBCs,
but a combination of RBC metrics indicate risk factors to the entity’s
business model and strategy.
RBC’s metrics include:
1. The company has entered into a merger within the
last 12 months. While there is certainly nothing wrong with corporate M&A
activity, it’s common for policies to be revised and system integrations to
be rushed. Company directors need to caution general auditors to be extra
vigilant post merger and increase testing of balance sheet accounts.
2. The CEO and CFO’s compensation is more highly
weighted toward incentive compensation than base compensation. This
situation can cause negative motivations and earnings to be increased more
creatively to ensure a larger portion of executive pay packages. Close
attention should be paid to revenue recognition.
3. The Board Chairman is also the CEO. An age-old
debate, but indispuditedly conflicts of interest invariably result when a
company CEO is also its Chairman. Separate the roles to improve governance
and reduce compromised oversight.Compromised reliability exists because the
very architecture of governance has a built in conflict when the Chairman is
also CEO.
4. The company has undergone a restructuring in the
last 12 months. Restructuring may be completely valid, but also can be
employed to conceal the lack of sustainable earnings growth. Directors, by
role definition, should be intimately involved in restructuring procedures
decisions and promised outcomes.
5. The company has encountered a public regulatory
action in the last 12 months. Many corporate stakeholders hold true to the
statement that where there’s smoke, there’s fire. Directors should no longer
accept “no worries” explanations on regulatory matters. Compliance tests
should be employed routinely and if regulatory action does occur, management
needs to take action.
6. The amount of goodwill carried on the balance
sheet, when compared to total assets, is high. When intangible assets such
as goodwill grow, boards should ask more probing questions about how the
business model generated these assets and about concomitant valuation
protocols. General Auditors should confirm that models are comprehensively
back tested and impairment procedures are adhered to assiduously.
7. The ratio of the CEO’s total compensation to
that of the CFO is high. If a CEO is awarded a much larger paycheck than
anyone else (particularly particularally the CFO), it increases governance
risk and leads to a top-directed culture, thus limiting collaboration.
Boards need to be involved in all executive compensation issues including
that which drives pay packages for the CFO, Chief Risk Officer, as well as
internal auditors,. etc.
8. Operating revenue is high when compared to
operating expenses. Riskier companies have revenue recognition in excess of
what is expected based on operating revenues. Directors should fully
understand revenue recognition policies and instruct management to test them
to be sure they are not aggressive.
9. A Divestiture(s) has occurred in the last 12
months. Data shows that riskier companies have more divestures, usually
because it is an opportunity for more aggressive accounting activity. Board
members should inquire as to how this action fits the strategy.
10. Debt to equity ratio is high. When a business
relies too heavily on debt it reveals that markets are not independently
funding the business model or strategy. Boards should know why the markets
are not investing in their entity and therefore why debt is so heavily
relied upon. Board members should also be knowledgeable on the quality of
their equity and not just the amount. Lastly, they should understand
management’s funding overall funding strategy and the strength of contingent
funding plans.
11. A repurchase of company stock has taken place
in the last 12 months. A repurchase of stock is usually presented to
investors as an avenue to increase market demand for the stock, thereby
elevating overall shareholder value. Management must provide reasoning for
why there are no other ways to invest excess funds. Boards should also
request the general auditor to review insider sales during the period of
share repurchase programs.
12. Inventory valuations to total revenue is
increasing. When inventory increases in relation to revenue it should raise
control questions about inventory valuation. It could indicate changing
consumer preferences, which should spur an analysis of a corporation’s
business model.
13. Accounts receivables to sales is increasing.
This situation can typically be indicative of relaxed credit standards.
Directors should ask whether sales are decreasing due to market conditions
and instruct the general auditor to probe receivables to determine their
viability.
14. Asset turnover has slowed when compared to
industry peers. If assets are increasing and sales are not flowing it could
indicate less productive assets are being brought, or retained, on the
balance sheet. Conversely, if sales are decreasing, executives and auditors
will again want to analyze changing customer preferences.
15. Assets driven by financial models make up a
larger portion of balance sheet. A collection of other accounting metrics
indicates that boards, the C-suite, and general auditors should pay special
attention to the controls, assumptions, and governance surrounding assets
whose valuations are model driven. This is particularly true if assets that
are valued by financial models make up a larger portion of the entities
balance sheet.
To be sure, any one of these in isolation as an
indicator of accounting and governance risk can be debated. Company
divestitures and M&A can be a healthy indicator. But if a corporation fails
more than a few of these metrics, board members need to take action.
It is easy to dismiss any one of these metrics when
you find it is an issue in your company. Human nature is quick to retort –
maybe for others but not for us. However, like time and tide, the numbers
too, wait for no one. So, if you have any of these AGR metrics, you need to
begin confronting these risk characteristics today to improve your corporate
health and avoid the much more drastic financial equivalent of
cardiovascular surgery tomorrow.
Walter Smiechewicz is chief consultant for governance and risk at
Audit Integrity, a research firm that provides accounting and governance
risk analysis
December 5, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Here are some added thoughts:
The risk factors are excerpted from AICPA
Statement on Auditing Standards 82, “Consideration of Fraud in a Financial
Statement Audit” (1997). That statement was issued to provide guidance to
auditors in fulfilling their responsibility “to plan and perform the audit
to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are
free of material misstatement, whether caused by error or fraud.” Although
there risk factor cover a broad range of situations, they are only examples.
In the final analysis, audit committee members should use sound informed
judgment when assessing the significance and relevance of fraud risk factors
that may exist.
http://www2.gsu.edu/~wwwseh/Financial Reporting Red Flags.pdf
There may be an update on this material.
Zero-based budgeting (ZBB) is elegantly logical:
Expenses must be justified for each new budget period based on demonstrable
needs and costs, as opposed to the more common method of using last year’s
budget as your starting point, then adjusting up or down. ZBB is a
straightforward, intuitively simple way to aggressively strip out costs that
cannot be rationally justified. Who would argue that a business should not
eliminate unjustifiable costs?
ZBB has been around for decades, but is currently
enjoying a revival driven by powerful investors like 3G Capital Partners,
the force behind the 2015 merger of Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz. Such
high-profile exposure has prompted more companies to view ZBB as a fresh
“wonder diet” for achieving radical corporate leanness. ZBB’s resurgence is
further fueled by the uncertain markets hindering many companies’ efforts to
attract fresh capital, as we see venture capital and private equity funds
increasingly pushing ZBB on their portfolio companies, in the hope of
securing a more rapid and profitable exit on their investments.
Yet for all the promise of ZBB, many companies that
try it soon grow disenchanted. They find that the process is a distraction
to their people, that it does not deliver all the cost savings they
anticipated, and that many of the costs they do eliminate soon creep back
in, making the whole effort feel futile. One might conclude from such
failures that implementing zero-based budgeting is simply too ambitious. We
believe the exact opposite to be true. Most ZBB implementations are not
ambitious enough.
Traditional ZBB implementations focus almost
exclusively on simple SG&A, in part because SG&A benchmark data is far more
readily attainable than are relevant data from the core functions of
comparable companies. In comparison to other methods (such as Six Sigma or
activity-based costing), ZBB typically does not address operational
excellence in core processes (marketing, sales, supply chain, procurement,
manufacturing) or fundamental cost drivers such as portfolio complexity,
organizational complexity, customer complaints, and quality issues. Also,
ZBB does not challenge existing process design, which can now be completely
re-thought and often drastically improved through digitization. Rather, the
most visible outcomes of many ZBB efforts are burdensome policies (such as
travel cost restrictions) that fail to address the underlying fundamentals
(such as who needs to travel, why, and when). The result is a superficial
and simplistic focus on “policing” costs versus substantive cost prevention.
Continued in article
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on March 26, 2015
Zero-based budgeting, an austerity measure that forces
corporate managers to justify from scratch their spending plans every year,
is getting its moment in the spotlight. The tactic is a critical element to
3G Capital Partners LP’s plan for making good with its
roughly $49 billion deal to acquire Kraft Foods Group Inc.
through its H.J. Heinz Co. unit,
the WSJ reports. Zero-based budgeting has
triggered sweeping cost cuts at 3G-related companies, including Heinz,
ranging from the elimination of hundreds of management jobs to jettisoning
corporate jets—and even requiring employees to get permission to make color
photocopies.
And it isn’t just 3G adopting the cost-cutting
measure. The budget tool has
attracted a wide following among big food companies
and has been used by many public agencies. But it does
have its downsides. Employees may perceive it as harsh, especially when it
eliminates office perks and leads to layoffs, and it can require staff
training and sometimes painful discussions. Some experts also say that it
doesn’t make sense for high-growth companies or those expanding into new
regions.
Creative Earnings Management, Agency Theory,
and Accounting Manipulations to Cook the Books
The Controversy Over Earnings Smoothing and Other Manipulations
Tel Aviv University
- The Leon Recanati Graduate School of Business Administration
There
are 2 versions of this paper
Date Written: June 1, 2018
Abstract
Our analysis is rooted in the notion that stockholders
can learn about the fundamental value of any firm from observing the earnings
reports of its rivals. We argue that such intraindustry information transfers,
which have been broadly documented in the empirical literature, may motivate
managers to alter stockholders’ beliefs about the value of their firm not only
by manipulating their own earnings report but also by influencing the earnings
reports of rival firms. Managers obviously do not have access to the
accounting system of peer firms, but they can nevertheless
influence the earnings reports of rival firms by distorting real transactions
that relate to the product market competition. We demonstrate such managerial
behavior, which we refer to as cross‐firm real earnings management, and explore
its potential consequences and interrelation with the practice of
accounting‐based earnings management within an industry setting
with imperfect (nonproprietary)
accounting information.
Francine
McKenna, an
accounting expert and
adjunct professor at American University in Washington D.C., confirmed our
concerns about the misclassification of the Meketa charges:
It’s either
intentional manipulation of the books or a level of incompetence and
sloppiness that is inexcusable for an entity of this size with so many
highly paid professionals and consultants involved.
If this excuse
for the inability to track the Meketa payments is accurate, it’s an
admission that CalPERS has been making false accounts, which is a violation
of the California Penal Code section 424. Given the magnitude of either the
omission or the deliberate misclassification in combination with the fact
that CalPERS is rated by Moodys, which presumably relies on the information
in the CAFR, this abuse could rise to the level of a fraud.1
This
reporting deficiency is troubling since it calls into question the integrity
of CalPERS’ accounting and record-keeping. But perhaps this is not
surprising. Most of the CAFR, including the “Other Supplementary
Information” section in which outside vendor costs and CalPERS’ investment
overhead fall, is unaudited. As we have pointed out, the entire investment
section of CalPERS’ financials, including the valuation of its assets, is
not audited either (see
the auditor’s letter starting on page 17 to confirm).
Jensen Comment
The three major problems with business valuation is that:
1. Respectable valuations are costly (not
usually cost effective on an annual basis)
2. Business valuations are highly subjective
(due largely varying assumptions) and differ between teams of valuators ---
which is the reason mergers and acquisitions often take place when "buyers"
are more optimistic than "sellers." Exhibit A is the widely varying
valuation between the Michael Jackson Estate between his family versus the
IRS. Exhibit B is the valuation of Tesla based on stock price fluctuations
where prices fluctuate greatly both due to news releases about Tesla and ups
and downs of the stock market apart from news about Tesla.
3. Business valuations are unstable and change with not only economic
conditions but with such things as scandals. Exhibit A is the expected
2019 crash in the value of the the Michael Jackson estate as media outlets
are now banning the playing of his music and videos following the current
release of the HBO documentary leaving the audiences more convinced that he
was a serial pedophile who bought off witnesses before court trials. Whether
or not he's guilty as implied is not so much an issue as the impact of media
outlets to new publicity that he's guilty.
Exhibit C is the real estate value in Queens between the Amazon announcement
of HQ 2 in Queens and the subsequent crash in valuations following the
Amazon announcement that it was reneging on Queens.
Value can be fickle indeed.
Exhibit D is the Non-GAAP Earnings Management at Kraft Heinz Co.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on March 6, 2019
The
problems Kraft Heinz Co. disclosed last month are shining a light on
a growing concern: the company’s tailored financial metrics that help make
its results look better.
You say
tomato, I say $6 billion.
Since the 2015 merger that created Kraft Heinz, the packaged-food company
has reported adjusted operating earnings totaling more than $24 billion. But
reported cash flow from operations
under standard accounting rules
for that same period was only about $6 billion.
Mind the
GAAP. The gap
in cash flow tallies underscores the need for investors to be cautious when
relying on nonstandard metrics, rather than those that governed by U.S.
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The relatively low operating cash
flow might have been a tipoff to investors that Kraft Heinz was faltering.
Last month it announced a big write-down and a decline in the value of
several key brands.
Caveat
emptor.
Companies are allowed to report tailored financial metrics, but they must
provide detailed disclosures and can’t feature them more prominently than
official measures. In recent years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission has criticized many companies over the way they feature adjusted
measures.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on October 4, 2016
Boeing’s nifty accounting Boeing Co. started to make money on each 787
Dreamliner it delivers just this spring, but thanks to a unique accounting
strategy, the jet has been fattening the aircraft maker’s bottom line for
years. Boeing is one of the few companies that use a technique called
program accounting. Rather than booking the huge costs of building aircraft
as it pays them, Boeing defers the costs over
the number of planes it expects to build in the future,
and adds expected future profits in current earnings, which is acceptable
under accounting rules.
GAAP versus Non-GAAP Accounting for IPOs From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on January 8, 2015
Forty companies went public last year reporting losses under traditional
accounting rules but showing profits under their own tailor-made measures,
the
WSJ’s Michael Rapoport reports. That is 18% of all
U.S. IPOs for the year. Some IPO market observers have raised fears that
companies’ increased use of nonstandard earnings measures could confuse or
mislead investors.
Companies that use the non-GAAP measures insist that they give investors a
better picture of the company. But that worries some experts, and hasn’t
stopped the SEC from demanding that some of the companies revise their
filings, saying that they give too much prominence to the specialty
calculations over more standard measures.
Nonstandard metrics give investors “the best measure” of continuing
performance, said Jason Morgan, chief financial officer of
Zoe’s Kitchen Inc.,
one of the firms that had to revise its filings at the request of the SEC.
Do you feel that you need to look beyond GAAP to tell the full story of your
company’s performance? Send us a note to let us know or tell us in the
comments
Tel Aviv University - The
Leon Recanati Graduate School of Business Administration
Date Written: September 18,
2017
Abstract
Our
analysis is rooted in the notion that stockholders can learn about the
fundamental value of any particular firm from observing the earnings reports of
its rivals. We argue that such intra-industry information transfers, which have
been broadly documented in the empirical literature, may motivate managers to
alter stockholders’ beliefs about the value of their firm not only by
manipulating their own earnings report but also by influencing the earnings
reports of rival firms. Managers obviously do not have access to the accounting
system of peer firms, but they can nevertheless influence the earnings reports
of rival firms by distorting real transactions that relate to the product market
competition. We demonstrate such managerial behavior, which we refer to as
cross-firm real earnings management, and explore its potential consequences and
its interrelation with the practice of accounting-based earnings management
within an industry setting with imperfect (non-proprietary) accounting
information.
Frequent-flier award accountancy is something akin to voo doo and crystal
ball estimation.
Investors have failed
to appreciate how crucial these programs are to airline profitability amid
the stability consolidation brought, said Joseph DeNardi, a senior airline
analyst with Stifel Financial Corp. in Baltimore. Since August, he’s
issued a steady stream of client notes arguing that the market has
undervalued the five largest airlines.
DeNardi has
repeatedly explained that investors have little insight into the billions of
dollars large banks pay for these affiliations. At each airline investor
call or conference, DeNardi has steadfastly prodded executives for greater
reporting detail.
In many ways, the Big
Three U.S. airlines have organized themselves into two distinct businesses.
There’s the traditional activity—the one with jets—which involves pricing
seats for as much as possible, collecting a bag fee, and selling some food
and drinks while keeping a close eye on costs. The other business is the
sale of miles—mostly to the big banks, but also to companies that range from
car rental firms to hotels to magazine peddlers.
The latter has
expanded so much that it accounts for more than half of all profits for some
airlines, including American Airlines Group Inc., the world’s largest.
Jensen Comment
Accounting for "sales of miles" has always been problematic due to time
differences between award dates and when customers book flights and
uncertainties whether the awards will expire without being used by customers.
This entails something akin to voo doo and crystal ball
estimation.
This is an excellent illustration how accounting is more than counting beans
and how specialized airline accountants and auditors must become in extremely
technical issues.
According to
the SEC’s order instituting a settled administrative proceeding against
Monsanto, accounting executives Sara M. Brunnquell and Anthony P. Hartke,
and then-sales executive Jonathan W. Nienas:
· Monsanto’s sales force began telling U.S.
retailers in 2009 that if they “maximized” their Roundup purchases in the
fourth quarter they could participate in a new rebate program in 2010.
· Hartke developed and Brunnquell approved talking
points for Monsanto’s sales force to use when encouraging retailers to take
advantage of the new rebate program and purchase significant amounts of
Roundup in the fourth quarter of the company’s 2009 fiscal year.
Approximately one-third of its U.S. sales of Roundup for the year occurred
during that quarter.
· Brunnquell and Hartke, both certified public
accountants, knew or should have known that the sales force used this new
rebate program to incentivize sales in 2009 and Generally Accepted
Accounting Principles (GAAP) required the company to record in 2009 a
portion of Monsanto’s costs related to the rebate program. But Monsanto
improperly delayed recording these costs until 2010.
· Monsanto also offered rebates to distributors who
met agreed-upon volume targets. However, late in the fiscal year, Monsanto
reversed approximately $57.3 million of rebate costs that had been accrued
under these agreements because certain distributors did not achieve their
volume targets (at the urging of Monsanto).
· Monsanto then created a new rebate program to
allow distributors to “earn back” the rebates they failed to attain in 2009
by meeting new targets in 2010.
· Under this new program, Monsanto paid $44.5
million in rebates to its two largest distributors as part of side
agreements arranged by Nienas, in which they were promised late in fiscal
year 2009 that they would be paid the maximum rebate amounts regardless of
target performance.
· Because the side
agreements were reached in 2009, Monsanto was required under GAAP to record
these rebates in 2009.
But the company improperly
deferred recording the rebate costs until 2010.
· Monsanto repeated the program the following year
and improperly accounted for $48 million in rebate costs in 2011 that should
have been recorded in 2010.
· Monsanto also improperly accounted for more than
$56 million in rebates in 2010 and 2011 in Canada, France, and Germany.
They were booked as selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expenses
rather than rebates, which boosted gross profits from Roundup in those
countries.
Scott W. Friestad, Associate Director in the SEC’s Division of Enforcement,
said, “Monsanto devised rebate programs that elevated form over substance,
which led to the booking of substantial amounts of revenue without the
recognition of associated costs. Public companies need to have robust
systems in place to ensure that all of their transactions are recognized in
the correct reporting period.”
Monsanto consented to the SEC’s order without admitting or denying the
findings that it violated Sections 17(a)(2) and 17(a)(3) of the Securities
Act of 1933, the reporting provisions of Section 13(a) of the Securities
Exchange Act of 1934 and underlying rules 12b-20, 13a-1, 13a-11, and 13a-13;
the books-and-records provisions of Exchange Act Section 13(b)(2)(A); and
the internal accounting control provisions of Exchange Act Section
13(b)(2)(B).
Continued in article
Is this Canadian repatriation decision somewhat or all due to deliberate
or all earnings management?
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on October 1, 2015
Gas, currency sap Costco’s top line; taxes help
http://blogs.wsj.com/cfo/2015/09/30/gas-currency-sap-costcos-top-line-taxes-help/?mod=djemCFO_h
Warehouse retailer Costco Wholesale Corp.
would have reported strong sales growth if not for cheap gas and a strong
dollar, but a tax windfall helped it report solid earnings growth, Maxwell
Murphy reports. Costco reported a lower tax rate, thanks to a tax benefit it
received bringing home $560 million from Canada. Repatriating the funds gave
the company a 4 cent per-share boost to earnings during the fiscal fourth
quarter ended in August.
"Earnings Management and Derivative Hedging with Fair Valuation: Evidence
from the Effects of FAS 133," by Jongmoo Jay Choi and Connie X. Mao,
The Accounting Review, Volume 90, Issue 4 (July 2015) ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/abs/10.2308/accr-50972
Abstract
Barton (2001) and Pincus and Rajgopal (2002) show that earnings management
through discretionary accruals and derivative hedging are partial
substitutes in smoothing earnings before 1999. In this study, we investigate
whether Financial Accounting Standard (FAS) 133 regarding hedge accounting
in 2000 has influenced the relative merit of the two earnings-smoothing
methods. Based on a sample of S&P 500 nonfinancial firms during 1996–2006,
we find that the substitution relation between derivative hedging and
discretionary accrual is significantly attenuated after FAS 133
implementation. We also document a significant increase in earnings
volatility associated with derivative hedging post-FAS 133. These results
are robust to the use of various model and method specifications, as well as
controlling for contemporaneous macroeconomic and regulatory shocks.
Overall, our results suggest that a material change in an accounting rule
regarding derivatives can influence the level and volatility of reported
earnings, as well as the method of income smoothing.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on September 5, 2015
Toshiba slashes earnings for past
seven years.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/toshiba-slashes-earnings-for-past-7-years-1441589473?mod=djemCFO_h
Toshiba Corp.,
hoping to close the books on one of Japan’s biggest accounting scandals,
said it had overstated its earnings by $1.9 billion over seven years, more
than four times the initial estimate. The company said
Monday
that it was taking steps to avoid a repeat of the scandal, which an
independent panel said was caused by managers setting aggressive profit
targets that subordinates couldn’t meet without inflating divisional
results.
The Japanese affiliate of Ernst & Young LLC has
launched an in-house investigation (using over 150 investigators) into its
audit of Toshiba Corp in the wake of the electronics maker's $1.2 billion
accounting scandal, a person with knowledge of the matter said.
Ernst & Young ShinNihon LLC has established a team
of about 20 executives to investigate whether there were any problems with
how it conducted its audits of Toshiba, the person said.
The person spoke on condition of anonymity. No one
could be reached at the company's offices in Tokyo on Saturday.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Audit firms traditionally defend themselves that they're not hired to be fraud
detectors unless the frauds materially affect financial statements. The Toshiba
accounting fraud had a monumental impact on financial statements.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on July 15, 2015
Toshiba has detailed a number of cases in which
business units failed to book adequate costs for executing contracts,
causing the company to overstate profit. Toshiba said in June that it
would need to
reduce operating profit for the 2009 through
2013 fiscal years by a total of ¥54.8 billion. People familiar with the
matter said the figure has now ballooned to at least ¥150 billion ($1.2
billion). Toshiba declined to comment.
During those years, the company’s combined
operating profit totaled ¥1.05 trillion, so even at the higher level,
the reduction would amount to less than 15% of the company’s operating
profit over the five years.
Ryan D. Guggenmos
Cornell University - Samuel Curtis Johnson Graduate School of Management
Abstract
Chief Executive
Officers identify creativity as one of the most desired business leadership
competencies. Accordingly, managers are increasingly looking to build
creative and innovative cultures within their organizations. However,
research in psychology suggests that these attempts may have unintended
negative consequences. In this study, I predict and find that an innovative
company culture leads to higher levels of real earnings management (REM). To
reduce REM in innovative cultures, I design and test interventions based on
lower-level and higher-level construals. As I predict, an intervention based
on lower-level construal reduces REM, but a higher-level construal
intervention reduces REM to a greater extent. I also provide evidence that
these interventions reduce the desirability of self-interested behavior that
is a consequence of innovation-focused culture. My findings contribute to
the emerging accounting literature regarding REM. In addition, I extend the
psychology literature investigating the link between self-interested
behavior and creativity, as well as expand research on the effects of mental
construal on decision making
Benjamin P. Foster University of Louisville - College of Business and
Public Administration
John M. Mueller California State University, Fresno; Western Michigan
University
Trimbak Shastri University of Louisville - Department of Accountancy
Abstract
The number and
importance of private companies in the United States indicates that reliable
quality of financial accounting reports (QFAR) of private companies that are
useful for decision making is likely to be important for economic growth.
Most previous research examining QFAR addressed earnings management among
publicly-traded companies. This study extends prior literature by examining
whether abnormal production of public and private companies is impacted by (i)
assurance type (PCAOB-audit, GAAS-audit, and SSARS-Review), (ii) tax status
(separately taxed versus pass-through entity) of private companies, and
(iii) relative size. An audit of financial statements provides a high degree
of assurance, whereas a review provides limited assurance. Due to data
limitations with our private company sample, this study focuses on earnings
management through abnormal production by manufacturing companies. When
examining companies that just met the benchmark of prior years' earnings or
zero earnings we found positive abnormal production for publicly traded
companies and privately held audited-taxable companies, but not for other
privately held companies. Not identified in previous studies, we find that
abnormal production of similarly sized public companies and private
companies differ. Our findings provide evidence relevant to the Big GAAP/Little
GAAP debate and that one set of accounting standards may not satisfy all
public and private company financial statement users. Also, results of this
study support the recommendations of the Financial Accounting Foundation’s
Blue Ribbon Panel’s Report for establishing a separate private company
standards board to help ensure appropriate modifications to GAAP.
Teaching Case on Channel Stuffing
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on July 31, 2015
SUMMARY: The Securities and Exchange
Commission is investigating whether Diageo PLC has been shipping excess
inventory to distributors in an effort to boost the liquor company's
results. By sending more cases to distributors than wanted, the
British-based owner of Smirnoff and Johnnie Walker would be able to report
increased sales and shipments. That allows Diageo to report shipments as
sales, leaving distributors with a bitter taste as sales of the company's
brands have waned. The company has already changed the way it accounts for
those shipments, and that will almost certainly lead to lower inventory
levels even as Diageo responds to securities investigators. In the U.S.,
liquor producers follow a three-tier system to market. Producers like Diageo
ship to wholesalers, who then ship to retailers. Liquor companies can record
shipments as sales when they ship them to the wholesaler.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This is a great
article for a discussion regarding when to recognize sales. The Securities
and Exchange Commission probe raises important questions over not only who
owns inventory as it moves through distribution channels but who makes
decisions about supply.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the SEC? What is its area of authority?
2. (Advanced) Why is the SEC investigating Diageo PLC? How does
this investigation relate to the SEC's responsibilities?
3. (Advanced) What are the accounting rules regarding revenue
recognition? What are possible times sales can be recognized in the business
transaction described in the article? When should the sales be recognized?
4. (Advanced) What is cash basis accounting? What is accrual basis
accounting? How does revenue recognition differ when a company is cash basis
vs. accrual basis?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Agency probing whether Diageo has shipped excess
inventories to distributors.
The Securities and Exchange Commission is
investigating whether Diageo PLC has been shipping excess inventory to
distributors in an effort to boost the liquor company’s results, according
to people familiar with the inquiry.
By sending more cases to distributors than wanted,
the British-based owner of Smirnoff and Johnnie Walker would be able to
report increased sales and shipments, according to these people.
Diageo confirmed Thursday to The Wall Street
Journal that it received an inquiry from the SEC regarding its distribution
in the U.S.
“Diageo is working to respond fully to the SEC’s
requests for information in this matter,” a company spokeswoman said.
Diageo’s American depositary receipts fell 5%
Thursday afternoon, following the Journal’s report on the inquiry, and ended
the day down $4.99, or 4.2%, to $114.67.
The inquiry coincides with a period of tumult in
Diageo’s executive ranks. The company announced in June that North American
President Larry Schwartz would be retiring by the end of the year. Since
then, the company has also announced the departures of its chief marketing
officer for North America and a president of national accounts in the U.S.
Toshiba has detailed a number of cases in which
business units failed to book adequate costs for executing contracts,
causing the company to overstate profit. Toshiba said in June that it
would need to
reduce operating profit for the 2009 through
2013 fiscal years by a total of ¥54.8 billion. People familiar with the
matter said the figure has now ballooned to at least ¥150 billion ($1.2
billion). Toshiba declined to comment.
During those years, the company’s combined
operating profit totaled ¥1.05 trillion, so even at the higher level,
the reduction would amount to less than 15% of the company’s operating
profit over the five years.
Academic, trade, and
popular publications commonly assert that 80 percent of motion pictures
fail to make a net profit, suggesting also that the main players of the
motion picture industry operate in highly volatile market conditions.
More importantly, major film companies use this argument to negotiate
for better terms with their production and distribution partners, to
lobby for stricter copyright protections, and to argue in favor of media
conglomeration as a hedge against adverse market conditions. This
article disputes these assertions by calculating the full range of
income that major motion pictures derive from their primary and
secondary markets. It demonstrates that a large share of studio films
are ultimately profitable, therefore challenging the arguments that
conglomerates make with industry partners and government policy makers.
Abstract:
Purpose – Intangible assets are regarded as the future value drivers of
company performance. However, hardly anything is known about the actual
importance and influence of intangible assets. The purpose of this paper is
to fill this gap, so the authors analyse the German stock market index DAX
and accomplish a survey among the German Certified Public Accountants (CPAs)
concerning intangible assets.
Design/Methodology/Approach – In a first step, the
authors analyse the balance sheet data and the corresponding notes of the
companies with regard to reported values of intangible assets and applied
valuation methods. The sample period covers the years from 2005 to 2008. In
a second step, the authors analyse the statements of the German CPAs with
regard to intangible assets. The authors sent a standardised questionnaire
to all 180 offices of the top ten German auditing firms.
Findings – The results indicate that intangible
assets have gained in importance, while information on valuation methods is
still scarce. According to the German CPAs, the current influence of
intangible assets on company performance is on a high level and even will
increase during the next few years. The mostly used valuation approach for
the fair value measurement of patented technologies is the income approach.
Furthermore, the accounting standards leave room for accounting policy – a
result which casts doubt on the reliability of financial statements.
Originality/Value – For the first time not only
annual balance sheet data but also corresponding notes regarding intangible
assets are analysed. The findings are connected with a survey of an expert
group for the valuation of intangibles.
TOPICS: Financial Reporting, Initial Public Offerings, IPOs
SUMMARY: Forty companies went public in 2014 reporting losses under
traditional accounting rules but showing profits under their own tailor-made
measures. That is 18% of all U.S. initial public offerings for the year the
highest level since at least 2009. Of 2014's 10 biggest IPOs, nine used
nonstandard earnings measures alongside the official accounting treatment to
some degree. Many companies prefer highlighting their own customized
measures, saying they give investors a better picture of the company. That
worries some experts, and the Securities and Exchange Commission has written
letters to Zoe's and other companies telling them the bespoke figures they
use are given too much prominence in regulatory filings and asking for
revisions.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This is very interesting information to add
to the topics of financial accounting and IPOs.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is an IPO? Who is involved? Why have the
numbers of IPOs grown in recent years?
2. (Advanced) Why is financial reporting needed as a part of an
IPO? Who would be using the financial information? Why is accuracy and full
disclose important?
3. (Introductory) What is the issue presented in the article? Who
is concerned by these activities? Why are they concerned?
4. (Advanced) Why do companies wish to use their own customized
measures? What do they say in support of using them? Is their defense of
their actions reasonable? Why or why not?
5. (Advanced) What are some examples of changes companies have made
in their financial reporting? What problems or misunderstandings could this
"tailored accounting" cause?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Critics Say Companies’ Increased Use of Customized
Earnings Measures Could Confuse Investors
Zoe’s Kitchen Inc. is serving up profits—but only
after leaving some of its expenses off the menu.
Zoe’s, a chain of 125-plus Mediterranean-theme
restaurants that went public in April, reported an adjusted profit of $13.2
million for the first nine months of 2014 under its own accounting
treatments that strip out a variety of expenses.
Including those expenses, as is required under
standard accounting rules, Zoe’s reported a loss of $8.4 million.
It is far from an isolated example. Forty companies
went public in 2014 reporting losses under traditional accounting rules but
showing profits under their own tailor-made measures. That is 18% of all
U.S. initial public offerings for the year, according to consulting firm
Audit Analytics, the highest level since at least 2009. Of 2014’s 10 biggest
IPOs, nine used nonstandard earnings measures alongside the official
accounting treatment to some degree.
Many companies prefer highlighting their own
customized measures, saying they give investors a better picture of the
company. That worries some experts, and the Securities and Exchange
Commission has written letters to Zoe’s and other companies telling them the
bespoke figures they use are given too much prominence in regulatory filings
and asking for revisions.
Nonstandard metrics give investors “the best
measure” of continuing performance, said Jason Morgan, chief financial
officer of Zoe’s, who added that the SEC’s concerns were addressed in the
company’s case by revising its prospectus.
But as the IPO market heated up last year,
observers have raised fears that companies’ increased use of these
nonstandard measures could confuse or mislead investors at a time when they
are forming their first impression of a company.
“I think it’s a sign of frothiness” in the IPO
market, said Brandon Rees, deputy director of the AFL-CIO’s Office of
Investment. “Why investors tolerate it, I don’t know.”
Some say the costs that companies strip out of
their nonstandard measures are increasingly things that should be counted in
earnings calculations, such as executive bonuses, fees for stock offerings
and acquisition expenses.
“I was just astounded at the wide variety of
elements that people thought were appropriate to exclude,” said Curtis
Verschoor, a DePaul University emeritus professor of accountancy. Investors
should be aware that a company’s nonstandard numbers “are more likely to be
slanted rather than balanced,” he said.
Companies must still prominently disclose their
earnings under generally accepted accounting principles, the standard set of
U.S. accounting rules, even if they also spotlight their earnings under
“non-GAAP” measures.
“It’s knee-jerk to say that’s a place where
companies put bad stuff,” said Mike Guthrie, chief financial officer of
TrueCar Inc., an
auto-buying-and-selling platform that went public in May.
For the first nine months of 2014, TrueCar had a
$38.6 million loss under standard rules but a $6.6 million profit under
“adjusted Ebitda”—earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortization, modified further to exclude other costs, such as an $803,000
expense to acquire rights to the company’s stock symbol.
Mr. Guthrie said it would be more misleading for
the companies not to present adjusted measures; the stock-symbol cost, for
instance, was a one-time expense that won’t affect TrueCar’s future results.
TrueCar closed Wednesday at $20.94 a share, up 133% from its IPO price of
$9.
According to Audit Analytics data, 59% of the
companies that filed for an IPO since 2012 have used nonstandard metrics,
compared with 48% in 2010 and 2011.
Many go beyond the items that companies most
frequently strip out of their preferred measures, such as employee stock
compensation and foreign-exchange gains and losses. A PricewaterhouseCoopers
LLP survey found 80% of IPO companies that made adjustments to their Ebitda
from 2010 to 2013 had at least one adjustment beyond the more-common
strip-outs, though PwC said it couldn’t comment on individual companies.
The growth in such reporting by IPO companies comes
in part because more technology and service-based companies are coming
public. Those companies are more likely to use accounting estimates and
subjective measures when compared with traditional bricks-and-mortar
companies, said Jay Ritter, a University of Florida finance professor who
tracks IPOs.
The SEC has expressed concern in the past about
companies’ non-GAAP metrics, notably with regard to daily-deals company
Groupon Inc. Before
Groupon’s 2011 IPO, the SEC raised questions about its use of “adjusted
consolidated segment operating income,” a metric that excluded Groupon’s
marketing costs to land new subscribers. Groupon scaled back its use of the
metric in response to the SEC concerns. Groupon couldn’t be reached for
comment.
In the past two years, the commission has sent
comment letters to more than 30 companies, both pre-IPO companies and those
already public, criticizing them for giving nonstandard earnings measures
“undue prominence” in their securities filings.
Zoe’s received such a letter in January 2014.
Zoe’s had mentioned its adjusted Ebitda first in
the “management’s discussion and analysis” section of its prospectus, four
pages before providing an earnings table that followed standard accounting
rules. The SEC also questioned Zoe’s exclusion of some cash expenses from
its adjusted Ebitda, such as the costs of opening new restaurants and
management and consulting fees.
Zoe’s prospectus had been filed under seal with the
SEC at the time, and the company revised its filings to address the “undue
prominence” criticism before it filed a public prospectus in March, the
company’s finance chief, Mr. Morgan, said. Whether the expenses should be
excluded “came down to an interpretation” of regulations, and the company
didn’t change its methodology, he added.
Zoe’s stock closed Wednesday at $31.63 a share,
more than twice its IPO price of $15.
No endorsement carries more weight than an
investment by Warren Buffett. He became the world's second-richest man by
buying safe, reliable businesses and holding them for ever. So when his
company increased its stake in Tesco to 5% in 2012, it sent a strong message
that the giant British grocer would rebound from its disastrous attempt to
compete in America.
But it turned out that even the Oracle of Omaha can
fall victim to dodgy accounting. On September 22nd Tesco announced that its
profit guidance for the first half of 2014 was £250m ($408m) too high,
because it had overstated the rebate income it would receive from suppliers.
Britain's Serious Fraud Office has begun a criminal investigation into the
errors. The company's fortunes have worsened since then: on December 9th it
cut its profit forecast by 30%, partly because its new boss said it would
stop "artificially" improving results by reducing service near the end of a
quarter. Mr Buffett, whose firm has lost $750m on Tesco, now calls the trade
a "huge mistake".
No sooner did the news break than the spotlight
fell on PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), one of the "Big Four" global
accounting networks (the others are Deloitte, Ernst & Young (EY) and KPMG).
Tesco had paid the firm £10.4m to sign off on its 2013 financial statements.
PwC mentioned the suspect rebates as an area of heightened scrutiny, but
still gave a clean audit.
PwC's failure to detect the problem is hardly an
isolated case. If accounting scandals no longer dominate headlines as they
did when Enron and WorldCom imploded in 2001-02, that is not because they
have vanished but because they have become routine. On December 4th a
Spanish court reported that Bankia had mis-stated its finances when it went
public in 2011, ten months before it was nationalised. In 2012
Hewlett-Packard wrote off 80% of its $10.3 billion purchase of Autonomy, a
software company, after accusing the firm of counting forecast subscriptions
as current sales (Autonomy pleads innocence). The previous year Olympus, a
Japanese optical-device maker, revealed it had hidden billions of dollars in
losses. In each case, Big Four auditors had given their blessing.
And although accountants have largely avoided blame
for the financial crisis of 2008, at the very least they failed to raise the
alarm. America's Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation is suing PwC for $1
billion for not detecting fraud at Colonial Bank, which failed in 2009. (PwC
denies wrongdoing and says the bank deceived the firm.) This June two KPMG
auditors received suspensions for failing to scrutinise loan-loss reserves
at TierOne, another failed bank. Just eight months before Lehman Brothers'
demise, EY's audit kept mum about the repurchase transactions that disguised
the bank's leverage.
The situation is graver still in emerging markets.
In 2009 Satyam, an Indian technology company, admitted it had faked over $1
billion of cash on its books. North American exchanges have de-listed more
than 100 Chinese firms in recent years because of accounting problems. In
2010 Jon Carnes, a short seller, sent a cameraman to a biodiesel factory
that China Integrated Energy (a KPMG client) said was producing at full
blast, and found it had been dormant for months. The next year Muddy Waters,
a research firm, discovered that much of the timber Sino-Forest (audited by
EY) claimed to own did not exist. Both companies lost over 95% of their
value.
Of course, no police force can hope to prevent
every crime. But such frequent scandals call into question whether this is
the best the Big Four can do--and if so, whether their efforts are worth the
$50 billion a year they collect in audit fees. In popular imagination,
auditors are there to sniff out fraud. But because the profession was
historically allowed to self-regulate despite enjoying a
government-guaranteed franchise, it has set the bar so low--formally,
auditors merely opine on whether financial statements meet accounting
standards--that it is all but impossible for them to fail at their jobs, as
they define them. In recent years this yawning "expectations gap" has led to
a pattern in which investors disregard auditors and make little effort to
learn about their work, value securities as if audited financial statements
were the gospel truth, and then erupt in righteous fury when the inevitable
downward revisions cost them their shirts.
The stakes are high. If investors stop trusting
financial statements, they will charge a higher cost of capital to honest
and deceitful companies alike, reducing funds available for investment and
slowing growth. Only substantial reform of the auditors' perverse business
model can end this cycle of disappointment. Born with the railways
Auditors perform a central role in modern
capitalism. Ever since the invention of the joint-stock corporation,
shareholders have been plagued by the mismatch between the interests of a
firm's owners and those of its managers. Because a company's executives know
far more about its operations than its investors do, they have every
incentive to line their pockets and hide its true condition. In turn, the
markets will withhold capital from firms whose managers they distrust.
Auditors arose to resolve this "information asymmetry".
Early joint-stock firms like the Dutch East India
Company designated a handful of investors to make sure the books added up,
though these primitive auditors generally lacked the time or expertise to
provide an effective check on management. By the mid-1800s, British lenders
to capital-hungry American railway companies deployed chartered
accountants--the first modern auditors--to investigate every aspect of the
railroads' businesses. These Anglophone roots have proved durable: 150 years
later, the Big Four global networks are still essentially controlled by
their branches in the United States and Britain. Their current bosses are
all American.
As the number of investors in companies grew, so
did the inefficiency of each of them sending separate sleuths to keep
management in line. Moreover, companies hoping to cut financing costs
realised they could extract better terms by getting an auditor to vouch for
them. Those accountants in turn had an incentive to evaluate their clients
fairly, in order to command the trust of the markets. By the 1920s, 80% of
companies on the New York Stock Exchange voluntarily hired an auditor.
Unfortunately, Jazz Age investors did not
distinguish between audited companies and their less scrupulous peers. Among
the miscreants was Swedish Match, a European firm whose skill at securing
state-sanctioned monopolies was surpassed only by the aggression of its
accounting. After its boss, Ivar Kreuger, died in 1932 the company
collapsed, costing American investors the equivalent of $4.33 billion in
current dollars. Soon after this the Democratic Congress, cleaning up the
markets after the Great Depression, instituted a rule that all publicly held
firms had to issue audited financial statements. Britain had already brought
in a similar policy.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on December 4, 2014
(PCAOB)
Regulator finds deficiencies in 65% of BDO USA’s audits
http://blogs.wsj.com/cfo/2014/12/03/regulator-finds-deficiencies-in-65-of-bdo-usas-audits/?mod=djemCFO_h
The government’s audit watchdog
on Wednesday released annual inspection reports for 37 audit
firms, and found more deficiencies in audits by
BDO USA LLP and
fewer problems in those by
Crowe Horwath LLP, CFO Journal’s Noelle Knox reports. Weaknesses in
BDO’s audits according to the Public Company Accounting Oversight board
included a failure to test controls over goodwill, reserves and receivables,
as well as a failure to test a client’s method for calculating the revenue
and value of certain financial assets.
Jensen Comment
There's little evidence that PCAOB inspection reports have done much to improve
financial auditing in large firms. It seems like the audit firms pretty much
ignore the reports if improvements are expensive such as the expense of more
detailed testing. Those reports do destroy the myth that expensive audits from
the largest auditing firms are superior audits.
Clients seemingly are more concerned with reducing audit costs than improving
audit quality. My hypothesis is that audit firms cut corners on clients that
they are relatively certain will not lead to auditing lawsuits. When
firms audit troubled clients perhaps those audits have more due diligence. A bad
inspection report can destroy a small audit firm, but a negative inspection
report seems to not hurt the huge global auditing firms seeking new clients.
PCAOB Inspection Reports ---
http://pcaobus.org/Inspections/Pages/default.aspx
Teaching Case on Audit
Inspections
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on October 31, 2014
SUMMARY: The 23
deficient audits the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board found in its
2013 inspection of the firm, were out of 50 audits or partial audits
conducted by KPMG that the PCAOB evaluated - a deficiency rate of 46%. In
the previous year's inspection, the PCAOB found deficiencies in 17 of 50
KPMG audits inspected, or 34%. The report spotlights the PCAOB's continuing
concerns about audit quality. Overall, 39% of audits inspected in the latest
evaluations of the Big Four firms - KPMG, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP,
Deloitte & Touche LLP and Ernst & Young LLP - were found to have
deficiencies, compared with 37% the previous year.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
is useful for an auditing class to present recent results of PCAOB
inspections.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the PCAOB? What is its function?
2. (Advanced) What are the "Big Four" accounting firms? What are
the results of the annual inspections of the Big Four accounting firms? Did
one firm perform better than others?
3. (Advanced) What is the purpose of these inspections? What do the
inspectors do? What is a deficiency? What do the firms do with the
inspection results?
4. (Advanced) What happens once these results are determined? Are
the financial statements changed as a result of these inspections? Are the
firms sanctioned?
5. (Advanced) The article notes that the PCAOB has made public what
was previously secret criticism of the firms. Why were those previous
results secret? Should this information be secret? Why or why not?
6. (Advanced) Should these results impact the reputations of the
Big Four firms? Why or why not? How should the firms handle these public
revelations?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Audit regulators found deficiencies in 23 of the
KPMG LLP audits they evaluated in their latest annual inspection of the Big
Four accounting firm’s work.
The 23 deficient audits the Public Company
Accounting Oversight Board found in its 2013 inspection of the firm,
released Thursday, were out of 50 audits or partial audits conducted by KPMG
that the PCAOB evaluated—a deficiency rate of 46%. In the previous year’s
inspection, the PCAOB found deficiencies in 17 of 50 KPMG audits inspected,
or 34%.
In a statement responding to the PCAOB inspection,
KPMG said, “We are always mindful of our responsibility to the capital
markets, and we are committed to continually improving our firm and to
working constructively with the PCAOB to improve audit quality.”
The 23 deficiencies were significant enough that it
appeared KPMG hadn’t obtained sufficient evidence to support its audit
opinions that a company’s financial statements were accurate or that it had
effective internal controls, the PCAOB said. A deficiency in the audit
doesn’t mean a company’s financial statements were wrong, however, or that
the problems found haven’t since been addressed.
Still, the report spotlights the PCAOB’s continuing
concerns about audit quality. Overall, 39% of audits inspected in the latest
evaluations of the Big Four firms—KPMG, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, Deloitte
& Touche LLP and Ernst & Young LLP—were found to have deficiencies, compared
with 37% the previous year.
In addition, all of the Big Four have now seen the
PCAOB make public some of its previously secret criticisms of the firms.
Separately from the latest report, the PCAOB on Thursday unsealed previously
confidential criticisms of KPMG’s quality controls it had made in 2011 and
2012, mirroring previous moves the board had made with regard to PwC, E&Y
and Deloitte. The unsealing amounts to a public rebuke to KPMG for not
acting quickly enough to fix quality-control problems, in the regulator’s
view.
In the unsealed passages, the board said some of
the firm’s personnel had failed to sufficiently evaluate “contrary evidence”
that seemed to contradict its audit conclusions.
In the latest inspection report, among the areas in
which the PCAOB found audit deficiencies at KPMG were failure to
sufficiently test companies’ loan-loss reserves, testing of companies’
valuations of hard-to-value securities, and audits of certain kinds of
derivatives transactions.
The PCAOB didn’t identify the clients involved in
the deficient audits, in accordance with its usual practice.
PCAOB inspectors evaluate a sample of audits every
year at each of the major accounting firms—focused on those the board
believes are at highest risk for problems. Because of that focus, the PCAOB
says the inspection results may not reflect how frequently a firm’s overall
audit work is deficient. The inspections are intended only to evaluate the
firms’ performance and highlight areas for potential improvement, so the
firms aren’t subject to any penalties.
Only part of the inspection reports typically
becomes public. A separate portion, with the PCAOB’s criticisms of the
firm’s quality controls, is kept confidential to give the firm an
opportunity to address any concerns. If the firm does so, that portion of
the report stays sealed permanently.
If the firm doesn’t do enough to satisfy the
PCAOB within a year, however, the board makes the concerns public.
Again, though, the unsealing doesn’t carry any formal penalties for the
firms.
Jensen Comment
This is useful, especially for students in accounting and finance classes who
are not accounting majors.
I would stress how financial analysis and investing entails a whole lot more
than comparing earnings numbers such as eps trends and P/E ratios. Those indices
are potentially very misleading since the FASB and IASB cannot even
define earnings, and earnings indices may not be comparable over time or for
different companies at a point in time.
Question
In accounitng, what is the difference between "cooking the books" and
"misrepresenting the books"?
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on August 8, 2014
SUMMARY: Top executives of Florida computer-equipment company QSGI
Inc. have been charged with misrepresenting the company's books to increase
the amount of money they could borrow. The authorities allege that
co-founders Messrs. Sherman and Cummings misled the company's external
auditors and had poor internal controls. The deficiencies continued until
the company filed for bankruptcy in July 2009.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article is good to use for coverage of
both internal controls and also misrepresentation. The case is a good
illustration of the implications of having weak internal controls that lead
to intentional or unintentional misstatements in the financial statements.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the facts of the case in the article?
What agency was involved? Why was it involved in the case?
2. (Advanced) What were the inventory control problems detailed in
the article? Do those problems seem to be a result of negligence or
intentional actions? Why? What responsibilities do CEOs and CFOs have to
insure that financial records properly record the situation in the company?
3. (Advanced) What sanctions did Mr. Cummings agree to accept? Do
these seem appropriate sanctions for his actions?
4. (Advanced) The article states that Mr. Cummings did not admit or
deny wrongdoing. Why would the SEC not require an admission of wrongdoing?
Why did he agree to sanctions if the SEC did not prove he participated in
wrongdoing?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Top executives of Florida computer-equipment
company QSGI Inc. QSGI -42.50% have been charged with misrepresenting the
company's books to increase the amount of money they could borrow, the
Securities and Exchange Commission said Wednesday.
QSGI Inc.'s Co-Founder and former Chief Financial
Officer Edward L. Cummings has agreed to pay a $23,000 a penalty to settle
the charges, the agency said. Under the terms of the settlement, Mr.
Cummings, who didn't admit or deny wrongdoing, agreed to a five-year ban
from practicing as an accountant of any entity regulated by the SEC and from
serving as an officer or director of a publicly traded company, the agency
said.
The case against Co-Founder and Chief Executive
Marc Sherman is pending. Mr. Sherman is to file an answer within 20 days,
according to the SEC.
Attempts to reach Mr. Sherman and the company for
comment were unsuccessful.
The authorities charge Messrs. Sherman and Cummings
misled the company's external auditors, withholding, for example, that
inventory controls at the company's Minnesota operations were inadequate.
The authorities charge the West Palm Beach, Fla.,
company failed to design inventory-control procedures that took into account
such things as employees' qualifications and experience levels. Sales and
warehouse employees often failed to document the removal of items from
inventories and when they did, accounting personnel often failed to process
the paperwork and adjust inventory in the company's financial reporting
system, the SEC said.
The inventory control problems emerged at the
Minnesota facility beginning in 2007, when key personnel left, according to
the SEC. Workers assigned to replace the accounting staff, however, lacked
the necessary accounting background, the authorities said, adding, training
either didn't take place or was inadequate, the SEC says.
The deficiencies continued until the company filed
for bankruptcy in July 2009, the SEC added.
Also, the authorities alleged, Mr. Sherman directed
Mr. Cummings to accelerate the recognition of certain inventory and accounts
receivables by as much as a week at a time, improperly increasing revenue,
to maximize how much money the company could borrow from its chief creditor.
SUMMARY: Hertz Global Holdings Inc. confirmed
concerns that its accounting issues run even deeper, saying it would restate
its results for 2012 and 2013 as the company continues an investigation into
its financial statements dating back to 2011. The company said it would take
longer to complete the auditing process. "Hertz does not currently expect to
complete the process and file updated financial statements before mid-2015,
and there can be no assurance that the process will be completed at that
time, or that no additional adjustments will be identified," the company
said in a filing.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article is
appropriate for a financial accounting class for the topics of restatements
and accounting errors, or could be used in an auditing class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the facts of the Hertz restatements
discussed in the article?
2. (Advanced) What are the reasons for the delays in releasing
financial statements? What additional work must occur? Why?
3. (Advanced) How have these announcements affected Hertz's stock
price? Why? How could the company's stock price be impacted going into the
future?
4. (Advanced) What should the company do in the future to prevent
problems like this?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Hertz Global Holdings Inc. on Friday confirmed
concerns that its accounting issues ran even deeper, saying it would restate
its results for 2012 and 2013 as the company continues an investigation into
its financial statements dating back to 2011.
Previously, the company had said it would only
restate results for 2011, while saying that it would revise the results for
2012 and 2013.
Hertz shares, down 23% over the past three months
through Thursday, fell as much as 14% Friday, before closing down about 5%.
The company also disclosed changes to its
rental-car fleet strategy and a plan to cut $100 million in costs over the
next year.
The company said its audit committee and management
have “concluded that the additional proposed adjustments arising out of the
review are material to the company’s 2012 and 2013 financial statements,”
Hertz said in a filing Friday.
As a result, the company said it would take longer
to complete the auditing process. “Hertz does not currently expect to
complete the process and file updated financial statements before mid-2015,
and there can be no assurance that the process will be completed at that
time, or that no additional adjustments will be identified,” the company
said in a filing.
Hertz revealed its detection of accounting errors
in March, which followed its naming of a new chief financial officer at the
end of last year. In June, the company said it would restate its 2011
results, while warning it may do the same for 2012 and 2013. It withdrew its
guidance in August, citing the continuing challenges and costs associated
with the audit.
The company has since fallen under scrutiny by
activists investors such as Jana Partners LLC and Carl Icahn . Jana, which
owns a 7% stake in Hertz, earlier this month pressed the company to move
ahead with its succession planning as the company seeks a new chief
executive. Mark Frissora stepped down from that role early in September as
the company contended with weak results and accounting issues.
Mr. Icahn, who disclosed an 8.5% stake in Hertz in
August, has said he believes the company’s shares are undervalued, and that
he lacked confidence in management amid the accounting strife.
Hertz on Friday also unveiled a new strategy for
its U.S. rental car fleet, with an emphasis on buying more 2015 model-year
cars than 2014 models.
The company said it has implemented a cost-cutting
program expected to result in $100 million in savings by the end of next
year, as well.
Hertz said its total revenue for the period ended
Sept. 30 rose about 2% to $3.12 billion. U.S. car-rental revenue was down
slightly to $1.76 billion, while international car-rental rose about 3% to
$795 million.
The company’s equipment-rental business posted a 3%
revenue increase to $415 million.
SUMMARY: In the most
recent quarter, one in four companies in the S&P 500 index is expected to
have juiced its earnings per share by 4% or more by snapping up its own
stock. That is up from one in five at the beginning of 2014. Corporations
have long bought their own shares as a way of returning excess cash to
shareholders. Reducing the number of shares outstanding gives the remaining
investors a larger stake in the company. Buybacks also are often a sign of a
company's confidence in its future. The other side of the blade: Some
shareholders and analysts are questioning why companies aren't instead
plowing more money back into their business, and they say that buybacks may
serve the interests of top management more than those of average
shareholders.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
article is appropriate to use when covering stock buybacks and the effect
they have on the financial statements.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is a stock buyback? What companies have
participated in this activity in recent months?
2. (Advanced) Why would a company do a stock buyback? What are the
advantages of a stock buyback? What are the potential problems with a stock
buyback?
3. (Advanced) What is the impact of a stock buyback on the
financial statements? How would the transaction be recorded? What account
balances are impacted?
4. (Advanced) What is earnings per share? How is EPS used in
financial statement analysis? How would a stock buyback affect EPS?
5. (Advanced) What areas of financial statement analysis, other
than EPS, are impacted by a stock buyback? For each of those aspects, would
the impact be positive, negative, or could be either, depending on the
situation?
6. (Advanced) When are conditions positive for a company to
consider a stock buyback? What conditions make a buyback a poor idea?
7. (Advanced) How should investors view buybacks? What factors
should investors consider when evaluating the value of the buyback?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
In the most recent quarter,
one in four companies in the S&P 500 index is expected to have juiced its
earnings per share by 4% or more by snapping up its own stock, according to
S&P Dow Jones Indices. That is up from one in five at the beginning of the
year.
Corporations have long
bought their own shares as a way of returning excess cash to shareholders.
Reducing the number of shares outstanding gives the remaining investors a
larger stake in the company. Buybacks also are often a sign of a company’s
confidence in its future.
The other side of the blade:
Some shareholders and analysts are questioning why companies aren’t instead
plowing more money back into their business, and they say that buybacks may
serve the interests of top management more than those of average
shareholders.
“Executives are compensated
[based] on EPS,” said Warren Chiang, a managing director at investment firm
Mellon Capital Management Corp. EPS growth, he added, is “the primary reason
they do buybacks.”
After a dip in the second
quarter, companies have been buying back their shares at the quickest clip
since the recession, and the pace is expected to accelerate through
year-end.
Among those that have invested most aggressively in
their own stock are Ingersoll-Rand PLC, Illinois Tool Works Inc.,
and FedEx Corp. , which all have reported year-to-year EPS growth in the
latest quarter at least 13 percentage points higher than their gains in
overall profit.
Ingersoll-Rand and Illinois Tool spokeswomen said one-time events were
partially responsible for the discrepancy between net income and EPS growth.
FedEx Corp. said its board recently authorized a new stock-repurchase
program that will be used primarily to offset dilution from employee stock
grants. Separately, after the article’s publication, FedEx said that
long-term incentive compensation calculations exclude earnings per share as
a result of share buybacks.
While the economy has crawled back to life, many businesses remain reluctant
to buy new equipment, build factories or hire workers. They blame the uneven
recovery that has left many Americans behind and foreign markets that are
stumbling.
Repurchases, meanwhile, can boost a company’s curb appeal. Illinois Tool
Works used buybacks to post an EPS surge of 33%, nearly twice the latest
quarter’s bottom-line profit growth. Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. ’s stock
purchases turned a 10% drop from a year earlier in overall profit into a
penny improvement in EPS. The housewares retailer didn’t provide comment.
Flouting Wall Street’s conventional wisdom of “buy low, sell high,”
companies tend to vacuum up their stock as prices rise, and dial back
purchases when prices swoon, said Gregory Milano, chief executive of
business consulting firm Fortuna Advisors LLC. Plus, he said, companies that
avoid buybacks usually outperform those that embrace them over the long
term.
“It’s kind of like a kid in school. A lot of kids are motivated by getting
the best grades they can; other kids are focused on learning as much as they
can,” he said. While the child with better marks might have a leg up
entering the workforce, “the kid who understands it better has a better
career.”
Of course, there are times when companies are awash in
cash. Home
Depot Inc. has bought back almost $50 billion of
its shares since 2002. And CFO Carol Tomé says she is content to pursue this
strategy as long as the home-improvement retailer’s stock price is below
what she believes is its intrinsic value.
“If you’re cash rich, and you have no better place to put it,” she said.
“We’re such a cash cow. The last thing we’re going to do is sit on cash.
That is value-destroying to our shareholders.”
In addition, a well-executed buyback can charm money managers. Northrop
Grumman Corp. has “done an A-plus job in our mind,” because it has been
buying shares at an attractive valuation, and Lockheed Martin Corp. has
“done a similarly good job,” said Matt Lamphier, a portfolio manager at
First Eagle Investment Management, a major shareholder in both defense
companies.
Finance chiefs bristle at the idea that buybacks are just a mechanism to
burnish EPS numbers or pad their bonuses.
“If you’re doing the top-line growth, buying back stock is just a means of
returning capital to shareholders,” said John Geller Jr., CFO of Marriott
Vacations Worldwide Corp. , which announced this month it would buy back 10%
of its shares. Plus, he added, “most investors are fairly sophisticated,”
and can tell the difference between real and fabricated growth.
Still, investors should expect a
year-end spending spree. While about 8% of a year’s buybacks historically
take place October, the peak is in November, with 14% of repurchases, and
another 10% come in December, according to David Kostin, senior U.S. equity
strategist atGoldman
Sachs GroupInc.GS-0.29%
Late last year, Stanley Black & Decker Inc. said it would buy back as much
as $1 billion of its stock, or 7% of its current market value, by the end of
2015. But, CFO Donald Allan Jr. acknowledges that the tonic effects of such
deals are temporary.
Buybacks alone “might help your stock price performance and your company’s
performance for a two- to three-year period,” he said, “but it’s not going
to help the performance of the company over a decade.”
Correction: The original
version of this blog incorrectly stated that FedEx Corp. didn’t provide a
comment. The blog post was prematurely updated Wednesday and then restored
to its original form. Above is the corrected version.
Buying back stock, pretty much corporate America’s favorite
thing to do with its money over the past decade, has come in for a lot of
criticism this fall. In an epic September 2014HBRarticle,
“Profits
Without Prosperity,” economistWilliam
Lazonickblamed buybacks for
much of what ails the U.S. economy. His arguments havebeguntocatch
on, inthe
mediaat least.
So I asked Thorndike,a
managing director at the private equity firm Housatonic Partners, what
gives: Are buybacks a travesty, or smart capital allocation? What follows is
an edited and condensed version of our conversation. But first, I should
probably define a few things that come up: Atender
offeris
when a company publicly offers to buy a large number of shares, at a set
price, over a limited time period. P/E meansprice-to-earnings
ratio. And John Malone is a cable-TV billionaire who figures prominently
in Thorndike’s book.
I
guess I’ll start where your book starts, with Henry Singleton, who is really
the father of the modern stock buyback. What did he do?
The way to think about Henry Singleton is that he
demonstrated kind of unique range as a capital allocator. He builtTeledyne[in
the 1960s] largely by using his very high P/E to acquire a wide range of
businesses. He bought 130 companies, all but two of them in stock deals.
Throughout that decade his stock traded at an average P/E north of 20, and
he was buying businesses at a typical P/E of 12. So it was a highly
accretive activity for his shareholders.
That was Phase One. Then he abruptly stops acquiring when the
P/E on his stock falls at the very end of the decade, 1969, and focuses on
optimizing operations. He pokes his head up in the early ‘70s and all of a
sudden his stock is trading in the mid single digits on a P/E basis, and he
begins a series of significant stock repurchases. Starting in ‘72, going to
’84, across eight significant tender offers, he buys in 90% of his shares.
So he’s sort of the unparalleled repurchase champion.
When he started doing that in ‘72, and across that entire
period, buybacks were very unconventional. They were viewed by Wall Street
as a sign of weakness. Singleton sort of resolutely ignored the conventional
wisdom and the related noise from the media and the sell side. He was an
aggressive issuer when his stock was highly priced, and an aggressive
purchaser when it was priced at a discount to the market.
The
other seven companies in the book, buybacks were a big part of their success
too, right?
Yes, that’s correct. Of the eight companies in the book, all
but Berkshire Hathaway — kind of a special case, Warren Buffett’s company —
bought in 30% or more of shares outstanding over the course of the CEO’s
tenure.
Is
part of it the era? Most of these stories you tell, the bear market of the
‘70s and early ‘80s is right in the middle of them.
Bad news for Barnes & Noble this Christmas: the SEC
thinks the bookseller’s accounting practices may have been naughty.
In Barnes & Noble’s quarterly report filed
Thursday, the company noted that the SEC “notified the Company that it had
commenced an investigation into: (1) the Company’s restatement of earnings
announced on July 29, 2013, and (2) a separate matter related to a former
non-executive employee’s allegation that the Company improperly allocated
certain Information Technology expenses between its NOOK and Retail segments
for purposes of segment reporting.” The company announced that it is
cooperating with the SEC on this matter.
Barnes & Noble stock fell with the news. At 1:15pm
EST, it was down 7.69%.
Analysts at Stifel issued a note Friday expressing
uncertainty about how the SEC investigation will affect Barnes & Noble.
“While we have no way to judge the allegations, the risk is towards the
viability of a sale of NOOK,” they said. “The announcement certainly
suggests NOOK questions are not yet behind the company.”
The analysts also indicated more downward movement
for the stock: “We’ve long discussed a $10-$23 range for this
sum-of-the-parts, and this news could push BKS toward the lower end.”
Prior to today, Barnes & Noble stock was up 8.61%
on the year. It opened Friday at $16.39 per share.
From the 24/7 Wall Street newsletter on October 28, 2013
Earnings season is in full swing and this coming
week will bring many key earnings reports. This will also be the last week
of major on-calendar earnings for the third quarter, even if important
earnings will still be coming out in the next two weeks or three weeks. 24/7
Wall St. has decided to publish previews for what it feels are the ten most
important earnings reports on the calendar for the week ahead. While these
may be market movers in their own right, they are definitely all sector
movers.
These are the 10 most important earnings in the week ahead.
Accounting theorists who sometimes argue that earnings numbers between firms
or even over time with within a firm are misleading and should not be compared.
Why then do earnings numbers and derivatives like earnings-per-share and P/E
ratios dominate the analyses of both investors and financial analysts?
"Accounting Alchemy," by Robert E. Verrecchia, Accounting Horizons,
September 2013, pp. 603-618.
Verrecchia alleges that it's not that managers have a functional fixation for
earnings metrics as it is that they believe that other managers and investors
are so fixated with earnings that it because of monumental importance not
because it is inherently a great metric but because they believe deeply that the
market itself makes this index of vital importance.
. . .
In summary, my thesis is that managers project that
others are fixated on earnings—independent of any evidence in support
of, or contrary to, this phenomenon. This leads to managers resisting the
inclusion in earnings items that fail to enhance performance, such as the
amortization of Goodwill, or measures that make future performance more
volatile, such as those based on fair value. In the absence of acknowledging
PEF and attempting to grapple with it, I continue to see confrontations over
accounting regulation along the lines of recent debates about fair value
accounting, in addition to further impediments along the path to greater
transparency in financial statements.
Recall when "agency theory" assumed that CEO's had personal incentives to
make accounting transparent without the need for outside regulation
requirements? This is probably still being taught in accounting theory courses
where instructors rely on old textbooks and journal articles. In the latest twist in the stock options game, some
executives may have changed the so-called exercise date — the date options can
be converted to stock — to avoid paying hundreds of thousands of dollars in
income tax, federal investigators say . . . As those cases have progressed, at
least 46 executives and directors have been ousted from their positions.
Companies have taken charges totaling $5.3 billion to account for the impact of
improper grants, according to Glass Lewis & Company, a research firm that
advises big investors on shareholder issues. And further investigations,
indictments and restatements are expected. Securities regulators are now
focusing on several cases where it appears the exercise dates of the options
were backdated, according to a senior S.E.C. enforcement official, who asked not
to be identified because of the agency’s policy of not commenting on active
cases. Besides raising disclosure and accounting problems, backdating an
exercise date can result in tax fraud.
Eric Dash, "Dodging Taxes Is a New Stock Options Scheme," The New York Times,
October 30, 2006 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/10/30/business/30option.html?_r=1&oref=slogin
However, setting incentives as intense as possible
is not necessarily optimal from the point of view of the employer. The
Incentive-Intensity Principle states that the optimal intensity of
incentives depends on four factors: the incremental profits created by
additional effort, the precision with which the desired activities are
assessed, the agent’s risk tolerance, and the agent’s responsiveness to
incentives. According to Prendergast (1999, 8), “the primary constraint on
[performance-related pay] is that [its] provision imposes additional risk on
workers…” A typical result of the early principal-agent literature was that
piece rates tend to 100% (of the compensation package) as the worker becomes
more able to handle risk, as this ensures that workers fully internalize the
consequences of their costly actions. In incentive terms, where we conceive
of workers as self-interested rational individuals who provide costly effort
(in the most general sense of the worker’s input to the firm’s production
function), the more compensation varies with effort, the better the
incentives for the worker to produce.
Monitoring Intensity Principle
The third principle – the Monitoring Intensity
Principle – is complementary to the second, in that situations in which the
optimal intensity of incentives is high correspond to situations in which
the optimal level of monitoring is also high. Thus employers effectively
choose from a “menu” of monitoring/incentive intensities. This is because
monitoring is a costly means of reducing the variance of employee
performance, which makes more difference to profits in the kinds of
situations where it is also optimal to make incentives intense.
Book Cooking at the Highest Levels of USA Government
Why all this controversy over new lease accounting standard revisions to show
more debt on the books.
The best way to not show more debt is to simply stop booking more debt when you
borrow more money to pay your bills.
When you delve deeper into what the Treasury
Department did, you see that there is a magic number of $16,699,421,000,000
to reach the debt limit set in a law passed by Congress and signed by the
King himself. Isn’t it odd that the number reached when the
clock stopped ticking was about $25 million below the limit?
If the clock had continued to click, by the end of
July it would have gone over the legal debt limit and would have been in
violation of the law. However, according to the Monthly Treasury Statement
for July, even though money was spent, their reports didn’t show a change in
the debt by even one penny. Isn’t that the definition of “cooking the
books”?
When it became apparent that the debt was going to
exceed the limit, Jack Lew sent a “cover my behind” letter to Speaker John
Boehner explaining that he was going to take “extraordinary measures” to
prevent the Treasury from exceeding the legal limit on the Federal debt.
This massaging of the numbers has been going on for months now.
Jensen Comment
The GAO declared the Pentagon and the IRS are impossible to audit. Why should it
come as a surprise that the Treasury Department of the U.S. Government is
incapable of being audited? Why all this debate about whether QE is tantamount
to printing money. Our Treasury Secretary has a better idea. Borrow all you want
and just don't book it into the accounts. Why didn't I think of that?
Poor Ebix…the
Company and its flamboyant,
turnaround expert CEO have had a challenging ten
months. First, on
September 28, 2012, an Atlanta U.S. district court
ruled that an investor lawsuit alleging false statements by the Company in
its financial reports could proceed (see 2012 10-K, page 15). Next, came the
revelation in November 2012 that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) was investigating the Company for its accounting practices: revenue
recognition and financial reporting internal controls. This was followed by
news on June 14, 2013 that the U.S. Attorney in Atlanta is investigating the
Company for
intentional misconduct. And this last bit of news
not only
scuttled an offer by Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. to
buy the Company for $780 million, but also wiped out almost $300 million in
market capitalization. At least for the time being, Robin Raina’s dream of
owning 29 percent in the “new” company, and silencing the short-sellers who
have been hounding the Company for the past two years, is dead. But is bad
accounting really to blame for Ebix’s recent misfortunes? Or could it be
something else?
What you ask? Well, a recent column by Jean
Eaglesham titled “Accounting
Fraud Targeted” might just offer a clue. This
article mentions the SEC’s use of new software to analyze the 10-K’s
management discussion and analysis (MD&A) section looking for signs of
possible earnings manipulation and other financial reporting fraud
behaviors. So, could “bad writing” have tripped up the Company? After all,
on the surface, the Company’s numbers seem just fine: increasing revenue,
operating income, earnings per share, and assets. As you might expect, this
grumpy old accountant just had to conduct his own “textual analysis.”
Without any
fancy fraud detection software at my disposal, I decided to arm myself with
the latest
MBA jargon
as an “enabler,” so that I
might “drill down” into Ebix’s MD&A. I was not
disappointed at all. On page two of the Company’s 2012 10-K alone, I was
rewarded with such confusing and incomprehensible phrases as “powerhouse of
backend insurance transactions; complimentary accretive acquisitions;
carrying data from one end to another seamlessly; best of breed
functionality; integrates seamlessly; best of breed solution; resources and
infrastructure are leveraged; and acquisitive growth vs. organic revenue
growth becomes rather obscure.”
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on June 21, 2013
Insurance-accounting overhaul moves toward final phase The IASB just issued its latest draft of proposed new rules for
accounting for insurance contracts,
Emily Chasan
reports. The proposal
this week revises a 2010 exposure draft to reduce the impact of artificial,
noneconomic volatility in insurance accounting and would change the way
companies present insurance-contract revenue in their financial statements.
New rules on insurance accounting are expected to make fundamental changes
to the way companies account for insurance contracts, and add more
principle-based rules to one of the most industry-specific areas of
accounting. Read
the exposure draft here (PDF).
"Insurers Inflating Books, New York Regulator Says," by Mary Williams
Walsh, The New York Times, June 11, 2013 ---
New York State regulators are calling for a
nationwide moratorium on transactions that life insurers are using to alter
their books by billions of dollars, saying that the deals put policyholders
at risk and could lead to another taxpayer bailout.
Insurers’ use of the secretive transactions has
become widespread, nearly doubling over the last five years. The deals now
affect life insurance policies worth trillions of dollars, according to an
analysis done for The New York Times by SNL Financial, a research and data
firm.
These complex private deals allow the companies to
describe themselves as richer and stronger than they otherwise could in
their communications with regulators, stockholders, the ratings agencies and
customers, who often rely on ratings to buy insurance.
Benjamin M. Lawsky, New York’s superintendent of
financial services, said that life insurers based in New York had alone
burnished their books by $48 billion, using what he called “shadow
insurance,” according to an investigation conducted by his department. He
issued a report about the investigation late Tuesday.
The transactions are so opaque that Mr. Lawsky said
it took his team of investigators nearly a year to follow the paper trail,
even though they had the power to subpoena documents.
Insurance is regulated by the states, and Mr.
Lawsky said his investigators found that life insurers in New York were
seeking out states with looser regulations and setting up shell companies
there for the deals. They then used those states’ tight secrecy laws to
avoid scrutiny by the New York State regulators.
Insurance regulation is based squarely on the
concept of solvency — the idea that future claims can be predicted fairly
accurately and that each insurer should track them and keep enough reserves
on hand to pay all of them. The states have detailed rules for what types of
assets reserves can be invested in. Companies are also expected to keep a
little more than they really expect to need — called their surplus — as a
buffer against unexpected events. State regulators monitor the reserves and
surpluses of companies and make sure none fall short.
Mr. Lawsky said that because the transactions made
companies look richer than they otherwise would, some were diverting
reserves to other uses, like executive compensation or stockholder
dividends.
The most frequent use, he said, was to artificially
increase companies’ risk-based capital ratios, an important measurement of
solvency that was instituted after a series of life-insurance failures and
near misses in the 1980s.
Mr. Lawsky said he was struck by similarities
between what the life insurers were doing now and the issuing of structured
mortgage securities in the run-up to the financial crisis of 2008.
“Those practices were used to water down capital
buffers, as well as temporarily boost quarterly profits and stock prices,”
Mr. Lawsky said. “And ultimately, those practices left those very same
companies on the hook for hundreds of billions of dollars in losses from
risks hidden in the shadows, and led to a multitrillion-dollar taxpayer
bailout.”
The transactions at issue are modeled after
reinsurance, a business in which an insurance company pays another company,
a reinsurer, to take over some of its obligations to pay claims. Reinsurance
is widely used and is considered beneficial because it allows insurers to
spread their risks and remain stable as they grow. Conventional reinsurance
deals are negotiated at arm’s length by independent companies; both sides
understand the risk and can agree on a fair price for covering it. The
obligations drop off the original insurer’s books because the reinsurer has
picked them up.
Mr. Lawsky’s investigators found, though, that life
insurance groups, including some of the best known, were creating their own
shell companies in other states or countries — outside the regulators’ view
— and saying that these so-called captives were selling them reinsurance.
The value of policies reinsured through all affiliates, including captives,
rose to $5.46 trillion in 2012, from $2.82 trillion in 2007.
I personally was more concerned about how banks changed income smoothing
practices.
"The Impact of SFAS 133 on Income Smoothing by Banks through Loan Loss
Provisions," by Emre Kilic Gerald J. Lobo, Tharindra Ranasinghe, and K.
Sivaramakrishnan Rice University, The Accounting Review, Vol. 88, No. 1,
2013, pp. 233-260 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.2308/accr-50264
We examine the impact of SFAS 133, Accounting for
Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities , on the reporting behavior of
commercial banks and the informativeness of their financial statements. We
argue that, because mandatory recognition of hedge ineffectiveness under
SFAS 133 reduced banks’ ability to smooth income through derivatives, banks
that are more affected by SFAS 133 rely more on loan loss provisions to
smooth income. We find evidence consistent with this argument. We also find
that the increased reliance on loan loss provisions for smoothing income has
impaired the informativeness of loan loss provisions for future loan
defaults and bank stock returns.
It has been a busy few weeks for the Securities and
Exchange Commission. In May, the SEC charged two cities—Harrisburg, Pa., and
South Miami, Fla.—with securities fraud for allegedly deceiving investors in
their municipal bonds.
This follows similar fraud charges against states,
New Jersey in 2010 and Illinois in March, after SEC investigators uncovered
what they called "material omissions" and "false statements" in bond
documents related to those state's pension funds.
With Harrisburg, however, the SEC has gone further
and charged the city government with "securities fraud for its misleading
public statements when its financial condition was deteriorating and
financial information available to municipal bond investors was either
incomplete or outdated." The SEC says this is the first time the regulator
has "charged a municipality for misleading statements made outside of its
securities disclosure documents."
The Harrisburg charges are part of a broader SEC
effort to scrutinize state and local government issuers in the nation's $3
trillion municipal-bond market. "Anyone who follows municipal finance knows
that budgets can sometimes be a work of fiction," says Anthony Figliola, a
vice president at Empire Government Strategies, a Long Island-based
consulting firm to local governments. "Harrisburg is the tip of the
iceberg."
And a mighty iceberg it is. The 2012 State of the
States report, released in November by Harvard's Institute of Politics, the
University of Pennsylvania's Fels Institute of Government and the American
Education Foundation, found state and local governments are carrying more
than $7 trillion in debt, an amount equal to nearly half the federal debt.
Often, the report said, "States do not account to citizens in ways that are
transparent, timely or accessible."
Consider the practices of Stockton, Calif., which
last June became the nation's biggest city to file for bankruptcy. In 2011,
Stockton's new financial managers issued a blistering critique of past
accounting practices and acknowledged that the city's previous financials
had hidden significant costs, including the real cost of employee
compensation and retirement obligations. Bob Deis, the new city manager,
declared that Stockton's financials bore "eerie similarities to a Ponzi
scheme."
If so, the city's bondholders have been taken for a
ride. In bankruptcy court earlier this year, a judge ruled that Stockton
could suspend payments on its bonds even while continuing to fund its
employee retirement system.
Similarly, when another California city, San
Bernardino, went bust last year, some city officials alleged that it had
been filing inaccurate financial records for nearly 16 years. At best,
officials said, the city's bookkeeping had been "unprofessional." The SEC
began an investigation last fall. Meanwhile, the city has defaulted on bond
payments, leaving investors in the lurch.
One area that has come under special scrutiny is
pension-fund accounting, because states have latitude in choosing how to
value their retirement debts. The SEC noted that Illinois used accounting
that funds a larger percentage of an employee's pension costs near the end
of his career, a method that increases the risks that the system could go
bust. The SEC said Illinois didn't properly reveal the risks posed by this
sophisticated accounting wrinkle.
The SEC accused New Jersey of failing to disclose
to investors that it wasn't sticking to a plan to adequately fund its
pension system. In this, the Garden State isn't alone. Many states underfund
their pension systems, even by their own accounting standards.
A June 2012 study by the Pew Center on the States
found that 29 states didn't make their annual required contribution for
pensions in 2010, the last year for which data were available. It isn't
clear how many of the more than 3,000 local government pension systems
follow the same practice, although a survey this January by Pew of 61 large
cities found nearly half didn't make their full contributions.
In the South Miami case the SEC zeroed in on a
complex bond deal that changed over time in a way that threatened the
tax-free status of the securities. The SEC essentially warned South Miami
that municipalities that employ such schemes need to fully understand the
consequences for investors. In this particular case, South Miami paid
$260,000 to the Internal Revenue Service to preserve the tax-free status of
the bonds for investors.
Municipal investors have often ignored such
questionable practices thanks to a generation of low default rates. Many
also assume that even when a local government gets into financial trouble,
bondholders are always first in line to be paid.
But officials in some troubled cities are pushing
back against the notion that investors should get the best deal among
creditors. Harrisburg City Council members have balked at a state-proposed
bailout plan because they claim it places much of the burden on taxpayers
without penalizing investors. Last year, City Councilman Brad Koplinski
called the plan's 1% increase in the state-imposed income tax on Harrisburg
residents "a bad decision for the people of Harrisburg, people who did
nothing to get our city into our fiscal crisis.''
Investors will hear more of this talk as
municipalities face growing budget pressures. Recently, former New York Lt.
Gov. Richard Ravitch warned the municipal bond industry that the promises
governments have made to repay investors may not take precedent over other
obligations. States and cities face "a unique challenge," he said, "in
trying to maintain services and meet their retirement commitments to
workers," emphasizing that this was "not necessarily a good message" for
investors.
Jensen Comment
This time I think Tom is on to something. It would be great if E&Y would reply
to his blog post, but I doubt that this is going to happen. The usual reply is
that external auditors are not paid to detect fraud unless the fraud is material
to the audited financial statement outcomes. It would seem that the survey
results in this instance would mostly affect financial statements in great gobs.
One of the major concerns of the IASB is that some nations at some points in
time will simply not enforce the IASB standards that these nations adopted. The
biggest problem that the IASB is now having with European Banks is that the IASB
feels many of many (actually most) EU banks are not conforming to standards for
marking financial instruments to market (fair value). But the IASB thus far has
been helpless in appealing to IFRS enforcement in this regard.
Only a few years ago,
Spain’s
banks were seen in some policy-making circles as a
model for the rest of the world. This may be hard to fathom now, considering
that Spain is seeking $125 billion to bail out its ailing lenders.
But back in 2008 and early 2009, Spanish regulators
were
riding high after their country’s banks seemed to
have dodged the financial crisis with minimal losses. A big reason for their
success, the regulators said, was an accounting technique called dynamic
provisioning.
By this, they meant that Spain’s banks had set
aside rainy- day loan-loss reserves on their books during boom years. The
purpose, they said, was to build up a buffer in good times for use in bad
times.
This isn’t the way accounting standards usually
work. Normally the rules say companies can record losses, or provisions,
only when bad loans are specifically identified. Spanish regulators said
they were trying to be countercyclical, so that any declines in lending and
the broader economy would be less severe.
What’s now obvious is that Spain’s banks weren’t
reporting all of their losses when they should have, dynamically or
otherwise. One of the catalysts for last weekend’s bailout request was the
decision last month by the
Bankia (BKIA) group, Spain’s third-largest lender,
to restate its 2011 results to show a 3.3 billion-euro ($4.2 billion) loss
rather than a 40.9 million-euro profit. Looking back, we probably
should have known Spain’s banks would end up this
way, and that their reported financial results bore no relation to reality.
Name Calling
Dynamic provisioning is a euphemism for an old
balance- sheet trick called
cookie-jar accounting. The point of the technique
is to understate past profits and shift them into later periods, so that
companies can mask volatility and bury future losses. Spain’s banks began
using the method in 2000 because their regulator, the
Bank of Spain,
required them to.
“Dynamic loan loss provisions can help deal with
procyclicality in banking,” Bank of Spain’s director of financial stability,
Jesus Saurina, wrote in a July 2009
paper published by the
World
Bank. “Their anticyclical nature enhances the
resilience of both individual banks and the banking system as a whole. While
there is no guarantee that they will be enough to cope with all the credit
losses of a downturn, dynamic provisions have proved useful in Spain during
the current financial crisis.”
The danger with the technique is it can make
companies look healthy when they are actually quite ill, sometimes for
years, until they finally deplete their
excess reserves and crash. The practice also
clashed with International Financial Reporting Standards, which Spain
adopted several years ago along with the rest of
Europe. European Union officials knew this and
let Spain proceed with its own brand of accounting anyway.
One of the more candid advocates of Spain’s
approach was Charlie McCreevy, the EU’s commissioner for financial services
from 2004 to 2010, who previously had been Ireland’s finance minister.
During an April 2009 meeting of the
monitoring board that oversees the
International Accounting Standards Board’s
trustees, McCreevy said he knew Spain’s banks were violating the board’s
rules. This was fine with him, he said.
“They didn’t implement IFRS, and our regulations
said from the 1st January 2005 all publicly listed companies had to
implement IFRS,” McCreevy said, according to a
transcript of the meeting on the monitoring
board’s website. “The Spanish regulator did not do that, and he survived
this. His banks have survived this crisis better than anybody else to date.”
Ignoring Rules
McCreevy, who at the time was the chief enforcer of
EU laws affecting banking and markets, went on: “The rules did not allow the
dynamic provisioning that the Spanish banks did, and the Spanish banking
regulator insisted that they still have the dynamic provisioning. And they
did so, but I strictly speaking should have taken action against them.”
Why didn’t he take action? McCreevy said he was a
fan of dynamic provisioning. “Why am I like that? Well, I’m old enough to
remember when I was a young student that in my country that I know best,
banks weren’t allowed to publish their results in detail,” he said. “Why?
Because we felt if everybody saw the reserves, etc., it would create maybe a
run on the banks.”
So to
sum up this way of thinking: The best system is
one that lets banks hide their financial condition from the public. Barring
that, it’s perfectly acceptable for banks to violate accounting standards,
if that’s what it takes to navigate a crisis. The proof is that Spain’s
banks survived the financial meltdown of 2008 better than most others.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Thus it is one thing to promote the advantages of international accounting
standards and quite another to own up to the major problems of international
accounting standards enforcement.
As to the cookie jar question, I think it reduces to an issue of
whether the bad quant reserves are used primarily to smooth income in
the same sense as cookie jar reserves are traditionally used to smooth
income. Or are the bad quant reserves more like bad debt reserves that
are used for better matching under the matching concept where timing of
cost write offs better matches revenues with expenses incurred to
generate those revenues.
To me, the Allowance for Bad Quants seems to me to be a bit more
like the Allowance for Bad Debts, but I’ve not really taken time to
study this question in detail.
A great example of cookie jar accounting, aside from the classic
examples allowed in Switzerland, is Tom Selling’s General Motors example
---
See below
An accounting construct known as permanently
reinvested earnings is helping U.S.-based multinational corporations keep
tens of billions of dollars in profits overseas, according to a new study.
Not only does it greatly reduce earnings
repatriation, but it appears to be used extensively to manipulate corporate
earnings and thereby mislead investors. A tax director of a Fortune 500
company has compared permanently reinvested earnings to crack cocaine,
explaining that "once you start using it, it's hard to stop."
The accounting tool, known as PRE for short, goes
one better than IRS rules that each year permit companies to defer paying
U.S. taxes on tens of billions of dollars' worth of earnings by their
foreign subsidiaries. PRE gives the multinationals the additional option of
omitting from their financial statements entirely, except in footnotes, an
admission that any taxes at all are owed to Washington on those profits,
which they are able to do by declaring their intention to indefinitely
reinvest them abroad. PRE have accumulated over time, and by the end of last
year they amounted to more than $1.5 trillion, about 42 percent above their
level of two years earlier.
While accounting scholars have for some time agreed
that the PRE option lowers the repatriation of foreign earnings, it has
remained unclear by how much. New research offers an answer.
A study in the current issue of the journal The
Accounting Review, published by American Accounting Association,
concludes that the PRE option reduces multinational firms' repatriation of
foreign affiliates' earnings (through dividends paid to U.S. parent firms)
by approximately 20 percent a year. While acknowledging that high U.S
corporate tax rates and the ability to defer payment play a major role in
keeping earnings abroad, it finds that "repatriation is more sensitive to
the repatriation tax rate in the presence of reporting incentives," so much
so that "firms with high reporting incentives repatriate, on average, 16.6
to 21.4 percent less per year than firms with low reporting incentives."
"Our study suggests that companies would repatriate
about 20 percent more than they currently do if they didn't have this
accounting tool that enables them to put a gloss on their financial
statements," said Leslie A. Robinson, an accounting professor at Dartmouth
College, who conducted the study with professors Linda Krull of the
University of Oregon and Jennifer Blouin of the University of Pennsylvania.
Even though U.S. tax law permits multinationals to
defer payment of U.S. taxes due on earnings abroad, Robinson explained, mere
deferral does not exempt these firms from recording a tax liability on their
financial statements. In contrast, declaring profits to be PRE provides this
exemption, which has the effect of enhancing firms' bottom lines.
The accounting standard responsible for PRE, known
as APB 23, came under attack last month during a one-day Senate hearing,
chaired by Carl Levin, D-Mich., which probed offshore corporate
profit-shifting (see
Senate Probes Offshore Profit Shifting by Microsoft
and HP). Indeed, one expert witness called
for abolishing APB 23 entirely, describing it as "provid[ing] enormous
potential to call up earnings as needed —or postpone them —in a large
multinational operation."
Foreign affiliates' permanently invested earnings,
he added, can be “sliced as finely as needed to meet earnings estimates with
pinpoint precision.”
Levin commented: "On the one hand these companies
assert that they intend to indefinitely or permanently invest that money
offshore. Yet, they promise on the other hand to bring it home as soon as it
is granted a tax holiday. That's not any definition of' 'permanent'' that I
understand. While this may seem like an obscure matter, it is a major issue
for U.S. multinational corporations."
While the authors of the new Accounting Review
paper do not offer specific policy prescriptions, their findings make clear
the special appeal PRE have for U.S. parent companies that, in the study's
words, "face reporting incentives to consistently report strong earnings
numbers." The study’s authors find that public firms are likely to declare a
considerably greater proportion of their assets as PRE than private firms
do, since "capital-market pressures vary between public and private firms
due to differences in the constituents to which the two types of firms
report...Public-firm managers typically have a strong focus on reported
earnings because of its effect on both firm value and managerial
compensation. In contrast, private firms have high levels of insider
ownership and encounter...less incentive to focus on reported earnings."
Among public multinationals, the study suggests,
PRE are especially favored by firms highly sensitive to the capital markets,
including those whose stock prices have above-average responsiveness to
company earnings, those with a consistent record of matching or narrowly
beating earnings forecasts, and those with relatively few dedicated
investors—that is, institutional investors whose focus is on companies'
long-term performance.
In addition, the more PRE that firms accumulate
over time, the lower their repatriation of current foreign earnings. The
study explains that, if companies designate high levels of undistributed
foreign earnings as PRE, they may find themselves in a bind in repatriating
current earnings, since their financial statements will have to recognize
both higher tax expenses and lower earnings than were recorded for previous
periods.
The study's findings derive from a sample of 577
U.S.-based multinational corporations, including 479 public companies with
23,669 foreign affiliates and 98 private firms with 1,790 foreign
affiliates. The professors combine data from the U.S. Bureau of Economic
Analysis with information from other sources to construct measures of
tax-reporting incentives over a six-year period. To isolate the effect on
repatriation of tax-reporting incentives, as distinguished from incentives
to avoid actual tax payments, the professors "identify and measure firm
attributes across which reporting incentives vary while holding the cash
payment for repatriation taxes constant." The reporting incentives include
whether a company is public or private, how sensitive it is to capital
markets, and how much PRE it has accumulated.
Huron Consulting Group Inc., a Chicago-based
consulting company founded by a group of former Arthur Andersen LLP partners
after the accounting firm's 2002 demise, has agreed to pay $1 million to
settle Securities and Exchange Commission allegations that it cooked its
books.
The deal caps a remarkable act of corporate
self-immolation. One of Huron's main businesses had been providing
forensic-accounting advice to other companies, including those under SEC
investigation for accounting fraud. Then in 2009 Huron restated more than
three years of its financial reports to correct accounting violations, which
reduced its earnings by $56 million. The company sold part of its
disputes-and-investigations practice in 2010 and shuttered the rest.
The SEC, which disclosed the accord in a press
release late Thursday, also reached settlement deals with Huron's former
chief financial officer, Gary Burge, and its former chief accounting
officer, Wayne Lipski. They agreed to pay almost $300,000 to resolve the
SEC's claims against them.
Per the usual formalities, the defendants neither
admitted nor denied anything. Unlike the conviction against Arthur Andersen
for obstructing the government's investigation of Enron Corp., the SEC's
order against Huron in this case won't be overturned.
PS
This is an illustration of an Audit Committee doing an excellent job. Huron's
Audit Committee sniffed out the book cooking.
Creative Accounting Inflation of Reported Cash from Operations
I have long argued that if cash flow statements were not accompanied by
accrual accounting financial statements, managers would manipulate the timings
of cash flows in cash collections and terms of contracts. Here's some empirical
evidence that this happens in spite of being accompanied by accrual accounting
financial statements.
"Incentives to Inflate Reported Cash from Operations Using Classification
and Timing," by Lian Fen Lee, The Accounting Review, January
2012, pp. 1-34
ABSTRACT:
This study examines when firms inflate reported
cash from operations in the statement of cash flows (CFO) and the mechanisms
through which firms manage CFO. CFO management is distinct from earnings
management. Unlike the manipulation of accruals, firms cannot manage CFO
with biased estimates, but must resort to classification and timing. I
identify four firm characteristics associated with incentives to inflate
reported CFO: (1) financial distress, (2) a long-term credit rating near the
investment/non-investment grade cutoff, (3) the existence of analyst cash
flow forecasts, and (4) higher associations between stock returns and CFO.
Results indicate that, even after controlling for the level of earnings,
firms upward manage reported CFO when the incentives to do so are
particularly high. Specifically, firms manage CFO by shifting items between
th estatement of cash flows categories both within and outside the
boundaries of generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), and by timing
certain transactions such as delaying payments to suppliers or accelerating
collections from customers.
Data Availability: Data are available from public sources identified in
the study.
Keywords: classification shifting, real activities manipulation, cash
flow reporting
Abstract:
We provide
a large-scale investigation of financial reporting quality (FRQ) among U.S.
private firms. Private firms are vital to the economy but have received
limited attention from researchers due to a lack of available data. Using a
new database that contains accounting data for a large sample of U.S.
private firms, we provide interesting new evidence on their FRQ. Relative to
publicly traded companies, we find that private firms have lower FRQ as
proxied for by several commonly used FRQ measures and are less conservative.
Further, we provide the first exploration of cross-sectional variations in
the FRQ of private firms. Specifically, we show that private firms with
greater external financing needs and a greater presence of long-term debt
have higher FRQ and greater conservatism. Private firms with greater
owner-manager separation (i.e., C corporations) tend to exhibit lower FRQ
but more conservatism.
Number of Pages in PDF File: 45
Keywords: Private firms, financial reporting quality, public versus
private, within private examination, demand, opportunism
The SEC is getting soft in its old age. We suggest
that it get grumpy instead.
"JCOM: WHEN WILL THE SEC CALL AN ERROR AN ERROR?," by Anthony H. Catanach Jr.
and J. Edward Ketz, Grumpy Old Accountants Blog, March 8, 2012 ---
http://blogs.smeal.psu.edu/grumpyoldaccountants/archives/557
The business enterprise j2 Global Communications (JCOM)
in
its first quarter 2011 filing made an accounting
change and called it a change in estimate. As several observers have noted,
what the Company called a change in estimate is really an
accounting error. What we would like to know is when will the SEC
take JCOM’s managers to the woodshed and call an error an error.
Gradient
Analytics may have been the first to report this
anomaly. In its November 21, 2011 report, it gave JCOM an earnings quality
grade of “F” (boy, were they grumpy or what?). In part, this failing grade
was due to the Company’s mislabeling an error as a change in estimate.
Basically, JCOM through transparency right out the window.
Sam Antar pointed out this discrepancy in his
blog “White Collar Fraud.” Tracy Coenen likewise
raised questions about this sleight of hand in her post
“[JCOM] …Trying to Hide Accounting Errors.” Both
of them referred to the research by Gradient Analytics, and both of them
agreed that this change was an accounting error.
Here are the details. In footnote 1 of the 10-Q
(Q1 2011), JCOM writes:
In the first quarter of 2011, the Company made
a change in estimate regarding the remaining service obligations to its
annual eFax® subscribers. As a result of system upgrades, the Company
is now basing the estimate on the actual remaining service obligations
to these customers. As a result of this change, the Company recorded a
one-time, non-cash increase to deferred revenues of $10.3 million with
an equal offset to revenues. This change in estimate reduced net income
by approximately $7.6 million, net of tax, and reduced basic and diluted
earnings per share for the three months ended March 31, 2011 by $0.17
and $0.16, respectively.
This description is baffling. Estimates are for
unobservables, generally items that are future-oriented. For example,
depreciation requires an estimate of the remaining life of the asset and an
estimate of its salvage value at some unknown future date. As time goes by,
managers may be in a better position to assess these unknowns, and any
revisions will be changes in estimates. Similar statements can be made
about depletion, amortization, bad debts, sales returns, and a variety of
items. In every case, the estimates are for future items, be they the
asset’s life, the amount of future cash collections from customers, the
amount of future returns, etc.
It seems natural to base revenue estimates on the
“actual remaining service obligations to these customers,” after all, the
last time we checked, revenue has to be earned. So, what was JCOM basing it
on beforehand?
Of course, it is possible that the previous
accounting information system was inadequate for the job. In that case, the
auditor SingerLewak LLP should not have blessed the internal control system
in the 10-K. An accounting information system that cannot produce accurate
data for such a basic process does not deserve an unqualified opinion. Such
a system is pathetic.
The SEC sent a letter to JCOM on December 19, 2011.
The SEC asked managers to explain why the actual remaining service
obligations were not previously known. The firm responded on January 3, 2012
(intertwined with our thoughts):
Continued in article
A Teaching Case Featuring an Article by NYU Accounting Professor Baruch
Lev
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 2, 2012
SUMMARY: This is the first of three articles in the WSJ's Section
on Leadership in Corporate Finance published on Monday, February 27, 2012.
Baruch Lev, the Philip Bardes Professor of Accounting and Finance at NYU's
Stern School of Business offers arguments in favor of publicly traded
companies' managements issuing earnings guidance. He has recently published
a book entitled "Winning Investors Over."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful for any financial
reporting class to introduce the notions of management earnings guidance,
analyst earnings forecasts, and the arguments for and against this
information dissemination process. It is as well useful to highlight the
usefulness of academic research in finance and accounting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is management guidance? To whom is it
directed?
2. (Introductory) What is the trend regarding the number of
publicly traded U.S. firms providing management guidance?
3. (Advanced) What is the difference between annual guidance and
quarterly guidance? What are the trends in regarding the numbers of
companies providing each of these?
4. (Introductory) What are the arguments often presented against
companies providing annual earnings guidance?
5. (Introductory) What are the author's counterarguments to those
points?
6. (Introductory) What does Dr. Lev say about management's need for
the information that is used to develop and present management earnings
guidance?
7. (Advanced) Who is Dr. Baruch Lev?
8. (Introductory) What is the source for Dr. Lev's information in
writing this article for The Wall Street Journal?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Alot of prominent people don't like the idea of
giving the market an early heads-up.
Critics, who include Warren Buffett, Al Gore and
groups like the Chamber of Commerce, have blasted the practice of issuing
"guidance"—advance notices about earnings and other matters. They argue that
it wastes managers' time and encourages short-term thinking, and may even
drive companies to seek capital overseas instead of in the U.S.
But a host of research—mine and others'—shows that
those arguments don't hold up. Guidance benefits investors, companies and
managers in a number of ways, such as cutting down shareholder lawsuits and
giving the market better data to work with. Indeed, research recently
published in the Journal of Accounting and Economics documents a significant
stock-price drop for companies that announced they were stopping guidance.
Far from a waste of time, guidance is a crucial part of an executive's job.
That said, companies should do it smartly. For one
thing, they should issue guidance only when they can predict performance
better than analysts—and they should make it part of a broader practice of
disclosure that gives investors insight into the company's plans and
progress. A Vital Component
Let's start with the most basic argument against
guidance: It takes too much time. Critics say executives must set up
elaborate and costly forecasting processes, and then answer endless rounds
of questions about the numbers they issue. And that prevents them from
undertaking other productive activities.
ut guidance requires a negligible investment of
time. A CEO who doesn't readily have short- and medium-term performance
forecasts shouldn't guide, and shouldn't manage. Guidance also increases the
circle of analysts following the firm, since guidance data makes it much
easier to do their job. And having lots of analysts on board comes in handy
in stock issues and proxy contests.
More broadly, managers gain credibility when they
have a track record of issuing accurate guidance. There's also evidence that
guidance helps keep management honest. A study from University of Georgia
researchers finds that companies that issue guidance are less likely to put
out dishonest earnings reports than companies that don't guide.
Critics also say that guidance encourages a futile
short-term earnings game. Companies, the argument goes, slash R&D or other
long-term initiatives to meet earnings estimates—sacrificing future growth.
But the argument misses a crucial point: Most
guidance isn't short-term. It forecasts several quarters ahead, giving
companies a chance to fill in details that wouldn't show up in regular
financial reports.
For instance, reported earnings don't reflect the
progress of the product-development process of innovative companies, such as
in biotech. They also ignore recent business initiatives and new contracts
signed or canceled, as well as the impact of economic developments—like the
European recession—on future performance.
In fact, I further argue that critics are wrong
even when companies are providing short-term guidance. For one thing, the
game of trying to beat expectations plays out with or without guidance.
Doesn't Google, the famous nonguider, aim to beat the consensus? Reducing
Uncertainty
More broadly, getting more information out helps
everyone involved—shareholders, analysts and companies. By sharing
information with the market, companies reduce investor uncertainty and
prevent stock prices from swinging wildly upon unexpected bad news. My
research shows that managers' quarterly earnings guidance is more accurate
than the current analysts' consensus forecast in 70% of cases. Analysts know
this and are quick to revise their forecasts upon the release of guidance.
But warning investors about potential
disappointments doesn't just help protect them from losses—it helps protects
companies, too. Guidance released prior to weak earnings is considered a
mitigating factor in shareholder lawsuits, and was shown in a study
published in 1997 to reduce settlement figures. (Most shareholder lawsuits
are settled.)
There's one more argument the critics often make
against guidance: It puts so much pressure on companies that they abandon
the U.S. equities market and seek out private equity or foreign listings.
But I haven't found a single example of a company taken private or listed
abroad whose managers claimed that the "pressure to guide" was a major
reason. Besides, isn't it easier just to abstain from guidance? Two-thirds
of public companies do just that.
All that said, there are right and wrong ways to do
guidance. Here's a look at some basic principles companies should follow.
• Guide when you are a better prognosticator than
analysts. For the past three to five years, compare your internal quarterly
earnings forecasts with analysts' public forecasts, relative to the
subsequently released earnings. If you beat analysts, chalk one up for
guidance. If not, how come outsiders know more about your company's future
than you do?
• If most of your industry peers release guidance
regularly, you don't want to stand out as a refusenik. Investors will
suspect that you have something to hide or that you aren't on top of things.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Baruch has done a considerable amount of previous accountics research on how to
measure and report intangibles and contingency items. I'm sorry to say that over
the years I've been mostly critical of that research ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#TheoryDisputes
I looked at the article in detail, the term
“loophole” isn’t quite accurate. The issue is fair value accounting and
marking derivatives to market, which I wouldn’t call a loophole. It seems
the author considers fair value accounting a loophole because banks record
profits in their income statements before there is a hard transaction, which
is just fair value accounting. He also complained that mark to market
accounting allows banks to record assets at market value even if they can’t
be sold for that value. I found that a bit confusing because a market value
is, by definition, what the market is currently paying for assets. I could
imagine a situation where a bank held enough securities that, if sold all at
once, might depress the prices. But other than that, the market is supposed
to be the arbiter of asset values in free markets. My summary conclusion is
that the title of the article and issue raised is intentionally inflammatory
to gain readership and really, the underlying issue is old news.
December 15, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Jim and Pat,
I think you're both correct in theory, but the problem in Europe is that
companies, especially banks, are not being symmetric in the implementation
of the fair value rules --- fair values are moved fully upward but not
necessarily fully downward. The
IASB has
objected to a degree (Tweedie
sent a ranting protest letter), but eventually the
IASB caved in
to pressures from the EU to allow over-estimations of tanking bond values
and also delayed
IFRS 9 implementation until 2015. We might allege, therefore, that
the IASB is
being somewhat complicit with corporate overstatements of earnings under
fair value accounting in an effort to keep the EU in the fold regarding the
IASB
standards and interpretations.
In the U.S., FAS
157 is somewhat loose about fair value estimation. For a variety of reasons
that sound good on paper companies can depart from mark-to-market
adjustments and use fair value (Level 3) models that are not clearly
defined. The devil is in the details, and I think companies and their
auditors can abuse the subjectivity in the rules. Of course Lehman Brothers
derivatives value estimates showed us that this could never happen (wink,
wink)!
The buzz on the Lehman bankruptcy examiner’s
report has focused on
Repo 105, for
good reason. That scheme is one powerful example of how the balance sheets
of major Wall Street banks are fiction. It also shows why Congress must
include real accounting reform in its financial legislation, or risk another
collapse. (If you have 8 minutes to kill, here is my
recent talk on the off-balance sheet problem,
from the Roosevelt Institute financial conference.)
But an even
more troubling section of the Lehman report is not Volume 3 on
Repo 105. It
is Volume 2, on Valuation. The
Valuation section is 500 pages of utterly terrifying reading. It shows that,
even eighteen months after Lehman’s collapse, no one – not the bankruptcy
examiner, not Lehman’s internal valuation experts, not Ernst and Young, and
certainly not the regulators – could figure out what many of Lehman’s assets
and liabilities were worth. It shows Lehman was too complex to do
anything but fail.
The report cites extensive evidence of valuation
problems. Check out page 577, where the report concludes that Lehman’s high
credit default swap valuations were reasonable because Citigroup’s marks
were ONLY 8% lower than Lehman’s. 8%? And since when are Citigroup’s
valuations the objective benchmark?
Or page 547, where the report describes how
Lehman’s so-called “Product Control Group” acted like Keystone
Kops: the
group used third-party prices for only 10% of Lehman’s
CDO
positions, and deferred to the traders’ models, saying “We’re not
quants.” Here
are two money quotes:
While the function of the Product Control Group was to serve as a check on the
desk marks set by Lehman’s traders, the CDO product controllers were hampered in
two respects. First, the Product Control Group did not appear to have sufficient
resources to price test Lehman’s CDO positions comprehensively. Second, while the
CDO product controllers were able to effectively verify the prices of many positions
using trade data and third‐party prices, they did not have the same level of quantitative
sophistication as many of the desk personnel who developed models to price CDOs. (page 547)
Or this one:
However, approximately a quarter of Lehman’s
CDO positions
were not affirmatively priced by the Product Control Group, but simply noted
as ‘OK’ because the desk had already written down the position
significantly. (page 548)
My favorite section describes the valuation of
Ceago,
Lehman’s largest CDO
position. My corporate finance students at the University of San Diego
School of Law understand that you should use higher discount rates for
riskier projects. But the Valuation section of the report found that with
respect to Ceago,
Lehman used LOWER discount rates for the riskier tranches than for the safer
ones:
The discount rates used by Lehman’s Product
Controllers were significantly understated. As stated, swap rates were used
for the discount rate on the
Ceago
subordinate tranches. However, the resulting rates (approximately 3% to 4%)
were significantly lower than the approximately 9% discount rate used to
value the more senior S tranche. It is inappropriate to use a discount rate
on a subordinate tranche that is lower than the rate used on a senior
tranche. (page 556)
It’s one thing to have product controllers who
aren’t “quants”; it’s quite another to have people in crucial risk
management roles who don’t understand present value.
When the examiner compared
Lehman’s marks on these lower tranches to more reliable valuation estimates,
it found that “the prices estimated for the C and D tranches of
Ceago
securities are approximately one‐thirtieth
of the price reported by Lehman. (pages 560-61) One thirtieth? These
valuations weren’t even close.
Ultimately, the examiner concluded that these
problems related to only a small portion of Lehman’s overall portfolio. But
that conclusion was due in part to the fact that the examiner did not have
the time or resources to examine many of Lehman’s positions in detail
(Lehman had 900,000 derivative positions in 2008, and the examiner did not
even try to value Lehman’s numerous corporate debt and equity holdings).
The bankruptcy examiner didn’t see enough to
bring lawsuits. But the valuation section of the report raises some
hot-button issues for private parties and prosecutors. As the report put it,
there are issues that “may warrant further review by parties in interest.”
For example, parties in interest might want to
look at the report’s section on
Archstone, a
publicly traded REIT Lehman acquired in October 2007. Much ink has been
spilled criticizing the valuation of
Archstone.
Here is the Report’s finding (at page 361):
… there is sufficient evidence to support a
finding that Lehman’s valuations for its
Archstone
equity positions were unreasonable beginning as of the end of the first
quarter of 2008, and continuing through the end of the third quarter of
2008.
And
Archstone is
just one of many examples.
The
Repo 105
section of the Lehman report shows that Lehman’s balance sheet was fiction.
That was bad. The Valuation section shows that Lehman’s approach to valuing
assets and liabilities was seriously flawed. That is worse. For a levered
trading firm, to not understand your economic position is to sign your own
death warrant.
In the paper, Executive Overconfidence
and the Slippery Slope to Financial Misreporting, forthcoming
in the Journal of Accounting and Economics as published by
Elsevier, our detailed analysis of a sample of 49 firms subject to SEC
Accounting and Auditing Enforcement Releases (AAERs) suggests two distinct
explanations for the misstatements. Just over one quarter of the cases
represent many of the well-publicized examples of corporate fraud including
Adelphia, Enron, Healthsouth, and Tyco. The nature of the misstatements,
their timing, and an analysis of the executives suggest that the activities
are consistent with a strong inference of intent on the part of the
respondent and consistent with the legal standards necessary to establish
fraud.
However, perhaps more surprising, we find that the
actions by the executives in the remaining three quarters of the cases are
not consistent with the pleading standards required to establish an intent
to defraud. Rather, our analysis of the 49 AAER firms suggests that
optimistic bias on the part of executives can explain these AAERs. We show
that the misstatement amount in the initial period of alleged misreporting
is relatively small, and possibly unintentional. Subsequent period earnings
realizations are poor, however, and the misstatements escalate. Using a
matched sample of non-AAER firms, we show that the misreporting firms did
not simply get a bad draw on earnings. Nor does it appear that weaker
monitoring relative to the matched sample explains why the misreporting
manager’s optimistic bias affects the financial statements.
We further examine whether the optimistic bias for
the misreporting firms is associated with the character trait of
overconfidence. The evidence from the analysis of the 49 AAER sample is
mixed on this question. However, we find evidence of a positive association
between proxies for overconfidence and the propensity for AAERs in two
larger samples that use alternative measures of overconfidence. The
association between overconfidence and AAERs is consistent with the slippery
slope explanation in which greater optimistic bias makes it more likely that
a manager is in the position that significant misreporting is an optimal
choice.
An interesting question raised by the analysis is
the importance of monitoring the optimistic bias of executives. Various
models predict that overconfidence has desirable effects on the executive’s
performance (Goel and Thakor, 2000; Gervais and Goldstein, 2007; Gervais et
al., 2010). Our analysis indicates overconfidence can be associated with
financial reporting concerns and prior work has documented an association
between overconfidence and distorted investment and financing decisions
(e.g., Malmendier and Tate, 2005 and 2008 among others). For firms who value
the positive aspects of overconfidence, a plausible response is to put
mechanisms in place to monitor the executive’s decision-making biases
associated with this trait. This response is feasible only if the Board
recognizes executive overconfidence. Our evidence indicating that the
misreporting firms and matched sample of non-AAER firms have different
compensation arrangements suggests that the Board is able to do so at some
level. However, our corresponding analysis of monitoring does not indicate
that the overconfident managers were better monitored, which explains why
they were more likely to end up misreporting. The potential for monitoring
to moderate the optimistic bias that characterizes executives remains an
interesting open question. Is it that our analysis does not adequately
capture the specific mechanisms that would control optimistic bias? Or, is
the cost of better monitoring higher than the expected benefits from
mitigating the risk of misreporting, which is a significant but unusual
event?
Jensen Comment
Once again this illustrates how the IASB and FASB are overly focused on assets
and liabilities without even being able to define net income on anything other
than a residual leftover basis. As a result, things like unrealized fair value
changes get blended in with realized operational earnings in eps and P/E ratio
calculations that are the major focal points of company management and
investors. This supports my previous appeal for multi-column financial
statements that vary according to degree of realization and attestation by CPA
auditors.
An example where regulation worked to detect and
correct a huge accounting fraud
The Largest Earnings Management Fraud in
History
and Congressional Efforts to Cover it Up
Without trying to place the blame on
Democrats or Republicans, here are some of the facts that led to the
eventual fining of Fannie Mae executives for accounting fraud and the
firing of KPMG as the auditor on one of the largest and most lucrative
audit clients in the history of KPMG. The restated earnings purportedly
took upwards of a million journal entries, many of which were
re-valuations of derivatives being manipulated by Fannie Mae accountants
and auditors (Deloitte was charged with overseeing the financial statement
revisions.
Fannie Mae may have conducted the largest
earnings management scheme in the history of accounting.
. . . flexibility
also gave Fannie the ability to manipulate earnings to hit -- within
pennies -- target numbers for executive bonuses. Ofheo details an
example from 1998, the year the Russian financial crisis sent
interest rates tumbling. Lower rates caused a lot of mortgage
holders to prepay their existing home mortgages. And Fannie was
suddenly facing an estimated expense of $400 million.
Well, in its
wisdom, Fannie decided to recognize only $200 million, deferring the
other half. That allowed Fannie's executives -- whose bonus plan is
linked to earnings-per-share -- to meet the target for maximum bonus
payouts. The target EPS for maximum payout was $3.23 and Fannie
reported exactly . . . $3.2309. This bull's-eye was worth $1.932
million to then-CEO James Johnson, $1.19 million to
then-CEO-designate Franklin Raines, and $779,625 to then-Vice
Chairman Jamie Gorelick.
That same year
Fannie installed software that allowed management to produce
multiple scenarios under different assumptions that, according to a
Fannie executive, "strengthens the earnings management that is
necessary when dealing with a volatile book of business." Over the
years, Fannie designed and added software that allowed it to assess
the impact of recognizing income or expense on securities and loans.
This practice fits with a Fannie corporate culture that the report
says considered volatility "artificial" and measures of precision
"spurious."
This
disturbing culture was apparent in Fannie's manipulation of its
derivative accounting. Fannie runs a giant derivative book in an
attempt to hedge its massive exposure to interest-rate risk.
Derivatives must be marked-to-market, carried on the balance sheet
at fair value. The problem is that changes in fair-value can cause
some nasty volatility in earnings.
So, Fannie
decided to classify a huge amount of its derivatives as hedging
transactions, thereby avoiding any impact on earnings. (And we mean
huge: In December 2003, Fan's derivatives had a notional value of
$1.04 trillion of which only a notional $43 million was not
classified in hedging relationships.) This misapplication continued
when Fannie closed out positions. The company did not record the
fair-value changes in earnings, but only in Accumulated Other
Comprehensive Income (AOCI) where losses can be amortized over a
long period.
Fannie had
some $12.2 billion in deferred losses in the AOCI balance at
year-end 2003. If this amount must be reclassified into retained
earnings, it might punish Fannie's earnings for various periods over
the past three years, leaving its capital well below what is
required by regulators.
In all, the
Ofheo report notes, "The misapplications of GAAP are not limited
occurrences, but appear to be pervasive . . . [and] raise serious
doubts as to the validity of previously reported financial results,
as well as adequacy of regulatory capital, management supervision
and overall safety and soundness. . . ." In an agreement reached
with Ofheo last week, Fannie promised to change the methods involved
in both the cookie-jar and derivative accounting and to change its
compensation "to avoid any inappropriate incentives."
But we don't
think this goes nearly far enough for a company whose executives
have for years derided anyone who raised a doubt about either its
accounting or its growing risk profile. At a minimum these
executives are not the sort anyone would want running the U.S.
Treasury under John Kerry. With the Justice Department already
starting a criminal probe, we find it hard to comprehend that the
Fannie board still believes that investors can trust its management
team.
Fannie Mae
isn't an ordinary company and this isn't a run-of-the-mill
accounting scandal. The U.S. government had no financial stake in
the failure of Enron or WorldCom. But because of Fannie's implicit
subsidy from the federal government, taxpayers are on the hook if
its capital cushion is insufficient to absorb big losses. Private
profit, public risk. That's quite a confidence game -- and it's time
to call it.
**********************************
:"Sometimes
the Wrong 'Notion': Lender Fannie Mae Used A Too-Simple Standard For
Its Complex Portfolio," by Michael MacKenzie, The Wall Street
Journal, October 5, 2004, Page C3
Lender Fannie
Mae Used A Too-Simple Standard For Its Complex Portfolio
Much has been
made of the accounting improprieties alleged by Fannie's regulator,
the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight.
Some investors
may even be aware the matter centers on the mortgage giant's $1
trillion "notional" portfolio of derivatives -- notional being the
Wall Street way of saying that that is how much those options and
other derivatives are worth on paper.
But
understanding exactly what is supposed to be wrong with Fannie's
handling of these instruments takes some doing. Herewith, an effort
to touch on what's what -- a notion of the problems with that
notional amount, if you will.
Ofheo alleges
that, in order to keep its earnings steady, Fannie used the wrong
accounting standards for these derivatives, classifying them under
complex (to put it mildly) requirements laid out by the Financial
Accounting Standards Board's rule 133, or FAS 133.
For most
companies using derivatives, FAS 133 has clear advantages, helping
to smooth out reported income. However, accounting experts say FAS
133 works best for companies that follow relatively simple hedging
programs, whereas Fannie Mae's huge cash needs and giant portfolio
requires constant fine-tuning as market rates change.
A Fannie
spokesman last week declined to comment on the issue of hedge
accounting for derivatives, but Fannie Mae has maintained that it
uses derivatives to manage its balance sheet of debt and mortgage
assets and doesn't take outright speculative positions. It also uses
swaps -- derivatives that generally are agreements to exchange
fixed- and floating-rate payments -- to protect its mortgage assets
against large swings in rates.
Under FAS 133, if
a swap is being used to hedge risk against another item on the
balance sheet, special hedge accounting is applied to any gains and
losses that result from the use of the swap. Within the application
of this accounting there are two separate classifications:
fair-value hedges and cash-flow hedges.
Fannie's
fair-value hedges generally aim to get fixed-rate payments by
agreeing to pay a counterparty floating interest rates, the idea
being to offset the risk of homeowners refinancing their mortgages
for lower rates. Any gain or loss, along with that of the asset or
liability being hedged, is supposed to go straight into earnings as
income. In other words, if the swap loses money but is being applied
against a mortgage that has risen in value, the gain and loss cancel
each other out, which actually smoothes the company's income.
Cash-flow
hedges, on the other hand, generally involve Fannie entering an
agreement to pay fixed rates in order to get floating-rates. The
profit or loss on these hedges don't immediately flow to earnings.
Instead, they go into the balance sheet under a line called
accumulated other comprehensive income, or AOCI, and are allocated
into earnings over time, a process known as amortization.
Ofheo claims
that instead of terminating swaps and amortizing gains and losses
over the life of the original asset or liability that the swap was
used to hedge, Fannie Mae had been entering swap transactions that
offset each other and keeping both the swaps under the hedge
classifications. That was a no-go, the regulator says.
"The major
risk facing Fannie is that by tainting a certain portion of the
portfolio with redesignations and improper documentation, it may
well lose hedge accounting for the whole derivatives portfolio,"
said Gerald Lucas, a bond strategist at Banc of America Securities
in New York.
The bottom line is that both the FASB and the IASB must someday soon
take another look at how the real world hedges portfolios rather than
individual securities. The problem is complex, but the problem has come
to roost in Fannie Mae's $1 trillion in hedging contracts. How the SEC
acts may well override the FASB. How the SEC acts may be a vindication
or a damnation for Fannie Mae and Fannie's auditor KPMG who let Fannie
violate the rules of IAS 133.
"It’s hardly news that the near meltdown of
America’s financial system enriched a few at the expense of the rest of us.
Who’s responsible? The recent report of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission
blamed all the usual suspects — Wall Street banks, financial regulators, the
mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and subprime lenders — which is tantamount to blaming
no one. “Reckless Endangerment” concentrates on particular individuals who
played key roles.
The authors, Gretchen Morgenson, a Pulitzer
Prize-winning business reporter and columnist at The New York Times, and Joshua
Rosner, an expert on housing finance, deftly trace the beginnings of the
collapse to the mid-1990s, when the Clinton administration called for a
partnership between the private sector and Fannie and Freddie to encourage home
buying. The mortgage agencies’ government backing was, in effect, a valuable
subsidy, which was used by Fannie’s C.E.O., James A. Johnson, to increase home ownership while
enriching himself and other executives. A 1996 study by the Congressional Budget
Office found that Fannie pocketed about a third of the subsidy rather than
passing it on to homeowners. Over his nine years heading Fannie, Johnson
personally took home roughly $100 million. His successor, Franklin D. Raines,
was treated no less lavishly...."
PCAOB Snags KPMG Yet Another Time (this time for a client named Motorola
with dubious revenue recognition to meet an earnings target)
The oversight board said a significant portion of
the company’s earnings for the 2006 third quarter came from two licensing
agreements that were recorded during the last three days of the quarter. One was
the Qualcomm deal that wasn’t signed until the fourth quarter. The board also
cited other deficiencies in KPMG’s review of Motorola’s accounting for the
transactions.
"Dirty Secrets Fester in 50-Year Relationships," byJonathan Weil, Bloomberg
News, June 9, 2011 ---
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-09/dirty-secrets-fester-in-50-year-relationships-jonathan-weil.html
Another financial scandal. Another cover-up by
regulators. Four years ago, inspectors for the auditing industry's chief
watchdog discovered that KPMG LLP had let Motorola Inc. record revenue
during the third quarter of 2006 from a transaction with
Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM), even though the final
contract wasn’t signed until the early hours of the fourth quarter. That’s
no small technicality. Without the deal, Motorola would have missed its
third-quarter earnings target.
The regulator, the
Public Company Accounting Oversight Board, later
criticized KPMG for letting Motorola book the revenue when it did. Although
KPMG had discussed the transaction’s timing with both Motorola and Qualcomm,
the board said the firm “failed to obtain persuasive evidence of an
arrangement for revenue-recognition purposes in the third quarter.” In other
words, KPMG had no good reason to believe the deal shouldn’t have been
recorded in the fourth quarter.
The oversight board didn’t tell the public that
this happened at Motorola, though. The maker of wireless- communications
equipment, now known as Motorola Solutions Inc., didn’t restate its earnings
for the period in question. And there’s no sign the Securities and Exchange
Commission ever followed up with an investigation of Motorola’s accounting,
even though it oversees the board and had access to its findings.
All of this is business as usual for America’s
numbers cops. Since the board’s creation by the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act in 2002, its inspectors have
found audit failures by large accounting firms at hundreds of U.S.-listed
companies. Yet its policy is to keep the identities of those clients secret.
‘Issuer C’
Likewise, in August 2008 when the board released
its annual inspection
report on KPMG, it referred to Motorola as “Issuer
C” in the section on the auditor’s work for the company. For what it’s
worth, Motorola paid the firm $244.2 million from 2000 to 2010.
This is the third column I’ve written revealing the
name of a client whose accounting practices were a subject of a major
auditing firm’s inspection report. Motorola is the biggest yet. I hope a
whistleblower comes forward someday to leak many more. This is information
investors need to know.
The
Sarbanes-Oxley Act
authorizes the oversight board to disclose “such confidential and
proprietary information as the board may determine to be appropriate” in the
public portions of its inspection reports. So it’s the board’s call whether
to disclose clients’ names, although the SEC could overrule it. The board
never does, bowing to the wishes of the accounting firms.
Identity Revealed
Motorola’s identity was disclosed in public records
last month as part of a class-action shareholder lawsuit against the company
in a federal district court in
Chicago. The
plaintiffs in the case, led by the Macomb County Employees’ Retirement
System in
Michigan, filed a transcript of a September 2010
deposition of a KPMG auditor, David Pratt, who testified that Issuer C was
Motorola.
KPMG isn’t a defendant in the lawsuit.
Pratt also identified the Motorola customers cited
in the board’s inspection report. It’s his deposition that allows me to
describe the report’s findings using real names.
The oversight board said a significant portion of
the company’s earnings for the 2006 third quarter came from two licensing
agreements that were recorded during the last three days of the quarter. One
was the Qualcomm deal that wasn’t signed until the fourth quarter. The board
also cited other deficiencies in KPMG’s review of Motorola’s accounting for
the transactions.
Making the Numbers
Motorola booked $275 million of earnings during the
2006 third quarter as a result of the Qualcomm deal, according to estimates
by the plaintiffs in the shareholder suit. The plaintiffs allege that all of
it was recorded in violation of generally accepted accounting principles.
That’s 28 percent of the net income Motorola reported for the quarter.
A Motorola spokesman, Nicholas Sweers, said the
company’s accounting complied with GAAP, and that the financial statements
for the periods covered in the inspection report have never been the subject
of an SEC investigation. He declined to discuss details of Motorola’s
accounting, citing the litigation. A KPMG spokesman, George Ledwith,
declined to comment. So did an oversight board spokeswoman, Colleen Brennan,
and an SEC spokesman,
John Nester.
The story doesn’t end there. Last week the board’s
new chairman, James Doty, gave a
speech in which he said the board should consider
setting mandatory
term limits for
auditors at public companies. To prove his point, he cited two instances
that were “galling in their simplicity” where auditors “have failed to
exercise the required skepticism and have accepted evidence that is less
than persuasive.”
Making a Match
One of his examples matched the fact pattern of
KPMG’s 2006 review at Motorola exactly. “PCAOB inspectors found at one large
firm that an engagement team was aware that a significant contract was not
signed until the early hours of the fourth quarter,” Doty said.
“Nevertheless, the audit partner allowed the company to book the transaction
in the third quarter, which allowed the company to meet its earnings
target.”
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Recall that KPMG was fired from the big Fannie Mae audit because of alleged
cooperation in helping Fannie's top executives creatively meet earnings targets
for their personal bonuses ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory02.htm
When the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s sent
stock prices soaring, something else soared, too: CEOs’ perceptions of their
net wealth. That theory alone may explain a large part of the psychology and
behavior of why some corporate managers allowed their accounting books to
get cooked.
On March 10, 2000, the dot-com bubble burst
abruptly and as a result many firms had to issue accounting restatements
well into the next decade. Let’s face it, a lot of people lost a lot of
money, and not just the CEOs who watched large portions of their own stock
holdings in their own companies vaporize. Let’s also not forget the chasm of
broken trust that opened between the business community and the public.
So what happened? Did the CEOs transmogrify into
greed-poisoned crooks? That answer may satisfy our human desire for a
villain, but that is not exactly how things played out, says Anup Srivastava,
an assistant professor of accounting information and management at the
Kellogg School of Management.
While most firms were not guilty of accounting
irregularities or criminal activity, a few were. Srivastava and Jap Efendi,
an assistant professor at University of Texas at Arlington, and Edward P.
Swanson, a professor at Texas A&M, dug into the problem of overvaluation of
firms’ equity, and they developed several reasons why CEOs may have overseen
the release of false or misleading financial statements. At the heart of the
matter was a confluence of CEO compensation structuring with a little idea
(holding large implications) about how very large incentives can cause
normally law-abiding citizens to step outside the law’s bounds.
Taking Risks Srivastava explains that in 2005,
Harvard professor emeritus and noted financial economist Michael C. Jensen
wrote a paper titled “Agency costs of overvalued equity,” which was
published in the journal Financial Management. “In this paper, Jensen argues
that managers are normal human beings but when the stakes are very high,
normal human beings begin making extremely risky decisions,” Srivastava
says. “Our paper examining the overvaluation of a firm’s equity during the
dot-com years is the only paper that has tested his theory.”
When Srivastava says a firm is overvalued, he is
referring to extreme situations where the stock may be worth 100 to 1,000
percent of its fundamental value. When this happens, the firm’s fundamentals
cannot justify the stock price and so managers begin to “do things.”
“They start taking extreme risks. They make
acquisitions and play with their accounting numbers,” Srivastava explains.
“This is very destructive to society. Decisions based on overvalued equity
are not good for society because they lead to a loss of wealth.”
Srivastava says that an important trend in CEO
compensation over the past two decades has been an increasing emphasis
placed on company stock options. When this collides with market
overvaluation, CEOs may find that their in-the-money stock options balloon
into the stratosphere to nearly one hundred times the value of their salary.
“Let’s say their in-the-money stock options are
worth a billion dollars now,” Srivastava says. “They may start to think,
‘I’m a billionaire.’” By confusing their overinflated stock options with
their net wealth, these CEOs begin to make riskier and riskier decisions,
perhaps to preserve their perceived wealth. It is a fragile zone to live
within; a 10 percent decline in their company’s stock price could spell out
a 50 percent decline in their net wealth.
“In this scenario, they will do anything and
everything to keep the stock values high,” Srivastava says. But this
motivation may also extend beyond their own personal gain; they may want to
maintain the status quo by not liquidating their holdings as to avoid
attention from the Securities and Exchange Commission or their investors
regarding the overvaluation problem.
“What we highlight in our paper is the fact that
when equity is overvalued, and overvaluation in equity results in large
in-the-money options for managers, then managers have incentives to take
very risky accounting decisions,” Srivastava says.
Show Me the Money The researchers used ninety-five
sample firms—pinpointed from a Government Accountability Office (GAO)
database of companies that restated a previously issued financial
statement—and compared these to ninety-five control firms that had not
issued restatements but were matched in terms of size, industry, and asset
values. They then examined the firms that announced a restatement between
January 1, 2001, and June 30, 2002, for accounting errors in prior years,
extending back to April 1995. (Firms often announce a restatement one to two
years after the year being restated, e.g., a restatement announced in
January 2001 could be for the accounting year 1999 or 2000.) The team used
press releases and annual reports to discover the exact year of the
misstatement, a detail the GAO database lacks.
For example, say an Internet company called
WidgetTechs tanked in the 2000 bust and announced a restatement of its
accounts later. Srivastava and his team basically poked through records to
find WidgetTechs’ historic stock prices and its compensation package. Then
they dissected this data to look for trends that associated aspects of
compensation to time points right before, during, and after accounting
irregularities, or criminal activity, was said to have occurred.
By doing this, Srivastava and his colleagues found
that the best predictors of accounting misstatements turned out to be
in-the-money values of stock options held by CEOs. To illuminate the
magnitude of in-the-money option holdings, they found the average holdings
for CEOs at restating firms was approximately $50 million, which greatly
exceeded the average of $9 million at matched firms that did not announce a
restatement. Stated another way, the CEOs of restating firms held options
with in-the-money value that was forty-six times their salary, compared with
options six times the salary of CEOs in control firms.
The team then parsed the restating firms into two
main categories based on accounting issue classifications assigned by the
GAO—non-malfeasance and malfeasance—that describe the degree of seriousness
of the firm’s accounting error. (A malfeasance category correlates to
fraudulent behavior or an SEC-induced restatement, while a non-malfeasance
category correlates to a non-criminal, less serious issue or irregularity.)
The researchers found that the in-the-money value
of options for CEOs at restating firms with evidence of accounting
malfeasance was even higher, averaging approximately $130 million (compared
to an average of $50 million for all restating firms).
One of the study’s key insights centered on the
degree to which options were in-the-money. The analysis detected no
difference between the value or number of options issued by restatement and
control firms to their CEOs. In other words, the larger in-the-money values
of restatement firms were not due to the number of options held but the
degree to which the firm’s stock options were in-the-money. Within both the
restating firms and the control firms, the research team analyzed CEO
compensation to look for predictors that a firm would issue a restatement.
They tested the base salary, bonus, options grant, in-the-money stock
options, restricted stock grants, and restricted stock holdings. The only
statistically significant variable turned out to be in-the-money options.
Financial Shenanigans update
I added the following note to my summary of Schilit, H. 2002. Financial
Shenanigans: How to Detect Accounting Gimmicks & Fraud in Financial Reports.
2nd edition. McGraw Hill.
The third edition of this book was published in 2010.
See Schilit, H. and J. Perler. 2010. Financial Shenanigans: How to Detect
Accounting Gimmicks & Fraud in Financial Reports, 3rd edition.
McGraw-Hill Education.
Part three includes four chapters on cash flow shenanigans:
Chapter
10: Shifting financing cash flows to the operating section.
Chapter
11: Shifting normal operating cash flows to the investing section.
Chapter
12: Inflating operating cash flows using acquisitions or disposals.
Chapter
13: Boosting operating cash flows using unsustainable activities.
Part four
includes two chapters on key metrics shenanigans:
Chapter
14: Showcasing misleading metrics that overstate performance.
Chapter 15: Distorting balance sheet metrics to avoid showing deterioration
"Trust No one, Particularly Not Groupon's Accountantns," by Anthony H.
Catanach Jr. and J. Edward Ketz, Grumpy Old Accountants Blog, August 24,
2011 ---
http://blogs.smeal.psu.edu/grumpyoldaccountants/
"Is Groupon "Cooking Its Books?" by Grumpy Old Accountants
Anthony H. Catanach Jr. and J. Edward Ketz, SmartPros, September 2011 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x72233.xml
Teaching Case
When Rosie Scenario waved goodbye "Adjusted Consolidated Segment Operating
Income"
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on August 19,
2011
SUMMARY: In filing its prospectus for its initial public offering
(IPO), Groupon has removed from its documents "...an unconventional
accounting measurement that had attracted scrutiny from securities
regulators [adjusted consolidated segment operating income]. The unusual
measure, which the e-commerce had invented, paints a more robust picture of
its performance. Removal of the measure was in response to pressure from the
Securities and Exchange Commission...."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce segment
reporting and the weaknesses of the required management reporting approach.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is Groupon's business model? How does it
generate revenues? What are its costs? Hint, to answer this question you may
access the Groupon, Inc. Form S-1 Registration Statement filed on June 2,
011 available on the SEC web site at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000104746911005613/a2203913zs-1.htm
2. (Advanced) Summarize the reporting that must be provided for any
business's operating segments. In your answer, provide a reference to
authoritative accounting literature.
3. (Advanced) Why must the amounts disclosed by operating segments
be reconciled to consolidated totals shown on the primary financial
statements for an entire company?
4. (Advanced) Access the Groupon, Inc. Form S-1 Registration
Statement filed on June 2, 011 and proceed to the company's financial
statements, available on the SEC web site at
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1490281/000104746911005613/a2203913zs-1.htm#dm79801_selected_consolidated_financial_and_other_data
Alternatively, proceed from the registration statement, then click on Table
of Contents, then Selected Consolidated Financial and Other Data. Explain
what Groupon calls "adjusted consolidated segment operating income" (ACSOI).
What operating segments does Groupon, Inc., show?
5. (Introductory) Why is Groupon's "ACSOI" considered to be a
"non-GAAP financial measure"?
6. (Advanced) How is it possible that this measure of operating
performance could be considered to comply with U.S. GAAP requirements? Base
your answer on your understanding of the need to reconcile amounts disclosed
by operating segments to the company's consolidated totals. If it is
accessible to you, the second related article in CFO Journal may help answer
this question.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Groupon Inc. removed from its initial public
offering documents an unconventional accounting measurement that had
attracted scrutiny from securities regulators.
The unusual measure, which the e-commerce had
invented, paints a more robust picture of its performance. Removal of the
measure was in response to pressure from the Securities and Exchange
Commission, a person familiar with the matter said.
In revised documents filed Wednesday with the SEC,
the company removed the controversial measure, which had been highlighted in
the first three pages of its previous filing. But Groupon's chief executive
defended the term Wednesday. [GROUPON] Getty Images
Groupon, headquarters above, expects to raise about
$750 million.
Groupon had highlighted something it called
"adjusted consolidated segment operating income", or ACSOI. The measurement,
which doesn't include subscriber-acquisitions expenses such as marketing
costs, doesn't conform to generally accepted accounting principles.
Investors and analysts have said ACSOI draws
attention away from Groupon's marketing spending, which is causing big net
losses.
The company also disclosed Wednesday that its loss
more than doubled in the second quarter from a year ago, even as revenue
increased more than ten times.
By leaving ACSOI out of its income statements, the
company hopes to avoid further scrutiny from the SEC, the person familiar
with the matter said. The commission declined comment.
Groupon in June reported ACSOI of $60.6 million for
last year and $81.6 million for the first quarter of 2011. Under generally
accepted accounting principles, the company generated operating losses of
$420.3 million and $117.1 million during those periods.
Wednesday's filing included a letter from Groupon
Chief Executive Andrew Mason defending ACSOI. The company excludes marketing
expenses related to subscriber acquisition because "they are an up-front
investment to acquire new subscribers that we expect to end when this period
of rapid expansion in our subscriber base concludes and we determine that
the returns on such investment are no longer attractive," the letter said.
There was no mention of when that expansion will
end, but the person familiar with the matter said the company reevaluates
the figures weekly.
Groupon said it spent $345.1 million on online
marketing initiatives to acquire subscribers in the first half and that it
expects "to continue to expend significant amounts to acquire additional
subscribers."
The latest SEC filing also contains new financial
data. Groupon on Wednesday reported second-quarter revenue of $878 million,
up 36% from the first quarter. While the company's growth is still rapid,
the pace has slowed. Groupon's revenue jumped 63% in the first quarter from
the fourth.
The company's second-quarter loss was $102.7
million, flat sequentially and wider than the year-earlier loss of $35.9
million.
Groupon expects to raise about $750 million in a
mid-September IPO that could value the company at $20 billion.
The path to going public hasn't been easy. The
company had to file an amendment to its original SEC filing after a Groupon
executive told Bloomberg News the company would be "wildly profitable" just
three days after its IPO filing. Speaking publicly about the financial
projections of a company that has filed to go public is barred by SEC
regulations. Groupon said the comments weren't intended for publication.
In the paper, Why Do CFOs Become Involved in
Material Accounting Manipulations? we investigate why CFOs become involved
in material accounting manipulations. To address this research question, we
examine two possible explanations. CFOs might instigate accounting
manipulations for immediate personal financial gain, as reflected in their
equity compensation. Alternatively, CFOs could manipulate the financial
reports under pressure from CEOs.
Using a comprehensive sample of material accounting
manipulations disclosed between 1982 and 2005, we investigate the costs and
benefits associated with intentional financial misreporting for CFOs. We
find that CFOs bear substantial legal costs when involved in accounting
manipulations. We also document that these CFO equity incentives (measured
by pay-for-performance sensitivity) are not significantly different from
those of CFOs of control firms. However, CEOs of the manipulation firms have
significantly higher equity incentives and power than CEOs of the control
firms. Moreover, CFO turnover is significantly higher within three years
prior to the occurrences of material accounting manipulations for
manipulation firms than control firms, consistent with CFOs facing
significant costs (loss of job) for saying no to CEO pressure. Finally, our
AAER content analyses suggest that CEOs of manipulation firms are more
likely than CFOs to be described as having orchestrated the manipulation and
to be requested to disgorge financial gains from the manipulation. Taken
together, our findings suggest that CFOs are likely to become involved in
material accounting manipulations because they succumb to CEO pressure,
rather than because they seek immediate financial benefit.
Some caveats are in order. First, we assume that
CFOs of accounting manipulation firms are aware of or are involved in
misreporting. We believe this assumption is reasonable given that one of the
main job responsibilities of CFOs is to watch over the financial reporting
process and make related decisions. However, in some unusual cases
accounting manipulations could occur without the knowledge of CFOs (e.g.,
CEOs collude with divisional managers to create fictitious sales and hide
the manipulation from CFOs). These cases are likely to add noise instead of
introducing a systematic bias to our empirical results. Second, we assume
that the companies identified by the SEC have indeed manipulated financial
statements. This assumption seems reasonable given that the SEC spends
effort and resources to establish evidence for the alleged manipulations.
However, the SEC likely does not identify all the companies with accounting
manipulations; as a result, some of our control firms might have
“undetected” manipulations. This issue would be a concern if the SEC
systematically pursues companies with characteristics examined and found
significant in our empirical tests, but we are not aware of any evidence
supporting this possibility.
While subject to these caveats, our paper
contributes to the understanding of CFOs’ incentives when they face
accounting manipulation decisions. Our findings suggest that CFOs are
typically not the instigator of accounting manipulations. Instead, it
appears that CEOs, especially powerful CEOs with high equity incentives,
exert significant influence over CFOs’ financial reporting decisions. In
other words, CFOs’ role as watchdog over financial reports is compromised by
the pressure from CEOs. Overall, the findings of this study suggest a
corporate governance failure for the accounting manipulation firms, and have
important implications for current corporate governance reform. While
researchers, practitioners, and regulators have generally concluded that
stock-based compensation has provided managers with incentives to misstate
accounting numbers, our results indicate that re-designing compensation
packages for CFOs is not necessarily the only remedy. Improving CFO
independence by alleviating the pressure of CEOs on CFOs could be critical
to improving financial reporting quality. One possible way to achieve this
would be to have boards or audit committees more involved in CFO performance
evaluation and in hiring and retention decisions (Matejka, 2007).
Mr. Buffett, who has interests in both companies,
claimed there was another agenda (aside from hedging with
derivatives). “The reason many of them do it
(invest in derivative contracts) is that they
want to smooth earnings,” he said, referring to the idea of trying to make
quarterly numbers less volatile. “And I’m not saying there’s anything wrong with
that, but that is the motivation.”
"Derivatives, as Accused by Buffett," by Andrew Ross Sorkin,
The New York Times, March 14, 2011 ---
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/03/14/derivatives-as-accused-by-buffett/?ref=business
Mr. Buffett once described derivatives as
“financial weapons of mass destruction.” Yet some of his most ardent fans
have quietly raised eyebrows at his pontifications, given that he plays in
the opaque market. In the fourth quarter alone, Berkshire made $222 million
on derivatives. TheStreet.com published a column last spring with the
headline: “Warren Buffett Is a Hypocrite.”
¶His comments, which were released last month by
the financial crisis commission, come as the government is writing rules for
derivatives as part of the Dodd-Frank financial regulatory overhaul. And the
statements could influence the debate.
¶Mr. Buffett appeared to backpedal from his
oft-quoted line, explaining: “I don’t think they’re evil per se. It’s just,
they, I mean there’s nothing wrong with having a futures contract or
something of the sort. But they do let people engage in massive mischief.”
¶The problems arise, Mr. Buffett said, when a
bank’s exposure to derivatives balloons to grand proportions and uninformed
investors start using them.
¶It “doesn’t make much difference if it’s, you
know, one guy rolling dice against another, and they’re doing $5 a throw.
But it makes a lot of difference when you get into big numbers.”
¶What worries him most is the big financial
institutions that have millions of contracts. “If I look at JPMorgan, I see
two trillion in receivables, two trillion in payables, a trillion and seven
netted off on each side and $300 billion remaining, maybe $200 billion
collateralized,” he said, walking through his thinking. “That’s all fine.
But I don’t know what discontinuities are going to do to those numbers
overnight if there’s a major nuclear, chemical or biological terrorist
action that really is disruptive to the whole financial system.”
¶“Who the hell knows what happens to those
numbers?” he asked. “I think it’s virtually unmanageable.”
¶Mr. Buffett defended Berkshire Hathaway’s use of
derivatives, arguing that the company maintains a limited amount. At the
time of the interview, the company had only about 250 derivative contracts.
(It’s now down to 203.) “I want to know every contract, and I can do that
with the way we’ve done it. But I can’t do it with 23,000 that a bunch of
traders are putting on.”
¶He noted that when Berkshire bought General Re in
1998, the reinsurance company had 23,000 derivative contracts. “I could have
hired 15 of the smartest people, you know, math majors, Ph.D.’s. I could
have given them carte blanche to devise any reporting system that would
enable me to get my mind around what exposure that I had, and it wouldn’t
have worked,” he said to the government panel. “Can you imagine 23,000
contracts with 900 institutions all over the world with probably 200 of them
names I can’t pronounce?” Berkshire decided to unwind the derivative deals,
incurring some $400 million in losses.
¶Mr. Buffett said he used derivatives to capitalize
on discrepancies in the market. (That’s what other investors must think they
are doing — just not as successfully.)
¶Perhaps the most insightful nugget in the
interview was Mr. Buffett’s explanation of why corporations use derivatives
— and why they probably shouldn’t.
¶Many companies, as diverse as Coca-Cola and
Burlington Northern, argue that they employ derivatives to hedge their risk.
¶The United States-based Coca-Cola tries to protect
against fluctuations in currencies since it does business around the world.
Burlington Northern, the railroad giant, uses the investments to limit the
effect of fuel prices.
¶Mr. Buffett, who has interests in both companies,
claimed there was another agenda. “The reason many of them do it is that
they want to smooth earnings,” he said, referring to the idea of trying to
make quarterly numbers less volatile. “And I’m not saying there’s anything
wrong with that, but that is the motivation.”
¶The numbers all even out eventually, he cautioned,
so derivatives don’t really make much difference in the long term.
¶“They’re going to lose as much on the diesel fuel
contracts over time as they make,” he said of Burlington Northern. “I
wouldn’t do it.”
Abstract:
In the spring of 2009, public outcry erupted over the multi-million dollar
bonuses paid to AIG executives even as the company was receiving TARP funds.
Various measures were proposed in response, including a 90% retroactive tax
on the bonuses, which the media described as a "clawback." Separately, the
term "clawback" was also used to refer to remedies potentially available to
investors defrauded in the multi-billion dollar Ponzi scheme run by Bernard
Madoff. While the media and legal commentators have used the term "clawback"
reflexively, the concept has yet to be fully analyzed. In this article, we
propose a doctrine of clawbacks that accounts for these seemingly variant
usages. In the process, we distinguish between retroactive and prospective
clawback provisions, and explore the implications of such provisions for
contract law in general. Ultimately, we advocate writing prospective
clawback terms into contracts directly, or implying them through default
rules where possible, including via potential amendments to the law of
securities regulation. We believe that such prospective clawbacks will
result in more accountability for executive compensation, reduce inequities
among investors in certain frauds, and overall have a salutary effect upon
corporate governance.
On October 14, 2008, Secretary of the Treasury
Paulson and President Bush separately announced revisions in the TARP
program. The Treasury announced their intention to buy senior preferred
stock and warrants in the nine largest American banks. The shares would
qualify as Tier 1 capital and were non-voting shares. To qualify for this
program, the Treasury required participating institutions to meet certain
criteria, including: "(1) ensuring that incentive compensation for senior
executives does not encourage unnecessary and excessive risks that threaten
the value of the financial institution; (2) required clawback of any bonus
or incentive compensation paid to a senior executive based on statements of
earnings, gains or other criteria that are later proven to be materially
inaccurate; (3) prohibition on the financial institution from making any
golden parachute payment to a senior executive based on the Internal Revenue
Code provision; and (4) agreement not to deduct for tax purposes executive
compensation in excess of $500,000 for each senior executive." The Treasury
also bought preferred stock and warrants from hundreds of smaller banks,
using the first $250 billion allotted to the program.
The first allocation of the TARP money was
primarily used to buy preferred stock, which is similar to debt in that it
gets paid before common equity shareholders. This has led some economists to
argue that the plan may be ineffective in inducing banks to lend
efficiently.[15][16]
In the original plan presented by Secretary
Paulson, the government would buy troubled (toxic) assets in insolvent banks
and then sell them at auction to private investor and/or companies. This
plan was scratched when Paulson met with United Kingdom's Prime Minister
Gordon Brown who came to the White House for an international summit on the
global credit crisis.[citation needed] Prime Minister Brown, in an attempt
to mitigate the credit squeeze in England, merely infused capital into banks
via preferred stock in order to clean up their balance sheets and, in some
economists' view, effectively nationalizing many banks. This plan seemed
attractive to Secretary Paulson in that it was relatively easier and
seemingly boosted lending more quickly. The first half of the asset
purchases may not be effective in getting banks to lend again because they
were reluctant to risk lending as before with low lending standards. To make
matters worse, overnight lending to other banks came to a relative halt
because banks did not trust each other to be prudent with their
money.[citation needed]
On November 12, 2008, Secretary of the Treasury
Henry Paulson indicated that reviving the securitization market for consumer
credit would be a new priority in the second allotment
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on August 13,
2010
SUMMARY: During
the settlement with Dell, Inc. in which founder Michael Dell agreed to pay a
$4 million penalty without admitting or denying wrongdoing, Commissioner
Luis Aguilar raised the issue of "clawing back" compensation to executives
based on inflated earnings. "The SEC alleged Mr. Dell hid payments from
Intel Corp. that allowed the company to inflate earnings....Under [Section
304 of the 2002 Sarbanes-Oxley law], the SEC can seek the repayment of
bonuses, stock options or profits from stock sales during a 18-month period
following the first time the company issues information that has to be
restated." The SEC has been working on a formal policy to guide them in
cases in which an executive has not been accused of personal wrongdoing,
"but hammering out a policy acceptable to the five-member Commission...may
be difficult." The related article announced the clawback provision when it
was enacted into law in July and compares it to the previous requirements
related to executive compensation under Sarbanes-Oxley.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article covers topics in financial reporting related to restatement,
executive compensation topics, the Sarbanes-Oxley law, and the SEC's recent
enforcement efforts in general.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Based on the main and related article, define and describe a "clawback"
policy.
2. (Introductory)
Why will most publicly traded companies implement change as a result of the
new law and resultant SEC requirements?
3. (Advanced)
When must a company restate previously reported financial results? Cite the
authoritative accounting literature requiring this treatment.
4. (Advanced)
Describe one executive compensation plan impacted by reported financial
results. How would such a plan be impacted by a restatement?
5. (Introductory)
What is the difficulty with applying the new clawback provisions to
executive stock option plans? Based on the related article, how are
companies solving this issue?
6. (Advanced)
Is it possible that executives who are innocent of any wrongdoing could be
affected financially by these new clawback provisions? Do you think that
such executives should have to repay to their companies compensation amounts
received in previous years? Support your answer.
7. (Advanced)
Refer to the main article. Consider the specific case of Dell Inc. founder
Michael Dell. Do you believe Mr. Dell should have to return compensation to
the company? Support your answer.
8. (Introductory)
How do the new requirements under the financial reform law enacted in July
exceed the requirements of Sarbanes-Oxley? In your answer, include one or
two statements to define the Sarbanes-Oxley law.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A dispute over how to claw back pay from executives
at companies accused of cooking the books is roiling the Securities and
Exchange Commission.
Commissioner Luis Aguilar, a Democrat, has
threatened not to vote on cases where he thinks the agency is too lax,
people familiar with the matter said. That prompted the SEC to review its
policies for the intermittently used enforcement tool.
"The SEC ought to use all the tools at its disposal
to try to seek funds for deterrence," Mr. Aguilar said in an interview on
Tuesday. "It's important for us to the extent possible to try to deter, and
part of that means using tools Congress has given us."
The issue of clawbacks came up during the SEC's
recent settlement with Dell Inc. and founder Michael Dell, people familiar
with the matter said.
The SEC alleged Mr. Dell hid payments from Intel
Corp. that allowed the company to inflate earnings. He agreed to pay a $4
million penalty to settle the case without admitting or denying wrongdoing,
but didn't return any pay.
Mr. Aguilar initially objected to the Dell
settlement, according to people familiar with the matter. It is unclear
whether the penalty—considered high by historical standards for an
individual—swayed Mr. Aguilar's vote or whether he removed himself from the
case.
In the interview, Mr. Aguilar spoke generally about
clawbacks and declined to discuss Dell or other specific cases.
A spokesman for the SEC declined to comment.
Section 304 of the 2002 Sarbanes-Oxley law gave the
SEC the ability to seek reimbursement of compensation from the chief
executive and chief financial officer of a company when it restates its
financial statements because of misconduct.
Under the law, the SEC can seek the repayment of
bonuses, stock options or profits from stock sales during a 12-month period
following the first time the company issues information that has to be
restated.
Last year, the SEC used the tool for the first time
against an executive who wasn't accused of personal wrongdoing.
In that case the SEC sued Maynard Jenkins, the
former chief executive of CSK Auto Corp., for $4 million in bonuses and
stock sales. Mr. Jenkins is fighting the allegations.
SEC attorneys have been working on a more formal
policy to guide them in such cases, people familiar with the matter said.
They were seeking to tie the amount of the clawback to the period of
wrongdoing, these people said.
Mr. Aguilar felt the emerging new policy wasn't
stringent enough and told the SEC staff he would recuse himself from cases
when he didn't agree with the enforcement staff's recommendations, the
people said.
Amid the standoff, SEC enforcement chief Robert
Khuzami has halted the initial policy and set up a committee to take another
look at the matter, the people said.
Hammering out a policy acceptable to the
five-member commission, which has split on recent high-profile cases, may be
difficult.
The divisions worry some within the SEC because the
absence of an agreement could affect cases in the pipeline, especially on
close calls where Mr. Aguilar's vote might be necessary to go forward.
Mr. Aguilar's hard line on clawbacks was bolstered
by the Dodd-Frank law, signed by President Obama on July 21. It says stock
exchanges need to change listing standards to require companies to have
clawback policies in place that go further than the Sarbanes-Oxley policy.
Section 954 of the law says that pay clawbacks
should apply to any current or former employee and instructs companies to
seek pay earned during the three-year period before a restatement "in excess
of what would have been paid to the executive under the accounting
restatement."
Since becoming a commissioner in late 2008, Mr.
Aguilar has called for a tougher enforcement approach, including a rework of
the agency's policy of seeking penalties against companies.
In a speech in May, Mr. Aguilar took up the issue
of executive pay in the context of the SEC's lawsuit against Bank of America
Corp. for failing to disclose to shareholders the size of bonuses paid to
Merrill Lynch executives. The bank agreed to pay $150 million to settle the
matter.
Mr. Aguilar said that penalty "pales" in comparison
to the $5.8 billion in bonuses paid during the merger.
"Perhaps what should happen is that, when a
corporation pays a penalty, the money should be required to come out of the
budget and bonuses for the people or group who were the most responsible,"
he said.
TOPICS: Accounting
Changes and Error Corrections, Earning Announcements, Restatement
SUMMARY: David
Larcker and Anastasia Zakolyukina of Stanford Graduate School of Business
and the Stanford Rock Center for Corporate Governance examined the
psychological and linguistics components of investor conference calls by
CEOs and CFOs of companies that later had to revise earnings results. "They
fed their filter almost 30,000 transcripts of earnings conference calls from
2003 to 2007 and found that..." they could accurately predict subsequent
earnings restatements about 50% to 65% of the time. The research paper is
entitled "Detecting Deceptive Discussions in Conference Calls" and is
available as paper #1572705 on the Social Science Research Network (SSRN) at
http://ssrn.com/abstract=1572705 The paper was last updated on July 29,
2010. The authors note in the abstract that their model is significantly
better at detecting subsequent earnings restatements than are models based
on discretionary accruals and traditional controls, a point not noted in the
WSJ article.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful to introduce students to the nature of accounting research
in any financial reporting class covering earnings release topics.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced)
What are earnings restatements? What authoritative accounting literature
requires restatements? Under what circumstances are such restatements
required?
2. (Advanced)
What are earnings releases? What conference calls are associated with
earnings releases?
3. (Introductory)
Summarize the basic points of the accounting research reported on in this
newspaper article. Who conducted this research? What did they examine?
4. (Advanced)
Why do you think it is useful to be able to predict likely earnings
restatements? Why might this result in the authors of this research "hearing
from some hedge funds" as the author of this WSJ article states?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Conference call Q&As can be a confusing and cryptic
dance. Executives try to put the most attractive case before investors,
without giving away too much, of course. And in many cases, they are trying
to put a good spin on bad results.
But what if an investor could read right through
all of the posturing and careful prose to recognize if they were being
strung along?
A pair of accounting professors at the Stanford
Graduate School of Business and the Stanford Rock Center for Corporate
Governance recently tried to do just that. The team built a model that tries
to flush out executive, well, lies, using psychological and linguistic
studies and transcripts of conference calls from companies that later
restated earnings.
They fed their filter almost 30,000 transcripts of
earnings conference calls from 2003 to 2007 and found that it worked quite
nicely. Executives who later had to revise their books displayed some very
consistent clues.
For one, they seldom referred to themselves or
their companies in the first person; "I" and "we" were replaced by terms
like "the team" and "the company." Deceitful executives passed up humdrum
adjectives such as "solid" and "respectable" in favor of gushing words like
"fantastic," and (not surprisingly) they seldom mentioned shareholder value.
They also tended to buttress their points with
references to general knowledge with phrases like "you know" and to make
short statements with little hesitation, presumably because they had
carefully scripted the untruths in advance and had no interest in lingering
on them.
Though the study doesn't call out particular
companies, chiefs across a wide-range of industries raised the censor's red
light 14% of the time. Those in the finance business proved slightly more
honest than average, tagged for lying only 10% of the time. The study didn't
specify the industry with the most dissembling.
Finance chiefs, it appears, hold their cards a
little closer to their chests. They spoke about half as much as their
bosses, and, unlike chief executives, they showed no "positive emotions" via
"brilliant" and "astounding" adjectives. Maybe they were busy picturing
themselves in brilliant orange coveralls.
The professors' model isn't perfect. It proved
accurate enough to make predictions 50% to 65% of the time, in part because
individual executives have unique ways of speaking that don't fall neatly
into a pattern of deception.
Still, big money has to like those odds. We bet
that the authors of the study, David Larcker and Anastasia Zakolyukina, will
be hearing from some hedge funds soon, if they haven't already.
Ekman's work on facial expressions had its starting
point in the work of psychologist
Silvan Tomkins.[Ekman
showed that contrary to the belief of some
anthropologists including
Margaret Mead, facial expressions of emotion are
not culturally determined, but universal across human cultures and
thus
biological in origin. Expressions he found to be
universal included those indicating
anger,
disgust,
fear,
joy,
sadness, and
surprise. Findings on
contempt are less
clear, though there is at least some preliminary evidence that this emotion
and its expression are universally recognized.]
In a research project along with Dr. Maureen
O'Sullivan, called the
Wizards Project (previously named the
Diogenes Project), Ekman reported on facial "microexpressions"
which could be used to assist in lie detection. After testing a total of
15,000 [EDIT: This value conflicts with the 20,000 figure given in the
article on Microexpressions] people from all walks of life, he found only 50
people that had the ability to spot deception without any formal training.
These naturals are also known as "Truth Wizards", or wizards of
deception detection from demeanor.
He developed the
Facial Action Coding System (FACS) to taxonomize
every conceivable human facial expression. Ekman conducted and published
research on a wide variety of topics in the general area of non-verbal
behavior. His work on lying, for example, was not limited to the face, but
also to observation of the rest of the body.
In his profession he also uses verbal signs of
lying. When interviewed about the Monica Lewinsky scandal, he mentioned that
he could detect that former President
Bill Clinton was lying because he used
distancing language.
Ekman has contributed much to the study of social
aspects of lying, why we lie,
and why we are often unconcerned with detecting lies.
He is currently on the Editorial Board of Greater Good magazine,
published by the
Greater Good Science Center of the
University of California, Berkeley. His
contributions include the interpretation of scientific research into the
roots of compassion, altruism, and peaceful human relationships. Ekman is
also working with Computer Vision researcher
Dimitris Metaxas on designing a visual
lie-detector.
Research Papers Worth
Reading On Deceit, Body Language, Influence etc.. (with
links to pdfs)
Facial Expression Of Emotion. – In M.Lewis
and J Haviland-Jones (eds) Handbook of emotions, 2nd
edition. Pp. 236-249. New York: Guilford Publications,
Inc. Keltner, D. & Ekman, P. (2000)
A Few Can Catch A Liar. - Psychological
Science, 10, 263-266. Ekman, P., O’Sullivan, M., Frank,
M. (1999)
Deception, Lying And Demeanor.- In States
of Mind: American and Post-Soviet Perspectives on
Contemporary Issues in Psychology . D.F. Halpern and
A.E.Voiskounsky (Eds.) Pp. 93-105. New York: Oxford
University Press.
Lying And Deception. – In N.L. Stein, P.A.
Ornstein, B. Tversky & C. Brainerd (Eds.) Memory for
everyday and emotional events. Hillsdale, NJ: Lawrence
Erlbaum Associates, 333-347.
Lies That Fail.- In M. Lewis & C. Saarni
(Eds.) Lying and deception in everyday life. Pp.
184-200. New York: Guilford Press.
Who Can Catch A Liar. -American
Psychologist, 1991, 46, 913-120.
Hazards In Detecting Deceit. In D. Raskin,
(Ed.) Psychological Methods for Investigation and
Evidence. New York: Springer. 1989. (pp 297-332)
Earlier this week Wired reported that a Brooklyn
lawyer wanted to use fMRI brain scans to prove that his client was telling
the truth. The case itself is an average employer-employee dispute, but
using brains scans to tell whether someone is lying—which a few, small
studies have suggested might be useful—would set a precedent for
neuroscience in the courtroom. Plus, I'm pretty sure they did something like
this on Star Trek once.
But why go to all the trouble of scanning someone's
brain when you can just count how many times the person blinks? A study
published this month in Psychology, Crime & Law found that when people were
lying they blinked significantly less than when they were telling the truth.
The authors suggest that lying requires more thinking and that this
increased cognitive load could account for the reduction in blinking.
For the study, 13 participants "stole" an exam
paper while 13 others did not. All 26 were questioned and the ones who had
committed the mock theft blinked less when questioned about it than when
questioned about other, unrelated issues. The innocent 13 didn't blink any
more or less. Incidentally, the blinking was measured by electrodes, not
observation.
But the authors aren't arguing that the blink
method should be used in the courtroom. In fact, they think it might not
work. Because the stakes in the study were low--no one was going to get into
any trouble--it's unclear whether the results would translate to, say, a
murder investigation. Maybe you blink less when being questioned about a
murder even if you're innocent, just because you would naturally be nervous.
Or maybe you're guilty but your contacts are bothering you. Who knows?
By the way, the lawyer's request to introduce the
brain scanning evidence in court was rejected, but lawyers in another case
plan to give it a shot later this month.
(The abstract of the study, conducted by Sharon
Leal and Aldert Vrij, can be found here. The company that administers the
lie-detection brain scans is called Cephos and their confident slogan is
"The Science Behind the Truth.")
"The New Face of Emoticons: Warping photos could help text-based
communications become more expressive," by Duncan Graham-Rowe, MIT's
Technology Review, March 27, 2007 ---
http://www.technologyreview.com/Infotech/18438/
Computer scientists at the University of Pittsburgh
have developed a way to make e-mails, instant messaging, and texts just a
bit more personalized. Their software will allow people to use images of
their own faces instead of the more traditional emoticons to communicate
their mood. By automatically warping their facial features, people can use a
photo to depict any one of a range of different animated emotional
expressions, such as happy, sad, angry, or surprised.
All that is needed is a single photo of the person,
preferably with a neutral expression, says Xin Li, who developed the system,
called Face Alive Icons. "The user can upload the image from their camera
phone," he says. Then, by keying in familiar text symbols, such as ":)" for
a smile, the user automatically contorts the face to reflect his or her
desired expression.
"Already, people use avatars on message boards and
in other settings," says Sheryl Brahnam, an assistant professor of computer
information systems at MissouriStateUniversity, in Springfield. In many
respects, she says, this system bridges the gap between emoticons and
avatars.
This is not the first time that someone has tried
to use photos in this way, says Li, who now works for Google in New York
City. "But the traditional approach is to just send the image itself," he
says. "The problem is, the size will be too big, particularly for
low-bandwidth applications like PDAs and cell phones." Other approaches
involve having to capture a different photo of the person for each unique
emoticon, which only further increases the demand for bandwidth.
Li's solution is not to send the picture each time
it is used, but to store a profile of the face on the recipient device. This
profile consists of a decomposition of the original photo. Every time the
user sends an emoticon, the face is reassembled on the recipient's device in
such a way as to show the appropriate expression.
To make this possible, Li first created generic
computational models for each type of expression. Working with Shi-Kuo
Chang, a professor of computer science at the University of Pittsburgh, and
Chieh-Chih Chang, at the Industrial Technology Research Institute, in
Taiwan, Li created the models using a learning program to analyze the
expressions in a database of facial expressions and extract features unique
to each expression. Each of the resulting models acts like a set of
instructions telling the program how to warp, or animate, a neutral face
into each particular expression.
Once the photo has been captured, the user has to
click on key areas to help the program identify key features of the face.
The program can then decompose the image into sets of features that change
and those that will remain unaffected by the warping process.
Finally, these "pieces" make up a profile that,
although it has to be sent to each of a user's contacts, must only be sent
once. This approach means that an unlimited number of expressions can be
added to the system without increasing the file size or requiring any
additional pictures to be taken.
Li says that preliminary evaluations carried out on
eight subjects viewing hundreds of faces showed that the warped expressions
are easily identifiable. The results of the evaluations are published in the
current edition of the Journal of Visual Languages and Computing.
Charles Seife is steaming mad about all the ways
that numbers are being twisted to erode our democracy. We’re used to being
lied to with words (“I am not a crook”; “I did not have sexual relations
with that woman”). But numbers? They’re supposed to be cold, hard and
objective. Numbers don’t lie, and they brook no argument. They’re the best
kind of facts we have.
And that’s precisely why they can be so powerfully,
persuasively misleading, as Seife argues in his passionate new book, “Proofiness.”
Seife, a veteran science writer who teaches journalism at New York
University, examines the many ways that people fudge with numbers, sometimes
just to sell more moisturizer but also to ruin our economy, rig our
elections, convict the innocent and undercount the needy. Many of his
stories would be darkly funny if they weren’t so infuriating.
Although Seife never says so explicitly, the book’s
title alludes to “truthiness” — the Word of the Year in 2005, according to
the American Dialect Society, which defined it as “the quality of preferring
concepts or facts one wishes to be true, rather than concepts or facts known
to be true.” The term was popularized by Stephen Colbert in the first
episode of “The Colbert Report.” The numerical cousin of truthiness is
proofiness: “the art of using bogus mathematical arguments to prove
something that you know in your heart is true — even when it’s not.”
. . .
Falsifying numbers is the crudest form of
proofiness. Seife lays out a rogues’ gallery of more subtle deceptions.
“Potemkin numbers” are phony statistics based on erroneous or nonexistent
calculations. Justice Antonin Scalia’s assertion that only 0.027 percent of
convicted felons are wrongly imprisoned was a Potemkin number derived from a
prosecutor’s back-of-the-envelope estimate; more careful studies suggest the
rate might be between 3 and 5 percent.
“Disestimation” involves ascribing too much meaning
to a measurement, relative to the uncertainties and errors inherent in it.
In the most provocative and detailed part of the book, Seife analyzes the
recounting process in the astonishingly close 2008 Minnesota Senate race
between Norm Coleman and Al Franken. The winner, he claims, should have been
decided by a coin flip; anything else is disestimation, considering that the
observed errors in counting the votes were always much larger than the
number of votes (roughly 200 to 300) separating the two candidates.
“Comparing apples and oranges” is another perennial
favorite. The conservative Blue Dog Democrats indulged in it when they
accused the Bush administration of borrowing more money from foreign
governments in four years than had all the previous administrations in our
nation’s history, combined. True enough, but only if one conveniently
forgets to correct for inflation.
Seife is evenhanded about exposing the proofiness
on both sides of the political aisle, though we all know who’s responsible
for a vast majority of it: the other side.
He calls Al Gore to task for “cherry-picking” data
about global warming. Although Seife doesn’t dispute that the warming is
real and that human activities are to blame for a sizable portion of it, he
chastises Gore for showing terrifying simulations of what would happen to
Florida and Louisiana if sea levels were to rise by 20 feet, as could occur
if the ice sheets in Greenland or West Antarctica were to melt almost
completely. That possibility, while not out of the question, is generally
considered an unlikely “very-worst-case” scenario, Seife writes.
Meanwhile, the Bush administration committed a more
insidious form of proofiness when it crowed, in 2004, that its tax cuts
would save the average family $1,586. This is technically correct, but
deliberately misleading — a trick that Seife calls “apple polishing.” (Again
with the fruit!) The average is the wrong measure to use when a set of
numbers contains extreme outliers — in this case, the whopping refunds
received by a very few, very wealthy families. In such situations, the
average is far from typical. That’s why, paradoxical as it might seem, most
families received less than $650.
In one of the book’s lighter moments, Seife even
looks askance at the wholesome folks at Quaker Oats, who in addition to
selling a “bland and relatively unappetizing product” once presented a graph
that gave the visual impression that their “barely digestible oat fiber” was
a “medicinal vacuum cleaner” that would reduce your cholesterol far more
than it actually does. For the most part, though, he is deadly serious. A
few other recent books have explored how easily we can be deceived — or
deceive ourselves — with numbers. But “Proofiness” reveals the truly
corrosive effects on a society awash in numerical mendacity. This is more
than a math book; it’s an eye-opening civics lesson.
Steven Strogatz is a professor of applied mathematics at Cornell and a
contributor to the Opinionator blog on NYTimes.com. He is the author, most
recently, of “The Calculus of Friendship.”
How might the proposed changes to revenue recognition standards by the FASB-IASB
affect firms like Apple Corporation?
Not answered below, but food for student thought
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on July 23, 2010
TOPICS: Interim
Financial Statements, Revenue Recognition, Software Industry
SUMMARY: "Apple
Inc.'s quarterly profit surged 78% as the company booked strong initial
sales of its IPad tablet computer and the latest version of its Smartphone,
the iPhone 4. The company also issued a strong forecast for the current
quarter, allaying immediate concerns that the iPhone 4's high-profile
antenna problems might slow Apple's sales....The company, which has faced
mounting criticism over the antenna design of its iPhone 4, said Friday it
would give away cases to owners. On Tuesday, Apple said as a result it would
defer until the December quarter about $175 million in revenue."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful to look at the form of public quarterly reporting in the
U.S. and at the revenue recognition deferral that stems from the problems
with the iPhone 4 antenna.
2. (Advanced)
Refer to the Form 8-K filing. What is included in the data sheet? What are
Apple's operating segments? How is the information presented in this data
sheet consistent with financial reporting requirements under U.S. accounting
standards? How is it inconsistent with those requirements?
3. (Advanced)
Refer to the Form 10-Q filing and navigate to the Summary of Significant
Accounting Policies. What retrospective adoption of accounting did Apple
make in its 2009 financial statements? Why is that adoption referenced in
this 2010 quarterly filing? In your answer, define both retrospective and
prospective adoption of changes in financial accounting and reporting
practices.
4. (Advanced)
The company...said Friday it would give away cases to owners" of iPhone 4
because of reception problems stemming from design of the antenna in this
phone. Should this step impact the amounts reported in this 10-Q filing?
Explain.
5. (Advanced)
Continue to the discussion of "Revenue Recognition." Do you think that any
of the issues discussed in this portion of the report relate to the fact
that Apple announced it would 'defer until the December quarter about $175
million in revenue"? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Apple Inc.'s quarterly profit surged 78%, as the
company booked strong initial sales of its iPad tablet computer and the
latest version of its smartphone, the iPhone 4.
The company also issued a strong forecast for the
current quarter, allaying immediate concerns that the iPhone 4's
high-profile antenna problems might slow Apple's sales. Apple's revenue in
the quarter ended June 26 rose 61% to $15.7 billion.
Chief Executive Steve Jobs in a press release
touted the results as "phenomenal" and promised that Apple had "amazing new
products still to come this year."
Apple is selling iPads and iPhones "as fast as we
can make them" and "working around the clock to try to get supply and demand
in balance," Tim Cook, the company's operating chief, said on a conference
call.
He said the company hadn't seen any decline in
iPhone 4 demand because of antenna problems. "My phone is ringing off the
hook from people that want more supply," Mr. Cook said.
The company, which has faced mounting criticism
over the antenna design of its iPhone 4, said Friday it would give away
cases to owners. On Tuesday, Apple said as a result it would defer until the
December quarter about $175 million in revenue.
Apple's strong results join others in the tech
sector as a recovery in business sales is adding to renewed consumer
spending, which bounced back from the recession last quarter.
Shares of Apple rose 2.5% in after-hours trading.
The stock closed Tuesday at $251.89 on the Nasdaq Stock Market.
Despite fears that the April launch of the iPad
would cannibalize Macintosh computer sales, Mac desktop and laptop sales
remained strong in the quarter. Apple sold 3.5 million computers, up 33%
from a year ago.
Apple said it sold 3.3 million iPads since the
tablet went on sale, generating revenue of $2.16 billion. The company said
the average sales price for its iPad was $640, suggesting many customers
opted for higher-priced models with cellular-data service.
Journal Communitydiscuss“ Love him or hate him. The
only thing that can be said is WOW. ” —Mike Jones "The Mac is on fire and
the iPad is on fire," said Gene Munster, an analyst with Piper Jaffray & Co.
Research company iSuppli earlier raised its
estimate for iPad sales in 2010 to 12.9 million from 7.1 million, saying the
only limitation was production capacity, not demand. Apple said the iPad
would be available in nine more markets, including Hong Kong, Ireland and
Mexico on Tuesday.
While analysts were also concerned that consumers
might hold off buying iPhones in the quarter until the iPhone 4 was
released, Apple sold 8.4 million iPhones during the period, up 61% from a
year ago.
Overall, the Cupertino, Calif., company posted a
fiscal third-quarter profit of $3.25 billion, or $3.51 a share, compared
with $1.83 billion, or $2.01 a share a year earlier. Apple reported gross
margin of 39.1%, down from 40.9% a year ago.
IPod sales fell 8.6% in terms of units, but revenue
rose 4% to $1.5 billion as consumers continued to upgrade to the more
expensive iPod touch model.
Apple's forecast for the current quarter was
stronger than it is typically. Apple said it expects earnings of $3.44 a
share on revenue of $18 billion in the September-ended period.
Sound familiar? The banks are making what they can
based on technical accounting manipulation including playing with loan loss
reserves. There's still a lot of bad debt on their books.
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/17/business/17bank.html?_r=1&scp=3&sq=citigroup&st=Search
"Citigroup’s net income declined 37 percent, to $2.7
billion, and Bank of America’s net income fell 3 percent, to $3.1 billion,
from a year earlier. Both banks padded those results with a big release of
funds that had been set aside to cover future loan losses, with executives
citing improvements in the economy."
http://www.businessweek.com/news/2010-07-16/bank-of-america-citigroup-fall-as-loan-books-interest-shrink.html
"
Citigroup also got $599 million of mark-ups on loans
and securities in a “special asset pool” of trading positions left over from
before the credit crisis. Citigroup booked a $447 million gain from writing
down the value of its own debt, under an accounting rule that allows
companies to profit when their creditworthiness declines. The rules reflect
the possibility that a company could buy back its own liabilities at a
discount, which under traditional accounting methods would result in a
profit.
About $1.2 billion of Bank of America’s revenue
came from writing down the value of obligations assumed from its purchase of
Merrill Lynch & Co., according to the bank’s CFO, Charles Noski."
Francine
Francine
July 19, 2010 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Francine,
Bank behaviors with auditor blessings are so sad.
Thanks for the tidbit.
Sydney
Finkelstein, the Steven Roth professor of management at the Tuck School of
Business at Dartmouth College, also pointed out that Bank of America booked
a $2.2 billion gain by increasing the value of Merrill Lynch’s assets it
acquired last quarter to prices that were higher than Merrill kept them.
“Although perfectly legal, this move is also perfectly delusional, because
some day soon these assets will be written down to their fair value, and it
won’t be pretty,” he said
"Bank Profits Appear Out of Thin Air ," by Andrew Ross Sorkin, The
New York Times, April 20, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/21/business/21sorkin.html?_r=1&dbk
This is starting to feel like amateur
hour for aspiring magicians.
Another day, another attempt by a Wall
Street bank to pull a bunny out of the hat, showing off an earnings report
that it hopes will elicit oohs and aahs from the market. Goldman Sachs,
JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and, on Monday, Bank of America all tried to wow
their audiences with what appeared to be — presto! — better-than-expected
numbers.
But in each case, investors spotted
the attempts at sleight of hand, and didn’t buy it for a second.
With Goldman Sachs, the disappearing
month of December didn’t quite disappear (it changed its reporting calendar,
effectively erasing the impact of a $1.5 billion loss that month); JPMorgan
Chase reported a dazzling profit partly because the price of its bonds
dropped (theoretically, they could retire them and buy them back at a
cheaper price; that’s sort of like saying you’re richer because the value of
your home has dropped); Citigroup pulled the same trick.
Bank of America sold its shares in
China Construction Bank to book a big one-time profit, but Ken Lewis
heralded the results as “a testament to the value and breadth of the
franchise.”
Sydney Finkelstein, the Steven Roth
professor of management at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College,
also pointed out that Bank of America booked a $2.2 billion gain by
increasing the value of Merrill Lynch’s assets it acquired last quarter to
prices that were higher than Merrill kept them.
“Although perfectly legal, this move is
also perfectly delusional, because some day soon these assets will be
written down to their fair value, and it won’t be pretty,” he said.
Investors reacted by throwing
tomatoes. Bank of America’s stock plunged 24 percent, as did other bank
stocks. They’ve had enough.
Why can’t anybody read the room here?
After all the financial wizardry that got the country — actually, the world
— into trouble, why don’t these bankers give their audience what it seems to
crave? Perhaps a bit of simple math that could fit on the back of an
envelope, with no asterisks and no fine print, might win cheers instead of
jeers from the market.
What’s particularly puzzling is why
the banks don’t just try to make some money the old-fashioned way. After
all, earning it, if you could call it that, has never been easier with a
business model sponsored by the federal government. That’s the one in which
Uncle Sam and we taxpayers are offering the banks dirt-cheap money, which
they can turn around and lend at much higher rates.
“If the federal government let me
borrow money at zero percent interest, and then lend it out at 4 to 12
percent interest, even I could make a profit,” said Professor Finkelstein of
the Tuck School. “And if a college professor can make money in banking in
2009, what should we expect from the highly paid C.E.O.’s that populate
corner offices?”
But maybe now the banks are simply
following the lead of Washington, which keeps trotting out the latest idea
for shoring up the financial system.
The latest big idea is the so-called
stress test that is being applied to the banks, with results expected at the
end of this month.
This is playing to a tough crowd that
long ago decided to stop suspending disbelief. If the stress test is done
honestly, it is impossible to believe that some banks won’t fail. If no bank
fails, then what’s the value of the stress test? To tell us everything is
fine, when people know it’s not?
“I can’t think of a single, positive
thing to say about the stress test concept — the process by which it will be
carried out, or outcome it will produce, no matter what the outcome is,”
Thomas K. Brown, an analyst at Bankstocks.com, wrote. “Nothing good can come
of this and, under certain, non-far-fetched scenarios, it might end up
making the banking system’s problems worse.”
The results of the stress test could
lead to calls for capital for some of the banks. Citi is mentioned most
often as a candidate for more help, but there could be others.
The expectation, before Monday at
least, was that the government would pump new money into the banks that
needed it most.
But that was before the government
reached into its bag of tricks again. Now Treasury, instead of putting up
new money, is considering swapping its preferred shares in these banks for
common shares.
The benefit to the bank is that it
will have more capital to meet its ratio requirements, and therefore won’t
have to pay a 5 percent dividend to the government. In the case of Citi,
that would save the bank hundreds of millions of dollars a year.
And — ta da! — it will miraculously
stretch taxpayer dollars without spending a penny more.
Do you own stock in a large money center bank?
Work for one? Count on one to lend you money for a small business? Expect
them to stimulate the economy via commercial loans and lending again for
residential or commercial real estate?
You’ve been deluded by the illusion of their
self-serving public relations – rah-rah intended to help you forget
financial reform that barely is and no safety net for anyone but the elite.
The global money center banks are masters at
managing financial reporting. Regulators repeatedly feign surprise at
balance sheet sleight of hand, prestidigitation at the expert level intended
to buy time until the banks can grow out of the black hole that bubble
lending put them in. They announce their quarterly results, with all the
details – they don’t even try to hide them anymore – and they’re ignored or
the con is traded on for short term profits.
“Citigroup’s net income declined 37 percent, to
$2.7 billion, and Bank of America’s net income fell 3 percent, to $3.1
billion, from a year earlier. Both banks padded those results with a big
release of funds that had been set aside to cover future loan losses,
with executives citing improvements in the economy.”
Business Week reports that Citigroup flip flopped
on the value of assets acquired with Merrill Lynch and magic happened:
“Citigroup also got $599 million of mark-ups on
loans and securities in a “special asset pool” of trading positions left
over from before the credit crisis. Citigroup booked a $447 million gain
from writing down the value of its own debt, under an accounting
rule that allows companies to profit when their
creditworthiness declines. The rules reflect the possibility that a
company could buy back its own liabilities at a discount, which under
traditional accounting methods would result in a profit.
About $1.2 billion of Bank of America’s revenue
came from writing down the value of obligations assumed from its
purchase of Merrill Lynch & Co., according to the bank’s CFO,
Charles Noski.”
Sydney Finkelstein, the Steven Roth
professor of management at the Tuck School of Business at
Dartmouth College, also pointed out that Bank of America
booked a $2.2 billion gain by increasing the value
of Merrill Lynch’s assets it acquired last quarter to prices
that were higher than Merrill kept them.
“Although perfectly legal, this move
is also perfectly delusional, because some day soon these
assets will be written down to their fair value, and it
won’t be pretty,” he said.
John Talbott, meanwhile,
explains today why Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner
doesn’t want watchdog Elizabeth Warren as the head of the new post-reform
consumer protection agency – she’ll prevent banks from making money off the
little guy while lending and trading remain unreliable profit drivers.
“Hank Paulson, the Treasury Secretary at the
time, had announced that the $700 billion TARP funds would be used to
buy toxic assets like bad mortgage loans from the commercial banks. But
this never happened and now the amount of bad bank loans has increased
in the trillions. Immediately after receiving authorization of the
funding for TARP from Congress, Paulson reversed direction and decided
to make direct equity investments in the banks rather than using the
TARP funds to acquire their bad loans.
So where are the trillions of dollars of bad
loans that the banks had on their books? They are still there. The
Federal Reserve took possession temporarily of some of them as
collateral for lending to the banks in an attempt to clean up the banks
for their supposed” stress tests”. But as of now, the trillions of
dollars of underwater mortgages, CDO’s and worthless credit default
swaps are still on the banks books. Geithner is going to the familiar
“bank in crisis” playbook and hoping that the banks can earn their way
out of their solvency problems over time so the banks are continuing to
slowly write off their problem loans but at a rate that will take years,
if not decades, to clean up the problem.”
Paul Krugman predicted this roller coaster ride
with bank earnings back in October, in particular with regard to Bank of
America and Citigroup. What he missed is that when trading profits are down
too, the banks – with the assistance of their auditors advice – must be
ever more creative to avoid having to write off those bad assets all at once
or without cover.
…while the wheeler-dealer side of the financial
industry, a k a trading operations, is highly profitable again, the part
of banking that really matters — lending, which fuels investment and job
creation — is not. Key banks remain financially weak, and their weakness
is hurting the economy as a whole.
You may recall that earlier this year there was
a big debate about how to get the banks lending again. Some analysts,
myself included, argued that at least some major banks needed a large
injection of capital from taxpayers, and that the only way to do this
was to temporarily nationalize the most troubled banks. The debate faded
out, however, after Citigroup and Bank of America, the banking system’s
weakest links, announced surprise profits. All was well, we were told,
now that the banks were profitable again.
But a funny thing happened on the way back to a
sound banking system: last week both Citi and BofA announced losses in
the third quarter. What happened?
Part of the answer is that those earlier
profits were in part a figment of the accountants’ imaginations.”
I’ve told you more than once that Citigroup is
still a mess. Anyone who isn’t a senior insider is nuts to buy their stock
or count on them for a job or business. Listen to me talk about AIG, Bank of
America and Citigroup, “an accident waiting to happen,” at the 8:15 mark on
this video for Stocktwits TV recorded June 3, 2010.
. . .
Both AIG and Goldman Sachs executives have been
questioned recently by the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission.. The
Commission seeks to “examine the causes, domestic and global, of the current
financial and economic crisis in the United States.” We’ve also seen Lehman
executives called to account by Congressional inquisitors.
But we’ve yet to see the auditors – Pricewaterhouse
Coopers (auditor of AIG, Goldman Sachs, and Freddie Mac), Ernst & Young
(auditor of Lehman) or KPMG (auditor of Citigroup, previously of
Countrywide, Wells Fargo and Wachovia and earlier of Fannie Mae) – called to
testify to explain their role in blessing fraudulent bank balance sheet
accounting.
Isn’t it about time?
July 19, 2010 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Francine,
Here’s an important citation on this topic --- my favorite!
My all-time heroes Frank Partnoy and Lynn Turner contend that Wall Street
bank accounting is an exercise in writing fiction: Watch the video! (a bit
slow loading) Lynn Turner is Partnoy's co-author of the white paper "Make
Markets Be Markets" "Bring Transparency to Off-Balance Sheet Accounting," by
Frank Partnoy, Roosevelt Institute, March 2010 ---
http://makemarketsbemarkets.org/modals/report_off.php
Watch the above video!
Abusive off-balance sheet accounting was a major
cause of the financial crisis. These abuses triggered a daisy chain of
dysfunctional decision-making by removing transparency from investors,
markets, and regulators. Off-balance sheet accounting facilitating the
spread of the bad loans, securitizations, and derivative transactions that
brought the financial system to the brink of collapse.
As in the 1920s, the balance sheets of major
corporations recently failed to provide a clear picture of the financial
health of those entities. Banks in particular have become predisposed to
narrow the size of their balance sheets, because investors and regulators
use the balance sheet as an anchor in their assessment of risk. Banks use
financial engineering to make it appear that they are better capitalized and
less risky than they really are. Most people and businesses include all of
their assets and liabilities on their balance sheets. But large financial
institutions do not.
Lynn Turner has the unique
perspective of having been the Chief Accountant of the Securities and
Exchange Commission, a member of boards of public companies, a trustee of a
mutual fund and a public pension fund, a professor of accounting, a partner
in one of the major international auditing firms, the managing director of a
research firm and a chief financial officers and an executive in industry.
In 2007, Treasury Secretary Paulson appointed him to the Treasury Committee
on the Auditing Profession. He currently serves as a senior advisor to LECG,
an international forensics and economic consulting firm.
The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not
necessarily reflect the positions of the Roosevelt Institute, its officers,
or its directors.
Bob Jensen
July 19, 2010 message from Steven Kachelmeier, University of Texas at Austin
[kach@MAIL.UTEXAS.EDU]
An article by Kanagaretnam,
Krishnan, and Lobo that is forthcoming in the November 2010 issue of The
Accounting Review is the most recent effort on this topic of which I am
aware. You can find it on the SSRN network at:
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1590506 .
The title is "An Empirical
Analysis of Auditor Independence in the Banking Insustry," but don't be
fooled by the title -- it's about manipulation of banks' loan loss reserves,
with an emphasis on how auditors bear upon that phenomenon. Kanagaretnam et
al. (2010) also cite most of the earlier studies on earnings management
involving bank loan loss reserves. Kiridan Kanagaretnam is at McMaster
University, Gopal Krishnan is at Lehigh University, and Gerald Lobo is at
the University of Houston.
I have briefly gone through this paper. Its main
thesis is that there is lack of an association between banks fiddling with
earnings via LLLP (loan loss provisions) and "unexpected" audit fees for
large banks, while for the small banks that association is strongly
negative. The authors consider this evidence of a relationship between audit
independence and earnings management at least in the case of smaller banks.
They provide a blizzard of regressions and other data.
The paper is interesting from a policy perspective,
and would be a great paper in a policy oriented economics journal. I am glad
for the authors that it got accepted. However, does it have a bearing on
accounting' practice beyond setting the regulators on a chase of auditors of
small banks? Does it give us a better way of computing LLP? Does it give us
a way of finding out the reliability of the LLP number? Does it even tell us
if the LLP numbers are more (or less) reliable for the larger banks? Does
the age distribution of the loan portfolio vary between the two types of
banks? What is the distribution of auditors between the two types of banks?
There are a host of questions that should be triggered by this thread. Of
course, the authors pick the hypothesis they want to study, but an
accounting or auditing orientation (as opposed to "about" accounting
orientation in Sterling's language) would make a lot more sense for is
accountants.
The other issue, endemic to most of these types of
papers is the oblique way of introducing causality (a definite no-no for a
positivist) to obfuscate discussions. Figure 1 in the paper is what is
usually called a path graph giving the trace of causality (the direction of
the arrows indicating causality), but the statistical analysis is entirely
associational. Statistical techniques have existed for causal analysis for
almost half a century, but accounticians have uniformly pretended they do
not exist. Stating the models in causal terms but testing them
associationally is certainly less than truthful advertising. Unless, of
course, I am misstating the model, which I doubt. I have been in this game
for too long.
Nothing I have said above should be construed as
indicating my doubt on the questions raised by the authors; they should be
of great interest to a policy oriented audience. It is just that when it
comes to accounting practice, they are trying to sell kryptonite or worse.
Jagdish Gangolly (gangolly@albany.edu)
Department of Informatics College of Computing &
Information
State University of New York at Albany
7A, Harriman Campus Road, Suite 220 Albany, NY 12206 Phone: (518) 956-8251,
Fax: (518) 956-8247
Benford's Law: It's interesting to read the "Silly" comments that
follow the article.
"Benford's Law And A Theory of Everything: A new relationship
between Benford's Law and the statistics of fundamental physics may hint at a
deeper theory of everything," MIT's Technology Review. May 7, 2010
---
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/arxiv/25155/?nlid=2963
In 1938, the physicist Frank Benford made an
extraordinary discovery about numbers. He found that in many lists of
numbers drawn from real data, the leading digit is far more likely to be a 1
than a 9. In fact, the distribution of first digits follows a logarithmic
law. So the first digit is likely to be 1 about 30 per cent of time while
the number 9 appears only five per cent of the time.
That's an unsettling and counterintuitive
discovery. Why aren't numbers evenly distributed in such lists? One answer
is that if numbers have this type of distribution then it must be scale
invariant. So switching a data set measured in inches to one measured in
centimetres should not change the distribution. If that's the case, then the
only form such a distribution can take is logarithmic.
But while this is a powerful argument, it does
nothing to explan the existence of the distribution in the first place.
Then there is the fact that Benford Law seems to
apply only to certain types of data. Physicists have found that it crops up
in an amazing variety of data sets. Here are just a few: the areas of lakes,
the lengths of rivers, the physical constants, stock market indices, file
sizes in a personal computer and so on.
However, there are many data sets that do not
follow Benford's law, such as lottery and telephone numbers.
What's the difference between these data sets that
makes Benford's law apply or not? It's hard to escape the feeling that
something deeper must be going on.
Today, Lijing Shao and Bo-Qiang Ma at Peking
University in China provide a new insight into the nature of Benford's law.
They examine how Benford's law applies to three kinds of statistical
distributions widely used in physics.
These are: the Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution which
is a probability measure used to describe the distribution of the states of
a system; the Fermi-Dirac distribution which is a measure of the energies of
single particles that obey the Pauli exclusion principle (ie fermions); and
finally the Bose-Einstein distribution, a measure of the energies of single
particles that do not obey the Pauli exclusion principle (ie bosons).
Lijing and Bo-Qiang say that the Boltzmann-Gibbs
and Fermi-Dirac distributions distributions both fluctuate in a periodic
manner around the Benford distribution with respect to the temperature of
the system. The Bose Einstein distribution, on the other hand, conforms to
benford's Law exactly whatever the temperature is.
What to make of this discovery? Lijing and Bo-Qiang
say that logarithmic distributions are a general feature of statistical
physics and so "might be a more fundamental principle behind the complexity
of the nature".
That's an intriguing idea. Could it be that
Benford's law hints at some kind underlying theory that governs the nature
of many physical systems? Perhaps.
But what then of data sets that do not conform to
Benford's law? Any decent explanation will need to explain why some data
sets follow the law and others don't and it seems that Lijing and Bo-Qiang
are as far as ever from this.
It's interesting to read the "Silly" comments
that follow the article.
I hope that you are doing well. I remember that
we've spoken with each other, but the details are hazy now. We wpoke about
your home in NEw Hampshire and so it was around the time of you moving up
north.
Your website is one where I can start reading and
an hour later feel that I've just scratched the surface and need to come
back for more.
You mention Benford's Law on your site (see
attached) and I was hoping that you could reference my new book (especially
since it's been 13 years since my JOA 1999 article).
In "Benford's Law: Applications for forensic
accounting, auditing, and fraud detection" (Wiley, 2012) author Mark Nigrini,
a pioneer in forensic accounting, describes the mathematical foundations of
Benford’s Law in a way that is easily understood by accounting and other
business-related professionals. He then shows many examples of authentic and
accurate data that conformed to Benford’s Law—and the fraudulent and
invented numbers that did not. Nigrini goes way beyond the first digits test
and outlines a series of digit- and number-based tests called the Nigrini
Cycle. These tests are based on the state-of-the-art with respect to the
mathematics underlying Benford’s Law. The companion website
http://www.nigrini.com/benfordslaw.htm has
free Excel templates, data sets, photos, and other interesting items.
Abstract:
Putting an end to the “earnings game” requires that
CEOs reclaim the initiative by avoiding earnings guidance and managing
expectations in such a way that their stocks trade reasonably close to their
intrinsic value. In place of earnings forecasts, management should provide
information about the company's strategic goals and main value drivers. They
should also discuss the risks associated with the strategies, and
management's plans to deal with them.
Using the experiences of several companies, the authors illustrate the
dangers of conforming to market pressures for unrealistic growth targets.
They argue that an overvalued stock, by encouraging overpriced acquisitions
and other risky, value-destroying bets, can be as damaging to the long-run
health of a company as an undervalued stock.
CEOs and CFOs put themselves in a bind by providing earnings guidance and
then making decisions designed to meet Wall Street's expectations for
quarterly earnings. When earnings appear to be coming in short of
projections, top managers often react by suggesting or demanding that middle
and lower level managers redo their forecasts, plans, and budgets. In some
cases, top executives simply acquiesce to increasingly unrealistic analyst
forecasts and adopt them as the basis for setting organizational goals and
developing internal budgets. But in cases where external expectations are
impossible to meet, either approach sets up the firm and its managers for
failure and in the process value is destroyed.
Keywords:
Value Maximization, Overvaluation, Incentives, Managing Earnings, Analyst
Expectations, Managing Wall Street, Earnings Guidance, Financial Reporting,
Budgeting Process
Oldie But Goodie
"Earnings Manipulation, Pension Assumptions and Managerial Investment Decisions"
Daniel Bergstresser Harvard Business School
Joshua D. Rauh Northwestern University - Department of Finance; National Bureau
of Economic Research (NBER)
Mihir A. Desai Harvard Business School - Finance Unit; National Bureau of
Economic Research (NBER)
SSRN, May 2005 ---
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=551681
Managers appear to manipulate firm earnings through
their characterizations of pension assets to capital markets and alter
investment decisions to justify, and capitalize on, these manipulations.
Managers are more aggressive with assumed long-term rates of return when
their assumptions have a greater impact on reported earnings. Firms use
higher assumed rates of return when they prepare to acquire other firms,
when they issue equity, when they are near critical earnings thresholds and
when their managers exercise stock options. Changes in assumed returns, in
turn, influence pension plan asset allocations. Instrumental variables
analysis indicates that 25 basis point increases in assumed rates are
associated with 5 percent increases in equity allocations.
The MAAW site has two special links for fraud
and creative accounting:
Professor Martin places every
article and book he finds related to fraud on the following pages:
For Some Firms, a Case of 'Quadrophobia'
Study Suggests Companies Tweak Per-Share Earnings to Meet Expectations;
4 Is a Lonely Number By SCOTT THURM A new study provides further
evidence suggesting many companies tweak quarterly earnings to meet
investor expectations, and the companies that adjust most often are more
likely to restate earnings or be charged with accounting violations. The
study, which examined nearly half a million earnings reports over a
27-year period, reached its conclusion by going beyond the standard
per-share earnings results that are reported in pennies and analyzing
the numbers down to the 10th of a cent. That deeper look showed that
companies tend to nudge their earnings numbers up by a 10th of a cent or
two. That lets them round results up to the highest cent. Investors
often snap up shares of companies that beat earnings expectations, even
by a cent, and, likewise, sell off shares of companies that don't make
their numbers. "Managements will exercise accounting discretion to try
to make their numbers look better for Wall Street … in a number of
subtle ways," said Joseph Grundfest, one of the study's authors. Mr.
Grundfest is a law professor at Stanford University and a former member
of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Mr. Grundfest and co-author
Nadya Malenko, a doctoral candidate at the Stanford Graduate School of
Business, said the accounting maneuvers may be legal, even when they
have the effect of boosting reported earnings per share. Most of the
tactics involve judgment calls, such as the value of inventory or the
amount that should be set aside for loans that won't be repaid. The
Securities and Exchange Commission declined to comment.
The authors' conclusions rest on a simple piece
of statistical analysis. When they ran the earnings-per-share numbers
down to a 10th of a cent, they found that the number "4" appeared less
often in the 10ths place than any other digit, and significantly less
often than would be expected by chance. They dub the effect "quadrophobia."
The amounts of money involved can be small. For the typical company in
the study, an increase of $31,000 in quarterly net income would boost
earnings per share by a 10th of a cent. But the overall effect is
striking. In theory, each digit should appear in the 10ths place 10% of
the time. After reviewing nearly 489,000 quarterly results for 22,000
companies from 1980 to 2006, however, the authors found that "4"
appeared in the 10ths place only 8.5% of the time. Both "2" and "3" also
are underrepresented in the 10ths place; all other digits show up more
frequently than expected by chance. Companies tracked by Wall Street
analysts are less likely to report "4s" in the 10ths place of an
earnings-per-share figure particularly when their results are close to
analysts' predictions. Companies with high price-to-earnings ratios also
report fewer "4s." Continued:
The United States is doing an awful job controlling sucker punches in
governmental accounting and auditing so I will pass over this one other than to
point out where you can read about it and weep for the suckers ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#GovernmentalAccounting
I like to think about accountancy standard setting like I think about prize
fighting or Olympic boxing. In prize fighting rules are established to prevent
such things as cheating about the weight classifications of fighters and
prevention of putting steel clamps inside boxing gloves. There are also rules to
prevent sucker punches such as hitting below the belt and before or after the
bell rings for each round. As fighters take advantages of weaknesses in the
rules, rule makers issue new rulings such as rulings on performance enhancing
drugs.
In the roaring technology firm era of the 1990s, there were many startup
companies that took advantages of weaknesses in FASB and SEC standards,
particularly weaknesses on newer ploys to mislead investors with sucker punches
in revenue accounting ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ecommerce/eitf01.htm
The FASB made significant progress thus far in the 21st Century in setting
rules against some of the sucker punches that were invented in the roaring
1990s. The IASB is still trying to catch up, and delays in catching up for some
sucker punches like securitization accounting are delaying the SEC roadmap for
eliminating US GAAP and replace it with international IASB standards for
preventing sucker punches.
All this now begs the question of how managers of
corporations are adapting to new accounting/financing rules with
innovative sucker punches.
HOW do you pump up the value of your company in
these difficult times? One tried and tested way is to hoodwink equity
analysts, according to a new study* of 1,300 corporate bosses, board
directors and analysts.
The authors found that chief executives commonly
respond to negative appraisals from Wall Street by managing appearances,
rather than making changes that actually improve corporate governance:
boards are made more formally independent, but without actually increasing
their ability to control management. This is typically done by hiring
directors who, although they may have no business ties to the company, are
socially close to its top brass. According to James Westphal, one of the
study’s co-authors, some 45% of the members of nominating committees on the
boards of large American firms have “friendship” ties to the boss—though
this varies widely from company to company.
The tactic pays off with appreciably higher
ratings. At firms that make a strenuous effort to persuade analysts that
such board changes have boosted independence, and thus made management more
accountable, the likelihood of a subsequent stock upgrade rises by 36%, the
study concluded. The chance of a downgrade, meanwhile, falls by 45%.
Why do analysts swallow this self-interested
narrative? Respondents acknowledged that social ties could undermine
independence, but most said they do not have the time to look into such
issues. It would help if companies disclosed such relationships in their
standard company literature, suggests Mr Westphal. He thinks they should
also list shared appointments—when the boss and a director sit together on
another firm’s board.
Depressingly, these market-distorting shenanigans
are part of a pattern. An earlier study found that public companies commonly
enjoy lasting share-price gains from plans that please analysts, such as
share buybacks and long-term incentive schemes for executives, even when
they fail to follow through on announcements. Another concluded that the
further a firm’s profits fall below consensus forecasts, the more favours
its managers bestow on analysts—such as recommending them for jobs and even
securing club memberships for them—and the lower the likelihood of a further
downgrade. If investors rated analysts, those taken in by such blatant
attempts at manipulation would surely earn a “sell”.
Abstract:
I examine whether managers use discretion in the two accounts related to
revenue recognition, accounts receivable and deferred revenue, to avoid
three common earnings benchmarks. I find that managers use discretion in
both accounts to avoid negative earnings surprises. I find that neither of
these accounts is used to avoid losses or earnings decreases. For a common
sample of firms with both deferred revenue and accounts receivable, I show
that managers prefer to exercise discretion in deferred revenue vis-à-vis
accounts receivable. I provide a reason for why managers might prefer to
manage a deferral rather than an accrual: lower costs to manage (i.e., no
future cash consequences). My results suggest that if given the choice,
managers prefer to use accounts that incur the lowest costs to the firm.
Thank you for the heads up Francine!
"Fifteen Risk Factors for Poor Governance A self-diagnostic to identify risk
factors for poor governance and reporting," by Walter Smiechewicz (who at
one time worked for the scandalous Countrywide), Directorship, September
8, 2009 ---
http://www.directorship.com/fifteen-risk-factors-for-poor-governance/
Some of the best indicators of our overall physical
health come from blood tests. Unfortunately, too often we don’t begin to
watch and manage these numbers until later on in life. Of course, it’s never
too late to improve your diet and exercise, but we’re always left thinking,
“if only I’d paid attention to this earlier.”
With so many recent corporate crises, it is plain
it’s suffice to say that a great many corporate board members and executives
are experiencing similar regret right now. Perhaps this could have been
avoided if they too had practiced routine diagnostic check ups. Like an
individual blood test, board members need to know the risks their company is
facing, and as with any health risk, they also need to be able to mitigate
those exposures.
Sounds great, but the devils in the details, right?
Perhaps not.
As chief consultant for governance and risk at
Audit Integrity, I’ve examined the worst U.S. companies from an “integrity”
standpoint in order to help board members and general auditors see how their
company’s health stacks up. Audit Integrity’s metrics have shown which
companies are 10 times more likely to face SEC Actions; five times more
likely to face class action litigation; and four times more likely to face
bankruptcy.
Using Audit Integrity’s proprietary AGR
(Accounting, Governance, and Risk) score, 196 companies were identified as
laggards or high-risk companies. These companies have been proven to have
higher odds of SEC actions and class action litigation, loss of shareholder
value, and increased odds of material financial restatement and bankruptcy.
All are North American, non-financial, publicly traded companies with over
$2 billion in market capitalization with an average-to-weak financial
condition.
Next, I tested the 119 metrics that Audit Integrity
flags and discovered that 15 of those metrics appeared consistently as
identifiers of problematic companies; the first metric was prevalent in 65
percent of the 196 high-risk companies and the 11th evident in 40 percent.
The other 8,000 companies tested had low incidences of these same metrics. A
list – dubbed the Risky Business Catalogue – details the common metrics
within high-risk companies. Board members, the C-suite, and general auditors
should note if their company is a candidate for the RBC. The evidence is not
saying that significant issues are imminent if a company has one of the RBCs,
but a combination of RBC metrics indicate risk factors to the entity’s
business model and strategy.
RBC’s metrics include:
1. The company has entered into a merger within the
last 12 months. While there is certainly nothing wrong with corporate M&A
activity, it’s common for policies to be revised and system integrations to
be rushed. Company directors need to caution general auditors to be extra
vigilant post merger and increase testing of balance sheet accounts.
2. The CEO and CFO’s compensation is more highly
weighted toward incentive compensation than base compensation. This
situation can cause negative motivations and earnings to be increased more
creatively to ensure a larger portion of executive pay packages. Close
attention should be paid to revenue recognition.
3. The Board Chairman is also the CEO. An age-old
debate, but indispuditedly conflicts of interest invariably result when a
company CEO is also its Chairman. Separate the roles to improve governance
and reduce compromised oversight.Compromised reliability exists because the
very architecture of governance has a built in conflict when the Chairman is
also CEO.
4. The company has undergone a restructuring in the
last 12 months. Restructuring may be completely valid, but also can be
employed to conceal the lack of sustainable earnings growth. Directors, by
role definition, should be intimately involved in restructuring procedures
decisions and promised outcomes.
5. The company has encountered a public regulatory
action in the last 12 months. Many corporate stakeholders hold true to the
statement that where there’s smoke, there’s fire. Directors should no longer
accept “no worries” explanations on regulatory matters. Compliance tests
should be employed routinely and if regulatory action does occur, management
needs to take action.
6. The amount of goodwill carried on the balance
sheet, when compared to total assets, is high. When intangible assets such
as goodwill grow, boards should ask more probing questions about how the
business model generated these assets and about concomitant valuation
protocols. General Auditors should confirm that models are comprehensively
back tested and impairment procedures are adhered to assiduously.
7. The ratio of the CEO’s total compensation to
that of the CFO is high. If a CEO is awarded a much larger paycheck than
anyone else (particularly particularally the CFO), it increases governance
risk and leads to a top-directed culture, thus limiting collaboration.
Boards need to be involved in all executive compensation issues including
that which drives pay packages for the CFO, Chief Risk Officer, as well as
internal auditors,. etc.
8. Operating revenue is high when compared to
operating expenses. Riskier companies have revenue recognition in excess of
what is expected based on operating revenues. Directors should fully
understand revenue recognition policies and instruct management to test them
to be sure they are not aggressive.
9. A Divestiture(s) has occurred in the last 12
months. Data shows that riskier companies have more divestures, usually
because it is an opportunity for more aggressive accounting activity. Board
members should inquire as to how this action fits the strategy.
10. Debt to equity ratio is high. When a business
relies too heavily on debt it reveals that markets are not independently
funding the business model or strategy. Boards should know why the markets
are not investing in their entity and therefore why debt is so heavily
relied upon. Board members should also be knowledgeable on the quality of
their equity and not just the amount. Lastly, they should understand
management’s funding overall funding strategy and the strength of contingent
funding plans.
11. A repurchase of company stock has taken place
in the last 12 months. A repurchase of stock is usually presented to
investors as an avenue to increase market demand for the stock, thereby
elevating overall shareholder value. Management must provide reasoning for
why there are no other ways to invest excess funds. Boards should also
request the general auditor to review insider sales during the period of
share repurchase programs.
12. Inventory valuations to total revenue is
increasing. When inventory increases in relation to revenue it should raise
control questions about inventory valuation. It could indicate changing
consumer preferences, which should spur an analysis of a corporation’s
business model.
13. Accounts receivables to sales is increasing.
This situation can typically be indicative of relaxed credit standards.
Directors should ask whether sales are decreasing due to market conditions
and instruct the general auditor to probe receivables to determine their
viability.
14. Asset turnover has slowed when compared to
industry peers. If assets are increasing and sales are not flowing it could
indicate less productive assets are being brought, or retained, on the
balance sheet. Conversely, if sales are decreasing, executives and auditors
will again want to analyze changing customer preferences.
15. Assets driven by financial models make up a
larger portion of balance sheet. A collection of other accounting metrics
indicates that boards, the C-suite, and general auditors should pay special
attention to the controls, assumptions, and governance surrounding assets
whose valuations are model driven. This is particularly true if assets that
are valued by financial models make up a larger portion of the entities
balance sheet.
To be sure, any one of these in isolation as an
indicator of accounting and governance risk can be debated. Company
divestitures and M&A can be a healthy indicator. But if a corporation fails
more than a few of these metrics, board members need to take action.
It is easy to dismiss any one of these metrics when
you find it is an issue in your company. Human nature is quick to retort –
maybe for others but not for us. However, like time and tide, the numbers
too, wait for no one. So, if you have any of these AGR metrics, you need to
begin confronting these risk characteristics today to improve your corporate
health and avoid the much more drastic financial equivalent of
cardiovascular surgery tomorrow.
Walter Smiechewicz is chief consultant for governance and risk at
Audit Integrity, a research firm that provides accounting and governance
risk analysis
December 5, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Here are some added thoughts:
The risk factors are excerpted from AICPA
Statement on Auditing Standards 82, “Consideration of Fraud in a Financial
Statement Audit” (1997). That statement was issued to provide guidance to
auditors in fulfilling their responsibility “to plan and perform the audit
to obtain reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are
free of material misstatement, whether caused by error or fraud.” Although
there risk factor cover a broad range of situations, they are only examples.
In the final analysis, audit committee members should use sound informed
judgment when assessing the significance and relevance of fraud risk factors
that may exist.
http://www2.gsu.edu/~wwwseh/Financial Reporting Red Flags.pdf
There may be an update on this material.
Abstract:
This study examines the association between CFO equity incentives and
earnings management. CEO equity incentives have been shown to be associated
with accruals management and the likelihood of beating analyst forecasts (Bergstresser
and Philippon, 2006; Cheng and Warfield, 2005). Because CFOs’ primary
responsibility is financial reporting, CFO incentives should play a stronger
role than those of the CEO. We find that the magnitude of accruals and the
likelihood of beating analyst forecasts are more sensitive to CFO equity
incentives than to those of the CEO. Our evidence supports the SEC’s new
disclosure requirement on CFO compensation.
Question
At this juncture why would IBM spend almost $10 billion for its own shares?
Hint
The wildly-popular eps ratio has a denominator.
IBM Corp. has boosted its stock buyback program by $5 billion, a sign of the
company's ability to spit out cash despite the fact the recession has choked off
revenue growth.
The announcement Tuesday brings IBM's pot for stock repurchases to $9.2 billion,
and the company, based in Armonk, N.Y., plans to ask for more at a board meeting
in April 2010. IBM said it has spent $73 billion on dividends and buybacks since
2003.
Buybacks are one lever companies pull to meet earnings targets, since they
increase earnings per share by reducing the number of shares outstanding. IBM
has set aggressive earnings targets, and twice this year raised its profit
forecast for 2009, surprising investors since revenue has fallen since last
year. IBM has said it sees corporate spending on technology "stabilizing." One
way IBM wrings more profit despite lower sales is by using software to automate
certain tasks done by humans and focusing on projects like the "smart" power
grid that can carry higher profit margins than other services work.
IBM's current forecasts call for earnings per share of at least $9.85 this year,
and the company has maintained that it is "well ahead" of its pace for 2010
earnings of $10 to $11 per share.
IBM ended the third quarter with $11.5 billion in cash. Free cash flow, a sign
of a company's ability to generate more cash, was $3.4 billion, up $1.3 billion
from a year ago. Revenue in the past nine months is down nearly 11 percent from
a year ago.
Certainly it’s widely viewed in the financial analyst community that IBM is
trying to prop up eps with share buy backs: “Jul 16, 2009 ... (As if anyone except Wall
Street cared about EPS, which IBM largely makes ... of
dollars it expends buying up mountains of its own shares.” ... www.theregister.co.uk/2009/07/16/ibm_q2_2009_numbers
/
Time and time again
executives manage earnings in demonstration that many (most?) do not believe in
efficient markets and strongly believe PT Barnum’s famous quote: “A sucker is
born every minute.”
European-Styled Avoidance of Fair Value Earnings Hits for Loan Loss
Impairments
European banks circumvented earnings hits for anticipated billions in loan
losses by a number of ploys, including arguments regarding transitory price
movements, "dynamic provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning debt into
assets with fair value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
European banks resorted to a number of misleading ploys to avoid taking fair
value adjustment hits to prevent earnings hits due to required fair value
adjustments of investments that crashed such a investments in the bonds of
Greece, Ireland, Spain, and Portugal.
The Market Transitory Movements Argument
Fair value adjustments can be avoided if they are viewed as temporary transitory
market fluctuations expected to recover rather quickly. This argument was used
inappropriately by European banks hold billions in the Greece, Ireland,
Spain, and Portugal after the price declines could hardly be viewed as
transitory. The head of the IASB at the time, David Tweedie, strongly objected
to the failure to write down financial instruments to fair value. The banks, in
turn, threatened to pressure the EU lawmakers to override the IFRS 9 requirement
to adjust such value declines to market.
One of the major concerns of the is that
some nations at some points in time will simply not enforce the IASB standards
that these nations adopted. The biggest problem that the IASB was having with
European Banks is that the IASB felt many of many (actually most) EU banks were
not conforming to standards for marking financial instruments to market (fair
value). But the IASB was really helpless in appealing to IFRS enforcement in
this regard.
When the realities of European bank political powers, the IASB quickly caved
in as follows with a ploy that allowed European banks to lie about intent to
hold to maturity. The banks would probably love to unload those loser bonds as
quickly as possible before default, but they could instead claim that these
investments were intended to be held to maturity --- a game of make pretend that
the IASB went along with under the political circumstances.
European Union banks would
have more breathing space from losses on Greek bonds if the bloc adopted a
new international accounting rule, a top standard setter said on Tuesday.
The International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) agreed under intense pressure during the financial
crisis to soften a rule that requires banks to price traded assets at fair
value or the going market rate.
This led to huge writedowns,
sparking fire sales to plug holes in regulatory capital.
The new IFRS 9 rule would
allow banks to price assets at cost if they are being held over time.
The European Commission has
yet to sign off on the new rule for it to be effective in the 27-nation
bloc, saying it wants to see remaining parts of the rule finalized first.
Only a few years ago,
Spain’s
banks were seen in some policy-making circles as a
model for the rest of the world. This may be hard to fathom now, considering
that Spain is seeking $125 billion to bail out its ailing lenders.
But back in 2008 and early 2009, Spanish regulators
were
riding high after their country’s banks seemed to
have dodged the financial crisis with minimal losses. A big reason for their
success, the regulators said, was an accounting technique called dynamic
provisioning.
By this, they meant that Spain’s banks had set
aside rainy- day loan-loss reserves on their books during boom years. The
purpose, they said, was to build up a buffer in good times for use in bad
times.
This isn’t the way accounting standards usually
work. Normally the rules say companies can record losses, or provisions,
only when bad loans are specifically identified. Spanish regulators said
they were trying to be countercyclical, so that any declines in lending and
the broader economy would be less severe.
What’s now obvious is that Spain’s banks weren’t
reporting all of their losses when they should have, dynamically or
otherwise. One of the catalysts for last weekend’s bailout request was the
decision last month by the
Bankia (BKIA) group, Spain’s third-largest lender,
to restate its 2011 results to show a 3.3 billion-euro ($4.2 billion) loss
rather than a 40.9 million-euro profit. Looking back, we probably
should have known Spain’s banks would end up this
way, and that their reported financial results bore no relation to reality.
Name Calling
Dynamic provisioning is a euphemism for an old
balance- sheet trick called
cookie-jar accounting. The point of the technique
is to understate past profits and shift them into later periods, so that
companies can mask volatility and bury future losses. Spain’s banks began
using the method in 2000 because their regulator, the
Bank of Spain,
required them to.
“Dynamic loan loss provisions can help deal with
procyclicality in banking,” Bank of Spain’s director of financial stability,
Jesus Saurina, wrote in a July 2009
paper published by the
World
Bank. “Their anticyclical nature enhances the
resilience of both individual banks and the banking system as a whole. While
there is no guarantee that they will be enough to cope with all the credit
losses of a downturn, dynamic provisions have proved useful in Spain during
the current financial crisis.”
The danger with the technique is it can make
companies look healthy when they are actually quite ill, sometimes for
years, until they finally deplete their
excess reserves and crash. The practice also
clashed with International Financial Reporting Standards, which Spain
adopted several years ago along with the rest of
Europe. European Union officials knew this and
let Spain proceed with its own brand of accounting anyway.
One of the more candid advocates of Spain’s
approach was Charlie McCreevy, the EU’s commissioner for financial services
from 2004 to 2010, who previously had been Ireland’s finance minister.
During an April 2009 meeting of the
monitoring board that oversees the
International Accounting Standards Board’s
trustees, McCreevy said he knew Spain’s banks were violating the board’s
rules. This was fine with him, he said.
“They didn’t implement IFRS, and our regulations
said from the 1st January 2005 all publicly listed companies had to
implement IFRS,” McCreevy said, according to a
transcript of the meeting on the monitoring
board’s website. “The Spanish regulator did not do that, and he survived
this. His banks have survived this crisis better than anybody else to date.”
Ignoring Rules
McCreevy, who at the time was the chief enforcer of
EU laws affecting banking and markets, went on: “The rules did not allow the
dynamic provisioning that the Spanish banks did, and the Spanish banking
regulator insisted that they still have the dynamic provisioning. And they
did so, but I strictly speaking should have taken action against them.”
Why didn’t he take action? McCreevy said he was a
fan of dynamic provisioning. “Why am I like that? Well, I’m old enough to
remember when I was a young student that in my country that I know best,
banks weren’t allowed to publish their results in detail,” he said. “Why?
Because we felt if everybody saw the reserves, etc., it would create maybe a
run on the banks.”
So to
sum up this way of thinking: The best system is
one that lets banks hide their financial condition from the public. Barring
that, it’s perfectly acceptable for banks to violate accounting standards,
if that’s what it takes to navigate a crisis. The proof is that Spain’s
banks survived the financial meltdown of 2008 better than most others.
Some European financial institutions should have
booked bigger losses on their Greek government bond holdings in recent
results announcements, the International Accounting Standards Board said in
a letter to market regulators.
The criticism comes as Europe’s lenders face calls
to shore up their balance sheets and restore confidence to investors
unnerved by the euro zone debt crisis, funding market jitters and a slowing
economy.
In a letter addressed to the European Securities
and Markets Authority, the I.A.S.B. — which aims to become the global
benchmark for financial reporting — criticized inconsistencies in the way
banks and insurers wrote down the value of their Greek sovereign debt in
second-quarter earnings.
It said “some companies” were not using market
prices to calculate the fair value of their Greek bond holdings, relying
instead on internal models. While some claimed this was because the market
for Greek debt had become illiquid, the I.A.S.B. disagreed.
“Although the level of trading activity in Greek
government bonds has decreased, transactions are still taking place,” the
board chairman Hans Hoogervorst wrote.
The E.S.M.A. was not immediately available for
comment.
The letter, which was posted on the I.A.S.B.’s
website Tuesday after being leaked to the press, did not single out
particular countries or banks.
European banks taking a €3 billion, or $4.2
billion, hit on their Greek bond holdings earlier this month employed
markedly different approaches to valuing the debt.
The writedowns disclosed in their quarterly results
varied from 21 to 50 percent, showing a wide range of views on what they
expect to get back from their holdings.
A 21 percent hit refers to the “haircut” on banking
sector involvement in a planned second bailout of Greece now being
finalized. A 50 percent loss represented the discount markets were expecting
at the end of June, the cut-off period for second-quarter results.
Two French financial companies, the bank BNP
Paribas and insurer CNP Assurances, on Tuesday defended their decision to
use their own valuation models rather than market prices.
“BNP took provisions against its Greece exposure in
full agreement with its auditors and the relevant authorities, in accordance
with the plan decided upon by the European Union on July 21,” a bank
spokeswoman said.
A CNP spokeswoman said the group’s Greek debt
provisions had been calculated in accordance with the E.U. plan and in
agreement with its auditors.
Some investors see the issue as serious, however,
even if the STOXX Europe 600 bank index was trading higher on Tuesday.
“The Greek debt issue has been treated very
lightly,” said Jacques Chahine, head of Luxembourg-based J. Chahine Capital,
which manages €320 billion in assets. “And it’s not just Greek debt — all of
it needs to be written down, Spain, Italy.”
The E.S.M.A. was unable to impose a uniform Greek
“haircut” across the E.U. and its guidance published at the end of July
simply stressed the need for banks to tell investors clearly how they
reflect Greek debt values.
The I.A.S.B. also has no powers of enforcement in
how banks book impairments but is keen to show the United States, which
decides this year whether to adopt I.A.S.B. standards, that its rules are
consistent and properly represent what’s happening in markets.
Auditors warned at the time against a patchwork
approach that will confuse investors and concerns over Greek haircut
reporting will fuel calls for a pan-Europe auditor regulator.
“The impact is more likely to be to further reduce
investors’ confidence in buying bank debt, rather than sovereign debt,” said
Tamara Burnell, head of financial institutions/sovereign research at M&G.
Using the most aggressive markdown approach —
namely marking to market all Greek sovereign holdings — would saddle 19 of
the most exposed European banks with another €6.6 billion in potential
writedowns, according to Citi analysts.
BNP would take the biggest hit with €2.1 billion in
remaining writedowns, followed by Dexia in Belgium with €1.9 billion and
Commerzbank in Germany with €959 million, Citi said.
The European Commission said on Monday that there
was no need to recapitalize the banks over and above what had been agreed
after a recent annual stress test .
Spinning Debt Into Earnings With the Wave of a Fair Value Accounting Wand
"Euro banks' £169bn in accounting alchemy," by: Lindsey White, Financial
Times Advisor, January 19, 2009 --- Click Here
European banks conjured more than £169bn of debt
into profit on their balance sheets in the third quarter of 2008, a leaked
report shows.
Money Managementhas gained exclusive access to a
report from JP Morgan, surveying 43 western European banks.
It shows an exact breakdown of which banks
increased their asset values simply by reclassifying their holdings.
Germany is Europe's largest economy, and was the
first European nation to announce that it was in recession in 2008. Based on
an exchange rate of 1 Euro to £0.89, its two largest banks, Deutsche Bank
and Commerzbank, reclassified £22.2bn and £39bn respectively.
At the same exchange rate, several major UK banks
also made the switch. RBS reclassified £27.1bn of assets, HBOS reclassified
£13.7bn, HSBC reclassified £7.6bn and Lloyds TSB changed £3.2bn. A number of
Nordic and Italian banks also switched debts to become profits.
Banks are allowed to rearrange these staggering
debts thanks to an October 2008 amendment to an International Accounting
Standards law, IAS 39. Speaking to MM, IAS board member Philippe Danjou said
that the amendment was passed in "record time".
The board received special permission to bypass
traditional due process, ushering through the amendment in a matter of days,
in order to allow banks to apply the changes to their third quarter reports.
However, it is unclear how much choice the board
actually had in the matter.
IASB chairman Sir David Tweedie was outspoken in
his opposition to the change, publicly admitting that he nearly resigned as
a result of pressure from European politicians to change the rules.
Danjou also admitted that he had mixed views on the
change, telling MM, "This is not the best way to proceed. We had to do it.
It's a one off event. I'd prefer to go back to normal due process."
While he was reluctant to point fingers at specific
politicians, Danjou admitted that Europe's "largest economies" were the most
insistent on passing the change.
As at December 2008, no major French, Portuguese,
Spanish, Swiss or Irish banks had used the amendment.
BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Danske Bank, Natixis
and Societe Generale were expected to reclassify their assets in the fourth
quarter of 2008.
The amendment was passed to shore up bank balance
sheets and restore confidence in the midst of the current credit crunch. But
it remains to be seen whether reclassifying major debts is an effective
tactic.
"Because the market situation was unique, events
from the outside world forced us to react quickly," said Danjou. "We do not
wish to do it too often. It's risky, and things can get missed."
Jensen Comment
European banks thus circumvented earnings hits for anticipated billions in loan
losses by a number of ploys, including arguments regarding transitory price
movements, "dynamic provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning debt into
assets with fair value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
"Executive Overconfidence and the Slippery Slope to Fraud," by
Catherine M. Schrand University of Pennsylvania - Accounting Department
and Sarah L. C. Zechman University of Chicago Booth School of Business, SSRN,
May 1, 2009 ---
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1265631
Abstract:
We propose that executive overconfidence, defined as having unrealistic
(positive) beliefs about future performance, increases a firm’s propensity
to commit financial reporting fraud. Moderately overconfident executives are
more likely to “borrow” from the future to manage earnings thinking it will
be sufficient to cover reversals. On average, however, they are wrong, and
the managers are compelled to engage in greater earnings management or come
clean. Using industry, firm, and executive level proxies for overconfidence,
we provide evidence consistent with this hypothesis. Additional analysis
suggests a distinction between moderately and extremely overconfident
executives. The extremely overconfident executives are simply opportunistic.
We find no evidence that non-fraud firms have stronger governance to
mitigate fraud.
General Electric Co. agreed to pay a $50 million
fine to the Securities and Exchange Commission to settle civil fraud and
other charges that GE's financial statements in 2002 and 2003 misled
investors.
The fine settles a probe that started in 2005 into
GE's accounting procedures, including financial hedges and revenue
recognition. In a complaint filed with U.S. District Court in Connecticut,
the SEC said the Fairfield, Conn., conglomerate used improper accounting
methods to boost earnings or avoid disappointing investors.
"GE bent the accounting rules beyond the breaking
point," said Robert Khuzami, director of the SEC's Division of Enforcement,
in a prepared statement. "Overly aggressive accounting can distort a
company's true financial condition and mislead investors."
GE agreed to pay the fine without admitting or
denying the SEC's allegations. The SEC noted efforts by GE's audit committee
to correct and improve the company's accounting during the probe. GE twice
restated its financial results and disclosed other errors. The probe led to
several employees being disciplined or fired.
"We are committed to the highest standards of
accounting," said GE spokeswoman Anne Eisele. "While this has been a
difficult and costly process, our controllership processes have been
strengthened as a result, and GE is a stronger company today." GE said it
doesn't need to further correct or revise its financial statements related
to the investigation.
The SEC complaint focused on GE's accounting for
four items over various periods: derivatives, commercial-paper funding,
sales of spare parts and revenue recognition. The commission said GE in 2002
and 2003 reported locomotive sales that hadn't yet occurred in order to
boost revenue by $370 million. A 2002 change in accounting for spare parts
in its aircraft-engine unit increased that year's net income by $585
million, the commission said.
In early 2003, the SEC alleges, GE changed how it
accounted for hedges on its issuances of short-term borrowings known as
commercial paper. The commission said the change boosted GE's pretax
earnings for 2002 by $200 million. Had it not changed the methodology, the
commission said, GE would have missed analysts' earnings estimates for the
first time in eight years, by 1.5 cents.
"Every accounting decision at a company should be
driven by a desire to get it right, not to achieve a particular business
objective," said David P. Bergers, director of the commission's Boston
office, which led the investigation. "GE misapplied the accounting rules to
cast its financial results in a better light."
The settlement resolves the GE accounting inquiry,
but Mr. Bergers said similar SEC investigations of other companies continue.
GE's shares were up 10 cents to $13.82 in 4 p.m.
composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange. Investors and analysts
said the settlement represented closure.
"I feel as though the company has corrected its
practices," said David Weaver, a portfolio manager at Adams Express in
Baltimore, which owns about 1.5 million GE shares. "Going forward, I feel a
little more comfortable with the cleanliness of [GE's earnings] numbers."
Matt Collins, an industrial analyst at Edward Jones
in St. Louis, said the accounting issues had been "frustrating for
investors, but they were never material." He said investors are now focused
on the recession and losses at GE's finance unit.
The SEC under enforcement chief Mr. Khuzami is
trying to close cases older than three years unless they are critical to the
agency's program. The goal is to clear out the pipeline so attorneys can
work on current cases, although one person familiar with the matter said
that wasn't a consideration in this case.
Jensen Comment
GM's auditor, KPMG, is not named in the court paper such that the role auditors
played in allowing GE to push these alleged accounting abuses is not disclosed.
How to play tricks on fair value accounting by "managing" the closing
price of key securities in the portfolio
Painting the Tape (also called Banging the Close) This occurs when a portfolio manager holding a
security buys a few additional shares right at the close of business at an
inflated price. For example, if he held shares in XYZ Corp on the last day of
the reporting period (and it's selling at, say $50), he might put in small
orders at a higher price to inflate the the closing price (which is what's
reported). Do this for a couple dozen stocks in the portfolio, and the reported
performance goes up. Of course, it goes back down the next day, but it looks
good on the annual report.
Jason Zweig, "Pay Attention to That Window Behind the Curtain," The Wall Street
Journal, December 20, 2008 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122973369481523187.html?
PwC Auditors Apparently Let This Massive and Long-Term Accounting Fraud Go
Undetected Price Waterhouse, auditor to Satyam Computer Services
Ltd. (500376.BY), Wednesday said it is examining the contents of Satyam Chairman
B. Ramalinga Raju's statement in which he said Satyam's accounts were falsified.
"We have learnt of the disclosure made by the chairman of Satyam Computer
Services and are currently examining the contents of the statement. We are not
commenting further on this subject due to issues of client confidentiality,"
Price Waterhouse said in an e-mailed statement.
"Price Waterhouse: Currently Examining Satyam Chmn's Statement," Lloyds, January
7, 2008 ---
http://www.lloyds.com/dj/DowJonesArticle.aspx?id=416525
Earlier in the day, Satyam Chairman Raju resigned, admitting to falsifying
company accounts and inflating revenue and profit figures over several years.
Satyam Computer Services, a leading Indian
outsourcing company that serves more than a third of the Fortune 500
companies, significantly inflated its earnings and assets for years, the
chairman and co-founder said Wednesday, roiling Indian stock markets and
throwing the industry into turmoil.
The chairman, Ramalinga Raju, resigned after
revealing that he had systematically falsified accounts as the company
expanded from a handful of employees into a back-office giant with a work
force of 53,000 and operations in 66 countries.
Mr. Raju said Wednesday that 50.4 billion rupees,
or $1.04 billion, of the 53.6 billion rupees in cash and bank loans the
company listed as assets for its second quarter, which ended in September,
were nonexistent.
Revenue for the quarter was 20 percent lower than
the 27 billion rupees reported, and the company’s operating margin was a
fraction of what it declared, he said Wednesday in a letter to directors
that was distributed by the Bombay Stock Exchange.
Satyam serves as the back office for some of the
largest banks, manufacturers, health care and media companies in the world,
handling everything from computer systems to customer service. Clients have
included General Electric, General Motors, Nestlé and the United States
government. In some cases, Satyam is even responsible for clients’ finances
and accounting.
The revelations could cause a major shake-up in
India’s enormous outsourcing industry, analysts said, and may force many
large companies to investigate and perhaps revamp their back offices.
“This development is going to have a major impact
on Satyam’s business with its clients,” said analysts with Religare Hichens
Harrison on Wednesday. In the short term “we will see lot of Satyam’s
clients migrating to competition like Infosys, TCS and Wipro,” they said.
Satyam is the fourth-largest outsourcing firm after the three named.
In the four-and-a-half page letter distributed by
the Bombay stock exchange, Mr. Raju described a small discrepancy that grew
beyond his control. “What started as a marginal gap between actual operating
profit and the one reflected in the books of accounts continued to grow over
the years. It has attained unmanageable proportions as the size of company
operations grew,” he wrote. “It was like riding a tiger, not knowing how to
get off without being eaten.”
Mr. Raju said he had tried and failed to bridge the
gap, including an effort in December to buy two construction firms in which
the company’s founders held stakes. Speaking of a “deep regret” and a
“tremendous burden,” Mr. Raju said that neither he nor the co-founder and
managing director, B. Rama Raju, had “taken one rupee/dollar from the
company.” He said the board had no knowledge of the situation, nor did his
or the managing director’s families.
The size and scope of the fraud raises questions
about regulatory oversight in India and beyond. In addition to India, Satyam
has been listed on the New York Stock Exchange since 2001, and on Euronext
since January of 2008. The company has been audited by
PricewaterhouseCoopers since its listing on the New York Stock exchange.
Satyam has been under close scrutiny in recent
months, after an October report that the company had been banned from World
Bank contracts for installing spy software on some World Bank computers.
Satyam denied the accusation but in December, the World Bank confirmed
without elaboration on the cause that Satyam had been banned. Also in
December, Satyam’s investors revolted after the company proposed buying two
firms with ties to Mr. Raju’s sons.
On Dec. 30, analysts with Forrester Research warned
that corporations that rely on Satyam might ultimately need to stop doing
business with the company. “Firms should take the initial steps of reviewing
the exit clauses in their current Satyam contracts,” in case management or
direction of the company changed, Forrester said.
The scandal raised questions over accounting
standards in India as a whole, as observers asked whether similar problems
might lie buried elsewhere. The risk premium for Indian companies will rise
in investors’ eyes, said Nilesh Jasani, India strategist at Credit Suisse.
R. K. Gupta, managing director at Taurus Asset
Management in New Delhi, told Reuters: “If a company’s chairman himself says
they built fictitious assets, who do you believe here?” The fraud has “put a
question mark on the entire corporate governance system in India,” he said.
SUMMARY: The
found chairman of the Indian outsourcing company Satyam, B.
Ramalinga Raju, wrote a letter of resignation to his Board of
Directors in which he said that he "...overstated profits for
the past several years, overstated the amount of debt owed to
the company and understated its liabilities." Raju prepared the
portion of the financial statements that presented over $1
billion in cash when in fact the cash balances were about $66
million. He finally wrote the letter when "...the scheme reached
'simply unmanageable proportions' and he was left in a position
that was 'like riding a tiger, not knowing how to get off
without being eaten.'" The scandal has raised questions about
the role of the auditors, PricewaterhouseCoopers, and the
company's Board of Directors, particularly its audit committee.
It also has left Indian investors lacking confidence in other
Indian investments.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Auditing and management classes may use this
article to discuss corporate governance issues, the role of the
audit committee, and the question of whether the Satyam Board
contained a financial expert as required by Sarbanes-Oxley and
supporting SEC regulations.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Based on the description in the
article, what methods did Mr. Ramalinga Raju say that he had
used to improperly inflate Satyam's financial results for the
past several years?
2. (Introductory) What financial controls should
prevent fraud, particularly fraud of this magnitude?
3. (Advanced) What audit procedures should Satyam's
auditors, PricewaterhouseCoopers, have undertaken that may have
uncovered the fraud prior to the time of Mr. Raju's letter?
4. (Advanced) What is corporate governance? What role
does accounting and auditing play in upholding proper corporate
governance?
5. (Advanced) Refer to the first related article. What
impact does the Satyam scandal have on the regulatory
environment in India? What factors in India make it difficult,
more difficult than, say, in the U.S., to implement such changes
in corporate governance behaviors?
6. (Advanced) In general, what is the role of an audit
committee in a corporate Board of Trustees? What is the role of
this committee with respect to a fraud, such as this one
committed at Satyam?
7. (Introductory) Refer to the second related article
in which a corporate governance review firm notes that it
questioned Satyam's fulfillment of U.S. requirements for an
audit committee financial expert. What is an audit committee
financial expert under SEC guidelines developed to implement the
requirements of Sarbanes-Oxley?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Greenspan's Disastrous Agency Problem
In political science and economics, the principal-agent problem or agency
dilemma treats the difficulties that arise under conditions of incomplete and
asymmetric information when a principal hires an agent. Various mechanisms may
be used to try to align the interests of the agent with those of the principal,
such as piece rates/commissions, profit sharing, efficiency wages, performance
measurement (including financial statements), the agent posting a bond, or fear
of firing. The principal-agent problem is found in most employer/employee
relationships, for example, when stockholders hire top executives of
corporations. Numerous studies in political science have noted the problems
inherent in the delegation of legislative authority to bureaucratic agencies.
The implementation of legislation (such as laws and executive directives) is
open to bureaucratic interpretation, creating opportunities and incentives for
the bureaucrat-as-agent to deviate from the intentions or preferences of the
legislators. Variance in the intensity of legislative oversight also serves to
increase principal-agent problems in implementing legislative preferences.
Wikipedia ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Agency_theory
Not only have individual financial institutions
become less vulnerable to shocks from underlying risk factors, but also the
financial system as a whole has become more resilient.
Alan Greenspan in 2004 as quoted by Peter S.
Goodman, Taking a Good Look at the Greenspan Legacy," The New York Times,
October 8, 2008 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/09/business/economy/09greenspan.html?em
The problem is not that the contracts
failed, he says. Rather, the people using them got greedy. A lack of
integrity spawned the crisis, he argued in a speech a week ago at Georgetown
University, intimating that those peddling derivatives were not as reliable
as “the pharmacist who fills the prescription ordered by our physician.”
But others hold a starkly different view
of how global markets unwound, and the role that Mr. Greenspan played in
setting up this unrest.
“Clearly, derivatives are a centerpiece of
the crisis, and he was the leading proponent of the deregulation of
derivatives,” said Frank Partnoy, a law professor at the University of San
Diego and an expert on financial regulation.
The derivatives market is $531 trillion,
up from $106 trillion in 2002 and a relative pittance just two decades ago.
Theoretically intended to limit risk and ward off financial problems, the
contracts instead have stoked uncertainty and actually spread risk amid
doubts about how companies value them.
If Mr. Greenspan had acted differently
during his tenure as Federal Reserve chairman from 1987 to 2006, many
economists say, the current crisis might have been averted or muted.
Over the years, Mr. Greenspan helped
enable an ambitious American experiment in letting market forces run free.
Now, the nation is confronting the consequences.
Derivatives were created to soften — or in
the argot of Wall Street, “hedge” — investment losses. For example, some of
the contracts protect debt holders against losses on mortgage securities.
(Their name comes from the fact that their value “derives” from underlying
assets like stocks, bonds and commodities.) Many individuals own a common
derivative: the insurance contract on their homes.
On a grander scale, such contracts allow
financial services firms and corporations to take more complex risks that
they might otherwise avoid — for example, issuing more mortgages or
corporate debt. And the contracts can be traded, further limiting risk but
also increasing the number of parties exposed if problems occur.
Throughout the 1990s, some argued that
derivatives had become so vast, intertwined and inscrutable that they
required federal oversight to protect the financial system. In meetings with
federal officials, celebrated appearances on Capitol Hill and heavily
attended speeches, Mr. Greenspan banked on the good will of Wall Street to
self-regulate as he fended off restrictions.
Ever since housing began to collapse, Mr.
Greenspan’s record has been up for revision. Economists from across the
ideological spectrum have criticized his decision to let the nation’s real
estate market continue to boom with cheap credit, courtesy of low interest
rates, rather than snuffing out price increases with higher rates. Others
have criticized Mr. Greenspan for not disciplining institutions that lent
indiscriminately.
But whatever history ends up saying about
those decisions, Mr. Greenspan’s legacy may ultimately rest on a more deeply
embedded and much less scrutinized phenomenon: the spectacular boom and
calamitous bust in derivatives trading.
“I made a mistake in
presuming that the self-interest of organisations, specifically banks and
others, was such that they were best capable of protecting their own
shareholders,” he said.
In the second of two days of tense
hearings on Capitol Hill, Henry Waxman, chairman of the House of
Representatives, clashed with current and former regulators and with
Republicans on his own committee over blame for the financial crisis.
Mr Waxman said Mr Greenspan’s Federal
Reserve – along with the Securities and Exchange Commission and the US
Treasury – had propagated “the prevailing attitude in Washington... that the
market always knows best.”
Mr Waxman blamed the Fed for failing to
curb aggressive lending practices, the SEC for allowing credit rating
agencies to operate under lax standards and the Treasury for opposing
“responsible oversight” of financial derivatives.
Christopher Cox, chairman of the
Securities and Exchange Commission, defended himself, saying that virtually
no one had foreseen the meltdown of the mortgage market, or the inadequacy
of banking capital standards in preventing the collapse of institutions such
as Bear Stearns.
Mr Waxman accused the SEC chairman of
being wise after the event. “Mr Cox has come in with a long list of
regulations he wants... But the reality is, Mr Cox, you weren’t doing that
beforehand.”
Mr Cox blamed the fact that congressional
responsibility was divided between the banking and financial services
committees, which regulate banking, insurance and securities, and the
agriculture committees, which regulate futures.
“This jurisdictional split threatens to
for ever stand in the way of rationalising the regulation of these products
and markets,” he said.
Mr Greenspan accepted that the crisis had
“found a flaw” in his thinking but said that the kind of heavy regulation
that could have prevented the crisis would have damaged US economic growth.
He described the past two decades as a “period of euphoria” that encouraged
participants in the financial markets to misprice securities.
He had wrongly assumed that lending
institutions would carry out proper surveillance of their counterparties, he
said. “I had been going for 40 years with considerable evidence that it was
working very well”.
Continued in the article
Jensen Comment
In other words, Greenspan assumed the agency theory model that corporate
employees, as agents of their owners and creditors, would act hand and hand in
the best interest for themselves and their investors. But agency theory has a
flaw in that it does not understand Peter Pan.
Peter Pan, the manager of Countrywide Financial on Main Street, thought he had
little to lose by selling a fraudulent mortgage to Wall Street. Foreclosures
would be Wall Street’s problems and not his local bank’s problems. And he got
his nice little commission on the sale of the Emma Nobody’s mortgage for
$180,000 on a house worth less than $100,000 in foreclosure. And foreclosure was
almost certain in Emma’s case, because she only makes $12,000 waitressing at the
Country Café. So what if Peter Pan fudged her income a mite in the loan
application along with the fudged home appraisal value? Let Wall Street or Fat
Fannie or Foolish Freddie worry about Emma after closing the pre-approved
mortgage sale deal. The ultimate loss, so thinks Peter Pan, will be spread over
millions of wealthy shareholders of Wall Street investment banks. Peter Pan is
more concerned with his own conventional mortgage on his precious house just two
blocks south of Main Street. This is what happens when risk is
spread even farther than Tinkerbell can fly!
Also see how corporate executives cooked the books ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#Manipulation
Bankers (Men in Black) bet with their
bank's capital, not their own. If the bet goes right, they get a
huge bonus; if it misfires, that's the shareholders' problem. Sebastian Mallaby.
Council on Foreign Relations, as quoted by Avital Louria Hahn,
"Missing: How Poor Risk-Management Techniques Contributed to
the Subprime Mess," CFO
Magazine, March 2008, Page 53 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/10755469/c_10788146?f=magazine_featured
Jensen Comment
Now that the Government is going to bail out these speculators with
taxpayer funds makes it all the worse. I received an email
message claiming that if you had purchased $1,000 of AIG
stock one year ago, you would have $42 left; with Lehman, you
would have $6.60 left; with Fannie or Freddie, you would have
less than $5 left. But if you had purchased $1,000 worth of beer
one year ago, drank all of the beer, then turned in the cans for
the aluminum recycling REFUND, you would have had $214. Based on
the above, the best current investment advice is to drink
heavily and recycle. It's called the 401-Keg. Why let others
gamble your money away when you can piss it away on your own?
IFRS (or maybe just the EU) Accounting Rule
Flexibility in Action
"Accounting Changes Help Deutsche Bank Avoid Loss,"
Reuters, The New York Times, October 30, 2008 ---
Click Here
New accounting rules
allowed Deutsche Bank to dodge a loss in the third quarter, the company said
Thursday as it also announced heavy losses in proprietary trading.
Josef Ackermann, the chairman of Deutsche, which is
Germany’s flagship bank and once was seen as having escaped the worst of the
market turmoil, declared a year ago that the financial crisis for his bank
was over.
On Thursday, however, Mr. Ackermann departed from
the optimism that had led him to declare seeing the light at the end of the
tunnel several times over.
“Conditions in equity and credit markets remain
extremely difficult,” he said, warning that the bank could cut its dividend
to shore up capital in a “highly uncertain environment.”
Also Thursday, Germany’s finance minister, Peer
Steinbrück, said that a number of German banks were expected to turn to
Berlin for help. Mr. Steinbrück appeared to make a veiled reference to
Deutsche Bank when he told a newspaper that those seeking help could include
banks that had publicly opposed taking it in the past. Mr. Ackermann
recently was quoted as saying he would be “ashamed” to take taxpayer money.
Deutsche Bank made a pretax profit of 93 million
euros ($118.5 million) in the third quarter, a result possible only because
of changed accounting rules. These allowed it to cut write-downs by more
than 800 million euros, to 1.2 billion euros, during the period.
The new rules, sanctioned by Brussels lawmakers,
soften the old system that demanded all assets reflect market prices.
Deutsche Bank, for example, has more than 22
billion euros of leveraged loans — commitments often made to private equity
investors to lend money to buy companies.
Farming out these loans had become difficult as
worried investors retreated to safe havens and their value had fallen. The
new accounting rules allow Deutsche to hold some of these loans on their
books at a fixed price.
Like all other banks, Deutsche is grappling with a
freeze in interbank lending. Banks around the world have largely stopped
lending to one another after the Wall Street investment bank Lehman Brothers
collapsed in mid-September.
The crisis prompted the German government to start
a rescue fund of 500 billion euros, under which it can give guarantees for
banks seeking financing on this market or by issuing bonds, for example.
Not surprisingly, the recent accounting scandals
look different when viewed from the perspectives of the political/regulatory
process and of the market for corporate governance and financial reporting.
We do not have the opportunity to observe a world in which either market or
political/regulatory processes operate independently, and the events are
recent and not well-researched, so untangling their separate effects is
somewhat conjectural. This paper offers conjectures on issues such as: What
caused the scandalous behavior? Why was there such a rash of accounting
scandals at one time? Who killed Arthur Andersen – the SEC, or the market?
Did fraudulent accounting kill Enron, or just keep it alive for too long?
What is the social cost of financial reporting fraud? Does the US in fact
operate a “principles-based” or a “rules-based” accounting system? Was there
market failure? Or was there regulatory failure? Or both? Was the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act a political and regulatory over-reaction?
Jensen Comment
Although Professor Ball is best known for empirical research of capital markets
data, the above article is best described as a commentary of his personal
opinion. On many issues I agree with him, but on some issues I disagree.
Would market forces have killed the Andersen auditing firm even if there was no criminal case
for document destruction?
Ray Ball (opinion
with no supporting evidence) I conclude that market forces, left to their own
devices, would have closed Andersen.
Bob Jensen (agrees
completely with supporting evidence) I don't think there's any doubt that Andersen would've folded due
to market forces of a succession of failed audits for which it did not
change its fundamental behavior and questions of auditor independence after
losing a succession of failed audit lawsuits prior to Enron. For example, it
continued to hire hire the in-charge auditor of Waste Management even after
his felony conviction.
When the Securities and Exchange Commission
found evidence in e-mail messages that a senior partner at Andersen had
participated in the fraud at Waste Management, Andersen did not fire him.
Instead, it put him to work revising the firm's document-retention policy.
Unsurprisingly, the new policy emphasized the need to destroy documents and
did not specify that should stop if an S.E.C. investigation was threatened.
It was that policy David Duncan, the Andersen partner in charge of Enron
audits, claimed to be following when he shredded Andersen's reputation.
Floyd Norris, "Will Big Four Audit Firms Survive in a World of Unlimited
Liability?," The New York Times, September 10, 2004
Although Ray Ball does not cite the empirical evidence, there is empirical
evidence that ultimately, due to a succession of incompetent or fraudulent
audits, having Andersen as an auditor raised a client's cost of capital.
From Yahoo.com,
Andrew and I downloaded the daily adjusted closing prices of the stocks
of these companies (the adjustment taking into account splits and
dividends). I then constructed portfolios based on an equal dollar
investment in the stocks of each of the companies and tracked the
performance of the two portfolios from August 1, 2001, to March 1, 2002.
Indexes of the values of these portfolios are juxtaposed in Figure 1.
From August 1,
2001, to November 30, 2001, the values of the two portfolios are very
highly correlated. In particular, the values of the two portfolios fell
following the September 11 terrorist attack on our country and then
quickly recovered. You would expect a very high correlation in the
values of truly matched portfolios. Then, two deviations stand out.
In early
December 2001, a wedge temporarily opened up between the values of the
two portfolios. This followed the SEC subpoena. Then, in early February,
a second and persistent wedge opened. This followed the news of the
coming DOJ indictment.
It appears that an
Andersen signature (relative to a "Final Four" signature) costs a
company 6 percent of its market capitalization.
No wonder corporate clients--including several of the companies that
were in the Andersen-audited portfolio Andrew and I constructed--are
leaving Andersen.
Prior to the
demise of Arthur Andersen, the Big 5 firms seemed to have a "lock" on
reputation. It is possible that these firms may have felt free to trade
on their names in search of additional sources of revenue. If that is
what happened at Andersen, it was a big mistake. In a free market,
nobody has a lock on anything. Every day that you don’t earn your
reputation afresh by serving your customers well is a day you risk
losing your reputation. And, in a service-oriented economy, losing your
reputation is the kiss of death.
Did (undetected) fraudulent accounting keep Enron alive too long?
Ray Ball It is difficult to escape the conclusion that
market forces caused Enron’s bankruptcy, for the simple reason that it had
invested enormous sums and by 2000 was not generating profits. Conversely,
its accounting transgressions kept the company alive for some period
(perhaps one or two years) longer than would have occurred if it had
reported its true profitability. The welfare loss arose from keeping an
unprofitable company alive longer than optimal, and wasting capital and
labor that were better used elsewhere.
Bob Jensen (disagrees with the power of
GAAP in the case of Enron) I think Ray Ball is attributing too much to financial reports of
past transactions. Even if Enron's financial reports were "true" in terms of
conformance with GAAP, the market may well have kept Enron alive because of
profit potential of some of the huge, albeit presently losing, ventures. The
counter example here is the more legitimate reporting losses in Amazon.com
for almost its entire history and the willingness of investors to "bet on
the come" of Amazon's ventures in spite of the reported losses in
conformance with GAAP. Furthermore, Enron's executives were so skilled at
sales pitches, I think Enron might've actually kept going much, much longer
if it conformed to GAAP and simply pitched its sweet-sounding ventures and
political connections in Washington DC. Enron was primarily brought down by
fraud that commenced to appear in the media and the pending lawsuits that
formed overhead due to the fraud.
Who killed Enron – the SEC or the market?
Ray Ball It is difficult to escape the conclusion that
market forces caused Enron’s bankruptcy, for the simple reason that it had
invested enormous sums and by 2000 was not generating profits. Conversely,
its accounting transgressions kept the company alive for some period
(perhaps one or two years) longer than would have occurred if it had
reported its true profitability. The welfare loss arose from keeping an
unprofitable company alive longer than optimal, and wasting capital and
labor that were better used elsewhere.
Bob Jensen (disagrees because losing
divisions could've been dropped in favor of continued operations of highly
profitable divisions)
What Ray does not seek out is the first tip of the demise of Enron.
The single event that commenced Enron's dominos to fall has to be the
reporting of illegal related party transactions by a Wall Street Journal
Reporter. Once these became known, the SEC had to act and commenced a
chain of events from which Enron could not possibly survive in terms of
lawsuits and market reactions with lawsuit risks that bore down on the
market prices of Enron shares.
After John Emshwiller's WSJ report, determining whether the market or
the SEC brought down Enron is a chicken versus egg question!
It was section eight, called "Related Party
Transactions," that got John Emshwiller's juices flowing.
After being assigned to follow the Skilling
resignation, Emshwiller had put in a request for an interview, then
scrounged up a copy of Enron's most recent SEC filing in search of
any nuggets.
What he found startled him. Words about some
partnerships run by an unidentified "senior officer." Arcane stuff,
maybe, but the numbers were huge. Enron reported more than $240
million in revenues in the first six months of the year from its
dealings with them.
One fact struck Emshwiller in particular. This
anonymous senior officer, the filing said, had just sold his
financial interest in the partnerships. Now, it said, the
partnerships were no longer related to Enron.
The senior officer had just sold his interest,
Skilling had just resigned. The connection seemed obvious.
Could Enron have actually allowed Jeff Skilling to
run partnerships that were doing massive business with the company?
Now that, Emshwiller thought, would be a great story.
Emshwiller was back on the phone with Mark Palmer.
With no better explanation for Skilling's resignation, he said, the
Journal was going to dig through everything it could find.
Right now he was focusing on these partnerships. Were those run by
Skilling?
"No, that's not Skilling," Palmer replied, almost
nonchalantly. "That's Andy Fastow."
A pause. "Who's Andy Fastow?" Emshwiller asked.
The message was slipped to Skilling later that day.
A Journal reporter was pushing for an explanation of his
departure and now was rooting around, looking for anything he could
find. Probably best just to give the paper a call.
Emshwiller was at his desk when the phone rang.
"Hi," a soft voice said. "It's Jeff Skilling."
It was a startling moment. Emshwiller had been on
the hunt, and suddenly the quarry just walked in and lay down on the
floor, waiting for him to fire. So he did: why was Skilling
quitting his job?
"It's all pretty mundane," Skilling replied. He'd
worked hard and accomplished a lot but now had the freedom to move
on. His voice was distant, almost depressed.
He and been ruminating about it for a while,
Skilling went on, but had wanted to stay on at the company until the
California situation eased up. Then, he took the conversation in a
new direction.
"The stock price has been very disappointing to me,"
Skilling said. "The stock is less than half of what it was six
months ago. I put a lot of pressure on myself. I felt I must not
be communicating well enough."
Skilling rambled as Emshwiller took it down.
India. California. Expense cuts. The good shape of Enron.
"Had the stock price not done what it did..." He
paused. "I don't think I would have felt the pressure to leave if
the stock price had stayed up."
What? Had Emshwiller heard that right? Was
all this stuff about "personal reasons" out the window? Had
Skilling thrown in the towel because of the stock price?
"What was that, Mr. Skilling?" Emshwiller asked.
The employees at Enron owned lots of shares,
Skilling said. They were worried, always asking him about the
direction of the price. He found it very frustrating.
"Are you saying that you don't think you would have
quit if the stock price had stayed up?"
Skilling was silent for several seconds.
"I guess so," he finally mumbled.
Minutes later, Emshwiller burst into his boss's
office. "You're not gong to believe what Skilling just told me!"
Here's a
pleasant surprise: The Supreme Court agreed yesterday to hear arguments in a
case challenging the constitutionality of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. This
could get interesting.
"Sarbox and the Constitution," The Wall Street Journal, May 19, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124268754900032175.html
Jensen Comment
This is a pleasant surprise for CEOs
who do not want to take responsibility for internal controls in their companies
and for companies that want weaker and cheaper financial audits. It is not a
pleasant surprise for auditing firms. It could return auditing to the 1990s when
audits became unprofitable commodities.
This could be a
disaster to auditing firm revenues. Hopefully the Supreme Court will instead
lock in SOX for the smelly feet of unscrupulous corporations. It also could
badly hurt the recovery of the stock market since investors will have less
confidence in the integrity of financial statements.
The poor services of auditing firms
became a focal point in the U.S. Congress when equity markets appeared of the
verge of collapse due to fear and distrust of the financial reporting of
corporations dependent upon equity markets for capital. The Roaring 1990s burned
and crashed. In a desperation move Congress passed the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX)
of 2002 ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sarbanes-Oxley_Act
SOX was a shot in the arm for the
auditing industry. SOX forced the auditing industry to upgrade services with SOX
legal backing that doubled or even tripled or quadrupled fees for such services.
Clients continue to grumble about the soaring costs of audits, but in my opinion
SOX was a small price to pay for saving our equity capital markets.
What are the incentives to commit fraud?
Ray Ball My view, based on mainly anecdotal experience, is
that non-financial motives are more powerful than is commonly believed, and
sometimes are the dominant reason for committing accounting fraud. An
important motivator seems to be maintaining the esteem of one’s
peers,ranging from co-workers to the public at large. Enron executives
reportedly were celebrities in Houston, and in important places like the
White House.
Bob Jensen (disagrees as to level of
importance of non-financial motives except in isolated instances such as
possibly Ken Lay)
Although there are instances where non-financial motives may have
been powerful, I believe that they generally pale when compared to the
financial reasons for committing all types of financial fraud, including
accounting fraud ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm
Was Sarbanes-Oxley Necessary?
Ray Ball (who is
generally critical of the need for Sarbanes-Oxley relative to market forces
without such regulation and fraud penalties) Markets need rules, and rely on trust. U.S.
financial markets historically had very effective rules by world standards,
the rules were broken, and there were immense consequences for the
transgressors.
Bob Jensen (strongly
disagrees) One need only look how the
market-based system worldwide moved in cycles of being rotten to the core
among the major corporations, investment banks, insurance companies, and
credit rating companies ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm After getting caught these
firms simply moved on to new schemes without fear of market forces.
Frank Partnoy, Page 283 of a
Postscript entitled "The Return"
F.I.A.S.C.O. : The Inside Story of a Wall Street Trader by
Frank Partnoy - 283 pages (February 1999) Penguin USA (Paper);
ISBN: 0140278796
Perhaps we don' think we deserve a better chance. We play
the lottery in record numbers, despite the 50 percent cut
(taken by the government). We flock to riverboat casinos,
despite substantial odds against winning. Legal and illegal
gambling are growing just as fast as the financial markets,
Las Vegas is our top tourist destination in the U.S.,
narrowly edging out Atlantic City. Are the financial markets
any different? In sum, has our culture become so infused
with the gambling instinct that we would afford investors
only that bill of rights given a slot machine player: the
right to pull the handle, their right to pick a different
machine, the right to leave the casino, abut not the right
to a fair game.
Infectious
Greed: How Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets
(Henry Holt and Company, 2003, Page 17, ISBN 0-8050-7510-0)
In February 1985, the United
States Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB)
---
the private group that established most accounting standards
(in the U.S.) --- asked whether banks should begin including
swaps on their balance sheets, the financial statements that
recorded their assets and liabilities . . .since the early
1980s banks had not included swaps as assets or liabilities
. . . the banks' argument was deeply flawed. The right to
receive money on a swap was a valuable asset, and the
obligation to pay money on a swap was a costly liability.
But bankers knew that the
fluctuations in their swaps (swap value volatility) would
worry their shareholders, and they were determined to keep
swaps off their balance sheets (including mere disclosures
as footnotes), FASB's inquiry about banks' treating swaps as
off-balance-sheet --- a term that would become widespread
during the 1991s --- mobilized and unified the banks, which
until that point had been competing aggressively and not
cooperating much on regulatory issues. All banks strongly
opposed disclosing more information about their swaps, and
so they threw down their swords and banded together a
serveral high-level meetings.
Infectious
Greed: How Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets
(Henry Holt and Company, 2003, Page 77, ISBN 0-8050-7510-0)
The process of transferring
receivables to a new company and issuing new bonds became
known as
securitization, which became a
major part of the structured finance industry . . . One of
the most significant innovations in structured finance was a
deal called the
Collateralized Bond Obligation, or
CBO. CBOs are one of the threads that run through the past
fifteen years of financial markets, ranging from Michael
Milken to First Boston to Enron and WorldCom. CBOs would
mutate into various types of
credit derivatives --- financial instruments tied to the
creditworthiness of companies --- which would play and
important role in the aftermath of the collapse of numerous
companies in 2001and 2002.
. .
.
In
simple terms, here is how a CBO works. A bank transfers a
portfolio of junk bonds to a
Special Purpose Entity, typically a newly created
company, partnership, or trust domiciled in a balmy tax
haven, such as the Cayman Islands. This entity then issues
several securities, backed by bonds, effectively splitting
the junk bonds into pieces. Investors (hopefully) buy the
pieces.
. .
.
The
first CBO was TriCapital Ltc., a $420 million deal sold in
July 1988. There were about $900 million CBOs in 1988, and
almost $ $3 billion in 1989. Notwithstanding the bad press
junk bonds had been getting, analysts from all three of the
credit-rating agencies began pushing CBOs. Ther were very
profitable for the rating agencies, which received fees for
rating the various pieces.
. .
.
With the various types of structured-finance deals, a trend
began of companies using
Special Purpose Entities
(SPEs)
to hide risks. From an accounting perspective, the key
question was whether a company that owned particular
financial assets needed to disclose those assets in its
financial statements even after it transferred them to an
SPE. Just as derivatives dealers had argued that swaps
should not be included in their balance sheets,
financial companies began arguing that their interest in
SPEs did not need to be disclosed
. . . In 1991. the acting chief accountant of the SEC,
concerned that companies might abuse this accounting
standard, wrote a letter saying the outside investment had
to be at least three percent
(a requirement that
helped implode Enron and its auditor Andersen because the
three percent investments were phony):
Infectious
Greed: How Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets
(Henry Holt and Company, 2003, Page 229, ISBN 0-8050-7510-0)
Third, financial derivatives were now everywhere --- and
largely unregulated. Increasingly, parties were using
financial engineering to take advantage of the differences
in legal rules among jurisdictions, or to take new risks in
new markets. In 1994, The Economist magazine noted,
"Some financial innovation is driven by wealthy firms and
individuals seeking ways of escaping from the regulatory
machinery that governs established financial markets." With
such innovation, the regulators' grip on financial markets
loosened during the mid-to-late 1990s . . . After Long-Term
Capital (Management) collapsed, even Alan Greenspan admitted
that financial markets had been close to the brink.
The
decade was peppered with financial debacles, but these faded
quickly from memory even as they increased in size and
complexity. The billion dollar-plus scandals included some
colorful characters (Robert Citron of Orange County, Nick Leeson
of Barings, and John Meriwether of Long-Term Capital
Management), but even as each new scandal outdid the others in
previously unimaginable ways, the markets merely hic-coughed and
then started going up again. It didn't seem that anything
serious was wrong, and their ability to shake off a scandal made
markets seem even more under control.
Frank Portnoy, Infectious Greed (Henry Holt and Company,
2003, Page 2, ISBN 0-8050-7510-0).
"Does the
use of Financial Derivatives Affect Earnings Management
Decisions?" by Jan Barton, The Accounting Review,
January 2001, pp. 1-26.
I
present evidence consistent with managers using derivatives
and discretionary accruals as partial substitutes for
smoothing earnings. Using 1994-1996 data for a sample of
Fortune 500 firms, I estimate a set of simultaneous
equations that captures managers' incentives to maintain a
desired level of earnings volatility through hedging and
accrual management. These incentives include increasing
managerial compensation and wealth, reducing corporate taxes
and debt financing costs, avoiding underinvestment and
earnings surprises, and mitigating volatility caused by low
diversification. After controlling for such incentives, I
find significant negative association between derivatives'
notional amounts and proxies for the magnitude of
discretionary accruals.
Frank Partnoy
introduces Chapter 7 of Infectious Greed as
follows:
Pages
187-188
The
regulatory changes of 1994-95 sent three messages to
corporate CEOs. First, you are not likely to be
punished for "massaging" your firm's accounting
numbers. Prosecutors rarely go after financial
fraud and, even when they do, the typical punishment
is a small fine; almost no one goes to prison.
Moreover, even a fraudulent scheme could be recast
as mere earnings management--the practice of
smoothing a company's earnings--which most
executives did, and regarded as perfectly legal.
Second, you should use new financial
instruments--including options, swaps, and other
derivatives--to increase your own pay and to avoid
costly regulation. If complex derivatives are too
much for you to handle--as they were for many CEOs
during the years immediately following the 1994
losses--you should at least pay yourself in stock
options, which don't need to be disclosed as an
expense and have a greater upside than cash bonuses
or stock.
Third,
you don't need to worry about whether accountants or
securities analysts will tell investors about any
hidden losses or excessive options pay. Now that
Congress and the Supreme Court have insulated
accounting firms and investment banks from
liability--with the Central Bank decision and the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act--they will
be much more willing to look the other way. If you
pay them enough in fees, they might even be willing
to help.
Of
course, not every corporate executive heeded these
messages. For example, Warren Buffett argued that
managers should ensure that their companies' share
prices were accurate, not try to inflate prices
artificially, and he criticized the use of stock
options as compensation. Having been a major
shareholder of Salomon Brothers, Buffett also
criticized accounting and securities firms for
conflicts of interest.
But
for every Warren Buffett, there were many less
scrupulous CEOs. This chapter considers four of
them: Walter Forbes of CUC International, Dean
Buntrock of Waste Management, Al Dunlap of Sunbeam,
and Martin Grass of Rite Aid. They are not all
well-known among investors, but their stories
capture the changes in CEO behavior during the
mid-1990s. Unlike the "rocket scientists" at
Bankers Trust, First Boston, and Salomon Brothers,
these four had undistinguished backgrounds and
little training in mathematics or finance. Instead,
they were hardworking, hard-driving men who ran
companies that met basic consumer needs: they sold
clothes, barbecue grills, and prescription medicine,
and cleaned up garbage. They certainly didn't buy
swaps linked to LIBOR-squared.
I do agree with Ray Ball that regulation in and of itself is not panacea
when either preventing or detecting fraud.
Re-Regulate Financial
Markets?--Posner's Comment I no longer believe that
deregulation has been a complete, an unqualified, success.
As I indicated in my posting of last week, deregulation of
the airline industry appears to be a factor in the serious
deterioration of service, which I believe has imposed
substantial costs on travelers, particularly but not only
business travelers; and the partial deregulation of
electricity supply may have been a factor in the western
energy crisis of 2000 to 2001 and the ensuing Enron debacle.
The deregulation of trucking, natural gas, and pipelines
has, in contrast, probably been an unqualified success, and
likewise the deregulation of the long-distance
telecommunications and telecommunications terminal equipment
markets, achieved by a combination of deregulatory moves by
the Federal Communications Commission beginning in 1968 and
the government antitrust suit that culminated in the breakup
of AT&T in 1983.
Although one must be
tentative in evaluating current events, I suspect that the
deregulation (though again partial) of banking has been a
factor in the current credit crisis. The reason is related
to Becker's very sensible suggestion that, given the moral
hazard created by government bailouts of failing financial
institutions, a tighter ceiling should be placed on the
risks that banks are permitted to take. Because of federal
deposit insurance, banks are able to borrow at low rates and
depositors (the lenders) have no incentive to monitor what
the banks do with their money. This encourages risk taking
that is excessive from an overall social standpoint and was
the major factor in the savings and loan collapse of the
1980s. Deregulation, by removing a variety of restrictions
on permitted banking activities, has allowed commercial
banks to engage in riskier activities than they previously
had been allowed to engage in, such as investing in
derivatives and in subprime mortgages, and thus deregulation
helped to bring on the current credit crunch. At the same
time, investment banks such as Bear Sterns have been allowed
to engage in what is functionally commercial banking; their
lenders do not have deposit insurance--but their lenders are
banks that for the reason stated above are happy to make
risky loans.
The Federal Deposit
Insurance Reform Act of 2005 required the FDIC to base
deposit insurance premiums on an assessment of the riskiness
of each banking institution, and last year the Commission
issued regulations implementing the statutory directive.
But, as far as I can judge, the risk-assessed premiums vary
within a very narrow band and are not based on an in-depth
assessment of the individual bank’s riskiness.
Now it is tempting to
think that deregulation has nothing to do with this, that
the problem is that the banks mistakenly believed that their
lending was not risky. I am skeptical. I do not think that
bubbles are primarily due to avoidable error. I think they
are due to inherent uncertainty about when the bubble will
burst. You don't want to sell (or lend, in the case of
banks) when the bubble is still growing, because then you
may be leaving a lot of money on the table. There were
warnings about an impending collapse of housing prices years
ago, but anyone who heeded them lost a great deal of money
before his ship came in. (Remember how Warren Buffett was
criticized in the late 1990s for missing out on the
high-tech stock boom.) I suspect that the commercial and
investment banks and hedge funds were engaged in rational
risk taking, but that (except in the case of the smaller
hedge funds--the largest, judging from the bailout of
Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, are also considered by
federal regulators too large to be permitted to go broke)
they took excessive risks because of the moral hazard
created by deposit insurance and bailout prospects.
Perhaps what the savings
and loan and now the broader financial-industry crises
reveal is the danger of partial deregulation. Full
deregulation would entail eliminating both government
deposit insurance (especially insurance that is not
experience-rated or otherwise proportioned to risk) and
bailouts. Partial deregulation can create the worst of all
possible worlds, as the western energy crisis may also
illustrate, by encouraging firms to take risks secure in the
knowledge that the downside risk is truncated.
There has I think been a
tendency of recent Administrations, both Republican and
Democratic but especially the former, not to take regulation
very seriously. This
tendency expresses itself in deep cuts in staff and in the
appointment of regulatory administrators who are either
political hacks or are ideologically opposed to regulation.
(I have long thought it troublesome that Alan Greenspan was
a follower of Ayn Rand.) This would be fine if zero
regulation were the social desideratum, but it is not. The
correct approach is to carve down regulation to the optimal
level but then finance and staff and enforce the remaining
regulatory duties competently and in good faith. Judging by
the number of scandals in recent years involving the
regulation of health, safety, and the environment, this is
not being done. And to these examples should probably be
added the weak regulation of questionable mortgage practices
and of rating agencies' conflicts of interest and, more
basically, a failure to appreciate the gravity of the moral
hazard problem in the financial industry.
If auditors and their clients do not take there professional and ethical
responsibilities more seriously then neither market forces nor regulators will
prevent frauds from increasingly undermining our prized capital markets.
It must be kept in mind
that the statements certified are not ours but are our clients--and our clients
do not care to mix explanations of accounting theory with explanations of their
business nor can we pass onto our readers the responsibility for appraisal of
differences in accounting theory. Those fields are for you and me to grapple
with, not the public. In general, clients are not primarily interested in
arguments of accounting theory at the time of preparing their reports. The
companies whose accounts are certified are chiefly interested in what is said to
their shareholders, and in the hard practical facts of how accounting rules
affect them, their competitors and other companies. Usually they are very
critical of what we call accounting principles when these called principles are
unrealistic, inconsistent, or do not protect or distinguish scrupulous
management from the scrupulous.
"The Need for An Accounting Court," by Leonard Spacek, The Accounting
Review, 1958, Pages 368-379 ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudSpacek01.htm
Jensen Comment
Fifty years later I'm a strong advocate of an accounting court, but I envision a
somewhat different court than than envisioned by the great Leonard Spacek in
1958. Since 1958, the failure of anti-trust enforcement has allowed business
firms to merge into enormous multi-billion or even trillion dollar clients
who've become powerful bullies that put extreme pressures on auditors to bend
accounting and auditing principles. For example see the way executives of Fannie
Mae pressured KPMG to bend the rules (an act that eventually got KPMG fired from
the audit).
In my opinion the time has come where auditors and
clients can take their major disputes to an Accounting Court that will use
expert independent judges to resolve these disputes much like the Derivatives
Implementation Group resolved technical issues for the implementation of FAS
133. The main difference, however, is that an Accounting Court should hear and
resolve disputes in private confidence that allows auditors and clients to keep
these disputes away from the media. The main advantage of such an Accounting
Court is that it might restrain clients from bullying auditors such as became
the case when Fannie Mae bullied KPMG.
Who would sit on accounting courts is open to debate,
but the "judges" could be formed by the State Boards of Accountancy much like a
grand jury is formed by a court of law. Accounting court cases, however, should
be confidential since they deal with sensitive client information.
I really don't anticipate a flood o cases in an
accounting court. But I do view the threat of taking client-auditor disputes to
such courts (in confidence) as a means of curbing the bullying of auditors by
their enormous clients.
The problem is that poor anti-trust enforcement coupled
with mergers of huge companies have combined to create mega-clients that
auditing firms cannot afford to lose after gearing up to handle such large
clients. I think we saw this in the "clean opinions" given to all the enormous
failing banks (like WaMu) and enormous Wall Street investment banks (like
Lehman). The big auditing firms just could not afford to question bad debt
estimates, mortgage application lies, and CDO manipulations of such clients.
I find it hard to
believe that auditors failed to detect an undercurrent of massive subprime
"Sleaze, Bribery, and Lies" that transpired in the Main Street banks and
mortgage lending companies ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Sleaze
The sleaze was so prevalent the auditors must've worn their chest-high waders on
these audits.
Earnings Management Deception at AIG The 1999 bulletin also said that if accounting
practices were intentionally misleading "to impart a sense of increased earnings
power, a form of earnings management, then by definition amounts involved would
be considered material." AIG hinted some errors may have been intentional,
saying that certain transactions "appear to have been structured for the sole or
primary purpose of accomplishing a desired accounting result."
Jonathan Weil, "AIG's Admission Puts the Spotlight On Auditor PwC," The Wall
Street Journal, April 1, 2005 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB111231915138095083,00.html?mod=home_whats_news_us
Bob Jensen's threads on the AIG mess are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/fraudRotten.htm#MutualFunds
It's not clear who got the earnings game going (meeting
earnings forecasts by one penny): executives or
investors. But it's past time for it to stop. As the Progressive example shows,
those companies that continue the charade do it by choice. Gretchen Morgenson, "Pennies That Aren't From Heaven," The
New York Times, November 7, 2004 --- http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/07/business/yourmoney/07watch.html?ex=1100836709&ei=1&en=8f6b67cd8cfe4757
Ask any chief executive officer if he or she practices
the art of earnings management and you will undoubtedly hear an emphatic
"Of course not!" But ask those same executives about their company's
recent results, and you may very well hear a proud "we beat the analysts'
estimate by a penny."
While almost no one wants to admit to managing
company earnings, the fact is, almost everybody does it. How else to explain
the miraculous manner in which so many companies meet or beat, by the
preposterous penny, the consensus earnings estimates of Wall Street
analysts?
After years of such miracles, investors finally
seem to be wising up to the fact that an extra penny of profit is not only
meaningless but may also be evidence of earnings management and, therefore,
bad news. After all, the practice can hide
what's genuinely going on in a company's books.
A study by Thomson Financial examined how many of
the 30 companies in the Dow Jones industrial average missed, met or beat
analysts' consensus earnings estimates during each quarter over the last
five years. It also looked at how the companies' shares responded to the
results.
Over the period, on average, almost half of the
companies - 46.1 percent - met consensus estimates or beat them by a penny.
Pulling off such a feat in an uncertain world
smacks of earnings management. "It is not possible for this percentage
of reporting companies to hit the bull's-eye," said Bill Fleckenstein,
principal at Fleckenstein Capital in Seattle. "Business is too
complicated; there are too many moving parts."
The precision has a purpose, of course: to keep
stock prices aloft. According to Thomson's five-year analysis, companies
whose results came in below analysts' estimates lost 1.08 percent of their
value, on average, the day of the announcement. The loss averaged 1.59
percent over five days.
Executives have lots of levers to pull to make
their numbers. Lowering the company's tax rate is a favorite, as is
recognizing revenues before they actually come in or monkeying with reserves
set aside to cover future liabilities.
If all else fails and a company faces the nightmare
of an earnings miss, its spinmeisters can always begin a whispering campaign
to persuade Wall Street analysts to trim their estimates, making them more
attainable. Their stock might drift downward as a result, but the damage is
not usually as horrific as it is when earnings miss the target unexpectedly.
So it is not surprising that the strategy has
become so widespread and that fewer companies in the Thomson study are
coming in below their target these days. For the first three quarters of
2004, 10.9 percent missed their expected results, down from 11.7 percent in
2003 and 25 percent in 2002.
At the heart of earnings management is - what else?
- executive compensation. The greater the percentage of pay an executive
receives in stock, the bigger the incentive to produce results that propel
share prices.
Continued in the article
Coke: Gone Flat at the Bright Lines of Accounting Rules and Marketing
Ethics
The king of carbonated beverages is still a moneymaker, but its growth has
stalled and the stock has been backsliding since the late '90s. Now it
turns out that the company's glory days were as much a matter of accounting
maneuvers as of marketing magic. Guizuenta's most ingenious contribution to Coke, the
ingredient that added rocket fuel to the stock price, was a bit of creative
though perfectly legal balance-sheet rejeiggering that in some ways prefigured
the Enron Corp. machinations. Known inside the company as the "49%
solution," it was the brain child of then-Chief Financial Officer M.
Douglas Ivester. It worked like this: Coke spun off its U.S.
bottling operations in late 1986 into a new company known as Coca-Cola
Enterprises Inc., retaining a 49% state for itself. That was enough to
exert de facto control but a hair below the 50% threshold that requires
companies to consolidate results of subsidiaries in their financials. At
a stroke, Coke erased $2.4 billion of debt from its balance sheet.
Dean Foust, "Gone Flat," Business Week, December 20, 2004,
Page 77.
This is a Business Week cover story.
Coca Cola's outside independent auditor is Ernst & Young
In another
paper from the FMAs,
Gupta and
Fields
look at
whether more short term debt
leads to more "earnings
management."
Does short-term debt lead to
more "earnings management"?
Short answer: YES.
Longer answer:
Intuitively the idea behind the
paper is that if a firm has to
go back to the capital markets,
they do not want to do so when
times are bad. Of course,
sometimes times are bad. In
those times, management may be
tempted to "manage" earnings so
that things do not appear as bad
as they may be.
The findings? Sure enough,
managers seemingly manage their
firm's earnings more when the
firm has more short term debt.
A few look-ins:
From the Abstract (this is the
best summary of the entire
paper):
"...results indicate that (i)
firms with more current debt
are more susceptible to
managing earnings, (ii) this
relation is stronger for
firms facing debt market
constraints (those without
investment grade debt) and
(iii) auditor
characteristics such as
auditor quality and tenure
help diminish this
relation...."
Which fits intuition. Why?
* The more the constraints, the
more incentive the management
has to manage earnings since if
they do not, they may not be
able to refinance.
* Auditors would frown upon this
behavior and the stronger the
auditor, the less likely it is
that the manager would manage
earnings.
How does this "earnings
management" manifest itself? The
most common way (although not
the only way) that managers
manipulate earnings is through
the use of accruals . Thus, the
authors examine this and find:
"A one standard-deviation
increase in short-term debt
(total current liabilities)
increases discretionary
accruals by 1.69% and
increase total accruals by
2.28%. Our evidence supports
the idea that debt maturity
significantly impacts the
tendency of firms to manage
earnings."
Which is a really interesting
finding!
"The Crisis over How to Audit in a Crisis:
The PCAOB's standing advisory committee examines the task of recession-time
auditing, including the likelihood that fraud will be a growing problem," by
Alan Rappeport, CFO.com, October 22, 2008 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/12465140/c_12469997
The Public Company Accounting Oversight Board,
which oversees U.S. auditors, convened its standing advisory group on
Wednesday to discuss the impact of the financial crisis on the auditing
profession. Its conclusion: There's a lot to worry about, included increased
pressure for fraudulent behavior.
Members of the 36-person group of advisors were
concerned not only about increases in fraud, however, but also about the
need for more thorough analysis of financial statements, the importance of
considering liquidity, and various puzzles connected with the auditing of
companies that are recipients of government bailouts.
Martin Baumann, the PCAOB's director of research
and analysis, said that auditors will also need to concentrate on
underfunded pension plans, lagging corporate receivables, excess inventory,
and other types of asset impairment.
"When you look at the past and see where auditors
didn't get the job done right, there were indicators that they didn't pay
attention to," said Lynn Turner, a former CFO and former chief accountant of
the Securities and Exchange Commission. "Auditors are going to need to take
off the blinders."
An increase in fraudulent behavior was a top
concern among PCAOB advisors. Gregory Jonas, Managing Director, Moody's
Investors Service, noted that senior managers are facing increased pressure
to perform right now, and that "cooking the books" could become a problem.
"The pressure is going to be enormous on people,"
Jonas said. "The temptation is growing."
A favorite recipe for cooking the books, according
to Joseph Carcello, director of research at the Corporate Governance Center,
involves improper revenue recognition.
But whatever the source of the crisis-related
challenge, Lawrence Salva, senior vice president, chief accounting officer
and controller of Comcast Corp., argued that the PCAOB needs to issue a risk
alert to guide companies about how to improve their financial reporting
during the crisis.
Advisors stressed that auditors will need to take
extra care when reading financial statements, giving special scrutiny to the
truthfulness of the Management Discussion and Analysis section and to
corporate assets. Turner also stressed that auditors will need to be looking
at performance quarter-by-quarter.
"You have to throw out historical trends and look
at what is happening on a real-time basis," Turner said. "What was there in
the past will no longer be there in the future."
Auditors may also be worried about their own
futures as a recession takes hold. J. Richard Dietrich, an accounting
professor at The Ohio State University, noted that audit fees have been
suppressed lately. That could change, he explained, as auditors are asked to
work more hours while keeping companies honest.
"Paying more for audit fees this year may be one of
the best uses you can have for stockholders funds," Dietrich said.
Agency Theory Question
Why do corporate executives like fair value accounting better than shareholders
like fair value accounting?
Answer
Cash bonuses on the upside are not returned after the downturn that wipes out
the previous unrealized paper profits.
Phantom (Unrealized) Profits on Paper, but
Real Cash Outflows for Employee Bonuses and Other Compensation
Rarely, if ever, are they forced to pay back their "earnings" even in instances
of earnings management accounting fraud
"Merrill’s record earnings in 2006 — $7.5 billion —
turned out to be a mirage. The company has since lost three times that
amount, largely because the mortgage investments that supposedly had powered
some of those profits plunged in value.
“As a result of the extraordinary growth at Merrill
during my tenure as C.E.O., the board saw fit to increase my compensation
each year.”
— E. Stanley O’Neal, the former chief executive of
Merrill Lynch, March 2008
For Dow Kim, 2006 was a very good year. While his
salary at Merrill Lynch was $350,000, his total compensation was 100 times
that — $35 million.
The difference between the two amounts was his
bonus, a rich reward for the robust earnings made by the traders he oversaw
in Merrill’s mortgage business.
Mr. Kim’s colleagues, not only at his level, but
far down the ranks, also pocketed large paychecks. In all, Merrill handed
out $5 billion to $6 billion in bonuses that year. A 20-something analyst
with a base salary of $130,000 collected a bonus of $250,000. And a
30-something trader with a $180,000 salary got $5 million.
But Merrill’s record earnings in 2006 — $7.5
billion — turned out to be a mirage. The company has since lost three times
that amount, largely because the mortgage investments that supposedly had
powered some of those profits plunged in value.
Unlike the earnings, however, the bonuses have not
been reversed.
As regulators and shareholders sift through the
rubble of the financial crisis, questions are being asked about what role
lavish bonuses played in the debacle. Scrutiny over pay is intensifying as
banks like Merrill prepare to dole out bonuses even after they have had to
be propped up with billions of dollars of taxpayers’ money. While bonuses
are expected to be half of what they were a year ago, some bankers could
still collect millions of dollars.
Critics say bonuses never should have been so big
in the first place, because they were based on ephemeral earnings. These
people contend that Wall Street’s pay structure, in which bonuses are based
on short-term profits, encouraged employees to act like gamblers at a casino
— and let them collect their winnings while the roulette wheel was still
spinning.
“Compensation was flawed top to bottom,” said
Lucian A. Bebchuk, a professor at Harvard Law School and an expert on
compensation. “The whole organization was responding to distorted
incentives.”
Even Wall Streeters concede they were dazzled by
the money. To earn bigger bonuses, many traders ignored or played down the
risks they took until their bonuses were paid. Their bosses often turned a
blind eye because it was in their interest as well.
“That’s a call that senior management or risk
management should question, but of course their pay was tied to it too,”
said Brian Lin, a former mortgage trader at Merrill Lynch.
The highest-ranking executives at four firms have
agreed under pressure to go without their bonuses, including John A. Thain,
who initially wanted a bonus this year since he joined Merrill Lynch as
chief executive after its ill-fated mortgage bets were made. And four former
executives at one hard-hit bank, UBS of Switzerland, recently volunteered to
return some of the bonuses they were paid before the financial crisis. But
few think others on Wall Street will follow that lead.
For now, most banks are looking forward rather than
backward. Morgan Stanley and UBS are attaching new strings to bonuses,
allowing them to pull back part of workers’ payouts if they turn out to have
been based on illusory profits. Those policies, had they been in place in
recent years, might have clawed back hundreds of millions of dollars of
compensation paid out in 2006 to employees at all levels, including senior
executives who are still at those banks.
A Bonus Bonanza
For Wall Street, much of this decade represented a
new Gilded Age. Salaries were merely play money — a pittance compared to
bonuses. Bonus season became an annual celebration of the riches to be had
in the markets. That was especially so in the New York area, where nearly $1
out of every $4 that companies paid employees last year went to someone in
the financial industry. Bankers celebrated with five-figure dinners, vied to
outspend each other at charity auctions and spent their newfound fortunes on
new homes, cars and art.
The bonanza redefined success for an entire
generation. Graduates of top universities sought their fortunes in banking,
rather than in careers like medicine, engineering or teaching. Wall Street
worked its rookies hard, but it held out the promise of rich rewards. In
college dorms, tales of 30-year-olds pulling down $5 million a year were
legion.
While top executives received the biggest bonuses,
what is striking is how many employees throughout the ranks took home large
paychecks. On Wall Street, the first goal was to make “a buck” — a million
dollars. More than 100 people in Merrill’s bond unit alone broke the
million-dollar mark in 2006. Goldman Sachs paid more than $20 million apiece
to more than 50 people that year, according to a person familiar with the
matter. Goldman declined to comment.
Pay was tied to profit, and profit to the easy,
borrowed money that could be invested in markets like mortgage securities.
As the financial industry’s role in the economy grew, workers’ pay
ballooned, leaping sixfold since 1975, nearly twice as much as the increase
in pay for the average American worker.
“The financial services industry was in a bubble,"
said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com. “The industry got a
bigger share of the economic pie.”
A Money Machine
Dow Kim stepped into this milieu in the mid-1980s,
fresh from the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Born in
Seoul and raised there and in Singapore, Mr. Kim moved to the United States
at 16 to attend Phillips Academy in Andover, Mass. A quiet workaholic in an
industry of workaholics, he seemed to rise through the ranks by sheer will.
After a stint trading bonds in Tokyo, he moved to New York to oversee
Merrill’s fixed-income business in 2001. Two years later, he became
co-president.
Skip to next paragraph
Bloomberg News Dow Kim received $35 million in 2006
from Merrill Lynch.
The Reckoning Cashing In Articles in this series
are exploring the causes of the financial crisis.
Previous Articles in the Series » Multimedia
Graphic It Was Good to Be a Mortgage-Related Professional . . . Related
Times Topics: Credit Crisis — The Essentials
Patrick Andrade for The New York Times Brian Lin is
a former mortgage trader at Merrill Lynch who lost his job at Merrill and
now works at RRMS Advisors. Readers' Comments Share your thoughts. Post a
Comment »Read All Comments (363) »
Even as tremors began to reverberate through the
housing market and his own company, Mr. Kim exuded optimism.
After several of his key deputies left the firm in
the summer of 2006, he appointed a former colleague from Asia, Osman Semerci,
as his deputy, and beneath Mr. Semerci he installed Dale M. Lattanzio and
Douglas J. Mallach. Mr. Lattanzio promptly purchased a $5 million home, as
well as oceanfront property in Mantoloking, a wealthy enclave in New Jersey,
according to county records.
Merrill and the executives in this article declined
to comment or say whether they would return past bonuses. Mr. Mallach did
not return telephone calls.
Mr. Semerci, Mr. Lattanzio and Mr. Mallach joined
Mr. Kim as Merrill entered a new phase in its mortgage buildup. That
September, the bank spent $1.3 billion to buy the First Franklin Financial
Corporation, a mortgage lender in California, in part so it could bundle its
mortgages into lucrative bonds.
KPMG’s “Unusual Twist”
While KPMG's strategy isn't uncommon among corporations with lots of units in
different states, the accounting firm offered an unusual twist: Under KPMG's
direction, WorldCom treated "foresight of top management" as an intangible asset
akin to patents or trademarks.
See http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudEnron.htm#WorldcomFraud
Punch Line
This "foresight of top management" led to a 25-year prison sentence for
Worldcom's CEO, five years for the CFO (which in his case was much to lenient)
and one year plus a day for the controller (who ended up having to be in prison
for only ten months.) Yes all that reported goodwill in the balance sheet of
Worldcom was an unusual twist.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on January 22, 2020
Accounting
for Goodwill Leading to a Showdown Between Investors and Business Firms
Good
morning.Abrewing battle
over how to treat more than $5.5 trillion in assets on company books is
pitting investors against businesses, investment advisers against academics
and even banks against their own trade association.
At issue is an accounting term known as goodwill, which is
the premium a company pays when it buys another for more than the value of
its net assets. An unprecedented five-year boom in mergers and acquisitions
has added urgency over how to account for the financial concept. The
Financial Accounting Standards Board, the accounting-rules maker, is
weighing whether to continue to assess goodwill by tests—or return to a
similar approach to the guidelines of nearly 20 years ago, when companies
wrote down a set portion of goodwill each year for up to 40 years.
The
recent wave of deal making has created a pile of goodwill. S&P 500 companies
had $3.5 trillion worth of goodwill on their books at the end of September,
according to data provider Calcbench. This was up 67% from 2013 and
represented 9% of total S&P 500 assets and 42% of total equity, the
Calcbench data show. For all public companies trading on U.S. markets,
goodwill exceeds $5.5 trillion, according to the most recent figures from
Calcbench, based on company reports.
Going back to the old ways could cost investors valuable
information because the annual write-down of goodwill means specific
problems may not be separately announced, some analysts, academics and
investors said.
Many companies disagree. Corporate giants Chevron,
IBM and
Pfizer are among those advocating for goodwill to be
amortized—an option already available to privately-owned firms.
Teaching Case From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting
Review on January 28, 2019
Goodwill
Sparks Deep Division, at Least on Balance Sheets
By Jean Eaglesham | January 21,
2020
Topics:
Goodwill , Goodwill Impairments
Summary:
“The recent wave of deal making [in record-breaking stock
market pricing] has created a pile of goodwill. S&P 500
companies had $3.5 trillion worth of goodwill on their books
at the end of September, according to data provider
Calcbench.” For the S&P 500 companies, that balance
represents 9% of total assets, 42% of total stockholders’
equity, and an increase of 67% from 2013. The article
provides perspectives on both the impairment and
amortization models of accounting for goodwill from the
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB), analysts,
academics, corporate representatives, and others.
Classroom Application:
The article may be used in a financial reporting class
covering intangible assets or covering business combination
accounting. By providing comparisons of different accounting
methods for goodwill, the article also is a good one for
showing that accounting requirements are not fixed and are
set by choices subject to social influences.
Questions:
·How significant are goodwill balances on U.S. companies’
consolidated balance sheets?
·Why are these goodwill balances so significant?
·Describe the current accounting requirements for goodwill
balances. Consider both publicly-traded firms and
privately-held entities.
·How does the graph entitled “Accounting under current rules”
depict these accounting requirements? Specifically identify
in your description the implied caption for the y-axis, or
height of the graph, which is missing.
·What is(are) the problem(s) with the current method(s) of
accounting for goodwill?
·What is(are) the problem(s) with the change in accounting
requirements being considered by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB)?
The FASB weighs changes to
financial concept; companies, investors, academics not shy about weighing in
A
brewing battle over how to treat more than $5.5 trillion in assets on
company books is pitting investors against businesses, investment advisers
against academics and even banks against their own trade association.
At
issue is an accounting term known as goodwill, which is the premium a
company pays when it buys another for more than the value of its net assets.
An unprecedented five-year boom in mergers and acquisitions has added
urgency over how to account for the financial concept.
When Amazon.com
Inc.bought Whole Foods
Market Inc.
for $13.7 billion in 2017, the e-commerce giant paid $9 billion more than
the value of the supermarket’s stores and other net assets. That amount was
added to Amazon’s books as goodwill.
As
things stand now, Amazon is supposed to evaluate, or test, that $9 billion
every year to see if its value still holds. If not, they have to write down
a portion of it, a move that cuts profit.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board,
the accounting-rules maker, is weighing
whether to continue to assess goodwill by tests—or return to a similar
approach to the guidelines of nearly 20 years ago, when companies wrote down
a set portion of goodwill each year for up to 40 years.
The FASB has asked for comments on the possible change, and companies
haven’t been shy about weighing in.
Many companies
argue the test approach is costly and subjective.
As it is, companies can be slow to write down goodwill, even when stock
markets are signaling that they no longer believe in the value of the asset,
according to research by academics and analysts.
The annual
review requires “an inordinate amount of time to validate and document,”
Indianapolis-based drugmaker Eli Lilly & Co.
said in a comment letter to the FASB.
SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS
How would you change the rules governing goodwill, if at all? Join the
conversation below.
However, critics say the old approach, the so-called amortization of
goodwill year by year, allows companies to mask problems and costs investors
valuable information.
In addition, going back to the old rules could also be costly. The CFA
Institute, which represents chartered financial analysts, said amortization
might cause “the write-off of a substantial portion of the assets and equity
of U.S. public companies and … reduce profits to nearly zero for a
significant number of companies in the S&P 500” in a comment letter to FASB
this month.
The recent wave of deal making has created a pile of goodwill. There were
$7.4 trillion in U.S. deals the five years through 2019, the highest
five-year tally for at least two decades, according to Dealogic.
S&P 500 companies had $3.5 trillion worth of goodwill on their books at the
end of September, according to data provider Calcbench. This was up 67% from
2013 and represented 9% of total S&P 500 assets and 42% of total equity, the
Calcbench data show.
Continued in article
Teaching Case from IAE:
Is a Reported Goodwill Impairment Loss Really a Goodwill Impairment Loss? A
Financial Reporting Case on Evaluating the Efficacy of Authoritative Guidance
by Casey J. McNellis and Walter R. Teets Issues in Accounting Education
Volume 34, Issue 3 (August 2019)
https://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/iace-52460
While undergraduate financial
reporting courses focus primarily on the application of generally accepted
accounting principles and the mechanics of accounting treatments,
graduate-level courses should motivate students to explore
standard-setting's theoretical perspective and to develop a more rigorous
understanding of accounting issues not necessarily discussed in textbooks,
but included, implicitly or explicitly, in the authoritative guidance.
Anecdotal evidence suggests that accounting students face difficulties
transitioning from the undergraduate setting to the higher expectations
common in graduate accounting programs and the workplace. This hypothetical
case provides an interesting scenario on goodwill impairment to facilitate
the development of students' understanding of accounting theory and its
connection to professional research skills. While students are accustomed to
computing goodwill impairment losses from knowledge acquired in
undergraduate financial accounting courses, this topic contains interesting
theoretical and practical issues and serves as a salient example of the
analysis of interesting accounting issues possible at the graduate level.
. . .
f the case
is used in practice or theory courses after the latest effective date for
ASU 2017-04, minor modifications of the case and requirements could be made.
Instead of dealing with the first formal quantitative goodwill impairment
testing process, the case could focus on comparing the process used for
impairment testing in the then-current year with impairment testing in the
“last year where a formal quantitative test was performed,” and assuming
that last test was done using the two-step test required prior to adoption
of ASU 2017-04. Students would be required to use the Archive tabs of the
Codification to support conclusions about impairment tests made in
previous years, thereby keeping the issues relating to the two-step versus
one-step test relevant, and giving students an opportunity to learn about
the Archive feature.
Evidence of Efficacy
The case was tested
in a graduate-level theory and practice course at a private university. When
the case was first assigned to the class, the instructor asked students to
complete seven complex multiple-choice questions, partially adapted from
McNellis et al. (2015),
to assess their understanding of the goodwill impairment process and four
scale questions to assess their level of practical and conceptual
understanding of the topic. After students completed the requirements, they
were provided with the same questions and items.
Regarding the
multiple-choice assessment, the post-case average (Mean = 0.456, Standard
Deviation = 0.184) is significantly higher (p < 0.001) than the pre-case
average (Mean = 0.177; Standard Deviation = 0.095). This result indicates
that students' understanding of goodwill was enhanced by completion of the
case. It should be noted that the post-case average was still below 50
percent, a result that warrants further discussion. From one standpoint, the
scores may be reflective of a scaling issue, as the questions were very
detailed and complex in nature, in some cases beyond the scope of typical
intermediate-level instruction. For example, a few of the questions
compelled students to understand specific details related to the grouping of
subsidiaries into reporting units for the purposes of goodwill impairment
testing. This level of complexity may have contributed to the relatively low
pre-case score. A commonly missed question during both the pre-case and
post-case administration was one that required students to select a number
of activities to be performed prior to a quantitative test of goodwill
impairment. The correct response contained three of the six possible choices
in the problem. While most students identified one or two of the correct
activities, very few students selected the correct combination of activities
and, thus, the majority of students were marked down for an incorrect
response. Furthermore, the post-case questions were completed approximately
one week after the second class discussion, and the time lag may have been a
factor in student recall of the most detailed and complex points related to
goodwill in the post-case assessment. Accordingly, the nature of the
questions and the relative timing of the assessment requiring detailed
recall likely lowered both the pre-case and post-case scores. Finally, and
perhaps most importantly, the questions were not part of a larger classroom
assessment for course points. As such, the context in which the students
answered the questions may have resulted in a lack of urgency in
scrutinizing the various choices in the questions. Nevertheless, the
significant difference suggests improvement on the part of the students and
complements the survey results, which are presented in Table 1.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on
April 15, 2019
Deutsche Bank
AG will likely depend on an obscure but valuable accounting quirk—known as
negative goodwill,
or badwill—to make a deal for smaller rival
Commerzbank
AG workable.
Accounting Standards Update (ASU) No. 2017-04,
Intangibles—Goodwill and Other (Topic 350): Simplifying the Test for
Goodwill Impairment, eliminates Step 2 from the quantitative goodwill
impairment test. Before adopting this ASU, there are a few things that an
entity should consider.
The above article touches on goodwill impairment although ti focuses more on
asset impairment in general (with Exxon's recent impairment charge for oil
reserves as an illustration).
In doing so he proposes a solution with a
broad brush that has some promise.
A Proposed Solution
In olden days, the British permitted a charge to
contributed capital for the amount that would otherwise have been recognized
as goodwill. While imperfect, it may well be the only reasonable solution
to the problem; for as I have shown above, there can be no perfect
solution. If you can't describe what something is, than what
possible good can come from purporting to measure it?
"What Good Comes from Goodwill Accounting," by Tom Selling, February 18,
2008.
Jensen Comment
I'm inclined to agree with Tom on accounting for purchased goodwill. The problem
with booking of purchased goodwill is that it puts assets (possibly
liabilities?) on the books that accountants don't traditionally book such as the
value of human resources and other intangibles that accountants cannot reliably
measure except when they are purchased in exchanges --- paying for them with
items that can be measured (such as cash purchase prices). Personally, I've
never liked putting the ambiguous purchased "goodwill" on the books, because
purchase price is subject to a lot of error (Tom provided us with a number of
real-world examples over the years such as Caterpillar's purchase of ERA Mining
Machinery Limited). Even worse, companies that retain this type of "goodwill"
and do not sell it have financial statements that are no longer comparable with
financial reports of companies that acquired purchased goodwill.
Tom's contributed capital booking solution on the date goodwill is "acquired"
is admittedly not a perfect solution, but I'm inclined to think is is the best
of the worst alternatives. I disagree with Tom on many accounting theory issues,
but I'm inclined to lean his way on this one. I'm not yet convinced that he's
correct about other issues of "impairment" on items other than purchased
goodwill (such a impairments in values of oil reserves). But that's an issue for
another day.
There are a lot of missing details in Tom's "proposed solution," but I like
his initial 2008 suggestion.
Abstract:
The European Securities and Markets Authority (EMSA) criticizes the low
disclosure quality and boilerplate disclosures in the accounting for
goodwill among European listed companies, but it does not identify possible
causes. Prior research also finds generally low compliance with disclosure
requirements but usually does not consider disclosure quality or
systematically examine the drivers of the observed levels of either
compliance or disclosure quality. In this study, we analyze compliance and
disclosure quality among European listed companies. We find low levels of
compliance and disclosure quality and both are positively associated with
firm size, goodwill intensity, enforcement and free float. In addition,
disclosure quality is positively affected by board skills and company growth
but negatively affected by proprietary cost. Our findings are of interest to
regulators and enforcers who intend to increase the quality of disclosures.
Moreover, we direct the attention of capital market participants to large
differences in disclosure quality and the associated firm and governance
characteristics.
Teaching Case (from Real Life)
"Bleak Weather for Sun-Shine AG: A Case Study of Impairment of Assets,"
by Dominic Detzen, Tobias Stork genannt Wersborg, and Henning Zülch,
Issues in Accounting Education, Volume 30, Issue 2 (May 2015) ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/iace-51007
Not a Free Case
ABSTRACT:
This
case originates from a real-life business situation and illustrates the
application of impairment tests in accordance with IFRS and U.S. GAAP. In
the first part of the case study, students examine conceptual questions of
impairment tests under IFRS and U.S. GAAP with respect to applicable
accounting standards, definitions, value concepts, and frequency of
application. In addition, the case encourages students to discuss the
impairment regime from an economic point of view. The second part of the
instructional resource continues to provide instructors with the flexibility
of applying U.S. GAAP and/or IFRS when students are asked to test a
long-lived asset for impairment and, if necessary, allocate any potential
impairment. This latter part demonstrates that impairment tests require
professional judgment that students are to exercise in the case.
THE CASE
Introduction
On a
rainy and gray December morning in 20X1, Thomas Schmidt enters the
offices of Sun-Shine AG on the 20th floor of the “Opera Tower” in
Frankfurt, Germany.1
He has been the accounting manager of Sun-Shine for several years and
enjoys working for a company in the solar industry.
Today, however, Thomas appears a little tense as he enters the office.
He has been thinking for a while about the analyst conference that is
set for the next morning and for which he still needs to brief
Sun-Shine's CEO, Sebastian Albers. When walking down the corridor,
Thomas is stopped by Daniela Gruber, his assistant. Daniela is an
International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) specialist and has
been with Sun-Shine for four years. Typically a rather relaxed person,
she appears very anxious today because of a message she received the
previous night from California-Sun Corp., Sun-Shine's U.S.-based
subsidiary, which was acquired six months ago and mainly produces solar
modules for the U.S. market. Daniela tells her boss that the state
government of California has unexpectedly decided to cut its subsidies
of solar installations by 50 percent. Due to the financial and economic
crisis, the state of California has been forced to lower its budget
deficit, with the subsidy cut being its latest measure. Daniela says,
“California-Sun now expects a severe decline in demand for solar modules
and a significant drop in sales. Their assets may need to be written
down, which would certainly ruin our numbers this year.”
Background
Sun-Shine was
founded ten years ago by its current CEO, Sebastian Albers, who expected
to profit from the increasing interest in renewable energies from both
the German government and the German public. Still headquartered in the
city of Frankfurt where the company was founded, Sun-Shine has ever
since specialized in the production of solar modules and now runs
several solar parks, mainly in the sunnier Mediterranean countries of
Italy and Spain. In recent years, Sun-Shine recorded a tremendous sales
and profit growth because renewable energies have been on the rise, not
only in Germany, but also in the entire European Union.
Five
years ago, the company's great economic success led the management to
list all of Sun-Shine's 10 million shares on the German stock exchange,
which also brought about the requirement to apply IFRS in the company's
consolidated financial statements. The shares were first listed at a
face value of 5 euros each.
. . .
Implementation Guidance
We tested this
case in two classes at the Master's level: “Advanced International
Financial Reporting” is an elective in the Master of Science program,
while “International Accounting” is part of the M.B.A. program. The
classes are similar in nature in that they aim at educating students in
applying IFRS, providing them with problem-solving skills, and an
understanding of IFRS accounting. Students passing the courses are
generally able to handle IFRS and critically reflect on them. Naturally,
the M.B.A. class focuses more on decision-making issues, while the M.Sc.
class covers the standards more comprehensively.
Students were
to prepare the case for discussion in class, after having heard about
the accounting rules behind impairment tests, which was about halfway
through the course. Following the lecture, the case was distributed for
completion as an individual exercise (M.Sc. class) and as a group
exercise (M.B.A. class). Our assistance was limited to giving hints as
to where to find background material and to explaining the more
technical issues. We then allocated one class session (90 minutes) to
the discussion, which seemed sufficient for an in-depth coverage of the
case. The discussion in the M.B.A. class gravitated to the
management-relevant questions and the implications of impairment
charges. We expect that students spend about seven hours on the case.
This estimate considers one hour for reading, about two hours for
searching and reading empirical research, and four hours discussion with
team members to work out the case requirements. The time needed to
complete the case depends on students' knowledge and is reduced if the
case is used as an individual exercise.
While we used
the case on a discussion basis, it can also be applied as a written
exercise, either individually or in small groups. Such an assignment
would have to allow students more time to complete the case because the
written answers can be quite extensive. Accordingly, some guidance
should be given regarding the length of answers expected. Grading could
be done along the answers provided in the Teaching Notes. To increase
the case's ease of use, we have prepared the resource such that each
part can be assigned separately.
The resource
can be used in a number of classes, primarily at a graduate level.
Financial reporting classes in a Master of Accountancy program, e.g.,
(Advanced) Financial Accounting, (Advanced) Financial Reporting, or a
Capstone Seminar, seem to be suited best for the case. International
Accounting and, especially, Comparative Accounting would be able to
discuss the differences between IFRS and U.S. GAAP in detail. With a
slight change of focus, instructors could also use the case in an
Auditing class. The case may be too complex for Intermediate Accounting
at an undergraduate level because it requires basic knowledge of
accounting and finance. However, instructors may well choose to discuss
the case in senior-level classes such as Advanced Financial Accounting
or Special Topics in Accounting.
As for
students' background knowledge, we believe that a basic understanding of
impairment requirements and corporate finance (determining cash flows,
discount rate, etc.) should be provided. To some extent, this knowledge
can be expected from students at a more advanced level. To be sure, we
recommended
Palepu, Healy, and Peek (2013, Chaps. 7 and 8)
to students as background reading. Detailed understanding of impairment
tests is not necessary, as it is part of the assignment and students
should work this out independently.
We
estimate that a first-time adopter of the case needs approximately four
hours to prepare the case (one hour of reading and preparing classroom
discussion, one hour for the technical aspects and Part I, and two hours
for Part II). While focusing on impairment tests, the resource allows
instructors flexibility when distributing the case. It can be applied by
focusing on comparing U.S. GAAP and IFRS requirements, or on one of the
two frameworks. The accompanying handout (see the Teaching Notes) helps
instructors discuss similarities and differences between impairment
requirements, if they choose to discuss only one of the accounting
frameworks.
Student Feedback
The
effectiveness of the case study was assessed by a feedback questionnaire
of 12 questions, based on a five-point Likert scale, where 1 indicated
“Strongly Agree” and 5 “Strongly Disagree.” Thirty-two students
completed the questionnaire (Table 4).
This study investigates the
determinants of firms’ decision to impair goodwill under IFRS. Our
empirical analysis is based on data for the years 2005 to 2011 for 8,110
non-financial firm-years and 1,358 financial firm-years from 21
countries where firms apply IFRS. We specifically investigate which role
national enforcement systems play for firms’ decisions whether or not to
impair goodwill. We find that firms’ decisions are related to measures
of performance, but also to proxies for managerial and firm-level
incentives. We also find that goodwill impairment is associated with
lagged stock-market return, suggesting that firms tend to delay
necessary impairment. Further investigations reveal that the timeliness
of goodwill impairment depends on the strength of national
accounting and auditing
enforcement systems: in countries with weak enforcement systems firms
tend to delay necessary goodwill impairments, while firms in countries
with strong enforcement systems tend to write off goodwill in a timely
fashion, both before and after the Financial Crisis. However, even in
countries with strict enforcement impairment decisions appear to be
influenced by managerial and firm-level incentives, such as CEO
reputation concerns and by management’s preferences for smooth earnings.
Teaching Case
"Using the Codification to Research a Complex Accounting Issue: The Case of
Goodwill Impairment at Jackson Enterprises," by Casey J. McNellis, Ronald F.
Premuroso, and Robert E. Houmes , Issues in Accounting Education, Volume 30,
Issue 1 (February 2015) ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/iace-50949
This case is designed to help students develop
research skills using the Financial Accounting Standards Board's (FASB)
Accounting Standards Codification (Codification or ASC). The case also helps
develop students' abilities to analyze and recommend alternatives for a
complex accounting issue, goodwill impairment, which is very relevant in
today's business world. This case can be used in an undergraduate or
graduate accounting class, either in groups of students or as an individual
student project.
. . .
Shortly after the case was tested in the graduate
course, it was administered to undergraduate students enrolled in an
Intermediate I course (n = 50). These students had learned the basics of the
two-step impairment test in the week preceding the assignment of the case.
As indicated in Table 1, the undergraduate class averaged 57.33 percent on
the six-question post-case assessment. These students did not receive the
six-question assessment prior to reading the case. This was done partially
out of necessity because of the time constraints imposed by the
intermediate-level curriculum. The Intermediate I course contains a fixed
amount of material that must be learned by students prior to their
enrollment in the Intermediate II course.7 Given the demands of the
curriculum, the instructor only had a portion (approximately 60 minutes) of
one class period in which to devote to the case. This class period was used
to discuss the case and to administer the case-related survey items (see
paragraph below) after the students read the case and answered the case
requirements.8 However, given the pre-test scores that we observed in the
graduate class, we also felt this course of action was appropriate, as it
was deemed unlikely that the undergraduate students' pre-case knowledge of
the in-depth issues would be greater than the graduate students, who had
already taken the Intermediate I course. As such, we believe the
undergraduate post-case assessment average provides additional evidence of
the efficacy of this case.
After the case study was completed and the results
and the answers to the case study were discussed and reviewed with the
students in each respective class, the instructors had each student complete
a five-question survey found in Appendix A. The results of the survey are
summarized in Table 2. In general, the mean responses to the five survey
questions exceeded 4 on a scale of 1 (disagree) to 5 (totally agree) for the
students performing this case study.
For acquirers, inaccurate goodwill accounting can have
serious consequences, including distorted financial reporting, a falling
share price and exposure to legal, regulatory and reputational risks. CFOs
and other executives can benefit from understanding differences in the way
goodwill impairment is analyzed across countries, lessons learned from a
case study and the global efforts underway to improve the reliability of
goodwill accounting information.
Teaching Case
"Using the Codification to Research a Complex Accounting Issue: The Case of
Goodwill Impairment at Jackson Enterprises," by Casey J. McNellis, Ronald F.
Premuroso, and Robert E. Houmes, Issues in Accounting Education, February
2015 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/iace-50949
Abstract
This case is designed to help students develop research skills using the
Financial Accounting Standards Board's (FASB) Accounting Standards
Codification (Codification or ASC). The case also helps develop students'
abilities to analyze and recommend alternatives for a complex accounting
issue, goodwill impairment, which is very relevant in today's business
world. This case can be used in an undergraduate or graduate accounting
class, either in groups of students or as an individual student project.
. . .
Shortly after the case was tested in the graduate
course, it was administered to undergraduate students enrolled in an
Intermediate I course (n = 50). These students had learned the basics of the
two-step impairment test in the week preceding the assignment of the case.
As indicated in Table 1, the undergraduate class averaged 57.33 percent on
the six-question post-case assessment. These students did not receive the
six-question assessment prior to reading the case. This was done partially
out of necessity because of the time constraints imposed by the
intermediate-level curriculum. The Intermediate I course contains a fixed
amount of material that must be learned by students prior to their
enrollment in the Intermediate II course.7 Given the demands of the
curriculum, the instructor only had a portion (approximately 60 minutes) of
one class period in which to devote to the case. This class period was used
to discuss the case and to administer the case-related survey items (see
paragraph below) after the students read the case and answered the case
requirements.8 However, given the pre-test scores that we observed in the
graduate class, we also felt this course of action was appropriate, as it
was deemed unlikely that the undergraduate students' pre-case knowledge of
the in-depth issues would be greater than the graduate students, who had
already taken the Intermediate I course. As such, we believe the
undergraduate post-case assessment average provides additional evidence of
the efficacy of this case.
After the case study was completed and the results
and the answers to the case study were discussed and reviewed with the
students in each respective class, the instructors had each student complete
a five-question survey found in Appendix A. The results of the survey are
summarized in Table 2. In general, the mean responses to the five survey
questions exceeded 4 on a scale of 1 (disagree) to 5 (totally agree) for the
students performing this case study.
Teaching Case on How Much Harder Technology Firms Make it to Account for
Purchased Goodwill and Unbooked Goodwill
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on February 21,
2014
TOPICS: business combinations, Financial Ratios, Financial
Statement Analysis
SUMMARY: Facebook's announcement that it has purchased WhatsApp for
$19 billion-a company that had $20 million in sales last year-had most who
heard about it wondering whether the Zuckerberg team had gone crazy. In the
main article and its related video, Mr. Zuckerberg justifies the purchase
price on the basis of its widespread use. In the related article,
comparisons are made to Verizon Wireless's subscriber base and its recent
purchase of the 45% of Verizon Wireless that was owned by Vodafone.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a class on
business combinations or financial statement analysis.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is so notable about Facebook's purchase of
WhatsApp?
2. (Advanced) How does an acquirer generally decide on a purchase
price for a target? Consider the related article in your answer.
3. (Introductory) Given Mark Zuckerberg's statements in the related
video as well as the comments in the related article, do you think that
Facebook approached their decision on buying WhatsApp similarly to any other
acquisition the company has made? Support your answer.
4. (Advanced) What do you think will be the primary asset recorded
in the entry made by Facebook upon finalizing this purchase of WhatsApp?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
BARCELONA— Mark Zuckerberg has a message for
doubters of Facebook Inc. FB +2.18% 's acquisition of mobile-messaging
service WhatsApp: $19 billion was cheap.
The Facebook chief executive said Monday that the
five-year-old mobile application was worth more than Facebook agreed to pay
for it last week, because the app is a rare platform that has the potential
to reach over a billion users.
In a question-and-answer session here at the yearly
Mobile World Congress, Mr. Zuckerberg said that other messaging apps are
already monetizing their users at $2 to $3 a head. Meanwhile WhatsApp, with
little revenue so far, is on a trajectory to grow quickly from 450 million
users to over a billion, Mr. Zuckerberg said.
"The reality is that there are very few services
that reach a billion people in the world. They're all incredibly valuable,
much more valuable than that," Mr. Zuckerberg said, referring to the price
tag, which included $16 billion in cash and stock and $3 billion in
restricted stock units.
Mr. Zuckerberg's comments underscore his company's
complicated relationship with the room he was addressing. Telecommunications
executives on one hand appreciate how Facebook drives people to subscribe to
Internet service on home and on mobile phones—giving Mr. Zuckerberg top
billing at their biggest conference.
But telecom chiefs—who also pride themselves on
reaching billions—chafe at how Silicon Valley companies like Facebook
capture much of the value of the Internet. Facebook's $175 billion market
capitalization dwarfs that of almost every telecommunication firm.
During the 45-minute-long discussion, Mr.
Zuckerberg spoke mostly about a Facebook-led coalition that aims to push
operators to connect poor people in emerging countries to the Internet, by
offering "on-ramp" Internet service, with free access to some services like
Facebook. He also reiterated his view that the U.S. government had "blown
it," when it came to being transparent about its surveillance activities,
following leaks from former U.S. National Security Agency contractor Edward
Snowden.
The subject, however, did keep coming back to
Facebook's deep pockets. Asked if he was prepared to make another run at
messaging-service Snapchat, which Facebook had explored buying last year,
Mr. Zuckerberg chuckled.
"After buying a company for $16 billion," he said,
"you're probably done for a little while."
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on November 12, 2013
Write-downs from deals gone bad soared last year, but 2013 is turning out
different. Suitors are paying the lowest premiums for target companies in
nearly 20 years and stocks are trading near records, giving companies cover
to avoid write-downs on the value of their assets,
write CFOJ’s Emily Chasan and Maxwell Murphy in
today’s Marketplace section. That’s a big
change from last year, when U.S. companies slashed the value of their past
acquisitions by $51 billion because the deals didn’t pan out as expected,
according to a study set for release today.”There could be less stress on
values now than there was in prior years,” said Gary Roland, a managing
director at Duff & Phelps, the financial-advisory firm that led the study.
Goodwill write-downs don’t affect cash flow, but they could indicate the
acquiring company’s management botched its evaluation and overpaid, Chasan
and Murphy write. “There’s a reason you put goodwill on the books. Yes, it’s
a noncash charge, but at the end of the day, it’s a measure of whether we
have been able to derive the value we said we would from those assets,” said
Perrigo CFO Judy
Brown. Perrigo expects to book $1.19 billion of goodwill on its acquisition
of Irish biotech company Elan. “Ultimately, it’s a measure of whether you
put your shareholders’ money to work in an effective way,” Ms. Brown said.
There’s a risk that a rise in interest rates or a drop in the stock market
could spark an increase in goodwill write-downs. But corporate boards are
showing more discipline in approving acquisitions. U.S. buyers this year are
paying an average premium of 19% to the target’s share price the week before
the deals are announced. Historically, premiums have averaged 30%. And last
year was the first year in which companies could use a new FASB rule that
lets them judge on a qualitative basis whether they need to perform
traditional quantitative tests on their asset values. Because the new rule
makes the decision more subjective, optimistic executives may be able to
stave off a potential write-down, says PJ Patel, a managing director at
Valuation Research, which advises companies on goodwill accounting.
"Are Fair Value Estimates a Source of Significant Tension in the
Auditor-Client Relationship? Evidence from Goodwill Accounting," by Douglas
Ray Ayres. Terry L. Neal, Lauren C. Reid, and Jonathan E Shipman, SSRN, August
2, 2014 ---
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2474674
Abstract:
In recent decades, there has been a substantial
increase in the use of complex fair value estimates in financial
reporting. These uncertain and forward-looking estimates pose additional
challenges for auditors who are required to evaluate the reasonableness
of accounting estimations. We extend prior literature by investigating
whether or not uncertain estimates create significant tension between
audit firms and their clients. Specifically, we use the context of
goodwill estimations to examine the effect of accounting estimates on
the auditor-client relationship. We find a positive and significant
relation between a material goodwill write-off and a subsequent auditor
change. In addition, our results indicate that the likelihood of an
auditor switch increases as the impairment decision becomes less
favorable to the client. Furthermore, we find that as the relative
magnitude of a goodwill write-off increases, the greater the likelihood
the auditor-client relationship will discontinue. In addition to
providing important insights into the challenges faced by auditors in
their evaluation of goodwill impairments, this study informs discussions
regarding the audit of other complex estimates, which is particularly
relevant given the continued expansion of fair value estimation in
financial reporting.
Question Goodwill Impairment: What Happens When U.S. GAAP and IFRSs Clash?
From CFO.com on March 25, 2013
Differences in the goodwill impairment standards under U.S. GAAP and
IFRSs may create significant disparities as to whether goodwill is viewed as
impaired and, if so, how much is written off in the United States and the
other country, or even country to country. Learn more about the challenges
companies, especially acquisitive ones, may face in performing goodwill
impairment testing both in the U.S. and around the world.
More ---
http://deloitte.wsj.com/cfo/2013/03/25/goodwill-impairment-what-happens-when-u-s-gaap-and-ifrss-clash/
For acquisitive companies, determining whether
goodwill booked in transactions has become impaired and if it has, by
how much, is now a fairly regular occurrence. However, the accounting
involved can be anything but straightforward when the acquirer is a
U.S.-based company and subsidiary businesses are located elsewhere or
vice versa.
Differences in the goodwill impairment
standards under U.S. GAAP and International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRSs) may create significant disparities as to whether
goodwill is viewed as impaired and, if so, how much is written off in
the United States and the other country, or even
country-to-country. Other factors creating such disparities include the
varying application of valuation methodologies and historical cultural
differences in the application of impairment accounting.
Such situations may be especially troublesome
for U.S. businesses because of country-to-country differences around the
world. For example, a U.S. company with operations in Germany, France,
Spain and Greece may write off goodwill entirely on a consolidated basis
under U.S. GAAP. However, when a corporate life event, such as a
spin-off or carve out, is undertaken related to the subsidiary outside
of the U.S. depending on how the IFRSs principles are applied, some or
none of its goodwill might be written off. (See: U.S. GAAP-IFRSs
Dilemma: A Case Study further below).
Sorting out these differences may be a
challenging process for management of companies operating in numerous
countries across the world, when U.S. GAAP, IFRSs and potentially other
financial reporting frameworks need to be addressed. Relief from the
dilemma of distinguishing between the treatment under U.S. GAAP and
IFRSs does not appear to be on the way any time soon. On one hand, the
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) and the U.S. Financial
Accounting Standards Board (FASB) are continuing their now decade-long
work to converge IFRSs and U.S. GAAP. However, converging goodwill
impairment accounting does not appear to be a near-term project.
In addition, on July 13, 2012, the SEC
issued its final staff report on the “Work Plan for Consideration of
incorporating IFRSs into the Financial Reporting System for U.S.
Issuers” without offering a timetable for potential U.S. adoption of
IFRSs for domestic filers¹. This leaves companies for the foreseeable
future still facing difficult situations when dealing with disparities
such as goodwill impairment.
The Conceptual Foundation of Impairment
Issues
The differences in U.S. GAAP and IFRSs goodwill
impairment treatment flow largely from a fundamental difference in
accounting approaches. As a principles-based accounting approach, IFRSs
provide a conceptual basis for accountants to follow in a one-step test
that has both a fair value and an asset-recoverability aspect. U.S.
GAAP, on the other hand, dictates that goodwill is tested for impairment
through a two-step, fair value test with the level of impairment, if
present, determined in Step 2 after an extensive analysis of related
asset values. However, the FASB’s recent issuance of a “step zero”
qualitative assessment for goodwill impairment testing did introduce an
element of a principles-based approach under U.S. GAAP³.Principles-based
standards allow accountants to apply significant professional judgment
in assessing a transaction. This is substantially different from the
underlying “box-ticking” approach historically common in rules-based
accounting standards.
The lack of precise guidelines in a
principles-based approach may create inconsistencies in the application
of standards across organizations and countries, particularly in a very
subjective area such as fair value. On the other hand, rules-based
standards can be viewed as insufficiently flexible to accommodate a
topic such as fair value, which often requires significant professional
judgments gained through experience, with extremely limited market data.
However, the U.S. has gradually been embracing
the principles-based approach. The recently converged standards on fair
value measurement (IFRS 13 and ASC 820), an IASB-FASB joint effort,
supports this.
Even though the SEC has not set a timetable for
if, when, or how the U.S. might move to IFRSs in the future, convergence
efforts themselves in recent years have started to influence how new
accounting standards are applied in practice.
U.S. GAAP-IFRSs Dilemma: A Case Study
The experience of a U.S.-based consolidated
company comprising six Reporting Units (RUs) demonstrates how
differences in U.S. GAAP and IFRSs may affect goodwill impairment. The
company was considering a spinoff of an RU located in a country
following IFRSs, as a standalone company through an IPO. Therefore, a
standalone audit of the RU was necessary under IFRSs. At the end of its
fiscal year, the U.S. consolidated company wrote off the goodwill in its
foreign-based RU and some other domestic RUs under U.S GAAP.
Outside the U.S., meanwhile, the subsidiary—a
standalone RU in the U.S. and a single Cash Generating Unit (CGU) under
IFRSs—performed an independent goodwill impairment analysis. The
standalone CGU management did not believe there should be a goodwill
write-off under IFRSs guidelines and following typical valuation
procedures in that country related to goodwill impairment testing. As a
result, the standalone CGU reported goodwill under IFRSs but the
standalone RU under U.S. GAAP wrote the entire amount off, at the same
point in time.
Addressing the Dilemma
In a world where investors often react to new
or inconsistent financial information within seconds, it is important
for company management to understand environments where different
conclusions may be reached relative to topics such as goodwill
impairment.
Sometimes differences need to be addressed and
initial conclusions potentially modified. In other situations
differences are just the result of the various financial reporting
frameworks and environments across the world. However, it is important
to be aware that situations may occur where various parties involved may
not agree or understand each other’s perspectives, and then be able to
navigate them effectively to get to supportable and reasonable
conclusions.
Understanding real differences due to statutory
guidance—such as non-convergent accounting versus interpretations of
principles-based standards, or the varying application of valuation
methods—is extremely important.
The Effects of Culture and Translation
As accounting standards, IFRSs are still
relatively recent, with European nations as early adopters in 2005;
although, in some countries, IFRSs have been around longer. Numerous
countries around the world have been transitioning to IFRSs in recent
years. In many of those countries, fair value was not present in the
original accounting framework. Indeed, a number of the countries now
following IFRSs do not have fully functioning market- based economies,
making the complexity of arriving at supportable fair value estimates
even greater.
Countries around the world have operated for
decades within their own accounting systems, and cultural differences
cause accountants in different countries to interpret and apply
accounting standards differently. Such differences can affect the
measurement and disclosure of financial information in financial reports
and potentially affect cross-border financial statement comparability.
National culture is most likely to influence
the application of financial reporting standards where judgment is
required. This is of concern due to IFRSs being principles- based and
requiring substantial judgment on the part of the accountant and the
valuation specialist performing the valuation.
The official working language of the IASB, and
the language in which IFRSs are published, is English. Translation of
IFRSs into various languages introduces an added complexity in
comparability of application of IFRSs across the world, as well as
comparability with U.S. GAAP. In some cases, words and phrases used in
English- language accounting standards cannot be translated into other
languages without some distortion of meaning. For instance, words such
as “probable,” “not likely,” “reasonable assurance” and “remote” can be
problematic during interpretation.
In addition, many countries that have moved to
IFRSs may have introduced their own country’s version of IFRSs; such
localization of the standards has led to the creation of many slightly
different versions of IFRSs.
Therefore, when analyzing and contrasting
financial reporting practices, such as those involving
goodwill impairment testing, it is not as
simple as a comparison of U.S GAAP and IFRSs.
To highlight the need for greater consistency,
the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) issued a Public
Statement on November 12, 2012, regarding European common enforcement
priorities for 2012 financial statements. ESMA’s reason for issuing the
statement was “to promote consistent application of the European
securities and markets legislation, and more specifically that of [IFRSs].”
One of the four “…financial reporting topics which they believe are
particularly significant for European listed companies…”⁴ was impairment
of non-financial assets, including goodwill.
The Effects of Different Accounting
Treatments
Taking a goodwill impairment can be a
necessary, if disappointing, step for a company. For publicly traded
companies in particular, depending on how the company has managed market
expectations, the move may or may not affect the company’s market
pricing. Dealing with inconsistencies from market to market can be even
more perplexing. Whatever the situation, companies operating across the
global economy continue to face the challenge of differing application
of valuation methodologies and accounting principles under U.S. GAAP and
IFRSs, local country GAAP and even country-to-country under IFRSs
regarding goodwill impairment testing.
Teaching Case
From the Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 15, 2013
TOPICS: business combinations, Goodwill, Impairment, Intangible
Assets, Mergers and Acquisitions
SUMMARY: "Last year U.S. companies slashed the value of their past
acquisitions by $51 billion because the deals didn't pan out as
expected...This year, however, there have been only a handful of big
corporate mea culpas." The article is an excellent introduction to the
meaning of accounting for goodwill and related impairment charges. In 2012,
nearly half of the total goodwill write-downs came from three companies:
Hewlett-Packard, stemming from its acquisition of software firm Autonomy;
Microsoft, mostly from its purchase of aQuantive; and Boston Scientific,
primarily from its acquisition of Guidant. The H-P/Autonomy acquisition and
goodwill write-off were covered in this review for which this review lists a
related article.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in any financial
reporting class either covering intangible assets or business combination
accounting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) According to the article, how is goodwill
determined?
2. (Advanced) Would you like to add any further details to the
description given in the article about how goodwill is determined? Explain.
3. (Introductory) How much goodwill have companies written off in
recent years? What factors have led to this trend in goodwill write-offs?
4. (Advanced) What is an alternative name for a goodwill write-off
used in accounting standards?
5. (Advanced) What does a goodwill write-off imply about the
business combination transaction from which it was generated?
6. (Introductory) According to the article, how are goodwill
write-offs determined?
7. (Advanced) Would you like to add any further details to the
description given in the article about determining and/or recording goodwill
write-offs? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Last year U.S. companies slashed the value of their
past acquisitions by $51 billion because the deals didn't pan out as
expected, according to a study set for release Tuesday. That was the highest
yearly total for such write-downs since the financial crisis.
This year, however, there have been only a handful
of big corporate mea culpas. Suitors are paying the lowest premiums for
target companies in nearly 20 years, stocks are trading near records, giving
companies cover to avoid write-downs on the value of their assets, and new
accounting rules may be allowing more of them to delay the charges.
"There could be less stress on values now than
there was in prior years," said Gary Roland, a managing director at Duff &
Phelps, the financial advisory firm that led the study.
Write-downs of soured acquisitions jumped 76% last
year from 2011, but remained far below the $188 billion in charges recorded
in 2008, as the recession bit down.
Nearly half last year's write-downs came from three
deals gone bad. Hewlett-Packard Co. HPQ +0.40% took the biggest—$13.7
billion—thanks largely to the vanishing value of its 2011 acquisition of
software firm Autonomy, which H-P said it was duped into buying at an
inflated price. Autonomy's former chief executive has denied the allegation.
Microsoft Corp. MSFT -0.19% took a $6.2 billion
write-down largely on its 2007 purchase of online-advertising company
aQuantive, and Boston Scientific Corp. BSX -0.21% shaved off another $4.35
billion, mostly related to its problem-plagued 2006 takeover of
medical-device maker Guidant. In all, 235 companies erased value from prior
deals last year. That's up from 227 the year before but down from 502 in
2008.
Last year's list also included Cliffs Natural
Resources Inc. CLF +2.32% 's roughly $1 billion charge on its 2011 purchase
of Consolidated Thompson Iron Mines.
When one company acquires another it calculates the
value of the target's assets, including property, equipment, trademarks and
licenses. If the purchase price is higher, the acquirer carries the
difference on its books as so-called goodwill.
At least once a year, companies must verify the
value of what they bought. If the acquired company had a product recall, for
example, the value of some of its assets might have to be
discounted.Goodwill write-downs don't affect cash flow, and so are often
ignored by investors, but they could indicate the acquiring company's
management botched its evaluation and overpaid.
"There's a reason you put goodwill on the books.
Yes, it's a noncash charge, but at the end of the day, it's a measure of
whether we have been able to derive the value we said we would from those
assets," said Judy Brown, chief financial officer of Perrigo Co. PRGO -0.46%
Perrigo, a drug manufacturer and distributor,
expects to book $1.19 billion of goodwill on its acquisition of Irish
biotech company Elan Corp. DRX.DB -0.15% , according to a regulatory filing.
"Ultimately, it's a measure of whether you put your shareholders' money to
work in an effective way," Ms. Brown said.
There is a risk, of course, that a run-up in
interest rates or a drop in the stock market could spark an increase in
goodwill write-downs. Companies in the S&P 500 index are still carrying a
total of $2 trillion in goodwill on their books. They include AT&T Inc., T
+0.80% Bank of America Corp. BAC +0.61% , Procter & Gamble Co. PG +0.50% ,
Berkshire Hathaway Inc. BRKB +0.10% and General Electric Co. GE +0.63% ,
which each have more than $50 billion in goodwill on their balance sheets,
according to S&P Capital IQ.
Boston Scientific, for example, has written down
goodwill in five of the past six years for a total of $9.9 billion in
charges, including $423 million this year. The company said in a recent
regulatory filing that another roughly $1.36 billion of its $5.55 billion in
remaining goodwill is at "higher risk" of a write-down.
"They clearly overpaid" in buying Guidant for $28.4
billion, said Tau Levy, an analyst at Wedbush Securities. Part of the reason
was a bidding war with Johnson & Johnson, JNJ -0.01% but part was because
Boston Scientific's prior top managers "underestimated the problems going on
with Guidant," Mr. Levy said.
A Boston Scientific spokeswoman declined to
"speculate on the reasons for past decisions."
Only a handful of other large companies have taken
hefty goodwill charges this year. U.S. Steel Co. X +1.96% took a $1.8
billion write-down, and Best Buy Co. BBY +0.72% recorded an $822 million
charge. Cardinal Health CAH -0.37% slashed the value of its pharmacy
business by $829 million.
In a separate Duff & Phelps survey this summer,
more than two-thirds of the 115 companies participating said they don't
expect goodwill write-downs this year. Only 10% of the public companies
polled said they expected such a charge, down from 17% in last year's
survey.
Corporate boards are showing more discipline in
approving acquisitions, despite favorable borrowing conditions and a soaring
stock market. U.S. buyers this year are paying an average premium of 19% to
the target's share price the week before the deals are announced, according
to Dealogic. That's the lowest average premium since at least 1995, as far
back as Dealogic's records go. Historically, premiums have averaged 30%.
More Detailed Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing early adoption of recent
IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its decision, the OSFI considered a
number of factors such as industry
consistency, OSFI policy positions on
accounting and capital, operational capacity and resource constraints of
Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to benefit from improved
standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other Canadian
and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a self-serving interest in earning
millions of dollars selling IFRS training courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early adopt standards in general,
not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
Question (FEI) Which industries have the most goodwill on their balance sheets, which
industries' goodwill was hardest hit, and the impact of impairments on each
industry's total assets?
he 2012 Goodwill Impairment Study, done by Duff &
Phelps, examines the general and industry trends of goodwill impairment
for U.S. companies and includes the results of a survey of FEI members.
New in this year’s study are ten industry sector
spotlights which highlights key goodwill impairment metrics, as well as
cross-tabulation analyses which evaluate the relationships between FEI
member responses to two or more questions.
2012 Study Highlights
U.S. companies impaired $29 billion of
goodwill in 2011.
Financial services firms represented the
greatest share of total impairments, followed by consumer staples and
healthcare.
Contrary to what was previously anticipated,
only 52% of private companies and 43% of public companies applied the
qualitative assessment option (ASU 2011-08) to some or all of their
reporting units.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA)
has published a review of 2011 IFRS financial statements related to
impairment testing of goodwill. The report shows that significant impairment
losses of goodwill were limited to a handful of issuers. According to ESMA,
this raises the question as to whether the level of impairment disclosed in
2011 financial reports appropriately reflects the difficult economic
operating environment for companies. ESMA also finds that although the major
disclosures related to goodwill impairment testing were generally provided,
in many cases these were boilerplate and not entity-specific. ESMA expects
issuers and their auditors to consider the findings of the review when
preparing and auditing the 2012 IFRS financial statements.
We first voiced our concern about an obscure
accounting rule that allows companies to “create” profits when purchasing
other businesses in the “Curious Case of Miller Energy’s 10-K and Its Huge
Bargain Purchase.” The offending tenet relates to the treatment of something
called “negative goodwill” which purportedly is created when a company makes
an acquisition, and pays less than what the assets are worth. This fantastic
“bargain purchase” creates a negative goodwill anomaly because the acquirer
supposedly gets more assets than it pays for, as in this example:
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Yet another illustration of how the FASB and IASB made a black hole out of
bottom-line earnings.
We first voiced our concern about an obscure
accounting rule that allows companies to “create” profits when purchasing
other businesses in the “Curious Case of Miller Energy’s 10-K and Its Huge
Bargain Purchase.” The offending tenet relates to the treatment of something
called “negative goodwill” which purportedly is created when a company makes
an acquisition, and pays less than what the assets are worth. This fantastic
“bargain purchase” creates a negative goodwill anomaly because the acquirer
supposedly gets more assets than it pays for, as in this example:
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Yet another illustration of how the FASB and IASB made a black hole out of
bottom-line earnings.
Warren Buffett's annual letter to shareholders,
available at the Berkshire Hathaway website, is, as always, a must read. Of
particular interest is his comment on page 15 about a very nonsensical
aspect of GAAP for business combinations.
Denny
After which Bob Jensen added the
following tidbit
Abpve is a message from Denny about the Uselessness of GAAP for Business
Combinations
I don't think anybody considers GAAP the most useful input to management when
making decisions regarding mergers and acquisitions since GAAP mainly deals with
booked items and management focuses very heavily on the values and risks of
unbooked items like human resources, contingencies, and interaction (covariance)
values of booked and unbooked items.
But GAAP could conceivably be of more interest to investors when evaluating
the stewardship of management with respect to mergers and acquisitions.
Added Note:
I've always enjoyed the folksy writing style in these shareholder letters. If
you peruse through all of them you will get a greater sense of the value added
by corporate executives on investments.
Partially
offsetting this overstated liability is $15.5 billion of “goodwill”
attributable to our insurance companies that is included in book value as an
asset. In effect, this goodwill represents the price we paid for the
float-generating capabilities of our insurance operations. The cost of the
goodwill, however, has no bearing on its true value. If an insurance
business produces large and sustained underwriting losses, any goodwill
asset attributable to it should be deemed valueless, whatever its original
cost. Fortunately, that’s not the case at Berkshire. Charlie and I believe
the true economic value of our insurance goodwill – what we would pay to
purchase float of similar quality – to be far in excess of its historic
carrying value. The value of our float is one reason
. . .
Let’s use IBM as an example. As all
business observers know, CEOs Lou Gerstner and Sam Palmisano did a superb
job in moving IBM from near-bankruptcy twenty years ago to its prominence
today. Their operational accomplishments were truly extraordinary.
But their financial management was
equally brilliant, particularly in recent years as the company’s financial
flexibility improved. Indeed, I can think of no major company that has had
better financial management, a skill that has materially increased the gains
enjoyed by IBM shareholders. The company has used debt wisely, made
value-adding acquisitions almost exclusively for cash and aggressively
repurchased its own stock. Today, IBM has 1.16 billion shares outstanding,
of which we own about 63.9 million or 5.5%.
Naturally, what happens to the
company’s earnings over the next five years is of enormous importance to us.
Beyond that, the company will likely
spend $50 billion or so in those years to repurchase shares. Our quiz for
the day: What should a long-term shareholder, such as Berkshire, cheer for
during that period? I won’t keep you in suspense. We should wish for IBM’s
stock price to
languish throughout the five years.
Let’s do the math. If IBM’s stock
price averages, say, $200 during the period, the company will acquire 250
million shares for its $50 billion. There would consequently be 910 million
shares outstanding, and we would own about 7% of the company. If the stock
conversely sells for an average of $300 during the five-year period, IBM
will acquire only 167 million shares. That would leave about 990 million
shares outstanding after five years, of which we would own 6.5%.
If IBM were to earn, say, $20 billion
in the fifth year, our share of those earnings would be a full $100 million
greater under the “disappointing” scenario of a lower stock price than they
would have been at the higher price. At some later point our shares would be
worth perhaps $11⁄2
billion more than
if the “high-price” repurchase scenario had taken place.
The logic is
simple: If you are going to be a net buyer of stocks in the future, either
directly with your own money or indirectly (through your ownership of a
company that is repurchasing shares), you are hurt when stocks rise.
You benefit when stocks swoon. Emotions, however, too often
complicate the matter: Most people, including those who will be net buyers
in the future, take comfort in seeing stock prices advance. These
shareholders resemble a commuter who rejoices after the price of gas
increases, simply because his tank contains a day’s supply.
Charlie and I
don’t expect to win many of you over to our way of thinking – we’ve observed
enough human behavior to know the futility of that – but we do want you to
be aware of our personal calculus. And here a confession is in order: In my
early days I, too, rejoiced when the market rose. Then I read Chapter Eight
of Ben Graham’s The Intelligent Investor, the chapter dealing with
how investors should view fluctuations in stock prices. Immediately the
scales fell from my eyes, and low prices became my friend. Picking up that
book was one of the luckiest moments in my life.
In the end, the
success of our IBM investment will be determined primarily by its future
earnings. But an important secondary factor will be how many shares the
company purchases with the substantial sums it is likely to devote to this
activity. And if repurchases ever reduce the IBM shares outstanding to 63.9
million, I will abandon my famed frugality and give Berkshire employees a
paid holiday.
. . .
Certain
shareholders have told me they hunger for more discussions of accounting
arcana. So here’s a bit of GAAP-mandated nonsense I hope both of them enjoy.
Common
sense would tell you that our varied subsidiaries should be carried on our
books at their cost plus the earnings they have retained since our purchase
(unless their economic value has materially decreased, in which case an
appropriate write-down must be taken). And that’s essentially the reality at
Berkshire – except for the weird situation at Marmon.
We
purchased 64% of the company in 2008 and put this interest on our books at
our cost, $4.8 billion. So far, so good. Then, in early 2011, pursuant to
our original contract with the Pritzker family, we purchased an additional
16%, paying $1.5 billion as called for by a formula that reflected Marmon’s
increased value. In this instance, however, we were required to immediately
write off $614 million of the purchase price retroactive to the end of 2010.
(Don’t ask!) Obviously, this write-off had no connection to economic
reality. The excess of Marmon’s intrinsic value over its carrying value is
widened by this meaningless write-down.
. . .
There is little new to report on our
derivatives positions, which we have described in detail in past reports.
(Annual reports since 1977 are
available at www.berkshirehathaway.com.) One important industry
change,however, must be noted: Though our existing contracts have very minor
collateral requirements, the rules have changed for new positions.
Consequently, we will not be initiating any major derivatives positions. We
shun contracts of any type that could require the instant posting of
collateral. The possibility of some sudden and huge posting requirement –
arising from an out-of-the-blue event such as a worldwide financial panic or
massive terrorist attack – is inconsistent with our primary objectives of
redundant liquidity and unquestioned financial strength.
Our insurance-like derivatives
contracts, whereby we pay if various issues included in high-yield bond
indices default, are coming to a close. The contracts that most exposed us
to losses have already expired, and the remainder will terminate soon. In
2011, we paid out $86 million on two losses, bringing our total payments to
$2.6 billion. We are almost certain to realize a final “underwriting profit”
on this portfolio because the premiums we received were $3.4 billion, and
our future losses are apt to be minor. In addition, we will have averaged
about $2 billion of float over the five-year life of these contracts. This
successful result during a time of great credit stress underscores the
importance of obtaining a premium that is commensurate with the risk.
Charlie and I continue to believe that
our equity-put positions will produce a significant profit, considering both
the $4.2 billion of float we will have held for more than fifteen years and
the $222 million profit we’ve already realized on contracts that we
repurchased. At yearend, Berkshire’s book value reflected a liability of
$8.5 billion for the remaining contracts; if they had all come due at that
time our payment would have been $6.2 billion.
Tom Selling has
some posts of possible interest on business combinations:
TOPICS: Advanced Financial Accounting, Audit Quality,
Auditing, Business Ethics, Goodwill
SUMMARY: "Since 2006, China Yurun Foods has generated about
9% of its profit from goodwill....That should be a red flag for
investors....Several areas in the firms' accounts are under scrutiny from
investors, including high levels of government subsidies, which are above
industry norms, and margins that appear out of whack with those of its
peers." The article notes that Yurun and its auditors KPMG declined to
comment on the issues raised in this article.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to discuss the
topic of negative goodwill. It also may be used to generally cover financial
statement analysis used for either investment decision-making or audit
reasonableness testing. This article is the first of three this week
discussing the current rash of concerns with financial reporting by Chinese
companies traded on North American exchanges.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What business combination transactions did the
Hong Kong- based company Yurun undertake in the last five years?
2. (Advanced) What is negative goodwill? How does this account
balance arise from a business combination transaction?
3. (Advanced) What parts of the accounting for a business
combination giving rise to negative goodwill-or positive goodwill-are
subject to management judgment?
4. (Advanced) What are a company's auditors-in this case, KPMG
LLP-responsible for doing to assess the reasonableness of asset values
assigned by a company in business combination transactions? In this case,
what issue raises questions about concerns in those valuations?
5. (Introductory) Refer to the related article as well as comments
in the main article regarding "several areas in the firms accounts" that are
"under scrutiny." What are investors analyzing in company's annual reports?
What investment actions are they taking based on their assessments?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Five years of "negative goodwill" sounds like a run
of seriously bad luck. For China Yurun Foods Group, the opposite is true.
Since 2006, China Yurun Foods Group has generated
about 9% of its profits from negative goodwill, an accounting quirk that
allows the company to mark up the value of the pig slaughterhouses it buys.
That should be a red flag for investors.
Yurun, a Hong Kong-listed pork processor with a
market capitalization of about $4.2 billion, has bought eight
slaughterhouses at knock-down prices over the past five years and booked 587
million Hong Kong dollars (US$75.3 million) in gains.
To generate profits this way from negative goodwill
several years running and across multiple transactions is highly unusual,
says Prof. Gary Biddle, chairman of accounting at the University of Hong
Kong. [yurunherd0830] Bloomberg News
Yurunshares lost a third of their value since
mid-June.
Negative goodwill is rare because sellers don't
usually part with their assets at bargain prices. The other concern is it is
the buyer who determines how much it underpaid for the assets and what they
are worth now.
The company and its auditors KPMG declined to
comment.
Yurun is one of a number of Chinese businesses
under fire from short sellers targeting alleged accounting problems. The
company's shares have already lost a third of their value since mid-June,
and several areas in the firm's accounts that are under scrutiny from
investors. Another area of concern: High levels of government subsidies,
which are above industry norms, and margins that appear out of whack with
those of its peers.
Continued in article
"A Case Against Impairment Testing: A decline in share price may not
necessarily mean a company should test its goodwill for impairment," by
David M. Katz, CFO.com, October 7, 2010 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14528983/?f=rsspage
CFOs shouldn't automatically assume that a drop in
share price should trigger a goodwill-impairment charge by their companies,
a new research report suggests.
To be sure, bad news from the market is the most
common — and attention-getting — reason for an impairment test. But given
the overall rebound in share prices since March 2009, companies that chose
not to test their corporate goodwill for impairment "may have been right,"
according to the report from the Georgia Tech Financial Analysis Lab. "A
price decline in the absence of other developing problems may not be in and
of itself a valid goodwill impairment triggering event."
That's because share prices are known to be fickle
indicators. In one case cited in the study, which is culled from the 2008
and 2009 annual reports of 48 companies, Alcoa appears to have thumbed its
nose at the market and chosen not to respond to a share-price drop with a
goodwill-impairment test. "Management believes the Company's forecasted cash
flows constitute a better indicator of the current fair value of Alcoa's
reporting units than the current pricing of its common shares," the company
stated in its 2008 10-K.
As the report's authors suggest, Alcoa's management
may have been right. Like many other companies, the aluminum giant was under
pressure to write down its goodwill after a devastating 2008. After its
share price peaked at $43.15 on May 16 of that year, it went on a long dive
to $8.06 on December 4, according to a CFO analysis of Capital IQ data.
Then, however, it rose steadily to $17.45 on Jan. 11, 2010, and has hovered
around $12 through September 2008.
Seven other companies in the study, which was
authored by Georgia Tech professors Eugene Comiskey and Charles Mulford,
also didn't assume that a share-price decline or a drop in their market
capitalizations should routinely spur an impairment test. They were EMTEC,
Keynote Systems, Misonix, Parkvale Financial, Quanex Building Products,
Schnitzer Steel Industries, and Tyson Foods.
Under pressure to test for impairment, especially
in a recession, companies that choose not take a charge in the face of a
share-price decline must mount a strong argument for that decision,
according to Mulford. One common defense such companies make is that "just
because their share price is depressed, it doesn't mean that the operating
units are depressed or that their values are impaired," he says.
To be sure, many more companies test for goodwill
impairment in response to stock drops and other triggers. Of the 40 other
companies the Georgia Tech lab studied, 22 ultimately took a goodwill charge
and 18 decided against one.
At least once a year, companies with goodwill — the
premium that an acquiring company pays in excess of an acquired company's
book value — must evaluate it to gauge whether or not it is impaired. If it
is impaired, the company must report a decrease in the goodwill's value.
But when an event that the company regards as a
possible trigger of an impairment occurs between annual testing times, the
company must test its goodwill immediately. Under generally accepted
accounting principles, there are seven such triggering events (see chart).
The triggering event and the later evaluation of goodwill for impairment can
lead to contentious debates among the CFO, other senior managers, auditors,
and outside investors, says Mulford. The company's senior executives may not
think that an impairment is warranted, while auditors and outside investors
may argue otherwise.
Why all the hubbub about a balance-sheet charge
that doesn't actually involve cash? "They still impact analyst assessments
of future cash flows and call into question past prices paid for acquisition
targets," says Mulford. "Moreover, such impairments do reduce current period
earnings and result in a direct reduction in shareholders' equity."
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on January 16,
2009
SUMMARY: "Time
Warner has made a slew of acquisitions since the company's
last major write-down in 2002 for the value of AOL and its
cable systems...Investors chided AOL last year for the steep
$850 million price tag of its Bebo acquisition." Time Warner
has announced a $25 billion write down of its assets "to
account for the tumbling value of its cable, publishing and
AOL businesses." The write down includes goodwill; an
investment in Clearwire; a lease restructuring for floors in
Manhattan held by Lehman Brothers; an increase in credit
loss reserves for bankruptcy filings by retail customers;
and charges for a court judgment against Turner
Broadcasting.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Accounting for goodwill and other asset
impairments, as well as loss accruals, is covered with this
article, including addressing implications for future
financial reporting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) In general, what are the
accounting requirements for writing down goodwill and other
intangible assets?
2. (Advanced) Refer to the related article. How do
companies have "discretion in implementing accounting rules
on impairment"?
3. (Introductory) Refer again to the related
article. Time Warner says that the impairment charge was
prompted by "...the dip in its stock price last year. 'If
our stock price was higher we would not have to take this
charge..." How is this possible?
4. (Introductory) What assets besides goodwill has
Time Warner also written down? What other charges have been
recorded? Identify each as listed in the article and state
the authoritative accounting literature establishing
requirements in these areas.
5. (Advanced) How do all of these writedowns "reset
the level of shareholders' equity" as stated in the related
article? What are the future implications of these
writedowns today? Be sure to explain your answer.
6. (Introductory) How do these write downs impact
other companies in the cable industry?
7. (Advanced) "Time Warner still expects cash flows
for 2008 to total $5.5 billion, matching its outlook
provided in November...." After this announcement of a
downturn to a loss, why hasn't this projection changed?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Responding to past problems and the future perils
of the economic downturn,
Time Warner Inc.
attempted to clear its slate by writing down $25 billion of assets to
account for the tumbling value of its cable, publishing and AOL businesses.
The move, coming as the advertising outlook sours,
could signal more write-downs for media and cable companies. After a rash of
acquisitions at peak prices, companies in those industries are having to
scale back accounting values in the now-sullen climate. The media industry
also faces secular declines in areas such as newspapers, broadcast
television and radio, which are being ravaged by ad declines.
Coupled with weaker-than-expected advertising
revenue,Time Warner's fourth-quarter write-down is expected to swing the
company to an annual loss for 2008 -- its first in six years.
Time Warner Cable Inc., whose shares have fallen
50% in the past couple of years, represented the bulk of the non-cash
write-down, at nearly $15 billion. The news also highlights the lingering
effects of Time Warner's disastrous 2001 merger with AOL and a gloomy
outlook for the magazine-publishing business.
Time Warner has made a slew of acquisitions since
the company's last major write-down in 2002 for the value of AOL and its
cable systems. Time Warner Cable spent about $9 billion of cash and 16% of
its equity acquiring assets from rival Adelphia in 2005. AOL also has been
on a buying spree in its bid to revamp itself as an ad-based company.
Investors chided AOL last year for the steep $850 million price tag of its
Bebo acquisition.
Cable-TV company Comcast Corp. similarly plans to
write down its stake in wireless broadband company Clearwire Corp., whose
shares have fallen about 60% in the past 12 months, said people familiar
with the situation. Last October, CBS Corp. recorded a $14.1 billion charge,
largely for the shrinking value of its local television and radio stations.
"We believe that similar announcements from other media companies could be
forthcoming," said UBS analyst Michael Morris.
Time Warner's write-down says a lot about the
challenges that face Chief Executive Jeff Bewkes. Mr. Bewkes has signaled a
shift to focus more on the TV and movie businesses and less on non-content
assets such as Time Warner Cable, which he expects to spin off by the end of
the current quarter.
But he still needs to find long-term solutions for
AOL and publishing. Time Warner CFO John Martin, speaking at an investor
conference, said the company is still interested in finding AOL a partner,
after on-off talks with potential candidates, but noted the current climate
"is not conducive to" quick action.
Time Warner rang more alarm bells about the
advertising climate, saying "the economic environment has proved somewhat
more challenging" than previously expected, particularly at its AOL and
publishing units. The company scaled back its operating projection for 2008,
saying it now expects adjusted operating income before depreciation and
amortization to be $13 billion, up 1%, a drop from its previous forecast of
a 5% increase.
Time Warner shares were down 6.3% at $10.29 in 4
p.m. composite trading on the New York Stock Exchange, while Time Warner
Cable stock was down 4.8% at $21.56.
In addition to the write-down, Time Warner will
record charges of as much as $380 million in the fourth quarter, including
as much as $60 million from the restructuring of a lease for floors in its
Time & Life Building in Manhattan held by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.; a
$40 million increase in its credit-loss reserves for bankruptcy filings by
retail customers; and $280 million for a court judgment against its Turner
Broadcasting System Inc.
Time Warner still expects cash flows for 2008 to
total $5.5 billion, matching its outlook provided in November, because of
strong performances from its film division and its cable-television
networks.
Time Warner was expected to come under pressure to
write down assets as it carried over $42.5 billion in goodwill on the books
for 2008. Mr. Martin said he expects no "adverse impacts" from the
write-down, noting there are no debt covenants or tax implications that will
lead to more financial pain.
The Time Warner Cable write-down reflects the
decline in the market value of the company, a drop in the value of its
franchise rights and lowered expectations for cash flow amid increased
competition and higher borrowing costs. Time Warner Cable said it also plans
to take a charge of about $350 million related to its investment in
Clearwire.
Time Warner is to report fourth-quarter earnings Feb. 4.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 14,
2008
TOPICS: Advanced
Financial Accounting, Business Segments, Goodwill, Impairment
SUMMARY: The
article reports on a business segment analysis undertaken by
AutoNation which revealed profitability issues tied directly to
automotive dealerships selling the Big Three U.S. auto makers'
products. The segment analysis led to a write down of $1.46
billion "to cover a sharp decline in the value of dealerships
selling vehicles made by General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co.
and Chrysler LLC. Without the charge, the auto retailer would
have earned $44 million." Questions ask students to verify their
determination of the analysis leading to this write-down (a
goodwill impairment test) in the company's 10-Q filing for the
quarter ended September 30, 2008, made on November 7, 2008. The
filing also reveals that the company initiated segment reporting
along these three product lines in this quarterly report.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Goodwill impairment testing and segment
reporting are covered in this article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Describe AutoNation Inc.'s business,
using some of the information about the three different business
segments discussed in the article.
2. (Introductory) How do each of AutoNation's three
business segments differ in profitability?
3. (Advanced) AutoNation's CEO Jackson states, "There
has to be a justifiable return on capital." What is the problem
with AutoNation's return on capital invested in the franchises
selling automobiles from the Big Three U.S. manufacturers? In
your answer, define the ratio "return on capital".
4. (Advanced) What is a "noncash charge...to cover a
sharp decline in the value of dealerships selling vehicles made
by General Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC"? From
what analysis do you think this charge stems?
5. (Advanced) Why do you think that AutoNation analyzed
this breakdown of sales and profitability into three categories
for the first time in the third quarter of this year?
6. (Advanced) Examine the AutoNation 10-Q filing for
the quarter ended September 30, 2007, and filed on November 7,
2008, available at http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/350698/000095014408008262/g16446e10vq.htm#104.
Alternatively, click on the live link to AutoNation in the
on-line WSJ article, click on SEC Filings in the left-hand
column, and click on the html link to the 10-Q filing. Confirm
your answers to questions 4 and 5 above with evidence from the
financial statements. Describe and explain the significance of
the evidence you find.
7. (Advanced) "The large write-down means the company
has very little value tied up in its Big Three stores." What
might happen to reported income if these automobile dealership
locations are sold?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
AutoNation Inc., the country's largest
car-dealership chain, reported a $1.4 billion loss in the third quarter and
left little doubt it sees Detroit as its problem.
It also suggested that in the future it's likely to
put more resources into stores selling foreign-made cars at the expense of
those carrying Big Three vehicles.
The loss, AutoNation's first quarterly setback
since 1999, was the result of a noncash charge of $1.46 billion to cover a
sharp decline in the value of dealerships selling vehicles made by General
Motors Corp., Ford Motor Co. and Chrysler LLC. Without the charge, the auto
retailer would have earned $44 million.
This is the first time AutoNation has broken out
earnings generated by its Big Three, import-brand and luxury-car
dealerships, and they showed what a drag GM, Ford and Chrysler were on its
business.
In a telephone interview, Chairman and Chief
Executive Michael J. Jackson said the earnings breakdown reveals "where the
greatest weakness is and where the greatest strength is" in AutoNation's
operations.
He also said the breakdown will drive future
decision-making and could result in allocating more capital to the
franchises of import manufacturers like Toyota Motor Corp. and Honda Motor
Co. and luxury nameplates like Mercedes-Benz and BMW AG.
"There has to be a justifiable return on capital,
and we are on a very different track with the domestic manufacturers than we
are with the imports or premium-luxury" brands, he said.
Big Three franchises account for almost half of
AutoNation's 238 stores but generated just $23 million in pretax profit,
only a fifth of the total and a decline of 57% from a year earlier. Import
stores, which mainly include Toyota and Honda vehicles, produced pretax
profit of $53 million, down 19%. Pretax profit from luxury franchises, which
include Mercedes-Benz, BMW and Lexus, was $43 million, down 24%.
AutoNation's loss was a reversal from its $72
million profit a year ago. It amounted to a per-share loss of $7.95,
compared with a profit of 39 cents a share the year before. Revenue declined
to $3.5 billion from $4.5 billion.
Michael Maroone, AutoNation's chief operating
officer, said the company is likely to join other large dealership chains in
selling some of its Detroit-brand dealerships in the next few years. "As the
industry moves forward, the auto retail landscape will include fewer
domestic stores," he said.
The large write-down means the company has very
little value tied up in its Big Three stores. Most are located on real
estate that AutoNation owns and could sell if it decided to close the
stores, Mr. Jackson said.
U.S. auto sales have been falling since the spring
because of high gasoline prices and the sluggish economy. But the decline
worsened in September and October as credit dried up for both consumers and
dealers.
In October, new-car sales fell 30% to a 25-year
low, with the Big Three suffering the most. GM's sales fell 45%. Together
the Detroit auto makers had 47% of the market, down from 51% a year ago.
The Obama administration says the bailout of General Motors (NYSE:GM) is a
success. Their former car czar, Steve Rattner, may have moved the ball out
of the opposing team’s end zone by avoiding a full scale, free-for-all
bankruptcy likeLehman’s, but
that doesn’t mean we should be celebrating any touchdowns just yet.
Mr. Rattner has a new book out about his experience at GM. It’s Rattner’s
view – or his publicist’s – thatOverhaul: An Insider’s Account of the Obama
Administration’s Emergency Rescue of the Auto Industry, “captures
a unique moment in American business that will have lasting influence on all
industries, as the archetypal American industry (which helped create our
nation’s wealth and status) is used to write the playbook for corporate
bailouts.”
God, I hope not.
The U.S. government plans to sell the GM garbage barge back to investors
after taxpayers poured $50 billion in to save it. GM will report final
third-quarter figures on November 10th, a week ahead of its November 18th
IPO. The company “projects” a third-quarter profit of between $1.9 billion
and $2.1 billion, according to preliminary resultsthe automaker released yesterday. It’s supposedly
the third consecutive quarterly profit for post-bankruptcy GM but none of
those numbers were audited and thefinancial statements included in the prospectusfor the share offering are also unaudited.
I’m skeptical about any numbers GM issues, whether blessed by their auditor
Deloitte or not.
Tom Selling, blogging at The Accounting Onion,
extends an argument made byJonathan Weil
in early September: “GM’s shareholders’ equity at December 31, 2009 would
have been a negative $6.2 billion if it were not able to book a whole bunch
of goodwill. To say that few companies would be able to pull off a
successful IPO with a negative number for shareholders’ equity on its
balance sheet would be an understatement. To say the same after applying
fresh-start accounting would be a statement of fact.”
In March of 2007, GM reported, “ineffective internal controls over
financial reporting might make it difficult for the company to execute on
its business plan.” At that time,GM was also under investigation
by the SEC on several matters, including financial reporting related to
pension accounting, transactions with suppliers including their former
subsidiary Delphi (another bankrupt company) and transactions in precious
metals.
The only news here is that a lot of suckers will invest in a company that
hasn’t produced financial reports anyone should trust in a long time.
Amongst many other weaknesses, they never have enough competent accounting
professionals to book the complex transactions it takes to create their
balance sheet.
When companies go bankrupt, their underfunded pensions are taken over by the
Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp. (PBGC), a government-run, industry-funded
insurance agency, which then pays retirees a fraction of what they were
owed. But that didn’t happen in the GM bankruptcy. The UAW resisted,
according to theWashington Post.
GM’s defined-benefit plans for US employees were
underfunded by $16.7 billion as of June 30. GM’s prospectus says federal law
will require it to start pumping in “significant” amounts by 2014 if not
sooner.
WhenI wrote about my preferencefor a real GM bankruptcy, I thought it would also
be great for GM’s employees to see how the other half lives with regard to
health insurance. Putting GM’s former employees on the rolls of a
single-payer, government-funded program (my hope at the time) would provide
additional economies of scale and volume buying power for the government as
well as get rid of this monkey on our back. No longer would taxpayers, or
car buyers, subsidize health benefit entitlements that are way beyond what
anyone else gets these days. Reset expectations for this constituency and
we can all move on.
Unfortunately, neither the outsize pension liabilities nor the unrealistic
healthcare benefits for these employees and retirees were cut down to size
by the US government’s approach.
In August of 2008,General Motors and their auditor Deloitte settleda class-action securities lawsuit against them
alleging the automaker filed misleading financial reports between 2002 and
2006. GM paid $277 million and Deloitte kicked in $26 million.
GM was forced to reduce the amount paid to auditor Deloitte after the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act prohibited companies from using the same firm as a
consultant and an auditor. About $49 million was spent on Deloitte for
consulting services in 2001 and only $21 million was for audit work. By
2008, GM’s bill for audit work was up to $31.5 million.
Deloitte has been GM’s auditor since 1918. That’s ninety-two years of
making sure GM survives to pay another invoice. Don’t bet on independence,
objectivity, or lawsuits ruining this beautiful relationship anytime soon.
Equity
shareholders, including pension funds, were completely wiped out in the
government's takeover of GM. Why are they so eager to jump back into this kind
of risk once again, especially with the pension obligations "hanging over GM's
turnaround"?
Jensen
Comment
I notice that these three Harvard professors are not accountants or engineers.
GM pins
its hopes on the forthcoming Volt hybrid ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chevrolet_Volt
The above link seems to be relatively fair on the pluses and minuses of the
Volt. I suspect this module was edited by GM and all the minuses are shoved to
the end of the module.
An
engineer would probably note that the forthcoming Volt was supposed to be an
all-electric car that fails to be an all-electric car and is more of a
relatively low mileage hybrid --- in part because it's almost as heavy as a
tank. The batteries are very expensive to replace, thereby leading to some
question as to the resale value of the car relatively to similarly priced
competitors. The only hope for GM is that taxpayers are paying for much of the
cost to buyers of new Volts. There certainly appear to be better alternatives
for buyers who just do not want to be the first kid on their blocks with a Volt
---
http://blogs.forbes.com/digitalrules/2010/08/02/twenty-better-values-than-a-chevy-volt/
At this point, GM’s balance sheet remains loaded with fluff and OBSF Worries
An accountant might note the fluff in the GM's financial statements going into
this IPO. Is the financial risk for investors in this IPO distinguishing the Las
Vegas nature of this IPO?
Equity
shareholders, including pension funds, were completely wiped out in the
government's takeover of GM. Why are they so eager to jump back into this kind
of risk once again, especially with the pension obligations "hanging over GM's
turnaround"?
It will be a long time before General Motors Co. can shake the stigma of
being called Government Motors. Here’s another nickname for the bailed-out
automaker: Goodwill Motors.
Sometimes the wackiest accounting results are the ones driven by the
accounting rules themselves. Consider this: How could it be that one of GM’s
most valuable assets, listed at $30.2 billion, is the intangible asset known
as goodwill, when it’s been only a little more than a year since the company
emerged from Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection?
That’s the amount GM said its goodwill was worth on the June 30 balance
sheet it filed last month as part of the registration statement for its
planned initial public offering. By comparison, GM said its total equity was
$23.9 billion. So without the goodwill, which isn’t saleable, the company’s
equity would be negative. This is hardly a sign of robust financial
strength.
GM listed its goodwill at zero a year earlier. It’s as if a $30.2 billion
asset suddenly materialized out of thin air. In the upside-down world that
is GM’s balance sheet, that’s exactly what happened.
Indeed, the company’s goodwill supposedly is worth more than its property,
plant and equipment, which GM listed at $18.1 billion. The amount is about
eight times the $3.5 billion GM is paying to buy AmeriCredit Corp., the
subprime auto lender. Another twist: GM said its goodwill would have been
worth less had its creditworthiness been better. Talk about a head-
scratcher. (More on this later.)
Not Normal
This isn’t the way goodwill normally works. Usually it comes about when one
company buys another company. The acquirer records the other company’s net
assets on its books at their fair market value. It then records the
difference between the purchase price and the net assets it bought as
goodwill.
The origins of GM’s goodwill are more convoluted. Shortly after it filed for
bankruptcy last year, GM applied what’s known as “fresh-start” financial
reporting, used by companies in Chapter 11. Through its reorganization, GM
initially slashed its liabilities by about $93.4 billion, or 44 percent.
Under fresh- start reporting, though, GM’s assets rose by $34.6 billion, or
33 percent, mainly because of the increase to goodwill.
GM’s explanation? The company said it wouldn’t have registered any goodwill
under fresh-start reporting if it had booked all its identifiable assets and
liabilities at their fair market values. However, GM recorded some of its
liabilities at amounts that exceeded fair value, primarily related to
employee benefits. The company said the decision was in accordance with U.S.
accounting standards on the subject.
Funky Numbers
The difference between those liabilities’ carrying amounts and fair values
gave rise to goodwill. The bigger the difference, the more goodwill GM
booked. In other instances, GM said it recorded certain tax assets at less
than their fair value, which also resulted in goodwill.
On the liabilities side, for example, GM said the fair values were lower
than the carrying amounts on its balance sheet because it used higher
discount rates to calculate the fair value figures. The higher discount
rates took GM’s own risk of default into account, which drove the fair
values lower.
Here’s where it gets really funky. If GM’s creditworthiness improves, this
would reduce the difference between the liabilities’ fair values and
carrying amounts. Put another way, GM said, the goodwill balance implied by
that spread would decline. That could make GM’s goodwill vulnerable to
writedowns in future periods, which would reduce earnings.
Unexpected Outcome
A similar effect would ensue on the asset side if GM’s long-term profit
forecasts improved. Under that scenario, GM could recognize higher tax
assets and bring their carrying amount closer to fair value, narrowing the
spread between them.
So, to sum up, the stronger and more creditworthy GM becomes, the less its
goodwill assets may be worth in the future. An intuitive outcome, this is
not.
There’s a broader storyline here. Normally when companies go public, they’re
supposed to be prepared from a business and financial-reporting standpoint
to take on the responsibilities of public ownership. GM’s IPO, of course, is
a much different animal. Taxpayers already own most of the company. Now the
government is trying to unload its 61 percent stake back onto the investing
public, though it may take years before the government can sell it
completely.
Fluffy Balance Sheet
At this point, GM’s balance sheet remains loaded with fluff,
as the goodwill illustrates. GM said its August deliveries were down 25
percent from a year earlier, so it’s not as if business is booming.
Moreover, GM disclosed that it still has material weaknesses in its internal
controls, which is a fancy way of saying it doesn’t have the necessary
systems in place to ensure its financial reporting is accurate.
This being the political season, the Obama administration has made clear
that it wants GM to complete the IPO this year, so the president can claim a
policy success. It’s bad enough GM needed a taxpayer bailout. What would be
worse is taking the company public again prematurely.
This much is certain: The next time GM wants to
create $30 billion out of nothing, it won’t be so easy.
"Pension
time bomb: The shadow hanging over GM's turnaround," The
Washington Post,
August 27, 2010
PRESIDENT OBAMA has a riposte for critics of his decision to rescueGeneral Motorsand Chrysler: You can't argue with success. And
much good news has emanated from Detroit of late, especially from GM. Having
wiped out almost all of its debt through an administration-orchestrated
bankruptcy process, slashed excess plants and streamlined operations, GM is
once againturning a profit: $2.2
billion so far in 2010.Sales are up;
promising new models are coming to market. GM's aggressivenew management is
planning a public stock offering,
which would let the Treasury Department start
unloading the 61 percent stake it bought for nearly $50 billion. U.S.
officials speak of escaping with modest losses -- a small price for averting
industrial catastrophe.
All true -- up to a point. But the company's stock prospectus points to
several reasons for caution, including such obvious ones as the sluggish
U.S. economy and overcapacity in global auto manufacturing. And then there's
a threat that the Obama-supervised bankruptcy did not address: the
precarious condition of GM's immense pension plans.
With almost $100 billion in liabilities, GM's defined-benefit plans for U.S.
employees (one covers a half-million United Auto Workers members, another,
200,000 white-collar personnel) are the largest of any company in America.
Yet they were underfunded by $17.1 billionas of the end of 2009, and the underfunding had
only slightly lessened, to $16.7 billion, as of June 30. (Chrysler has a
similar problem, on a smaller scale.) Having been filled with borrowed money
before Chrysler's bankruptcy, the funds can limp along for a couple of
years. But, as GM's prospectus acknowledges, federal law will require it to
start pumping in "significant" amounts by 2014 if not sooner. GM does not
say exactly how much, but an AprilGovernment Accountability Office reportsuggested that a $5.9 billion injection might be
required initially, with larger ones to follow. In other words, any investor
who buys GM stock is buying stock in a firm whose revenue is already
partially committed to retired workers.
When companies go bankrupt, their underfunded pensions often are taken over
by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.(PBGC), a government-run, industry-funded
insurance agency, which then pays retirees a fraction of what they were
owed. But that didn't happen in the GM-Chrysler bankruptcy. The UAW resisted
what would have been a huge reduction in the generous benefits of its
members, especially the many who retire before age 65. And the Obama
administration chose not to push back.
The net effect is that the pension time bomb is still ticking. If GM earns
robust profits, even more robust than it is making now, the bomb won't
detonate. Otherwise -- well, in a worst-case scenario, GM winds up back in
bankruptcy, with PBGC intervention both unavoidable and more expensive than
it would have been last year. And that could necessitate a bailout from
Congress, because of the PBGC's own deficits.
We're not offering investment advice -- just a dash of realism about a
still-troubled industry, and a warning that its dependence on taxpayers may
not be ended so easily.
Equity
shareholders, including pension funds, were completely wiped out in the
government's takeover of GM. Why are they so eager to jump back into this kind
of risk once again, especially with the pension obligations "hanging over GM's
turnaround"?
Results Reflect Write-Off Of $3.5 Billion on Assets; Revenue in 2004
to Drop
Results Reflect Write-Off Of $3.5 Billion on
Assets; Revenue in 2004 to Drop By SHAWN YOUNG Staff Reporter of THE
WALL STREET JOURNAL November 5, 2004; Page B2
MCI Inc. reported a $3.4 billion
third-quarter loss, reflecting a $3.5 billion write-off the phone
giant has said it is taking on assets that have lost value.
The company also cautioned that 2004 revenue
will be slightly below the $21 billion to $22 billion it had projected
early in the year.
"Slightly means slightly," said
Chief Executive Michael Capellas. He noted that the company hadn't
changed its projections since a regulatory setback led MCI and larger
rival AT&T Corp. to virtually abandon marketing of home phone
service to consumers. Both companies are now focused almost
exclusively on business customers.
Despite the revenue decline, MCI projects a
fourth-quarter profit, the result of improving margins, lower costs
and a little stabilization in the price wars that have wracked the
long-distance industry. The profit would be the first for the former
WorldCom Inc. in years. The company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy
protection in 2002 in the wake of a massive accounting fraud. It
emerged under the name MCI in April.
The improving trends that could produce a
fourth-quarter profit were also evident in operating results for the
third quarter, which largely met investor expectations.
One of the
gravest fears of investors today is being totaled by an
"asteroid" event -- moments when a stock gets pushed to the
edge of extinction by a bolt from the blue, such as a drug application
rejection, a securities probe revelation or a surprise earnings
restatement.
Yet many
shareholders seem blithely unaware that at least one asteroid speeding
toward their companies is entirely foreseeable: the likelihood that
management will have to write down a decent-sized chunk of their net
worth sometime this year and perhaps rather soon.
This
unfortunate prospect is faced, potentially, by companies such as AOL
Time Warner (AOL:NYSE
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Allied Waste Industries (AW:NYSE
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Georgia-Pacific (GP:NYSE
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and Cendant (CD:NYSE
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that have accumulated a great deal of goodwill on their balance sheets
over the past few years. That's accountant-speak for the amount a
company pays for another company over its book value because of
expectations that some of its intangible assets -- such as patented
technology, a prized brand name or desirable executives -- will prove
valuable in a concrete, earnings-enhancing sort of way.
New
Accounting Rules
Companies carry
goodwill on their balance sheets as if it were an asset as solid as a
piece of machinery, and therefore it is one of many items balanced
against liabilities, such as long-term debt, to measure shareholder
equity or book value. Just as hard assets are depreciated, or
expensed, by a certain amount each year to account for their
diminished value as they age, intangibles have long been amortized by
a certain amount annually to account for their waning value.
The value of
machinery rarely dissipates quickly, but the value of goodwill can
evaporate in a flash if a company determines that it paid too much for
intangible assets -- e.g., if a patent or brand turns out not to be as
defensible as originally believed, or demand for a new technology
falters. As you can imagine, companies typically don't want to admit
they overpaid. But once they do, they must write down the vanished
value so that the "intangibles" lines on their balance
sheets reflect fair-market pricing. If the writedown leaves a
company's assets at a level lower than liabilities, the company is
left with a negative net worth, which, as you would expect, is frowned
upon, and often results in a dramatically lower stock price.
Until last
year, companies tried to avoid recording goodwill after acquisitions
by using a method of accounting called "pooling of
interests." In these stock-for-stock deals, companies were
allowed to record the acquiree's assets at book value even though the
value of the stock it had given up was greater than the amount of real
stuff its shareholders received. The advantage: No need to drag down
earnings each quarter by amortizing, or expensing, goodwill.
The rulebook
changed this year, however, and pooling went the way of the dodo; now
companies are forced to record goodwill on their books. As a
compromise to serial acquirers, who have a powerful lobby, the
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) decided that companies
would no longer have to amortize goodwill regularly against earnings.
Instead, a new standard -- encompassed in Rule 142 -- requires
companies to test goodwill for "impairment" periodically.
Essentially,
this means that while the diminished value of goodwill won't count
against a company's earnings annually anymore, companies might need to
write down huge gobs of it from time to time when accountants decide
they can't ignore the fact that an acquisition didn't turn out as
planned. It also means that because FASB 142 does not dictate a set of
strictly objective rules for calculating impairment, writedowns will
be somewhat subjective in both timing and amount.
Don't Fall
for These Three Ploys
As a result,
many market skeptics believe that FASB 142, which was intended to
improve earnings transparency, may in some cases actually result in
more egregious earnings manipulation than ever. Donn Vickrey, vice
president at Camelback Research Alliance, a provider of analytical
tools and consulting services for financial information, says he sees
three ways that companies interested in managing their earnings could
end-run shareholders using the new rule.
The big
bath.
In this approach, companies will write off a big portion of the
goodwill on their books, telling investors it is an insignificant
"paper loss" that should have no impact on the firm's share
price. The benefit: Future write-offs would be unnecessary, and the
company's earnings stream could be more effectively smoothed out in
future periods. This approach would work only if it does not put the
company at risk of violating debt covenants that require it to
maintain a certain ratio of assets vs. liabilities.
Cosmetic
earnings boost.
Under FASB 142, many companies will record earnings that appear higher
than last year's because of the elimination of goodwill amortization.
However, the increase will be purely cosmetic, as the company's
underlying cash flow and profitability would remain unchanged.
Investors should thus ensure they are comparing prior periods with the
current period on an apples-to-apples basis by eliminating goodwill
amortization from comparable year-earlier financial statements. The
amount might be buried in footnotes to the balance sheet, though Kellogg
(K:NYSE
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explains the issue clearly in its latest 10-k in the section devoted
to its acquisition of cookie maker Keebler in March 2001. Kellogg says
it recorded $90.4 million in intangible amortization expense during
2001 and would have recorded $121 million in 2002 had it not adopted
FASB 142 at the start of the year.
Avoid-a-write-off.
Some companies might take advantage of the new rule by avoiding a
goodwill write-off as long as possible to prevent the big charge to
earnings. Since the tests for impairment are subjective, Camelback
believes it will not be hard for firms to avoid write-offs in the
short run -- a strategy that could both help them avoid violations in
debt covenants and potentially provide a boost in executive
compensation formulas.
While any
public company that does acquisitions will find itself facing
decisions about how to account for goodwill impairment, companies with
the greatest absolute levels of goodwill -- as well as ones with the
greatest amount of goodwill relative to their market capitalization --
will be the most vulnerable in the future to having their earnings
blasted by the FASB 142 asteroid.
In my
previous post, I described how an SEC honcho, while speaking to the
choir at an event sponsored by FEI, espoused his version of
faith-based accounting; though he could not provide a single, solid
reason to explain why the U.S. should adopt IFRS, he has seen the
light and has become a true believer. In contrast, reason-based
accounting permits recitation of a vast litany of blasphemies
against IFRS to make one a serious, if not committed, agnostic.
Today, I write of one of these latest abominations: the latest
revision to IFRS 3 on the accounting for business combinations.
Goodwill
and NCI: IASB Fakes Right and Goes Left
Perhaps
the most significant development in the accounting for business
combinations is that FAS 141(R) now requires the same basis of
measurement for assets acquired and liabilities assumed, regardless
of the percentage of a company acquired (so long as control is
achieved). Therefore, if control is attained without purchasing 100%
of the existing equity interests in the acquiree, non-controlling
interests (NCI) must be measured at full fair value.
As you
may be aware from reading my post "What Good Comes from Goodwill
Accounting?", I am not a big fan of recognizing 'goodwill' under any
circumstance, so I will grant that the justification for the FASB's
approach is not airtight. Nevertheless, it was common knowledge that
the FASB was given to understand that, by sticking its neck out to
make these controversial changes to FAS 141(R), the IASB would
follow suit.
Instead,
the IASB renegged on its promise in the worst way imaginable: they
voted to allow entities a free choicebetween the partial and full
fair value alternatives to goodwill and NCI measurement. What's
more, issuers can make their choice on a transaction-by-transaction
basis -- kind of like going to church one week and synagouge the
next. Not even the most devoted acolyte can spin this any other way
except as a significant step backwards from establishing the IASB as
a credible agent of quality financial reporting and investor
protection.
And,
it's not just me who is outraged. Read the strongly-worded dissents*
of Mary Barth and John Smith, two of the three Americans on the IASB.
As to the third American, Jim Leisenring, I guess I shouldn't be
surprised that he capitulated to the majority. Leisenring was the
most prominent voice in support of FAS 133 (on hedge accounting)
when he was on the FASB; a standard whose middle name is
inconsistency. Be that as it may, one can only imagine where the
IASB will take the interests of U.S. investors when our membership,
and hence our influence, on IFRS inevitably wanes.
Mind
These GAAPs, Too
If the
unprincipled and unconstrained choice of accounting treatments for
goodwill and NCI aren't enough for you to abandon any faith in a
high-quality convergence, consider two more of the numerous
departures from U.S. GAAP; these may be even worse.
First,
the devilish game of managing the timing of contingent liabilities
still thrives in IFRS. FAS 141(R) now requires that any
non-contractual, contingent liability assumed in a business
combination must be recognized at fair value, if the probability of
occurrence is more likely than not. IFRS allows any contingent
liability to be recognized, regardless of likelihood, if it can be
reliably measured.
As I
discussed in a previous post on IASB machinations of contingent
liability accounting, the ubiquitous criterion of "reliable
measurement" is one of those areas of "judgement" in IFRS that help
management make their numbers with little chance of being challenged
by auditors. Here is how this game will be played in a business
combination under IFRS 3(R): if management thinks that goodwill
won't be impaired any time soon, they will recognize contingent
liabilities to the max. The effect is to create an earnings bank of
liability writedowns when unlikely events become, as anticipated,
resolved without the incurrence of an actual liability. And speaking
of inconsistency, IFRS 3(R) provides that all intangible assets are
to be recognized, even if their fair values cannot be measured
reliably. Where is the "principle" for that one?
Second,
FAS 141(R) requires extensive disclosures that are designed to aid
analysts in determining the past and future effect of a business
combination on earnings and financial position. For example, FAS
141(R) requires the following disclosures:
The
amount of revenue and earnings of the acquiree since the date of
acquisition. Revenue and earnings of the combined entity for the
current period as though the acquisition had been consummated as of
the beginning of the period Revenue and earnings of the combined
entity for the previous period, as if the acquisition had been
consummated as of the beginning of the previous period.
Inexplicably, IFRS does not require the third item, above.
Therefore, inferences as to earnings trends of the combined entity
from historical financial statements are defeated.
The
recent activities of the IASB, the high priests of IFRS, confirm
that they are most definitely not the august body to which the
future of U.S. financial accounting standards should be entrusted.
To those who persist in practicing faith-based accounting, put
IFRS's accounting for business combinations in your pipe and smoke
it.
--------------------------
*Unlike statements of the FASB, IFRS publications are not freely
available. Just thought you might want to know why I didn't provide
a link.
From The Wall Street Journal
Accounting Educators' Review on Junly 30, 2004
TITLE: FASB May Bite Into Overseas Profits
REPORTER: Lingling Wei
DATE: Jul 28, 2004
PAGE: C3
LINK: Print Only
TOPICS: Financial Accounting, Financial Accounting Standards Board,
International Accounting Standards Board
SUMMARY: The FASB has voted 4-3 to instruct the staff to examine
"whether it is practical to require companies to book a liability
for taxes they potentially owe on profits earned and held
overseas."
QUESTIONS:
1.) What was the vote undertaken at the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (FASB)? Did this vote actually establish a new accounting
requirement? Explain, commenting on the FASB's process for establishing
a new accounting standard.
2.) Why did the FASB undertake this step with respect to deferred
taxes? How does it fit in with other work being undertaken in concert
with the International Accounting Standards Board?
3.) FASB member Michael Crooch comments that "there is a fair
amount of opposition to the change" proposed by the FASB. Do you
think such opposition is unusual or common for FASB proposals? Support
your answer.
4.) Define the term "deferred taxes". When must deferred
taxes be recorded? Why do we bother to record them? That is, how does
the process of reporting deferred taxes help to improve reporting in the
balance sheet and income statement?
5.) What taxes currently are recorded on foreign earnings? Why do
companies currently not calculate deferred taxes for profits on foreign
earnings? Why then would any change in this area result in "a major
hit to earnings"?
6.) Why do you think that companies might reconsider repatriating
foreign earnings if they must begin to record deferred taxes on those
amounts? What does your answer imply in regards to the economic
consequences of accounting policies?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
From The
Wall Street Journal
Accounting Educators' Review
on December 13, 2002
TITLE: International Body to Suggest Tighter Merger Accounting
REPORTER: Silvia Ascarelli and Cassell Bryan-Low
DATE: Dec 05, 2002
PAGE: A2
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB1039033389416080833.djm,00.html
TOPICS: Advanced Financial Accounting, Financial Accounting, Financial
Statement Analysis, Goodwill, International Accounting, International
Accounting Standards Board, Restructuring
SUMMARY: The International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) is
proposing a new standard for business combination accounting. The
proposal prescribes accounting treatment that is more stringent than
U.S. standards. For example, it disallows recording restructuring
charges at the outset of a business combination; such charges must
simply be recorded as incurred.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Compare and contrast the standard for business combinations proposed
by the IASB to the current U.S. standard. To investigate these
differences directly from the source, access the IASB's web site at
http://www.iasc.org.uk/cmt/0001.asp.
2.) Why are U.S. companies expected to be concerned about recording
restructuring charges as they are incurred in the process of
implementing a business combination, rather than when these anticipated
costs are identified at the outset of a business combination? Do these
two accounting treatments result in differing amounts of expense being
recorded for these restructuring charges? Will such U.S. companies be
required to report according to this IAS, assuming it is implemented?
3.) How are the goodwill disclosures proposed in the IAS expected to
help financial statement analysis?
4.) How are European companies expected to be impacted by this
proposed IAS and future proposals currently planned in this area of
accounting for business combinations? Provide your answer by considering
not only the article under this review, but also by again accessing the
IASB's web site referenced above.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
Program professors can search past editions of Educators' Reviews at http://ProfessorJournal.com.
Go to the Educators' Review section and click on "Search the
Database." You can also change your discipline selection or remove
yourself from the mailing list.
Some intangible assets are booked and amortized. Accounting guidance in this area
dates back to APB 17. Usually these are contractual or legal rights (patents,
copyrights, etc.) and amortizations and write downs are to be based on the following
provisions in Paragraph 27 of APB 17:
The Board believes that the value of intangible assets at any one
date eventually disappears and that the recorded costs of intangible assets should be
amortized by systematic charges to income over the periods estimated to be benefited.
Factors which should be considered in estimating the useful lives of intangible assets
include:
Legal, regulatory, or contractual provisions may limit the maximum
useful life.
Provisions for renewal or extension may alter a specified limit on
useful life.
Effects of obsolescence, demand, competition, and other economic
factors may reduce a useful life.
A useful life may parallel the service life expectancies of
individuals or groups of employees.
Expected actions of competitors and others may restrict present
competitive advantages.
An apparently unlimited useful life may in fact be indefinite and
benefits cannot be reasonably projected.
An intangible asset may be a composite of many individual factors
with varying effective lives.
When a company purchases another company, the purchase price may soar way above the
book value of the acquired firm. The reason for the unbooked excess is the
unbooked market values of booked and unbooked assets plus synergy increments less
negative value of unbooked liabilities. Paragraph 39 of FAS 141 requires the partitioning
of the unbooked excess value into (1) separable versus (2) inseparable components of
unbooked excess purchase value. The inseparable portion is then booked as
"goodwill." This portion is then booked as goodwill and is carried forward
as an asset subject to impairment tests of FAS 142. Paragraph
39 of FAS 141 requires an intangible asset to be recognized as an asset apart from
goodwill if it arises from:
· contractual or other legal rights,
regardless of whether those rights are transferable or separable
from the acquired entity or from other rights and obligations; or
· separable,
that is, it is capable of being separated or divided from the acquired entity and sold, transferred, licensed, rented, or exchanged regardless of
whether there is an intent to do so. An intangible
asset is still considered separable if it can be sold transferred,
licensed, rented, or exchanged in combination with a related contract, asset or liability.
Paragraphs 10-28 of FAS 141 provides examples of intangible assets that are considered
"separable" and are not to be confounded in the goodwill account. But the
majority of the unbooked excess value is usually the inseparable goodwill arising from
"knowledge capital" arising from the following components:
Knowledge Capital Components
Spillover Knowledge (see above)
Human Resources (see above)
Structural Capital (see above)
Knowledge capital arises generally from the conservatism concept that guides the FASB
and other standard setters around the world. For example, human resources are not
owned, controlled, bought, and sold like tangible assets. As a result, investment in
training are expensed rather than capitalized. Research and development expenditures
are expensed rather than booked under the highly conservatism rulings in FAS 2. This
includes most R&D in database and software development except when impacted by FAS 86.
Knowledge capital is often the major component of goodwill. But
"goodwill" as defined in FAS 141 and 142 is a hodgepodge of other positive and
negative components that comprise the net excess value difference between the market value
of total owners' equity and the value of the firm as a whole. This is summarized
below:
Goodwill Components
+ Market value of Owners' Equity ($10 billion) - Book value of Owners' Equity ($01 billion)
= Market to book difference in value ($09 billion) - Adjustment of booked items to fair value ($04 billion)
= Goodwill that includes the following components ($5 billion)
Unbooked synergy value of booked items (+$1 billion)
Unbooked knowledge capital value (+$04 billion)
Other unbooked items (-$01 billion)
Joint effects, including other synergies (+$01 billion)
The components of goodwill are not generally additive. For example, a firm has
just been purchased for $10 billion and has a book equity value of $1 billion. The
market to book ratio is therefore 10=$10/$1. Suppose the value of the individual
booked assets and liabilities sums to $5 billion even though the booked value on a
historical cost basis is only $1 billion. However, when combined as a bundle of
booked items, assume there is a combined value of $6 billion, because the value of the
combined booked items is worth more than the $5 billion sum of the parts. For
example, if an airline sells its booked airplanes and airport facilities, these many be
worth more as a bundle than the sum of the values of all the pieces. If there were
no unbooked items, the value of the firm would be $6 billion, thereby, resulting in $1
billion in goodwill arising entirely from synergy of booked items.
However, the value of the equity is $10 billion rather than $6 billion. This
difference is due to the net value of the unbooked asset and liability items and the
synergies they create in combination with one another. For example, if an airline
sells the entire business in addition to its airplanes and airport facilities, there is
added value due to the intellectual capital components such as experienced mechanics,
flight crews, computer systems, and ground crews. There are also negative components
such as unbooked operating lease obligations on airplanes not booked on the balance sheet.
The components of goodwill are not additve in value, but in combination they sum to the
$5 billion in goodwill equal to the market value of the combined equity minus the sum of
the market values of the booked items (without the $1 billion in unbooked synergy
value). When combined with the booked items, the unbooked knowledge capital takes on
more value than $4 billion it can be sold for individually. For example, if American
Airlines sold its entire SABRE reservations system in one sale and the remainder of the
company in another sale, the sum would probably be less than the combined value of the
unbooked SABRE system plus all of the booked items belonging to American Airlines.
This is because there is synergy value between the booked and unbooked items. One of
the synergy items is leverage. Values of booked debt and assets may be more additive
in firms having low debt/equity ratios than in high leverage firms where there investors
adjust added values for higher risk.
If investors seek to extrapolate firm value from balance sheet value, they will
discover that historical costs are useless and that adustments of booked items to fair
value falls way short of total value. The problem is that major components of value
never appear on the balance sheets. The unbooked knowledge capital components of
firm value have become so enormous that it is not uncommon to find market to book values
of equity way in excess of the ten to one ratio illustrated above.
Goodwill cannot be booked in the United States except when there is a combining of two
companies that must now be accounted for as a purchase under FAS 141. Goodwill is
the purchase price less the current fair values of the booked items (not adjusted for
synergy value). No formal attempt is made to report the portion that is knowledge
capital, although management may justify the business combination on some identified
knowledge capital items. For example, if Microsoft purchased PeopleSoft, Bill Gates
would make a public explanation of why the value of PeopleSoft is almost entirely due to
unbooked items relative to booked items in PeopleSoft's balance sheet.
The main reason why goodwill cannot be booked, unless there is a business combination
transaction, is that estimation of the value of the firm on an ongoing basis is too
expensive and subject to enormous measurement error. One common approach is to
multiply the market price per share times the number of shares outstanding. But this
is usually far different from the price buyers are willing to pay for all of the shares
outstanding. This difference arises in part because acquiring control usually is far
more valueable than the sum of the shares at current trading values. This difference
arises in part because current share prices are subject to transient market price
movements of shares of all traded companies, whereas the value of the firm in a business
combination deal is much more stable.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Educators' Review on April
4, 2002
TITLE: Why High-Fliers Built on Big Ideas, Are Such Fast Fallers
REPORTER: Greg Ip
DATE: Apr 04, 2002
PAGE: A1
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article_print/0,4287,SB1017872963341079920,00.html
TOPICS: Intangible Assets, Electricity Markets, Goodwill, Managerial Accounting,
Pharmaceutical Industry, Research & Development
SUMMARY: Greg Ip reports on the perils of life-cycle differences based on products and
services that are reliant on intangible rather than tangible assets. That value is created
with either is undeniable, but significantly riskier when that value is supported by
something intangible that may disappear entirely.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is a product life cycle? How many of the 5 basic stages of a product's life can
you name? What has happened to the product life cycle that is heavily dependent on
technological changes? What part does intangible assets have in this change? How could the
$5 billion in assets of a firm sell for $42 million?
2.) What does the author mean when he says "value today is increasingly derived
from intangible assets - intellectual property, innovative technology, financial services
or reputation"? Explain in terms of Alan Greenspan's statement "a firm is
inherently fragile if its value-added emanates more from conceptual as distinct from
physical assets."
3.) The article relates the story of Polaroid, once a pioneer noted for its
technological prowess. Its "technology" asset formed the basis of its early
success. How did technology and innovation finally slay it?
4.) Other industries are exposed to the same sorts of forces, including the
pharmaceutical and fiber-optic industries. How have they fared?
5.) Why have companies tried to cast off hard assets in favor of intangible assets? In
2000, Jeffrey Skilling said, " What's becoming clear is that there's nothing magic
about hard assets. They don't generate cash. What does is a better solution for your
customer. And increasingly that's intellectual, not physical assets, driven." Do you
suppose he's changed his mind?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
A common mistake is to assume that "goodwill" is comprised only of unbooked
assets such as knowledge capital. Nothing could be further from the truth in terms
of how goodwill is calculated under FAS 141 rules. Goodwill also includes downward
value adjustments for unbooked risk items such as off-balance sheet financing, pending and
potential litigation losses, pending and possible adverse legislative and taxation
actions, estimated environmental protection expenses, and various industry-specific
liabilities such as unbooked frequent flyer certificate obligations.
From The Wall Street Journal
Accounting Educators' Reviews on June 20, 2002
SUMMARY: Many frequent-flier programs are
offering alternative rewards in exchange for frequent-flier miles. Questions focus on
accounting for frequent-flier programs and redemption of miles.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is a frequent-flier program? List three possible ways to account for
frequent-flier miles awarded to customers in exchange for purchases. Discuss the
advantages and disadvantages of each accounting method.
2.) Why are companies offering alternative
rewards in exchange for frequent-flier miles? How is the redemption of miles reported in
the financial statements? Discuss accounting issues that arise if the miles are redeemed
for awards that are less costly than originally anticipated.
3.) The article states that the 'surge in
unredeemed points is causing bookkeeping headaches.' Why would unredeemed points cause
bookkeeping headaches? Would companies be better off if the points were never redeemed? If
a company created a liability for awarded points, in what circumstances could the
liability be removed from the balance sheet?
4.) Refer to the related article. Describe Jet
Blue's frequent-flier program. How does stipulating a one-year expiration on
frequent-flier points change accounting for a frequent-flier program?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode
Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
The off-balance sheet liabilities of Microsoft dwarf the
recorded liabilities.
The major risk of Microsoft is the ease with which its products can be duplicated elsewhere
such as in China. From a global perspective this gives rise to perhaps billions in
lost revenues and enormous expenditures to protect copyrights.
There are enormous contingency risks and pending
lawsuits, particularly government lawsuits alleging abuse of monopoly powers and civil
lawsuits from companies claiming unfair marketing practices and copyright infringements.
Entrenched Assets and Market Dominance
Microsoft Windows and MS Office
AMR Sabre
Oracle Databases
AOL
Market-to-Book (ratio of market value of net
assets/book value of net assets) > 6.0
Conservatism is Largely to Blame
R&D expensed under FASB, but only R expensed
by IAS
Amazon.com's tremendous investment in systems,
marketing, and distribution software
AOL's customer acquisition costs
Distrust of valuations that are highly subjective
and subject to extreme volatility
Managers and
auditors "don't want to put anything on the balance sheet that may turn out to be
worthless. If they don't have to value intangible assets, such as AOL's customer
acquisition costs, their legal liability is reduced." Baruch Lev
Source: "The New Math," by Jonathan R. Laing, Barrons Online, November
20, 2000 --- http://equity.stern.nyu.edu/News/news/levbarrons1120.html Trinity students may go to J:\courses\acct5341\readings\levNov2000.htm
Institutional Investors and Security Analysts Are
Also At Fault
Wages of factory workers are traced
directly into finished goods inventories and are "capitalized" costs rather than
expenses. They are carried in the balance sheet as "tangible assets" until
the
inventory items are sold or perish. Then these costs become
"expenses" in the income statement and are written off to the Retained
Earnings account. Similarly, wages of construction workers on a building
are capitalized into the Buildings asset account rather than expensed in the
income statement. These wages become expensed over time in periodic
depreciation charges. Costs of labor and direct materials that can be traced to
construction of tangible assets thereby become assets and are written off across
future periods. Even indirect labor and material charges may be
capitalized as overhead applied to tangible assets. Tangible assets depict
"touchable" items that can be purchased and sold in established
markets such as commodity markets, real estate markets, and equipment
markets.
Wages and salaries of research workers can be traced to particular
projects. However, under most accounting standards worldwide, research
costs, including all direct material, labor, and overhead costs are
expensed immediately rather than capitalized as assets even though the revenues
from the projects may not commence until many years into the future.
Research projects are typically too unique and too uncertain to be traded in
markets. Accounting standard setters recognize that there are many
"intangible" items having future benefits or losses that are not
booked as assets or liabilities. Outlays for development of intangibles
are expensed rather than capitalized until they can be better matched with the
revenues they generate. Examples in include research for new or improved
products. Intangibles also include contractual items such as copyrights,
advertising, product promotions, and public relations outlays. When
intangibles such as patents and copyrights are purchased, the outlays can be
booked as intangible assets. Costs are then amortized over time.
However, resources devoted to discovery and development of intangibles are
generally not booked as assets. They are expensed when incurred rather
than capitalized. Typical examples of intangible expenses include the
following:
Research (including development of patent and copyright items)
Long-term development of patents, products, and copyrights
Advertising and trademarks
Employee training and development
Public relations
When an entire firm is purchased, the difference between the total price and
the current value of all intangibles is typically booked to a
"Goodwill" asset account. When purchased as a lump sum, goodwill
can be carried as an asset until its value is deemed to be
"impaired." However, when developed internally, goodwill is not
booked as an asset. This creates all sorts of problems when comparing
similar companies where one company purchased its goodwill and the other company
developed it internally. In the U.S., goodwill accounting must be treated
under purchase rather than pooling methods that, in turn, result in booking of
"purchased goodwill." FAS 141 spells out the accounting
standards for Goodwill.
One requirement under FAS 141 is that contractual items such as patents and
copyrights that can be separated from goodwill must be valued separately and be
immediately expensed. This is an attempt in FAS 141 to make it easier to
compare a firm that acquires R&D in a business combination with a firm that
develops its own R&D. However, implementation of FAS 141 rules in this
regard becomes very murky.
FAS 142 dictates that firms are no longer required to amortize capitalized
goodwill costs. Instead firms are required to run impairment tests and
expense portions of goodwill that has been deemed "impaired."
FAS 142 does not alter standards for intangibles that are not acquired in a
business combination. Hence, standards such as FAS 2 (R&D), FAS 19
(Oil and Gas), FAS 50 (Recording Industry), and FAS 86 (Computer Software)
remain intact in situations apart from business combinations. Paragraph
39(b) of FAS 142 admits to the following:
In some cases, the cost of generating an intangible asset
internally
cannot be distinguished from the cost of maintaining or
enhancing ... internally generated goodwill.
There is nothing new about the sad state of accounting for
intangibles. In a working paper entitled "The Measurement and
Recognition of Intangible Assets: Then and Now," Claire Eckstein from
Fairleigh Dickinson University quotes the following footnote from 1928:
The Gold Dust Corporation
August 31, 1928
In view of the available surplus, and in the fact that the
corporation carries its most valuable asset, viz, its goodwill at $1, and
also because of the uncertain market value of industrial plants, it was
concluded that it would be entirely approprate for the corporation to
carry its plants in a similar manner as its goodwill, viz, at the nominal
value of $1.
The FASB admits that accounting for intangibles is in a sad state in terms of
providing relevant information to investors. An agenda project has been
created that is titled "Disclosure of Information about Intangible Assets
not Recognized in Financial Statements." Analysts bemoan the state of
accounting for intangibles. In April 2001, Fortune stated the
following:
In the Fortune 500 there are thousands upon thousands of statistics that
reveal very little
that's meaningful about the corporations they purportedly describe. At
least that's the
verdict of a growing number of forward-thinking market watchdogs, academics,
accountants,
and others. Convinced that accounting gives rotten information about the
value of performance
in modern knowledge-intensive companies, they are proposing changes that would
be
earthshaking to the profession.
Because so much of the problem rests in "knowledge intensive
companies," Baruch Lev and others have come to view unrecognized
intangibles as being synonymous with unrecognized "knowledge capital."
Measuring the Value of Intangibles and Valuation of the Firm
Knowledge Capital Valuation Factors (terminology adapted from Baruch
Lev's writings)
Value Creators
Scalability
Nonrivalry (e.g., the SABRE airline reservations system)
Increasing Returns (due to initial fixed cost followed by
low marginal cost)
Network Effects
Positive Feedback ¨(customer discussion boards)
Network Externalities (fast word of mouth)
Industry Standard (Microsoft Windows)
Value Destroyers
Partial Excludability (training of employees who cannot be indentured servants)
Spillovers
Fuzzy Property Rights
Private vs. Social Returns (training that creates immense
competition other nations)
Inherent Risk
Sunk Cost
Creative Destruction (Relational database and ERP destruction of
COBOL systems)
Volatility of value due to competition and technological change
Risk Sharing (only a few products emerge as winners amidst a
trail of road kill)
A few years ago a hardback set of the thirty-two volumes of the
Britannica cost $1,600…In 1992 Microsoft decided to get into the encyclopedia
business…[creating] a CD with some multimedia bells and whistles and a user friendly
front end and sold it to end users for $49.95…Britannica started to see its market
erode…The company's first move was to offer on-line access to libraries at a
subscription rate of $2,000 per year…Britannica continued to lose market share…In
1996 the company offered a CD version for $200…Britannica now sells a CD for $89.99
that has the same content as the thirty-two volume print version that recently sold for
$1,600. Shapiro
and Varian (1999, pp. 19–20)
Announcement: Lev's Book: Intangibles-Management,
Measurement and Reporting has been published by the Brookings
Institution Press. Get your copy now at book stores and retailers.
2.
Paper with Feng Gu: Intangible Assets, discussing
Lev's methodology for measuring intangible assets.
- intangible-assets.doc
- intangibles-tables.ppt(Accompany Tables in Microsoft
Powerpoint)
There are all sorts of models for valuing an entire firm such that estimates of the
value of unbooked items (goodwill) can be derived as the difference between the sum of the
values of booked items and the entire value of the firm. However, derivation of
values of knowledge capital becomes confounded by the synergy effects.
The major problem is all valuation models is that they entail forecasting into the
future based upon extrapolations from past history. This is not always a bad thing
when forecasting in relatively stable industries and economic conditions. The
problem in modern times is that there are very few stable industries and economic
conditions. Equity values and underlying values of intangibles are impacted by
highly unstable shifts in investor confidence in equity markets, manipulations of
accounting reports, terrorism, global crises such as the Asian debt crises, emergence of
China in the world economy, and massive litigation unknowns such as lawsuits regarding
mold in buildings. Forecasting the future from the past is easy in most steady-state
systems. It is subject to enormous error in forecasting in systems that are far from
being in steady states.
The popular models for valuing entire firms include the following:
Valuation based upon analyst forecasts. These alternatives have
the advantages of being rooted in data outside what is reported under GAAP
in financial statements. Analysts may meet with top management and
consider intangibles. But there are also drawbacks such as the
following:
The cart is in front of the horse. When the purpose of accounting
data is
to help help investors and analysts set stock prices in securities
markets, the forecasts of users (especially leading
multiples) for valuation entails circular reasoning.
The recent scandals involving security analysts of virtually all major
investment firms and brokerages makes us tend to doubt the objectivity and
ability of analysts to make forecasts that are not self-serving. See
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/fraud.htm#Cleland
Analyst forecasts tend to be highly subjective. Comparing them may
be like finding the mean between a banana and a lemon.
Valuation using stock price multiples (usually limited to comparing firms in a
given industry and adjusted for leverage). Multiples can be based upon price
forecasts (leading multiples) or past price trends (trailing multiples). In either
case, the valuations are suspect for the following reasons:
The cart is in front of the horse. When the purpose of the valuation exercise is
to help help investors set stock prices in securities markets, the use of stock prices (especially leading
multiples) for valuation entails circular reasoning.
Use of the current prices of small numbers of shares traded is not the same as the
per-share value of all the shares acquired in a single transaction. This difference
arises in part because acquiring control usually i
s far more valuable than the sum of the
shares at current trading values. This difference arises in part because current
share prices are subject to transient market price movements of shares of all traded
companies, whereas the value of the firm in a business combination deal is much more
stable. For example, Microsoft share prices have declined about 40%
between Year 2000 and Year 2002, but it is not at all clear that the value
of the firm and/or its knowledge capital value has declined so steeply in
the bear market of securities pricing in Year 2002.
Present value valuation based upon forecasted dividends (usually including a
forecasted dividend growth rate).
The problem with forecasted dividends is that firms have dividend policies that do not
reflect future value. For example, many firms do not pay dividends at all or their
payout ratios are too small to be reflective of firm value. There may be enormous
dividends decades into the future, but these are too uncertain to be realistic for
valuation purposes. Another problem is that forecasted dividend models generally
require the estimation of a "terminal value" of the firm, and this usually
entails grasping for straws.
Discounted abnormal earnings and returns valuation (including
Edwards-Bell-Ohlson (EBO) and Steward's EVA Models)
Abnormal earnings and returns valuation models generally use forcasted after-tax
operating profits discounted at the firm's current weighted average cost of capital.
There are variations of methods such as the abnormal returns method, the abnormal
earnings method, and the free cash flow method of valuing returns to debt and equity.
The value of the firm depends on its ability to generate "abnormal
earnings" above what can be earned in riskless or near-riskless investment
alternatives. There are immense problems in this valuation approach for the
following reasons:
Empirical studies both before and after the Enron scandal indicate that earnings
management is systemic and pervasive such that managers can manipulate abnormal earnings
valuations with their earnings management policies (that are generally secret).
Earnings measures are subject to all the limitations of GAAP including the failure to
expense employee stock options, inclusion of income on pension funds, write-off of R&D
under FAS 2, and the expensing of expenditures for knowledge capital intended to benefit
the future. Actually, this problem is not as serious as it might seem at first blush
since many of the accounting distortions wash themselves out over time if they are do to
timing. However, when the timing is long-term such as in the case of long-term
R&D projects, distortions persist due to discounting. For example, if a firm
deducts $1 billion per year on a research project that may only start to pay off 15 or
more years into the future, the conservatism badly distorts the discounted abnormal
earnings and return valuation methods.
Abnormal earnings and returns valuation models implicitly assume firms that carry
massive amounts of excess cash, beyond what is needed for year-to-year operations,
distribute the excess cash as dividends to owners. This just is not the case in some
firms like Microsoft that carry huge cash reserves. As a result, abnormal earnings
and returns valuation methods must take this into account since abnormal earnings do not
accrue to free cash reserves.
Real Options
There are various valuation methods that are less widely used. One of
these is the Real Options approach that shows some promise even though it is
still quite impractical. See http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/realopt.htm
Market Transaction
On rare occasion, a portion of a company's knowledge capital is sold in market
transactions that give clues about total value. The sale of a portion of the SABRE system
by American Airlines is an excellent example of a clue to the immense value of this
unbooked asset on the balance sheet.. The problem with this is that market price of
a portion of the SABRE system ignores the synergy values of the remaining portion still
owned by AMR.
In the final analysis, the most practical approach to date is to attempt to forecast
the revenues and/or cost savings attributable to major components of intellectual capital.
This is much easier in the case of software and systems such as the SABRE system
than it is in components like human resources where total future benefits are virtually
impossible to drill down to present values at particular points in time.
The valuation of intangibles will probably always be subject to enormous margins of
error and risk.
One way to help financial statement users analyze intangibles would be to
expand upon the interactive spreadsheet/database approach currently used by
Microsoft Corporation for making forecasts. Although this approach is not
currently used by Microsoft for detailed analysis of intangibles, we can
envision how knowledge capital components might be expanded upon in a way that
financial statement users themselves can make assumptions and then analyze the
aggregative impacts of those assumptions. Click on the Following from http://www.microsoft.com/msft/
Pivot tables might also be useful for slicing and dicing information about
intangibles. Although Microsoft does not employ this specifically for
analysis of intangibles, the approach used at the following link might be
extended for such purposes:
Just as early reactions
to FAS 142 seemed to have overlooked the complexities in reviewing and testing
goodwill for impairment, so too have reactions to complying with the Financial
Accounting Standards Board's Statement No. 141 – Business Combinations.
Adopted and issued at the same time as Statement No. 142 in the summer of
2001, the headline news about FAS 141 was the elimination of the Pooling-of-Interest
accounting method in mergers and acquisitions. Going forward from June 30,
2001, all acquisitions are to be accounted for using one method only – Purchase
Accounting.
This change is significant and one particular aspect of it – the
identification and measurement ofintangible assets outside of goodwill
– seems to be somewhat under-appreciated.
Stephen C. Gerard, Managing Director at Standard & Poor's Corporate Value
Consulting, says that there is "general conceptual understanding of
Statement 141 by corporate management and finance teams. But the real impact
will not be felt until the next deal is done." And that deal in FAS 141
parlance will be a "purchase" since "poolings" are no
longer recognized.
Consistent M&A Accounting
The FASB, in issuing Statement No. 141, concluded that "virtually all
business combinations are acquisitions and, thus, all business combinations
should be accounted for in the same way that other asset acquisitions are
accounted for – based on the values exchanged."
In defining how business combinations are to be accounted for, FAS 141
supersedes parts of APB Opinion No. 16. That Opinion allowed companies
involved in a merger or acquisition to use either pooling-of-interest
or purchase accounting. The choice hinged on whether the deal met 12 specified
criteria. If so, pooling-of-interest was required.
Over time, "pooling" became the accounting method of choice,
especially in "mega-deal" transactions. That, in the words of the
FASB, resulted in "…similar business combinations being accounted for
using different methods that produced dramatically different financial
statement results."
FAS 141 seeks to level that playing field and improve M&A financial
reporting by:
Better
reflecting the investment made in an acquired entity based on the values
exchanged.
Improving the
comparability of reported financial information on an apples-to-apples
basis.
Providing more
complete financial information about the assets acquired and liabilities
assumed in business combinations.
Requiring
disclosure of information on the business strategy and reasons for the
acquisition.
When announcing FAS 141, the FASB wrote: "This Statement requires those
(intangible assets) be recognized as assets apart from goodwill if they meet
one of two criteria – the contractual-legal criterion or the separability
criterion."
Unchanged by the new rule are the fundamentals of purchase accounting and the
purchase price allocation methodology for measuring goodwill: that is,
goodwill represents the amount remaining after allocating the purchase price
to the fair market values of the acquired assets, including recognized
intangibles, and assumed liabilities at the date of the acquisition.
"What has changed," says Steve Gerard, "is the rigor companies
must apply in determining what assets to break out of goodwill and separately
recognize and amortize."
Thus, in an unheralded way, FAS 141 introduces a process of identifying and
placing value on intangible assets that could prove to be a new experience for
many in corporate finance, as well as a costly and time-consuming exercise.
Nonetheless, an exercise critical to compliance with the new rule.
Teaching Case on Accounting for Private Companies
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on January 9, 2015
Private companies just got a break in their reporting of intangible assets.
SUMMARY: The Financial Accounting Standards
Board, tasked with setting U.S. private sector financial standards, released
guidance that lets private companies consolidate their reporting of some
intangible assets. FASB's alternative allows some companies to lump
noncompetition agreements and some "customer-related intangible assets" such
as the value of having an existing customer base, into goodwill items.
However, some customer-related intangible assets would continue to be
recognized separately, such as mortgage servicing rights, commodity supply
contracts, core deposits, and customer information such as names and
contact information.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This is an update to
the rules for accounting for intangible assets.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are intangible assets? Why are they
classified separately from other assets?
2. (Introductory) What is FASB? What is its purpose? What are the
details of its new guidance for reporting intangible assets?
3. (Advanced) What is the reason for the new rule? How are
companies benefited? How are users of the financial statements benefited?
Will the change have a negative impact on any of these parties?
4. (Advanced) What intangible assets must be recognized separately?
Why? Does this take away any value of the new rule? Is it an appropriate
exception to the new rule?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Private companies just got a break in their
reporting of intangible assets.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board, tasked
with setting U.S. private sector financial standards, today released
guidance that lets private companies consolidate their reporting of some
intangible assets.
The new guidance is an effort to “avoid…unnecessary
costs and complexity,” said Russell Golden, FASB’s chairman. It responds to
feedback from FASB’s Private Company Council, which modifies accounting
standards for private companies.
FASB’s alternative lets companies lump
noncompetition agreements and some “customer-related intangible assets” such
as the value of having an existing customer base, into goodwill items.
Private businesses must decide whether or not to
use FASB’s alternative with their next transaction in its scope.
However, some customer-related intangible assets
would continue to be recognized separately, such as mortgage servicing
rights, commodity supply contracts, core deposits, and customer
information such as names and contact information, said Daryl Buck, a FASB
member.
Companies can sell or buy some intangible assets,
including customer information or commodity supply contracts, but
noncompetition agreements and the existence of a customer base can be more
difficult to value.
Importantly, public companies and not-for-profit
companies must still report intangible assets as they previously did. FASB
however plans to consider offering the alternative for public companies and
not-for-profits.
More Detailed
Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides
against allowing early adoption of recent IFRSs by certain entities,"
IAS Plus, November 1, 2011 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its
decision, the OSFI considered a number of factors
such as industry consistency,
OSFI policy positions on accounting and capital, operational capacity and
resource constraints of Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to
benefit from improved standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other
Canadian and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a
self-serving interest in earning millions of dollars selling IFRS training
courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia
Walters
Does that mean you oppose options
to early adopt standards in general, not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
If you are following the accounting saga
following the implosion of Enron and
Andersen, I strongly recommend the Summer
2002, Volume 21, Number 2 of the Journal
of Accounting and Public Policy --- http://www.elsevier.nl/inca/publications/store/5/0/5/7/2/1/
Enron: An Accounting Perspective
Reforming corporate governance post Enron: Shareholders' Board of
Trustees and the auditor 97 -- 103
A.R. Abdel-khalik
Enron: what happened and what we can learn from it pp. 105 -- 127
G.J. Benston, A.L. Hartgraves
Enron et al.--a comment pp.129 -- 130
J.S. Demski
Where have all of Enron's intangibles gone? pp.131 -- 135
Baruch Lev
Enron: sad but inevitable pp.137 -- 145
L. Revsine
Regulatory competition for low cost-of-capital accounting rules pp.147
-- 149
S. Sunder
Regular Paper
How are loss contingency accruals affected by alternative reporting
criteria and incentives? pp. 151 -- 167
V.B. Hoffman, J.M. Patton
Question:
Where were Enron's intangible assets? In particular, what was its main
intangible asset that has been overlooked in terms of accounting for
intangibles?
On December 31, 2000, Enron's market value was $75.2 billion,
while its book value (balance sheet equity) was $11.5 billion. The
market-to-book gap of almost $64 billion, while not equal to the value of
intangibles (it reflects, among other things, differences between current and
historical-cost values of physical assets), appears to indicate that Enron had
substantial intangibles just half a year before it started its quick slide to
extinction. This naturally raises the questions: Where are Enron's
intangibles now? And even more troubling: Why did not those intangibles--a
hallmark of modern corporations--prevent the firm's implosion? In
intangibles are "so good", as many believe, why is Enron's situation
"so bad"?
Baruch Lev Quite beginning on Page 133 (from the reference above)
So the answer to the question posed at the opening of this
note--where have Enron's intangible gone?--is a simple one: Nowhere. Enron
did not have substantial intangibles, that is, if hype, glib, and earnings
manipulation did not count as intangibles. Which, of course, also answers
the second question--why did not the intangibles prevent Enron's implosion.
Back to Greenspan's comment about the fragility of
intangibles: "A physical asset, whether an office building or an automotive
assembly plant, has the capability of producing goods even if the reputation of
the managers of such facilities falls under a cloud. The rapidity of
Enron's decline is an effective illustration of the vulnerability of a firm
whose market value largely rests on capitalized reputation."
Intangibles are indeed fragile, more on this later, but "true"
intangibles are not totally dependent on managers' reputation. IBMs
management during the 1980s and early 1990s drove the company close to
bankruptcy, and was completely discredited (though not ethically, as
Enron's). But IBMs intangibles--innovation capabilities and outstanding
services personnel--were not seriously harmed. Indeed, under Lou Gerster's
management (commencing in 1993), IBM made an astounding comeback.
Hypothetically, would a tarnished reputation of Microsoft, Pfizer, or DuPont's
management destroy the ability of these similarly innovative companies to
continuously introduce new products and services and maintain dominant
competitive positions? Of course not. Even when companies collapse,
valuable patents, brands, R&D laboratories, trained employees, and unique
information systems will find eager buyers. Once more, Enron imploded, and
its trading activities "acquired" for change not because its
intangibles were tied to management's reputation, but partly, because it did not
have any valuable intangibles--unique factors of production--that could be used
by successor managers to resuscitate the company and create value.
Finally, to the fragility of intangibles. As I elaborate
elsewhere,3 along with the ability of intangible assets to
create value and growth, comes vulnerability, which emanates from the unique
attributes of these factors of production:
Partial excludability (spillover): The inability of
owners of intangible assets to completely appropriate (prevent non-owners from
enjoying) the benefits of the assets. Patents can be "invented
around", and ultimately expire; trained employees often move to
competitors, and unique organizational structures (e.g., just-in-time
production) are imitated by competitors.
Inherently high risk: Certain intangible investments
(e.g., basic research, franchise building for new products) are riskier than
most physical and financial assets. The majority of drugs under
development do not make it to the market, and most of the billions of dollars
spent by the dotcoms in the late 1990s to build franchise (customer base) were
essentially lost.
Nonmarketability: Market in intangibles are in
infancy, and lack transparency (there are lots of patent licensing deals, for
example, but no details released to the public). Consequently, the
valuation of intangible-intensive enterprises is very difficult (no
"comparables"), and their management challenging.
Intangibles are indeed different than tangible assets, and in
some sense more vulnerable, due to their unique attributes. Their unusual
ability to create value and growth comes at a cost, at both the corporate and
macroeconomy level, as stated by Chairman Greenspan: "The difficulty of
valuing firms that deal primarily with concepts and the growing size and
importance of these firms may make our economy more susceptible to this type of
contagion". Indeed, intangible-intensive firms are "growing in
size and importance", a fact that makes the study of the measurement,
management, and reporting of intangible assets so relevant and exciting,
irrespective of Enron the intangibles-challenged sorry affair.
Answer by Bob
Jensen
I have to disagree with Professor Lev with respect his
statement: " Enron
did not have substantial intangibles." I think Enron, like
many other large multinational corporations, invested in a type of
intangible asset that has never been mentioned to my knowledge in the
accounting literature. Enron invested enormously in the intangible
asset of political power and favors. There are really two types of
investments of this nature for U.S. based corporations:
Investments in bribes and political contributions allowed under
U.S. law, including the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA)
Investments in bribes and political contributions not allowed
under U.S. law, including the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA)
I contend that large corporate investment in political power is
sometimes the main intangible asset of the company. This varies by
industry, but political favors are essential in agribusiness,
pharmaceuticals, energy, and various other industries subject to
government regulation and subsidies. Enron took this type of
investment to an extreme in both the U.S. and in many foreign
nations. Many of Enron's investments in political favors appear to
violate the FCPA, but the FCPA is so poorly enforced that it seldom
prevents huge bribes and other types of investments in political
intangibles.
I provide you with several examples below.
Two Examples of Enron's Lost Millions in Political
Intangibles
India
and Mozambique: Enron Invests in U.S. Government Threats
to Cut Off Foreign Aid
In early 1995, the world's biggest natural gas
company began clearing ground 100 miles south of Bombay, India
for a $2.8 billion, gas-fired power plant -- the largest single foreign
investment in India.
Villagers claimed that the power plant was
overpriced and that its effluent would destroy their fisheries and coconut
and mango trees. One villager opposing Enron put it succinctly, "Why
not remove them before they remove us?"
As Pratap Chatterjee reported ["Enron Deal
Blows a Fuse," Multinational Monitor, July/August 1995],
hundreds of villagers stormed the site that was being prepared for Enron's
2,015-megawatt plant in May 1995, injuring numerous construction workers and
three foreign advisers.
After winning Maharashtra state elections, the
conservative nationalistic Bharatiya Janata Party canceled the deal, sending
shock waves through Western businesses with investments in India.
Maharashtra officials said they acted to prevent
the Houston, Texas-based company from making huge profits off "the
backs of India's poor." New Delhi's Hindustan Times
editorialized in June 1995, "It is time the West realized that India is
not a banana republic which has to dance to the tune of
multinationals."
Enron officials are not so sure. Hoping to convert
the cancellation into a temporary setback, the company launched an all-out
campaign to get the deal back on track. In late November 1995, the campaign
was showing signs of success, although progress was taking a toll on the
handsome rate of return that Enron landed in the first deal. In India, Enron
is now being scrutinized by the public, which is demanding contracts
reflecting market rates. But it's a big world.
In November 1995, the company announced that it has
signed a $700 million deal to build a gas pipeline from Mozambique to South
Africa. The pipeline will service Mozambique's Pande gas field, which will
produce an estimated two trillion cubic feet of gas.
The deal, in which Enron beat out South Africa's
state petroleum company Sasol, sparked controversy in Africa following
reports that the Clinton administration, including the U.S. Agency for
International Development, the U.S. Embassy and even National Security
adviser Anthony Lake, lobbied Mozambique on behalf of Enron.
"There were outright threats to withhold
development funds if we didn't sign, and sign soon," John Kachamila,
Mozambique's natural resources minister, told the Houston Chronicle. Enron
spokesperson Diane Bazelides declined to comment on the these allegations,
but said that the U.S. government had been "helpful as it always is
with American companies." Spokesperson Carol Hensley declined to
respond to a hypothetical question about whether or not Enron would approve
of U.S. government threats to cut off aid to a developing nation if the
country did not sign an Enron deal.
Enron has been repeatedly criticized for relying on
political clout rather than low bids to win contracts. Political
heavyweights that Enron has engaged on its behalf include former U.S.
Secretary of State James Baker, former U.S. Commerce Secretary Robert
Mosbacher and retired General Thomas Kelly, U.S. chief of operations in the
1990 Gulf War. Enron's Board includes former Commodities Futures Trading
Commission Chair Wendy Gramm (wife of presidential hopeful Senator Phil
Gramm, R-Texas), former U.S. Deputy Treasury Secretary Charles Walker and
John Wakeham, leader of the House of Lords and former U.K. Energy Secretary.
United States
Deregulation of Energy That Needed a Change in the Law:
Enron's Investment in Wendy Gramm
Forwarded by Dick Haar on February 11, 2002
Senator
Joseph Leiberman
706 Hart Senate Office Building
Washington, D.C. 20510
RE:
Enron Investigation
Dear
Senator Leiberman,
I
watched your Sunday morning appearance on Face the
Nation with intense interest. Inasmuch as I own a
fair amount of Enron stock in my SEP/IRA, I'm sure
you can understand my curiosity relative to your
investigation.
Knowing
you to be an honorable man, I feel secure that you
will diligently pursue the below listed matters in
an effort to determine what part, if any, these
matters contributed to the collapse of Enron.
1.
Government records reveal the awarding of seats to
Enron executives and Ken Lay on four Energy
Department trade missions and seven Commerce
Department trade trips during the Clinton
administration's eight years.
a.
From January 13, 1995 through June 1996, Clinton
Commerce Secretary Ron Brown and White House Counsel
Mack McLarty assisted Ken Lay in closing a $3
billion dollar power plant deal with India. Four
days before India gave final approval to the deal,
Enron gave $100,000 to the DNC. Any quid pro quo?
b.
Clinton National Security Advisor, Anthony Lake,
threatened to withhold aid to Mozambique if it
didn't approve an Enron pipeline project. Subsequent
to Mr. Lake's threats, Mozambique approved the
project, which resulted in a further $770 million
dollar electric power contract with Enron. Perhaps,
if NSA Advisor Lake had not been so busy
strong-arming for Enron, he might have been focused
on something obliquely related to national security
like, say, Mr. Bin Laden? Could it be that a
different, somewhat related, investigation is
warranted?
c.
In 1999, Clinton Energy Secretary Bill Richardson
traveled to Nigeria and helped arrange a joint,
varied, energy development program which resulted in
$882 million in power contracts for Enron from
Nigeria. Perhaps if Energy Scretary Richardson had
been more focused on domestic energy, we might have
avoided:
i.
The severe loss of nuclear secrets to China and
concurrently ii. developed more domestic sources of
energy.
d.
Subsequent to leaving Clinton White House employ,
Enron hired Mack McLarty (White House Counsel),
Betsy Moler (Deputy Energy Secretary) and Linda
Robertson (Treasury Official). Even a person without
a high school diploma (no disrespect to airline
security screeners) can see that this looks like
Enron paying off political favors with fat-cat
corporate jobs, at the expense of stockholders and
Enron pension employees.
e.
Democratic Mayor Lee P. Brown of Houston (Enron
headquarter city), received $250,000 just before
Enron filed Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Isn't that an
awful lot of money to throw away right before
bankruptcy?
The
Democratic National Committee was the recipient of
hundreds of thousands of dollars from 1990 through
2000. The above matters appear to be very troubling
and look like, smack of, reek of, political favors
for campaign payoffs. I know you will find out.
2.
Recently, former Clinton Treasury Secretary Robert
Rubin called a top U. S. Treasury official, asking
on Enron's behalf, for government help with credit
agencies. As you well know, Rubin is the chairman of
executive committee at Citigroup, which just
coincidentally, is Enron's largest unsecured
creditor at an estimated $3 billion dollars.
3.
As you well know, Mr. Leiberman, Citigroup is
Senator Tom Daschle's largest contributor ($50,000)
in addition to being your single largest contributor
($112,546). This fact brings to mind some disturbing
questions I feel you must answer.
a.
Have you, any member of your staff, any Senate or
House colleagues, any relatives or any friends of
yours, been asked by Citigroup to intercede on their
behalf, in an effort to recover part or all of
Citigroup's $3 billion, at the expense of Enron's
shareholders, employees and or Enron pensioners?
b.
Did your largest contributor, Citigroup, have
anything to do with the collapse of Enron?
c.
Enron has tens of thousands of employees,
stockholders and pensioners who have lost their life
savings. How will you answer their most obvious
question? Do you represent Citigroup, your largest
contributor, or do you represent the Enron
employees, et al, who stand to lose if Citigroup
recovers any of its $3 billion?
During
Sunday's Face the Nation, both you and Senator
McCain praised Attorney General Ashcroft for
recusing himself from the Justice Department
investigation because he had once received a
contribution from Enron. I know in my heart, that,
being the honest gentleman you are, you will now
recuse yourself because of the glaring conflict of
interest described above. I also know that you will
pass this letter to your successor for his or her
attention.
The extent to which Enron's investments and alleged investments in
current and future political favors actually resulted in political
favors will never be known. Clearly, Enron invested in some
enormous projects such as the $3 billion power plant in India knowing
full well that the investment would be a total loss without Indian
taxpayer subsidies. Industry in India just could not pay the
forward contract gas rates needed to run the plant.
Enron executives intended that purchased political influence would
make it one of the largest and most profitable companies in the
world. In the case of India, the power plant became a total loss,
because the tragedy of the September 11 terror made the U.S. dependent
upon India in its war against the Taliban. Even if the White House
leaders had been inclined to muscle the Indian government to subsidize
power generated from the new Enron plant in India, the September 11
tragedy destroyed Enron's investment in political intangibles and
its hopes to fire up its $3 billion gas-fired power plant in
India. The White House had greater immediate need for India's full
support in the war against the Taliban.
The point here is not whether Enron money spent for political favors
did or did not actually result in favors. The point is that to the
extent that any company or wealthy employees invest heavily for future
political favors, they have invested in an intangible asset and have
taken on the intangible risk of loss of reputation and money if some of
these investments become discovered and publicized in the media.
In fact, discovery and disclosure will set government officials
scurrying to avoid being linked to political payoffs.
Enron is a prime example of a major corporation focused almost
entirely upon turning political favors into revenues, especially in the
areas of energy trading and foreign power plant construction. As
such, these investments are extremely high risk.
It is doubtful that political intangibles will ever be disclosed or
accounted for except in the case of bankruptcy or other media frenzies
like the Enron media frenzies.
Question:
Accountants and auditors face an enormous task of disclosing and
accounting for political intangibles.
Answer:
Because disclosures and accounting of political intangibles will likely
destroy their value. Generally, accounting for assets does not
destroy those assets. This is not the case for many types of
political intangibles that cost millions upon millions of dollars in
corporations.
-----Original
Message-----
From: Craig Polhemus [mailto:Joedpo@AOL.COM]
Sent: Wednesday, August 28, 2002 1:55
AM
To: AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU
Subject: Re: An Accounting Paradox: When
will accounting for an asset destroy the
asset?
Bob
Jensen writes:
<<Question:
Accountants and auditors face an enormous
task of disclosing and accounting for
political intangibles.
Answer:
Because disclosures and accounting of
political intangibles will likely destroy
their value. Generally, accounting for
assets does not destroy those assets. This
is not the case for many types of
political intangibles that cost millions
upon millions of dollars in
corporations.>>
Interesting.
There are many instances where the reverse
is true -- the marketing value to a
lobbying firm of having made large
contributions to the winning candidates
(of whatever party) is greatest where it
is well known. This applies regardless
whether the contributions came from
individual partners or (at least in those
states where it's legal for state and
local elections) from the firm itself.
Even
on a local level, if you're in a
jurisdiction where judges are elected,
would you prefer to go to a lawyer who
contributed to the successful judge or to
one who did not? I have a friend who asks
this question directly whenever he's
seeking local counsel. And if you're that
lawyer, do you want that contribution to
be secret or as public as possible? Maybe
even exaggerated?
Dita
Beard is a classic example -- her initial
"puffery" [whether truthful,
partially truthful, or entirely false]
about getting the IT&T antitrust case
dropped based on a pledge of IT&T
funding to support moving the 1972
Republican National Convention to Miami
was a marketing aid to her ONLY if she let
it be known, at least to her clients and
potential clients.
Similarly,
Ed Rollins writes of a foreign
"contributor" who apparently
passed a million in cash to a middleman
and thought it made it to the Reagan
re-election campaign. Rollins believes the
middleman (an unnamed Washington lawyer,
by the way) held on to it all but the
"contributor" felt he'd
purchased access, and certainly the
middleman benefited not just financially
but also from the contributor's belief
that the middleman had provided direct
access to the campaign and hence the
Administration.
I
express no opinion on how such things
should be recorded in financial statements
-- I'm just pointing out that publicity
about large political contributions to
successful candidates (whether within or
exceeding legal limits) can be positive
for some businesses, such as lobbying
firms.
Craig
[Craig Polhemus,
Association Vitality International]
August 28, 2002 reply from Bob
Jensen
Great
to hear from you Craig.
I
agree that sometimes the accounting and/or
media disclosure of investments in political
favors may increase the value of those
investments. Or it may have a neutral effect
in some industries like agribusiness and oil
where the public has come to expect that
members of Congress and/or the Senate are
heavily dependent upon those industries for
election to office and maintenance of their
power.
On
the other hand, it is unlikely that
accounting and media disclosure of the Enron
investments in political favors, including
the favors of linking foreign aid payments
to Enron's business deals, would have either
a positive or neutral impact upon the
expected value of those political favors to
Enron.
It
is most certain that accounting and media
disclosure political investments that are
likely to violate the Foreign Corrupt
Practices Act would deal a severe blow to
the value of those intangible assets.
I think companies have invested a great deal in
political intangibles outside the arena of government. Consider the
current discussions on the importance of expensing stock option
expensing as an example. Views are strong and vary widely on the issue
but clearly, these positions exist only to gain visibility and increase
political pressure.
On the side that believes CPA stands for 'can't
prove anything' we find the speech to the Stanford Director's College on
June 3, 2002 by T. J. Rodgers, CEO of Cypress. Mr. Rodgers refers to
expensing options as "...the next mistake..." and refers to
"...accounting theology vs. business reality...." He opposes
the Levin- McCain proposal and recounts the story you have on your
website of the 1994 political storm in Silicon Valley when the FASB
proposed expensing options. He believes that the free market will
eliminate any abuse of option accounting. Contrast that with the
opposition represented in the July 24, 2002 letter to CEOs from John
Biggs at TIAA-CREF. Mr. Biggs also derides the profession by labeling
APB 25 as an "...archaic method..." and that its use has the
effect of “…eroding the quality of earnings…” by encouraging
“…the use of one form of compensation.” Mr. Biggs completes his
letter by equating option expensing to management credibility. Both of
these men have made political investments with their comments, drawing
lines in the sand. While the remarks were not made directly to any
political body, and there is no tangible cost involved, this is still
political pressure. It is also interesting both men focus on the
accounting profession as the root cause rather than the value of the
political intangibles that exist only in market capitalization.
Consider how companies build political
intangibles with analysts, institutional shareholders and others. ADP
had an extended string of increased quarterly earnings – over 100
consecutive quarters. The PE multiple for the stock has been high for
some time, due in no small part to the consistency of this trend. ADP
management reminded shareholders with every quarter how long they had
provided shareholders with higher earnings. When that streak recently
ended, the stock dropped like a stone. Closing price moved down from
$41.35 on July 17, 2002 to $31.60 the next day. The volume associated
with that change was almost nine times the July 16 trading volume. How
would anyone explain this event other than a reversal of political
intangibles that did not exist on the financial statements?
Power and politics are always with us. We just
have to be smart enough to know which is for show and which is for $$$.
(By the way, if you have a way to tell them apart, let me know.)
Hi,
Bob and Craig!
You've discovered an
accounting
application of
Heisenberg's
uncertainty
principle, which
originated with the
notion that to
"see" an
electron's position
we have to
"illuminate"
it, which causes it
to shift its
position so it's not
"there"
any more. To quote
from the American
Insitutute of Physics
( http://www.aip.org/history/heisenberg/p08b.htm
), "At the
moment the light is
diffracted by the
electron into the
microscope lens, the
electron is thrust
to the right."
When
we
"illuminate"
political
intangibles by
disclosing them,
they are not
"there"
any more.
Ed
Scribner
New Mexico State
University
Las Cruces,
NM, USA -----
There is an extensive literature on the
economics of information. The Analytics of Uncertainty and Information
by Jack Hirshleifer and John Riley is a good survey. Chapters 6 (The
economics of emergent public information) and 7 (Research and
invention) address the issues of the value of private information and
the effects of disclosure on its value.
Heisenberg's uncertainty principle both
"originated" and (for practical purposes) terminated with
the behavior of electrons and other sub-atomic particles. It applies
to the joint indeterminacy of the position and momentum of electrons.
It is only significant at the atomic level because Planck's constant
is so small.
Richard C. Sansing
Associate Professor of Business Administration
Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth
email: Richard.C.Sansing@dartmouth.edu
June 12, 2009 message
from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
Control is part and parcel to the definition of an asset and
liability.
Intangibles are very ambiguous with respect to “control.” For
example, intangible goodwill can be an asset or a liability as positive or
negative goodwill. By definition it is the total in excess of the values of
identifiable assets and liabilities. The key word is “identifiable.”
If you can’t identify something it’s pretty hard to prove you
control it. Goodwill at best is only partly influenced with things like
trade name advertising but for the most part its value is comprised of
factors outside the control of the company. For example, the value of
goodwill might be greatly impacted by legislation.
Control of course is not part of any definition of love to my
knowledge. But then control is not part of the definition of an intangible
asset if you can’t identify that which you claim to control. In fact,
goodwill impairment tests cover situations where goodwill value plunges due
to events outside of a company’s control.
I think that Andrew’s original message suggested that an
owner/manager’s love for a company can add intangible value. In places like
Germany (but not in the U.S.) home grown evolving goodwill can valued and
added to the balance sheet. Conceivably evolving love for a company can add
to its booked intangible value in Germany. The booking of homegrown goodwill
is a very recent change in German accounting standards as I pointed out in a
previous message on the AECM.
I was only being half serious when I suggested that love could
also be an intangible liability. However, the serious half of my comment
suggests that love for a company can become a liability if it is in some way
dysfunctional such as when a manager/owner refuses to take risks that are
often important to success in business.
Or an owner in 1940 might’ve loved his buggy whip subsidiary so
much that he refused to close a factory that was only selling ten units of
product per year with a labor force of 50 workers. Now that is love that
truly is an intangible liability.
Bob Jensen
Teaching Case on the Special Problems of Accounting for Intangibles in a
Company that is Mostly Human Resources and Intangible Assets
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 24, 2013
TOPICS: Intangible Assets, Mergers and Acquisitions
SUMMARY: "Valuations placed on social media sites like Tumblr make
little sense under typical financial analysis' concludes the authors in this
piece on Yahoo's biggest acquisition under Chief Executive Marissa Mayer.
Yahoo has faced challenges in competing against Google, Facebook, and other
Internet companies as the market of online activities--that its founders
essentially developed--has grown and matured. Tumblr's value to Yahoo may be
its appeal to a younger audience and the value to be obtained by Yahoo,
which will produce needed financial results, is clearly discussed in the
related video.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used to introduce
strategic reasons for business combinations or accounting for intangible
assets.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Based on the description in the article, what are
the strategic reasons for Yahoo to acquire Tumblr? The related video
available on one of the top tabs to the online article is also helpful to
answer this question.
2. (Introductory) Why is consumer attention focused on social media
important for profitability of Internet based companies? Explain the
importance of advertising in this scenario.
3. (Introductory) Why is it valuable for Yahoo to acquire Tumblr
when the management of Tumblr will not change?
4. (Introductory) Yahoo is paying a premium to acquire Tumblr for
$1 billion. How is that premium measured?
5. (Advanced) Explain how the funding invested in Tumblr by the
venture-capital firm in 2011 must have been based on some "typical financial
analysis" model.
6. (Advanced) Despite what the author concludes, how must the price
paid by Yahoo be determined at least partly on the basis of a financial
model?
7. (Advanced) How will the model determining the price paid for
Tumblr lead to the accounting for this $1 billion by Yahoo when this
acquisition eventually closes? What types of assets are most likely to be
recorded from this transaction?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Yahoo Inc. YHOO -1.00% has agreed to pay $1.1
billion for Tumblr, a six-year-old company with more than 100 million users
but very little revenue, a deal that highlights the shifting balance of
power in the technology business.
Veterans like Yahoo have shown they have staying
power—and they have cash to spend. But companies like Yahoo's target, a
blogging site, have something valuable as well: the rapt attention of
fast-growing communities of users. That has pushed up the price tags as more
established companies fear getting left behind as people's online habits
evolve.
Yahoo and Tumblr announced the agreement on Monday.
Tumblr will be independently operated as a separate business, "per the
agreement and our promise not to screw it up," the companies said. CEO and
founder David Karp will stay on as chief executive. More on Tumblr
In a 2012 interview, Tumblr's David Karp spoke to
the Wall Street Journal about how he started the company and where he's
headed with it. Read the interview.
MoneyBeat: Yahoo Promises 'Not to Screw It Up'
Heard on the Street: Tumblr of Opportunity ATD: Board Approves Deal as
Expected Earlier: Will Yahoo Try to Get Its 'Cool Again' Why Yahoo Is Sweet
on Tumblr Yahoo Wants Out of Microsoft Deal (5/7/2013) Yahoo Scraps Deal for
French Video Site (4/30/2013) Yahoo's Ad Struggles Persist (4/16/2013)
Yahoo, Apple Discuss Deeper iPhone Partnership (4/9/2013)
Timeline: A Changing Internet Pioneer
See key dates in the history of Yahoo, which helped
to revolutionize the Web.
View Graphics
More photos and interactive graphics
The transaction adds Yahoo to the list of
established Internet companies, including Google Inc. GOOG -1.47% and
Facebook Inc., FB -3.24% that have spent $1 billion or more apiece to buy
startup companies in hopes of gaining an edge in growth. Facebook, for
instance, last year paid cash and stock initially valued at about $1 billion
to buy revenue-free Instagram, a popular photo-sharing service.
Google famously paid $1.65 billion in stock seven
years ago for YouTube, the online-video behemoth. In a smaller deal, in
dollar terms, but one that reflects the appetite among old-line Internet
companies for fresh blood, AOL bought Huffington Post for $315 million in
2011.
Yahoo Chief Executive Marissa Mayer's deal for
Tumblr gives Yahoo, one of the original big Internet companies, a
fast-growing Web service that could fill one of its many holes—namely, the
lack of a thriving social-networking and communications hub. Tumblr is
popular with many younger adults, in contrast with Yahoo's older customer
base. Tumblr is also growing more quickly on smartphones than Yahoo.
"You only do an acquisition of this size and scale
if you find an exceptional company, which Tumblr is," Ms. Mayer said Monday.
Some Tumblr users will take time to migrate to
Yahoo's core websites and might never join the fold of its parent, Ms. Mayer
said. At the same time, the blogging service offers several advantages Yahoo
executives said could benefit Yahoo, like a successful track record snagging
users on mobile devices.
"Part of our strategy here is to let Tumblr be
Tumblr," Ms. Mayer said.
Yahoo is paying a premium for the company. When
Tumblr last raised money, in late 2011, the $85 million venture-capital
investment it received valued the company at $800 million.
Yahoo already has plans to generate more revenue
from some Tumblr features like its top-of-site "dashboard" by possibly
including some extra ads. Ms. Mayer credited the company for its already
rich base of big-brand advertisers, which include all of the major film
studios.
The deal is a big win for Mr. Karp, who remains a
large shareholder, and the site's early venture investors, which include
Union Square Ventures, Spark Capital and Sequoia Capital.
Ms. Mayer praised Mr. Karp for his enthusiasm for
entertaining and compelling ads on other media, like TV, that can be "every
bit as good as the content" when pitching products like cars.
"Where are the ads that are like that, where are
the ads that are aspirational?" she asked. "We want that kind of richness in
the online atmosphere."
The acquisition is a big bet for Yahoo, given
Tumblr's financial performance so far. But Yahoo needs the growth. Its
annual revenue has been stuck for years around $5 billion, and the company's
big presence on personal computers hasn't translated well to mobile devices,
where it lacks the advantage of Apple Inc.'s AAPL +0.81% coveted hardware or
Google's ubiquitous smartphone operating software, Android.
Yahoo Chief Financial Officer Ken Goldman said
Yahoo expects its acquisition to add "relatively modest" revenue to its top
line in the second half, when the deal is expected to close, with its
contribution ramping up next year.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on July 14, 2006
TITLE: Land-Value Erosion Seen As a Problem for Builders
REPORTER: by Michael Corkery and Ian McDonald
DATE: Jul 06, 2006
PAGE: C1
LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB115214204821498941.html
TOPICS: Accounting, Advanced Financial Accounting, Impairment, Investments
SUMMARY: "Land values are becoming a flash point for investors and analysts
who watch the builders sector. Bears say the companies' land might not be worth
what they paid for it, which could lead to painful write-downs. If they are
right, it will be a blow to the already battered sector." Questions relate to
the classification of land on building companies' balance sheets and the
treatment of the write-down of the value of land.
QUESTIONS:
1.) As an example of the type of building company discussed in this article,
view the quarterly financial statements for Toll Brothers in their 10-Q filing
with the SEC dated July 6, 2006. You may go directly through the following link
or may access through the WSJ article on-line by clicking on Toll Brothers on
the right-hand side of the page then SEC filings.
http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/794170/000112528206003278/p413541-10q.htm
In what account does Toll Brothers classify Land on its balance sheet? Why is
the Land classified this way?
2.) Refer again to the Toll Brothers financial statements. By how much did
Toll Brothers write down the values of land during the 6-month and 3-month
periods ended on April 30, 2006 and 2005? Describe in words, the pattern of
write-downs that you observe and compare it to the discussion given in the
article.
3.) How will adjustments to reflect decline in land values affect reported
income and balance sheets of companies such as Toll Brothers, which hold land as
inventory and a major component of their operations? How might these adjustments
affect the company's stock price? Refer to information in the article in
providing your answer.
4.) Compare and contrast the accounting for land and recent decline in the
market value of land described in question 2 above, to accounting by a company,
such as a manufacturer or service entity, which owns land only in the location
of its principal place of business (that is, as part of property, plant, and
equipment).
5.) Explain why the accounting differs under the two answers given to
questions 2 and 3 above.
6.) What are options? What type of option contracts do builders enter into?
How much has Toll Brothers paid to enter into such contracts?
7.) What is the book value of net assets? How is that measure used by
analysts of companies in the building industry? How might the recent decline in
land values affect the usefulness of book value for analyzing financial
statements?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Already reeling from slowing housing sales and
worries about the economy, shares of home builders face another issue: the
value of the land on their books.
Land values are becoming a flash point for
investors and analysts who watch the builders sector. Bears say the
companies' land might not be worth what they paid for it, which could lead
to painful write-downs.
If they are right, it will be a blow to the already
battered sector. After a 28% average fall so far this year, many stocks of
home builders trade close to -- or even at -- their "book value,'' which
makes them tantalizing to bargain hunters. Book value is a company's assets
minus its liabilities and is often seen as a rough approximation of how a
business would be valued if liquidated.
But if some land on builders' books is overvalued,
their shares might also be overvalued.
"People are looking at book value as a possible
floor for the stock prices. The question is 'should that be a floor?' There
could be some risk to that book value from land recently acquired or put
under option contract," says Banc of America Securities analyst Daniel
Oppenheim, whose firm does business with several builders.
The debate is lively because the true extent of the
land risk is tough to quantify. Many builders use options, where they put a
deposit on a parcel to be purchased at a later date. Builders say options
minimize their losses because they let them walk away from overpriced land,
sacrificing typically no more than a 5% to 10% deposit.
So far, the damage has been limited. In its last
quarter, Centex Corp., a large builder based in Dallas, reduced its earnings
by 14 cents a share in connection with walking away from option deposits and
pre-acquisition costs in Washington, D.C., Sacramento, Calif., and San
Diego. Last month, Hovnanian Enterprises Inc., based in Red Bank, N.J., said
it plans to take $5 million in write-offs on land deposits, a small
percentage of its total, and luxury home builder Toll Brothers Inc. in
suburban Philadelphia wrote down roughly $12 million, mainly from land that
it owned in the sluggish Detroit market. Builders say they often adjust
their land values to the market, even in boom times, but some analysts
expect charges to increase.
Write-downs are "starting to happen,'' says Credit
Suisse analyst Ivy Zelman, a longtime bear on the sector whose firm does
business with several builders. "I don't think you can define what [the
scope] is today and capture the risk."
Parcels are valued at their purchase price on
companies' books, so there isn't any way of determining the land's true
market value until they sell houses on it. Older purchases are likely worth
far more than their listed value on balance sheets, but newer land buys are
probably worth less. Many builders say land prices are still fairly static,
but Jeff Barcy, chief executive of Hearthstone, a large land investor based
in San Rafael, Calif., says prices are declining in certain markets.
"We expect the softening to continue for a while,"
Mr. Barcy says. "In the hottest markets you could see a 20% to 30% price
decline."
Ms. Zelman estimates that many companies are
building houses on land that they bought or optioned a few years ago when
land was less expensive. But some analysts say many companies purchased
large amounts of land in 2005, at the height of the boom, and that could
come back to hurt them if the housing market doesn't improve in a year or
so.
Some think these worries are overblown and creating
an opportunity. Bulls acknowledge there may be scattered write-downs, but
say undervalued land on company books likely outweighs any overpriced recent
buys. They add that the sector's worries, from property values to job
growth, are reflected in the stocks' prices. And they say home prices have
to drop significantly to sink land values. Fans of the builder stocks also
point to a flurry of recent share repurchases, indicating that insiders
believe the stocks are cheap. NVR Inc., for example, has reduced its shares
outstanding by more than 20% over the past five years, according to
researcher CapitalIQ.
Shares of the nation's five biggest home builders
trade at about 1.3 times the their book value, compared with two times book
on average over the past five years, according to Chicago researcher
Morningstar Inc. The average U.S. stock trades at more than four times its
book value.
Pulte Homes Inc. and Beazer Homes USA Inc. trade at
about 1.2 times book, while shares of M.D.C. Holdings Inc. trade at 1.1
times and shares of Standard Pacific Corp. trade at about book value.
Home builders always have had a hard time getting
respect on Wall Street, where investors often take a short-term view of the
sector's performance potential. "The adage has been 'buy them at book value
and sell when they get to two times book value,'" says Arthur Oduma, a
senior stock analyst who covers the home builders at Morningstar. "So, that
would tell you it's time to buy."
And some are doing so. Henry Ramallo, a portfolio
manager at Neuberger Berman, a Lehman Brothers company, with $116 billion
under management, says he likes Toll Brothers because it takes the company
about five years, on average, to develop land from the time the builder puts
it under option. By the time Toll is ready to build on the land it optioned
or bought in the past year, the housing market should have improved, Mr.
Ramallo says. His firm has recently bought shares of Toll, which is trading
at about 1.3 times book value.
The new FAS 146 Interpretation 46 deals
with loan guarantees of Variable Interest (Special Purpose) Entities --- at:
http://www.fasb.org/interp46.pdf.
From The Wall Street
Journal Accounting Educators' Review on November 15, 2002
TITLE: H&R Block's Mortgage-Lending
Business Could Be Taxing
REPORTER: Joseph T. Hallinan
DATE: Nov 12, 2002
PAGE: C1
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB103706997739674188.djm,00.html
TOPICS: Accounting, Bad Debts, Cash Flow, Debt, Loan Loss Allowance,
Securitization, Valuations
SUMMARY: H&R Block's pretax income
from mortgage operations grew by 146% during the fiscal year ending April 30,
2002. However, the accounting treatment for the securitization of these
mortgages is being questioned.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Describe the accounting treatment used by H&R Block for the sale of
mortgages. Why is this accounting treatment controversial?
2.) What alternative accounting methods
are available to record H&R Block's sale of mortgages? Discuss the
advantages and disadvantages of each accounting treatment. Which accounting
method is most conservative?
3.) Why do companies, such as H&R
Block, sell mortgages? Why does H&R Block retain the risks of non-payment?
How could the sale be structured to transfer the risks of non-payment to the
purchaser of the mortgages? How would this change the selling price of the
mortgages? Support your answer.
4.) How do economic conditions change
the expected losses that will result from non-payment? How does the credit
worthiness of borrowers change the expected losses that will result from
non-payment? Support your answers.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University
of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
Famous
for its tax-preparation service, H&R
Block Inc. last year prepared 16.9 million individual income-tax returns,
or about 14% of all individual returns filed with the Internal Revenue
Service.
But the
fastest-growing money maker for the Kansas City, Mo., company these days is
its mortgage business, which last year originated nearly $11.5 billion in
loans. The business, which caters to poor credit risks, has been growing much
faster than its U.S. tax business. In the fiscal year ended April 30, Block's
pretax income from mortgage operations grew 146% over the year before. The tax
business, while still the largest in the U.S., grew just 23%.
If
those rates remain unchanged, the mortgage business will this year for the
first time provide most of Block's pretax income. In the most-recent fiscal
year, mortgage operations accounted for 47.3% of Block's pretax income.
As
Block's mortgage business has soared, so has its stock price, topping $53 a
share earlier this year from less than $15 two years ago, though it has
dropped in recent months as investors have fretted about the cost of lawsuits
in federal court in Chicago and state court in Texas on behalf of tax clients
who received refund-anticipation loans. But now, some investors and analysts
are raising questions about the foundation beneath Block's mortgage earnings.
"The game is up if interest rates rise and shut off the refinancing
boom," says Avalon Research Group Inc., of Boca Raton, Fla., which has a
"sell" rating on Block's shares.
On
Monday, the shares were up $1.53, or 4.8%, to $33.63 in 4 p.m. New York Stock
Exchange composite trading -- a partial snapback from a $3.25, or 11%, drop on
Friday in reaction to the litigation in Texas over fees H&R Block
collected from customers in that state.
The
company dismisses concerns about its mortgage results. "We think it's a
great time for our business right now," says Robert Dubrish, president
and CEO of Block's mortgage unit, Option One Mortgage Corp.
Much of
Block's mortgage growth has come because the company uses a fairly common but
controversial accounting treatment that allows it to accelerate revenue, and
thus income. This treatment, known as gain-on-sale accounting, has come back
to haunt other lenders, including Conseco Inc. and AmeriCredit
Corp. At Block, gains from sales of mortgage loans accounted for 62% of
revenue at the mortgage unit last year.
In
essence, under gain-on-sale accounting, lenders post upfront the estimated
profit from a securitization transaction, which is the sale to investors of a
pool of loans. Specifically, the company selling the loans records profit for
the excess of the sales price and the present value of the estimated interest
income that is expected to be received on the loans above the amounts funded
on the loans and the present value of the interest agreed to be paid to the
buyers of the loan-backed securities.
But if
the expected income stream is cut short -- say, because more borrowers
refinance their loans than expected when the profit was calculated -- the
company essentially has to reverse some of the gain, taking a charge.
That is
what happened at Conseco. The Carmel, Ind., mobile-home lender was forced to
take a $350 million charge in 1998 after many of its loans were paid off
early. It stopped using gain-on-sale accounting the following year, saying
that the "clear preference" of investors was traditional loan
accounting. AmeriCredit in Fort Worth, Texas, which lends money to car buyers
with poor credit histories, abandoned the practice in September in the midst
of a meltdown of its stock price.
But
Block says it faces nowhere near the downside faced by AmeriCredit and Conseco,
which it says had different business models. Big Block holders seem to agree.
"Block doesn't have anywhere near the scale of exposure [to gain on sale]
that the other companies had," says Henry Berghoef, co-manager of the
Oakmark Select mutual fund, which owns 7.7 million, or about 4.3%, of Block's
shares.
Another
potential problem for Block is the way it treats what is left after it sells
its loans. The bits and pieces that it keeps are known as residual interests.
Block securitizes most of these residual interests, allowing it to accelerate
a significant portion of the cash flow it expects to receive rather than
taking it over the life of the underlying loans. The fair value of these
interests is calculated by Block considering a number of factors, such as
expected losses on its loans. If Block guesses wrong, it could be forced to
take a charge down the road.
Block
says its assumptions underlying the valuation of these interests are
appropriately conservative. It estimates lifetime losses on its loan pools at
roughly 5%, which it says is one percentage point higher than the 4% turned in
by its worst-performing pool of loans. (Comparable industry figures aren't
available.) So Block says the odds of a write-up are much greater than those
of a write-down and would, in a worst-case scenario that it terms
"remote," probably not exceed $500 million. Block's net income for
the fiscal year ended April 30 was $434.4 million, or $2.31 a share, on
revenue of $3.32 billion.
Block
spokeswoman Linda McDougall says gain-on-sale provides an
"insignificant" part of the company's revenue. She notes that Option
One, Block's mortgage unit, recently increased the value of its residual
interest by $57 million. She also says that the company's underwriting
standards are typical of lenders who deal with borrowers lacking pristine
credit histories.
Bears
contend that Block has limited experience in the mortgage business. It bought
Option One in 1997, and Option One in Irvine, Calif., has itself been in
business only since 1993. So its track record doesn't extend to the last
recession of 1990 to 1991.
On top
of that, Block lends to some of the least creditworthy people, known in the
trade as "subprime" borrowers. There is no commonly accepted
definition of what constitutes a subprime borrower. One shorthand measure is
available from credit-reports firm Fair, Isaac & Co. It produces so-called
FICO scores that range from 300 to 850, with 850 being perfect. Anything less
than 660 is usually considered subprime. Securities and Exchange Commission
documents filed by Block's mortgage unit show its borrowers typically score
around 600. Moreover, according to the filings, hundreds of recent Block
customers, representing about 4% of borrowers, have FICO scores of 500 or
less, or no score at all. A score below 500 would place an applicant among the
bottom 5% of all U.S. consumers scored by Fair Isaac.
Mr.
Dubrish says Block stopped lending to people with FICO scores below 500 some
two years ago and says he is puzzled as to why those with scores below 500
still appear in the company's loan pools.
Block
says its loans typically don't meet the credit standards set by Fannie Mae or
Freddie Mac, which are the lending industry's norms. Block's customers may
qualify for loans even if they have experienced a bankruptcy in the previous
12 months, according to underwriting guidelines it lists in the SEC documents.
In many
cases, according to Block's SEC filings, an applicant's income isn't verified
but is instead taken as stated on the loan application. In other cases, an
applicant with a poor credit rating may receive an upgraded rating, depending
on factors including "pride of ownership." Most Block mortgages are
for single-family detached homes, but Block also makes mobile-home loans,
according to the filings.
"We
are doing a lot to help people own houses who wouldn't have the chance to do
it otherwise," Mr. Dubrish says. "We think we're doing something
that's good for the economy and good for our borrowers."
A key
figure in the mortgage business is the ratio of loan size to value of the
property being mortgaged. Loans with LTV rates above 80% are thought to
present a greater risk of loss. The LTV on many of Block's mortgages is just
under 80%, according to the SEC filings. The value of these properties can be
important if Block is forced to foreclose on the loans and resell the
properties. Nationwide, roughly 4.17% of subprime mortgage loans are in
foreclosure, according to LoanPerformance, a research firm in San Francisco.
As of June 30, only 3.52% of Block's loans, on a dollar basis, were in
foreclosure, even though its foreclosure ratio more than tripled between Dec.
31, 1999, and June 30.
The Controversy Over Pro Forma
Non-GAAP
Reporting and HFV
Bob Jensen's theads on non-GAAP measures --- See Below
Majority of Companies Produce Unreliable Financial Forecast, Potentially
Hurting Share Prices
The KPMG study of 544 global executives found that
78 percent of the companies surveyed reported forecasting errors of more than 5
percent. Although other factors are undoubtedly at play, companies with
unreliable and inaccurate forecasting had a six percent drop on average in share
price over the past three years, according to the survey findings. Similarly,
the survey also found that companies that kept forecast fluctuations below the
five percent mark realized a 46 percent rise in share price over the same
three-year period, compared to a 34 percent increase among the companies that
had more than a five percent margin of error in their forecasts. SmartPros, December 14, 2007 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x60077.xml
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on October 21, 2019
Companies’ Non-GAAP Adjustments to Net
Income Have Soared
Companies’ reliance on disclosing
adjusted earnings or other figures not consistent with generally accepted
accounting principles has made it more difficult for investors to
forecast performance, new academic
research shows.
Companies say that
such tailor-made metrics are a way for investors to better understand their
business. As a result, the rise of earnings adjustments over the past 20
years has been dramatic, CFO Journal’s Mark Maurer reports.
Non-GAAP
adjustments related to net income increased 33% from 1998 to 2017, according
to the research, which was conducted by accounting professors from the
Harvard Business School and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s
Sloan School of Management.
·
Business Insider obtained 58 pages of
correspondence between the SEC and WeWork about the coworking company's
IPO filing and questions or concerns the agency had about the document.
·
One crucial piece of the back-and-forth
centered on the company's use of a non-GAAP financial metric.
·
The SEC originally asked WeWork to "remove
disclosure of this measure throughout your registration statement."
·
After pushback from WeWork's lawyers,
including a former chief of the same SEC division asking the company to
scrap the metric, the agency relented and allowed the company to
continue using the metric after it made some changes.
When WeWork first released the documents for its initial-public-offering
filing in mid-August, investors, analysts, and journalists zeroed in on a
creative financial metric the company was using to show the performance of
each location.
Dubbed the contribution margin after an
earlier and quite similar metric called community-adjusted EBITDA was universally
panned, it departed
from general accepted accounting principles (GAAP, in accounting speak) in
how it accounted for lease costs.
The metric was intended to
reflect the true timing of revenue and costs associated with the real-estate
leases, according to the company. The figure was positive when key GAAP
numbers were in the red.
It turns out the Securities and
Exchange Commission had concerns about the metric. In a nine-page letter to
then-CEO Adam Neumann dated August 30, the SEC's division of corporation
finance raised numerous issues and concluded one section with the words:
"Please remove disclosure of this measure throughout your registration
statement."
Continued in
article
Teaching Case From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting
Review on October 11, 2019
Minding the
GAAP Matters to Investors
By Lauren Silva Laughlin |
October 8, 2019
Topics:
GAAP , Ebitda , Non-GAAP Reporting
Summary:
The article discusses concerns with recent proliferation in
the use of non-GAAP measures in financial reporting. As
noted by the author, “the tech industry is among the biggest
offenders and, not coincidentally, sector participants are
highly unlikely to have positive net income according to
normal accounting rules.”
Investors have reason to
worry as creative accounting metrics have become more prevalent
What’s
in an Ebitda? It is anyone’s guess nowadays.
Financial accounting metrics at companies
ranging from Uber Technologies
to Beyond Meat
to We Co. have gotten creative, going far beyond the guidelines that fall
under generally accepted accounting principles.
Companies claim the made-up metrics are a
way for investors to better understand their business, but they create
greater discrepancies between the valuations of publicly traded companies.
As We’s recently pulled public listing
shows, they also can erode investor trust.
The
tech industry is among the biggest offenders and, not coincidentally, sector
participants are highly unlikely to have positive net income according to
normal accounting rules. Some companies tweak their top lines as well as
their bottom lines. Uber, for example, uses non-GAAP “core platform adjusted
net revenue,” which attempts to strip out recurring costs it incurs to grow
in competitive markets.
Beyond Meat is slightly more conservative,
though it messes with an already alternate measure of profits—earnings
before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization—by adjusting it
further. WeWork’s parent took creativity to a whole new level with new-age
sounding but also much ridiculed financial metric “community adjusted Ebitda,”
which it later amended to “contribution margin excluding noncash GAAP
straight-line lease cost.”
The number of companies reporting non-GAAP
numbers has proliferated. In 1996, only 59% of filers used non-GAAP figures
according to firm Audit Analytics. By 2017, that had grown to 97%. A gander
at the wide range of valuations that non-GAAP creativity implies shows just
how dangerous creative accounting can be for investors, too. Zion Research
Group recently calculated Ebitda in four different, but often used, ways for
companies in the S&P 500 by sector. The communications sector produced the
widest range between the lowest and highest figures—a difference of $25
billion for the sector as a whole between the most and least flattering
techniques.
Companies have reason to reconsider their
markings on their own accord. Earlier this year a report from Wachtell,
Lipton, Rosen & Katz warned that the Securities and Exchange Commission was
increasing its
scrutiny over non-GAAP numbers.
Investors may beat regulators to it. Investor skepticism about We’s pulled
listing initially arose because of concern about creative measures. Sticking
to GAAP could translate into greater investor acceptance, too.
Corrections & Amplifications
Uber Technologies uses a non-GAAP metric called “core platform adjusted net
revenue” which attempts to strip out recurring costs it incurs to grow in
competitive markets. An earlier version of this article misstated the name
of the metric. (Oct. 8, 2019)
Continued in article
Non-GAAP Earnings Management at Kraft Heinz Co.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on March 6, 2019 --- Going Concern
Justification
The
problems Kraft Heinz Co. disclosed last month are shining a light on
a growing concern: the company’s tailored financial metrics that help make
its results look better.
You say
tomato, I say $6 billion.
Since the 2015 merger that created Kraft Heinz, the packaged-food company
has reported adjusted operating earnings totaling more than $24 billion. But
reported cash flow from operations
under standard accounting rules
for that same period was only about $6 billion.
Mind the
GAAP. The gap
in cash flow tallies underscores the need for investors to be cautious when
relying on nonstandard metrics, rather than those that governed by U.S.
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The relatively low operating cash
flow might have been a tipoff to investors that Kraft Heinz was faltering.
Last month it announced a big write-down and a decline in the value of
several key brands.
Caveat
emptor.
Companies are allowed to report tailored financial metrics, but they must
provide detailed disclosures and can’t feature them more prominently than
official measures. In recent years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission has criticized many companies over the way they feature adjusted
measures.
Non‐GAAP Earnings and the Earnings Quality Trade‐Off
Using a large sample of earnings press releases by Australian firms, we
compare multiple attributes of non‐GAAP earnings measures with their closest
GAAP equivalent. We find that, on average, non‐GAAP earnings are more
persistent, smoother, more value relevant, and have higher predictive power
than their closest GAAP equivalent. However, the same set of non‐GAAP
earnings disclosures are also less conservative and less timely than their
closest GAAP equivalent. The results are consistent with non‐GAAP earnings
measures reflecting a reversal of the trade‐off between the valuation and
stewardship roles of accounting
inherent in accounting standards
and the way they are applied. We also find that differences in several of
these attributes between GAAP and non‐GAAP earnings are more evident in
larger firms, firms with lower market‐to‐book ratios, firms with a higher
proportion of independent directors, and firms that report profits rather
than losses. Our evidence is consistent with the argument that
accounting standards impose
significant amounts of conditional conservatism at some cost to the
valuation role of accounting
information. Non‐GAAP earnings measures can therefore be seen as a response
to the challenges faced by a single GAAP performance measure in satisfying
the competing demands of value relevance and stewardship.
Keywords: Non‐GAAP disclosures, Earnings quality
Tesla's Really Unprofessional Non-GAAP Metrics
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger
on November 29, 2016
Not every motor runs
Tesla Motors Inc. has come under fire from the SEC for
using prohibited accounting metrics and sharing that information with
investors, according to regulatory correspondence. The SEC said Tesla in its
August earnings release used “individually tailored” measurements when the
electric-vehicle maker added back certain costs to revenue calculated under
generally accepted accounting principles. While the SEC allows the use of
some non-GAAP metrics, certain figures that adjust revenue are prohibited.
The exchange between the SEC and Tesla includes four letters uploaded by the
regulator from mid-September to mid-October, Tatyana Shumsky reports.
SUMMARY: Bank
regulatory requirements "discourage banks from lending more than six times a
company's earning before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or
EBITDA." However, companies looking for financing adjust the amounts used to
determine that ratio in "potentially aggressive or unsupported" ways similar
to concerns about non-GAAP reporting of earnings in earnings releases by
publicly-traded firms. "The warnings come amid annual reviews in which
regulators expressed concerns that banks and their clients are being liberal
with adjustments to earnings to justify more borrowing...."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The
article may be used in a class on financial reporting to cover non-GAAP
reporting or debt issuance.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are "leveraged loans"? Why are they of
particular interest now?
2. (Introductory) Why do federal banking regulators examine buyout
transactions such as the purchase of Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) by
William Morris Endeavor? Include in your answer a description of bank loan
portion of the transaction.
3. (Advanced) What benefit is obtained by limiting loan amounts to 6
times EBITDA?
4. (Advanced) What are the reporting requirements when publicly
traded companies disclose non-GAAP information in earnings releases? How are
regulators requiring similar information for mergers and acquisitions that
are financed with bank lending?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Sale of UFC and other buyout deals are raising
concerns among regulators that banks and clients are being too liberal with
adjustments to earnings to justify more borrowing for transactions
When the
Ultimate Fighting Championship put itself up for sale this year, the
mixed-martial-arts organization showed one measure of earnings of about $170
million, according to people familiar with the deal.
But with a
few tweaks, the figure presented to debt investors helping finance the sale
climbed to $300 million, the people said.
The higher
number allowed the buyer, talent agency William Morris Endeavor, to borrow
$1.8 billion for the deal without exceeding a regulatory “leverage”
guideline. That discourages banks from lending more than six times a
company’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, or
Ebitda.
Banking
regulators have shown increasing concern about such moves in the $900
billion-a-year leveraged-loan market, in which banks lend to risky
companies, often during a takeover, and then sell the debt in pieces to
investors. In 2013, the Federal Reserve and Office of the Comptroller of the
Currency started guiding banks to stay away from heavily leveraged deals.
In
recent weeks, Fed examiners have notified William Morris Endeavor’s lenders,
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and
AG, that the way the UFC loans
stayed under the Ebitda guideline could be problematic, according to people
familiar with the matter.
Regulators in
recent months have also flagged at least two other buyouts—those of software
companies Cventand SolarWinds Inc.—for potentially aggressive or unsupported
adjustments to Ebitda, some of the people said.
The warnings
come amid annual reviews in which regulators expressed concerns that banks
and their clients are being liberal with adjustments to earnings to justify
more borrowing, the people said.
Goldman Sachs
and Deutsche Bank declined to comment.
Concerns
about companies massaging their financial figures in the debt markets echo
worries in stock markets. The Securities and Exchange Commission has
criticized companies’ increasing use of measures that don’t comply with
standard accounting rules.
The
adjustments often exclude charges for things like stock-based compensation
or restructuring expenses. In and of themselves, the adjustments aren’t
improper. Companies have said that the tweaks provide a truer picture of
their business. The fear is that they also provide an overly rosy view of
profits.
Continued in article
Preliminary statistical data show the
difference between operating (pro forma) earnings and net income under generally
accepted accounting principles reached an all-time high in 2001. These
statistics cover the largest U.S. public companies, collectively known as the
Standard & Poor's 500. A timely analysis by TheStreet.Com shows why
investors should be concerned.
http://www.accountingweb.com/item/70533
Sharpe Point: Risk Gauge Is Misused Past average experience may be a terrible predictor
of future performance
The so-called Sharpe Ratio has become a cornerstone of
modern finance, as investors have used it to help select money managers and
mutual funds. Now, many academics -- including Sharpe himself -- say the gauge
is being misused . . .
The ratio is commonly
used -- "misused," Dr. Sharpe says -- for promotional purposes by hedge funds.
Bayou Management LLC, the Connecticut hedge-fund firm under investigation for
what authorities suspect may have been a massive fraud, touted its Sharpe Ratio
in marketing material. Investment consultants and companies that compile
hedge-fund data also use it, as does a new annual contest for the best hedge
funds in Asia, by a newsletter called AsiaHedge. "That is very disturbing," says
the 71-year-old Dr. Sharpe. Hedge funds, loosely regulated private investment
pools, often use complex strategies that are vulnerable to surprise events and
elude any simple formula for measuring risk. "Past
average experience may be a terrible predictor of future performance,"
Dr. Sharpe says. Ianthe Jeanne Dugan, "Sharpe Point: Risk Gauge Is Misused,"
The Wall Street Journal, August 31, 2005; Page
C1---
http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB112545496905527510,00.html?mod=todays_us_money_and_investing
For those needing a
break from Enron, the SEC today issued its first enforcement action in the
area of pro-forma earnings. AAER 1499, regarding Trump Hotels and Casino
Resorts, Inc., may be found at
"SEC Brings First Pro Forma
Financial Reporting Case Trump Hotels Charged With Issuing Misleading Earnings
Release," FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE 2002-6 ---
http://www.sec.gov/news/headlines/trumphotels.htm
Washington, D.C.,
January 16, 2002
— In its first pro forma financial reporting case, the Securities and
Exchange Commission instituted cease-and-desist proceedings against Trump
Hotels & Casino Resorts Inc. for making misleading statements in the
company's third-quarter 1999 earnings release. The Commission found that the
release cited pro forma figures to tout the Company's purportedly positive
results of operations but failed to disclose that those results were primarily
attributable to an unusual one-time gain rather than to operations.
"This is the
first Commission enforcement action addressing the abuse of pro forma earnings
figures," said Stephen M. Cutler, Director of the Commission's Division
of Enforcement. "In this case, the method of presenting the pro forma
numbers and the positive spin the Company put on them were materially
misleading. The case starkly illustrates how pro forma numbers can be used
deceptively and the mischief that they can cause."
Trump Hotels
consented to the issuance of the Commission's order without admitting or
denying the Commission's findings. The Commission also found that Trump
Hotels, through the conduct of its chief executive officer, its chief
financial officer and its treasurer, violated the antifraud provisions of the
Securities Exchange Act by knowingly or recklessly issuing a materially
misleading press release.
"This case
demonstrates the risks involved in mishandling pro forma reporting," said
Wayne M. Carlin, Regional Director of the Commission's Northeast Regional
Office. "Enforcement action can result if a company fails to disclose
information necessary to assure that investors will not be misled by the pro
forma numbers."
On Oct. 25, 1999,
Trump Hotels issued a press release announcing its quarterly results. The
release used net income and earnings-per-share (EPS) figures that differed
from net income and EPS calculated in conformity with generally accepted
accounting principles (GAAP), in that the figures expressly excluded a
one-time charge. The earnings release was fraudulent because it created
the false and misleading impression that the Company had exceeded earnings
expectations primarily through operational improvements, when in fact it
had not.
The release
expressly stated that net income and EPS figures excluded a $81.4 million
one-time charge. Although neither the earnings release nor the
accompanying financial data used the term pro forma, the net income and
EPS figures used in the release were pro forma numbers because they
differed from such figures calculated in conformity with GAAP by excluding
the one-time charge. By stating that this one-time charge was excluded
from its stated net income, the Company implied that no other significant
one-time items were included in that figure.
Contrary to the
implication in the release, however, the stated net income included an
undisclosed one-time gain of $17.2 million. The gain was the result of the
termination, in September 1999, of the All Star Café's lease of
restaurant space at the Trump Taj Mahal Casino Resort in Atlantic City.
Trump Hotels, through various subsidiaries, owns and operates the Taj
Mahal and other casino resorts. The Company's executive offices are in New
York City, and its business and financial operations are centered in
Atlantic City.
Not only was
there no mention of the one-time gain in the text of the release, but
the financial data included in the release gave no indication of it,
because all revenue items were reflected in a single line item.
The misleading
impression created by the reference to the exclusion of the one-time
charge and the undisclosed inclusion of the one-time gain was reinforced
by the comparison in the earnings release of the stated earnings-per-share
figure with analysts' earnings estimates and by statements in the release
that the Company been successful in improving its operating performance.
Using the non-GAAP, pro forma figures, the release announced that the
Company's quarterly earnings exceeded analysts' expectations, stating:
Net income
increased to $ 14.0 million, or $ 0.63 per share, before a one-time
Trump World's Fair charge, compared to $ 5.3 million or $ 0.24 per share
in 1998. [Trump Hotels'] earnings per share of $ 0.63 exceeded First
Call estimates of $ 0.54.
In addition, the
release quoted Trump Hotels' chief executive officer as attributing the
stated positive results and improvement from third-quarter 1998 to
improvements in the Company's operations.
In fact, had the
one-time gain been excluded from the quarterly pro forma results as well
as the one-time charge, those results would have reflected a decline in
revenues and net income and would have failed to meet analysts'
expectations. The undisclosed one-time gain was thus material, because it
represented the difference between positive trends in revenues and
earnings and negative trends in revenues and earnings, and the difference
between exceeding analysts' expectations and falling short of them.
On Oct. 25, the
day the earnings release was issued, the price of the Company's stock rose
7.8 percent; subsequently, analysts learned of the one-time gain. On Oct.
28, the day on which an analysts' report and a news article revealing the
impact of the one-time gain were published, the stock price fell
approximately 6 percent.
The Commission found
that Trump Hotels violated Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5
thereunder. The Company was ordered to cease and desist from violating those
provisions.
SUMMARY: The
Securities and Exchange Commission reviewed Valeant Pharmaceuticals
International Inc.'s use of adjusted "non-GAAP" financial measures and
criticized Valeant's disclosures at one point as "potentially misleading.
The SEC took issue with Valeant's practice of stripping out
acquisition-related costs from its customized non-GAAP measures given that
the Canadian drug company's business strategy was heavily dependent on
acquisitions. The commission also questioned Valeant's disclosure of the tax
effects of the costs it stripped out of its non-GAAP measures.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This article offers a case study which applies the recent
concerns regarding non-GAAP reporting to a company's situation. It is
appropriate for discussing non-GAAP financial reporting in financial
accounting classes.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the facts surrounding Valeant
Pharmaceuticals International Inc.'s current financial situation?
2. (Introductory) What is GAAP? How is it determined? What entities
use GAAP?
3. (Advanced) What is non-GAAP reporting? Why do companies engage in
non-GAAP reporting? What are the benefits of this type of reporting?
4. (Advanced) What is the SEC? What is its area of authority? Why has
the SEC chosen to get involved with non-GAAP reporting? What is the agency
planning to do?
5. (Advanced) What are the SEC's criticisms of Valeant's recent
actions? What was Valeant doing? Why did the company choose to do these
actions? Why is the SEC concerned?
6. (Advanced) How did Valeant's management respond the SEC's
criticisms? What changes will the company make?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Valeant defended practice, but has told SEC it
would make changes in its disclosures
The Securities and Exchange Commission reviewed
Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc.’s use of adjusted “non-GAAP”
financial measures and criticized Valeant’s disclosures at one point as
“potentially misleading,” according to newly public correspondence between
the SEC and the company.
The SEC took issue with Valeant’s practice of
stripping out acquisition-related costs from its customized non-GAAP
measures given that the Canadian drug company’s business strategy was
heavily dependent on acquisitions, according to comment letters the SEC sent
to the company starting in December. The commission also questioned
Valeant’s disclosure of the tax effects of the costs it stripped out of its
non-GAAP measures.
SEC staff members are “concerned with your overall
format and presentation of the non-GAAP measures and believe revisions to
your future earnings releases and investor materials are appropriate,” the
SEC’s corporation-finance division wrote to Valeant in a Dec. 4 letter.
In responses to the SEC letters, Valeant defended
its use of non-GAAP measures but said it would make changes in its
disclosures. A Valeant spokeswoman said in a statement Tuesday that the
company “believes that its disclosures were in accordance with applicable
SEC rules.”
The SEC has recently stepped up criticism of non-GAAP
metrics—unofficial measures of corporate earnings that don’t follow
generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP. These measures strip out
non-cash and one-time items to present what companies say is a clearer
picture of their true performance, but critics contend the companies are
taking out expenses they shouldn’t and making themselves appear stronger
than they really are.
Valeant had a GAAP loss of $291.7 million in 2015
versus an adjusted profit of $2.84 billion, after stripping out items like
restructuring and acquisition costs, impairment charges and amortization of
intangible assets.
The comments came as part of a regular SEC review
of Valeant’s filings, which the commission said in an April 26 letter it had
completed. They don’t result in any penalty for the company.
The correspondence shows the SEC’s “lack of
comfort” with Valeant’s reporting, said Wells Fargo & Co. analyst David
Maris, who has often been critical of Valeant. It “could add gravity” to the
various regulatory investigations of the company, he said, including the
SEC’s own probe into Valeant’s ties to a mail-order pharmacy which helped
the company get insurance reimbursements for its often high-priced drugs.
Valeant earlier this year restated earnings with regard to $58 million of
revenue in connection with the pharmacy.
Valeant is trying to move forward after months of
questions about its accounting and business practices. The company has
replaced its chief executive and much of its board, filed its belated annual
report and vowed to curb the dramatic drug-price increases that drew
political backlash.
Valeant’s stock slipped 0.4% Tuesday to close at
$26.11. The company’s shares have lost about 90% of their value since
hitting their high last August.
In the comment letters, the SEC asked Valeant to
justify “why you remove the impact of acquisition-related expenses” and
questioned the company’s reference to its “core” operating results, since
its operations were so reliant on large, frequent acquisitions. Valeant
stripped out $400 million in “restructuring, integration,
acquisition-related and other costs” from its non-GAAP earnings in 2015, and
nearly $1.3 billion in the last three years.
Valeant replied that acquisition expenses were “not
related to the company’s core operating performance,” and said that the
volume and size of its acquisitions had varied over time. But the company
agreed to stop referring to “core” results.
In addition, the non-GAAP numbers seem to assume a
low tax rate, the SEC said in a March 18 comment letter, giving the
impression Valeant could generate big pre-tax profits without paying any
significant amount of taxes. “We find this presentation to be potentially
misleading,” the SEC said.
Valeant responded that it believed its approach had
been “reasonable” but said it would address the SEC’s concerns. In March,
the company said it would change the tax reporting it uses when calculating
its non-GAAP metrics.
Among other issues, the SEC questioned whether
Valeant was giving “equal prominence” to its GAAP results when it reported
non-GAAP metrics, and criticized Valeant’s name of “cash earnings per share”
for its adjusted metric, arguing that the name could be confusing since it
doesn’t measure cash flows. Valeant agreed to give equal prominence to GAAP
and to retitle cash EPS as “adjusted earnings per share,” a change the
company told investors about in December.
The SEC has become more critical of non-GAAP
measures as evidence has mounted that they portray companies’ performance in
a much more favorable light than standard GAAP measures. Earnings of S&P 500
companies fell 0.5% on a non-GAAP basis in 2015 compared with the previous
year, but GAAP earnings fell 15.4%, according to data from Thomson Reuters
and S&P Dow Jones Indices.
Continued in article
From The Wall Street Journal
Weekly Accounting Review on April 1, 2015
SUMMARY: Company
executives and investors say that recording values for intangible assets
like brand names and customer data is time consuming and difficult. That's
why many resist the idea of having to bring them onto their balance sheets.
But valuing such items is doable. There are well-established methods used by
companies when they need to calculate values for assets such as trademarks.
Under current accounting rules, U.S. companies don't record those items on
their books as assets, leaving a growing gap in how balance sheets and
income statements reflect the inner-workings of business. Companies do put
values on intangibles in acquisitions and during restructurings.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This
article is good for coverage of how intangible assets appear on the
financial statements and how they can be valued.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are intangible assets? How do they differ from
other types of assets?
2. (Advanced) How do current accounting rules treat intangible
assets? When they appear on the financial statements? How are they
presented?
3. (Advanced) What is valuation of assets? When must companies place
a value on intangible assets?
4. (Advanced) Why do some people think it is challenging to value
intangible assets?
5. (Advanced) What are some of valuation methods? Which methods are
best for what types of situations?
6. (Advanced) Should intangible assets be included in the financial
statements? Why or why not? What value would that information add? How can
the value of reporting be limited?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Company executives and investors say that recording
values for intangible assets like brand names and customer data is time
consuming and difficult. That’s why many resist the idea of having to bring
them onto their balance sheets.
But valuing such items is doable. There are
well-established methods used by companies when they need to calculate
values for assets such as trademarks.
Under current accounting rules, U.S. companies
don’t record those items on their books as assets, leaving a growing gap in
how balance sheets and income statements reflect the inner-workings of
business.
Companies do put values on intangibles in
acquisitions and during restructurings.
Valuation experts such as PJ Patel, co-chief
executive of Valuation Research Corporation, use a “discounted cash flow”
model to help companies come up with values during those instances. That
involves estimating the amount of cash produced annually by the intangible
and then projecting the cash flow out for many years. The firm then
discounts the number to determine the present-day value of the future cash
flows.
The method isn’t as precise as it would be for
estimating the value of commodities such as copper, where there are
well-established markets that set prices. “There’s still subjectivity
involved,” said Mr. Patel. But he added that it’s becoming more commonplace
to get values for intangibles.
Companies in distress or restructuring almost
always get their intangible assets valued, especially those related to the
Internet, said Holly Etlin, a managing director at consulting firm
AlixPartners LLP.
“All of it has value to potential buyers,” said Ms.
Etlin. She advised defunct book seller Borders Group Inc. on its bankruptcy
in 2011. She also acted as interim chief financial officer for RadioShack
Corp. before it filed for bankruptcy protection last year.
While getting values on such assets takes time,
it’s not always expensive.
The consultancy fee for initial valuations for
companies involved in mergers can run as low as in the five figures for
middle-market companies, said Anthony Alfonso, head of the valuation and the
business analytics department of accounting and consulting firm BDO USA LLP.
He added that similar work for large, multinational companies, could run
into the millions, but that the number would be small compared to the market
capitalization of such corporations.
It’s unclear, however, whether investors are
clamoring for the values. Putting more information onto the balance sheet
would only have limited worth, say investors.
For fund managers the balance sheets or earnings
aren’t the most important financial statements; many prefer to look at cash
flow to see how companies are really doing, said Jason Tauber, senior
research analyst with Neuberger Berman. There are too many variables and
assumptions that go into earnings statements, which can color the numbers,
he explained.
“Earnings are a story, but cash is a fact,” he
said.
SUMMARY: As young
technology companies jostle for investors who will pour money into the firms
as they try to make it big and strike it rich, some companies are using
unconventional financial terms. Instead of revenue, these privately held
firms tout "bookings," "annual recurring revenue" or other numbers that
often far exceed actual revenue. The practice is perfectly legal and doesn't
violate securities rules because the companies haven't sold shares in an
initial public offering. Public companies can use "non-GAAP" financial terms
but must explain them and disclose how they differ from measurements that
follow strict accounting rules.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
is a very interesting article about the use of nontraditional - "non-GAAP" -
information by startups when they report to investors.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is GAAP? What purpose does it serve? Why do
companies and outside parties use it?
2. (Advanced) What is the trend regarding providing "non-GAAP"
financial information? Who is doing this? To whom are they providing it?
What is their reasoning for doing this?
3. (Advanced) In what situations would non-GAAP be acceptable
reporting? In what situations would it not be allowed?
4. (Advanced) What additional value does non-GAAP reporting add to
other parties' decision-making processes? Would these parties also want GAAP
information, or is the non-GAAP information sufficient?
Reviewed By:
Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Hortonworks Inc. Chief Executive Rob Bearden forecast in March 2014 that
the software firm would have a “strong $100 million run rate” by year-end.
But the number looked a lot smaller after Hortonworks went public and then
reported financial results: just $46 million in revenue last year.
It turns out that Mr. Bearden wasn’t talking about revenue, though he
didn’t say so at the time. The Santa Clara, Calif., company now says the
$100 million target was for “billings,” a gauge of future business that
isn’t part of generally accepted accounting principles. Mr. Bearden declines
to comment.
As young technology companies jostle for investors who will pour money
into the firms as they try to make it big and strike it rich, some companies
are using unconventional financial terms.
Instead of revenue, these privately held firms tout “bookings,” “annual
recurring revenue” or other numbers that often far exceed actual revenue.
The practice is perfectly legal and doesn’t violate securities rules
because the companies haven’t sold shares in an initial public offering.
Public companies can use “non-GAAP” financial terms but must explain them
and disclose how they differ from measurements that follow strict accounting
rules.
Jensen Comment
It's not clear that the companies are in violation of FASB accounting standards.
For example, they would be in violation of FAS 123r if they did not book
employee vested stock options as expenses ---
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_option_expensing
Executive compensation practices came under
increased congressional scrutiny in the United States when abuses at
corporations such as
Enron became public.
The
American Jobs Creation Act of 2004, P.L. 108-357,
added Sec. 409A, which accelerates income to employees who participate in
certain nonqualified deferred compensation plans (including stock option
plans). Later in 2004,
FASB issued Statement no. 123(R), Share-Based
Payment, which requires expense treatment for stock options for annual
periods beginning in 2005. (Statement no. 123(R) is now incorporated in FASB
Accounting Standards Codification Topic 718, Compensation—Stock
Compensation.)
Prior to 2006,
stock options were a popular form of employee
compensation because it was possible to record the cost of compensation as
zero so long as the exercise price was equal to the fair market value of the
stock at the time of granting. Under the same accounting standards, awards
of restricted stock would result in recognizing compensation cost equal to
the fair market value of the restricted stock. However, changes to
generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)
which became effective in 2006 led to restricted stock becoming a more
popular form of compensation.[4]
Microsoft switched
from stock options to restricted stock in 2003, and by May 2004 about
two-thirds of all companies surveyed by HR consultancy Mercer had reported
changing their equity compensation programs to reflect the impact of the new
option expensing rules.[5]
The median number of stock options (per company)
granted by Fortune 1000 firms declined by 40% between 2003 and 2005, and the
median number of restricted stock awards increased by nearly 41% over the
same period (“Expensing Rule Drives Stock
Awards,” Compliance Week, March 27, 2007). From
2004 through 2010, the number of restricted stock holdings of all reporting
executives in the S&P 500 increased by 88%.[
It would seem unlikely that auditors of companies using stock awards would
allow violations of ASC 718.
My point is that it is unlikely that "Fantasy Accounting" by tech companies
are outright violations of FASB accounting standards. In the 1990s the tech
industry was notoriously creative in writing contracts for creative accounting
for increasing revenue and decreasing expenses. It became like a game to invent
creative accounting followed by new EITFs to restrain the creative accounting.
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/ecommerce/eitf01.htm
The article ["Tech Companies
Fly High on Fantasy Accounting,"] cited above in The New York Times,
June 18, 2015] is not specific enough to allow us to judge whether the companies
and auditors put themselves in jeopardy of huge lawsuits by blatantly violating
FASB standards in a fantasy land. It would be interesting to learn more of the
specifics, however, about how they are skating on the edge of FASB standards
with tacit approval of their auditors. What the article does suggest is that
some of the tech company transactions (such as acquisition transactions) are so
complex that the FASB has not yet caught up with creative accounting. This most
certainly has been the case of the new revenue recognition standard that keeps
being delayed and delayed and delayed presumably because of costs of
implementation.
Academic, trade, and
popular publications commonly assert that 80 percent of motion pictures
fail to make a net profit, suggesting also that the main players of the
motion picture industry operate in highly volatile market conditions.
More importantly, major film companies use this argument to negotiate
for better terms with their production and distribution partners, to
lobby for stricter copyright protections, and to argue in favor of media
conglomeration as a hedge against adverse market conditions. This
article disputes these assertions by calculating the full range of
income that major motion pictures derive from their primary and
secondary markets. It demonstrates that a large share of studio films
are ultimately profitable, therefore challenging the arguments that
conglomerates make with industry partners and government policy makers.
June 21, 2015 reply from Tom Selling
No good deed goes unpunished. The SEC tried to
limit the use of non-GAAP financial measures by publishing pretty strict
requirements prior to their use (See Reg. G and Item 10(e) of Regulation
S-K. But issuers could now be assured that if they complied with the letter
of the rules, then they wouldn’t have to revise their filings.
Previously (may 12 years ago?), whether a non-GAAP
measure was misleading was subject to the judgment of the Division of
Corporation Finance, which reviewed disclosures only very selectively. As a
result of the new rules, the use of non-GAAP measures exploded.
Best,
Tom
Jensen Note
Pro forma statements must be reconciled with traditional GAAP financial
statements. Hence, investors and analysts who take the time and trouble can
evaluate the extent of pro forma distortions.
GAAP versus Non-GAAP Accounting for IPOs
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on January 8, 2015
Forty companies went public last year reporting losses under traditional
accounting rules but showing profits under their own tailor-made measures,
the
WSJ’s Michael Rapoport reports. That is 18% of all
U.S. IPOs for the year. Some IPO market observers have raised fears that
companies’ increased use of nonstandard earnings measures could confuse or
mislead investors.
Companies that use the non-GAAP measures insist that they give investors a
better picture of the company. But that worries some experts, and hasn’t
stopped the SEC from demanding that some of the companies revise their
filings, saying that they give too much prominence to the specialty
calculations over more standard measures.
Nonstandard metrics give investors “the best measure” of continuing
performance, said Jason Morgan, chief financial officer of
Zoe’s Kitchen Inc.,
one of the firms that had to revise its filings at the request of the SEC.
Do you feel that you need to look beyond GAAP to tell the full story of your
company’s performance? Send us a note to let us know or tell us in the
comments
Zoe's Kitchen Inc. is serving up profits—but only
after leaving some of its expenses off the menu.
Zoe’s, a chain of 125-plus Mediterranean-theme
restaurants that went public in April, reported an adjusted profit of $13.2
million for the first nine months of 2014 under its own accounting
treatments that strip out a variety of expenses.
Including those expenses, as is required under
standard accounting rules, Zoe’s reported a loss of $8.4 million.
It is far from an isolated example. Forty companies
went public in 2014 reporting losses under traditional accounting rules but
showing profits under their own tailor-made measures. That is 18% of all
U.S. initial public offerings for the year, according to consulting firm
Audit Analytics, the highest level since at least 2009. Of 2014’s 10 biggest
IPOs, nine used nonstandard earnings measures alongside the official
accounting treatment to some degree.
Many companies prefer highlighting their own
customized measures, saying they give investors a better picture of the
company. That worries some experts, and the Securities and Exchange
Commission has written letters to Zoe’s and other companies telling them the
bespoke figures they use are given too much prominence in regulatory filings
and asking for revisions.
Nonstandard metrics give investors “the best
measure” of continuing performance, said Jason Morgan, chief financial
officer of Zoe’s, who added that the SEC’s concerns were addressed in the
company’s case by revising its prospectus.
But as the IPO market heated up last year,
observers have raised fears that companies’ increased use of these
nonstandard measures could confuse or mislead investors at a time when they
are forming their first impression of a company.
“I think it’s a sign of frothiness” in the IPO
market, said Brandon Rees, deputy director of the AFL-CIO’s Office of
Investment. “Why investors tolerate it, I don’t know.”
Some say the costs that companies strip out of
their nonstandard measures are increasingly things that should be counted in
earnings calculations, such as executive bonuses, fees for stock offerings
and acquisition expenses.
“I was just astounded at the wide variety of
elements that people thought were appropriate to exclude,” said Curtis
Verschoor, a DePaul University emeritus professor of accountancy. Investors
should be aware that a company’s nonstandard numbers “are more likely to be
slanted rather than balanced,” he said.
Companies must still prominently disclose their
earnings under generally accepted accounting principles, the standard set of
U.S. accounting rules, even if they also spotlight their earnings under
“non-GAAP” measures.
“It’s knee-jerk to say that’s a place where
companies put bad stuff,” said Mike Guthrie, chief financial officer of
TrueCar Inc., an auto-buying-and-selling platform that went public in May.
For the first nine months of 2014, TrueCar had a
$38.6 million loss under standard rules but a $6.6 million profit under
“adjusted Ebitda”—earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortization, modified further to exclude other costs, such as an $803,000
expense to acquire rights to the company’s stock symbol.
Mr. Guthrie said it would be more misleading for
the companies not to present adjusted measures; the stock-symbol cost, for
instance, was a one-time expense that won’t affect TrueCar’s future results.
TrueCar closed Wednesday at $20.94 a share, up 133% from its IPO price of
$9.
According to Audit Analytics data, 59% of the
companies that filed for an IPO since 2012 have used nonstandard metrics,
compared with 48% in 2010 and 2011.
Many go beyond the items that companies most
frequently strip out of their preferred measures, such as employee stock
compensation and foreign-exchange gains and losses. A PricewaterhouseCoopers
LLP survey found 80% of IPO companies that made adjustments to their Ebitda
from 2010 to 2013 had at least one adjustment beyond the more-common
strip-outs, though PwC said it couldn’t comment on individual companies.
The growth in such reporting by IPO companies comes
in part because more technology and service-based companies are coming
public. Those companies are more likely to use accounting estimates and
subjective measures when compared with traditional bricks-and-mortar
companies, said Jay Ritter, a University of Florida finance professor who
tracks IPOs.
The SEC has expressed concern in the past about
companies’ non-GAAP metrics, notably with regard to daily-deals company
Groupon Inc. Before Groupon’s 2011 IPO, the SEC raised questions about its
use of “adjusted consolidated segment operating income,” a metric that
excluded Groupon’s marketing costs to land new subscribers. Groupon scaled
back its use of the metric in response to the SEC concerns. Groupon couldn’t
be reached for comment.
In the past two years, the commission has sent
comment letters to more than 30 companies, both pre-IPO companies and those
already public, criticizing them for giving nonstandard earnings measures
“undue prominence” in their securities filings.
Zoe’s received such a letter in January 2014.
Zoe’s had mentioned its adjusted Ebitda first in
the “management’s discussion and analysis” section of its prospectus, four
pages before providing an earnings table that followed standard accounting
rules. The SEC also questioned Zoe’s exclusion of some cash expenses from
its adjusted Ebitda, such as the costs of opening new restaurants and
management and consulting fees.
No endorsement carries more weight than an
investment by Warren Buffett. He became the world's second-richest man by
buying safe, reliable businesses and holding them for ever. So when his
company increased its stake in Tesco to 5% in 2012, it sent a strong message
that the giant British grocer would rebound from its disastrous attempt to
compete in America.
But it turned out that even the Oracle of Omaha can
fall victim to dodgy accounting. On September 22nd Tesco announced that its
profit guidance for the first half of 2014 was £250m ($408m) too high,
because it had overstated the rebate income it would receive from suppliers.
Britain's Serious Fraud Office has begun a criminal investigation into the
errors. The company's fortunes have worsened since then: on December 9th it
cut its profit forecast by 30%, partly because its new boss said it would
stop "artificially" improving results by reducing service near the end of a
quarter. Mr Buffett, whose firm has lost $750m on Tesco, now calls the trade
a "huge mistake".
No sooner did the news break than the spotlight
fell on PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC), one of the "Big Four" global
accounting networks (the others are Deloitte, Ernst & Young (EY) and KPMG).
Tesco had paid the firm £10.4m to sign off on its 2013 financial statements.
PwC mentioned the suspect rebates as an area of heightened scrutiny, but
still gave a clean audit.
PwC's failure to detect the problem is hardly an
isolated case. If accounting scandals no longer dominate headlines as they
did when Enron and WorldCom imploded in 2001-02, that is not because they
have vanished but because they have become routine. On December 4th a
Spanish court reported that Bankia had mis-stated its finances when it went
public in 2011, ten months before it was nationalised. In 2012
Hewlett-Packard wrote off 80% of its $10.3 billion purchase of Autonomy, a
software company, after accusing the firm of counting forecast subscriptions
as current sales (Autonomy pleads innocence). The previous year Olympus, a
Japanese optical-device maker, revealed it had hidden billions of dollars in
losses. In each case, Big Four auditors had given their blessing.
And although accountants have largely avoided blame
for the financial crisis of 2008, at the very least they failed to raise the
alarm. America's Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation is suing PwC for $1
billion for not detecting fraud at Colonial Bank, which failed in 2009. (PwC
denies wrongdoing and says the bank deceived the firm.) This June two KPMG
auditors received suspensions for failing to scrutinise loan-loss reserves
at TierOne, another failed bank. Just eight months before Lehman Brothers'
demise, EY's audit kept mum about the repurchase transactions that disguised
the bank's leverage.
The situation is graver still in emerging markets.
In 2009 Satyam, an Indian technology company, admitted it had faked over $1
billion of cash on its books. North American exchanges have de-listed more
than 100 Chinese firms in recent years because of accounting problems. In
2010 Jon Carnes, a short seller, sent a cameraman to a biodiesel factory
that China Integrated Energy (a KPMG client) said was producing at full
blast, and found it had been dormant for months. The next year Muddy Waters,
a research firm, discovered that much of the timber Sino-Forest (audited by
EY) claimed to own did not exist. Both companies lost over 95% of their
value.
Of course, no police force can hope to prevent
every crime. But such frequent scandals call into question whether this is
the best the Big Four can do--and if so, whether their efforts are worth the
$50 billion a year they collect in audit fees. In popular imagination,
auditors are there to sniff out fraud. But because the profession was
historically allowed to self-regulate despite enjoying a
government-guaranteed franchise, it has set the bar so low--formally,
auditors merely opine on whether financial statements meet accounting
standards--that it is all but impossible for them to fail at their jobs, as
they define them. In recent years this yawning "expectations gap" has led to
a pattern in which investors disregard auditors and make little effort to
learn about their work, value securities as if audited financial statements
were the gospel truth, and then erupt in righteous fury when the inevitable
downward revisions cost them their shirts.
The stakes are high. If investors stop trusting
financial statements, they will charge a higher cost of capital to honest
and deceitful companies alike, reducing funds available for investment and
slowing growth. Only substantial reform of the auditors' perverse business
model can end this cycle of disappointment. Born with the railways
Auditors perform a central role in modern
capitalism. Ever since the invention of the joint-stock corporation,
shareholders have been plagued by the mismatch between the interests of a
firm's owners and those of its managers. Because a company's executives know
far more about its operations than its investors do, they have every
incentive to line their pockets and hide its true condition. In turn, the
markets will withhold capital from firms whose managers they distrust.
Auditors arose to resolve this "information asymmetry".
Early joint-stock firms like the Dutch East India
Company designated a handful of investors to make sure the books added up,
though these primitive auditors generally lacked the time or expertise to
provide an effective check on management. By the mid-1800s, British lenders
to capital-hungry American railway companies deployed chartered
accountants--the first modern auditors--to investigate every aspect of the
railroads' businesses. These Anglophone roots have proved durable: 150 years
later, the Big Four global networks are still essentially controlled by
their branches in the United States and Britain. Their current bosses are
all American.
As the number of investors in companies grew, so
did the inefficiency of each of them sending separate sleuths to keep
management in line. Moreover, companies hoping to cut financing costs
realised they could extract better terms by getting an auditor to vouch for
them. Those accountants in turn had an incentive to evaluate their clients
fairly, in order to command the trust of the markets. By the 1920s, 80% of
companies on the New York Stock Exchange voluntarily hired an auditor.
Unfortunately, Jazz Age investors did not
distinguish between audited companies and their less scrupulous peers. Among
the miscreants was Swedish Match, a European firm whose skill at securing
state-sanctioned monopolies was surpassed only by the aggression of its
accounting. After its boss, Ivar Kreuger, died in 1932 the company
collapsed, costing American investors the equivalent of $4.33 billion in
current dollars. Soon after this the Democratic Congress, cleaning up the
markets after the Great Depression, instituted a rule that all publicly held
firms had to issue audited financial statements. Britain had already brought
in a similar policy.
To accounting experts, however, it is another in a long line of “pro forma”
figures that companies have trotted out over the years to show their business in
a better light than possible under generally accepted accounting principles.
"How Big Is GE Capital? It Depends," by Ted Mann, The Wall Street
Journal, June 9, 2015 ---
http://www.wsj.com/articles/ge-uses-own-metric-to-value-its-finance-arms-assets-1433842205?mod=djemCFO_h
. . .
To accounting experts, however, it is another in a
long line of “pro forma” figures that companies have trotted out over the
years to show their business in a better light than possible under generally
accepted accounting principles.
GE does report total assets as well. But in slides,
investor discussions and forecasts, it consistently refers to ENI.
“We disclose ENI in addition to total assets so
that our investors can better assess our total capital invested in financial
services,” GE spokesman Seth Martin said.
Pro forma reporting really took off in the 1990s,
and after dropping off in the wake of the dot-com bust, is back on the
upswing, according to Ben Whipple, an assistant professor of accounting at
the University of Georgia who has researched the subject.
Mr. Whipple and several collaborators went through
nearly 130,000 earnings announcements filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission from 2003 through 2013. They found that nearly 50% of those
announcements used a pro forma earnings per share metric in 2013, up from
about 20% in 2003. The research didn’t track other kinds of pro forma
figures, such as GE’s ENI number.
In the best case, pro forma metrics can reveal
details that might be lost in official figures, he said. Consumer products
companies, for instance, regularly report sales excluding currency effects
to show the strength of underlying demand. But the problem for investors is
that, by definition, there aren’t any rules for coming up with pro forma
data.
“The discretionary nature of non-GAAP reporting
might allow some firms to simply use metrics that portray firm performance
in a more favorable light and that are not necessarily better measures of
performance,” Mr. Whipple said in an email.
To come up with ENI, GE counts up the assets in its
lending businesses, then subtracts liabilities that don’t require it to pay
interest, like accounts payable or insurance reserves. GE says that provides
a better measure of the positions on its books that it has to fund, whether
with deposits or with money borrowed in the market.
SUMMARY: Big changes may be coming to the auditor's report: that
letter in every company's annual report in which the company's auditor
blesses its financial statements. But lots of corporate directors don't
think the changes are such a good idea. Only 27% of public-company board
members believe the proposed changes to the report will improve its
usefulness. A larger portion of those surveyed, 45%, say the changes won't
improve the report, while 28% aren't sure. The Public Company Accounting
Oversight Board, the government's audit-industry regulator, proposed the
changes. If they are enacted, auditors would have to disclose more
information to investors in the auditor's report: currently a boilerplate,
pass-fail document that critics say doesn't tell investors much about a
company's financial health. Among other changes proposed by the PCAOB, audit
firms would have to tell investors more about any "critical audit matters,"
the parts of the audit in which the auditor had to make its toughest
decisions. They also would have to evaluate other information in the annual
report beyond the financial statements, and tell investors how long the
audit firm has worked for the company.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article addresses the contents of the
annual report and it can be used in auditing and financial accounting
classes. You can use it for a discussion or assignment regarding what is
included in the annual report and the proposed changes. I found it
interesting that the auditor's report has not changed since the 1940s. The
related articles help to flesh out the topic and will serve nicely as a case
study, if you choose.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the changes proposed for the auditor's
report? How are directors of public companies reacting to these proposals?
2. (Advanced) Why do you think directors have these views regarding
each of the proposed changes? What changes are acceptable to more directors?
Which of the changes are less appealing to directors? Why?
3. (Advanced) What is the PCAOB? Why is it involved in the
composition of annual reports?
4. (Advanced) How long have the current requirement been in place?
Why are changes being proposed at this time? Are you surprised that the
current format has not been changed? Why might it have stayed unchanged for
so many years?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Big changes may be coming to the auditor’s report –
that letter in every company’s annual
report in which the company’s auditor blesses its financial
statements. But lots of corporate directors don’t think the
changes are such a good idea, according to a survey to be
released Tuesday.
Only 27% of public-company
board members believe the proposed changes to the report
will improve its usefulness, according to the survey by
accounting firm BDO USA LLP. A larger portion of those
surveyed, 45%, say the changes won’t improve the report,
while 28% aren’t sure.
The Public Company
Accounting Oversight Board, the government’s audit-industry
regulator, proposed the changes in August. If they are
enacted, auditors would have to disclose more information to
investors in the auditor’s report – currently a boilerplate,
pass-fail document that critics say doesn’t tell investors
much about a company’s financial health.
Among other changes proposed by the PCAOB,
audit firms would have to tell
investors more about any “critical audit matters,” the parts
of the audit in which the auditor had to make its toughest
decisions. They also would have to evaluate other
information in the annual report beyond the financial
statements, and tell investors how long the audit firm has
worked for the company.
Of the 74 public-company
directors surveyed by BDO in September, 52% are opposed to
the proposal that auditors should discuss critical audit
matters, and 67% are opposed to requiring auditors evaluate
information beyond the financial statements. But 78% were in
favor of disclosing the length of the auditor’s tenure – a
move prompted by concerns that a long-tenured auditor might
grow too cozy with a company to conduct a tough audit.
The auditor’s report
hasn’t been significantly changed since the 1940s, and “when
you make changes to something that has been done the same
way for more than 70 years, there is bound to be some
pushback,” Lee Graul, a partner in BDO’s corporate
governance practice, said in a statement. Corporate
directors “aren’t sold on the usefulness of the PCAOB’s
proposal,” he said.
Teaching Case on How More U.S. Firms Use Nonstandard Accounting Measures to
Figure Executive Payouts
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 7,
2014
SUMMARY: From 2009 to 2013, the number of companies using non-GAAP
financial measures to determine compensation grew from 249 to 542, 28% of
the 1,957 firms with at least $700 million of stock held outside the
company's control. In the related video, author Michael Rapoport focuses on
McKesson Corp. The company reports non-GAAP metrics in announcements to
shareholders and then further adjusts earnings measures for determining
executive bonuses. "Such moves are on the rise at a time when the Securities
and Exchange Commission has said it is scrutinizing nonstandard earnings
measures."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article and related video provide an
excellent discussion for use in financial accounting classes covering non-GAAP
earnings, executive compensation, and or goodwill accounting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is corporate governance?
2. (Advanced) Last year, McKesson's shareholders voted against the
company's executive compensation pay package. Why then is the company still
using this package? How does that situation reflect on the company's
corporate governance?
3. (Introductory) What is incentive compensation?
4. (Advanced) Focus on the paragraphs about Trex Co. How did the
company adjust its determination of income used as the basis for CEO Ronald
W. Kaplan's incentive compensation? What was the reasoning for this
treatment? Do you agree with this approach?
5. (Introductory) What is a goodwill write down?
6. (Advanced) Consider the Boston Scientific Corp. exclusion of
goodwill writedowns from determining its CEO's incentive compensation. How
might this adjustment set an improper incentive for the CEO?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
More U.S. Firms Use Nonstandard Accounting Measures
to Figure Executive Payouts
Graphs not quoted here
U.S. companies increasingly are using
unconventional earnings measures in determining bonuses, making it easier
for them to appear more profitable when they reward executives with big
paydays.
Last year, 542 companies said they determine
compensation using financial measurements that differ from U.S. accounting
standards, according to an analysis performed by consultant Audit Analytics
for The Wall Street Journal. That is more than double the 249 companies that
did so in 2009. The practice can be controversial because it strips out
various costs—from employee stock payments to asset write-downs—that can
depress profits.
Such moves are on the rise at a time when the
Securities and Exchange Commission has said it is scrutinizing nonstandard
earnings measures. The commission declined to comment on their use in
executive-pay decisions.
"Everything you can think of to manipulate this has
been done," said Gary Hewitt, head of research at GMI Ratings, a
corporate-governance research firm.
U.S. companies report quarterly results based on
generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, but regulators also allow
them to provide non-GAAP adjusted measures as long as they provide proper
disclosure. Some companies use the non-GAAP measures as the basis for the
profit targets they must hit to award incentive bonuses to executives.
Companies are allowed to use nonstandard measures
in setting executive pay, and some observers said they better represent a
company's health and its executives' performances by excluding items the
companies don't see as relevant to their core operations. Others disagree.
"We're very frustrated with that," said Michael
Pryce-Jones, a senior governance analyst at CtW Investment Group, which
works with union pension funds on shareholder initiatives. When companies
use such customized measures, he said, investors "are being given the
upside, but they're not being given the downside."
For its analysis, Audit Analytics examined public
firms with $700 million or more in stock not under the company's control.
The results showed the use of nonstandard measures for executive pay has
risen steadily each year since 2009. The 542 companies represent 28% of the
1,957 firms examined by Audit Analytics for 2013.
One example cited by some corporate-governance
advocates: medical-products distributor McKesson Corp. MCK +0.34% , which
awarded Chief Executive John Hammergren $51.7 million in compensation for
fiscal 2013.
To help determine the $3.7 million he received in
short-term incentive pay, McKesson used a measure of its earnings it
adjusted not once but twice. It took the nonstandard earnings measures it
disclosed to investors in its earnings reports, which already had stripped
out a variety of expenses, to boost the year's earnings by 74 cents a share,
to $6.33, and then stripped out more costs to increase earnings an
additional 88 cents, to $7.21.
Activist shareholders have complained about
McKesson's pay structure, including its use of handpicked metrics.
Shareholders voted "no" by more than a 3-to-1 margin last year on a
nonbinding resolution to approve the company's executive-compensation
package.
"This is something we're absolutely focusing on,
looking at adjustments being made in bonus plans," said Mr. Pryce-Jones of
CtW Investment Group, which was active in the campaign against McKesson.
McKesson said its board "exercises great
discipline" in deciding on pay, and its modifications are representative of
its recurring performance and match how Wall Street views its profits.
Some others think the non-GAAP use is justified. "I
really don't see the sort of blatant attempt to jigger the numbers so that
someone gets more compensation than they're entitled to," said Charles
Vaughn, a lawyer at Nelson Mullins Riley & Scarborough LLP in Atlanta who
advises boards on compensation.
But other observers think some companies exclude
some expenses from nonstandard measures that really shouldn't be excluded,
like stock compensation, which they contend is a legitimate cost.
If anybody is
looking for official literature, the SEC’s rules are to be found in
Regulation G (“non-GAAP measures” used outside of SEC filings) and Item 10
of Regulation S-K (non-GAAP measures used in SEC filings).
There is also additional
interpretive guidance on use of non-GAAP measures in MD&A (can’t provide
cites off the top of my head), and an interesting pre-SOX enforcement
release that makes for pretty light and enjoyable (if you’re into
Schadenfreude) reading – Trump Hotels (AAER No. 1499 – available at
www.sec.gov/litigation/admin/34-45287.htm.)
Best,
Tom
Question
Can you trust your pro forma accountant?
Answer
Definitely not unless you check up on what she/he is assuming.
So in valuing equities moving forward, what concept
of earnings should we use? Pick a number, any number. Looking at 2010
earnings estimates yield an incredibly broad range of forecasts. If you
believe the crack-smoking bottom-up guys who strip out everything that could
be construed as a "loss", you get a resounding $74 per share. Not bad!
Taking the same approach (stripping out the
quarterly "one-offs"), but from a top-down framework, yields a substantially
less rosy result: earnings of just $46 per share. And actually counting all
the turds for what they are on a top-down basis yields 2010 EPS of just $37
per share.
Source: S&P Remarkable!
On this basis, equities are either pretty darn
cheap, or bum-clenchingly expensive based on 2010 earnings. Gee, thanks. Now
obviously, trusting analysts' forecasts is a treacherous endeavour at the
best of times, but it's small wonder that you have some people screaming
"buy buy buy buy buy!!!!" whole others mutter "you guys are frickin' morons"
under their breath (or not, as the case may be.)
The chart below shows the appropriate valuation for
the SPX based on a) the 3 sets of earnings estimates listed above and b) a
range of multiples, none of which is completely unbelievable.
Dec. 27, 2005 (Associated Press) — If it weren't
for some pesky accounting rules, telecom-equipment company Ciena Corp. would
have lost a mere 2 cents a share in the fourth quarter. With those
accounting rules, it lost 44 cents a share.
The disparity is "the GAAP Gap" - the difference
between "pro forma" earnings and earnings prepared according to Generally
Accepted Accounting Principles, or GAAP.
GAAP is the nation's accounting standard. Pro forma
earnings, by contrast, are governed by no fixed standard. Companies can toss
out one-time charges, options expenses, goodwill write-downs - anything that
looks bad. One-time windfalls, however, usually manage to stay in.
Merrill Lynch's U.S. Strategist Richard Bernstein
did the math on 1,600 stocks and found total earnings for their third
calendar quarter grew 22 percent on a GAAP basis, but 31 percent on a pro
forma basis.
The gap was greater when the companies were
subdivided by Standard & Poor's quality rankings. S&P grades stocks on their
annual sales and dividend growth and actual earnings over a 10-year period.
A company with very stable growth would rank "A+," while a company in
bankruptcy would be a "D."
"Lower quality companies are dramatically
overstating their growth rates by using pro forma earnings," Bernstein wrote
in a December 19 research report.
Companies with a B- ranking have a GAAP growth rate
of 1 percent, but a pro forma growth rate of 38 percent, according to
Bernstein. B+ companies are more than doubling their growth rate: GAAP
growth is 13 percent, but pro forma growth is 27 percent.
Part of the problem, according to Bernstein, is
that most post-bubble regulations focus on the quality of formal financial
reporting, but "there appears to be no regulation" covering earnings
conference calls and press releases.
"Although the newer regulation is laudable, stocks
trade on press releases and conference calls, and not on the formal
financial statements that are released weeks after the announcement and
call," he wrote. "We think regulation regarding company press releases and
conference calls is sorely needed because of the significant deterioration
in the quality of announced earnings."
He calls for an end to pro forma earnings, saying
they have made U.S. corporate earnings perhaps the most opaque they've been
in his 23 years in the business.
With the earnings season upon us, discussions in
recent weeks sometimes have focused on pro forma numbers, especially with
respect to several IPOs. Some pro forma numbers are better than others.
Most, however, are inferior to GAAP (generally accepted accounting
principles) numbers.
What these pro forma constructs have in common is
that they are non-GAAP numbers, which means that their definition and
measurement are not standardized by any agency, and more importantly that
corporate disclosures about them are not audited. By itself, this does not
disqualify them from use, but should alert the user to apply caution.
One particularly good pro forma number is free cash
flow. The variable is supported by economic theory, and its components
(cash generated by operating activities and capital expenditures) are found
in GAAP financial statements, which means they are audited numbers.
Compilation and Review Standards Change As opposed to a formal audit, many accountants perform compilation and
review services to generate unaudited financial statements for a client.
There is a new standard for these two services.
According to SSARS, compilations and reviews are
restricted to historical financial statements, even though clients often ask
their accountants to provide financial statement elements and pro forma
financial information. Michael Glynn, technical manager at the AICPA, reports on
newly adopted standards allowing accountants to report on those financial
statement elements or pro forma financial information under SSARS.
"Compilations & Reviews New Standards," SmartPros, October 2005 ---
http://education.smartpros.com/main1/extcoursedetail.asp?PartnerRed=accountingnet&CatalogNumber=APP515
SOX Regulation G, which went into effect in March
2003, defines non-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) financial
measures and creates disclosure standards for them. According to Strategic
Finance magazine, the guidelines for non-GAAP financial measures stipulate
that they may not:
Be given prominence over GAAP numbers
Exclude any charges or liabilities requiring
cash settlement from non-GAAP liquidity measures
Be inserted into GAAP financial statements or
accompanying notes. It should be noted that the June 29 announcement of
fiscal 2005 Q4 GAAP and non-GAAP earnings, revenues and net income
appears to adhere to all the SOX guidelines. Also, Oracle’s statements
provide more detail than most company reports according to MarketWatch.
“The rapid integration of PeopleSoft into our
business contributed to the strong growth in both applications sales and
profits that we saw in the quarter,” Oracle President Safra Catz said in a
written statement. “The combination of increased organic growth plus a
carefully targeted acquisition strategy have pushed Oracle’s revenue and
profits to record levels.”
A Teaching Case Featuring an Article by NYU Accounting Professor Baruch
Lev
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 2, 2012
SUMMARY: This is the first of three articles in the WSJ's Section
on Leadership in Corporate Finance published on Monday, February 27, 2012.
Baruch Lev, the Philip Bardes Professor of Accounting and Finance at NYU's
Stern School of Business offers arguments in favor of publicly traded
companies' managements issuing earnings guidance. He has recently published
a book entitled "Winning Investors Over."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful for any financial
reporting class to introduce the notions of management earnings guidance,
analyst earnings forecasts, and the arguments for and against this
information dissemination process. It is as well useful to highlight the
usefulness of academic research in finance and accounting.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is management guidance? To whom is it
directed?
2. (Introductory) What is the trend regarding the number of
publicly traded U.S. firms providing management guidance?
3. (Advanced) What is the difference between annual guidance and
quarterly guidance? What are the trends in regarding the numbers of
companies providing each of these?
4. (Introductory) What are the arguments often presented against
companies providing annual earnings guidance?
5. (Introductory) What are the author's counterarguments to those
points?
6. (Introductory) What does Dr. Lev say about management's need for
the information that is used to develop and present management earnings
guidance?
7. (Advanced) Who is Dr. Baruch Lev?
8. (Introductory) What is the source for Dr. Lev's information in
writing this article for The Wall Street Journal?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Alot of prominent people don't like the idea of
giving the market an early heads-up.
Critics, who include Warren Buffett, Al Gore and
groups like the Chamber of Commerce, have blasted the practice of issuing
"guidance"—advance notices about earnings and other matters. They argue that
it wastes managers' time and encourages short-term thinking, and may even
drive companies to seek capital overseas instead of in the U.S.
But a host of research—mine and others'—shows that
those arguments don't hold up. Guidance benefits investors, companies and
managers in a number of ways, such as cutting down shareholder lawsuits and
giving the market better data to work with. Indeed, research recently
published in the Journal of Accounting and Economics documents a significant
stock-price drop for companies that announced they were stopping guidance.
Far from a waste of time, guidance is a crucial part of an executive's job.
That said, companies should do it smartly. For one
thing, they should issue guidance only when they can predict performance
better than analysts—and they should make it part of a broader practice of
disclosure that gives investors insight into the company's plans and
progress. A Vital Component
Let's start with the most basic argument against
guidance: It takes too much time. Critics say executives must set up
elaborate and costly forecasting processes, and then answer endless rounds
of questions about the numbers they issue. And that prevents them from
undertaking other productive activities.
ut guidance requires a negligible investment of
time. A CEO who doesn't readily have short- and medium-term performance
forecasts shouldn't guide, and shouldn't manage. Guidance also increases the
circle of analysts following the firm, since guidance data makes it much
easier to do their job. And having lots of analysts on board comes in handy
in stock issues and proxy contests.
More broadly, managers gain credibility when they
have a track record of issuing accurate guidance. There's also evidence that
guidance helps keep management honest. A study from University of Georgia
researchers finds that companies that issue guidance are less likely to put
out dishonest earnings reports than companies that don't guide.
Critics also say that guidance encourages a futile
short-term earnings game. Companies, the argument goes, slash R&D or other
long-term initiatives to meet earnings estimates—sacrificing future growth.
But the argument misses a crucial point: Most
guidance isn't short-term. It forecasts several quarters ahead, giving
companies a chance to fill in details that wouldn't show up in regular
financial reports.
For instance, reported earnings don't reflect the
progress of the product-development process of innovative companies, such as
in biotech. They also ignore recent business initiatives and new contracts
signed or canceled, as well as the impact of economic developments—like the
European recession—on future performance.
In fact, I further argue that critics are wrong
even when companies are providing short-term guidance. For one thing, the
game of trying to beat expectations plays out with or without guidance.
Doesn't Google, the famous nonguider, aim to beat the consensus? Reducing
Uncertainty
More broadly, getting more information out helps
everyone involved—shareholders, analysts and companies. By sharing
information with the market, companies reduce investor uncertainty and
prevent stock prices from swinging wildly upon unexpected bad news. My
research shows that managers' quarterly earnings guidance is more accurate
than the current analysts' consensus forecast in 70% of cases. Analysts know
this and are quick to revise their forecasts upon the release of guidance.
But warning investors about potential
disappointments doesn't just help protect them from losses—it helps protects
companies, too. Guidance released prior to weak earnings is considered a
mitigating factor in shareholder lawsuits, and was shown in a study
published in 1997 to reduce settlement figures. (Most shareholder lawsuits
are settled.)
There's one more argument the critics often make
against guidance: It puts so much pressure on companies that they abandon
the U.S. equities market and seek out private equity or foreign listings.
But I haven't found a single example of a company taken private or listed
abroad whose managers claimed that the "pressure to guide" was a major
reason. Besides, isn't it easier just to abstain from guidance? Two-thirds
of public companies do just that.
All that said, there are right and wrong ways to do
guidance. Here's a look at some basic principles companies should follow.
• Guide when you are a better prognosticator than
analysts. For the past three to five years, compare your internal quarterly
earnings forecasts with analysts' public forecasts, relative to the
subsequently released earnings. If you beat analysts, chalk one up for
guidance. If not, how come outsiders know more about your company's future
than you do?
• If most of your industry peers release guidance
regularly, you don't want to stand out as a refusenik. Investors will
suspect that you have something to hide or that you aren't on top of things.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Baruch has done a considerable amount of previous accountics research on how to
measure and report intangibles and contingency items. I'm sorry to say that over
the years I've been mostly critical of that research ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#TheoryDisputes
The way Wall Street eyes these things, including the
liberal use of the words "pro forma," Cisco had an impressive fiscal
first quarter.
Revenue came in better than expected and grew 5.3%
compared with a year ago, topping expectations of a flat top-line thanks in
part to spending from the federal government (see article). How impressive is
this? Well, the country's economy grew at 7.2%, and business spending on
equipment and software rose 15%. Microsoft had revenue growth of 6%, IBM 8.6%,
and Dell is estimated to come in at 15% growth. So Cisco Systems, one of the
big tech dogs, looks like the runt of that particular litter. Is networking a
growth industry anymore, or is it doomed to be troubled by overcapacity and a
lack of business demand? The next few quarters are crucial.
Earnings per share -- that is, pro forma earnings per
share -- easily surpassed estimates, logging in at 17 cents a share, compared
with the expectation of 15 cents a share and last year's 14 cents.
The company's shareholder equity fell in the quarter
to $27.4 billion from $28 billion a year ago. Cash flow from operations fell
to $973 million from $1.1 billion a year earlier. Cash on hand and investments
fell from $20.7 billion to $19.7 billion, which is still mountainous but lower
year-over-year, nevertheless.
Then there is the gross-margin story. Cisco has had
Himalayan gross margins throughout the slowdown, because it was able to
squeeze suppliers and find efficiencies. But now that revenue is finally
increasing, gross margins fell. Product gross margins came in at 69%, down
from 71% in the fourth quarter. Cisco is selling less profitable products,
including some from its recent acquisition of Linksys. It also has outsourced
much of its production. How much operating leverage does Cisco now have? That
is the reason it sports its high valuation, after all.
Then there is the outlook. Deferred revenue and
backlog were down. Cisco's book-to-bill ratio, a measure that reflects order
momentum, was below one. When book-to-bill is below one, orders are lower than
billings, suggesting a slowdown, not acceleration. True, Cisco put out a
forecast for modestly higher revenue for the second quarter compared with the
first. But some questions should linger.
Question: How does former Enron
CEO Jeff Skilling define HFV?
Home Video Uncovered by the Houston Chronicle, December 19, 2002 Skits for Enron ex-executive funny then, but full of
irony now --- http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/story.hts/metropolitan/1703624 (The above link includes a "See it Now" link to download
the video itself which played well for me.)
The tape, made for
the January 1997 going-away party for former Enron President Rich Kinder,
features nearly 30 minutes of absurd skits, songs and testimonials by company
executives and prominent Houstonians. The collection is all meant in good fun,
but some of the comments are ironic in the current climate of corporate
scandal.
In one skit, former
administrative executive Peggy Menchaca plays the part of Kinder as he
receives a budget report from then-President Jeff Skilling, who plays himself,
and financial planning executive Tod Lindholm. When the pretend Kinder
expresses doubt that Skilling can pull off 600 percent revenue growth for the
coming year, Skilling reveals how it will be done.
"We're going to
move from mark-to-market accounting to something I call HFV,
or hypothetical future value accounting," Skilling jokes as he reads from
a script. "If we do that, we can add a kazillion dollars to the bottom
line."
Richard Causey, the
former chief accounting officer who was embroiled in many of the business
deals named in the indictments of other Enron executives, makes an unfortunate
joke later on the tape.
"I've been on
the job for a week managing earnings, and it's easier than I thought it would
be," Causey says, referring to a practice that is frowned upon by
securities regulators. "I can't even count fast enough with the earnings
rolling in."
Texas' political
elite also take part in the tribute, with then-Gov. George W. Bush pleading
with Kinder: "Don't leave Texas. You're too good a man."
Former President
George Bush also offers a send-off to Kinder, thanking him for helping his son
reach the Governor's Mansion.
"You have been
fantastic to the Bush family," he says. "I don't think anybody did
more than you did to support George."
"Bubble Redux," by Andrew Bary, Barron's, April 14, 2003,
Page 17.
Amazon's valuation is the most
egregious of the 'Net trio. It trades for 80 times projected "pro
forma" 2003 profit of 32 cents a share. Amazon's pro forma
definition of profit, moreover, is dubious because it excludes re-structuring
charges and, more important, the restricted stock that Amazon now is issuing
to employees in lieu of stock options. Amazon's reported profit this
year under generally accepted accounting principles (which include
restricted-stock costs) could be just 10 cents to 15 cents a share, meaning
that Amazon's true P/E arguably is closer to 200.
Yahoo, meanwhile, now commands
70 times estimated 2003 net of 35 cents a share, and eBay fetches 65 times
projected 2003 net of $1.35 a share.
What's fair value? By our
calculations, Amazon is worth, at best, roughly 90% of its projected 2003
revenue of $4.6 billion. That translates into $10 a share, or $4.1 billion.
This estimate is charitable because the country's two most successful
brick-and-mortar retailers, Wal-Mart Stores and Home Depot, also
trade for about 90% of 2003 sales.
Yahoo ought to trade closer to
15. That's a stiff 43 times projected 2003 earnings and gives the
company credit for its strong balance sheet, featuring over $2 a share in cash
and another $3 a share for its stake in Yahoo Japan, which has become that
country's eBay.
Sure, eBay undoubtedly is the
most successful Internet company and the only one that has lived up to the
growth projections made during the Bubble. As the dominant online
marketplace in the U.S. and Europe, eBay saw its earnings surge to 87 cents a
share last year from three cents in 1998, when it went public at a
split-adjusted $3.00 a share.
Why would eBay be more fairly
valued around 60, its price just several months ago? At 60, eBay would
trade at 44 times projected 2003 profit of $1.35 a share and 22 times an
optimistic 2005 estimate of $2.75. So confident are analysts about
eBay's outlook that they're comfortable valuing the stock on a 2005 earnings
estimate.
Fans of eBay believe its profit
can rise at a 35% annual clip in the next five years, a difficult rate for any
company to maintain, even one, such as eBay, with a "scalable"
business model that allows it to easily accommodate more transactions while
maintaining its enviable gross margins of 80%. If the company earns $5 a
share in 2007--nearly six times last year's profit--it would still trade at 18
times that very optimistic profit level.
Continued in the article.
The New York Yankees today released their 4th Quarter 2001 pro
forma results. Although generally accepted scorekeeping principles (GASP) indicate that
the Yankees lost Games 1 and 2 of the 2001 World Series, their pro forma figures show that
these reported losses were the result of nonrecurring items, specifically extraordinary
pitching performances by Arizona Diamondbacks personnel Kurt Schilling and Randy Johnson.
Games 3 and 4 results, already indicating Yankee wins, were not restated on a pro forma
basis.
Ed Scribner, New Mexico State
Until
recently, pro forma reporting was seen as a useful tool that could help
companies show performance when unusual circumstances might cloud the picture.
Today it finds itself in bad odour.
"Pro forma lingo Does the use of controversial non-GAAP reporting by some
companies confuse or enlighten?," by Michael Lewis, CA Magazine, March 2002
--- http://www.cica.ca/cica/camagazine.nsf/e2002-mar/Features
For fans of JDS
Uniphase Corp., the fibre-optics manufacturer with headquarters in Ottawa and
San Jose, Calif., the report for fiscal 2001 provided the icing on a very
delicious cake: following an uninterrupted series of positive quarterly
earnings results, the corporate giant announced it was set to deliver US$67
million in pro forma profit.
There was only one
fly in the ointment. Like all such calculations, JDS's pro forma numbers were
not prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP),
and as such they excluded goodwill, merger-related and stock-option charges,
and losses on investments. Once those items were added back into the
accounting mix, JDS suddenly showed a staggering US$50.6 billion in red ink -
a US corporate record. Even so, many investors remained loyal, placing their
trust in the boom-market philosophy that views onetime charges as largely
irrelevant. The mantra was simple - operating results rule.
"That was the
view at the time," says Jim Hall, a Calgary portfolio manager with Mawer
Canadian Equity Fund. "It just goes to show how wrong people can
be."
Since then, of
course, the spectacular flameout of Houston's Enron Corp. has done much to
change that point of view (though it's not a pro forma issue). Once the
world's largest energy trader, the company now holds the title for the largest
bankruptcy case in US history. The Chapter 11 filing in December came after
Enron had to restate US$586 million in earnings because of apparent accounting
irregularities. In its submission, the company admitted it had hidden assets
and related debt charges since 1997 in order to inflate consolidated earnings.
Enron's auditor, accounting firm Arthur Andersen LLP, later acknowledged that
it had made "an [honest] error in judgement" regarding Enron's
financial statements.
While the Enron saga
will continue in various courtrooms for many months to come, regulators on
either side of the border have responded to the collapse with uncharacteristic
swiftness. Both the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in the United
States and the Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) issued new guidelines
on financial reporting just a few weeks after the Enron bust. In each
instance, investors were reminded to redirect their focus to financial
statements prepared in accordance with GAAP, paying special attention to cash
flow, liquidity and the intrinsic value of acquisitions. At the same time,
issuers were warned to reduce their reliance on pro forma results and to
explain to investors why they were not using GAAP in their reporting.
SEC chairman Harvey
Pitt moved furthest and fastest. In mid-January he announced plans to
establish a private watchdog to discipline accountants and review company
audits. Working with the largest accounting firms and professional
organizations such as the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants
(AICPA), the SEC wants the new body to be able to punish accountants for
incompetence and ethics violations. As Pitt emphasized, "The commission
cannot, and in any event will not, tolerate this pattern of growing
re-statements, audit failures, corporate failures and investor losses."
The sheer scale of
the Enron debacle has brought pro forma accounting under public scrutiny as
never before, and, observers say, will provide a powerful impetus for
financial reporting reform. "This will send a message to companies and
accountants to cut back on some of the games they've been playing," says
former SEC general counsel Harvey Goldschmid.
Meanwhile, the CSA
(the forum for the 13 securities regulators of Canada's provinces and
territories) expressed its concern over the proliferation of non-standard
measures, warning that they improve the appearance of a company's financial
health, gloss over risks and make it exceedingly difficult for investors to
compare issuers.
"Investors
should be cautious when looking at non-GAAP measures," says John Carchrae,
chair of the CSA Chief Accountants Committee, when the guidelines were
released in January. "These measures present only part of the picture and
may selectively omit certain expenses, resulting in a more positive portrayal
of a company's performance."
As a result, Canadian
issuers will now be expected to provide GAAP figures alongside non-standard
earnings measures, explain how pro forma numbers are calculated, and detail
why they exclude certain items required by GAAP. So far, the CSA has provided
guidance rather than rules, but the committee cautions it could take
regulatory action if issuers publish earnings reports deemed to be misleading
to investors.
Carchrae, who is also
chief accountant of the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC), believes
"moral suasion" is a good place to start. Nonetheless, he adds, the
OSC intends to track press releases, cross-reference them to statutory
earnings filings and supplemental information on websites, and monitor
continuous disclosure to ensure a company meets its requirements under the
securities act.
Although pro forma
reporting finds itself in bad odour, until recently it was regarded as a
useful tool that could help companies show performance when unusual
circumstances might cloud the picture. In cases involving a merger or
acquisition, for example, where a company has made enormous expenditures that
generate significant non-cash expenses on the income statement, pro forma can
be used as a clarifying document, enabling investors to view economic
performance outside of such onetime events. Over the years, however, the pro
forma route has increasingly involved the selective use of press releases,
websites, and other reports to put a favourable spin on earnings, often
leading to a spike in the value of a firm's stock. Like management discussion
and analysis, such communications are not within the ambit of GAAP, falling
somewhere between the cracks of current accounting standards.
"Obviously, this
issue is of concern to everyone who uses financial statements," says Paul
Cherry, chairman of the Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants'
Accounting Standards Board. "Our worry as standard-setters is whether
these non-GAAP, pro forma items confuse or enlighten."
Regulators and
standard-setters have agonized over this issue ever since the reporting
lexicon began to expand with the rise of the dot-com sector in the late 1990s,
a sector with little in the way of earnings that concentrated on revenue
growth as a more meaningful performance indicator. New measures, such as
"run-through rates" or "burn rates," were deemed welcome
additions to traditional methodology because they helped determine how much
financing a technology company might require during its risky startup phase.
Critics, however,
argued such terms were usurping easily understood language as part of a
corporate scheme to hoodwink unwary investors. Important numbers were hidden
or left out under a deluge of new and ever-more complex terminology. The new
measurements, they warned, fell short of adequate financial disclosure.
An OSC report
published in February 2001 appears to support these claims. According to the
report, Canadian technology companies have not provided investors with
adequate information about how they disclose revenue, a shortcoming that may
require some of them to restate their financial results.
"Initial results
of the review suggest a need for significant improvement in the nature and
extent of disclosure," the report states, adding that the OSC wants more
specific notes on accounting policy attached to financial statements. The
report also observes that revenue is often recognized when goods are shipped,
not when they are sold, despite the fact that the company may be exposed to
returns.
David Wright, a
software analyst at BMO Nesbitt Burns in Toronto, says dealing with how
technology companies record revenue is a perennial issue. The issue has gained
greater prominence with the rise of vendor financing, a practice whereby
companies act as a bank to buyers, lending customers the cash to complete
purchase orders. If the customer is unable to pay for the goods or services
subsequent to signing the sales agreement, the seller's revenue can be
drastically overstated.
But pro forma still
has plenty of advocates - particularly when it comes to earnings before
interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA). Such a measure, it is
often argued, can provide a pure, meaningful and reliable diagnostic tool,
albeit one that should be considered along with figures that accommodate
charges to a balance sheet.
Ron Blunn, head of
investor relations firm Blunn & Co. Inc. in Toronto and chairperson of the
issues committee of the Canadian Investor Relations Institute, says adjusted
earnings can serve a legitimate purpose and are particularly helpful to
analysts and money managers who must gauge the financial well-being of
technology startups.
The debate shows no
signs of burning out anytime soon. On the one hand, the philosophy among
Canadian and US standard-setters in recent years has appeared to favour
removing constraints, rather than imposing them. New rules to apply to
Canadian banks this year, for example, will no longer require the amortization
of goodwill in earnings figures. On the other hand, it has become abundantly
clear that companies will emphasize the reporting method that puts the best
gloss on their operations. And while the use of pro forma accounting has
remained most prevalent among technology companies, the movement to embrace
more and varied language has spread to "old economy" companies such
as Enron, gaining steam as the economy stumbled. Blunn theorizes the
proliferation of nontraditional reporting and the increasing reliance on
supplemental filings simply reflect the state of the North American economy.
Carchrae has a
slightly different diagnosis. When asked why pro forma reporting has
mushroomed in recent years, he points to investors' slavish devotion to
business box scores - that is, a company's ability to meet sales and earnings
expectations as set out by equity analysts. Since companies can be severely
punished for falling short of the Street's consensus forecast, there is
intense pressure, especially in a bear market, to conjure up earnings that
appear to satisfy forecasts.
As a result, pro
forma terminology has blossomed over the Canadian corporate landscape.
Montreal-based telephone utility BCE Inc., for example, coined the term
"cash baseline earnings" to describe its operating performance. Not
to be outdone, Robert McFarlane, chief financial officer of Telus Corp.,
Canada's second-largest telecommunications company, cited a "revenue
revision" and "EBITDA deficiency" to explain the drop in the
Burnaby, BC-based phone service firm's "core baseline earnings" for
its third quarter ended September 30, 2001. (According to company literature,
core baseline earnings refers to common share income before discontinued
operations, amortization of acquired intangible assets net of tax,
restructuring and nonrecurring refinancing costs net of tax, revaluation of
future tax assets and liabilities and goodwill amortization.)
Meanwhile, IBM Corp.
spinoff Celestica Inc. of Toronto neglected to mention the elimination of more
than 8,700 jobs from a global workforce of 30,000, alluding to the cuts in its
fiscal 2001 third-quarter report through references to "realignment"
charges during the period.
Many statements no
longer use the term "profit" at all. And while statutory filings
must present at least one version of earnings that conforms to GAAP, few rules
have been set down by US or Canadian regulators to govern non-GAAP
declarations. Accounting bodies in Canada and around the world are charged
with policing their members and assuring statutory filings include income and
revenue according to GAAP, using supportable interpretations. But pro forma
numbers are typically distributed before a company's statutory filing is made.
"Not to pass the
buck," says Cherry, "but how can we set standards for something
that's not part of GAAP?" Still, Cherry admits the use of non-GAAP
terminology has become so widespread that accounting authorities are being
forced to take notice. "The matter is gaining some prominence," he
says, "because some of the numbers are just so different."
Despite his
reservations, Cherry acknowledges "the critical point is when information
is released to the marketplace," which nowadays is almost always done via
a press release. The duty to regulate such releases, he says, must rest with
securities bodies - an opinion shared by Edmund Jenkins, chair of the
Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) in the United States.
Many authorities view
the issue as a matter of education, believing that a high degree of
sophistication must now be expected from the retail investing community.
Others say the spread of non-GAAP reporting methodology, left unchecked, could
distort markets, undermine investor confidence in regulatory regimes and
ultimately impede the flow of investment capital. But pro forma devotees
insist that introducing tough new measures to govern reporting would do little
to protect consumers and encourage retail investment. Instead, new regulations
might work to impede growth and limit available, useful financial information.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting
Educators's Review on October 18, 2002
TITLE: Motorola's Profit: 'Special'
Again?
REPORTER: Jesse Drucker
DATE: Oct 15, 2002
PAGE: C1
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB1034631975931460836.djm,00.html
TOPICS: Special Items, Pro Forma Earnings, Accounting, Earning Announcements,
Earnings Forecasts, Financial Analysis, Financial Statement Analysis, Net Income
SUMMARY: Motorola has announced both
pro forma earnings and net income as determined by generally accepted accounting
principles for 14 consecutive quarters. Ironically, pro forma earnings are
always greater than net income calculated using generally accepted accounting
principles
QUESTIONS:
1.) Distinguish between a special item and an extraordinary item. How are each
reported on the income statement?
2.) Distinguish between pro forma
earnings and GAAP based earnings. What are the advantages and disadvantages of
allowing companies to report multiple earnings numbers? What are the advantages
and disadvantages of not allowing companies to report multiple earnings numbers?
3.) What items were reported as special
by Motorola? Are these items special? Support your answer.
4.) Are you surprised that all the
special items reduced earnings? What is the likelihood that there were positive
nonrecurring items at Motorola? How are positive nonrecurring items reported?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University
of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
While many on Wall
Street are calling for an end to pro forma financial reporting given
widespread jitters over corporate clarity, it's clear from second-quarter
reports that the accounting practice is a hard habit to break.
Publicly traded
companies are required to report their results according to generally accepted
accounting principles, or GAAP, under which all types of business expenses are
deducted to arrive at the bottom line of a company's earnings report.
But an
ever-increasing number of companies in recent years has taken to also
reporting earnings on a pro forma – or "as if" – basis under
which they exclude various costs. Companies defend the practice, saying the
inclusion of one-time events don't accurately reflect true performance.
There is no universal
agreement on which expenses should be omitted from pro forma results, but pro
forma figures typically boost results.
Indeed, as the
second-quarter reporting season dwindles down with more than 90 percent of the
Standard & Poor's 500 companies having reported, only Yahoo Inc.,
Compuware Corp. and Xilinx Inc. made the switch to reporting earnings under
GAAP, according to Thomson First Call.
While a number of
S&P 500 companies, including Computer Associates International Inc. and
Corning Inc., made the switch to GAAP in the first quarter, that still brings
the number to 11 companies in total that have given up on pro forma over the
last two quarters.
"It's
disappointing that at this stage we haven't seen more companies make the
switch to GAAP earnings from pro forma," said Chuck Hill, director of
research at Thomson First Call.
A new research report from Bear Stearns
identifies the best earnings benchmarks by industry. GAAP earnings are cited as
the best benchmarks for a few industries, but not many. The preferred benchmarks
are generally pro forma earnings or pro forma earnings per share. http://www.accountingweb.com/item/91934
AccountingWEB US - Oct-1-2002 -
A new research report from Bear Stearns identifies
the best earnings benchmarks by industry. GAAP earnings (earnings prepared
according to generally accepted accounting principles) are cited as the best
benchmarks for a few industries, but not many. Most use pro forma earnings or
pro forma earnings per share (EPS).
Examples of the most
useful earnings benchmarks for just a few of the 50+ industries included in
the report:
Autos: Pro forma
EPS
Industrial
manufacturing: Pro forma EPS shifting to GAAP EPS
Trucking:
Continuing EPS
Lodging: Pro forma
EPS, EBITDA and FFO
Small &
mid-cap biotechnology: Product-related events, Cash on hand, Cash burn
rate
Advertising &
marketing services: Pro forma EPS, EBITDA, Free cash flow
Business/professional
services: Pro forma EPS, Cash EPS, EBITDA, Discounted free cash flow
Wireless services:
GAAP EPS, EBITDA
EBITDA=Earnings
before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization.
FFO=funds from operations.
The report also lists
the most common adjustments made to arrive at pro forma earnings and tells
whether securities analysts consider the adjustments valid. Patricia
McConnell, senior managing director at Bear Stearns, explains, "Analysts
rarely accept managements' suggested 'pro forma' adjustments without due
consideration, and sometimes we reject them... We would not recommend using
management's version of pro forma earnings without analysis and adjustment,
but neither would we blindly advise using GAAP earnings without analysis and
adjustment."
From The Wall Street Journal
Accounting Educators' Review on July 27, 2002
SUMMARY: Merrill Lynch & Co. has
reported that it will begin forecasting both GAAP based earnings estimates in
addition to pro forma earnings measures. To accommodate Merrill Lynch & Co.,
Thomson First Call will collect and report GAAP estimates from other analysts.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Compare and contrast GAAP earnings and pro forma earnings?
2.) Why do analyst forecast pro forma
earnings? Will GAAP earnings forecasts provide more useful information than pro
forma earnings forecasts? Support your answer.
3.) Discuss the advantages and
disadvantages of analysts forecasting both pro forma and GAAP earnings. Should
analysts continue to provide pro forma earnings forecasts? Should analysts also
provide GAAP earnings forecasts? Support your answers.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University
of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
Denny Beresford's Terry Breakfast Lecture
Subtitle: Does Accounting Still Matter in the "New Economy"
Deferred Taxes Related to FAS123 Expense – Accounting and Administrative
Issues on New Trends in Stock Compensation Accounting
PWC Insight on FAS 123 --- http://www.fei.org/download/HRInsight02_21.pdf
A recent PWC HR Insight discusses the applicable rules and answers questions
raised on accounting for income taxes related to FAS 123 expense (for both the
pro forma disclosure and the recognized FAS 123 expense). Per PWC, the rules are
complex and require that the tax benefits arising from stock options and other
types of stock-based compensation be tracked on a grant-by-grant and
country-by-country basis
Corporate America's New
Math: Investors Now Face Two Sets of Numbers In Figuring a Company's Bottom Line
By Justin Gillis The Washington Post
Sunday, July 22, 2001; Page H01 http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-adv/archives/front.htm
Cisco Systems Inc., a bellwether
of the "new economy," prepared its books for the first three months of this year
by slicing and dicing its financial results in the old ways mandated by the rules of
Washington regulators and the accounting profession.
Result: a quarterly loss of $2.7
billion.
Cisco did more, though. It sliced
and diced the same underlying numbers in ways preferred by Cisco, offering an alternative
interpretation of its results to the investing public.
Result: a quarterly profit of
$230 million.
That's an unusually large swing
in a company's bottom line, but there's nothing unusual these days about the strategy
Cisco employed. Across corporate America, companies are emphasizing something called
"pro forma" earnings statements. Because there are no rules for how to prepare
such statements, businesses have wide latitude to ignore various expenses in their pro
forma results that have to be included under traditional accounting rules.
Most of the time, the new numbers
make companies look better than they would under standard accounting, and some evidence
suggests investors are using the massaged numbers more and more to decide what value to
attach to stocks. The pro forma results are often strongly emphasized in news releases
announcing a corporation's earnings; sometimes the results computed under traditional
accounting techniques are not disclosed until weeks later, when the companies file the
official results with the Securities and Exchange Commission, as required by law.
Cisco includes its results under
both the pro forma and the traditional accounting methods in its news releases. People
skeptical of the practice of using pro forma results worry that investors are being
deceived. Karen Nelson, assistant professor of accounting at Stanford University, said
some companies were "verging on fraudulent behavior" in their presentation of
financial results.
Companies that use these
techniques say they are trying to help investors by giving them numbers that more
accurately reflect the core operations of their businesses, in part because they exclude
unusual expenses. Cisco's technique "gives readers of financial statements a clearer
picture of the results of Cisco's normal business activities," the company said in a
statement issued in response to questions about its accounting.
Until recently, pro forma results
had a well-understood and limited use. Most companies used pro forma accounting only to
adjust previously reported financial statements so they could be directly compared with
current results. This most frequently happened after a merger, when a company would adjust
past results to reflect what they would have been had the merger been in effect earlier.
Pro forma, Latin for "matter of form," refers to statements "where certain
amounts are hypothetical," according to Barron's Dictionary of Finance and
Investment Terms.
What's changed in recent years is
that many companies now using the technique also apply it to the current quarter. They
include some of the leading names of the Internet age, including Amazon.com Inc., Yahoo
Inc. and JDS Uniphase Corp. These companies have received enthusiastic support from many
Wall Street analysts for their use of pro forma results. The companies' arguments have
also been bolstered by a broader attack on standard accounting launched by some academic
researchers and accountants. They believe the nation's financial reporting system, rooted
in the securities law reforms of the New Deal, is inadequate to modern needs. In testimony
before Congress last year, Michael R. Young, a securities lawyer, called it a
"creaky, sputtering, 1930s-vintage financial reporting system."
The dispute over earnings
statements has grown in intensity during the recent economic slide. To skeptics, more and
more companies appear to be coping with bad news on their financial statements by
redefining the concept of earnings. SEC staffers are worried about the trend and are
weighing a crackdown.
"People are using the pro
forma earnings to present a tilted, biased picture to investors that I don't believe
necessarily reflects the reality of what's going on with the business," said Lynn
Turner, the SEC's chief accountant.
For the rest of the article (and it is a long
article), go to http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-adv/archives/front.htm
The full article is salted with quotes from accounting professors and Bob Elliott (KMPG
and Chairman of the AICPA)
The Future of
Amazon.com: Unlike Enron, Amazon.com seems to thrive without profits. How long
can it last?
Amazon.com is pinning its hopes on pro forma
reporting to report the company's first profit in history. But wait! Plans by U.S.
regulators to crack down on "pro forma" abuses in accounting may take a toll on
Internet firms, which like the financial reporting technique because it can make losses
seem smaller than they really are.
As part of efforts to improve the
clarity of information given to investors, the Securities and Exchange Commission warned
this week that it will crack down on companies that use creative accounting methods to
pump up poor earnings results.
In particular, the commission
said it will focus on abuse of a popular form of financial reporting known as "pro
forma" accounting, which allows companies to exclude certain expenses and gains from
their earnings results. The SEC said the method "may not convey a true and accurate
picture of a company's financial well-being."
Experts say the practice is
especially common among Internet firms, which began issuing earnings press releases with
pro forma numbers en masse during the stock market boom of the late 1990s. The list of
new-economy companies using pro forma figures includes such prominent firms as Yahoo
(YHOO), AOL Time Warner (AOL), CNET (CNET) and JDS Uniphase (JDSU).
Unprofitable firms are
particularly avid users of pro forma numbers, said Brett Trueman, professor of accounting
at the University of California at Berkeley's Haas School of Business.
"I can't say for sure why,
but I can take a guess: They're losing big time, and they want to give investors the
impression that the losses are not as great as they appear," he said.
Trueman said savvy investors tend
to know that companies may have self-serving interests in mind when they release pro forma
numbers. Experienced traders often put greater credence in numbers compiled according to
generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), which firms are required to release
alongside any pro forma numbers.
A mounting concern, however, is
the fact that many companies rely almost solely on pro forma numbers in projections for
future performance.
Perhaps the best-known proponent
of pro forma is the perennially unprofitable Amazon.com, which has a history of guiding
investor expectations using an accounting system that excludes charges for stock
compensation, restructuring or the declining value of past acquisitions.
Invariably, the pro forma numbers
are better than the GAAP ones. In its most recent quarter, for example, Amazon (AMZN)
reported a pro forma loss of $58 million. When measured according to GAAP, Amazon's net
loss nearly tripled to $170 million.
Things are apt to get even
stranger in the last quarter of the year, when Amazon said it plans to deliver its
first-ever pro forma operating profit. By regular accounting standards, the company will
still be losing money.
Those results might not sit too
well with the folks at the SEC, however.
In its statements this week, the
SEC noted that although there's nothing inherently illegal about providing pro forma
numbers, figures should not be presented in a deliberately misleading manner. Regulators
may have been talking directly to Amazon in one paragraph of their warning, which said:
"Investors are likely to be
deceived if a company uses a pro forma presentation to recast a loss as if it were a
profit."
Neither Amazon nor AOL Time
Warner returned phone calls inquiring if they planned to make changes to their pro forma
accounting methods in light of the SEC's recent statements.
According to Trueman, few members
of the financial community would advocate getting rid of pro forma numbers altogether.
Even the SEC said that pro forma
numbers, when used appropriately, can provide investors with a great deal of useful
information that might not be included with GAAP results. When presented correctly, pro
forma numbers can offer insights into the performance of the core business, by excluding
one-time events that can skew quarterly results.
Rather than ditching pro forma,
industry groups like Financial Executives International and the National Investor
Relations Institute say a better plan is to set uniform guidelines for how to present the
numbers. They have issued a set of recommendations, such as making sure companies don't
arbitrarily change what's included in pro forma results from quarter to quarter.
Certainly some consistency would
make it easier for folks who try to track this stuff, said Joe Cooper, research analyst at
First Call, which compiles analyst projections of earnings.
The boom in pro forma reporting
has created quite a bit of extra work for First Call, Cooper said, because it has to
figure out which companies and analysts are using pro forma numbers and how they're using
them.
But the extra work of compiling
pro forma numbers doesn't necessarily result in greater financial transparency for
investors, Cooper said.
"In days past, before it was
abused, it was a way to give an honest apples-to-apples comparison," he said.
"Now, it is being used as a way to continually put their company in a good
light."
"Yahoo Gives Pro Forma the Boot." By
Joanna Glasner, Wired News, April 11, 2002 ---
Following the release of its
first-quarter results on Wednesday, Yahoo (YHOO) said it will stop reporting earnings
using pro forma, a controversial accounting method popular among Internet and technology
firms.
Instead, the company said it
plans to release all results according to generally accepted accounting principles, or
GAAP. Executives said the shift would provide a clearer picture of the Yahoo's financial
performance.
"We do not believe the pro
forma presentation continues to provide a useful purpose," said Sue Decker, Yahoo's
chief financial officer. In the past, the company has used pro forma accounting as a way
to separate one-time expenses -- such as the costs of closing a unit or acquiring another
firm -- from costs stemming from its core business.
Decker attributed the decision in
part to new rules adopted by the U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board that take
effect this year. The new rules require companies to report the amount they overpaid for
acquisitions as an upfront charge.
Accounting experts, however, said
the rule change was probably not the only reason for Yahoo to drop pro forma. The
accounting practice, popularized by technology firms in the late 1990s, has come under
fire from regulators in recent months who say some firms have used nonstandard metrics to
mask poor financial performance.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission warned in December that it will crack down on companies that use creative
accounting methods to pump up poor earnings results.
In particular, the commission
said it will focus on abuses of pro forma accounting, which allows companies to exclude
certain expenses and gains from their earnings results. The SEC said the method "may
not convey a true and accurate picture of a company's financial well-being."
Experts say use of pro forma is
especially common among Internet firms. In addition to Yahoo, the list of prominent
Internet and technology firms employing pro forma includes AOL Time Warner (AOL), Cnet
(CNET) and JDS Uniphase (JDSU).
Although pro forma accounting can
be useful in helping to predict a company's future performance, investors have grown
increasingly suspicious of the metric following the bursting of the technology stock
bubble, said Sam Norwood, a partner at Tatum CFO Partners.
"Once the concept of pro
forma became accepted, there were in some cases abuses," Norwood said. "There
was a tendency for management to exclude the negative events and to not necessarily
exclude the positive events.'
Brett Trueman, an accounting
professor at the University of California at Berkeley's Haas School of Business, said he
wouldn't be surprised if other firms follow Yahoo's lead in dropping pro forma.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on December 1, 2016
That isn’t what investors want
A majority of U.S. listed companies are disclosing sustainability risks to
investors, but not in any meaningful detail, according to a study by the
Sustainability Accounting Standards Board. The SASB analyzed annual reports
of more than 700 top companies across 79 industries. It found that 81%
addressed social and environmental risks. However, 52% of the companies used
vague, boilerplate language to flag the risks without articulating
management response strategies, Tatyana Shumsky writes.
The
commons is the cultural and
natural
resources accessible to all members of a society, including natural
materials such as air, water, and a habitable earth. These resources are
held in common, not owned privately. Commons can also be understood as
natural resources that groups of people (communities, user groups) manage
for individual and collective benefit. Characteristically, this involves a
variety of informal norms and values (social practice) employed for a
governance mechanism
The Digital
Library of the Commons defines "commons" as "a general term for shared
resources in which each stakeholder has an equal interest".[2]
The term "commons" derives from the
traditional English legal term for common land,
which are also known as "commons", and was popularised in the modern sense
as a shared resource term by the ecologist Garrett Hardin
in an influential 1968 article called The Tragedy of the
Commons.
As Frank van Laerhoven and Elinor Ostrom have stated; "Prior to the
publication of Hardin's article on the tragedy of the commons (1968), titles
containing the words 'the commons', 'common
pool resources',
or 'common property' were very rare in the academic literature."[3]
Some texts make a distinction in usage
between common ownership
of the commons and collective
ownership
among a group of colleagues, such as in a producers' cooperative.
The precision of this distinction is not always maintained.
The use of "commons" for natural resources has its roots in
European intellectual history, where it referred to shared agricultural
fields, grazing lands and forests that were, over a period of several
hundred years, enclosed, claimed as private property for private use. In
European political texts, the common wealth was the totality of the material
riches of the world, such as the air, the water, the soil and the seed, all
nature's bounty regarded as the inheritance of humanity as a whole, to be
shared together. In this context, one may go back further, to the Roman
legal category res communis, applied to things common to all to be
used and enjoyed by everyone, as opposed to res publica, applied to
public property managed by the government
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
The Ogallala Aquifer pending crisis is a good example of how sustainability
accountancy must take into account externalities and commons issues in financial
reporting. This also illustrates how it may not be feasible for a firm to invest
more for its own sustainability in the presence of so many other firms and
organizations that feed on the commons. For a Kansas wheat farmer there just are
no great investment alternatives for water when the Ogallala Aquifer is no
longer a cost-effective source of water. There is no ocean near Kansas such that
desalinization is not a practical alternative. What is
going to prevent Kansas from becoming a desert?
Enhancing the Quality of Reporting in Corporate Social Responsibility
Guidance Documents: The Roles of ISO 26000, Global Reporting Initiative and
CSR‐Sustainability Monitor
SSRN, June 3, 2017
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2979660
Authors
S. Prakash Sethi --- CUNY Baruch College
Janet Rovenpor--- Manhattan College
Mert Demir CUNY Baruch College
Abstract
The intent of this article is to review the
phenomenal growth of Corporate Social Responsibility reports published by
large corporations around the world. The reports provide companies with an
opportunity to inform large segments of society about the impacts of their
business operations on the environmental, socio‐political, and governmental
(regulatory) aspects of a society. The mostly voluntary nature of these
reports, however, places the burden on the corporations creating them to (a)
provide an adequate amount of information, (b) cover all the major issues
that are relevant to the company and industry, and (c) provide measures of
assurance as to the accuracy of information. In this article, we compare and
examine three institutional approaches that have played an important role
toward improving the quality and consistency of these reports. The
institutions involved are ISO 26000, Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), and
Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)‐Sustainability Monitor. We intend to
show their different approaches to guiding CSR reporting, and assess their
relative strengths and limitations.
From the
CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on July 21, 2015
I coauthored with Ann Brockett of EY a book on
“Corporate Sustainability: Integrating Performance and Reporting”, which was
published by Wiley in 2012 and received the Axiom Gold Award in 2013 (see
attached cover page). I am now working on a new book on “Business
Sustainability: Performance, Compliance, Accountability and Integrated
Reporting”, scheduled for publication by the Greenleaf in October 2015.
Attached is cover page of the new book. I will send you a review copy if you
are interested in submitting a review report by August 15th, 2015.
Best regards,
Zabi
Jensen Comment
From the
Inside Flap
Global businesses are under
close scrutiny and profound pressure from lawmakers, regulators, the
investment community, and their diverse stakeholders to focus on
sustainability and accept accountability and responsibility for their
multiple bottom lines of economic, governance, social, ethical, and
environmental (EGSEE) performance. Would you like to leave more
resources for the next generation? Watch your business grow
continuously? Have an ethical and competent organizational culture?
Presenting recent
developments in sustainability performance and sustainability reporting
and assurance, Corporate Sustainability sheds light on the
importance, relevance, and benefits of business sustainability and
accountability reporting in all areas of EGSEE performance.
Filled with features and
practical examples relevant to professionals of all levels, corporate
leaders, directors and executives, as well as auditors, practitioners,
and educators, this timely and essential book discusses:
How organizations
focused on sustainability performance and accountability reporting
can reflect their key performance indicators (KPIs) in every area of
EGSEE business affairs
The importance of
sustainability performance, reporting, and assurance
The initiatives,
rules, regulations, and standards of performance and reporting
Emerging issues and
best practices of sustainability performance, reporting, and
assurance
Future trends in
sustainability performance
Organizations worldwide
recognize the importance of sustainability performance and
accountability reporting. However, how to actually implement
sustainability reporting remains a major challenge. Read Corporate
Sustainability and discover how to fully—and successfully—integrate
sustainability into your business's reporting and performance management
systems.
From the
Back Cover
Make sustainability
happen, Corporate sustainability is the responsibility of every
organization, not just a select few.
Corporate Sustainability
explores business sustainability and accountability reporting and their
integration into strategy, governance, risk assessment, performance
management, and the reporting process. Written by renowned experts in
the field of managing for sustainable performance, this important book
also highlights how people, business, and resources collaborate in a
business sustainability and accountability model.
Take a look inside for
essential guidance on:
The case for
sustainability
Best practices of
sustainability programs
Sustainability risk
management
The sustainability
reporting process
Web-based corporate
reporting
Promoting
transparency in financial reporting
Global convergence
in corporate governance
Corporate social
responsibility
The ethical
dimension of sustainability
Global
environmental initiatives and regulations
A significant
contribution on how to put sustainability principles to work,
Corporate Sustainability offers real-life tools and practices for
creating an authentic corporate framework for sustainability.
"Companies seeking to
embrace sustainability must navigate a thicket of policies and
standards, from ethical performance to environmental protection to
executive compensation—and do so transparently, comprehensively, and
globally. Ann Brockett and Zabihollah Rezaee have created a valuable
field guide to this brave new world of multiple bottom lines, providing
guidance on how companies can engender public trust and investor
confidence while pursuing their economic goals." —Joel Makower, Executive Editor, GreenBiz.com, author,
Strategies for the Green Economy
If
environmental expenses must be measured and deducted on financial statements,
why not make them deductable for taxes?
Robert Rubin, the former Treasury secretary and one-time chairman of
Citigroup Inc.'s executive committee, has put forth an odd idea for new
accounting standards. Speaking last week at a conferenceon
climate change, he said that companies should be required to include
environmental costs that they impose on the rest of society as expenses in
their own earnings reports.
Here's the relevant excerpt from Rubin's comments last week, asreportedby
Bloomberg News:
The key to this is really the political system. If you
had accounting rules that result in the externalities [i.e., the costs of
greenhouse-gas emissions] being captured in financial statements, then
obviously people would react.
It’s not a carbon price issue, it’s an accounting issue: ‘I run a business.
I emit. I don't pay the price for the emissions. I produce the good. I sell
it. I don't care about the emissions because it's not my cost. It's
society’s cost.’ That's an externality.
[Once] you have accounting standards that require you to reflect that cost
in your reported earnings, then it becomes something that every analyst is
going to look at and evaluate in your stock.
The problem with this proposal is it makes no sense. A company that emits
greenhouse gasses may very well harm the world at large. However, if the
emissions aren't creating a cost for the company itself, there is no
incremental expense for it to report on its financial statements.
You can't just make up numbers (at least you're not supposed to) and put
them on a company's income statement and call it an expense if the company
isn't incurring any costs or otherwise making any economic sacrifice.
Accounting isn't supposed to be about moral judgment or electoral politics.
The purpose is to provide information about a business's financial
performance.
Changing the accounting standards the way Rubin suggested would require an
overhaul of the Financial Accounting Standards Board's definition of the
term "expenses." Here's how the FASBdefinesit
now: "Expenses are outflows or other using up of assets or incurrences of
liabilities (or a combination of both) from delivering or producing goods,
rendering services, or carrying out other activities that constitute the
entity’s ongoing major or central operations."
Back in 2008, when Rubin was at Citigroup, the U.S. Comptroller of the
Currency sent Citigroup a letter
pointing out all sorts of shortcomings
with the valuation model that the bank was using for the subprime mortgage
bonds on its books. Now Rubin would have companies come up with expense
figures for greenhouse-gas emissions out of thin air to include in their
earnings. If Citigroup had so much difficulty figuring out the value of its
collateralized debt obligations, you have to wonder how it would determine
the total cost of pollution that Citigroup causes around the world every
year.
One final note: Rubin was talking about changing the accounting standards,
not the tax code. My guess is that most companies would love to be able to
make up whatever numbers they want for emissions expenses and use those
figures as deductions for tax purposes on their Internal Revenue Service
filings.
Continued in article
Jensen
Comment
I've never had any respect for Robert Rubin as an economist. Now I have even
less respect for him as an accountant.
Environmental accounting should require meaningful disclosures and some physical
measurements such as tons of carbon expelled from smoke stacks or gallons of
some pollutants discharged (treated or untreated) into waterways.
But
assigning costs to environmental discharges and booking them into the ledger as
expenses essentially pollutes financial statements as much as it pollutes the
environment. I called such accounting Phantasmagoric Accounting in 1976.
Nothing has transpired to date to make me change my mind about booking
environmental costs into the ledgers.
If you
want to destroy financial statements fill them with numbers plucked out of the
clouds. I would argue that we do too much of that already.
However,
if you want to improve financial reporting make qualitative disclosures more
informative, especially now that masses of information can be archived online
and searched efficiently with search engines.
"Triple Bottom Line Accounting and
Energy-Efficiency Retrofits in the Social-Housing Sector: A Case Study,"
by Kathryn Bewley and Thomas Schneider, Accounting and the Public Interest,
December 2013, Vol. 13, No. 1, pp. 105-131 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/abs/10.2308/apin-10359
This is not a free download
Abstract
This paper reports the findings of a case study conducted to learn about the
information, actors, actions, and processes involved in energy-efficiency
investment decisions in the social-housing sector. These decisions draw on
environmental, social, and economic factors, which are studied from a
“triple bottom line” (TBL) accounting perspective. The quantitative methods
we use rely on Levels I, II, and III fair-value measures similar to those
used in financial accounting. The qualitative methods rely primarily on
interviews conducted and transcribed by the researchers. Our main findings
show that a pure financial bottom-line approach would not fully indicate the
overall desirability of the type of energy-efficiency investment undertaken
in this case. By factoring in other quantitative and qualitative outcomes
drawn from the research methods applied, a different conclusion may be
reached.
SUMMARY: IKEA reported good
fiscal 2103 results (for the year ended August 31, 2013) focusing on the
company's cost savings obtained through environmentally friendly practices.
Increased sales in units and increased profits came from sales price reductions
based on the cost savings. "IKEA cut transportation costs, retooled warehouses
and changed its purchasing...." The company also is investing in environmentally
friendly heating and light with photovoltaic and geothermal systems. Ninety
percent of the company's U.S. units have solar installations and the company
will install a geothermal system in a Kansas City store opening in FY 2014.
"While construction is more costly, the return on investment for geothermal
energy can come in as few as 8 years, [U.S. CFO Rob] Olson said."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used in a managerial accounting class to cover corporate social
responsibility for environmental matters, product and period cost savings
leading to price reductions but increased sales and profits, and the definition
of payback period versus return on investment.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What price reduction was reported by IKEA? How are these price reductions
related to environmental concerns?
2. (Advanced)
Name three components of product cost. Which of these component costs did IKEA
reduce in order be able to reduce its product price?
3. (Advanced)
What period costs did IKEA reduce which led to its ability to reduce its product
price?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
IKEA’s U.S. financial
chief is no couch potato when it comes to cutting sofa prices.
The Swedish furniture
company
reportedfiscal year figures Tuesday, noting a
40% price cut on the EKTORP line of sofas with Svanby covers and significant
reductions on other lines. Most of the sofa savings came from using more
environmentally conscious production methods.
IKEAcut transportation costs, retooled
warehouses and changed its purchasing, for example.
“Lower prices are better
for the consumer and if we can find efficiencies in the supply chain then it’s a
win-win,” Rob Olson told CFO Journal.
The CFO explained the
key was designing a more efficient way to fit the sofa into shipping containers.
The price cut also stemmed from more efficient warehousing and energy savings.
In addition, IKEA sought new sources for wood and cotton.
“It’s really about how
do we fit more in a cube,” Mr. Olson said.
It adopted a similar
strategy with its tea light candles, for example, switching from loose-packaging
to vacuum-packed stacks that increased the number of candles in each container
by 50%, he said.
“Even if it’s fraction
of an inch it might mean that we can fit one more item per cube, or we might be
able to combine supply with something else on that transport – there are
opportunities there,” Mr. Olson said.
The firm has also
modified what it is doing in the U.S. on the ground. Last year, IKEA ended the
use of wooden pallets to move retail products around stores by switching to thin
cardboard mats. Working with suppliers, sofas now go directly to stores rather
than stopping at distribution centers.
It is “less distance for
transport, less resources spent uploading and reloading, and less potential for
damage,” Mr. Olson said.
After spikes in the
price of cotton over the past few years, IKEA also shifted to thesustainable
cottonproduction standard and mitigate
shortages, Mr. Olson said.
For another sofa, the
company found it could trim costs by 18% by eliminating glue, swapping some
materials and improving packaging and delivery. About 10% of the savings came
from logistics and 5% from materials.
Continued in article
More than 3,000 companies worldwide produce
sustainability reports. A new initiative by the International Integrated
Reporting Council zeros in on the creation of value.
First there was expense and profit accounting. Then
green accounting came along. Now, get ready for value accounting as its
notions slowly seep into the heart of the corporate world.
The requirements of sustainable development have
become the key drivers of a potentially long-term transformation of
accounting principles and practice.
To date, sustainable development (SD) has brought
about changes in certain areas of financial reporting, but they remain
somewhat marginal. However, one major development is what some companies
refer to as a corporate social responsibility report; others, a sustainable
development report.
SD has not yet penetrated to the very heart of
accounting and financial reporting, and often accountants are not involved
in the production of such reports. But that could change. Transformations
originating from so-called integrated reporting, and which are supported by
the Big Four ac-counting firms, are starting to percolate in the corporate
world.
And judging by how quickly SD and social
responsibility (SR) notions have penetrated company reports, the concept’s
underlying integrated reporting could land in accountants’ laps before they
know it.
A recent past Although environmental accounting
concepts had been around since the 1970s, by the early 1990s, SD and SR
reports were still few and far apart.
And they were often sketchy and superficial.
However, mo-mentum picked up rapidly and today more than 3,000 companies
worldwide, including more than two-thirds of the Fortune Global 500, produce
some type of sustainability report, says Sam Whittaker, national climate
change and sustainability services leader at EY in Toronto.
And over the years the reports have become more
detailed and substantial. Metrics have become more precise and the number of
items discussed has mushroomed. “When I started in environmental accounting
in 1972,” says Jacques Fortin, FCPA, FCA, professor of accounting at HEC
Montréal, “we couldn’t even measure carbon emissions spewing out of a
coal-generated plant. Today, we can make an exact particle count, determine
the impacts on human, animal and plant life, and evaluate the costs of
decontamination.”
As an example, the Telus Social Responsibility 2012
Report delves into details Fortin could never have dreamed of in the ’70s.
The report quantifies greenhouse gas emissions in buildings Telus owns and
leases and also measures emissions produced by employees when they travel by
air.
“Over the years, performance has improved; reports
are getting more comprehensive and meaningful and, in general, Canadian
companies are producing some very good quality reports,” says Valerie Chort,
partner and national leader, sustainability and climate change at Deloitte
in Toronto, which has sponsored the CICA annual report awards in the SD
category for the past 10 years.
Externalities and liabilities A prevalent reference
for SD reports is to be found in the guidelines produced by the Global
Reporting Initiative, a nonprofit organization that promotes economic,
environmental and social sustainability. Its guidelines, used by
organizations around the world, outline approximately 150 key indicators SR
reports can focus on, ranging from economic criteria such as indirect
impacts and procurement practices; to environmental criteria dealing with
issues such as energy, water and carbon emissions; to such social issues as
occupational health and safety, training and education, labour relations,
child labour and grievance mechanisms for negative impacts on society.
For each category, the guidelines suggest key
elements to report on. For example, under the heading “Significant indirect
economic impacts,” they propose to include, where applicable, “economic
development in areas of high poverty, economic impact of improving or
deteriorating social or environmental conditions, availability of products
and services for those on low incomes, enhancing skills and knowledge
amongst a professional community or in a geographical region, jobs supported
in the supply chain or distribution chain, stimulating, enabling, or
limiting foreign direct investment,” among others.
Considering that an accountant or an SR officer
could feel overwhelmed by the profusion of details, this set of guidelines
(now in its fourth version), “stresses the importance of a materiality
assessment,” says Chort, meaning a company should select to report on only
those elements that make a difference for the company. For example, some
companies operate in areas where child labour is an issue. However,
determining whether these companies should report on greenhouse gas
emissions could require some reflection.
A crucial concept in SD accounting is
“externalities.” Soil contamination or ground water pollution has little
bearing on the bottom line, and that’s why most SD or SR accounting items
are considered as externalities. Why? “Because there is no monetary
transaction, and the current accounting model is based on transactions,”
says Marie-Andrée Caron, professor of accounting at the Université du Québec
à Montréal’s school of management.
That is, until the company has to settle a legal
suit for environmental damages directly impacting profit. In the recent Lac
Mégantic train catastrophe that razed a complete town centre in Quebec, “if
people had realized the real cost of petroleum transport, maybe they would
have planned differently,” Caron says. “And the owner of the train,
Montreal, Maine & Atlantic Railway, would probably have found a massive
‘externality’ in its financial report.”
Which brings up the concept of “contingent
liabilities” that prompts stimulating questions for the accounting
profession, says Fortin, who faced just that when he worked as an accounting
adviser for an engineering group hired to evaluate the environmental
liabilities caused by the contaminated soil at bases for the Canadian
Ministry of Defence in the late 1980s.
“Contamination measures had been made by engineers,
so we knew how much remediation would cost,” Fortin says. “But at what
moment do you recognize the liability when a contaminated site is 500
kilometres from any population centre and you know that nature will have
done its decontamination after 25 years? Do we have a liability? And if the
site is near Montreal or Toronto, do we have one?”
Such situations, he says, also raise audit and
verification theory issues and system procedures to deal with this
information. “How do you make it trustworthy in the cases where people who
collect it also have an interest in it?”
Corporations self-propel At their outset, SD and SR
reporting were driven by government regulations because many environmental
and social issues were considered externalities in corporate financial
accounting. The basic equation was very simple, says Caron: “Everything that
was not regulated was simply not taken into account.”
Today government regulation still plays a large
part in the propulsion forward of SD and SR reporting, but increasingly the
impetus is coming from the corporate world, “which is driven by the
expectations of institutional investors, by rating agencies, for example the
Dow Jones sustainability index, by peer pressure, consumers and
environmental agencies,” says Chort. There is also the increasing
realization by companies and organizations that SD reporting “is good for
business,” says Daniel Desjardins, senior vice-president, general counsel
and corporate secretary, who directs the social responsibility and SD
efforts at Bombardier.
All those factors combined are leading up to the
potential next phase — integrated reporting (IR). Why integrated? Because to
date, financial reporting and sustainability reporting remain two distinct
solitudes with little overlap.
Of course, there are a few points of intersection.
For example, when Bombardier’s evaluation of its carbon footprint leads it
to reduce its energy consumption, that saving directly impacts the company’s
profit and loss statement. But such intersecting points are the exception.
The financial, social and environmental reports “remain parallel and
accountants don’t invest themselves very much in them,” says Caron. “If
change is going to happen, it will be through the integrated report.”
This new initiative is lead by the International
Integrated Reporting Council, whose objective is to develop an
internationally accepted IR framework by 2014. Formed in 2009, the council
is still young and the framework it put forward in 2011 is in its pilot
phase. Nevertheless, more than 100 companies, including 50 institutional
investors, the Big Four accounting firms and corporations such as Coca-Cola,
Microsoft, Unilever and Volvo, have joined and are experimenting with
features of the framework.
An old-fashioned future The key concept underlying
IR is quite old-fashioned: the creation of value. But value creation goes
beyond financial elements into dimensions currently reflected only in SD and
SR reports. “Integrated Reporting provides an interesting change in
perspective on companies,” according to IIRC’s Pilot Programme 2012
Yearbook. “Many people see sustainability as separate to company behaviour
and success. However, it is about how companies are run and their longer
term viability, resilience and ability to deliver value. Behind IR is a
desire to combine sustainability with more mainstream financial aspects. In
the long run, companies that behave well, do well.”
The new report model IIRC is putting forth would
eventually replace the traditional financial report and is centred around
six key “capitals” that would be well identified and quantified:
manufactured capital, human capital, intellectual capital, natural capital,
social capital and, of course, financial capital.
Though all these capitals are essential to the
value creation of any company, many fly under the radar of the traditional
financial report. One obvious area is human capital. In the IIRC’s yearbook
Microsoft gives an eloquent example. “Microsoft’s balance sheet currently
accounts for less than half of the company’s market value. Its financial
statements show virtually none of its intangible assets. Bob Laux [director
of accounting and reporting] suggested that the focus of companies that
largely depend on human and intellectual capital is actually more on financial
and manufactured capital in reporting. This reflects a legacy of resistance
to change in US businesses that have implemented reporting infrastructure
designed for a manufacturing economy. Laux explained: ‘Financial reporting
hasn’t kept up with the shift to an IT-based economy. When scandals emerge,
such as the dot-com bubble in 1995-2000 and the financial crisis in
2007-2012, Band-Aids are put on problems.’ ”
In traditional financial reporting, human capital,
which is crucial to value creation, is not treated as capital. It is an
expense. It is little wonder that a company such as Home Depot missed a key
driver of its value creation when a new president decided to change the
generation mix of its employees.
Md. Shamim Hossain University of Dhaka - Department of Accounting &
Information Systems ; Independent
Md. Rofiqul Islam University of Dhaka
Md. Majedul Palas Bhuiyan BCS General Education Association ; Government
Safar Ali College - Department of Management
Abstract
Human Resource Accounting (HRA) involves accounting
for costs related to human resources as assets as opposed to traditional
accounting. Since the beginning of globalization of business and services,
human elements are becoming more important input for the success of every
organization. The strong growth of international financial reporting
standards (IFRS) encourages the consideration of alternative measurement and
reporting standards and lends support to the possibility that future
financial reports will include non-traditional measurements such as the
value of human resources using HRA methods. It helps the management to frame
policies for human resources of their organizations. HRA is a process of
identifying and measuring data about human resources. It will help to charge
human resource investment over a period of time. It is not a new concept in
the arena of business world. Economists consider human capital as a
production factor, and they explore different ways of measuring its
investment. Now accountants are recognizing human resource investment as an
asset. This study is build upon Recognition, Measurement and Accounting
Treatment of Human Resource Accounting in different organizations.
History Question
What company was the first business firm to value human resources on its balance
sheet?
Jensen Answer
Although I'm not certain how professional sports teams accounted for player
contracts before 1977, my research for an American Accounting Association
monograph suggested that the RG Barry Corporation was the first company to value
all of its human resources on the balance sheet. However, I could not find any
value in this "phantasmagoric" valuation.
PHANTASMAGORIC ACCOUNTING: Research and
Analysis of Economic, Social and Environmental Impact of Corporate Business
(Sarasota, FL: The American Accounting Association, 1977).
Not everything that can be counted, counts. And not everything that counts
can be counted.
Albert Einstein
The problems are numerous and complicated in terms of things other than the
complicated math in human resource accounting. The biggest problem arises
when there is no math whatsoever to make sense out of human resource
accounting.
Firstly, there's the problem of ownership and control. Most employment
contracts do not prevent an employee from quitting immediately or in a very
short period of time. Hence, you cannot own or lease an employee in the same
way that we conceptualize owned or leased assets.
Human resource accounting requires an entirely new conceptualization of the
left side of the balance sheet.
Secondly there's a problem of additivity where the value of individual
employees varies interactively with other employees. The higher-order joint
components of value are almost impossible to measure and may even become
negative if it were possible to put measures of value on a work force.
As an illustration, consider Ivy League tenured faculty. It's not at all
uncommon for some departments not to anticipate a tenure track opening for
10-20 years. This is problematic in terms of stagnation when there will be
zero now new blood transfusing a department's stale faculty for 10-20 years.
Every tenured faculty member is an asset. However, taken as a whole the
tenured faculty in a department may become a liability.
Consider the special problem now faced by Brown University. At one time over
90% of the assistant professors hired by Brown received tenure, thereby
leading to many departments that expect no tenure track openings for many
years. In 2015 Brown announced a very generous $100 million initiative to
hire African American, Hispanic, and Native American faculty.
But at Brown what this means is that a goodly portion of that $100 million
will be used to buy out the tenure of white faculty to create tenure track
positions for Brown's affirmative action hiring.
In other words in terms of human resource accounting positive value of
individuals becomes a negative value when their values are combined.
Also "value" of a human resource has many contexts vis-à-vis value of a
milling machine. With a human resource there's value in terms of routine
assigned jobs plus positive and negative values of team contributions plus
values of potential leadership promotions plus negative values of lawsuit
risks. Milling machines do not sue for falls and slander and microaggressions, but employees sue for millions upon millions. Human
resources also present unique fraud risks relative to physical assets.
Not everything that can be counted, counts. And not everything that counts
can be counted.
Albert Einstein
Thanks,
Bob Jensen
Teaching Case on Wal-Mart's Audits of Safety Conditions of Foreign Suppliers
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 21,
2013
SUMMARY: In the wake of the Bangladesh building collapse that
killed more than 1,100 people, Wal-Mart has begun auditing its suppliers to
verify their compliance with the retailer's supply-chain safety
requirements. "Nearly half the factories in...the initial round of safety
inspections...failed their audits and had to make improvements to keep doing
business with the giant retailer."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in an auditing class
to discuss operational audits and the impact of safety violations on
Wal-Mart's own operating risks. It may also be used to introduce Corporate
Social Responsibility Reporting or supply chains.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What devastating events have happened in
Bangladesh at companies manufacturing clothing for Wal-Mart and many other
retailers?
2. (Advanced) What type of audits is Wal-Mart conducting? Why is
the company performing these audits?
3. (Introductory) What is the result if a manufacturing location
fails an audit? If it fails to make required improvements?
4. (Advanced) What is Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)?
6. (Introductory) According to the article, what are the concerns
with Wal-Mart's reporting about these audits? What steps could Wal-Mart take
to help alleviate these concerns?
7. (Advanced) Does this audit process over Bangladesh factories
have anything at all to do with Wal-Mart's financial reporting? Explain your
answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
More than 15% of the factories in Wal-Mart Stores
Inc. WMT -0.05% 's initial round of safety inspections in Bangladesh failed
their audits and had to make improvements to keep doing business with the
giant retailer.
Wal-Mart said most of the three dozen factories
were able to correct the problems or are in the process of doing so. One
seven-story factory, for example, had to knock down an illegally built
eighth floor, the retailer said.
The company stopped doing business with two
factories that failed the safety audits and couldn't sufficiently fix the
problems discovered. One factory had to be closed completely.
Wal-Mart will release the results of 75 inspections
on its website and add others as they are completed, a step no other major
Western retailer has taken. The company currently does business with more
than 200 factories in Bangladesh, and has pledged to inspect all of them. It
previously said it would begin posting results of the inspections by last
June.
Wal-Mart is making the moves to get a handle on its
supply chain in the wake of deadly disasters at factories that did work for
the company and other retailers. The company, based in Bentonville, Ark., is
among the largest buyers of apparel made in Bangladesh, and its relentless
focus on cost has made it a target for critics of working conditions in the
impoverished nation.
In the past the retailer hadn't regularly named the
factories from which it buys clothing. But an April building collapse that
killed more than 1,100 Bangladesh garment workers and deadly fires at other
facilities focused international attention on the way Western retailers
obtain cheap clothing.
"We've spent $4 million on these audits, and we're
not done yet," Jay Jorgensen, Wal-Mart's global chief compliance officer,
said in an interview. "There's a lot of progress left to be made."
During an October safety audit at Epic Garments
Manufacturing Co., a factory near Dhaka, engineers hired by Wal-Mart checked
on new red fire doors and outside staircases that had been installed to make
evacuation easier in case of a fire and to prevent flames from spreading
from stock rooms to factory floors.
"Fireproof doors and materials weren't even
available in Bangladesh," Epic Group Chief Executive Ranjan Mahtani said in
an October interview at his plant "We had to fly them in from abroad and
teach local manufacturers how to make them." He said he had already spent
$300,000 on safety improvements to meet standards set by Wal-Mart and other
Western retailers.
The published audits won't offer specific findings
about conditions at the factories, such as whether there are too few exits
or if a building's columns are capable of bearing the weight of the
structure. Rather, they will give a general risk assessment based on a
letter grade that ranges from A through D.
Wal-Mart said it would stop production at factories
that receive a D rating, though the factories have a chance to correct the
problems and go through another assessment.
Critics say the disclosures don't provide enough
information to workers and others who want to keep tabs on factory
improvements.
"I am struck by how little real information they
are providing," said Scott Nova, executive director of the Worker Rights
Consortium, a Washington labor-monitoring group. "They offer no specifics
whatsoever as to the dangers workers face in these factories, all we get is
a scoring system that is largely opaque."
Wal-Mart said the letter-grade system aims to help
give people an easily understandable overview of the safety situation in a
given factory.
Jan Saumweber, Wal-Mart's head of ethical sourcing,
said she plans to increase her staff by 40% this year and add a team of 10
engineers to the company's Bangladesh sourcing office to regularly inspect
factories. Ms. Saumweber took over the ethical sourcing job in September
when Rajan Kamalanathan stepped down after a decade-long tenure at Wal-Mart.
Wal-Mart said it will also start to incorporate
safety standards into merchants' incentive-based compensation and train
buyers to take safety into account when placing orders with factories.
"These are big changes, and the company takes this
very seriously," Ms. Saumweber said.
Continued in article
Sustainability Accounting Standards Board
The SASB apparently will have some forthcoming accounting standards by the
end of 2013. Does anybody know something useful about this accounting standards
board which got a short publicity module on Page 52 of the September 30, 2013
issue of Time Magazine?
A woman named Jean Rogers is apparently the Founder and Executive Director of
the SASB which has a home page at http://www.sasb.org/
The current Board of Directors is somewhat impressive although lacking in
directors who have contributed to the literature of accounting or its social
media ---
http://www.sasb.org/sasb/board-directors/
The curmudgeon in me makes me skeptical about the accounting expertise needed
to generate "accounting standards."
Until recently, I taught a class in sustainability
accounting, and I can tell you that it is just as fraught with big issues as
is ‘real’ accounting. Indeed, they are many of the same issues. They really
do need standards, but the problem – the same problem faced in the early
days of accounting standards – is that the businesses are very different,
and the stakeholders’ needs diverge enormously.
Elaine Cohen, author of the CSR reporting blog, is
someone I respect in the field. I have met her, and have used her material.
I do enjoy her blog. She would agree that sustainability accounting is very
different to the sort of accounting that we do, but it is important and it
does need some level of standardisation, whether done by ‘real’ accountants
or by others.
Kind regards
Ruth
September 25, 2013 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Ruth,
In the USA, the SASB has no jurisdiction unless one of the government
agencies like the SEC takes it on like the SEC took on the FASB.
The SASB will be somewhat like the IASC in the earliest days before it
became the IASB. The IASC adopted only non-controversial milk toast
standards when compliance was only voluntary. The major factor that allowed
the IASB to take on more controversial issues was its agreement with IOSCO
that forced it to take on more controversial issues like IAS 39 ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/acct5341/speakers/pacter.htm
But like the IASC in its earliest days, the SASB is a start.
So how did this “the last shall come first” thinking become established?
You can blame it all on economists, specifically Harvard Business
School’s Michael Jensen. In other words, this idea did not come out of
legal analysis, changes in regulation, or court decisions. It was simply
an academic theory that went mainstream. And to add insult to injury,
the version of the Jensen formula that became popular was its worst
possible embodiment.
In the 1970s, there was a great deal of hand-wringing in America as
Japanese and German manufacturers were eating American’s lunch. That led
to renewed examination of how US companies were managed, with lots of
theorizing about what went wrong and what the remedies might be. In
1976, Jensen and William Meckling asserted that the problem was that
corporate executives served their own interests rather than those of
shareholders, in other words, that there was an agency problem.
Executives wanted to build empires while shareholders wanted profits to
be maximized.
I strongly suspect that if Jensen and Meckling had not come out with
this line of thinking, you would have gotten something similar to
justify the actions of the leveraged buyout kings, who were just getting
started in the 1970s and were reshaping the corporate landscape by the
mid-1980s. They were doing many of the things Jensen and Meckling
recommended: breaking up multi-business companies, thinning out
corporate centers, and selling corporate assets (some of which were
clearly excess, like corporate art and jet collection, while other sales
were simply to increase leverage, like selling corporate office
buildings and leasing them back). In other words, a likely reason that
Jensen and Meckling’s theory gained traction was it appeared to validate
a fundamental challenge to incumbent managements. (Dobbin and Jung
attribute this trend, as pretty much everyone does, to Jensen because he
continued to develop it. What really put it on the map was a 1990
Harvard Business Review article, “It’s
Not What You Pay CEOs, but How,” that led to an explosion in the use
of option-based pay and resulted in a huge increase in CEO pay relative
to that of average workers.)
To forestall takeovers, many companies implemented the measures an
LBO artist might take before his invading army arrived: sell off
non-core divisions, borrow more, shed staff.
The problem was to the extent that the Jensen/Meckling prescription
had merit, only the parts that helped company executives were adopted.
Jensen didn’t just call on executives to become less ministerial and
more entrepreneurial; they also called for more independent and engaged
boards to oversee and discipline top managers, and more equity-driven
pay, both options and other equity-linked compensation, to make
management more sensitive to both upside and downside risks.
Over the next two decades, companies levered up, became more
short-term oriented, and executive pay levels exploded. As Dobbin and
Jung put it, “The result of the changes promoted by agency theory was
that by the late 1990s, corporate America’s leaders were drag racing
without the brakes.”
The paper proceeds to analyze in considerable detail how three of the
major prescriptions of “agency theory” aka “executives and boards should
maximize value,” namely, pay for (mythical) performance,
dediversification, and greater reliance on debt all increased risk. And
the authors also detail how efforts to improve oversight were
ineffective.
But the paper also makes clear that this vision of how companies
should be run was simply a new management fashion, as opposed to any
sort of legal requirement:
Organizational institutionalists have long argued that new
management practices diffuse through networks of firms like fads
spread through high schools….In their models, new paradigms are
socially constructed as appropriate solutions to perceived problems
or crises….Expert groups that stand to gain from having their
preferred strategies adopted by firms then enter the void, competing
to have their model adopted….
And as Dobbin and Jung point out, the parts of the Jensen formula
that got adopted were the one that had constituents. The ones that
promoted looting and short-termism had obvious followings. The ones for
prudent management didn’t.
And consider the implications of Jensen’s prescriptions, of pushing
companies to favor shareholders, when they actually stand at the back of
the line from a legal perspective. The result is that various agents
(board compensation consultants, management consultants, and cronyistic
boards themselves) have put incentives in place for CEOs to favor
shareholders over parties that otherwise should get better treatment. So
is it any surprise that companies treat employees like toilet paper,
squeeze vendors, lobby hard for tax breaks and to weaken regulations,
and worse, like fudge their financial reports? Jensen himself, in 2005,
repudiated his earlier prescription precisely because it led to fraud.
From
an interview with the New York Times:
Q. So the maximum stock price is the holy grail?
A. Absolutely not. Warren Buffett says he worries as much when
one of his companies becomes overvalued as undervalued. I agree.
Overvalued equity is managerial heroin – it feels really great when
you start out; you’re feted on television; investment bankers vie to
float new issues.
But it doesn’t take long before the elation and ecstasy turn into
enormous pain. The market starts demanding increased earnings and
revenues, and the managers begin to say: “Holy Moley! How are we
going to generate the returns?” They look for legal loopholes in the
accounting, and when those don’t work, even basically honest people
move around the corner to outright fraud.
If they hold a lot of stock or options themselves, it is like
pouring gasoline on a fire. They fudge the numbers and hope they can
sell the stock or exercise the options before anything hits the fan.
Q. Are you suggesting that executives be rewarded for driving
down the price of the stock?
A. I’m saying they should be rewarded for being honest. A C.E.O.
should be able to tell investors, “Listen, this company isn’t worth
its $70 billion market cap; it’s really worth $30 billion, and
here’s why.”
But the board would fire that executive immediately. I guess it
has to be preventative – if executives would present the market with
realistic numbers rather than overoptimistic expectations, the stock
price would stay realistic. But I admit, we scholars don’t yet know
the real answer to how to make this happen.
So having led Corporate America in the wrong direction, Jensen
‘fesses up no one knows the way out. But if executives weren’t
incentivized to take such a topsy-turvey shareholder-driven view of the
world, they’d weigh their obligations to other constituencies, including
the community at large, along with earning shareholders a decent return.
But it’s now become so institutionalized it’s hard to see how to move to
a more sensible regime. For instance, analysts regularly try pressuring
Costco to pay its workers less, wanting fatter margins. But the
comparatively high wages are
an integral part of Costco’s formula: it reduces costly staff
turnover and employee pilferage. And Costco’s upscale members report
they prefer to patronize a store they know treats workers better than
Walmart and other discounters. If managers with an established,
successful formulas still encounter pressure from the Street to strip
mine their companies, imagine how hard it is for struggling companies or
less secure top executives to implement strategies that will take a
while to reap rewards. I’ve been getting reports from McKinsey from the
better part of a decade that they simply can’t get their clients to
implement new initiatives if they’ll dent quarterly returns.
This governance system is actually in crisis, but the extraordinary
profit share that companies have managed to achieve by squeezing workers
and the asset-goosing success of post-crisis financial policies have
produced an illusion of health. But porcine maquillage only improves
appearances; it doesn’t mask the stench of gangrene. Nevertheless,
executives have successfully hidden the generally unhealthy state of
their companies. As long as they have cheerleading analysts, complacent
boards and the Fed protecting their back, they can likely continue to
inflict more damage, using “maximizing shareholder value” canard as the
cover for continuing rent extraction.
So how did this “the last shall come first” thinking become established?
You can blame it all on economists, specifically Harvard Business
School’s Michael Jensen. In other words, this idea did not come out of
legal analysis, changes in regulation, or court decisions. It was simply
an academic theory that went mainstream. And to add insult to injury,
the version of the Jensen formula that became popular was its worst
possible embodiment.
In the 1970s, there was a great deal of hand-wringing in America as
Japanese and German manufacturers were eating American’s lunch. That led
to renewed examination of how US companies were managed, with lots of
theorizing about what went wrong and what the remedies might be. In
1976, Jensen and William Meckling asserted that the problem was that
corporate executives served their own interests rather than those of
shareholders, in other words, that there was an agency problem.
Executives wanted to build empires while shareholders wanted profits to
be maximized.
I strongly suspect that if Jensen and Meckling had not come out with
this line of thinking, you would have gotten something similar to
justify the actions of the leveraged buyout kings, who were just getting
started in the 1970s and were reshaping the corporate landscape by the
mid-1980s. They were doing many of the things Jensen and Meckling
recommended: breaking up multi-business companies, thinning out
corporate centers, and selling corporate assets (some of which were
clearly excess, like corporate art and jet collection, while other sales
were simply to increase leverage, like selling corporate office
buildings and leasing them back). In other words, a likely reason that
Jensen and Meckling’s theory gained traction was it appeared to validate
a fundamental challenge to incumbent managements. (Dobbin and Jung
attribute this trend, as pretty much everyone does, to Jensen because he
continued to develop it. What really put it on the map was a 1990
Harvard Business Review article, “It’s
Not What You Pay CEOs, but How,” that led to an explosion in the use
of option-based pay and resulted in a huge increase in CEO pay relative
to that of average workers.)
To forestall takeovers, many companies implemented the measures an
LBO artist might take before his invading army arrived: sell off
non-core divisions, borrow more, shed staff.
The problem was to the extent that the Jensen/Meckling prescription
had merit, only the parts that helped company executives were adopted.
Jensen didn’t just call on executives to become less ministerial and
more entrepreneurial; they also called for more independent and engaged
boards to oversee and discipline top managers, and more equity-driven
pay, both options and other equity-linked compensation, to make
management more sensitive to both upside and downside risks.
Over the next two decades, companies levered up, became more
short-term oriented, and executive pay levels exploded. As Dobbin and
Jung put it, “The result of the changes promoted by agency theory was
that by the late 1990s, corporate America’s leaders were drag racing
without the brakes.”
The paper proceeds to analyze in considerable detail how three of the
major prescriptions of “agency theory” aka “executives and boards should
maximize value,” namely, pay for (mythical) performance,
dediversification, and greater reliance on debt all increased risk. And
the authors also detail how efforts to improve oversight were
ineffective.
But the paper also makes clear that this vision of how companies
should be run was simply a new management fashion, as opposed to any
sort of legal requirement:
Organizational institutionalists have long argued that new
management practices diffuse through networks of firms like fads
spread through high schools….In their models, new paradigms are
socially constructed as appropriate solutions to perceived problems
or crises….Expert groups that stand to gain from having their
preferred strategies adopted by firms then enter the void, competing
to have their model adopted….
And as Dobbin and Jung point out, the parts of the Jensen formula
that got adopted were the one that had constituents. The ones that
promoted looting and short-termism had obvious followings. The ones for
prudent management didn’t.
And consider the implications of Jensen’s prescriptions, of pushing
companies to favor shareholders, when they actually stand at the back of
the line from a legal perspective. The result is that various agents
(board compensation consultants, management consultants, and cronyistic
boards themselves) have put incentives in place for CEOs to favor
shareholders over parties that otherwise should get better treatment. So
is it any surprise that companies treat employees like toilet paper,
squeeze vendors, lobby hard for tax breaks and to weaken regulations,
and worse, like fudge their financial reports? Jensen himself, in 2005,
repudiated his earlier prescription precisely because it led to fraud.
From
an interview with the New York Times:
Q. So the maximum stock price is the holy grail?
A. Absolutely not. Warren Buffett says he worries as much when
one of his companies becomes overvalued as undervalued. I agree.
Overvalued equity is managerial heroin – it feels really great when
you start out; you’re feted on television; investment bankers vie to
float new issues.
But it doesn’t take long before the elation and ecstasy turn into
enormous pain. The market starts demanding increased earnings and
revenues, and the managers begin to say: “Holy Moley! How are we
going to generate the returns?” They look for legal loopholes in the
accounting, and when those don’t work, even basically honest people
move around the corner to outright fraud.
If they hold a lot of stock or options themselves, it is like
pouring gasoline on a fire. They fudge the numbers and hope they can
sell the stock or exercise the options before anything hits the fan.
Q. Are you suggesting that executives be rewarded for driving
down the price of the stock?
A. I’m saying they should be rewarded for being honest. A C.E.O.
should be able to tell investors, “Listen, this company isn’t worth
its $70 billion market cap; it’s really worth $30 billion, and
here’s why.”
But the board would fire that executive immediately. I guess it
has to be preventative – if executives would present the market with
realistic numbers rather than overoptimistic expectations, the stock
price would stay realistic. But I admit, we scholars don’t yet know
the real answer to how to make this happen.
So having led Corporate America in the wrong direction, Jensen
‘fesses up no one knows the way out. But if executives weren’t
incentivized to take such a topsy-turvey shareholder-driven view of the
world, they’d weigh their obligations to other constituencies, including
the community at large, along with earning shareholders a decent return.
But it’s now become so institutionalized it’s hard to see how to move to
a more sensible regime. For instance, analysts regularly try pressuring
Costco to pay its workers less, wanting fatter margins. But the
comparatively high wages are
an integral part of Costco’s formula: it reduces costly staff
turnover and employee pilferage. And Costco’s upscale members report
they prefer to patronize a store they know treats workers better than
Walmart and other discounters. If managers with an established,
successful formulas still encounter pressure from the Street to strip
mine their companies, imagine how hard it is for struggling companies or
less secure top executives to implement strategies that will take a
while to reap rewards. I’ve been getting reports from McKinsey from the
better part of a decade that they simply can’t get their clients to
implement new initiatives if they’ll dent quarterly returns.
This governance system is actually in crisis, but the extraordinary
profit share that companies have managed to achieve by squeezing workers
and the asset-goosing success of post-crisis financial policies have
produced an illusion of health. But porcine maquillage only improves
appearances; it doesn’t mask the stench of gangrene. Nevertheless,
executives have successfully hidden the generally unhealthy state of
their companies. As long as they have cheerleading analysts, complacent
boards and the Fed protecting their back, they can likely continue to
inflict more damage, using “maximizing shareholder value” canard as the
cover for continuing rent extraction.
So how did this “the last shall come first” thinking become established?
You can blame it all on economists, specifically Harvard Business
School’s Michael Jensen. In other words, this idea did not come out of
legal analysis, changes in regulation, or court decisions. It was simply
an academic theory that went mainstream. And to add insult to injury,
the version of the Jensen formula that became popular was its worst
possible embodiment.
In the 1970s, there was a great deal of hand-wringing in America as
Japanese and German manufacturers were eating American’s lunch. That led
to renewed examination of how US companies were managed, with lots of
theorizing about what went wrong and what the remedies might be. In
1976, Jensen and William Meckling asserted that the problem was that
corporate executives served their own interests rather than those of
shareholders, in other words, that there was an agency problem.
Executives wanted to build empires while shareholders wanted profits to
be maximized.
I strongly suspect that if Jensen and Meckling had not come out with
this line of thinking, you would have gotten something similar to
justify the actions of the leveraged buyout kings, who were just getting
started in the 1970s and were reshaping the corporate landscape by the
mid-1980s. They were doing many of the things Jensen and Meckling
recommended: breaking up multi-business companies, thinning out
corporate centers, and selling corporate assets (some of which were
clearly excess, like corporate art and jet collection, while other sales
were simply to increase leverage, like selling corporate office
buildings and leasing them back). In other words, a likely reason that
Jensen and Meckling’s theory gained traction was it appeared to validate
a fundamental challenge to incumbent managements. (Dobbin and Jung
attribute this trend, as pretty much everyone does, to Jensen because he
continued to develop it. What really put it on the map was a 1990
Harvard Business Review article, “It’s
Not What You Pay CEOs, but How,” that led to an explosion in the use
of option-based pay and resulted in a huge increase in CEO pay relative
to that of average workers.)
To forestall takeovers, many companies implemented the measures an
LBO artist might take before his invading army arrived: sell off
non-core divisions, borrow more, shed staff.
The problem was to the extent that the Jensen/Meckling prescription
had merit, only the parts that helped company executives were adopted.
Jensen didn’t just call on executives to become less ministerial and
more entrepreneurial; they also called for more independent and engaged
boards to oversee and discipline top managers, and more equity-driven
pay, both options and other equity-linked compensation, to make
management more sensitive to both upside and downside risks.
Over the next two decades, companies levered up, became more
short-term oriented, and executive pay levels exploded. As Dobbin and
Jung put it, “The result of the changes promoted by agency theory was
that by the late 1990s, corporate America’s leaders were drag racing
without the brakes.”
The paper proceeds to analyze in considerable detail how three of the
major prescriptions of “agency theory” aka “executives and boards should
maximize value,” namely, pay for (mythical) performance,
dediversification, and greater reliance on debt all increased risk. And
the authors also detail how efforts to improve oversight were
ineffective.
But the paper also makes clear that this vision of how companies
should be run was simply a new management fashion, as opposed to any
sort of legal requirement:
Organizational institutionalists have long argued that new
management practices diffuse through networks of firms like fads
spread through high schools….In their models, new paradigms are
socially constructed as appropriate solutions to perceived problems
or crises….Expert groups that stand to gain from having their
preferred strategies adopted by firms then enter the void, competing
to have their model adopted….
And as Dobbin and Jung point out, the parts of the Jensen formula
that got adopted were the one that had constituents. The ones that
promoted looting and short-termism had obvious followings. The ones for
prudent management didn’t.
And consider the implications of Jensen’s prescriptions, of pushing
companies to favor shareholders, when they actually stand at the back of
the line from a legal perspective. The result is that various agents
(board compensation consultants, management consultants, and cronyistic
boards themselves) have put incentives in place for CEOs to favor
shareholders over parties that otherwise should get better treatment. So
is it any surprise that companies treat employees like toilet paper,
squeeze vendors, lobby hard for tax breaks and to weaken regulations,
and worse, like fudge their financial reports? Jensen himself, in 2005,
repudiated his earlier prescription precisely because it led to fraud.
From
an interview with the New York Times:
Q. So the maximum stock price is the holy grail?
A. Absolutely not. Warren Buffett says he worries as much when
one of his companies becomes overvalued as undervalued. I agree.
Overvalued equity is managerial heroin – it feels really great when
you start out; you’re feted on television; investment bankers vie to
float new issues.
But it doesn’t take long before the elation and ecstasy turn into
enormous pain. The market starts demanding increased earnings and
revenues, and the managers begin to say: “Holy Moley! How are we
going to generate the returns?” They look for legal loopholes in the
accounting, and when those don’t work, even basically honest people
move around the corner to outright fraud.
If they hold a lot of stock or options themselves, it is like
pouring gasoline on a fire. They fudge the numbers and hope they can
sell the stock or exercise the options before anything hits the fan.
Q. Are you suggesting that executives be rewarded for driving
down the price of the stock?
A. I’m saying they should be rewarded for being honest. A C.E.O.
should be able to tell investors, “Listen, this company isn’t worth
its $70 billion market cap; it’s really worth $30 billion, and
here’s why.”
But the board would fire that executive immediately. I guess it
has to be preventative – if executives would present the market with
realistic numbers rather than overoptimistic expectations, the stock
price would stay realistic. But I admit, we scholars don’t yet know
the real answer to how to make this happen.
So having led Corporate America in the wrong direction, Jensen
‘fesses up no one knows the way out. But if executives weren’t
incentivized to take such a topsy-turvey shareholder-driven view of the
world, they’d weigh their obligations to other constituencies, including
the community at large, along with earning shareholders a decent return.
But it’s now become so institutionalized it’s hard to see how to move to
a more sensible regime. For instance, analysts regularly try pressuring
Costco to pay its workers less, wanting fatter margins. But the
comparatively high wages are
an integral part of Costco’s formula: it reduces costly staff
turnover and employee pilferage. And Costco’s upscale members report
they prefer to patronize a store they know treats workers better than
Walmart and other discounters. If managers with an established,
successful formulas still encounter pressure from the Street to strip
mine their companies, imagine how hard it is for struggling companies or
less secure top executives to implement strategies that will take a
while to reap rewards. I’ve been getting reports from McKinsey from the
better part of a decade that they simply can’t get their clients to
implement new initiatives if they’ll dent quarterly returns.
This governance system is actually in crisis, but the extraordinary
profit share that companies have managed to achieve by squeezing workers
and the asset-goosing success of post-crisis financial policies have
produced an illusion of health. But porcine maquillage only improves
appearances; it doesn’t mask the stench of gangrene. Nevertheless,
executives have successfully hidden the generally unhealthy state of
their companies. As long as they have cheerleading analysts, complacent
boards and the Fed protecting their back, they can likely continue to
inflict more damage, using “maximizing shareholder value” canard as the
cover for continuing rent extraction.
So how did this “the last shall come first” thinking become established? You
can blame it all on economists, specifically Harvard Business School’s
Michael Jensen. In other words, this idea did not come out of legal
analysis, changes in regulation, or court decisions. It was simply an
academic theory that went mainstream. And to add insult to injury, the
version of the Jensen formula that became popular was its worst possible
embodiment.
In the 1970s, there was a great deal of hand-wringing in America as Japanese
and German manufacturers were eating American’s lunch. That led to renewed
examination of how US companies were managed, with lots of theorizing about
what went wrong and what the remedies might be. In 1976, Jensen and William
Meckling asserted that the problem was that corporate executives served
their own interests rather than those of shareholders, in other words, that
there was an agency problem. Executives wanted to build empires while
shareholders wanted profits to be maximized.
I
strongly suspect that if Jensen and Meckling had not come out with this line
of thinking, you would have gotten something similar to justify the actions
of the leveraged buyout kings, who were just getting started in the 1970s
and were reshaping the corporate landscape by the mid-1980s. They were doing
many of the things Jensen and Meckling recommended: breaking up
multi-business companies, thinning out corporate centers, and selling
corporate assets (some of which were clearly excess, like corporate art and
jet collection, while other sales were simply to increase leverage, like
selling corporate office buildings and leasing them back). In other words, a
likely reason that Jensen and Meckling’s theory gained traction was it
appeared to validate a fundamental challenge to incumbent managements.
(Dobbin and Jung attribute this trend, as pretty much everyone does, to
Jensen because he continued to develop it. What really put it on the map was
a 1990 Harvard Business Review article,
“It’s
Not What You Pay CEOs, but How,” that
led to an explosion in the use of option-based pay and resulted in a huge
increase in CEO pay relative to that of average workers.)
To forestall takeovers, many companies implemented the measures an LBO
artist might take before his invading army arrived: sell off non-core
divisions, borrow more, shed staff.
The problem was to the extent that the Jensen/Meckling prescription had
merit, only the parts that helped company executives were adopted. Jensen
didn’t just call on executives to become less ministerial and more
entrepreneurial; they also called for more independent and engaged boards to
oversee and discipline top managers, and more equity-driven pay, both
options and other equity-linked compensation, to make management more
sensitive to both upside and downside risks.
Over the next two decades, companies levered up, became more short-term
oriented, and executive pay levels exploded. As Dobbin and Jung put it, “The
result of the changes promoted by agency theory was that by the late 1990s,
corporate America’s leaders were drag racing without the brakes.”
The paper proceeds to analyze in considerable detail how three of the major
prescriptions of “agency theory” aka “executives and boards should maximize
value,” namely, pay for (mythical) performance, dediversification, and
greater reliance on debt all increased risk. And the authors also detail how
efforts to improve oversight were ineffective.
But the paper also makes clear that this vision of how companies should be
run was simply a new management fashion, as opposed to any sort of legal
requirement:
Organizational institutionalists have long argued that new management
practices diffuse through networks of firms like fads spread through high
schools….In their models, new paradigms are socially constructed as
appropriate solutions to perceived problems or crises….Expert groups that
stand to gain from having their preferred strategies adopted by firms then
enter the void, competing to have their model adopted….
And as Dobbin and Jung point out, the parts of the Jensen formula that got
adopted were the one that had constituents. The ones that promoted looting
and short-termism had obvious followings. The ones for prudent management
didn’t.
And
consider the implications of Jensen’s prescriptions, of pushing companies to
favor shareholders, when they actually stand at the back of the line from a
legal perspective. The result is that various agents (board compensation
consultants, management consultants, and cronyistic boards themselves) have
put incentives in place for CEOs to favor shareholders over parties that
otherwise should get better treatment. So is it any surprise that companies
treat employees like toilet paper, squeeze vendors, lobby hard for tax
breaks and to weaken regulations, and worse, like fudge their financial
reports? Jensen himself, in 2005, repudiated his earlier prescription
precisely because it led to fraud. Froman interview with the New York Times:
Q. So the maximum stock price is the holy grail?
A. Absolutely not. Warren Buffett says he worries as much when one of his
companies becomes overvalued as undervalued. I agree. Overvalued equity is
managerial heroin – it feels really great when you start out; you’re feted
on television; investment bankers vie to float new issues.
But it doesn’t take long before the elation and ecstasy turn into enormous
pain. The market starts demanding increased earnings and revenues, and the
managers begin to say: “Holy Moley! How are we going to generate the
returns?” They look for legal loopholes in the accounting, and when those
don’t work, even basically honest people move around the corner to outright
fraud.
If they hold a lot of stock or options themselves, it is like pouring
gasoline on a fire. They fudge the numbers and hope they can sell the stock
or exercise the options before anything hits the fan.
Q. Are you suggesting that executives be rewarded for driving down the price
of the stock?
A. I’m saying they should be rewarded for being honest. A C.E.O. should be
able to tell investors, “Listen, this company isn’t worth its $70 billion
market cap; it’s really worth $30 billion, and here’s why.”
But the board would fire that executive immediately. I guess it has to be
preventative – if executives would present the market with realistic numbers
rather than overoptimistic expectations, the stock price would stay
realistic. But I admit, we scholars don’t yet know the real answer to how to
make this happen.
So
having led Corporate America in the wrong direction, Jensen ‘fesses up no
one knows the way out. But if executives weren’t incentivized to take such a
topsy-turvey shareholder-driven view of the world, they’d weigh their
obligations to other constituencies, including the community at large, along
with earning shareholders a decent return. But it’s now become so
institutionalized it’s hard to see how to move to a more sensible regime.
For instance, analysts regularly try pressuring Costco to pay its workers
less, wanting fatter margins. But thecomparatively high wages are an integral part of
Costco’s formula: it
reduces costly staff turnover and employee pilferage. And Costco’s upscale
members report they prefer to patronize a store they know treats workers
better than Walmart and other discounters. If managers with an established,
successful formulas still encounter pressure from the Street to strip mine
their companies, imagine how hard it is for struggling companies or less
secure top executives to implement strategies that will take a while to reap
rewards. I’ve been getting reports from McKinsey from the better part of a
decade that they simply can’t get their clients to implement new initiatives
if they’ll dent quarterly returns.
This governance system is actually in crisis, but the extraordinary profit
share that companies have managed to achieve by squeezing workers and the
asset-goosing success of post-crisis financial policies have produced an
illusion of health. But porcine maquillage only improves appearances; it
doesn’t mask the stench of gangrene. Nevertheless, executives have
successfully hidden the generally unhealthy state of their companies. As
long as they have cheerleading analysts, complacent boards and the Fed
protecting their back, they can likely continue to inflict more damage,
using “maximizing shareholder value” canard as the cover for continuing rent
extraction.
Jensen Comment
Mike Jensen was the headliner at the 2013 American Accounting Association Annual
Meetings. AAA members can watch various videos by him and about him at the AAA
Commons Website.
Actually Al Rappaport at Northwestern may have been more influential in
spreading the word about creating shareholder value --- Rappaport, Alfred
(1998).
Creating Shareholder Value: A guide for managers and investors. New
York: The Free Press. pp. 13–29.
It would be interesting if Mike Jensen and/or Al
Rappaport wrote rebuttals to this article.
While some in the profession may question the
long-term viability of audit-only accounting firms, proposed guidelines issued recently by
the Global Reporting Initiative may help make the vision more feasible. The GRI's
guidelines for "triple-bottom- line reporting" would broaden financial reporting
into a three- dimensional model for economic, social and environmental reporting. http://www.accountingweb.com/item/78245
While some in the profession may
question the long-term viability of audit-only accounting firms, proposed guidelines
issued recently by the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) may help make the vision more
feasible. The GRI's guidelines for "triple-bottom-line reporting" would broaden
financial reporting into a three-dimensional model for economic, social and environmental
reporting. Each dimension of the model would contain information that is valuable to
stakeholders and could be independently verified.
Numbers, Ratios and Explanations
Despite the convenient shorthand
reference to bottom lines, many of the GRI indicators are multi-faceted, consisting of
tables, ratios and qualitative descriptions of policies, procedures, and systems. Below
are examples of indicators within each of the three dimensions:
Economic performance indicators.
Geographic breakdown of key markets, percent of contracts paid in accordance with agreed
terms, and description of the organization's indirect economic impacts.
Environmental performance
indicators. Breakdown of energy sources used, (e.g., for electricity and heat), total
water usage, breakdown of waste by type and destination, list of penalties paid for
non-compliance with environmental laws and regulations, and description of policies and
procedures to minimize adverse environmental impacts.
Social performance indicators.
Total workforce including temporary workers, percentage of employees represented by trade
unions, schedule of average hours of training per year per employee for all major
categories of employee, male/female ratios in upper management positions, and descriptions
of policies and procedures to address such issues as human rights, product information and
labeling, customer privacy, and political lobbying and contributions. The GRI was formed
in 1997 by a partnership of the United Nations Environment Program (UNEP) and the
Coalition for Environmentally Responsible Economies (CERES). Several hundred organizations
have participated in working groups to help form the guidelines for triple-bottom-line
reporting. These organizations include corporations, accounting firms, investors, labor
organizations and other stakeholders.
Environmental Management Accounting (EMA) is a
cover title used to describe different aspects of this burgeoning field of
accounting. The focus of EMA is as a management accounting tool used to make
internal business decisions, especially for proactive environmental
management activities. EMA was developed to recognize some limitations of
conventional management accounting approaches to environmental costs,
consequences, and impacts. For example, overhead accounts were the
destination of many environmental costs in the past. Cost allocations were
inaccurate and could not be traced back to processes, products, or process
lines. Wasted raw materials were also inaccurately accounted for during
production.
Each aspect of EMA has a general accounting type
that serves as its foundation, according to the EMA international website.
The following examples indicate the general accounting type followed by the
environmental accounting parallel:
Management Accounting (MA) entails the
identification, collection, estimation, analysis, and use of cost, or
other information used for organizational decision-making. Environmental
Management Accounting (EMA) is Management Accounting with a focus on
materials and energy flow information, with environmental cost
information.
Financial Accounting (FA) comprises the
development and organizational reporting of financial information to
external parties, such as stockholders and bankers. Environmental
Financial Accounting (EFA) builds on Financial Accounting, focusing on
the reporting of environmental liability costs with other significant
environmental costs.
National Accounting (NA) is the development of
economic and other information used to describe national income and
economic health. Environmental National Accounting (ENA) is National
Accounting focusing on the stocks of natural resources, their physical
flows, environmental costs, and externality costs.
EMA is a broad set of approaches and principles
that provide views into the physical flows and costs critical to the
successful completion of environmental management activities and
increasingly, routine management activities, such as product and process
design, capital budgeting, cost control and allocation, and product pricing,
according to the EMA international website.
Jensen Comment
This article might be useful in cost, managerial, and environmental accounting
courses as well as courses in financial analysis of the IPO filings
A derelict medical center for veterans in Salem,
Va., that was transformed into an energy efficient place to live and work --
thanks to a mélange of private and public funds -- proves that investors can
make money and support social change at the same time.
That was the message of a panel discussion at the
recent Wharton Social Impact Conference focused on innovative approaches to
financing socially responsible projects in the real estate sector. How much
money is potentially available for building while also serving social and
environmental benefits is anybody's guess. One expert, who manages a large,
San Francisco-based investment fund dedicated to creating quality jobs in
low-income areas of California, estimated $20 trillion. Figures from
JPMorgan, however, came in substantially lower -- $400 billion to $1
trillion within the next eight years.
Douglas P. Lawrence, managing principal for 5 Stone
Green Capital, a small investment fund that is focused on green
technologies, called the veterans' medical complex in Virginia, a "win-win"
because "investors get an 8% return, and homeless veterans get a modern,
light-filled place to live, stellar medical care and a chance to make some
money in a year-round greenhouse. For the environment, we reduced energy
consumption by 30%. For the military, this project has impact because it
cares deeply about veterans," said Lawrence, a former co-portfolio manager
for JPMorgan's urban green property fund.
In addition, the Virginia veterans' project was a
rock-solid investment because construction loans and rents were government
guaranteed, Lawrence noted, adding that he "wouldn't even look at a building
project today that does not incorporate green technologies."
Socially responsible or sustainable real estate
development does more than turn a profit. While investors expect gains,
there is a growing number who also want to do something for the greater
good, whether it is in urban housing, green technology, job creation,
preserving historic treasures, providing access to health care, education,
clean water, healthy food or numerous other areas around the world in need
of capital for change.
"Building green does not cost more. It costs
different because the savings are over the long haul," said Lawrence. "With
the population expected to grow to seven billion by 2050 and the depletion
of our fossil fuels, it only makes sense that we employ the best
technologies to keep operating costs as low as possible."
Forget Bamboo Floors and Bike Racks
Lawrence's fund is targeted to three types of real
estate: multi-family housing in cities, old industrial buildings suitable
for rehabilitation because they are likely to spawn new companies and jobs,
and construction of grocery stores and pharmacies because they will "always
be essential." He derided what he called "merchant builders who build as
cheaply as possible, then move out and leave the problems for the next guy."
On the contrary, he noted, "building green is not
about bamboo floors and bicycle racks. It is about improving the bottom line
by driving down expenses. It's also about learning how to be a better
steward of the resources we have on the planet and how to build better in
the first place. This is nothing more than old-fashioned asset management,
instead of financial engineering, as a way to increase profits."
While impact investing is gaining momentum in these
post-recessionary times, it is far from mainstream, said panel moderator
Benjamin Blakney, an investment consultant and former treasurer of the city
of Philadelphia. He credited a subtle shift in language for an uptick in
interest.
"There is movement away from the term 'socially
responsible' investing because it sounds a bit inferior, like maybe the
investor should expect a compromise in returns," he noted. "The term 'impact
investing' shifts the emphasis to the target. It acknowledges that cash is
king and that investment conversations are mercenary. Show me the money.
Don't forget money managers have a fiduciary responsibility to seek out
market-rate or above market-rate returns."
Other buzz words for the practice that are growing
in popularity are "venture philanthropy" or "responsible capitalism." Bill
Gates' name surfaced repeatedly during the conference to illustrate the need
to make money first before having enough to give away.
Better Analytics Align Money with Passion
Real estate development is inherently complex.
Sometimes the desire to add impact investing can make a tentative deal
collapse, warned Blakney. A major obstacle, according to The Gallin Group, a
market research firm that surveyed 51 leading impact investors last year, is
the dearth of high-quality investments along with too few investment
managers, consultants and entrepreneurs who can construct and promote
measurable investments.
"Asset owners say they would put more capital to
work if they were able to find high-quality investments," the study said.
"They recognize that their investments serve as demonstration projects, and
success may be able to catalyze the flow of additional capital. Therefore,
the management teams of the investments must be solid."
Industry pioneers, such as the $3 billion
Rockefeller Foundation in New York, view impact investing as a way to reduce
poverty and other social problems, but more importantly as a carrot to
attract wealth from the largest private capital markets.
More investors are beginning to poke around for
social benefit investments because "traditional investments in the last few
years have left them dry," noted panelist Joseph J. Haslip, managing
director of Blue Harbour Group, a hedge fund. Previously, he was the city of
New York's representative to four pension funds with assets in excess of
$100 billion. "The atmosphere is definitely getting better. Increased
availability of analytics is also helping investors align their money with
their passions, he said. "For example, data has shown that corporations with
minorities and women on their boards actually outperform those that have
none."
While some observers consider green construction to
be the "new normal," panelist Stuart Brodsky, a professor at New York
University's Schack Institute of Real Estate, predicted that U.S. commercial
markets are still 15 years away from "building totally green." The market
has made progress, "but there is still a lot of wasted money in
construction. The industry would benefit from greater standardization of
requirements and government leadership," said Brodsky, who served as the
national manager for ENERGY STAR, a program that resulted in a 24 million
metric ton reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and a savings of $7.5
billion in energy operating costs.
Tax credits and other government-sponsored
redevelopment strategies incentivize private investors to put their money
into public projects. Approximately 20 states already mandate or encourage
public pension funds to invest in initiatives with a social benefit and, in
particular, to support local economies.
A 'Second Downtown' for D.C.
Panelist Elinor R. Bacon, president of a real
estate development company in Washington, D.C., and a former deputy
assistant secretary for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban
Development's office of public housing investments, noted that the amount of
private capital invested in public housing in the last decade has increased
four-fold. Her latest project is a 23-acre waterfront site in southwest
Washington that is a private-public partnership between the District of
Columbia and a team of six development companies, including Bacon's.
Construction on The Wharf is expected to begin
early next year and be completed in 2020. It is a poster child for socially
responsible real estate development, Bacon added, because it will transform
a swath of blighted and isolated waterfront land, owned by the District,
into a vibrant place to live, work, shop, study and play. By creating what
some are calling a "second downtown" for D.C., as opposed to pushing into
the suburbs where building costs are lower, the project exemplifies smart
growth, she noted.
I’m excited to share with y’all the Yale Environment
Review, fresh out of the Yale School of
School of Forestry and Environmental Studies. The Review is a super
refined weekly web publication curated by subject matter experts from Yale
who summarize important research articles from leading natural and social
science journals with the hope that people can make more informed decisions
using latest research results.
They find that simply using the traditional
classification of a species in climate change simulations can
underestimate the true scale of biodiversity loss. This happens because
the subtle genetic variations among similar-looking species – typically
hidden from view – are overlooked. Such a misstep in the models could
undermine future conservation efforts.
Environmental regulation is often cast as a
growth-inhibiting tax on producers and consumers. But a recent working
paper from the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) provides a
strong foundation for the economic benefits of regulation. The authors
flip the conventional view on its head and present tighter regulation as
an investment in human capital, and thus a tool for promoting economic
growth.
A quick glance at the
topics
page hints at future articles: business, climate
change, ecosystem conservation, energy, environmental policy, industrial
ecology, land management, urban planning, and water resources. It’s
practically a greatest hits album of pressing environmental policy issues.
You might think any corporate data that helps
investors weigh the value of a company would be called "financial
information," right? Not so. Welcome to the world of "non-financial
information."
Five U.S. companies in 2011 expanded their
financial disclosures -- information required of publicly traded companies
-- to include data about environmental performance, employee and community
relations, and corporate governance. Investors, nongovernmental
organizations and even some governments are increasingly seeking this
information as it relates to business risks and opportunities. Non-financial
information, it turns out, can have a pretty big impact on financial
performance.
So here's the paradox: If non-financial data, such
as greenhouse gas emissions per dollar of revenue, is included in a
financial report for investors, how can it still be called non-financial?
Institutional investors and companies aren't yet making the leap to calling
greenhouse gas emissions, percentage of female executives or other ESG
metrics "financial." But they are increasingly considering them to be
material.
Combining this so-called non-financial information
with legally mandated disclosures is called integrated reporting, a practice
that emerged from the widespread publication of corporate sustainability
reports. It requires a deep knowledge of what's strategically important to a
company.
A company might disclose data on any of dozens of
metrics beyond conventional balance-sheet accounting, whether they are
"integrated" or released in a separate format. Practitioners collectively
refer sustainability reporting as ESG, for the three major categories of
data -- environmental, social and corporate governance.
The amount of non-financial information flying
around the marketplace is overwhelming and growing. The main delivery
mechanism is the corporate sustainability report, or the corporate
responsibility report, or the citizenship report, environment report,
corporate social responsibility report "or some title that fits," as Hank
Boerner put it. Boerner is chairman of Governance & Accountability
Institute, Inc. The group collects and analyzes companies' disclosures, and
is the U.S. data partner for the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), a widely
used framework for producing sustainability reports.
Boerner's organization has completed its tally of
U.S. sustainability reports for 2011 -- the conventional, feel-good variety,
not necessarily integrated with balance sheets. The numbers themselves
aren’t as significant as the jumbled snapshot they offer to investors -- who
expect standardized disclosures that are generally comparable from company
to company and industry to industry.
Companies and nonprofits in the U.S. issued 242
reports last year, 228 of which came from corporations or their U.S.
subsidiaries. Thirty-one company reports were assured by an independent
auditor.
GRI guidelines were followed by 186 companies,
about 44 percent more than in 2010.
The five U.S. companies who combined traditional
and sustainability data into one "integrated" report were Clorox, Northrup
Grumman, SAS, Genentech and Polymer Group Inc.
Companies considering integrated reporting are
determining what information is "material" to their business, according to a
recent Deloitte report. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission said in
1999 that "a matter is 'material' if there is a substantial likelihood that
a reasonable person would consider it important." This definition hasn't
changed with the advent of sustainability disclosure and integrated
reporting. The rest of the world has.
The Securities and Exchange Commission issued
guidance to public companies in early 2010, clarifying the circumstances in
which public companies should disclose information related to climate
change. Apple is the most recent company to discover that global supply
chains and intense public interest make worker conditions, even at far-flung
factories, material.
Jensen Comment
The comments following this article range across the entire spectrum of
reactions we've seen for years about social responsibility accounting for
business. Milton Friedman, of course, argued that the only responsibility of
business is to obey the letter and spirit of the law without losing sight of the
main goal of profit maximization. Friedman argued that it's not the
responsibility of business firms to make externality resource allocation
decisions best left to government. This is reflected in the comment of Kozarms.
The concepts herein are very disturbing. This
strikes me as socialism, and a socialist mentality. "How do we build the
consideration of social return into every conversation and every decision at
every level in the organization?" That's easy - see any communist country,
and ask yourself if those are great societies full of innovation despite
their professions of acting for the common good. Who decides what is a good
social return - everyone all at once? The government? And: "inspire
sacrifice, stimulate innovation" - why would an innovator also being willing
to contribute his/her work as a sacrifice to the masses? The problems
attributed in this article to capitalism are problems are not related to
capitalism at all, but are problems of the mixed up ideaology of this mixed
economy. We need to return to the correct ideas about what capitalism really
means, not an ideaology where the true innovators/leaders first ask
permission from the masses.
Ian Ford-Terry replies:
Have you talked to Howard Bloom at all? His "Genius
of the Beast: A Radical Revision of Capitalism" laid out some very similar
concepts in 2009...
Jensen Added Comment
The supposed refutation of Friedman rests mainly on the idea of long-term versus
short-term profitability. This refutation proceeds along the lines that
short-term profit maximization may become self-defeating if constrains or
destroys the long-term profitability. For example, a company that strips the
tops off mountains in West Virginia to get at cheap coal (which is now
technically feasible and a controversial proposal) might maximize short-term
profits but destroy long-term profitability as such monumental degradation of
the earth triggers massive lawsuits for the destruction of human health (e.g.
leaching of heavy metals into water supplies), destruction of tourism, and the
putting off of research for alternative energy alternatives.
However, the long-term versus short-term "refutation" of Friedman is not
legitimate since, in my viewpoint, Friedman was more interested in the long-term
profitability and is falsely accused of being too short-term minded. I don't
really think Milton Friedman would've advocated mountain top removal mining for
the sake of short-term profits and then declaring bankruptcy before the
environmental lawsuits commence.
Critics contend that MTR is a destructive and
unsustainable practice that benefits a small number of corporations at the
expense of
local communities and
the
environment. Though the main issue has been over
the physical alteration of the landscape, opponents to the practice have
also criticized MTR for the damage done to the environment by massive
transport trucks, and the environmental damage done by the burning of coal
for power. Blasting at MTR sites also expels dust and fly-rock into the air,
which can disturb or settle onto private property nearby. This dust may
contain sulfur compounds, which corrodes structures and is a health hazard.
A January 2010 report in the journal
Science reviews current peer-reviewed studies
and water quality data and explores the consequences of mountaintop mining.
It concludes that mountaintop mining has serious environmental impacts that
mitigation practices cannot successfully address.[7]
For example, the extensive tracts of deciduous forests destroyed by
mountaintop mining support several endangered species and some of the
highest biodiversity in North America. There is a particular problem with
burial of headwater streams by valley fills which causes permanent loss of
ecosystems that play critical roles in ecological processes. In addition,
increases in metal ions, pH, electrical conductivity, total dissolved solids
due to elevated concentrations of sulfate are closely linked to the extent
of mining in West Virginia watersheds.[7]
Declines in stream biodiversity have been linked to the level of mining
disturbance in West Virginia watersheds.
Published studies also show a high potential for
human health impacts. These may result from contact with streams or exposure
to airborne toxins and dust. Adult hospitalization for chronic pulmonary
disorders and hypertension are elevated as a result of county-level coal
production. Rates of mortality, lung cancer, as well as chronic heart, lung
and kidney disease are also increased.[7]
A 2011 study found that counties in and near mountaintop mining areas had
higher rates of birth defects for five out of six types of birth defects,
including circulatory/respiratory, musculoskeletal, central nervous system,
gastrointestinal, and urogenital defects. These defect rates were more
pronounced in the most recent period studied, suggesting the health effects
of mountaintop mining-related air and water contamination may be cumulative.[37]
Another 2011 study found "the odds for reporting cancer were twice as high
in the mountaintop mining environment compared to the non mining environment
in ways not explained by age, sex, smoking, occupational exposure, or family
cancer history.”
A
United States Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
environmental impact statement finds that streams
near some valley fills from mountaintop removal contain higher levels of
minerals in the water and decreased aquatic
biodiversity.The statement also estimates that 724 miles
(1,165 km) of Appalachian streams were buried by valley fills between 1985
to 2001.[5]
On September 28, 2010, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA)
independent Science Advisory Board (SAB) released their first draft review
of EPA’s research into the water quality impacts of valley fills associated
with mountaintop mining, agreeing with EPA’s conclusion that valley fills
are associated with increased levels of conductivity threatening aquatic
life in surface waters.
Although U.S. mountaintop removal sites by law must
be reclaimed after mining is complete, reclamation has traditionally focused
on stabilizing rock formations and controlling for erosion, and not on the
reforestation of the affected area. Fast-growing,
non-native flora such as
Lespedeza cuneata, planted to quickly provide
vegetation on a site, compete with tree seedlings, and trees have difficulty
establishing root systems in compacted backfill. Consequently,
biodiversity suffers in a region of the United
States with numerous
endemic species.[41]
In addition, reintroduced
elk (Cervus
canadensis) on mountaintop removal sites in Kentucky are eating tree
seedlings.
Advocates of MTR claim that once the areas are
reclaimed as mandated by law, the area can provide flat land suitable for
many uses in a region where flat land is at a premium. They also maintain
that the new growth on reclaimed mountaintop mined areas is better suited to
support populations of game animals.
Jensen Comment
An explosive externality (nonconvexity in mathematical economics) is centers on
greenhouse gas emissions and the setting of laws and regulations on such
emissions. If we get beyond the outlier sensationalism of the "emissions are
destroying the planet" versus "humans need jobs" extremes, there is a laboratory
of sorts to study the emissions problems in our troubled state of California
that has some of the worst air pollution problems in the United States and some
of the worst economic problems (job losses, traffic congestion, refinery
shortages, budget deficits, high taxes, labor strife, etc.) in the United
States.
This is also one of the most troubling research problems in accountancy where
the problems of measuring the costs of externalities are known but the research
answers range from "we can't measure these costs" to "superficial research"
recommendations that should be published as sick humor rather than academic
research. Some of the less-than-stellar accounting research in this area,
including my own not-so-great research publications, are cited at
http://maaw.info/SocialAccountingMain.htm
Accounting issues brought up in the above Rand Corporation study could be
pursued to great depths by researchers who have both accounting and engineering
backgrounds. Several examples are shown below:
Page 14
The second reason for the large discrepancy in
estimated impact is an accounting problem. To the extent that liquid fuel
providers are able to comply with the LCFS, they must do so by purchasing
credits from non-liquid fuel providers (like utilities that provide
electricity) and blending low carbon ethanol. Any electricity consumed for
transportation in the CALD-GEM model is automatically credited to the fuels
industry (and treated as a transfer between the purchasers of liquid motor
fuels and electricity, bearing no net cost). So the only compliance strategy
available within the model (and arguably, in reality as well), is to blend
lower carbon ethanol. The accounting problem arises from the fact that the
state’s GHG inventory and emissions targets are based on x combustion,
rather than the life-cycle perspective used in the LCFS. Practically, this
means that a substitute fuel must produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions
during the combustion stage than the one it displaces in order to affect GHG
reductions for the inventory targets. While the LCFS does indeed force fuel
providers to blend lower carbon ethanol (either from Brazilian sugarcane or
cellulosic ethanol made from one of many different feedstocks and conversion
processes), this ethanol is chemically no different from the corn ethanol
that is prominent now. Ethanol produces fewer greenhouse gas emissions
through combustion than California’s blended gasoline, but the low-carbon
intensity ethanol is no better than corn in this respect. Emissions
reductions do occur over the life-cycle of the fuel, reducing the total GHG
emissions for which California can be said to be responsible, but these
“upstream” reductions accrue in other states — during the cultivation of
ethanol feedstocks and across the transportation and distribution phases of
the fuel, rather than during combustion. These emissions reductions do not
contribute to the targets. Only by increasing the overall quantity of
ethanol consumed — for example, by subsidizing the consumption of E85 — and
displacing gasoline, can the LCFS affect reductions in GHG emissions.
Unfortunately, the ARB’s estimated emissions savings from the program simply
represents a 10% reduction in the CO2 emissions from the combustion of motor
fuels based on the goal of the standards to reduce emissions by 10%
(California Air Resources Board, 2009e). However, one cannot expect fuel
providers to reduce the emissions from motor fuel combustion when the
standard allows them to achieve credits by reducing the CO2 emissions in
other stages of the fuels’ life-cycle, even though they occur beyond
California’s boarders. The accounting discrepancy is not a large problem for
electricity, which incurs most of its life-cycle carbon emissions when it is
generated, but represents a considerable challenge for compliance strategies
that rely heavily on ethanol blending.
Page 15
This is a shortcoming of California’s current
strategy, and represents an important disconnect between the accounting
methodology used to calculate the state’s Greenhouse Gas Inventory and the
methodology used to estimate savings from the LCFS. Updating the LCFS
standards for carbon intensity so that they are based on the baseline GHG
emissions from combustion, rather than the full life-cycle, could induce the
desired GHG savings from combustion, but would change the nature of the
standards. Alternatively, since emissions reductions would occur in other
states as a result ...
Page 90
The ARB estimates the carbon intensity of Midwestern
corn ethanol to be 98gCO2/MJ, compared to the most current EPA estimate of
75gCO2/MJ. If the ARB revises its estimates downward, making conventional
corn ethanol significantly less carbon intensive, the program costs
associated with the LCFS could drop dramatically. However, the carbon
intensity of Brazilian sugarcane is even more adversely impacted by the
current land-use impact estimate than Midwestern corn ethanol and would
benefit even more if the EPA’s carbon intensity values are used. If the
carbon intensity estimates are revised for all fuels in the program
(including California reformulated gasoline (E10), the baseline fuel on
which the carbon intensity targets are based) based on EPA’s methodology,
Brazilian sugarcane would be an even more attractive alternative to corn
ethanol. However, such accounting changes will also, predictably, lead to
lower consumption of lignocellulosic ethanol until it is fully
cost-competitive with existing corn-based products. Program changes that
make readily-available Brazilian ethanol more attractive could reduce
program costs and provide reassurance to fuel providers worries about the
rate of progress in the advanced ethanol market.
Page 98
One important distinction to note in a carbon specific policy, whether tax
or permit based, is that carbon can be assessed either at the point where
fuel is burned or through the entire life-cycle of the fuel. Using a
life-cycle perspective requires additional accounting on the part of
regulators, and increases the burden of monitoring transportation fuel
providers to ensure that the fuels brought to market use approved pathways
(for production, distribution, etc). These estimates of carbon intensity for
fuel pathways are likely to be contentious, as providers petition for lower
regulatory estimates of carbon intensity for their fuel products.
Page 142
The remaining facets of the policy are modeled
faithfully. The LCFS regulations allow for some flexibility in credit
accounting from one year to the next. In particular, fuel providers
(industry, in this case) may carry credits over from one year to the next.
Page 184
Transportation fuels are likely to enter the state’s
cap-and-trade program in some capacity by 2016, but the precise accounting
methodology by which the passenger transportation sector complies with a
carbon cap has yet to be defined. As a simplification, all of the potential
VMT levers are modeled as fuel tax increases — above the current California
fuel excise tax of $0.355/gallon and federal fuel excise tax of
$0.184/gallon. These policies are implemented in 2016 and are fixed at the
same level until the end of the simulation in 2020.
Page 198
The methodology used to estimate statewide carbon
emissions is still evolving and being integrated into the regulatory
definitions of the state’s cap-and-trade program, which will also be
administered by the Air Resources Board. This creates ambiguity about the
carbon accounting methodology for transportation fuels, which are scheduled
to enter the cap-and-trade program in 2015.
Page 216
The second reason for the large discrepancy in
estimated impact is an accounting problem. To the extent that liquid fuel
providers are able to comply with the LCFS, they must do so by purchasing
credits from non-liquid fuel providers (like utilities that provide
electricity) and blending low carbon ethanol. Any electricity consumed for
transportation in the CALD-GEM model is automatically credited to the fuels
industry (and treated as a transfer between the purchasers of liquid motor
fuels and electricity, bearing no net cost).
Page 281
Definitions and accounting practices are
important considerations
Human Resource Accounting for Financial Statements
The value of human resource employees in a business is currently not booked
and usually not even disclosed as an estimated amount in footnotes. In general a
"value" is booked into the ledger only when cash or explicit contractual
liabilities are transacted such as a bonus paid for a professional athlete or
other employee. James Martin provides an excellent bibliography on the academic
literature concerning human resource accounting ---
http://maaw.info/HumanResourceAccMain.htm
What turned into a sick joke was the KPMG Twist applied to valuing the
executives of Worldcom who later went to prison:
KPMG’s “Unusual Twist”
While KPMG's strategy isn't uncommon among corporations with lots of units
in different states, the accounting firm offered an unusual twist: Under
KPMG's direction, WorldCom treated "foresight of top management" as an
intangible asset akin to patents or trademarks.
See http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudEnron.htm#WorldcomFraud
Punch Line
This "foresight of top management" led to a 25-year prison sentence for
Worldcom's CEO, five years for the CFO (which in his case was much to
lenient) and one year plus a day for the controller (who ended up having to
be in prison for only ten months.) Yes all that reported goodwill in the
balance sheet of Worldcom was an unusual twist.
Early experiments to book human resource values into the ledger usually were
abandoned after a brief experiment. Investors and analysts placed little, if any
faith, in human resource value estimates such as the R.G. Barry experiments
years ago.
There are many problems with assigning an estimated value to human resources.
Aside from being able to unattribute future cash flow streams to particular
employees, there's the enormous problem that employees are no longer slaves
that can be bought, sold, and traded without their permission. And employees
may simply resign at will outside the control of their employers, although in
some cases they do so by paying contractual penalties that they agreed to when
signing employment contracts.
Another problem is bifurcation of the value of a valuable employee from the
subset of other employees and circumstances such as group esprit de corps ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Esprit_de_corps_%28disambiguation%29
A great pitcher needs a great catcher and seven other players on the field that
can make great defensive plays. The President of the United States may be less
important than the staff surrounding that President. A bad staff can do a lot to
bring down a President. This had a lot to do with the downfall of President
Carter.
Another problems is that greatness of an employee may vary dramatically with
circumstances. Winston Churchill was a great leader and inspiration in the
darkest days of World War II. But his value should've been subject to very rapid
accelerated depreciation. He was a lousy leader after the end of the war,
including making some awful choices such as chemical weapons use on some tribes
in Iraq.
"Power From the People: Can human Capital Financial Statements Allow
Companies to Measure the Value of Their Employees?," by David McCann, CFO
Magazine, November 2011, pp. 52-59 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/14604427?f=search
If a company's most important assets are indeed its
people, as corporate executives parrot endlessly, that's news to investors,
analysts, and even, as it turns out, many companies.
It is hardly a secret that the industrial economy
that prevailed for two centuries has evolved into a talent-driven,
knowledge-based economy. Still, extant accounting standards define "assets"
mostly in terms of cash, receivables, and hard goods like property,
equipment, and inventory, even though the value of many companies lies
chiefly in the experience and efforts of their employees.
Public companies are required to disclose virtually
nothing about their human capital other than the compensation packages of
top executives, and most are happy to report only that. The furthest most
companies will go in reporting on human capital within their public filings
is to mention "key-man" risks and executive succession plans.
More than two decades ago, Jac Fitz-enz and Wayne
Cascio separately pioneered the idea that metrics could shine a light on
human-capital value. From their work grew the notion that formal reporting
of such metrics could add value to financial statements. That discussion
simmered quietly for many years, but recently it has grown more bubbly, as
some of the best minds in human-capital management and workforce analytics
work hard to influence the acceptance of such reporting.
Some are crafting detailed structures for what they
generally refer to as human-capital financial statements or reports, which
would complement (but not replace) traditional financial reporting. Their
goal is to quantify a company's financial results as a return on
people-related expenditures, and express a company's value as a measure of
employee productivity.
To be sure, finance and human-resources executives
alike have long considered many important aspects of human-capital value to
be unquantifiable. That's why an effort by the Society for Human Resource
Management, less-granular than some similar efforts but very well organized,
shows promise to have a sizable impact. SHRM's Investor Metrics Workgroup,
in conjunction with American National Standards Institute (ANSI), is
developing recommendations for broad standards on human-capital reporting.
The group plans to release its recommendations for public comment early in
2012. Should ANSI certify the standards, the next phase would be a marketing
campaign aimed at investor groups and analysts, encouraging them to demand
that companies provide the information.
If demand for that data were to reach a critical
mass, then presumably accounting-standards setters would eventually look at
adopting some type of human-capital reporting, and the Securities and
Exchange Commission and other regulators would subsequently get involved. Of
course, that's a grand vision, and even its most optimistic proponents admit
that it will take at least a decade, and probably twice that long, to fully
materialize.
But the SHRM group's chair, Laurie Bassi, is
confident that the effort will succeed, however long it may take. "It's
going to serve as a catalyst for change," says Bassi, a labor economist and
human-capital-management consultant. "When investors start to demand this
information, it's going to be a wake-up call for many, many companies. For
some well-managed, well-run firms it won't be a stretch, but others will be
hard-pressed to produce the information in a meaningful way."
Bassi says that the driving forces behind the
effort boil down to two things: "supply and demand, or, you might say,
opportunity and necessity."
On the supply/opportunity side, advancing
technology and lower computing costs have greatly eased the collection and
crunching of people-related data, enabling companies to get their arms
around what's going on with their human capital in a much more analytic,
metrics-driven way than was possible a few years ago. The demand/necessity
side is that, driven by macroeconomic forces, human-capital management is
emerging as a core competency for employers, particularly those in
high-wage, developed nations.
Something for (Almost) Everyone Investors and
analysts aren't demanding human-capital reporting yet, but they might not
need much prodding. Upon hearing for the first time about SHRM's project,
Matt Orsagh, director of capital-markets policy for the CFA Institute, says
that "it sounds fabulous. I want all the transparency and inputs I can have.
Quantifying the worth of human capital would be fantastic, because right now
you have to take it on faith, and I don't know if I can trust it."
Predictably, some CFOs are less enthusiastic. "It's
a fair point that the balance sheet doesn't recognize the value of human
capital, and certainly not the full value of your intellectual property,"
says John Leahy, finance chief at iRobot, a publicly traded, $400 million
firm. "For a high-growth technology company like ours, there is significant
intrinsic value in the know-how and innovation of our people, which is why
we've traded over the last couple of years at a fairly attractive multiple.
Buffett’s reluctance to sell loser portfolio
operating companies or fire under performing managers means he has to make
repetitive $5 billion Bank of America and Goldman Sachs preferred stock
plays to compensate for tragic flaws like misplaced loyalty and day-to-day
conflict avoidance.
And then there’s the numbers.
Berkshire Hathaway is a publicly traded company,
listed on the New York Stock Exchange and regulated by the Securities and
Exchange Commission. The integrity of Berkshire Hathaway’s external
financial reporting should be ensured by the strictures of the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. Berkshire Hathaway and Warren Buffett, however,
pay no more than lip service to the requirements and reject many other
recommended corporate governance practices.
What’s left – of the financial reporting process,
the internal audit organization, and the external audit relationship – is
not enough, in my opinion, to prevent someone from spinning straw into gold.
Questionable corporate political campaign finance
practices and foreign corrupt practices in the mid -1970s prompted the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission and the U.S. Congress to enact campaign
finance law reforms and the 1977 Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA) which
criminalized transnational bribery and required companies to implement
internal control programs. The Treadway Commission, a private-sector
initiative, was formed in 1985 to inspect, analyze, and make recommendations
on fraudulent corporate financial reporting. The original chairman of the
Treadway Commission was James C. Treadway, Jr., Executive Vice President and
General Counsel, Paine Webber and a former Commissioner of the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission.
The accounting industry regulator,
the PCAOB, tells us that existing auditing
standards are neutral regarding the internal control framework that auditors
use for obtaining an understanding of internal controls over financial
reporting (ICFR), testing and evaluating controls, and, in integrated
audits, reporting on ICFR. For integrated audits, PCAOB standards state that
auditors should use the same internal control framework that management
uses.
Since the Committee Of Sponsoring Organizations of
the Treadway Commission’s (COSO) Internal Control-Integrated Framework
(IC-IF) was published in 1992, many companies and auditors have used IC-IF
as their framework in considering internal control over financial reporting.
Also, since companies and auditors began reporting on the effectiveness of
ICFR pursuant to §404 of Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, many of those companies
and auditors have used IC-IF as the framework for evaluating and reporting
on ICFR.
Before leading the Treadway Commission, before the
savings and loan scandals of the 1980’s, before Enron and the rest of the
scandals of the 90’s such as WorldCom, Tyco, Adelphia, HealthSouth, and many
others, James Treadway, SEC Commissioner, made a speech about financial
fraud. His remarks specifically mentioned corporate structure, in
particular a decentralized organizational structure, as a common
characteristic of companies involved in financial fraud.
I refer to a decentralized corporate structure,
with autonomous divisional management. Such a structure is intended to
encourage responsibility, productivity, and therefore profits—all
entirely laudable objectives. But the unfortunate corollary has been a
lack of accountability.
The situation has been exacerbated when central
headquarters has unilaterally set profit goals for a division or,
without expressly stating goals, applied steady pressure for increased
profits. Either way, the pressure has created an atmosphere in which
falsification of books and records at middle and lower levels became
possible, even predictable. This atmosphere has caused middle and lower
level management and entire divisions to adopt the attitude that the
outright falsification of book and records on a regular, on going,
pervasive basis is an entirely appropriate way to achieve unrealistic
profit objectives, as long as the falsifications get by the independent
auditors, who are viewed as fair game to be deceived.
Treadway goes on to describe a company that’s
almost an exact replica of Berkshire Hathaway. What’s most troubling is
that nearly thirty years later there’s no excuse – lack of technology, real
time communications, or specific regulatory requirements - for these
conditions to still exist in a company of the size and systemic importance
of Berkshire Hathaway. The weaknesses remain by design, not by default,
which begs the question of whether they could serve an illegal or unethical
purpose at any time.
PUMA HAS UNVEILED the first
global environmental profit and loss account, with the help of PwC and
analysts Trucost. It is the first time water
usage and carbon emissions have been monetised. The sportswear retailervalues
both commodities for 2010 to be in the region of €94.4m (£81.9m).
Trucost worked on collating the data with PwC organising
and reporting the findings as well as valuing the commodities. ThePumaboard was hoping to complete the environmental P&L
alongside its annual report however, it missed the deadline and has released
the information as a standalone statement. In future the annual report will
contain the environmental information as part of its financial statements.
More than 3,000 companies worldwide, including more
than two-thirds of the Fortune Global 500.
2. Why report on sustainability if you don't have
to?
Increasingly, external stakeholders such as
institutional investors expect it. Reporting can also bring operational
improvements, strengthen compliance, and enhance your corporate reputation.
3. What information should a sustainability report
contain?
Reports should contain key performance indicators
relevant to the reporter’s industry. Four principles for deciding what to
include are materiality, stakeholder inclusiveness, sustainability context,
and completeness.
4. What governance, systems and processes are
needed to report on sustainability?
Governance requires a high-level mandate and clear
reporting lines. Also needed: robust systems and processes that help
companies collect, store and analyze sustainability information.
5. Do sustainability reports have to be
audited?
Not yet. But they are being more closely monitored
than ever before. As this trend continues, users of sustainability
information will come to expect that the information has been validated by a
reliable third party.
6. What are the challenges and risks of reporting?
Sustainability reporting presents many challenges,
including data consistency, striking a balance between positive and negative
information, continually improving performance and keeping reports readable
and concise.
7. How can companies get the most value out of
sustainability reporting?
Sustainability reports should be mandatory reading
for all employees, and can be a valuable tool for communicating with
external audiences as well. Setting targets in the form of KPIs also forces
the organization to meet publicly stated goals, which makes reporting an
accountability tool.
Download the full report: Seven questions CEOs and
boards should ask about triple bottom line reporting
Banks Illustrate the Hypocrisy of Social Responsibility
Accounting
We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great
ones to public office. Aesop
That
some bankers have ended up in prison is not a matter of scandal, but
what is outrageous is the fact that all the others are free.
Honoré de Balzac
Politicians
and regulators have been slow to wake up to the destructive
impact of banks on the rest of society. Their lust for profits
and financial engineering has brought us the
sub-prime crisis and possibly a
recession. Billions of pounds have been
wiped off the value of people's
savings, pensions and investments.
Despite
this, banks are set to make
record profits (in the U.K.) and their
executives will be collecting bumper salaries and bonuses. These
profits are boosted by
preying on customers in debt, making
exorbitant
charges and failing to pass on the
benefit of cuts in
interest rates. Banks indulge in
insider trading, exploit
charity laws and have sold suspect
payment protection insurance policies.
As usual, the annual financial reports published by banks will
be opaque and will provide no clues to their antisocial
practices.
Some
governments are now also waking up to the involvement of banks
in organised
tax avoidance and evasion. Banks have
long been at the heart of the tax avoidance industry. In 2003,
the US Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations
concluded (pdf) that the development
and sale of potentially abusive and illegal tax shelters have
become a lucrative business for accounting firms, banks,
investment advisory firms and law firms. Banks use clever
avoidance schemes,
transfer pricing schemes and
offshore (pdf) entities, not only to
avoid their
own taxes but also to help their rich
clients do the same.
The role
of banks in enabling
Enron, the disgraced US energy giant,
to avoid taxes worldwide, is well
documented (pdf) by the US Senate
joint committee on taxation. Enron used complex corporate
structures and transactions to avoid taxes in the US and many
other countries. The Senate Committee noted (see pages 10 and
107) that some of the complex schemes were devised by Bankers
Trust, Chase Manhattan and Deutsche Bank, among others. Another
Senate
report (pdf) found that resources were
also provided by the Salomon Smith Barney unit of Citigroup and
JP Morgan Chase & Co.
The
involvement of banks is essential as they can front corporate
structures and have the resources - actually our savings and
pension contributions - to provide finance for the complex
layering of transactions. After examining the scale of tax
evasion schemes by
KPMG, the US Senate committee
concluded (pdf) that complex tax
avoidance schemes could not have been executed without the
active and willing participation of banks. It noted (page 9)
that "major banks, such as Deutsche Bank, HVB, UBS, and NatWest,
provided purported loans for tens of millions of dollars
essential to the orchestrated transactions," and a subsequent
report (pdf) (page111) added "which
the banks knew were tax motivated, involved little or no credit
risk, and facilitated potentially abusive or illegal tax
shelters".
The
Senate report (pdf) noted (page 112)
that Deutsche Bank provided some $10.8bn of credit lines, HVB
Bank $2.5bn and UBS provided several billion Swiss francs, to
operationalise complex avoidance schemes. NatWest was also a key
player and provided about $1bn (see
page 72 [pdf])
of credit lines.
Deutsche
Bank has been the subject of a US
criminal investigation and in 2007 it
reached an out-of-court settlement with several wealthy
investors, who had been sold aggressive US tax shelters.
Some
predatory practices have also been identified in other
countries. In 2004, after a six-year investigation, the
National Irish Bank was fined £42m for
tax evasion. The bank's personnel promoted offshore investment
policies as a secure destination for funds that had not been
declared to the revenue commissioners. A government report found
that almost the entire former senior management at the bank
played some role in tax evasion scams. The external auditors,
KPMG, and the bank's own audit committee were also found to have
played a role in allowing tax evasion.
In the UK,
successive governments have shown little interest in mounting an
investigation into the role of banks in tax avoidance though
some banks have been persuaded to inform authorities of the
offshore accounts held by private
individuals. No questions have been asked about how banks avoid
their taxes and how they lubricate the giant and destructive tax
avoidance industry. When asked "if he will commission research
on the levels of use of offshore tax havens by UK banks and the
economic effects of that use," the chancellor of the exchequer
replied: "There are no plans to
commission research on the levels of use of offshore tax havens
by UK banks and the economic effects of that use."
Anyone visiting the
websites of banks or browsing through their annual reports will
find no shortage of claims of "corporate social responsibility".
Yet their practices rarely come anywhere near their claims.
In
pursuit of higher profits and bumper executive rewards,
banks have inflicted both the credit crunch and sub-prime
crisis on us. Their sub-prime activities may also be steeped
in
fraud and mis-selling of
mortgage securities. They have
developed onshore and offshore structures and practices to
engage in
insider trading,
corruption,
sham tax-avoidance transactions
and
tax evasion. Money laundering is
another money-spinner.
Worldwide
over $2tn are estimated to be
laundered each year. The laundered
amounts fund private armies, terrorism, narcotics, smuggling,
corruption, tax evasion and criminal activity and generally
threaten quality of life. Large amounts of money cannot be
laundered without the involvement of
accountants, lawyers, financial
advisers and banks.
The US is the
world's biggest laundry and European countries are not far
behind. Banks are required to have internal controls and systems
to monitor suspicious transactions and report them to
regulators. As with any form of regulation, corporations enjoy
considerable discretion about what they record and report.
Profits come above everything else.
A
US government report (see page 31)
noted that "the New York branch of ABN AMRO, a banking
institution, did not have anti-money laundering program and had
failed to monitor approximately $3.2 billion - involving
accounts of US shell companies and institutions in Russian and
other former republics of the Soviet Union".
A US
Senate report on the Riggs Bank noted that it had developed
novel strategies for concealing its trade with General Augusto
Pinochet, former Chilean dictator. It noted (page
2) that the bank "disregarded its
anti-money laundering (AML) obligations ... despite frequent
warnings from ... regulators, and allowed or, at times, actively
facilitated suspicious financial activity". The committee
chairman
Senator Carl Levin
stated that "the 'Don't ask,
Don't tell policy' at Riggs allowed the bank to pursue profits
at the expense of proper controls ... Million-dollar cash
deposits, offshore shell corporations, suspicious wire
transfers, alteration of account names - all the classic signs
of money laundering and foreign corruption made their appearance
at Riggs Bank".
The Senate
committee report (see
page 7) stated that:
"Over the past 25 years, multiple financial institutions
operating in the United States, including Riggs Bank,
Citigroup, Banco de Chile-United States, Espirito Santo Bank
in Miami, and others, enabled [former Chilean dictator]
Augusto Pinochet to construct a web of at least 125 US bank
and securities accounts, involving millions of dollars,
which he used to move funds and transact business. In many
cases, these accounts were disguised by using a variant of
the Pinochet name, an alias, the name of an offshore entity,
or the name of a third party willing to serve as a conduit
for Pinochet funds."
The Senate
report stated (page
28) that "In addition to opening
multiple accounts for Mr Pinochet in the United States and
London, Riggs took several actions consistent with helping Mr
Pinochet evade a court order attempting to freeze his bank
accounts and escape notice by law enforcement". Riggs bank's
files and papers (see
page 27) contained "no reference to or
acknowledgment of the ongoing controversies and litigation
associating Mr Pinochet with human rights abuses, corruption,
arms sales, and drug trafficking. It makes no reference to
attachment proceedings that took place the prior year, in which
the Bermuda government froze certain assets belonging to Mr
Pinochet pursuant to a Spanish court order - even though ...
senior Riggs officials obtained a memorandum summarizing those
proceedings from outside legal Counsel."
The bank's
profile did not identify Pinochet by name and at times he is
referred to (see
page 25) as "a retired professional,
who achieved much success in his career and accumulated wealth
during his lifetime for retirement in an orderly way" (p
25) ... with a "High paying position
in Public Sector for many years" (p
25) ... whose source of his
initial wealth was "profits & dividends from several business[es]
family owned" (p
27) ... the source of his current
income is "investment income, rental income, and pension fund
payments from previous posts " (p
27).
Finger is
also pointed at other banks. Barclays France, Société
Marseillaise de Credit, owned by HSBC, and the National Bank of
Pakistan are facing
allegations of money laundering. In
2002,
HSBC was facing a fine by the Spanish
authorities for operating a series of opaque bank accounts for
wealthy businessmen and professional football players.
Regulators in India are investigating an alleged $8bn (£4bn)
money laundering operation involving
UBS.
Nigeria's
corrupt rulers are estimated to have
stolen
around £220bn over four decades and channelled them through
banks in London, New York, Jersey,
Switzerland, Austria, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg and Germany. The
Swiss authorities repatriated some of the monies stolen by
former dictator
General Sani Abacha.
A report by the Swiss federal banking commission noted (page
7) that there were instances of serious individual failure
or misconduct at some banks. The banks were named as "three
banks in the Credit Suisse Group (Credit Suisse, Bank Hofmann AG
and Bank Leu AG), Crédit Agricole Indosuez (Suisse) SA, UBP
Union Bancaire Privée and MM Warburg Bank (Schweiz) AG".
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Prem Sikka has written a rather brief but comprehensive summary of many of the
bad things banks have been caught doing and in many cases still getting away
with. Accounting standards have be complicit in many of these frauds, especially
FAS 140 (R) which allowed banks to sell bundles of "securitized" mortgage notes
from SPE's (now called VIEs) using borrowed funds that are kept off balance
sheet in these entities called SPEs/VIEs. The FASB had in mind that responsible
companies (read that banks) would not issue debt in excess of the value of the
collateral (e.g., mortgage properties). But FAS 140 (R) fails to allow for the
fact that collateral values such as real estate values may be expanding in a
huge bubble about to burst and leave the bank customers and possibly the banks
themselves owing more than the values of the securities bundles of notes. Add to
this the frauds that typically take place in valuing collateral in the first
place, and you have FAS 140 (R) allowing companies, notably banks, incurring
huge losses on debt that was never booked due to FAS 140 (R).
Then there are the many illegal temptations which lure in banks such as
profitable money laundering and the various departures from ethics discussed
above by Prem Sikka.
SUMMARY: This
article addresses a proposed bailout plan for $100 billion
of commercial paper to maintain liquidity in credit markets
that have faced turmoil since July 2007, and the fact that
this bailout "...raises two crucial questions: Why didn't
investors see the problems coming? And how could they have
happened in the first place?" The author emphasizes that
post-Enron accounting rules "...were supposed to prevent
companies from burying risks in off-balance sheet vehicles."
He argues that the new rules still allow for some
off-balance sheet entities and that "...the new rules in
some ways made it even harder for investors to figure out
what was going on."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The bailout plan is a response to risks and
losses associated with special purpose entities (SPEs) that
qualified for non-consolidation under Statement of Financial
Accounting Standards 140, Accounting for Transfers and
Servicing of financial Assets and Extinguishments of
Liabilities, and Financial Interpretation (FIN) 46(R),
Consolidation of Variable Interest Entities.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Summarize the plan to guarantee liquidity in commercial
paper markets as described in the related article. In your
answer, define the term structured investment vehicles (SIVs).
2.) The author writes that SIVs "...don't get recorded on
banks books...." What does this mean? Present your answer in
terms of treatment of qualifying special purpose entities (SPEs)
under Statement of Financial Accounting Standards 140,
Accounting for Transfers and Servicing Financial Assets and
Extinguishments of Liabilities.
3.) The author argues that current accounting standards make
it difficult for investors to figure out what was going on
in markets that now need bailing out. Explain this argument.
In your answer, comment on the quotations from Citigroup's
financial statements as provided in the article.
4.) How might reliance on "principles-based" versus
"rules-based" accounting standards contribute to solving the
reporting dilemmas described in this article?
5.) How might the use of more "principles-based standards"
potentially add more "fuel to the fire" of problems
associated with these special purpose entities?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Low chances of preventing another global banking crisis
I have an article today on The Guardian website
with the title "After Northern Rock". The lead line reads "The government's
proposals for preventing another banking crisis are inadequate and will not
work without major surgery". It is available at
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/prem_sikka_/2008/02/after_northern_rock.html
As many of you will know Northern Rock, a UK bank,
is a casualty of the subprime crisis and has been bailed out by the UK
government, which could possibly cost the UK taxpayer £100 billion. My
article looks at the reform proposals floated by the government to prevent a
repetition. These have been formulated without any investigation of the
problems. Within the space permitted, the article refers to a number of
major flaws, including regulatory, auditing and governance failures, as well
offshore, remuneration and moral hazard issues.
The above may interest you and you may wish to
contribute to the debate by adding comments.
SUMMARY: Carbon-emission credit markets in California are becoming
active after failure of a lawsuit and a referendum vote designed to block
the cap-and-trade system that is becoming effective on January 1, 2013.
Energy companies operating in California such as Constellation, a unit of
Exelon, and NRG Energy, Inc., are trading in the market.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in any financial or
managerial accounting class to introduce the topic of carbon credits and
their trading. Question 4 asks students to consider accounting practices;
they might conclude that the expenditure for an emission allowances
purchases an asset that is either an intangible or a derivative. There are
no financial reporting standards on this topic in U.S. GAAP and the FASB has
idled a project it once began on the subject. Issues faced in Europe on this
subject are well summarized in the following article Jan Bebbington & Carlos
Larrinaga-González (2008): Carbon Trading: Accounting and Reporting Issues,
European Accounting Review, 17:4, 697-717 (available online at
http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/09638180802489162)
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) How do carbon emissions allowances work? In your
answer, explain the statement in the article that "California's cap on
statewide emissions drops every year, likely raising demand for allowances."
2. (Advanced) What is a carbon emissions allowances trading market?
3. (Introductory) Why have carbon markets in California seen
renewed interest in 2012?
4. (Advanced) Suppose you are an accountant for a California based
power plant, which has recently purchased carbon credits to meet its
required limit on total carbon emissions. How would you account for the
purchase of these credits? When would the benefit of these allowances be
used up?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
After a series of false starts, the market for
trading carbon-emission credits is showing new signs of life in California.
Trading volumes for these carbon credits—which
allow holders to emit as many greenhouse-gas emissions as they want,
provided they acquire enough of them—are at a nine-month high. Prices are up
1% since the start of this year, even as prices on carbon allowances
elsewhere in the world are plumbing lows.
While federal efforts to regulate carbon-dioxide
pollution collapsed in 2010—and other carbon markets have run into
trouble—California is now on track to implement its own laws capping
heat-trapping gases that scientists believe contribute to climate change. As
the Jan. 1, 2013, start date for the new rules approaches and as opponents
of the rules run out of time to mount new legal challenges, operators of
power plants, oil refineries and other facilities are wading in to purchase
credits.
The spurt of activity has been a score for a small
group of traders and other investors who had wagered that California
officials would prevail in a lawsuit and a referendum that sought to block
the cap on carbon-dioxide emissions. They say they see more opportunity to
stock up on credits, ahead of an expected spike in demand next year.
Enlarge Image image image
"What's changed is we are really at a phase now
where [California is] in implementation mode," said Greg Arnold, president
at CE2 Carbon Capital, a fund backed by private-equity firm Energy Capital
Partners that owns carbon contracts, expecting prices to rise.
California's cap on statewide emissions drops every
year, likely raising demand for allowances.
It is mostly power producers and other companies
that will need credits in the market today. But that could change as volume
picks up, traders say, as investors come in to speculate on the direction of
prices.
"Once we get going, the hedge funds will be there,"
said Randall Lack, founder of Element Markets in Houston, an asset manager
that helps clients hedge in carbon markets.
A state appeals court in June upheld California's
cap-and-trade program and dismissed a lawsuit filed by some community groups
that had argued the program wouldn't reduce emissions.
Trading picked up in carbon credits, or allowances,
soon after. More than 1,000 contracts traded on the IntercontinentalExchange
in August, up from 246 in May, the month before the lawsuit was dismissed.
Prices for contracts promising the delivery of 1,000 California carbon
allowances in December 2013 hit an 11-month high of $20.10 a metric ton on
July 24 on the ICE.
But the market turned again in August, after
regulators said they would reconsider the way they plan to enforce a ban on
shuffling out-of-state energy purchases to claim an emissions reduction. Any
changes made to the rules might affect the number of credits California
power producers need to buy. Credits settled at $15.65 a ton on Friday.
Some still think the carbon market is too risky.
"We are supposed to be getting off the starting blocks soon, but California
has made it clear if there are any issues, possible further delays are not
off the table," said Francisco Padua, manager of environmental commodities
at brokerage firm Amerex Brokers LLC.
The cap-and-trade program is proceeding on schedule
and there are no proposed rule changes pending, said Air Resources Board
spokesman Dave Clegern.
The thesis concerns the search for a converged
International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS) and U. S. GAAP standard to
account for carbon credit trading schemes. Many nations, including those in
the European Union, have adopted carbon credit trading schemes in order to
reduce carbon emissions. Carbon emissions trading schemes present many
accounting challenges, including the exact nature of the credits and how to
measure the obligation to which credits will be applied. However, there is
not a standard to address these accounting issues. The short-lived former
standard was withdrawn because of extensive shortcomings. Currently,
participating companies use a variety of approaches to account for carbon
credits, and this creates comparability issues in the financial statements.
A survey was conducted of graduate accounting students and accounting
professionals to solicit input on the possible ways to account for carbon
credits. The survey contained a scenario of a company’s carbon activity for
the year. Five distinct approaches were gathered from the surveys and were
scrutinized using existing accounting standards and frameworks promulgated
by IFRS and US GAAP. The conclusion was reached that carbon credits granted
by the government are not actually a government grant; they should be netted
out by an allowance for granted credits. It was also concluded that a
liability should be measured as the estimated excess of carbon emissions
over held credits both at interim and year-end reporting dates. It was also
concluded that the research was limited by the lack of a converged IFRS/US
GAAP framework, the small size of the survey, and the lack of development of
carbon credit trading schemes to date.
An August 17 California
appeals court ruling rejected a public employee union's claim that its members
had a right to "pension spiking," which the court described as "various
stratagems and ploys to inflate their income and retirement benefits." Public
employees often will pad their final salary total with vacation leave, bonuses
and "special pay" categories to inflate the pension benefits they receive for
the rest of their lives.
https://reason.com/archives/2016/09/02/is-ruling-too-late-to-fix-californias-pe
But it's probably too late to do much good.
EY: GASB overhauls government retiree health care rules
What you need to know
• The GASB issued final guidance that will
change how state and local g overnment s calculate and report the costs
and obligations associated with defined benefit other postemployment
benefit (OPEB) plans .
• Government employers that do not prefund OPEB
obligations will have to record a gross OPEB liability , while those
that fund their OPEB plans through a trust that meets the specified
criteria will have to record a net OPEB liability in their accrual -
basis financial statements based on the plan fiduciary net position
rather than plan funding.
• The new standard will make a government’s
obligations more transparent, and m any governments will likely report a
much larger OPEB liability than they do today.
• The guidance is effective for fiscal years
beginning after 15 June 201 7 , and early application is encouraged.
As a part of the response to the call for increased
transparency and accountability among not-for-profit entities (NFPs), FASB
has taken on a project to improve the existing NFP financial reporting
model. The goal is to improve the usefulness of NFP financial statements by
providing better information about an NFP's liquidity, financial
performance, and cash flows to the primary users of financial statements,
governing boards, donors, grantors, creditors, and other stakeholders of
NFPs.
The fundamental reporting model for NFPs has
existed for over 20 years. During that time, NFP organizations have
developed different methods of reporting their operating results in a way
that conveys the connection between financial choices and mission execution
because existing GAAP does not prescribe a specific way of reporting
operating performance. Additionally, changes in endowment laws together with
the existing framework for reporting restricted and unrestricted net assets,
and the lack of required information about the liquidity of an organization,
have contributed to the confusion in determining whether an NFP is in sound
or poor financial condition.
Northeastern University has agreed to pay $2.7
million to cover nine years of mishandling federal research funds, in the
largest-ever civil settlement with the National Science Foundation.
The case stems from the management of NSF grant
money awarded to Northeastern for work at CERN, the European Organization
for Nuclear Research, from 2001 to 2010. The work was led by a professor of
physics, Stephen Reucroft.
Both the NSF and Northeastern declined to discuss
the matter in detail. But the university issued a written statement that put
the blame largely on Mr. Reucroft, who retired from Northeastern in 2010.
"The conduct in question related to accounting and
grant oversight," Northeastern said in a written statement. "The university
self-reported the discrepancies to the funding agency, the National Science
Foundation, as soon as they were discovered and fully cooperated with the
agency’s review."
But the terms of the $2.7-million settlement
suggested that Northeastern bore substantial responsibility. According to
the agreement, the university failed to provide necessary oversight, failed
to pay interest due, paid salaries without required documentation, and paid
expense money based on inadequate or fraudulent documentation submitted by
Mr. Reucroft.
Northeastern "continued to engage in these
practices when it knew or should have known in 2006, if not before, that
Professor Reucroft had violated NSF requirements when he submitted
fraudulent claims for personal expenses," said the
settlement, which was
signed by
lawyers for Northeastern and by Anita Johnson, an
assistant U.S. attorney in Boston.
Continued in article
One of the problems is that the first trait may make the organization
complacent about the other two traits. Exhibit A is Brigham Young University
that certainly gets an A+ on the "encouraging an ethical culture" trait. But
this made BYU complacent about skepticism and engaging employees in internal
controls. Who would have guessed that a financial officer at BYU would pilfer
hundreds of thousands of dollars (2002)?
http://www.deseretnews.com/article/948838/Ex-BYU-official-is-charged-with-stealing-fees.html?pg=all
PROVO — Prosecutors say that a former BYU finance
officer and his wife used a defunct corporation as a shell to steal hundreds
of thousands of dollars in collection fees from the university over several
years.
In a preliminary hearing Friday in 4th District
Court, deputy Utah County Attorney David Wayment charged that John Davis and
his wife, Carol, used an expired corporate name as a front to skim thousands
in inflated student fees that were supposed to go to collection agencies.
By the end of the four-hour hearing, Judge James
Taylor found probable cause to bind John Davis over on seven counts of theft
and one count of racketeering, all second-degree felonies. Taylor, however,
found the state lacked enough evidence to prove that Carol Davis knew that
potential criminal activity was going on, despite having her name on several
bank accounts related to the crime.
Taylor ordered that four counts of theft and one
count of racketeering be dropped against Carol Davis.
During the hearing, finance officials with Brigham
Young University testified finding strange financial activity involving John
Davis, who worked as BYU's supervisor of collections.
Mark Madsen, assistant treasurer over student
financial services at BYU, testified of finding several checks requested by
John Davis made payable to a company called RCM (Regional Credit
Management). Madsen assumed that the company was a collection agency
contracted with BYU to collect on outstanding debts from students who had
failed to pay their tuition, library fees or parking tickets.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Universities are notorious for relying upon trust without adequate internal
controls. Much of the problem lies in tight budgets and unwillingness to
allocate funds for better internal control systems.
Teaching Case
"The City of Providence, RI: A Case Examining the Financial Condition of a
U.S. Municipality." by Christine E. Earley, Nancy Chun Feng, and Patrick T.
Kelly, Issues in Accounting Education, Volume 30, Issue 2 (May 2015)
---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/iace-51042
This case is not free
ABSTRACT:
This case is intended for use in a wide variety of
learning contexts, including undergraduate and
graduate government and not-for-profit accounting
courses, advanced accounting courses, public policy
courses, along with courses that address municipal
pensions at the college or university level, or
other training programs. The case achieves four
primary objectives: developing proficiency in ratio
analyses for a municipality, conducting research
related to the financial status of a municipality,
improving critical thinking and problem-solving
skills, and developing an awareness of potential
public interest issues facing municipal leaders. We
find that students benefit from analyzing the
financial condition of the City of Providence, RI
and develop critical thinking skills through their
analyses.
BACKGROUND
City of
Providence Overview
The city of Providence,
Rhode Island was founded in 1638 by Roger
Williams, who fled religious persecution in
Massachusetts and started a settlement based on
religious and political freedom (GoProvidence.com
2012). Providence is a
medium-sized city, ranking 134th of U.S. cities
in terms of size (Citymayors.com
2013), with a
population of 178,042 based on the 2010 U.S.
census (United
States Census Bureau 2010).
Mayor Angel Taveras, the
37th mayor and first Latino mayor of Providence,
began serving in January 2011 (Smith
2011).
Due to its easy
accessibility by water, Providence has a rich
history as a major world seaport; but it has
also been vulnerable to hurricanes, experiencing
devastating effects from the great New England
Hurricane of 1938 and Hurricane Carol in 1954.
In the late 1970s the city's infrastructure was
greatly enhanced, and in the 1990s two major
rivers running through the city were uncovered
and moved, adding a pleasing aesthetic aspect to
the city. As a result of the major improvements
to the infrastructure, as well as significant
building projects in the 1990s and the first
decade of the 21st century, the city has
experienced a cultural revival and has been
successful in attracting visitors to its
world-renowned restaurants and cultural events,
particularly Waterfire, an event that occurs
over numerous weekends in the summer and early
fall. Cultural institutions include the Tony
award-winning Trinity Repertory Company and
Providence Performing Arts Center. Providence is
also home to a number of colleges that lend an
academic and innovative air to the city
including Brown University, Providence College,
Rhode Island College, the Rhode Island School of
Design (RISD), and Johnson & Wales University (JWU).
The prominence of RISD has led to growth in the
Providence arts scene, and JWU's culinary school
has fueled the growth and national reputation of
the Providence restaurant scene (GoProvidence.com
2012).
The
Providence Economy
Manufacturing was the
predominant industry in Providence from the
1830s until the 1980s, with the production of
textiles, light metals, and jewelry being most
prevalent. The textile industry saw a sharp
decline in the late 1920s, as companies in the
northern states faced increasing competition
from those in the south, and therefore jewelry
and light metal manufacturing grew to be the
dominant manufacturing sectors during the middle
part of the 20th century. However, after World
War II, Providence saw a big decline in
population and many of the large manufacturing
companies left the city for the suburbs. By
1970, four of the five largest companies with a
strong manufacturing presence during the
industrial revolution of the 1800s had left the
city, and only Gorham Silver remained. Other
companies, such as Speidel, Federal Products,
and Imperial Knife, were also present but were
not as dominant as their earlier counterparts.
During this time service industries, such as
financial, educational, and health services,
were beginning to overtake manufacturing as
growth industries (Conley and Campbell
2012).
The new issue of National
Affairs features my
article
with Jason
Delisle,
“The Case for Fair-Value Accounting.” We go into a lot of detail
about what fair-value accounting (FVA)
is, why it’s needed, and how both parties have hypocritically
flip-flopped on it.
I’m not someone who is easily
shocked by government misconduct, but when we assembled all the
examples of accounting malfeasance for this article, even I was
surprised at how widespread and deceptive it all is.
Some quick background: The
“fair value” of an investment is its current market price. Built
into the market price of any asset are the expectations of its
future value and the risk that those expectations may not be
met. Both components of the price are critical. All else equal,
investors obviously prefer assets with higher expected returns,
but that preference is mediated by the risk involved. Investors
may prefer low-returning assets with low risk (such as bonds)
over high-return and high-risk assets (such as stocks). FVA cost
estimates naturally include both expected returns and
the cost of risk.
But most federal credit
programs are scored based on expectations only, disregarding the
cost of market risk. When the federal government offers student
loans, for example, it estimates how much students will pay back
and then assumes that its estimate carries no uncertainty. But
no private investor would purchase the right to collect student
loan repayments for just the expected value. The investor would
demand a lower price for such a risky asset.
By placing a greater value on
its assets than the market does, the government generates a
number of bogus “free lunch” scenarios, and politicians try to
exploit them:
For example, in the depths
of the recession, Ohio senator Sherrod Brown proposed that
the federal government buy up private student loans, convert
them to federal loans, and then reduce the interest rates
that borrowers pay. Lenders holding the loans would be paid
face value for them — that is, the government would pay the
lenders the full outstanding balance on the loans. Borrowers
would receive new, better terms and repay the remainder of
their loans to the Department of Education. The CBO was
required under [current law] to show that this transaction
would result in an immediate $9.2 billion profit to the
government.
Bear in mind that this was
a debt swap in which borrowers would pay less interest to
the government than they would pay to private lenders. But,
miraculously, $9.2 billion in new cash for the government
would appear out of thin air as soon as the transaction was
made. This money could then promptly be spent on more
government programs.
Under FVA, Senator Brown’s
scheme would not have generated a profit at all, but rather a
cost of $700 million.
Now consider the Federal
Housing Administration’s single-family mortgage-insurance
program, which provides default guarantees to home-mortgage
lenders:
Home buyers secure
subsidized mortgages, which are loans with terms better than
any private lender would offer without the government
guarantee. Because [government accounting] rules exclude a
market-risk premium, the program appears to both subsidize
homeowners and generate profits for the government,
“earning” a $60 billion free lunch for the government over
ten years. But once a market-risk premium is added to these
tallies, the loan guarantees show a $3 billion annual cost.
The same problem of
disregarding market risk affects public pensions:
As discussed earlier,
[government] accounting enables the federal government to
claim a “profit” simply by purchasing a private-sector loan.
In the pension world, the analogous transaction is the
“pension-obligation bond,” which allows states to conjure
money through an interest-rate arbitrage scheme. In essence,
a state sells a government bond that pays, say, a guaranteed
5% interest rate and then places the proceeds from the bond
sale into the pension fund. The trick is that the pension
fund is assumed to return 8%, so the state nets 3% per year
in “free” money. The fallacy, of course, is that the pension
fund’s 8% expected return carries risk — which is why
investors are willing to buy the (safer) pension-obligation
bonds in the first place.
The examples go on and on, and
the only way to end this mischief is to apply FVA to all
government credit and investment programs.
The new issue of National
Affairs features my
article
with Jason
Delisle,
“The Case for Fair-Value Accounting.” We go into a lot of detail
about what fair-value accounting (FVA)
is, why it’s needed, and how both parties have hypocritically
flip-flopped on it.
I’m not someone who is easily
shocked by government misconduct, but when we assembled all the
examples of accounting malfeasance for this article, even I was
surprised at how widespread and deceptive it all is.
Some quick background: The
“fair value” of an investment is its current market price. Built
into the market price of any asset are the expectations of its
future value and the risk that those expectations may not be
met. Both components of the price are critical. All else equal,
investors obviously prefer assets with higher expected returns,
but that preference is mediated by the risk involved. Investors
may prefer low-returning assets with low risk (such as bonds)
over high-return and high-risk assets (such as stocks). FVA cost
estimates naturally include both expected returns and
the cost of risk.
But most federal credit
programs are scored based on expectations only, disregarding the
cost of market risk. When the federal government offers student
loans, for example, it estimates how much students will pay back
and then assumes that its estimate carries no uncertainty. But
no private investor would purchase the right to collect student
loan repayments for just the expected value. The investor would
demand a lower price for such a risky asset.
By placing a greater value on
its assets than the market does, the government generates a
number of bogus “free lunch” scenarios, and politicians try to
exploit them:
For example, in the depths
of the recession, Ohio senator Sherrod Brown proposed that
the federal government buy up private student loans, convert
them to federal loans, and then reduce the interest rates
that borrowers pay. Lenders holding the loans would be paid
face value for them — that is, the government would pay the
lenders the full outstanding balance on the loans. Borrowers
would receive new, better terms and repay the remainder of
their loans to the Department of Education. The CBO was
required under [current law] to show that this transaction
would result in an immediate $9.2 billion profit to the
government.
Bear in mind that this was
a debt swap in which borrowers would pay less interest to
the government than they would pay to private lenders. But,
miraculously, $9.2 billion in new cash for the government
would appear out of thin air as soon as the transaction was
made. This money could then promptly be spent on more
government programs.
Under FVA, Senator Brown’s
scheme would not have generated a profit at all, but rather a
cost of $700 million.
Now consider the Federal
Housing Administration’s single-family mortgage-insurance
program, which provides default guarantees to home-mortgage
lenders:
Home buyers secure
subsidized mortgages, which are loans with terms better than
any private lender would offer without the government
guarantee. Because [government accounting] rules exclude a
market-risk premium, the program appears to both subsidize
homeowners and generate profits for the government,
“earning” a $60 billion free lunch for the government over
ten years. But once a market-risk premium is added to these
tallies, the loan guarantees show a $3 billion annual cost.
The same problem of
disregarding market risk affects public pensions:
As discussed earlier,
[government] accounting enables the federal government to
claim a “profit” simply by purchasing a private-sector loan.
In the pension world, the analogous transaction is the
“pension-obligation bond,” which allows states to conjure
money through an interest-rate arbitrage scheme. In essence,
a state sells a government bond that pays, say, a guaranteed
5% interest rate and then places the proceeds from the bond
sale into the pension fund. The trick is that the pension
fund is assumed to return 8%, so the state nets 3% per year
in “free” money. The fallacy, of course, is that the pension
fund’s 8% expected return carries risk — which is why
investors are willing to buy the (safer) pension-obligation
bonds in the first place.
The examples go on and on, and
the only way to end this mischief is to apply FVA to all
government credit and investment programs.
"Measuring Pension Liabilities under GASB Statement No. 68," by John W.
Mortimer and Linda R. Henderson, Accounting Horizons, September 2014,
Vol. 28, No. 3, pp. 421-454 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/acch-50710
While
retired government employees clearly depend on public sector defined benefit
pension funds, these plans also contribute significantly to U.S. state and
national economies. Growing public concern about the funding adequacy of
these plans, hard hit by the great recession, raises questions about their
future viability. After several years of study, the Governmental Accounting
Standards Board (GASB) approved two new standards, GASB 67 and 68, with the
goal of substantially improving the accounting for and transparency of
financial reporting of state/municipal public employee defined benefit
pension plans. GASB 68, the focus of this paper, requires state/municipal
governments to calculate and report a net pension liability based on a
single discount rate that combines the rate of return on funded plan assets
with a low-risk index rate on the unfunded portion of the liability. This
paper illustrates the calculation of estimates for GASB 68 reportable net
pension liabilities, funded ratios, and single discount rates for 48 fiscal
year state employee defined benefit plans by using an innovative valuation
model and readily available data. The results show statistically significant
increases in reportable net pension liabilities and decreases in the
estimated hypothetical GASB 68 funded ratios and single discount rates. Our
sensitivity analyses examine the effect of changes in the low-risk rate and
time period on these results. We find that reported discount rates of weaker
plans approach the low-risk rate, resulting in higher pension liabilities
and creating policy incentives to increase risky assets in pension
portfolios.
Where are governmental payments (especially tax refund, Medicaid, Medicare,
disability, and unemployment fraud) internal controls? What controls?
From the CPA Newsletter on July 9, 2014
Improper government payments reached $100B in 2013
By its own reckoning, the U.S. government made $100 billion in improper
payments last year in the form of tax credits and unemployment benefits to
people who didn't qualify, and medical payments for unnecessary procedures.
Improper payments peaked in 2010, reaching $121 billion. The government has
been trying to put controls in place to address this issue. The House
Subcommittee on Government Operations is holding a hearing today on the
matter.
San Francisco Chronicle (free content)/The Associated Press
(7/9
First the good news: the official federal deficit
is only 3% of GDP – way below the 10% figure it reached only a few years
ago. Now the bad news: The real deficit is more than ten times that amount.
The U.S. government’s deficit is expected to be
$514 billion this year, according to the
Congressional
Budget Office (CBO). That’s the number you get
when you look at cash flow. It means the government will spend $514 billion
more than it takes in during the 2014 fiscal year.
But this kind of accounting ignores federal
government liabilities that will become due in future years. For example,
over the course of a year millions of people earn Social Security and
Medicare benefits as well as other government entitlement benefits that will
have to be paid in future years. When you total all that up (and subtract
expected future revenues to pay those benefits), we added $5 trillion in
debt last year according to Boston University economist
Larry Kotlikoff.
Another way to look at the problem is to consider
not just one year’s deficit, but the total amount of debt that government
has accumulated. US debt held by the public is currently $12.6 trillion, or
about 75% of the size of our economy the way the CBO measures things. But in
arriving at that number, the CBO doesn’t recognize promises to pay Social
Security checks and medical bills as real obligations.
Take a senior citizen who is expecting an interest
payment on a government bond next month and who is also expecting a Social
Security check. The way the CBO looks at the world, the interest payment on
the bond is a real obligation of the government. But the Social Security
check isn’t.
That’s a strange way of accounting and Kotlikoff
and his colleagues reject it. Instead they project the value of all the
promises we have made under Social Security and other entitlement programs –
benefits that ordinary citizens believe they have earned – and subtract
expected future revenues, given the current tax law. The difference is an
unfunded liability that is every bit as real as promises to make future
interest payments on bonds and Treasury bills.
Calculating obligations in this way, Kotlikoff
estimates that the total unfunded liability of the federal government is
$210 trillion, or about 12 times the size of our economy. Writing in The New
York Times, Kotlikoff says:
“The fiscal gap — the difference between our
government’s projected financial obligations and the present value of all
projected future tax and other receipts — is, effectively, our nation’s
credit card bill. Eliminating it, would require an immediate, permanent 59
percent increase in federal tax revenue. An immediate, permanent 38 percent
cut in federal spending would also suffice. The longer we wait, the worse
the pain. If, for example, we do nothing for 20 years, the requisite federal
tax increase would be 70 percent, or the requisite spending cut, 43
percent.”
And the tax increase, by the way, doesn’t work
unless the money is sequestered and invested. It can’t just be deposited in
the Treasury’s bank account and spent on other things.
• The GASB has proposed chang ing how state and
local governments calculate and report the costs and obligations
associated with defined benefit other postemployment benefit (OPEB)
plans .
• Government employers that fund their OPEB
plans through a trust that meets the specified criteria would have to
record a net OPEB liability in their accrual - basis financial
statements for defined benefit plans that would be based on the plan
fiduciary net position rath er than plan funding.
• The proposal would make a government’s
obligations more transparent, and m any governments would likely report
a much larger OPEB liability than they do today.
• The guidance would be effective for fiscal
years beginning after 15 December 2016 , and early application would be
encouraged.
• Comments are due by 29 August 2014 . Public
hearings are s et for September 2014.
Overview
The Governmental Accounting Standards Boa rd (GASB) has proposed
changing how state and local governments calculate and report the cost
of other postemployment benefits , which consist of retiree health
insurance and defined benefits other than pensions and termination
benefits that are provided to retirees .
By Michael Hicks, includes “This week marked the
full implementation of two new Government Accounting Standards Board
rules affecting the reporting of pension liabilities. These rules --
known in the bland vernacular of accountancy as Statements 67 and 68 --
require state and municipal governments to report their pensions in ways
more like that of private-sector pensions. …
One result of this is that governments with very
high levels of unfunded liabilities will see their bond ratings drop to
levels that will make borrowing impossible.
In some places, like Indianapolis or Columbus, Ohio, may have to
increase their pension contributions and perhaps make modest changes to
retirement plans, such as adding a year or two of work for younger
workers. Places like Chicago or Charleston, West Virginia, will be
effectively unable to borrow in traditional bond markets. Pension funds
in Chicago alone are underfunded by almost $15 billion. Under the new
GASB rules Chicago's liability could swell to almost $60 billion or
roughly $21,750 per resident. Retiree health care liabilities add
another $3.6 billion or $1,324 per resident, so that each Chicago
household will need to cough up $61,000 to fully fund their promises to
city employees. The promise will be broken. …”
This headline will strike many readers as
redundant. But we're hoping that through repetition Members of Congress may
be motivated to stop misleading their constituents about the cost of federal
credit programs.
Many politicians still claim that taxpayers make
money on things like student loans, single-family home mortgages backed by
the Federal Housing Administration, and long-term guarantees from the
Export-Import Bank. Yet under honest accounting, taxpayers lose on all
three.
The Congressional Budget Office, Washington's
official financial scorekeeper, says in a new report that the Department of
Education's four largest student loan programs will yield an official
savings of about $135 billion in fiscal years 2015-2024. That's $135 billion
that Congress will claim it has available to spend.
But CBO also notes that under fair-value accounting
that is practiced in the real world, the four student loan programs will
likely cost $88 billion. An official $14 billion projected taxpayer gain at
the Export-Import Bank is actually a $2 billion loss. And the official $63
billion windfall expected from the FHA's single-family mortgage guarantee
program is in reality a $30 billion taxpayer fleecing.
CBO is obligated to practice bogus accounting under
the amusingly titled Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990. But CBO periodically
does a public service by calling attention to this legal fraud and
explaining why its official estimates don't accurately measure what these
programs really cost. CBO's new report is especially informative. You see,
federal law does not allow official bookkeeping to account for a phenomenon
that must seem alien to the Beltway culture: "market risk."
As CBO helpfully explains: "The government is
exposed to market risk when the economy is weak because borrowers default on
their debt obligations more frequently and recoveries from borrowers are
lower." Yet even after the financial crisis and a historically weak
recovery, Washington officially will not admit that such a scenario is
possible.
Just as loans look less expensive for taxpayers
than they really are, government guarantees can appear to be nearly a free
lunch under federal accounting rules. But the government bears the risk of
losses. "Because of that government commitment a lender places more value on
a loan with a guarantee than on the same loan without a guarantee. The
difference in value between them is the 'fair value' of the guarantee," says
CBO.
As bad as the math appears once honest accounting
is applied, it still doesn't fully describe the problem for taxpayers.
That's because none of these figures includes the administrative costs of
federal credit programs, which are counted separately in the federal budget.
CBO is expecting robust growth in loan volumes at
both the FHA and the Department of Education. If taxpayers are forced to
come along for this ride, the least the Congress should do is enact Rep.
Scott Garrett's (R., N.J.) plan to require fair-value accounting in
government loan programs.
And as for the Export-Import Bank—a corporate
welfare program that disproportionately benefits a handful of giant
multinationals—bogus accounting is one more reason to allow its charter to
expire on schedule at the end of September.
Depending on whom you ask, the government
either makes tens of billions of dollars on the
backs of student borrowers, or more or less breaks even. The debate, which
boils down to the
arcana of accounting techniques, was hotly
contested last year, with Democrats such as Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth
Warren decrying how the government “profits” off student loans. The
controversy caused Congress
to ask the Government
Accountability Office to weigh in, which led to a
report
released today. The GAO came back with a non-answer,
finding that there’s no good way to know how much the government spends or
makes on funding student loans.
The GAO said it could take as long as 40 years to
figure the true costs of the program because there are so many variables,
from the overall interest rate environment to the number of students who
take advantage of different
repayment options. In the meantime, the government
is stuck using estimates that can vary greatly based on several factors,
most important the amount students pay in interest and what it costs the
government itself to borrow. The government readjusts its models each year
based on more recent data, which can lead to highly volatile results. One
year the budget assumed loans taken out in 2008 made the government
$9.09 per hundred dollars borrowed. The next year it estimated the very same
loans cost the government 24¢ per hundred dollars.
One figure is pretty clear: how much the Department
of Education spends administering the loans. That’s jumped from $314 million
in 2007 to $864 million in 2012, reflecting changes in the federal program
that removed banks as intermediaries and caused the number of loans directly
issued by the government to increase threefold. Overall, the administration
costs per borrower has stayed the same or even fallen slightly.
The overall difficulty in nailing down these
estimates is an increasingly relevant problem as student debt
tops $1 trillion—most of it financed by the
government.
Jensen Comment
It might be a good project for governmental accounting or managerial accounting
students to be assigned to advise the government on how to compute the cost of
student loans.
Over 75% Off-Balance-Sheet Financing by Federal and State Governments (not
counting over a trillion dollars in unbooked entitlements obligations)
"Hiding the Financial State of the Union -- and the States," State
Data Lab, January 24, 2014 --- http://www.statedatalab.org/
Next Tuesday, President Barack Obama will give the
annual “State of the Union” address. One of the most important issues is the
Financial State of the Union. But what about the Financial State of the
States?
Truth in Accounting has found that the lack of
truth and transparency in governmental budgeting and financial reporting
enables our federal and state governments to not tell us what they really
owe. Obscure accounting rules allow governments to hide trillions of dollars
of debt from citizens and legislators.
The President and many governmental officials tell
us the national debt is $17 trillion, but that does not include more than
$58 trillion of retirement benefits that have been promised to our veterans
and seniors. In addition, state officials do not report more than $948
billion of retirement liabilities.
The charts above show 77% of the federal
government's true debt is hidden and 75% of state government debt is hidden.
Total hidden federal and state debt amounts to more than $59 trillion, or
roughly $625,000 per U.S. taxpayer.
The five states with the greatest hidden debt
include Texas ($66 billion), Michigan ($67 billion), New York ($75 billion),
Illinois ($106 billion), and California ($112 billion).
Truth in Accounting promotes truthful, transparent
and timely financial information from our governments, because citizens
deserve to know the amount of debt they and their children will be
responsible for paying in the future.
Ken Warren, a board member of the International
Public Sector Accounting Standards Board (IPSASB) and the New Zealand
External Reporting Board (XRB), has written an article providing some
insights into the future direction of International Public Sector Accounting
Standards (IPSAS). The article, entitled 'IPSASs through the looking glass'
and recently published on the website of the New Zealand Institute of
Chartered Accountants (NZICA), discusses conceptual differences between IFRS
and IPSAS and likely developments in public sector accounting.
Why single out capitalism for immorality and ethics misbehavior? Making capitalism ethical is a tough task – and
possibly a hopeless one.
Prem Sikka (see below)
The
global code of conduct of Ernst & Young, another
global accountancy firm, claims that "no client or external relationship is
more important than the ethics, integrity and reputation of Ernst & Young".
Partners and former partners of the firm have also been found
guilty of promoting tax evasion.
Prem Sikka (see below)
Jensen Comment
Yeah right Prem, as if making the public sector and socialism ethical is an
easier task. The least ethical nations where bribery, crime, and immorality are
the worst are likely to be the more government (dictator) controlled and lower
on the capitalism scale. And in the so-called capitalist nations, the lowest
ethics are more apt to be found in the public sector that works hand in hand
with bribes from large and small businesses.
Why should
members of Congress be allowed to profit from insider trading?
Amid broad congressional concern about ethics scandals, some lawmakers are
poised to expand the battle for reform: They want to enact legislation that
would prohibit members of Congress and their aides from trading stocks based on
nonpublic information gathered on Capitol Hill. Two Democrat lawmakers plan to
introduce today a bill that would block trading on such inside information.
Current securities law and congressional ethics rules don't prohibit lawmakers
or their staff members from buying and selling securities based on information
learned in the halls of Congress.
Brody Mullins, "Bill Seeks to Ban Insider Trading By Lawmakers and Their Aides,"
The Wall Street Journal, March 28, 2006; Page A1 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB114351554851509761.html?mod=todays_us_page_one
The
Culture of Corruption Runs Deep and Wide in Both U.S. Political Parties: Few if
any are uncorrupted Committee members have shown no appetite for
taking up all those cases and are considering an amnesty for reporting
violations, although not for serious matters such as accepting a trip from a
lobbyist, which House rules forbid. The data firm PoliticalMoneyLine calculates
that members of Congress have received more than $18 million in travel from
private organizations in the past five years, with Democrats taking 3,458 trips
and Republicans taking 2,666. . . But of course, there are those who deem the
American People dumb as stones and will approach this bi-partisan scandal
accordingly. Enter Democrat Leader Nancy Pelosi, complete with talking points
for her minion, that are sure to come back and bite her .... “House Minority
Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) filed delinquent reports Friday for three trips
she accepted from outside sponsors that were worth $8,580 and occurred as long
as seven years ago, according to copies of the documents.
Bob Parks, "Will Nancy Pelosi's Words Come Back to Bite Her?" The National
Ledger, January 6, 2006 ---
http://www.nationalledger.com/artman/publish/article_27262498.shtml
And when
they aren't stealing directly, lawmakers are caving in to lobbying crooks Drivers can send their thank-you notes to Capitol
Hill, which created the conditions for this mess last summer with its latest
energy bill. That legislation contained a sop to Midwest corn farmers in the
form of a huge new ethanol mandate that began this year and requires drivers to
consume 7.5 billion gallons a year by 2012. At the same time, Congress refused
to include liability protection for producers of MTBE, a rival oxygen
fuel-additive that has become a tort lawyer target. So MTBE makers are pulling
out, ethanol makers can't make up the difference quickly enough, and gas
supplies are getting squeezed.
"The Gasoline Follies," The Wall Street Journal, March 28, 2006; Page
A20 ---
Click Here
Once again, the power of pork to sustain incumbents gets its best demonstration
in the person of John Murtha (D-PA). The acknowledged king of earmarks in the
House gains the attention of the New York Times editorial board today, which
notes the cozy and lucrative relationship between more than two dozen
contractors in Murtha's district and the hundreds of millions of dollars in pork
he provided them. It also highlights what roughly amounts to a commission on the
sale of Murtha's power as an appropriator: Mr. Murtha led all House members this
year, securing $162 million in district favors, according to the watchdog group
Taxpayers for Common Sense. ... In 1991, Mr. Murtha used a $5 million earmark to
create the National Defense Center for Environmental Excellence in Johnstown to
develop anti-pollution technology for the military. Since then, it has garnered
more than $670 million in contracts and earmarks. Meanwhile it is managed by
another contractor Mr. Murtha helped create, Concurrent Technologies, a research
operation that somehow was allowed to be set up as a tax-exempt charity,
according to The Washington Post. Thanks to Mr. Murtha, Concurrent has boomed;
the annual salary for its top three executives averages $462,000. Edward Morrissey, Captain's Quarters, January 14, 2008 ---
http://www.captainsquartersblog.com/mt/archives/016617.php
The Securities and Exchange Commission plans to
take action on many of the recommendations in its 2012 municipal market
report as well as strengthen its oversight of municipal advisors, according
to its draft strategic plan released Monday.
The 42-page document lays out the SEC's "mission,
vision, values, and strategic goals" for fiscal years 2014 through 2018.
Among the topics covered is the nearly two year-old comprehensive muni
market report, which was written after a lengthy examination of the market
spearheaded by then-commissioner Elisse Walter. That 165-page report
recommended a number of both legislative and regulatory changes that
Congress and the SEC could make to strengthen transparency in the market.
Among the recommendations for the SEC and the
Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board were to require muni dealers to
disclose to customers markups and markdowns of riskless principal
transactions, and to encourage the use of alternative trading systems.
"The SEC plans to pursue many of the
recommendations highlighted in the July 2012 Report on the Municipal
Securities Market through a combination of SEC, MSRB, and [Financial
Industry Regulatory Authority] initiatives, in an effort to enhance the
market structure for all fixed income securities, including taxable and
tax-exempt securities," the draft plan states. "This effort will include
initiatives aimed at promoting transparency and the development of new
mechanisms to facilitate the provision of liquidity, as well as initiatives
to improve the execution quality of investor orders."
SEC commissioner Michael Piwowar said last week
that he is working with the commission's Office of Municipal Securities on
the need to disclose markups and markdowns in riskless principal
transactions. The MSRB is working on some other aspects of the report, such
as the expansion of MSRB's EMMA website to become a comprehensive central
transparency platform and the development of a best execution rule requiring
dealers to seek the best price for their customers. The SEC has oversight of
the MSRB and must approve its rule proposals.
The plan notes the SEC's mandate, under the
Dodd-Frank Act, to regulate municipal advisors, and states that the
commission will focus on getting MA's properly registered. The plan is open
for public comment until March 10.
CNN Money
included Buffalo Grove as one of the top 50 places
to live. CNN placed the village at 46 and highlighted that the village
"enjoys economic stability."
Truth in Accounting reviewed the village's audited
financial report and found a different story. While the balance sheet
indicates the village has $21 million available to be used to meet a current
and future bills, this amount does not take into account more than $60
million of off-balance sheet liabilities.
These liabilities represent unfunded pension and
retirees' health care commitments of $62.7 million. If this amount was
included in its bills, the village needs $41.9 million to pay the bills it
has accumulated to date.
This amount is almost three times the property
taxes collected. Each taxpayer's (household's) share is $2,585.
Buffalo Grove, like most Cook County
municipalities, has large amounts of unfunded retirement benefits. Buffalo
Grove's police and firefighters’ pensions are unfunded by more than four
times their payroll. In other words, the village would have to stop paying
their police and firefighters for four years and divert all of those funds
to their pension plans just to catch up.
The lack of truth and transparency in local
government finances has resulted in the accumulation of significant debt
without public knowledge. Fortunately, people are now focusing on the
debt of Illinois and the federal government. Unfortunately, people aren't
aware that debt is most likely a problem in their local government as well.
Detroit’s municipal pension fund made undisclosed
payments for decades to retirees, active workers and others above and beyond
normal benefits, costing the struggling city billions of dollars, according
to an outside actuary hired to examine the payments.
The payments included bonuses to retirees,
supplements to workers not yet retired and cash to the families of workers
who died too young to get a pension, according to a report by the outside
actuary and other sources.
How much each person received is not known because
payments were not disclosed in the annual reports of the fund.
Detroit has nearly 12,000 retired general workers,
who last year received pensions of $19,213 a year on average — hardly enough
to drive a great American city into bankruptcy. But the total excess
payments in some years ran to more than $100 million, a crushing expense for
a city in steep decline. In some years, the outside actuary found, Detroit
poured more than twice the amount into the pension fund that it would have
had to contribute had it only paid the specified pension benefits.
And even then, the city’s contributions were not
enough. So much money had been drained from the pension fund that by 2005,
Detroit could no longer replenish it from its dwindling tax revenues.
Instead, the city turned to the public bond markets, borrowed $1.44 billion
and used that to fill the hole.
Even that didn’t work. Last June, Detroit failed to
make a $39.7 million interest payment on that borrowing — the first default
of what was soon to become the biggest municipal bankruptcy case in American
history.
Detroit said that making the interest payment would
have consumed more than 90 percent of its available cash. And besides, the
hole in its pension fund was growing again, and it needed yet another $200
million for that.
When Detroit turned to the bond market in 2005, it
acknowledged that it needed cash for its pension fund but did not explain
its long history of paying out more than the plan’s legitimate benefits,
including the bonuses, known as “13th checks,” which were reported earlier
this month by The Detroit Free Press. Nor did the city describe the pension
fund’s distributions to active workers, or that a 1998 shift to a
401(k)-style plan had been blocked and turned instead into a death benefit.
In its most recent annual valuation of the fund, the plan’s actuary said it
was still trying to determine the “effect of future retroactive transfers to
the 1998 defined contribution plan,” without mentioning that it had not been
carried out.
All of these things eroded the financial health of
the pension system, but neither the magnitude of the harm, nor its effect on
the city’s own finances, were disclosed to investors. German banks were big
buyers of Detroit’s pension debt; now, they are complaining that they were
told it was sovereign debt.
Finally, in 2011, the city hired the outside
actuary to get a handle on where all the money was going. The pension
system’s regular actuaries, with the firm of Gabriel Roeder Smith, would not
provide the information because they worked for the plan trustees, not the
city.
The outside actuary, Joseph Esuchanko, concluded
that the various nonpension payments had cost the struggling city nearly $2
billion from 1985 to 2008 because the city had to constantly replenish the
money, with interest. The trustees began making the payments even before
1985, but it appears that Mr. Esuchanko could not get data for earlier
years.
His calculations included only the extra payments
by Detroit’s pension fund for general workers. Detroit has a second pension
fund, for police officers and firefighters, which also made excess payments
in the past. But Mr. Esuchanko could not get the data he needed to calculate
those, either.
When Mr. Esuchanko reported his findings, Detroit’s
city council voted to halt all payments except legitimate pensions, as
described in plan documents. The police and firefighters’ plan trustees
appear to have discontinued the practice earlier.
Detroit’s pension trustees, and their lawyers, were
unavailable on Wednesday to comment on the extra payments.
Joseph Harris, who served as Detroit’s independent
auditor general from 1995 to 2005, said the payments were approved by the
pension board of trustees, and it would have been useless for the city to
have tried to stop them during his term.
“It was like dandelions,” he said. “You just accept
them. They were there, something you’ve seen all your life.”
GAO Report
"Social Security Overpays $1.3 Billion in Benefits," by Joel Seidman,
CNBC, September 13, 2013 --- http://www.cnbc.com/id/101032599
An upcoming GAO
report obtained by NBC News says the federal government may have paid
$1.29 billion in
Social Security
disability benefits to 36,000 people who had too much income from work
to qualify.
At least one recipient
collected a potential overpayment of $90,000 without being caught by the
Social Security Administration, according to the report, which will be
released Sunday, while others collected $57,000 and $74,000.
The GAO also said
its estimate of "potentially improper" payments, which was based on
comparing federal wage data to Disability Insurance rolls between 2010
and 2013, "likely understated" the scope of the problem, but that an
exact number could not be determined without case by case
investigations.
To qualify for
disability, recipients must show that they have a physical or mental
impairment that prevents gainful employment and is either terminal or
expected to last more than a year. Once approved, the average monthly
payment to a recipient is just under $1,000.
There is a five-month
waiting period during which monthly income cannot exceed $1,000 before
an applicant can qualify for disability, as well as a nine-month trial
period during which someone who is already receiving benefits can return
to work without terminating his or her disability payments.
The GAO said that its
analysis showed that about 36,000 individuals either earned too much
during the waiting period or kept collecting too long after their
nine-month trial period had expired. The report recommended that "to the
extent that it is cost-effective and feasible," the Social Security
Administration's enforcement operation should step up efforts to detect
earnings during the waiting period.
In fiscal 2011, more
than 10 million Americans received disability benefits totaling more
than $128 billion. The GAO's report estimates that less than half of one
percent of recipients might be receiving improper payments.
A spokesperson for the
Social Security Administration said the agency had a "more than 99
percent accuracy rate" for paying disability benefits. "While our paymen
taccuracy rates are very high, we recognize that even small payment
errors cost taxpayers. We are planning to do an investigation and we
will recoup any improper payments from beneficiaries."
"It is too soon to
tell what caused these overpayments," said the spokesperson, "but if we
determine that fraud is involved, we will refer these cases to our
Office of the Inspector General for investigation."
Question
What is worse than austerity on economic recovery and boom times?
For this report, the Free Press examined about
10,000 pages of documents gathering dust in the public library’s archives.
Since most of those documents have never been digitized, the Free Press
created its own database of 50 years of Detroit’s financial history.
Reporters also conducted dozens of interviews with participants from the
last six mayoral administrations as well as city bureaucrats and outside
experts. Among the highlights from the review:
■ Taxing higher and higher: City leaders
tried repeatedly to reverse sliding revenue through new taxes. Despite a new
income tax in 1962, a new utility tax in 1971 and a new casino revenue tax
in 1999 — not to mention several tax increases along the way — revenue in
today’s dollars fell 40% from 1962 to 2012. Higher taxes helped drive
residents to the suburbs and drove away business. Today, Detroit still
doesn’t take in as much tax revenue as it did just from property taxes in
1963.
■ Reconsidering Coleman Young: Serving from
1974-1994, Young was the most austere Detroit mayor since World War II,
reducing the workforce, department budgets and debt during a particularly
nasty national recession in the early 1980s. Young was the only Detroit
mayor since 1950 to preside over a city with more income than debt, although
he relied heavily on tax increases to pay for services.
■ Downsizing — too little, too late: The
total assessed value of Detroit property — a good gauge of the city’s tax
base and its ability to pay bills — fell a staggering 77% over the past 50
years in today’s dollars. But through 2004, the city cut only 28% of its
workers, even though the money to pay them was drying up. Not until the last
decade did Detroit, in desperation, cut half its workforce. The city also
failed to take advantage of efficiencies, such as new technology, that
enabled enormous productivity gains in the broader economy.
■ Skyrocketing employee benefits: City
leaders allowed legacy costs — the tab for retiree pensions and health care
— to spiral out of control even as the State of Michigan and private
industry were pushing workers into less costly plans. That placed major
stress on the budget and diverted money from services such as streetlights
and public safety. Detroit’s spending on retiree health care soared 46% from
2000 to 2012, even as its general fund revenue fell 20%.
■ Gifting a billion in bonuses: Pension
officials handed out about $1 billion in bonuses from the city’s two pension
funds to retirees and active city workers from 1985 to 2008. That money —
mostly in the form of so-called 13th checks — could have shored up the funds
and possibly prevented the city from filing for bankruptcy. If that money
had been saved, it would have been worth more than $1.9 billion today to the
city and pension funds, by one expert’s estimate.
■ Missing chance after chance: Contrary to
myth, the city has not been in free fall since the 1960s. There have been
periods of economic growth and hope, such as in the 1990s when the
population decline slowed, income-tax revenue increased and city leaders
balanced the budget. But leaders failed to take advantage of those moments
of calm to reform city government, reduce expenses and protect the city and
its residents from another downturn.
■ Borrowing more and more: Detroit went on a
binge starting around 2000 to close budget holes and to build
infrastructure, more than doubling debt to $8 billion by 2012. Under Archer,
Detroit sold water and sewer bonds. Kilpatrick, who took office in 2002,
used borrowing as his stock answer to budget issues, and Bing borrowed more
than $250 million.
■ Adding the last straw — Kilpatrick’s gamble:
He’s best known around the globe for a sex and perjury scandal that sent him
to jail and massive corruption that threatens to send him to prison next
month for more than 20 years. The corruption cases further eroded Detroit’s
image and distracted the city from its fiscal storm. But perhaps the
greatest damage Kilpatrick did to the city’s long-term stability was with
Wall Street’s help when he borrowed $1.44 billion in a flashy high-finance
deal to restructure pension fund debt. That deal, which could cost $2.8
billion over the next 22 years, now represents nearly one-fifth of the
city’s debt.
With all the lost opportunities over decades, with
Detroit’s debt mounting, with the housing crash and Great Recession just
over the horizon, 2005 turned out to be the watershed year.
Although no one could see it at the time, Detroit’s
insolvency was guaranteed.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
There's a difference between spending your way out of debt in the Federal
Government versus spending your way out of debt Detroit. The enormous difference
is that the Federal government controls the money supply, which put another way,
the Federal government can print trillions of dollars under the guise of
"Quantitative Easing." Detroit can't print its own dollars to spend.
Book Cooking at the Highest Levels of USA Government
Why all this controversy over new lease accounting standard revisions to show
more debt on the books.
The best way to not show more debt is to simply stop booking more debt when you
borrow more money to pay your bills.
When you delve deeper into what the Treasury
Department did, you see that there is a magic number of $16,699,421,000,000
to reach the debt limit set in a law passed by Congress and signed by the
King himself. Isn’t it odd that the number reached when the
clock stopped ticking was about $25 million below the limit?
If the clock had continued to click, by the end of
July it would have gone over the legal debt limit and would have been in
violation of the law. However, according to the Monthly Treasury Statement
for July, even though money was spent, their reports didn’t show a change in
the debt by even one penny. Isn’t that the definition of “cooking the
books”?
When it became apparent that the debt was going to
exceed the limit, Jack Lew sent a “cover my behind” letter to Speaker John
Boehner explaining that he was going to take “extraordinary measures” to
prevent the Treasury from exceeding the legal limit on the Federal debt.
This massaging of the numbers has been going on for months now.
Jensen Comment
The GAO declared the Pentagon and the IRS are impossible to audit. Why should it
come as a surprise that the Treasury Department of the U.S. Government is
incapable of being audited? Why all this debate about whether QE is tantamount
to printing money. Our Treasury Secretary has a better idea. Borrow all you want
and just don't book it into the accounts. Why didn't I think of that?
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on June 4, 2013
Standardizing the way newfangled metrics are
calculated is a big job. As companies churn out their own performance
benchmarks to satisfy investors’ demands, nonprofit groups are cropping up
to help them develop and report new metrics in a uniform way and decide
whether they should be included on balance sheets,
writes Emily Chasan in Today’s Marketplace section.
In some cases they’ve even leapfrogged the FASB.
The Sustainability Accounting Standards Board expects
next quarter to release its first draft of standards for the health-care
industry, including guidelines for reporting product recalls and fatalities
in drug clinical trials. Meanwhile, the nonprofit Marketing Accountability
Standards Board is working with companies like
GM and
Kimberly-Clark to
standardize valuation methods for corporate brands. Another group, the
International Integrated Reporting Council, is working with about 90 mostly
European companies on a project to link sustainability reports and corporate
financial statements so that both kinds of metrics appear in one place.
The FASB is likely to get into the act soon. Its
advisory council is scheduled to meet today to hash out the board’s
priorities as it wraps up a decadelong effort to harmonize U.S. and
international accounting standards. The council and accounting rule makers
will hold preliminary talks on whether companies, investors and auditors
“have the same views about areas where accounting can be improved,” says
Russell Golden, who’s set to become FASB chairman in July.
It has been a busy few weeks for the Securities and
Exchange Commission. In May, the SEC charged two cities—Harrisburg, Pa., and
South Miami, Fla.—with securities fraud for allegedly deceiving investors in
their municipal bonds.
This follows similar fraud charges against states,
New Jersey in 2010 and Illinois in March, after SEC investigators uncovered
what they called "material omissions" and "false statements" in bond
documents related to those state's pension funds.
With Harrisburg, however, the SEC has gone further
and charged the city government with "securities fraud for its misleading
public statements when its financial condition was deteriorating and
financial information available to municipal bond investors was either
incomplete or outdated." The SEC says this is the first time the regulator
has "charged a municipality for misleading statements made outside of its
securities disclosure documents."
The Harrisburg charges are part of a broader SEC
effort to scrutinize state and local government issuers in the nation's $3
trillion municipal-bond market. "Anyone who follows municipal finance knows
that budgets can sometimes be a work of fiction," says Anthony Figliola, a
vice president at Empire Government Strategies, a Long Island-based
consulting firm to local governments. "Harrisburg is the tip of the
iceberg."
And a mighty iceberg it is. The 2012 State of the
States report, released in November by Harvard's Institute of Politics, the
University of Pennsylvania's Fels Institute of Government and the American
Education Foundation, found state and local governments are carrying more
than $7 trillion in debt, an amount equal to nearly half the federal debt.
Often, the report said, "States do not account to citizens in ways that are
transparent, timely or accessible."
Consider the practices of Stockton, Calif., which
last June became the nation's biggest city to file for bankruptcy. In 2011,
Stockton's new financial managers issued a blistering critique of past
accounting practices and acknowledged that the city's previous financials
had hidden significant costs, including the real cost of employee
compensation and retirement obligations. Bob Deis, the new city manager,
declared that Stockton's financials bore "eerie similarities to a Ponzi
scheme."
If so, the city's bondholders have been taken for a
ride. In bankruptcy court earlier this year, a judge ruled that Stockton
could suspend payments on its bonds even while continuing to fund its
employee retirement system.
Similarly, when another California city, San
Bernardino, went bust last year, some city officials alleged that it had
been filing inaccurate financial records for nearly 16 years. At best,
officials said, the city's bookkeeping had been "unprofessional." The SEC
began an investigation last fall. Meanwhile, the city has defaulted on bond
payments, leaving investors in the lurch.
One area that has come under special scrutiny is
pension-fund accounting, because states have latitude in choosing how to
value their retirement debts. The SEC noted that Illinois used accounting
that funds a larger percentage of an employee's pension costs near the end
of his career, a method that increases the risks that the system could go
bust. The SEC said Illinois didn't properly reveal the risks posed by this
sophisticated accounting wrinkle.
The SEC accused New Jersey of failing to disclose
to investors that it wasn't sticking to a plan to adequately fund its
pension system. In this, the Garden State isn't alone. Many states underfund
their pension systems, even by their own accounting standards.
A June 2012 study by the Pew Center on the States
found that 29 states didn't make their annual required contribution for
pensions in 2010, the last year for which data were available. It isn't
clear how many of the more than 3,000 local government pension systems
follow the same practice, although a survey this January by Pew of 61 large
cities found nearly half didn't make their full contributions.
In the South Miami case the SEC zeroed in on a
complex bond deal that changed over time in a way that threatened the
tax-free status of the securities. The SEC essentially warned South Miami
that municipalities that employ such schemes need to fully understand the
consequences for investors. In this particular case, South Miami paid
$260,000 to the Internal Revenue Service to preserve the tax-free status of
the bonds for investors.
Municipal investors have often ignored such
questionable practices thanks to a generation of low default rates. Many
also assume that even when a local government gets into financial trouble,
bondholders are always first in line to be paid.
But officials in some troubled cities are pushing
back against the notion that investors should get the best deal among
creditors. Harrisburg City Council members have balked at a state-proposed
bailout plan because they claim it places much of the burden on taxpayers
without penalizing investors. Last year, City Councilman Brad Koplinski
called the plan's 1% increase in the state-imposed income tax on Harrisburg
residents "a bad decision for the people of Harrisburg, people who did
nothing to get our city into our fiscal crisis.''
Investors will hear more of this talk as
municipalities face growing budget pressures. Recently, former New York Lt.
Gov. Richard Ravitch warned the municipal bond industry that the promises
governments have made to repay investors may not take precedent over other
obligations. States and cities face "a unique challenge," he said, "in
trying to maintain services and meet their retirement commitments to
workers," emphasizing that this was "not necessarily a good message" for
investors.
"Improvements Are Needed to Enhance the Internal Revenue Service’s
Internal Controls," by Steve n T . Miller, Acting Commissioner of
Internal Revenue, May 13, 2013 ---
http://www.gao.gov/assets/660/654563.pdf
Audit and Accounting Guide for Not-for-Profit Entities
From Ernst &Young on March 28, 2013
The American Institute of Certified Public
Accountants (AICPA) has issued a comprehensive revision of its Audit and
Accounting Guide, Not-for-Profit Entities, for the first time in 15 years.
Questions raised as the Guide was being updated have resulted in new
guidance from the Emerging Issues Task Force (EITF) on two not-for-profit
topics. Our To the Point publication summarizes the guidance from the AICPA
and the EITF.
Do you believe this? I don't believe this was an accounting mistake at
all.
It seems like more of a case of hidden reserves.
"$42.6 million hidden in city fund through accounting error: The
money was found in a Transportation Department special fund, making officials
wonder whether other misplaced money can be found," by Laura J. Nelson, Los
Angeles Times, May 8, 2013 ---
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-misplaced-money-20130510,0,4280581.story
TOPICS: Disclosure, Disclosure Requirements, Governmental
Accounting, Municipal Bonds, SEC, Securities and Exchange Commission
SUMMARY: The SEC has charged the city of Harrisburg, Pennsylvania,
for insufficient disclosures of importance to their municipal bond
investors. "The SEC found that the city's 2009 budget misstated Harrisburg's
credit as being rated Aaa by Moody's Investors Service even though Moody's
had downgraded the city's general obligation rating to Baa1. The city didn't
disclose a subsequent downgrade by Moody's in February 2010 until March
2011. ...Moreover, the SEC said the city didn't submit annual financial
information or audited financial statements between January 2009 and March
2011...[so that] '...financial information and notices available to the
market were incomplete and outdated'...." The article quotes the CEO of a
private-equity firm saying that "'this isn't just Harrisburg, there are lots
more issuers like it....'" The related article discusses the new
Commonwealth of Massachusetts investor web site and the last several
questions provide an opportunity for students to investigate that web site.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used to introduce the
critical nature of government reports for investors in state and municipal
bonds.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) In what report(s) do city and town governments
describe their fiscal health?
2. (Advanced) With what charge did the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) fault the city of Harrisburg, Pennsylvania? What specific
actions by the city led to this SEC action?
3. (Advanced) Why does the SEC have influence over the financial
reporting actions of the City of Harrisburg?
4. (Introductory) Refer to the related article. What has
Massachusetts done to provide information to investors in its
state-government issued bonds?
5. (Introductory) Access the Massachusetts disclosure web site at
http://www.massbondholder.com/ What is the purpose of this web site?
6. (Introductory) Again refer to the Massachusetts web site. Under
KEY INITIATIVES, click on "Ratings Report Archive." What is available there?
How does this archive address an issue raised by the SEC in relation to
Harrisburg, PA?
7. (Introductory) Again refer to the Massachusetts web site. Under
KEY RESOURCES, click on "Investor Tools and Resources." Then click on "Bond
Secondary Market Trading Activity." This page is also available directly at
http://www.massbondholder.com/investor-resources/bond-secondary-market-trading-activity
Click on the first year listed (2013) and then select the first CUSIP
number. What information is available there? How does this information
provide "transparency" about the market for Massachusetts bonds? In your
answer, be sure to discuss the meaning of "transparency."
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The Securities and Exchange Commission has put
local government officials on notice that it is closely monitoring the way
they describe their cities' fiscal health, charging Harrisburg, Pa., with
securities fraud for allegedly failing to disclose information on its
financial troubles.
Harrisburg agreed to settle the charges without
admitting or denying the findings, and no fine was levied against it or city
officials. The SEC faulted Harrisburg for allegedly making misleading
financial statements from 2009 to 2011 outside its securities disclosure
documents related to bond offerings, including in the city's budget report
and a mayor's state-of-the-city address.
t is the first time the regulator has brought such
charges, and investors say other municipalities could face sanctions for
issuing incomplete or misleading information about their finances.
As much as 20% of the nearly 50,000 issuers of
municipal debt in the U.S. don't supply timely disclosures after their bonds
have been issued, according to analyst estimates.
"This isn't just Harrisburg, there are lots more
issuers like it,'' said Laurence Gottlieb, chairman and CEO of Fundamental
Advisors, a private-equity firm that invests in distressed municipal debt.
The Pennsylvania capital has been mired in debt for
years. Its fiscal woes stem largely from years of cost overruns related to a
troubled incinerator project. The city of 49,500 was nearly pushed into
bankruptcy in 2011. Republican Gov. Tom Corbett declared a state of fiscal
emergency, and a state court appointed a receiver to oversee the city's
finances.
The SEC found that the city's 2009 budget misstated
Harrisburg's credit as being rated Aaa by Moody's Investors Service MCO
+0.52% even though Moody's had downgraded the city's general obligation
rating to Baa1. The city didn't disclose a subsequent downgrade by Moody's
in February 2010 until March 2011.
The SEC also took issue with Harrisburg officials
for doing what many public officials often do: Putting a good face on a
difficult situation. For example, in the state of the city address in 2009,
Harrisburg's then-mayor described the incinerator as an "additional
challenge'' and an "issue that can be resolved." In its order on Monday, the
SEC called the address misleading because it didn't go into detail about the
impact the incinerator debt was having on the city's finances.
Moreover, the SEC said the city didn't submit
annual financial information or audited financial statements between January
2009 and March 2011. "Harrisburg's financial information and notices
available to the market were incomplete and outdated," the SEC said.
"I would expect the SEC is going to be inquiring of
other financially troubled cities: Are they lipsticking the pig?" said Matt
Fabian, a managing director at Municipal Market Advisors.
Mayor Linda Thompson, who has held office since
2010, said in a prepared statement Monday she was happy to have the matter
concluded and called the settlement "a turning point" for the troubled city.
Ms. Thompson said the SEC's charges "are what they
are," and added that the city has "completely revamped its policies and
procedures…to ensure that accurate and complete financial information" is
made available to investors and the public in a timely manner.
In recent years, the SEC has been stepping up its
investigations in the $3.7 trillion municipal-debt market. In an interview,
Elaine Greenberg, chief of the SEC's Municipal Securities and Public
Pensions unit, said policing financial disclosures by cities, states and
other municipal borrowers is a priority.
Earlier this year, the SEC charged the state of
Illinois for failing to adequately disclose in bond documents the shaky
condition of the state pension system.
The agency brought a similar case against New
Jersey in August 2010. The states agreed to settle the charges without
admitting wrongdoing.
But with the Harrisburg case, the SEC is going even
further by policing the accuracy of speeches and presentations of government
officials. "Public officials should take steps to avoid misleading
investors,'' Ms. Greenberg said.
In deciding not to fine Harrisburg, Ms. Greenberg
said the SEC considered the city's difficult financial condition. She
declined to discuss the specific reasons why the SEC didn't cite individual
Harrisburg officials, but noted that the agency issued a separate report on
Monday that was meant to be a broad warning to public officials in the U.S.
about their disclosure obligations.
"We're glad to see that the SEC didn't levy any
fines on the city. That could have made it more challenging," said Cory
Angell, a spokesman for Harrisburg's current receiver, William Lynch.
Question
How does the U.S. government hide its true debt total?
Answer
Firstly, there are $100-$200 trillion in unbooked entitlements. Nobody has an
accurate estimate of those future obligations, especially for the Medicare
gorilla.
The U.S. currently has "booked" National Debt slightly over $16 trillion that
is a more accurate estimate of the debt coming due soon?
Or is this an accurate number by any stretch of the imagination?
A decade and a half ago, both of us served on
President Clinton's Bipartisan Commission on Entitlement and Tax Reform, the
forerunner to President Obama's recent National Commission on Fiscal
Responsibility and Reform. In 1994 we predicted that, unless something was
done to control runaway entitlement spending, Medicare and Social Security
would eventually go bankrupt or confront severe benefit cuts.
Eighteen years later, nothing has been done. Why?
The usual reason is that entitlement reform is the third rail of American
politics. That explanation presupposes voter demand for entitlements at any
cost, even if it means bankrupting the nation.
A better explanation is that the full extent of the
problem has remained hidden from policy makers and the public because of
less than transparent government financial statements. How else could
responsible officials claim that Medicare and Social Security have the
resources they need to fulfill their commitments for years to come?
As Washington wrestles with the roughly $600
billion "fiscal cliff" and the 2013 budget, the far greater fiscal challenge
of the U.S. government's unfunded pension and health-care liabilities
remains offstage. The truly important figures would appear on the federal
balance sheet—if the government prepared an accurate one.
But it hasn't. For years, the government has gotten
by without having to produce the kind of financial statements that are
required of most significant for-profit and nonprofit enterprises. The U.S.
Treasury "balance sheet" does list liabilities such as Treasury debt issued
to the public, federal employee pensions, and post-retirement health
benefits. But it does not include the unfunded liabilities of Medicare,
Social Security and other outsized and very real obligations.
As a result, fiscal policy discussions generally
focus on current-year budget deficits, the accumulated national debt, and
the relationships between these two items and gross domestic product. We
most often hear about the alarming $15.96 trillion national debt (more than
100% of GDP), and the 2012 budget deficit of $1.1 trillion (6.97% of GDP).
As dangerous as those numbers are, they do not begin to tell the story of
the federal government's true liabilities.
The actual liabilities of the federal
government—including Social Security, Medicare, and federal employees'
future retirement benefits—already exceed $86.8 trillion, or 550% of GDP.
For the year ending Dec. 31, 2011, the annual accrued expense of Medicare
and Social Security was $7 trillion. Nothing like that figure is used in
calculating the deficit. In reality, the reported budget deficit is less
than one-fifth of the more accurate figure.
Why haven't Americans heard about the titanic $86.8
trillion liability from these programs? One reason: The actual figures do
not appear in black and white on any balance sheet. But it is possible to
discover them. Included in the annual Medicare Trustees' report are separate
actuarial estimates of the unfunded liability for Medicare Part A (the
hospital portion), Part B (medical insurance) and Part D (prescription drug
coverage).
As of the most recent Trustees' report in April,
the net present value of the unfunded liability of Medicare was $42.8
trillion. The comparable balance sheet liability for Social Security is
$20.5 trillion.
Were American policy makers to have the benefit of
transparent financial statements prepared the way public companies must
report their pension liabilities, they would see clearly the magnitude of
the future borrowing that these liabilities imply. Borrowing on this scale
could eclipse the capacity of global capital markets—and bankrupt not only
the programs themselves but the entire federal government.
These real-world impacts will be felt when
currently unfunded liabilities need to be paid. In theory, the Medicare and
Social Security trust funds have at least some money to pay a portion of the
bills that are coming due. In actuality, the cupboard is bare: 100% of the
payroll taxes for these programs were spent in the same year they were
collected.
In exchange for the payroll taxes that aren't paid
out in benefits to current retirees in any given year, the trust funds got
nonmarketable Treasury debt. Now, as the baby boomers' promised benefits
swamp the payroll-tax collections from today's workers, the government has
to swap the trust funds' nonmarketable securities for marketable Treasury
debt. The Treasury will then have to sell not only this debt, but far more,
in order to pay the benefits as they come due.
When combined with funding the general cash
deficits, these multitrillion-dollar Treasury operations will dominate the
capital markets in the years ahead, particularly given China's de-emphasis
of new investment in U.S. Treasurys in favor of increasing foreign direct
investment, and Japan's and Europe's own sovereign-debt challenges.
When the accrued expenses of the government's
entitlement programs are counted, it becomes clear that to collect enough
tax revenue just to avoid going deeper into debt would require over $8
trillion in tax collections annually. That is the total of the average
annual accrued liabilities of just the two largest entitlement programs,
plus the annual cash deficit.
Nothing like that $8 trillion amount is available
for the IRS to target. According to the most recent tax data, all
individuals filing tax returns in America and earning more than $66,193 per
year have a total adjusted gross income of $5.1 trillion. In 2006, when
corporate taxable income peaked before the recession, all corporations in
the U.S. had total income for tax purposes of $1.6 trillion. That comes to
$6.7 trillion available to tax from these individuals and corporations under
existing tax laws.
In short, if the government confiscated the entire
adjusted gross income of these American taxpayers, plus all of the corporate
taxable income in the year before the recession, it wouldn't be nearly
enough to fund the over $8 trillion per year in the growth of U.S.
liabilities. Some public officials and pundits claim we can dig our way out
through tax increases on upper-income earners, or even all taxpayers. In
reality, that would amount to bailing out the Pacific Ocean with a teaspoon.
Only by addressing these unsustainable spending commitments can the nation's
debt and deficit problems be solved.
Neither the public nor policy makers will be able
to fully understand and deal with these issues unless the government
publishes financial statements that present the government's largest
financial liabilities in accordance with well-established norms in the
private sector. When the new Congress convenes in January, making the
numbers clear—and establishing policies that finally address them before it
is too late—should be a top order of business.
Mr. Cox, a former chairman of the House Republican Policy Committee
and the Securities and Exchange Commission, is president of Bingham
Consulting LLC. Mr. Archer, a former chairman of the House Ways & Means
Committee, is a senior policy adviser at PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP.
Jensen Comment
Let's forget about this debt and entitlement nonsense.
President Obama should appoint Nobel Laureate Professor Paul Krugman as his only
economic advisor and print all the money we owe without having to worry about
taxes and spending and cliffs. It's called Quantitative Easing but by any other
name it's just printing greenbacks to scatter over the money supply ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_easing
Not because we will need the money, but let's also confiscate the wealth of
the top 25% as punishment for their abuses of the tax and regulation laws. Greed
is a bad thing, and they need to be knocked to ground level because of their
greed.
Added Jensen Comment
Whether or not you love or hate the scholarship and media presentations of
the University of Chicago's Milton Friedman, I think you have to appreciate his
articulate response on this historic Phil Donohue Show episode. Many of the
current dire warnings about entitlements were predicted by him as one of the
cornerstones in his 1970's PBS Series on "Free to Choose." We just didn't listen
as we poured on unbooked national debt (over $100 trillion and not
counting) for future generations to deal with rather than pay as we went so to
speak! .
The Grand Old Scholar/Researcher on the subject of greed in economics
Video: Milton Friedman answers Phil Donohue's questions about
capitalism.---
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/temp/MiltonFriedmanGreed.wmv
Department of Agriculture improperly inflated the
numbers of jobs created or saved by the 2009 economic stimulus, according to
the agency’s own
Office of
Inspector General (OIG).
“[We] identified job numbers that were inflated
because award recipients reported cumulative job numbers instead of the
number of jobs created or saved during the quarter being reported. In other
instances, job numbers were underreported,” according to an OIG
audit released Dec.
13.
The report claims that without accurate job
figures, it is “difficult” to know whether the 2009 2009 American Recovery
and Reinvestment Act was effective in creating or saving jobs.
“Without accurate data about the number of jobs
USDA agencies retained or created through the use of Recovery Act Funds, it
is difficult to measure how effective the Department was in accomplishing a
main Recovery Act objective, which was to create and retain jobs.”
Individual reporting errors were not identified
because of the inadequate “analytical tools” that USDA agencies were using
to corroborate job numbers, the IG said. In addition to inflating job
numbers, there were also instances of underreporting.
Before posting job data on Recovery.gov -- the
government transparency Web site -- award recipients provide information via
FederalReporting.gov, where information is verified by government agencies.
As of March 31, 2011, USDA agencies had posted
4,960 awards amounting to $9.29 billion to Recovery.gov.
However, USDA agencies did not properly verify
information received by award recipients, who did not always provide
accurate job numbers, according to the inspector general.
“OIG determined that inaccurate job numbers were
reported to FederalReporting.gov because recipients did not always report
correct information and USDA agencies did not adequately analyze the number
of jobs that award recipients were reporting,” the report said. “Not all
recipients were aware of the OMB-required methodology for calculating jobs;
consequently, they made errors when they reported.”
Moreover, USDA agency representatives told the OIG
that errors were overlooked and there was inadequate analysis to recognize
errors.
The OIG told CNSNews.com that it is “possible” that
some job reporting errors occurred in other quarters as well.
“It is possible: some of the recipients explained
that the errors were caused due to their misunderstanding the requirements
for reporting the number of jobs created,” the OIG said in a statement.
“If recipients incorrectly reported the number of
jobs created in the quarter ending March 31, 2011, and they used the same
process to compute the number of jobs created in previous quarters, then
errors would probably exist in the reporting for previous quarters.”
The report analyzed a sample of 99 stimulus awards
for the quarter between Jan.1 , 2011 and March 31, 2011 –which accounted for
approximately 375 of the 1,200 jobs that were reportedly saved or created in
that same quarter.
From the sample of 99 awards, 33 contained job
reporting errors.
During the quarter ended March 31, 2011, USDA
reported 10,600 jobs were created or saved due to Stimulus funding.
To properly review data analysis procedures, OIG
interviewed USDA agency representatives, reviewed laws and regulations and
then conducted a “detailed review” of the 99 awards in the sample.
The report recommends that USDA agencies ensure
that job numbers correctly correspond to awards, and award recipients only
report job numbers for individual quarters.
“Direct agencies to develop data tests and guidance
to improve their reviews of the jobs information reported on
FederalReporting.gov,” the report said.
“This includes, but is not limited to, ensuring
that the project description fields match the number of jobs reported,
recipients with multiple awards are reporting accurately, and recipients are
reporting only the jobs created or saved during the quarter being reported.”
Earlier this month, the Securities and Exchange
Commission charged Illinois officials with making misleading statements to
bond investors about the state's pension system. The agency detailed a long
list of deceptive practices including failure to tell investors that the
system was so underfunded that it risked bankruptcy.
Illinois taxpayers, as well as the holders of its
debt, will ultimately bear the burden of the officials' misdeeds. But there
is nothing unique about the Prairie State. For years, elected officials in
states and municipalities across the country have been imprudently piling up
obligations that are imposing serious strains on budgets, prompting higher
taxes and cutbacks in services.
In January, city officials in Sacramento,
California's capital, reported the results of a study they had commissioned
on all the debt that the municipality had incurred. At a City Council
meeting that the Sacramento Bee reported as "sobering," the city manager
explained that Sacramento had racked up some $2 billion in obligations
(mostly pensions and retiree health care). All this for a municipality of
477,000 residents with an annual general fund budget of just $366 million.
Sacramento finances are already stretched—the city
has cut some 1,200 workers, or 20% of its workforce, in the past several
years. Servicing its debt in years to come will only add more woe,
especially given the intractability of public unions. The budget report
noted that "While reducing staff is clearly not the preferred method for
reducing costs, the city has a very limited ability to reduce the cost of
labor absent cooperation from the city's employee groups."
According to studies by the Pew Center on the
States, states and the biggest cities have made nearly three-quarters of a
trillion dollars in promises to pay for retiree health-care insurance. Yet
governments have set aside only about 5% of the money they'll need to pay
for these promises.
This year a Chicago city commission reported that
retiree health-care expenditures would soar from $109 million in this year's
budget to $541 million in a decade. After concluding that the expenditures
were unaffordable, one member of the commission proposed that retirees be
required to sign on to the Illinois Health Insurance Exchange being created
under President Obama's Affordable Care Act. Health insurance would be
cheaper if it is subsidized by the federal government.
A December report by the States Project, a joint
venture of Harvard's Institute of Politics and the University of
Pennsylvania's Fels Institute of Government, estimated that state and local
governments now owe in sum a staggering $7.3 trillion. Incredibly, the vast
majority of this debt has never been approved by taxpayers, who are often
unaware of the extent of their obligations.
Most state constitutions and many municipal
charters limit borrowing and mandate voter approval. No matter. Politicians
evade the limits, issuing billions of dollars in municipal offerings never
approved by voters, sometimes with disastrous consequences. Courts have
rubber-stamped many of these schemes.
The debt incurred by New Jersey for school projects
is a case in point. In 2001, legislators in Trenton hatched a scheme to
borrow a shocking $8.6 billion for refurbishing school buildings. The
reaction to their plan in the press and among taxpayer groups was so
negative that the politicians knew that voters would never approve it. So
the legislature created an independent borrowing authority. Since it, and
not taxpayers, would take on the debt, politicians claimed that there was no
need for voters' consent.
Taxpayer groups challenged the maneuver. The state
Supreme Court brushed aside their objections, arguing that there was already
precedent for such borrowing.
New Jersey's Schools Construction Corp. quickly
squandered half of the money on patronage and inefficient construction
practices, so in 2005 the state borrowed another $3.9 billion. All of the
debt is being repaid by taxpayers. The authority, which was dissolved
several years ago, had no revenues of its own.
Next door, in New York, a scant 5% of the Empire
State's $63 billion in outstanding debt has ever been authorized by voters,
according to the state comptroller. The rest has been engineered through
independent authorities such as the Transitional Finance Authority.
These authorities are designed to circumvent
voters. Of the seven bond offerings that have gone before New York voters in
the past 25 years, four have been defeated. But thanks to unsanctioned debt,
New Yorkers bear the second-highest per capita debt burden in the nation,
$3,258, according to a January report by the state comptroller. New Jersey
is No. 1, at $3,964.
To prevent the pile-up of hidden debt, taxpayers
need to spearhead a revolt that will narrow the ability of officials to
mortgage their future. Any such revolt will first of all seek an end to
government sponsored defined-benefit pension plans, through which
politicians promise benefits years hence to current employees in a manner
that potentially leaves taxpayers on the hook for unlimited liabilities.
Simpler, defined-contribution plans featuring individual retirement accounts
would make government pension systems less expensive and their accounting
more transparent.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I was wondering why my tax exempt bond fund keeps paying relatively high
interest rates each month. Yipes! Now I know.
If the fiscal cliff talks make Lindsay Lohan look
like a productive member of society, perhaps it's because President Obama
and John Boehner are playing by the dysfunctional Beltway rules. The rules
work if you like bigger government, but Republicans need a new strategy,
which starts by exposing the rigged game of "baseline budgeting."
Both the White House and House Republicans are
pretending that their goal is "reducing the deficit," which they suggest
means making real spending choices. They are talking about a "$4 trillion
plan," or something, regardless of how that number is reached.
Here's the reality: Those numbers have no real
meaning because they are conjured in the wilderness of mirrors that is the
federal budget process. Since 1974, Capitol Hill's "baseline" has
automatically increased spending every year according to Congressional
Budget Office projections, which means before anyone has submitted a budget
or cast a single vote. Tax and spending changes are then measured off that
inflated baseline, not in absolute terms.
The most absurd current example is Mr. Obama's
claim that his "$4 trillion" plan reduces the deficit by about $800 billion
over 10 years by ending the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. But those
"savings," as he calls them, are measured against a White House budget
office spending baseline that is fictional. Those wars are already being
unwound and everyone knows the money will never be spent. But they are
called "savings" to gull the public and make the deficit reduction add up to
a large-sounding $4 trillion.
The baseline scam also exists in many states, and
no less a Democrat than New York Governor Andrew Cuomo denounced it in 2011
as a "sham" and "deceptive." He wrote in the New York Post that state
spending was "dictated by hundreds of rates and formulas that are marbleized
throughout New York State laws that govern different programs—formulas that
have been built into the law over decades, without regard to fiscal
realities, performance or accountability." Then he proceeded to continue
baseline budgeting.
In Washington, Democrats designed this system to
make it easier to defend annual spending increases and to portray any
reduction in the baseline as a spending "cut." Chris Wallace called Timothy
Geithner on this "gimmick" on "Fox News Sunday" this week, only to have the
Treasury Secretary insist it's real.
Republicans used to object to this game, but in
recent years they seem to have given up. In an October 2010 speech at the
American Enterprise Institute, House Speaker Boehner proposed that "we ought
to start at square one" and rewrite the 1974 budget act. But he then dropped
the idea, and in the current debate the GOP is putting itself at a major
disadvantage by negotiating off the phony baseline. In a press release
Tuesday, his own office advertised the need for "spending cuts" that aren't
even cuts.
If Republicans really want to slow the growth in
spending, they need to stop playing by Beltway rules and start explaining to
America why Mr. Obama keeps saying he's cutting spending even as spending
and deficits keep going up and up and up.
Walker served as
Comptroller General of the United States and head of the
Government Accountability Office (GAO) from 1998
to 2008. Appointed by President
Bill Clinton, his tenure as the federal
government's chief auditor spanned both Democratic and Republican
administrations. While at the GAO, Walker embarked on a Fiscal Wake-up Tour,[1]
partnering with the
Brookings Institution, the
Concord Coalition, and the
Heritage Foundation to alert Americans to wasteful
government spending.[2]
Walker left the GAO to head the Peterson Foundation on March 12, 2008.[3]
Labor-management relations became fractious during Walker's nine-year tenure
as comptroller general. On September 19, 2007, GAO analysts voted by a
margin of two to one (897–445), in a 75% turnout, to establish the first
union in GAO's 86-year history.
Peterson was cited by the
New York Times as one of the foremost
"philanthropists whose foundations are spending increasing amounts and
raising their voices to influence public policy."[5]
In philanthropy, Walker has advocated a more action-based approach to the
traditional foundation: “I do believe, however, that foundations have been
very cautious and somewhat conservative about whether and to what extent
they want to get involved in advocacy.”[5]
David Walker stepped down as President and CEO of the Peter G. Peterson
Foundation on October 15, 2010 to establish his own venture, the Comeback
America Initiative
Campaign
for fiscal responsibility
Walker has compared the present-day United States
to the Roman Empire in its decline, saying the U.S. government is on a
"burning platform" of unsustainable policies and practices with fiscal
deficits, expensive overcommitments to government provided health care,
swelling Medicare and Social Security costs, the enormous expense of a
prospective universal health care system, and overseas military commitments
threatening a crisis if action is not taken soon]
Walker has also taken the position that there will
be no technological change that will mitigate health care and social
security problems into 2050 despite ongoing discoveries.
In the national press, Walker has been a vocal
critic of profligate spending at the federal level. In
Fortune
magazine, he recently warned that "from Washington, we'll need leadership
rather than
laggardship." in another op-ed in the
Financial Times, he argued that the credit
crunch could portend a far greater fiscal crisis;[11]
and on
CNN, he said that the
United States is "underwater to the tune of $50 trillion" in long-term
obligations.
He favorably compares the thrift of
Revolutionary-era Americans, who, if excessively in debt, would "merit time
in
debtors' prison",
with modern times, where "we now have something closer to debtors' pardons,
and that's not good."
Other responsibilities
Prior to his appointment to the GAO, Walker served
as a partner and global managing director of
Arthur Andersen LLP and in several government
leadership positions, including as a Public Trustee for Social Security and
Medicare from 1990 to 1995 and as Assistant Secretary of Labor for Pension
and Welfare Benefit Programs during the Reagan administration. Before his
time at Arthur Andersen, Walker worked for Source Finance, a personnel
agency, and before that was in Human Resources at accounting firm Coopers &
Lybrand.
The giant red digits on the “U.S. Burden
Barometer” outside the auditorium where David Walker spoke Friday provided
the numbers behind this prominent CPA’s message: The United States urgently
needs significant government financial reform.
Counting upward at a feverish pace, the
barometer represented an estimate of what Walker, a former U.S. comptroller
general, calls the “federal financial sinkhole,” combining explicit
liabilities, commitments and contingencies, and obligations to Social
Security and Medicare.
Shortly before Walker began his
presentation, the number stood at $70,821,389,917,073.
“It’s 70.8 trillion dollars, going up 10
million a minute, a hundred billion a week,” Walker told an audience
consisting primarily of CPAs at the University of North Carolina at Chapel
Hill. “So the federal financial sinkhole is much bigger than the politicians
admit. It’s growing rapidly by them doing nothing, and they’ve become very
adept at doing nothing. And something has got to be done.”
Walker, a political independent,
headed the U.S. Government Accountability Office from 1998 to 2008. As CEO
of the not-for-profit
Comeback America Initiative, he is promoting
fiscal responsibility and seeking solutions to federal, state, and local
fiscal imbalances in the United States.
His tour, which is barnstorming 16 states
in 34 days, ends Tuesday and positions Walker as one of the leading
sentinels in a growing chorus of concern over the economic direction of the
United States at an important time. With a presidential election closing in
on its final days, one of the most persistent questions both candidates face
is how they will handle the economy, taxes, and the federal deficit.
Educating the public about the deficit and
the important, difficult, disciplined action that could bring it under
control is Walker’s passion. He warns of the impending “fiscal cliff” the
nation faces in January 2013 as the result of the scheduled expiration of
various tax provisions, and says a U.S. debt crisis is possible within two
years.
He comes armed on his tour with statistics
that demonstrate the financial peril that government spending and deficits
have brought for the United States. His PowerPoint slides show that:
Federal spending as a percentage of
GDP has grown from 2% in 1912 to 24% in 2012.
Total government debt in the U.S. is
estimated to be 137.8% of the economy, when intra-governmental holdings
are included, in 2012.
Publicly held federal debt as a
percentage of GDP is projected to grow to 185% by 2035, according to one
scenario in the Congressional Budget Office’s long-term outlook.
“The federal government has grown too big, promised too much, lost control
of the budget, waited too long to restructure, and it needs fundamental
restructuring,” Walker said during an interview before the event. “Not nip
and tuck. Radical reconstructive surgery done in installments over a period
of time.”
Walker showed that defense spending in the
United States in 2010 exceeded the combined total spent by 15 other nations,
including China, Russia, France, the U.K., Japan, Saudi Arabia, India, and
Germany. And he showed that U.S. per capita health care costs ($7,960) were
more than double the OECD average ($3,361) and far outpaced those of Canada
($4,363) and Germany ($4,218).
He wants to reform budgeting, Social
Security, health care, Medicare and Medicaid, defense spending, and the tax
code.
He envisions measures that tie debt to GDP
targets as needed reforms of federal budget controls. He advocates
suspending the pay of members of Congress if they fail to pass a budget.
With regard to Social Security, he would raise the taxable wage base cap,
gradually raise the retirement eligibility ages, and revise the benefit
structure based on income.
Walker would guarantee a basic level of
health coverage for all citizens, revise payment practices to be evidence
based, and phase out the tax exclusion for employer-provided health
insurance, which he says estimates show will cost the federal government a
total of more than $650 billion from 2010 to 2014. He would impose an annual
budget for Medicare and Medicaid spending, and make Medicare premium
subsidies more needs based.
He would reform the military by requiring
cost consideration in defense planning, “right-sizing” bases and force
structure, and modernizing purchasing and compensation practices. He also
would reform individual and corporate federal income taxes, increasing the
effective tax paid by the wealthy and decreasing the number of citizens who
pay no income tax.
At an event whose sponsors included the
AICPA, the North Carolina Association of Certified Public Accountants, and
the N.C. Chamber of Commerce, Walker said CPAs have an important role to
play in bringing about these changes.
“I believe that CPAs have a
disproportionate opportunity and an obligation to be informed and involved
here,” Walker said. “They’re good with numbers. They’re respected by the
public. And I think that our profession, really, ought to be leaders in this
area.”
The AICPA has long been a leading
advocate for comprehensive reform that would
simplify tax laws without reducing the productive capacity of the economy.
In addition, the AICPA works as a proponent of personal financial literacy
and fiscal responsibility through efforts such as
360 Degrees of Financial Literacy and “What’s
at Stake.”
Anthony Pugliese, AICPA senior vice
president–Finance, Operations and Member Value, said Walker’s message was on
point with the Institute’s initiatives promoting financial literacy and
responsibility at the consumer, business, and government levels.
“We hope our members can make a
difference. We know they can make a difference with the clients they serve
and small business owners around the country and individual consumers,”
Pugliese said. “We hope this message is spread, and I think we have a vital
role to play in this.”
Walker said that political changes need to
be made in order to bring about all these other transformations that would
put the United States on a better fiscal path. He encourages development of
a strategic framework for the federal government and creation of a
government transformation task force. He calls for Congressional
redistricting reform, integrated and open primaries, campaign finance
reform, and term limits.
How much will the underfunded pension benefits of
government employees cost taxpayers? The answer is usually given in
trillions of dollars, and the implications of such figures are difficult for
most people to comprehend. These calculations also generally reflect only
legacy liabilities — what would be owed if pensions were frozen today. Yet
with each passing day, the problem grows as states fail to set aside
sufficient funds to cover the benefits public employees are earning.
In a recent paper, we bring the problem closer to
home. We studied how much additional money would have to be devoted annually
to state and local pension systems to achieve full funding in 30 years, a
standard period over which governments target fully funded pensions. Or, to
put a finer point on it, we researched: How much will your taxes have to
increase?
Robert Novy-Marx is an assistant professor of finance at the
University of Rochester’s Simon Graduate School of Business. Joshua Rauh is
a professor of finance at the Stanford Graduate School of Business and a
senior fellow at the Hoover Institution.
We calculate increases in contributions required to
achieve full funding of state and local pension systems in the U.S. over 30
years. Without policy changes, contributions would have to increase by 2.5
times, reaching 14.1% of the total own-revenue generated by state and local
governments. This represents a tax increase of $1,385 per household per
year, around half of which goes to pay down legacy liabilities while half
funds the cost of new promises. We examine sensitivity to asset return
assumptions, wage correlations, the treatment of workers not currently in
Social Security, and endogenous geographical shifts
Several years after from the financial crisis of 2008,
state pension funds continue to languish. According to data released this
week by Milliman, Inc. and by the Pew Center on the States, there was a $859
billion gap between the obligations of the country’s 100 largest public
pension plans and the
fundingof these pensions. Most of these are
state funds, and state legislatures have attempted to respond to this
growing crisis by making numerous reforms to try to combat this growing
deficit.
In 2010, only Wisconsin’s pension
fundswere fully funded. Nine states,
meanwhile, were 60% funded or less — this would mean that at least 40% of
the amount the state owes current and future retirees is not in the state’s
coffers. In Illinois, just 45% of the state’s pension liabilities were
funded. In some of these states, the gap between the outstanding liability
and the amount funded was in the tens of billions of dollars. California
alone had $113 billion in unfunded liability. Based on Pew’s report, “The
Widening Gap Update,” 24/7 Wall St. identified the nine states with sinking
pensions.
Each year, actuaries determine how much a state
should contribute to its pensions to keep them funded. Many states, for
various reasons, did not pay the full recommended contributions for 2010,
while others have been paying the recommended amount for years. In an
interview with 24/7 Wall St., Milliman Inc. principal and consulting actuary
Becky Sielman explained that despite states making the recommended payments,
many large individual public retirement funds are still underfunded.
Of the nine states with pensions that are
underfunded by 40% or more, three paid more than 90% of the recommended
contributions, and two, Rhode Island and New Hampshire, paid the full
amount. Despite this, pension contributions were still generally higher in
states that were better funded. Of the 16 states that were at least 80%
funded — a level experts consider to be fiscally responsible — 11
contributed at least 97% of the recommended amount.
In an interview with 24/7 Wall St., Pew Center on
the States senior researcher David Draine explained why, despite paying the
full amount, several states continued to be severely underfunded. He pointed
out that meeting contributions was important. He added that states that made
full contributions in 2010 were 84% funded on average, compared to those
that did not, which were only 72% funded.
To explain why several states that are making full
contributions are still underfunded, Draine said much of it has to do with
investment losses. “The 2000s have been a terrible period for pension
investmentsthat have fallen short of their
expectations … that’s a big part of the growth in the funding gap.”
Unfunded liability can also grow due to overly
optimistic assumptions about
investmentgrowth, pension payments that become
deferred, and an increase in benefits or an increase in the number of
beneficiaries without a corresponding increase in contributions, Draine
explained.
Based on the Pew Center for the States report, “The
Widening Gap Update,” 24/7 Wall St. identified the nine states with public
pensions that were 60% or less funded as of 2010. From the report, we
considered the total outstanding liability, the total amount funded, and the
proportion of the recommended contribution each state made in 2010. We also
reviewed the level of funding for the 100 largest pension funds in each
state, provided by Milliman’s Public Pension Fund Study, which covered a
period from June 30, 2009, to January 1, 2011.
Continued in article
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on October 12,
2012
SUMMARY: "The small agricultural town of Atwater, Calif., has
declared a fiscal emergency, as is seeks to avoid becoming the fourth
municipality in the state this year to file for bankruptcy...Atwater is the
latest California town to publicly edge down the road toward bankruptcy.
Under state law, a local government must declare a 'fiscal emergency' or go
through a confidential negotiation process with its creditors before it
files a petition under chapter 9 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful for governmental
accounting classes to highlight the particular managerial issues facing
cities and towns. While the article focuses on California and specifics of
state laws there impact the issues discussed, those specifics also help
students to understand the constraints faced by many cities and towns in
other locations.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Based on the discussion in the article, what
towns in California face financial difficulties? What reasons led to this
dire situation?
2. (Advanced) What particular state law makes it difficult for
California towns to cope with rapid financial changes?
3. (Introductory) Beyond the factors affecting many California
towns, what particular problems have beset the town of Atwater?
4. (Advanced) What strategies did the town of Atwater use to cope
with emerging financial problems? How did these strategies actually
exacerbate the problems?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The small agricultural town of Atwater, Calif., has
declared a fiscal emergency, as it seeks to avoid becoming the fourth
municipality in the state this year to file for bankruptcy protection.
Located about 100 miles east of San Francisco,
Atwater is grappling with a $3 million budget deficit, declining city
revenues and cost overruns for a new wastewater treatment plant.
The town on Wednesday declared the emergency, which
under state law allows it to restructure union contracts, including imposing
salary reductions and benefit cuts without negotiations. "We're working hard
to balance the budget and avoid bankruptcy," said Joan Faul, Atwater's
mayor.
She said the city of 28,000 people earlier this
week laid off 14 employees, or about 16% of its workforce. She said the city
was exploring options for increasing revenue, such as raising rates for
water services and for garbage collection. The Atwater City Council is
scheduled to meet Oct. 22 to discuss whether it should file for bankruptcy.
Atwater is the latest California town to publicly
edge down the road toward bankruptcy.Under state law, a local government
must declare a "fiscal emergency" or go through a confidential negotiation
process with its creditors before it files a petition under Chapter 9 of the
U.S. Bankruptcy Code.
Since June, three California cities—Stockton, San
Bernardino and Mammoth Lakes—have filed for bankruptcy protection. The city
of Vallejo emerged from bankruptcy last year after declaring Chapter 9 in
2008.
The string of fiscal emergencies and bankruptcies
highlights the continuing impact of the 2008 recession, which hit many of
the cities hard by lowering property-tax revenues. At the same time, many
towns are grappling with rising costs related to employees' pensions,
health-care costs and union salaries. California cities face particular
hurdles in raising taxes, for which they often have to seek voter approval.
Declaring a fiscal emergency doesn't always lead to
bankruptcy discussions. The California towns of La Mirada, Fairfield and
Culver City are among those that declared fiscal emergencies this year and
placed sales tax increases before voters; they didn't end up seeking Chapter
9.
Still, Doug Scott, a managing director with Fitch
Ratings Agency, said Atwater remained a bankruptcy candidate because the
city has used restricted funds from its water and sewer service to pay other
bills, a practice that has now made it difficult for the city to meet debt
payments. Last month, Fitch downgraded Atwater's debt to noninvestment
grade, citing poor handling of its respective funds. "We're concerned about
the direction this city is headed," said Mr. Scott.
Atwater has struggled since 2008 over how to pay
for construction cost overruns for a new $90 million wastewater treatment
facility. The city issued $85 million in bonds to pay for the construction,
which wasn't enough.
As Ms. Faul explained it, officials later used
money designated for other services to pay the extra construction costs, but
the practice began depleting funds. The 2008 economic downturn further
hindered Atwater's ability to pay its bills by hitting property-tax
revenues.
Atwater has introduced city staff furloughs and
hiring freezes to curb some of the losses. "We're doing everything we can to
avoid bankruptcy," Ms. Faul said.
An insider trading investigation typically requires
the S.E.C. to subpoena records to determine what information a person who
traded or tipped had at a particular point in time, and who the person
communicated with. Once it gathers the relevant documents, the S.E.C.
usually takes the testimony of those who may have been involved in the
transaction, which could require questioning representatives and senators
about the likelihood of legislative action to establish the information was
material.
The House and Senate bills specifically prohibit
trading on “pending or prospective legislative action,” which means a focal
point of any insider trading inquiry will be on information generated as
part of the legislative process. But that information is at the heart of the
Speech or Debate Clause protection, which prevents any questioning of
members of Congress or their staff about that process to preserve the
independence of the legislative branch.
Passing the legislation would do little good if the
S.E.C. and the Justice Department would be stymied in trying to conduct an
investigation by an assertion of the Speech or Debate Clause to stop the
case dead in its tracks. Congress could try to waive the constitutional
protection in advance as part of any law it passes, but it is not clear
whether that would prevent an individual member from asserting it in a
particular case in the future. Opening Congress to the possibility of a
wide-ranging S.E.C. or Justice Department inquiry is unlikely to go over
well with members suspicious of the motives of the executive branch.
Passing a law for the sake of public perception
when it could not be enforced would be the height of cynicism. Before
extending the prohibition on insider trading based on legislative
information, Congress will have to grapple with the question whether it is
willing to open itself up to being investigated if any of its members and
their staff misuse that information for personal gain.
Who is Telling the Truth? The Fact Wars" as written on the
Cover of Time Magazine
Jensen Comment
Both U.S. presidential candidates are spending tends of millions of dollars to
spread lies and deceptions.
Both are alleged Christian gentlemen, a faith where big lies are sins
jeopardizing the immortal soul.
The race boils down to the sad fact that the biggest Christian liar will win the
race for the presidency in November 2012.
"Who is Telling the Truth? The Fact Wars: ," as written on
the Cover of Time Magazine
"Blue Truth-Red Truth: Both candidates say White House hopefuls should
talk straight with voters. Here's why neither man is ready to take his own
advice ,"
by Michael Scherer (and Alex Altma), Time Magazine Cover Story, October
15, 2012, pp. 24-30 ---
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/temp/PresidentialCampaignLies2012.htm
Even more commonly traders who are damaged by insiders typically win enormous
lawsuits later on for themselves and their attorneys, including enormous
punitive damages. You can read more about insider trading at
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insider_trading
Corporate executives like Bill Gates often announce future buying and selling
of shares of their companies years in advance to avoid even a hint of scandal
about exploiting current insider information that arises in the meantime. More
resources of the SEC are spent in tracking possible insider information trades
than any other activity of the SEC. Efforts are made to track trades of
executive family and friends and whistle blowing is generously rewarded.
Question
Trading on insider information is against U.S. law for every segment of society
except for one privileged segment that legally exploits investors for personal
gains by trading on insider information. What is that privileged segment of
U.S. society legally trades on inside information for personal gains?
It came as no surprise that many (most?) members of the U.S. House of
Representatives and the U.S. Senate that writes the laws of the land made it
illegal for to trade in financial and real estate market by profiting
personally on insider information not yet available, including pending
legislation that they will decide, wrote themselves out of the law making
it legal for them to personally profit from trading on insider information.
What came as a surprise is how leaders at the very top of Congress make
millions trading on inside information with impunity and well as immunity.
The Congressional leader that comes off the worst in this Sixty
Minutes "Insider" segment is former House Speaker and current Minority
leader Nancy Pelosi.
When confronted with specific facts on how she and her husband made some of
their insider trading millions she fired back at reporter Steve Kroft with
an evil glint saying what is tantamount to: "How dare you question me
about insider trades that are perfectly legal for members of Congress. Who
are you to question my ethics about exploiting our insider trading
privileges. Back off Steve or else!" Her manner can be extremely scary.
Other Democratic Party members of Congress come off almost as bad in terms
of insider trading for personal gain.
Current Speaker of the House,
John
Boehner, is more subtle. He denies making any of his personal portfolio
investment decisions and denies communicating with the person he hires to
make such decision. However, that trust investor mysteriously makes money
for Rep. Boehner using insider information obtained mysteriously. Other
Republican members of Congress some off even worse in terms of insider
trading.
Members of Congress on powerful committees regularly make insider
profits on legislation currently being written into the law that is still
being held secret from the public. One of my heroes, former Senator
Judd Gregg,
is no longer my hero.
Everybody knows that influence peddling in Congress by lobbyists, many
of them being former members of Congress, is a dirty business of showering
gifts on current members of Congress. What is made clear, however, is that
these lobbyists are personally getting something in return from friendly
members of Congress who pass along insider information to lobbyists. The
lobbyists, in turn, peddle this insider information back to the private
sector, such as hedge fund managers, for a commission. Moral of story:
Voters do not stop insider trading by a member of Congress by voting him
or her out of office if they become peddlers of insider information
obtained, as lobbyists, from their old friends still in the Congress.
Five out of 435 members of the House of Representatives are seeking to
sponsor a bill to make it illegal for representatives and senators to profit
from trading on inside information. The Sixty Minutes show demonstrates how
Nancy Pelosi, John Boehner, and other House leaders have buried that effort
so deep in the bowels of the legislative process that there's no chance in
hell of stopping insider trading by members of Congress. Insider trading is
a privilege that attracts unethical people to run for Congress.
In the Spring of 2010, a bespectacled, middle-aged
policy wonk named Peter Schweizer fired up his laptop and began a
months-long odyssey into a forbidding maze of public databases, hunting for
the financial secrets of Washington’s most powerful politicians. Schweizer
had been struck by the fact that members of Congress are free to buy and
sell stocks in companies whose fate can be profoundly influenced, or even
determined, by Washington policy, and he wondered, do these ultimate
insiders act on what they know? Yes, Schweizer found, they certainly seem
to. Schweizer’s research revealed that some of Congress’s most prominent
members are in a position to routinely engage in what amounts to a legal
form of insider trading, profiting from investment activity that, he says,
“would send the rest of us to prison.”
Schweizer, who is 47, lives
in Tallahassee with his wife and children (“New York or D.C. would be
too distracting—I’d never get any writing done”) and commutes regularly
to Stanford, where he is the William J. Casey research fellow at the
Hoover Institution. His circle of friends includes some bare-knuckle
combatants in the partisan frays (such as conservative media impresario
Andrew Breitbart), but Schweizer himself comes across more as a bookish
researcher than the right-wing hit man liberal critics see. Indeed, he
sounds somewhat surprised, if gratified, to have attracted attention
with his findings. “To me, it’s troubling that a fellow at Stanford who
lives in Florida had to dig this up.”
It was in his Tallahassee
office that Schweizer began what he thought was a promising research
project: combing through congressional financial-disclosure records
dating back to 2000 to see what kinds of investments legislators were
making. He quickly learned that Capitol Hill has quite a few market
players. He narrowed his search to a dozen or so members—the leaders of
both houses, as well as members of key committees—and focused on trades
that coincided with big policy initiatives of the sort that could move
markets.
While examining trades made
around the time of the 2003 Medicare overhaul, Schweizer experienced what he
calls his “Holy crap!” moment. The legislation, which created a new
prescription-drug entitlement, promised to be a huge boon to the
pharmaceutical industry—and to savvy investors in the Capitol. Among those
with special insight on the issue was Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry,
chairman of the health subcommittee of the Senate’s powerful Finance
Committee. Kerry is one of the wealthiest members of the Senate and heavily
invested in the stock market. As the final version of the drug program
neared approval—one that didn’t include limits on the price of drugs—brokers
for Kerry and his wife were busy trading in Big Pharma. Schweizer found that
they completed 111 stock transactions of pharmaceutical companies in 2003,
103 of which were buys.
“They were all great picks,”
Schweizer notes. The Kerrys’ capital gains on the transactions were at least
$500,000, and as high as $2 million (such information is necessarily
imprecise, as the disclosure rules allow members to report their gains in
wide ranges). It was instructive to Schweizer that Kerry didn’t try to shape
legislation to benefit his portfolio; the apparent key to success was the
shaping of trades that anticipated the effect of government policy.
Continued in article
Jensen Questions
If all these transactions were only by chance profitable, why is it that the
representatives, senators, and their trust investors always profited and never
lost in dealings connected to inside information?
More importantly why did representatives and senators who write the laws
have to write themselves in as exempt from insider trading laws?
Why aren't national leaders like Nancy Pelosi, John Kerry, and John
Boehner who vigorously deny inside trading actively seeking to overturn laws
that exempt representatives and senators from insider trading lawsuits? Why do
they still hold themselves above their own law?
Why have representatives and senators buried reform legislation concerning
their insider trading exemption so deep in the legislative process that there's
zero hop of reforming themselves against abuses of insider trading and
exploitation of other investors?
THIS IS HOW YOU FIX CONGRESS!!!!!
If you agree with the above, pass it on.
Warren Buffett, in a recent interview with CNBC, offers one of the best
quotes about the debt ceiling:"I could end the deficit in 5 minutes," he
told CNBC. "You just pass a law that says that anytime there is a deficit of
more than 3% of GDP, all sitting members of Congress are ineligible for
re-election. The 26th amendment (granting the right to vote for 18
year-olds) took only 3 months & 8 days to be ratified! Why? Simple! The
people demanded it. That was in1971...before computers, e-mail, cell phones,
etc. Of the 27 amendments to the Constitution, seven (7) took 1 year or less
to become the law of the land...all because of public pressure.Warren Buffet
is asking each addressee to forward this email to a minimum oftwenty people
on their address list; in turn ask each of those to do likewise. In three
days, most people in The United States of America will have the message.
This is one idea that really should be passed around.*Congressional Reform
Act of 2011......
1. No Tenure / No Pension. A Congressman collects a salary while in office
and receives no pay when they are out of office.
2.. Congress (past, present & future) participates in Social Security. All
funds in the Congressional retirement fund move to the Social Security
system immediately. All future funds flow into the Social Security
system,and Congress participates with the American people. It may not be
used for any other purpose..
3. Congress can purchase their own retirement plan, just as all Americans
do...
4. Congress will no longer vote themselves a pay raise. Congressional pay
will rise by the lower of CPI or 3%.
5. Congress loses their current health care insurance and participates in
the same health care plan as the American people.
6. Congress must equally abide by all laws they impose on the American
people..
7. All contracts with past and present Congressmen are void effective
1/1/12. The American people did not make this contract with Congressmen.
Congressmen made all these contracts for themselves. Serving in Congress is
an honor,not a career. The Founding Fathers envisioned citizen legislators,
so ours should serve their term(s), then go home and back to work.
If each person contacts a minimum of twenty people then it will only take
three days for most people (in the U.S.) to receive the message. Maybe it is
time.
Holman Jenkins of The Wall Street Journal contends that in total
representatives and senators do not perform better (possibly even worse) than
average investors in the stock market ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204190504577039834018364566.html?mod=djemEditorialPage_t
What he does not mention is that opportunities to trade on inside information is
generally infrequent and often limited to a few members of a particular
legislative committee receiving insider testimony or preparing to release
committee recommendations to the legislature.
Jenkins misses the entire point of insider trading. If it was a daily event
in the public or private sector it would be squashed even harder than it is now
being squashed, because rampant insider trading would drive the public away from
the financial and real estate markets. The trading markets survive this cancer
because it is relatively infrequent when it does take place among corporate
executives (illegally) or our legislators (legally).
Feeling
cynical?
They say that patriotism is the last refuge
To which a scoundrel clings.
Steal a little and they throw you in jail,
Steal a lot and they make you king.
There's only one step down from here, baby,
It's called the land of permanent bliss.
What's a sweetheart like you doin' in a dump like this?
Lyrics of a Bob Dylan song forwarded by Amian Gadal
[DGADAL@CI.SANTA-BARBARA.CA.US]
If the law passes in its current form, insider
trading by Congress will not become illegal.
"Congress's Phony Insider-Trading Reform: The denizens of Capitol Hill
are remarkable investors. A new law meant to curb abuses would only make their
shenanigans easier," by Jonathan Macey, The Wall Street Journal,
December 13, 2011 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970203413304577088881987346976.html?mod=djemEditorialPage_t
Members of Congress already get better health
insurance and retirement benefits than other Americans. They are about to
get better insider trading laws as well.
Several academic studies show that the investment
portfolios of congressmen and senators consistently outperform stock indices
like the Dow and the S&P 500, as well as the portfolios of virtually all
professional investors. Congressmen do better to an extent that is
statistically significant, according to studies including a 2004 article
about "abnormal" Senate returns by Alan J. Ziobrowski, Ping Cheng, James W.
Boyd and Brigitte J. Ziobrowski in the Journal of Financial and Qualitative
Analysis. The authors published a similar study of the House this year.
Democrats' portfolios outperform the market by a
whopping 9%. Republicans do well, though not quite as well. And the trading
is widespread, although a higher percentage of senators than representatives
trade—which is not surprising because senators outperform the market by an
astonishing 12% on an annual basis.
These results are not due to luck or the financial
acumen of elected officials. They can be explained only by insider trading
based on the nonpublic information that politicians obtain in the course of
their official duties.
Strangely, while insider trading by corporate
insiders has long been the white collar crime equivalent of a major felony,
the Securities and Exchange Commission has determined that insider trading
laws do not apply to members of Congress or their staff. That is because,
according to the SEC at least, these public officials do not owe the same
legal duty of confidentiality that makes insider trading illegal by
nonpoliticians.
The embarrassing inconsistency was ignored for
years. All of this changed on Nov. 13, 2011, after insider trading on
Capitol Hill was the focus of CBS's "60 Minutes." The previously moribund
"Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act" (H.R. 1148), first introduced
in 2006, was pulled off the shelf and reintroduced. The bill suddenly had
more than 140 sponsors, up from a mere nine before the show.
The "Stock" Act, as it is called, would make it
illegal for members of Congress and staff to buy or sell securities based on
certain nonpublic information. It would toughen disclosure obligations by
requiring congressmen and their staffers to report securities trades of more
than $1,000 to the clerk of the House (or the secretary of the Senate)
within 90 days. And it would bring the new cottage industry in Washington,
the so-called political intelligence consultants used by hedge funds, under
the same rules that govern lobbyists. These political intelligence
consultants are hired by professional investors to pry information out of
Congress and staffers to guide trading decisions.
Publicly, House members echo bill sponsor Rep.
Louise Slaughter (D., N.Y) in saying things like: "We want to remove any
current ambiguity" about whether insider trading rules apply to Congress. Or
as co-sponsor Rep. Timothy Walz (D., Minn.) put it: "We are trying to set
the bar higher for members of Congress."
On closer examination, it appears that what
Congress really wants is to keep making the big bucks that come from trading
on inside information but to trick those outside of the Beltway into
believing they are doing something about this corruption. For one thing, the
rules proposed for Capitol Hill are not like those that apply to the rest of
us. Ours are so broad and vague that prosecutors enjoy almost unfettered
discretion in deciding when and whom to prosecute.
Congress's rules would be clear and precise. And
not too broad; in fact they are too narrow. For example, the proposed rules
in the Stock bill are directed only at information related to pending
legislation. It would appear that inside information obtained by a
congressman during a regulatory briefing, or in another context unrelated to
pending legislation, would not be covered.
At a Dec. 6 House hearing, SEC enforcement chief
Robert Khuzami opined that any new rules for Congress should not apply to
ordinary citizens. He worried that legislators might "narrow current law and
thereby make it more difficult to bring future insider trading actions
against individuals outside of Congress."
This don't-rock-the-boat approach serves the
interests of the SEC because it maximizes the commission's power and
discretion, but it's not the best approach. The sensible thing to do would
be to rationalize the rules by creating a clear definition of what
constitutes insider trading, and then apply those rules to everyone on and
outside Capitol Hill.
If the law passes in its current form, insider
trading by Congress will not become illegal. I predict such trading will
increase because the rules of the game will be clearer. Most significantly,
the rule proposed for Congress would not involve the same murky inquiry into
whether a trader owed or breached a "fiduciary duty" to the source of the
information that required that he refrain from trading.
The growing debt crisis in public sector pensions
-- governments face a $757 billion shortfall in funding their retirement
promises, according to one estimate -- is coming at a time when
unprecedented numbers of baby boomers are reaching retirement age. About
10,000 members of that generation are turning 65 every day, according to the
Pew Research Data Center.
In better-funded pension plans, the slew of
retirements is a blip on the radar, a demographic shift that was foreseen
decades earlier and properly funded. But in shakier systems, the retirements
are being met with cuts to benefits across the board -- for new employees,
current workers and retirees alike -- benefits that were once considered
cast in stone. A generation of workers is now wondering if their pensions
will still be able to pump out the funds they need to pay the bills in
retirement.
"That's a very common worry, and it's wholly
justified," says
Olivia
Mitchell, a professor of business economics and
public policy, and executive director of Wharton's
Pension Research Council. "I think the whole
prospect of retirement has grown much riskier than for those in previous
generations. Employer-provided retiree medical plans are being cut; Medicare
as we know it is facing insolvency. People hoped to retire on their little
bit of savings that now is paying no interest, and Social Security is in bad
shape. Homes aren't worth what people thought they would be, so nest eggs
are a lot tinier.... It's not a very pretty picture for a lot of people."
Distributing the Pain
In defined benefit pension plans, retirees are paid
a fixed monthly amount every month until they die. Often the payments are
subject to cost-of-living raises, and most plans include a survivor's
benefit if the employee's spouse outlives him or her.
A defined contribution plan, like a 401(k), shifts
the retirement risk to the employee. Employers allow workers to contribute a
percentage of their salaries to the plan, and often match the contributions
up to a certain threshold. The plans are more portable than pensions,
allowing workers to move their investments as they switch jobs, but it is up
to the workers to save, manage their investments and then make sure their
nest eggs are sufficient for their retirement years.
Defined benefit pensions are generally confined to
the government sector now, as most private sector employers long ago
abandoned them for defined contribution plans. But many state governments
are currently facing pension funding obligations that are forcing lawmakers
to consider making changes. The rule -- sometimes unwritten and at other
times constitutionally codified -- had been that pension plan changes are
limited to those who have not been hired yet, or to employees who are early
in their public sector tenures.
"You don't like to change the rules of the game for
those who don't really have the ability to adjust. It's particularly painful
to make changes to people who are in retirement already or approaching
retirement," says Alicia Munnell, professor of management sciences at Boston
College's Carroll School of Management and director of the school's Center
for Retirement Research. "It is a worrisome thing to do."
But that's exactly what happened in Rhode Island.
In 2011, the state created a defined contribution system similar to a 401(k)
plan and forced all its current employees to enter into a system that
blended the two plans together. Cost-of-living raises for retirees were also
suspended for five years.
In other states, retiree costs are being managed by
creating new, cheaper pension plans for new employees. In some cases,
premiums are being driven up for retiree health care, which is generally not
given the same protection as pensions.
But the Rhode Island reforms -- which are being
challenged in court -- are seen as a template for other cash-strapped states
to model, giving rise to more fears that pension systems may not be as
unshakable as once thought. "Any change will hurt," Munnell says. "If you
were counting on your pension and the value is reduced, it can be a painful
adjustment."
Munnell also notes that the math in Rhode Island
allowed for few options. By Pew Center estimates, the state had only 49
cents on hand for every dollar owed to its retirees in 2010. In some cities,
the shortfall was even deeper. "The funding situation was so serious that if
something wasn't done with pensions, all the money would go there," Munnell
notes. "You wouldn't be able to have things like libraries or buses. When it
gets that dire, you have to distribute the pain broadly. It's not fair in
some sense to take away existing benefits, but when you're really suffering,
you have to do things you wouldn't normally."
Worse than Enron?
The decisions that led to today's crossroads began
decades ago.
For most plans, a secure funding model with
relatively low risk was never adopted, according to
Kent Smetters,
professor of business economics and public policy at Wharton. Instead,
politicians allowed the funds to broaden their investment policies beyond
government-backed bonds and at first dabble, then fully immerse themselves
in, the stock market and progressively riskier investment vehicles.
That allowed the plans to expand their retirement
benefits while, at least on paper, requiring no more funding from the
governments whose workers they served.
Smetters argues that the most grievous pension
funding error over the years has been assuming an unrealistically high
discount rate, or the rate at which funds can discount their future
liabilities. Also referred to as a fund's annual rate of return on its
investments, most funds assume a 7.5% return on the low end and 8.5% on the
high end. Many economists argue the fund liabilities should be discounted at
a rate closer to 3% or 4%.
Those assumptions open the funds up to higher
levels of investment risk and dramatically understate the liabilities owed.
According to the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College, public
pension plans have on hand about 76 cents for every dollar they owe
retirees. Under more conservative accounting standards proposed by the
Government Accounting Standards Board -- an independent, seven-member
nonprofit board that sets generally accepted accounting principles for the
public sector -- that figure could drop to 57 cents on the dollar.
"State and local pensions are not covered under any
reasonable accounting standards," Smetters says. "Their accounting makes
Enron look pretty good."
The show-horse set will descend on this small city
this month to bid on the crown jewel of what federal authorities allege to
be a massive fraud: Hundreds of top-ranked quarter horses amassed by the
former city comptroller accused of stealing tens of millions of dollars from
public coffers.
Rita Crundwell, 59 years old, was arrested by
federal authorities in April and accused of stealing more than $53 million
from this city of 15,700 whose finances she ran since the 1980s.
Federal authorities said the alleged theft took
place starting in 1990, and say that Ms. Crundwell, whose salary was around
$80,000, also used the allegedly pilfered funds to buy sports cars, a boat,
a home in Florida and a $2 million motor home.
Ms. Crundwell has pleaded not guilty to one charge
of wire fraud. After her arrest, she was released from federal custody and
is scheduled to appear in U.S. District Court in Rockford, Ill., in October.
She declined to comment through her lawyers.
Authorities say that Ms. Crundwell used the
allegedly stolen funds to furnish a horse ranch that housed nearly 400
quarter horses with names like Have Faith in Money, Jewels by Tiffany, and
Secure with Cash.
Ms. Crundwell worked for the city nearly all her
life, becoming comptroller in 1983. Over the years, she also became known as
a renowned breeder of horses that she bought and sold and showed. The
government also is auctioning other of her assets, including the motor home
and horse equipment.
Authorities say Ms. Crundwell no longer can afford
the $200,000 a month required to care for all the horses.
Ms. Crundwell agreed to the sale, authorities say,
which was ordered through a court process. Federal authorities believe that
horses were purchased and possibly maintained with funds from the alleged
fraud. Money from the auction eventually could go to Dixon as partial
restitution, but proceeds will be held in escrow until the case concludes.
Auctioneers said the size of the horse sale by a
single owner is rare. A spokesman for the American Quarter Horse Association
said the high caliber of the horses also makes it extraordinary.
"In all my years in the business, we've never done
anything quite like this," said Mike Jennings, a four-decade veteran of the
horse-auction business who the government hired to oversee the Crundwell
sale, scheduled to take place on Sept. 23 and 24, and online starting last
Friday, though no sales will take place until this week.
More than a thousand bidders, bargain hunters and
onlookers are expected to attend the auction. Hotels in Dixon are sold out
for the auction weekend, and city officials plan to run buses between
downtown and the Crundwell ranch about four miles away.
Ms. Crundwell built her empire on a horse farm here
known as the RC Ranch. Her initials are on the peak of the main barn and in
mosaic on the tile floor of her trophy room, where hundreds of ribbons and
horse statuettes are displayed.
On the walls are poster-size photographs of Ms.
Crundwell, often in a white cowboy hat, showing her horses. She excelled in
the beauty event known as halter, and holds more world championships than
any other amateur owner. Eight years in a row, she was crowned top owner at
the world championship show in Oklahoma City.
Ms. Crundwell also was popular with some on the
circuit. She sponsored events, rented stalls at shows, and hired trainers
and other staff. "For years, people felt they weren't able to compete
against Rita and stopped trying," said Amy Gumz, owner of Gumz Farms in
western Kentucky.
Ms. Crundwell's exit appears to be sparking new
interest in the events she once dominated. That could help fuel demand at
the upcoming auction where Mr. Jennings, the auctioneer, said the top horses
could fetch hundreds of thousands of dollars.
The quarter horse is the U.S.'s most popular breed,
used widely for trail riding, ranching and equestrian events. The breed is
also trained to race short distances—its name comes from the quarter-mile
that quarter horses typically run. The competitive show world ranges from
cowboys riding them to rope cattle, to muscular horses being paraded in a
ring and judged on their beauty.
In Dixon, Ms. Crundwell's hometown, many residents
remain baffled by her arrest, which came after a colleague filling in while
she was on vacation spotted alleged irregularities in the accounts. Dixon
Mayor Jim Burke said because of the size and success of her horse operations
Dixonites believed Ms. Crundwell's booming horse business financed her
lifestyle.
"She carefully cultivated this image of having a
successful horse operation," Mr. Burke said.
Dixon officials expect the auction to net several
million dollars, which they hope will eventually end up with the city. Mr.
Burke would like to use auction proceeds to pay off municipal debt and
possibly to give residents rebates on water or other municipal bills.
Rita Crundwell has been the CFO/comptroller of
Dixon, Illinois since the 1980s; a typical tenure for even an unelected
Illinois official. In those 30-ish years, it appears that she performed her
duties adequately enough, but she was just put on unpaid leave. You see, at
some point in 2006, it is alleged that Ms. Crundwell started helping herself
to money that belonged to the citizens of
Ronald Reagan's boyhood home. Prosecutors allege
that this went for the last six years and that
Crundwell made off with $30,236,503 (and 51¢).
Federal agents served warrants and seized
contents of her bank accounts, seven trucks and trailers, a $2 million
motor home and a Ford Thunderbird—all of which prosecutors allege were
paid for with money taken from city bank accounts by Crundwell.
[...] Bank records obtained by the FBI allegedly show Crundwell
illegally withdrew $30,236,503 from Dixon accounts since July 2006 ,
money she used, among other things, to buy a 2009 Liberty Coach Motor
home for $2.1 million; a tractor truck for $147,000; a horse trailer for
$260,000; and $2.5 million in credit card payments for items that
included $340,000 in jewelry.
So a decent haul, but a Ford Thunderbird?
Good Christ, spring a bit for the Lincoln Continental at least. Questionable
taste in automobiles aside, one can't help but wonder how Dixon - a city
with a population of just ~15,000 - could not notice millions of dollars
missing. But they did! It's strange because in a city of that size, people
gossip about one another's $35 overdraft fees, never mind millions of
dollars being spent on multi-million dollar motorhomes. Anyway, Crundwell
(who has a thing for horses apparently) had a good thing going, but then
made the mistake of taking a little extra vacation:
[L]ast year she took an additional 12 weeks of
unpaid vacation. A city employee substituting for Crundwell examined
bank statements and notified the mayor of activity in an account that,
according to the complaint, he didn't know existed. Bank records list
the primary account holder as the City of Dixon. An entity named RSCDA
also is named on the account, with checks written on the account more
expansively identifying that second account holder as "R.S.C.D.A., C/O
Rita Crundwell."
So basically the city discovere the missing cash by
the virtue of dumb luck, which sometimes is what it takes for these things
to get uncovered. Better late than, oh
whatever... seriously, a Thunderbird?
Three Portage County residents are accused of
cashing Social Security checks of a relative who has been missing for 30
years and is presumed dead, and authorities are investigating to see whether
her remains are buried on her wooded property.
If Marie Jost is still alive she'd be 100 years
old. But authorities now suspect she died in about 1982, and they're
accusing her son, daughter and son-in-law of continuing to cash her
government checks in her absence.
Investigators believe Jost might be buried on her
Amherst property. Sheriff's Capt. Dale O'Kray said Tuesday that cadaver dogs
have hit upon the scent of human remains, and authorities are using heavy
machinery to explore the property and dig for evidence.
"There's no indication she's been seen in the last
25 years and we have to have a starting point for where she might be,"
O'Kray said.
Charles T. Jost, 66; Delores M. Disher, 69; and
Ronald Disher, 71, each face four felony charges including being party to
the crimes of theft and mail fraud. The charges carry a maximum combined
penalty of 68 years in prison and a $310,000 fine.
The Social Security Administration had sent three
letters to Jost's home to verify she was still alive. After the third letter
was sent, a man who identified himself as her son called to say Jost wasn't
available.
The agency then contacted Portage County
authorities last month asking that deputies check on her. Deputies went to
her property where Charles Jost allegedly told them Marie Jost and his
74-year-old brother Theodore "were riding in a vehicle someplace," according
to the criminal complaint.
When a deputy asked for permission to search the
property, Charles Jost allegedly grew agitated and asked them to leave. The
deputy then asked whether Marie Jost was still alive, and Charles Jost said
he would talk to his lawyer and ended the conversation, the complaint said.
Authorities obtained a search warrant and gathered
evidence, but they haven't found anything to indicate whether Marie Jost is
alive or dead, O'Kray said.
There's not a real house on the 3-acre property.
Charles Jost lives in a tarp-covered shack there, and four to five sheds are
filled with years' worth of garbage, O'Kray said.
"It's basically a 'Hoarders' episode gone bad," he
said. "We have about 400 garbage bags of junk we had to remove to search the
living areas."
During an initial court appearance Monday a judge
ordered that Charles Jost undergo a competency evaluation. A message left
for Jost's defense attorney Tuesday was not immediately returned.
Neighbors told authorities they had never seen an
elderly woman at Charles Jost's home.
A Social Security agent said Marie Jost had not
used her Medicare benefits since 1980 when she had a stroke. The agent said
Jost had been sent Social Security payments of more than $175,000 since she
had made a Medicaid claim.
Prosecutors say the Social Security checks were
endorsed with an X, along with the printed names of Charles and Theodore
Jost.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I wonder if she also voted over the past 30 years?
While many Americans are feeling the pain of
expired unemployment benefits, some have gotten a
good chunk more than they were legally eligible for.
Preliminary estimates released by the U.S.
Department of Labor find that, in 2009, states made more than $7.1 billion
in overpayments in unemployment insurance, up from $4.2 billion the year
before. The total amount of unemployment benefits paid in 2009 was $76.8
billion, compared to $41.6 billion in 2008.
Fraud accounted for $1.55 billion in estimated
overpayments last year, while errors by state agencies were blamed for $2.27
billion, according to the Labor Department. The department's final report
will be released next month.
Some of the overpayments likely can be traced back
to the overwhelming workloads facing state employment agencies during the
recession, said George Wentworth, a policy analyst for the National
Employment Law Project.
"You've got a system that's been under siege like
the unemployment insurance system has been for the last two years,"
Wentworth said. "You've got a lot of new staff coming into the system,
there's been a lot of federal extensions [to unemployment insurance
benefits] that have had to be programmed in and so on. There's just been a
lot of change that states have had to handle. ... I just think the volume
and the new staff have made the systems more susceptible to error."
Governmental: As public sector consolidations
increase, the Governmental Accounting Standards Board recently proposed that
state and local governments report the nature - as well as the financial
effects - of combinations. Warren Ruppel, a partner in the firm of Marks
Paneth & Shron LLP, contrasts GASB's proposal with comparable guidance for
commercial M&A and distinguishes the criteria for mergers, acquisitions, and
transfers of operations.
The Government Accounting Standards Board has
issued new rules that aim to crystallize government pension liabilities. It
failed on that count, but it did succeed, albeit inadvertently, in making
the case for defined-contribution plans.
GASB, as it's known in the trade, sets accounting
guidelines for local governments. Since the board is run mainly by former
public officials, its standards are often low. The board also usually takes
several years to finalize rules, so it's often behind the times. Their new
rules concerning how governments discount their pension liabilities are a
case in point.
Financial economists have recommended for decades
that governments calculate pension liabilities using so-called "risk-free"
rates pegged to high-grade municipal bonds or long-term Treasurys. The
argument goes that since pensioners are de facto secured creditors—even
bankruptcy judges have been reluctant to slash retirement benefits—pensions
are riskless and therefore the liabilities should be discounted at risk-free
rates.
GASB's private cousin, the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB), began requiring corporations to discount their
pension liabilities with high-quality fixed income assets in the 1980s.
However, GASB let governments stick with their desired, er, expected rate of
return, which is typically about 8%. Public pension funds have returned 5.7%
on average since 2000. Achieving much higher returns over the long run would
require markets to perform as well as they did in the 1980s and '90s. Would
that be true.
Governments have resisted climbing down from
Fantasyland because using lower discount rates would explode their
liabilities. When the Financial Accounting Standards Board introduced its
risk-free rate guidelines, many companies shifted workers to 401(k)s because
they didn't want to report larger liabilities. Such defined-contribution
plans are by definition 100% pre-funded.
Prodded by economists and investors, GASB began
considering modifying its discount rate rules a few years ago. Public
pension funds, lawmakers and unions, however, pushed back hard against
suggestions that governments use risk-free rates, which could more than
double their liabilities. No surprise, the government troika won.
GASB's new rules allow governments to continue
discounting their liabilities at their anticipated rate of return so long as
they project enough future assets to cover their obligations. At the time
they forecast they'll run out of assets, they must begin discounting their
liabilities with a high-grade municipal bond rate. The idea is that
governments would have to issue bonds to pay retirees when their pension
funds go broke.
But few pension funds project that they'll run dry
since they're hooked up to a taxpayer IV. Those in really bad shape like
Chicago's will likely rig their investment and actuarial assumptions to
circumvent the new rules. FASB rejected similar guidelines in the 1980s
because they were too easy to dodge. The point here is that it's impossible
to get governments to come clean about their pension debt, and not just
because the union allies controlling pension funds have a vested interest in
obfuscating the liabilities.
In reality, nobody knows how much taxpayers will
owe because so much depends on inscrutable actuarial and economic factors
like interest rates 30 years from now (not even the Federal Reserve purports
to be that omniscient). Slight discrepancies in assumptions can yield huge
variations in estimated liabilities. One advantage of defined-contribution
plans is that they don't require governments to calculate their liabilities.
There are none.
When a city owes millions more in pension payments than its entire revenue
stream something has to give
“I don’t believe that this is the beginning of a tidal wave of insolvency across
the country,” said Richard P. Larkin, director of credit analysis at the
underwriting firm H. J. Sims. “I am worried, however, that this phenomenon may
grow in California.”
"Bankruptcy in California Isn’t Seen as a Trend (but maybe in
California)," by Mary Williams Walsh, The New York Times, July 12, 2012
---
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/13/business/bankruptcy-in-california-isnt-seen-as-a-trend.html?_r=1
As San Bernardino, Calif., moved toward bankruptcy
this week, municipal bond analysts were questioning how widespread the
fiscal distress may prove to be, but were not predicting a wave of defaults.
San Bernardino’s vote to authorize a bankruptcy
filing came after filings this summer by the California cities of Stockton
and Mammoth Lakes. Those cities were following Vallejo, which emerged from
bankruptcy in 2011, after a three-year struggle to reduce its debts to
investors, retirees and others.
“I don’t believe that this is the beginning of a
tidal wave of insolvency across the country,” said Richard P. Larkin,
director of credit analysis at the underwriting firm H. J. Sims. “I am
worried, however, that this phenomenon may grow in California.”
Over all, investors in municipal debt showed little
sign of concern about the woes of either California or any other states. On
Thursday the interest rate on the highest-quality 30-year municipal bonds
fell below 3 percent for the first time ever, according to Daniel Berger, a
senior market strategist at Municipal Market Data.
The nation’s municipal bond market is “still viewed
very much as a safe haven for investors scared about the events unfolding in
Europe,” he said.
He said yields on California’s 30-year bonds, now
at 4.58 percent, had also fallen this year, although they did not enjoy the
highest ratings.
Heavy burdens of bond debt are not always the main
cause of municipal bankruptcy — the rising cost of pensions and health care
can also be major factors. But whether or not bonds are the trigger, they
can be treated very differently under federal bankruptcy law than under the
state laws that normally govern their issuance. General obligation bonds,
for instance, are normally a city’s best credit, but they can become
unsecured credit in municipal bankruptcy.
The question of whether municipal bonds pose hidden
risk flared up two years ago, when a noted securities analyst, Meredith
Whitney, appeared on the television show “60 Minutes” and predicted hundreds
of municipal defaults within the next year. Although her prediction did not
come true, it caused a major sell-off of municipal bonds that continued for
months. Lately, investors have been returning to the market, and this week
traders said they saw only scattered signs that small investors were dumping
San Bernardino’s debt after its announcement.
Still, if more municipal bankruptcies are in store,
chances are that at least some of them will be in California. Chapter 9
municipal bankruptcies are extremely rare, and large ones are almost
nonexistent. Of the 641 cases that have been filed since 1937, most have
involved relatively small municipal utilities, special-purpose districts and
public hospital systems — not big, complicated cities or counties with lots
of people and debts.
Within that rarefied group, most have been cities
and counties in California.
“Municipalities operate with a lot of autonomy in
home-rule states such as California, and that autonomy leads to the freedom
to get into trouble,” analysts for Trident Municipal Research said in a
report issued Wednesday.
The firm cited the kind of fiscal mismanagement
that brought Stockton and San Bernardino to the brink, among other factors.
But California’s biggest risk may be the lasting effect of Proposition 13,
the 1978 ballot initiative that drastically lowered property taxes and has
made them difficult to increase since then. There is no equivalent check on
the cost of operating a municipal government, so many California cities and
counties are increasingly caught in a painful squeeze between their limited
revenue and their rising fixed costs — especially labor costs.
Many operate pension plans that relied on steady
investment gains that have evaporated in recent years and now have no way to
replace the lost money.
Trident’s analysts suggested that San Jose might be
one of the next California cities to seek refuge in bankruptcy court; its
mayor has been outspoken about the need to reduce pension costs.
California lawmakers, sensing trouble ahead, passed
a law this year making it harder for cities to declare bankruptcy. In doing
so, however, they may have given the most distressed cities a road map to
Chapter 9, by requiring cities considering bankruptcy to first go through a
60-day mediation session with their creditors.
San Bernardino was so intent on seeking shelter in
bankruptcy that it said it wanted to avoid the mediation requirement. The
new law has an exemption for cities that have declared fiscal emergencies,
which San Bernardino has done several times.
The state also increased the fiscal pressure on
cities earlier this year when it closed some 400 special redevelopment
authorities and seized billions of dollars in property tax money that their
host cities had previously controlled.
“San Bernardino estimates that this year they
expect to lose $6 million” as a result, said Mr. Larkin, of H. J. Sims.
Should an unelected Washington bureaucrat be given
tremendous power to lead a new federal agency, set its budget and spend more
than $550 million with no oversight or disapproval? The Dodd-Frank Act
signed into law by President Obama two years ago established the Consumer
Financial Protection Bureau, whose director has precisely those vast powers.
The bureau to date has avoided giving direct answers to congressional
inquiries about how it is spending money.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau—the
brainchild of Elizabeth Warren, a law professor who is now a Senate
candidate in Massachusetts—was created as an independent agency to regulate
the offering and provision of consumer financial products or services. But
consumer protection is only a small part of the story. Despite the bureau's
broad powers, it is not subject to any of the traditional oversight powers
of Congress, particularly the "power of the purse," which is the cornerstone
of the appropriations process.
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, which can
draw more than $550 million annually from the U.S. Federal Reserve, has vast
power in determining its budget. Once the director has decided that a money
draw is "necessary," there is nobody with authority to prevent these funds
from being paid out. Not congressional appropriators. Not the Fed. Not even
the president's Office of Management and Budget.
What's more, the bureau's transfer requests often
come in the form of one-page letters lacking details as to how the money
will be spent. By comparison, in order to procure permanent financing for a
commercial construction loan in West Texas, 29 separate documents are
required—including a business plan and a complete set of building specs. At
a time when the federal debt is so high that we are borrowing 40 cents of
every dollar we spend as a nation, shouldn't we expect some spending
accountability from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau?
In official statements to the House Committee on
Financial Services, the bureau has said it is "committed to promoting a
culture of transparency and accountability" and to "using our resources
wisely and carefully." The head of the bureau, Richard Cordray, who was
installed by President Obama after a controversial "recess" appointment that
bypassed Congress this January, has stated that he "fully support[s] . . .
continued oversight of the Bureau's operation and budget."
Unfortunately, the bureau's actions speak louder
than its words. My House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations has
tried unsuccessfully to gain greater visibility into the bureau's budgetary
planning process. I have repeatedly asked to review the bureau's statutorily
required financial operating plans and forecasts. These requests were
denied. I have repeatedly requested that the bureau expand its Fiscal Year
2013 budget justification for $447,688,000 to more than a scanty 25 pages.
These requests were denied.
Where are the transparency and accountability
measures that Mr. Cordray promised the American people? Congress is unable
to carry out its constitutional oversight responsibilities if we can't
analyze budget plans until after the money is spent.
Another alarming issue is the salary rate of
Consumer Financial Protection Bureau employees. Pursuant to the Dodd-Frank
Act, the bureau's director may set and adjust employee pay to be comparable
to the compensation and benefits provided by the Fed. This means the
bureau's employees are paid outside of the traditional government scale.
A review of the bureau's salaries as of Aug. 28,
2012, reveals that approximately 60% of its 958 employees make more than
$100,000 a year. Five percent of its employees are out-earning U.S. cabinet
secretaries by raking in $200,000 or more annually. The director's secretary
alone is paid $165,139 a year.
I look at hardworking Americans—who make a median
annual salary of $50,054—and I wonder: Why is it necessary for a government
agency, let alone one that was created to assist and protect consumers, to
pay the majority of its employees six-figure salaries?
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
The GAO has declared that many huge sink holes for fraud and waste are
unauditable --- the Pentagon, the IRS, Medicare, and the list goes on and on.
But the Congress that funds these programs is manipulated by special interest
groups who do not want these audits. The new sink hole on the block is almost
anything green
Ed Ketz writes about those "idiots in California"
"Whither Berkeley? Whither California?" by J. Edward Ketz, SmartPros, November
2009 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x68185.xml
TOPICS: Accounting, Business Segments, Managerial Accounting,
Profit Margin, Segmented Income Statements
SUMMARY: Restaurant chains are in a pickle, caught between soaring
ingredient costs and fears that raising prices will turn off their
budget-conscious customers, who generally remain pessimistic about the
economy. Companies like McDonald's Corp., Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. and
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. are taking different approaches to the dilemma.
Some are trying to pass on rising costs to customers to avoid squeezing
their profit margins. Others are holding the line on prices or emphasizing
their existing low-cost menu items to keep consumers coming through the
door. Research has shown that diners are ordering more "value" items and
fewer premium-priced entrees and appetizers, indicating they are trying to
manage the size of their restaurant bills more than we've seen in a while.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article offers a nice bridge between
managerial and financial accounting. We can use this article to discuss how
management is using segmented income statements to manage profit margins in
this tight economy. The companies are also carefully managing fixed and
variable costs as raw material prices of food increase in the face of low
consumer confidence. This is a great opportunity to show how the information
and tools we teach in class directly relate to management decisions,
strategy, and profitability.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What challenges are restaurants facing? How are
they impacted both on the expense side and sales side?
2. (Advanced) How are fast food restaurants analyzing the situation
using segmented income statements to address these challenging times? How
does segmenting the business's product lines and customers help with the
company's overall profit margins?
3. (Advanced) What segment of the fast food business is most
successful? How is McDonald's management approaching each segment to make it
more profitable? How does a segmented income statement and budgeting aid in
this analysis?
4. (Advanced) In the restaurant business, which types of costs are
easiest to control? Which are more difficult? Are these costs more likely to
be fixed, variable, or mixed costs? How can management work with each of
these types of costs to survive and perhaps thrive in these kinds of
economic times?
5. (Advanced) How are different types of restaurants (fast food,
mid-range, fine dining) being affected differently under these conditions?
How can each type of restaurant use managerial accounting concepts to
improve profitability?
6. (Advanced) How would a contribution format income statement help
management to make these decisions?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Restaurant chains are in a pickle, caught between
soaring ingredient costs and fears that raising prices will turn off their
budget-conscious customers, who generally remain pessimistic about the
economy.
Companies like McDonald's Corp., MCD +0.89% Buffalo
Wild Wings Inc. BWLD -1.94% and Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. CMG -0.48% are
taking different approaches to the dilemma. Some are trying to pass on
rising costs to customers to avoid squeezing their profit margins. Others
are holding the line on prices or emphasizing their existing low-cost menu
items to keep consumers coming through the door.
The worst drought in decades has driven up prices
for foods including corn, chicken and beef this summer. Further complicating
matters for restaurants and other retailers, consumer confidence in August
fell to its lowest level since November 2011, the Conference Board said
Tuesday.
Earlier this month McDonald's attributed flat
global same-store sales in July to waning consumer sentiment, and
market-research firm NPD Group predicted that restaurant traffic would be
flat for the next two years, dialing back its previous forecast of a 1%
gain.
"Restaurant operators are in a position where they
don't have much of a choice but to raise prices because they operate on such
thin margins," said Darren Tristano, executive vice president of restaurant
consulting firm Technomic Inc.
The pressure is greater on some chains than others.
Fine and causal-dining restaurants can better stomach commodity-cost
increases because of their higher-priced menus and ability to adjust portion
sizes. "But when you're McDonald's, a lot of your products are priced to be
'value' offerings, so there's not a lot of room to absorb cost increases,"
Mr. Tristano added.
"I'd probably order more from the value menu if
prices go up," said 33-year-old Norma Rangel-Aponte, who was eating a
snack-size McFlurry ice-cream dessert at a Chicago McDonald's recently. To
save money, she said, she sometimes orders a side salad and tops it with the
chicken from a snack wrap, rather than ordering a more-expensive chicken
salad.
Restaurant chains were in similar straits a few
years ago. Food costs were high during parts of the recession because of
rising global protein demand. Some chains reacted by heavily discounting
their dishes to keep customers coming back, but their profit margins
suffered.
Others boosted prices modestly on inexpensive menu
items, hoping that consumers would swallow the increases without much
resistance. In January 2009 McDonald's raised the price of a double
cheeseburger, a fixture of its Dollar Menu, to $1.19 to help defray higher
beef and cheese costs. A spokeswoman said Tuesday that the double
cheeseburger remains on the regular McDonald's menu at a suggested retail
price of $1.19 to $1.29, depending on location.
RBC Capital Markets analyst Larry Miller said his
research has shown that diners are ordering more "value" items and fewer
premium-priced entrees and appetizers, indicating they are trying to manage
the size of their restaurant bills more "than we've seen in a while." The
potential for weak or flat sales growth combined with rising costs is
"downright scary to us," he added.
Some chains are once again stressing cheaper menu
items, offering promotions to help bring customers back more often and
testing the water with small price increases. McDonald's recently created an
"Extra Value Menu" featuring such items as a 20-piece Chicken McNuggets for
$4.99. Starbucks Corp. SBUX -0.20% reintroduced "treat receipts" that give
morning customers a discount if they return in the afternoon.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Meanwhile increases in food and fuel do not affect inflation indices since the
government now deceives us about the inflationary spiral for food and fuel
prices by ignoring prices increases in food and fuel when adjusting for
inflation.
Former U.S. Comptroller General David Walker has
been actively spreading the word for years about the dangers of the nation’s
out-of-control budget deficit and national debt.
Those views are finally getting taken seriously in
Washington, with Republicans and Democrats in Congress and the Obama
administration issuing their own plans for cutting the deficit, building on
the proposals of various deficit commissions and think tanks. Walker
delivered a speech Thursday at the American Institute of CPAs’ Spring
Meeting of Council in Washington, a day after former Senator Alan Simpson,
who co-chaired the Simpson-Bowles Commission, gave a humorous talk to AICPA
Council members at an evening reception.
Walker’s speech was far more serious in tone. “I’m
still an active CPA and I’m proud to be a CPA,” he said. “How you keep score
matters. We have a responsibility to lead the fight for truth.”
He urged CPAs in the audience to take up the
struggle to persuade the government to control the deficit. “The decisions
that fail to be made by elected officials within the next three to five
years will largely determine whether our collective future is better than
our past,” he said. “We are approaching a tipping point. Some states and
localities have passed the tipping point.”
Walker is leading what he calls the Comeback
America Initiative at
www.keepingamericagreat.org. “In the last few
years we have strayed from some of our values that made us great in the
past: limited and effective government, personal responsibility and
accountability, fiscal responsibility and equity, stewardship.”
He worries about the integrity of the Social
Security Trust Funds, quipping, “By the way you can’t trust them, they’re
not funded.” He said the country has a progressive tax system, even though
the progressivity is subject to debate. Warren Buffett’s effective tax rate
is less than his, but over 40 percent of taxpayers pay no federal income
taxes.
¶People think of debt’s role in the economy as if
it were the same as what debt means for an individual: there’s a lot of
money you have to pay to someone else. But that’s all wrong; the debt we
create is basically money we owe to ourselves, and the burden it imposes
does not involve a real transfer of resources.
¶That’s not to say that high debt can’t cause
problems — it certainly can. But these are problems of distribution and
incentives, not the burden of debt as is commonly understood. And as Dean
says, talking about leaving a burden to our children is especially
nonsensical; what we are leaving behind is promises that some of our
children will pay money to other children, which is a very different kettle
of fish.
Comment of Larry L on the above Krugman OpEd on December 28, 2012
generally agree with the economic observations of
Krugman and I understand what he is saying about internal-external transfers
of wealth/debt.
But, I have to disagree with him on the
inter-generational argument. People focus on the size of the debt but they
do NOT focus on HOW the money has been spent (the money we borrowed over the
past generation).
The reality is that Boomers borrowed to spend and
NOT build. The lower taxes of the previous 30 years was a subsidy for
personal spending (especially for the top 1%). The national debt is a
representation of the money borrowed (but not earned) to pay for all sort of
personal spending (and destructive wars). If you look at the sort of
spendthrift nonsense at the top of the pyramid, this has been an incredibly
wasteful use of our country's resources and infrastructure.
So, while other countries may have a high debt
level internally, most of that debt is being used to upgrade their physical
infrastructure and intellectual property, increasing their productivity and
therefore raise their incomes and standards of living. For them, the debt
was well spent and will result in passing a better life to the next
generation.
The U.S. has done the exact opposite.
Jensen Comment
Of course there are some nations that behaved more like the U.S., including
Portugual, Ireland, Greece, and Spain and not Italy.
Increasingly the U.S. National Debt is owed to other nations, especially
those in Asia and the Middle East. Hence, it's becoming much more than just
something we owe to ourselves. And to keep those amounts we owe to outsiders,
Krugman and the Head of the Federal Reserve (Bernanke) are leaning more and more
on the Zimbabwe School of Economics that cuts down on the rate of increase in
the National Debt by simply increasing the money supply (tantamount to printing
more greenbacks not arising from taxes or borrowing). To date Bernanke has
flooded our economy with over $2 trillion in this "free money."
The problem of course is at some point free money spending policies of the
government come home to roost with a sudden increase in prices. To combat
inflation, the Fed will be forced to raise interest rates on the existing
National Debt (fueled by annual trillion-dollar government spending deficits) to
a point where interest on that debt may become an unsustainable chuck of the
Federal budget.
At that point the only way to meet some future entitlements obligations such
as Social Security, Medicare, and other entitlements will either be to print
more money and become increasingly like Zimbabwe or cut back drastically on
promised paid to earlier generations.
Krugman was one of the most prominent advocates of
the 2008–2009 Keynesian resurgence , so much so that economics commentator
Noah Smith referred to it as the "Krugman insurgency."
. . .
Economist and former
United States Secretary of the Treasury
Larry Summers has stated Krugman has a tendency to
favor more extreme policy recommendations because "it’s much more
interesting than agreement when you’re involved in commenting on rather than
making policy."
According to Harvard professor of economics
Robert Barro, Krugman "has never done any work in
Keynesian macroeconomics" and makes
arguments that are politically convenient for him.Nobel laureate
Edward Prescott charged that
Krugman "doesn't command respect in the profession",
as "no respectable macroeconomist" believes that
economic stimulus works.
Krugman himself cleverly made tens of millions of dollars writing books and
making high-priced speeches to the 99% while he himself basks in the 1%. Nice
work if you can get it, and his fortune in no small way came from one time
winning a Nobel Prize.
One of the enduring mysteries of President Obama's
health law is how its spending constraints and payroll tax hikes on high
earners can be used to shore up Medicare finances and at the same time pay
for a massive new entitlement program. Isn't this double counting?
The short answer is: Yes, it is. You can't spend
the same money twice. And so, thanks to the new health law, federal deficits
and debt will be hundreds of billions of dollars higher in the next decade
alone.
Here's how it works. When Congress considers
legislation that alters taxes or spending related to Medicare's Hospital
Insurance Trust Fund, the changes are recorded not just on the Hospital
Insurance Trust Fund's books, but also on Congress's "pay-as-you-go"
scorecard.
The "paygo" requirement is supposed to force
lawmakers to find "offsets" for new tax cuts or entitlement spending, and
thus protect against adding to future federal budget deficits. Putting the
Medicare payroll tax hikes and spending constraints on the "pay-as-you-go"
ledger was instrumental in getting the health law through Congress, because
doing so fostered a widespread misperception that the law would reduce
future deficits.
But the same provisions add to the Hospital
Insurance Trust Fund's reserves, which expands Medicare's spending
authority. Medicare can only pay full benefits so long as its trust fund has
sufficient reserves to meet these obligations. If the trust fund has
insufficient resources, then spending must be cut automatically to ensure
the fund does not go into deficit. The health law's Medicare provisions
prevent these spending cuts from taking place for several more years.
In short, the scoring convention is not widely
understood and thus obscures the double-counting.
Perhaps the easiest way to understand this is to
look at Social Security. If we generate $1 in savings within that program,
then that's $1 that Social Security can spend later. If we also claimed this
same $1 to finance a new spending program, we would clearly be adding to the
total federal deficit. There has long been bipartisan understanding of this
aspect of Social Security, which is why Congress's paygo rules prohibit
using Social Security savings as an offset to pay for unrelated federal
spending.
No such prohibition exists in the budget process
against committing Medicare savings simultaneously to Medicare and to pay
for a new federal program. It's this budget loophole, unique to Medicare,
that gives the health law's spending constraints and payroll tax hikes the
appearance of reducing federal deficits. But it is appearance, not reality.
If you have only $1 of income and are obliged to pay a dollar each to two
different recipients, then you will have to borrow another $1. This is
effectively what the health law does. It authorizes far more in spending
than it creates in savings.
How much more? Charles Blahous's study, "The Fiscal
Consequences of the Affordable Care Act," published last month by the
Mercatus Center, found that the health law would add over $340 billion to
federal deficits over the next 10 years. Over the longer term, deficits
would run into the trillions.
Medicare spending cuts and tax increases have
always been double-counted—recorded both on the paygo scorecard and added to
the Hospital Insurance Trust Fund. No budgetary rules were bent. But the
fiscal stakes in the Affordable Care Act are extraordinarily high. The
health law's Medicare hospital insurance spending cuts and tax hikes are now
claimed to have eliminated most of the program's medium- and long-term
deficits—even as they have also paved the way for the most expensive
entitlement expansion in a generation.
"GASB issues guidance on deferred outflows and deferred inflows, plus
technical corrections ," by Kentysiac, Journal of Accountancy, April 2, 2012
---
http://journalofaccountancy.com/Web/20125426.htm
Did you hear the latest joke about New Jersey? A
group of investigative journalists this week released a report calling it
the least corruptible state in the country. How did that happen?
Easy. We bribed them.
ll kidding aside, this is a state where in 2009
three mayors, two assemblymen and five rabbis were among 44 charged in a
single money-laundering and bribery sting by the Federal Bureau of
Investigation. One of those mayors, Peter Cammarano, was from Hoboken, where
I live. He was sentenced to 24 months in prison. Five years before his
arrest, another former Hoboken mayor, Anthony Russo, pleaded guilty to
corruption charges. His son now sits on the city council.
In New Jersey, we expect corruption. It’s built
into the system. We have 566 municipalities, the most per capita of any
state. Local governments tax the citizenry dry, while preserving the
opportunities for graft that flow from operating redundant public services.
The state legislature likes it this way and always has. Whadayagonnado?
So it was quite a story this week when the Center
for Public Integrity, a Washington-based nonprofit, ranked New Jersey as the
state with the lowest corruption risk in the U.S. (Local corruption didn’t
count, it said. Only “corruption risk” in state government did.) There’s a
simple explanation for how the group reached its conclusion, too: Its
methodology was awful. Answering Questions
Here’s how the center got the New Jersey data for
its nationwide “State Integrity Investigation.” Last year, it hired Colleen
O’Dea, a freelance journalist who worked for about 26 years at the Daily
Record in Morris County, to answer a list of 330 questions about New Jersey
state government. Each called for a numerical score. O’Dea, 49, said she
interviewed 26 people for the assignment, five in person. The center paid
her $5,000.
The center also hired a former local newspaper
editor to review her work. From there, the center provided O’Dea’s responses
to another Washington-based nonprofit called Global Integrity. That group
fed the answers into an algorithm, said Randy Barrett, a Center for Public
Integrity spokesman. The results from the algorithm were used to generate
letter grades in 14 categories and an overall score for New Jersey of 87
percent, or a B+.
The center hired reporters for every other state,
too, along with “peer reviewers” to read their responses. Each reporter got
the same list of queries. The center called this investigative reporting.
Really, though, it was just a bunch of people answering questionnaires.
For example, O’Dea gave New Jersey a top score of
100 percent when asked to evaluate this statement: “In practice, the
state-run pension funds disclose information about their investment and
financial activity in a transparent manner.”
How did she decide that? The questionnaire said to
give a high score if such information was available online at little or no
cost. Her notes, posted on the center’s website, say she asked someone at
the New Jersey State League of Municipalities about this. “Very
transparent,” her notes said. The center gave the state an “A” in the
category of “state pension-fund management,” based partly on O’Dea’s answer
to that question.
Now consider that, in August 2010, New Jersey
became the only state ever sued for fraud by the Securities and Exchange
Commission. The SEC said the state for years lied to municipal- bond
investors about the underfunded condition of its two largest pension plans.
New Jersey settled without admitting or denying the agency’s claims. Making
a Difference
When I asked O’Dea in a telephone interview if she
knew about the SEC lawsuit, she said she didn’t. Later, she e-mailed me to
say that she had, in fact, been aware of it, and that “the state has since
owned up to the issue.”
Either way, it’s hard to believe New Jersey
deserves an A for how it manages its pension funds. Yet for all we know,
this grade could have made the difference between finishing No. 1 in the
rankings or not. The center ranked Connecticut No. 2 with an overall grade
of B, or 86 percent, one point behind New Jersey.
Another example from the survey: “In practice, the
state- run pension funds have sufficient staff and resources with which to
fulfill their mandate.” O’Dea gave another top score. This time she listed a
second source, in addition to the fellow from the league of municipalities:
a spokesman at the New Jersey Department of the Treasury. He told her the
answer was yes.
And so forth. The center gave New Jersey’s
insurance department a B+. One of the inputs was the 100 percent score O’Dea
awarded in response to this statement: “In practice, the state insurance
commission has a professional, full-time staff.”
Her notes listed two sources: Someone from the
Independent Insurance Agents and Brokers of New Jersey, and a spokesman for
the New Jersey Department of Banking and Insurance. Both said the statement
was true. (Imagine that.) O’Dea said the sources she chose “seemed to
logically have knowledge of the question.”
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
All jokes aside, President Obama's home town is still the most corrupt city in
the United States
A former Chicago alderman turned political science
professor/corruption fighter has found that Chicago is the most corrupt city
in the country.
He cites data from the U.S. Department of Justice
to prove his case. And, he says, Illinois is third-most corrupt state in the
country.
University of Illinois professor Dick Simpson
estimates the cost of corruption at $500 million.
It’s essentially a corruption tax on citizens who
bear the cost of bad behavior (police brutality, bogus contracts, bribes,
theft and ghost pay-rolling to name a few) and the costs needed to prosecute
it.
“We first of all, we have a long history,” Simpson
said. “The first corruption trial was in 1869 when alderman and county
commissioners were convicted of rigging a contract to literally whitewash
City Hall.”
Corruption, he said, is intertwined with city
politics
“We have had machine politics since the Great
Chicago Fire of 1871,” he said. “Machine politics breeds corruption
inevitably.”
Simpson says Hong Kong and Sydney were two
similarly corrupt cities that managed to change their ways. He says Chicago
can too, but it will take decades.
He’ll be presenting his work before the new Chicago
Ethics Task Force meeting tomorrow at City Hall.
A major U.S. city long known as a hotbed of
pay-to-play politics infested with clout and patronage has seen nearly 150
employees, politicians and contractors get convicted of corruption in the
last five decades.
Chicago has long been distinguished for its
pandemic of public corruption, but actual cumulative figures have never been
offered like this. The astounding information is featured in a
lengthy report published by one of Illinois’s
biggest public universities.
Cook County, the nation’s second largest, has been
a
“dark pool of political corruption” for more than
a century, according to the informative study conducted by the University of
Illinois at Chicago, the city’s largest public college. The report offers a
detailed history of corruption in the Windy City beginning in 1869 when
county commissioners were imprisoned for rigging a contract to paint City
Hall.
It’s downhill from there, with a plethora of
political scandals that include 31 Chicago alderman convicted of crimes in
the last 36 years and more than 140 convicted since 1970. The scams involve
bribes, payoffs, padded contracts, ghost employees and whole sale subversion
of the judicial system, according to the report.
Elected officials at the highest levels of city,
county and state government—including prominent judges—were the perpetrators
and they worked in various government locales, including the assessor’s
office, the county sheriff, treasurer and the President’s Office of
Employment and Training. The last to fall was renowned
political bully Isaac Carothers, who just a few
weeks ago pleaded guilty to federal bribery and tax charges.
In the last few years alone several dozen officials
have been convicted and more than 30 indicted for taking bribes, shaking
down companies for political contributions and rigging hiring. Among the
convictions were fraud, violating court orders against using politics as a
basis for hiring city workers and the disappearance of 840 truckloads of
asphalt earmarked for city jobs.
A few months ago the city’s largest newspaper
revealed that Chicago aldermen keep a
secret, taxpayer-funded pot of cash (about $1.3
million) to pay family members, campaign workers and political allies for a
variety of questionable jobs. The covert account has been utilized for
decades by Chicago lawmakers but has escaped public scrutiny because it’s
kept under wraps.
Judicial Watch has extensively investigated Chicago
corruption, most recently the
conflicted ties of top White House officials to
the city, including Barack and Michelle Obama as well as top administration
officials like Chief of Staff Rahm Emanual and Senior Advisor David Axelrod.
In November Judicial Watch
sued Chicago Mayor Richard Daley's office to
obtain records related to the president’s failed bid to bring the Olympics
to the city.
Best and Worst Run States in America — An Analysis Of
All 50
From the AICPA CPA Letter Daily on December 7, 2011 For the second year, 24/7 Wall St. ranked the 50
states according to how well they are run. Factors included the state's
financial health, standard of living, education system, employment rate, crime
rate and how efficiently the state uses its resources to provide government
services. 24/7 Wall St. determined that Wyoming is the best-run state and
California is the worst run.
24/7 Wall St.
http://247wallst.com/2011/11/28/best-and-worst-run-states-in-america-an-analysis-of-all-50/
Jensen Comment
The best-run state is Wyoming. The worst-run state is California Most of
the Top Ten best-run states have relatively low populations. Small seems to be
better in terms of state government efficiency, although social programs and
cold weather in those states tend to repel welfare and Medicaid recipients from
around the nation. It's difficult to draw liberal versus conservative
explanations for best-run states since liberal states of Vermont and Minnesota
are mixed in the Top Ten along with the conservative states of Wyoming, Utah,
and the two Dakota states.
Minnesota has the least debt per capita, but the union-run state of
Massachusetts has the most debt per capita. This is somewhat interesting because
both Minnesota and Massachusetts are viewed as liberal states (more so in the
days of Hubert Humphrey and Walter Mondale). The relatively conservative
southern states tend to be below the median on state debt per capita. The
western states are more variable. I accuse Taxachusetts of being union-run in
part because Boston refuses to allow Wal-Mart stores until Wal-Mart becomes
unionized.
When it comes to debt per capita there is less denominator effect than I
suspected beforehand, although small populations become a huge factor behind the
high debt loads per capita in Alaska, Rhode Island, and Delaware. Alaska can
also afford a higher debt load because of vast untapped natural resources.
I watched two very liberal commentators from Boston on television last night
arguing that more debt load in Taxachusetts to support increased spending for
social programs was a good investment of that state's economy. This seems to be
questionable given where Taxachusetts already stands in relation to debt per
capita.
The
recent announcement that Massachusetts Institute
of Technology would give certificates around free online course materials
has fueled further debate about whether employers may soon welcome new kinds
of low-cost credentials. Questions remain about how MIT’s new service will
work, and what it means for traditional college programs.
On Monday The Chronicle posed some of
those questions to two leaders of the new project: L. Rafael Reif, MIT’s
provost, and Anant Agarwal, director of MIT’s Computer Science and
Artificial Intelligence Laboratory. They stressed that the new project,
called MITx, will be run separately from the institute’s longstanding effort
to put materials from its traditional courses online. That project, called
OpenCourseWare, will continue just as before, while MITx will focus on
creating new courses designed to be delivered entirely online. All MITx
materials will be free, but those who want a certificate after passing a
series of online tests will have to pay a “modest fee.”
Q. I understand you held a forum late last
month for professors at MIT to ask questions about the MITx effort. What
were the hottest questions at that meeting?
Mr. Agarwal: There were a few good
questions. One was, How will you offer courses that involve more of a soft
touch? More of humanities, where it may not be as clear how to grade
answers?
Mr. Reif: One particular faculty
member said, How do I negotiate with my department head to get some time to
be doing this? Another one is, Well, you want MIT to give you a certificate,
how do we know who the learner is? How do we certify that?
Q. That is a question I’ve heard on some
blogs. How do you know that a person is who they say they are online? What
is your answer to that?
Mr. Agarwal: I could give a speech
on this question. … In the very short term students will have to pledge an
honor code that says that they’ll do the work honestly and things like that.
In the medium term our plan is to work with testing companies that offer
testing sites around the world, where they can do an identity check and they
can also proctor tests and exams for us. For the longer term we have quite a
few ideas, and I would say these are in the so-called R&D phase, in terms of
how we can electronically check to see if the student is who they say they
are, and this would use some combination of face recognition and other forms
of technique, and also it could involve various forms of activity
recognition.
Q. You refer to what’s being given by MITx
as a certificate. But there’s also this
trend of educational badges,
such as an effort by Mozilla, the people who make the Firefox Web browser,
to build a framework to issue such badges. Is MIT planning to use that badge
platform to offer these certificates?
Mr. Agarwal: There are a lot of
experiments around the Web as far as various ways of badging and various
ways of giving points. Some sites call them “karma points.” Khan Academy has
a way of giving badges to students who offer various levels of answering
questions and things like that. Clearly this is a movement that is happening
in our whole business. And we clearly want to leverage some of these ideas.
But fundamentally at the end of the day we have to give a certificate with a
grade that says the student took this course and here’s how they did—here’s
their grade and we will give it to them. … But there are many, many ways the
Internet is evolving to include some kind of badging and point systems, so
we will certainly try to leverage these things. And that’s a work in
progress.
Q. So there will be letter grades?
Mr. Agarwal: Correct.
Q. So you’ve said you will release your
learning software for free under an open-source license. Are you already
hearing from institutions that are going to take you up on that?
Mr. Agarwal: Yes, I think there’s
a lot of interest. Our plan is to make the software available online, and
there has been a lot of interest from a lot of sources. Many universities
and other school systems have been thinking about making more of their
content available online, and if they can find an open platform to go with I
think that will be very interesting for a lot of people.
Q. If you can get this low-cost
certificate, could this be an alternative to the $40,000-plus per year
tuition of MIT for enough people that this will really shake up higher
education? That may not threaten MIT, but could it threaten and even force
some colleges to close if they have to compete with a nearly free
certificate from your online institution?
Mr. Reif: First of all this is not
a degree, this is a certificate that MITx is providing. The second important
point is it’s a completely different educational environment. The real
question is, What do employers want? I think that for a while MITx or
activities like MITx—and there is quite a bit of buzz going on around things
like that—will augment the education students get in college today. It’s not
intended to replace it. But of course one can think of, “What if in a few
years, I only take two MITx-like courses for free and that’s enough to get
me a job?” Well, let’s see how well all this is received and how well or how
badly the traditional college model gets threatened.
In my personal view, I think the best education
that can be provided is that in a college environment. There are many things
that you cannot teach very well online. Let me give you, for instance, an
example of something that is important: ethics and integrity and things like
that. You walk on the MIT campus and by taking a course with Anant Agarwal
and meeting him and other professors like him you get the sense of ethics
and integrity. Is it easy to transfer that online in a community? Maybe it
is, but it’s going to take a bit of research to figure out how to do that.
Continued in article
The Game Changer
More on Porsches
versus
Volkswagens versus
Competency Based Learning
Bringing Low Cost Education and Training to the Masses Both a 1950 VW bug and a 1950 Porsche can be driven from Munich to Berlin. A
Porsche (MIT degree) can make the trip faster, more comfortable (the VW didn't
even have a heater), and safer on the autobahn. But the VW can
achieve the same goal at a lower cost to own and drive.
As fate would have it, the day after I wrote about Hitler's Volkswagen versus
Porsche analogy with meeting higher education needs of the masses at very low
cost, the following article appeared the next day of February 3. Ryan Craig and
I went about make the same point from two different angles.
Part of my February 2, 2012 message read as follows:
. . .
But the MITx design is not yet a Volkswagen since MIT provides high
quality lectures, videos, and course materials without yet setting academic
standards. MIT is instead passing along the academic standard setting to the
stakeholders. For example, when an engineering student at Texas A&M
graduates with a 3.96 grade average, the Texas A&M system has designed and
implemented the academic quality controls. In the MITx certificate program,
the quality controls must be designed by the employers or graduate school
admissions officers not part of the Texas A&M system..
My earlier example is that a student in the MITx program may learn a
great deal about Bessel functions ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bessel_functions
But obtaining a MITx certificate for completing a Bessel function module
says absolutely nothing about whether the certificate holder really mastered
Bessel functions. It's up to employers and graduate school admissions
officers to introduce filters to test the certificate holder's mastery of
the subject.
I hope that one day the MITx program will also have
competency-based testing of its MITx
certificate holders --- that would be the second
stage of a free MITx Volkswagen model.
The dozen higher-education leaders summoned to the
White House in December to talk about college affordability included 10
prominent college presidents and the head of one of the nation's most
visible education foundations.
And the 12th person, the person seated right across
from the president to open and frame the discussion? A self-made number
cruncher named Jane Wellman, whose outspoken devotion to the power of data
has helped raise some uncomfortable questions about the way states and
colleges spend their higher-education dollars.
That Roosevelt Room meeting helped shape some of
the college-cost-control proposals Mr. Obama announced last month. It also
provided a notable reminder of the national influence Ms. Wellman and her
Delta Cost Project now wield.
With sophisticated analyses and an often-sardonic
delivery, Ms. Wellman has been a pull-no-punches critic of fiscal policies
that starve the institutions educating the biggest proportion of
students—"public universities are getting screwed, and the community
colleges in particular are getting screwed," she says.
She is just as dismissive of the "trophy-building
exercises" of public and private institutions that elevate their research
profiles by hiring professors who never teach or that dole out merit aid to
enhance their admissions pedigrees. And don't even get her started on the
climbing-wall craze or colleges whose swimming pools "have those fake rivers
for people to raft on."
But most of all, through the Delta Project and
other consulting work, she's been an advocate for using financial
information and other data to highlight spending patterns and bring into
greater relief the true costs of academic and administrative decisions. In
higher education, she says, policy makers and administrators too often
present "an analytically correct road to complete ground fog."
Her antidote, created in 2006, was the Delta
Project on Postsecondary Costs, Productivity, and Accountability, an
independent, grant-backed organization that produces the annual "Trends in
College Spending" and other reports. Over the past several years, the Delta
Project's
reports have
highlighted the spending shift from instruction to administration, the
rising cost of employee benefits, and how community colleges have been
disproportionately hurt by public disinvestment.
Notably, the reports are formatted to reflect the
diversity of institutions—the comparisons are organized by sector, so
community colleges aren't compared with research universities—and to reflect
several categories of spending, not simply revenues and expenses. Ms.
Wellman says that's deliberate. Too many of the generalizations about
higher-education costs are "based on one part of the elephant," she says. "I
wanted to neutralize that."
She has also been eager to bust open some of the
rationalizations that college leaders trot out, such as that higher
education's rising costs are justified because of uniquely high personnel
expenditures. "Everybody spends 80 percent on payroll, unless you're a
lumber mill," she says.
That mix of bluntness and evidence is what's
brought the Delta Project, and her, credibility and fans.
"It's the only place in higher ed that's really
laser-focused on the question 'How much do you get for how much you put
in?'" says Travis Reindl, program director for the education division of the
National Governors Association. "She has made the cost issue more
approachable than anybody else I can think of, especially for people who
don't eat, sleep, and breathe this stuff."
A Background in
Policy
But after five years, Ms. Wellman and the Delta
Project are undergoing a transition. Under an arrangement Ms. Wellman
masterminded, the organization last month merged its database of financial
information into the National Center for Education Statistics and moved the
policy-analysis side of its work to the American Institutes for Research,
where it will continue to produce reports as the Delta Cost Project AIR.
Ms. Wellman, 62, will remain an adviser to the
project, but will also devote more time to her role as executive director of
the National Association of System Heads, a group for presidents and
chancellors of public university and community-college systems. She says the
new role will give her a different kind of platform to articulate "the moral
imperative" of financing the institutions attended by a majority of
students—including those who are the neediest.
It's a natural step for her, says Charles B. Reed,
chancellor of the California State University system: "Jane has a vision,
and I think it's because of the work she's created in the Delta Project."
Ms. Wellman's interest in higher education began
largely by accident. She dropped out of the University of California at
Berkeley in the late 1960s to get a job and establish residency as an
in-state student. As she tells it, she "ended up typing for David Breneman,"
who was then finishing his dissertation before going on to become a
nationally known scholar on the economics of higher education. The subject
matter "resonated with my political interest," says Ms. Wellman.
She stayed at Berkeley for a master's in higher
education and then began working as policy analyst, first for the University
of California system and later as staff director for the Ways and Means
Committee in the California State Assembly. (The man who would become her
husband was working there, too, for a committee on prisons.) She was
frustrated by a lot of what she saw, both in Sacramento and when she moved
to Washington, in the early 1990s, and worked for two and a half years as a
lobbyist for the National Association of Independent Colleges and
Universities. Her higher-education colleagues would say things like
"Complexity is our friend" when preparing to talk budgets to
legislators—and to bury them with numbers.
By the mid-2000s, after about a decade of
consulting for the Cal State system and working on government and
association commissions on college costs—and seeing all of them "go to
naught"—she decided it was time "to create the data set and the methodology
that I knew was possible" to bring more clarity to the issues of spending.
"We were hugely helped by the recession," she says.
"At any other time, I would have gotten much more pushback from the
institutions."
Data for
Everybody
Richard Staisloff, a consultant on college finance
who teaches with Ms. Wellman at an executive doctoral program in education
at the University of Pennsylvania, says her contribution comes in "myth
busting." Often, he says, she makes it clear that where students are is not
where money is being spent. "It's hard to run from the data," says Mr.
Staisloff.
Mr. Reindl remembers getting together for coffee
with Ms. Wellman here in Washington and listening as "she sketched out on a
Starbucks napkin" her plans for the Delta Project (she chose the name since
it's the mathematical symbol for "change"). Those ideas have taken root, he
says. When people like Jay Nixon, the governor of Missouri and a Democrat,
talk about state spending and degrees per dollar spent, "that's really out
of Delta, and that's a governor talking," he says. "She has made it not only
OK to talk about outcomes and resources in the same sentence, she's made it
necessary."
At least one critic of rising college costs,
however, questions whether she's too much of an "establishment figure" to be
an effective reformer. Richard Vedder, a professor of economics at Ohio
University (and a blogger for The Chronicle), says her data are
good, but "Jane doesn't tell us what to do about it." He says he wishes
she'd do more to tie her information to data on what students are learning.
"Where does Academically Adrift fit into the picture?" he asks.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Having taught managerial and cost accounting for over 40 years, it seems to me
that Jane Wellman is overlooking some systemic problems
of cost accounting, cost allocations, and cost aggregations that can
make her numbers very misleading ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudConclusion.htm#BadNews
Systemic Problem: Aggregation
Issues With Vegetable Nutrition
Systemic Problem: All
Aggregations Are Arbitrary
Systemic Problem: All
Aggregations Combine Different Measurements With Varying Accuracies
Systemic Problem: All
Aggregations Leave Out Important Components
Systemic Problem: All
Aggregations Ignore Complex & Synergistic Interactions of Value and Risk
Systemic Problem: Disaggregating of Value or Cost is Generally
Arbitrary
Systemic Problem: Systems Are
Too Fragile
Systemic Problem: More Rules
Do Not Necessarily Make Accounting for Performance More Transparent
Systemic Problem: Economies
of Scale vs. Consulting Red Herrings in Auditing
For all the hubbub about massive online classes
offered by elite universities, the real
potential game-changer in higher education is competency-based learning. Ryan Craig. February 3, 2012
It's troubling enough to study one university's financial reports. It's a
nightmare to compare universities.
"So You Want to Examine Your University's Financial Reports?" by
Charles Schwartz, Chronicle of Higher Education, February 7, 2012 ---
http://chronicle.com/article/So-You-Want-to-Examine-Your/130672/
With financial difficulties facing many
universities, some faculty members feel the urge to take a
critical look into their own institution's audited
financial reports and see what they can learn.
The impulse is admirable, but some guidance is
needed before you enter such unfamiliar territory. Having spent some time
looking at such things at my own institution (the University of California,
which provides an enormous amount of financial data online), I must warn
about the dreadful pitfalls awaiting any newcomer.
When you wade into those financial reports, you
should understand that the numbers are invariably correct. What you need to
be skeptical about are the words and labels attached to the numbers. There
is, of course, a large amount of jargon. For example, if you wanted to find
out how much money is spent on administration and management, you might
start with "institutional support," which covers high-level administration
on the campus; then there is "academic administration," (a subcategory of
"academic support"), which covers the deans' offices; and then there are
lower levels of administrative services buried in every other category.
It turns out that the trickiest category is the one
you would think faculty members understand the best: expenditures for
"instruction." Let me show you some data for my own university, looking at
its two most famous campuses. This chart comes from page eight of the latest
UC Annual Financial Report.
Operating Expenses by Function, 2010-11 ($ in Millions)
Total
Instruction
Research
Medical Centers
UC Berkeley
$2,026
$ 566
$ 533
0
UC Los Angeles
$4,563
$1,240
$ 702
$1,285
UCLA has a medical school and associated hospitals;
Berkeley doesn't. That mostly explains the large difference in total
expenditures between the two institutions. Otherwise, one thinks of the two
campuses as quite comparable in size and academic quality. So why is there
such a disparity in the expenditures for instruction? The answer is not easy
to find by simply reading the audited financial report.
The answer starts to appear when you search more
detailed financial reports (the best resource at my university is called
Campus Financial Schedules) and find tables relating revenues to
expenditures. For UCLA there is a contribution of $530 million for
instruction that comes from "sales and services of educational activities."
What is that? It turns out that faculty members in
the medical school not only teach and carry out research but are also
doctors who treat patients. That activity, called "clinical practice," is a
lucrative business that is conducted by the university. In the accounting
system, such revenues are lumped into the category "sales and services of
educational activities." Part of that money is used to cover costs of the
clinical practice (offices, supplies, personnel); and a large part of it is
paid out to the medical faculty members on top of their regular academic
salaries. It just happens that the accounting system lumps all of those
payments to faculty members under the heading of "expenditures for
instruction." Who knew?
Does that have any troublesome consequences? Yes.
There is a famous national repository for detailed data on the nation's
colleges and universities: the U.S. Department of Education's Integrated
Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS). One of the things you can get
from that lovely online source is the per-student expenditure for
instruction, for any college or university, in any year. And if you look up
that data for Berkeley and UCLA, you will find that the latter amount is
twice as big as the former. IPEDS uses data supplied by the individual
campuses, the very same data that I mentioned above. Nobody seems to be
aware of how misleading those numbers can be if the campus you ask about
happens to be in the medical-services business. (By the way, not all
campuses with medical enterprises use the same accounting procedures I
described.) IPEDS is seriously distorted.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Think of college and university financial reports as being fund-based accounting
reports similar to municipal, state, and federal government financial reports.
Reporting standards are so messed up for such financial reporting that it's
usually possible to hide anything from the public simply by overwhelming them
with a truck load of information that is not indexed or otherwise linked in a
comprehensible manner.
Sen. Orrin Hatch (R-Utah) said Tuesday that he
would push legislation this year to revamp pension systems for state and
local government workers.
Hatch, ranking member of the Senate Finance
Committee, noted in a statement and a newly released report that public
pension programs are more than $4 trillion in debt, and said he would work
to ensure that the federal government did not have to bail out state or
local entities.
And while the Utah Republican did not offer many
details on his planned legislation, or when it would be released, Hatch did
suggest that state and local governments need to scrap their current use of
defined-benefit plans.
Under that sort of plan, retirees are guaranteed a
certain monthly payment, which often takes into account the length of their
tenures and salaries before retirement.
“The public pension crisis plaguing our nation
demands a real solution,” Hatch said in the statement. “Over the coming
weeks, I will be putting forward ideas to reform public pension programs in
a meaningful way that doesn’t leave taxpayers on the hook.”
The announcement from Hatch comes after groups on
the left and right have spent months arguing over benefits for public
workers, following pushes by Republican governors in places including
Wisconsin to limit collective-bargaining rights.
In the report released Tuesday, Hatch declared that
the current issues with public pensions were caused by more than just the
2008 financial crisis, as some analysts have said.
To bolster that claim, the report notes that, even
before the 2008 crisis, roughly 40 percent of state and local pension plans
could not fund 80 percent of their liabilities, a level experts generally
consider healthy.
Hatch also used the example of his own state to
underscore his point that governments need to move away from defined-benefit
plans, saying that Utah had ably administered its program and still saw debt
on its plan balloon to $3.45 billion in 2010.
“When a prudently managed pension plan can create a
financial crisis for the taxpayers of a state or municipality, it is time to
question whether the risk to taxpayers associated with the defined benefit
pension structure is appropriate,” the report stated. “Defined benefit plans
pose unacceptable financial and service degradation risks for taxpayers and
retirees.”
But Dean Baker, co-director of the left-leaning
Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR), took issue with both the
argument from Hatch that states and localities need to move away from
defined-benefit plans, and that blaming the fiscal crisis for the current
pension issues understated the problems.
Baker told The Hill that, while states might in
some cases be billions in the hole when it comes to pension liabilities,
they will also likely be able to make that shortfall up over 20 or 30 years.
“It’s just cheap rhetoric,” Baker said about the
Hatch report. “There are state and local governments where, at least on
average, they’re not going to face a particularly big burden.”
Baker also noted that defined-benefit plans are
less volatile for workers than other retirement plans.
State treasurers voiced concerns about a proposal
unveiled Tuesday by the Governmental Accounting Standards Board that
recommends they provide five-year projections of cash flows and information
about future financial obligations.
The concerns surfaced here at the Issues Conference
on Public Funds Management, sponsored by the National Association of State
Treasurers.
The NAST gathering coincided with GASB’s release of
so-called preliminary views in a document entitled “Economic Condition
Reporting: Financial Projections.”
The proposal, which GASB is floating for public
comment and hearings, would require issuers to provide the cash-flow
projections if they wanted a clean audit.
GASB said users of governments’ financial
statements need this information to assess an entity’s financial health.
Several state treasurers at the conference who had
not reviewed the board’s proposal and had only read about it in media
accounts expressed reservations.
“We do have a basic concern about what sort of
future fiscal projections are expected, with what detail and with what
caveats they would be presented,” said Nancy Kopp, the treasurer of
Maryland.
She noted that if such projections had been
required in 2006, they would have proven wrong after the 2008 financial
crisis.
“It’s when you get to projections and hypothetical
information, we get most concerned,” she said.
The treasurer’s office of Maryland currently posts
projections on its website based on present law and economic assumptions.
“But these are unaudited, best-guess assumptions,”
Kopp said.
Another state treasurer, who moderated the pension
panel, said she had qualms about the proposal’s impact on small
municipalities.
The motto
of Judicial Watch is "Because no one is above the law". To this end, Judicial
Watch uses the open records or freedom of information laws and other tools to
investigate and uncover misconduct by government officials and litigation to
hold to account politicians and public officials who engage in corrupt
activities.
Judicial Watch ---
http://www.judicialwatch.org/
The calls started in mid-May, two weeks before a
looming congressional hearing.
Staff members across the vast U.S. Department of
Housing and Urban Development were racing to check in with hundreds of local
agencies to determine the status of housing construction projects for the
poor.
Within days, the massive scramble came to a
conclusion: HUD told Congress that its $32 billion HOME Investment
Partnerships Program was doing just fine.
Those findings followed reports by The Washington
Post that HUD had routinely failed to track the progress of its
affordable-housing projects and that hundreds of deals involving hundreds of
millions of dollars showed signs of delay or appeared to be in limbo. HUD
officials defended the program, saying most projects are successfully
completed.
But HUD’s attempt to demonstrate that success to
Congress resulted in reports to lawmakers that, to judge by federal records
and interviews with dozens of local housing agencies in charge of the
projects, contain discrepancies and contradictions that suggest continuing
problems with the program.
Indeed, the delays vexing the HOME program are
larger than previously reported. In recent weeks, local housing agencies
have confirmed that about 75 construction projects drew and spent $40
million in HOME funds with little or nothing built. That is in addition to
the nearly 700 potentially delayed projects The Post identified earlier this
year.
“The data that HUD has provided to this committee
is completely unreliable,” said Rep. Randy Neugebauer (R-Tex.), chairman of
the House Financial Services subcommittee on oversight and investigations,
which has been probing the HOME program. “HUD has almost no way of knowing
whether taxpayer dollars have been wasted or used for their intended
purpose.”
In its recent accounts to Congress, HUD reported as
complete at least 17 construction projects that did not deliver all of the
units that had been promised. One was in Newark, where a developer received
nearly $700,000 in HOME funding but completed only four of 11 units, leaving
behind partially completed houses and barren lots, records and interviews
show.
“We would not have characterized it as
satisfactorily completed,” said Newark housing chief Michael Meyer.
HUD also reported that at least 16 projects were
completed months or even years before low-income buyers purchased the units,
local housing officials said. HUD’s regulations state that homeowner
projects are complete only after the homes are sold.
Members of Congress have found similar
inconsistencies. At a hearing last week, several Republican members of the
House Financial Services Committee said they had tracked down reportedly
completed projects in their districts and found, among other things, a
vacant lot and a shuttered building.
“Where’s the money? Where are the units that were
promised? Has HUD demanded repayments for units that were not built?” said
Rep. Judy Biggert (R-Ill.), who chairs the Financial Services subcommittee
on insurance, housing and community opportunity.
Germany is 55.5 billion euros ($78.7 billion)
richer than it thought due to an accountancy error at the bad bank of
nationalized mortgage lender Hypo Real Estate (HRE), the finance ministry
said.
Europe's largest economy now expects its ratio of
debt to gross domestic product to be 81.1 percent for 2011, 2.6 percentage
points less than previously forecast, it said.
The HRE-linked bad bank FMS Wertmanagement FMSWA.UL
was set up after HRE was nationalized in 2009, so that HRE could transfer
the worst non-performing assets to an off-balance sheet bank guaranteed by
the German state.
"Apparently it was due to sums incorrectly entered
twice," said a ministry spokesman on Friday, adding the reason for the error
still needed to be clarified.
The government nonetheless welcomed the news which
pointed to a further reduction of Germany's debt mountain, which remains
above the European Union's Maastricht requirement for 60 percent of GDP.
However, the opposition Social Democrats (SPD)
expressed astonishment at the extent of the accountancy error, for which
they see the government as responsible.
"This is not a sum that the Swabian housewife hides
in a biscuit tin and forgets," said SPD parliamentary leader Thomas
Oppermann. "To overlook such a sum is completely irresponsible."
Swabians, from the south-west of Germany, are
renowned for their savings skills.
Of the total sum uncovered at FMS, 24.5 billion
euros is for 2010 and 31 billion euros is for 2011.
The financial
and sovereign debt crises have brought to light the need for
better financial reporting by governments worldwide, and the
need for improvements in the management of public sector
resources.
Many governments operate on a cash-basis and do not account for
many significant items, such as liabilities for public sector
pensions and financial instruments. Accrual accounting is a
fundamental tenet of strong accounting and reporting for public
companies, and so it should be for governments as well. IFAC
advocates the adoption of accrual accounting in the public
interest—which will result in a more comprehensive and accurate
view of financial position, and help ensure that governments and
other public sector entities are transparent and accountable.
A fundamental way to protect the public interest is to develop,
promote, and enforce internationally recognized standards as a
means of ensuring the credibility of information upon which
investors and other stakeholders depend.
The
International Public Sector Accounting Standards Board (IPSASB),
an independent standard-setting board supported by IFAC, has
developed and issued a suite of
31 accrual standards, and a cash-basis standard for
countries moving toward full accrual
accounting.
Audit Failure: The GAO Reported No Problems Amidst All This Massive Fraud
Note that most of these particular workers retire long before age 65 and are
fraudulently collecting full Social Security and Medicare benefits intended for
truly disabled persons
"The Public-Union Albatross What it means when 90% of an agency's workers
(fraudulently) retire with disability benefits," by Philip K. Howard,
The Wall Street Journal, November 9, 2011 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204190704577024321510926692.html?mod=djemEditorialPage_t
The indictment of seven Long Island Rail Road
workers for disability fraud last week cast a spotlight on a troubled
government agency. Until recently, over 90% of LIRR workers retired with a
disability—even those who worked desk jobs—adding about $36,000 to their
annual pensions. The cost to New York taxpayers over the past decade was
$300 million.
As one investigator put it, fraud of this kind
"became a culture of sorts among the LIRR workers, who took to gathering in
doctor's waiting rooms bragging to each [other] about their disabilities
while simultaneously talking about their golf game." How could almost every
employee think fraud was the right thing to do?
The LIRR disability epidemic is hardly unique—82%
of senior California state troopers are "disabled" in their last year before
retirement. Pension abuses are so common—for example, "spiking" pensions
with excess overtime in the last year of employment—that they're taken for
granted.
Governors in Wisconsin and Ohio this year have led
well-publicized showdowns with public unions. Union leaders argue they are "decimat[ing]
the collective bargaining rights of public employees." What are these
so-called "rights"? The dispute has focused on rich benefit packages that
are drowning public budgets. Far more important is the lack of productivity.
"I've never seen anyone terminated for
incompetence," observed a long-time human relations official in New York
City. In Cincinnati, police personnel records must be expunged every few
years—making periodic misconduct essentially unaccountable. Over the past
decade, Los Angeles succeeded in firing five teachers (out of 33,000), at a
cost of $3.5 million.
Collective-bargaining rights have made government
virtually unmanageable. Promotions, reassignments and layoffs are dictated
by rigid rules, without any opportunity for managerial judgment. In 2010,
shortly after receiving an award as best first-year teacher in Wisconsin,
Megan Sampson had to be let go under "last in, first out" provisions of the
union contract.
Even what task someone should do on a given day is
subject to detailed rules. Last year, when a virus disabled two computers in
a shared federal office in Washington, D.C., the IT technician fixed one but
said he was unable to fix the other because it wasn't listed on his form.
Making things work better is an affront to union
prerogatives. The refuse-collection union in Toledo sued when the city
proposed consolidating garbage collection with the surrounding county.
(Toledo ended up making a cash settlement.) In Wisconsin, when budget cuts
eliminated funding to mow the grass along the roads, the union sued to stop
the county executive from giving the job to inmates.
No decision is too small for union micromanagement.
Under the New York City union contract, when new equipment is installed the
city must reopen collective bargaining "for the sole purpose of negotiating
with the union on the practical impact, if any, such equipment has on the
affected employees." Trying to get ideas from public employees can be
illegal. A deputy mayor of New York City was "warned not to talk with
employees in order to get suggestions" because it might violate the "direct
dealing law."
How inefficient is this system? Ten percent? Thirty
percent? Pause on the math here. Over 20 million people work for federal,
state and local government, or one in seven workers in America. Their
salaries and benefits total roughly $1.5 trillion of taxpayer funds each
year (about 10% of GDP). They spend another $2 trillion. If government could
be run more efficiently by 30%, that would result in annual savings worth $1
trillion.
What's amazing is that anything gets done in
government. This is a tribute to countless public employees who render
public service, against all odds, by their personal pride and willpower,
despite having to wrestle daily choices through a slimy bureaucracy.
One huge hurdle stands in the way of making
government manageable: public unions. The
head of the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
recently bragged that the union had contributed $90 million in the 2010
off-year election alone. Where did the
unions get all that money? The power is imbedded in an artificial legal
construct—a "collective-bargaining right" that deducts union dues from all
public employees, whether or not they want to belong to the union.
Some states, such as Indiana, have succeeded in
eliminating this requirement. I would go further: America should ban
political contributions by public unions, by constitutional amendment if
necessary. Government is supposed to serve the public, not public employees.
America must bulldoze the current system and start
over. Only then can we balance budgets and restore competence, dignity and
purpose to public service.
What you won't read in Newsday or the New York
Times from non-copyrighted labor source:
GAO Audit Gives Railroad Occupational Disability
Program a Clean Bill of Health
The United States Government Accountability Office
(GAO) just issued its second review of the Railroad Retirement Board
Occupational Disability Program. And once again it found no problems.
“This was a major accomplishment for rail labor,”
says TCU President Bob Scardelletti. “Occupational Disability is a vitally
important program for members who need it. It’s the best in the country, and
this Report will help keep it that way.”
The increased government attention on Occupational
Disability began when New York politicians and newspapers began a full scale
campaign targeting Long Island Rail Road workers’ alleged abuse of the
program. After extensive scandalous press reports, public hearings, wild
allegations, and a congressionally requested GAO investigation, no
improprieties were found.
The Railroad Retirement Board did institute some
oversight measures specific to Long Island Rail Road to make sure that no
abuses were occurring, reflecting the fact that the rate of applications for
occupational disability were higher than on any other railroad. But these
oversight procedures wound up finding that all Long Island applications that
were approved were properly reviewed, legitimate and in accordance with
existing law and regulations. And that fact was endorsed by the first GAO
audit of Long Island Rail Road claims in a report released in September,
2009.
Not satisfied with the GAO’s findings, two
Congressman – John Mica of Florida and Bill Shuster of Pennsylvania – on
March 18, 2009 formally requested the GAO to “conduct a systematic review of
RRB’s occupational disability program”, not just limited to Long Island Rail
Road.
The Congressmen’ request prompted yet another GAO
review of the occupational disability program. In their just-issued response
to the two Congressmen, the GAO reported they found no improprieties and
made no recommendations.
“Once again efforts to
find fault with the occupational disability have come up empty,” says
President Scardelletti. “That’s because the program is functioning as it
was intended – to be a last resort for rail workers who because of
illness or injury can no longer perform their jobs. It is a necessary
benefit and it is not abused by those who unfortunately must apply for it.
We will continue to do everything in our power to preserve it as is.”
Jensen Comment
The program seems to be "working as intended." Either 90% of all the railroad's
workers are becoming disabled on the job or the system is "intended" to defraud
the taxpayers. One sign of that it was a fraud is that the same doctor (now
indicted) was receiving millions of dollars from the union to sign phony
disability claims.
And there are some who advocate that the GAO take over the private sector
auditing because there will be less fraud, greater independence, and more
competent auditors than anything the Big Four and other auditing firms can come
up with. Baloney!
Disability Entitlements: Being Declared
Disabled has More Benefits Than Working
Between the ages of 0 and 200, disability pay and medical payments
go on virtually forever
The system is racked with fraud
Cost averages $1,500 annually for each and every taxpayer in the
U.S.
"College Enrollment Fell Slightly in 2010," by Catherine Rampell,
The New York Times (Economix)
In
the worst economic times of the 1950s and ’60s, about 9 percent
of men in the prime of their working lives (25 to 54 years old)
were not working. At the depth of the severe recession in the
early 1980s, about 15 percent of prime-age men were not working.
Today, more than 18 percent of such men aren’t working.
That’s a depressing statistic: nearly one out of every five men
between 25 and 54 is not employed. Yes, some of them are happily
retired. Some are going to school. And some are taking care of
their children. But most don’t fall into any of these
categories. They simply aren’t working. They’re managing to get
by some other way.
For
growing numbers of these men, the federal disability program is
a significant source of support. Disabled workers — men and
women — received $115 billion in benefits last year and another
$75 billion in medical costs. (Disability recipients become
eligible for Medicare two years after starting to receive
benefits.) That $190 billion sum is the equivalent of about
$1,500 in taxes for each American household.
ON the night of Sept. 8, Gina M. Raimondo, a
financier by trade, rolled up here with news no one wanted to hear: Rhode
Island, she declared, was going broke.
Maybe not today, and maybe not tomorrow. But if
current trends held, Ms. Raimondo warned, the Ocean State would soon look
like Athens on the Narragansett: undersized and overextended. Its economy
would wither. Jobs would vanish. The state would be hollowed out.
It is not the sort of message you might expect from
Ms. Raimondo, a proud daughter of Providence, a successful venture
capitalist and, not least, the current general treasurer of Rhode Island.
But it is a message worth hearing. The smallest state in the union, it turns
out, has a very big debt problem.
After decades of drift, denial and inaction, Rhode
Island’s $14.8 billion pension system is in crisis. Ten cents of every state
tax dollar now goes to retired public workers. Before long, Ms. Raimondo has
been cautioning in whistle-stops here and across the state, that figure will
climb perilously toward 20 cents. But the scary thing is that no one really
knows. The Providence Journal recently tried to count all the municipal
pension plans outside the state system and stopped at 155, conceding that it
might have missed some. Even the Securities and Exchange Commission is
asking questions, including the big one: Are these numbers for real?
“We’re in the fight of our lives for the future of
this state,” Ms. Raimondo said in a recent interview. And if the fight is
lost? “Either the pension fund runs out of money or cities go bankrupt.”
All of this might seem small in the scheme of
national affairs. After all, this is Little Rhody (population: 1,052,567).
But the nightmare scenario is that Ms. Raimondo has seen the future of
America, and it is Rhode Island. As Wall Street fixates on the financial
disaster in Greece, a fiscal wreck is playing out right here. And the odds
are that it won’t be the last. Before this is over, many Americans may be
forced to rethink what government means at the state and local level.
Economists have talked endlessly about a financial
reckoning for the United States, of a moment in the not-so-far-away when the
nation’s profligate ways catch up with it. But for Rhode Island, that moment
is now. The state has moved to safeguard its bond investors, to avoid being
locked out of the credit markets. Last week, the General Assembly went into
special session and proposed rolling back benefits for public employees,
including those who have already retired. Whether the plan will succeed is
anyone’s guess.
Central Falls, a small city north of Providence,
didn’t wait for news from the Statehouse. In August, the city filed for
bankruptcy rather than keep its pension promises to its retired firefighters
and police officers.
Illinois, California, Connecticut, Oklahoma,
Michigan — the list of stretched states runs on. In Pennsylvania, the
capital city, Harrisburg, filed for bankruptcy earlier this month to avoid
having to use prized assets to pay off Wall Street creditors. In New Jersey,
Gov. Chris Christie wants to roll back benefits, too.
In most places, as in Rhode Island, the big issue
is pensions. By conventional measures, state and local pensions nationwide
now face a combined shortfall of about $3 trillion. Officials argue that, by
their accounting, the total is far less. But with pensions, hope often
triumphs over experience. Until this year, Rhode Island calculated its
pension numbers by assuming that its various funds would post an average
annual return on their investments of 8.25 percent; the real number for the
last decade is about 2.4 percent. A phrase that gets thrown around here, à
la Rick Perry describing Social Security, is “Ponzi scheme.”
That evening in September, Ms. Raimondo walked into
the Cranston Portuguese Club to face yet another angry audience. People like
Paul L. Valletta Jr., the head of Local 1363 of the firefighters union.
“I want to get the biggest travesty out of the way
here,” Mr. Valletta boomed from the back of the hall. “You’re going after
the retirees! In this economic time, how could you possibly take a pension
away?”
Someone else in the audience said Rhode Island was
reneging on a moral obligation.
Ms. Raimondo, 40, stood her ground. Rhode Island,
she said, had a choice: it could pay for schoolbooks, roadwork, care for the
elderly and so on, or it could keep every promise to its retirees.
“I would ask you, is it morally right to do
nothing, and not provide services to the state’s most vulnerable citizens?”
she asked the crowd. “Yes, sir, I think this is moral.”
FOR many Americans, the Ocean State conjures images
of Newport mansions and Narragansett chic. The overall reality is more
prosaic. Rhode Island today is a place where the roads and bridges rank
among the worst in the nation and where jobs are particularly hard to find.
Unemployment rose faster during the 2008-9 recession than in any other
state. The official jobless rate is now 10.6 percent, versus the national
average of 9.1 percent.
The textile mills and jewelry manufacturers that
once employed thousands here have dwindled away. The big employers today are
in health care and education, both of which rely heavily on government
spending that has been drying up.
Many states and cities can credibly say their
pension plans are viable, even when those plans are not fully funded. That
is because state retirement funds, like Social Security, pay out benefits
bit by bit, over many years.
But unlike, say, California, with its large,
diverse economy, Rhode Island is so small that there is little margin for
error. Leaving the state, to escape its taxes, is almost as easy as moving
to the other side of town. Efforts to balance the state budget by shrinking
the public work force have left Rhode Island with a problem like the one
that plagues General Motors: the state has more public-sector retirees than
public-sector workers.
Questions
Although all 50 states are in deep financial troubles, what state is in the
worst shape at the moment and is unable to pay its bills?
Hint: The state in deepest trouble is not California, although California is in
dire straights!
How did accountants hide the pending
disaster?
Watch the Video
This module on 60 Minutes on December 19 was one of the most worrisome episodes
I've ever watched
It appears that a huge number of cities and towns and some states will default
on bonds within12 months from now
"State Budgets: The Day of Reckoning Steve Kroft Reports On The Growing
Financial Woes States Are Facing," CBS Sixty Minutes, December 19, 2010 ---
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/12/19/60minutes/main7166220.shtml
The problem with that, according to Wall Street
analyst Meredith Whitney, is that no one really knows how deep the holes
are. She and her staff spent two years and thousands of man hours trying to
analyze the financial condition of the 15 largest states. She wanted to find
out if they would be able to pay back the money they've borrowed and what
kind of risk they pose to the $3 trillion municipal bond market, where state
and local governments go to finance their schools, highways, and other
projects.
"How accurate is the financial information that's
public on the states? And municipalities," Kroft asked.
"The lack of transparency with the state disclosure
is the worst I have ever seen," Whitney said. "Ultimately we have to use
what's publicly available data and a lot of it is as old as June 2008. So
that's before the financial collapse in the fall of 2008."
Whitney believes the states will find a way to
honor their debts, but she's afraid some local governments which depend on
their state for a third of their revenues will get squeezed as the states
are forced to tighten their belts. She's convinced that some cities and
counties will be unable to meet their obligations to municipal bond holders
who financed their debt. Earlier this year, the state of Pennsylvania had to
rescue the city of Harrisburg, its capital, from defaulting on hundreds of
millions of dollars in debt for an incinerator project.
"There's not a doubt in my mind that you will see a
spate of municipal bond defaults," Whitney predicted.
Asked how many is a "spate," Whitney said, "You
could see 50 sizeable defaults. Fifty to 100 sizeable defaults. More. This
will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of defaults."
Municipal bonds have long been considered to be
among the safest investments, bought by small investors saving for
retirement, and held in huge numbers by big banks. Even a few defaults could
affect the entire market. Right now the big bond rating agencies like
Standard & Poor's and Moody's, who got everything wrong in the housing
collapse, say there's no cause for concern, but Meredith Whitney doesn't
believe it.
"When individual investors look to people that are
supposed to know better, they're patted on the head and told, 'It's not
something you need to worry about.' It'll be something to worry about within
the next 12 months," she said.
No one is talking about it now, but the big test
will come this spring. That's when $160 billion in federal stimulus money,
that has helped states and local governments limp through the great
recession, will run out.
The states are going to need some more cash and
will almost certainly ask for another bailout. Only this time there are no
guarantees that Washington will ride to the rescue.
The Congressional Budget Office estimates the debt
will be at $US16.5 trillion in two years, or 100.6 per cent of GDP.
But these numbers are incomplete.
They do not count off-budget obligations such as
required spending for Social Security and Medicare, whose programs represent
a balloon payment for the Government as more Americans retire and collect
benefits.
In the case of Social Security, beginning in 2016,
the US Government will be paying out more than it is collecting in taxes.
Without basic measures - such as payment cuts or
higher payroll taxes - the system could be on the road to bankruptcy,
Jensen Comment
Governments don't declare bankruptcy that would leave allow them to default on
debt obligations. Instead they print money wholesale an pay off their debts in
hyper-inflated dollars.
"Downhill With the G.O.P.," by Paul
Krugman, The New York Times, September 25, 2010 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/09/24/opinion/24krugman.html?src=ISMR_HP_LO_MST_FB
Jensen Comment
I agree with some of Krugman's assessment, but I strongly disagree that the
solution to saving the United States is to massive more deficit financing. Does
this Nobel Laureate know how to compute interest cash flow on the nearly $100
trillion of debt?
How Accountants Hide the Pension Bomb in the Public Sectors
Next month will be pivotal for most states, as it
marks the fiscal year end and is when balanced budgets are due. The states
have racked up over $1.8 trillion in taxpayer-supported obligations in large
part by underfunding their pension and other post-employment benefits. Yet
over the past three years, there still has been a cumulative excess of $400
billion in state budget shortfalls. States have already been forced to raise
taxes and cut programs to bridge those gaps.
Next month will also mark the end of the American
Recovery and Reinvestment Act's $480 billion in federal stimulus, which has
subsidized states through the economic downturn. States have grown more
dependent on federal subsidies, relying on them for almost 30% of their
budgets.
The condition of state finances threatens the
economic recovery. States employ over 19 million Americans, or 15% of the
U.S. work force, and state spending accounts for 12% of U.S. gross domestic
product. The process of reining in state finances will be painful for us
all.
The rapid deterioration of state finances must be
addressed immediately. Some dismiss these concerns, because they believe
states will be able to grow their way out of these challenges. The reality
is that while state revenues have improved, they have done so in part from
tax hikes. However, state tax revenues still remain at roughly 2006 levels.
Expenses are near the highest they have ever been
due to built-in annual cost escalators that have no correlation to revenue
growth (or decline, as has been the case recently). Even as states have made
deep cuts in some social programs, their fixed expenses of debt service and
the actuarially recommended minimum pension and other retirement payments
have skyrocketed. While over the past 10 years state and local government
spending has grown by 65%, tax receipts have grown only by 32%.
Off balance sheet debt is the legal obligation of
the state to its current and past employees in the form of pension and other
retirement benefits. Today, off balance sheet debt totals over $1.3
trillion, as measured by current accounting standards, and it accounts for
almost 75% of taxpayer-supported state debt obligations. Only recently have
states been under pressure to disclose more information about these
liabilities, because it is clear that their debt burdens are grossly
understated.
Since January, some of my colleagues focused
exclusively on finding the most up-to-date information on ballooning
tax-supported state obligations. This meant going to each state and local
government's website for current data, which we found was truly opaque and
without uniform standards.
What concerned us the most was the fact that fixed
debt-service costs are increasingly crowding out state monies for essential
services. For example, New Jersey's ratio of total tax-supported state
obligations to gross state product is over 30%, and the fixed costs to
service those obligations eat up 16% of the total budget. Even these numbers
are skewed, because they represent only the bare minimum paid into funding
pension and retirement plans. We calculate that if New Jersey were to pay
the actuarially recommended contribution, fixed costs would absorb 37% of
the budget. New Jersey is not alone.
The real issue here is the enormous over-leveraging
of taxpayer-supported obligations at a time when taxpayers are already
paying more and receiving less. In the states most affected by skyrocketing
debt and fiscal imbalances, social services continue to be cut the most.
Taxpayers have the ultimate voting right—with their feet. Corporations are
relocating, or at a minimum moving large portions of their businesses to
more tax-friendly states.
Boeing is in the political cross-hairs as it is
trying to set up a facility in the more business-friendly state of South
Carolina, away from its current hub of Washington. California legislators
recently went to Texas to learn best practices as a result of a rising tide
of businesses that are building operations outside of their state. Over
time, individuals will migrate to more tax-friendly states as well, and job
seekers will follow corporations.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Some accountants naively assume that the new IASB-FASB agreement on fair value
accounting will make pension obligations more transparent, especially if the
GASB follows suit. What they don't really understand is that obligations that
are not recognized in the first place are not going to be made more transparent
with fair value accounting if they're hidden in the first place. For ten years
Arnold Swartzenagger disclosed four kids and hid a fifth kid from his wife and
the rest of the world. With pensions it's more like disclosing one kid and
hiding four from the world.
Arnold pretty well ruined parts of his life when the that which was hidden
was finally revealed. The same thing will happen to local, state, and national
governments in the U.S. if hidden pension obligations are ever revealed. It will
ruin everything in future elections if voters really understand how bad the
hidden entitlements have really become ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Entitlements.htm
Questions
Although all 50 states are in deep financial troubles, what state is in the
worst shape at the moment and is unable to pay its bills?
Hint: The state in deepest trouble is not California, although California is in
dire straights!
How did accountants hide the pending
disaster?
Watch the Video
This module on 60 Minutes on December 19 was one of the most worrisome episodes
I've ever watched
It appears that a huge number of cities and towns and some states will default
on bonds within12 months from now
"State Budgets: The Day of Reckoning Steve Kroft Reports On The Growing
Financial Woes States Are Facing," CBS Sixty Minutes, December 19, 2010 ---
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2010/12/19/60minutes/main7166220.shtml
The problem with that, according to Wall Street
analyst Meredith Whitney, is that no one really knows how deep the holes
are. She and her staff spent two years and thousands of man hours trying to
analyze the financial condition of the 15 largest states. She wanted to find
out if they would be able to pay back the money they've borrowed and what
kind of risk they pose to the $3 trillion municipal bond market, where state
and local governments go to finance their schools, highways, and other
projects.
"How accurate is the financial information that's
public on the states? And municipalities," Kroft asked.
"The lack of transparency with the state disclosure
is the worst I have ever seen," Whitney said. "Ultimately we have to use
what's publicly available data and a lot of it is as old as June 2008. So
that's before the financial collapse in the fall of 2008."
Whitney believes the states will find a way to
honor their debts, but she's afraid some local governments which depend on
their state for a third of their revenues will get squeezed as the states
are forced to tighten their belts. She's convinced that some cities and
counties will be unable to meet their obligations to municipal bond holders
who financed their debt. Earlier this year, the state of Pennsylvania had to
rescue the city of Harrisburg, its capital, from defaulting on hundreds of
millions of dollars in debt for an incinerator project.
"There's not a doubt in my mind that you will see a
spate of municipal bond defaults," Whitney predicted.
Asked how many is a "spate," Whitney said, "You
could see 50 sizeable defaults. Fifty to 100 sizeable defaults. More. This
will amount to hundreds of billions of dollars' worth of defaults."
Municipal bonds have long been considered to be
among the safest investments, bought by small investors saving for
retirement, and held in huge numbers by big banks. Even a few defaults could
affect the entire market. Right now the big bond rating agencies like
Standard & Poor's and Moody's, who got everything wrong in the housing
collapse, say there's no cause for concern, but Meredith Whitney doesn't
believe it.
"When individual investors look to people that are
supposed to know better, they're patted on the head and told, 'It's not
something you need to worry about.' It'll be something to worry about within
the next 12 months," she said.
No one is talking about it now, but the big test
will come this spring. That's when $160 billion in federal stimulus money,
that has helped states and local governments limp through the great
recession, will run out.
The states are going to need some more cash and
will almost certainly ask for another bailout. Only this time there are no
guarantees that Washington will ride to the rescue.
Here's a dilemma: You manage a public employee
pension plan and your actuary tells you it is significantly underfunded. You
don't want to raise contributions. Cutting benefits is out of the question.
To be honest, you'd really rather not even admit there's a problem, lest
taxpayers get upset.
What to do? For the administrators of two Montana
pension plans, the answer is obvious: Get a new actuary. Or at least that's
the essence of the managers' recent solicitations for actuarial services,
which warn that actuaries who favor reporting the full market value of
pension liabilities probably shouldn't bother applying.
Public employee pension plans are plagued by
overgenerous benefits, chronic underfunding, and now trillion dollar
stock-market losses. Based on their preferred accounting methods -- which
discount future liabilities based on high but uncertain returns projected
for investments -- these plans are underfunded nationally by around $310
billion.
The numbers are worse using market valuation
methods (the methods private-sector plans must use), which discount benefit
liabilities at lower interest rates to reflect the chance that the expected
returns won't be realized. Using that method, University of Chicago
economists Robert Novy-Marx and Joshua Rauh calculate that, even prior to
the market collapse, public pensions were actually short by nearly $2
trillion. That's nearly $87,000 per plan participant. With employee benefits
guaranteed by law and sometimes even by state constitutions, it's likely
these gargantuan shortfalls will have to be borne by unsuspecting taxpayers.
Some public pension administrators have a strategy,
though: Keep taxpayers unsuspecting. The Montana Public Employees'
Retirement Board and the Montana Teachers' Retirement System declare in a
recent solicitation for actuarial services that "If the Primary Actuary or
the Actuarial Firm supports [market valuation] for public pension plans,
their proposal may be disqualified from further consideration."
Scott Miller, legal counsel of the Montana Public
Employees Board, was more straightforward: "The point is we aren't
interested in bringing in an actuary to pressure the board to adopt market
value of liabilities theory."
While corporate pension funds are required by law
to use low, risk-adjusted discount rates to calculate the market value of
their liabilities, public employee pensions are not. However, financial
economists are united in believing that market-based techniques for valuing
private sector investments should also be applied to public pensions.
Because the power of compound interest is so
strong, discounting future benefit costs using a pension plan's high
expected return rather than a low riskless return can significantly reduce
the plan's measured funding shortfall. But it does so only by ignoring risk.
The expected return implies only the "expectation" -- meaning, at least a
50% chance, not a guarantee -- that the plan's assets will be sufficient to
meet its liabilities. But when future benefits are considered to be riskless
by plan participants and have been ruled to be so by state courts, a 51%
chance that the returns will actually be there when they are needed hardly
constitutes full funding.
Public pension administrators argue that government
plans fundamentally differ from private sector pensions, since the
government cannot go out of business. Even so, the only true advantage
public pensions have over private plans is the ability to raise taxes. But
as the Congressional Budget Office has pointed out in 2004, "The government
does not have a capacity to bear risk on its own" -- rather, government
merely redistributes risk between taxpayers and beneficiaries, present and
future.
Market valuation makes the costs of these potential
tax increases explicit, while the public pension administrators' approach,
which obscures the possibility that the investment returns won't achieve
their goals, leaves taxpayers in the dark.
For these reasons, the Public Interest Committee of
the American Academy of Actuaries recently stated, "it is in the public
interest for retirement plans to disclose consistent measures of the
economic value of plan assets and liabilities in order to provide the
benefits promised by plan sponsors."
Nevertheless, the National Association of State
Retirement Administrators, an umbrella group representing government
employee pension funds, effectively wants other public plans to take the
same low road that the two Montana plans want to take. It argues against
reporting the market valuation of pension shortfalls. But the association's
objections seem less against market valuation itself than against the fact
that higher reported underfunding "could encourage public sector plan
sponsors to abandon their traditional pension plans in lieu of defined
contribution plans."
The Government Accounting Standards Board, which
sets guidelines for public pension reporting, does not currently call for
reporting the market value of public pension liabilities. The board
announced last year a review of its position regarding market valuation but
says the review may not be completed until 2013.
This is too long for state taxpayers to wait to
find out how many trillions they owe.
When people ignore
economic realities and are foolish enough to make and adhere to ill-conceived
and faulty budgets, well, they get what they deserve. Take California, for
example.
The state has greatly
reduced its cash infusions to the University of California system, and recently
the university’s regents voted to increase fees (California’s code word for
“tuition”) 32%. This has led to a strike at Berkeley and to student
demonstrations and to the take-over of some buildings there and at Santa Cruz.
This planned tuition hike comes on the heels of layoffs and furloughs and salary
cutbacks of many university employees.
Recently, the
Academic Senate at Berkeley voted to end financial support for the Department of
Intercollegiate Athletics. The Senate even had the gall to ask the Athletics
department to repay a loan of $5.8 million. Nothing is sacred anymore! But
nothing to fear—I bet the regents will save Berkeley football before it saves
the classics department.
The state of affairs
at Berkeley will be watched all over because many other public universities are
not much different. It is only a matter of time when they too will be faced with
the question of how to endure economic sacrifice.
But, it won’t be all
bad. Such difficult times provide moments when society can rethink its goals and
strategic priorities. How many research universities do we really need in this
country? How many administrators do we really need to protect the interests of
Croatian students or to assist those who wish to preserve the heritage of Bon
Jovi or to supply counselors for those trying to give up Law and Order? And does
every town with a population of at least 1,000 really need a branch campus?
The state of
California itself is much worse off than Berkeley. Given the state’s penchant to
provide welfare to everybody who can generate a creative excuse for an
entitlement, it was only a matter of time before the state’s budget was so out
of whack even Alec Baldwin and Barbara Streisand could acknowledge it.
State legislators and
governors over the last 10 to 20 years are to blame. Not only do they not
understand the word “NO” when it comes to spending, they were very short-sighted
when it came to revenue generation. They thought the dot-com slush funds would
continue to be created out of nothing, though physics and economics indicate
otherwise. They then did want virtually every politician does—they are so
without original ideas!—they raised taxes on corporations and rich people.
Unfortunately, the legislators and governors forgot that corporations and rich
people can move, and indeed enough of them have left the state, leaving
California in serious trouble.
The woes are so great
that it is easy to predict that California will become the first state in U.S.
history to declare bankruptcy. I put the odds at least at 50 percent in 2010.
Then the fun begins.
California, before or shortly after entering Chapter 11, will ask for help from
Washington. While the Obama administration and the Congress likely will
administer CPR to the state finances, they really should just admit that the
state is insolvent. The moral hazard is huge. If Washington provides assistance,
there will be 49 states that will quickly follow suit.
The bankruptcy
process itself will be interesting because nobody will know what to do with a
state. Creditors might try to win concessions about the state’s budgeting
process or membership to state agencies that make economic decisions. They will
also attempt to rewrite existing contracts.
The biggest effect
will be on bond yields. Any bankruptcy will shoot rates up and this will make
future governmental borrowing hard and expensive for all governmental units.
Taxpayers will face a
major nightmare. Taxes will skyrocket for those who are not fortunate enough to
be retired. Maybe taxpayers will even wake up and realize that they have elected
nothing but economic idiots for quite some time. But what do you expect from a
state that thinks actors actually know something?
Teaching Case About a Former Grant Thornton Client CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in an auditing
or accounting class. Auditing questions relate to the responsibility for
financial statements versus the audit report, issues delaying issuance of
financial statements and audit reports, and auditor changes. Accounting
questions relate to eliminations as done for consolidation of financial
statements in order to avoid double counting of assets.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on July 15, 2011
SUMMARY: "Three Louisiana public pension funds say they are
assembling a team of experts to examine the books and financial statements
of a New York hedge-fund firm [Fletcher Asset Management] they invested with
after the firm responded to redemption requests with promissory notes rather
than cash....The executive directors of the Louisiana pension funds said the
response...'gives rise to questions regarding the liquidity' of the Fletcher
fund...'and the accuracy of the financial statements'...." The article
states that the financial statements "were issued by two independent
auditing firms." The related article provides a few more details on
accounting issues with respect to the hedge fund and the reported amounts of
assets under management after including "feeder funds." "Fletcher reports it
has more than $500 million of assets under management....Yet its primary
investment vehicle held just $187.8 million of securities...and these made
up 95% of the firm's market investments....This would translate to a 2009
year-end total for the firm's market investments of about $198 million, more
than half of it the Louisiana pension funds' money....A lawyer who
supervises Fletcher's SEC filings said it 'should be appropriate' to include
the value of each feeder fund in the asset total...because each fund is
actively managed and can invest in outside securities, said the lawyer...Mr.
Fletcher gave an example: If investors put $2 in one Fletcher fund, and this
fund borrowed $1, and then put the money in a second Fletcher fun, that
would make $5 the firm managed, he said."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in an auditing or
accounting class. Auditing questions relate to the responsibility for
financial statements versus the audit report, issues delaying issuance of
financial statements and audit reports, and auditor changes. Accounting
questions relate to eliminations as done for consolidation of financial
statements in order to avoid double counting of assets.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Summarize the agreement, as described in the main
article and the related one, offered to Louisiana pension fund managers by
Fletcher Asset Management.
2. (Introductory) What is so unusual about the agreement that would
lead some who reviewed its documentation--at the request of the WSJ-to say
they "had never seen such an arrangement"?
3. (Introductory) What action are the three Louisiana pension funds
now jointly undertaking? What "experts" do you believe they will hire?
4. (Advanced) For what report is an outside auditor responsible?
Who is responsible for issuing financial statements? Explain a common
misperception about these responsibilities and note how that misperception
is evident in this article.
5. (Advanced) What factors may lead to delayed issuance of
financial statements and a related audit report? In your answer, note any
examples of these factors described in the articles.
6. (Introductory) Refer to the related article. What difference
leads to measuring assets under management at $500 million according to
Fletch Asset Management's reporting and $200 million under "a more orthodox
way of measuring assets under management"? Given the different measurements
of assets under management, how substantial is the total of the three
Louisiana pension funds' investment in the Fletcher Asset Management funds?
7. (Advanced) How do consolidation accounting procedures help to
resolve the problem of double counting evidenced in the calculation and
discussion to the question above?
8. (Advanced) Refer to the statement by "a lawyer who supervises
Fletcher's SEC filings" that "'it should be appropriate' to include the
value of each feeder fund in the asset total...because each fund is actively
managed and can invest in outside securities...." What criteria would you
offer to decide on whether to separately count an investment fund's holdings
in total assets under management? Support your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Three Louisiana public pension funds say they are
assembling a team of experts to examine the books and financial statements
of a New York hedge-fund firm they invested with after the firm responded to
redemption requests with promissory notes rather than cash.
Separately, the Securities and Exchange Commission
has opened a probe into the fund firm, Fletcher Asset Management, according
to a person familiar with the matter. It isn't clear what the regulator is
looking at.
A spokeswoman for Fletcher didn't immediately
respond to a request for comment. An SEC spokeswoman declined to comment.
In a joint statement Tuesday, the executive
directors of the Louisiana pension funds said the response they received to
their redemption requests "gives rise to questions regarding the liquidity"
of the Fletcher fund in which they invested "and the accuracy of the
financial statements" issued by two independent auditing firms.
A representative for one audit firm,
Grant Thornton LLP, which no longer has the Fletcher
account, declined to comment. Representatives
for a second, EisnerAmper, on Tuesday didn't respond to requests for
comment.
The three pension systems separately invested a
total of $100 million with Fletcher in 2008. They were offered a minimum
return of 12% a year. In March, two funds put in redemption requests for a
total of about $32 million.
The statement from the pension-fund executives said
the investments have accrued the expected return as verified by the
auditors. But the firm's decision to pay the redemption in notes in lieu of
immediate cash prompted them to take a deeper look at Fletcher's books, the
statement said.
Previously, Fletcher in a statement told The Wall
Street Journal it wasn't required to distribute redemptions in cash and that
it made the payments in accordance with its agreement with the pension
funds.
In their statement Tuesday, executives from the
three pension funds said Fletcher Asset Management has fully cooperated
during the "preliminary assessments conducted by the retirement systems."
A Wall Street Journal article last week highlighted
a number of unusual practices at the firm, including the 12% offered to the
pension funds. In the arrangement, the return is backed by the holdings of
other investors. Fletcher hasn't delivered its 2009 audit for the fund in
which the Louisiana pension funds are invested.
Alphonse Fletcher Jr., a former Wall Street trader
who founded the asset-management firm in 1991, said in interviews earlier
this year that his firm fully and clearly discloses its practices and has
acted in accordance with its legal obligations to the pension funds.
Fletcher recently told investors that its 2009
audit has been delayed because the firm needs to "finalize the valuation of
one of the fund's investments," according to pension-fund records. On
Monday, Fletcher said in a statement the audit is expected by the end of
July.
The pension-fund executives said in their statement
that Fletcher initially indicated the redemption requests two of the funds
made would be "accommodated" at the end of a 60-day notice period.
"Just prior to the expiration" of that notice
period, the executives wrote, Fletcher informed the pension boards "that
they would receive the requested distribution, but the cash distribution
would first require an orderly liquidation of assets held by" the fund. The
note gives Fletcher as long as two years to accomplish the liquidation,
according to the pension funds' statement, which said the note is payable at
5% interest a year.
Mr. Fletcher, 45 years old, made a splash on Wall
Street in the 1990s when he opened his own firm, which reported 300%-a-year
returns. Questions about his finances have arisen in a suit he filed earlier
this year in state court in New York against the board of the famed Dakota
co-operative apartment complex alongside New York's Central Park, where he
owns several apartments. Mr. Fletcher accused the co-op board of unfairly
rejecting his request to buy an additional apartment and alleged racial
discrimination. The case is pending.
Tuesday's statement came as Louisiana state
officials and lawmakers called for a possible revamp of public-pension
investment rules and a review of the Fletcher investment.
In an interview after the Journal's article last
week, Louisiana Legislative Auditor Daryl Purpera said he would meet with
key lawmakers to discuss legislation for new, more-strict investment
guidelines for public pension funds across the state.
State officials and lawmakers said one proposal
might be to consolidate investment decisions for large and smaller public
pension funds.
Another option, they said, would be to set uniform
investment guidelines for pension funds in the state.
At present, they say, pension boards in Louisiana
typically set investment guidelines and review investments independently,
including the three boards with Fletcher investments—Firefighters'
Retirement System of Louisiana, Municipal Employees' Retirement System of
Louisiana, and the New Orleans Firefighters' Pension and Relief Fund.
Oops! Those so-called "assets" should've been placed on the right hand
side of the balance sheet.
Don't put your "trust" in the U.S. Congress
It's a little like taking money from your safety deposit box and writing your
self IOUs to someday put your money back in the box
In the case of Social Security trust funds the government owes itself $2.5
trillion
It's time for the Fed to turn the crank on bigger bills in the printing presses
--- 600 $1billion dollar bills just won't cut it Ben
Proposals to fix the deficit are coming fast and
furious in Washington these days. One major target: Social Security.
Whether you favor cutting Social Security may
depend on how you view the Social Security trust funds, which currently
contain $2.5 trillion for retirement benefits. That's $2.5 trillion that,
according to some people, don't actually exist.
Here's the back story.
If you look at your paycheck, in the spot where it
lists deductions, there's a line that says "FICA." That's the money that
gets taken out of your check to pay for Social Security.
For the past 25 years or so, the amount of money
the government has raised through those taxes has been greater than what
it's been spending to fund Social Security.
The surplus came largely from the baby boomers —
and we're going to need that extra money when they retire and start
collecting Social Security.
This is where the $2.5 trillion trust funds come
in.
The government has invested all that money in
Treasury bonds, which are traditionally considered among the safest
investments in the world.
But a Treasury bond, remember, is the way the
government borrows money. So the government is lending the Social Security
surplus to itself. And the obligation to repay those loans is the trust
funds.
"They are nothing like any trust fund that any one
of us would think of," says Maya MacGuineas of the New America Foundation.
"It conjures up an image of really holding savings, and it doesn't do that
at all."
But there's another way to think about what the
government is doing here.
The federal government owes $2.5 trillion to the
Social Security trust funds. And if the government doesn't pay that money,
it will default on its debt — something the U.S. has never done in its
history.
By the middle of the next decade, the Social
Security surplus will turn into yearly deficits as more Baby Boomers retire.
And the government will have to come up with hundreds of billions of dollars
a year to cover its obligations to the trust fund.
At that point, the debate over whether or not the
trust funds exist becomes a moot.
"The policy choices that we have to make good on
Social Security obligations are exactly the same with the trust fund or if
we'd never had the trust fund," MacGuineas says. "Raise taxes, cut Social
Security benefits, cut other government spending, or borrow the money.
That's the only way to repay the money."
Stock-market indices are not
much good as yardsticks of social progress, but as another low, dishonest
decade expires let us note that, on 2000s first day of trading, the Dow
Jones Industrial Average closed at 11357 while the Nasdaq Composite Index
stood at 4131, both substantially higher than where they are today. The
Nasdaq went on to hit 5000 before collapsing with the dot-com bubble, the
first great Wall Street disaster of this unhappy decade. The Dow got north
of 14000 before the real-estate bubble imploded.
And it was supposed to have
been such an awesome time, too! Back in the late '90s, in the crescendo of
the Internet boom, pundit and publicist alike assured us that the future was
to be a democratized, prosperous place. Hierarchies would collapse, they
told us; the individual was to be empowered; freed-up markets were to be the
common man's best buddy.
Such clever hopes they were.
As a reasonable anticipation of what was to come they meant nothing. But
they served to unify the decade's disasters, many of which came to us
festooned with the flags of this bogus idealism.
Before "Enron" became
synonymous with shattered 401(k)s and man-made electrical shortages, the
public knew it as a champion of electricity deregulation—a freedom fighter!
It was supposed to be that most exalted of corporate creatures, a "market
maker"; its "capacity for revolution" was hymned by management theorists;
and its TV commercials depicted its operations as an extension of humanity's
quest for emancipation.
Similarly, both Bank of
America and Citibank, before being recognized as "too big to fail," had
populist histories of which their admirers made much. Citibank's long
struggle against the Glass-Steagall Act was even supposed to be evidence of
its hostility to banking's aristocratic culture, an amusing image to
recollect when reading about the $100 million pay reportedly pocketed by one
Citi trader in 2008.
The Jack Abramoff lobbying
scandal showed us the same dynamics at work in Washington. Here was an
apparent believer in markets, working to keep garment factories in Saipan
humming without federal interference and saluted for it in an op-ed in the
Saipan Tribune as "Our freedom fighter in D.C."
But the preposterous
populism is only one part of the equation; just as important was our failure
to see through the ruse, to understand how our country was being disfigured.
Ensuring that the public
failed to get it was the common theme of at least three of the decade's
signature foul-ups: the hyping of various Internet stock issues by Wall
Street analysts, the accounting scandals of 2002, and the triple-A ratings
given to mortgage-backed securities.
The grand, overarching theme
of the Bush administration—the big idea that informed so many of its sordid
episodes—was the same anti-supervisory impulse applied to the public sector:
regulators sabotaged and their agencies turned over to the regulated.
The public was left to read
the headlines and ponder the unthinkable: Could our leaders really have
pushed us into an unnecessary war? Is the republic really dividing itself
into an immensely wealthy class of Wall Street bonus-winners and everybody
else? And surely nobody outside of the movies really has the political clout
to write themselves a $700 billion bailout.
What made the oughts so
awful, above all, was the failure of our critical faculties. The problem was
not so much that newspapers were dying, to mention one of the lesser
catastrophes of these awful times, but that newspapers failed to do their
job in the first place, to scrutinize the myths of the day in a way that
might have prevented catastrophes like the financial crisis or the Iraq war.
The folly went beyond the
media, though. Recently I came across a 2005 pamphlet written by historian
Rick Perlstein berating the big thinkers of the Democratic Party for their
poll-driven failure to stick to their party's historic theme of economic
populism. I was struck by the evidence Mr. Perlstein adduced in the course
of his argument. As he tells the story, leading Democratic pollsters found
plenty of evidence that the American public distrusts corporate power; and
yet they regularly advised Democrats to steer in the opposite direction, to
distance themselves from what one pollster called "outdated appeals to class
grievances and attacks upon corporate perfidy."
This was not a party that
was well-prepared for the job of iconoclasm that has befallen it. And as the
new bunch muddle onward—bailing out the large banks but (still) not
subjecting them to new regulatory oversight, passing a health-care reform
that seems (among other, better things) to guarantee private insurers
eternal profits—one fears they are merely presenting their own ample
backsides to an embittered electorate for kicking.
Politicians and scientists who don't like what their data show lately have
simply taken to changing the numbers. They believe that their end—socialism,
global climate regulation, health-care legislation, repudiating debt
commitments, la gloire française—justifies throwing out even minimum standards
of accuracy. It appears that no numbers are immune: not GDP, not inflation, not
budget, not job or cost estimates, and certainly not temperature. A CEO or CFO
issuing such massaged numbers would land in jail.
The late
economist Paul Samuelson called the national income accounts that measure real
GDP and inflation "one of the greatest achievements of the twentieth century."
Yet politicians from Europe to South America are now clamoring for alternatives
that make them look better.
A
commission appointed by French President Nicolas Sarkozy suggests heavily
weighting "stability" indicators such as "security" and "equality" when
calculating GDP. And voilà!—France outperforms the U.S., despite the fact that
its per capita income is 30% lower. Nobel laureate Ed Prescott called this
disparity the difference between "prosperity and depression" in a 2002 paper—and
attributed it entirely to France's higher taxes.
With
Venezuela in recession by conventional GDP measures, President Hugo Chávez
declared the GDP to be a capitalist plot. He wants a new, socialist-friendly way
to measure the economy. Maybe East Germans were better off than their cousins in
the West when the Berlin Wall fell; starving North Koreans are really better off
than their relatives in South Korea; the 300 million Chinese lifted out of
abject poverty in the last three decades were better off under Mao; and all
those Cubans risking their lives fleeing to Florida on dinky boats are loco.
In
Argentina, President Néstor Kirchner didn't like the political and budget hits
from high inflation. After a politicized personnel purge in 2002, he changed the
inflation measures. Conveniently, the new numbers showed lower inflation and
therefore lower interest payments on the government's inflation-linked bonds.
Investor and public confidence in the objectivity of the inflation statistics
evaporated. His wife and successor Cristina Kirchner is now trying to grab the
central bank's reserves to pay for the country's debt.
America
has not been immune from this dangerous numbers game. Every president is guilty
of spinning unpleasant statistics. President Richard Nixon even thought there
was a conspiracy against him at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But President
Barack Obama has taken it to a new level. His laudable attempt at transparency
in counting the number of jobs "created or saved" by the stimulus bill has
degenerated into farce and was just junked this week.
The
administration has introduced the new notion of "jobs saved" to take credit
where none was ever taken before. It seems continually to confuse gross and net
numbers. For example, it misses the jobs lost or diverted by the fiscal
stimulus. And along with the congressional leadership it hypes the number of
"green jobs" likely to be created from the explosion of spending, subsidies,
loans and mandates, while ignoring the job losses caused by its taxes, debt,
regulations and diktats.
The
president and his advisers—their credibility already reeling from exaggeration
(the stimulus bill will limit unemployment to 8%) and reneged campaign promises
(we'll go through the budget "line-by-line")—consistently imply that their new
proposed regulation is a free lunch. When the radical attempt to regulate energy
and the environment with the deeply flawed cap-and-trade bill is confronted with
economic reality, instead of honestly debating the trade-offs they confidently
pronounce that it boosts the economy. They refuse to admit that it simply boosts
favored sectors and firms at the expense of everyone else.
Rabid
environmentalists have descended into a separate reality where only green
counts. It's gotten so bad that the head of the California Air Resources Board,
Mary Nichols, announced this past fall that costly new carbon regulations would
boost the economy shortly after she was told by eight of the state's most
respected economists that they were certain these new rules would damage the
economy. The next day, her own economic consultant, Harvard's Robert Stavis,
denounced her statement as a blatant distortion.
Scientists are expected to make sure their findings are replicable, to make the
data available, and to encourage the search for new theories and data that may
overturn the current consensus. This is what Galileo, Darwin and Einstein—among
the most celebrated scientists of all time—did. But some climate researchers,
most notably at the University of East Anglia, attempted to hide or delete
temperature data when that data didn't show recent rapid warming. They quietly
suppressed and replaced the numbers, and then attempted to squelch publication
of studies coming to different conclusions.
The
Obama administration claims a dubious "Keynesian" multiplier of 1.5 to feed the
Democrats' thirst for big spending. The administration's idea is that virtually
all their spending creates jobs for unemployed people and that additional rounds
of spending create still more—raising income by $1.50 for each dollar of
government spending. Economists differ on such multipliers, with many leading
figures pegging them at well under 1.0 as the government spending in part
replaces private spending and jobs. But all agree that every dollar of spending
requires a present value of a dollar of future taxes, which distorts decisions
to work, save, and invest and raises the cost of the dollar of spending to well
over a dollar. Thus, only spending with large societal benefits is justified, a
criterion unlikely to be met by much current spending (perusing the projects on
recovery.gov doesn't inspire confidence).
Even
more blatant is the numbers game being used to justify health-insurance reform
legislation, which claims to greatly expand coverage, decrease health-insurance
costs, and reduce the deficit. That magic flows easily from counting 10 years of
dubious Medicare "savings" and tax hikes, but only six years of spending;
assuming large cuts in doctor reimbursements that later will be cancelled; and
making the states (other than Sen. Ben Nelson's Nebraska) pay a big share of the
cost by expanding Medicaid eligibility. The Medicare "savings" and payroll tax
hikes are counted twice—first to help pay for expanded coverage, and then to
claim to extend the life of Medicare.
One
piece of good news: The public isn't believing much of this out-of-control spin.
Large majorities believe the health-care legislation will raise their insurance
costs and increase the budget deficit. Most Americans are highly skeptical of
the claims of climate extremists. And they have a more realistic reaction to the
extraordinary deterioration in our public finances than do the president and
Congress.
As a
society and as individuals, we need to make difficult, even wrenching choices,
often with grave consequences. To base those decisions on highly misleading,
biased, and even manufactured numbers is not just wrong, but dangerous.
Squandering their credibility with these numbers games will only make it more
difficult for our elected leaders to enlist support for difficult decisions from
a public increasingly inclined to disbelieve them.
Mr. Boskin is a
professor of economics at Stanford University and a senior fellow at the Hoover
Institution. He chaired the Council of Economic Advisers under President George
H.W. Bush
Never ending fraud in Medicare billings:
Unaudited overpayments, unqualified items, and criminal vendors One spending sinkhole can be traced to large
medical-equipment suppliers, device makers, and pharmaceutical companies, which
government auditors and industry veterans describe as a recalcitrant bunch.
Medical manufacturers know public agencies generally pay first and ask questions
later—if ever. Medicare receives 4.4 million claims
daily; fewer than 3% are reviewed before being paid within the legally required
30 days.
President Barack Obama and his Democratic allies on
Capitol Hill say that a vast expansion of health coverage can be funded by
squeezing out waste and fraud rather than cutting benefits. Whether that
turns out to be true may help determine the success of the sweeping reform
package being debated by Congress. Slashing costs is no easy task, and
stopping fraud is even tougher. No less than $47 billion in Medicare
spending went to dubious claims in the year ended Sept. 30, according to the
U.S. Health & Human Services Dept. That's 10.7% of the $440 billion program
that subsidizes care for the elderly. Medicaid, the government program for
the poor, lets billions trickle away at roughly the same rate. The $10
million annual increase that Congress is allocating to fight fraud may not
be enough to do the trick.
One spending sinkhole can be traced to large
medical-equipment suppliers, device makers, and pharmaceutical companies,
which government auditors and industry veterans describe as a recalcitrant
bunch. Medical manufacturers know public agencies generally pay first and
ask questions later—if ever. Medicare receives 4.4 million claims daily;
fewer than 3% are reviewed before being paid within the legally required 30
days.
One way to get a sense of the scale of the
seepage—and the challenge facing the Administration—is to look at
whistleblower lawsuits filed under the federal False Claims Act. That law
allows company employees to sue on behalf of the government to recover
improperly claimed federal funds.
A suit filed by William A. Thomas, a former senior
sales manager at Siemens Medical Solutions USA, one of the nation's largest
medical suppliers and a unit of German engineering giant Siemens (SI),
offers a case study in the difficulty of containing costs. Thomas, a 15-year
Siemens Medical veteran, alleges in federal court in Philadelphia that for
years the company overbilled the Veterans Affairs Dept. and other government
agencies by hundreds of millions of dollars for MRI and CT scan machines and
other expensive equipment. These high-tech systems—used to examine
everything from damaged knees to suspected cancers—cost $500,000 to $3
million apiece, sometimes more. Thomas, who retired from Siemens in 2008,
claims that with no justification other than larger profits, his former
employer charged its government customers far more than private-sector
buyers for the same equipment.
"Billions and billions could be saved with the
right government regulation and oversight applied to health care," Thomas,
56, says in an interview. "But I think corporations will continue running
circles around the federal government."
In court filings, Siemens has denied any wrongdoing
and has sought to have the Thomas suit dismissed. A company spokesman, Lance
Longwell, declined to elaborate for this article, citing the litigation.
The Thomas suit illustrates some of the vagaries of
False Claims Act cases, hundreds of which are filed every year against
government contractors in a range of industries. As the plaintiff, Thomas
stands to pocket up to 30% of any court recovery, with the rest going to the
Treasury. The Justice Dept., which can intervene in such suits to help steer
them, announced last year that it will stay out of the case against Siemens
for now. Yet Thomas' allegations have helped drive a parallel criminal
investigation of Siemens' equipment marketing practices by the Defense Dept.
and the U.S. Attorney's Office in Philadelphia.
In April federal investigators searched for records
at the headquarters of Siemens Medical in Malvern, Pa., a suburb of
Philadelphia. Ed Bradley, special agent-in-charge of the Defense Criminal
Investigative Service, confirmed that the investigation is continuing but
declined to comment further.
Longwell, the Siemens Medical spokesman, says the
company is cooperating with criminal investigators. In March, just weeks
before the search of its offices, Siemens won a new $267 million contract to
provide radiology equipment to the U.S.
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Jensen Comment
The GAO has declared that many huge sink holes for fraud and waste are
unauditable --- the Pentagon, the IRS, Medicare, and the list goes on and on.
But the Congress that funds these programs is manipulated by special interest
groups who do not want these audits. The new sink hole on the block is almost
anything green.
A major U.S. city long known as a hotbed of
pay-to-play politics infested with clout and patronage has seen nearly 150
employees, politicians and contractors get convicted of corruption in the
last five decades.
Chicago has long been distinguished for its
pandemic of public corruption, but actual cumulative figures have never been
offered like this. The astounding information is featured in a
lengthy report published by one of Illinois’s
biggest public universities.
Cook County, the nation’s second largest, has been
a
“dark pool of political corruption” for more than
a century, according to the informative study conducted by the University of
Illinois at Chicago, the city’s largest public college. The report offers a
detailed history of corruption in the Windy City beginning in 1869 when
county commissioners were imprisoned for rigging a contract to paint City
Hall.
It’s downhill from there, with a plethora of
political scandals that include 31 Chicago alderman convicted of crimes in
the last 36 years and more than 140 convicted since 1970. The scams involve
bribes, payoffs, padded contracts, ghost employees and whole sale subversion
of the judicial system, according to the report.
Elected officials at the highest levels of city,
county and state government—including prominent judges—were the perpetrators
and they worked in various government locales, including the assessor’s
office, the county sheriff, treasurer and the President’s Office of
Employment and Training. The last to fall was renowned
political bully Isaac Carothers, who just a few
weeks ago pleaded guilty to federal bribery and tax charges.
In the last few years alone several dozen officials
have been convicted and more than 30 indicted for taking bribes, shaking
down companies for political contributions and rigging hiring. Among the
convictions were fraud, violating court orders against using politics as a
basis for hiring city workers and the disappearance of 840 truckloads of
asphalt earmarked for city jobs.
A few months ago the city’s largest newspaper
revealed that Chicago aldermen keep a
secret, taxpayer-funded pot of cash (about $1.3
million) to pay family members, campaign workers and political allies for a
variety of questionable jobs. The covert account has been utilized for
decades by Chicago lawmakers but has escaped public scrutiny because it’s
kept under wraps.
Judicial Watch has extensively investigated Chicago
corruption, most recently the
conflicted ties of top White House officials to
the city, including Barack and Michelle Obama as well as top administration
officials like Chief of Staff Rahm Emanual and Senior Advisor David Axelrod.
In November Judicial Watch
sued Chicago Mayor Richard Daley's office to
obtain records related to the president’s failed bid to bring the Olympics
to the city.
The federal government is failing to meet the
financial reporting needs of taxpayers, falling short of expectations, and
creating a problem with trust, according to survey findings released by the
Association of Government Accountants (AGA). The survey, Public Attitudes to
Government Accountability and Transparency 2008, measured attitudes and
opinions towards government financial management and accountability to
taxpayers. The survey established an expectations gap between what taxpayers
expect and what they get, finding that the public at large overwhelmingly
believes that government has the obligation to report and explain how it
generates and spends its money, but that that it is failing to meet
expectations in any area included in the survey.
The survey further found that taxpayers consider
governments at the federal, state, and local levels to be significantly
under-delivering in terms of practicing open, honest spending. Across all
levels of government, those surveyed held "being open and honest in spending
practices" vitally important, but felt that government performance was poor
in this area. Those surveyed also considered government performance to be
poor in terms of being "responsible to the public for its spending." This is
compounded by perceived poor performance in providing understandable and
timely financial management information.
The survey shows:
The American public is most dissatisfied with
government financial management information disseminated by the federal
government. Seventy-two percent say that it is extremely or very important
to receive this information from the federal government, but only 5 percent
are extremely or very satisfied with what they receive.
Seventy-three percent of Americans believe that it
is extremely or very important for the federal government to be open and
honest in its spending practices, yet only 5 percent say they are meeting
these expectations.
Seventy-one percent of those who receive financial
management information from the government or believe it is important to
receive it, say they would use the information to influence their vote.
Relmond Van Daniker, Executive Director at AGA,
said, "We commissioned this survey to shed some light on the way the public
perceives those issues relating to government financial accountability and
transparency that are important to our members. Nobody is pretending that
the figures are a shock, but we are glad to have established a benchmark
against which we can track progress in years to come."
He continued, "AGA members working in government at
all levels are in the very forefront of the fight to increase levels of
government accountability and transparency. We believe that the traditional
methods of communicating government financial information -- through reams
of audited financial statements that have little relevance to the taxpayer
-- must be supplemented by government financial reporting that expresses
complex financial details in an understandable form. Our members are
committed to taking these concepts forward."
Justin Greeves, who led the team at Harris
Interactive that fielded the survey for the AGA, said, "The survey results
include some extremely stark, unambiguous findings. Public levels of
dissatisfaction and distrust of government spending practices came through
loud and clear, across every geography, demographic group, and political
ideology. Worthy of special note, perhaps, is a 67 percentage point gap
between what taxpayers expect from government and what they receive. These
are significant findings that I hope government and the public find useful."
This survey was conducted online within the United
States by Harris Interactive on behalf of the Association of Government
Accountants between January 4 and 8, 2008 among 1,652 adults aged 18 or
over. Results were weighted as needed for age, sex, race/ethnicity,
education, region, and household income. Propensity score weighting was also
used to adjust for respondents' propensity to be online. No estimates of
theoretical sampling error can be calculated.
You can read the
Survey Report, including a full methodology and associated
commentary.
1. Taxes:
Cheating Shows. The Internal Revenue Service estimates that the annual net
tax gap—the difference between what's owed and what's collected—is $290
billion, more than double the average yearly sum spent on the wars in Iraq
and Afghanistan.
About $59 billion of that figure results from the
underreporting and underpayment of employment taxes. Our broken system of
immigration is another concern, with nearly eight million undocumented
workers having a less-than-stellar relationship with the IRS. Getting more
of them on the books could certainly help narrow that tax gap.
Going after the deadbeats would seem like an
obvious move. Unfortunately, the IRS doesn't have the resources to
adequately pursue big offenders and their high-powered tax attorneys. "The
IRS is outgunned," says Walker, "especially when dealing with multinational
corporations with offshore headquarters."
Another group that costs taxpayers billions: hedge
fund and private equity managers. Many of these moguls make vast "incomes"
yet pay taxes on a portion of those earnings at the paltry 15 percent
capital gains rate, instead of the higher income tax rate. By some
estimates, this loophole costs taxpayers more than $2.5 billion a year.
Oil companies are getting a nice deal too. The
country hands them more than $2 billion a year in tax breaks. Says Walker,
"Some of the sweetheart deals that were negotiated for drilling rights on
public lands don't pass the straight-face test, especially given current
crude oil prices." And Big Oil isn't alone. Citizens for Tax Justice
estimates that corporations reap more than $123 billion a year in special
tax breaks. Cut this in half and we could save about $60 billion.
2. Healthy Fixes.
Medicare and Medicaid, which cover elderly and low-income patients
respectively, eat up a growing portion of the federal budget. Investigations
by Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) point to as much as $60 billion a year in fraud,
waste and overpayments between the two programs. And Coburn is likely
underestimating the problem.
The U.S. spends more than $400 per person on health
care administration costs and insurance -- six times more than other
industrialized nations.
That's because a 2003 Dartmouth Medical School
study found that up to 30 percent of the $2 trillion spent in this country
on medical care each year—including what's spent on Medicare and Medicaid—is
wasted. And with the combined tab for those programs rising to some $665
billion this year, cutting costs by a conservative 15 percent could save
taxpayers about $100 billion. Yet, rather than moving to trim fat, the
government continues such questionable practices as paying private insurance
companies that offer Medicare Advantage plans an average of 12 percent more
per patient than traditional Medicare fee-for-service. Congress is trying to
close this loophole, and doing so could save $15 billion per year, on
average, according to the Congressional Budget Office.
Another money-wasting bright idea was to create a
giant class of middlemen: Private bureaucrats who administer the Medicare
drug program are monitored by federal bureaucrats—and the public pays for
both. An October report by the House Committee on Oversight and Government
Reform estimated that this setup costs the government $10 billion per year
in unnecessary administrative expenses and higher drug prices.
The Tab* Wasteful Health Spending: $60 billion
(fraud, waste, overpayments) + $100 billion (modest 15 percent cost
reduction) + $15 billion (closing the 12 percent loophole) + $10 billion
(unnecessary Medicare administrative and drug costs) Total $185 billion
Running Tab: $352.5 billion +$185 billion = $537.5 billion
3. Military Mad Money.
You'd think it would be hard to simply lose massive amounts of money, but
given the lack of transparency and accountability, it's no wonder that eight
of the Department of Defense's functions, including weapons procurement,
have been deemed high risk by the GAO. That means there's a high probability
that money—"tens of billions," according to Walker—will go missing or be
otherwise wasted.
The DOD routinely hands out no-bid and cost-plus
contracts, under which contractors get reimbursed for their costs plus a
certain percentage of the contract figure. Such deals don't help hold down
spending in the annual military budget of about $500 billion. That sum is
roughly equal to the combined defense spending of the rest of the world's
countries. It's also comparable, adjusted for inflation, with our largest
Cold War-era defense budget. Maybe that's why billions of dollars are still
being spent on high-cost weapons designed to counter Cold War-era threats,
even though today's enemy is armed with cell phones and IEDs. (And that $500
billion doesn't include the billions to be spent this year in Iraq and
Afghanistan. Those funds demand scrutiny, too, according to Sen. Amy
Klobuchar, D-MN, who says, "One in six federal tax dollars sent to rebuild
Iraq has been wasted.")
Meanwhile, the Pentagon admits it simply can't
account for more than $1 trillion. Little wonder, since the DOD hasn't been
fully audited in years. Hoping to change that, Brian Riedl of the Heritage
Foundation is pushing Congress to add audit provisions to the next defense
budget.
If wasteful spending equaling 10 percent of all
spending were rooted out, that would free up some $50 billion. And if
Congress cut spending on unnecessary weapons and cracked down harder on
fraud, we could save tens of billions more.
4. Bad Seeds.
The controversial U.S. farm subsidy program, part of which pays farmers not
to grow crops, has become a giant welfare program for the rich, one that
cost taxpayers nearly $20 billion last year.
Two of the best-known offenders: Kenneth Lay, the
now-deceased Enron CEO, who got $23,326 for conservation land in Missouri
from 1995 to 2005, and mogul Ted Turner, who got $590,823 for farms in four
states during the same period. A Cato Institute study found that in 2005,
two-thirds of the subsidies went to the richest 10 percent of recipients,
many of whom live in New York City. Not only do these "farmers" get money
straight from the government, they also often get local tax breaks, since
their property is zoned as agricultural land. The subsidies raise prices for
consumers, hurt third world farmers who can't compete, and are attacked in
international courts as unfair trade.
5. Capital Waste.
While there's plenty of ongoing annual operating waste, there's also a
special kind of profligacy—call it capital waste—that pops up year after
year. This is shoddy spending on big-ticket items that don't pan out. While
what's being bought changes from year to year, you can be sure there will
always be some costly items that aren't worth what the government pays for
them.
Take this recent example: Since September 11, 2001,
Congress has spent more than $4 billion to upgrade the Coast Guard's fleet.
Today the service has fewer ships than it did before that money was spent,
what 60 Minutes called "a fiasco that has set new standards for
incompetence." Then there's the Future Imagery Architecture spy satellite
program. As The New York Times recently reported, the technology flopped and
the program was killed—but not before costing $4 billion. Or consider the
FBI's infamous Trilogy computer upgrade: Its final stage was scrapped after
a $170 million investment. Or the almost $1 billion the Federal Emergency
Management Agency has wasted on unusable housing. The list goes on.
The Tab* Wasteful Capital Spending: $30 billion
Running Tab: $657.5 billion + $30 billion = $687.5 billion
6. Fraud and Stupidity.
Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) wants the Social Security Administration to
better monitor the veracity of people drawing disability payments from its
$100 billion pot. By one estimate, roughly $1 billion is wasted each year in
overpayments to people who work and earn more than the program's rules
allow.
The federal Food Stamp Program gets ripped off too.
Studies have shown that almost 5 percent, or more than $1 billion, of the
payments made to people in the $30 billion program are in excess of what
they should receive.
One person received $105,000 in excess disability
payments over seven years.
There are plenty of other examples. Senator Coburn
estimates that the feds own unused properties worth $18 billion and pay out
billions more annually to maintain them. Guess it's simpler for bureaucrats
to keep paying for the property than to go to the trouble of selling it.
The Tab* General Fraud and Stupidity: $2 billion
(disability and food stamp overpayment) Running Tab: $687.5 billion + $2
billion = $689.5 billion
7. Pork Sausage.
Congress doled out $29 billion in so-called earmarks—aka funds for
legislators' pet projects—in 2006, according to Citizens Against Government
Waste. That's three times the amount spent in 1999. Congress loves to deride
this kind of spending, but lawmakers won't hesitate to turn around and drop
$500,000 on a ballpark in Billings, Montana.
The most infamous earmark is surely the "bridge to
nowhere"—a span that would have connected Ketchikan, Alaska, to nearby
Gravina Island—at a cost of more than $220 million. After Hurricane Katrina
struck New Orleans, Senator Coburn tried to redirect that money to repair
the city's Twin Span Bridge. He failed when lawmakers on both sides of the
aisle got behind the Alaska pork. (That money is now going to other projects
in Alaska.) Meanwhile, this kind of spending continues at a time when our
country's crumbling infrastructure—the bursting dams, exploding water pipes
and collapsing bridges—could really use some investment. Cutting two-thirds
of the $29 billion would be a good start.
8. Welfare Kings.
Corporate welfare is an easy thing for politicians to bark at, but it seems
it's hard to bite the hand that feeds you. How else to explain why corporate
welfare is on the rise? A Cato Institute report found that in 2006,
corporations received $92 billion (including some in the form of those farm
subsidies) to do what they do anyway—research, market and develop products.
The recipients included plenty of names from the Fortune 500, among them
IBM, GE, Xerox, Dow Chemical, Ford Motor Company, DuPont and Johnson &
Johnson.
9. Been There,
Done That. The Rural Electrification Administration, created during the New
Deal, was an example of government at its finest—stepping in to do something
the private sector couldn't. Today, renamed the Rural Utilities Service,
it's an example of a government that doesn't know how to end a program. "We
established an entity to electrify rural America. Mission accomplished. But
the entity's still there," says Walker. "We ought to celebrate success and
get out of the business."
In a 2007 analysis, the Heritage Foundation found
that hundreds of programs overlap to accomplish just a few goals. Ending
programs that have met their goals and eliminating redundant programs could
comfortably save taxpayers $30 billion a year.
10. Living on Credit.
Here's the capper: Years of wasteful spending have put us in such a deep
hole, we must squander even more to pay the interest on that debt. In 2007,
the federal government carried a debt of $9 trillion and blew $252 billion
in interest. Yes, we understand the federal government needs to carry a
small debt for the Federal Reserve Bank to operate. But "small" isn't how we
would describe three times the nation's annual budget. We need to stop
paying so much in interest (and we think cutting $194 billion is a good
target). Instead we're digging ourselves deeper: Congress had to raise the
federal debt limit last September from $8.965 trillion to almost $10
trillion or the country would have been at legal risk of default. If that's
not a wake-up call to get spending under control, we don't know what is.
The Tab* Interest on National Debt: $194 billion
Final Tab: $789.5 billion + $194 billion = $983.5 billion
What YOU Can Do Many believe our system is
inherently broken. We think it can be fixed. As citizens and voters, we have
to set a new agenda before the Presidential election. There are three things
we need in order to prevent wasteful spending, according to the GAO's David
Walker:
• Incentives for people to do the right thing.
• Transparency so we can tell if they've done
the right thing.
• Accountability if they do the wrong thing.
Two out of three won't solve our problems.
So how do we make it happen? Demand it of our
elected officials. If they fail to listen, then we turn them out of office.
With its approval rating hovering around 11 percent in some polls, Congress
might just start paying attention.
Start by writing to your Representatives. Talk to
your family, friends and neighbors, and share this article. It's in
everybody's interest.
Elliott Broidy, the former Finance Chairman of the
Republican National Committee, plead guilty yesterday to offering $1 million
bribes to officials with New York state's pension funds. In return, Broidy
got a $250 million investement in the Wall Street firm he worked for:
Broidy, who also resigned as chairman of
Markstone Capital Partners, the private equity firm, admitted that he
had paid for luxury trips to hotels in Israel and Italy for pension
staffers and their relatives -- including first-class flights and a
helicopter tour. Broidy funneled the money through charities and
submitted false receipts to the state comptroller's office to cover his
tracks.
The California financier, who was the GOP
finance chairman in 2008, also paid thousands of dollars toward rent and
other expenses for former "Mod Squad" star Peggy Lipton, who was dating
a high-ranking New York pension official at the time.
Broidy now faces up to four years in jail and has
to return some $18 million. Since the scandal with New York's pension fund
broke, it has so far led to five guilty pleas and $100 million in public
funds have been returned. However, Pro-Publica -- which has been doggedly
covering the story -- notes that nothing has been done to prevent future
corruption:
The system that allowed corruption to flourish
in New York, where $110 billion in retirement savings are controlled by
a sole trustee with no board oversight, is still in place.
It is spring in McAllen, Texas.
The morning sun is warm. The streets are lined with palm trees and
pickup trucks. McAllen is in Hidalgo County, which has the lowest
household income in the country, but it’s a border town, and a
thriving foreign-trade zone has kept the unemployment rate below ten
per cent. McAllen calls itself the Square Dance Capital of the
World. “Lonesome Dove” was set around here.
McAllen has another distinction,
too: it is one of the most expensive health-care markets in the
country. Only Miami—which has much higher labor and living
costs—spends more per person on health care. In 2006, Medicare spent
fifteen thousand dollars per enrollee here, almost twice the
national average. The income per capita is twelve thousand dollars.
In other words, Medicare spends three thousand dollars more per
person here than the average person earns.
The explosive trend in American
medical costs seems to have occurred here in an especially intense
form. Our country’s health care is by far the most expensive in the
world. In Washington, the aim of health-care reform is not just to
extend medical coverage to everybody but also to bring costs under
control. Spending on doctors, hospitals, drugs, and the like now
consumes more than one of every six dollars we earn. The financial
burden has damaged the global competitiveness of American businesses
and bankrupted millions of families, even those with insurance. It’s
also devouring our government. “The greatest threat to America’s
fiscal health is not Social Security,” President Barack Obama said
in a March speech at the White House. “It’s not the investments that
we’ve made to rescue our economy during this crisis. By a wide
margin, the biggest threat to our nation’s balance sheet is the
skyrocketing cost of health care. It’s not even close.”
The question we’re now frantically
grappling with is how this came to be, and what can be done about
it. McAllen, Texas, the most expensive town in the most expensive
country for health care in the world, seemed a good place to look
for some answers.
From the moment I arrived, I asked
almost everyone I encountered about McAllen’s health costs—a
businessman I met at the five-gate McAllen-Miller International
Airport, the desk clerks at the Embassy Suites Hotel, a
police-academy cadet at McDonald’s. Most weren’t surprised to hear
that McAllen was an outlier. “Just look around,” the cadet said.
“People are not healthy here.” McAllen, with its high poverty rate,
has an incidence of heavy drinking sixty per cent higher than the
national average. And the Tex-Mex diet has contributed to a
thirty-eight-per-cent obesity rate.
One day, I went on rounds with
Lester Dyke, a weather-beaten, ranch-owning fifty-three-year-old
cardiac surgeon who grew up in Austin, did his surgical training
with the Army all over the country, and settled into practice in
Hidalgo County. He has not lacked for business: in the past twenty
years, he has done some eight thousand heart operations, which
exhausts me just thinking about it. I walked around with him as he
checked in on ten or so of his patients who were recuperating at the
three hospitals where he operates. It was easy to see what had
landed them under his knife. They were nearly all obese or diabetic
or both. Many had a family history of heart disease. Few were taking
preventive measures, such as cholesterol-lowering drugs, which,
studies indicate, would have obviated surgery for up to half of
them.
Yet public-health statistics show
that cardiovascular-disease rates in the county are actually lower
than average, probably because its smoking rates are quite low.
Rates of asthma, H.I.V., infant mortality, cancer, and injury are
lower, too. El Paso County, eight hundred miles up the border, has
essentially the same demographics. Both counties have a population
of roughly seven hundred thousand, similar public-health statistics,
and similar percentages of non-English speakers, illegal immigrants,
and the unemployed. Yet in 2006 Medicare expenditures (our best
approximation of over-all spending patterns) in El Paso were $7,504
per enrollee—half as much as in McAllen. An unhealthy population
couldn’t possibly be the reason that McAllen’s health-care costs are
so high. (Or the reason that America’s are. We may be more obese
than any other industrialized nation, but we have among the lowest
rates of smoking and alcoholism, and we are in the middle of the
range for cardiovascular disease and diabetes.)
Was the explanation, then, that
McAllen was providing unusually good health care? I took a walk
through Doctors Hospital at Renaissance, in Edinburg, one of the
towns in the McAllen metropolitan area, with Robert Alleyn, a
Houston-trained general surgeon who had grown up here and returned
home to practice. The hospital campus sprawled across two city
blocks, with a series of three- and four-story stucco buildings
separated by golfing-green lawns and black asphalt parking lots. He
pointed out the sights—the cancer center is over here, the heart
center is over there, now we’re coming to the imaging center. We
went inside the surgery building. It was sleek and modern, with
recessed lighting, classical music piped into the waiting areas, and
nurses moving from patient to patient behind rolling black computer
pods. We changed into scrubs and Alleyn took me through the sixteen
operating rooms to show me the laparoscopy suite, with its
flat-screen video monitors, the hybrid operating room with built-in
imaging equipment, the surgical robot for minimally invasive robotic
surgery.
I was impressed. The place had
virtually all the technology that you’d find at Harvard and Stanford
and the Mayo Clinic, and, as I walked through that hospital on a
dusty road in South Texas, this struck me as a remarkable thing.
Rich towns get the new school buildings, fire trucks, and roads, not
to mention the better teachers and police officers and civil
engineers. Poor towns don’t. But that rule doesn’t hold for health
care.
At McAllen Medical Center, I saw
an orthopedic surgeon work under an operating microscope to remove a
tumor that had wrapped around the spinal cord of a
fourteen-year-old. At a home-health agency, I spoke to a nurse who
could provide intravenous-drug therapy for patients with congestive
heart failure. At McAllen Heart Hospital, I watched Dyke and a team
of six do a coronary-artery bypass using technologies that didn’t
exist a few years ago. At Renaissance, I talked with a neonatologist
who trained at my hospital, in Boston, and brought McAllen new
skills and technologies for premature babies. “I’ve had nurses come
up to me and say, ‘I never knew these babies could survive,’ ” he
said.
And yet there’s no evidence that
the treatments and technologies available at McAllen are better than
those found elsewhere in the country. The annual reports that
hospitals file with Medicare show that those in McAllen and El Paso
offer comparable technologies—neonatal intensive-care units,
advanced cardiac services, PET scans, and so on. Public statistics
show no difference in the supply of doctors. Hidalgo County actually
has fewer specialists than the national average.
Nor does the care given in McAllen
stand out for its quality. Medicare ranks hospitals on twenty-five
metrics of care. On all but two of these, McAllen’s five largest
hospitals performed worse, on average, than El Paso’s. McAllen costs
Medicare seven thousand dollars more per person each year than does
the average city in America. But not, so far as one can tell,
because it’s delivering better health care.
One night, I went to dinner with
six McAllen doctors. All were what you would call bread-and-butter
physicians: busy, full-time, private-practice doctors who work from
seven in the morning to seven at night and sometimes later, their
waiting rooms teeming and their desks stacked with medical charts to
review.
Some were dubious when I told them
that McAllen was the country’s most expensive place for health care.
I gave them the spending data from Medicare. In 1992, in the McAllen
market, the average cost per Medicare enrollee was $4,891, almost
exactly the national average. But since then, year after year,
McAllen’s health costs have grown faster than any other market in
the country, ultimately soaring by more than ten thousand dollars
per person.
“Maybe the service is better
here,” the cardiologist suggested. People can be seen faster and get
their tests more readily, he said.
Others were skeptical. “I don’t
think that explains the costs he’s talking about,” the general
surgeon said.
“It’s malpractice,” a family
physician who had practiced here for thirty-three years said.
“McAllen is legal hell,” the
cardiologist agreed. Doctors order unnecessary tests just to protect
themselves, he said. Everyone thought the lawyers here were worse
than elsewhere.
That explanation puzzled me.
Several years ago, Texas passed a tough malpractice law that capped
pain-and-suffering awards at two hundred and fifty thousand dollars.
Didn’t lawsuits go down?
“Practically to zero,” the
cardiologist admitted.
“Come on,” the general surgeon
finally said. “We all know these arguments are bullshit. There is
overutilization here, pure and simple.” Doctors, he said, were
racking up charges with extra tests, services, and procedures.
The surgeon came to McAllen in the
mid-nineties, and since then, he said, “the way to practice medicine
has changed completely. Before, it was about how to do a good job.
Now it is about ‘How much will you benefit?’ ”
Everyone agreed that something
fundamental had changed since the days when health-care costs in
McAllen were the same as those in El Paso and elsewhere. Yes, they
had more technology. “But young doctors don’t think anymore,” the
family physician said.
The surgeon gave me an example.
General surgeons are often asked to see patients with pain from
gallstones. If there aren’t any complications—and there usually
aren’t—the pain goes away on its own or with pain medication. With
instruction on eating a lower-fat diet, most patients experience no
further difficulties. But some have recurrent episodes, and need
surgery to remove their gallbladder.
Seeing a patient who has had
uncomplicated, first-time gallstone pain requires some judgment. A
surgeon has to provide reassurance (people are often scared and want
to go straight to surgery), some education about gallstone disease
and diet, perhaps a prescription for pain; in a few weeks, the
surgeon might follow up. But increasingly, I was told, McAllen
surgeons simply operate. The patient wasn’t going to moderate her
diet, they tell themselves. The pain was just going to come back.
And by operating they happen to make an extra seven hundred dollars.
I gave the doctors around the
table a scenario. A forty-year-old woman comes in with chest pain
after a fight with her husband. An EKG is normal. The chest pain
goes away. She has no family history of heart disease. What did
McAllen doctors do fifteen years ago?
Send her home, they said. Maybe
get a stress test to confirm that there’s no issue, but even that
might be overkill.
And today? Today, the cardiologist
said, she would get a stress test, an echocardiogram, a mobile
Holter monitor, and maybe even a cardiac catheterization.
“Oh, she’s definitely getting a
cath,” the internist said, laughing grimly.
To determine whether overuse of
medical care was really the problem in McAllen, I turned to Jonathan
Skinner, an economist at Dartmouth’s Institute for Health Policy and
Clinical Practice, which has three decades of expertise in examining
regional patterns in Medicare payment data. I also turned to two
private firms—D2Hawkeye, an independent company, and Ingenix,
UnitedHealthcare’s data-analysis company—to analyze commercial
insurance data for McAllen. The answer was yes. Compared with
patients in El Paso and nationwide, patients in McAllen got more of
pretty much everything—more diagnostic testing, more hospital
treatment, more surgery, more home care.
The Medicare payment data provided
the most detail. Between 2001 and 2005, critically ill Medicare
patients received almost fifty per cent more specialist visits in
McAllen than in El Paso, and were two-thirds more likely to see ten
or more specialists in a six-month period. In 2005 and 2006,
patients in McAllen received twenty per cent more abdominal
ultrasounds, thirty per cent more bone-density studies, sixty per
cent more stress tests with echocardiography, two hundred per cent
more nerve-conduction studies to diagnose carpal-tunnel syndrome,
and five hundred and fifty per cent more urine-flow studies to
diagnose prostate troubles. They received one-fifth to two-thirds
more gallbladder operations, knee replacements, breast biopsies, and
bladder scopes. They also received two to three times as many
pacemakers, implantable defibrillators, cardiac-bypass operations,
carotid endarterectomies, and coronary-artery stents. And Medicare
paid for five times as many home-nurse visits. The primary cause of
McAllen’s extreme costs was, very simply, the across-the-board
overuse of medicine.
This is a disturbing and perhaps
surprising diagnosis. Americans like to believe that, with most
things, more is better. But research suggests that where medicine is
concerned it may actually be worse. For example, Rochester,
Minnesota, where the Mayo Clinic dominates the scene, has
fantastically high levels of technological capability and quality,
but its Medicare spending is in the lowest fifteen per cent of the
country—$6,688 per enrollee in 2006, which is eight thousand dollars
less than the figure for McAllen. Two economists working at
Dartmouth, Katherine Baicker and Amitabh Chandra, found that the
more money Medicare spent per person in a given state the lower that
state’s quality ranking tended to be. In fact, the four states with
the highest levels of spending—Louisiana, Texas, California, and
Florida—were near the bottom of the national rankings on the quality
of patient care.
In a 2003 study, another Dartmouth
team, led by the internist Elliott Fisher, examined the treatment
received by a million elderly Americans diagnosed with colon or
rectal cancer, a hip fracture, or a heart attack. They found that
patients in higher-spending regions received sixty per cent more
care than elsewhere. They got more frequent tests and procedures,
more visits with specialists, and more frequent admission to
hospitals. Yet they did no better than other patients, whether this
was measured in terms of survival, their ability to function, or
satisfaction with the care they received. If anything, they seemed
to do worse.
That’s because nothing in medicine
is without risks. Complications can arise from hospital stays,
medications, procedures, and tests, and when these things are of
marginal value the harm can be greater than the benefits. In recent
years, we doctors have markedly increased the number of operations
we do, for instance. In 2006, doctors performed at least sixty
million surgical procedures, one for every five Americans. No other
country does anything like as many operations on its citizens. Are
we better off for it? No one knows for sure, but it seems highly
unlikely. After all, some hundred thousand people die each year from
complications of surgery—far more than die in car crashes.
To make matters worse, Fisher
found that patients in high-cost areas were actually less likely to
receive low-cost preventive services, such as flu and pneumonia
vaccines, faced longer waits at doctor and emergency-room visits,
and were less likely to have a primary-care physician. They got more
of the stuff that cost more, but not more of what they needed.
In an odd way, this news is
reassuring. Universal coverage won’t be feasible unless we can
control costs. Policymakers have worried that doing so would require
rationing, which the public would never go along with. So the idea
that there’s plenty of fat in the system is proving deeply
attractive. “Nearly thirty per cent of Medicare’s costs could be
saved without negatively affecting health outcomes if spending in
high- and medium-cost areas could be reduced to the level in
low-cost areas,” Peter Orszag, the President’s budget director, has
stated.
Most Americans would be delighted
to have the quality of care found in places like Rochester,
Minnesota, or Seattle, Washington, or Durham, North Carolina—all of
which have world-class hospitals and costs that fall below the
national average. If we brought the cost curve in the expensive
places down to their level, Medicare’s problems (indeed, almost all
the federal government’s budget problems for the next fifty years)
would be solved. The difficulty is how to go about it. Physicians in
places like McAllen behave differently from others. The
$2.4-trillion question is why. Unless we figure it out, health
reform will fail.
I had what I considered to be a
reasonable plan for finding out what was going on in McAllen. I
would call on the heads of its hospitals, in their swanky,
decorator-designed, churrigueresco offices, and I’d ask them.
The first hospital I visited,
McAllen Heart Hospital, is owned by Universal Health Services, a
for-profit hospital chain with headquarters in King of Prussia,
Pennsylvania, and revenues of five billion dollars last year. I went
to see the hospital’s chief operating officer, Gilda Romero. Truth
be told, her office seemed less churrigueresco than Office Depot.
She had straight brown hair, sympathetic eyes, and looked more like
a young school teacher than like a corporate officer with nineteen
years of experience. And when I inquired, “What is going on in this
place?” she looked surprised.
Is McAllen really that expensive?
she asked.
I described the data, including
the numbers indicating that heart operations and catheter procedures
and pacemakers were being performed in McAllen at double the usual
rate.
“That is interesting,” she said,
by which she did not mean, “Uh-oh, you’ve caught us” but, rather,
“That is actually interesting.” The problem of McAllen’s outlandish
costs was new to her. She puzzled over the numbers. She was certain
that her doctors performed surgery only when it was necessary. It
had to be one of the other hospitals. And she had one in
mind—Doctors Hospital at Renaissance, the hospital in Edinburg that
I had toured.
She wasn’t the only person to
mention Renaissance. It is the newest hospital in the area. It is
physician-owned. And it has a reputation (which it disclaims) for
aggressively recruiting high-volume physicians to become investors
and send patients there. Physicians who do so receive not only their
fee for whatever service they provide but also a percentage of the
hospital’s profits from the tests, surgery, or other care patients
are given. (In 2007, its profits totalled thirty-four million
dollars.) Romero and others argued that this gives physicians an
unholy temptation to overorder.
Such an arrangement can make
physician investors rich. But it can’t be the whole explanation. The
hospital gets barely a sixth of the patients in the region; its
margins are no bigger than the other hospitals’—whether for profit
or not for profit—and it didn’t have much of a presence until 2004
at the earliest, a full decade after the cost explosion in McAllen
began.
“Those are good points,” Romero
said. She couldn’t explain what was going on.
The following afternoon, I visited
the top managers of Doctors Hospital at Renaissance. We sat in their
boardroom around one end of a yacht-length table. The chairman of
the board offered me a soda. The chief of staff smiled at me. The
chief financial officer shook my hand as if I were an old friend.
The C.E.O., however, was having a hard time pretending that he was
happy to see me. Lawrence Gelman was a fifty-seven-year-old
anesthesiologist with a Bill Clinton shock of white hair and a
weekly local radio show tag-lined “Opinions from an Unrelenting
Conservative Spirit.” He had helped found the hospital. He barely
greeted me, and while the others were trying for a
how-can-I-help-you-today attitude, his body language was more
let’s-get-this-over-with.
So I asked him why McAllen’s
health-care costs were so high. What he gave me was a disquisition
on the theory and history of American health-care financing going
back to Lyndon Johnson and the creation of Medicare, the upshot of
which was: (1) Government is the problem in health care. “The people
in charge of the purse strings don’t know what they’re doing.” (2)
If anything, government insurance programs like Medicare don’t pay
enough. “I, as an anesthesiologist, know that they pay me ten per
cent of what a private insurer pays.” (3) Government programs are
full of waste. “Every person in this room could easily go through
the expenditures of Medicare and Medicaid and see all kinds of
waste.” (4) But not in McAllen. The clinicians here, at least at
Doctors Hospital at Renaissance, “are providing necessary, essential
health care,” Gelman said. “We don’t invent patients.”
Then why do hospitals in McAllen
order so much more surgery and scans and tests than hospitals in El
Paso and elsewhere?
In the end, the only explanation
he and his colleagues could offer was this: The other doctors and
hospitals in McAllen may be overspending, but, to the extent that
his hospital provides costlier treatment than other places in the
country, it is making people better in ways that data on quality and
outcomes do not measure.
“Do we provide better health care
than El Paso?” Gelman asked. “I would bet you two to one that we
do.”
It was a depressing
conversation—not because I thought the executives were being evasive
but because they weren’t being evasive. The data on McAllen’s costs
were clearly new to them. They were defending McAllen reflexively.
But they really didn’t know the big picture of what was happening.
And, I realized, few people in
their position do. Local executives for hospitals and clinics and
home-health agencies understand their growth rate and their market
share; they know whether they are losing money or making money. They
know that if their doctors bring in enough business—surgery,
imaging, home-nursing referrals—they make money; and if they get the
doctors to bring in more, they make more. But they have only the
vaguest notion of whether the doctors are making their communities
as healthy as they can, or whether they are more or less efficient
than their counterparts elsewhere. A doctor sees a patient in
clinic, and has her check into a McAllen hospital for a CT scan, an
ultrasound, three rounds of blood tests, another ultrasound, and
then surgery to have her gallbladder removed. How is Lawrence Gelman
or Gilda Romero to know whether all that is essential, let alone the
best possible treatment for the patient? It isn’t what they are
responsible or accountable for.
Health-care costs ultimately arise
from the accumulation of individual decisions doctors make about
which services and treatments to write an order for. The most
expensive piece of medical equipment, as the saying goes, is a
doctor’s pen. And, as a rule, hospital executives don’t own the pen
caps. Doctors do.
If doctors wield the pen, why do
they do it so differently from one place to another? Brenda
Sirovich, another Dartmouth researcher, published a study last year
that provided an important clue. She and her team surveyed some
eight hundred primary-care physicians from high-cost cities (such as
Las Vegas and New York), low-cost cities (such as Sacramento and
Boise), and others in between. The researchers asked the physicians
specifically how they would handle a variety of patient cases. It
turned out that differences in decision-making emerged in only some
kinds of cases. In situations in which the right thing to do was
well established—for example, whether to recommend a mammogram for a
fifty-year-old woman (the answer is yes)—physicians in high- and
low-cost cities made the same decisions. But, in cases in which the
science was unclear, some physicians pursued the maximum possible
amount of testing and procedures; some pursued the minimum. And
which kind of doctor they were depended on where they came from.
Sirovich asked doctors how they
would treat a seventy-five-year-old woman with typical heartburn
symptoms and “adequate health insurance to cover tests and
medications.” Physicians in high- and low-cost cities were equally
likely to prescribe antacid therapy and to check for H. pylori, an
ulcer-causing bacterium—steps strongly recommended by national
guidelines. But when it came to measures of less certain value—and
higher cost—the differences were considerable. More than seventy per
cent of physicians in high-cost cities referred the patient to a
gastroenterologist, ordered an upper endoscopy, or both, while half
as many in low-cost cities did. Physicians from high-cost cities
typically recommended that patients with well-controlled
hypertension see them in the office every one to three months, while
those from low-cost cities recommended visits twice yearly. In case
after uncertain case, more was not necessarily better. But
physicians from the most expensive cities did the most expensive
things.
Why? Some of it could reflect
differences in training. I remember when my wife brought our infant
son Walker to visit his grandparents in Virginia, and he took a
terrifying fall down a set of stairs. They drove him to the local
community hospital in Alexandria. A CT scan showed that he had a
tiny subdural hematoma—a small area of bleeding in the brain. During
ten hours of observation, though, he was fine—eating, drinking,
completely alert. I was a surgery resident then and had seen many
cases like his. We observed each child in intensive care for at
least twenty-four hours and got a repeat CT scan. That was how I’d
been trained. But the doctor in Alexandria was going to send Walker
home. That was how he’d been trained. Suppose things change for the
worse? I asked him. It’s extremely unlikely, he said, and if
anything changed Walker could always be brought back. I bullied the
doctor into admitting him anyway. The next day, the scan and the
patient were fine. And, looking in the textbooks, I learned that the
doctor was right. Walker could have been managed safely either way.
There was no sign, however, that
McAllen’s doctors as a group were trained any differently from El
Paso’s. One morning, I met with a hospital administrator who had
extensive experience managing for-profit hospitals along the border.
He offered a different possible explanation: the culture of money.
“In El Paso, if you took a random
doctor and looked at his tax returns eighty-five per cent of his
income would come from the usual practice of medicine,” he said. But
in McAllen, the administrator thought, that percentage would be a
lot less.
He knew of doctors who owned strip
malls, orange groves, apartment complexes—or imaging centers,
surgery centers, or another part of the hospital they directed
patients to. They had “entrepreneurial spirit,” he said. They were
innovative and aggressive in finding ways to increase revenues from
patient care. “There’s no lack of work ethic,” he said. But he had
often seen financial considerations drive the decisions doctors made
for patients—the tests they ordered, the doctors and hospitals they
recommended—and it bothered him. Several doctors who were unhappy
about the direction medicine had taken in McAllen told me the same
thing. “It’s a machine, my friend,” one surgeon explained.
No one teaches you how to think
about money in medical school or residency. Yet, from the moment you
start practicing, you must think about it. You must consider what is
covered for a patient and what is not. You must pay attention to
insurance rejections and government-reimbursement rules. You must
think about having enough money for the secretary and the nurse and
the rent and the malpractice insurance.
Beyond the basics, however, many
physicians are remarkably oblivious to the financial implications of
their decisions. They see their patients. They make their
recommendations. They send out the bills. And, as long as the
numbers come out all right at the end of each month, they put the
money out of their minds.
Others think of the money as a
means of improving what they do. They think about how to use the
insurance money to maybe install electronic health records with
colleagues, or provide easier phone and e-mail access, or offer
expanded hours. They hire an extra nurse to monitor diabetic
patients more closely, and to make sure that patients don’t miss
their mammograms and pap smears and colonoscopies.
Then there are the physicians who
see their practice primarily as a revenue stream. They instruct
their secretary to have patients who call with follow-up questions
schedule an appointment, because insurers don’t pay for phone calls,
only office visits. They consider providing Botox injections for
cash. They take a Doppler ultrasound course, buy a machine, and
start doing their patients’ scans themselves, so that the insurance
payments go to them rather than to the hospital. They figure out
ways to increase their high-margin work and decrease their
low-margin work. This is a business, after all.
In every community, you’ll find a
mixture of these views among physicians, but one or another tends to
predominate. McAllen seems simply to be the community at one
extreme.
In a few cases, the hospital
executive told me, he’d seen the behavior cross over into what
seemed like outright fraud. “I’ve had doctors here come up to me and
say, ‘You want me to admit patients to your hospital, you’re going
to have to pay me.’ ”
“How much?” I asked.
“The amounts—all of them were over
a hundred thousand dollars per year,” he said. The doctors were
specific. The most he was asked for was five hundred thousand
dollars per year.
He didn’t pay any of them, he
said: “I mean, I gotta sleep at night.” And he emphasized that these
were just a handful of doctors. But he had never been asked for a
kickback before coming to McAllen.
Woody Powell is a Stanford
sociologist who studies the economic culture of cities. Recently, he
and his research team studied why certain regions—Boston, San
Francisco, San Diego—became leaders in biotechnology while others
with a similar concentration of scientific and corporate talent—Los
Angeles, Philadelphia, New York—did not. The answer they found was
what Powell describes as the anchor-tenant theory of economic
development. Just as an anchor store will define the character of a
mall, anchor tenants in biotechnology, whether it’s a company like
Genentech, in South San Francisco, or a university like M.I.T., in
Cambridge, define the character of an economic community. They set
the norms. The anchor tenants that set norms encouraging the free
flow of ideas and collaboration, even with competitors, produced
enduringly successful communities, while those that mainly sought to
dominate did not.
Powell suspects that anchor
tenants play a similarly powerful community role in other areas of
economics, too, and health care may be no exception. I spoke to a
marketing rep for a McAllen home-health agency who told me of a
process uncannily similar to what Powell found in biotech. Her job
is to persuade doctors to use her agency rather than others. The
competition is fierce. I opened the phone book and found seventeen
pages of listings for home-health agencies—two hundred and sixty in
all. A patient typically brings in between twelve hundred and
fifteen hundred dollars, and double that amount for specialized
care. She described how, a decade or so ago, a few early agencies
began rewarding doctors who ordered home visits with more than
trinkets: they provided tickets to professional sporting events,
jewelry, and other gifts. That set the tone. Other agencies jumped
in. Some began paying doctors a supplemental salary, as “medical
directors,” for steering business in their direction. Doctors came
to expect a share of the revenue stream.
Agencies that want to compete on
quality struggle to remain in business, the rep said. Doctors have
asked her for a medical-director salary of four or five thousand
dollars a month in return for sending her business. One asked a
colleague of hers for private-school tuition for his child; another
wanted sex.
“I explained the rules and
regulations and the anti-kickback law, and told them no,” she said
of her dealings with such doctors. “Does it hurt my business?” She
paused. “I’m O.K. working only with ethical physicians,” she finally
said.
About fifteen years ago, it seems,
something began to change in McAllen. A few leaders of local
institutions took profit growth to be a legitimate ethic in the
practice of medicine. Not all the doctors accepted this. But they
failed to discourage those who did. So here, along the banks of the
Rio Grande, in the Square Dance Capital of the World, a medical
community came to treat patients the way subprime-mortgage lenders
treated home buyers: as profit centers.
The real puzzle of American health
care, I realized on the airplane home, is not why McAllen is
different from El Paso. It’s why El Paso isn’t like McAllen. Every
incentive in the system is an invitation to go the way McAllen has
gone. Yet, across the country, large numbers of communities have
managed to control their health costs rather than ratchet them up.
I talked to Denis Cortese, the
C.E.O. of the Mayo Clinic, which is among the highest-quality,
lowest-cost health-care systems in the country. A couple of years
ago, I spent several days there as a visiting surgeon. Among the
things that stand out from that visit was how much time the doctors
spent with patients. There was no churn—no shuttling patients in and
out of rooms while the doctor bounces from one to the other. I
accompanied a colleague while he saw patients. Most of the patients,
like those in my clinic, required about twenty minutes. But one
patient had colon cancer and a number of other complex issues,
including heart disease. The physician spent an hour with her,
sorting things out. He phoned a cardiologist with a question.
“I’ll be there,” the cardiologist
said.
Fifteen minutes later, he was.
They mulled over everything together. The cardiologist adjusted a
medication, and said that no further testing was needed. He cleared
the patient for surgery, and the operating room gave her a slot the
next day.
The whole interaction was
astonishing to me. Just having the cardiologist pop down to see the
patient with the surgeon would be unimaginable at my hospital. The
time required wouldn’t pay. The time required just to organize the
system wouldn’t pay.
The core tenet of the Mayo Clinic
is “The needs of the patient come first”—not the convenience of the
doctors, not their revenues. The doctors and nurses, and even the
janitors, sat in meetings almost weekly, working on ideas to make
the service and the care better, not to get more money out of
patients. I asked Cortese how the Mayo Clinic made this possible.
“It’s not easy,” he said. But
decades ago Mayo recognized that the first thing it needed to do was
eliminate the financial barriers. It pooled all the money the
doctors and the hospital system received and began paying everyone a
salary, so that the doctors’ goal in patient care couldn’t be
increasing their income. Mayo promoted leaders who focussed first on
what was best for patients, and then on how to make this financially
possible.
No one there actually intends to
do fewer expensive scans and procedures than is done elsewhere in
the country. The aim is to raise quality and to help doctors and
other staff members work as a team. But, almost by happenstance, the
result has been lower costs.
“When doctors put their heads
together in a room, when they share expertise, you get more thinking
and less testing,” Cortese told me.
Skeptics saw the Mayo model as a
local phenomenon that wouldn’t carry beyond the hay fields of
northern Minnesota. But in 1986 the Mayo Clinic opened a campus in
Florida, one of our most expensive states for health care, and, in
1987, another one in Arizona. It was difficult to recruit staff
members who would accept a salary and the Mayo’s collaborative way
of practicing. Leaders were working against the dominant medical
culture and incentives. The expansion sites took at least a decade
to get properly established. But eventually they achieved the same
high-quality, low-cost results as Rochester. Indeed, Cortese says
that the Florida site has become, in some respects, the most
efficient one in the system.
The Mayo Clinic is not an
aberration. One of the lowest-cost markets in the country is Grand
Junction, Colorado, a community of a hundred and twenty thousand
that nonetheless has achieved some of Medicare’s highest
quality-of-care scores. Michael Pramenko is a family physician and a
local medical leader there. Unlike doctors at the Mayo Clinic, he
told me, those in Grand Junction get piecework fees from insurers.
But years ago the doctors agreed among themselves to a system that
paid them a similar fee whether they saw Medicare, Medicaid, or
private-insurance patients, so that there would be little incentive
to cherry-pick patients. They also agreed, at the behest of the main
health plan in town, an H.M.O., to meet regularly on small
peer-review committees to go over their patient charts together.
They focussed on rooting out problems like poor prevention
practices, unnecessary back operations, and unusual
hospital-complication rates. Problems went down. Quality went up.
Then, in 2004, the doctors’ group and the local H.M.O. jointly
created a regional information network—a community-wide
electronic-record system that shared office notes, test results, and
hospital data for patients across the area. Again, problems went
down. Quality went up. And costs ended up lower than just about
anywhere else in the United States.
Grand Junction’s medical community
was not following anyone else’s recipe. But, like Mayo, it created
what Elliott Fisher, of Dartmouth, calls an accountable-care
organization. The leading doctors and the hospital system adopted
measures to blunt harmful financial incentives, and they took
collective responsibility for improving the sum total of patient
care.
This approach has been adopted in
other places, too: the Geisinger Health System, in Danville,
Pennsylvania; the Marshfield Clinic, in Marshfield, Wisconsin;
Intermountain Healthcare, in Salt Lake City; Kaiser Permanente, in
Northern California. All of them function on similar principles. All
are not-for-profit institutions. And all have produced enviably
higher quality and lower costs than the average American town
enjoys.
When you look across the spectrum
from Grand Junction to McAllen—and the almost threefold difference
in the costs of care—you come to realize that we are witnessing a
battle for the soul of American medicine. Somewhere in the United
States at this moment, a patient with chest pain, or a tumor, or a
cough is seeing a doctor. And the damning question we have to ask is
whether the doctor is set up to meet the needs of the patient, first
and foremost, or to maximize revenue.
There is no insurance system that
will make the two aims match perfectly. But having a system that
does so much to misalign them has proved disastrous. As economists
have often pointed out, we pay doctors for quantity, not quality. As
they point out less often, we also pay them as individuals, rather
than as members of a team working together for their patients. Both
practices have made for serious problems.
Providing health care is like
building a house. The task requires experts, expensive equipment and
materials, and a huge amount of coördination. Imagine that, instead
of paying a contractor to pull a team together and keep them on
track, you paid an electrician for every outlet he recommends, a
plumber for every faucet, and a carpenter for every cabinet. Would
you be surprised if you got a house with a thousand outlets,
faucets, and cabinets, at three times the cost you expected, and the
whole thing fell apart a couple of years later? Getting the
country’s best electrician on the job (he trained at Harvard,
somebody tells you) isn’t going to solve this problem. Nor will
changing the person who writes him the check.
This last point is vital.
Activists and policymakers spend an inordinate amount of time
arguing about whether the solution to high medical costs is to have
government or private insurance companies write the checks. Here’s
how this whole debate goes. Advocates of a public option say
government financing would save the most money by having leaner
administrative costs and forcing doctors and hospitals to take lower
payments than they get from private insurance. Opponents say doctors
would skimp, quit, or game the system, and make us wait in line for
our care; they maintain that private insurers are better at policing
doctors. No, the skeptics say: all insurance companies do is reject
applicants who need health care and stall on paying their bills.
Then we have the economists who say that the people who should pay
the doctors are the ones who use them. Have consumers pay with their
own dollars, make sure that they have some “skin in the game,” and
then they’ll get the care they deserve. These arguments miss the
main issue. When it comes to making care better and cheaper,
changing who pays the doctor will make no more difference than
changing who pays the electrician. The lesson of the high-quality,
low-cost communities is that someone has to be accountable for the
totality of care. Otherwise, you get a system that has no brakes.
You get McAllen.
One afternoon in McAllen, I rode
down McColl Road with Lester Dyke, the cardiac surgeon, and we
passed a series of office plazas that seemed to be nothing but
home-health agencies, imaging centers, and medical-equipment stores.
“Medicine has become a pig trough
here,” he muttered.
Dyke is among the few vocal
critics of what’s happened in McAllen. “We took a wrong turn when
doctors stopped being doctors and became businessmen,” he said.
We began talking about the various
proposals being touted in Washington to fix the cost problem. I
asked him whether expanding public-insurance programs like Medicare
and shrinking the role of insurance companies would do the trick in
McAllen.
“I don’t have a problem with it,”
he said. “But it won’t make a difference.” In McAllen, government
payers already predominate—not many people have jobs with private
insurance.
How about doing the opposite and
increasing the role of big insurance companies?
“What good would that do?” Dyke
asked.
The third class of health-cost
proposals, I explained, would push people to use medical savings
accounts and hold high-deductible insurance policies: “They’d have
more of their own money on the line, and that’d drive them to
bargain with you and other surgeons, right?”
He gave me a quizzical look. We
tried to imagine the scenario. A cardiologist tells an elderly woman
that she needs bypass surgery and has Dr. Dyke see her. They discuss
the blockages in her heart, the operation, the risks. And now
they’re supposed to haggle over the price as if he were selling a
rug in a souk? “I’ll do three vessels for thirty thousand, but if
you take four I’ll throw in an extra night in the I.C.U.”—that sort
of thing? Dyke shook his head. “Who comes up with this stuff?” he
asked. “Any plan that relies on the sheep to negotiate with the
wolves is doomed to failure.”
Instead, McAllen and other cities
like it have to be weaned away from their untenably fragmented,
quantity-driven systems of health care, step by step. And that will
mean rewarding doctors and hospitals if they band together to form
Grand Junction-like accountable-care organizations, in which doctors
collaborate to increase prevention and the quality of care, while
discouraging overtreatment, undertreatment, and sheer profiteering.
Under one approach, insurers—whether public or private—would allow
clinicians who formed such organizations and met quality goals to
keep half the savings they generate. Government could also shift
regulatory burdens, and even malpractice liability, from the doctors
to the organization. Other, sterner, approaches would penalize those
who don’t form these organizations.
This will by necessity be an
experiment. We will need to do in-depth research on what makes the
best systems successful—the peer-review committees? recruiting more
primary-care doctors and nurses? putting doctors on salary?—and
disseminate what we learn. Congress has provided vital funding for
research that compares the effectiveness of different treatments,
and this should help reduce uncertainty about which treatments are
best. But we also need to fund research that compares the
effectiveness of different systems of care—to reduce our uncertainty
about which systems work best for communities. These are empirical,
not ideological, questions. And we would do well to form a national
institute for health-care delivery, bringing together clinicians,
hospitals, insurers, employers, and citizens to assess, regularly,
the quality and the cost of our care, review the strategies that
produce good results, and make clear recommendations for local
systems.
Dramatic improvements and savings
will take at least a decade. But a choice must be made. Whom do we
want in charge of managing the full complexity of medical care? We
can turn to insurers (whether public or private), which have proved
repeatedly that they can’t do it. Or we can turn to the local
medical communities, which have proved that they can. But we have to
choose someone—because, in much of the country, no one is in charge.
And the result is the most wasteful and the least sustainable
health-care system in the world.
Something even more worrisome is
going on as well. In the war over the culture of medicine—the war
over whether our country’s anchor model will be Mayo or McAllen—the
Mayo model is losing. In the sharpest economic downturn that our
health system has faced in half a century, many people in medicine
don’t see why they should do the hard work of organizing themselves
in ways that reduce waste and improve quality if it means
sacrificing revenue.
In El Paso, the for-profit
health-care executive told me, a few leading physicians recently
followed McAllen’s lead and opened their own centers for surgery and
imaging. When I was in Tulsa a few months ago, a fellow-surgeon
explained how he had made up for lost revenue by shifting his
operations for well-insured patients to a specialty hospital that he
partially owned while keeping his poor and uninsured patients at a
nonprofit hospital in town. Even in Grand Junction, Michael Pramenko
told me, “some of the doctors are beginning to complain about
‘leaving money on the table.’ ”
As America struggles to extend
health-care coverage while curbing health-care costs, we face a
decision that is more important than whether we have a
public-insurance option, more important than whether we will have a
single-payer system in the long run or a mixture of public and
private insurance, as we do now. The decision is whether we are
going to reward the leaders who are trying to build a new generation
of Mayos and Grand Junctions. If we don’t, McAllen won’t be an
outlier. It will be our future.
LIFO Sucks Teaching Case on LIFO Layers in Years of Rising Prices
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Review on December 3, 2010
TOPICS: Inventory Systems
SUMMARY: "The oil market has been waiting months for...a drop in
supplies along the nation's main refining corridor. Prices are poised to
soar on any indication that rising demand from the recovering economy is
bringing a two-year-old oil glut to an end." But drop in inventory among
U.S. oil companies merely follows a typical year end pattern. "To avoid
a tax charge tied to rising oil prices, refiners and other companies
that store crude are scrambling to make sure they end the year with the
same inventories they had at the start."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article brings to life the implications of
dipping into LIFO inventory layers.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What inventory method is used by most companies in the
oil industry?
2. (Advanced) What are the federal tax incentives to use LIFO inventory
method?
3. (Advanced) What Louisiana state tax requirements also influence oil
companies to choose LIFO inventory accounting?
4. (Introductory) Refer to the related article. What factors are leading
to a two-week high price for oil as of December 1, 2010?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
RELATED ARTICLES:
Oil Climbs to $86.75, a 2-Week High
by Jerry A. DiColo
Dec 01, 2010
Online Exclusive
An accounting practice is making the millions of
barrels of excess crude that have flooded the oil market disappear—for a few
weeks, anyway.
To avoid a tax charge tied to rising oil prices,
refiners and other companies that store crude are scrambling to make sure
they end the year with the same inventories that they had at the start.
Stockpiles on the Gulf Coast plunged nearly 7 million barrels in the week
ended Nov. 12, the region's biggest drop in over two years, according to the
Energy Information Administration. Another 25 million barrels need to go for
this December's inventories to match last year's. But if past years are any
indication, inventories are likely to rise just as quickly with the start of
the new year.
The oil market has been waiting months for just
such a drop in supplies along the nation's main refining corridor. Prices
are poised to soar on any indication that rising demand from the recovering
economy is bringing a two-year-old oil glut to an end.
But the recent draws aren't that sign, and it's
being reflected in the price of oil. Crude prices are off 7.2% since ending
at a two-year high on Nov. 11, trading late Friday at $81.51 a barrel.
Futures nearly fell below $80 a barrel for the first time in a month on
Wednesday—after the government inventory report—as U.S. demand looked weak.
"It's not any huge surge in demand that's causing
the drawdown," said a spokesman for a large refiner that is reducing
inventories for tax reasons.
Companies usually reduce stocks by importing less
oil, then drawing on inventories to refine into fuel. Last week, oil imports
hit an 11-month low, the EIA said.
The refiner, like much of the oil industry, uses a
form of accounting called "last in, first out," or LIFO, to value their
inventories. The practice allows a company to claim each barrel of oil they
sell was the most recent one purchased. That creates an incentive to lower
end-of-year inventories when prices climb because the more expensive oil is
the "first out," allowing the remaining oil to be taxed at a lower rate.
Oil inventories are typically valued each year
using prices at the start of the year, said Les Schneider, partner at the
Washington, D.C., law firm Ivins, Phillips & Barker and an expert on
inventory taxation. If a refiner builds up one million barrels of oil
inventories over the course of 2009, it could value that crude at the
January 2009 price of roughly $40 a barrel. But if the refiner ends 2010
with 1.5 million barrels in storage, the additional 500,000 barrels would be
valued at around $80 a barrel, the January 2010 price.
In addition, oil companies face taxes in Gulf Coast
states based on the level of inventory they have in storage, providing
another incentive to draw down year-end inventories.
Crude stockpiles fell sharply in November and
December in three of the past four years, only to quickly rebound.
Inventories are down nearly 3% nationwide in the past two weeks of
government data, though they remain well above the historical average.
"Year after year, we see crude inventories in the
Gulf Coast region decline in December…and it doesn't mean a darn thing in
terms of whether the global oil market is tight or not," said Tim Evans, an
oil analyst at Citi Futures Perspective.
The Obama administration has periodically tried to
end LIFO accounting, and earlier this month, the co-chairs of a presidential
commission charged with finding ways to reduce the deficit proposed doing
away with the practice.
Companies that use LIFO, however, have opposed its
repeal, saying it protects them against rising prices. The American
Petroleum Institute, the main oil-industry lobbying group, has argued that
repealing LIFO would result in a "significant upfront tax increase."
Jensen Comment
Moves are now underway to end LIFO for tax purposes and as an accounting
alternative. This would make U.S. GAAP much more like IFRS international rules
that never have allowed LIFO.
Buried on page 29 of Wednesday's report was a
proposal to eliminate last-in-first-out, or LIFO, accounting for
inventories. Under LIFO, companies assume that the goods they sell from
inventories are the last ones put in. When prices are rising, this means the
cost of goods sold is higher, reducing reported profits and, thereby, the
taxes paid on them. Therein lies the rationale for LIFO's potential
abolition.
The potential impact could be significant. Take
Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips, the top three U.S. majors. They
had an aggregate LIFO reserve of $28.3 billion at the end of 2009. In
theory, abolishing LIFO would result in a tax liability of about $10
billion.
Beyond the oil patch, a 2008 survey by the American
Institute of Certified Public Accountants found 36% of U.S. firms using LIFO
for at least some of their inventories.
Dr. Charles Mulford of Georgia Tech College of
Management says that while LIFO accounting is "often blamed as a tax
gimmick," it also offers a more accurate picture of profits by aligning
costs with revenues.
There is another potential wrinkle. LIFO accounting
is suited to periods of inflation. When prices are falling, companies using
LIFO actually pay more tax, as their cost of goods sold falls and reported
profit rises.
Say LIFO is abolished and, despite Washington's
best efforts, deflation takes hold. Under that scenario, the companies that
benefited from LIFO accounting during the boom years would actually enjoy a
tax shield on future profits from the new accounting method. In this era of
unintended consequences, such a policy outcome wouldn't be wholly
surprising.
"Unintended Consequences of LIFO Repeal: The Case of the Oil
Industry,"
by David A. Guenther and Richard C. Sansing, The Accounting Review,
Vol. 87, No. 5, September 2012, pp. 1589-1602 (this article is not free) ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-50194
Abstract
This study examines the effect on firm value of repealing the last-in,
first-out (LIFO) inventory method for tax purposes. Our model extends prior
literature by determining quantities and prices in equilibrium, rather than
specifying them exogenously. We find that LIFO repeal could increase the
future after-tax cash flows of firms that had used LIFO, because the higher
tax costs associated with FIFO result in lower equilibrium quantities and
higher equilibrium output prices, which increase pretax cash flows. We
illustrate our model by examining inventory methods used by firms in the oil
industry.
Introduction
We examine the effects of repealing the last-in, first-out (LIFO) inventory
method on firm production decisions, output prices, and firm after-tax
profits. This is an important topic because repeal of LIFO, either directly
or indirectly, as a consequence of adopting International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS), is being considered by U.S. policymakers.
Although our model applies to any industry, we discuss the implications of
our model for the oil industry because (1) almost all firms in the industry
use LIFO for their U.S. operations, and (2) demand for the oil industry's
products is inelastic. Our model implies that LIFO repeal would cause the
after-tax profits of firms in the oil industry to increase because (1) the
higher marginal cost would reduce production and raise prices, and (2)
inelastic demand implies that the higher output price would more than offset
the higher tax cost associated with the first-in-first-out (FIFO) inventory
method.1
For nearly 20 years, Kang's (1993) “real value”
model has influenced accounting research on the link between LIFO and firm
value. The real value model implies that the value of the firm in the
absence of inflation is the same as the value of the firm in the presence of
inflation if the firm uses LIFO. LIFO provides a nominal tax gain, but not a
real inflation-adjusted gain. This suggests that LIFO repeal would decrease
the value of a firm that used LIFO. A critical assumption underlying the
real value model is that neither inflation nor inventory method choice
affects firms' production decisions or output prices. In this study, we
relax that assumption, deriving equilibrium production decisions and prices
instead of specifying them exogenously. We find that, unlike the results
from the real value model, inflation and inventory choice can affect
production decisions and firm value.
Our approach applies insights from the industrial
organization literature regarding the effect of cost increases on production
decisions and profits under Cournot competition.2 In particular, an increase
in costs, such as income taxes, that affects all firms in an industry
induces all firms to reduce output, which, in turn, increases the
equilibrium output price. Depending on the slope of an industry's marginal
revenue curve, decreasing industry output quantity can either increase or
decrease the profits and, hence, the value of the firms in the industry. If
the industry marginal revenue curve is downward sloping, a cost increase
causes the value of firms to decrease, because the higher selling price is
not enough to offset the lost revenue from selling fewer units. In contrast,
if the industry marginal revenue curve is upward sloping, a decrease in
industry output results in an increase in industry total revenue, and this
increase more than offsets the higher cost. Therefore, a cost increase
causes the value of all firms in the industry to increase.
Nelson (1957) and Meyer (1967) identify situations
in which increases in costs can lead to increased industry profits. The idea
of increasing marginal revenue at the industry level may, at first, seem
unrealistic. However, as Formby et al. (1982, 303) point out, “the
conditions for a positively sloping marginal revenue curve are much less
stringent than is generally recognized. Simple transformations of any
well-behaved convex demand function can easily result in a demand for which
marginal revenue is positively sloping. For this reason, positively sloping
marginal revenue functions must be considered whenever convex demand
functions are analyzed.” In other words, the only restriction on increasing
marginal revenue is that the demand curve must be convex.
An excise tax on inputs, such as the tax on the
sale of domestically produced coal, is one example of a cost that affects
all firms in an industry. Katz and Rosen (1985) and Seade (1985) show
circumstances under which an increase in a tax can increase after-tax
industry profits. Our study extends this idea to the effects of a firm's
inventory method used for income tax purposes. When costs are increasing due
to inflation, the use of FIFO instead of LIFO by all firms in an industry is
economically equivalent to an excise tax on inputs imposed on all firms.
Therefore, if the industry marginal revenue curve is increasing, all firms
in an industry would have greater after-tax cash flows by using FIFO instead
of LIFO. However, unlike an excise tax, firms can choose an inventory cost
flow assumption (LIFO) that avoids the tax increase. Every firm would prefer
for other firms to use FIFO while it chooses LIFO, getting both the tax
benefits of LIFO for itself while also benefiting from the reduced
quantities and higher prices associated with every other firm choosing FIFO.
This can occur, for example, if a non-U.S. firm that is not permitted to use
LIFO under home country tax rules competes in the same market with a U.S.
firm that is permitted to use LIFO. Therefore, each firm has an incentive to
choose LIFO, even in a situation in which every firm would be better off if
every firm were to choose FIFO.
One way to have all firms use FIFO when doing so
would increase the value of every firm is to no longer allow the use of LIFO
for tax purposes in the U.S. This suggests that LIFO repeal would increase
firm value if the industry's marginal revenue curve is upward sloping and
all firms had adopted LIFO.
Continued in article
LIFO Sucks Teaching Case on LIFO Layers in Years of Rising Prices
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Review on December 3, 2010
TOPICS: Inventory Systems
SUMMARY: "The oil market has been waiting months for...a drop in supplies
along the nation's main refining corridor. Prices are poised to soar on any
indication that rising demand from the recovering economy is bringing a
two-year-old oil glut to an end." But drop in inventory among U.S. oil
companies merely follows a typical year end pattern. "To avoid a tax charge
tied to rising oil prices, refiners and other companies that store crude are
scrambling to make sure they end the year with the same inventories they had
at the start."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article brings to life the implications of
dipping into LIFO inventory layers.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What inventory method is used by most companies in the oil
industry?
2. (Advanced) What are the federal tax incentives to use LIFO inventory
method?
3. (Advanced) What Louisiana state tax requirements also influence oil
companies to choose LIFO inventory accounting?
4. (Introductory) Refer to the related article. What factors are leading to
a two-week high price for oil as of December 1, 2010?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
RELATED ARTICLES:
Oil Climbs to $86.75, a 2-Week High
by Jerry A. DiColo
Dec 01, 2010
Online Exclusive
An accounting practice is making the millions of
barrels of excess crude that have flooded the oil market disappear—for a few
weeks, anyway.
To avoid a tax charge tied to rising oil prices,
refiners and other companies that store crude are scrambling to make sure
they end the year with the same inventories that they had at the start.
Stockpiles on the Gulf Coast plunged nearly 7 million barrels in the week
ended Nov. 12, the region's biggest drop in over two years, according to the
Energy Information Administration. Another 25 million barrels need to go for
this December's inventories to match last year's. But if past years are any
indication, inventories are likely to rise just as quickly with the start of
the new year.
The oil market has been waiting months for just
such a drop in supplies along the nation's main refining corridor. Prices
are poised to soar on any indication that rising demand from the recovering
economy is bringing a two-year-old oil glut to an end.
But the recent draws aren't that sign, and it's
being reflected in the price of oil. Crude prices are off 7.2% since ending
at a two-year high on Nov. 11, trading late Friday at $81.51 a barrel.
Futures nearly fell below $80 a barrel for the first time in a month on
Wednesday—after the government inventory report—as U.S. demand looked weak.
"It's not any huge surge in demand that's causing
the drawdown," said a spokesman for a large refiner that is reducing
inventories for tax reasons.
Companies usually reduce stocks by importing less
oil, then drawing on inventories to refine into fuel. Last week, oil imports
hit an 11-month low, the EIA said.
The refiner, like much of the oil industry, uses a
form of accounting called "last in, first out," or LIFO, to value their
inventories. The practice allows a company to claim each barrel of oil they
sell was the most recent one purchased. That creates an incentive to lower
end-of-year inventories when prices climb because the more expensive oil is
the "first out," allowing the remaining oil to be taxed at a lower rate.
Oil inventories are typically valued each year
using prices at the start of the year, said Les Schneider, partner at the
Washington, D.C., law firm Ivins, Phillips & Barker and an expert on
inventory taxation. If a refiner builds up one million barrels of oil
inventories over the course of 2009, it could value that crude at the
January 2009 price of roughly $40 a barrel. But if the refiner ends 2010
with 1.5 million barrels in storage, the additional 500,000 barrels would be
valued at around $80 a barrel, the January 2010 price.
In addition, oil companies face taxes in Gulf Coast
states based on the level of inventory they have in storage, providing
another incentive to draw down year-end inventories.
Crude stockpiles fell sharply in November and
December in three of the past four years, only to quickly rebound.
Inventories are down nearly 3% nationwide in the past two weeks of
government data, though they remain well above the historical average.
"Year after year, we see crude inventories in the
Gulf Coast region decline in December…and it doesn't mean a darn thing in
terms of whether the global oil market is tight or not," said Tim Evans, an
oil analyst at Citi Futures Perspective.
The Obama administration has periodically tried to
end LIFO accounting, and earlier this month, the co-chairs of a presidential
commission charged with finding ways to reduce the deficit proposed doing
away with the practice.
Companies that use LIFO, however, have opposed its
repeal, saying it protects them against rising prices. The American
Petroleum Institute, the main oil-industry lobbying group, has argued that
repealing LIFO would result in a "significant upfront tax increase."
Jensen Comment
Moves are now underway to end LIFO for tax purposes and as an accounting
alternative. This would make U.S. GAAP much more like IFRS international rules
that never have allowed LIFO.
Buried on page 29 of Wednesday's report was a
proposal to eliminate last-in-first-out, or LIFO, accounting for
inventories. Under LIFO, companies assume that the goods they sell from
inventories are the last ones put in. When prices are rising, this means the
cost of goods sold is higher, reducing reported profits and, thereby, the
taxes paid on them. Therein lies the rationale for LIFO's potential
abolition.
The potential impact could be significant. Take
Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and ConocoPhillips, the top three U.S. majors. They
had an aggregate LIFO reserve of $28.3 billion at the end of 2009. In
theory, abolishing LIFO would result in a tax liability of about $10
billion.
Beyond the oil patch, a 2008 survey by the American
Institute of Certified Public Accountants found 36% of U.S. firms using LIFO
for at least some of their inventories.
Dr. Charles Mulford of Georgia Tech College of
Management says that while LIFO accounting is "often blamed as a tax
gimmick," it also offers a more accurate picture of profits by aligning
costs with revenues.
There is another potential wrinkle. LIFO accounting
is suited to periods of inflation. When prices are falling, companies using
LIFO actually pay more tax, as their cost of goods sold falls and reported
profit rises.
Say LIFO is abolished and, despite Washington's
best efforts, deflation takes hold. Under that scenario, the companies that
benefited from LIFO accounting during the boom years would actually enjoy a
tax shield on future profits from the new accounting method. In this era of
unintended consequences, such a policy outcome wouldn't be wholly
surprising.
A Very Practical Application of 'Dollar-Value Lifo "The IPIC Method Revisited: A Simplified Explanation and Illustration of
the Inventory Price Index Computation (IPIC) Method"
by CPA Valuation Specialist William Brighenti
[william_brighenti@yahoo.com]
http://www.cpa-connecticut.com/IPIC.html
The statement of cash flows is regarded by many
users of the financial statements in a number of industries as the most
important financial statement and is often the foundation by which users
evaluate a company’s performance. Accounting standards provide a
principles-based framework for presenting sources and uses of cash. We
support principles-based standards, although we recognize that their
application can be complex. This often leads to diversity in how cash
flows are reported and reduces the comparability of financial reporting.
Therefore, disclosure of cash flow information is important to enhance the
utility of the statement of cash flows.
A company’s statement
of cash flows offers an invaluable view into the sources and uses of
cash in the organization’s operations. At the same time, the cash
flow statement can provide important clues about the operation’s
financial stability and solvency (ability to meet obligations as
they are due or sufficient assets to meet ongoing liabilities). For
example, poor cash flow and the likelihood of insolvency can
represent a critical set of numerical red flags for uncovering the
motives for committing accounting or insurance fraud.
Moreover, investigative analysis of a company’s cash flow numbers
can uncover incentives to commit fraud in two key categories--motive
out of desperation (to stave off insolvency, for instance), and
motive out of intentional calculation.1
ESSENTIAL ACCOUNTING
RULES
Publication of the
statement of cash flows is required by Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles (GAAP) in the United States.2 Essentially,
the cash flow statement provides for the sources and uses of cash
within three categories of activities within each entity—operating,
investing and financing operations. The combined net cash provided
or used for each of the three groupings of activity equals the
company’s overall increase or decrease in the cash balance during
the year.
Example: The
operating activities for a cash flow statement using the indirect
method:
Cash Flow from Operating
Activities
Net
Income $500,000
Adjustments to
Reconcile Net Income
to Net Cash from
Operating Activities:
Depreciation (Non-Cash
Expense) $100,000
(Increase) / Decrease
Receivables ($400,000)
(Increase) / Decrease
in Inventories ($200,000)
Increase / (Decrease)
Payables ($200,000)
Increase / (Decrease) in
Taxes Payable ($200,000)
Net Cash Provided by
Operating Activities ($400,000)
As you can see, this
particular entity earned $500,000 in net profit for the year while
operations actually resulted in a $400,000 decline in cash due to
the ways in which cash was generated and used for operations. The
change in accounts receivable provides important insight into the
difficulty the entity has had in converting sales to cash.
Key: If the
accounts receivable balance increases during a year it means that
cash receipts were less than sales for the year. This is often
symptomatic of a strain on available cash for operating activities,
which in turn could be caused by other problems such as the
following:
• Financial
difficulties at one or more customers. In today’s economic times,
many companies are facing financial difficulty that often translates
into slower payment of suppliers and vendors. This could be a
widespread problem or one that is isolated to few customers.
Accounts receivable
aging reports will help to shed light on the specific accounts that
are slow in paying.
• Customer service
or billing difficulties. Another possible explanation for the
increase in the receivables balance is that the entity is not
providing quality customer service (including sub-par product
quality) and customers are refusing to pay the amount owed on
account or are demanding an allowance as compensation. These
problems may or may not be properly accounted for through the
establishment of a reserve for doubtful accounts. And, of course,
these types of problems may be indicative of a larger more systemic
customer service problem.
Helpful:
Speaking with selected customers about the reasons for delay in
payment is often very valuable in this regard. Confirmation of
receivable balances could also include an opportunity for the
customer to provide feedback on the customer service received.
• Artificial
overstatement of sales and accounts receivable. The cash strain
described above could also be the result of fictitious entries to
the ledger. This results in artificial overstatement of sales and
accounts receivable. This is a common form of financial statement
fraud designed to misrepresent the financial condition of the entity
for a fraudulent purpose. The result is to overstate assets –
primarily accounts receivable-- and sales, thus artificially
inflating profitability and equity balance of the operation.
Tracing these
transactions to the underlying sales invoices and other supporting
documentation as well as to specific confirmations of the receivable
balance with the customer is essential to this analysis.
Of course, there could
be other explanations for the increase in the receivables balance
that may suggest that it is a normal, temporary increase. To
determine if this is the case, analyze and understand the trends and
cycles of the receivables to discover whether the correlation of
sales to receivables balance is seriously eroding or simply
fluctuates over time.
For illustration, in
the example above, it is possible that the previous year experienced
a dramatic decrease in the receivable balance, which
translated to a dramatic increase in cash on hand.
Key: The timing
and history of transactions are important to the investigation and
understanding of the financial situation in the context of financial
motive to commit fraud.
Bottom line:
Getting to the true facts about this entity’s financial activities
requires an understanding of the “why” and not simply the
transactions and account balances.
As mentioned, an
important factor is the timing of changes and their correlation —or
lack thereof— to the approach to insolvency. The question that must
be asked in order to determine if there is a motive to commit fraud
is whether there is a trend towards insolvency. If there is,
the pressure on management to falsify its financial reports may be
great enough to push them to commit fraud. If, on the other hand,
you determine that legitimate forces are behind the entities cash
flow problems, you must assess the ability of the operation to
survive through alternative financing or investment with a plan to
turn it around. This is the nature of structured turnarounds;
rethinking the financial model and business concept with the goal of
returning the operation to solvency.
CASH FLOW FROM
FINANCING
Another section of the
Statement of Cash Flows that is of particular significance to
the analysis of financial motive for fraud is that relating to cash
flow from financing activities.
In this situation, the
motive investigation should always include an analysis of the
ability of the business entity to meet its debt obligations (and
preferred stock dividends if applicable) as they come due. And,
while there is important information provided in the cash flows
statement relevant to this issue, more investigation is required to
unravel the real story behind the numbers.
Cash Flow from Financing
Activities
Payments of Loan
Principal ($500,000)
Loan
Proceeds
200,000
Net Cash Provided by
Financing Activities ($300,000)
A quick glance of this
abbreviated section of the cash flow statement tells you that
payments toward the principal balance of the entity’s debt made
during the year totaled $500,000 and the loan proceeds from
new debt were $200,000. The result is a further $300,000 decline in
the cash balance. While this is valuable information, it does not
give us sufficient understanding of the cash flow and financing of
the operation.
For example, while
$500,000 in payments were made towards the principal on the entity’s
debt, the statement does not reveal the amount of debt principal
that was due and owing during the year. It could be that the
principal portion of loan payments scheduled for remittance totaled
more than $1 million, but the entity lacked sufficient cash or
additional financing to meet that obligation. As such, the entity
may have been forced to pursue restructuring of its debt -- by, for
example, having the principal amount due in the current year pushed
to the following. This would help to ease the entity’s current cash
flow problem, but it would increase the risk of being unable to
meet its obligations in the subsequent period.
The notes to the
financial statements often will provide some additional insight to
the loan balances, due dates, amounts due during the year,
refinances, liquidations and new loans. There may also be
information on the collateral or security pledged for the loans and
even compliance with loan covenants and other requirements. These
covenants and requirements are designed to assist the lending
institution in managing its financial interest in the underlying
security protecting its investment.
Where this information
is not disclosed on the financial statements or notes, the analyst
must seek the details in order to completely understand the nature
and complexity of the entity’s debt financing. This is critical to
understanding the financial implications to negative cash flow and
its relationship to the approach of insolvency.
And perhaps most
importantly, the ability of an entity to finance its operation is
critical in understanding the potential motive for fraud. In the
case of the desperate entity, for example, current debt payments due
may outweigh the entity’s ability to generate cash from other
sources. Thus, among the main ways for such an organization to
obtain the desperately needed cash are refinancing or borrowing
additional funds. An investigation of the cash flow from financing
activities provides insight into whether management has
misrepresented its financial records to facilitate such borrowing
potential.
GETTING THE NEEDED
INFORMATION
Often, the most
important source for this information is directly from the company’s
financial institution itself.
Important:
Whenever you request information about a specific entity from its
bank, be sure to ask for complete copies of loan files, loan
underwriting files, loan agreements including covenants, loan
payment history, as well as collateral and security interests,
procedures for loan approval and covenant violation as well as
financial information files, etc.
Our model, which is adapted from Feltham and Ohlson (Contemp
Account Res 11:689–731, 1995) and Ohlson (Contemp Account Res 11:661–687,
1995) and extends Dechow and Dichev (Account Rev 77:35–59, 2002),
characterizes the information about future cash flows reflected in accruals.
It reveals investors can extract from accruals information about next
period’s economic factor and the transitory part of one component of next
period’s cash flow. The extent to which each accrual provides this
information depends on whether the accrual aligns future or past cash flows
and current period economics and whether it relates to the current or prior
period. Thus each type of accrual has a different coefficient in valuation
and forecasting cash flows or earnings. Each coefficient combines an
information weight reflecting the information that accrual type provides and
a multiple reflecting how that information is used in valuation and cash
flow and earnings forecasting. The empirical evidence supports our main
insight, namely that partitioning accruals based on their role in cash-flow
alignment increases their ability to forecast future cash flows and earnings
and explain firm value.
The American Bar Association is urging
federal lawmakers to rethink a possible plan to require businesses to
use the accrual method instead of traditional cash accounting in the
discussion draft Tax Reform Act of 2013.
Accrual accounting would be more complex and
expensive, the ABA's president writes in letters to lawmakers, than the
system currently used by many law firms, which recognizes income and
expenses for tax purposes when money is actually received and paid out,
respectively. A number of others also have objected to forcing
businesses to adopt the accrual method, which could require companies
and law firms to pay tax on income they not only haven't received but
may never receive, according to the ABA and The Hill's
On the Money blog.
"Although we commend you for
your efforts to craft legislation aimed at simplifying the tax laws—an
objective that the ABA and its Section of Taxation have long
supported—we are concerned that Section 212 would have the opposite
effect and cause other negative unintended consequences," President
James R. Silkenat wrote in Jan. 13 letters to leaders of the
Senate Finance Committee (PDF) and the
House Ways and Means Committee (PDF).
"This far-reaching provision would
create unnecessary complexity in the tax law by disallowing the use of
the cash method; increase compliance costs and corresponding risk of
manipulation; and cause substantial hardship to many law firms and other
personal service businesses by requiring them to pay tax on income they
have not yet received and may never receive," Silkenat continues.
"Therefore, we urge you and your committee to remove this provision from
the overall draft legislation."
The potential law in its present form
would apply to businesses with annual gross receipts above $10 million.
Jensen Comment
The FASB requires cash flow statements as supplements to accrual accounting
financial statements. Accrual accounting for revenues (apart from mark-to-market
accounting for financial instruments) recognizes revenues when they become
legally earned irrespective of the the timing of payments. Cash flow accounting
without accrual accounting as well is frowned upon because management can
manipulate (manage) earnings by simply writing contracts that time collections
in advance of or after legally earning revenues.
There can also be misleading matchings expenses against cash flow revenues.
For example, in one year firms can take an "earnings bath" by timing cash
outflows for the purpose of next year showing an enormous jump in cash flow
earnings because so many expenses were deducted the year before the revenues
they helped generate are realized in cash.
Accrual accounting is generally required for firms that sell their stocks and
bonds to the public. It is also generally required for firms that borrow money
from financial institutions. Law firms are generally different in that partners
of a law firm can usually choose most any accounting method they want since
outsiders are less impacted by "misleading" financial statements.
Law firms have special problems with accounting. Most of the expenses are for
relatively high priced labor. Many of the cases have great uncertainties as to
when and if they will generate revenues. Whereas medical and accounting firms
are relatively assured of collecting fees for cases, it's sometimes very hard to
over many years to account for pending law firm cases that are still open on the
books. Capitalized (accumulated prepaid expenses) cases are soft assets that are
not as a rule traded among law firms like pending oil wells can be traded among
oil firms.
I suspect there's a history of student projects and
term papers focused on accounting for law firms. If not, now is a very good time
to consider such projects that demonstrate how memorized bookkeeping in
textbooks can become difficult to apply in the real world.
Want
to know how to avoid being fooled by the next
too-good-to-be-true stock-market darling? Just
remember these six tips from the cynics of Wall
Street, the short sellers.
If
only we could have spotted the rascals ahead of
time. That's the lament of anyone who bought Enron
stock a year ago, or who worked at a now-collapsed
company like Global Crossing or who trusted any
corporate forecast that proved way too upbeat. How
could we have let ourselves be fooled? And how do we
make sure that we don't get fooled again?
It's
time to visit with some serious cynics. Some of the
shrewdest advice comes from Wall Street's short
sellers, who make money by betting that certain
stocks will fall in price. They had a tough time in
the 1990s, when it paid to be optimistic. But it has
been their kind of year. Almost every day, new
accounting jitters rock the stock market. And if you
aren't asking about hidden partnerships and earnings
manipulation -- the sort of outrages that short
sellers love to expose -- you risk being blindsided
by yet another business wipeout.
Think of short sellers as being akin to veteran cops
who walk the streets year after year. They pick up
subtle warning signs that most of us miss. They see
through alibis. And they know how to quiz
accomplices and witnesses to put together the whole
story, detail by detail. It's nice to live in a
world where we can trust everything we're told
because everyone behaves perfectly. But if the
glitzy addresses of Wall Street have given way to
the tough sidewalks of Mean Street these days, we
might as well get smart about the neighborhood.
The
first rule of these streets, says David Rocker, a
top New York money manager who has been an active
short seller for more than two decades, is not to
get mesmerized by a charismatic chief executive.
"Most CEOs are ultimately salesmen," Rocker says.
"If they showed up on your doorstep and said, 'I've
got a great vacuum cleaner,' you wouldn't buy it
right away. You'd want to see if it works. It's the
same thing with a company."
A
legendary case in point involves John Sculley,
former CEO of Apple Computer. In 1993, he briefly
became chief executive of a little wireless data
company called Spectrum Information Technologies and
spoke glowingly of its prospects. Spectrum's stock
promptly tripled. But those who had looked closely
at Spectrum's technology weren't nearly as
impressed.
Just
four months later, Sculley quit, saying that
Spectrum's founders had misled him. The company
restated its earnings, backing away from some
aggressive treatment of licensing revenue that had
inflated profits. The stock crashed. The only ones
who came out looking smart were the short sellers
who disregarded the momentary excitement of having a
big-name CEO join the company. Instead, those short
sellers focused on the one question that mattered:
Are Spectrum's products any good?
So
in the wake of Enron, you want to know what to look
for in other companies. Or, more to the point, you
need to know what to look for in your own company,
so you're not stuck explaining what happened to your
missing 401(k) fund. Here are six basic pointers
from the short-selling community.
1. Watch cash flow, not reported net
income. During Enron's heyday from 1999
to 2000, the company reported very strong net
income -- aided, we now know, by dubious
accounting exercises. But the actual amount of
cash that Enron's businesses generated wasn't
nearly as impressive. That's no coincidence.
Companies can create all sorts of adjustments to
make net income look artificially strong --
witness what we've seen so far with Enron and
Global Crossing. But there's only one way to
show strong cash flow from operations: Run the
business well.
2. Take a wary look at acquisition
binges. Some of the most spectacular
financial meltdowns of recent years have
involved companies that bought too much, too
fast. Cendant, for example, grew fast in the
mid-1990s by snapping up the likes of Days Inn,
Century 21, and Avis but overreached when it
bought CUC International Inc., a
direct-marketing firm. Accounting irregularities
at CUC led to massive write-downs in 1997, which
sent the combined company's stock plummeting.
3. Be mindful of income-accelerating
tricks. Conservative accounting says
that long-term contracts should not be treated
as immediate windfalls that shower all of their
benefits on today's financial statements. Sell a
three-year magazine subscription, and you've got
predictable obligations until 2005. Those
expenses will slowly flow onto your financial
statements -- and it's prudent to book the
income gradually as well.
But
in some industries, aggressive practitioners like to
put jumbo profits on the books all at once. Left for
later are worries about how to deal with the
eventual costs of those long-term deals. In a recent
Barron's interview, longtime short seller Jim Chanos
identified such "gain on sale" accounting tricks as
a sure sign that the management is being too
aggressive for its own good.
Jensen Comment
Cash flow statements are useful, but they are no panacea
replacement of accrual accounting and earnings analysis.
One huge problem is that unscrupulous executives can
more easily manipulate/manage cash flows ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#CashVsAccrualAcctg
Question
What do the department store chains WT Grant and Target possibly have in common?
Answer
WT Grant had a huge chain of departments stores across the United States. It
declared bankruptcy in the sharp 1973 recession largely because of a build up of
accounts receivable losses. Now in 2008
Target Corporation is in a somewhat similar bind.
In 1980 Largay and Stickney (Financial Analysts Journal) published a
great comparison of WT Grant's cash flow statements versus income statements. I
used this study for years in some of my accounting courses. It's a classic for
giving students an appreciation of cash flow statements! The study is discussed
and cited (with exhibits) at
http://www.sap-hefte.de/download/dateien/1239/070_leseprobe.pdf
It also shows the limitations of the current ratio in financial analysis and the
problem of inventory buildup when analyzing the reported bottom line net income.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on March 14,
2008
TOPICS: Allowance
For Doubtful Accounts, Financial Accounting, Financial
Statement Analysis, Loan Loss Allowance
SUMMARY: "'Target
appears to have pursued very aggressive credit growth at the
wrong time," says William Ryan, consumer-credit analyst at
Portales Partners, a New York-based research firm. "Not so."
says Target's chief financial officer, Douglas Scovanner,
"The growth in the credit-card portfolio is absolutely not a
function of a loosening of credit standards or a lowering of
credit quality in our portfolio."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This article covers details of financial
statement ratios used to analyze Target Corp.'s credit card
business. It can be used in a financial statement analysis
course or while covering accounting for receivables in a
financial accounting course
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What types of credit cards has
Target Corp. issued? Why do companies such as Target issue
these cards?
2. (Introductory) In general, what concerns
analysts about Target Corp.'s portfolio of receivables on
credit cards?
3. (Introductory) How can a sufficient allowance
for uncollectible accounts alleviate concerns about
potential problems in a portfolio of loans or receivables?
What evidence is given in the article about the status of
Target's allowance for uncollectible accounts?
4. (Advanced) "...High growth may make it [hard] to
see credit deterioration that already is happening..." What
calculation by analyst William Ryan is described in the
article to better "see" this issue? From where does he
obtain the data used in the calculation? Be specific in your
answer.
5. (Advanced) Refer again to the calculation done
by the analyst Mr. Ryan. How does that calculation resemble
the analysis done for an aging of accounts receivable?
6. (Advanced) What other financial analysis ratio
is used to assess the status of a credit-card loan portfolio
such as Target Corp.'s?
7. (Advanced) If analysts prove correct in their
concern about Target Corp.'s credit-card receivable balance,
what does that say about the profitability reported in this
year? How will it impact next year's results?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
First
Quarter (2009) net cash flow hemorrhage of
General Motors
Per Day: $113.3 million
Per Hour: $4.72 million
Per Minute: $78,704
Per Second: $1,312 Jim Mahar, Finance Professor Blog, May 7, 2009
---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/
Jensen Comment
This is one of those classroom illustrations of where accrual accounting alone
paints a misleading picture unless accompanied by cash flow statements. Note
that net cash flow in this case includes all cash coming in, including
government loans
Ben Bernanke must love retailer Target Corp.,
because its credit-card business is one of the few operations in the country
that has strongly increased lending in the face of the credit crunch.
Now, though, some analysts are wondering whether
the torrid expansion of the card business in the current tough environment
could lead to higher-than-expected bad loans.
At the end of Target's fiscal fourth quarter, which
ended Feb. 2, the company had $8.62 billion of loans outstanding on its Visa
cards, which can be used at other retailers as well as Target, and its
private-label cards, which are for purchases at Target only.
That total was up 29% from the $6.71 billion a year
earlier -- and the growth rate was even greater than the 25% year-on-year
rise posted in the fiscal third quarter. The card business has been
responsible for a large part of the retailer's overall earnings growth.
Other credit-card lenders' loan books have either
shrunk or grown much more slowly. For instance, Discover Financial Services'
U.S. credit-card business reported a 5% annual increase in loans in its
fiscal fourth quarter, ended Nov. 30. Loans outstanding at Capital One
Financial Corp.'s U.S. card business declined 2.8% in its fourth quarter,
while Citigroup Inc.'s rose 3.6% and J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.'s was up 3%.
Some fear that Target has lent too much at a time
when a slowing economy makes it harder for borrowers to repay. And that it
may be attracting struggling borrowers who can't get as much credit as they
would like from other companies.
"Target appears to have pursued very aggressive
credit growth at the wrong time," says William Ryan, consumer-credit analyst
at Portales Partners, a New York-based research firm.
Not so, says Target's chief financial officer,
Douglas Scovanner. The growth in the credit-card portfolio "is absolutely
not a function of a loosening of credit standards or a lowering of credit
quality in our portfolio," he says.
For several years, critics have been predicting a
blowup in Target's credit business. It never happened. And Mr. Scovanner
notes that the company has yet to report credit losses that exceed company
forecasts. He expects that to remain the case this year and predicts the
company will report credit losses of about 7% of loans this year, up from
5.9% in the last fiscal year. Discover's credit losses were 3.82% of loans
in its latest fiscal year, while Capital One's were 2.88%.
Last year, Target made a choice to significantly
increase its credit-card loans because it identified more borrowers that it
felt comfortable lending to, Mr. Scovanner says. He adds that the loans
likely won't increase at high rates in the near future from their level at
the end of the latest fiscal year.
"Target has a proven track record of managing its
credit business," says Robert Botard, analyst for the AIM Diversified
Dividend Fund, which holds Target shares. "Because of that track record,
it's difficult to bet against them."
But bears think this could be the point at which
Target stumbles, because the high growth in its card portfolio has happened
just as the economy has slowed and lenders have become tight-fisted. And if
problems were to arise in the credit-card operations, they would happen at a
time when the weak economy is slamming retail operations as well.
Target's stock is up 2.5% this year, while the
Standard & Poor's 500 index has slumped 13%. At a price/earnings ratio of
14.4 times expected per-share earnings for 2008, Target shares also trade
above the market's multiple of 12.9 times. Yesterday, at 4 p.m. in New York
Stock Exchange composite trading, Target shares fell 77 cents, or 1.5%, to
$51.23.
Investors often buy retailers to bet on an economic
recovery, but Target may look less attractive to those sorts of buyers if it
is grappling with problems in its credit-card operations. Target's pretax
earnings rose by $128 million in the latest fiscal year. The lion's share of
the increase -- $103 million -- came from the credit-card business.
And Mr. Ryan at Portales expects Target's credit
losses to be considerably higher than the company predicts. Indeed, the high
growth may make it harder to see credit deterioration that already is
happening, he says.
Continued in article
A Bedtime Story: Teaching Case on Cash Flow and Cash Management
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on September 24,
2010
SUMMARY: "U.S. companies are grappling with what might seem like an
enviable problem: what to do with all their cash." Options for what to do
with available cash are listed in the article: invest in new activities
expected to grow and provide returns, pay off debt, or pay dividends. A
final option is one that many have taken: U.S. companies have authorized a
total of $257 billion of share repurchase programs so far in 2010.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful at any level from
introductory accounting and up when introducing topics related to cash and
balance sheet analysis.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) Why
should shareholders be concerned about companies having too much cash?
2. (Advanced) Consider the case of Bed Bath & Beyond; not only does
it hold a record amount of cash but "it's expected to generate an additional
$600 million to $650 million in free cash flow by the end of its fiscal year
next February...." What does this statement mean? Include in your answer a
definition of free cash flow.
3. (Introductory) What options are available to companies with high
cash balances?
4. (Introductory) What have many chosen to do with their available
cash? Comment on the meaning of the graphic shown in the online article.
5. (Advanced) Compare the impact on the balance sheet equation of
paying dividends to shareholders versus repurchasing one's own shares of
common stock. Why would a company choose one versus the other?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
U.S. companies are grappling with what might seem
like an enviable problem: what to do with all their cash.
Take retailer
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc., which releases fiscal
second-quarter earnings Wednesday. The company had $1.64 billion in cash and
short-term Treasurys as of May—a record high. And it's expected to generate
an additional $600 million to $650 million in free cash flow by the end of
its fiscal year next February, according to UBS Securities.
Yet investors aren't exactly jumping for joy. A key
issue Wednesday will not just be earnings and revenue growth but also
whether Bed Bath is putting its cash to good use.
It's a nationwide dilemma, particularly at tech
companies. U.S. non-financial businesses had about $1.85 trillion in liquid
assets as of June, according to the Federal Reserve, just shy of the first
quarter's record high.
With interest rates near zero, there is little use
in so much cash lying fallow on corporate balance sheets. Some companies,
like Darden Restaurants Inc., have used cash to pay off debt. Yet Bed Bath
is already debt-free. Others are ramping up spending, but expected returns
are low amid a sluggish outlook for revenue growth, notes Gluskin Sheff
Chief Economist David Rosenberg.
A third option is to use the cash for mergers and
acquisitions, as some of the cash-heavy tech companies have been doing in
recent months. Yet Bed Bath already owns several smaller chains, including
Christmas Tree Shops and buybuy BABY. And deals for deals' sake is never a
good idea.
While dividends would help satisfy investors'
thirst for income, such payouts are rarely used by retailers that want
investors to think they are still in growth mode. Hence the trend toward
buying back shares.
Companies have authorized $257 billion of such
buybacks so far this year, according to Birinyi Associates—more than double
all of last year. Bed Bath repurchased about $85 million of its shares
during its fiscal first quarter, ended May. Bed Bath is authorized for
roughly $700 million more. The danger always exists, though, that companies
will buy back at the wrong time.
None of the options is perfect. But companies like
Bed Bath need to give shareholders a clear cash strategy. They can't hunker
down forever.
SUMMARY: Diamond Foods, Inc., may have been attempting to reduce
its 2010 costs for nut purchases and shift them into 2011 in order to
maintain a sufficient stock price for use in purchasing the Pringles chips
product line from Procter & Gamble. The related article indicates that
Investigating the payments has led to a delay in filing the company's fiscal
quarterly financial statements with the SEC.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful in discussing cash
versus accrual based accounting and when cash payments subsequent to a
fiscal period may indicate that liabilities were in existence at a financial
statement date. The discussion also can be used to discuss the impact of
purchases of direct materials on the calculation of cost of goods sold.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is the discrepancy between Diamond Foods,
Inc.'s description of payments to walnut growers and what the farmers
themselves say the payments are for?
2. (Advanced) In this case, how does shifting the timing of cash
payments help to shift the period in which costs are expensed by Diamond
Foods, Inc.? In your answer, explain what item of cost is being paid for by
Diamond.
3. (Advanced) Does the time period for cash payouts always match
the period in which expenses for the item in question are recorded? Explain
your answer
4. (Advanced) How have questions about these payments impacted
Diamond Foods planned acquisition of Pringles snack chips from Procter and
Gamble? In your answer, address how reducing Diamond's 2010 costs would
impact the planned transaction given its structure as described in the WSJ
article.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Some walnut growers have challenged Diamond Foods
Inc.'s explanation of mysterious payments to them, further tangling an
accounting question that has delayed the snack maker's planned $2.35 billion
acquisition of Pringles from Procter & Gamble Co.
Diamond Foods has said a sizable payment to its
walnut growers in September was an advance on their 2011 crop.
But three growers said they told the company that
they didn't intend to deliver their 2011 crops to Diamond, yet were assured
by company representatives that they could cash the checks anyway. The three
said they were told the checks were to top up payments for their 2010 crops.
The company is the subject of shareholder suits
that claim Diamond may have used the payments to shift costs from the fiscal
year that ended July 31 into the current year, padding earnings for the
previous year.
The checks to the growers, what the company called
momentum payments, are the subject of an investigation by Diamond's board
and have become a sticking point in the company's deal to buy the Pringles
snack brand. Diamond plans to pay in part with its stock, which has dropped
56% since late September, shortly after the company reported fiscal-year
results.
Diamond said its agreements with growers are
confidential.
Many growers, who harvested their 2011 crops last
month, said they had never seen momentum payments before. Some growers also
had grumbled over what they said were insufficient payments from Diamond for
their 2010 crops.
Mark Royer, who has grown walnuts for Diamond for
the past 10 years, said he hadn't decide whether to deliver his 2011 crop to
the company when he received his momentum check in September. He said he
called his Diamond field representative to explain "what the mysterious
payment represented."
"I made the assumption it would have to be 2010
compensation, because the delivery-to-date pricing was almost 40% under
market," Mr. Royer said.
He said the representative told him Diamond
executives "were not committing" about which crop the payment was for. "He
simply said that he knew that certain growers were cashing their
momentum-payment check with the understanding that they didn't intend to
deliver in 2011."
Mr. Royer said he then decided it was safe to
deposit his check.
He said he won't deliver this year's crop to
Diamond. "I've kind of washed my hands of the matter," he says.
A grower from Sacramento, Calif., said he was
unsatisfied with his final official payment this summer for his 2010 crop.
"It was grossly under what other growers had received," he said.
He was pleased to get another check, for $90,000,
several days later, he said.
But he said he had been concerned that accepting
the payment would require him to deliver his fall harvest to Diamond. He
said field-service representative Eric Heidman, in Stockton, Calif., assured
him that the check was the last payment for the 2010 crop.
Mr. Heidman didn't return calls seeking comment.
Another grower in Northern California said his
field representative told him the momentum check was for 2010, and that he
had told Diamond he wouldn't deliver this year's crop to the company. He
said he had his lawyer send Diamond a letter, confirming that the grower
wouldn't deliver this year's crop and would cash the check.
Diamond began an investigation into its accounting
practices last month after the chairman of the board's audit committee,
Edward Blechschmidt, received complaints about the payments from someone
outside the company.
The investigation delayed Diamond's cash-and-stock
purchase of Pringles from P&G.
One of our loyal followers recently brought to our
attention a company that just might be our first candidate for this year’s
“poster child” of bad financial reporting: ZAGG. The Company indicates that
it is “Zealous About Great Gadgets,” and apparently the market likes this
zealot. ZAGG’s
stock price has soared about 40 percent in the last several months, driven
by both top and bottom line growth, and improving operating cash flows, all
of which have been blessed by the company’s new Big 4 auditing firm, KPMG.
So, what’s the problem? The numbers are giving off so much smoke that we
think management may have blinded both the auditors and investors.
Our review of the Company’s operating environment
and 2011 10-K leads us to conclude that at the very least, the Company’s
reported amounts are suspect. At worst, management may be “cooking the
books.”
A number of performance factors
exist that are creating huge pressures for managers to manipulate the
financial statements.
The Company relies significantly on stock
based compensation. In fact, stock compensation was so significant in
2011 that it consumed almost 11 percent of income before taxes
(excluding stock based compensation).
Additionally, ZAGG’s soaring stock price puts
pressure on management to report good financial metrics (10-K, page 21),
particularly given recent declines in operating performance. Despite
its growth, the Company’s gross margins continue to decline from a high
of 57.5 percent in 2009 to 45.7 percent in 2011. A DuPont Model
analysis further reveals a decline in ROE from 42.7 percent in 2010 to
26.95 percent in 2011 driven primarily by slumping profit margins (13.09
percent in 2010 to 10.19 percent in 2011) and slowing asset turns (1.99
in 2010 to 1.34 in 2011). ROE would have been even lower had it not
been for an increase in leverage (1.64 in 2010 to 1.92 in 2011).
ZAGG’s debt agreements contain a number of
financial and non-financial covenants which also create pressures for
management to meet certain financial statement targets (10-K, page 10).
Finally, in 2011, 41 percent of the Company’s
sales were made to Best Buy and Wal-Mart (10-K, page 13). Such a
concentration also puts pressure on management to report good financial
results to maintain key relationships.
A number of managerial and control issues also
suggest an environment ripe for material misstatements in the accounts.
Wow! We really hit a raw nerve in the ZAGG column this morning as we are
receiving a large amount of comments. Some are direct allegations and
some are accusations posed as questions, but they all come as visceral
reactions to a story they don’t like.
One writes, “I hope you too are shorting ZAGG so
that you two losers may personally be squeezed out at some point.” We have
no position in ZAGG, neither long nor short. We would report a position if
we had one.
A second writes, “Nice timing, so you waited till
Monday morning, before market opens, one day after a good earnings report by
the company which put shorts on defensive position to come out with your
article? Hope those hedge funds are paying you enough to justify what you
guys are doing.” Nobody paid us anything for this essay.
Another asks, “Is Pardini one of your former
students you felt compelled to support?” No, he isn’t, and neither of us
knows him.
And a fourth: “What level of trust can be placed in
the source and what is their relationship to ZAGG?” The blog follower who
suggested the story was not a source—he gave us no information about ZAGG;
he just said it was an interesting firm to look at. We looked at it and
provided our own observations. As to his holdings or those of his investment
firm, we have no idea. We didn’t ask and we don’t care what his holdings
are. His holdings didn’t affect our work. And neither of us knows the fellow
personally.
Sometimes blog followers point us in a particular
direction. We take our own peek and do our own research. Sometimes we drop
the idea; sometimes we decide to write it up. In all cases, we do our own
analysis. You might not like the analysis, and you may disagree with the
conclusions. That’s fine, but in this case we stand by our analysis: any
firm that hides the fact that operating cash flow and free cash flow are
negative by adding some receivables to cash is engaging in accounting
shenanigans.
Except for one observation that we mention later,
none of the dozens of comments by ZAGG investors, supporters, and management
staff changed our opinion expressed Monday, but they did cause us to
re-assess the study. We re-read the 10-K, re-ran several metrics, rethought
what they meant, and checked FASB documents.
Contrary to what we have been accused of, we desire
to conduct independent research and publish our findings, wherever they
might take us. And we make clarifications if necessary.
You will recall in Monday’s piece that we adjusted
cash from operations as part of our financial analyses, and said it was
negative. Several commentators claimed that we misinterpreted footnote 10 by
reading the fair value number as the value of cash and backed out the credit
card receivables. After yet another reading, we still find the footnote
ambiguous, and wish that the company had said it was the fair value of the
credit card receivables.
If these footnote 10 numbers are indeed credit card
receivables as some parties suggest, we shall adjust our computations of two
cash flow metrics. The result: operating cash flow adjustments are not as
large as reported in our previous analysis, and operating cash flows are no
longer negative.
It is very difficult to find academic research in accounting that benefits
practice professionals
Here's an exception from Professors Chuck Mulford and Gene Comiskey from Georgia
Tech
"Cash Flow: a Better Way to Know Your Bank? A study of commercial banks comes
up with ways accounting for operating cash flow could be improved," by Sarah
Johnson, CFO.com, July 9, 2009 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/13981499/c_2984368/?f=archives
If banks more consistently accounted for their
operating cash flow, companies could gain a better grasp of their commercial
banks' financial health, two professors suggest in a report to be released
later this week.
The results would be astoundingly different than
what financial institutions' statements of cash flows tell us today. In the
course of an attempt to make the firms' cash-flow reports more comparable -
which entailed several adjustments to how banks classified their
investments, accounted for non-cash transfers of their loans, and recorded
cash flow from acquisitions last year - the researchers saw huge swings,
both downward (Bank of America) and upward (KeyCorp).
As it stands now, banks can't be reliably compared
to each other by their recorded cash flow from operations, the researchers
contend. Their observations stem from their study of the cash-flow reports
of 15 of the largest independent and publicly traded U.S. commercial banks
in terms of total assets as of December 31, 2008. "Right now, operating cash
flow for a bank is basically meaningless," says Charles Mulford, director of
the Georgia Tech Financial Analysis Lab, who co-wrote the study with fellow
accounting professor Eugene Comiskey.
In BofA's case, the bank reported operating cash
flow for 2008 of $4 billion. But under the researchers' method, the firm
would have had an operating cash flow of negative $6.9 billion. Other
financial institutions that saw a decline under the researchers'
calculations: J.P. Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo.
Some firms went the other way. These included
Citigroup, Fifth Third Bancorp, PNC Financial, and SunTrust Banks. KeyCorp,
which had reported $220 million in negative operating cash flow last year,
could have had a positive $3 billion result if it hadn't moved some loans
out of the held-for-sale classification to the held-for-investment category.
To be sure, the banks that would have had better
results may have been more concerned with the end product of other financial
metrics and made changes to its investment portfolio for the benefit of its
earnings results, rather than worrying about its operating cash flow,
according to Mulford. After all, he noted, operating cash flow a figure
largely ignored by analysts when it comes to banks.
Moreover, the researchers aren't accusing the banks
of doing anything wrong, since current accounting rules allow them to freely
make non-cash transfers between investment classifications, a move which can
have varying effects on how loans and securities are accounted for in
cash-flow statements. Most likely, Mulford says, the firms that make these
reclassifications are doing so for the good of their overall investment
portfolio, which in turn could help their earnings in the near term.
Banks' cash-flow reports differ among each other in
other ways as well. They vary in how they designate their various cash flows
as being from operating, investing, or financing activities. Perhaps, the
researchers imply, those concerned with banks' financial stability should
demand that more attention is paid to the cash-flow statement to get the
banks to be more consistent - and to give their investors incentive to give
their cash reports as much credence as they would those of non-financial
firms.
"For companies in general, cash flow is their
lifeblood," Mulford says. "Are they creating cash or consuming it? If
they're consuming it, then they have to find it somewhere, and may have to
rely on the capital markets, which aren't at a very friendly time right
now."
However, with banks, the cash-flow metric is
overlooked, Mulford contends. The researchers don't offer a solution or take
a stance, but rather ask that their research be used by standard-setters and
analysts to push for change. "Obviously something is wrong with [the
structure of] cash-flow statements when nobody uses it for a particular
group," Mulford says, calling his report an "open invitation" to the
Financial Accounting Standards Board.
"We wrote the study in the interest of building
dialogue and possibly improving upon the usefulness of cash flow for
commercial banks," Mulford says.
The researchers question the usefulness of the
current characterization of increases and decreases in deposits as financing
cash flow. Instead, they believe customer-driven deposits should be
accounted for under operating cash flow since "the very health of a bank's
operations depend on its deposit base and its ability to attract a growing
stream of deposits." The researchers admit their report's final calculations
are not fully accurate, partly because they didn't have enough information
to distinguish between brokered and consumer-driven deposits.
Stressing that they're mainly trying to stir up
public discussion about the problems in the financial reporting of banks'
operating cash flow, the researchers acknowledge that reports' conclusions
are far from perfect. After all, the researchers' adjusted numbers give
troubled Citigroup a relatively rosy picture of $159.4 billion in adjusted
operating cash flow - compared, for example, to a negative $94.3 billion for
J.P. Morgan.
Question
For investors, how informative is accrual accounting vis-a-vis cash flow
reporting?
Hint: It all depends!
Here's another paper on "tradable" patterns in
stock returns. The CXO Advisory Group recently put up a summary of the study
titled "Repairing the Accruals Anomaly" by Hafzalla, Lunholm and Van Winkle.
The paper examines the pattern that stock market performance of firms with
low accruals (i.e. the difference between the firm's earnings and cash
flows) is significantly greater than the performance of their higher accrual
counterparts. It does a pretty good job of examining Sloan's "Accrual
Anomaly" with a few tweaks:
It corrects for the extent to which the firm is
financially healthy, using Piotrowski's "financial health" indicator. It
measures accruals in relation to earnings rather than to assets
Their findings are that the accrual anomaly does a
better job of sorting out investment performance for financially healthy
firms. Their results are pretty strong (note- the following is CXO's
summary):
A hedge strategy that is long (short) firms of high
(low) financial health (ignoring accruals) generates an average
size-adjusted annual return of 9.36% across the entire sample. After
excluding firms with the lowest financial health scores, a hedge strategy
that is long (short) the 10% of firms with the lowest (highest) traditional
accruals generates an average size-adjusted annual return of 13.64%, with
7.98% coming from the long side Using the total sample, a hedge strategy
that is long (short) low-accrual, high financial health (high-accrual, low
financial health) firms produces an average size-adjusted annual return of
22.93%, with a 14.92% from the long side.
"Repairing the Accruals Anomaly," by Russell J. Jundholm, Nader
Hafzalla, and Edmund Matthew Van Winkle,
Abstract:
We document how the effectiveness of an accruals-based trading strategy
changes systematically with the financial health of the sample firms or with
the benchmark used to identify an extreme accrual. Our refinements
significantly improve the strategy's annual hedge return, and do so mostly
because they improve the return earned on the long position in low accrual
stocks. These results are important because recent evidence has shown that,
absent these “repairs,” the accrual strategy does not yield a significantly
positive return in the long portion of the hedge portfolio. We also find
that our new measure of accruals is not dependent on the presence or absence
of special items and it identifies misvalued stocks just as well for loss
firms as for gain firms, in contrast to the traditional accruals measure.
Finally, we show that our repairs succeed where the traditional measure of
accruals fails because they more effectively select firms where the
difference between sophisticated and naïve forecasts are the most extreme.
As such, our results are consistent with Sloan's earnings fixation
hypothesis and are inconsistent with some alternative explanations for the
accrual anomaly.
It's elementary Watson! Of course the statement of cash flow matters.
"Why the Statement of Cash Flows Matters," by Scott Rothbortm, TheStreet,
September 21, 2007 ---
Click Here
Jensen Comment
This really is elementary, but it does have some rather nice current
examples.
Perhaps a better topic would be "why accrual accounting still matters."
Statements in the financial press and recent
research suggest that controversy exists as to which accounting measure is
more value-relevant: earnings or cash flows. This study examines the
relative value-relevance of earnings and cash flow measures in the context
of the firm life-cycle. Earnings are predicted to be more value-relevant in
mature stages. Cash flows are expected to be more value relevant in stages
characterized by growth and/or uncertainty. In general the hypotheses are
supported using Wald chi-square tests (Biddle, Seow, and Siegel 1995) of the
Edwards, Bell, Ohlson (1995) model. Evidence supports the hypothesis that
earnings are more value-relevant than operating, investing, or financing
cash flows in mature life-cycle stages. However, in the start-up stage
investing cash flows are more value relevant than earnings. In growth and
decline stages, operating cash flows are more value relevant than earnings.
Jensen Comment
The above paper by Professor Black is an illustration of a working paper that
for quite a long time was available free from BYU. Now that it's on SSRN it's no
longer free. SSRN did not necessarily contribute to the open sharing of research
papers.
By the way, even if cash flow statements were hypothetically more relevant in
all instances, accrual accounting statements would still be vital. My DAH reason
is that, if accountants only reported cash flows, it would be
quite simple for managers to distort period-to-period performance by simply
altering the contractual timings of cash in and cash out. This is much more
simple to do for cash payments than for accrual transactions. There would also
be the pesky problem of capital maintenance if depreciation and amortization
gets overlooked. In theory capital maintenance is not overlooked in fair value
accounting since values decline with asset deterioration. However, fair value
accounting is quite another matter entirely ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#FairValue
The Controversy Over Fair Value
(Mark-to-Market) Financial Reporting
Before I begin, I would like to mention an old theory case that
I taught years ago that for students concisely explains the difference between
financial statements prepared under historical costs, price-level adjustments,
replacement costs, and exit values ---
www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/temp/wtdcase2a.xls
This was almost always considered one of the best take aways from my theory
course even though students worked on it the first day of the course.
A very concise summary of the positions of various accounting theory
experts in history since 1909 and authoritative bodies over the years since
1936:
"Asset valuation: An historical perspective"
Authors: Racliffe, Thomas A. (Thomas Arthur) and Munter, Paul Accounting Historians Journal
1980
http://umiss.lib.olemiss.edu:82/record=b1000230
Jensen Comment: I really liked this summary of the valuation
literature prior to 1980.
For example, what was the main difference between exit
value advocates Chambers versus Sterling?
Usefulness of fair values for predicting banks’ future earnings: evidence
from other comprehensive income and its components
by Brian Bratten, Monika Causholli, and Urooj Khan Review of Accounting Studies
, Volume 21,
Issue 1, pp 280–315
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11142-015-9346-7
This paper examines whether fair value adjustments
included in other comprehensive income (OCI) predict future bank
performance. It also examines whether the reliability of these estimates
affects their predictive value. Using a sample of bank holding companies, we
find that fair value adjustments included in OCI can predict earnings both 1
and 2 years ahead. However, not all fair value-related unrealized gains and
losses included in OCI have similar implications. While net unrealized gains
and losses on available-for-sale securities are positively associated with
future earnings, net unrealized gains and losses on derivative contracts
classified as cash flow hedges are negatively associated with future
earnings. We also find that reliable measurement of fair values enhances
predictive value. Finally, we show that fair value adjustments recorded in
OCI during the 2007–2009 financial crisis predicted future profitability,
contradicting criticism that fair value accounting forced banks to record
excessive downward adjustments.
Color Book Accounting
It's sad that neither the FASB nor the IASB can conceptualize "true cost" and
"real value." But then most important things in life cannot be operationally
conceptualized. We saving those tasks for smart robots.
Short-term value changers can be very misleading about long-term value
We have a 6'7" grandson who was photographed and reported up in a local
(California) newspaper nearly every month for his outstanding performances in
both high school football and basketball. He was recruited by major universities
(e.g., Cal and Oregon) for both sports but had to drop out due to a heart valve
weakness. His younger brother was even taller in every grade. We all predicted
his "value" in athletics would exceed that of his brother. We all drooled over
the possible full-ride scholarships. Now he is a 6"8" freshman in high school.
He's into the academics and could care less about sports. So much for predicting
long-term "value" based upon short term value changers like growth spurts in
childhood. So much for using transitory short-term price fluctuations to predict
long-term value.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission
requires drillers to calculate the value of their oil reserves every year
using average prices from the first trading days in each of the previous 12
months. Because oil didn’t start its freefall to about $45 till after the
OPEC meeting in late November, companies in their latest regulatory filings
used $95 a barrel to figure out how much oil they could profitably produce
and what it’s worth. Of the 12 days that went into the fourth-quarter
average, crude was above $90 a barrel on 10 of them.
So Continental Resources Inc., led by billionaire
Harold Hamm, reported last month that the present value of its oil and gas
operations increased 13 percent last year to $22.8 billion. For Devon Energy
Corp., a pioneer of hydraulic fracturing, it jumped 31 percent to $27.9
billion.
This year tells a different story. The average
price on the first trading days of January, February and March was $51.28 a
barrel. That means a lot of pain -- and writedowns -- are in store when
drillers’ first-quarter numbers are announced in April and May.
“It has postponed the reckoning,” said Julie Hilt
Hannink, head of energy research at New York-based CFRA, an accounting
adviser.
Cash Flow
Companies use the first-trading-day-of-every-month
calculation to estimate future cash flow and to tally how much crude can be
profitably pumped out of the ground. The SEC introduced the formula in 2009
as part of wider changes in how the regulator required drillers to report
reserves. Prior to the shift, the value of the reserves was measured based
on the oil price on the last day of the year, which also caused distortions.
There are no current plans to revisit or modify SEC
reporting rules, Erin Stattel, an SEC spokeswoman, said in an e-mail. She
declined to comment further.
Most shale drillers are reporting increases in
what’s known as proved reserves. The SEC requires oil producers to submit an
annual tally, along with an estimate of the present value of the future cash
flow from those properties. The estimates are limited to what the firm is
reasonably certain it can extract from existing wells and prospects
scheduled to be drilled within five years. The reports are based on factors
such as geology, engineering, historical production -- and price. To count
as proved, the resources must be economic to develop given existing market
conditions.
“What the SEC requires isn’t thorough enough to get
to the numbers investors really want,” said Mike Kelly, an analyst with
Global Hunter Securities in Houston. “What is the true cost of producing a
barrel of oil? And what is the real value of the assets?”
A similar pricing formula helps determine whether
some companies need to write off their oil and gas properties.
Market Value
West Texas Intermediate for April delivery fell 31
cents to $50.21 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange at 12:30 p.m.
local time. Brent dropped 52 cents to $60.50.
Continental provides one example of how much the
price move matters. The company’s Feb. 3 press release announcing the $22.8
billion figure included a disclaimer saying the estimate didn’t represent
market value.
Three weeks later, Continental published more
detail in its annual financial report to the SEC. Using current prices
instead of the SEC-prescribed $95 a barrel would erase $13.8 billion, or 61
percent, from the value of Continental’s oil and natural gas properties. It
would also mean that 10 percent of the company’s reserves, the equivalent of
135 million barrels, would be too expensive to pump with prices where they
are, the company said in the filing.
SEC Rules
“Continental just follows the rules like everyone
else that are mandated by the SEC” and provided additional details to
investors in its filing, John Kilgallon, the company’s vice president of
investor relations, said in an interview.
Continental shares have risen almost 14 percent
this year. Devon’s stock is little changed. That compares with the Bloomberg
Intelligence North America Independent Exploration & Production Index, which
has risen more than 2 percent since the beginning of 2015.
The drillers in the index will lose an estimated 89
cents per share in the first quarter of 2015, according to data compiled by
Bloomberg Intelligence. The companies gained $1.13 in the first quarter of
2014 and 26 cents in the three months ended Dec. 31, the data show.
Devon follows SEC regulations and provides updates
“in the course of regular disclosures under SEC rules,” Tim Hartley, a
company spokesman, said in an e-mail.
The company’s Feb. 17 press release said that its
proved oil reserves rose “to the highest level in company history.” Three
days later, in its SEC filing, the Oklahoma City-based driller said it
expects to take writedowns “beginning with the first quarter of 2015.” The
company didn’t offer details except to say that it doesn’t expect the
amounts to have an impact on cash flow or liquidity. However, they will be
material to its net earnings.
Net earnings and EBITDA cannot
be defined since the FASB and IASB elected to give the balance sheet priority
over the income statement in financial reporting --- "The Asset-Liability Approach: Primacy does not mean Priority,"
by Robert Bloomfield, FASRI Financial Accounting Standards Research
Initiative, October 6, 2009 ---
http://www.fasri.net/index.php/2009/10/the-asset-liability-approach-primacy-does-not-mean-priority/
Abstract:
Since the 1970s, the decision-usefulness has taken center stage and our
attention has been concentrated on valuation of assets and liabilities
instead of income measurement. The concept of income, once considered the
gravitational center of accounting has lost its primacy and become a
byproduct of the balance sheet derived from the measurement of assets and
liabilities.
However, we have not been equipped with robust
conceptual foundation supporting theoretically reasoned accounting
measurement. It is not only theoretically but also practically important to
renew our seemingly waned interest in the concept of income because ongoing
reforms of accounting standards cannot be successfully implemented without a
sound understanding of the concept of income.
Jensen Comment
The accounting rule is controversial in that net earnings and portfolio values
are subject to short-term transitory variations in security prices that may have
little to do with long-term earnings and value. For example, Tesla share prices
are subject to huge day-by-day volatility caused news events that usually do not
reflect changes future cash flows of the company.
Reporting of a portfolio's value becomes highly dependent upon what day the
reporting takes place.
Also there's a difference in value based upon such factors as control. For
example, if Buffett's firm only owns a few shares of Company X the price of $100
per share means something different than if his firm owns 51% of the voting
shares. That $100 per share represents the liquidity value of one share of
stock. It does not reflect the possibly enormous value of having control of the
management of the company.
The
same rule could be a stock market and real estate disaster for any tax (think a
wealth or income tax) that forces investors to liquidate portfolios to pay
the tax. At the moment tax accounting rules do not generally require liquidation
for value appreciation alone.
It's a little like reporting the number of birds to be served for dinner while
they are still in the bush and can fly away before dinner time.
Jensen Comment
The three major problems with business valuation is that:
1. Respectable valuations are costly
(not usually cost effective on an annual basis)
2. Business valuations are highly subjective
(due largely varying assumptions) and differ between teams of valuators ---
which is the reason mergers and acquisitions often take place when "buyers"
are more optimistic than "sellers." Exhibit A is the widely varying
valuation between the Michael Jackson Estate between his family versus the
IRS. Exhibit B is the valuation of Tesla based on stock price fluctuations
where prices fluctuate greatly both due to news releases about Tesla and ups
and downs of the stock market apart from news about Tesla.
3. Business valuations are unstable and change with not only economic
conditions but with such things as scandals. Exhibit A is the expected
2019 crash in the value of the the Michael Jackson estate as media outlets
are now banning the playing of his music and videos following the current
release of the HBO documentary leaving the audiences more convinced that he
was a serial pedophile who bought off witnesses before court trials. Whether
or not he's guilty as implied is not so much an issue as the impact of media
outlets to new publicity that he's guilty.
Exhibit C is the real estate value in Queens between the Amazon announcement
of HQ 2 in Queens and the subsequent crash in valuations following the
Amazon announcement that it was reneging on Queens.
Value can be fickle indeed.
Exhibit D is the Non-GAAP Earnings Management at Kraft Heinz Co.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on March 6, 2019
The
problems Kraft Heinz Co. disclosed last month are shining a light on
a growing concern: the company’s tailored financial metrics that help make
its results look better.
You say
tomato, I say $6 billion.
Since the 2015 merger that created Kraft Heinz, the packaged-food company
has reported adjusted operating earnings totaling more than $24 billion. But
reported cash flow from operations
under standard accounting rules
for that same period was only about $6 billion.
Mind the
GAAP. The gap
in cash flow tallies underscores the need for investors to be cautious when
relying on nonstandard metrics, rather than those that governed by U.S.
Generally Accepted Accounting Principles. The relatively low operating cash
flow might have been a tipoff to investors that Kraft Heinz was faltering.
Last month it announced a big write-down and a decline in the value of
several key brands.
Caveat
emptor.
Companies are allowed to report tailored financial metrics, but they must
provide detailed disclosures and can’t feature them more prominently than
official measures. In recent years, the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission has criticized many companies over the way they feature adjusted
measures.
Jensen Comment
Problems of appraisal professionalism include the following:
Assets and liabilities are
so specialized in terms of valuation estimation. Appraisals of debentures is
quite unlike appraisals of commodities. Appraisals of options is quite
unlike appraisals of interest rate swaps. Appraisals of housing development
real estate is quite unlike appraisals cattle or even land having oil and
mineral reserves.
There is notorious
subjectivity in most appraisal tasks, especially subjectivity built upon
widely varying assumptions.
Assets and liabilities are
often very unique even within a given classification. For example, the
estimating value of development property ofExit 132 of an interstate highway
may be totally unlike estimating the value of development property off Exits
131 .133, and 167. Estimation of a McDonald's debenture may be quite unlike
estimating an Intel debenture.
The appraisal professions
vary widely as to fraud history and barriers to entry (e.g., certification
examinations), experience requirements, and notorious histories of fraud.
For example, most real estate bubbles and recoveries bring out the worst in
terms of real estate appraisals of loan values of homes and businesses. The
bottom line is that the appraisal professions are not as respected as the
professions of accounting, law, and medicine. Yeah even law!
The same appraisal firm
gave me widely varying estimates of my home based upon the purpose of the
appraisal. The appraisal when I wanted to take out a mortgage was much
higher than the subsequent appraisal when I wanted to lower my property
taxes. The appraisal firm aimed to please me. Go figure!
Standard setters
contend that fair value accounting yields the most relevant measurement for
financial instruments. We examine this claim by comparing the value relevance of
banks' financial statements under fair value accounting with that under current
GAAP, which is largely based on historical costs. We find that the combined
value relevance of book value of equity and income under fair value is less than
that under GAAP.
We also find that fair value income is less value-relevant than GAAP income
because of the inclusion of transitory unrealized gains and losses in fair value
income.
More surprisingly, we find that book value of equity under fair value is not
more value-relevant than under GAAP, due both to divergence between exit value
and value-in-use and to measurement error in fair value estimates. Overall, our
results suggest that financial statements under fair value accounting provide
less relevant information for bank valuation than financial statements under
current GAAP.
But Update 2016-01 could significantly affect — and distort — the way
companies like Alphabet, Intel, IBM and Salesforce.com, which make a lot of
small investments in other companies, report their earnings. It could also
curtail such investments from being made in the first place, because some
businesses say the costs of complying with the rule are too high.
Here’s how things would change with the new rule: Now, when a company buys a
stake of less than 20 percent in another company, it usually accounts for
the investment on its balance sheet at cost — the price it paid for it. Over
time, under the old rules, if the value of the investment goes down, the
rules required a corresponding write-down of the value, both through the
company’s income statement and on its balance sheet. But if the value
increases over time, the investment can still be kept at cost.
While investors were fully informed when an investment lost value, there was
less transparency for them when an investment increased in value. What
investors lost in transparency on the upside, it has been argued, was gained
in not requiring corporate executives to place a number on these often
difficult-to-value investments every quarter.
That’s what is going to change after Dec. 15. From then on, each minority
investment a public company makes will have to be valued quarterly, whether
that value has increased or decreased. That potential volatility will soon
be required to flow through a company’s income statement, with the
possibility of causing fluctuations to earnings per share from something
that is not even a core business.
Corporate executives will have two choices on how to go about valuing these
investments.
They can either spend the time valuing these investments themselves (or hire
an accounting firm or a valuation firm like Duff & Phelps), or they can
choose to wait until there is a market-driven valuation event and then mark
up the value of the investment accordingly. How a company chooses to value
these investments — whether every quarter or when there is a market event —
has to be selected soon, and then cannot be changed. This, too, has added to
the corporate executives’ concerns.
Take, for example, investments that have been made over the years in Uber,
which now has a valuation of around $70 billion. In 2013, Google Ventures,
now part of Alphabet Inc., Google’s parent company, invested $258 million in
Uber at a post-money valuation of $3.76 billion. Four years later, that
investment is now worth around $4.8 billion.
The amendments in this Update
make targeted improvements to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)
as follows:
1.
Require equity investments (except those accounted for under the equity
method of accounting or those that result in consolidation of the investee)
to be measured at fair value with changes in fair value recognized in net
income. However, an entity may choose to measure equity investments that do
not have readily determinable fair values at cost minus impairment, if any,
plus or minus changes resulting from observable price changes in orderly
transactions for the identical or a similar investment of the same issuer.
2.
Simplify the impairment assessment of equity investments without readily
determinable fair values by requiring a qualitative assessment to identify
impairment. When a qualitative assessment indicates that impairment exists,
an entity is required to measure the investment at fair value.
3.
Eliminate the requirement to disclose the fair value of financial
instruments measured at amortized cost for entities that are not public
business entities.
4.
Eliminate the requirement for public business entities to disclose the
method(s) and significant assumptions used to estimate the fair value that
is required to be disclosed for financial instruments measured at amortized
cost on the balance sheet.
5.
Require public business entities to use the exit price notion when measuring
the fair value of financial instruments for disclosure purposes.
6.
Require an entity to present separately in
other comprehensive income the portion of the total change in the fair value
of a liability resulting from a change in the instrument-specific credit
risk when the entity has elected to measure the liability at fair value in
accordance with the fair value option for financial instruments.
Banks that recognize financial liabilities at fair value currently
must record unrealized gains (losses) on these liabilities
attributable to increases (decreases) in the banks’ own credit risk,
referred to as the debt (or debit) valuation adjustment (DVA), in
earnings each period. For a sample of publicly traded European banks
during 2008-2013, we investigate the economic and discretionary
determinants of DVA. We find that DVA exhibits the expected
associations with economic factors, being positively associated with
the change in banks’ bond yield spread and negatively associated
with the changes in banks’ unsecured debt and average remaining bond
maturity. We also provide evidence that banks exercised discretion
over DVA to smooth earnings during the recent financial crisis and
its immediate aftermath. To remove non-discretionary smoothing of
earnings, we decompose DVA into nondiscretionary (normal) and
discretionary (abnormal) components and find that abnormal DVA is
negatively associated with pre-managed earnings, controlling for
banks’ abnormal loan loss provisions (LLP) and realized securities
gains and losses (RGL), consistent with banks exercising discretion
over DVA to smooth earnings. We further find that banks that record
larger LLP and that have histories of using LLP to smooth earnings
use DVA less to smooth earnings, consistent with LLP and DVA being
substitutable ways to smooth earnings. These findings have
implications for how bank regulators and investors should interpret
banks’ reported DVA. They may support
the FASB’s recent decision in ASU 2016-1 to require firms to record
DVA in other comprehensive income.
7.
Require separate presentation of financial assets and financial liabilities
by measurement category and form of financial asset (that is, securities or
loans and receivables) on the balance sheet or the accompanying notes to the
financial statements.
8.
Clarify that an entity should evaluate the need for a valuation allowance on
a deferred tax asset related to available-for-sale securities in combination
with the entity’s other deferred tax assets.
"The Effect of Fair Value versus Historical Cost Reporting Model on
Analyst Forecast Accuracy," by Lihong Liang and Edward J. Riedl,
The Accounting Review,: May 2014, Vol. 89, No. 3, pp. 1151-1177 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-50687 (Not Free)
ABSTRACT:
This paper examines how the reporting model for a
firm's operating assets affects analyst forecast accuracy. We contrast U.K.
and U.S. investment property firms having real estate as their primary
operating asset, exploiting that U.K. (U.S.) firms report these assets at
fair value (historical cost). We assess the accuracy of a
balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value, or NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (earnings per share, or EPS). We predict and
find higher NAV forecast accuracy for U.K. relative to U.S. firms,
consistent with the fair value reporting model revealing private information
that is incorporated into analysts' balance sheet forecasts. We find this
difference is attenuated when the fair value and historical cost models are
more likely to converge: during recessionary periods.
Finally, we predict and find lower EPS
forecast accuracy for U.K. firms when reporting under the full fair value
model of IFRS, in which unrealized fair value gains and losses are included
in net income.
This is consistent with
the full fair value model increasing the difficulty of forecasting net
income through the inclusion of non-serially correlated elements such as
these gains/losses. Information content analyses provide further support for
these inferences. Overall, the results indicate that the fair value
reporting model enhances analysts' ability to forecast the balance sheet,
but the full fair value model reduces their ability to forecast net income.
Keywords: fair value, historical cost, analyst
forecast accuracy, net asset value, real estate
Received: September 2011; Accepted: December 2013
;Published Online: December 2013
I. INTRODUCTION
This paper examines the effect of the reporting
model on the accuracy of analyst outputs. Specifically, we investigate
whether the model—fair value or historical cost—used to report firms'
primary operating assets of real estate differentially affects the accuracy
of two analyst forecasts: a balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value,
or “NAV”), and an income-statement-based forecast (earnings-per-share, or
“EPS”).1 Accordingly, this paper combines the literatures on fair value
reporting for nonfinancial assets (e.g., Easton, Eddey, and Harris 1993) and
analyst forecast accuracy (e.g., Lang and Lundholm 1996) to examine how the
reporting model affects the precision of different types of analyst outputs.
We choose as our setting publicly traded investment
property firms domiciled either in the U.K. or U.S. during the period
2002–2010. Investment property firms invest in real estate assets for rental
income and/or capital appreciation. The choice of this setting is
advantageous for several reasons. First, this industry is among the few in
which fair value reporting can be observed for the firm's primary operating
assets. Although other industries, such as banking and insurance, have
significant exposure to fair value reporting, these settings are more
complex as the within-firm accounting treatment across their operating
assets varies significantly, and they are subject to substantial
regulation.2 Second, our focus on the U.K. and U.S. exploits the primary
reporting difference for this industry across these two countries.
Specifically, U.K. investment property firms recognize property assets at
fair value on the balance sheet under both U.K. domestic accounting
standards as well as more recently adopted International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS). Unrealized fair value changes are reported in a
revaluation reserve under U.K. standards, but reported in net income under
IFRS. In contrast, U.S. investment property firms report property assets at
historical cost as mandated under U.S. standards; further, industry practice
is that these firms rarely voluntarily disclose property fair values. Third,
despite the latter reporting difference, the real estate industry in both
countries is highly developed, with both having a substantial number of
publicly traded real estate firms, relatively liquid property markets, and a
large number of analysts following these firms.
To assess analyst forecast accuracy, we choose two
forecast types, a balance-sheet-based forecast (NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (EPS). NAV forecasts are commonly applied in
the investment property industry, and are primary inputs into analyst's
target price estimates. They are calculated by taking the estimated fair
value of the firm's assets, which are primarily the real estate properties,
and subtracting the estimated fair value of the firm's liabilities,
primarily debt. As such, NAV provides an estimate of the value of the firm's
net assets in place. Second, we examine the accuracy of EPS forecasts, which
represent analysts' estimates of the firm's ability to generate income. We
note that this industry is among the few for which both balance sheet and
income statement forecasts are commonly observable.
We hypothesize three primary effects. First, we
predict higher accuracy of NAV forecasts for firms providing investment
property fair values. That is, we expect that the reporting of these fair
values, as done by U.K. firms, reveals private information regarding the
underlying asset values. Analysts incorporate this information into their
forecasts, leading to greater forecast accuracy. Second, we predict that
this relatively greater NAV accuracy for firms providing fair values will be
attenuated during circumstances in which the fair value and historical cost
reporting models are likely to converge. To proxy for such a setting, we use
the financial crisis, during which real estate assets in both the U.K. and
U.S. declined substantially. Third, we predict that full fair value
reporting required under IFRS will reduce the accuracy of analysts' EPS
forecasts, owing to increased difficulty of forecasting net income when it
includes non-serially correlated items such as unrealized fair value gains
and losses.
Empirical results confirm all three predictions. We
find that NAV forecasts for U.K. firms are more accurate relative to those
for U.S. firms. Further, we find that this greater accuracy is attenuated
during the financial crisis of 2007–2008, consistent with convergence of the
fair value and historical cost reporting models during this period. Finally,
we document greater EPS forecast accuracy for U.S. firms relative to U.K.
firms when the latter report under IFRS. To mitigate concerns that our
analyses may reflect differences across the U.K. and U.S. settings that are
unrelated to our predicted financial reporting effects, our primary analyses
use a difference-in-differences design. Our findings also are robust to
estimating a fully interacted model to control for different effects across
the U.K. and U.S. samples; using alternative measures of the dependent
variables to assess the use of market value to benchmark NAV forecast
accuracy due to the latter's lack of reported actual amounts; and conducting
subsample analysis. Finally, corroborating evidence reveals greater
information content for U.K. relative to U.S. NAV forecasts, with this
difference reduced during the financial crisis. Despite the higher EPS
forecast error, however, U.K. EPS forecasts have greater information content
under IFRS.
These findings make three contributions. First, we
link the fair value literature, which provides evidence of the decision
relevance of reported fair values (e.g., Barth 1994), to that on analyst
forecast accuracy (e.g., Clement 1999) by documenting that fair values of
key operating assets can enhance the accuracy of analysts'
balance-sheet-based forecasts. However, our evidence further suggests that
the benefits to fair value reporting may primarily occur during expansionary
economic periods, where the fair value and historical cost reporting models
are most likely to diverge. In addition, our evidence suggests that full
fair value reporting in which unrealized gains and losses are incorporated
into income can impede income statement forecast accuracy. Second, our
analyses of NAV forecasts are new because analysts' balance sheet
forecasting activities are rarely studied in the prior literature. Finally,
our evidence is likely of interest to U.S. and international
standard-setters in their ongoing deliberations regarding the extent in
which to incorporate fair value into reporting standards.
Section II provides the background, prior
literature, and hypothesis development. Section III presents the research
design. Section IV reviews the sample and primary empirical results. Section
V presents sensitivity analyses, and Section VI concludes.
II. BACKGROUND, PRIOR LITERATURE, AND HYPOTHESIS
DEVELOPMENT
Background \ This paper analyzes U.K. and U.S. publicly traded investment property
firms over 2002–2010, which have as their primary operating structure
tangible assets consisting of real estate investments. These firms invest in
real estate to obtain rental income and/or for capital appreciation. We
exploit a key difference across the two groups of firms: U.K. firms report
these real estate assets at fair value, while U.S. firms report them at
historical cost.
The reporting of investment properties for
U.K.-domiciled firms within our sample period falls under two regimes: U.K.
domestic standards from 2002–2004; and International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) from 2005–2010. Both require that U.K. firms report
investment properties on the balance sheet at fair value. The relevant U.K.
domestic standard, Accounting for Investment Properties, Statement of
Standard Accounting Practice No. 19 (SSAP 19; Accounting Standards Committee
[ASC] 1994), requires investment property to be reported on the balance
sheet at “open market value” at fiscal year-end. This is very similar to
“fair value” as defined by the International Accounting Standards Board
(IASB) and Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB).3 Unrealized fair
value gains/losses are reported in a revaluation reserve, and thus do not
pass through net income.
Abstract:
Auditors frequently rely on valuation specialists in audits of fair values
to help them improve audit quality in this challenging area. However,
auditing standards provide inadequate guidance in this setting, and problems
related to specialists’ involvement suggest specialists do not always
improve audit quality. This study examines how auditors use valuation
specialists in auditing fair values and how specialists’ involvement affects
audit quality. I interviewed 28 audit partners and managers with extensive
experience using valuation specialists and analyzed the interviews from the
perspective of Giddens’ (1990, 1991) theory of trust in expert systems. I
find that while valuation specialists perform many of the most difficult and
important elements of auditing fair values, auditors retain the final
responsibility for making overall conclusions about fair values. This
situation causes tension for auditors who bear responsibility for the final
conclusions about fair values, yet who must rely on the expertise of
valuation specialists to make their final judgments. Consistent with this
tension, auditors tend to make specialists’ work conform to the audit team’s
prevailing view. This puts audit quality at risk. Additional threats to
audit quality arise from the division of labor between auditors and
valuation specialists because auditors, though ultimately responsible for
audit judgments, must rely on work done by valuation specialists that they
cannot understand or review in the depth that they review other audit work
papers. This study informs future research addressing problems related to
auditors’ use of valuation specialists, an area in which problems have
already been identified by the PCAOB and prior research.
Jensen Comment 1
One of the problems is that some types of valuation may rely upon the same
defective databases no matter whether they are used by employees of audit firms
or outsourced valuation specialists hired by audit firms.Exhibit A is that
virtually all valuation experts of interest rate swaps and forward contracts
using the LIBOR underlying were relying upon LIBOR yeild curves in the Bloomberg
or Reuters database terminals that were using LIBOR rates manipulated
fraudulently by the large banks like Barclays ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Libor
On 28 February 2012, it was revealed that the U.S.
Department of Justice was conducting a criminal investigation into Libor
abuse.[49] Among the abuses being investigated were the possibility that
traders were in direct communication with bankers before the rates were set,
thus allowing them an advantage in predicting that day's fixing. Libor
underpins approximately $350 trillion in derivatives. One trader's messages
indicated that for each basis point (0.01%) that Libor was moved, those
involved could net "about a couple of million dollars".[50]
On 27 June 2012, Barclays Bank was fined $200m by
the Commodity Futures Trading Commission,[7] $160m by the United States
Department of Justice[8] and £59.5m by the Financial Services Authority[9]
for attempted manipulation of the Libor and Euribor rates.[51] The United
States Department of Justice and Barclays officially agreed that "the
manipulation of the submissions affected the fixed rates on some
occasions".[52][53] On 2 July 2012, Marcus Agius, chairman of Barclays,
resigned from the position following the interest rate rigging scandal.[54]
Bob Diamond, the chief executive officer of Barclays, resigned on 3 July
2012. Marcus Agius will fill his post until a replacement is found.[55][56]
Jerry del Missier, Chief Operating Officer of Barclays, also resigned, as a
casualty of the scandal. Del Missier subsequently admitted that he had
instructed his subordinates to submit falsified LIBORs to the British
Bankers Association.[57]
By 4 July 2012 the breadth of the scandal was
evident and became the topic of analysis on news and financial programs that
attempted to explain the importance of the scandal.[58] On 6 July, it was
announced that the U.K. Serious Fraud Office had also opened a criminal
investigation into the attempted manipulation of interest rates.[59]
On 4 October 2012, Republican U.S. Senators Chuck
Grassley and Mark Kirk announced that they were investigating Treasury
Secretary Tim Geithner for complicity with the rate manipulation scandal.
They accused Geithner of knowledge of the rate-fixing, and inaction which
contributed to litigation that "threatens to clog our courts with
multi-billion dollar class action lawsuits" alleging that the manipulated
rates harmed state, municipal and local governments. The senators said that
an American-based interest rate index is a better alternative which they
would take steps towards creating.[60] Aftermath
Early estimates are that the rate manipulation
scandal cost U.S. states, counties, and local governments at least $6
billion in fraudulent interest payments, above $4 billion that state and
local governments have already had to spend to unwind their positions
exposed to rate manipulation.[61] An increasingly smaller set of banks are
participating in setting the LIBOR, calling into question its future as a
benchmark standard, but without any viable alternative to replace
Jensen Comment 2
FAS 133 and IAS 39 ushered in national and international requirements to book
derivative contracts at fair values and adjust those values to "market" at least
every 90 days. However, those "markets" are replete with market manipulation
scandals that corrupt the databases used by valuation experts---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#DerivativesFrauds
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on January 9, 2013
Companies switching to “mark-to-market” pension accounting could reap
benefits this earnings season
AT&T, Verizon
Communications and about 30 other companies have migrated to
mark-to-market,
the WSJ’s Michael Rapoport notes.
In 2011 and 2012, that change weighed on earnings,
largely because interest rates were falling. But 2013 is different, thanks
to surging interest rates and strong stock-market performance. “It’s going
to account for a huge rise in operating earnings” at the affected companies,
said Dan Mahoney, director of research at accounting-research firm CFRA.
Some
mark-to-market companies with fiscal years ended in September have already
reported pension gains. Chemical maker Ashland had a $498 million pretax
mark-to-market pension gain in its Q4, versus a $493 million pension loss in
its fiscal 2012 fourth quarter. That made up about 40% of the company’s
$1.24 billion in operating income for fiscal 2013.
Most
companies don’t use mark-to-market pension accounting. Instead, they filter
pension gains and losses into earnings gradually, and compute pension
performance using an estimated rate of return, not the actual return,
Rapoport says. That system is still acceptable under GAAP, but it has been
widely criticized as confusing, and accounting rule-makers recently
indicated they may consider revisions.
Jensen Comment
What I don't like about mark-to-market valuation of pensions is that the
deals new retirees negotiate might vary significantly (certainly not always)
whether they retire in May versus June. For example, a professor might have a
lower CREF savings balance in June relative to May if something very good or
very bad happens in the stock market between May and June.
I have mixed feelings about mark-to-market of unrealized value changes in
market\ values subject to frequent short-term transitory impacts that are often
washed out over longer periods such that the ups and downs of short term values
are more fiction than fact. For example, computer generated bid and ask
trading tends to over-react to media jolts like when the President proposes
legislation that has not even begun to to run the gauntlet through both
legislative branches where legislation proposals can and usually do become
greatly modified if the President's proposals even pass at all.
For example the Dow went down purportedly when President Obama proposed
legislation in 2014 for restoring long-term unemployment benefits. The ultimate
impact of such legislation on stock prices depends upon whether this proposal
ultimately passes both the House and Senate and how the spending is financed. If
the Democrats agree to budget cuts in other areas, the impact on stock prices
will be greatly affected by what cuts are used to fund the added
unemployment compensation.
While the President's proposal is tied up in the legislative process the
short-term pension fund mark-to-market values will move up and down in values
changes that are never realized until the proposed legislation either passes or
is rejected.
What is more worrisome are those events that really spike stock prices
temporarily such as reports of severe droughts or floods that greatly impact
crop production in one summer but have very little impact on over multiple
years.
I also hate the way unrealized value changes are mixed with recognized earned
revenue in the calculation of business net earnings. Some of the changes in
earnings thereby are fictional.
PwC's Appeal to Upgrade the Shameful Valuation Profession Smitten With
Non-independence and Unreliability
Jensen Comment
Tom Selling repeatedly assumes there is a valuation profession of men and women
in white robes and gold halos who can be called upon to reliably and
independently valuate such things as troubled loan investments having no deep
markets. Bob Jensen argues that the valuation profession is one of the
least-independent and least-reliable professions in the world, especially in the
USA as evidenced in part by the shameful valuations of mortgage collateral on
tens of millions of properties, thereby enabling subprime mortgages that never
should have been granted in the first place. Furthermore credit rating agencies
that value securities participated wildly in overvaluing poisoned CDO bonds that
brought down some of the big investment banks of Wall Street like Bear Sterns,
Merrill Lynch, and Lehman Bros.
In the article below, PwC calls the valuation profession shameful and calls
for major upgrades that, while falling short of issuing white robes with gold
halos, would go a long way toward improving a rotten profession.
The largely unregulated valuation profession could
use a shake-up, in the view of some who rely on valuations to achieve
regulatory compliance.
PwC recently published two white papers calling on
the valuation profession to up their game in terms of unifying themselves
under a single professional framework and improving their standards. The
financial reporting world needs greater quality and consistency, the Big 4
firms says, as financial reporting grows increasingly reliant on valuations
to help prepare and audit financial statements steeped in fair value
measurements. One paper focuses on the need for the valuation profession to
unify itself under a single professional infrastructure, while the other
addresses the need for better valuation standards.
The message is consistent with one delivered
earlier by Paul Beswick, now chief accountant at the Securities and Exchange
Commission. “The fragmented nature of the profession creates an environment
where expectation gaps can exist between valuators, management, and
auditors, as well as standard setters and regulators,” he said at a 2011
accounting conference. The SEC and the Public Company Accounting Oversight
Board both have called on preparers and auditors to pay closer attention to
the valuations they are relying on and not simply accept them at face value.
“Historically, the valuation profession hasn't been
front and center in capital markets,” says John Glynn, U.S. valuation
services leader for PwC. “The accounting model didn't have as many pieces
measured at fair value as we have today. Some of the questions about the
professional infrastructure that didn't matter previously have become more
apparent.”
The valuation profession is governed by a number of
different professional organizations, PwC says, each with different
credentialing and membership requirements and none of them specific to the
needs of capital markets. “To maintain its professional standing in an
increasingly rigorous environment and promote greater confidence in its
work, the valuation profession needs to address questions about the quality,
consistency, and reliability of its valuations, particularly those performed
for financial reporting purposes,” PwC writes. “A key element to
successfully addressing such questions is having a leading global standard
setter that issues technical valuation standards governing the performance
of valuations for financial reporting purposes.”
The answer is not necessarily a new regulatory
channel, says Glynn. “We need to give the valuation profession a way to
build a self-regulatory mechanism,” he says. “One or or more of the
professional organizations need to agree to build something that is focused
on building a high-quality infrastructure to support the valuation
professionals that are working in public capital markets, particularly
around financial reporting.” That should include education requirements,
accreditations, certifications, as well as professional standards and
performance standards developed under a robust system of due process, he
says. The International Valuations Standards Council is showing potential to
become a leader in driving the profession to a unified, global valuation
approach, Glynn says.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on April 11, 2014
Mark-to-market (fair value) accounting and testing of corporate internal
controls challenge auditors A review of audit inspections by 30 regulators around the world
found key trouble spots for auditors,
CFOJ’s
Emily Chasan reports. Auditors of
public firms were most likely to be cited for improperly auditing fair-value
measurement, troubles in testing internal controls and evaluating the
adequacy of financial statements and disclosures, according to the
International Forum of Independent Audit Regulators. Audit deficiencies also
rose last year to 1,260, an 18% increase from 2012.
"The Effect of Fair Value versus Historical Cost Reporting Model on
Analyst Forecast Accuracy," by Lihong Liang and Edward J. Riedl,
The Accounting Review,: May 2014, Vol. 89, No. 3, pp. 1151-1177 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-50687 (Not Free)
ABSTRACT:
This paper examines how the reporting model for a
firm's operating assets affects analyst forecast accuracy. We contrast U.K.
and U.S. investment property firms having real estate as their primary
operating asset, exploiting that U.K. (U.S.) firms report these assets at
fair value (historical cost). We assess the accuracy of a
balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value, or NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (earnings per share, or EPS). We predict and
find higher NAV forecast accuracy for U.K. relative to U.S. firms,
consistent with the fair value reporting model revealing private information
that is incorporated into analysts' balance sheet forecasts. We find this
difference is attenuated when the fair value and historical cost models are
more likely to converge: during recessionary periods.
Finally, we predict and find lower EPS
forecast accuracy for U.K. firms when reporting under the full fair value
model of IFRS, in which unrealized fair value gains and losses are included
in net income. This is consistent with
the full fair value model increasing the difficulty of forecasting net
income through the inclusion of non-serially correlated elements such as
these gains/losses. Information content analyses provide further support for
these inferences. Overall, the results indicate that the fair value
reporting model enhances analysts' ability to forecast the balance sheet,
but the full fair value model reduces their ability to forecast net income.
Keywords: fair value, historical cost, analyst
forecast accuracy, net asset value, real estate
Received: September 2011; Accepted: December 2013
;Published Online: December 2013
I. INTRODUCTION
This paper examines the effect of the reporting
model on the accuracy of analyst outputs. Specifically, we investigate
whether the model—fair value or historical cost—used to report firms'
primary operating assets of real estate differentially affects the accuracy
of two analyst forecasts: a balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value,
or “NAV”), and an income-statement-based forecast (earnings-per-share, or
“EPS”).1 Accordingly, this paper combines the literatures on fair value
reporting for nonfinancial assets (e.g., Easton, Eddey, and Harris 1993) and
analyst forecast accuracy (e.g., Lang and Lundholm 1996) to examine how the
reporting model affects the precision of different types of analyst outputs.
We choose as our setting publicly traded investment
property firms domiciled either in the U.K. or U.S. during the period
2002–2010. Investment property firms invest in real estate assets for rental
income and/or capital appreciation. The choice of this setting is
advantageous for several reasons. First, this industry is among the few in
which fair value reporting can be observed for the firm's primary operating
assets. Although other industries, such as banking and insurance, have
significant exposure to fair value reporting, these settings are more
complex as the within-firm accounting treatment across their operating
assets varies significantly, and they are subject to substantial
regulation.2 Second, our focus on the U.K. and U.S. exploits the primary
reporting difference for this industry across these two countries.
Specifically, U.K. investment property firms recognize property assets at
fair value on the balance sheet under both U.K. domestic accounting
standards as well as more recently adopted International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS). Unrealized fair value changes are reported in a
revaluation reserve under U.K. standards, but reported in net income under
IFRS. In contrast, U.S. investment property firms report property assets at
historical cost as mandated under U.S. standards; further, industry practice
is that these firms rarely voluntarily disclose property fair values. Third,
despite the latter reporting difference, the real estate industry in both
countries is highly developed, with both having a substantial number of
publicly traded real estate firms, relatively liquid property markets, and a
large number of analysts following these firms.
To assess analyst forecast accuracy, we choose two
forecast types, a balance-sheet-based forecast (NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (EPS). NAV forecasts are commonly applied in
the investment property industry, and are primary inputs into analyst's
target price estimates. They are calculated by taking the estimated fair
value of the firm's assets, which are primarily the real estate properties,
and subtracting the estimated fair value of the firm's liabilities,
primarily debt. As such, NAV provides an estimate of the value of the firm's
net assets in place. Second, we examine the accuracy of EPS forecasts, which
represent analysts' estimates of the firm's ability to generate income. We
note that this industry is among the few for which both balance sheet and
income statement forecasts are commonly observable.
We hypothesize three primary effects. First, we
predict higher accuracy of NAV forecasts for firms providing investment
property fair values. That is, we expect that the reporting of these fair
values, as done by U.K. firms, reveals private information regarding the
underlying asset values. Analysts incorporate this information into their
forecasts, leading to greater forecast accuracy. Second, we predict that
this relatively greater NAV accuracy for firms providing fair values will be
attenuated during circumstances in which the fair value and historical cost
reporting models are likely to converge. To proxy for such a setting, we use
the financial crisis, during which real estate assets in both the U.K. and
U.S. declined substantially. Third, we predict that full fair value
reporting required under IFRS will reduce the accuracy of analysts' EPS
forecasts, owing to increased difficulty of forecasting net income when it
includes non-serially correlated items such as unrealized fair value gains
and losses.
Empirical results confirm all three predictions. We
find that NAV forecasts for U.K. firms are more accurate relative to those
for U.S. firms. Further, we find that this greater accuracy is attenuated
during the financial crisis of 2007–2008, consistent with convergence of the
fair value and historical cost reporting models during this period. Finally,
we document greater EPS forecast accuracy for U.S. firms relative to U.K.
firms when the latter report under IFRS. To mitigate concerns that our
analyses may reflect differences across the U.K. and U.S. settings that are
unrelated to our predicted financial reporting effects, our primary analyses
use a difference-in-differences design. Our findings also are robust to
estimating a fully interacted model to control for different effects across
the U.K. and U.S. samples; using alternative measures of the dependent
variables to assess the use of market value to benchmark NAV forecast
accuracy due to the latter's lack of reported actual amounts; and conducting
subsample analysis. Finally, corroborating evidence reveals greater
information content for U.K. relative to U.S. NAV forecasts, with this
difference reduced during the financial crisis. Despite the higher EPS
forecast error, however, U.K. EPS forecasts have greater information content
under IFRS.
These findings make three contributions. First, we
link the fair value literature, which provides evidence of the decision
relevance of reported fair values (e.g., Barth 1994), to that on analyst
forecast accuracy (e.g., Clement 1999) by documenting that fair values of
key operating assets can enhance the accuracy of analysts'
balance-sheet-based forecasts. However, our evidence further suggests that
the benefits to fair value reporting may primarily occur during expansionary
economic periods, where the fair value and historical cost reporting models
are most likely to diverge. In addition, our evidence suggests that full
fair value reporting in which unrealized gains and losses are incorporated
into income can impede income statement forecast accuracy. Second, our
analyses of NAV forecasts are new because analysts' balance sheet
forecasting activities are rarely studied in the prior literature. Finally,
our evidence is likely of interest to U.S. and international
standard-setters in their ongoing deliberations regarding the extent in
which to incorporate fair value into reporting standards.
Section II provides the background, prior
literature, and hypothesis development. Section III presents the research
design. Section IV reviews the sample and primary empirical results. Section
V presents sensitivity analyses, and Section VI concludes.
II. BACKGROUND, PRIOR LITERATURE, AND HYPOTHESIS
DEVELOPMENT
Background \ This paper analyzes U.K. and U.S. publicly traded investment property
firms over 2002–2010, which have as their primary operating structure
tangible assets consisting of real estate investments. These firms invest in
real estate to obtain rental income and/or for capital appreciation. We
exploit a key difference across the two groups of firms: U.K. firms report
these real estate assets at fair value, while U.S. firms report them at
historical cost.
The reporting of investment properties for
U.K.-domiciled firms within our sample period falls under two regimes: U.K.
domestic standards from 2002–2004; and International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) from 2005–2010. Both require that U.K. firms report
investment properties on the balance sheet at fair value. The relevant U.K.
domestic standard, Accounting for Investment Properties, Statement of
Standard Accounting Practice No. 19 (SSAP 19; Accounting Standards Committee
[ASC] 1994), requires investment property to be reported on the balance
sheet at “open market value” at fiscal year-end. This is very similar to
“fair value” as defined by the International Accounting Standards Board
(IASB) and Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB).3 Unrealized fair
value gains/losses are reported in a revaluation reserve, and thus do not
pass through net income.
Continued in article
Hi Pat,
Tom Selling writes that:
It has been my position
throughout
that the FASB has come to realize that their own
individual interests, as opposed to the public interest, requires that any
changes they make to GAAP must be acceptable to Wall Street and the
bankers.
. . .
At this point, the object of the exercise should be
painfully obvious. Compared to current values, even the best possible
version of amortized cost accounting that bankers could use to save their
hides (a la Mr. Shabudin), or feather their nests (a la
the bankers who remain at large) is nothing more than a straw man.
What Tom does not point out the inconsistency of the above argument in light
of the fact that the bankers are lobbying against the amortized cost accounting
change in the three-bucket fair value standard for loan losses, the fair value
standard that's served them so well in managing their earnings since fair value
of unique troubled loans often have no value in the market or a fire-sale value
that's inappropriate.
I would contend that he should be taking on the IASB more than the FASB. The
IASB has proven that when it comes to recognizing losses on debt like Greek
Bonds, the IASB is allowing European bankers and EU lawmakers to dictate
accounting standards for loan impairments.
But Update 2016-01 could significantly affect — and distort — the way
companies like Alphabet, Intel, IBM and Salesforce.com, which make a lot of
small investments in other companies, report their earnings. It could also
curtail such investments from being made in the first place, because some
businesses say the costs of complying with the rule are too high.
Here’s how things would change with the new rule: Now, when a company buys a
stake of less than 20 percent in another company, it usually accounts for
the investment on its balance sheet at cost — the price it paid for it. Over
time, under the old rules, if the value of the investment goes down, the
rules required a corresponding write-down of the value, both through the
company’s income statement and on its balance sheet. But if the value
increases over time, the investment can still be kept at cost.
While investors were fully informed when an investment lost value, there was
less transparency for them when an investment increased in value. What
investors lost in transparency on the upside, it has been argued, was gained
in not requiring corporate executives to place a number on these often
difficult-to-value investments every quarter.
That’s what is going to change after Dec. 15. From then on, each minority
investment a public company makes will have to be valued quarterly, whether
that value has increased or decreased. That potential volatility will soon
be required to flow through a company’s income statement, with the
possibility of causing fluctuations to earnings per share from something
that is not even a core business.
Corporate executives will have two choices on how to go about valuing these
investments.
They can either spend the time valuing these investments themselves (or hire
an accounting firm or a valuation firm like Duff & Phelps), or they can
choose to wait until there is a market-driven valuation event and then mark
up the value of the investment accordingly. How a company chooses to value
these investments — whether every quarter or when there is a market event —
has to be selected soon, and then cannot be changed. This, too, has added to
the corporate executives’ concerns.
Take, for example, investments that have been made over the years in Uber,
which now has a valuation of around $70 billion. In 2013, Google Ventures,
now part of Alphabet Inc., Google’s parent company, invested $258 million in
Uber at a post-money valuation of $3.76 billion. Four years later, that
investment is now worth around $4.8 billion.
The amendments in this Update
make targeted improvements to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)
as follows:
1.
Require equity investments (except those accounted for under the equity
method of accounting or those that result in consolidation of the investee)
to be measured at fair value with changes in fair value recognized in net
income. However, an entity may choose to measure equity investments that do
not have readily determinable fair values at cost minus impairment, if any,
plus or minus changes resulting from observable price changes in orderly
transactions for the identical or a similar investment of the same issuer.
2.
Simplify the impairment assessment of equity investments without readily
determinable fair values by requiring a qualitative assessment to identify
impairment. When a qualitative assessment indicates that impairment exists,
an entity is required to measure the investment at fair value.
3.
Eliminate the requirement to disclose the fair value of financial
instruments measured at amortized cost for entities that are not public
business entities.
4.
Eliminate the requirement for public business entities to disclose the
method(s) and significant assumptions used to estimate the fair value that
is required to be disclosed for financial instruments measured at amortized
cost on the balance sheet.
5.
Require public business entities to use the exit price notion when measuring
the fair value of financial instruments for disclosure purposes.
6.
Require an entity to present separately in
other comprehensive income the portion of the total change in the fair value
of a liability resulting from a change in the instrument-specific credit
risk when the entity has elected to measure the liability at fair value in
accordance with the fair value option for financial instruments.
Banks that recognize financial liabilities at fair value currently
must record unrealized gains (losses) on these liabilities
attributable to increases (decreases) in the banks’ own credit risk,
referred to as the debt (or debit) valuation adjustment (DVA), in
earnings each period. For a sample of publicly traded European banks
during 2008-2013, we investigate the economic and discretionary
determinants of DVA. We find that DVA exhibits the expected
associations with economic factors, being positively associated with
the change in banks’ bond yield spread and negatively associated
with the changes in banks’ unsecured debt and average remaining bond
maturity. We also provide evidence that banks exercised discretion
over DVA to smooth earnings during the recent financial crisis and
its immediate aftermath. To remove non-discretionary smoothing of
earnings, we decompose DVA into nondiscretionary (normal) and
discretionary (abnormal) components and find that abnormal DVA is
negatively associated with pre-managed earnings, controlling for
banks’ abnormal loan loss provisions (LLP) and realized securities
gains and losses (RGL), consistent with banks exercising discretion
over DVA to smooth earnings. We further find that banks that record
larger LLP and that have histories of using LLP to smooth earnings
use DVA less to smooth earnings, consistent with LLP and DVA being
substitutable ways to smooth earnings. These findings have
implications for how bank regulators and investors should interpret
banks’ reported DVA. They may support
the FASB’s recent decision in ASU 2016-1 to require firms to record
DVA in other comprehensive income.
7.
Require separate presentation of financial assets and financial liabilities
by measurement category and form of financial asset (that is, securities or
loans and receivables) on the balance sheet or the accompanying notes to the
financial statements.
8.
Clarify that an entity should evaluate the need for a valuation allowance on
a deferred tax asset related to available-for-sale securities in combination
with the entity’s other deferred tax assets.
"The Effect of Fair Value versus Historical Cost Reporting Model on
Analyst Forecast Accuracy," by Lihong Liang and Edward J. Riedl,
The Accounting Review,: May 2014, Vol. 89, No. 3, pp. 1151-1177 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-50687 (Not Free)
ABSTRACT:
This paper examines how the reporting model for a
firm's operating assets affects analyst forecast accuracy. We contrast U.K.
and U.S. investment property firms having real estate as their primary
operating asset, exploiting that U.K. (U.S.) firms report these assets at
fair value (historical cost). We assess the accuracy of a
balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value, or NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (earnings per share, or EPS). We predict and
find higher NAV forecast accuracy for U.K. relative to U.S. firms,
consistent with the fair value reporting model revealing private information
that is incorporated into analysts' balance sheet forecasts. We find this
difference is attenuated when the fair value and historical cost models are
more likely to converge: during recessionary periods.
Finally, we predict and find lower EPS
forecast accuracy for U.K. firms when reporting under the full fair value
model of IFRS, in which unrealized fair value gains and losses are included
in net income.
This is consistent with
the full fair value model increasing the difficulty of forecasting net
income through the inclusion of non-serially correlated elements such as
these gains/losses. Information content analyses provide further support for
these inferences. Overall, the results indicate that the fair value
reporting model enhances analysts' ability to forecast the balance sheet,
but the full fair value model reduces their ability to forecast net income.
Keywords: fair value, historical cost, analyst
forecast accuracy, net asset value, real estate
Received: September 2011; Accepted: December 2013
;Published Online: December 2013
I. INTRODUCTION
This paper examines the effect of the reporting
model on the accuracy of analyst outputs. Specifically, we investigate
whether the model—fair value or historical cost—used to report firms'
primary operating assets of real estate differentially affects the accuracy
of two analyst forecasts: a balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value,
or “NAV”), and an income-statement-based forecast (earnings-per-share, or
“EPS”).1 Accordingly, this paper combines the literatures on fair value
reporting for nonfinancial assets (e.g., Easton, Eddey, and Harris 1993) and
analyst forecast accuracy (e.g., Lang and Lundholm 1996) to examine how the
reporting model affects the precision of different types of analyst outputs.
We choose as our setting publicly traded investment
property firms domiciled either in the U.K. or U.S. during the period
2002–2010. Investment property firms invest in real estate assets for rental
income and/or capital appreciation. The choice of this setting is
advantageous for several reasons. First, this industry is among the few in
which fair value reporting can be observed for the firm's primary operating
assets. Although other industries, such as banking and insurance, have
significant exposure to fair value reporting, these settings are more
complex as the within-firm accounting treatment across their operating
assets varies significantly, and they are subject to substantial
regulation.2 Second, our focus on the U.K. and U.S. exploits the primary
reporting difference for this industry across these two countries.
Specifically, U.K. investment property firms recognize property assets at
fair value on the balance sheet under both U.K. domestic accounting
standards as well as more recently adopted International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS). Unrealized fair value changes are reported in a
revaluation reserve under U.K. standards, but reported in net income under
IFRS. In contrast, U.S. investment property firms report property assets at
historical cost as mandated under U.S. standards; further, industry practice
is that these firms rarely voluntarily disclose property fair values. Third,
despite the latter reporting difference, the real estate industry in both
countries is highly developed, with both having a substantial number of
publicly traded real estate firms, relatively liquid property markets, and a
large number of analysts following these firms.
To assess analyst forecast accuracy, we choose two
forecast types, a balance-sheet-based forecast (NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (EPS). NAV forecasts are commonly applied in
the investment property industry, and are primary inputs into analyst's
target price estimates. They are calculated by taking the estimated fair
value of the firm's assets, which are primarily the real estate properties,
and subtracting the estimated fair value of the firm's liabilities,
primarily debt. As such, NAV provides an estimate of the value of the firm's
net assets in place. Second, we examine the accuracy of EPS forecasts, which
represent analysts' estimates of the firm's ability to generate income. We
note that this industry is among the few for which both balance sheet and
income statement forecasts are commonly observable.
We hypothesize three primary effects. First, we
predict higher accuracy of NAV forecasts for firms providing investment
property fair values. That is, we expect that the reporting of these fair
values, as done by U.K. firms, reveals private information regarding the
underlying asset values. Analysts incorporate this information into their
forecasts, leading to greater forecast accuracy. Second, we predict that
this relatively greater NAV accuracy for firms providing fair values will be
attenuated during circumstances in which the fair value and historical cost
reporting models are likely to converge. To proxy for such a setting, we use
the financial crisis, during which real estate assets in both the U.K. and
U.S. declined substantially. Third, we predict that full fair value
reporting required under IFRS will reduce the accuracy of analysts' EPS
forecasts, owing to increased difficulty of forecasting net income when it
includes non-serially correlated items such as unrealized fair value gains
and losses.
Empirical results confirm all three predictions. We
find that NAV forecasts for U.K. firms are more accurate relative to those
for U.S. firms. Further, we find that this greater accuracy is attenuated
during the financial crisis of 2007–2008, consistent with convergence of the
fair value and historical cost reporting models during this period. Finally,
we document greater EPS forecast accuracy for U.S. firms relative to U.K.
firms when the latter report under IFRS. To mitigate concerns that our
analyses may reflect differences across the U.K. and U.S. settings that are
unrelated to our predicted financial reporting effects, our primary analyses
use a difference-in-differences design. Our findings also are robust to
estimating a fully interacted model to control for different effects across
the U.K. and U.S. samples; using alternative measures of the dependent
variables to assess the use of market value to benchmark NAV forecast
accuracy due to the latter's lack of reported actual amounts; and conducting
subsample analysis. Finally, corroborating evidence reveals greater
information content for U.K. relative to U.S. NAV forecasts, with this
difference reduced during the financial crisis. Despite the higher EPS
forecast error, however, U.K. EPS forecasts have greater information content
under IFRS.
These findings make three contributions. First, we
link the fair value literature, which provides evidence of the decision
relevance of reported fair values (e.g., Barth 1994), to that on analyst
forecast accuracy (e.g., Clement 1999) by documenting that fair values of
key operating assets can enhance the accuracy of analysts'
balance-sheet-based forecasts. However, our evidence further suggests that
the benefits to fair value reporting may primarily occur during expansionary
economic periods, where the fair value and historical cost reporting models
are most likely to diverge. In addition, our evidence suggests that full
fair value reporting in which unrealized gains and losses are incorporated
into income can impede income statement forecast accuracy. Second, our
analyses of NAV forecasts are new because analysts' balance sheet
forecasting activities are rarely studied in the prior literature. Finally,
our evidence is likely of interest to U.S. and international
standard-setters in their ongoing deliberations regarding the extent in
which to incorporate fair value into reporting standards.
Section II provides the background, prior
literature, and hypothesis development. Section III presents the research
design. Section IV reviews the sample and primary empirical results. Section
V presents sensitivity analyses, and Section VI concludes.
II. BACKGROUND, PRIOR LITERATURE, AND HYPOTHESIS
DEVELOPMENT
Background \ This paper analyzes U.K. and U.S. publicly traded investment property
firms over 2002–2010, which have as their primary operating structure
tangible assets consisting of real estate investments. These firms invest in
real estate to obtain rental income and/or for capital appreciation. We
exploit a key difference across the two groups of firms: U.K. firms report
these real estate assets at fair value, while U.S. firms report them at
historical cost.
The reporting of investment properties for
U.K.-domiciled firms within our sample period falls under two regimes: U.K.
domestic standards from 2002–2004; and International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) from 2005–2010. Both require that U.K. firms report
investment properties on the balance sheet at fair value. The relevant U.K.
domestic standard, Accounting for Investment Properties, Statement of
Standard Accounting Practice No. 19 (SSAP 19; Accounting Standards Committee
[ASC] 1994), requires investment property to be reported on the balance
sheet at “open market value” at fiscal year-end. This is very similar to
“fair value” as defined by the International Accounting Standards Board
(IASB) and Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB).3 Unrealized fair
value gains/losses are reported in a revaluation reserve, and thus do not
pass through net income.
The amendments in this Update
make targeted improvements to generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)
as follows:
1.
Require equity investments (except those accounted for under the equity
method of accounting or those that result in consolidation of the investee)
to be measured at fair value with changes in fair value recognized in net
income. However, an entity may choose to measure equity investments that do
not have readily determinable fair values at cost minus impairment, if any,
plus or minus changes resulting from observable price changes in orderly
transactions for the identical or a similar investment of the same issuer.
2.
Simplify the impairment assessment of equity investments without readily
determinable fair values by requiring a qualitative assessment to identify
impairment. When a qualitative assessment indicates that impairment exists,
an entity is required to measure the investment at fair value.
3.
Eliminate the requirement to disclose the fair value of financial
instruments measured at amortized cost for entities that are not public
business entities.
4.
Eliminate the requirement for public business entities to disclose the
method(s) and significant assumptions used to estimate the fair value that
is required to be disclosed for financial instruments measured at amortized
cost on the balance sheet.
5.
Require public business entities to use the exit price notion when measuring
the fair value of financial instruments for disclosure purposes.
6.
Require an entity to present separately in
other comprehensive income the portion of the total change in the fair value
of a liability resulting from a change in the instrument-specific credit
risk when the entity has elected to measure the liability at fair value in
accordance with the fair value option for financial instruments.
Banks that recognize financial liabilities at fair value currently
must record unrealized gains (losses) on these liabilities
attributable to increases (decreases) in the banks’ own credit risk,
referred to as the debt (or debit) valuation adjustment (DVA), in
earnings each period. For a sample of publicly traded European banks
during 2008-2013, we investigate the economic and discretionary
determinants of DVA. We find that DVA exhibits the expected
associations with economic factors, being positively associated with
the change in banks’ bond yield spread and negatively associated
with the changes in banks’ unsecured debt and average remaining bond
maturity. We also provide evidence that banks exercised discretion
over DVA to smooth earnings during the recent financial crisis and
its immediate aftermath. To remove non-discretionary smoothing of
earnings, we decompose DVA into nondiscretionary (normal) and
discretionary (abnormal) components and find that abnormal DVA is
negatively associated with pre-managed earnings, controlling for
banks’ abnormal loan loss provisions (LLP) and realized securities
gains and losses (RGL), consistent with banks exercising discretion
over DVA to smooth earnings. We further find that banks that record
larger LLP and that have histories of using LLP to smooth earnings
use DVA less to smooth earnings, consistent with LLP and DVA being
substitutable ways to smooth earnings. These findings have
implications for how bank regulators and investors should interpret
banks’ reported DVA. They may support
the FASB’s recent decision in ASU 2016-1 to require firms to record
DVA in other comprehensive income.
7.
Require separate presentation of financial assets and financial liabilities
by measurement category and form of financial asset (that is, securities or
loans and receivables) on the balance sheet or the accompanying notes to the
financial statements.
8.
Clarify that an entity should evaluate the need for a valuation allowance on
a deferred tax asset related to available-for-sale securities in combination
with the entity’s other deferred tax assets.
"The Effect of Fair Value versus Historical Cost Reporting Model on
Analyst Forecast Accuracy," by Lihong Liang and Edward J. Riedl,
The Accounting Review,: May 2014, Vol. 89, No. 3, pp. 1151-1177 ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-50687 (Not Free)
ABSTRACT:
This paper examines how the reporting model for a
firm's operating assets affects analyst forecast accuracy. We contrast U.K.
and U.S. investment property firms having real estate as their primary
operating asset, exploiting that U.K. (U.S.) firms report these assets at
fair value (historical cost). We assess the accuracy of a
balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value, or NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (earnings per share, or EPS). We predict and
find higher NAV forecast accuracy for U.K. relative to U.S. firms,
consistent with the fair value reporting model revealing private information
that is incorporated into analysts' balance sheet forecasts. We find this
difference is attenuated when the fair value and historical cost models are
more likely to converge: during recessionary periods.
Finally, we predict and find lower EPS
forecast accuracy for U.K. firms when reporting under the full fair value
model of IFRS, in which unrealized fair value gains and losses are included
in net income.
This is consistent with
the full fair value model increasing the difficulty of forecasting net
income through the inclusion of non-serially correlated elements such as
these gains/losses. Information content analyses provide further support for
these inferences. Overall, the results indicate that the fair value
reporting model enhances analysts' ability to forecast the balance sheet,
but the full fair value model reduces their ability to forecast net income.
Keywords: fair value, historical cost, analyst
forecast accuracy, net asset value, real estate
Received: September 2011; Accepted: December 2013
;Published Online: December 2013
I. INTRODUCTION
This paper examines the effect of the reporting
model on the accuracy of analyst outputs. Specifically, we investigate
whether the model—fair value or historical cost—used to report firms'
primary operating assets of real estate differentially affects the accuracy
of two analyst forecasts: a balance-sheet-based forecast (net asset value,
or “NAV”), and an income-statement-based forecast (earnings-per-share, or
“EPS”).1 Accordingly, this paper combines the literatures on fair value
reporting for nonfinancial assets (e.g., Easton, Eddey, and Harris 1993) and
analyst forecast accuracy (e.g., Lang and Lundholm 1996) to examine how the
reporting model affects the precision of different types of analyst outputs.
We choose as our setting publicly traded investment
property firms domiciled either in the U.K. or U.S. during the period
2002–2010. Investment property firms invest in real estate assets for rental
income and/or capital appreciation. The choice of this setting is
advantageous for several reasons. First, this industry is among the few in
which fair value reporting can be observed for the firm's primary operating
assets. Although other industries, such as banking and insurance, have
significant exposure to fair value reporting, these settings are more
complex as the within-firm accounting treatment across their operating
assets varies significantly, and they are subject to substantial
regulation.2 Second, our focus on the U.K. and U.S. exploits the primary
reporting difference for this industry across these two countries.
Specifically, U.K. investment property firms recognize property assets at
fair value on the balance sheet under both U.K. domestic accounting
standards as well as more recently adopted International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS). Unrealized fair value changes are reported in a
revaluation reserve under U.K. standards, but reported in net income under
IFRS. In contrast, U.S. investment property firms report property assets at
historical cost as mandated under U.S. standards; further, industry practice
is that these firms rarely voluntarily disclose property fair values. Third,
despite the latter reporting difference, the real estate industry in both
countries is highly developed, with both having a substantial number of
publicly traded real estate firms, relatively liquid property markets, and a
large number of analysts following these firms.
To assess analyst forecast accuracy, we choose two
forecast types, a balance-sheet-based forecast (NAV) and an
income-statement-based forecast (EPS). NAV forecasts are commonly applied in
the investment property industry, and are primary inputs into analyst's
target price estimates. They are calculated by taking the estimated fair
value of the firm's assets, which are primarily the real estate properties,
and subtracting the estimated fair value of the firm's liabilities,
primarily debt. As such, NAV provides an estimate of the value of the firm's
net assets in place. Second, we examine the accuracy of EPS forecasts, which
represent analysts' estimates of the firm's ability to generate income. We
note that this industry is among the few for which both balance sheet and
income statement forecasts are commonly observable.
We hypothesize three primary effects. First, we
predict higher accuracy of NAV forecasts for firms providing investment
property fair values. That is, we expect that the reporting of these fair
values, as done by U.K. firms, reveals private information regarding the
underlying asset values. Analysts incorporate this information into their
forecasts, leading to greater forecast accuracy. Second, we predict that
this relatively greater NAV accuracy for firms providing fair values will be
attenuated during circumstances in which the fair value and historical cost
reporting models are likely to converge. To proxy for such a setting, we use
the financial crisis, during which real estate assets in both the U.K. and
U.S. declined substantially. Third, we predict that full fair value
reporting required under IFRS will reduce the accuracy of analysts' EPS
forecasts, owing to increased difficulty of forecasting net income when it
includes non-serially correlated items such as unrealized fair value gains
and losses.
Empirical results confirm all three predictions. We
find that NAV forecasts for U.K. firms are more accurate relative to those
for U.S. firms. Further, we find that this greater accuracy is attenuated
during the financial crisis of 2007–2008, consistent with convergence of the
fair value and historical cost reporting models during this period. Finally,
we document greater EPS forecast accuracy for U.S. firms relative to U.K.
firms when the latter report under IFRS. To mitigate concerns that our
analyses may reflect differences across the U.K. and U.S. settings that are
unrelated to our predicted financial reporting effects, our primary analyses
use a difference-in-differences design. Our findings also are robust to
estimating a fully interacted model to control for different effects across
the U.K. and U.S. samples; using alternative measures of the dependent
variables to assess the use of market value to benchmark NAV forecast
accuracy due to the latter's lack of reported actual amounts; and conducting
subsample analysis. Finally, corroborating evidence reveals greater
information content for U.K. relative to U.S. NAV forecasts, with this
difference reduced during the financial crisis. Despite the higher EPS
forecast error, however, U.K. EPS forecasts have greater information content
under IFRS.
These findings make three contributions. First, we
link the fair value literature, which provides evidence of the decision
relevance of reported fair values (e.g., Barth 1994), to that on analyst
forecast accuracy (e.g., Clement 1999) by documenting that fair values of
key operating assets can enhance the accuracy of analysts'
balance-sheet-based forecasts. However, our evidence further suggests that
the benefits to fair value reporting may primarily occur during expansionary
economic periods, where the fair value and historical cost reporting models
are most likely to diverge. In addition, our evidence suggests that full
fair value reporting in which unrealized gains and losses are incorporated
into income can impede income statement forecast accuracy. Second, our
analyses of NAV forecasts are new because analysts' balance sheet
forecasting activities are rarely studied in the prior literature. Finally,
our evidence is likely of interest to U.S. and international
standard-setters in their ongoing deliberations regarding the extent in
which to incorporate fair value into reporting standards.
Section II provides the background, prior
literature, and hypothesis development. Section III presents the research
design. Section IV reviews the sample and primary empirical results. Section
V presents sensitivity analyses, and Section VI concludes.
II. BACKGROUND, PRIOR LITERATURE, AND HYPOTHESIS
DEVELOPMENT
Background \ This paper analyzes U.K. and U.S. publicly traded investment property
firms over 2002–2010, which have as their primary operating structure
tangible assets consisting of real estate investments. These firms invest in
real estate to obtain rental income and/or for capital appreciation. We
exploit a key difference across the two groups of firms: U.K. firms report
these real estate assets at fair value, while U.S. firms report them at
historical cost.
The reporting of investment properties for
U.K.-domiciled firms within our sample period falls under two regimes: U.K.
domestic standards from 2002–2004; and International Financial Reporting
Standards (IFRS) from 2005–2010. Both require that U.K. firms report
investment properties on the balance sheet at fair value. The relevant U.K.
domestic standard, Accounting for Investment Properties, Statement of
Standard Accounting Practice No. 19 (SSAP 19; Accounting Standards Committee
[ASC] 1994), requires investment property to be reported on the balance
sheet at “open market value” at fiscal year-end. This is very similar to
“fair value” as defined by the International Accounting Standards Board
(IASB) and Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB).3 Unrealized fair
value gains/losses are reported in a revaluation reserve, and thus do not
pass through net income.
Fair Value Accounting for Financial Instruments:
Does It Improve the Association between Bank Leverage and Credit Risk?
I preface this tidbit that I've been pretty negative (especially to Tom
Selling's posts in The Accounting Onion Blog) of fair value accounting
when unrealized fair values are comingled with legally recognized revenues. This
balance sheet priority over the income statement has pretty much destroyed FASB
and IASB ability to even define net income.
I support fair value reporting under a multi-column reporting format where
legally recognized revenues are segregated from unrealized fair value changes in
the derivation of net earnings. Hence I am not really critical of fair value
accounting if dual earnings measures are provided in the process.
On the AECM Tom Selling and Patricia Walters (and I suspect many others)
cling to a preference even when unrealized fair value changes are comingled with
legally recognized revenues in the calculations of net earning and its
derivatives like eps and P/E ratios in single-column reporting.
In the interest of academic integrity, however, I respect these opinions of
my AECM friends and am willing to point out empirical evidence that support
their positions and the positions of the IASB and FASB regarding fair value
accounting for financial instruments.
One such important piece of empirical evidence is provided in the following
citation:
Title: "Fair Value Accounting for Financial Instruments: Does It Improve
the Association between Bank Leverage and Credit Risk?"
Authors: Elizabeth Blankespoor, Thomas J. Linsmeier, Kathy R. Petroni and
Catherine Shakespeare
Source: The Accounting Review, July 2013, pp. 1143-1178
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-50419
Abstract
Many have argued that financial statements created under an accounting model
that measures financial instruments at fair value would not fairly represent
a bank's business model. In this study we examine whether financial
statements using fair values for financial instruments better describe
banks' credit risk than less fair-value-based financial statements.
Specifically, we assess the extent to which various leverage ratios, which
are calculated using financial instruments measured along a fair value
continuum, are associated with various measures of credit risk. Our leverage
ratios include financial instruments measured at (1) fair value; (2) U.S.
GAAP mixed-attribute values; and (3) Tier 1 regulatory capital values. The
credit risk measures we consider are bond yield spreads and future bank
failure. We find that leverage measured using the fair values of financial
instruments explains significantly more variation in bond yield spreads and
bank failure than the other less fair-value-based leverage ratios in both
univariate and multivariate analyses. We also find that the fair value of
loans and deposits appear to be the primary sources of incremental
explanatory power.
Jensen Caution
As is common in nearly all accountics science studies the analysis is limited to
only association and not causation which, in this particular paper, is dutifully
pointed out by these veteran accoutics scientists.
The authors also dutifully point out arguments for and against fair value
accounting in credit risk analysis
Several parties currently support fair value
accounting. In a 2008 joint letter to the Securities and Exchange
Commission, the Chartered Financial Analyst Institute Centre for Financial
Market Integrity (CFA Institute), the Center for Audit Quality, the Consumer
Federation of America, and the Council of Institutional Investors support
fair value accounting because they believe it provides more accurate,
timely, and comparable information to investors than amounts that would be
reported under other alternative accounting approaches (CFA 2008a). In a
survey of CFA Institute members worldwide more than 75 percent of the 2,006
respondents indicate that they believe that fair value requirements improve
transparency and contribute to investor understanding of financial
institutions' risk and that full fair value accounting for financial
instruments will improve market integrity (CFA 2008b). Presumably if fair
values better describe bank risk, then fair value accounting may mitigate
rather than exacerbate financial crises (Financial Crisis Advisory Group
2009; Bleck and Liu 2007). In a Financial Times editorial, Lloyd Blankfein,
chairman and chief executive officer of Goldman Sachs, argues that “an
institution's assets must be valued at fair market value—the price at which
buyers and sellers transact—not at the (frequently irrelevant) historic
value” (Blankfein 2009).
There are five basic arguments against fair value
accounting as discussed in more detail in ABA (2006, 2009). First, fair
value accounting for assets that are instruments held for collection does
not faithfully represent a bank's financial condition. As discussed above,
changes in fair value of these instruments may be transitory. Consistent
with this view, Sheila Bair, then chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance
Corporation, has argued that there is no relevance in using fair value
accounting for loans that are held to maturity (N'Diaye 2009).
Second, fair value accounting for liabilities that
are instruments held for payment is not appropriate for two reasons. First,
there are few opportunities for firms to settle liabilities before maturity
at other than the principal amount. Debt markets are frequently very
illiquid and contractual restrictions often preclude the transfer of
financial liabilities. These limited opportunities to transfer liabilities
before payment suggest that fair values of financial liabilities are less
relevant for decision making than fair values of financial assets because
the fair values of liabilities are less likely to be realized.6 Second, many
argue that it is counterintuitive that under fair value accounting for
fixed-rate debt, an increase in credit risk results in a write-down of the
value of the debt and an associated gain in net income.7
The third argument against fair value is that the
financing of a bank's operations links loans issued with the deposits
received and, therefore, in order to best capture the economics of the
banking model, loans and deposits need to be similarly measured. From this
perspective, because it is difficult to estimate the fair values of
deposits, especially non-term deposits, both loans and deposits should be
recognized at amortized cost. The difference between fair values and
historical cost of non-term deposits, such as demand and savings deposits
that bear low rates of interest, arises because a significant proportion of
these funds can be expected to remain on deposit for long periods of time,
allowing the bank to invest the deposits in higher yielding and longer
duration loans. As shown by Flannery and James (1984), because these
non-term deposits are fairly insensitive to interest rate changes, they
serve as a type of hedge against the effect that changes in interest rates
have on loans. Specifically, if interest rates rise, then the fair value of
fixed-rate loans held by the bank will fall, but this loss will be offset by
a rise in the fair value of the deposits associated with the increasing
benefits of low- or no-cost financing in an increasing interest rate
environment. If the stable source of funding provided by depositors is not
recognized while the fair value of loans is recognized, then the bank will
appear more volatile than it truly is.8
The fourth opposing argument is that when fair
values must be estimated, the valuation process can be significantly complex
and the resulting numbers sufficiently unreliable to cause the benefits not
to outweigh the costs. The fifth argument is that because fair value
accounting contributes to the procyclicality of the financial system, it is
one of the root causes of the recent financial crisis, creating significant
harm to the economy.
Our examination of the ability of fair values
versus more historical-cost-based measures (GAAP and Tier 1 capital) to
reflect a bank's credit risk directly addresses the first three opposing
arguments. Our paper, however, does not contribute to understanding the
costs, complexity, and reliability of fair value accounting or whether fair
values contribute to procyclicality. We believe procyclicality is an
interesting issue and acknowledge that the role of fair values in the recent
financial crisis is still not fully understood.
And the authors dutifully conclude the following on the last page of the
article:
The results of our study should not be used in
isolation to suggest that all financial instruments should be recognized and
measured at fair value. Our study only speaks to the ability of fair values
to reflect credit risks of banks. There are other costs and benefits
associated with a movement to fair values that we do not consider. Most
notably, our study does not address the potential implications that fair
value accounting has on procyclicality or contracting. In addition, we do
not demonstrate that decision makers are using the fair values to determine
credit risk; rather, we only demonstrate that fair values are most highly
associated with the credit risk determinations. Last, it is worthwhile to
note that we measure fair values based on the fair values currently being
recognized or disclosed by banks. The FASB and the IASB have recently issued
standards that define fair values more precisely (see footnote 5 for
details) and, to the extent that this new definition affects the ultimate
fair values recognized or disclosed under future expected revisions to the
classification and measurement guidance for financial instruments, our
results may not generalize.
Added Jensen Comment
This paper does not provide any information on how the IASB is currently butting
heads with the EU Parliament (at the behest of the powerful EU banking lobby)
regarding different stances on fair value accounting by EU banks.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on June 26, 2013
Non-GAAP metrics are playing a bigger role in
financial reporting. Since regulators relaxed their stance on the use of
nontraditional financial reporting measures in 2010, companies have been
embracing metrics like customer churn rates and average revenue per user,
CFOJ’s Emily Chasan writes.
Driving the trend is a desire on the parts of both
investors and corporate managers to focus on measures that have less noise
and are clear indicators of the direction of the business. “There’s a
disconnect between what finance departments want to report and
financial-statement users want to receive,” Prof. Paul Bahnson of Boise
State University said an Institute of Management Accountants conference in
New Orleans this week. Corporate managers may prefer to report smoother
results with less volatility based on historical information, but investors
want to make sure they’re seeing more current information and capturing
natural volatility.
Meanwhile, Prof. Paul Miller of the University of
Colorado at Colorado Springs argues that historical cost information is
losing its relevance. He says accountants should think about historical
costs as “unverifiable” and “unreliable” since they are statistically based
on a sample size of a single transaction and can’t capture the full
market value of an asset.
Jensen Comment
Paul Miller is extremely misleading about historical cost bookings in the
ledgers. To my knowledge no historical cost advocate from AC Littleton to
Yuji Ijiri has ever claimed that historical cost financial statements even
pretend to "capture the full market value of an asset" or any part or
combination thereof except in the case of conservatism overrides when
historical cost book values significantly overstate current values. For example,
if inventory carrying values (at historical cost) are seriously in excess of
disposal value due to damage or obsolescence the Conservatism Principle dictates
a departure from historical cost.
To my knowledge AC Littleton historically is the strongest advocate of
historical cost accounting as modified by the Conservatism Principle. He
repeatedly asserted that historical cost measurements make no pretenses of being
surrogates for entry values or exit values or values-in-use under fair value
accounting. Whereas the focus of fair value accounting is on balance sheet
items, the main focus of historical cost accounting is on the income statement
under the Matching Principle ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory02.htm#FairValue
Fair value advocates inappropriately wrote off the Matching Principle years ago.
To their embarrassment the Matching Principle is still with us in FASB and IASB
standards in spirit if not in name.
Paul Miller's statement that "historical costs as
'unverifiable' and iunreliable' since they are statistically based on a sample
size of a single (original) transaction"
implicitly assumes that the only purpose of historical cost book value is to be
a surrogate for some type of current market value. Since entry value accounting
requires arbitrary depreciation formulas and exit value accounting reports
assets in their worst possible uses (yard sale junk items) what Paul Miller must
mean is "value-in-use."
But to my knowledge no economist or accountant has ever figured out how to
value any nonfinancial booked asset in Exxon at its "value-in-use."
The most important statistic, in my opinion, that is tracked by investors and
financial analyst is current earnings in some form whether as Earnings-Per-Share
or Price/Earnings ratios. Like it or not historical cost is still a primary
driver of current earnings under FASB or IASB accounting standards. Paul
Miller's assertion that "historical cost information is
losing its relevance" is totally incorrect as long as earnings measure
are driven primarily by historical cost rules still drive earnings measurement
under FASB and IASB rules. This will be true until the FASB and IASB
eliminate historical cost depreciation and amortization and all the other
historical cost accruals completely from the accounting standards. I may be
ice skating and skiing in Hell before that happens.
Having said this, I've no objection to entry value or exit value columns
alongside GAAP columns prepared under FASB or IASB standards. I just do not want
all unrealized temporal changes in market values to impact on current earnings.
I vote for OCI in that department for items like marketable securities now
carried at exit values under FASB and IASB standards.
Mark-to-Make-Believe Accounting
Lehman’s accounting was especially opaque, even
relative to other investment banks (and that’s really saying something). Their
Level 3 assets were described as “mark-to-make-believe.” The firm was
especially evasive when asked for hard numbers for its liabilities. After the
collapse of Bear Stearns they were the next obvious bank to collapse. They were
smaller, more heavily leveraged and with greater exposure to the mortgage
market. Even a cursory review of Lehman’s books revealed lots of red flags.
"10 Things You May Not Have Known About Lehman Brothers," by Barry Ritholtz,
Ritholtz Blog, September 18, 2013 ---
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2013/09/10-things-you-may-not-have-known-about-lehman-brothers/
Short list:
1. At the Ira Sohn Investment Research
Conference in May 2008, hedge fund manager David Einhorn explained why
he believed Lehman Brothers was insolvent. At the time, Lehman was
already significantly off its highs but still trading above $40.
2. Lehman’s accounting was especially opaque,
even relative to other investment banks (and that’s really saying
something). Their Level 3 assets were described as
“mark-to-make-believe.” The firm was especially evasive when asked for
hard numbers for its liabilities. After the collapse of Bear Stearns
they were the next obvious bank to collapse. They were smaller, more
heavily leveraged and with greater exposure to the mortgage market. Even
a cursory review of Lehman’s books revealed lots of red flags.
3. The
WSJ pointed out
the complicity of Lehman’s accountants in their collapse. Management
chose to “disregard or overrule the firm’s risk controls on a
regular basis,” even as the credit and real-estate markets were
showing signs of strain. In May 2008, a Lehman Sr VP alerted management
about accounting irregularities, a warning ignored by Lehman auditors
Ernst & Young.
4. The infamous REPO 105 — a fraudulent
accounting gimmick that temporarily removed over $50 billion in
securities inventory from its balance sheet — existed for the sole
purpose of hiding liabilities from shareholders. By creating a
materially misleading picture of the firm’s financial condition in late
2007 and 2008, Lehman’s management and its accountants were engaging in
fraud. This also suggests that LEH was much more leveraged and at far
greater risk for insolvency than was realized at the time (So, no,
short-sellers did not kill Lehman).
5. Warren Buffett made an offer to Lehman, one
that turned out to be more generous than the offer later accepted by
Goldman Sachs. (One may surmise that Fuld’s rejection of Buffett’s bid
was the last straw as far as the Fed and Treasury were concerned. If
they were unwilling to help themselves, why should the taxpayer write
another $30 billion check?)
6. Many potential suitors kicked the tires at
Lehman – but none could get past their massive liabilities or their
opaque accounting. Too many toxic assets on books that were
untrustworthy led to no serious buyer appearing.
7. Once Lehman filed for bankruptcy, Barclays
scooped up most of the U.S. and U.K. operations—without any of that
toxic junk paper to worry about. Nomura Securities took over Lehman’s
Asian operations.
8. Neuberger Berman had been bought by Lehman
Brothers in the 1990s. Its management purchased the wealth management
unit post bankruptcy. They essentially bought themselves back at a huge
discount.
9. Lehman Brothers CEO Dick Fuld was wildly
over-compensated. A Harvard study calculated that Fuld earned $522.7
million from 2000 to 2007. He garnered $461.2 million of that from
selling 12.4 million shares of Lehman. (BusinessWeek)
10. Lehman Brothers was dissolved 158 years
after its founding.
Did I miss any of the lesser known factoids about
Lehman Brothers?
Minnesota Twins heirs fight IRS over team
valuation ---
http://www.accountingweb.com/article/minnesota-twins-heirs-go-bat-against-irs-tax-court/222153
Minnesota Twins owner Carl Pohlad's heirs -- sons
Robert, James and William -- are battling the Internal Revenue Service in
U.S. Tax Court over estate taxes. The argument centers on the valuation of
the major league baseball team. The IRS says the stake was grossly
undervalued and is adding a $48 million penalty on the taxes it says the
heirs still owe.
Jensen Comment
This is an example of where a balance sheet prepared in accordance with GAAP is
useless for valuation. The bulk of the value resides in unbooked intangibles,
especially human resources and reputation for future television deals.
Some Thoughts on Fair Value Accounting
Our recent AECM regarding why accounting standard setters require
mark-to-market (fair value) adjustments of marketable securities (except for HTM
securities) and do not generally allow mark-to-market adjustments to inventories
(except for precious metals and LCM downward adjustments for permanent
impairments).
Fungible ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fungible
I think this "inconsistency" in the accounting standards hinges on the concept
of fungible. Marketable securities are generally fungible. A General Motors
share of stock NYC is identical to other GM shares in Bavaria versus Hong Kong
versus Sugar Hill, New Hampshire. One advantage of fair value accounting for
marketable securities is that these securities are fungible until they become
unique such as when companies go bankrupt.
The classic example for fungible inventories that I always used in class is
the difference between new cars in a dealer's lot and used cars in that same lot
is that new cars are fungible (there are thousands or tens of thousands in the
world exactly like that new car) and used cars are not fungible. There is no
other car in the world exactly like any of the used cars in a dealer's parking
lot. We have Blue Book pricing of used cars of every make and model, but these
are only suggested prices before serious negotiations between buyers and a
seller of used models with varying mileage, accident histories, flooding
histories such as being trapped while being parked in flood waters, new parts
installed such as a new engine or new transmission, etc.
My point here is that it's almost impossible to accurately value a used car
until a buyer and seller have negotiated a purchase price. And the variation
from Blue Book suggested prices can be quite material in amount. Thus we can
value General Motors common shares before we have a buyer, but we can't value
any used car before we have a buyer.
I used to naively claim that this was not the case of new cars because they
were fungible like General Motors common shares. But on second thought I was
wrong. New cars are not fungible items. Consider the case of a particular BMW
selling for $48,963 in Munich. The same car will sell for varying prices in NYC
versus Hong Kong versus Sugar Hill, NH. This variation is due largely to
delivery cost differentials.
Now consider the Car A and Car B BMW models that are exactly alike (including
color) in a Chicago dealership lot. After three months, a buyer and the dealer
agree on a $67.585 price for Car A. Car B sits in the lot for over 11 months
before a buyer and the dealer agree on a price of $58,276. This discount is
prompted mostly by the fact that the new models are out making Car B seem like
its a year old even though it odometer has less than two miles.
My point here is that until a dealer finds a buyer for either a new car or a
used car, we really don't know what the inventory fair value is for those
non-fungible items. Similarly the same grade and quality of corn in Minneapolis
has a different price than identical corn in Chicago. Corn and other commodities
like oil are not really fungible for inventory valuation purposes.
There are numerous examples of where inventory product values really can't be
known until a sales transaction takes place. We can fairly accurately estimate
the replacement costs of some of the new items for sale although FAS 33 found
that the cost of generally doing so accurately for inventory valuation purposes
probably exceeds the value of such replacement cost adjustments at each
financial reporting date.
There's great moral hazards in allowing owners of non-fungible inventories to
estimate fair values before sales transactions actually take place. Creative
accounting would be increasingly serious if accounting standards allowed fair
value accounting for non-fungible items that vary in value depending upon the
buyer and the time and place of sales negotiations.
Thus we can explain to our students that the reason we report marketable
securities at fair value and inventories at transaction or production historical
costs is that marketable securities are fungibles and most inventories are not
fungible. The main reason is that estimating the value of truly fungible
marketable securities is feasible before we have a sales transaction whereas the
value of so many non-fungible (unique) items is not known until we have a sales
transaction at a unique time and place.
SUMMARY: Finance
chiefs may need to tread more carefully when pricing acquisitions, to avoid
hefty write downs at a later date. Microsoft Corp.'s $7.6 billion write-down
of its 2014 acquisition of Nokia's handset business is the latest, and among
the largest in the tech industry in recent years. Hewlett-Packard Co. wrote
down $8.8 billion in 2012 on its acquisition of U.K. software maker
Autonomy. A year prior, the company wrote down $885 million based on its
2010 Palm acquisition.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
article is appropriate for financial accounting, especially coverage of
goodwill and write-downs.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is goodwill? How is it related to
acquisitions? Why do they occur?
2. (Advanced) What is a write-down? What are the details of
Microsoft's write-down? Why did the company have to do a write-down?
3. (Advanced) Are write-downs problematic in all situations? How
can write-downs be avoided? What should management be doing to manage these
situations?
Reviewed By:
Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
Finance chiefs may need to tread more carefully
when pricing acquisitions, to avoid hefty write downs at a later date.
Microsoft Corp.’s $7.6 billion write-down of its
2014 acquisition of Nokia ’s handset business is the latest, and among the
largest in the tech industry in recent years. Hewlett-Packard Co. wrote down
$8.8 billion in 2012 on its acquisition of U.K. software maker Autonomy. A
year prior, the company wrote down $885 million based on its 2010 Palm
acquisition.
Sale premiums are typically higher on technology
assets, because they’re “priced on growth, rather than near-term
profitability,” said Glen Kernick, technology industry leader at Duff &
Phelps Corp., a valuation and corporate finance advisory firm.
“Tech companies are carrying a higher proportion of
goodwill…with allocations of greater than 50%,” he said. “Deals and
valuations are premised on risker synergies and future technologies.”
Five information technology companies in the S&P
500 recorded goodwill impairment charges or write-downs during their 2014
fiscal year, according to S&P Capital IQ. Communications equipment maker
Juniper Networks Inc. recorded the largest goodwill impairment in 2014, $850
million, for its security reporting unit.
Yahoo Inc. took an $88.4 million impairment hit in
2014 based on the value of its units in the Middle East, India and Southeast
Asia, according to a regulatory filing.
In 2013, Earthlink Holdings Corp. and Applied
Materials Inc. reported the largest tech write-downs, according to Duff
&Phelps, at $256.7 million and $224 million, respectively. The companies did
not return requests for comment.
Mr. Kernick said he expects to see more tech
company impairment charges as valuations in certain parts of the sector are
getting “a little frothy.” Pricing for cloud-computing and mobile payment
companies are worth watching, he said.
Continued in article
The Professional's Guide to Fair Value: The Future of Financial Reporting
by James P. Catty
Wiley 2012 Edition
ISBN: 978-1-1180-0438-8
From the CFO.com Morning Ledger on May 13, 2013
Shift to valuations, estimates challenges auditors Corporate auditors must increasingly adjust their approach to
handle corporate financial statements that are now dominated by estimates
and valuations of assets, PCAOB member Jay Hanson said. In a speech posted
to the PCAOB website, Mr. Hanson said estimates and measurements are one of
the most frequently identified trouble spots by the U.S. auditor watchdog,
as managers and accountants have to spend more time focusing on the fair
value of financial instruments, goodwill impairments and intangible assets
in the new economy,
Emily Chasan notes. “Thirty
years ago, financial statements were dominated by tangible assets and
historical cost accounting,” Mr. Hanson said. “Today, after rapid advances
in technology, the development of innovative business models and the
mind-numbing complexity of many investments, the balance sheets of an
increasing number of companies are dominated by valuation estimates.”
To my knowledge the first accountant to assert
that fair value accounting was "truth" to my knowledge was Kenneth
MacNeal. I've really enjoyed these intense
friendly debates about single-column versus multiple column financial
statements with Tom Selling and Patricia Walters on the AECM. But I
do not want to leave anybody with the impression that I'm an advocate of
historical costing balance sheets. I'm opposed to such balance
sheets for reasons never envisioned by current value reporting scholars
like Kenneth MacNeal, John Canning, Ray Chambers, Bob Sterling, Edgar
Edwards, Phillip Bell, and others. I merely advocate a historical cost
column in the balance sheet because I believe there is value added in
reporting net earnings based upon only legally realized revenues and
profits under the matching principle. I do think the historical cost
balance accounts are residuals of the realized revenue matching concept
that have enormous limitations in terms of evaluating financial
opportunities and risks.
The first scholar to ever associate exit value accounting to "Truth in
Accounting" to my knowledge was Kenneth MacNeal in the context of going
concern accounting (as opposed to personal financial statements and business
liquidation accounting). His 1939 book Truth in Accounting made a
strong case for exit value accounting.
For nearly 100 years leading academics have
advocated some type of current cost or value replacement of the
historical cost basis of accounting. Historical cost never pretended, as
repeatedly noted by AC Littleton, to be valuation accounting. In 1929,
John Canning started the ball rolling for current (replacement) cost
accounting, which is sometimes called "entry value" accounting. In 1939,
Kenneth MacNeal commenced the ball rolling for exit value accounting
where buildings, vehicles, and factory machinery are valued at what they
can sell for, rather than amortized historical costs.
From an academic standpoint the literature on
value accounting has probably been more focused upon the bad features
(e.g., goodwill accounting) of historical cost accounting rather than on
convincing research that some type of "value" accounting justifies the
costs of preparation. The sermons on the evils of historical cost
accounting became less convincing as research emerged in the 1990s
showing that historical cost accounting really did have value for both
earnings and stock price forecasting.
John Canning's current (replacement) cost baton
has now been passed to Tom Selling. Like John Canning, Tom advocates
that business firms spend tens of billions of dollars annually shifting
from traditional historical cost reporting of operating assets to
replacement costs. The problem is that replacement cost advocates can
point to zero research convincing us that the benefits of such drastic
changes in financial statements justify the costs.
Entry (replacement) cost adjustments of historical costs advocated early
on in John Canning's famous doctoral dissertation really is not in
the realm of "fair value" accounting since it is really is only
cost-adjusted accounting complete with all the arbitrary accruals that exit
value theorists hate such as depreciation and amortization.
So let's return to exit value accounting and "Truth""
"Truth in Accounting: The Ordeal of Kenneth MacNeal," by S.A. Zeff,
The Accounting Review, July 1982.
MacNeal's book was controversial to say the least and was generally
not well received at first, although various scholars picked up the exit
valuation ball and ran with it in accounting theory. Highly notable were
Accounting Hall of Famers Ray Chambers, Bob Sterling, Edgar Edwards, and
Phillip Bell ---
http://fisher.osu.edu/departments/accounting-and-mis/the-accounting-hall-of-fame/membership-in-hall/
Some of MacNeal's deciples were thus inducted into the Hall of Fame whereas
he himself has been overlooked.
Shortly thereafter in 1939 Hall of Famers Bill Paton and A.C. Littleton
countered MacNeal in their 1940 defense of historical cost accounting on the
grounds that it was never intended to be valuation accounting. Rather it
focused more on the income statement and the Matching Principle were as a
result of double entry accounting the balance sheet was a secondary
accumulation of residuals. In fair value accounting the balance sheet is
primary and the income statement is an accumulation of residuals that
comingle realized transactions with unrealized changes in value.
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#Paton
Whereas some fair value advocates claim that exit value accounting is the
only "truth" in accounting, other accounting theorists are more cautious
about throwing about the word "truth" --- especially in our Academy where
words like "truth" and "proof" are generally avoided outside the context of
explicit underlying assumptions that are almost always open to debate.
I will close this tidbit with several articles that I think dispel the
notion that fair value accounting is "truth" outside certain concepts and
assumptions.
Article One (when financial statements became less predictive)
Although I could never find good economic reasons why traditional
financial statements like those of the 1970s and 1980s were predictive of
future performance, there are tons of empirical studies that show that
traditional accounting earnings are predictive of future performance.
Practically every TAR and JAR paper had one or more articles pointing to
predictive values of traditional accounting studies.
More recent studies in the past decade indicate that fair value financial
statements are less predictive.
At the AAA meeting in
DC, I attended a presidential address by Ray Ball and Phil Brown
regarding their seminal research paper (JAR 1968). They described the
motivation for their study as a test of existing scholarly research that
painted a dim picture of reported earnings. The earlier writers noted
that earnings were based on old information (historical cost) or, worse
yet, a mix of old and new information (mixed attributes). The early
articles concluded that earnings could not be informative, and therefore
major changes to accounting practice where necessary to correct the
problem.
Ball and Brown viewed
this literature as providing a testable hypothesis – market participants
should not be able to use earnings in a profitable manner. Stated
another way, knowing the amount of earnings that would be reported at
the end of the year with certainty could not be used to profitably trade
common stocks at the beginning of the year. Evidence to the contrary
would suggest the null that earnings are non-informative does not hold.
While the methods part
of the paper is probably difficult for recent accounting archivalists to
follow, Ball and Brown produce perhaps the single most famous graph in
the accounting literature. It shows stock returns trending up over the
year for companies that ultimately report increases in earnings and
trending down for companies that report decreases in earnings. Thus they
show that accounting numbers can be informative even if the aggregate
number is not computed using a single unified measurement approach
across transactions/events. Subsequent research would show that numbers
from the income statement have predictive ability for future earnings
and cash flows.
As I sat listening to
these two research icons, I could not help but think about some comments
I have heard recently from a few standard setters and practitioners.
Those individuals express contempt for EPS in a mixed attribute world.
They appear to wish they could jump in a time machine and eliminate per
share computations related to income. I readily admit that EPS does not
explain much of the variance in returns over periods of one year or less
( e.g., Lev, JAR 1989). However the link is clearly significant, and
over longer periods, the R2’s are quite high (Easton, Harris, and Ohlson,
JAE 1992). Can the standard setters make incremental improvements to
increase usefulness of EPS? I sure hope so, and maybe the recent paper
posted by Alex Milburn will help. But dismissing a reported number
because it is not derived from a single consistent measurement attribute
– be it fair value or historical cost – seems to revert back to pre-Ball
and Brown views that are rejected by years of research.
Jensen Comment
Given the balance sheet focus of the FASB and the IASB at the expense of the
income statement I don't see how net income or eps could be anything but
misleading to investors and financial analysts. The biggest hit, in my
opinion, is the way the FASB and IASB create earnings volatility not only
unrealized fair value changes but the utter fiction created by posting fair
value changes that will never ever be realized for held-to-maturity
investments and debt. This was not the case at the time of the seminal Ball
and Brown article. Those were olden days before accounting standards
injected huge doses of fair value fiction in eps numbers so beloved by
investors and analysts.
Article Two (when "truth" is not in fair value earnings
Largely because fair value theorists cannot define net income on anything
other than cherry-picked Hicksian theory, the FASB and IASB standard setters
instead focus on the balance sheet where think they are on more solid
footing conceptualizing assets and liabilities. This, however, is not
without its troubles.
See
"The Asset and Liability View: What It Is and What It Is Not—Implications
for International Accounting Standard Setting from a Theoretical Point of
View"
Jens Wüstemann, University of Mannheim; Sonja Wüstemann, Goethe University
Frankfurt am Main
American Accounting Association Annual Meetings, August 4, 2010
http://aaahq.org/AM2010/display.cfm?Filename=SubID_2022.pdf&MIMEType=application%2Fpdf
I would like you to especially note the reference to the "stewardship
function" below in the context of historical cost accounting.
ABSTRACT
In their current standard setting projects the FASB and the IASB seek to
enhance consistency in the application of accounting standards and
comparability of financial statements by fully implementing the asset
and liability view. However, neither in standard setting nor in the
accounting literature is there agreement on what the asset and liability
view constitutes. In this paper, we show that the asset and liability
view is compatible with different, sometimes even opposing concepts,
such as historical cost accounting and fair value accounting, and thus
cannot ensure internal consistency on its own. By means of the example
of revenue recognition we point out the difficulty to determine the
changes in assets and liabilities that shall give rise to revenue. We
argue that the increase in assets that leads to revenue is the
obtainment of the right to consideration and thus should be focused on
by the
Boards.
1. Introduction
A major aim of the FASB and the
IASB in their current standard setting projects is to achieve internal
consistency of the accounting regimes U.S. GAAP and IFRS (IASB 2008c,
BC2.46; IASB 2008a, S3; IASB 2008d, par. 5; IASB 2009, p. 5). One of the
reasons for inconsistencies in present U.S. GAAP and IFRS is that
recognition and measurement principles and rules are developed on the
basis of two competing concepts − the asset and liability view and the
revenue and expense view (Wüstemann and Wüstemann 2010).
Until the 1970s the so called
revenue and expense view had been prevailing in international accounting
standard setting. In the U.S. this view was introduced by Paton and
Littleton in the American Accounting Association Monograph No. 3 in 1940
(Paton and Littleton 1940: 1956) and soon became the state of the art in
U.S. accounting theory and practice. Similar developments took place in
other countries, e.g. Germany, where Schmalenbach (1919) was the main
driver for the establishment of the comparable ’dynamic accounting
theory’
(Dynamische
Bilanztheorie)
According to the revenue and expense view the principal purpose of
accounting is to determine periodic net income as a measure of an
entity’s effectiveness in using inputs to obtain and sell output (stewardship
function) by recognising
revenue when it is earned or realised and by matching the related costs
with those revenues (FASB 1976, par. 38−42; Paton and Littleton 1940:
1956, p. 10 et sqq.; see for the tradition of the stewardship function
Edwards, Dean and Clarke 2009). Some proponents of the revenue and
expense view see net income as an indicator of an entity’s ‘usual,
normal, or extended performance’ (‘earning power’) (FASB 1976, par. 62)
that may help users not only to assess management’s performance but also
to estimate the value of the firm (Black 1980, p. 20; Breidleman 1973,
p. 654). This requires irregular and random events that distort net
periodic profit, such as the receipt of grants and losses from bad debt,
to be smoothed out (Beidleman 1973, p. 653 et sqq.; Bevis 1965: 1986, p.
104−107; FASB 1976, par. 59; Schmalenbach 1919, p. 32−36). Under the
revenue and expense view the function of the balance sheet is to ‘store’
residuals resulting from the matching and allocation process; the
deferred debits and credits depicted in the balance sheet do not
necessarily represent resources and obligations (Paton and Littleton
1940: 1956, p. 72−74; Schmalenbach 1919, p. 26; Sprouse 1978, p. 68).
In the
1970s the FASB realised that the key concepts under the revenue and
expense view − revenues and expenses − are not precisely definable
making earnings ‘unduly subject to the effects of personal opinion about
what earnings of an enterprise for a period should be’ (FASB 1976, par.
60). In order to limit arbitrary judgements and to achieve a more
consistent income determination the FASB decided to shift the focus to
the more robust concepts of assets and liabilities and thus to the asset
and liability view as evidenced by the issuance of SFAC 3
Elements of
Financial Statements
(now SFAC 6) in 1980
(Storey 2003, p. 35 et sqq.; Miller 1990, p. 26 et seq.; see for a
similar development in Germany around the same time Moxter 1993). The so
called asset and liability view in the U.S. has its origins in the
Sprouse and Moonitz monograph that was published in 1962 as part of the
AICPA’s Accounting Research Studies.
Under this view all financial
statement elements are derived from the definitions of assets and
liabilities. Income resulting from changes in assets and liabilities
measures an entity’s increase in net assets (FASB 1976, par. 34; Johnson
2004, p. 1; Ronen 2008, p. 184; Sprouse and Moonitz 1962, par. 11, 46,
49). The asset and liability view can serve the purpose to objectify
income measurement by restricting recognition in the balance sheet to
those items that embody resources and obligations (Sprouse 1978, p. 70).
Alternatively, the asset and liability view can be adopted in order to
inform users about future cash flows that are expected to flow from an
entity’s assets and liabilities, which are supposed to help them in
estimating firm value (Scott 1997, p. 159−162; Hitz 2007, p. 333 and
336−338).
Despite the declared shift from
the revenue and expense view to the asset and liability view in the
1970s, certain U.S. standards and also the ‘older’ IFRS, for example
those on revenue recognition, still follow the revenue and expense view
(Ernst & Young 2009, p. 1558; Wüstemann and Kierzek 2005, p. 82 et
seq.). In the beginning of the 21st century the FASB and the IASB have
begun several projects, above all the Conceptual Framework Project, that
shall lead to an all-embracing implementation of the asset and liability
view (Wüstemann and Wüstemann 2010).
We observe that both in the
accounting literature and the standard setting processes, there is
confusion about the meaning and implications of the asset and liability
view, especially as regards the role of the realisation principle and
the matching principle as well as fair value measurement (see literature
review below). A second problem is that the asset and liability view
does not provide clear guidance on how assets and liabilities shall be
defined and which changes in assets and liabilities shall give rise to
income. The FASB and the IASB have − up to now − been struggling with
the problem of bringing current revenue recognition guidance in
conformity with the asset and liability view for seven years. In
December 2008, they finally published a Discussion Paper ‘Preliminary
Views on Revenue Recognition in Contracts with Customers’, but the
issuance of the new standard is not yet foreseeable.
The aim of this paper is to shed
light on the conceptual underpinnings of the asset and liability view,
to clarify misunderstandings in the accounting literature and standard
setting about its meaning and to discuss implications for international
accounting standard setting. The remainder is organised as follows: In
the first part of the paper we depict the different opinions that exist
with regard to the asset and liability view and then clarify the concept
by defining recognition and measurement principles as well as purposes
of financial statements that are compatible with this view.
Subsequently, we analyse in how far the asset and liability view is
implemented in present U.S. GAAP and IFRS and in which areas accounting
principles still exist that oppose the asset and liability view. In the
final part we point out the difficulty to define assets and liabilities
taking the current FASB’s and IASB’s joint project on revenue
recognition as an example and make suggestions for improvement.
I think the major problem, aside from the cost of generating more
relevant and reliable information, is that standards setters never look
beyond single-column financial statements that inevitably lead them to
horrid mixed model measurements that destroy aggregations into summary
measures like "Total Assets" and "Net Income." Bob Herz recommends doing
away with aggregating net income metrics. I recommend having multiple
columns and multiple net income aggregations.
See
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory02.htm#ChangesOnTheWay
Article Three (when "truth" is not in fair value earnings)
Spinning Debt Into Earnings With the Wave of a Fair Value Accounting
Wand
"Euro banks' £169bn in accounting alchemy," by: Lindsey White, Financial
Times Advisor, January 19, 2009 --- Click Here
European banks conjured more than £169bn of
debt into profit on their balance sheets in the third quarter of 2008, a
leaked report shows.
Money Managementhas gained exclusive access to
a report from JP Morgan, surveying 43 western European banks.
It shows an exact breakdown of which banks
increased their asset values simply by reclassifying their holdings.
Germany is Europe's largest economy, and was
the first European nation to announce that it was in recession in 2008.
Based on an exchange rate of 1 Euro to £0.89, its two largest banks,
Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank, reclassified £22.2bn and £39bn
respectively.
At the same exchange rate, several major UK
banks also made the switch. RBS reclassified £27.1bn of assets, HBOS
reclassified £13.7bn, HSBC reclassified £7.6bn and Lloyds TSB changed
£3.2bn. A number of Nordic and Italian banks also switched debts to
become profits.
Banks are allowed to rearrange these staggering
debts thanks to an October 2008 amendment to an International Accounting
Standards law, IAS 39. Speaking to MM, IAS board member Philippe Danjou
said that the amendment was passed in "record time".
The board received special permission to bypass
traditional due process, ushering through the amendment in a matter of
days, in order to allow banks to apply the changes to their third
quarter reports.
However, it is unclear how much choice the
board actually had in the matter.
IASB chairman Sir David Tweedie was outspoken
in his opposition to the change, publicly admitting that he nearly
resigned as a result of pressure from European politicians to change the
rules.
Danjou also admitted that he had mixed views on
the change, telling MM, "This is not the best way to proceed. We had to
do it. It's a one off event. I'd prefer to go back to normal due
process."
While he was reluctant to point fingers at
specific politicians, Danjou admitted that Europe's "largest economies"
were the most insistent on passing the change.
As at December 2008, no major French,
Portuguese, Spanish, Swiss or Irish banks had used the amendment.
BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Danske Bank,
Natixis and Societe Generale were expected to reclassify their assets in
the fourth quarter of 2008.
The amendment was passed to shore up bank
balance sheets and restore confidence in the midst of the current credit
crunch. But it remains to be seen whether reclassifying major debts is
an effective tactic.
"Because the market situation was unique,
events from the outside world forced us to react quickly," said Danjou.
"We do not wish to do it too often. It's risky, and things can get
missed."
Article Four (when amortized cost seems to more of the
"truth")
The Downside of Fair Value Accounting for Money Funds
From the CFO.com Morning Ledger on April 30, 2013
Treasurers Hunt for Money Fund Alternatives
Corporate treasurers are hunting for alternatives
to money-market funds as the SEC eyes reforms. The biggest concern is that
money funds would have to report daily changes in the value of their
underlying assets, which would make their share prices fluctuate, writes
Vipal Monga in today’s Marketplace section. That could complicate accounting
and leave companies facing potential tax liabilities.
Proponents of floating share prices say the shift
would boost transparency. And any fluctuations in asset values aren’t
expected to be dramatic. But treasurers worry that even a little bit of
volatility would force them to track the value of the funds more closely,
which could require more staff and upgrades in software and accounting
systems. “The investor would need to keep track of the cost basis of each
investment, and would have a tax liability to pay on any gain,” said Tom
Deas, treasurer of chemical company FMC and chairman of the National
Association of Corporate Treasurers.
Among the alternatives, some corporate treasurers
are looking at separately managed accounts, which are custom-made investment
vehicles run by money managers. “If money funds are forced to go to a
floating NAV, we will see a lot of companies shift a larger portion of their
balances to separately managed portfolios,” said Jerry Klein, managing
director at investment adviser Treasury Partners. Even so, companies have
found that it’s not easy to recreate the advantages of money
funds—especially in terms of easy access to their cash.
Recent events have caused the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to rethink the long-standing use of
amortized cost by money market mutual funds in valuing their investments in
securities. This practice supports the use of the stable net asset value (a
“buck” a share) in trading shares in such funds. Some critics have
challenged this accounting practice, arguing that it somehow misleads
investors by obfuscating changes in value or implicitly guaranteeing a
stable share price.
This paper shows that the use of
amortized cost by money market mutual funds is supported by more than 30
years of regulatory and accounting standard-setting consideration. In
addition, its use has been significantly constrained through recent SEC
actions that further ensure its appropriate use. Accounting standard setters
have accepted this treatment as being in compliance with generally accepted
accounting principles (GAAP). Finally, available data indicate that
amortized cost does not differ materially from market value for investments
industry wide. In short, amortized cost is “fair” for money market funds.
Background
Money market
mutual funds have been in the news a great deal recently as the SEC first
scheduled and then postponed a much-anticipated late August vote to consider
further tightening regulations on the industry.1
Earlier, Chairman Mary
Schapiro had testified to Congress about her intention to strengthen the SEC
regulation of such funds, in light of issues arising during the financial
crisis of 2008 when one prominent fund “broke the buck,” resulting in modest
losses to its investors. Sponsors of some other funds have sometimes
provided financial support to maintain stable net asset values. And certain
funds recently experienced heavy redemptions due to the downgrade of the
U.S. Treasury’s credit rating and the European banking crisis.
Money market funds historically have
priced their shares at $1, a practice that facilitates their widespread use
by corporate treasurers, municipalities, individuals, and many others who
seek the convenience of low-risk, highly liquid investments. This $1 per
share pricing convention also conforms to the funds’ accounting for their
investments in short-term debt securities using amortized cost. This method
means that, in the absence of an event jeopardizing the fund’s repayment
expectation with respect to any investment, the value at which these funds
carry their investments is the amount paid (cost) for the investments, which
may include a discount or premium to the face amount of the security. Any
discount or premium is recorded (amortized) as an adjustment of yield over
the life of the security, such that amortized cost equals the principal
value at maturity.
Some commentators have criticized the
use of this amortized cost methodology and argued for its elimination. In a
telling example of the passionate but inaccurate attention being devoted to
this issue, an editorial in the June 10, 2012, Wall Street Journal
described this longstanding financial practice in a heavily regulated
industry as an “accounting fiction” and an “accounting gimmick.”
. . .
Reasoning for Use of Amortized Cost
The FASB has been considering various
aspects of the accounting for financial instruments for approximately 25
years. During that time it has issued standards on topics such as accounting
for marketable securities, accounting for derivative instruments and
hedging, impairment, disclosure, and others. Also, the FASB has issued
standards or endorsed standards issued by the AICPA of a specialized nature
applying to certain industry groups such as investment companies, insurance
companies, broker/dealers, and banks. Further, the FASB is presently
involved in a major project that has encompassed approximately the past 10
years, whereby it is endeavoring to conform its standards on financial
instruments to the related standards issued by the International Accounting
Standards Board. Aspects of that project have stalled recently, and the two
boards have reached different conclusions on certain key issues. Other
aspects of that project are moving forward.
Over this 25-year period, probably the
most controversial aspect of the financial instruments project has been to
what extent those instruments should be carried at market or fair value in
financial statements rather than historical cost. On several occasions the
FASB has indicated a strong preference for fair value as a general
objective. But there has been a great deal of opposition from many quarters,
and the FASB has tended to determine the appropriate measurement attribute
for particular instruments (fair value, amortized cost, etc.) in different
projects based on the facts and circumstances in each case.
. . . (very long passages
from this 21-page article are not quoted here)
Conclusion
Accounting for investment securities
by money market mutual funds appropriately remains based on amortized cost.
The amortized cost method of accounting is supported by the very short-term
duration, high quality, and hold-to-maturity nature of most of the
investments held. The SEC’s 2010 rule changes have considerably strengthened
the conditions under which these policies are being applied. As a result of
the 2010 SEC rule changes, funds now report the market value of each
investment in a monthly schedule submitted to the SEC that is then made
publicly available after 60 days. That provides additional information for
investors. And the FASB’s current thinking articulates this accounting
treatment as GAAP.
Jensen Comment
My main objection to booking fair values of HTM investments is that the interim
adjustments for fair values that will never be realized destroys the income
statement. Of course, the FASB and IASB have systematically destroyed the
concept of net earnings in many other standards to a point where these standard
setters can no longer even define net earnings.
The good news is that the FASB has a proposal to offset fair value
adjustments of assets and liabilities to Other Comprehensive Income (OCI)
instead of current earnings. Let's hope this becomes the rule of the land.
Frank Partnoy and Lynn Turner contend that Wall Street
bank accounting is an exercise in writing fiction with fair values:
Watch the video! (a bit slow loading)
Lynn Turner is Partnoy's co-author of the white paper."Make Markets Be Markets"
"Bring Transparency to Off-Balance Sheet Accounting," by Frank Partnoy,
Roosevelt Institute, March 2010 ---
http://www.rooseveltinstitute.org/policy-and-ideas/ideas-database/bring-transparency-balance-sheet-accounting
Watch the video!
Sydney Finkelstein, the Steven Roth professor of
management at the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College, also pointed out
that Bank of America booked a $2.2 billion gain by increasing the value of
Merrill Lynch’s assets it acquired last quarter to prices that were higher than
Merrill kept them. “Although perfectly legal, this move is also perfectly
delusional, because some day soon these assets will be written down to their
fair value, and it won’t be pretty,” he said
"Bank Profits Appear Out of Thin Air ," by Andrew Ross Sorkin,
The New York Times, April 20, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/21/business/21sorkin.html?_r=1&dbk
This is starting to feel
like amateur hour for aspiring magicians.
Another day, another attempt
by a Wall Street bank to pull a bunny out of the hat, showing off an
earnings report that it hopes will elicit oohs and aahs from the market.
Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and, on Monday, Bank of America all
tried to wow their audiences with what appeared to be — presto! —
better-than-expected numbers.
But in each case, investors
spotted the attempts at sleight of hand, and didn’t buy it for a second.
With Goldman Sachs, the
disappearing month of December didn’t quite disappear (it changed its
reporting calendar, effectively erasing the impact of a $1.5 billion loss
that month); JPMorgan Chase reported a dazzling profit partly because the
price of its bonds dropped (theoretically, they could retire them and buy
them back at a cheaper price; that’s sort of like saying you’re richer
because the value of your home has dropped); Citigroup pulled the same
trick.
Bank of America sold its
shares in China Construction Bank to book a big one-time profit, but Ken
Lewis heralded the results as “a testament to the value and breadth of the
franchise.”
Sydney Finkelstein,
the Steven Roth professor of management at the Tuck School of Business at
Dartmouth College, also pointed out that Bank of America booked a $2.2
billion gain by increasing the value of Merrill Lynch’s assets it acquired
last quarter to prices that were higher than Merrill kept them.
“Although perfectly
legal, this move is also perfectly delusional, because some day soon these
assets will be written down to their fair value, and it won’t be pretty,” he
said.
Investors reacted by
throwing tomatoes. Bank of America’s stock plunged 24 percent, as did other
bank stocks. They’ve had enough.
Why can’t anybody read the
room here? After all the financial wizardry that got the country — actually,
the world — into trouble, why don’t these bankers give their audience what
it seems to crave? Perhaps a bit of simple math that could fit on the back
of an envelope, with no asterisks and no fine print, might win cheers
instead of jeers from the market.
What’s particularly puzzling
is why the banks don’t just try to make some money the old-fashioned way.
After all, earning it, if you could call it that, has never been easier with
a business model sponsored by the federal government. That’s the one in
which Uncle Sam and we taxpayers are offering the banks dirt-cheap money,
which they can turn around and lend at much higher rates.
“If the federal government
let me borrow money at zero percent interest, and then lend it out at 4 to
12 percent interest, even I could make a profit,” said Professor Finkelstein
of the Tuck School. “And if a college professor can make money in banking in
2009, what should we expect from the highly paid C.E.O.’s that populate
corner offices?”
But maybe now the banks are
simply following the lead of Washington, which keeps trotting out the latest
idea for shoring up the financial system.
The latest big idea is the
so-called stress test that is being applied to the banks, with
results expected at the end of this month.
This is playing to a tough
crowd that long ago decided to stop suspending disbelief. If the stress test
is done honestly, it is impossible to believe that some banks won’t fail. If
no bank fails, then what’s the value of the stress test? To tell us
everything is fine, when people know it’s not?
“I can’t think of a single,
positive thing to say about the stress test concept — the process by which
it will be carried out, or outcome it will produce, no matter what the
outcome is,” Thomas K. Brown, an analyst at Bankstocks.com, wrote. “Nothing
good can come of this and, under certain, non-far-fetched scenarios, it
might end up making the banking system’s problems worse.”
The results of the stress
test could lead to calls for capital for some of the banks. Citi is
mentioned most often as a candidate for more help, but there could be
others.
The expectation, before
Monday at least, was that the government would pump new money into the banks
that needed it most.
But that was before the
government reached into its bag of tricks again. Now Treasury, instead of
putting up new money, is considering swapping its preferred shares in these
banks for common shares.
The benefit to the bank is
that it will have more capital to meet its ratio requirements, and therefore
won’t have to pay a 5 percent dividend to the government. In the case of
Citi, that would save the bank hundreds of millions of dollars a year.
And — ta da! — it will
miraculously stretch taxpayer dollars without spending a penny more.
"HSBC paid out $4.2bn (£2.8bn) last year to cover
the cost of past wrongdoing. As well as $1.9bn in fines for money
laundering, the bank also set aside another $2.3bn for mis-selling financial
products in the UK. The figures came as HSBC reported rising underlying
profitability and revenue in 2012, and an overall profit before tax of
$20.6bn
Chief executive Stuart Gulliver's total
remuneration for 2012 was some $7m, compared with $6.7m the year before. And
after taking account of the deferral of pay this year and in more
highly-remunerated years previously, Mr Gulliver actually received $14.1m in
2012, up from $10.6m in 2011.
The company's 16 top executives received an average
of $4.9m each."
"During a conference call to present the results,
Mr Gulliver told investors that the bank was not reconsidering whether to
relocate its headquarters from London back to Hong Kong, in order to avoid a
recently agreed worldwide cap on bonuses of all employees of banks based in
the EU."
"HSBC's underlying profits - which ignore one-time
accounting effects as well as the impact of changes in the bank's
creditworthiness - rose 18%."
"The bank's results were heavily affected by a
negative "fair value adjustment" to its own debt of $5.2bn in 2012, compared
with a positive adjustment of $3.9bn the year before. The adjustment is an
accounting requirement that takes account of the price at which HSBC could
buy back its own debts from the markets. It has the perverse effect of
flattering a bank's profits at a time when markets are more worried about
its ability to repay its debts, and vice versa."
More in article.
Regards,
Roger
Roger Collins
Associate Professor
OM1275 TRU School of Business & Economics
If the auditors don't settle, then (follow me
on this one) the SEC will have to convince the ALJ that the auditors
acted "unreasonably" by not concluding that the numbers
fed to them by management were themselves "unreasonable."
I tried to point out that both auditors and management relied upon
"unreasonable" mortgage value estimates thousands of thousands of mortgage
valuation experts at the time of the KPMG audit in question. Over 99.999%
of those valuation experts were greatly overvaluing those poisoned mortgages
in Countrywide Financial, IndyMac Bank, Ameriquest, Wells Fargo, Washington
Mutual, etc. The exception was Peter Schiff, but nobody was listening to
him.
Sleazy real estate appraisers were greatly overvaluing properties serving
as collateral.
Security valuation experts were greatly overvaluing the mortgages. and
CDO portfolios comprised of those mortgage investments. Many relied upon the
flawed
Gaussian copula function.
Your proposals for improved auditing almost always entail suggesting that
auditors rely on "independent valuation experts."
My point is that in these particular instance of auditors at Countrywide,
IndyMac, Washington Mutual, and the others virtually all "independent
valuation experts" were going to agree to unreliable valuations by experts
for reasons given in Professor Galbaith's Senate Testimony:
"Why the ‘Experts’ Failed to See How Financial Fraud Collapsed the
Economy," by "James K. Galbraith, Big Picture, June 2, 2010 ---
http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/2010/06/james-k-galbraith-why-the-experts-failed-to-see-how-financial-fraud-collapsed-the-economy/
My point is that fair value accounting and KPMG's auditing relying on
"independent valuation experts" of the mortgages in Countrywide would not
have helped to predict that Countrywide was no longer a going concern.
The valuation experts across the U.S.A. did not foresee the collapse of the
mortgage lending companies and Wall Street investment banks until after the
bubble burst.
Where did the auditors fail?
The CPA auditors like KPMG and the other Big Four firms failed because they
did not go granular on a sampling of mortgages held by Countrywide
Financial, IndyMac Bank, Ameriquest, Wells Fargo, Washington Mutual, Bear
Stearns, Lehman Bros., Merrill Lynch, and over 1,000 other failed banks.
The failing was to rely upon valuation experts rather than to themselves
sample the mortgage investments during audits to investigate the likelihood
of mortgages failing.
The auditors should have detected that there was not a snow ball chance
in Hell that Mervene on welfare and food stamps was going to pay off a
$103,000 mortgage on her shack.
Diligent auditors should've detected themselves that something was wrong
if a woman on welfare could get a $103,000 mortgage on that cheap shack.
My contention is that the CPA audit firms failed because they relied upon
fair value estimates from "valuation experts" as being "reasonable." They
should've instead done a deeper granular investigation of the mortgage
investments themselves. There is precedent for this in auditing. In the
early days of FAS 133, audit firms were aware that they were outsourcing too
much to banks for the valuation of derivative financial instruments. Very
quickly the audit firms purchased their own Bloomberg or Reuters Terminals
and began to themselves value samplings of each client's investments in
derivative financial instruments.
Conclusion
Hence, I would contend that instead of relying upon "independent valuation
experts" for loan investments, CPA auditors should instead go granular on
samplings of those loans to investigate the likelihood of paybacks on those
loans.
It did not even take an accounting degree to realize that Marvene was
never going to pay back this loan once the mortgage lending firm sold it to
Fannie Mae --- which was tantamount to sticking government with the
Mervene's loan loss.
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Sleaze
In his desire
to take Dell private, billionaire founder and CEO Michael Dell
agreed in February to value his stake of more than 15%
in the company at a lower share price than other shareholders. Hoping that
would make the deal more attractive to potential suitors, he valued Dell at
$13.65 a share, while analysts and other private equity firms claimed it was
worth almost double that.
The Dell buyout saga shows how important measuring
fair value (the price at which an asset can be sold in current markets) is,
particularly for mergers and acquisition. And with changes
in fair-value accounting going into
effect during the next financial reporting periods for most corporations,
CFOs and other senior executives will need to keep an even sharper focus on
it—whether for acquisitions, or simply to re-value land or property.
International Financial Reporting Standard No. 13,
or
IFRS 13, which gives guidance on how to measure an
asset’s fair value, went into effect on January 1. But firms are still in
the process of implementing the standard. Both the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) and Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB)
issued IFRS 13 in 2011 to provide investors with an easier and more
consistent way to analyze corporate assets that would still be aligned with
U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP).
IFRS 13 applies to most corporations, explained
David Larsen, managing director of the alternative asset advisory practice
at Duff and Phelps. Speaking at a Duff and Phelps IFRS 13 webcast yesterday,
he said the standard comes into play for any company that must disclose
fair-value measurement for M&A activity, asset impairment, or activity
involving investment entities (units which obtain funds from investors in
exchange for investment management services), he said. “In many ways, that’s
almost everybody.”
Corporations must use fair-value measurement when
they initiate impairmenttesting (required evaluations
comparing an asset’s book value with its open-market value) under other
financial-reporting standards, including, for instance, those covering
Recognition and Measurement (IFRS 39), Financial Instruments (IFRS 9), and
Business Combinations (IFRS 3).
But not everyone is taking heed of some of the
biggest changes outlined in IFRS 13, such as those involving disclosure.
“The expansion of disclosures [about fair values] could be a new thing for
many; a lot of judgment goes into the disclosure area” said Larsen.
Specifically, corporations now must show more
support for the assumptions made on their fair-value measurement and,
particularly, more clarity in those assets that may be difficult to value.
Under the standard, which has been in development for at least eight years,
company's now must disclose fair values according to a three-level
hierarchy: for those assets in which quoted prices in active markets are
readily available (level 1); when that’s not available, corporations will
have to disclose fair values using inputs other than quoted prices included
within level 1 that are still observable (level 2); and if those aren't
available, they need to disclose fair value using inputs that still based on
market assumptions though they may be unobservable for the asset (level 3).
Disclosure also involves performing qualitative
sensitivity analysis (where a company provides a narrative
discussion if changing inputs would result in altermative assumptions about
fair value) and initiating a quantitative disclosure for Level 3 inputs in
addition to a quantitative one already in place in the regulation, according
to the webcast.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Note that valuing Michael Dell's stake in the company he founded is far more
difficult that estimating the fair value of assets on the balance sheet. The
reason is that many, many items of value such as human resources in his stake
are not even booked in the accounting ledgers because they are too difficult to
value ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#TheoryDisputes
From the CFO Morning Ledger on January 15, 2013
Companies are packing their annual audits full of
details on how they value hard-to-price assets, like thinly traded
securities, pension-fund assets and customer lists. The trend is a response
to regulator warnings that companies and auditors don’t fully understand
some of the figures they get from third-party valuation advisers and pricing
services, CFOJ’s
Emily Chasan writes in today’s Marketplace
section.
“The challenge for a CFO, or anyone in a financial
reporting group, is that suddenly they are being asked to talk about
investments as if they were a lifelong specialist in this category,” says
Verne Scazzero, CEO of Harvest Investments, which helps companies review the
value of their investments.
Tighter mark-to-market rules have forced businesses to
rely more on outside services that use computer modeling to help them
appraise “their most-esoteric assets,” Chasan writes. But now, companies
want to know more about those models. Corporate auditors are also consulting
with their national offices on tricky valuations, and hiring more advisers
to get a second opinion. “Auditors are going to be asking a lot more,”
questions about how values were determined, said John Keyser, national
director of assurance services at accounting firm McGladrey & Pullen. “The
work is exponential.”
On December 19, 2012, the
FASB (the “board”) met to clarify the applicability of an exemption from a
specific fair value disclosure for nonpublic entities.
The board decided to clarify that all nonpublic
entities are exempt from the requirement to disclose the categorization by
level of the fair value hierarchy for items disclosed but not measured on
the balance sheet at fair value.
What were the key decisions?
Certain nonpublic entities are excluded from the
requirement to disclose the fair value of their financial instruments not
measured at fair value on the balance sheet. Questions have arisen during
the adoption of ASU 2011-04, Amendments to Achieve Common Fair Value
Measurement and Disclosure Requirements in U.S. GAAP and IFRSs,
regarding which nonpublic entities are excluded from the new requirement to
disclose the categorization by level of the fair value hierarchy for items
not measured at fair value in the balance sheet but for which fair value is
disclosed. Some read the exemption to apply to only those nonpublic entities
that are able to apply the general exemption to not disclose the fair value
of their financial instruments.
The board voted to clarify that all nonpublic
entities are exempt from the requirement to disclose the level in the fair
value hierarchy for items disclosed but not measured on the balance sheet at
fair value. The board noted that this was its intent when it deliberated ASU
2011-04.
Is convergence achieved?
Although the issuance of ASU 2011-04 was the result
of a joint project on fair value conducted with the IASB, the disclosure
exemptions provided to nonpublic entities in ASU 2011-04 and confirmed at
this board meeting are only for reporting entities applying U.S. GAAP. A
similar scope exemption is not included in the IASB’s fair value standard.
Who's affected?
Nonpublic entities are affected by the
clarification.
What's the proposed effective date?
ASU 2011-04 is effective for nonpublic entities for
annual periods beginning after December 15, 2011. The clarification
described above is not expected to have a different effective date.
What's next?
A proposed ASU with the clarified language is
expected in January 2013. The board decided to provide a 15-day comment
period.
Questions?
PwC clients who have questions about this In
brief should contact their engagement partner. Engagement teams that
have questions should contact the Financial Instruments team in the National
Professional Services Group (1-973-236-780
To the best of my knowledge, credit sales are not
"realized". The are considered "realizable" because companies claim to be
able to estimate uncollectible accounts.
You may wish to claim that unrealized changes in
fair values of held financial assets are one step further away from being
realizable, but it is the choice if the reporting entity not to realize
those values rather than the choice if the customer to pay.
Jensen Reply
Yes I agree that the credit sales are a step further from unrealized fair
value changes, although that step is a huge one because defaults on
credit sales are enforceable by the the courts. Ups and downs of an
investment in 10,000 shares of Apple stock or call options on Apple shares
are only thin air gains and losses until sales transpire. Yes the step is a
huge one! Might I use the word "cliff?"
Example
When I was on the faculty at the University of Maine in the 1970s I owned an
ocean summer cottage on 11 acres of woods across the bay from Acadia
National Park. In those days, when there were no fears of rising ocean
levels, having a cottage 20 feet from the beach at high tide was sort of
neat. All such shoreline cottages either had to be purchased entirely for
cash or be partly seller financed. No commercial lenders like banks
and savings and loans associations would finance shore property in the
country, at least not in the 1970s.
When I moved to Florida State University in 1978 I sold my Maine summer
cottage on the basis of receiving 50% of the selling price in cash and a
first mortgage on the remainder due. There was no market for my note
investment on this property and default risk was virtually zero due to the
huge cash down payment. As far as I was concerned this was a
hold-to-maturity investment of a note that really had no trading market. If
the new owner wanted to settle before the 20-year maturity date he had to
pay me the amortized book value of the 12% note.
It might have been possible for me to enter into a customized vanilla
interest rate swap so that I could get a variable interest return on the
swap contract. But interim changes in that derivative swap contract does not
affect the notional. The changes value of the swap contract would be a
speculation value change to be reported as earnings as FAS 133. But my
mortgage note would still be held-to-maturity contract best valued at
historical cost amortized value.
More importantly, if the buyer of my cottage defaulted on the original
note it would not matter to either party on the swap contract because the
banks that negotiate such customized swaps guarantee the net swap payments
but not the underlying notionals. If the buyer of my cottage defaulted
on the original note, I would've commenced foreclosure proceedings. The last
thing the buyer or his heirs would want is to lose over 50% of the equity in
that shore property. The risk of default was virtually zero.
But the value of the mortgage note was its amortized cost that did not
vary since there was no market for such paper. If the buyer of the cottage
wanted to refinance due to lower interest rates he had to first pay off the
entire book value of his debt to me. That payoff value, unlike the swap
contract, was not subject to market fluctuations. Reporting changes in the
note's value due to changing interest rates would be pure fiction.
The buyer actually did pay off the note at book value about twelve years
later. Since interest rates had fallen so much I was surprised he waited
that long. His problem was that commercial lenders would still not make
loans on rural shore property.
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on November 8,
2013
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used to introduce fair value accounting for investments versus
historical cost accounting for loans receivable. Questions also ask students to
understand the CFO's personal responsibility for integrity in financial
statement filings and systems of internal control.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Of what wrongdoing has the SEC accused Fifth Third Bancorp of Cincinnati?
2. (Advanced)
What is the importance of classifying loans as held for sale rather than
classifying them as long-term receivables?
3. (Advanced)
Chief Financial Officer Daniel Poston certainly wasn't the only one directly
responsible for the bank's accounting in the third quarter of 2008. Why then is
he the one who is losing his position and facing a one-year ban practicing
before the SEC?
4. (Advanced)
Do you think that Mr. Poston will return to his position as CFO after his one
year ban on practicing in front of the SEC is completed? Explain your answer
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Fifth Third Bancorp FITB
-0.24% has moved its finance chief to a different post in connection with a
tentative agreement it reached with the staff of the Securities and Exchange
Commission regarding the lender's accounting.
The Cincinnati bank said
Daniel Poston will vacate the chief financial officer's and become chief
strategy and administrative officer. Fifth Third appointed Tayfun Tuzun, its
treasurer, to the role of finance chief.
The SEC is seeking a
one-year ban on Mr. Poston's ability to practice before the agency under
separate negotiations with the executive, the bank said.
Fifth Third said its
agreement in principle stems from an investigation into how Fifth Third
accounted for a portion of its commercial-real-estate portfolio in a regulatory
filing for the third quarter of 2008. The dispute focuses on whether the bank
should have classified certain loans as being "held for sale" in the third
quarter of that year rather than in the fourth quarter.
Fifth Third said it will
agree to an SEC order finding that the company failed to properly account for a
portion of the portfolio but will not admit or deny wrongdoing. The bank will
also pay a civil penalty under the agreement, the amount of which wasn't
disclosed.
The agreement requires
the approval of the SEC commissioners.
A spokeswoman for the SEC
and a spokesman for Fifth Third declined to comment.
Mr. Poston, who was
serving as Fifth Third's interim finance chief at the time of the activities, is
in separate settlement discussions with the SEC under which he would agree to
similar charges, a civil penalty and the one-year ban the agency is seeking, the
bank said.
The Latest from the AECM's Denny Beresford:
Are interim fair value adjustments “accounting
fictions” HTM investments?
"Money market fund investments are often held to maturity and any discount or
premium in the purchase price is realized by the fund."
While U.S. regulators are debating forcing money
market funds to let their share values float, former Financial Accounting
Standards Board Chairman Dennis Beresford defended the use of accounting
standards that allow money funds to maintain their stable $1-per-share
value.
In a paper released Thursday by the U.S. Chamber of
Commerce’s Center for Capital Markets, Beresford said the amortized cost
accounting used for money market funds is not a gimmick that gives a false
sense of security for the funds, but rather an efficient way to minimize
differences between the carrying value and fair value of their investments.
Recent events have caused the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to rethink the long-standing use of
amortized cost by money market mutual funds in valuing their investments in
securities. This practice supports the use of the stable net asset value (a
“buck” a share) in trading shares in such funds. Some critics have
challenged this accounting practice, arguing that it somehow misleads
investors by obfuscating changes in value or implicitly guaranteeing a
stable share price.
This paper shows that the use of
amortized cost by money market mutual funds is supported by more than 30
years of regulatory and accounting standard-setting consideration. In
addition, its use has been significantly constrained through recent SEC
actions that further ensure its appropriate use. Accounting standard setters
have accepted this treatment as being in compliance with generally accepted
accounting principles (GAAP). Finally, available data indicate that
amortized cost does not differ materially from market value for investments
industry wide. In short, amortized cost is “fair” for money market funds.
Background
Money market mutual funds have been in
the news a great deal recently as the SEC first scheduled and then postponed
a much-anticipated late August vote to consider further tightening
regulations on the industry.1
Earlier, Chairman
Mary Schapiro had testified to Congress about her intention to strengthen
the SEC regulation of such funds, in light of issues arising during the
financial crisis of 2008 when one prominent fund “broke the buck,” resulting
in modest losses to its investors. Sponsors of some other funds have
sometimes provided financial support to maintain stable net asset values.
And certain funds recently experienced heavy redemptions due to the
downgrade of the U.S. Treasury’s credit rating and the European banking
crisis.
Money market funds historically have
priced their shares at $1, a practice that facilitates their widespread use
by corporate treasurers, municipalities, individuals, and many others who
seek the convenience of low-risk, highly liquid investments. This $1 per
share pricing convention also conforms to the funds’ accounting for their
investments in short-term debt securities using amortized cost. This method
means that, in the absence of an event jeopardizing the fund’s repayment
expectation with respect to any investment, the value at which these funds
carry their investments is the amount paid (cost) for the investments, which
may include a discount or premium to the face amount of the security. Any
discount or premium is recorded (amortized) as an adjustment of yield over
the life of the security, such that amortized cost equals the principal
value at maturity.
Some commentators have criticized the
use of this amortized cost methodology and argued for its elimination. In a
telling example of the passionate but inaccurate attention being devoted to
this issue, an editorial in the June 10, 2012, Wall Street Journal
described this longstanding financial practice in a heavily regulated
industry as an “accounting fiction” and an “accounting gimmick.”
. . .
Reasoning for Use of Amortized Cost
The FASB has been considering various
aspects of the accounting for financial instruments for approximately 25
years. During that time it has issued standards on topics such as accounting
for marketable securities, accounting for derivative instruments and
hedging, impairment, disclosure, and others. Also, the FASB has issued
standards or endorsed standards issued by the AICPA of a specialized nature
applying to certain industry groups such as investment companies, insurance
companies, broker/dealers, and banks. Further, the FASB is presently
involved in a major project that has encompassed approximately the past 10
years, whereby it is endeavoring to conform its standards on financial
instruments to the related standards issued by the International Accounting
Standards Board. Aspects of that project have stalled recently, and the two
boards have reached different conclusions on certain key issues. Other
aspects of that project are moving forward.
Over this 25-year period, probably the
most controversial aspect of the financial instruments project has been to
what extent those instruments should be carried at market or fair value in
financial statements rather than historical cost. On several occasions the
FASB has indicated a strong preference for fair value as a general
objective. But there has been a great deal of opposition from many quarters,
and the FASB has tended to determine the appropriate measurement attribute
for particular instruments (fair value, amortized cost, etc.) in different
projects based on the facts and circumstances in each case.
. . . (very long passages
from this 21-page article are not quoted here)
Conclusion
Accounting for investment securities
by money market mutual funds appropriately remains based on amortized cost.
The amortized cost method of accounting is supported by the very short-term
duration, high quality, and hold-to-maturity nature of most of the
investments held. The SEC’s 2010 rule changes have considerably strengthened
the conditions under which these policies are being applied. As a result of
the 2010 SEC rule changes, funds now report the market value of each
investment in a monthly schedule submitted to the SEC that is then made
publicly available after 60 days. That provides additional information for
investors. And the FASB’s current thinking articulates this accounting
treatment as GAAP.
Jensen Comment
My main objection to booking fair values of HTM investments is that the interim
adjustments for fair values that will never be realized destroys the income
statement. Of course, the FASB and IASB have systematically destroyed the
concept of net earnings in many other standards to a point where these standard
setters can no longer even define net earnings.
Yes I think measuring earnings should be of primary index for all companies,
because a good measure of earnings with realistic bad debt estimates may be a
more important indicator of failures to come. Much of the S&L crisis was caused
by phony real estate fair value estimates and speculation coupled with phony bad
debt estimates. . I think the S&L crisis is a very poor basis for promoting
fair value accounting --- it's the phony real estate fair value measurements
that got us into trouble.
The importance of net income is illustrated somewhat in the Roaring 1990s tech
bubble where companies with big losses were trying to inflate stock prices in
every which way when reported losses were among the best predictors of their
ultimate demise.
In any case I am not talking about choosing one optimal reporting model. The
fair value model should be shown alongside the traditional model along with
information model on the degree of attestation. It's not like we must choose one
model and hide the other model. What's important is how reliable the numbers are
in all of the presentation models.
Respectfully,
Bob Jensen
New Fair Value Disclosures are Required Under ASU 2011-04
In accordance with ASU
2011-04, public companies were required to provide several new fair value
measurement disclosures in their quarterly filings for periods ended 31
March 2012. Ernst & Young reviewed the fair value disclosures provided by 60
public companies across various industries in order to gain insights into
how companies adopted the new requirements. The results of our analysis are
presented in our publication, The new fair value disclosures: A snapshot
of how public companies adopted the requirements of ASU 2011-04, which
is
now
available on AccountingLink.
Accounting Survival of Historical Cost
The phrase "survival of the fittest" is now used in many other contexts. For
example, among all the accounting systems available to business firms and
accounting standard setters, one defense of "Historical Cost Accounting" is that
it survived for over six centuries of double entry bookkeeping amidst all the
would-be pretenders to the throne. Of course many of the pretenders to the
throne (notably economic, entry, and exit values) are valuation alternatives
whereas historical cost really is not a "valuation" alternative that pretends to
generate balance sheet "values.". Instead historical cost is more focused on the
income statement than the balance sheet according to the "Matching
Principle" that attempts to allocate historical costs (possibly price-level
adjusted) to the revenues that they helped to generate ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#AccountingHistory
Search for "Paton and Littleton".
Of course AC Littleton turned over in his grave countless times as accounting
standard setters corrupted parts (but certainly not all) of his pure historical
cost accounting that admittedly required some arbitrary measures such as
depreciation allocations and inventory cost flow assumptions and (shudder)
conservatism adjustments to historical costs. But the subjectivity and arbitrary
nature of historical cost computations are minor relative to measuring the
economic-value's future cash flows of 300+ Days Inn Hotels, the appraised yard
sale (exit) values of 300+ Days Inns Hotels, or the depreciation-adjusted
current replacement (entry) values of 300+ Days Inn Hotels ---
See illustrations below!
In December 1859, a month after he published
"Origin of Species," Charles Darwin was eagerly awaiting the verdict of its
reviewers. He feared his book would meet the fate of an earlier anonymous
work promoting evolution, "Vestiges of the Natural History of Creation,"
which had received the geologist Adam Sedgwick's most damning insult: It
seemed to have been written with "the science gleaned at a lady's
boarding-school."
Darwin had not anticipated another type of
criticism. In an otherwise complimentary letter, the Rev. Baden Powell, a
mathematician and the father of the founder of the Scouting movement, Robert
Baden-Powell, chastised Darwin for not giving sufficient credit to those who
had proposed evolutionary theories before him.
As Rebecca Stott recounts in "Darwin's Ghosts:
The Secret History of Evolution," Darwin reacted by drawing up a brief
discussion of those who had preceded him. This "Historical Sketch"
ultimately included 36 names and was added as a preface to later editions of
"Origin." The conceit of Ms. Stott's project is that men she considers
Darwin's predecessors—including a number not included in his "Historical
Sketch"—were his "ghosts."
Ms. Stott describes the lives and work of these
ghosts of Darwin: the Greek philosopher Aristotle, the ninth-century Arab
scholar Al-Jahiz, the 15th-century artist-scientist Leonardo da Vinci, the
16th-century potter Bernard Palissy and, in the 18th century, the
microscopist Abraham Trembley, the French natural historian Benoît de
Maillet and the philosophe Denis Diderot. These chapters—focusing on men not
part of the standard histories of evolutionary theory—are followed by
chapters discussing evolution's "usual suspects": Erasmus Darwin, Jean-Baptiste
Lamarck, Robert Grant, Robert Chambers and Alfred Russel Wallace.
In telling the stories of these men, Ms. Stott—who
is also a novelist—writes with a novelist's flair. Here we are with
Aristotle peering at the fish in the waters around the island of Lesbos and
with Al-Jahiz lighting fires on riverbanks, in courtyards and in forests,
watching the variety of insects that approach the fire at each location. We
listen in on Leonardo's musings about the "petrifications" brought to him by
peasants: "rocks with strange markings and shapes, flecked with oyster
shells and corals." We watch Palissy making his own "fossils" by entombing
live creatures in plaster, which he used in grotto he was building for
Catherine de' Médici; Trembley discovering that the sea polyp regenerates
its amputated body parts; and Grant dissecting sea sponges at water's edge.
Ms. Stott brings Darwin himself to life in a way
consistent with what we know about him through his letters and notebooks: He
comes off as an inquisitive, thoughtful and conscience-haunted man. Yet one
sometimes wonders how Ms. Stott can be certain about what is going on in the
mind of her subjects. "Conversations with Powell opened up in Darwin's head
again and again, sometimes angry, sometimes defensive or apologetic.
Christmas was no time to be defending one's reputation, he told himself."
The case is more troubling when we are dealing with
figures about whom less is known, like Aristotle. Although in his "History
of Animals" he writes that "around Lesbos the fish of the outer sea or of
the lagoon bring forth their eggs or young in the lagoon," we do not know
exactly in what manner Aristotle made the piscine observations that Ms.
Stott describes in so much detail.
More egregious for the book's conceit is that, as
Ms. Stott notes, Aristotle rejected the idea of evolution; he
believed species are fixed, eternally unchanging. Ms. Stott points out that
Darwin added Aristotle to his "Historical Sketch" in error, being led astray
by an admirer of the Greek philosopher who had misread a passage in his
works. Others whom Ms. Stott considers Darwin's ghosts—including Al-Jahiz,
Leonardo and Trembley—were also strongly opposed to species evolution. Ms.
Stott justifies their inclusion by explaining that these men were interested
in issues that would later attract Darwin's attention, such as
"adaptation"—the fact that species appear to be so well suited to their
environments, like the duck, an aquatic bird, which has webbed feet that
help it swim.
That organisms are fitted to their environments,
however, has long been used as evidence against evolution as well as for it.
In Darwin's time, opponents of evolution saw instances of adaptation as
signs of God's divine plan. At Cambridge University, Darwin read the works
of William Paley, who argued that the physical world was like a watch: Both
are so complex and well-ordered that they could not have come to be randomly
but only through the work of an intelligent designer. Some of Ms. Stott's
subjects are ghosts of Paley as much as ghosts of Darwin.
The real story that Ms. Stott tells here is not the
"secret" history of evolution but a larger, more fundamental history: the
rise of an empirical, evidence-based approach to studying nature. As Ms.
Stott notes of Leonardo: "In all his descriptions, he repeated the phrase 'I
myself have seen it' again and again, invoking the Aristotelian imperative
he lived by: never trust a fact unless you have seen it with your own eyes."
Ms. Stott's "ghosts" spent their lives collecting facts about
nature—"mountains of facts," as she says of French natural historian Benoît
de Maillet—in order to gain insight into nature's laws.
From Aristotle to the great inductive philosopher
Francis Bacon in the 17th century and on to William Whewell and John
Herschel, the 19th-century writers who were such great influences on Darwin,
a vision of science arose that privileged observation and experiment over
axiomatic deduction or wild speculation. Darwin spent more than 20 years
collecting his own mountain of facts, worrying up to the eve of publication
that "Origin of Species" would be seen as insufficiently supported by
empirical evidence. Darwin and the "ghosts" so richly described in Ms.
Stott's enjoyable book are the descendants of Aristotle and Bacon and the
ancestors of today's scientists.
Ms. Snyder is the author, most recently, of "The Philosophical
Breakfast Club."
We first voiced our concern about an obscure accounting rule that allows
companies to “create” profits when purchasing other businesses in the
“Curious Case of Miller Energy’s 10-K and Its Huge Bargain Purchase.” The
offending tenet relates to the treatment of something called “negative
goodwill” which purportedly is created when a company makes an acquisition,
and pays less than what the assets are worth. This fantastic “bargain
purchase” creates a negative goodwill anomaly because the acquirer
supposedly gets more assets than it pays for, as in this example:
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Yet another illustration of how the FASB and IASB made a black hole out of
bottom-line earnings.
Thank you for the elaboration, and I agree with your dislike for the mess we are
now in with respect to revaluation practices. It certainly would complicate
matters if Days Inns should revalue all its hotels versus having Holiday Inn
decide to keep future earnings higher by not revaluing its hotels.
I've not had a whole lot to say about revaluation of investment properties since
these are sort of in the gray zone between operating items and financial
instruments.
I do get worried about auditors attesting to valuations of non-fungible items
where they really do not have an expertise. The enormous problem with
non-fungible items is the Peoria versus Tallahassee problem described below.
In 1990 audit firms did not have an expertise when it came to valuing
derivatives such as interest rate swaps. In the earlier years of FAS 133 they
outsourced to banks for valuation of these contracts, but in time I suspect that
auditors increasingly came to question those outsourced valuations and/or had
difficulty certifying outsourced numbers that the auditors themselves could not
verify.
As a result by the turn of the Century, big audit firms commenced to have an
internal expertise in valuing derivative financial instruments. For example, for
interest rate swaps they all subscribed to Bloomberg Terminals and now derive
their own swaps curves and other yield curves ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/acct5341/speakers/133swapvalue.htm
But gaining an expertise in valuing financial instruments is a whole lot easier
for audit firms than gaining an expertise in appraising real estate and other
non-fungible assets and liabilities. For example, in 1985 each of Days Inns 300+
hotels was a highly unique asset for which it takes local expertise to appraise
the value of a Peoria Days Inn on one Interstate exit versus Tallahassee Days in
on another Interstate exit.
There's no Bloomberg Terminal for hotel yield curves to cover all geographic
locations in the U.S. or the world. To appraise real estate in Tallahassee at a
minimum you have to really, really understand the local Tallahassee real estate
market. The same goes for Peoria where factors affecting real estate value may
be significantly different than in Tallahassee.
Thus, I think that when it comes to certifying exit values of hundreds of
hotels, audit firms are totally dependent upon outsourcing to a profession (real
estate appraisers) with a lousy reputation for professionalism.
Respectfully,
Bob Jensen
Some Thoughts on Fair Value Accounting
Our recent AECM regarding why accounting standard setters require
mark-to-market (fair value) adjustments of marketable securities (except for HTM
securities) and do not generally allow mark-to-market adjustments to inventories
(except for precious metals and LCM downward adjustments for permanent
impairments).
Fungible ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fungible
I think this "inconsistency" in the accounting standards hinges on the concept
of fungible. Marketable securities are generally fungible. A General Motors
share of stock NYC is identical to other GM shares in Bavaria versus Hong Kong
versus Sugar Hill, New Hampshire. One advantage of fair value accounting for
marketable securities is that these securities are fungible until they become
unique such as when companies go bankrupt.
The classic example for fungible inventories that I always used in class is
the difference between new cars in a dealer's lot and used cars in that same lot
is that new cars are fungible (there are thousands or tens of thousands in the
world exactly like that new car) and used cars are not fungible. There is no
other car in the world exactly like any of the used cars in a dealer's parking
lot. We have Blue Book pricing of used cars of every make and model, but these
are only suggested prices before serious negotiations between buyers and a
seller of used models with varying mileage, accident histories, flooding
histories such as being trapped while being parked in flood waters, new parts
installed such as a new engine or new transmission, etc.
My point here is that it's almost impossible to accurately value a used car
until a buyer and seller have negotiated a purchase price. And the variation
from Blue Book suggested prices can be quite material in amount. Thus we can
value General Motors common shares before we have a buyer, but we can't value
any used car before we have a buyer.
I used to naively claim that this was not the case of new cars because they
were fungible like General Motors common shares. But on second thought I was
wrong. New cars are not fungible items. Consider the case of a particular BMW
selling for $48,963 in Munich. The same car will sell for varying prices in NYC
versus Hong Kong versus Sugar Hill, NH. This variation is due largely to
delivery cost differentials.
Now consider the Car A and Car B BMW models that are exactly alike (including
color) in a Chicago dealership lot. After three months, a buyer and the dealer
agree on a $67.585 price for Car A. Car B sits in the lot for over 11 months
before a buyer and the dealer agree on a price of $58,276. This discount is
prompted mostly by the fact that the new models are out making Car B seem like
its a year old even though it odometer has less than two miles.
My point here is that until a dealer finds a buyer for either a new car or a
used car, we really don't know what the inventory fair value is for those
non-fungible items. Similarly the same grade and quality of corn in Minneapolis
has a different price than identical corn in Chicago. Corn and other commodities
like oil are not really fungible for inventory valuation purposes.
There are numerous examples of where inventory product values really can't be
known until a sales transaction takes place. We can fairly accurately estimate
the replacement costs of some of the new items for sale although FAS 33 found
that the cost of generally doing so accurately for inventory valuation purposes
probably exceeds the value of such replacement cost adjustments at each
financial reporting date.
There's great moral hazards in allowing owners of non-fungible inventories to
estimate fair values before sales transactions actually take place. Creative
accounting would be increasingly serious if accounting standards allowed fair
value accounting for non-fungible items that vary in value depending upon the
buyer and the time and place of sales negotiations.
Thus we can explain to our students that the reason we report marketable
securities at fair value and inventories at transaction or production historical
costs is that marketable securities are fungibles and most inventories are not
fungible. The main reason is that estimating the value of truly fungible
marketable securities is feasible before we have a sales transaction whereas the
value of so many non-fungible (unique) items is not known until we have a sales
transaction at a unique time and place.
Fair Value
Re-measurement Problems in a Nutshell: (1) Covariances and (2) Hypothetical
Transactions and (3) Estimation Cost
It's All Phantasmagoric Accounting in Terms of Value in Use
In an
excellent plenary session presentation in Anaheim on August 5, 2008 Zoe-Vanna
Palmrose mentioned how advocates of fair value accounting for both financial and
non-financial assets and liabilities should heed the cautions of George O. May
about how fair value accounting contributed to the great
stock market crash of 1929 and the
ensuing Great Depression. Afterwards Don
Edwards and I lamented that accounting doctoral students and younger accounting
faculty today have little interest in and knowledge of accounting history and
the great accounting scholars of the past like George O. May ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_O._May Don mentioned how the works of George O. May should be revisited in light
of the present movement by standard setters to shift from historical cost
allocation accounting to fair value re-measurement (some say fantasy land or
phantasmagoric) accounting --- http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue The point is that if fair value re-measurement is
required in the main financial statements, the impact upon investors and the
economy is not neutral. It may be very real like it was in the Roaring 1920s.
In the
21st Century, accounting standard setters such as the FASB in the U.S. and the
IASB internationally are dead set on replacing traditional historical cost
accounting for both financial (e.g., stocks and bonds) and non-financial (e.g.,
patents, goodwill, real estate, vehicles, and equipment) with fair values.
Whereas historical costs are transactions based and additive across all assets
and liabilities, fair value adjustments are not transactions based, are almost
impossible to estimate, and are not likely to be additive.
If Asset A
is purchased for $100 and Asset B is purchased for $200 and have depreciated
book values of $50 and $80 on a given date, the book values may be added to a
sum of $130. This is a
basis adjusted cost allocation valuation
that has well-known limitations in terms of information needed for investment
and operating decisions.
If Asset A
now has an exit (disposal) value of $20 and Asset B has an exit value of $90,
the exit values can be added to a sum of $110 that has meaning only if each
asset will be liquidated piecemeal. Exit value accounting is required for
personal estates and for companies deemed by auditors to be non-going concerns
that are likely to be liquidated piecemeal after debts are paid off.
But
accounting standard setters are moving toward standards that suggest that
neither historical cost valuation nor exit value re-measurement are acceptable
for going concerns such as viable and growing companies. Historical cost
valuation is in reality a cost allocation process that provides misleading
surrogates for "value in use." Exit values
violate rules that re-measured fair values should be estimated in terms of the
"best possible use" of the items in question. Exit values are generally the
"worst possible uses" of the items in a going concern. For example, a printing
press having a book value of $1 million and an exit value of $100,000 are likely
to both differ greatly from "value in use."
The "value
in use" theoretically is the present value of all discounted cash flows
attributed to the printing press. But this entails wild estimates of future cash
flows, discount rates, and terminal salvage values that no two valuation experts
are likely to agree upon. Furthermore, it is generally impossible to isolate the
future cash flows of a printing press from the interactive cash flows of other
assets such as a company's copyrights, patents, human capital, and goodwill.
What
standard setters really want is remeasurement of assets and liabilities in terms
of "value in use." Suppose that on a given date the "value in use" is estimated
as $180 for Asset A and $300 for Asset B. The problem is that we cannot ipso
facto add these two values to $480 for a combined "value in use" of Asset A
plus Asset B. Dangling off in phantasmagoria fantasy land is the covariance of
the values in use:
Value in
Use of Assets A+B = $180 + $300 + Covariance of Assets A and B
For
example is Asset A is a high speed printing press and Asset B is a high speed
envelope stuffing machine, the covariance term may be very high when computing
value in use in a firm that advertises by mailing out a thousands of letters per
day. Without both machines operating simultaneously, the value in use of any one
machine is greatly reduced.
I once
observed high speed printing presses and envelope stuffing machines in action in
Reverend Billy Graham's "factory" in Minneapolis. Suppose to printing presses
and envelope stuffing machines we add other assets such as the value of the
Billy Graham name/logo that might be termed Asset C. Now we have a more
complicated covariance system:
Value in
Use of Assets A+B+C = (Values of A+B+C) + (Higher Order Covariances of A+B+C)
And when
hundreds of assets and liabilities are combined, the two-variate, three-variate,
and n-variate higher order covariances for combined ""value in use" becomes
truly phantasmagoric accounting. Any simplistic surrogate such as those
suggested in the FAS 157 framework are absurdly simplistic and misleading as
estimates of the values of Assets A, B, C, D, etc.
Furthermore, if the "value of the firm" is somehow estimated, it is virtually
impossible to disaggregate that value down to "values in use" of the various
component assets and liabilities that are not truly independent of one another
in a going concern. Financial analysts are interested in operations details and
components of value and would be disappointed if all that a firm reported is a
single estimate of its total value every quarter.
Of course
there are exceptions where a given asset or liability is independent of other
assets and liabilities. Covariances in such instances are zero. For example,
passive investments in financial assets generally can be estimated at exit
values in the spirit of FAS 157. An investment in 1,000 shares of Microsoft
Corporation is independent of ownership of 5,000 shares of Exxon. A strong case
can be made for exit value accounting of these passive investments. Similarly a
strong case can be made for exit value accounting of such derivative financial
instruments as interest rate swaps and forward contracts since the historical
cost in most instances is zero at the inception of many derivative contracts.
The
problem with fair value re-measurement of passive investments in financial
assets lies in the computation of earnings in relation to cash flows. If the
value of 1,000 shares of Microsoft decreases by -$40,000 and the value of 5000
shares of Exxon increases by +$140,000, the combined change in earnings is
$100,000 assuming zero covariance. But if the Microsoft shares were sold and and
the Exxon shares were held, we've combined a realized loss with an unrealized
gain as if they were equivalents. This gives rise to the
"hypothetical transaction" problem of fair value re-measurements. If the
Exxon shares are held for a very long time, fair value accounting may give rise
to years and years of "fiction" in terms of variations in value that are never
realized. Companies hate earnings volatility caused by fair value "fictions"
that are never realized in cash over decades of time.
Now
consider real estate fair value re-measurement:
Levels of "Value" of an Entire Company
General
Theory
Days Inns
of America
(As Reported September 30, 1987)
Market Value of the Entire Block of Common Shares at Today's Price Per
Share
(Ignoring Blockage Factors)
Not Available
Day Inns of America
Was Privately Owned
Exit
Value of Firm if Sold As a Firm
(Includes synergy factors and unbooked intangibles)
Not
Available for
Days Inns of America
Sum of
Exit Values of Booked Assets Minus Liabilities & Pref. Stock
(includes unbooked and unrealized gains and losses)
$194,812,000 as
Reported by Days Inns
Book
Value of the Firm as Reported in Financial Statements
$87,356,000 as Reported
Book
Value of the Firm as Reported in the Financial Statements After General
Price Level Adjustments
Not
Available for Days Inns
Neither
$87,356,000 book value is the residual historical cost nor the $194,812,000 is a
reliable estimate of "value in use" of the net assets of Days Inns in 1987. At
that time Days Inns was very much a private and highly successful going concern
contemplating an initial public offering (IPO). FAS 157 excludes $197,812,000 as
an estimate of "value in use" since piecemeal liquidation of the hotels is most
likely the "worst possible use" of these hotels. Their values also have high
covariance valuation components, especially the covariance of the real estate
values with the goodwill value and human capital values of Days Inns.
Furthermore, value in use of these properties will greatly change if the sign on
each hotel is changed from Days Inn to Holiday Inn. The reason is that
phantasmagoric summation of all the first order to n-th order covariance terms.
Among the
various reasons Days Inn never went to the trouble of having Landhauer
Associates or any other real estate appraisal firm appraise the exit (sales)
value of each of its hundreds of hotels is that the cost of getting these
appraisals updated each year is prohibitive as well as being subject to huge
margins of error. Days Inns went to considerable expense having its exit values
appraised this one time in 1987 for purposes of improving the proceeds of an
IPO. Obtaining these appraisals annually is far too costly for financial
reporting purposes alone. Furthermore it is highly unlikely that these hotels
will ever be sold piecemeal. If they will ever be sold, it is more likely that
all the hotels or large subsets of these properties will be sold in block, and
the block value is much different the sum of the appraisals of each property in
the set. Value in use differs greatly from summations of piecemeal exit values
It is
useful to supplement historical cost allocation values with exit value estimates
as well as other possible fair value estimates at a given point in time, but
balance sheets summing component values as if no covariances exist is absurd
except in the case of historical cost book values and passive financial
investments and liabilities. Another problem is that realistic estimates of exit
values of such things as the value of each of over 300 hotels is very costly to
obtain on a periodic basis such as an annual basis.
There are two sources of covariance that need to be dealt with: (1) covariances
among assets recognized, and (2) covariances between recognized and
non-recognized assets. I think replacement cost rules can easily cope with (1)
without sacrificing additivity – i.e., that total assets on the balance sheet
will represent the total minimum current cost of replacing the recognized assets
of the business entity, assuming (for the moment) that there are no unrecognized
assets. There may be issues of allocating the replacement cost among asset
categories, but I don’t see that as a big problem, because everything adds up to
the desired number.
Since the nature of the assets we don’t recognize are very different in nature
from the ones we recognize, I don’t see anything irrational (you may be able to
enlighten me here) about having an expectation that the covariances of the
second type, above, are 0. An expectation is different from a “declaration” or
an “assumption.”
I feel like a greased pig trying to escape your clutches! But unlike the pig,
I’m learning a lot.
Best,
Tom
April 4,
2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Tom,
I agree with what you state about covariances of replacement cost estimates, but
it is important to note that replacement cost accounting is really a cost
allocation process rather than a valuation process for non-financial items
subject to depreciation and amortization. Depreciation and amortization
allocation formulas use such arbitrary estimates of economic lives, salvage
values, and cost allocation patterns that it’s not clear why additive
aggregation is any more meaningful under replacement cost aggregations than it
is under historical cost aggregations. Neither one aggregates to anything we can
meaningfully call value in use.
Companies are no longer required to generate FAS 33-type comparisons. The
primary basis of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted historical cost with
numerous exceptions in particular instances. For example, price-level
adjustments may be required for operations in hyperinflation nations. Exit
value accounting is required for firms deemed highly likely to become non-going
concerns. Exit value accounting is required for personal financial statements
(whether an individual or a personal partnership such as two married people).
Economic (discounted cash flow) valuations are required for certain types of
assets and liabilities such as pension liabilities. Exit value accounting is
required for impaired items such as damaged inventories and inoperable
machinery.
Hence in the United States and virtually every other nation, accounting
standards do not require or even allow one single basis of accounting.
Beginning in January 2005, all nations in the European Union adopted the IASB's
international standards that have moved closer and closer each year to the
FASB/SEC standards of the United States.
The FASB and the IASB state that "value in use" is the ideal valuation measure
if it can be measured reliably at realistic estimation costs. Exit value and
economic (discounted cash flow) generally do not meet these two criteria for
value in use of non-financial items. There is nearly always no practical means
of estimating higher order covariances. and additivity aggregations are
meaningless without such covariances. In the case of economic valuation,
estimation of future cash flows and discount rates enters the realm of fantasy
for long-lived items. Alsoreliable exit value estimation of some items like all
the hotel properties of Days Inns can be very expensive, which is a major reason
Days Inns only did it once for financial reporting purposes in 1987.
Accordingly, "value in use" is an ideal which cannot be practically achieved
under either exit or economic valuation methods.
The FASB and the IASB state that "value in use" is the ideal valuation measure,
but this ideal can never be achieved with cost allocation methods. Both
historical cost and replacement (current, entry) value "valuation" methods are
not really valuation methods at all. These are cost allocation methods that for
items subject to depreciation or amortization in value are reliant upon usually
arbitrary estimates of non-financial item useful lives, value decline
assumptions such as straight line or double declining balance declines, and
salvage value estimates. Under historical cost, the book value thus becomes an
arbitrary residual of the rationing of original cost by arbitrary cost
allocation formulas. Under replacement (current, entry) cost allocation the
estimated current replacement costs are subjected to n arbitrary residual of the
rationing of replacement cost by arbitrary cost allocation formulas.
Although both historical and replacement cost allocations over time avoid
covariance problems in additive aggregations of book values, the meanings of
such aggregations are of very dubious utility to investors and other decision
makers. For example suppose the $10 million 2008 book value of a fleet of
passenger vans is added to the $200 million 2008 book value of Days Inn hotel
properties, what does the $210 million aggregation mean to anybody?
Both the passenger vans and hotel buildings have been subjected to arbitrary
estimates of economic lives, salvage values, and depreciation patters such as
double declining balance depreciation for vans and straight-line depreciation
for hotel buildings. This is the case whether historical cost or current
replacement costs have been allocated by depreciation formulas.
Hence it is not clear that for going concern companies that have heavy
investments in non-financial assets that any known addition of individual items
makes any sense under economic, exit, entry, or historical cost book value
estimation process. Aggregations might make some sense for financial items with
negligible covariances, but for non-financial items. Attempts to estimate total
value itself basted upon stock market marginal trades are misleading since
marginal trades of a small proportion of shares ignores huge blockage factors
valuations, especially blockage factors that carry managerial control along with
the blockage purchase. Countless mergers and acquisitions repeatedly illustrate
that estimations of total values of companies are generally subject to huge
margins of error, especially when intangibles play an enormous part of the value
of an enterprise.
Both the FASB and the IASB require in many instances that exit value accounting
be used for financial items. In part that is because for financial items it is
often more reasonable to assume zero covariances among items. The recent banking
failures caused by covariance among toxic mortgage investments lends some doubt
to this assumption, but the issue of David Li’s faltering and infamous Gaussian
copula function is being ignored by both the IASB and the FASB in recommending
exit value accounting for many (most) financial items ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_copula#Gaussian_copula
For how the defect in this formula contributed to the 2008 fall of many banks
see
---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/2009/03/recipe-for-disaster-formula-that-killed.html
I might add that Bob Herz and the FASB as a whole recognize that additive
aggregation in financial statement items is probably more misleading than
helpful. This is why a very radical proposal is underway in the FASB to do away
with aggregations, including the presentation of net income and
earnings-per-share bottom liners ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#ChangesOnTheWay
The above link also discusses the vehement disagreement between Bob Herz and the
financial community on the proposal to do away with the bottom line.
This bottom line aggregation problem is also bound up in the “quality of
earnings” controversy ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#CoreEarnings
However, the concept of reporting core earnings is not nearly as controversial
as the proposal not to report any bottom lines.
Bob Jensen's threads on fair value accounting are at various other links:
Companies provide financial information to
shareholders and creditors through financial statements. Shareholders use
the same to value the equity of the company and to evaluate the management
in its stewardship function. Creditors, including lenders, use the same for
evaluating credit risk. The objective is to provide financial information
that is relevant in predicting the stream of cash flows, which the
enterprise will generate in future. Information is relevant if it improves
the estimate of amount, timing and risk of future cash flows. Accounting
standard setters always balance relevance and reliability.
Earlier the emphasis was on reliability.
Now, it is shifted to relevance.
International financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) uses fair value more
extensively than the use of fair value in Indian accounting standards (AS)
on the presumption that for certain assets and liabilities, the fair value
attribute is more relevant than the historical cost. It might be interesting
to examine whether those presumptions are logical. Let us examine the
relevance of the information on the fair value of fixed asset.
Enterprises use fixed assets to produce and sell
products and services. They do not intend to realise cash by selling them.
Items of fixed assets are initially measured at
acquisition cost. As per AS, enterprises use the cost model to measure fixed
assets for the purpose of presentation in the balance sheet. The initial
acquisition cost is reduced by the accumulated depreciation and accumulated
impairment loss. Impairment loss is recognised and the carrying amount of an
item of fixed asset is reduced when the management estimates that the asset
will not be able to recover its carrying amount either through use or sale.
IFRS allows companies to choose either the cost
model or the fair value model to measure items fixed assets. Fair value
model can be used for measuring intangible assets only if an active market
exists and it is expected that the same will continue to exist at the end of
the useful life of the asset or some party has committed to buy the asset at
the end of its useful life. Those conditions can be met rarely. IFRS does
not allow cherry picking. A company has to decide once for all that whether
it will use the fair value model for a particular class of asset (e.g.
land). US GAAP mandates the use of the cost model and does not allow
revaluation. AS mandates use of the cost model but allows revaluation of
tangible assets. It does not allow cherry picking. Both the IFRS and AS
require the company to recognise the revaluation gain outside the net
profit.
Analysts value enterprises based on the estimated
free cash flow (FCF) stream that the enterprise will generate in future. FCF
is the operating cash flow available for distribution to all the investors,
including debt holders, after meeting internal demand for incremental
investment in fixed assets and working capital. The market value of
non-operating assets is added to the present value of FCF to estimate the
enterprise value. Fair value of the operating assets is not relevant in
valuing an enterprise.
It may be argued that the fair value of fixed
assets might be useful in evaluating the management in its stewardship
function. For example, if the price of the land on which the factory is
situated has gone up manifold and it benefits shareholders if the management
unlocks the value of the land by shifting the factory to another site where
the price of the land is much cheaper. Disclosure of the market value of
land might trigger discussion among analysts and shareholders and they might
solicit the management’s response. This argument might be valid. But if the
market value is readily available every one shall have ready access to it.
If market inputs are not available, the fair value will be much less
reliable and shareholders and analysts will not attach any value to that
information. Therefore, use of fair value in measuring fixed assets does not
enhance relevance of the financial information even from this perspective.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
There are a number of issues for intense debate here.
Booking versus Disclosure?
There's a huge difference between booking fair values of operating assets
versus merely disclosing them in a second column --- as was done in
the 1987 Days Inn annual report where only historical cost book values of
300+ hotels were audited by Price Waterhouse.
Individual Items versus Subsets
Secondly. what is an operating asset? Is it a single machine such as a
farmer's tractor or is it the set of all the equipment on that farmer's
farm.
Exit Value Versus Value in Use
If a going concern is not even remotely considering selling off fixed assets
piecemeal at exit values, then this is hardly a very useful type of
accounting for except when such disposals are seriously being contemplated
(such as in bankruptcy). Much more relevant is value-in-use that considers
how those assets are being put to use in generating future profits. Here the
analysis must shift from individual assets to subsets, because some
operating assets individually may have almost no exit value even though they
are crucial to the total operations of a company.
The Inherent Problem of Unrealized Changes in Fair Value Consider a huge cattle spread in drought-ridden West Texas in August of
2012. Because he did not have sufficient water for hay and corn, the rancher
has sold off his 4,000 herd of cows for 60 cents on the dollar. Real estate
vultures will offer him 10 cents for every dollar of value that he paid for
this land. The 40 cent loss of every dollar on his cows is a realized loss.
But the 90 cents of every dollar fair value change in his land is
unrealized. Should he mix the realized loss with the unrealized eps loss
when reporting to investors and bankers?
The other night I watched such a rancher being interviewed on ABC News. He
had sold off his entire herd, but over the years he socked away millions to
ride out droughts. He proudly proclaimed that he did not have to be plucked
by vultures unless there is zero hope that West Texas will once again be
viable for cattle ranching. In the latter case, even the vultures will not
make him an offer since the chances for profits on a West Texas desert are
virtually nil.
Personally, I think eps and P/E ratios are nonsense if the don't break out
the realized from the unrealized portions of earnings.
Fortunately, I don't think there's a snowball's chance in hell that CPA
auditors will commence attesting to fair value appraisals of operating assets,
especially when 100 different "licensed" (ha ha) appraisers give 100 widely
ranging estimates of fair value and another 100 ranging estimates of the fair
values of subsets of those operating assets.
It will be a sad day for annual
financial reporting if and when we give companies big boxes of fair value
crayons for their creative accounting coloring books.
If and when the rancher should sell out to vultures is yet another matter
that we, as armchair advisors, have not business recommending to the rancher. If
his ranch, as he says, is more of a way of life to him than a business, this old
guy's health will probably crash when he sells his beloved ranch to vultures.
The most famous quote attributed to legendary Green
Bay Packers coach Vince Lombardi is “winning isn’t everything, it’s the only
thing.” But if Lombardi had coached in this era instead of the 1960s he may
have substituted the word “marketing” for “winning.”
The Dallas Cowboys have not been to the Super Bowl
in 16 years. But the lack of a title game appearance has done nothing to
slow down the money that flows into the arms of Jerry Jones, the oilman who
bought the National Football League team and lease to its stadium in 1989
for $150 million. The Cowboys are now worth $2.1 billion, more than any
sports team on the planet, save Manchester United. And if the English soccer
club, which recently sold shares to the public, stumbles, the Cowboys will
run right past them because nobody in football can match Jones when it comes
to marketing and squeezing cash from a stadium.
Last season the Cowboys generated $500 million in
total revenue, a record for an American sports team, and posted operating
income (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) of
$227 million, $108 million more than any other football team and more than
either the entire National Basketball Association or National Hockey League.
A prime example of what separates Dallas from the league’s other 31 teams is
the more than $80 million in sponsorship revenue Cowboys Stadium rakes in
from companies such as Ford Motor, Bank of America, PepsiCo, Dr. Pepper and
Miller Brewing, almost $20 million more than any other football team.
Sponsorship revenue, unlike the NFL’s national television fees with NBC,
Fox, ESPN and CBS, are not shared equally with the other teams.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I think it's more than just marketing. Another factor is location, Texas is a
state where high schools will spend upwards of $60 million for a high school
stadium and books and television shows like Friday Night Lights are
written ---
http://www.nbc.com/friday-night-lights/
It also helps to be in a location where fans do not have to sit outdoors in
below-zero weather and raging blizzards.
European-Styled Avoidance of Fair Value Earnings Hits for Loan Loss
Impairments
European banks circumvented earnings hits for anticipated billions in loan
losses by a number of ploys, including arguments regarding transitory price
movements, "dynamic provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning debt into
assets with fair value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
European banks resorted to a number of misleading ploys to avoid taking fair
value adjustment hits to prevent earnings hits due to required fair value
adjustments of investments that crashed such a investments in the bonds of
Greece, Ireland, Spain, and Portugal.
The Market Transitory Movements Argument
Fair value adjustments can be avoided if they are viewed as temporary transitory
market fluctuations expected to recover rather quickly. This argument was used
inappropriately by European banks hold billions in the Greece, Ireland,
Spain, and Portugal after the price declines could hardly be viewed as
transitory. The head of the IASB at the time, David Tweedie, strongly objected
to the failure to write down financial instruments to fair value. The banks, in
turn, threatened to pressure the EU lawmakers to override the IFRS 9 requirement
to adjust such value declines to market.
One of the major concerns of the is that
some nations at some points in time will simply not enforce the IASB standards
that these nations adopted. The biggest problem that the IASB was having with
European Banks is that the IASB felt many of many (actually most) EU banks were
not conforming to standards for marking financial instruments to market (fair
value). But the IASB was really helpless in appealing to IFRS enforcement in
this regard.
When the realities of European bank political powers, the IASB quickly caved
in as follows with a ploy that allowed European banks to lie about intent to
hold to maturity. The banks would probably love to unload those loser bonds as
quickly as possible before default, but they could instead claim that these
investments were intended to be held to maturity --- a game of make pretend that
the IASB went along with under the political circumstances.
European Union banks would
have more breathing space from losses on Greek bonds if the bloc adopted a
new international accounting rule, a top standard setter said on Tuesday.
The International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) agreed under intense pressure during the financial
crisis to soften a rule that requires banks to price traded assets at fair
value or the going market rate.
This led to huge writedowns,
sparking fire sales to plug holes in regulatory capital.
The new IFRS 9 rule would
allow banks to price assets at cost if they are being held over time.
The European Commission has
yet to sign off on the new rule for it to be effective in the 27-nation
bloc, saying it wants to see remaining parts of the rule finalized first.
Only a few years ago,
Spain’s
banks were seen in some policy-making circles as a
model for the rest of the world. This may be hard to fathom now, considering
that Spain is seeking $125 billion to bail out its ailing lenders.
But back in 2008 and early 2009, Spanish regulators
were
riding high after their country’s banks seemed to
have dodged the financial crisis with minimal losses. A big reason for their
success, the regulators said, was an accounting technique called dynamic
provisioning.
By this, they meant that Spain’s banks had set
aside rainy- day loan-loss reserves on their books during boom years. The
purpose, they said, was to build up a buffer in good times for use in bad
times.
This isn’t the way accounting standards usually
work. Normally the rules say companies can record losses, or provisions,
only when bad loans are specifically identified. Spanish regulators said
they were trying to be countercyclical, so that any declines in lending and
the broader economy would be less severe.
What’s now obvious is that Spain’s banks weren’t
reporting all of their losses when they should have, dynamically or
otherwise. One of the catalysts for last weekend’s bailout request was the
decision last month by the
Bankia (BKIA) group, Spain’s third-largest lender,
to restate its 2011 results to show a 3.3 billion-euro ($4.2 billion) loss
rather than a 40.9 million-euro profit. Looking back, we probably
should have known Spain’s banks would end up this
way, and that their reported financial results bore no relation to reality.
Name Calling
Dynamic provisioning is a euphemism for an old
balance- sheet trick called
cookie-jar accounting. The point of the technique
is to understate past profits and shift them into later periods, so that
companies can mask volatility and bury future losses. Spain’s banks began
using the method in 2000 because their regulator, the
Bank of Spain,
required them to.
“Dynamic loan loss provisions can help deal with
procyclicality in banking,” Bank of Spain’s director of financial stability,
Jesus Saurina, wrote in a July 2009
paper published by the
World
Bank. “Their anticyclical nature enhances the
resilience of both individual banks and the banking system as a whole. While
there is no guarantee that they will be enough to cope with all the credit
losses of a downturn, dynamic provisions have proved useful in Spain during
the current financial crisis.”
The danger with the technique is it can make
companies look healthy when they are actually quite ill, sometimes for
years, until they finally deplete their
excess reserves and crash. The practice also
clashed with International Financial Reporting Standards, which Spain
adopted several years ago along with the rest of
Europe. European Union officials knew this and
let Spain proceed with its own brand of accounting anyway.
One of the more candid advocates of Spain’s
approach was Charlie McCreevy, the EU’s commissioner for financial services
from 2004 to 2010, who previously had been Ireland’s finance minister.
During an April 2009 meeting of the
monitoring board that oversees the
International Accounting Standards Board’s
trustees, McCreevy said he knew Spain’s banks were violating the board’s
rules. This was fine with him, he said.
“They didn’t implement IFRS, and our regulations
said from the 1st January 2005 all publicly listed companies had to
implement IFRS,” McCreevy said, according to a
transcript of the meeting on the monitoring
board’s website. “The Spanish regulator did not do that, and he survived
this. His banks have survived this crisis better than anybody else to date.”
Ignoring Rules
McCreevy, who at the time was the chief enforcer of
EU laws affecting banking and markets, went on: “The rules did not allow the
dynamic provisioning that the Spanish banks did, and the Spanish banking
regulator insisted that they still have the dynamic provisioning. And they
did so, but I strictly speaking should have taken action against them.”
Why didn’t he take action? McCreevy said he was a
fan of dynamic provisioning. “Why am I like that? Well, I’m old enough to
remember when I was a young student that in my country that I know best,
banks weren’t allowed to publish their results in detail,” he said. “Why?
Because we felt if everybody saw the reserves, etc., it would create maybe a
run on the banks.”
So to
sum up this way of thinking: The best system is
one that lets banks hide their financial condition from the public. Barring
that, it’s perfectly acceptable for banks to violate accounting standards,
if that’s what it takes to navigate a crisis. The proof is that Spain’s
banks survived the financial meltdown of 2008 better than most others.
Some European financial institutions should have
booked bigger losses on their Greek government bond holdings in recent
results announcements, the International Accounting Standards Board said in
a letter to market regulators.
The criticism comes as Europe’s lenders face calls
to shore up their balance sheets and restore confidence to investors
unnerved by the euro zone debt crisis, funding market jitters and a slowing
economy.
In a letter addressed to the European Securities
and Markets Authority, the I.A.S.B. — which aims to become the global
benchmark for financial reporting — criticized inconsistencies in the way
banks and insurers wrote down the value of their Greek sovereign debt in
second-quarter earnings.
It said “some companies” were not using market
prices to calculate the fair value of their Greek bond holdings, relying
instead on internal models. While some claimed this was because the market
for Greek debt had become illiquid, the I.A.S.B. disagreed.
“Although the level of trading activity in Greek
government bonds has decreased, transactions are still taking place,” the
board chairman Hans Hoogervorst wrote.
The E.S.M.A. was not immediately available for
comment.
The letter, which was posted on the I.A.S.B.’s
website Tuesday after being leaked to the press, did not single out
particular countries or banks.
European banks taking a €3 billion, or $4.2
billion, hit on their Greek bond holdings earlier this month employed
markedly different approaches to valuing the debt.
The writedowns disclosed in their quarterly results
varied from 21 to 50 percent, showing a wide range of views on what they
expect to get back from their holdings.
A 21 percent hit refers to the “haircut” on banking
sector involvement in a planned second bailout of Greece now being
finalized. A 50 percent loss represented the discount markets were expecting
at the end of June, the cut-off period for second-quarter results.
Two French financial companies, the bank BNP
Paribas and insurer CNP Assurances, on Tuesday defended their decision to
use their own valuation models rather than market prices.
“BNP took provisions against its Greece exposure in
full agreement with its auditors and the relevant authorities, in accordance
with the plan decided upon by the European Union on July 21,” a bank
spokeswoman said.
A CNP spokeswoman said the group’s Greek debt
provisions had been calculated in accordance with the E.U. plan and in
agreement with its auditors.
Some investors see the issue as serious, however,
even if the STOXX Europe 600 bank index was trading higher on Tuesday.
“The Greek debt issue has been treated very
lightly,” said Jacques Chahine, head of Luxembourg-based J. Chahine Capital,
which manages €320 billion in assets. “And it’s not just Greek debt — all of
it needs to be written down, Spain, Italy.”
The E.S.M.A. was unable to impose a uniform Greek
“haircut” across the E.U. and its guidance published at the end of July
simply stressed the need for banks to tell investors clearly how they
reflect Greek debt values.
The I.A.S.B. also has no powers of enforcement in
how banks book impairments but is keen to show the United States, which
decides this year whether to adopt I.A.S.B. standards, that its rules are
consistent and properly represent what’s happening in markets.
Auditors warned at the time against a patchwork
approach that will confuse investors and concerns over Greek haircut
reporting will fuel calls for a pan-Europe auditor regulator.
“The impact is more likely to be to further reduce
investors’ confidence in buying bank debt, rather than sovereign debt,” said
Tamara Burnell, head of financial institutions/sovereign research at M&G.
Using the most aggressive markdown approach —
namely marking to market all Greek sovereign holdings — would saddle 19 of
the most exposed European banks with another €6.6 billion in potential
writedowns, according to Citi analysts.
BNP would take the biggest hit with €2.1 billion in
remaining writedowns, followed by Dexia in Belgium with €1.9 billion and
Commerzbank in Germany with €959 million, Citi said.
The European Commission said on Monday that there
was no need to recapitalize the banks over and above what had been agreed
after a recent annual stress test .
Spinning Debt Into Earnings With the Wave of a Fair Value Accounting Wand
"Euro banks' £169bn in accounting alchemy," by: Lindsey White, Financial
Times Advisor, January 19, 2009 --- Click Here
European banks conjured more than £169bn of debt
into profit on their balance sheets in the third quarter of 2008, a leaked
report shows.
Money Managementhas gained exclusive access to a
report from JP Morgan, surveying 43 western European banks.
It shows an exact breakdown of which banks
increased their asset values simply by reclassifying their holdings.
Germany is Europe's largest economy, and was the
first European nation to announce that it was in recession in 2008. Based on
an exchange rate of 1 Euro to £0.89, its two largest banks, Deutsche Bank
and Commerzbank, reclassified £22.2bn and £39bn respectively.
At the same exchange rate, several major UK banks
also made the switch. RBS reclassified £27.1bn of assets, HBOS reclassified
£13.7bn, HSBC reclassified £7.6bn and Lloyds TSB changed £3.2bn. A number of
Nordic and Italian banks also switched debts to become profits.
Banks are allowed to rearrange these staggering
debts thanks to an October 2008 amendment to an International Accounting
Standards law, IAS 39. Speaking to MM, IAS board member Philippe Danjou said
that the amendment was passed in "record time".
The board received special permission to bypass
traditional due process, ushering through the amendment in a matter of days,
in order to allow banks to apply the changes to their third quarter reports.
However, it is unclear how much choice the board
actually had in the matter.
IASB chairman Sir David Tweedie was outspoken in
his opposition to the change, publicly admitting that he nearly resigned as
a result of pressure from European politicians to change the rules.
Danjou also admitted that he had mixed views on the
change, telling MM, "This is not the best way to proceed. We had to do it.
It's a one off event. I'd prefer to go back to normal due process."
While he was reluctant to point fingers at specific
politicians, Danjou admitted that Europe's "largest economies" were the most
insistent on passing the change.
As at December 2008, no major French, Portuguese,
Spanish, Swiss or Irish banks had used the amendment.
BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Danske Bank, Natixis
and Societe Generale were expected to reclassify their assets in the fourth
quarter of 2008.
The amendment was passed to shore up bank balance
sheets and restore confidence in the midst of the current credit crunch. But
it remains to be seen whether reclassifying major debts is an effective
tactic.
"Because the market situation was unique, events
from the outside world forced us to react quickly," said Danjou. "We do not
wish to do it too often. It's risky, and things can get missed."
Jensen Comment
European banks thus circumvented earnings hits for anticipated billions in loan
losses by a number of ploys, including arguments regarding transitory price
movements, "dynamic provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning debt into
assets with fair value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
Paul Williams wrote:
"Anyone who has ever executed an estate knows the law is
much more coherent on the matter of what is an asset -- what does the deceased
possess that can be converted into cash to settle the "legal" (i.e., enforceable
in law) claims against the estate."
Jensen Comment
The "estate valuation" analogy over simplifies the real problem of asset
identification and valuation. For example, the estate of Steve Jobs most likely
was a piece of cake compared to preparing a 10-K for Apple Corporation plus
identifying and valuing Apple's intangible assets --- patents, copyrights,
reputation, and human resources.
When valuing Apple Corporation shares owned by estate of Steve Jobs as of a
given date we need only look up a table in the pages of the WSJ.
When providing accounting information to investors who make the daily market for
Apple Corporation shares, the task is much more daunting.
Estate valuation is a "market taking" task. Corporate accounting is a "market
making" task. This is where Baruch Lev stumbled when trying to value
intangibles. He relied upon share prices to value intangibles when in fact the
purpose of financial accounting is to help investors set those transaction
prices. Baruch put the cart full of intangibles in front of the horse ---
http://www.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#TheoryDisputes
TOPICS: Derivatives, Fair Value Accounting, Fair-Value Accounting
Rules, Internal Controls
SUMMARY: "After reviewing emails and voice-mail messages, [J.P.
Morgan Chase & Co.] has concluded that Bruno Iksil, the J.P. Morgan trader
nicknamed for the large positions he took in the credit markets, was urged
by his boss to put higher values on some positions than they might have
fetched in the open market at the time....The bank believes they show the
executive, Javier Martin-Artajo, pushing Mr. Iksil to adjust trade prices
higher, according to people close to the bank's investigation."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used to identify the
purpose of fair value reporting under IFRS and U.S. GAAP. Questions then
lead to helping the students understand that valuations are not exact and
may "fall within a broad range set by the oversight group" responsible for
monitoring valuation practices in bank control groups. A final question asks
students to glean an understanding of the internal controls described in the
article.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What investigation has J.P. Morgan undertaken
into its own operations within its Chief Investment Office (CIO)? What
specific operations and activities did the company investigate?
2. (Advanced) What is the definition of fair value under U.S.
generally accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) and International
Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS)? How is this definition the focus of
accounting for financial assets and liabilities?
3. (Advanced) According to the introductory paragraph, how did the
executive known as the "London Whale" allegedly violate this definition? In
your answer, state how and why internal corporate valuations are used to
arrive at fair value estimates under U.S. GAAP and IFRS requirements.
4. (Advanced) Does it seem from the description in the article that
the alleged intent of the parties involved was to violate accepted
accounting practices? Explain your answer.
5. (Advanced) How can it be that fair values "fall within a broad
range set by the oversight group" responsible for valuation practices at
banks--aren't fair value amounts one number than can be specifically
determined? Explain.
6. (Introductory) Based on the description in the article, explain
your understanding of the internal controls used at banks to ensure that
fair values are appropriately determined.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A J.P. Morgan Chase JPM -0.65% & Co. executive
encouraged the trader known as the "London whale" to boost valuations on
some trades, said a person who reviewed communications emerging from the
bank's internal probe of recent trading losses.
After reviewing emails and voice-mail messages, the
bank has concluded that Bruno Iksil, the J.P. Morgan trader nicknamed for
the large positions he took in the credit markets, was urged by his boss to
put higher values on some positions than they might have fetched in the open
market at the time, people familiar with the probe said.
The bank's conclusion is based on a series of
emails and voice communications in late March and April, as losses on his
bullish credit-market bet mounted, the people said. The bank believes they
show the executive, Javier Martin-Artajo, pushing Mr. Iksil to adjust trade
prices higher, according to people close to the bank's investigation. At the
time, Mr. Martin-Artajo was credit-trading chief for the company's Chief
Investment Office, or CIO.
Mr. Iksil agreed on repeated occasions to adjust
the values, the people said. Those discoveries led the bank to determine
last month that an earnings restatement was necessary. The prices he chose
were within broad market ranges, but high enough to later raise concerns
among the bank's investigators, the people said.
Among the communications uncovered by the bank's
investigation are two that the bank believes show Mr. Martin-Artajo prodding
Mr. Iksil toward higher prices, the people familiar with the probe said.
"We should not be showing" a certain amount of
losses from the trades "until we see where the market is going," Mr. Martin-Artajo
told the trader in one communication, according to people who have reviewed
the communications from the probe, which is continuing.
"I'd prefer" that a higher price be put on certain
positions, Mr. Martin-Artajo told Mr. Iksil in another communication, said a
person close to the investigation
Last month, J.P. Morgan said both men had left the
largest U.S. bank in assets and will be forced to relinquish compensation as
part of the fallout from $5.8 billion in trading losses.
Greg Campbell, a lawyer for Mr. Martin-Artajo, said
his client "unequivocally denies any wrongdoing on his part and is confident
that he will be completely exonerated when the investigations into these
events have been completed." Mr. Iksil's lawyer, Raymond Silverstein,
couldn't be reached but has previously denied any wrongdoing by Mr. Iksil.
It isn't clear why Mr. Iksil decided to use the
higher values. Accounting rules dictate that such investments be valued at
the best estimate of where they might be sold.
Some people at J.P. Morgan concluded, based in part
on references in communications to accumulating losses, that the favorable
valuations might have been aimed at giving the losing trades time to recover
and avoid setting off potential alarms at the bank, according to the people
familiar with the probe.
At the same time, some people on the trading team
say they had begun to doubt market prices and were convinced rivals were
manipulating markets to the detriment of J.P. Morgan, the people said.
The details of the probe, which haven't been
disclosed publicly, are the latest sign of how risk-management breakdowns
mushroomed into a trading loss that might exceed $7 billion, according to
the bank's latest estimate. The mess has tarnished the reputation of J.P.
Morgan Chief Executive James Dimon, who initially played down worries about
the London whale as "a tempest in a teapot" but then said he was wrong.
J.P. Morgan said July 13 that its review of roughly
one million internal emails and tens of thousands of voice tapes suggested
that some traders "may have been seeking to avoid showing the full amount of
losses." The discovery prompted the New York company to declare a "material
weakness" in its financial controls and restate earnings for the first
quarter.
Determining accurate prices for infrequently traded
investments such as the bets made by Mr. Iksil can be difficult, and J.P.
Morgan routinely reviewed the valuations made by traders. The oversight
process by the bank's so-called valuation control group includes input from
outside pricing companies and brokers, which the group uses to set what it
considers an appropriate range for various investment positions. The
arrangement is a common risk-management practice among large banks.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Morgan Stanley have
reduced their use of "mark-to-market" accounting, shielding them from swings
in the value of some loans made to companies.
After several months of internal discussion, the
two companies are making an accounting change affecting a portion of
corporate loans that have a combined value of more than $100 billion. The
change will value that portion using so-called historical-cost accounting,
according to financial filings and people familiar with the matter.
Under that accounting method, assets generally are
held at their original value or purchase price. Goldman and Morgan Stanley
could set aside reserves against possible losses on the loans and hedge them
in other ways.
The banks are making the change in part because, as
a result of regulators' rules, securities firms using historical-cost
accounting won't have to hold much-larger amounts of capital against the
assets if their values go down. There also will be less fluctuation in
Goldman and Morgan Stanley's earnings, because marking the loans to market
creates immediate gains or losses for the companies as the values of the
loans fluctuate.
Goldman reported a loss of $450 million in the
fourth quarter on the New York company's overall portfolio of corporate
loans, including losses or gains on hedges. At the end of the third quarter,
its portfolio of loan commitments was $34 billion. Goldman hasn't disclosed
the size of its portfolio in the fourth quarter. It also hasn't disclosed
how much of its loan portfolio it plans change the accounting for.
Morgan Stanley is likely to change over a portion
of its $82 billion loan portfolio, said a person familiar with the matter.
As of the end of the year, Morgan Stanley had already moved $9.7 billion of
its loan portfolio to historical-cost accounting. The firms may use this
accounting method for new loans and commitments.
Morgan Stanley didn't disclose a gain or loss on
its loan portfolio in the fourth quarter of 2011. In the third quarter, it
took a loss of about $400 million on its portfolio of corporate loans.
Goldman and Morgan Stanley became bank-holding
companies in 2008, giving them access to emergency funds from the Federal
Reserve's discount window. But both companies now are subject to Fed
stress-test guidelines, which include weighing the financial impact of
economic and market shocks.
Under the stress tests and international capital
rules, Goldman and Morgan Stanley would be required to set aside more than
twice as much capital against the loans if they were marked down in value.
Using the new accounting treatment, Goldman and
Morgan Stanley must hold no capital against those loans. Instead, they set
aside reserves to cushion against possible losses.
"The focus on capital by the Fed and global
regulators is driving Goldman and other dealers to re-evaluate their
businesses and even accounting methodologies to improve their capital
metrics," said Roger Freeman, an analyst at Barclays Capital.
Goldman's Chief Financial Officer David Viniar said
in a conference call in January that Goldman's contemplating the change was
"driven by the more-onerous capital treatment."
Goldman executives including its Chairman and Chief
Executive Lloyd C. Blankfein have defended mark-to-market accounting, saying
wider use of the method might have forced financial firms to reckon with
their problems sooner during the crisis.
Fair value accounting, often referred to
as mark-to-market accounting, has been the subject of much discussion
and controversy, and the fact that various ways of measuring fair value
were spread among different International Financial Reporting Standards
(IFRS) has contributed to many questions regarding fair value
accounting.
To create a uniform framework for fair
value measurements that consolidates into one single standard the
various ways of measuring fair value, the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) issued IFRS 13, Fair Value Measurements to reduce
complexity and improve consistency in the application of fair value
measurements. IFRS 13 also aims to enhance fair value disclosures to
help users assess the valuation techniques and inputs used to measure
fair value. IFRS 13 was published last May 12, 2011 and will become
effective by January 1, 2013. It is applied prospectively, and early
adoption is allowed.
IFRS 13 clarifies how to
measure fair value when it is required or permitted in IFRS. It does not
change when an entity is required to use fair value. Furthermore, IFRS
13 covers both financial and non-financial assets and liabilities.
Key
principles of IFRS 13
IFRS 13 applies when
another IFRS standard requires or permits fair value measurements or
disclosures. It does not, however, apply to transactions within the
scope of:
• International Accounting Standards (IAS) 17, Leases;
• IFRS 2 Share-Based Payments; and,
• Certain other measurements that are similar but are not fair value,
that are required by other standards, such as value in use in IAS 36,
Impairment of Assets and net realizable value in IAS 2, Inventories.
Fair
value defined
IFRS 13 now defines
“fair value” as the price that would be received to sell an asset or
paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market
participants at the measurement date (i.e., an exit price). Therefore,
the focus now is on exit price as against entry price.
Market
participant assumptions
When measuring fair
value, IFRS 13 requires an entity to consider the characteristics of the
asset or liability as market participants would. Hence, fair value is
not an entity-specific measurement; it is market-based.
Principal or most advantageous market
A fair value measurement
assumes that the transaction to sell the asset or transfer the liability
takes place in the “principal market” for the asset or liability or, in
the absence of a principal market, in the “most advantageous market” for
the asset or liability.
The principal market is
the market with the greatest volume and level of activity for the asset
or liability to which the entity has access to. On the other hand, the
most advantageous market is the market that maximizes the amount that
would be received for the sale of the asset or minimizes the cost to
transfer the liability, after considering transaction and transport
costs.
Highest and best use
The concept of “highest
and best use” applies to non-financial assets only. Fair value considers
a market participant’s ability to generate economic benefits by using
the asset in its highest and best use. Highest and best use is always
considered when measuring fair value, even if the entity intends a
different use of the asset.
Fair
value hierarchy
Fair value measurements
are classified into three levels which prioritize the observable inputs
to the valuation techniques used and minimize the use of unobservable
data.
• Level 1: Quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical
assets or liabilities that the entity can access at the measurement
date.
• Level 2: Inputs other than quoted prices included in Level 1 that are
observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly.
• Level 3: Unobservable inputs for the asset or liability.
Valuation techniques and inputs
IFRS 13 describes the
valuation approaches to be used to measure fair value: the market
approach, income approach and cost approach. IFRS 13 does not specify a
valuation technique in any particular circumstance; it is up to the
entity to determine the most appropriate valuation technique.
• Market approach: Uses prices and other relevant information from
market transactions involving identical or similar assets or
liabilities. A commonly-used technique is the use of market multiples
derived from “comparables.”
• Income approach: Converts future amounts (e.g., cash flows or income
and expenses) to a single current (discounted) amount. Valuation
techniques may include a discounted cash flows approach, option-pricing
models, or other present-value techniques.
• Cost approach: Reflects the amount currently needed to replace the
service capacity of an asset (also known as the current replacement
cost)
Disclosure requirements
IFRS 13 expanded
required disclosures to help the users understand the valuation
techniques and inputs used to measure fair value and the impact of fair
value measurements on profit and loss. The required disclosures include:
• Information about the level of fair value hierarchy;
• Transfers between levels 1 and 2;
• Methods and inputs to the fair value measurements and changes in
valuation techniques; and
For level 3 disclosures,
quantitative information about the significant unobservable inputs and
assumptions used, and qualitative information about the sensitivity of
recurring level 3 measurements.
Business impact and next steps
Practically all entities
using fair value measurements will be subject to IFRS 13, which will
require certain fair value principles and disclosures that will
significantly impact application and practice. Therefore, management
should:
• Begin to assess the effect of IFRS 13 on valuation policies and
procedures;
• Have competent knowledge when making judgments in fair value
measurements;
• Consider whether it has appropriate expertise, processes, controls and
systems to meet the new requirements in determining fair value and
disclosures;
• Have discussions with systems vendors, appraisers, investment advisors
and/or investment custodians; and,
• Be able to demonstrate to regulators and its external auditors that it
understands the requirements of IFRS 13. This will greatly assist both
regulators and external auditors in their annual examination and audit.
The mandatory
implementation of this new standard is less than a year away. The clock
is ticking; the time to act is now.
I was thinking mostly of accrual accounting which, of course, is
not 500 years old. But as “the” basis of financial reporting, historical cost
accounting on an accrual basis has been around at least as long as the railroads
when heated arguments flared concerning depreciation accounting “rules” that
companies and auditors would follow when accounting for rails and locomotives.
When accountants commenced to argue about depreciation the focus shifted to
earnings performance reporting extensions of stewardship accounting, although
depreciation accounting also served stewardship objectives of not allowing
companies to eat their own seed corn with excessive dividends that depleted
capital.
The point is that historical cost accrual accounting, as
portrayed in the
Paton and Littleton 1941 monograph, is a bit Darwinian in terms of survival
against mutations of pro forma entry value accounting, exit value accounting,
and economic (present value) accounting. However, we can hardly argue that there
is any single basis of accounting in the 21st Century where
departures from historical cost are required in numerous GAAP rules from pension
accounting to financial instruments to personal estate accounting (that requires
exit values).
However, in the course of accounting evolution mutations have
succeeded only when there is some basis of being objectively audited with
reliability and validity. We use present value for defined-benefit pension plans
because the cash flows are contractual. We do not use present value for an older
Chrysler assembly line because there is no reliable and valid basis to audit a
totally uncertain future revenue stream attributable to an assembly line.
Exit values of components of a going concern’s assembly line are
meaningless since piecemeal liquidation is the worst possible use of the
components. Entry values are highly questionable since a new assembly line would
be radically different. The
ASU 2010-6 FASB ASU says we should aggregate non-financial asset components
into their “best use” subset for exit value reporting as a group, but I think
finding the “best use” of a Chrysler grouping of assembly line assets is like
finding pie in the sky --- certainly not something that CPA firms can audit.
Welcome to the ASU 2010-6 world of pro forma GAAP!
Both the FASB and the IASB are rushing us into replacement of
transactions-based numbers with hypothetical “value” numbers based on subjective
probabilities and cloudy assumptions to a point where we can truly answer a
client’s question about “what did I earn?” with another question “what would you
like us to show that you earned?” Welcome to the ASU 2010-6 world of pro forma GAAP!
AC Littleton will turn over in his grave. AC always argued that
accounting really was not about valuation in the first place and felt that
investors and creditors benefitted for having accounting rooted in the audit
trail of real transactions.
Welcome to the ASU 2010-6 world of pro forma GAAP!
Personally, I think the real problem is the FASB and IASB effort
to keep accounting as one-dimensional with a single dimensional mentality
leading to a single reported eps. We should do away with reporting eps entirely
and present multi-dimensional financial statements that vary as to degree of
reliability and validity.
What was so wrong in FAS 33 by requiring that replacement cost
accounting outcomes be disclosed in supplementary schedules? Why should it have
to be “historical cost” versus “entry value” versus “exit value” versus
“economic value” in a single-dimensional financial report?
In my lifetime I’ve seen the world of traditional GAAP and the
world of pro forma going head to head. Pro forma was generally considered too
subjective and unreliable. But in the 21st century, pro forma is
winning with FASB and IASB rulings. Why does this make me happy that I’m
becoming too old to care? I’ll let Deloitte do the caring --- http://www.iasplus.com/dttletr/1007amortcost.pdf
Bob Jensen
December 21, 2010 message from Bob Jensen
I've really enjoy these intense friendly debates about single-column versus
multiple column financial statements with Tom Selling and Patricia Walters on
the AECM. But I do not want to leave anybody with the impression that I'm an
advocate of historical costing balance sheets. I'm opposed to such balance
sheets for reasons never envisioned by current value reporting scholars like
Kenneth MacNeal, John Canning, Ray Chambers, Bob Sterling, Edgar Edwards, Phillip
Bell, and others. I merely advocate a historical cost column in the balance
sheet because I believe there is value added in reporting net earnings based
upon only legally realized revenues and profits under the matching principle. I
do think the historical cost balance accounts are residuals of the realized
revenue matching concept that have enormous limitations in terms of evaluating
financial opportunities and risks.
For one thing, historical cost balance sheets are too easy to abuse in terms
of off-balance sheet financing. Secondly, historical cost balance sheets are bad
alternatives for both speculation and hedging derivative financial instruments.
In 1941
Paton and Littleton could deal with some derivative financial instruments.
Futures contracts presented no problems since they're cleared in cash each day.
Purchased options were not viewed as being especially problematic for historical
costing because financial risk was limited to cash lost in the rather nominal
premiums paid. Covered written options were not problematic since they have an
inherent hedge that limits financial risk. Naked written options were huge
problems that I don't know that Paton and Littleton ever wrote about. But there
is an escape clause in the Paton and Littleton monograph --- the escape clause
that allows departures from historical cost based upon conservatism. Presumably,
a company facing huge losses in naked written options must bring those estimated
losses into the ledgers based upon conservatism. I don't think this escape
clause is nearly as good as adding a current value column alongside a historical
cost column in financial statements.
In their
1941
monograph Paton and Littleton did not envision interest rate swaps invented
in 1984. Interest rate swaps are really portfolios of forward contracts and, as
a matter of tradition, forward contracts usually have zero historical costs as
counterparties take differing long and short positions without paying a premium
like they would when buying or writing options. Until FAS 119 was passed in
1994, clients worldwide entered into over $100 trillion in interest rate swap notionals without even disclosing those swaps. One of the incentives to enter
into such swaps was the ease of off-balance-sheet financing. These swaps also
replaced U.S. Treasury note inventories as a means of managing cash.
In the early 1990's the Director of the SEC ordered the Chairman of the FASB
to issue standards for disclosure and eventually booking of interest rate swaps
on some basis other than historical costs since historical cost of a swap
contract was $0. In doing so the Director of the SEC declared that the three
main problems with financial reporting were "derivatives, derivatives, and
derivatives." :
Video and
audio clips of FASB updates on FAS 133
Audio 1 --- Dennis Beresford in 1994 in New York City
BERES01.mp3
Audio 2 --- Dennis Beresford in 1995 in Orlando
BERES02.mp3
I support at least one required current value column alongside a historical
cost column in every set of financial statements. I do not support the current
mixed model, single-column financial statements under IFRS and FASB rules today
because they're such a conglomeration of historical cost and fair value
components that aggregations are meaningless and the mix of audited and
unaudited numbers mangles the credibility of the presentation. I favor a
historical cost column to that does not co-mingle realized revenues with
unrealized price changes. I support a current value column that provides more
insights into financial risks and risk management.
Maintaining any derivatives, including credit derivatives, in the historical
cost column at zero historical cost or a nominal premium cost is totally
non-informative of financial risks of the derivative contracts in their present
state. I support maintaining the FAS 133 rules and their amendments in the
current value column of a set of financial statements. In order to distinguish
speculation derivatives from hedging derivatives I advocate allowing hedge
accounting relief for qualified hedges even though the relief varies of cash
flow and FX hedges using OCI for relief and fair value hedging that uses the
"firm commitment" account for fair value hedges of unbooked purchase contracts
at fixed future rates/prices.
I don't think historical cost accounting is suited for other types contracts
in the 21st century, including securitization contracts, mezzanine debt, and
variable interest entities (SPEs). It's impossible to conclude that that any
single-column set of financial statements can be an optimal choice. What I
believe is that the time has come to disaggregate the current mixed-model,
single column GAAP reporting under current IFRS or FASB standards. My first
suggestion would be to disaggregate the historical cost alternatives from the
current value alternatives for two main reasons. The first would be to
disaggregate realized income statement items from unrealized income statement
items arising from changes in fair values. The second would be to disaggregate
numbers that are audited from numbers that are either not audited at all or have
audit-lite attestations to the actual numbers themselves such as auditor reviews
of the fair value estimation process without attesting to the actual fair value
numbers themselves. Flags should be put on numbers to indicate the degree of
verification with the audit process. For example, cash balances are audited
better than most anything else in traditional CPA audits. Current appraisal
values of real estate cannot be attested to at all by CPA auditors under present
auditing standards. I recommend putting these appraisals into the current value
column with strong warnings that these numbers have not be verified by auditors.
I think Tom Selling and Patricia Walters and Bob Jensen are in full
agreement on most things. The difference is that Tom and Pat seem to be
advocating a single-column set of financial statements that inevitably becomes a
mixed model that co-mingles too many bases of measurement. Bob Jensen advocates
a multiple-column set of financial statements that segregates realized
transaction outcomes from unrealized changes in current values. GAAP rules
should cover all multiple columns.
I'm not a fan of having a pro-forma column because I think this makes it too
easy for clients to manipulate the numbers outside of GAAP rules. Until GAAP
contains strict rules about pro-forma reporting, auditors should not associate
their names with any financial statements having a pro-forma column --- http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory02.htm#ProForma
Yes, multiple-column statements might create some short-term confusion among
analysts and investors. But I think the current single-column financial
statements create more confusion, especially with the co-mingling of realized
revenues with unrealized current value changes.
Tom
discusses changes to testing value impairment to Goodwill.
He does not, however, touch upon what I consider to be an important
inconsistency in the FASB/IASB new joint standard on fair value measurement
itself. That joint standard prescribes that synergy value of assets "in use"
be ignored and that each asset be valued at what is tantamount to what it
will fetch by itself in a yard sale without any consideration of fact that
it may be more value to Owner A in use than to Owner B in use.
Obviously the new joint standard creates a much larger problem of Goodwill.
Goodwill is created when Owner A purchases a set (bundle) of assets at a
price greater than the sum of all the yard sale values of the assets in the
bundle. Since a credit must be made to something (e.g., cash or debt) for
the purchase price of the bundle, how's the Goodwill Value = [Bundle
Price-Sum of the Yard Sale Values} to be accounted for by the new owner?
Teaching Case on Fair Value Accounting Standards
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Review on May 20, 2011
TOPICS: Advanced Financial Accounting, Fair Value Accounting, Fair-Value
Accounting Rules, International Accounting, International Accounting
Standards Board, Valuations
SUMMARY: In furthering
their convergence effort, the FASB and IASB are changing promulgated
standards to provide a more consistent definition of fair value. As
described in the article, most of the specific changes are relatively
minor but are designed to achieve improvements in convergence. "Perhaps
the most significant changes [result in requirements for companies to]
disclose more about the processes and assumptions they use in their
level 3 valuations." Changes also require disclosure of any movements of
securities between Levels 1 and 2 of assets subject to fair value
measurements.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce the topics of
convergence and/or fair value measurement in U.S. GAAP and International
Financial Reporting Standards. Instructors wishing to direct their
students to investigate the Accounting Standards Update (ASU) in the
U.S. and the promulgated IFRS 13 may wish to delete the remainder of
this paragraph from student assignments. The Accounting Standards Update
on which this article is based is No. 2011104, Fair Value Measurement
(Topic 820): Amendments to Achieve Common Fair Value Measurement and
Disclosure Requirements in U.S. GAAP and IFRSs. The international
authoritative guidance is IFRS 13, Fair Value Measurement.
QUESTIONS: 1. (Advanced)
Describe the process of convergence of U.S. and international accounting
standards. What factors are driving this convergence effort?
2. (Introductory)
How significant were the changes to U.S. GAAP discussed in this article?
How significant were the changes to IFRS? Explain any difference in your
answers between the two.
3. (Advanced)
What is fair value? Why must promulgated accounting standards include a
definition of this concept?
4. (Advanced)
How is fair value measured under U.S.GAAP and IFRS?
5. (Advanced)
What are the three levels of measuring fair value under U.S.GAAP and
IFRS? What new disclosures must be made in U.S. GAAP reporting about
assets measured at fair value? Identify your source for this
information. Explain what benefits you think will be provided by these
disclosures
6. (Advanced)
When is this new standard to be applied by firms reporting under IFRS?
How will this accounting change be handled? Identify your source for
this information.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Accounting rule makers tweaked their guidelines
for valuing assets based on market prices, a move that will bring U.S.
and international accounting rules closer together and will require
companies to disclose more about how they value their most exotic
assets.
The changes adopted by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board and the International Accounting Standards Board will
provide a more consistent definition of "fair value," which is the
market value or the closest approximation of it. Though most of the
specific changes are relatively minor and won't affect the core aspects
of how companies calculate fair value, the move better aligns U.S. and
global accounting rules on asset valuation.
Perhaps the most significant changes affect
companies' disclosures about their "Level 3" assets, which are the
risky, illiquid securities valued using a company's own estimates and
models rather than market prices. Companies will have to disclose more
about the processes and assumptions they use in their Level 3
valuations. They will also have to discuss what might happen to the
company's valuations if the factors they are using were to change.
Companies will have to disclose any movements
of securities between the other two classes of fair-value assets: Level
1, those valued strictly using market prices, and Level 2, those for
which a blend of market prices and a company's own models are used.
The fair-value changes are part of the rule
makers' "convergence" project, their attempt to bring U.S. and
international rules closer together in an effort to standardize the
accounting rules used world-wide. The Securities and Exchange Commission
is expected to vote later this year on whether U.S. companies should
switch to using international rules altogether.
Most companies will adopt the fair-value
measurement changes in early 2012.
Making IFRS 9 Politically Correct
Politically Adjusted Held-To-Maturity Fair Value Choices for Banks
This may not go down well with fair value advocates
European banks may now have an IFRS 9 choice for cost versus fair value
whichever makes the financial statements look better
Don't you just hate how bankers can manipulate accounting standard setters
European-Styled Avoidance of Fair Value Earnings Hits for
Loan Loss Impairments
European banks circumvented
earnings hits for anticipated billions in loan losses by a number of ploys,
including arguments regarding transitory price movements, "dynamic
provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning debt into assets with fair
value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
European banks resorted to a number of misleading ploys to
avoid taking fair value adjustment hits to prevent earnings hits due to
required fair value adjustments of investments that crashed such a
investments in the bonds of Greece, Ireland, Spain, and Portugal.
The Market Transitory Movements Argument
Fair value adjustments can be avoided if they are viewed as temporary
transitory market fluctuations expected to recover rather quickly. This
argument was used inappropriately by European banks hold billions in
the Greece, Ireland, Spain, and Portugal after the price declines could
hardly be viewed as transitory. The head of the IASB at the time, David
Tweedie, strongly objected to the failure to write down financial
instruments to fair value. The banks, in turn, threatened to pressure the EU
lawmakers to override the IFRS 9 requirement to adjust such value declines
to market.
One of the major concerns of the is that some
nations at some points in time will simply not enforce the IASB standards
that these nations adopted. The biggest problem that the IASB was having
with European Banks is that the IASB felt many of many (actually most) EU
banks were not conforming to standards for marking financial instruments to
market (fair value). But the IASB was really helpless in appealing to IFRS
enforcement in this regard.
When the realities of European bank political powers, the
IASB quickly caved in as follows with a ploy that allowed European banks to
lie about intent to hold to maturity. The banks would probably love to
unload those loser bonds as quickly as possible before default, but they
could instead claim that these investments were intended to be held to
maturity --- a game of make pretend that the IASB went along with under the
political circumstances.
European Union
banks would have more breathing space from losses on Greek bonds if the
bloc adopted a new international accounting rule, a top standard setter
said on Tuesday.
The
International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) agreed under intense
pressure during the financial crisis to soften a rule that requires
banks to price traded assets at fair value or the going market rate.
This led to huge
writedowns, sparking fire sales to plug holes in regulatory capital.
The new IFRS 9 rule
would allow banks to price assets at cost if they are being held over
time.
The European Commission
has yet to sign off on the new rule for it to be effective in the
27-nation bloc, saying it wants to see remaining parts of the rule
finalized first.
Only a few years ago,
Spain’s
banks were seen in some
policy-making circles as a model for the rest of the world. This may be
hard to fathom now, considering that Spain is seeking $125 billion to
bail out its ailing lenders.
But back in 2008 and early 2009,
Spanish regulators were
riding high after their
country’s banks seemed to have dodged the financial crisis with minimal
losses. A big reason for their success, the regulators said, was an
accounting technique called dynamic provisioning.
By this, they
meant that Spain’s banks had set aside rainy- day loan-loss reserves on
their books during boom years. The purpose, they said, was to build up a
buffer in good times for use in bad times.
This isn’t the
way accounting standards usually work. Normally the rules say companies
can record losses, or provisions, only when bad loans are specifically
identified. Spanish regulators said they were trying to be
countercyclical, so that any declines in lending and the broader economy
would be less severe.
What’s now obvious is that Spain’s
banks weren’t reporting all of their losses when they should have,
dynamically or otherwise. One of the catalysts for last weekend’s
bailout request was the decision last month by the
Bankia (BKIA) group, Spain’s third-largest
lender, to restate its 2011 results to show a 3.3 billion-euro ($4.2
billion) loss rather than a 40.9 million-euro profit. Looking back, we
probably
should have known Spain’s
banks would end up this way, and that their reported financial results
bore no relation to reality.
Name Calling
Dynamic provisioning
is a euphemism for an old balance- sheet trick called
cookie-jar accounting. The point of the
technique is to understate past profits and shift them into later
periods, so that companies can mask volatility and bury future losses.
Spain’s banks began using the method in 2000 because their regulator,
the
Bank of Spain,
required them to.
“Dynamic loan loss provisions can help
deal with procyclicality in banking,” Bank of Spain’s director of
financial stability, Jesus Saurina, wrote in a July 2009
paper published by the
World
Bank. “Their anticyclical
nature enhances the resilience of both individual banks and the banking
system as a whole. While there is no guarantee that they will be enough
to cope with all the credit losses of a downturn, dynamic provisions
have proved useful in Spain during the current financial crisis.”
The danger with the technique is it
can make companies look healthy when they are actually quite ill,
sometimes for years, until they finally deplete their
excess reserves and crash. The practice also
clashed with International Financial Reporting Standards, which Spain
adopted several years ago along with the rest of
Europe. European Union officials knew this
and let Spain proceed with its own brand of accounting anyway.
One of the more candid advocates of
Spain’s approach was Charlie McCreevy, the EU’s commissioner for
financial services from 2004 to 2010, who previously had been Ireland’s
finance minister. During an April 2009 meeting of the
monitoring board that oversees the
International Accounting Standards Board’s
trustees, McCreevy said he knew Spain’s
banks were violating the board’s rules. This was fine with him, he said.
“They didn’t implement IFRS, and our
regulations said from the 1st January 2005 all publicly listed companies
had to implement IFRS,” McCreevy said, according to a
transcript of the meeting on
the monitoring board’s website. “The Spanish regulator did not do that,
and he survived this. His banks have survived this crisis better than
anybody else to date.”
Ignoring Rules
McCreevy, who
at the time was the chief enforcer of EU laws affecting banking and
markets, went on: “The rules did not allow the dynamic provisioning that
the Spanish banks did, and the Spanish banking regulator insisted that
they still have the dynamic provisioning. And they did so, but I
strictly speaking should have taken action against them.”
Why didn’t he
take action? McCreevy said he was a fan of dynamic provisioning. “Why am
I like that? Well, I’m old enough to remember when I was a young student
that in my country that I know best, banks weren’t allowed to publish
their results in detail,” he said. “Why? Because we felt if everybody
saw the reserves, etc., it would create maybe a run on the banks.”
So to
sum up this way of thinking:
The best system is one that lets banks hide their financial condition
from the public. Barring that, it’s perfectly acceptable for banks to
violate accounting standards, if that’s what it takes to navigate a
crisis. The proof is that Spain’s banks survived the financial meltdown
of 2008 better than most others.
Some European financial institutions
should have booked bigger losses on their Greek government bond holdings
in recent results announcements, the International Accounting Standards
Board said in a letter to market regulators.
The criticism comes as Europe’s
lenders face calls to shore up their balance sheets and restore
confidence to investors unnerved by the euro zone debt crisis, funding
market jitters and a slowing economy.
In a letter addressed to the European
Securities and Markets Authority, the I.A.S.B. — which aims to become
the global benchmark for financial reporting — criticized
inconsistencies in the way banks and insurers wrote down the value of
their Greek sovereign debt in second-quarter earnings.
It said “some companies” were not
using market prices to calculate the fair value of their Greek bond
holdings, relying instead on internal models. While some claimed this
was because the market for Greek debt had become illiquid, the I.A.S.B.
disagreed.
“Although the level of trading
activity in Greek government bonds has decreased, transactions are still
taking place,” the board chairman Hans Hoogervorst wrote.
The E.S.M.A. was not immediately
available for comment.
The letter, which was posted on the
I.A.S.B.’s website Tuesday after being leaked to the press, did not
single out particular countries or banks.
European banks taking a €3 billion, or
$4.2 billion, hit on their Greek bond holdings earlier this month
employed markedly different approaches to valuing the debt.
The writedowns disclosed in their
quarterly results varied from 21 to 50 percent, showing a wide range of
views on what they expect to get back from their holdings.
A 21 percent hit refers to the
“haircut” on banking sector involvement in a planned second bailout of
Greece now being finalized. A 50 percent loss represented the discount
markets were expecting at the end of June, the cut-off period for
second-quarter results.
Two French financial companies, the
bank BNP Paribas and insurer CNP Assurances, on Tuesday defended their
decision to use their own valuation models rather than market prices.
“BNP took provisions against its
Greece exposure in full agreement with its auditors and the relevant
authorities, in accordance with the plan decided upon by the European
Union on July 21,” a bank spokeswoman said.
A CNP spokeswoman said the group’s
Greek debt provisions had been calculated in accordance with the E.U.
plan and in agreement with its auditors.
Some investors see the issue as
serious, however, even if the STOXX Europe 600 bank index was trading
higher on Tuesday.
“The Greek debt issue has been treated
very lightly,” said Jacques Chahine, head of Luxembourg-based J. Chahine
Capital, which manages €320 billion in assets. “And it’s not just Greek
debt — all of it needs to be written down, Spain, Italy.”
The E.S.M.A. was unable to impose a
uniform Greek “haircut” across the E.U. and its guidance published at
the end of July simply stressed the need for banks to tell investors
clearly how they reflect Greek debt values.
The I.A.S.B. also has no powers of
enforcement in how banks book impairments but is keen to show the United
States, which decides this year whether to adopt I.A.S.B. standards,
that its rules are consistent and properly represent what’s happening in
markets.
Auditors warned at the time against a
patchwork approach that will confuse investors and concerns over Greek
haircut reporting will fuel calls for a pan-Europe auditor regulator.
“The impact is more likely to be to
further reduce investors’ confidence in buying bank debt, rather than
sovereign debt,” said Tamara Burnell, head of financial
institutions/sovereign research at M&G.
Using the most aggressive markdown
approach — namely marking to market all Greek sovereign holdings — would
saddle 19 of the most exposed European banks with another €6.6 billion
in potential writedowns, according to Citi analysts.
BNP would take the biggest hit with
€2.1 billion in remaining writedowns, followed by Dexia in Belgium with
€1.9 billion and Commerzbank in Germany with €959 million, Citi said.
The European Commission said on Monday
that there was no need to recapitalize the banks over and above what had
been agreed after a recent annual stress test .
Spinning Debt Into Earnings With the Wave of a Fair Value
Accounting Wand
"Euro banks' £169bn in accounting alchemy," by: Lindsey White, Financial
Times Advisor, January 19, 2009 --- Click Here
European banks
conjured more than £169bn of debt into profit on their balance sheets in
the third quarter of 2008, a leaked report shows.
Money
Managementhas gained exclusive access to a report from JP Morgan,
surveying 43 western European banks.
It shows an
exact breakdown of which banks increased their asset values simply by
reclassifying their holdings.
Germany is
Europe's largest economy, and was the first European nation to announce
that it was in recession in 2008. Based on an exchange rate of 1 Euro to
£0.89, its two largest banks, Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank,
reclassified £22.2bn and £39bn respectively.
At the same
exchange rate, several major UK banks also made the switch. RBS
reclassified £27.1bn of assets, HBOS reclassified £13.7bn, HSBC
reclassified £7.6bn and Lloyds TSB changed £3.2bn. A number of Nordic
and Italian banks also switched debts to become profits.
Banks are
allowed to rearrange these staggering debts thanks to an October 2008
amendment to an International Accounting Standards law, IAS 39. Speaking
to MM, IAS board member Philippe Danjou said that the amendment was
passed in "record time".
The board
received special permission to bypass traditional due process, ushering
through the amendment in a matter of days, in order to allow banks to
apply the changes to their third quarter reports.
However, it is
unclear how much choice the board actually had in the matter.
IASB chairman
Sir David Tweedie was outspoken in his opposition to the change,
publicly admitting that he nearly resigned as a result of pressure from
European politicians to change the rules.
Danjou also
admitted that he had mixed views on the change, telling MM, "This is not
the best way to proceed. We had to do it. It's a one off event. I'd
prefer to go back to normal due process."
While he was
reluctant to point fingers at specific politicians, Danjou admitted that
Europe's "largest economies" were the most insistent on passing the
change.
As at December
2008, no major French, Portuguese, Spanish, Swiss or Irish banks had
used the amendment.
BNP Paribas,
Credit Agricole, Danske Bank, Natixis and Societe Generale were expected
to reclassify their assets in the fourth quarter of 2008.
The amendment
was passed to shore up bank balance sheets and restore confidence in the
midst of the current credit crunch. But it remains to be seen whether
reclassifying major debts is an effective tactic.
"Because the
market situation was unique, events from the outside world forced us to
react quickly," said Danjou. "We do not wish to do it too often. It's
risky, and things can get missed."
Jensen Comment
European banks thus circumvented earnings hits for anticipated billions in
loan losses by a number of ploys, including arguments regarding transitory
price movements, "dynamic provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning
debt into assets with fair value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
Among disclosure issues, fair value prompts the most SEC reviews
As of Dec. 19, 2011 the SEC had sent 874 comment letters regarding fair
value and estimates of assets and contracts, Audit Analytics reports.
And we were led to believe that fair value accounting for
financial instruments entailed little more than reading the closing prices
in the financial data tables of The
Wall Street Journal.
---------- Forwarded message ---------- From:The
Accounting Onion<tom.selling@grovesite.com>
Date: Tue, May 31, 2011 at 7:09 AM Subject: The Accounting Onion
To: rjensen@trinity.edu
When you start with a bogus asset like
goodwill (itself a misnomer), it's hard to find
quality in the rules that govern its
measurement. The root of the problem is that
business combination accounting relies on a
fantasy: that an utterly ineffable plug to
balance the business combination journal entry
must somehow be an asset. The initial
measurement of that plug is, at its theoretical
best (i.e., assuming that management did not
overpay, and all other assets and liabilities
are completely and accurate recognized), an
amalgamation of assets and liabilities that
(unlike every other asset on the balance sheet)
can neither be separated from the rest of the
entity nor measured directly. Among the broad
panoply of misnomers in financial accounting,
"goodwill" is among the least subtle.
If goodwill is a bogus asset, then testing it
for impairment compounds the madness. But, there
is at least some method to it. The propensity of
management to overpay for corporate acquisitions
is one of the most well-documented and
uncontroverted phenomena in academic finance:
with disturbing frequency, share price movements
send a signal that investors believe that a
corporate acquisition destroyed, rather than
created, value. If goodwill is recognized as an
asset, but not subject to either amortization or
impairment, then management would be even more
inclined to destroy shareholder value without
having to worry that future earnings would
suffer from profligate spending. Since 2001 (see
SFAS 142), impairment testing, albeit replete
with opportunities for earnings management, has
been seen as the lesser of two silly charades.
As currently set forth in U.S. GAAP (ASC Topic
350), this is how it is choreographed:
All of the goodwill currently on the
balance sheet has to be assigned to
"reporting units," another misnamed
artifice, invented solely for the purpose of
making the goodwill impairment test flexible
and palatable.
The fair value of each reporting unit
has to be assessed at least once a year – a
costly undertaking.
The real mayhem begins if, heaven
forbid, your estimate of the fair value of
the reporting unit turns out to be less than
its carrying amount. You must then estimate
the "implied fair value" of goodwill,
another artifice devised solely for goodwill
impairment testing, and –
Write goodwill down to the implied fair
value, if its carrying amount is greater.
Recently, however, the FASB issued proposedAccounting
Standards Update No. 2011-180, which if
finalized would grant unfettered discretion toelectto
avoid these processes altogether – so long as
"qualitative factors" indicate that it is more
likely than not (MLTN) that the fair value of a
reporting unit is less than its carrying amount.
The option to consider qualitative factors
applies toanyyear
andanyreporting
period.
The existing goodwill impairment ballet can
be a very costly production. While I am
sympathetic to cost issues, I have a number of
concerns with the way the FASB is addressing
them:
More management discretion means more
earnings management –The
Board ostensibly decided to give entities the
discretion to skip any qualitative assessment at
any time. The stated intention is to save
entities the cost of performing the qualitative
test in a period when breaching the MLTN
threshold could be self-evident. Allow me to
illustrate my skepticism for this explanation
with a slight digression – an example of a
similar impairment test that I got wind of just
this week:
I was
contacted by an analyst who was concerned about
a foreign energy producer that prepares its
financial statements under IFRS. In accounting
for its oil and gas field development costs, the
company capitalizes the development costs
associated with both successful and unsuccessful
wells. The question I was asked pertained to a
very large reported impairment charge from
writing off the capitalized costs allocated to
one particular dry well, one component of a
block of wells comprising a "cash generating
unit." The write off took place even though
every other well in the cash generating unit was
performing well beyond original expectations.
I explained to
the analyst that IFRS (see IAS 36) provides theoptionto
assess impairment at the individual asset level
at any time – ostensibly to allow an entity to
provide more timely information regarding
impairments. But, ulterior motives may have been
at work: With oil prices (and revenues) so high
lately, the entity likely had more than enough
accounting profit to absorb impairment losses
this year, and still meet earnings projections.
Hence, the entity apparently elected to pave the
way for higher future earnings by taking an
impairment charge in the current year with the
main effect being reduced future amortization of
development costs.
One of my philosophies of financial reporting
– and a major theme of this blog – is that
discretion in financial reporting invariably
leads to abuse. In criticizing the proposal that
entities may use the qualitative assessment at
their own discretion, am I being too cynical.
Or, is the Board being disingenuous? As you
decide these questions for yourself, consider
that a qualitative assessment in no-brainer
circumstances shouldn't cost that much in the
first place. Also, while there are already
plenty of opportunity for earnings management in
the FASB's extant goodwill impairment standard,
there will certainly be times when entities will
want to write off goodwill before issuing its
financials, but can't because the MLTN threshold
prevents it.
The "more-likely-than-not" probability
threshold is not auditable–
I have conducted seminars on financial reporting
to thousands of practicing accountants; and my
own impression, which is corroborated by a
colleague who has done even more of this kind of
work than I, is that CPAs are not well-equipped,
nor are they excited about, making probabilistic
judgments. Yet, the latest fad among standards
setters is to require them to do so (and in some
cases – leases, loans, revenue recognition – to
generate entire probability distributions).
Again, my philosophy that discretion leads to
abuse is directly applicable.
Moreover, who shall review the
'reasonableness' of these probabilistic
judgments? In the most important cases, it will
be the "independent" auditors of large public
companies, who are paid millions of dollars via
checks bearing the signature of the company's
CEO. I can see it now: two weeks before the Form
10-K is due at the SEC, a newly-hired auditor
who still takes his job too seriously will
question the reasonableness of the MLTN
determination. Should the auditor require a
re-assessment, the company won't have enough
time to conduct its goodwill impairment test.
Guess who gets inserted between a rock and a
hard place?
Non-existent cost-benefit analysis –Federal
law requires the SEC to justify a new regulation
with rigorous and transparent cost benefit
analyses, generally with hard data and
quantitative assessments. I find it strange that
both the IASB and the FASB (essentially the
SEC's agent when it comes to making accounting
rules) can trumpet the rigor and extensiveness
of their "due process" without the same. In ASU
2011-180, the FASB is proposing, without even
acknowledging any potential negative
consequences, to allow reporting entities to
side-step a series of rules that clearly were
intended to mitigate shareholder value
destruction.
More convergence nonsense –The
Board mentions that it considered a number of
other alternatives for changing goodwill
impairment accounting. I won't get into the
details here, but some of those alternatives
make a lot more sense that the proposed rule
changes. Irritatingly, much of the Board's
rationalizations are based on their concern that
a revised goodwill impairment standard should
move U.S. GAAP closer to IFRS. But in point of
fact, the goodwill impairment rules under IFRS
are already as different from U.S. GAAP (with no
plans for convergence) as night is from day.
Under U.S. GAAP, thelastlong-lived
asset to be tested for impairment, and written
down, isalwaysgoodwill;
but under IFRS,alllong-lived
assets are tested together, and thefirstasset
to be written down is generally goodwill
(subject to earnings management options that are
currently not in U.S. GAAP).
* * * * *
Financial accounting costs too much because
it is too darn complex. I am sympathetic towards
efforts to reduce the costs of financial
reporting, but in most cases, improvements are
only slightly incremental and they come with too
much baggage. The latest proposal for modifying
"goodwill impairment" accounting is a case in
point.
Jensen Comment
I did not see FAS 157 recommendations on how to capitalize and annually adjust
the value of collaboration as an asset.
Investors who rely upon the balance sheet sums of IFRS-FASB fair values as
surrogates of economic value are missing the big picture as much as our
accounting standard setters are helping to mislead those investors. AC Littleton
emphasized that historical cost accounting is not valuation whereas exit value
accounting is valuation.
The past decade has yielded a growing number of
cases of cash reporting problems among global firms. According to Audit
Analytics, corporate restatements in the United States for cash-related
reporting soared from 0.49 percent of all restatements in 2001 to over 13
percent in 2008.
Between 2002 and
2005, Grant Thornton auditors failed to detect cash frauds totaling almost
€4 billion at Parmalat, a global Italian dairy and food corporation. In
2008, PricewaterhouseCoopers’ auditors missed a £1 billion in fraudulent
cash balances at Satyam, the Indian technology outsourcing giant. What’s
going on?
Historically, cash
has not been that hard to audit or report, and junior accountants in their
first and second years have routinely been tasked with auditing balances and
preparing disclosures for these assets. After all, how hard can it be to
audit and report cash assets, when verification and valuation generally are
not issues?
Why aren’t companies reporting cash in an ethical and transparent manner? As
analysts’ concern with earnings management has grown, they are devoting more
attention to reported cash flows. Global financial managers are aware of
this new focus and have responded accordingly by either creatively or
intentionally misreporting corporate cash flows.
Initially, most of the gimmickry related to inflating operating cash flows (OCF)
by simply misclassifying cash flows in the statement of cash flows (SCF).
Investing or financing cash inflows are reported as operating activities,
and operating cash outflows are included in the investing and financing
sections of the SCF. While such games continue even today, corporate
accountants continue to develop more sophisticated schemes to artificially
inflate cash balances and related flows. Managers now commonly achieve OCF
targets via asset liquidations, by delaying payments on payables, and even
by counting receivable collections as cash before they are actually
received, and employing special purpose entities.
Note the following 8-K disclosure recently filed by Orbitz Worldwide, a
leading global online travel company:
The Company
determined that credit card receipts in-transit at its foreign
operations (which are generally collected within two to three days)
should have been classified as “Accounts Receivable” rather than “Cash
and Cash Equivalents.”
The Pep Boys, a large U.S.
automobile parts, tire, and service provider, also reported the following in
its 10-K:
All credit and debit card transactions that settle in less than seven
days are also classified as cash and cash equivalents.
Such practices clearly raise
questions about the quality of reported cash balances and OCF, and recently
the games have reached an all time low. Managers now have decided to simply
change the way they define cash in the balance sheet. Every accounting
student learns that a company reports as cash on their end-of-period balance
sheet the amount reflected in the company’s general ledger; however, a
growing number of companies are abandoning this generally accepted practice
and now inflate their reported balance sheet cash flows by adding back
outstanding checks (i.e., those than have not yet cleared the bank) written
and mailed before period-end. This practice not only increases reported
cash balances, but also overstates OCF since the outstanding checks are
added to accounts payable. Note the following example from the recent 10-K
of Dick’s Sporting Goods, a national U.S. sporting retailer:
Accounts payable
at January 30, 2010 and January 31, 2009 include $74.2 million and $74.8
million, respectively, of checks drawn in excess of cash balances not
yet presented for payment.
In this case, OCF were
overstated by 89.16 percent in 2009 and 22.68 percent in 2010. Then there
is the case of Airgas, a nationwide distributor of gases, welding supplies,
safety products, and tools, that reports in its 2010 10-K:
Cash principally represents the balance of customer checks that have not
yet cleared through the banking system…Cash overdrafts represent the
balance of outstanding checks and are classified with other current
liabilities.
In this
case, had the company reported its outstanding checks appropriately, its
cash balance would have been negative at the end of 2010, and its OCF were
overstated by $5.5 million as well.
Teaching Case on Fair Value Measurement and Financial Statement Analysis
Here's a pop quiz: Bank of America in the third quarter generated:
a) 56 cents a share in earnings,
b) 27 cents,
c) a loss of two cents, or
d) all of the above.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on November 4,
2011
TOPICS: Banking, Fair Value Accounting, Fair-Value Accounting
Rules, Financial Accounting Standards Board, SEC, Securities and Exchange
Commission
SUMMARY: Author David Reilly uses Bank of America's recent
disclosures highlighting the impact of special items to say that analysts
and others cannot clearly identify what results banks are achieving. He
highlights the bank's use of the fair value option for structured notes-bank
debt that was issue with an embedded derivative so that "the ultimate payout
to the holder typically depends on changes in some other instrument such as
the S&P 500...." Mr. Reilly expresses concern with comparability across bank
financial statements because of differing disclosures about the effects of
using the fair value option to account for structured debt. He calls for the
SEC to "issue guidance so that all banks label these changes similarly and
present them in the same way."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful in advanced
undergraduate or graduate level financial reporting classes to cover the
qualitative characteristic of comparability and to discuss the fair value
option banks are using in accounting for their own debt.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) On what basis does the author of this article,
David Reilly, argue that Bank of America's fourth quarter results could be
measured in three ways?
2. (Advanced) Define the terms "mark-to-market accounting" and
"fair value option". What authoritative accounting guidance defines how to
use these accounting methods?
3. (Introductory) Why are banks opting to use fair value reporting
for their structured notes even when not being required to do so? In your
answer, define the term "structured notes" on the basis of the description
in the article.
4. (Advanced) What are the primary and supporting qualitative
characteristics of financial information? Where are they found in
authoritative accounting literature?
5. (Advanced) Which qualitative characteristic does Mr. Reilly
indicate is being violated in reporting by from big banks such as Citigroup,
J.P. Morgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs Group?
6. (Introductory) What entity does Mr. Reilly indicate should solve
the reporting issues highlighted in the article? Is this the only entity
responsible for establishing financial reporting standards in this U.S.?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Here's a pop quiz: Bank of America in the third
quarter generated:
a) 56 cents a share in earnings,
b) 27 cents,
c) a loss of two cents, or
d) all of the above.
The answer is "d," thanks to a dozen special items
investors can include or exclude when trying to figure out how the bank
actually performed. Chief among them were $6.2 billion in gains due to falls
in the value of the bank's own debt.
And investors may have to brace for more of the
same in the current quarter. With the European crisis off the boil, debt
values for big banks have regained some ground. The cost of protecting
against default at Bank of America has fallen about 26% since Sept. 30,
following a 170% increase in the third quarter. If the decline continues,
last quarter's gains could reverse, resulting in fourth-quarter hits to
profit.
Confused? Plenty of investors are. Even analysts
and bankers have had a tough time figuring out how to compare results at big
banks like Bank of America, Citigroup, J.P. Morgan Chase, Morgan Stanley and
Goldman Sachs Group. That's due to the counterintuitive nature of these
gains. Since banks book them as their own debt loses value, a firm would
theoretically mint money while going bankrupt. Making matters worse,
individual banks often use different terms to describe these gains—and
disclose them in different ways.
This is spurring debate about whether
accounting-rule changes are needed. But there's a little-known irony: The
problem is largely of Wall Street's own making. And it highlights how big
banks repeatedly play for short-term advantages that often end up working
against them.
To understand why, consider that banks aren't
actually required to record most gains or losses due to changes in the value
of their debt. (Unlike with derivatives, which must be marked.) They choose
to do so. And when banks do mark debt, it tends to affect only small
portions of their total liabilities. In the second quarter, Bank of America
marked to market $60.7 billion out of $427 billion in long-term debt. That
was equal to only about 3% of the bank's total liabilities, which totaled
$2.04 trillion.
Plus, banks that mark portions of their debt often
do so because they issue so-called structured notes. These notes are bonds
with a twist—the ultimate payout to the holder typically depends on changes
in some other instrument such as the S&P 500 index or a basket of
commodities.
Big banks like these instruments because they
generally result in a cheaper cost of funding. By embedding a derivative in
the instrument, they can also generates fees and may lead to more trading
business. There was a catch, though. For accounting purposes, banks couldn't
hedge that embedded derivative.
So in the mid-2000s, Wall Street pushed for an
accounting-rule change that allowed them to use market prices for almost
anything on their balance sheet. This made it easier to avoid accounting
mismatches. But it also meant Wall Street could mark these structured notes
to market prices, allowing them to hedge the derivative for accounting
purposes.
At the time, banks weren't worried about big
changes in the value of their own debt coming into play. Bonds were pretty
stable, and the credit-default-swap market was nascent. The financial crisis
changed that. As banks teetered, their bonds and default swaps moved
sharply. This led to the kind of outsize gains and losses now whipsawing
bank results.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Frank Partnoy and Lynn Turner contend that Wall Street bank
accounting is an exercise in writing fiction:
Watch the video! (a bit slow loading)
Lynn Turner is Partnoy's co-author of the white paper."Make Markets Be Markets"
"Bring Transparency to Off-Balance Sheet Accounting," by Frank Partnoy,
Roosevelt Institute, March 2010 ---
http://www.rooseveltinstitute.org/policy-and-ideas/ideas-database/bring-transparency-balance-sheet-accounting
Watch the video!
Judging the Relevance of Fair Values for Financial Statements
Since fair value accounting is arguably the hottest accounting
theory/practice topic among accounting standard setters and financial analysts
these days, I was naturally attracted to the following accountics science
research article:
"Judging the Relevance of Fair Values for Financial Statements,"
by Lisa Koonce, Karen K. Nelson, and Catherine M. Shakespeare, The Accounting
Review, Volume 86, 2075-2098.November 2011, pp. 2075-2098
ABSTRACT:
We conduct three experiments to test if investors'
views about fair value are contingent on whether the financial instrument in
question is an asset or liability, whether fair values produce gains or
losses, and whether the item will or will not be sold/settled soon. We draw
on counterfactual reasoning theory from psychology, which suggests that
these factors are likely to influence whether investors consider fair value
as providing information about forgone opportunities. The latter, in turn,
is predicted to influence investors' fair value relevance judgments. Results
are generally supportive of the notion that judgments about the relevance of
fair value are contingent. Attempts to influence investors' fair value
relevance judgments by providing them with information about forgone
opportunities are met with mixed success. In particular, our results are
sensitive to the type of information provided and indicate the difficulty of
overcoming investors' (apparent) strong beliefs about fair value.
. . .
Fair value proponents maintain that, no matter the
circumstance, fair value provides information about forgone opportunities
that affect the economics of the firm (Hague and Willis 1999). That is,
proponents of fair value would argue that such information is always
relevant to evaluating a firm.
To be concrete, consider the following example.
Company X issues bonds payable at par in the amount of $1,000,000. Two years
after issuing the bonds, interest rates fall and so the fair value of the
bonds is $1,200,000. From a discounted cash flow perspective, although the
cash outflows have not changed, the discount rate has decreased. This
denominator change leads to a greater negative present value associated with
Company X having debt with fixed cash outflows—that is, it leads to a fair
value loss. A fair value advocate would argue that the $200,000 loss is
always relevant to the evaluation of the firm as it represents a forgone
opportunity—that is, the present value of the additional interest cost
(i.e., above current market rates) that Company X will pay over the
remaining term of the bond, essentially because Company X did not refinance
before rates changed (Hague and Willis 1999). Accordingly, fair value
advocates would maintain that Company X's valuation should decrease as its
cash flows are higher than an otherwise identical company (say, Company Y)
that financed after the rate decrease. Stated differently, at the end of the
financing period, Company X's cash balance will be lower than Company Y's
(because X is paying a higher interest rate) and, thus, each firm's
valuation should reflect this real economic difference.4
If investors follow the logic of the fair value
advocate and consider fair value gains and losses as representing forgone
opportunities, they are essentially engaging in a process that psychologists
call counterfactual reasoning (Roese 1997). In this type of reasoning,
individuals “undo” outcomes by changing (or mutating) the cause that led to
them. For example, if only the driver had not taken an unusual route home
late at night, he would not have gotten into an accident. In the fair value
domain, the calculation of fair value is based on the same type of
simulation as counterfactual reasoning—“undoing” the actual contractual
interest rate and replacing it with the current market rate of interest that
the company would be paying if management had undertaken an alternative set
of actions (i.e., the forgone opportunity). As the above numerical example
illustrates, determining the amount of the fair value gain or loss is fairly
mechanical once an interest (or discount) rate change occurs. The more
subtle effect is whether the investor considers the fair value gain or loss
as a forgone opportunity and thus relevant to evaluating the firm. If
investors do (do not) follow a process similar to counterfactual reasoning,
they are more (are less) likely to judge fair value measurements as
relevant.
Thinking about fair value in terms of
counterfactual reasoning is helpful, as this theory suggests when investors'
fair value judgments are likely to depend on context. Prior research in
psychology indicates that counterfactual thinking is more likely when events
are seen as abnormal versus normal, when negative rather than positive
events occur, when the outcome or antecedent is mutable or changeable, or
when the outcome is close versus more distant in time (Roese and Olson
1995). Drawing on this research, we identify three fair value contexts for
financial instruments—namely, assets versus liabilities, gains versus
losses, and held to maturity versus sold/settled soon—that we posit will
cause investors to change their fair value relevance judgments.5 That is, we
predict that investors' views about the relevance of fair value will not be
unwavering, as proponents of fair value would maintain, but rather will be
contingent on context. Relevance of Fair Value Depending on Context
Fair value accounting is currently being used for
financial instruments that are either assets or liabilities (but not for
equity items). In addition, fair value accounting produces both gains and
losses. Accordingly, a natural question is whether investors reason
differently about the relevance of fair value for assets versus liabilities
and for gains versus losses. Counterfactual reasoning theory suggests that
investors treat these situations differently.
Turning first to gains and losses, prior literature
(e.g., Roese 1997) indicates that counterfactual reasoning is more likely
when undesirable outcomes occur. Here, individuals tend to evaluate the
undesirable outcome by determining how easy it is to mentally undo it. In
the fair value context, this would entail reasoning about how the fair value
loss could have been avoided. In contrast, counterfactual reasoning is less
likely with desirable outcomes like fair value gains. In the case of such
desirable outcomes, individuals have less need to understand the cause of
the gain and are unlikely to mentally undo the outcome (Roese 1997).
Accordingly, we hypothesize: H1:
Individuals will judge fair value losses as more
relevant than fair value gains.
In the context of assets versus liabilities,
counterfactual reasoning theory suggests that the more mutable an item is
(i.e., the easier an outcome can be undone), the more likely an individual
will engage in counterfactual reasoning (McGill and Tenbrunsel 2000). For
example, if a parachuter falls to his death, individuals are more likely to
consider mutable factors in considering how he could have avoided death.
That is, “if only he had rechecked the safety cord before jumping” is more
likely to be considered (i.e., it is more mutable) than “if only gravity
were not at work.”
We predict that, in the eyes of investors,
financial assets are perceived to be more mutable than financial
liabilities. In other words, it is easier to consider an alternative set of
actions for assets than for liabilities. This idea comes from the line of
reasoning that individuals generally think they can more easily sell, for
example, a bond investment than they can settle a home loan. That is, it is
easier for them to simulate an alternative set of actions for (i.e.,
counterfactually reason about) assets than liabilities.6 Accordingly, we
hypothesize: H2:
Individuals will judge the fair value of financial
assets as more relevant than the fair value of financial liabilities.
Finally, we posit that management's intent likely
influences investors' judgments about fair value relevance. Research shows
that perceived closeness to an outcome affects whether individuals engage in
counterfactual reasoning (Meyers-Levy and Maheswaran 1992). For example, a
traveler who misses his/her flight by five minutes is more likely to engage
in counterfactual reasoning (i.e., “if only I had run the yellow stop light,
I'd have made it to the gate on time”) than a traveler who misses the flight
by one hour. Drawing on this idea, we maintain that individuals will be more
inclined to think about “if only” when the financial instrument is to be
sold/settled soon as compared to when it is to be held to maturity.
Counterfactual reasoning seems particularly likely here, particularly in the
case of loss outcomes. Individuals will likely think, for example, “if only
the company had sold the investment before the fair value decreased, they
would not be in this position today.” Accordingly, we hypothesize: H3:
Individuals will judge the fair value of financial
instruments that are to be sold/settled soon as more relevant than those
that are to be held to maturity. Changing Investor Judgments about Fair
Value Relevance
Because we conjecture that investors' judgments
about fair value relevance will depend on the context, we believe it is
possible to desensitize their judgments to context (Arkes 1991). In
particular, we surmise that providing information about forgone
opportunities should influence investors' understanding of the fair value
change and, ultimately, will influence their fair value relevance judgments.
This approach of providing individuals with a summary of the information
that they may not normally consider is frequently employed as a “fix” in
various decision settings (Arkes 1991). We summarize our expectations in the
following hypothesis. H4:
Individuals will judge the relevance of fair value
for financial instruments as greater when they are given information about
forgone alternatives.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I like this paper in terms of it's originality and clever ideas in terms of
accounting theory, especially the concept of counterfactual reasoning.
But like nearly all accountics behavioral experiments reported over the past
four decades, I'm disappointed in how the hypotheses were actually tested. I'm
also disappointed in the virtual lack of validity testing and replication of
behavioral accounting studies, but it's too early to speculate on future
replication studies of this particular November 2011 article.
To their credit, Professors Koonce, Nelson, and Shakespeare conducted three
experiments rather than just one experiment, although from a picky point of view
these would not constitute independent replications in science ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/TheoryTAR.htm
Also to their credit the sample sizes are large enough to almost make
statistical inference testing superfluous.
But I just cannot get excited about extrapolating research findings form
students as surrogates for investors and analysts in the real world. This is a
typical example of where accountics researchers tried to do their research
without having to set foot off campus.
Even if these researchers had stepped off campus to conduct their experiments
on real-world investors and analysts, I have difficulty with assigning the
research subjects artificial/hypothetical tasks even though my own doctoral
thesis entailed submitting hypothetical proxy reports to real-world security
analysts. My favorite criticism is an anecdotal experience with one banker who
was an extremely close friend when I lived in Bangor, Maine while on the faculty
of the University of Maine. I played poker or bridge with this banker at least
once a week. With relatively small stakes in a card game he was a reckless fool
in his betting and nearly always came up a money loser at the end of the night.
But in real life he was a Yankee banker who was known in the area for his
tight-fisted conservatism.
And thus I have a dilemma. Even if there are ten replications of these
experiments using real world investors and analysts I cannot get excited about
the accountics science outcomes. I would place much more faith in a protocol
analysis of one randomly selected CFA, but protocol researchers are not allowed
to publish their small sample studies in TAR, JAR, or JAE. They can, however,
find publishing outlets in social science research journals.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Protocol_analysis
The best known protocol analysis in accounting and finance was the
award-winning doctoral thesis research of Geoffrey Clarkson at Carnegie-Mellon,
although the integrity of his research was later challenged.
Few studies
have examined the impact of age on reactivity to
concurrent think-aloud (TA) verbal reports.
An initial study with
30 younger and 31 older adults revealed that thinking
aloud improves older adult performance on a short form
of the Raven's Matrices (Bors & Stokes, 1998,
Educational and Psychological Measurement, 58, p. 382)
but did not affect other tasks. In the
replication experiment, 30 older adults (mean age =
73.0) performed the Raven's Matrices and three other
tasks to replicate and extend the findings of the
initial study. Once again older adults performed
significantly better only on the Raven's Matrices while
thinking aloud.
Performance gains on this task were substantial (d =
0.73 and 0.92 in Experiments 1 and 2, respectively),
corresponding to a fluid intelligence increase of nearly
one standard deviation.
Source: "How to Gain
Eleven IQ Points in Ten Minutes: Thinking Aloud Improves
Raven's Matrices Performance in Older Adults" from
Aging, Neuropsychology, and Cognition, Volume 17, Issue
2 March 2010 , pages 191 - 204
Speaking of smarts and genius,
if you haven't read it, Dave Eggers' book
A Heartbreaking Work of Staggering
Genius
is a lot of fun. I highly
recommend the introduction, oddly enough.
This takes me back to long ago to "Protocol Analysis" when having subjects
think aloud was documented in an effort to examine what information was used and
how it was used in decision making. One of the first Protocol Analysis studies
that I can recall was at Carnegie-Mellon when Geoffrey Clarkson wrote a doctoral
thesis on a bank's portfolio manager thinking aloud while making portfolio
investment decisions for clients. Although there were belated questions about
the integrity of Jeff's study, one thing that stuck out in my mind is how
accounting choices (LIFO vs. FIFO, straight-line vs. accelerated depreciation)
were ignored entirely when the decision maker analyzed financial statements.
This is one of those now rare books that I still have in some pile in my studio: Geoffrey Clarkson, Portfolio Selection-A
Simulation of. Trust Investment (Englewood Cliffs, N. J.:
Prentice-Hall,. Inc., 1962)
Clarkson reached a controversial conclusion that his model could choose the same
portfolios as the live decision maker. That was the part that was later
questioned by researchers.
Another application of Protocol Analysis was the doctoral thesis of Stan
Biggs.
As cited in The Accounting Review in January, 1988 ---
http://www.jstor.org/pss/247685
By the way, this one one of those former years when TAR had a section for "Small
Sample Studies" (those fell by the board in later years)
Added Jensen Comment
An early precursor of the concept of "counterfactual reasoning" is "functional
fixation"
Accounting History Trivia
What accounting professors coined the phrase "functional fixation" in 1966 and
in what particular accounting context?
Hint 1
One of the professors was also one of my professors, a former Dean of the
Graduate School of Business at Stanford University, and the last Chairman of
Enron's Audit Committee.
Hint 2
Bob Ashton did some cognitive experimentation of functional fixation that was
published in the Journal of Accounting Research a decade later in 1976.
"Did Fair-Value Accounting Contribute
to the Financial Crisis?"
by Christian Laux, Christian Leuz
NBER Working Paper No. 15515 Issued in November 2009
NBER Program(s): CF
The recent financial crisis
has led to a major debate about fair-value accounting. Many critics have
argued that fair-value accounting, often also called mark-to-market
accounting, has significantly contributed to the financial crisis or, at
least, exacerbated its severity. In this paper, we assess these arguments
and examine the role of fair-value accounting in the financial crisis using
descriptive data and empirical evidence. Based on our analysis, it is
unlikely that fair-value accounting added to the severity of the current
financial crisis in a major way. While there may have been downward spirals
or asset-fire sales in certain markets, we find little evidence that these
effects are the result of fair-value accounting. We also find little support
for claims that fair-value accounting leads to excessive write-downs of
banks' assets. If anything, empirical evidence to date points in the
opposite direction, that is, towards overvaluation of bank assets.
LONDON - The finance director of Barclays Bank has
called for the abolition of an accounting rule that he believes distorts the
profitability of banks.
In a letter published Monday in the Financial
Times, Chris Lucas criticized the "fair value accounting of own debt" which
boosted the third-quarter results of several major banks, including
Barclays. The gain is based on the deteriorating market value of debt, a
price at which a bank could theoretically buy back the debt.
Lucas wrote that this accounting rule
"misrepresents actual business profitability," and he urged the European
Commission and other regulators to move quickly to adopt a revised rule
proposed by the International Accounting Standards Board.
LONDON - The finance director of Barclays Bank has
called for the abolition of an accounting rule that he believes distorts the
profitability of banks.
In a letter published Monday in the Financial
Times, Chris Lucas criticized the "fair value accounting of own debt" which
boosted the third-quarter results of several major banks, including
Barclays. The gain is based on the deteriorating market value of debt, a
price at which a bank could theoretically buy back the debt.
Lucas wrote that this accounting rule
"misrepresents actual business profitability," and he urged the European
Commission and other regulators to move quickly to adopt a revised rule
proposed by the International Accounting Standards Board.
Question
What do the U.S. Department of Education's financial responsibility calculations
and FASB/IASB fair value accounting standards have in common?
The critics also contend that aspects of the
14-year-old formula used to calculate the scores are flawed and outdated.
. . .
But Naicu contends that the Education Department's
misapplication of its own rules has given a false impression of the number
of colleges on the brink.
The data for the 2009 fiscal year showed 149
private degree-granting institutions received composite scores of 1.5 or
below, the cutoff for passing the test. "There's just not 150 schools that
are at the risk of closure, or even close to that," Ms. Flanagan says.
She and other critics say that, for 2009 in
particular—a year of significant losses for investors—the department's
treatment of endowment declines (it counts a decline in endowment value as
if it were an expenditure) improperly put many more colleges on the "failed"
list than should have been there.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Note that in fair value accounting under FAS 157 or IFRS 9, most unrealized
gains and losses in fair value are included along with realized gains and losses
in computing bottom-line net income, eps, P/E ratios, etc. This is particularly
misleading for items intended to be held to maturity or for a long number of
years due to various factors, particularly transactions costs of trading some
financial instruments. For example, bond liabilities can have high transactions
costs due to call back penalties. Bonds receivable can have high transactions
costs due to relatively high commissions of bond traders. Often short-term
fluctuations in bond values are due to interest rate fluctuations and have
little or nothing to due with changed credit risks.
Credibility?
Question
Do credible CPA audit firms add benefits to clients that exceed the audit costs?
Tom Selling conjectures (tongue in cheek) that a CPA audit does not add total
value to an audit client over and above the costs of an audit?
He then asks me to find evidence to support the counter argument.
I could pull a "Calvin" here and ask him to support his own conjecture, but I
will resist a Calvinistic response in this case.
This thread commenced when Patricia Walters questioned my assumption of the
value of requiring credibility for numbers reported in financial statements? It
appears that in her eyes unaudited fair values, such as real estate appraisals
and management estimates of long-term executory contract fair values, are as
valuable or even more valuable than more credible numbers that are attested to
by auditing firms in financial statements. She does not seem to worry much about
moral hazards of unaudited numbers that CPAs either will not or are not allowed
to attest to on financial statements. I might add that at the moment fair values
of financial contracts are required or soon will be required to be audited by
independent CPA auditors. She, however, supports aggregating non-audited
fair values of non-financial items like real estate with the audited numbers
like Cash, Accounts Receivable, and Notes Receivable.
I don't mind when clients provide separate schedules of many unaudited fair
values, but I think that all items in the main financial statements should be
subject to attestation. In my opinion, separate
schedules or columns are required when unaudited numbers are less credible.
I think aggregating audited numbers with unaudited numbers presents clients with
enormous moral hazards.
Anecdotal Evidence
Let me first provide anecdotal evidence where more concern with credibility
of audited numbers might've prevent billions of dollars from being bilked in
various hedge fund Ponzi schemes. The SEC has obscure jurisdiction over over
hedge funds and completely failed public investors, in spite of receiving
credible warnings at the SEC, while Bernie Madoff stole over a billion
dollars in his infamous Ponzi scheme. The SEC and thousands of investors
assumed that since Madoff engaged a CPA "auditor" that Madoff's stewardship
over their investments was legitimate.
Ponzi Schemes Where Madoff was King ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#Ponzi
The SEC did not bother to investigate whether this lone and obscure Madoff
hedge fund auditor was even licensed to be a CPA auditor. Nobody, including the
SEC, questioned whether the audit firm was credible --- it was not! The moral of
this story is that there are degrees of credibility of a CPA auditing firms, and
one test of credibility is to verify the licensure and general auditing
reputation of that firm. Another test is to investigate the depths of the
pockets of a CPA auditing firm in lawsuits and the proportion of its audits that
end up in civil court. If Deloitte had been engaged by Madoff, investors
would've lost much less even in the case where Deloitte conducted an
incompetent or fraudulent audit. And, contrary to what
Francine and Tom would like us to believe, the proportion of Deloitte's audits
that end up in civil court or are settled out of court is a miniscule in terms
of the number of all audits conducted globally by Deloitte auditors.
As a second piece of anecdotal evidence of non-cpa firm auditor lack of
credibility we might lament why taxpayers do not question the credibility of
government auditors in local, state, and federal agencies when it came to
auditing public pension funds. It turns out that undetected accounting and
accountability frauds, yes outright deliberate frauds, have now brought entire
states to the brink of bankruptcy ---
The Sad State of Governmental Accounting and Accountability ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory02.htm#GovernmentalAccounting
Try suing California for pension reporting audit failures when California cannot
even pay its public pension liabilities.
Historical Evidence
There is a long history of historical evidence that CPA certifications of
GAAP conformance by credible auditors lowers a client's cost of capital. The
evidence here is the voluntary choice of clients to pay for CPA
audits of GAAP conformance prior to when such audits became required by the
SEC in the 1930s. It would seem that if CPA audits did not lower costs of
capital that clients would not of their own free will pay for such audits.
There is also evidence today when clients like charities and universities,
that are not required by the SEC to have CPA audits, still choose to pay for
such audits --- such as when stakeholders feel that CPA audits will keep manager
agents more accurate and honest.
Empirical Evidence
Hypothesis
As the global reputation of an auditing firm declines a point is reached
where engaging that firm as an auditor raises cost of capital relative
to cost of capital when the client engages a more credible auditing firm.
Loss of Reputation is a Kiss of
Death for One Public Accounting Firm:
An Empirical StudyAndersen Audits Increased Clients'
Cost of Capital Relative to Clients of Other Auditing Firms
From Yahoo.com,
Andrew and I downloaded the daily adjusted closing prices of the stocks of
these companies (the adjustment taking into account splits and dividends). I
then constructed portfolios based on an equal dollar investment in the
stocks of each of the companies and tracked the performance of the two
portfolios from August 1, 2001, to March 1, 2002. Indexes of the values of
these portfolios are juxtaposed in Figure 1.
From August 1,
2001, to November 30, 2001, the values of the two portfolios are very highly
correlated. In particular, the values of the two portfolios fell following
the September 11 terrorist attack on our country and then quickly recovered.
You would expect a very high correlation in the values of truly matched
portfolios. Then, two deviations stand out.
In early December
2001, a wedge temporarily opened up between the values of the two
portfolios. This followed the SEC subpoena. Then, in early February, a
second and persistent wedge opened. This followed the news of the coming DOJ
indictment.
It appears that an Andersen signature (relative to a "Final Four" signature)
costs a company 6 percent of its market capitalization.
No wonder corporate clients--including several of the companies that were in
the Andersen-audited portfolio Andrew and I constructed--are leaving
Andersen.
Prior to the demise
of Arthur Andersen, the Big 5 firms seemed to have a "lock" on reputation.
It is possible that these firms may have felt free to trade on their names
in search of additional sources of revenue. If that is what happened at
Andersen, it was a big mistake. In a free market, nobody has a lock on
anything. Every day that you don’t earn your reputation afresh by serving
your customers well is a day you risk losing your reputation. And, in a
service-oriented economy, losing your reputation is the kiss of death.
The Total Benefits of an Audit are Impossible to Measure: Errors and
Frauds That Might've Transpired Without Audits
If we exclude incompetent surgeons, the costs in 2010 of errors made by
credible surgeons who made mistakes is enormous in terms of pain, suffering,
costs of correcting mistakes, and death. But it would be absurd to conjecture
that the total benefits of credible surgeons was less than the "costs" of their
mistakes.
Along a somewhat similar vein, the costs in 2010 of errors made by
credible auditors who made mistakes is enormous in terms of pain, suffering,
costs of correcting mistakes, and possibly even death (yes some of Madoff's
investors in despair committed suicide). But it would be absurd to conjecture
that the total benefits of credible auditors were less than the "costs" of their
mistakes and frauds.
Tom and Patricia fail to mention the tremendous benefit from CPA audits in
terms of GAAP errors and financial frauds that might've transpired if
clients were not subjected to audits. I conjecture that it's impossible to
measure benefits of error and fraud prevention.
1. Error Prevention
The fact that external CPA auditors will be looking for GAAP errors makes
clients more responsible in understanding GAAP and installing internal
controls that prevent GAAP errors and embarrassments accompanying CPA
auditor discovery of GAAP errors.
2. Fraud Prevention
CPA auditors aren't generally engaged to detect frauds that do not
significantly impact the numbers on financial statements. In truth they are
usually not very good at even detecting such frauds even when engaged to do
so. But existence of remote chances that frauds such as kiting will be
detected by external CPA auditors probably prevents trillions of dollars
from being pilfered by employees around the world.
Think of the cost and trouble it took for Lehman to conspire (with
auditor consent) a way of hiding poisoned assets in such a manner that its CPA
auditors would go along with in the financial statements. If Lehman was not
subjected to CPA firm audits Lehman would've quite simply not disclosed
the extent of the poison and would've not had to concoct expensive Repo 105/108
schemes required by its auditors.
There's an added benefit to CPA audits that might be termed an externality.
Tom is thinking more in terms of benefits to clients that are audited. When
Enron and WorldCom and other huge audit failures came to light near the
beginning of the 21st Century, there was genuine concern in Congress that the
entire financial markets system would collapse because millions of investors
were losing faith in the credibility of the financial markets themselves. This
is the primary reason that Congress enacted the controversial Sarbox legislation
that greatly enhanced the profitability of CPA audits.
In other words, if we are to consider the "total benefits" of CPA audits we
must consider the externalities as well as the direct benefits to clients who
are seeking lower costs of capital by paying for CPA audits.
This does not mean that there are no credible alternatives to CPA audits as
we know them today.
I think shifting CPA audits from the private sector to the public sector is a
bad idea given the track record of public sector auditors over the years and the
degree to which government auditors are pressured by politicians and lobby
powers. But there are some other alternatives to private sector "auditing."
CPA audit firms in essence would become insurance firms that reimburse
investors and creditors for a client's violations of GAAP. Such insurance
schemes would probably not totally eliminate client audits but insurance might
change many auditing procedures, e.g., more analytical reviews and less detail
testing. Presumably small auditing firms would not necessarily be driven out of
business if they participated in insurance pools.
But it would take many years of research and experimentation before insured
CPA audits could be implemented. One of the biggest challenges lies in
determining the insurance payoffs for violations of GAAP and the problems of
moral hazards. If customers throw banana peelings on supermarket floors and then
sue for spine injuries, there will also be employees in clients that cause GAAP
violations to collect the insurance money for their girl friends and third
cousins. As long as the law is lenient with offenders, insurance schemes are
doomed to failure ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudConclusion.htm#CrimePays
With the new requirements, an entity choosing to
measure a liability at fair value will present the portion of the change in
its fair value due to changes in the entity’s own credit risk directly in
the OCI section of the income statement, rather than within P&L.
“The new additions to IFRS 9 address the
counterintuitive way a company in severe financial trouble can book a large
profit based on its theoretical ability to buy back its own debt at a
reduced cost,” said IASB Chairman Sir David Tweedie in the news release.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment Sadly that does not take the fiction out of fair value accounting that could
best be described as "held-to-maturity" because of enormous transactions costs
of buying the debt back and reissuing new debt. Somehow fair value proponents
just slide over transactions cost as quickly as Bode Miller slides over
moguls
Exit Value Surrogates
Whenever value in use cannot be reasonably estimated, exit value theorists
fall back on using resale markets as surrogates of fair value. But resale in
such markets is tantamount to making viable going concern look like it is going
into bankruptcy. In fact, if auditors decide to report the firm as a non-going
concern there may be no change in the exit value balance sheets.
Exit value theorists might instead argue that the firm as a whole might be
valued but this runs into problems mentioned below.
Those who say nothing useful came from last week's
hearings of the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission exaggerate—by, say, one
or two percent.
From Citigroup's Chuck Prince we learned that the
bank felt it must continue to participate in some markets even when it
thought pricing had become crazy, because otherwise it would lose the
employees who specialized in that business.
. . .
Collateralized Debt Obligations, or CDOs, are not
so hard to fathom. A company is formed to collect, for instance, the payment
streams of mortgage bonds and pay them out to investors who buy new
securities of different grades—the best, or "super senior," get every dime
coming to them before holders of the lower grades get anything.
Citi held or committed itself to hold some $40
billion of these on its balance sheet of more than $2 trillion—commitments
that senior management didn't even know existed until late in the game,
because their underlings saw them as near-riskless, not least because they
were backed by bond insurance.
What exactly was it about these securities that
caused a global panic—that caused, in the words of Goldman Sachs, a
situation in which "institutions were hoarding cash and were unwilling to
transact with each other"?
Was it fear that banks wouldn't be able to sell
these now-illiquid securities to meet their own obligations?
Was it fear that government would force banks to
recognize accounting losses on them so great that the banks would be
rendered insolvent?
The question is crucial because panic was the key
actor in the drama—turning a severe housing correction in a handful of U.S.
states into a global calamity.
The most interesting panel of witnesses consisted
of several Citi executives who ran this business. A question the inquisitors
failed to ask is how these supposedly super-safe securities are performing
today. Have they been able to withstand the surge in mortgage defaults? Do
they continue to pay? The question begged to be asked, but Mr. Thomas was
too busy assuring the Citi executives that the commission's final report
"won't contain one word of what you folks just told us" and then promptly
berating them over whether they lost "one night of sleep over what
happened."
Where curiosity might have been useful, the
commissioners preferred to shower disdain on the Citi executives for failing
to forecast a complex disaster practically no one forecasted—unprecedented
downgrades to the CDOs by the rating agencies that previously had blessed
them, as well as downgrades to the bond insurers, which together forced Citi
to recognize huge accounting losses on its CDO holdings.
The closest we got to the important follow-up
question came when Mr. Prince, unbidden, blurted out: "It's entirely
possible that at some point in the future people will make a lot of money
from these instruments because they will pay out. But, again, the debate now
isn't about those kinds of issues. The debate is about,
'We have to have market-to-market accounting as a
theoretical purity.'"
Continued in article
Bob Jensen's threads on some of the theoretical impurities of mark-to-market
accounting are shown below.
Subsequent analysis revealed 15 previously unknown
indicators of where the ball might go (he also tested 12 indicators which
had already been studied in sports literature). Three patterns of
coordinated "distributed movements" turned out to be telltales. As Mr Diaz
explains in a
press release:
"When a goalkeeper is in a penalty situation,
they can't wait until the ball is in the air before choosing whether to
jump left or right--a well-placed penalty kick will get past them. As a
consequence, you see goalkeepers jumping before the foot hits the ball.
My question is: Are they making a choice better than chance (50/50), and
if so, what kind of information might they be using to make their
choice?"
"When, for example, you shift the angle of your
planted foot, perhaps in an attempt to hide the direction of the kick,
you're changing your base of support. In order to maintain stability,
maybe you have to do something else like move your arm. And it just
happens naturally. If this happens over and over again, over time your
motor system may learn to move the arm at the same time as the foot. In
this way the movement becomes one single distributed movement, rather
than several sequential movements. A synergy is developed."
The next step was to see how good 31 novices were
at predicting the trajectory when shown an animation of the motion capture
data which blacked out at the point of contact between the foot and the
ball. Although fifteen were no better than chance, the remaining 16 were.
One observed difference between the two groups was the response time, longer
for the successful predictors. (Responses which took more than half a second
following the blackout went unrecorded.) Whether this would ultimately
translate into better performance remains moot. England's keeper may well
hope so. Its strikers probably don't.
PPS The following anecdote is entirely extraneous
to the topic at hand but it cries out for a mention. In the 2006 shoot-out
against Argentina Germany's then goalkeeper, Jens Lehmann, notoriously
carried a list of where the rival strikers put their penalties tucked in his
sock. He actually went in the right direction--clearly a prerequisite for
success--every time, saving two Argentine attempts. As Esteban Cambiasso
steadied himself for the decisive shot, the German goalie conspicuously
consulted a crumpled piece of paper pulled out from under his shin pad.
Discomfited, the striker sent the orb to the right, directly into the hands
of the lunging Lehmann. Adding insult to injury, it later transpired that he
wasn't even on the list.
This is only the ending part of the article
Related items from Jensen's archives:
Goal Tenders versus Movers and Shakers
Skate to where the puck is going, not to where it is.
Wayne Gretsky (as quoted for many years by Jerry Trites
at
http://www.zorba.ca/ )
Jensen Comment
This may be true for most hockey players and other movers and shakers,
but for goal tenders the eyes should be focused on where the puck is at
every moment --- not where it's going. The question is whether an
accountant is a goal tender (stewardship responsibilities) or a mover
and shaker (part of the managerial decision making team). This is also
the essence of the debate of historical accounting versus pro forma
accounting.
Graduate student Derek Panchuk and professor
Joan Vickers, who discovered the Quiet Eye phenomenon, have just
completed the most comprehensive, on-ice hockey study to determine where
elite goalies focus their eyes in order to make a save. Simply put, they
found that goalies should keep their eyes on the puck. In an article to
be published in the journal Human Movement Science, Panchuk and Vickers
discovered that the best goaltenders rest their gaze directly on the
puck and shooter's stick almost a full second before the shot is
released. When they do that they make the save over 75 per cent of the
time.
"Keep your eyes on the puck," PhysOrg, October 26, 2006 ---
http://physorg.com/news81068530.html
Question What are two of the most Freakonomish and Simkinish processes in
accounting research and practice?
Freakonomish and Simkinish processes in auditing pracice The IASB and FASB are moving us ever closer into requiring subjective
evaluations of unique items for which CPA auditors have no comparative
advantages in evaluation. For example, CPAs have no comparative advantage in
estimating the value of unique parcels of real estate (every parcel of real
estate is unique). Another example would be the ERP system of Union Carbide
that has value to Union Carbide but cannot be dismantled and resold to any
other company.
The problem with many subjective evaluations is that the so-called
experts on those items are not consistent in their own evaluations. For
example, real estate appraisers are notoriously inconsistent, which is what
led to many of the subprime mortgage scandals when appraisers were placing
enormous values on tract housing as if the real estate bubble would never
burst. And placing a fair value on the ERP system of Union Carbide is more
of an art than a science due to so many unknowns in the future of that
worldwide company.
Freakonomish and Simkinish processes in accounting research Secondly, accounting researchers may want to track Freakonomics and
the related works of Mikhail Simkin at UCLA. Professor Simkin made quite a
name for himself evaluating subjective evaluators and in illustrating the
art and science of subjective and science evaluations --- http://www.ee.ucla.edu/~simkin/
And the tendency of accounting researchers to accept their empirical and
analytical academic publications as truth that does not even need a single
independent and exacting replication if Freakonomish and Simkinish in and of
itself --- http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/TheoryTAR.htm
"Measuring The Quality Of Abstract Art: Abstract artists are only 4
per cent better than child artists, according to a controversial new way of
evaluating paintings," MIT's Technology Review, June 14, 2011 ---
http://www.technologyreview.com/blog/arxiv/26882/?nlid=4597
Here's a bit of mischief from Mikhail Simkin at
the the University of California, Los Angeles.
Simkin has a made a name for himself evaluating
the relative performance of various groups and individuals. On this
blog, we've looked at his work on the performance of
congress,
physicists
and even
World War I
flying aces.
Today, he turns his attention to abstract
artists. For some time now, Simkin has a run an online quiz in which he
asks people to label abstract pictures either real art or fake. It's
fun--give
it a go.
One average, people answer correctly about 66
per cent of the time, which is significantly better than chance.
Various people have interpreted this result
(and others like it) as a challenge to the common claim that abstract
art by well-know artists is indistinguishable from art created by
children or animals.
Today, Simkin uses this 66 per cent figure as a
way of evaluating the work of well known artists. In particular, he asks
how much better these professional artists are than children.
First, he points out the results of another
well known experiment in which people are asked to evaluate weights by
picking them up. As the weights become more similar, it is harder to
tell which is heavier. In fact, people will say that a 100g weight is
heavier than a 96g weight only 72 per cent of the time.
"This means that there is less perceptible
difference between an abstractionist and child/animal than between 100
and 96g," says Simkin.
So on this basis, if you were to allocate
artistic 'weight' to artists and gave an abstract artist 100g, you would
have to give a child or animal 96g. In other words, there is only a 4
per cent difference between them.
That's not much!
Simkin goes on to say this is equivalent in
chess to the difference between a novice and the next ranking up, a
D-class amateur.
PwC recommends the following on January 20, 2009 ---
Click Here
The
proposal offers four advantages for reporting losses
on non-trading debt securities:
Credit and non-credit losses would be reported
separately and prominently in a redesigned
income statement. This enhances transparency by
providing more information about changes in fair
value.
Only
incurred losses are recorded in net income. This
is consistent with accounting for credit losses
on loans and eliminates an inconsistency in how
incurred losses are reported.
Continues to report debt securities at fair
value.
Reduces effect of temporary market volatility on
net income. Swings in earnings will be moderated
in both falling and rising markets—essentially
buffering the extremes of bull and bear emotion.
Jensen Comment A couple of nights ago the controversial liberal commentator Keith Olbermann
(MSNBC) lambasted all critics of President Obama who claim Obama is
anti-business. Olbermann's "proof" is that, under President Obama,
corporations have reported record profits for 2010 --- http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3036677/#40363881
What Keith fails to mention is that those record profits are largely the
result, during present economic recovery, of dubious accounting, deep cost
cutting by plant closings, labor layoffs, outsourcing overseas, and as in
GM's case profits mainly arising from accounting tricks and profitability of
foreign operations such as GM plants in Brazil.
President Obama is being given all sorts of credit for saving the auto
industry without mentioning that the biggest new Chrysler automobile
manufacturing plant will be in Mexico to make Fiats destined for the U.S.
market, and that GM invested over $1 billion of its bailout money to build a
new plant in Brazil.
My main point, however, is that the media commentators like
Keith Olbermann and Rush Limbaugh often make too much of profit reports of
corporations whether the news is good or bad. One huge problem is double entry bookkeeping that
requires offsets to
changes in highly dubious valuations of some things like goodwill, financial
instruments, derivative financial instruments, and intangibles in
ledger accounts. In the opinion of some accounting experts, including me,
GM's financial statements may have been more misleading than helpful to
investors bidding on shares of its highly successful IPO in November 2010.
I'm also dubious of reported "record profits" of the private sector in 2010.
One problem of fair value accounting is the many-to-one mapping of
balance sheet fair value adjustments to a single eps resicual number. As
with nearly all aggregations, many-to-one mapping is a systemic problem that
is too severe (link nutritional ratings of vegetables) --- http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudConclusion.htm#BadNews
Early extinguishment of debt instruments is often impractical because of
transactions costs of buying back debt plus transactions cost of issuing
replacement debt. Investors who track earnings/eps often fail to appreciate how the FASB and
the IASB are obsessed with balance sheet reporting accounting
standards that leave earnings statements of dubious value for even
informed investors. Both accounting standard setting bodies have
conceptual framework definitions for assets and liabilities but leave the
concept of earnings somewhere off in the residual either. For example, in
corporate fair market value (mark-to-market) adjustments of assets and
liabilities, the offsetting adjustments to earnings probably include many
adjustments to accrued earnings that will never be realized in cash. For
example, if a company has fixed-rate debt that is marked-to-market, the
unrealized earning adjustments over the years will never be realized if the
company holds that debt to maturity. All those intervening interim earnings
adjustments are certain to sum to zero even though they went up and down in
a misleading way before final maturity of the debt.
I might add that my intention at this point in time is to vote for
President Obama in 2010, and I do not think this President is anti-business.
Because of Obama's ability to silence his overwhelmingly liberal
constituency, President Obama probably has the best chance among future 2012
rivals for the Presidency of reducing the trillion+ dollar annual budget
deficits.
In fact the November 20, 2010 edition of The Economist magazine
has a front cover picture of President Obama in a lumberjack shirt while
holding a huge budget cutting chain saw. I doubt that any contender to the
Presidency has any chance compared to President Obama of cutting the
trillion-dollar deficits. Liberals can just take on the liberal media in
ways that conservatives would find their budget chain saws pushed back to
their throats. This is not to say that legislators, be they liberal or
conservative, will work with President Obama to cut the deficit. In fact,
the politics of cost cutting probably make it impossible for any chain saw
cuts in the federal budget. States, however, will be forced to cut budgets
because, unlike Ben Bernanke, they can't simply print money without taxation
or borrowing.
"Speak softly and carry a big chainsaw: Sorting out America’s
fiscal mess is relatively simple. What’s needed is political courage," The
Economist, November 20, 2010 --- http://www.economist.com/node/17522328?story_id=17522328
LAST week Asia, this week Europe: no wonder
Barack Obama has been to so many foreign summits since his party took a
pounding in the mid-term elections. With the prospect of gridlock at
home, a president naturally turns abroad. Yet Mr Obama badly needs to
show that he can still lead on domestic policy. He should start by
cajoling Congress into an agreement to tackle America’s ominous fiscal
arithmetic.
Conventional wisdom says such an agreement is
impossible: the problem is too big, the politics too difficult. But it
is wrong to suppose that the deficit is unfixable, as two proposals for
fixing it have shown this month (see article). And even the politics may
not be totally intractable.
A trillion-dollar trove
The scale of America’s fiscal problem
depends on how far ahead you look. Today’s deficit, running at 9% of
GDP, is huge. Federal debt held by the public has shot up to 62% of GDP,
the highest it has been in over 50 years. But that is largely thanks to
the economy’s woes. If growth recovers, the hole left by years of serial
tax-cutting and overspending can be plugged: you need to find spending
cuts or tax increases equal only to 2% of GDP to stabilise federal debt
by 2015. But look farther ahead and a much bigger gap appears, as an
ageing population needs ever more pensions and health care. Such
“entitlements” will double the federal debt by 2027; and the number
keeps on rising after then. The figures for state and local debt are
scary too.
The solution should start with an agreement
between Mr Obama and Congress on a target for a manageable level of
publicly held federal debt: say, 60% of GDP by 2020. They should also
agree on the broad balance between lower spending and higher taxes to
achieve this. This newspaper believes that the lion’s share of the
adjustment should come on the spending side. Entitlements are at the
root of the problem and need to be trimmed, and research has shown that
although spending cuts weigh on growth in the short run, they hurt less
than higher taxes. And in the long run later retirement and other
reforms will expand the labour force and thus potential output, whereas
higher taxes dull incentives to work and invest.
Yet even to believers in small government, like
this newspaper, there are good reasons for letting taxes take at least
some of the strain. Politically, this will surely be the price of any
bipartisan agreement. Economically, there is sensible room for manoeuvre
without damaging growth. American taxes are relatively low after the
reductions of recent years. In an ideal world the tax burden would be
gradually shifted from income to consumption (including a carbon tax).
But that is politically hard—and there is a much easier target for
reform.
America’s tax system is riddled with
exemptions, deductions and credits that feed an industry of advisers but
sap economic energy. Simply scrapping these distortions—in other words,
broadening the base of taxation without any new taxes—could bring in
some $1 trillion a year. Even though some of this would have to go in
lowering marginal rates, it is a little like finding money behind the
sofa cushions. The tax system would be simpler, fairer and more
efficient. All this means that America can sensibly aim for a balance
between spending cuts and higher taxes similar to the benchmark set by
Britain’s coalition government. A ratio of 75:25 is about right.
There is legitimate concern that, done hastily,
austerity could derail a weak recovery. But this strengthens the case
for a credible deficit-reduction plan. By reassuring markets that
America will control its debt, the government will have more scope to
boost the economy in the short term if need be—for instance by
temporarily extending the Bush tax cuts.
Mr Obama and the Republicans are brimming with
ideas for freezing discretionary spending, which covers most government
operations from defence to national parks. They have found common cause
in attacking “earmarks”, the pet projects that lawmakers insert into
bills. But discretionary outlays, including defence, are less than 40%
of the total budget. Entitlements, in particular Social Security
(pensions) and Medicare and Medicaid (health care for the elderly and
the poor), represent the bulk of spending and even more of spending
growth.
On pensions, the solution is clear if
unpopular: people will need to work longer. America should index the
retirement age to longevity and make the benefit formula for
upper-income workers less generous. The ceiling on the related payroll
tax should be increased to cover 90% of earnings, from 86% now.
Health-care spending is a much tougher issue,
because it is being fed by both the ageing of the population and rising
per-person demand for services. Richer beneficiaries should pay more of
their share of Medicare, while the generosity of the system should be
kept in check by the independent panel set up under Mr Obama’s health
reform to monitor services and payments. The simplest way for the
federal government to restrain Medicaid would be to end the current
system of matching state spending and replace this with block grants,
which would give the states an incentive to focus on cost-control.
Chainsaw you can believe in
Devising a plan that reduces the deficit, and
eventually the debt, to a manageable size is relatively easy. Getting
politicians to agree to it is a different thing. The bitter divide
between the parties means that politicians pay a high price for
consorting with the enemy. So Democrats cling to entitlements, and
Republicans live in fear of losing their next party nomination to a
tea-party activist if they bend on taxes. Even the president’s own
bipartisan commission can’t agree on what to do.
But true leaders turn the hard into the
possible. Two things should prompt Mr Obama. First, the politics of
fiscal truth may be less awful than he imagines. Ronald Reagan and Bill
Clinton both won second terms after trimming entitlements or raising
taxes. Polls in other countries suggest that nowadays tough love can
sell. Second, in the long term economics will tell: unless it changes
course, America is heading for a bust. If Mr Obama lacks the guts even
to start tackling the problem, then ever more Americans, this paper and
even those foreign summiteers will get ever more frustrated with him.
At first glance these two situations seem
pretty common and standard. Consequently, the general public could think
that the accounting for these situations should be pretty
uncontroversial and straightforward.
However, anyone who is familiar with recent
accounting debates is aware that this is far from being the case. These
are two of the most controversial items when the issue of accounting for
financial instruments is examined. Moreover, they are at the heart of
the conflicting areas of the convergence process put in place by FASB
and the IASB, which is due to be completed by 2011.
Two official documents have been recently
released on the subject. In November 2009, the IASB issued IFRS 9
(Financial Instruments), the new international standard on financial
instruments, which established the new rules to classify and account for
financial assets. For financial liabilities, the old IAS 39 (Financial
Instruments: Recognition and Measurement) is still the valid standard.
On the other side of the Atlantic, in May 2010,
FASB issued an exposure draft on “Accounting for Financial Instruments
and Revisions to the Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging
Activities.”
These documents contain important areas of
disagreement on how to account for financial instruments. In particular,
the two documents openly disagree in prescribing how to account for the
situations described above.
The Financial Crisis and Fair Value Accounting
Accounting for financial instruments has always
been controversial. IAS 32 and IAS 39 were already the most
controversial standards in the debate that preceded the official
endorsements of International Accounting Standards by the European Union
in 2005.
However, the financial crisis that began in
2007 further fueled the debate. At its heart lies the question of
whether we want to account for financial instruments at historical cost
or fair value. Many commentators have argued that the impact of the
financial crisis on the markets was aggravated by the use of FV
accounting, as many of the financial assets involved in the collapsing
of financial markets around the world.
Was this the case?
On a theoretical basis the argument can be
solidly defended. An article by Guillaume Plantin of the London Business
School, Haresh Sapra of the Booth School of Business, and Hyun Song Shin
of Princeton University, published in the Journal of Accounting Research
in 2008, has been frequently quoted to advocate this argument. In that
article, the authors model a market where trading returns are also
determined based, at least partially, on the behavior of the rest of the
market and not only on the intrinsic feature of the asset traded.
In such a setting FV accounting may lead to
high inefficiencies because of a sort of snowball effect that creates
artificial volatility. This is true in particular when the assets traded
are senior, illiquid and long-lived — three features shared by many of
the so-called toxic assets involved in the crisis. More generally, FV
accounting, by creating a feedback loop effect from the market price to
the accounting system, can induce fire sales of assets that again affect
the market price. The final consequence is a vicious circle that can
potentially amplify any initially small outside shock to prices.
From an empirical point of view, it has been
difficult to sustain this theoretical argument. Christian Leuz of the
Booth School of Business and Christian Laux of Goethe-University
Frankfurt provide a thorough analysis of the actual working of FV
accounting rules in the U.S. to provide evidence against this idea. They
show that most of the assets that were accounted at FV by banks before
and after the start of the crisis were actually so-called Level 3 fair
value assets. This means that their valuations were isolated from the
behavior of the market prices and were conducted by using an internal
model. They also provide a comprehensive review of other academic
studies that question the empirical relevance of the theoretical vicious
circle argument.
However, the debate about accounting for
financial instruments has certainly played an important role in the
drafting of the two recent regulatory documents.
Accounting Regimes and Financial Decisions
A related aspect of the debate has to do with
the question of whether accounting regimes are “neutral” or have the
power to influence the investment decisions of financial institutions.
This question was addressed in a recent theoretical paper that I
developed together with Silviu Glavan of the University of Navarra. We
show that if accounting numbers are used as the contractual basis to
distribute returns among shareholders, then the portfolio chosen by that
financial institution is determined by the adopted accounting regime.
In particular, FV accounting induces a more
conservative (less risky) portfolio choice than HC accounting. Is this
good or bad? It depends on the ultimate objective of the regulators. If
the aim is to reduce the level of risk in the system, then this is a
desirable outcome.
However, in terms of consumption smoothing over
time (an important aspect of the role played by the financial
institutions in the system), the FV outcome can be more inefficient than
the HC outcome.
From an empirical point of view, again, it is
difficult to establish a conclusive result. However, we can use Europe
as a test. We can interpret the shift in 2005 from previous national
standards to IFRS as a move towards a more extensive use of FV. Looking
at the resistance voiced by financial institutions before IFRS adoption
in Europe, it seems to be how it was perceived in the financial world.
We studied a sample of European banks and analyzed the composition of
their portfolio before and after 2005 and found preliminary evidence in
favor of our theoretical predictions: the proportion of risky assets
diminished after the adoption of IFRS.
In summary, academic research on accounting for
financial instruments gives us a couple of insights.
First, the choice of the accounting regime for
financial instruments may have real effects, but they seem to be more
evident at the micro level of portfolio choice than at the macro level
of the overall stability of financial markets. In other words different
accounting regimes may affect the composition of the investment choices
made in the markets, but they are less likely to play an active role in
the possible destabilization of the markets.
Second, long-term debt type instruments may
play a crucial role in determining the effects of different accounting
regimes in the economy.
FASB vs. IASB
Both the models proposed by FASB and the IASB
attempt to simplify the prescriptions of standards in this delicate area
because they basically reduce the old three-category model to a new
two-category model.
With respect to the accounting for instruments
held for trading purposes, both have advocated an FV model. However, it
is not surprising that the major area of difference between IFRS 9 and
FASB’s exposure draft involves the accounting for loan type instruments
held with the intention to collect the contractual flows.
According to IFRS 9, these instruments should
be accounted for at amortized cost, whereas FASB’s exposure draft
proposes to account for them at fair value. This difference is
particularly relevant for banks because it affects the accounting for
their loan portfolios and for companies because it affects the
accounting for their “own credit.” Many of the comment letters on the
exposure draft have been highly critical of the FV model proposed by
FASB and have advocated a mixed measurement model similar to the one
proposed by the IASB. For this reason the final outcome of the changes
proposed by FASB is not clear.
However, it is fair to say that a substantial
part of the final degree of success of the convergence process depends
on how the issue of accounting for financial instruments will be
resolved.
Professor Marco Trombetta is vice dean of research at IE Business
School in Madrid, Spain.
Although Edith did not mention it, I find it interesting that an accountic
research finding from JAR is cited in a practitioner journal. It would've
been more exceptional had the author himself been a practitioner. Sadly, not
this time.
I don't think Tom Selling is going to like this article, but then Tom is not
really concerned about temporal earnings volatility caused by obsessions
with the balance sheet. Fair value proponents don't seem to care about the
quality of earnings in a bouncing ball eps.
I made a somewhat similar argument years ago, but a FASB member (not yet
appointed to the Board) said it made no sense to him and walked out of my
vsdr presentation --- http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/000overview/mp3/138bench.htm Of course my own paper is probably unduly complex. I never tried to have it
published and elected to stop confusing my audiences and my students with
this case.
Summary: The FASB's proposal to change the accounting for financial instruments
and hedge accounting could have broad implications to companies across
all industries, including those in commercial and industrial industries.
The proposed changes could result in a significant expansion of the use
of fair value. Such changes would require greater valuation expertise
and result in increased earnings volatility in many cases. Common
instruments including investments in equity and debt instruments,
accounts receivable and issuances of convertible debt, among others,
would be affected. Companies should consider evaluating the impacts of
the proposed changes now and consider providing feedback to the FASB on
this very important proposal, which is open for comment through
September 30, 2010. This DataLine discusses a few of the more common
instruments and transactions that could be affected if proposed
Accounting Standards Update, Accounting for Financial Instruments and
Revisions to the Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging
Activities, is adopted in its current form.
Jensen Comment I still have to give more thought on how fair value accounting will increase
earnings volatility. It will certainly increase volatility if commodities
(other than precious metals and gemstones) like corn inventories are one day
in the future required to be carried at fair value. But thus far the new
FASB and IASB standards only are expanding fair value accounting to
more types of financial instruments.
Fair value accounting will certainly increase earnings volatility for
unhedged booked financial instruments that were previously carried in AFS or
HTM classifications under FAS 115. That one is a no brainer.
For fair value hedges of booked financial hedge items FAS 133 requires
that the hedged items be carried at fair value during the hedging period so
not much of substance changes here during the hedging period. Outside the
hedging period, however, fair value accounting will create more earnings
volatility for securities previously classified as AFS or HTM. For unbooked
hedged items we still use that the account called "Firm Commitment" invented
by FAS 133. It would be absurd for "Firm Commitment" account balances to be
charged to current earnings, because then firms hedging for fair value would
be unfairly hammered asymmetrically in terms of earnings volatility for
unbooked hedged items.
For cash flow hedges, there was no fair value risk before hedging.
Unless fair value is driven by something other than changes in interest
rates the booked value of the bond should remain constant. When value
changes by factors other than interest rate risk, I do see how the
new fair value accounting might increase earnings volatility. If the hedged
item was previously carried at amortized cost rather than fair value, the
change to fair value accounting will impact current earnings if those fair
value changes are not booked to AOCI. In the past, under the old FAS 115,
changes in value of AFS securities could be posted to AOCI even when those
changes in value were do to things other than changes in interest rates.
This will change under the new rules for financial instruments accounting
since there are no longer any AFS safe harbors.
What is not clear to me is whether the supposed IFRS principles based
standards will allow auditors to have more flexibility in offsetting fair
value changes in financial instruments to AOCI. Perhaps this will be one of
those areas in the revised IFRS 9 that adds bright lines requiring that
offsets go to current earnings. I don't think IFRS 9 will give auditors
flexibility about using AOCI with discretion.
The IASB is proposing an amendment to IAS 39 that will give the option
to maintain financial instrument liabilities at fair value with gains and
losses going to AOCI instead of current earnings. However, this does not
make the fair value accounting totally consistent with fair value accounting
for derivative financial instruments where changes in fair value go to
current earnings except in qualified hedging transactions.
Whereas firms are increasingly pressured by the FASB and the IASB to
maintain financial assets at fair value, maintaining financial liabilities
at fair values is much more controversial since the future cash flows of
fixed-rate debt may depart greatly from current fair value. For cash flows
of a fixed rate mortgage are well defined whereas the fair value of those
cash flows may fluctuate day-to-day with interest rates. Fair value
adjustments of debt that the firm either cannot or does not intend to
liquidate may be quite misleading regarding financial risk.
The same cannot be said for derivative financial instruments where FAS
133 and IAS 39 require maintaining the current reported balances at fair
value.
However, the FASB is proposing an amendment to IAS 39 that will give the
option to maintain financial instrument liabilities at fair value with gains
and losses going to AOCI instead of current earnings. However, this does not
make the fair value accounting totally consistent with fair value accounting
for derivative financial instruments where changes in fair value go to
current earnings except in qualified hedging transactions.
The IASB has published for public comment an
exposure draft (ED) of proposing to amend the way the fair value option
in IAS 39 Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement is applied
with respect to financial liabilities. Many investors and others have
said that volatility in profit or loss resulting from changes in an
entity's own credit risk is counter-intuitive and does not provide
useful information – except for value changes relating to derivatives
and liabilities held for trading (such as short sales). The IASB is
proposing, therefore, that all gains and losses resulting from changes
in 'own credit' for those financial liabilities that an entity chooses
to measure at fair value should be recognised as a component of 'other
comprehensive income', not in profit or loss. The ED does not propose
any other changes for financial liabilities. Consequently, the proposals
will affect only those entities that elect to apply the fair value
option to their financial liabilities. Importantly, those who prefer to
bifurcate financial liabilities when relevant may continue to do so.
That is consistent with the widespread view that the existing
requirements for financial liabilities work well, other than the 'own
credit' issue that these proposals cover.
Unlike FAS 133, IAS 39 no longer requires bifurcation of embedded
derivatives that are not "clearly and closely related" to the host
instrument.
The worst
part of all this is that students, let’s call them classic sophomores, are
willing to jump to conclusions like the following:
1.Historical cost accounting, even when price-level adjusted,
leads to ancient balances of assets and liabilities that are
seriously out of date with current market values whether markets are
entry or exit value markets.
2.Therefore, to the extent possible assets and liabilities
should be carried at fair values (exit or entry) with changes in
fair values reported in current earnings.
What these
sophomores do not understand that fair value adjustments create utter
fiction for held-to-maturity or other “locked-in” items. Adjusting some
assets and liabilities to fair values is utter fiction if there is no option
or intent for fair value transactions to transpire before some shock such as
contractual maturity or abandonment of a manufacturing operation (that makes
factory real estate finally available for sale). The classic example is
fixed-rate debt for which there is no embedded option to pay off the debt
prematurely or purchase it back in an open market. If the cash flow stream
is thus set in stone until maturity, any adjustments to fair value are
accounting fictions. Temporal changes in current earnings for fictional
accounting value changes are more misleading than helpful.
Creditors
might propose deals for early retirement, but they do so when it is not
particularly advantageous for the debtor. Conversely, debtors may propose
deals for early retirement, but they will do so when it is not particularly
advantageous for the creditors. Hence such debt is usually retired early
only when either the debtor or the creditor is willing to negotiate a heavy
penalty. Without a willingness to incur heavy penalties, changes in earnings
for accounting fictions are highly misleading in terms of fictional earnings
volatility.
When we have
contracts that provide debtors more embedded options for premature
settlements, then we might begin to think more seriously about adjusting the
debt to fair value. Many debt contracts have embedded options for the debtor
to pay the debt off before retirement (often at some contracted penalty such
as bond call back prices). In the case of financial assets, we now have the
classifications “Hold-to-Maturity” versus “Available-for-Sale” that we apply
to financial assets.
It seems that under the proposed
IAS 39 amendment, providing an option to carry debt at fair value, we could
allow debtors to similarly classify debt as “Hold-to-Maturity” versus
“Available-for-Buy-Back” where the debtor declares an intent to buy the debt
back if the fair value of the debt in the market fair value becomes
attractive. This often happens for fixed-rate marketable bonds when interest
rates rise and market values of the bonds decline. In fact, Exxon invented
“in-substance defeasance” to simulate debt buy backs when the transactional
cost penalties for actual buy backs were too high. Until FAS 125 no longer
allowed removing defeased debt from the balance sheet, this was a means by
which Exxon could report realized gains on debt value reduction and remove
debt from the balance sheet without truly abandoning payoff obligations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm
In-Substance Defeasance In-substance defeasance used to be a ploy to take debt off the balance
sheet. It was invented by Exxon in 1982 as a means of capturing the millions
in a gain on debt (bonds) that had gone up significantly in value due to
rising interest rates. The debt itself was permanently "parked" with an
independent trustee as if it had been cancelled by risk free government
bonds also placed with the trustee in a manner that the risk free assets
would be sufficient to pay off the parked debt at maturity. The defeased
(parked) $515 million in debt was taken off of Exxon's balance sheet and the
$132 million gain of the debt was booked into current earnings --- http://www.bsu.edu/majb/resource/pdf/vol04num2.pdf
Defeasance was thus looked upon as an alternative to outright extinguishment
of debt until the FASB passed FAS 125 that ended the ability of companies to
use in-substance defeasance to remove debt from the balance sheet. Prior to
FAS 125, defeasance became enormously popular as an OBSF ploy.
Since
companies now have the option of classifying financial assets as HTM versus
AFS, it seems symmetrical in the proposed IAS 39 amendment to allow
financial liabilities to be classified as HTM versus AVBB
(available-for-buy-back). However, in both the AFS and the AVBB
classifications, the unrealized changes in fair values should be charged to
AOCI rather than current earnings. This keeps accounting fictions out of
current earnings, at least with respect to financial asset and liability
value change fictions.
One thing I
propose for the proposed IAS 39 amendment is that the mandatory value
changes for AFS financial assets not be declared optional for AVBB debt. The
changes should be mandatory (not optional) for AVBB liabilities just as they
are mandatory for AFS assets. In both instances, however, changes in value
should not impact current earnings until the changes in value are realized.
Of course
the AFS and AVBB classifications are built upon management declarations of
intent. But the IASB imposes heavy penalties on companies that renege on
their HTM classifications (that allow retention of historical cost
accounting). Companies that renege on HTM classifications may long regret
not staying true to their declared intent --- at bit like the penalty Tiger
Woods is now paying for not staying true to marriage vows.
Accounting valuation models for securities do not, to my knowledge, allow
for the "value added" by the middle men/women hawking/touting those
securities. For example, it is common to value derivatives based upon yield
curves generated in a Bloomberg or Reuters terminal or turn to Steve
Penman's textbook recommendations for valuing a potential investment.
It turns out that those middle men/women make a huge difference in sales
volume and prices of securities. This is something that I certainly
neglected to teach back when I was teaching valuation, and I suspect many
other accounting and finance teachers and researchers have been just as
negligent.
The success of hawking/touting may have some really undesirable
implications for fair value accounting. Has this ever been taken up in the literature of fair value accounting or
in standard setting commentaries?
I missed this one until Simoleon Sense and Jim Mahar picked up on this in
recent blog postings.
Abstract: |We assess the impact of spam that touts stocks upon the trading
activity of those stocks and sketch how profitable such spamming might
be for spammers and how harmful it is to those who heed advice in
stock-touting e-mails. We find convincing evidence that stock prices are
being manipulated through spam. We suggest that the effectiveness of
spammed stock touting calls into question prevailing models of
securities regulation that rely principally on the proper labeling of
information and disclosure of conflicts of interest as means of
protecting consumers, and we propose several regulatory and industry
interventions.
Based on a large sample of touted stocks listed
on the Pink Sheets quotation system and a large sample of spam emails
touting stocks, we find that stocks experience a significantly positive
return on days prior to heavy touting via spam. Volume of trading
responds positively and significantly to heavy touting. For a stock that
is touted at some point during our sample period, the probability of it
being the most actively traded stock in our sample jumps from 4% on a
day when there is no touting activity to 70% on a day when there is
touting activity. Returns in the days following touting are
significantly negative. The evidence accords with a hypothesis that
spammers "buy low and spam high," purchasing penny stocks with
comparatively low liquidity, then touting them - perhaps immediately
after an independently occurring upward tick in price, or after having
caused the uptick themselves by engaging in preparatory purchasing - in
order to increase or maintain trading activity and price enough to
unload their positions at a profit. We find that prolific spamming
greatly affects the trading volume of a targeted stock, drumming up
buyers to prevent the spammer's initial selling from depressing the
stock's price. Subsequent selling by the spammer (or others) while this
buying pressure subsides results in negative returns following touting.
Before brokerage fees, the average investor who buys a stock on the day
it is most heavily touted and sells it 2 days after the touting ends
will lose close to 5.5%. For those touted stocks with above-average
levels of touting, a spammer who buys on the day before unleashing touts
and sells on the day his or her touting is the heaviest, on average,
will earn 4.29% before transaction costs. The underlying data and
interactive charts showing price and volume changes are also made
available.
In the paper, Inefficiencies in the Information
Thicket: A Case Study of Derivative Disclosures During the Financial
Crisis, which was recently made publicly available on SSRN, I provide an
empirical examination of the effect of enhanced derivative disclosures
by examining the disclosure experience of the monoline insurance
industry in 2008. Conventional wisdom concerning the causes of the
Financial Crisis posits that insufficient disclosure concerning firms’
exposure to complex credit derivatives played a key role in creating the
uncertainty that plagued the financial sector in the fall of 2008. To
help avert future financial crises, regulatory proposals aimed at
containing systemic risk have accordingly focused on enhanced derivative
disclosures as a critical reform measure. A central challenge facing
these proposals, however, has been understanding whether enhanced
derivative disclosures can have any meaningful effect given the
complexity of credit derivative transactions.
Like AIG Financial Products, monoline insurance
companies wrote billions of dollars of credit default swaps on
multi-sector CDOs tied to residential home mortgages, but unlike AIG,
their unique status as financial guarantee companies subjected them to
considerable disclosure obligations concerning their individual credit
derivative exposures. As a result, the experience of the monoline
industry during the Financial Crisis provides an ideal setting with
which to test the efficacy of reforms aimed at promoting more elaborate
derivative disclosures.
Overall, the results of this study indicate
that investors in monoline insurers showed little evidence of using a
firm’s derivative disclosures to efficiently resolve uncertainty about a
monoline’s exposure to credit risk. In particular, analysis of the
abnormal returns to Ambac Financial (one of the largest monoline
insurers) surrounding a series of significant, multi-notch rating
downgrades of its insured CDOs reveals no significant stock price
reactions until Ambac itself announced the effect of these downgrades in
its quarterly earnings announcements. Similar analyses of Ambac’s
short-selling data and changes in the cost of insuring Ambac debt
securities against default also confirm the absence of a market reaction
following these downgrade announcements.
Based on a qualitative examination of how
investors process derivative disclosures, to the extent the complexity
of CDOs impeded informational efficiency, it was most likely due to the
generally low salience of individual CDOs as well as the logistic
(although not necessarily analytic) challenge of processing a CDO’s
disclosures. Reform efforts aimed at enhancing derivative disclosures
should accordingly focus on mechanisms to promote the rapid collection
and compilation of disclosed information as well as the psychological
processes by which information obtains salience.
On May 26, 2010, the FASB issued a proposed Accounting Standards Update,
Accounting for Financial Instruments and Revisions to the Accounting for
Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, setting out its proposed
comprehensive approach to financial instrument classification and measurement,
and impairment, and revisions to hedge accounting. Also, extensive new
presentation and disclosure requirements are proposed.
The proposal also aims at providing more timely information on anticipated
credit losses to financial statement users by removing the “probable”
threshold for recognizing credit losses. It seeks to better portray the
results of asset-liability management activities at financial institutions.
But there is much, more that I both agree and disagree with at this proposal
stage.
From:
Jensen, Robert Sent: Friday, May 28, 2010 6:39 AM To: AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU Subject: May 26 FASB ED Mush http://snipurl.com/fasb5-26-2010
Thank you Paul for telling me this ED was finally released …. On second
thought a “thank you” for this mush is being too polite.
It will be interesting to compare the comment
letters sent to the FASB regarding this mush with the comment letters
sent in on an earlier (2008) ED --- http://www.fasb.org/jsp/FASB/CommentLetter_C/CommentLetterPage&cid=1218220137090&project_id=1590-100 Some comments might be carbon copies with new dates. But watch for the comments that change between the 2008 ED versus the
new 2010 ED. For corporations that prefer mush to standards, I predict some glowing
praise for going carte blanch on financial instruments standards.
It was late yesterday when I rushed out a reply to
you that appears at the bottom of this current update message. I
corrected a couple of bothersome typos.
Hedge accounting basically means that changes in
the fair value of the hedging derivative get charged to AOCI rather than
current earnings to eliminate earnings volatility due to hedging
contracts that have not yet net settled. For example, firms that lock in
future commodity prices or interest rates with a forward, futures, swap,
or possibly an option contract will not see earnings fluctuate wildly
because they hedged cash flows of forecasted transactions. But the AOCI
can be charged only to the extent that the hedge is effective.
Ineffectiveness must be charged to current earnings.
Those who want to see hedge effectiveness testing
under the 80-125 bright line dollar offset guide (that was written into
the original IAS 39) and implied in FAS 133 may do so at the following
links:
Bob Jensen’s Amendment to
the Teaching Note prepared by Smith and Kohlbeck for the following
case: “Accounting for Derivatives and Hedging Activities Comparisons of
Cash Flow Versus Fair Value Accounting,” by Pamela A. Smith and Mark J.
Kohlbeck Issues in Accounting Education, Volume 23, Number 1,
February 2008, pp. 103-118 Bob Jensen's Amendment is at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/CaseAmendment.htm
Some hedges are
likely to be more effective than others. These usually include forward,
futures, and swap contracts. Purchased options are notoriously
ineffective due, in large measure, to the conservatism of commodity
traders vis-à-vis commodity options traders. Commodities contracts and
commodities options contracts are traded in separate markets. Because
options are so notoriously ineffective as hedges, most companies only
charge intrinsic value portions of price changes of options (when
the options are in-the-money) to AOCI and charge changes in time
value to current earnings. Under the 80-125 dollar offset rule,
purchased options would otherwise not generally be eligible for any
hedge accounting relief. The Smith and Kohlbeck case cited above
illustrates how options rarely meet the 80-125 test. Smith and Kohlbeck
simplified their case to their peril by not testing for hedge
effectiveness. Virtually all their hedges were in fact ineffective. The
case now makes a good example of what can happen if hedge effectiveness
testing is ignored.
Paragraph 146 of the original IAS 39 reads as follows:
146. A hedge is normally regarded as highly effective if, at
inception and throughout the life of the hedge, the enterprise can
expect changes in the fair value or cash flows of the hedged item to be
almost fully offset by the changes in the fair value or cash flows of
the hedging instrument, and actual results are within a range of 80 per
cent to 125 per cent. For example, if the loss on the hedging instrument
is 120 and the gain on the cash instrument is 100, offset can be
measured by 120/100, which is 120 per cent, or by 100/120, which is 83
per cent. The enterprise will conclude that the hedge is highly effective.
Delta ratio
D= (D
option value)/ D
hedged item value) range [.80 < D < 1.25] or [80% < D%
<
125%] (FAS 133 Paragraph 85) Delta-neutral strategies are discussed at various points (e.g., FAS 133
Paragraphs 85, 86, 87, and 89)
A hedge is normally regarded as highly effective if, at inception and
throughout the life of the hedge, the enterprise can expect changes in
the fair value or cash flows of the hedged item to be almost fully
offset by the changes in the fair value or cash flows of the hedging
instrument, and actual results are within a range of 80-125%
(IAS 39 Paragraph 146). The
FASB requires that an entity define at the time it designates a hedging
relationship the method it will use to assess the hedge's effectiveness
in achieving offsetting changes in fair value or offsetting cash flows
attributable to the risk being hedged (FAS 133 Paragraph 62). In
defining how hedge effectiveness will be assessed, an entity must
specify whether it will include in that assessment all of the gain or
loss on a hedging instrument. The Statement permits (but does not
require) an entity to exclude all or a part of the hedging instrument's
time value from the assessment of hedge effectiveness. (FAS 133
Paragraph 63).
Hedge
ineffectiveness would result from the following circumstances, among
others:
a)
difference between the basis of the hedging instrument and the hedged
item or hedged transaction, to the extent that those bases do not move
in tandem.
b) differences in critical terms of the hedging instrument and hedged
item or hedged transaction, such as differences in notional amounts,
maturities, quantity, location, or delivery dates.
c) part of the change in the fair value of a derivative is attributable
to a change in the counterparty's creditworthiness (FAS 133 Paragraph
66).
Companies have a lot of trouble both in
quantitative testing for hedge effectiveness and in meeting the
guidelines for a hedge to be effective. With a magic wave of the wand (http://snipurl.com/fasb5-26-2010
), the IASB and FASB now propose to allow “qualitative testing”
which in my viewpoint is tantamount to qualitative mush. Companies will
soon be able to declare most any hedge as effective when they say their
prayers faithfully night.
The Smith and Kohlbeck case shows what might happen
in the future if management simply declares the hedging contracts as
qualitatively effective.
I don’t mind elimination of the short-cut method,
because that was limited only to interest rate swaps and was not allowed
in general for other types of hedging contracts.
I still have not really poured over all parts of
the ED at http://snipurl.com/fasb5-26-2010 But I will ask if turning “standards” into qualitative judgment mush is
the way to go whenever the former standards were complicated.
Is this the magical
wave of the wand for convergence of FASB and IASB standards?
At what point does qualitative judgment mush
cease to be a “standard?”
Bob Jensen
From:
AECM, Accounting Education using Computers and Multimedia [mailto:AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU]
On Behalf Of Jensen, Robert Sent: Thursday, May 27, 2010 7:04 PM To: AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU Subject: Re: The Accounting Onion
Some things really confuse me in what I’ve seen so far. One
bothersome feature is the asymmetry between reported fair values of
financial assets versus liabilities. Suppose Company D sells 10% of a
bond issue to Company B for $850 per bond. On December 31 Company B
reports the December 31 trading price of the bond at $1,010 as the fair
value of each investment bond. Company D, however, has had no change in
credit rating for the year ended December 31. Hence, it reports a fair
value of $850 for each bond indebtedness that Company B reports as an
asset worth $1,010 per bond. Debtors must somehow factor in the change
in fair value of credit rating, whereas the investor only looks at
change in trading fair value.
There’s also an issue of timing. Presumably credit rating
agencies are not going to normally change Company D’s credit rating
until after Company D releases its audited financial statements. Hence,
changes in credit rating might have an awfully long lag in terms of
current fair value adjustments to bond liabilities. This all must be as
clear as mud to investors and creditors reading financial statements.
Some other parts of the ED seem like even worse mush.
Effectiveness testing for hedge accounting seems more subjective and
ambiguous than most anything that I’ve ever seen proposed accounting
standards. It’s pure mush at this point relative to the 80-125 (egads a
bright line) guideline suggested in the original version of IAS 39. How
we can expect any kind of consistency between companies or even
consistency between different hedging contracts within the same company
is a mystery to me without some bright line guides.
Hedge effectiveness testing will essentially become more
subjective than a beauty contest. If auditors could not say no to Repo
105 debt masking, how in the world can they buck clients who rate the
beauty of their hedging contracts?
Bob Jensen
From:
AECM, Accounting Education using Computers and Multimedia [mailto:AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU]
On Behalf Of Paul Polinski Sent: Thursday, May 27, 2010 3:44 PM To: AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU Subject: Re: The Accounting Onion
Hi Bob. Late yesterday the FASB posted their financial instrument
exposure draft to their web site.
Paul
From: "Jensen, Robert" <rjensen@TRINITY.EDU> To: AECM@LISTSERV.LOYOLA.EDU Sent: Thu, May 27, 2010 1:15:31 PM Subject: Re: The Accounting Onion
The lame duck Superman zooms in to aid the SEC’s Superwoman!
Jensen Comment What interests me is the ever-changing plans for revision of IAS 39. Hedging
transactions are like staff infections that just will not go away no matter
how much Sir David Tweedie wishes upon a star.
Robert E. (Bob) Jensen Trinity University Accounting Professor (Emeritus) 190 Sunset Hill Road Sugar Hill, NH 03586 Tel. 603-823-8482 www.trinity.edu/rjensen
FASB this week issued a Proposed Accounting
Standards Update (ASU) that is intended to clarify how defined
contribution pension plans should classify and measure loans to
participants. Under the
Proposed ASU,
Plan Accounting—Defined
Contribution Pension Plans (Topic 962), Reporting Loans to Participants
by Defined Contribution Pension Plans (a consensus of the FASB Emerging
Issues Task Force), loans to participants would no longer be
presented at fair value.
Participant loans are currently classified as an investment in
accordance with the defined contribution pension plan guidance in
Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) paragraph 962-325-45-10. ASC
Subtopic 962-325 requires most investments held by a plan, including
participant loans, to be presented at fair value. The amendments in the
Proposed ASU would require that participant loans be classified as notes
receivable from participants, which are segregated from plan investments
and measured at their unpaid principal balance plus any accrued but
unpaid interest. The proposed changes would affect any defined
contribution pension plan that allows participant loans.
The
proposal says that the classification of participant loans as
receivables acknowledges that participant loans are unique from other
investments in that a participant taking out such a loan essentially
borrows against his or her own individual vested benefit balance. FASB
said the task force concluded that it is more meaningful to measure
participant loans at their unpaid principal balance plus any accrued but
unpaid interest, rather than at fair value.
Amendments in the proposal would be applied retrospectively to all prior
periods presented. The effective date will be determined after the EITF
considers comments. Early adoption would be permitted. The proposal
lists specific questions for respondents to consider when submitting
comments, which are due Sept. 7.
Jensen Comment By whatever name a rose is still a rose and a held-to-maturity security is
still an amortized cost receivable/liability. Fair value adjustments add
pure fiction to the balance sheet (other than general price level
adjustments). I've never been in favor of fair value adjustments of any
financial instrument that is truly HTM. Participant loans are not strictly
HTM, but they are a unique type of financial instruments for which fair
value accounting is pure fiction.
In my opinion, Bill Isaac is an ignorant advocate of horrible and
dangerous bank accounting First of all he blamed the subprime collapse of thousands of banks on the
FASB requirements for fair value accounting (totally dumb) ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008bailout.htm#FairValue
On May 26, 2010 the FASB issued an exposure draft that would make it more
difficult to enormously underestimate load losses. International standards
are expected to be changed accordingly.
On May 26, 2010, the FASB issued a proposed Accounting Standards
Update, Accounting for Financial Instruments and Revisions to the Accounting
for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, setting out its proposed
comprehensive approach to financial instrument classification and
measurement, and impairment, and revisions to hedge accounting. Also,
extensive new presentation and disclosure requirements are proposed.
SUMMARY: "...The
European Central Bank warned late Monday that euro-zone banks face ?195
billion ($239.26 billion) in write-downs this year and the next due to
an economic outlook that remained 'clouded by uncertainty.' ...The ECB
in May launched a series of initiatives to help banks, including the
purchases of government debt from banks and the renewal of a program to
give cheap six-month loans to banks....The moves helped provide some
stability to the banks, but Europe's intertwined banking system remains
stressed." Factors leading to this predicament stem from heavy exposure
for real estate loans in Spain, Portugal, and Greece. Another
contributing point is the fact that Europe did not replenish their
banks' capital in 2008 and 2009 as did the U.S. and U.K., partly with
taxpayer funds.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article is useful in discussing bank balance sheets and loan losses as
they relate to an overall economy.
QUESTIONS: 1. (Introductory)
What is the underlying problem that began leading to concerns about the
overall health of European banks?
2. (Introductory)
What bank write-downs may reach ?195 billion ($239.26 billion) this year
and next? How does an economic slow down lead to this situation?
3. (Advanced)
Explain why "some European banks have less capital and more leverage
than their U.S. counterparts"? In your answer, define the terms capital
and leverage. Comment on the formula for leverage used in the chart
entitled "In Deeper" sourced from the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development (OECD).
4. (Advanced)
What is the European banks' "stress test" that was begun in 2009 and is
now being prepared for the second time?
5. (Introductory)
Describe factors on both sides of the argument as to whether to disclose
these stress test results that were not disclosed last year and that the
European Central Bank (ECB) may not disclose this year as well.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
In the latest indication that European banks
are in ill health, the European Central Bank warned late Monday that
euro-zone banks face €195 billion ($239.26 billion) in write-downs this
year and the next due to an economic outlook that remained "clouded by
uncertainty."
The ECB news, part of its semiannual
financial-stability report, comes on the heels of a campaign by
governments and central banks to ease sovereign-debt problems in
southern Europe. The efforts have failed to calm worries that a banking
crisis may be forming on the Continent. That has led to escalating
pressure on regulators and governments to do more.
European governments already have cobbled
together a €110 billion bailout for Greece and a €750 billion rescue for
other weak economies of the euro zone. The ECB in May launched a series
of initiatives to help banks, including the purchases of government debt
from banks and the renewal of a program to give cheap six-month loans to
banks, while the U.S. Federal Reserve reactivated a swap line to provide
European banks with dollars.
The moves helped provide some stability to the
banks, but Europe's intertwined banking system remains stressed.
Investors have hammered the sector, banks are stashing near-record
amounts of deposits at the ECB—€305 billion as of Friday—instead of
lending the funds to other institutions, risk-wary U.S. financial
institutions are reducing their exposure to euro-zone banks, and U.S.
government officials are pushing their case for Europe to disclose
publicly the results of stress tests for euro-zone banks.
ECB Vice President Lucas Papademos defended the
central bank's response to the banking crisis and said results of
European Union-wide stress tests of banks should be completed in July,
providing further details on the capacity of the region's banks to
withstand shocks. The results of stress tests last year of individual
banks weren't released publicly. Some European countries are opposed to
the public release of results.
. . .
Like the financial crisis two years ago that
was sparked by the unraveling of the U.S. subprime-mortgage industry,
Europe's banking problems originated in a tiny patch of the global
economy: Greece.
But the problems run deeper than the highly
publicized fiscal woes facing Greece, prompting similar concerns about
Portugal, Ireland and Spain. Credit-ratings firms have reduced these
countries' rankings and have warned about possible future downgrades,
with Fitch reducing Spain's triple-A rating by one notch on Friday.
All told, more than €2 trillion of public and
private debt from Greece, Spain and Portugal is sitting on the balance
sheets of financial institutions outside the three countries, according
to a Royal Bank of Scotland report last week. Investors, bankers and
government officials are worried that as that debt loses value, banks
across Europe could be saddled with losses.
"Make no mistake: This is big," said Jacques
Cailloux, RBS's chief European economist and the report's author. "We're
talking about systemic risk [and] the potential for contagion."
Concerns also are mounting about how European
banks will finance themselves in coming years. The banks have hundreds
of billions of euros in debt maturing by 2012, analysts and bankers say.
Replacing those funds could be difficult and costly, given fierce
competition for deposits and skittishness among bond investors. The
situation has alarmed bankers and government officials, and it helped
fuel last week's selloff in bank stocks.
With funding scarce, some banks are becoming
more dependent on the ECB. The central bank has doled out more than €800
billion in loans to banks, nearing its all-time high, according to UBS
analysts. The ECB warned Monday that the "continued reliance" of some
midsize banks on credit from the central bank remains "a cause for
concern."
The U.S. and U.K. moved aggressively in 2008
and 2009 to replenish their banks' capital buffers, sometimes with
taxpayer funds.
Most of Europe didn't follow suit, because
their banking systems were largely spared the carnage of their
Anglo-American counterparts. But as a result, most European banks today
have thinner capital cushions and heavier debt loads than their U.S. and
U.K. rivals, leaving them vulnerable to an economic slowdown.
"Some European banks have less capital and more
leverage than their U.S. counterparts and…the crisis in Europe seems to
have lagged behind that in the U.S. in both the writing off of losses
and in the speed of raising more capital," said Angel Gurria,
secretary-general of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development, in a speech in May.
OECD figures show that a selection of major
U.S. banks are operating with leverage ratios—the ratio of assets to
common equity—of between 12 and 17. By comparison, the same ratio for a
group of major European banks ranged from 21 to 49, according to the
OECD.
European policy makers have been trying to
address that disparity by working on a global overhaul of banking
regulations, to be enacted in 2012, that would require banks to hold
more capital and liquidity. "But the regulatory fixes aren't going to
solve the problem right now," said Michael Ben-Gad, an economics
professor at City University London.
European governments and central bankers had
hoped bailing out Greece and launching a liquidity program would relieve
immediate pressure on other governments and the banking sector. But that
hasn't happened, and new pressures could arise soon. The ECB last summer
doled out €442 billion in one-year loans to euro-zone banks. Those loans
come due June 30, potentially causing banks to scramble for a fresh
source of cash this month.
European officials face calls from the banking
industry, the investment community and foreign government leaders,
including U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, to redouble efforts
to stabilize the banking system through new initiatives.
RBS's Mr. Cailloux argues that the ECB should
expand its recently launched program to buy government bonds and should
broaden the effort to include private-sector debt as well.
That could ease concerns that banks will suffer
heavy losses, potentially blowing holes in their balance sheets, on
their portfolios of sovereign and corporate bonds tied to some European
economies. But such a move also could expose the central bank to
potential losses.
Citigroup Inc. last week circulated a paper
calling on the ECB to launch a sort of insurance program to allow
holders of government bonds—a group largely consisting of European
banks—to sell the securities to the ECB in case of default. "Time is now
of the essence and the authorities should continue to be bold and
innovative in working to accelerate the impact of the available lines of
support," Nazareth Festekjian, a Citigroup managing director, wrote in
the paper.
The ECB had no comment on calls to increase the
size of the bond-buying program or on the Citigroup recommendations.
Others want local European bank regulators to
play a more proactive role monitoring their banks' exposures to troubled
countries.
In the U.K., the Financial Services Authority
has been conducting repeated stress tests of major British banks'
exposures to southern Europe. Similarly intense efforts don't appear to
be under way elsewhere in Europe, said Pat Newberry, chairman of the
U.K. financial-services regulatory practice at PricewaterhouseCoopers
LLP.
Mr. Newberry said conducting such tests would
help European governments and banks get a better handle on their
individual and collective vulnerabilities and to understand "how a
series of unfortunate events can aggregate to turn a problem into a
catastrophe."
U.S. authorities believe that stress tests can
help restore market confidence. The tests the U.S. conducted last year
helped inject greater transparency and confidence in the banking system,
U.S. officials have said.
On May 26, 2010 the FASB issued an exposure draft that would make it more
difficult to enormously underestimate load losses. International standards
are expected to be changed accordingly.
On May 26, 2010, the FASB issued a proposed Accounting Standards Update,
Accounting for Financial Instruments and Revisions to the Accounting for
Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, setting out its proposed
comprehensive approach to financial instrument classification and measurement,
and impairment, and revisions to hedge accounting. Also, extensive new
presentation and disclosure requirements are proposed.
Question To what extent should the FASB and the IASB modify accounting standards for
new theories of structured finance and securitization?
"The Economics of Structured Finance," by Joshua D. Coval,
Jakub Jurek, and Erik Stafford, Working Paper 09-060, Harvard Business
School, 2008 --- http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/09-060.pdf
The essence of structured finance
activities is the pooling of economic assets (e.g. loans, bonds,
mortgages) and subsequent issuance of a prioritized capital structure of
claims, known as tranches, against these collateral pools. As a result
of the prioritization scheme used in structuring claims, many of the
manufactured tranches are far safer than the average asset in the
underlying pool. This ability of structured finance to repackage risks
and create “safe” assets from otherwise risky collateral led to a
dramatic expansion in the issuance of structured securities, most of
which were viewed by investors to be virtually risk-free and certified
as such by the rating agencies. At the core of the recent financial
market crisis has been the discovery that these securities are actually
far riskier than originally advertised.
We examine how the process of
securitization allowed trillions of dollars of risky assets to be
transformed into securities that were widely considered to be safe, and
argue that two key features of the structured finance machinery fueled
its spectacular growth. First, we show that most securities could only
have received high credit ratings if the rating agencies were
extraordinarily confident about their ability to estimate the underlying
securities’ default risks, and how likely defaults were to be
correlated. Using the prototypical structured finance security – the
collateralized
debt obligation (CDO) – as an example, we illustrate that issuing a
capital structure amplifies errors in evaluating the risk of the
underlying securities. In particular, we show how modest imprecision in
the parameter estimates can lead to variation in the default risk of the
structured finance securities which is sufficient, for example, to cause
a security rated AAA to default with reasonable likelihood.
A second, equally neglected
feature of the securitization process is that it substitutes risks that
are largely diversifiable for risks that are highly systematic. As a
result, securities produced by structured finance activities have far
less chance of surviving a severe economic downturn than traditional
corporate securities of equal rating. Moreover, because the default risk
of senior tranches is concentrated in systematically adverse economic
states, investors should demand far larger risk premia for holding
structured claims than for holding comparably rated corporate bonds. We
argue that both of these features of structured finance products – the
extreme fragility of their ratings to modest imprecision in evaluating
underlying risks and their exposure to systematic risks – go a long way
in explaining the spectacular rise and fall of structured finance.
For over a century, agencies such
as Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s and Fitch have gathered and analyzed a
wide range of financial, industry, and economic information to arrive at
independent assessments on the creditworthiness of various entities,
giving rise to the now widely popular rating scales (AAA, AA, A, BBB and
so on). Until recently, the agencies focused the majority of their
business on single-name corporate finance—that is, issues of
creditworthiness of financial instruments that can be clearly ascribed
to a single company. In recent years, the business model of credit
rating agencies has expanded beyond their historical role to include the
nascent field of structured finance.
From its beginnings, the market
for structured securities evolved as a “rated” market, in which the risk
of tranches was assessed by credit rating agencies. Issuers of
structured finance products were eager to have their new products rated
on the same scale as bonds so that investors subject to ratings-based
constraints would be able to purchase the securities. By having these
new securities rated, the issuers created an illusion of comparability
with existing “single-name” securities. This provided access to a large
pool of potential buyers for what otherwise would have been perceived as
very complex derivative securities.
During the past decade, risks of
all kinds have been repackaged to create vast quantities of triple-A
rated securities with competitive yields. By mid-2007, there were 37,000
structured finance issues in the U.S. alone with the top rating (Scholtes
and Beales, 2007). According to Fitch Ratings (2007), roughly 60 percent
of all global structured products were AAA-rated, in contrast to less
than 1 percent of the corporate issues. By offering AAA-ratings along
with attractive yields during a period of relatively low interest rates,
these products were eagerly bought up by investors around the world. In
turn, structured finance activities grew to represent a large fraction
of Wall Street and rating agency revenues in a relatively short period
of time. By 2006, structured finance issuance led Wall Street to record
revenue and compensation levels. The same year, Moody’s Corporation
reported that 44 percent of its revenues came from rating structured
finance products, surpassing the 32 percent of revenues from their
traditional business of rating corporate bonds.
By 2008, everything had changed.
Global issuance of collateralized debt obligations slowed to a crawl.
Wall Street banks were forced to incur massive write-downs. Rating
agency revenues from rating structured finance products disappeared
virtually overnight and the stock prices of these companies fell by 50
percent, suggesting the market viewed the revenue declines as permanent.
A huge fraction of existing products saw their ratings downgraded, with
the downgrades being particularly widespread among what are called
“asset-backed security” collateralized debt obligations—which are
comprised of pools of mortgage, credit card, and auto loan securities.
For example, 27 of the 30 tranches of asset-backed collateralized debt
obligations underwritten by Merrill Lynch in 2007, saw their triple-A
ratings downgraded to “junk” (Craig, Smith, and Ng, 2008). Overall, in
2007, Moody’s downgraded 31 percent of all tranches for asset-backed
collateralized debt obligations it had rated and 14 percent of those
nitially rated AAA (Bank of International Settlements, 2008). By
mid-2008, structured finance activity was effectively shut down, and the
president of Standard & Poor’s, Deven Sharma, expected it to remain so
for “years” (“S&P President,” 2008).
This paper investigates the
spectacular rise and fall of structured finance. We begin by examining
how the structured finance machinery works. We construct some simple
examples of collateralized debt obligations that show how pooling and
tranching a collection of assets permits credit enhancement of the
senior claims. We then explore the challenge faced by rating agencies,
examining, in particular, the parameter and modeling assumptions that
are required to arrive at accurate ratings of structured finance
products. We then conclude with an assessment of what went wrong and the
relative importance of rating agency errors, investor credulity, and
perverse incentives and suspect behavior on the part of issuers, rating
agencies, and borrowers.
Book Review by Robert Sack, The Accounting Review, May 2010, pp.
1122-1125 DAVID MOSSO, Early Warning and Quick Response: Accounting in the
Twenty-First Century (Bingley, U.K.: Emerald Group/JAI Press, 2009, ISBN
978-1-84855-644-7, pp. viii, 86).
This is an engaging book with compelling
arguments for a complete overhaul of our current set of accounting
standards and of the process by which they are set.1 David Mosso is well
qualified to comment on both, having served as a member of the Financial
Accounting Standards Board FASB from 1978 to 1987, as Vice Chair of
the Board from 1986 to 1987, and as the FASB’s Assistant Director of
Research from 1987 to 1996. He came to the Board with extensive
experience in governmental accounting and, after his work with the FASB,
served as Chair of the Federal Accounting Standards Advisory Board from
1997 to 2006. He is quick to acknowledge his role in the development of
our current Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) and to
express his regret for their failings.
In essence, Mosso argues that we must replace
our current mixed-attribute GAAP with full fair value accounting. His
proposal, which he calls the Wealth Measurement Model, would recognize
all assets and liabilities, as he defines them, at their current fair
value, as defined by SFAS No. 157. That fair value balance sheet would
measure the entity’s wealth at that date. Changes in the entity’s wealth
from one period to the next would act as an early warning of potential
trouble to all of the entity’s constituents. As to the standard-setting
process, Mosso argues that the standard setter should outline the
principles of the Wealth Measurement Model and then observe practice,
being alert for aberrations in the way those principles are applied. New
standards would mostly be interpretations of the basic principles and so
could be issued quickly with a minimum of due process.
The primary line of thought in Mosso’s book is
a proposal to radically revise our current accounting model. On pages
11–12, he proposes six principles for his Wealth Measurement Model,
quoted as follows:
• The objective of accounting is to measure
an entity’s economic wealth net worth and income earnings for
the purpose of diagnosing the entity’s financial health.
• All measurable assets and liabilities of
an entity must be recognized on the entity’s balance sheet, along
with the owners’ equity in those assets and liabilities.
• All balance sheet assets and liabilities,
and changes in them, must be measured at fair value
• All issues and redemptions of owners’
equity shares must be measured at fair value with gain or loss
recognition in earnings for any difference between the fair value of
the shares and the fair value of things received or given in
exchange.
• All major nonmeasureable assets,
liabilities, commitments, and contingencies of an entity must be
disclosed in notes to the financial statements.
• The primary financial statements … must
be segmented and supplemented in a manner to facilitate the
diagnosis of an entity’s financial health and future prospects.
Mosso argues that these principles must be
mandatory and applicable to every entity. He observes that issuing the
FASB’s Concept Statements as nonauthoritative guidance was a mistake,
leading them to be seen as a basis for debate rather than as a basis for
decision-making.
. . .
In Chapters 9 and 10, Mosso redefines assets,
liabilities, and equity in the context of his six wealth measurement
principles. An asset is an economic resource that is controlled by an
entity (p. 46). That definition clarifies the FASB’s current definition
in that it leaves out the criteria “probable” and “future economic
benefit,” both of which he argues have been confusing in practice. A
liability is an unfulfilled binding promise made by an entity to
transfer specified economic benefits in determinable amounts at
determinable times or on demand p. 47.That definition differs from the
current FASB definition in that it uses a broader “promise” criterion in
lieu of the difficult-to-apply idea of a “probable future sacrifice.”
Interestingly, Mosso argues that, by using these definitions,
receivables and payables will be reciprocal—there will be a mutual
understanding of the claim between the two parties to the transaction.
That understanding will be established by a triggering act as, for
example, the performance of an earnings event. We have not insisted on
mutuality in our current accounting for assets and liabilities, allowing
for different assessments of “probability” by the holder of the asset
and the obligor.
. . .
Following on Mosso’s challenge, and the FAF’s
door-opening, the academic community ought to seize on the opportunity
for a larger place at the table, where we can bring our unbiased skills
to bear—even beyond the work of the individual academic Board member and
the contributions of the AAA Financial Accounting and Reporting
Section’s Financial Reporting Policy Committee. That challenge is
perhaps the key message from this thoughtprovoking book.
Jensen Comment Financial assets and liabilities tend to be sufficiently independent such
that the sum of the exit values of the parts is the sum of the value of the
whole baring blockage discounts and issues of subsidiary control
interactions.
But I take issue with valuation of non-financial assets where an asset's
exit value is the worst possible use of the asset. Value in use entails
looking at assets in interactive combination and their possibly huge
covariance components of value. Furthermore they co-vary with many
intangible assets and liabilities that cannot be valued even in Mosso's
formulation of change. Covariance components can be defined in hypothetical
models, but their measurement in reality is next to impossible ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#FairValue
Fair Value Re-measurement Problems in a Nutshell: (1) Covariances and
(2) Hypothetical Transactions and (3) Estimation Cost It's All Phantasmagoric Accounting in Terms of Value in Use
In
an excellent plenary session presentation in Anaheim on August 5, 2008
Zoe-Vanna Palmrose mentioned how advocates of fair value accounting for
both financial and non-financial assets and liabilities should heed the
cautions of George O. May about how fair value accounting contributed to
the great stock market crash of 1929
and the ensuing Great Depression. Afterwards
Don Edwards and I lamented that accounting doctoral students and younger
accounting faculty today have little interest in and knowledge of
accounting history and the great accounting scholars of the past like
George O. May --- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_O._May Don mentioned how the works of George O. May should be revisited
in light of the present movement by standard setters to shift from
historical cost allocation accounting to fair value re-measurement (some
say fantasy land or phantasmagoric) accounting ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue The point is that if fair value
re-measurement is required in the main financial statements, the impact
upon investors and the economy is not neutral. It may be very real like
it was in the Roaring 1920s.
In
the 21st Century, accounting standard setters such as the FASB in the
U.S. and the IASB internationally are dead set on replacing traditional
historical cost accounting for both financial (e.g., stocks and bonds)
and non-financial (e.g., patents, goodwill, real estate, vehicles, and
equipment) with fair values. Whereas historical costs are transactions
based and additive across all assets and liabilities, fair value
adjustments are not transactions based, are almost impossible to
estimate, and are not likely to be additive.
If
Asset A is purchased for $100 and Asset B is purchased for $200 and have
depreciated book values of $50 and $80 on a given date, the book values
may be added to a sum of $130. This is a
basis adjusted cost allocation
valuation that has well-known limitations in terms of information needed
for investment and operating decisions.
If
Asset A now has an exit (disposal) value of $20 and Asset B has an exit
value of $90, the exit values can be added to a sum of $110 that has
meaning only if each asset will be liquidated piecemeal. Exit value
accounting is required for personal estates and for companies deemed by
auditors to be non-going concerns that are likely to be liquidated
piecemeal after debts are paid off.
But accounting standard setters are moving toward standards that suggest
that neither historical cost valuation nor exit value re-measurement are
acceptable for going concerns such as viable and growing companies.
Historical cost valuation is in reality a cost allocation process that
provides misleading surrogates for "value in use."
Exit values violate rules that re-measured fair values should be
estimated in terms of the "best possible use" of the items in question.
Exit values are generally the "worst possible uses" of the items in a
going concern. For example, a printing press having a book value of $1
million and an exit value of $100,000 are likely to both differ greatly
from "value in use."
The "value in use" theoretically is the present value of all discounted
cash flows attributed to the printing press. But this entails wild
estimates of future cash flows, discount rates, and terminal salvage
values that no two valuation experts are likely to agree upon.
Furthermore, it is generally impossible to isolate the future cash flows
of a printing press from the interactive cash flows of other assets such
as a company's copyrights, patents, human capital, and goodwill.
What standard setters really want is re-measurement of assets and
liabilities in terms of "value in use." Suppose that on a given date the
"value in use" is estimated as $180 for Asset A and $300 for Asset B.
The problem is that we cannot ipso facto add these two values to
$480 for a combined "value in use" of Asset A plus Asset B. Dangling off
in phantasmagoria fantasy land is the covariance of the values in use:
Value in Use of Assets A+B = $180 + $300 + Covariance of Assets A and B
For example is Asset A is a high speed printing press and Asset B is a
high speed envelope stuffing machine, the covariance term may be very
high when computing value in use in a firm that advertises by mailing
out a thousands of letters per day. Without both machines operating
simultaneously, the value in use of any one machine is greatly reduced.
I
once observed high speed printing presses and envelope stuffing machines
in action in Reverend Billy Graham's "factory" in Minneapolis. Suppose
to printing presses and envelope stuffing machines we add other assets
such as the value of the Billy Graham name/logo that might be termed
Asset C. Now we have a more complicated covariance system:
Value in Use of Assets A+B+C = (Values of A+B+C) + (Higher
Order Covariances of A+B+C)
And when hundreds of assets and liabilities are combined, the
two-variate, three-variate, and n-variate higher order covariances for
combined ""value in use" becomes truly phantasmagoric accounting. Any
simplistic surrogate such as those suggested in the FAS 157 framework
are absurdly simplistic and misleading as estimates of the values of
Assets A, B, C, D, etc.
Furthermore, if the "value of the firm" is somehow estimated, it is
virtually impossible to disaggregate that value down to "values in use"
of the various component assets and liabilities that are not truly
independent of one another in a going concern. Financial analysts are
interested in operations details and components of value and would be
disappointed if all that a firm reported is a single estimate of its
total value every quarter.
Of
course there are exceptions where a given asset or liability is
independent of other assets and liabilities. Covariances in such
instances are zero. For example, passive investments in financial assets
generally can be estimated at exit values in the spirit of FAS 157. An
investment in 1,000 shares of Microsoft Corporation is independent of
ownership of 5,000 shares of Exxon. A strong case can be made for exit
value accounting of these passive investments. Similarly a strong case
can be made for exit value accounting of such derivative financial
instruments as interest rate swaps and forward contracts since the
historical cost in most instances is zero at the inception of many
derivative contracts.
The problem with fair value re-measurement of passive investments in
financial assets lies in the computation of earnings in relation to cash
flows. If the value of 1,000 shares of Microsoft decreases by -$40,000
and the value of 5000 shares of Exxon increases by +$140,000, the
combined change in earnings is $100,000 assuming zero covariance. But if
the Microsoft shares were sold and the Exxon shares were held, we've
combined a realized loss with an unrealized gain as if they were
equivalents. This gives rise to the "hypothetical transaction" problem of fair value re-measurements.
If the Exxon shares are held for a very long time, fair value accounting
may give rise to years and years of "fiction" in terms of variations in
value that are never realized. Companies hate earnings volatility caused
by fair value "fictions" that are never realized in cash over decades of
time.
Mosso's vague about measuring fair value of non-financial assets.
Presumably entry value might be used instead of exit value, but entry value
is not really valuation. It is a re-definition of historical cost and is
subject to all the arbitrariness of historical cost such as depreciation and
amortization assumptions.
Fair value might be discounted cash flows for some assets and
liabilities, but if the asset in question is a single particle amidst an
entire conglomeration of heterogeneous particles, how do we allocate the
present value into the whole down to its myriad of particles?
Hi Pat,
In Theory,
Exit Values Often Should not be Disaggregated from "In Use" Factors Although there are many flaws in the present mixed attributes conglomeration
of valuations of assets and liabilities, I just do not see that valuation of
non-financial assets at their worst possible exit value usages for the sake of
consistency makes any sense. Especially
troublesome are non-financial fixed assets that have high "in use" values and low exit values.
For example, ERP information systems, factory robots, computers, etc. may lose
most of their exit values the moment they are put to use even though their
expected lives may be ten or more years. Maybe I'm just an old has been who
clings to the importance of the income statement vis-a-vis the balance sheet.
Exit value changes are pure fiction for held-to-maturity items, especially
debt, where transactions costs of often preclude cashing in before maturity
preclude taking advantage of changes in exit values. For example, a company that
has $100 million of collateralized debt outstanding cannot t usually take
advantage of short-term reductions in interest rates due to the transactions
costs of paying off or calling in that debt prematurely and paying the
transactions cost of issuing new collateralized debt. I was really sorry to see
the IASB and the FASB abandon the concept of held-to-maturity since in many
instances the HTM classification in FAS 115 prevented a lot of fiction movements
in earnings that will never be realized.
I don't view "in use" net present value accounting necessarily more
subjective than exit value estimations for items that have very unique values
such as valuations of each of the Days Inns hotels where appraisers may differ
greatly as the valuation of each and every hotel. I would in fact probably
consider estimations of discounted net cash flows of a given hotel as probably
being as reliable or even more reliable than real estate appraiser estimates of
exit value (due largely to reasons mentioned below for in-use factors).
For nearly a century accounting theorists have advocated that "in use"
valuation is preferable to exit valuation that ignores usage. One reason is that
appraised values of items like real estate may move up and down with market
movements that are will never be realized by a going concern that intends to
keep using its assets like factory buildings irrespective of transitory shifts
in local markets affecting exit values but not operating profits of the firm.
Also there's a possibility that exit values of things factory buildings remain
relatively constant while the economic values of the firm fluctuate up and down.
Reporting stationary exit values in the presence of wildly changing "in use"
economic values can be misleading for going concerns.
In Practice, Exit Values Often Cannot be Disaggregated from "In Use"
Factors The IASB naively assumes that exit values can be estimated apart from "in use"
factors. This is very, very often just not the case and this greatly complicates
estimation of exit values. Let me begin with a real-world case that took place
in Littleton, NH around the turn of the century. I will treat this as a
hypothetical case simply because I'm not familiar with the actual numbers. But
the case actually transpired.
For decades Market B (a medium-sized super market) pretty much had a monopoly
for Littleton-area residents. It operated out of an old but functional building.
Suppose the 1999 and 2000financial statements read as follows:
Market B 1999 Net Book Value
Market B 1999 Exit Value
Market B 2000 Net Book Value
Market B 2000 Exit Value
Land
$100,000
$1,000,000
$100,000
$1,000,000
Building
$210,000
$2,000,000
$200,000
$0
In use factors affected the 1999 exit value estimation of $2 million because,
if the land and building were put on the market, bidders for this real estate
would be other supermarket investors taking advantage of the monopoly status of
Market B. They could buy this real estate before year 2000 and immediately set
up shop as a monopoly supermarket.
Note that "in use" factors affected the real estate appraisal values since
the buyers all had the same use in mind for the building. And there were quite a
few potential buyers since Market B was very profitable as a monopolist.
In Year 2,000 Market S built a $10 million building literally adjacent to
Market B. Potential supermarket buyers lost all interest in buying the Market
B's building. The land still had serious value, but the old building was worth
virtually zero (or negative) in alternate uses because of its age, condition,
and costs of remodeling for alternate uses.
In 2001 Market S buys the Market B real estate for $1,000,000 and pays to
tear down the Market B building that in 1999 was valued at $2,000,000 by
independent real estate appraisers who had a pretty good idea of what the
building was worth as long as there were outside buyers of the building to be
put "in use" as a monopoly supermarket in the Littleton vicinity.
In 1999, would the new IASB exit value standard require a valuation of $0
since there was no alternate value of the building other than the value in use
as a supermarket monopoly? In fact, if Market B had built a new building
elsewhere it probably would have torn down the old building in 1999.
Actually this is very close but not identical to what happened when Buxtons
had a supermarket monopoly in the Littleton vicinity. Then the giant Shaws
supermarket chain built a huge supermarket literally next door to Buxtons.
Buxtons quickly went out of business, and there were zero buyers interested in
buying the building as a supermarket to compete with Shaws next door. Shaws
bought the Buxton real estate and now leases about 10% of the building space to
a drive-in bank. The remaining 90% of the building has been vacant for a decade.
In use factors repeatedly affect real estate values. One of my closest
friends down the road owns rental properties scattered about northern New
England. A few years back he competed with a number of other bidders willing to
pay in the range of $1 million for a small office building in the mill town of
Rumford, Maine. My friend acquired the building with a high bid of $1.2 million.
Virtually all the buyers intended to keep leasing the building to the Veterans
Administration that had an "in use" office operation in that building since
World War 2 ended.
My friend invested more in the building to keep the VA happy as a tenant,
including the cost of a new elevator. In 2002 my friend seriously considered an
offer of $1.5 million to sell the building and mistakenly refused the offer.
This was affected by "in use" factors since at the time nobody expected the VA
to move out of the building.
But the paper mill towns in northern New England were hit hard times in the
past decade. The Rumford economy took a nose dive, and one of its shopping malls
became totally vacant. In 2009, the VA announced its intentions to move to the
vacant mall. Now my friend has a building with negative economic value in a
struggling mill town having great excess capacity for office space. My friend at
the moment is seriously considering letting his investment go for taxes since
the prospects of getting rental income in excess of property taxes appear to be
nil for the foreseeable future.
Interestingly, real estate appraisers still estimate the building to be worth
$800,000, but there are zero buyers for a building at its appraised value.
How does the new IASB standard deal with situations where appraised values of
real estate are relatively high when there are no buyers willing to take on the
property taxes?
Sometimes real estate has to be taken over by towns for taxes before those
towns will lower the property taxes enough to attract buyers. This greatly
complicates exit value estimations of real estate.
It's not hard to find millions of more examples where "in use" factors affect
appraised values, especially in real estate.
Bob Sack concludes his book review by asserting that the "academic
community ought to seize on the opportunity for a larger place at the
table." Be that as it may, the academic community has be debating these
issues since the days of MacNeal, Canning, Paton, Scott, Chambers,
Sterling, Edwards, Bell, and on and on through tens of thousands of pages of
books, journal articles, and transcripts of speeches and course notes.
Woodrow Wilson was correct when he said that moving a professors is harder
than moving a cemetery.
Standard setters have already commenced the Mosso express train.
Let me off as it approaches the "Non-Financial Asset Depot."
I must confess that the writings of Mr Mosso
are not particularly interesting to me – the ideas are not new and
simply reflect a distillation of current debates. Far more significant
is the writing of RA Bryer, the latest iteration of which I stumbled
upon as a
draft on
Bob’s website (Ideology and reality in accounting: a Marxist history
of US accounting theory debate from the late 19th century to FASB’s
conceptual framework).
This essay works at two levels. At the first
level is a brilliant narrative showing the evolution of corporate
accounting and the debate about historic cost versus fair value. This
was happening in the first part of the 20th century. It shows, if
nothing else, that nothing is new.
The second level is, as the title suggests, an
ideological analysis. Bryer suggests that one of the prime
considerations in corporate accounting emerged from the fight to the
death between labour and capital such as prevailed in the early 20th
century in America. This fight was indeed vicious, culminating in what
we would call terrorism. For example, there was a bombing at a newspaper
premises in LA. Clarence Darrow no less was the defending attorney for
the workers and was caught, or very close to it, in the process of jury
tampering. He did, and it is almost certain he did, this because he knew
that a capitalist finger was on the judicial scales. It might even be
the case that the capitalist (whose name escapes me) may have been the
author of the bombing himself!
In any event Bryer uses the Marxist labour
theory of value (LTV) and its related theories of money and exchange to
show the weird parallels between it and historic cost accounting (HCA).
He seems to suggest that the notion of future value (present value)
accounting is an ideological attempt to deny the validity of LTV.
Conversely HCA is an affirmation of LTV, based as it is on past exchange
rather than the prospect of exchange.
It is well worth looking at Marx’s analysis
because it does shed light on the enterprise that is accounting – the
role of commodities, the pricing mechanism and the idea of purely
monetary exchange. Yet I cannot believe that there is this ideological
element to accounting. I believe the impulse to HCA is an impulse
concerned with the centrality and integrity of double entry bookkeeping.
Bryer turns my long held view on its head.
I know he is wrong but I have to summon all my
knowledge, experience and cogitation powers to prove it. All accountants
academic or otherwise, especially American accountants, should read what
he writes. It is one of the most important things that has ever been
written about the subject of accounting.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board and
the International Accounting Standards Board tentatively decided to
define fair value as an exit price during a three-day joint meeting this
week.
Fair value measurement is one of the thornier
issues the two standards-setters are trying to come to an agreement on
as they seek to converge U.S. GAAP with International Financial
Reporting Standards by June 2011. Fair value, or mark-to-market,
accounting has been blamed in some quarters for helping exacerbate the
financial crisis. Standard-setters have come under pressure to revise
the standards to give financial institutions more flexibility in valuing
assets such as mortgage-backed securities that became difficult to trade
during the crisis. The two boards have decided to meet on a monthly
basis, both in person and by video conference, to resolve outstanding
issues in areas such as fair value, revenue recognition, leases and
consolidation.
When markets become less active, the two boards
tentatively decided that an entity should consider observable
transaction prices unless there is evidence that the transaction is not
orderly. If an entity does not have enough information to determine
whether the transaction is orderly, it should perform further analysis
to measure the fair value.
The boards also tentatively decided that the
transaction price might not represent the fair value of an asset or
liability at initial recognition if, for example, the transaction is
between related parties, the transaction takes place under duress or the
seller is forced to accept the price in the transaction, the unit of
account represented by the transaction is different from the unit of
account for the asset or liability measured at fair value, or the market
in which the transaction takes place is different from the market in
which the entity would sell the asset or transfer the liability.
The boards also tentatively decided to confirm
that a fair value measurement is market based and reflects the
assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or
liability. Market participants should be assumed to have a reasonable
understanding about the asset or liability and the transaction based on
all the available information, including information that might be
obtained through due diligence efforts that are usual and customary. A
price in a related-party transaction may be used as an input to a fair
value measurement if the transaction was entered into at market terms.
Jensen Comment Of course the debate will center on the details. To what degree must buyers
and sellers be under pressures to sell such as in forced liquidations? To
what extend can interactions (covariances, value in use) be ignored?
Interactions are usually less of a problem when valuing financial items than
non-financial items where value is use often varies greatly from piecemeal
liquidation value. The FASB, of course, has considered the exit value
hierarchy stumbling blocks such as broken markets in FAS 157 and FSP 157
(4).
A huge problem is earnings volatility created by unrealized value changes
on earnings, particularly value changes on held-to-maturity items like fixed
rate debt instruments that management may not even have the option of
liquidating before maturity. There also is a huge problem that changes in
credit ratings may have misleading impacts on earnings when debt is
revalued. What do you do with the unrealized gains caused by lowered credit
rating scores on your debt or unrealized losses from increased credit
ratings on your debt?
These complications are discussed in greater detail below.
In answer to
Neal’s original question about the impact of accountics research on
standards, I would have to say that the best example in the past two decades
has been in the march of both the FASB and the IASB toward fair value
accounting. The push came not so much directly from accountics research
studies (that were probably never read by most of the standard setters) as
it did indirectly from the two leading accountics researchers who
successfully argued their case with the other standard setters.
The push is
hard to trace to accountics studies per se, but we have to point to leading
accountics researchers who ended up on the IASB (read that Mary Barth
for a long time) and FASB (read that Katherine Schipper
for a short time). There are no better advocates of fair value accounting
than Professor Barth and Professor Schipper.
An
Unlikely Debate Between Leading Accountics Researchers
Having said
this, one of the weirdest (in terms of being the most unlikely) debates
between leading accountics researchers in the history of accounting
took place at the 2008 AAA Meetings in Anaheim. The debate was one of the
highlights of my career (as an audience member with a camcorder) because it
became a pitched (lest I say heated?) debate between leading accountics
researchers (who normally do not succumb to a “vocational virus”) who took
up different sides on fair value accounting in theory and in practice. My
video of this debate is available in the National Library of the Accounting
Profession at the University of Mississippi --- http://www.olemiss.edu/depts/accountancy/libraries.html
In that most
impressive debate Katherine Schipper was the very articulate advocate of
fair value accounting standards. On the negative side were the equally
articulate accountics researchers Zoe-Vanna Palmrose
and
Ross Watts. This was in fact the most articulate speech I ever heard our
leading accountics researcher, Ross Watts, deliver. Zoe-Vanna was just
returning to USC after her stint at the SEC (where she no doubt provided
accountics findings to practical accountants).
You might enjoy a recent paper in which Zoe-Vanna is a co-author. This
touches on the assumptions (usually unstated) that separate accountics
research harvests from truth. "CAN SCIENCE HELP SOLVE THE ECONOMIC CRISIS? By Mike Brown, Stuart Kauffman,
Zoe-Vonna Palmrose and Lee Smolin, Edge, ---
http://www.edge.org/3rd_culture/brown08/brown08_index.html
There are various instances where fair value accounting is required
for non-financial as well as financial items under current standards. These
include the following:
Personal financial statements such as those used in death
settlements, divorces, and credit applications
Business firms where auditors question going-concern assumptions
(such as the 2008 annual report of General Motors)
Business combinations
Goodwill and intangible asset impairment assessments
Long-lived asset impairment assessments
Asset retirement obligations
Costs associated with exit or disposal activities
Under international accounting standards, it is possible to update fixed
assets like real estate to fair values on occasion such as every five or ten
years. This is not as acceptable under FASB standards.
If General Electric buys a
factory robot for $10 million and pays another $10 million for
installation in a plant producing wind turbines, suppose the following:
Historical Cost: $20 million
(early in 2008) with an estimated productive life of 15 years Replacement Cost: $30 million (with the increase attributed in large
measure to increased robot demand due to environmental and energy
legislation in 2009) Exit Value: $0 with the loss caused mainly by immense transaction costs
of dismantling, transporting, and re-assembly that make buying a new
robot cheaper than moving a used robot. Value in Use: Unknown because of unknown discount rates, covariances
with other tangible and intangible items, and inseparability of future
cash flows attributable to one robot in one factory. In terms of
covariance, if wind turbines have the GE boiler plate, the value in use
of the robot is much higher than if wind turbines have the Yugo boiler
plate.
From what I know of Walter’s
position, Walter will place $0 exit value on the balance sheet for this
robot. Unless this wind turbine plant is deemed a non-going concern, the
$0 exit value is the worst possible valuation in terms of error in
estimating value in use and earnings. Under a double entry system,
growth company earnings will nearly always get clobbered by exit values
relative to stagnant companies. In a sense Replacement (Current) Cost
companies also get clobbered for non-financial assets that can be used
effectively and efficiently for many years of production without
replacement. Of course Replacement Cost accounting conforms to Capital
Maintenance Theory ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#FairValue
I‘ve never agreed with Walter
on exit valuation except in the case of financial instruments and
derivative financial instruments and non-going concerns.
Some
might argue that all partionings of balance sheet item values into
components are arbitrary. We should only generate aggregated line items
such as Factory 1 value, Factory 2, value, etc. Or perhaps we cannot
partition value any further than one line item called Value of General
Electric. Of course this cannot be reliably measured from thin trades of
a miniscule proportion of marginal trades day-to-day on the stock market
(called the blockage valuation problem). Nor can it be reliably
estimated via economic models due to unknown future cash flows, unknown
discount rates, unknown and unstable values of intangibles, unknown
environmental and labor legislation, and the thinnest possible market
for the purchase of the entire conglomerate of General Electric as a
whole.
For a time Baruch Lev
strongly advocated using market share prices for valuing intangibles,
but his models proved be particularly unstable and lacked robustness ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#TheoryDisputes Furthermore they put the cart before the horse. Accounting reports are
supposed to help decision makers make market decisions. Lev’s approach
works backwards by using market values to make accounting decisions.
The FASB and IASB both want
financial reporting in terms of value in use. The trouble is that for
most non-financial balance sheet items the only person with a valuation
estimate worth considering is the Wizard of Oz. Witness how badly Bank
America overvalued Merrill Lynch when the toxic Merrill Lynch was
purchased by B of A in 2008. CEO Lewis should've consulted the Wizard of
Oz before agreeing to an outrageous purchase price. The point here is
that experts in huge corporations make huge mistakes when valuing
companies to buy and sell. The markets are just too thin at this level
of aggregation.
The FASB and IASB both want
financial reporting in terms of value in use. The trouble is that for
most non-financial balance sheet items the only person with a valuation
estimate worth considering is the Wizard of Oz.
Bob Jensen
Of course, historical cost as we know it is highly corrupted. On Page
1166, Mary Barth states:
Second, few financial
statement amounts are stated at historical cost. Assets and liabilities
are typically initially measured at the value established by an
exchange, which is their cost. But, some type of remeasurement is
pervasive. The only amounts in financial statements today that are
always historical costs are those for cash and land in the transaction
currency. Essentially all other amounts reflect changes in time, events,
or circumstances since the transaction date. Amounts for short-term
assets and liabilities, e.g., inventory, receivables, and accounts
payable, are historical costs if they have not been impaired. However,
once an entity recognizes an impairment of inventory or an allowance for
uncollectible accounts receivable, the amounts are no longer historical
costs. Also, entities depreciate or amortize long-term assets and
revalue them or write them down when they are impaired, and amortize
issue premium or discount on long-term debt. They also remeasure many
financial instruments at fair value. Impaired, amortized, revalued, or
otherwise remeasured amounts are not historical costs. Thus, framing the
measurement debate in financial reporting as historical cost versus fair
value misleads and obfuscates the issues. "Global Financial Reporting: Implications for U.S.," by
Mary Barth, The Accounting Review,
Vol. 83, No. 5, September 2008 --- Not free at
http://www.atypon-link.com/AAA/doi/pdfplus/10.2308/accr.2008.83.5.1159
KPMG’s “Unusual Twist” While KPMG's strategy isn't uncommon among corporations with lots of units in
different states, the accounting firm offered an unusual twist: Under KPMG's
direction, WorldCom treated "foresight of top management" as an intangible asset
akin to patents or trademarks. See http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudEnron.htm#WorldcomFraud
Punch Line This "foresight of top management" led to a 25-year prison sentence for
Worldcom's CEO, five years for the CFO (which in his case was much to lenient)
and one year plus a day for the controller (who ended up having to be in prison
for only ten months.) Yes all that reported goodwill in the balance sheet of
Worldcom was an unusual twist.
My Hero Lawyer, Professor, and Wall Street Financial Expert Weighs In
Question In the bankruptcy court examiner's report on Lehman's downfall, is Volume 3
more or less important than Volume 2?
Answer For Ernst & Young it is probably Volume 3, but my true hero exposing Wall
Street scandals opts for Volume 2.
The buzz on the Lehman bankruptcy examiner’s
report has focused on Repo 105, for good reason. That scheme is one
powerful example of how the balance sheets of major Wall Street banks
are fiction. It also shows why Congress must include real accounting
reform in its financial legislation, or risk another collapse. (If you
have 8 minutes to kill, here is my
recent talk on the off-balance sheet problem,
from the Roosevelt Institute financial conference.)
But an even
more troubling section of the Lehman report is not Volume 3 on Repo 105.
It is Volume 2, on Valuation. The
Valuation section is 500 pages of utterly terrifying reading. It shows
that, even eighteen months after Lehman’s collapse, no one – not the
bankruptcy examiner, not Lehman’s internal valuation experts, not Ernst
and Young, and certainly not the regulators – could figure out what many
of Lehman’s assets and liabilities were worth. It shows Lehman was too complex to do anything but fail.
The report cites extensive evidence of
valuation problems. Check out page 577, where the report concludes that
Lehman’s high credit default swap valuations were reasonable because
Citigroup’s marks were ONLY 8% lower than Lehman’s. 8%? And since when
are Citigroup’s valuations the objective benchmark?
Or page 547, where the report describes how
Lehman’s so-called “Product Control Group” acted like Keystone Kops: the
group used third-party prices for only 10% of Lehman’s CDO positions,
and deferred to the traders’ models, saying “We’re not quants.” Here are
two money quotes:
While the function of the Product Control
Group was to serve as a check on the desk marks set by Lehman’s traders, the CDO product controllers were
hampered in two respects. First, the Product Control Group did not appear to
have sufficient resources to price test Lehman’s CDO positions comprehensively.
Second, while the CDO product controllers were able to effectively verify the prices
of many positions using trade data and third‐party prices, they did not have the same
level of quantitative sophistication as many of the desk personnel
who developed models to price CDOs. (page 547)
Or this one:
However, approximately a quarter of
Lehman’s CDO positions were not affirmatively priced by the Product
Control Group, but simply noted as ‘OK’ because the desk had already
written down the position significantly. (page 548)
My favorite section describes the valuation of
Ceago, Lehman’s largest CDO position. My corporate finance students at
the University of San Diego School of Law understand that you should use
higher discount rates for riskier projects. But the Valuation section of
the report found that with respect to Ceago, Lehman used LOWER discount
rates for the riskier tranches than for the safer ones:
The discount rates used by Lehman’s Product
Controllers were significantly understated. As stated, swap rates
were used for the discount rate on the Ceago subordinate tranches.
However, the resulting rates (approximately 3% to 4%) were
significantly lower than the approximately 9% discount rate used to
value the more senior S tranche. It is inappropriate to use a
discount rate on a subordinate tranche that is lower than the rate
used on a senior tranche. (page 556)
It’s one thing to have product controllers who
aren’t “quants”; it’s quite another to have people in crucial risk
management roles who don’t understand present value.
When the examiner compared Lehman’s marks on
these lower tranches to more reliable valuation estimates, it found that
“the prices estimated for the C and D tranches of Ceago securities are
approximately one‐thirtieth of the price reported by Lehman. (pages
560-61) One thirtieth? These valuations weren’t even close.
Ultimately, the examiner concluded that these
problems related to only a small portion of Lehman’s overall portfolio.
But that conclusion was due in part to the fact that the examiner did
not have the time or resources to examine many of Lehman’s positions in
detail (Lehman had 900,000 derivative positions in 2008, and the
examiner did not even try to value Lehman’s numerous corporate debt and
equity holdings).
The bankruptcy examiner didn’t see enough to
bring lawsuits. But the valuation section of the report raises some
hot-button issues for private parties and prosecutors. As the report put
it, there are issues that “may warrant further review by parties in
interest.”
For example, parties in interest might want to
look at the report’s section on Archstone, a publicly traded REIT Lehman
acquired in October 2007. Much ink has been spilled criticizing the
valuation of Archstone. Here is the Report’s finding (at page 361):
… there is sufficient evidence to support a
finding that Lehman’s valuations for its Archstone equity positions
were unreasonable beginning as of the end of the first quarter of
2008, and continuing through the end of the third quarter of 2008.
And Archstone is just one of many examples.
The Repo 105 section of the Lehman report shows
that Lehman’s balance sheet was fiction. That was bad. The Valuation
section shows that Lehman’s approach to valuing assets and liabilities
was seriously flawed. That is worse. For a levered trading firm, to not
understand your economic position is to sign your own death warrant.
Selected works of FRANK PARTNOY
Bob Jensen at Trinity University
1. Who is
Frank Partnoy?
Cheryl Dunn
requested that I do a review of my favorites among
the “books that have influenced [my] work.”
Immediately the succession of FIASCO books by
Frank Partnoy came to mind. These particular books
are not the best among related books by Wall Street
whistle blowers such as Liar's Poker: Playing the
Money Markets by Michael Lewis in 1999 and
Monkey Business: Swinging Through the Wall Street
Jungle by John Rolfe and Peter Troob in 2002.
But in1997. Frank Partnoy was the first writer to
open my eyes to the enormous gap between our assumed
efficient and fair capital markets versus the
“infectious greed” (Alan Greenspan’s term) that had
overtaken these markets.
Partnoy’s
succession of FIASCO books, like those of
Lewis and Rolfe/Troob are reality books written from
the perspective of inside whistle blowers. They are
somewhat repetitive and anecdotal mainly from the
perspective of what each author saw and
interpreted.
My favorite
among the capital market fraud books is Frank
Partnoy’s latest book Infectious Greed: How
Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets
(Henry Holt & Company, Incorporated, 2003, ISBN:
080507510-0- 477 pages). This is the most scholarly
of the books available on business and gatekeeper
degeneracy. Rather than relying mostly upon his own
experiences, this book drawn from Partnoy’s
interviews of over 150 capital markets insiders of
one type or another. It is more scholarly because
it demonstrates Partnoy’s evolution of learning
about extremely complex structured financing
packages that were the instruments of crime by
banks, investment banks, brokers, and securities
dealers in the most venerable firms in the U.S. and
other parts of the world. The book is brilliant and
has a detailed and helpful index.
What did I learn
most from Partnoy?
I learned about
the failures and complicity of what he terms
“gatekeepers” whose fiduciary responsibility was to
inoculate against “infectious greed.” These
gatekeepers instead manipulated their professions
and their governments to aid and abet the
criminals. On Page 173 of Infectious Greed,
he writes the following:
Page
#173
When
Republicans captured the House of Representatives in
November 1994--for the first time since the
Eisenhower era--securities-litigation reform was
assured. In a January 1995 speech, Levitt outlined
the limits on securities regulation that Congress
later would support: limiting the
statute-of-limitations period for filing lawsuits,
restricting legal fees paid to lead plaintiffs,
eliminating punitive-damages provisions from
securities lawsuits, requiring plaintiffs to allege
more clearly that a defendant acted with reckless
intent, and exempting "forward
looking
statements"--essentially, projections about a
company's future--from legal liability.
The
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
passed easily, and Congress even overrode the veto
of President Clinton, who either had a fleeting
change of heart about financial markets or decided
that trial lawyers were an even more
important constituency than Wall Street. In any
event, Clinton and Levitt disagreed about the issue,
although it wasn't fatal to Levitt, who would remain
SEC chair for another five years.
He later
introduces Chapter 7 of Infectious Greed as
follows:
Pages
187-188
The
regulatory changes of 1994-95 sent three messages to
corporate CEOs. First, you are not likely to be
punished for "massaging" your firm's accounting
numbers. Prosecutors rarely go after financial
fraud and, even when they do, the typical punishment
is a small fine; almost no one goes to prison.
Moreover, even a fraudulent scheme could be recast
as mere earnings management--the practice of
smoothing a company's earnings--which most
executives did, and regarded as perfectly legal.
Second, you should use new financial
instruments--including options, swaps, and other
derivatives--to increase your own pay and to avoid
costly regulation. If complex derivatives are too
much for you to handle--as they were for many CEOs
during the years immediately following the 1994
losses--you should at least pay yourself in stock
options, which don't need to be disclosed as an
expense and have a greater upside than cash bonuses
or stock.
Third,
you don't need to worry about whether accountants or
securities analysts will tell investors about any
hidden losses or excessive options pay. Now that
Congress and the Supreme Court have insulated
accounting firms and investment banks from
liability--with the Central Bank decision and the
Private Securities Litigation Reform Act--they will
be much more willing to look the other way. If you
pay them enough in fees, they might even be willing
to help.
Of
course, not every corporate executive heeded these
messages. For example, Warren Buffett argued that
managers should ensure that their companies' share
prices were accurate, not try to inflate prices
artificially, and he criticized the use of stock
options as compensation. Having been a major
shareholder of Salomon Brothers, Buffett also
criticized accounting and securities firms for
conflicts of interest.
But
for every Warren Buffett, there were many less
scrupulous CEOs. This chapter considers four of
them: Walter Forbes of CUC International, Dean
Buntrock of Waste Management, Al Dunlap of Sunbeam,
and Martin Grass of Rite Aid. They are not all
well-known among investors, but their stories
capture the changes in CEO behavior during the
mid-1990s. Unlike the "rocket scientists" at
Bankers Trust, First Boston, and Salomon Brothers,
these four had undistinguished backgrounds and
little training in mathematics or finance. Instead,
they were hardworking, hard-driving men who ran
companies that met basic consumer needs: they sold
clothes, barbecue grills, and prescription medicine,
and cleaned up garbage. They certainly didn't buy
swaps linked to LIBOR-squared.
The book
Infectious Greed has chapters on other capital
markets and corporate scandals. It is the best
account that I’ve ever read about Bankers Trust the
Bankers Trust scandals, including how one trader
named Andy Krieger almost destroyed the entire money
supply of New Zealand. Chapter 10 is devoted to
Enron and follows up on Frank Partnoy’s invited
testimony before the United States Senate Committee
on Governmental Affairs, January 24, 2002 ---
http://www.senate.gov/~gov_affairs/012402partnoy.htm
The
controversial writings of Frank Partnoy have had an
enormous impact on my teaching and my research.
Although subsequent writers wrote somewhat more
entertaining exposes, he was the one who first
opened my eyes to what goes on behind the scenes in
capital markets and investment banking. Through his
early writings, I discovered that there is an
enormous gap between the efficient financial world
that we assume in agency theory worshipped in
academe versus the dark side of modern reality where
you find the cleverest crooks out to steal money
from widows and orphans in sophisticated ways where
it is virtually impossible to get caught. Because I
read his 1997 book early on, the ensuing succession
of enormous scandals in finance, accounting, and
corporate governance weren’t really much of a
surprise to me.
From his insider
perspective he reveals a world where our most
respected firms in banking, market exchanges, and
related financial institutions no longer care
anything about fiduciary responsibility and
professionalism in disgusting contrast to the
honorable founders of those same firms motivated to
serve rather than steal.
Young men and
women from top universities of the world abandoned
almost all ethical principles while working in
investment banks and other financial institutions in
order to become not only rich but filthy rich at the
expense of countless pension holders and small
investors. Partnoy opened my eyes to how easy it is
to get around auditors and corporate boards by
creating structured financial contracts that are
incomprehensible and serve virtually no purpose
other than to steal billions upon billions of
dollars.
Most
importantly, Frank Partnoy opened my eyes to the
psychology of greed. Greed is rooted in opportunity
and cultural relativism. He graduated from college
with a high sense of right and wrong. But his
standards and values sank to the criminal level of
those when he entered the criminal world of
investment banking. The only difference between him
and the crooks he worked with is that he could not
quell his conscience while stealing from widows and
orphans.
Frank Partnoy
has a rare combination of scholarship and experience
in law, investment banking, and accounting. He is
sometimes criticized for not really understanding
the complexities of some of the deals he described,
but he rather freely admits that he was new to the
game of complex deceptions in international
structured financing crime.
3. What are
some of Frank Partnoy’s best-known works?
Frank Partnoy,
FIASCO: Blood in the Water on Wall Street (W.
W. Norton & Company, 1997, ISBN 0393046222, 252
pages).
This is the first of a somewhat
repetitive succession of Partnoy’s “FIASCO” books
that influenced my life. The most important
revelation from his insider’s perspective is that
the most trusted firms on Wall Street and financial
centers in other major cities in the U.S., that were
once highly professional and trustworthy, excoriated
the guts of integrity leaving a façade behind which
crooks less violent than the Mafia but far more
greedy took control in the roaring 1990s.
After selling a succession of phony
derivatives deals while at Morgan Stanley, Partnoy
blew the whistle in this book about a number of his
employer’s shady and outright fraudulent deals sold
in rigged markets using bait and switch tactics.
Customers, many of them pension fund investors for
schools and municipal employees, were duped into
complex and enormously risky deals that were billed
as safe as the U.S. Treasury.
His books have received mixed
reviews, but I question some of the integrity of the
reviewers from the investment banking industry who
in some instances tried to whitewash some of the
deals described by Partnoy. His books have received
a bit less praise than the book Liars Poker
by Michael Lewis, but critics of Partnoy fail to
give credit that Partnoy’s exposes preceded those of
Lewis.
Frank Partnoy,
FIASCO: Guns, Booze and Bloodlust: the Truth
About High Finance (Profile Books, 1998, 305
Pages)
Like his earlier books, some
investment bankers and literary dilettantes who
reviewed this book were critical of Partnoy and
claimed that he misrepresented some legitimate
structured financings. However, my reading of the
reviewers is that they were trying to lend credence
to highly questionable offshore deals documented by
Partnoy. Be that as it may, it would have helped if
Partnoy had been a bit more explicit in some of his
illustrations.
Frank Partnoy,
FIASCO: The Inside Story of a Wall Street Trader
(Penguin, 1999, ISBN 0140278796, 283 pages).
This is a
blistering indictment of the unregulated OTC
market for derivative financial instruments and
the million and billion dollar deals conceived
in investment banking. Among other things,
Partnoy describes Morgan Stanley’s annual
drunken skeet-shooting competition organized by
a “gun-toting strip-joint connoisseur” former
combat officer (fanatic) who loved the motto:
“When derivatives are outlawed only outlaws will
have derivatives.” At that event, derivatives
salesmen were forced to shoot entrapped bunnies
between the eyes on the pretense that the
bunnies were just like “defenseless animals”
that were Morgan Stanley’s customers to be shot
down even if they might eventually “lose a
billion dollars on derivatives.”
This book has one of the best accounts of the
“fiasco” caused almost entirely by the duping of
OrangeCounty’s Treasurer (Robert Citron)
by the unscrupulous Merrill Lynch derivatives
salesman named Michael
Stamenson.
OrangeCountyeventually lost over a billion
dollars and was forced into bankruptcy. Much of
this was later recovered in court from Merrill
Lynch. Partnoy
calls Citron and Stamenson
“The Odd Couple,” which is also the title of
Chapter 8 in the book.Frank Partnoy,
Infectious Greed: How Deceit and Risk Corrupted
the Financial Markets (Henry Holt & Company,
Incorporated, 2003, ISBN: 080507510-0, 477
pages)Frank Partnoy, Infectious Greed: How
Deceit and Risk Corrupted the Financial Markets
(Henry Holt & Company, Incorporated, 2003, ISBN:
080507510-0, 477 pages)
Partnoy shows how corporations
gradually increased financial risk and lost control
over overly complex structured financing deals that
obscured the losses and disguised frauds pushed
corporate officers and their boards into successive
and ingenious deceptions." Major corporations such
as Enron, Global Crossing, and WorldCom entered into
enormous illegal corporate finance and accounting.
Partnoy documents the spread of this epidemic stage
and provides some suggestions for restraining the
disease.
"The Siskel and
Ebert of Financial Matters: Two Thumbs Down for the
Credit Reporting Agencies" by Frank Partnoy,
Washington University Law Quarterly, Volume 77, No.
3, 1999 ---
http://ls.wustl.edu/WULQ/
4. What are
examples of related books that are somewhat more
entertaining than Partnoy’s early books?
Michael Lewis,
Liar's Poker: Playing the Money Markets
(Coronet, 1999, ISBN 0340767006)
Lewis writes in Partnoy’s earlier
whistleblower style with somewhat more intense and
comic portrayals of the major players in describing
the double dealing and break down of integrity on
the trading floor of Salomon Brothers.
John Rolfe and
Peter Troob, Monkey Business: Swinging Through
the Wall Street Jungle (Warner Books,
Incorporated, 2002, ISBN: 0446676950, 288 Pages)
This is a hilarious tongue-in-cheek account by
Wharton and Harvard MBAs who thought they were
starting out as stock brokers for $200,000 a
year until they realized that they were on the
phones in a bucket shop selling sleazy IPOs to
unsuspecting institutional investors who in turn
passed them along to widows and orphans. They
write. "It took us another six months
after that to realize that we were, in fact,
selling crappy public offerings to investors."
There are other books along a
similar vein that may be more revealing and
entertaining than the early books of Frank
Partnoy, but he was one of the first, if not the
first, in the roaring 1990s to reveal the high
crime taking place behind the concrete and glass
of Wall Street. He was the first to anticipate
many of the scandals that soon followed. And
his testimony before the U.S. Senate is the best
concise account of the crime that transpired at
Enron. He lays the blame clearly at the feet of
government officials (read that Wendy Gramm) who
sold the farm when they deregulated the energy
markets and opened the doors to unregulated OTC
derivatives trading in energy. That is when
Enron really began bilking the public.
Liars Poker II is called "The End"
The Not-Funny Punch Line is Not Until Page 9 of This Tongue in Cheek
Explanation of the Meltdown on Wall Street!
Now I asked
Gutfreund about his biggest decision. “Yes,” he said. “They—the
heads of the other Wall Street firms—all said what an awful thing it was
to go public (beg for a government
bailout) and how could you do such a
thing. But when the temptation arose, they all gave in to it.” He agreed
that the main effect of turning a partnership into a corporation was to
transfer the financial risk to the shareholders. “When things go wrong,
it’s their problem,” he said—and obviously not theirs alone. When a Wall
Street investment bank screwed up badly enough, its risks became the
problem of the U.S. government. “It’s laissez-faire until you get in
deep shit,” he said, with a half chuckle. He was out of the game.
To this day, the willingness of a Wall Street
investment bank to pay me hundreds of thousands of dollars to dispense
investment advice to grownups remains a mystery to me. I was 24 years
old, with no experience of, or particular interest in, guessing which
stocks and bonds would rise and which would fall. The essential function
of Wall Street is to allocate capital—to decide who should get it and
who should not. Believe me when I tell you that I hadn’t the first clue.
I’d never taken an accounting course, never run
a business, never even had savings of my own to manage. I stumbled into
a job at Salomon Brothers in 1985 and stumbled out much richer three
years later, and even though I wrote a book about the experience, the
whole thing still strikes me as preposterous—which is one of the reasons
the money was so easy to walk away from. I figured the situation was
unsustainable. Sooner rather than later, someone was going to identify
me, along with a lot of people more or less like me, as a fraud. Sooner
rather than later, there would come a Great Reckoning when Wall Street
would wake up and hundreds if not thousands of young people like me, who
had no business making huge bets with other people’s money, would be
expelled from finance.
When I sat down to write my account of the
experience in 1989—Liar’s Poker, it was called—it was in the spirit of a
young man who thought he was getting out while the getting was good. I
was merely scribbling down a message on my way out and stuffing it into
a bottle for those who would pass through these parts in the far distant
future.
Unless some insider got all of this down on
paper, I figured, no future human would believe that it happened.
I thought I was writing a period piece about
the 1980s in America. Not for a moment did I suspect that the financial
1980s would last two full decades longer or that the difference in
degree between Wall Street and ordinary life would swell into a
difference in kind. I expected readers of the future to be outraged that
back in 1986, the C.E.O. of Salomon Brothers, John Gutfreund, was paid
$3.1 million; I expected them to gape in horror when I reported that one
of our traders, Howie Rubin, had moved to Merrill Lynch, where he lost
$250 million; I assumed they’d be shocked to learn that a Wall Street
C.E.O. had only the vaguest idea of the risks his traders were running.
What I didn’t expect was that any future reader would look on my
experience and say, “How quaint.”
I had no great agenda, apart from telling what
I took to be a remarkable tale, but if you got a few drinks in me and
then asked what effect I thought my book would have on the world, I
might have said something like, “I hope that college students trying to
figure out what to do with their lives will read it and decide that it’s
silly to phony it up and abandon their passions to become financiers.” I
hoped that some bright kid at, say, Ohio State University who really
wanted to be an oceanographer would read my book, spurn the offer from
Morgan Stanley, and set out to sea.
Somehow that message failed to come across. Six
months after Liar’s Poker was published, I was knee-deep in letters from
students at Ohio State who wanted to know if I had any other secrets to
share about Wall Street. They’d read my book as a how-to manual.
In the two decades since then, I had been
waiting for the end of Wall Street. The outrageous bonuses, the slender
returns to shareholders, the never-ending scandals, the bursting of the
internet bubble, the crisis following the collapse of Long-Term Capital
Management: Over and over again, the big Wall Street investment banks
would be, in some narrow way, discredited. Yet they just kept on
growing, along with the sums of money that they doled out to
26-year-olds to perform tasks of no obvious social utility. The
rebellion by American youth against the money culture never happened.
Why bother to overturn your parents’ world when you can buy it, slice it
up into tranches, and sell off the pieces?
At some point, I gave up waiting for the end.
There was no scandal or reversal, I assumed, that could sink the system.
The New Order The crash did more than wipe out
money. It also reordered the power on Wall Street. What a Swell Party A
pictorial timeline of some Wall Street highs and lows from 1985 to 2007.
Worst of Times Most economists predict a recovery late next year. Don’t
bet on it. Then came Meredith Whitney with news. Whitney was an obscure
analyst of financial firms for Oppenheimer Securities who, on October
31, 2007, ceased to be obscure. On that day, she predicted that
Citigroup had so mismanaged its affairs that it would need to slash its
dividend or go bust. It’s never entirely clear on any given day what
causes what in the stock market, but it was pretty obvious that on
October 31, Meredith Whitney caused the market in financial stocks to
crash. By the end of the trading day, a woman whom basically no one had
ever heard of had shaved $369 billion off the value of financial firms
in the market. Four days later, Citigroup’s C.E.O., Chuck Prince,
resigned. In January, Citigroup slashed its dividend.
From that moment, Whitney became E.F. Hutton:
When she spoke, people listened. Her message was clear. If you want to
know what these Wall Street firms are really worth, take a hard look at
the crappy assets they bought with huge sums of borrowed money, and
imagine what they’d fetch in a fire sale. The vast assemblages of highly
paid people inside the firms were essentially worth nothing. For better
than a year now, Whitney has responded to the claims by bankers and
brokers that they had put their problems behind them with this
write-down or that capital raise with a claim of her own: You’re wrong.
You’re still not facing up to how badly you have mismanaged your
business.
Rivals accused Whitney of being overrated;
bloggers accused her of being lucky. What she was, mainly, was right.
But it’s true that she was, in part, guessing. There was no way she
could have known what was going to happen to these Wall Street firms.
The C.E.O.’s themselves didn’t know.
Now, obviously, Meredith Whitney didn’t sink
Wall Street. She just expressed most clearly and loudly a view that was,
in retrospect, far more seditious to the financial order than, say,
Eliot Spitzer’s campaign against Wall Street corruption. If mere scandal
could have destroyed the big Wall Street investment banks, they’d have
vanished long ago. This woman wasn’t saying that Wall Street bankers
were corrupt. She was saying they were stupid. These people whose job it
was to allocate capital apparently didn’t even know how to manage their
own.
At some point, I could no longer contain
myself: I called Whitney. This was back in March, when Wall Street’s
fate still hung in the balance. I thought, If she’s right, then this
really could be the end of Wall Street as we’ve known it. I was curious
to see if she made sense but also to know where this young woman who was
crashing the stock market with her every utterance had come from.
It turned out that she made a great deal of
sense and that she’d arrived on Wall Street in 1993, from the Brown
University history department. “I got to New York, and I didn’t even
know research existed,” she says. She’d wound up at Oppenheimer and had
the most incredible piece of luck: to be trained by a man who helped her
establish not merely a career but a worldview. His name, she says, was
Steve Eisman.
Eisman had moved on, but they kept in touch.
“After I made the Citi call,” she says, “one of the best things that
happened was when Steve called and told me how proud he was of me.”
Having never heard of Eisman, I didn’t think
anything of this. But a few months later, I called Whitney again and
asked her, as I was asking others, whom she knew who had anticipated the
cataclysm and set themselves up to make a fortune from it. There’s a
long list of people who now say they saw it coming all along but a far
shorter one of people who actually did. Of those, even fewer had the
nerve to bet on their vision. It’s not easy to stand apart from mass
hysteria—to believe that most of what’s in the financial news is wrong
or distorted, to believe that most important financial people are either
lying or deluded—without actually being insane. A handful of people had
been inside the black box, understood how it worked, and bet on it
blowing up. Whitney rattled off a list with a half-dozen names on it. At
the top was Steve Eisman.
Steve Eisman entered finance about the time I
exited it. He’d grown up in New York City and gone to a Jewish day
school, the University of Pennsylvania, and Harvard Law School. In 1991,
he was a 30-year-old corporate lawyer. “I hated it,” he says. “I hated
being a lawyer. My parents worked as brokers at Oppenheimer. They
managed to finagle me a job. It’s not pretty, but that’s what happened.”
He was hired as a junior equity analyst, a
helpmate who didn’t actually offer his opinions. That changed in
December 1991, less than a year into his new job, when a subprime
mortgage lender called Ames Financial went public and no one at
Oppenheimer particularly cared to express an opinion about it. One of
Oppenheimer’s investment bankers stomped around the research department
looking for anyone who knew anything about the mortgage business.
Recalls Eisman: “I’m a junior analyst and just trying to figure out
which end is up, but I told him that as a lawyer I’d worked on a deal
for the Money Store.” He was promptly appointed the lead analyst for
Ames Financial. “What I didn’t tell him was that my job had been to
proofread the documents and that I hadn’t understood a word of the
fucking things.”
Ames Financial belonged to a category of firms
known as nonbank financial institutions. The category didn’t include
J.P. Morgan, but it did encompass many little-known companies that one
way or another were involved in the early-1990s boom in subprime
mortgage lending—the lower class of American finance.
The second company for which Eisman was given
sole responsibility was Lomas Financial, which had just emerged from
bankruptcy. “I put a sell rating on the thing because it was a piece of
shit,” Eisman says. “I didn’t know that you weren’t supposed to put a
sell rating on companies. I thought there were three boxes—buy, hold,
sell—and you could pick the one you thought you should.” He was
pressured generally to be a bit more upbeat, but upbeat wasn’t Steve
Eisman’s style. Upbeat and Eisman didn’t occupy the same planet. A hedge
fund manager who counts Eisman as a friend set out to explain him to me
but quit a minute into it. After describing how Eisman exposed various
important people as either liars or idiots, the hedge fund manager
started to laugh. “He’s sort of a prick in a way, but he’s smart and
honest and fearless.”
“A lot of people don’t get Steve,” Whitney
says. “But the people who get him love him.” Eisman stuck to his sell
rating on Lomas Financial, even after the company announced that
investors needn’t worry about its financial condition, as it had hedged
its market risk. “The single greatest line I ever wrote as an analyst,”
says Eisman, “was after Lomas said they were hedged.” He recited the
line from memory: “ ‘The Lomas Financial Corp. is a perfectly hedged
financial institution: It loses money in every conceivable interest-rate
environment.’ I enjoyed writing that sentence more than any sentence I
ever wrote.” A few months after he’d delivered that line in his report,
Lomas Financial returned to bankruptcy.
Continued in article
Michael Lewis, Liar's Poker: Playing the Money Markets (Coronet, 1999,
ISBN 0340767006)
Lewis writes in Partnoy’s earlier whistleblower
style with somewhat more intense and comic portrayals of the major
players in describing the double dealing and break down of integrity on
the trading floor of Salomon Brothers.
Do Investors Overvalue Firms With Bloated Balance Sheets?
David A. Hirshleifer University of California, Irvine - Paul Merage School
of Business
Kewei Hou Ohio State University - Department of Finance
Siew Hong Teoh University of California - Paul Merage School of Business
Yinglei Zhang Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK) - School of Accountancy
SSRN, February 2004
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=404120
Abstract:
If investors have limited attention, then accounting outcomes that
saliently highlight positive aspects of a firm's performance will
promote high market valuations. When cumulative accounting value added
(net operating income) over time outstrips cumulative cash value added
(free cash flow), it becomes hard for the firm to sustain further
earnings growth. When the balance sheet is 'bloated' in this fashion, we
argue that investors with limited attention will overvalue the firm,
because naïve earnings-based valuation disregards the firm's relative
lack of success in generating cash flows in excess of investment needs.
The level of net operating assets, the difference between cumulative
earnings and cumulative free cash flow over time, is therefore a measure
of the extent to which operating/reporting outcomes provoke excessive
investor optimism. Therefore, if investor attention is limited, net
operating assets will negatively predict subsequent stock returns. In
our 1964-2002 sample, net operating assets scaled by beginning total
assets is a strong negative predictor of long-run stock returns.
Predictability is robust with respect to an extensive set of controls
and testing methods.
SUMMARY: "Venture
firms are struggling to raise new cash, hampered by poor investment
returns and a difficult economy...There were 794 active venture-capital
firms in the U.S. at the end of 2009, meaning they have raised money in
the last eight years, down from a peak of 1,023 in 2005....Many
venture-capital firms...profited handsomely in the boom years in the
late 1990s and early 2000....[as well,] their funds typically are set up
as long-term, 10-year investment vehicles that don't quickly close down.
But in the past decade, many start-ups have flopped or have struggled to
go public amid an unwelcoming market for initial public offerings. The
tough environment has been exacerbated by the credit crunch...." The
related article assesses top promising start up companies by assessing
management teams and change in equity valuation over a recent 12-month
period.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used in entrepreneurship, financial accounting, MBA, or
management accounting classes.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What is a venture capitalist? How does a venture capital firm make
profits?
2. (Advanced)
How does the article identify the reduction in returns to venture
capitalists in 2009 relative to 2008?
3. (Introductory)
In the related article ranking "the top 50 venture capital-backed
firms," how does the WSJ assess these firms, implying likely success?
Specifically identify the four criteria used in the analysis.
4. (Advanced)
Given that the firms are not yet publicly traded, does any of the
information in the article help to assess profitability of these firms
in the past year? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
SUMMARY: The
article is part of a special section on "Eco:nomics-Creating
Environmental Capital and is based on interviews of venture capitalists
John Doerr, a partner at Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers; Vinod Khosla,
founder and managing partner of Khosla Ventures; and Paul Holland,
general partner of Foundation Capital. They comment on their "bets" on
clean technology and respond to a question on what has so far been "a
dud" of their investments in this area.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used in financial reporting, MBA, entrepreneurship, or
management accounting classes.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What is a venture capitalist? How does a venture capital firm make
profits?
2. (Introductory)
What do these three venture capitalists see as an area of opportunity
for investment now in the environmental arena?
3. (Advanced)
What does the interviewer mean when he speaks about a "price on carbon"?
4. (Advanced)
Mr. Doerr says that none of their investments they expect to make an
outstanding rate of return depend on putting a price on carbon. Define
expected rate of return. How could a "price on carbon" make an
investment economically viable which otherwise may not be viable without
this "price"? What is the significance of Mr. Doerr's statement?
5. (Advanced)
What benefit does Mr. Doerr think will come from our government putting
in place a system that will price carbon emissions?
6. (Advanced)
In the related article, start up firms in the solar energy area are
assessed and ranked. What factors does The Journal use to rank these
firms? In particular, given that they are not public and so financial
statements are not available, does The Journal assess profitability over
a recent year? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Facing political pressure to abandon “fair
value” accounting for banks, the chairman of the board that sets
American accounting standards will call Tuesday for the “decoupling” of
bank capital rules from normal accounting standards.
His proposal would encourage bank regulators to
make adjustments as they determine whether banks have adequate capital
while still allowing investors to see the current fair value — often the
market value — of bank loans and other assets.
In the prepared text of a speech planned for a
conference in Washington, Robert H. Herz, the chairman of the
Financial Accounting Standards Board, called
on bank regulators to use their own judgment in allowing banks to move
away from Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, or GAAP, which his
board sets.
“Handcuffing regulators to GAAP or distorting
GAAP to always fit the needs of regulators is inconsistent with the
different purposes of financial reporting and prudential regulation,”
Mr. Herz said in the prepared text.
“Regulators should have the authority and
appropriate flexibility they need to effectively regulate the banking
system,” he added. “And, conversely, in instances in which the needs of
regulators deviate from the informational requirements of investors, the
reporting to investors should not be subordinated to the needs of
regulators. To do so could degrade the financial information available
to investors and reduce public trust and confidence in the capital
markets.”
Mr. Herz said that Congress, after the
savings and loan crisis, had required bank
regulators in 1991 to use GAAP as the basis for capital rules, but said
the regulators could depart from such rules.
Banks have argued that accounting rules should
be changed, saying that current rules are “pro-cyclical” — making banks
seem richer when times are good, and poorer when times are bad and bank
loans may be most needed in the economy.
Mr. Herz conceded the accounting rules can be
pro-cyclical, but questioned how far critics would go. Consumer
spending, he said, depends in part on how wealthy people feel. Should
mutual fund statements be phased in, he asked,
so investors would not feel poor — and cut back on spending — after
markets fell?
The House Financial Services Committee has
approved a proposal that would direct bank regulators to comment to the
S.E.C. on accounting rules, something they already can do. But it
stopped short of adopting a proposal to allow the banking regulators to
overrule the S.E.C., which supervises the accounting board, on
accounting rules.
“I support the goal of financial stability and
do not believe that accounting standards and financial reporting should
be purposefully designed to create instability or pro-cyclical effects,”
Mr. Herz said.
He paraphrased
Barney Frank, the chairman of the House
committee, as saying that “accounting principles should not be viewed to
be so immutable that their impact on policy should not be considered. I
agree with that, and I think the chairman would also agree that
accounting standards should not be so malleable that they fail to meet
their objective of helping to properly inform investors and markets or
that they should be purposefully designed to try to dampen business,
market, and economic cycles. That’s not their role.”
Banks have argued that accounting rules made
the financial crisis worse by forcing them to acknowledge losses based
on market values that may never be realized, if market values recover.
Mr. Herz said the accounting board had sought
middle ground by requiring some unrealized losses to be recognized on
bank balance sheets but not to be reflected on income statements.
Banking regulators already have capital rules
that differ from accounting rules, but have not been eager to expand
those differences. One area where a difference may soon be made is in
the treatment of off-balance sheet items that the accounting board is
forcing banks to bring back onto their balance sheets. The banks have
asked regulators to phase in that change over several years, to slow the
impact on their capital needs.
Can investors count on consistency when it
comes to bank accounting? As many banks struggle with piles of bad
loans, it appears some auditors are being stricter than others when
assessing their true value.
Banks using Ernst & Young and Deloitte in
particular are showing much sharper declines in the fair value of their
loans than those using other accounting firms, a Wall Street Journal
analysis shows. Of course, it is quite possible Ernst and Deloitte
simply have a less-healthy group of bank clients than other firms. But
if it instead reflects different audit policies when it comes to
assessing loans, it could have consequences on the strength of banks'
regulatory capital.
Banks carry most loans on their balance sheet
at their original cost. But they must also disclose the loans' fair
value, or current market value, in financial-statement footnotes. At
most banks, despite the carnage of recent years, fair value is only
below cost by a small amount. Some banks, however, show much steeper
declines. At Regions Financial, fair value was 19.3% lower than cost as
of Sept. 30. The difference was 13.4% at Huntington Bancshares, 12% at
KeyCorp, 9% at SunTrust Banks and 8.6% at Marshall & Ilsley. Regions,
Key and SunTrust are all audit clients of Ernst; Huntington and M&I are
Deloitte clients.
Among the top-25 U.S.-owned commercial banks,
those five Ernst and Deloitte clients accounted for five of the six
biggest gaps between fair value and cost as of Sept. 30. The average gap
among Ernst and Deloitte clients in the 25-bank group was about 6%;
among clients of PriceWaterhouseCoopers and KPMG, it was about 2%.
Those differences can affect how investors view
a bank's loan portfolio, and could have a concrete effect on regulatory
capital in the future. The Financial Accounting Standards Board is
considering changes in banks' accounting for loans and may require them
to carry loans on the balance sheet at fair value instead of cost.
If that happened, the current fair-value
declines could reduce shareholder equity and regulatory capital—in some
cases, to levels regulators would find troublesome. At Regions, the
$16.9 billion gap between its loans' fair value and carrying value would
wipe out its $13 billion in Tier 1 capital using a fair-value
balance-sheet standard. Huntington, Key and M&I would see Tier 1 capital
slashed to low levels. SunTrust would see a major Tier 1 reduction also.
A move by the FASB to require banks to use fair
value as the balance-sheet standard doesn't have to hurt the banks'
regulatory capital. Bank regulators could adjust the capital measures
they use so that they wouldn't be affected by a fair-value change.
But big hits to the fair value of loans still
matter to investors. Who audits a bank's books may have importance
beyond whose name goes on the letter blessing the financial statements
once a year.
One, and maybe the only, of the recent
benefits of the FASB's meager attempts at providing balance sheet
transparency has been the requirement for banks and financial
companies to disclose the difference between the Fair Market Value
and the Carrying (Book) value of their assets, especially as
pertains to loans held on the balance sheet. And while even the FMV
calculation leaves much to be desired, it does demonstrate which
companies take abnormal liberties with their balance sheets, instead
of performing needed asset write-downs as more and more loans turn
toxic. A good example of just such optimism appears when one
evaluates the disclosure by "banking" company General Electric. On
page 38 of the firm's just released 10-Q, the firm indicates that
the delta between its loan portfolio FMV and Book Value continues
increasing, and as of September 30, hit an all time (disclosed) high
of $18.8 billion. In other words, General Electric, whose market cap
is about $150 billion at last check, is likely impaired by at least
$19 billion if it were forced to access the market today and sell
off its loans. The $19 billion is 13% of its entire market cap. And
the real number is likely much, much worse.
The delta between the Carrying and Fair
Market Value of GECC's loans can be seen on the chart below:
A reminder of how GE calculates loan FMV is
taken from the company's 10-K:
Based on quoted market prices, recent
transactions and/or discounted future cash flows, using rates we
would charge to similar borrowers with similar maturities.
In other words FMV uses the traditional
Level III evaluation methodology. And even when using DCF (we assume
that was used as it will always give the firm the "best", most
palatable value reading), GE is still seeing a nearly $20 billion
balance sheet shortfall?
What is more troubling, is that even as
GECC has been collapsing its balance sheet, with book value of loans
dropping from $305 billion to $292 billion from FYE 2009 to Q3 2008,
the FMV-Book delta has increased from $12.6 to $18.8 billion. And
this is occurring in a time when the credit market is presumably
surging? Is there something wrong with this picture? As we pointed
out, the $18.8 billion is likely a gross underestimation of the real
valuation shortfall, if one were to really mark all of GE's myriads
of illiquid loans to market.
Yet if nothing else, this shortfall should
explain GE's urgent desire to sell NBCU and to use the ~$30 billion
in proceeds to plug what is becoming an ever growing hole.
More on the greatest swindles of the world
General Electric, the world's largest industrial company, has quietly become
the biggest beneficiary of one of the government's key rescue programs for
banks. At the same time, GE has avoided many of the restrictions facing
other financial giants getting help from the government. The company did not
initially qualify for the program, under which the government sought to
unfreeze credit markets by guaranteeing debt sold by banking firms. But
regulators soon loosened the eligibility requirements, in part because of
behind-the-scenes appeals from GE. As a result, GE has joined major banks
collectively saving billions of dollars by raising money for... Jeff Gerth and Brady Dennis, "How a Loophole Benefits GE in Bank Rescue Industrial
Giant Becomes Top Recipient in Debt-Guarantee Program," The Washington
Post, June 29, 2009 ---
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/06/28/AR2009062802955.html?hpid=topnews
Jensen Comment
GE thus becomes the biggest winner under both the TARP and the Cap-and-Trade
give away legislation. It is a major producer of wind turbines and other
machinery for generating electricity under alternative forms of energy. The
government will pay GE billions for this equipment. GE Capital is also "Top
Recipient in Debt-Guarantee Program." Sort of makes you wonder why GE's NBC
network never criticizes liberal spending in Congress.
SUMMARY: "Adobe Systems Inc. agreed to buy software company Omniture Inc.
for $1.8 billion....Adobe said it will pay $21.50 a share in cash for
Omniture, a 24% premium to Tuesday's 4 p.m. price....Omniture offers
advertisers data that show how much time each visitor spends on a site, the
number of pages visited, the number of elements downloaded and what makes
people leave a Web page. The company also has technology that allows
marketers to automatically change their ad mix based on the computer
analysis of the data....Adobe...said it hopes to combine its
content-creation technology with Omniture's services, which will help its
customers create Web site that are more effective and generate more
revenue....Adobe CEO Shantanu Narayen called the Omniture deal a 'game
changer.'"
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article is useful to introduce business
combinations and to introduce revenue generation from internet web pages.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
How do companies such as Adobe and even Dow Jones, whose WSJ pages you read
on the web to answer these questions, generate revenue from their web pages?
2. (Introductory)
How can Adobe "content" and Omniture technology combine to improve these
revenues from web pages?
3. (Advanced)
Why is Adobe willing to pay 24% more than the closing price for Omniture
stock two days before the announcement of this acquisition agreement? In
your answer, describe analytical tools that might be used to decide on an
appropriate price to pay. Also, include in your answer the impact of factors
you discussed in answers to questions 1 and 2 above.
4. (Advanced)
What is the impact of the fact that "Omniture...has a mixed record in
meeting Wall Street estimates" on your answer to question 1 above?
5. (Introductory)
How did Omniture and Adobe shareholders react to announcement of this deal?
What other factors may be part of the stock price reaction to this
announcement?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Adobe Systems Inc. agreed to buy software company
Omniture Inc. for $1.8 billion, a deal designed to help customers track and
make money from Web sites that were created with Adobe's programs.
Adobe said it will pay $21.50 a share in cash for
Omniture, a 24% premium to Tuesday's 4 p.m. price. Omniture shares surged
25% in after-hours trading on the news, while Adobe shares declined 4.2%.
The announcement came as Adobe reported its profit
fell 29% and revenue slid 21% in its latest quarter as the continuing
downturn in media markets slows demand for its traditional software, such as
Photoshop and InDesign.
Omniture, based in Orem, Utah, specializes in a
field known as Web analytics. It provides to advertisers, media companies
and other customers information about user activity, such as what Web pages
they visit, how much time they spend there and what ads they click on.
Customers may change their ads or Web sites based on such data, including
data about the effectiveness of ads based on terms users type into search
engines.
Deal Journal Omniture Deal May Not Bring Change
Adobe Wants Companies such as Ford Motor Co., Ameritrade Holding Corp. and
Xerox Corp. pay monthly fees to access Omniture's services. The amount they
pay typically reflects the Web traffic occurring on their sites.
Adobe, San Jose, Calif., said it plans to build
code into its content-creation programs to help them exchange data with
Omniture services, eliminating time-consuming programming by customers and
helping more of them make money on their Web sites. "We really think that we
can actually tranform how digital content is created," said Shantanu Narayen,
Adobe's chief executive officer.
Web analytics generates about $600 million in
world-wide annual revenue now, but the industry is expected to grow to $2.2
billion by 2011, according to a June 2008 estimate by J.P. Morgan.
Companies that compete with Omniture include
Webtrends Inc. and Coremetrics. Google Inc., the search giant, also offers
some analytic services.
Scott Kessler, an analyst at Standard & Poor's who
tracks Omniture, said it has grown by buying smaller players in the market.
But Omniture's business has been squeezed by the recession and the company
has a mixed record of meeting Wall Street estimates, he said. It reported a
loss of $44.8 million last year even as its revenue nearly doubled to $295.6
million. Partly for those reasons, Mr. Kessler remains skeptical about how
quickly Adobe could benefit from the deal.
Suresh Vittal, an analyst at market researcher
Forrester Research, was more optimistic. He said many aspects of Web sites
aren't reliably measured now, and Adobe's ability to include such
capabilities with its software could give site creators valuable new
information.
Adobe said Omniture will become a new business
unit. Omniture CEO Josh James will join Adobe as senior vice president of
the new unit, reporting to Mr. Narayan.
The deal is expected to close in the fourth quarter
of Adobe's 2009 fiscal year, which ends in November.
For the quarter ended Aug. 28, Adobe reported a
profit of $136 million, down from $191.6 million a year earlier. Revenue was
$697.5 million.
Banks using Deloitte and Ernst & Young show sharper declines in the fair
value of their loans than those using other accounting firms, a Wall Street
Journal analysis shows.
Can investors count on consistency when it
comes to bank accounting? As many banks struggle with piles of bad
loans, some auditors appear stricter than others when assessing their
true value.
Banks using Deloitte and Ernst & Young show
sharper declines in the fair value of their loans than those using other
accounting firms, a Wall Street Journal analysis shows.
Of course, it is quite possible Ernst and
Deloitte simply have a less-healthy group of bank clients. But if it
instead reflects different audit policies when it comes to assessing
loans, it could have consequences on the strength of banks' regulatory
capital.
Banks carry most loans on balance sheet at
their original cost. But they must also disclose the loans' fair value,
or current market value, in footnotes. At most banks, despite the
carnage of recent years, fair value is only slightly below cost. Some
banks, however, show much steeper declines.
At Regions Financial, fair value was 19.3%
lower than cost as of Sept. 30. The difference was 13.4% at Huntington
Bancshares, 12% at KeyCorp, 9% at SunTrust Banks and 8.6% at Marshall &
Ilsley. Regions, Key and SunTrust are audit clients of Ernst; Huntington
and M&I are Deloitte clients.
Among the top-25 U.S. commercial banks, those
five Ernst and Deloitte clients accounted for five of the six biggest
gaps between fair value and cost as of Sept. 30. The average gap among
Ernst and Deloitte clients in the 25-bank group was about 6%; among
clients of PricewaterhouseCoopers and KPMG it was about 2%.
Those differences can affect how investors view
a bank's loan portfolio, and could have an effect on regulatory capital
in the future.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board is
considering changes in banks' accounting for loans and may require them
to carry loans on the balance sheet at fair value instead of cost. If
that happened, the fair-value declines could reduce shareholder equity
and regulatory capital—in some cases, to levels regulators would find
troublesome. At Regions, for example, the $16.9 billion gap between its
loans' fair value and carrying value would wipe out its $13 billion in
Tier 1 capital using a fair-value balance-sheet standard.
A move by the FASB to require banks to use fair
value as the balance-sheet standard doesn't have to hurt the banks'
regulatory capital. Bank regulators could adjust the capital measures
they use.
But big hits to the fair value of loans still
matter to investors. Who audits a bank's books may have importance
beyond whose name goes on the letter blessing the financial statements
once a year.
The Economist's Big Mac Index and the
new
iPod Nano Index from CommSec are
both cute ways of getting attention for the organizations that produce
them. But do they really measure anything economically significant?
The idea is that the indexes are supposed to expose the relative under-
or over-valuation of various currencies. In theory, the same good should
trade at broadly the same price across the globe if
exchange
rates are adjusting properly.
When goods wind up priced very differently in different locations, it
suggests something is out of whack.
But a side-by-side comparison of the Big Mac Index and the iPod Nano
Index suggests that these might not really be good metrics for measuring
currency valuations. As you can
see, the two indexes result in wildly uncorrelated results. If it were
really a matter of currency valuation, you’d expect both to show similar
valuation problems. Instead, the pattern just seems random.
Aug. 20 (Bloomberg) -- How many legs would a calf have if we called its tail
a leg?
Four, of course. Calling a tail a leg wouldn’t make it a leg, as Abraham Lincoln
famously said.
Nor does calling an expense an asset make it an asset. This brings us to the
odd accounting rules for the insurance industry, including
Lincoln National Corp.,
which uses Honest Abe as its corporatemascot.
Look at the asset side of Lincoln National’s balance sheet,
and you’ll see a $10.5 billion item called “deferred
acquisition costs,” without which the
company’s shareholder equity of $9.1 billion would disappear. The figure
also is larger than the company’s stock-market value, now at $7 billion.
These costs are just that -- costs. They include sales commissions and other
expenses related to acquiring and renewing customers’ insurance-policy
contracts. At most companies, such costs would have to be recorded as
expenses when they are incurred, hitting earnings immediately.
Because it’s an insurance company selling policies that may last a long
time, however, Lincoln isallowedto
put them on its books as an asset and write them down slowly -- over periods
as long as 30 years in some cases -- under a decades-old set of accountingruleswritten
exclusively for the industry.
Rule Overhaul
Those days may be numbered, under a unanimous decision in May by the U.S.
Financial Accounting Standards Board that has received little attention in
the press. The board is scheduled to release a proposal during the fourth
quarter to overhaul its rules for insurance contracts. If all goes according
to plan, insurers no longer would be allowed to defer policy-acquisition
costs and treat them as assets.
One question the board hasn’t addressed yet is what to do with the deferred
acquisition costs, or DAC, already on companies’ books. While there’s been
no decision on that point, it stands to reason that insurers probably would
have to write them off, reducing shareholder equity. The board already hasdecidedsuch
costs aren’t an asset and should be expensed. If that holds, it wouldn’t
make sense to let companies keep their existing DAC intact.
The impact of such a change would be huge. A few examples: As of June 30,Hartford Financial Services Group Inc.showed DAC of $11.8 billion, which represented 88
percent of its shareholder equity, or assets minus liabilities. By
comparison, the company’s stock-market value is just $7.3 billion.
MetLife, Prudential
MetLife Inc.
showed $20.3 billion of DAC, equivalent to 74 percent of its equity. Prudential Financial Inc.’s
DAC was $14.5 billion, or 78 percent of equity.
Aflac Inc. said its DAC was worth $8.1
billion as of June 30, which was more than its $6.4 billion of equity.
Genworth Financial Inc.listed its DAC at $7.6 billion, or 76 percent of
net assets. That was more than double the company’s $3.4 billion
stock-market value.
The rules on insurance companies’ sales costs are a holdover from the days
when the so-calledmatching principlewas more widely accepted among accountants and
investors.
At life insurers, for example, it’s common to pay upfront commissions
equivalent to a year’s worth of policy premiums. By stretching the
recognition of expenses over the policy’s life, the idea is that companies
should match their revenues and the expenses it took to generate them in the
same time period.
The problem with this approach is that deferred acquisition costs do not
meet the board’s standarddefinitionof
an asset. That’s because companies don’t control them once they have paid
them. The money is already out the door. There’s no guarantee that customers
will keep renewing their policies.
No Recognition
Even the industry’s normally friendly state regulators don’t recognize DAC
as an asset for the purpose of measuring capital, understatutory accounting principlesadopted by the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners.
To be sure, the FASB’s decisions to date are preliminary.
How to treat acquisition costs is one of many issues the board is tackling
as part of its broader insurance project. Others include the question of how
to measure insurers’ liabilities for obligations to policy holders.
Meanwhile, the London-based International Accounting Standards Board is
working on its own insuranceprojectand
has said it would take a more accommodating approach to policy- acquisition
costs.
Insurers would be required to expense them immediately. However, the IASB
has said it would let companies record enough premium revenue upfront to
offset the costs. That way, they wouldn’t have to recognize any losses at
the outset. So far, the U.S. board hasrejected the
IASB’s method.
Congress Wild Card
The wild card in all this is Congress. Last
spring, the insurance industry joined banks and credit unions in getting
U.S. House members topressurethe
FASB to change its rules on debt securities, including those backed by toxic
subprime mortgages, so that companies could keep large writedowns out of
their earnings. Because the FASB caved before, it’s a safe bet the industry
would go that route again.
With so much riding on the outcome, we should expect nothing less. What’s at
stake isn’t the real value of the industry’s assets, but investors’
perceptions of how much they’re worth.
Honest Abe wouldn’t be fooled.
August 20, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
· The current conflict about
rules for insurance company accounting brings to light once again the
conflict between income statement versus balance sheet priorities accounting
standard setting.
The matching concept based on historical cost accrual accounting was
always favored the income statement in place of the balance sheet, because
deferred costs were considered obsolete and often arbitrary on the balance
sheet. Paton and Littleton provide one of the best theoretical arguments in
favor of the matching concept where revenues deemed realized are matched
with expenses (or price-level adjusted expenses) used in generating those
revenues ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue
Also see mention of Paton and Littleton in
"Research on Accounting Should Learn From the Past," by Michael H.
Granof and Stephen A. Zeff, Chronicle of Higher Education, March 21,
2008
In the 1970s, the matching concept lost favor in accounting when the FASB
decided the balance sheet was to be the primary financial instrument of
concern in standard setting. This was heavily influenced at the time by when
the FASB declared war on off-balance sheet financing that companies were
using to hide financial risk. The FASB subsequently became concerned with
earnings management, but the priority of the balance sheet was never
questioned by the FASB.
Today the thrust of the FASB and the IASB into fair value accounting is
primarily in the interest of making balance sheets more informative to
investors. In the process, fair value accounting greatly confuses the income
statement by mixing realized versus unrealized earnings components in the
bottom line. This has led some powerful accounting
leaders like the current Director of the FASB (Bob Herz) to argue that
perhaps income statement components should not be aggregated by
companies or auditors into bottom line net income ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#ChangesOnTheWay This is analogous for pharmacies to declare that
certain drugs are too dangerous to sell in one pill, but they will sell 100
ingredient pills that you can pick and choose from to get a combined effect.
The current heated debate on what unrealized earnings can be diverted to
Comprehensive Income (OCI) instead of being posted to current earnings is
rooted in the unresolved problem of what types of unrealized income to keep
out of current earnings. This is the black hole of fair value accounting
apart from the even more serious problem of how to make fair value estimates
cost effective (e.g., having real estate formally appraised every year would
not be cost effective for large international hotel or restaurant chains).
The current conflict about rules for insurance company accounting brings
to light once again the conflict between income statement versus balance
sheet priorities accounting standard setting.
There are accounting theorists
(today it's Tom Selling) who argue that historical cost accounting
should be replaced by entry value (replacement cost) accounting. Note,
however, that replacement cost accounting is not fair value accounting in
the sense that it still entails the hated arbitrary cost allocation
assumptions of historical cost accounting. When a farmer buys a tractor for
$500,000 and puts it on a 15-year double declining balance (DDB)
depreciation schedule, the cost allocation is quite arbitrary but still in
the spirit of the matching concept. At the end of five years, the
replacement cost may now be $800,000, but the farmer cannot book his old
tractor at the price of a new tractor. Under replacement cost accounting he
must bring the $800,000 on the books net of five years of (arbitrary)
depreciation.
Thus replacement cost accounting is not "valuation" accounting. It’s
still cost allocation accounting based largely on capital maintenance theory
to prevent greedy managers or ignorant farmers from declaring dividends that
destroy the farm.
There are even more theorists (Chambers, Sterling, Schuetz, Edwards,
Bell, etc.) that favor exit value accounting. This is truly valuation
accounting. But exit values sometimes have little to do with value in use.
For example, the exit value of that $500,000 tractor may only be $100,000 in
the used market but still have a value in use to the farmer far in excess of
$400,000. Exit values are particularly problematic for valuable assets in
place (like custom factory robots) that are practically worthless in the
used equipment market because of the immense cost of tearing them down and
re-installing them at a new location.
Hence the main problem of exit value accounting for operating assets in
use is that it nearly always values them in their worst possible use
(unloading them in a used-asset market) when in fact their best possible use
is to continue using them as part of a profitable operation where they have
synergy and valuable covariances with other operating assets and skilled
employees.
Hence there are no silver bullets in putting numbers on balance sheet
items. All have some advantages and disadvantages in terms of potential to
mislead passive investors ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue
One of the early contributors to value theory in accounting was Theodore
Limperg from Holland.
The social responsibility of the auditor: A basic theory on the
auditor's function by Theodore Limpberg ((Hard to Find, but no
doubt Steve Zeff has a copy. Steve is an expert on accounting in The
Netherlands)
I had an inquiry about the origins of scholarship on
fair value accounting in the USA and France. My initial reply is shown
below. Since the person that asked this question is on the AECM, perhaps
some of you can provide more help than me.
Be that as it may, the above book chapter does
not really delve into the origins of fair value accounting scholarship
in the USA or France. My guess is that exit value scholarship in most
nations originated by borrowing from writings in The Netherlands,
although use of this exit value in settlements of estates probably has a
history than cannot be traced to the first-time invention of the
practice.
http://som.eldoc.ub.rug.nl/FILES/reports/1995-1999/themeE/1999/99E43/99e43.pdf
I would begin be examining some of the writings of Theodore Limpberg.
It would be far better to see if Dale Flesher
has some ideas on this ----
acdlf@olemiss.edu
Back issues (from 1974) of the Accounting
Historians Journal are now free at
http://www.olemiss.edu/depts/general_library/dac/files/ahj.html
My keyword searches for exit value, fair value, and value were somewhat
disappointing in this database. However, that does not mean that a whole
lot more cannot be uncovered with a more diligent search of AHJ
articles.
I had a bit better luck with word searches of
the MAAW database ---
http://maaw.info/
The MAAW leads to some excellent bibliographies to pursue.
Steve Zeff (Rice) and Gary Previts (Case
Western) may also be of help.
For entry value accounting, I would go back to
John Canning’s classic thesis to see if he traces the history of
replacement cost accounting.
Also see
http://maaw.info/ReplacementCostArticles.htm
Texas A&M has an interesting accounting history
site maintained by Gary Giroux ---
http://acct.tamu.edu/giroux/history.html
It would be a tremendous help if the Aggies added a search box.
I don’t think this site delves into the origins of fair value
accounting.
Sorry I can’t be of more help. I suspect what
you really would like to find is the first published account of fair
value accounting that, like double entry bookkeeping, had origins
hundreds of years prior to when somebody decided to write about it in a
scholarly manner.
In theory, mortgage loans should be natural hedges
if the entity rationally got a loan matched to the cash flows of the asset.
Marking only one to fair value would mess that up.
One alternative is to leave the loan at amortized
cost. The other is to measure the asset at fair value which could be the
present value of future cash flows.
Fully admitting to not having any time to read
Tom's blog posts....yet.
Reading AECM emails are my "break".
Pat
August 26, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
Many loans are not used for assets, such as loans to
pay off other debt and loans to pay expenses.. In Modigliani and Miller
theory we should not even try to map assets with financing ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modigliani-Miller_theorem
I assume what you really meant by "natural hedging"
is the possibility that borrowers can sometimes buy back their debt below
book (payoff) value and therefore capture a gain on debt. This is often the
case with unsecured debt. But there are problems since all investors in the
debt may not be willing to sell at market value below book value. To avoid
buy back and call back complications, some fixed-rate borrowers like Exxon
resort to defeasance to capture gains on long-term debt. However, defeasance
was somewhat deterred by
In-substance defeasance used to be a ploy to take
debt off the balance sheet. It was invented by Exxon in 1982 as a means of
capturing the millions in a gain on debt (bonds) that had gone up
significantly in value due to rising interest rates. The debt itself was
permanently "parked" with an independent trustee as if it had been cancelled
by risk free government bonds also placed with the trustee in a manner that
the risk free assets would be sufficient to pay off the parked debt at
maturity. The defeased (parked) $515 million in debt was taken off of
Exxon's balance sheet and the $132 million gain of the debt was booked into
current earnings ---
http://www.bsu.edu/majb/resource/pdf/vol04num2.pdf
Defeasance was thus looked upon as an alternative to outright extinguishment
of debt until the FASB passed FAS 125 that ended the ability of companies to
use in-substance defeasance to remove debt from the balance sheet. Prior to
FAS 125, defeasance became enormously popular as an OBSF ploy.
It is very difficult to buy back secured debt for
less than book value. The reason is than in most cases the loan collateral
value exceeds the loan's book (payoff) value plus foreclosure costs. In 2009
in some parts of the country, the collateral value markets are broken. And
we still have a problem that some real estate appraisers place fraudulent
values on collateral. But for the most part, collateral value exceed book
value.
The common way to hedge or speculate in debt since
the 1980s is with interest rate swaps. A great example of this is Example 2
in Appendix B of FAS 133, for which I have an Excel workbook
133ex02a.xls file at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/
The above 133ex02a.xls file shows how
the FASB screwed up the example slightly.
This illustrates where the ABC Company having fixed-rate debt with no cash
flow risk (and accordingly fair value risk) swaps to hedge fair value,
thereby creating cash flow risk on the hunch that interest rates will
decline.
Tom Selling also uses the term "natural hedge" is a
somewhat confusing manner in the context of a forecasted transaction (not
booked) to buy copper. In countless instances, manufacturers engage in cash
flow hedges of unbooked forecasted transactions with derivatives. FAS 133
and IAS 39 allow hedge accounting for those derivatives such that fair value
changes in the derivative that are offset economically by the hedged item
cannot be offset in current earnings because the hedged item is not booked.
Tom stated the following at one point in time:
Let me try state it in
terms of a manufacturer of a commodity product that contains a
significant amount of copper. Changes in market prices of the end
product can be expected to be highly correlated with changes in the
price of copper. Therefore, a natural hedge is already in place for the
risk that copper prices will rise in the future. If you add a forward
contract to purchase copper to the firm's investment portfolio, then you
are actually adding to economic volatility instead of subtracting from
it. (I trust you don't need a numerical example, but I could provide one
if you want it.) If you add an at-the-money option to purchase copper,
you are destroying value by paying a premium for what is essentially an
insurance contract on a long run risk that doesn't exist.
His argument is misleading. The purpose of the cash
flow hedge is simply to lock in the price of copper for a future purchase
rather than speculate in copper prices. It's tantamount to buying the copper
now without having to incur the inventory storage costs. If the cash flow
hedge is perfect the only volatility of earnings during the hedging period
would arise if hedge accounting was not allowed and changes in the fair
value of the hedging contract was carried to current earnings.
If the firm does not hedge on the forecasted
transaction, it runs the risk of having to pay a much higher spot price when
the copper is eventually purchased. Purchasing a long (call option) as a
price hedge simply eliminated that risk. The fact that the price of the
company's end product is correlated with copper prices is irrelevant. The
company is not hedging profit with the option hedging contract. It is
hedging the purchase price of copper. If ultimate (unknown) spot price of
copper exceeds the strike price, the company earns more profit than if it
had not hedged. If the spot price goes down, it loses some opportunity value
profit (which I guess is Tom's point).
However, the whole purpose of the economic price
hedging take the price risk out of buying future inventory. Of course
there's a chance of losing opportunity value in copper price speculation
(the loss in the case of a purchased call option is limited to the price
paid for the option). But some manufacturers do not want speculate on price
of forecasted transactions. They prefer to sleep nights and make their
profits without speculating on price.
Under current rules in FAS 133 and IAS 39, the value
changes in the hedging contract that are not offset by booked value changes
in the hedged item receive hedge accounting status and are posted to AOCI.
This is illustrated in Examples 1 and 4 of Appendix B of FAS 133. My Excel
workbook file is the 133ex01a.xls file
at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/
I also have a real-world copper price swap
illustration in the 133spans.xls workbook at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/
I wrote the above case because of a challenge years ago made by Rashad
Abdel-Khalik.
Bob Jensen
From The
Wall Street Journal Accounting Review on October 8, 2009
SUMMARY: "Rock-bottom
interest rates and thawed credit markets are emboldening some companies to
use bond-sale proceeds...to pay out special dividends, buy back stock, or
finance acquisitions.... [In contrast,] most corporate-bond offerings during
the recession have been used to reduce debt or stockpile cash."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article can be used in covering bond issuances, ratio analysis particularly
of debt-to-equity and interest versus earnings, dividend payments, and
corporate acquisitions.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What was the effective interest rate for
corporations with high credit ratings who issued bonds in September 2009?
How does that rate compare to one year ago?
2. (Introductory) What reasons for that change are given in the
article? Do they have anything to do with changing creditworthiness of the
borrowers?
3. (Introductory) Compare the actions of Intel Corporation and
TransDigm Group, Inc., with their debt issuance. How are they similar? How
are they different?
4. (Advanced) What is the impact on a corporate balance sheet of
issuing debt? Describe the impact ignoring use of the proceeds, in essence
assuming the company will "stockpile" the cash.
5. (Introductory) Define the financial statement ratios of
debt-to-equity and times interest earned.
6. (Advanced) Describe the change in impact of debt issuance on a
balance sheet equation and the two financial ratios if the proceeds are used
to pay dividends to shareholders.
7. (Advanced) Can a company issue bonds in order to "reduce debt" as
the author says was done in during the recession and credit crisis? Explain,
proposing a better term for such a transaction.
8. (Introductory) The author uses two benchmarks to make clear the
impact of TransDigm Group's debt issuance and dividend payment. What are
these benchmarks? How does using them increase clarity about the size of the
$425 million bond offering and the $7.50 to $7.70 per share special
dividend?
9. (Advanced) The author also includes use of bond proceed to finance
acquisitions as a risky action. How have debt analysts reacted to Kraft's
offer to buy Cadbury?
10. (Advanced) Describe the impact of a business combination financed
by debt on the total combined balance sheets of the firms entering into the
business combination. How does this impact compare to using bond proceeds to
pay dividends to shareholders? How does it differ?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Rock-bottom interest rates and thawed credit markets are emboldening some
companies to use bond-sale proceeds to go on the offensive, even if that
means rewarding shareholders at the expense of bondholders.
The nascent trend is controversial because corporate borrowers are sinking
themselves deeper into debt to pay out special dividends, buy back stock or
finance acquisitions. While such moves were all the rage during the credit
boom, most corporate-bond offerings during the recession have been used to
reduce debt or stockpile cash.
Eric Felder, global head of credit trading at Barclays Capital, says the
lure of low rates and companies' stables of cash increases "the risk of
non-bondholder friendly events."
Last week's sale of $425 million of bonds by aircraft-parts manufacturer
TransDigm Group Inc. is one of the back-to-the-past corporate-bond deals
causing concern among some analysts. More than $360 million of the proceeds
will be used to pay a special cash dividend to shareholders and management
of the Cleveland company.
The added debt increased TransDigm's borrowings to 4.3 times its earnings
before interest and taxes, compared with 3.1 times before last week's deal.
The expected dividend of $7.50 to $7.70 a share is equal to nearly all of
the net income that TransDigm reported since the end of fiscal 2003,
according to Moody's Investors Service.
Moody's said the dividend "illustrates the company's aggressive financial
policy." Moody's gave the new debt a junk rating of B3, even though the
ratings firm said TransDigm's "strong operating performance will enable the
company to service the increased debt level."
Sean Maroney, director of investor relations at TransDigm, says the
"stability of our business, high profit margins and consistent cash flow"
give the company "the ability to support this level of leverage."
Borrowing from bondholders to pay shareholder dividends is "a hallmark of an
earlier credit era," Jeffrey Rosenberg, head of credit strategy at Bank of
America Merrill Lynch, wrote in a report Friday. Such deals were popular in
2003 and 2004, the last time the Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark
interest rate to historically low levels, keeping it at 1% for more than a
year.
Companies like Dex Media Inc. took on debt to pay dividends to its
private-equity owners, including Carlyle Group and Welsh, Carson, Anderson &
Stowe, before taking the companies public. Dex Media filed for bankruptcy
earlier this year under a mountain of debt.
With the federal-funds rate at 0% for nine months now and confidence
returning to the stock and debt markets, investors have been driven to take
on more risk. That is flooding the corporate-bond market with cash.
Investors poured $43 billion into investment-grade corporate-bond funds in
the second quarter and nearly $40 billion in the third quarter -- almost
double previous peak quarters, according to Lipper AMG Data Services.
The wave of buying drove down borrowing costs for the average highly rated
corporation to about 5%, according to Merrill, a level not seen since 2005.
In the heat of the crisis last October, such rates averaged 9%. Through the
end of September, more than 1,000 high-rated companies borrowed a record
$860 billion, according to Dealogic.
In July, Intel Corp. sold $1.75 billion of convertible bonds, planning to
use $1.5 billion of the proceeds to buy back shares. A spokesman for Intel
declined to comment.
The computer-chip giant has a strong credit rating of single-A, so it
doesn't carry a burdensome debt load. Still, the deal raised eyebrows among
some analysts and investors, who say floating debt to buy back stock could
become more common as companies regain confidence.
And as merger-and-acquisition activity revs up, the cheaper cost of debt
compared with equity is tempting companies to use bond sales as a
deal-making war chest.
Analysts are watching Kraft Foods Inc. in anticipation that the company
would finance its proposed purchase of U.K. chocolate, candy and chewing gum
maker Cadbury PLC by raising tons of debt. Last month's unsolicited bid by
Kraft was then valued at about $16.7 billion, but it could be weeks before
Kraft submits a formal offer.
Three major credit-ratings agencies have warned Kraft that they could slash
the company's debt ratings if the company reaches a deal agreement with
Cadbury. At the current offering price, Kraft would need to shell out at
least $6 billion in cash, much of it likely from the debt markets, according
to corporate-bond research firm Gimme Credit.
"Kraft is committed to maintaining an investment-grade rating," a Kraft
spokesman said, declining to comment further.
So far in 2009, returns to high-grade bond investors are 19%, according to
Merrill. "We've seen a feeding frenzy" because of low interest rates, says
Kathleen Gaffney, portfolio manager at Loomis, Sayles & Co. She sold some
bonds recently to take profits from the rally. Loomis Sayles wants to have
cash on the sidelines in case the Fed raises rates soon or Treasury bonds
sell off.
Jensen
Comment
If you buy into the Modigliani and Miller Theorem of capital structure, how
the corporation is financed, including dividend payouts, is as follows:
The Modigliani-Miller theorem
(of
Franco Modigliani,
Merton Miller)
forms the basis for modern thinking on
capital structure. The basic theorem states that, under a certain market
price process (the classicalrandom walk),
in the absence oftaxes,
bankruptcy
costs, and asymmetric information,
and in anefficient market,
the value of a firm is unaffected by how that firm is financed. It does not
matter if the firm's capital is raised by issuing
stock or selling debt.
It does not matter what the firm'sdividend
policy is.
Therefore, the Modigliani-Miller theorem is also often called the capital
structure irrelevance principle.
Miller was awarded the 1990 Nobel Prize in Economics, along with
Harry Markowitz and
William Sharpe, for their "work in the
theory of financial economics," with Miller specifically cited for
"fundamental contributions to the theory of corporate finance."
I
usually agree with most every word that Floyd Norris, business correspondent
at-large for the New York Times and the International Herald
Tribune.
If I understand him correctly, he says that the crash is accounting's fault
because the accounting world didn't have better rules.
In a short concluding paragraph, Norris states some downside if the SEC does
not adopt IFRS. This is pretty significant, as Floyd Norris is widely read
and carries influence in Washington. IFRS proponents have a significant
ally if Floyd Norris is on board.
First Kroeker, then Norris? IFRS in the U.S. might be getting pretty close.
That is one of the clear lessons of the financial crisis that drove the
world into a deep
recession. We now know the major banks were
hiding dubious assets off their balance sheets and stretching rules if
not breaking them. We know that their capital was woefully inadequate
for the risks they were taking.
Efforts are now being made to improve the rules, with some success. But
banks have persuaded politicians on both sides of the Atlantic that the
real problem came not when their financial inadequacies were obscured by
bad accounting, but when they were revealed as the losses mounted.
“There were important aspects of our entire financial system that were
operating like a Wild West show, huge unregulated opaque markets,” said
the man whose job was to write the accounting rules, Robert H. Herz, the
chairman of the
Financial Accounting Standards Board.
“The crisis highlighted how important better transparency around that
system is,” Mr. Herz added in an interview this week. “I would hope that
would be a major lesson learned or relearned.”
Unfortunately, some seem to have learned exactly the opposite lesson.
Accounting rule makers at FASB and its international equivalent, the
International Accounting Standards Board, have been lambasted for
efforts to improve transparency by forcing banks to disclose what their
dodgy assets are actually worth, as opposed to what the banks think they
should be worth.
Both boards have tried to resist, but have been forced by political
pressure to back down on some specifics. In the case of FASB, the
retreat took a few weeks after Mr. Herz was ordered to act at an
extraordinary Congressional hearing. The international board was given a
long weekend to retreat, with the
European Commission threatening to impose its
own rules if the board did not cave in. Both boards tried to reduce the
damage by forcing more disclosures, but it is unclear how much good that
will do. Neither was willing to defy the politicians.
It is unfortunate that there are significant differences between the
American and international rules on how to determine fair values of
financial assets. That has enabled banks on both sides of the Atlantic
to demand that they get the best of both worlds. Pleas for a level
playing field have resonated in Washington and Brussels.
The banks have argued that market values can be misleading, and that
their own estimates of the eventual cash flow from assets are more
realistic than what they or others will now pay for those assets.
The rules already allowed them to ignore so called “distress sales” in
assessing fair value, but the banks pushed to broaden that exemption in
the United States, while in Europe they got the regulators to allow them
to retroactively stop calculating market value for assets they said they
did not intend to sell.
Behind the scenes, there is a battle pitting securities regulators who
instinctively favor disclosure against banking regulators, who fear
there are times when disclosure could make a bad situation worse.
The securities regulators argue that accounting should do its best to
report the actual financial condition of a company. If the banking
regulators want to allow banks to use different rules in calculating
capital rules that would not require marking down assets, for example
then they can do so without depriving investors of important
information.
But that information could scare those investors, and set off the kind
of panic that brought down
Lehman Brothers a year ago.
It is the job of banking regulators to keep their institutions healthy,
and that effort can only be helped by accounting that reveals problems
early. But if the banks do get into trouble, some regulators would
prefer to maintain the appearance of prosperity while efforts are made
to fix the problems quietly.
It can be argued that approach worked nearly 20 years ago, when some
banks were allowed to pretend they were solvent after the Latin American
debt crisis, and were able to earn their way out of the problem over the
ensuing decade.
Had a different course been chosen in the early 1990s, Citibank might
have vanished. Given what has happened to Citi in this crisis, it is not
clear if that would have been a good or bad outcome.
The accounting rules on financial assets were, and are, a confusing
mess, with the same loan getting very different accounting based on
whether or not it had been packaged as part of a security. In some
cases, banks could not take loan losses as early as they should have,
even if they wished to do so. As financial complexity increased, rule
makers struggled to keep up, and were not always successful.
// huge snip//
The fights over bank accounting are taking place against the backdrop of
the S.E.C. trying to decide whether and when to move the United States
to international accounting standards, and as the two boards seek to
converge on one set of accounting rules.
Mr. Ciesielski fears convergence could lead to acceptance of the weakest
standards for banks. But without convergence, the S.E.C. will have no
standing to oversee application of international standards, or to act as
a counterweight if European politicians try to order even weaker
standards to protect their banks.
Floyd Norris comments on finance and economics in his blog at
nytimes.com/norris
September 11, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi David,
It seems to me that we have two issues here that are
being confounded in a confusing manner.
Issue 1
When should auditors insist on FAS 157 Level 1 (fair value adjustments of
poisonous loan portfolios) or allow Level 3 (essentially historical cost in
the name of a discounted cash flow model) on the grounds that the Level 1
and Level 2 requisite markets are broken. In FSP 157-4 the FASB essentially
opened to floodgates to Level 3 by simply stating to auditing firms that:
“Hey, Level 3 is O.K. with us as long as you think the markets are broken.”
The issue thus reduces to auditor judgment regarding if and when markets are
seriously broken.
Issue 2
If banks adopt Level 3 and essentially revert to historical cost balance
sheet reporting of loan portfolios that most likely are laced with poison,
the real issue reduces to the age-old problem we’ve had with banks
throughout the history of historical cost accounting. The fact of the matter
is that when loan portfolios have likely increases in future collection
losses, banks fight tooth and nail to under-report estimated bad debt loss
reserves. Norris appropriately reminds us of the notorious underestimation
of the really sick Latin American receivables held by big U.S. banks in the
1980s and how these banks arm twisted their auditors to underestimate bad
debt losses on those international loan portfolios.
It seems to me that the net result could be the same in
either way as shown below where the estimated loan loss is $400,000 on a $1
million portfolio (historical cost book value).
FAS 157 Level 1
Unrealized fair value loss on loan portfolio 400,000
Loan
portfolio 400,000
FAS 157 Level 3
Estimated bad debt expense on loan portfolio 400,000
Allowance for doubtful accounts on loan
portfolio 400,000
If the Allowance for doubtful accounts is a contra
account, the net balance in the balance sheet should be roughly the same if
the degradation in the loan value is only due to estimated bad debts.
Changes in interest rates can complicate this illustration.
But the banks don’t want either entry to be made when
there is serious poison in the loan portfolio.
What the banks really want is a green light to hide
suspected poison in loan portfolios, and they’re willing to take it to the
EU in Europe and Washington DC in the U.S. We’ve already seen how thousands
of banks forced the EU to carve out portions of IAS 39 compliance because
they did not want to adjust all derivatives to fair value.
Thus we have a power struggle over the authority and
independence of the IASB and the FASB to set accounting standards in the
face of industries that are willing to take their lobbying efforts to higher
authorities. Fortunately, EU legislation and acts of the U.S. Congress are
difficult to engineer. A huge effort to override FAS 123R was mounted by
technology firms, but even enormous companies like Intel and Cisco found
that legislating accounting standard overrides is no piece of cake. In the
case of FAS 123R, the override effort failed and Intel and Cisco had to
learn to live with expensing of employee stock options when the options
vest.
By the way, Janet Tavakoli in the book Dear Mr.
Buffet has a very interesting chapter (The Prairie Princes versus
Princes of Darkness) devoted to the evolution of FAS 123R and options
backdating scandals. What I did not know is that Milton Friedman, Harry
Markowitz, George Shultz, Paul O’Neil, Art Laffer, and Holman Jenkins were
Princes of Darkness whereas there was a FAS 123R Prince of the Prairie named
Warren Buffett.
The political problem is different with banks, as
opposed to most other corporations, since banks, like lawyers, seem to have
exceptional insider-fighting powers when it comes to legislatures and
members of parliament.
Bob Jensen
Question
Why the bruha now since FSP 157-4 cleared up doubts that FAS 157 Level 3 leaves
everything up to how banks want to define broken markets?
Answer
Even if banks carry toxic assets at historical costs well above current market
values under FSP 157-4 leniency, both FASB domestic and IASB international
standards require realistic estimates of loan loss bad debt reserves. However,
CPA auditors have traditionally allowed banks to underestimate bad debt losses,
which of course why shareholders of many failed banks are now suing large
auditing firms with the Washington Mutual (WaMu) lawsuit against Deloitte being
Exhibit A ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
The current wave of audit firm lawsuits is tending to make
auditing firms more conservative about loan loss bad debt reserves. What banks
really want is to carry toxic assets at or near cost well above current values
and to continue to greatly underestimate loan loss bad debt reserves. They want
their cake and sweeteners too.
Three Former Directors of the SEC Weigh In Banker Requests to Get Out from
Under Accounting Standards
"Don't Let Banks Hide Bad Assets: In times of distress, there's always
pressure to change accounting standards," by Roderick M. Hills, Harvey L. Pitt,
and David S. Ruder," The Wall Street Journal, November 19, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704782304574542134264068424.html
Independent accounting standards have helped
make American capital markets the best in the world. In making financial
decisions, investors rely heavily upon the integrity of corporate
financial reports prepared in accordance with accounting standards
established by the independent Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB). That board is supervised by the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC).
Now, the Obama administration is on the verge
of transferring accounting standards responsibility from the SEC to a
systemic risk regulator. Such a radical move would have extremely
negative consequences for our capital markets.
Although there may be good reasons for
establishing different regulatory capital standards for financial
services firms, those reasons cannot justify dispensing with the FASB's
accounting standards. Acting in accord with powers given to it by the
Sarbanes-Oxley Act, the SEC has formally recognized the FASB as the
definitive standard-setting body, capable of "improving the accuracy and
effectiveness of financial reporting and the protection of investors."
The SEC treats accounting standards adopted by
the board as authoritative. If the SEC has concerns about, or disagrees
with, accounting standards promulgated by the FASB, it can refuse to
give them deference.
Today, the American Bankers Association, on
behalf of many commercial banks, is seeking to prevent disclosure of the
fair value of the financial instruments they own. It is attempting to
persuade Congress that the safety and soundness of the banking system
will be protected if a systemic risk regulator can prescribe accounting
disclosures for financial companies.
The government shouldn't follow their advice.
This change might well interfere with efforts by financial firms to
raise capital. Investors will assume that the accounting standards they
employ are designed to mask risks.
As former chairmen of the Securities and
Exchange Commission, we are well aware of the long-held desire of
commercial interests to avoid fully disclosing their finances. In the
1990s, business interests opposed publicly disclosing their
post-employment pension and health obligations. Similarly, in 2000,
efforts were made to prevent the FASB from eliminating distortions that
inflated the balance sheet values of newly merged companies, because its
elimination might make balance sheets look less favorable to potential
investors.
In 1994, the FASB considered requiring
companies to reflect the current value of their outstanding stock
options. After intense lobbying from certain business interests and
pressure from Congress, the FASB decided not to require use of the fair
value method. In 2004, when the FASB finally mandated it for valuing
stock options, certain U.S. business opponents continued to lobby
Congress to overturn that decision.
During times of financial distress, there is
always pressure to change accounting standards in order to inflate the
value of assets. Under certain circumstances, there may be a legitimate
need to recognize that stresses on large financial institutions may
threaten the stability of the U.S. financial system. Banking regulators
can ease such stresses by reducing regulatory capital requirements. But
it would be a mistake to adopt legislation that would allow
financial-services firms to hide their true financial positions from
investors.
If changes in accounting standards are used to
bury significant risks for one purpose, it will not be long before other
purposes are asserted to permit further deviations. This is a dangerous
path that will only hurt investors and our capital markets.
Messrs. Hills, Pitt and Ruder are former chairmen of the
Securities and Exchange Commission.
Fiction Writer Rosie Scenario Heads Up the Accounting Division of Wells
Fargo
(with the FASB's FSP 157-4 blessing) Before
reading this note that Wells Fargo took over the toxic-asset laden Wachovia
on December 31, 2008. It was a government-forced sale of Wachovia to
prevent the total implosion of the poisoned Wachovia ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wachovia
However, Wells Fargo stood to profit from the poison in the sweet deal
offered by Paulson.
The Motley Fool
is a very popular commercial Website about stocks, investing, and personal
finance --- http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motley_Fool
Did you ever wonder about the “Fool” part of the company’s name?
The Gardner brothers considered themselves “fools” that were smarter than
some foxes. Although at many times the Gardners have shown that fools can
fool wannabe foxes, the Gardners brothers have at times also been out foxed.
My point here, Pat, is that people who buy Wells Fargo Bank shares just
because the price went up following an accounting change (accounting change
from Level 1 to Level 3 covered up the smell of Wells Fargo’s enormous toxic
loan portfolio) may not be ignorant that accounting changes don’t
really offset pending toxic deaths in the long run.
Some “fools” buying Wells Fargo Bank shares just think there are many fools
more foolish than themselves.
Either way you look at it, investing is a bit of a fools game with fools
trying to out fool one another. The premise is, however, that sophisticated
fools ultimately win. That's most certainly the case with casinos.
AIG Worships at the Alter of new FSP 157-4 rulings
Selling Hot Air to Investors While Still Begging for Hard TARP Cash
When should auditors insist on FAS 157 Level 1 (fair value adjustments of
poisonous loan portfolios) or allow Level 3 (essentially historical cost in
the name of a discounted cash flow model) on the grounds that the Level 1
and Level 2 requisite markets are broken? In FSP 157-4 the FASB essentially
opened to floodgates to Level 3 by simply stating to auditing firms that:
“Hey, Level 3 is O.K. with us as long as you think the markets are broken.”
The issue thus reduces to auditor judgment regarding if and when markets are
seriously broken.
American International GroupInc. posted its
second consecutive profit in the third quarter, driven largely by asset
write-ups, while its core insurance operations continued to struggle
with a weak economy and lingering negative perceptions in the
marketplace.
Despite beating analyst estimates, AIG shares
were down Friday. The stock, which has risen nearly sixfold from an
all-time low in March, was up 25% for 2009 through Thursday.
In a news release, AIG Chief Executive Robert
H. Benmosche said that AIG's results "reflect continued stabilization in
performance and market trends," but said the company expects "continued
volatility in reported results in the coming quarters, due in part to
charges related to ongoing restructuring activities."
One coming expense will be an approximately $5
billion charge in the fourth quarter as it closes on the
special-purpose vehicles
(read
that SPEs) connected to its foreign life- insurance businesses
AIA and ALICO, to pay off $25 billion of its New York Fed credit line.
The outstanding balance of AIG's government
bailout, including government support of all types, was $120.6 billion
at the beginning of September, out of total authorized assistance of
$182 billion.
Financial markets have improved significantly
in the year since AIG's bailout and changes in how financial firms can
value assets (read
that FSP 157-4) have helped AIG recover
from the write-downs and charges that brought it near collapse. But
analysts say the company, while healthier, remains weak.
AIG posted a profit of $455 million, or 68
cents a share, compared with a year-earlier loss of $24.47 billion, or
$181.02 a share. The latest results included $1.8 billion in capital
losses, while the previous year's results included billions in
write-downs from credit-default swaps and $15.06 billion in capital
losses.
Excluding capital losses and hedging activities
that don't qualify for hedge-accounting treatment, the profit was $2.85
in the latest quarter. A survey of analysts by Thomson Reuters predicted
$1.98.
Operating income at AIG's general-insurance
business before capital gains rose more than sixfold, as net premiums
written fell 13%. The portion of premiums paid out on claims and
expenses climbed to 105.2% from 104.5%.
Profit at the life-insurance division more than
doubled as assets under management rose in an improving market.
Premiums, deposits and other considerations dropped 38.6% from last
year, to $13.7 billion on lingering negative perceptions of AIG events
and lower industry sales generally.
AIG, which has become more patient in selling
off units as it attempts to repay federal aid, last month sold
investment company Primus Financial Holdings Ltd. for $2.15 billion, its
biggest sale globally so far. The company will book a $1.4 billion
fourth-quarter loss on the sale.
Even though the neutrality-believing FASB is in a state
of denial about the impact of FSP 115-4 on decision making in the real world,
financial analysts and the Director of Corporate Governance at the Harvard Law
School are in no such state of denial,
"The Fall of the Toxic-Assets Plan," The Wall Street Journal, July
9, 2009 ---
http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2009/07/09/guest-contribution-the-fall-of-the-toxic-assets-plan/
The government
announced plans to move forward with its
Public-Private Investment Program yesterday.
Lucian Bebchuk, professor of law, economics, and finance and
director of the corporate governance program at Harvard Law
School, says that the program, which has been curtailed
significantly, hasn’t made the problem go away.
The plan for buying troubled assets — which was
earlier announced as the central element of the administration’s
financial stability plan — has been recently curtailed drastically. The
Treasury and the FDIC have attributed this development to banks’ new
ability to raise capital through stock sales without having to sell
toxic assets. But the program’s
inability to take off is in large part due to decisions by banking
regulators and accounting officials to allow banks to pretend that toxic
assets haven’t declined in value as long as they avoid selling them.
The toxic assets clogging banks’ balance sheets
have long been viewed — by both the Bush and the Obama administrations —
as being at the heart of the financial crisis. Secretary Geithner put
forward in March a “public-private investment program” (PPIP) to provide
up to $1 trillion to investment funds run by private managers and
dedicated to purchasing troubled assets. The plan aimed at “cleansing”
banks’ books of toxic assets and producing prices that would enable
valuing toxic assets still remaining on these books.
The program naturally attracted much attention,
and the Treasury and the FDIC have begun implementing it. Recently,
however, one half of the program, focused on buying toxic loans from
banks, was shelved. The other half, focused on buying toxic securities
from both banks and other financial institutions, is expected to begin
operating shortly but on a much more modest scale than initially
planned.
What happened? Banks’ balance sheets do remain
clogged with toxic assets, which are still difficult to value. But the
willingness of banks to sell toxic assets to investment funds has been
killed by decisions of accounting authorities and banking regulators.
Earlier in the crisis, banks’ reluctance to
sell toxic assets could have been attributed to inability to get prices
reflecting fair value due to the drying up of liquidity. If the PIPP
program began operating on a large scale, however, that would no longer
been the case.
Armed with ample government funding, the
private managers running funds set under the program would be expected
to offer fair value for banks’ assets. Indeed, because the government’s
funding would come in the form of non-recourse financing, many have
expressed worries that such fund managers would have incentives to pay
even more than fair value for banks’ assets. The problem, however, is
that banks now have strong incentives to avoid selling toxic assets at
any price below face value even when the price fully reflects fair
value.
A month after the PPIP program was announced,
under pressure from banks and Congress, the U.S. Financial Accounting
Standards Board watered down accounting rules and made it easier for
banks not to mark down the value of toxic assets. For many toxic assets
whose fundamental value fell below face value, banks may avoid
recognizing the loss as long as they don’t sell the assets.
Even if banks can avoid recognizing economic
losses on many toxic assets, it remained possible that bank regulators
will take such losses into account (as they should) in assessing whether
banks are adequately capitalized. In another blow to banks’ potential
willingness to sell toxic assets, however, bank supervisors conducting
stress tests decided to avoid assessing banks’ economic losses on toxic
assets that mature after 2010.
The stress tests focused on whether, by the end
of 2010, the accounting losses that a bank will have to recognize will
leave it with sufficient capital on its financial statements. The bank
supervisors explicitly didn’t take into account the decline in the
economic value of toxic loans and securities that mature after 2010 and
that the banks won’t have to recognize in financial statements until
then.
Together, the policies adopted by accounting
and banking authorities strongly discourage banks from selling any toxic
assets maturing after 2010 at prices that fairly reflect their lowered
value. As long as banks don’t sell, the policies enable them to pretend,
and operate as if, their toxic assets maturing after 2010 haven’t fallen
in value at all.
By contrast, selling would require recognizing
losses and might result in the regulators’ requiring the bank to raise
additional capital; such raising of additional capital would provide
depositors (and the government as their guarantor) with an extra cushion
but would dilute the value of shareholders’ and executives’ equity.
Thus, as long as the above policies are in place, we can expect banks
having any choice in the matter to hold on to toxic assets that mature
after 2010 and avoid selling them at any price, however fair, that falls
below face value.
While the market for banks’ toxic assets will
remain largely shut down, we are going to get a sense of their value
when the FDIC auctions off later this summer the toxic assets held by
failed banks taken over by the FDIC. If these auctions produce
substantial discounts to face value, they should ring the alarm bells.
In such a case, authorities should reconsider the policies that allow
banks to pretend that toxic assets haven’t fallen in value. In the
meantime, it must be recognized that the curtailing of the PIPP program
doesn’t imply that the toxic assets problem has largely gone away; it
has been merely swept under the carpet.
Professor Schiller at Yale asserts housing prices are still overvalued
and need to come down to reality The median value of a U.S. home in 2000 was
$119,600. It peaked at $221,900 in 2006. Historically, home prices have
risen annually in line with CPI. If they had followed the long-term trend,
they would have increased by 17% to $140,000. Instead, they skyrocketed by
86% due to Alan Greenspan’s irrational lowering of interest rates to 1%, the
criminal pushing of loans by lowlife mortgage brokers, the greed and hubris
of investment bankers and the foolishness and stupidity of home buyers. It
is now 2009 and the median value should be $150,000 based on historical
precedent. The median value at the end of 2008 was $180,100. Therefore, home
prices are still 20% overvalued. Long-term averages are created by periods
of overvaluation followed by periods of undervaluation. Prices need to fall
20% and could fall 30%.....
Watch the video on Yahoo Finance ---
Click Here
See the chart at
http://www.businessinsider.com/the-housing-chart-thats-worth-1000-words-2009-2
Also see Jim Mahar's blog at
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/2009/02/shiller-house-prices-still-way-too-high.html
Jensen Comment
In the worldwide move toward fair value accounting that replaces cost
allocation accounting, the above analysis by Professor Schiller is sobering.
It suggests how much policy and widespread fraud can generate misleading
"fair values" in deep markets with many buyers and sellers, although the
housing market is a bit more like the used car market than the stock market.
Each house and each used car are unique, non-fungible items that are many
times more difficult to update with fair value accounting relative to
fungible market securities and new car markets.
Some Thoughts on Fair Value Accounting
Our recent AECM regarding why accounting standard setters require
mark-to-market (fair value) adjustments of marketable securities (except for
HTM securities) and do not generally allow mark-to-market adjustments to
inventories (except for precious metals and LCM downward adjustments for
permanent impairments).
Fungible ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fungible
I think this "inconsistency" in the accounting standards hinges on the
concept of fungible. Marketable securities are generally fungible. A General
Motors share of stock NYC is identical to other GM shares in Bavaria versus
Hong Kong versus Sugar Hill, New Hampshire. One advantage of fair value
accounting for marketable securities is that these securities are fungible
until they become unique such as when companies go bankrupt.
The classic example for fungible inventories that I always used in class
is the difference between new cars in a dealer's lot and used cars in that
same lot is that new cars are fungible (there are thousands or tens of
thousands in the world exactly like that new car) and used cars are not
fungible. There is no other car in the world exactly like any of the used
cars in a dealer's parking lot. We have Blue Book pricing of used cars of
every make and model, but these are only suggested prices before serious
negotiations between buyers and a seller of used models with varying
mileage, accident histories, flooding histories such as being trapped while
being parked in flood waters, new parts installed such as a new engine or
new transmission, etc.
My point here is that it's almost impossible to accurately value a used
car until a buyer and seller have negotiated a purchase price. And the
variation from Blue Book suggested prices can be quite material in amount.
Thus we can value General Motors common shares before we have a buyer, but
we can't value any used car before we have a buyer.
I used to naively claim that this was not the case of new cars because
they were fungible like General Motors common shares. But on second thought
I was wrong. New cars are not fungible items. Consider the case of a
particular BMW selling for $48,963 in Munich. The same car will sell for
varying prices in NYC versus Hong Kong versus Sugar Hill, NH. This variation
is due largely to delivery cost differentials.
Now consider the Car A and Car B BMW models that are exactly alike
(including color) in a Chicago dealership lot. After three months, a buyer
and the dealer agree on a $67.585 price for Car A. Car B sits in the lot for
over 11 months before a buyer and the dealer agree on a price of $58,276.
This discount is prompted mostly by the fact that the new models are out
making Car B seem like its a year old even though it odometer has less than
two miles.
My point here is that until a dealer finds a buyer for either a new car
or a used car, we really don't know what the inventory fair value is for
those non-fungible items. Similarly the same grade and quality of corn in
Minneapolis has a different price than identical corn in Chicago. Corn and
other commodities like oil are not really fungible for inventory valuation
purposes.
There are numerous examples of where inventory product values really
can't be known until a sales transaction takes place. We can fairly
accurately estimate the replacement costs of some of the new items for sale
although FAS 33 found that the cost of generally doing so accurately for
inventory valuation purposes probably exceeds the value of such replacement
cost adjustments at each financial reporting date.
There's great moral hazards in allowing owners of non-fungible
inventories to estimate fair values before sales transactions actually take
place. Creative accounting would be increasingly serious if accounting
standards allowed fair value accounting for non-fungible items that vary in
value depending upon the buyer and the time and place of sales negotiations.
Thus we can explain to our students that the reason we report marketable
securities at fair value and inventories at transaction or production
historical costs is that marketable securities are fungibles and most
inventories are not fungible. The main reason is that estimating the value
of truly fungible marketable securities is feasible before we have a sales
transaction whereas the value of so many non-fungible (unique) items is not
known until we have a sales transaction at a unique time and place.
Should known fiction be added to financial
statements?
There’s a huge controversy as to how much fiction we should allow in
financial statements under fair value accounting. In my viewpoint, we should
not allow fiction that we’re 99.999999% certain it's fiction. Keep in mind
that all the fair value ups and downs of earnings totally wash out over the
lifetime of an HTM security. Interim value changes are pure fiction,
especially under IFRS where the penalties are too severe to turn fiction
into cash.
Some argue that HTM fair value adjustments reflect
opportunity gains and losses when evaluating management. But these
opportunity gains and losses may be so inaccurate that they remain in the
realm of total fiction.
Tom selling wrote: I can an think of two responses to
the argument. The obvious one is that much has changed since 1993, when the
FASB voted 5-2 to adopt FAS 115, and acceded to the held-to-maturity camp,
to allow issuers to blissfully disregard readily available market values.
Tom and I
will forever disagree on that earnings should be allowed to fluctuate for
the fiction of price movements in held-to-maturity (HTM) securities and the
asymmetry of fair value movements of hedging contracts that hedge unbooked
items (such as forecasted transactions). My differences with Tom on these
two issues vary with respect to HTM securities versus unbooked hedged items.
Suppose a
firm borrows $100 million by selling 10-year bonds at 5% with the holding
that debt to maturity. Letting earnings fluctuate for 40 quarters for
fictional gains and losses of value changes on those bonds is more
misleading than helpful investors in my viewpoint. It may be especially
fiction if there are cost-profit-volume considerations. Just because a few
investors in those bonds are willing to sell at current market (thereby
making a market) does not mean that all investors are willing to sell at
current market rates. There are issues of blockage costs of trying to by all
the bonds back versus buying only $1 million of those bonds back. The fair
value of all $100 million bonds is very, very difficult to estimate. Level 1
of FAS 157 can be very misleading in this instance.
But even
if we can accurately measure the value of the $100 million in debt, I still
do not think it adds value to actually book repeated gains and losses that
automatically wash out over the 10 year life of the bonds. This is
especially the case in IFRS where severe penalties are incurred for firms
that the IASB imposes on companies that renege on their held-to-maturity
pledges.
Debtors
could book debt at current call back values, but these call back values
often have penalty clauses that make them poor surrogates of current value,
especially when penalties are severe.
I might
ask Tom how he would adjust fair market value of HTM securities for the
penalty clauses of the IASB for reneging on HTM pledges.
There are
also hedge accounting considerations.
Paragraph 79 of IAS 39 does not allow interest rate
risk hedge accounting for HTM securities. Paragraph 21(d) of FAS 133
similarly precludes hedge accounting treatment for interest rate risk and FX
risk, although credit default hedges are permitted. AFS securities can get
hedge accounting relief.
Tom could argue that elimination of HTM designations
and valuation of all financial securities at fair value eliminates some of
the complexity of having hedge accounting available for AFS securities and
unavailable for HTM securities. However, in my viewpoint having hedge
accounting for securities that the company pledges will truly be held to
maturity causes more problems by having both hedge accounting and fair value
adjustments on these securities set in stone for the duration of their life.
There’s a huge controversy as to how much fiction we
should allow in financial statements under fair value accounting. In my
viewpoint, we should not allow fiction that we’re 99.999999% certain is
fiction. Keep in mind that all the fair value ups and downs of earnings
totally wash out over the lifetime of an HTM security. Interim value changes
are pure fiction, especially under IFRS where the penalties are too severe
to turn fiction into cash.
Is convergence of FASB and IFRS possible bankers ask?
American Banking Association Critical of FASB and IASB Pace and Divergence
between the Two The American Bankers Association has released a
white paper expressing concern about The Current Pace
and Direction of Accounting Standard Setting (PDF 266k).
The paper notes that while the IASB and the FASB are
working on many similar projects, including financial instruments, they are
moving toward 'different solutions and at different speeds, which may make
international convergence impossible'. IAS
Plus, August 14, 2009 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
Jensen Comment
The big issue with bankers is fair value accounting, and the allegations of
"different solutions" is probably overstated. What is clear is that bankers
are going to put up political stumbling blocks to what standard setters want
in the way of fair value accounting for financial instruments. The impact
has already been seen in the FASB's fine tuning of FAS 157 ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue
U.S. banks have used the FASB's staff positions to dress up their financial
statements filled with toxic assets and boost reported earnings by coloring
book accounting of toxic asset losses.
The FASB and IASB Won't Care For This Case
The Moral Hazard of Fair Value Accounting
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on June 12,
2009
SUMMARY: "One
of the nation's largest mutual-fund companies allegedly overvalued its
holdings of mortgage securities during the housing bust, making its fund
appear to be one of the top performers, and then was forced to take big
write-downs, leaving some investors in the supposedly conservative
offering with losses approaching 25%....Evergreen began repricing the
securities after its valuation committee learned on June 10 that the
portfolio managers had known since March about problems with a certain
mortgage-backed security but had failed to disclose it to the
committee", the SEC said.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
implication of properly establishing fair values in a trading portfolio
is the major topic covered in this article. Also touched on are the
internal control procedures and related audit steps over this valuation
process.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What was the implication of not properly valuing certain fund investment
for the reported performance of the Evergreen Ultra Fund?
2. (Introductory)
What also was the apparent problem with the type of investment made by
portfolio managers of this Evergreen fund? In your answer, comment on
the purpose of the fund and the risk of mortgage-backed securities in
which it invested.
3. (Introductory)
How should an entity such as the Evergreen Ultra Fund account for its
investments? Describe the balance and income implications and state what
accounting standard requires this treatment.
4. (Advanced)
What evidence should the Evergreen fund's portfolio managers have taken
into account in valuing investments? How did the fund managers allegedly
avoid using that evidence?
5. (Advanced)
What internal control procedures were apparently in place at Evergreen
to ensure that fund assets were properly valued by portfolio managers?
What was the apparent breakdown in internal control?
6. (Advanced)
Based on the description in the article of internal control processes at
Evergreen, design audit procedures to assess whether the internal
control over investment valuations is functioning properly. What
evidence might arise to indicate a failure in internal control?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Wells Fargo & Co. and Bank of America Corp.
agreed Monday to settle claims that employees misled investors about the
value and safety of certain securities during the financial crisis.
Wells's Boston-based mutual fund Evergreen
Investment Management Co. agreed along with its brokerage unit to pay
$40 million to end civil state and federal securities-fraud allegations
that it overvalued the holdings of its Evergreen Ultra Short
Opportunities Fund and then, when it was going to lower the value of the
securities, informed only select investors -- many of them customers of
an Evergeen affiliate -- allowing them to cash out of the fund and
lessen their losses.
Separately, Bank of America agreed to
"facilitate" the return of more than $3 billion to California clients
who purchased auction rate securities, an investment that went sour last
year amid a liquidity freeze. The bank reached the agreement with the
California Department of Corporations.
"We are pleased that the outcome of these
negotiations will result in the return of money to many investors who
suffered by the freezing of their assets when the auctions failed," said
California Department of Corporations Deputy Commissioner Alan Weinger.
A bank spokeswoman couldn't be reached for comment.
The Wells case highlights the valuing of
securities as a key issue during the financial crisis as banks, hedge
funds and now mutual funds have failed to take losses on their holdings
even though there was evidence in the market these securities were
trading at lower prices.
In one case Evergreen, which had $164 billion
in assets at the end of the first quarter, was holding a security at
nearly full value when another fund at the firm purchased a similar
security for 10 cents on the dollar.
Evergreen didn't admit or deny wrongdoing in a
settlement with the Securities and Exchange Commission and the
Massachusetts Securities Division. "We are committed to acting in the
best interest of shareholders, and continue to move forward with our
primary goal of safeguarding your investments," Evergreen stated in a
letter to clients on its Web site announcing the settlement.
Evergreen was a unit of Wachovia Corp. at the
time of the alleged overvaluations. Lisa Brown Premo and Robert Rowe,
then co-managers of the Ultra fund, have left Evergreen, as have two
unidentified senior vice presidents, said Evergreen spokeswoman Laura
Fay. Wachovia was acquired last year by Wells Fargo.
The Evergreen case is similar to an SEC fraud
case against Van Wagoner Funds in San Francisco. In 2004, Van Wagoner
agreed to pay $800,000 to settle civil charges by the SEC that it
mispriced some technology-company securities in its stock funds.
Regulators allege that Evergreen inflated the
value of mortgage-related securities in the Ultra fund -- which the
company touted as conservative -- by as much as 17% between February
2007 and June 2008, when it closed and liquidated the fund. The
overstatement caused the fund to rank as one of the top five or 10 funds
among between 40 and 50 similar funds in 2007 and part of 2008. An
accurate valuation would have placed the fund at the bottom of its
category, regulators said.
Regulators said that when Evergreen began to
reprice certain inflated holdings in the three weeks before the fund was
liquidated on June 18, the company only disclosed the adjustments -- and
the reason why -- to select customers, many of them customers of
Evergreen affiliate Wachovia Securities LLC. Those customers also were
told more pricing adjustments were likely.
At liquidation, the fund had $403 million in
assets, down from $739 million at the end of 2007, regulators said.
David Bergers, director of the SEC in Boston,
said that by law mutual funds must treat all shareholders equally, and
that "it's particularly troubling in these difficult times that that did
not happen." He said the SEC's "investigation is continuing relating to
this matter."
Ms. Fay declined to comment on Mr. Bergers's
statement. Of Monday's settlement, she said it is in "Evergreen's and
our clients' best interest to resolve the matter and move forward."
Regulators say that in pricing Ultra fund
securities, Evergreen's portfolio managers didn't factor in readily
available information about the decline in mortgage-backed securities.
By law, mutual funds are supposed to take all available information into
account when valuing securities, and "that's especially true when the
market is shifting," Mr. Bergers said.
Massachusetts regulators cite one case in May
2008 in which the Ultra fund priced a subprime mortgage-backed security
for $98.93, even though another Evergreen fund purchased the same
security for $9.50.
After learning of the transaction, state
regulators allege, the Ultra fund's portfolio management team contacted
the broker who had sold the security to determine whether the sale was
distressed and thus could be disregarded for purposes of determining the
fair value of the security. The dealer responded that the security
wasn't coming from a distressed seller. Nonetheless, the Ultra fund team
told Evergreen's valuation committee they believed the sale was
distressed and failed to lower the price of the security for several
days.
Evergreen began repricing the securities after
its valuation committee learned on June 10 that the portfolio managers
had known since March about problems with a certain mortgage-backed
security but had failed to disclose it to the committee, the SEC said.
In a recent
post on business combinations accounting that
is related to SAB
112, I criticized the FASB for creating yet
another loophole in business combinations accounting that make M&A
transactions more attractive than they really should be. To recap, I
described how JP Morgan wrote down toxic loans acquired from WaMu so
that, going forward, JP Morgan had a built-in stream of future earnings
at very high interest rates.
First, a Mea Culpa
I was feeling pretty satisfied with myself
until reader
Michael interrupted my reverie with several
interesting and valid comments. With great reluctance, I began to
re-think parts of my screed.
First of all, he found a couple of inaccuracies
in my telling, which should be corrected:
"Tom, I think I'm with you on your
conclusion (i.e. mark all financial assets to fair value
(replacement cost?)) but the area of GAAP causing the inconsistent
measurement is not FAS 141(R). FAS 141(R) was first effective for
transactions that closed on or after 1/1/09 for calendar year
companies. JPMorgan was subject to FAS 141 (no R) for this
transaction and disclosed as such. However, you may be aware that
even under FAS 141, certain loans were required to be accounted for
at fair value, notwithstanding the SAB [Topic 2A-(5)]...those loans
that were purchased at a significant discount are subject to the
guidance in SOP 03-3, which requires a fair value measurement [at
the acquisition date] for such loans. Given the purely awful
composition of WaMu's portfolio, it is not surprising that half
their loans fell into that guidance. I think most of the
focus should be on the criminal allowance put up by WaMu
pre-transaction...$2 billion on $240 billion in loans at 3/31/08, $8
billion on $240 at 6/30/08. Yikes." [italics and
bolding supplied]
That's a really interesting last sentence,
especially coming from an auditor, and I'm betting that even the PCAOB
will not want to go near that one. As important as that may be, it's a
digression from the mea culpa I now proffer to all who read
that post: I overlooked the fact that SOP 03-3 would be applicable,
because I mistakenly thought the acquisition of WaMu was accounted for
under FAS 141(R).
Michael's comment and my mea culpa
notwithstanding, the fact remains that henceforth, FAS 141(R) has taken
over for SOP 03-3 in the earnings management toolbox when it comes to
making sure that a business combination transaction will be accretive to
future earnings. (Note: that doesn't mean that SOP 03-3 has become
obsolete. Loan acquisitions that are not part of a business combination
are also within its scope.)
Michael also responded to my suggestion that
the offending provision of FAS 141(R) should be suspended until loans
are fair valued. He pointed out that should that day ever come, the
invitation for earnings management of which I spoke doesn't completely
go away:
" … [L]et's assume that all financial
instruments were remeasured each period at fair value. While there
will be timing differences with loans that are measured at fair
value at acquisition, net income over the life of the same loans
will be the same...if JPMorgan had to continue to remark the loans,
they'd still recognize that accretion into earnings if the loans
ultimately perform. I understand your generally well founded
skepticism, but I think this is one of the less offensive areas of
FAS 141R.
Michael is right (again). I could live with an
outcome whereby unbiased fair value measurements will provide a
stream of accounting earnings to an acquiree. But, I am indeed more than
a little skeptical that two versions of fair value will emerge from FAS
141(R)—if they haven't already from other games that executives will
play with earnings. The WaMu's will still have strong incentives to
overstate market value, and even Michael implies that auditors are not
likely to stand in their way. The JP Morgans of the world have
incentives to understate the same fair values.
Enter SAB 112
That's where SAB 112 comes into the discussion.
Among other ministerial changes, it deleted Topic 2A-(5) of the SAB
codification, which I described in the earlier post and became
unnecessary after FAS 141(R) instituted the fair value requirement for
acquired loans. The crux of this post is this: if the SEC thought that
manipulation of loan loss reserves during a business combination merited
an anti-abuse rule, then more than ministerial adaptations were called
for. How can the SEC be so naïve as to think that fair value will fix
the problem of loan value manipulation? Instead of merely deleting Topic
2A-(5), they should have re-written it to put the brakes on what will
surely become a new recipe for chicken salad. It would have been really
simple for the SEC to make the following rule:
Irrespective of pre- and
post-acquisition bases of measurement, the new carrying amount of
every asset recognized may be no less at the date of acquisition
than the carrying amount recognized by the acquiree; similarly, the
fair value of liabilities assumed may be no greater than amounts
recognized by acquirees.
I know that my suggestion may sound
unprinicpled and draconian to some (and I would be prepared to allow for
some exceptions), but the reality is that no set of business combination
accounting rules will be perfectly 'efficient.' For any accounting rule,
it is inevitable that some value-creating transactions will be
discouraged, and some value-destroying transactions will occur because
the accounting result is too sweet to resist. The key for regulators is
to strike an appropriate balance based on broadly acceptable objectives
for financial reporting.
In regard to business combinations, there have
been no such objectives ever before. It is clear that the rules have
been completely out of whack since the inception of GAAP in the 1930s.
As for the last few decades, the evidence is crystal clear that our
economy has been administered a nearly lethal dose of value-destroying
business combinations to juice executive compensation while killing
share prices and wreaking havoc among rank and file employees. That's
why I believe it is time to trying something more radical: an
acquiror should not be able to create a stream of reported earnings by
writedowns to assets or increases to liabilities. Therefore, post
acquisition writedowns of assets and write-ups of liabilities would be
charged against the post-combination earnings of the acquiror.
Let's see if the 'new SEC' is up to the task.
We'll know they're doing it right if the EU and IASB have conniptions
over it.
The infamous fair value accounting FASB Staff Positions (FSPs)
announced on April 2, 2009.
This relaxation/reinterpretation of fair value definitions and impairment
testing arose largely out of political pressures and accusations that fair
value accounting rules played a large role in the banking crisis of 2008 and
recovery in 2009.
• FSP FAS 157-4, Determining Fair Value When the
Volume and Level of Activity for the Asset or Liability Have Significantly
Decreased and Identifying Transactions That Are Not Orderly ("FSP FAS
157-4") ---
http://www.fasb.org/pdf/fsp_fas157-4.pdf
Audits
of financial statements, including integrated
audits
Disclosures
Auditor reporting considerations
The FASB Probably Won't Care for this
Teaching Case But it provides good input for
student debates on fair value accounting In fairness, the FASB contends that the what bankers claim is a major change
in FAS 157 really is a cosmetic change that wasn't truly needed but is no big
deal if it makes bankers happy. If the banks really wanted to bypass Level 1 and
2 fair value estimation, they could've moved to Level 3 all along without the
rule change. Whatever the reasons or excuses, banks with toxic loan portfolios
can now report higher earnings that have little to do with higher cash flows
(unless the cash is rolled in from TARP bailout loans and gifts is reduced
because gullible investors are relying on phony bank earnings reports). Sadly,
the European Union is now bringing similar pressures to bear on IFRS fair value
accounting.
Personally, I thought the blaming fair value accounting standards by Bill
Isaac and his billionaire friends (Warren Buffet and Steve Forbes) for the
bank failures was a pile of crap ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#FairValue
The banks failed because of dysfunctional mortgage lending policies that
encouraged fraud, dysfunctional performance compensation schemes that
encouraged bankers to cheat shareholders, and too much reliance on David
Li's flawed Gaussian copula function ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm
Sadly, the bankers want to blame fair value accounting standards for the
the collapse of their system. This is like blaming Hans Brinker for having
such a small finger in in a Holland dike.
From The Wall Street Journal Weekly Accounting Review on June 4,
2009
TOPICS: Accounting
For Investments, Advanced Financial Accounting, Banking, Fair Value
Accounting, Fair-Value Accounting Rules, Financial Accounting Standards
Board, Financial Reporting
SUMMARY: This
article reports on a WSJ investigation into lobbying of, and
contributions to, members of the House Financial Services subcommittee.
"Earlier this year...thirty-one financial firms and trade groups formed
a coalition and spent $27.6 million in the first quarter lobbying
Washington about [changing the FASB's fair value] rule and other issues,
according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of public filings. They also
directed campaign contributions totaling $286,000 to legislators on a
key committee, many of whom pushed for the rule change, the filings
indicate." The FASB ultimately responded to pressure by issuing a staff
position on April 9, 2009 allowing financial institutions to use greater
judgment in determining market values when markets show evidence of
illiquidity and signs of being disorderly than was originally included
in Statement 157. "The American Bankers Association (ABA)...acknowledges
that it exerted pressure to change the rules. The ABA was the biggest
donor to the campaign funds of committee members in the weeks before the
hearing. It gave a total of $74,500 to 33 members of the committee in
the first quarter, according to the Journal analysis of public filings.
An ABA spokesman says that is its normal level of support for lawmakers,
and that the initiative was part of a broader effort to change
accounting rules....We worked that hearing," says ABA President Edward
Yingling. "We told people that the hearing should be used to talk about
the big problems with 'mark to market,' and you had 20 straight members
of Congress, one after another, turn to FASB and say, 'Fix it.'"
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This
article shows the political nature of the accounting standards setting
process. It also shows how the press can obtain information and conduct
analyses to keep interested individuals aware of the process. In this
case, the interested individuals include investor groups who feel that
the accounting changes watered down the fair value reporting standards.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
In general, what are the requirements established in FASB Statement No.
157, Fair Value Measurements? Hint: you may access this FASB document on
their web site at
http://www.fasb.org/st/
2. (Introductory)
What changes were implemented with FASB Staff Position (FSP) 157-4?
Again, you may access the document at
http://www.fasb.org/st/
3. (Introductory)
In general, what is the usual process for establishing authoritative
accounting literature?
4. (Advanced)
How did the U.S. political process influence this change in accounting
requirements under fair value reporting? What are the concerns with the
usual process for establishing accounting standards?
5. (Advanced)
As reported in this article, who is displeased with this change in
financial reporting requirements? Are their concerns limited to whether
the appropriate accounting requirements have been set?
6. (Advanced)
What do you think about having our elected officials in Congress,
influence the process of establishing accounting standards?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Not long after the bottom fell out of the
market for mortgage securities last fall, a group of financial firms
took aim at an accounting rule that forced them to report billions of
dollars of losses on those assets.
Marshalling a multimillion-dollar lobbying
campaign, these firms persuaded key members of Congress to pressure the
accounting industry to change the rule in April. The payoff is likely to
be fatter bottom lines in the second quarter.
The accounting issue lies at the heart of the
financial crisis: Are the hardest-to-value securities worth no more than
what the market is willing to pay, or did the market grow too
dysfunctional to properly set values?
The rule change angered some investor
advocates. "This is political interference on a major issue, and it
raises questions about whether accounting standards going forward will
have the quality and integrity that the market needs," says Patrick
Finnegan, director of financial-reporting policy for CFA Institute
Centre for Financial Market Integrity, an investor trade group.
Backers of the change say it was necessary
because existing accounting rules never contemplated the kind of market
turmoil that unfolded last year.
The rules had required banks, securities firms
and insurers to use market prices to help assign values to mortgage
securities and other assets that don't trade on exchanges -- to "mark to
market." But when markets went haywire last fall, financial firms
complained that the rules forced them to slash the value of many assets
based on fire-sale prices. That contributed to big losses that depleted
their capital and left several of the nation's largest firms on the
brink of failure.
Earlier this year, financial-services
organizations put their lobbyists on the case. Thirty-one financial
firms and trade groups formed a coalition and spent $27.6 million in the
first quarter lobbying Washington about the rule and other issues,
according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of public filings. They also
directed campaign contributions totaling $286,000 to legislators on a
key committee, many of whom pushed for the rule change, the filings
indicate.
Rep. Paul Kanjorski, a Pennsylvania Democrat
who heads the House Financial Services subcommittee that pressed for the
accounting change, received $18,500 from coalition members in the first
quarter, the second-highest total among committee members, according to
Federal Election Commission records. Over the past two years, Mr.
Kanjorski received $704,000 in contributions from banking and insurance
firms, the third-highest total among members of Congress, according to
the FEC and the Center for Responsive Politics.
A spokeswoman says Rep. Kanjorski believes the
accounting industry's rule-making body, the Financial Accounting
Standards Board, or FASB, made the right move since neither
mark-to-market critics nor advocates are "entirely pleased with the
outcome." She says campaign contributions didn't factor into the
congressman's thinking.
Congressional Attention During a March 12
hearing before the House subcommittee, FASB came under intense pressure
from committee members. "If the regulators and standard setters do not
act now to improve the standards, then the Congress will have no other
option than to act itself," Rep. Kanjorski said in his opening remarks.
"We want you to act," Rep. Kanjorski told
Robert Herz, FASB's chief. Mr. Herz waffled about how quickly the
standards board could act. Rep. Kanjorski leaned over the dais. "You do
understand the message that we're sending?" he said.
"Yes," Mr. Herz replied. "I absolutely do,
sir."
FASB made speedy revisions to its rules. In an
interview, Mr. Herz said FASB merely accelerated the matter on its
agenda, and tried to be responsive to input from investors and
financial-services firms.
The change helped turn around investor
sentiment on banks. Financial firms had the option of reflecting the
accounting change in their first-quarter results; they will be required
to do so in the second quarter. Wells Fargo & Co. said the change
increased its capital by $4.4 billion in the first quarter. Citigroup
Inc. said the change added $413 million to first-quarter earnings. The
Federal Home Loan Bank of Boston said the shift boosted its
first-quarter earnings by $349 million.
Robert Willens, a tax and accounting analyst,
estimates that the changes will increase bank earnings in the second
quarter by an average of 7%.
Building Pressure The American Bankers
Association, a trade group, acknowledges that it exerted pressure to
change the rules. The ABA was the biggest donor to the campaign funds of
committee members in the weeks before the hearing. It gave a total of
$74,500 to 33 members of the committee in the first quarter, according
to the Journal analysis of public filings. An ABA spokesman says that is
its normal level of support for lawmakers, and that the initiative was
part of a broader effort to change accounting rules.
"We worked that hearing," says ABA President
Edward Yingling. "We told people that the hearing should be used to talk
about the big problems with 'mark to market,' and you had 20 straight
members of Congress, one after another, turn to FASB and say, 'Fix it.'"
The banking industry's victory stands in
contrast to at least one defeat it has been dealt in recent weeks, on
new credit-card legislation.
Changing Environment Mark-to-market accounting
has been around for decades. Many banks were content with the rules when
the markets were going up. But the rules became a big problem in late
2007. As markets turned down, FASB clarified the rules and established
how certain financial instruments, including mortgage securities, should
be valued.
Continued in article
Sydney Finkelstein, the Steven Roth professor of management at the Tuck
School of Business at Dartmouth College, also pointed out that Bank of
America booked a $2.2 billion gain by increasing the value of Merrill
Lynch’s assets it acquired last quarter to prices that were higher than
Merrill kept them. “Although perfectly legal, this move is also perfectly
delusional, because some day soon these assets will be written down to their
fair value, and it won’t be pretty,” he said
"Bank Profits Appear Out of Thin Air ," by Andrew Ross Sorkin, The
New York Times, April 20, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/21/business/21sorkin.html?_r=1&dbk
This is starting to feel like amateur hour for aspiring magicians.
Another day, another attempt by a Wall Street bank to pull a bunny out of
the hat, showing off an earnings report that it hopes will elicit oohs and
aahs from the market. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and, on
Monday, Bank of America all tried to wow their audiences with what appeared
to be — presto! — better-than-expected numbers.
But in each case, investors spotted the attempts at sleight of hand, and
didn’t buy it for a second.
With Goldman Sachs, the disappearing month of December didn’t quite
disappear (it changed its reporting calendar, effectively erasing the impact
of a $1.5 billion loss that month); JPMorgan Chase reported a dazzling
profit partly because the price of its bonds dropped (theoretically, they
could retire them and buy them back at a cheaper price; that’s sort of like
saying you’re richer because the value of your home has dropped); Citigroup
pulled the same trick.
Bank of America sold its shares in China Construction Bank to book a big
one-time profit, but Ken Lewis heralded the results as “a testament to the
value and breadth of the franchise.”
Sydney Finkelstein, the Steven Roth professor of management at the Tuck
School of Business at Dartmouth College, also pointed out that Bank of
America booked a $2.2 billion gain by increasing the value of Merrill
Lynch’s assets it acquired last quarter to prices that were higher than
Merrill kept them.
Although perfectly legal, this move is also perfectly delusional,
because some day soon these assets will be written down to their fair
value, and it won’t be pretty,” he said.
In my opinion, Bill Isaac is an ignorant advocate of horrible and
dangerous bank accounting
First of all he blamed the subprime collapse of thousands of banks on the
FASB requirements for fair value accounting (totally dumb) ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008bailout.htm#FairValue
On May 26, 2010 the FASB issued an exposure draft that would make it more
difficult to enormously underestimate load losses. International standards
are expected to be changed accordingly.
On May 26, 2010, the FASB issued a proposed Accounting Standards
Update, Accounting for Financial Instruments and Revisions to the Accounting
for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities, setting out its proposed
comprehensive approach to financial instrument classification and
measurement, and impairment, and revisions to hedge accounting. Also,
extensive new presentation and disclosure requirements are proposed.
FSP FAS 157-4, which provides guidance
on determining fair value when market
activity has decreased
FSP FAS 115-2 and FAS 124-2, which
addresses other-than-temporary
impairments for debt securities
FSP FAS 107-1 and APB 28-1, which
discusses fair value disclosures for
financial instruments in interim periods
The Deloitte letter to the IASB provides our
detailed views on each of the final FASB
Staff Positions and contrasts them with
IFRSs. Here are two excerpts from our
letter:
Regarding FAS 157-4, the
Deloitte letter to the IASB
states:
We believe that the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4 is broadly
consistent with the principles
of fair value in IFRSs and the
Expert Advisory Panel document
and therefore an amendment to
IFRSs is not necessary. However,
in light of the IASB's imminent
release of an exposure draft on
Fair Value Measurements, the
IASB should consider whether the
words used in the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4 are
consistent with the exposure
draft and whether the wording of
the exposure draft should be
aligned with the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4. In addition,
the IASB should seek the views
of the Expert Advisory Panel to
establish whether differences in
the words of the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4 and the
Expert Advisory Panel report are
expected to have any practical
effect.
Regarding FAS 115-2 and 124-2,
the Deloitte letter to the IASB
states:
As noted in the request for
views, the differences between
U.S. GAAP and IFRSs with respect
to scope, impairment triggers,
impairment measurements, and
recoveries are numerous and
complex. A short term project to
fully converge with FASB's
amendment would entail
substantial changes to IFRSs
that would require significant
efforts and would create
unnecessary complexities (e.g.,
recognizing impairments of
held-to-maturity securities that
are not due to credit in other
comprehensive income). Instead,
we would encourage both Boards
to expedite their work on a
joint standard that would
improve reporting for all
financial instruments including
impairment issues (e.g., loss
recognition triggers,
measurement of losses,
recognition of recoveries,
etc.).
Question
Why did Morgan Stanley lower first quarter earnings because the credit spreads
on some of its long-term debt had narrowed?
Paragraph 15 of FAS 157
Application to liabilities
15. A fair value measurement assumes that the liability is transferred to a
market participant at the measurement date (the liability to the
counterparty continues; it is not settled) and that the nonperformance risk
relating to that liability is the same before and after its transfer.
Nonperformance risk refers to the risk that the obligation will not be
fulfilled and affects the value at which the liability is transferred.
Therefore, the fair value of the liability
shall reflect the nonperformance risk relating to that liability.
Nonperformance risk includes but may not be limited to the reporting
entity’s own credit risk. The reporting entity
shall consider the effect of its credit risk (credit standing) on the fair
value of the liability in all periods in which the liability is measured at
fair value. That effect may differ depending on the liability, for example,
whether the liability is an obligation to deliver cash (a financial
liability) or an obligation to deliver goods or services (a nonfinancial
liability), and the terms of credit enhancements related to the liability,
if any.
In
finance, a credit spread is the
yield spread, or difference in
yield between different
securities, due to different
credit quality. The credit spread reflects the additional
net yield an investor can earn from a security with more
credit risk relative to one with
less credit risk. The credit spread of a particular security
is often quoted in relation to the yield on a
credit risk-free benchmark
security or reference rate.
Jensen Note
Under the April 9, 2009 FSPs issued by the FASB, unrealized mark-to-market gains
and losses attributable to changes in credit risk are posted to current earnings
whereas non-credit fair value adjustments are posted to AOCI. ---
(slide show) ---
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Calgary/CD/JensenPowerPoint/10FairValueFSU.ppt
Reduced credit spread on a bond investment
ceteris paribus increases market value of a bond and, thereby, results higher
unrealized earnings due to mark-to-market upward adjustment of an asset. Reduced
credit spread on a liability has the opposite impact on earnings for the
unrealized loss due to a mark-to-market adjustment that increases the fair value
of the liability. This is a bit confusing, since by reducing credit risk on
their debt, debtors take an earnings hit when adjusting the debt to fair value.
As if
they needed any, the critics of fair value got a fresh new example of the
craziness of an oft-decried provision in FAS 157, paragraph 15 of Fair Value
Measurements. The provision rewards companies whose credit spreads on their
debt liabilities have widened and punishes those who have become more
creditworthy.
On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley reported that it had
to cut its first-quarter net revenues $1.5 billion because the credit
spreads on some of its long-term debt had narrowed. What happened was that
as the investment bank grew more reliable to its creditors over the first
part of the year, its debt became more valuable. And under the dictates of
mark-to-mark accounting, the firm had to take a writeoff because of this
very positive occurrence.
Sound nuts? It has sounded so to many observers. In
the 15th paragraph of 157 FASB says, nevertheless, that "the fair value of
[a company's] liability shall reflect the nonperformance risk relating to
that liability." Thus, as the nonperformance risk--as reflected by slimmer
credit spreads—narrowed, Morgan Stanley had to reflect the decreased value
of its debt as a decrease in sales on its income statement.
Like the alleged evils of mark-to-market accounting
in illiquid markets—although to a lesser extent—the irrational practice of
forcing improved creditworthiness to be reflected in revenue decreases has
become fodder for fair value’s enemies. When FASB made its recent amendments
to 157, it neglected to attack the provision. If only to preserve fair-value
accounting from more political attacks, it should do so now.
Hi David,
I think it’s more apt to be a gain resulting from buying up one’s
own debt under traditional accounting. However, if buying up debt causes an
improved credit rating, your fair value accountant may have a stroke.
There’s a fair value accounting problem that arises from raising
a credit rating. Becoming more credit worthy can force a hit to the bottom
line. Conversely, getting a lower credit rating can boost the bottom line in
fair value accounting. This causes fair value accounting advocates to get
red in the face and hyperventilate.
"The Fair-Value Deadbeat Debate Returns: On hiatus while other
fair-value questions were debated, the hotly-contested issue of why
companies can book a gain when their credit rating sinks has returned to
center stage," by Marie Leone, CFO.com, June 29, 2009 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/13932186/c_2984368/?f=archives
A new discussion paper released last week by
the staff of the International Accounting Standards Board has revived an
old, but still fiery fair-value controversy.
At issue: the role of credit risk in measuring
the fair value of a liability. According to the paper's opening
statement: the topic has "arguably ... generated more comment and
controversy than any other aspect of fair value measurement."
At the heated core of the dispute is the
question of why accounting rules allow companies to book a gain when
their credit rating actually sinks. The accounting convention, which
opponents contend is counterintuitive if not ridiculous, has prompted "a
visceral response to an intellectual issue," says Wayne Upton, the IASB
project principal who authored the discussion paper.
For all the hubbub around it, the rule is
rather simple: When a company chooses to use the fair value method of
accounting, it must mark its liabilities as well as its assets to
market. As a company's credit rating goes down, so does the price of its
debt, which therefore must be re-measured by marking the liability to
market. The difference between the debt's carrying value and its
so-called fair value is then recorded as a debit to liabilities, and a
credit to income.
Consider an oversimplified example to clarify
the accounting treatment. A company records a $100 liability for a bond
it has issued. Overnight, the company's credit rating drops from A to
BB. That drop causes the price of the bond trading in the market to
decrease from $100 to $90. The $10 difference, under current accounting
rules, is recorded as a $10 debit to liabilities on the balance sheet
and a $10 credit to income on the income statement.
As the company's credit rating and the price of
the bond rise — to, say, $100 again — the accounting is reversed. Income
takes a $10 hit, while the liability account is credited.
That accounting oddity has been a lingering
problem since 2000, when the Financial Accounting Standards Board
introduced Concept Statement 7, which includes a general theory on
credit standing and measuring liabilities. The notion was hotly debated
again in 2005, when IASB revised IAS 39, its measurement rule for
financial instruments and in 2006 when FASB issued FAS 157, its
fair-value measurement standard.
Addison Everett, the practice leader for global
capital markets at PricewaterhouseCoopers, notes that the debate cooled
down over the last 18 months as the liquidity crisis bubbled up. The
crisis spotlighted more politically charged fair-value topics such as
asset valuation in illiquid markets, classification of financial assets,
asset impairment, and financial disclosures, he says.
But the credit risk quandary is back, demanding
the attention of investors, regulators, and lawmakers who were carefully
watching ailing financial institutions as they posted their
first-quarter earnings results. As financial results were disclosed this
year, it became clear that IAS 39 and FAS 157 were being used to boost
income as banks and insurance companies became less creditworthy. For
example, in the first quarter, Citigroup benefited from its credit
rating downgrade by posting a $30 million gain on its own bond debt.
A Credit Suisse report looking back to last
year, flagged a similar trend. The bank examined the first-quarter 2008
10-Qs of the 380 members of the S&P 500 with either November or December
year-end closes, the first big companies to adopt FAS 157. For the 25
companies with the biggest liabilities on their balance sheets measured
at fair value, widening credit spreads-an indication of a lack of
creditworthiness-spawned first-quarter earnings gains ranging from $11
million to $3.6 billion.
Those keen on keeping the rules intact and
allowing companies to book a gain when credit ratings worsen give
several reasons for their stance. Most are laid out neatly in the IASB
discussion paper. Consistency is one argument. "Accountants accept that
the initial measurement of a liability incurred in an exchange for cash
includes the effect of the borrower's credit risk," according to the
paper. There's "no reason why subsequent current measurements should
exclude changes."
There's a practical problem with that argument,
however. Not all liabilities are financial in nature. Non-financial
liabilities, such as those tied to plant closings (asset removal),
product warranties, pensions, insurance claims, and obligations linked
to sales contracts, are not as easily marked to market as a clear-cut
borrowing. Often non-financial liabilities represent a transaction with
an individual counterparty that has already placed a price on the chance
of not being repaid. For many of those liabilities, "accounting
standards differ in their treatment of credit risk," notes the paper.
One cure is to use a risk-free discount rate
for all liabilities in order to apply a consistent measurement approach.
But applying a blanket discount rate to the initial measure of debt
leaves accountants with the problem of what to do with the debit. That
is, for financial liabilities, should the debit be treated as a
borrowing penalty and therefore as a charge against earnings? Or should
the debit be subtracted from shareholder's equity and amortized into
earnings over the life of the debt? For non-financial debt, should the
debit be the recognized warranty or plant-closing expense?
Continued in article
Question
Why did Morgan Stanley lower first quarter earnings because the credit
spreads on some of its long-term debt had narrowed?
Paragraph 15 of FAS 157
Application to liabilities
15. A fair value measurement assumes that the liability is transferred
to a market participant at the measurement date (the liability to the
counterparty continues; it is not settled) and that the nonperformance
risk relating to that liability is the same before and after its
transfer. Nonperformance risk refers to the risk that the obligation
will not be fulfilled and affects the value at which the liability is
transferred.Therefore, the fair
value of the liability shall reflect the nonperformance risk relating to
that liability. Nonperformance risk includes but may not be limited to
the reporting entity’s own credit risk.The reporting entity shall consider the
effect of its credit risk (credit standing) on the fair value of the
liability in all periods in which the liability is measured at fair
value. That effect may differ depending on the liability, for example,
whether the liability is an obligation to deliver cash (a financial
liability) or an obligation to deliver goods or services (a nonfinancial
liability), and the terms of credit enhancements related to the
liability, if any.
In finance, a
credit spread is the
yield spread, or
difference in
yieldbetween different
securities, due to
different credit quality. The credit spread reflects the
additional net yield an investor can earn from a
security with more
credit riskrelative to
one with less credit risk. The credit spread of a
particular security is often quoted in relation to the
yield on a
credit risk-free
benchmark security or reference rate.
Jensen Note
Under the April 9, 2009 FSPs issued by the FASB, unrealized mark-to-market
gains and losses attributable to changes in credit risk are posted to
current earnings whereas non-credit fair value adjustments are posted to
AOCI. ---
(slide show) ---
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Calgary/CD/JensenPowerPoint/10FairValueFSU.ppt
Reduced credit spread on a
bond investment ceteris paribus increases market value of a bond and,
thereby, results higher unrealized earnings due to mark-to-market upward
adjustment of an asset. Reduced credit spread on a liability has the
opposite impact on earnings for the unrealized loss due to a mark-to-market
adjustment that increases the fair value of the liability. This is a bit
confusing, since by reducing credit risk on their debt, debtors take an
earnings hit when adjusting the debt to fair value.
As if they needed any, the critics of fair
value got a fresh new example of the craziness of an oft-decried
provision in FAS 157, paragraph 15 of Fair Value Measurements. The
provision rewards companies whose credit spreads on their debt
liabilities have widened and punishes those who have become more
creditworthy.
On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley reported
that it had to cut its first-quarter net revenues $1.5 billion because
the credit spreads on some of its long-term debt had narrowed. What
happened was that as the investment bank grew more reliable to its
creditors over the first part of the year, its debt became more
valuable. And under the dictates of mark-to-mark accounting, the firm
had to take a writeoff because of this very positive occurrence.
Sound nuts? It has sounded so to many
observers. In the 15th paragraph of 157 FASB says, nevertheless, that
"the fair value of [a company's] liability shall reflect the
nonperformance risk relating to that liability." Thus, as the
nonperformance risk--as reflected by slimmer credit spreads—narrowed,
Morgan Stanley had to reflect the decreased value of its debt as a
decrease in sales on its income statement.
Like the alleged evils of mark-to-market
accounting in illiquid markets—although to a lesser extent—the
irrational practice of forcing improved creditworthiness to be reflected
in revenue decreases has become fodder for fair value’s enemies. When
FASB made its recent amendments to 157, it neglected to attack the
provision. If only to preserve fair-value accounting from more political
attacks, it should do so now.
This issue arose at the time of FASB's
(brilliant) special report on using cash flow information in 1996.
Between the time of the issue of the special report and the conceptual
statement emanating from it, the position had changed. In the report,
from memory, the position was the actuarially pure one in which both
sides of the balance sheet were discounted at the same, risk free rate.
When the CS was issued in draft it had changed
to the, arguably, actuarially invalid position that the balance sheet
was discounted at different rates - assets would be at the risk free
rate and liabilities at a rate reflecting the credit risk of the
accounting entity.
At the time I found this to be bizarre. I have
slowly changed my mind over the last decade. The apparent maintenance of
actuarial purity across the balance sheet is actually an illusion. To
apply the risk free rate to assets necessitates a significant degree of
mathematical calculation prior to its application (see IAS 36 para 30).
No such computation is necessary for liabilities.
Ultimately, it is best to look at the practical
effects of which two are illustrative.
Firstly, the value of a liability should be the
same as the value of the asset in the counter-party's records, being the
creditor. The creditor would apply a process which would compute the
credit risk premium from a probability analysis, being the spread, and
then apply the risk free rate. All that is happening in debtor's
accounting records is the mirror of this process. Intuitively this must
be correct.
Second, I do recall many years ago being sent a
case by a man named William (?) Hackney, a lawyer from Pittsburgh I
think who wrote academic articles about the determination of corporate
solvency and GAAP. (I have lost touch with him, does anybody know him?).
The case involved TWA and its solvency. One side argued that the correct
value of its liabilities for solvency purposes was its market value. Its
debt traded at 50 cents in the dollar so its liabilities were 50% of its
face value.
Dr Liability Cr Equity
with 50% of the value.
The other contestant in the matter claimed the
liability should be face value.
I have lost my copy of the case but I think the
discounter won. This makes a kind of perverse sense. One of the
essential characteristics of a liability is that it results in an
outflow of funds. A company with an asset costing $100 fully funded by a
liability where that asset fetches only $25 will only cause an outflow
of funds to $25. That must be the value of the liability therefore.
Where this becomes perverse is that a company
is never insolvent because as it falls into the abyss its liabilities
erode in the same proportion to the erosion of its assets. In insolvency
law this becomes extremely problematic as insolvency is the determinant
of civil or criminal sanction or penalty.
Questions
Did the FASB's amended fair value guidelines give the players (banks), umpires
(regulators), and fans (notably shareholders like Steve Forbes and Warren
Buffett seeking a new stock market bubble) the overvalued wine they were
seeking? Will the new guidelines mostly increase client pressures on auditors to
sign off on fantasy financial statements?
Although the new FASB Guidelines for estimating fair value under FAS 157 and FAS
115 in "broken markets" expands client/auditor discretion for some types of
assets having long-term value such as real estate, it's asking a lot to have
auditors agree once again to rosy valuation of sorry-looking toxic investments
such as the value of a mortgage that's about to wither on the vine. You can't
squeeze sweet grape juice from shriveled homeowners, let alone fine wine. It
may, however, be that higher value on foreclosed properties in bank inventories
will lead to some partying over banks' financial statements.
The wonderful December 30, 2008 research report of the SEC shows that fair value
accounting is neither the cause nor the cure for the banking crisis. The
liquidity problem of the holders of the toxic investments is caused by trillions
of dollars invested in underperforming (often zero performing) of bad
investments mortgages or mortgaged-backed bonds that have to be written down
unless auditors agree to simply lie about values. That is not likely to happen,
but client pressures on auditors to value on the high side for many properties
will be heavy handed.
The wonderful full SEC report that bankers and regulators do not want to read
can be freely downloaded at
http://www.sec.gov/news/studies/2008/marktomarket123008.pdf
The FASB probably did its best to maintain integrity in the face of massive
political pressures. I hope the IASB is able to resist the same pressures in the
international arena. To me the new FASB Guidelines are mostly old wine in new
bottles since FAS 157 previously gave considerable discretion in valuing items
in broken markets.
Following a hearing
at a House Financial Services subcommittee last week, the Financial
Accounting Standards Board (FASB) agreed to expedite release of their
proposed guidance for the application of FAS 157 "Fair Value
Measurement." The proposed guidance was published for public comment on
March 17th and will be voted on by the Board on April 2. If approved,
the FASB recommends that the guidance be effective for interim and
annual periods ending after March 15, 2009. According to CFO.com, FASB
chairman, Robert H. Herz, chairman of the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (FASB), told legislators, "We can have the guidance in three
weeks, but whether that will fix everything is another [issue]."
SB's proposal give more detailed guidance for
valuing assets that would be classified as Level 3 under FAS 157, where
values are assigned in the absence of an active market or where a sale
has occurred in distressed circumstances when prices are temporarily
weighed down. The new guidance allows companies to use their own models
and estimates and exercise "significant judgment" to determine whether a
market exists or whether the input is from a distressed sale. Under FAS
157, financial instruments' fair values cannot be based on distressed
sales.
FASB had planned to issue the proposed guidance
by the end of the second quarter. A study on mark-to-market accounting
standards conducted by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC),
which was mandated by the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008,
concluded that more application guidance to determine fair values was
needed in current market conditions. On February 18, Herz announced that
FASB agreed with the SEC study and would develop additional guidance.
Thomas Linsmeier, FASB board member, said that
they hoped that the new guidance could lead to more accurate and
possibly higher values, CFO.com reports. "What we are voting on will
hopefully elevate fair values to a more reasonable price so investors
are more comfortable investing in the banking system," he said.
Edward Yingling, president of the American
Bankers Association, said in a statement he welcomed the proposal but
expressed caution about the ways it might be used by auditors,
MarketWatch says. "While we welcome today's news, it will be important
to look at the details of the written proposal to see how fully it
improves the guidance. It will also be imperative to examine the
practical effect the proposal will have based on the various ways it is
interpreted."
The FASB proposal recommends that companies
take two steps to determine whether there an active market exists and
whether a recent sale is distressed before applying their own models and
judgment:
Step 1: Determine whether there are
factors present that indicate that the market for the asset is not
active at the measurement date. Factors include:
Few recent transactions (based on volume
and level of activity in the market). Thus, there is not sufficient
frequency and volume to provide pricing information on an ongoing
basis.
Price quotations are not based on current
information.
Price quotations vary substantially either
over time or among market makers (for example, some brokered
markets).
Indices that previously were highly
correlated with the fair values of the asset are demonstrably
uncorrelated with recent fair values.
Abnormal (or significant increases in)
liquidity risk premiums or implied yields for quoted prices when
compared to reasonable estimates of credit and other nonperformance
risk for the asset class.
Significant widening of the bid-ask
spread.
Little information is released publicly
(for example, a principal-to-principal market).
If after evaluating all the factors the sum of
the evidence indicates that the market is not active, the reporting
entity shall apply step 2.
Step 2: Evaluate the quoted price (that
is, a recent transaction or broker price quotation) to determine whether
the quoted price is not associated with a distressed transaction. The
reporting entity shall presume that the quoted price is associated with
a distressed transaction unless the reporting entity has evidence that
indicates that both of the following factors are present for a given
quoted price:
There was a period prior to the
measurement date to allow for marketing activities that are usual
and customary for transactions involving such assets or liabilities
(for example, there was not a regulatory requirement to sell).
There were multiple bidders for the asset.
The proposed guidance also provides examples of
measurement approaches in the event that the observable input is from a
distressed sale.
At Monday's meeting, Herz deflated any beliefs
that FASB's new guidance will be a panacea for the many ills of the U.S.
economy. "There's not much accounting can do other than help people get
the facts and use their best judgment," he said.
The International Accounting Standards Board,
which sets accounting rules followed by more than 100 countries, plans
to publish a draft rule to replace and simplify fair-value accounting
rules. Critics say the rules have exacerbated the credit crunch by
forcing write-downs. "We plan to replace it, the whole thing. We want to
stop patching up the standard and we want to write a new one. We are
aware that the current model is too complex. We need to simplify.... We
will move to exposure draft hopefully within the next six months," said
Philippe Danjou, a member of the IASB board.
Finally, the FASB held its long-anticipated meeting
on the two FSPs that would have gutted fair value
reporting as it exists. There's been more hoopla
(and hope-la) about these two amendments than in all
of March Madness.
Briefly, here's what transpired, as best as I could
tell from the webcast of the meeting:
1. FSP 157-e, the
proposal which would have provided a direct route to
Level 3 modeling of fair values whenever there was a
problem with quoted prices, will be quite different
from the original plan. There will be indicators of
inactive markets in the final FSP, but they'll only
be indicators for a preparer to consider - and more
importantly, their presence WILL NOT create a
presumption of a distressed price for securities in
question. That part of the proposal would have
greased the skids for Level 3 modeling. Not now.
There will be added required
disclosures, which were not in the exposure draft.
One that I caught: quarterly "aging" disclosures of
the securities that are in a continuous loss
position for more than 12 months and less than 12
months. As discussed in last week's report on the
proposals, these now-annual disclosures are useful
for assessing riskiness of assets that could become
a firm's next other-than-temporary impairment
charge.
Bottom line: investors didn't lose here.
2. FSP FAS 115-a,
124-a, and EITF 99-20-b, the proposal that
softens the blow of recognizing other-than-temporary
impairments, was essentially unchanged from the
original proposal. It remains a chancre on the body
of accounting literature. The credit portion of an
other-than-impairment loss will be recognized in
earnings, with all other attributed loss being
recorded in "other comprehensive income," to be
amortized into earnings over the life of the
associated security. That's assuming the
other-than-temporary impairment is recognized at
all, because the determination will still be largely
driven by the intent of the reporting entity and
whether it's more likely than not that it will have
to sell the security before recovery. This is a huge
mulligan for banks with junky securities.
If OTT charges are taken, the
full amount of the impairment will be disclosed on
the income statement with the amount being shunted
into other comprehensive income shown as a reduction
of the loss, leaving only the credit portion to be
recognized in current period earnings.
Bottom line:
Investors lost on this vote, and they will have to
pay more attention to OCI in the future, as it
becomes a more frequently-used receptacle for
unwanted debits. When investors note these "detoured
charges" in earnings, they should skip the detour
and factor the full charge into their evaluation of
earnings. A small victory for investors: the
original proposal would have included
other-than-temporary impairments on equity
securities. The final decision will affect only debt
securities.
There was a third, much less-heralded FSP voted upon
at the meeting:
3. FSP FAS 107-a and APB
28-a, which
will make the now-annual fair value disclosures for
all financial instruments required on a quarterly
basis. This will be required beginning in the second
quarter, with early implementation allowed in the
first quarter.
All three FSPs will become
effective in the second quarter, with early
implementation allowed in the first quarter. Note:
any firm electing early adoption of the impairment
FSP cannot wait until later to adopt the FSP 157-e
fair value amendment. If they change the way they
recognize impairments, they also have to change how
they consider the calculation of fair values.
Some board members expressed hope that this
was the last of the "emergency amendments"
to take place at the end of a reporting
period. It seems too much to hope for; there
could more ahead, depending on how
meddlesome the G-20 would like to be.
Remember when IFRS in the United States was
a hot topic? To a very large degree, that
sprouted from a trans-Atlantic summit
meeting between the EU and the White House.
The same thing could happen again if the
G-20 gang decides they know accounting
better than the standard-setters.
Exactly three weeks after FASB Chairman Robert
Herz’s March 12 testimony before a rancorous House Financial Services
subcommittee, the independent standard-setting board voted Thursday to
release three new pieces of guidance to address concerns over the
application of fair value accounting standards in current market
conditions.
All three new pronouncements will be published
in the form of FASB Staff Positions (FSPs). FASB Technical Director
Russell Golden said in a press conference following the meeting that the
final FSPs would not be available until next week.
FASB Staff Position no. FAS 157-e, Determining
Whether a Market Is Not Active and a Transaction Is Not Distressed,
establishes a process to determine whether a market is not active and a
transaction is not distressed. The FSP says companies should look at
several factors and use judgment to ascertain if a formerly active
market has become inactive. Once a market is determined to be inactive,
more work will be required. The company must see if observed prices or
broker quotes obtained represent “distressed transactions.” Other
techniques such as a discounted cash flow analysis might also be
appropriate in that circumstance, as long as it meets the objective of
estimating the orderly selling price of the asset in the current market.
The AICPA’s Accounting Standards Executive
Committee (AcSEC) submitted a comment letter to FASB recommending
against adoption of FSP FAS 157-e based on concerns that it could be
interpreted in a way that would contradict the exit price model of FASB
Statement no. 157, Fair Value Measurements.
But following the meeting, AcSEC Chairman Jay
Hanson said he was pleased that FASB clarified during its deliberations
on Thursday that the FSP is not intended to change the measurement
objective of Statement no. 157.
The second FASB document—FSP FAS 115-a, FAS
124-a, and EITF 99-20-b, Recognition and Presentation of
Other-Than-Temporary Impairments—deals with other-than-temporary
impairment (OTTI). This FSP was passed by a 3-2 vote. Under the new
rules, once an OTTI is determined for a debt security, the portion of an
asset write down attributed to credit losses may flow through earnings
and the remaining portion may flow through other comprehensive income,
depending on the situation and facts involved. There will be several new
required disclosures about how the charges are split.
Initial reaction from financial institutions
regarding the new OTTI rules was positive. “I am pleased to see the
changes being made and believe they will provide more accurate financial
information,” said Security Financial Bank CFO Mark C. Oldenberg, CPA.
“I expect there will be substantial discussion on how to determine
‘credit losses’ versus ‘market losses’ and whether to allow recovery of
OTTI losses.”
But at least some investors did not appear to
be quite so enthusiastic. “The new guidance seems to be a result of
government pressure,” said Jason S. Inman, CPA, of McDonnell Investment
Management LLC. “The fair value concept before the change allowed for
greater transparency in the market and for an investor to make a
decision as to whether or not the company had the ability to hold those
assets until recovery.”
“Investors lost on this vote,” wrote former
FASB Emerging Issues Task Force member Jack Ciesielski, CPA, on the AAO
Weblog regarding the new OTTI rules. “And they will have to pay more
attention to other comprehensive income in the future, as it becomes a
more frequently-used receptacle for unwanted debits. When investors note
these ‘detoured charges’ in earnings, they should skip the detour and
factor the full charge into their evaluation of earnings.”
The third piece of guidance—FSP FAS 107-B and
APB 28-A, Interim Disclosures About Fair Value of Financial
Instruments—will increase the frequency from annually to quarterly of
disclosures providing qualitative and quantitative information about
fair value estimates for all those financial instruments not measured on
the balance sheet at fair value.
All three FSPs will be effective for periods
ending after June 15, 2009. Early adoption is permitted for periods
ending after March 15, 2009. However, if a company wants to adopt the
FSP FAS 115-a, FAS 124-a, and EITF 99-20-b in the first quarter, it must
also adopt the FSP FAS 157-e at the same time.
April 3 message from Bob Jensen
Hi David,
I think I can correctly surmise what IASB Board
members who eventually dissent on easing fair value accounting rules, and I
think it will be for the same reasons why two of five FASB Board members
voted against the FASB fair value changes announced at
http://www.fasb.org/action/sbd040209.shtml
Yes Robert Herz
Yes Leslie Seidman
Yes Lawrence Smith
No Thomas
Linsmeier
No Marc
Siegel
Reasons for the No votes have not been announced,
but they probably will be published soon by the FASB.
The same 3-2 voting outcome happened on FSP EITF
99-20-1
Is there a pattern here in FASB voting on Fair Value
Accounting? Maybe not if we accept the rationale give to us by Denny
Beresford. My own opinion is that this is not really a fundamental change in
FAS 157 since Level 3 always allowed valuation based on models. What has
changed is that clients and auditors will no longer be so hesitant to move
down to Level 3 after this official re-affirmation of Level 3 taken by the
FASB on April 2 --- http://seekingalpha.com/article/129189-fasb-s-fsp-decisions-bigger-than-basketball
There are three United States IASB Board Members
Mary Barth, John Smith, and Jim Leisenring. My guess is that two of the
three (maybe all three) will strongly dissent if the IASB follows the April
2 lead on easing fair value accounting rules set by the FASB on April 2.
Mary Barth and John Smith strongly dissented when
the IASB voted to allow entities a free choice between the partial and full
fair value alternatives to goodwill and NCI measurement. Jim Leisingring
went along with the majority of the IASB on that issue, but I think he has
stronger feelings about easing fair value accounting rules. I don’t
anticipate strong objections from the majority of the IASB voting members.
If I’m correct the
dissent is a straw man if you buy into the Level 3 of the original FAS 157.
However, it is a real tiger now that banks will once again be
underestimating bad debt reserves and overstating income with less worry
about investor class action lawsuits. This so-called change in accounting
rules certainly is consistent with “principled-based” accounting standards
and will lead to inconsistencies on how virtually identical financial
instruments are accounted for in practice.
One of the IASB board members is
on my campus today and he fully expects the IASB to follow the FASB's lead,
which he strongly disagrees with. For the record, I think the FASB's action
was much needed clarification of the intent of SFAS 157 and I applaud its
efforts. This was not at all a situation of "bowing to pressure" but rather
one of realizing that earlier guidance hadn't been applied in the intended
manner. The FASB clearly accelerated its work in response to Congressional
concerns but moving too slowly has been a fault of the FASB from the
beginning, including the 10 1/2 years I was there.
April 2, 2009 is a day of
accounting infamy. It is a day in which the Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB) bowed to the pressures of the banking community
and Congress to allow distortions, massagings, and manipulations of the
U.S. financial reports. Because of these cowardly acts, I think it time
for Robert Herz to resign from the FASB.
Robert Herz is the chairman of the FASB,
appointed on July 1, 2002 and reappointed on July 1, 2007. Before this
he was a senior partner with PricewaterhouseCoopers. I have read many of
his papers and I have heard some of his speeches. I have found Mr. Herz
quite intelligent, filled with much knowledge about accounting and
finance, well-mannered, articulate, and an avid defender of the
accounting profession.
Unfortunately, I also find Herz lacking in
courage and moral fortitude. Whenever some bully comes on the scene and
challenges him and the FASB to a fight, he runs away. When accounting
truth is at stake, he compromises and enables corporate managers to use
methods and vehicles by which they can cook the books. Shame!
The first thing the FASB did at its April 2
meeting concerns whether a market is not active and a transaction is not
distressed. In this FSP FAS 157-e, the board allows business enterprises
to weigh the evidence whether the a transaction involved an orderly
market; in reality it will permit managers to ignore distressed
conditions, some of which they themselves created, and to pretend some
“value” based on normalcy. Clearly, this will buoy asset prices on the
balance sheet and reduce losses or create gains on the income statement.
Too bad this is fiction.
In the second matter the FASB addressed
other-than-temporary impairments. In this FSP the FASB permits managers
to overlook other-than-temporary impairments if management believes that
it does not have the intent to sell the security and it is more likely
than not it will not have to sell the security before recovery of its
cost basis. Of course, that will be just about everybody so this is a
vacuous recognition condition.
The FSP goes on to state that gains or losses
due to credit risk will go into the income statement, while noncredit
gains and losses will bypass the income statement and go directly into
comprehensive income. This distinction appears academic as in practice
it is hard to distinguish credit losses from noncredit losses. Clearly,
this decision will give managers ample room to manipulate the income
statement.
The FASB got pushed into this decision and
Robert Herz caved in. This isn’t the first time either. Herz became
chairman after Enron’s special purpose entities exploded on Wall Street
and has yet to do anything about them. These special purpose entities
have also played a part in the current banking crisis. Herz also
presided over the new rules on business combinations. While I applaud
the elimination of the pooling option, which enabled many corporate
frauds, I remain skeptical of the treatment of goodwill, which is
another loophole. And Robert Herz keeps preaching against complexity and
for simplicity and principles-based accounting, which are keywords to
allow corporate executives the power to do as they wish with the
recognition and measurement of revenues and other elements. (Bob, if
these FSPs are based on any legitimate principles, pray tell us which
ones.)
Writing about these items when originally
proposed, Jonathan Weil referred to the
FASB as the Fraudulent Accounting Standards Board.
I am sympathetic with his f-word, but I think it may be too harsh. After
all, the board is “merely” allowing managers to commit fraud without
facing any disincentives. But I think there are other f-words that we
could employ, such as fearful, feckless, and futile.
Mr. Herz, please resign. You are making the
board ineffective as a standard bearer for accounting truth. While I
think you have a sense of right and wrong, you are not willing to hold
bankers accountable for their mistakes and you are not willing to stand
up against politicians who favor lies.
This essay reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily
the opinion of The Pennsylvania State University.
Jensen Comment
Jonathon Weil was a prominent WSJ reporter during the Enron scandal
"GLASS LEWIS NAMED JONATHAN WEIL MANAGING DIRECTOR AND EDITOR OF FINANCIAL
RESEARCH in 2006 ---
http://www.glasslewis.com/downloads/354-38.pdf
"A Fair Value Prescription for "Share Lending:" If it's probable
that the deal's investment bank will default, the issuing company must recognize
an expense equal to the fair value of the unreturned shares, says FASB," by
Robert Willens, CFO.com, July 6, 2009 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/13979193/c_2984368/?f=archives
There are times when a company finds that the
cost of borrowing its own shares is "prohibitive." When that happens, a
company may, and frequently will, enter into a share lending arrangement
in connection with a convertible debt offering. The accounting treatment
for such a transaction has been clarified by the Emerging Issues Task
Force of the Financial Accounting Standards Board, which recently
reached consensus on the manner in which certain specialized share
lending arrangements are to be accounted for.1
The share lending arrangement ordinarily
entails an agreement between the issuing entity and an investment bank
and is intended to facilitate the ability of investors (primarily hedge
funds and other sophisticated investors) to hedge the conversion feature
with respect to the convertible debt.
Typically, the terms of the share lending
arrangement require the company to issue shares to the investment bank
in exchange for a nominal "loan processing fee." Upon the maturity or
conversion of the convertible debt, the investment bank is required to
return the loaned shares to the issuing entity for no additional
consideration. Moreover, the investment bank is generally required to
reimburse the issuing entity for any dividends paid on the loaned shares
and is prohibited from exercising the voting rights associated with the
loaned shares.
The new guidance, EITF Issue No. 09-1, says
that at the date of issuance, a share lending arrangement is required to
be measured at fair value and recognized as a "debt issuance cost" in
the financial statements of the issuing entity. No guidance is provided
regarding how the fair value is to be ascertained. The debt issuance
cost is then amortized, under the "effective interest method," over the
life of the financing arrangement, as interest cost.
If it becomes probable that the counterparty
(the investment bank) will default, the issuer shall recognize an
expense equal to the then fair value of the unreturned shares — net of
the fair value of any probable recoveries — with an offset to the
issuer's additional paid-in capital (APIC) account.
The loaned shares are excluded from both the
basic and diluted earnings per share computation unless default is found
to be probable. When default is probable, the loaned shares would be
included in the earnings per share calculation. Moreover, if dividends
on the loaned shares do not revert back to the issuing entity, all
amounts (including contractual dividends) attributable to the loaned
shares shall be deducted in computing "income available to common
shareholders," which is consistent with the "two-class method" of
computing earnings per share.2
This EITF Issue will be effective for fiscal
years which begin after December 15, 2009, and for interim periods
within those fiscal years.
The other big news items were the the infamous fair value accounting
FASB Staff Positions (FSPs) announced on April 2, 2009. This
relaxation/reinterpretation of fair value definitions and impairment testing
arose largely out of political pressures and accusations that fair value
accounting rules played a large role in the banking crisis of 2008 and
recovery in 2009.
• FSP FAS 157-4, Determining Fair Value When the
Volume and Level of Activity for the Asset or Liability Have Significantly
Decreased and Identifying Transactions That Are Not Orderly ("FSP FAS
157-4") ---
http://www.fasb.org/pdf/fsp_fas157-4.pdf
FSP FAS 157-4, which provides guidance
on determining fair value when market
activity has decreased
FSP FAS 115-2 and FAS 124-2, which
addresses other-than-temporary
impairments for debt securities
FSP FAS 107-1 and APB 28-1, which
discusses fair value disclosures for
financial instruments in interim periods
The Deloitte letter to the IASB provides our
detailed views on each of the final FASB
Staff Positions and contrasts them with
IFRSs. Here are two excerpts from our
letter:
Regarding FAS 157-4, the
Deloitte letter to the IASB
states:
We believe that the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4 is broadly
consistent with the principles
of fair value in IFRSs and the
Expert Advisory Panel document
and therefore an amendment to
IFRSs is not necessary. However,
in light of the IASB's imminent
release of an exposure draft on
Fair Value Measurements, the
IASB should consider whether the
words used in the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4 are
consistent with the exposure
draft and whether the wording of
the exposure draft should be
aligned with the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4. In addition,
the IASB should seek the views
of the Expert Advisory Panel to
establish whether differences in
the words of the FASB Staff
Position FAS 157-4 and the
Expert Advisory Panel report are
expected to have any practical
effect.
Regarding FAS 115-2 and 124-2,
the Deloitte letter to the IASB
states:
As noted in the request for
views, the differences between
U.S. GAAP and IFRSs with respect
to scope, impairment triggers,
impairment measurements, and
recoveries are numerous and
complex. A short term project to
fully converge with FASB's
amendment would entail
substantial changes to IFRSs
that would require significant
efforts and would create
unnecessary complexities (e.g.,
recognizing impairments of
held-to-maturity securities that
are not due to credit in other
comprehensive income). Instead,
we would encourage both Boards
to expedite their work on a
joint standard that would
improve reporting for all
financial instruments including
impairment issues (e.g., loss
recognition triggers,
measurement of losses,
recognition of recoveries,
etc.).
Looking for blue sky above polluted bank accounting hot air Bank Profits Appear Out of Thin Air in 2009
Question What direction did the price of shares of Bank of America move when BofA
announced higher than expected earnings for the first quarter of 2009? Answer Down, because investors suspect that such earnings were not sustainable
while BofA holds billions of dollars of Countrywide and Merrill Lynch toxic
paper that will drive down future earnings due to non-performance of home
owners and business owners who will not fully perform on loans.
The
magic accounting tricks in 2009 are hurting rather than helping to restore
faith in accounting and auditing after the 2008 banking crash.
Sydney Finkelstein, the Steven Roth professor of management at the Tuck
School of Business at Dartmouth College, also pointed out that Bank of
America booked a $2.2 billion gain by increasing the value of Merrill
Lynch’s assets it acquired last quarter to prices that were higher than
Merrill kept them. “Although perfectly legal, this move is also perfectly
delusional, because some day soon these assets will be written down to their
fair value, and it won’t be pretty,” he said "Bank Profits Appear Out of Thin Air
," by Andrew Ross Sorkin, The
New York Times, April 20, 2009 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/21/business/21sorkin.html?_r=1&dbk
This is starting to feel like amateur hour for aspiring magicians.
Another day, another attempt by a Wall Street bank to pull a bunny out
of the hat, showing off an earnings report that it hopes will elicit
oohs and aahs from the market. Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup
and, on Monday, Bank of America all tried to wow their audiences with
what appeared to be — presto! — better-than-expected numbers.
But in each case, investors spotted the attempts at sleight of hand, and
didn’t buy it for a second.
With Goldman Sachs, the disappearing month of December didn’t quite
disappear (it changed its reporting calendar, effectively erasing the
impact of a $1.5 billion loss that month); JPMorgan Chase reported a
dazzling profit partly because the price of its bonds dropped
(theoretically, they could retire them and buy them back at a cheaper
price; that’s sort of like saying you’re richer because the value of
your home has dropped); Citigroup pulled the same trick.
Bank of America sold its shares in China Construction Bank to book a big
one-time profit, but Ken Lewis heralded the results as “a testament to
the value and breadth of the franchise.”
Sydney Finkelstein, the Steven Roth professor of management at the Tuck
School of Business at Dartmouth College, also pointed out that Bank of
America booked a $2.2 billion gain by increasing the value of Merrill
Lynch’s assets it acquired last quarter to prices that were higher than
Merrill kept them.
“Although perfectly legal, this move is also perfectly delusional,
because some day soon these assets will be written down to their fair
value, and it won’t be pretty,” he said.
Investors reacted by throwing tomatoes. Bank of America’s stock plunged
24 percent, as did other bank stocks. They’ve had enough.
Why can’t anybody read the room here? After all the financial wizardry
that got the country — actually, the world — into trouble, why don’t
these bankers give their audience what it seems to crave? Perhaps a bit
of simple math that could fit on the back of an envelope, with no
asterisks and no fine print, might win cheers instead of jeers from the
market.
What’s particularly puzzling is why the banks don’t just try to make
some money the old-fashioned way. After all, earning it, if you could
call it that, has never been easier with a business model sponsored by
the federal government. That’s the one in which Uncle Sam and we
taxpayers are offering the banks dirt-cheap money, which they can turn
around and lend at much higher rates.
“If the federal government let me borrow money at zero percent interest,
and then lend it out at 4 to 12 percent interest, even I could make a
profit,” said Professor Finkelstein of the Tuck School. “And if a
college professor can make money in banking in 2009, what should we
expect from the highly paid C.E.O.’s that populate corner offices?”
But maybe now the banks are simply following the lead of Washington,
which keeps trotting out the latest idea for shoring up the financial
system.
The latest big idea is the so-called stress test that is being applied
to the banks, with results expected at the end of this month.
This is playing to a tough crowd that long ago decided to stop
suspending disbelief. If the stress test is done honestly, it is
impossible to believe that some banks won’t fail. If no bank fails, then
what’s the value of the stress test? To tell us everything is fine, when
people know it’s not?
“I can’t think of a single, positive thing to say about the stress test
concept — the process by which it will be carried out, or outcome it
will produce, no matter what the outcome is,” Thomas K. Brown, an
analyst at Bankstocks.com, wrote. “Nothing good can come of this and,
under certain, non-far-fetched scenarios, it might end up making the
banking system’s problems worse.”
The results of the stress test could lead to calls for capital for some
of the banks. Citi is mentioned most often as a candidate for more help,
but there could be others.
The expectation, before Monday at least, was that the government would
pump new money into the banks that needed it most.
But that was before the government reached into its bag of tricks again.
Now Treasury, instead of putting up new money, is considering swapping
its preferred shares in these banks for common shares.
The benefit to the bank is that it will have more capital to meet its
ratio requirements, and therefore won’t have to pay a 5 percent dividend
to the government. In the case of Citi, that would save the bank
hundreds of millions of dollars a year.
And — ta da! — it will miraculously stretch taxpayer dollars without
spending a penny more.
Last weekend, Harvard University sponsored a
conference called (I am not making this up) "The Free Market Mindset: History,
Psychology, and Consequences." Its purpose was to try to figure out why, since
everyone knows the current crisis amounts to a failure of the market economy,
the stupid rubes continue to believe in it. The promotional literature for the
conference opened with That Quotation from Alan Greenspan — the one in which he
suggested that there was, after all, a "flaw" in the free market he hadn't
noticed before.
Thomas E. Wood, Jr., "Supporters of Capitalism Are Crazy, Says Harvard," Ludwig
von Mises, Institute, March 17, 2009 ---
http://mises.org/story/3379
Jensen Comment
Conservatism's hero Bill Buckley once commented, after the implosion of the
Soviet Union and the tearing down of the Iron Curtain, that the only communists
left in the world worked along the banks of the Charles River (read that
Cambridge, Mass.). Communists can take heart that the person virtually in charge
of the U.S. economy, Lawrence Summers, is a Harvard Professor.
Aides say that Obama was drawn to Summers in part
because the former Harvard president shares the president-elect’s passion for a
more equitable distribution of economic benefits. Obama was impressed during
campaign policy discussions that Summers would often pull the conversation away
from general talk about economic growth to a concern with the living standards
of families with average incomes.” There’s an irony here . . . As Dem-oriented
economists go, Summers used to be known as among the more laissez-faire
oriented. As Dan Froomkin recently wrote at the Washington Post, citing the
Nation’s Christopher Hayes, “It’s hard to imagine the Larry Summers of 1993
saying that income inequality is the ‘defining issue of our time,’ as he
recently did.” But a couple years ago, perhaps sensing the changing political
sands, Summers became a born-again redistributionist. And that made him
attractive to Barack Obama. Mark Finkelstein, "Obama Dug Summers’ Redistributionist
Rap," Finkel Blog, March 19, 2009 ---
http://finkelblog.com/index.php/2009/03/19/obama-dug-summers-redistributionist-rap/
Mark got the quote from E.J. Dionne’s Washington Post column ---
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/11/24/AR2008112402116_pf.html
Gary Becker, the winner of the 1992 Nobel Prize
in Economic Sciences, is in New York to speak to a special meeting of
the Mont Pelerin Society on the global meltdown. He has agreed to sit
down to chat with me on the subject of his lecture.
Slumped in a soft chair in a noisy hotel coffee
lounge, the 78-year-old University of Chicago professor is relaxed and
remarkably humble for a guy who has achieved so much. As I pepper him
with the economic and financial riddles of our time, I am impressed by
how many times his answers, delivered in a pronounced Brooklyn accent,
include an "I think" and sometimes even an "I don't know the answer to
that." It is a reminder of why he is so highly valued. In contrast to a
number of other big-name practitioners of the dismal science, he is a
solid empiricist genuinely in search of answers -- not the job as the
next chairman of the Federal Reserve. What he sees is what you get.
. . .
Mr. Becker sees the finger prints of big
government all over today's economic woes. When I ask him about the
sources of the mania in housing prices, the first culprit he names is
the Fed. Low interest rates, he says, were "partly, maybe mainly, due to
the Fed's policy of keeping [its] interest rates very low during
2002-2004." A second reason rates were low was the "high savings rates
primarily from Asia and also from the rest of the world."
"People debate the relative importance of the
two and I don't think we know exactly," Mr. Becker admits. But what is
clear is that "when you have low interest rates, any long-lived assets
tend to go up in price because they are based upon returns accruing over
many years. When interest rates are low you don't discount these returns
very much and you get high asset prices."
On top of that, Mr. Becker says, there were
government policies aimed at "extending the scope of homeownership in
the United States to low-credit, low-income families." This was done
through "the Community Reinvestment Act in the '70s and then Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac later on" and it put many unqualified borrowers into the
mix.
. . .
How about getting rid of the mark-to-market
pricing of bank assets [that is, pricing assets at the current market
price] that some say has destroyed bank capital?
Mr. Becker says he prefers mark-to-market over "pricing by cost because
costs are often completely out of whack with what the real prices are."
Then he adds this qualifier: "But when you have a very thin market, you
have to be very careful about what it means to mark-to-market. . . .
It's a big problem if you literally take mark-to-market in terms of
prices continuously based on transactions when there are very few
transactions in that market. I am a mark-to-market person but I think
you have to do it in a sensible way."
However that issue is resolved in the short
run, there will remain the problem of institutions growing so big that a
collapse risks taking down the whole system. To deal with the "too big
to fail" problem in the long run, Mr. Becker suggests increasing capital
requirements for financial institutions, as the size of the institution
increases, "so they can't have [so] much leverage." This, he says, "will
discourage banks from getting so big" and "that's fine. That's what we
want to do."
Mr. Becker is underwhelmed by the stimulus
package: "Much of it doesn't have any short-term stimulus. If you raise
research and development, I don't see how it's going to short-run
stimulate the economy. You don't have excess unemployed labor in the
scientific community, in the research community, or in the wind power
creation community, or in the health sector. So I don't see that this
will stimulate the economy, but it will raise the debt and lead to
inefficient spending and a lot of problems."
There is also the more fundamental question of
whether one dollar of government spending can produce one and a half
dollars of economic output, as the administration claims. Mr. Becker is
more than skeptical. "Keynesianism was out of fashion for so long that
we stopped investigating variables the Keynesians would look at such as
the multiplier, and there is almost no evidence on what the multiplier
would be." He thinks that the paper by Christina Romer, chairman of the
Council of Economic Advisors, "saying that the multiplier is about one
and a half [is] based on very weak, even nonexistent evidence." His
guess? "I think it is a lot less than one. It gets higher in recessions
and depressions so it's above zero now but significantly below one. I
don't have a number, I haven't estimated it, but I think it would be
well below one, let me put it that way."
As the interview winds down, I'm thinking more
about how people can make pretty crazy decisions with the right
incentives from government. Does this explain what seems to be a
decreasing amount of personal responsibility in our culture? "When you
get a larger government, when you have the government taking over Social
Security, government taking over health care and with further proposals
now for the government to take over more activities, more entitlements,
the rational response is to have less responsibility. You don't have to
worry about things and plan on your own as much."
That suggests that there is a risk to the U.S.
system with more people relying on entitlements. "Well, they become an
interest group," Mr. Becker says. "The more you have dependence on the
government, the stronger the interest group of people who want to
maintain it. That's one reason why it is so hard to get any major reform
in reducing government spending in Scandinavia and it is increasingly so
in the United States. The government is spending -- at the federal,
state and local level -- a third of GDP, and that share will go up now.
The higher it is the more people who are directly or indirectly
dependent on the government. I am worried about that. The basic theory
of interest-group politics says that they will have more influence and
their influence will be to try to maintain this, and it will be hard to
go back."
Still, there remain many good reasons to
continue the struggle against the current trend, Mr. Becker says. "When
the market economy is compared to alternatives, nothing is better at
raising productivity, reducing poverty, improving health and integrating
the people of the world."
At the direction of the
U.S. Congress, the SEC prepared and released on 30 December 2008 a
study on mark-to-market accounting and its role in the recent
financial crises. Though it concluded that mark-to-market accounting
was not responsible for the crisis, it did make eight
recommendations.
The 259-page document, a result of the Emergency Economic
Stabilization Act of 2008, details an in-depth study of six issues
identified by the Act: effects of fair value accounting standards on
financial institutions' balance sheets; impact of fair value
accounting on bank failures in 2008; impact of fair value accounting
on the quality of financial information available to investors;
process used by the FASB in developing accounting standards;
alternatives to fair value accounting standards; and advisability
and feasibility of modifications to fair value accounting standards.
Its eight recommendations are:
1) SFAS No. 157 should be improved, but not suspended.
2) Existing fair value and mark-to-market requirements should not be
suspended.
3) While the Staff does not recommend a suspension of existing fair
value standards, additional measures should be taken to improve the
application and practice related to existing fair value requirements
(particularly as they relate to both Level 2 and Level 3 estimates).
4) The accounting for financial asset impairments should be
readdressed.
5) Implement further guidance to foster the use of sound judgment.
6) Accounting standards should continue to be established to meet
the needs of investors.
7) Additional formal measures to address the operation of existing
accounting standards in practice should be established.
8) Address the need to simplify the accounting for investments in
financial assets.
On February 18, the FASB
announced the addition of two short-timetable projects to its agenda
concerning fair value measurement and disclosure. The first project
aims to improve application guidance for measurement of fair value,
with issuance projected for the second quarter. The second will
address issues related to input sensitivity analysis and changes in
levels; the FASB anticipates completing that project in time for
calendar-year-end filing deadlines. Both projects were undertaken in
response to the SEC's recent study on mark-to-market accounting and
input from the FASB's Valuation Resource Group.
SFAS No. 157’s fair value hierarchy prioritizes the
inputs to valuation techniques used to measure fair value into three broad
levels. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to unadjusted
quoted prices in active markets (Level 1) and the lowest priority to
unobservable inputs (Level 3). With respect to IFRS, the report states the
following on Page 33:
Currently, under IFRS,
“guidance on measuring fair value is dispersed throughout [IFRS] and
is not always consistent.”52 However, as discussed in Section VII.B,
the IASB is developing an exposure draft on fair value measurement
guidance.
IFRS generally defines
fair value as “the amount for which an asset could be exchanged, or
a liability settled, between knowledgeable, willing parties in an
arm’s length transaction” (with some slight variations in wording in
different standards).53
While this definition is generallyconsistent with SFAS No. 157, it
is not fully converged in the following respects:
•
The definition in
SFAS No. 157 is explicitly an exit price, whereas the definition in
IFRS is neither explicitly an exit price nor an entry price.
•
SFAS No. 157
explicitly refers to market participants, which is defined by the
standard, whereas IFRS simply refers to knowledgeable, willing
parties in an arm’s length transaction.
•
For liabilities,
the definition of fair value in SFAS No. 157 rests on the notion
that the liability is transferred (the liability to the counterparty
continues), whereas the definition in IFRS refers to the amount at
which a liability could be settled.
The Securities and Exchange Commission
recommended against suspending fair-value accounting rules, instead
suggesting improvements to deal with illiquid markets and reducing the
number of models used to measure impaired assets.
In a 211-page report to U.S. lawmakers, as
expected, the agency's staff Tuesday definitely recommended that
fair-value and mark-to-market not be eliminated or suspended. "The
abrupt elimination of fair value and market-to-market requirements would
erode investor confidence," the report said.
The banking lobby has argued that financial
institutions have been forced to write off as losses still-valuable
assets because the market for them had dried up, creating a spiral of
write-downs and asset sales.
The report said that staff found no evidence to
suggest that the accounting rules had played a significant role in the
collapse of U.S. financial institutions. "While the application of fair
value varies among these banks...in each case studied it does not appear
that the application of fair value can be considered to have been a
proximate cause of the failure," the report said.
Additionally, the SEC suggests that the
Financial Accounting Standards Board narrow the number of accounting
models firms can use to assess the impairment for financial instruments.
"Robert H. Herz, Chairman of the Financial Accounting Standards Board, today
announced the addition of new FASB agenda projects intended to improve
(1) the application guidance used to determine fair values and
(2) disclosure of fair value estimates.
"FASB Initiates Projects to Improve Measurement and Disclosure of Fair Value
Estimates," SmartPros, February 18, 2009 ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x65563.xml
The projects were added in response to recommendations contained in the
Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) recent study on
mark-to-market accounting, as well as input provided by the FASB's
Valuation Resource Group, a group of valuation and accounting
professionals who provide the FASB staff and Board with information on
implementation issues surrounding fair value measurements used for
financial statement reporting purposes.
"The SEC expressed continued support of fair
value accounting in its study, but recommended consideration of
potential improvements in the guidance surrounding the application of
fair value principles," stated Chairman Herz. "We agree with the SEC and
with our Valuation Resource Group that more application guidance to
determine fair values is needed in current market conditions.
Additionally, investors have asked for more information and disclosure
about fair value estimates. Therefore, the FASB is immediately embarking
on projects that directly address areas that constituents have told us
are challenging in the current environment, and which will improve
disclosures in financial reports."
The fair value projects address both
application and disclosure guidance:
-- The projects on application guidance will
address determining when a market for an asset or a liability is active
or inactive; determining when a transaction is distressed; and applying
fair value to interests in alternative investments, such as hedge funds
and private equity funds.
-- The project on improving disclosures about
fair value measurements will consider requiring additional disclosures
on such matters as sensitivities of measurements to key inputs and
transfers of securities between categories.
The FASB anticipates completing projects on
application guidance by the end of the second quarter of 2009, and the
project on improving disclosures in time for year-end financial
reporting. The FASB has also recently proposed enhanced disclosures in
interim reports relating to the fair values of financial instruments.
(Proposed FASB Staff Position (FSP) FAS 107-b and APB 28-a is available
at
http://www.fasb.org/fasb_staff_positions/prop_fsp_fas107-b&apb28-a.pdf
).
As previously announced, the FASB has also
commenced work with the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB)
on a more comprehensive project to improve, simplify, and converge the
accounting for financial instruments. The Boards are obtaining input on
that project from a number of sources, including the senior-level
Financial Crisis Advisory Group that has been formed to assist the FASB
and the IASB in evaluating financial reporting issues emanating from the
global financial crisis.
The SEC study, entitled Report and
Recommendations Pursuant to Section 133 of the Emergency Economic
Stabilization Act of 2008: Study on Mark-To-Market Accounting,, was
issued to Congress by the SEC's Office of the Chief Accountant and
Division of Corporate Finance on December 30, 2008, as mandated by the
Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008. The 211-page report
recommended against suspension of fair value accounting standards, and
instead recommended specific improvements to existing practice. The
report reaffirms that investors generally believe fair value accounting
increases financial reporting transparency, and that the information it
provides helps result in better investment decision-making. (The report
is available at
http://www.sec.gov/news/studies/2008/marktomarket123008.pdf .)
The FASB Valuation Resource Group met on
February 5, 2009 to provide input on fair value issues to the Board. The
group was formed in June 2007, as a result of feedback received from
constituents calling for the Board to address issues relating to
valuation for financial reporting. More information about the VRG and
its members is available at
http://www.fasb.org/project/valuation_resource_group.shtml#background.
Continued in article
Forbes serves up barf --- No worse than barf!
It's clear that Forbes never read the excellent December 2008 SEC research
report on this topic.
"Obama Repeats Bush's Worst Market Mistakes: Bad accounting rules are
the cause of the banking crisis," by Steve Forbes, The Wall Street Journal,
March 6, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123630304198047321.html?mod=djemEditorialPage
What is most astounding about President Barack
Obama's radical economic recovery program isn't its breadth, but its
continuation of the most destructive policies of the Bush
administration. These Bush policies were in themselves repudiations of
Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Mr. Obama's hero.
The most disastrous Bush policy that Mr. Obama
is perpetuating is mark-to-market or "fair value" accounting for banks,
insurance companies and other financial institutions. The idea seems
harmless: Financial institutions should adjust their balance sheets and
their capital accounts when the market value of the financial assets
they hold goes up or down.
That works when you have very liquid
securities, such as Treasurys, or the common stock of IBM or GE. But
when the credit crisis hit in 2007, there was no market for subprime
securities and other suspect assets. Yet regulators and auditors kept
pressing banks and other financial firms to knock down the book value of
this paper, even in cases where these obligations were being fully
serviced in the payment of principal and interest. Thus, under
mark-to-market, even non-suspect assets are being artificially knocked
down in value for regulatory capital (the amount of capital required by
regulators for industries like banks and life insurance).
Banks and life insurance companies that have
positive cash flows now find themselves in a death spiral. Of the more
than $700 billion that financial institutions have written off, almost
all of it has been book write-downs, not actual cash losses. When banks
or insurers write down the value of their assets they have to get new
capital. And the need for new capital is a signal to ratings agencies
that these outfits might deserve a credit-rating reduction.
So although banks have twice the amount of cash
on hand that they did a year ago, they lend only under duress, or apply
onerous conditions that would warm Tony Soprano's heart. This is because
they know that every time they make a loan or an investment there is a
risk of a book write-down, even if the loan is unimpaired.
If this rigid mark-to-market accounting had
been in effect during the banking trouble in the early 1990s, almost
every major commercial bank in the U.S. would have collapsed because of
shaky Latin American and commercial real estate loans. We would have had
a second Great Depression.
But put aside for a moment the absurdity of
trying to price assets in a disrupted or non-existent market, of not
distinguishing between distress prices and "normal" prices. Regulatory
capital by its definition should take the long view when it comes to
valuation; day-to-day fluctuations shouldn't matter. Assets should be
kept on the books at the price they were obtained, as long as the assets
haven't actually been impaired.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
By now investors know which large banks are stuck with trillions of dollars
in non-performing loans. Wrapping them gold ribbons by reporting them way
above market value is hardly going to induce investors to go out an buy
enormous amounts of common shares of CitiBank, Bank of America, Wells Fargo,
and JP Morgan. This artificial gilding of capital ratios does nothing to
solve the problem of detoxifying the poison of non-performing loans and
poisonous collateralized bonds.
"Former FDIC Chief: Fair Value Caused the Crisis: Things
were fine before the accounting standards-setters barged in and "destroyed
hundreds of billions of dollars of capital," he contends," by David M. Katz,
CFO.com, October 29, 2008 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/12502908
In perhaps the most sweeping indictment of
fair-value accounting to date, the chairman of the Federal Deposit
Insurance Corporation during the 1980s savings-and-loan debacle told the
Securities and Exchange Commission today that mark-to-market accounting
rules caused the current financial meltdown.
Speaking at an SEC panel on mark-to-market
accounting and the recent period of market turmoil, William Isaac, FDIC
chairman from 1978 to 1985 and now the chairman of a consulting firm
that advises banks, said that before FAS 157, the controversial
accounting standard issued in 2006 that spells out how companies should
measure assets and liabilities that have been marked to market, took
hold, subprime losses were "a little biddy problem."
Isaac rhetorically asked the participants how
the financial system could have come upon such hard times in under two
years. "I gotta tell you that I can't come up with any other answer than
that the accounting system is destroying too much capital, and therefore
diminishing bank lending capacity by some $5 trillion," he asserted.
"It's due to the accounting system, and I can't come up with any other
explanation."
As of late 2006, Isaac, now chairman of The
Secura Group, a financial institutions consulting firm, argued,
"inflation was under control, economic growth was good, unemployment was
low, and there were no major credit problems in the banking system."
There were $1.2 trillion worth of U.S. subprime mortgages, with about
$300 billion provided by FDIC-insured banks and the rest held by
investors world-wide.
Since subprime losses were estimated to be
about 20 percent in 2006, federally insured U.S. banks had lost about
$60 billion in that market, according to Isaac. But those banks had
recorded about $150 billion in after-tax earnings and had $1.4 trillion
of capital.
The devastation that followed stemmed largely
from the tendency of accounting standards-setters and regulators to
force banks, by means of their litigation-shy auditors, to mark their
illiquid assets down to "unrealistic fire-sale prices," the former FDIC
chief asserted. The fair-value rules "have destroyed hundreds of
billions of dollars of capital in our financial system, causing lending
capacity to be diminished by ten times that amount," he said in his
prepared remarks.
Noting that 157 was issued in 2006, Isaac noted
that he wasn't "asking that we change the whole system of accounting
that has been developed for centuries." Instead, he said, "I'm asking
for a very bad rule to be suspended until we can think about this more
and stop destroying so much capital in our financial system. I think
that's a basic step that needs to be taken immediately."
Isaac added that it's his "fervent hope that
the SEC will recommend in its report to Congress that we abandon
mark-to-market accounting altogether." The panel was held as part of the
commission's effort to comply with a requirement in the Emergency
Economic Stabilization Act signed earlier this month that the SEC
complete a study of mark-to-market's role in the current crisis by Jan.
2, 2009.
Isaac's remarks seemed to underline the highly
polarized current state of the fair-value debate, with the banking
industry pitted in fierce opposition to mark-to-market against the
strong defense of investors and auditors. The latter point of view was
represented by Ray Ball, a professor of accounting at the University of
Chicago's graduate school of business. Noting that fair value has been a
subject of accounting debate for five decades, he declared, "I think it
would be a terrible shame if we shoot the messenger and ignore the
message" mark-to-market accounting conveys about the current condition
of banks.
Similarly, Vincent Colman, a partner at
PricewaterhouseCoopers, encouraged the SEC to look at the "root causes"
of the crisis, "including those that go beyond accounting and financial
reporting." In particular, regulators should refine current capital
guidelines and enforce "an independent standards- setting process"
that's free of political influence, he said.
The auditor urged the commission to keep the
current fair-value rules intact during the credit crisis. "Any
fundamental change to fair value runs the risk of reducing confidence
among investors," he said, "which tends to restrict the flow of
capital."
Espousing a middle position in the debate,
Damon Silvers, associate general counsel for the AFL-CIO, asserted that
there were errors on both sides. Countering fair value's critics on the
banking side, he said that the opacity in the reporting of mortgage
securitizations is a root cause of the credit freeze.
Further, even if fair-value accounting were
eliminated, the trillions of dollars of distressed mortgage-backed
assets on bank balance sheets "are never going to be worth their full
value," he said. "Assuming that those people who are thrown out of their
homes will return with a pile of cash is deeply deluded."
On the other hand, 157's provision that
companies holding assets and liabilities in inactive markets need to use
models to value them runs the risk of "making a complete hash of
financial statements," according to Silvers.
The provision causes companies to move "further
and further away from the stated mark-to-market regime," he observed.
"If we don't have that market [on which to base valuations], we move to
a more baroque series of arrangements."
Jensen Comment
In calling for the suspension of FAS 157, Isaac was joined by most other
bankers, Congressional representatives, and billionaires Steve Forbes
and Warren Buffet
Congress Ordered the SEC to Conduct a Hurried Research Study into Fair
Value Accounting in the Context of the Banking Crisis
The wonderful December 30, 2008 research report of the SEC shows that fair value
accounting is neither the cause nor the cure for the banking crisis. The
liquidity problem of the holders of the toxic investments is caused by trillions
of dollars invested in underperforming (often zero performing) of bad
investments mortgages or mortgaged-backed bonds that have to be written down
unless auditors agree to simply lie about values. That is not likely to happen,
but client pressures on auditors to value on the high side for many properties
will be heavy handed.
The wonderful full SEC report that bankers and regulators do not want to read
can be freely downloaded at
http://www.sec.gov/news/studies/2008/marktomarket123008.pdf
But political pressures mounted in spite of the
SEC research findings. On April 2, 2009 in a 3-2 vote the FASB reached a highly
controversial decision to ease fair value accounting in such a way that banks
will be able to report higher earnings due to changes in accounting rules.
Following a hearing
at a House Financial Services subcommittee last week, the Financial
Accounting Standards Board (FASB) agreed to expedite release of their
proposed guidance for the application of FAS 157 "Fair Value
Measurement." The proposed guidance was published for public comment on
March 17th and will be voted on by the Board on April 2. If approved,
the FASB recommends that the guidance be effective for interim and
annual periods ending after March 15, 2009. According to CFO.com, FASB
chairman, Robert H. Herz, chairman of the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (FASB), told legislators, "We can have the guidance in three
weeks, but whether that will fix everything is another [issue]."
SB's proposal give more detailed guidance for
valuing assets that would be classified as Level 3 under FAS 157, where
values are assigned in the absence of an active market or where a sale
has occurred in distressed circumstances when prices are temporarily
weighed down. The new guidance allows companies to use their own models
and estimates and exercise "significant judgment" to determine whether a
market exists or whether the input is from a distressed sale. Under FAS
157, financial instruments' fair values cannot be based on distressed
sales.
FASB had planned to issue the proposed guidance
by the end of the second quarter. A study on mark-to-market accounting
standards conducted by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC),
which was mandated by the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008,
concluded that more application guidance to determine fair values was
needed in current market conditions. On February 18, Herz announced that
FASB agreed with the SEC study and would develop additional guidance.
Thomas Linsmeier, FASB board member, said that
they hoped that the new guidance could lead to more accurate and
possibly higher values, CFO.com reports. "What we are voting on will
hopefully elevate fair values to a more reasonable price so investors
are more comfortable investing in the banking system," he said.
Edward Yingling, president of the American
Bankers Association, said in a statement he welcomed the proposal but
expressed caution about the ways it might be used by auditors,
MarketWatch says. "While we welcome today's news, it will be important
to look at the details of the written proposal to see how fully it
improves the guidance. It will also be imperative to examine the
practical effect the proposal will have based on the various ways it is
interpreted."
The FASB proposal recommends that companies
take two steps to determine whether there an active market exists and
whether a recent sale is distressed before applying their own models and
judgment:
Step 1: Determine whether there are
factors present that indicate that the market for the asset is not
active at the measurement date. Factors include:
Few recent transactions (based on volume
and level of activity in the market). Thus, there is not sufficient
frequency and volume to provide pricing information on an ongoing
basis.
Price quotations are not based on current
information.
Price quotations vary substantially either
over time or among market makers (for example, some brokered
markets).
Indices that previously were highly
correlated with the fair values of the asset are demonstrably
uncorrelated with recent fair values.
Abnormal (or significant increases in)
liquidity risk premiums or implied yields for quoted prices when
compared to reasonable estimates of credit and other nonperformance
risk for the asset class.
Significant widening of the bid-ask
spread.
Little information is released publicly
(for example, a principal-to-principal market).
If after evaluating all the factors the sum of
the evidence indicates that the market is not active, the reporting
entity shall apply step 2.
Step 2: Evaluate the quoted price (that
is, a recent transaction or broker price quotation) to determine whether
the quoted price is not associated with a distressed transaction. The
reporting entity shall presume that the quoted price is associated with
a distressed transaction unless the reporting entity has evidence that
indicates that both of the following factors are present for a given
quoted price:
There was a period prior to the
measurement date to allow for marketing activities that are usual
and customary for transactions involving such assets or liabilities
(for example, there was not a regulatory requirement to sell).
There were multiple bidders for the asset.
The proposed guidance also provides examples of
measurement approaches in the event that the observable input is from a
distressed sale.
At Monday's meeting, Herz deflated any beliefs
that FASB's new guidance will be a panacea for the many ills of the U.S.
economy. "There's not much accounting can do other than help people get
the facts and use their best judgment," he said.
The International Accounting Standards Board,
which sets accounting rules followed by more than 100 countries, plans
to publish a draft rule to replace and simplify fair-value accounting
rules. Critics say the rules have exacerbated the credit crunch by
forcing write-downs. "We plan to replace it, the whole thing. We want to
stop patching up the standard and we want to write a new one. We are
aware that the current model is too complex. We need to simplify.... We
will move to exposure draft hopefully within the next six months," said
Philippe Danjou, a member of the IASB board.
Finally, the FASB held its long-anticipated meeting
on the two FSPs that would have gutted fair value
reporting as it exists. There's been more hoopla
(and hope-la) about these two amendments than in all
of March Madness.
Briefly, here's what transpired, as best as I could
tell from the webcast of the meeting:
1. FSP 157-e, the
proposal which would have provided a direct route to
Level 3 modeling of fair values whenever there was a
problem with quoted prices, will be quite different
from the original plan. There will be indicators of
inactive markets in the final FSP, but they'll only
be indicators for a preparer to consider - and more
importantly, their presence WILL NOT create a
presumption of a distressed price for securities in
question. That part of the proposal would have
greased the skids for Level 3 modeling. Not now.
There will be added required
disclosures, which were not in the exposure draft.
One that I caught: quarterly "aging" disclosures of
the securities that are in a continuous loss
position for more than 12 months and less than 12
months. As discussed in last week's report on the
proposals, these now-annual disclosures are useful
for assessing riskiness of assets that could become
a firm's next other-than-temporary impairment
charge.
Bottom line: investors didn't lose here.
2. FSP FAS 115-a,
124-a, and EITF 99-20-b, the proposal that
softens the blow of recognizing other-than-temporary
impairments, was essentially unchanged from the
original proposal. It remains a chancre on the body
of accounting literature. The credit portion of an
other-than-impairment loss will be recognized in
earnings, with all other attributed loss being
recorded in "other comprehensive income," to be
amortized into earnings over the life of the
associated security. That's assuming the
other-than-temporary impairment is recognized at
all, because the determination will still be largely
driven by the intent of the reporting entity and
whether it's more likely than not that it will have
to sell the security before recovery. This is a huge
mulligan for banks with junky securities.
If OTT charges are taken, the
full amount of the impairment will be disclosed on
the income statement with the amount being shunted
into other comprehensive income shown as a reduction
of the loss, leaving only the credit portion to be
recognized in current period earnings.
Bottom line:
Investors lost on this vote, and they will have to
pay more attention to OCI in the future, as it
becomes a more frequently-used receptacle for
unwanted debits. When investors note these "detoured
charges" in earnings, they should skip the detour
and factor the full charge into their evaluation of
earnings. A small victory for investors: the
original proposal would have included
other-than-temporary impairments on equity
securities. The final decision will affect only debt
securities.
There was a third, much less-heralded FSP voted upon
at the meeting:
3. FSP FAS 107-a and APB
28-a, which
will make the now-annual fair value disclosures for
all financial instruments required on a quarterly
basis. This will be required beginning in the second
quarter, with early implementation allowed in the
first quarter.
All three FSPs will become
effective in the second quarter, with early
implementation allowed in the first quarter. Note:
any firm electing early adoption of the impairment
FSP cannot wait until later to adopt the FSP 157-e
fair value amendment. If they change the way they
recognize impairments, they also have to change how
they consider the calculation of fair values.
Some board members expressed hope that this
was the last of the "emergency amendments"
to take place at the end of a reporting
period. It seems too much to hope for; there
could more ahead, depending on how
meddlesome the G-20 would like to be.
Remember when IFRS in the United States was
a hot topic? To a very large degree, that
sprouted from a trans-Atlantic summit
meeting between the EU and the White House.
The same thing could happen again if the
G-20 gang decides they know accounting
better than the standard-setters.
Exactly three weeks after FASB Chairman Robert
Herz’s March 12 testimony before a rancorous House Financial Services
subcommittee, the independent standard-setting board voted Thursday to
release three new pieces of guidance to address concerns over the
application of fair value accounting standards in current market
conditions.
All three new pronouncements will be published
in the form of FASB Staff Positions (FSPs). FASB Technical Director
Russell Golden said in a press conference following the meeting that the
final FSPs would not be available until next week.
FASB Staff Position no. FAS 157-e, Determining
Whether a Market Is Not Active and a Transaction Is Not Distressed,
establishes a process to determine whether a market is not active and a
transaction is not distressed. The FSP says companies should look at
several factors and use judgment to ascertain if a formerly active
market has become inactive. Once a market is determined to be inactive,
more work will be required. The company must see if observed prices or
broker quotes obtained represent “distressed transactions.” Other
techniques such as a discounted cash flow analysis might also be
appropriate in that circumstance, as long as it meets the objective of
estimating the orderly selling price of the asset in the current market.
The AICPA’s Accounting Standards Executive
Committee (AcSEC) submitted a comment letter to FASB recommending
against adoption of FSP FAS 157-e based on concerns that it could be
interpreted in a way that would contradict the exit price model of FASB
Statement no. 157, Fair Value Measurements.
But following the meeting, AcSEC Chairman Jay
Hanson said he was pleased that FASB clarified during its deliberations
on Thursday that the FSP is not intended to change the measurement
objective of Statement no. 157.
The second FASB document—FSP FAS 115-a, FAS
124-a, and EITF 99-20-b, Recognition and Presentation of
Other-Than-Temporary Impairments—deals with other-than-temporary
impairment (OTTI). This FSP was passed by a 3-2 vote. Under the new
rules, once an OTTI is determined for a debt security, the portion of an
asset write down attributed to credit losses may flow through earnings
and the remaining portion may flow through other comprehensive income,
depending on the situation and facts involved. There will be several new
required disclosures about how the charges are split.
Initial reaction from financial institutions
regarding the new OTTI rules was positive. “I am pleased to see the
changes being made and believe they will provide more accurate financial
information,” said Security Financial Bank CFO Mark C. Oldenberg, CPA.
“I expect there will be substantial discussion on how to determine
‘credit losses’ versus ‘market losses’ and whether to allow recovery of
OTTI losses.”
But at least some investors did not appear to
be quite so enthusiastic. “The new guidance seems to be a result of
government pressure,” said Jason S. Inman, CPA, of McDonnell Investment
Management LLC. “The fair value concept before the change allowed for
greater transparency in the market and for an investor to make a
decision as to whether or not the company had the ability to hold those
assets until recovery.”
“Investors lost on this vote,” wrote former
FASB Emerging Issues Task Force member Jack Ciesielski, CPA, on the AAO
Weblog regarding the new OTTI rules. “And they will have to pay more
attention to other comprehensive income in the future, as it becomes a
more frequently-used receptacle for unwanted debits. When investors note
these ‘detoured charges’ in earnings, they should skip the detour and
factor the full charge into their evaluation of earnings.”
The third piece of guidance—FSP FAS 107-B and
APB 28-A, Interim Disclosures About Fair Value of Financial
Instruments—will increase the frequency from annually to quarterly of
disclosures providing qualitative and quantitative information about
fair value estimates for all those financial instruments not measured on
the balance sheet at fair value.
All three FSPs will be effective for periods
ending after June 15, 2009. Early adoption is permitted for periods
ending after March 15, 2009. However, if a company wants to adopt the
FSP FAS 115-a, FAS 124-a, and EITF 99-20-b in the first quarter, it must
also adopt the FSP FAS 157-e at the same time.
April 3 message from Bob Jensen
Hi David,
I think I can correctly surmise what IASB Board
members who eventually dissent on easing fair value accounting rules, and I
think I it will be for the same reasons why two of five FASB Board members
voted against the FASB fair value changes announced at
http://www.fasb.org/action/sbd040209.shtml
Yes Robert Herz
Yes Leslie Seidman
Yes Lawrence Smith No Thomas
Linsmeier
No Marc
Siegel
Reasons for the No votes have not been announced,
but they probably will be published soon by the FASB.
The same 3-2 voting outcome happened on FSP EITF
99-20-1
Is there a pattern here in FASB voting on Fair Value
Accounting? Maybe not if we accept the rationale give to us by Denny
Beresford. My own opinion is that this is not really a fundamental change in
FAS 157 since Level 3 always allowed valuation based on models. What has
changed is that clients and auditors will no longer be so hesitant to move
down to Level 3 after this official re-affirmation of Level 3 taken by the
FASB on April 2 --- http://seekingalpha.com/article/129189-fasb-s-fsp-decisions-bigger-than-basketball
There are three United States IASB Board Members
Mary Barth, John Smith, and Jim Leisenring. My guess is that two of the
three (maybe all three) will strongly dissent if the IASB follows the April
2 lead on easing fair value accounting rules set by the FASB on April 2.
Mary Barth and John Smith strongly dissented when
the IASB voted to allow entities a free choice between the partial and full
fair value alternatives to goodwill and NCI measurement. Jim Leisingring
went along with the majority of the IASB on that issue, but I think he has
stronger feelings about easing fair value accounting rules. I don’t
anticipate strong objections from the majority of the IASB voting members.
If I’m correct the
dissent is a straw man if you buy into the Level 3 of the original FAS 157.
However, it is a real tiger now that banks will once again be
underestimating bad debt reserves and overstating income with less worry
about investor class action lawsuits. This so-called change in accounting
rules certainly is consistent with “principled-based” accounting standards
and will lead to inconsistencies on how virtually identical financial
instruments are accounted for in practice.
One of the IASB board members is
on my campus today and he fully expects the IASB to follow the FASB's lead,
which he strongly disagrees with. For the record, I think the FASB's action
was much needed clarification of the intent of SFAS 157 and I applaud its
efforts. This was not at all a situation of "bowing to pressure" but rather
one of realizing that earlier guidance hadn't been applied in the intended
manner. The FASB clearly accelerated its work in response to Congressional
concerns but moving too slowly has been a fault of the FASB from the
beginning, including the 10 1/2 years I was there.
April 2, 2009 is a day of
accounting infamy. It is a day in which the Financial Accounting Standards
Board (FASB) bowed to the pressures of the banking community and Congress to
allow distortions, massagings, and manipulations of the U.S. financial
reports. Because of these cowardly acts, I think it time for Robert Herz to
resign from the FASB.
Robert Herz is the chairman of the FASB, appointed
on July 1, 2002 and reappointed on July 1, 2007. Before this he was a senior
partner with PricewaterhouseCoopers. I have read many of his papers and I
have heard some of his speeches. I have found Mr. Herz quite intelligent,
filled with much knowledge about accounting and finance, well-mannered,
articulate, and an avid defender of the accounting profession.
Unfortunately, I also find Herz lacking in courage
and moral fortitude. Whenever some bully comes on the scene and challenges
him and the FASB to a fight, he runs away. When accounting truth is at
stake, he compromises and enables corporate managers to use methods and
vehicles by which they can cook the books. Shame!
The first thing the FASB did at its April 2 meeting
concerns whether a market is not active and a transaction is not distressed.
In this FSP FAS 157-e, the board allows business enterprises to weigh the
evidence whether the a transaction involved an orderly market; in reality it
will permit managers to ignore distressed conditions, some of which they
themselves created, and to pretend some “value” based on normalcy. Clearly,
this will buoy asset prices on the balance sheet and reduce losses or create
gains on the income statement. Too bad this is fiction.
In the second matter the FASB addressed
other-than-temporary impairments. In this FSP the FASB permits managers to
overlook other-than-temporary impairments if management believes that it
does not have the intent to sell the security and it is more likely than not
it will not have to sell the security before recovery of its cost basis. Of
course, that will be just about everybody so this is a vacuous recognition
condition.
The FSP goes on to state that gains or losses due
to credit risk will go into the income statement, while noncredit gains and
losses will bypass the income statement and go directly into comprehensive
income. This distinction appears academic as in practice it is hard to
distinguish credit losses from noncredit losses. Clearly, this decision will
give managers ample room to manipulate the income statement.
The FASB got pushed into this decision and Robert
Herz caved in. This isn’t the first time either. Herz became chairman after
Enron’s special purpose entities exploded on Wall Street and has yet to do
anything about them. These special purpose entities have also played a part
in the current banking crisis. Herz also presided over the new rules on
business combinations. While I applaud the elimination of the pooling
option, which enabled many corporate frauds, I remain skeptical of the
treatment of goodwill, which is another loophole. And Robert Herz keeps
preaching against complexity and for simplicity and principles-based
accounting, which are keywords to allow corporate executives the power to do
as they wish with the recognition and measurement of revenues and other
elements. (Bob, if these FSPs are based on any legitimate principles, pray
tell us which ones.)
Writing about these items when originally proposed,
Jonathan Weil referred to the FASB as the
Fraudulent Accounting Standards Board. I am
sympathetic with his f-word, but I think it may be too harsh. After all, the
board is “merely” allowing managers to commit fraud without facing any
disincentives. But I think there are other f-words that we could employ,
such as fearful, feckless, and futile.
Mr. Herz, please resign. You are making the board
ineffective as a standard bearer for accounting truth. While I think you
have a sense of right and wrong, you are not willing to hold bankers
accountable for their mistakes and you are not willing to stand up against
politicians who favor lies.
This essay reflects the opinion of the author and not necessarily the
opinion of The Pennsylvania State University.
Jensen Comment
Jonathon Weil was a prominent WSJ reporter during the Enron scandal
"GLASS LEWIS NAMED JONATHAN WEIL MANAGING DIRECTOR AND EDITOR OF FINANCIAL
RESEARCH in 2006 ---
http://www.glasslewis.com/downloads/354-38.pdf
The idea that massive changes have been made is a
huge overstatement. FASB is basically reiterating what it has said all along. A
number of comments from both bank insiders and analysts indicate that no
material changes have been made, . . . Estimates vary but it seems MTM
changes won’t have as big an impact as some would like to believe. Remember, as
Jim Chanos pointed out, the vast majority of bank assets such as ordinary loans,
are NOT marked to market and that the delinquencies on almost all classes of
loans continue to rise. Thus relaxing mark to market will not help stop the
rising delinquencies across a wide swathe of bank assets. The idea that giving bank executives more leeway in how
they price their assets when a large part of the current problems is a lack of
transparency is laughable. "Latest on Mark to Market Scapegoat," The Fundamental Analyst,
on April 2, 2009 ---
http://www.thefundamentalanalyst.com/?p=1145
Jensen Comment
Although I tend to agree that the FASB's April 2, 2009 change was not that much
of a change at all since Level 3 value estimates could come from subjective
estimates of future streams of cash flows. However, the problem will be that the
banks themselves use this re-enforce banks to depart from market on bad debt
reserves. Banks will accordingly understate bad debt reserves and overstate
earnings.
It's certain that FAS 157 needs some amending for broken markets, but
what Isaac and Forbes are proposing serve as no basis for improvements on
FAS 157. After Isaac proposed elimination of fair value accounting for
troubled banks, Congress ordered, in no uncertain terms, the SEC to do a
research study on what was causing so many bank failures like the huge
failures of WaMu and Indy Mac. Although the SEC has been disgraced for a lot
of reasons as of late, the particular study that emerged in a very short
period of time (December 2008) is an excellent study of why banks were
failing.
In particular, beginning on Page 100 of the study the SEC reports on why
22 large-size, medium-size, and small-size banks failed. It turns out that
most assets and liabilities of banks are not marked to market in the first
place. Secondly, fair value adjustments downward has not been the problem of
recent bank failures. The problem is non-performing loans, dangerous
management of financial risk, fraud in property valuations (which was
especially bad at WaMu), and terrible management in general.
If you want to blame accountants, blame the auditors for not raising
going concern questions about the failed banks ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
Blame them for badly understating bad debt reserves.
But don't blame them or the FASB/IASB standard setters for fair value
accounting.
And this is from an old accounting professor who favors fair value
accounting for financial and derivative financial instruments but fights
against fair value accountign for non-financial instruments ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue
I'll bet you 99-1 odds that Steve Forbes never read this excellent SEC
study:
"Report and Recommendations Pursuant to Section 133 of the Emergency
Economic Stabilization Act of 2008: Study on Mark-To-Market Accounting" The full report can be freely downloaded at
http://www.sec.gov/news/studies/2008/marktomarket123008.pdf. (pdf)
How to play tricks on fair value accounting by "managing" the closing
price of key securities in the portfolio
Painting the Tape (also called Banging the Close) This occurs when a portfolio manager holding a
security buys a few additional shares right at the close of business at an
inflated price. For example, if he held shares in XYZ Corp on the last day
of the reporting period (and it's selling at, say $50), he might put in
small orders at a higher price to inflate the closing price (which is
what's reported). Do this for a couple dozen stocks in the portfolio, and
the reported performance goes up. Of course, it goes back down the next day,
but it looks good on the annual report.
Jason Zweig, "Pay Attention to That Window Behind the Curtain," The Wall
Street Journal, December 20, 2008 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122973369481523187.html?
Question
What recent 3-2 FASB vote riles the feathers of Tom Selling with innuendos that
the banking industry and large accounting firms had too much influence on a vote
that was not in the best interests of accounting transparency for investors?
A "Who Done It?"
"FSP EITF 99-20-1: Dissenting Board Members Hit the Nail on the Head," by Tom
Selling, The Accounting Onion, January 14, 2009 ---
http://accountingonion.typepad.com/theaccountingonion/2009/01/fsp-eitf-99-20.html
Jensen Comment
I perform the despicable deed of (almost) revealing the ending of his mystery to
those who've not yet read the mystery. What must our students think?
About Those Brave Dissenters
And, who were those masked men (or woman)? If I
give you a list of the current FASB members along with a brief description
of their backgrounds, I'm betting you can guess correctly, even without
knowing anything else about them:
* Robert Herz -- former ...
* Thomas Linsmeier -- former ...
* Leslie Seidman -- former ...
* Marc Siegel -- a recognized ...
* Lawrence Smith -- former ...
They are X and Y, of course -- the only two who did
not spend the bulk of their careers serving corporate clients. And
incidentally, they are the two most recent additions to the FASB.
The likes of X and Y give me some hope for the
future of standard setting following the second major financial reporting
crisis of the decade. If we could somehow get just one more on the board
like them, the SEC's recommendations to the FASB can become a reality long
before the IASB gets its act together.
Like most accounting issues, reasonable people
can disagree on the best accounting for this situation. For example, I
refer readers to comment letter 7 on this FASB project written by yours
truly. The letter agrees with the majority FASB position and further
explains why the current "other than temporary impairment" model ought
to be reconsidered by the FASB. The SEC staff took a similar position in
its recent report on fair value accounting.
Not to disparage Tom's well considered views on
this matter, but I would also observe that those disagreeing with the
output of the process might have more influence on the process by
expressing their views directly to the FASB or other standard setting
body.
Denny Beresford
January 18, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
I do understand that the FASB is well intended, but I did hate to see
it reduce such power to three people no matter what the issue.
I think where I agree with Tom is the strong wording of the two that
dissented this time.
1 - Whether new standards should require a
larger number of board members or a higher number of votes before
becoming effective.
2 - Whether the dissenters present more
compelling arguments (in your view) for their position than do the
assenters for the final position taken by the FASB.
As you know, the size of the FASB was reduced
to five members last year after having been comprised of seven members
from the beginning of the Board. The FAF Trustees made this change after
due process and there were arguments for and against. I was in favor of
the change primarily because it allows the Board to be more efficient
and reach conclusions more quickly rather than the past practice of
working on some issues "forever." I also note that, with only five
members, the present members from the user and academic community have
more influence (2 of 5 votes) than they did under the old system (2 of 7
votes).
The voting requirement has changed several
times - majority vs. super majority. I served under both regimes and
don't believe that it made much difference. In almost all cases I can
remember, the Board would have acted on a final standard regardless of
the voting requirement. The bare majority rule just allowed one more
member to get on his/her soapbox and express a personal view that often
didn't affect the overall conclusion but rather one or more of the
technical details.
So my question to you and others is should the
Trustees reconsider the composition of the Board to change the size
again, change the voting requirement again, or change the composition of
the Board by choosing members with different backgrounds? I know there
has been a fair amount of research on the effect of voting requirements
but I'm not aware of any such research that presents a compelling reason
for one approach or the other. The size of the Board is a new
development and, again, I'm sure there are research opportunities
available. And, of course, individuals can always weigh in with their
personal opinions on these matters regardless of supporting research.
On the second point above about whose opinions
should prevail, that seems to be the purpose of a standard setting
process that has been thoroughly considered and agreed to by those with
interest in the process. In other words, once interested parties have
bought into the idea that having standards is likely to improve the
quality of financial reporting and that the system for developing those
standards is reasonable, then those parties should be willing to accept
the results of the system. I'm a pragmatist and always felt that the
financial markets were better served by having some accounting standards
even if those standards aren't perfect (and who can judge that?). Thus,
I only dissented a couple of times during my time as Chairman. And even
in those cases I thought it was better that the Board issued a new
standard than not, even if I would have preferred a different approach.
Since leaving the Board over 11 years ago I have continued to write
comment letters because I am passionate about financial accounting and
have personal views on most of the topics. Often I've disagreed with the
Board but I'm happy to have at least had the chance to participate and I
can cite at least a few cases where changes were made as a result of my
(and others') comments on a particular issue.
I've always been surprised that so few
academics participated in the FASB's process and I wrote about that at
least a couple of times while at the Board. And the situation is
actually a bit better these days as the AAA financial reporting
committee and some individual professors do contribute. But there is
plenty of room for further improvement.
Sorry for getting a little carried away on
this. I need to get back to my weekend reading.
Denny Beresford
European-Styled Avoidance of Fair Value Earnings Hits for Loan Loss
Impairments
European banks circumvented earnings hits for anticipated billions in loan
losses by a number of ploys, including arguments regarding transitory price
movements, "dynamic provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning debt into
assets with fair value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
European banks resorted to a number of misleading ploys to avoid taking fair
value adjustment hits to prevent earnings hits due to required fair value
adjustments of investments that crashed such a investments in the bonds of
Greece, Ireland, Spain, and Portugal.
The Market Transitory Movements Argument
Fair value adjustments can be avoided if they are viewed as temporary transitory
market fluctuations expected to recover rather quickly. This argument was used
inappropriately by European banks hold billions in the Greece, Ireland,
Spain, and Portugal after the price declines could hardly be viewed as
transitory. The head of the IASB at the time, David Tweedie, strongly objected
to the failure to write down financial instruments to fair value. The banks, in
turn, threatened to pressure the EU lawmakers to override the IFRS 9 requirement
to adjust such value declines to market.
One of the major concerns of the is that
some nations at some points in time will simply not enforce the IASB standards
that these nations adopted. The biggest problem that the IASB was having with
European Banks is that the IASB felt many of many (actually most) EU banks were
not conforming to standards for marking financial instruments to market (fair
value). But the IASB was really helpless in appealing to IFRS enforcement in
this regard.
When the realities of European bank political powers, the IASB quickly caved
in as follows with a ploy that allowed European banks to lie about intent to
hold to maturity. The banks would probably love to unload those loser bonds as
quickly as possible before default, but they could instead claim that these
investments were intended to be held to maturity --- a game of make pretend that
the IASB went along with under the political circumstances.
European Union banks would
have more breathing space from losses on Greek bonds if the bloc adopted a
new international accounting rule, a top standard setter said on Tuesday.
The International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) agreed under intense pressure during the financial
crisis to soften a rule that requires banks to price traded assets at fair
value or the going market rate.
This led to huge writedowns,
sparking fire sales to plug holes in regulatory capital.
The new IFRS 9 rule would
allow banks to price assets at cost if they are being held over time.
The European Commission has
yet to sign off on the new rule for it to be effective in the 27-nation
bloc, saying it wants to see remaining parts of the rule finalized first.
Only a few years ago,
Spain’s
banks were seen in some policy-making circles as a
model for the rest of the world. This may be hard to fathom now, considering
that Spain is seeking $125 billion to bail out its ailing lenders.
But back in 2008 and early 2009, Spanish regulators
were
riding high after their country’s banks seemed to
have dodged the financial crisis with minimal losses. A big reason for their
success, the regulators said, was an accounting technique called dynamic
provisioning.
By this, they meant that Spain’s banks had set
aside rainy- day loan-loss reserves on their books during boom years. The
purpose, they said, was to build up a buffer in good times for use in bad
times.
This isn’t the way accounting standards usually
work. Normally the rules say companies can record losses, or provisions,
only when bad loans are specifically identified. Spanish regulators said
they were trying to be countercyclical, so that any declines in lending and
the broader economy would be less severe.
What’s now obvious is that Spain’s banks weren’t
reporting all of their losses when they should have, dynamically or
otherwise. One of the catalysts for last weekend’s bailout request was the
decision last month by the
Bankia (BKIA) group, Spain’s third-largest lender,
to restate its 2011 results to show a 3.3 billion-euro ($4.2 billion) loss
rather than a 40.9 million-euro profit. Looking back, we probably
should have known Spain’s banks would end up this
way, and that their reported financial results bore no relation to reality.
Name Calling
Dynamic provisioning is a euphemism for an old
balance- sheet trick called
cookie-jar accounting. The point of the technique
is to understate past profits and shift them into later periods, so that
companies can mask volatility and bury future losses. Spain’s banks began
using the method in 2000 because their regulator, the
Bank of Spain,
required them to.
“Dynamic loan loss provisions can help deal with
procyclicality in banking,” Bank of Spain’s director of financial stability,
Jesus Saurina, wrote in a July 2009
paper published by the
World
Bank. “Their anticyclical nature enhances the
resilience of both individual banks and the banking system as a whole. While
there is no guarantee that they will be enough to cope with all the credit
losses of a downturn, dynamic provisions have proved useful in Spain during
the current financial crisis.”
The danger with the technique is it can make
companies look healthy when they are actually quite ill, sometimes for
years, until they finally deplete their
excess reserves and crash. The practice also
clashed with International Financial Reporting Standards, which Spain
adopted several years ago along with the rest of
Europe. European Union officials knew this and
let Spain proceed with its own brand of accounting anyway.
One of the more candid advocates of Spain’s
approach was Charlie McCreevy, the EU’s commissioner for financial services
from 2004 to 2010, who previously had been Ireland’s finance minister.
During an April 2009 meeting of the
monitoring board that oversees the
International Accounting Standards Board’s
trustees, McCreevy said he knew Spain’s banks were violating the board’s
rules. This was fine with him, he said.
“They didn’t implement IFRS, and our regulations
said from the 1st January 2005 all publicly listed companies had to
implement IFRS,” McCreevy said, according to a
transcript of the meeting on the monitoring
board’s website. “The Spanish regulator did not do that, and he survived
this. His banks have survived this crisis better than anybody else to date.”
Ignoring Rules
McCreevy, who at the time was the chief enforcer of
EU laws affecting banking and markets, went on: “The rules did not allow the
dynamic provisioning that the Spanish banks did, and the Spanish banking
regulator insisted that they still have the dynamic provisioning. And they
did so, but I strictly speaking should have taken action against them.”
Why didn’t he take action? McCreevy said he was a
fan of dynamic provisioning. “Why am I like that? Well, I’m old enough to
remember when I was a young student that in my country that I know best,
banks weren’t allowed to publish their results in detail,” he said. “Why?
Because we felt if everybody saw the reserves, etc., it would create maybe a
run on the banks.”
So to
sum up this way of thinking: The best system is
one that lets banks hide their financial condition from the public. Barring
that, it’s perfectly acceptable for banks to violate accounting standards,
if that’s what it takes to navigate a crisis. The proof is that Spain’s
banks survived the financial meltdown of 2008 better than most others.
Some European financial institutions should
have booked bigger losses on their Greek government bond holdings in
recent results announcements, the International Accounting Standards
Board said in a letter to market regulators.
The criticism comes as Europe’s lenders face
calls to shore up their balance sheets and restore confidence to
investors unnerved by the euro zone debt crisis, funding market jitters
and a slowing economy.
In a letter addressed to the European
Securities and Markets Authority, the I.A.S.B. — which aims to become
the global benchmark for financial reporting — criticized
inconsistencies in the way banks and insurers wrote down the value of
their Greek sovereign debt in second-quarter earnings.
It said “some companies” were not using market
prices to calculate the fair value of their Greek bond holdings, relying
instead on internal models. While some claimed this was because the
market for Greek debt had become illiquid, the I.A.S.B. disagreed.
“Although the level of trading activity in
Greek government bonds has decreased, transactions are still taking
place,” the board chairman Hans Hoogervorst wrote.
The E.S.M.A. was not immediately available for
comment.
The letter, which was posted on the I.A.S.B.’s
website Tuesday after being leaked to the press, did not single out
particular countries or banks.
European banks taking a €3 billion, or $4.2
billion, hit on their Greek bond holdings earlier this month employed
markedly different approaches to valuing the debt.
The writedowns disclosed in their quarterly
results varied from 21 to 50 percent, showing a wide range of views on
what they expect to get back from their holdings.
A 21 percent hit refers to the “haircut” on
banking sector involvement in a planned second bailout of Greece now
being finalized. A 50 percent loss represented the discount markets were
expecting at the end of June, the cut-off period for second-quarter
results.
Two French financial companies, the bank BNP
Paribas and insurer CNP Assurances, on Tuesday defended their decision
to use their own valuation models rather than market prices.
“BNP took provisions against its Greece
exposure in full agreement with its auditors and the relevant
authorities, in accordance with the plan decided upon by the European
Union on July 21,” a bank spokeswoman said.
A CNP spokeswoman said the group’s Greek debt
provisions had been calculated in accordance with the E.U. plan and in
agreement with its auditors.
Some investors see the issue as serious,
however, even if the STOXX Europe 600 bank index was trading higher on
Tuesday.
“The Greek debt issue has been treated very
lightly,” said Jacques Chahine, head of Luxembourg-based J. Chahine
Capital, which manages €320 billion in assets. “And it’s not just Greek
debt — all of it needs to be written down, Spain, Italy.”
The E.S.M.A. was unable to impose a uniform
Greek “haircut” across the E.U. and its guidance published at the end of
July simply stressed the need for banks to tell investors clearly how
they reflect Greek debt values.
The I.A.S.B. also has no powers of enforcement
in how banks book impairments but is keen to show the United States,
which decides this year whether to adopt I.A.S.B. standards, that its
rules are consistent and properly represent what’s happening in markets.
Auditors warned at the time against a patchwork
approach that will confuse investors and concerns over Greek haircut
reporting will fuel calls for a pan-Europe auditor regulator.
“The impact is more likely to be to further
reduce investors’ confidence in buying bank debt, rather than sovereign
debt,” said Tamara Burnell, head of financial institutions/sovereign
research at M&G.
Using the most aggressive markdown approach —
namely marking to market all Greek sovereign holdings — would saddle 19
of the most exposed European banks with another €6.6 billion in
potential writedowns, according to Citi analysts.
BNP would take the biggest hit with €2.1
billion in remaining writedowns, followed by Dexia in Belgium with €1.9
billion and Commerzbank in Germany with €959 million, Citi said.
The European Commission said on Monday that
there was no need to recapitalize the banks over and above what had been
agreed after a recent annual stress test .
Spinning Debt Into Earnings With the Wave of a Fair Value Accounting Wand
"Euro banks' £169bn in accounting alchemy," by: Lindsey White, Financial
Times Advisor, January 19, 2009 --- Click Here
European banks conjured more than £169bn of debt
into profit on their balance sheets in the third quarter of 2008, a leaked
report shows.
Money Managementhas gained exclusive access to a
report from JP Morgan, surveying 43 western European banks.
It shows an exact breakdown of which banks
increased their asset values simply by reclassifying their holdings.
Germany is Europe's largest economy, and was the
first European nation to announce that it was in recession in 2008. Based on
an exchange rate of 1 Euro to £0.89, its two largest banks, Deutsche Bank
and Commerzbank, reclassified £22.2bn and £39bn respectively.
At the same exchange rate, several major UK banks
also made the switch. RBS reclassified £27.1bn of assets, HBOS reclassified
£13.7bn, HSBC reclassified £7.6bn and Lloyds TSB changed £3.2bn. A number of
Nordic and Italian banks also switched debts to become profits.
Banks are allowed to rearrange these staggering
debts thanks to an October 2008 amendment to an International Accounting
Standards law, IAS 39. Speaking to MM, IAS board member Philippe Danjou said
that the amendment was passed in "record time".
The board received special permission to bypass
traditional due process, ushering through the amendment in a matter of days,
in order to allow banks to apply the changes to their third quarter reports.
However, it is unclear how much choice the board
actually had in the matter.
IASB chairman Sir David Tweedie was outspoken in
his opposition to the change, publicly admitting that he nearly resigned as
a result of pressure from European politicians to change the rules.
Danjou also admitted that he had mixed views on the
change, telling MM, "This is not the best way to proceed. We had to do it.
It's a one off event. I'd prefer to go back to normal due process."
While he was reluctant to point fingers at specific
politicians, Danjou admitted that Europe's "largest economies" were the most
insistent on passing the change.
As at December 2008, no major French, Portuguese,
Spanish, Swiss or Irish banks had used the amendment.
BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Danske Bank, Natixis
and Societe Generale were expected to reclassify their assets in the fourth
quarter of 2008.
The amendment was passed to shore up bank balance
sheets and restore confidence in the midst of the current credit crunch. But
it remains to be seen whether reclassifying major debts is an effective
tactic.
"Because the market situation was unique, events
from the outside world forced us to react quickly," said Danjou. "We do not
wish to do it too often. It's risky, and things can get missed."
Jensen Comment
European banks thus circumvented earnings hits for anticipated billions in loan
losses by a number of ploys, including arguments regarding transitory price
movements, "dynamic provisioning" cookie jar accounting, and spinning debt into
assets with fair value adjustments "accounting alchemy."
Financial vs. Non-financial Asset and Liability
Valuation Controversies
It's worrisome that the FASB and the IASB are dead set on fair values for
both types of items.
I'm sure that virtually every accounting professor
is cognizant of the fact that there is a huge difference between fair value
accounting of financial assets and fair value accounting of non-financial
assets.
Exit values of financial assets/liabilities are
consistent with the "best use" condition of FAS 157 since they tend to have
low covariance values due to synergy, goodwill, reputation, etc. Piecemeal
liquidation in most instances is the optimal use for financial items. Thus I
tend to favor exit values for financial items, although thin or non-existent
markets create enormous problems for FAS 157 valuations. Non-stationary
systems virtually rule out Box Jenkins and other time series models. You can
read more about these problems at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue
Exit values of
non-financial assets are inconsistent with the "best use" condition of FAS
157 since they tend to have high covariance values due to synergy, goodwill,
reputation, etc. Piecemeal liquidations of exit values are almost always the
most non-optimal uses of most non-financial items.
Entry value
(replacement cost, current cost) accounting (such as was once required in
FAS 33) in my viewpoint is not a good alternative for non-financial assets
since it is so complicated to estimate entry values of unlike assets. For
example, if a company is replacing 2,000 laptops purchased in 1998 with
laptops purchased in 2008, these are totally different assets in terms of
capacity and functionality and usage, such as usage in networking and
multimedia.
Question
How much can the history of accounting theory provide guidance to the
bailout mess in 2009?
February 12, 2009 question from a reader
Bob
One of your web pages had the following excerpt.
“Zane Swanson
November 25, 2008 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Zane,
There are almost always warnings under most any
accounting system. The Paton and Littleton 1940 model required estimation of
bad debts.”
Could you please tell me what the origin of the
statement about Paton & Littleton?
I am doing some expert witness work and I might try
to show off to the judge, lawyer (or attorneys as you would say) permitting.
XXXXX
February 13, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
I was referring to what I think was audit failure on
the part of bank auditors to properly warn investors about the default risks
in the millions of toxic mortgage investments and CDOs that they sold
subject to sale back or other assurance provisions ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Bailout
In my opinion, auditors given clean audit opinions for years to banks that
were known to be notorious in underestimating bad debts. The present
calamity, however, could bring down our best known international auditing
firms ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
On page 55 Paton and Littleton advocate setting up bad
debt reserves for matching purposes, i.e., to match the revenues against
revenue losses that won’t be recovered.
On page 123 Paton & Littleton argue against current
value adjustments for primary statements but seem to argue on Page 124 that
replacement cost adjustments might be desirable for internal operating
decisions. On Page 124 they also concede that current value or replacement
cost adjustments might be reported “if conditions are such as to make this
clearly helpful.” (Page 125) They also claim that parenthetic display values
alongside historical costs may be a good idea, particularly for marketable
securities.
The concept of conservatism is conceded on Page 128 but
only weakly since the Paton & Littleton focus was on the income statement
more than the balance sheet.
Although Littleton clung to the monograph’s theory to
the day he died, Paton became a strong advocate of replacement cost
(economic) accounting. His earlier work such as his book Accounting
Theory in 1922 on Page 442 is more equivocal but he does talk about “the
conjectural character of asset values at best and the consequent importance
of conservatism …” On Page 407 he states that an extraordinary collapse of
values of receivables must be recognized but that they should be reported in
a way that differs from the usual bad debt reporting (as a deduction from
gross sales).
Hatfield in Modern Accounting in1909 on Page 84
states “reaction against overvaluation is but natural and in general
healthful.” But he also argues against undervaluation for the sole purpose
of conservatism is unhealthy since it becomes tempting to set up secret
reserves
It would seem that accounting theorists in the past
century never really envisioned the problem of securitization and fraudulent
valuation of investment collateral. Hatfield in 1909 (pp. 82-83) strongly
argues against exit values in “forced sales” when a firm is deemed a going
concern. He argues instead for “going concern” values that do not move up
and down with transitory market value fluctuations. But what if an
investment of a collateralized security has a receivable significantly in
excess of the value of the collateral in foreclosure? The security is not
necessarily a bad debt if the borrower does not walk away and continues to
make payments. For example, my home and land value is now below my mortgage
balance but I’m not about to move out and stop making payments. Hence, the
owner of my mortgage probably should not write down the investment in my
mortgage. With other borrowers, there clearly is more risk giving rise to
what we call “toxic” investments of banks and Fannie and Freddie.
Writers like Paton, Littleton, and Hatfield just never
envisioned the type of massive fraud in the overstatement of collateral
value when millions upon millions of mortgages were brokered across the
United States in the early 21st Century. There are many possible
scenarios for a given investment in such mortgages by a bank that ended up
with possible mortgage investments deemed to be toxic:
Many debtors ignore the fact that home values are currently below
settlement values and continue to make payments, thereby making the
“going concern” values of these investments considerably higher than
“forced sale” exit values.
Many debtors cannot or will not continue to make full monthly payments
at contractual rates but are willing to negotiate lower interest rates
and possibly extended maturity dates before deciding to stop payments
altogether and surrender to foreclosure. In the United States in early
2009 there is considerable pressure on giant bailed out banks to
renegotiate rather than foreclose on such debtors.
Many debtors walk away and willingly surrender to foreclosure values
that in “forced sales” that fall way short of settlement balances of
their mortgages. In doing so they may destroy their credit ratings, but
this does not prevent some of them from walking away from their mortgage
contracts. This does not mean that the mortgage holder will succumb to a
forced sale on each foreclosed property. A going concern might decide to
incur the costs of ownership, and possibly even rent the property, until
the property values increase substantially. A going concern might decide
to negotiate the sale to government at a price that is higher than the
forced sale price in a highly distressed real estate market. If the
government has not yet decided if it will buy such toxic mortgages and
how much it will pay, then this valuation is highly uncertain.
Many debtors make only partial payments or zero payments but decline to
move out until law enforcement pushes them out to the streets. These
people often are hoping that they will get relief from the government or
the mortgage holder before being forced to move.
Cases
2, 3, and 4 valuations are contingent upon intent of the mortgage holder,
actions of the debtor, and actions of the government, all of which are
probably unknown at the balance sheet date. It is also dependent upon
whether the mortgage holder (e.g., a troubled bank) is indeed a going
concern. If the bank has not yet declared bankruptcy and its auditor
questions whether it is a going concern, U.S. GAAP currently prescribes
realistic exit values, which in some instances may be very low “forced sale”
estimates.
I
don’t think Hatfield, Paton, Littleton, and other early accounting theorists
envisioned such complex valuation problems that jointly depend upon
renegotiation uncertainties with debtors, unknown terms of government
buyouts of toxic mortgages, foreclosure alternatives given to banks that
accept billions in bailout funds, unknown settlements with mortgage brokers
that sold fraudulent mortgages to the banks, risks of lawsuits from buyers
of re-bundled credit default obligations (CDOs) sold by the banks to third
parties, many of which are in other countries, unsettled credit derivative
swap insurance settlements, and the goodwill losses from publicity that poor
families are being turned out to the mean streets by bankers who got
millions themselves in bonuses.
These
are unprecedented times that were never anticipated back in the simple days
of finance and commerce prior to the 1980s when financial structurings and
derivative financial contracting commenced to become unbelievably complex.
There are limits beyond which accounting theory of the past just does not
suffice in toxic financial worlds having immense uncertainty.
Add to
this the complaint that fair value (mark-to-market) accounting was a major,
if not the major, cause of the collapse of the banking system and mounting
political pressures to abandon current fair value accounting options or
requirements and you have one royal mess ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#FairValueAccounting
Marvene is a poor and unemployed elderly woman who lost her shack to
foreclosure in 2008.
That's after Marvene stole over $100,000 when she refinanced her shack with a
subprime mortgage in 2007.
Marvene wants to steal some more or at least get her shack back for free.
Both the Executive and Congressional branches of the U.S. Government want to
give more to poor Marvene.
Why don't I feel the least bit sorry for poor Marvene?
Somehow I don't think she was the victim of unscrupulous mortgage brokers and
property value appraisers.
More than likely she was a co-conspirator in need of $75,000 just to pay
creditors bearing down in 2007.
She purchased the shack for $3,500 about 40 years ago ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123093614987850083.html
Marvene Halterman, an unemployed Arizona woman with a
long history of creditors, took out a $103,000 mortgage on her 576
square-foot-house in 2007. Within a year she stopped making payments. Now the
investors with an interest in the house will likely recoup only $15,000. The Wall Street Journal slide show
of indoor and outdoor pictures ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123093614987850083.html#articleTabs%3Dslideshow
Jensen Comment
The $15,000 is mostly the value of the lot since at the time the mortgage was
granted the shack was virtually worthless even though corrupt mortgage brokers
and appraisers put a fraudulent value on the shack. Bob Jensen's threads on
these subprime mortgage frauds are at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm
Probably the most common type of fraud in the Savings and Loan debacle of the
1980s was real estate investment fraud. The same can be said of the 21st Century
subprime mortgage fraud. Welcome to fair value accounting that will soon have us
relying upon real estate appraisers to revalue business real estate on business
balance sheets ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#FairValue
CEO to his accountant: "What is our net earnings
this year?"
Accountant to CEO: "What net earnings figure do you want to report?"
The sad thing is that Lehman, AIG, CitiBank, Bear
Stearns, the Country Wide subsidiary of Bank America, Fannie Mae, Freddie
Mac, etc. bought these
subprime mortgages at face value and their Big 4 auditors supposedly
remained unaware of the millions upon millions of valuation frauds in the
investments. Does professionalism in auditing have a stronger stench since
Enron? Where were the big-time auditors? ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#AuditFirms
Question
Can we put the following quotations to a test in a logic course in the
philosophy department?
Third, you need full transparency for financial
statements. Nothing should be
eliminated. Off-balance-sheet vehicles that
suddenly return to the balance sheet to wreak havoc make a mockery of
principles of disclosure.
Fourth, you need
full disclosure of all financial instruments
to the regulator. No regulator can do its job of assessing risk and
systemic soundness if large parts of the financial markets are invisible
to it. A regulator must be able to monitor all derivatives, including,
for example, $60 trillion in credit default swaps.
Sixth, we need to
abolish mark-to-market accounting for hard-to-value assets.
There is now emerging a broad realization that mark-to-market accounting
has exacerbated the current crisis. We are not talking about publicly
traded equities with a readily ascertainable value. The problem involves
securities held for investment purposes, and those instruments during
certain times of the cycle for which there is no readily observable
market. These securities and instruments would be fully disclosed to the
regulator. However, a financial institution would not be forced to
suddenly take huge write downs at artificial, fire-sale prices and thus
contribute to financial instability.
In these hard times, how many going concern doubts will force auditors to
shift from going concern GAAP to exit value GAAP with going concern doubts
expressed in the audit opinions? Also will broken markets for toxic securities,
how will exit values be estimated?
From The Wall Street Journal's Accounting Weekly Review on
December 12, 2008
SUMMARY: While the
article states that AIG faces a potential additional $10 billion in
losses on speculative derivatives, the figure actually represents the
underlying notional amount of the derivative. AIG responded to the front
page article. Their response is listed as a related article. It
references disclosure explaining the $10 billion underlying notional
amount on page 117 of the 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2008.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The article covers issues related to complex derivative
transactions.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) With respect to derivative securities, what
is an underlying notional amount? Give an example of a notional amount
in the context of a specific derivative security.
2. (Advanced) The headline of the article says that AIG faces
$10 billion losses on trades. AIG responded in the related article to
say that the $10 billion is an underlying notional amount on derivative
securities. Is it possible that AIG will face an additional $10 billion
in payments related to this amount?
3. (Introductory) What is the difference between using
derivative securities to speculate and using them for hedging? In your
answer, define these two terms.
4. (Advanced) "The $10 billion...stems from...AIG's exposure to
speculative investments...which were essentially bets on the performance
of bundles of derivatives linked to subprime mortgages, commercial
real-estate bonds and corporate bonds." Based on the description in the
article, why are these speculative investments not "covered" by the
government bailout assistance given to AIG?
5. (Advanced) In the related article, AIG refers to disclosures
on page 117 of its 10-Q filing for the quarter ended September 30, 2008.
Refer to the disclosures on that page. What events cause AIG to incur
losses and cash payments to counterparties on these securities? Does
this description change your answer to question 2?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
American International Group Inc. owes Wall
Street's biggest firms about $10 billion for speculative trades that
have soured, according to people familiar with the matter, underscoring
the challenges the insurer faces as it seeks to recover under a U.S.
government rescue plan.
The details of the trades go beyond what AIG
has explained to investors about the nature of its risk-taking
operations, which led to the firm's near-collapse in September. In the
past, AIG has said that its trades involved helping financial
institutions and counterparties insure their securities holdings. The
speculative trades, engineered by the insurer's financial-products unit,
represent the first sign that AIG may have been gambling with its own
capital.
The soured trades and the amount lost on them
haven't been explicitly detailed before. In a recent quarterly filing,
AIG does note exposure to speculative bets without going into detail. An
AIG spokesman characterizes the trades not as speculative bets but as
"credit protection instruments." He said that exposure has been fully
disclosed and amounts to less than $10 billion of AIG's $71.6 billion
exposure to derivative contracts on debt pools known as collateralized
debt obligations as of Sept. 30.
AIG's financial-products unit, operating more
like a Wall Street trading firm than a conservative insurer selling
protection against defaults on seemingly low-risk securities, put
billions of dollars of the company's money at risk through speculative
bets on the direction of pools of mortgage assets and corporate debt.
AIG now finds itself in a position of having to raise funds to pay off
its partners.
The fresh $10 billion bill is particularly
challenging because the terms of the current $150 billion rescue package
for AIG don't cover those debts. The structure of the soured deals
raises questions about how the insurer will raise the funds to pay the
debts. The Federal Reserve, which lent AIG billions of dollars to stay
afloat, has no immediate plans to help AIG pay off the speculative
trades.
The outstanding $10 billion bill is in addition
to the tens of billions of taxpayer money that AIG has paid out over the
past 16 months in collateral to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and other
trading partners on trades called credit-default swaps. These
instruments required AIG to insure trading partners, known on Wall
Street as counterparties, against any losses in their holdings of
securities backed by pools of mortgages and other assets. With the value
of those mortgage holdings plunging in the past year and increasing the
risk of default, AIG has been required to put up additional collateral
-- often cash payments.
AIG's problem: The rescue plan calls for a
company funded largely by the Federal Reserve to buy about $65 billion
in troubled CDO securities underlying the credit-default swaps that AIG
had written, so as to free AIG from its obligations under those
contracts. But there are no actual securities backing the speculative
positions that the insurer is losing money on. Instead, these bets were
made on the performance of pools of mortgage assets and corporate debt,
and AIG now finds itself in a position of having to raise funds to pay
off its partners because those assets have fallen significantly in
value.
The Fed first stepped in to rescue AIG in
mid-September with an $85 billion loan when the collateral demands from
banks and losses from other investments threatened to send the firm into
bankruptcy court. A bankruptcy filing would have created losses and
problems for financial institutions and policyholders all over the world
that were relying AIG to insure them against the unexpected.
By November, AIG had used up a large chunk of
the government money it had borrowed to meet counterparties' collateral
calls and began to look like it would have difficulty repaying the loan.
On Nov. 10 the government stepped in again with a revised bailout
package. This time, the Treasury said it would pump $40 billion of
capital into AIG in exchange for interest payments and proceeds of any
asset sales, while the Fed agreed to lend as much as $30 billion to
finance the purchases of AIG-insured CDOs at market prices.
The $10 billion in other IOUs stems from market
wagers that weren't contracts to protect securities held by banks or
other investors against default. Rather, they are from AIG's exposures
to speculative investments, which were essentially bets on the
performance of bundles of derivatives linked to subprime mortgages,
commercial real-estate bonds and corporate bonds.
These bets aren't covered by the pool to buy
troubled securities, and many of these bets have lost value during the
past few weeks, triggering more collateral calls from its
counterparties. Some of AIG's speculative bets were tied to a group of
collateralized debt obligations named "Abacus," created by Goldman
Sachs.
The Abacus deals were investment portfolios
designed to track the values of derivatives linked to billions of
dollars in residential mortgage debt. In what amounted to a side bet on
the value of these holdings, AIG agreed to pay Goldman if the mortgage
debt declined in value and would receive money if it rose.
As part of the revamped bailout package, the
Fed and AIG formed a new company, Maiden Lane III, to purchase CDOs with
a principal value of $65 billion on which AIG had written
credit-default-swap protection. These CDOs currently are worth less than
half their original values and had been responsible for the bulk of
AIG's troubles and collateral payments through early November.
Fed officials believed that purchasing the
underlying securities from AIG's counterparties would relieve the
insurer of the financial stress if it had to continue making collateral
payments. The plan has resulted in banks in North America and Europe
emerging as winners: They have kept the collateral they previously
received from AIG and received the rest of the securities' value in the
form of cash from Maiden Lane III.
The government's rescue of AIG helped prevent
many of its policyholders and counterparties from incurring immediate
losses on those traditional insurance contracts. It also has been a
double boon to banks and financial institutions that specifically bought
protection on now shaky mortgage securities and are effectively being
made whole on those positions by AIG and the Federal Reserve.
Some $19 billion of those payouts were made to
two dozen counterparties just between the time AIG first received
federal government assistance in mid-September and early November when
the government had to step in again, according to a confidential
document and people familiar with the matter. Nearly three-quarters of
that went to French bank Société Générale SA, Goldman, Deutsche Bank AG,
Crédit Agricole SA's Calyon investment-banking unit, and Merrill Lynch &
Co. Société Générale, Calyon and Merrill declined to comment. A Goldman
spokesman says the firm's exposure to AIG is "immaterial" and its
positions are supported by collateral.
As of Nov. 25, Maiden Lane III had acquired
CDOs with an original value of $46.1 billion from AIG's counterparties
and had entered into agreements to purchase $7.4 billion more. It is
still in talks over $11.2 billion.
The Securities and Exchange Commission
recommended against suspending fair-value accounting rules, instead
suggesting improvements to deal with illiquid markets and reducing the
number of models used to measure impaired assets.
In a 211-page report to U.S. lawmakers, as
expected, the agency's staff Tuesday definitely recommended that
fair-value and mark-to-market not be eliminated or suspended. "The
abrupt elimination of fair value and market-to-market requirements would
erode investor confidence," the report said.
The banking lobby has argued that financial
institutions have been forced to write off as losses still-valuable
assets because the market for them had dried up, creating a spiral of
write-downs and asset sales.
The report said that staff found no evidence to
suggest that the accounting rules had played a significant role in the
collapse of U.S. financial institutions. "While the application of fair
value varies among these banks...in each case studied it does not appear
that the application of fair value can be considered to have been a
proximate cause of the failure," the report said.
Additionally, the SEC suggests that the
Financial Accounting Standards Board narrow the number of accounting
models firms can use to assess the impairment for financial instruments.
Jensen Comment
The above report makes a good case for financial asset and liability fair
value accounting, but does not make a case for similar accounting of
non-financial items in a going concern.
Agency Theory Question
Why do corporate executives like fair value accounting better than
shareholders like fair value accounting?
Answer
Cash bonuses on the upside are not returned after the downturn that wipes
out the previous unrealized paper profits.
Phantom (Unrealized) Profits on Paper,
but Real Cash Outflows for Employee Bonuses and Other Compensation
Rarely, if ever, are they forced to pay back their "earnings" even in
instances of earnings management accounting fraud
"Merrill’s record earnings in 2006 — $7.5
billion — turned out to be a mirage. The company has since lost three
times that amount, largely because the mortgage investments that
supposedly had powered some of those profits plunged in value.
“As a result of the extraordinary growth at
Merrill during my tenure as C.E.O., the board saw fit to increase my
compensation each year.”
— E. Stanley O’Neal, the former chief executive
of Merrill Lynch, March 2008
For Dow Kim, 2006 was a very good year. While
his salary at Merrill Lynch was $350,000, his total compensation was 100
times that — $35 million.
The difference between the two amounts was his
bonus, a rich reward for the robust earnings made by the traders he
oversaw in Merrill’s mortgage business.
Mr. Kim’s colleagues, not only at his level,
but far down the ranks, also pocketed large paychecks. In all, Merrill
handed out $5 billion to $6 billion in bonuses that year. A 20-something
analyst with a base salary of $130,000 collected a bonus of $250,000.
And a 30-something trader with a $180,000 salary got $5 million.
But Merrill’s record earnings in 2006 — $7.5
billion — turned out to be a mirage. The company has since lost three
times that amount, largely because the mortgage investments that
supposedly had powered some of those profits plunged in value.
Unlike the earnings, however, the bonuses have
not been reversed.
As regulators and shareholders sift through the
rubble of the financial crisis, questions are being asked about what
role lavish bonuses played in the debacle. Scrutiny over pay is
intensifying as banks like Merrill prepare to dole out bonuses even
after they have had to be propped up with billions of dollars of
taxpayers’ money. While bonuses are expected to be half of what they
were a year ago, some bankers could still collect millions of dollars.
Critics say bonuses never should have been so
big in the first place, because they were based on ephemeral earnings.
These people contend that Wall Street’s pay structure, in which bonuses
are based on short-term profits, encouraged employees to act like
gamblers at a casino — and let them collect their winnings while the
roulette wheel was still spinning.
“Compensation was flawed top to bottom,” said
Lucian A. Bebchuk, a professor at Harvard Law School and an expert on
compensation. “The whole organization was responding to distorted
incentives.”
Even Wall Streeters concede they were dazzled
by the money. To earn bigger bonuses, many traders ignored or played
down the risks they took until their bonuses were paid. Their bosses
often turned a blind eye because it was in their interest as well.
“That’s a call that senior management or risk
management should question, but of course their pay was tied to it too,”
said Brian Lin, a former mortgage trader at Merrill Lynch.
The highest-ranking executives at four firms
have agreed under pressure to go without their bonuses, including John
A. Thain, who initially wanted a bonus this year since he joined Merrill
Lynch as chief executive after its ill-fated mortgage bets were made.
And four former executives at one hard-hit bank, UBS of Switzerland,
recently volunteered to return some of the bonuses they were paid before
the financial crisis. But few think others on Wall Street will follow
that lead.
For now, most banks are looking forward rather
than backward. Morgan Stanley and UBS are attaching new strings to
bonuses, allowing them to pull back part of workers’ payouts if they
turn out to have been based on illusory profits. Those policies, had
they been in place in recent years, might have clawed back hundreds of
millions of dollars of compensation paid out in 2006 to employees at all
levels, including senior executives who are still at those banks.
A Bonus Bonanza
For Wall Street, much of this decade
represented a new Gilded Age. Salaries were merely play money — a
pittance compared to bonuses. Bonus season became an annual celebration
of the riches to be had in the markets. That was especially so in the
New York area, where nearly $1 out of every $4 that companies paid
employees last year went to someone in the financial industry. Bankers
celebrated with five-figure dinners, vied to outspend each other at
charity auctions and spent their newfound fortunes on new homes, cars
and art.
The bonanza redefined success for an entire
generation. Graduates of top universities sought their fortunes in
banking, rather than in careers like medicine, engineering or teaching.
Wall Street worked its rookies hard, but it held out the promise of rich
rewards. In college dorms, tales of 30-year-olds pulling down $5 million
a year were legion.
While top executives received the biggest
bonuses, what is striking is how many employees throughout the ranks
took home large paychecks. On Wall Street, the first goal was to make “a
buck” — a million dollars. More than 100 people in Merrill’s bond unit
alone broke the million-dollar mark in 2006. Goldman Sachs paid more
than $20 million apiece to more than 50 people that year, according to a
person familiar with the matter. Goldman declined to comment.
Pay was tied to profit, and profit to the easy,
borrowed money that could be invested in markets like mortgage
securities. As the financial industry’s role in the economy grew,
workers’ pay ballooned, leaping sixfold since 1975, nearly twice as much
as the increase in pay for the average American worker.
“The financial services industry was in a
bubble," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com. “The
industry got a bigger share of the economic pie.”
A Money Machine
Dow Kim stepped into this milieu in the
mid-1980s, fresh from the Wharton School at the University of
Pennsylvania. Born in Seoul and raised there and in Singapore, Mr. Kim
moved to the United States at 16 to attend Phillips Academy in Andover,
Mass. A quiet workaholic in an industry of workaholics, he seemed to
rise through the ranks by sheer will. After a stint trading bonds in
Tokyo, he moved to New York to oversee Merrill’s fixed-income business
in 2001. Two years later, he became co-president.
Skip to next paragraph
Bloomberg News Dow Kim received $35 million in
2006 from Merrill Lynch.
The Reckoning Cashing In Articles in this
series are exploring the causes of the financial crisis.
Previous Articles in the Series » Multimedia
Graphic It Was Good to Be a Mortgage-Related Professional . . . Related
Times Topics: Credit Crisis — The Essentials
Patrick Andrade for The New York Times Brian
Lin is a former mortgage trader at Merrill Lynch who lost his job at
Merrill and now works at RRMS Advisors. Readers' Comments Share your
thoughts. Post a Comment »Read All Comments (363) »
Even as tremors began to reverberate through
the housing market and his own company, Mr. Kim exuded optimism.
After several of his key deputies left the firm
in the summer of 2006, he appointed a former colleague from Asia, Osman
Semerci, as his deputy, and beneath Mr. Semerci he installed Dale M.
Lattanzio and Douglas J. Mallach. Mr. Lattanzio promptly purchased a $5
million home, as well as oceanfront property in Mantoloking, a wealthy
enclave in New Jersey, according to county records.
Merrill and the executives in this article
declined to comment or say whether they would return past bonuses. Mr.
Mallach did not return telephone calls.
Mr. Semerci, Mr. Lattanzio and Mr. Mallach
joined Mr. Kim as Merrill entered a new phase in its mortgage buildup.
That September, the bank spent $1.3 billion to buy the First Franklin
Financial Corporation, a mortgage lender in California, in part so it
could bundle its mortgages into lucrative bonds.
1996: Rich Kinder loses his CEO position to Jeff Skilling
Enron's accounting books got
cooked early on under his watch while Andersen's auditors turned a blind
eye.
You can download Enron's Infamous Home Video
Although it has nothing to do with the above professional movie, Jim Borden sent
me a copy of the amateur video recording of Rich Kinder's departure from Enron
(Kinder preceded Skilling as President of Enron). This
1996 video features
nearly half an hour of absurd skits, songs and testimonials by company
executives. It features CEO Jeff Skilling proposing
Hypothetical Future Value (HPV) accounting with in retrospect is
too true to be funny during the subsequent melt down of Enron. George W.
Bush (then Texas Governor Bush and his father) appear in the video. You
can download parts of it at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/video/windowsmedia/enron3.wmv
It seems to me that present valuing the future cash
flows is at least as good of an option than making other types of estimates.
But then, I don't have a Denny B. caliber mind.
David Albrecht
September 24, 2008 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi David,
The Consensus
Assumption in FAS 157
I agree with the FASB that discounted cash flow present values are the best
for contractual streams of cash flows (such as annuity contracts, leases,
and possibly some systems that are actuarial in terms of stationary
parameters such as in pension fund contracts). Discounted cash flow is out
of the question in severely non-stationary systems. When the assumption of
additivity (i.e., negligible covariances) is reasonable such as forecasts of
financial items (stocks, bonds, and financial derivatives), then deep market
consensus pricing is probably best for these non-stationary systems.
No one person or
one company or one model knows the future stream of cash flows or the
appropriate discount rate for most assets and liabilities. Hence FAS 157
assumes that a large body of forecasters who set market prices can reach
consensus trading fair value estimates that are more accurate than any
single forecaster can arrive at except by happenstance. Market values also
give auditors something to attest to when other alternative valuation
methods use fantasyland models or dubious wizards. When aggregating assets
and liabilities, FAS 157 virtually ignores covariances, so that 100-ton
gorilla will be overlooked for the moment.
Let’s ignore for
the moment the problem of non-existent markets, higher order covariance
unknowns (that do not apply to financial items quite as much as fair values
of non-financial items), and market manipulation frauds. Instead let’s
concentrate on consensus (herd) market pricing in non-stationary systems.
The major
problem of economic, athletic, and political forecasting is that, unlike in
Casino-game forecasting, the forecasts are made in non-stationary systems.
Deep markets are ideal in non-stationary systems because market prices are
constantly being reset by lots of participants evaluating changing
parameters of the system. The same is true to a much lesser extent with
repeated consensus forecasting of voting outcomes. Repetitive consensus
forecasting has become the most popular way of forecasting future voting
outcomes.
Attempts have
been made to even have low-stakes futures market simulations (e.g., the IEM)
of political outcomes, but the market participants have very low stakes in
the game and the markets aren't deep enough for our serious attention ---
http://www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/
Also see the summary paper at
http://edoc.hu-berlin.de/series/sfb-373-papers/2001-57/PDF/57.pdf
There seems to be some anecdotal evidence that these market games do better
than most polls in political forecasting, although the media tends to focus
more on the polls than the IEM and other political market games.
Consensus
forecasts, like markets, must reset very frequently because political
opinions and most markets are very non-stationary ---- the assumption of
stationarity destroys
time series forecasting models such as
Box-Jenkins models that assume stationary parameters.
Richard Posner
and Nobel Laureate Gary Becker had an interesting recent blog about
consensus forecasting in political forecasting..
The forthcoming presidential election
has drawn attention to online predictions markets. The first, and one of
the best known, is the Iowa Electronic Market (IEM), started in 1988 to
bet on presidential elections. Participants can bet up to $500. The odds
and hence the price of a contract are set by the bidders themselves, as
in a stock market, rather than by the "house," as in casino gambling. A
number of other prediction markets, some using virtual (i.e., play)
rather than real money, have emerged, includingTradeSports.com, the
Foresight Exchange Market, Newsfutures, Intrade, and the Hollywood Stock
Exchange.
IEM, on which I'll focus, has
correctly predicted the outcome of every presidential election since
1988, and its predictions have been consistently more accurate than the
polls. An interesting comparison between the Gallup Poll and the Iowa
market in the 1996 presidential campaign (
www.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/media/96Pres_VS.html ) reveals that throughout
the entire campaign the Iowa market’s predicted outcome was much closer
(in margin of victory) to the actual outcome than the Gallup Poll was.
Studies have found that prediction markets beat polls and other
prediction tools even when a prediction market uses play rather than
real money.
The Pentagon planned to create a
prediction market in which participants could bet on the likelihood of
terrorist attacks, assassinations, and coups. The plan caused outrage
and was abandoned. There was a serious objection to the plan: people
planning terrorist attacks, assassinations, and coups have inside
information which they could use to make a killing (pun intended) in the
prediction market.
The success of prediction markets is
related to though distinct from the success of the "blogosphere" in
ferreting out information that eludes the mass media. Both the
blogosphere and prediction markets aggregate greater amounts of
information than any centralized information gatherer can obtain. In the
case of the blogosphere, it is easy to see why this is so. It is
virtually costless (except in time) to become a blogger, and among the
millions of people drawn to blogging are people with all sorts of
pockets of specialized information, which the internet enables to be
pooled rapidly. This pooling resembles the economic market, in which
vast amounts of information, encapsulated in prices, are pooled (the
basic insight of Friedrich Hayek, and the secret of capitalism’s
superiority to socialism as a means of optimizing economic activity).
Prediction markets provide an even
closer analogy to the market, since they (or rather some of them, for
others permit betting only with play money) provide financial rewards
for correct information (as blogging rarely does), in this resembling
ordinary commercial speculation. Someone who thinks he has superior
insight into political processes will have an incentive to place a bet
in IEM or some other political prediction market. This method of
aggregating information--call it expert aggregation--is different from
public opinion polling, which is based on randomness. The political
pollsters quiz a random sample of likely voters for their likely vote;
they do not ask them for an opinion of how other people will vote, a
matter on which randomly selected respondents cannot be expected to have
an expert opinion. The idea behind the prediction market is that the
opportunity to make money or just the fun of betting on one's insights
or hunches (the only reward that the virtual prediction markets offer
participants) will elicit expert opinions--more so, certainly, than
random polling, which anyway, as I have said, does not ask respondents
for an opinion about anyone's voting except their own..
I don't think the success of
prediction markets is due to a "wisdom of crowds" phenomenon--the idea
that somehow large groups of seemingly nonexpert people are bound to
"get it right." The "wisdom of crowds" is really just a matter of
reducing sampling error. Suppose 100 people guess the weight of a
person. Some will guess too low, some too high, but the average guess
will be close to the true weight. If, however, just one person is asked
to guess, the chances are great that his guess will be either too high
or too low.
One problem with prediction markets, a
problem that occurred on the day of the 2004 presidential election, is
that a market can swing on the basis of unreliable information until the
information is corrected. (That happened last week when the price of
stock in United Airlines plummeted on a mistaken report that the airline
was about to declare bankruptcy.) Exit polls showed Kerry winning a
disproportionate number of the votes cast early in the morning, and
immediately the prediction markets predicted that he would win the
election; and of course he lost.
Another potential problem with the
prediction-market model is that the limits of the bets that can be
placed, illustrated by the Iowa market’s $500 limit, are so low. One
understands why there are limits: otherwise there would be a danger of
market manipulation. Expenditures on the current presidential election
campaign will exceed a billion dollars. It must be that the prediction
markets attract people who derive nonpecuniary satisfaction from
successful bets and that among those people are likely to be a number
who really do have insight into the issues bet on in the market, since
their bets are more likely to be correct and therefore they are more
likely to derive the satisfaction that comes from successful betting.
Probably most people who bet on horse racing think they know something
about horses, and probably most people who bet on the outcome of a
political campaign know something about politics.
It may seem odd, though, that a
stranger would have a better sense of how people will vote than a random
sample of people would know, each of them, how he or she will vote. But
only about half of all eligible voters actually vote in a presidential
election, many people refuse to talk to pollsters, some people do not
make up their mind until the last minute (but may be hesitant to reveal
their indecision to a pollster), some respondents will tell the pollster
what they think he wants to (or will be impressed to) hear, and the
number of persons sampled is never large enough to avoid a confident
prediction of a point outcome, as distinct from a range (say a 95
percent probability that one candidate's vote percentage will be between
47 and 50 percent and the other's between 49 and 52 percent).
There is an interesting question
whether prediction markets should be thought of as "gambling” and
perhaps prohibited. As a matter of policy, that would be a mistake, even
if one thinks that gambling should be prohibited. The prediction markets
are markets for speculation, rather than for game-playing or
risk-taking. Slot machines, card-playing, roulette wheels, and other
conventional forms of gambling do not generate socially valuable
information. Speculation does. Commercial speculation serves to hedge
commercial risks and bring prices into closer phase with value.
Political, cultural, etc. prediction markets also yield socially
valuable information. The outcome of elections is important to companies
and even individuals for whom particular public policies are important;
they may wish to make adjustments to avert or exploit looming political
change. Politicians too need to have as sharp a sense as possible about
the effects on the electorate of their and their opponents' strategies.
Apparently they can get more accurate information from the prediction
markets than from the public opinion pollsters.
Prediction markets are pervasive in
finance, especially in modern derivative markets. Someone who is long on
the S&P 500 Index is betting that average stock prices in the United
States will be going up, while those who are short in this market are
betting that they will go down. Price movements in these markets are a
good measure of aggregate sentiment, where the aggregation process gives
greater weight to those willing to risk larger sums.
The aggregation in online political
prediction markets, such as the Iowa Electronic Market (IEM), is more
democratic because these markets usually place sharp limits on how much
can be bet- the IEM limits bets to no more than $500. Yet as Posner
indicates, this and other online political markets have been successful
in predicting the outcomes of American elections-more successful than
various polls. In the present election, the IEM odds in favor of the
Democrats winning the presidency hovered around 60 per cent From May of
2007 to the end of August, but these odds have narrowed considerably
since then to about 51-52 per cent for the Democrats to 48-49 per cent
for the Republicans. Narrowing has also occurred in various polls. The
IEM market is indicating that Senator Obama now has a small lead over
Senator McCain.
Since bets on political online markets
are small, the motivation of bettors can hardly be the amounts they win
or lose. Nor can the usual economic theories of risky choices be of much
relevance since the risks to bettors' wealth are rather insignificant.
These gambles are made because of utility derived from the gambling
itself, not because of the amounts won or lost. This has the very
important implication that the positions taken by bettors-for example,
whether they bet that the Democratic rather than the Republican
presidential candidate would win- is not necessarily determined by which
one they expect to win. On the contrary, their betting behavior may be
in good measure determined by whom they want to win rather than whom
they expect to win.
Studies of betting on sports events
show a home team "bias" in the sense that the odds tend to be skewed in
favor of home teams relative to the actual winning percentages of home
teams. This may be because many local residents bet on their home team,
such as Chicagoans betting on the Chicago Cubs, at odds where
objectively they should be shifting their bets to visiting teams, and
also because individuals in home cities are more likely to bet on games
in their cities.
This home team bias is likely to be
even more pronounced in political betting markets like the IEM since
bets are small. However, if biases of Democratic and Republican bettors
are about equally strong, and if a non-negligible fraction of all
bettors are making prediction bets, then aggregate betting would tend to
give on the whole accurate predictions about who will win, although
these predictions would be quite noisy. Predictions rather than hopes
may be of relatively large importance in the IEM and other online
political prediction markets because the main bettors have been academic
economists and financial experts rather than the general public. This
type of wishful betting presumably is quite different in betting on
other types of events, such as the unemployment rate shown by data to be
released on a certain date.
I believe that online political
prediction markets, and other online prediction markets as well, should
be legal in the United States and elsewhere, even if the amounts bet
were quite large. There is no important substantive difference between
such online betting markets and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and
other exchanges that allow individuals and organizations to take
positions on movements of stock indexes, housing price indexes, and
prices of other derivatives. A distinction is sometimes made between
political betting markets and derivative markets since participants in
derivative markets may be hedging other risks that they face. Yet this
distinction has little substance since if larger bets were allowed in
online political markets, groups whose welfare depended greatly on
political outcomes would make greater use of these markets. For example,
if a Republican presidential win would mean greater spending on military
weapons, companies in the arms business might hedge their risks by
betting on Barack Obama.
If large bets were allowed, some
wealthy groups may bet a lot on their candidates in order to exert
bandwagon influences on public opinion through their large bets
affecting market odds. If so, these markets likely would become less
reliable as predictors of outcomes, and hence would have less influence
on opinions. To a large extent, therefore, these markets would be self
correcting, although online political markets might place various other
restrictions on bets, as is common in derivative and other exchanges.
Jensen Comment
And thus I agree with the FASB that discounted cash flow present values are
the best for contractual streams of cash flows (such as annuity contracts,
leases, and possibly some systems that are actuarial in terms of stationary
parameters such as in pension fund contracts). Discounted cash flow is out
of the question in severely non-stationary systems. When the assumption of
additivity (i.e., negligible covariances) is reasonable such as forecasts of
financial items (stocks, bonds, and financial derivatives), then deep market
consensus pricing is probably best for these non-stationary systems.
FAS 157 admits full well that there are many situations where an item
does not have a suitable deep market. FAS 157 then recommends extrapolations
from similar items that have deeper markets. And if that fails, FAS 157
recommends forecasting from models, but it is impossible to specify what
models. Most conventional models do not deal well with non-stationary
systems. Gaming models like the IEM are better-suited for forecasting in
non-stationary systems, but it's impossible to have an IEM market simulation
for every item that a company must forecast for fair value accounting in an
annual report.
I've become an advocate of fair value accounting for most financial items
for which covariance terms are probably negligible. For non-financial items
the covariance terms are enormous, and advocates of exit value or
replacement value accounting are assuming zero covariances. In other words,
exit value accounting assumes assets and liabilities will be sold piecemeal
in liquidation rather than used jointly in a going concern.
The FASB and the IASB are both inconsistent in advocating market-based
exit value accounting while at the same time advocating valuation of assets
and liabilities in their "best possible uses." In most instances piecemeal
liquidation of such items is not the best possible use of each item in a
going concern. The items are used jointly and thus covary to add synergy
value to that going concern.
1
November 2008: IASB publishes fair value guidance
The IASB has published educational guidance on the
application of fair value measurement when markets
become inactive. The guidance consists of a summary
document prepared by IASB staff and the final report of
the expert advisory panel established to consider the
issue:
The summary document sets out the context of
the expert advisory panel report and
highlights important issues associated with
measuring the fair value of financial
instruments when markets become inactive. It
takes into consideration and is consistent
with recent documents issued by the US FASB
and the US SEC.
The report of the expert advisory panel
identifies practices that experts use for
measuring the fair value of financial
instruments when markets become inactive and
practices for fair value disclosures in such
situations. The report provides useful
information and educational guidance about
the processes used and judgements made when
measuring and disclosing fair value.
Question
What did the PCAOB, in its inspection reports, to be the biggest
problem encountered in the area of auditor independence?
Answer --- Prohibited Non-auditor Services
The most common deficiency noted in the independence area involves
preparation of an issuer's financial statements and related footnotes. Under
the SEC's rules, an auditor is not independent of its audit client if the
auditor maintains or prepares the audit client's accounting records,
prepares source data underlying the audit client's financial statements, or
prepares the audit client's financial statements that are filed with the
SEC.28/ Even when dealing with inexperienced accounting personnel in small
public companies, auditors cannot provide these prohibited non-audit
services to these issuer audit clients. In some cases, the deficiency
consisted of the preparation of a portion of the issuer's financial
statements (such as the statement of cash flows) or of the statements or
disclosures in a single, specialized area (such as the income tax provision
and the related deferred tax asset and liability balances). Even these more
limited preparation services impair the firm's independence. Other
identified deficiencies include instances in which firms provided
bookkeeping services by, for example, maintaining the trial balance or the
fixed asset subledger, classifying expenditures in the general ledger,
preparing the consolidating schedules, or preparing and posting journal
entries to record transactions or the results of calculations.In other instances, firms prepared source data
underlying their issuer audit client's financial statements by, for example,
determining the fair values assigned to intangible assets acquired in
a business combination or to stock options and warrants, or calculating
depreciation expense and accumulated depreciation.
PCAOB Release No. 2007-010 October 22, 2007 ---
http://www.pcaobus.org/Inspections/Other/2007/10-22_4010_Report.pdf
Jensen Comment
I mention this because as we move under the joint IASB-FASB era of fair
value accounting, auditors will be under increased pressures to assist
clients struggling with how to measure fair value. I'm not opposed to
requiring fair value accounting for financial assets and to footnote
disclosures of fair values of many non-financial items.
I am avoiding at
this point any discussion of booking fair values of non-financial items for
which there is no practical means of estimating value in use ---
There are of course many other audit deficiencies other than
independence that are mentioned in this PCAOB Release,
particularly problems in revenue recognition. Students of
accounting should definitely be assigned to study this report at
http://www.pcaobus.org/Inspections/Other/2007/10-22_4010_Report.pdf
On page A23 of Friday September 29th Wall
Street Journal, an editorial by Mr. Isaac called for the SEC to suspend
“Fair Value Accounting and require that assets be marked to their true
economic value.” True economic value is defined as “the discounted
cash-flow analysis”. However, what will the discount rate be measured
upon? If it is the market yield, then the resulting present value is the
same as the market value. What’s the difference? Perhaps … maybe … it
would be more meaningful if the calculation of the present value (at
risk) is a judgment that is determined by the probability of default of
the underlying mortgages.
Even so, it may still be argued that the
current fair value accounting information has contributed to the recent
bad spiral of financial events which are based on fair market values at
the margin. Paulson’s proposed solution today is to remove the subprime
loans from the market place, temporarily. Thus, the remaining “good “
mortgage securities which are presumed to be of responsible quality will
function at the margin in good order. Have no doubt, all US taxpayers
will pay to manage the “bad” mortgage-backed securities (however they
are measured/selected). From an accounting measurement perspective, the
investors who make decisions based upon accounting data need “relevant”
information (as per the statement of financial concepts and the FASB
current project proposal). Both of these aforementioned directions to
fix the current financial problem appear to be superficial at best with
respect to the underlying mortgage security information and long-term
satisfactory arms-length transaction economics. I would be interested to
hear from anyone else who has greater detail to share on these
measurement processes. In some respects, Paulson should be given the
benefit of the doubt and perhaps the weekend discussions will give
resolution to the problem. Even in the worst of a crisis, one
hopes/looks for light at the end of the tunnel.
Question
Will fair value accounting reduce or exacerbate the problem of economic and
stock market bubbles?
September 2008 reply from Bob Jensen
One time I posed a question to the,
then, Editor of The Wall Street Journal Editorial Page (my former
fraternity brother Bob Bartley) about why the WSJ on that very day was
attacking Mike Milken as a felonious thief on Page 1 and praising Milken
as a creative capitalist on the Editorial Page. Bob Bartley's truthful
response was that the WSJ, more than any other newspaper, is really two
newspapers bundled into one copy. The Editorial
Page is an unabashed advocate of free-reining capital markets (Damn the
Torpedoes). The rest of the newspaper reports the facts (and I
think the WSJ reporters are among the best in the world, especially when
they commenced to prickle Ken Lay and Jeff Skilling about hidden related
party transactions at Enron). See Question 22 at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudEnronQuiz.htm
It's interesting that WSJ reporters discovered related party
transactions when Enron's auditors pleaded ignorance about such
fraudulent dealings. But then Andersen was becoming notorious at that
time for bad audits.
Although
I’m not the world’s biggest fan of fair value accounting, I thought
Isaac's article was misleading. It glossed over the fundamental problem
with the recent investment bank failures (personal infectious greed,
disregard for shareholder risk, an ever-fraudulent real estate appraisal
profession, and questionable auditor independence) in an attempt to put
the blame on the fair value accounting standards. If the auditors had
really insisted on adjusting bad debt allowances to what fair values
should’ve been, we might have avoided some of this Wall Street meltdown.
The auditors are partly to blame, although they most likely were
deceived as well by greedy Wall Street analysts and brokers.
Isaac's
opinion piece fits right into the WSJ's repeated and undeserving
hammering of SOX and efforts by standard setters to bring about greater
accounting transparency. The WSJ editors (certainly not all of their
great reporters) have the opinion that accounting stifles growth and
creative capitalism on Wall Street.
It is
interesting to compare the Isaac’s attack (a biased, self-serving attack
in my viewpoint) with Paul Miller’s hopes (Journal of Accountancy,
May 2008) for fair value accounting (that naively relies on the ability
and integrity of the fair value estimation and attestation system):
"The Capital
Markets’ Needs Will Be Served: Fair value accounting limits bubbles
rather than creates them," by Paul B.W. Miller
With regard to the relationship between financial accounting and the
subprime-lending crisis, I observe that the capital markets’ needs will
be served, one way or another.
Grasping this imperative leads to new outlooks and behaviors for the
better of all. In contrast to conventional dogma, capital markets cannot
be managed through accounting policy choices and political pressure on
standard setters. Yes, events show that markets can be duped, but not
for long and not very well, and with inevitable disastrous consequences.
With regard to the crisis, attempts to place blame on accounting
standards are not valid. Rather, other factors created it, primarily
actors in the complex intermediation chain, including:
Borrowers who sought credit beyond their reach.
Borrowers who sought credit beyond their reach.
Investment bankers who earned fees for bundling and selling vaporous
bonds without adequately disclosing risk.
Institutional investors who sought high returns without understanding
the risk and real value.
In addition, housing markets collapsed, eliminating the backstop
provided by collateral. Thus, claims that accounting standards fomented
or worsened this crisis lack credibility.
The following paragraphs explain why fair value accounting promotes
capital market efficiency.
THE GOAL OF FINANCIAL REPORTING The goal of financial reporting, and all
who act within it, is to facilitate convergence of securities’ market
prices on their intrinsic values. When that happens, securities prices
and capital costs appropriately reflect real risks and returns. This
efficiency mutually benefits everyone: society, investors, managers and
accountants.
Any other goals, such as inexpensive reporting, projecting positive
images, and reducing auditors’ risk of recrimination, are misdirected.
Because the markets’ demand for useful information will be satisfied,
one way or another, it makes sense to reorient management strategy and
accounting policy to provide that satisfaction.
THE PERSCRIPTION The key to converging market and intrinsic values is
understanding that more information, not less, is better. It does no
good, and indeed does harm, to leave markets guessing. Reports must be
informative and truthful, even if they’re not flattering.
To this end, all must grasp that financial information is favorable if
it unveils truth more completely and faithfully instead of presenting an
illusory better appearance. Covering up bad news isn’t possible,
especially over the long run, and discovered duplicity brings
catastrophe.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND To reap full benefits, management and accountants must
meet the markets’ needs. Instead, past attention was paid primarily to
the needs of managers and accountants and what they wanted to supply
with little regard to the markets’ demands. But progress always follows
when demand is addressed. Toward this end, managers must look beyond
preparation costs and consider the higher capital costs created when
reports aren’t informative.
Above all, they must forgo misbegotten efforts to coax capital markets
to overprice securities, especially by withholding truth from them.
Instead, it’s time to build bridges to these markets, just as managers
have accomplished with customers, employees and suppliers.
THE CONTENT In this paradigm, the preferable information concerns fair
values of assets and liabilities. Historical numbers are of no interest
because they lack reliability for assessing future cash flows. That is,
information’s reliability doesn’t come as much from its verifiability
(evidenced by checks and invoices) as from its dependability for
rational decision making. Although a cost is verifiable, it is
unreliable because it is a sample of one that at best reflects past
conditions. Useful information reveals what is now true, not what used
to be.
It’s not just me: Sophisticated users have said this, over and over
again. For example, on March 17, Georgene Palacky of the CFA Institute
issued a press release, saying, “Fair value is the most transparent
method of measuring financial instruments, such as derivatives, and is
widely favored by investors.” This expressed demand should help managers
understand that failing to provide value-based information forces
markets to manufacture their own estimates. In turn, the markets
defensively guess low for assets and high for liabilities. Rather than
stable and higher securities prices, disregarding demand for truthful
and useful information produces more volatile and lower prices that
don’t converge on intrinsic values.
However it arises, a vacuum of useful public information is always
filled by speculative private information, with an overall increase in
uncertainty, cost, risk, volatility and capital costs. These outcomes
are good for no one.
THE STRATEGY Managers bring two things to capital markets: (1)
prospective cash flows and (2) information. Their work isn’t done if
they don’t produce quality in both. It does no good to present rosy
pictures of inferior cash flow potential because the truth will
eventually be known. And it does no good to have great potential if the
financial reports obscure it.
Thus, managers need to unveil the truth about their situation, which is
far different from designing reports to prop up false images. Even if
well-intentioned, such efforts always fail, usually sooner rather than
later.
It’s especially fruitless to mold standards to generate this propaganda
because readers don’t believe the results. Capital markets choose
whether to rely on GAAP financial statements, so it makes no sense to
report anything that lacks usefulness. For the present situation, then,
not reporting best estimates of fair value frustrates capital markets,
creates more risk, diminishes demand for a company’s securities and
drives prices even lower.
THE ROLE FOR ACCOUNTING REPORTING Because this crisis wasn’t created by
poor accounting, it won’t be relieved by worse accounting. Rather, the
blame lies with inattention to CDOs’ risks and returns. It was bad
management that led to losses, not bad standards.
In fact, value-based reporting did exactly what it was supposed to by
unveiling risk and its consequences. It is pointless to condemn FASB for
forcing these messages to be sent. Rather, we should all shut up, pay
attention, and take steps to prevent other disasters.
That involves telling the truth, cleanly and clearly. It needs to be
delivered quickly and completely, withholding nothing. Further, managers
should not wait for a bureaucratic standard-setting process to tell them
what truth to reveal, any more than carmakers should build their
products to minimum compliance with government safety, mileage and
pollution standards.
I cannot see how defenders of the status quo can rebut this point from
Palacky’s press release: “…only when fair value is widely practiced will
investors be able to accurately evaluate and price risk.”
THE FUTURE Nothing can prevent speculative bubbles. However, the
sunshine of truth, freely offered by management with timeliness, will
certainly diminish their frequency and impact.
Any argument that restricting the flow of useful public information will
solve the problem is totally dysfunctional. The markets’ demand for
value-based information will be served, whether through public or
private sources. It might as well be public.
Paul B.W. Miller, CPA, Ph.D., a professor of accounting at the
University of Colorado, served on both FASB’s staff and the staff of the
SEC’s Office of the Chief Accountant. He is also a member of the JofA’s
Editorial Advisory Board. His e-mail address is pmiller@uccs.edu.
A Challenge
to Your Students Was Paul Miller
correct or out in left field in terms of theory vs. implementation vs.
both?
An interesting accounting theory exercise for students would be to
compare how fantasyland (fair value) accounting can in theory can be
used to prevent fantasyland bubbles and then have those students
consider the implementation realities (non-additive fair values due to
covariance terms in going concerns, mixing of realized and unrealized
changes in value, huge fair value measurement error bounds,
less-than-independent auditors engaged by clients suffering from
infectious greet,
etc.).
If only we didn't know how badly off the banks are,
then maybe we could save the financial system as we used to know it.
That is the growing mantra from financial
executives and their water carriers in Washington. The major problem isn't
that banks made poor decisions and lost credibility with investors, in their
view. The problem is that mark-to-market accounting is dragging down
financial institutions and the U.S. economy, as House Financial Services
Committee Chairman Barney Frank said last week.
They couldn't be more wrong. And there's so much
misinformation floating around the markets on this subject that it's time,
once again, to debunk the myths.
Myth No. 1: The rules known as Financial Accounting
Standard No. 157 are to blame.
The latest iteration on this tired saw comes from
Christopher Whalen, a managing director at Institutional Risk Analytics, who
gave an interview on the subject Friday. Among his recommendations:
``Rescind FAS 157 so if you have a real quoted
price for an asset, fine, use it. Otherwise you allow companies to use
historic cost. You had a transaction, you know what you paid for it, it's a
fact. All this other stuff is speculation. We are literally creating the
impression of losses.''
The Awful Truth
The truth: FAS 157 doesn't expand the use of
fair-value accounting. Rather, it requires companies to divulge more
information about the reliability of their reported fair values.
Most companies won't even adopt FAS 157 until this
quarter. All the standard does is require companies to disclose how much of
their assets and liabilities are valued using quoted market prices, how much
are measured using valuation models, and how much come from models using
inputs that aren't observable in the market. That's it.
Myth No. 2: Mark-to-market accounting is new.
Companies have been ``marking to model'' for
decades, and few people complained when banks and others were recording
large gains as a result. The difference now, thanks to FAS 157, is that
outsiders can see the extent to which companies' fair-value results are
based on estimates, at least at companies that adopted the rules early.
Financial statements always have been piles of
estimates heaped upon a bunch of guesswork. Look through the footnotes to
any company's financial statements, and you'll see that estimates are used
for everything from loan-loss reserves, to income-tax and stock-option
costs, even revenue.
Solves Nothing
Moving everything to historical-cost accounting
wouldn't solve anything. For assets that aren't marked-to-market each
quarter, such as goodwill and inventory, they still must be written down to
fair value whenever their values have declined sharply and show no sign of
bouncing back. The accountants call this an ``other-than-temporary
impairment.''
So even if we had historical-cost accounting today
for all the mortgage-related holdings that have plummeted in value and for
which there is no liquid market, companies still would have to estimate the
assets' fair values and write them down accordingly. That's because the
values probably won't come back anytime soon, if ever.
Myth No. 3: Companies aren't allowed to explain
their mark- to-market values.
This is a fairly new one. Last week, the Securities
and Exchange Commission said it is drafting a letter to let companies tell
investors when they think the market values of their plunging assets don't
reflect the holdings' actual worth. Companies also would be allowed to
disclose ranges showing what their models say the assets might fetch in the
marketplace.
Guess what? Companies are allowed to do these
things already in the discussion-and-analysis sections of their SEC reports
each quarter. They also can make such disclosures in their
financial-statement footnotes. What they can't do is print ranges on their
balance sheets or income statements, any more than taxpayers can put down
ranges on their Internal Revenue Service returns.
Myth No. 4: Eliminating mark-to-market accounting
will prevent margin calls.
If you're a banker for, say, Thornburg Mortgage
Inc. or Carlyle Capital Corp., do you think for a minute that you would
hesitate to call in one of these companies' loans just because they started
using historical cost to account for hard-to-value financial instruments? No
way. The moment lenders decide the collateral isn't worth enough to support
the loans, they'll demand more collateral or pull the plug, no matter what
the financial statements say.
Myth No. 5: The public would be better off without
mark-to- market accounting.
Investors are fully capable of understanding that
unrealized losses on hard-to-value assets are estimates. They're also smart
enough to know that values change over time. And in the case of things such
as credit-default swaps that eventually might reach some settlement date,
the fair-value changes include vital forward-looking information about what
the future economic costs of these derivatives may be.
What most investors can't tolerate is being kept in
the dark, when companies in their portfolios are sliding toward insolvency
and whistling along the way that all is well.
We've got a meltdown, folks. Deal with it.
Absurd claims are being made that the 2008 U.S. economic meltdown might
have been avoided without fair value accounting
But then maybe it's not so clear cut in the real world: Fair Value Theory
vs. Fair Value Fraud
In the current environment, I am an ardent supporter
of those who would resist calls to suspend fair value accounting rules. But,
when I was at the SEC, I had a front-row seat on what was perhaps one of the
most brazen abuses of fair value accounting in history. I was reminded of it by
Joseph Stiglitz's recent commentary on CNN.com, in which he
characterizedthe mortgage securitization craze as
just another pyramid scheme. Keep that in mind as I tell you the story of
Stephen Hoffenberg's$400 million fraud.
Tom Selling, "The Anti-Fair Value
Lobby Has a Point (Even if They Don't Know It)" The Accounting Onion,
September 22, 2008 ---
http://accountingonion.typepad.com/
But, how could fair value accounting be the device
by which one scheme was kept alive, yet could have prevented another? Like
the Hoffenberg case, there is no question that the two main ingredients of
the current fraud were lack of transparency into what was going on, and
accounting tricks to give the illusion that all was well. The difference is
that in the case of our present extreme unction, it was the ability to hide
actual losses (as opposed to create fictitious gains) by not using fair
value accounting for junk assets. The answer for the apparent paradox lies
in a significant flaw in 'fair value' accounting.
...
And another big difference between Towers and the
current crisis is that Hoffenberg got 20 years. Today's CEOs are smart
enough to take their money and run.
Banks and other financial institutions are lobbying against
fair-value accounting
for their asset holdings. They claim many of their
assets are not impaired, that they intend to hold them to maturity anyway
and that recent transaction prices reflect distressed sales into an illiquid
market, not what the assets are actually worth. Legislatures and regulators
support these arguments, preferring to conceal depressed asset prices rather
than deal with the consequences of insolvent banks.
This is not the way forward. While regulators and legislators are keen to
find simple solutions to complex problems, allowing financial institutions
to ignore market transactions is a bad idea.
A bank typically argues that a mortgage loan for which it continues to
receive regular monthly payments is not impaired and does not need to be
written down. A potential purchaser of the loan, however, is unlikely to
value it at its origination value. The purchaser calculates a loan-to-value
ratio using the current, much lower value of the house. After calculating
the likelihood of default, the potential buyer works out a price balancing
the risk of default and amount that might be lost – a price well below the
carrying value on the bank’s books.
The bank is likely to ignore this offered price, or trades of similar
assets, with the claim that unusual market conditions, not a decline in the
value of the assets, causes a lack of buyers at the origination price. Its
real motive, however, is to avoid recognising a loss. Yet, by keeping assets
at their origination value, the bank creates the curious possibility that
its traders could buy an identical loan more cheaply and so carry two
identical securities in the same not-for-sale account at vastly different
prices.
Financial assets, even complex pools of assets, trade continuously in
markets. Markets function best when companies disclose valid information
about the values of their assets and future cash flows. If companies choose
not to disclose their best estimates of the fair values of their assets,
market participants will make their own judgments about future cash flows
and subtract a risk premium for non-disclosure. Good accounting should
reduce such dead-weight losses.
This already happens in another financial sector. Mutual funds in the US
now use models, rather than the last traded price, to provide estimates of
the fair values of their assets that trade in overseas markets. The models
forecast the prices at which these overseas assets would have traded at the
close of the US market, based on the closing prices of similar assets in the
US market. In this way, the funds ensure that their shareholders do not
trade at biased net asset values calculated from stale prices. Banks can
similarly use models to update the prices that would be paid for various
assets. Trading desks in financial institutions have models that allow them
to predict prices to within 5 per cent of what would be offered for even
their complex asset pools.
Obtaining fair-value estimates for complex pools of asset-backed
securities, of course, is not trivial. But these days it is possible for a
bank’s analysts to use recent market transaction prices as reference points
and then adjust for the unique characteristics of the assets they actually
hold, such as the specific local housing prices underlying their mortgage
assets.
For fair-value estimates made by internal bank analysts to be credible,
they need to be independently validated by external auditors. Many certified
auditors, however, have little training or experience in the models used to
calculate fair-value estimates. In this case, auditing firms can use outside
experts, much as they do today with actuaries and lawyers who provide an
independent attestation to other complex estimates disclosed in a company’s
financial statements. The higher cost of using independent experts is part
of the price of originating and investing in complex, infrequently traded
financial instruments.
Legislators and regulators fear that marking banks’ assets down to
fair-value estimates will trigger automatic actions as capital ratios
deteriorate. But using accounting rules to mislead regulators with
inaccurate information is a poor policy. If capital calculations are based
on inaccurate values of assets, the ratios are already lower than they
appear. Banks should provide regulators with the best information about
their assets and liabilities and, separately, allow them the flexibility and
discretion to adjust capital adequacy ratios based on the economic
situation. Regulators can lower capital ratios during downturns and raise
them during good economic times.
No system of disclosing the fair value of complex securities is perfect.
Models can be misused or misinterpreted. But reasonable and auditable
methods exist today to incorporate the information in the most recent market
prices. Investors, creditors, boards and regulators need not base decisions
on biased values of a company’s financial assets and liabilities.
Robert Kaplan and Robert Merton, 1997 Nobel laureate in economics, are
professors at Harvard Business School. Scott Richard is a professor at the
Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
Jensen Comment
I am also in favor of fair value accounting for financial instrument. The
unresolved controversy is whether to post unrealized changes in value of these
securities to current earnings or accumulated OCI where the changes do not
affect earnings until if and when they are realized. In the case of
held-to-maturity securities the accumulated value changes wash out and never are
realized. If unrealized fair value changes are posted to earnings, bankers
especially hate the volatility in earnings that comes about from mixing realized
with unrealized revenues. Kaplan, Merton, and Richard due not address this
primary concern of bankers.
From The Wall
Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on October 17, 2008
SUMMARY: Dr.
Owens is a Professor of Finance at Missouri State University. He
responds to an Opinion page piece from October 6, 2008 (see
related article) in which, Owens argues, L. Gordon Crovitz
"...criticizes accounting for failing in its basic mission of
being informative, while also suggesting that federal regulators
cannot trust the numbers that accountants provide when
establishing capital requirements for banks." Dr. Owens argues
that, to provide "informative accounting, requires a major
paradigm shift. The prototype for what financial accountants
should be doing can be found in the fund accounting process used
by municipalities," he concludes! Dr. Owens is apparently
unaware of GASB statements now requiring financial statements,
based on a business-type model rather than the fund accounting
model, though most governmental entities still prepare financial
statements for external reporting by consolidating underlying
fund records still maintained for statutory purposes.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Comparing different accounting systems is a
hallmark of the exchange of these two opinion pieces, including
issues such as: mark-to-market (fair value) versus historical
cost; accrual based accounting versus fund accounting; and
usefulness of financial statements for bank regulatory purposes
versus the overall objectives of financial reporting as
established in the U.S. under the FASB's Conceptual Framework,
the international community under the IASB, or the current joint
project between these two Boards.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) According to L. Gordon Crovitz, in
the related article, one of the factors which will indicate,
"when things are returning to normal" is "when accounting
approximates reality." What is the difficulty with using fair
value in financial reporting in today's market circumstances?
2. (Introductory) As reported in both the Crovitz and
the Owens editorial pieces, federal regulators have concerns
about the accounting measurements used in bank balance sheets
and on which bank's capital requirements are based. Compare and
contrast, in a summary form, mark-to-market accounting for
financial assets, versus historical cost methods for these types
of assets.
3. (Advanced) What is the purpose of capital
requirements for banks? How will the two methods of accounting
described in your answer to question above impact the
determination of these capital requirements?
4. (Advanced) Mr. Crovitz's characterization of two
opposing methods of accounting as problematic when "marking to a
nonexistent market communicates little information, but likewise
a guestimate of ultimate value also conveys little." What
methods of accounting is Mr. Crovitz referring to? Specifically
compare these two descriptions to methods of accounting and
explain their meaning.
5. (Advanced) What is(are) the stated objective(s) of
financial reporting? Identify the source for this answer. Does
this document provide a basis for resolving the issues of
informativeness raised by Mr. Crovitz and Dr. Owens? Support
your answer.
6. (Advanced) Dr. Owens suggests using an accounting
system based on governmental fund accounting to solve the issues
raised by Mr. Crovitz. How are government financial statements
now required to be presented? Since what date has the current
reporting format been required? Is the reporting format based on
fund accounting? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
L. Gordon Crovitz ("Seeking
Rational Exuberance," Information Age, Oct. 6)
justifiably criticizes
accounting for failing in its basic mission of being
informative, while also suggesting that federal
regulators cannot trust the numbers that accountants
provide when establishing capital requirements for
banks.
Mr.
Crovitz's first concern, informative accounting, can
be addressed but requires a major paradigm shift.
The problem here is that over the years the
accounting profession has commingled its primary
role of providing meaningful financial information
with a secondary role of providing "valuation-type"
information, however described. The first of these
roles lies unquestionably with financial
accountants. The second role lies largely outside
the accounting profession and with valuation experts
who take information provided by accountants and
integrate it into their decision process. Some of
the information provided by accountants may be
valuation in nature, such as information on the
current value of short-term receivables or the
current value of loans outstanding, but this should
be considered extracurricular accounting activity.
The
prototype for what financial accountants should be
doing can be found in the fund accounting process
used by municipalities. In the governmental funds,
where most municipal accounting occurs, daily
accounting activity is in the areas of revenue,
expenditures, cash, cash receipts, cash
disbursements, short-term payables, and short-term
receivables. All other types of financial
information (such as plant and equipment records,
long-term debt records, and pension records) are
kept in supplementary records outside the
governmental fund accounting records and can be
provided in a variety of user-friendly formats.
The
second of Mr. Crovitz's concerns can be readily
addressed by not basing capital requirements on
subjective accounting figures. For example, capital
requirements can be set at a flat dollar amount
(say, based on an average of deposits over the
preceding five years) plus some (hopefully, safe)
percentage of end-of-period deposits. Financial
information on deposits is part of the accounting
records but is not subjective in the sense that it
can be unduly influenced through one person's
interpretation of the various rules and regulations
that underpin current financial accounting.
Robert W. Owens, Ph.D. Professor of Finance
Missouri State University
Springfield, Mo.
As discussed in Double Entries 14(33), the recent
bank rescue legislation (Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008)
requires the SEC to study mark-to-market accounting
http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2008/2008-242.htm
Under the terms of the EESA, the study will focus
on:
1. The effects of such accounting standards on
a financial institution's balance sheet
2. The impacts of such accounting on bank
failures in 2008
3. The impact of such standards on the quality
of financial information available to investors
4. The process used by the Financial Accounting
Standards Board in developing accounting standards
5. The advisability and feasibility of
modifications to such standards
6. Alternative accounting standards to those
provided in [Financial Accounting Standards Board] Statement Number 157
SEC Chairman Christopher Cox announced that James
Kroeker, Deputy Chief Accountant for Accounting at the SEC, will serve as
staff director for the study.”
"Among Different Classes of Equity: Valuation models can be
tailored to unique financing structures." by Andrew C. Smith and Jason
C. Laurent, Journal of Accouintancy, March 2008 ---
http://www.aicpa.org/pubs/jofa/mar2008/allocating_value.htm
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY It is essential for board members, executive officers, CFOs, auditors
and private equity investors to comprehend option-pricing models used to
determine the per-share values of common and preferred shares.
The AICPA Practice Aid, Valuation of
Privately-Held-Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation,
describes three methods of allocating value between preferred and common
equity, which include:
Current Value Method (“CVM”) Probability
Weighted Expected Return Method (“PWERM”) Option-Pricing Method (“OPM”)
OPM, which is based on the Black-Scholes model,
is a common method for allocating equity value between common and
preferred shares.
Valuation models must be tailored to the
specific facts and circumstances of the equity in the company being
valued.
TOPICS: Accounting,
Allowance For Doubtful Accounts, Bad Debts, Banking,
Financial Analysis, Financial Statement Analysis, Loan Loss
Allowance, Reserves
SUMMARY: "The
chief problem at Fannie and Freddie -- an inadequate capital
cushion against losses -- also bedevils large banks in the
U.S. and Europe more than 12 months into the credit crunch.
The broader strains now facing the markets are not as easily
relieved by central banks or governments as the company
specific crises at Fannie and Freddie or Bear Stearns
earlier this year. Of course, central banks could cut
interest rates in the face of this threat. The trouble is
banks are being extra cautious, justifiably, about lending
as the economy slows. And while banks are reluctant to lend,
many are having problems borrowing to fund themselves. That
is because the market's assessment of their creditworthiness
is darkening."
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Couching the continued problems in credit
markets in terms of adequacy of loan loss reserves can help
students in accounting classes better understand the credit
market issues--and put a real world example to the academic
learning about the importance of the accrual for bad debts.
The article therefore is useful in any financial or MBA
accounting course covering bad debts and the impact of the
accounting for loan losses on capital accounts. Questions
also discuss a related article on the topic of Fannie Mae,
Freddie Mac, and banks' preferred stock.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Describe the recent events
undertaken by the U.S. government in relation to the Federal
National Mortgage Association (nickname Fannie Mae) and
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation (Freddie Mac). You
may use the related articles to do so. In your answer,
describe the roles of these entities in facilitating
mortgage lending and home ownership across the U.S.
2. (Introductory) The article states "the chief
problem at Fannie and Freddie is an inadequate capital
cushion against losses." Whether they are business accounts
receivable for a company or mortgage loan receivables on a
bank or mortgage entity's balance sheet, how do we establish
an allowance for losses on receivables? How does this
procedure help to properly present a receivable balance on
the balance sheet and an uncollectable accounts expense on
the income statement?
3. (Introductory) What is the impact of recording
an allowance for doubtful accounts on an entity's capital or
stockholders' equity?
4. (Advanced) What is the purpose of requirements
for banks, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to maintain a
"cushion" of capital? How is that "cushion" eroded when loan
losses prove greater than previously anticipated?
5. (Advanced) How is it possible that Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac have inadequate allowances for doubtful
mortgage loans?
6. (Advanced) Why is it likely that inadequate
allowances for losses on loan and accounts receivable are
established in times of significant change in the product
market generating the receivables? Did such a change occur
in mortgage loan markets?
7. (Introductory) One of the related articles
discusses the implications of the government takeover and
its suspension of dividends on the value of Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac preferred stock. How does preferred stock differ
from common stock? How are these types of ownership
interests similar in cases of failure of the entity issuing
them?
8. (Advanced) Why do debtholders fare better than
common and preferred shareholders in this case of government
takeover or any case of corporate failure?
9. (Advanced) Why might investors "view preferred
stock as debt by another name"?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Investors may be tempted to see the
government's takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as the kind of
cathartic action that marks a decisive turning point for the U.S.
banking system and the wider stock market.
But the chief problem at Fannie and Freddie --
an inadequate capital cushion against losses -- also bedevils large
banks in the U.S and Europe more than 12 months into the credit crunch.
While the capital shortage may not be as dire
as at Fannie and Freddie, private banks can't count on a government
rescue. Some will fail. Others will have to issue massive amounts of
capital to shore up their shaky balance sheets.
Make no mistake, the government's move to shore
up Fannie and Freddie will likely give markets a short-term boost,
especially if investors believe this can help underpin house prices in
the U.S. But this move by the Treasury comes just as a new, more general
threat looms: On top of U.S. economic problems, underlined by Friday's
jump in the unemployment rate, the rest of the world is slowing.
The broader strains now facing the markets are
not as easily relieved by central banks or governments as the company
specific crises at Fannie and Freddie or Bear Stearns earlier this year.
Of course, central banks could cut interest
rates in the face of this threat. Even the Federal Reserve has some room
to cut the Fed Funds rate from 2%. That may be one reason bank stocks
rallied Friday in the U.S. despite the dismal unemployment figure.
Rate cuts would theoretically allow banks to
harvest easy profits by borrowing more cheaply and lending to
high-quality borrowers at attractive rates. The trouble is, banks are
being extra cautious, justifiably, about lending as the economy slows.
The shakeout of the past year has done almost
nothing to improve the average U.S. household balance sheet. So while a
government commitment to buy mortgage-backed securities, also announced
Sunday, may cause mortgage rates to fall, banks may not want to lend at
lower rates because they don't feel they're being compensated for the
risks in this uncertain economy.
And while banks are reluctant to lend, many are
having problems borrowing to fund themselves. That is because the
market's assessment of their creditworthiness is darkening.
A closely followed yardstick that measures the
gap between interbank lending rates and the expected federal-funds rate
has widened beyond July's distressed levels. When this gap widens, banks
are perceived to be riskier.
Also, the cost of insuring against default by
large banks is rising.
The takeover of Fannie and Freddie could even
worsen that sentiment, as investors grow even more cynical of regulatory
measures of capital.
For months, Fannie, Freddie, their regulator
and other government officials have assured investors that measures of
regulatory capital showed the mortgage firms weren't financially
hobbled.
The government's takeover shows this wasn't the
case. Given that, investors are going to want concrete actions from
banks, not continued pronouncements that losses on mortgage-related
securities are only temporary and will one day bounce back.
That will translate into highly dilutive issues
of common stock, which will be necessary if banks are to raise capital
to the levels required to reassure anxious funding sources.
And that is why bank investors who place too
much hope in the bailout of Fannie and Freddie could get burned.
As an act of crisis management, the government
takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the mortgage-finance giants, was a
reasonable and reassuring move. It ensures the flow of mortgage credit and
is likely to reduce mortgage rates, which are important steps toward the
eventual recovery of the ailing United States housing market.
And it does so while putting taxpayers first for
future dividends or money that may be earned when the firms are reprivatized,
holding out hope that the bailout costs may someday be recouped. Beyond the
immediate crisis, however, the takeover raises disturbing issues that may
get lost in the tumult of the moment.
¶ The need for an explicit bailout underlines the
economic vulnerabilities of the United States. In July, Congress gave
Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson unlimited authority to pay the debts of
Fannie and Freddie and to shore up their capital, if need be. Yet investors
the world over continued to doubt the companies’ viability, shunning their
securities or demanding unusually high interest rates on loans. In effect,
investors deemed the government’s commitment to Fannie and Freddie as either
insufficient or not credible — an extraordinary vote of no confidence that,
in the end, led to the bailout.
¶ There is no single reason for the lack of
confidence. But investors have good cause to be concerned about the deep
indebtedness of the United States, about the nation’s apparent political
unwillingness to restore its fiscal health and about the ability of the
government to responsibly make good on its commitments. A pledge of the full
faith and credit of the United States still means something. That’s why the
markets responded favorably to the takeover. But investors’ refusal to
accept a promise to act is another sign of the need to reverse the fiscal
mismanagement of the Bush years.
¶ The United States must acknowledge that its deep
indebtedness is especially dangerous in times of economic crisis. The level
and stability of American interest rates and of the dollar are now dependent
on the willingness of foreign central banks and other overseas investors to
continue lending to the United States. The bailout became inevitable when
central banks in Asia and Russia began to curtail their purchases of the
companies’ debt, pushing up mortgage rates and deepening the economic
downturn.
¶ The bailout is new evidence of the need for
better regulation of the American financial system. As the housing bubble
inflated, the Bush administration often claimed that America’s unfettered
markets were the envy of the world. But, in fact, they have sowed mistrust.
¶ The cost of the bailout needs to be carefully
monitored. Fannie and Freddie own or back nearly $800 billion of generally
junky mortgages, and some of those will inevitably go bad. So it is
reasonable to assume that the cost could easily near $100 billion. There may
be ways to make back some of that money later, but for a long time, the
bailout will divert resources from other needs.
Senators John McCain and Barack Obama have both
voiced support for the bailout, which shows good judgment. But what the next
president will need to worry about, and both candidates need to talk about,
is the depth of the country’s economic problems. It will take discipline and
sacrifice to address them.
Jensen Comment The national debt is the reason for a weakening dollar, higher oil prices,
inflation, and our diminishing stature in the world. George Bush was a
spendthrift who plunged us deeper into debt by failing to veto spending bills of
a run-away Congress. Barack Obama's unfundable populist programs will only bury
us deeper in debt. John McCain is probably maverick enough to veto some spending
cuts. Our real economic hope may lie in the ultimate veto pen of . . . gasp . .
. Sarah Palin.
For once (actually the second time in 2008) The New York Times had an
editorial that makes economic sense:
Longer term, the challenge is perhaps even more
daunting. Saving more is ultimately the only way to dig out of the budget
hole that the nation is in. That will be painful, because higher government
savings, done properly, means higher taxes and restrained spending.
Candidates for president do not like to be pessimistic, or even candid,
really, about the economy. But a leader who wants to steer the nation
through tough times should not spend the campaign telling Americans they can
have it all. "There He Goes Again," The New York Times, July 12, 2008 ---
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/12/opinion/12sat1.html?_r=1&oref=slogin Jensen Comment But true to form, the NYT only criticizes John McCain's balanced budget
goals in this context. No mention is made of the NYT's favorite candidate
who certainly, albeit truthfully, is not promising anything within light
years of a balanced budget. The question is which candidate, if elected,
will heavily veto the outrageous spending bills that most certainly emerge
from Congress over the next four or eight years. Sadly, George Bush, unlike
Reagan, rarely inked a spending veto in his eight years. This country does
not know what a life-threatening debt crisis is and will have a rude
awakening after November when the U.S. dollar skids to all time lows never
imagined. The real problem is that Congress is leaning to more of
entitlement time bombs.
We can also secure a
firm financial footing for Social Security (and Medicare) without
choking off economic growth or curtailing our flexibility to pursue
other spending priorities. Three actions are essential: (1) reduce
entitlement spending growth through some form of means testing; (2)
eliminate all nonessential spending in the rest of the budget; and
(3) adopt policies that promote economic growth. This 180-degree
difference from Mr. Obama's fiscal plan forms the basis of Sen.
McCain's priorities for spending, taxes and health care.
The problem with Mr.
Obama's fiscal plans is not that that they lack vision. On the
contrary, the vision is plain enough: a larger welfare state paid
for by higher taxes. The problem is not even that they imply change.
The problem is that his plans are statist.
While the candidate
is sending a fiscal "Ich bin ein Berliner" message to Americans,
European critics of his call for greater spending on defense are the
canary in the coal mine for what lies ahead with his vision for the
United States.
Professor R. Glenn Hubbard is
Dean of the College of Business at Columbia University and a member
of the President's Council of Economic Advisors.
Earnings Management Via Hidden Reserves in Banks
The upgrading of valuation methods, in particular
with respect to the valuation of illiquid assets. Work is being led by the
Basle Committee and the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB), who
have established a panel on fair valuation. Advice is expected by the end of
the third quarter of 2008. The IASB is also working on off-balance sheet
items with the key question being: when should an entity be brought onto
another entity's balance sheet? The input received in these meetings will
help the IASB in shaping its forthcoming proposals on reviewing
consolidation rules under IFRS. Deliverables are expected in 2009. Proper
due process must be carried out. I believe we need to look hard at issues
such as dynamic provisioning* – and how to account for prudential reserves
built up by banks to buffer for bad times. It should not have escaped
people's attention that banks in Spain were better placed to withstand the
turmoil because they had not yet adopted the relevant IFRS Standard. There
is a lesson there that needs to be drawn .... On accounting, SEC Chairman
Cox has unveiled a roadmap where US companies would switch from US GAAP to
IFRS by 2014. Unthinkable only two years ago! A dramatic signal indeed.
Following the EU's lead, the US is indicating it also wants to choose global
standards. One set, in sight, at last. And of course we need to strengthen
the governance of the IASB. That is why we are working hard with some of our
major counterparts to install new, strengthened oversight mechanisms.
Charlie McCreevy, European Commissioner for Internal Market, Speech,
September 10, 2008 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/europe/0809mccreevy.pdf
The Mortgage Meltdown: All the feet were together in one bed
I have some "top line"
thoughts on accounting & the credit crisis.
First, I don't believe
accounting "causes" crises. However, in my view, US GAAP accounting
rules contributed to the lack of transparency about the financial
position & performance of companies who engaged in securitizations
involving sub-prime mortgages.
So here are some tidbits
for thought re: the failure of financial reporting to provide relevant
information for economic decision-making:
(1) Securitization SPE/VIEs
could be moved off-balance sheet if they were "legally isolated" from
the company that created them. Legal isolation was based on opinions of
attorneys. These vehicles proved not to be legally isolated when "legal
isolation" was tested by the market place.
(2) Models measuring fair
values of financial instruments include assumptions about the
characteristics of the instruments. Rarely, if ever, do they include
assumptions about more fundamental economics, such as real estate prices
or general market collapse. Since the belief was that "real estate
prices would always rise", the possibility of a general collapse of real
estate prices would have received an extremely low weighting even if
this variable was included in a fair value model. There is nothing that
accounting rules can do (in my view) to create a comprehensive &
complete list of variables to be included in fair value models. All we
can do is provide guidance on who to estimate fair values.
(3) Only when defaults
started to occur did the information begin to creep in the financial
statements through
(a) more realistic
estimates of fair values of instruments on the books and
(b) through moving back
onto the books assets that had been moved off-balance sheet in SPEs.
On the IFRS front, I wrote
a monograph on this issue for the Institute of Chartered Accountants in
Australia. If anyone is interested in my emailing them a copy, email me
off-list.
Regards, Pat Walters Fordham University
September 16, 2008 reply from
Many made excellent points on this topic
You hear from these giant firms (e.g., AIG, GM,
Ford, etc.) telling the government “we are too big to fail” sounds like
blackmailing the government. Are they expecting us to consider the size
of the company as factor in the going concern determination? Also both
presidential campaigns call for “tougher” regulations on markets, are
they talking about us? Are they talking about regulators (government
agencies) who now will be operating major firms in Wall Street? BTW,
should GASB rules apply to these firms?
In my opinion, it is hard to believe gurus in
financial markets such as Bear Stern, Lehman Brothers, or Goldman Sachs
with top experts were unaware of risk of real estate loans, or could not
manage their greed as they did in the past. After all, they have gone
through several cycles of real estate ups and downs over last 100+
years.
I think this time accountants cannot be blamed,
and Bob did a good job explaining that mark-to-market is not the source
of the problem. I keep looking for more theories to help me understand
what happened so I can better manage my retirement funds in the future.
To start, I would like to research whether mixing trade and politics
played a role in this crisis (Zane commented on the intertwining nature
of the problems), or perhaps sudden devaluation of dollar caused massive
sell off on mortgage securities packages in foreign markets; and finally
created the run on financial institutions.
Saeed R.
September 17, reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Saeed,
You stated
“.To start, I would like to research
whether mixing trade and politics played a role in this crisis . . . “
Hint: They were, and still are, all in bed together.
In the
mortgage meltdown crisis, these are the feet of ignorant and
all-powerful representatives in Congress and the Senate (Chris
Dodd in particular), investment bankers, greedy local bankers,
crooked real estate appraisers, greedy credit insurance brokers, and yes
the international auditing firms that did not insist on proper bad debt
allowances because they feared losing their biggest clients. In
fairness, PwC did insist on providing details about how Fannie could get
kicked in the tail, but the seemingly endless footnotes overwhelmed even
the most diligent analysts. Most other sets of audited financial
statements, in retrospect, were more like the “feet together” picture.
In the IFRS
transition fiasco, these are the bedded-together feet of SEC Chairman
Cox, FASB Chairman Herz, the IASB members, and the CEOs of all the large
international auditing firms.
If only we didn't know how
badly off the banks are, then maybe we could save the financial system as we
used to know it.
That is the growing mantra from
financial executives and their water carriers in Washington. The major
problem isn't that banks made poor decisions and lost credibility with
investors, in their view. The problem is that mark-to-market accounting is
dragging down financial institutions and the U.S. economy, as House
Financial Services Committee Chairman Barney Frank said last week.
They couldn't be more wrong.
And there's so much misinformation floating around the markets on this
subject that it's time, once again, to debunk the myths.
Myth No. 1: The rules known as
Financial Accounting Standard No. 157 are to blame.
The latest iteration on this
tired saw comes from Christopher Whalen, a managing director at
Institutional Risk Analytics, who gave an interview on the subject Friday.
Among his recommendations:
``Rescind FAS 157 so if you
have a real quoted price for an asset, fine, use it. Otherwise you allow
companies to use historic cost. You had a transaction, you know what you
paid for it, it's a fact. All this other stuff is speculation. We are
literally creating the impression of losses.''
The Awful Truth
The truth: FAS 157 doesn't
expand the use of fair-value accounting. Rather, it requires companies to
divulge more information about the reliability of their reported fair
values.
Most companies won't even adopt
FAS 157 until this quarter. All the standard does is require companies to
disclose how much of their assets and liabilities are valued using quoted
market prices, how much are measured using valuation models, and how much
come from models using inputs that aren't observable in the market. That's
it.
Myth No. 2: Mark-to-market
accounting is new.
Companies have been ``marking
to model'' for decades, and few people complained when banks and others were
recording large gains as a result. The difference now, thanks to FAS 157, is
that outsiders can see the extent to which companies' fair-value results are
based on estimates, at least at companies that adopted the rules early.
Financial statements always
have been piles of estimates heaped upon a bunch of guesswork. Look through
the footnotes to any company's financial statements, and you'll see that
estimates are used for everything from loan-loss reserves, to income-tax and
stock-option costs, even revenue.
Solves Nothing
Moving everything to
historical-cost accounting wouldn't solve anything. For assets that aren't
marked-to-market each quarter, such as goodwill and inventory, they still
must be written down to fair value whenever their values have declined
sharply and show no sign of bouncing back. The accountants call this an
``other-than-temporary impairment.''
So even if we had
historical-cost accounting today for all the mortgage-related holdings that
have plummeted in value and for which there is no liquid market, companies
still would have to estimate the assets' fair values and write them down
accordingly. That's because the values probably won't come back anytime
soon, if ever.
Myth No. 3: Companies aren't
allowed to explain their mark- to-market values.
This is a fairly new one. Last
week, the Securities and Exchange Commission said it is drafting a letter to
let companies tell investors when they think the market values of their
plunging assets don't reflect the holdings' actual worth. Companies also
would be allowed to disclose ranges showing what their models say the assets
might fetch in the marketplace.
Guess what? Companies are
allowed to do these things already in the discussion-and-analysis sections
of their SEC reports each quarter. They also can make such disclosures in
their financial-statement footnotes. What they can't do is print ranges on
their balance sheets or income statements, any more than taxpayers can put
down ranges on their Internal Revenue Service returns.
Myth No. 4: Eliminating
mark-to-market accounting will prevent margin calls.
If you're a banker for, say,
Thornburg Mortgage Inc. or Carlyle Capital Corp., do you think for a minute
that you would hesitate to call in one of these companies' loans just
because they started using historical cost to account for hard-to-value
financial instruments? No way. The moment lenders decide the collateral
isn't worth enough to support the loans, they'll demand more collateral or
pull the plug, no matter what the financial statements say.
Myth No. 5: The public would be
better off without mark-to- market accounting.
Investors are fully capable of
understanding that unrealized losses on hard-to-value assets are estimates.
They're also smart enough to know that values change over time. And in the
case of things such as credit-default swaps that eventually might reach some
settlement date, the fair-value changes include vital forward-looking
information about what the future economic costs of these derivatives may
be.
What most investors can't
tolerate is being kept in the dark, when companies in their portfolios are
sliding toward insolvency and whistling along the way that all is well.
In the current financial turmoil, companies are
falling like ninepins. Lehman Brothers is in administration. Northern
Rock, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been bailed out and the list of
vulnerable banks
is growing. Bear Stearns and
Merrill Lynch have been sold at knockdown prices and HBOS has merged
with Lloyds TSB. Governments are pouring vast amounts of money to bail
out financial institutions. Amidst the mayhem, we need to ask questions
about the role of auditors, who have been paid millions of pounds to
give opinions on company financial statements. Yet companies are sinking
within weeks of getting a clean bill of health.
Ever since the 1998 collapse of
Long Term Capital Management
(LTCM) and its
rescue by the US Federal Reserve, it has been acknowledged that
derivatives are very difficult to value. In this case Nobel prize
winners in economics could not work out the value of such financial
instruments. Derivatives are central to the demise of Lehman. Its annual
accounts mention
derivatives contracts
with a face value of
$738bn and fair value of $36.8bn.
Lehman Brothers, incorporated in the tax haven
of Delaware, was audited by the New York office of Ernst & Young. On
January 28 2008, the firm gave a clean bill of health to
Lehman accounts
for the year to November 30
2007. The auditor's report (page 75 of the accounts) says, "Our audit
included obtaining an understanding of internal control over financial
reporting, assessing the risk that a material weakness exists, testing
and evaluating the design and operating effectiveness of internal
control based on the assessed risk, and performing such other procedures
as we considered necessary in the circumstances". Lehman Brothers filed
quarterly accounts
with the SEC for the period
of May 31 2008 and on July 10 2008 and these (see page 52) too received
a clean bill of health. Despite the deepening financial crisis, auditors
did not express any reservations about the value of the derivatives or
any scenarios under which company may be unable to honour its
obligations. Just two months later, Lehman collapsed.
During 2007, Ernst & Young collected
fees
(see page 43) of $31,307,000 from Lehman
Brothers, compared to $29,451,000 for 2006. The
fees for 2005 and
2004 were $25,324,000 and $24,748,000 respectively. Over the last four
years, Ernst & Young collected over $110m in fees, of which nearly $14m
is for advice on tax and other consultancy services.
The scale of fees raises questions about
auditor independence. By providing other services auditors begin to
perform quasi management functions and cannot objectively evaluate the
outcome of the transactions they themselves have helped to create. The
fee of $110m for the New York office of Ernst & Young is likely to be
significant in influencing the financial rewards of local partners and
managers. The fee dependency exerts pressure on auditors to acquiesce
with management. Such concerns were raised during the demise of
WorldCom, Maxwell, Enron and more recently in the insolvency examiner's
report on the collapse of
New Century.
Audit opinions are akin to financial mirages.
In recent weeks, within a short period of receiving clean bills of
health
Bear Stearns,
Carlyle Capital Corporation
and
Thornburg Mortgage
hit the financial buffers,
closely followed by Lehman Brothers.
Time and time again it has been shown that the
basic audit model is faulty. Private sector auditors cannot be
independent of the companies that they audit. This fundamental faultline
has not been addressed by the post Enron reforms. In addition, the
ex-post financial audits are too late and cannot alert financial
regulators of problems. The financial regulators have a wider remit and
are also concerned with the financial health of the whole system. These
shortcomings were recognised after the 1929 stock market crash. The
draft legislation
that created the SEC in the
1930s contained a provision making the SEC the auditor for public
companies, but under pressure from corporate interests, legislation was
diluted.
It is time to go back to the future and ensure
that audits of major companies, at least banks and financial
institutions, are carried out directly by the regulators. These audits
should be on a real-time basis. Audits by regulators have the advantage
of independence and can address regulatory issues. Accounting firms and
companies used to softer audits will no doubt fight tooth-and-nail to
retain their privileges, but we can't continue to indulge accounting
firms and pay billions to rescue banks
Notable Quotations About the SEC's New Proposals for
Oil & Gas Accounting
I think I can always tell when the fix is in.
First, big lies are woven into a large dose of truth, so they won't look to
be as big as they are. There are certainly many things in the SEC's proposal
to recommend it, especially along the lines of expanding the types of
reserves that would be disclosed, and updating important definitions.
Second, when the justification for a proposal makes no sense, there can be
no debate; you can't tell the emperor he's naked. The lesson of the Cox's
SEC is to never forget about the big special interests that write big checks
to the big politicians that made him emperor for a day. Tom Selling,
"SEC on Oil and Gas Disclosures: Current Prices
Aren't 'Meaningful'?" The Accounting Onion, July 25, 2008 ---
http://accountingonion.typepad.com/theaccountingonion/2008/07/oil-and-gas-dis.html
On July 9, 2008, in Washington, DC, the SEC
hosted a roundtable "to facilitate an open discussion of the benefits
and potential challenges associated with existing fair value accounting
and auditing standards." The roundtable was webcast and lasted about
four hours. I admit that I literally fell asleep after listening to the
discussion for the better part of three hours, so I missed the end. For
all I know, the grand finale was a fireworks display, but I doubt it –
this time, both literally and figuratively. When the SEC schedules these
roundtable events for 9 a.m. on the east coast, I can't help but wonder
what they are trying to tell those of us located in PAC-10 country (Go
Sun Devils!). Maybe they would really prefer that no one listens.
Anyway, the topics included, among other
things, discussions of the aspects of current standards that could be
improved, and the usefulness of fair value accounting to investors. I'm
going to address three issues that are so basic and important enough
that accounting professors may want to consider using them for a class
discussion.
Issue #1: "Held-to-Maturity" Investments
James Tisch of Loews Corp., when talking about
his company's insurance subsidiaries, teed up this issue by describing a
situation where his company would invest in marketable debt securities
whose valuation might be affected by interest rate changes -- even
though there would be no changes to the borrower's credit risk. Being an
insurance company subject to various regulatory authorities, a rise in
interest rates would supposedly force Loews to declare the investments
in the held- to-maturity-category of marketable debt securities, the
least onerous of three evils (the other two requiring fair value
accounting).
Without the held-to-maturity option, the
carrying amount of the investment would initially decline as interest
rates rose, but could be expected to recover to the amount of the
contractual obligation as the maturity date approached. Tisch's view
seems to be that either fair value accounting would unreasonably record
losses when it is highly probable that the entire investment plus
interest will be recovered, or that constraints imposed by regulators
trump the accounting that is most appropriate from an investor's
viewpoint.
I think that the best way to approach a
question like this is to ask yourself a simple question: did Mr. Tisch's
company suffer a loss because it chose to invest in fixed-rate, as
opposed to variable-rate, debt instruments? Yes it did. While regulators
may find that it obscures their own peculiar needs, there must surely
more straightforward ways to solve the conflict with investor needs than
to muck up the financial statements.
And don't forget that apart from appeasing the
needs of regulators, the held-to-maturity category is chicken salad for
management: as Mr. Tisch implied, his company would manage its reported
financial position by "cherry picking": if interest rates were to
decline instead of rise, those same investments are probably classified
as trading in order to get the asset and earnings bumps.
In short, FAS 115 on marketable securities
could have been a lot simpler if the goals for financial statements
could be (and should be) a lot simpler. As another panelist observed,
one shouldn't need a legal degree to be capable of reading all the
disclosures. I believe the disclosures he was referring to owe their
existence to low-quality solutions cobbled together to meet the needs of
someone else besides investors. The SEC should be telling other
regulators to go and make their own accounting rules if they don't like
the ones that are supposed to protect investors.
Issue #2: Fair Value of Liabilities
Joseph Price, the CFO of Bank of America,
expressed his opposition to applying fair value measurements to
contractual obligations such as litigation (and by the way, one of my
more recent posts discusses the misguided way in which the IASB would
require fair value measurement for some non-contractual obligations).
Mr. Price has no problem with a mixed attribute model of accounting,
which is just another way of saying that he has no problem adding apples
and oranges.
The larger question, however, is whether any
liability should be subject to fair value measurement. In addition to
the claims that gain recognition on liabilities from deterioration of
credit risk would distort earnings, other speakers pointed out that the
character of the gain itself, often incapable of being monetized absent
liquidation, creates problems.
The academic, Kathy Petroni, conceded that it
can be confusing when an operating loss can be more than offset by gains
from writing down the value of one's own debt. However, she is also of
the view that the gain on the debt is representationally faithful; in
other words, the problem is not with the current valuation of the debt,
but with incomplete asset revaluation. This is because not all balance
sheet assets are measured at fair value, and not all economic assets are
even recognized. Tom Linsmeier, of the FASB and also an academic, made
the interesting observation that a write-down to liabilities could be
reasonably interpreted by investors as a signal of the asset losses that
were not recognized.
As you may already have guessed, I am not
sympathetic to stating liabilities at something other than current
values. For one thing, we will never get to the point where all of the
assets of a business are recognized, so we will never get to the point
of measuring all of the components of economic income. Investor's don't
expect financial reporting to account for all of the components of
economic income. (Actually, that's what changes in stock prices do, but
they have the distinct disadvantage of not allowing an analyst to
directly identify the drivers of stock price changes.) What investors do
expect is that the components of economic income that are measured are
measured properly. If the deterioration of a company's credit worthiness
creates an opportunity, amidst the other problems it must be
experiencing, for it to restructure its debt advantageously, doesn't
that opportunity benefit shareholders? Absolutely.
And, by the way, I am not advocating that all
liabilities, regardless of the likelihood that a cash outflow will
occur, be given recognition. And perhaps, some non-contractual
liabilities, due to their nature, should be excluded from recognition.
So the problem of incomplete recognition extends to the liability side
just as much as to the asset side.
As the old saying goes, "perfection is the
enemy of the good". What that means here is that we should not be
distorting liability valuation just because some other element is not
perfectly taken account of.
Issue #3: Fair Value Accounting for
Non-Financial Assets
There was some discussion and support for
measuring non-financial assets at fair value, but that support may have
been even less enthusiastic than the support for fair value measurement
of financial assets.
Logic dictates that whatever approach to fair
value for financial assets is taken, that same approach should be
applicable to non-financial assets. What's good for the goose is good
for the gander; otherwise, we permanently consign ourselves to adding
apples and oranges. And speaking of which, I have also pointed out here
that some folks who don't care whether they are adding apples and
oranges don't even care how assets and liabilities are measured -- just
so long as they can control what is reported on the (their) income
statement. One of my favorite examples is the historic cost of a tract
of land carried on the balance sheet of a foreign subsidiary: when
multiplied by today's current exchange rate to translate into dollars,
we don't end up with an historic cost in dollars, or a current value in
dollars. We end up with what is essentially a random number. How do you
test impairment of a random number?
Speaking impairment, for those of you who have
had to apply FAS 144 on the impairment of long-lived assets, or FAS 142
on goodwill impairment, or even inventory impairment, you would know
from that unfortunate experience that the impairment model of accounting
is perhaps the biggest source of complexity, if not broken altogether.
Some would argue that it is a reason, in and of itself, to abandon
historic cost accounting and move to some version of current costs.
So, what if we went to fair value accounting
for non-financial assets? That might solve the impairment problem, but
it would raise another big issue, that being gain recognition before the
non-financial assets, usually inventory, were actually sold. In a
nutshell, that's why I think proponents of fair value are hesitant to
extend the concept to non-financial assets -- more than anything, it
exposes the main problem of fair value serving as a core accounting
principle.
The appropriate non-financial asset attribute
to measure is replacement cost (entry prices), and not fair value (exit
prices). To further appreciate this, take for example the issue of
transaction costs to acquire inventory. If FAS 157 were applied to
purchases of raw materials inventory, transaction costs (perhaps a
brokerage fee) would be expensed immediately upon acquisition. We all
know that this makes no sense: we immediately have an expense to report
before we have any chance at all to generate a return on our investment.
(By the way, the same anomaly applies to financial assets, but it has
already been established by FAS 157 that the FASB doesn't seem to care
much about this.)
A replacement cost approach, on the other hand,
would mean that all of the expenditures required to replace the asset
should be part of the carrying amount of the asset. If we ultimately
sell inventory for an amount greater than it would cost us to replace
it, then we have a profit.
Getting back to geese and ganders, if
replacement cost is the appropriate attribute to measure for
non-financial assets, then it must be the appropriate attribute for
financial assets as well.
Oh, Well…
Overall, the roundtable contributed very little
to the fair value debate that hasn't already been expressed and
considered before. Nonetheless, it reinforces two points that may well
conclude that class discussion that was suggesting:
First, I would prefer to have a dialogue at the
SEC instead of in London at IFRS headquarters. Chairman Cox himself
unwittingly pointed this out when he asked one set of panelists whether
they believe current accounting rules contributed in some way to the
economic issues the financial institutions are now dealing with. What if
the answer to his question is "yes"? That, by itself, should settle for
ever the debate about who should be setting accounting standards for the
U. S. capital markets. What if the answer to Cox's question is "we don't
know"? QED.
Second, it would be refreshing if for once, an
issue were settled by simply asking what it is that investors would
want. Why does it seem that policy makers are incapable of doing that?
When credit markets all but dried up as a
result of the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the late summer, auditors of
investment and commercial banks that elected to adopt Financial
Accounting Standard 157, Fair Value Measurements, earlier than
the effective date of November 15th were called upon to play a key role
in determining the market value of mortgage-backed assets when few were
being traded. Many of these banks had to report huge write-downs in the
third quarter from declining assets values. But auditors of public
companies have made it clear in three recently published white papers
from their newly formed Center for Audit Quality that despite the
severity of the current market crunch, they intend to apply the fair
value standard consistently, and market problems will not influence
their professional judgment about the quality of valuation models and
assumptions used by banks.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment The following standards are especially pertinent to fair value
accounting: FAS 105, 107, 115, 130, 133, 141(R), 142, 155, 157, 159 FAS 157 is mainly a definitional standard. The key standard to date is
FAS 159 that allows companies to cherry pick which contracts are to be
carried at fair value and which are to be carried at amortized historical
cost. To me FAS 159 is a terrible standard that can lead to all sorts of
subjective manipulation, earnings management, and aggregation of apples and
door knobs in summations of assets, liabilities, and earnings components. I
think the FASB viewed FAS 159 as a political expedient way to expand fair
value accounting into financial statements without having to fight the huge
political battle with banks and other corporations who aggressively oppose
required fair value accounting for all financial and derivative financial
instruments.
The FAS 141(R) revision of the business combinations standard FAS 141
makes a giant leap into fair value accounting for intangibles acquired with
business combinations.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 16, 2008
SUMMARY: Mr.
Reilly advises that investors "should stick to figures the
company compiles according to generally accepted accounting
principles" in analyzing MBIA's financial position, particularly
its $8.70 per share book value. MBIA management provides an
alternative book value measure that ignores items with which it
disagrees about the treatment under generally accepted
accounting principles, particularly mark-to-market requirements.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: Financial accounting, financial statement
analysis, and accounting theory courses all may use this article
to discuss the bias inherent in choosing alternative measures to
GAAP.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Define the terms book value and book
value per share. Why do these measures, based on financial
statements, differ from market value per share?
2. (Advanced) What is mark-to-market accounting? In
general, for what MBIA balance sheet items do you think the
company must employ this measurement method?
3. (Introductory) " Some investors may...think
mark-to-market accounting is overestimating losses at MBIA and
other financial firms." How does overstating losses lead to
concerns with accurately assessing book value and book value per
share? What arguments support the assessment that losses may be
overestimated?
4. (Advanced) How is MBIA management trying to divert
attention from book value per share according to generally
accepted accounting principles to a measure it says 'provides an
economic basis for investors to reach their own conclusions
about the fair value of the company'? What qualitative
characteristics of accounting information may be violated in the
measures chosen by management?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Back in the dot-bomb days, companies liked to guide
investors to rosy variations of their stated profit. These profit figures
eventually became known as EBBS, or "earnings before bad stuff."
Bond insurer MBIA Inc. is taking a page from that
playbook. In its first-quarter earnings release Monday, MBIA said investors
shouldn't look to its stated book value -- the measure of a company's net
worth based on assets minus liabilities. Instead it prefers a metric it
calls "analytic adjusted book value" that "provides an economic basis for
investors to reach their own conclusions about the fair value of the
company."
A better name for this measure might have been
SEEMM, or "shareholders equity excluding mortgage mess." At its core, this
means avoiding marking assets to market -- that is, adjusting their value
down to what they would sell for today. So MBIA's variation on book value
excludes things like the $3.5 billion mark-to-market loss on derivatives
that drove its $2.4 billion net loss in the first quarter. Rather, it
includes management's expectations of losses, plus gains from future
expected premium payments.
This method leads to book value per share of about
$42. By excluding only the mark-to-market losses, it shows an adjusted book
value of $24 a share.
That looks a lot better than MBIA's stated book
value of $8.70 at the end of March, and its share price Monday of $9.85, up
42 cents, or 4.5%, in 4 p.m. New York Stock Exchange composite trading.
Investors shouldn't forget the lessons of the
Internet-stock bubble; they should stick to figures the company compiles
according to generally accepted accounting principles. On the basis of that
$8.70-a-share figure, the stock, even at its current level, isn't a bargain.
MBIA Chief Financial Officer C. Edward Chaplin
countered that the firm believes accounting rules don't provide a true view
of long-term value. Items valued using market prices are in many cases
"distorting the book value of the company as opposed to providing additional
useful information to investors," he said.
The company is in better position following the
$2.6 billion in capital it has raised in recent months. That has led ratings
firms to maintain its triple-A ratings and calmed investor fears that MBIA
could go under.
Some investors may be tempted to side with the
company because they, too, think mark-to-market accounting is overestimating
losses at MBIA and other financial firms. And the company's book value
likely has improved since the end of March, given improvements in the debt
markets.
MBIA still has a lot of problems. One big one is
the $18 billion in home-equity loans and second-lien mortgages to which it
has exposure. This is one of the hardest-hit, and worsening, areas of the
mortgage markets. Some 55% of these loans were originated by Countrywide
Financial Corp., whose lending practices are under investigation by federal
authorities.
Another worry is the $40 billion in securities it
insures that are backed by commercial mortgages. These haven't gone sour,
but as the economy weakens, many analysts expect them to.
MBIA Chief Executive Jay Brown said on a conference
call he believed the company's various loss estimates were realistic. "We
sell a promise," he said, referring to the company's pledge to make good on
losses it insures against. So investors "are rightly focused on our ability
to fulfill that promise."
They should also be focused on reported numbers,
not made-up ones that conjure memories of the market's last bubble.
HSBC Cheers Investors, but Pitfalls Remain
Monday's earnings numbers make HSBC Holdings PLC
look tempting. Its write-downs were below consensus and growth is coming
from Asia and the Middle East. But after the recent 20% rally in the stock,
the good news is largely priced in and the bank's warning of a further
slowdown in 2009 in the U.S. isn't.
More worrisome is investors, who bid up HSBC shares
3.1% Monday, seem to believe that the bank has seen the worst of write-downs
in the U.S. That is hard to believe since the U.S.-based HSBC Finance unit
is deeply entrenched in states like California, Florida and Arizona, where
house prices are continuing to decline. More than 40% of HSBC Finance
consumer lending's real-estate portfolio is concentrated in states where
delinquency is expected to keep rising.
At the end of March, its portfolio of
adjustable-rate mortgages stood at $17.1 billion. About $2 billion of those
will have their first interest rates reset in 2008 and double that will
reset in 2009. HSBC Finance's portfolio of "stated income loans" -- loans
given out without verifying borrower's income -- is $7.2 billion.
HSBC appears less optimistic than its investors. It
is one of the first global banks to put out a serious warning of potential
2009 pain. If the warning comes true, the United Kingdom bank is preparing
its investors for hurt and investors should pay heed
Question How did fair value accounting turn a $215 million loss into a $195 million
gain for the Radian Group?
Answer Because the bonds it insured had been falling in value
for a while, the swaps' values had been increasing, leading to charges in
previous quarters. In the first quarter, a big chunk of that was reversed.
That turned a loss into profit. In theory, the logic of the new accounting
approach holds up. But that doesn't change the fact that for investors, the
real-world outcome is perverse.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on May 23,
2008
SUMMARY: Radian Group managed to post net profit of
$195 million, despite a rough first quarter. The profit
was a controversial byproduct of a new accounting rule
that caused the company to report gains of about $2
billion on some of its liabilities.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This situation clearly shows
the ironic results possible as a result of the new
mark-to-market accounting rule. Use this article for a
good critical thinking exercise analyzing the issues
resulting from this rule.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) How did Radian manage to post a
net profit of $195 million when it had a loss of $215
million?
2. (Introductory) What is the basic accounting
rule when a firm experiences a reduction in the value of
a liability? What is the reasoning behind this basic
rule?
3. (Introductory) What is mark-to-market
accounting? Why was this new rule instituted? What is
the value of the rule?
4. (Advanced) The article states that Radian
"clearly flagged" the impact of its application of the
new rule. What does that mean? Is this required? What
would happen if a company did not clearly flag the
impact?
5. (Advanced) What is the ironic result of this
new rule? Do you think that this result was anticipated
when the rule was drafted? Why or why not? How does this
affect investors?
6. (Advanced) What could happen if Radian's
financial health improves in the future?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University
Southeast
Like other companies that insure bonds and
mortgages, Radian Group Inc. had a rough first quarter. What a surprise
then that it managed to post net profit of $195 million.
How that happened holds a cautionary tale for
investors. Radian was in the black because its hobbled financial
condition caused it to report gains of about $2 billion on some of its
liabilities.
The profit was a controversial byproduct of a
new accounting rule involving mark-to-market accounting. Without the
benefit of this quirk, Radian's loss would have been about $215 million.
One of the basic rules of accounting says that
a reduction in the value of a liability leads to a gain that usually
boosts profit. Under the new rule, companies have to take into account
the market's view of their own financial health when considering the
market value of some liabilities. In this case, a company's poor health
can lead to a reduction in the liability's value.
Radian hasn't done anything wrong. It properly
applied the new rule and clearly flagged its impact when it reported
earnings last week. Others might not be so forthright, meaning investors
will have to be even more sharp-eyed as the credit crisis plays itself
out.
The irony is that by marking these particular
assets to market as the new rule requires, the weaker a company gets,
the stronger it may look.
"The most bizarre aspect of this is that if I'm
going bankrupt, the market's diminishing perception of my
credit-worthiness fuels my profits," said Damon Silvers, associate
general counsel at the AFL-CIO and a longtime critic of market-value
accounting.
Another twist: If perceptions of Radian's
financial health increase in coming quarters, the company could reverse
the gain. That could lead it to take losses on some of its assets.
Radian Chief Financial Officer C. Robert Quint
doesn't take issue with the overall notion of market-value accounting.
But he said aspects of it, such as these gains, can be troubling. "For
investors to really understand what's going on behind the numbers is
proving more and more difficult," he said.
Other companies, notably big banks and brokers,
have in recent months seen similar gains from declines in the value of
their own debt, which also leads to a reduction of liabilities and a
boost in profit. But the impact is more pronounced at Radian and other
insurers because the gains are coming instead from their core insurance
business, at least when it involves derivatives. Radian and others also
saw an outsized impact because their first-time adoption of the rule led
to a big, all-at-once adjustment.
Here is how it plays out. Say a company holds a
bond and insures against the bond's default by buying a credit-default
swap from an insurer. If the bond falls 10%, the value of the swap would
increase, say, by the same amount. The bond is considered riskier, so
insurance on the bond is more valuable.
In the past, a bondholder would have booked
offsetting gains and losses as the bond fell in value and the insurance
rose in value. But the new accounting rule on measuring market values
says companies also have to consider how much something would fetch if
sold today.
If the market has doubts about the financial
health of the insurer that issued the credit-default swap, that swap
might not fetch the full 10% premium. While the bond it insures is
riskier, the insurer that issued it is riskier, too. Maybe it could be
sold for only a 5% gain. In that case, the initial 10% moves in both the
bond and swap wouldn't cancel each other out and the bondholder would
record a loss of 5%.
For the insurer issuing the swap, though, this
works in reverse. When bonds that Radian insured fell in value, the
increase in the value of the swap, or liability, would be taken as a
charge. The new rule added a wrinkle -- they could no longer assume that
the only driver of the swap's value was the bond it insured. Instead,
the insurers had to figure in the impact of their own perceived
credit-worthiness and how that would affect the swap's value in a sale.
Radian's perceived credit-worthiness plummeted
in the first quarter as billions of dollars of mortgages it insured fell
in value. With Radian's credit-worthiness in question, the value of the
credit-default swaps it issued fell in value. That led to a big decline
in the value it ascribed to swaps.
Because the bonds it insured had been falling
in value for a while, the swaps' values had been increasing, leading to
charges in previous quarters. In the first quarter, a big chunk of that
was reversed. That turned a loss into profit.
In theory, the logic of the new accounting
approach holds up. But that doesn't change the fact that for investors,
the real-world outcome is perverse.
As the credit markets froze and stocks gyrated, investors and pundits
naturally looked for someone, or some thing, to blame. Fair value
accounting quickly emerged as an oft-cited problem. But is fair value
really a cause of the crisis, or is it just a scapegoat? And might it
have prevented an even worse calamity? On the following pages, the JofA
presents three views on the debate.
"Both Sides Make Good Points," by
Michael R. Young
How often do we get to have a
raging national debate on an accounting standard? Well, we’re in one
now.
And while the standard at
issue—FASB Statement no. 157, Fair Value Measurements—is fairly new,
the underlying substance of the debate goes back for decades: Is it
best to record assets at their cost or at their fair (meaning
market) value? It is an issue that goes to the very heart of
accountancy and stirs passions like few others in financial
reporting. There are probably two reasons for this. First, each side
of the debate has excellent points to make. Second, each side
genuinely believes what it is saying.
So let’s step back, take a deep
breath, and think about the issue with all of the objectivity we can
muster. The good news is that the events of the last several months
involving subprime-related financial instruments give us an
opportunity to evaluate the extent to which fair value accounting
has, or has not, served the financial community. Indeed, some might
point out that the experience has been all too vivid.
WHAT HAPPENED We’re all familiar
with what happened. This past summer, two Bear Stearns funds ran
into problems, and the result was increasing financial community
uncertainty about the value of mortgage backed financial
instruments, particularly collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). As
investors tried to delve into the details of the value of CDO assets
and the reliability of their cash flows, the extraordinary
complexity of the instruments provided a significant impediment to
insight into the underlying financial data.
As a result, the markets seized.
In other words, everyone got so nervous that active trading in many
instruments all but stopped.
The practical significance of the
market seizure was all too apparent to both owners of the
instruments and newspaper readers. What was largely missed behind
the scenes, though, was the accounting significance under Statement
no. 157, which puts in place a “fair value hierarchy” that
prioritizes the inputs to valuation techniques according to their
objectivity and observability (see also “Refining Fair Value
Measurement,” JofA, Nov. 07, page 30). At the top of the hierarchy
are “Level 1 inputs” which generally involve quoted prices in active
markets. At the bottom are “Level 3 inputs” in which no active
markets exist.
The accounting significance of the
market seizure for subprime financial instruments was that the
approach to valuation for many instruments almost overnight dropped
from Level 1 to Level 3. The problem was that, because many CDOs to
that point had been valued based on Level 1, established models for
valuing the instruments at Level 3 were not in place. Just as all
this was happening, moreover, another well-intended aspect of our
financial reporting system kicked in: the desire to report
fast-breaking financial developments to investors quickly.
To those unfamiliar with the
underlying accounting literature, the result must have looked like
something between pandemonium and chaos. They watched as some of the
most prestigious financial organizations in the world announced
dramatic write downs, followed by equally dramatic write downs
thereafter. Stock market volatility returned with a vengeance.
Financial institutions needed to raise more capital. And many
investors watched with horror as the value of both their homes and
stock portfolios seemed to move in parallel in the wrong direction.
To some, this was all evidence
that fair value accounting is a folly. Making that argument with
particular conviction were those who had no intention of selling the
newly plummeting financial instruments to begin with. Even those
intending to sell suspected that the write-downs were being overdone
and that the resulting volatility was serving no one. According to
one managing director at a risk research firm, “All this volatility
we now have in reporting and disclosure, it’s just absolute
madness.”
IS FAIR VALUE GOOD OR BAD? So what
do we make of fair value accounting based on the subprime
experience?
Foremost is that some of the
challenges in the application of fair value accounting are just as
difficult as some of its opponents said they would be. True, when
subprime instruments were trading in active, observable markets,
valuation did not pose much of a problem. But that changed all too
suddenly when active markets disappeared and valuation shifted to
Level 3. At that point, valuation models needed to be deployed which
might potentially be influenced by such things as the future of
housing prices, the future of interest rates, and how homeowners
could be expected to react to such things.
The difficulties were exacerbated,
moreover, by the suddenness with which active markets disappeared
and the resulting need to put in place models just as pressure was
building to get up-to-date information to investors. It is hardly
surprising, therefore, that in some instances asset values had to be
revised as models were being refined and adjusted.
Imperfect as the valuations may
have been, though, the real-world consequences of the resulting
volatility were all too concrete. Some of the world’s largest
financial institutions, seemingly rock solid just a short time
before, found themselves needing to raise new capital. In the
aftermath of subprime instrument write-downs, one of the most
prestigious institutions even found itself facing a level of
uncertainty that resulted in what was characterized as a “run on the
bank.”
So the subprime experience with
fair value accounting has given the naysayers some genuine
experiences with which to make their case.
Still, the subprime experience
also demonstrates that there are two legitimate sides to this
debate. For the difficulties in financial markets were not purely
the consequences of an accounting system. They were, more
fundamentally, the economic consequences of a market in which a
bubble had burst.
And advocates of fair value can
point to one aspect of fair value accounting—and Statement no. 157
in particular—that is pretty much undeniable. It has given outside
investors real-time insight into market gyrations of the sort that,
under old accounting regimes, only insiders could see. True, trying
to deal with those gyrations can be difficult and the consequences
are not always desirable. But that is just another way of saying
that ignorance is bliss.
For fair value advocates, that may
be their best argument of all. Whatever its faults, fair value
accounting and Statement no. 157 have brought to the surface the
reality of the difficulties surrounding subprime-related financial
instruments. Is the fair value system perfect? No. Is there room for
improvement? Inevitably. But those favoring fair value accounting
may have one ultimate point to make. In bringing transparency to the
aftermath of the housing bubble, it may be that, for all its
imperfections, the accounting system has largely worked.
Michael R. Young is a partner in
the New York based law firm Willkie Farr & Gallagher LLP, where he
specializes in accounting irregularities and securities litigation.
He served as a member of the Financial Accounting Standards Advisory
Council to FASB during the development of FASB Statement no. 157.
His e-mail address is myoung@willkie.com.
"The Capital Markets’ Needs Will Be Served:
Fair value accounting limits bubbles rather than creates them," by
Paul B.W. Miller
With regard to the relationship
between financial accounting and the subprime-lending crisis, I
observe that the capital markets’ needs will be served, one way or
another.
Grasping this imperative leads to
new outlooks and behaviors for the better of all. In contrast to
conventional dogma, capital markets cannot be managed through
accounting policy choices and political pressure on standard
setters. Yes, events show that markets can be duped, but not for
long and not very well, and with inevitable disastrous consequences.
With regard to the crisis,
attempts to place blame on accounting standards are not valid.
Rather, other factors created it, primarily actors in the complex
intermediation chain, including:
Borrowers who sought credit beyond
their reach.
Borrowers who sought credit beyond
their reach.
Investment bankers who earned fees
for bundling and selling vaporous bonds without adequately
disclosing risk.
Institutional investors who sought
high returns without understanding the risk and real value.
In addition, housing markets
collapsed, eliminating the backstop provided by collateral. Thus,
claims that accounting standards fomented or worsened this crisis
lack credibility.
The following paragraphs explain
why fair value accounting promotes capital market efficiency.
THE GOAL OF FINANCIAL REPORTING
The goal of financial reporting, and all who act within it, is to
facilitate convergence of securities’ market prices on their
intrinsic values. When that happens, securities prices and capital
costs appropriately reflect real risks and returns. This efficiency
mutually benefits everyone: society, investors, managers and
accountants.
Any other goals, such as
inexpensive reporting, projecting positive images, and reducing
auditors’ risk of recrimination, are misdirected. Because the
markets’ demand for useful information will be satisfied, one way or
another, it makes sense to reorient management strategy and
accounting policy to provide that satisfaction.
THE PERSCRIPTION The key to
converging market and intrinsic values is understanding that more
information, not less, is better. It does no good, and indeed does
harm, to leave markets guessing. Reports must be informative and
truthful, even if they’re not flattering.
To this end, all must grasp that
financial information is favorable if it unveils truth more
completely and faithfully instead of presenting an illusory better
appearance. Covering up bad news isn’t possible, especially over the
long run, and discovered duplicity brings catastrophe.
SUPPLY AND DEMAND To reap full
benefits, management and accountants must meet the markets’ needs.
Instead, past attention was paid primarily to the needs of managers
and accountants and what they wanted to supply with little regard to
the markets’ demands. But progress always follows when demand is
addressed. Toward this end, managers must look beyond preparation
costs and consider the higher capital costs created when reports
aren’t informative.
Above all, they must forgo
misbegotten efforts to coax capital markets to overprice securities,
especially by withholding truth from them. Instead, it’s time to
build bridges to these markets, just as managers have accomplished
with customers, employees and suppliers.
THE CONTENT In this paradigm, the
preferable information concerns fair values of assets and
liabilities. Historical numbers are of no interest because they lack
reliability for assessing future cash flows. That is, information’s
reliability doesn’t come as much from its verifiability (evidenced
by checks and invoices) as from its dependability for rational
decision making. Although a cost is verifiable, it is unreliable
because it is a sample of one that at best reflects past conditions.
Useful information reveals what is now true, not what used to be.
It’s not just me: Sophisticated
users have said this, over and over again. For example, on March 17,
Georgene Palacky of the CFA Institute issued a press release,
saying, “Fair value is the most transparent method of measuring
financial instruments, such as derivatives, and is widely favored by
investors.” This expressed demand should help managers understand
that failing to provide value-based information forces markets to
manufacture their own estimates. In turn, the markets defensively
guess low for assets and high for liabilities. Rather than stable
and higher securities prices, disregarding demand for truthful and
useful information produces more volatile and lower prices that
don’t converge on intrinsic values.
However it arises, a vacuum of
useful public information is always filled by speculative private
information, with an overall increase in uncertainty, cost, risk,
volatility and capital costs. These outcomes are good for no one.
THE STRATEGY Managers bring two
things to capital markets: (1) prospective cash flows and (2)
information. Their work isn’t done if they don’t produce quality in
both. It does no good to present rosy pictures of inferior cash flow
potential because the truth will eventually be known. And it does no
good to have great potential if the financial reports obscure it.
Thus, managers need to unveil the
truth about their situation, which is far different from designing
reports to prop up false images. Even if well-intentioned, such
efforts always fail, usually sooner rather than later.
It’s especially fruitless to mold
standards to generate this propaganda because readers don’t believe
the results. Capital markets choose whether to rely on GAAP
financial statements, so it makes no sense to report anything that
lacks usefulness. For the present situation, then, not reporting
best estimates of fair value frustrates capital markets, creates
more risk, diminishes demand for a company’s securities and drives
prices even lower.
THE ROLE FOR ACCOUNTING REPORTING
Because this crisis wasn’t created by poor accounting, it won’t be
relieved by worse accounting. Rather, the blame lies with
inattention to CDOs’ risks and returns. It was bad management that
led to losses, not bad standards.
In fact, value-based reporting did
exactly what it was supposed to by unveiling risk and its
consequences. It is pointless to condemn FASB for forcing these
messages to be sent. Rather, we should all shut up, pay attention,
and take steps to prevent other disasters.
That involves telling the truth,
cleanly and clearly. It needs to be delivered quickly and
completely, withholding nothing. Further, managers should not wait
for a bureaucratic standard-setting process to tell them what truth
to reveal, any more than carmakers should build their products to
minimum compliance with government safety, mileage and pollution
standards.
I cannot see how defenders of the
status quo can rebut this point from Palacky’s press release: “…only
when fair value is widely practiced will investors be able to
accurately evaluate and price risk.”
THE FUTURE Nothing can prevent
speculative bubbles. However, the sunshine of truth, freely offered
by management with timeliness, will certainly diminish their
frequency and impact.
Any argument that restricting the
flow of useful public information will solve the problem is totally
dysfunctional. The markets’ demand for value-based information will
be served, whether through public or private sources. It might as
well be public.
Paul B.W. Miller, CPA, Ph.D., a
professor of accounting at the University of Colorado, served on
both FASB’s staff and the staff of the SEC’s Office of the Chief
Accountant. He is also a member of the JofA’s Editorial Advisory
Board. His e-mail address is pmiller@uccs.edu.
"The Need for Reliability in Accounting: Why
historical cost is more reliable than fair value," by Eugene H. Flegm
In 1976, FASB issued three documents for
discussion: Tentative Conclusions on Objectives of Financial
Statements of Business Enterprises; Scope and Implications of the
Conceptual Framework Project; and Conceptual Framework for Financial
Accounting and Reporting: Elements of Financial Statements and Their
Measurement. These documents started a revolution in financial
reporting that continues today.
As the director of accounting, then assistant
comptroller-chief accountant, and finally as auditor general for
General Motors Corp., I have been involved in the resistance to this
revolution since it began.
Briefly, the proposed conceptual framework would
shift the determination of income from the income statement and its
emphasis on the matching of costs with related revenues to the
determination of income by measuring the “well offness” from period
to period by measuring changes on the two balance sheets on a fair
value basis from the beginning and the ending of the period. The
argument was made that these data are more relevant than the
historic cost in use and not as subjective as the concept of
identifying costs with related revenues. In addition, those in favor
of the change claimed that the fair value data was more relevant
than the historic cost data and thus more valuable to the possible
lenders and investors, ignoring the needs of the actual managers
and, in the case of private companies, the owners.
RELEVANCY REQUIRES RELIABILITY It seems to me that
the recent meltdown in the finance industry as well as the Enron
experience would have made it clear that to be relevant the data
must be reliable.
Enron took advantage of the mark-to-market rule to
create income by just writing up such assets as Mariner Energy Inc.
(see SEC Litigation Release no. 18403).
Charles R. Morris writes in his recently released
book, The Trillion Dollar Meltdown: Easy Money, High Rollers, and
the Great Credit Crash, that “Securitization fostered irresponsible
lending, by seeming to relieve lenders of credit risk, and at the
same time, helped propagate shaky credits throughout the global
financial system.”
There is much talk of the need for “transparency,”
and it now appears we have completely obscured a company’s exposure
to loss! We still do not know the extent of the meltdown!
ASSIGNING BLAME We are still trying to assign
blame—Morris identifies former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan
Greenspan’s easy money policies—and certainly the regulators allowed
the finance industry to get out of control. However, FASB and its
fascination with “values” and mark to market must be a part of the
problem.
Holman W. Jenkins Jr. began his editorial, “Mark
to Meltdown,” (Wall Street Journal, p. A17, March 5, 2008) by
stating, “No task is more thankless than to write about accounting
for a family newspaper, yet it must be shared with the public that
‘mark to market,’ an accounting and regulatory innovation of the
early 1990s, has proved another of Washington’s fabulous failures.”
Merrill Lynch reported a $15 billion loss on
mortgages for 2007. Citicorp had about $12 billion in losses, and
Bear Stearns failed. These huge losses came from mortgages that had
been written up to some fictitious value based on credit ratings
during the preceding years! In addition there is some doubt that
those loss estimates might be too conservative and at some point in
the future a portion of them may be reversed.
THE BASIC PURPOSE OF ACCOUNTING Anyone who has
ever run an accounting operation knows that the basic purpose of
accounting is to provide reliable, transaction-based data by which
one can control the assets and liabilities and measure performance
of both the overall company and its individual employees.
A forecast of an income statement each month as
well as an analysis of the actual results compared to the previous
month’s forecast are a key factor in controlling a company’s
operations. The balance sheet will often be used by the treasury
department to analyze cash flows and the need for financing. I do
not know of a company that compares the values of the beginning and
ending balance sheets to determine the success of its operations.
How did we reach the current state of affairs
where the standard setters no longer consider the stewardship needs
of the manager but focus instead on the potential investor or
creditor and potential values rather than transactional results?
The problem developed because of the conflict
between economics, accounting and finance—and the education of
accountants. All three fields are vital to running a company but
each has its place. In what some of us perceive to be an exercise of
hubris, FASB has attempted to serve the needs of all three fields at
the expense of manager or owner needs for control and performance
measurements.
HOW WE GOT HERE The debate over the need for any
standards began with the 1929 market crash and the subsequent
formation of the SEC. Initially, Congress intended that the chief
accountant of the SEC would establish the necessary standards.
However, Carmen Blough, the first SEC chief accountant, wanted the
American Institute of Accountants (a predecessor to the AICPA) to do
this. In 1937 he succeeded in convincing the SEC to do just that.
The AICPA did this through an ad hoc committee for 22 years but
finally established a more formal committee, the Accounting
Principles Board, which functioned until it was deemed inadequate
and FASB was formed in 1973.
FASB’s first order of business was to establish a
formal “constitution” as outlined by the report of the Trueblood
Committee (Objectives of Financial Statements, AICPA, October 1973).
With the influence of several academics on that committee, the
thrust of the “constitution” was to move to a balance sheet view of
income versus the income view which had arisen in the 1930s.
Although the ultimate goal was never clarified, it was obvious to
some, most notably Robert K. Mautz, who had served as a professor of
accounting at the University of Illinois and partner in the
accounting firm Ernst & Ernst (a predecessor to Ernst & Young) and
finally a member of the Public Oversight Board and the Accounting
Hall of Fame. Mautz realized then that the goal was fair value
accounting and traveled the nation preaching that a revolution was
being proposed. Several companies, notably General Motors and Shell
Oil, led the opposition that continues to this day.
The most recent statement on the matter was FASB’s
2006 publication of a preliminary views (PV) document called
Conceptual Framework for Financial Reporting: Objective of Financial
Reporting and Qualitative Characteristics of Decision-Useful
Financial Reporting Information. It is clear that FASB has abandoned
the real daily users who apply traditional accounting to manage
their businesses. The PV document refers to investors and creditors
only. It mentions the need for comparability and consistency but
does not attempt to explain how this would be possible under fair
value accounting since each manager would be required to make his or
her own value judgments, which, of course, would not be comparable
to any other company’s evaluations.
The only reference to the management of a company
states that “…management has the ability to obtain whatever
information it needs.” That is true, but under the PV proposal
management would have to maintain a third set of books to keep track
of valuations. (The two traditional sets would be the operating set
based on actual costs and sales, which would need to be continued to
allow management or owners to judge actual performance of the
company and personnel, while the other set is that used for federal
income tax filings.)
Since there are about 19 million private companies
that do not file with the SEC versus the 17,000 public companies
that do, private companies are in a quandary. The majority of them
file audited financial statements with banks and creditors based on
historical costs and for the most part current GAAP. They are
already running into trouble with several FASB standards that
introduce fair value into GAAP. What GAAP do they use?
Judging by the crash of the financial system and
the tens of billions of dollars in losses booked by investment banks
this year, the answer seems clear: Return to establishing standards
that are based on costs and transactions, that inhibit rather than
encourage manipulation of earnings (such as mark to market, FASB
Statements no. 133 and 157 to name a few), and that result in data
as reliable as it can be under an accrual accounting system.
The analysts and other investors and creditors
will have to do their own estimates of a company’s future success.
However, the success of any company will depend on the quality of
its products and services and the skill of its management, not on a
guess at the “value” of its assets. Writing up assets was a bad
practice in the 1920s and as bad a practice in recent years.
Eugene H. Flegm, CPA, CFE, (now retired) served
for more than 30 years as an accounting executive for General Motors
Corp. He is a frequent contributor to various accounting
publications. His e-mail address is ehflegm@earthlink.net.
Jensen Comment There are many factors that interacted in causing the subprime scandals of
2008. But the one key factor that could have prevented both the Savings &
Loan scandals in the 1980s and the Subprime Mortgage scandals of 2008 is
professionalism in the real estate appraising industry. In both of these
immense scandals real estate appraisers repeatedly provided fair value
estimates above and beyond anything that could be considered a realistic
fair value. There's genuine moral hazard in the relationships between real
estate appraisal firms and real estate brokerage firms who desperately want
buyers to get financing needed to close the deals. Banks also want
desperately to close the deals so they can sell the mortgages to mortgage
buyers like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac quasi-government corporations
designed to buy up mortgages from banks.
These huge scandals provide evidence of the unreliability and
nonstationarity of fair value estimates. The freight train that's hauling in
fair value standards to replace existing standards in the FASB and the IASB
is fraught with peril. There are, of course, many instances where fair value
is the only reasonable choice such as in derivative financial instruments
where historical cost is usually zero or some miniscule premium paid
relative to the huge risks involved. There are other instances such as with
leases and pensions having contractual future cash flows where fair value
estimation is reasonably accurate. But more often than not fair value
estimates are little more than pie in the sky.
As earnings numbers are increasingly impacted by unrealized adjustments
for fair values, many of which wash out to a zero cumulative effect over
time, the more firms are contracting based upon earnings before unrealized
fair value adjustments. Labor unions are increasingly concerned that
companies can manage earnings by such simple devices as implementation of
hedge accounting effectiveness testing. Companies like Southwest Airlines
exclude these unrealized fair value changes in earnings from compensation
contracts with employees in order to ease the fears of employees.
This is the driving force behind the FASB's bold initiative to eliminate
bottom line reporting. Five General Categories of Aggregation "The Sums of All Parts: Redesigning Financials: As part of radical
changes to the income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement,
FASB signs off on a series of new subtotals to be contained in each,"
byMarie Leone, CFO Magazine, November 14, 2007 ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#ChangesOnTheWay
Liquidity Risk Measurement Techniques and Stress Tests
In the first article in this
series on the considerations to the formulation of a liquidity stress
testing framework, the background to liquidity risk and liquidity stress
testing was presented (see March 2008 BALM). This second article
in the series investigates various stress-testing categories in order to
gain a better understanding of stress testing and how it could be
applied in liquidity risk measurement. The basic liquidity risk
measurement techniques are explored to establish a framework of
potential analytical techniques to apply in the formulation of a
liquidity stress testing methodology.
Liquidity Stress Testing. The formulation of a
liquidity stress testing framework requires a clear and decisive
understanding of the stress testing technique applied, exactly what is
stress tested, and the type of analyses conducted. This section will
explore the methods of stress testing that can be applied in the
liquidity risk management process. Furthermore, the types of analyses
conducted in measuring liquidity risk and other considerations that
should be incorporated in the stress testing framework will be
discussed.
Categories of Stress Testing.
Generally, stress testing falls in two main categories – sensitivity
tests and scenario tests.
• Sensitivity tests specify financial
parameters that are moved instantaneously by a unitary amount, for
example, a 10 percent decline or a 10 basis point increase. This
approach is a hypothetical perspective to potential future changes in
the risk factor(s). Such sensitivity tests lack historical and economic
content which limits its usefulness for longer-term risk management
decisions. Sensitivity tests can also examine historical movements in a
number of financial parameters. Historical movements in parameters can
be based on worst case movements over a set historical period (e.g., the
worst change in interest rates, equity prices and currencies over the
past 10 years). Alternatively, actual market correlations between
various factors may be analyzed over a set period of time to determine
the movement in factors that would have resulted in the largest loss for
the current portfolio. In sensitivity stress tests, the source of the
shock is not identified and the time horizon for sensitivity tests is
generally shorter, often
instantaneous, unlike scenario tests.
Chief financial officers of public companies
received new guidance Friday from the Securities and Exchange Commission,
giving firms more leeway to value asset-backed securities in cases where
market prices or other relevant pricing information cannot be obtained.
Public companies may use "unobservable inputs" to
value asset-backed securities, but only when actual market prices or
relevant observable inputs are not available, according to a letter from SEC
staff accountants that will be sent to financial chiefs of public companies
holding significant amounts of asset-backed securities.
Firms that rely on "unobservable inputs" to value
illiquid asset-backed securities must determine if that would have a
material impact on their financial results, according to the letter. In such
cases, the letter said, corporate results must include written explanations
of how a firm determined the value of its asset-backed assets and
liabilities, as well as how those values might change and what impact that
would have on operations, liquidity and capital. SEC staffers said such
explanations should appear in quarterly and annual results.
Additionally, the SEC said public companies might
need to provide more disclosure on risky, "Level 3" assets and liabilities,
including changes that increased or decreased the amount of assets in that
category. It also said firms might need to detail the nature and type of
assets underlying asset-backed securities, such as riskier subprime home
mortgages or home-equity lines of credit, along with credit ratings on such
securities and changes or potential changes to those ratings.
FAS 157
on fair value measurements was
supposed to provide comprehensive guidance for determining the fair
value of pretty much anyasset or liability. Yet, almost two
years after its initial publication, and well after companies have had
to apply the standard to certain accounts,
CFO.com reports
that the FASB is still making up some of its rules on the fly, and
having a tough slog to boot. The problem described in the article has
immediate consequences for derivative financial instruments that are
classified as liabilities, but it could eventually affect the
measurement of many other liability accounts as fair value measurement
becomes more broadly applied:
"At an unusually heated FASB meeting last
week [no minutes published on the FASB's website yet], for instance,
the members debated how companies should estimate the market value
of liabilities when there's no actual market on which to base the
estimate.
During one point in the discussion, which
concerned a proposed guidance by FASB's staff on how to mark
liabilities to market under 157, chairman Robert Herz seemed, to
member Leslie Seidman, to be contemplating an overhaul of the
brand-new standard itself. Matters got so confusing that the board
ordered its staff to go back and summarize the members' positions so
that they could understand what they themselves had said.
At issue was the question of how to measure
the fair value of a liability for "which there is little, if any,
market activity," according to 157. The standard defines fair value
as "the price that would be received ... to transfer a liability in
an orderly transaction between market participants at the
measurement date." The question that FASB struggled with was: How do
you determine the fair value of a liability that can only be
settled, rather than sold?
...Often, for instance, when a company
borrows money, it can't transfer its obligation to another party
without an agreement from the bank. Or a market may not exist for
transferring such liabilities."
It's a mess that the FASB has gotten itself
into for two related reasons. The first is that the problems now being
addressed are significant, and they were known long before FAS 157 was
let out the door. The second is that FAS 157 is fundamentally flawed in
its approach to fair value measurement of liabilities. The solution, as
I am about to describe, seems to me to be surprisingly simple.
This particular flaw in FAS 157 (see my
previous
post
on many others) occurs in paragraph 5:
"Fair value is the price that would be
received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability [italics supplied] in an orderly transaction between market
participants at the measurement date."
For every liability there is a counter party
that holds an asset, and the economic value of the liability must be
equal to the economic value of the asset. These are basic economic
principles, which are not acknowledged in FAS 157. If they
were acknowledged, there would be no need for the phrase "or paid to
transfer a liability." That's because the value of any
liability -- even one that cannot be transferred --must equal
the value of the counter party's asset, which, perforce, can always
be transferred. Even though the evidence directly available to value
the liability may be scant, the asset value might even be quoted in the
newspaper; the non-transferability restriction on the debtor is just one
more valuation parameter from the viewpoint of the creditor.
If you need further convincing that the
solution to the problem of valuing any liability is to value
the counter party's asset, let's consider an even thornier
non-transferable liability that the FASB briefly considered and then
dropped
like a hot potato: contingent
environmental liabilities. My understanding of federal environmental
law is that the cleanup liability of a "potentially responsible party"
is joint and several. No other party can assume the liability, so the
only way out from under it is to settle with the government. Although I
am not aware that the government has done this, it is theoretically
possible for the government to transfer its contingent receivable to a
third party. Is the contingent receivable difficult to value? Yes, but
certainly no harder than many of the complex, illiquid derivatives that
are roiling the global economy. (And by the way, I recall seeing the
issue of the fair value of contingent environmental liabilities posted
on the FASB's website during the project phase of FAS 157. The Board
expressed a tentative conclusion, but it soon disappeared mysteriously,
and without explanation. I have searched Board minutes, and have come
up with nothing. If anyone has any further information on this that
they would like to share, please contact me!)
Because my solution to liability valuation is
so simple (attention: CIFiR - SEC Advisory Committee on Improvements to
Financial Reporting) and obvious, I can't help but fear I have
overlooked something. If that is indeed the case, I hope a reader of
this post will take the time to point it out, and I will gladly issue a
mea culpa forthwith. Yet, I derive some measure of comfort
(and optimism) by an entry in the
minutes
of an FASB meeting (11/14/07) where
Bob Herz stated that he disagrees with the measurement principles for
liabilities in SFAS 157.
Who knows, maybe Bob and I are thinking along
the same lines? That gives me hope for the future. But, I have to
express my disappointment that liabilities were not dealt with in a
comprehensive way before SFAS 157 was issued. There is much to be said
for getting it right the first time.
Jensen Comment
Tom wrote the following:
For every liability there is a counter
party that holds an asset, and the economic value of the
liability must be equal to the economic value of the asset.
These are basic economic principles, which are not acknowledged in
FAS 157. If they were acknowledged, there would be no
need for the phrase "or paid to transfer a liability." That's
because the value of any liability -- even one that cannot be transferred --must equal the value of the counter
party's asset, which, perforce, can always be transferred.
Even though the evidence directly available to value the liability
may be scant, the asset value might even be quoted in the newspaper;
the non-transferability restriction on the debtor is just one more
valuation parameter from the viewpoint of the creditor.
For one party the Pacioli equation A=L+E is tautological since E is
the sink hole makes everything balance. But it does it necessarily hold
that A(Bank) = L(Homeowner) for 30 years after Bank loaned Homeowner $1
million in cash in a jumbo 30-year mortgage for a home on June 16, 2006.
In fact it may well be that A(Bank) = L(Homeowner) did not even hold on
the June 16, 2006 since Bank and Homeowner probably had different
opportunity costs of capital. Most likely Bank charged for a risk
premium and holds the asset (the mortgage note) with values that vary
from day-to-day with Homeowner's credit rating and with resale value of
the home itself that is the collateral on the loan.
In conventional mortgages the Bank can transfer the asset (mortgage
note) wholesale to another buyer such as Fannie Mae. But Homeowner
cannot transfer the liability since most conventional mortgages now have
a clause that says the mortgage must be prepaid if Homeowner sells the
house. What Fannie will pay Bank for the asset (mortgage note) wholesale
varies with market conditions in the wholesale market for mortgages.
At some point in time Homeowner can go back to Bank and ask to
refinance the mortgage (which is tantamount to prepaying the original
mortgage), but Homeowner must refinance in the retail market. Bank can
deal in both the wholesale and retail markets for mortgages whereas
Homeowner is confined to the retail market. The two markets are highly
correlated like they are in blue book car markets, but they are not
perfectly correlated. Hence I don't think Tom can assume that Bank's
transferable asset is equal in value to Homeowner's non-transferrable liability. Homeowner does not have access to all
the buyers and sellers in the wholesale market.
Then there is the other problem that exploded in both the Savings &
Loan crisis of the 1980s and the subprime crisis of 2008. In both
scandals crooked appraisers overstated the lending value of real estate
way beyond realistic selling prices. Suppose Homeowner got the $1
million mortgage on a house that realistically only had a $500,000 value
on June 16, 2006 and has sunk to a fair value of only $200,000 on June
16, 2008. How would FAS 157 be applied to a non-transferrable mortgage
liability? What is the value of L(Homeowner) on June 16, 2008? Is it
necessarily the same as the A(Bank) or A(Fannie) value of the asset held
by the current holder of the mortgage investment?
The fair value of the L(Homeowner) liability to Homeowner is affected
by many factors, one of which is the cost of having a lower credit
rating simply by turning the property over the Bank. Homeowner may have
troubles even getting another loan for several years, and Former
Homeowner may have to pay premium rates to get another loan. But the
value of the collateral (the house now valued at only $200,000) is far
less than the unpaid balance on the loan of nearly $1 million since the(
principal amount owing does not decline much in the first two years of a
30-year mortgage). In this instance I don't think Professor Selling can
assume that L(Homeowner) = A(Bank) on June 16, 2008. In fact I think the
two values are vastly different.
And Bank (or Fannie Mae) is very sad since what they paid out for
homeowners' mortgages is still way in excess of what the combined
collateral is really worth in 2008. Fortunately many homeowners are
still making payments even though their property is now probably worth
less than the discounted cash flows of their remaining mortgage
payments.
The problem with FAS 157 is that it cannot make a silk purse out a
sow's ear when valuing assets and liabilities for which markets are
non-existent, including surrogate markets. There is also a problem of
dynamics of markets. FAS 157 wants reported values of L(Homeowner) and
A(Bank) on June 16, 2008. Homeowner may continue to make payments on a
$1 million 30-year mortgage for property that is now worth only $200,000
because of transactions costs (including adverse credit ratings) today
of walking away from the mortgage and because of hope that this is only
a market bleep before the value rises back up in value to more than $1
million in anticipation of soaring inflation.
There is always the feeling that markets will bounce back. And there
are what the mathematicians call non-convexities caused by transactions
costs that are real but undeterminable when the cost of lowered credit
ratings are factored into transactions costs. For years, accounting
theorists criticized economists for unrealistic assumptions of
rationality and non-convexities in their models. Economic value was
deemed by accountants as unrealistic due to unknown future cash flows,
unknown future market conditions at affect prices and interest rates,
and unknown future legislative actions and taxes. Now FAS 157 and 159
along with IAS 39 on the international scene wants to turn accountants
into economists.
Valuation is an art rather than a science. Accountants and economists
who are teaching free cash flow and residual income valuation models
might as well be teaching astrology to FAS 157 implementers. It all
boils down to attaching precise-looking number tags to cloud movements
that are beyond anybody's control.
Question
How does IFRS fair value accounting differ for financial instruments versus
derivative financial instruments?
The IASB is proposing an amendment to IAS 39 that will give the option to
maintain financial instrument liabilities at fair value with gains and losses
going to AOCI instead of current earnings. However, this does not make the fair
value accounting totally consistent with fair value accounting for derivative
financial instruments where changes in fair value go to current earnings except
in qualified hedging transactions.
Whereas firms are increasingly pressured by the FASB and the IASB to maintain
financial assets at fair value, maintaining financial liabilities at fair values
is much more controversial since the future cash flows of fixed-rate debt may
depart greatly from current fair value. For cash flows of a fixed rate mortgage
are well defined whereas the fair value of those cash flows may fluctuate
day-to-day with interest rates. Fair value adjustments of debt that the firm
either cannot or does not intend to liquidate may be quite misleading regarding
financial risk.
The same cannot be said for derivative financial instruments where FAS 133
and IAS 39 require maintaining the current reported balances at fair value.
However, the FASB is proposing an amendment to IAS 39 that will give the
option to maintain financial instrument liabilities at fair value with gains and
losses going to AOCI instead of current earnings. However, this does not make
the fair value accounting totally consistent with fair value accounting for
derivative financial instruments where changes in fair value go to current
earnings except in qualified hedging transactions.
The IASB has published for public comment an
exposure draft (ED) of proposing to amend the way the fair value option in
IAS 39 Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement is applied with
respect to financial liabilities. Many investors and others have said that
volatility in profit or loss resulting from changes in an entity's own
credit risk is counter-intuitive and does not provide useful information –
except for value changes relating to derivatives and liabilities held for
trading (such as short sales). The IASB is proposing, therefore, that all
gains and losses resulting from changes in 'own credit' for those financial
liabilities that an entity chooses to measure at fair value should be
recognised as a component of 'other comprehensive income', not in profit or
loss. The ED does not propose any other changes for financial liabilities.
Consequently, the proposals will affect only those entities that elect to
apply the fair value option to their financial liabilities. Importantly,
those who prefer to bifurcate financial liabilities when relevant may
continue to do so. That is consistent with the widespread view that the
existing requirements for financial liabilities work well, other than the
'own credit' issue that these proposals cover.
Unlike FAS 133, IAS 39 no longer requires bifurcation of embedded derivatives
that are not "clearly and closely related" to the host instrument.
Why do bankers resist expanding FAS
159 into required accounting for all financial instruments? Misleading Financial Statements:
Bankers Refusing to Recognize and Shed "Zombie Loans" One worrying lesson for bankers and regulators
everywhere to bear in mind is post-bubble Japan. In the 1990s its leading
bankers not only hung onto their jobs; they also refused to recognise and
shed bad debts, in effect keeping “zombie” loans on their books. That is one
reason why the country's economy stagnated for so long. The quicker bankers
are to recognise their losses, to sell assets that they are hoarding in the
vain hope that prices will recover, and to make markets in such assets for
their clients, the quicker the banking system will get back on its feet. The Economist, as quoted in Jim Mahar's blog on November 10, 2007 ---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/
After the Collapse of Loan Markets
Banks are Belatedly Taking Enormous Write Downs
BTW one of the important stories that are coming
out is the fact that this is affecting all tranches of the debt as even AAA
rated debt is being marked down (which is why the rating agencies are
concerned). The San Antonio Express News reminds us that conflicts of
interest exist here too. Jime Mahar, November 10, 2007 ---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/
Jensen Comment The FASB and the IASB are moving ever closer to fair value accounting for
financial instruments. FAS 159 made it an option in FAS 159. One of the main
reasons it's not required is the tremendous lobbying effort of the banking
industry. Although many excuses are given resisting fair value accounting
for financial instruments, I suspect that the main underlying reasons are
those "Zombie" loans that are overvalued at historical costs on current
financial statements.
Daniel Covitz and Paul Harrison of the
Federal Reserve Board found no evidence of credit agency conflicts of
interest problems of credit agencies, but thier study is dated in 2003 and
may not apply to the recent credit bubble and burst ---
http://www.federalreserve.gov/Pubs/feds/2003/200368/200368pap.pdf
Question When is the purpose of reclassifying loans as "Held-to-Maturity" for purposes of
stabilizing earnings rather than a true strategy to hold those notes to
maturity, especially when the value of those notes is plunging daily? "Even
analysts think so. "If you thought the accounting for investments in debt and
equity securities was unnecessarily complex, the accounting for loans will make
your head spin,"
Is Fair-Value Accounting Always Fair? March 5,
2008; Page A15 Regarding "Wave of Write-Offs Rattles Market" by David
Reilly (page one, March 1): Thirty years ago, no accounting principle
was more accepted than that assets are worth what they cost, absent
proof of a permanent impairment of value. When such impairment was
understood and confirmed, the carrying value was adjusted.
Today, I see the overzealous accounting
profession calling for long-term assets, those which the owners do not
intend to sell, nor have need to sell, being forced to mark such assets
to market on a regular basis. While this may make sense for equities,
where market values tend to reflect economic reality or assets which may
need to be sold in the normal course of operating the business, it makes
no sense for assets intended to be held to maturity. The marking of
long-term complex financial instruments where market values are
temporarily depressed and meaningless for the longer term is terribly
destructive. In many cases, the only market prices available are
distressed sellers or some thin index which is regularly shorted by
investment professionals.
These are not real values, and marking to these
prices causes unnecessary volatility and contractions in capital which
restrict the ability of financial institutions to operate and grow.
Perhaps the accounting profession is trying to overcompensate for its
failures in the Enron fiasco and other similar cases, and to prevent
lawsuits. Fair-value accounting, particularly for long-term complex
instruments that do not trade in liquid markets, is illogical and
destructive and should be re-examined immediately.
Jensen Comment One problem here is bank's want it both ways. The want to classify
investments and loans as "held-to-maturity" (HTM) so that they can avoid
having to carry them at fair value such as allowed in FAS 115. However,
bands want to classify them as HTM but want to sell them when fair value
hits trigger points. Hence a lot of those "HTM" securities are not HTM after
all.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on February
29, 2008
TOPICS: Accounting,
Advanced Financial Accounting, Banking, Fair Value
Accounting, Investment Banking, Investments, Loan Loss
Allowance
SUMMARY: "Leveraged loans for buyouts were
originally made with the idea that banks and brokers
would quickly sell them to investors." That approach
proved impossible when markets froze in August 2007.
"Among banks, Citigroup and J.P. Morgan have the most at
stake, with $43 billion and $26.4 billion in exposures,
respectively....among brokers, Goldman has the biggest
leveraged-loan exposure, at $26 billion, followed by
Lehman Brothers...with $23.8 billion....By reclassifying
(to held-to-maturity) some of the loans they hold, banks
can avoid marking these loans to market, unlike
brokerages which have to price these assets" at current
market value at each balance sheet date. "J.P.
Morgan...Chief Executive James Dimon said during a
January conference call...[that] the bank reclassified
loans...because it believed that at current depressed
prices, some of its leveraged loans 'may be terrific
long-term assets to hold.' That said, the more favorable
accounting treatment doesn't hurt, either."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Accounting for investments
versus loans is the main topic in the article. The
article refers to market value (fair value) measurement,
lower or cost-or-market and the cost method as applied
to held-to-maturity investments.
QUESTIONS: 1.) Three methods of valuing loans and investments --
fair value, lower of cost or market and cost basis --
are described in the article, without using these terms.
Summarize how each of these methods is described in the
article.
2.) Why do banks and investment brokerage houses face
different requirements in accounting for loans they have
offered in leveraged buyout transactions?
3.) How might a bank face fewer reported losses by using
the cost method of valuing loans than the fair value
method? In your answer, comment on the possibility that
the bank may have to report allowances for
uncollectibility of these loans.
4.) What is the significance of J.P. Morgan Chief
executive James Dimon's statement that "at current
depressed prices, some of its leveraged loans 'may be
terrific long-term assets to hold'?"
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
When it comes to losses on "leveraged loans" --
a big source of worry for investors in financial firms -- banks may have
an advantage over their brokerage-house rivals in weathering the storm.
Thanks to a quirk in accounting rules, banks
such as J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. don't always have to book losses
immediately on those loans even as brokers like Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
are forced to take hits right away.
Leveraged loans -- used by companies, usually
with low credit ratings, and often to fund buyouts -- were originally
made with the idea that banks and brokers would quickly sell them to
investors. When markets froze in August, institutions found themselves
stuck with billions of these loans that they couldn't unload.
That led to losses last fall as financial firms
were forced in many cases to mark these loans down by about 5%. The
market for these loans is again struggling, and prices are falling
further -- in some cases to about, or even less than, 90 cents on the
dollar -- which will likely lead to another round of losses at financial
firms.
This makes it more likely some banks will look
to shield at least part of their holdings from the swings in market
prices. By reclassifying some of the loans they hold, banks can avoid
marking these loans to market, unlike brokerages, which have to price
these assets at whatever investors say they are worth.
This isn't to say that banks will be able to
entirely sidestep losses stemming from leveraged loans issued to fund
huge corporate buyouts. But any kind of shock absorber would be welcome,
given the depressed market conditions now.
Still, while the accounting peculiarity may
give banks an edge, it could also pose a danger to their investors,
analysts warn. That is because investors could be lulled into
complacency when it comes to the size and scope of the hits that the
banks may face.
Banks and brokers have nearly $200 billion in
leveraged-loan exposure. Given recent falls in market prices of these
loans, that could lead to $10 billion to $14 billion in write-downs,
Oppenheimer analyst Meredith Whitney estimated in a recent note.
Among banks, Citigroup and J.P. Morgan have the
most at stake, with $43 billion and $26.4 billion in exposures,
respectively, as of the end of last year. Among brokers, Goldman has the
biggest leveraged-loan exposure, at $26 billion, followed by Lehman
Brothers Holdings Inc. with $23.8 billion.
The fact that a bank and a broker holding the
same kind of loan could see very different effects highlights what some
analysts feel is a major flaw in the accounting for leveraged loans.
Brokers for years have argued that banks should also be required to
assess the values of all their financial assets using market prices.
The differing approaches also underscore that
even as the use of so-called market values cause some firms to quickly
recognize big losses -- even if there are growing questions about the
reliability of these values in frozen markets -- not every financial
player always has to measure up against this same yardstick.
Seem strange? Even analysts think so. "If you
thought the accounting for investments in debt and equity securities was
unnecessarily complex, the accounting for loans will make your head
spin," Credit Suisse accounting analyst David Zion wrote in a recent
research note looking at issues surrounding loans.
J.P. Morgan, for example, said last month that
it had reclassified about $5 billion of $26 billion in leveraged loans
it holds. J.P. Morgan declined to comment beyond what Chief Executive
James Dimon said during a January conference call. At that time, he said
the bank reclassified the loans this way because it believed that at
current depressed prices, some of its leveraged loans "may be terrific
long-term assets to hold."
That said, the more favorable accounting
treatment doesn't hurt, either. Here is how it works: Companies either
classify loans as being "held for sale" or as investments, sometimes
referred to as "holding to maturity." Loans held for sale are carried at
whichever is lower: the original cost or the current market value. That
is similar to "marking to market prices." Any losses are taken in the
current period.
But the value of loans held for investment
doesn't change with every uptick or downtick in the market. Instead,
such loans are said to be held at their cost, although they are
initially marked to market prices if a firm is reclassifying them from
held for sale.
The big benefit is that holding loans for
investment reduces volatility. Brokers like Goldman, Lehman, Morgan
Stanley or Merrill Lynch & Co., on the other hand, have to mark just
about everything they hold to market prices. So the firms -- which
together have about $91 billion in leveraged-loan exposure, according to
Oppenheimer -- take losses right away.
This isn't to say banks completely avoid losses
on loans held for investment. Mr. Dimon said in the bank's conference
call that while it wouldn't mark the reclassified loans to market
prices, it would "have to build up proper loan-loss reserves against
those, and we would fully disclose that so there's no issue about what
that did to the company."
But in checking to see whether the value of a
held-for-investment loan is impaired, a bank would look to see if there
has been a change in the credit rating of an issuer, if the issuer has
fallen behind in interest payments or if it looks like a delinquency
could be looming.
A bank wouldn't necessarily have to consider
what the loan would fetch if sold in the market today, analysts say.
That view, which reflects market perceptions, is what is causing big
losses at many firms today. So looking only to credit quality could
prove to be advantageous.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review, March 7,
2008
SUMMARY: "The massive write-downs that financial
firms are posting have begun to spur a backlash among
some investors and executives, who are blaming
accounting rules for exaggerating the losses and are
seeking new, more forgiving ways to value investments."
The article quotes comments by Ben Bernancke to the
Senate banking committee saying that he doesn't know how
to "fix" this accounting issue and that accountants must
"make the best judgment they can." Also quoted are
comments by FASB Chairman, Bob Herz.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Use the article to discuss
the various influences on accounting standards setting:
Economic consequences of accounting choices, the
political pressures that can arise, and the desire to
uphold qualitative characteristics in financial
reporting. The related article is a 'Letter to the
Editor' written by a Westport, CT, investment advisor
with approximately $230 million in assets under
management.
QUESTIONS: 1.) Define the concept of "valuation" in accounting, the
historical cost basis, and fair-value accounting.
Provide examples in which each of these bases of
reporting is used in financial statements.
2.) How is fair value accounting potentially
contributing to the effects of losses reported by
financial institutions?
3.) In responding to questions by the Senate banking
committee, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke says he
does not know how to fix accounting issues arising from
reporting on a fair-value basis and that "..accountants
need to make the best judgment they can." What
accountants are responsible for making judgments about
whether to use the historical cost basis or fair-value
basis for accounting valuations?
4.) On what basis do accountants decide which is the
appropriate model for valuation in financial statements?
In your answer, define the conceptual framework in
financial accounting and reporting and it's associated
qualitative characteristics.
5.) What are the economic consequences of accounting
policy choice? List one argument made in the main
article or the related one which exemplifies this
concern with the economic consequences of accounting
policy choice.
6.) FASB Chairman Bob Herz acknowledges "the difficulty
investors and companies are facing" but also argues that
the alternative to fair-value reporting is to pretend
"...that things aren't decreasing in value" and that
company managements at times like these would "... say
they think it's going to recover." Do you think that
historical cost reporting works in this fashion?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
IFRS (or maybe just the EU) Accounting Rule
Flexibility in Action
"Accounting Changes Help Deutsche Bank Avoid Loss,"
Reuters, The New York Times, October 30, 2008 ---
Click Here
New accounting rules
allowed Deutsche Bank to dodge a loss in the third quarter, the company said
Thursday as it also announced heavy losses in proprietary trading.
Josef Ackermann, the chairman of Deutsche, which is
Germany’s flagship bank and once was seen as having escaped the worst of the
market turmoil, declared a year ago that the financial crisis for his bank
was over.
On Thursday, however, Mr. Ackermann departed from
the optimism that had led him to declare seeing the light at the end of the
tunnel several times over.
“Conditions in equity and credit markets remain
extremely difficult,” he said, warning that the bank could cut its dividend
to shore up capital in a “highly uncertain environment.”
Also Thursday, Germany’s finance minister, Peer
Steinbrück, said that a number of German banks were expected to turn to
Berlin for help. Mr. Steinbrück appeared to make a veiled reference to
Deutsche Bank when he told a newspaper that those seeking help could include
banks that had publicly opposed taking it in the past. Mr. Ackermann
recently was quoted as saying he would be “ashamed” to take taxpayer money.
Deutsche Bank made a pretax profit of 93 million
euros ($118.5 million) in the third quarter, a result possible only because
of changed accounting rules. These allowed it to cut write-downs by more
than 800 million euros, to 1.2 billion euros, during the period.
The new rules, sanctioned by Brussels lawmakers,
soften the old system that demanded all assets reflect market prices.
Deutsche Bank, for example, has more than 22
billion euros of leveraged loans — commitments often made to private equity
investors to lend money to buy companies.
Farming out these loans had become difficult as
worried investors retreated to safe havens and their value had fallen. The
new accounting rules allow Deutsche to hold some of these loans on their
books at a fixed price.
Like all other banks, Deutsche is grappling with a
freeze in interbank lending. Banks around the world have largely stopped
lending to one another after the Wall Street investment bank Lehman Brothers
collapsed in mid-September.
The crisis prompted the German government to start
a rescue fund of 500 billion euros, under which it can give guarantees for
banks seeking financing on this market or by issuing bonds, for example.
Beware, believing what's reported in the press as truth. Reporters
generally do not study accounting as part of the academic experience.
To the best of my knowledge, the recent change made by the IASB was to
converge with US GAAP in permitting companies to re-classify financial
assets from held for trading to available for sale. This move does not
permit these assets to be held at other than fair value. It does report the
change in fair value to equity, rather than in income.
This change was made specifically to create a level playing field across
Europe and the US. The same change was made in Canada for the same reason.
Do I regret they made this change? Yes. I suspect they do too, but the
alternative was to let the European Commission "do their own thing" in this
crisis.
Actually, as I understand it the IASB change allows
companies to reclassify securities out of the mark to market through income
category (i.e., trading) to held to maturity in which case the securities
will be carried at cost. Further, the change can be made retroactive to July
1 before most of the market disruption occurred. U.S rules allow this only
in "rare" circumstances.
But isn’t it interesting banks are suddenly reclassifying their
portfolios seemingly to avoid reporting losses? Is this good judgment based
upon principles-based standards or earnings management under flexible
accounting standards?
Surely the reporters are all wrong and these reputable banks are merely
using good judgments under principles-based standards. Certainly they would
not use flexible accounting rules to manage earnings!
Are we making a mockery out of accounting “standards?” What you are
saying Pat is that the IASB would rather change an accounting standard under
political pressure from the EU than to face up to another EU carve out of
IFRS. Surely this is a mockery since the change in IFRS to suit the EU (and
U.S.) affects all other nations using IFRS who are not in the EU and the
U.S.
What you are really telling us Pat is that IFRS adapts to threats from
the EU when you stated:
Do I regret they made this change? Yes. I
suspect they do too, but the alternative
was to let the European Commission "do their own thing” . . .
Pat Walters
I call this making a mockery out of the conceptual framework that
dictates that accounting standards are to be based upon what is the best
accounting for investors. Instead the IASB acted in fear that the EU would
“do-their-own-thing” accounting standards for banks. Of course there’s some
history of this in the U.S., notably dry hole accounting for oil and gas.
But the FASB has a better record of going nose-to-nose with Congress on FAS
133 and FAS 123-R.
FASB standards are sometimes flexible to a fault as well. Surely Franklin
Raines would not (ha, ha) reclassify just enough macro mortgage portfolios
under FAS 133 rules to meet the e.p.s target (to the penny) to get his bonus
before he was fired as CEO of Fannie Mae ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#Manipulation
How can those of you teaching ethics and intermediate accounting and
auditing look your students straight in the eye?
Should accountancy be reclassified in the Literature Department since
financial reports are becoming more flexible fiction than fact?
The following statement
by Pat is not fully correct:
“…the recent change made by the IASB was to
converge with US GAAP in permitting companies to re-classify financial
assets from held for trading to available for sale. This move does not
permit these assets to be held at other than fair value. It does report
the change in fair value to equity, rather than in income.”
The revisions to IAS 39 (and FAS 133)
permit loans and receivables that were being measured
at fair value to be reclassified to “held to maturity”, if the entity does
not intend to sell them in the “foreseeable future” (whatever the heck that
means). Thus, fair value accounting would cease for these assets. Moreover,
there would be a new rule for measuring impairment on these assets, which
diverges from GAAP.
Best,
Tom Selling
November 3, 2008 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Tom,
What the reclassification to “held-to-maturity” means in these times is
that nobody else (now not even our government) is foolish enough to buy this
hopeless dog that the bank can’t possibly unload. Paulsen’s new bail out
plan entails buying into bank equity rather than buying up the
banks’dog/junk mortgages. The trick now is to get these dogs on the books at
historical cost as “held-to-maturity” rather than, choke, fair value.
Interestingly, this is precisely what Fannie Mae’s CEO, Franklin Raines,
was doing when cherry picking which investments to designate as
“held-to-maturity” in his earnings management scheme to pad his bonus ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#Manipulation
Think of the irony. The good mortgages that perhaps increased in value
with declining interest rates are marked upwards to fair value as
“available-for-sale” or “trading” securities. The dogs that should be
unloaded are instead designated as “held-to-maturity.”
A clever professor here could design a case where all the good mortgages
are sold for profit, the enormous executive bonuses are paid, and the
shareholders are left with the “held-to-maturity” dog kennel that is grossly
overvalued on the balance sheet. What’s even worse is that this is possible
under FASB and IASB accounting standards. Our standard setters are now
telling us there’s nothing wrong with being left with the dog kennel.
The
shareholders’ class action lawyers think otherwise.
Is this what we call making investors our number one concern when setting
accounting standards?
My problem here is that in theory I can and do in my FAS 133 seminars
make a darn good case for not marking up HTM securities to fair value. But
then I never envisioned the dog kennel problem.
I think the IASB is a bit tougher than the FASB on a decision to sell HTM
investments before maturity. In IFRS it’s a bit like breaking the honor
code. You may sell an insignificant sick puppy on occasion from the HTM dog
kennel, but you must never sell a valuable dog before its maturity date
without putting the other sick HTM dogs in the kennel up for sale as well.
Selling them all might result in huge losses under the new IASB/FASB rulings
allowing for the placement of very sick dogs in an HTM kennel to avoid
recognizing huge losses in their value. Thus when Deutsche Bank put a lot of
sick dogs in the HTM kennel to shore up 2008 reported earnings (actually to
avoid a huge reported 2008 loss), Deutsche Bank better be prepared on its
honor to keep virtually all of them in the kennel until they expire.
The following is a direct quotation from IAS 39.
B.19 Definition of held-to-maturity financial
assets: 'tainting'
In response to unsolicited tender offers,
Entity A sells a significant amount of financial assets classified as
held to maturity on economically favourable terms. Entity A does not
classify any financial assets acquired after the date of the sale as
held to maturity. However, it does not reclassify the remaining
held-to-maturity investments since it maintains that it still intends to
hold them to maturity. Is Entity A in compliance with IAS 39?
No. Whenever a sale or transfer of more than an
insignificant amount of financial assets classified as held to maturity
(HTM) results in the conditions in IAS 39.9 and IAS 39.AG22 not being
satisfied, no instruments should be classified in that category.
Accordingly, any remaining HTM assets are reclassified as
available-for-sale financial assets. The reclassification is recorded in
the reporting period in which the sales or transfers occurred and is
accounted for as a change in classification under IAS 39.51. IAS 39.9
makes it clear that at least two full financial years must pass before
an entity can again classify financial assets as HTM.
The massive write-downs that financial firms
are posting have begun to spur a backlash among some investors and
executives, who are blaming accounting rules for exaggerating the losses
and are seeking new, more forgiving ways to value investments.
The rules -- which last made headlines back in
the Enron era -- require companies to value many of the securities they
hold at whatever price prevails in the market, no matter how sharply
those prices swing.
Some analysts and executives argue this
triggers a domino effect. The market falls, forcing banks to take
write-offs, pushing the market lower, causing more write-offs.
The rules' supporters, however, make a stark
counter-argument: They can help prevent the U.S. from suffering the kind
of malaise that gripped Japan in the 1990s -- as banks there sat on
mountains of dud loans for years without writing them down.
This debate gained new urgency Friday as the
Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 315 points, or 2.5%. Driving stocks
lower was insurance giant American International Group Inc.'s
announcement of an $11.1 billion write-down that led the firm to post a
$5.3 billion loss for the fourth quarter, the biggest loss in the firm's
89-year history.
Also rattling investors was a report by UBS
that said losses among financial institutions could top $600 billion as
the turmoil in global credit markets continues to unfold.
No one, including the chairman of the Federal
Reserve, Ben Bernanke, knows with certainty what would be a better
approach than using market prices for valuing holdings like these. "I
don't know how to fix it," Mr. Bernanke said during testimony Thursday
before the Senate banking committee. "I don't know what to do about it."
Mr. Bernanke added that "I think the
accountants need to make the best judgment they can."
Despite the grim developments, many investors
actually doubt that firms like AIG will suffer the full force of the
losses they are now booking. Instead, these investors argue that the
market has overreacted and will recover once the current panic subsides.
Indeed, Martin Sullivan, AIG's chief executive,
said Friday on the firm's conference call that he doesn't expect the
losses to be permanent. "We are obviously witnessing and living through
extraordinary market conditions," he said. "We are trying, as are many
others, to value very complex instruments."
Tumult also spread further in the normally
staid market for municipal bonds -- debt issued by states and
municipalities -- which is suffering one of its biggest crises in its
history. Several hedge funds were hit with big losses after betting
wrong on the direction of muni-bond prices, and as traders rushed to
sell and exit their positions, portions of the market effectively froze.
On Friday, muni-bond-prices fell for a 13th
straight day, pushing yields significantly higher. (Bond yields move in
the opposite direction as price.)
For hundreds of muni-bond issuers, ranging from
New York's Port Authority to the North Texas Tollway Authority, this
tumult could cause borrowing costs to soar. That's a particular problem
at a time when tax revenues are coming under strain from a slowing
economy.
AIG's argument that its write-downs were
"unrealized" -- in other words, they may never actually result in a true
charge to the company -- echoes points made by a number of other major
financial firms. It's a sore point because companies feel they are being
forced to take big financial hits on holdings that they have no
intention of actually selling at current prices.
The firms argue they are strong enough to
simply keep the holdings in their portfolios until the crisis passes.
Forcing companies to value securities based on what they would fetch if
sold today "is an attempt to apply liquidation accounting to a going
concern," said Charles Thayer of Chartwell Capital, a financial
advisory.
The market-value accounting approach is
"exaggerating" the market turmoil, leading to write-downs that are
"excessive," said Neal Soss, chief economist at Credit Suisse. "Many
people would take the view that price and ultimately value have
disconnected."
Even analysts who are generally supportive of
the market-value approach acknowledge it can make things tougher for
investors in the current environment. It "increases the volatility of
the accounts and it makes comparisons from quarter to quarter
difficult," said Jeremy Perler of RiskMetrics Group, a research and
strategy firm. "It certainly turns the world on end a little bit.
Alternative accounting strategies don't offer
much for markets to cling to. One alternative is to value a security
based on what the buyer originally paid for it. However, that risks
giving investors outdated information.
The use of pricing models that don't pay heed
to market values was discredited after Enron Corp. used them to book
phantom profits earlier this decade.
Enron, for example, would book a profit on a
contract to buy or sell energy years in the future based on its own
expectations of how much the contract would be worth over time. But
Enron never tried to gauge what others in the market might think the
contracts were worth.
As the Fed chairman acknowledged in his recent
Senate testimony, a move away from market values could in fact worsen
current market turmoil. "The risk on other side is that if you do too
much forbearance, or delay mark-to-market, that the suspicion will arise
among investors that you're hiding something," Mr. Bernanke said.
Buyers are already lacking trust and that has
been a reason they have balked at buying securities that were typically
seen as safe havens.
But these market seizures are what have made
market values so contentious. Robert Herz, chairman of the body that
sets the accounting rules governing the use of market values, the
Financial Accounting Standards Board, acknowledged the difficulty
investors and companies are facing.
"But you tell me what a better answer is," he
said. "Is just pretending that things aren't decreasing in value a
better answer? Should you just let everybody say they think it's going
to recover?"
Others who favor the use of market values say
that for all its imperfections, it also imposes discipline on companies.
"It forces you to realistically confront what's happening to you much
quicker, so it plays a useful purpose," said Sen. Jack Reed (D., R.I.),
a member of the Senate banking committee.
Japan stands out as an example of how ignoring
problems can lead to years-long stagnation. "Look at Japan, where they
ignored write-downs at all their financial institutions when loans went
bad," said Jeff Mahoney, general counsel at the Council for
Institutional Investors.
In addition, companies don't always have the
luxury of waiting out a storm until assets recover the long-term value
that executives believe exists. Sometimes market crises force their
hands. Freddie Mac, for instance, sold $45 billion of assets last fall
to help the company meet regulatory capital requirements.
Investors can no longer take a firm's survival
for granted in today's environment. Fed Chairman Bernanke in his
testimony noted that it wouldn't be surprising if there were some bank
failures due to the current market crisis.
On cost
(replacement) versus (fair) value, Walter Teets and I have written a
paper that we recently submitted to FAJ. The basic thrust is that
cost can be associated with principles-based accounting, and value
cannot. That’s why FAS 157 is rules based and filled with
anomalies. You can read the working paper
here,
or read my blog post
that it was based onhere. Comments,
especially on the working paper, would be much appreciated.
Question What do CFO's think of Robert Herz's (Chairman of the FASB) radical proposed
format for financial statements that have more disaggregated financial
information and no aggregated bottom line?
As we moved to fair value accounting for
derivative financial instruments (FAS 133) and financial instruments (FAS
157 and 159) coupled with the expected new thrust for fair value reporting
on the international scene, we have filled the income statement and the
retained earnings statement with more and more instability due to
fluctuating unrealized gains and losses.
But if we must live with more and more fair
value reporting, the bottom line has to go. But CFOs are reluctant to give
up the bottom line even if it may distort investing decisions and
compensation contracts tied to bottom-line reporting.
Last summer, McCormick & Co. controller Ken Kelly
sliced and diced his financial statements in ways he
had never before imagined. For starters, he split
the income statement for the $2.7 billion
international spice-and-food company into the three
categories of the cash-flow statement: operating,
financing, and investing. He extracted discontinued
operations and income taxes and placed them in
separate categories, instead of peppering them
throughout the other results. He created a new form
to distinguish which changes in income were due to
fair value and which to cash. One traditional
ingredient, meanwhile, was conspicuous by its
absence: net income.
Kelly wasn't just indulging a whim. Ahead of a
public release of a draft of the Financial
Accounting Standards Board's new format for
financial statements in the second quarter of 2008,
the McCormick controller was trying out the
financial statements of the future, a radical
departure from current conventions. FASB's so-called
financial statement presentation project is
ostensibly concerned only with the form, or the
"face," of financial statements, but it's quickly
becoming clear that it will change and expand their
content as well. "This is a complete redefinition of
the financial statements as we know them," says John
Hepp, a former FASB project manager and now senior
manager at Grant Thornton.
Some of the major changes under discussion:
reconfiguring the balance sheet and the income
statement to follow the three categories of the
cash-flow statement, requiring companies to report
cash flows with the little-used direct method; and
introducing a new reconciliation schedule that would
highlight fair-value changes. Companies will also
likely have to report more about their segments,
possibly down to the same level of detail as they
currently report for the consolidated statements.
Meanwhile, net income is slated to disappear
completely from GAAP financial statements, with no
obvious replacement for such commonly used metrics
as earnings per share.
FASB, working with the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) and accounting standards
boards in the United Kingdom and Japan, continues to
work out the precise details of the new financial
statements. "We are trying to set the stage for what
financial statements will look like across the globe
for decades to come," says FASB chairman Robert Herz.
(Examples of the proposed new financial statements
can be viewed at FASB's Website.) If the
standard-setters stay their course, CFOs and
controllers at every publicly traded company in the
world could be following Kelly's lead as soon as
2010.
It's too early to predict with confidence which
changes will ultimately stick. But the mock-up
exercise has made Kelly wary. He considers the
direct cash-flow statement and reconciliation
schedule among the "worst aspects" of the
forthcoming proposal, and expects they would require
"draconian exercises" from his finance staff, he
says. And he questions what would result from the
additional details: "If all of a sudden your income
statement has 125 lines instead of 25, is that
presentation more clarifying, or more confusing?"
Other financial executives share Kelly's skepticism.
In a December CFO survey of more than 200 finance
executives, only 17 percent said the changes would
offer any benefits to their companies or investors
(see "Keep the Bottom Line" at the end of this
article). Even some who endorsed the basic aim of
the project and like the idea of standardizing
categories across the three major financial
statements were only cautiously optimistic. "It may
be OK, or it may be excessive." says David Rickard,
CFO of CVS/Caremark. "The devil will be in the
details."
Net Loss From the outset, corporate financial
officers have been ambivalent about FASB's seven
year-old project, which was originally launched to
address concerns that net income was losing
relevance amid a proliferation of pro forma numbers.
Back in 2001, Financial Executives International
"strongly opposed" it, while executives at Philip
Morris, Exxon Mobil, Sears Roebuck, and Microsoft
protested to FASB as well.
(Critics then and now point out that FASB will have
little control over pro forma reporting no matter
what it does. Indeed, nearly 60 percent of
respondents to CFO's survey said they would continue
to report pro forma numbers after the new format is
introduced.)
Given the project's starting point, it's not
surprising that current drafts of the future income
statement omit net income. Right now that's by
default, since income taxes are recorded in a
separate section. But there is a big push among some
board members to make a more fundamental change to
eliminate net income by design, and promote business
income (income from operations) as the preferred
basis for investment metrics.
"If net income stays, it would be a sign that we
failed," says Don Young, a FASB board member. In his
mind, the project is not merely about getting rid of
net income, but rather about capturing all
income-related information in a single line
(including such volatile items as gains and losses
on cash-flow hedges, available-for-sale securities,
and foreign-exchange translations) rather than
footnoting them in other comprehensive income (OCI)
as they are now. "All changes in net assets and
liabilities should be included," says Young. "Why
should the income statement be incomplete?" He
predicts that the new subtotals, namely business
income, will present "a much clearer picture of
what's going on."
Board member Thomas Linsmeier agrees. "The rationale
for segregating those items [in OCI] is not
necessarily obvious, other than the fact that
management doesn't want to be held accountable for
them in the current period," he says.
Whether for self-serving or practical reasons,
finance chiefs are rallying behind net income.
Nearly 70 percent of those polled by CFO in December
said it should stay. "I understand their theories
that it's not the be-all and end-all measure that
it's put up to be, but it is a measure everyone is
familiar with, and sophisticated users can adjust
from there," says Kelly. Adds Rickard: "They're
treating [net income] as if it's the scourge of the
earth, which to me is silly. I think the logical
conclusion is to make other things available, rather
than hiding the one thing people find most useful."
Jensen Comment As we moved to fair value accounting for derivative
financial instruments (FAS 133) and financial
instruments (FAS 157 and 159) coupled with the expected
new thrust for fair value reporting on the international
scene, we have filled the income statement and the
retained earnings statement with more and more
instability due to fluctuating unrealized gains and
losses.
But if we must live with
more and more fair value reporting, the bottom line has
to go. But CFOs are reluctant to give up the bottom line
even if it may distort investing decisions and
compensation contracts tied to bottom-line reporting.
Question Should your paycheck be impacted contractually by FAS 133?
I was contacted by the representative of a
major and highly reputable transportation company union concerning
possible manipulation of FAS 133 accounting (one of the many tools for
creative accounting) for purposes of lowering compensation payments to
employees. He wanted to engage me on a consulting basis to examine a
series of financial statements of the company. It would be great if I
could inspire some public debate on the following issue. The message
below follows an earlier message to XXXXX concerning how hedging
ineffectiveness works under FAS 133 accounting rules ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/acct5341/speakers/133glosf.htm#Ineffectiveness
_________________
Hi XXXXX,
You wrote: “Does the $502 million hedging ineffectiveness pique your interest?”
My answer is most
definitely yes since it fits into some research that I am doing at
the moment. But the answers cannot be obtained from financial
statements. Financial statements are (1) too aggregated (across
multiple derivative hedging contracts) and (2) snapshots at
particular points in time. Answers lie in tracing each contract
individually (or at least a sampling of individual contracts) from
inception to settlement. Results of effectiveness testing throughout
the life of each hedging contract must be examined (on a sampling
basis).
Recall that there
were enormous scandals concerning financial instruments derivatives
that led up to FAS 133 and IAS 39. See
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#DerivativesFrauds The SEC pressured the FASB to come up with a new standard that would
overcome the problem of so much unbooked financial liability risk
due to derivative financial instruments. FAS 133 and IAS 39 got
complicated when standard setters tried to book the derivative
assets and liabilities on the balance sheet without impacting
current earnings for qualified effective hedges of financial risk.
When the FASB
issued FAS 133, The FASB and the SEC were concerned about unbooked
financial risk of every active derivative contract if the contract
was settled on the interim balance sheet date. When a contract like
an option is valued on a balance sheet date, its premature
settlement value that day may well be deemed ineffective relative to
the value of the hedged item. The reason is that derivative
contracts are traded in different markets (usually more speculative
markets) than commodities markets themselves (where buyers actually
use the commodities). But the hedging contracts deemed ineffective
on interim dates may not be ineffective at all across the long haul.
Usually they are perfectly effective on hedging maturity dates.
Temporal
ineffectiveness more often than not works itself out such that all
those gains and losses due to hedging ineffectiveness on particular
interim dates exactly wash out such there is no ultimate cash flow
gain or loss when the contracts are settled at maturity dates. I
attached an Excel workbook that explains how some commodities hedges
work out over time. The Graphing.xls file can also be downloaded
from http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Calgary/CD/FAS133OtherExcelFiles/ Note in particular the “Hedges” spreadsheet in that file. These
explain the outcomes at the settlement maturity dates that yield
perfect hedges. But at any date before maturity (not pictured in the
graphs), the hedges may not be perfect if settled prematurely on
interim balance sheet dates.
I illustrate the
accounting for ineffective interim hedges in both the 03forfut.pps
and 05options.ppt PowerPoint files at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Calgary/CD/JensenPowerPoint/ The hedges may deemed ineffective under FAS 133 at interim balance
sheet dates with gains and losses posted to current earnings.
However, over time the gains and losses perfectly offset such that
the hedges are perfectly effective when they are settled at maturity
dates.
The real problem
with FAS 133 is that compensation contracts are generally tied to
particular balance sheet dates where interim hedging contracts may
be deemed ineffective and thereby affect paychecks. But some of
those FAS 133 interim gains and losses may in fact never be realized
in cash over the life of the each commodity hedging contract.
What has to happen
is for management to be very up front about how FAS 133 and other
accounting standards may give rise to artificial gains and losses
that are never realized unless the hedging contracts are settled
prematurely on balance sheet dates. Compensation contracts should be
hammered out with that thought in mind rather than blindly basing
compensation contracts on bottom-line earnings that are mixtures of
apples, oranges, toads, and nails due to accounting standards.
Of course
management is caught in a bind because investors follow bottom-line
as the main indicator of performance of a company. The FASB
recognizes this problem and is now trying to work out a new standard
that will eliminate bottom-line reporting. The idea will be to
provide information for analysts to derive alternative bottom-line
numbers based upon what they want included and excluded in that
bottom line. XBRL may indeed make this much easier for investors and
analysts --- http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/XBRLandOLAP.htm
If I were working
out a compensation contract based on accounting numbers, I would
probably exclude FAS 133 unrealized gains and losses.
In any case, back
to your original question. I would love to work with management to
track a sampling of fuel price hedging contracts from beginning to
end. I would like to see what effectiveness tests were run on each
reporting date and how gains and losses offset over the life of each
examined contract. But this type of study cannot be run on
aggregated financial statements.
If I can study
some of those individual hedging contracts over time I would be most
interested. It will take your clout with management, however, to get
me this data. I have such high priors on the integrity of your
company's management that I seriously doubt that there is any
intentional manipulation going on witth FAS 133 implementation.
Rather I suspect that management is just trying to adhere as closely
as possible with FAS 133 rules. What I would like to do is help
enlighten the world about the bad things FAS 133 can do with
compensation contracts and investment decisions by users of
statements who really do not understand the temporal impacts of FAS
133 on bottom-line earnings.
I fear that my study would, however,
be mostly one of academic interest that I can report to the public.
Only an inside whistleblower could pinpoint hanky-pank within a
company, and I seriously doubt that your company is engaged in
disreputable FAS 133 hanky-pank beyond that of possibly not fully
explaining to unions how FAS 133 losses in general may be phantom
losses over the long haul.
Bob Jensen
Questions How are auditors dealing with fair market value accounting and credit market
issues?
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on October
19, 2007
SUMMARY: The
article discusses three papers issued by the Center for
Audit Quality on the recent issues in credit markets. The
topics included the use of market prices for hard-to-trade
securities and issues of banks' exposure to losses in
off-balance-sheet entities. Organization of the Center for
Audit Quality is discussed, along with reaction to the
purpose of this entity from Lynn Turner, former Chief
Accountant at the SEC, and an academic researcher at the
University of Tennessee, Joseph Carcello.
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: The article may be used to discuss the
current credit market issues in an auditing class as well as
a financial reporting class.
QUESTIONS: 1.) Based on discussions in the article and on information
at its web site (see http://thecaq.aicpa.org/) discuss the
purpose and organization of the Center for Audit Quality.
2.) What is self-regulation of the auditing profession? When
did auditors lose the ability to self-regulate?
3.) Some reactions described in this article are positive
about the role that is being played by the Center for Audit
Quality, while others are negative. Which view do you hold?
Support your position.
4.) Summarize concerns with the complexity of financial
reporting guidance in the U.S. How might the work from the
Center for Audit Quality contribute to that complexity? How
might its work alleviate the issue of complexity in
reporting standards?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
I would like to take this opportunity to let
you know about a forthcoming book from Routledge:
The Routledge Companion to Fair Value and
Financial Reporting ---
Click Here
Edited by Peter Walton
May 2007: 246x174: 406pp
Hb: 978-0-415-42356-4: £95.00 $170.00
Jensen Comment Even though I have a paper published in this book, I will receive no
compensation from sales of the book. And since I'm retired, lines on a
resume no longer matter.
A New Type of Intangible Investment (sort of not yet legal in the U.S.)
--- Litigation How should it be booked and carried in financial statements? I say "sort of" since this intangible asset might be buried (as Purchased
Goodwill") in acquisition prices when firms are purchased purchased or merged.
The notion of litigation as a separate asset class
is a novel one. It's hard to imagine fund managers one day allotting a bit of
their portfolio to third-party lawsuits, alongside shares, bonds, property and
hedge funds. But some wealthy investors are starting to dabble in lawsuit
investment, bankrolling some or all of the heavy upfront costs in return for a
share of the damages in the event of a win. The London-managed hedge fund MKM
Longboat last month revealed plans to invest $100million (£50.5million) to
finance European lawsuits. Today a new company, Juridica, floats on AIM, having
raised £80million to make litigation bets. "The law is now an asset class,"
The London Times, December 21, 2007 ---
http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/columnists/article3080766.ece
Jensen Comment Under U.S. GAAP, intangible assets are generally booked only when purchased and
are not conducive to fair value accounting afterwards. Probably the most serious
problem in both accounting theory and practice is unbooked value (and in many
cases undisclosed) of intangible assets and liabilities. Do the values of human
capital and knowledge capital ring a bell? Does the cost retraining the world's
workforce to use Office software other than Microsoft Office (Word, Excel,
PowerPoint, etc.) ring a bell?
Contingent liabilities (particularly pending lawsuits) are problematic until
the amount of the liability is both reasonably measurable and highly probable.
Until now, contingent litigation assets were not investment assets. Contingent
liabilities were booked as current or past expenses. Now purchased litigation
assets having future value? Horrors!
In the past when a company purchased another company, some of the "goodwill"
value above and beyond the traceable value to net tangible assets could easily
have been the value of future litigation such as when Blackboard acquired WebCT
and WebCT's patents on online education software. Patents and Copyrights may
have value with respect to fending off future competition.
But patents and copyrights may also have value in future litigation regarding
past infringements. Now hedge funds might invest in bringing litigation to
fruition.
Intangible assets and liabilities are, and will forever remain, the largest
problem in accounting theory and practice! In some cases, such as Microsoft
Corporation, booked assets are so miniscule relative to unbooked intangible
assets that the balance sheets are virtually a bad joke.
An enormous problem, besides the fact that current value of intangibles
cannot be counted, current value can change by enormous magnitudes overnight as
new discoveries are made and new legislation is passed, to say nothing of court
decisions. Tangible asset values can also change, but in general they are not as
volatile.
SFAS 141R (available on the FASB web site)
substantially changes the accounting for both contingent assets and
liabilities in connection with business combinations. In fact, 141R coupled
with SFAS 160 on noncontrolling interests makes major changes to both the
accounting for business combinations and the accounting for consolidation
procedures. While the new rules can't be applied until 2009, anyone teaching
advanced accounting or where ever else these topics are covered should throw
out their old lesson plans and be prepared to enter into an entirely new
world of accounting - not for the better in my humble opinion.
By the way, another interesting thing to read on
the FASB web site is the proposal to reduce the size of the FASB and make
some other changes to improve the standard-setting process. We celebrated
our family Christmas a few days ago because of travel plans and I'm working
on my comment letter to the Financial Accounting Foundation today.
What I found interesting about 141R is the
discussion in the appendices that showed both the FASB and IASB views and
how the Boards reached convergence.
141R also added a couple paragraphs to FIN 48 that
result in goodwill no longer being adjusted if the contingent tax liability
is increased or decreased. Instead the DR is to tax expense, which makes a
lot more sense to me. If I read the statement correctly, the purchased
assets and liabilities are stated at fair value under a recognition, then
measurement principle. Taxes are exempt from those two principles; instead
FAS 109/FIN 48 apply. What I couldn't tell is if the purchaser still has up
to one year (the maximum measurement period) to get the tax contingent
liability right before the DR goes to tax expense. Can anyone help me?
On December 4, 2007, the Financial Accounting
Standards Board issued FASB Statements No. 141 (revised 2007), Business
Combinations. The new standard requires the acquiring entity in a business
combination to recognize all (and only) the assets acquired and liabilities
assumed in the transaction; establishes the acquisition-date fair value as
the measurement objective for all assets acquired and liabilities assumed;
and requires the acquirer to disclose to investors and other users all of
the information they need to evaluate and understand the nature and
financial effect of the business combination. The revision of 141 is part of
the FASB's push toward "fair value," or mark-to market accounting.
Financial Week (December 10, 2007) reports
that Dennis Beresford, a former FASB chairman now serving on a Securities
and Exchange Commission advisory committee that is studying the U.S.
financial reporting system says “The rules will be difficult to apply and
will require companies and analysts to relearn a lot of things.” The article
goes on to say that the revisions to 141 “essentially extend the fair-value
requirements to new areas. That will increase the valuation work required of
corporate finance departments, and in some cases jack up the volatility of
reported earnings as various assets and liabilities are marked to market.”
As a person who's trained primarily in finance,
accounting rules sometimes look like they were designed by Monty Python.
Here's the latest installment - your company's credit rating drops, so
the market value of your liabilities fall. As a result, you show a
profit. This is what happened to some Wall Street firms recently. Read
the whole story
here. IMO, the best line in the
article is:
But Moody’s Investors Service said buyers
should beware of gains booked when brokers mark down their own debt
liabilities. “Moody’s does not consider such gains to be
high-quality, core earnings,” it said in a report issued Friday.
Ya think?
This is why we make all our Finance students
take four accounting classes before they graduate. That way, they'll see
these things often enough that they won't break out laughing.
Question Why am I not laughing? Is it because I taught accounting for 40 years?
Actually the fact that a lowered credit rating can lead to a realized
gain should make sense even to a finance professor. Consider the following
scenario:
I sell a bond and record a liability for $100,000 that matures in
ten years.
My credit rating gets lowered the next day.
I buy back the bond for $90,000 (the market value of the bond
declines because of my lowered credit rating)
I've made a $10,000 cash profit in one day because of a lowered
credit rating
I wonder if a finance professor can comprehend that this is a gain.
I wonder if Moody's can understand that this is a very high quality
earnings since its cash in the bank.
Now what if I don't sell the bond but adopt the fair value accounting
option for financial instruments under FAS 159. I did not realize a cash
profit if I still owe $100,000 when the bond eventually matures. But the
reason I report an unrealized holding gain follows the same logic as if I
bought back the bond today. That's what the "fair value option" under FAS
159 is all about.
If Moody's does not treat unrealized holding gains and losses as
high-quality, core earnings, more power to them.
Finance students who've taken four courses in accounting may not laugh
because they understand why sometimes credit rating gains are high quality
and sometimes low quality will not laugh because they understand why. But
they may not understand why their finance professor is laughing.
Bob Jensen's tutorials on fair value accounting are at the following
two links:
SUMMARY: The editors laud UBS AG and Citigroup "for
their announcements...that they'll soon take big
writedowns for their mortgage bets." They react this way
on the premise that "one question haunting the markets
during the subprime meltdown has been where the
financial bodies are buried." Similar reactions are
evident for UBS and Citigroup shareholders; the
companies' share prices both rose following the
announcements. The editors conclude by offering evidence
that credit markets are stabilizing and state that "by
being forthright now, the banks can aid the process of
bringing buyers back to the debt markets."
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article can be used to
cover write-downs due to impairment losses on mortgage
assets as well as to discuss debtholders as users of
financial markets. The situation also could be described
as a "big bath" write-down to clean house now while
times are bad in credit markets in general and, at least
for UBS, while corporate leadership is new.
QUESTIONS: 1.) In the opinion page article, the editors argue that
"marking asset to market is...better for the financial
system as a whole, rather than hiding losses on the
balance sheet and hoping for a rebound." What does this
statement mean? In your answer, define the terms
"historical cost" and "mark to market." Also, address
the notion that a loss could be included in a balance
sheet account.
2.) Refer to the related articles. What are the assets
on which losses were taken at UBS and Citigroup?
3.) Some might argue that the losses being recorded by
Citigroup and UBS AG constitute a "big bath" to pave the
way for improving reported results in the future. How
does a current writedown help to improve reported
results in the future? What current circumstances at
each of these firms and in the general economy might
allow for taking this approach to writedowns?
4.) Refer again to the opinion page article's conclusion
that reporting losses now "can aid the process of
bringing buyers back to the debt markets." Should
financial reporting have a specific outcome, such as
improving numbers of credit market participants, as its
objective? Support your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
To adopt FASB Statement no. 159, companies must comply with the
requirements of Statement no. 157, Fair Value
Measurements.
Companies and their auditors must consider whether the
use of fair value option accounting reflects a “substance over
form” decision by management rather than an effort to gain an
accounting result.
FASB has raised the bar for disclosure required when
the fair value option is in play so that financial statement
users will be able to clearly understand the extent to which the
option is utilized and how changes in fair values are being
reflected in the financial statements.
Companies are encouraged but not required to present
the fair value option disclosures in combination with the fair
value disclosures required in other accounting literature.
The guidance must be implemented on an
instrument-by-instrument basis and is irrevocable.
From the FASB: PROPOSED FASB STAFF POSITION No. FAS 157-a "Application of FASB Statement No. 157 to FASB Statement No. 13 and Its Related
Interpretive Accounting Pronouncements That Address Leasing Transactions" ---
http://www.fasb.org/fasb_staff_positions/prop_fsp_fas157-a.pdf
Objective
1. This FASB Staff Position (FSP)
amends FASB Statement No. 157,
Fair Value Measurements,
to exclude FASB Statement No. 13,
Accounting for Leases, and its related
interpretive accounting pronouncements that address leasing
transactions.
Background
2. The Exposure Draft preceding
Statement 157 proposed a scope exception for Statement 13 and other
accounting pronouncements that require fair value measurements for
leasing transactions. At that time, the Board was concerned that
applying the fair value measurement objective in the Exposure Draft to
leasing transactions could have unintended consequences, requiring
reconsideration of aspects of lease accounting that were beyond the
scope of the Exposure Draft.
3. However, respondents to the
Exposure Draft indicated that the fair value measurement objective for
leasing transactions was generally consistent with the fair value
measurement objective proposed by the Exposure Draft. Others in the
leasing industry subsequently affirmed that view. Based on that input,
the Board decided to include lease accounting pronouncements in the
scope of Statement 157.
4. Subsequent to the issuance
of Statement 157, which changed in some respects from the Exposure
Draft, constituents have raised issues stemming from the interaction
Proposed FSP on Statement 157 (FSP
FAS 157-a) 1 FSP FAS 157-a between the fair value measurement objective in Statement 13 and the
fair value measurement objective in Statement 157.
5. Constituents have noted that
paragraph 5(c)(ii) of Statement 13 provides an example of the
determination of fair value (an exit price) through the use of a
transaction price (an entry price). Constituents also have raised issues
about the application of the fair value measurement objective in
Statement 157 to estimated residual values of leased property. These
issues, as well as other issues related to the interaction between
Statement 13 and Statement 157, would result in a change in lease
accounting that requires considerations of lease classification criteria
and measurements in leasing transactions that are beyond the scope of
Statement 157 (for example, a change in lease classification for leases
that would otherwise be accounted for as direct financing leases).
6. The Board acknowledges that
the term
fair value
will be
left in Statement 13 although it is defined differently than in
Statement 157; however, the Board believes that lease accounting
provisions and the longstanding valuation practices common within the
leasing industry should not be changed by Statement 157 without a
comprehensive reconsideration of the accounting for leasing
transactions. The Board has on its agenda a project to comprehensively
reconsider the guidance in Statement 13 together with its subsequent
amendments and interpretations.
When do market investors become market makers? When "quants" become market makers instead of market players, it throws fair
value accounting into a turmoil.
The
subprime crisis has captured my attention, and on the chance that others
on this listserv are interested in this area, I am sending this email
about the paper, What Happened to the Quants in August 2007? I assumed
the hedge funds went down because of subprime investments, but it
appears that was just one of many possible causes. I would love to hear
what others think, particularly about the possibility of regulatory
reform (mentioned at the end below) ---
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1015987
The paper has 9011
abstract views and 4447 downloads. Looks like a lot of people are
interested in the hedge fund losses.
The paper is
fascinating. Its objective is to suggest reasons for the hedge fund
losses during the week of Aug 6, 2007. The funds were quantitative,
market-neutral funds. No major losses were reported in other hedge-fund
sectors. The paper compares August 1998 (think LTCM collapse) with
August 2007, and concludes the following:
In
August 1998, default of Russian government debt caused a flight to
quality that ultimately resulted in the demise of LTCM and many
other fixed-income arbitrage funds. This series of events caught
even the most experienced traders by surprise because of the
unrelated nature of Russian government debt and the broadly
diversified portfolios of some of the most successful fixed-income
arbitrage funds. Similarly, the events of August 2007 caught some of
the most experienced quantitative equity market-neutral managers by
surprise. But August 2007 may be far more significant because it
provides the first piece of evidence that problems in one corner of
the financial system - possibly the sub-prime mortgage sector and
related credit markets – can spill over so directly to a completely
unrelated corner: long/short equity strategies. This is precisely
the kind of ”shortcut" described in the theory of mathematical
networks that generates the “small-world phenomenon" of Watts (1999)
in which a small random shock in one part of the network can rapidly
propagate throughout the entire network.
The authors hypothesize an unwind of a large
long/short equity portfolio, most likely a quantitative equity
market-neutral portfolio.
Likely
factors contributing to the magnitude of the losses of this apparent
unwind were: (a) the enormous growth in assets devoted to long/short
equity strategies over the past decade and, more recently, to
various 130/30 and other active-extension strategies; (b) the
systematic decline in the profitability of quantitative equity
market-neutral strategies, due to increasing competition,
technological advances, and institutional and environmental changes
such as decimalization, the decline in retail order flow, and the
decline in equity-market volatility; (c) the increased leverage
needed to maintain the levels of expected returns required by
hedge-fund investors in the face of lower profitability; (d) the
historical liquidity of U.S. equity markets and the general lack of
awareness (at least prior to August 6, 2007) of just how crowded the
long/short equity category had become; and (e) the unknown size and
timing of new sub-prime-mortgage-related problems in credit markets,
which created a climate of fear and panic, heightening the risk
sensitivities of managers and investors across all markets and style
categories.
They also note that
the
timing of these losses - shortly after month-end of a very
challenging month for many hedge-fund strategies - is also
suggestive. The formal process of marking portfolios to market
typically takes several business days after month-end, and August
7-9 may well be the first time managers and investors were forced to
confront the extraordinary credit-related losses they suffered in
July, which may have triggered the initial unwind of their more
liquid investments, e.g., their equity portfolios, during this
period.
Question: FAS 115 requires investment
securities (actually only trading and available-for-sale
securities) to be marked to market, but what is
the driving force behind marking to market on a monthly basis?
Reporting to investors in the fund?
Do
the losses of August 2007 signal a breakdown in the basic economic
relationships that yield attractive risk/reward profiles for such
strategies, or is August 2007 an unavoidable and integral aspect of
those risk/reward profiles? An instructive thought experiment is to
consider a market-neutral portfolio strategy in which U.S. equities
with odd-numbered CUSIP identifiers are held long and those with
even-number CUSIPs are held short. Suppose such a portfolio strategy
is quite popular and a
number
of large hedge funds have implemented it. Now imagine that one of
these large hedge funds decides to liquidate its holdings because of
some liquidity shock. Regardless of this portfolio's typical
expected return during normal times, in the midst of a rapid and
large unwind, all such portfolios will experience losses, with the
magnitudes of those losses directly proportional to the size and
speed of the unwind. Moreover, it is easy to see how such an unwind
can generate losses for other types of portfolios, e.g., long-only
portfolios of securities with prime-number CUSIPs, dedicated
shortsellers that short only those securities with CUSIPs divisible
by 10, etc. If a portfolio is of sufficient size, and it is based on
a sufficiently popular strategy that is broadly implemented, then
unwinding even a small fraction of it can cascade into a major
market dislocation.
. . .
However,
a successful investment strategy should include an assessment of the
risk of ruin, and that risk should be managed appropriately.
Moreover, the magnitude of tail risk should, in principle, be
related to a strategy's expected return given the inevitable
trade-off between risk and reward. Therefore, it is disingenuous to
assert that “a strategy is successful except in the face of
25-standard-deviation events." Given the improbability of such
events, we can only conclude that either the actual distribution of
returns is extraordinarily leptokurtic, or the standard deviation is
time-varying and exhibits occasional spikes.
In
particular, as Montier (2007) observed, risk has become “endogenous"
in certain markets - particularly those that are recently flush with
large inflows of assets - which is one of the reasons that the
largest players can no longer assume that historical estimates of
volatility and price impact are accurate measures of current risk
exposures. Endogeneity is, in fact, an old economic concept
illustrated by the well-known theory of imperfect competition: if an
economic entity, or group of coordinated entities, is so large that
it can unilaterally affect prices by its own actions, then the
standard predictions of microeconomics under perfect competition no
longer hold. Similarly, if a certain portfolio strategy is so
popular that its liquidation can unilaterally affect the risks that
it faces, then the standard tools of basic risk models such as
Value-at-Risk and normal distributions no longer hold. In this
respect, quantitative models may have failed in August 2007 by not
adequately capturing the endogeneity of their risk exposures. Given
the size and interconnectedness of the hedge-fund industry, we may
require more sophisticated analytics to model the feedback implicit
in current market dynamics.
The authors commented several times on the lack
of transparency in the hedge fund market. I found the authors’ comments
on the need for possible regulatory reform interesting.
Given
the role that hedge funds have begun to play in financial markets -
namely, significant providers of liquidity and credit - they now
impose externalities on the economy that are no longer negligible.
In this respect, hedge funds are becoming more like banks. The fact
that the banking industry is so highly regulated is due to the
enormous social externalities banks generate when they succeed, and
when they fail. But unlike banks, hedge funds can decide to withdraw
liquidity at a moment's notice, and while this may be benign if it
occurs rarely and randomly, a coordinated withdrawal of liquidity
among an entire sector of hedge funds could have disastrous
consequences for the viability of the financial system if it occurs
at the wrong time and in the wrong sector.
November 23, 2007 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Amy,
Why do bankers resist expanding FAS 159 into required accounting for all
financial instruments? Misleading Financial Statements:
Bankers Refusing to Recognize and Shed "Zombie Loans" One worrying lesson for bankers and regulators
everywhere to bear in mind is post-bubble Japan. In the 1990s its leading
bankers not only hung onto their jobs; they also refused to recognise and
shed bad debts, in effect keeping “zombie” loans on their books. That is one
reason why the country's economy stagnated for so long. The quicker bankers
are to recognise their losses, to sell assets that they are hoarding in the
vain hope that prices will recover, and to make markets in such assets for
their clients, the quicker the banking system will get back on its feet. The Economist, as quoted in Jim Mahar's blog on November 10, 2007 ---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/
I personally think the driving forces behind FAS 115 were tendencies of
banks to not recognize those "zombie" investments and adequately disclose
highly likely losses. Firstly I might note that FAS 115 adjusts
available-for-sale (AFS) securities to fair value without impacting earnings
volatility except in the case of securities traders. According to Paragraph
86 of FAS 115, the FASB wanted to require fair value accounting for all
financial securities but got hung up on debt instruments (such as mortgage
debt) that more commonly are not AFS and more difficult to
mark-to-market (i.e. debt is often more difficult to value due to not being
traded with unique covenants and is more likely to be HTM,
held-to-maturity). The FASB justification for FAS 115 can be found in
Paragraphs 39-43, although the elaborations in Paragraphs 86-100 are
enlightening. IFRS requirements are similar, although penalties for
violating HTM classification are somewhat more onerous.
In that sense the comparison of the LTCM disaster in 1998 with the August
2007 downfall seems to hold some water. Although the big losers in both
instances were big and sophisticated investors who’re well aware of the
unique risks of unregulated hedge funds, the externalities affecting Main
Street (read that CREF investors) are very real. The LTCM fiasco could well
have brought down equity markets in all of Wall Street ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/FraudRotten.htm#LTCM
One of the hardcopy journals I read cover-to-cover each week is The
Economist on October 25, 2007. The following is one of my favorite
readable papers among the thousands of articles written about this
controversy ---
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10026288
WHEN markets wobbled in August, almost all the
media attention was focused on the credit crunch and the links to
American mortgage loans. But at exactly the same time, another crisis
was occurring at the core of the stockmarket.
This crisis stemmed from the obscure world of
quantitative, or quant-based, finance, which uses computer models to
find attractive stocks and to identify overpriced shares. Suddenly, in
August, the models went wrong.
The incident revealed a problem at the heart of
the financial system. In effect, the quant groups were acting as
marketmakers, trading so often (some are aiming for transaction times in
terms of milliseconds) that they set prices for everyone else. But
unlike traditional marketmakers, quant funds are not obliged to make
markets come rain or shine. And unlike marketmakers, they use a lot of
leverage. This means that instead of providing liquidity in a crisis,
the quants added to instability. There is a lesson there.
In a way, the crisis stemmed from the quants'
success. Many firms, such as the American hedge fund Renaissance
Technologies, had done fantastically well and had been able to charge
hefty fees. But if one firm can hire top mathematicians and use the
latest technology, so can others. An arms race developed, with some
trading faster and faster—even siting their computers closer to the
exchanges in order to cut the time it took orders to travel down the
wires.
And as the computers sifted through the data,
some strategies became overcrowded. A paper* by Amir Khandani and Andrew
Lo of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology back-tested a proxy for
a typical strategy, involving buying the previous day's losing stocks
and selling the winners. Such a strategy would have delivered a daily
return of 1.38% before (substantial) costs in 1995 but the return fell
steadily to 0.15% a day last year.
In the face of declining returns, the authors
reckon, the natural response of managers would have been to increase
leverage. But that, of course, increased their vulnerability when things
went wrong.
Both the MIT academics and a paper by Cliff
Asness of AQR Capital Management, a leading quant group, agree that
August's problems probably began when a diversified, or multi-strategy,
hedge fund experienced losses in the credit markets. The fund sought to
reduce its exposures but its credit positions were impossible to sell.
So it cut its quant positions instead, since that merely involved
selling highly liquid stocks.
However, that selling pressure caused other
quant funds to lose money as their favoured stocks fell in price. Those
that were leveraged were naturally forced to reduce their positions as
well. These waves of selling played havoc with the models. Quant
investors thought they were aware of the risks of their strategy and had
built diversified portfolios to avoid it. But the parts of the portfolio
that were previously uncorrelated suddenly fell in tandem.
In theory, quant funds could have been bold and
borrowed more; after all, the stocks they thought were cheap had become
even cheaper. The traders who took on the positions of Long-Term Capital
Management (LTCM), after the hedge fund failed in 1998, ended up making
money. But the example of LTCM, which went bust before it could be
proved right, argued in favour of a more cautious approach. “We could
have rolled the dice but that would have risked the business,” said one
quant-fund manager. “I don't know of anyone that did so.”
Avoiding that trap simply led quant investors
into another. On August 10th, the stocks that quants had favoured
suddenly rebounded. Those who had cut their positions most could not
benefit from the rally. That category clearly included Goldman Sachs's
Global Alpha hedge fund, which lost a remarkable 23% on the month.
If it were just a few hedge funds, backed by
rich people, losing money, it might not matter. But the funds had become
too important: rather than adding stability, as marketmakers are
supposed to do, they added volatility.
Quants will adjust their models and clients
will become more discerning; AQR's. Mr Asness says his firm will look
harder for “unique” factors, that is, not used by other fund managers.
But regulators should also reflect that markets are less stable than
they assumed. The presence of leveraged traders such as quants at their
heart means conditions can now turn, at the flick of a switch, from
stability to panic.
Question Will “Minsky Moments” become “Minsky Accounting?”
As both the FASB in the U.S. and the IASB international standards boards
march ever onward toward "fair value" accounting by replacing historical
costs with current values (mark-to-market accounting), it will plunge
corporate accountants and their CPA auditors ever deeper into current value
estimation. Financial statements will become increasingly volatile and
fictional with market movements. It is becoming clear that the efficient
markets hypothesis that drives much of the theory behind fair value
accounting is increasingly on shaky ground.
Especially problematic are moments in time like now (2007) when the
bubble burst on
subprime mortgage borrowing and investing that has caused tremors
throughout the world of banking and investing and risk sharing. And once
again, the ghost of long departed John Maynard Keynes seems to have risen
from the grave. There's material for a great
Stephen
King horror novel here.
It is time for accounting standard setters who set such new standards as
FAS 157 and FAS 159 to dust off some old economics books and seriously
consider whether they understand the theoretical underpinnings of new and
pending fair value standards moving closer to show time. You can read more
fair value accounting controversies in my work-in-process PowerPoint file
called 10FairValue.ppt at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Calgary/CD/JensenPowerPoint/
Aside from
badly mixing my metaphors here, the fundamental problem is that unrealized
fair values painting rosy financial performance (as the speculative roller
coaster rises with breath taking thrill toward the crest) become unrealized
losses as the roller coaster swoops downward toward “Minsky Moments.” It's a
fundamental problem in fair value accounting because an enormous portion of
reported earnings on the way up become sheer Minsky mincemeat (before
investments are sold and liabilities are not settled) and diabolical garbage
on the way down. In other words in these boom/bust market cycles, financial
statements (certified by independent auditors under new fair value
accounting standards) become increasingly hypothetical fantasy replacing
accustomed facts rooted in transactional accounting.
Fair value standard setters are plunging accounting into the realm of
economic theory that is itself less uncertain than astrology. It's time to
rethink some of that Chicago School economic theory that we've taken for
granted because of all the Nobel Prizes awarded to Chicago School
economists.
The recent market turmoil is rocking investors
around the globe. But it is raising the stock of one person: a
little-known economist whose views have suddenly become very popular.
Hyman Minsky, who died more than a decade ago, spent much of his
career advancing the idea that financial systems are inherently
susceptible to bouts of speculation that, if they last long enough, end
in crises. At a time when many economists were coming to believe in the
efficiency of markets, Mr. Minsky was considered somewhat of a radical
for his stress on their tendency toward excess and upheaval.
Today, his views are reverberating from New
York to Hong Kong as economists and traders try to understand what's
happening in the markets. The Levy Economics Institute of Bard College,
where Mr. Minsky worked for the last six years of his life, is planning
to reprint two books by the economist -- one on John Maynard Keynes, the
other on unstable economies. The latter book was being offered on the
Internet for thousands of dollars.
Christopher Wood, a widely read Hong Kong-based
analyst for CLSA Group, told his clients that recent cash injections by
central banks designed "to prevent, or at least delay, a 'Minsky
moment,' is evidence of market failure."
Indeed, the Minsky moment has become a
fashionable catch phrase on Wall Street. It refers to the time when
over-indebted investors are forced to sell even their solid investments
to make good on their loans, sparking sharp declines in financial
markets and demand for cash that can force central bankers to lend a
hand.
Mr. Minsky, who died in 1996 at the age of 77,
was a tall man with unruly hair who wore unpressed suits. He approached
the world as "one big research tank," says Diana Minsky, his daughter,
an art history professor at Bard. "Economics was an integrated part of
his life. It wasn't isolated. There wasn't a sense that work was
something he did at the office."
She recalls how, on a trip to a village in
Italy to meet friends, Mr. Minsky ended up interviewing workers at a
glove maker to understand how small-scale capitalism worked in the local
economy.
Although he was born in Chicago, Mr. Minsky
didn't have many fans in the "Chicago School" of economists, who
believed that markets were efficient. A follower of the economist John
Maynard Keynes, he died just before a decade of financial crises in
Asia, Russia, tech stocks, corporate credit and now mortgage debt, began
to lend credence to his ideas.
Following those periods of tumult, more
investors turned to the investment classic "Manias, Panics, and Crashes:
A History of Financial Crises," by Charles Kindleberger, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute
of Technology who leaned heavily on Mr. Minsky's work.
Mr. Kindleberger showed that financial crises
unfolded the way that Mr. Minsky said they would. Though a loyal
follower, Mr. Kindleberger described Mr. Minsky as "a man with a
reputation among monetary theorists for being particularly pessimistic,
even lugubrious, in his emphasis on the fragility of the monetary system
and its propensity to disaster."
At its core, the Minsky view was
straightforward: When times are good, investors take on risk; the longer
times stay good, the more risk they take on, until they've taken on too
much. Eventually, they reach a point where the cash generated by their
assets no longer is sufficient to pay off the mountains of debt they
took on to acquire them. Losses on such speculative assets prompt
lenders to call in their loans. "This is likely to lead to a collapse of
asset values," Mr. Minsky wrote.
When investors are forced to sell even their
less-speculative positions to make good on their loans, markets spiral
lower and create a severe demand for cash. At that point, the Minsky
moment has arrived.
"We are in the midst of a Minsky moment,
bordering on a Minsky meltdown," says Paul McCulley, an economist and
fund manager at Pacific Investment Management Co., the world's largest
bond-fund manager, in an email exchange.
The housing market is a case in point, says
Investment Technology Group Inc. economist Robert Barbera, who first met
Mr. Minsky in the late 1980s. When home buyers were expected to have a
down payment of 10% or 20% to qualify for a mortgage, and to provide
income documentation that showed they'd be able to make payments, there
was minimal risk. But as home prices rose, and speculators entered the
market, lenders relaxed their guard and began offering loans with no
money down and little or no documentation.
Once home prices stalled and, in many of the
more-speculative markets, fell, there was a big problem.
"If you're lending to home buyers with 20% down
and house prices fall by 2%, so what?" Mr. Barbera says. If most of a
lender's portfolio is tied up in loans to buyers who "don't put anything
down and house prices fall by 2%, you're bankrupt," he says.
Several money managers are laying claim to
spotting the Minsky moment first. "I featured him about 18 months ago,"
says Jeremy Grantham, chairman of GMO LLC, which manages $150 billion in
assets. He pointed to a note in early 2006 when he wrote that investors
had become too comfortable that financial markets were safe, and
consequently were taking on too much risk, just as Mr. Minsky predicted.
"Guinea pigs of the world unite. We have nothing to lose but our
shirts," he concluded.
It was Mr. McCulley at Pacific Investment,
though, who coined the phrase "Minsky moment" during the Russian debt
crisis in 1998.
I thought we could all enjoy the following Keynes
quotes:
1. "Capitalism is the astounding belief that the
most wickedest of men will do the most wickedest of things for the greatest
good of everyone."
2. How prophetic he was:
"The day is not far off when the economic problem
will take the back seat where it belongs, and the arena of the heart and the
head will be occupied or reoccupied, by our real problems / the problems of
life and of human relations, of creation and behavior and religion."
3. How wonderfully Keynes anticipated stuff in
games played by Bayesian players and stuff in self-fulfilling equilibria
(which yielded three "Nobel" prizes), all without introducing any
mathematics or economic mumbo jumbo:
"Successful investing is anticipating the
anticipations of others."
4. The accountics folks might enjoy the following:
"The difficulty lies not so much in developing new
ideas as in escaping from old ones."
"If economists could manage to get themselves
thought of as humble, competent people on a level with dentists, that would
be splendid."
"When the facts change, I change my mind. What do
you do, sir?"
5. This should thrill tax folks:
"The avoidance of taxes is the only intellectual
pursuit that still carries any reward."
Apparently no economist ever dies -- they just
come in and out of fashion. In George Akerlof's presidential address to
the AEA in January 2006 ("The Missing Motivation in Macroeconomics") he
concludes: "This lecture has shown that the early Keynesians got a great
deal of the working of the economic system right in ways that are denied
by the five neutralities (assumptions of the positivists).
As quoted from Keynes earlier, they based their
models on "our knowledge of human nature and from the detailed facts of
experience."" Thus the recent interest in "norms" by Shyam Sunder and
the urgency to provide "econonmic" explanations for "norms." So the very
FIRST plenary speaker at the, Joe Henrich, at the Chicago 2007 AAA
meeting, regaled us with his "evidence" that market integrated societies
produce people who are more trusting and fair- minded because people
from Missouri divide the spoils in a game that no one ever plays in
their real lives more equitably than a hunter- gatherer from New Guinea
for whom the game may have an entirely different meaning than someone
from St.Louis (a synchresis, perhaps).
Given that the integration of societies by
"markets" represents the blink of an eye in evolutionary time (even for
humans) one might consider that perhaps what makes Missourians different
from hunter- gatherers is that they come from a Christian tradition that
predates market integration by a couple thousand years (a tradition of
Christian agape?).
Linguists have long remarked that language is
impossible without trust (how else can I believe that words mean what I
am told they mean or how do I avoid starvation at birth unless I "trust"
my mother? We are born trusting). Yet we get this facile rendering with
regression equations of Adam Smith's argument stood completely on its
head. For Smith markets were a possibility only within a society that
was already integrated (in Smith's case by the kirk's dispositon of a
stern Calvanist morality).
Mike Royko (the columnist for the Chicago
Tribune) once opined that he had finally figured out economic theory, to
wit, "Economics says that almost anything can happen, and it usually
does." The end of history? I bet not.
May 17, 2006 message from Peter Walton
I would like to take this opportunity to
let you know about a forthcoming book from Routledge:
The Routledge Companion to Fair Value and
Financial Reporting ---
Click Here
Edited by Peter Walton
May 2007: 246x174: 406pp
Hb: 978-0-415-42356-4: £95.00 $170.00
Jensen Comment Even though I have a paper published in this book, I will receive no
compensation from sales of the book. And since I'm retired, lines on a
resume no longer matter.
FASB Statement No. 107 Disclosures about Fair Value of Financial Instruments (Issue Date 12/91) [Full Text][Summary][Status]
This Statement
extends existing fair value disclosure practices for some instruments by
requiring all entities to disclose the fair value of financial instruments,
both assets and liabilities recognized and not recognized in the statement
of financial position, for which it is practicable to estimate fair value.
If estimating fair value is not practicable, this Statement requires
disclosure of descriptive information pertinent to estimating the value of a
financial instrument. Disclosures about fair value are not required for
certain financial instruments listed in paragraph 8.
This Statement is
effective for financial statements issued for fiscal years ending after
December 15, 1992, except for entities with less than $150 million in total
assets in the current statement of financial position. For those entities,
the effective date is for fiscal years ending after December 15, 1995.
FASB Statement No. 115 Accounting for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities (Issue Date 5/93) [Full Text][Summary][Status]
This Statement
addresses the accounting and reporting for investments in equity securities
that have readily determinable fair values and for all investments in debt
securities. Those investments are to be classified in three categories and
accounted for as follows:
Debt securities
that the enterprise has the positive intent and ability to hold to maturity
are classified as held-to-maturity securities and reported at amortized
cost.
Debt and equity
securities that are bought and held principally for the purpose of selling
them in the near term are classified as trading securities and reported at
fair value, with unrealized gains and losses included in earnings.
Debt and equity
securities not classified as either held-to-maturity securities or trading
securities are classified as available-for-sale securities and reported at
fair value, with unrealized gains and losses excluded from earnings and
reported in a separate component of shareholders' equity.
This Statement
does not apply to unsecuritized loans. However, after mortgage loans are
converted to mortgage-backed securities, they are subject to its provisions.
This Statement supersedes FASB Statement No. 12, Accounting for Certain
Marketable Securities, and related Interpretations and amends FASB Statement
No. 65, Accounting for Certain Mortgage Banking Activities, to eliminate
mortgage-backed securities from its scope.
This Statement is
effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 1993. It is to be
initially applied as of the beginning of an enterprise's fiscal year and
cannot be applied retroactively to prior years' financial statements.
However, an enterprise may elect to initially apply this Statement as of the
end of an earlier fiscal year for which annual financial statements have not
previously been issued.
This Statement
establishes standards for reporting and display of comprehensive income and
its components (revenues, expenses, gains, and losses) in a full set of
general-purpose financial statements. This Statement requires that all items
that are required to be recognized under accounting standards as components
of comprehensive income be reported in a financial statement that is
displayed with the same prominence as other financial statements. This
Statement does not require a specific format for that financial statement
but requires that an enterprise display an amount representing total
comprehensive income for the period in that financial statement.
This Statement
requires that an enterprise (a) classify items of other comprehensive income
by their nature in a financial statement and (b) display the accumulated
balance of other comprehensive income separately from retained earnings and
additional paid-in capital in the equity section of a statement of financial
position.
This Statement is
effective for fiscal years beginning after December 15, 1997.
Reclassification of financial statements for earlier periods provided for
comparative purposes is required.
FASB Statement No. 133 and Amendments in FAS 137, 138, 149, and 155 Accounting for Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities (Issue Date 6/98) [Full Text][Summary][Status]
This Statement
establishes accounting and reporting standards for derivative instruments,
including certain derivative instruments embedded in other contracts,
(collectively referred to as derivatives) and for hedging activities. It
requires that an entity recognize all derivatives as either assets or
liabilities in the statement of financial position and measure those
instruments at fair value. If certain conditions are met, a derivative may
be specifically designated as (a) a hedge of the exposure to changes in the
fair value of a recognized asset or liability or an unrecognized firm
commitment, (b) a hedge of the exposure to variable cash flows of a
forecasted transaction, or (c) a hedge of the foreign currency exposure of a
net investment in a foreign operation, an unrecognized firm commitment, an
available-for-sale security, or a foreign-currency-denominated forecasted
transaction. The accounting for changes in the fair value of a derivative
(that is, gains and losses) depends on the intended use of the derivative
and the resulting designation.
For a derivative
designated as hedging the exposure to changes in the fair value of a
recognized asset or liability or a firm commitment (referred to as a fair
value hedge), the gain or loss is recognized in earnings in the period of
change together with the offsetting loss or gain on the hedged item
attributable to the risk being hedged. The effect of that accounting is to
reflect in earnings the extent to which the hedge is not effective in
achieving offsetting changes in fair value. For a derivative designated as
hedging the exposure to variable cash flows of a forecasted transaction
(referred to as a cash flow hedge), the effective portion of the
derivative's gain or loss is initially reported as a component of other
comprehensive income (outside earnings) and subsequently reclassified into
earnings when the forecasted transaction affects earnings. The ineffective
portion of the gain or loss is reported in earnings immediately. For a
derivative designated as hedging the foreign currency exposure of a net
investment in a foreign operation, the gain or loss is reported in other
comprehensive income (outside earnings) as part of the cumulative
translation adjustment. The accounting for a fair value hedge described
above applies to a derivative designated as a hedge of the foreign currency
exposure of an unrecognized firm commitment or an available-for-sale
security. Similarly, the accounting for a cash flow hedge described above
applies to a derivative designated as a hedge of the foreign currency
exposure of a foreign-currency-denominated forecasted transaction. For a
derivative not designated as a hedging instrument, the gain or loss is
recognized in earnings in the period of change. Under this Statement, an
entity that elects to apply hedge accounting is required to establish at the
inception of the hedge the method it will use for assessing the
effectiveness of the hedging derivative and the measurement approach for
determining the ineffective aspect of the hedge. Those methods must be
consistent with the entity's approach to managing risk.
This Statement
applies to all entities. A not-for-profit organization should recognize the
change in fair value of all derivatives as a change in net assets in the
period of change. In a fair value hedge, the changes in the fair value of
the hedged item attributable to the risk being hedged also are recognized.
However, because of the format of their statement of financial performance,
not-for-profit organizations are not permitted special hedge accounting for
derivatives used to hedge forecasted transactions. This Statement does not
address how a not-for-profit organization should determine the components of
an operating measure if one is presented.
This Statement
precludes designating a nonderivative financial instrument as a hedge of an
asset, liability, unrecognized firm commitment, or forecasted transaction
except that a nonderivative instrument denominated in a foreign currency may
be designated as a hedge of the foreign currency exposure of an unrecognized
firm commitment denominated in a foreign currency or a net investment in a
foreign operation.
This Statement
amends FASB Statement No. 52, Foreign Currency Translation, to permit
special accounting for a hedge of a foreign currency forecasted transaction
with a derivative. It supersedes FASB Statements No. 80, Accounting for
Futures Contracts, No. 105, Disclosure of Information about Financial
Instruments with Off-Balance-Sheet Risk and Financial Instruments with
Concentrations of Credit Risk, and No. 119, Disclosure about Derivative
Financial Instruments and Fair Value of Financial Instruments. It amends
FASB Statement No. 107, Disclosures about Fair Value of Financial
Instruments, to include in Statement 107 the disclosure provisions about
concentrations of credit risk from Statement 105. This Statement also
nullifies or modifies the consensuses reached in a number of issues
addressed by the Emerging Issues Task Force.
This Statement is
effective for all fiscal quarters of fiscal years beginning after June 15,
1999. Initial application of this Statement should be as of the beginning of
an entity's fiscal quarter; on that date, hedging relationships must be
designated anew and documented pursuant to the provisions of this Statement.
Earlier application of all of the provisions of this Statement is
encouraged, but it is permitted only as of the beginning of any fiscal
quarter that begins after issuance of this Statement. This Statement should
not be applied retroactively to financial statements of prior periods.
Question How should you account for this one?
Fair value
accounting under FAS 141? Yeah right!
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review, January 18,
2008
TOPICS: Advanced Financial
Accounting, Banking, Mergers and Acquisitions
SUMMARY: The article describes
the process of due diligence used by Bank of America and its
ultimate reasoning in deciding to offer to acquire
Countrywide Funding. "Terms of the deal call for Bank of
America, the largest U.S. bank by market value, to give
0.1822 shares of Bank of America for each share of
Countrywide. The deal could be renegotiated if Countrywide
experiences a material change that adversely affects its
business, but Mr. [Kenneth D.] Lewis [CEO of Bank America]
said he does not anticipate that happening....Bank of
America is buying a deeply troubled company, and it faces
the risk that Countrywide's assets could continue
deteriorating. As of Sept. 30, Countrywide's savings bank
held about $79.5 billion of loans as investments.
Three-quarters of those loans were second-lien home-equity
loans...or option adjustable-rate mortgages....Overdue
payments by Countrywide borrowers are surging....
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Introducing
the acquisition process in business combinations, and the
business combination as a solution to the problem of a
struggling bank, is the best use of this article, though
other topics such as the SEC's interest in Countrywide's
loan loss reserves also are discussed.
QUESTIONS: 1.) What is "due diligence"? How long did it take Bank of
America to complete its due diligence prior to making an
offer to Countrywide Financial Corp.?
2.) How would Bank of America's analysts model how its
portfolio of loans is likely to perform in the future?
Describe the components of these models.
3.) How do you think the results of analysts' modeling
impact the negotiations between Bank of America and
Countrywide? How do you think they impact the accounting for
the transaction when it is completed later this spring?
4.) How does fact that Countrywide has a book value of
approximately $12 billion, triple the $4 billion price to
Bank of America, provide a "cushion for potential damages,
settlements and other litigation costs involving mortgages
that went bad"?
5.) Why is the SEC concerned with whether Countrywide has
"...set aside enough reserves to cover potential losses on
the loans on its books"? In your answer, define the term
"reserves" as it is used in this quote and give other words
preferred by accountants for this item.
6.) What are the terms of the offer made by Bank of America?
In your answer, be sure to address the issue of a
contingency in the offer.
7.) If the contingency described in the article were to come
to pass, what would be its impact on the accounting for the
business combination?
8.) What other factors besides the performance of
Countrywide's current loan portfolio are likely to impact
the success of the acquisition and the mortgage lending
operations in the future?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University
of Rhode Island
Tom Selling in his Accounting Onion Blog has a
really nice piece on January 24, 2008 entitled "Peeling the Onion on the New
Business Combination Standards: FAS 141R and FAS 160" ---
This post examines the onion
skin, if you will, of the new business combination standards. I'm going to
explain the differences between the so-called 'purchase' method of
accounting and the new 'acquisition' method. As is my habit, let's begin
with a simple example.
Assume that ParentCo
acquires 70% of the outstanding shares of SubCo for $1,000. Additional facts
are as follows:
ParentCo estimates that the
fair value of 100% of SubCo is $1,405: You should note that the fair value
of SubCo may not ordinarily be calculated by extrapolating the purchase
price paid to the remaining shares outstanding (i.e., $1,000/70% = $1,429 is
not ordinarily the fair value). The reason is that a portion of the purchase
price contains a payment for the ability to exercise control. In this case,
the control premium would be $55, calculated as follows: ($1000 -
.7($1405))/(1-.7) = $55
It may be difficult to
estimate the control premium, because it may have to be derived from an
estimate of the full fair value of the acquired company, as above. But the
new requirement to do so has not been controversial. That's because the
larger the control premium, the lower will be goodwill. The book value of
SubCo's assets and liabilities approximate their book value, except for one
asset with a remaining useful life of 10 years. For that asset, the fair
value exceeds the book value by $100.
Tom then launches into a great analysis of
this illustration.
This
Statement changes the subsequent accounting for goodwill and
other intangible assets in the following significant
respects:
Acquiring entities usually integrate acquired entities
into their operations, and thus the acquirers'
expectations of benefits from the resulting synergies
usually are reflected in the premium that they pay to
acquire those entities. However, the transaction-based
approach to accounting for goodwill under Opinion 17
treated the acquired entity as if it remained a
stand-alone entity rather than being integrated with the
acquiring entity; as a result, the portion of the
premium related to expected synergies (goodwill) was not
accounted for appropriately. This Statement adopts a
more aggregate view of goodwill and bases the accounting
for goodwill on the units of the combined entity into
which an acquired entity is integrated (those units are
referred to as reporting units).
Opinion 17 presumed that goodwill and all other
intangible assets were wasting assets (that is, finite
lived), and thus the amounts assigned to them should be
amortized in determining net income; Opinion 17 also
mandated an arbitrary ceiling of 40 years for that
amortization. This Statement does not presume that those
assets are wasting assets. Instead, goodwill and
intangible assets that have indefinite useful lives will
not be amortized but rather will be tested at least
annually for impairment. Intangible assets that have
finite useful lives will continue to be amortized over
their useful lives, but without the constraint of an
arbitrary ceiling.
Previous standards provided little guidance about how to
determine and measure goodwill impairment; as a result,
the accounting for goodwill impairments was not
consistent and not comparable and yielded information of
questionable usefulness. This Statement provides
specific guidance for testing goodwill for impairment.
Goodwill will be tested for impairment at least annually
using a two-step process that begins with an estimation
of the fair value of a reporting unit. The first step is
a screen for potential impairment, and the second step
measures the amount of impairment, if any. However, if
certain criteria are met, the requirement to test
goodwill for impairment annually can be satisfied
without a remeasurement of the fair value of a reporting
unit.
In
addition, this Statement provides specific guidance on
testing intangible assets that will not be amortized for
impairment and thus removes those intangible assets from
the scope of other impairment guidance. Intangible
assets that are not amortized will be tested for
impairment at least annually by comparing the fair
values of those assets with their recorded amounts.
This Statement requires disclosure of information about
goodwill and other intangible assets in the years
subsequent to their acquisition that was not previously
required. Required disclosures include information about
the changes in the carrying amount of goodwill from
period to period (in the aggregate and by reportable
segment), the carrying amount of intangible assets by
major intangible asset class for those assets subject to
amortization and for those not subject to amortization,
and the estimated intangible asset amortization expense
for the next five years.
FASB Statement No. 155 Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial Instruments—an amendment of FASB
Statements No. 133 and 140 (Issue Date 02/06) [Full Text][Summary][Status]
This Statement
amends FASB Statements No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and
Hedging Activities, and No. 140, Accounting for Transfers and Servicing of
Financial Assets and Extinguishments of Liabilities. This Statement resolves
issues addressed in Statement 133 Implementation Issue No. D1, “Application
of Statement 133 to Beneficial Interests in Securitized Financial Assets.”
This Statement:
Permits fair
value remeasurement for any hybrid financial instrument that contains an
embedded derivative that otherwise would require bifurcation
Clarifies which
interest-only strips and principal-only strips are not subject to the
requirements of Statement 133
Establishes a
requirement to evaluate interests in securitized financial assets to
identify interests that are freestanding derivatives or that are hybrid
financial instruments that contain an embedded derivative requiring
bifurcation
Clarifies that
concentrations of credit risk in the form of subordination are not embedded
derivatives
Amends Statement
140 to eliminate the prohibition on a qualifying special-purpose entity from
holding a derivative financial instrument that pertains to a beneficial
interest other than another derivative financial instrument.
Reasons for
Issuing This Statement
In January 2004,
the Board added this project to its agenda to address what had been
characterized as a temporary exemption from the application of the
bifurcation requirements of Statement 133 to beneficial interests in
securitized financial assets.
Prior to the
effective date of Statement 133, the FASB received inquiries on the
application of the exception in paragraph 14 of Statement 133 to beneficial
interests in securitized financial assets. In response to the inquiries,
Implementation Issue D1 indicated that, pending issuance of further
guidance, entities may continue to apply the guidance related to accounting
for beneficial interests in paragraphs 14 and 362 of Statement 140. Those
paragraphs indicate that any security that can be contractually prepaid or
otherwise settled in such a way that the holder of the security would not
recover substantially all of its recorded investment should be subsequently
measured like investments in debt securities classified as
available-for-sale or trading under FASB Statement No. 115, Accounting for
Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities, and may not be classified
as held-to-maturity. Further, Implementation Issue D1 indicated that holders
of beneficial interests in securitized financial assets that are not subject
to paragraphs 14 and 362 of Statement 140 are not required to apply
Statement 133 to those beneficial interests until further guidance is
issued.
How the Changes
in This Statement Improve Financial Reporting
This Statement
improves financial reporting by eliminating the exemption from applying
Statement 133 to interests in securitized financial assets so that similar
instruments are accounted for similarly regardless of the form of the
instruments. This Statement also improves financial reporting by allowing a
preparer to elect fair value measurement at acquisition, at issuance, or
when a previously recognized financial instrument is subject to a
remeasurement (new basis) event, on an instrument-by-instrument basis, in
cases in which a derivative would otherwise have to be bifurcated. Providing
a fair value measurement election also results in more financial instruments
being measured at what the Board regards as the most relevant attribute for
financial instruments, fair value.
Effective Date
and Transition
This Statement
is effective for all financial instruments acquired or issued after the
beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins after September 15,
2006. The fair value election provided for in paragraph 4(c) of this
Statement may also be applied upon adoption of this Statement for hybrid
financial instruments that had been bifurcated under paragraph 12 of
Statement 133 prior to the adoption of this Statement. Earlier adoption is
permitted as of the beginning of an entity’s fiscal year, provided the
entity has not yet issued financial statements, including financial
statements for any interim period for that fiscal year. Provisions of this
Statement may be applied to instruments that an entity holds at the date of
adoption on an instrument-by-instrument basis.
At adoption, any
difference between the total carrying amount of the individual components of
the existing bifurcated hybrid financial instrument and the fair value of
the combined hybrid financial instrument should be recognized as a
cumulative-effect adjustment to beginning retained earnings. The
cumulative-effect adjustment should be disclosed gross (that is, aggregating
gain positions separate from loss positions) determined on an
instrument-by-instrument basis. Prior periods should not be restated.
This Statement
defines fair value, establishes a framework for measuring fair value in
generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), and expands disclosures
about fair value measurements. This Statement applies under other accounting
pronouncements that require or permit fair value measurements, the Board
having previously concluded in those accounting pronouncements that fair
value is the relevant measurement attribute. Accordingly, this Statement
does not require any new fair value measurements. However, for some
entities, the application of this Statement will change current practice.
Reason for
Issuing This Statement
Prior to this
Statement, there were different definitions of fair value and limited
guidance for applying those definitions in GAAP. Moreover, that guidance was
dispersed among the many accounting pronouncements that require fair value
measurements. Differences in that guidance created inconsistencies that
added to the complexity in applying GAAP. In developing this Statement, the
Board considered the need for increased consistency and comparability in
fair value measurements and for expanded disclosures about fair value
measurements.
Differences
between This Statement and Current Practice
The changes to
current practice resulting from the application of this Statement relate to
the definition of fair value, the methods used to measure fair value, and
the expanded disclosures about fair value measurements.
The definition of
fair value retains the exchange price notion in earlier definitions of fair
value. This Statement clarifies that the exchange price is the price in an
orderly transaction between market participants to sell the asset or
transfer the liability in the market in which the reporting entity would
transact for the asset or liability, that is, the principal or most
advantageous market for the asset or liability. The transaction to sell the
asset or transfer the liability is a hypothetical transaction at the
measurement date, considered from the perspective of a market participant
that holds the asset or owes the liability. Therefore, the definition
focuses on the price that would be received to sell the asset or paid to
transfer the liability (an exit price), not the price that would be paid to
acquire the asset or received to assume the liability (an entry price).
This Statement
emphasizes that fair value is a market-based measurement, not an
entity-specific measurement. Therefore, a fair value measurement should be
determined based on the assumptions that market participants would use in
pricing the asset or liability. As a basis for considering market
participant assumptions in fair value measurements, this Statement
establishes a fair value hierarchy that distinguishes between (1) market
participant assumptions developed based on market data obtained from sources
independent of the reporting entity (observable inputs) and (2) the
reporting entity’s own assumptions about market participant assumptions
developed based on the best information available in the circumstances
(unobservable inputs). The notion of unobservable inputs is intended to
allow for situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for
the asset or liability at the measurement date. In those situations, the
reporting entity need not undertake all possible efforts to obtain
information about market participant assumptions. However, the reporting
entity must not ignore information about market participant assumptions that
is reasonably available without undue cost and effort.
This Statement
clarifies that market participant assumptions include assumptions about
risk, for example, the risk inherent in a particular valuation technique
used to measure fair value (such as a pricing model) and/or the risk
inherent in the inputs to the valuation technique. A fair value measurement
should include an adjustment for risk if market participants would include
one in pricing the related asset or liability, even if the adjustment is
difficult to determine. Therefore, a measurement (for example, a
“mark-to-model” measurement) that does not include an adjustment for risk
would not represent a fair value measurement if market participants would
include one in pricing the related asset or liability.
This Statement
clarifies that market participant assumptions also include assumptions about
the effect of a restriction on the sale or use of an asset. A fair value
measurement for a restricted asset should consider the effect of the
restriction if market participants would consider the effect of the
restriction in pricing the asset. That guidance applies for stock with
restrictions on sale that terminate within one year that is measured at fair
value under FASB Statements No. 115, Accounting for Certain Investments in
Debt and Equity Securities, and No. 124, Accounting for Certain Investments
Held by Not-for-Profit Organizations.
This Statement
clarifies that a fair value measurement for a liability reflects its
nonperformance risk (the risk that the obligation will not be fulfilled).
Because nonperformance risk includes the reporting entity’s credit risk, the
reporting entity should consider the effect of its credit risk (credit
standing) on the fair value of the liability in all periods in which the
liability is measured at fair value under other accounting pronouncements,
including FASB Statement No. 133, Accounting for Derivative Instruments and
Hedging Activities.
This Statement
affirms the requirement of other FASB Statements that the fair value of a
position in a financial instrument (including a block) that trades in an
active market should be measured as the product of the quoted price for the
individual instrument times the quantity held (within Level 1 of the fair
value hierarchy). The quoted price should not be adjusted because of the
size of the position relative to trading volume (blockage factor). This
Statement extends that requirement to broker-dealers and investment
companies within the scope of the AICPA Audit and Accounting Guides for
those industries.
This Statement
expands disclosures about the use of fair value to measure assets and
liabilities in interim and annual periods subsequent to initial recognition.
The disclosures focus on the inputs used to measure fair value and for
recurring fair value measurements using significant unobservable inputs
(within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy), the effect of the measurements
on earnings (or changes in net assets) for the period. This Statement
encourages entities to combine the fair value information disclosed under
this Statement with the fair value information disclosed under other
accounting pronouncements, including FASB Statement No. 107, Disclosures
about Fair Value of Financial Instruments, where practicable.
The guidance in
this Statement applies for derivatives and other financial instruments
measured at fair value under Statement 133 at initial recognition and in all
subsequent periods. Therefore, this Statement nullifies the guidance in
footnote 3 of EITF Issue No. 02-3, “Issues Involved in Accounting for
Derivative Contracts Held for Trading Purposes and Contracts Involved in
Energy Trading and Risk Management Activities.” This Statement also amends
Statement 133 to remove the similar guidance to that in Issue 02-3, which
was added by FASB Statement No. 155, Accounting for Certain Hybrid Financial
Instruments.
How the
Conclusions in This Statement Relate to the FASB’s Conceptual Framework
The framework for
measuring fair value considers the concepts in FASB Concepts Statement No.
2, Qualitative Characteristics of Accounting Information. Concepts Statement
2 emphasizes that providing comparable information enables users of
financial statements to identify similarities in and differences between two
sets of economic events.
The definition of
fair value considers the concepts relating to assets and liabilities in FASB
Concepts Statement No. 6, Elements of Financial Statements, in the context
of market participants. A fair value measurement reflects current market
participant assumptions about the future inflows associated with an asset
(future economic benefits) and the future outflows associated with a
liability (future sacrifices of economic benefits).
This Statement
incorporates aspects of the guidance in FASB Concepts Statement No. 7, Using
Cash Flow Information and Present Value in Accounting Measurements, as
clarified and/or reconsidered in this Statement. This Statement does not
revise Concepts Statement 7. The Board will consider the need to revise
Concepts Statement 7 in its conceptual framework project.
The expanded
disclosures about the use of fair value to measure assets and liabilities
should provide users of financial statements (present and potential
investors, creditors, and others) with information that is useful in making
investment, credit, and similar decisions—the first objective of financial
reporting in FASB Concepts Statement No. 1, Objectives of Financial
Reporting by Business Enterprises.
FASB
Statement No. 159 The Fair Value Option
for Financial Assets and Financial Liabilities—Including an
amendment of FASB Statement No. 115 (Issue Date 02/07) [Full Text][Summary][Status]
Why Is the FASB
Issuing This Statement?
This Statement
permits entities to choose to measure many financial instruments and certain
other items at fair value. The objective is to improve financial reporting
by providing entities with the opportunity to mitigate volatility in
reported earnings caused by measuring related assets and liabilities
differently without having to apply complex hedge accounting provisions.
This Statement is expected to expand the use of fair value measurement,
which is consistent with the Board’s long-term measurement objectives for
accounting for financial instruments.
What Is the Scope
of This Statement—Which Entities Does It Apply to and What Does It Affect?
This Statement
applies to all entities, including not-for-profit organizations. Most of the
provisions of this Statement apply only to entities that elect the fair
value option. However, the amendment to FASB Statement No. 115, Accounting
for Certain Investments in Debt and Equity Securities, applies to all
entities with available-for-sale and trading securities. Some requirements
apply differently to entities that do not report net income.
The following are
eligible items for the measurement option established by this Statement:
Recognized
financial assets and financial liabilities except:
An investment in
a subsidiary that the entity is required to consolidate
An interest in a
variable interest entity that the entity is required to consolidate
Employers’ and
plans’ obligations (or assets representing net overfunded positions) for
pension benefits, other postretirement benefits (including health care and
life insurance benefits), postemployment benefits, employee stock option and
stock purchase plans, and other forms of deferred compensation arrangements,
as defined in FASB Statements No. 35, Accounting and Reporting by Defined
Benefit Pension Plans, No. 87, Employers’ Accounting for Pensions, No. 106,
Employers’ Accounting for Postretirement Benefits Other Than Pensions, No.
112, Employers’ Accounting for Postemployment Benefits, No. 123 (revised
December 2004), Share-Based Payment, No. 43, Accounting for Compensated
Absences, No. 146, Accounting for Costs Associated with Exit or Disposal
Activities, and No. 158, Employers’ Accounting for Defined Benefit Pension
and Other Postretirement Plans, and APB Opinion No. 12, Omnibus Opinion—1967
Financial assets
and financial liabilities recognized under leases as defined in FASB
Statement No. 13, Accounting for Leases (This exception does not apply to a
guarantee of a third-party lease obligation or a contingent obligation
arising from a cancelled lease.)
Deposit
liabilities, withdrawable on demand, of banks, savings and loan
associations, credit unions, and other similar depository institutions
Financial
instruments that are, in whole or in part, classified by the issuer as a
component of shareholder’s equity (including “temporary equity”). An example
is a convertible debt security with a noncontingent beneficial conversion
feature.
Firm commitments
that would otherwise not be recognized at inception and that involve only
financial instruments
Nonfinancial
insurance contracts and warranties that the insurer can settle by paying a
third party to provide those goods or services
Host financial
instruments resulting from separation of an embedded nonfinancial derivative
instrument from a nonfinancial hybrid instrument.
How Will This
Statement Change Current Accounting Practices?
The fair value
option established by this Statement permits all entities to choose to
measure eligible items at fair value at specified election dates. A business
entity shall report unrealized gains and losses on items for which the fair
value option has been elected in earnings (or another performance indicator
if the business entity does not report earnings) at each subsequent
reporting date. A not-for-profit organization shall report unrealized gains
and losses in its statement of activities or similar statement.
The fair value
option:
May be applied
instrument by instrument, with a few exceptions, such as investments
otherwise accounted for by the equity method
Is irrevocable
(unless a new election date occurs)
Is applied only
to entire instruments and not to portions of instruments.
How Does This
Statement Contribute to International Convergence?
The fair value
option in this Statement is similar, but not identical, to the fair value
option in IAS 39, Financial Instruments: Recognition and Measurement. The
international fair value option is subject to certain qualifying criteria
not included in this standard, and it applies to a slightly different set of
instruments.
What Is the
Effective Date of This Statement?
This Statement is
effective as of the beginning of an entity’s first fiscal year that begins
after November 15, 2007. Early adoption is permitted as of the beginning of
a fiscal year that begins on or before November 15, 2007, provided the
entity also elects to apply the provisions of FASB Statement No. 157, Fair
Value Measurements.
No entity is
permitted to apply this Statement retrospectively to fiscal years preceding
the effective date unless the entity chooses early adoption. The choice to
adopt early should be made after issuance of this Statement but within 120
days of the beginning of the fiscal year of adoption, provided the entity
has not yet issued financial statements, including required notes to those
financial statements, for any interim period of the fiscal year of adoption.
This Statement permits
application to eligible items existing at the effective date (or early
adoption date).
Many other U.S. and International Standards directly or indirectly impact
on fair value accounting! In particular international IAS 32 and IAS 39
require fair value accounting in many circumstances.
This site has great sections on corporate finance, investments,
valuation, spreadsheets, research, etc. For example, take a look at the
helpers on valuation ---
http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/%7Eadamodar/
You can pick the valuation approach that you would like to go to, to
see illustrations, solutions and other supporting material.
Discounted Cashflow Valuation
Relative Valuation
Option Pricing Approaches to Valuation
Acquisition Valuation
EVA, CFROI and other Value Enhancement Strategies
Or you can pick the material that you are interested in.
SUMMARY: On 9/15/2006, the FASB issued Statement of Financial Accounting
Standards No. 157, Fair Value Measurements. The standard "...provides
enhanced guidance for using fair value to measure assets and liabilities.
The standard also responds to investors' requests for expanded information
about the extent to which companies measure assets and liabilities at fair
value, the information used to measure fair value, and the effect of fair
value measurements on earnings." (Source: FASB News Release available on
their web site at http://www.fasb.org/news/nr091506.shtml) This new standard
must be used as guidance whenever reporting entities use fair value to
measure value assets and liabilities as a required or acceptable method of
applying GAAP.
QUESTIONS: 1.) What is the purpose of issuing Statement of Financial Accounting
Standards No. 157? In your answer, describe how this standard should help to
alleviate discrepancies in practice. To help answer this question, you may
access the FASB's own news release about the standard, available at http://www.fasb.org/news/nr091506.shtml
or the new standard itself, available on the FASB's web site.
2.) From your own knowledge, cite an example in which fair value is used
to measure an asset or liability in corporate balance sheets. Why is fair
value an appropriate measure for including these assets and liabilities in
corporate balance sheets?
3.) What is the major difficulty with using fair values for financial
reporting that is cited in the article?
4.) Define the term "historical cost." Name two flaws with the use of
historical costs, one cited in the article and one based on your own
knowledge. Be sure to explain the flaw clearly.
5.) How does this standard help to alleviate the issue described in
answer to question 3? Again, you may access the FASB's web site, and the
news release in particle, to answer this question.
6.) The article closes with a statement that "The FASB hopes to counter
some of [the issues cited in the article] by expanding disclosures required
for all balance sheet items measure at fair value..." What could be the
possible problem with that requirement?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Accounting rule makers have wrapped up an
overhaul of a tricky but important method of valuing corporate assets,
despite some critics' warning that the change could reopen the door to
abuses like those seen at Enron Corp.
The overhaul, contained in an accounting
standard that could be issued as early as today, will repeal a ban put
in place after Enron collapsed into bankruptcy court in late 2001 amid
an array of accounting irregularities. The ban prohibited companies
immediately booking gains or losses from complex financial instruments
whose real value may not be known for years.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board's new
rule will require companies to base "fair" values for certain items on
what they would fetch from a sale in an open market to a third party. In
the past, firms often would use internal models to determine the value
of instruments that didn't have a readily available price.
FASB prohibited that practice after Enron used
overly optimistic models to value multiyear power contracts in a bid to
pad earnings. The ban was meant to give the board time to come up with a
new approach to determining fair values.
The accounting rule makers say the new standard
will give companies, auditors and investors much needed, and more
nuanced, guidance on how to measure market values. Companies will have
to think, "it's not my own estimate of what something is worth to me,
but what the market would demand for this," said Leslie Seidman, an FASB
member. While clarifying how to come up with appropriate values for some
instruments, the new standard doesn't expand the use of what is known as
fair-value accounting.
Critics say the new rule reopens the door to
manipulation and possibly fraud by unscrupulous managers. Requiring
market values for instruments where there isn't a ready price in a
market can be "a license for management to invent the financial
statements to be whatever they want them to be," Damon Silvers,
associate general counsel for the AFL-CIO, said at a meeting of an FASB
advisory group this spring.
Jousting over the standard reflects a deep rift
within accounting circles. For decades, accounting values were mostly
based on historical cost, or what a company paid for a particular asset.
In recent years, accounting rules have moved toward the use of market
values, known as fair-value accounting. In some ways this reflects the
shift in the U.S. from a manufacturing to a service economy, where
intangible assets are more important than the plant and equipment that
previously defined a company's financial strength.
Starting in the mid-1980s, companies also began
using ever-more-complicated financial instruments such as futures,
options and swaps to manage interest-rate, currency and other risks.
Such contracts often can't be measured based on their cost. This spurred
the use of market values, thought to be more realistic. But these values
can be tough to determine because many complex financial instruments are
tailor-made and don't trade on open markets in the same way as stocks.
Of course, valuations based on historical cost
also have flaws. The savings-and-loan crisis of the late 1980s, for
example, was prompted in part by thrifts carrying loans on their balance
sheets at historical cost, even though the loans had plummeted in value.
Robert Herz, the FASB's chairman, acknowledges
the difficulty in coming up with a market, or fair, value for many
instruments. In discussions, he often asks how a company could
reasonably be expected to come up with a fair value for a 30-year swap
agreement on the Thai currency, the baht, which is a bet on the future
value of that currency against another.
The answer, according to Mr. Herz and the FASB,
is to base the value on what a willing third-party would pay in the
market and possibly include a discount to reflect the uncertainty
inherent in the approach.
In an interview earlier this year, Mr. Herz
said this valuation approach would reduce the likelihood of a recurrence
of problems such as those seen at Enron. "The problem wasn't that Enron
was using fair values, it was that they were using 'unfair' values," he
said.
Still, "the bottom line is that fair-value
accounting is a great thing so long as you have market values," said J.
Edward Ketz, an associate accounting professor at Pennsylvania State
University, who is working on a book about the FASB's new standard. "If
you don't, you get into some messy areas."
The FASB hopes to counter some of these issues
by expanding disclosures required for all balance-sheet items measured
at fair value, the board's Ms. Seidman said.
October 15, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
The original 157 Exposure Draft proposed a Fair Value Option (FVO)
that would have allowed carrying of virtually any financial asset or
liability at fair value rather than just limiting fair value accounting
to selected items that are now required to be carried at fair value
rather than historical cost. Business firms, and especially banks,
generally are against fair value accounting (due to reporting
instabilities that arise from fair value adjustments prior to contract
settlements). The FASB backed off of the FVO when it issued FAS 157,
thereby relegating FAS 157 to a standard that clarifies definitions of
fair value in various circumstances. Hence FAS 157 is largely semantic
and does not change the present fair value accounting rules.
I asked Paul Pacter (at Deloitte in Hong Kong where he's still very
active in helping to set IFRS and FASB standards) for an update on the
FVO Project (commenced in 2004) that failed to impact the new FAS 157
standard. His reply is below.
Yes, FASB's FV Option (FVO) t is very much
active -- an ED on phase 1 was issued in January, and a final FAS is
expected before year end.
Phase 1 addresses creating an FVO for
financial assets and financial liabilities.
Phase 2 addresses creating an FVO for
selected nonfinancial items.
Thus phase 2 would go beyond IFRSs, though
several IFRSs have FV options for individual types of assets. IAS 16 and
IAS 38 allow it for PP&E and intangibles -- though the credit is to
surplus, not P&L, no recycling, subsequent depreciation of revalued
amounts. IAS 40 gives a FV option for investment property -- FV through
P&L. IAS 41 isn't an option, it's a requirement for FV through P&L for
agricultural assets.
Phase 2 would commence in 2007.
Re possible amendment to FAS 157, I don't think
FASB plans to do that, though I suppose there might be some
consequential amendment. But I don't think the FVO will change the
definition of fair value that's in FAS 157.
Here's FASB's web page: http://www.fasb.org/project/fv_option.shtml
Warm regards,
Paul
Bob Jensen's threads on fair value accounting are at various other links:
Introduction I have decided to begin a commentary which expresses my views on accounting.
As I begin to do this I envisage the source of my commentary to comprise
three different sorts of writing in which I may engage: § Simple notes directly to the ‘blog’ such as this. § Formal submissions I may make to various bodies including the IASB. § Letters or reports I may write for one reason or another that I think
might have some general readership.
The expression of my views will stray from the subject matter of accounting
per se to deal with matters of enormous significance to me such as corporate
or public administration. Such expressions will not be too substantial a
digression from the core subject matter because I believe that the
foundation of good ‘corporate governance’, to use a vogue term, is
accounting.
Source of my ideas on accounting I would have to confess that the foundation upon which I base my philosophy
of accounting is derivative, as much of human knowledge is of course. It is
not for nothing that Newtown said that if he can see so far it is because he
stands on the shoulders of giants. In my case, that ‘giant’ is Yuiji Ijiri.
As I begin a detailed exposition of my views I shall return to the lessons I
learned many years ago from Theory of Accounting Measurement, a neglected
work that will still be read in 1,000 years or so long as humankind survives
whichever is the shorter. As the depredations of the standard setting craze
are visited upon us with ever increasing complexity, the message delivered
by Ijiri will be heeded more an more.
The basic structure of accounting Without wishing to be too philosophical about it, I need to begin by
outlining what I mean by accounting. Accounting, in my mind, comprises three
inter-related parts. These are: § Book-keeping. § Accounting. § Financial reporting.
Book-keeping is the process of recording financial data elements in the
underlying books of account. These financial data elements represent, or
purport to represent, real world events. The heart of book-keeping is the
double entry process. For instance at the most basic level a movement in
cash will result in the surrender or receipt of an asset, the incurring or
settlement of a liability and so on.
I have no complete and coherent theory of the limits of book-keeping.
Clearly cash movement (change of ownership) or the movement of commodity is
the proper subject matter of book-keeping. Whether all forms of contract
should be similarly treated is not clear to me. I am inclined to say yes.
That is to adopt Ijiri’s theory of commitment accounting, but I can foresee
that this leads me to conclusions that I may find unpalatable later on.
Incidentally I say this because an epiphany I had, based on the notion of
commitment accounting, some years ago is beginning to unravel.
Book-keeping goes beyond recording to encompass control. That is the process
by which the integrity of the centre piece of book-keeping – the general
ledger expressing double entry – is ensured. I will not concern myself with
such processes though this is not to say that they are unimportant.
Accounting is the process by which sense is made of what is a raw record
expressed in the general ledger. It is the process of distillation and
summation that enables the accountant to gain on overview of what has
happened to the entity the subject of the accounting. Accounting
fundamentally assumes that the accountant is periodically capable of saying
something useful about the real world using his or her special form of
notation.
Financial reporting is the process by which data is assembled into a
comprehensive view of the world in accordance with a body of rules. It
differs, in the ideal, from accounting in a number of ways. Most benignly it
differs, for instance, by including ancillary information for the benefit of
a reader beyond the mere abstraction from the general ledger. Again in the
ideal there is an inter-relationship between the three levels in the
accounting hierarchy. That is, the rules of financial reporting will, to
some degree shape the order and format of the basic, book-keeping level so
that the process of distillation and summation follows naturally to the
final level of reporting without dramatic alteration.
Perhaps what concerns me is that the sentiment expressed above can be seen,
without much effort, to be only ideal and that in reality it does not arise.
In short the golden strand that links the detailed recording of real world
phenonmena to its final summation is broken.
An example I was asked recently by a student of accounting to explain IAS 41, the IASB
standard on agriculture. As I don’t deal in primary production at all, I had
not thought about this subject for years.
IAS 41 admonishes the accountant to apply ‘fair value’ accounting. Fair
value accounting is the process by which current sale prices, or their
proxies, are substituted for the past cost of any given item.
For instance, you may have a mature vineyard. The vineyard comprises land,
the vine and its fruit, the plant necessary to sustain the vine (support
structures, irrigation channels etc.). Subsumed within the vine are the
materials necessary for it to grow and start producing fruit. This will
include the immature plant, the chemical supplements necessary to nurture
and protect it, and the labour necessary to apply it.
The book-keeping process will faithfully record all of these components.
Suppose for example the plant, fertliser and labour cost $1000. In the books
will be recorded:
Dr Vineyard $1000 Cr Cash $1000
At the end of the accounting period, the accountant will summarise this is a
balance statement. He or she will then obtain, in some way, the current
selling price of the vine. Presumably this will be the future cash stream of
selling the fruit, suitably discounted. Assume that this is $1200.
The accountant will then make the following incremental adjustment:
Dr Vineyard $200 Cr Equity $200
Looked like this there is a connection between the original book-keeping and
the periodic adjustment at the end of the accounting period. This is an
illusion. The incremental entry disguises what is really happening. It is as
follows:
Dr Equity $1000 Cr Vineyard $1000
And
Dr Vineyard $1200 Cr Equity $1200
Considered from the long perspective, the original book-keeping has been
discarded and a substitute value put in its place. This is the truth of the
matter. The subject matter of the first phase of accounting was a set of
events arising in a bank and in the entity undertaking accounting. The
subject matter of the second phase is a set of future sales to a party who
does not yet exist.
From a perspective of solvency determination, a vital element of corporate
governance, the view produced by the first phase is next to useless.
However, the disquiet I had in my mind which I had suppressed until
recently, relates to the shattering of the linkages between the three levels
of accounting in the final reporting process. This disquiet has returned as
I contemplate the apparently unstoppable momentum of the standard setting
process.
October 28, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Robert,
I hope you add many more entries to your blog.
The problem with "original book-keeping" is that it provides
no answer how to account for risk of many modern day contracts that were not
imagined when "original book-keeping" evolved in a simple world of
transactions. For example, historical costs of forward contracts and swaps
are zero and yet these contracts may have risks that may outweigh all the
recorded debt under "original book-keeping." Once we opened the door to fair
value accounting to better account for risk, however, we opened the door to
misleading the public that booked fair value adjustments can be aggregated
much like we sum the current balances of assets and liabilities on the
balance sheet. Such aggregations are generally nonsense.
I don't know if you saw my recent hockey analogy or not. It
goes as follows:
Goal Tenders versus Movers and Shakers Skate to where the puck is going, not to where it is.
Wayne Gretsky (as quoted for many years by Jerry Trites at
http://www.zorba.ca/ )
Jensen Comment This may be true for most hockey players and other movers and shakers, but for
goal tenders the eyes should be focused on where the puck is at every moment ---
not where it's going. The question is whether an accountant is a goal tender
(stewardship responsibilities) or a mover and shaker (part of the managerial
decision making team). This is also the essence of the debate of historical
accounting versus pro forma accounting.
Graduate student Derek Panchuk and professor Joan
Vickers, who discovered the Quiet Eye phenomenon, have just completed the most
comprehensive, on-ice hockey study to determine where elite goalies focus their
eyes in order to make a save. Simply put, they found that goalies should keep
their eyes on the puck. In an article to be published in the journal Human
Movement Science, Panchuk and Vickers discovered that the best goaltenders rest
their gaze directly on the puck and shooter's stick almost a full second before
the shot is released. When they do that they make the save over 75 per cent of
the time. "Keep your eyes on the puck," PhysOrg, October 26, 2006 ---
http://physorg.com/news81068530.html
I have written a more serious piece about both theoretical
and practical problems of fair value accounting. I should emphasize that
this was written after the FASB Exposure Draft proposing fair value
accounting as an option for all financial instruments and the culminating
FAS 157 that is mainly definitional and removed the option to apply fair
value accounting to all financial instruments even though it is still
required in many instances by earlier FASB standards.
My thoughts on this are at the following two links:
I shall continue to write if for no other reason
than for myself. I have had it in mind to write a book. I shall begin doing
so this way.
Robert
October 30, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
I have difficulty envisioning forward contracts as “executory contracts.”
These appear to be to be executed contracts that are terminated when the
cash finally flows.
Fair value appears to be the only way to book forward contracts if they
are to be booked at all, although fair value on the date they are signed is
usually zero.
I guess what I’d especially like you to address is the problem of
aggregation in a balance sheet or income statement based upon heterogeneous
measurements.
Bob Jensen
Bob Jensen's threads on fair value accounting are at various other links:
Fair value is the
estimated best disposal (exit, liquidation) value in any sale other than a
forced sale. It is defined as follows in Paragraph 540 on Page 243 of
FAS 133:
The amount at which an asset
(liability) could be bought (incurred) or sold (settled) in a current
transaction between willing parties, that is, other than in a forced or
liquidation sale. Quoted market prices in active markets are the best
evidence of fair value and should be used as the basis for the measurement,
if available. If a quoted market price is available, the fair value is the
product of the number of trading units times that market price. If a quoted
market price is not available, the estimate of fair value should be based on
the best information available in the circumstances. The estimate of fair
value should consider prices for similar assets or similar liabilities and
the results of valuation techniques to the extent available in the
circumstances. Examples of valuation techniques include the present value of
estimated expected future cash flows using discount rates commensurate with
the risks involved, option- pricing models, matrix pricing, option-adjusted
spread models, and fundamental analysis. Valuation techniques for
measuring assets and liabilities should be consistent with the objective of
measuring fair value. Those techniques should incorporate assumptions that
market participants would use in their estimates of values, future revenues,
and future expenses, including assumptions about interest rates, default,
prepayment, and volatility. In measuring forward contracts, such as foreign
currency forward contracts, at fair value by discounting estimated future
cash flows, an entity should base the estimate of future cash flows on the
changes in the forward rate (rather than the spot rate). In measuring
financial liabilities and nonfinancial derivatives that are liabilities at
fair value by discounting estimated future cash flows (or equivalent
outflows of other assets), an objective is to use discount rates at which
those liabilities could be settled in an arm's-length transaction.
This is
old news, but it does provide some questions for students to ponder.The main problem of fair value adjustment is that many ((most?) of the
adjustments cause enormous fluctuations in earnings, assets, and liabilities
that are washed out over time and never realized.
The
main advantage is that interim impacts that “might be” realized are
booked.It’s a war between
“might be” versus “might never.”The
war has been waging for over a century with respect to booked assets and two
decades with respect to unbooked derivative instruments, contingencies, and
intangibles.
CFA analysts' group favors full fair value reporting The CFA Centre for Financial Market Integrity – a
part of the CFA Institute – has published a new financial reporting model
that, they believe, would greatly enhance the ability of financial analysts
and investors to evaluate companies in making investment decisions. The
Comprehensive Business Reporting Model proposes 12 principles to ensure that
financial statements are relevant, clear, accurate, understandable, and
comprehensive (See below). "Analysts' group favours full fair value reporting," IAS Plus,
October 31, 2005 ---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
CFA Institute Centre for Financial Market
Integrity Comprehensive Business Reporting Model –
Principles
1. The company must be viewed from the
perspective of a current investor in the
company's common equity.
2. Fair value information is the only
information relevant for financial decision
making.
3. Recognition and disclosure must be
determined by the relevance of the
information to investment decision making
and not based upon measurement reliability
alone.
4. All economic transactions and events
should be completely and accurately
recognized as they occur in the financial
statements.
5. Investors' wealth assessments must
determine the materiality threshold.
6. Financial reporting must be neutral.
7. All changes in net assets must be
recorded in a single financial statement,
the Statement of Changes in Net Assets
Available to Common Shareowners.
8. The Statement of Changes in Net Assets
Available to Common Shareowners should
include timely recognition of all changes in
fair values of assets and liabilities.
9. The Cash Flow Statement provides
information essential to the analysis of a
company and should be prepared using the
direct method only.
10. Changes affecting each of the financial
statements must be reported and explained on
a disaggregated basis.
11. Individual line items should be reported
based upon the nature of the items rather
than the function for which they are used.
12. Disclosures must provide all the
additional information investors require to
understand the items recognized in the
financial statements, their measurement
properties, and risk exposures.
Standards of Value: Theory and Applications Standards of Value covers the underlying assumption
in many of the prominent standards of value, including Fair Market Value,
investment value, and fair value. It discusses the specific purposes of the
valuation, including divorce, shareholders' oppression, financial reporting, and
how these standards are applied. Standards of Value: Theory and Applications, by Jay E. Fishman,
Shannon P. Pratt, William J. Morrison Wiley: ISBN: 0-471-69483-5 Hardcover
368 pages November 2006 US $95.00) ---
http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0471694835.html
Much has changed in financial reporting since
Andrew Fastow and Scott Sullivan, the finance chiefs of Enron and
WorldCom, respectively, brought disgrace upon themselves, their
employers, and, to a degree, their profession. Regulators and investors
have pressed companies to be more open and forthcoming about their
results — and companies have responded. According to a new CFO magazine
survey, 82 percent of public-company finance executives disclose more
information in their financial statements today then they did three
years ago. But that positive finding won't quell calls for further
accounting reform.
The U.S. reporting system "faces a number of
important and difficult challenges," Robert Herz, chairman of the
Financial Accounting Standards Board, told the annual conference of the
American Institute of Certified Public Accountants in Washington, D.C.,
last December. Chief among those, said Herz, is "the need to reduce
complexity and improve the transparency and overall usefulness" of
information reported to investors. ad
Critics contend that generally accepted
accounting principles (GAAP) remain seriously flawed, even as companies
have beefed up internal controls to comply with the Sarbanes-Oxley Act.
"We've done very little but play defense for the last five to six
years," charges J. Michael Cook, chairman and CEO emeritus of Deloitte &
Touche LLP. "It's time to play offense."
Cook, a respected elder statesman in the
accounting community, goes so far as to pronounce financial statements
almost completely irrelevant to financial analysis as currently
conducted. "The analyst community does workarounds based on numbers that
have very little to do with the financial statements," says Cook. "Net
income is a virtually useless number."
How can financial statements become more
relevant and useful? Many reformers, including Herz, believe that
fair-value accounting must be part of the answer. In this approach,
which FASB increasingly favors, assets and liabilities are marked to
market rather than recorded on balance sheets at historical cost.
Fair-value accounting, say its advocates, would give users of financial
statements a far clearer picture of the economic state of a company.
"I know what an asset is. I can see one, I can
touch one, or I can see representations of one. I also know what
liabilities are," says Thomas Linsmeier, a Michigan State University
accounting professor who joined FASB in June. On the other hand, "I
believe that revenues, expenses, gains, and losses are accounting
constructs," he adds. "I can't say that I see a revenue going down the
street. And so for me to have an accounting model that captures economic
reality, I think the starting point has to be assets and liabilities."
More than any other regulatory change, fair
value promises to end the practice of earnings management. That's
because a company's earnings would depend more on what happens on its
balance sheet than on its income statement (see "The End of Earnings
Management?" at the end of this article).
But switching from historical cost would
require enormous effort from overworked finance departments. Valuing
assets in the absence of active markets could be overly subjective,
making financial statements less reliable. Linsmeier's confidence
notwithstanding, disputes could arise over the very definition of
certain assets and liabilities. And using fair value could even distort
a company's approach to deal-making and capital structure.
A Familiar Concept Fair value is by no means
unfamiliar to corporate-finance executives, as current accounting rules
for such items as derivatives (FAS 133 and 155), securitizations (FAS
156), and employee stock option grants (FAS 123R) use it to varying
degrees when recording assets and liabilities. So does a proposal issued
last January for another rule, this one for accounting for all financial
instruments. FASB's more recent proposals to include pensions and leases
on balance sheets also embrace fair-value measurement (see "Be Careful
What You Wish For" at the end of this article).
While both Herz and Linsmeier are careful to
note that they don't necessarily favor the application of fair value to
assets and liabilities that lack a ready market, they clearly advocate
its application where there's sufficient reason to believe the
valuations are reliable. Corporate accounting, Herz says, is the only
major reporting system that doesn't use fair value as its basis, and he
points to the Federal Reserve's use of it in tracking the U.S. economy
as sufficient reason for companies to adopt it.
The corporate world, however, must grapple with
its own complexities. For one, fair value could make it even more
difficult to realize value from acquisitions. Take the question of
contingent considerations, wherein the amount that acquirers pay for
assets ultimately depends on their return. Under current GAAP, the
balance-sheet value of assets that are transferred through such earnouts
may reflect only the amount exchanged at the time the deal is completed,
because the acquirer has considerable leeway in treating subsequent
payments as expenses.
Under fair value, the acquirer would also
include on its balance sheet the present value of those contingent
payments based on their likelihood of materializing. Since the money may
never materialize, some finance executives contend those estimates could
be unreliable and misleading. "I disagree with [this application of fair
value] on principle," James Barge, senior vice president and controller
for Time Warner, said during a conference on financial reporting last
May. ad
Barge cites the acquisition of intangible
assets that a company does not intend to use as a further example of
fair value's potentially worrisome effects. Under current GAAP, their
value is included in goodwill and subject to annual impairment testing
for possible write-off. But if, as FASB is contemplating, the value of
those assets would be recorded on the balance sheet along with that of
the associated tangible assets that were acquired, Barge worries that an
immediate write-off would then be required — even though it would not
reflect the acquiring company's economics.
Fair value's defenders say such concerns are
misplaced. The possibility that a contingent consideration won't
materialize, for starters, is already reflected in an acquirer's bid,
says Patricia McConnell, a Bear Stearns senior managing director who
chairs the corporate-disclosure policy council of the CFA Institute, a
group for financial analysts. "It's in the price," she says.
As for intangibles that are acquired and then
extinguished, the analyst says a write-off would not in fact be required
under fair value if the transaction strengthens the acquirer's market
position. That position would presumably be reflected in the value of
the assets associated with those intangibles as recorded on the balance
sheet under fair-value treatment.
"It may be in buying a brand to gain
monopolistic position that you don't have an expense," McConnell
explains, "but rather you have the extinguishment of one asset and the
creation of another." Yet McConnell, among others, admits that
accounting for intangibles is an area that would need improvement even
if FASB adopted fair value.
Deceptive Debt? Another area of concern
involves capital structure, with Barge suggesting that fair value may
make it more difficult to finance growth with debt. He contends that
marking a company's debt to market could make a company look more highly
exposed to interest-rate risk than it really is, noting during the May
conference that Time Warner's debt was totally hedged.
Barge also cited as problematic the
hypothetical case of a company whose creditworthiness is downgraded by
the rating agencies. By marking down the debt's value on its balance
sheet, the company would realize more income, a scenario Barge called
"nonsensical." He warned of a host of such effects arising under fair
value when a company changes its capital structure.
Proponents find at least some of the complaints
about fair value and corporate debt to be misplaced. Herz notes fair
value would require the company to mark the hedge as well as the debt to
market, so that if a company is hedging interest-rate risk effectively,
its balance sheet should accurately reflect its lack of any exposure.
What's more, fair value could also improve
balance sheets in some cases. When, for instance, a company owns an
interest in another whose results it need not consolidate, the equity
holder's proportion of the other company's assets and liabilities is
currently carried at historical cost. If, however, the other company's
assets have gained value and were marked to market, the equity holder's
own leverage might decrease.
A real-life case in point: If the chemical
company Valhi marked to market its 39 percent stake in Titanium Metals,
Valhi's own ratio of long-term debt to equity would fall from 90 percent
(at the end of 2005) to 56 percent, according to Jack T. Ciesielski,
publisher of The Analyst's Accounting Observer newsletter. ad
Still, even some fair-value proponents share
Barge's concern about credit downgrades. As Ciesielski, a member of
FASB's Emerging Issues Task Force, wrote last April in a report on the
board's proposal for the use of fair value for financial instruments, it
is "awfully counterintuitive" for a company to show rising earnings when
its debt-repayment capacity is declining.
Herz and other fair-value proponents disagree,
noting that the income accrues to the benefit of the shareholders, not
to bondholders. "It's not at all counterintuitive," asserts Rebecca
McEnally, director for capital-markets policy of the CFA Institute
Centre for Financial Market Integrity, citing the fact that the item is
classified under GAAP as "income from forgiveness of indebtedness." But
Ciesielski says investors are unlikely to understand that, and that fair
value, in this case at least, may not produce useful results.
Resolving the Issues Even some of FASB's
critics agree, however, that the current system needs improvement, and
that fair value can help provide it. "Fair value in general is more
relevant than historical cost and can lead to reduced complexity and
greater transparency," Barge admits, though he has noted that the use of
fair value may also lead to "soft" results that "you can't audit."
For much the same reason, Colleen Cunningham,
president and CEO of Financial Executives International (FEI), expressed
concern in testimony before Congress last March that "overly theoretical
and complex standards can result in financial reporting of questionable
accuracy and can create a significant cost burden, with little benefit
to investors." In an interview, she explains that her biggest concern is
that FASB is pushing ahead with fair-value-based rules without
sufficient input from preparers. "Let's resolve the issues" before
proceeding, she insists.
Herz concedes that numerous issues surrounding
fair value need to be addressed. But important users of financial
statements are pressing him to move forward on fair value without delay.
As a comment letter that the CFA Institute sent to FASB put it: "All
financial decision-making should be based on fair value, the only
relevant measurement for assets, liabilities, revenues, and expenses."
Meanwhile, Herz isn't waiting for the
conceptual framework to be completed before enacting new rules that
embrace fair value. "In the end, we're not going to get everybody
agreeing," Herz says. "So we have to make decisions" despite lingering
disagreement.
Ironically, one fair-value-based proposal that
FASB issued recently may have created an artful means of defusing
opposition. The Board's proposal for financial instruments gives
preparers of financial reports the choice of using historical cost or
fair value in recording the instruments on their balance sheets. That
worries some people, who say giving companies a choice of methods will
make it harder to compare their results, even when they're in the same
industry.
The Modigliani-Miller theorem (of Franco
Modigliani, Merton Miller) forms the basis for modern thinking on capital
structure. The basic theorem states that, in the absence of taxes,
bankruptcy costs, and asymmetric information, and in an efficient market,
the value of a firm is unaffected by how that firm is financed.[1] It does
not matter if the firm's capital is raised by issuing stock or selling debt.
It does not matter what the firm's dividend policy is. Therefore, the
Modigliani-Miller theorem is also often called the capital structure
irrelevance principle.
Modigliani was awarded the 1985 Nobel Prize in
Economics for this and other contributions.
Miller was awarded the 1990 Nobel Prize in
Economics, along with Harry Markowitz and William Sharpe, for their "work in
the theory of financial economics," with Miller specifically cited for
"fundamental contributions to the theory of corporate finance."
Abstract:
This paper examines which leverage factors are consistently important for
capital structure decisions of firms around the world. The most reliable
determinants are past leverage, tangibility, firm size, research and
development, depreciation expenses, industry median leverage, and liquidity.
The signs of the reliable determinants give consistent support to the
dynamic trade off theory. The impact of leverage factors on capital
structure are systematically driven by cross-country differences in the
quality of institutions that affect bankruptcy costs, agency costs, tax
benefits of debt, agency costs of equity, and information asymmetry costs.
The late Nobel laureate Merton Miller and I,
although good friends, long debated whether this kind of capital-structure
management is an essential job of corporate leaders. Miller believed that
capital structure was not important in valuing a company's securities or the
risk of investing in them. My belief -- first stated 40 years ago in a graduate
thesis and later confirmed by experience -- is that capital structure
significantly affects both value and risk. The optimal capital structure evolves
constantly, and successful corporate leaders must constantly consider six
factors -- the company and its management, industry dynamics, the state of
capital markets, the economy, government regulation and social trends. When
these six factors indicate rising business risk, even a dollar of debt may be
too much for some companies.
Michael Milken, "Why Capital Structure Matters Companies that repurchased
stock two years ago are in a world of hurt," The Wall Street Journal,
April 21, 2009 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124027187331937083.html
Thirty-five years ago business publications
were writing that major money-center banks would fail, and quoted investors
who said, "I'll never own a stock again!" Meanwhile, some state and local
governments as well as utilities seemed on the brink of collapse. Corporate
debt often sold for pennies on the dollar while profitable, growing
companies were starved for capital.
If that all sounds familiar today, it's worth
remembering that 1974 was also a turning point. With financial institutions
weakened by the recession, public and private markets began displacing banks
as the source of most corporate financing. Bonds rallied strongly in
1975-76, providing underpinning for the stock market, which rose 75%. Some
high-yield funds achieved unleveraged, two-year rates of return approaching
100%.
The accessibility of capital markets has grown
continuously since 1974. Businesses are not as dependent on banks, which now
own less than a third of the loans they originate. In the first quarter of
2009, many corporations took advantage of low absolute levels of interest
rates to raise $840 billion in the global bond market. That's 100% more than
in the first quarter of 2008, and is a typical increase at this stage of a
market cycle. Just as in the 1974 recession, investment-grade companies have
started to reliquify. Once that happens, the market begins to open for
lower-rated bonds. Thus BB- and B-rated corporations are now raising capital
through new issues of equity, debt and convertibles.
This cyclical process today appears to be
where it was in early 1975, when balance sheets began to improve and
corporations with strong capital structures started acquiring others. In a
single recent week, Roche raised more than $40 billion in the public markets
to help finance its merger with Genentech. Other companies such as Altria,
HCA, Staples and Dole Foods, have used bond proceeds to pay off short-term
bank debt, strengthening their balance sheets and helping restore bank
liquidity. These new corporate bond issues have provided investors with
positive returns this year even as other asset groups declined.
The late Nobel laureate Merton Miller and I,
although good friends, long debated whether this kind of capital-structure
management is an essential job of corporate leaders. Miller believed that
capital structure was not important in valuing a company's securities or the
risk of investing in them.
My belief -- first stated 40 years ago in a
graduate thesis and later confirmed by experience -- is that capital
structure significantly affects both value and risk. The optimal capital
structure evolves constantly, and successful corporate leaders must
constantly consider six factors -- the company and its management, industry
dynamics, the state of capital markets, the economy, government regulation
and social trends. When these six factors indicate rising business risk,
even a dollar of debt may be too much for some companies.
Over the past four decades, many companies
have struggled with the wrong capital structures. During cycles of credit
expansion, companies have often failed to build enough liquidity to survive
the inevitable contractions. Especially vulnerable are enterprises with
unpredictable revenue streams that end up with too much debt during business
slowdowns. It happened 40 years ago, it happened 20 years ago, and it's
happening again.
Overleveraging in many industries --
especially airlines, aerospace and technology -- started in the late 1960s.
As the perceived risk of investing in such businesses grew in the 1970s, the
price at which their debt securities traded fell sharply. But by using the
capital markets to deleverage -- by paying off these securities at lower,
discounted prices through tax-free exchanges of equity for debt, debt for
debt, assets for debt and cash for debt -- most companies avoided default
and saved jobs. (Congress later imposed a tax on the difference between the
tax basis of the debt and the discounted price at which it was retired.)
Issuing new equity can of course depress a
stock's value in two ways: It increases the supply, thus lowering the price;
and it "signals" that management thinks the stock price is high relative to
its true value. Conversely, a company that repurchases some of its own stock
signals an undervalued stock. Buying stock back, the theory goes, will
reduce the supply and increase the price. Dozens of finance students have
earned Ph.D.s by describing such signaling dynamics. But history has shown
that both theories about lowering and raising stock prices are wrong with
regard to deleveraging by companies that are seen as credit risks.
Two recent examples are Alcoa and Johnson
Controls each of which saw its stock price increase sharply after a new
equity issue last month. This has happened repeatedly over the past 40
years. When a company uses the proceeds from issuance of stock or an
equity-linked security to deleverage by paying off debt, the perception of
credit risk declines, and the stock price generally rises.
The decision to increase or decrease leverage
depends on market conditions and investors' receptivity to debt. The period
from the late-1970s to the mid-1980s generally favored debt financing. Then,
in the late '80s, equity market values rose above the replacement costs of
such balance-sheet assets as plants and equipment for the first time in 15
years. It was a signal to deleverage.
In this decade, many companies, financial
institutions and governments again started to overleverage, a concern we
noted in several Milken Institute forums. Along with others, including the
U.S. Chamber of Commerce, we also pointed out that when companies reduce
fixed obligations through asset exchanges, any tax on the discount
ultimately costs jobs. Congress responded in the recent stimulus bill by
deferring the tax for five years and spreading the liability over an
additional five years. As a result, companies have already moved to
repurchase or exchange more than $100 billion in debt to strengthen their
balance sheets. That has helped save jobs.
The new law is also helpful for companies that
made the mistake of buying back their stock with new debt or cash in the
years before the market's recent fall. These purchases peaked at more than
$700 billion in 2007 near the market top -- and in many cases, the value of
the repurchased stock has dropped by more than half and has led to ratings
downgrades. Particularly hard hit were some of the world's largest companies
(i.e., General Electric, AIG, Merrill Lynch); financial institutions
(Hartford Financial, Lincoln National, Washington Mutual); retailers
(Macy's, Home Depot); media companies (CBS, Gannett); and industrial
manufacturers (Eastman Kodak, Motorola, Xerox).
Without stock buybacks, many such companies
would have little debt and would have greater flexibility during this period
of increased credit constraints. In other words, their current financial
problems are self-imposed. Instead of entering the recession with adequate
liquidity and less debt with long maturities, they had the wrong capital
structure for the time.
The current recession started in real estate,
just as in 1974. Back then, many real-estate investment trusts lost as much
as 90% of their value in less than a year because they were too highly
leveraged and too dependent on commercial paper at a time when interest
rates were doubling. This time around it was a combination of excessive
leverage in real-estate-related financial instruments, a serious lowering of
underwriting standards, and ratings that bore little relationship to
reality. The experience of both periods highlights two fallacies that seem
to recur in 20-year cycles: that any loan to real estate is a good loan, and
that property values always rise. Fact: Over the past 120 years, home prices
have declined about 40% of the time.
History isn't a sine wave of endlessly
repeated patterns. It's more like a helix that brings similar events around
in a different orbit. But what we see today does echo the 1970s, as
companies use the capital markets to push out debt maturities and pay off
loans. That gives them breathing room and provides hope that history will
repeat itself in a strong economic recovery.
It doesn't matter whether a company is big or
small. Capital structure matters. It always has and always will.
The late Nobel
laureate Merton Miller and I, although good friends, long debated whether this
kind of capital-structure management is an essential job of corporate leaders.
Miller believed that capital structure was not important in valuing a company's
securities or the risk of investing in them. My belief -- first stated 40 years
ago in a graduate thesis and later confirmed by experience -- is that capital
structure significantly affects both value and risk. The optimal capital
structure evolves constantly, and successful corporate leaders must constantly
consider six factors -- the company and its management, industry dynamics, the
state of capital markets, the economy, government regulation and social trends.
When these six factors indicate rising business risk, even a dollar of debt may
be too much for some companies.
Bob, is the above passage
your statement? If so, AECMers will no doubt be alarmed to hear that once again
I agree with you. Oh, I don't agree to the extent that I've been teaching it 40
years (after all, you are older than I), but I have been teaching it for ten
years or so.
When I teach the right
side of the balance sheet, as well as the non-operating part of the income
statement), I run students through a review of capital structure. The right hand
side of the balance sheet starts with current liabilities (20-30% of assets on
average), then the remaining 70-80% is split between long-term liabilities and
common equity. It is easy to see the industry risk effect on the relative
composition of this large remainder. Companies that are inherently risky due to
being built on easy to disappear intellectual property have very little in the
way long-term liabilities. Examples are Internet/software companies like Google
or Microsoft, and pharmaceuticals like Merck. Companies that are mostly riskless
due to permanence of their assets can bear much in the way of long-term
liabilities. I used to cite commercial banks as an example, because the legal
system and federal guarantees protects some of the liabilities.
I for one champion the
move to value liabilities at fair value, as it can be a useful benchmark for
analysts to judge the relative proportion of debt to equity in the capital
structure.
However, there is a lot
of criticism of fair value applied to the right side of the balance sheet. I've
received a handful of comments that oppose right-hand side fair valuation in
severe downturns just like we have experienced. Because bank assets take a hit,
the survivability of the bank is at question. This means that if a higher or
riskier interest rate were applied to value right-hand side liabilities, there
would be a gain that could swamp the losses from the asset side. There are some
that don't like a company reporting a neutral income statement when the company
is going down the tubes. Consequently, they call for scaling back the fair value
rule to the asset side only.
David Albrecht
April 22, 2009 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi David,
That
passage was written by Mike Milken, which is why I had it in italics and a
different color.
I don’t
think Milken was thinking about accounting rules when he wrote this article. He
probably was thinking more in terms of held-to-maturity debt under FAS 115 rules
where HTM debt is not marked-to-market with changing capital structure levels
that are actually hypothetical.
The
problem with fair value adjustments of long term debt is that these adjustments
are poorly correlated with cash flows and can change capital structure in
misleading ways for firms not intending to buy back debt. There are many reasons
firms will not buy back debt even when there are gains to be realized from
declines in interest rates. One of the big barriers is the transaction cost of
buying back debt which makes it take a pretty large drop in interest rates to
make buy-backs worthwhile.
Another
factor is that debt holders often will not sell unless forced to do so in call
back clauses of debt contracts, but the call back penalties may be very high and
add to the transactions costs. For this reason debt is commonly classified as
HTM and not adjusted to fair value.
Another
reason firms do not commonly buy back debt is that FAS 125 ended the practice of
in-substance defeasance for getting around call back fees and transactions costs
for live debt that was being removed, before FAS 125, with defeasance
accounting.
In-substance defeasance used to be a ploy to take debt off the balance sheet. It
was invented by Exxon in 1982 as a means of capturing the millions in a gain on
debt (bonds) that had gone up significantly in value due to rising interest
rates. The debt itself was permanently "parked" with an independent trustee as
if it had been cancelled by risk free government bonds also placed with the
trustee in a manner that the risk free assets would be sufficient to pay off the
parked debt at maturity. The defeased (parked) $515 million in debt was taken
off of Exxon's balance sheet and the $132 million gain of the debt was booked
into current earnings ---
http://www.bsu.edu/majb/resource/pdf/vol04num2.pdf
Defeasance
was thus looked upon as an alternative to outright extinguishment of debt until
the FASB passed FAS 125 that ended the ability of companies to use in-substance
defeasance to remove debt from the balance sheet. Prior to FAS 125, defeasance
became enormously popular as an OBSF ploy.
The bottom
line is that I think long-term debt should not be adjusted for fair value
although fair value trends should be disclosed in footnotes.
As with
CAPM, the MM assumptions are unrealistic. However, much empirical evidence (of
the accountics variety) points to evidence that the MM theory is relatively
robust. However, this empirical support also makes limiting assumptions in
testing models that test the MM theory. The MM theorem has been used over and
over again in practice to justify adding leverage.
Certainly
the MM Theorem has not gone unchallenged. Probably the best known critic is
Myron Gordon Gordon, Myron J. (1989). "Corporate Finance Under the MM Theorems".
Financial Management 18 (2): 19–28
I think
most finance courses have tended to treat it the MM theorem as a given. The
theorem has been expanded to include taxation.
Deloitte & Touche (USA) has updated its book of
guidance on FASB Statement No. 123(R) Share-Based Payment:
A Roadmap to Applying the Fair Value Guidance to Share-Based Payment
Awards (PDF 2220k). This second edition
reflects all authoritative guidance on FAS 123(R) issued as of 28 April
2006. It includes over 60 new questions and answers, particularly in the
areas of earnings per share, income tax accounting, and liability
classification. Our interpretations incorporate the views in SEC Staff
Accounting Bulletin Topic 14 "Share-Based Payment" (SAB 107), as well as
subsequent clarifications of EITF Topic No. D-98 "Classification and
Measurement of Redeemable Securities" (dealing with mezzanine equity
treatment). The publication contains other resource materials, including
a GAAP accounting and disclosure checklist. Note that while FAS 123 is
similar to
IFRS 2 Share-based Payment,
there are some
measurement differences that are
Described Here.
Fair Value Accounting Book Review (Meeting the New FASB Requirements)
From SmartPros on May 1, 2006 Fair Value for Financial Reporting by Alfred King
highlights the accounting and auditing requirements for fair value
information and offers a detailed explanation of how the FASB is going
to change "fair value," from determining the fair value of intangible
assets to
selecting and working with an appraiser ---
http://accounting.smartpros.com/x35458.xml
Fair Value for Financial Reporting: Meeting the New FASB Requirements
by Alfred M. King ISBN: 0-471-77184-8 Hardcover 352 pages April 2006
As you
can see below, the war is not over yet.In
fact it has intensified between corporations (especially banks) versus
standard setters versus members of the academy.
From The Wall
Street Journal Accounting Educators' Review on April 2, 2004
TITLE: As IASB
Unveils New Rules, Dispute With EU Continues REPORTER: David Reilly DATE: Mar 31, 2004 PAGE: A2 LINK:
http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB108067939682469331,00.html TOPICS: Generally accepted accounting principles, Fair Value Accounting,
Insider trading, International Accounting, International Accounting
Standards Board
SUMMARY: Despite
controversy with the European Union (EU), the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) is expected to release a final set of international
accounting standards. Questions focus on the role of the IASB, controversy
with the EU, and harmonization of the accounting standards.
QUESTIONS: 1.) What is the role of the IASB? What authority does the IASB have to
enforce standards?
2.) List three
reasons that a country would choose to follow IASB accounting standards. Why
has the U.S. not adopted IASB accounting standards?
3.) Discuss the
advantages and disadvantages of harmonization of accounting standards
throughout the world. Why is it important the IASB reach a resolution with
the EU over the disputed accounting standards?
4.) What is fair
value accounting? Why would fair value accounting make financial statements
more volatile? Is increased volatility a valid argument for not adopting
fair value accounting? Does GAAP in the United States require fair value
accounting? Support your answers.
There are a number of software vendors of FAS 133 valuation
software.
FinancialCAD provides software and services that
support the valuation and risk management of financial securities and
derivatives that is essential for banks, corporate treasuries and asset
management firms. FinancialCAD’s industry standard financial analytics are
a key component in FinancialCAD solutions that are used by over 25,000
professionals in 60 countries.
Why did the Commission
carve out the full fair
value option in the
original IAS 39
standard?
Do
prudential supervisors
support IAS 39 FVO as
published by the IASB?
When will the Commission
to adopt the amended
standard for the IAS 39
FVO?
Will companies be able
to apply the amended
standard for their 2005
financial statements?
Does the amended
standard for IAS 39 FVO
meet the EU endorsement
criteria?
What about the
relationship between the
fair valuation of own
liabilities under the
amended IAS 39 FVO
standard and under
Article 42(a) of the
Fourth Company Law
Directive?
Will the Commission now
propose amending Article
42(a) of the Fourth
Company Directive?
What about the remaining
IAS 39 carve-out
relating to certain
"Response to the FASB's Exposure Draft on Fair Value Measurements," AAA
Financial Standards Committee, Accounting Horizons, September 2005, pp. 187-195
---
http://aaahq.org/pubs/electpubs.htm
RESPONSES TO SPECIFIC ISSUES
The FASB invited comment on all matters related to
the ED, but specifically requested comments on 14 listed issues. The
Committee's comments are limited to those issues for which empirical
research provides some insights, or those sections of the ED that are
conceptually inconsistent or unclear. The Committee has previously
commented on other fair-value-related documents issued by the FASB and other
standard-setting bodies. This letter reiterates comments expressed in those
letters to the extent they are germane to the measurement issues contained
in the ED. However, to better understand our perspective on reporting fair
value information in the financial statements and related notes, we refer
readers to those comment letters (i.e., AAA FASC 1998, 2000).
Issue 1: Definition of Fair Value
The Committee believes that the ED contains some
conceptual inconsistencies between the definition and application of the
fair value measurement attribute. The ED proposes a definition of fair
value that is relatively independent of the entity-specific use of the
assets held or settlement of the liabilities owed. In contrast, the
proposed standard and related implementation guidance includes measurement
that is, at times, directly determined by the entity-specific use of the
asset or settlement of the liability in question.
Some of the inconsistencies with respect to fair
value measurement might be attributable to the attempt to apply general,
high-level fair value guidance to the idiosyncratic attributes of specific
accounts and transactions. In some cases, application to specific accounts
and transactions requires deviation from an entity-independent notion of
fair value to one that includes consideration of the specific types and uses
of assets held or liabilities owed by companies. For example, as we note in
our discussion of Issue 6 (below), one of the examples in the ED suggests
that the fair value of a machine should include an adjustment of quoted
market prices (based on comparable machines) for installation costs.
However, such an adjustment is dependent on the individual circumstances of
the company that purchases the equipment. That is, installation costs are
included in the fair value of an asset only when the firm intends to use
that asset for income producing activities. Alternatively, if the firm
intends to sell the asset, then installation costs are ignored.
Some members of the Committee, however, do not
perceive an inconsistency between the definition and application of the fair
value measurement attribute. These members view the definition of fair
value and the context within which it is applied (i.e., the valuation
premise) to be distinct, albeit related, attributes. Although the
definition of fair value can be entity-independent, the valuation premise
(e.g., value-in-use or value-in-exchange) cannot. Further, these members
argue that ignoring the valuation premise in determining fair value could
lead to unsatisfactory outcomes. For example, if installation costs are
ignored regardless of the valuation premise, then immediately after
purchasing an asset for use in income-producing activities, firms would
suffer impairment losses equal to the installation costs incurred to prepare
the assets for use.
The Committee raises the example of machinery
installation costs to illustrate the confusion we experienced trying to
reconcile the high-level (seemingly entity-independent) definition of fair
value with the contextually determined application standards. We note that
the Introduction of the Ed suggests that the intent of the proposed guidance
in the ED is to establish fair value measures that would be referenced in
other authoritative accounting to establish fair value measures that would
be referenced in other authoritative accounting pronouncements. Presumably,
these other pronouncements would also establish reasonable deviations from
the entity-independent notion of fair value. The Committee believes the
most effective general purpose fair value measurement standard would adopt a
general notion of fair value that is consistent across the definition of
fair value, the accounting standard, and the implementation guidance. To
the extent the Board generally believes that fair value is an
entity-specific concept, the high-level definition should reflect this as
well.
Issues 4 and 5: Valuation Premise and Fair Value
Hierarchy
Related to our previous comments, some members of
the Committee perceive a contradiction between the definition of fair value
in paragraphs 4 and 5 of the ED and the valuation premise described in
paragraph 13. The definition of fair value provided in paragraph 5 suggests
a pure value-in-exchange perspective where fair value is determined by the
market price that would occur between willing parties. In contrast, the
valuation premise described in paragraph 13 suggests that the fair value
estimate can follow either a value-in-use perspective or a value-in-exchange
perspective.
Moreover, the fair value hierarchy described in the
ED gives the highest priority to fair value measurements based on market
inputs regardless of the valuation premise. Some members of the Committee
believe that quoted market prices are not necessarily an appropriate measure
of fair value when a value-in-use premise is being considered. This is
especially true when a quoted price for an identical asset in an active
reference market (i.e., a Level 1 estimate) exists, but is significantly
different from a value-in-use estimate computed by taking the present value
of the firm-specific future cash flows expected to be generated by the asset
(i.e., a Level 3 estimate). In such instances, following the fair value
hierarchy might lead to a fair value estimate more in character with a
value-in-exchange premise than a value-in-use premise.
In summary, the Committee believes that: (1)
integrating the two valuation premises (i.e., value-in-use and
value-in-exchange) into the definition of fair value itself and (2)
elaborating on the differences between the two premises would help ensure
more consistent application of the standard.
Issue 6: Reference Market
Some members of the Committee are confused by the
guidance related to determining the appropriate reference market. With
respect to the Level 1 reference market, the ED states that when multiple
active markets exist, the most advantageous market should be used. The most
advantageous market is determined by comparing prices across multiple
markets net of transactions costs. However, the ED requires that
transactions costs be ignored subsequently in determining the fair value
measurement. In our view, ignoring transactions costs is problematic
because we believe such costs are an ordinary and predictable part of
executing a transaction.
In Example 5 (paragraph B9 (b) of the ED) where two
markets, A and B, are considered, the price in Market B ($35) is more
advantageous than the price in Market A ($25), ignoring transaction costs.
However, the fair value estimate is determined using the price in Market A
because the transactions cost in Market B ($20) is much higher than in
Market A ($5). The guidance is less clear if we modify the example by
reducing the transaction costs for Market B to $15. In this instance,
neither market is advantageous in a "net" sense, but Market B would yield
the highest fair value estimate (ignoring transactions costs), which
provides managers an opportunity to pick the most desirable figure based on
their reporting objectives.
Omitting transactions costs from the fair value
estimate in Example 5 contrasts sharply with Example 3 (Appendix B,
paragraph B7 (a)) where the value-in-use fair value estimate of a machine is
determined by adjusting the quoted market price of a comparable machine by
installation costs. Installation costs are ignored only if the firm intends
to dispose of the asset (Appendix B, paragraph B7 (b)). Thus, managerial
intent plays an integral role in determining whether fair value is computed
with or without installation costs, but the same does not hold for
transaction costs. Since transaction costs are not relevant unless
management intends to dispose of the asset, the Committee agrees that
ignoring transaction costs is justified when a value-in-use premise is
appropriate, but the Committee questions the appropriateness of ignoring
transaction costs when a value-in-exchange premise is adopted.
Issue 7: Pricing in Active Dealer Markets
The ED requires that the fair value of financial
instruments traded in active dealer markets where bid and asked prices are
readily available be estimated using bid prices for assets and asked prices
for liabilities. Some Committee members believe that this requirement is
inconsistent with the general concept of fair value and seems to be biased
toward valuing assets and liabilities at value-in-exchange instead of
value-in-use. Limiting our discussion to the asset case, if a buyer
establishes a long position through a dealer, the buyer must pay the asked
price. By purchasing the asset at the asked price, the buyer clearly
expects to earn an acceptable rate of return on the investment in the asset
(at the higher price). Moreover, if after purchasing the asset, the buyer
immediately applies the ED's proposed fair value measurement guidance (i.e.,
bid price valuation), the buyer would incur a loss on the asset equal to the
bid-ask spread.
In general, the bid price seems relevant only if
the holder wishes to liquidate his/her position. Although the Committee is
not largely in favor of managerial intent-based fair value measures, we are
uncomfortable with a bias toward a value-in-exchange premise for assets
in-use. If the Board decides to retain bid-based (ask-based) accounting for
dealer traded assets (liabilities) in the final standard, then we propose
that the final standard more clearly describe the conceptual basis for
liquidation basis asset and liability valuation.
Issue 9: Level 3 Estimates
Level 3 estimates require considerable judgment in
terms of both the selection and application of valuation techniques. As a
result, estimates using different valuation techniques with different
assumptions will likely yield widely varying fair value estimates. Examples
7 and 8 in Appendix B of the ED illustrate the wide variance in fair value
estimates obtained with different valuation techniques. The ED allows
considerable latitude in both the valuation technique and inputs used. Due
to their incentives, managers might use the flexibility afforded by the
proposed standard to produce biased and unreliable estimates. The
measurement guidance proposed in the ED is similar to the unstructured and
imprecise category of standards analyzed by Nelson et al. (2002). They
find that managers are more likely to attempt (and auditors are less likely
to question) earnings management under such standards compared to more
precise standards.
The income approach to determining a Level 3 fair
value estimate encompasses a basket of valuation techniques including two
different present value techniques--the discount rate adjustment technique
and the expected present value technique.4 The ED conjectures
that these two techniques should produce the same fair values (see
paragraphs A12, A13 and FN 17). But, from an application perspective, this
conjecture is not consistent with empirical results from studies of human
judgment and decision making.5 In particular, psychology
research repeatedly shows that people are very poor intuitive statisticians
(e.g., people consistently make axiomatic violations when estimating
probabilistic outcomes). In light of these findings, statements such as
"the estimated fair values should be the same" provide preparers, auditors,
and users with an unfounded (and descriptively false) belief that the
techniques suggested in the ED will produce the same fair value estimates.
Some members of the Committee believe that the ED
should explicitly caution preparers, auditors, and users by stating that
individuals consistently make these judgment errors. Further, these
Committee members recommend that the ED require companies (when practicable)
to (1) independently use the discount rate adjustment and expected
present value techniques if they decide to use a present value approach to
determine fair value and (2) reconcile the results of the two techniques in
a meaningful fashion and document the reconciliation so it can be audited
for reasonableness. Moreover, the application of the present value
techniques should be independent of suggested or existing fair value figures
when practicable (e.g., the fair value amount recorded in the previous
year's financial statements), because psychology research finds that
preconceived targets and legacy amounts unduly influence current judgments
and decisions (e.g., through "anchoring" and insufficient adjustment).
Although the disclosures required under paragraph
25 of the ED provide some information regarding the potential reliability of
a Level 3 estimate, they do not provide alternative benchmark models that
the firm may have considered in determining those fair value estimates.
Hence, the Committee also recommends that the FASB consider requiring firms
to disclose (1) fair value estimates under alternative valuation techniques,
and (2) sensitivity of fair value estimates to the specific assumptions and
inputs used.
Issue 11: Fair Value Disclosures
As mentioned previously, the Committee believes
that the proposed fair value measurement disclosures are not complete. The
Committee believes that when a firm uses alternative valuation methods to
determine fair value, information regarding the alternative techniques and
inputs employed should be provided. Furthermore, users of financial
statements would get a better understanding of the reliability of fair value
estimates if the financial statements provide detailed disclosures related
to (1) fair value estimates produced by alternative valuation techniques and
reasons for selecting a preferred estimate, and (2) information about the
sensitivity of fair value estimates to changes in assumptions and inputs.
The Committee also notes that the ED requires the
expanded set of reliability related disclosures only for fair value
estimates reported in the balance sheet (paragraph 25). A complete set of
financial statements also includes many fair value estimates reported in the
notes to the financial statements. Some members of the Committee believe
that financial statement users would also benefit from receiving the
reliability related disclosures for fair values disclosed in the footnotes.
Moreover, application of the fair value hierarchy has implications for the
reliability of the unrealized gains and losses reported in net (or
comprehensive) income. Accordingly, some members recommend that firms be
required to disclose a breakdown of unrealized gains or losses based on how
the related fair value amounts were determined (i.e., quoted prices of
identical items, quoted prices of similar items, valuation models with
significant market inputs, or valuation models with significant entity
inputs.)
CONCLUSION
The Committee supports the formulation of a single
standard that provides guidance on fair value measurement. We believe that
such a standard would improve the consistency of fair value measurement
across the many standards that require fair value reporting and disclosure.
In this comment letter, we identify some potential inconsistencies between
fair value definitions and fair value determination, and suggest ways to
improve disclosures so that users of financial statements can better
appreciate the reliability (or lack thereof) of fair value estimates.
Although the Committee recognizes that the ED is
intended to provide fair value measurement guidance, we wish to caution
against promulgating pronouncements that completely eliminate historical
cost information from the financial statements. Evidence reported in
Dietrich et al. (2000) suggests that historical cost information is
incrementally informative even after fair value information is included in
regression analyses.
4
FASB Concept Statement No. 7, Using Cash Flow Information and Present
Value in Accounting Measurements, describes these techniques, albeit
using different terminology. In that Concepts Statement, traditional
present value refers to the discount rate adjustment technique, while
expected cash flow approach refers to the expected present value technique.
5
Probability-related judgments and decisions are among the oldest branches of
psychology and decision-science research. Two excellent resources that
catalogue the problems that individuals have with probability judgments and
statistical reasoning are Baron (2000) and Goldstein and Hogarth (1997).
What are the
advantages and disadvantages of requiring fair value accounting for all
financial instruments as well as derivative financial instruments?
Advantages:
Eliminate
arbitrary FAS 115 classifications that can be used by management to
manipulate earnings (which is what Freddie Mac did in 2001 and 1002.
Reduce problems
of applying FAS 133 in hedge accounting where hedge accounting is now
allowed only when the hedged item is maintained at historical cost.
Provide a
better snap shot of values and risks at each point in time.For example, banks now resist fair value accounting because they do
not want to show how investment securities have dropped in value.
Disdvantages:
Combines fact
and fiction in the sense that unrealized gains and losses due to fair
value adjustments are combined with “real” gains and losses from cash
transactions.Many, if not
most, of the unrealized gains and losses will never be realized in cash.These are transitory fluctuations that move up and down with
transitory markets.For
example, the value of a $1,000 fixed-rate bond moves up and down with
interest rates when at expiration it will return the $1,000 no matter how
interest rates fluctuated over the life of the bond.
Sometimes
difficult to value, especially OTC securities.
Creates
enormous swings in reported earnings and balance sheet values.
Generally
fair value is the estimated exit (liquidation) value of an asset or
liability. For assets, this is often much less than the entry
(acquisition) value for a variety of reasons such as higher transactions
costs of entry value, installation costs (e.g., for machines), and different
markets (e.g., paying dealer prices for acquisition and blue book for
disposal). For example, suppose Company A purchases a computer for $2
million that it can only dispose of for $1 million a week after the purchase
and installation. Fair value accounting requires expensing half of the
computer in the first week even though the computer itself may be utilized
for years to come. This violates the matching principle of matching
expenses with revenues, which is one of the reasons why fair value
proponents generally do not recommend fair value accounting for operating
assets.
However,
FAS 133 still needs further clarification and improvement as the example of
Fannie Mae shows. Analysts focus more on the economic value of a
company and less on unrealised gains and losses. Much of the FAS 133
volatility in earnings and in equity does not consistently reflect the
economic situation. This makes it difficult to interpret the figures.
Therefore, analysts welcome the decision of some companies voluntarily to
disclose a separate set of figures excluding the effect of FAS 133.
Since 1996,
comprehensive accounting reforms have been gradually introduced in Japan.
Since fiscal 2000, the valuation of investment securities owned by firms has
been based on their market value at book-closing. Since fiscal 2001,
securities held on a long-term basis also have been subjected to the
mark-to-market rule. Now, the Liberal Democratic Party is calling for the
suspension of the newly introduced rule to mark investments to market, as well
as for a delay in the introduction of a new rule that requires fixed assets to
be valued at their market value.
The proponents of
so-called global standards are up in arms at this latest intervention by the
LDP. If marking assets to market is delayed, they argue, the nation will lag
behind in the globalization of accounting standards. Moreover, they argue that
corporate accounts must be as transparent as possible, and therefore should be
marked to market as often and as radically as possible. On the other hand,
opponents of the mark-to-market rule argue that the recent slump in the stock
market, which has reached a 21-year low, can at least partly be blamed on the
new accounting rules.
What are we to make
of this debate? Let us consider the facts. Most leading industrialized
countries, such as Britain, France and Germany, so far have not introduced
mark-to-market rules. Indeed, the vast majority of countries currently do not
use them.
Nevertheless, there
is enormous political pressure to utilize mark-to-market accounting, and many
countries plan to introduce the standard in 2005 or thereafter.
Japan decided to
adopt the new standard ahead of everyone else, based on the advice given by a
few accountants--an industry that benefits from the revision of accounting
standards as any rule change guarantees years of demand for their consulting
services.
However, so far there
has not been a broad public debate about the overall benefits and
disadvantages of the new standard. The LDP has raised the important point that
such accounting changes might have unintended negative consequences for the
macroeconomy.
Let us first reflect
on the microeconomic rationale supporting mark-to-market rules. They are said
to render company accounts more transparent by calculating corporate balance
sheets using the values that markets happen to indicate on the day of book-
closing. Since book-closing occurs only once, twice or, at best, four times a
year, any sudden or temporary move of markets on these days--easily possible
in these times of extraordinary market volatility--will distort accounts
rather than rendering them more transparent.
Second, it is not
clear that marking assets to market reflects the way companies look at their
assets. While they know that market values are highly volatile, there is one
piece of information about corporate assets that have an undisputed meaning
for
firms: the price at
which they were actually bought.
The purchase price
matters as it reflects actual transactions and economic activity. Marking to
market, on the other hand, means valuing assets at values at which they were
never transacted. The company has neither paid nor received this theoretical
money in exchange for the assets. This market value is hence a purely
fictitious value. Instead of increasing transparency, we end up increasing the
part of the accounts that is fiction.
While the history of
marking to market is brief, we do have some track record from the United
States, which introduced mark-to-market accounting in the 1990s.
Did the introduction
increase accounting transparency? The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards
Board last November concluded that the new rule of marking to market allowed
Enron Energy Services Inc. to book profits from long-term energy contracts
immediately rather than when the money was actually received.
This enabled Enron
executives to create the illusion of a profitable business unit despite the
fact that the truth was far from it. Thanks to mark-to-market accounting,
Enron's retail division managed to hide significant losses and book billions
of dollars in profits based on inflated predictions of future energy prices.
Enron's executives received millions of dollars in bonuses when the energy
contracts were signed.
The U.S. Financial
Accounting Standards Board task force recognized the problems and has hence
recommended the mark-to-market accounting rule be scrapped. Since this year,
U.S. energy companies will only be able to report profits as income actually
is received.
Marking to market
thus creates the illusion that theoretical market values can actually be
realized. We must not forget that market values are merely the values derived
on the basis of a certain number of transactions during the day in case.
Strictly speaking, it
is a false assumption to extend the same values to any number of assets that
were not actually transacted at that value on that day.
When a certain number
of the 225 stocks constituting the Nikkei Stock Average are traded at a
certain price, this does not say anything about the price that all stocks that
have been issued by these 225 companies would have traded on that day.
As market
participants know well, the volume of transactions is an important indicator
of how representative stock prices can be considered during any given day. If
the index falls 1 percent on little volume, this is quickly discounted by many
observers as it means that only a tiny fraction of shares were actually
traded. If the market falls 1 percent on record volume, then this may be a
better proxy of the majority of stock prices on that day.
The values at which
U.S. corporations were marked to market at the end of December 1999, at the
peak of a speculative bubble, did little to increase transparency. If all
companies had indeed sold their assets on that day, surely this would have
severely depressed asset prices.
Consider this: If
your neighbor decides to sell his house for half price, how would you feel if
the bank that gave you a mortgage argued that, according to the mark-to-
market rule, it now also must halve the value of your house--and, as a result,
they regret to inform you that you are bankrupt.
We discussed the case
of traded securities. But in many cases a market for the assets on a company's
books does not actually exist. In this case, accountants use so-called net
present value calculations to estimate a theoretical value. This means even
greater fiction because the theoretical value depends crucially on assumptions
made about interest rates, economic growth, asset markets and so on.
Given the dismal
track record of forecasters in this area, it is astonishing to find that
serious accountants wish corporate accounts to be based on them.
There are significant
macroeconomic costs involved with mark-to-market accounting. As all companies
will soon be forced to recalculate their balance sheets more frequently, the
state of financial markets on the calculation day will determine whether they
are still "sound," or in accounting terms, "bankrupt."
While book value accounting tends to reduce volatility in markets to some
extent, the new rule can only increase it. The implications are especially
far-reaching in the banking sector since banks are not ordinary businesses,
but fulfill the public function of creating and providing the money supply on
which economic growth depends.
U.S. experts warned
years ago that the introduction of marking to market could create a credit
crunch. As banks will be forced to set aside larger loan-loss reserves to
cover loans that may have declined in value on the day of marking, bank
earnings could be reduced. Banks might thus shy away from making loans to
small or midsize firms under the new rules, where a risk premium exists and
hence the likelihood of marking losses is larger. As a result, banks would
have a disincentive to lend to small firms. Yet, for all we know, the small
firm loans may yet be repaid in full.
If banks buy a
10-year Japanese government bond with the intention to hold it until maturity,
and the economy recovers, thus pushing down bond prices significantly, the
market value of the government bonds will decline. Banks would thus be forced
to book substantial losses on their bond holdings despite the fact that, by
holding until maturity, they would never actually have suffered any losses.
Japanese banks currently have vast holdings of government bonds. The change in
accounting rules likely will increase problems in the banking sector. As banks
reduce lending, economic growth will fall, thereby depressing asset prices,
after which accountants will quickly try to mark down everyone's books.
Of course, in good
times, the opposite may occur, as we saw in the case of Enron. During upturns,
marking to market may boost accounting figures beyond the actual state of
reality. This also will boost banks' accounts (similar to the Bank for
International Settlements rules announced in 1988), thus encouraging excessive
lending. This in turn will fuel an economic boom, which will further raise the
accounting values of assets.
Thus does it make
sense to mark everything to fictitious market values? We can conclude that
marking to market has enough problems on the micro level to negate any
potential benefits. On the macro level, the disadvantages will be far larger
as asset price volatility will rise, business cycles will be exacerbated and
economic activity will be destabilized.
The world economy has
done well for several centuries without this new rule. There is no evidence
that it will improve anything. To the contrary, it is likely to prove harmful.
The LDP must be lauded for its attempt to stop the introduction of these new
accounting rules.
Werner is an
assistant professor of economics at Sophia University and chief economist at
Tokyo-based investment adviser Profit Research Center Ltd.
Measuring the Business Value of Stakeholder
Relationships – all about social capital and how high-trust relationships affect the
bottom line. Plus a new measurement tool for benchmarking the quality of stakeholder
relationships --- www.cim.sfu.ca/newsletter
Trust, shared values and strong
relationships aren't typical financial indicators but perhaps they should be. A joint
study by CIM and the Schulich School of Business is examining the link between high trust
stakeholder relationships and business value creation. The study is sponsored by the
Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants (CICA).
The research team is looking at
how social capital can be applied to business. The aim of this project is to better
understand corporate social capital, measure the quality of relationships, and provide the
business community with ways to improve those relationships and in turn improve their
bottom line.
Because stakeholder relationships
all have common features, direct comparisons of the quality of relationships can be made
across diverse stakeholder groups, companies and industries.
Social capital is “the stock
of active connections among people; the trust, mutual understanding, and shared values and
behaviors that bind the members of human networks and communities and make cooperative
action possible” (Cohen and Prusak, 2000).
So far the research suggests that
trust, a cooperative spirit and shared understanding between a company and its
stakeholders creates greater coherence of action, better knowledge sharing, lower
transaction costs, lower turnover rates and organizational stability. In the bigger
picture, social capital appears to minimize shareholder risk, promote innovation, enhance
reputation and deepen brand loyalty.
Preliminary results show that
high levels of social capital in a relationship can build upon themselves. For example, as
a company builds reputation among its peers for fair dealing and reliability in keeping
promises, that reputation itself becomes a prized asset useful for sustaining its current
alliances and forming future ones.
The first phase of the
research is now complete and the study moves into its second phase involving detailed case
studies with six companies that have earned a competitive business advantage through their
stakeholder relationships. Click here for a full report
That scenario isn't as farfetched as you might
think. It's called a prediction market, based on the notion that a marketplace
is a better organizer of insight and predictor of the future than individuals
are. Once confined to research universities, the idea of markets working
within companies has started to seep out into some of the nation's largest
corporations. Companies from Microsoft to Eli Lilly and Hewlett-Packard are
bringing the market inside, with workers trading futures contracts on such
"commodities" as sales, product success and supplier behavior. The
concept: a work force contains vast amounts of untapped, useful information
that a market can unlock. "Markets are likely to revolutionize corporate
forecasting and decision making," says Robin Hanson, an economist at
George Mason University, in Virginia, who has researched and developed
markets. "Strategic decisions, such as mergers, product introductions,
regional expansions and changing CEOs, could be effectively delegated to
people far down the corporate hierarchy, people not selected by or even known
to top management."
Barbara Kiviat (See below)
The end of management just might look something
like this. You show up for work, boot up your computer and log onto your
company's Intranet to make a few trades before getting down to work. You see
how your stocks did the day before and then execute a few new orders. You
think your company should step up production next month, and you trade on
that thought. You sell stock for the production of 20,000 units and buy
stock that represents an order for 30,000 instead. All around you, as
co-workers arrive at their cubicles, they too flick on their computers and
trade.
Together, you are buyers and sellers of your
company's future. Through your trades, you determine what is going to happen
and then decide how your company should respond. With employees in the
trading pits betting on the future, who needs the manager in the corner
office?
That scenario isn't as farfetched as you might
think. It's called a prediction market, based on the notion that a
marketplace is a better organizer of insight and predictor of the future
than individuals are. Once confined to research universities, the idea of
markets working within companies has started to seep out into some of the
nation's largest corporations. Companies from Microsoft to Eli Lilly and
Hewlett-Packard are bringing the market inside, with workers trading futures
contracts on such "commodities" as sales, product success and
supplier behavior. The concept: a work force contains vast amounts of
untapped, useful information that a market can unlock. "Markets are
likely to revolutionize corporate forecasting and decision making,"
says Robin Hanson, an economist at George Mason University, in Virginia, who
has researched and developed markets. "Strategic decisions, such as
mergers, product introductions, regional expansions and changing CEOs, could
be effectively delegated to people far down the corporate hierarchy, people
not selected by or even known to top management."
To understand the hype, take a look at
Hewlett-Packard's experience with forecasting monthly sales. A few years
back, HP commissioned Charles Plott, an economist from the California
Institute of Technology, to set up a software trading platform. A few dozen
employees, mostly product and finance managers, were each given about $50 in
a trading account to bet on what they thought computer sales would be at the
end of the month. If a salesman thought the company would sell between, say,
$201 million and $210 million worth, he could buy a security — like a
futures contract — for that prediction, signaling to the rest of the
market that someone thought that was a probable scenario. If his opinion
changed, he could buy again or sell.
When trading stopped, the scenario behind the
highest-priced stock was the one the market deemed most likely. The traders
got to keep their profits and won an additional dollar for every share of
"stock" they owned that turned out to be the right sales range.
Result: while HP's official forecast, which was generated by a marketing
manager, was off 13%, the stock market was off only 6%. In further trials,
the market beat official forecasts 75% of the time.
Intrigued by that success, HP's business-services
division ran a pilot last year with 14 managers worldwide, trying to
determine the group's monthly sales and profit. The market was so successful
(in one case, improving the prediction 50%) that it has since been
integrated into the division's regular forecasts. Another division is
running a pilot to see if a market would be better at predicting the costs
of certain components with volatile prices. And two other HP divisions hope
to be using markets to answer similar questions by the end of the year.
"You could do zillions of things with this," says Bernardo
Huberman, director of the HP group that designs and coordinates the markets.
"The idea of being able to forecast something allows you to prepare,
plan and make decisions. It's potentially huge savings."
Eli Lilly, one of the largest pharmaceutical
companies in the world, which routinely places multimillion-dollar bets on
drug candidates that face overwhelming odds of failure, wanted to see if it
could get a better idea of which compounds would succeed. So last year Lilly
ran an experiment in which about 50 employees involved in drug development
— chemists, biologists, project managers — traded six mock drug
candidates through an internal market. "We wanted to look at the way
scattered bits of information are processed in the course of drug
development," says Alpheus Bingham, vice president for Lilly Research
Laboratories strategy. The market brought together all the information, from
toxicology reports to clinical results, and correctly predicted the three
most successful drugs.
What's more, the market data revealed shades of
opinion that never would have shown up if the traders were, say, responding
to a poll. A willingness to pay $70 for a particular drug showed greater
confidence than a bid at $60, a spread that wouldn't show if you simply
asked, Will this drug succeed? "When we start trading stock, and I try
buying your stock cheaper and cheaper, it forces us to a way of agreeing
that never really occurs in any other kind of conversation," says
Bingham. "That is the power of the market."
The current enthusiasm can be traced in part, oddly
enough, to last summer's high-profile flop of a market that was supposed to
help predict future terrorist attacks. A public backlash killed that
Pentagon project a few months before its debut, but not before the media
broadcast the notion that useful information embedded within a group of
people could be drawn out and organized via a marketplace. Says George
Mason's Hanson, who helped design the market: "People noticed."
Another predictive market, the Iowa Electronic Markets at the University of
Iowa, has been around since 1988. That bourse has accepted up to $500 from
anyone wanting to wager on election results. Players buy and sell outcomes:
Is Kerry a win or Bush a shoo-in? This is the same information that news
organizations and pollsters chase in the run-up to election night. Yet Iowa
outperforms them 75% of the time.
Inspired by such results, researchers at Microsoft
started running trials of predictive markets in February, finding the system
inexpensive to set up. Now they're shopping around for the market's first
real use. An early candidate: predicting how long it will take software
testers to adopt a new piece of technology. Todd Proebsting, who is
spearheading the initiative, explains, "If the market says they're
going to be behind schedule, executives can ask, What does the market know
that we don't know?" Another option: predicting how many patches, or
corrections, will be issued in the first six months of using a new piece of
software. "The pilots worked great, but we had little to compare it
to," he says. "You can reason that this would do a good job. But
what you really want to show is that this works better than the
alternative."
Ultimately, "you may someday see someone in a
desk job or a manufacturing job doing day trading, knowing that's part of
the job," says Thomas Malone, a management professor at M.I.T. who has
written about markets. "I'm very optimistic about the long-term
prospects."
But no market is perfect. Economists are still
unsure of the human factor: how to get people to play and do their best. In
the stock market or even the Iowa prediction market, people put up their own
money and trade to make more. That incentive ensures that people trade on
their best information. But a company that asks employees to risk their own
money raises ethical questions, so most corporate markets use play money to
trade and small bonuses or prizes for good traders. "Though this may
look like God's gift to business, there are problems with it," says
Plott, who ran the first HP experiments. Tokyo-based Dentsu, one of the
world's largest advertising firms, is still grappling with incentives for an
ad forecasting market it will launch later this year with the help of News
Futures, a U.S. consultancy.
And even if companies can figure out how to make
their internal markets totally efficient, there are plenty of reasons that
corporate America isn't about to jump wholesale onto the markets bandwagon.
For one thing, markets, based on individuals and individual interests, could
threaten the kind of team spirit that many corporations have struggled to
cultivate. Established hierarchies could be threatened too. After all, a
market implies that the current data crunching and decision-making process
may not be as good as a gamelike system that often includes lower-level
employees. In a sense, an internal market's success suggests that if upper
managers would just give up control, things would run better. Lilly, which
is considering using a market to forecast actual drug success, is still
grappling with the potential ramifications. "We already have a rigorous
process," says Lilly's Bingham. "So what do you do if you use a
market and get different data?" Throw it out? Or say that the market
was smarter, impugning the tried-and-true system?
There could be risks to individual workers in an
internal trading system as well. If you lose money in the market, does that
mean you're not knowledgeable about something you should be? "You have
to get people used to the idea of being accountable in a very different
way," says Mary Murphy-Hoye, senior principal engineer at Intel, which
has been experimenting with internal markets. "I can now tell if
planners are any good, because they're making money or they're not making
money."
Introduction
I have decided to begin a commentary which expresses my views on
accounting. As I begin to do this I envisage the source of my
commentary to comprise three different sorts of writing in which
I may engage:
§ Simple notes directly to the ‘blog’ such as this.
§ Formal submissions I may make to various bodies including the
IASB.
§ Letters or reports I may write for one reason or another that
I think might have some general readership.
The expression of my views will stray from the subject matter of
accounting per se to deal with matters of enormous significance
to me such as corporate or public administration. Such
expressions will not be too substantial a digression from the
core subject matter because I believe that the foundation of
good ‘corporate governance’, to use a vogue term, is accounting.
Source of my ideas on accounting
I would have to confess that the foundation upon which I base my
philosophy of accounting is derivative, as much of human
knowledge is of course. It is not for nothing that Newtown said
that if he can see so far it is because he stands on the
shoulders of giants. In my case, that ‘giant’ is Yuiji Ijiri. As
I begin a detailed exposition of my views I shall return to the
lessons I learned many years ago from Theory of Accounting
Measurement, a neglected work that will still be read in 1,000
years or so long as humankind survives whichever is the shorter.
As the depredations of the standard setting craze are visited
upon us with ever increasing complexity, the message delivered
by Ijiri will be heeded more an more.
The basic structure of accounting
Without wishing to be too philosophical about it, I need to
begin by outlining what I mean by accounting. Accounting, in my
mind, comprises three inter-related parts. These are:
§ Book-keeping.
§ Accounting.
§ Financial reporting.
Book-keeping is the process of recording financial data elements
in the underlying books of account. These financial data
elements represent, or purport to represent, real world events.
The heart of book-keeping is the double entry process. For
instance at the most basic level a movement in cash will result
in the surrender or receipt of an asset, the incurring or
settlement of a liability and so on.
I have no complete and coherent theory of the limits of
book-keeping. Clearly cash movement (change of ownership) or the
movement of commodity is the proper subject matter of
book-keeping. Whether all forms of contract should be similarly
treated is not clear to me. I am inclined to say yes. That is to
adopt Ijiri’s theory of commitment accounting, but I can foresee
that this leads me to conclusions that I may find unpalatable
later on. Incidentally I say this because an epiphany I had,
based on the notion of commitment accounting, some years ago is
beginning to unravel.
Book-keeping goes beyond recording to encompass control. That is
the process by which the integrity of the centre piece of
book-keeping – the general ledger expressing double entry – is
ensured. I will not concern myself with such processes though
this is not to say that they are unimportant.
Accounting is the process by which sense is made of what is a
raw record expressed in the general ledger. It is the process of
distillation and summation that enables the accountant to gain
on overview of what has happened to the entity the subject of
the accounting. Accounting fundamentally assumes that the
accountant is periodically capable of saying something useful
about the real world using his or her special form of notation.
Financial reporting is the process by which data is assembled
into a comprehensive view of the world in accordance with a body
of rules. It differs, in the ideal, from accounting in a number
of ways. Most benignly it differs, for instance, by including
ancillary information for the benefit of a reader beyond the
mere abstraction from the general ledger. Again in the ideal
there is an inter-relationship between the three levels in the
accounting hierarchy. That is, the rules of financial reporting
will, to some degree shape the order and format of the basic,
book-keeping level so that the process of distillation and
summation follows naturally to the final level of reporting
without dramatic alteration.
Perhaps what concerns me is that the sentiment expressed above
can be seen, without much effort, to be only ideal and that in
reality it does not arise. In short the golden strand that links
the detailed recording of real world phenonmena to its final
summation is broken.
An example
I was asked recently by a student of accounting to explain IAS
41, the IASB standard on agriculture. As I don’t deal in primary
production at all, I had not thought about this subject for
years.
IAS 41 admonishes the accountant to apply ‘fair value’
accounting. Fair value accounting is the process by which
current sale prices, or their proxies, are substituted for the
past cost of any given item.
For instance, you may have a mature vineyard. The vineyard
comprises land, the vine and its fruit, the plant necessary to
sustain the vine (support structures, irrigation channels etc.).
Subsumed within the vine are the materials necessary for it to
grow and start producing fruit. This will include the immature
plant, the chemical supplements necessary to nurture and protect
it, and the labour necessary to apply it.
The book-keeping process will faithfully record all of these
components. Suppose for example the plant, fertliser and labour
cost $1000. In the books will be recorded:
Dr Vineyard $1000
Cr Cash $1000
At the end of the accounting period, the accountant will
summarise this is a balance statement. He or she will then
obtain, in some way, the current selling price of the vine.
Presumably this will be the future cash stream of selling the
fruit, suitably discounted. Assume that this is $1200.
The accountant will then make the following incremental
adjustment:
Dr Vineyard $200
Cr Equity $200
Looked like this there is a connection between the original
book-keeping and the periodic adjustment at the end of the
accounting period. This is an illusion. The incremental entry
disguises what is really happening. It is as follows:
Dr Equity $1000
Cr Vineyard $1000
And
Dr Vineyard $1200
Cr Equity $1200
Considered from the long perspective, the original book-keeping
has been discarded and a substitute value put in its place. This
is the truth of the matter. The subject matter of the first
phase of accounting was a set of events arising in a bank and in
the entity undertaking accounting. The subject matter of the
second phase is a set of future sales to a party who does not
yet exist.
From a perspective of solvency determination, a vital element of
corporate governance, the view produced by the first phase is
next to useless. However, the disquiet I had in my mind which I
had suppressed until recently, relates to the shattering of the
linkages between the three levels of accounting in the final
reporting process. This disquiet has returned as I contemplate
the apparently unstoppable momentum of the standard setting
process.
October 28, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Robert,
I hope you add many more entries to your blog.
The problem with "original book-keeping" is that it
provides no answers about how to account for risk of many modern day
contracts that were not imagined when "original book-keeping" evolved in
a simple world of transactions. For example, historical costs of forward
contracts and swaps are zero and yet these contracts may have risks that
may outweigh all the recorded debt under "original book-keeping." Once
we opened the door to fair value accounting to better account for risk,
however, we opened the door to misleading the public that booked fair
value adjustments can be aggregated much like we sum the current
balances of assets and liabilities on the balance sheet. Such
aggregations are generally nonsense.
I don't know if you saw my recent hockey analogy or not.
It goes as follows:
Goal Tenders versus Movers and Shakers
Skate to where the puck is going, not to where it is.
Wayne Gretsky (as quoted for many years by Jerry Trites at
http://www.zorba.ca/ )
Jensen Comment
This may be true for most hockey players and other movers and shakers, but for
goal tenders the eyes should be focused on where the puck is at every moment ---
not where it's going. The question is whether an accountant is a goal tender
(stewardship responsibilities) or a mover and shaker (part of the managerial
decision making team). This is also the essence of the debate of historical
accounting versus pro forma accounting.
Graduate student Derek Panchuk and professor Joan
Vickers, who discovered the Quiet Eye phenomenon, have just completed the most
comprehensive, on-ice hockey study to determine where elite goalies focus their
eyes in order to make a save. Simply put, they found that goalies should keep
their eyes on the puck. In an article to be published in the journal Human
Movement Science, Panchuk and Vickers discovered that the best goaltenders rest
their gaze directly on the puck and shooter's stick almost a full second before
the shot is released. When they do that they make the save over 75 per cent of
the time.
"Keep your eyes on the puck," PhysOrg, October 26, 2006 ---
http://physorg.com/news81068530.html
I have written a more serious piece about both
theoretical and practical problems of fair value accounting. I should
emphasize that this was written after the FASB Exposure Draft proposing
fair value accounting as an option for all financial instruments and the
culminating FAS 157 that is mainly definitional and removed the option
to apply fair value accounting to all financial instruments even though
it is still required in many instances by earlier FASB standards.
E-COMMERCE AND AUDITING FAIR VALUES SUBJECTS OF NEW INTERNATIONAL GUIDANCE
The International Federation of Accountants (IFAC) invites comments on two new
exposure drafts (EDs): Auditing Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures and
Electronic Commerce: Using the Internet or Other Public Networks - Effect on the
Audit of Financial Statements. Comments on both EDs, developed by IFAC's
International Auditing Practices Committee (IAPC), are due by January 15, 2002.
See http://accountingeducation.com/news/news2213.html
The purpose of this International Standard on Auditing (ISA) is to establish
standards and provide guidance on auditing fair value measurements and
disclosures contained in financial statements. In particular, this ISA addresses
audit considerations relating to the valuation, measurement, presentation and
disclosure for material assets, liabilities and specific components of equity
presented or disclosed at fair value in financial statements. Fair value
measurements of assets, liabilities and components of equity may arise from both
the initial recording of transactions and later changes in value.
Jensen Comment
I'm just not as confident in the profession of "independent valuation experts."
You get ten such experts to give you a number, and you will get ten possibly
widely divergent numbers to a point that management and/or auditors can
selectively manage earnings by using carefully chosen valuation "experts." Most
such valuations rely upon crucial assumptions that are highly uncertain,
especially in the case of foreign debt like Argentine bonds.
Secondly, I'm not certain about the benefit-cost of such valuations of banks
having a lot of branches spread across the USA. This is the Ole-versus-Sven
debate that I've used with Tom too often already --- See Below
Does Fair Value Accounting Provide More Useful Financial
Statements than Current GAAP for Banks?
Standard setters
contend that fair value accounting yields the most relevant measurement for
financial instruments. We examine this claim by comparing the value relevance of
banks' financial statements under fair value accounting with that under current
GAAP, which is largely based on historical costs. We find that the combined
value relevance of book value of equity and income under fair value is less than
that under GAAP.
We also find that fair value income is less value-relevant than GAAP income
because of the inclusion of transitory unrealized gains and losses in fair value
income.
More surprisingly, we find that book value of equity under fair value is not
more value-relevant than under GAAP, due both to divergence between exit value
and value-in-use and to measurement error in fair value estimates. Overall, our
results suggest that financial statements under fair value accounting provide
less relevant information for bank valuation than financial statements under
current GAAP.
The FASB is finalizing amendments to its
guidance on the impairment of financial instruments, which would introduce a
new impairment model based on expected losses rather than incurred losses.
The proposed model aims to provide more timely recognition of credit losses
and reduce the complexity of U.S. GAAP by decreasing the number of credit
impairment models used. Deloitte’s “Heads Up” newsletter discusses the new
proposed amendments and provides related comparisons and illustrative
examples.
Continue »
Deloitte’s Heads Up newsletter
provides a comprehensive summary of the FASB’s proposed changes to the
credit impairment guidance under current U.S. GAAP, which are reflected in
the Board’s December 2012 proposed
ASU³ and subsequent tentative decisions.⁴ In
addition, the
full newsletter contains several
appendixes. Appendix A compares the impairment models under current U.S.
GAAP, the FASB’s tentative approach, and the IASB’s recently amended IFRS 9,
respectively. Appendix B, in the full Heads
Up newsletter, gives an
overview of the existing impairment models under U.S. GAAP for loans and
debt securities. Appendix C and Appendix D provide illustrative examples of
how an entity might apply the CECL model to purchased credit-impaired (PCI)
assets and trade receivables, respectively.
The CECL Model
Scope
The CECL model would apply to most⁵ debt
instruments (other than those measured at fair value through net income (FVTNI)),
trade receivables, lease receivables, reinsurance receivables that result
from insurance transactions, financial guarantee contracts,⁶ and loan
commitments. However, available-for-sale (AFS) debt securities would be
excluded from the model’s scope and would continue to be assessed for
impairment under ASC 320⁷ (the FASB has proposed limited changes to the
impairment model for AFS debt securities).
Recognition of Expected Credit
Losses
Unlike the incurred loss models in
existing U.S. GAAP, the CECL model does not specify a threshold for the
recognition of an impairment allowance. Rather, an entity would recognize an
impairment allowance equal to the current estimate of expected credit losses
(i.e., all contractual cash flows that the entity does not expect to
collect) for financial assets as of the end of the reporting period. Credit
impairment would be recognized as an allowance—or contra-asset—rather than
as a direct write-down of the amortized cost basis of a financial asset.
However, the carrying amount of a financial asset that is deemed
uncollectible would be written off in a manner consistent with existing U.S.
GAAP.
Measurement of Expected Credit
Losses
Under the proposed amendments, an entity’s
estimate of expected credit losses represents all contractual cash flows
that the entity does not expect to collect over the contractual life of the
financial asset. When determining the contractual life of a financial asset,
the entity would consider expected prepayments but would not be allowed to
consider expected extensions unless it “reasonably expects that it will
execute a troubled debt restructuring with the borrower.”⁸
The entity would consider all available
relevant information in making the estimate, including information about
past events, current conditions, and reasonable and supportable forecasts
and their implications for expected credit losses. That is, while the entity
would be able to use historical charge-off rates as a starting point in
determining expected credit losses, it would have to evaluate how conditions
that existed during the historical charge-off period differ from its current
expectations and accordingly revise its estimate of expected credit losses.
However, the entity would not be required to forecast conditions over the
contractual life of the asset. Rather, for the period beyond the period for
which the entity can make reasonable and supportable forecasts, the entity
would revert to an unadjusted historical credit loss experience.
Unit of Account
The CECL model would not prescribe a unit
of account (e.g., an individual asset or a group of financial assets) in the
measurement of expected credit losses. However, an entity would be required
to evaluate financial assets within the scope of the model on a collective
(i.e., pool) basis when similar risk characteristics are shared. If a
financial asset does not share similar risk characteristics with the
entity’s other financial assets, the entity would evaluate the financial
asset individually. If the financial asset is individually evaluated for
expected credit losses, the entity would not be allowed to ignore available
external information such as credit ratings and other credit loss
statistics.
Continued in article
The Interaction of the IFRS 9 Expected Loss
Approach with Supervisory Rules and Implications for Financial Stability
SSRN, August 5, 2016
Accounting in Europe (Forthcoming)
Author
Zoltán Novotny-Farkas
Lancaster University - Management School
Abstract
This paper examines the
interaction of the IFRS 9 expected credit loss (ECL) model with supervisory
rules and discusses potential implications for financial stability in the
European Union. Compared to the incurred loss approach of IAS 39, the IFRS 9
ECL model incorporates earlier and larger impairment allowances and is more
closely aligned with regulatory expected loss. The earlier recognition of
credit losses will reduce the build-up of loss-overhangs and the
overstatement of regulatory capital. In addition, extended disclosure
requirements are likely to contribute to more effective market discipline.
Through these channels IFRS 9 might enhance financial stability. However,
due to the reliance on point-in-time estimates of the main input parameters
(probability of default and loss given default) IFRS 9 ECLs will increase
the volatility of regulatory capital for some banks. Furthermore, the ECL
model provides significant room for managerial discretion. Bank supervisors
might play an important role in the implementation of IFRS 9, but too much
supervisory intervention bears the risk of introducing a prudential bias
into loan loss accounting that compromises the integrity of financial
reporting. Overall, the potential benefits of the standard will crucially
depend on its proper and consistent application across jurisdictions.
I begin my remarks by echoing others and
commending the work of the team that has been working on this rule,
including Rolaine Bancroft, Hughes Bates, Michelle Stasny, Kayla Florio,
Heather Mackintosh, Silvia Pilkerton, Robert Errett, Max Rumyantsev, and
Kathy Hsu.
Heather and Sylvia have been working on
the data tagging and preparing EDGAR to accept this new data. This is no
small endeavor.
I want to give a special thank you to
Paula Dubberly, who retired last year from the SEC and is in the audience
today. She has been a champion for investors through her leadership on
asset-backed securities regulation from the development of the initial Reg
AB proposal through the rules that are being considered today.
This rule is an important step
forward in completing the mandated Dodd-Frank Act rulemakings.[1]
The financial crisis revealed investors’ inability to actually assess pools
of loans that had been sliced and diced, sometimes multiple times, by being
securitized, re-securitized, or combined in a dizzying array of complex
financial instruments. The securitization market was at the center of the
financial crisis. While securitization structures provided liquidity to
nearly every sector in the U.S. economy, they also exposed investors to
significant and non-transparent risks due to poor lending practices and poor
disclosure practices.
As we now know, offering documents
failed to provide timely and complete information for investors to assess
the underlying risks of the pool of assets.[2]
Without sufficient and accurate loan level details, analysts and investors
could not gauge the quality of the loans – and without an ability to
distinguish the good from the bad, the secondary market collapsed.
Congress responded and required the
Commission to promulgate rules to address a number of weaknesses in the
securitization process.[3]
Six years after the financial crisis, the
securitization markets continue to recover. While certain asset classes
have rebounded, others continue to struggle.
The rule the Commission issues today
partially addresses the Congressional mandate. In effect, today’s rules
provide investors with better information on what is inside the
securitization package. The rules today do for investors what food and drug
labeling does for consumers – provide a list of ingredients.
This rule also addresses certain critical
flaws that became apparent in the securitization process, including a dearth
of quality information and insufficient time to make informed assessments of
the underlying investments. This rule is an important step toward providing
investors with tools and data to better understand the underlying risks and
appropriately price the securities.
There are several important and laudable
aspects of today’s rule that merit specific mentioning.
First, the rule requires the
underlying loan information to be standardized and available in a tagged XML
format to ensure maximum utility in analysis.[4]
As noted in the Commission’s 2010 Proxy Plumbing Release: “If issuers
provided reportable items in interactive data format, shareholders may be
able to more easily obtain information about issuers, compare information
across different issuers, and observe how issuer-specific information
changes over time as the same issuer continues to file in an interactive
format.”[5]
The same is true for underlying loan information. Investors can unlock the
value and efficiency that standardized, machine readable data allows.
Today’s rule also improves disclosures
regarding the initial offering of securities and significantly, for the
first time, requires periodic updating regarding the loans as they perform
over time. This information will provide a more nuanced and evolving
picture of the underlying assets in a portfolio to investors.
The rule also requires that the principal
executive officer of the ABS issuer certify that the information in the
prospectus or report is accurate. These kinds of certifications provide a
key control to help ensure more oversight and accountability.
As for the privacy concerns that prompted
a re-proposal, the staff has worked hard to balance investor needs for loan
level data with concerns that the data could lead to identification of
individual borrowers. I believe the rule achieves a workable balance
between these two competing needs, while still providing invaluable public
disclosure.
Finally, I believe that the new
disclosure rule will provide investors with the necessary tools to see what
is “under the hood” on auto loan securitizations. In its latest report on
consumer debt and credit, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York noted a
recent spike in subprime auto lending. As the report shows, although
consumer auto debt balances have risen across the board, the real growth has
been in riskier loans.[6]
The disclosure and reporting changes that the Commission is adopting today
will help investors see the quality of the loans in a portfolio and the
performance of those loans over time.
While today’s rules are an important step
forward, more work needs to be done regarding conflicts of interest. We
now know that many firms who were structuring securitizations before the
financial crisis were also betting against those same securitizations.
In April 2010, the Commission
charged the U.S broker-dealer of a large financial services firm for its
role in failing to disclose that it allowed a client to select assets for an
investment portfolio while betting that the portfolio would ultimately lose
its value. Investors in the portfolio lost more than $1 billion.[7]
In October 2011, the Commission sued the
U.S broker-dealer of a large financial services firm for among other things,
selling investment products tied to the housing market and then, for their
own trading, betting that those assets would lose money. In effect, the
firm bet against the very investors it had solicited. An experienced
collateral manager commented internally that a particular portfolio was
“horrible.” While investors lost virtually all of their investments in the
portfolio, the firm pocketed over $160 million from bets it made against the
securitization it created.[8]
The Dodd-Frank Act directed the
Commission to adopt rules prohibiting placement agents, underwriters, and
sponsors from engaging in a material conflict of interest for one year
following the closing of a securitization transaction. Those rules were
required to be issued by April 2011.[9]
The Commission initially proposed these rules in September 2011, and still
has not completed them.[10]
We need to complete these rules as soon as possible, hopefully, by the end
of this year. These rules will provide investors with additional confidence
that they are not being hoodwinked by those packaging and selling those
financial instruments.
Unfortunately, the Commission has put on
hold its work to provide investors with a software engine to aid in the
calculation of waterfall models. Although the final rule provides for a
preliminary prospectus at least three business days before the first sale,
this is reduced from the proposal, which provided for a five-day period.
With only three days to conduct due diligence and make an investment
determination, such a software engine could be an important and much needed
tool for investors to use in analyzing the flow of funds. Such waterfall
models can help investors assess the cash flows from the loan level data.
We should return to this important initiative to provide investors with the
mathematical logic that forms the basis for the narrative disclosure within
the prospectus.
The rule today impacts some significant
sectors of the securitization market, however, the Commission should
continue to work in making improvements that will provide investors with the
disclosures they need regarding other asset classes, such as student loans,
equipment loans and leases, and others as appropriate.
Finally, it is vitally important that the
Commission continue to work with our fellow regulators to establish
important provisions for risk retention, also required by the Dodd-Frank
Act.
In conclusion, I appreciate the staff’s
hard work both with me and my staff over these past several months. But
much work remains to be done. I am committed to working with the staff and
my fellow Commissioners to continue to move forward with Dodd-Frank
rulemakings and specifically rulemakings to improve the strength and
resiliency of securitization markets.
A stable securitization market efficiently
brings investors and issuers together. Thus far, the return of capital to
securitization markets has been disappointing, and I am hopeful that this
rule and others that will follow will provide incentives for both issuers
and investors to return with confidence to this once vibrant marketplace.
The new tools and protections provided in
today’s rule should help restore trust in a market that was at the heart of
the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression. But removing this
black cloud is going to require continuing focus and effort from all of us.
Thank you. I
[1] The
Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L.
No. 111-203, 124 Stat. 1376 (July 21, 2010).
[2]See
Sheila Bair, Bull by The Horns: Fighting to Save Main Street From
Wall Street and Wall Street From Itself at 52 (2012) (investors
in asset-backed securities lacked detailed loan level information
and adequate time to analyze the information before making an
investment decision).
[3] The
Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act imposed
new requirements on the ABS process and required the Commission to
promulgate rules in a number of areas. Section 621 prohibits an
underwriter, placement agent, initial purchaser, sponsor, or any
affiliate or subsidiary of any such entity, of an asset-backed
security from engaging in any transaction that would involve or
result in any material conflict of interest with respect to any
investor in a transaction arising out of such activity for a period
of one year after the date of the first closing of the sale of the
asset-backed security. Section 941 requires the Commission, the
Federal banking agencies, and, with respect residential mortgages,
the Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and the Federal
Housing Finance Agency to prescribe rules to require that a
securitizer retain an economic interest in a material portion of the
credit risk for any asset that it transfers, sells, or conveys to a
third party. The chairperson of the Financial Stability Oversight
Council is tasked with coordinating this regulatory effort. Section
942 contains disclosure and Exchange Act reporting requirements for
ABS issuers. Section 943 requires the Commission to prescribe
regulations on the use of representations and warranties in the ABS
market. Section 945 requires the Commission to issue rules
requiring an asset-backed issuer in a Securities Act registered
transaction to perform a review of the assets underlying the ABS,
and disclose the nature of such review. Seealso
H.R. Rep. No. 4173 (2010) (Dodd-Frank Conference Report)
[9] Dodd-Frank
Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. 111-203, §
621, 124 Stat. 1376, 1632 (2010).
[10]See
SEC Release No. 34-65355, Prohibition against Conflicts of
Interest in Certain Securitizations, September 19, 2011; SEC
Release No. 34-65545, October 12, 2011 (extending the comment period
from December 19, 2011 to January 13, 2012); and SEC Release No.
34-66058, October 12, 2011 (extending the comment period end date
from January 13, 2012 to February 13, 2012).
The Impact of Fair Value Measurement for Bank Assets on
Information Asymmetry and the Moderating Effect of Own Credit Risk Gains and
Losses
The Accounting Review
Article Volume 93, Issue 6 (November 2018) N
https://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-52070
Joana
C.Fontes UCP–Catolica Lisbon School of Business
and Economics
ArgyroPanaretou
Kenneth V.Peasnell Lancaster University
ABSTRACT
We examine whether the use of fair value measurement (FVM) for bank
assets reduces information asymmetry among equity investors (bid-ask spread) and
how this is affected by the recognition of own credit risk gains and losses
(OCR). Our findings show that FVM of assets is associated with noticeably lower
information asymmetry, and that this reduction is more than twice as large when
banks also recognize OCR. In addition, we find that the bid-ask spread is
incrementally lower for banks that provide more detailed narrative disclosures
on OCR. The findings also indicate that the effects of asset FVM and OCR
recognition on the bid-ask spread do not simply capture the differences in the
characteristics of the banks and the quality of their information environments.
Data Availability: All
data are available from public sources.
European banks and other banks outside the U.S.
will have to record losses on bad loans more quickly and set aside more
reserves for loan losses under an overhaul of finance-accounting rules that
global rule makers made final on Thursday.
Under the new standard, non-U.S. banks will have to
book loan losses based on their expectation that future losses will occur,
beginning in 2018. That is expected to speed up the booking of losses and
require greater loan-loss reserves.
Currently, banks don't record losses until they
have actually happened, but many observers believe that method led banks to
be too slow in taking losses during the financial crisis.
The move by the London-based International
Accounting Standards Board, which has been in the works for years, could
create a conundrum for the banking industry: Because U.S. and global rule
makers haven't been able to agree on the same accounting approach for
writing off bad loans, it could become more difficult to compare U.S. banks
and those outside the U.S.
U.S. and global rule makers have been striving for
years to eliminate differences between their rules in some major areas of
accounting, including loans and other financial instruments, but the effort
has been plagued by problems and delays. The two systems have gotten more
similar in some areas, but on this banking issue, some analysts say they are
growing more different.
The Financial Accounting Standards Board, the U.S.
accounting rule-setter, has proposed U.S. banks switch from the
incurred-loss model that both use now to the expected-loss approach, too.
But the two disagree on just how rapidly banks should book their loan
losses.
The IASB will require non-U.S. banks to immediately
book only those losses based on the probability that a loan will default in
the next 12 months. If the loan's quality gets significantly worse, other
losses would be recorded in the future. The IASB move will affect all
financial assets on non-U.S. companies' balance sheets, but the treatment of
bank loans is particularly important due to the role that soured loans and
credit losses play in their businesses.
The change "will enhance investor confidence in
banks' balance sheets and the financial system as a whole," said Hans
Hoogervorst, chairman of IASB, which sets accounting rules for most
countries outside the U.S.
The Institute of Chartered Accountants in England
and Wales, a London-based accountants' group, estimated that the IASB
changes will increase banks' loan-loss provisions by about 50% on average.
Iain Coke, head of ICAEW's financial-services faculty, said the new rule,
combined with tougher regulatory-capital requirements, may force banks to
hold more capital for the same risks. "This may make banks safer but may
also make them more costly to run," he said.
The FASB proposal, however, would require all
losses expected over the lifetime of a loan to be booked up front—so if it
is enacted, U.S. banks would record more losses immediately than banks in
other countries, and might have to set aside more reserves, hurting their
current financial results and making them look worse compared with foreign
banks, many banking and accounting observers believe. The FASB hasn't
completed its proposed changes, though it hopes to do so by year-end.
"It's unfortunate that we do have a different
standard being issued," said Tony Clifford, a partner with Big Four
accounting firm EY.
The IASB said in documents laying out its proposal
Thursday that although it and the FASB had made "every effort" to agree on
the same approach, "ultimately those efforts have been unsuccessful."
Christine Klimek, a FASB spokeswoman, said the FASB
believes its approach "best serves the interests of investors in U.S.
capital markets because it better reflects the credit risks of loans on an
institution's balance sheet." IASB's approach likely would lead to lower
loan-loss reserves than FASB's at U.S. banks, she said, "which would have
been counterintuitive to the lessons learned during the recent financial
crisis."
In addition, Mr. Clifford said, the new IASB rule
requires banks to use their own judgment to a greater extent than existing
rules when determining their expected losses, and that could lead to
differences between individual banks that could make it harder for investors
to compare them.
Among other provisions of the new rule the IASB
issued Thursday, non-U.S. banks will no longer have to record gains to net
income when their own creditworthiness declines, and losses when their
creditworthiness improves—a counterintuitive practice known in the U.S. as
"debt/debit valuation adjustments," or DVA. Those gains and losses will be
stripped out of the banks' net income and be placed into "other
comprehensive income," a separate measurement that doesn't affect the main
earnings number tracked by most investors. Banks can adopt that change
separately, before the rest of the IASB rule.
The FASB has proposed a similar move for U.S. banks
but has yet to enact it.
Constituents disagreed with one another on numerous
aspects of the models, including the following:
Immediate recognition of all lifetime
expected credit losses—Many U.S. investors and some regulators
supported the FASB’s impairment model, which requires up-front
recognition of all expected credit losses over the term of the financial
asset (rather than only a portion of those expected credit losses in
certain circumstances, as the IASB proposes); they maintained that
reserve adequacy is imperative. However, U.S. preparers generally raised
concerns about recognizing all lifetime expected credit losses
immediately. Specifically, they noted that (1) the asset’s net carrying
amount would be understated on day 1 and (2) interest income (i.e.,
compensation for credit risk) would not be matched with the recognition
of credit-loss expense.
Immediate recognition of
less-than-lifetime expected credit losses—Unlike proponents of
the FASB’s impairment model, investors, preparers, and others outside
the United States generally supported the IASB’s approach, which would
require entities to immediately recognize only 12 months of expected
credit losses in certain circumstances. They disliked the FASB’s
approach of recognizing all lifetime expected credit losses on all
assets for two reasons. First, they observed that it would be difficult
to estimate such losses reliably, especially for assets that are still
performing and not considered at risk of not performing. Second, they
noted that a model that immediately recognizes lifetime expected credit
losses on all assets ignores the idea that pricing of financial assets
incorporates some expectation of credit loss.
Aspects of the proposals on which constituents
generally agreed include the following:
Need for convergence—Because
of the global impact of the credit crisis, convergence has been a
consistent theme of feedback throughout the history of the joint
impairment project. Although commenters and constituents have expressed
their belief that convergence is important and have encouraged the FASB
and IASB to continue working together, their opinions differ on what a
converged model should look like. Further, some have stated that the
boards should first focus on improving current guidance in a timely
fashion.
Expected credit loss model—Most
respondents supported the transition to an expected credit loss model.
Under that model, entities would estimate credit losses on the basis of
historical information, current information, and reasonable and
supportable forecasts of expected collectability of cash flows and
recognize such losses earlier than they would under the incurred loss
model in current guidance. However, because much confusion was expressed
about the meaning of “reasonable and supportable forecasts” during the
FASB’s outreach activities, the FASB explained the types of information
that entities could use to make forecasts and assured stakeholders that
forecasts and predictions of economic conditions over the entire life of
the asset would not be required.
Single model—Most respondents
agreed that a single impairment model for all financial assets measured
at amortized cost or at fair value through other comprehensive income
(FV-OCI) would be preferable to the current multiple impairment models,
which can vary (e.g., depending on whether the asset is a security).
Some respondents favored the current approach for debt securities, and a
number stated that more practical expedients should be permitted for
such instruments.
Simpler approach for PCI assets—Most
respondents to the FASB’s proposal agreed on the need to simplify the
accounting for losses on purchased creditimpaired (PCI) financial assets
under current U.S. GAAP, which in some cases requires a different
treatment for changes in expectations depending on whether such changes
are favorable or unfavorable. Also, most respondents agreed that PCI
assets should be presented “gross” on the financial statements.
Disclosures—Most users agreed
with the disclosure requirements proposed by both boards. Most other
respondents agreed with the objective of the disclosures, but noted that
they might be too detailed, restrictive, and onerous.
Next Steps
The FASB and IASB will most likely begin
redeliberations in September of this year. Give the disparate feedback and
the general preference by constituents of each board for that board’s own
model, it is unclear whether the boards can fully converge their respective
standards. Final guidance is not expected until 2014. No effective date has
been set, but feedback generally indicated that constituents would need at
least two to three years to implement a final standard (i.e., if a standard
is finalized in 2014, it should be effective no earlier than 2017).
Teaching Case
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on December 6, 2013
TOPICS: Allowance For Doubtful Accounts, Bad Debts, Banking,
Disclosure, Financial Ratios
SUMMARY: According to reported numbers in their financial
statements, Chinese banks' nonperforming loans are only .9% of total bank
loans, bested only by Luxembourg at .4% and Canada at .6%. The U.S. rate is
3.9%. Also, "China's economic slowdown has started to hurt industries like
shipbuilding, steel and solar power, as well as the more developed east
coast...." So Chinese banks' declining price-to-book ratios tell a different
story than do the financial statement ratios: "'People are very skeptical
about the [non-performing loan] ratios,' said Jim Antos, a banking analyst
at Mizuho Securities. 'The market is saying: We just don't trust the
credit-quality trends in China.'" The banks roll over troubled loans without
disclosing data on the restructured loans. While the banks "need a reason to
justify rolling over a loan..there are ways around the hurdle." One Fitch
analyst sees high corporate debt burdens as a result of these practices.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in an international
accounting class, a class covering accounting by banking institutions, or to
introduce an interesting analysis of allowances for bad debts.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What is a nonperforming loan?
2. (Advanced) What is the problem with reporting of nonperforming
loans by Chinese banks? Include in your answer a definition of the term
"troubled debt restructuring."
3. (Advanced) What is the price-to-book ratio? In general, how does
this ratio reflect stock market sentiment about the book value of a business
and its growth opportunities not yet shown in its financial statements?
4. (Introductory) What has been the trend in price-to-book ratios
for Chinese banks? According to the article, what does that trend indicate?
5. (Introductory) How are Chinese banks working with companies who
"can demonstrate other banks are willing to provide loans to repay" original
bank loans that become troubled?
6. (Introductory) How has one Fitch Ratings analyst identified
information on the extent of problem debt levels in China?
7. (Advanced) Define the concept of representational faithfulness.
Explain how that qualitative characteristic of financial reporting is
apparently being violated in published financial statements of Chinese
banks.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Nonperforming loans account for less than 1% of
total loans, a ratio that has been falling in recent years and is now one of
the lowest in the world, according to World Bank data. Despite this,
price-to-book values of the country's leading banks have been declining over
the past few years, reflecting worries about deteriorating credit quality in
China.
"People are very skeptical about the
[nonperforming-loan] ratios," said Jim Antos, a banking analyst at Mizuho
Securities. "The market is saying: 'We just don't trust the credit-quality
trends in China.'"
The reason China's bad-debt levels are so low boils
down to the tendency of the country's banks to routinely extend or
restructure loans to borrowers, or sell them, rather than admit they have
gone bad and record a loss in their accounts, analysts say. While the tactic
is also used in the West and was a major source of concern during the
financial crisis, it is increasingly prevalent in China, where lending has
been booming over the past five years. In the U.S., bad loans are 3.9% of
total loans.
"There is a culture of rolling things over when
they come due at least once, often more," said Charlene Chu, an analyst at
Fitch Ratings. In rolling over a loan, a bank can renew the debt or push out
the repayment deadline. "In fact, one of the main functions of China's
shadow finance system is to provide temporary credit to facilitate rollovers
and interest payments," she added.
China's Yingli Green Energy Holding Co., the
world's biggest solar- panel maker by sales, is confident it will be able to
roll over its debt with Chinese lenders this year, a spokesman said. There
is no suggestion that the company is unable to meet its obligations, but it
has recorded losses for more than two years as solar-panel prices have
fallen amid a glut. Yingli had $1.2 billion in short-term debt outstanding
at the end of September, and rolled over about $1.3 billion of debt that was
due in 2012, most of which was owed to Chinese banks, according to filings.
The country's regulators discourage banks from
rolling over troubled loans, in an effort to ensure that asset-quality data
accurately reflects reality. But the sheer volume of loans this year
indicates much of the debt in the system is being rolled over, according to
Ms. Chu. In China's banking system, 9.5 trillion Chinese yuan ($1.6
trillion) of new loans will have been given out this year, even after
repayments are taken into account, by Fitch's estimates.
Fitch predicts that this year, more than 10
trillion yuan of additional credit will be extended through shadow banking,
a system of loosely regulated nonbank lenders like trust companies and
pawnbrokers. Banks don't disclose data on rolled-over loans.
Banks need a reason to justify rolling over a loan,
particularly if a company can't repay it. But there are ways around the
hurdle. "If you can demonstrate other banks are willing to provide the loans
to repay yours, then that's a justification for a bank to continue giving a
loan," Barclays analyst May Yan said.
When they do roll over loans, Chinese banks
sometimes do it in creative ways. To skirt restrictions on rolling over
loans, banks cooperate with informal lenders that provide bank customers
with short-term loans with high interest rates. That borrowing is used to
repay a bank loan on the understanding that the bank will issue a new loan
two or three weeks later. Such behavior can, in some instances, lead to
bigger corporate-debt burdens.
"You look at the data and it just starts to get
ridiculous how high some of the debt burdens are and that can't go on into
infinity," Fitch's Ms. Chu said. "But over the short term there's nothing to
say that this has to end right now and a lot of it comes down to banks'
willingness to continue to extend and rollover credit."
China's economic slowdown has started to hurt
industries like shipbuilding, steel and solar power, as well as the more
developed east coast, home to cities like Beijing and Shanghai.
Nonperforming loans in the first six months of 2013 rose 22% on the east
coast from the final six months of 2012, while nonperforming loans in the
rest of China declined 5%, according to Bernstein Research.
Nonperforming loan ratios have fallen from 22.4% in
2000, but bad debts are rising, as Bernstein's numbers indicate. This comes
as the government is working to rein in lending: In October, net
local-currency loans extended in China totaled $83 billion, down 36% from
September and the lowest monthly figure all year.
Continued in article
PwC's Appeal to Upgrade the Shameful Valuation Profession Smitten With
Non-independence and Unreliability
Jensen Comment
Tom Selling repeatedly assumes there is a valuation profession of men and women
in white robes and gold halos who can be called upon to reliably and
independently valuate such things as troubled loan investments having no deep
markets. Bob Jensen argues that the valuation profession is one of the
least-independent and least-reliable professions in the world, especially in the
USA as evidenced in part by the shameful valuations of mortgage collateral on
tens of millions of properties, thereby enabling subprime mortgages that never
should have been granted in the first place. Furthermore credit rating agencies
that value securities participated wildly in overvaluing poisoned CDO bonds that
brought down some of the big investment banks of Wall Street like Bear Sterns,
Merrill Lynch, and Lehman Bros.
In the article below, PwC calls the valuation profession shameful and calls
for major upgrades that, while falling short of issuing white robes with gold
halos, would go a long way toward improving a rotten profession.
The largely unregulated valuation profession could
use a shake-up, in the view of some who rely on valuations to achieve
regulatory compliance.
PwC recently published two white papers calling on
the valuation profession to up their game in terms of unifying themselves
under a single professional framework and improving their standards. The
financial reporting world needs greater quality and consistency, the Big 4
firms says, as financial reporting grows increasingly reliant on valuations
to help prepare and audit financial statements steeped in fair value
measurements. One paper focuses on the need for the valuation profession to
unify itself under a single professional infrastructure, while the other
addresses the need for better valuation standards.
The message is consistent with one delivered
earlier by Paul Beswick, now chief accountant at the Securities and Exchange
Commission. “The fragmented nature of the profession creates an environment
where expectation gaps can exist between valuators, management, and
auditors, as well as standard setters and regulators,” he said at a 2011
accounting conference. The SEC and the Public Company Accounting Oversight
Board both have called on preparers and auditors to pay closer attention to
the valuations they are relying on and not simply accept them at face value.
“Historically, the valuation profession hasn't been
front and center in capital markets,” says John Glynn, U.S. valuation
services leader for PwC. “The accounting model didn't have as many pieces
measured at fair value as we have today. Some of the questions about the
professional infrastructure that didn't matter previously have become more
apparent.”
The valuation profession is governed by a number of
different professional organizations, PwC says, each with different
credentialing and membership requirements and none of them specific to the
needs of capital markets. “To maintain its professional standing in an
increasingly rigorous environment and promote greater confidence in its
work, the valuation profession needs to address questions about the quality,
consistency, and reliability of its valuations, particularly those performed
for financial reporting purposes,” PwC writes. “A key element to
successfully addressing such questions is having a leading global standard
setter that issues technical valuation standards governing the performance
of valuations for financial reporting purposes.”
The answer is not necessarily a new regulatory
channel, says Glynn. “We need to give the valuation profession a way to
build a self-regulatory mechanism,” he says. “One or or more of the
professional organizations need to agree to build something that is focused
on building a high-quality infrastructure to support the valuation
professionals that are working in public capital markets, particularly
around financial reporting.” That should include education requirements,
accreditations, certifications, as well as professional standards and
performance standards developed under a robust system of due process, he
says. The International Valuations Standards Council is showing potential to
become a leader in driving the profession to a unified, global valuation
approach, Glynn says.
Hi Pat,
Tom Selling writes that:
It has been my position
throughout
that the FASB has come to realize that their own
individual interests, as opposed to the public interest, requires that any
changes they make to GAAP must be acceptable to Wall Street and the
bankers.
. . .
At this point, the object of the exercise should be
painfully obvious. Compared to current values, even the best possible
version of amortized cost accounting that bankers could use to save their
hides (a la Mr. Shabudin), or feather their nests (a la
the bankers who remain at large) is nothing more than a straw man.
What Tom does not point out the inconsistency of the above argument in light
of the fact that the bankers are lobbying against the amortized cost accounting
change in the three-bucket fair value standard for loan losses, the fair value
standard that's served them so well in managing their earnings since fair value
of unique troubled loans often have no value in the market or a fire-sale value
that's inappropriate.
I would contend that he should be taking on the IASB more than the FASB. The
IASB has proven that when it comes to recognizing losses on debt like Greek
Bonds, the IASB is allowing European bankers and EU lawmakers to dictate
accounting standards for loan impairments.
Question
Why do banks hate the new loan loss (bad debt estimation) model proposed by the
FASB in place of the prior fair value estimation model?
More than a dozen of the biggest U.S. banks have
questioned a proposed accounting change meant to boost reserves for risky
loans, saying the results would be vastly different from those of a similar
rule being developed by global standard-setters.
A key reform arising out of the 2007-08 global
financial crisis, the proposal would require banks to look ahead and reserve
for expected losses on the day a loan is made.
Currently, banks do not have to reserve for risky
loans until there are signs of a loss.
Reserves were criticized as being "too little, too
late" during the global crisis, when major banks were buffeted by defaults
on loans and other debt. Many had to be bailed out because they had not set
aside enough for losses.
Numerous banking regulators have called for more
timely reserves, though critics have also warned that proposed accounting
changes would make quarterly earnings more volatile as banks adjust their
expectations for losses.
In a letter to accounting rule-makers, banks
suggested that trying to predict losses too far ahead would be unreliable.
Banks signing the letter included Bank of America
Corp, Citigroup Inc, JPMorgan Chase & Co and Morgan Stanley. Spokesmen for
the banks either declined to comment or did not respond to requests for
comment.
The letter, dated May 10, was addressed to the
Connecticut-based Financial Accounting Standards Board, which sets U.S.
accounting standards, and the London-based International Accounting
Standards Board, which sets international rules.
FASB is seeking comment on its proposal through May
31, and its details may change. Analysts said it would likely not be
effective before 2015. A separate rule on loan losses was proposed by the
IASB in March.
50 PCT JUMP IN RESERVES POSSIBLE
The letter intensified pressure on the two boards
to align their rules. U.S. companies use FASB's generally accepted
accounting principles, or GAAP. Much of the rest of the world uses IASB's
international financial reporting standards (IFRS).
The two boards have been working for over a decade
to merge their standards. Financial accounting has been a key focus since
the global crisis, but the boards parted ways on loan loss accounting last
year.
"Relative to the IASB's proposal, the FASB's
proposal would generally require entities to recognize allowances for credit
losses sooner and in larger amounts," said Bruce Pounder, director of
professional programs at Loscalzo Associates, a Shrewsbury, New Jersey-based
accounting education company.
The balance sheets of U.S. banks could look
significantly worse than that of banks using international standards, even
in identical economic conditions, he said.
Continued in article
Will bad loans look worse under U.S. GAAP versus IFRS?
How Bad is a Bad Bank Loan: Rule Split to Put U.S. Banks at a Loss
From the CFO Morning Ledger on February 28, 2013
How bad is a bad bank loan?
Accounting regulators in the U.S. and Europe disagree on the standards for
how banks book loan losses, and their rift could lead to tens of billions of
dollars being carved off U.S. lenders’ current profits, writes the WSJ’s
Michael Rapaport. The FASB and the IASB have separate proposals in the works
that would require banks to record losses on soured loans earlier than they
do now. But the U.S. proposal goes a step further and would force
American banks to accelerate even more losses more quickly than foreign
banks would. If U.S. and overseas banks end up using different models
for booking losses, that could create an apples-to-oranges situation that
would make it more difficult for investors to tell how they stack up against
one another.
How bad is a bad bank loan? Accounting regulators
in the U.S. and Europe disagree, and their rift could lead to tens of
billions of dollars being carved off U.S. lenders' current profits.
American and global rule makers have separate
proposals in the works that would require banks to record losses on soured
loans earlier than they do now. The plans aim to give investors a more
accurate picture of banks' health, after many critics felt banks, both in
the U.S. and abroad, took losses too slowly during the financial crisis.
But the U.S. proposal goes a step further: In a
split with their overseas counterparts, U.S. rule makers would force
American banks to accelerate even more losses more quickly than foreign
banks would.
That could severely crimp current results for U.S.
banks, some observers believe—an example of how a host of regulatory actions
on both sides of the Atlantic may cause disparities. It also could hurt how
investors perceive the health and performance of U.S. banks versus their
competitors.
"If overseas banks don't have to record losses as
early as U.S. banks, I think that puts [the U.S. banks] at a disadvantage,"
said Patrick Dolan, a finance and securitization attorney with Dechert LLP.
The gap between the two proposals is "a big
difference," said Donna Fisher, a senior vice president at the American
Bankers Association. Banks "all agreed globally that we want one standard"
for booking losses, she said.
If U.S. and overseas banks end up using different
models for booking losses, that could create an apples-to-oranges situation
that would make it more difficult for investors to tell how they stack up
against one another.
"They will be harder to compare than they are at
present," said Peter Elwin, head of European pensions, valuation and
accounting research for J.P. Morgan JPM +3.41% Cazenove, part of J.P. Morgan
Chase & Co.
The changes aren't imminent. The plans from both
the U.S.'s Financial Accounting Standards Board and International Accounting
Standards Board, its London-based global counterpart, are still in the early
stages: The IASB proposal hasn't even been formally issued yet, and both
boards will listen to public comment on their plans before making a final
decision. No changes are expected to take effect before 2015.
But FASB has suggested that some large U.S. banks
might have to increase bad-loan reserves by 50% in some areas of their
business. U.S. industry-wide reserves were $162 billion at the end of 2012,
according to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. Currently, banks wait to
record loan losses until there is evidence that losses have actually
occurred.
During the financial crisis, net loan charge-offs
booked by U.S. banks didn't peak until late 2009, according to FDIC data,
more than a year after the heart of the crisis.
That left banks carrying huge piles of bad loans
even after it was apparent they were souring in droves, making the banks
appear healthier to investors than they really were and delaying the banks'
reckoning with the crisis's impact.
Banks charged off $189 billion in bad loans in 2009
and $187 billion in 2010, according to the FDIC—much of which arguably
should have been charged off earlier. (Charge-offs were $100 billion in 2008
and only $44 billion in 2007.)
Both FASB and IASB now want to change that system,
so that projections of future losses would be the standard for booking loan
losses. That is expected to speed up recognition of bad loans.
Until last summer, the two panels also had agreed
on the details of how and when to book the losses: Largely, only those
losses based on events expected over the following 12 months would be booked
upfront. But FASB pulled away from that method, saying that it had heard
concerns from some banks, investors and regulators that it was too complex.
Now, the FASB proposal, issued in December, calls
for all losses banks expect over the life of a loan to be booked upfront. If
that expectation changes, so will the recorded amount of losses.
According to
Merriam Webster, a black box is broadly defined as
“anything that has mysterious or unknown internal functions or mechanisms.”
How appropriate that
Jonathan Weil called our attention to an
“unconventional profitability metric” used by Black Box (the Company) to
report third quarter performance in its
January 29th press release (Form 8-K, Exhibit
99.1). As usual, Jon got right to the point, and suggested that using the
term “adjusted Ebitda (as adjusted)” was just another ploy to make “earnings
look better.” While I generally agree with Jon’s conclusion, I am
particularly stunned by the lack of creativity exhibited by the Company’s
accountants in naming their performance metrics. After all, even a bean
counter should be able to come up with something better. As a grumpy old
accountant, I'd recommend using Lynn Turner’s “everything
but bad stuff” EBS title (coined over a decade
ago)…now that might have been more appropriate! But why did Black Box’s
accountants just give up? Well, after a bit of digging, I think I know why.
I also discovered that this was just one of five non-GAAP measures used by
the Company in its press release, but not in its current 10-Q or 10-K. And
finally, Black Box omitted a very important income statement disclosure in
its press release that was included in its 10-Q and prior year 10-K. All of
this raises questions about the transparency of the Company’s most recent
financial disclosures, and what is prompting the recent move to non-GAAP
metrics.
But first, even
though I have little or no respect for most performance based non-GAAP
metrics, I must confess that Black Box’s “unconventional profitability
metric” appears to comply with the policies of the U.S. Securities and
Exchange Commission (SEC). The SEC outlines its rules for such measures in
its
Final
Rule on Non-GAAP Financial Measures, as well as
its
Compliance and Disclosure Interpretations on Non-GAAP Financial Measures.
In fact, the Company’s cumbersome EBITDA moniker is
likely due to SEC guidance to use the word “adjusted” when reconciling net
income to a non-standard definition of EBITDA. However, Black Box adopted
two separate non-GAAP EBITDA metrics: EBITDA as adjusted
and the hilarious “adjusted EBITDA (as adjusted)”
term, the two of which differed only by stock compensation expense. The
table below shows how these two non-GAAP measures relate to each other, as
well as to the more traditional notion of EBITDA. The first column reflects
income statement data for the Company’s nine months of operations for the
current fiscal year (3QYTD13) as reported in the January 29th press release
(8-K, Exhibit 99.1, page 10), while the other three columns reflect related
P&L data from prior Company 10-K’s.
. . .
In summary, the Company’s “adjusted Ebitda (as
adjusted)” metric appears to be the tip of a financial reporting iceberg.
Instead of improving financial reporting transparency, Black Box may really
be a Pandora’s Box of non-GAAP metrics that obfuscate “true” performance.
Continued in article
This is remotely related to OCI reporting where earnings are adjusted for
non-recurrent and unrealized value changes.
From PwC on February 5, 2013 Reporting of Amounts Reclassified Out of Accumulated Other Comprehensive
Income
On February 5, 2013, the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) issued
Accounting Standards Update No. 2013-02, Reporting of Amounts Reclassified Out
of Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income. This guidance is the culmination of
the board's redeliberation on reporting reclassification adjustments from
accumulated other comprehensive income. The new requirements will take effect
for public companies in interim and annual reporting periods beginning after
December 15, 2012 (the first quarter of 2013 for public, calendar-year
companies).
http://www.pwc.com/en_US/us/cfodirect/assets/pdf/in-brief/in-brief-2013-05-fasb-other-comprehensive-income.pdf
"Academic Research and Standard-Setting: The Case of Other Comprehensive
Income,"
by Lynn L. Rees and Philip B. Shane, Accounting Horizons,
December 2012, Vol. 26, No. 4, pp. 789-815. ---
http://aaajournals.org/doi/full/10.2308/acch-50237
This paper links academic accounting research on
comprehensive income reporting with the accounting standard-setting efforts
of the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) and the International
Accounting Standards Board (IASB). We begin by discussing the development of
reporting other comprehensive income, and we identify a significant weakness
in the FASB's Conceptual Framework, in the lack of a cohesive definition of
any subcategory of comprehensive income, including earnings. We identify
several attributes that could help allocate comprehensive income between net
income, other comprehensive income, and other subcategories. We then review
academic research related to remaining standard-setting issues, and identify
gaps in academic research where hypotheses could be developed and tested.
Our objectives are to (1) stimulate standard-setters to better conceptualize
what is meant by other comprehensive income and to distinguish it from
earnings, and (2) stimulate researchers to develop and test hypotheses that
might help in that process.
. . .
Potential Alternative Definitions of Earnings
Table 1 summarizes and categorizes various
standard-setting issues related to reporting comprehensive income, and
provides the organizing structure for our literature review later in the
paper. The most important of these issues is the definition of earnings, or
what makes up earnings and how it is distinguished from OCI. This is a
“cross-cutting” issue because it arises when the Boards deliberate on
various topics. The Boards cooperatively initiated the financial statement
presentation project intending, in part, to solve the comprehensive income
composition problem, but the project was subsequently delayed.
Table 2 presents a list of the specific
comprehensive income components under current U.S. GAAP that require
recognition as OCI. The second column presents the statement that provided
financial reporting guidance for the OCI component, along with its effective
date. The effective dates provide an indication as to how the OCI components
have expanded over time. Since the issuance of Statement No. 130, which
established formal reporting of OCI, new OCI-expanding requirements were
promulgated in Statement No. 133. Financial instruments, insurance, and
leases are three examples of topics currently on the FASB's agenda where OCI
has been discussed as an option to report various gains and losses. In all
these discussions, a framework is lacking that can guide standard-setter
decisions. The increased use of accumulated OCI to capture various changes
in net assets and the likely expansion of OCI items reinforce the notion
that standard-setters must eventually come to grips with the distinction
between OCI and earnings, or even whether the practice of reporting OCI with
recycling should be retained.7
Presumably, elements with similar informational
attributes should be classified together in financial statements. It is
unclear what attributes the items listed in Table 2 possess that result in
their being characterized differently from other components of income.
Notably, the basis for conclusions of the FASB standards gives little to no
economic reasoning for the decision to place these items in OCI. While not
exhaustive, Table 2 presents four attributes that standard-setters could
potentially use to distinguish between earnings and OCI: (1) the degree of
persistence of the item, (2) whether the item results from a firm's core
operations, (3) whether the item represents a change in net assets that is
reasonably within management's control, and (4) whether the item results
from remeasurement of an asset/liability. We discuss in turn the merits and
potential problems of using these attributes to form a reporting framework
for comprehensive income.
Degree of Persistence.
The degree of persistence of various comprehensive
income components has significant implications for firm value (e.g.,
Friedman 1957; Kormendi and Lipe 1987; Collins and Kothari 1989). Ohlson's
(1995, 1999) valuation model places a heavy emphasis on earnings
persistence, which suggests that a reporting format that facilitates
identifying the level of persistence across income components could be
useful to investors. Examples abound as to how the concept of income
persistence has been used in standard-setting, including separate
presentation in the income statement for one-time items, extraordinary
items, and discontinued operations. Standard-setters have justified several
footnote disclosures (segmental disclosures) and disaggregation requirements
(e.g., components of pension expense) on the basis of providing information
to financial statement users about the persistence of various income
statement components.
Thus, the persistence of revenue and expense items
potentially could serve as a distinguishing characteristic of earnings and
OCI. Table 2 shows that we regard all the items currently recognized in OCI
as having relatively low persistence. However, several other low-persistence
items are not recognized in OCI; for example, gains/losses on sale of
assets, impairments of assets, restructuring charges, and gains/losses from
litigation. To be consistent with this definition of OCI, the current
paradigm must change significantly, and the resulting total for OCI would
look substantially different from what it is now.
Using persistence of an item to distinguish
earnings from OCI would create significant problems for standard-setters.
Persistence can range from completely transitory (zero persistence) to
permanent (100 percent persistence). At what point along this range is an
item persistent enough to be recorded in earnings? While restructuring
charges are typically considered as having low persistence, if they occur
every two to three years, is this frequent enough to be classified with
other earnings components or infrequent enough to be classified with OCI?
Furthermore, the relative persistence of an item likely varies across
industries, and even across firms.
In spite of these inherent difficulties,
standard-setters could establish criteria related to persistence that they
might use to ultimately determine the classification of particular items. In
addition, standard-setters would not be restricted to classifying income
components in one of two categories. As an example, highly persistent
components could be classified as part of “recurring earnings,”
medium-persistence items could go to “other earnings,” and low-persistence
items to OCI (or some other nomenclature). Standard-setters could create
additional partitions as needed.
Core Operations.
Classifying income components as earnings or OCI
based on whether they are part of a firm's core operations is intuitively
appealing. This criterion is related to income persistence, as we would
expect core earnings to be more persistent than noncore income items.
Furthermore, classifying income based on whether it is part of core
operations has a long history in accounting.
In current practice, companies and investors place
primary importance on some variant of earnings. However, it is not clear
which variant of earnings is superior. Many companies report pro forma net
income, which presumably provides investors with a more representative
measure of the company's core income, but definitions of pro forma earnings
vary across firms. Similarly, analysts tend to forecast a company's core
earnings (Gu and Chen 2004). Evidence in prior research indicates that pro
forma earnings and actual earnings forecasted by analysts are more closely
associated with share prices than income from continuing operations based on
current U.S. GAAP (e.g., Bradshaw and Sloan 2002; Bhattacharya et al. 2003).
The problems inherent with this attribute are
similar to those of the earnings-persistence criterion. No generally
accepted definition of core operations exists. At what point along a
continuum does an activity become part of the core operations of a business?
As Table 2 indicates, classifying gains/losses from holding
available-for-sale securities as part of core earnings depends on whether
the firm operates in the financial sector. Different operating environments
across firms and industries could make it difficult for standard-setters to
determine whether an item belongs in core earnings or OCI.8 In addition,
differences in application across firms may give rise to concerns about
comparability and potential for abuse on the part of managers in exercising
their discretion (e.g., Barth et al. 2011).
The FASB's (2010) Staff Draft on Financial
Statement Presentation tries to address the definitional issue by using
interrelationships and synergies between assets and liabilities as a
criterion to distinguish operating (or core) activities from investing (or
noncore) activities. Specifically, the Staff Draft states:
An entity shall classify in the operating category:
Assets that are used as part of the entity's
day-to-day business and all changes in those assets Liabilities that arise
from the entity's day-to-day business and all changes in those liabilities.
Operating activities generate revenue through a
process that requires the interrelated use of the entity's resources. An
asset or a liability that an entity uses to generate a return and any change
in that asset or liability shall be classified in the investing category. No
significant synergies are created for the entity by combining an asset or a
liability classified in the investing category with other resources of the
entity. An asset or a liability classified in the investing category may
yield a return for the entity in the form of, for example, interest,
dividends, royalties, equity income, gains, or losses. (FASB 2010, paras.
72, 73, 81)
The above distinction between operating activities
and investing activities could similarly be used to distinguish between core
activities and noncore activities. Alternatively, standard-setters might
develop other definitions. Similar to the degree of persistence attribute,
standard-setters would not be restricted to a simple core versus noncore
dichotomy when using this definition.
Another possible solution is to allow management to
determine which items belong in core earnings. Companies exercise this
discretion today when they choose to disclose pro forma earnings.
Furthermore, the FASB established the precedent of the “management approach”
when it allowed management to determine how to report segment disclosures.
In several other areas of U.S. GAAP, management is responsible for
establishing boundaries that define its operating environment. FASB
Accounting Standards Codification Topic 320 (formerly Statement 115) permits
different measurements for identical investments based on management's
intent to sell or hold the instrument. Other examples where U.S. GAAP allows
for management discretion include determining the rate to discount pension
liabilities, defining reporting units, and determining whether an impairment
is other than temporary. However, the management approach accentuates the
concern about comparability and potential for abuse.
Management Control.
Given a premise that evaluating management's
stewardship is a primary role of financial statements, a possible rationale
for excluding certain items from earnings is that they do not provide a good
measure to evaluate management.9 Management can largely control the firm's
operating costs and can influence the level of revenues generated. However,
some decisions that affect comprehensive income can be established by
company policy or the company mission statement and, thus, be outside the
control of management. For example, a company policy might be to invest
excess cash in marketable securities with the objective of maximizing
returns. Once the board of directors establishes this policy, management has
little influence over how market-wide fluctuations in security prices affect
earnings, and hedging the gains/losses would be inconsistent with the
objective of maximizing returns. Similarly, a company's mission statement
might include expansion overseas, or prior management might have already
decided to establish a foreign subsidiary. The resulting gains/losses from
foreign currency fluctuations would seemingly be out of management's
control, and hedging these gains/losses would not make economic sense if the
subsidiary's functional currency is its local currency and the parent has no
intention of repatriating the subsidiary's cash flows.
Of course, determining what is and is not
ostensibly under management's control becomes highly subjective and would
probably differ across industries, and perhaps even across firms within
industries. For example, gains/losses from investment holdings might not be
relevant in evaluating management of some companies, but might be very
relevant for managers of holding companies. In addition, the time horizon
affects what is under management's control. That is, as the time horizon
lengthens, more things are under management's control.
In Table 2, we classify items as not under
management's control if they are based on fluctuations in stock prices or
exchange rates, which academic research shows to be largely random within
efficient markets. Using this classification model, most, but not all, of
the OCI items listed in Table 2 are classified as not under the management's
control. Some of the pension items currently recognized in OCI are within
the control of management, because management controls the decision to
revise a pension plan. While management has control over when to harvest
gains/losses on available-for-sale (AFS) securities by deciding when to sell
the securities, it cannot control market prices. Thus, under this criterion,
unrealized gains/losses on AFS securities are appropriately recognized in
OCI. However, gains/losses on trading securities and the effects of tax rate
changes are beyond management's control, and yet, these items are currently
included as part of earnings. Thus, “management control” does not
distinguish what is and is not included in earnings under current U.S. GAAP.
Remeasurements.
Barker (2004) explains how the measurement and
presentation of comprehensive income might rely on remeasurements. The
FASB's (2010) Staff Draft on Financial Statement Presentation defines
remeasurements as follows:
A remeasurement is an amount recognized in
comprehensive income that increases or decreases the net carrying amount of
an asset or a liability and that is the result of:
A change in (or realization of) a current price or
value A change in an estimate of a current price or value or A change in any
estimate or method used to measure the carrying amount of an asset or a
liability. (FASB 2010, para. 234)
Using this definition, examples of remeasurements
are impairments of land, unrealized gains/losses due to fair value changes
in securities, income tax expenses due to changes in statutory tax rates,
and unexpected gains/losses from holding pension assets. All of these items
represent a change in carrying value of an already existing asset or
liability due to changes in prices or estimates (land, investments, deferred
tax asset/liability, and pension asset/liability, respectively).
Table 3 reproduces a table from Barker (2004) that
illustrates how a firm's income statement might look using a “matrix format”
if standard-setters adopt the remeasurement approach to reporting
comprehensive income. Note that the presentation in Table 3 does not employ
earnings as a subtotal of comprehensive income; however, the approach could
be modified to define earnings as the sum of all items before remeasurements,
if considered useful. Tarca et al. (2008) conduct an experiment with
analysts, accountants, and M.B.A. students to assess whether the matrix
income statement format in Table 3 facilitates or hinders users' ability to
extract information. They find evidence suggesting that the matrix format
facilitates more accurate information extraction for users across all
sophistication levels relative to a typical format based on IAS 1.
Table 3: Illustration of Matrix Reporting Format
Employing remeasurements to distinguish between
earnings and other comprehensive income largely incorporates the criterion
of earnings persistence. Most remeasurements result from price changes,
where the current change has little or no association with future changes
and, therefore, these components of income are transitory. In contrast,
earnings components before remeasurements generally represent items that are
likely more persistent.
Perhaps the most significant advantage of the
remeasurement criterion is that it is less subjective than the other
criteria previously discussed. Most of the other criteria in Table 2 are
continuous in nature. Drawing a bright line to differentiate what belongs in
earnings from what belongs in OCI is challenging and will likely be
susceptible to income manipulation. In contrast, determining whether a
component of income arises from a remeasurement is more straightforward.
Yet another advantage of this approach is it allows
for a full fair value balance sheet that clearly discloses the effects of
fair value measurement on periodic comprehensive income, while also showing
earnings effects under a modified historical cost system (i.e., before
remeasurements). This approach could potentially provide better information
about probable future cash flows.
Other.
The attributes standard-setters could use to
classify income components into earnings or OCI are not limited to the list
in Table 2. Ketz (1999) suggests using the level of measurement uncertainty.
As an example, gains/losses from Level 1 fair value measurements might be
viewed as sufficiently certain to include in earnings, while Level 3 fair
value measurements might generate gains/losses that belong in OCI. Song et
al. (2010) provide some support for this partition in that they document the
value relevance of Level 1 and Level 2 fair values exceeds the value
relevance of Level 3 fair values.
Another potential attribute might be the horizon
over which unrealized gains/losses are ultimately realized. That is,
unrealized gains/losses from foreign currency fluctuations, term life
insurance contracts, or holding pension assets that will not be realized for
many years in the future might be disclosed as part of OCI, whereas
unrealized gains/losses from trading and available-for-sale securities could
be part of earnings.
As previously discussed, the attributes of
measurement uncertainty and timeliness create similar problems in
determining where to draw the line. Which items are sufficiently reliable
(or timely) to include in earnings, and will differences in implementation
across firms and industries impair comparability?
The overriding purpose of the discussion in this
subsection is to point out that several alternative attributes could
potentially guide standard-setters in establishing criteria to differentiate
earnings from OCI. Ultimately, the choice regarding whether/how to
distinguish net income from OCI is a matter of policy. However, academic
research can inform policy decisions, as described in the fourth and fifth
sections.
Summary
Reporting OCI is a relatively recent phenomenon
that presumes financial statement users are provided with better information
when specific comprehensive income components are excluded from
earnings-per-share (EPS), and recycled back into net income only after the
occurrence of a specified transaction or event. The number of income
components included in OCI has increased over time, and this expansion is
likely to continue as standard-setters address new agenda items (e.g.,
financial instruments and insurance contracts). The lack of a clear
definitional distinction between earnings and OCI in the FASB/IASB
Conceptual Frameworks has led to: (1) ad hoc decisions on the income
components classified in OCI, and (2) no conceptual basis for deciding
whether OCI should be excluded from earnings-per-share (EPS) in the current
period or recycled through EPS in subsequent periods. In this section, we
discussed alternative criteria that standard-setters could use to
distinguish earnings from OCI, along with the advantages and challenges of
each criterion. Further, due to the inherent difficulties in drawing bright
lines between earnings that are persistent versus transitory, core versus
noncore, under management control or not, and amenable to remeasurement or
not, standard-setters might consider eliminating OCI; that is, they might
decide to adopt an all-inclusive income statement approach, where
comprehensive income is reporte
. . .
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
I like this paper. Table 3 could be improved by adding bottom line net earnings
before and after remeasurement.
The paper does not provide all the answers, but it is well written in terms
of history up to this point in time and alternative directions for
consideration.
No Bottom Line
Question
Is a major overhaul of accounting standards on the way?
Hint
There may no longer be the tried and untrusted earnings per share number to
report! Comment
It would be interesting to see a documentation of the academic research, if any,
that the FASB relied upon to commence this blockbuster initiative. I recommend
that some astute researcher commence to probe into the thinking behind this
proposal.
Pretty soon the bottom line may not be, well, the
bottom line.
In coming months, accounting-rule makers are
planning to unveil a draft plan to rework financial statements, the bedrock
data that millions of investors use every day when deciding whether to buy
or sell stocks, bonds and other financial instruments. One possible result:
the elimination of what today is known as net income or net profit, the
bottom-line figure showing what is left after expenses have been met and
taxes paid.
It is the item many investors look to as a key
gauge of corporate performance and one measure used to determine executive
compensation. In its place, investors might find a number of profit figures
that correspond to different corporate activities such as business
operations, financing and investing.
Another possible radical change in the works:
assets and liabilities may no longer be separate categories on the balance
sheet, or fall to the left and right side in the classic format taught in
introductory accounting classes.
ACCOUNTING OVERHAUL
Get a glimpse of what new financial statements
could look like, according to an early draft recently provided by the
Financial Accounting Standards Board to one of its advisory groups. The
overhaul could mark one of the most drastic changes to accounting and
financial reporting since the start of the Industrial Revolution in the 19th
century, when companies began publishing financial information as they
sought outside capital. The move is being undertaken by accounting-rule
makers in the U.S. and internationally, and ultimately could affect
companies and investors around the world.
The project is aimed at providing investors with
more telling information and has come about as rule makers work to one day
come up with a common, global set of accounting standards. If adopted, the
changes will likely force every accounting textbook to be rewritten and
anyone who uses accounting -- from clerks to chief executives -- to relearn
how to compile and analyze information that shows what is happening in a
business.
This is likely to come as a shock, even if many
investors and executives acknowledge that net income has flaws. "If there
was no bottom line, I'd want to have a sense of what other indicators I
ought to be looking at to get a sense of the comprehensive health of the
company," says Katrina Presti, a part-time independent health-care
contractor and stay-at-home mom who is part of a 12-woman investment club in
Pueblo, Colo. "Net income might be a false indicator, but what would I look
at if it goes away?"
The effort to redo financial statements reflects
changes in who uses them and for what purposes. Financial statements were
originally crafted with bankers and lenders in mind. Their biggest question:
Is the business solvent and what's left if it fails? Stock investors care
more about a business's current and future profits, so the net-income line
takes on added significance for them.
Indeed, that single profit number, particularly
when it is divided by the number of shares outstanding, provides the most
popular measure of a company's valuation: the price-to-earnings ratio. A
company that trades at $10 a share, and which has net profit of $1 a share,
has a P/E of 10.
But giving that much power to one number has long
been a recipe for fraud and stock-market excesses. Many major accounting
scandals earlier this decade centered on manipulation of net income. The
stock-market bubble of the 1990s was largely based on investors' assumption
that net profit for stocks would grow rapidly for years to come. And the
game of beating a quarterly earnings number became a distraction or worse
for companies' managers and investors. Obviously it isn't known whether the
new format would cut down on attempts to game the numbers, but companies
would have to give a more detailed breakdown of what is going on.
The goal of the accounting-rule makers is to better
reflect how businesses are actually run and divert attention from the one
number. "I know the world likes single bottom-line numbers and all of that,
but complicated businesses are hard to translate into just one number," says
Robert Herz, chairman of the Financial Accounting Standards Board, the U.S.
rule-making body that is one of several groups working on the changes.
At the same time, public companies today are more
global than local, and as likely to be involved in services or lines of
business that involve intellectual property such as software rather than the
plants and equipment that defined the manufacturing age. "The income
statement today looks a lot like it did when I started out in this
profession," says William Parrett, the retiring CEO of accounting firm
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, who started as a junior accountant in 1967. "But
the kind of information that goes into it is completely different."
Along the way, figures such as net income have
become muddied. That is in part because more and more of the items used to
calculate net profit are based on management estimates, such as the value of
items that don't trade in active markets and the direction of interest
rates. Also, over the years rule makers agreed to corporate demands to
account for some things, such as day-to-day changes in the value of pension
plans or financial instruments used to protect against changes in interest
rates, in ways that keep them from causing swings in net income.
Rule makers hope reformatting financial statements
will address some of these issues, while giving investors more information
about what is happening in different parts of a business to better assess
its value. The project is being managed jointly by the FASB in the U.S. and
the London-based International Accounting Standards Board, and involves
accounting bodies in Japan, other parts of Asia and individual European
nations.
The entire process of adopting the revised approach
could take a few years to play out, so much could yet change. Plus, once
rule makers adopt the changes, they would have to be ratified by regulatory
authorities, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission in the U.S. and
the European Commission in Europe, before public companies would be required
to follow them.
As a first step, rule makers expect later this year
to publish a document outlining their preliminary views on what new form
financial statements might take. But already they have given hints of what's
in store. In March, the FASB provided draft, new financial statements at the
end of a 32-page handout for members of an advisory group. (See an example.)
Although likely to change, this preview showed an
income statement that has separate segments for the company's operating
business, its financing activities, investing activities and tax payments.
Each area has an income subtotal for that particular segment.
There is also a "total comprehensive income"
category that is wider ranging than net profit as it is known today, and so
wouldn't be directly comparable. That is because this total would likely
include gains and losses now kept in other parts of the financial
statements. These include some currency fluctuations and changes in the
value of financial instruments used to hedge against other items.
Comprehensive income could also eventually include
short-term changes in the value of corporate pension plans, which currently
are smoothed out over a number of years. As a result, comprehensive income
could be a lot more difficult to predict and could be volatile from quarter
to quarter or year to year.
As for the balance sheet, the new version would
group assets and liabilities together according to similar categories of
operating, investing and financing activities, although it does provide a
section for shareholders equity. Currently, a balance sheet is broken down
between assets and liabilities, rather than by operating categories.
Such drastic change isn't likely to happen without
a fight. Efforts to bring now-excluded figures into the income statement
could prompt battles with companies that fear their profit will be subject
to big swings. Companies may also balk at the expense involved.
"The cost of this change could be monumental," says
Gary John Previts, an accounting professor at Case Western Reserve
University in Cleveland. "All the textbooks are going to have to change,
every contract and every bank arrangement will have to change." Investors in
Europe and Asia, meanwhile, have opposed the idea of dropping net profit as
it appears today, David Tweedie, the IASB's chairman, said in an interview
earlier this year.
Analysts in the London office of UBS AG recently
published a report arguing this very point -- that even if net income is a
"simplistic measure," that doesn't mean it isn't a valid "starting point in
valuation" and that "its widespread use is justification enough for its
retention."
Such opposition doesn't surprise many accounting
experts. Net income is "the basis for bonuses and judgments about what a
company's stock is worth," says Stephen A. Zeff, an accounting professor at
Rice University. "I just don't know what the markets would do if companies
stopped reporting a bottom line somewhere." In the U.S., professional
investors and analysts have taken a more nuanced view, perhaps because the
manipulation of numbers was more pronounced in U.S. markets.
That said, net profit has been around for some
time. The income statement in use today, along with the balance sheet,
generally dates to the 1940s when the SEC laid out regulations on financial
disclosure. But many companies have included net profit in one form or
another since the 1800s.
In its fourth annual report, General Electric Co.
provided investors with a consolidated balance sheet and consolidated
profit-and-loss account for the year ended Jan. 31, 1896. The company, whose
board at the time included Thomas Edison, generated "profit of the year" --
what today would be called net income or net profit -- of $1,388,967.46.
For the moment, net profit will probably exist in
some form, although its days are likely numbered. "We've decided in the
interim to keep a net-income subtotal, but that's all up for discussion,"
the FASB's Mr. Herz says.
Question
What do CFO's think of Robert Herz's (Chairman of the FASB) radical proposed
format for financial statements that have more disaggregated financial
information and no aggregated bottom line?
As we moved to fair value accounting for
derivative financial instruments (FAS 133) and financial instruments (FAS 157
and 159) coupled with the expected new thrust for fair value reporting on the
international scene, we have filled the income statement and the retained
earnings statement with more and more instability due to fluctuating unrealized
gains and losses.
But if we must live with more and more fair
value reporting, the bottom line has to go. But CFOs are reluctant to give up
the bottom line even if it may distort investing decisions and compensation
contracts tied to bottom-line reporting.
Last summer, McCormick & Co. controller Ken Kelly sliced
and diced his financial statements in ways he had never
before imagined. For starters, he split the income
statement for the $2.7 billion international
spice-and-food company into the three categories of the
cash-flow statement: operating, financing, and
investing. He extracted discontinued operations and
income taxes and placed them in separate categories,
instead of peppering them throughout the other results.
He created a new form to distinguish which changes in
income were due to fair value and which to cash. One
traditional ingredient, meanwhile, was conspicuous by
its absence: net income.
Kelly wasn't just indulging a whim. Ahead of a public
release of a draft of the Financial Accounting Standards
Board's new format for financial statements in the
second quarter of 2008, the McCormick controller was
trying out the financial statements of the future, a
radical departure from current conventions. FASB's
so-called financial statement presentation project is
ostensibly concerned only with the form, or the "face,"
of financial statements, but it's quickly becoming clear
that it will change and expand their content as well.
"This is a complete redefinition of the financial
statements as we know them," says John Hepp, a former
FASB project manager and now senior manager at Grant
Thornton.
Some of the major changes under discussion:
reconfiguring the balance sheet and the income statement
to follow the three categories of the cash-flow
statement, requiring companies to report cash flows with
the little-used direct method; and introducing a new
reconciliation schedule that would highlight fair-value
changes. Companies will also likely have to report more
about their segments, possibly down to the same level of
detail as they currently report for the consolidated
statements. Meanwhile, net income is slated to disappear
completely from GAAP financial statements, with no
obvious replacement for such commonly used metrics as
earnings per share.
FASB, working with the International Accounting
Standards Board (IASB) and accounting standards boards
in the United Kingdom and Japan, continues to work out
the precise details of the new financial statements. "We
are trying to set the stage for what financial
statements will look like across the globe for decades
to come," says FASB chairman Robert Herz. (Examples of
the proposed new financial statements can be viewed at
FASB's Website.) If the standard-setters stay their
course, CFOs and controllers at every publicly traded
company in the world could be following Kelly's lead as
soon as 2010.
It's too early to predict with confidence which changes
will ultimately stick. But the mock-up exercise has made
Kelly wary. He considers the direct cash-flow statement
and reconciliation schedule among the "worst aspects" of
the forthcoming proposal, and expects they would require
"draconian exercises" from his finance staff, he says.
And he questions what would result from the additional
details: "If all of a sudden your income statement has
125 lines instead of 25, is that presentation more
clarifying, or more confusing?"
Other financial executives share Kelly's skepticism. In
a December CFO survey of more than 200 finance
executives, only 17 percent said the changes would offer
any benefits to their companies or investors (see "Keep
the Bottom Line" at the end of this article). Even some
who endorsed the basic aim of the project and like the
idea of standardizing categories across the three major
financial statements were only cautiously optimistic.
"It may be OK, or it may be excessive." says David
Rickard, CFO of CVS/Caremark. "The devil will be in the
details."
Net Loss From the outset, corporate financial officers
have been ambivalent about FASB's seven year-old
project, which was originally launched to address
concerns that net income was losing relevance amid a
proliferation of pro forma numbers. Back in 2001,
Financial Executives International "strongly opposed"
it, while executives at Philip Morris, Exxon Mobil,
Sears Roebuck, and Microsoft protested to FASB as well.
(Critics then and now point out that FASB will have
little control over pro forma reporting no matter what
it does. Indeed, nearly 60 percent of respondents to
CFO's survey said they would continue to report pro
forma numbers after the new format is introduced.)
Given the project's starting point, it's not surprising
that current drafts of the future income statement omit
net income. Right now that's by default, since income
taxes are recorded in a separate section. But there is a
big push among some board members to make a more
fundamental change to eliminate net income by design,
and promote business income (income from operations) as
the preferred basis for investment metrics.
"If net income stays, it would be a sign that we
failed," says Don Young, a FASB board member. In his
mind, the project is not merely about getting rid of net
income, but rather about capturing all income-related
information in a single line (including such volatile
items as gains and losses on cash-flow hedges,
available-for-sale securities, and foreign-exchange
translations) rather than footnoting them in other
comprehensive income (OCI) as they are now. "All changes
in net assets and liabilities should be included," says
Young. "Why should the income statement be incomplete?"
He predicts that the new subtotals, namely business
income, will present "a much clearer picture of what's
going on."
Board member Thomas Linsmeier agrees. "The rationale for
segregating those items [in OCI] is not necessarily
obvious, other than the fact that management doesn't
want to be held accountable for them in the current
period," he says.
Whether for self-serving or practical reasons, finance
chiefs are rallying behind net income. Nearly 70 percent
of those polled by CFO in December said it should stay.
"I understand their theories that it's not the be-all
and end-all measure that it's put up to be, but it is a
measure everyone is familiar with, and sophisticated
users can adjust from there," says Kelly. Adds Rickard:
"They're treating [net income] as if it's the scourge of
the earth, which to me is silly. I think the logical
conclusion is to make other things available, rather
than hiding the one thing people find most useful."
Jensen Comment
As we moved to fair value accounting for derivative
financial instruments (FAS 133) and financial instruments (FAS
157 and 159) coupled with the expected new thrust for fair
value reporting on the international scene, we have filled
the income statement and the retained earnings statement
with more and more instability due to fluctuating unrealized
gains and losses.
But if we must live with
more and more fair value reporting, the bottom line has to
go. But CFOs are reluctant to give up the bottom line even
if it may distort investing decisions and compensation
contracts tied to bottom-line reporting.
Where Fair
Value Market Accounting Fails: Unique Items Not Traded (e.g., bank loans)
Subjectivity Needed in Accounting for Bad Debts
In the
above module it was stressed how fair value adjustments are troubled for unique
assets such as each of 300+ Days Inn hotels where no single hotel is alike due
in large part by affects different locations can have on fair value. Fair value
adjustments are possible for bonds traded in public markets, but hundreds of
millions of bank loans are not traded in public markets. Each borrower is
unique, and each purpose of a loan from a bank is unique. Unless the government
will buy up selected types of bank loans (e.g., residential mortgages) there are
no trading markets for these bank loans. Typically banks hold these investments
to maturity (HTM Held-To-Maturity). Such loans may be adjusted for inflation
and interest rate changes, but there are no markets for mark-to-market
adjustments.
Much more
subjectivity in valuation becomes necessary for "granular factors" that take
uniqueness of each loan into consideration. The typical valuation model is
discounted cash flow (DCF economic value) adjusted by granular factors. In 1932,
Bill Paton (in his Accountants Handbook), Bill Paton outlines thos
"appraisal factors" in the following categories:
1.
Length of time the account has run.
2.
Customer's pract6ice with respect to discounts.
3.
General character of dealings with the customer.
4.
Credit ratings and similar data.
5.
Special investigations and reports.
Fair value
advocates sometimes mislead students into thinking that there are markets or
surrogate markets for everything to be marked to market, but the fact of the
matter is that more often than not it is impossible to find reliable market
values.
Banks must also submit much more granular information, including dozens of
details about individual loans. See
article below.
U.S. banks and the Federal Reserve are battling over a new round of "stress
tests" even before the annual exams get going later this fall.
The clash centers on the math regulators are using to produce the results.
Bankers want more detail on how the calculations are made, and the Fed thus
far has resisted disclosing more than it has already.
A senior Fed supervision official, Timothy Clark, irked some bankers last
month when he said at a private conference they wouldn't get additional
information about the methodology, according to people who attended the
event in Boston.
Wells FargoWFC -0.78% & Co.
Treasurer Paul Ackerman said at the same conference that he still
doesn't understand why the Fed's estimates are so different from Wells's.
His remarks drew applause from bankers in the audience, said the people who
attended.
The annual examinations in their fourth year have become a cornerstone of
the revamped regulatory rule book—and a continuing source of tension between
the nation's biggest banks and their overseers.
Smaller banks will soon have to grapple with similar requirements. On
Tuesday, the three U.S. banking regulators—the Fed, the Comptroller of the
Currency and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.—plan to complete rules
requiring smaller banks with more than $10 billion in assets to also run an
internal stress test each year. That would widen the pool of test
participants beyond the Fed's current requirement of $50 billion in assets,
a group comprised of 30 banks.
The stress tests, which started in 2009 as a way to convince investors that
the largest banks could survive the financial crisis, now are an annual rite
of passage that determines banks' ability to return cash to shareholders.
The financial crisis taught regulators that they need to be able "to look
around the corner more often than in the past," said Sabeth Siddique, a
director at consulting firm Deloitte & Touche, who was part of the Fed team
that ran the inaugural stress test in 2009.
The Fed asks the big banks to submit reams of data and then publishes each
bank's potential loan losses and how much capital each institution would
need to absorb them. Banks also submit plans of how they would deploy
capital, including any plans to raise dividends or buy back stock.
After several institutions failed last year's tests and had their capital
plans denied, executives at many of the big banks began challenging the Fed
to explain why there were such large gaps between their numbers and the
Fed's, according to people close to the banks.
Fed officials say they have worked hard to help bankers better understand
the math, convening the Boston symposium and multiple conference calls. But
they don't want to hand over their models to the banks, in part because they
don't want the banks to game the numbers, officials say.
It isn't clear if smaller banks will have to start running their tests
immediately, as regulators have issued guidance indicating that midsize
banks will have at least another year until they have to run the tests.
One new frustration for big banks is that the information requested by the
Fed is changing. This year the Fed began requiring banks to submit data on a
monthly and quarterly basis, in addition to the annual submission.
Banks must also submit much more granular information, including dozens of
details about individual loans.
Fed officials say the new data gives them the information they need to build
their stress-test models and to see banks' risk-taking over time. Banks say
the Fed has asked them for too much, too fast. Some bankers, for instance,
have complained the Fed now is demanding they include the physical address
of properties backing loans on their books, not just the billing address for
the borrower. Not all banks, it turns out, have that information readily
available.
Daryl Bible, the chief risk officer atBB&T Corp.,
BBT -0.77% a
Winston-Salem, N.C.-based bank with $179 billion in assets, challenged the
Fed's need for all of the data it is collecting, saying in a Sept. 4 comment
letter to the regulator that "the reporting requirements appear to have
advanced beyond the linkage of risk to capital and an organization's
viability," burdening banks without adding any value to the stress test
exercise. BB&T declined further comment.
The Fed has backed off some of its original requests after banks protested.
For example, the Fed announced Sept. 28 that it wouldn't require chief
financial officers to attest to the accuracy of the data submitted after
banks and their trade groups argued that the still-evolving process was too
fresh and confusing for any CFO to be able to be sure his bank had gotten it
right.
Banks needed more time to build up the systems and controls to report data
reliably, the Fed said. But the regulator also warned that it may require
CFO sign-off in the future.
Getting accountants and auditors to follow the
rules, as well as their spirit, isn’t easy—keeping them honest has been an
uphill battle for going on 80 years.
In a
Fortune article three weeks ago, former SEC
Chief Accountant Lynn Turner told me that the current accounting and
auditing systems we all rely on need wholesale reform.
Since then, there has been a flurry of activity
from regulators, who have issued proposals to shore up weaknesses in U.S.
corporate accounting and auditing. The Securities and Exchange Commission
(SEC) issued a concept release on potential new audit committee disclosures,
including possible new requirements for information about how the audit
committee actually oversees the company’s auditor. And the Public Company
Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) issued two new proposals. One could
require disclosure of the partner and others involved in a company audit.
The second relates to the potential creation and disclosure of what the
PCAOB calls “measures that may provide new insights into audit quality.”
Since audits have been required of public companies
for 80 years, you’d think that measures of audit quality would already be
clear, well established, and tracked. So why is this just now in the works?
Given the choice between the stricter accountability of clear metrics and
the greater freedom of none, companies, their auditors, and regulators have
chosen flexibility.
Coninued in article
"Financial Engineering and the Arms Race Between Accounting Standard Setters
and Preparers," by Ronald A. Dye, Jonathan C. Glover, and Shyam
Sunder, Accounting Horizons, Volume 29, Issue 2 (June 2015) ---
http://aaapubs.org/doi/full/10.2308/acch-50992
This article is free only to AAA members.
Abstract
This essay analyzes some problems that accounting standard setters confront
in erecting barriers to managers bent on boosting their firms' financial
reports through financial engineering (FE) activities. It also poses some
unsolved research questions regarding interactions between preparers and
standard setters. It starts by discussing the history of lease accounting to
illustrate the institutional disadvantage of standard setters relative to
preparers in their speeds of response. Then, the essay presents a general
theorem that shows that, independent of how accounting standards are
written, it is impossible to eliminate all FE efforts of preparers. It also
discusses the desirability of choosing accounting standards on the basis of
the FE efforts the standards induce preparers to engage in. Then, the essay
turns to accounting boards' concepts statements; it points out that no
concept statement recognizes the general lack of goal congruence between
preparers and standard setters in their desires to produce informative
financial statements. We also point out the relative lack of concern in
recent concept statements for the representational faithfulness of the
financial reporting of transactions. The essay asserts that these oversights
may be responsible, in part, for standard setters promulgating recent
standards that result in difficult-to-audit financial reports. The essay
also discusses factors other than accounting standards that contribute to
FE, including the high-powered incentives of managers, the limited
disclosures and/or information sources outside the face of firms' financial
statements about a firm's FE efforts, firms' principal sources of financing,
the increasing complexity of transactions, the difficulties in auditing
certain transactions, and the roles of the courts and culture. The essay
ends by proposing some other recommendations on how standards can be written
to reduce FE.
Jensen Comment
The analytics of this Accounting Horizons article, rooted heavily in
Blackwell's Theorem, add academic elegance to the accountics science of the
article but do not carry over well in the real world --- largely because of the
limiting Plato's Cave assumptions of Blackwell's Theorem, However, the article
lives up to the fine academic reputations of its authors in other respects that
make it important to consider when pitting financial engineering against
regulation.
What needs to be extended is how financial engineering is not something that can
be reduced per se. Changes in regulation are more apt to impact some
firms positively (i.e., opportunity) and other firms negatively (i.e.,
cost) simultaneously. And there are always considerations of direct impacts
versus externalities. For example, eliminating coal as an energy source cleans
the air and water but puts generations of miners and entire towns out of work as
well as increasing the cost of electric power.
The FASB requirement to book employee stock options when vested makes
employee compensation more transparent to investors while making startups more
costly to operate. And with each significant increase in financial reporting and
compliance regulations businesses are increasingly mummified in red tape. As the
saying goes: "The road to Hell is paved with good intentions."
The above article features lease accounting standards but ignores the positives
and negatives of alternative details in setting such standards and the virtual
impossibility of reliably measuring some liabilities such as estimating
operating lease renewals ad infinitum.
The above article ignores trade-offs in the standards. The prominent example is
how balance sheet priorities of the FASB and IASB greatly harmed income
statements.
Net earnings and EBITDA cannot be defined since
the FASB and IASB elected to give the balance sheet priority over the income
statement in financial reporting --- "The Asset-Liability Approach: Primacy does not mean Priority,"
by Robert Bloomfield, FASRI Financial Accounting Standards Research
Initiative, October 6, 2009 ---
http://www.fasri.net/index.php/2009/10/the-asset-liability-approach-primacy-does-not-mean-priority/
Abstract:
Since the 1970s, the decision-usefulness has taken center stage and our
attention has been concentrated on valuation of assets and liabilities
instead of income measurement. The concept of income, once considered the
gravitational center of accounting has lost its primacy and become a
byproduct of the balance sheet derived from the measurement of assets and
liabilities.
However, we have not been equipped with robust
conceptual foundation supporting theoretically reasoned accounting
measurement. It is not only theoretically but also practically important to
renew our seemingly waned interest in the concept of income because ongoing
reforms of accounting standards cannot be successfully implemented without a
sound understanding of the concept of income.
From the CFO Journal's Morning Ledger on July 24, 2015
Amazon posts surprising profit
http://www.wsj.com/articles/amazon-posts-surprising-profit-1437682791?mod=djemCFO_h
For just the second time, Amazon.com Inc. shared
sales figures Thursday for its cloud-computing division
Thursday. Amazon Web Services sales rose to $1.82 billion from $1 billion a
year earlier, and operating profit increased to $391 million from $77
million. Some believe the unit could operate on a stand-alone basis and,
because of its growth, is a primary reason to invest in Amazon. Amazon
posted a profit of $92 million for the third quarter, helped by sales which
rose a better-than-expected 20% to $23.18 billion.
Jensen Comment
The "surprising profit" of Amazon makes us wish that someday the accounting
standard setters (think FASB and IASB) would someday be able to operationally
define "profit" and make "profit" measures more comparable between business
firms.
Net earnings and EBITDA are all-important because
investors change their portfolios based on net earnings and its derivatives more
than anything in the balance sheet.
"Accounting Alchemy," by Robert E. Verrecchia, Accounting Horizons,
September 2013, pp. 603-618.
Verrecchia alleges that it's not that managers have a functional fixation for
earnings metrics as it is that they believe that other managers and investors
are so fixated with earnings that it because of monumental importance not
because it is inherently a great metric but because they believe deeply that the
market itself makes this index of vital importance.
. . .
In summary, my thesis is that managers project that
others are fixated on earnings—independent of any evidence in support
of, or contrary to, this phenomenon. This leads to managers resisting the
inclusion in earnings items that fail to enhance performance, such as the
amortization of Goodwill, or measures that make future performance more
volatile, such as those based on fair value. In the absence of acknowledging
PEF and attempting to grapple with it, I continue to see confrontations over
accounting regulation along the lines of recent debates about fair value
accounting, in addition to further impediments along the path to greater
transparency in financial statements.
Investors change their portfolios based on
earnings, eps, EBITDA, and P/E ratios when in fact those metrics are not defined
and may have a lot of misleading noise and secret manipulation
The IASB and the U.S.’s FASB have previously diverged on standards, including
the expected loss model for loan losses and accounting for exposure to
derivatives.
Banks should be required to recognize losses
on credit portfolios before the assets go into default, an international
accounting standards body said today.
The measures, known as the expected loss model,
would mark a shift from the incurred loss model, which allows banks to wait
until “financial assets are close to default,” the International Accounting
Standards Board said in a report. Banks would have to recognize losses on
portfolios as they deteriorate in quality, under the proposals.
“We believe the model leads to a more timely
recognition of credit losses,” Hans Hoogervorst, chairman of the London-
based IASB, said in the statement. “At the same time, it avoids excessive
front-loading of losses, which we think would not properly reflect economic
reality.”
The Group of 20 nations set up a group to examine
alternatives to the incurred loss model following the 2008 financial crisis.
The rules had been criticized for “delaying the recognition of losses” and
for failing to accurately reflect losses on credit portfolios “that were
expected to occur,” said the IASB, which is a global body in charge of
harmonizing accounting standards.
The proposals “provide enhanced transparency to an
entity’s credit risk and are likely to increase the credit loss provision
recorded by many financial institutions,” Tony Clifford, an accountant at
Ernst & Young LLP, said in an e- mailed statement.
No ‘Panacea’
The proposals were developed in cooperation with
the Financial Accounting Standards Board, the rule maker for U.S. banks, and
“simplified to reflect feedback received from interested parties,” the IASB
said.
“It is important to be realistic; this is not going
to be the panacea,” Nigel Sleigh-Johnson, head of the financial reporting
group at the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales, said
in an e-mailed statement. “There are potential pitfalls linked to any
model.”
The IASB and the U.S.’s FASB have previously
diverged on standards, including accounting for exposure to derivatives.
SUMMARY: As a business partnership soured, hot heads got in the way
of a cold calculation: What is the value of Arizona Beverage Co., maker of
the popular Arizona iced tea? A New York State Supreme Court judge is set to
hear closing arguments in a four-year-old fight over the valuation, in which
Arizona's estranged co-founders have been as far apart as water in the
desert. One co-founder, who wants to be bought out, contends that Arizona is
worth between $3 billion and $4 billion. The other, who is willing to buy
out his former partner, argues Arizona's value is closer to $500 million.
Aside from wrapping up the messy business-divorce proceedings, a conclusion
in the case could pave the way for Coca-Cola Co. or another drinks company
to buy a stake.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: This article is appropriate for a class that
covers the topic of business valuation.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What are the facts of this case? Who is the
plaintiff and who is the defendant? What issue do the parties want the court
to decide?
2. (Advanced) What is a business valuation? Besides litigation,
what are other uses of business valuations? Why might a business want to
know its value?
3. (Advanced) What are some methods used to value a business? Which
of these might methods might be appropriate for use in this case?
4. (Advanced) Why are the parties so far apart with these valuation
amounts? Do each of the parties have a legitimate basis for the amount they
are proposing? Which is more likely to be correct?
5. (Advanced) What knowledge and skills are necessary to do
business valuations? What education and business experience would be
beneficial for someone interested in a career in business valuation? What
are the career opportunities?
Reviewed By: Linda Christiansen, Indiana University Southeast
As a business partnership soured, hot heads got in
the way of a cold calculation: What is the value of Arizona Beverage Co.,
maker of the popular Arizona iced tea?
On Thursday, a New York State Supreme Court judge
is set to hear closing arguments in a four-year-old fight over the
valuation, in which Arizona's estranged co-founders have been as far apart
as water in the desert. One co-founder, who wants to be bought out, contends
that Arizona is worth between $3 billion and $4 billion. The other, who is
willing to buy out his former partner, argues Arizona's value is closer to
$500 million.
Aside from wrapping up the messy business-divorce
proceedings, a conclusion in the case could pave the way for Coca-Cola Co.
KO -0.19% or another drinks company to buy a stake.
Nassau County, N.Y., Supreme Court Judge Timothy
Driscoll will be the one to determine how much co-founder Domenick Vultaggio
must pay co-founder John Ferolito to take full control. Depending on how
much the court values Mr. Ferolito's stake, Mr. Vultaggio might have to seek
outside investors for help. That could finally reopen talks between Arizona
and several beverage companies like Coke that are eager to grab a huge part
of the growing U.S. market for ready-to-drink tea.
Judge Driscoll has told both parties he will try to
issue a ruling by Columbus Day.
As young men, Messrs. Ferolito and Vultaggio, two
friends from Brooklyn, teamed up in 1971 to deliver beer around New York
City from a Volkswagen VOW3.XE -0.66% bus. Decades later, after seeing
Snapple teas fill up store shelves, they launched Arizona and its
Southwestern-inspired label motif in 1992, eventually taking it national and
unseating Snapple and several other brands owned by deeper-pocketed
companies.
Arizona had a 40% share of U.S. ready-to-drink tea
in 2013 by volume, ahead of PepsiCo Inc., PEP +0.93% which sells Lipton
through its joint venture with Unilever ULVR.LN -0.30% and had a 34% share,
according to industry tracker Beverage Digest. Snapple, now owned by Dr
Pepper Snapple Group Inc., DPS +0.56% had a 10% share.
Beverage Digest estimates annual U.S.
ready-to-drink tea sales to be around $6 billion.
The two founders have been feuding for years and
Mr. Ferolito has long stopped being involved in day-to-day operations,
moving to Florida.
Mr. Ferolito began looking at selling his stake in
Arizona roughly a decade ago, but was blocked by Mr. Vultaggio. An agreement
prevented either side from selling its stake without the other's consent.
The legal battle has featured plenty of fireworks.
Mr. Vultaggio's lawyers have accused Mr. Ferolito of trying to intimidate
Mr. Vultaggio at one point in the yearslong dispute by appearing at the
company with an armed former New York City detective. Nicholas Gravante, an
attorney for Mr. Ferolito, called the allegation "a complete fabrication.''
"Both sides have thrown a lot of grenades back and
forth. The court has shown absolutely no interest in that nonsense. This is
a valuation case,'' added Mr. Gravante, an attorney at Boies, Schiller &
Flexner LLP.
The case, which went to trial earlier this summer,
has produced about 5,000 pages of transcripts and thousands of pages in
exhibits, according to Louis Solomon, an attorney for Mr. Vultaggio.
Mr. Solomon, an attorney at Cadwalader, Wickersham
& Taft LLP, said Mr. Vultaggio has no intention of selling the company.
"He's not a seller. He's never been a seller,'' Mr. Solomon said, adding
that Mr. Vultaggio's children also are involved in the business.
But attorneys for both men acknowledge that
companies including Coke, Nestlé SA NESN.VX +0.28% and Tata Global Beverages
500800.BY -4.67% have approached Mr. Ferolito and Arizona in the past about
acquiring part or all of the company. The valuation court case, which began
in 2010, effectively killed such talks.
Coke and Nestlé declined Wednesday to comment on
any previous talks, or any potential interest in acquiring part or all of
Arizona if it becomes available. Tata, which is based in India, didn't
immediately return calls on Wednesday. The Wall Street Journal reported in
2007 that Coke and Arizona executives had held talks.
"If it is for sale, it would be a terrific deal for
Coke because it needs a much bigger North American tea business,'' said John
Sicher, publisher of Beverage Digest, adding tea should continue to grow
thanks to its "health and wellness aura.''
Coke's Fuze, Gold Peak and Honest Tea brands had a
5.5% share of the U.S. ready-to-drink tea market by volume last year,
according to Beverage Digest. Coke ended its Nestea partnership in the U.S.
with Nestlé in 2012.
Coke already has made two moves into caffeinated
drinks this year, buying minority stakes in countertop coffee maker Keurig
Green Mountain Inc. GMCR +1.16% and energy drink maker Monster Beverage
Corp. MNST -0.51%
Governments around the world are taking bold steps
to minimize the likelihood of another catastrophic financial crisis.
Regulators and financial institutions already have their hands full, so the
bar for adding anything to the agenda should be high.
However, one relatively simple but critically
important item should move to the top of the list: reforming the accounting
rules that inexplicably prevent banks from establishing reasonable loan-loss
reserves. If reserve rules had been written correctly before 2008, banks
could have absorbed bad loans more easily, and the financial crisis probably
would have been less severe. It is now time, before the next crisis, to
recognize that reality.
Loan-loss reserves get far less attention than
capital or liquidity requirements, which are subject to specific government
regulations. Nevertheless, the "Allowance for Loan and Lease Losses" should
be an essential part of assessing the safety and soundness of any bank. The
ALLL—not Tier 1 capital or even cash-on-hand—is the most direct way a bank
recognizes that lending, including necessary and constructive lending,
entails risk. Those risks should be recognized in both accounting and tax
practices as a reasonable cost of the banking business.
However, banks are now only allowed to build their
loan-loss reserves according to strict accounting conventions, enforced by
the Securities and Exchange Commission. Reserves have to be based on losses
that are strictly "incurred," in effect shortly before a bad loan is written
off. Bankers have been prohibited from establishing reserves based on their
own expectations of future losses.
The practical result is that in good times real
earnings are overrated. Conversely, the full impact of loan losses on
earnings and capital is concentrated in times of cyclical strain.
Why have accounting conventions created this
perverse result? Some accountants claim that giving banks flexibility with
their reserves is bad because it lets bankers "manage earnings"—that is, to
raise or lower results from quarter to quarter to look better in investors'
eyes. This is a weak argument, because the ALLL reflects a banking reality,
and the allowance itself is completely transparent.
No one is misled when sufficient disclosures exist.
The size of the bank's reserve cushion will be on the balance sheet, and it
would need to be recognized as reasonable by auditors, supervisors and tax
authorities. Importantly, from a financial policy point of view, reserves
will tend to be countercyclical, likely to discourage aggressive lending
into "bubbles" but helping to absorb losses in times of trouble.
Capital is vital to the safety and soundness of
banks. It is the ultimate and necessary protection against insolvency and
failure. However, permitting a more flexible allowance for loan-loss
reserve, an approach that gives banks and prudential regulators the right to
exercise reasonable discretion to build a more flexible cushion in case of
loss, is a must. Accounting rules need to change to permit this to happen.
Mr. Ludwig, the CEO of Promontory Financial Group, was Comptroller of
the Currency from 1993 to 1998. Mr. Volcker, former chairman of the Federal
Reserve System, is professor emeritus of international economic policy at
Princeton University.
FASB announced
recently that it will separately issue an exposure draft, possibly by
the end of 2012, of a new model for disclosing credit impairment. The
draft of the new approach, which FASB calls the "Current Expected Credit
Loss Model" (CECL Model), may be viewed in
FASB Technical Plan and Project Updates. The
CECL Model applies a single measurement approach for credit impairment.
FASB developed the CECL
Model in response to feedback from US stakeholders on the "three-bucket"
credit impairment approach, previously agreed upon by the FASB and the
IASB. US constituents found the three-bucket approach hard to understand
and suggested it might be difficult to audit.
The IASB continues to
propose the three-bucket approach.
FASB board members agreed
that the CECL Model would apply in all cases where expected credit
losses are based on an expected shortfall in the cash flows that are
specified in a contract, and where the expected credit loss is
discounted using the interest rate in effect after the modification.
This would include troubled debt restructurings. The board has provided
additional guidance.
The Technical Plan explains
the CECL Model as follows:
"At each reporting date, an
entity reflects a credit impairment allowance for its current estimate
of the expected credit losses on financial assets held. The estimate of
expected credit losses is neither a 'worst case' scenario nor a 'best
case' scenario, but rather reflects management's current estimate of the
contractual cash flows that the entity does not expect to collect. . .
.
"Under the CECL Model, the
credit deterioration (or improvement) reflected in the income statement
will include changes in the estimate of expected credit losses resulting
from, but not limited to, changes in the credit risk of assets held by
the entity, changes in historical loss experience for assets like those
held at the reporting date, changes in conditions since the previous
reporting date, and changes in reasonable and supportable forecasts
about the future. As a result, the balance sheet reflects the current
estimate of expected credit losses at the reporting date and the income
statement reflects the effects of credit deterioration (or improvement)
that has taken place during the period."
The FASB has tentatively
decided to require disclosure of the inputs and specific assumptions an
entity factors into its calculations of expected credit loss and a
description of the reasonable and supportable forecasts about the future
that affected their estimate. The entity may be asked to disclose how
the information is developed and utilized in measuring expected credit
losses.
In July, when the FASB
decided to pursue a separate course from the IASB and develop a simpler
Model, the FASB explained the three-bucket approach as follows:
"Previously, the Boards had
agreed on a so-called 'expected loss' approach that would track the
deterioration of the credit risk of loans and other financial assets in
three 'buckets' of severity. Under this Model, organizations would
assign to 'Bucket 1' financial assets that have not yet demonstrated
deterioration in credit quality. 'Bucket 2' and 'Bucket 3' would be
assigned financial assets that have demonstrated significant
deterioration since their acquisition."
FASB states in its
Technical Plan that the key difference between the CECL Model and the
previous three-bucket model is that "under the CECL Model, the basic
estimation objective is consistent from period to period, so there is no
need to describe a 'transfer notion' that determines the measurement
objective in each period."
Historical
Cost Accounting: Unadjusted for General Price-Level Changes
As if they needed any, the
critics of fair value got a fresh new example of the
craziness of an oft-decried provision in FAS 157,
paragraph 15 of Fair Value Measurements. The
provision rewards companies whose credit spreads on
their debt liabilities have widened and punishes
those who have become more creditworthy.
On Wednesday, Morgan
Stanley reported that it had to cut its
first-quarter net revenues $1.5 billion because the
credit spreads on some of its long-term debt had
narrowed. What happened was that as the investment
bank grew more reliable to its creditors over the
first part of the year, its debt became more
valuable. And under the dictates of mark-to-mark
accounting, the firm had to take a writeoff because
of this very positive occurrence.
Sound nuts? It has sounded
so to many observers. In the 15th paragraph of 157
FASB says, nevertheless, that "the fair value of [a
company's] liability shall reflect the
nonperformance risk relating to that liability."
Thus, as the nonperformance risk--as reflected by
slimmer credit spreads—narrowed, Morgan Stanley had
to reflect the decreased value of its debt as a
decrease in sales on its income statement.
Like the alleged evils of
mark-to-market accounting in illiquid
markets—although to a lesser extent—the irrational
practice of forcing improved creditworthiness to be
reflected in revenue decreases has become fodder for
fair value’s enemies. When FASB made its recent
amendments to 157, it neglected to attack the
provision. If only to preserve fair-value accounting
from more political attacks, it should do so now.
"The Fair-Value Deadbeat Debate Returns: On hiatus
while other fair-value questions were debated, the
hotly-contested issue of why companies can book a gain
when their credit rating sinks has returned to center
stage," by Marie Leone, CFO.com, June 29,
2009 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/13932186/c_2984368/?f=archives
Jensen Comment
The accounting rule is controversial in that net earnings and portfolio values
are subject to short-term transitory variations in security prices that may have
little to do with long-term earnings and value. For example, Tesla share prices
are subject to huge day-by-day volatility caused news events that usually do not
reflect changes future cash flows of the company.
Reporting of a portfolio's value becomes highly dependent upon what day the
reporting takes place.
Also there's a difference in value based upon such factors as control. For
example, if Buffett's firm only owns a few shares of Company X the price of $100
per share means something different than if his firm owns 51% of the voting
shares. That $100 per share represents the liquidity value of one share of
stock. It does not reflect the possibly enormous value of having control of the
management of the company.
The
same rule could be a stock market and real estate disaster for any tax (think a
wealth or income tax) that forces investors to liquidate portfolios to pay
the tax. At the moment tax accounting rules do not generally require liquidation
for value appreciation alone.
It's a little like reporting the number of birds to be served for dinner while
they are still in the bush and can fly away before dinner time.
My main objection for entry or exit revaluation of fixed assets in
going concerns is that these revaluations create earnings fictions
if the unrealized gains and losses are posted to earnings. For
example, ups and downs in the value of the land under a giant Boeing
assembly plant are earnings fictions if there's zero chance that the
land will be sold apart from the factory and zero chance that Boeing
will sell the factory.
Revaluation makes more sense when when the probability of a factory
sale in the near future becomes much greater --- hence the reason
accounting rules call for exit valuation of non-going concerns.
Stock prices are of little use in revaluing booked assets and
liabilities because stock prices reflect market values of the
unbooked as well as the booked assets and liabilities such as the
values of the human resources, reputation, contingencies, and
off-balance sheet financing.
It's interesting to compare the history of theory debates over valuation
of booked assets and liabilities in going concerns. Theorists that
promoted historical costs like AC Littleton and Yuji Ijiri contended
that historical costs is not valuation at all --- they are simply
stewardship scorekeeping rules that have survived for over 500 years ---
survival of the fittest so to speak.
"The Asset and Liability View:
What It Is and What It Is Not—Implications for International Accounting
Standard Setting from a Theoretical Point of View"
Jens Wüstemann, University of Mannheim; Sonja Wüstemann, Goethe
University Frankfurt am Main
American Accounting Association Annual Meetings, August 4, 2010
http://aaahq.org/AM2010/display.cfm?Filename=SubID_2022.pdf&MIMEType=application%2Fpdf
A very concise
summary of the positions of various accounting theory experts in history
since 1909 and authoritative bodies over the years since 1936:
"Asset valuation: An historical perspective"
Authors: Racliffe, Thomas A. (Thomas Arthur) and Munter, Paul Accounting Historians Journal
1980
http://umiss.lib.olemiss.edu:82/record=b1000230
Jensen Comment: I really liked this summary of the valuation literature
prior to 1980.
For example, what was the main difference between
exit value advocates Chambers versus Sterling?
Two of the most vocal advocates of replacing historical costs with exit
values were the following members of the Accounting Hall of Fame:
Ray Chambers defined fair value accounting as the sum of the exit values of
all of its parts as if they would be sold in a yard sale. He thus ignored any
synergy value (value in use) of assets and
liabilities in combination under existing management. Bob Sterling defined fair
value as the exit value of groupings of assets and liabilities that captured
synergy value (value in use) of assets and
liabilities in combination under existing management.
Personally I think the Chambers valuation makes sense only when booked items
are to be sold for a non-going concern in a yard sale. Sterling's arguments make
more sense for going concerns, but estimates of such values of booked items is
usually quite impractical. Stock prices and valuations of segments of the
company are eof little help for booked item valuations
if those valuations include unbooked as well as booked items such as the values
of the human resources, reputation, contingencies, and off-balance sheet
financing.
Both the Chambers and Sterling exit value arguments add fictions to earnings
if the unrealized gains and losses of remeasurement are posted to earnings.
Famous Historical Cost Theorists
Probably the best known historical cost advocate of all time is AC Littleton
followed by mathematician Yuji Ijiri. Both argued that historical cost balance
sheets do not pretend to be valuations beyond the original dates on which the
transactions were booked into the ledgers. Balance sheet numbers are simply
residuals in from the calculation of income statement numbers under the
Realization Principle for revenues and the Matching Principle for costs and
expenses. Although Littleton and Ijiri also advocate price level adjustments,
they are not advocates of current value adjustments beyond supplementary
disclosures of exit values or entry values.
The most famous publication of the American Accounting Association is the
1941 monograph on historical cost theory by Paton and Littleton ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory02.htm#Paton
The biggest selling monographs in the AAA's Studies in Accounting Research
series are the double/triple bookkeeping monographs by Yuji Ijiri that were
rooted in historical cost accounting ---
http://aaahq.org/market/display.cfm?catID=5
Famous Exit Value (Disposal Value) Theorists
In history, the strongest advocates of exit value replacement of historical
costs in financial statements included Kenneth MacNeal, Bob Sterling, and
Australia's famous Ray Chambers. Their main arguments boiled down to very simple
wash sale illustrations. Suppose Company H and Company S begin with identical
balance sheets of A=$1000 Corn Inventory and E=$1.000 Equity where each company
paid $1 for 1,000 bushels of corn. In order to dress up the financial statements
before closing its books, Company S sells its corn for $2 per bushel in an
intended wash sale. Then immediately after closing its books Company S buys back
corn for $2 per bushel. Company S now has a balance sheet of A=$2,000 Corn
Inventory and E=$1000 Invested Capital + $1,000 retained earnings.
In the above example Company S looks like it performed twice as well as
Company H even though in the final outcome both remain identical in terms of all
economic criteria. Company H has simply undervalued its historical cost
inventories and did not realize any revenue from sales. In real life, however,
the situation is not so simple. In 1981 when Days Inns of America wanted to
dress up its historical cost balance sheet (for an IPO) the transactions cost of
selling each of its 300+ hotels would've been immense for selling and then
buying back each hotel. Accounting rules did not permit departing from
historical cost valuations for each of these hotels in its main Price
Waterhouse-audited financial statements.. However, nothing prevented Days in
from hiring a large real estate appraisal firm from deriving 1981 unaudited exit
value estimates of each of the 300+ hotels.
To make matters worse, the "value in use" of these 300+ plus hotels most
likely plunged dramatically the day its dynamic President had a sudden heart
attack and died at a very young age. A "value in use" estimate is much more
volatile than historical cost or replacement cost valuations.
The 1981 Days Inns Annual Report (for which I have three copies in my barn
remaining from my days of teaching in which I loaned a copy of this 1981 Annual
Report to each of my students) would've made MacNeal, Chambers, and Sterling
ecstatic. The historical cost book values of these 300+ hotels aggregated to
$87,356,000 whereas the exit values aggregated to an unaudited amount of
$194,812,000. Wow!
This is probably value added when it comes to financial analysts and
investors willing to trust these unaudited estimates from a real estate
appraisal firm. The numbers of course are much more subjective and easy to
manipulate for devious purposes than the cost numbers. Ande even if totally
accurate, there's a huge problem of having measured current hotel values of a
company's assets in there worst possible economic uses --- disposing each asset
separately in assumed liquidation of the company. The $194,812,000. sum of
disposal values of Days Inns hotels totally ignores the synergy value of these
when grouped together under the management of Days Inns. Exit value theorists
have never provided us with a way of measuring the value of the whole other than
by summing the exit disposal values of the parts. In reality the "value in use"
of these 300+ hotels might've been $294,812,000, $394,812,000, or $494,812,000.
We will never know because exit theorists cannot measure "value in use" of
grouped assets of one company let alone the "value in use" if these hotels are
sold to other companies like Holiday Inns of America where "value in use" is
probably very different than "value in use" for Days Inns.
Famous Replacement Cost (Entry Value) Theorists
I think the best known theorists advocating entry values (replacement costs) are
John Canning (in a published doctoral thesis) and William A Paton (in a lifetime
of writing and speaking). Although Paton's most famous book is probably the 1941
Paton and Littleton monograph on historical cost theory this was more of an
academic exercise for Bill Paton since his heart was truly in replacement cost
fixed asset valuations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#Paton
Whereas the exit value of a 20 year old hotel might be $1 million in a
liquidation sale, the replacement cost (entry value) of a new hotel might be $5
million. In entry value theory this $5 million would have to be adjusted for 20
years of hypothetical depreciation to arrive at its $2 million replacement cost
estimate. Exit value theorists are proud of their not having to resort to
arbitrary depreciation calculations. Entry value theorists are proud of being
able to estimate current values when exit values are meaningless.
Many older assets may have $0 exit value even though their value in use is
still considerable. This is especially the case when costs of dismantling an old
and large piece of equipment and re-installing it in another factory is so
prohibitive that nobody will pay to re-install the item. There's also the
problem of the way exit value markets work even for new assets. If a farmer pays
$500,000 for a new diesel tractor the exit value may decline by 100,000 before
the tractor is moved from tractor dealer's show room. Such is the nature of
"new" versus "used" equipment exit values even when used is still or almost
new.. Entry values are not quite so flaky since the replacement cost of that
tractor might remain constant between the date of purchase and a month later
after the tractor was used vigorously.
Also in the case of exit values of 300+ hotels, exit values of a New Orleans
Days Inn versus a Fargo Days Inn (of identical age, style, and sizes) may differ
greatly due to variations resale markets in local economies. This is not
generally true of replacement costs since the cost of constructing new hotels is
not so variable in terms of local economies.
Thus replacement costs overcome the flaky nature of many exit value
estimates. But replacement costs suffer from the same maladies of historical
cost valuations in that arbitrary formulas for such things as depreciation and
amortization.
Also Paton's writings are best known from the days before we had accounting
standard setting bodies like the APB, FASB, and IASB. The AICPA and its ARB
committees seldom set accounting rules on really controversial issues. Instead
GAAP, like common law, was drawn from "generally accepted" practices of
accounting in industry and practices acceptable to accounting system auditors.
The SEC was formed in 1933 with powers to dictate accounting standards for
corporations listed on major stock exchanges in the U.S. However, the SEC was
then and still is reluctant to take standard setting away from professional
accountants.
In 1932 corporations and their auditors had much more flexibility than today
in how to value current and fixed assets than the have today. For example in
2010 both the FASB and IASB rules virtually require historical cost inventory
valuation for the majority of inventories reported globally in balance sheets.
But in 1932 it was much easier for a company to report inventories at current
values if its shareholders did not make a big fuss over exit value or entry
value reporting of inventories.
But in since the crash of 1929, most companies stuck with historical cost
valuation. Beside my desk I always keep the Second Edition of Accountants'
Handbook edited by and heavily written by William A. Paton. The First
Edition is dated 1923, and my copy is the Second Edition dated 1932.
Suffice it to say that the Number 1 topic on which we do not agree
is his claim that
"The only relevant basis of measurement for
the assets and liabilities that are recognized can be current
value. Comparative amounts must presented in constant units of
purchasing power."
He has never convinced me of this claim, and I do not think Tom
provides evidence that replacement costs (entry values, current
costs) are the "only relevant" choices among the alternatives.
Firstly, replacement costs suffer from the necessity of arbitrary
accruals (like depreciation and depletion) that he criticizes in
historical costs. Secondly, replacement cost accounting can easily
mislead when replacement options are quite unlike operating assets
in use. Thirdly, replacement cost accounting entails recognition of
transitory market changes in inventory replacement costs that will
never be realized as long as the inventory remains on hand.
Entry value accounting has never gained much traction in the
academic community, certainly not like exit value accounting
expounded by various leading professors in the 20th Century.
Historical cost accounting is not really "value accounting," which
is a point made over and over again by AC Littleton in his time. An
exception is Bill Paton who broke away from Littleton later in life,
but Paton's advocacy of replacement costing never caught on in the
financial analyst community.
The great FAS 33 experiment in practice certainly never excited
financial analysts. Beginning in 1979, FAS 33 required large
corporations to provide a supplementary schedule of condensed
balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes under
three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, Price Level
Adjusted (PLA) Historical Cost, and Current Cost Entry Value
(adjusted for depreciation and amortization). Companies complained
heavily that users did not obtain value that justified the cost of
implementing FAS 33. Analysts complained that the FASB allowed such
crude estimates that the FAS 33 schedules were virtually useless,
especially the Current Cost estimates. The FASB rescinded FAS 33
when it issued FAS 89 in 1986. FAS 33 failed largely because
financial analysts had little interest in the supplementary FAS 33
tables
Tom Selling can't explain why in the many years of replacement
cost (entry value, current value) measurement advocacy (going back
at least as far as John Canning's thesis) replacement cost
accounting never really found traction in academe or the world in
investment analysts who never put up pleas to for companies to
incur the huge costs of meaningful current cost financial
statements.
If Tom is going to "sell" his replacement cost (entry-value)
basis of accounting he's not going to do so by continued whipping
the FASB in what is now his accustomed negativism style where the
FASB is concerned. Negativism seldom sells in practice or academe.
If Tom is going to "sell" his replacement cost basis of
accounting he's going to have to convince the user community,
especially financial analysts that the benefits of replacement cost
accounting to them greatly exceeds the considerable cost of
generating "objective" replacement cost measurements of assets,
liabilities, revenues, expenses, and net income.
I appeal to Tom to begin by writing cases, preferably focused on
real world companies, that make a sales pitch to the financial
analyst constituency of the FASB/IASB. Then let the analysts carry
the ball demanding change by the FASB/IASB. I'm skeptical that
Tom's excellent blog for accounting thought is a must-read site for
financial analysts. He's going to have to make his case in their
literature.
It will take a whole lot of positive demonstration instead of
negativism.
Tom could begin by identifying the best of the best in the
literature of replacement cost accounting. John Canning's thesis is
a good place to start.
Jim Martin's MAAW site has a pretty good archive on replacement cost
accounting
http://maaw.info/ReplacementCostArticles.htm
Entry-value accounting never got the support of leading academics to
the extent that exit-value accounting got some traction.
Jim Martin's references in the past did not alter academic or
practitioner opinion markedly.
The next step for Tom is to make financial analysts blink and
take note. He should make his case with financial analysts who in
turn have influence on the SEC and FASB and IASB.
Later on:
After FAS 33, when the FASB required large companies to provide current cost comparisons with historical cost numbers, financial analysts yawned. In fact their lack of support coupled with preparer laments about the costs of providing those current cost numbers led to the rescinding of the FAS 33 requirement for such comparisons.
And you don't provide any evidence of interest in current cost financial statements among financial analysts before or after the dead FAS 33.
Nor do you provide any evidence that entry value accounting gained any traction in academic accounting history. Hall of Famers AC Littleton and Yuji Ijiri were champions of historical cost accounting when leading academics who never carried the ball for either entry value or exit value accounting.
There were also some academics who carried the ball for exit value accounting --- notably Hall of Famers Ray Chambers and Bob Sterling. But they never got a following for exit value accounting of going concerns.
Who were the leading academic researchers and scholars in the past who carried the ball for entry value accounting?
If you're carrying the ball for entry value accounting Tom it's necessary that you gain a constituency of academics and users (especially financial analysts) to be on your team. Simply calling existing financial statements s**t is not going to do the job until you demonstrate that your alternatives have many more benefits to financial statement users than costs to preparers and auditors.
PS
Companies that tried exit value accounting (Day's Inn in 1987) and entry value accounting (US Steel during the FAS 33 years) found that costs of departing from GAAP greatly exceeded the benefits in terms of lowering cost of capital. You can see summaries of their departures from GAAP by scrolling down at http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory02.htm#FairValueFails
The Double-Entry Bookkeeping Model is Crucial for Being Able to Calculate Some Items That Can Only Be Defined as Plug Amounts That Make Balance Sheets Balance
1.
Net income is defined by both the FASB and IASB as a plug figure that makes balance sheets balance under double-entry bookkeeping. In some ways computing the net income plug amount is like the Hicksian economic concept of income, although it really is not Hicksian income due to the many ways of measuring various balance-sheet components of assets and liabilities in modern-day mixed-model measuring systems. Also there are "assets" and "liabilities" in the Hicksian model that accountants cannot measure for balance sheet accounts such as some intangibles (think the value of human resources and business reputations), contingent liabilities, etc.
2.
Purchasing power gains or losses on monetary items are computed as a double-entry-based plug amounts. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constant_purchasing_power_accounting
Suppose all balance sheet items are partitioned into monetary versus non-monetary items. Non-monetary items are those items having value changes that move with general price levels (think inflation). Examples include real estate, equipment, variable rate investments, and variable rate debt.
Monetary items include cash on hand, fixed rate receivables/investments, and fixed rate debt. Some derivative financial items on the balance sheet are monetary items and some are non-monetary. Interest rate swaps are commonly used to hedge monetary gains and losses. Monetary items are subject to purchasing power gains and losses. Firms minimize holdings of monetary assets in highly inflationary economies like Venezuela where monetary holdings are a disaster. Firms often experience some monetary asset losses in mildly inflationary economies. They also experience purchasing power gains on monetary liabilities such as long-term fixed-rate mortgages.
In my theory courses I used a tabbed Excel workbook to illustrate the calculation of monetary-item gains and losses as plug figures --- www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Excel/wtdcase2a.xls
Especially note the Answers tab.
In some ways computing exit value net income plug amount is like the Hicksian economic concept of income (a plug calculation), although it really is not Hicksian income due to the many ways of measuring various balance-sheet components of assets and liabilities in modern-day mixed-model measuring systems. Also there are "assets" and "liabilities" in the Hicksian model that accountants cannot measure for balance sheet accounts such as some intangibles (think the value of human resources and business reputations), contingent liabilities, etc.
In my theory courses I used a tabbed Excel workbook to illustrate the calculation of exit value net earnings as a plug vfubure. --- www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Excel/wtdcase2a.xls
Especially note the Answers tab.
In some ways computing exit value net income plug amount is like the Hicksian economic concept of income (a plug calculation) , although it really is not Hicksian income due to the many ways of measuring various balance-sheet components of assets and liabilities in modern-day mixed-model measuring systems. Also there are "assets" and "liabilities" in the Hicksian model that accountants cannot measure for balance sheet accounts such as some intangibles (think the value of human resources and business reputations), contingent liabilities, etc.
Unlike exit values, entry (replacement costs) are not really "values" since entry value accounting is subject to arbitrary accrual adjustments (think depreciation) just like historical costs.
In my theory courses I used a tabbed Excel workbook to illustrate the calculation of exit value net earnings as a plug vfubure. --- www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/Excel/wtdcase2a.xls
Especially note the Answers tab.
Jensen Comment About Tom Selling's Forthcoming Book on Valuation of a
Corporation
If and when I review your forthcoming book, here are some things I will probably
address.
1. The operational definition of Hicksian income and value. Replacement cost
adjustments have roots in historical costs (such as the need for depreciation
calculations at are arbitrary and the difficulty of dealing with technological
change when measuring replacement costs). Exit value accounting usually values
assets in their worst possible usage (liquidation in yard sales). Exit values
are generally far different from "value in use" and nobody, to my knowledge, has
a reliable way to measure value in use.
2. Hicks never dealt with the spikes and valleys of transient market value
changes seemingly independent of the items being valued --- when the entire
market moves up and down to short-term transient happenings. This is
related to the problem of having periodic (annual) income measures that are
almost certain not to be realized in short runs --- such as the value of the
land under the new $1 billion Apple Corporation complex in Austin, TX. Annual
changes in the value of the land are not likely to be realized since the land
will not likely be bought and sold apart from the entire plant that is built on
the land, and that plant is itself not likely to be liquidated for many years by
Apple since it's intended for operations and not financial investment.
Hicks never contemplated the complicated items that in the 21st Century
greatly complicate the practical measurement of the value of a firm. The first
thing that comes to mind are all the contingency items that generally are either
not disclosed or disclosed only in footnotes to financial statements because of
the tremendous uncertainties in those contingencies. The second thing that comes
to mind is the related issue of all the complicated items in contracts of a
firm, especially debt conversion items. The third thing that comes to mind are
the intangibles that accountants have never really figured out how to value such
as the values of Apple Corporation's work force, reputation, etc.
4. Hicksian valuation probably does will not pass a cost benefit text in
practice since reliable valuations for some items are extremely expensive to
obtain and usually end up being highly subjective in terms of differences of
opinions of alternate appraisers. Historical cost avoids this dilemma by not
pretending to be a total "valuation" of the firm, a point repeatedly hammered by
AC Littleton. Economists are often valued by the predictive value of historical
cost accounting that financial analysts seem to like and defend (Exhibit A is
the short life of FAS 33). Time and time again empirical studies by accountic
scientists find predictive value in traditional accounting statements of the
FASB and IASB. Your book should provide some empirical evidence of the
predictive value of Hicksian financial statements.
Hicks himself warned that income and related
concepts are “bad tools, which break in your hands.”4 However, with few
exceptions, most theorists have not only ignored this admonition, but they
also have overlooked other work by Hicks which is more directly related to
accounting practice.
Hicksian income is defined only for a world of
complete and perfect markets and is less useful for a firm operating in
costly incomplete markets. Hicks [1939, pp. 193-196] describes a firm's
decision as ...
Book Review
IAN DENNIS, The Nature of Accounting Regulation (New York, NY: Routledge, 2014,
ISBN 978-0-415-89195-0, pp. 135) ---
https://aaapubs.org/doi/full/10.2308/accr-10404
Especially note the references cited in this book review:
REFERENCES
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Young, J. J. 2014. Separating
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YVES LEVANT and OLIVIER DE LA VILLARMOIS
(editors), French Accounting History: New Contributions (Abingdon,
Oxon, U.K.: Routledge, 2012, ISBN 13:978-0-415-84783-4, pp. viii,
178).
Beginning
in 1979, FAS 33 required large corporations to provide a supplementary schedule
of condensed balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes
under three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, Price Level Adjusted
(PLA) Historical Cost, and Current Cost Entry Value (adjusted for depreciation
and amortization). Companies complained heavily that users did not obtain value
that justified the cost of implementing FAS 33. Analysts complained that the
FASB allowed such crude estimates that the FAS 33 schedules were virtually
useless, especially the Current Cost estimates. The FASB rescinded FAS 33 when
it issued FAS 89 in 1986.
Current
cost accounting by whatever name (e.g., current or replacement cost) entails the
historical cost of balance sheet items with current (replacement) costs.
Depreciation rates can be re-set based upon current costs rather than historical
costs.
Beginning
in 1979, FAS 33 required large corporations to provide a supplementary schedule
of condensed balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes
under three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, PLA-Adjusted
historical cost, and Current Cost Entry Value (adjusted for depreciation and
amortization). Companies are no longer required to generate FAS 33-type
comparisons. The primary basis of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted
historical cost with numerous exceptions in particular instances. For example,
price-level adjustments may be required for operations in hyperinflation
nations. Exit value accounting is required for firms deemed highly likely to
become non-going concerns. Exit value accounting is required for personal
financial statements (whether an individual or a personal partnership such as
two married people). Economic (discounted cash flow) valuations are required for
certain types of assets and liabilities such as pension liabilities. Hence in
the United States and virtually every other nation, accounting standards do not
require or even allow one single basis of accounting. Beginning in January 2005,
all nations in the European Union adopted the IASB's international standards
that have moved closer and closer each year to the FASB/SEC standards of the
United States.
The Decline of Interest in Current (Replacement) Cost Accounting in the
1980s
In the 1980s the FASB introduced FAS 33 as an experiment in the value added
to investors of supplemental current (replacement) cost accounting. The FASB
concluded that financial analysts and investors found little value in the
supplemental disclosures, and the FASB a few years later rescinded FAS 33.
The Withdrawal of Current Cost Accounting in the
United Kingdom: A Study of the Accounting Standards Committee
. . .
Evidence from the archives of the U.K. Accounting
Standards Committee (ASC) is used to trace the events leading to the
withdrawal of the current cost accounting standard, SSAP 16, from 1980 to
1988. Three central issues are addressed. First, the ASC's role as a
regulatory body is considered in the light of the failure to obtain
compliance with SSAP 16 and to find an acceptable replacement. Second, the
decline in support for SSAP 16 is explained in terms of changes in the
economic environment. Third, the roles of different interest groups in the
process are analysed.
Market
Value Accounting: Entry Value (Current Cost,
Replacement Cost) Accounting
Beginning
in 1979, FAS 33 required large corporations to provide a supplementary schedule
of condensed balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes
under three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, PLA-Adjusted
historical cost, and Current Cost Entry Value (adjusted for depreciation and
amortization). Companies are no longer required to generate FAS 33-type
comparisons. The primary basis of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted
historical cost with numerous exceptions in particular instances. For example,
price-level adjustments may be required for operations in hyperinflation
nations. Exit value accounting is required for firms deemed highly likely to
become non-going concerns. Exit value accounting is required for personal
financial statements (whether an individual or a personal partnership such as
two married people). Economic (discounted cash flow) valuations are required for
certain types of assets and liabilities such as pension liabilities. Hence in
the United States and virtually every other nation, accounting standards do not
require or even allow one single basis of accounting. Beginning in January 2005,
all nations in the European Union adopted the IASB's international standards
that have moved closer and closer each year to the FASB/SEC standards of the
United States.
Truth in labeling
—Starting with a clean sheet should also mean jettisoning such time-worn
terminology as “earnings” and “financial position” that have come to promise
more than they can deliver. There might have been a time long ago when
accounting came reasonably close to measuring economic earnings and
financial position, but not anymore, and likely never again.
Jensen Comment
What Tom needs to avoid is what I call the Baruch Lev mistake of
promising more than can be delivered realities of "truth" and
measurement of "economic earnings." Truth to me entails facts that are
so obvious they cannot be disputed by rational beings. Economists have
never found truth except in artificial worlds built on hypothetical
assumptions detached from the real world. This is probably why the SEC
approached the accounting profession rather than the economics
profession when it passed the baton on standard setting for financial
reporting in capital markets.
Economic
earnings cannot be measured in the real world because there are so many
intangibles that cannot be reliably measured. Baruch Lev preaches
these intangibles can be measured, but he's not convinced business
decision makers that he has reliable measurement systems.
Tom wants to
"jettisoning such time-worn terminology as 'earnings' and 'financial
position' that have come to promise more than they can deliver. Note how
Tom fails to mention the vast body of literature demonstrating (by
empirical studies and by interviews and by case studies) where
"earnings" and "financial position" have considerable impact on
financial and business operating decisions. Tom avoids this literature
by sticking his head in the sand. Starting with a blank sheet is doomed
to failure if it ignores the scholarly literature of the past and
present. For example, has he looked at the vast amount of evidence that
suggests "earnings" however badly designed as a plug figure that makes
the balance sheet balance is predictive of future earnings.
I keep looking
for citations and references in Tom's posts. His "blank sheet" will
never impress academics or practitioners until he cites prior research
and builds upon such research.
He will one day have
to demonstrate to decision makers that his own definitions are more
predictive and reliable. I doubt that he will succeed here, but I
greatly look forward to when he has a measurable "earnings" and
"financial position" surrogates that are more predictive and reliable.
Indeed I fear
that his concepts will depend upon value appraisals in thin and unstable
markets that are far less reliable than present measures assets and
liabilities.
Reconcile, reconcile —
The property of double-entry accounting that comprehensively links stocks to
flows (i.e., “articulation”) will be exploited to the maximum extent
practicable through detailed quantitative disclosures that are linked
directly and explicitly to the financial statements, and among themselves.
My mentor,
Yuji Ijiri, modeled the perfect accounting system for reconciliation.
But it was totally impractical for the real world. As you build soft
numbers into the system it becomes even less and less reliable.
Corresponding recognition criteria — Although I can’t say this for sure, I wouldn’t
be surprised if Pacioli had realized that a claims on one entity must also
be an asset of some other entity (more on that in a follow-up post).
Therefore, a non-corresponding definition for liabilities, and other
non-residual claims, is not necessary. All that is needed is a definition
of “asset” for accounting purposes.
I always remember a
statement made by a University of Chicago professor years ago. He said
Boeing wants to book a sale of an airplane purchased by Eastern
Airlines. Eastern Airlines denies it purchased an airplane (back in the
days when even capital leases were not booked by lessees).
Do current accounting
standards require correspondence in initial booking by independent
buyers and sellers? They do when payment is made in cash. But in barter
transactions (say real estate exchanges) between X and W does the booked
value of the property received by X have to equal the booked value of
the property received in exchange by Y?
Claims presentation —
Instead of liabilities versus owners’ equity, S-OFA will refer to
‘non-residual interests’ versus ‘the
residual interest’ (the latter being measured as the difference between
total assets and total non-residual interests). Thus, the question that has
bedeviled the FASB of what is a liability, or what is not, will come down to
a question of presentation. For example, pure liabilities may be presented
as a group, apart from the hybrid claims I mentioned earlier
The huge complicating factor here will be
"residual interests" that involve contingency claims based upon outcomes
of the unknown future.
Presumably Tom intends to define a bright line
for the real world that partitions residual and non-residual claims. We
don't do that now very well at the moment, and it's not at all clear
that Tom can pull this bright line out of the hat for the millions of
kinds of variations in contingency claims in the real world.
Closing Comment
Financial accounting academic research in my opinion is pretty much a big yawn
these days. Both Tom Selling and Baruch Lev add some excitement to the
accountics studies that for four decades have dominated the field. Some of those
studies are useful and interesting, but there's little excitement and commentary
about the findings. Tom and Baruch add some excitement, But I'm not optimistic
about their pending contributions to the real world.
In any case I'm watching and will keep the AECM posted when I find something
that I think is worth noting. Hopefully others will also watch and point out
things that I miss.
I might make the following proposition: I think Tom Selling needs to retain double entry to
avoid having to define earnings as something other than a plug to make balance
sheets balance.
May 24, 2017 reply from Tom Selling
Bob,
Thanks for posting a link to my blog and for
taking the time to respond in a systematic fashion. But I need to point out
some fundamental misunderstandings on your part:
I have tried to make it crystal clear that I
do not intend to claim that S-OFA will be capable of reporting economic
earnings. I didn’t mention this in my post, but the term I am thinking
about using to replace “net income” is “recognized earnings.” It implies
that S-OFA will estimate a subset of economic earnings. It is similar in
concept to Tobin’s Q where economic value is seen as the replacement cost of
recognized net assets plus the value of unrecognized
intangibles.
None of the empirical literature I am
aware of that documents the relevance of reported earnings to investors
deals with the question of whether we could do better. I intend to show
that U.S. GAAP lacks face validity – ie, it clearly does not reflect the
concept it purports to measure. S-OFA will have higher face validity by,
among other things, not using misleading terminology, not committing
numerous egregious violations of mathematical principles, and enhancing
representational faithfulness.
Yuji Ijiri was a great theoretician. I
will be proposing implementable improvements to actual deficiencies in U.S.
GAAP. I believe that my proposals will be compelling because they will
result in better information, be more understandable, less costly to
implement, and reduce opportunities to manipulate the financial statements.
The FASB already solved the claims
presentation problem in a proposal with a bright line. It was called basic
ownership interests. It was shot down by the EU and the IASB, so the FASB
backed away from implementation. I’m going to implement it.
As to your proposition, the point of my post
is that double-entry accounting is still useful, even if no longer for the
reasons contemplated in the 15th century.
As to applicability to the “real world,” I
admit that you could well be correct. S-OFA will be apolitical, which is
not the way the real world works. My clean sheet of paper metaphor is an
allusion to Rawls theory of social justice. Very loosely speaking, if the
writers of accounting rules could not know how it would affect them, what
would the rules provide for?
Best,
Tom
May 14, 2017 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Tom,
One thing you
will have to address is the economics studies pointing to failures of
Tobin's Q. The number one problem is that Tobin's Q was found to not predict
as well as traditional fundamentals --- check out the literature, including
the findings of Larry Summers and Wesley Mitchell.
Similar
findings were found with the FASB's FAS 33 effort to provide replacement
cost numbers:
Watts, R. L.
and J. L. Zimmerman. 1980. On the
irrelevance of replacement cost disclosures for security prices.
Journal of Accounting and Economics (August): 95-106.
Beaver, W.
H., P. A. Griffin and W. R. Landsman. 1982.The incremental information
content of replacement cost earnings. Journal of Accounting and
Economics (July): 15-39.
Schaefer, T.
F. 1984. The information content of current cost income relative to
dividends and historical cost income. Journal of Accounting Research
(Autumn): 647-656
Sutton, T.
G. 1988. The proposed introduction of current cost accounting in the
U.K.: Determinants of corporate preference. Journal of Accounting and
Economics (April): 127-149.
Swanson, E.
P. 1990. Relative measurement errors in valuing plant and equipment
under current cost and replacement cost. The Accounting Review
(October): 911-924.
The real problem
with exit value or entry value (replacement cost) appraisals of
disaggregated assets is that the market (e.g., yard sale transactions prices
or current construction costs) ignore the synergies of "value in use" ---
that illusive measurement that economists and accountants have never been
able to measure reliably because it varies so much between "uses" of an
asset among the other assets for which that asset is only a small part. For
example, does the replacement cost estimate of a giant warehouse really mean
much apart from the how the owner uses it such as when the owner of Amazon
versus Sears.
The best
estimate of value in use is share prices, but share prices have too much
noise in that that they reflect things other than value in use such as daily
political happenings, terror incidents somewhere in the world, and fake news
in the media. Quant models that trade on current events affecting
transitory share prices
may capture gains and losses totally apart from the fundamental value in use
of aggregated net assets of a business firm.
It's easy to criticize enduring historical cost accounting in terms of
neither measuring either disaggregated or aggregated value of an asset.
However, as AC Littleton and Yuji Ijiri point out the purpose of historical
cost accounting is not to measure economic value. Investors don't divide the
reported retained earnings by the number of outstanding shares to look for
pricing opportunities on the stock market when historical cost accounting is
the main basis for measuring retained earnings. Nor could they do so if all
assets and liabilities were measured reliably at entry values (replacement
costs) or exit values. It's that aggregative value in use thing that none of
the bases of accounting (entry value, exit value, historical cost, PLA
historical cost) provide.
Bob Jensen
Advantages
of Entry Value (Current Cost, Replacement Cost) Accounting
·Conforms
to capital maintenance theory that argues in favor of matching current revenues
with what the current costs are of generating those revenues. For example, if
historical cost depreciation is $100 and current cost depreciation is $120,
current cost theory argues that an excess of $20 may be wrongly classified as
profit and distributed as a dividend. When it comes time to replace the asset,
the firm may have mistakenly eaten its seed corn.
·If the
accurate replacement cost is known and can be matched with current selling
prices, the problems of finding indices for price level adjustments are avoided.
·Avoids to
some extent booking the spread between selling price and the wholesale "cost" of
an item. Recording a securities “inventory” or any other inventory at exit
values rather than entry values tends to book unrealized sales profits before
they’re actually earned. There may also be considerably variability in exit
values vis-à-vis replacement costs.
Disadvantages of Entry Value (Current Cost, Replacement Cost) Accounting
·Discovery
of accurate replacement costs is virtually impossible in times of changing
technologies and newer production alternatives. For example, some companies are
using data processing hardware and software that no longer can be purchased or
would never be purchased even if it was available due to changes in technology.
Some companies are using buildings that may not be necessary as production
becomes more outsourced and sales move to the Internet. It is possible to
replace used assets with used assets rather than new assets. Must current costs
rely only upon prices of new assets?
·Discovering current costs is prohibitively costly if firms have to repeatedly
find current replacement prices on thousands or millions of items.
·Accurate
derivation of replacement cost is very difficult for items having high
variations in quality. For example, some ten-year old trucks have much higher
used prices than other used trucks of the same type and vintage. Comparisons
with new trucks is very difficult since new trucks have new features, different
expected economic lives, warranties, financing options, and other differences
that make comparisons extremely complex and tedious. In many cases, items are
bought in basket purchases that cover warranties, insurance, buy-back options,
maintenance agreements, etc. Allocating the "cost" to particular components may
be quite arbitrary.
·Use of
"sector" price indices as surrogates compounds the price-index problem of
general price-level adjustments. For example, if a "transportation" price index
is used to estimate replacement cost, what constitutes a "transportation" price
index? Are such indices available and are they meaningful for the purpose at
hand? When FAS 33 was rescinded in 1986, one of the major reasons was the error
and confusion of using sector indices as surrogates for actual replacement
costs.
·Current
costs tend to give rise to recognition of holding gains and losses not yet
realized.
In the 1980s academic accounting research did more to undermine FAS 33 than
to save it. Examples of research that found no significant value added (relative
to cost added) to current (replacement) cost supplements included the following:
Watts, R. L. and J. L. Zimmerman. 1980. On the irrelevance of replacement
cost disclosures for security prices. Journal of Accounting and Economics
(August): 95-106.
Beaver, W. H., P. A. Griffin and W. R. Landsman. 1982.The incremental
information content of replacement cost earnings. Journal of Accounting
and Economics (July): 15-39.
Schaefer, T. F. 1984. The information content of current cost income
relative to dividends and historical cost income. Journal of Accounting
Research (Autumn): 647-656
Sutton, T. G. 1988. The proposed introduction of current cost accounting
in the U.K.: Determinants of corporate preference. Journal of Accounting
and Economics (April): 127-149.
Swanson, E. P. 1990. Relative measurement errors in valuing plant and
equipment under current cost and replacement cost. The Accounting Review
(October): 911-924.
***********Begin Quote
The most straightforward way to determine replacement cost to meet the wealth
measurement objective is to ask oneself what would be the least amount one would
have to pay for an asset (or a similar asset that provided the same utility), if
one did not actually already own it. It seems to me that real estate appraisers
make estimates for specific properties on that basis as a matter of course.
Often, their best estimate is the result of making somewhat objective
adjustments to 'comparables' for age, floor space and even location.
Having said that, I would allow for any number of approaches to approximating
replacement cost, so long as they adequately answered the question I posed in
the previous paragraph. Like FAS 157, the greater the subjectivity in the
estimates, the more detailed would be the disclosures. However, in all cases, I
would require reconciliations of the changes in balance sheet accounts in
sufficient detail to make all assumptions, and changes in assumptions,
transparent.
***********End Quote
True Story
Bob Jensen has a Sears Craftsman snow thrower purchased in 2006 for $1,800 with
a five-year onsite warranty for all parts and labor. If he decides to replace
the machine every five years, he’s really not concerned with physical
deterioration if he assumes that the salvage value is after five years is $300
for a perfectly working machine maintained by Sears mechanics at his beckoning
call. There is historical cost depreciation of $300 per year assuming the
decline in value on the used snow machine market is strictly linear. Assume that
replacement cost depreciation is $$350 per season.
Bob’s good
friend Helmut Gottwick survived four years as an engineer and machinist on a
German U-Boat in World War II. After arriving in New Hampshire in 1950 he bought
a used snow thrower for $24. It was made by Studebaker in 1937. Unlike Bob
Jensen who has no mechanical skills whatsoever, Helmut can make most old
machines work perfectly as long as he is still of sound mind and body to work in
the machine shop in his garage. He’s totally rebuilt the Studebaker snow thrower
engine two times, including the making of virtually all new parts in his shop.
Assuming that his remaining life expectancy was 60 years in 1950, the
depreciation on his snow thrower is $0.40 per year for the rest of his life.
Assume replacement cost depreciation is $350 per season.
Fiction
Added
Suppose Bob and Helmut clear driveways for neighbors for an average of $1,000
per season net of gasoline expense (there’s a lot of snow in these mountains).
Replacement cost write ups of Bob Jensen’s snow machine and depreciations of
$350 per year make some sense on Capital Maintenance Theory. If Bob Jensen used
historical cost accounting and declared a $700 dividend to himself each season,
he would not have sufficient retained earnings to cover the cost of a new snow
thrower every five years. It makes some sense, therefore, for Bob to only
declare a $650 dividend for wild women and booze. If he saves an amount of cash
equal to retained earnings each season, he will have sufficient savings to buy
that new snow thrower after every five year period.
But
suppose we impose a replacement cost accounting rule on Helmut Gottwick’s snow
throwing business. If he can only declare a $650 dividend every year the fact of
the matter is that for 60 years he’s have been deprived of a lot of wild women
and booze (in reality he’s a very devoted husband and grandfather). His reported
earnings also distort the fact that, because of his machinist skills, he's a
heck of a lot better business man than Bob Jensen who must settle for older
women and younger whiskey.
The Point
of the Story
Replacement cost accounting can distort reported assets and earnings under
totally different maintenance and replacement policies. Over 60 years, the CPA
auditing firm might uselessly force Helmut Gottwick to retain $350 per year for
a machine that cost him $24 in 1950 and has a useful life of 60 years in his
situation, Capital maintenance theory makes no sense in Helmut’s case since
during his lifetime the old Studebaker snow thrower will work as well or better
than a new snowthrower. In Bob Jensen’s situation, capital maintenance theory
makes much more sense.
In truth
Helmut would not be required to take $350 replacement cost depreciation for 60
years, because he would only be required to bring book value up to depreciated
replacement value each year. But I thought my exaggeration above made a better
story.
A very concise summary of the
positions of various accounting theory experts in history since 1909 and
authoritative bodies over the years since 1936:
"Asset valuation: An historical perspective"
Authors: Racliffe, Thomas A. (Thomas Arthur) and Munter, Paul Accounting Historians Journal
1980
http://umiss.lib.olemiss.edu:82/record=b1000230
Jensen Comment: I really liked this summary of the valuation literature prior
to 1980.
For example, what was the main difference between exit
value advocates Chambers versus Sterling?
Jensen Comment
It's ironic that the irrelevance of history in our academic disciplines is
transpiring at at time when historical works are increasingly available and
searchable at virtually zero cost. Perhaps one problem is that we're
increasingly discovering how vast the histories of our discipline have become.
Do intermediate accounting instructors even mention the works of O'Neal,
Canning, Paton, and Littleton in this century?
December 17, 2010 message from Bob Jensen to Tom Selling,
Hi Tom,
Historical costing versus valuation is primarily a debate over primacy of
balance sheets versus income statements. In valuation models like exit and
entry value models, primacy is given to balance sheet accounts. Income
accounts are residuals that typically blend realized and unrealized changes
in values in a confusing way that often obscures the importance of a bird in
hand versus 100 in the bush. Most temporal ups and downs in unrealized
values are never realized. They're like vapors that never condense if you'll
pardon my mixed metaphors.
In historical costing the primacy is on the matching concept with net
income being the major focus on how well management performed as stewards
with the resources entrusted to those managers. Balance sheet accounts
emerge as leftovers from the measurement of income. The Paton and Littleton
(1940) monograph is mostly a statement on how to compute net income based
upon realized revenues.
There is also the issue that historical cost ledger balances are attested
to history of auditing standards. We've not yet reached a point where most
entry and exit values are allowed to be attested to in the auditing
standards.
Historical cost has the advantage in the presumption that historical cost
is equal to value when resources are first acquired. This greatly
facilitates auditing of historical costs in the ledger accounts, and I know
of no system where historical costs are erased from the ledgers.
I don't think AC Littleton argued that there was not value added in also
learning how management is performing in terms of unrealized value changes.
He just did not think they should be booked into the ledgers until
realization took place. He also thought that there were many types of exit
values that auditors had no business including in the attestation process,
including the appraisal values of over 300 hotels provided in the 1981 Days
Inn financial statements as a separate column beside the historical cost
column.
To this day in 2010 auditing standards do not allow auditors to attest to
appraisal values of hotels and to do so would be an enormous leap in the
scope of attestation services. In comparison the attestation to exit values
of financial and derivative financial instruments is a mini-step in that
direction. To attest to real estate exit or entry values would be a giant
step.
By being forced to have only one horrid column in mixed model financial
statements, this has forced scholars like Mary Barth to compare the matching
concept as dead meat. If she were allowed the to add valuation columns
alongside the historical costing column the matching concept could be
revived and put to good use in my judgment.
In the area of fair value accounting I agree with Mary Barth on fair
value accounting for financial assets. I strongly disagree on fair value
accounting for most non-financial assets. My disagreements are stated at
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#FairValue
On Page 1166 she flatly asserts:
First, there is no “matching principle.”
That is, matching is not an end in itself and matching is not an
acceptable justification for asset or liability recognition or
measurement. The conceptual framework explains that matching involves
the simultaneous or combined recognition of revenues and expenses that
result directly and jointly from the same transactions or other events
(FASB 1985, para. 146; IASB 2001, para. 95). Matching will be an outcome
of applying standards if the standards require accounting information
that meets the qualitative characteristics and other criteria in the
conceptual framework. Matched economic positions will naturally result
in matched accounting outcomes. However, the application of a matching
concept in the conceptual framework does not allow the recognition of
items in the statement of financial position that do not meet the
definition of assets or liabilities (IASB 2001, para. 95). Thus, there
would be no justification for deferring expense recognition for an
expenditure that provides no future economic benefit or for deferring
income recognition for a cash inflow that will not result in a future
economic sacrifice.
I strongly disagree. The standards just do not allow automobile
inventories to be written up to expected sales prices until those sales are
finalized. Carrying the inventories at historical cost or LCM (if
permanently impaired) is part and parcel to the "matching principle"
eloquently laid out years ago by Paton and Littleton. Both international and
domestic standards still require cost amortization, depreciation, and
creation of warranty reserves. These are all rooted in the "matching
principle" which has not yet died when defining assets and liabilities in
the conceptual framework. In most instances the historical cost is still
being booked and spread over the expected life of future economic benefits.
Even if a company adopted a replacement cost (current cost) adjustment of
historical cost of a depreciable asset, those replacement costs still have
to be depreciated since old equipment cannot simply be adjusted upward to
new, un-depreciated replacement cost.
Automobile manufacturers should not be allowed to report earnings when
they produce more vehicles to add to vast parking lots of unsold vehicles.
Paton and Littleton never argued that the "matching principle" for
expense deferral applies to assets that have "no future economic benefits."
In that case there would be no benefits against which to match the deferred
expense. Hence there's no deferral in such instances. I do not buy Barth's
contention that there is no longer any "matching principle." If there are
potential future benefits, the matching principle still is king except in
certain instances where assets are carried at exit values such is the case
for precious metals actively traded in commodity markets that are extremely
liquid.
Bob Jensen
December 18, 2010 message from Bob Jensen
Issues in Replacing Historical Cost of Inventories with Replacement
Costs (Entry Values)
Aside of John Canning's famous dissertation, perhaps the best known
advocate, across several decades of writing and speaking, of replacement
cost accounting for fixed assets is the University of Michigan's
famous Bill Paton. When Patricia Walters declared on the AECM that she, like
Tom Selling, was an advocate of replacing historical costs of inventories
with replacement costs, I became inspired to quote what Bill Paton had to
say about replacing historical costs of inventories with replacement costs.
That quotation appears near the end of this tidbit.
Before quoting Professor Paton, however, I thought I might mention some
of the most famous advocates of current value theory theorists and advocates
in history. You can read about most of the theorists mentioned in this
tidbit in their Accounting Hall of Fame citations at
http://fisher.osu.edu/departments/accounting-and-mis/the-accounting-hall-of-fame/membership-in-hall/
Of course other Hall of Famers like Edgar O. Edwards and Philip Bell also
advocated some forms of current value accounting, but their writings were
somewhat more complex than the Hall of Famers mentioned below.
Famous Historical Cost Theorists
Probably the best known historical cost advocate of all time is AC Littleton
followed by mathematician Yuji Ijiri. Both argued that historical cost
balance sheets do not pretend to be valuations beyond the original dates on
which the transactions were booked into the ledgers. Balance sheet numbers
are simply residuals in from the calculation of income statement numbers
under the Realization Principle for revenues and the Matching Principle for
costs and expenses. Although Littleton and Ijiri also advocate price level
adjustments, they are not advocates of current value adjustments beyond
supplementary disclosures of exit values or entry values.
The most famous publication of the American Accounting Association is the
1941 monograph on historical cost theory by Paton and Littleton ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory02.htm#Paton
The biggest selling monographs in the AAA's Studies in Accounting Research
series are the double/triple bookkeeping monographs by Yuji Ijiri that were
rooted in historical cost accounting ---
http://aaahq.org/market/display.cfm?catID=5
Famous Exit Value (Disposal Value) Theorists
In history, the strongest advocates of exit value replacement of historical
costs in financial statements included Kenneth MacNeal, Bob Sterling, and
Australia's famous Ray Chambers. Their main arguments boiled down to very
simple wash sale illustrations. Suppose Company H and Company S begin with
identical balance sheets of A=$1000 Corn Inventory and E=$1.000 Equity where
each company paid $1 for 1,000 bushels of corn. In order to dress up the
financial statements before closing its books, Company S sells its corn for
$2 per bushel in an intended wash sale. Then immediately after closing its
books Company S buys back corn for $2 per bushel. Company S now has a
balance sheet of A=$2,000 Corn Inventory and E=$1000 Invested Capital +
$1,000 retained earnings.
In the above example Company S looks like it performed twice as well as
Company H even though in the final outcome both remain identical in terms of
all economic criteria. Company H has simply undervalued its historical cost
inventories and did not realize any revenue from sales. In real life,
however, the situation is not so simple. In 1981 when Days Inns of America
wanted to dress up its historical cost balance sheet (for an IPO) the
transactions cost of selling each of its 300+ hotels would've been immense
for selling and then buying back each hotel. Accounting rules did not permit
departing from historical cost valuations for each of these hotels in its
main Price Waterhouse-audited financial statements.. However, nothing
prevented Days in from hiring a large real estate appraisal firm from
deriving 1981 unaudited exit value estimates of each of the 300+ hotels.
To make matters worse, the "value in use" of these 300+ plus hotels most
likely plunged dramatically the day its dynamic President had a sudden heart
attack and died at a very young age. A "value in use" estimate is much more
volatile than historical cost or replacement cost valuations.
The 1981 Days Inns Annual Report (for which I have three copies in my
barn remaining from my days of teaching in which I loaned a copy of this
1981 Annual Report to each of my students) would've made MacNeal, Chambers,
and Sterling ecstatic. The historical cost book values of these 300+ hotels
aggregated to $87,356,000 whereas the exit values aggregated to an unaudited
amount of $194,812,000. Wow!
This is probably value added when it comes to financial analysts and
investors willing to trust these unaudited estimates from a real estate
appraisal firm. The numbers of course are much more subjective and easy to
manipulate for devious purposes than the cost numbers. Ande even if totally
accurate, there's a huge problem of having measured current hotel values of
a company's assets in there worst possible economic uses --- disposing each
asset separately in assumed liquidation of the company. The $194,812,000.
sum of disposal values of Days Inns hotels totally ignores the synergy
value of these when grouped together under the management of Days Inns. Exit
value theorists have never provided us with a way of measuring the value of
the whole other than by summing the exit disposal values of the parts. In
reality the "value in use" of these 300+ hotels might've been $294,812,000,
$394,812,000, or $494,812,000. We will never know because exit theorists
cannot measure "value in use" of grouped assets of one company let alone the
"value in use" if these hotels are sold to other companies like Holiday Inns
of America where "value in use" is probably very different than "value in
use" for Days Inns.
Famous Replacement Cost (Entry Value) Theorists
I think the best known theorists advocating entry values (replacement costs)
are John Canning (in a published doctoral thesis) and William A Paton (in a
lifetime of writing and speaking). Although Paton's most famous book is
probably the 1941 Paton and Littleton monograph on historical cost theory
this was more of an academic exercise for Bill Paton since his heart was
truly in replacement cost fixed asset valuations ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory01.htm#Paton
Whereas the exit value of a 20 year old hotel might be $1 million in a
liquidation sale, the replacement cost (entry value) of a new hotel might be
$5 million. In entry value theory this $5 million would have to be adjusted
for 20 years of hypothetical depreciation to arrive at its $2 million
replacement cost estimate. Exit value theorists are proud of their not
having to resort to arbitrary depreciation calculations. Entry value
theorists are proud of being able to estimate current values when exit
values are meaningless.
Many older assets may have $0 exit value even though their value in
use is still considerable. This is especially the case when costs of
dismantling an old and large piece of equipment and re-installing it in
another factory is so prohibitive that nobody will pay to re-install the
item. There's also the problem of the way exit value markets work even for
new assets. If a farmer pays $500,000 for a new diesel tractor the exit
value may decline by 100,000 before the tractor is moved from tractor
dealer's show room. Such is the nature of "new" versus "used" equipment exit
values even when used is still or almost new.. Entry values are not quite so
flaky since the replacement cost of that tractor might remain constant
between the date of purchase and a month later after the tractor was used
vigorously.
Also in the case of exit values of 300+ hotels, exit values of a New
Orleans Days Inn versus a Fargo Days Inn (of identical age, style, and
sizes) may differ greatly due to variations resale markets in local
economies. This is not generally true of replacement costs since the cost of
constructing new hotels is not so variable in terms of local economies.
Thus replacement costs overcome the flaky nature of many exit value
estimates. But replacement costs suffer from the same maladies of historical
cost valuations in that arbitrary formulas for such things as depreciation
and amortization.
Also Paton's writings are best known from the days before we had
accounting standard setting bodies like the APB, FASB, and IASB. The AICPA
and its ARB committees seldom set accounting rules on really controversial
issues. Instead GAAP, like common law, was drawn from "generally accepted"
practices of accounting in industry and practices acceptable to accounting
system auditors. The SEC was formed in 1933 with powers to dictate
accounting standards for corporations listed on major stock exchanges in the
U.S. However, the SEC was then and still is reluctant to take standard
setting away from professional accountants.
In 1932 corporations and their auditors had much more flexibility than
today in how to value current and fixed assets than the have today. For
example in 2010 both the FASB and IASB rules virtually require historical
cost inventory valuation for the majority of inventories reported globally
in balance sheets. But in 1932 it was much easier for a company to report
inventories at current values if its shareholders did not make a big fuss
over exit value or entry value reporting of inventories.
But in since the crash of 1929, most companies stuck with historical cost
valuation. Beside my desk I always keep the Second Edition of
Accountants' Handbook edited by and heavily written by William A.
Paton. The First Edition is dated 1923, and my copy is the Second Edition
dated 1932.
I think the following quotation from Paton's 1932 handbook pretty well
describes the debate among theorists that carries on to the 21st Century:
Perhaps the doctoral thesis of John Canning eventually strengthened Paton's
advocacy of replacement cost accounting. He generally did not advocate exit
values for going concerns.
Accountants' Handbook. Edited by William A.
Paton, Second Edition (Ronald Press, 1932, pp. 741-742).
(emphasis added with red underlining)
The Balance Sheet of Going Concern ---
Conventional View
In connection with special statements for enterprises undergoing
reorganization or liquidation it is generally conceded that
appraisal values---"fair market values"---are of decided
importance; in the case of regular balance sheets for the going
concern, however, most accountants question the general and
continuous use of other bases of valuation than cost. In
"Limitations of the Present Balance Sheet," Journal of
Accountancy, 1928, Couchman states:
The theory underlying the
balance sheet of a going concern is that every
classification displayed therein shall have resulted from
accomplished financial transactions and/or unfilled
obligations to which the organization is a party, modified
by the attempt allocate to proper fiscal periods all
earnings and all expenses.
Kester writes in
"Accounting Theory and Practice," Vol. II
The controlling purpose in
the valuation of assets subject to depreciation is not so
much the statement of accurate values for use of the balance
sheet but rather a distribution of the depreciation charge
as will spread the cost of the depreciating asset most
equitably over the product turned out by the asset.
It is the operating
(income statement) rather than the balance sheet view of
what should govern.
Canning, emphasizing the
distinction between cost of replacing the existing agent and
cost of replacement of service, in Economics of
Accountancy, writes
The consequential
difficulties and losses from substituting one instrument for
another, whether they are like or unlike in physical
character, are in services is nearly always a more
appropriate value than any other, even in the case in which
the capital item in use can be replaced by another at a
price less than was paid for the one in use, it does not
follow that this price reduction should necessarily affect
the proper valuation of the present instrument. It may not
pay actually to replace now.
And at another point in the
same treatise, he writes substantially as follows:
Accountants are properly
skeptical of valuation bases other than original cost. But
when the weight of evidence tends to show that some higher
or lower basis is really more significant they are not
unwilling to revise valuations. Outlay cost is a real thing.
So too will replacement cost become a real thing when it is
incurred. But because prices of equipment fluctuate because
of the amount and kind of service needed in an enterprise
change with its selling opportunities---because of all these
extremely elusive matters requires a good deal of positive
evidence to show on which side of experienced cost per unit
of service a future unit cost is likely to lie. It must be
cost, as such, to serve as a datum point for revaluations.
On the other hand it must be emphatically asserted that
adequately to consider possible future substitutions it is a
difficult and expensive a task as redesigning all plants and
fixed equipment. Cost of reproduction new (of existing
agencies) les an allowance for depreciation may be a good
working rule in damage suits; it is absurd as a sole rule of
going-concern value.
Littleton in "Value and Price
in Accounting," Accounting Review, September 1929, holds:
"Cost is not value and
is not entered in the accounts as such/"
And again,
"Accounting is a record function, not a valuation function."
Limited Recognition of Changing Values
On the other hand, there are numerous
accountants who are inclined to disagree with the conventional
position. H.C. Daines in "The Changing Objectives of
Accounting," Accounting Review, 1929 writes:
The adoption of the completed-transaction
theory of income has forced the accountant into a rather
embarrassing position with reference to the valuation of his
balance-sheet items. In keeping
with the double-entry process the accountant has thought it
necessary to tie his income statements to the balance sheet.
This has resulted in a rather artificial showing of values
in the balance sheet and an attempt on the part of the
accountant to justify this method of showing values as
proper for a going concern.
Quotations that follow suggest limited
recognition of changing values
What the FASB and IASB has given us in ensuing years are rules for "limited
recognition" of changing values in a single-column horrid mixed model for
financial statements that pleases nobody and renders aggregations such as
the number for "Total Assets" or "Net Income" meaningless summations of
apples plus oranges plus partridges in a pear tree. Bob Jensen's
contention is that the "limited recognition" show be required in the form of
historical cost columns alongside current value columns.
Famous Replacement Cost (Entry Value) of Inventories Replacement cost advocates are generally pretty consistent when it comes
to fixed assets although they vary as to whether replacement costs should
replace historical costs or whether they should just be supplements to
historical cost statements as they were during the short life of FAS 33.
Replacement cost advocates are less consistent when it comes to inventories
where even some replacement cost theorists contend that profits should only
be booked when goods are sold rather than for value changes while the goods
sit finished goods inventory. A huge problem here is the moral hazard that
management may overproduce inventory or capitulate in labor negotiations
just to dress up inventory profits when replacement costs are increasing,
especially when managers have generous profit sharing compensation plans.
Accountant's Handbook. Edited by William A. Paton,
Second Edition (Ronald Press, 1932, Page 419).
Replacement Cost Inventories
. . . Further in the
retail market selling prices do not always fluctuate closely in
terms of replacement costs and accordingly the point that the
merchandise reports to management should in all cases show
current costs rather than actual book costs has less force in
this field. This is particularly true of style goods and highly
specialized goods in general; it is less true in staples such as
flour, sugar, coal, etc. In the wholesale market, on the other
hand, selling prices tend to move more closely with changing
costs and hence there is more force to the argument in favor of
valuation on a replacement cost basis in this field.
Specific Objections
It is not approved
for income tax purposes by the Bureau of Internal Revenue.
(in 1932 there were no computers such that having
more than one basis of inventory valuation was a
computational nightmare)
Where it means the
inclusion of appreciation in income it has no general legal
standing. (meaning that co-mingling unrealized price
appreciations with realized revenues renders mixed-model
income statements confusing)
It is viewed as
non-conservative by accountants, bankers, and business men
generally. (in 1932 there was a significantly lower
proportion of business women)
It requires the
determination of replacement costs for entire stock at the
inventory date, a considerable task, especially for certain
classes of goods. (this is a problem that still
exists in the 21st Century after having witnessed the
extreme inaccuracies of firms that tried to comply with FAS
33 while it was in effect)
It leaves the more
or less dependable field of book records for a territory
where estimate plays a considerable part. (which is
why auditors to this day are not allowed by auditing
standards to generally attest to current values of
non-financial assets except in the cases of extreme
impairment where inaccuracies are more acceptable in the
accounting standards)
Paton continues the discussion here with the
"Meaning of Replacement Cost"
And thus I've added a bit of history to my ongoing debate with my friends
Tom Selling and Patricia Walters. . I don't think it will change their
minds, but it does add historical perspective to the debate.
I've really enjoy these intense friendly debates about single-column versus
multiple column financial statements with Tom Selling and Patricia Walters on
the AECM. But I do not want to leave anybody with the impression that I'm an
advocate of historical costing balance sheets. I'm opposed to such balance
sheets for reasons never envisioned by current value reporting scholars like
Kenneth MacNeal, John Canning, Ray Chambers, Bob Sterling, Edgar Edwards, Phillip
Bell, and others. I merely advocate a historical cost column in the balance
sheet because I believe there is value added in reporting net earnings based
upon only legally realized revenues and profits under the matching principle. I
do think the historical cost balance accounts are residuals of the realized
revenue matching concept that have enormous limitations in terms of evaluating
financial opportunities and risks.
For one thing, historical cost balance sheets are too easy to abuse in terms
of off-balance sheet financing. Secondly, historical cost balance sheets are bad
alternatives for both speculation and hedging derivative financial instruments.
In 1941
Paton and Littleton could deal with some derivative financial instruments.
Futures contracts presented no problems since they're cleared in cash each day.
Purchased options were not viewed as being especially problematic for historical
costing because financial risk was limited to cash lost in the rather nominal
premiums paid. Covered written options were not problematic since they have an
inherent hedge that limits financial risk. Naked written options were huge
problems that I don't know that Paton and Littleton ever wrote about. But there
is an escape clause in the Paton and Littleton monograph --- the escape clause
that allows departures from historical cost based upon conservatism. Presumably,
a company facing huge losses in naked written options must bring those estimated
losses into the ledgers based upon conservatism. I don't think this escape
clause is nearly as good as adding a current value column alongside a historical
cost column in financial statements.
In their
1941
monograph Paton and Littleton did not envision interest rate swaps invented
in 1984. Interest rate swaps are really portfolios of forward contracts and, as
a matter of tradition, forward contracts usually have zero historical costs as
counterparties take differing long and short positions without paying a premium
like they would when buying or writing options. Until FAS 119 was passed in
1994, clients worldwide entered into over $100 trillion in interest rate swap notionals without even disclosing those swaps. One of the incentives to enter
into such swaps was the ease of off-balance-sheet financing. These swaps also
replaced U.S. Treasury note inventories as a means of managing cash.
In the early 1990's the Director of the SEC ordered the Chairman of the FASB
to issue standards for disclosure and eventually booking of interest rate swaps
on some basis other than historical costs since historical cost of a swap
contract was $0. In doing so the Director of the SEC declared that the three
main problems with financial reporting were "derivatives, derivatives, and
derivatives." :
Video and
audio clips of FASB updates on FAS 133
Audio 1 --- Dennis Beresford in 1994 in New York City
BERES01.mp3
Audio 2 --- Dennis Beresford in 1995 in Orlando
BERES02.mp3
I support at least one required current value column alongside a historical
cost column in every set of financial statements. I do not support the current
mixed model, single-column financial statements under IFRS and FASB rules today
because they're such a conglomeration of historical cost and fair value
components that aggregations are meaningless and the mix of audited and
unaudited numbers mangles the credibility of the presentation. I favor a
historical cost column to that does not co-mingle realized revenues with
unrealized price changes. I support a current value column that provides more
insights into financial risks and risk management.
Maintaining any derivatives, including credit derivatives, in the historical
cost column at zero historical cost or a nominal premium cost is totally
non-informative of financial risks of the derivative contracts in their present
state. I support maintaining the FAS 133 rules and their amendments in the
current value column of a set of financial statements. In order to distinguish
speculation derivatives from hedging derivatives I advocate allowing hedge
accounting relief for qualified hedges even though the relief varies of cash
flow and FX hedges using OCI for relief and fair value hedging that uses the
"firm commitment" account for fair value hedges of unbooked purchase contracts
at fixed future rates/prices.
I don't think historical cost accounting is suited for other types contracts
in the 21st century, including securitization contracts, mezzanine debt, and
variable interest entities (SPEs). It's impossible to conclude that that any
single-column set of financial statements can be an optimal choice. What I
believe is that the time has come to disaggregate the current mixed-model,
single column GAAP reporting under current IFRS or FASB standards. My first
suggestion would be to disaggregate the historical cost alternatives from the
current value alternatives for two main reasons. The first would be to
disaggregate realized income statement items from unrealized income statement
items arising from changes in fair values. The second would be to disaggregate
numbers that are audited from numbers that are either not audited at all or have
audit-lite attestations to the actual numbers themselves such as auditor reviews
of the fair value estimation process without attesting to the actual fair value
numbers themselves. Flags should be put on numbers to indicate the degree of
verification with the audit process. For example, cash balances are audited
better than most anything else in traditional CPA audits. Current appraisal
values of real estate cannot be attested to at all by CPA auditors under present
auditing standards. I recommend putting these appraisals into the current value
column with strong warnings that these numbers have not be verified by auditors.
I think Tom Selling and Patricia Walters and Bob Jensen are in full
agreement on most things. The difference is that Tom and Pat seem to be
advocating a single-column set of financial statements that inevitably becomes a
mixed model that co-mingles too many bases of measurement. Bob Jensen advocates
a multiple-column set of financial statements that segregates realized
transaction outcomes from unrealized changes in current values. GAAP rules
should cover all multiple columns.
I'm not a fan of having a pro-forma column because I think this makes it too
easy for clients to manipulate the numbers outside of GAAP rules. Until GAAP
contains strict rules about pro-forma reporting, auditors should not associate
their names with any financial statements having a pro-forma column ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory02.htm#ProForma
Yes, multiple-column statements might create some short-term confusion among
analysts and investors. But I think the current single-column financial
statements create more confusion, especially with the co-mingling of realized
revenues with unrealized current value changes.
Jensen Comment
His latest posting remains, however, disappointing to me in that he does not
delve into how traditional replacement (current) cost accounting of operating
assets like factories, stores, hotels, airliners, can be more misleading than
helpful if it is not accompanied by traditional historical cost financial
statements and possibly exit value statements (although exit value is not very
relevant for going concerns with lots of synergy covariances of asset values "in
use."
Some of his statements do not adequately stress that replacement cost
accounting is not value accounting since it has identical accrual issues of
depreciation, depletion, amortization, bad debt estimation, etc. that plagues
historical cost accounting. For example, he states:
"First, replacement cost measures are the only
possible way for accounting to reflect wealth invested by shareholders in an
enterprise; and consequently, changes in invested wealth." Tom Selling as cited
above
Firstly, I almost always advise against sweeping generalization such as the
"only possible way to reflect wealth invested by shareholders ..."
Such sweeping generalizations should be avoided in the Academy, especially when
when our accounting history research literature is brimming articles from
scholars who do not share Tom's view about replacement cost accounting (even in
theory). Kenneth MacNeal would not call replacement cost accounting "Truth in
Accounting" or even being the best of asset measurement alternatives ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory02.htm#BasesAccounting
Secondly, he still is speaking of "flowers in spring" to Julie Andrews
without giving her the "show me" she's demanding. He still has not made a
convincing case on how even his hybrid version of replacement cost accounting
would be relevant to my two Holiday Inn case seeds at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/temp/HolidayInnCaseSeeds.htm
To his credit, in his latest posting Tom does not mention Tobin's Q. Perhaps
I convinced him that Tobin's Q is just not relevant to this analysis since the
value of a firm is affected by so many factors other than items accountants book
into the ledgers. I discuss this problem with Tobin's Q at
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/temp/HolidayInnCaseSeeds.htm
In any case I hope Tom will continue our debate on replacement costs. My
challenge to him remains to take my two Holiday Inn case seeds and show how
replacement cost measures are the only possible way for
accounting to reflect wealth invested by shareholders in an enterprise; and
consequently, changes in invested wealth" in these two hotels.
http://www.cs.trinity.edu/~rjensen/temp/HolidayInnCaseSeeds.htm
And congratulations on choosing Walter Teets as a co-author. I used to
correspond with Walter Teets quite a lot in the early days of FAS 133. He has a
PhD in finance from the University of Chicago and is a genuine expert on
derivative financial instruments.
Also see
"Hicksian Income in the Conceptual Framework" ---
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1576611
Michael Bromwich London School of Economics
Richard H. Macve London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) -
Department of Accounting and Finance
Shyam Sunder Yale School of Management
March 22, 2010
Abstract:
In seeking to replace accounting ‘conventions’ by ‘concepts’ in the pursuit
of principles-based standards, the FASB/IASB joint project on the conceptual
framework has grounded its approach on a well-known definition of ‘income’
by Hicks. We welcome the use of theories by accounting standard setters and
practitioners, if theories are considered in their entirety.
‘Cherry-picking’ parts of a theory to serve the immediate aims of standard
setters risks distortion. Misunderstanding and misinterpretation of the
selected elements of a theory increase the distortion even more. We argue
that the Boards have selectively picked from, misquoted, misunderstood, and
misapplied Hicksian concepts of income. We explore some alternative
approaches to income suggested by Hicks and by other writers, and their
relevance to current debates over the Boards’ conceptual framework and
standards. Our conclusions about how accounting concepts and conventions
should be related differ from those of the Boards. Executive stock options (ESOs)
provide an illustrative case study.
Be that as it may, let me look a little closer at the illustrations provided
by you and Walter.
I'm a little confused by your example Tom. Since you report a cash holding
loss of ($17.33) it would appear that there really has not been an increase in
replacement costs other than due to general price level changes (16/12) and no
increase in replacement costs apart from the change in general purchasing power
of a dollar. Thus this is not really a very good example of replacement cost
accounting where specific price index changes should differ from general price
index changes as is clearly what FAS 33, before it was rescinded, was all about.
FAS 133 used a single general price level index to price level adjust historical
cost financial statements and multiple specific prices indices to adjust
constant-dollar (PLA) financial statements to current cost (replacement cost)
financial statements. My favorite example is the 1981 U.S. Steel annual report:
FAS 33 had
a significant impact on some companies. The adjustments were not trivial! For
example the earnings reported by United States Steel in the 1981 Annual Report
as required under FAS 33 were as follows:
1981 United States Steel Income Before Extraordinary items and
Changes in Acctg. Principles
Historical Cost (Non-PLA Adjusted)
Historical Cost (PLA Adjusted)
Replacement Cost (Current Cost)
$1,077,000,000 Income
$475,300,000 Income
Plus $164,500,000 PLA gain due to decline in purchasing power of
debt
$446,400,000 Income
Plus $164,500,000 PLA Gain
Less $168,000,000 Current cost increase less effect of increase in
the general price level
One assumptions that I read into your example is that sales were made at the
beginning of the second day when the price was $20 per keg. In terms of
period-end dollars the sales are then $53.33. Similarly the FIFO cost of goods
sold of $24 becomes $32 in end of period dollars. Normally these would be
averaged for the day but since sales only took place at the beginning of the day
there's no need to average this out. .
The general price level adjusted historical cost income statement using
end-of-period dollar purchasing power becomes:
$53.33 Sales
32.00 CGS
$21.33 Operating income
(17.33)
Purchasing power loss on monetary items
$ 4.00 Net income which is identical to your net income under replacement
cost accounting
This is the same net income that you derived, because you really not have had
any increase in keg production costs aside from general price level increases. .
Hence I don't think your example is a very good illustration of replacement cost
accounting since the constant-dollar replacement cost of kegs really did not
change throughout the example.
Hence I think you should improve your illustration with both general price
level increases and specific keg production price increases apart from price
changes in the units of purchasing power. I might quibble with the $17.33
number, but production timing assumptions can be made to make this number
acceptable in terms of cash outlays for new kegs and consumption.
A simplifying example would be to have no change in general purchasing power
of the dollar and make all the price changes apply only to kegs of beer
production costs during the second day after sales of the two kegs early in the
morning.
$ 40.00 Sales
24.00 CGS (Fifo)
$ 16.00 Operating income
( 0.00) Purchasing power loss on
monetary items
$ 16.00 Net income (realized)
12.00 Unrealized
replacement cost gain assuming inventory produced at sunrise 84.00 BOP equity
$ 112.00 EOP before dividends (beer consumption)
Maximum Hicksian consumption = $28.
If he consumed no beer until sunset that he produced at sunrise we would allow
the guy to consume $28 worth of beer at the end of the period to have the the
BOP and EOP equity be identical at $84.00 since the value of the dollar remains
constant.
Of course this will get complicated if the guy is consuming the beer while
he's producing the beer throughout the period since we have to know the cost of
each swallow as factor prices increase during a production run. .
The Hicksian Concept of Income
In any case the Hicksian criterion is a very weak economic criterion since in a
real company there are many alternative portfolios of assets that have very
different discounted cash flow net income based upon discounted future cash
flows even though they have the same Hicksian income. Also the Hicksian concept
of income is simplistic because it provides no information about portfolio risk
differences such as when speculations versus hedges give the same Hicksian
outcomes in different portfolios.
As a final note I don't think FAS 157 was written for inventory valuations.
To my knowledge this standard applies only to financial assets and liabilities.
Presumably it could be extended to inventories, but this was not its original
intent. I think many amendments would be required for valuing most non-financial
assets such portfolios of real estate.
But I have to admit this illustration has some great potential if it is
extended to different assumptions about timings of revenues and expenses along
with combinations of general and specific price index movements.
Balance Sheet Versus the Income Statement Focus of Standard Setters
Early theorists like Professors Littleton and Ijiri focused heavily on the
income statement as do financial analysts and investors who track net income as
a primary indicator of economic performance. This focus built upon the Revenue
Realization Principle and the Matching Principle leads to weak
conceptualizations of assets and liabilities.
Largely because they cannot define net income on anything other than
cherry-picked Hicksian theory, the FASB and IASB standard setters instead focus
on the balance sheet where think they are on more solid footing conceptualizing
assets and liabilities. This, however, is not without its troubles.
See
"The Asset and Liability View: What It Is and What It Is Not—Implications for
International Accounting Standard Setting from a Theoretical Point of View"
Jens Wüstemann, University of Mannheim; Sonja Wüstemann, Goethe University
Frankfurt am Main
American Accounting Association Annual Meetings, August 4, 2010
http://aaahq.org/AM2010/display.cfm?Filename=SubID_2022.pdf&MIMEType=application%2Fpdf
I would like you, Tom, and Patricia to especially note the reference to the
"stewardship function" below in the context of historical cost accounting.
ABSTRACT
In their current standard setting projects the FASB and the IASB seek to
enhance consistency in the application of accounting standards and
comparability of financial statements by fully implementing the asset and
liability view. However, neither in standard setting nor in the accounting
literature is there agreement on what the asset and liability view
constitutes. In this paper, we show that the asset and liability view is
compatible with different, sometimes even opposing concepts, such as
historical cost accounting and fair value accounting, and thus cannot ensure
internal consistency on its own. By means of the example of revenue
recognition we point out the difficulty to determine the changes in assets
and liabilities that shall give rise to revenue. We argue that the increase
in assets that leads to revenue is the obtainment of the right to
consideration and thus should be focused on by the
Boards.
1. Introduction
A major aim of the FASB and the IASB
in their current standard setting projects is to achieve internal
consistency of the accounting regimes U.S. GAAP and IFRS (IASB 2008c,
BC2.46; IASB 2008a, S3; IASB 2008d, par. 5; IASB 2009, p. 5). One of the
reasons for inconsistencies in present U.S. GAAP and IFRS is that
recognition and measurement principles and rules are developed on the basis
of two competing concepts − the asset and liability view and the revenue and
expense view (Wüstemann and Wüstemann 2010).
Until the 1970s the so called revenue
and expense view had been prevailing in international accounting standard
setting. In the U.S. this view was introduced by Paton and Littleton in the
American Accounting Association Monograph No. 3 in 1940 (Paton and Littleton
1940: 1956) and soon became the state of the art in U.S. accounting theory
and practice. Similar developments took place in other countries, e.g.
Germany, where Schmalenbach (1919) was the main driver for the establishment
of the comparable ’dynamic accounting theory’
(Dynamische
Bilanztheorie)
According to the revenue and expense view the principal purpose of
accounting is to determine periodic net income as a measure of an entity’s
effectiveness in using inputs to obtain and sell output (stewardship
function) by recognising revenue
when it is earned or realised and by matching the related costs with those
revenues (FASB 1976, par. 38−42; Paton and Littleton 1940: 1956, p. 10 et
sqq.; see for the tradition of the stewardship function Edwards, Dean and
Clarke 2009). Some proponents of the revenue and expense view see net income
as an indicator of an entity’s ‘usual, normal, or extended performance’
(‘earning power’) (FASB 1976, par. 62) that may help users not only to
assess management’s performance but also to estimate the value of the firm
(Black 1980, p. 20; Breidleman 1973, p. 654). This requires irregular and
random events that distort net periodic profit, such as the receipt of
grants and losses from bad debt, to be smoothed out (Beidleman 1973, p. 653
et sqq.; Bevis 1965: 1986, p. 104−107; FASB 1976, par. 59; Schmalenbach
1919, p. 32−36). Under the revenue and expense view the function of the
balance sheet is to ‘store’ residuals resulting from the matching and
allocation process; the deferred debits and credits depicted in the balance
sheet do not necessarily represent resources and obligations (Paton and
Littleton 1940: 1956, p. 72−74; Schmalenbach 1919, p. 26; Sprouse 1978, p.
68).
In the 1970s the FASB realised that
the key concepts under the revenue and expense view − revenues and expenses
− are not precisely definable making earnings ‘unduly subject to the effects
of personal opinion about what earnings of an enterprise for a period should
be’ (FASB 1976, par. 60). In order to limit arbitrary judgements and to
achieve a more consistent income determination the FASB decided to shift the
focus to the more robust concepts of assets and liabilities and thus to the
asset and liability view as evidenced by the issuance of SFAC 3
Elements of
Financial Statements
(now SFAC 6) in 1980 (Storey 2003, p. 35 et sqq.;
Miller 1990, p. 26 et seq.; see for a similar development in Germany around
the same time Moxter 1993). The so called asset and liability view in the
U.S. has its origins in the Sprouse and Moonitz monograph that was published
in 1962 as part of the AICPA’s Accounting Research Studies.
Under this view all financial
statement elements are derived from the definitions of assets and
liabilities. Income resulting from changes in assets and liabilities
measures an entity’s increase in net assets (FASB 1976, par. 34; Johnson
2004, p. 1; Ronen 2008, p. 184; Sprouse and Moonitz 1962, par. 11, 46, 49).
The asset and liability view can serve the purpose to objectify income
measurement by restricting recognition in the balance sheet to those items
that embody resources and obligations (Sprouse 1978, p. 70). Alternatively,
the asset and liability view can be adopted in order to inform users about
future cash flows that are expected to flow from an entity’s assets and
liabilities, which are supposed to help them in estimating firm value (Scott
1997, p. 159−162; Hitz 2007, p. 333 and 336−338).
Despite the declared shift from the
revenue and expense view to the asset and liability view in the 1970s,
certain U.S. standards and also the ‘older’ IFRS, for example those on
revenue recognition, still follow the revenue and expense view (Ernst &
Young 2009, p. 1558; Wüstemann and Kierzek 2005, p. 82 et seq.). In the
beginning of the 21st century the FASB and the IASB have begun several
projects, above all the Conceptual Framework Project, that shall lead to an
all-embracing implementation of the asset and liability view (Wüstemann and
Wüstemann 2010).
We observe that both in the accounting
literature and the standard setting processes, there is confusion about the
meaning and implications of the asset and liability view, especially as
regards the role of the realisation principle and the matching principle as
well as fair value measurement (see literature review below). A second
problem is that the asset and liability view does not provide clear guidance
on how assets and liabilities shall be defined and which changes in assets
and liabilities shall give rise to income. The FASB and the IASB have − up
to now − been struggling with the problem of bringing current revenue
recognition guidance in conformity with the asset and liability view for
seven years. In December 2008, they finally published a Discussion Paper
‘Preliminary Views on Revenue Recognition in Contracts with Customers’, but
the issuance of the new standard is not yet foreseeable.
The aim of this paper is to shed light
on the conceptual underpinnings of the asset and liability view, to clarify
misunderstandings in the accounting literature and standard setting about
its meaning and to discuss implications for international accounting
standard setting. The remainder is organised as follows: In the first part
of the paper we depict the different opinions that exist with regard to the
asset and liability view and then clarify the concept by defining
recognition and measurement principles as well as purposes of financial
statements that are compatible with this view. Subsequently, we analyse in
how far the asset and liability view is implemented in present U.S. GAAP and
IFRS and in which areas accounting principles still exist that oppose the
asset and liability view. In the final part we point out the difficulty to
define assets and liabilities taking the current FASB’s and IASB’s joint
project on revenue recognition as an example and make suggestions for
improvement.
I think the major problem, aside from the cost of generating more
relevant and reliable information, is that standards setters never look beyond
single-column financial statements that inevitably lead them to horrid mixed
model measurements that destroy aggregations into summary measures like "Total
Assets" and "Net Income." Bob Herz recommends doing away with aggregating net
income metrics. I recommend having multiple columns and multiple net income
aggregations.
See
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/theory02.htm#ChangesOnTheWay
·Survival
Concept --- Historical cost accounting has met the Darwin survival test for
thousands of years. One of the most noted books advocating historical cost is
called Introduction to Corporate Accounting Standards by William Paton
and A.C. Littleton (Sarasota: American Accounting Association, 1940). Probably
no single book has ever had so much influence or is more widely cited in
accounting literature than this thin book by Paton and Littleton.
Except in hyperinflation nations, unadjusted historical cost is still the
primary basis of accounting, although there are numerous exceptions for certain
types of assets and liabilities. Most notable among these exceptions are
financial instruments assets and liabilities where FAS 115 and FAS 133 spell out
highly controversial exceptions.
·The
Matching Concept --- costs of resources consumed in production should be matched
against the revenues of the products and services of the production function.
(Assumes costs attach throughout the production process in spite of complicating
factors such as joint costs, indirect costs, fungible resources acquired at
different costs, changing price-levels, basket purchases such as products and
their warranties, changing technologies, and other complications). Profit is the
"residuum (as efforts) and revenues (as accomplishments) for individual
enterprises." This difference (profit) reflects the effectiveness of management.
One overriding concept, however, is conservatism that Paton and Littleton
concede must be resorted to as a basis for writing inventories down to market
when historical cost exceeds market. This leads to a violation of the matching
concept, but it is necessary if investors will be misled into thinking that
inventories historical costs are surrogates for value.
·The Audit
Trail --- historical costs can be traced to real rather than hypothetical market
transactions. They leave an audit trail that can be followed by auditors.
·Predictive
Value --- empirical studies post to reasonably good predictive value of past
historical cost earnings on future historical cost earnings. In some cases,
historical cost statements are better predictors of bankruptcy than current cost
statements.
·Accuracy
--- Historical cost measurement is more accurate and, relative to its
alternatives, is more uniform, consistent, and less prone to measurement error.
Nobody I
know holds the mathematical wonderment of double entry and historical cost
accounting more in awe than Yuji Ijiri. For example, see Theory of Accounting
Measurement, by Yuji Ijiri (Sarasota: American Accounting Association
Studies in Accounting Research No. 10, 1975) ---
http://accounting.rutgers.edu/raw/aaa/market/studar.htm
Disadvantages of Historical Cost
·Does not
eliminate or solve such controversial issues as what to include/exclude from
balance sheets and does not overcome complex schemes for off-balance-sheet
financing (OBSF). It is too simplistic for complex contracting. For example,
many derivative financial instruments having current values of millions of
dollars (e.g., forward contracts and swaps) have zero or negligible historical
costs. For example, a firm may have an interest rate swap obligating it to pay
millions of dollars even though the historical cost of that swap is zero.
Investors might be easily misled by having such huge liabilities remain
unbooked. Historical cost accounting has induced game playing when writing
contracts (leases, employee compensation, etc.) in order to avoid having to book
what are otherwise assets and liabilities under fair value reporting.
·Historical
cost mixes apples and oranges such as LIFO inventory dipping that may match
costs measured in 1950s purchasing power with inflated dollars in the 21st
Century that have much less purchasing power. Historical cost income in periods
of rising prices overstates earnings and understates how a firm is maintaining
its capital assets. Even historical cost advocates admit that historical cost
accounting is useless in economies subject to hyperinflation.
·Historical
cost accrual accounting assumes a going concern. Under current U.S. GAAP,
historical cost is the basis of accounting for going concerns. If the firm is
not deemed a going concern, the basis of accounting shifts to exit (liquidation)
values. For many firms, however, it is difficult and/or misleading to make a
binary designation of going versus non-going. Many firms fall into the gray area
on a continuum. Personal financial statements seldom meet the going concern test
since they are generally used in estate and divorce settlements. Hence, exit
(liquidation) value is required instead of historical cost for personal
financial statements.
·Historical
cost is perpetuated by a myth of objectivity when there are countless underlying
subjective estimates of asset economic life, allocation of joint costs,
allocation of indirect costs, bad debt reserves, warranty liabilities, pension
liabilities, etc.
Going
Concern Accounting and Bear Stearns
From
The Wall Street Journal Accounting Weekly Review on April 11, 2008
SUMMARY: This
article covers the testimony in Congressional hearings for the
weekend events of March 15-16 leading to the Bear Stearns bailout
and acquisition by J.P. Morgan.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: Understanding
the relationship between the balance sheet equation and the notions
of a run on the bank, going concern and fire sale is made evident in
this review. The economic concept of moral hazard also is covered.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
Summarize the events leading to Bear Stearns demise and acquisition
by J.P. Morgan.
2. (Introductory)
What is the assumption of going concern in accounting? Give an
example of how that assumption influences the accounting for one
balance sheet item, then explain the assumption's overall influence
on the balance sheet equation.
3. (Introductory)
What prices for Bear Stearns' stock were considered in negotiations
leading to J.P. Morgan's acquisition? What evidence is given in the
article that these prices were based on assumptions other than the
going concern assumption?
4. (Advanced)
Define the notions of "capital adequacy" and "liquidity" in banks.
For what type of entity are these levels now regulated? How might
that regulation now expand as a result of the Bear Stearns debacle?
5. (Advanced)
Explain the U.S. government's role in the transaction between J.P.
Morgan and Bear Stearns. How does that role differ from the usual
government regulation in financial markets?
6. (Advanced)
Why did Bear Stearns have to negotiate a finished deal by the end of
the weekend of March 15-16? In your answer, explain the concept of a
"run on the bank" and its relationship to the going concern
assumption.
7. (Introductory)
What is the economic notion of "moral hazard?" How did that issue
also influence the price that Bear Stearns was able to negotiate
from J.P. Morgan?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
"Officials
Say They Sought To Avoid Bear Bailout," by Kara Scannell and Sudeer Reddy,
The Wall Street Journal, April 4, 2008; Page A1 --
Click Here
The government sought a low sale price for Bear Stearns Cos. to send a message
that taxpayers wouldn't bail out firms making risky bets, a top Treasury
Department official testified, as regulators offered Congress the first detailed
explanation of the unprecedented rescue.
Representatives of Washington and Wall Street painted a dire picture of the
chaos they believe would have ensued if the government hadn't orchestrated a
rescue of Bear Stearns by J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. over the hectic weekend of
March 15-16.
"This would have been far more, in my opinion, expensive to taxpayers had Bear
Stearns gone bankrupt and added to the financial crisis we have today," said
J.P. Morgan chief executive James Dimon. "It wouldn't have even been close."
Officials said they were acutely aware of the moral-hazard problem, and that is
why the government insisted that Bear Stearns shareholders get a low price for
their shares. In the original deal, announced the night of March 16, J.P. Morgan
agreed to pay $2 a share. After Bear Stearns shareholders protested, J.P. Morgan
raised its price a week later to $10 a share -- still a fraction of the level
Bear Stearns shares had traded at before it faced a funding crisis.
"There was a view that the price should not be very high or should be towards
the low end...given the government's involvement," Treasury Undersecretary
Robert Steel told a congressional committee during a five-hour hearing Thursday.
"These were exceptionally consequential acts, taken with extreme reluctance and
care because of the substantial consequences it would have for moral hazard in
the financial system," added Timothy Geithner, president of the Federal Reserve
Bank of New York.
Mr. Steel and other officials told the Senate Banking Committee that they didn't
dictate the precise sale price, but wanted to see a deal done quickly to avoid a
sudden market-shaking crash of the company.
At the hearing, the first one focusing on the Bear Stearns rescue, lawmakers
questioned top Fed officials, including Chairman Ben Bernanke, as well as the
chief executives of Bear Stearns and J.P. Morgan. Held in a cavernous room
reserved for big gatherings, rather than the more-intimate regular room, the
hearing sometimes had the feel of a Hollywood red-carpet event as photographers
descended on the panelists.
Officials rejected lawmakers' suggestions that they bailed out Bear Stearns,
noting that shareholders took steep losses and many employees may lose their
jobs. But under questioning, Mr. Bernanke agreed with a lawmaker who suggested
the Fed rescued Wall Street more broadly.
"If you want to say we bailed out the market in general, I guess that's true,"
he said. "But we felt that was necessary in the interest of the American
economy." He reiterated comments from a day earlier that the Fed doesn't expect
to lose money on its $30 billion loan. J.P. Morgan has agreed to cover the first
$1 billion in losses, if there are any.
Mr. Dimon said his bank "could not and would not have assumed the substantial
risk" of buying Bear without the Fed's involvement.
At the hearing, the government and company officials gave an exhaustive account
of the frenetic scramble in the days preceding the Bear Stearns sale. "We had
literally 48 hours to do what normally takes a month," said Mr. Dimon.
During the week of March 10, market rumors swirled that Bear Stearns might not
be able to stay in business. At the hearing Alan Schwartz, Bear Stearns's chief
executive, said that the firm's balance sheet was strong -- as good as that of
any other financial institution -- but that Bear Stearns couldn't keep up with
the rumors.
By Thursday, March 13, the rumors had become a "self-fulfilling prophecy" and
resulted in a "run on the bank," Mr. Schwartz said. Bear Stearns reached out to
the regulators, who worked throughout the night. By Friday morning, March 14,
the Fed agreed to extend financing to Bear Stearns through J.P. Morgan. Then the
firms and government officials worked through the weekend to spur Bear Stearns's
sale and prevent a bankruptcy filing.
Along with the sale announcement on March 16, the Fed announced that it would
lend directly to investment banks from its discount window, a historic reversal
of its longtime policy of lending only to banks. While some have said that Bear
Stearns could have avoided a sale if it had had access to the new lending
program, Mr. Geithner said that wasn't feasible.
"We only allow sound institutions to borrow against collateral," he said. "I
would have been very uncomfortable lending to Bear given what we knew at that
time."
When it became clear that a deal had to happen before Asian markets opened late
Sunday night, Bear Stearns's negotiating leverage "went out the window," said
Mr. Schwartz. Among the parties examining Bear Stearns's books was a
sophisticated buyer who was "prepared to write a multibillion check to invest in
equity," but that would have required another financial institution to help
finance the deal, Mr. Schwartz said. He didn't identify the potential buyer.
Mr. Dimon testified that he couldn't recall whose idea it was to bring in the
Fed. Treasury's Mr. Steel said it was J.P. Morgan that suggested the Fed's
involvement.
This is one strange debate the candidates are having on energy policy. With gas
prices close to $4 a gallon, Hillary Clinton and John McCain say they'll bring
relief with a moratorium on the 18.4-cent federal gas tax. Barack Obama opposes
that but prefers a 1970s-style windfall profits tax (as does Mrs. Clinton).
Mr. Obama is right to oppose the gas-tax gimmick, but his idea is even worse.
Neither proposal addresses the problem of energy supply, especially the lack of
domestic oil and gas thanks to decades of Congressional restrictions on U.S.
production. Mr. Obama supports most of those "no drilling" rules, but that
hasn't stopped him from denouncing high gas prices on the campaign trail. He is
running TV ads in North Carolina that show him walking through a gas station and
declaring that he'll slap a tax on the $40 billion in "excess profits" of Exxon
Mobil.
The idea is catching on. Last week Pennsylvania Congressman Paul Kanjorski
introduced a windfall profits tax as part of what he called the "Consumer
Reasonable Energy Price Protection Act of 2008." So now we have Congress
threatening to help itself to business profits even though Washington already
takes 35% right off the top with the corporate income tax.
You may also be wondering how a higher tax on energy will lower gas prices.
Normally, when you tax something, you get less of it, but Mr. Obama seems to
think he can repeal the laws of economics. We tried this windfall profits scheme
in 1980. It backfired. The Congressional Research Service found in a 1990
analysis that the tax reduced domestic oil production by 3% to 6% and increased
oil imports from OPEC by 8% to 16%. Mr. Obama nonetheless pledges to lessen our
dependence on foreign oil, which he says "costs America $800 million a day."
Someone should tell him that oil imports would soar if his tax plan becomes law.
The biggest beneficiaries would be OPEC oil ministers.
There's another policy contradiction here. Exxon is now under attack for buying
back $2 billion of its own stock rather than adding to the more than $21 billion
it is likely to invest in energy research and exploration this year. But hold
on. If oil companies believe their earnings from exploring for new oil will be
expropriated by government – and an excise tax on profits is pure expropriation
– they will surely invest less, not more. A profits tax is a sure formula to
keep the future price of gas higher.
Exxon's profits are soaring with the recent oil price spike, but the energy
industry's earnings aren't as outsized as the politicians seem to think. Thomson
Financial calculates that profits from the oil and natural gas industry over the
past year were 8.3% of investment, while the all-industry average is 7.8%. And
this was a boom year for oil. An analysis by the Cato Institute's Jerry Taylor
finds that between 1970 and 2003 (which includes peak and valley years for
earnings) the oil and gas business was "less profitable than the rest of the
U.S. economy." These are hardly robber barons.
This tiff over gas and oil taxes only highlights the intellectual policy
confusion – or perhaps we should say cynicism – of our politicians. They want
lower prices but don't want more production to increase supply. They want oil
"independence" but they've declared off limits most of the big sources of
domestic oil that could replace foreign imports. They want Americans to use less
oil to reduce greenhouse gases but they protest higher oil prices that reduce
demand. They want more oil company investment but they want to confiscate the
profits from that investment. And these folks want to be President?
Late this week, a group of Senate Republicans led by Pete Domenici of New Mexico
introduced the "American Energy Production Act of 2008" to expand oil production
off the U.S. coasts and in Alaska. It has the potential to increase domestic
production enough to keep America running for five years with no foreign
imports. With the world price of oil at $116 a barrel, if not now, when? No word
yet if Senators Clinton and Obama will take time off from denouncing oil profits
to vote for that.
TOPICS: Advanced
Financial Accounting, Financial Accounting, Oil and Gas Accounting,
Tax Laws, Taxation
SUMMARY: The
second of these two letters to the editor is written by a 70 year
old reader who has worked in the oil and gas industry for all of his
life. Both letters discuss the Obama-proposed windfall profits tax,
but the latter also refers to the fact that historical cost-based
financial statements show higher income statement profits than would
statements prepared under replacement cost accounting.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The
article may be used to addressed the current political debates of
the presidential candidates' proposed policies in either a taxation
or an advanced financial accounting class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
What are "windfall profits?" What is a "windfall profits tax?"
2. (Introductory)
Why might a windfall profits tax appeal to voters who are
unsophisticated in their understanding of its potential economic
impact?
3. (Advanced)
What is "replacement
cost accounting?"
In your answer, compare this measurement method to our current
historical cost method.
4. (Advanced)
Why might historical cost accounting be particularly problematic in
the oil and gas industry as opposed to, say, a traditional
manufacturing industry?
5. (Advanced)
What is the argument put forth by Mr. McElvain that historical-cost
basis financial statements are contributing to the potential
implementation of a windfall profits tax?
6. (Advanced)
"Major oil companies need to administer their businesses on the
basis of true replacement costs, not historical accounting costs."
Is that possible even if the business must use historical cost
accounting in published financial statements?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
A Daunting
Problem With Replacement Cost Accounting
Although
Tom Selling hates to admit it, I think that the difficulty or impossibility of
replacing operating assets with anything like those existing assets that are not
being replaced makes entry value (replacement cost, current cost) accounting a
daunting task that ends up with numbers of dubious value to investors because of
their arbitrary and subjective nature. The following case illustrates the
problem for deriving replacement cost of a ten-year old airliner still in use
with slower travel time, inefficient fuel usage, lower cargo capacity, and
higher maintenance costs. What should be its depreciation-adjusted replacement
cost while still in use?
From
The Wall Street Journal's Accounting Weekly Review on July 16, 2010
TOPICS: Capital
Budgeting, Capital Spending, Supply Chains
SUMMARY: This
article discusses FedEx's investment in new Boeing aircraft that allow overseas
shipments to be 1 to 3 hours faster by eliminating a fuel stop in FedEx's
Alaskan hub. Combining this point with latest economic growth trends based on
information about the U.S. and worldwide, Frederick W. Smith, FedEx's founder,
chairman, and chief executive, argues that this equipment is a "game changer."
Helping to reduce risk of large investment in a new fleet of planes
CLASSROOM
APPLICATION: This article can be used in managerial accounting and supply chain
management courses to understand the influence of various factors on capital
expenditure decisions. This understanding is then tied to an ultimate impact on
choice of carrier in the supply chain process.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory)
In general, how does a company decide on its capital spending strategy for a
year or longer period of time?
2. (Introductory)
What factors led FedEx to invest in Boeing's new 777 aircraft? Describe all that
are listed in the article. Explain how each factor you list would impact an
assessment of capital spending under the structure you describe in answer to
question 1 above.
3. (Advanced)
Why do both FedEx and UPS see different opportunities in the economic outlook
than might a domestic-only U.S. carrier?
4. (Advanced)
Refer again to your answers to questions 1 and 2. How does the outlook you
describe impact those methods of assessing capital expenditure decisions?
5. (Introductory)
How does FedEx's capital expenditures in 2010 compare to that of its rival, UPS?
6. (Advanced)
Suppose you are a supply chain professional charge with selecting an overnight
shipper for product. Would FedEx's claims about its fleet influence your choice
of carrier? What other factors would you consider in your decision-making?
7. (Introductory)
What personal force might also influence FedEx's decision to invest in Boeing
777s?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Bill Paton
admitted being hung up on this weakness of replacement cost alternatives to
historical cost accounting as noted by Larry Revsine in 1979:
"Technological Changes and Replacement Costs: A Beginning," by Larry Revsine,
The Accounting Review, April 1979 ---
http://www.jstor.org/pss/245517
Paton was
not an advocate of exit value accounting for operating assets
It should be noted that Bill Paton was in an advocate of "value accounting"
clear back in his 1922 Accounting Theory, but I take this to be
replacement cost rather than exit value later advocated by MacNeal in 1939 and
Chambers and Sterling in the 1960s. In his famous (prior to the 1940 Paton and
Littleton monograph) Accountants Handbook (Ronald Press, 1932, Second
Edition, Page 525) it is stated:
In particular the case of specialized equipment market value is usually little
more than scrap value. That is, a specialized machine, bolted to the factory
floor, has little value apart from the particular situation, and hence its
market value, unless it is being considered as an element of the market value of
the entire business as a going concern, is limited to net salvage ... buildings
and equipment have a
"going concern value" or "value in use"
in excess of liquidation or market value
Valuation Premises
Fair value measurements of assets must consider the highest and best use of the
asset, which is determined from the perspective of market participants rather
than the reporting entity’s intended use. Under current U.S. GAAP, the asset’s
highest and best use determines the valuation premise. The valuation premise
determines the nature of the fair value measurement; that is, whether the fair
value of the asset will be measured on a stand-alone basis ("in-exchange") or
measured based on an assumption that the asset will be used in combination with
other assets ("in-use"). The proposed ASU would remove the terms in-use and
in-exchange because of constituents’ concerns that the terminology is confusing
and does not reflect the objective of a fair value measurement. The proposed ASU
would also prohibit financial assets from being measured as part of a group. The
FASB decided that the concept of highest and best use does not apply to
financial assets, and therefore their fair value should be measured on a
stand-alone basis. Entities would still have the ability to measure fair value
for a nonfinancial asset either on a stand-alone basis or as part of a group,
consistent with the nonfinancial asset’s highest and best use.
How would you answer this question from a student: "I wonder if a company's Web
site is considered a long-lived asset!"
Ganesh M. Pandit
Adelphi University
August 9,
2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Ganesh,
Accounting
for Website investment is a classic example of the issue of "matching" versus
"value" accounting. From an income statement perspective, matching requires the
matching of current revenues with the expenses of generating that revenue,
including the "using up" of fixed asset investments. But we don't depreciate
investment in the site value of land because land site value, unlike a building,
is not used up due to usage in generating revenue. Like land site value, a
Website's "value" probably increases in value over time. One might argue that a
Website should not be expensed since a successful Website, like land, is not
used up when generating revenue. However, Websites do require maintenance fees
and improvement outlays over time which makes it somewhat different than the
site investment in land that requires no such added outlays other than property
taxes that are expensed each year.
It seems
to me that you can partition your Website development and improvement outlays
into various types of assets and expenses. For example, computers used in
development and maintenance of the Website are accounted for like other
computers. Software is accounted for under software amortization accounting
rules. Purchased goodwill is accounted for like purchased goodwill under new
impairment test rules. Labor costs for Website maintenance versus improvements
are more problematic.
Leased
Website items are treated like leases, although there are some complications if
a Website is leased entirely. For example, such a leased Website is not "used
up" like airplanes that are typically contracted as operating leases. Leased
Website space may be appropriately accounted for as an operating lease. But
leasing an entire Website is more like the capital lease of a land in that the
asset does not get "used up." My hunch is that most firms ignore this
controversy and treat Website leases as operating leases. It is pretty easy to
bury custom development costs into the "rental fee" for leased Website server
space, thereby burying the development costs and deferring them over the
contracted server space rental period. It would seem to me that rental fees for
Websites that are strictly used for advertising are written off as advertising
expenses. Of course many Websites are used for much more than advertising.
Firms are
taking rather rapid write-offs of purchased Websites such as write-offs over
three years. I'm not certain I agree with this, but firms are "depreciating"
these for tax purposes and you can see them in filed SEC financial statements
such as the one at Briton International (under the Depreciation heading) ---
http://sec.edgar-online.com/2006/01/27/0001127855-06-000047/Section27.asp
It is more
common in annual reports to see the term Website Amortization instead of Website
Depreciation. A few sites amortize on the basis of Website traffic ---
http://www.nexusenergy.com/presentation6.aspx
This makes no sense to me since traffic does not use up a Website over time.
An
interesting accounting problem (or employment opportunity?) posed by
Proposition 87 on the State of California November 7 ballot in 2006
Proposition 87 would tax every barrel of oil
pumped from an in-state well . . .But just to make sure, the proposition would
fund investigations of oil companies that try to "pass on" the tax increase in
the price. Severin Borenstein, director of University of California Energy
Institute at UC Berkeley, points out that this would lead to "constant
investigation that will yield no more than what past investigations (on why
gasoline prices spike) have yielded, or even less." The oil tax revenues would
Go to fund "alternative energy." That approach didn't work for former President
Carter, is not working for President Bush, and won't work in California.
Government funding, by definition, is not subject to a market test. "Alternate
energy" will make sense only when its cost is less than the cost of using oil.
The market will handle this problem as it did over a century ago by replacing
the depleting whale-oil supply with petroleum. Amazingly, over $40 million of
the $45.6 million contributed to the campaign for the tax comes from one man,
Hollywood big shot
Stephen Bing.
David Henderson, "'Sinful and Tyrannical'," The Wall Street Journal,
October 14, 2006; Page A7 ---
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB116078251442292601.html?mod=todays_us_opinion
Jensen
Comment
Proposition 87 is like (well not entirely) a VAT tax. Although I'm not against
value added taxes (VAT), VAT taxes have been fought tooth and nail in U.S.
politics (unlike in Europe). Apart from the VAT economic debates that are well
known, Proposition 87 raises interesting accounting issues because it in effect
introduces cost-plus pricing controls where fuel prices in California would now
be in a sense regulated by California officials. Fuel companies in essence must
justify prices with a full analysis of costs to verify that the $50 per barrel
tax is not being passed on at the pump. In contrast, most VAT taxes are
typically passed on to consumers in other nations (I think)
Proposition 87 runs four square into the enormous and famous joint costing
problem that has generally never been solved by accountants. Joint costs are
always allocated arbitrarily unless laws govern (arbitrarily) such allocations.
Given the complexity of oil refining joint costs, it would seem that
unscrupulous oil refiners could devise ways of burying this new tax (in fuel
prices) in such a manner that it is impossible for state auditors to detect. In
practice, I think it is absurd to think that any type of corporate taxes cannot
be factored into product and service prices unless prices themselves are to be
regulated by the state. Price regulations themselves generally become either a
joke (if industry controls the regulators) or a disaster (if regulators as
central planners ignore the laws of supply and demand).
Presumably
California will not object to this Proposition 87 VAT tax being passed along to
out-of-state customers of oil refiners. It would be difficult to pass along the
tax if out-of-state customers had open access to world markets. However, some
Nevada and Oregon fueling stations may not have any efficient source, at least
in the short-run, of 92-octane gasoline other than from California refiners.
Proposition 87 might then be viewed as a tax on surrounding states if 100% of
the Proposition 87 VAT tax can be passed on to states surrounding California.
Sounds like a good deal for California if those other states are willing to be
taxed for California schools. Nevada may in fact punch a whole in the new
immigration wall large enough for a gasoline pipe into Mexico.
In any case, Proposition 87 might be better termed California's Cost Accountant
Employment Relief Act.
It would seem to be a whole lot easier to simply raise the corporate income tax,
which of course is what California voters are being asked to do in another
proposition, Proposition 89. It is totally naive to think that business taxes of
any kind will not be passed along to customers in one way or another. You can
fool some of the people some of the time, but not all the people all of the time
(didn't someone else think of that line first?).
As an
aside, there is also Proposition 88 that will impose a $50 flat tax on every
parcel of land, which of course is a tax that will be easily raised in future
years. This in reality is a state-wide property tax that will grow and grow in
spite of an older Proposition 13 assurance that property taxes cannot grow and
grow for long-time home owners. What happens in California when new ballot
propositions clash with older ballot propositions already voted in by the
public?
The
primary basis of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted historical cost with
numerous exceptions in particular instances. For example, price-level
adjustments may be required for operations in hyperinflation nations. The
international IASB standards require PLA accounting in hyperinflation nations.
The SEC
issued ASR 190 requiring PLA supplemental reports. This was followed by the
FASB's 1979 FAS 33 short-lived standard. Follow-up studies did not point to
investor enthusiasm over such supplemental reports. Eventually, both ASR 190 and
FAS 33 were rescinded, largely from lack of interest on the part of financial
analysts and investors due to relatively low inflation rates in the United
States. However, PLA adjustments are still required for operations in nations
subject to high rates of inflation.
Advantages
of PLA Accounting
·Attempts
to perfect historical cost accounting by converting costs to a common purchasing
power unit of measurement.
·Has a
dramatic impact upon ROI calculations in many industries even in times of very
low inflation.
·Is
essential in periods of hyperinflation.
·Uses a
readily available and reasonably accurate government-generated consumer price
index (usually the CPI for urban households).
Disadvantages of PLA Accounting
·There is
not general agreement regarding what is the best inflation index to use in the
PLA adjustment process. Computing a price index for such purposes is greatly
complicated by constantly changing technologies, consumer preferences, etc.
·There is
no common index across nations, and nations differ greatly with respect to the
effort made to derive price indices.
·Empirical
studies in the U.S. have not shown PLA accounting data to have better predictive
powers than historical cost data not adjusted for inflation.
The Center for
Audit Quality (CAQ) SEC Regulations Committee’s International Practices Task
Force (the Task Force) today posted highlights from its recently finalized
22 November 2011 discussions, which indicate that based on available
economic data, the Belarus three-year cumulative inflation
rate exceeded 100 percent as of 30 September 2011.
An economy whose cumulative inflation rate is 100 percent or more over a
three-year period is highly inflationary for US GAAP reporting purposes.
Generally, highly inflationary accounting is applied as of the first day of
the reporting period immediately following the reporting period (including
interim reporting periods) in which an economy is assessed to be highly
inflationary. However, for reasons noted in the Task Force’s highlights, the
SEC staff would not object to registrants treating the economy of Belarus as
highly inflationary no later than the first reporting period beginning after
15 December 2011.
Separately, the SEC staff expects registrants to continue to treat the
economies of the Democratic Republic of Congo and
Venezuela as highly inflationary.
There may be other countries with cumulative inflation rates of 100 percent
or more or that should be monitored that are not mentioned above because the
sources used by the Task Force do not include inflation data for all
countries. Accordingly, companies should closely monitor the inflation rates
in economies in which they operate.
"Lease
Accounting: Replacement Cost is the Only Hope for a Principles-Based Solution,"
Accounting Onion, April 8, 2009 ---
Click Here
"Replacement Cost Rebound," Accounting Onion, April 2, 2009 ---
Click Here
Question
What is the difference between "replacement cost" and "factor replacement cost?"
Scroll down quite a ways and I will eventually point out the difference.
Replacement costs also have huge problems as summarized below.
Market
"Value" Accounting: Entry Value (Current Cost,
Replacement Cost) Accounting
Which is often incorrectly called a form of "value accounting"
Beginning
in 1979, FAS 33 required large corporations to provide a supplementary schedule
of condensed balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes
under three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, PLA-Adjusted
historical cost, and Current Cost Entry Value (adjusted for depreciation and
amortization). Companies are no longer required to generate FAS 33-type
comparisons. The primary basis of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted
historical cost with numerous exceptions in particular instances. For example,
price-level adjustments may be required for operations in hyperinflation
nations. Exit value accounting is required for firms deemed highly likely to
become non-going concerns. Exit value accounting is required for personal
financial statements (whether an individual or a personal partnership such as
two married people). Economic (discounted cash flow) valuations are required for
certain types of assets and liabilities such as pension liabilities. Hence in
the United States and virtually every other nation, accounting standards do not
require or even allow one single basis of accounting. Beginning in January 2005,
all nations in the European Union adopted the IASB's international standards
that have moved closer and closer each year to the FASB/SEC standards of the
United States.
Replacement Cost Accounting Experiments in Practice in the United States
Replacement cost (entry-value, current cost) accounting is more than price-level
adjusted (PLA) historical cost accounting. Whereas PLA only tries to adjust
historical cost book values over time for the changed purchasing power of unit
of measurement (e.g., the U.S. dollar), replacement cost accounting attempts to
adjust for relative differences in changed prices of balance sheet items. For
example, PLA would make the same adjustment to 1981 purchases of tractors and
buildings whereas replacement cost accounting would re-price tractors at tractor
new prices and buildings at building new prices.
It should
be noted that replacement cost (entry value, current cost ) accounting is not
considered fair value accounting. It is in fact a modified form of historical
cost accounting where original costs are adjusted to what it would cost to
replace the items at their current prices. But those "replacement costs" are
adjusted for depreciation and amortization such that replacement cost accounting
does not take much of the period-to-period cost allocation arbitrariness out of
the financial statements.
Beginning
in 1979, FAS 33 required large corporations to provide a supplementary schedule
of condensed balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes
under three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, Price Level Adjusted
(PLA) Historical Cost, and Current Cost Entry Value (adjusted for depreciation
and amortization). Companies complained heavily that users did not obtain value
that justified the cost of implementing FAS 33. Analysts complained that the
FASB allowed such crude estimates that the FAS 33 schedules were virtually
useless, especially the Current Cost estimates. The FASB rescinded FAS 33 when
it issued FAS 89 in 1986.
FAS 33 had
a significant impact on some companies. The adjustments were not trivial! For
example the earnings reported by United States Steel in the 1981 Annual Report
as required under FAS 33 were as follows:
1981 United States Steel Income Before Extraordinary items and
Changes in Acctg. Principles
Historical Cost (Non-PLA Adjusted)
Historical Cost (PLA Adjusted)
Replacement Cost (Current Cost)
$1,077,000,000 Income
$475,300,000 Income
Plus $164,500,000 PLA gain due to decline in purchasing power of
debt
$446,400,000 Income
Plus $164,500,000 PLA Gain
Less $168,000,000 Current cost increase less effect of increase in
the general price level
Companies
are no longer required to generate FAS 33-type comparisons. The primary basis
of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted historical cost with numerous exceptions
in particular instances. For example, price-level adjustments may be required
for operations in hyperinflation nations. Exit value accounting is required for
firms deemed highly likely to become non-going concerns. Exit value accounting
is required for personal financial statements (whether an individual or a
personal partnership such as two married people). Economic (discounted cash
flow) valuations are required for certain types of assets and liabilities such
as pension liabilities. Exit value accounting is required for impaired items
such as damaged inventories and inoperable machinery.
One of the
criticisms of FAS 33 is that, in order to make adherence less costly for
financial reporting, the FASB allowed rather crude indices of sector price
changes to be used that were often highly inaccurate in terms of specific items
at specific locales. Hence FAS 33 replacement costs were subject to enormous
margins of error. This is one of the reasons financial analysts tended to ignore
the supplemental balance sheet reports required under FAS 33.
Long
before the FAS 33 (1979-1986), there were some questionable attempts by selected
companies to voluntarily provide replacement cost information. Professor Zeff
reported several case studies in replacement cost accounting in 1962:
"Replacement Cost: Member of the Family, Welcome Guest, or Intruder," by
Stephen A. Zeff, The Accounting Review, October 1962, pp. 611-723.
These
early attempts at replacement cost adjustment frustrated analysts because the
companies were generally vague about details regarding how they made the
adjustments. Analysts could not be certain how they went about estimating
replacement costs and even what they meant by imprecise mention of "fair value"
adjustments.
Firstly
Zeff contrasted Type A price adjustments that were PLA adjustments and not
replacement cost adjustments. Hence TypeA=PLA. Type B adjustments are
specific-item replacement cost adjustments that are, in turn, adjusted again for
depreciation and amortization and changing prices levels. Hence Type B=RC in its
purist form. Steve also defines Type C to be replacement cost accounting that
does not factor out general price level changes in the purchasing power of the
dollar. Hence Type C does not take into account the fact that if there is price
inflation/deflation, some of the Type C adjustment may not reflect the fact that
part of the changed price of the item is due only to the changing purchasing
power of the currency.
Zeff then
writes as follows between pages 615-616 about long-term fixed assets cost
adjustments;
"Replacement Cost: Member of the Family, Welcome Guest, or Intruder," by
Stephen A. Zeff, The Accounting Review, October 1962:
Indiana Telephone Corporation has, since 1955, used Type C and Type A indices
concurrently. With the assistance of a consulting engineer, the company
classifies "gross plant additions" on a FIFO basis by years of acquisition,
selects an appropriate Type C index for each plant category, and then applies
the derived multiplier to each year's cost of acquisition. Since this
plant-account analysis is undertaken only once every three or four years, as
needed, financial-statement amounts for interim years are found by applying a
final multiplier to the Type C-adjusted figures. This final multiplier is based
on the "all commodities other than farm and foods" component of the Wholesale
Price Index.
Beginning in 1957, the Sacramento Municipal Unility District and Ayrshire
Collieries Corporation recorded "supplementary" depreciation charges. Sacramento
uses the term "fair value depreciation," while Ayrshire calls it "price level
depreciation." Iowa-Illinois Gas and Electric Company, in response to a 1957
Iowa Supreme Court decision that allowed the company's rate base to reflect
"fair value depreciation," began to record in 1958 a supplementary "fair value
depreciation" charge on property located in Iowa districtrs in which the court
decision had been implemented.
None of these latter three companies discloses the manner by which the
supplementary depreciation charged is computed. Although they occasionally refer
in their annual reports to "current purchasing power of the dollar" and
"inflation," they uniformly contend that the new basis of accounting replaces
"historical cost." Further, the key adjectives "general" and "specific" as well
as equivalents thereto are not used. "Fair value" is hardly a definitive term.
Zeff goes
on to write the following on Page 617:
Indeed, prominent foreign companies utilize replacement cost in the
determination of their net income. N.V. Phillips' Gloeilamphenfabrieken, of The
Netherlands, employs replacement cost for valuing long-lived assets adn
inventories. Imperial Tobacco Co. of Canada, Ltd., converted in its 1961 annual
report to full-fledged replacement cost accounting for long-lived assets.
Previously, it had not revalued long-lived assets, but since 1955 had shown
supplementary replacement-cost depreciation charge. The one-shot revaluation of
its long-lived assets did not, however, affect the carrying value of the
company's total assets. Conveniently, the $25 million write-up in long-lived
assets was more than offset by a concurrent write-down in goodwill. Imperial had
charged operations with an inventory-replacement increment, but this practice
was apparently abandoned in 1961.
A replacement-cost adjustment should hardly be viewed as an alternative to Type
A restatement. Both the Philips and Imperial adjustments, for example, are
recognition of Type C price movement, implying that these companies fail to
disclose the important distinction between the fictitious (i.e., general) and
real (i.e., specific) price changes.
Question
What is the difference between "replacement cost" and "factor replacement cost?"
Answer
It is much like a make versus buy decision. As an illustration, the "replacement
cost" of a computer is the price one would pay for a computer in the market to
replace an existing computer. That presumably includes the mark up profits of
vendors in the supply chain. The "factor replacement cost" excludes such mark up
profits to the extent possible by estimating what it would cost in the
"transformation process" to purchase the components for transformation of those
components into a computer. The "factor replacement cost" adds in labor and
manufacturing overhead. It excludes vendor profits in the computer supply chain
but not necessarily vendor profits in the purchase price of components. It
becomes very complicated in practice, however, because computer vendors do such
things as include warranty costs in the pricing of computers. Assembled
computers in house probably have no such warranties. A more detailed account of
factor replacement costing is provided in Chapters 3 and 4 of Edwards and Bell.
Edgar O. Edwards and Philip W. Bell, The Theory and Measurement of Business
Income (Berkeley: University of California Press, 1961).
Of course
this does not solve the fundamental problem of replacement cost accounting that
arises when there are no current assets or component parts of assets that map
directly into older assets still being used by the company. For example, old
computers and parts for those computers are probably no longer available. Newer
computers have many more enhancements that make them virtually impossible to
compare with older computers such using prices of current computers is a huge
stretch when estimating replacement costs of older computers that, for example,
may not even have had the ability to connect to local networks and the Internet.
Zeff
writes as follows on Page 623:
Edwards and Bell, in their provocative volume, propound a measure called
"business profit," which is predicated on what might be termed "factor
replacement cost." "Business profit" is the sum of (1) the excess of current
revenues over the factor replacement cost of that portion of assets that can be
said to have expired currently, and (2) the enhancement during the current
period of the factor replacement cost.
Advantages
and disadvantages of replacement cost (entry value, current cost) accounting are
discussed in greater detail are listed below.
Advantages
of Entry Value (Current Cost, Replacement Cost) Accounting
·Conforms
to capital maintenance theory that argues in favor of matching current revenues
with what the current costs are of generating those revenues. For example, if
historical cost depreciation is $100 and current cost depreciation is $120,
current cost theory argues that an excess of $20 may be wrongly classified as
profit and distributed as a dividend. When it comes time to replace the asset,
the firm may have mistakenly eaten its seed corn.
·If the
accurate replacement cost is known and can be matched with current selling
prices, the problems of finding indices for price level adjustments are avoided.
·Avoids to
some extent booking the spread between selling price and the wholesale "cost" of
an item. Recording a securities “inventory” or any other inventory at exit
values rather than entry values tends to book unrealized sales profits before
they’re actually earned. There may also be considerably variability in exit
values vis-à-vis replacement costs.
Although I
am not in general a current cost (replacement cost, entry-value) advocate, I
think you and Tom are missing the main theory behind the passage of the now
defunct FAS 33 that leaned toward replacement cost valuation as opposed to exit
valuation.
The best
illustration in favor of replacement cost accounting is the infamous Blue Book
used by automobile and truck dealers that lists composite wholesale trading for
each make and model of vehicle in recent years. The Blue Book illustration is
relevant with respect to business equipment currently in use in a company since
virtually all that equipment is now in the “used” category, although most of it
will not have a complete Blue Book per se.
The theory
of Blue Book pricing in accounting is that each used vehicle is unique to a
point that exit valuation in particular instances is very difficult since no two
used vehicles have the same exit value in a particular instances. But the Blue
Book is a market-composite hundreds of dealer transactions of each make and
model in recent months and years on the wholesale market.
Hence I
don’t have any idea about what my 1999 Jeep Cherokee in particular is worth, and
any exit value estimate of my vehicle is pretty much a wild guess relative to
what it most likely would cost me to replace it with another 1999 Jeep Cherokee
from a random sample selection among 2,000 Jeep dealers across the United
States. I merely have to look up the Blue Book price and then estimate what the
dealer charges as a mark up if I want to replace my 1999 Jeep Cherokee.
Since Blue
Book pricing is based upon actual trades that take place, it’s far more reliable
than exit value sticker prices of vehicles in the sales lots.
Conclusion
It is sometimes the replacement market of actual transactions that makes a Blue
Book composite replacement cost more reliable than an exit value estimate of
what I will pay for a particular car from a particular dealer at retail. Of
course this argument is not as crucial to financial assets and liabilities that
are not as unique as a particular used vehicle. Replacement cost valuation for
accounting becomes more defensible for non-financial assets.
Disadvantages of Entry Value (Current Cost, Replacement Cost) Accounting
·Discovery
of accurate replacement costs is virtually impossible in times of changing
technologies and newer production alternatives. For example, some companies are
using data processing hardware and software that no longer can be purchased or
would never be purchased even if it was available due to changes in technology.
Some companies are using buildings that may not be necessary as production
becomes more outsourced and sales move to the Internet. It is possible to
replace used assets with used assets rather than new assets. Must current costs
rely only upon prices of new assets?
·
Discovering current costs is prohibitively costly if firms have to repeatedly
find current replacement prices on thousands or millions of items.
·Accurate
derivation of replacement cost is very difficult for items having high
variations in quality. For example, some ten-year old trucks have much higher
used prices than other used trucks of the same type and vintage. Comparisons
with new trucks is very difficult since new trucks have new features, different
expected economic lives, warranties, financing options, and other differences
that make comparisons extremely complex and tedious. In many cases, items are
bought in basket purchases that cover warranties, insurance, buy-back options,
maintenance agreements, etc. Allocating the "cost" to particular components may
be quite arbitrary.
·Use of
"sector" price indices as surrogates compounds the price-index problem of
general price-level adjustments. For example, if a "transportation" price index
is used to estimate replacement cost, what constitutes a "transportation" price
index? Are such indices available and are they meaningful for the purpose at
hand? When FAS 33 was rescinded in 1986, one of the major reasons was the error
and confusion of using sector indices as surrogates for actual replacement
costs.
·Current
costs tend to give rise to recognition of holding gains and losses not yet
realized.
Bob Jensen
Hi Again
Tom,
I
would not trash a lawn mower under warranty even if I bought the new one. My
motto for warranty providers is to make them pay and pay for the lemons they
sell to me.
In
my case it was a pain for Sears and (less for me) to have to keep returning to
my home to fix my snow thrower. But in the process, my stubborn nature paid off
for millions of consumers who had trouble with their chute-cable freeze ups on
snow throwers.I think that Craftsman is mostly a boiler plate for put on snow
throwers manufactured for a variety of retail distributors. In any case,
engineers finally solved the chute cable problem by simply shortening the cables
from about four feet to two feet. Now my snow thrower works terrific. If you had
persisted with your lawn mower problem, maybe engineers would have discovered a
miracle solution.
The
key is to have an onsite warranty. If you have to haul the item to a service
center, the hassle is too much of a pain in the tail.
What
I wonder about your IFRS comment below is what constitutes “adequate”
accumulated depreciation? Obviously, “adequate” cannot mean the full cost of
replacement. It could mean the cost of replacement depreciated over the current
fraction of estimated useful life, but this would be tantamount to replacement
cost accounting. I don’t think IFRS has abandoned historical cost accounting in
favor of replacement cost accounting.
Therefore, I’ve very confused as to how “adequate” is defined in your message
below.
As
to my recommendation for financial statements, I think the only practical
solution is M2M for financial items and historical cost for non-financial items
still in use (with LCM only for permanently-impaired inventory). Something like
FAS 33 requiring supplemental disclosures of entry and exit values with price
level adjustments would be great, but the requirements for measurement would
have to be far more accurate than crude sector price index adjustments.
I
think that unrealized gains and losses due to M2M should not impact current
earnings. These should be deferred in AOCI or something equivalent.
Bob
Jensen
Hi again
Tom,
I agree with what you state about covariances of replacement cost estimates,
but it is important to note that replacement cost accounting is really a cost
allocation process rather than a valuation process for non-financial items
subject to depreciation and amortization. Depreciation and amortization
allocation formulas use such arbitrary estimates of economic lives, salvage
values, and cost allocation patterns that it’s not clear why additive
aggregation is any more meaningful under replacement cost aggregations than it
is under historical cost aggregations. Neither one aggregates to anything we can
meaningfully call value in use.
Companies are no longer required to generate FAS 33-type comparisons. The
primary basis of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted historical cost with
numerous exceptions in particular instances. For example, price-level
adjustments may be required for operations in hyperinflation nations. Exit
value accounting is required for firms deemed highly likely to become non-going
concerns. Exit value accounting is required for personal financial statements
(whether an individual or a personal partnership such as two married people).
Economic (discounted cash flow) valuations are required for certain types of
assets and liabilities such as pension liabilities. Exit value accounting is
required for impaired items such as damaged inventories and inoperable
machinery.
Hence in the United States and virtually every other nation, accounting
standards do not require or even allow one single basis of accounting.
Beginning in January 2005, all nations in the European Union adopted the IASB's
international standards that have moved closer and closer each year to the
FASB/SEC standards of the United States.
The FASB and the IASB state that "value in use" is the ideal valuation measure
if it can be measured reliably at realistic estimation costs. Exit value and
economic (discounted cash flow) generally do not meet these two criteria for
value in use of non-financial items. There is nearly always no practical means
of estimating higher order covariances. and additivity aggregations are
meaningless without such covariances. In the case of economic valuation,
estimation of future cash flows and discount rates enters the realm of fantasy
for long-lived items. Alsoreliable exit value estimation of some items like all
the hotel properties of Days Inns can be very expensive, which is a major reason
Days Inns only did it once for financial reporting purposes in 1987.
Accordingly, "value in use" is an ideal which cannot be practically achieved
under either exit or economic valuation methods.
The FASB and the IASB state that "value in use" is the ideal valuation measure,
but this ideal can never be achieved with cost allocation methods. Both
historical cost and replacement (current, entry) value "valuation" methods are
not really valuation methods at all. These are cost allocation methods that for
items subject to depreciation or amortization in value are reliant upon usually
arbitrary estimates of non-financial item useful lives, value decline
assumptions such as straight line or double declining balance declines, and
salvage value estimates. Under historical cost, the book value thus becomes an
arbitrary residual of the rationing of original cost by arbitrary cost
allocation formulas. Under replacement (current, entry) cost allocation the
estimated current replacement costs are subjected to n arbitrary residual of the
rationing of replacement cost by arbitrary cost allocation formulas.
Although both historical and replacement cost allocations over time avoid
covariance problems in additive aggregations of book values, the meanings of
such aggregations are of very dubious utility to investors and other decision
makers. For example suppose the $10 million 2008 book value of a fleet of
passenger vans is added to the $200 million 2008 book value of Days Inn hotel
properties, what does the $210 million aggregation mean to anybody?
Both the passenger vans and hotel buildings have been subjected to arbitrary
estimates of economic lives, salvage values, and depreciation patters such as
double declining balance depreciation for vans and straight-line depreciation
for hotel buildings. This is the case whether historical cost or current
replacement costs have been allocated by depreciation formulas.
Hence it is not clear that for going concern companies that have heavy
investments in non-financial assets that any known addition of individual items
makes any sense under economic, exit, entry, or historical cost book value
estimation process. Aggregations might make some sense for financial items with
negligible covariances, but for non-financial items. Attempts to estimate total
value itself basted upon stock market marginal trades are misleading since
marginal trades of a small proportion of shares ignores huge blockage factors
valuations, especially blockage factors that carry managerial control along with
the blockage purchase. Countless mergers and acquisitions repeatedly illustrate
that estimations of total values of companies are generally subject to huge
margins of error, especially when intangibles play an enormous part of the value
of an enterprise.
Both the FASB and the IASB require in many instances that exit value accounting
be used for financial items. In part that is because for financial items it is
often more reasonable to assume zero covariances among items. The recent banking
failures caused by covariance among toxic mortgage investments lends some doubt
to this assumption, but the issue of David Li’s faltering and infamous Gaussian
copula function is being ignored by both the IASB and the FASB in recommending
exit value accounting for many (most) financial items ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_copula#Gaussian_copula
For how the defect in this formula contributed to the 2008 fall of many banks
see
---
http://financeprofessorblog.blogspot.com/2009/03/recipe-for-disaster-formula-that-killed.html
I
might add that Bob Herz and the FASB as a whole recognize that additive
aggregation in financial statement items is probably more misleading than
helpful. This is why a very radical proposal is underway in the FASB to do away
with aggregations, including the presentation of net income and
earnings-per-share bottom liners ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#ChangesOnTheWay
The
above link also discusses the vehement disagreement between Bob Herz and the
financial community on the proposal to do away with the bottom line.
This
bottom line aggregation problem is also bound up in the “quality of earnings”
controversy ---
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/Theory01.htm#CoreEarnings
However, the concept of reporting core earnings is not nearly as controversial
as the proposal not to report any bottom lines
Bob Jensen's threads on fair value accounting are at various other links:
Beginning
in 1979, FAS 33 required large corporations to provide a supplementary schedule
of condensed balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes
under three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, Price Level Adjusted
(PLA) Historical Cost, and Current Cost Entry Value (adjusted for depreciation
and amortization). Companies complained heavily that users did not obtain value
that justified the cost of implementing FAS 33. Analysts complained that the
FASB allowed such crude estimates that the FAS 33 schedules were virtually
useless, especially the Current Cost estimates. The FASB rescinded FAS 33 when
it issued FAS 89 in 1986.
Current
cost accounting by whatever name (e.g., current or replacement cost) entails the
historical cost of balance sheet items with current (replacement) costs.
Depreciation rates can be re-set based upon current costs rather than historical
costs.
Beginning
in 1979, FAS 33 required large corporations to provide a supplementary schedule
of condensed balance sheets and income statements comparing annual outcomes
under three valuation bases --- Unadjusted Historical Cost, PLA-Adjusted
historical cost, and Current Cost Entry Value (adjusted for depreciation and
amortization). Companies are no longer required to generate FAS 33-type
comparisons. The primary basis of accounting in the U.S. is unadjusted
historical cost with numerous exceptions in particular instances. For example,
price-level adjustments may be required for operations in hyperinflation
nations. Exit value accounting is required for firms deemed highly likely to
become non-going concerns. Exit value accounting is required for personal
financial statements (whether an individual or a personal partnership such as
two married people). Economic (discounted cash flow) valuations are required for
certain types of assets and liabilities such as pension liabilities. Hence in
the United States and virtually every other nation, accounting standards do not
require or even allow one single basis of accounting. Beginning in January 2005,
all nations in the European Union adopted the IASB's international standards
that have moved closer and closer each year to the FASB/SEC standards of the
United States.
Advantages
of Entry Value (Current Cost, Replacement Cost) Accounting
·Conforms
to capital maintenance theory that argues in favor of matching current revenues
with what the current costs are of generating those revenues. For example, if
historical cost depreciation is $100 and current cost depreciation is $120,
current cost theory argues that an excess of $20 may be wrongly classified as
profit and distributed as a dividend. When it comes time to replace the asset,
the firm may have mistakenly eaten its seed corn.
·If the
accurate replacement cost is known and can be matched with current selling
prices, the problems of finding indices for price level adjustments are avoided.
·Avoids to
some extent booking the spread between selling price and the wholesale "cost" of
an item. Recording a securities “inventory” or any other inventory at exit
values rather than entry values tends to book unrealized sales profits before
they’re actually earned. There may also be considerably variability in exit
values vis-à-vis replacement costs.
Although I
am not in general a current cost (replacement cost, entry-value) advocate, I
think you and Tom are missing the main theory behind the passage of the now
defunct FAS 33 that leaned toward replacement cost valuation as opposed to exit
valuation.
The best
illustration in favor of replacement cost accounting is the infamous Blue Book
used by automobile and truck dealers that lists composite wholesale trading for
each make and model of vehicle in recent years. The Blue Book illustration is
relevant with respect to business equipment currently in use in a company since
virtually all that equipment is now in the “used” category, although most of it
will not have a complete Blue Book per se.
The theory
of Blue Book pricing in accounting is that each used vehicle is unique to a
point that exit valuation in particular instances is very difficult since no two
used vehicles have the same exit value in a particular instances. But the Blue
Book is a market-composite hundreds of dealer transactions of each make and
model in recent months and years on the wholesale market.
Hence I
don’t have any idea about what my 1999 Jeep Cherokee in particular is worth, and
any exit value estimate of my vehicle is pretty much a wild guess relative to
what it most likely would cost me to replace it with another 1999 Jeep Cherokee
from a random sample selection among 2,000 Jeep dealers across the United
States. I merely have to look up the Blue Book price and then estimate what the
dealer charges as a mark up if I want to replace my 1999 Jeep Cherokee.
Since Blue
Book pricing is based upon actual trades that take place, it’s far more reliable
than exit value sticker prices of vehicles in the sales lots.
Conclusion
It is sometimes the replacement market of actual transactions that makes a Blue
Book composite replacement cost more reliable than an exit value estimate of
what I will pay for a particular car from a particular dealer at retail. Of
course this argument is not as crucial to financial assets and liabilities that
are not as unique as a particular used vehicle. Replacement cost valuation for
accounting becomes more defensible for non-financial assets.
Disadvantages of Entry Value (Current Cost, Replacement Cost) Accounting
·Discovery
of accurate replacement costs is virtually impossible in times of changing
technologies and newer production alternatives. For example, some companies are
using data processing hardware and software that no longer can be purchased or
would never be purchased even if it was available due to changes in technology.
Some companies are using buildings that may not be necessary as production
becomes more outsourced and sales move to the Internet. It is possible to
replace used assets with used assets rather than new assets. Must current costs
rely only upon prices of new assets?
·
Discovering current costs is prohibitively costly if firms have to repeatedly
find current replacement prices on thousands or millions of items.
·Accurate
derivation of replacement cost is very difficult for items having high
variations in quality. For example, some ten-year old trucks have much higher
used prices than other used trucks of the same type and vintage. Comparisons
with new trucks is very difficult since new trucks have new features, different
expected economic lives, warranties, financing options, and other differences
that make comparisons extremely complex and tedious. In many cases, items are
bought in basket purchases that cover warranties, insurance, buy-back options,
maintenance agreements, etc. Allocating the "cost" to particular components may
be quite arbitrary.
·Use of
"sector" price indices as surrogates compounds the price-index problem of
general price-level adjustments. For example, if a "transportation" price index
is used to estimate replacement cost, what constitutes a "transportation" price
index? Are such indices available and are they meaningful for the purpose at
hand? When FAS 33 was rescinded in 1986, one of the major reasons was the error
and confusion of using sector indices as surrogates for actual replacement
costs.
·Current
costs tend to give rise to recognition of holding gains and losses not yet
realized.
***********Begin Quote
The most straightforward way to determine replacement cost to meet the wealth
measurement objective is to ask oneself what would be the least amount one would
have to pay for an asset (or a similar asset that provided the same utility), if
one did not actually already own it. It seems to me that real estate appraisers
make estimates for specific properties on that basis as a matter of course.
Often, their best estimate is the result of making somewhat objective
adjustments to 'comparables' for age, floor space and even location.
Having said that, I would allow for any number of approaches to approximating
replacement cost, so long as they adequately answered the question I posed in
the previous paragraph. Like FAS 157, the greater the subjectivity in the
estimates, the more detailed would be the disclosures. However, in all cases, I
would require reconciliations of the changes in balance sheet accounts in
sufficient detail to make all assumptions, and changes in assumptions,
transparent.
***********End Quote
True Story
Bob Jensen has a Sears Craftsman snow thrower purchased in 2006 for $1,800 with
a five-year onsite warranty for all parts and labor. If he decides to replace
the machine every five years, he’s really not concerned with physical
deterioration if he assumes that the salvage value is after five years is $300
for a perfectly working machine maintained by Sears mechanics at his beckoning
call. There is historical cost depreciation of $300 per year assuming the
decline in value on the used snow machine market is strictly linear. Assume that
replacement cost depreciation is $$350 per season.
True
StoryBob’s good friend Helmut Gottwick survived four years as an engineer and
machinist on a German U-Boat in World War II. After arriving in New Hampshire in
1950 he bought a used snow thrower for $24. It was made by Studebaker in 1937.
Unlike Bob Jensen who has no mechanical skills whatsoever, Helmut can make most
old machines work perfectly as long as he is still of sound mind and body to
work in the machine shop in his garage. He’s totally rebuilt the Studebaker snow
thrower engine two times, including the making of virtually all new parts in his
shop. Assuming that his remaining life expectancy was 60 years in 1950, the
depreciation on his snow thrower is $0.40 per year for the rest of his life.
Assume replacement cost depreciation is $350 per season.
Fiction
Added
Suppose Bob and Helmut clear driveways for neighbors for an average of $1,000
per season net of gasoline expense (there’s a lot of snow in these mountains).
Replacement cost write ups of Bob Jensen’s snow machine and depreciations of
$350 per year make some sense on Capital Maintenance Theory. If Bob Jensen used
historical cost accounting and declared a $700 dividend to himself each season,
he would not have sufficient retained earnings to cover the cost of a new snow
thrower every five years. It makes some sense, therefore, for Bob to only
declare a $650 dividend for wild women and booze. If he saves an amount of cash
equal to retained earnings each season, he will have sufficient savings to buy
that new snow thrower after every five year period.
But
suppose we impose a replacement cost accounting rule on Helmut Gottwick’s snow
throwing business. If he can only declare a $650 dividend every year the fact of
the matter is that for 60 years he’s have been deprived of a lot of wild women
and booze (in reality he’s a very devoted husband and opa). His reported
earnings also distort the fact that, because of his machinist skills, he's a
heck of a lot better business man than Bob Jensen who must settle for older
women and younger whiskey.
The Point
of the Story
Replacement cost accounting can distort reported assets and earnings under
totally different maintenance and replacement policies. Over 60 years, the CPA
auditing firm might uselessly force Helmut Gottwick to retain $350 per year for
a machine that cost him $24 in 1950 and has a useful life of 60 years in his
situation, Capital maintenance theory makes no sense in Helmut’s case since
during his lifetime the old Studebaker snow thrower will work as well or better
than a new snowthrower. In Bob Jensen’s situation, capital maintenance theory
makes much more sense.
In truth
Helmut would not be required to take $350 replacement cost depreciation for 60
years, because he would only be required to bring book value up to depreciated
replacement value each year. But I thought my exaggeration above made a better
story.
May believed that accounting is not logical; it is fundamentally conventional
and utilitarian.1 The test of good accounting lies in whether it is useful, not
to one particular group, but to society as a whole. He viewed corporation
accounting as just one aspect of the corporate form of organization, which he
considered to have been created to serve a useful social purpose.2 In a 1928
memorandum concerned with the question of the usefulness of corporate financial
statements to investors and others interested in corporation securities, he
cautioned that one must recognize the limitations on their significance. He
often stated that the individual items in financial statements are not
statements of fact, but expressions of opinion after the application of judgment
and accounting methods to the relevant facts. May believed that there was room
for considerable improvement in the presentation of financial information of
corporations. He reasoned that the primary purpose should be to satisfy the
investor’s need for knowledge, rather than the accountant’ssense of form
Henry Francis Stabler and Norman X. Dressel,. "MAY AND PATON: TWO GIANTS
REVISITED," Accounting Historians Journal, Fall 1981 ---
http://umiss.lib.olemiss.edu:82/articles/1000260.334/1.PDF
Income Determination
May believed that the emphasis placed on a single figure of net income was
regrettable. The effort to simplify the information had resulted in the
concealment of essential information and tended to deceive investors; therefore,
it was necessary to educate the public as to the inadequacy of the information
on which it based its conclusions.
Paton saw accounting from the point of view of two parties: owners and
management. His theoretical development of the entity concept in relation to
accounting is well known. He saw the business as an economic entity and
knowledge about the return on the entire fund of capital employed was essential
for managerial decisions.
As contrasted with Paton’s position, May believed that it was not the function
of accounting to measure earning power. He took exception to the definition of
“income” as stated in Accounting Terminology Bulletin No. 2, which he
interpreted as including capital gains and losses. The use of the term
“earnings,” as synonymous to “net income,” was considered confusing because net
income may be more, or less, than net earnings. The proper use of the term “net
earnings” was a description of the balance remainingafter deducting from gross
earnings the cost of securing them.11
He believed that it was impossible to establish any universal rule as to whether
capital gains and losses should enter into the computation of net income.12
In the opinion of May, the value of a business enterprise was dependent, in the
main, on its earning capacity. The primary use of the income statement was to
determine the capital value of the investment by applying a multiplier to the
earnings shown. It was extremely important that this multiplier be applied only
to the earnings produced in the ordinary course of business.
May believed that a major need was to formulate a broad concept of business
income.14
He considered business income to be a rather indefinite concept which had not
been clearly defined by anyone outside the accounting profession.15
Paton’s views were somewhat similar to those of May. He defined income over the
entire life of the business without periodic matching of revenues and cost and
expense, and also saw income as the return on capital after periodic cost of
recovery of such capital costs. However, he accepted the view of the practicing
accountant, that is, periodic matching of revenues and revenue deductions.16
In the opinion of May, there was no accounting method for determination of
income of a complex business organization for a year which could properly be
considered valid. The financial statements were based on conventions and were
correct only in the sense that they conformed to some particular standard. He
often said that “annual accounts . . . would be indefensible if they were not
indispensable.”
For the accountant, the job of income determination is a complex one. As
considered by both May and Paton, the source of such income depends not only on
one’s definition of income, but also on one’s approach to valuation. Since many
cost items are related to asset expiration, the valuation basis used in the
financial statements is crucial.
. . .
Valuation
Many accounting theorists have expressed distrust for the historical basis. Few
have been bold enough to agitate aggressively for alternatives. Both May and
Paton came forth with sound denunciations of the accepted basis of historical
cost. They were both vocal on this score from the beginning of their writings.
Departures from unadjusted historical cost are primarily twofold. First,
“replacement cost” considers the current input equivalent cost rather than the
actual cost assumed at acquisition. This method considers, then, the current
cost of specifically identifiable items of assets. “Price level adjustment”
accounting, on the other hand, is not related directly to specific items.
Instead, the historical cost of the investment in assets (current nonmonetary,
as well as plant and equipment items) is updated by price level indexes in order
to reflect the price level changes. May and Paton were both very vocal in these
two areas. Probably this innovation in the “stream of accounting thought” has
identified both of them as “renegades” in the pre-1950 era. Thereafter, the tide
slowly, but steadily, changed. Today they are both highly respected for their
positivepositions on the subject.
Paton was a staunch defender of both “replacement cost” and “price level
adjustment” accounting. He saw the advantages and limitations of replacement
cost clearly. Current economic value, he believed, influences the decision
process more strongly than past recorded costs. However, in connection with
plant and equipment accounting, he thought the method would be somewhat
inexpedient to apply. In addition,
. . . the price system is not uniformly sensitive throughout, and that for
considerable periods selling prices may not move in harmony with changing costs
of production. Selling prices, moreover, are not fixed by costs to the
particular concern—whatever the basis on which such cost may be computed.
Since replacement cost bases are of major importance to business management,
they should be considered in making decisions.
May had reservations about the replacement cost basis. Instead, he believed the
monetary unit unsuitable for the purpose of serving as the accounting symbol;
however he considered it to be virtually the only available one. He believed
that, as a result of governmental policy directed at changes in the value of the
monetary unit, rather than at maintaining its stability, its adaptability was
impaired.20
With regard to asset valuation, Paton alluded to severe price movements and
pleaded for consideration of economic values in his 1922 book mentioned earlier.
To him this meant “current value.”21 He believed that the changing value of the
monetary unit was a serious limitation to accounting data presented in financial
statements. To him, the real basis of accounting is value.
Furthermore, “costs are important only because they are the most dependable
measures of initial values of goods and services flowing into the enterprise
through ordinary market transactions.” He indicates that assets which pass
through the entity in a relatively short time span may be represented by
original cost. But, in the case of assets possessing long lives, strict
adherence to historical cost may result in “unreliable or even misleading”23
information for management. Obviously, results of operation based on such
distortion of values would misstate both the value of the entity and its earning
power. He considers cost as an amount of economic sacrifice incurred, or
“economic force expended or committed.”
May believed that changes in the value of the dollar had created problems for
the accounting profession and had left it with two alternatives. The first was
to adhere to established conventions and admit that financial statements had
lost some of their former significance. The second was to seek to establish new
principles which would make the reported amounts more significant. It was his
opinion that the second alternative was followed, for example, in the case of
inventories when the last-in, first-out method of valuation was employed. The
first alternative was followed in respect to capital assets since charges for
depreciation did not recognize changes in the price level. It was an
inconsistency, and the profession faced the task of rectifying it. He reasoned
that two objectives should be kept in mind when considering this problem. These
were:
1. Expressing revenues and charges against revenues as nearly as possible in
units of equal purchasing power;
2. Placing the burden of decline in the value of the monetary unit as equally as
possible on investments in monetary claims and investments in tangible capital
assets.26
May regarded the LIFO inventory idea as being a compromise between accounting
theory, accounting practicability, and convenience. Its significance lay in the
recognition of the objective of relating cost to revenue more nearly on the same
price level, rather than in the extent or manner of achievement of that
objective.” Paton, on the other hand, had severe reservations regarding LIFO. He
challenges the procedure in the following manner:
The adoption of last-in, first-out is sometimes defended by reference to the
view that in determining true profit the revenues of the period should be
charged with costs measured by the level of prices obtaining at the end of the
period. Is there any substantial merit in this line of argument?
Answer in the negative seems to be called for. In the first place not very much
of a case can be made for measuring profit in the manner indicated. In the
revenues of the period are represented the prices of product in effect from day
to day, and the costs to be charged to such revenues are the actual costs which
have been incurred throughout the period and earlier which are reasonably
assignable to the various batches of product sold. . . .
In the second place the use of last-in, first-out does not result in charging
revenues with costs based on year-end prices.
. . . where there is a continuous pricing of goods issued under last-in,
first-out procedure the total cost of issues for the period may not coincide
with the cost of the most recent acquisitions in corresponding quantity. In the
third place it may be urged that for managerial purposes it is more useful to
apply the relatively recent costs to the goods on hand than to goods sold.
Completed sales and the related costs are “water under the bridge,” closed
transactions. Utilization of the inventory, on the other hand, lies in the
future and in planning such utilization the current level of costs is especially
significant.
May believed that whether a change in procedure should be made to bring the cost
for depreciation into account at approximately the same price level as revenues
depended in part on the importance of the amounts involved. He considered the
problem to be of sufficient magnitude to warrant further study.
. . .
This continuing emphasis on valuation clearly demonstrates the farsightedness of
these two accounting pioneer giants, George Oliver May and William Andrew Paton,
who were well ahead of their time in this aspect of accounting. Their influence
will continue to be felt for generations.
Jensen
Comment
I think that both of these pioneers underestimated the exploding role the bottom
line net income would have in security analysis and financial contracting and
labor contracting.
·
"Replacement Cost: Member of the Family, Welcome Guest, or Intruder," by
Stephen A. Zeff, The Accounting Review, October 1962. Steve was an
Assistant Professor of Accounting at Tulane at the time he wrote this paper.
Stable URL:
http://www.jstor.org/stable/242348
We’ve driven Tom Selling to drink!
And all he can afford is the cheap stuff --- beer.
I
might note that replacement cost accounting has historically been associated
with inflation ---
Click Here
Readings in Financial Management
by Rajat Joseph
From:
noreply+feedproxy@google.com [mailto:noreply+feedproxy@google.com] On Behalf Of
The Accounting Onion
Sent: Wednesday, September 02, 2009 8:42 AM
To: Jensen, Robert
Subject: The Accounting Onion
I am going to cap off the topic of loan accounting, which occupied my
last three posts (here, here and here), with a 'proof' and further
explanation of my solution to the simple problem I introduced in the
first post of the series. I am doing this because some of you have asked
me to explain my numbers further. Questions may also still remain
regarding how the effects of inflation can be incorporated into a
double-entry system of accounts. The answer is, of course, that they
can, but there are a few new tricks that some might have not seen
before. How exciting… new debits and credits!!
Kidding aside, even this simple example contains some mind-expanding
elements for both professionals and advanced students.
For your convenience, this is a repetition of the problem statement:
§
On December 31, 20x0, Lender Company invested $10,000 in a bond issued
on that date with the same face amount $10,000. To keep things really
simple for now (and to defer discussing differences between replacement
cost and fair value), there are no transaction costs.
§
The terms of the bond provide for two payments: $1,000 on December 31,
20x1, and $11,000 on December 31, 20x2. Both payments were made in full.
§
Lender Company had only one other asset on December 31, 20x0: cash in
the amount of $1,000. It had incurred no liabilities, and engaged in no
transactions, except those related to the bond, through December 31,
20x2.
§
As a rudimentary, yet sufficient, substitute for real-world measurements
of inflation, we will blissfully imagine that there is only one
consumption good in the world: beer. As of December 31, 20x0, a keg of
beer cost $100. Immediately after the two payments on the bond, the
price per keg rose to $110 and $121, respectively. (It would be
perfectly legitimate to remove the dollar signs on the keg prices, and
imagine that they are values of the Consumer Price Index.)
No matter, which basis of accounting you choose, the December 31, 20x0
balance sheet for Lender Company, stated in units of purchasing power as
of that date will be as follows:
I will now provide you with the T-account entries to derive the balances
that are used to prepare the December 31, 20x1 financial statements,
stated in units of purchasing power on that date:
Here are the explanations (I abbreviate "units of purchasing power" as
"UP"):
And, here are the financial statements at the end of the first year:
Notice that the beginning balance sheet has been restated to reflect
units of purchasing power as of 12/31/x1 (i.e., multiplied by 110/100)
even though the date of the balance sheet is one year earlier.
Finally, here are the T-accounts, explanations and financial statements
as of the end of the second year:
Notice once again the treatment of the comparative periods: 20x0 has
been inflated for two years (i.e., multipled by 121/100), and 20x1 for
one year (i.e., multiplied by 121/110).
To close, I'd like to remind you that reliable reporting of the effects
of inflation on an entity can materially affect the financial
statements, even when the inflation rate is pretty low. But,
unfortunately, comprehensive inflation-adjusted replacement cost got an
undeservedly bad rap when it was required by FAS 33 on a disclosure
basis only. Among other things, very few accountants and analysts took
the time to understand the numbers, because the patchwork implementation
of some admittedly sticky issues were overly accomodating to issuers;
and as a result, did not result in high-quality information.
I am hoping that inflation-adjusted replacement cost can at least begin
a comeback as the FASB seeks to improve loan accounting. One thing they
should know: substantial progress is possible even if inflation
accounting and replacement cost measurements are not applied to all
assets and liabilities. But, loan accounting, especially because
interest rates are inextricably linked to expected inflation, would be a
very good place to start. The implementation issues are much less
problematic than, for example, hedge accounting.
Market
Value Accounting: Exit Value (Liquidation, Fair
Value) Accounting
Suppose we
look at the financial statements of a company at a given point in time. The big
problem with exit value accounting is that it values items at their worst
possible use (unloading them in the used item market). Hence the company in
question will have the same balance sheet if it is about to go bankrupt versus
about to prosper. What do investors gain from exit value accounting if the
company is about to propser?
Whereas
entry value is what it will cost to replace an item, exit value is the value of
disposing of the item. It can even be negative in some instances where costs of
clean up and disposal make to exit price negative. Exit value accounting is
required under GAAP for personal financial statements (individuals and married
couples) and companies that are deemed likely to become non-going concerns. See
"Personal Financial Statements," by Anthony Mancuso, The CPA Journal,
September 1992 ---
http://www.nysscpa.org/cpajournal/old/13606731.htm
Some
theorists advocate exit value accounting for going concerns as well as non-going
concerns. Both nationally (particularly under FAS 115 and FAS 133) and
internationally (under IAS 32 and 39 for), exit value accounting is presently
required in some instances for financial instrument
assets and liabilities. Both the FASB and the IASB have exposure drafts
advocating fair value accounting for all financial instruments.
FASB's Exposure Draft for Fair Value Adjustments to all Financial
Instruments
On December 14, 1999 the FASB issued Exposure Draft 204-B entitled
Reporting Financial Instruments and Certain Related Assets and
Liabilities at Fair Value.
If an
item is viewed as a financial instrument rather than inventory, the
accounting becomes more complicated under FAS 115. Traders in
financial instruments adjust such instruments to fair value with all
changes in value passing through current earnings. Business firms
who are not deemed to be traders must designate the instrument as
either available-for-sale (AFS) or hold-to-maturity (HTM). A HTM
instrument is maintained at original cost. An AFS financial
instrument must be marked-to-market, but the changes in value pass
through OCI rather than current earnings until the instrument is
actually sold or otherwise expires. Under international standards,
the IASB requires fair value adjustments for most financial
instruments. This has led to strong reaction from businesses around
the world, especially banks. There are now two major working group
debates. In 1999 the Joint Working Group of the Banking Associations
sharply rebuffed the IAS 39 fair value accounting in two white
papers that can be downloaded from
http://www.iasc.org.uk/frame/cen3_112.htm.
·
Financial Instruments: Issues Relating to Banks
(strongly argues for required fair value adjustments of financial
instruments). The issue date is August 31, 1999.
·
Accounting for financial Instruments for Banks
(concludes that a modified form of historical cost is optimal for
bank accounting). The issue date is October 4, 1999.
Advantages
of Exit Value (Liquidation, Fair Value) Accounting
·In the
case of financial assets and liabilities, historical costs may be meaningless
relative to current exit values. For example, a forward contract or swap
generally has zero historical cost but may be valued at millions at the current
time. Failure to require fair value accounting provides all sorts of misleading
earnings management opportunities to firms. The above references provide strong
arguments in favor of fair value accounting.
·Exit value
does not require arbitrary cost allocation decisions such as whether to use FIFO
or LIFO or what depreciation rate is best for allocating cost over time.
·In many
instances exit value accounting is easier to compute than entry values. For
example, it is easier to estimate what an old computer will bring in the used
computer market than to estimate what is the cost of "equivalent" computing
power is in the new computer market.
Exit value
reporting is not deemed desirable or practical for going concern businesses for
a number of reasons that I will not go into in great depth here.
Disadvantages of Exit Value (Liquidation, Fair Value) Accounting
·Operating
assets are bought to use rather than sell. For example, as long as no
consideration is being given to selling or abandoning a manufacturing plant,
recording the fluctuating values of the land and buildings creates a misleading
fluctuation in earnings and balance sheet volatility. Who cares if the value of
the land went up by $1 million in 1994 and down by $2 million in 1998 if the
plant that sits on the land has been in operation for 60 years and no
consideration is being given to leaving this plant?
·
Some assets like software, knowledge databases, and Web servers for
e-Commerce cost millions of dollars to develop for the benefit of future revenue
growth and future expense savings. These assets may have immense value if the
entire firm is sold, but they may have no market as unbundled assets. In fact it
may be impossible to unbundle such assets from the firm as a whole. Examples
include the Enterprise Planning Model SAP system in firms such as Union Carbide.
These systems costing millions of dollars have no exit value in the context of
exit value accounting even though they are designed to benefit the companies for
many years into the future.
·
Exit value accounting records anticipated profits well in advance of
transactions. For example, a large home building company with 200 completed
houses in inventory would record the profits of these homes long before the
company even had any buyers for those homes. Even though exit value accounting
is billed as a conservative approach, there are instances where it is far from
conservative.
·
Value of a subsystem of items differs from the sum of the value of its
parts. Investors may be lulled into thinking that the sum of all subsystem net
assets valued at liquidation prices is the value of the system of these net
assets. Values may differ depending upon how the subsystems are diced and sliced
in a sale.
·
Appraisals of exit values are both to expensive to obtain for each
accounting report date and are highly subjective and subject to enormous
variations of opinion. The U.S. Savings and Loan scandals of the 1980s
demonstrated how reliance upon appraisals is an invitation for massive frauds.
Experiments by some, mostly real estate companies, to use exit value-based
accounting died on the vine, including well-known attempts decades ago by TRC,
Rouse, and Days Inn.
·
Exit values are affected by how something is sold. If quick cash is needed,
the best price may only be half of what the price can be by waiting for the
right time and the right buyer.
·
Financial contracts that for one reason or another are deemed as to be
"held-to-maturity" items may cause misleading increases and decreases in
reported values that will never be realized. A good example is the market value
of a fixed-rate bond that may go up and down with interest rates but will always
pay its face value at maturity no matter what happens to interest rates.
·
Exit value markets are often thin and inefficient and broken markets.
Hi
Pat,
My
main computer that contains the IASB literature is in the shop at the moment.
But I will do the best I can with other references.
Value in use originates in the concept that a firm computing net present value
of an asset will use its own optimal use future stream of cash flows where that
stream may not be attainable by any other company ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value-in-use
The Glossary of the FASB’s Accounting Standards Database Codification database
defines “value in use” as
“The
amount determined by discounting the future cash flows (including the ultimate
proceeds of disposal) expected to be derived from the use of an asset at an
appropriate rate that allows for the risk of the activities concerned”
All
too often Value in Use (VIU) is equated to discounted future cash flows of an
item in optimal use. Discounted cash flow estimation may be a fantasyland ideal
that is not altogether necessary. For example, if IBM has a factory robot
assembling computer components, it is virtually impossible to trace future
computer sale cash flows to the portion of cash flows attributed to one assembly
robot. Exit value is probably a useless surrogate for an installed factory robot
since exit value is absurdly low relative to VIU of the robot. Other surrogate
valuations may be much closer to VIU, including the replacement cost
appropriately adjusted for differences in economic life of the present robot
versus a now robot. The thing about VIU is that, when exit value is highly
misleading, then other valuation estimates are possible, including replacement
cost based upon current entry values for an IBM purchase of a new robot plus
engineering estimates of current installation cost of a replacement robot.
Exit value is generally considered an exchange price that’s agreed upon by a
buyer and a seller. Both buyer and seller may have different values in use such
as when Days Inn sells 200 hotels to Holiday Inn. Covariance with brand name and
other intangibles means that the value in use of each hotel differs for Days Inn
versus Holiday Inn.
Both the FASB and the IASB generally consider exit value to be the worst
possible seller’s use (e.g., forced liquidation) of the item in liquidation
rather than use in a going concern. It is very misleading when a going concern
owner has zero intention to sell the item. The ideal is value in use rather than
exit value for a going concern having an item that is operational. The
presumption is that the exit value may be the worst possible use value for the
seller but is almost certainly not the best possible use value for the buyer.
Otherwise the buyer would not agree on that exchange price.
In
the August 2008 annual American Accounting Association meetings Tom Linsmeier
and another speaker from BYU put great emphasis on how exit value is the worst
possible value for present owners that are going concerns. They both claimed
preference for Value in Use.
Neither the FASB nor the IASB is entirely consistent on value in use being the
ideal. Paragraphs A5-A12 in FAS 157 illustrate how value in use (VIU) may be
used in fair value measurement. However, keep in mind that current fair value
accounting requirements apply mostly to financial items except in a few isolated
instances of non-financial items such as precious metal inventories. VIU
measurement controversies are usually much greater for non-financial items such
as fixed operating assets and real estate investments. The controversy has and
always will be the trade-off between objectivity of valuation versus the
possibility that the more objective valuations may be less useful or even very
misleading. For example, a forced liquidation exchange value of an item may be
very misleading if the owner has zero intention of selling. On the other hand, a
VIU that depends heavily on subjective estimates subject to wide measurement
error may also highly misleading and make fraud easier.
A6. Highest and best use is a valuation concept that refers broadly to the use
of an asset that would maximize the value of the asset or the group of assets in
which the asset would be used by market participants. For some assets, in
particular, nonfinancial assets, application of the highest-and-best-use concept
could have a significant effect on the fair value measurement.
Examples 1–3 illustrate the application of the highest-and-best-use concept in
situations in which nonfinancial assets are newly acquired.
Paragraph A6 of FAS 157 ---
http://www.fasb.org/pdf/aop_FAS157.pdf
Traditionally, value in-use fairly reflects the economics of a specific
transaction. But the FASB has indicated in recently issued guidelines, that it
prefers looking to the market, rather than company-specific valuations.
Regardless of which approach is chosen, future income statements will be
affected. The value in-use approach will generally result in higher depreciation
expense and lower reported earnings. The value in-exchange approach will usually
result in more of the initial purchase price being allocated to goodwill, which
must be tested for impairment every year.
“SFAS 141 Impacts Choice of Method Used to Value PP & E” ---
http://www.valuationresearch.com/content/Knowledge_center/back_issues/35_2002_2.htm
C38. In the context of the related guidance included in the Exposure Draft, some
respondents referred to possible conflicts between the in-use valuation premise
and the exchange notion encompassed within the definition of fair value. In this
Statement, the Board clarified that the exchange notion applies regardless of
the valuation premise used to measure the fair value of an asset. Whether using
an in-use or an in-exchange valuation premise, the measurement is a market-based
measurement determined based on the use of an asset by market participants, not
a value determined based solely on the use of an asset by the reporting entity
(a value-in-use or entity-specific
Jensen Comment
Hence the FASB offers ambiguous guidance on exchange value versus value in use.
The FASB likes exchange value (VIE) in terms of objectivity relative to the
dastardly subjectivity of value in use (VIU). At the same time the FASB hates
exchange valuation that puts asset values at the worst possible use of the
asset, e.g. forced liquidation valuation of an asset that a going concern has
every intention of using at much higher value. Also there’s absolutely no forced
liquidation value for portions of fixed assets such as enormous installation
costs of ERP and other database systems, blast or electric furnaces producing
steel, factory robots, and assets requiring millions of dollars in winning
governmental permits, many of which are not transferrable in liquidation sales.
. Of course at present, neither the FASB nor the IASB require fair value
accounting for most types of non-financial assets, including steel furnaces,
ERP, factory robots, etc. If the FASB extends fair value accounting to all
non-financial items, the FASB will most certainly have to back off priority for
objective exchange values for items having zero exchange value such as
non-transferable components of fixed assets such as installation costs.
The AICPA provides lots of resources for fair value measurement but the AICPA is
of little use in providing resources for estimating value in use.
The
AICPA's Fair Value Accounting Resources ---
http://www.journalofaccountancy.com/Web/FairValueResources.htm
The IASB is as inconsistent as the FASB on issues of VIU versus VIE. The ideal
is VIU that can be objectively determined such as an asset or liability with
contractual future cash flows and minimal loss risk. As VIU becomes more
subjective in terms managerial choices as to the future cash flow stream of 200
hotels in the hands of Days Inns versus Holiday Inns, then VIE is probably going
to be preferred by the FASB and the IASB. But this can be misleading, because
valuing hotels at a forced liquidation exit value may be more misleading than
historical cost book value when there’s no intention whatsoever for the owner to
sell the hotel. This would be especially misleading if Holiday Inns had to
use forced liquidation exit values in this period of distressed real estate
values where owners have no intention of selling out at distressed real estate
values.
Of course at present, neither the FASB nor the IASB require fair value
accounting for most types of non-financial assets, including real estate. If
fair value accounting is extended to all non-financial assets, I think that
preferences for VIE will have to give way to VIU. VIE likely to be highly
misleading (overly conservative) when trying to evaluate investment potential of
a successful going concern.
Value in use issues also rear up in standards involving value impairment tests
such as
Value in use [IAS 36, par. 18; IAS 38, par. 83]
Economic
Value (Discounted Cash Flow, Present Value) Accounting
There are
over 100 instances where present GAAP requires that historical cost accounting
be abandoned in favor of discounted cash flow accounting (e.g., when valuing
pension liabilities and computing fair values of derivative financial
instruments). These apply in situations where future cash inflows and outflows
can be reliably estimated and are attributable to the particular asset or
liability being valued on a discounted cash flow basis.
Advantages
of Economic Value (Discounted Cash Flow, Present Value) Accounting
·Economic
value is based upon management's intended use for the item in question rather
than upon some other use such as disposal (Exit Value) or replacement (Entry
Value).
·Economic
value conforms to the economic theory of the firm.
Disadvantages of Economic Value (Discounted Cash Flow, Present Value) Accounting
·How does
one allocate a portion of the cash flows of General Motors to a single welding
machine in Tennessee? Or how does one allocate the portion of the sales price of
a single car to the robot that welded a single hinge on one of the doors? How
does one allocate the price of a bond to the basic obligation, the attached
warrants, the call option in the fine print, and other possible embedded
derivatives in the contract? The problem lies in the arbitrary nature of
deciding what system of assets and liabilities to value as a system rather than
individual components. Then what happens when the system is changed in some way?
In order to see how complex this can become, note the complicated valuation
assumptions in a paper entitled "Implementation of an Option Pricing-Based Bond
Valuation Model for Corporate Debt and Its Components," by M.E. Barth, W.R.
Landsman, and R.J. Rendleman, Jr., Accounting Horizons, December 2000,
pp. 455-480.
·Cash flows
are virtually impossible to estimate except when they are contractually
specified. How can Amazon.com accurately estimate the millions and millions of
dollars it has invested in online software?
·Even when
cash flows can be reliably estimated, there are endless disputes regarding the
appropriate discount rates.
·Endless
disputes arise as to assumptions underlying economic valuations.
One of the
major problems of using financial statements to value firms is that sometimes
the unbooked assets and liabilities are much larger than some or all of the
booked items.
SEC Staff
Report on Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements, Special Purpose Entities, and Related
Issues
The US Financial Accounting Standards Board has submitted its response to the
SEC Staff Report on Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements, Special Purpose Entities,
and Related Issues released by the US Securities and Exchange Commission in June
2005. The SEC report was prepared pursuant to the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002 and
was submitted to the President and several Congressional committees. The SEC
staff report includes an analysis of the filings of issuers as well as an
analysis of pertinent US generally accepted accounting principles and Commission
disclosure rules. The report contains several recommendations for potentially
sweeping changes in current accounting and reporting requirements for pensions,
leases, financial instruments, and consolidation:
Pensions:
The staff recommends the accounting guidance for defined-benefit
pension plans and other post-retirement benefit plans be
reconsidered. The trusts that administer these plans are
currently exempt from consolidation by the issuers that sponsor
them, effectively resulting in the netting of assets and
liabilities in the balance sheet. In addition, issuers have the
option to delay recognition of certain gains and losses related
to the retirement obligations and the assets used to fund these
obligations.
Leases:
The staff recommends that the accounting guidance for leases be
reconsidered. The current accounting for leases takes an 'all or
nothing' approach to recognizing leases on the balance sheet.
This results in a clustering of lease arrangements such that
their terms approach, but do not cross, the 'bright lines' in
the accounting guidance that would require a liability to be
recognized. As a consequence, arrangements with similar economic
outcomes are accounted for very differently.
Financial instruments:
The staff recommends the continued exploration of the
feasibility of reporting all financial instruments at fair
value.
Consolidation:
The staff recommends that the Financial Accounting Standards
Board continue its work on the accounting guidance that
determines whether an issuer would consolidate other entities –
including SPEs – in which the issuer has an ownership or other
interest.
Disclosures:
The staff believes that, in general, certain disclosures in the
filings of issuers could be better organized and integrated.
FASB's response discusses a number of "fundamental structural, institutional,
cultural, and behavioral forces" that it believes cause complexity and impede
transparent financial reporting. FASB provides an update on its activities and
projects intended to address and improve outdated, overly complex accounting
standards. These areas include accounting for leases; accounting for pensions
and other post employment benefits; consolidation policies; accounting for
financial instruments; accounting for intangible assets; and conceptual and
disclosure frameworks. The FASB also identifies several other initiatives aimed
at improving the understandability, consistency, and overall usability of
existing accounting literature, through codification, by attempting to stem the
proliferation of new pronouncements emanating from multiple sources, and by
developing new standards in a 'principles-based' or 'objectives-oriented'
approach. Click to download:
We first voiced our concern about an obscure accounting rule that allows
companies to “create” profits when purchasing other businesses in the
“Curious Case of Miller Energy’s 10-K and Its Huge Bargain Purchase.” The
offending tenet relates to the treatment of something called “negative
goodwill” which purportedly is created when a company makes an acquisition,
and pays less than what the assets are worth. This fantastic “bargain
purchase” creates a negative goodwill anomaly because the acquirer
supposedly gets more assets than it pays for, as in this example:
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
Yet another illustration of how the FASB and IASB made a black hole out of
bottom-line earnings.
AccountingWEB.com - Feb-21-2006 - The Financial Accounting
Standards Board (FASB) last week responded to the Security and Exchange
Commission’s (SEC’s) Off Balance Sheet Report by identifying
forces causing complexity and impeding financial transparency, as well
as providing an update on the FASB’s activities intended to address
complex accounting standards. The FASB also reaffirmed its commitment to
improving the transparency and usefulness of financial reporting.
“The FASB remains fiercely committed to protecting the interests of
investors and the capital markets by developing accounting standards
that, if faithfully followed, provided relevant, reliable and useful
financial information,” FASB Chariman Robert Herz said in a prepared
statement. “Along these lines, we remain concerned about the root causes
and the effects that complexity continues to have on our financial
reporting system and believe that concerted and coordinated action by
the SEC, the FASB, and the PCAOB, together with other parties in the
financial reporting system, is critical.”
The FASB has named several areas as key for overcoming the challenges
facing the financial reporting system including: accounting for leases;
accounting for pensions and other post-employment benefits;
consolidation policies; accounting for financial instruments; accounting
for intangible assets; and conceptual and disclosure frameworks. Several
initiatives have been undertaken to help improve understandability,
consistency, and overall usability of existing accounting literature,
through codification and by attempting to limit the proliferation of
pronouncements from multiple sources and by developing new standards
using a principles-based or objectives-oriented approach.
The FASB Response to SEC Study on
Arrangements with Off-Balance Sheet Implications, Special Purpose
Entities, and Transparency of Filings by Issuers provides
comments on issues and recommendations included in the Report and
Recommendations Pursuant to Section 401(c) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of
2002 on Arrangements with Off-Balance Sheet Implications, Special
Purpose Entities, and Transparency of Filings by Issuers submitted
in June 2005 by the staff of the SEC to the President of the United
States, the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs and
the Committee of Financial Services of the U.S. House of
Representatives.
How a firm reports an asset or liability in a balance sheet typically is rooted
in one of the following valuation concepts. GAAP in the United States is
historical cost by default, but there are countless instances where departures
from historical cost are either allowed or required under certain standards in
certain circumstances.
FAS 148 improves disclosures for
stock-based compensation and provides alternative transition methods for
companies that switch to the fair value method of accounting for stock options
--- http://www.fasb.org/news/nr123102.shtml
The transition guidance and annual disclosure provisions of Statement 148 are
effective for fiscal years ending after December 15, 2002, with earlier
application permitted in certain circumstances. . Fair
value accounting is still optional (until the FASB finally makes up its mind on
stock options.)
FASB Amends
Transition Guidance for Stock Options and Provides Improved Disclosures
Norwalk, CT,
December 31, 2002—The
FASB has published Statement No. 148, Accounting for Stock-Based
Compensation—Transition and Disclosure, which amends FASB Statement No.
123, Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation. In response to a growing
number of companies announcing plans to record expenses for the fair value of
stock options, Statement 148 provides alternative methods of transition for a
voluntary change to the fair value based method of accounting for stock-based
employee compensation. In addition, Statement 148 amends the disclosure
requirements of Statement 123 to require more prominent and more frequent
disclosures in financial statements about the effects of stock-based
compensation.
Under the provisions
of Statement 123, companies that adopted the preferable, fair value based
method were required to apply that method prospectively for new stock option
awards. This contributed to a “ramp-up” effect on stock-based compensation
expense in the first few years following adoption, which caused concern for
companies and investors because of the lack of consistency in reported
results. To address that concern, Statement 148 provides two additional
methods of transition that reflect an entity’s full complement of
stock-based compensation expense immediately upon adoption, thereby
eliminating the ramp-up effect.
Statement 148 also
improves the clarity and prominence of disclosures about the pro forma effects
of using the fair value based method of accounting for stock-based
compensation for all companies—regardless of the accounting method used—by
requiring that the data be presented more prominently and in a more
user-friendly format in the footnotes to the financial statements. In
addition, the Statement improves the timeliness of those disclosures by
requiring that this information be included in interim as well as annual
financial statements. In the past, companies were required to make pro forma
disclosures only in annual financial statements.
The transition
guidance and annual disclosure provisions of Statement 148 are effective for
fiscal years ending after December 15, 2002, with earlier application
permitted in certain circumstances. The interim disclosure provisions are
effective for financial reports containing financial statements for interim
periods beginning after December 15, 2002.
As previously
reported, the FASB has solicited comments from its constituents relating to
the accounting for stock-based compensation, including valuation of stock
options, as part of its recently issued Invitation to Comment, Accounting
for Stock-Based Compensation: A Comparison of FASB Statement No. 123,
Accounting for Stock-Based Compensation, and Its Related Interpretations,
and IASB Proposed IFRS, Share-based Payment. That Invitation to Comment
explains the similarities of and differences between the proposed guidance on
accounting for stock-based compensation included in the International
Accounting Standards Board’s (IASB’s) recently issued exposure draft and
the FASB’s guidance under Statement 123.
After considering the
responses to the Invitation to Comment, the Board plans to make a decision in
the latter part of the first quarter of 2003 about whether it should undertake
a more comprehensive reconsideration of the accounting for stock options. As
part of that process, the Board may revisit its 1995 decision permitting
companies to disclose the pro forma effects of the fair value based method
rather than requiring all companies to recognize the fair value of employee
stock options as an expense in the income statement. Under the provisions of
Statement 123 that remain unaffected by Statement 148, companies may either
recognize expenses on a fair value based method in the income statement or
disclose the pro forma effects of that method in the footnotes to the
financial statements.
Copies of Statement 148 may be
obtained by contacting the FASB’s Order Department at 800-748-0659 or by
placing an order at the FASB’s website at www.fasb.org
.
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting
Educators' Reviews on June 20, 2002
TITLE: And, Now the Question is: Where's the Next Enron?
REPORTER: Cassell Bryan-Low and Ken Brown
DATE: Jun 18, 2002 PAGE: C1 LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB1024356537931110920.djm,00.html
TOPICS: off balance sheet financing, Related-party transactions, loan guarantees,
Accounting, Fair Value Accounting, Financial Accounting Standards Board, Regulation,
Securities and Exchange Commission
SUMMARY: In the wake of the Enron accounting debacle, investors are concerned that
another Enron-like situation could occur. The article describes steps taken to improve the
quality of financial reporting.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Why is it important that investors and other financial statement users have
confidence in financial reporting?
2.) What is a related-party transaction? What accounting issues are associated with
related-party transactions? What changes in disclosing and accounting for related party
transactions are proposed? Discuss the strengths and weaknesses of the proposed changes.
3.) What is off-balance sheet financing? How was Enron able to avoid reporting
liabilities on its balance sheet? What changes concerning special-purpose entities are
proposed? Will the proposed changes prevent future Enron-like situations? Support your
answer.
4.) When are companies required to report loan guarantees as liabilities? What changes
are proposed? Do you agree with the proposed changes? Support your answer.
5.) What is mark to market accounting? How did mark to market accounting contribute to
the Enron debacle? Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of proposed changes related to
mark to market accounting.
6.) What are pro forma earnings? How can pro forma earnings be used to mislead
investors? What changes in the presentation of pro forma earnings are proposed? Will the
proposed changes protect investors?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
SUMMARY: This article focuses on the issues facing Arthur Andersen now that their work
on the Enron audit has become the subject of an SEC investigation. The on-line version of
the article provides three questions that are attributed to "some accounting
professors." The questions in this review expand on those three provided in the
article.
QUESTIONS:
1.) The first question the SEC might ask of Enron's auditors is "were financial
statement disclosures regarding Enron's transactions too opaque to understand?" Are
financial statement disclosures required to be understandable? To whom? Who is responsible
for ensuring a certain level of understandability?
2.) Another question that the SEC could consider is whether Andersen auditors were
aware that certain off-balance-sheet partnerships should have been consolidated into
Enron's balance sheet, as they were in the company's recent restatement. How could the
auditors have been "unaware" that certain entities should have been
consolidated? What is the SEC's concern with whether or not the auditors were aware of the
need for consolidation?
3.) A third question that the SEC could ask is, "Did Andersen auditors knowingly
sign off on some 'immaterial' accounting violations, ignoring that they collectively
distorted Enron's results?" Again, what is the SEC's concern with whether Andersen
was aware of the collective impact of the accounting errors? Should Andersen have been
aware of the collective amount of impact of these errors? What steps would you suggest in
order to assess this issue?
4.) The article finishes with a discussion of expected Congressional hearings into
Enron's accounting practices and into the accounting and auditing standards setting
process in general. What concern is there that the FASB "has been working on a
project for more than a decade to tighten the rules governing when companies must
consolidate certain off-balance sheet 'special purpose entities'"?
5.) In general, how stringent are accounting and auditing requirements in the U.S.
relative to other countries' standards? Are accounting standards in other countries set in
the same way as in the U.S.? If not, who establishes standards? What incentives would the
U.S. Congress have to establish a law-based system if they become convinced that our
private sector standards setting practices are inadequate? Are you concerned about having
accounting and reporting standards established by law?
6.) The article describes revenue recognition practices at Enron that were based on
"noncash unrealized gains." What standard allows, even requires, this practice?
Why does the author state, "to date, the accounting standards board has given energy
traders almost boundless latitude to value their energy contracts as they see fit"?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
The BV Center will include resources and information from the
American Institute of Certified Public Accountants (AICPA) and industry experts on various
factors affecting the value of a business or a transaction, such as mergers and
acquisitions; economic damages due to a patent infringement or breaches of contract;
bankruptcy or a reorganization; or fraud due to anti-trust actions or embezzlement. The BV
Center will provide a comprehensive combination of solutions that meet the professional
needs of CPAs practicing business valuation, including those who have achieved the AICPA's
Accredited in Business Valuation credential. The BV Center will also provide networking
communities for BV practitioners as well as a public forum for discussion of business
valuation trends, developments and issues.
"Tremendous growth in the BV discipline, coupled with a
dynamic group of factors affecting business valuation, means that CPAs need a consistent,
timely and relevant vehicle through which BV-related information can be disseminated to
them," said Erik Asgeirsson, Vice President of Product Management at CPA2Biz.
"The BV Center on CPA2Biz will provide them with AICPA books, practice aids,
newsletters and software, along with industry expert literature and complementary
third-party products and solutions. Because the issues associated with valuation impact
CPAs in both public and private sectors -- auditors, tax practitioners, personal financial
planners as well as BV specialists -- the BV Center will have a powerful horizontal impact
on the profession."
"I think that CPAs who practice in business valuation ought
to go to the BV Center for information and tools that are timely, relevant and easy to
obtain," said Thomas Hilton, CPA/ABV, Chairman of the AICPA Business Valuation
Subcommittee. "The BV Center is a source CPAs can use to offer their clients a higher
level of service, as well as to connect with other CPAs who provide valuation
services."
More Detailed
Differences
(Comparisons) between FASB and IASB Accounting Standards
2011 Update
"IFRS and US GAAP: Similarities and Differences" according to PwC
(2011 Edition)
http://www.pwc.com/us/en/issues/ifrs-reporting/publications/ifrs-and-us-gaap-similarities-and-differences.jhtml
Note the Download button!
Note that warnings are given throughout the document that the similarities and
differences mentioned in the booklet are not comprehensive of all similarities
and differences. The document is, however, a valuable addition to students of
FASB versus IASB standard differences and similarities.
It's not easy keeping track of what's changing and
how, but this publication can help. Changes for 2011 include:
Revised introduction reflecting the current
status, likely next steps, and what companies should be doing now (see page 2);
Updated convergence timeline, including
current proposed timing of exposure drafts, deliberations, comment
periods, and final standards
(see page 7);
More current analysis of the differences
between IFRS and US GAAP -- including an assessment of the impact
embodied within the differences
(starting on page 17); and
Details incorporating authoritative standards
and interpretive guidance issued through July 31, 2011
(throughout).
This continues to be one of PwC's most-read
publications, and we are confident the 2011 edition will further your
understanding of these issues and potential next steps.
For further exploration of the similarities and
differences between IFRS and US GAAP, please also visit our
IFRS Video Learning Center.
To request a hard copy of this publication, please contact your PwC
engagement team or
contact us.
Jensen Comment
My favorite comparison topics (Derivatives and Hedging) begin on Page 158
The booklet does a good job listing differences but, in my opinion, overly
downplays the importance of these differences. It may well be that IFRS is more
restrictive in some areas and less restrictive in other areas to a fault. This
is one topical area where IFRS becomes much too subjective such that comparisons
of derivatives and hedging activities under IFRS can defeat the main purpose of
"standards." The main purpose of an "accounting standard" is to lead to greater
comparability of inter-company financial statements. Boo on IFRS in this topical
area, especially when it comes to testing hedge effectiveness!
One key quotation is on Page 165
IFRS does not specifically discuss the methodology
of applying a critical-terms match in the level of detail included within
U.S. GAAP.
Then it goes yatta, yatta, yatta.
Jensen Comment
This is so typical of when IFRS fails to present the "same level of detail" and
more importantly fails to provide "implementation guidance" comparable with the
FASB's DIG implementation topics and illustrations.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a
huge beef with the lack of illustrations in IFRS versus the many illustrations
in U.S. GAAP.
I have a huge beef with the lack of illustrations in
IFRS versus the many illustrations in U.S. GAAP.
"Canadian regulator decides against allowing
early adoption of recent IFRSs by certain entities," IAS Plus, November 1, 2011
---
http://www.iasplus.com/index.htm
. . .
In making its
decision, the OSFI considered a number of factors
such as industry consistency,
OSFI policy positions on accounting and capital, operational capacity and
resource constraints of Federally Regulated Entities (FREs), the ability to
benefit from improved standards arising from the financial crisis and the
notion of a level playing field with other
Canadian and international financial institutions.
OSFI concluded that FREs should not early adopt the following new or amended
IFRSs, but instead should adhere to their mandatory effective dates:
Continued
Jensen Comment
The clients, auditors, and the AICPA clamoring that U.S. firms should be able to
voluntarily choose IFRS instead of U.S. GAAP even before it has not been decided
that IFRS will ever replace FASB standards seem to ignore the problems that
voluntary choice of IFRS might cause for investors and analysts. The above
reasoning by the OSFI makes sense to me.
But then outfits like the AICPA have a
self-serving interest in earning millions of dollars selling IFRS training
courses and materials.
November 2, 2011 reply from Patricia Walters
Does that mean you oppose options to early
adopt standards in general, not just IFRSs?
Pat
November 2, 2011 reply from Bob Jensen
Hi Pat,
It's hard to say regarding early adoption of a particular national or
international standard, because there can be unique circumstances. For
example, FAS 123R simply altered how to make disclosures rather than alter
the disclosures themselves since employee option expenses had to be
disclosed before the FAS 123R adoption date. But even here early adoption of
FAS 123R by Company A versus late adoption by Company B made simple
comparisons of eps and P/E ratios between these companies less easy.
There's a huge difference between early adoption of a particular standard
and early adoption of an entire system of standards like switching from FASB
accounting standards to IFRS.
I think the Canadian position of early adoption of IFRS is probably correct
because of the mess early adoption of IFRS makes with comparisons of
companies using different accounting standards and the added costs of
regulation of more than one set of standards. Also think of the added burden
placed upon the courts to adjudicate disputes when differing sets of
standards are being used.
Even though we allow IFRS for SEC registered foreign companies, I think it
would be a total mess for the SEC, the PCAOB, investors, analysts,
educators, trainers, auditing, and even the IRS (where tax and reporting
treatments must sometimes be reconciled) if our domestic corporations could
choose between FASB versus IASB standards.
There are hundreds of differences between FASB and IASB standards. Allowing
companies domestic companies to cherry pick which system they choose before
it is even known if there will ever be official replacement of FASB
standards by IASB standards would be very, very confusing. What if there
never is a decision to replace FASB standards? Do want to simply allow
companies to choose to bypass FASB standards at their own discretion?
Of course, if information were costless it might be ideal to require
financial reporting where FASB and IASB outcomes are reconciled. But clients
and auditors generally contend that the cost of doing this greatly exceeds
benefits. And teaching financial accounting would become exceedingly
complicated if we had to teach two sets of standards on an equal basis.
I would certainly hate to face a CPA examination that had nearly equal
coverage of both FASB and IASB standards simultaneously. I say this
especially after viewing the hundreds of pages of complicated differences
between the two standards systems.
BARUCH LEV'S BOOK Brookings Institution
Press issued Baruch's new book, Intangibles: Management, Measurement and Reporting.
Regardless of the "dot com" collapse, this subject continues to be high on the
corporate executive's agenda. Baruch foresees increasing attention being paid to
intangibles by both managers and investors. He feels there is an urgent need to improve
both the management reporting and external disclosure about intellectual capital. He
proposes that we seriously consider revamping our accounting model and significantly
broaden the recognition of intangible assets on the balance sheet. The book can be ordered
at https://www.brookings.edu/press/books/intangibles_book.htm
SSRN's Top 10
Downloads
(The abstracts are free, but the downloads themselves are not free,.
However, your library may provide you with free SSRN downloads if it
subscribes to SSRN)
One
approach to finding the “top” papers is to download the Social Science
Research Network (SSRN) Top 10 downloads in various categories --- http://papers.ssrn.com/toptens/tt_ntwk_all.html
This database is limited to the selected papers included in the database.
For
accounting, SSRN’s Top 10 papers are at http://papers.ssrn.com/toptens/tt_ntwk_204_home.html#ARN
The average number of downloads of this top accounting research network
paper is 227 per month. In contrast the top economics network
research paper has an average of 2,375 downloads per month.
Downloads in other disciplines depend heavily upon the number of graduate
students and practitioners in that discipline.
The
top ten downloads from the accounting network are as follows (note that
some authors like Mike Jensen are not accountants or accounting
educators):
Evidence
on EVA® Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Vol. 12, No. 2, Summer
1999 GARY C. BIDDLE,
ROBERT M. BOWEN
and JAMES S. WALLACE
Hong Kong University of Science & Technology,
University of Washington and University of California at Irvine Date posted to database:September 20, 1999
Separation
of Ownership and Control Michael C. Jensen, FOUNDATIONS OF ORGANIZATIONAL STRATEGY,
Harvard University Press, 1998, and Journal of Law and
Economics, Vol. 26, June 1983 EUGENE F. FAMA
and MICHAEL C. JENSEN
University of Chicago and The Monitor Company Date posted to database:November 29, 1998
"ACCOUNTING FOR INTANGIBLES: THE GREAT
DIVIDE BETWEEN OBSCURITY IN INNOVATION ACTIVITIES AND THE BALANCE SHEET," by Anne
Wyatt, The Singapore Economic Review, Vol. 46, No. 1 pp. 83-117 --- http://www.worldscinet.com/ser/46/sample/S0217590801000243.html
ACCOUNTING FOR INTANGIBLES: A LITERATURE REVIEW, Journal
of Accounting Literature, Vol. 19, 2000
by Leandro Cañibano Autonomous University of Madrid Manuel García-Ayuso University of
Seville Paloma Sánchez Autonomous University of Madrid --- http://www.finansanalytiker.no/innhold/aktiv_presinv/Conf050901/Jal.pdf
IAS 38, Intangible Assets,
was approved by the IASB Board in July 1998 and became operative for annual financial
statements covering periods beginning on or after 1 July 1999.
IAS 38 supersedes:
IAS 4, Depreciation Accounting,
with respect to the amortisation (depreciation) of intangible assets; and
IAS 38 applies to all intangible
assets that are not specifically dealt with in other International Accounting Standards.
It applies, among other things, to expenditures on:
advertising,
training,
start-up, and
research and development (R&D)
activities.
IAS 38 supersedes IAS 9, Research
and Development Costs. IAS 38 does not apply to financial assets, insurance contracts,
mineral rights and the exploration for and extraction of minerals and similar
non-regenerative resources. Investments in, and awareness of the importance of, intangible
assets have increased significantly in the last two decades.
The main features of IAS 38 are:
an intangible asset should be
recognised initially, at cost, in the financial statements, if, and only if:
(a) the asset meets the
definition of an intangible asset. Particularly, there should be an identifiable asset
that is controlled and clearly distinguishable from an enterprise's goodwill;
(b) it is probable that the
future economic benefits that are attributable to the asset will flow to the enterprise;
and
(c) the cost of the asset can be
measured reliably.
This requirement applies whether
an intangible asset is acquired externally or generated internally. IAS 38 also includes
additional recognition criteria for internally generated intangible assets;
if an intangible item does not
meet both the definition, and the criteria for the recognition, of an intangible asset,
IAS 38 requires the expenditure on this item to be recognised as an expense when it is
incurred. An enterprise is not permitted to include this expenditure in the cost of an
intangible asset at a later date;
it follows from the recognition
criteria that all expenditure on research should be recognised as an expense. The same
treatment applies to start-up costs, training costs and advertising costs. IAS 38 also
specifically prohibits the recognition as assets of internally generated goodwill, brands,
mastheads, publishing titles, customer lists and items similar in substance. However, some
development expenditure may result in the recognition of an intangible asset (for example,
some internally developed computer software);
in the case of a business
combination that is an acquisition, IAS 38 builds on IAS
22: Business Combinations, to emphasise that if an intangible item does not meet both
the definition and the criteria for the recognition for an intangible asset, the
expenditure for this item (included in the cost of acquisition) should form part of the
amount attributed to goodwill at the date of acquisition. This means that, among other
things, unlike current practices in certain countries, purchased R&D-in-process should
not be recognised as an expense immediately at the date of acquisition but it should be
recognised as part of the goodwill recognised at the date of acquisition and amortised
under IAS 22, unless it meets the criteria for separate recognition as an intangible
asset;
after initial recognition in the
financial statements, an intangible asset should be measured under one of the following
two treatments:
(a) benchmark
treatment: historical cost less any amortisation and impairment losses; or
(b) allowed alternative
treatment: revalued amount (based on fair value) less any subsequent amortisation and
impairment losses. The main difference from the treatment for revaluations of property,
plant and equipment under IAS 16 is that revaluations for intangible assets are permitted
only if fair value can be determined by reference to an active market. Active markets are
expected to be rare for intangible assets;
intangible assets should be
amortised over the best estimate of their useful life. IAS 38 does not permit an
enterprise to assign an infinite useful life to an intangible asset. It includes a
rebuttable presumption that the useful life of an intangible asset will not exceed 20
years from the date when the asset is available for use. IAS 38 acknowledges that, in rare
cases, there may be persuasive evidence that the useful life of an intangible asset will
exceed 20 years. In these cases, an enterprise should amortise the intangible asset over
the best estimate of its useful life and:
(a) test the intangible asset for impairment at least annually in
accordance with IAS
36: Impairment of Assets; and
(b) disclose the reasons why the
presumption that the useful life of an intangible asset will not exceed 20 years is
rebutted and also the factor(s) that played a significant role in determining the useful
life of the asset;
required disclosures on intangible
assets will enable users to understand, among other things, the types of intangible assets
that are recognised in the financial statements and the movements in their carrying amount
(book value) during the year. IAS 38 also requires disclosure of the amount of research
and development expenditure recognised as an expense during the year; and
IAS 38 is operative for annual
accounting periods beginning on or after 1 July 1999. IAS 38 includes transitional
provisions that clarify when the Standard should be applied retrospectively and when it
should be applied prospectively.
To avoid creating opportunities
for accounting arbitrage in an acquisition by recognising an intangible asset that is
similar in nature to goodwill (such as brands and mastheads) as goodwill rather than an
intangible asset (or vice versa), the amortisation requirements for goodwill in IAS
22: Business Combinations are consistent with those of IAS 38.
FASB REPORT - BUSINESS AND FINANCIAL REPORTING,
CHALLENGES FROM THE NEW ECONOMY NO. 219-A April 2001 Author: Wayne S. Upton, Jr. Source:
Financial Accounting Standards Board --- http://accounting.rutgers.edu/raw/fasb/new_economy.html
Upton's book challenges Lev's contention that the existing standards are enormously
inadequate for the "New Economy."
The Garten SEC Report: A press release and an
executive summary are available at http://www.mba.yale.edu
The Garten SEC Report supports Lev's contention that the existing standards are enormously
inadequate for the "New Economy."
(You can request a copy of the full report using an email address provided at the above
URL)
American Accounting Association (AAA) members may view a replay of a day-long webcast
on accounting for business combinations and intangible valuations (SFAS 141 and 142) at
half the price that will be charged to other non-FEI members ($149 versus $299). The FEI
hopes to use funds generated from AAA members to help the FEI assume sponsorship of a
Corporate Accounting Policy Seminar.
The webcast encompassed five presentations by experts with question-and-answer periods:
(1) Overview of SFAS 141/142, by G. Michael Crooch, FASB Board Member; (2) Recognition and
Measurement of Intangibles, by Tony Aarron of E&Y Valuation Services and Steve Gerard
of Standard and Poors's, (3) Impact on Doing Deals: Structure, Pricing and Process, by
Raymond Beier of PWC and Elmer Huh, Morgan Stanley Dean Witter, (4) Testing for Goodwill
Impairment, by Mitch Danaher of GE, and (5) Transition Issues and Financial Statement
Disclosures, by Julie A. Erhardt of Arthur Andersen's Professional Standards Group.
Amortization of intangible assets. Amortization expense increased
to $153.7 million for the nine months ended June 30, 2001 from $106.4 million for the nine
months ended June 30, 2000. This increase was primarily due to a full period
of amortization of the goodwill and intangibles related to the
acquisitions of Sandpiper, Live On Line and SoftAware, which were completed in December
1999, January 2000 and September 2000, respectively. This increase was offset by a
decrease in the current quarter's amortization as a direct result of a $1.0 billion
impairment charge on goodwill and intangible assets in the quarter ended March 31, 2001.
Amortization of intangible assets is expected to decrease in future periods due to this
impairment charge.
Impairment of Goodwill and Intangible Assets. Impairment of
goodwill and intangible assets was recorded in the amount of $1,039.2 million. The
impairment charge was based on management performing an impairment assessment of the
goodwill and identifiable intangible assets recorded upon the acquisitions of Sandpiper,
Live On Line and SoftAware, which were completed during the year ended September 30, 2000.
The assessment was performed primarily due to the significant decline in stock price since
the date the shares issued in each acquisition were valued. As a result of this review,
management recorded the impairment charge to reduce goodwill and acquisition-related
intangible assets. The charge was determined as the excess of the carrying value of the
assets over the related estimated discounted cash flows.
To follow up on this list's earlier brief discussion on FASB 141
& 142, below is a bookmark to a site "CFO.COM" which has an excellent
compendium of articles and links, all of which help you evaluate these new FASB's.
"The Goodwill Games How to Tackle FASB's New Merger Rules," by Craig
Schneider, CFO.com --- http://www.cfo.com/fasbguide
The thrill of victory and the agony of
defeat. Chances are senior financial executives will experience a similar range of
emotions while wrestling with the Financial Accounting Standards Board's new rules for
business combinations, goodwill, and intangibles. Use CFO.com's special report for tips on
tackling the impairment test, avoiding Securities & Exchange Commission inquiries,
finding valuation experts, and much more. While accounting is not yet an Olympic sport,
with the right training, you'll take home the gold. We welcome your questions and
comments. E-mail craigschneider@cfo.com.
Intangibles are inert - by
themselves, they neither create value nor generate growth. In fact, without efficient
support and enhancement systems, the value of intangibles dissipates much quicker than
that of physical assets. Some examples of inertness: uHighly qualified scientists at
Merck, Pfizer, or Ely Lilly (human capital intangibles) are unlikely to generate
consistently winning products without innovative processes for drug research, such as the
"scientific method," based on the biochemical roots of the target diseases,
according to Rebecca Henderson, a specialist on scientific drug research, in Industrial
and Corporate Change. Even exceptional scientists using the traditional "random
search" methods for drug development will hit on winners only randomly, writes
Henderson.
uA large patent portfolio at
DuPont or Dow Chemical (intellectual property) is by itself of little value without a
comprehensive decision support system that periodically inventories all patents, slates
them by intended use (internal or collaborative development, licensing out or abandonment)
and systematically searches and analyzes the patent universe to determine whether the
company's technology is state-of-the-art and competitive.
uA rich customer database
(customer intangibles) at Amazon.com or Circuit City will not generate value without
efficient, user-friendly distribution channels and highly trained and motivated sales
forces.
Worse than just inert,
intangibles are very susceptible to value dissipation (quick amortization) - much more so
than other assets. Patents that are not constantly defended against infringement will
quickly lose value due to "invention around" them. Highly trained employees will
defect to competitors without adequate compensation systems and attractive workplace
conditions. Valuable brands may quickly deteriorate to mere "names" when the
firm - such as a Xerox, Yahoo! or Polaroid - loses its competitive advantage. The absence
of active markets for most intangibles (with certain patents and trademark exceptions)
strips them of value on a stand-alone basis.
Witness the billions of dollars
of intangibles (R&D, customer capital, trained employees) lost at all the defunct
dot-coms, or at Enron, or at AOL Time Warner Co., which in January 2002 announced a
whopping write-off of $40-60 billion - mostly from intangibles.
Intangibles are not only inert,
they are also, by and large, commodities in the current economy, meaning that most
business enterprises have equal access to them. Baxter and Johnson & Johnson, along
with the major biotech companies, have similar access to the best and brightest of
pharmaceutical researchers (human capital); every retailer can acquire the
state-of-the-art supply chains and distribution channel technologies capable of creating
supplier and customer-related intangibles (such as mining customer information); most
companies can license-in patents or acquire R&D capabilities via corporate
acquisitions; and brands are frequently traded. The sad reality about commodities is that
they fail to create considerable value. Since competitors have equal access to such
assets, at best, they return the cost of capital (zero value added).
The inertness and commoditization
of most intangibles have important implications for the intangibles movement. They imply
that corporate value creation depends critically on the organizational infrastructure of
the enterprise - on the business processes and systems that transform "lifeless
things," tangible and intangible, to bundles of assets generating cash flows and
conferring competitive positions. Such organizational infrastructure, when operating
effectively, is the major intangible of the firm. It is, by definition, noncommoditized,
since it has to fit the specific mission, culture, and environment of the enterprise.
Thus, by its idiosyncratic nature, organizational infrastructure is the major intangible
of the enterprise.
Focusing the Intangibles
Efforts
Following Phase I of the
intangibles work, which was primarily directed at documentation and awareness-creation,
it's now time to focus on organizational infrastructure, the intangible that counts most
and about which we know least. It's the engine for creating value from other assets. Like
breaking the genetic code, an understanding of the "enterprise code" - the
organizational blueprints, processes and recipes - will enable us to address fundamental
questions of concern to managers and investors, such as those raised above in relation to
H-P/Compaq and Enron.
Organizational Infrastructure By
Example: A company's organizational infrastructure is an amalgam of systems, processes and
business practices (its operating procedures, recipes) aimed at streamlining operations
toward achieving the company's objectives. Following is a concrete example of a business
process, part of the organizational infrastructure, which was substantially modified and
thereby created considerable value. This was adopted from "Turnaround," Business
2.0, January 2002.
Nissan Motor Co. Ltd., Japan's
third-largest automaker and a perennial loser and debt-ridden producer of lackluster cars,
received in March 1999 a new major shareholder, Renault, and a new CEO, Carlos Ghosn, both
imported from France. Ghosn moved quickly to transform Nissan into a viable competitor,
and indeed, in the fiscal year ending March 2001, the company reported a profit of $2.7
billion, the largest in its 68-year history.
How was this miracle performed?
Primarily by cost-cutting, achieved by a drastic change in the procurement process. Here
briefly, is the old process: Nissan's buyers were locked into ordering from keiretsu
partners, suppliers in which Nissan owned stock. The guaranteed stream of Nissan orders
insulated those suppliers from competition. Suppliers can't specialize and can't sell
excess capacity elsewhere. Each supplier was assigned a shukotan, Nissan-speak for a
relationship manager. It was the shukotan who would negotiate price discounts - but favors
got in the way.
Here, in brief, is the new
procurement process, as drastically changed by Ghosn: Ghosn gave Itaru Koeda, the
purchasing chief, authority to place orders without regard to keiretsu relationships -
and, more important, insisted that he use it. Then, a Renault executive and Koeda dumped
the shukotan system, instead assigning buyers responsibility by model and part. They
formed a sourcing committee to review vendor price quotes on a global basis. "This is
the best change in our process," Koeda says. "Suppliers are specializing in what
they do best, making them more efficient."
The results? An 18 percent drop
in purchasing costs, which was the major contributor to Nissan's transformation from a
loss to a profit. Ghosn's next major set of tasks: To change the car design process in
order to enhance the top line, sales; to rid Nissan of the myriad design committees and
hierarchies that stifle and slow innovation; and to institute an efficient, effective
innovative process.
Financial
reporting is broken and has to be fixed - and fast! If it isn't, we will continue to see
more cases such as Xerox, Lucent, Cisco Systems, Yahoo! and Enron. Xerox's market value is
down 90 percent, or $40 billion, in the past two years. In the same period other market
losses include; Lucent, down more than $200 billion; Cisco Systems, off more than $400
billion; Yahoo!, more than $100 billion; and Enron, down more than $60 billion in the
largest bankruptcy of all time.
Some argue that
these are extreme examples of "irrational exubuerance." Some in the accounting
profession say that such cases represent a small percentage of the aggregate number of
statements audited - some 15,000 public company registrants. Perhaps. But a financial
reporting framework that permits these companies to suggest that they are doing well, and,
by implication, to justify market valuations which, subsequently, cost investors trillions
in the aggregate, is unconscionable.
Financial
reporting, especially in the U. S., with its very public capital markets, has reached the
point where "accrual-based" earnings are almost meaningless. Reported earnings
are driven as much by "earnings expectations" as they are by real business
performance. Balance sheets fail to reflect the major drivers of future value creation -
the research and product, process and software development that fuel high technology
companies, and the brand value of leading consumer product companies. And, cash flow
statements are such a hodge-podge of operating, investing and financing activities that
they obfuscate, rather than illuminate, business cash flow performance.
The FASB, in its
Concept No. 1, states, "financial reporting should provide information that is useful
to present and potential investors and creditors and other users in making rational
investment, credit and similar decisions." This is simply not so.
The primary
financial statements - income statement, balance sheet and cash flow statement - which
derive their foundation from an industrial age model, need major redesign if they are to
serve as the starting point for meaningful financial analysis, interpretation and
decision-making in today's knowledge-based and value-driven economy. Without significant
redesign, ad hoc definitions such as pro forma earnings, returns and cash flows will
continue to proliferate. So will significant reporting "surprises!"
Starting
Point: Market Value Creation
The objective of a business is to increase real shareholder value - what Warren E. Buffett
would call the "intrinsic value" of the firm. It's a very basic idea: Investors
get "returns" from dividends and realized market appreciation. Both investments
and returns are measured in cash terms, so individuals and investors invest cash in
securities with the objective of realizing returns that meet or exceed their criteria. If
their judgments are too high, and that later becomes clear, the market value of the firm
will drop. If judgments are too low and cash flows turn out to be stronger, market values
increase.
From a managerial
viewpoint, the objective of increasing shareholder (market) value really means increasing
the net present value (NPV) of the future stream of cash flows. Note, "cash
flows," not "profits." Cash is real; profits are anything, within reason,
that management wants them to be. If revenues are recognized early - or overstated - and
expenses are deferred or, in some cases, accelerated to "clear the decks" for
future periods, resulting earnings may show a nice trend, but do not really reflect
economic performance.
There are only
three ways management may increase the real market, or "intrinsic," value of a
firm. First, increase the amount of cash flows expected at any point in time. Second,
accelerate cash flows; given the time value of money, cash received earlier has a higher
present value. Third, if a firm is able to lower the discount rate that it applies to its
cash flows - which it frequently can - it can raise its NPV.
Given that cash
flows drive market value, financial statements should put much more emphasis on cash
flows. The statement of cash flows now prescribed by the accounting community and
presented by management is not easily related to value creation. Derived from the income
statement and balance sheet, it's effectively a reconciliation statement for the change in
the balance of the cash account. A major overhaul of the cash flow statement would
directly relate to market valuations.
Cash
Earnings and Free Cash Flows
Managers and investors should focus on "cash earnings" and the reinvestments
that are made into the business in the form of "working capital" and "fixed
and other (including intangible) investments." The net amount of these cash flows
represent the business's "free cash flows."
With negative
cash flows - frequently the case for young startups and high-growth companies - a business
must raise more capital in the form of debt or equity. The sooner it gets its free cash
flows positive, the sooner it'll begin to create value for shareholders. Positive free
cash flows provide resources to pay interest and pay down debt, to return cash to
shareholders (through stock repurchases or dividends) or to invest in new business areas.
The traditional
cash flow statement purportedly distinguishes between operating, investing and financing
cash flows, and has as its "bottom line" the change in cash and cash
equivalents. In fact, the operating cash flows include the results of selling activities,
investing in working capital and interest expense, a financing activity. Investing cash
flows include capital expenditures, acquisitions, disposals of assets and the purchase and
sale of financial assets. Financing cash flows consist of what's left over.
Indeed, the
bottom-line change in cash is not a useful number, other than to demonstrate that it may
be reconciled with the change in the cash account. If one wants a positive change in cash,
simply borrow more. These free cash flows ultimately drive market value, and should be the
focus of managers and investors alike.
Replacing
Income With Cash Earnings
The traditional "profit and loss," or "income," statement needs
modification in three ways, two of which are touched on above, along with a name-change,
to "Operating Statement." That would suggest a representation of the business'
current operations, without the emphasis on accrual-based profits.
Interest expense
(income) should be eliminated from the statement, as it represents a financing cost rather
than an operating cost. A number of companies do this internally to determine "net
operating profit after taxes" (NOPAT). Also, NOPAT needs to be adjusted for the
various non-cash items, such as depreciation, amortization, gains and losses on the sale
of assets, tax-timing differences and restructuring charges - which affect income but not
cash flows. The resultant "cash earnings" better represents the current economic
performance of a business than accrual income and, very importantly, is much less
susceptible to manipulation.
A third
adjustment is the order in which the classes of expenses are displayed. Traditional income
statements report cost of goods sold or product costs first, frequently focus on product
gross margins, and then deduct, as a group, other expenses such as technical, selling and
administrative expenses. This order made sense in the industrial age when product costs
dominated. It does not for many of today's high-tech or consumer product companies. It
would be more useful for companies to report expenses in an order that reflects the flow
of the business activities. One logical order that builds on the concept of a business'
value chain, is to categorize costs into development costs, product (service) conversion
costs, sales and customer support costs and administrative costs.
Reinvesting
in the Business
For most companies - especially those with significant investments that are being
depreciated or amortized - cash earnings will be significantly higher than NOPAT.
Unfortunately, cash earnings are not free cash flows because most businesses have to
reinvest in working capital, property, plant and equipment and intangible assets, just to
sustain - let alone increase - their productive capabilities.
As a business
grows in sales volume, assuming that it offers credit to its customers who pay with the
same frequency, accounts receivable will increase proportionately. As sales volumes
increase, so, too, will product costs, inventories and accounts payable balances. Working
capital - principally receivables, inventories, and payables - will tend to increase
proportionately with sales growth, and will require cash to finance it. The degree to
which it grows is a function of receivables terms and collection practices, inventory
management and payables practices.
Companies such as
Dell Computer Corp. collect payments up front, turn inventories in a few days and pay
their vendors when due. The net effect is that as Dell grows it actually throws off cash,
rather than requiring it to support increases in working capital. Most companies are not
as efficient; the amount of cash needed to support increases in working capital can be as
much as 20-25 percent of any sales increase. The degree to which working capital increases
as sales increase is an important performance metric. Lower is better, which absolutely
flies in the face of such traditional measures of liquidity as "working capital"
and "quick" ratios, for which higher has been considered better.
Balance sheets
ought to reflect investments that represent future value. What drives value for many
businesses in today's knowledge-based economy - pharmaceuticals, high technology, software
and brand-driven consumer product companies - is the investments in R&D, product,
process and software development, brand equity and the continued training and development
of the work force. Yet, based on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)
accounting, these "investments" in the future are not reflected on balance
sheets, but, rather, expensed in the period in which they are incurred.
A frequent
argument for "expensing" is the unclear nature of the investments' future value.
Apparently, investors believe otherwise, evidenced by the ratio of market values to book
values having exploded in the past 25 years. In 1978, the average book-to-market ratio was
around 80 percent; today it is around 25 percent. In the early 1970s, when accounting
policies were established for R&D, product lines were narrower and life cycles longer,
resulting in R&D being a much less significant element of cost. Expensing was less
relevant. Now, with intangible assets having become so central and significant, expensing
- rather than capitalizing and amortizing them over time - results in an absolute
breakdown of the principle of "matching," which is at the heart of accrual
accounting. The world of business has changed; accounting practices must also change.
Financial
Statement Overhaul
Financial statements need marked overhaul to be useful for analysis and decision-making in
today's knowledge-driven and shareholder value-creation environment. The proposed changes
fall into three categories:
First - Move to a
much more explicit shareholder (market) value creation and cash orientation, and away from
accrual accounting profits and return on investment calculations predicated on today's
accounting policies. Start with a shareholder perspective for cash flows, then reconstruct
the statement of cash flows to clearly provide the free cash flows that the business'
operations are generating. Cash earnings and reinvestments in the business comprise free
cash flows.
Second - Expand
the definition of investments to include intangibles, which should be capitalized as
assets and amortized according to some thoughtful rules. This will better reflect
investments that have potential future value.
Third - Change
the title to "operating statement" and other "housekeeping" of
financial statements, to include categorizing costs in a more logical "value
chain" sequence and aggregating all financial transactions, such as interest and the
purchase and sale of securities, as financing activities.
Value creation is
ultimately measured in the marketplace, so it stands to reason that if a firm's market
value increases consistently, over time, and can be supported by improvements in its cash
generation performance, real value is being created. For this to happen, the place to
start is by fixing the financial statements.
These Web pages are the on-line version of The Shareholder
Action Handbook, first published in paperback 1993 by New Consumer. The Handbook aims to
give practical advice to individuals about how they may use shares to make companies more
accountable. The need for such a guide is now stronger than ever. Public concern in
Britain about the accountability of company directors has risen to the extent that the
subject makes regular appearances in debates in the House of Commons. While there are many
obstacles to taking shareholder action, shareholders can do much to alter the course of
corporate behaviour. Indeed, since the original version of the guide appeared there have
been a number of successful shareholder action campaigns. However, there is considerable
need both for new legislation to make it easier for shareholders to hold companies to
account, and for the large institutional shareholders who own much of global industry to
take their responsibilities as shareholders rather more seriously.
If anyone has detailed
information including an illustration of a fade analysis for contractors,
please email me or post it. I've posted one on my website:
http://www.cpa-connecticut.com/fade-analysis.html.
However, I suspect there may be other formats
available allowing for better analysis. Please email all suggestions,
comments, and formats to
accountantscpahartford@gmail.com.
“Critical thinking is not a set of
skills that can be deployed at any time, in any context. It is a type of
thought that even 3-year-olds can engage in—and even trained scientists
can fail in.”
“Knowing that one should think
critically is not the same as being able to do so. That requires domain
knowledge and practice.”
So, Why Is Thinking Critically So
Hard?
Educators have long noted that school attendance and even academic
success are no guarantee that a student will graduate an effective
thinker in all situations. There is an odd tendency for rigorous
thinking to cling to particular examples or types of problems. Thus, a
student may have learned to estimate the answer to a math problem before
beginning calculations as a way of checking the accuracy of his answer,
but in the chemistry lab, the same student calculates the components of
a compound without noticing that his estimates sum to more than 100
percent. And a student who has learned to thoughtfully discuss the
causes of the American Revolution from both the British and American
perspectives doesn’t even think to question how the Germans viewed World
War II. Why are students able to think critically in one situation, but
not in another? The brief answer is: Thought processes are intertwined
with what is being thought about. Let’s explore this in depth by looking
at a particular kind of critical thinking that has been studied
extensively: problem solving.
Imagine a seventh-grade math class immersed in
word problems. How is it that students will be able to answer one
problem, but not the next, even though mathematically both word problems
are the same, that is, they rely on the same mathematical knowledge?
Typically, the students are focusing on the scenario that the word
problem describes (its surface structure) instead of on the mathematics
required to solve it (its deep structure). So even though students have
been taught how to solve a particular type of word problem, when the
teacher or textbook changes the scenario, students still struggle to
apply the solution because they don’t recognize that the problems are
mathematically the same.
Thinking Tends to Focus on a Problem’s
“Surface Structure”
To understand why the surface structure of a problem is so distracting
and, as a result, why it’s so hard to apply familiar solutions to
problems that appear new, let’s first consider how you understand what’s
being asked when you are given a problem. Anything you hear or read is
automatically interpreted in light of what you already know about
similar subjects. For example, suppose you read these two sentences:
“After years of pressure from the film and television industry, the
President has filed a formal complaint with China over what U.S. firms
say is copyright infringement. These firms assert that the Chinese
government sets stringent trade restrictions for U.S. entertainment
products, even as it turns a blind eye to Chinese companies that copy
American movies and television shows and sell them on the black market.”
With Deep Knowledge, Thinking Can
Penetrate Beyond Surface Structure
If knowledge of how to solve a problem never transferred to problems
with new surface structures, schooling would be inefficient or even
futile—but of course, such transfer does occur. When and why is
complex,5 but two factors are especially relevant for educators:
familiarity with a problem’s deep structure and the knowledge that one
should look for a deep structure. I’ll address each in turn. When one is
very familiar with a problem’s deep-structure, knowledge about how to
solve it transfers well. That familiarity can come from long-term,
repeated experience with one problem, or with various manifestations of
one type of problem (i.e., many problems that have different surface
structures, but the same deep structure). After repeated exposure to
either or both, the subject simply perceives the deep structure as part
of the problem description.
To
be skilled in critical thinking is to be able to take one’s thinking
apart systematically, to analyze each part, assess it for quality
and then improve it. The first step in this process is understanding
the parts of thinking, or elements of reasoning.
These elements are:
purpose, question, information, inference, assumption, point of
view, concepts, and implications. They are present in the mind
whenever we reason. To take command of our thinking, we need to
formulate both our purpose and the question at issue clearly. We
need to use information in our thinking that is both relevant to the
question we are dealing with, and accurate. We need to make logical
inferences based on sound assumptions. We need to understand our own
point of view and fully consider other relevant viewpoints. We need
to use concepts justifiably and follow out the implications of
decisions we are considering. (For an elaboration of the Elements of
Reasoning, see a Miniature Guide to the Foundations of Analytic
Thinking.)
In this article we
focus on two of the elements of reasoning: inferences and
assumptions. Learning to distinguish inferences from assumptions is
an important intellectual skill. Many confuse the two elements. Let
us begin with a review of the basic meanings:
Inference: An inference is a step of the mind, an
intellectual act by which one concludes that something is true
in light of something else’s being true, or seeming to be true.
If you come at me with a knife in your hand, I probably would
infer that you mean to do me harm. Inferences can be accurate or
inaccurate, logical or illogical, justified or unjustified.
Assumption: An assumption is something we take for
granted or presuppose. Usually it is something we previously
learned and do not question. It is part of our system of
beliefs. We assume our beliefs to be true and use them to
interpret the world about us. If we believe that it is dangerous
to walk late at night in big cities and we are staying in
Chicago, we will infer that it is dangerous to go for a walk
late at night. We take for granted our belief that it is
dangerous to walk late at night in big cities. If our belief is
a sound one, our assumption is sound. If our belief is not
sound, our assumption is not sound. Beliefs, and hence
assumptions, can be unjustified or justified, depending upon
whether we do or do not have good reasons for them. Consider
this example: “I heard a scratch at the door. I got up to let
the cat in.” My inference was based on the assumption (my prior
belief) that only the cat makes that noise, and that he makes it
only when he wants to be let in.
We humans naturally
and regularly use our beliefs as assumptions and make inferences
based on those assumptions. We must do so to make sense of where we
are, what we are about, and what is happening. Assumptions and
inferences permeate our lives precisely because we cannot act
without them. We make judgments, form interpretations, and come to
conclusions based on the beliefs we have formed.
If you put humans in
any situation, they start to give it some meaning or other. People
automatically make inferences to gain a basis for understanding and
action. So quickly and automatically do we make inferences that we
do not, without training, notice them as inferences. We see dark
clouds and infer rain. We hear the door slam and infer that someone
has arrived. We see a frowning face and infer that the person is
upset. If our friend is late, we infer that she is being
inconsiderate. We meet a tall guy and infer that he is good at
basketball, an Asian and infer that she will be good at math. We
read a book, and interpret what the various sentences and
paragraphs — indeed what the whole book — is saying. We listen to
what people say and make a series of inferences as to what they
mean.
As we write, we make
inferences as to what readers will make of what we are writing. We
make inferences as to the clarity of what we are saying, what
requires further explanation, what has to be exemplified or
illustrated, and what does not. Many of our inferences are justified
and reasonable, but some are not.
As always, an
important part of critical thinking is the art of bringing what is
subconscious in our thought to the level of conscious realization.
This includes the recognition that our experiences are shaped by the
inferences we make during those experiences. It enables us to
separate our experiences into two categories: the raw data of our
experience in contrast with our interpretations of those data, or
the inferences we are making about them. Eventually we need to
realize that the inferences we make are heavily influenced by our
point of view and the assumptions we have made about people and
situations. This puts us in the position of being able to broaden
the scope of our outlook, to see situations from more than one point
of view, and hence to become more open-minded.
Often different
people make different inferences because they bring to situations
different viewpoints. They see the data differently. To put it
another way, they make different assumptions about what they see.
For example, if two people see a man lying in a gutter, one might
infer, “There’s a drunken bum.” The other might infer, “There’s a
man in need of help.” These inferences are based on different
assumptions about the conditions under which people end up in
gutters. Moreover, these assumptions are connected to each person’s
viewpoint about people. The first person assumes, “Only drunks are
to be found in gutters.” The second person assumes, “People lying in
the gutter are in need of help.”
The first
person may have developed the point of view that people are
fundamentally responsible for what happens to them and ought to be
able to care for themselves. The second may have developed the point
of view that the problems people have are often caused by forces and
events beyond their control. The reasoning of these two people, in
terms of their inferences and assumptions, could be characterized in
the following way:
Person One
Person Two
Situation: A man is lying in the gutter.
Situation: A man
is lying in the gutter.
Inference: That
man’s a bum.
Inference: That
man is in need of help.
Assumption: Only
bums lie in gutters.
Assumption:
Anyone lying in the gutter is in need of help.
Critical thinkers notice the inferences they are making, the
assumptions upon which they are basing those inferences, and the
point of view about the world they are developing. To develop these
skills, students need practice in noticing their inferences and then
figuring the assumptions that lead to them.
As students become
aware of the inferences they make and the assumptions that underlie
those inferences, they begin to gain command over their thinking.
Because all human thinking is inferential in nature, command of
thinking depends on command of the inferences embedded in it and
thus of the assumptions that underlie it. Consider the way in which
we plan and think our way through everyday events. We think of
ourselves as preparing for breakfast, eating our breakfast, getting
ready for class, arriving on time, leading class discussions,
grading student papers, making plans for lunch, paying bills,
engaging in an intellectual discussion, and so on. We can do none of
these things without interpreting our actions, giving them meanings,
making inferences about what is happening.
This is to say that
we must choose among a variety of possible meanings. For example, am
I “relaxing” or “wasting time?” Am I being “determined” or
“stubborn?” Am I “joining” a conversation or “butting in?” Is
someone “laughing with me” or “laughing at me?” Am I “helping a
friend” or “being taken advantage of?” Every time we interpret our
actions, every time we give them a meaning, we are making one or
more inferences on the basis of one or more assumptions.
As humans, we
continually make assumptions about ourselves, our jobs, our mates,
our students, our children, the world in general. We take some
things for granted simply because we can’t question everything.
Sometimes we take the wrong things for granted. For example, I run
off to the store (assuming that I have enough money with me) and
arrive to find that I have left my money at home. I assume that I
have enough gas in the car only to find that I have run out of gas.
I assume that an item marked down in price is a good buy only to
find that it was marked up before it was marked down. I assume that
it will not, or that it will, rain. I assume that my car will start
when I turn the key and press the gas pedal. I assume that I mean
well in my dealings with others.
Humans make hundreds
of assumptions without knowing it---without thinking about it. Many
assumptions are sound and justifiable. Many, however, are not. The
question then becomes: “How can students begin to recognize the
inferences they are making, the assumptions on which they are basing
those inferences, and the point of view, the perspective on the
world that they are forming?”
There are many ways
to foster student awareness of inferences and assumptions. For one
thing, all disciplined subject-matter thinking requires that
students learn to make accurate assumptions about the content they
are studying and become practiced in making justifiable inferences
within that content. As examples: In doing math, students make
mathematical inferences based on their mathematical assumptions. In
doing science, they make scientific inferences based on their
scientific assumptions. In constructing historical accounts, they
make historical inferences based on their historical assumptions. In
each case, the assumptions students make depend on their
understanding of fundamental concepts and principles.
As a matter of daily
practice, then, we can help students begin to notice the inferences
they are making within the content we teach. We can help them
identify inferences made by authors of a textbook, or of an article
we give them. Once they have identified these inferences, we can ask
them to figure out the assumptions that led to those inferences.
When we give them routine practice in identifying inferences and
assumptions, they begin to see that inferences will be illogical
when the assumptions that lead to them are not justifiable. They
begin to see that whenever they make an inference, there are other
(perhaps more logical) inferences they could have made. They begin
to see high quality inferences as coming from good reasoning.
We can also help
students think about the inferences they make in daily situations,
and the assumptions that lead to those inferences. As they become
skilled in identifying their inferences and assumptions, they are in
a better position to question the extent to which any of their
assumptions is justified. They can begin to ask questions, for
example, like: Am I justified in assuming that everyone eats lunch
at 12:00 noon? Am I justified in assuming that it usually rains when
there are black clouds in the sky? Am I justified in assuming that
bumps on the head are only caused by blows?
The point is that we
all make many assumptions as we go about our daily life and we ought
to be able to recognize and question them. As students develop these
critical intuitions, they increasingly notice their inferences and
those of others. They increasingly notice what they and others are
taking for granted. They increasingly notice how their point of view
shapes their experiences.
SUMMARY: The article is written by two professors, one at the
University of Illinoi, Urbana-Champaign and one at the University of the
Pacific. The related article is the original report on changes in MBA
programs to which these two professors have responded in this letter to the
WSJ editors. The professors focus on market-related benefits of broad
thinking capabilities. The related article describes employers' concerns
about current teaching methods and focus in business programs.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: While the articles focus on MBA programs,
questions ask students to consider whether these issues apply in accounting
programs. The article may be used in any accounting class.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Advanced) What do you understand is the meaning of critical
thinking?
2. (Introductory) What concerns are raised in the main and related
articles about development of students' critical thinking skills in business
programs?
3. (Advanced) While the two articles are focused on MBA programs,
do you feel that your accounting curriculum helps to develop your critical
thinking skills? Support your answer.
4. (Introductory) Refer to the related article. What do employers
cite as a problem with the thinking skills of business school graduates?
5. (Advanced) Could this issue being raised by employers apply to
accounting graduates as well as MBAs? Explain.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Most business-school students are gunning for jobs
in banking, consulting or technology. So what are they doing reading Plato?
The philosophy department is invading the M.B.A.
program—at least at a handful of schools where the legacy of the global
financial crisis has sparked efforts to train business students to think
beyond the bottom line. Courses like "Why Capitalism?" and "Thinking about
Thinking," and readings by Marx and Kant, give students a break from Excel
spreadsheets and push them to ponder business in a broader context, schools
say.
The courses also address a common complaint of
employers, who say recent graduates are trained to solve single problems but
often miss the big picture.
"Nobel Thinking," a new elective at London Business
School, explores the origins and influence of economic theories on topics
like market efficiency and decision-making by some Nobel Prize winners. The
10-week course—taught by faculty from the school's economics, finance and
organizational behavior departments—might not make students the next James
Watson or Francis Crick, but it aims to give them a sense of how
revolutionary ideas arise.
"It's important to know why we're doing what we're
doing," says Ingrid Marchal-Gérez, a second-year M.B.A. who enrolled in
Nobel Thinking to balance her finance and marketing classes. "You can start
to understand what idea can have an impact, and how to communicate an idea."
Students write narrative essays to explain how
ideas—such as adverse selection, or what happens when buyers and sellers
have access to different information—gain currency. Joao Montez, the
economics professor leading Nobel Thinking, says he wants students to
reflect, if only for a short while, on world-changing thought.
Career advancement and salary outrank ideas about
world peace and humanity's future for many M.B.A.s, but Dr. Montez says LBS
students have requested more opportunities to step back and consider
big-picture ideas.
"You can leave the classroom with these ideas in
the back of your mind, and then maybe one day it will be useful," he says.
That's true to a point: Ms. Marchal-Gérez, 38 years
old, says she is somewhat concerned she'll "have a good time, but then
what?"
Abstract ideas remain a hard sell for many M.B.A.s.
Patricia Márquez, an associate professor of
management at the University of San Diego's School of Business
Administration and an anthropologist by training, has struggled for nearly
20 years to teach M.B.A.s to dream up business solutions for poverty, her
area of scholarly focus. Students, she found, needed a great deal of
coaching to apply theories from anthropology and ethnography to the business
world.
She eventually replaced theory-based readings with
traditional case studies, though she still tries to conduct discussions on
abstract topics, such as how cultural stereotypes stymie innovation.
"I spent six years thinking about the definition of
culture. At a business school, culture can be measured through a survey,"
she says. "It's so solution-oriented. We don't ask, and we don't let them
have space to ask better questions."
To give students room for questions, Bentley
University in Waltham, Mass., introduced "Thinking about Thinking" as a unit
in its one-year M.B.A. program last year. Students spend two weeks studying
art, reading fiction and even meditating.
"There's too much emphasis in leadership work on
understanding followers," says Duncan Spelman, management department chair
and co-instructor. "We're really trying to emphasize understanding the self"
to make students effective leaders.
Mariia Potapkina, a 29-year-old Russia native who
plans to work in consulting or strategy after graduation, says the class was
"a nonstop, 14-day discovery of yourself." For example, she learned that she
became more organized in the face of ambiguity.
But ambiguity can be unsettling for some. Esteban
Hunt, an M.B.A. student who hails from Buenos Aires, recalled a class when
an artist presented a piece of artwork and asked students to describe what
they saw.
The variety of interpretations, and the realization
that there was no single right answer, left him frustrated, Mr. Hunt says,
and produced palpable anxiety among his classmates.
That's the point, says Dr. Spelman, adding that
uncertainty is a reality in life and business.
Expect more abstract ideas in business schools
soon.
To meet student demand, Copenhagen Business School
is expanding its 15-year-old master of science in business administration
and philosophy program this year, shifting to English-language instruction
from Danish and taking in more international students.
"The tension between the two words business [and]
philosophy appeals to quite a lot of young students," says Kurt Jacobsen,
program director and a professor of business history. He says students want
to better understand market and business dynamics after the extreme economic
upheaval of recent years.
To my
knowledge Rashad was the first Accounting Review editor to impose a
requirement that authors place an abstract in front of a paper that explains the
paper and its significance in non-technical terms --- perhaps to the teenage
child of an author. This has been somewhat successful subject to abstract length
restrictions. Probably the biggest drawback has been that abstracts often
suggest quite general findings that, when subjected to tests of model robustness
(often overlooked in the study itself) and limiting assumptions, the findings
are about as narrow as the sharp edge of aSamurai sword.
For
example, log-linear models generally seek a parsimonious model that, when put to
the test, is not especially robust relative to other parsimonious models
vis-a-vis the saturated model ---
http://faculty.chass.ncsu.edu/garson/PA765/logit.htm
Another example of a model that is not robust is Ijiri’s cash flow recovery rate
model that’s great in theory but lacks robustness and is too sensitive to even
the slightest errors in parameter estimation. In theory it sounds like a
tremendous tool for financial analysts. But in practice the model is just not
robust. Have you ever seen robustness mentioned in the abstract of a paper? See
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robust
One thing
abstracts often reveal is the trivial nature of the findings when they are
explained in plain English rather than statistical significance ---
Click Here
Another problem with very large samples arises when researchers declare
statistical significance to differences that are substantively trivial. When is
that last time you saw such a conclusion in an abstract or even the accounting
research paper itself?
I will
give you an example of the residual-errors test that is seldom mentioned in an
accountics paper abstract or even the paper itself. The example is classic even
though it’s not an accounting research finding. This illustration is from a book
entitled Credit Derivatives & Synthetic Structures by Janet M. Tavakoli
(Wiley, 2001, pp. 2-3),
Many years ago, my advanced statistics
professor, one of the world’s most talented statisticians and statistical
modelers, laughingly admitted to model hubris early in his career. He had been
asked to participate in a study to model tree trunk wood volumes. He diligently
measured the trees and recorded the wood yield data corresponding to the
measured trees. He tabulated and graphed the data. He used a computer program
and regression analysis. He applied modeling theory and came up with a formula
that was closely correlated with tree wood yields. It was magic. Statistics
worked.
The formula looked very much like that for the
volume of a cylinder --- with a small fudge factor thrown in. Fudge factors are
common. They make up for the fact that the world doesn’t always behave the way
we think it should behave. This was in the days before fractal theory. Euclidean
geometry always leaves us with the need for fudge factors; we’re used to it.
We know the world isn’t made up of squares,
triangles, circles, and cylinders. Nonetheless, the model was a nice, neat, and
intuitive little formula. It had a high correlation coefficient. When you
plugged in the trunk width and the height of the tree, the wood volume was
pretty much as predicted by the neat little formula. Statistics showed that the
formula described the data and predicted future events pretty well. That ---
among other things --- is what makes a statistician feel satisfied
The formula was perfect.
We, almost perfect.
Little things about the formula kept bothering
the budding professor. For instance, a plot of the residuals didn’t look random.
The residuals, the unexplained data, appeared to have a pattern. Statisticians
know that isn’t a good thing. That usually means the neat little formula missed
something. But it was so close. The minor error seemed negligible.
The budding professor was tempted to ignore
these pesky residuals and declare the job done. But he kept at it, laboring
away, modifying the formula, trying to make the residuals disappear. The
cylinderlike formula seemed so right. The professor had a problem. He
couldn’t see the formula for the trees.
Trees do indeed look very much like cylinders.
But they look even more like cones.One of the foresters
pointed this out one day to the budding professor. This is a moment
statisticians and mathematicians both love and hate.They hate it because they get the churning feeling in the pit of
their stomachs, which lets them know in their gut that they are wrong. They also
love it because now they’ve hit on a better answer.
In
retrospect between 2001 and the credit derivatives fiasco of 2008 (where Wall
Street had millions of such contracts) is that Janet M. Tavakoli’s credit
derivative models in 2001 looked almost perfect but ignored the Black Swan of
2008 that some might argue helped to bring down the world of finance to the
extent that so many credit derivatives were used, in a failing effort, to insure
against investment failures. This, of course, was a much larger specification
problem than the Euclidean difference between cylinders and cones. I wonder how
Ms. Tavokoli is sleeping these days. See
http://faculty.trinity.edu/rjensen/2008Bailout.htm#Bailout
From The Wall Street Journal's Accounting Educator Reviews on January 22, 2002
TITLE: Deciphering the Black Box
REPORTER: Steve Liesman
DATE: Jan 23, 2002 PAGE: C1 LINK: http://interactive.wsj.com/archive/retrieve.cgi?id=SB1011739030177303200.djm
TOPICS: Accounting, Accounting Theory, Creative Accounting, Disclosure, Disclosure
Requirements, Earnings Management, Financial Analysis, Financial Statement Analysis,
Fraudulent Financial Reporting, Regulation, Securities and Exchange Commission
SUMMARY: The article discusses several factors that have led to financial reporting
that is complex and difficult to understand. Related articles provide specific examples of
complicated and questionable financial reporting practices.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What economic factors have led to the complexity of financial reporting? Have
accounting standard setters kept pace with the changing economic conditions? Support your
answer.
2.) What determines a company's cost of capital? What is the relation between the
quantity and quality of financial information disclosed by a company and its cost of
capital? Why are companies reluctant to disclose financial information?
3.) Explain the difference between earnings management and fraudulent financial
reporting? Is either earnings management or fraudulent financial reporting illegal? Is
either unethical? Could earnings management ever improve the usefulness of financial
reporting? Explain.
4.) Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of allowing discretion in financial
reporting.
5.) Refer to related articles. Briefly discuss the major accounting or economic
situation that has caused complexity in the financial reporting of each of these
companies. What can be done to make the financial reporting more useful?
SMALL GROUP ASSIGNMENT: How much discretion should Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles allow in financial reporting? Support your position.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Educators' Review on June 11,
2004
TITLE: Outside Audit: Goodyear and the Butterfly Effect
REPORTER: Timothy Aeppel
DATE: Jun 04, 2004
PAGE: C3
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB108629544631828261,00.html
TOPICS: Accounting Changes and Error Corrections, Pension Accounting,
Restatement
SUMMARY: Goodyear Tire & Rubber has announced the amount of its
restatement from problems identified in 2003. The company as well has announced
further restatements due to changes in the discount rate it uses for pension
liability calculations.
QUESTIONS:
1.) For what reason is Goodyear Tire & Rubber restating earnings for the
last five years?
2.) What accounting standards require restatements of past financial results?
Under what circumstances are restatements required? What other types of
accounting changes are possible? How are these categories of accounting changes
presented in the financial statements?
3.) In general, what adjustment is Goodyear Tire & Rubber making to its
accounting for defined benefit pension plans?
4.) Discuss the details of the change in accounting for the defined benefit
pension plan. Specifically, define the discount rate in question and state how
it is used in pension accounting.
5.) Had the company not uncovered the issues identified under question #1, do
you think they would be making the changes identified in questions #3 and #4?
Why or why not?
6.) Do you think that changes in the discount rate used in pension accounting
are made by other companies? When do you think companies might change this rate?
In general, what type of accounting treatment would you recommend for such a
change? Support your answer.
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
"Outside Audit: Goodyear And the Butterfly Effect: A Valuation
Rate Is Shaved By Half a Point and Presto, $100.1 Million Goes Poof," by
Timothy Aeppel, The Wall Street Journal, June 4, 2004, Page C3 --- http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB108629544631828261,00.html
There's a costly oddity tucked into Goodyear
Tire & Rubber Co.'s recent earnings restatement.
As part of a larger revision reaching
back five years, the U.S.'s largest tire maker changed the interest-rate
assumptions associated with its domestic retirement plans. The upshot: By
slicing half a point off a rate used to value the company's obligations to its
pension fund and other post-retirement benefit plans, Goodyear also lopped off
a total of $100.1 million in earnings over that period.
This may be the first time a major
company has restated earnings for this reason, although it was just one of
several accounting issues the Akron, Ohio, tire maker addressed in its
restatement announced May 19. Goodyear has identified a series of accounting
irregularities over the past year and is the target of a continuing
investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission.
"I have a feeling that while they
were scrubbing, they decided to scrub everything," says Jack Ciesielski,
publisher of Analyst's Accounting Observer.
Keith Price, a Goodyear spokesman, says
the change doesn't mean Goodyear sought to inflate earnings in the past by
using an inappropriately high discount rate. Most of the reduction in earnings
was the result of Goodyear having to record additional tax expenses, he notes.
Mr. Price says Goodyear decided to change its methodology for calculating the
rate it uses going forward and, since a broader restatement was already under
way, chose to extend the new approach into the past as well.
The root of Goodyear's problem appears
to be that it used an uncommon way of calculating the so-called discount rate
it assumes for its traditional pension plan. A discount rate is simply an
interest rate companies use to convert future values into their present-day
terms. Companies calculate the pension-fund discount rate at the end of every
year in order to project cash outflows in their retirement plans. The number
changes from year to year. But it also tends to get buried in financial
footnotes and overlooked.
The higher the discount rate, the less
the current value of a company's future obligations to its retirees under its
plans. So, in Goodyear's case, the older, higher discount rate lowered the
company's projected benefit payments -- which also had the effect of raising
its pretax income.
Goodyear's old method of setting the
rate was to use a six-month average of corporate-bond rates. That's unusual,
though not a violation of generally accepted accounting principles, says Mr.
Ciesielski.
The more common and accurate approach
is to pick a discount rate based on rates at a point in time near to when the
calculations are being done. That provides a better snapshot of reality,
especially in an era when rates are falling, as they have in recent years.
Sure enough, Goodyear's old methodology
resulted in discount rates that were higher than those used by most other
companies during the period in question. For instance, in its restatement,
Goodyear cut the rate it used in 2001 to 7.5% from 8%. But a study by Credit
Suisse First Boston notes that the median discount rate used by S&P-500
component companies that year was a far lower 7.25%. In fact, the study found
only seven companies used rates of 8% or higher in 2001.
Goodyear's numbers are now more in line
with other companies' and shouldn't require further adjustment, say analysts.
But like many old-line companies with a relatively large cadre of older
workers and retirees, Goodyear is expected to face pension problems for years
to come, since its plans are underfunded by about $2.8 billion.
While Goodyear's pension concerns are
not unique, Mr. Ciesielski says it is unlikely other companies will rush to
restate earnings to reflect a new discount-rate assumption. Besides, coming up
with the rate is still far from an exact science.
David Zion, CSFB's accounting analyst,
says even companies that use identical methodologies can arrive at sharply
different discount rates. Those with fiscal years ending in June would have
different rates than those with years ending in December, for example. And
multinational companies face another complication: "The discount rate for
a Japanese pension plan will be different than the discount rate in
Turkey," Mr. Zion points out.
In its restatement, Goodyear decreased
overall pretax income by $18.9 million for the past five years as a result of
its reassessment of the discount rate. And since Goodyear's pension plan is
underfunded, the cut in the discount rate also magnified that negative
condition. As a result, Goodyear had to add $160.9 million in liabilities to
its balance sheet. The new liabilities forced Goodyear to record $81.2 million
in additional tax expenses for 2002.
This restatement comes at a time
Goodyear's accounting is still under heavy scrutiny. The company launched an
internal probe last year after it said it found problems in internal billing
and the implementation of a new computer system. It later said it had
identified serious misdeeds by top managers in Europe and cases in which U.S.
plants understated workers' compensation liabilities.
I would not say that we are so much timid as we are squashed by lobbying
pressures from industry.
Bob Jensen
Bob
I wish to ask you a favour again. I have written the
attached as a submission to a review of the New Zealand Financial Reporting
Act 1993. It is currently under review due to the imminent adoption of the
IASB's standards. It has thrown New Zealand's application of differential
reporting into confusion. My submission deals with the way in which accounting
must be the pivot upon which creditor protection functions. What I would hope
Americans find interesting is the degree to which we have played out your laws
- the corporate solvency test and GAAP - in a way you are too timid to do.
The Government's discussion document to which the
submission is a response is on this link:
The letter is self-contained aside from the specific
commentary at the end. Could you find space for it on your web-site?
Robert B Walker
Stock Option Valuation Research Database
From Syllabus News on December 13, 2002
Wharton School Offers Stock Data Via the Web
The University of Pennsylvania's Wharton business
school is offering financial analysts access to historical information on
stock options over the Internet. The data, supplied by research firm
OptionMetrics's Ivy database, covers information on all U.S. listed index and
equity options from January1996. The Ivy database adds to the 1.5 terabyte
storehouse of financial information from a range of providers now available
through Wharton Research Data Services (WRDS). The university said that by
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The article seems to suggest you wish to have feedback on this
and other matters. Accordingly, I send my thoughts on this matter.
I would begin by observing that I think Concepts Statement 7 is
inconsistent with the earlier 1996 study from which it was derived. I found that study
utterly persuasive so I do not now find CS-7 persuasive. In moments of cynicism, I think
that Mr Upton’s apparent epiphany is related more to the politics of accountancy than
to its conceptual purity.
By this I mean that the measurement of liabilities at risk free
interest rate rather than at a rate reflecting credit standing would be so anathema to the
generality of accountants that it is futile to suggest it. Indeed the Crooch & Upton
begin by stating a basic premise of axiomatic significance to their case – no gain or
loss should arise when engaging in simple borrowing. The idea that no sooner one entered a
loan agreement than a loss would arise (because it would invariably be a loss) would have
most accountants in a state of high dudgeon.
The issue then is one of gain or loss. But then that is only if
you perceive the world from an income orientation perspective. I don’t, primarily
because of the influence of the conceptual framework. This is reinforced by my work as a
liquidator of companies. I see the world purely from a balance sheet perspective and one
subject to realisable value at that. In other words, I see the utility of accounting only
in terms of solvency determination with all that entails in regard to the going concern
assumption.
Unlike the United States, in the jurisdiction in which I live
accounting has been rendered central to creditor protection in our corporate law. Central
to this law, in turn, is the conceptual framework (at least in my view and to test the
hypothesis I have a case before the courts now). I am then caused considerable misgiving
as the final consequence of FASB’s view is the effective emasculation of our law
built, essentially, on American conceptual development.
The ultimate consequence of what FASB propose is that as a
company slides toward insolvency its liability value declines, the value of its net worth
increases. Presumably as it has no credit standing at all because it is insolvent, it has
no liabilities. This may be practically true when the creditors miss out but in my
jurisdiction at least it is not legally true because those responsible for the creditors
loss are held accountable, the impediments of the legal system notwithstanding.
I note that Crooch & Upton make reference in a footnote to
the theory of Robert Merton in which it is implied that the residual assets are able to be
‘put’ to satisfy the claims of creditors. That may be true in an
economist’s fantasy but it is not true in law, a rather more important arena.
I say perceiving a decline in the value of a liability is
considerably more counter-intuitive than the problem of accelerating the recognition of
cost of debt. This is a mere triviality by comparison. After all the same amount of charge
is recognised over time. The advantage of accelerating loss is that it causes an entity to
be more inhibited in its distribution policy as it has less equity to draw upon. That is
to the advantage of creditors.
It seems to me that there needs to be an objective value at which
to determine the value of a liability, this being central to the ability to liquidate. Mr
Upton in his 1996 study demonstrates that such a value will represent the price the debtor
has to pay to have the liability taken away. That price will be determined by the seller
providing sufficient resources to the buyer to ensure that the buyer will avoid any risk.
The resources would need to be enough to acquire a risk free asset with the same maturity
profile as the liability.
The effect of perceiving the ‘price’ of a liability in
this way is to necessitate that it is discounted at a risk free rate.
I note that the only way to make CS-7 coherent is to assume that
such transfers of assets are always made between parties of the same credit standing. This
pertains to one of the major practical difficulties of reflecting credit standing in
accounting measurement – that is knowing what it is. It may be easily determined in
the publicly listed world in which Crooch & Upton inhabit. It is not in the small,
closely held corporate world in which I operate. For accounting to have long term validity
it must be applicable in all circumstances.
I think it fair to note that there is another dimension to this
that tends to undermine what I believe. I have a theoretical notion that the world upon
consolidation nets to nil. That is to say, my financial asset and your financial liability
must have the same value in our respective records. Call this a principle of reciprocity.
Theoretically, so far as I understand it a lender will discount
the face value of a zero discount bond at the risk free rate after having adjusted for the
probability of receiving nothing at all. The effect of doing that is, at the inception of
an advance, to carry the value of the asset at the cash value paid at that time. If the
application of the principle of reciprocity was applied when the liability was revalued in
the books of the debtor, the creditor would take up a gain that denied any risk existed.
I find this inconvenient as it causes me to abandon a notion in
which I fundamentally believe. I will just have to suffer cognitive dissonance, won’t
I? But then one should not underestimate the psychology that underlies accounting,
particularly in the face of the paradoxes it is capable of generating.
From the Wall Street Journal's Accounting
Educators' Reviews, October 4, 2001
Educators interested in receiving these excellent reviews (on a variety of topics in
addition to accounting) must firs subscribe to the electronic version of the WSJ and then
go to http://209.25.240.94/educators_reviews/index.cfm
SUMMARY: Earlier this year Amazon promised analysts that it will report first-ever
operating pro forma operating profit. However, Amazon is not commenting on whether it
still expects to report a fourth-quarter profit this year. Questions focus on profit
measures and accounting decisions that may enable Amazon to show a profit.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What expenses are excluded from pro forma operating profits? Why are these expenses
excluded? Are these expenses excluded from financial statements prepared in accordance
with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles?
2.) List three likely consequences of Amazon not reporting a pro forma operating profit
in the fourth quarter. Do you think that Amazon feels pressure to report a pro forma
operating profit? Why do analysts believe that reporting a fourth quarter profit is
important for Amazon?
3.) List three accounting choices that Amazon could make to increase the likelihood of
reporting a pro forma operating profit. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of making
accounting choices that will allow Amazon to report a pro forma operating profit.
SMALL GROUP ASSIGNMENT: Assume that you are the accounting department for Amazon and
preliminary analysis suggest that Amazon will not report a pro forma operating profit for
the fourth quarter. The CEO has asked you to make sure that the company meets its
financial reporting objectives. Discuss the advantages and disadvantages of making
adjustments to the financial statements. What adjustments, if any, would you make? Why?
Reviewed
By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island Reviewed
By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University Reviewed
By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
E-COMMERCE AND AUDITING FAIR VALUES SUBJECTS OF NEW INTERNATIONAL GUIDANCE The
International Federation of Accountants (IFAC) invites comments on two new exposure drafts
(EDs): Auditing Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures and Electronic Commerce: Using the
Internet or Other Public Networks - Effect on the Audit of Financial Statements. Comments
on both EDs, developed by IFAC's International Auditing Practices Committee (IAPC), are
due by January 15, 2002. See http://accountingeducation.com/news/news2213.html
The purpose of this International Standard on Auditing (ISA) is to establish standards
and provide guidance on auditing fair value measurements and disclosures contained in
financial statements. In particular, this ISA addresses audit considerations relating to
the valuation, measurement, presentation and disclosure for material assets, liabilities
and specific components of equity presented or disclosed at fair value in financial
statements. Fair value measurements of assets, liabilities and components of equity may
arise from both the initial recording of transactions and later changes in value.
Quality of Earnings,
Restatements, and Core Earnings
"Predicting Material Accounting Misstatements"
Patricia M. Dechow University of California, Berkeley - Haas School of Business
Weili Ge University of Washington - Michael G. Foster School of Business
Chad R. Larson Washington University, St. Louis
Richard G. Sloan Haas School of Business, UC Berkeley
SSRN, November 16, 2009
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=997483
Abstract:
We examine 2,190 SEC Accounting and Auditing Enforcement Releases (AAERs)
issued between 1982 and 2005. We obtain 676 firms that are alleged to have
misstated their quarterly or annual financial statements. We examine the
characteristics of misstating firms along five dimensions: accrual quality;
financial performance; non-financial measures; off-balance sheet activities;
and market-based measures. We compare misstating firms to themselves during
non-misstatement years and misstating firms to the broader population of all
publicly listed firms. The results reveal that during misstatement years,
accruals and cash and credit sales are unusually high, while return on
assets and the number of employees are declining. In addition, misstating
firms finance more of their assets through operating leases and have
relatively less PP&E. We find that market pressures appear to affect
incentives to misstate. Misstating firms are raising new financing, have
higher market-to-book ratios, and strong prior stock price performance. We
develop a model to predict accounting misstatements. The output of this
model is a scaled logistic probability that we term the F-Score, where
values greater than one suggest a greater likelihood of a misstatement.
Statement no. 141(R) and Statement no. 160 are
integrally linked to work together to apply the new acquisition method to
consolidated financial statements and reports and thus bring more useful
information to the capital markets. With its more extensive and consistent
fair value measurements, Statement no. 141(R) will help users assess the
future cash flows of the consolidated enterprise. And with its consistent
application of entity reporting concepts, Statement no. 160 will help them
comprehend the relationship between the controlling and noncontrolling
interests. As a result, users can perform more complete and reliable
assessments of the prospective future cash flows available to the parent and
its shareholders.
SUMMARY: Companies who make financial restatements take many
actions: examples include rapidly changing executive teams and even
increasing community actions such as charitable giving. The article reports
that 94 such companies earned an average 2% share price increase for each
action they took following restatements between 1997 and 2006. These results
are based on research by an accounting assistant professor at Stanford
University, Ed deHaan.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article can be used to introduce the
concept of reliability of financial information and its importance for
investor confidence in reporting entities.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) Define the terms "financial restatement" and
"fraud."
2. (Advanced) Does a "serious" financial restatement occur only
after fraud? Support your answer.
3. (Advanced) Define the concept of reliability according to the
FASB/IASB Conceptual Framework. How does this article show this importance
of this concept?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
The average share-price boost from each action a
firm takes to rebuild its reputation after a financial restatement
For companies trying to recover from a serious
financial restatement, making rapid changes to their executive team,
improving governance, and even stepping up charitable giving, can quickly
mend fences and nurse a share price back to health.
Companies, on average, lose more than a quarter of
their market value following a financial restatement or fraud. But
researchers at Stanford and Emory universities found that in the year after
a restatement, companies often take about 10 actions aimed at repairing
their tarnished images. Each action lifts their shares by about 2%.
After a restatement, "credibility is lost and it
can take a long time to build that back up," said Ed deHaan, an assistant
professor of accounting at Stanford. "But after one year, firms that are
aggressive in taking most of these actions have more or less restored their
reputations."
Shares of
Diamond Foods Inc.
DMND -0.63%have nearly doubled from
a November 2012 low after the company discovered $80 million in payments to
walnut growers weren't accounted for correctly. It fired its top executives
and launched new marketing campaigns. This month it reached a settlement
with the Securities and Exchange Commission without admitting or denying
guilt.
"The company's reputation is paramount," said
Diamond Foods' new CFO, Ray Silcock.
The study, which examined 10,000 news releases
following 94 restatements from 1997 to 2006, excluding firms that filed for
bankruptcy, found companies usually took less-costly actions, such as
charitable donations.
Huron Consulting Group Inc., a Chicago-based
consulting company founded by a group of former Arthur Andersen LLP partners
after the accounting firm's 2002 demise, has agreed to pay $1 million to
settle Securities and Exchange Commission allegations that it cooked its
books.
The deal caps a remarkable act of corporate
self-immolation. One of Huron's main businesses had been providing
forensic-accounting advice to other companies, including those under SEC
investigation for accounting fraud. Then in 2009 Huron restated more than
three years of its financial reports to correct accounting violations, which
reduced its earnings by $56 million. The company sold part of its
disputes-and-investigations practice in 2010 and shuttered the rest.
The SEC, which disclosed the accord in a press
release late Thursday, also reached settlement deals with Huron's former
chief financial officer, Gary Burge, and its former chief accounting
officer, Wayne Lipski. They agreed to pay almost $300,000 to resolve the
SEC's claims against them.
Per the usual formalities, the defendants neither
admitted nor denied anything. Unlike the conviction against Arthur Andersen
for obstructing the government's investigation of Enron Corp., the SEC's
order against Huron in this case won't be overturned.
PS
This is an illustration of an Audit Committee doing an excellent job. Huron's
Audit Committee sniffed out the book cooking.
Accounting Teachers About Cooking the Books Get Caught ... er ... Cooking the
Books The media and blogs are conveniently pinning the Huron
debacle on its Andersen roots, and hinting that the Enron malfeasance bled into
Huron.
What I find ironic below is that the Huron Consulting Group is itself a
consulting group on technical accounting matters, internal controls, financial
statement restatements, accounting fraud, rules compliance, and accounting
education. If any outfit should've known better it was Huron Consulting Group
---
http://www.huronconsultinggroup.com/about.aspx
Huron Consulting Group was formed in May of 2003 in Chicago with a core set
of 213 following the implosion of huge Arthur Andersen headquartered in Chicago.
The timing is much more than mere coincidence since a lot of Andersen
professionals were floating about looking for a new home in Chicago. In the past
I've used the Huron Consulting Group published studies and statistics about
financial statement revisions of other companies. I never anticipated that Huron
Consulting itself would become one of those statistics. I guess Huron will now
have more war stories to tell clients.
An accounting mess at Huron Consulting Group Inc.
that led to the decapitation of top management and the collapse in its share
price puts the survival of the Chicago-based firm in jeopardy.
Huron’s damaged reputation imperils its ability to
provide credible expert witnesses during courtroom proceedings growing out
of its bread-and-butter restructuring and disputes and investigations
practices. Rivals are poised to capture marketshare.
“These types of firms have to be squeaky clean with
no exceptions, and this was too big of an exception,” says Allan Koltin, a
Chicago-based accounting industry consultant. “I respect the changes they
made and the speed (with which) they made them. I’m not sure they can
recover from this.”
Huron executives declined to comment.
Late Friday, Huron said it would restate results
for the three years ended in 2008 and for the first quarter of 2009,
resulting in a halving of its profits, to $63 million from $120 million, for
the 39-month period. Revenue projections for 2009 were cut by more than 10%,
to a range of $650 million to $680 million from $730 million to $770
million.
The company said its hand was forced by its recent
discovery that holders of shares in acquired firms had an agreement among
themselves to reallocate a portion of their earn-out payments to other Huron
employees. The company said it had been unaware of the arrangement.
“The employee payments were not ‘kickbacks’ to
Huron management,” the company said.
Whatever the description, the fallout promises to
shake Huron to its core. The company’s stock plunged 70% Monday to about $14
per share, and law firms were preparing to mount class-action shareholder
litigation.
“If the public doesn’t buy that the house is clean,
my guess is some of the senior talent will start to move very quickly,” says
William Brandt, president and CEO of Chicago-based restructuring firm
Development Specialists Inc. “Client retention is all that matters here.”
Publicly traded competitors like Navigant
Consulting Inc. are unlikely to make bids for Huron because of the potential
for damage to their own stock. Private enterprises like Mesirow Financial
stand as logical employers as Huron workers jump ship.
“There certainly is potential out there for clients
and employees who may be looking at different options, but at this point in
the process it’s a little early to tell what impact this will have,” says a
Navigant spokesman.
Huron’s woes led to the resignation last week of
Chairman and CEO Gary Holdren and Chief Financial Officer Gary Burge, both
of whom will stay on with the firm for a time, and the immediate departure
of Chief Accounting Officer Wayne Lipski.
Mr. Holdren, 59, has a certain amount of
familiarity with turmoil.
He was among co-founders of Huron in 2002, when
their previous employer, Andersen, folded along with its auditing client
Enron Corp. He told the Chicago Tribune in 2007, “Initially, when we’d call
on potential clients, they’d say, ‘Huron? Who are you? That sounds like
Enron,’ or ‘Aren’t you guys supposed to be in jail? Why are you calling us?’
”
This year, it’s been money issues dogging Huron. In
the spring, shareholders twice rejected proposals to sweeten an employee
stock compensation plan.
Mr. Holdren’s total compensation in 2008 was $6.5
million, according to Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Mr. Burge
received $1.2 million.
A Huron unit in June sued five former consultants
and their new employer, Sonnenschein Nath & Rosenthal LLP, alleging that the
defendants were using trade secrets to lure Huron clients to the law firm.
The defendants denied the charges. The case is pending in Cook County
Circuit Court.
Chief Executive Gary Holdren and two other top
executives are resigning from Chicago-based management consultancy Huron
Consulting Group as the company announced Friday it is restating financial
statements for three fiscal years.
Holdren’s resignation as CEO and chairman was
effective Monday and he will leave Huron at the end of August, the company
said in a statement. Chief Financial Officer Gary Burge is being replaced in
that post but will serve as treasurer and stay through the end of the year.
Chief Accounting Officer Wayne Lipski is also leaving the company. None of
the departing executives will be paid severance, Huron said.
Huron will restate its financial results for 2006,
2007, 2008 and the first quarter of 2009. The accounting missteps relate to
four businesses that Huron acquired between 2005 and 2007.
According to Huron’s statement and a filing with
the Securities and Exchange Commission, the selling shareholders of the
acquired businesses distributed some of their payments to Huron employees.
They also redistributed portions of their earnings “in amounts that were not
consistent with their ownership percentages” at the time of the acquisition,
Huron said.
A Huron spokeswoman declined to give the number of
shareholders and employees involved, saying the company was not commenting
beyond its statement.
“I am greatly disappointed and saddened by the need
to restate Huron’s earnings,” Holdren said in the statement. He acknowledged
“incorrect” accounting.
Huron said the restatement’s total estimated impact
on net income and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortization for the periods in question is $57 million.
“Because the issue arose on my watch, I believe
that it is my responsibility and my obligation to step aside,” said Holdren.
Huron said the board’s audit committee had recently
learned of an agreement between the selling shareholders to distribute some
of their payments to a company employee. The committee then launched an
inquiry into all of Huron’s prior acquisitions and discovered the
involvement of more Huron employees.
Huron said it is reviewing its financial reporting
procedures and expects to find “one or more material weaknesses” in the
company’s internal controls. The amended financial statements will be filed
“as soon as practicable,” Huron said.
James Roth, one of Huron’s founders, is replacing
Holdren as CEO. Roth was previously vice president of Huron’s health and
education consulting business, the company’s largest segment. George Massaro,
Huron’s former chief operating officer who is the board of directors’ vice
chairman, will succeed Holdren as chairman.
James Rojas, another Huron founder, is now the
company’s CFO. Rojas was serving in a corporate development role. Huron did
not announce a replacement for Lipski, the chief accounting officer.
The company’s shares sank more than 57 percent in
after-hours trading. The stock had closed Friday at $44.35. Huron said it
expects second-quarter revenues between $164 million and $166 million, up
about 15 percent from the year-earlier quarter.
The company, founded by former partners at the
Andersen accounting firm including Holdren, also said that it is conducting
a separate inquiry into chargeable hours in response to an inquiry from the
SEC.
An official in Washington DC sent me a note today
saying that he is " interested in understanding the cause for the increased
number of restatements. Can you recommend any good articles or research that
explains the root causes, trends, etc?
Can anyone suggest some good references to pass
along?
Perhaps this might help...Financial Restatements:
Causes, Consequences, and Corrections By Erik Linn, CPA, and Kori Diehl,
CPA, published in the September 2005 issue of Strategic Finance,
Vol.87, Iss. 3; pg. 34, 6 pgs.
Ganesh M. Pandit Adelphi University
June 15, 2006 reply from Bob Jensen
Evidence seems to be mounting that Section 404 of SOX is working in
uncovering significant errors in past financial statements. This is to be
expected in the early phases of 404 implementation. But the revisions should
subside after 404 is properly rolling. Companies like Kodak found huge internal
control weaknesses that led to reporting errors.
One of the most popular annual study if restatements is free from the
Huron Consulting Group.
"2004 Annual Review of Financial Reporting Matters - Summary" ---
Click Here
(I could not yet find the 2005 update, which is understandable since
2005 annual reports were just recently published.)
It's not how much money a company is making that
counts, it's how it makes its money. The earnings quality scores from
RateFinancials aim to evaluate how closely reported earnings reflect the
cash that the companies' businesses are generating and how well their
balance sheets reflect their true economic position. Companies in the
winners table have the best earnings quality (they are generating a lot of
sustainable cash from their operations), while companies in the losers table
have been boosting their reported earnings with such tricks as unexpensed
stock options, low tax rates, asset sales, off-balance-sheet financing and
deferred maintenance of the pension fund.
Krispy kreme doughnuts is the latest illustration
of the fact that stunning earnings growth can mask a lot of trouble. Not
long ago the doughnut maker was a glamour stock with a 60% earnings-per-share
growth rate and a multiple to match-70 times trailing earnings. Now the
stock is at $9.61, down 72% from May, when the company first issued an
earnings warning. Turns out Krispy Kreme may have leavened profits in the
way it accounted for the purchase of franchised stores and by failing to
book adequate reserves for doubtful accounts. So claims a shareholder
lawsuit against the company. Krispy Kreme would not comment on the
suit.
Investors are not auditors, they don't have
subpoena power, and they can't know about such disasters in advance. But
sometimes they can get hints that the quality of a company's earnings is a
little shaky. In Krispy's case an indication that it was straining to
deliver its growth story came three years ago in its use of synthetic leases
to finance expansion. Forbes described these leases in a Feb. 18, 2002 story
that did not please the company. Another straw in the wind: weak free cash
flow from operations. You get that number by taking the "cash flow from
operations" reported on the "consolidated statement of cash
flows," then subtracting capital expenditures. Solid earners usually
throw off lots of positive free cash flow. At Krispy the figure was
negative.
Is there a Krispy Kreme lurking in your
portfolio? For this, the fifth installment in our Beyond the Balance Sheet
series, we asked the experts at RateFinancials of New York City ( www.ratefinancials.com
) to look into earnings quality among the companies included in the S&P
500 Index. The tables at right display the outfits that RateFinancials puts
at the top and at the bottom of the quality scale. The ratings are to a
degree subjective and, not surprisingly, some of the companies at the bottom
take exception. General Motors feels that RateFinancials understates its
cash flow. But at minimum RateFinancials' work warns investors to look
closely at the financial statements of the suspect companies.
A lot of factors went into the ratings produced by
cofounders Victor Germack and Harold Paumgarten, research director Allan
Young and ten analysts. A company that expenses stock options is probably
not straining to meet earnings forecasts, so it gets a plus. Overoptimistic
assumptions about future earnings on a pension fund artificially prop up
earnings and thus rate a minus. A low tax rate is a potential indicator of
trouble: Maybe the low profit reported to the Internal Revenue Service is
all too true and the high profit reported to shareholders an exaggeration.
Other factors relate to discontinued operations (booking a one-time gain
from selling a business is bad), corporate governance (companies get black
marks for having poison pills), inventory (if it piles up faster than sales,
then business may be weakening) and free cash flow (a declining number is
bad).
Continued in this section of Forbes
Included in Standard &
Poor's definition of Core Earnings are
employee stock options grant expenses,
restructuring charges from on-going
operations,
write-downs of depreciable or amortizable
operating assets,
pensions costs
purchased research and development.
Excluded from this definition
are
impairment of goodwill charges,
gains or losses from asset sales, pension
gains,
unrealized gains or losses from hedging
activities, merger and acquisition related fees
Any action from G20 leaders
who have focused on tax havens and are promising reforms would be welcomed,
as many countries are losing tax revenues that could be used to improve
social infrastructure. However, none have made any commitment to force
companies to explain how their profits are inflated by tax avoidance
schemes. This has serious consequences for managing the domestic economy and
equity between corporate stakeholders.
Tax avoidance has created a
mirage of large corporate profits, which has turned many a CEO into a media
star and even secured knighthoods and peerages for some. Yet the profits
have been manufactured by a sleight of hand. Let us get back to the basics.
To generate wealth, at the very least, three kinds of capital need to be
invested. Shareholders invest finance capital and expect to receive a
return. Markets exert pressure for this to be maximised. Employees invest
human capital and expect to receive a return in the shape of wages and
salaries. Society invests social capital (health, education, family,
security, legal system) and expects a return in the shape of taxes. Over the
years, corporate tax rates have been reduced, but the return on social
capital is under constant attack by tax avoidance schemes. The aim is to
transfer the return accruing to society to shareholders. Companies have
reported higher profits, not because they undertook higher economic activity
or produced more desirable goods and services, but simply by expropriating
the returns due to society. This can only be maintained as long as
governments and civil society remain docile.
Companies engaging in tax
avoidance schemes publish higher profits but do not explain the impact of
tax avoidance schemes on these profits. Consequently, markets cannot make
assessment of the quality of their earnings, ie how much of the profit is
due to production of goods and services and thus sustainable, and how much
is due to expropriation of wealth from society. In the absence of such
information, markets cannot make a rational assessment of future cashflows
accruing to shareholders. Inevitably, market assessment of risk is mispriced
and resources are misallocated. By concealing tax avoidance schemes,
companies have deliberately provided misleading information to markets. The
subsequent imposition of penalties for tax avoidance, if any, will reduce
future company profits. But the cost will be borne by the then shareholders
rather than by the earlier shareholders who benefited from the tax scams.
Thus the secrecy surrounding tax avoidance schemes causes involuntary wealth
transfers and must also undermine confidence in corporations because they
are not willing to come clean.
Governments collect data on
corporate profits to gauge the health of the economy and develop economic
policies. However, this barometer is misleading too because it does not
distinguish between normal commercial sustainable profits and profits
inflated by tax avoidance.
Company executives are major
beneficiaries of tax avoidance because their remuneration is frequently
linked to reported profits. They can increase these through production of
goods and services, but many have deliberately chosen to raid the taxes
accruing to society. Company executives could provide honest information and
explain how much of their remuneration is derived from the use of tax
avoidance schemes, but none have done so. As a result, no shareholder or
regulator can make an objective assessment of company performance, executive
performance or remuneration. By the time the taxman catches up with the
company and imposes fines and penalties, many an executive has moved on to
newer pastures and is not required to return remuneration to meet any
portion of those penalties. Seemingly, there are no penalties for
artificially inflating executive remuneration.
Under the UK Companies Act
2006, company directors have a duty to avoid conflicts of interests. They
are required to promote the success of the company for the benefit of its
members, which is taken to mean "long-term increase in value" and must also
publish "true and fair" accounts. It is difficult to see how such
obligations can be discharged by systematic misleading of markets,
shareholders, governments and taxpayers. Hopefully, stakeholders will bring
test cases.
The Quality of Earnings
Controversy in Accounting Theory
From The Wall Street
Journal Weekly Accounting Review on April 13, 2007
SUMMARY: "When Circuit City Stores
Inc. reported an unexpected fiscal fourth-quarter loss this
past week, with its stock in the doldrums, Victor Germack
felt vindicated. Last summer, when quite a few analysts were
upgrading their ratings on the electronics retailer's stock,
his research firm, RateFinancials, published a report
blasting Circuit City for "very poor quality of earnings"
and "poor accounting policies, footnotes and management
discussion and analysis."" The concerns arose from a
"preponderance of year-end lease terminations and the
disproportional influence [on earnings from] the sales of
extended warranties..." Circuit City's spokesman, Bill
Cimino, cites other factors, such as a rapid decline in the
price of flat-panel television sets, that impacted the
results.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is the "quality" of a company's earnings?
2.) What factors raised questions in some analysts' minds
about the quality of Circuit City's earnings? List all that
you find in the main article and in the related one, and
explain the impact of the issue on the notion of "quality of
earnings" or "quality of financial reporting."
3.) Why did this question of quality of earnings not arise
the minds of other analysts besides those of RateFinancials
Inc.?
4.) How does the corporate spokesperson address the question
of the quality of Circuit City's earnings? How does his
answer benefit Circuit City in its dealings with financial
markets?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of
Rhode Island
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Educators'
Review on May 27, 2004
TITLE: J.C. Penney Profit Hurt by Eckerd
REPORTER: Kortney Stringer
DATE: May 19, 2004
PAGE: B4
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB108488326393314408,00.html
TOPICS: Accounting, Earnings Quality, Financial Accounting, Financial Analysis,
Financial Statement Analysis, Income from Continuing Operations, Net Income,
Operating Income
SUMMARY: Despite an earnings increase, J.C. Penney reported a 33% decline in
net income. Questions focus on the components and usefulness of the income
statement.
QUESTIONS:
1.) Describe the primary purpose(s) of the income statement. Distinguish between
the single-step and multi-step format for the income statement. Which type of
statement is more common? Support your answer.
2.) Explain the components of gross margin, operating income, income from
continuing operations, net income, and comprehensive income. What is
persistence? Which income statement total is likely to have the greatest
persistence? Which income statement total is likely to have the least
persistence?
3.) Where are results from discontinued operations reported on the income
statement? Why are results from discontinued operations separated from income
from continuing operations?
4.) What impact does the loss from the sale of Eckerd have on J.C. Penney's
expected future net income? What impact does results from continuing operations
have on expected future net income?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
From The Wall Street Journal
Accounting Educators' Review on May 23, 2002
TITLE: SEC Broadens Investigation Into
Revenue-Boosting Tricks; Fearing Bogus Numbers Are Widespread, Agency Probes
Lucent and Others
REPORTER: Susan Pulliam and Rebecca Blumenstein
DATE: May 16, 2002
PAGE: A1
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB1021510491566948760.djm,00.html
TOPICS: Financial Accounting, Financial Statement Analysis
SUMMARY: "Securities and Exchange
Commission officials, concerned about an explosion of transactions that falsely
created the impression of booming business across many industries, are
conducting a sweeping investigation into a host of practices that pump up
revenue."
QUESTIONS:
1.) "Probing revenue promises to be a much broader inquiry than the earlier
investigations of Enron and other companies accused of using accounting tricks
to boost their profits." What is the difference between inflating profits
vs. revenues?
2.) What are the ways in which
accounting information is used (both in general and in ways specifically cited
in this article)? What are the concerns about using accounting information that
has been manipulated to increase revenues? To increase profits?
3.) Describe the specific techniques
that may be used to inflate revenues that are enumerated in this article and the
related one. Why would a practice of inflating revenues be of particular concern
during the ".com boom"?
4.) "[L90 Inc.] L90 lopped $8.3
million, or just over 10%, off revenue previously reported for 2000 and 2001,
while booking the $250,000 [net difference in the amount of wire transfers that
had been used in one of these transactions] as 'other income' rather than
revenue." What is the difference between revenues and other income? Where
might these items be found in a multi-step income statement? In a single-step
income statement?
5.) What are "vendor
allowances"? How might these allowances be used to inflate revenues?
Consider the case of Lucent Technologies described in the article. Might their
techniques also have been used to boost profits?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University
of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
From The Wall Street Journal Accounting Educators' Review on May 27,
2004
TITLE: SEC Gets Tough With Settlement in Lucent Case
REPORTER: Deborah Solomon and Dennis K. Berman
DATE: May 17, 2004
PAGE: A1
LINK: http://online.wsj.com/article/0,,SB108474447102812763,00.html
TOPICS: Criminal Procedure, Financial Accounting, Legal Liability, Revenue
Recognition, Securities and Exchange Commission, Accounting
SUMMARY: After a lengthy investigation into the accounting practices of
Lucent Technologies Inc., the Securities and Exchange Commission is expected to
file civil charges and impose a $25 million fine against the company. Questions
focus on the role of the SEC in financial reporting.
QUESTIONS:
1.) What is the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)? When was the SEC
established? Why was the SEC established? Does the SEC have the responsibility
of establishing financial reporting guidelines?
2.) What role does the SEC currently play in the financial reporting process?
What power does the SEC have to sanction companies that violate financial
reporting guidelines?
3.) What is the difference between a civil and a criminal charge? What is the
difference between a class-action suit by investors and a civil charge by the
SEC?
4.) What personal liability do individuals have for improper accounting? Why
does the SEC object to companies indemnifying individuals for consequences
associated with improper accounting?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Reviewed By: Benson Wier, Virginia Commonwealth University
Reviewed By: Kimberly Dunn, Florida Atlantic University
IBM Corp. has
boosted its stock buyback program by $5 billion, a sign of the company's
ability to spit out cash despite the fact the recession has choked off
revenue growth.
The announcement
Tuesday brings IBM's pot for stock repurchases to $9.2 billion, and the
company, based in Armonk, N.Y., plans to ask for more at a board meeting in
April 2010. IBM said it has spent $73 billion on dividends and buybacks
since 2003.
Buybacks are one
lever companies pull to meet earnings targets, since they increase earnings
per share by reducing the number of shares outstanding. IBM has set
aggressive earnings targets, and twice this year raised its profit forecast
for 2009, surprising investors since revenue has fallen since last year. IBM
has said it sees corporate spending on technology "stabilizing." One way IBM
wrings more profit despite lower sales is by using software to automate
certain tasks done by humans and focusing on projects like the "smart" power
grid that can carry higher profit margins than other services work.
IBM's current
forecasts call for earnings per share of at least $9.85 this year, and the
company has maintained that it is "well ahead" of its pace for 2010 earnings
of $10 to $11 per share.
IBM ended the third
quarter with $11.5 billion in cash. Free cash flow, a sign of a company's
ability to generate more cash, was $3.4 billion, up $1.3 billion from a year
ago. Revenue in the past nine months is down nearly 11 percent from a year
ago.
Standard & Poor's To
Change System For Evaluating Corporate Earnings
Widely-Supported "Core
Earnings" Approach to be Applied to Earnings Analyses and Forecasts for US Indices,
Company Data and Equity Research
New York, May 14, 2002 --
Standard & Poor's today published a set of new definitions it will use for equity
analysis to evaluate corporate operating earnings of publicly held companies in the United
States. Release of "Measures of Corporate Earnings" completes a process Standard
& Poor's began in August 2001 when the firm began discussions with securities and
accounting analysts, portfolio managers, academic research groups and others to build a
consensus for changes that will reduce investor frustration and confusion over growing
differences in the reporting of corporate earnings. The text of "Measures of
Corporate Earnings" may be found at www.standardandpoors.com/PressRoom/index.html.
At the center of Standard &
Poor's effort to return transparency and consistency to corporate reporting is a focus on
what it refers to as Core Earnings, or the after-tax earnings generated from a
corporation's principal business or businesses. Since Standard & Poor's believes that
there is a general understanding of what is included in As Reported Earnings, its
definition of Core Earnings begins with As Reported and then makes a series of
adjustments. As Reported Earnings are earnings as defined by Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles (GAAP) which excludes two items - discontinued operations and extraordinary
items, both as defined by GAAP.
Included in Standard & Poor's
definition of Core Earnings are employee stock options grant expenses, restructuring
charges from on-going operations, write-downs of depreciable or amortizable operating
assets, pensions costs and purchased research and development. Excluded from this
definition are impairment of goodwill charges, gains or losses from asset sales, pension
gains, unrealized gains or losses from hedging activities, merger and acquisition related
fees and litigation settlements.
"For over 140 years,
Standard & Poor's has stood for the investor's right to know. Central to that
objective is a clear, consistent, definition of a company's financial position," said
Leo O'Neill, president of Standard & Poor's. "The increased use of so-called pro
forma earnings and other measures to report corporate performance has generated
controversy and confusion and has not served investor interests. Standard & Poor's
Core Earnings definition will help build consensus and restore investor trust and
confidence in the data used to make investment decisions."
"A number of recent high
profile bankruptcies have renewed investors' concerns about the reliability of corporate
reporting," said David M. Blitzer, Standard & Poor's chief investment strategist.
"From the work we have just completed, our hope is to generate additional public
discussion on earnings measures. Once there are more generally accepted definitions, it
will be much easier for analysts and investors to evaluate varying investment opinions and
recommendations and form their own views of which companies are the most attractive."
Beginning shortly, Standard &
Poor's will include the components of its definition for Core Earnings in its COMPUSTAT
database for the U.S., the leading source for corporate financial data. In addition, Core
Earnings will be calculated and reported for Standard & Poor's U.S. equity indices,
including the S&P 500. Finally, Standard & Poor's own equity research team, which
provides opinions on over 1100 stocks, will adopt Core Earnings in its analyses.
"Core Earnings is an
excellent analytical tool for the individual and professional investor alike," said
Kenneth Shea, managing director for global equity research at Standard & Poor's.
"It allows investors to better evaluate and compare the underlying earnings power of
the companies they are examining. In addition, it enhances an investor's ability to
construct and maintain investment portfolios that will adhere to a pre-determined set of
investment objectives. With Core Earnings, Standard & Poor's equity analysts will be
able to provide our clients with even more insightful forecasts and buy, hold and sell
recommendations."
From the outset, Standard &
Poor's has sought to achieve agreement surrounding broad earnings measures that address a
company's potential for profitability. In addition to emphasizing this approach in its
equity analysis, Standard & Poor's will also make Core Earnings a part of its credit
ratings analysis. The accuracy of earnings and earnings trends has always been a component
of credit analysis and Core Earnings adds value to this process. Earnings are also a major
element in cash flow analysis and are therefore a part of Standard & Poor's debt
rating methodology.
Standard & Poor's, a division
of The McGraw-Hill Companies (NYSE:MHP), provides independent financial information,
analytical services, and credit ratings to the world's financial markets. Among the
company's many products are the S&P Global 1200, the premier global equity performance
benchmark, the S&P 500, the premier U.S. portfolio index, and credit ratings on more
than 220,000 securities and funds worldwide. With more than 5,000 employees located in 18
countries, Standard & Poor's is an integral part of the global financial
infrastructure. For more information, visit www.standardandpoors.com.
How much does a company
truly make? It's hard to tell these days. To boost the performance of their
stocks, companies have come up with a slew of self-defined "pro
forma" numbers that put their financials in a favorable light. Now
ratings agency Standard & Poor's has devised a truer measure known as Core
Earnings.
The Goal: to provide a
standardized definition of the profits produced by a company's ongiong
operations. Of the three main changes from more traditional measures of
profits two reduce earmings: Income from pension funds is excluded and the
cost of stock options are deducted as an expense. The other big change boosts
earnings by adding back in the charges taken to adjust for overpriced
acquisitions. Here are the top 10 losers and winners under Core Earnings:
I attended the following CPE Workshop at the AAA Meetings in Orlando
CPE Session 3: Saturday, August 7, 1:00 PM – 4:00 PM
Value Measurement and Reporting—Moving toward Measuring and Reporting Value
Creation Activities and Opportunities
Presenters: William J. L. Swirsky, Canadian Institute of Chartered
Accountants
Paul Herring, AICPA Director Business Reporting Assurance and Advisory
Service
Description/Objectives:
Content – Presentations and dialogue about measuring the activities and
opportunities that drive an entity’s value and, once measured, reporting
these value creation prospects, in financial or nonfinancial terms, in
addition to current financial information. The session will include
information about research by the Value Measurement and Reporting
Collaborative (VMRC) that will provide the foundation for the development of a
framework of market-driven principles that characterize value measurement and
reporting on a global basis.
Objectives – To continue the dialogue on more
transparent, consistent, and reliable reporting of an entity’s value; to
provide participants with information about the research being undertaken by
VMRC; to talk about disclosure; and to solicit feedback from the attendees
about where they see gaps in the current practices on value measurement and
reporting.
Plan – To (1) provide context for value measurement
and reporting; (2) describe research to date; and (3) describe reporting
initiatives.
The above workshop focused mainly upon the early stages of the Value
Measurement and Reporting Collaborative that evolved into the Enhanced
Business Reporting (EBR) Consortium) for providing more structure,
uniformity, and measurement of non-financial information reported to managers
and other stakeholders --- http://www.aicpa.org/pubs/cpaltr/nov2002/supps/edu1.htm
This initiative that began in 2002 with hope that a collaboration between the
AICPA, the Canadian CICA, leading consulting firms, and others could initiate a
new business reporting model as follows:
The Value Measurement and Reporting Collaborative, in
which the AICPA is a participant, will play a crucial role in the new business
reporting model. VMRC is a global effort of the accounting profession, along
with corporate directors, businesses, business associations and organizations,
institutional investors, investment analysts, software companies and
academics. The key purpose of the collaborative is to help boards of directors
and senior management make better strategic decisions using value measurement
and reporting. It is anticipated that the current financial reporting model
would, over time, migrate to this new model and would be used to communicate a
more complete picture to stakeholders.
Also see Grant Thornton's summary in 2004 Grant Thornton in the US has posted a new
publication of Directors Monthly, which focuses on "Business Reporting: New
Initiative Will Guide Voluntary Enhancements." The publication discusses
how non-financial information offers a better picture of corporate financial
health.
Double Entries, September 9, 2004 --- http://accountingeducation.com/news/news5395.html
For years researchers and businesses have been attempting to find a better
way to report on business performance beyond the traditional financial reporting
effort. Bob Jensen even wrote a 1976 book called Phantasmagoric
Accounting --- See Volume 14 at http://accounting.rutgers.edu/raw/aaa/market/studar.htm
Studies of reporting on non-financial business performance over the past 50
years have generally been disappointing. Numbers attached to such things
as cost of pollution and value of human capital were generally derived from
overly-simplified models that really did not deal with externalities,
interaction effects, non-stationarity, and important missing variables.
There is an immense need, especially by managers and lawmakers, for better
business reporting that will help making tradeoffs between stakeholders.
At the Orlando workshop mentioned above, we heard a great deal about the need
for a new business reporting model. But when the presenters got down to
what had been accomplished to date, I felt like the presentations lacked
scholarship, especially in terms of the history of research on this topic over
the past 50 years. What was presented as "new" really had been
hashed over many times in the past. I left the Enhanced Business Reporting
Consortium workshop feeling that this initiative is long on hype and short on
hope.
But I do not want to give the impression that the EBR initiative is not
important. Little is gained by the traditional accounting research
tradition, especially in academe, of ignoring huge and seemingly intractable
problems that seem to defy all known research methodologies. High on the
list of intractable problems are problems of measuring intangibles and
human/environmental performance. If nothing else, the Value Measurement
and Reporting Collaborative will help to keep researchers focused on the bigger
problems rather than less relevant minutiae. At a minimum some progress
may be made toward standardization of non-financial reporting.
The "prisoner's
dilemma" is a familiar concept to just about everyone who took Econ 101.
The basic version goes
like this: Two criminals are arrested, but police can't convict either on
the primary charge, so they plan to sentence them to a year in jail on a
lesser charge. Each of the prisoners, who can't communicate with each other,
are given the option of testifying against their partner. If they testify,
and their partner remains silent, the partner gets three years and they go
free. If they both testify, both get two. If both remain silent, they each
get one.
In game
theory, betraying your partner, or "defecting" is always the dominant
strategy as it always has a slightly higher payoff in a simultaneous game.
It's what's known as a "Nash Equilibrium," after Nobel Prize winning
mathematician and "A
Beautiful Mind" subject John Nash.
In sequential games, where players know
each other's previous behavior and have the opportunity to punish each
other, defection is the dominant strategy as well.
However, on an
overall basis, the best outcome for both players is mutual cooperation.
Yet no one's ever actually run the experiment on real
prisoners before, until
two University of Hamburg economists tried it out
in a recent study comparing the behavior of inmates and students.
Surprisingly, for the classic version of
the game, prisoners were far more cooperative than expected.
Menusch
Khadjavi and Andreas Langeput
the famous game to the test for the first time
ever, putting a group of prisoners in Lower Saxony's primary women's prison,
as well as students, through both simultaneous and sequential versions of
the game.
The payoffs obviously weren't years off
sentences, but euros for students, and the equivalent value in coffee or
cigarettes for prisoners.
They expected,
building off of game theory and behavioral economic research that show
humans are more cooperative than the purely rational model that economists
traditionally use, that there would be a fair amount of first-mover
cooperation, even in the simultaneous simulation where there's no way to
react to the other player's decisions.
And even in the
sequential game, where you get a higher payoff for betraying a cooperative
first mover, a fair amount will still reciprocate.
As for the
difference between student and prisoner behavior, you'd expect that a prison
population might be more jaded and distrustful, and therefore more likely to
defect.
The results went
exactly the other way for the simultaneous game, only 37% of students
cooperate. Inmates cooperated 56% of the time.
On a pair basis,
only 13% of student pairs managed to get the best mutual outcome and
cooperate, whereas 30% of prisoners do.
In the sequential game, far more students
(63%) cooperate, so the mutual cooperation rate skyrockets to 39%. For
prisoners, it remains about the same.
Continued in article
Jensen Comment
In real life there's a huge difference between a sentence of life without parole
and three or more years in prison where the prisoner will be set free soon
enough to extract revenge on a song bird. Thus in real life the revenge risk
must be factored into the payoff. The risk may come from the person serving the
longest sentence or from a gang waiting for song birds to be set free.
"Game Theory Versus Practice:
More companies are using game theory to aid decision-making. How well does it
work in the real world?" by Alan Rappeport, CFO Magazine, July 15,
2008 ---
http://www.cfo.com/article.cfm/11700044?f=search
When Microsoft
announced its intention to acquire Yahoo last February, the software giant
knew the struggling search firm would not come easily into the fold. But
Microsoft had anticipated the eventual minuet of offer and counteroffer five
months before its announcement, thanks to the powers of game theory.
A mathematical
method of analyzing game-playing strategies, game theory is catching on with
corporate planners, enabling them to test their moves against the possible
responses of their competitors. Its origins trace as far back as The Art of
War, the unlikely management best-seller penned 2,500 years ago by the
Chinese general Sun Tzu. Mathematicians John von Neumann and Oskar
Morgenstern adapted the method for economics in the 1940s, and game theory
entered the academic mainstream in the 1970s, when economists like Thomas
Schelling and Robert Aumann used it to study adverse selection and problems
of asymmetric information. (Schelling and Aumann won Nobel prizes in 2005
for their work.)
Game theory can
take many forms, but most companies use a simplified version that focuses
executives on the mind-set of the competition. "The formal stuff quickly
becomes very technical and less useful," says Louis Thomas, a professor at
the Wharton School of Business who teaches game theory. "It's a matter of
peeling it back to its bare essentials." One popular way to teach the theory
hinges on a situation called the "prisoner's dilemma," where the fate of two
detainees depends on whether each snitches or stays silent about an alleged
crime (see "To Squeal or Not to Squeal?" at the end of this article).
Many companies are
reluctant to talk about the specifics of how they use game theory, or even
to admit whether they use it at all. But oil giant Chevron makes no bones
about it. "Game theory is our secret strategic weapon," says Frank Koch, a
Chevron decision analyst. Koch has publicly discussed Chevron's use of game
theory to predict how foreign governments and competitors will react when
the company embarks on international projects. "It reveals the win-win and
gives you the ability to more easily play out where things might lead," he
says.
Enter the Matrix
Microsoft's interest in game theory was piqued by the disclosure that IBM
was using the method to better understand the motivations of its competitors
— including Microsoft — when Linux, the open-source computer operating
system, began to catch on. (Consultants note that companies often bone up on
game theory when they find out that competitors are already using it.)
For its Yahoo bid,
Microsoft hired Open Options, a consultancy, to model the merger and plot a
possible course for the transaction. Yahoo's trepidation became clear from
the outset. "We knew that they would not be particularly interested in the
acquisition," says Ken Headrick, product and marketing director of
Microsoft's Canadian online division, MSN. And, indeed, they weren't; the
bid ultimately failed and a subsequent partial acquisition offer was
abandoned in June.
Open Options
wouldn't disclose specifics of its work for Microsoft, but in client
workshops it asks attendees to answer detailed questions about their goals
for a project — for example, "Should we enter this market?" "Will we need to
eat costs to establish market share?" "Will a price war ensue?" Then,
assumptions about the motives of other players, such as competitors and
government regulators, are ranked and different scenarios developed. The
goals of all players are given numerical values and charted on a matrix. The
exercise is intended to show that there are more outcomes to a situation
than most minds can comprehend, and to get managers thinking about
competition and customers differently.
"If you have four
or five players, with four actions each might or might not take, that could
lead to a million outcomes," comments Tom Mitchell, CEO of Open Options.
"And that's a simple situation." To simplify complex playing fields, Open
Options uses algorithms to model what action a company should take —
considering the likely actions of others — to attain its goals. The result
replicates the so-called Nash equilibrium, first proposed by John Forbes
Nash, the Nobel prize–winning mathematician portrayed in the movie A
Beautiful Mind. In this optimal state, the theory goes, a player no longer
has an incentive to change his position.
As a tool, game
theory can be useful in many areas of finance, particularly when decisions
require both economic and strategic considerations. "CFOs welcome this
because it takes into account financial inputs and blends them with
nonfinancial inputs," says Mitchell.
Rational to a
Fault? Some experts, however, question game theory's usefulness in the real
world. They say the theory is at odds with human nature, because it assumes
that all participants in a game will behave rationally. But as research in
behavioral finance and economics has shown, common psychological biases can
easily produce irrational decisions.
Similarly, John
Horn, a consultant at McKinsey, argues that game theory gives people too
much credit. "Game theory assumes rationally maximizing competitors, who
understand everything that you're doing and what they can do," says Horn.
"That's not how people actually behave." (Activist investor Carl Icahn said
Yahoo's board "acted irrationally" in rejecting Microsoft's bid.) McKinsey's
latest survey on competitive behavior found that companies tend to neglect
upcoming moves by competitors, relying passively on sources such as the news
and annual reports. And when they learn of new threats, they tend to react
in the most obvious way, focusing on near-term metrics such as earnings and
market share.
Fantastic
interview with game theorist Ariel Rubinstein on
Econtalk. I agree with Rubinstein that game theory has little predictive
power in the real world, despite the pretty mathematics. Experiments at RAND
(see, e.g., Mirowski's
Machine Dreams) showed early game theorists,
including Nash, that people don't conform to the idealizations in their
models. But this wasn't emphasized (Mirowski would claim it was deliberately
hushed up) until more and more experiments showed similar results. (Who
woulda thought -- people are "irrational"! :-)
Perhaps the most useful thing about game theory is that it requires you to
think carefully about decision problems. The discipline of this kind of
analysis is valuable, even if the models have limited applicability to real
situations.
Rubinstein discusses a number of topics, including raw intelligence vs
psychological insight and its importance in economics (see also
here). He has, in my opinion, a very developed and
mature view of what social scientists actually do, as opposed to what they
claim to do.
Commodities
trading,
Adam Smith wrote in 1776, was a boon to
efficiency and a foe to famine. It was also extremely unpopular,
especially in years when harvests were poor (he was writing specifically
of trading in corn).
The popular
odium ... which attends it in years of scarcity, the only years in
which it can be very profitable, renders people of character and
fortune averse to enter into it; and millers, bakers, mealmen, and
meal factors, together with a number of wretched hucksters, are
almost the only middle people that ... come between the grower and
the consumer.
Since
then, trading in corn and other commodities has gained in respectability
— thanks in part to arguments and evidence mustered by economists
following in Smith's footsteps. But the suspicion that commodities
trading is dominated by wretched hucksters or worse (I don't know what "mealmen"
are, but they sure sound bad) has never gone away, with
David Kocieniewski's epic examination in Sunday's New York Times
of an aluminum storage business owned by Goldman
Sachs offering the latest bit of evidence. Kocieniewski describes
forklift drivers moving aluminum from warehouse to warehouse in Detroit
to profit from rules set by an overseas metals exchange, while delivery
times to actual users of aluminum have stretched to 16 months and
aluminum prices have been pushed up by the equivalent of a tenth of a
U.S. cent per aluminum can.
The article is
less clear about what brought this on. Is it bad rules set by the London
Metal Exchange? The involvement of banks such as Goldman and J.P. Morgan
in the metals trade? Or is the problem simply that speculators have
taken over the market for a crucial commodity?
It is certainly
true that investors, dismayed at the prospect of low returns for stocks
and bonds for years to come, have poured money into commodities over the
past decade. Markets that existed mainly for the convenience of industry
have become dominated by exchange-traded funds, hedge funds, and
investment banks.
By Adam Smith's
reasoning, this shouldn't be a bad thing — people of character, or at
least fortune, are getting into the trade. And the consensus among
economists has for decades been that commodity speculation clearly
serves a useful purpose — so more of it can't hurt, right?
The
evidence on this is, frustratingly, not nearly as conclusive as one
might hope. The
most famous studies have had to do with trading in onion futures,
which the Chicago Mercantile Exchange launched in
the 1940s and Congress banned in 1958 after a precipitous boom and bust.
Agricultural economist Holbrook Working proposed at the time that this
presented the opportunity for a natural experiment: if onion prices were
more volatile in the absence of futures trading, then the trading
probably served a useful economic purpose. If not, then maybe it didn't.
The
first post-ban study, published in 1963, did
indeed find such an effect, and has since been cited widely by
economists and
editorialists. A
1973 followup,
however, was inconclusive.
When
economist David S. Jacks of Simon Fraser University reviewed this
evidence a few years ago along with before-and-after data from when
futures trading in various commodities started, he
still concluded that "futures markets are
systematically associated with lower levels of commodity price
volatility." So, on balance, having a futures market appears better than
not having a futures market.
What this
doesn't tell us, however, is whether certain kinds of commodity futures
and spot markets are better than others, or certain kinds of traders are
better than others. There's at least some evidence from the great
commodities boom of the past decade that the new dominance of financial
investors has made a difference, and not necessarily for the
better. Three recent research findings:
Marco J.
Lombardi of the European Central Bank and Ine van Robays of Ghent
University
found that "financial investors did cause
oil prices to significantly diverge from the level justified by oil
supply and demand at specific points in time."
Lucia Juvenal and Ivan Petrella of the St. Louis Fed
found that speculative forces began to
drive oil prices in 2004, "which is when significant investment
started to flow into commodity markets."
Ke
Tang of Renmin University of China and Wei Xiong of Princeton
University
found that prices in non-energy
commodities have begun to move in tandem with oil prices, and have
become more volatile.
None of
these studies blamed speculation for causing all or even most of the
price movements. It seems pretty clear that the
big rise in oil prices
since 2003
has been driven by fundamental forces of supply and demand.
But the new commodities market participants may
have made things worse, as Kocieniewski's aluminum findings seem to
show.
So what's
the solution? I'm guessing it has something to do with adjusting the
rules of the game. Commodities-trading rules and customs that date back
to the pre-financial era may not fit the more aggressive tactics of
hedge funds and investment banks. The London Metals Exchange is
already in the midst of changing its warehousing rules,
with hard-to-foresee consequences. The Commodity
Futures Trading Commission has
started using new powers granted it under the Dodd-Frank Act to
go after traders whose behavior it deems abusive. And in general, we're
in the early stages of a long struggle to put the financial sector back
in the position of servant of the economy rather than its master.
Speculation is,
on balance, a good thing. But more of it isn't necessarily always better
— and it's too important to leave entirely in the hands of the wretched
hucksters.
Financial Statements Are Still Valuable Tools for Predicting Bankruptcy Despite growing public skepticism over how useful
financial statements are in providing information to investors, researchers at
Stanford’s Graduate School of Business have found that the value of financial
ratios for predicting bankruptcy has not declined significantly over time.
Professors Maureen McNichols and William Beaver and graduate student Jung-Wu Rhie have reexamined the usefulness for predicting bankruptcy of financial
ratios such as return on assets (net income divided by total assets), cash flow
to total liabilities (earnings before interest, depreciation, and taxes divided
by both short- and long-term debt), and leverage (total liabilities to total
assets). The study explored how three forces have influenced this predictive
value over the past 40 years.
"Financial Statements Are Still Valuable Tools for Predicting Bankruptcy,"
Stanford Graduate School of Business Newsletter, November 2005 ---
http://www.gsb.stanford.edu/news/research/acctg_mcnichols-beaver_bankruptcy.shtml
Researchers have
found that financial ratios are still valuable tools in predicting
bankruptcy. The significance of financial ratios found in statements was
explored in a study examining their predictive value over the last four
decades, according to the Stanford Graduate School of Business (GSB).
The GSB reported
that the premise of the study was motivated by regulatory organizations,
such as the Financial Accounting Standards Board and the Securities and
Exchange Commission, seeking to increase the usefulness of information found
in financial statements.
The study,
completed by Professors Maureen McNichols and William Beaver, with graduate
student Jung-Wu Rhie, reexamined the use of financial ratios such as cash
flow to total liabilities (earnings before interest, depreciation, and taxes
divided by short-term debt plus long-term debt), return on assets (net
income divided by total assets), leverage (total liabilities compared to
total assets), according to the GSB.
McNichols is the
Marriner S. Eccles Professor of Public and Private Management at the GSB.
Beaver is the Joan E. Horngren Professor of Accounting there.
McNichols told the
GSB, “One prediction is that if standard-setters are successful at
incorporating additional information about fair values into financial
statements, then we might expect their predictive ability for bankruptcy to
increase.”
On the other hand,
traditional accounting standards may capture only a portion of current
companies’ scope of activities. Also, financial statements may be seen as
more “managed” than from other times in the past, according to the GSB.
“If we look back in
the 1960s, intangible assets -– as represented by investments in brands,
research and development and technology -– were much less pervasive than
they are today. These kinds of transactions are not well captured by our
current accounting model,” Professor McNichols told the GSB. Concerning the
“management” of financial statements, McNichols said, “Certainly, there is
much more documentation of earnings management today than we’ve seen
historically.”
McNichols went on
to say that any shift in the economic activities of companies might also
offset any improvements in standards and informativeness of financial
statements made by regulatory standard-setters, according to the GSB.
In
study results released in March 2005, financial
statements were found to be highly significant in predicting bankruptcy over
the two periods of the study, according to the GSB. Period 1 was 1962 to
1993 and Period 2 was 1994 to 2002. There was a decline in predictive
ability from Period 1 to Period 2, although it was not statistically
significant. Companies’ “hazard rate”, reflecting their risk of going
bankrupt and using the three ratios, predicted higher risk in the year
before bankruptcy, as well as other years before their insolvency. Beaver
said, “In fact, we see differences in the ratios of bankrupt and nonbankrupt
firms up to five years prior to bankruptcy.”
The researchers
then shifted their predictors toward more market-based values. These were
cumulative stock returns over a year; the market capitalization of the firm
(or common stock price per share, times the common shares outstanding); and
the variability of stock returns. The use of these values was very
predictive as well, according to the GSB.
Predictability
actually increased over time. Ninety-two percent of bankrupt companies were
in the highest three deciles of Period 1 hazard rates and 93 percent for
Period 2. The slight rise was attributed to market prices reflecting broader
information, in addition to the information found in financial statements.
The GSB reported that the incremental significance of non-financial
statement information is reflected in the resulting difference between the
two time periods.
The researchers
then merged the financial-ratio and market-based models into a hybrid model.
Their results improved, coming up with a 96 percent chance of predicting
bankruptcy for Period 1 and 93 percent over Period 2. This seems to show
that market prices may compensate for even slight decreases in the
predictivity of financial ratios. These results further indicate that the
market draws upon additional information not available in financial ratios.
McNichols told the
GSB, “But it’s comforting to know that the behavior of the combined model,
over time, is so stable.” The stability of their combined model suggests
that bankruptcy can be predicted reliably in capital markets and this
ability has not been eroded by changes in reporting.
Dr. Edward
Altman, Ph.D., developed his
Z-score formula for predicting bankruptcy in 1968,
according to Value Based Management. It consists of three different models,
each for specific business organizations, including public manufacturers,
private manufacturers and private general firms.
The American
Bankruptcy Institute collects and publishes metrics on bankruptcies. Review
their
listing of annual business and non-business
filings by state (2000-2005) breaks down total bankruptcies into business
and non-business numbers, as well as consumer bankruptcies as a percentage
of the non-business metrics.
Peter Christensen and
I are pleased to announce that the first of two volumes on the fundamentals of
the economic analysis of accounting has been published by Kluwer. This two
volume series is based on two analytical Ph.D. seminars I have taught for
several years, and is designed to provide efficient coverage of key
information economic models and results that are pertinent to accounting
research.
The first volume is
entitled: Economics of
Accounting: Volume I - Information in Markets.
The attached file
provides the table of contents of this volume, plus the preface - which gives
a brief overview of the two volumes. The second volume is
Economics of
Accounting: Volume II - Performance Evaluation.
We expect to complete
it in the next few months.
The two volumes can
be used to provide the foundation for Ph.D. courses on information economic
research in accounting. Furthermore, it is our hope that analytical
researchers, as well as empiricists and experimentalists who use information
economic analysis to motivate their hypotheses, will find our book to be a
useful reference.
We plan to maintain a
website for the book. It will primarily be used to provide some problems Peter
and I have developed in teaching courses based on the two books. In addition,
the website will include any errata. The website address is:
Also attached is a
flyer from our publisher Kluwer. It announces a 25% discount in the price if
the book is purchased prior to December 31.
The publisher has
also informed us that: "If students buy the book through your university
bookstore (6 or more copies) they will receive an adoption price of $79.95
US."
Information regarding
discounts on this book for course use and bulk purchases can be obtained by
sending an e-mail message to kluwer@wkap.com
(their customer service department).
Jerry Feltham
Faculty of Commerce
University of British Columbia
2053 Main Mall
Vancouver, Canada V6T 1Z2
Tel. 604-822-8397 Fax 604-822-9470 jerry.feltham@commerce.ubc.ca
That Placebo Effect in Research: Dan
Ariely on Tennis Shoes and Toilet Paper
Dan Ariely is James B. Duke Professor of Behavioral Economics at Duke University
and is head of the eRationality research group at the
MIT Media Lab.
Dan Ariely ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dan_Ariely
A few weeks ago
Reebok unveiled a walking shoe purported to tone muscles to a greater extent
than your average sneaker. All you had to do was slip on a pair of EasyTone
and the rest would take care of itself.
Exercise without
exercise? Great!
Considering the
abracadabra-like quality of the shoe, it’s no surprise that it’s been
selling like hotcakes. The question of course is “ does it work”?
According to
a
recent New York Times article on the topic Reebok
has accumulated “15,000 hours’ worth of wear-test data from shoe users who
say they notice the difference.” (The company also quotes a study as
support, but it’s one they commissioned themselves and only carries a sample
size of five.) The two women quoted in the article further echo this
sentiment.
Reebok’s head of
advanced innovation (and EasyTone mastermind), Bill McInnis, says the shoe
works because it offers the kind of imbalance that you get with stability
balls at the gym. Unlike other sneakers, which are made flat with comfort in
mind, the EasyTone is purposely outfitted with air-filled toe-and-heal
“balance pods” in order to simulate the muscle engagement required to walk
through sand. With every step, air shifts from one pod to the other, causing
the person’s foot to sink and forcing their leg and backside muscles into a
workout.
But as the Times
article proposes at the end (without explicitly using the term), the shoe’s
success could instead come from the placebo effect. Thanks to Reebok’s
marketing efforts, buyers pick up the shoes already convinced of their
success, a mind frame that may then cause them to walk faster or harder or
longer, thereby producing the expected workout – just not for the expected
reason.
And there are some
reasons to suspect this kind of placebo effect: In a paper by Alia Crum and
Ellen Langer. Titled “Mind-Set Matters: Exercise and the Placebo Effect.” In
their research they told some maids working in hotels that the work they do
(cleaning hotel rooms) is good exercise and satisfies the Surgeon General’s
recommendations for an active lifestyle. Other maids were not given this
information. 4 weeks later, the informed group perceived themselves to be
getting significantly more exercise than before, their weight was lower and
they even showed a decrease in blood pressure, body fat, waist-to-hip ratio,
and body mass index.
So, maybe exercise
affects health are part placebo?
Here's a
video of Dan Ariely (author of "Predictably
Irrational") in his recent talk for the Google Authors program. Ariely
has written a fascinating book about some of the cognitive and behavioral
biases that most of us exhibit. If you listen carefully, you'll find that he
even gives a hint about how to increase your student evaluations ---
http://financialrounds.blogspot.com/
For years, the
ideology of free markets bestrode the world, bending politics as well as
economics to its core assumption: market forces produce the best solution to
any problem. But these days, even Bill Gates says capitalism’s work is
“unsatisfactory” for one-third of humanity, and not even Hillary Clinton
supports Bill Clinton’s 1990s trade pacts.
Another sign that
times are changing is “Predictably Irrational,” a book that both exemplifies
and explains this shift in the cultural winds. Here, Dan Ariely, an
economist at M.I.T., tells us that “life with fewer market norms and more
social norms would be more satisfying, creative, fulfilling and fun.” By the
way, the conference where he had this insight wasn’t sponsored by the
Federal Reserve, where he is a researcher. It came to him at Burning Man,
the annual anarchist conclave where clothes are optional and money is
banned. Ariely calls it “the most accepting, social and caring place I had
ever been.”
Obviously, this sly
and lucid book is not about your grandfather’s dismal science. Ariely’s
trade is behavioral economics, which is the study, by experiments, of what
people actually do when they buy, sell, change jobs, marry and make other
real-life decisions.
To see how arousal
alters sexual attitudes, for example, Ariely and his colleagues asked young
men to answer a questionnaire — then asked them to answer it again, only
this time while indulging in Internet pornography on a laptop wrapped in
Saran Wrap. (In that state, their answers to questions about sexual tastes,,
violence and condom use were far less respectable.) To study the power of
suggestion, Ariely’s team zapped volunteers with a little painful
electricity, then offered fake pain pills costing either 10 cents or $2.50
(all reduced the pain, but the more expensive ones had a far greater
effect). To see how social situations affect honesty, they created tests
that made it easy to cheat, then looked at what happened if they reminded
people right before the test of a moral rule. (It turned out that being
reminded of any moral code — the Ten Commandments, the non-existent “M.I.T.
honor system” — caused cheating to plummet.)
These sorts of
rigorous but goofy-sounding experiments lend themselves to a genial,
gee-whiz style, with which Ariely moves comfortably from the lab to broad
social questions to his own life (why did he buy that Audi instead of a
sensible minivan?). He is good-tempered company — if he mentions you in this
book, you are going to be called “brilliant,” “fantastic” or “delightful” —
and crystal clear about all he describes. But “Predictably Irrational” is a
far more revolutionary book than its unthreatening manner lets on. It’s a
concise summary of why today’s social science increasingly treats the
markets-know-best model as a fairy tale.
At the heart of the
market approach to understanding people is a set of assumptions. First, you
are a coherent and unitary self. Second, you can be sure of what this self
of yours wants and needs, and can predict what it will do. Third, you get
some information about yourself from your body — objective facts about
hunger, thirst, pain and pleasure that help guide your decisions. Standard
economics, as Ariely writes, assumes that all of us, equipped with this sort
of self, “know all the pertinent information about our decisions” and “we
can calculate the value of the different options we face.” We are, for
important decisions, rational, and that’s what makes markets so effective at
finding value and allocating work. To borrow from H. L. Mencken, the market
approach presumes that “the common people know what they want, and deserve
to get it good and hard.”
What the past few
decades of work in psychology, sociology and economics has shown, as Ariely
describes, is that all three of these assumptions are false. Yes, you have a
rational self, but it’s not your only one, nor is it often in charge. A more
accurate picture is that there are a bunch of different versions of you, who
come to the fore under different conditions. We aren’t cool calculators of
self-interest who sometimes go crazy; we’re crazies who are, under special
circumstances, sometimes rational.
Ariely is not out
to overthrow rationality. Instead, he and his fellow social scientists want
to replace the “rational economic man” model with one that more accurately
describes the real laws that drive human choices. In a chapter on
“relativity,” for example, Ariely writes that evaluating two houses side by
side yields different results than evaluating three — A, B and a somewhat
less appealing version of A. The subpar A makes it easier to decide that A
is better — not only better than the similar one, but better than B. The
lesser version of A should have no effect on your rating of the other two
buildings, but it does. Similarly, he describes the “zero price effect,”
which marketers exploit to convince us to buy something we don’t really want
or need in order to collect a “free” gift. “FREE! gives us such an emotional
charge that we perceive what is being offered as immensely more valuable
than it really is,” Ariely writes. None of this is rational, but it is
predictable.
What the reasoning
self should do, he says, is set up guardrails to manage things during those
many, many moments when reason is not in charge. (Though one might ask why
the reasoning self should always be in charge, an assumption Ariely doesn’t
examine too closely.)
For example,
Ariely writes, we know our irrational self falls easily into wanting stuff
we can’t afford and don’t need. So he proposes a credit card that encourages
planning and self-control. After $50 is spent on chocolate this month — pfft,
declined! He has in fact suggested this to a major bank. Of course, he knew
that his idea would cut into the $17 billion a year that American banks make
on consumer credit-card interest, but what the heck: money isn’t everything.
People often do not
realize they are being influenced by an incidental emotional state. As a
result, decisions based on a fleeting incidental emotion can become the
basis for future decisions and hence outlive the original cause for the
behavior (i.e., the emotion itself). Using a sequence of ultimatum and
dictator games, we provide empirical evidence for the enduring impact of
transient emotions on economic decision making. Behavioral consistency and
false consensus are presented as potential underlying processes.
Question
What's "institutional structure?"
What's the theory entwined in the works of the three 2007 recipients of the
Nobel Prize in Economics?
Hint:
Nobel Prizes ---
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nobel_Prize
Nobel Prizes in Economics tend to go to mathematicians and/or conservative market theorists.
Nobel Peace Prices tend to reflect liberal political biases, perhaps even
not-so-hidden Nobel agendas.
Nobel Prizes for accounting and mathematics are nonexistent, probably since both
disciplines are built upon assumptions rather than reality. Actually this is
also true for economics, although somehow an exception was made for this branch
of astrology.
Yesterday Leonid Hurwicz, Eric Maskin and Roger
Myerson won the Nobel Prize in Economic Science for their pioneering work in
the field of "mechanism design." Strangely, some have used this occasion to
disparage free-market economics. But the truth is the deserving recipients
owe a direct debt to free-market thinkers who came before them.
Mechanism design is an area of economic research
that focuses on how institutional structures can be manipulated by changing
the rules of the game in order to produce socially optimal results. The best
intentions for the public good will go astray if the institutional
arrangements are not consistent with the self-interest of decision makers.
Mr. Myerson's work on how to design auctions to
elicit information about the value of the good being auctioned -- and how to
maximize the revenue extracted from the auction -- has informed numerous
privatizations of publicly owned assets over the past quarter-century. Mr.
Maskin also contributed to auction theory, and applied the idea of mechanism
design to assess political institutions such as voting systems.
Mechanism design theory was established to try to
address the main challenge posed by Ludwig von Mises and F.A. Hayek. It all
starts with Mr. Hurwicz's response to Hayek's famous paper, "The Use of
Knowledge in Society." In the 1930s and '40s, Hayek was embroiled in the
"socialist calculation debate." Mises, Hayek's mentor in Vienna, had raised
the challenge in his book "Socialism," and before that in an article, that
without having the means of production in private hands, the economic system
will not create the incentives or the information to properly decide between
the alternative uses of scarce resources. Without the production process of
the market economy, socially desirable outcomes will be impossible to
achieve.
In the mid-1930s, Hayek published Mises's essay in
English in his book, "Collectivist Economic Planning." From there the
discussion moved to the U.K. and the U.S. Hayek summarized the fundamental
challenge that advocates of socialism needed to come to grips with. Hayek's
argument, a refinement of Mises, basically stated that the economic problem
society faced was not how to allocate given resources, but rather how to
mobilize and utilize the knowledge dispersed throughout the economy.
Hayek argued that mathematical modeling, which
relied on a set of given assumptions, had obscured the fundamental problem.
These questions were not being probed since they were assumed away in the
mathematical models of market socialism presented by Oskar Lange and, later,
Abba Lerner. Milton Friedman, when he reviewed Lerner's "Economics of
Control," stated that it was as if economic analysis of policy was being
conducted in a vacuum. Lange actually argued that questions of bureaucratic
incentives did not belong in economics and were best left to other
disciplines such as psychology and sociology.
Leonid Hurwicz, in his classic papers "On the
Concept and Possibility of Informational Decentralization" (1969), "On
Informationally Decentralized Systems" (1972), and "The Design of Mechanisms
for Resource Allocation" (1973), embraced Hayek's challenge. He developed
mechanism-design theory to test the logic of the Mises-Hayek contention that
socialism could not possibly mobilize the dispersed knowledge in society in
a way that would permit rational economic calculation for the alternative
uses of scarce resources. Mises and Hayek argued that replacing the
invisible hand of the market with the guided one of government would not
work. Mr. Hurwicz wanted to see if they were right, and under what
conditions one could say they were wrong.
Those efforts are at the foundation of the field
that was honored by the Nobel Prize committee. To function properly, any
economic system must, as Hayek pointed out, structure incentives so that the
dispersed and sometimes conflicting knowledge in society is mobilized to
realize the gains from exchange and innovation.
Last year Mr. Myerson acknowledged his own debt to
Mr. Hurwicz -- and thus Hayek -- in "Fundamental Theory of Institutions: A
Lecture in Honor of Leo Hurwicz." The incentive-compatibility issue has
highlighted the problems of moral hazard and adverse selection (perverse
behavior due to incentives caused by rules that are supposed protect us and
selection problems due to imperfect information). Mr. Hurwicz helped repair
a mid-20th century neglect of institutions in economic analysis.
While we celebrate the brilliance of Messrs.
Hurwicz, Maskin and Myerson, we should also remember that Hayek's challenge
provided their inspiration. Hayek concluded that the private-property rights
that come with the rule of law, freedom of contract, and freedom of
association is still the one mechanism design that mobilizes and utilizes
the dispersed information in an economy. Furthermore, it does so in a way
that tends to capture the gains from trade and innovation so that wealth is
continually created and humanity is made better off.
Mr. Boettke is a professor of economics at George Mason University and
the Mercatus Center.
As I think I have
mentioned before there is no Nobel Prize in economics. Alfred Nobel
established his trust fund because of guilt over inventing dynamite. He
awarded prizes only to those branches of intellectual endeavor that he
believed had the potential to bring "goodness" to human kind and end wars
forever (chemistry, physics, medicine, literature, and peace (essentially
noble political acts because peace is largely about politics perhaps
explaining why right- wingers don't tend to win the Peace Prize).
In 1964 the Nobel
Committee agreed to include within the prizes The Bank of Sweden Prize in
Economic Science in Honor of Alfred Nobel, funded not by the Nobel Trust,
but by financial interests. This was a political move to bring legitimacy to
economic "science" whose scientific prescriptions for policy always manage
somehow to benefit financial interests.
Apparently we have
now "scientific" proof that labor is our punishment for the Fall from Grace.
Science my a uh foot.
The controversies
involving the economics prize include:
1. Theoretical v.
Practical: Kantorovich, the Russian mathematician is supposed to have
expressed disbelief at receiving one of the earliest economics Nobels
(1975), since he had done virtually no work in economics except for laying
the groundwork for what later became linear programming. But that was just a
footnote in his life's work.
The same can be
said of the work of Reinhard Selten, John Nash, and to an extent Janos
Kornai. Later, a number of other theoreticians were also awarded the
economics Nobel, leading to grumbling among the applied/ empirical crowd.
Probably the series of Nobel's awarded to Milton Friedman and others later
were a reaction to this criticism.
2. Left-wing v.
Right-wing: In general, more Nobels have been awarded to quite-a-bit
right-of-center economists, and hell has broken loose when one has been
awarded to some one even an iota left-of-center. An example was Amartya Sen,
who single-handedly revived the fascinating fields of economics of poverty
and development.
Milton Friedman was
awarded the prize in 1976 right after the controversy surrounding the 1975
award to Kantorovich.
I think economics
Nobel's have generally tarnished the reputation of Nobels in general, but
one feels good when some one like John Nash gets it. I was thrilled that
Leonid Hurwicz got it this year, though I am not sure about Maskin and
Myerson. With the latter two, it is way down hill from Selten, Nash,
Harsanyi, Aumannn, Kantorovich, Arrow, Debreu, ...
So far as I know,
one "accountant" has won the economics Nobel. It is Richard Stone, who
worked in the area of national income accounting.
Incidentally, I
stumbled upon a fascinating book titled "Against Mechanism: Protecting
Economics from Science" By Philip Mirowski
One quote from the
book:
"Contrary to
popular misconceptions, I shall claim that economics needs protection
from science, and especially from scientists such as Richard Feynman, or
any other physicist who thinks he knows just what is needed for
economists to clean up their act. Economics needs protection from the
scientists in its midst, the Paul Samuelsons and the Tjalling Koopmans
and all the others who took their training in the physical sciences and
parlayed it into easy victories among their less technically inclined
colleagues. And worst of all, economics needs protection from itself.
For years, economics has enjoyed an impression of superiority over all
the other "social sciences" in rigor, precision, and technical
expertise. The reason it has been able to assume this mantle is that
economics has consistently striven to be the nearest thing to social
physics in the constellation of human knowledge."
Right after
my posting of the 1952 cartoon, B. C. emailed me
the following video that is a documentary on Socionomics and even
has Finance Professor John Nofsinger in it speaking about Enron and
other scandals!
"Socionomics
is a new theory of social causality that offers fresh insights into
collective human behavior. Over twenty years of empirical research
demonstrates that social actions are not causal to changes in social
mood, but rather changes in social mood motivate changes in social
action."
For instance, rather than suggesting that a rising
economy (or stock market) makes people happy, this takes the related,
but reversed, view that the economy improves because people are happy.
While I do not want to argue the theory (for or against), Nofsinger
makes an interesting point by saying that Enron and other scandals may
have come when they did (after the tech bubble burst etc), not because
of the scandals being worse, but because people were upset and hence
"looking for trouble."
Sort of a chicken or the egg argument that has many finance and economic
implications (not least of which might be a predictable component in
stock markets--for instance this builds upon the Elliot Wave Theory that
was mentioned via Fibonacci sequences in the DaVinci Code.).
Here is the description from video:
"
The Enron and Martha Stewart scandals made headlines at about the
same time. It wasn't just coincidence. This four minute clip about
socionomics from History's
Hidden Engine explains why some scandals make news when they do,
while others go unnoticed."
I have to
admit it is a thought provoking idea and it does fit some scenarios, but
I am not yet willing to buy into it, although
I may buy the book.
SUMMARY: "In a regulatory [Form 8-K] filing Tuesday, Facebook said
Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg won't sell any stock in the company for a
year, and that two of its directors...have no plans to sell their personal
holdings beyond the amount needed to cover their tax liabilities." The
discussion in the article emphasizes the company's plans to maintain a
relatively constant level of outstanding shares and also mentions tax
treatment of individuals receiving the restricted stock.
CLASSROOM APPLICATION: The article may be used in a tax class to
cover the topic of restricted stock and in a financial accounting class
covering authorized, issued, and outstanding shares. NOTE: INSTRUCTORS WILL
WANT TO REMOVE THE FOLLOWING STATEMENTS AS THEY CONTAIN ANSWERS TO THE
QUESTIONS ASKED IN THE REVIEW. Restricted stock is taxed similarly to
non-qualified stock options except that employees are taxed on the full fair
value of the stock at the vesting date, unless the employee makes an
election under section 83(b) to accelerate the date to the grant date. As
described in the article from review of an SEC Form 8-K filing, Facebook
intends to maintain a similar level of outstanding shares after the vesting
of the restricted stock as before the vesting date by repurchasing treasury
shares.
QUESTIONS:
1. (Introductory) What is restricted stock? What will happen in
October in relation to Facebook's employees' restricted stock units?
2. (Advanced) How are issuances of restricted stock units treated
for tax purposes? In your answer, explain why the two directors mentioned in
the article might sell shares because they face tax liabilities if they
otherwise do not plan to sell these shares of stock.
3. (Advanced) Define the terms authorized, issued, and outstanding
shares of stock. How will the issuance of the restricted stock affect each
of these categories of stock?
4. (Introductory) According to the article, what will Facebook do
to offset the impact of releases of restricted stock previously granted to
executives and employees? Again, explain the impact of this action on the
three types of stock identified above.
5. (Advanced) Why is Facebook's action important to shareholders
who bought the stock upon its initial public offering?
Reviewed By: Judy Beckman, University of Rhode Island
Facebook Inc. FB
+2.00% took steps Tuesday to reassure investors and employees worried about
its plummeting stock price, as the social network's shares hit new lows.
In a regulatory
filing Tuesday, Facebook said Chief Executive Mark Zuckerberg won't sell any
stock in the company for a year, and that two of its directors—Marc
Andreessen and Donald Graham—have no plans to sell their personal holdings
beyond the amount needed to cover their tax liabilities.
Facebook also
detailed how it will essentially buy back 101 million shares when it issues
previously restricted stock units to its staff in October. At recent prices,
it would spend roughly $1.9 billion to keep those shares off the market.
Together, the steps
function like a kind of defensive wall around the Facebook share price. They
effectively reduce the amount of Facebook stock in the public market and
spread out the amount of shares that could flood the market in November
after a lockup period on the stock expires.
Facebook spokesman
Larry Yu said the details in the filing were approved by the company's
compensation committee on Aug. 30. "We wanted to get the filing out as soon
as we could after that meeting as a measure of clarity and transparency," he
said.
Mr. Yu declined to
comment on the impact that the moves might have on investors.
Facebook's stock
has been in a tailspin since the Menlo Park, Calif., company's initial
public offering in May. After making their market debut at $38 a share amid
much hype that month, they have plunged more than 50% over concerns about
how much the company is really worth.
On Tuesday,
Facebook's shares dropped to a fresh low of $17.73 in 4 p.m. trading after
analysts at the two biggest underwriters for the company's IPO—Morgan
Stanley MS +3.51% and J.P. Morgan Chase JPM +4.08% & Co.—cut their price
targets on the stock.
In after-hours
trading following the regulatory filing, Facebook's shares ticked up 1.7% to
$18.03.
Facebook's stock
has continued to suffer as share lockups began expiring last month,
releasing 271 million shares—or nearly 13% of those outstanding—on the
market. More lockup expirations in October, November and December will allow
insiders and others to sell more than 1.4 billion shares.
Facebook said Mr.
Zuckerberg won't sell any shares in the social network for a year. Mr.
Zuckerberg, above, in May.
Last month,
director and early investor Peter Thiel sold the majority of his Facebook
holdings—some 20.1 million shares—after restrictions on insider selling
lifted.
Facebook has
publicly said little about its stock slide but internally is reassuring
employees about their shares. In a companywide meeting last month, Mr.
Zuckerberg told them it may be "painful" to watch the stock plunge, but that
investments Facebook has made will soon bear fruit.
In its filing,
Facebook said Mr. Zuckerberg "has no intention to conduct any sale
transactions in our securities for at least 12 months." Mr. Zuckerberg sold
Facebook stock in the IPO to cover his tax liabilities, and now holds about
444 million shares of Class B common stock and an option exercisable for an
additional 60 million Class B shares.
A Facebook
spokesman declined to make Mr. Zuckerberg available to comment.
A spokeswoman
declined to make Mr. Andreessen available for comment. Mr. Graham declined
to comment.
Facebook also said
it plans to withhold 45% of employees' restricted stock units to cover their
tax liabilities, paying the obligations, worth about $1.9 billion, in cash
and from existing credit facilities. In doing so, it would remove 101
million shares from the market for accounting purposes, about 4% of the
shares outstanding. Facebook also said the lockup date for some employees'
stock would be Oct. 29, after previously suggesting it might fall on Nov.
14.
Facts Based on Assumptions:
The Power of Postpositive Thinking
2012 AAA Meeting Plenary
Speakers and Response Panel Videos ---
http://commons.aaahq.org/hives/20a292d7e9/summary
I think you have to be a an AAA member and log into the AAA Commons to view
these videos.
Bob Jensen is an obscure speaker following the handsome Rob Bloomfield
in the 1.02 Deirdre McCloskey Follow-up Panel—Video ---
http://commons.aaahq.org/posts/a0be33f7fc
What a wonderful speaker Deidre McCloskey! Reminded
me of JR Hicks who also was a stammerer. For an economist, I was amazed by
her deep and remarkable understanding of statistics.
It was nice to hear about Gossett, perhaps the only
human being who got along well with both Karl Pearson and R.A. Fisher,
getting along with the latter itself a Herculean feat.
Gosset was helped in the mathematical derivation of
small sample theory by Karl Pearson, he did not appreciate its importance,
it was left to his nemesis R.A. Fisher. It is remarkable that he could work
with these two giants who couldn't stand each other.
I remember my father (who designed experiments in
horticulture for a living) telling me the virtues of balanced designs at the
same time my professors in school were extolling the virtues of
randomisation.
In Gosset we also find seeds of Bayesian thinking
in his writings.
While I have always had a great regard for Fisher
(visit to the tree he planted at the Indian Statistical Institute in
Calcutta was for me more of a pilgrimage), I think his influence on the
development of statistics was less than ideal.
Regards,
Jagdish
Jagdish S. Gangolly
Department of Informatics College of Computing & Information
State University of New York at Albany
Harriman Campus, Building 7A, Suite 220
Albany, NY 12222 Phone: 518-956-8251, Fax: 518-956-8247
Hi Jagdish,
You're one of the few people who can really appreciate Deidre's scholarship in
history, economics, and statistics. When she stumbled for what seemed like
forever trying to get a word out, it helped afterwards when trying to remember
that word.
Interestingly, two Nobel economists slugged out the very essence of theory some
years back. Herb Simon insisted that the purpose of theory was to explain.
Milton Friedman went off on the F-Twist tangent saying that it was enough if a
theory merely predicted. I lost some (certainly not all) respect for Friedman
over this. Deidre, who knew Milton, claims that deep in his heart, Milton did
not ultimately believe this to the degree that it is attributed to him. Of
course Deidre herself is not a great admirer of Neyman, Savage, or Fisher.
Friedman's essay
"The
Methodology of Positive Economics" (1953) provided
the
epistemological pattern for his own subsequent
research and to a degree that of the Chicago School. There he argued that
economics as science should be free of value judgments for it to be
objective. Moreover, a useful economic theory should be judged not by its
descriptive realism but by its simplicity and fruitfulness as an engine of
prediction. That is, students should measure the accuracy of its
predictions, rather than the 'soundness of its assumptions'. His argument
was part of an ongoing debate among such statisticians as
Jerzy Neyman,
Leonard Savage, and
Ronald Fisher.
In particular,
a dominant trend in critical theory was the rejection of the concept of
objectivity as something that rests on a more or less naive
epistemology: a simple belief that “facts” exist in some pristine state
untouched by “theory.” To avoid being naive, the dutiful student learned
to insist that, after all, all facts come to us embedded in various
assumptions about the world. Hence (ta da!) “objectivity” exists only
within an agreed-upon framework. It is relative to that framework. So it
isn’t really objective....
What Mohanty
found in his readings of the philosophy of science were much less naïve,
and more robust, conceptions of objectivity than the straw men being
thrashed by young Foucauldians at the time. We are not all prisoners of
our paradigms. Some theoretical frameworks permit the discovery of new
facts and the testing of interpretations or hypotheses. Others do not.
In short, objectivity is a possibility and a goal — not just in the
natural sciences, but for social inquiry and humanistic research as
well.
Mohanty’s major
theoretical statement on PPR arrived in 1997 with Literary Theory and
the Claims of History: Postmodernism, Objectivity, Multicultural
Politics (Cornell University Press). Because poststructurally
inspired notions of cultural relativism are usually understood to be
left wing in intention, there is often a tendency to assume that
hard-edged notions of objectivity must have conservative implications.
But Mohanty’s work went very much against the current.
“Since the
lowest common principle of evaluation is all that I can invoke,” wrote
Mohanty, complaining about certain strains of multicultural relativism,
“I cannot — and consequently need not — think about how your space
impinges on mine or how my history is defined together with yours. If
that is the case, I may have started by declaring a pious political
wish, but I end up denying that I need to take you seriously.”
PPR did
not require throwing out the multicultural baby with the relativist
bathwater, however. It meant developing ways to think about cultural
identity and its discontents. A number of Mohanty’s students and
scholarly colleagues have pursued the implications of postpositive
identity politics.
I’ve written elsewhere
about Moya, an associate professor of English at Stanford University who
has played an important role in developing PPR ideas about identity. And
one academic critic has written
an interesting review essay
on early postpositive scholarship — highly recommended for anyone with a
hankering for more cultural theory right about now.
Not everybody
with a sophisticated epistemological critique manages to turn it into a
functioning think tank — which is what started to happen when people in
the postpositive circle started organizing the first Future of Minority
Studies meetings at Cornell and Stanford in 2000. Others followed at the
University of Michigan and at the University of Wisconsin in Madison.
Two years ago FMS applied for a grant from Mellon Foundation, receiving
$350,000 to create a series of programs for graduate students and junior
faculty from minority backgrounds.
The FMS Summer
Institute, first held in 2005, is a two-week seminar with about a dozen
participants — most of them ABD or just starting their first
tenure-track jobs. The institute is followed by a much larger colloquium
(the part I got to attend last week). As schools of thought in the
humanities go, the postpositivists are remarkably light on the in-group
jargon. Someone emerging from the Institute does not, it seems, need a
translator to be understood by the uninitated. Nor was there a dominant
theme at the various panels I heard.
Rather, the
distinctive quality of FMS discourse seems to derive from a certain very
clear, but largely unstated, assumption: It can be useful for scholars
concerned with issues particular to one group to listen to the research
being done on problems pertaining to other groups.
That sounds
pretty simple. But there is rather more behind it than the belief that
we should all just try to get along. Diversity (of background, of
experience, of disciplinary formation) is not something that exists
alongside or in addition to whatever happens in the “real world.” It is
an inescapable and enabling condition of life in a more or less
democratic society. And anyone who wants it to become more democratic,
rather than less, has an interest in learning to understand both its
inequities and how other people are affected by them.
A case in point
might be the findings discussed by Claude Steele, a professor of
psychology at Stanford, in a panel on Friday. His paper reviewed some of
the research on “identity contingencies,” meaning “things you have to
deal with because of your social identity.” One such contingency is what
he called “stereotype threat” — a situation in which an individual
becomes aware of the risk that what you are doing will confirm some
established negative quality associated with your group. And in keeping
with the threat, there is a tendency to become vigilant and defensive.
Steele did not
just have a string of concepts to put up on PowerPoint. He had research
findings on how stereotype threat can affect education. The most
striking involved results from a puzzle-solving test given to groups of
white and black students. When the test was described as a game, the
scores for the black students were excellent — conspicuously higher, in
fact, than the scores of white students. But in experiments where the
very same puzzle was described as an intelligence test, the results were
reversed. The black kids scores dropped by about half, while the graph
for their white peers spiked.
The only
variable? How the puzzle was framed — with distracting thoughts about
African-American performance on IQ tests creating “stereotype threat” in
a way that game-playing did not.
Steele also
cited an experiment in which white engineering students were given a
mathematics test. Just beforehand, some groups were told that Asian
students usually did really well on this particular test. Others were
simply handed the test without comment. Students who heard about their
Asian competitors tended to get much lower scores than the control
group.
Extrapolate
from the social psychologist’s experiments with the effect of a few
innocent-sounding remarks — and imagine the cumulative effect of more
overt forms of domination. The picture is one of a culture that is
profoundly wasteful, even destructive, of the best abilities of many of
its members.
“It’s not easy
for minority folks to discuss these things,” Satya Mohanty told me on
the final day of the colloquium. “But I don’t think we can afford to
wait until it becomes comfortable to start thinking about them. Our
future depends on it. By ‘our’ I mean everyone’s future. How we enrich
and deepen our democratic society and institutions depends on the
answers we come up with now.”
Earlier this year, Oxford
University Press published a major new work on postpositivist theory,
Visible Identities: Race, Gender, and the Self,by Linda Martin
Alcoff, a professor of philosophy at Syracuse University. Several essays
from the book are available at
the author’s
Web site.
According to Karl Popper (Logik
der Forschung, 1935: p.26), Theory is "the net which we throw out in order
to catch the world--to rationalize, explain, and dominate it." Through
history, sociological theory arose out of attempts to make sense of times of
dramatic social change. As Hans Gerth and C. Wright Mills observed in
Character and Social Structure (Harbinger Books, 1964:xiii), "Problems of
the nature of human nature are raised most urgently when the life-routines
of a society are disturbed, when men are alienated from their social roles
in such a way as to open themselves up for new insight." Consider the
historical contexts spawning the theoretical insights below:
Neither the life of an
individual nor the history of a society can be understood without
understanding both. Yet men do not usually define the troubles they endure
in terms of historical change and institutional contradiction. ... The
sociological imagination enables its possessor to understand the larger
historical scene in terms of its meaning for the inner life and the external
career of a variety of individuals. ... The first fruit of this
imagination--and the first lesson of the social science that embodies it--is
the idea that the individual can understand his own experience and gauge his
own fate only by locating himself within this period, that he can know his
own chances in life only by becoming aware of those of all individuals in
his circumstances. ...We have come to know that every individual lives, from
one generation to the next, in some society; that he lives out a biography,
and that he lives it out within some historical sequence (The Sociological
Imagination, 1959:3-10).
Judge a man by his
questions rather than by his answers. --Voltaire (1694-1778)
A definition is no
proof. --William Pinkney, American diplomat (1764-1822)
A theory is more
impressive the greater the simplicity of its premises, the more different
the kinds of things it relates and the more extended its range of
applicability. --
Albert Einstein, 1949
Gene Shackman's
Social, Economic
and Political Change--featuring links to theory, data and research
about large scale long term political, economic and social systems
change at the national and international level
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